Federal “Good Neighbor Plan” for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards, 36654-36918 [2023-05744]
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36654
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 52, 75, 78, and 97
[EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668; FRL–8670–02–
OAR]
RIN 2060–AV51
Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor Plan’’ for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standards
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
This action finalizes Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) requirements
to address 23 states’ obligations to
eliminate significant contribution to
nonattainment, or interference with
maintenance, of the 2015 ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS) in other states. The U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
is taking this action under the ‘‘good
neighbor’’ or ‘‘interstate transport’’
provision of the Clean Air Act (CAA or
Act). The Agency is defining the amount
of ozone-precursor emissions
(specifically, nitrogen oxides) that
constitute significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance from these 23 states. With
respect to fossil fuel-fired power plants
in 22 states, this action will prohibit
those emissions by implementing an
allowance-based trading program
beginning in the 2023 ozone season.
With respect to certain other industrial
stationary sources in 20 states, this
action will prohibit those emissions
through emissions limitations and
associated requirements beginning in
the 2026 ozone season. These industrial
source types are: reciprocating internal
combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
DATES: This final rule is effective on
August 4, 2023.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a
docket for this rulemaking under Docket
ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668. All
documents in the docket are listed in
the https://www.regulations.gov index.
Although listed in the index, some
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SUMMARY:
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information is not publicly available,
e.g., Confidential Business Information
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other
material, such as copyrighted material,
will be publicly available only in hard
copy. Publicly available docket
materials are available either
electronically at https://
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, EPA Docket Center, William
Jefferson Clinton West Building, Room
3334, 1301 Constitution Ave. NW,
Washington, DC. The Public Reading
Room is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30
p.m., Monday through Friday, excluding
legal holidays. The telephone number
for the Public Reading Room is (202)
566–1744, and the telephone number for
the Office of Air and Radiation Docket
is (202) 566–1742.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ms.
Elizabeth Selbst, Air Quality Policy
Division, Office of Air Quality Planning
and Standards (C539–01),
Environmental Protection Agency, 109
TW Alexander Drive, Research Triangle
Park, NC 27711; telephone number:
(312) 886–4746; email address:
selbst.elizabeth@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Preamble Glossary of Terms and
Abbreviations
The following are abbreviations of
terms used in the preamble.
2016v1 2016 Version 1 Emissions Modeling
Platform
2016v2 2016 Version 2 Emissions Modeling
Platform
4-Step Framework 4-Step Interstate
Transport Framework
ABC Associated Builders and Contractors
ACS American Community Survey
ACT Alternative Control Techniques
AEO Annual Energy Outlook
AQAT Air Quality Assessment Tool
AQS Air Quality System
BACT Best Available Control Technology
BART Best Available Retrofit Technology
BOF Basic Oxygen Furnace
BPT Benefit Per Ton
C1C2 Category 1 and Category 2
C3 Category 3
CAA or Act Clean Air Act
CAIR Clean Air Interstate Rule
CBI Confidential Business Information
CCR Coal Combustion Residual
CDC Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention
CDX Central Data Exchange
CEDRI Compliance and Emissions Data
Reporting Interface
CEMS Continuous Emissions Monitoring
Systems
CES Clean Energy Standards
CFB Circulating Fluidized Bed Units
CHP Combined Heat and Power
CMDB Control Measures Database
CMV Commercial Marine Vehicle
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CoST Control Strategy Tool
CPT Cost Per Ton
CRA Congressional Review Act
CSAPR Cross-State Air Pollution Rule
DAHS Data Acquisition and Handling
System
DOE Department of Energy
EAF Electric Arc Furnace
EGU Electric Generating Unit
EIA U.S. Energy Information Agency
EIS Emissions Inventory System
EISA Energy Independence and Security
Act
ELG Effluent Limitation Guidelines
E.O. Executive Order
EPA or the Agency United States
Environmental Protection Agency
ERT Electronic Reporting Tool
FERC Federal Energy Regulatory
Commission
FFS Findings of Failure to Submit
FIP Federal Implementation Plan
GIS Geographic Information System
g/hp-hr grams per horsepower per hour
HDGHG Greenhouse Gas Emissions and
Fuel Efficiency Standards for Medium- and
Heavy-Duty Engines and Vehicles
HEDD High Electricity Demand Days
ICI Industrial, Commercial, and
Institutional
I/M Inspection and Maintenance
IPM Integrated Planning Model
IRA Inflation Reduction Act
LAER Lowest Achievable Emission Rate
LDC Local Distribution Company
LME Low Mass Emissions
LNB Low-NOX Burners
MATS Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
MCM Menu of Control Measures
MDA8 Maximum Daily Average 8-Hour
MJO Multi-Jurisdictional Organization
MOU Memorandum of Understanding
MOVES Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator
MSAT2 Mobile Source Air Toxics Rule
MWC Municipal Waste Combustor
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality
Standards
NACAA National Association of Clean Air
Agencies
NAICS North American Industry
Classification System
NEEDS National Electric Energy Data
System
NEI National Emissions Inventory
NERC North American Electric Reliability
Corporation
NESHAP National Emissions Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants
NMB Normalized Mean Bias
NME Normalized Mean Error
No SISNOSE No Significant Economic
Impact on a Substantial Number of Small
Entities
Non-EGU Non-Electric Generating Unit
NODA Notice of Data Availability
NOX Nitrogen Oxides
NREL National Renewable Energy Lab
NSCR Non-Selective Catalytic Reduction
NSPS New Source Performance Standard
NSR New Source Review
NTTAA National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act
OFA Over-Fire Air
OMB United States Office of Management
and Budget
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
OSAT/APCA Ozone Source Apportionment
Technology/Anthropogenic Precursor
Culpability Analysis
OTC Ozone Transport Commission
OTR Ozone Transport Region
OTSA Oklahoma Tribal Statistical Area
PDF Portable Document Format
PEMS Predictive Emissions Monitoring
Systems
PM2.5 Fine Particulate Matter
ppb parts per billion
ppm parts per million
ppmv parts per million by volume
ppmvd parts per million by volume, dry
PRA Paperwork Reduction Act
PSD Prevention of Significant Deterioration
PTE Potential to Emit
RACT Reasonably Available Control
Technology
RATA Relative Accuracy Test Audit
RCF Relative Contribution Factor
RFA Regulatory Flexibility Act
RICE Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines
ROP Rate of Progress
RPS Renewable Portfolio Standards
RRF Relative Response Factor
RTC Response to Comments
RTO Regional Transmission Organization
SAFETEA Safe, Accountable, Flexible,
Efficient, Transportation Equity Act
SCC Source Classification Code
SCR Selective Catalytic Reduction
SIL Significant Impact Level
SIP State Implementation Plan
SMOKE Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel
Emissions
SNCR Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction
SO2 Sulfur Dioxide
tpd ton per day
TAS Treatment as State
TSD Technical Support Document
UMRA Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
VMT Vehicle Miles Traveled
VOCs Volatile Organic Compounds
WRAP Western Regional Air Partnership
WRF Weather Research and Forecasting
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Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
A. Purpose of the Regulatory Action
1. Emissions Limitations for EGUs
Established by the Final Rule
2. Emissions Limitations for Industrial
Stationary Point Sources Established by
the Final Rule
B. Summary of the Regulatory Framework
of the Rule
C. Costs and Benefits
II. General Information
A. Does this action apply to me?
B. What action is the Agency taking?
C. What is the Agency’s legal authority for
taking this action?
D. What actions has the EPA previously
issued to address regional ozone
transport?
III. Air Quality Issues Addressed and Overall
Rule Approach
A. The Interstate Ozone Transport Air
Quality Challenge
1. Nature of Ozone and the Ozone NAAQS
2. Ozone Transport
3. Health and Environmental Effects
B. Final Rule Approach
1. The 4-Step Interstate Transport
Framework
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a. Step 1 Approach
b. Step 2 Approach
c. Step 3 Approach
d. Step 4 Approach
2. FIP Authority for Each State Covered by
the Rule
C. Other CAA Authorities for This Action
1. Withdrawal of Proposed Error Correction
for Delaware
2. Application of Rule in Indian Country
and Necessary or Appropriate Finding
a. Indian Country Subject to Tribal
Jurisdiction
b. Indian Country Subject to State
Implementation Planning Authority
D. Severability
IV. Analyzing Downwind Air Quality
Problems and Contributions From
Upwind States
A. Selection of Analytic Years for
Evaluating Ozone Transport
Contributions to Downwind Air Quality
Problems
B. Overview of Air Quality Modeling
Platform
C. Emissions Inventories
1. Foundation Emissions Inventory Data
Sets
2. Development of Emissions Inventories
for EGUs
a. EGU Emissions Inventories Supporting
This Rule
b. Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on
EGU Emissions
3. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Stationary Industrial Point Sources
4. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Onroad Mobile Sources
5. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Commercial Marine Vessels
6. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Other Nonroad Mobile Sources
7. Development of Emissions Inventories
for Nonpoint Sources
D. Air Quality Modeling To Identify
Nonattainment and Maintenance
Receptors
E. Methodology for Projecting Future Year
Ozone Design Values
F. Pollutant Transport From Upwind States
1. Air Quality Modeling To Quantify
Upwind State Ozone Contributions
2. Application of Ozone Contribution
Screening Threshold
a. States That Contribute Below the
Screening Threshold
b. States That Contribute Above the
Screening Threshold
G. Treatment of Certain Monitoring Sites in
California and Implications for Oregon’s
Good Neighbor Obligations for the 2015
Ozone NAAQS
V. Quantifying Upwind-State NOX Emissions
Reduction Potential To Reduce Interstate
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone
NAAQS
A. The Multi-Factor Test for Determining
Significant Contribution
B. Identifying Control Stringency Levels
1. EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
a. Optimizing Existing SCRs
b. Installing State-of-the-Art NOX
Combustion Controls
c. Optimizing Already Operating SNCRs or
Turning on Idled Existing SNCRs
d. Installing New SNCRs
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e. Installing New SCRs
f. Generation Shifting
g. Other EGU Mitigation Measures
2. Non-EGU or Stationary Industrial Source
NOX Mitigation Strategies
3. Other Stationary Sources NOX
Mitigation Strategies
a. Municipal Solid Waste Units
b. Electric Generating Units Less Than or
Equal to 25 MW
c. Cogeneration Units
4. Mobile Source NOX Mitigation Strategies
C. Control Stringencies Represented by
Cost Threshold ($ per ton) and
Corresponding Emissions Reductions
1. EGU Emissions Reduction Potential by
Cost Threshold
2. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Emissions
Reduction Potential
D. Assessing Cost, EGU and Industrial
Source NOX Reductions, and Air Quality
1. EGU Assessment
2. Stationary Industrial Sources
Assessment
3. Combined EGU and Non-EGU
Assessment
4. Over-Control Analysis
VI. Implementation of Emissions Reductions
A. NOX Reduction Implementation
Schedule
1. 2023–2025: EGU NOX Reductions
Beginning in 2023
2. 2026 and Later Years: EGU and
Stationary Industrial Source NOX
Reductions Beginning in 2026
a. EGU Schedule for 2026 and Later Years
b. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Schedule
for 2026 and Later Years
B. Regulatory Requirements for EGUs
1. Trading Program Background and
Overview of Revisions
a. Current CSAPR Trading Program Design
Elements and Identified Concerns
b. Enhancements To Maintain Selected
Control Stringency Over Time
i. Revised Emissions Budget-Setting
Process
ii. Allowance Bank Recalibration
c. Enhancements To Improve Emissions
Performance at Individual Units
i. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions
Rates
ii. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations
Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
d. Responses to General Comments on the
Revisions to the Group 3 Trading
Program
2. Expansion of Geographic Scope
3. Applicability and Tentative
Identification of Newly Affected Units
4. State Emissions Budgets
a. Methodology for Determining Preset
State Emissions Budgets for the 2023
through 2029 Control Periods
b. Methodology for Determining Dynamic
State Emissions Budgets for Control
Periods in 2026 Onwards
c. Final Preset State Emissions Budgets
5. Variability Limits and Assurance Levels
6. Annual Recalibration of Allowance Bank
7. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions
Rates
8. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations
Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
9. Unit-Level Allowance Allocation and
Recordation Procedures
a. Set-Asides of Portions of State Emissions
Budgets
b. Allocations to Existing Units, Including
Units That Cease Operation
c. Allocations From Portions of State
Emissions Budgets Set Aside for New
Units
d. Incorrectly Allocated Allowances
10. Monitoring and Reporting
Requirements
a. Monitor Certification Deadlines
b. Additional Recordkeeping and Reporting
Requirements
11. Designated Representative
Requirements
12. Transitional Provisions
a. Prorating Emissions Budgets, Assurance
Levels, and Unit-Level Allowance
Allocations in the Event of an Effective
Date After May 1, 2023
b. Creation of Additional Group 3
Allowance Bank for 2023 Control Period
c. Recall of Group 2 Allowances for Control
Periods After 2022
13. Conforming Revisions to Regulations
for Other CSAPR Trading Programs
C. Regulatory Requirements for Stationary
Industrial Sources
1. Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
2. Cement and Concrete Product
Manufacturing
3. Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing
4. Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
5. Boilers at Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills, Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloys Manufacturing, and Metal
Ore Mining Facilities
a. Coal-fired Industrial Boilers
b. Oil-fired Industrial Boilers
c. Natural gas-fired Industrial Boilers
6. Municipal Waste Combustors
D. Submitting a SIP
1. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for
2024 under EGU Trading Program
2. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for
2025 and Beyond Under EGU Trading
Program
3. SIP Option To Replace the Federal EGU
Trading Program With an Integrated
State EGU Trading Program
4. SIP Revisions That Do Not Use the New
Trading Program
5. SIP Revision Requirements for Non-EGU
or Industrial Source Control
Requirements
E. Title V Permitting
1. Title V Permitting Considerations for
EGUs
2. Title V Permitting Considerations for
Industrial Stationary Sources
F. Relationship to Other Emissions Trading
and Ozone Transport Programs
1. NOX SIP Call
2. Acid Rain Program
3. Other CSAPR Trading Programs
VII. Environmental Justice Analytical
Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
A. Introduction
B. Analytical Considerations
C. Outreach and Engagement
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VIII. Costs, Benefits, and Other Impacts of the
Final Rule
IX. Summary of Changes to the Regulatory
Text for the Federal Implementation
Plans and Trading Programs for EGUs
A. Amendments to FIP Provisions in 40
CFR Part 52
B. Amendments to Group 3 Trading
Program and Related Regulations
C. Transitional Provisions
D. Clarifications and Conforming Revisions
X. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review and Executive
Order 13563: Improving Regulation and
Regulatory Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. Information Collection Request for EGUs
2. Information Collection Request for NonEGUs
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA)
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions
To Address Environmental Justice in
Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations
K. Congressional Review Act
L. Determinations Under CAA Section
307(b)(1) and (d)
I. Executive Summary
This final rule resolves the interstate
transport obligations of 23 states under
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), referred
to as the ‘‘good neighbor provision’’ or
the ‘‘interstate transport provision’’ of
the Act, for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. On
October 1, 2015, the EPA revised the
primary and secondary 8-hour standards
for ozone to 70 parts per billion (ppb).1
States were required to submit to EPA
ozone infrastructure State
Implementation Plan (SIP) revisions to
fulfill interstate transport obligations for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS by October 1,
2018. The EPA proposed the subject
rule to address outstanding interstate
ozone transport obligations for the 2015
ozone NAAQS in the Federal Register
on April 6, 2022 (87 FR 20036).
The EPA is making a finding that
interstate transport of ozone precursor
emissions from 23 upwind states
(Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
1 See
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Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) is
significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in downwind states, based on projected
ozone precursor emissions in the 2023
ozone season. The EPA is issuing FIP
requirements to eliminate interstate
transport of ozone precursor emissions
from these 23 states that significantly
contributes to nonattainment or
interferes with maintenance of the
NAAQS in downwind states. The EPA
is not finalizing its proposed error
correction for Delaware’s ozone
transport SIP, and we are deferring final
action at this time on the proposed FIPs
for Tennessee and Wyoming pending
further review of the updated air quality
and contribution modeling and analysis
developed for this final action. As
discussed in section III of this
document, the EPA’s updated analysis
of 2023 suggests that the states of
Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, and New Mexico
may be significantly contributing to one
or more nonattainment or maintenance
receptors. The EPA is not making any
final determinations with respect to
these states in this action but intends to
address these states, along with
Tennessee and Wyoming, in a
subsequent action or actions.
The EPA is finalizing FIP
requirements for 21 states for which the
Agency has, in a separate action,
disapproved (or partially disapproved)
ozone transport SIP revisions that were
submitted for the 2015 ozone NAAQS:
Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Texas, Utah, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin. See 88 FR 9336. In this final
rule, the EPA is issuing FIPs for two
states—Pennsylvania and Virginia—for
which the EPA issued Findings of
Failure to Submit for 2015 ozone
NAAQS transport SIPs. See 84 FR 66612
(December 5, 2019). Under CAA section
301(d)(4), the EPA is extending FIP
requirements to apply in Indian country
located within the upwind geography of
the final rule, including Indian
reservation lands and other areas of
Indian country over which the EPA or
a tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction.2
This final rule defines ozone season
nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions
2 In general, specific tribal names or reservations
are not identified separately in this final rule except
as needed. See section III.C.2 of this document for
further discussion about the application of this rule
in Indian Country.
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
performance obligations for Electric
Generating Unit (EGU) sources and
fulfills those obligations by
implementing an allowance-based
ozone season trading program beginning
in 2023. This rule also establishes
emissions limitations beginning in 2026
for certain other industrial stationary
sources (referred to generally as ‘‘nonElectric Generating Units’’ (non-EGUs)).
Taken together, these regulatory
requirements will fully eliminate the
amount of emissions that constitute the
covered states’ significant contribution
to nonattainment and interference with
maintenance in downwind states for
purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
This final rule implements the
necessary emissions reductions as
follows. Under the FIP requirements,
EGUs in 22 states (Alabama, Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) are
required to participate in a revised
version of the Cross-State Air Pollution
Rule (CSAPR) NOX Ozone Season Group
3 Trading Program that was previously
established in the Revised CSAPR
Update.3 In addition to reflecting
emissions reductions based on the
Agency’s determination of the necessary
control stringency in this rule, the
revised trading program includes
several enhancements to the program’s
design to better ensure achievement of
the selected control stringency on all
days of the ozone season and over time.
For 12 states already required to
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program
(Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia) under the Revised
CSAPR Update (with respect to the 2008
ozone NAAQS), the FIPs are amended
by the revisions to the Group 3 trading
program regulations. For seven states
currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
under SIPs or FIPs, the EPA is issuing
new FIPs for two states (Alabama and
Missouri) and amending existing FIPs
for five states (Arkansas, Mississippi,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin) to
transition EGU sources in these states
from the Group 2 program to the revised
Group 3 trading program, beginning
with the 2023 ozone season. The EPA is
3 As explained in section V.C.1 of this document,
the EPA is making a finding that EGU sources
within the State of California are sufficiently
controlled such that no further emissions
reductions are needed from them to eliminate
significant contribution to downwind states.
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issuing new FIPs for three states not
currently covered by any CSAPR NOX
ozone season trading program:
Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah.
This rulemaking requires emissions
reductions in the selected control
stringency to be achieved as
expeditiously as practicable and, to the
extent possible, by the next applicable
nonattainment dates for downwind
areas for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Thus,
initial emissions reductions from EGUs
will be required beginning in the 2023
ozone season and prior to the August 3,
2024, attainment date for areas
classified as Moderate nonattainment
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The remaining emissions reduction
obligations will be phased in as soon as
possible thereafter. Substantial
additional reductions from potential
new post-combustion control
installations at EGUs as well as from
installation of new pollution controls at
non-EGUs, also referred to in this action
as industrial sources, will phase in
beginning in the 2026 ozone season,
associated with the August 3, 2027,
attainment date for areas classified as
Serious nonattainment for the 2015
ozone NAAQS. The EPA had proposed
to require all emissions reductions to
eliminate significant contribution to be
in place by the 2026 ozone season.
While we continue to view 2026 as the
appropriate analytic year for purposes of
applying the 4-step interstate transport
framework, as discussed in section
V.D.4 and VI.A.2 of this document, the
final rule will allow individual facilities
limited additional time to fully
implement the required emissions
reductions where the owner or operator
demonstrates to the EPA’s satisfaction
that more rapid compliance is not
possible. For EGUs, the emissions
trading program budget stringency
associated with retrofit of postcombustion controls will be phased in
over two ozone seasons (2026–2027).
For industrial sources, this final rule
provides a process for individual
facilities to seek a one year extension,
with the possibility of up to two
additional years, based on a specific
showing of necessity.
The EGU emissions reductions are
based on the feasibility of control
installation for EGUs in 19 states that
remain linked to downwind
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors in 2026. These 19 states are:
Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia. The emissions
reductions required for EGUs in these
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36657
states are based primarily on the
potential retrofit of additional postcombustion controls for NOX on most
coal-fired EGUs and a portion of oil/gasfired EGUs that are currently lacking
such controls.
The EPA is finalizing, with some
modifications from proposal in response
to comments, certain additional features
in the allowance-based trading program
approach for EGUs, including dynamic
adjustments of the emissions budgets
and recalibration of the allowance bank
over time as well as backstop daily
emissions rate limits for large coal-fired
units. The purpose of these
enhancements is to better ensure that
the emissions control stringency the
EPA found necessary to eliminate
significant contribution at Step 3 of the
4-step interstate transport framework is
maintained over time in Step 4
implementation and is durable to
changes in the power sector. These
enhancements ensure the elimination of
significant contribution is maintained
both in terms of geographical
distribution (by limiting the degree to
which individual sources can avoid
making emissions reductions) and in
terms of temporal distribution (by better
ensuring emissions reductions are
maintained throughout each ozone
season, year over year). As we further
discuss in section V.D of this document,
these changes do not alter the stringency
of the emissions trading program over
time. Rather, they ensure that the
trading program (as the method of
implementation at Step 4) remains
aligned with the determinations made at
Step 3. These enhancements are further
discussed in section VI.B of this
document.
The EPA is making a finding that NOX
emissions from certain non-EGU sources
are significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
and that cost-effective controls for NOX
emissions reductions are available in
certain industrial source categories that
would result in meaningful air quality
improvements in downwind receptors.
The EPA is establishing emissions
limitations beginning in 2026 for nonEGU sources located within 20 states:
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri,
Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah,
Virginia, and West Virginia. The final
rule establishes NOX emissions
limitations during the ozone season for
the following unit types for sources in
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non-EGU industries: 4 reciprocating
internal combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
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A. Purpose of the Regulatory Action
The purpose of this rulemaking is to
protect public health and the
environment by reducing interstate
transport of certain air pollutants that
significantly contribute to
nonattainment, or interfere with
maintenance, of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in downwind states. Ground-level ozone
has detrimental effects on human health
as well as vegetation and ecosystems.
Acute and chronic exposure to ozone in
humans is associated with premature
mortality and certain morbidity effects,
such as asthma exacerbation. Ozone
exposure can also negatively impact
ecosystems by limiting tree growth,
causing foliar injury, and changing
ecosystem community composition.
Section III of this document provides
additional evidence of the harmful
effects of ozone exposure on human
health and the environment. Studies
have established that ozone air
pollution can be transported over
hundreds of miles, with elevated
ground-level ozone concentrations
occurring in rural and metropolitan
areas.5 6 Assessments of ozone control
approaches have concluded that control
strategies targeting reduction of NOX
emissions are an effective method to
reduce regional-scale ozone transport.7
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requires
states to prohibit emissions that will
contribute significantly to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance in any other state with
4 We use the terms ‘‘emissions limitation’’ and
‘‘emissions limit’’ to refer to both numeric
emissions limitations and control technology
requirements that specify levels of emissions
reductions to be achieved.
5 Bergin, M.S. et al. (2007) Regional air quality:
local and interstate impacts of NOX and SO2
emissions on ozone and fine particulate matter in
the eastern United States. Environmental Sci &
Tech. 41: 4677–4689.
