Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan for the 24-Hour PM10 Standards; Sacramento County Planning Area, California, 65336-65350 [2023-20555]
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 183 / Friday, September 22, 2023 / Proposed Rules
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[FR Doc. 2023–20439 Filed 9–21–23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4410–09–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R09–OAR–2023–0267; FRL–10958–
01–R9]
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan for
the 24-Hour PM10 Standards;
Sacramento County Planning Area,
California
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
lotter on DSK11XQN23PROD with PROPOSALS1
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve
the ‘‘Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance
Plan for Sacramento County’’ (‘‘Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan’’ or ‘‘Plan’’)
SUMMARY:
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as a revision to the state implementation
plan (SIP) for the State of California
(‘‘State’’). The Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan includes, among
other elements, a base year emissions
inventory, a maintenance
demonstration, contingency provisions,
and motor vehicle emissions budgets for
use in transportation conformity
determinations, to ensure the continued
maintenance of the national ambient air
quality standards (NAAQS) for
particulate matter of 10 microns or less
(PM10). With this proposed rulemaking,
the EPA is beginning the adequacy
process for the 2024, 2027, and 2033
motor vehicle emissions budgets.
Additionally, as part of the technical
basis for this approval, the EPA is taking
comment on our August 1, 2022
concurrence on the wildfire exceptional
events demonstration submitted by the
California Air Resources Board (CARB)
on April 26, 2021.
DATES: Written comments must arrive
on or before October 23, 2023.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R09–
OAR–2023–0267 at https://
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www.regulations.gov. For comments
submitted at Regulations.gov, follow the
online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments
cannot be edited or removed from
Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish
any comment received to its public
docket. Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment
contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or
other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, please
contact the person identified in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
For the full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effect comments, please visit
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https://www.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets. If you need
assistance in a language other than
English or if you are a person with a
disability who needs a reasonable
accommodation at no cost to you, please
contact the person identified in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Michael Dorantes, Geographic Strategies
and Modeling Section (AIR–2–2), EPA
Region IX, (415) 972–3934,
dorantes.michael@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document, ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’
and ‘‘our’’ refer to the EPA.
Table of Contents
I. Background
A. The PM10 National Ambient Air Quality
Standards
B. The Sacramento County Planning Area
Nonattainment Designation and First
PM10 Maintenance Plan
II. Air Quality in the Sacramento County
Planning Area
A. Exceedances in the Sacramento County
Planning Area
B. Exceptional Events Demonstration for
the 2018 Exceedances in the Sacramento
County Planning Area
C. Exceedances Occuring After the 2019
Design Value Period
III. The Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan
Submittal and Procedural Requirements
IV. Evaluation of the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan
A. Emissions Inventory
B. Maintenance Demonstration
C. Monitoring Network Requirements
D. Verification of Continued Attainment
E. Contingency Provisions
F. Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for
Transportation Conformity
V. Proposed Action and Request for Public
Comment
VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
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I. Background
A. The PM10 National Ambient Air
Quality Standards
Under section 109 of the Clean Air
Act (CAA), the EPA promulgates
NAAQS for pervasive air pollutants,
such as particulate matter, and conducts
periodic review of these standards to
determine whether they should be
revised or whether new standards
should be established. In 1987, the EPA
established two PM10 NAAQS: annual
standards of 50 micrograms per cubic
meter (mg/m3) and 24-hour standards of
150 mg/m3.1 Upon further review, the
1 52 FR 24634 (July 1, 1987). The EPA established
both primary and secondary standards for the
annual NAAQS and the 24-hour NAAQS. Primary
standards provide public health protection,
including protecting the health of ‘‘sensitive’’
populations such as asthmatics, children, and the
elderly. Secondary standards provide public
welfare protection, including protection against
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annual PM10 standards were
subsequently revoked effective
December 18, 2006, as the available
evidence did not suggest an association
between long-term exposure to coarse
particles at ambient levels and
detrimental health effects.2 However,
the EPA announced that it was retaining
the 24-hour PM10 NAAQS at 150
micrograms per cubic meter (mg/m3) to
provide continued protection against
the effects associated with short-term
exposure to coarse particles.3 In this
document, ‘‘PM10 NAAQS’’ or the
singular ‘‘PM10 standard’’ will
henceforth refer to both the primary and
secondary 24-hour PM10 NAAQS, as
they are the same.
B. The Sacramento County Planning
Area Nonattainment Designation and
First PM10 Maintenance Plan
Under section 107 of the CAA, the
EPA is required to designate all areas of
the country as attainment,
nonattainment, or unclassifiable for
each of the NAAQS. Under the CAA
Amendments of 1990, the Sacramento
County planning area was initially
designated as unclassifiable for the PM10
NAAQS by operation of law. The EPA
then redesignated and classified the area
as a ‘‘Moderate’’ nonattainment area on
January 20, 1994, due to PM10 NAAQS
violations recorded at two PM10
monitors within the Sacramento County
planning area during 1989 and 1990.4
This action established an attainment
deadline of December 31, 2000.
On February 15, 2002, the EPA
determined that the Sacramento County
nonattainment area had attained the
PM10 NAAQS by the attainment date.5
The determination was based on
complete, quality-assured, and certified
ambient air monitoring data from 1998
to 2000. The 24-hour standard is
attained when the recorded number of
days with levels above 150 mg/m3
(averaged over a 3-year period) is less
than or equal to one.6 The recorded
decreased visibility and damage to animals, crops,
vegetation, and buildings. The primary and
secondary standards were the set at the same level
for the annual PM10 NAAQS (i.e., at 50 mg/m3) and
for the 24-hour NAAQS (i.e., at 150 mg/m3).
2 71 FR 61144 (October 17, 2006).
3 78 FR 3086 (January 15, 2013).
4 The nonattainment area for PM
10 was set as the
same boundaries as Sacramento County, 58 FR
67334 (December 21, 1993).
5 67 FR 7082 (February 15, 2002).
6 An exceedance is defined as a daily value that
is above the level of the 24-hour standard (i.e., 150
mg/m3) after rounding to the nearest 10 mg/m3 (i.e.,
values ending in five or greater are to be rounded
up.) Thus, a recorded value of 154 mg/m3 would not
be an exceedance as it would be rounded to 150 mg/
m3. A recorded value of 155 mg/m3 would be an
exceedance because it would be rounded to 160 mg/
m3. 40 CFR part 50, Appendix K, section 1.0.
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65337
number of exceedances averaged over a
three-year period at any given monitor
is known as the PM10 design value, and
the highest design value recorded
within the nonattainment area is used as
the area’s PM10 design value for the
purposes of determining attainment.7
Section 175A of the CAA dictates that
any state that submits a request for
redesignation of a nonattainment area to
attainment shall also submit a SIP
revision that provides for the
maintenance of the pertinent NAAQS
for at least 10 years after the
redesignation. This maintenance plan
must, among other requirements, ensure
control measures are in place such that
the area will continue to maintain the
standard for a 10-year period after
redesignation, and include contingency
provisions to ensure that violations of
the NAAQS will be promptly remedied.
In California, CARB is the agency
responsible for the adoption and
submission of California SIPs and SIP
revisions to the EPA. Working jointly
with CARB, local and regional air
pollution control districts in California
are responsible for the development of
regional air quality plans. The
Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality
Management District (‘‘SMAQMD’’ or
‘‘District’’) develops and adopts plans to
address CAA planning requirements
applicable to Sacramento County.
SMAQMD adopts and submits its plans
to CARB for state adoption and
submission to the EPA as revisions to
the California SIP.
On December 7, 2010, CARB
requested that the EPA redesignate the
Sacramento County PM10 nonattainment
area to attainment and concurrently
submitted the Sacramento PM10
Maintenance Plan and associated motor
vehicle emissions budgets (‘‘budgets’’)
to the EPA as a revision to the California
SIP.8 On October 28, 2013, the EPA
approved the Sacramento PM10
Maintenance Plan, which provided for
maintenance of the NAAQS for the area
through October 28, 2023.9
7 40 CFR 50.6 and 40 CFR part 50, appendix K.
The comparison with the allowable expected
exceedance rate of one per year is made in terms
of a number rounded to the nearest tenth; e.g., an
exceedance rate of 1.05 would be rounded to 1.1,
which is the lowest rate for nonattainment. 40 CFR
part 50, appendix K, section 2.1(b).
8 Letter dated December 7, 2010, from James
Goldstene, Executive Officer, CARB, to Jared
Blumenfeld, Regional Administrator, EPA Region
IX.
9 78 FR 59261 (September 26, 2013).
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II. Air Quality in the Sacramento
County Planning Area
A. Exceedances in the Sacramento
County Planning Area
A recent design value showing a
maintenance area is continuing to attain
the PM10 NAAQS (i.e., the recorded
number of days with levels above 150
mg/m3, averaged over a 3-year period, is
less than or equal to one) is the
foundation of a second 10-year
maintenance plan. As described in more
detail in Section IV.A of this document,
a base year emissions inventory from
the design value period that represents
attainment conditions is used as the
basis for projecting emissions
inventories into the future and to
demonstrate that future emissions will
not lead to an exceedance of the
standards. The District used the data
from calendar years 2017 through 2019
to calculate a 2019 design value to
demonstrate the area had continued to
attain the PM10 standard and selected
the 2017 emissions inventory as its base
year inventory.
Table 1 of this document shows the
design values for the Sacramento
County PM10 maintenance area at the
monitoring sites active in the county
between 2011 through 2022, accounting
for all recorded exceedances during that
time. Specifically, no exceedances of the
PM10 NAAQS were recorded in 2011–
2017, numerous exceedances were
recorded in 2018 across all active
monitors, a single exceedance was
recorded in 2019 at the Sacramento T
Street monitoring site (AQS ID: 06–067–
0010), several exceedances were
recorded in 2020 across all active
monitors, and in 2021–2022 no
exceedances of the PM10 NAAQS were
recorded. As a result of the exceedance
days recorded in 2018, the calculated
2019 design value for PM10 is in
violation of the standard.10 The District
contends that the exceedances in 2018
were due to uncontrollable wildfire
smoke and submitted a request to
exclude the 2018 data from regulatory
decisions on the basis that they are
exceptional events.11
TABLE 1—SACRAMENTO COUNTY 2013–2022 PM10 MONITOR DESIGN VALUES INCLUDING 2018 EXCEPTIONAL EVENTS
EXCEEDANCES
Monitoring site
Design value period
2011–2013
2012–2014
2013–2015
2014–2016
2015–2017
2016–2018
2017–2019
2018–2020
2019–2021
2020–2022
North
Highlands
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
Del Paso
Manor
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.1
4.1
6.0
1.9
1.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4.1
4.1
6.0
1.9
1.9
Sacramento
T Street a
........................
........................
........................
0.0
0.0
2.0
2.3
3.7
1.7
1.3
Sacramento
Branch Center
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.0
2.0
4.6
2.6
2.6
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a The Sacramento T Street monitoring station came into active use in 2013. (North Highlands Air Quality System Site ID #:06–067–0002–1; Del
Paso Manor (primary) AQS Site ID #: 06–067–0006–1; Sacramento T Street AQS Site ID #: 06–067–0010–4; Sacramento Branch Center AQS
Site ID #: 06–067–0284–1).
B. Exceptional Events Demonstration for
the 2018 Exceedances in the
Sacramento County Planning Area
Congress has recognized that it may
not be appropriate for the EPA to use
certain monitoring data, collected by the
ambient air quality monitoring network
and maintained in the EPA’s Air Quality
System (AQS) database, in certain
regulatory determinations. Thus, in
2005, Congress provided the statutory
authority for the exclusion of data
influenced by ‘‘exceptional events’’
meeting specific criteria by adding
section 319(b) to the CAA. To
implement this 2005 CAA amendment,
the EPA promulgated the 2007
Exceptional Events Rule.12 The 2007
Exceptional Events Rule created a
regulatory process codified at 40 CFR
parts 50 and 51 (sections 50.1, 50.14,
51.930). These regulatory sections,
which superseded the EPA’s previous
guidance on handling data influenced
by exceptional events, contain
definitions, procedural requirements,
requirements for air agency
demonstrations, criteria for EPA
approval of the exclusion of eventaffected air quality data from the data
set used for regulatory decisions, and
requirements for air agencies to take
appropriate and reasonable actions to
protect public health from exceedances
or violations of the NAAQS. In 2016, the
EPA promulgated a comprehensive
revision to the 2007 Exceptional Events
Rule (referred to herein as the
‘‘Exceptional Events Rule’’).13 Under the
Exceptional Events Rule, if, for example,
a state demonstrates to the EPA’s
satisfaction that emissions from a
wildfire smoke event caused specific air
pollution concentration in excess of the
PM10 NAAQS at a particular air quality
monitoring location and otherwise
satisfies the requirements of 40 CFR
50.14, the EPA must exclude that data
from use in determinations of
exceedances and violations.14
For the EPA to concur with excluding
the air quality data from regulatory
decision, the demonstration must satisfy
all the Exceptional Events Rule criteria.
Specifically, under 40 CFR
50.14(c)(3)(iv), the air agency
demonstration to justify exclusion of
data must include:
1. a narrative conceptual model that
describes the event(s) causing the
exceedance or violation and a
discussion of how emissions from the
event(s) led to the exceedance or
violation at the affected monitors(s);
2. a demonstration that the event
affected air quality in such a way that
10 See EPA AQS Design Value Report, AMP480,
for 2011–2022 PM10 Design Values for Sacramento
County (Report accessed August 9, 2023), included
in the docket for this rulemaking, for full details.
11 Letter dated March 31, 2021, from Mark
Loutzenhiser, Division Manager, Program
Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, Subject:
‘‘Exceptional Event Demonstration for November
2018 PM10 Exceedances in Sacramento County due
to Wildfires.’’
12 72 FR 13560 (March 22, 2007).
13 81 FR 68216 (October 3, 2016).
14 40 CFR 50.14(b)(4).
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there exists a clear causal relationship
between the specific event and the
monitored exceedance or violation;
3. analyses comparing the claimed
event-influenced concentration(s) to
concentrations at the same monitoring
site at other times to support
requirement in 40 CFR 50.14(c)(3)(iv)(2);
4. a demonstration that the event was
both not reasonably controllable and not
reasonably preventable, and;
5. a demonstration that the event was
a human activity that is unlikely to
recur at a particular location or was a
natural event.15
In addition, the air agency must meet
several procedural requirements,
including:
1. submission of an Initial
Notification of Potential Exceptional
Event and flagging of the affected data
in the EPA’s Air Quality System (AQS)
as described in 40 CFR 50.14(c)(2)(i);
2. completion and documentation of
the public comment process described
in 40 CFR 50.14(c)(3)(v); and
3. implementation of any relevant
mitigation requirements as described in
40 CFR 51.930.
On August 21, 2019,16 CARB
submitted an Initial Notification of
Potential Exceptional Events prepared
by SMAQMD for numerous exceedances
of the PM10 NAAQS that occurred at the
Sacramento T Street, North Highland,
Del Paso Manor, and Sacramento
Branch Center PM10 monitoring sites
within the maintenance area on
November 10–12 and November 14–16,
2018.
The EPA recommended that CARB
and SMAQMD determine the relevant
65339
exceedances and associated monitoring
sites that may have regulatory
significance with respect to the PM10
NAAQS, and submit an exceptional
event demonstration to the EPA no later
than March of 2021.17 On March 31,
2021, SMAQMD submitted the
‘‘Exceptional Event Demonstration for
November 2018 Exceedances in
Sacramento County due to Wildfires’’ to
CARB for transmittal to the EPA.18
Then, on April 26, 2021,19 CARB
submitted the exceptional event
demonstration prepared by SMAQMD
for 13 exceedances of the 1987 24-hour
PM10 NAAQS during November 10–12
and November 14–16, 2018.20 Table 2 of
this document summarizes the
exceedances that SMAQMD included in
the demonstration.
TABLE 2—SACRAMENTO COUNTY PM10 NAAQS EXCEEDANCE SUMMARY FOR 2018
Monitoring site
AQS ID a
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
North Highlands ..........................................................
Del Paso Manor .........................................................
Del Paso Manor .........................................................
Sacramento—Branch Center .....................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
North Highlands ..........................................................
Del Paso Manor .........................................................
Del Paso Manor .........................................................
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0002–1
06–067–0006–1
06–067–0006–2
06–067–0284–1
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0002–1
06–067–0006–1
b 06–067–0006–2
Exceedance date
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
November
10,
10,
10,
10,
10,
11,
12,
14,
15,
16,
16,
16,
16,
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
2018
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
PM10
(μg/m3)
189
222
212
202
200
176
183
181
292
252
163
166
163
a The
last number in the AQS ID is the Parameter Occurrence Code (POC) and distinguishes between different monitors at the same site.
Del Paso Manor (POC 2) monitor is a collocated monitor used for quality assurance purposes. Data from this monitor are not used for
comparison to the NAAQS. However, for completeness, CARB, SMAQMD, and the EPA have included this monitor in the demonstration and
concurrence process.
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 2–5.
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b The
The demonstration submitted by
CARB and SMAQMD provides a
narrative conceptual model to describe
how emissions from the Camp Fire, in
Butte County, California, caused the
PM10 exceedances at the listed
monitoring sites on the listed dates. The
narrative conceptual model includes a
description of the Camp Fire and its
progression, the general meteorological
conditions in the affected area, and
information regarding how PM10
concentrations measured during this
period compared to normal conditions
across the Sacramento Valley. To
support a clear causal relationship
between the wildfire event and the
monitored exceedances, the
demonstration includes several
analyses, specifically including the
following: comparison with historical
PM10 concentrations; Hybrid SingleParticle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory
(HYSPLIT) analysis; satellite imagery of
smoke; ceilometer data; 21 regional
patterns of PM10 concentrations and PM
air quality index (AQI) values; fine
particulate matter (PM2.5)
concentrations and comparison with
historical data; concurrent increases in
carbon monoxide, black carbon, and
organic carbon concentrations; media
reports of wildfire smoke affecting the
monitoring area; and District-issued air
quality advisories.22 The documentation
also demonstrates that the wildfire
15 A natural event is further described in 40 CFR
50.1(k) as ‘‘[a]n event and its resulting emissions,
which may recur at the same location, in which
human activity plays little or no direct causal role.
For purposes of the definition of a natural event,
anthropogenic sources that are reasonably
controlled shall be considered to not play a direct
role in causing emissions.’’
16 Email dated August 21, 2019, from Sylvia
Vanderspek (CARB) to Gwen Yoshimura (EPA
Region IX) Subject: ‘‘INI Form for Submittal to
EPA—SMAQMD PM10.’’
17 See letter dated March 3, 2020, from Elizabeth
Adams, Air and Radiation Division Director, EPA
Region IX, to Sylvia Vanderspek, Air Quality
Planning Branch Chief, CARB.
18 Letter dated March 31, 2021, from Mark
Loutzenhiser, Division Manager, Program
Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, Subject:
‘‘Exceptional Event Demonstration for November
2018 PM10 Exceedances in Sacramento County due
to Wildfires.’’
19 Letter dated April 26, 2021, from David
Edwards for Michael Benjamin, Air Quality
Planning and Science Division Chief, CARB, to
Elizabeth Adams, Air and Radiation Division
Director, EPA Region IX, Subject: ‘‘Submittal of
Final Documentation for 2018 Exceptional Events.’’
20 SMAQMD Exceptional Event Demonstration
For November 2018 PM10 Exceedances in
Sacramento County Due to Wildfires, March 31,
2021.
21 A ceilometer measures the attenuated
backscatter of light due to gradients in particulate
matter or other aerosols.
22 See Sections 3 and 4, and Appendices A, B, C,
and D of the Demonstration for full details.