6 Liao, K. et al. (2013) Impacts of interstate
transport of pollutants on high ozone events over
the Mid-Atlantic United States. Atmospheric
Environment 84, 100–112.
7 See 82 FR 51238, 51248 (November 3, 2017)
[citing 76 FR 48208, 48222 (August 8, 2011)] and
63 FR 57381 (October 27, 1998).
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respect to any primary or secondary
NAAQS.8 Within 3 years of the EPA
promulgating a new or revised NAAQS,
all states are required to provide SIP
submittals, often referred to as
‘‘infrastructure SIPs,’’ addressing certain
requirements, including the good
neighbor provision. See CAA section
110(a)(1) and (2). The EPA must either
approve or disapprove such submittals
or make a finding that a state has failed
to submit a complete SIP revision. As
with any other type of SIP under the
Act, when the EPA disapproves an
interstate transport SIP or finds that a
state failed to submit an interstate
transport SIP, the CAA requires the EPA
to issue a FIP to directly implement the
measures necessary to eliminate
significant contribution under the good
neighbor provision. See generally CAA
section 110(k) and 110(c). As such, in
this rule, the EPA is finalizing
requirements to fully address good
neighbor obligations for the covered
states for the 2015 ozone NAAQS under
its authority to promulgate FIPs under
CAA section 110(c). By eliminating
significant contribution from these
upwind states, this rule will make
substantial and meaningful
improvements in air quality by reducing
ozone levels at the identified downwind
receptors as well as many other areas of
the country. At any time after the
effective date of this rule, states may
submit a Good Neighbor SIP to replace
the FIP requirements contained in this
rule, subject to EPA approval under
CAA section 110(a).
The EPA conducted air quality
modeling for the 2023 and 2026 analytic
years to identify (1) the downwind areas
identified as ‘‘receptors’’ (which are
associated with monitoring sites) that
are expected to have trouble attaining or
maintaining the 2015 ozone NAAQS in
the future and (2) the contribution of
ozone transport from upwind states to
the downwind air quality problems. We
use the term ‘‘downwind’’ to describe
those states or areas where a receptor is
located, and we use the term ‘‘upwind’’
to describe states whose emissions are
linked to one or more receptors. States
may be both downwind and upwind
depending on the receptor or linkage in
question. Section IV of this document
provides a full description of the results
of the EPA’s updated air quality
modeling and relevant analyses for the
rulemaking, including a discussion of
how updates to the modeling and air
quality analysis following the proposed
rule have resulted in some modest
changes in the overall geography of the
final rule. Based on the EPA’s air quality
8 42
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analysis, the 23 upwind states covered
in this action are linked above the 1
percent of the NAAQS threshold to
downwind air quality problems in
downwind states. The EPA intends to
expeditiously review the updated air
quality modeling and related analyses to
address potential good neighbor
requirements of six additional states—
Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, New Mexico,
Tennessee, and Wyoming—in a
subsequent action. The EPA had
previously approved 2015 ozone
transport SIPs submitted by Oregon and
Delaware, but in the proposed FIP
action the EPA found these states
potentially to be linked in the modeling
supporting our proposal. We proposed
to issue an error correction for our prior
approval of Delaware’s 2015 ozone
transport SIP; however, in this final
rule, the EPA is withdrawing the
proposed error correction and the
proposed FIP for Delaware, because our
updated modeling for this final rule
confirms that Delaware is not linked
above the 1 percent of NAAQS
threshold (see section III.C.1 of this
document for additional information).
The EPA is deferring finalizing a finding
at this time for Oregon (see section IV.G
of this document for additional
information).
1. Emissions Limitations for EGUs
Established by the Final Rule
In this rule, the EPA is issuing FIP
requirements that apply the provisions
of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 Trading Program as revised in the rule
to EGU sources within the borders of the
following 22 states: Alabama, Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
Implementation of the revised trading
program provisions begins in the 2023
ozone season.
The EPA is expanding the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program beginning in the 2023 ozone
season. Specifically, the FIPs require
power plants within the borders of the
22 states listed in the previous
paragraph to participate in an expanded
and revised version of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
created by the Revised CSAPR Update.
Affected EGUs within the borders of the
following 12 states currently
participating in the Group 3 Trading
Program under existing FIPs remain in
the program, with revised provisions
beginning in the 2023 ozone season,
under this rule: Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
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Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia. The FIPs also require affected
EGUs within the borders of the
following seven states currently covered
by the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program (the ‘‘Group 2
trading program’’) under existing FIPs or
existing SIPs to transition from the
Group 2 program to the revised Group
3 trading program beginning with the
2023 control period: Alabama,
Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin.9
Finally, the EPA is issuing new FIPs for
EGUs within the borders of three states
not currently covered by any existing
CSAPR trading program for seasonal
NOX emissions: Minnesota, Nevada, and
Utah. Sources in these states will enter
the Group 3 trading program in the 2023
control period following the effective
date of the final rule.10 Refer to section
VI.B of this document for details on
EGU regulatory requirements.
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2. Emissions Limitations for Industrial
Stationary Point Sources Established by
the Final Rule
The EPA is issuing FIP requirements
that include new NOX emissions
limitations for industrial or non-EGU
sources in 20 states, with sources
expected to demonstrate compliance no
later than 2026. The EPA is requiring
emissions reductions from non-EGU
sources to address interstate transport
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
for the following 20 states: Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia and
West Virginia.
The EPA is establishing emissions
limitations for the following unit types
in non-EGU industries: reciprocating
internal combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
9 Five of these seven states (Arkansas,
Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin)
currently participate in the Federal Group 2 trading
program pursuant to the FIPs finalized in the
CSAPR Update. The FIPs required under this rule
amend the existing FIPs for these states. The other
two states (Alabama and Missouri) have already
replaced the FIPs finalized in the CSAPR Update
with approved SIP revisions that require their EGUs
to participate in state Group 2 trading programs
integrated with the Federal Group 2 trading
program, so the FIPs required in this action
constitute new FIPs for these states. The EPA will
cease implementation of the state Group 2 trading
programs included in the two states’ SIPs on the
effective date of this rule.
10 Three states, Kansas, Iowa, and Tennessee, will
remain in the Group 2 Trading Program.
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Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
Refer to Table II.A–1 for a list of North
American Industry Classification
System (NAICS) codes for each entity
included for regulation under this rule.
B. Summary of the Regulatory
Framework of the Rule
The EPA is applying the 4-step
interstate transport framework
developed and used in CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR
Update, and other previous ozone
transport rules under the authority
provided in CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). The 4-step interstate
transport framework provides a
stepwise method for the EPA to define
and implement good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The four steps are as follows: (Step 1)
identifying downwind receptors that are
expected to have problems attaining or
maintaining the NAAQS; (Step 2)
determining which upwind states
contribute to these identified problems
in amounts sufficient to ‘‘link’’ them to
the downwind air quality problems (i.e.,
in this rule as in prior transport rules
beginning with CSAPR in 2011, above a
contribution threshold of 1 percent of
the NAAQS); (Step 3) for states linked
to downwind air quality problems,
identifying upwind emissions that
significantly contribute to downwind
nonattainment or interfere with
downwind maintenance of the NAAQS
through a multifactor analysis; and
(Step 4) for states that are found to have
emissions that significantly contribute
to nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind areas, implementing the
necessary emissions reductions through
enforceable measures. The remainder of
this section provides a general overview
of the EPA’s application of the 4-step
framework as it applies to the
provisions of the rule; additional details
regarding the EPA’s approach are found
in section III of this document.
To apply the first step of the 4-step
framework to the 2015 ozone NAAQS,
the EPA performed air quality modeling
to project ozone concentrations at air
quality monitoring sites in 2023 and
2026.11 The EPA evaluated projected
11 These 2 analytic years are the last full ozone
seasons before, and thus align with, upcoming
attainment dates for the 2015 ozone NAAQS:
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36659
ozone concentrations for the 2023
analytic year at individual monitoring
sites and considered current ozone
monitoring data at these sites to identify
receptors that are anticipated to have
problems attaining or maintaining the
2015 ozone NAAQS. This analysis of
projected ozone concentrations was
then repeated for 2026.
To apply the second step of the
framework, the EPA used air quality
modeling to quantify the contributions
from upwind states to ozone
concentrations in 2023 and 2026 at
downwind receptors.12 Once quantified,
the EPA then evaluated these
contributions relative to a screening
threshold of 1 percent of the NAAQS
(i.e., 0.70 ppb).13 States with
contributions that equaled or exceeded
1 percent of the NAAQS were identified
as warranting further analysis at Step 3
of the 4-step framework to determine if
the upwind state significantly
contributes to nonattainment or
interference with maintenance in a
downwind state. States with
contributions below 1 percent of the
NAAQS were considered not to
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind states.
Based on the EPA’s most recent air
quality modeling and contribution
analysis using 2023 as the analytic year,
the EPA finds that the following 23
states have contributions that equal or
exceed 1 percent of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, and, thereby, warrant further
analysis of significant contribution to
nonattainment or interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS: Alabama,
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia,
and Wisconsin.
There are locations in California to
which Oregon contributes greater than 1
percent of the NAAQS; the EPA
August 3, 2024, for areas classified as Moderate
nonattainment, and August 3, 2027, for areas
classified as Serious nonattainment. See 83 FR
25776.
12 The EPA performed air quality modeling for
2032 in the proposed rulemaking, but did not
perform contribution modeling for 2032 since
contribution data for this year were not needed to
identify upwind states to be analyzed in Step 3. The
modeling of 2032 done at proposal using the
2016v2 platform does not constitute or represent
any final agency determinations respecting air
quality conditions or regulatory judgments with
respect to good neighbor obligations or any other
CAA requirements.
13 See section IV.F of this document for
explanation of EPA’s use of the 1 percent of the
NAAQS threshold in the Step 2 analysis.
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proposed that downwind areas
represented by these monitoring sites in
California should not be considered
interstate ozone transport receptors at
Step 1. However, the EPA is deferring
finalizing a finding at this time for
Oregon (see section IV.G of this
document for additional information).
Based on the air quality analysis
presented in section IV of this
document, the EPA finds that, with the
exception of Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin, the states found linked in
2023 will continue to contribute above
the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold
to at least one receptor whose
nonattainment and maintenance
concerns persist through the 2026 ozone
season. As a result, the EPA’s evaluation
of significantly contributing emissions
at Step 3 for Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin is limited to emissions
reductions achievable by the 2023 and
2024 ozone seasons.
At the third step of the 4-step
framework, the EPA applied a
multifactor test that incorporates cost,
availability of emissions reductions, and
air quality impacts at the downwind
receptors to determine the amount of
ozone precursor emissions from the
linked upwind states that
‘‘significantly’’ contribute to downwind
nonattainment or maintenance
receptors. The EPA is applying the
multifactor test described in section V.A
of this document to both EGU and
industrial sources. The EPA assessed
the potential emissions reductions in
2023 and 2026,14 as well as in
intervening and later years to determine
the emissions reductions required to
eliminate significant contribution in
2023 and future years where downwind
areas are projected to have potential
problems attaining or maintaining the
2015 ozone NAAQS.
For EGU sources, the EPA evaluated
the following set of widely-available
NOX emissions control technologies: (1)
fully operating existing selective
catalytic reduction (SCR) controls,
including both optimizing NOX removal
by existing operational SCRs and
turning on and optimizing existing idled
SCRs; (2) installing state-of-the-art NOX
14 The EPA included emissions reductions from
the potential installation of SCRs at all affected
large coal-fired EGUs in the 2026 analytic year for
the purposes of assessing significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with maintenance,
which is consistent with the associated attainment
date. However, in response to comments identifying
potential supply chain and outage scheduling
challenges if the full breadth of these assumed SCR
installations were to occur, the EPA is
implementing half of this emissions reduction
potential in 2026 ozone-season NOX budgets for
states containing these EGUs and the other half of
this emissions reduction potential in 2027 ozoneseason NOX budgets for those states.
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combustion controls; (3) fully operating
existing selective non-catalytic
reduction (SNCR) controls, including
both optimizing NOX removal by
existing operational SNCRs and turning
on and optimizing existing idled
SNCRs; (4) installing new SNCRs; (5)
installing new SCRs; and (6) generation
shifting. For the reasons explained in
section V of this document and
supported by the ‘‘Technical Support
Document (TSD) for the Final Federal
Good Neighbor Plan for the 2015 Ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standard,
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668, EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD’’ (Mar. 2023),
hereinafter referred to as the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD,
included in the docket for this action,
the EPA determines that for the
regional, multi-state scale of this
rulemaking, only fully operating and
optimizing existing SCRs and existing
SNCRs (EGU NOX emissions controls
options 1 and 3 in the list earlier) are
possible for the 2023 ozone season. The
EPA determined that state-of-the-art
NOX combustion controls at EGUs
(emissions control option 2 in the list
above) are available by the beginning of
the 2024 ozone season. See section
V.B.1 of this document for a full
discussion of EPA’s analysis of NOX
emissions mitigation strategies for EGU
sources.
The EPA is requiring control
stringency levels that offer the most
incremental NOX emissions reduction
potential from EGUs—among the
uniform mitigation measures assessed
for the covered region—and the most
corresponding downwind ozone air
quality improvements to the extent
feasible in each year analyzed. The EPA
is making a finding that the required
controls provide cost-effective
reductions of NOX emissions that will
provide substantial improvements in
downwind ozone air quality to address
interstate transport obligations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS in a timely manner.
These controls represent greater
stringency in upwind EGU controls than
in the EPA’s most recent ozone
transport rulemakings, such as the
CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR
Update. However, programs to address
interstate ozone transport based on the
retrofit of post-combustion controls are
by no means unprecedented. In prior
ozone transport rulemakings such as the
NOX SIP Call and the Clean Air
Interstate Rule (CAIR), the EPA
established EGU budgets premised on
the widespread availability of
retrofitting EGUs with post-combustion
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emissions controls such as SCR.15 While
these programs successfully drove many
EGUs to retrofit post-combustion
controls, other EGUs throughout the
present geography of linked upwind
states continue to operate without such
controls and continue to emit at
relatively high rates more than 20 years
after similar units reduced these
emissions under prior interstate ozone
transport rulemakings.
Furthermore, the CSAPR Update
provided only a partial remedy for
eliminating significant contribution for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS, as needed to
obtain available reductions by the 2017
ozone season. In that rule, the EPA
made no determination regarding the
appropriateness of more stringent EGU
NOX controls that would be required for
a full remedy for interstate transport for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS. Following the
remand of the CSAPR Update in
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C.
Cir. 2019) (Wisconsin), the EPA again
declined to require the retrofit of new
post-combustion controls on EGUs in
the Revised CSAPR Update, but that
determination was based on a specific
timing consideration: downwind air
quality problems under the 2008 ozone
NAAQS were projected to resolve before
post-combustion control retrofits could
be accomplished on a fleetwide,
regional scale. See 86 FR 23054, 23110
(April 30, 2021).
In this rulemaking, the EPA is
addressing good neighbor obligations for
the more protective 2015 ozone
NAAQS, and the Agency observes
ongoing and persistent contribution
from upwind states to ozone
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors in downwind states under that
NAAQS. As further discussed in section
V of this document, the nature of this
contribution warrants a greater degree of
control stringency than the EPA
determined to be necessary to eliminate
significant contribution of ozone
transport in prior CSAPR rulemakings.
In this rule, the EPA is requiring
emissions performance levels for EGU
NOX control strategies commensurate
with those determined to be necessary
in the NOX SIP Call and CAIR.
Based on the Step 3 analysis
described in section V of this document,
the EPA finds that emissions reductions
commensurate with the full operation of
all existing post-combustion controls
(both SCRs and SNCRs) and state-of-theart combustion control upgrades
constitute the Agency’s selected control
stringency for EGUs within the borders
of 22 states linked to downwind
15 See, e.g., 70 FR 25162, 25205–06 (May 12,
2005).
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nonattainment or maintenance in 2023
(Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia,
and Wisconsin). For 19 of those states
that are also linked in 2026 (Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West
Virginia), the EPA is determining that
the selected EGU control stringency also
includes emissions reductions
commensurate with the retrofit of SCR
at coal-fired units of 100 MW or greater
capacity (excepting circulating fluidized
bed units (CFB)), new SNCR on coalfired units of less than 100 MW capacity
and on CFBs of any capacity size, and
SCR on oil/gas steam units greater than
100 MW that have historically emitted
at least 150 tons of NOX per ozone
season.
To identify appropriate control
strategies for non-EGU sources to
achieve NOX emissions reductions that
would result in meaningful air quality
improvements in downwind areas, for
the proposed FIP, the EPA evaluated air
quality modeling information, annual
emissions, and information about
potential controls to determine which
industries, beyond the power sector,
could have the greatest impact in
providing ozone air quality
improvements in affected downwind
states. Once the EPA identified the
industries, the EPA used its Control
Strategy Tool to identify potential
emissions units and control measures
and to estimate emissions reductions
and compliance costs associated with
application of non-EGU emissions
control measures. The technical
memorandum Screening Assessment of
Potential Emissions Reductions, Air
Quality Impacts, and Costs from NonEGU Emissions Units for 2026 lays out
the analytical framework and data used
to prepare proxy estimates for 2026 of
potentially affected non-EGU facilities
and emissions units, emissions
reductions, and costs.16 17 This
16 The memorandum is available in the docket at
https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQOAR-2021-0668-0150.
17 This screening assessment was not intended to
identify the specific emissions units subject to the
proposed emissions limits for non-EGU sources but
was intended to inform the development of the
proposed rule by identifying proxies for (1) nonEGU emissions units that had emissions reduction
potential, (2) potential controls for and emissions
reductions from these emissions units, and (3)
control costs from the potential controls on these
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information helped shape the proposal
and final rule. To further evaluate the
industries and emissions unit types
identified by the screening assessment
and to establish the applicability criteria
and proposed emissions limits, the EPA
reviewed Reasonably Available Control
Technology (RACT) rules, New Source
Performance Standards (NSPS) rules,
National Emissions Standards for
Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP)
rules, existing technical studies, rules in
approved SIPs, consent decrees, and
permit limits. That evaluation is
detailed in the ‘‘Technical Support
Document (TSD) for the Proposed Rule,
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668, Non-EGU Sectors TSD’’ (Dec.
2021), hereinafter referred to as the
Proposed Non-EGU Sectors TSD,
prepared for the proposed FIP.18
In this final rule, the EPA is retaining
the industries and many of the
emissions unit types included in the
proposal in its findings of significant
contribution at Step 3, as discussed in
section V of this document. As
discussed in the memorandum for the
final rule, titled ‘‘Summary of Final
Rule Applicability Criteria and
Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs,’’ the EPA uses the 2019
emissions inventory, the list of
emissions units estimated to be
captured by the applicability criteria,
the assumed control technologies that
would meet the emissions limits, and
information on control efficiencies and
default cost/ton values from the Control
Measures Database,19 to estimate NOX
emissions reductions and costs for the
year 2026. In this final rule, the EPA
made changes to the applicability
criteria and emissions limits following
consideration of comments on the
proposal and reassessed the overall nonEGU emissions reduction strategy based
on the factors at Step 3 to render a
judgment as to whether the level of
emissions control that would be
achievable from these units meets the
criteria for ‘‘significant contribution.’’ In
the final rule, we affirm our proposed
determinations of which industries and
emissions units are potentially
emissions units. This information helped shape the
proposed rule.
18 The TSD is available in the docket at https://
www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR2021-0668-0145.
19 More information about the control measures
database (CMDB) can be found at the following link:
https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysisair-pollution-regulations/cost-analysis-modelstoolsair-pollution.
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impactful and warrant further analysis
at Step 3, and we find that the available
emissions reductions are cost-effective
and make meaningful improvements at
the identified downwind receptors. For
a detailed discussion of the changes,
between the proposal and this final rule,
in emissions unit types included and in
emissions limits, see section VI.C. of
this document.
The EPA performed air quality
analysis using the Ozone Air Quality
Assessment Tool (AQAT) to evaluate
the air quality improvements
anticipated to result from the
implementation of the selected EGU and
non-EGU emissions reduction strategies.
See section V.D of this document.20 We
also used AQAT to determine whether
the emissions reductions for both EGUs
and non-EGUs potentially create an
‘‘over-control’’ scenario. As in prior
transport rules following the holdings in
EME Homer City, overcontrol would be
established if the record indicated that,
for any given state, there is a less
stringent emissions control approach for
that state, by which (1) the expected
ozone improvements would be
sufficient to resolve all of the downwind
receptor(s) to which that state is linked;
or (2) the expected ozone improvements
would reduce the upwind state’s ozone
contributions below the screening
threshold (i.e., 1 percent of the NAAQS
or 0.70 ppb) to all of linked receptors.
The EPA’s over-control analysis,
discussed in section V.D.4 of this
document, shows that the control
stringencies for EGU and non-EGU
sources in this final rule do not overcontrol upwind states’ emissions either
with respect to the downwind air
quality problems to which they are
linked or with respect to the 1 percent
of the NAAQS contribution threshold,
such that over-control would trigger reevaluation at Step 3 for any linked
upwind state.
Based on the multi-factor test applied
to both EGU and non-EGU sources and
20 The use of AQAT and other simplified
modeling tools to generate ‘‘appropriately reliable
projections of air quality conditions and
contributions’’ when there is limited time to
conduct full-scale photochemical grid modeling
was upheld by the D.C. Circuit in MOG v. EPA, No.
21–1146 (D.C. Cir. March 3, 2023). The EPA has
used AQAT for the purpose of air quality and
overcontrol assessments at Step 3 in the prior
CSAPR rulemakings, and we continue to find it
reliable for such purposes. We discuss the
calibration of AQAT for this action and the multiple
sensitivity checks we performed to ensure its
reliability in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule TSD in the docket. Because we were able
to conduct a photochemical grid modeling run of
the 2026 final rule policy scenario, these results are
also included in the docket and confirm the
regulatory conclusions reached with AQAT. See
section VIII of this document and Appendix 3A of
the Final Rule RIA for more information.
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our subsequent assessment of overcontrol, the EPA finds that the selected
EGU and non-EGU control stringencies
constitute the elimination of significant
contribution and interference with
maintenance, without over-controlling
emissions, from the 23 upwind states
subject to EGU and non-EGU emissions
reductions requirements under the rule.
For additional details about the multifactor test and the over-control analysis,
see the document titled ‘‘Technical
Support Document (TSD) for the Final
Federal Good Neighbor Plan for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standard, Docket ID No. EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668, Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Proposed Rule TSD’’
(Mar. 2023), hereinafter referred to as
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD, included in the docket for
this rulemaking.
In this fourth step of the 4-step
framework, the EPA is including
enforceable measures in the
promulgated FIPs to achieve the
required emissions reductions in each of
the 23 states. Specifically, the FIPs
require covered power plants within the
borders of 22 states (Alabama, Arkansas,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) to
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program
created by the Revised CSAPR Update.
Affected EGUs within the borders of the
following 12 states currently
participating in the Group 3 Trading
Program will remain in the program,
with revised provisions beginning in the
2023 ozone season, under this rule:
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia. Affected EGUs within the
borders of the following seven states
currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
(the ‘‘Group 2 trading program’’)—
Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi,
Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin—will transition from the
Group 2 program to the revised Group
3 trading program beginning with the
2023 control period,21 and affected
21 The EPA will deem participation in the Group
3 trading program by the EGUs in these seven states
as also addressing the respective states’ good
neighbor obligations with respect to the 2008 ozone
NAAQS (for all seven states), the 1997 ozone
NAAQS (for all the states except Texas), and the
1979 ozone NAAQS (for Alabama and Missouri) to
the same extent that those obligations are currently
being addressed by participation of the states’ EGUs
in the Group 2 trading program.
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EGUs within the borders of three states
not currently covered by any CSAPR
trading program for seasonal NOX
emissions—Minnesota, Nevada, and
Utah—will enter the Group 3 trading
program in the 2023 control period
following the effective date of the final
rule. In addition, the EPA is revising
other aspects of the Group 3 trading
program to better ensure that this
method of implementation at Step 4
provides a durable remedy for the
elimination of the amount of emissions
deemed to constitute significant
contribution at Step 3 of the interstate
transport framework. These
enhancements, summarized later in this
section, are designed to operate together
to maintain that degree of control
stringency over time, thus improving
emissions performance at individual
units and offering a necessary measure
of assurance that NOX pollution controls
will be operated throughout each ozone
season, as described in section VI.B of
this document. This rulemaking does
not revise the budget stringency and
geography of the existing CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 trading program.
Aside from the seven states moving
from the Group 2 trading program to the
Group 3 trading program under the final
rule, this rule otherwise leaves
unchanged the budget stringency of the
existing CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 trading program.
The EPA is establishing preset ozone
season NOX emissions budgets for each
ozone season from 2023 through 2029,
using generally the same Group 3
trading program budget-setting
methodology used in the Revised
CSAPR Update, as explained in section
VI.B of this document and as shown in
Table I.B–1. The preset budgets for the
2026 through 2029 ozone seasons
incorporate EGU emissions reductions
to eliminate significant contribution and
also take into account a substantial
number of known retirements over that
period to ensure the elimination of
significant contribution is maintained as
intended by this rule. These budgets
serve as floors and may be supplanted
by a budget that the EPA calculates for
that control period using more recent
information (a ‘‘dynamic budget’’) if that
dynamic budget yields a higher level of
allowable emissions—still consistent
with the Step 3 level of emissions
control stringency—than the preset
budget. As reflected in Table I.B–1, and
accounting for both the stringency of the
rule and known fleet change, the 2026
preset budget is 23 percent lower than
the 2025 preset budget; the 2027 preset
budget is 20 percent lower than the
2026 preset budget; the 2028 preset
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budget is 4 percent lower than the 2027
preset budget; and the 2029 preset
budget is 8 percent lower than the 2028
preset budget.
While it is possible that additional
EGUs may seek to retire in this 2026–
2029 period than are currently
scheduled and captured in the preset
emissions budgets, it is also possible
that EGUs with currently scheduled
retirements may adjust their retirement
timing to accommodate the timing of
replacement generation and/or
transmission upgrades necessitated by
their retirement. While the EPA
designed this final rule to provide preset
budgets through 2029 to incorporate
known retirement-related emissions
reductions to ensure the elimination of
significant contribution as identified at
Step 3 is maintained over time, the use
of these floors also provides generators
and grid operators enhanced certainty
regarding the minimum amount of
allowable NOX emissions for reliability
planning through the 2020s. By
providing the opportunity for dynamic
budgets to subsequently calibrate
budgets to any unforeseen increases in
fleet demand, it also ensures this rule
will not interfere with ongoing
retirement scheduling or adjustments
and thus is robust to future uncertainty
during a transition period.
The EPA also believes the likelihood
and magnitude of a scenario in which a
state’s preset emissions budgets during
this period would authorize more
emissions than the corresponding
dynamic budget is low. As described
elsewhere, dynamic budgets are
incorporated to best calibrate the rule’s
stringency to future unknown changes
to the fleet. The circumstances in which
a dynamic budget would produce a
level of allowable emissions less than
preset budgets is most pronounced for
future periods in which there is a high
degree of unknown retirements
(increasing the risk that budgets are not
appropriately calibrated to the reduced
fossil fuel heat input post retirement).
However, the 2026–2029 period
presents a case where retirement
planning has been announced with
greater lead time than normal due to a
combination of utility 2030
decarbonization commitments, and
Effluent Limitation Guideline (ELG) and
Coal Combustion Residual (CCR)
alternative compliance pathways
available to units planning to cease
combustion of coal by December 31,
2028. For each of these existing rules,
facilities that are planning to retire have
already conveyed that intention to EPA
in order to take advantage of the
alternative compliance pathways
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available to such facilities.22 Therefore,
the likelihood of unknown
retirements—leading to lower dynamic
budgets—is much lower than typical for
this time horizon. This makes EPA’s
balanced use of preset emissions
budgets or dynamic budgets if they
exceed preset levels a reasonable
mechanism to accommodate planning
and fleet transition dynamics during
this period. The need and reasoning for
the limited-period preset budget floor is
further discussed in section VI.B.4.
For control periods in 2030 and
thereafter, the emissions budgets will be
the amounts calculated for each state
and noticed to the public roughly one
36663
year before the control period, using the
dynamic budget-setting methodology. In
this manner, the stringency of the
program will be secured and sustained
in the dynamic budgets of this program,
regardless of whatever EGU transition
activities ultimately occur in this 2026–
2029 transition period.
TABLE I.B–1—PRESET CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 STATE EMISSIONS BUDGETS (TONS) FOR 2023 THROUGH
2029 CONTROL PERIODS *
2023 State
budget
State
2024 State
budget
2025 State
budget
2026 State
budget **
2027 State
budget **
2028 State
budget **
2029 State
budget **
Alabama .......................
Arkansas ......................
Illinois ...........................
Indiana .........................
Kentucky ......................
Louisiana ......................
Maryland ......................
Michigan .......................
Minnesota .....................
Mississippi ....................
Missouri ........................
Nevada .........................
New Jersey ..................
New York .....................
Ohio ..............................
Oklahoma .....................
Pennsylvania ................
Texas ...........................
Utah ..............................
Virginia .........................
West Virginia ................
Wisconsin .....................
6,379
8,927
7,474
12,440
13,601
9,363
1,206
10,727
5,504
6,210
12,598
2,368
773
3,912
9,110
10,271
8,138
40,134
15,755
3,143
13,791
6,295
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,999
9,363
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,058
11,116
2,589
773
3,912
7,929
9,384
8,138
40,134
15,917
2,756
11,958
6,295
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,472
9,107
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,037
11,116
2,545
773
3,912
7,929
9,376
8,138
38,542
15,917
2,756
11,958
5,988
6,339
6,365
5,889
8,410
10,190
6,370
842
6,743
4,058
3,484
9,248
1,142
773
3,650
7,929
6,631
7,512
31,123
6,258
2,565
10,818
4,990
6,236
4,031
5,363
8,135
7,908
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
2,084
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
7,929
3,917
7,158
23,009
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
6,236
4,031
4,555
7,280
7,837
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
1,752
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
6,911
3,917
7,158
21,623
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
5,105
3,582
4,050
5,808
7,392
3,639
842
4,656
2,578
1,752
7,329
880
773
3,388
6,409
3,917
4,828
20,635
2,593
1,951
9,678
3,416
Total ......................
208,119
198,014
195,259
151,329
119,663
115,193
105,201
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
* Further information on the state-level emissions budget calculations pertaining to Table I.B–1 is provided in section VI.B.4 of this document
as well as the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. Further information on the approach for allocating a portion of Utah’s emissions
budget for each control period to the existing EGU in the Uintah and Ouray Reservation within Utah’s borders is provided in section VI.B.9 of this
document.
** As described in section VI of this document, the budget for these years will be subsequently determined and equal the greater of the value
above or that derived from the dynamic budget methodology.
The budget-setting methodology that
the EPA will use to determine dynamic
budgets for each control period starting
with 2026 is an extension of the
methodology used to determine the
preset budgets and will be used
routinely to determine emissions
budgets for each future control period in
the year before that control period, with
each emissions budget reflecting the
latest available information on the
composition and utilization of the EGU
fleet at the time that emissions budget
is determined. The stringency of the
dynamic emissions budgets will simply
reflect the stringency of the emissions
control strategies selected in the
rulemaking more consistently over time
and ensure that the annual updates
would eliminate emissions determined
to be unlawful under the good neighbor
provision. As already noted, for the
control periods in which both preset
budgets and dynamic budgets are
determined for a state (i.e., 2026 through
2029), the state’s dynamic budget will
apply only if it is higher than the state’s
preset budget. See section VI.B of this
document for additional discussion of
the EPA’s method for adjusting
emissions budgets to ensure elimination
of significant contribution from EGU
sources in the linked upwind states.
In conjunction with the levels of the
emissions budgets, the carryover of
unused allowances for use in future
control periods as banked allowances
affects the ability of a trading program
to maintain the rule’s selected control
stringency and related EGU effective
emissions rate performance level as the
EGU fleet evolves over time.
Unrestricted banking of allowances
allows what might otherwise be
temporary surpluses of allowances in
some individual control periods to
accumulate into a long-term allowance
surplus that reduces allowance prices
and weakens the trading program’s
incentives to control emissions. To
prevent this outcome, the EPA is also
revising the Group 3 trading program by
adding provisions that establish a
routine recalibration process for banked
allowances using a target percentage of
21 percent for the 2024–2029 control
periods and 10.5 percent for control
periods in 2030 and later years.
As an enhancement to the structure of
the trading program originally
promulgated in the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA is also establishing
backstop daily emissions rates for coal
22 Notices of Planned Participation for the ELG
Reconsideration Rule were due October 31, 2021
(85 FR 64708, 64679). For the CCR Action, facilities
had to indicate their future plans to cease receipt
of waste by April 11, 2021 (85 FR 53517).
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steam EGUs greater than or equal to 100
MW in covered states. Starting with the
2024 control period, a 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio (instead of the usual 1for-1 surrender ratio) will apply to
emissions during the ozone season from
any large coal-fired EGU with existing
SCR controls exceeding by more than 50
tons a daily average NOX emissions rate
of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. The daily average
emissions rate provisions will apply to
large coal-fired EGUs without existing
SCR controls starting with the second
control period in which newly installed
SCR controls are operational at the unit,
but not later than the 2030 control
period.
The backstop daily emissions rates
work in tandem with the ozone season
emissions budgets to ensure the
elimination of significant contribution
as determined at Step 3 is maintained
over time and more consistently
throughout each ozone season. They
will offer downwind receptor areas a
necessary measure of assurance that
they will be protected on a daily basis
during the ozone season by more
continuous and consistent operation of
installed pollution controls. The EPA’s
experience with the CSAPR trading
programs has revealed instances where
EGUs have reduced their SCRs’
performance on a given day, or across
the entire ozone seasons in some cases,
including high ozone days.23 In addition
to maintaining a mass-based seasonal
requirement, this rule will achieve a
much more consistent level of emissions
control in line with our Step 3
determination of significant
contribution while maintaining
compliance flexibility consistent with
that determination. These trading
program improvements will promote
consistent emissions control
performance across the power sector in
the linked upwind states, which
protects communities living in
downwind ozone nonattainment areas
from exceedances of the NAAQS that
might otherwise occur.
The EPA is including enforceable
emissions control requirements that will
apply during the ozone season (annually
from May to September) for nine nonEGU industries in the promulgated FIPs
to achieve the required emissions
reductions in 20 states with remaining
interstate transport obligations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS in 2026: Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia. These requirements
would apply to all existing emissions
units and to any future emissions units
constructed in the covered states that
meet the relevant applicability criteria.
Thus, the emissions limitations for nonEGU sources and associated compliance
requirements would apply in all 20
states listed in this paragraph, even if
some of these states do not currently
have any existing emissions units
meeting the applicability criteria for the
identified industries.
Based on our evaluation of the time
required to install controls at the types
of non-EGU sources covered by this
rule, the EPA has identified the 2026
ozone season as a reasonable
compliance date for industrial sources.
The EPA is therefore finalizing control
requirements for non-EGU sources that
take effect in 2026. However, in
recognition of comments and additional
information indicating that not all
facilities may be capable of meeting the
control requirements by that time, the
final rule provides a process by which
the EPA may grant compliance
extensions of up to 1 year, which if
approved by the EPA, would require
compliance no later than the 2027 ozone
season, followed by an additional
possible extension of up to 2 more
years, where specific criteria are met.
For sources located in the 20 states
listed in the previous paragraph, the
EPA is finalizing the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B–2 for
reciprocating internal combustion
engines in Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas; the NOX emissions limits
listed in Table I.B–3 for kilns in Cement
and Cement Product Manufacturing; the
NOX emissions limits listed in Table
I.B–4 for reheat furnaces in Iron and
Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B–5 for furnaces
in Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing; the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B–6 for boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and the
NOX emissions limits listed in Table
I.B–7 for combustors and incinerators in
Solid Waste Combustors or Incinerators.
TABLE I.B–2—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORTATION OF NATURAL GAS
NOX emissions limit
(g/hp-hr)
Engine type and fuel
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Rich Burn ...............................................................................................................................
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Lean Burn ..............................................................................................................................
Natural Gas Fired Two Stroke Lean Burn ...............................................................................................................................
1.0
1.5
3.0
TABLE I.B–3—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR KILN TYPES IN CEMENT AND CONCRETE PRODUCT
MANUFACTURING
NOX emissions limit
(lb/ton of clinker)
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Kiln type
Long Wet .................................................................................................................................................................................
Long Dry ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Preheater .................................................................................................................................................................................
Precalciner ...............................................................................................................................................................................
Preheater/Precalciner ..............................................................................................................................................................
23 See 86 FR 23090. The EPA highlighted the
Miami Fort Unit 7 (possessing a SCR) more than
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tripled its ozone-season NOX emission rate between
2017 and 2019.
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Based on evaluation of comments
received, the EPA is not, at this time,
finalizing the source cap limit as
36665
proposed at 87 FR 20046 (see section
VII.C.2 of the April 6, 2022, Proposal).
TABLE I.B–4—SUMMARY OF NOX CONTROL REQUIREMENTS FOR IRON AND STEEL AND FERROALLOY EMISSIONS UNITS
NOX emissions standard or requirement
(lb/mmBtu)
Emissions unit
Reheat furnace .........................................................................................
Test and set limit based on installation of Low-NOX Burners.
TABLE I.B–5—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR FURNACE UNIT TYPES IN GLASS AND GLASS PRODUCT
MANUFACTURING
NOX emissions limit
(lb/ton of glass produced)
Furnace type
Container Glass Manufacturing Furnace .....................................................................................................................
Pressed/Blown Glass Manufacturing Furnace or Fiberglass Manufacturing Furnace ................................................
Flat Glass Manufacturing Furnace ..............................................................................................................................
4.0
4.0
7.0
TABLE I.B–6—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR BOILERS IN IRON AND STEEL AND FERROALLOY MANUFACTURING, METAL ORE MINING, BASIC CHEMICAL MANUFACTURING, PETROLEUM AND COAL PRODUCTS MANUFACTURING, AND PULP, PAPER, AND PAPERBOARD MILLS
Emissions limit
(lbs NOX/mmBtu)
Unit type
Coal ..........................................................................................................................................................................................
Residual oil ..............................................................................................................................................................................
Distillate oil ...............................................................................................................................................................................
Natural gas ..............................................................................................................................................................................
0.20
0.20
0.12
0.08
TABLE I.B–7—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR COMBUSTORS AND INCINERATORS IN SOLID WASTE
COMBUSTORS OR INCINERATORS
NOX emissions limit
(ppmvd)
Combustor or incinerator, averaging period
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging period ..........................................................................................................................
ppmvd on a 30-day rolling averaging period ...........................................................................................................................
Section VI.C of this document
provides an overview of the
applicability criteria, compliance
assurance requirements, and the EPA’s
rationale for establishing these
emissions limits and control
requirements for each of the non-EGU
industries covered by the rule.
The remainder of this preamble is
organized as follows: section II of this
document outlines general applicability
criteria and describes the EPA’s legal
authority for this rule and the
relationship of the rule to previous
interstate ozone transport rulemakings.
Section III of this document describes
the human health and environmental
challenges posed by interstate transport
contributions to ozone air quality
problems, as well as the EPA’s overall
approach for addressing interstate
transport for the 2015 ozone NAAQS in
this rule. Section IV of this document
describes the Agency’s analyses of air
quality data to inform this rulemaking,
including descriptions of the air quality
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modeling platform and emissions
inventories used in the rule, as well as
the EPA’s methods for identifying
downwind air quality problems and
upwind states’ ozone transport
contributions to downwind states.
Section V of this document describes
the EPA’s approach to quantifying
upwind states’ obligations in the form of
EGU NOX control stringencies and nonEGU emissions limits. Section VI of this
document describes key elements of the
implementation schedule for EGU and
non-EGU emissions reductions
requirements, including details
regarding the revised aspects of the
CSAPR NOX Group 3 trading program
and compliance deadlines, as well as
regulatory requirements and compliance
deadlines for non-EGU sources. Section
VII of this document discusses the
environmental justice analysis of the
rule, as well as outreach and
engagement efforts. Section VIII of this
document describes the expected costs,
benefits, and other impacts of this rule.
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110
105
Section IX of this document provides a
summary of changes to the existing
regulatory text applicable to the EGUs
covered by this rule; and section X of
this document discusses the statutory
and executive orders affecting this
rulemaking.
C. Costs and Benefits
A summary of the key results of the
cost-benefit analysis that was prepared
for this final rule is presented in Table
I.C–1. Table I.C–1 presents estimates of
the present values (PV) and equivalent
annualized values (EAV), calculated
using discount rates of 3 and 7 percent
as recommended by OMB’s Circular A–
4, of the health and climate benefits,
compliance costs, and net benefits of the
final rule, in 2016 dollars, discounted to
2023. The estimated monetized net
benefits are the estimated monetized
benefits minus the estimated monetized
costs of the final rule. These results
present an incomplete overview of the
effects of the rule because important
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categories of benefits—including
benefits from reducing other types of air
pollutants, and water pollution—were
not monetized and are therefore not
reflected in the cost-benefit tables. We
anticipate that taking non-monetized
effects into account would show the
rule to be more net beneficial than this
table reflects.
TABLE I.C–1—ESTIMATED MONETIZED HEALTH AND CLIMATE BENEFITS, COMPLIANCE COSTS, AND NET BENEFITS OF THE
FINAL RULE, 2023 THROUGH 2042
[Millions 2016$, discounted to 2023] a
3% Discount
rate
Present Value:
Health Benefits b ...............................................................................................................................................
Climate Benefits c .............................................................................................................................................
Compliance Costs d ..........................................................................................................................................
Net Benefits ......................................................................................................................................................
Equivalent Annualized Value:
Health Benefits .................................................................................................................................................
Climate Benefits ...............................................................................................................................................
Compliance Costs ............................................................................................................................................
Net Benefits ......................................................................................................................................................
7% Discount
rate
$200,000
15,000
14,000
200,000
$130,000
15,000
9,400
140,000
13,000
970
910
13,000
12,000
970
770
12,000
a Rows
may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
annualized present value of costs and benefits are calculated over a 20-year period from 2023 to 2042. Monetized benefits include those
related to public health associated with reductions in ozone and PM2.5 concentrations. The health benefits are associated with two point estimates and are presented at real discount rates of 3 and 7 percent. Several categories of benefits remain unmonetized and are thus not reflected
in the table.
c Climate benefits are calculated using four different estimates of the social cost of carbon (SC–CO (model average at 2.5 percent, 3 percent,
2
and 5 percent discount rates; 95th percentile at 3 percent discount rate). For presentational purposes in this table, the climate benefits associated with the average SC–CO2 at a 3-percent discount rate are used in the columns displaying results of other costs and benefits that are discounted at either a 3-percent or 7-percent discount rate.
d The costs presented in this table are consistent with the costs presented in Chapter 4 of the Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA). To estimate
these annualized costs for EGUs, the EPA uses a conventional and widely accepted approach that applies a capital recovery factor (CRF) multiplier to capital investments and adds that to the annual incremental operating expenses. Costs were calculated using a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM’s objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please
see Chapter 4, Table 4–8 in the RIA.
b The
As shown in Table I.C–1, the PV of
the monetized health benefits,
associated with reductions in ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations, of this final rule,
discounted at a 3-percent discount rate,
is estimated to be about $200 billion
($200,000 million), with an EAV of
about $13 billion ($13,000 million). At
a 7-percent discount rate, the PV of the
monetized health benefits is estimated
to be $130 billion ($130,000 million),
with an EAV of about $12 billion
($12,000 million). The PV of the
monetized climate benefits, associated
with reductions in GHG emissions, of
this final rule, discounted at a 3-percent
discount rate, is estimated to be about
$15 billion ($15,000 million), with an
EAV of about $970 million. The PV of
the monetized compliance costs,
discounted at a 3-percent rate, is
estimated to be about $14 billion
($14,000 million), with an EAV of about
$910 million. At a 7-percent discount
rate, the PV of the compliance costs is
estimated to be about $9.4 billion
($9,400 million), with an EAV of about
$770 million.
II. General Information
A. Does this action apply to me?
This rule affects EGU and non-EGU
sources, and regulates the groups
identified in Table II.A–1.
TABLE II.A–1—REGULATED GROUPS
Industry group
NAICS
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Fossil fuel-fired electric power generation ...........................................................................................................................................
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas ...............................................................................................................................................
Metal Ore Mining .................................................................................................................................................................................
Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing ....................................................................................................................................
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing .............................................................................................................................
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing .............................................................................................................................................
Basic Chemical Manufacturing ............................................................................................................................................................
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing .....................................................................................................................................
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills .....................................................................................................................................................
Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators ..........................................................................................................................................
This table is not intended to be
exhaustive, but rather provides a guide
for readers regarding entities likely to be
regulated by this rule. This table lists
the types of entities that the EPA is now
aware could potentially be regulated by
this rule. Other types of entities not
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listed in the table could also be
regulated. To determine whether your
EGU entity is regulated by this rule, you
should carefully examine the
applicability criteria found in 40 CFR
97.1004, which are unchanged in this
rule. If you have questions regarding the
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applicability of this rule to a particular
entity, consult the person listed in the
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
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B. What action is the Agency taking?
The EPA evaluated whether interstate
ozone transport emissions from upwind
states are significantly contributing to
nonattainment, or interfering with
maintenance, of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in any downwind state using the same
4-step interstate transport framework
that was developed in previous ozone
transport rulemakings. The EPA finds
that emissions reductions are required
from EGU and non-EGU sources in a
total of 23 upwind states to eliminate
significant contribution to downwind
air quality problems for the 2015 ozone
standard under the interstate transport
provision of the CAA. The EPA will
ensure that these NOX emissions
reductions are achieved by issuing FIP
requirements for 23 states: Alabama,
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia,
and Wisconsin.
The EPA is revising the existing
CSAPR Group 3 Trading Program to
include additional states beginning in
the 2023 ozone season. EGUs in three
states not currently covered by any
CSAPR trading program for seasonal
NOX emissions—Minnesota, Nevada,
and Utah—will be added to the CSAPR
Group 3 Trading Program under this
rule. EGUs in twelve states currently
participating in the Group 3 Trading
Program will remain in the program
under this rule: Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia. EGUs in seven states
(Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi,
Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin) will transition from the
CSAPR Group 2 Trading Program to the
CSAPR Group 3 Trading Program under
this rule beginning in the 2023 ozone
season. The EPA is establishing control
stringency levels reflecting installation
of state-of-the-art combustion controls
on certain covered EGU sources in
emissions budgets beginning in the 2024
ozone season. The EPA is establishing
control stringency levels reflecting
installation of new SCR or SNCR
controls on certain covered EGU sources
in emissions budgets beginning in the
2026 ozone season.
As a complement to the ozone season
emissions budgets, the EPA is also
establishing a backstop daily emissions
rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu for coal-fired
steam units greater than or equal to 100
MW in covered states. The backstop
emissions rate will first apply in 2024
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for coal-fired steam sources with
existing SCRs, and in the second control
period in which a new SCR operates,
but not later than 2030, for those
currently without SCRs.
This rule establishes emissions
limitations for non-EGU sources in 20
states: Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West
Virginia. In these states, the EPA is
establishing control requirements for the
following unit types in non-EGU
industries: reciprocating internal
combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators. See
Table II.A–1 in this document for a list
of NAICS codes for each entity included
for regulation in this rule.
This rule reduces the transport of
ozone precursor emissions to downwind
areas, which is protective of human
health and the environment because
acute and chronic exposure to ozone are
both associated with negative health
impacts. Ozone exposure is also
associated with negative effects on
ecosystems. Additional information on
the air quality issues addressed by this
rule are included in section III of this
document.