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event was not reasonably controllable
and not reasonably preventable.23
Furthermore, the Camp Fire event meets
the definition of a natural wildfire
event, defined in 40 CFR 50.1(n) as ‘‘a
wildfire that predominantly occurs on
wildland.’’ 24
In addition to the technical
demonstration requirements, there are
timing and procedural requirements an
air agency must follow to request data
exclusion. The demonstration submitted
by CARB includes evidence of the
following: SMAQMD provided prompt
public notification of the events, CARB
submitted an Initial Notification of
Potential Exceptional Event in the EPA’s
AQS system 25 and met the deadline
requirements for these submissions, and
the District allowed for a documented
public comment period in which
feedback from the public was solicited,
collected, submitted to the EPA, and
considered along with the submission of
the demonstration.
The EPA reviewed and concurred on
the documentation provided by CARB
and SMAQMD to support claims that
the Camp Fire caused exceedances of
the PM10 NAAQS at the Sacramento T
Street, North Highlands, Del Paso
Manor, and Sacramento Branch Center
monitoring sites on November 10–12
and November 14–16, 2018.26 The
demonstration prepared by SMAQMD
and submitted by CARB meets all
criteria required by 40 CFR 50.14
(c)(3)(iv). Furthermore, the submittal
satisfied all schedule and procedural
requirements specified in 40 CFR
50.14(c) and 40 CFR 51.930. Thus, the
EPA is relying on calculated values that
exclude the event-influenced data for
the purpose of demonstrating continued
attainment of the PM10 NAAQS. With
the exclusion of the wildfire-related
exceedances in 2018, the 2019 design
value is no longer in violation of the
PM10 NAAQS.
EPA concurrence is a preliminary step
in the regulatory process for actions that
may rely on these data and does not
constitute final agency action.
Regulatory actions that rely on the
exclusion of exceptional event data
require the EPA to provide an
opportunity for public comment on the
technical basis of the proposed action,
including the claimed exceptional
events and all supporting data prior to
the EPA taking final agency action. This
proposed action provides the public
with an opportunity to comment on the
claimed exceptional events for the 2018
exceedances in Sacramento County and
all supporting documents submitted by
CARB, and the EPA’s concurrence with
the State’s request with regards to our
proposed action to approve the Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan.
C. Exceedances Occuring After the 2019
Design Value Period
In order to ensure that the area has
continued to attain the standard after
2017–2019 design value period on
which the Plan is based, the District
calculated the 2020 design value (based
on 2018–2020 data), and we
independently calculated the 2021 and
2022 design values (based on 2019–
2021, and 2020–2022 data,
respectively). In all cases the design
values are above the standard.27 The
2020 exceedances associated with these
violations were initially flagged in AQS
by SMAQMD as wildfire related and the
District included information with the
Plan to support these claims.28
Appendix A in the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan (‘‘Analysis of PM10
Exceedance Days in 2020’’) provides a
conceptual narrative demonstrating how
wildfire smoke also contributed to the
PM10 exceedances in 2020. Between
September 8, 2020, and September 13,
2020, there was a total of seven recorded
exceedances among all monitoring sites
located within the county at the time,29
accounting for all exceedances recorded
in 2020. Table 3 of this document
summarizes the exceedances recorded
during this period.
TABLE 3—SACRAMENTO COUNTY PM10 NAAQS EXCEEDANCE SUMMARY FOR 2020
Monitoring station
AQS ID a
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
Del Paso Manor .........................................................
Del Paso Manor .........................................................
North Highlands ..........................................................
Sacramento—Branch Center .....................................
Sacramento T Street ..................................................
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0010–4
06–067–0006–1
b 06–067–0006–2
06–067–0002–1
06–067–0284–1
06–067–0010–4
Exceedance date
September
September
September
September
September
September
September
September
8, 2020 .....................................................
11, 2020 ...................................................
12, 2020 ...................................................
12, 2020 ...................................................
12, 2020 ...................................................
12, 2020 ...................................................
12, 2020 ...................................................
13, 2020 ...................................................
PM10
(μg/m3)
298
231
186
186
188
187
201
169
a The
last number in the AQS ID is the Parameter Occurrence Code (POC) and distinguishes between different monitors at the same site.
Del Paso Manor (POC 2) monitor is a collocated monitor for quality assurance purposes, and the data from this monitor is not used for
comparison to the NAAQS. However, for completeness, CARB, SMAQMD, and the EPA included this monitor in the demonstration and concurrence process.
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table A–1.
b The
Similar to the exceptional event
demonstration for the 2018
exceedances, Appendix A documents
23 Id.
at pp. 3–1 to 3–3 and Section 5: p. 5–1.
at Section 6: p. 6–1.
25 SMAQMD Exceptional Event PM
10 Initial
Notification Summary Information 2016–2018,
submitted August 21, 2019.
26 Details included in ‘‘Technical Support
Document for EPA Concurrence on PM10
Exceedances Measured in the Sacramento County
Maintenance Area on November 10–12 and
November 14–16, 2018 as Exceptional Events,’’
found within the docket for this rulemaking, and
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24 Id.
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several wildfires in the vicinity of
Sacramento County that were active
during 2020 and attributes emissions
from these wildfires, concurrent with
wind gust events, as having caused the
PM10 exceedances listed in Table 3.30
letter dated July 27, 2022, from Elizabeth Adams,
Director, Air and Radiation Division, EPA Region
IX, to Sylvia Vanderspek, Chief, Air Quality
Planning Branch and Air Quality Planning and
Science Division, CARB, Subject: ‘‘EPA
Concurrence with EE exclusion of PM10
exceedances on November 10–12 and 14–16, 2018.’’
27 ‘‘Second 10-Year PM
10 Maintenance Plan for
Sacramento County,’’ Appendix A.
28 EPA AQS Report of Flagged PM
10 Values due
to Wildfire Events in Sacramento County, Report
Prepared February 13, 2023.
29 See Section IV.C of the rulemaking for
additional details on the present status of the
Sacramento County PM10 monitoring network.
30 During the late summer and early fall of 2020,
the Slater/Devils Fire, Red Salmon Complex Fire,
August Complex Fire, North Complex Fire
(composed of the Baer and Claremont fires), Fork
Fire, and the Creek Fire were all active at the time
of the exceedances.
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The appendix includes an overview of
the wildfires active at the time of the
exceedances, including the start and
containment dates, the geographic
proximity and range of each wildfire,
and fire containment levels during the
date range of the exceedances. To
support a clear causal relationship
between these wildfire events, wind
gusts, and the monitored exceedances,
Appendix A includes several analyses
including the following: HYSPLIT
analysis; satellite imagery of smoke;
regional patterns of PM10 concentrations
and PM AQI; PM2.5 concentrations and
comparison with historical data;
concurrent increases in carbon
monoxide, black carbon, and organic
carbon concentrations; as well as media
reports of wildfire smoke affecting the
monitoring data. In addition, the District
notes that the wildfires listed in Table
A–2 of Appendix A were either a result
of lightning strikes or were still under
investigation, and the District contends
these wildfire events were not
reasonably controllable and not
reasonably preventable. Therefore, in
lieu of an exceptional event
demonstration, the EPA proposes to find
that this information provided in
Appendix A of the Plan indicates that
the 2020 exceedances were caused by
uncontrollable wildfire smoke and wind
gusts.
Because SMAQMD and CARB did not
submit an exceptional event
demonstration for the 2020 exceedances
from wildfires, we have factored these
exceedances into design value
calculations, and the post-2019 design
values (2020, 2021, and 2022) remain in
violation of the PM10 NAAQS, as
summarized in Table 4 of this
document. However, after reviewing the
evidence provided by the District
demonstrating that the exceedances in
2020 were caused by a combination of
uncontrollable wildfire smoke and wind
gust events, and therefore separate from
65341
trends in the ambient air quality for
PM10, we propose to find that these
exceedances do not call into question
the EPA’s proposed approval of the
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan as
providing for maintenance of the PM10
NAAQS. No exceedances were recorded
in 2021, nor 2022, lending additional
support to the claim that the 2020
exceedances were caused by
uncontrollable wildfire smoke and wind
gust events. We find that these data are
consistent with the EPA’s proposed
approval of the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan as providing for
maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS. Prior
to finalizing this action, we will
examine all quality-assured and
certified PM10 monitoring data available
to ensure this trend persists or that the
District has implemented its
contingency plan to address any
exceedances.
TABLE 4—SACRAMENTO COUNTY PM10 MONITOR DESIGN VALUES WITH 2018 EXCEPTIONAL EVENTS EXCEEDANCES
REMOVED
Monitoring site
Design value period
2011–2013
2012–2014
2013–2015
2014–2016
2015–2017
2016–2018
2017–2019
2018–2020
2019–2021
2020–2022
North
Highlands
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
.......................................................................................................
Del Paso
Manor
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.9
1.9
1.9
Sacramento
T Street a
........................
........................
........................
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.3
1.7
1.7
1.3
Sacramento
Branch Center
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2.6
2.6
2.6
a The Sacramento T Street monitoring station came into active use in 2013. (North Highlands AQS Site ID #:06–067–0002–1; Del Paso Manor
(primary) AQS Site ID #: 06–067–0006–1; Sacramento T Street AQS Site ID #: 06–067–0010–4; Sacramento Branch Center AQS Site ID #: 06–
067–0284–1).
Source: TSD for EPA Concurrence on PM10 Exceedances Measured in Sacramento County on Nov 10–12 and Nov 14–16 as EE, found within
the docket for this rulemaking.
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III. The Second 10-Year Maintenance
Plan Submittal and Procedural
Requirements
CAA section 175A(b) requires states
to submit a SIP revision to maintain the
NAAQS for an additional ten years after
the expiration of the 10-year period
covered by the initial maintenance plan.
The submittal is due eight years after
the original redesignation request and
maintenance plan was approved. The
deadline to submit the SIP revision for
the Sacramento County PM10 NAAQS
maintenance area was October 28, 2021.
On October 21, 2021, CARB submitted
the ‘‘Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance
Plan for Sacramento County’’ (‘‘Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan’’ or ‘‘Plan’’)
to meet the requirement for a
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subsequent maintenance plan under
CAA section 175A(b).31 The Second 10Year Maintenance Plan is intended to
provide for continued maintenance of
the PM10 NAAQS for the 10-year period
following the end of the first 10-year
period, i.e., from 2024 through 2033.
In addition, CAA sections 110(a)(1),
(2), and 110(l) require states to provide
reasonable notice and opportunity for
public hearing prior to adoption and
submission of a SIP or SIP revision. To
meet these procedural requirements,
every SIP submission should include
evidence that the state provided
adequate public notice and opportunity
31 Letter dated October 20, 2021, from Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, to Deborah Jordan,
Acting Regional Administrator, EPA Region IX
(submitted electronically October 21, 2021).
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for a public hearing consistent with the
EPA’s implementing regulations in 40
CFR 51.102. CARB’s October 21, 2021
SIP submittal package includes
documentation of the public processes
used by the District and CARB to adopt
the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan.
Prior to adoption of the plan, a
reasonable notice of a public hearing
was provided to the public, and a public
hearing was conducted. Specifically,
notices of a public hearing and the
opening of a comment period for the
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan for
Sacramento County were published
within the ‘‘News and Notices’’ section
of the District’s website on July 23,
2021, in advance of the August 26, 2021
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public hearing.32 No comments were
received during the District’s comment
period.33 Following the adoption of a
resolution to approve the Second 10Year Maintenance Plan,34 the District
requested that CARB review and adopt
the Plan.35 On August 13, 2021, CARB
published on its website a notice of a
public hearing to be held on September
23, 2021, to consider adoption of the
District’s Plan.36 No comments were
received during CARB’s public
comment period. CARB adopted the
Plan,37 and subsequently submitted it to
the EPA as a revision to the California
SIP on October 21, 2021. Based on the
documentation provided in the Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan submittal, we
propose to find that the SIP revision
satisfies the public notice procedural
requirements of the Act.
Section 175A of the CAA provides the
general framework for a maintenance
plan. The initial 10-year maintenance
plan must provide for maintenance of
the NAAQS for at least 10 years after
redesignation, including any control
measures necessary to ensure such
maintenance. In addition, maintenance
plans are to contain contingency
provisions necessary to ensure the
prompt correction of a violation of the
NAAQS that may occur after
redesignation. The contingency
measures must include, at a minimum,
a requirement that the state will
implement all control measures
contained in the nonattainment SIP
prior to redesignation. Beyond these
provisions, section 175A of the CAA
does not define the content of a second
10-year maintenance plan.
The primary guidance on
maintenance plans and redesignation
requests is the September 4, 1992
memorandum from John Calcagni, titled
‘‘Procedures for Processing Requests to
32 SMAQMD affidavit of publication of ‘‘Public
Hearing for Approval of the Second 10-Year PM10
Maintenance Plan for Sacramento County’’ on the
District’s website on July 23, 2021.
33 See SMAQMD Transmittal Letter from Mark
Loutzenhiser, Division Manager, Program
Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, dated September 2,
2021.
34 SMAQMD Board of Directors Public Hearing
and Resolution No. 2021–009 Adopting the
‘‘Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance Plan for
Sacramento County,’’ dated August 26, 2021.
35 Letter dated September 2, 2021, from Mark
Loutzenhiser, Division Manager, Program
Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB.
36 CARB Notice of Public Meeting to Consider
Sacramento County PM10 Maintenance Plan State
Implementation Plan Submittal, dated August 13,
2021.
37 CARB Board Resolution 21–20: Sacramento
County PM10 Maintenance Plan State
Implementation Plan Submittal, dated September
23, 2021.
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Redesignate Areas to Attainment’’
(‘‘Calcagni Memo’’).38 The Calcagni
Memo outlines the key elements of a
maintenance plan, which include the
following: attainment emissions
inventory, maintenance demonstration,
monitoring network requirements,
verification of continued attainment,
and contingency plan elements. We are
evaluating the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan based on the
satisfactory fulfillment of these and all
relevant procedural requirements of the
CAA.
IV. Evaluation of the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan
A. Emissions Inventory
A maintenance plan for the PM10
NAAQS should include a
comprehensive, accurate, and current
emissions inventory of all sources of
relevant pollutants in the area, to
identify a level of emissions sufficient to
attain the PM10 NAAQS. The inventory
should include emissions from
stationary point sources, area sources,
and mobile sources and must be based
on actual emissions during the
appropriate season, if applicable.39 This
emissions inventory should be
consistent with the EPA’s most recent
guidance available at the time and
should represent emissions during the
time period associated with the
monitoring data showing attainment, in
this case 2017–2019. The specific PM10
emissions inventory requirements are
set forth in the Air Emissions Reporting
Requirements rule.40 The EPA has
provided additional guidance for
developing PM10 emissions inventories
in ‘‘PM10 Emissions Inventory
Requirements,’’ 41 and ‘‘Emissions
Inventory Guidance for Implementation
of Ozone and Particulate Matter
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS) and Regional Haze
Requirements’’ (May 2017).
The SMAQMD Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan includes inventories
for total primary PM10 and nitrogen
oxide pollutants (NOX) in the County for
the years 2017, 2024, 2027, and 2033.
NOX emissions are discussed in this
plan due to the significant contribution
of NOX as a precursor pollutant,
especially toward wintertime ambient
PM10 concentrations, as demonstrated in
the first maintenance plan by a chemical
38 Memorandum dated September 4, 1992, from
John Calcagni, Director, Air Quality Management
Division, EPA, to Regional Office Air Division
Directors, Subject: ‘‘Procedures for Processing
Requests to Redesignate Areas to Attainment.’’
39 CAA section 172(c)(3).
40 40 CFR part 51, subpart A.
41 EPA–454/R–94–033, September 1994.
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mass balance (CMB) study of PM10
pollution in the County.42 Additionally,
detailed emissions inventory data for
sulfur oxides (SOX) are not included,
but SOX emissions remain stable
throughout the second maintenance
period at about 1 ton per day (tpd).43
The Plan also states that volatile organic
compounds (VOCs) are not identified in
the CMB study analysis performed for
the First Maintenance Plan as
contributing to the PM10 concentrations
and therefore are not included in the
emissions inventory. The District
selected the inventory years to include
the base year emissions inventory
(2017), an inventory for the first year of
the second maintenance period (2024),
an interim year inventory (2027), and an
inventory for the end of the second
maintenance period (2033). The base
year is the first year of the Plan’s design
value. Projected emissions inventories
for future years must account for, among
other factors, the ongoing effects of
economic growth and adopted
emissions control requirements, and the
inventories are expected to be the best
available representation of future
emissions. The Plan includes emissions
estimates from all the relevant
stationary point, area, and mobile
source categories, and further divides
these main categories into more
descriptive subcategories. As these
emissions forecasts consider expected
emissions reductions to the base year
inventory resulting from adopted
control measures, they similarly
consider potential emissions increases,
such as those associated with emissions
reduction credits (ERCs). ERCs are
allowances earned through voluntary
pollutant emissions reductions such as
equipment shutdowns or voluntarily
installed controls. Emissions within the
Plan are listed for an average winter day
when concentrations were shown to be
seasonally elevated. The SMAQMD
analysis demonstrates a seasonal
occurrence of higher ambient PM10
concentrations in the fall and winter
months.44 The District finds that this
trend is a result of increased residential
wood combustion, in conjunction with
42 SMAQMD PM
10 Implementation/Maintenance
Plan and Redesignation Request for Sacramento
County, p. 4–4. Source contributions used in the
CMB study were based on a technical paper on
wintertime PM2.5 and PM10 source apportionment
for Sacramento (Motallebi, Nehzat. ‘‘Wintertime
PM2.5 and PM10 Source Apportionment at
Sacramento California.’’ Air and Waste
Management Association, 1999). The CMB study
calculated source contributions for ambient air
quality samples (>40 mg/m3) collected from
November to January for 1991–1996.
43 Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 5–1.
44 Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan For
Sacramento County, Section 2.8.
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winter weather conditions conducive to
PM10 pollutant build up (e.g., greater
atmospheric stability, low wind
dispersion, and colder temperatures).
The emissions inventories used in the
Plan are from CARB’s California
Emissions Projection Analysis Model
(CEPAM): CEPAM 2019: External
Adjustment Reporting Tool—Version
1.02. Because the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan depends on both
PM10 and NOX emissions to demonstrate
continued compliance (discussed in
further detail in Sections III.C and D of
this document), the EPA reviewed both
PM10 and NOX emissions inventories.
Direct PM10 and NOX emissions
estimates for stationary point sources
reflect actual emissions reported to the
District by owners or operators of
industrial point sources in the
Sacramento County planning area. This
category is primarily composed of fuel
combustion, waste disposal, petroleum
production and marketing, and other
industrial processes. Areawide sources,
such as consumer products and
agricultural burning, occur over a wide
geographic area. Emissions for these
categories are calculated from fuel
usage, product sales, population,
employment data, and other parameters
65343
for the pertinent range of activities
across Sacramento County.
Emissions from on-road mobile
sources, which include passenger
vehicles, buses, and trucks, were
estimated using outputs from CARB’s
EMFAC2017 model.45 Emissions
inventories for aircraft, trains, boats, and
off-road vehicles and equipment used
for construction, farming, commercial,
industrial, and recreational activities
were included in the ‘‘Other Mobile’’
category.
The direct PM10 emissions for the
base year emissions inventory are
presented within Table 5 of this
document.
TABLE 5—SACRAMENTO COUNTY DIRECT PM10 2017 BASE YEAR EMISSIONS
[Tons per average winter day]
Source category
Subcategory
Stationary Point Sources ..................
Fuel Combustion ..............................
Waste Disposal ................................
Industrial Processes .........................
Residential Fuel Combustion ...........
Farming Operations .........................
Construction and Demolition ............
Paved Road Dust .............................
Unpaved Road Dust .........................
Managed Burning and Disposal .......
Cooking ............................................
Fires .................................................
Fugitive Windblown Dust .................
Asphalt Paving/Roofing ....................
...........................................................
Aircraft ..............................................
Trains ...............................................
Equipment (Off-Road/Farm) .............
Recreational Boat .............................
Commercial Harbor Craft .................
Off-road Recreational Vehicles ........
0.26
0.02
1.14
9.15
1.25
9.42
7.69
0.65
0.16
0.88
0.06
0.11
0.01
2.24
0.07
0.02
0.29
0.13
0.01
<0.01
0.24
0.02
1.18
8.97
1.16
9.57
8.25
0.62
0.17
0.94
0.07
0.11
0.01
2.08
0.08
0.02
0.20
0.09
0.01
<0.01
0.25
0.02
1.31
8.89
1.12
10.60
8.52
0.61
0.17
0.96
0.07
0.10
0.01
2.15
0.08
0.02
0.17
0.08
0.01
<0.01
0.24
0.02
1.35
8.83
1.06
11.29
9.15
0.59
0.16
1.00
0.07
0.10
0.01
2.22
0.08
0.02
0.15
0.07
0.01
<0.01
All Stationary, Areawide, and Mobile
Sources.
33.58
33.78
35.15
36.43
Areawide ...........................................
On-Road Motor Vehicles ..................
Other Mobile .....................................
Total ...........................................
2017
2024
2027
2033
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 3–1.
The direct NOX emissions for the base
year emissions inventory are presented
within Table 6 of this document.
TABLE 6—SACRAMENTO COUNTY NOX 2017 BASE YEAR EMISSIONS
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[Tons per average winter day]
Source category
Subcategory
Stationary Point Sources ..................
Fuel Combustion ..............................
Waste Disposal ................................
Industrial Processes .........................
Petroleum Processing and Marketing.
Residential Fuel Combustion ...........
Managed Burning and Disposal .......
Fires .................................................
...........................................................
Aircraft ..............................................
Areawide ...........................................
On-Road Motor Vehicles ..................
Other Mobile .....................................
45 EMFAC is short for EMission FACtor. The EPA
approved EMFAC2017 for SIP development and
transportation conformity purposes in California on
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2017
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2027
2033
1.93
0.07
0.24
<0.01
1.78
0.07
0.25
<0.01
1.80
0.08
0.27
<0.01
1.80
0.08
0.28
<0.01
3.83
0.06
0.01
21.45
1.75
3.75
0.06
0.01
10.66
1.98
3.76
0.06
0.01
9.33
2.08
3.81
0.05
0.01
7.46
2.30
August 15, 2019. 84 FR 41717. EMFAC2017 was the
most recently approved version of the EMFAC
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of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan.
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TABLE 6—SACRAMENTO COUNTY NOX 2017 BASE YEAR EMISSIONS—Continued
[Tons per average winter day]
Source category
Subcategory
Total ...........................................
2017
2024
2027
2033
Trains ...............................................
Equipment (Off-Road/Farm) .............
Recreational Boat .............................
Commercial Harbor Craft .................
Off-road Recreational Vehicles ........
0.85
5.00
0.39
0.25
0.01
0.99
3.42
0.36
0.23
0.01
1.02
2.97
0.35
0.22
0.01
1.05
2.69
0.34
0.19
0.01
All Stationary, Areawide, and Mobile
Sources.
35.84
23.57
21,96
20.08
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Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 3–2.
Based on the estimates for the year
2017 in Table 5, areawide sources
account for a majority (approximately
88 percent) of the total PM10 emissions
in the Sacramento County planning
area. Residential fuel combustion,
construction and demolition, and paved
road dust account for the majority of the
areawide emissions (approximately 89
percent). The future year emissions
estimates in the Plan predict an increase
in direct PM10 emissions within the
Sacramento County planning area over
the second ten-year planning period.
The main source of the overall predicted
increase of PM10 emissions is increased
emissions of areawide sources, with
increases from stationary source
emissions also acting as a minor
contributor to the overall trend (0.20
tpd). By 2033, total direct PM10
emissions are estimated to be
approximately 2.85 tpd (8.5 percent)
higher than in the 2017 base year. These
projected increases in PM10 emissions
are associated with increases in
industrial activity and vehicle miles
traveled (VMT) from expected
population growth in the county.
For precursor NOX emissions
estimates, the Plan predicts an overall
decrease of 15.8 tpd (44 percent)
between the base year of 2017 and 2033.
Reductions to the On-Road Motor
Vehicle subcategory, the most
significant contributor to total NOX
emissions, is the primary cause of this
trend. Implementation of federal, state,
and local regulations, including fleet
turnover, result in a 14.0 tpd reduction
in associated NOX emissions.
Based on our review of the Second 10Year Maintenance Plan, we find that the
emissions inventories in the Plan are
comprehensive in that they include
estimates of PM10 and its precursors
from all the relevant source categories,
which the Plan divides among
stationary, areawide, on-road motor
vehicles, and other mobile sources. The
EPA considers the selection of the 2017
base year inventory to be appropriate
given that it was the most recent
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emissions inventory associated with the
reporting schedule required under the
Air Emissions Reporting Requirements
rule at the time of Plan drafting and
because it represents attainment
conditions. Moreover, preparation of a
seasonal average daily inventory, as
opposed to a yearly or episodic
inventory, is also appropriate given that
elevated PM10 concentrations in
Sacramento County exhibit a clear
seasonal pattern, with ambient
concentrations peaking in the fall and
winter months. Additionally, we
consider the continued use of the CMB
analysis from the first maintenance plan
as a technical basis for the emissions
inventory to be appropriate as we have
found no evidence that it is invalid or
inaccurate. Based on our review of the
documentation provided with the Plan,
we are proposing to find that the 2017
emissions inventory for PM10 and NOX
is based on reasonable assumptions and
methodologies, and that the inventory is
comprehensive, current, accurate, and
consistent with applicable CAA
provisions and the Calcagni Memo.
B. Maintenance Demonstration
Section 175A(a) of the CAA requires
that the maintenance plan provide for
maintenance of the NAAQS for such air
pollutant in the area concerned for at
least 10 years after the redesignation. A
state may generally demonstrate
maintenance of the NAAQS by either
showing that future emissions of a
pollutant or its precursors will not
exceed the level of the attainment
inventory, or by conducting modeling
that shows that the future mix of
sources and emissions rates will not
cause a violation of the NAAQS.46
The District demonstrates continued
maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS in its
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan by
using a proportional rollback analysis to
show that the future PM10 source
concentrations will not cause a violation
of the 24-hour PM10 NAAQS. The
46 Calcagni
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District’s proportional rollback model
relies on CMB modeling performed in
1995.47 In proportional rollback, each
source category’s associated proportion
of the ambient PM10 contribution scales
with the emissions of the category, i.e.,
the source ambient contribution is
‘‘rolled back’’ according to source
emissions reductions. Thus, the Plan
aims to demonstrate continued
maintenance of the standard by showing
that the sum of the individual source
category contributions for future years
will not exceed the PM10 NAAQS as
those source category emissions change.
To determine the source category
concentration contributions for future
years, the District conducted
proportional rollback in two steps. First
the State adjusted the 1995 source
apportionment (percent contributions)
to yield an updated source
apportionment for the 2017 base year;
then the 2017 source concentrations
were projected to future years, including
2033. The ratio of the 2017 base year
and the 1995 emissions for each
category yields a scaling factor (‘‘2017
Emissions Projection Factor’’), to be
applied to the 1995 percentage. This
provides a growth-adjusted source
apportionment for 2017 PM10. This
scaling factor accounts for the various
changes in the PM10 source categories
that have occurred over the 1995–2017
period. For this purpose, the source
categories were broad and included
several individual categories with
chemically similar emissions; for
example, ‘‘wood burning’’ is the sum of
Residential Fuel Combustion, Fires, and
47 Motallebi, Nahzat. ‘‘Wintertime PM
2.5 and PM10
Source Apportionment at Sacramento California.’’
Air and Waste Management Association [1999].
CMB receptor monitor results from the 1991–1996
wintertime ambient 24-hour PM10 samples from the
Sacramento T Street monitor were used to
determine a CMB for the 1995 ambient PM10. The
CMB modeling used the chemical components of
ambient PM10 concentrations, such as fugitive dust,
carbonaceous materials from burning, nitrate, and
sulfate, and associated them with broad emissions
source categories having those chemical signatures.
This is a source apportionment, giving a percent
ambient contribution for each source category.
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Managed Burning and Disposal in the
California Emissions Projection
Analysis Model (CEPAM) 2019 state
emissions inventory system. The Plan
lists ammonium nitrate, ammonium
sulfate, motor vehicles, wood smoke,
fugitive dust PM10, and all leftover PM10
from unidentified sources as PM10
‘‘source categories,’’ identified in the
CMB. The growth-adjusted source
apportionment percentages for 2017
were then applied to the peak PM10
ambient measurement in 2017 to yield
the individual source category
concentration contributions for 2017. In
a similar manner, projection factors for
65345
future years were calculated from the
ratio of future emissions estimates and
2017 base year emissions. Those
projection ratios were then applied to
the 2017 peak measurement source
category concentrations to yield the
peak source category concentrations for
future years, 2024, 2027, and 2033.
TABLE 7—PREDICTED FUTURE MAINTENANCE YEAR CONCENTRATIONS BASED ON 2017 PEAK AMBIENT PM10
CONCENTRATION IN SACRAMENTO COUNTY
2017 Peak
conc.
(μg/m3)
PM10 CMB source category
2024 Peak
conc.
(μg/m3)
2027 Peak
conc.
(μg/m3)
2033 Peak
conc.
(μg/m3)
Ammonium Nitrate ...........................................................................................
Ammonium Sulfate ..........................................................................................
Motor Vehicles .................................................................................................
Wood Smoke ...................................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................................
Unidentified Other ............................................................................................
27.1
3.3
32.3
27.9
25.4
27.4
21.7
4.3
29.0
27.4
26.1
27.8
20.6
4.5
29.4
27.2
27.8
28.9
19.6
4.5
29.7
27.0
29.4
30.0
Total PM10—Background .........................................................................
Background ......................................................................................................
144.3
5.7
136.4
5.7
138.4
5.7
140.3
5.7
Total PM10 (using peak concentration) ....................................................
149
142
144
146
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, p. 5–5, Table 5–4.
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Table 7 of this document presents a
summary of the predicted peak ambient
PM10 concentrations for the future
maintenance years for the Second 10Year Maintenance Plan. The
proportional rollback model predicts a
decrease of secondary ammonium
nitrate PM10 due to the decrease in NOX
emissions.48 This decrease offset the
increases in other PM10 source
categories such as ammonium sulfate
and fugitive dust for the duration of the
second maintenance period. The
resulting projections for the future 24hour PM10 concentrations were
calculated to be 142 mg/m3 for 2024, 144
mg/m3 for 2027, and 146 mg/m3 for 2033,
all of which demonstrate continued
attainment of the PM10 NAAQS of 150
mg/m3. As discussed in Section 2.3.1 of
the Plan, the peak concentration in 2017
was suspected to be influenced by
natural events and may not represent
ambient conditions in Sacramento.49
48 In its analysis, the District applied a scaling
factor of 0.7 to reflect the change in ambient
ammonium nitrate due to the change in NOX
emissions. i.e., ammonium nitrate concentration
changed by 0.7 percent for every 1 percent change
in NOX emissions. This ratio was based on San
Joaquin Valley Air Pollution Control District
photochemical modeling results. The District cites
SJVAPCD, ‘‘2007 PM10 Maintenance Plan and
Request for Redesignation,’’ Appendix F. Modeling
Analysis, p.61.
49 The District performed additional proportional
rollback analysis using the second highest ambient
PM10 value recorded in 2017 (87 mg/m3), which
yielded predicted peak concentrations for 2024,
2027, 2033 that were substantially lower than those
yielded using the highest ambient PM10
concentration for 2017. However, as the future peak
values yielded from the peak 2017 concentration
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The District states that this is supported
by CARB flagging the data with an
informational flag, which indicated the
data may have been influenced by
wildfire.50
Based on our review, we propose to
find that the proportional rollback
analysis performed to demonstrate
continued attainment of the PM10
NAAQS for the years 2017 through 2033
is based on reasonable methods, growth
factors, and assumptions, and is based
on the most current and accurate
information available to CARB and
SMAQMD at the time of plan drafting
and inventory development. Given that
the projections of combined PM10
sources show continued attainment
through 2033, we are proposing to find
that the Second 10-Year Maintenance
Plan provides an adequate basis to
demonstrate maintenance of the PM10
NAAQS within the Sacramento County
planning area. Lastly, we propose to
find that by providing projected peak
concentrations through 2033, the Plan
demonstrates maintenance of the PM10
NAAQS for more than 10 years after the
expiration of the first 10-year
maintenance plan (i.e., 2023), in
accordance with section 175A(b) of the
CAA.
already demonstrated continued maintenance, the
District did not use this additional rollback analysis
to demonstrate continued maintenance of the PM10
NAAQS.
50 Additional discussion of evidence in support of
the impact of natural events on the peak 2017
ambient PM10 concentration is found within
Section 2.3.1 of the Plan.
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C. Monitoring Network Requirements
Following redesignation, the EPA
determines whether an area’s air quality
is maintaining compliance with the
PM10 NAAQS based upon complete,
quality-assured, and certified data
gathered at established state and local
air monitoring stations (SLAMS) in the
nonattainment area and entered in the
EPA AQS database.51 SLAMS monitors
produce data to be compared to the
NAAQS, using an approved federal
reference method (FRM), federal
equivalent method (FEM), or an
approved regional method. Data from air
monitors operated by state, local, or
tribal agencies in compliance with EPA
monitoring requirements must be
submitted to AQS. These monitoring
agencies certify annually that these data
are accurate to the best of their
knowledge. Accordingly, the EPA relies
primarily on data in AQS when
determining the attainment status of an
area.52 All valid data are reviewed to
determine the area’s air quality status in
accordance with 40 CFR part 50,
Appendix K.
SMAQMD and CARB work together to
monitor ambient air quality in
Sacramento County and to submit
annual monitoring network plans to the
EPA. The annual monitoring network
51 For PM , a ‘‘complete’’ set of data include a
10
minimum of 75 percent of the scheduled PM10
samples per quarter. See 40 CFR, part 50, appendix
K, section 2.3(a).
52 40 CFR 50.6; 40 CFR part 50, Appendix J; 40
CFR part 53; and 40 CFR part 58, Appendices A,
C, D, and E.
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plans submitted to the EPA describe the
air monitoring network operated by the
District and CARB and its status, as
required under 40 CFR 58.10. Once
received, the EPA reviews these annual
monitoring network plans for
compliance with the applicable
reporting requirements in 40 CFR part
58. The EPA examined the SacramentoRoseville-Folsom Metropolitan
Statistical Area (MSA), in which
Sacramento County is located, to
determine if the MSA currently meets
the requirements for the minimum
number of SLAMS for PM10 based on
the MSA population and air quality as
described in 40 CFR 58, Appendix D.
EPA regulations require six to ten PM10
monitors in an MSA with the
population and air quality of the
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom MSA. At
the time the District drafted the Plan
and through July 31, 2022, there were
eight monitoring sites in the MSA, four
of which were in Sacramento County. In
2022, the North Highlands monitoring
station in Sacramento County, which
produced air pollution data through
2021 and part of 2022, was closed.53
Because we are evaluating the
continued maintenance of the area using
design values through 2022, we include
discussion of the four monitoring sites.
However, our evaluation of the
adequacy of the monitoring network is
based on the number of operational
monitoring sites at the time of this
rulemaking. With the temporary
shutdown of the North Highlands
monitoring site, the SacramentoRoseville-Folsom MSA is operating a
total of seven monitors; thus, the MSA
meets the minimum monitoring
requirements.
During the 2017–2019 design value
period covered by the Plan, SMAQMD
operated SLAMS monitors at three sites
within Sacramento County (North
Highlands, Del Paso Manor, and
Sacramento Branch Center), and CARB
operated a SLAMS monitor at one site
(Sacramento T Street). Except for the
North Highlands monitor, these
monitors continue to operate. The Del
Paso Manor monitoring site contains
two collocated FRM monitors, while the
53 On August 1, 2022, the North Highlands
monitoring site (AQS ID: 06–067–0002) was
dismantled at the request of the owner of the
property, following a withdrawal of permission for
the continued placement of the monitor on the
property. Due to the deteriorating condition of the
station, immediate relocation was deemed not
feasible, and the District discontinued the monitor.
SMAQMD will work with the EPA to identify a
relocation site. See email dated July 28, 2022, from
Janice Lam Snyder (SMAQMD) to Gwen Yoshimura
(Air Quality Analysis Office, EPA Region IX),
Subject: ‘‘Notification of Shut down of North
Highlands Station due to property owner request.’’
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Sacramento Branch site has, and the
North Highlands site had, one FRM
monitor each. The Sacramento T Street
monitoring site has a single FEM
monitor. The schedule for PM10 sample
collection is one in six days for the FRM
filter-based high-volume samplers (Del
Paso Manor, Sacramento Branch, and
North Highlands monitoring site), while
the FEM monitor operates on a daily 24hour schedule (Sacramento T Street
monitoring site).
SMAQMD and CARB jointly commit
to continuing to operate a regulatory
monitoring network in accordance with
40 CFR part 58 and the California SIP,
to verify the attainment status of the
area. The Plan contains provisions for
the continued operation of air quality
monitors that will provide such
verification. These provisions include
maintaining the operational procedures
of data collection, routine calibrations,
pre-run and post-run test procedures,
and routine service checks. Continued
adherence to the annual network plan
and annual reviews of the entire air
quality monitoring network will be
performed to determine if the network
is effectively meeting the objectives of
the monitoring program. Furthermore,
SMAQMD documents any modifications
of its monitoring network in its annual
network plan that is submitted and
reviewed annually by the EPA.54
Therefore, the EPA proposes to
determine that the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan contains adequate
provisions for continued operation of an
air quality monitoring network and a
commitment to annually verify
continued attainment of the PM10
NAAQS for Sacramento County.
D. Verification of Continued Attainment
Once an area has been redesignated,
the state should continue to operate an
appropriate air quality monitoring
network, in accordance with 40 CFR
part 58, to verify the continued
attainment status of the area.55 Data
collected by the monitoring network
during this time are also needed to
implement the contingency provisions
of the maintenance plan.
As discussed in Section IV.C of this
document, SMAQMD monitors ambient
concentrations of PM10 in the
Sacramento County planning area at
three separate monitoring stations. In
Section 5.5 of the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan, the District commits
to continue to operate a PM10 ambient
monitoring network to track
maintenance of the PM10 standard in
54 SMAQMD 2022 Annual Network Plan, August
1, 2022.
55 Calcagni Memo, p. 11.
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accordance with 40 CFR part 58. The
EPA also recommends that the state
verify continued attainment through
methods supplementary to the ambient
air monitoring program, e.g., through
periodic review of the factors used in
the development of the attainment
inventory to track any significant
change.56 In the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan, SMAQMD commits
to perform periodic reviews of the air
monitoring data and assumptions used
to develop the emissions inventory as
part of its effort to verify that the County
will continue to meet the 24-hour PM10
NAAQS. We are therefore proposing to
determine that the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan contains adequate
provisions for continued ambient PM10
monitoring and for periodic review of
emissions inventory development
assumptions to ensure the continued
attainment through the maintenance
period.