C. What is the Agency’s legal authority
for taking this action?
The statutory authority for this rule is
provided by the CAA as amended (42
U.S.C. 7401 et seq.). Specifically,
sections 110 and 301 of the CAA
provide the primary statutory
underpinnings for this rule. The most
relevant portions of CAA section 110 are
subsections 110(a)(1), 110(a)(2)
(including 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)) and
110(c)(1)).
CAA section 110(a)(1) provides that
states must make SIP submissions
‘‘within 3 years (or such shorter period
as the Administrator may prescribe)
after the promulgation of a national
primary ambient air quality standard (or
any revision thereof),’’ and that these
SIP submissions are to provide for the
‘‘implementation, maintenance, and
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enforcement’’ of such NAAQS.24 The
statute directly imposes on states the
duty to make these SIP submissions,
and the requirement to make the
submissions is not conditioned upon
the EPA taking any action other than
promulgating a new or revised
NAAQS.25
The EPA has historically referred to
SIP submissions made for the purpose
of satisfying the applicable requirements
of CAA sections 110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2)
as ‘‘infrastructure SIP’’ or ‘‘iSIP’’
submissions. CAA section 110(a)(1)
addresses the timing and general
requirements for iSIP submissions, and
CAA section 110(a)(2) provides more
details concerning the required content
of these submissions.26 It includes a list
of specific elements that ‘‘[e]ach such
plan’’ must address.27
CAA section 110(c)(1) requires the
Administrator to promulgate a FIP at
any time within 2 years after the
Administrator: (1) finds that a state has
failed to make a required SIP
submission; (2) finds a SIP submission
to be incomplete pursuant to CAA
section 110(k)(1)(C); or (3) disapproves
a SIP submission. This obligation
applies unless the state corrects the
deficiency through a SIP revision that
the Administrator approves before the
FIP is promulgated.28
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), also
known as the ‘‘good neighbor’’
provision, provides the primary basis
for this rule.29 It requires that each state
SIP include provisions sufficient to
‘‘prohibit[ ], consistent with the
provisions of this subchapter, any
source or other type of emissions
activity within the State from emitting
any air pollutant in amounts which
will—(I) contribute significantly to
nonattainment in, or interfere with
maintenance by, any other State with
respect to any [NAAQS].’’ 30 The EPA
often refers to the emissions reduction
requirements under this provision as
‘‘good neighbor obligations’’ and
submissions addressing these
requirements as ‘‘good neighbor SIPs.’’
24 42
U.S.C. 7410(a)(1).
EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P.,
572 U.S. 489, 509–10 (2014).
26 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2).
27 The EPA’s general approach to infrastructure
SIP submissions is explained in greater detail in
individual notices acting or proposing to act on
state infrastructure SIP submissions and in
guidance. See, e.g., Memorandum from Stephen D.
Page on Guidance on Infrastructure State
Implementation Plan (SIP) Elements under Clean
Air Act Sections 110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2) (September
13, 2013).
28 42 U.S.C. 7410(c)(1).
29 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
30 Id.
25 See
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Once the EPA promulgates a NAAQS,
the EPA must designate areas as being
in ‘‘attainment’’ or ‘‘nonattainment’’ of
the NAAQS, or ‘‘unclassifiable.’’ CAA
section 107(d).31 For ozone,
nonattainment is further split into five
classifications based on the severity of
the violation—Marginal, Moderate,
Serious, Severe, or Extreme. Higher
classifications provide states with
progressively more time to attain while
imposing progressively more stringent
control requirements. See CAA sections
181, 182.32 In general, states with
nonattainment areas classified as
Moderate or higher must submit plans
to the EPA to bring these areas into
attainment according to the statutory
schedule. CAA section 182.33 If an area
fails to attain the NAAQS by the
attainment date associated with its
classification, it is ‘‘bumped up’’ to the
next classification. CAA section
181(b).34
Section 301(a)(1) of the CAA gives the
Administrator the general authority to
prescribe such regulations as are
necessary to carry out functions under
the Act.35 Pursuant to this section, the
EPA has authority to clarify the
applicability of CAA requirements and
undertake other rulemaking action as
necessary to implement CAA
requirements. CAA section 301 affords
the Agency any additional authority that
may be needed to make certain other
changes to its regulations under 40 CFR
parts 52, 75, 78, and 97, to effectuate the
purposes of the Act. Such changes are
discussed in section IX of this
document.
Tribes are not required to submit state
implementation plans. However, as
explained in the EPA’s regulations
outlining Tribal Clean Air Act authority,
the EPA is authorized to promulgate
FIPs for Indian country as necessary or
appropriate to protect air quality if a
tribe does not submit, and obtain the
EPA’s approval of, an implementation
plan. See 40 CFR 49.11(a); see also CAA
section 301(d)(4).36 In the proposed
rule, the EPA proposed an ‘‘appropriate
or necessary’’ finding under CAA
section 301(d) and proposed tribal
FIP(s) as necessary to implement the
relevant requirements. The EPA is
finalizing these determinations, as
further discussed in section III.C.2 of
this document.
31 42
U.S.C. 7407(d).
U.S.C. 7511, 7511a.
33 42 U.S.C. 7511a.
34 42 U.S.C. 7511(b).
35 42 U.S.C. 7601(a)(1).
36 42 U.S.C. 7601(d)(4).
32 42
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D. What actions has the EPA previously
issued to address regional ozone
transport?
The EPA has issued several previous
rules interpreting and clarifying the
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) with respect to the
regional transport of ozone. These rules,
and the associated court decisions
addressing these rules, summarized
here, provide important direction
regarding the requirements of CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
The ‘‘NOX SIP Call,’’ promulgated in
1998, addressed the good neighbor
provision for the 1979 1-hour ozone
NAAQS.37 The rule required 22 states
and the District of Columbia to amend
their SIPs to reduce NOX emissions that
contribute to ozone nonattainment in
downwind states. The EPA set ozone
season NOX budgets for each state, and
the states were given the option to
participate in a regional allowance
trading program, known as the NOX
Budget Trading Program.38 The D.C.
Circuit largely upheld the NOX SIP Call
in Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663 (D.C.
Cir. 2000), cert. denied, 532 U.S. 904
(2001).
The EPA’s next rule addressing the
good neighbor provision, CAIR, was
promulgated in 2005 and addressed
both the 1997 fine particulate matter
(PM2.5) NAAQS and 1997 ozone
NAAQS.39 CAIR required SIP revisions
in 28 states and the District of Columbia
to reduce emissions of sulfur dioxide
(SO2) or NOX—important precursors of
regionally transported PM2.5 (SO2 and
annual NOX) and ozone (summer-time
NOX). As in the NOX SIP Call, states
were given the option to participate in
regional trading programs to achieve the
reductions. When the EPA promulgated
the final CAIR in 2005, the EPA also
issued findings that states nationwide
had failed to submit SIPs to address the
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) with respect to the 1997
37 Finding of Significant Contribution and
Rulemaking for Certain States in the Ozone
Transport Assessment Group Region for Purposes of
Reducing Regional Transport of Ozone, 63 FR
57356 (Oct. 27, 1998). As originally promulgated,
the NOX SIP Call also addressed good neighbor
obligations under the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS,
but EPA subsequently stayed and later rescinded
the rule’s provisions with respect to that standard.
See 84 FR 8422 (March 8, 2019).
38 ‘‘Allowance Trading,’’ sometimes referred to as
‘‘cap and trade,’’ is an approach to reducing
pollution that has been used successfully to protect
human health and the environment. The design
elements of the EPA’s most recent trading programs
are discussed in section VI.B.1.a of this document.
39 Rule To Reduce Interstate Transport of Fine
Particulate Matter and Ozone (Clean Air Interstate
Rule); Revisions to Acid Rain Program; Revisions to
the NOX SIP Call, 70 FR 25162 (May 12, 2005).
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PM2.5 and 1997 ozone NAAQS.40 On
March 15, 2006, the EPA promulgated
FIPs to implement the emissions
reductions required by CAIR.41 CAIR
was remanded to EPA by the D.C.
Circuit in North Carolina v. EPA, 531
F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir.), modified on reh’g,
550 F.3d 1176 (D.C. Cir. 2008). For more
information on the legal issues
underlying CAIR and the D.C. Circuit’s
holding in North Carolina, refer to the
preamble of the CSAPR rule.42
In 2011, the EPA promulgated CSAPR
to address the issues raised by the
remand of CAIR. CSAPR addressed the
two NAAQS at issue in CAIR and
additionally addressed the good
neighbor provision for the 2006 PM2.5
NAAQS.43 CSAPR required 28 states to
reduce SO2 emissions, annual NOX
emissions, or ozone season NOX
emissions that significantly contribute
to other states’ nonattainment or
interfere with other states’ abilities to
maintain these air quality standards.44
To align implementation with the
applicable attainment deadlines, the
EPA promulgated FIPs for each of the 28
states covered by CSAPR. The FIPs
require EGUs in the covered states to
participate in regional trading programs
to achieve the necessary emissions
reductions. Each state can submit a good
neighbor SIP at any time that, if
approved by EPA, would replace the
CSAPR FIP for that state.
CSAPR was the subject of an adverse
decision by the D.C. Circuit in August
2012.45 However, this decision was
reversed in April 2014 by the Supreme
Court, which largely upheld the rule,
including the EPA’s approach to
addressing interstate transport in
CSAPR. EPA v. EME Homer City
Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. 489 (2014)
(EME Homer City I). The rule was
remanded to the D.C. Circuit to consider
claims not addressed by the Supreme
Court. Id. In July 2015 the D.C. Circuit
40 70
FR 21147 (April 25, 2005).
FR 25328 (April 28, 2006).
42 Federal Implementation Plans: Interstate
Transport of Fine Particulate Matter and Ozone and
Correction of SIP Approvals, 76 FR 48208, 48217
(August 8, 2011).
43 76 FR 48208.
44 CSAPR was revised by several rulemakings
after its initial promulgation to revise certain states’
budgets and to promulgate FIPs for five additional
states addressing the good neighbor obligation for
the 1997 ozone NAAQS. See 76 FR 80760
(December 27, 2011); 77 FR 10324 (February 21,
2012); 77 FR 34830 (June 12, 2012).
45 On August 21, 2012, the D.C. Circuit issued a
decision in EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v.
EPA, 696 F.3d 7 (D.C. Cir. 2012), vacating CSAPR.
The EPA sought review with the D.C. Circuit en
banc and the D.C. Circuit declined to consider the
EPA’s appeal en banc. EME Homer City Generation,
L.P. v. EPA, No. 11–1302 (D.C. Cir. January 24,
2013), ECF No. 1417012 (denying EPA’s motion for
rehearing en banc).
41 71
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generally affirmed the EPA’s
interpretation of various statutory
provisions and the EPA’s technical
decisions. EME Homer City Generation,
L.P. v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118 (2015) (EME
Homer City II). However, the court
remanded the rule without vacatur for
reconsideration of the EPA’s emissions
budgets for certain states, which the
court found may have over-controlled
those states’ emissions with respect to
the downwind air quality problems to
which the states were linked. Id. at 129–
30, 138. For more information on the
legal issues associated with CSAPR and
the Supreme Court’s and D.C. Circuit’s
decisions in the EME Homer City
litigation, refer to the preamble of the
CSAPR Update.46
In 2016, the EPA promulgated the
CSAPR Update to address interstate
transport of ozone pollution with
respect to the 2008 ozone NAAQS.47
The final rule updated the CSAPR ozone
season NOX emissions budgets for 22
states to achieve cost-effective and
immediately feasible NOX emissions
reductions from EGUs within those
states.48 The EPA aligned the analysis
and implementation of the CSAPR
Update with the 2017 ozone season to
assist downwind states with timely
attainment of the 2008 ozone NAAQS.49
The CSAPR Update implemented the
budgets through FIPs requiring sources
to participate in a revised CSAPR NOX
ozone season trading program beginning
with the 2017 ozone season. As under
CSAPR, each state could submit a good
neighbor SIP at any time that, if
approved by the EPA, would replace the
CSAPR Update FIP for that state. The
final CSAPR Update also addressed the
remand by the D.C. Circuit of certain
states’ CSAPR phase 2 ozone season
NOX emissions budgets in EME Homer
City II.
In December 2018, the EPA
promulgated the CSAPR ‘‘Close-Out,’’
which determined that no further
enforceable reductions in emissions of
46 Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update for the
2008 Ozone NAAQS, 81 FR 74504, 74511 (October
26, 2016).
47 81 FR 74504.
48 One state, Kansas, was made newly subject to
ozone season NOX requirements by the CSAPR
Update. All other CSAPR Update states were
already subject to ozone season NOX requirements
under CSAPR.
49 81 FR 74516. The EPA’s final 2008 Ozone
NAAQS SIP Requirements Rule, 80 FR 12264,
12268 (March 6, 2015), revised the attainment
deadline for ozone nonattainment areas designated
as Moderate to July 20, 2018. See 40 CFR 51.1103.
To demonstrate attainment by this deadline, states
were required to rely on design values calculated
using ozone season data from 2015 through 2017,
since the July 20, 2018, deadline did not afford
enough time for measured data of the full 2018
ozone season.
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NOX were required with respect to the
2008 ozone NAAQS for 20 of the 22
eastern states covered by the CSAPR
Update.50
The CSAPR Update and the CSAPR
Close-Out were both subject to legal
challenges in the D.C. Circuit.
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C.
Cir. 2019) (Wisconsin); New York v.
EPA, 781 Fed. App’x 4 (D.C. Cir. 2019)
(New York). In September 2019, the D.C.
Circuit upheld the CSAPR Update in
virtually all respects but remanded the
rule because it was partial in nature and
did not fully eliminate upwind states’
significant contribution to
nonattainment or interference with
maintenance of the 2008 ozone NAAQS
by ‘‘the relevant downwind attainment
deadlines’’ in the CAA. Wisconsin, 938
F.3d at 313–15. In October 2019, the
D.C. Circuit vacated the CSAPR CloseOut on the same grounds that it
remanded the CSAPR Update in
Wisconsin, specifically because the
Close-Out rule did not address good
neighbor obligations by ‘‘the next
applicable attainment date’’ of
downwind states. New York, 781 Fed.
App’x at 7.51
In response to the Wisconsin remand
of the CSAPR Update and the New York
vacatur of the CSAPR Close-Out, the
EPA promulgated the Revised CSAPR
Update on April 30, 2021.52 The
Revised CSAPR Update found that the
CSAPR Update was a full remedy for
nine of the covered states. For the 12
remaining states, the EPA found that
their projected 2021 ozone season NOX
emissions would significantly
contribute to downwind states’
nonattainment or maintenance
problems. The EPA issued new or
amended FIPs for these 12 states and
required implementation of revised
emissions budgets for EGUs beginning
50 Determination Regarding Good Neighbor
Obligations for the 2008 Ozone National Ambient
Air Quality Standard, 83 FR 65878, 65882
(December 21, 2018). After promulgating the
CSAPR Update and before promulgating the CSAPR
Close-Out, the EPA approved a SIP from Kentucky
resolving the Commonwealth’s good neighbor
obligations for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. 83 FR
33730 (July 17, 2018). In the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA made an error correction under
CAA section 110(k)(6) to convert this approval to
a disapproval, because the Kentucky approval
relied on the same analysis which the D.C. Circuit
determined to be unlawful in the CSAPR Close-Out.
51 Subsequently, the D.C. Circuit made clear in a
decision reviewing the EPA’s denial of a petition
under CAA section 126 that the holding in
Wisconsin regarding alignment with downwind
area’s attainment schedules applies with equal force
to the Marginal area attainment date established
under CAA section 181(a). See Maryland v. EPA,
958 F.3d 1185, 1203–04 (D.C. Cir. 2020).
52 Revised Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update
for the 2008 Ozone NAAQS, 86 FR 23054 (April 30,
2021).
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with the 2021 ozone season. Based on
the EPA’s assessment of remaining air
quality issues and additional emissions
control strategies for EGUs and
emissions sources in other industry
sectors (non-EGUs), the EPA determined
that the NOX emissions reductions
achieved by the Revised CSAPR Update
fully eliminated these states’ significant
contributions to downwind air quality
problems for the 2008 ozone NAAQS.
As under the CSAPR and the CSAPR
Update, each state can submit a good
neighbor SIP at any time that, if
approved by the EPA, would replace the
Revised CSAPR Update FIP for that
state.
On March 3, 2023, the D.C. Circuit
Court of Appeals denied the Midwest
Ozone Group’s (MOG) petition for
review of the Revised CSAPR Update.
MOG v. EPA, No. 21–1146 (D.C. Cir.
March 3, 2023). The court noted that it
has ‘‘exhaustively’’ addressed the
interstate transport framework before,
citing relevant cases, and ‘‘incorporate
them herein by reference.’’ Slip Op. 1
n.1. In response to MOG’s arguments,
the court upheld the Agency’s air
quality analysis. Id. at 10–11. The court
noted that in light of the statutory
timing framework and court-ordered
schedule the EPA was under, the
Agency’s methodological choices were
reasonable and provided ‘‘an
appropriately reliable projection of air
quality conditions and contributions in
2021.’’ Id. at 11–12.
III. Air Quality Issues Addressed and
Overall Rule Approach
A. The Interstate Ozone Transport Air
Quality Challenge
1. Nature of Ozone and the Ozone
NAAQS
Ground-level ozone is not emitted
directly into the air but is created by
chemical reactions between NOX and
volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in
the presence of sunlight. Emissions from
electric utilities and industrial facilities,
motor vehicles, gasoline vapors, and
chemical solvents are some of the major
sources of NOX and VOCs.
Because ground-level ozone formation
increases with temperature and
sunlight, ozone levels are generally
higher during the summer months.
Increased temperature also increases
emissions of volatile man-made and
biogenic organics and can also
indirectly increase NOX emissions (e.g.,
increased electricity generation for air
conditioning).
On October 1, 2015, the EPA
strengthened the primary and secondary
ozone standards to 70 ppb as an 8-hour
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level.53 Specifically, the standards
require that the 3-year average of the
fourth highest 24-hour maximum 8-hour
average ozone concentration may not
exceed 70 ppb as a truncated value (i.e.,
digits to right of decimal removed).54 In
general, areas that exceed the ozone
standard are designated as
nonattainment areas, pursuant to the
designations process under CAA section
107(d), and are subject to heightened
planning requirements depending on
the severity of their nonattainment
classification, see CAA sections 181,
182.
In the process of setting the 2015
ozone NAAQS, the EPA noted that the
conditions conducive to the formation
of ozone (i.e., seasonally-dependent
factors such as ambient temperature,
strength of solar insolation, and length
of day) differ by location, and that the
Agency believes it is important that
ozone monitors operate during all
periods when there is a reasonable
possibility of ambient levels
approaching the level of the NAAQS. At
that time, the EPA stated that ambient
ozone concentrations in many areas
could approach or exceed the level of
the NAAQS, more frequently and during
more months of the year compared with
the historical ozone season monitoring
lengths. Consequently, the EPA
extended the ozone monitoring season
for many locations. See 80 FR 65416 for
more details.
Furthermore, the EPA stated that in
addition to being affected by changing
emissions, future ozone concentrations
may also be affected by climate change.
Modeling studies in the EPA’s Interim
Assessment (U.S. EPA, 2009a) that are
cited in support of the 2009 Greenhouse
Gas Endangerment Finding under CAA
section 202(a) (74 FR 66496, Dec. 15,
2009) as well as a recent assessment of
potential climate change impacts (Fann
et al., 2015) project that climate change
may lead to future increases in summer
ozone concentrations across the
contiguous U.S.55 (80 FR 65300). The
U.S. Global Change Research Program’s
Impacts of Climate Change on Human
Health in the United States: A Scientific
Assessment 56 and Impacts, Risks, and
53 80
FR 65291.
CFR part 50, appendix P.
55 These modeling studies are based on coupled
global climate and regional air quality models and
are designed to assess the sensitivity of U.S. air
quality to climate change. A wide range of future
climate scenarios and future years have been
modeled and there can be variations in the expected
response in U.S. O3 by scenario and across models
and years, within the overall signal of higher
summer O3 concentrations in a warmer climate.
56 U.S. Global Change Research Program
(USGCRP), 2016: The Impacts of Climate Change on
Human Health in the United States: A Scientific
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54 40
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Adaptation in the United States: Fourth
National Climate Assessment, Volume
II 57 reinforced these findings. The
increase in ozone results from changes
in local weather conditions, including
temperature and atmospheric
circulation patterns, as well as changes
in ozone precursor emissions that are
influenced by meteorology (Nolte et al.,
2018). While the projected impact may
not be uniform, climate change has the
potential to increase average
summertime ozone relative to a future
without climate change.58 59 60 Climate
change has the potential to offset some
of the improvements in ozone air
quality, and therefore some of the
improvements in public health, that are
expected from reductions in emissions
of ozone precursors (80 FR 65300). The
EPA responds to comments received on
the impacts of climate change on ozone
formation in section 11 of the Response
to Comments (RTC) document.
2. Ozone Transport
Studies have established that ozone
formation, atmospheric residence, and
transport occur on a regional scale (i.e.,
thousands of kilometers) over much of
the U.S.61 While substantial progress
has been made in reducing ozone in
many areas, the interstate transport of
ozone precursor emissions remains an
Assessment. Crimmins, A., J. Balbus, J.L. Gamble,
C.B. Beard, J.E. Bell, D. Dodgen, R.J. Eisen, N. Fann,
M.D. Hawkins, S.C. Herring, L. Jantarasami, D.M.
Mills, S. Saha, M.C. Sarofim, J. Trtanj, and L. Ziska,
Eds. U.S. Global Change Research Program,
Washington, DC, 312 pp. https://dx.doi.org/
10.7930/J0R49NQX.
57 USGCRP, 2018: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation
in the United States: Fourth National Climate
Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller, D.R., C.W.
Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis,
T.K. Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global
Change Research Program, Washington, DC, USA,
1515 pp. doi: 10.7930/NCA4.2018.
58 Fann NL, Nolte CG, Sarofim MC, Martinich J,
Nassikas NJ. Associations Between Simulated
Future Changes in Climate, Air Quality, and Human
Health. JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(1):e2032064.
doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.32064
59 Christopher G Nolte, Tanya L Spero, Jared H
Bowden, Marcus C Sarofim, Jeremy Martinich,
Megan S Mallard. Regional temperature-ozone
relationships across the U.S. under multiple climate
and emissions scenarios. J Air Waste Manag Assoc.
2021 Oct;71(10):1251–1264. doi: 10.1080/
10962247.2021.1970048.
60 Nolte, C.G., P.D. Dolwick, N. Fann, L.W.
Horowitz, V. Naik, R.W. Pinder, T.L. Spero, D.A.
Winner, and L.H. Ziska, 2018: Air Quality. In
Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States:
Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II
[Reidmiller, D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E.
Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K. Maycock, and B.C.
Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research
Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 512–538. doi:
10.7930/NCA4.2018.CH13
61 Bergin, M.S. et al. (2007) Regional air quality:
Local and interstate impacts of NOX and SO2
emissions on ozone and fine particulate matter in
the eastern United States. Environmental Sci &
Tech. 41: 4677–4689.
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important contributor to peak ozone
concentrations and high-ozone days
during the summer ozone season.
The EPA has previously concluded in
the NOX SIP Call, CAIR, CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update that a regional NOX control
strategy would be effective in reducing
regional-scale transport of ozone
precursor emissions. NOX emissions can
be transported downwind as NOX or as
ozone after transformation in the
atmosphere. In any given location,
ozone pollution levels are impacted by
a combination of background ozone
concentration, local emissions, and
emissions from upwind sources
resulting from ozone transport, in
conjunction with variable
meteorological conditions. Downwind
states’ ability to meet health-based air
quality standards such as the NAAQS is
challenged by the transport of ozone
pollution across state borders. For
example, ozone assessments conducted
for the October 2015 Regulatory Impact
Analysis of the Final Revisions to the
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
for Ground-Level Ozone 62 continue to
show the importance of NOX emissions
for ozone transport. This analysis is
included in the docket for this
rulemaking.