E. Contingency Provisions
Section 175A(d) of the CAA requires
that maintenance plans include
contingency provisions, as the EPA
deems necessary, to promptly correct
any violations of the NAAQS that occur
after the redesignation of the area. Such
provisions must include a requirement
that the state will implement all
measures with respect to the control of
the relevant air pollutants that were
contained in the SIP for the area before
redesignation of the area as an
attainment area. These contingency
provisions are distinguished from
contingency measures required for
nonattainment areas under CAA section
172(c)(9), in that they are not required
to be fully adopted measures that take
effect without further action by the
state. However, the contingency
provisions of a maintenance plan are an
enforceable part of the SIP and should
ensure that contingency measures are
adopted expeditiously once they are
triggered. The maintenance plan should
clearly identify the measures to be
adopted, include a schedule and
procedure for adoption and
implementation of the measures, and
contain a specific timeline for action by
the state. In addition, the state should
identify the specific indicators or
triggers that will be used to determine
when the contingency measures need to
be implemented.
The District has adopted a
contingency plan to address possible
future PM10 air quality problems in the
Sacramento County planning area. The
contingency plan is included in Section
6 of the Plan. As noted by the District
56 Id.
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in the Second 10-Year Maintenance
Plan, contingency measures are to be
triggered to promptly correct any
violation of the standard that occurs
during the maintenance period. In this
case, these contingency measures will
be triggered when the number of
monitored exceedances, averaged over
three years, is greater than 1.05.
However, the contingency plan also
includes a detailed screening process
that allows the District and CARB,
subject to EPA review and agreement, to
exclude exceedances from the trigger
calculation if the agencies collectively
determine that information developed
by the District is sufficient to support
exclusion. The purpose of the screening
process is to differentiate between
exceedances that are not within the
District’s or State’s control (i.e.,
exceedances that occur despite the
implementation of reasonable
measures), and exceedances that are
within the District’s or State’s control
and therefore should be included in the
trigger calculation. Should the District
or State exclude an exceedance from the
contingency trigger calculation using
this process, it would not constitute the
EPA’s concurrence that the exceedance
was caused by an exceptional event.
The exceedance would therefore
continue to be included in design value
calculations for the planning area,
unless CARB, following opportunity for
public comment, submits a request for
the EPA to concur on the exceedance as
an exceptional event pursuant to 40 CFR
50.14, and the EPA reviews the
submittal and formally concurs.
Under the contingency trigger
screening process described in the Plan,
the District will analyze any
exceedance(s) within the District’s or
State’s control that leads to a violation
of the NAAQS on a quarterly basis, in
order to determine the possible causes
and take appropriate action.57 The
District will evaluate future emissions
reductions from already-adopted rules
to determine if those reductions would
be sufficient to correct any
exceedance(s). These rules could
include previously-adopted CARB or
District PM10 or NOX measures used to
address ozone or PM10 SIP
requirements. Should the additional
reductions resulting from these
57 While not explicitly stated within the Plan, the
District later confirmed that analysis of PM10
monitoring data for any violation that would trigger
the District’s contingency plan or the exceptional
event evaluation process would occur on a
quarterly basis. See email dated June 12, 2023 from
Michael Dorantes (EPA) to Janice Lam Snyder
(SMAQMD). Subject: ‘‘Sacramento County 2nd
PM10 Maintenance Plan; Inquiry regarding the
Contingency Action Trigger.’’
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measures be insufficient to correct the
exceedance(s), the District has
committed to consider the
implementation of new rules and/or
modifications to existing rules that
would bring the area back into
maintenance.58 The District will
complete its analysis of the
exceedance(s) that caused the violation
and evaluate the most appropriate
control measures to adopt or implement
within 6 months of identifying the
violation. This is followed by a 12month period, in which the District will
adopt and implement the control
measures identified from this process to
achieve the necessary reductions. In
total, the District will act to implement
the contingency measures within 18
months of a violation of the PM10
NAAQS. Based on our review of the
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, we
propose to find that the contingency
provisions of the Plan clearly identify
potential contingency measures, contain
a triggering mechanism to determine
when contingency measures are needed,
contain a description of the process of
recommending and implementing
contingency measures, and contain
specific and appropriate timelines for
action. We also propose to find that the
contingency trigger screening process,
including the associated EPA review, is
reasonably designed to distinguish
between exceedances that were not
within the District or State control, and
exceedances that were within the
District or State control and for which
new or tightened control measures
might be effective. Thus, we propose to
conclude that the contingency plan in
the Plan is adequate to ensure correction
of any violation of the PM10 NAAQS
that occurs after redesignation, as
required by section 175A(d) of the CAA.
F. Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for
Transportation Conformity
Section 176(c) of the CAA requires
federal actions in nonattainment and
maintenance areas to conform to the
SIP’s goals of eliminating or reducing
the severity and number of violations of
the NAAQS and achieving expeditious
attainment of the standards. Conformity
to the SIP’s goals means that such
actions will not: (1) cause or contribute
to violations of the NAAQS, (2) worsen
the severity of an existing violation, or
(3) delay timely attainment of any
NAAQS or any interim milestone.
Actions involving Federal Highway
Administration (FHWA) or Federal
Transit Administration (FTA) funding
58 Appendix C of the Plan compiles possible
control measures to reduce windblown dust and
wood combustion.
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65347
or approval are subject to the EPA’s
transportation conformity rule codified
at 40 CFR part 93, subpart A. Under this
rule, metropolitan planning
organizations (MPOs) in nonattainment
and maintenance areas coordinate with
state and local air quality and
transportation agencies, the EPA,
FHWA, and FTA to demonstrate that an
area’s regional transportation plans and
transportation improvement programs
conform to the applicable SIP. This
demonstration is typically done by
showing that estimated emissions from
existing and planned highway and
transit systems are less than or equal to
the budgets contained in submitted or
approved control strategy SIPs and
maintenance plans.59
These control strategy SIPs and
maintenance plans typically set budgets
for criteria pollutants and/or their
precursors to address pollution from onroad vehicles such as cars and trucks.
Budgets are generally established for
specific years for those specific
pollutants or precursors. PM10
maintenance plan submittals must
identify budgets for transportation
related PM10 emissions for the last year
of the maintenance period.60
For budgets in a maintenance plan to
be approvable, they must meet, at a
minimum, the EPA’s adequacy
criteria.61 To meet these requirements,
the budgets must be consistent, when
considered with emissions from all
other sources, with maintenance of the
NAAQS and reflect all the motor vehicle
control measures relied upon for the
maintenance demonstration.
The EPA also determines the
adequacy of budgets in certain
submitted SIPs. The adequacy process is
separate from the approval process. The
EPA’s process for determining adequacy
of a budget consists of three basic steps:
59 Control strategy SIPs refer to reasonable further
progress and attainment demonstration SIPs. 40
CFR 93.101.
60 Transportation-related emissions of VOC and
NOX must also be specified in PM10 maintenance
plans if the EPA or the state finds that
transportation-related emissions of one or both of
these precursors within the nonattainment area are
a significant contributor to the PM10 nonattainment
problem and has so notified the MPO and the U.S.
Department of Transportation (DOT), or the
applicable SIP (or SIP revision submission)
establishes an approved (or adequate) budget for
such emissions as part of the reasonable further
progress, attainment, or maintenance strategy. 40
CFR 93.102(b)(2)(iii). An analysis of precursors to
PM10 emissions, performed in the first maintenance
plan, indicates that while NOX emissions
contributed significantly to wintertime ambient
PM10 concentration, VOCs did not. (See Section 7.4
of the Plan.) Further, 40 CFR 93.118(b)(2)(i) requires
that motor vehicle emissions budgets must be
established, at a minimum, for the last year of the
maintenance plan.
61 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4).
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(1) notifying the public of a SIP
submittal, (2) providing the public the
opportunity to comment on the budget
during a public comment period, and (3)
making a finding of adequacy or
inadequacy. The process for
determining the adequacy of a
submitted budget is codified at 40 CFR
93.118(f). The EPA can notify the public
by either posting an announcement that
the EPA has received SIP budgets on the
EPA’s adequacy website,62 or via a
Federal Register notice of proposed
rulemaking when the EPA reviews the
adequacy of a maintenance plan budget
simultaneously with its review and
action on the SIP submittal itself.63
The Second 10-Year Maintenance
Plan includes budgets for direct PM10
and NOX, on an average winter day, for
the first year of the maintenance plan
(2024), an interim year (2027), and the
last year (2033) of the maintenance plan.
The applicable source categories within
the budget for PM10 include direct
exhaust (includes tire and brake wear),
transportation related (road)
construction emissions, re-entrained
paved and unpaved road dust. NOX
budgets are based on combustion
activity from on-road motor vehicles. In
developing the budgets, the District also
rounded up the motor vehicle emissions
estimates to the nearest tenth of a ton
and included a safety margin of 0.5 tpd
of NOX to the 2024 NOX budgets.64 The
conformity budgets for these categories
and years are provided in Table 8 of this
document.
TABLE 8—TRANSPORTATION CONFORMITY BUDGETS FOR THE SACRAMENTO COUNTY PM10 AREA
[PM10 tons per average winter day]
2024
2027
2033
Source category
PM10
NOX
Vehicular Exhaust a (includes tire and
break wear for PM10) ...........................
Re-Entrained Paved Road Dust b (Total)
Re-Entrained Unpaved Road Dust (City
and Country Roads) .............................
Road Construction Dust ...........................
Safety Margin ...........................................
Total c ................................................
Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets d .........
NOX
PM10
NOX
PM10
10.68
N/A
2.09
8.25
9.57
N/A
2.17
8.52
8.30
N/A
2.27
9.15
N/A
N/A
0.5
0.62
3.65
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.61
4.04
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0.59
4.31
N/A
11.18
11.2
14.62
14.7
9.57
9.6
15.34
15.4
8.30
8.4
16.32
16.4
a This
reflects the adjustment factor for SAFE Vehicle Rule using EMFAC 2017.
road dust was not measured directly and is based on CARB’s Miscellaneous Process Methodology, which computed paved road dust
using the emission factor equation provided by EPA’s AP–42: Compilation of Air Emissions Factors document.65
c Values from California Emissions Projection Analysis Model (CEPAM) 2019: External Adjustment Reporting Tool Version 1.02 may not add
up due to rounding.
d This reflects the adjustment factor for SAFE Vehicle Rule using EMFAC 2017.
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 7–1, extracted from CEPAM 2019: External Adjustments Reporting Tool Version 1.02 and
EMFAC2017.
b Paved
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The District, the Sacramento County
MPO, and CARB jointly developed the
budgets, taking into consideration the
expected population-related growth
trends for the county since the first
maintenance plan. Specifically,
Sacramento Council of Governments
(SACOG), the MPO for the six county
Sacramento region,66 used both the
Sacramento Activity-Based Simulation
Model (SACSIM) program and data
contained within the 2020 Metropolitan
Transportation Plan/Sustainable
Communities Strategy (‘‘2020 MTP/
SCS’’) to develop a travel demand
model to forecast VMT for future years
within the area.67 Transportation
activity data from the 2020 MTP/SCS
and emissions modeling generated by
CARB’s EMFAC 2017 model were used
to calculate the budgets. CARB further
62 40
CFR 93.118(e)(4).
CFR 93.118(f)(2).
64 The District has determined, based on
proportional rollback analysis, that the addition of
0.5 tpd of NOX in 2024 will increase the future
PM10 concentrations by less than 0.3 mg/m3, which
satisfies the requirements outlined in 40 CFR
93.124(a).
65 AP–42 is the EPA’s Compilation of Air
Pollutant Emission Factors. It has been published
63 40
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adjusted the budgets in the Plan to
account for the Safer Affordable FuelEfficient Vehicle Rule Part 1.68
In contrast to PM2.5, where road dust
applies in transportation conformity
only if found to be significant or if
budgets include it, for PM10 road dust is
always considered.69 The EPA requires
road dust emissions to be included in
all transportation conformity analyses of
direct PM10 emissions because fugitive
dust from roadways and other sources
dominate PM10 on-road emissions
inventories. The budgets in the Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan, therefore,
include paved and unpaved road
emissions.
Regional PM10 emissions analyses for
transportation conformity
determinations in PM10 nonattainment
and maintenance areas must also
account for highway and transit project
construction-related fugitive PM10
emissions if the control strategy or
maintenance plan identifies such
emissions as a contributor to the air
quality problem.70 Emissions estimates
developed for the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan show that fugitive
PM10 emissions from highway and
transit project construction are a
significant portion of total regional PM10
emissions for the Sacramento County
planning area. Consequently, the
budgets in the Plan reflect highway and
transit project construction-related
fugitive dust.
We evaluated the budgets against our
adequacy criteria in 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4)
and (5) as part of our review of the
budget’s approvability. While adequacy
and approval are two separate actions,
since 1972 as the primary source of the EPA’s
emission factor information. It contains emission
factors and process information for more than 200
air pollution source categories. A source category is
a specific industry sector or group of similar
emitting sources. The emission factors have been
developed and compiled from source test data,
material balance studies, and engineering estimates.
66 The six counties are El Dorado, Placer,
Sacramento, Sutter, Yolo, and Yuba counties.
67 Information on SACSIM is located at: https://
www.sacog.org/modelingandthe2020MTP/SCS is
located at: https://www.sacog.org/2020metropolitan-transportation-plansustainablecommunities-strategy-update.
68 85 FR 24174 (June 29, 2020).
69 See 40 CFR 93.102(b)(3).
70 40 CFR 93.122(e).
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reviewing the budgets in terms of the
adequacy criteria informs the EPA’s
decision to propose to approve the
budgets. We have completed our
detailed review of the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan for Sacramento
County and are proposing herein to
approve the Plan including the
demonstration of maintenance of the
PM10 NAAQS in the area through the
year 2033. We have also reviewed the
budgets in the Plan and found that they
are consistent with the maintenance
demonstration for which we are
proposing approval, are clearly
identified and precisely quantified, are
based on control measures that have
already been adopted and implemented,
and meet all other applicable statutory
and regulatory requirements, including
the adequacy criteria in 40 CFR
93.118(e)(4) and (5).71 For these reasons,
the EPA proposes to approve the 2024,
2027, and 2033 budgets in the Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan.
In addition, in this document the EPA
is announcing the beginning of the
adequacy process for these budgets.
Under the transportation conformity
regulation, the EPA can begin this
process with our proposed action on the
second maintenance plan.72 The public
has 30 days to comment on the
adequacy of the budgets, per the
transportation conformity rule at 40 CFR
93.118(f)(2)(i) and (ii). Any comments
on the adequacy of the budgets should
be submitted to the docket for this
proposed rulemaking.
When we finalize our proposed
approval of the budgets, they must be
used by SACOG (i.e., the MPO for this
area) for transportation conformity
determinations for the Sacramento
County planning area effective upon the
publication date of our finalized
approval.73
V. Proposed Action and Request for
Public Comment
Under CAA section 110(k)(3), and for
the reasons set forth in this document,
the EPA is proposing to approve the
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan
submitted by CARB by letter dated
October 21, 2021, as a revision to the
California SIP. We are proposing to
approve the maintenance demonstration
and contingency provisions as meeting
all applicable requirements for
maintenance plans and related
71 Technical Support Document for the Adequacy
Review of the Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets
within the Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance Plan
for Sacramento County can be found within the
docket for this rulemaking.
72 See the transportation conformity regulation at
40 CFR 93.119(f).
73 40 CFR 93.118(f)(2)(iii).
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contingency provisions in CAA section
175A, and the motor vehicle emissions
budgets for 2024, 2027, and 2033
(shown in Table 8) for transportation
conformity purposes, as we propose to
find they meet all applicable criteria for
such budgets including the adequacy
criteria under 40 CFR 93.118(e).
We are soliciting comments on these
proposed actions, including our
concurrence on the exceptional events
demonstration for the 2018 exceedances
in Sacramento County as part of the
technical basis for the approval of the
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, as
well as the adequacy of the motor
vehicle emissions budgets. We will
accept comments from the public for 30
days following publication of this
proposal in the Federal Register and
will consider any relevant comments
before taking final action.
VI. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the Clean Air Act, the
Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the
provisions of the Act and applicable
federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k);
40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in reviewing SIP
submissions, the EPA’s role is to
approve state choices, provided that
they meet the criteria of the Clean Air
Act. Accordingly, this proposed action
merely approves state law as meeting
federal requirements and does not
impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law. For that
reason, this proposed action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 14094 (88 FR
21879April 11, 2023);
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
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65349
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001); and
• Is not subject to requirements of
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the Clean Air Act.
In addition, the SIP is not approved
to apply on any Indian reservation land
or in any other area where the EPA or
an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, this rulemaking does
not have tribal implications and will not
impose substantial direct costs on tribal
governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
Executive Order 12898 (Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
Feb. 16, 1994) directs Federal agencies
to identify and address
‘‘disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects’’
of their actions on minority populations
and low-income populations to the
greatest extent practicable and
permitted by law. The EPA defines
environmental justice (EJ) as ‘‘the fair
treatment and meaningful involvement
of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income with respect
to the development, implementation,
and enforcement of environmental laws,
regulations, and policies.’’ The EPA
further defines the term fair treatment to
mean that ‘‘no group of people should
bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks,
including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and
policies.’’
The State did not evaluate
environmental justice considerations as
part of its SIP submittal; the CAA and
applicable implementing regulations
neither prohibit nor require such an
evaluation. The EPA did not perform an
EJ analysis and did not consider EJ in
this action. If finalized, this action is
expected to have a neutral to positive
impact on the air quality of the affected
area. Consideration of EJ is not required
as part of this action, and there is no
information in the record inconsistent
with the stated goal of E.O. 12898 of
achieving environmental justice for
people of color, low-income
populations, and Indigenous peoples.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
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65350
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 183 / Friday, September 22, 2023 / Proposed Rules
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Particulate
matter, Sulfur dioxide, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Volatile
organic compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 18, 2023.
Martha Guzman Aceves,
Regional Administrator, Region IX.
[FR Doc. 2023–20555 Filed 9–21–23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
FEDERAL PERMITTING
IMPROVEMENT STEERING COUNCIL
40 CFR Part 1900
[Docket Number 2023–001]
RIN 3121–AA04
Revising Scope of the Mining Sector of
Projects That Are Eligible for Coverage
Under Title 41 of the Fixing America’s
Surface Transportation Act
Federal Permitting
Improvement Steering Council.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Federal Permitting
Improvement Steering Council
(Permitting Council) proposes to amend
its regulations to revise the scope of
‘‘mining’’ as a sector with infrastructure
projects eligible for coverage under Title
41 of the Fixing America’s Surface
Transportation Act (FAST–41). The
Permitting Council added ‘‘mining’’ as a
FAST–41 sector in January 2021. This
proposed rule would: (1) revise the
FAST–41 ‘‘mining’’ sector to apply
solely to critical minerals mining
projects; and (2) expand the scope of the
sector to include infrastructure
constructed to support critical minerals
supply chain activities, including
critical minerals beneficiation,
processing, and recycling. The proposed
modification will help ensure that
qualified critical minerals supply chain
projects beyond critical minerals mining
can obtain FAST–41 coverage. FAST–41
was enacted to improve the timeliness,
predictability, transparency, and
accountability of the Federal
environmental review and authorization
processes for covered infrastructure
projects. FAST–41 coverage does not
predetermine or affect the outcome of
any Federal decision-making process
with respect to a covered project, or
modify any required environmental
review or public or tribal consultation
process.
DATES: Please send your comments on
this proposal to the Permitting Council
Office of the Executive Director on or
before October 23, 2023.
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SUMMARY:
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You may send comments,
identified by Permitting Council Docket
Number 2023–001 or RIN 3121–AA04,
by any of the following methods:
• Federal eRulemaking Portal:
https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for sending comments.
• Mail: Federal Permitting
Improvement Steering Council, Office of
the Executive Director, 1800 M St. NW,
Suite 6006, Washington, DC 20036,
Attention: RIN 3121–AA04.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: John
G. Cossa, General Counsel, Federal
Permitting Improvement Steering
Council, 1800 M St. NW, Suite 6006,
Washington, DC 20036, john.cossa@
fpisc.gov, or by telephone at 202–255–
6936.