Further, studies have found that EGU
NOX emissions reductions can be
effective in reducing individual 8-hour
peak ozone concentrations and in
reducing 8-hour peak ozone
concentrations averaged across the
ozone season. For example, a study of
the EGU NOX reductions achieved
under the NOX Budget Trading Program
(i.e., the NOX SIP Call) shows that
regulating NOX emissions in that
program was highly effective in
reducing ozone concentrations during
the ozone season.63
Previous regional ozone transport
efforts, including the NOX SIP Call,
CAIR, CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and
the Revised CSAPR Update, required
ozone season NOX reductions from EGU
sources to address interstate transport of
ozone. Together with NOX, the EPA has
also identified VOCs as a precursor in
forming ground-level ozone. Ozone
formation chemistry can be ‘‘NOXlimited,’’ where ozone production is
primarily determined by the amount of
NOX emissions or ‘‘VOC-limited,’’
where ozone production is primarily
62 Available in the docket for the October 2015
Revisions to the National Ambient Air Quality
Standards for Ground-Level Ozone at https://
www.regulations.gov/docket/EPA-HQ-OAR-20080699.
63 Butler, et al., ‘‘Response of Ozone and Nitrate
to Stationary Source Reductions in the Eastern
USA.’’Atmospheric Environment, 2011.
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determined by the amount of VOC
emissions.64 The EPA and others have
long regarded NOX to be the more
significant ozone precursor in the
context of interstate ozone transport.65
The EPA has determined that the
regulation of VOCs as an ozone
precursor is not necessary to eliminate
significant contribution of ozone
transport to downwind areas in this
rule. As described in section V.A of this
document, the EPA examined the
results of the contribution modeling
performed for this rule to identify the
portion of the ozone contribution
attributable to anthropogenic NOX
emissions versus VOC emissions from
each linked upwind state to each
downwind receptor. Our analysis of the
ozone contribution from upwind states
subject to regulation demonstrates that
regional ozone concentrations affecting
the vast majority of the downwind areas
of air quality concern are NOX-limited,
rather than VOC-limited. Therefore, the
rule’s strategy for reducing regionalscale transport of ozone targets NOX
emissions from stationary sources to
achieve the most effective reductions of
ozone transport over the geography of
the affected downwind areas. The
potential impacts of NOX mitigation
strategies from other sources are
discussed in section V.B of this
document.
In section V of this document, the
EPA describes the multi-factor test that
is used to determine NOX emissions
reductions that are cost-effective and
reduce interstate transport of groundlevel ozone. Our analysis indicates that
the EGU and non-EGU control
requirements included in this rule will
provide meaningful improvements in air
quality at the downwind receptors.
Based on the implementation schedule
established in section VI.A of this
document, the EPA finds that the
regulatory requirements included in the
rule are as expeditious as practicable
and are aligned with the attainment
schedule of downwind areas.
3. Health and Environmental Effects
Exposure to ambient ozone causes a
variety of negative effects on human
health, vegetation, and ecosystems. In
humans, acute and chronic exposure to
ozone is associated with premature
mortality and certain morbidity effects,
such as asthma exacerbation. In
ecosystems, ozone exposure causes
visible foliar injury, decreases plant
growth, and affects ecosystem
64 ‘‘Ozone Air Pollution.’’ Introduction to
Atmospheric Chemistry, by Daniel J. Jacob,
Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey,
1999, pp. 231–244.
65 81 FR 74514.
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community composition. See EPA’s
October 2015 Regulatory Impact
Analysis of the Final Revisions to the
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
for Ground-Level Ozone 66 in the docket
for this rulemaking for more information
on the human health and ecosystem
effects associated with ambient ozone
exposure.
Commenters on prior ozone transport
rules have asserted that VOC emissions
harm underserved and overburdened
communities experiencing
disproportionate environmental health
burdens and facing other environmental
injustices. The EPA acknowledges that
VOCs can contain toxic chemicals that
are detrimental to public health. The
EPA conducted a demographic analysis
as part of the regulatory impact analysis
for the 2015 revisions to the primary
and secondary ozone NAAQS. This
analysis, which is included in the
docket for this rulemaking, found
greater representation of minority
populations in areas with poor air
quality relative to the revised ozone
standard than in the U.S. as a whole.
The EPA concluded that populations in
these areas would be expected to benefit
from implementation of future air
pollution control actions from state and
local air agencies in implementing the
strengthened standard. This rule is an
example of air pollution control actions
implemented by the Federal
Government in support of the more
protective 2015 ozone NAAQS, and
populations living in downwind ozone
nonattainment and maintenance areas
are expected to benefit from improved
air quality that will result from reducing
ozone transport. Further discussion of
the environmental justice analysis of
this rule is located in section VII of this
document and in the accompanying
regulatory impact analysis, titled
‘‘Regulatory Impact Analysis for Final
Federal Good Neighbor Plan Addressing
Regional Ozone Transport for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standard’’ [EPA–452/D–22–001], which
is available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
The Agency regulates exposure to
toxic pollutant concentrations and
ambient exposure to criteria pollutants
other than ozone through other sections
of the Act, such as the regulation of
hazardous air pollutants under CAA
section 112 or the process for revising
and implementing the NAAQS under
CAA sections 107–110. The purpose of
the subject rulemaking is to protect
public health and the environment by
eliminating significant contribution
66 Available
at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/
files/2016-02/documents/20151001ria.pdf.
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36671
from 23 states to nonattainment or
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
to meet the requirements of the CAA’s
interstate transport provision. In this
rule, the EPA continues to observe that
requiring NOX emissions reductions
from stationary sources is an effective
strategy for reducing regional ozone
transport in the U.S.
The EPA responds to other comments
received on the health and
environmental impacts of ozone
exposure in section 11 of the RTC
document.
B. Final Rule Approach
1. The 4-Step Interstate Transport
Framework
The EPA first developed a multi-step
process to address the requirements of
the good neighbor provision in the 1998
NOX SIP Call and the 2005 CAIR. The
Agency built upon this framework and
further refined the methodology for
addressing interstate transport
obligations in subsequent rules such as
CSAPR in 2011, the CSAPR Update in
2016, and the Revised CSAPR Update in
2021.67 In CSAPR, the EPA first
articulated a ‘‘4-step framework’’ within
which to assess interstate transport
obligations for ozone. In this rule to
address interstate transport obligations
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA is
again utilizing the 4-step interstate
transport framework. These steps are:
(1) identifying downwind receptors that
are expected to have problems attaining
the NAAQS (nonattainment receptors)
or maintaining the NAAQS
(maintenance receptors); (2)
determining which upwind states are
‘‘linked’’ to these identified downwind
receptors based on a numerical
contribution threshold; (3) for states
linked to downwind air quality
problems, identifying upwind emissions
on a statewide basis that significantly
contribute to downwind nonattainment
or interfere with downwind
maintenance of the NAAQS,
considering cost- and air quality-based
factors; and (4) for upwind states that
are found to have emissions that
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in any
downwind state, implementing the
necessary emissions reductions through
enforceable measures.
Comment: The EPA received
comments supporting the Agency’s use
of the 4-step interstate transport
framework as a permissible method for
assigning the required amount of
67 See CSAPR, Final Rule, 76 FR 48208, 48248–
48249 (August 8, 2011); CSAPR Update, Final Rule,
81 FR 74504, 74517–74521 (October 26, 2016).
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emissions reductions necessary to
eliminate upwind states’ significant
contribution. Commenters also noted
that the 4-step interstate transport
framework was reviewed by the
Supreme Court in EPA vs. EME Homer
City Generation, 572 U.S. 489 (2014),
and upheld. However, other
commenters took exception to the
overall approach of this proposed
action. These commenters alleged that
the EPA is ignoring the ‘‘flexibility’’ in
addressing good neighbor obligations
that it had purportedly suggested to
states would be permissible in
memoranda that the EPA issued in
2018. Commenters also raised concerns
that the air quality modeling (2016v2)
the EPA used to propose to disapprove
SIP submittals and as the basis for the
proposed FIP was not available to states
at the time they made their submissions
and that the changes in results at Steps
1 and 2 from prior rounds of modeling
rendered the new modeling unreliable.
Commenters also raised a number of
arguments that the EPA should allow
states an additional opportunity to
submit SIPs before promulgating a FIP,
advocated that the EPA should issue a
‘‘SIP call’’ under CAA section 110(k)(5),
asked for the EPA to issue new or more
specific guidance, or otherwise
suggested that the EPA should defer
acting to promulgate a FIP at this time.
Response: As an initial matter,
comments regarding the EPA’s basis for
disapproving SIPs are beyond the scope
of this action.68 To the extent these
comments relate to the legal basis for
the EPA to promulgate a FIP, the EPA
disagrees that it is acting in a manner
contrary to the memoranda it released in
2018 related to good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Arguments that the EPA must or should
allow states to re-submit SIP
submissions based on the most recent
modeling information before the EPA
promulgates a FIP ignore the plain
language of the statute and relevant
caselaw. CAA section 110(c) authorizes
the EPA to promulgate a FIP ‘‘at any
time within 2 years’’ of a SIP
disapproval. No provision of the Act
requires the EPA to give states an
additional opportunity to prepare a new
SIP submittal once the EPA has
proposed a FIP or proposed disapproval
of a SIP submittal. Comments regarding
the timing of the EPA’s actions and calls
68 We
nonetheless further respond to comments
regarding the timing and sequence of the EPA’s SIP
and FIP actions, the relevance of judicial consent
decrees, the requests for a SIP call, and related
comments—to the extent any of these issues are
within scope of the present action—in Sections 1
and 2 of the RTC document located in the docket
for this action.
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for the EPA to allow time for states to
resubmit SIPs are further addressed in
RTC sections 1.1 and 2.4.
With regard to the need for the EPA
to develop and issue guidance in
addressing good neighbor obligations, in
EPA v. EME Homer City Generation,
L.P., the Supreme Court held that
‘‘nothing in the statute places the EPA
under an obligation to provide specific
metrics to States before they undertake
to fulfill their good neighbor
obligations.’’ 69 While we have taken a
different approach in some prior
rulemakings by providing states with an
opportunity to submit a SIP after we
quantified the states’ budgets (e.g., the
NOX SIP Call and CAIR 70), the CAA
does not require such an approach.
2018 Memoranda. As commenters
point out, the EPA issued three
‘‘memoranda’’ in 2018 to provide some
assistance to states in developing these
SIP submittals.71 Each memorandum
made clear that the EPA’s action on SIP
submissions would be through a
separate notice-and-comment
rulemaking process and that SIP
submissions seeking to rely on or take
advantage of any so-called
‘‘flexibilities’’ in these memoranda
would be carefully reviewed against the
relevant legal requirements and
technical information available to the
EPA at the time it would take such
rulemaking action. Further, certain
aspects of discussions in those
memoranda were specifically identified
as not constituting agency guidance
(especially Attachment A to the March
69 572 U.S. 489, 510 (2014). ‘‘Nothing in the Act
differentiates the Good Neighbor Provision from the
several other matters a State must address in its SIP.
Rather, the statute speaks without reservation: Once
a NAAQS has been issued, a State ‘shall’ propose
a SIP within three years, § 7410(a)(1), and that SIP
‘shall’ include, among other components,
provisions adequate to satisfy the Good Neighbor
Provision, § 7410(a)(2).’’ EPA v. EME Homer City
Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. at 515.
70 For information on the NO SIP call see 63 FR
X
57356 (October 27, 1998). For information on CAIR
see 70 FR 25162 (May 12, 2005).
71 See Information on the Interstate Transport
State Implementation Plan Submissions for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards under Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) (March 27, 2018) (‘‘March 2018
memorandum’’); Analysis of Contribution
Thresholds for Use in Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) Interstate Transport State
Implementation Plan Submissions for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards,
August 31, 2018) (‘‘August 2018 memorandum’’);
Considerations for Identifying Maintenance
Receptors for Use in Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) Interstate Transport State
Implementation Plan Submissions for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards,
October 19, 2018 (‘‘October 2018 memorandum’’).
These are available in the docket or at https://
www.epa.gov/airmarkets/memo-and-supplementalinformation-regarding-interstate-transport-sips2015-ozone-naaqs.
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2018 memorandum, which comprised
an unvetted list of external stakeholders’
ideas). And, although outside the scope
of this action, as the EPA has explained
in disapproving states’ SIP submittals,
those submittals did not meet the terms
of the August 2018 or October 2018
memoranda addressing contribution
thresholds and maintenance receptors,
respectively.
Commenters mistakenly view
Attachment A to the March 2018
memorandum as constituting agency
guidance. This memorandum was
primarily issued to share modeling
results for 2023 that represented the best
information available to the Agency as
of March 2018, while Attachment A
then listed certain ideas from certain
stakeholders that the EPA said could be
further discussed among states and
stakeholders. The EPA disagrees with
commenters’ characterization of the
EPA’s stance regarding these so-called
‘‘flexibilities’’ listed (without analysis)
in Attachment A. The March 2018
memorandum provided, ‘‘While the
information in this memorandum and
the associated air quality analysis data
could be used to inform the
development of these SIPs, the
information is not a final determination
regarding states’ obligations under the
good neighbor provision.’’ The EPA
again affirms that the concepts listed in
Attachment A to the March 2018
memorandum require unique
consideration, and these ideas do not
constitute agency guidance with respect
to transport obligations for the 2015
ozone NAAQS. Attachment A to the
March 2018 memorandum identified a
‘‘Preliminary List of Potential
Flexibilities’’ that could potentially
inform SIP development. However, the
EPA made clear in both the March 2018
memorandum 72 and in Attachment A
that the list of ideas was not endorsed
by the Agency but rather ‘‘comments
provided in various forums’’ on which
the EPA sought ‘‘feedback from
interested stakeholders.’’ 73 Further,
Attachment A stated, ‘‘EPA is not at this
time making any determination that the
ideas discussed below are consistent
with the requirements of the CAA, nor
are we specifically recommending that
states use these approaches.’’ 74
Attachment A to the March 2018
memorandum, therefore, does not
72 ‘‘In addition, the memorandum is accompanied
by Attachment A, which provides a preliminary list
of potential flexibilities in analytical approaches for
developing a good neighbor SIP that may warrant
further discussion between EPA and states.’’ March
2018 memorandum at 1.
73 March 2018 memorandum, Attachment A at
A–1.
74 Id.
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constitute agency guidance, but was
intended to generate further discussion
around potential approaches to
addressing ozone transport among
interested stakeholders. The EPA
emphasized in these memoranda that
such alternative approaches must be
technically justified and appropriate in
light of the facts and circumstances of
each particular state’s submittal. To the
extent states sought to develop or rely
on one or more of these ideas in support
of their SIP submissions, the EPA
reviewed their technical and legal
justifications for doing so.75
Regarding the October 2018
memorandum, that document
recognized that states may be able to
demonstrate in their SIPs that
conditions exist that would justify
treating a monitoring site as not being a
maintenance receptor despite results
from our modeling methodology
identifying it as such a receptor. The
EPA explained that this demonstration
could be appropriate under two
circumstances: (1) the site currently has
‘‘clean data’’ indicating attainment of
the 2015 ozone NAAQS based on
measured air quality concentrations, or
(2) the state believes there is a technical
reason to justify using a design value
from the baseline period that is lower
than the maximum design value based
on monitored data during the same
baseline period. To justify such an
approach, the EPA anticipated that any
such showing would be based on an
analytical demonstration that (1)
meteorological conditions in the area of
the monitoring site were conducive to
ozone formation during the period of
clean data or during the alternative base
period design value used for
projections; (2) ozone concentrations
have been trending downward at the
site since 2011 (and ozone precursor
emissions of NOX and VOC have also
decreased); and (3) emissions are
expected to continue to decline in the
upwind and downwind states out to the
attainment date of the receptor.
Although this is beyond the scope of
this action, the EPA explained in its
final SIP disapproval action that no state
successfully demonstrated that one of
these alternative approaches is justified.
In this action, our analysis of the air
quality data and projections in section
IV of this document indicate that trends
in historic measured data do not
necessarily support adopting a less
75 E.g., 87 FR 64423–64425 (Alabama); 87 FR
31453–31454 (California); 87 FR 9852–9854
(Illinois); 87 FR 9859–9860 (Indiana); 87 FR 9508,
9515 (Kentucky); 87 FR 9861–9862 (Michigan); 87
FR 9869–9870 (Ohio); 87 FR 9798, 9818–9820
(Oklahoma); 87 FR 31477–31481 (Utah); 87 FR
9526–9527 (West Virginia).
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stringent approach for identifying
maintenance receptors for purposes of
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. In fact, as
explained in section III.B.1.a and IV.D of
this document, the EPA has found in its
analysis for this final rule that, in
general, recent measured data from
regulatory ambient air quality ozone
monitoring sites suggest that a number
of receptors with elevated ozone levels
will persist in 2023 even though our
traditional methodology at Step 1 did
not identify these monitoring sites as
receptors in 2023. Thus, the EPA is not
acting inconsistently with that
memorandum—the factual conditions
that would need to exist for the
suggested approaches of that
memorandum to be applicable have not
been demonstrated as being applicable
or appropriate based on the relevant
data.
Regarding the August 2018
memorandum, as discussed in section
IV.F.2 of this document, for purposes of
Step 2 of our ozone transport evaluation
framework, we are applying a 1 percent
of NAAQS threshold rather than a 1 ppb
threshold, as this memorandum had
suggested might be appropriate for
states to apply as an alternative. The
EPA is finalizing its proposed approach
of consistently using a 1 percent of the
NAAQS contribution threshold at Step
2 to evaluate whether states are linked
to downwind nonattainment and
maintenance concerns for purposes of
this FIP.
The approach of this FIP ensures both
national consistency across all states
and consistency and continuity with our
prior interstate transport actions for
other NAAQS. Further, in this action
the EPA is promulgating FIPs under the
authority of CAA section 110(c). In
doing so, the EPA has exercised its
discretion to determine how to define
and apply good neighbor obligations in
place of the discretion states otherwise
would exercise (subject to the EPA’s
approval as compliant with the Act). In
general, the EPA is applying the 4-step
interstate transport framework it
devised over the course of its prior good
neighbor rulemakings, including
applying a consistent definition of
nonattainment and maintenance-only
receptors, and applying the 1 percent of
NAAQS threshold at Step 2. The basis
for these decisions is further explained
in sections IV.F.1 and IV.F.2 of the
document. These policy judgments
reflect consistency with relevant good
neighbor case law and past agency
practice implementing the good
neighbor provision as reflected in the
original CSAPR, CSAPR Update,
Revised CSAPR Update, and related
rulemakings. Nationwide consistency in
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approach is particularly important in
the context of interstate ozone transport,
which is a regional-scale pollution
problem involving the collective
emissions of many smaller contributors.
Effective policy solutions to the problem
of interstate ozone transport dating back
to the NOX SIP Call (63 FR 57356
(October 27, 1998)) have necessitated
the application of a uniform framework
of policy judgments, and the EPA’s
framework applied here has been
upheld as ensuring an ‘‘efficient and
equitable’’ approach. See EME Homer
City Generation, LP v. EPA, 572 U.S.
489, 519 (2014).
Updated modeling. The EPA had
originally provided 2023 modeling
results in its March 2018 memorandum,
which used a 2011-based platform.
Many states used this modeling in
providing good neighbor SIP submittals
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. While our
action on the SIP submittals is not
within scope of this action, commenters
claim the use of new modeling or other
information not available to states at the
time they made their submittals renders
this action promulgating a FIP unlawful.
Notwithstanding whether that is an
accurate characterization of the EPA’s
basis for disapproving the SIPs, we note
that the court in Wisconsin rejected this
precise argument against the CSAPR
Update FIPs as a collateral attack on the
SIP disapprovals. 938 F.3d at 336 (‘‘That
is the hallmark of an improper collateral
attack. The true gravamen of the claim
lies in the agency’s failure to timely act
upon the States’ SIP submissions and,
relatedly, its reliance on data compiled
after the SIP action deadline. Both go
directly to the legitimacy of the SIP
denials.’’).
Nonetheless, we offer the following
explanation of the evolution of the
EPA’s understanding of projected air
quality conditions and contributions in
2023 resulting from the iterative nature
of our modeling efforts. These modeling
efforts are further addressed in section
IV of this document. We acknowledge
that to evaluate transport SIPs and
support our proposed FIP the EPA
reassessed receptors at Step 1 and states’
contribution levels at Step 2 through
additional modeling (2016v2) before
proposing this action and have
reassessed again to inform the final
action (2016v3). At proposal, we relied
on CAMx Version 7.10 and the 2016v2
emissions platform to make updated
determinations regarding which
receptors would likely exist in 2023 and
which states are projected to contribute
above the contribution threshold to
those receptors. As explained in the
preamble of the EPA’s proposed FIP and
further detailed in the ‘‘Air Quality
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Modeling Technical Support Document
for the Federal Implementation Plan
Addressing Regional Ozone Transport
for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient
Air Quality Standards Proposed
Rulemaking’’ (Dec. 2021), hereinafter
referred to as Air Quality Modeling
Proposed Rule TSD, and the ‘‘Technical
Support Document (TSD): Preparation
of Emissions Inventories for the 2016v2
North American Emissions Modeling
Platform’’ (Dec. 2021), hereinafter
referred to as the 2016v2 Emissions
Inventory TSD, both available in the
docket for this action (docket ID no.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668), this
modeling built off of previous modeling
iterations used to support the EPA’s
action on interstate transport
obligations. The EPA periodically
refines its modeling to ensure the results
are as indicative as possible of air
quality in future years. This includes
making any necessary adjustments to
our modeling platform and updating our
emissions inventories to reflect current
information, including information
submitted during public comments on
proposed actions.
For this final rule, the EPA has
evaluated a raft of technical information
and critiques of its 2016v2 modeling
provided by commenters on this action
(as well as comments on the SIP actions)
and has responded to those comments
and incorporated updates into the
version of the modeling used to support
this final rule (2016v3). As explained in
section IV.B of the document, in
response to additional information
provided by stakeholders following a
solicitation of feedback during the
release of the 2016v2 emissions
inventory and during the comment
periods on the proposed SIP actions, the
EPA has reviewed and revised its
2016v2 modeling platform and input
since the platform was made available
for comment. The new modeling
platform 2016v3 was developed from
this input, and the modeling results
using platform 2016v3 are available
with this action. See section IV of this
document for further discussion. Thus,
the EPA’s final rule is based on a
comprehensive record of data and
technical evaluation, including the
updated modeling information used at
proposal (2016v2), the comments
received on that modeling, and the
latest modeling used in this final rule
(2016v3).
The changes in projected outcomes at
Steps 1 and 2 are a product of these
changes; these updates between the data
released in 2018 to now are an
outgrowth of this iterative process,
including updating the platform from a
2011 to a 2016 base year, updates to the
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emissions inventory information and
other updates. It is reasonable for the
Agency to improve its understanding of
a situation before taking final action,
and the Agency uses the best
information available to it in taking this
action.
Further, these modeling updates have
not uniformly resulted in new
linkages—the 2016v2 modeling, for
instance, corroborated the proposed
approval of Montana and supported
approval of Colorado’s SIP in October of
2022.76 Although some commenters
indicate that our modeling iterations
have provided differing outcomes and
are therefore unreliable, this is not what
the overall record indicates. Rather, in
general, although the specifics of states’
linkages may have changed to some
extent, our modeling on the whole has
provided consistent outcomes regarding
which states are linked to downwind air
quality problems. For example, the
EPA’s modeling shows that most states
that were linked to one or more
receptors using the 2011-based platform
(i.e., the March 2018 data release) are
also linked to one or more receptors
using the newer 2016-based platform.
Because the new platform uses different
meteorology (i.e., 2016 instead of 2011),
it is not unexpected that an upwind
state would be linked to different
receptors using 2011 versus 2016
meteorology. In addition, although a
state may be linked to a different set of
receptors, those receptors are within the
same areas that have historically had a
persistent air quality problem. Only
three upwind states included in the FIP
went from being unlinked to being
linked in 2023 between the 2011-based
modeling provided in the March 2018
memorandum and the 2016v3-based
modeling—Alabama, Minnesota, and
Nevada.
Additionally, we disagree with
commenters who claim that the 2016v2
modeling results were sprung upon the
states with the publication of the
proposed SIP disapprovals. In fact,
states had prior access to a series of data
and modeling releases beginning as
early as the publication of the 2016v1
modeling with the proposed Revised
CSAPR Update in October 2020. States
could have reviewed and used this
technical information to understand and
track how the EPA’s modeling updates
were affecting the list of potential
receptors and linkages for the 2015
ozone NAAQS in the 2023 analytic year.
76 87 FR 6095, 6097 at n. 15 (February 3, 2022)
(Montana proposal); 87 FR 27050, 27056 (May 6,
2022) (Colorado, proposal), 87 FR 61249 (October
11, 2022) (Colorado, final).
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The 2016-based meteorology and
boundary conditions used in the
modeling have been available through
the 2016v1 platform, which was used
for the Revised CSAPR Update
(proposed, 85 FR 68964; October 30,
2020). The updated emissions inventory
files used in the current modeling were
publicly released September 21, 2021,
for stakeholder feedback, and have been
available on our website since that
time.77 The CAMx modeling software
that the EPA used has likewise been
publicly available for over a year before
this final rule was proposed on April 6,
2022. CAMx version 7.10 was released
by the model developer, Ramboll, in
December 2020. On January 19, 2022,
we released on our website and notified
a wide range of stakeholders of the
availability of both the modeling results
for 2023 and 2026 (including
contribution data) along with many key
underlying input files.78
By providing the 2016 meteorology
and boundary conditions (used in the
2016v1 version) in fall of 2020, and by
releasing updated emissions inventory
information used in 2016v2 in
September of 2021,79 we gave states and
other interested parties multiple
opportunities prior to proposal of this
rule on April 6, 2022, to consider how
our modeling updates could affect their
status for purposes of evaluating
potential linkages for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. In this final rule, we have
updated our modeling to 2016v3,
incorporating and reflecting the
feedback and additional information we
received through the multiple public
comment opportunities the EPA made
available on the 2016v2 modeling.
The EPA’s development of and
reliance on newer modeling is
reasonable and is simply another
iteration of the EPA’s longstanding
scientific and technical work to improve
our understanding of air quality issues
and causes going back many decades.
Comment: Commenters asserted that
the EPA lacks authority under the good
neighbor provision to do more than
establish state-wide emissions budgets,
which states may then implement
through their own choice of emissions
controls. The commenters claim that the
EPA lacks authority to directly regulate
emissions sources under the good
neighbor provision, and they cite to case
law that they view as establishing a
‘‘federalism bar’’ to direct Federal
regulation. Commenters assert that the
77 See https://www.epa.gov/air-emissionsmodeling/2016v2-platform.
78 See https://www.epa.gov/scram/
photochemical-modeling-applications.
79 https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/
2016v2-platform.
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term ‘‘amounts’’ as used in the good
neighbor provision prevents the agency
from establishing emissions limits at
individual sources, such as the nonEGU industrial units that the EPA
proposed to regulate or implementing
‘‘enhancements’’ in its mass-based
emissions trading approach for EGUs as
it had proposed. Commenters claim
these aspects of the rule are an unlawful
or arbitrary and capricious departure
from the EPA’s prior transport
rulemakings, which they claim only set
mass-based emissions budgets as the
means to eliminate ‘‘significant
contribution.’’
Response: To the extent these
comments challenge the EPA’s
disapproval of states’ 2015 ozone
NAAQS good neighbor SIP submissions,
they are out of scope of this action,
which promulgates a FIP under the
authority of CAA section 110(c)(1). To
the extent commenters assert that the
EPA does not have the authority to
directly implement source-specific
emissions control requirements or other
emissions control measures, means, or
techniques, including emissions trading
programs, in the exercise of that FIP
authority, the EPA disagrees. While the
courts have long recognized that the
states have wide discretion in the design
of SIPs to attain and maintain the
NAAQS, see, e.g., Union Electric Co v.
EPA, 427 U.S. 246 (1976), when the EPA
promulgates a FIP to cure a defective
SIP, the Act, including the definition of
a FIP in section 302(y), provides for the
EPA to directly implement the Act’s
requirements. The EPA is granted
authority to choose among a broad range
of ‘‘emission limitations or other control
measures, means, or techniques
(including economic incentives, such as
marketable permits or auctions of
emissions allowances) . . . .’’ CAA
section 302(y); see also CAA section
110(a)(2) (empowering states to
implement an identical set of emissions
control mechanisms).
The courts have also recognized that
the EPA has broad authority to cure a
defective SIP, that the EPA may exercise
its own, independent regulatory
authority in implementing a FIP in
accordance with the CAA, and that the
EPA in effect steps into the shoes of a
state when it promulgates a FIP. See,
e.g., Central Ariz. Water Conservation
Dist. v. EPA, 990 F.2d 1531 (9th Cir.
1993); South Terminal Corp. v. EPA,
504 F.2d 646 (1st Cir. 1974). Accord
Virginia v. EPA, 108 F.3d 1397, 1406–
07 (D.C. Cir. 1997) (‘‘The Federal Plan
‘provides an additional incentive for
state compliance because it rescinds
state authority to make the many
sensitive and policy choices that a
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pollution control regime demands.’’’)
(quoting Natural Resources Defense
Council v. Browner, 57 F.3d 1122, 1124
(D.C. Cir. 1995)). Cf. District of
Columbia v. Train, 521 F.2d 971 (D.C.
Cir. 1975), vacated sub nom. EPA v.
Brown, 431 U.S. 99 (1977) (‘‘[W]here
cooperation [from states] is not
forthcoming, we believe that the
recourse contemplated by the commerce
clause is direct federal regulation of the
offending activity . . . .’’).
These same principles apply where
the EPA must promulgate a FIP to
address good neighbor requirements
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
The EPA has promulgated a series of
FIPs in the past to address the relevant
requirements for prior ozone and PM
NAAQS. See, e.g., CAIR FIP, 71 FR
25328 (April 28, 2006); CSAPR, 76 FR
48208 (August 8, 2011); the CSAPR
Update, 81 FR 74504 (October 26, 2016);
and the Revised CSAPR Update, 86 FR
23054 (April 30, 2021). Courts have
upheld the EPA’s exercise of this
authority. See EME Homer City
Generation v. EPA, 572 U.S. 489 (2014);
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C.
Cir. 2019). Indeed, in EME Homer City,
the U.S. Supreme Court held that the
EPA is not obligated to provide
guidance to states before acting on their
good neighbor submissions or give
states a second chance at correcting the
deficiencies before promulgating a FIP,
and the EPA may promulgate a FIP at
any time after finalizing its disapproval
of SIP submissions. 572 U.S. at 508–11.
The cases cited by commenters,
which they refer to as establishing the
Train-Virginia federalism bar, were not
reviewing the exercise of the EPA’s
authority in promulgating a FIP under
CAA section 110(c)(1) but rather were
describing the scope of the EPA’s
authority in acting on SIP submissions
under CAA section 110(k)(3) or in
issuing a ‘‘SIP call’’ under section
110(k)(5). In those latter contexts, the
courts have held that the EPA may not
dictate the specific control measures
states must implement to meet the Act’s
requirements. See Virginia, 108 F.3d at
1409–10. In Michigan, the D.C. Circuit
upheld the EPA’s exercise of CAA
section 110(k)(5) authority in issuing the
‘‘NOX SIP Call,’’ because, ‘‘EPA does not
tell the states how to achieve SIP
compliance. Rather, EPA looks to
section 110(a)(2)(D) and merely
provides the levels to be achieved by
state-determined compliance
mechanisms. . . . However, EPA made
clear that states do not have to adopt the
control scheme that EPA assumed for
budget-setting purposes.’’ Michigan v.
EPA, 213 F.3d 663, 687–88 (D.C. Cir.
2000).
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Commenters’ position that the EPA
must provide similar flexibility to the
states in this action (i.e., only provide a
general emissions reduction target and
leave to states how to meet that target)
is a non sequitur. The EPA is
implementing a FIP in this action and
must directly implement the necessary
emissions controls. The EPA is not
empowered to require states to
implement FIP mandates. Such an
approach would conflict with
constitutional anti-commandeering
principles, is not provided for in the
Act, and would only constitute a partial
implementation of FIP obligations in
contravention of the holding in
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d at 313–20.
Commenters’ attempt to contrast the
implementation of source-specific
emissions limitations at industrial
sources with the establishment of a
specific mass-based budget (as the EPA
has set for power plants in prior good
neighbor FIPs) is unavailing. CAA
section 110(c)(1) and 302(y) authorize
the EPA in promulgating a FIP to
establish ‘‘enforceable emission
limitations’’ in addition to other types of
control measures like mass-based
trading programs. Further, in this
action, the EPA has developed an
emissions control strategy that prohibits
the ‘‘amount’’ of pollution that
significantly contributes to
nonattainment and/or interferes with
maintenance. We determine that
amount, as we have in prior transport
actions, at Step 3 of the analysis, by
applying a multifactor analysis that
includes considering cost and
downwind air quality effects. See
section V.A of this document. With the
implementation of the selected controls
(at Step 4) through both an emissions
trading program for power plants and
source-specific emissions limitations for
industrial sources, those ‘‘amounts’’ that
had been emitted prior to imposition of
the controls will be eliminated.
The Act does not mandate that the
EPA must set a specific mass-based
budget for each state to eliminate
significant contribution based on the
use of the term ‘‘amounts’’ in CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). As the Supreme
Court recognized, the statute ‘‘requires
States to eliminate those ‘amounts’ of
pollution that ‘contribute significantly
to nonattainment’ in downwind States,’’
and it delegates to states or EPA acting
in their stead discretion to determine
how to apportion responsibility among
those upwind states. 572 U.S. at 514
(emphasis added). The statute does not
define the term ‘‘amount’’ in the way
commenters suggest (or in any other
way), and neither the Agency nor any
court has reached that conclusion. The
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Supreme Court itself has recognized that
the language of the good neighbor
provision is amenable to different types
of metrics for quantification of
‘‘significant contribution.’’ See EME
Homer City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. at
514 (‘‘How is EPA to divide
responsibility among the . . . States?
Should the Agency allocate reductions
proportionally . . ., on a per capita
basis, on the basis of the cost of
abatement, or by some other metric?
. . . The Good Neighbor Provision does
not answer that question for EPA.’’); see
also Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663, 677
D.C. Cir. 2000) (‘‘Nothing in the text of
. . . the statute spells out a criterion for
classifying ‘emissions activity’ as
‘significant.’ ’’); id. at 677 (‘‘Must EPA
simply pick some flat ‘amount’ of
contribution . . . ?’’). When the State of
Delaware petitioned the Agency under
CAA section 126(b) to establish daily
emissions rates for EGUs to remedy
what it saw as continuing violations of
the good neighbor provision for the
2008 ozone NAAQS, neither the EPA
nor the reviewing court questioned
whether the Agency had the statutory
authority to do so. The EPA’s decision
not to was upheld on record grounds.
See Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185,
1207 D.C. Cir. 2020) (‘‘In other words,
Delaware’s concern makes sense but has
not been observed in practice.’’).80
The term ‘‘amounts’’ can be
interpreted to refer to any number of
metrics, and in fact the CAA uses the
term in several contexts where it is clear
Congress did not intend the term to refer
to a fixed, mass-based quantity of
emissions. For example, in the
definition of ‘‘lowest achievable
emission rate’’ (LAER) in CAA section
171, the Act provides that the
application of LAER shall not permit a
proposed new or modified source to
emit any pollutant in excess of ‘‘the
amount allowable under applicable new
source standards of performance
[NSPS].’’ NSPS may be, and usually are,
set as emissions standards or limitations
that are rate- or concentration-based.
See, e.g., 40 CFR part 60, subpart KKKK,
table I (establishing concentration-based
and rate-based emissions limits for
stationary combustion turbines).81
Congress has elsewhere used the term
‘‘amount’’ in the CAA to refer to
80 The Agency’s view of the basis for backstop
daily emissions rates for certain EGUs within the
trading program has changed since the time of its
action on Delaware’s petition, as explained in
section VI.B.
81 The EPA has interpreted the term ‘‘amount’’ as
used in CAA section 111(a)(4) in the definition of
the term ‘‘modifications’’ as an increase in a rate of
emissions expressed as kilograms per hour. 40 CFR
60.14(b).
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concentration-based standards. For
example, in CAA section 163(b),
Congress provided that maximum
allowable increases in concentrations of
certain pollutants ‘‘shall not exceed the
following amounts,’’ with a list of
allowable increases provided that are
expressed in micrograms per cubic
meter.82 As a third example, in the 1990
CAA Amendments, Congress provided
that ozone nonattainment areas
classified as Serious must provide a
reasonable further progress
demonstration of reductions in VOC
emissions ‘‘equal to the following
amount,’’ which is then described as a
percentage reduction from baseline
emissions. CAA section 182(c)(2)(B).
These examples illustrate that the word
‘‘amounts’’ is amenable to a variety of
meanings depending on what is being
measured or quantified. It would
therefore be highly unlikely that
Congress could have intended that
‘‘amount’’ as used in the good neighbor
provision must signify only a fixed mass
budget of emissions for each state
expressed as total tons per ozone
season.
Such an approach would, in fact, fail
to address an important aspect of the
problem of interstate transport. As
explained in sections III.B.1.d, V.D.4,
and VI.B.1, the EPA in this rule seeks to
better address the need for emissions
reductions on each day of the ozone
season, reflecting the daily, but
unpredictably recurring, nature of the
air pollution problem, short-term health
impacts, and the form of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, wherein nonattainment for
downwind areas (and thus heightened
regulatory requirements) could be based
on ozone exceedances on just a few days
of the year. The expression of the
‘‘amount’’ of pollution that should be
eliminated to address upwind states’
‘‘significant contribution’’ to that type of
air pollution problem may appropriately
take into account those aspects of the
problem, and the EPA may
appropriately conclude, as we do here,
that a single, fixed, emissions budget
covering an entire ozone season is not
sufficient to the task at hand.
In this action, the EPA reasonably
applies the good neighbor provision,
including the term ‘‘amount,’’ through
the 4-step interstate transport
framework. Under this approach, the
EPA here, as it has in prior transport
rulemakings for regional pollutants like
82 Notably, both the provisions of CAA section
171 and section 163 given as examples here were
added by the CAA Amendments of 1977, in the
same set of amendments that Congress first
strengthened the good neighbor provision and
added the term ‘‘amounts.’’ See Public Law 95–95,
91 Stat. 685, 693, 732, 746.
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ozone, identifies a uniform level of
emissions reduction that the covered
sources in the linked upwind states can
achieve that cost-effectively delivers
improvement in air quality at
downwind receptors on a regional scale.
The ‘‘amount’’ of pollution that is
identified for elimination at Step 3 of
the framework is therefore that amount
of emissions that is in excess of the
emissions control strategies the EPA has
deemed cost-effective. Contrary to
commenters’ views, in prior transport
rules utilizing emissions trading, the
mass budgets through which the
elimination of significant contribution
was effectuated did not constitute the
‘‘amounts’’ to be eliminated but rather
the residual emissions remaining
following the elimination of significant
contribution through the control
stringency selected based on our
multifactor assessment at Step 3. Nor
did the EPA consider a mass-based
budget to be the sole expression, even
indirectly, of what constituted
‘‘significant contribution.’’ See, e.g.,
CSAPR, 76 FR 48256–57 (discussing the
evaluation of the control strategies that
would eliminate significant contribution
for the 1997 ozone NAAQS, including
combustion controls, and explaining,
‘‘[I]t would be inappropriate for a state
linked to downwind nonattainment or
maintenance areas to stop operating
existing pollution control equipment
(which would increase their emissions
and contribution).’’).
In other actions the EPA has taken to
implement good neighbor obligations,
the EPA has required or allowed for
reliance on source-specific emissions
limitations rather than defining
significant contribution as a mass-based
budget. For example, the EPA imposed
unit-specific emissions limitations in
granting a CAA section 126(b) petition
from the State of New Jersey in 2011.
Final Response to Petition From New
Jersey Regarding SO2 Emissions From
the Portland Generating Station, 76 FR
69052, 69063–64 (Nov. 7, 2011)
(discussing the analytical basis for the
establishment of emissions limits at
specific units). This action was upheld
by the Third Circuit in Genon Rema LLC
v. EPA, 722 F.3d 513, 526 (3d. Cir.
2013).83
83 In CAA section 126(c), Congress provided for
the EPA to directly impose ‘‘emission limitations’’
to eliminate prohibited significant contribution.
Notably, the statute affords the EPA and states
flexibility in how an ‘‘emissions limitation’’ may be
expressed, including as a ‘‘quantity, rate, or
concentration,’’ see CAA section 302(k). It would
make little sense that the EPA could only establish
a mass-based definition of ‘‘amounts’’ under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), when the statute provides
for rate- or concentration-based limitations in CAA
section 126, which directly incorporates
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Even where the EPA has provided for
implementation of good neighbor
requirements through mass-based
budgets, it has recognized that other
approaches may be acceptable as
providing an equivalent degree of
emissions reduction to eliminate
significant contribution. See, e.g., NOX
SIP Call, 63 FR 57378–79 (discussing
approvability of rate-based emissions
limit approaches for implementing NOX
SIP Call and providing, ‘‘the 2007
overall budget is an important
accounting tool. However, the State is
not required to demonstrate that it has
limited its total NOX emissions to the
budget amounts. Thus, the overall
budget amount is not an independently
enforceable requirement.’’); CAIR, 70 FR
25261–62 (discussing ways states could
implement CAIR obligations, including
through emission-rate limitations, so
long as adequately demonstrated to
achieve comparable reductions to
CAIR’s emissions budgets).
Finally, as it has in its prior transport
FIP actions, the EPA has in this action
provided guidance for states on methods
by which they could replace this FIP
with SIPs, and in so doing, continues to
recognize substantial state flexibility in
achieving an equivalent degree of
emissions reduction that would
successfully eliminate significant
contribution for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. See section VI.D of this
document. While the EPA has exercised
the responsibility it has under CAA
section 110(c)(1) to step into the shoes
of the covered states and directly
implement good neighbor requirements
through a particular set of regulatory
mechanisms in this action, we
anticipate that states may identify
alternative, equivalent mechanisms that
we would be bound to evaluate and
approve if satisfactory, should states
seek to replace this FIP with a SIP.
For these reasons, the EPA disagrees
with the contention that it is
constrained by the good neighbor
provision to define upwind state
obligations solely by reference to a
fixed, mass budget. We find it
reasonable in this action to again
determine the amount of ‘‘significant
contribution’’ at Step 3 by reference to
uniform levels of cost-effective
emissions controls that can be applied
across the upwind sources. And, we
find it appropriate to implement those
emissions reductions at Step 4 through
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). (In observing this, we do not
concede that an ‘‘emissions limitation’’ itself could
not also be expressed through a mass-based
approach, which may be read as authorized by the
term ‘‘quantity,’’ a term also used in CAA section
302(k).)
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mechanisms that go beyond fixed, massbased, ozone-season long budgets.
The EPA’s authority for its industrial
source control strategies is further
discussed in sections II.C. and III.B.1.c
of this document. The relationship of
the control strategy to the assessment of
overcontrol is discussed in section
V.D.4 of this document. The
relationship of our FIP authority to state
authorities and SIP calls under CAA
section 110(k)(5) is further discussed in
RTC sections 1 and 2.
a. Step 1 Approach
As proposed, the EPA applies the
same basic method of the CSAPR
Update and the Revised CSAPR Update
for identifying nonattainment and
maintenance receptors. However, we
received comments arguing that the
outcome of applying our methodology
to identify receptors in 2023 appears
overly optimistic in light of current
measured data from the network of
ambient air quality monitors across the
country. These commenters suggest that
the EPA give greater weight to current
measured data as part of the method for
identifying projected receptors. As
discussed further in section IV.D of this
document, the EPA has modified its
approach for identifying receptors for
this final rule in response to these
comments.
This concern is more evident given
that the 2023 ozone season is just a few
months away, and the most recent
measured ozone values in many areas
strongly suggest that these areas will not
likely see the substantial reduction in
ozone levels that the 2016v2 and 2016v3
modeling continue to project.
It would not be reasonable to ignore
recent measured ozone levels in many
areas that are clearly not fully consistent
with certain concentrations in the Step
1 analysis for 2023. Therefore, the EPA
has developed an additional
maintenance-only receptor category,
which includes what we refer to as
‘‘violating monitor’’ receptors, based on
current ozone concentrations measured
by regulatory ambient air quality
monitoring sites. We acknowledge that
the traditional modeling plus
monitoring methodology we used at
proposal and in prior ozone transport
rules would otherwise have identified
such sites as being in attainment in
2023. Despite the implications of the
current measured data suggesting there
will be a nonattainment problem at
these sites in 2023, we cannot
definitively establish that such sites will
be in nonattainment in 2023 in light of
our modeling projections. In the face of
this uncertainty, we regard our ability to
consider such sites as receptors for
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purposes of good neighbor analysis
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to
be a function of the requirement to
prohibit emissions that interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS; even if our
transport modeling projects that an area
may reach attainment in 2023, we have
other information indicating that there
is an identified risk that attainment will
not in fact be achieved in 2023. The
EPA’s analysis of these additional
receptors further is explained in section
IV.D of this document.
However, because we did not identify
this basis for receptor-identification at
proposal, in this final action we are only
using this receptor category on a
confirmatory basis. That is, for states
that we find linked based on our
traditional modeling-based methodology
in 2023, we find in this final analysis
that the linkage at Step 2 is strengthened
and confirmed if that state is also linked
to one or more ‘‘violating monitor’’
receptors. If a state is only linked to a
violating-monitor receptor in this final
analysis, we are deferring promulgating
a final FIP (and we have also deferred
taking final action on that state’s SIP
submittal). This is the case for the State
of Tennessee. Among the states that
previously had their transport SIPs fully
approved for the 2015 ozone NAAQS,
the EPA has also identified a linkage to
violating-monitor receptors for the State
of Kansas. The EPA intends to further
review its air quality modeling results
and recent measured ozone levels, and
we intend to address these states’ good
neighbor obligations as expeditiously as
practicable in a future action.
b. Step 2 Approach
The EPA applies the same approach
for identifying which states are
contributing to downwind
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors as it has applied in the three
prior CSAPR rulemakings. CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update used a screening threshold of 1
percent of the NAAQS to identify
upwind states that were ‘‘linked’’ to
downwind air pollution problems.
States with contributions greater than or
equal to the threshold for at least one
downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptor identified in Step
1 were identified in these rules as
needing further evaluation of their good
neighbor obligations to downwind states
at Step 3.84 The EPA evaluated each
state’s contribution based on the average
relative downwind impact calculated
84 For ozone, the impacts include those from VOC
and NOX from all sectors.
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over multiple days.85 States whose air
quality impacts to all downwind
receptors were below this threshold did
not require further evaluation for
measures to address transport. In other
words, the EPA determined that these
states did not contribute to downwind
air quality problems and therefore had
no emissions reduction obligations
under the good neighbor provision. The
EPA applies a relatively low
contribution screening threshold
because many downwind ozone
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors receive transport contributions
from multiple upwind states. While the
proportion of contribution from a single
upwind state may be relatively small,
the effect of collective contribution
resulting from multiple upwind states
may substantially contribute to
nonattainment of or interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind areas. The preambles to the
proposed and final CSAPR rules discuss
the use of the 1 percent threshold for
CSAPR. See 75 FR 45237 (August 2,
2010); 76 FR 48238 (August 8, 2011).
The same metric is discussed in the
CSAPR Update, see 81 FR 74538, and in
the Revised CSAPR Update, see 86 FR
23054. In this final rule, the EPA has
updated the air quality modeling data
used for determining contributions at
Step 2 of the 4-step interstate transport
framework using the 2016v3 modeling
platform. The EPA continues to find
that this threshold is appropriate to
apply for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. This
rule’s application of the Step 2 approach
is comprehensively described in section
IV of this document.