Persons who use a
telecommunications device for the deaf
may call the Federal Information Relay
Service (FIRS) at 1–800–877–8339 to
contact this individual during normal
business hours or to leave a message at
other times. FIRS is available 24 hours
a day, 7 days a week. You will receive
a reply to a message during normal
business hours.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
ADDRESSES:
I. FAST–41 and the Permitting Council
Established in 2015 by Title 41 of the
Fixing America’s Surface Transportation
Act (FAST–41), 42 U.S.C. 4370m et seq.,
the Permitting Council is a unique
Federal agency charged with improving
the transparency and predictability of
the Federal environmental review and
authorization process for certain
infrastructure projects. The Permitting
Council is comprised of the Permitting
Council Executive Director, who serves
as the Council Chair; 13 Federal agency
Council members (including deputy
secretary-level designees of the
Secretaries of Agriculture, Army,
Commerce, Interior, Energy,
Transportation, Defense, Homeland
Security, and Housing and Urban
Development, the Administrator of the
Environmental Protection Agency, and
the Chairs of the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission, Nuclear
Regulatory Commission, and the
Advisory Council on Historic
Preservation); and the Chair of the
Council on Environmental Quality and
the Director of the Office of
Management and Budget. 42 U.S.C.
4370m–1(a) & (b).
The Permitting Council coordinates
Federal environmental reviews 1 and
1 42 U.S.C. 4370m(11) (defining ‘‘environmental
review’’ as ‘‘the agency procedures and processes
for applying a categorical exclusion or for preparing
an environmental assessment, an environmental
impact statement, or other document required
under [the National Environmental Policy Act]’’).
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authorizations 2 for projects that seek
and qualify for FAST–41 coverage.
FAST–41 covered projects are entitled
to comprehensive permitting timetables
and transparent, collaborative
management of those timetables on the
Federal Permitting Dashboard in
compliance with FAST–41 procedural
requirements. 42 U.S.C. 4370m–2(c) &
(d). Sponsors of FAST–41 covered
projects also benefit from the direct
engagement of the Permitting Council
Executive Director and the Permitting
Council members in timely
identification and resolution of
permitting issues that affect covered
projects’ permitting timetables. The
Permitting Council Executive Director
additionally may transfer funds from the
Environmental Review and
Improvement Fund (ERIF) to Federal
agencies and state, local, and tribal
governments to make the environmental
review and authorization process for
FAST–41 covered projects more timely
and efficient. 42 U.S.C. 4370m–8(d)(3).
II. FAST–41 Infrastructure Sectors and
Covered Project Criteria
FAST–41 provides that activities
located in the United States that require
authorization or environmental review
by a Federal agency involving
construction of infrastructure that are in
the following sectors may be eligible for
FAST–41 coverage: (1) renewable
energy production; (2) conventional
energy production; (3) electricity
transmission; (4) surface transportation;
(5) aviation; (6) ports and waterways; (7)
water resource projects; (8) broadband;
(9) pipelines; (10) manufacturing; (11)
semiconductors; (12) artificial
intelligence and machine learning; (13)
high-performance computing and
advanced computer hardware and
software; (14) quantum information
science and technology; (15) data
storage and data management; (16)
cybersecurity; (17) carbon capture; and
(18) energy storage. 42 U.S.C.
4370m(6)(A). FAST–41 authorizes the
Permitting Council to designate
additional sectors by majority vote of
the Permitting Council members. Id. On
January 4, 2021, a majority of the
Permitting Council voted to designate
‘‘mining’’ as a FAST–41 sector, and on
2 42 U.S.C. 4370m(3) (defining ‘‘authorization’’ as
‘‘any license, permit, approval, finding,
determination, or other administrative decision
issued by an agency and any interagency
consultation that is required or authorized under
Federal law in order to site, construct, reconstruct,
or commence operations of a covered project
administered by a Federal agency or, in the case of
a State that chooses to participate in the
environmental review and authorization process in
accordance with [42 U.S.C.] 4370m–2(c)(3)(A)
. . . , a State agency’’).
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 88, Number 183 (Friday, September 22, 2023)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 65336-65350]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2023-20555]
=======================================================================
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R09-OAR-2023-0267; FRL-10958-01-R9]
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan for the 24-Hour PM10 Standards;
Sacramento County Planning Area, California
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve the ``Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance Plan for
Sacramento County'' (``Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan'' or ``Plan'')
as a revision to the state implementation plan (SIP) for the State of
California (``State''). The Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan includes,
among other elements, a base year emissions inventory, a maintenance
demonstration, contingency provisions, and motor vehicle emissions
budgets for use in transportation conformity determinations, to ensure
the continued maintenance of the national ambient air quality standards
(NAAQS) for particulate matter of 10 microns or less (PM10).
With this proposed rulemaking, the EPA is beginning the adequacy
process for the 2024, 2027, and 2033 motor vehicle emissions budgets.
Additionally, as part of the technical basis for this approval, the EPA
is taking comment on our August 1, 2022 concurrence on the wildfire
exceptional events demonstration submitted by the California Air
Resources Board (CARB) on April 26, 2021.
DATES: Written comments must arrive on or before October 23, 2023.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R09-
OAR-2023-0267 at https://www.regulations.gov. For comments submitted at
Regulations.gov, follow the online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from
Regulations.gov. The EPA may publish any comment received to its public
docket. Do not submit electronically any information you consider to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio,
video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written
comment is considered the official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to make. The EPA will generally not
consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary
submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For
additional submission methods, please contact the person identified in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the full EPA public
comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and
general guidance on making effect comments, please visit
[[Page 65337]]
https://www.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets. If you need
assistance in a language other than English or if you are a person with
a disability who needs a reasonable accommodation at no cost to you,
please contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Michael Dorantes, Geographic
Strategies and Modeling Section (AIR-2-2), EPA Region IX, (415) 972-
3934, [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document, ``we,'' ``us,''
and ``our'' refer to the EPA.
Table of Contents
I. Background
A. The PM10 National Ambient Air Quality Standards
B. The Sacramento County Planning Area Nonattainment Designation
and First PM10 Maintenance Plan
II. Air Quality in the Sacramento County Planning Area
A. Exceedances in the Sacramento County Planning Area
B. Exceptional Events Demonstration for the 2018 Exceedances in
the Sacramento County Planning Area
C. Exceedances Occuring After the 2019 Design Value Period
III. The Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan Submittal and Procedural
Requirements
IV. Evaluation of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan
A. Emissions Inventory
B. Maintenance Demonstration
C. Monitoring Network Requirements
D. Verification of Continued Attainment
E. Contingency Provisions
F. Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for Transportation Conformity
V. Proposed Action and Request for Public Comment
VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. Background
A. The PM10 National Ambient Air Quality Standards
Under section 109 of the Clean Air Act (CAA), the EPA promulgates
NAAQS for pervasive air pollutants, such as particulate matter, and
conducts periodic review of these standards to determine whether they
should be revised or whether new standards should be established. In
1987, the EPA established two PM10 NAAQS: annual standards
of 50 micrograms per cubic meter ([mu]g/m\3\) and 24-hour standards of
150 [mu]g/m\3\.\1\ Upon further review, the annual PM10
standards were subsequently revoked effective December 18, 2006, as the
available evidence did not suggest an association between long-term
exposure to coarse particles at ambient levels and detrimental health
effects.\2\ However, the EPA announced that it was retaining the 24-
hour PM10 NAAQS at 150 micrograms per cubic meter ([micro]g/
m\3\) to provide continued protection against the effects associated
with short-term exposure to coarse particles.\3\ In this document,
``PM10 NAAQS'' or the singular ``PM10 standard''
will henceforth refer to both the primary and secondary 24-hour
PM10 NAAQS, as they are the same.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ 52 FR 24634 (July 1, 1987). The EPA established both primary
and secondary standards for the annual NAAQS and the 24-hour NAAQS.
Primary standards provide public health protection, including
protecting the health of ``sensitive'' populations such as
asthmatics, children, and the elderly. Secondary standards provide
public welfare protection, including protection against decreased
visibility and damage to animals, crops, vegetation, and buildings.
The primary and secondary standards were the set at the same level
for the annual PM10 NAAQS (i.e., at 50 [mu]g/m\3\) and
for the 24-hour NAAQS (i.e., at 150 [mu]g/m\3\).
\2\ 71 FR 61144 (October 17, 2006).
\3\ 78 FR 3086 (January 15, 2013).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
B. The Sacramento County Planning Area Nonattainment Designation and
First PM10 Maintenance Plan
Under section 107 of the CAA, the EPA is required to designate all
areas of the country as attainment, nonattainment, or unclassifiable
for each of the NAAQS. Under the CAA Amendments of 1990, the Sacramento
County planning area was initially designated as unclassifiable for the
PM10 NAAQS by operation of law. The EPA then redesignated
and classified the area as a ``Moderate'' nonattainment area on January
20, 1994, due to PM10 NAAQS violations recorded at two
PM10 monitors within the Sacramento County planning area
during 1989 and 1990.\4\ This action established an attainment deadline
of December 31, 2000.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ The nonattainment area for PM10 was set as the
same boundaries as Sacramento County, 58 FR 67334 (December 21,
1993).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
On February 15, 2002, the EPA determined that the Sacramento County
nonattainment area had attained the PM10 NAAQS by the
attainment date.\5\ The determination was based on complete, quality-
assured, and certified ambient air monitoring data from 1998 to 2000.
The 24-hour standard is attained when the recorded number of days with
levels above 150 [micro]g/m\3\ (averaged over a 3-year period) is less
than or equal to one.\6\ The recorded number of exceedances averaged
over a three-year period at any given monitor is known as the
PM10 design value, and the highest design value recorded
within the nonattainment area is used as the area's PM10
design value for the purposes of determining attainment.\7\
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\5\ 67 FR 7082 (February 15, 2002).
\6\ An exceedance is defined as a daily value that is above the
level of the 24-hour standard (i.e., 150 [micro]g/m\3\) after
rounding to the nearest 10 [micro]g/m\3\ (i.e., values ending in
five or greater are to be rounded up.) Thus, a recorded value of 154
[micro]g/m\3\ would not be an exceedance as it would be rounded to
150 [micro]g/m\3\. A recorded value of 155 [micro]g/m\3\ would be an
exceedance because it would be rounded to 160 [micro]g/m\3\. 40 CFR
part 50, Appendix K, section 1.0.
\7\ 40 CFR 50.6 and 40 CFR part 50, appendix K. The comparison
with the allowable expected exceedance rate of one per year is made
in terms of a number rounded to the nearest tenth; e.g., an
exceedance rate of 1.05 would be rounded to 1.1, which is the lowest
rate for nonattainment. 40 CFR part 50, appendix K, section 2.1(b).
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Section 175A of the CAA dictates that any state that submits a
request for redesignation of a nonattainment area to attainment shall
also submit a SIP revision that provides for the maintenance of the
pertinent NAAQS for at least 10 years after the redesignation. This
maintenance plan must, among other requirements, ensure control
measures are in place such that the area will continue to maintain the
standard for a 10-year period after redesignation, and include
contingency provisions to ensure that violations of the NAAQS will be
promptly remedied.
In California, CARB is the agency responsible for the adoption and
submission of California SIPs and SIP revisions to the EPA. Working
jointly with CARB, local and regional air pollution control districts
in California are responsible for the development of regional air
quality plans. The Sacramento Metropolitan Air Quality Management
District (``SMAQMD'' or ``District'') develops and adopts plans to
address CAA planning requirements applicable to Sacramento County.
SMAQMD adopts and submits its plans to CARB for state adoption and
submission to the EPA as revisions to the California SIP.
On December 7, 2010, CARB requested that the EPA redesignate the
Sacramento County PM10 nonattainment area to attainment and
concurrently submitted the Sacramento PM10 Maintenance Plan
and associated motor vehicle emissions budgets (``budgets'') to the EPA
as a revision to the California SIP.\8\ On October 28, 2013, the EPA
approved the Sacramento PM10 Maintenance Plan, which
provided for maintenance of the NAAQS for the area through October 28,
2023.\9\
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\8\ Letter dated December 7, 2010, from James Goldstene,
Executive Officer, CARB, to Jared Blumenfeld, Regional
Administrator, EPA Region IX.
\9\ 78 FR 59261 (September 26, 2013).
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[[Page 65338]]
II. Air Quality in the Sacramento County Planning Area
A. Exceedances in the Sacramento County Planning Area
A recent design value showing a maintenance area is continuing to
attain the PM10 NAAQS (i.e., the recorded number of days
with levels above 150 [micro]g/m\3\, averaged over a 3-year period, is
less than or equal to one) is the foundation of a second 10-year
maintenance plan. As described in more detail in Section IV.A of this
document, a base year emissions inventory from the design value period
that represents attainment conditions is used as the basis for
projecting emissions inventories into the future and to demonstrate
that future emissions will not lead to an exceedance of the standards.
The District used the data from calendar years 2017 through 2019 to
calculate a 2019 design value to demonstrate the area had continued to
attain the PM10 standard and selected the 2017 emissions
inventory as its base year inventory.
Table 1 of this document shows the design values for the Sacramento
County PM10 maintenance area at the monitoring sites active
in the county between 2011 through 2022, accounting for all recorded
exceedances during that time. Specifically, no exceedances of the
PM10 NAAQS were recorded in 2011-2017, numerous exceedances
were recorded in 2018 across all active monitors, a single exceedance
was recorded in 2019 at the Sacramento T Street monitoring site (AQS
ID: 06-067-0010), several exceedances were recorded in 2020 across all
active monitors, and in 2021-2022 no exceedances of the PM10
NAAQS were recorded. As a result of the exceedance days recorded in
2018, the calculated 2019 design value for PM10 is in
violation of the standard.\10\ The District contends that the
exceedances in 2018 were due to uncontrollable wildfire smoke and
submitted a request to exclude the 2018 data from regulatory decisions
on the basis that they are exceptional events.\11\
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\10\ See EPA AQS Design Value Report, AMP480, for 2011-2022
PM10 Design Values for Sacramento County (Report accessed
August 9, 2023), included in the docket for this rulemaking, for
full details.
\11\ Letter dated March 31, 2021, from Mark Loutzenhiser,
Division Manager, Program Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, Subject: ``Exceptional Event
Demonstration for November 2018 PM10 Exceedances in
Sacramento County due to Wildfires.''
Table 1--Sacramento County 2013-2022 PM10 Monitor Design Values Including 2018 Exceptional Events Exceedances
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monitoring site
---------------------------------------------------------------
Design value period North Sacramento T Sacramento
Highlands Del Paso Manor Street \a\ Branch Center
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2011-2013....................................... 0.0 0.0 .............. 0.0
2012-2014....................................... 0.0 0.0 .............. 0.0
2013-2015....................................... 0.0 0.0 .............. 0.0
2014-2016....................................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015-2017....................................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016-2018....................................... 4.1 4.1 2.0 2.0
2017-2019....................................... 4.1 4.1 2.3 2.0
2018-2020....................................... 6.0 6.0 3.7 4.6
2019-2021....................................... 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.6
2020-2022....................................... 1.9 1.9 1.3 2.6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The Sacramento T Street monitoring station came into active use in 2013. (North Highlands Air Quality System
Site ID #:06-067-0002-1; Del Paso Manor (primary) AQS Site ID #: 06-067-0006-1; Sacramento T Street AQS Site
ID #: 06-067-0010-4; Sacramento Branch Center AQS Site ID #: 06-067-0284-1).
B. Exceptional Events Demonstration for the 2018 Exceedances in the
Sacramento County Planning Area
Congress has recognized that it may not be appropriate for the EPA
to use certain monitoring data, collected by the ambient air quality
monitoring network and maintained in the EPA's Air Quality System (AQS)
database, in certain regulatory determinations. Thus, in 2005, Congress
provided the statutory authority for the exclusion of data influenced
by ``exceptional events'' meeting specific criteria by adding section
319(b) to the CAA. To implement this 2005 CAA amendment, the EPA
promulgated the 2007 Exceptional Events Rule.\12\ The 2007 Exceptional
Events Rule created a regulatory process codified at 40 CFR parts 50
and 51 (sections 50.1, 50.14, 51.930). These regulatory sections, which
superseded the EPA's previous guidance on handling data influenced by
exceptional events, contain definitions, procedural requirements,
requirements for air agency demonstrations, criteria for EPA approval
of the exclusion of event-affected air quality data from the data set
used for regulatory decisions, and requirements for air agencies to
take appropriate and reasonable actions to protect public health from
exceedances or violations of the NAAQS. In 2016, the EPA promulgated a
comprehensive revision to the 2007 Exceptional Events Rule (referred to
herein as the ``Exceptional Events Rule'').\13\ Under the Exceptional
Events Rule, if, for example, a state demonstrates to the EPA's
satisfaction that emissions from a wildfire smoke event caused specific
air pollution concentration in excess of the PM10 NAAQS at a
particular air quality monitoring location and otherwise satisfies the
requirements of 40 CFR 50.14, the EPA must exclude that data from use
in determinations of exceedances and violations.\14\
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\12\ 72 FR 13560 (March 22, 2007).
\13\ 81 FR 68216 (October 3, 2016).
\14\ 40 CFR 50.14(b)(4).
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For the EPA to concur with excluding the air quality data from
regulatory decision, the demonstration must satisfy all the Exceptional
Events Rule criteria. Specifically, under 40 CFR 50.14(c)(3)(iv), the
air agency demonstration to justify exclusion of data must include:
1. a narrative conceptual model that describes the event(s) causing
the exceedance or violation and a discussion of how emissions from the
event(s) led to the exceedance or violation at the affected
monitors(s);
2. a demonstration that the event affected air quality in such a
way that
[[Page 65339]]
there exists a clear causal relationship between the specific event and
the monitored exceedance or violation;
3. analyses comparing the claimed event-influenced concentration(s)
to concentrations at the same monitoring site at other times to support
requirement in 40 CFR 50.14(c)(3)(iv)(2);
4. a demonstration that the event was both not reasonably
controllable and not reasonably preventable, and;
5. a demonstration that the event was a human activity that is
unlikely to recur at a particular location or was a natural event.\15\
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\15\ A natural event is further described in 40 CFR 50.1(k) as
``[a]n event and its resulting emissions, which may recur at the
same location, in which human activity plays little or no direct
causal role. For purposes of the definition of a natural event,
anthropogenic sources that are reasonably controlled shall be
considered to not play a direct role in causing emissions.''
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In addition, the air agency must meet several procedural
requirements, including:
1. submission of an Initial Notification of Potential Exceptional
Event and flagging of the affected data in the EPA's Air Quality System
(AQS) as described in 40 CFR 50.14(c)(2)(i);
2. completion and documentation of the public comment process
described in 40 CFR 50.14(c)(3)(v); and
3. implementation of any relevant mitigation requirements as
described in 40 CFR 51.930.
On August 21, 2019,\16\ CARB submitted an Initial Notification of
Potential Exceptional Events prepared by SMAQMD for numerous
exceedances of the PM10 NAAQS that occurred at the
Sacramento T Street, North Highland, Del Paso Manor, and Sacramento
Branch Center PM10 monitoring sites within the maintenance
area on November 10-12 and November 14-16, 2018.
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\16\ Email dated August 21, 2019, from Sylvia Vanderspek (CARB)
to Gwen Yoshimura (EPA Region IX) Subject: ``INI Form for Submittal
to EPA--SMAQMD PM10.''
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The EPA recommended that CARB and SMAQMD determine the relevant
exceedances and associated monitoring sites that may have regulatory
significance with respect to the PM10 NAAQS, and submit an
exceptional event demonstration to the EPA no later than March of
2021.\17\ On March 31, 2021, SMAQMD submitted the ``Exceptional Event
Demonstration for November 2018 Exceedances in Sacramento County due to
Wildfires'' to CARB for transmittal to the EPA.\18\ Then, on April 26,
2021,\19\ CARB submitted the exceptional event demonstration prepared
by SMAQMD for 13 exceedances of the 1987 24-hour PM10 NAAQS
during November 10-12 and November 14-16, 2018.\20\ Table 2 of this
document summarizes the exceedances that SMAQMD included in the
demonstration.
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\17\ See letter dated March 3, 2020, from Elizabeth Adams, Air
and Radiation Division Director, EPA Region IX, to Sylvia
Vanderspek, Air Quality Planning Branch Chief, CARB.
\18\ Letter dated March 31, 2021, from Mark Loutzenhiser,
Division Manager, Program Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, Subject: ``Exceptional Event
Demonstration for November 2018 PM10 Exceedances in
Sacramento County due to Wildfires.''
\19\ Letter dated April 26, 2021, from David Edwards for Michael
Benjamin, Air Quality Planning and Science Division Chief, CARB, to
Elizabeth Adams, Air and Radiation Division Director, EPA Region IX,
Subject: ``Submittal of Final Documentation for 2018 Exceptional
Events.''
\20\ SMAQMD Exceptional Event Demonstration For November 2018
PM10 Exceedances in Sacramento County Due to Wildfires,
March 31, 2021.
Table 2--Sacramento County PM10 NAAQS Exceedance Summary for 2018
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PM10 ([micro]g/
Exceedance date Monitoring site AQS ID \a\ m\3\)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
November 10, 2018............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 189
November 10, 2018............................ North Highlands................ 06-067-0002-1 222
November 10, 2018............................ Del Paso Manor................. 06-067-0006-1 212
November 10, 2018............................ Del Paso Manor................. 06-067-0006-2 202
November 10, 2018............................ Sacramento--Branch Center...... 06-067-0284-1 200
November 11, 2018............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 176
November 12, 2018............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 183
November 14, 2018............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 181
November 15, 2018............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 292
November 16, 2018............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 252
November 16, 2018............................ North Highlands................ 06-067-0002-1 163
November 16, 2018............................ Del Paso Manor................. 06-067-0006-1 166
November 16, 2018............................ Del Paso Manor................. \b\ 06-067-0006- 163
2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The last number in the AQS ID is the Parameter Occurrence Code (POC) and distinguishes between different
monitors at the same site.
\b\ The Del Paso Manor (POC 2) monitor is a collocated monitor used for quality assurance purposes. Data from
this monitor are not used for comparison to the NAAQS. However, for completeness, CARB, SMAQMD, and the EPA
have included this monitor in the demonstration and concurrence process.
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 2-5.
The demonstration submitted by CARB and SMAQMD provides a narrative
conceptual model to describe how emissions from the Camp Fire, in Butte
County, California, caused the PM10 exceedances at the
listed monitoring sites on the listed dates. The narrative conceptual
model includes a description of the Camp Fire and its progression, the
general meteorological conditions in the affected area, and information
regarding how PM10 concentrations measured during this
period compared to normal conditions across the Sacramento Valley. To
support a clear causal relationship between the wildfire event and the
monitored exceedances, the demonstration includes several analyses,
specifically including the following: comparison with historical
PM10 concentrations; Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian
Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) analysis; satellite imagery of smoke;
ceilometer data; \21\ regional patterns of PM10
concentrations and PM air quality index (AQI) values; fine particulate
matter (PM2.5) concentrations and comparison with historical
data; concurrent increases in carbon monoxide, black carbon, and
organic carbon concentrations; media reports of wildfire smoke
affecting the monitoring area; and District-issued air quality
advisories.\22\ The documentation also demonstrates that the wildfire
[[Page 65340]]
event was not reasonably controllable and not reasonably
preventable.\23\ Furthermore, the Camp Fire event meets the definition
of a natural wildfire event, defined in 40 CFR 50.1(n) as ``a wildfire
that predominantly occurs on wildland.'' \24\
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\21\ A ceilometer measures the attenuated backscatter of light
due to gradients in particulate matter or other aerosols.
\22\ See Sections 3 and 4, and Appendices A, B, C, and D of the
Demonstration for full details.
\23\ Id. at pp. 3-1 to 3-3 and Section 5: p. 5-1.
\24\ Id. at Section 6: p. 6-1.
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In addition to the technical demonstration requirements, there are
timing and procedural requirements an air agency must follow to request
data exclusion. The demonstration submitted by CARB includes evidence
of the following: SMAQMD provided prompt public notification of the
events, CARB submitted an Initial Notification of Potential Exceptional
Event in the EPA's AQS system \25\ and met the deadline requirements
for these submissions, and the District allowed for a documented public
comment period in which feedback from the public was solicited,
collected, submitted to the EPA, and considered along with the
submission of the demonstration.
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\25\ SMAQMD Exceptional Event PM10 Initial
Notification Summary Information 2016-2018, submitted August 21,
2019.
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The EPA reviewed and concurred on the documentation provided by
CARB and SMAQMD to support claims that the Camp Fire caused exceedances
of the PM10 NAAQS at the Sacramento T Street, North
Highlands, Del Paso Manor, and Sacramento Branch Center monitoring
sites on November 10-12 and November 14-16, 2018.\26\ The demonstration
prepared by SMAQMD and submitted by CARB meets all criteria required by
40 CFR 50.14 (c)(3)(iv). Furthermore, the submittal satisfied all
schedule and procedural requirements specified in 40 CFR 50.14(c) and
40 CFR 51.930. Thus, the EPA is relying on calculated values that
exclude the event-influenced data for the purpose of demonstrating
continued attainment of the PM10 NAAQS. With the exclusion
of the wildfire-related exceedances in 2018, the 2019 design value is
no longer in violation of the PM10 NAAQS.
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\26\ Details included in ``Technical Support Document for EPA
Concurrence on PM10 Exceedances Measured in the
Sacramento County Maintenance Area on November 10-12 and November
14-16, 2018 as Exceptional Events,'' found within the docket for
this rulemaking, and letter dated July 27, 2022, from Elizabeth
Adams, Director, Air and Radiation Division, EPA Region IX, to
Sylvia Vanderspek, Chief, Air Quality Planning Branch and Air
Quality Planning and Science Division, CARB, Subject: ``EPA
Concurrence with EE exclusion of PM10 exceedances on
November 10-12 and 14-16, 2018.''
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EPA concurrence is a preliminary step in the regulatory process for
actions that may rely on these data and does not constitute final
agency action. Regulatory actions that rely on the exclusion of
exceptional event data require the EPA to provide an opportunity for
public comment on the technical basis of the proposed action, including
the claimed exceptional events and all supporting data prior to the EPA
taking final agency action. This proposed action provides the public
with an opportunity to comment on the claimed exceptional events for
the 2018 exceedances in Sacramento County and all supporting documents
submitted by CARB, and the EPA's concurrence with the State's request
with regards to our proposed action to approve the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan.
C. Exceedances Occuring After the 2019 Design Value Period
In order to ensure that the area has continued to attain the
standard after 2017-2019 design value period on which the Plan is
based, the District calculated the 2020 design value (based on 2018-
2020 data), and we independently calculated the 2021 and 2022 design
values (based on 2019-2021, and 2020-2022 data, respectively). In all
cases the design values are above the standard.\27\ The 2020
exceedances associated with these violations were initially flagged in
AQS by SMAQMD as wildfire related and the District included information
with the Plan to support these claims.\28\ Appendix A in the Second 10-
Year Maintenance Plan (``Analysis of PM10 Exceedance Days in
2020'') provides a conceptual narrative demonstrating how wildfire
smoke also contributed to the PM10 exceedances in 2020.
Between September 8, 2020, and September 13, 2020, there was a total of
seven recorded exceedances among all monitoring sites located within
the county at the time,\29\ accounting for all exceedances recorded in
2020. Table 3 of this document summarizes the exceedances recorded
during this period.
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\27\ ``Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance Plan for
Sacramento County,'' Appendix A.
\28\ EPA AQS Report of Flagged PM10 Values due to
Wildfire Events in Sacramento County, Report Prepared February 13,
2023.
\29\ See Section IV.C of the rulemaking for additional details
on the present status of the Sacramento County PM10
monitoring network.
Table 3--Sacramento County PM10 NAAQS Exceedance Summary for 2020
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PM10 ([micro]g/
Exceedance date Monitoring station AQS ID \a\ m\3\)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
September 8, 2020............................ Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 298
September 11, 2020........................... Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 231
September 12, 2020........................... Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 186
September 12, 2020........................... Del Paso Manor................. 06-067-0006-1 186
September 12, 2020........................... Del Paso Manor................. \b\ 06-067-0006- 188
2
September 12, 2020........................... North Highlands................ 06-067-0002-1 187
September 12, 2020........................... Sacramento--Branch Center...... 06-067-0284-1 201
September 13, 2020........................... Sacramento T Street............ 06-067-0010-4 169
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The last number in the AQS ID is the Parameter Occurrence Code (POC) and distinguishes between different
monitors at the same site.
\b\ The Del Paso Manor (POC 2) monitor is a collocated monitor for quality assurance purposes, and the data from
this monitor is not used for comparison to the NAAQS. However, for completeness, CARB, SMAQMD, and the EPA
included this monitor in the demonstration and concurrence process.
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table A-1.
Similar to the exceptional event demonstration for the 2018
exceedances, Appendix A documents several wildfires in the vicinity of
Sacramento County that were active during 2020 and attributes emissions
from these wildfires, concurrent with wind gust events, as having
caused the PM10 exceedances listed in Table 3.\30\
[[Page 65341]]
The appendix includes an overview of the wildfires active at the time
of the exceedances, including the start and containment dates, the
geographic proximity and range of each wildfire, and fire containment
levels during the date range of the exceedances. To support a clear
causal relationship between these wildfire events, wind gusts, and the
monitored exceedances, Appendix A includes several analyses including
the following: HYSPLIT analysis; satellite imagery of smoke; regional
patterns of PM10 concentrations and PM AQI; PM2.5
concentrations and comparison with historical data; concurrent
increases in carbon monoxide, black carbon, and organic carbon
concentrations; as well as media reports of wildfire smoke affecting
the monitoring data. In addition, the District notes that the wildfires
listed in Table A-2 of Appendix A were either a result of lightning
strikes or were still under investigation, and the District contends
these wildfire events were not reasonably controllable and not
reasonably preventable. Therefore, in lieu of an exceptional event
demonstration, the EPA proposes to find that this information provided
in Appendix A of the Plan indicates that the 2020 exceedances were
caused by uncontrollable wildfire smoke and wind gusts.
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\30\ During the late summer and early fall of 2020, the Slater/
Devils Fire, Red Salmon Complex Fire, August Complex Fire, North
Complex Fire (composed of the Baer and Claremont fires), Fork Fire,
and the Creek Fire were all active at the time of the exceedances.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Because SMAQMD and CARB did not submit an exceptional event
demonstration for the 2020 exceedances from wildfires, we have factored
these exceedances into design value calculations, and the post-2019
design values (2020, 2021, and 2022) remain in violation of the
PM10 NAAQS, as summarized in Table 4 of this document.
However, after reviewing the evidence provided by the District
demonstrating that the exceedances in 2020 were caused by a combination
of uncontrollable wildfire smoke and wind gust events, and therefore
separate from trends in the ambient air quality for PM10, we
propose to find that these exceedances do not call into question the
EPA's proposed approval of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan as
providing for maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS. No exceedances
were recorded in 2021, nor 2022, lending additional support to the
claim that the 2020 exceedances were caused by uncontrollable wildfire
smoke and wind gust events. We find that these data are consistent with
the EPA's proposed approval of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan as
providing for maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS. Prior to
finalizing this action, we will examine all quality-assured and
certified PM10 monitoring data available to ensure this
trend persists or that the District has implemented its contingency
plan to address any exceedances.
Table 4--Sacramento County PM10 Monitor Design Values With 2018 Exceptional Events Exceedances Removed
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monitoring site
---------------------------------------------------------------
Design value period North Sacramento T Sacramento
Highlands Del Paso Manor Street \a\ Branch Center
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2011-2013....................................... 0.0 0.0 .............. 0.0
2012-2014....................................... 0.0 0.0 .............. 0.0
2013-2015....................................... 0.0 0.0 .............. 0.0
2014-2016....................................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2015-2017....................................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2016-2018....................................... 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2017-2019....................................... 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0
2018-2020....................................... 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.6
2019-2021....................................... 1.9 1.9 1.7 2.6
2020-2022....................................... 1.9 1.9 1.3 2.6
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The Sacramento T Street monitoring station came into active use in 2013. (North Highlands AQS Site ID #:06-
067-0002-1; Del Paso Manor (primary) AQS Site ID #: 06-067-0006-1; Sacramento T Street AQS Site ID #: 06-067-
0010-4; Sacramento Branch Center AQS Site ID #: 06-067-0284-1).
Source: TSD for EPA Concurrence on PM10 Exceedances Measured in Sacramento County on Nov 10-12 and Nov 14-16 as
EE, found within the docket for this rulemaking.
III. The Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan Submittal and Procedural
Requirements
CAA section 175A(b) requires states to submit a SIP revision to
maintain the NAAQS for an additional ten years after the expiration of
the 10-year period covered by the initial maintenance plan. The
submittal is due eight years after the original redesignation request
and maintenance plan was approved. The deadline to submit the SIP
revision for the Sacramento County PM10 NAAQS maintenance
area was October 28, 2021. On October 21, 2021, CARB submitted the
``Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance Plan for Sacramento
County'' (``Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan'' or ``Plan'') to meet the
requirement for a subsequent maintenance plan under CAA section
175A(b).\31\ The Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan is intended to provide
for continued maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS for the 10-year
period following the end of the first 10-year period, i.e., from 2024
through 2033.
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\31\ Letter dated October 20, 2021, from Richard Corey,
Executive Officer, CARB, to Deborah Jordan, Acting Regional
Administrator, EPA Region IX (submitted electronically October 21,
2021).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition, CAA sections 110(a)(1), (2), and 110(l) require states
to provide reasonable notice and opportunity for public hearing prior
to adoption and submission of a SIP or SIP revision. To meet these
procedural requirements, every SIP submission should include evidence
that the state provided adequate public notice and opportunity for a
public hearing consistent with the EPA's implementing regulations in 40
CFR 51.102. CARB's October 21, 2021 SIP submittal package includes
documentation of the public processes used by the District and CARB to
adopt the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan. Prior to adoption of the
plan, a reasonable notice of a public hearing was provided to the
public, and a public hearing was conducted. Specifically, notices of a
public hearing and the opening of a comment period for the Second 10-
Year Maintenance Plan for Sacramento County were published within the
``News and Notices'' section of the District's website on July 23,
2021, in advance of the August 26, 2021
[[Page 65342]]
public hearing.\32\ No comments were received during the District's
comment period.\33\ Following the adoption of a resolution to approve
the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan,\34\ the District requested that
CARB review and adopt the Plan.\35\ On August 13, 2021, CARB published
on its website a notice of a public hearing to be held on September 23,
2021, to consider adoption of the District's Plan.\36\ No comments were
received during CARB's public comment period. CARB adopted the
Plan,\37\ and subsequently submitted it to the EPA as a revision to the
California SIP on October 21, 2021. Based on the documentation provided
in the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan submittal, we propose to find
that the SIP revision satisfies the public notice procedural
requirements of the Act.
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\32\ SMAQMD affidavit of publication of ``Public Hearing for
Approval of the Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance Plan for
Sacramento County'' on the District's website on July 23, 2021.
\33\ See SMAQMD Transmittal Letter from Mark Loutzenhiser,
Division Manager, Program Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB, dated September 2, 2021.
\34\ SMAQMD Board of Directors Public Hearing and Resolution No.
2021-009 Adopting the ``Second 10-Year PM10 Maintenance
Plan for Sacramento County,'' dated August 26, 2021.
\35\ Letter dated September 2, 2021, from Mark Loutzenhiser,
Division Manager, Program Coordination Division, SMAQMD, to Richard
Corey, Executive Officer, CARB.
\36\ CARB Notice of Public Meeting to Consider Sacramento County
PM10 Maintenance Plan State Implementation Plan
Submittal, dated August 13, 2021.
\37\ CARB Board Resolution 21-20: Sacramento County
PM10 Maintenance Plan State Implementation Plan
Submittal, dated September 23, 2021.
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Section 175A of the CAA provides the general framework for a
maintenance plan. The initial 10-year maintenance plan must provide for
maintenance of the NAAQS for at least 10 years after redesignation,
including any control measures necessary to ensure such maintenance. In
addition, maintenance plans are to contain contingency provisions
necessary to ensure the prompt correction of a violation of the NAAQS
that may occur after redesignation. The contingency measures must
include, at a minimum, a requirement that the state will implement all
control measures contained in the nonattainment SIP prior to
redesignation. Beyond these provisions, section 175A of the CAA does
not define the content of a second 10-year maintenance plan.
The primary guidance on maintenance plans and redesignation
requests is the September 4, 1992 memorandum from John Calcagni, titled
``Procedures for Processing Requests to Redesignate Areas to
Attainment'' (``Calcagni Memo'').\38\ The Calcagni Memo outlines the
key elements of a maintenance plan, which include the following:
attainment emissions inventory, maintenance demonstration, monitoring
network requirements, verification of continued attainment, and
contingency plan elements. We are evaluating the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan based on the satisfactory fulfillment of these and all
relevant procedural requirements of the CAA.
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\38\ Memorandum dated September 4, 1992, from John Calcagni,
Director, Air Quality Management Division, EPA, to Regional Office
Air Division Directors, Subject: ``Procedures for Processing
Requests to Redesignate Areas to Attainment.''
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IV. Evaluation of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan
A. Emissions Inventory
A maintenance plan for the PM10 NAAQS should include a
comprehensive, accurate, and current emissions inventory of all sources
of relevant pollutants in the area, to identify a level of emissions
sufficient to attain the PM10 NAAQS. The inventory should
include emissions from stationary point sources, area sources, and
mobile sources and must be based on actual emissions during the
appropriate season, if applicable.\39\ This emissions inventory should
be consistent with the EPA's most recent guidance available at the time
and should represent emissions during the time period associated with
the monitoring data showing attainment, in this case 2017-2019. The
specific PM10 emissions inventory requirements are set forth
in the Air Emissions Reporting Requirements rule.\40\ The EPA has
provided additional guidance for developing PM10 emissions
inventories in ``PM10 Emissions Inventory Requirements,''
\41\ and ``Emissions Inventory Guidance for Implementation of Ozone and
Particulate Matter National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and
Regional Haze Requirements'' (May 2017).
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\39\ CAA section 172(c)(3).
\40\ 40 CFR part 51, subpart A.
\41\ EPA-454/R-94-033, September 1994.