Many commenters challenged the use
of a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold or
otherwise raised issues with the EPA’s
Step 2 methodology. These comments
are addressed in section IV.F of this
document and in the RTC document.
85 The number of days used in calculating the
average contribution metric has historically been
determined in a manner that is generally consistent
with the EPA’s recommendations for projecting
future year ozone design values. Our ozone
attainment demonstration modeling guidance at the
time of CSAPR recommended using all modelpredicted days above the NAAQS to calculate
future year design values (https://www3.epa.gov/
ttn/scram/guidance/guide/final-03-pm-rhguidance.pdf). In 2014, the EPA issued draft revised
guidance that changed the recommended number of
days to the top-10 model predicted days (https://
www3.epa.gov/ttn/scram/guidance/guide/Draft-O3PM-RH-Modeling_Guidance-2014.pdf). For the
CSAPR Update, the EPA transitioned to calculating
design values based on this draft revised approach.
The revised modeling guidance was finalized in
2019 and, in this regard, the EPA is calculating both
the ozone design values and the contributions based
on a top-10 day approach (https://www3.epa.gov/
ttn/scram/guidance/guide/O3-PM-RH-Modeling_
Guidance-2018.pdf).
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c. Step 3 Approach
The EPA continues to apply the same
approach as the prior three CSAPR
rulemakings for evaluating ‘‘significant
contribution’’ at Step 3.86 For states that
are linked at Step 2 to downwind air
quality problems, CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update
evaluated NOX reduction potential, cost,
and downwind air quality
improvements available at various
mitigation technology breakpoints
(represented by cost thresholds) in the
multi-factor test. In CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA selected the technology
breakpoint (represented by a cost
threshold) that, in general, maximized
cost-effectiveness—i.e., that achieved a
reasonable balance of incremental NOX
reduction potential and corresponding
downwind ozone air quality
improvements, relative to the other
emissions budget levels evaluated. See,
e.g., 81 FR 74550. The EPA determined
the level of emissions reductions
associated with that level of control
stringency to constitute significant
contribution to nonattainment or
interfere with maintenance of a NAAQS
downwind. See, e.g., 86 FR 23116. This
approach was upheld by the U.S.
Supreme Court in EPA v. EME Homer
City.87
In this action, the EPA applies this
approach to identify EGU and non-EGU
NOX control stringencies necessary to
address significant contribution for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. The EPA applies a
multifactor assessment using costthresholds, total emissions reduction
potential, and downwind air quality
effects as key factors in determining a
reasonable balance of NOX controls in
light of the downwind air quality
problems. The EPA’s evaluation of
available NOX mitigation strategies for
EGUs focuses on the same core set of
measures as prior transport rules, and
86 For simplicity, the EPA (and courts) at times
will refer to the Step 3 analysis as determining
‘‘significant contribution’’; however, the EPA’s
approach at Step 3 also implements the
‘‘interference with maintenance’’ prong of the good
neighbor provision by also addressing emissions
that impact the maintenance receptors identified at
Step 1. See 86 FR 23074 (‘‘In effect, EPA’s
determination of what level of upwind contribution
constitutes ‘interference’ with a maintenance
receptor is the same determination as what
constitutes ‘significant contribution’ for a
nonattainment receptor. Nonetheless, this continues
to give independent effect to prong 2 because the
EPA applies a broader definition for identifying
maintenance receptors, which accounts for the
possibility of problems maintaining the NAAQS
under realistic potential future conditions.’’). See
also EME Homer City, 795 F.3d 118, 136 (upholding
this approach to prong 2).
87 EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 572
U.S. 489 (2014).
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the EPA finalizes a control stringency
for EGUs from these measures that is
commensurate with the nature of the
ongoing ozone nonattainment and
maintenance problems observed for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. Similarly, in this
action, the EPA includes other
industrial sources (non-EGUs) in its
Step 3 analysis and finalizes emissions
limitations for certain non-EGU sources
as needed to eliminate significant
contribution and interference with
maintenance. The available reductions
and cost-levels for the non-EGU
stringency is commensurate with the
control strategy for EGUs.
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and
the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
focused its Step 3 analysis on EGUs. In
the Revised CSAPR Update, in response
to the Wisconsin decision’s finding that
the EPA had not adequately evaluated
potential non-EGU reductions, see 938
F.3d at 318, the EPA determined that
the available NOX emissions reductions
from non-EGU sources, for purposes of
addressing good neighbor obligations for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS, at a
comparable cost threshold to the
required EGU emissions reductions (for
which the EPA used an adjusted
representative cost of $1,800 per ton),
and based on the timing of when such
measures could be implemented, did
not provide a sufficiently meaningful
and timely air quality improvement at
the downwind receptors before those
receptors were projected to resolve. See
86 FR 23110. On that basis, the EPA
made a finding that emissions
reductions from non-EGU sources were
not required to eliminate significant
contribution to downwind air quality
problems under the interstate transport
provision for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. In
this rule, the EPA’s ‘‘significant
contribution’’ analysis at Step 3 of the
4-step framework includes a
comprehensive evaluation of major
stationary source non-EGU industries in
the linked upwind states. The EPA finds
that emissions from certain non-EGU
sources in the upwind states
significantly contribute to downwind air
quality problems for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, and that cost-effective
emissions reductions from these sources
are required to eliminate significant
contribution under the interstate
transport provision. Therefore, this rule
requires emissions reductions from nonEGU sources in upwind states to fulfill
interstate transport obligations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. This analysis is
described fully in section V of this
document.
In this rule, the EPA also continues to
apply its approach for assessing and
avoiding ‘‘over-control.’’ In EME Homer
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City, the Supreme Court held that ‘‘EPA
cannot require a State to reduce its
output of pollution by more than is
necessary to achieve attainment in every
downwind State or at odds with the
one-percent threshold the Agency has
set.’’ 572 U.S. at 521. The Court
acknowledged that ‘‘instances of ‘overcontrol’ in particular downwind
locations may be incidental to
reductions necessary to ensure
attainment elsewhere.’’ Id. at 492.
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Because individual upwind States often
‘contribute significantly’ to nonattainment in
multiple downwind locations, the emissions
reductions required to bring one linked
downwind State into attainment may well be
large enough to push other linked downwind
States over the attainment line. As the Good
Neighbor Provision seeks attainment in every
downwind State, however, exceeding
attainment in one State cannot rank as ‘overcontrol’ unless unnecessary to achieving
attainment in any downwind State. Only
reductions unnecessary to downwind
attainment anywhere fall outside the
Agency’s statutory authority.
Id. at 522 (footnotes omitted).
The Court further explained that
‘‘while EPA has a statutory duty to
avoid over-control, the Agency also has
a statutory obligation to avoid ‘undercontrol,’ i.e., to maximize achievement
of attainment downwind.’’ Id. at 523.
Therefore, in the CSAPR Update and
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
evaluated possible over-control by
considering whether an upwind state is
linked solely to downwind air quality
problems that can be resolved at a lower
cost threshold, or if upwind states
would reduce their emissions at a lower
cost threshold to the extent that they
would no longer meet or exceed the 1
percent air quality contribution
threshold. See, e.g., 81 FR 74551–52.
See also Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325
(over-control must be proven through a
‘‘ ‘particularized, as-applied
challenge’ ’’) (quoting EME Homer City
Generation, 572 U.S. at 523–24). The
EPA continues to apply this framework
for assessing over-control in this rule,
and, as discussed in section V.D.4 of
this document, does not find any overcontrol at the final control stringency
selected.
This evaluation of cost, NOX
reductions, and air quality
improvements, including consideration
of whether there is proven over-control,
results in the EPA’s determination of the
appropriate level of upwind control
stringency that would result in
elimination of emissions that
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind areas.
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Comment: Commenters alleged that
the EPA lacks authority to regulate
EGUs under the good neighbor
provision of the CAA, or at least in the
manner proposed, because in their view,
this regulation would intrude into areas
of regulation that are reserved to other
Federal agencies or are beyond the
EPA’s expertise. They focused in
particular on the EGU trading program
enhancements, which they alleged
would threaten electric grid reliability,
and asserted that EPA lacks authority or
expertise to dictate the mix of electricity
generation in the country.
Response: The EPA disagrees that the
regulation of EGUs in this action is
unlawful or unsupported. The Agency
has consistently and successfully
regulated EGUs’ ozone season NOX
emissions under the good neighbor
provision for over 25 years, beginning
with the 1997 NOX SIP Call. This action
does not intrude on other Federal
agencies’ authorities and
responsibilities with respect to
managing the electric power grid and
ensuring reliable electricity. While other
agencies such as the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission (FERC) have
primary responsibility for ensuring
reliability of the bulk electric system,
the EPA has ensured that its final rule
here will not create electric reliability
concerns. See section VI.B.1.d of this
document. Thus, to the extent
commenters are raising a record-based
issue that the EPA through this action
has created a reliability concern, we
disagree. The EPA engaged in a series of
stakeholder meetings with Reliability
Coordinators who commented on the
proposed rule, including several
Regional Transmission Organizations
(RTOs) as well as non-RTO entities
throughout the rulemaking process.88
To the extent commenters maintain
that—despite this record of
collaboration and sensitivity to the need
to ensure reliability in the
implementation of its mandates,
including in this rule—the EPA
nonetheless fundamentally lacks
authority to regulate the electric-power
sector in any way that ‘‘impact[s]
national electricity and energy
markets,’’ the EPA disagrees. The EPA
has successfully regulated interstate
ozone-precursor emissions from the
power sector since the NOX SIP Call and
the establishment of the NOX Budget
Trading Program. See generally
Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663 (D.C. Cir.
88 See Documents no. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668–0938, EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0940, EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0941, EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668–0942, EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0943, EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0944, and EPA–HQ–OAR–
2021–0668–0945 in the docket for this rulemaking.
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2000); Appalachian Power Co. v. EPA,
249 F.3d 1032 (D.C. Cir. 2001). In fact,
each of the EPA’s interstate ozone
transport rulemakings has focused on
the regulation of ozone-precursor
emissions from the power sector (all but
the NOX SIP Call exclusively), because
substantial, cost-effective reductions in
ozone-precursor emissions have been
and continue to be available from fossilfuel fired EGUs. See, e.g., 63 FR 57399–
400 (NOX SIP Call); 70 FR 25165 and 71
FR 25343 (CAIR and CAIR FIP); 76 FR
48210–11 (CSAPR); 81 FR 74507
(CSAPR Update); 86 FR 23061 (Revised
CSAPR Update).89
This rule, like all prior EPA ozonetransport rulemakings, regulates only
one aspect of the operation of fossil-fuel
fired EGUs, that is, the emissions of
NOX as an ozone-precursor pollutant
during the ozone season. This rule
limits EGU NOX emissions that interfere
with downwind states’ ability to attain
and maintain the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The rule does not regulate any other
aspect of energy generation,
distribution, or sale. For these reasons,
the rule does not intrude on FERC’s
power under the Federal Power Act, 16
U.S.C. 791a, et seq. And, as in prior
transport rules, the EPA implements
this regulation through a proven,
flexible mass-based emissions trading
program that integrates well with, and
in no way intrudes upon, the
management of the power sector under
other state and Federal authorities. This
rule will not alter the procedures system
operators employ to dispatch resources
or force changes to FERC-jurisdictional
electricity markets, nor have
commenters offered any explanation in
this regard themselves.
The actual compliance requirement
that the EGUs must meet in the
allowance trading system finalized
here—just as in all prior interstate
transport trading programs—is simply to
hold sufficient allowances to cover
emissions during a given control period,
not to undertake any specific
89 There are myriad other examples of effective
power sector regulation under the CAA and other
environmental statutes, including for example, new
source performance standards (NSPS), best
available retrofit technology (BART) requirements,
and mercury and air toxics standards (MATS) under
the CAA; effluent limitation guidelines (ELGs)
under the Clean Water Act; and coal combustion
residuals (CCR) requirements under the Resource
Conservation and Recovery Act. Whether
implemented through unit- or facility-level
pollution control requirements or through
emissions-trading or other market-based programs,
these regulations have been effective in reducing air
and water pollution while not intruding into the
regulatory arenas of other state and Federal entities.
See Section 1 of the RTC for further discussion.
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compliance strategy.90 The owner or
operator of an EGU has flexibility in
determining how it will meet this
requirement, whether through the addon emissions controls that the EPA has
selected in our Step 3 analysis, or
through some other method or methods
of compliance. The costs of meeting this
allowance-holding requirement—just
like the cost associated with meeting
any other regulatory requirements—
could possibly then be factored into
what that unit bids in the wholesale
electricity market (or in regulated
jurisdictions, would factor into utility
regulators’ determinations of what can
be cost-recovered).
Those costs could, in turn, result in a
reduction in electricity generation from
higher-emitting sources and an increase
in electricity generation from loweremitting or zero-emitting generators, but
that kind of generation shifting (not
mandated but occurring as an economic
choice by the regulated sources) is
consistent, and in no way interferes
with, the existing security-constrained
economic dispatch protocols of the
modern electrical grid. Further, this
type of ‘‘impact’’ on electricity
markets—merely incidental, not
mandated or even intended—is of the
same type that results from any other
kind of regulation, environmental or
otherwise. Indeed, the U.S. Supreme
Court recognizes that regulatory actions
that may have some ‘‘effect,’’ or impact,
in electricity markets do not on that
basis alone intrude into authorities
reserved to electricity rate-setting
regulators by the Federal Power Act. See
FERC v. Electric Power Supply Ass’n,
577 U.S. 260, 282–84 (2016)
(distinguishing between actions that
have an effect on retail rates and actual
intrusion into retail rate-setting itself);
see also Hughes v. Talen, 578 U.S. 150,
166 (2016). The Supreme Court again
recognized this distinction between
‘‘incidental’’ effects caused by lawfully
issued environmental regulations and
90 The EPA has included in this trading program
certain ‘‘enhancements’’ to ensure that the program
continues to eliminate the emissions the EPA has
determined constitute ‘‘significant contribution’’
over the entire life of the trading program. While
one of the enhancements elevates a type of conduct
that was already strongly discouraged into an
enforceable violation, the other enhancements all
simply modify the traditional allowance-based
program structure to revise how the specific
quantities of allowances that must be surrendered
or the specific quantities of allowances available for
surrender are determined. In finalizing this rule, the
EPA has made a number of changes to its proposed
enhancements to the trading program in response
to comment and in part to ensure no impact on
system reliability. Nonetheless, with these changes,
the EPA has determined that the enhanced trading
program can be implemented without impacting
grid reliability. See section VI.B.1.d of this
document.
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attempts to mandate a particular energy
mix in West Virginia v. EPA. See 142 S.
Ct. 2587, 2613 n.4 (2022) (‘‘[T]here is an
obvious difference between (1) issuing a
rule that may end up causing an
incidental loss of coal’s market share,
and (2) simply announcing what the
market share of coal, natural gas, wind,
and solar must be . . . .’’).
This rule is squarely in the former
camp; as the most stringent component
of its emissions controls strategy for
EGUs, the EPA has determined that to
eliminate significant contribution to
harmful levels of ozone in other states,
certain fossil-fuel fired EGUs in
‘‘linked’’ upwind states that do not
already have selective catalytic
reduction (SCR) post-combustion
control technology, should install it (or
achieve emissions reductions
commensurate with that technology).
SCR is a well-established at-the-source
NOX control technology already in use
by EGUs representing roughly 60
percent of the existing coal-fired
generating capacity in the United States.
This technology can be installed and
operated to reduce NOX emissions
without forcing the retirement or
reduced utilization of any EGU.
However, if market conditions are such
that an EGU faced with this mandate
(again, as expressed through an
emissions trading budget) finds it more
economic to comply with the mandate
through the purchase of allowances,
installation of other types of pollution
control, reduced utilization, and/or
retirement, rather than installing SCR
technology, that is a choice that the EGU
owner/operator can freely make under
this rule.91 Security constrained
economic dispatch is thereby
maintained and is in no way interfered
with.
The EPA recognizes that cost to
operate generators is one of the major
factors that system operators utilize to
determine ‘‘merit’’ order in dispatching
resources. However, this rule does not
intrude in any way into that process. To
the extent that compliance with
environmental regulations is a kind of
cost that may need to be factored into
generators’ bids, this rule is no different
91 As explained in section V.B of this document,
the imposition of a backstop emissions rate
beginning in 2030 for units that do not already have
SCR installed could lead the owner of a given unit
to decide that the unit’s continued operation would
be uneconomic without installation of SCR, but the
establishment of technology-based emissions rates
that require such decisions is consistent with
decades of the EPA’s rulemaking and permitting
actions requiring source-specific pollution controls.
Further, the backstop rate in this program is
implemented through an enhanced allowancesurrender ratio, thus preserving some degree of
flexibility through the emissions-trading program as
the mechanism of compliance.
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than many other such requirements
EGUs are already subject to. Further, as
in prior transport rules, this rule applies
a uniform control stringency to EGUs
within the covered upwind states. EGUs
that may have enjoyed a competitive
advantage in the past through not
bearing the costs of installing and
running state-of-the-art emissions
control technology now must bear that
cost just as their competitors with that
technology already are. Cf. EME Homer
City, 572 U.S. 489, 519 (CSAPR is
‘‘[e]quitable because, by imposing
uniform cost thresholds on regulated
States, EPA’s rule subjects to stricter
regulation those States that have done
relatively less in the past to control their
pollution. Upwind States that have not
yet implemented pollution controls of
the same stringency as their neighbors
will be stopped from free riding on their
neighbors’ efforts to reduce pollution.
They will have to bring down their
emissions by installing devices of the
kind in which neighboring States have
already invested.’’).
Finally, we note that this final rule
does not include ‘‘generation shifting’’
as a component of the budget-setting
process, even in the limited way that it
had been used in prior transport rules
like CSAPR and the CSAPR Update, i.e.,
to ensure the budget provided adequate
incentive to ensure implementation of
the selected emission-control strategy.
See section V.B.1.f of this document.
Further comments regarding legal
authority for ‘‘generation shifting,’’
relationship to state authorities, and
expertise associated with grid reliability
are addressed in section 1.3 of the RTC.
We further discuss our consideration of
grid reliability concerns and
adjustments in the approach to the EGU
emissions trading program from
proposal in section VI.B.1.d of this
document.
Comment: Commenters generally
challenged the EPA’s authority to
establish emissions control
requirements for non-EGU industrial
sources in this action, or argued that
such controls are unnecessary or
unsupported, or run contrary to the
EPA’s prior actions under the good
neighbor provision.
Response: The states and the EPA
have authority under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to prohibit emissions
from ‘‘any source or other type of
emissions activity’’ that are found to
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind states. This language is not
limited only to power plant emissions,
nor is it limited only to ‘‘major’’ sources
or ‘‘stationary’’ sources. Thus, as a legal
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matter, the emissions control
requirements for certain large ‘‘nonEGU’’ industrial sources in this action
are grounded in unambiguous statutory
authority, in particular the statute’s use
of the broad term ‘‘any source.’’
Whereas the Act elsewhere includes
definitions of ‘‘major stationary source,’’
‘‘small source,’’ and ‘‘stationary source,’’
see, e.g., CAA section 302(j), (x), and (z),
no such qualifying terms are used with
respect to the term ‘‘any source’’ at CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). Rather, the scope
of authority in this provision expands to
encompass ‘‘other type of emissions
activity’’ in addition to ‘‘any source.’’
The EPA has previously included nonEGU industrial sources in findings
quantifying states’ obligations under the
good neighbor provision, in the 1998
NOX SIP Call, see 63 FR 57365.92 See
also Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663,
690–93 (upholding the inclusion of
certain non-EGU boilers in the NOX SIP
Call). The EPA’s determinations in prior
transport rules not to regulate sources
beyond the power sector were grounded
in considerations not related to the
Agency’s statutory authority. For
example, in the original CSAPR
rulemaking, the EPA determined that
the analytical effort needed to regulate
non-EGU industrial sources would
substantially delay the implementation
of emissions reductions from the power
sector. See, e.g., 76 FR 48247–48
(‘‘[D]eveloping the additional
information needed to consider NOX
emissions from non-EGU source
categories to fully quantify upwind state
responsibility with respect to the 1997
ozone NAAQS would substantially
delay promulgation of the Transport
Rule. . . . [W]e do not believe that
effort should delay the emissions
reductions and large health benefits this
final rule will deliver[.]’’). The EPA
acknowledged that by not addressing
non-EGUs, it may not have promulgated
a complete remedy to good neighbor
obligations in CSAPR, id. at 48248.
Nonetheless, the EPA went on to
explain that there were limited
emissions reductions available from
non-EGUs at the cost thresholds the
EPA determined would deliver
92 Specifically, in the NO SIP Call, the EPA set
X
statewide budgets while states could determine
which sectors to regulate. The EPA recommended
that states regulate certain types of non-EGUs and
quantified the statewide budgets based in part on
the emissions reductions from those types of nonEGUs. In the parallel rule that followed under the
EPA’s CAA section 126(b) authority to directly
regulate emissions to eliminate significant
contribution, we promulgated an emissions trading
program that would have included these same types
of non-EGUs. Before this rule was implemented, all
states adopted equivalent state trading programs
using the NOX SIP Call model rule.
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substantial reductions from power
plants. See id. at 48249 (the EPA’s
‘‘preliminary assessment in the rule
proposal suggested that there likely
would be very large emissions
reductions available from EGUs before
costs reach the point for which nonEGU sources have available reductions
. . . . EPA revisited these non-EGU
reduction cost levels in this final
rulemaking and verified that there are
little or no reductions available from
non-EGUs at costs lower than the
thresholds that EPA has chosen
. . . .’’). The EPA noted in CSAPR that
states retained the authority to regulate
non-EGUs as a method of addressing
their good neighbor obligations. Id. at
48320. The EPA also noted in CSAPR
that ‘‘potentially substantial’’ non-EGU
emissions reductions could be available
in future rulemakings applying a higher
cost threshold. See id. at 48256.
Similarly, in the CSAPR Update,
which addressed good neighbor
obligations for the 2008 ozone NAAQS,
the EPA found that regulation of nonEGUs was not warranted as the analysis
required could delay the expeditious
implementation of power plant
reductions. The EPA found that the
availability and cost-effectiveness of
non-EGU reductions was uncertain and
further analysis could delay
implementation of the EGU strategy
beyond 2017. The EPA acknowledged
that it was not promulgating a complete
remedy for good neighbor obligations
for the 2008 ozone NAAQS and
indicated its intention to further review
emissions-reduction opportunities from
non-EGU and EGU sources. 81 FR
74521–22.
In Wisconsin, the court held that the
EPA’s deferral of a complete good
neighbor remedy by 2017, on the basis,
among other things, of uncertainty
regarding non-EGU emissions
reductions and the need for further
regulatory analysis, was unlawful. 938
F.3d at 318–19. The court noted that
‘‘ ‘the statutes and common sense
demand regulatory action to prevent
harm, even if the regulator is less than
certain.’ ’’ Id. at 319 (quoting Ethyl Corp.
v. EPA, 541 F.2d 1, 24–25 (D.C. Cir.
1976)), and that agencies can only avoid
meeting their statutory obligations
where ‘‘scientific uncertainty is so
profound that it precludes EPA from
making a reasoned judgment.’’ Id.
(citing Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S.
497, 534 (2007)). Further, the court
rejected the EPA’s argument that it
would have delayed its rulemaking if
the EPA needed to complete a non-EGU
analysis in a timely manner, holding
that ‘‘administrative infeasibility’’ is not
sufficient to ‘‘justify . . .
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36681
noncompliance with the statute.’’ Id.
Rather, the Agency would need to ‘‘meet
the ‘heavy burden to demonstrate the
existence of an impossibility.’ ’’ Id.
(quoting Sierra Club v. EPA, 719 F.2d
436, 462 (D.C. Cir. 1983)).