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The SMAQMD Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan includes inventories for
total primary PM10 and nitrogen oxide pollutants
(NOX) in the County for the years 2017, 2024, 2027, and
2033. NOX emissions are discussed in this plan due to the
significant contribution of NOX as a precursor pollutant,
especially toward wintertime ambient PM10 concentrations, as
demonstrated in the first maintenance plan by a chemical mass balance
(CMB) study of PM10 pollution in the County.\42\
Additionally, detailed emissions inventory data for sulfur oxides
(SOX) are not included, but SOX emissions remain
stable throughout the second maintenance period at about 1 ton per day
(tpd).\43\ The Plan also states that volatile organic compounds (VOCs)
are not identified in the CMB study analysis performed for the First
Maintenance Plan as contributing to the PM10 concentrations
and therefore are not included in the emissions inventory. The District
selected the inventory years to include the base year emissions
inventory (2017), an inventory for the first year of the second
maintenance period (2024), an interim year inventory (2027), and an
inventory for the end of the second maintenance period (2033). The base
year is the first year of the Plan's design value. Projected emissions
inventories for future years must account for, among other factors, the
ongoing effects of economic growth and adopted emissions control
requirements, and the inventories are expected to be the best available
representation of future emissions. The Plan includes emissions
estimates from all the relevant stationary point, area, and mobile
source categories, and further divides these main categories into more
descriptive subcategories. As these emissions forecasts consider
expected emissions reductions to the base year inventory resulting from
adopted control measures, they similarly consider potential emissions
increases, such as those associated with emissions reduction credits
(ERCs). ERCs are allowances earned through voluntary pollutant
emissions reductions such as equipment shutdowns or voluntarily
installed controls. Emissions within the Plan are listed for an average
winter day when concentrations were shown to be seasonally elevated.
The SMAQMD analysis demonstrates a seasonal occurrence of higher
ambient PM10 concentrations in the fall and winter
months.\44\ The District finds that this trend is a result of increased
residential wood combustion, in conjunction with
[[Page 65343]]
winter weather conditions conducive to PM10 pollutant build
up (e.g., greater atmospheric stability, low wind dispersion, and
colder temperatures).
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\42\ SMAQMD PM10 Implementation/Maintenance Plan and
Redesignation Request for Sacramento County, p. 4-4. Source
contributions used in the CMB study were based on a technical paper
on wintertime PM2.5 and PM10 source
apportionment for Sacramento (Motallebi, Nehzat. ``Wintertime
PM2.5 and PM10 Source Apportionment at
Sacramento California.'' Air and Waste Management Association,
1999). The CMB study calculated source contributions for ambient air
quality samples (>40 [mu]g/m3) collected from November to January
for 1991-1996.
\43\ Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 5-1.
\44\ Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan For Sacramento County,
Section 2.8.
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The emissions inventories used in the Plan are from CARB's
California Emissions Projection Analysis Model (CEPAM): CEPAM 2019:
External Adjustment Reporting Tool--Version 1.02. Because the Second
10-Year Maintenance Plan depends on both PM10 and
NOX emissions to demonstrate continued compliance (discussed
in further detail in Sections III.C and D of this document), the EPA
reviewed both PM10 and NOX emissions inventories.
Direct PM10 and NOX emissions estimates for
stationary point sources reflect actual emissions reported to the
District by owners or operators of industrial point sources in the
Sacramento County planning area. This category is primarily composed of
fuel combustion, waste disposal, petroleum production and marketing,
and other industrial processes. Areawide sources, such as consumer
products and agricultural burning, occur over a wide geographic area.
Emissions for these categories are calculated from fuel usage, product
sales, population, employment data, and other parameters for the
pertinent range of activities across Sacramento County.
Emissions from on-road mobile sources, which include passenger
vehicles, buses, and trucks, were estimated using outputs from CARB's
EMFAC2017 model.\45\ Emissions inventories for aircraft, trains, boats,
and off-road vehicles and equipment used for construction, farming,
commercial, industrial, and recreational activities were included in
the ``Other Mobile'' category.
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\45\ EMFAC is short for EMission FACtor. The EPA approved
EMFAC2017 for SIP development and transportation conformity purposes
in California on August 15, 2019. 84 FR 41717. EMFAC2017 was the
most recently approved version of the EMFAC model that was available
at the time of preparation of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan.
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The direct PM10 emissions for the base year emissions
inventory are presented within Table 5 of this document.
Table 5--Sacramento County Direct PM10 2017 Base Year Emissions
[Tons per average winter day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source category Subcategory 2017 2024 2027 2033
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Stationary Point Sources...... Fuel Combustion. 0.26 0.24 0.25 0.24
Waste Disposal.. 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
Industrial 1.14 1.18 1.31 1.35
Processes.
Areawide...................... Residential Fuel 9.15 8.97 8.89 8.83
Combustion.
Farming 1.25 1.16 1.12 1.06
Operations.
Construction and 9.42 9.57 10.60 11.29
Demolition.
Paved Road Dust. 7.69 8.25 8.52 9.15
Unpaved Road 0.65 0.62 0.61 0.59
Dust.
Managed Burning 0.16 0.17 0.17 0.16
and Disposal.
Cooking......... 0.88 0.94 0.96 1.00
Fires........... 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.07
Fugitive 0.11 0.11 0.10 0.10
Windblown Dust.
Asphalt Paving/ 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Roofing.
On-Road Motor Vehicles........ ................ 2.24 2.08 2.15 2.22
Other Mobile.................. Aircraft........ 0.07 0.08 0.08 0.08
Trains.......... 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
Equipment (Off- 0.29 0.20 0.17 0.15
Road/Farm).
Recreational 0.13 0.09 0.08 0.07
Boat.
Commercial 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Harbor Craft.
Off-road <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
Recreational
Vehicles.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total..................... All Stationary, 33.58 33.78 35.15 36.43
Areawide, and
Mobile Sources.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 3-1.
The direct NOX emissions for the base year emissions
inventory are presented within Table 6 of this document.
Table 6--Sacramento County NOX 2017 Base Year Emissions
[Tons per average winter day]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source category Subcategory 2017 2024 2027 2033
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Stationary Point Sources...... Fuel Combustion. 1.93 1.78 1.80 1.80
Waste Disposal.. 0.07 0.07 0.08 0.08
Industrial 0.24 0.25 0.27 0.28
Processes.
Petroleum <0.01 <0.01 <0.01 <0.01
Processing and
Marketing.
Areawide...................... Residential Fuel 3.83 3.75 3.76 3.81
Combustion.
Managed Burning 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.05
and Disposal.
Fires........... 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
On-Road Motor Vehicles........ ................ 21.45 10.66 9.33 7.46
Other Mobile.................. Aircraft........ 1.75 1.98 2.08 2.30
[[Page 65344]]
Trains.......... 0.85 0.99 1.02 1.05
Equipment (Off- 5.00 3.42 2.97 2.69
Road/Farm).
Recreational 0.39 0.36 0.35 0.34
Boat.
Commercial 0.25 0.23 0.22 0.19
Harbor Craft.
Off-road 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01
Recreational
Vehicles.
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total..................... All Stationary, 35.84 23.57 21,96 20.08
Areawide, and
Mobile Sources.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 3-2.
Based on the estimates for the year 2017 in Table 5, areawide
sources account for a majority (approximately 88 percent) of the total
PM10 emissions in the Sacramento County planning area.
Residential fuel combustion, construction and demolition, and paved
road dust account for the majority of the areawide emissions
(approximately 89 percent). The future year emissions estimates in the
Plan predict an increase in direct PM10 emissions within the
Sacramento County planning area over the second ten-year planning
period. The main source of the overall predicted increase of
PM10 emissions is increased emissions of areawide sources,
with increases from stationary source emissions also acting as a minor
contributor to the overall trend (0.20 tpd). By 2033, total direct
PM10 emissions are estimated to be approximately 2.85 tpd
(8.5 percent) higher than in the 2017 base year. These projected
increases in PM10 emissions are associated with increases in
industrial activity and vehicle miles traveled (VMT) from expected
population growth in the county.
For precursor NOX emissions estimates, the Plan predicts
an overall decrease of 15.8 tpd (44 percent) between the base year of
2017 and 2033. Reductions to the On-Road Motor Vehicle subcategory, the
most significant contributor to total NOX emissions, is the
primary cause of this trend. Implementation of federal, state, and
local regulations, including fleet turnover, result in a 14.0 tpd
reduction in associated NOX emissions.
Based on our review of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, we find
that the emissions inventories in the Plan are comprehensive in that
they include estimates of PM10 and its precursors from all
the relevant source categories, which the Plan divides among
stationary, areawide, on-road motor vehicles, and other mobile sources.
The EPA considers the selection of the 2017 base year inventory to be
appropriate given that it was the most recent emissions inventory
associated with the reporting schedule required under the Air Emissions
Reporting Requirements rule at the time of Plan drafting and because it
represents attainment conditions. Moreover, preparation of a seasonal
average daily inventory, as opposed to a yearly or episodic inventory,
is also appropriate given that elevated PM10 concentrations
in Sacramento County exhibit a clear seasonal pattern, with ambient
concentrations peaking in the fall and winter months. Additionally, we
consider the continued use of the CMB analysis from the first
maintenance plan as a technical basis for the emissions inventory to be
appropriate as we have found no evidence that it is invalid or
inaccurate. Based on our review of the documentation provided with the
Plan, we are proposing to find that the 2017 emissions inventory for
PM10 and NOX is based on reasonable assumptions
and methodologies, and that the inventory is comprehensive, current,
accurate, and consistent with applicable CAA provisions and the
Calcagni Memo.
B. Maintenance Demonstration
Section 175A(a) of the CAA requires that the maintenance plan
provide for maintenance of the NAAQS for such air pollutant in the area
concerned for at least 10 years after the redesignation. A state may
generally demonstrate maintenance of the NAAQS by either showing that
future emissions of a pollutant or its precursors will not exceed the
level of the attainment inventory, or by conducting modeling that shows
that the future mix of sources and emissions rates will not cause a
violation of the NAAQS.\46\
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\46\ Calcagni Memo, p. 9-11.
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The District demonstrates continued maintenance of the
PM10 NAAQS in its Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan by using a
proportional rollback analysis to show that the future PM10
source concentrations will not cause a violation of the 24-hour
PM10 NAAQS. The District's proportional rollback model
relies on CMB modeling performed in 1995.\47\ In proportional rollback,
each source category's associated proportion of the ambient
PM10 contribution scales with the emissions of the category,
i.e., the source ambient contribution is ``rolled back'' according to
source emissions reductions. Thus, the Plan aims to demonstrate
continued maintenance of the standard by showing that the sum of the
individual source category contributions for future years will not
exceed the PM10 NAAQS as those source category emissions
change.
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\47\ Motallebi, Nahzat. ``Wintertime PM2.5 and
PM10 Source Apportionment at Sacramento California.'' Air
and Waste Management Association [1999]. CMB receptor monitor
results from the 1991-1996 wintertime ambient 24-hour
PM10 samples from the Sacramento T Street monitor were
used to determine a CMB for the 1995 ambient PM10. The
CMB modeling used the chemical components of ambient PM10
concentrations, such as fugitive dust, carbonaceous materials from
burning, nitrate, and sulfate, and associated them with broad
emissions source categories having those chemical signatures. This
is a source apportionment, giving a percent ambient contribution for
each source category.
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To determine the source category concentration contributions for
future years, the District conducted proportional rollback in two
steps. First the State adjusted the 1995 source apportionment (percent
contributions) to yield an updated source apportionment for the 2017
base year; then the 2017 source concentrations were projected to future
years, including 2033. The ratio of the 2017 base year and the 1995
emissions for each category yields a scaling factor (``2017 Emissions
Projection Factor''), to be applied to the 1995 percentage. This
provides a growth-adjusted source apportionment for 2017
PM10. This scaling factor accounts for the various changes
in the PM10 source categories that have occurred over the
1995-2017 period. For this purpose, the source categories were broad
and included several individual categories with chemically similar
emissions; for example, ``wood burning'' is the sum of Residential Fuel
Combustion, Fires, and
[[Page 65345]]
Managed Burning and Disposal in the California Emissions Projection
Analysis Model (CEPAM) 2019 state emissions inventory system. The Plan
lists ammonium nitrate, ammonium sulfate, motor vehicles, wood smoke,
fugitive dust PM10, and all leftover PM10 from
unidentified sources as PM10 ``source categories,''
identified in the CMB. The growth-adjusted source apportionment
percentages for 2017 were then applied to the peak PM10
ambient measurement in 2017 to yield the individual source category
concentration contributions for 2017. In a similar manner, projection
factors for future years were calculated from the ratio of future
emissions estimates and 2017 base year emissions. Those projection
ratios were then applied to the 2017 peak measurement source category
concentrations to yield the peak source category concentrations for
future years, 2024, 2027, and 2033.
Table 7--Predicted Future Maintenance Year Concentrations Based on 2017 Peak Ambient PM10 Concentration in
Sacramento County
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 Peak 2024 Peak 2027 Peak 2033 Peak
conc. conc. conc. conc.
PM10 CMB source category ([micro]g/ ([micro]g/ ([micro]g/ ([micro]g/
m\3\) m\3\) m\3\) m\3\)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ammonium Nitrate................................ 27.1 21.7 20.6 19.6
Ammonium Sulfate................................ 3.3 4.3 4.5 4.5
Motor Vehicles.................................. 32.3 29.0 29.4 29.7
Wood Smoke...................................... 27.9 27.4 27.2 27.0
Fugitive Dust................................... 25.4 26.1 27.8 29.4
Unidentified Other.............................. 27.4 27.8 28.9 30.0
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total PM10--Background...................... 144.3 136.4 138.4 140.3
Background...................................... 5.7 5.7 5.7 5.7
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total PM10 (using peak concentration)....... 149 142 144 146
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, p. 5-5, Table 5-4.
Table 7 of this document presents a summary of the predicted peak
ambient PM10 concentrations for the future maintenance years
for the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan. The proportional rollback
model predicts a decrease of secondary ammonium nitrate PM10
due to the decrease in NOX emissions.\48\ This decrease
offset the increases in other PM10 source categories such as
ammonium sulfate and fugitive dust for the duration of the second
maintenance period. The resulting projections for the future 24-hour
PM10 concentrations were calculated to be 142 [micro]g/m\3\
for 2024, 144 [micro]g/m\3\ for 2027, and 146 [micro]g/m\3\ for 2033,
all of which demonstrate continued attainment of the PM10
NAAQS of 150 [micro]g/m\3\. As discussed in Section 2.3.1 of the Plan,
the peak concentration in 2017 was suspected to be influenced by
natural events and may not represent ambient conditions in
Sacramento.\49\ The District states that this is supported by CARB
flagging the data with an informational flag, which indicated the data
may have been influenced by wildfire.\50\
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\48\ In its analysis, the District applied a scaling factor of
0.7 to reflect the change in ambient ammonium nitrate due to the
change in NOX emissions. i.e., ammonium nitrate
concentration changed by 0.7 percent for every 1 percent change in
NOX emissions. This ratio was based on San Joaquin Valley
Air Pollution Control District photochemical modeling results. The
District cites SJVAPCD, ``2007 PM10 Maintenance Plan and
Request for Redesignation,'' Appendix F. Modeling Analysis, p.61.
\49\ The District performed additional proportional rollback
analysis using the second highest ambient PM10 value
recorded in 2017 (87 [micro]g/m\3\), which yielded predicted peak
concentrations for 2024, 2027, 2033 that were substantially lower
than those yielded using the highest ambient PM10
concentration for 2017. However, as the future peak values yielded
from the peak 2017 concentration already demonstrated continued
maintenance, the District did not use this additional rollback
analysis to demonstrate continued maintenance of the PM10
NAAQS.
\50\ Additional discussion of evidence in support of the impact
of natural events on the peak 2017 ambient PM10
concentration is found within Section 2.3.1 of the Plan.
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Based on our review, we propose to find that the proportional
rollback analysis performed to demonstrate continued attainment of the
PM10 NAAQS for the years 2017 through 2033 is based on
reasonable methods, growth factors, and assumptions, and is based on
the most current and accurate information available to CARB and SMAQMD
at the time of plan drafting and inventory development. Given that the
projections of combined PM10 sources show continued
attainment through 2033, we are proposing to find that the Second 10-
Year Maintenance Plan provides an adequate basis to demonstrate
maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS within the Sacramento County
planning area. Lastly, we propose to find that by providing projected
peak concentrations through 2033, the Plan demonstrates maintenance of
the PM10 NAAQS for more than 10 years after the expiration
of the first 10-year maintenance plan (i.e., 2023), in accordance with
section 175A(b) of the CAA.
C. Monitoring Network Requirements
Following redesignation, the EPA determines whether an area's air
quality is maintaining compliance with the PM10 NAAQS based
upon complete, quality-assured, and certified data gathered at
established state and local air monitoring stations (SLAMS) in the
nonattainment area and entered in the EPA AQS database.\51\ SLAMS
monitors produce data to be compared to the NAAQS, using an approved
federal reference method (FRM), federal equivalent method (FEM), or an
approved regional method. Data from air monitors operated by state,
local, or tribal agencies in compliance with EPA monitoring
requirements must be submitted to AQS. These monitoring agencies
certify annually that these data are accurate to the best of their
knowledge. Accordingly, the EPA relies primarily on data in AQS when
determining the attainment status of an area.\52\ All valid data are
reviewed to determine the area's air quality status in accordance with
40 CFR part 50, Appendix K.
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\51\ For PM10, a ``complete'' set of data include a
minimum of 75 percent of the scheduled PM10 samples per
quarter. See 40 CFR, part 50, appendix K, section 2.3(a).
\52\ 40 CFR 50.6; 40 CFR part 50, Appendix J; 40 CFR part 53;
and 40 CFR part 58, Appendices A, C, D, and E.
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SMAQMD and CARB work together to monitor ambient air quality in
Sacramento County and to submit annual monitoring network plans to the
EPA. The annual monitoring network
[[Page 65346]]
plans submitted to the EPA describe the air monitoring network operated
by the District and CARB and its status, as required under 40 CFR
58.10. Once received, the EPA reviews these annual monitoring network
plans for compliance with the applicable reporting requirements in 40
CFR part 58. The EPA examined the Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom
Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA), in which Sacramento County is
located, to determine if the MSA currently meets the requirements for
the minimum number of SLAMS for PM10 based on the MSA
population and air quality as described in 40 CFR 58, Appendix D. EPA
regulations require six to ten PM10 monitors in an MSA with
the population and air quality of the Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom MSA.
At the time the District drafted the Plan and through July 31, 2022,
there were eight monitoring sites in the MSA, four of which were in
Sacramento County. In 2022, the North Highlands monitoring station in
Sacramento County, which produced air pollution data through 2021 and
part of 2022, was closed.\53\ Because we are evaluating the continued
maintenance of the area using design values through 2022, we include
discussion of the four monitoring sites. However, our evaluation of the
adequacy of the monitoring network is based on the number of
operational monitoring sites at the time of this rulemaking. With the
temporary shutdown of the North Highlands monitoring site, the
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom MSA is operating a total of seven monitors;
thus, the MSA meets the minimum monitoring requirements.
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\53\ On August 1, 2022, the North Highlands monitoring site (AQS
ID: 06-067-0002) was dismantled at the request of the owner of the
property, following a withdrawal of permission for the continued
placement of the monitor on the property. Due to the deteriorating
condition of the station, immediate relocation was deemed not
feasible, and the District discontinued the monitor. SMAQMD will
work with the EPA to identify a relocation site. See email dated
July 28, 2022, from Janice Lam Snyder (SMAQMD) to Gwen Yoshimura
(Air Quality Analysis Office, EPA Region IX), Subject:
``Notification of Shut down of North Highlands Station due to
property owner request.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
During the 2017-2019 design value period covered by the Plan,
SMAQMD operated SLAMS monitors at three sites within Sacramento County
(North Highlands, Del Paso Manor, and Sacramento Branch Center), and
CARB operated a SLAMS monitor at one site (Sacramento T Street). Except
for the North Highlands monitor, these monitors continue to operate.
The Del Paso Manor monitoring site contains two collocated FRM
monitors, while the Sacramento Branch site has, and the North Highlands
site had, one FRM monitor each. The Sacramento T Street monitoring site
has a single FEM monitor. The schedule for PM10 sample
collection is one in six days for the FRM filter-based high-volume
samplers (Del Paso Manor, Sacramento Branch, and North Highlands
monitoring site), while the FEM monitor operates on a daily 24-hour
schedule (Sacramento T Street monitoring site).
SMAQMD and CARB jointly commit to continuing to operate a
regulatory monitoring network in accordance with 40 CFR part 58 and the
California SIP, to verify the attainment status of the area. The Plan
contains provisions for the continued operation of air quality monitors
that will provide such verification. These provisions include
maintaining the operational procedures of data collection, routine
calibrations, pre-run and post-run test procedures, and routine service
checks. Continued adherence to the annual network plan and annual
reviews of the entire air quality monitoring network will be performed
to determine if the network is effectively meeting the objectives of
the monitoring program. Furthermore, SMAQMD documents any modifications
of its monitoring network in its annual network plan that is submitted
and reviewed annually by the EPA.\54\
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\54\ SMAQMD 2022 Annual Network Plan, August 1, 2022.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Therefore, the EPA proposes to determine that the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan contains adequate provisions for continued operation
of an air quality monitoring network and a commitment to annually
verify continued attainment of the PM10 NAAQS for Sacramento
County.
D. Verification of Continued Attainment
Once an area has been redesignated, the state should continue to
operate an appropriate air quality monitoring network, in accordance
with 40 CFR part 58, to verify the continued attainment status of the
area.\55\ Data collected by the monitoring network during this time are
also needed to implement the contingency provisions of the maintenance
plan.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\55\ Calcagni Memo, p. 11.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As discussed in Section IV.C of this document, SMAQMD monitors
ambient concentrations of PM10 in the Sacramento County
planning area at three separate monitoring stations. In Section 5.5 of
the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, the District commits to continue
to operate a PM10 ambient monitoring network to track
maintenance of the PM10 standard in accordance with 40 CFR
part 58. The EPA also recommends that the state verify continued
attainment through methods supplementary to the ambient air monitoring
program, e.g., through periodic review of the factors used in the
development of the attainment inventory to track any significant
change.\56\ In the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, SMAQMD commits to
perform periodic reviews of the air monitoring data and assumptions
used to develop the emissions inventory as part of its effort to verify
that the County will continue to meet the 24-hour PM10
NAAQS. We are therefore proposing to determine that the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan contains adequate provisions for continued ambient
PM10 monitoring and for periodic review of emissions
inventory development assumptions to ensure the continued attainment
through the maintenance period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\56\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
E. Contingency Provisions
Section 175A(d) of the CAA requires that maintenance plans include
contingency provisions, as the EPA deems necessary, to promptly correct
any violations of the NAAQS that occur after the redesignation of the
area. Such provisions must include a requirement that the state will
implement all measures with respect to the control of the relevant air
pollutants that were contained in the SIP for the area before
redesignation of the area as an attainment area. These contingency
provisions are distinguished from contingency measures required for
nonattainment areas under CAA section 172(c)(9), in that they are not
required to be fully adopted measures that take effect without further
action by the state. However, the contingency provisions of a
maintenance plan are an enforceable part of the SIP and should ensure
that contingency measures are adopted expeditiously once they are
triggered. The maintenance plan should clearly identify the measures to
be adopted, include a schedule and procedure for adoption and
implementation of the measures, and contain a specific timeline for
action by the state. In addition, the state should identify the
specific indicators or triggers that will be used to determine when the
contingency measures need to be implemented.
The District has adopted a contingency plan to address possible
future PM10 air quality problems in the Sacramento County
planning area. The contingency plan is included in Section 6 of the
Plan. As noted by the District
[[Page 65347]]
in the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, contingency measures are to be
triggered to promptly correct any violation of the standard that occurs
during the maintenance period. In this case, these contingency measures
will be triggered when the number of monitored exceedances, averaged
over three years, is greater than 1.05. However, the contingency plan
also includes a detailed screening process that allows the District and
CARB, subject to EPA review and agreement, to exclude exceedances from
the trigger calculation if the agencies collectively determine that
information developed by the District is sufficient to support
exclusion. The purpose of the screening process is to differentiate
between exceedances that are not within the District's or State's
control (i.e., exceedances that occur despite the implementation of
reasonable measures), and exceedances that are within the District's or
State's control and therefore should be included in the trigger
calculation. Should the District or State exclude an exceedance from
the contingency trigger calculation using this process, it would not
constitute the EPA's concurrence that the exceedance was caused by an
exceptional event. The exceedance would therefore continue to be
included in design value calculations for the planning area, unless
CARB, following opportunity for public comment, submits a request for
the EPA to concur on the exceedance as an exceptional event pursuant to
40 CFR 50.14, and the EPA reviews the submittal and formally concurs.
Under the contingency trigger screening process described in the
Plan, the District will analyze any exceedance(s) within the District's
or State's control that leads to a violation of the NAAQS on a
quarterly basis, in order to determine the possible causes and take
appropriate action.\57\ The District will evaluate future emissions
reductions from already-adopted rules to determine if those reductions
would be sufficient to correct any exceedance(s). These rules could
include previously-adopted CARB or District PM10 or
NOX measures used to address ozone or PM10 SIP
requirements. Should the additional reductions resulting from these
measures be insufficient to correct the exceedance(s), the District has
committed to consider the implementation of new rules and/or
modifications to existing rules that would bring the area back into
maintenance.\58\ The District will complete its analysis of the
exceedance(s) that caused the violation and evaluate the most
appropriate control measures to adopt or implement within 6 months of
identifying the violation. This is followed by a 12-month period, in
which the District will adopt and implement the control measures
identified from this process to achieve the necessary reductions. In
total, the District will act to implement the contingency measures
within 18 months of a violation of the PM10 NAAQS. Based on
our review of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, we propose to find
that the contingency provisions of the Plan clearly identify potential
contingency measures, contain a triggering mechanism to determine when
contingency measures are needed, contain a description of the process
of recommending and implementing contingency measures, and contain
specific and appropriate timelines for action. We also propose to find
that the contingency trigger screening process, including the
associated EPA review, is reasonably designed to distinguish between
exceedances that were not within the District or State control, and
exceedances that were within the District or State control and for
which new or tightened control measures might be effective. Thus, we
propose to conclude that the contingency plan in the Plan is adequate
to ensure correction of any violation of the PM10 NAAQS that
occurs after redesignation, as required by section 175A(d) of the CAA.
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\57\ While not explicitly stated within the Plan, the District
later confirmed that analysis of PM10 monitoring data for
any violation that would trigger the District's contingency plan or
the exceptional event evaluation process would occur on a quarterly
basis. See email dated June 12, 2023 from Michael Dorantes (EPA) to
Janice Lam Snyder (SMAQMD). Subject: ``Sacramento County 2nd
PM10 Maintenance Plan; Inquiry regarding the Contingency
Action Trigger.''
\58\ Appendix C of the Plan compiles possible control measures
to reduce windblown dust and wood combustion.
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F. Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for Transportation Conformity
Section 176(c) of the CAA requires federal actions in nonattainment
and maintenance areas to conform to the SIP's goals of eliminating or
reducing the severity and number of violations of the NAAQS and
achieving expeditious attainment of the standards. Conformity to the
SIP's goals means that such actions will not: (1) cause or contribute
to violations of the NAAQS, (2) worsen the severity of an existing
violation, or (3) delay timely attainment of any NAAQS or any interim
milestone.
Actions involving Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) or Federal
Transit Administration (FTA) funding or approval are subject to the
EPA's transportation conformity rule codified at 40 CFR part 93,
subpart A. Under this rule, metropolitan planning organizations (MPOs)
in nonattainment and maintenance areas coordinate with state and local
air quality and transportation agencies, the EPA, FHWA, and FTA to
demonstrate that an area's regional transportation plans and
transportation improvement programs conform to the applicable SIP. This
demonstration is typically done by showing that estimated emissions
from existing and planned highway and transit systems are less than or
equal to the budgets contained in submitted or approved control
strategy SIPs and maintenance plans.\59\
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\59\ Control strategy SIPs refer to reasonable further progress
and attainment demonstration SIPs. 40 CFR 93.101.
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These control strategy SIPs and maintenance plans typically set
budgets for criteria pollutants and/or their precursors to address
pollution from on-road vehicles such as cars and trucks. Budgets are
generally established for specific years for those specific pollutants
or precursors. PM10 maintenance plan submittals must
identify budgets for transportation related PM10 emissions
for the last year of the maintenance period.\60\
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\60\ Transportation-related emissions of VOC and NOX
must also be specified in PM10 maintenance plans if the
EPA or the state finds that transportation-related emissions of one
or both of these precursors within the nonattainment area are a
significant contributor to the PM10 nonattainment problem
and has so notified the MPO and the U.S. Department of
Transportation (DOT), or the applicable SIP (or SIP revision
submission) establishes an approved (or adequate) budget for such
emissions as part of the reasonable further progress, attainment, or
maintenance strategy. 40 CFR 93.102(b)(2)(iii). An analysis of
precursors to PM10 emissions, performed in the first
maintenance plan, indicates that while NOX emissions
contributed significantly to wintertime ambient PM10
concentration, VOCs did not. (See Section 7.4 of the Plan.) Further,
40 CFR 93.118(b)(2)(i) requires that motor vehicle emissions budgets
must be established, at a minimum, for the last year of the
maintenance plan.
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For budgets in a maintenance plan to be approvable, they must meet,
at a minimum, the EPA's adequacy criteria.\61\ To meet these
requirements, the budgets must be consistent, when considered with
emissions from all other sources, with maintenance of the NAAQS and
reflect all the motor vehicle control measures relied upon for the
maintenance demonstration.
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\61\ 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4).
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The EPA also determines the adequacy of budgets in certain
submitted SIPs. The adequacy process is separate from the approval
process. The EPA's process for determining adequacy of a budget
consists of three basic steps:
[[Page 65348]]
(1) notifying the public of a SIP submittal, (2) providing the public
the opportunity to comment on the budget during a public comment
period, and (3) making a finding of adequacy or inadequacy. The process
for determining the adequacy of a submitted budget is codified at 40
CFR 93.118(f). The EPA can notify the public by either posting an
announcement that the EPA has received SIP budgets on the EPA's
adequacy website,\62\ or via a Federal Register notice of proposed
rulemaking when the EPA reviews the adequacy of a maintenance plan
budget simultaneously with its review and action on the SIP submittal
itself.\63\
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\62\ 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4).
\63\ 40 CFR 93.118(f)(2).
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The Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan includes budgets for direct
PM10 and NOX, on an average winter day, for the
first year of the maintenance plan (2024), an interim year (2027), and
the last year (2033) of the maintenance plan. The applicable source
categories within the budget for PM10 include direct exhaust
(includes tire and brake wear), transportation related (road)
construction emissions, re-entrained paved and unpaved road dust.
NOX budgets are based on combustion activity from on-road
motor vehicles. In developing the budgets, the District also rounded up
the motor vehicle emissions estimates to the nearest tenth of a ton and
included a safety margin of 0.5 tpd of NOX to the 2024
NOX budgets.\64\ The conformity budgets for these categories
and years are provided in Table 8 of this document.
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\64\ The District has determined, based on proportional rollback
analysis, that the addition of 0.5 tpd of NOX in 2024
will increase the future PM10 concentrations by less than
0.3 [mu]g/m\3\, which satisfies the requirements outlined in 40 CFR
93.124(a).
\65\ AP-42 is the EPA's Compilation of Air Pollutant Emission
Factors. It has been published since 1972 as the primary source of
the EPA's emission factor information. It contains emission factors
and process information for more than 200 air pollution source
categories. A source category is a specific industry sector or group
of similar emitting sources. The emission factors have been
developed and compiled from source test data, material balance
studies, and engineering estimates.
Table 8--Transportation Conformity Budgets for the Sacramento County PM10 Area
[PM10 tons per average winter day]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2024 2027 2033
Source category -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX PM10 NOX PM10 NOX PM10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Vehicular Exhaust \a\ (includes tire and break wear for 10.68 2.09 9.57 2.17 8.30 2.27
PM10)..................................................
Re-Entrained Paved Road Dust \b\ (Total)................ N/A 8.25 N/A 8.52 N/A 9.15
Re-Entrained Unpaved Road Dust (City and Country Roads). N/A 0.62 N/A 0.61 N/A 0.59
Road Construction Dust.................................. N/A 3.65 N/A 4.04 N/A 4.31
Safety Margin........................................... 0.5 N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
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Total \c\........................................... 11.18 14.62 9.57 15.34 8.30 16.32
Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets \d\..................... 11.2 14.7 9.6 15.4 8.4 16.4
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\a\ This reflects the adjustment factor for SAFE Vehicle Rule using EMFAC 2017.
\b\ Paved road dust was not measured directly and is based on CARB's Miscellaneous Process Methodology, which computed paved road dust using the
emission factor equation provided by EPA's AP-42: Compilation of Air Emissions Factors document.\65\
\c\ Values from California Emissions Projection Analysis Model (CEPAM) 2019: External Adjustment Reporting Tool Version 1.02 may not add up due to
rounding.
\d\ This reflects the adjustment factor for SAFE Vehicle Rule using EMFAC 2017.
Source: Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, Table 7-1, extracted from CEPAM 2019: External Adjustments Reporting Tool Version 1.02 and EMFAC2017.
The District, the Sacramento County MPO, and CARB jointly developed
the budgets, taking into consideration the expected population-related
growth trends for the county since the first maintenance plan.
Specifically, Sacramento Council of Governments (SACOG), the MPO for
the six county Sacramento region,\66\ used both the Sacramento
Activity-Based Simulation Model (SACSIM) program and data contained
within the 2020 Metropolitan Transportation Plan/Sustainable
Communities Strategy (``2020 MTP/SCS'') to develop a travel demand
model to forecast VMT for future years within the area.\67\
Transportation activity data from the 2020 MTP/SCS and emissions
modeling generated by CARB's EMFAC 2017 model were used to calculate
the budgets. CARB further adjusted the budgets in the Plan to account
for the Safer Affordable Fuel-Efficient Vehicle Rule Part 1.\68\
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\66\ The six counties are El Dorado, Placer, Sacramento, Sutter,
Yolo, and Yuba counties.
\67\ Information on SACSIM is located at: https://www.sacog.org/modelingandthe2020MTP/SCS is located at: https://www.sacog.org/2020-metropolitan-transportation-plansustainable-communities-strategy-update.
\68\ 85 FR 24174 (June 29, 2020).
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In contrast to PM2.5, where road dust applies in
transportation conformity only if found to be significant or if budgets
include it, for PM10 road dust is always considered.\69\ The
EPA requires road dust emissions to be included in all transportation
conformity analyses of direct PM10 emissions because
fugitive dust from roadways and other sources dominate PM10
on-road emissions inventories. The budgets in the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan, therefore, include paved and unpaved road emissions.
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\69\ See 40 CFR 93.102(b)(3).
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Regional PM10 emissions analyses for transportation
conformity determinations in PM10 nonattainment and
maintenance areas must also account for highway and transit project
construction-related fugitive PM10 emissions if the control
strategy or maintenance plan identifies such emissions as a contributor
to the air quality problem.\70\ Emissions estimates developed for the
Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan show that fugitive PM10
emissions from highway and transit project construction are a
significant portion of total regional PM10 emissions for the
Sacramento County planning area. Consequently, the budgets in the Plan
reflect highway and transit project construction-related fugitive dust.
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\70\ 40 CFR 93.122(e).
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We evaluated the budgets against our adequacy criteria in 40 CFR
93.118(e)(4) and (5) as part of our review of the budget's
approvability. While adequacy and approval are two separate actions,
[[Page 65349]]
reviewing the budgets in terms of the adequacy criteria informs the
EPA's decision to propose to approve the budgets. We have completed our
detailed review of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan for Sacramento
County and are proposing herein to approve the Plan including the
demonstration of maintenance of the PM10 NAAQS in the area
through the year 2033. We have also reviewed the budgets in the Plan
and found that they are consistent with the maintenance demonstration
for which we are proposing approval, are clearly identified and
precisely quantified, are based on control measures that have already
been adopted and implemented, and meet all other applicable statutory
and regulatory requirements, including the adequacy criteria in 40 CFR
93.118(e)(4) and (5).\71\ For these reasons, the EPA proposes to
approve the 2024, 2027, and 2033 budgets in the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan.
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\71\ Technical Support Document for the Adequacy Review of the
Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets within the Second 10-Year
PM10 Maintenance Plan for Sacramento County can be found
within the docket for this rulemaking.
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In addition, in this document the EPA is announcing the beginning
of the adequacy process for these budgets. Under the transportation
conformity regulation, the EPA can begin this process with our proposed
action on the second maintenance plan.\72\ The public has 30 days to
comment on the adequacy of the budgets, per the transportation
conformity rule at 40 CFR 93.118(f)(2)(i) and (ii). Any comments on the
adequacy of the budgets should be submitted to the docket for this
proposed rulemaking.
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\72\ See the transportation conformity regulation at 40 CFR
93.119(f).
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When we finalize our proposed approval of the budgets, they must be
used by SACOG (i.e., the MPO for this area) for transportation
conformity determinations for the Sacramento County planning area
effective upon the publication date of our finalized approval.\73\
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\73\ 40 CFR 93.118(f)(2)(iii).
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V. Proposed Action and Request for Public Comment
Under CAA section 110(k)(3), and for the reasons set forth in this
document, the EPA is proposing to approve the Second 10-Year
Maintenance Plan submitted by CARB by letter dated October 21, 2021, as
a revision to the California SIP. We are proposing to approve the
maintenance demonstration and contingency provisions as meeting all
applicable requirements for maintenance plans and related contingency
provisions in CAA section 175A, and the motor vehicle emissions budgets
for 2024, 2027, and 2033 (shown in Table 8) for transportation
conformity purposes, as we propose to find they meet all applicable
criteria for such budgets including the adequacy criteria under 40 CFR
93.118(e).
We are soliciting comments on these proposed actions, including our
concurrence on the exceptional events demonstration for the 2018
exceedances in Sacramento County as part of the technical basis for the
approval of the Second 10-Year Maintenance Plan, as well as the
adequacy of the motor vehicle emissions budgets. We will accept
comments from the public for 30 days following publication of this
proposal in the Federal Register and will consider any relevant
comments before taking final action.
VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the Clean Air Act, the Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and
applicable federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the EPA's role is to approve state
choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the Clean Air Act.
Accordingly, this proposed action merely approves state law as meeting
federal requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law. For that reason, this proposed action:
Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 14094 (88 FR 21879April 11,
2023);
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001); and
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the Clean Air Act.
In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area where the EPA or an Indian tribe
has demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, this rulemaking does not have tribal implications and
will not impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or
preempt tribal law as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249,
November 9, 2000).
Executive Order 12898 (Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations, 59 FR 7629,
Feb. 16, 1994) directs Federal agencies to identify and address
``disproportionately high and adverse human health or environmental
effects'' of their actions on minority populations and low-income
populations to the greatest extent practicable and permitted by law.
The EPA defines environmental justice (EJ) as ``the fair treatment and
meaningful involvement of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income with respect to the development,
implementation, and enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and
policies.'' The EPA further defines the term fair treatment to mean
that ``no group of people should bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks, including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and policies.''
The State did not evaluate environmental justice considerations as
part of its SIP submittal; the CAA and applicable implementing
regulations neither prohibit nor require such an evaluation. The EPA
did not perform an EJ analysis and did not consider EJ in this action.
If finalized, this action is expected to have a neutral to positive
impact on the air quality of the affected area. Consideration of EJ is
not required as part of this action, and there is no information in the
record inconsistent with the stated goal of E.O. 12898 of achieving
environmental justice for people of color, low-income populations, and
Indigenous peoples.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
[[Page 65350]]
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Particulate matter, Sulfur dioxide,
Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Volatile organic compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 18, 2023.
Martha Guzman Aceves,
Regional Administrator, Region IX.
[FR Doc. 2023-20555 Filed 9-21-23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P