Following the remand of the CSAPR
Update in Wisconsin, in the Revised
CSAPR Update, the EPA conducted an
analysis of non-EGUs to ensure it had
implemented a complete remedy to
eliminate significant contribution for
the covered states for the 2008 ozone
NAAQS. While acknowledging
uncertainty in the datasets for nonEGUs, the EPA concluded: ‘‘[U]sing the
best information currently available to
the Agency, . . . the EPA is concluding
that there are relatively fewer emissions
reductions available at a cost threshold
comparable to the cost threshold
selected for EGUs. In the EPA’s
reasoned judgment, the Agency
concludes such reductions are estimated
to have a much smaller effect on any
downwind receptor in the year by
which the EPA finds such controls
could be installed.’’ 86 FR 23059.
Therefore, the EPA determined control
of non-EGU emissions was not required
to eliminate significant contribution for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS.
The circumstances that led the EPA to
defer or decline regulation of non-EGU
sources in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update,
and the Revised CSAPR Update, are not
present here, and the EPA’s
determination in this action that
prohibiting certain emissions from
certain non-EGU sources is necessary to
eliminate significant contribution for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS is a logical
extension of the analyses and evolution
of regulatory policy development
spanning its prior good neighbor rules,
now applied to implement this more
protective NAAQS. As the EPA
explained at proposal, unlike in CSAPR
and the Revised CSAPR Update, in this
action the EPA finds that available
reductions and cost-levels for the nonEGU stringency are commensurate with
the control strategy for EGUs. Following
consideration of comments and after
some adjustments in the non-EGU
analysis and control strategy, in this
final rule, the EPA continues to find this
to be the case. See sections V.C and V.D
of this document.
In particular, the EPA continues to
find that cost-effective emissions
reductions are available for non-EGUs at
a representative cost-threshold that is
lower than the cost-threshold the EPA is
applying for EGUs. See section V.C. of
this document. These emissions control
strategies are generally comparable to
the emissions reduction requirements
that similar sources in downwind states
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are already required to meet. See section
V.B.2 of this document. The EPA finds
that the implementation of these
emissions control strategies at nonEGUs, in conjunction with the strategies
for EGU, will make a cost-effective and
meaningful improvement in air quality
through reducing ozone levels at the
identified downwind receptors, and,
therefore, the EPA has determined that
these strategies will eliminate the
amount of upwind emissions needed to
address significant contribution under
the good neighbor provision. The EPA’s
action here is focused on the most
impactful industries and emissions
units as determined by our evaluation of
the power sector and the non-EGU
screening assessment prepared for the
proposal; indeed, of the 41 industries, as
identified by North American Industry
Classification System codes, we
analyzed, only nine industries met the
criteria for further evaluation of
significant contribution. See section
V.B.2 of this document. Further, the
EPA finds that these strategies do not
result in ‘‘overcontrol.’’ See section
V.D.4 of this document. As such, the
EPA maintains that its final
determinations regarding non-EGUs and
its inclusion of non-EGU emissions
sources within this final rule are
statutorily authorized and lawful.93
The EPA disagrees that it should defer
regulation of industrial sources to the
NSPS program under CAA section
111(b). CAA section 111(b) does not
expressly provide for the elimination of
‘‘significant contribution’’ as is required
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). In
particular, commenter’s statement that
NSPS rulemakings under section 111(b)
will appropriately address the emissions
that we find must be eliminated in this
action is not correct. Standards under
section 111(b) apply only to new and
modified sources, not existing sources.
This action, however, finds that
reductions in ongoing emissions from
existing sources are needed to eliminate
significant contribution. An NSPS
standard for new and modified sources
would not address such emissions from
existing sources. To the extent that
covered sources in this action also may
be covered by an older NSPS, these
sources nonetheless continue to have
emissions that the EPA finds
significantly contribute and can be
eliminated through further emissions
control as determined in this action. We
further disagree with commenter’s
separate suggestion that the EPA use
93 Certain changes in the emissions control
strategies for non-EGUs reflecting comments and
updated information are explained in section VI.C
of this document.
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section 111(b) and (d) to regulate both
new and existing sources of ozone
season NOX, which is premised on the
incorrect notion that the EPA’s action
here is an attempt to regulate entire
source categories nationwide, rather
than to eliminate significant
contribution pursuant to CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). This action applies
only to the extent a state is ‘‘linked’’ to
downwind receptors, and therefore this
action only regulates covered non-EGU
industrial sources in 20 states. Further,
this comment ignores that the regulation
of criteria pollutant emissions from
existing sources under CAA section
111(d) is limited by the criteria
pollutant exclusion in CAA section
111(d)(1)(A)(i).
The EPA agrees with the commenters
who assert that the EPA’s authority to
regulate non-EGUs under the good
neighbor provision is well-grounded in
administrative precedent and case law.
Our previous discussion briefly recites
several of the most salient aspects of
that history. We also agree that the
statutory language is not limited only to
those sources that emit above 100 tons
per year. The EPA’s Step 3 and Step 4
analyses in this regard, which establish
certain thresholds based on historical
actual emissions, potential to emit and/
or metrics for unit design capacity,
reflect a reasoned judgment by the
Agency regarding which emissions can
be cost-effectively eliminated to address
significant contribution, under the facts
and circumstances of this action. That
these thresholds are designed to exclude
certain smaller or lower-emitting units
does not reflect a determination that the
EPA lacks legal authority to regulate
such sources under different facts and
circumstances.
The EPA identified two industry tiers
of potential non-EGU emissions
reductions in its non-EGU screening
assessment at proposal, based on
screening metrics intended to capture
different kinds of impacts that non-EGU
sources may have on identified
receptors. The EPA agrees that it is only
authorized to prohibit emissions under
the good neighbor provision that
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance in downwind states, and
we determined that these industries did
so. The EPA sought comment on
whether additional non-EGU industries
significantly contributed to
nonattainment or interfered with
maintenance in downwind states. The
EPA did not receive comments
identifying other industrial stationary
sources that are more impactful that
should be regulated instead of those the
EPA identified. We believed at proposal
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and confirm here in our final rule that
the methodology used in the screening
assessment comported with the factors
that we consider at Step 3. Further, the
EPA’s 4-step interstate transport
framework, including the Step 3
analysis and an overcontrol assessment,
ensure that the emissions reductions
achieved at each source covered by this
rule are in fact justified as part of an
overall, complete remedy to eliminate
significant contribution for the covered
states for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. The
EPA has decided to finalize emissions
limitations for all of the non-EGU
industries, with some modifications
from proposal reflecting public input, as
discussed in section VI.C of this
document. The Agency’s authority to
establish unit- and/or source-specific
emissions limitations in exercising our
FIP authority is further discussed in
section III.B.1 of this document.
Comment: Commenters raise
additional issues with the overall
approach of the rule at Step 3 to address
significant contribution through our
evaluation of EGU and non-EGU
strategies through parallel but separate
analyses. They stated that the EPA
failed to establish that the identified
non-EGU emissions reductions are
needed to eliminate significant
contribution. Commenters stated that
the identified non-EGU emissions
reductions are not impactful of air
quality at receptors or that they are
much less cost-effective than the EGU
emissions reductions. Commenters
stated that the EPA grouped all nonEGU emissions reductions together in
making a cost-effectiveness
determination that is only an average
and ignores significant variation in costs
associated with controls on different
types of non-EGU emissions units. They
also stated the EPA did not assess
multiple control technologies in the way
that it did for EGUs, and they argued
there is great variation in the profile of
non-EGU industries and emissions unit
types in the different upwind states or
that individual emissions units do not
contribute to an out-of-state air quality
problem at all. Commenters argued that
certain non-EGU controls were not
feasible, or that the EPA had applied a
different standard for ‘‘feasibility’’ for
non-EGUs than it did for EGUs.
Commenters stated that the EPA should
have provided a mass-based trading
option for non-EGUs just as it had for
EGUs. By contrast, other commenters
supported the regulation of non-EGUs in
this action as necessary to ensure a
complete remedy to good neighbor
obligations, since the statute is not
limited to regulating power plants.
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Some commenters further stated that
EGUs should not face any further
emissions reduction obligation because
all cost-effective controls have already
been identified through prior transport
rules, and that any further regulation of
EGUs would only lead to the retirement
of coal plants, which they believe is the
EPA’s true objective. Finally, some
commenters argued that the EPA had
not ensured that it only regulated up to
the minimum needed for downwind
areas to come into attainment.
Response: Issues related to the
specific technical bases for the Agency’s
determinations of what emissions
constitute ‘‘significant contribution’’ at
Step 3 of the 4-step framework are
addressed in section V of this
document. Here, we evaluate
commenters’ more general assertions
that this action addresses non-EGU or
EGU emissions in an inconsistent way.
First, the EPA agrees with commenters
that the task of evaluating significant
contribution from the non-EGU
industries is complex compared to
EGUs in light of the much greater
diversity in industries and emissions
unit types. This, however, is not a valid
basis to avoid emissions control
requirements on such sources if needed
to eliminate significant contribution. In
this respect, the EPA’s analysis in this
final rule is that the 4-step framework,
as upheld by the Supreme Court in EME
Homer City, can be adequately applied
even to this more complex set of sources
in a way that parallels the analysis
previously conducted only for EGUs.
This analysis relies on evaluation of
uniform levels of control stringency
across all upwind states to find a level
of emissions control that is costeffective and collectively delivers
meaningful downwind air quality
improvement. For non-EGUs, the EPA
identified the most impactful industries
and emissions unit types and evaluated
emissions control strategies for these
units that have been demonstrated or
applied across many similar facilities
and emissions units. The EPA has
evaluated whether these strategies are
cost-effective on a cost-per-ton basis,
and in particular has compared these
strategies to those selected for EGUs.
This analysis is set forth in sections V
and VI of this document and associated
technical support documents.
Commenter’s statement that the
establishment of a uniform level of
control for each group of industrial
units across the linked upwind states
fails to assess with greater precision or
define a state-specific proportion of
emissions reduction that is needed for
each downwind receptor is effectively
an attempt to relitigate EME Homer City.
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The Court in that case rejected that the
EPA must define significant
contribution by reference to a specific
quantum of reductions that each state
must achieve that is proportional to its
impact at a downwind receptor. The
Court agreed with the EPA’s concerns as
to why that approach would be
problematically complicated or even
impossible to apply in light of the
complex set of linkages among states for
a regional pollutant like ozone. See 572
U.S. at 515–17. The Court found that the
use of uniform cost thresholds to
allocate responsibility for good neighbor
obligations to be efficient and equitable,
in that it requires those sources that
have done less to reduce their emissions
to come up to a minimum level of
performance to what other sources are
already achieving. Id. at 519. The EPA’s
analysis in this action in section V of
this document establishes that this
continues to be an appropriate means of
delivering meaningful air quality
improvement to downwind receptors,
taking into consideration the
complexities of interstate pollution
transport.
Not every upwind state has the same
mix of non-EGU industries and
emissions unit types, and it is also the
case that the costs for installation of the
selected level of control technology will
vary from facility to facility based on
site-specific considerations. This is also
true for the set of EGU sources regulated
here and in previous CSAPR
rulemakings. These real-world
complexities do not obviate the broader
policy and technical judgements that
the EPA makes at Step 3 regarding what
level of emissions control performance
can be achieved on a region-wide basis
to resolve significant contribution for a
regional-scale pollutant like ozone. The
EPA’s design of cost thresholds derives
from the identification of discrete types
of NOX emissions control strategies. The
EPA then identifies a representative
cost-effectiveness on a per ton basis for
that technology. In the Step 3 analysis,
it is not the cost per ton value itself that
is inherently meaningful, but rather how
that cost-effectiveness value relates to
other control stringencies, how many
emissions reductions may be obtained,
and how air quality is ultimately
impacted. The selected level of control
stringency reflects a point at which
further emissions mitigation strategies
become excessively costly on a per-ton
basis while also delivering far fewer
additional emissions reductions and air
quality benefits. This is often referred to
as a ‘‘knee in the curve’’ analysis. There
are always inherent uncertainties in
identifying a representative cost per ton
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value for any particular control
stringency, but this in itself does not
upset the EPA’s ability to render an
overall policy judgment based on the
Step 3 factors as to a set of emissions
control strategies that together eliminate
significant contribution. See 86 FR
23054, 23073 (responding to similar
comments on the Revised CSAPR
Update).
We note that the EPA has made a
number of adjustments to the non-EGU
emissions limits identified at Step 4 to
accommodate legitimate concerns
regarding the ability of certain non-EGU
facilities to meet the emissions control
requirements that the EPA had
proposed. The Agency’s determinations
regarding feasibility and installation
timing for pollution controls are
comparable and not inconsistent
between EGUs and non-EGUs. The EPA
is not establishing a trading program for
non-EGUs because the Agency does not
have adequate baseline emissions data
and information on monitoring
currently at many of these emissions
units to develop emissions budgets that
could reliably implement the Step 3
determinations made in this action.
However, for most of the non-EGU
industries,94 the EPA is not mandating
a specific control technology and is
instead establishing numeric emissions
limits that are uniform across the region
and that allow sources to choose how to
comply. The EPA’s analysis, including
review of RACT determinations, consent
decrees, and permitting actions, shows
that these emissions limits and control
requirements are achievable by existing
units in the non-EGU industries covered
by this final rule. This rule will
therefore bring all of these impactful
industries and unit types across the
region of linked upwind states up to this
standard of performance, and thus will
result collectively in a relatively
substantial decrease in ozone-season
NOX emissions, with associated
reductions in ozone levels projected to
result at the downwind receptors. This
is further discussed in section V.D.
Some commenters alleged that the
EPA’s EGU control strategy goes beyond
the cost-effectiveness determinations of
prior transport rules, and they believe
that the EPA’s true objective is to force
the retirement of coal plants. First, we
note that the EGU emissions control
strategy is premised entirely on at-the94 For reheat furnaces in the Iron and Steel Mills
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry, the EPA is
establishing requirements to operate low-NOX
burners achieving a specified level of emissions
reduction; this approach is needed to allow for unitspecific testing before an appropriate emissions
limitation can be set. See section VI.C.3 of this
document.
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source emissions control technologies
that are widely available and in use
across the EGU fleet. It is not the EPA’s
intention in this rule to force the
retirement of any EGU or non-EGU
facilities or emissions units but to
identify and eliminate significant
contribution under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) based on cost-effective
and proven control technologies that are
appropriate in relation to address the
problem of interstate transport for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. Further,
determinations of cost-effectiveness
must be made in relation to the
particular statutory provision and its
purpose. The EPA recognized in
CSAPR, for example, that additional
emissions reductions beyond what were
determined to be cost-effective in that
action could be required to implement
good neighbor obligations if a NAAQS
were revised to a more protective level.
See 76 FR 48210. Here it is not
surprising that a more stringent level of
control could be found justified in
implementing transport obligations for
the more protective 2015 ozone
NAAQS. Those reductions are projected
to deliver meaningful air quality
improvement to downwind receptors, as
discussed in section V.D of this
document. Those air quality benefits
continue to compare favorably to the air
quality benefits that will be delivered
through the combined non-EGU
emissions limits, which apply to nine
non-EGU industries (see section V.C of
this document). We find that the
implementation of both the EGU and
non-EGU strategies identified in section
V of this document together represent
the appropriate level of emissions
control stringency to eliminate
significant contribution under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
Finally, the EPA also analyzed for
overcontrol and does not identify any.
Some commenters misstate the purpose
of this rule as bringing downwind
receptors into attainment. In line with
the statutory directive in CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), this rule eliminates
‘‘significant contribution’’ from upwind
states; while the rule has substantial air
quality benefits for downwind
receptors, in many cases we project that
a nonattainment or maintenance
problem will continue to persist through
2023 and 2026 despite the emissions
reductions achieved by this rule.
Commenters alleging overcontrol have
not met the requirement that
overcontrol be established by
particularized evidence through asapplied challenges. The Supreme Court
has recognized that the EPA also has an
obligation to avoid under-control and
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must have some leeway in fulfilling the
good neighbor mandate of the Act given
uncertainty in making forward
projections of air quality and the
efficacy or impact of emissions control
determinations. See EME Homer City,
572 U.S. at 523. This is further
addressed in section V.D.4 of this
document.
d. Step 4 Approach
The EPA is finalizing an approach
similar to its prior transport
rulemakings to implement the necessary
emissions reductions through
permanent and enforceable measures.
The EPA is requiring EGU sources to
participate in an emissions trading
program and is making additional
enhancements to the trading regime to
maintain the selected control stringency
over time and improve emissions
performance at individual units,
offering a necessary measure of
assurance that emissions controls will
be operated throughout the ozone
season. For non-EGUs, the EPA is
finalizing permanent and enforceable
emissions rate limits and work practice
standards, and associated compliance
requirements, for several types of NOXemitting combustion units across
several industrial sectors. The measures
for both EGUs and non-EGUs are
required throughout the May 1September 30 ozone season of each year.
The EGU program will begin with the
2023 ozone season, and the non-EGU
implementation schedule is targeted to
the 2026 ozone season. Refer to section
VI.A of this document for details on the
implementation schedule.
Based on the EPA’s experience in
implementing prior transport
rulemakings, the Agency is making
several enhancements to its tradingprogram approach for implementing
good neighbor requirements for EGUs.
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
established interstate trading programs
for EGUs to implement the necessary
emissions reductions. In each of these
rules, EGUs in each covered state are
assigned an emissions budget in each
control period for their collective
emissions. Emissions allowances are
allocated to units covered by the trading
program, and the covered units then
surrender allowances after the close of
the control period, usually in an amount
equal to their ozone season EGU NOX
emissions. While these programs have
been effective in achieving overall
reductions in emissions, experience has
shown that these programs may not
fully reflect in perpetuity the degree of
emissions stringency determined
necessary to eliminate significant
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contribution in Step 3 and may not
adequately ensure the control of
emissions throughout all days of the
ozone season. At the same time, the EPA
continues to find that an interstatetrading program approach delivers
substantial benefits at Step 4 in terms of
affording an appropriate degree of
compliance flexibility, certainty in
emissions outcomes, data and
performance transparency, and costeffective achievement of a high degree
of aggregate emissions reductions. As
such, the EPA is retaining an interstate
trading program approach while making
several enhancements to that approach.
Thus, in this rulemaking, the EPA is
including dynamic budget-setting
procedures in the regulations that will
allow state emissions budgets for
control periods in 2026 and later years
to reflect more current data on the
composition and utilization of the EGU
fleet (e.g., the 2026 budgets will reflect
recent data through 2024 data, the 2027
budgets will reflect data through 2025,
etc.). These enhancements will enable
the trading program to better maintain
over time the selected control stringency
that was determined to be necessary to
address states’ good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015
ozone NAAQS. In prior programs,
where state emissions budgets were
static across years rather than calibrated
to yearly fleet changes, the EPA has
observed instances of units idling their
emissions controls in the latter years of
the program. To provide greater
certainty regarding the minimum
quantities of allowances that will be
available for compliance for the control
periods in 2026 through 2029, the EPA
is also establishing preset state
emissions budgets for these control
periods, and a dynamic state emissions
budget determined for one of these
control periods will apply only if it is
higher than the state’s preset budget for
the control period.
In the trading programs established
for ozone season NOX emissions under
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
included assurance provisions to limit
state emissions to levels below 121
percent of the state’s budget by
requiring additional allowance
surrenders in the instance that
emissions in the state exceed this level.
This limit on the degree to which a
state’s emissions can exceed its budget
is designed to allow for a certain level
of year-to-year variability in power
sector emissions to account for
fluctuations in demand and EGU
operations and is responsive to previous
court decisions (see discussion in
section VI.B.5 of this document). In this
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action, the EPA is maintaining the
existing assurance provisions that limit
state emissions to levels below a
percentage of the state’s budget by
requiring additional allowance
surrenders in any instance where
emissions in the state exceed the
specified level, but with adjustments
that allow the level to exceed 121
percent of a state’s budget in a given
control period if necessary to account
for actual operational conditions in that
control period. In addition, the EPA is
also making several additional
enhancements to the EGU trading
program in this action, including
routine recalibrations of the total
amount of banked allowances, unitspecific backstop daily emissions rates
for certain units, and unit-specific
secondary emissions limitations for
certain units that contribute to
exceedances of the assurance levels, to
ensure EGU emissions control operation
and associated air quality
improvements. Implementation of the
EGU emissions reductions using a
CSAPR NOX trading program is further
described in section VI.B of this
document.
In this rule, the EPA is also
establishing emissions limitations for
the non-EGU industry sources listed in
Table II.A–1. The EPA has the authority
to require emissions limitations from
stationary sources, as well as from other
sources and emissions activities, under
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). The EPA
finds that requiring NOX emissions
reductions through emissions rate limits
and control technology requirements for
certain non-EGU industrial sources that
the EPA found at Step 3 to be relatively
impactful 95 on downwind air quality is
an effective strategy for reducing
regional ozone transport. Therefore, the
EPA is establishing NOX emissions
limitations and associated compliance
requirements for non-EGU sources to
ensure the elimination of significant
contribution of ozone precursor
emissions required under the interstate
transport provision for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.
Finally, the EPA finds that the control
measures determined to be required for
the identified EGU and non-EGU
sources apply to both existing units and
any new, modified, or reconstructed
units meeting the applicability criteria
established in this final rule. This is
95 Section III of the Non-EGU Screening
Assessment memorandum in the docket for this
rulemaking describes the EPA’s approach to
evaluating impacts on downwind air quality,
considering estimated total, maximum, and average
contributions from each industry and the total
number of receptors with contributions from each
industry.
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consistent with the EPA’s transport
actions dating back to the NOX SIP Call
and the NOX Budget Trading Program.
In all CSAPR EGU trading programs, for
instance, new EGUs are subject to the
program, and the EPA has established
provisions for the allocation of
allowances to such units through ‘‘new
unit set asides.’’ See, e.g., 86 FR 23126.
In the NOX SIP Call, the EPA required
that states cover new and existing units
in the relevant source sectors through an
enforceable cap or other emissions
limitation. See 40 CFR 51.121(f). The
EPA’s approach of including new units
in the NOX Budget Trading Program
promulgated under the EPA’s CAA
section 126 authority was upheld by the
D.C. Circuit in Appalachian Power v.
EPA, 249 F.3d 1032 (2001). As the court
noted, the EPA explained in its action:
Once EPA has determined that the
emissions from the existing sources in an
upwind State already make a significant
contribution to one or more petitioning
downwind States, any additional emissions
from a new source in that upwind State
would also constitute a portion of that
significant contribution, unless the emissions
from that new source are limited to the level
of highly effective controls.
Id. at 1058 (quoting EPA 1999 RTC at
39). The court affirmed this approach:
‘‘Indeed, it would be irrational to enable
the EPA to make findings that a group
of sources in an upwind state contribute
to downwind nonattainment, but then
preclude the EPA from regulating new
sources that contribute to that same
pollution.’’ Id. at 1057–58. The EPA is
implementing the same court-affirmed
approach in this action because this
reasoning is equally applicable to
addressing interstate transport
obligations under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.
Comment: Commenters took issue
with aspects of the EPA’s proposed Step
4 approach. Commenters argued the
EPA could not set unit- or sourcespecific emissions limits or other
control requirements, for EGUs or nonEGUs. Commenters argued that various
aspects of the non-EGU emissions
control strategy would not be feasible
for their facilities or were otherwise
flawed. Many industrial-source and
EGU commenters argued that the EPA
had not provided sufficient time for
sources to come into compliance.
Commenters also challenged the EGU
trading program ‘‘enhancements’’ as
unnecessary or beyond the EPA’s
authority. In this regard, commenters
argued that these changes deviated from
the EPA’s prior approach, were
unnecessary overcontrol, constituted a
command-and-control approach, could
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not be supported on the basis of
environmental justice benefits, or were
otherwise unlawful for other reasons.
These commenters argue that the EPA’s
Step 4 dynamic budget approach for
EGU regulation purportedly re-defines
each state’s ‘‘significant contribution’’
annually and independent of any
impact (or lack thereof) on air quality.
They further argue that under this
dynamic budgeting approach, even if a
state eliminates the ‘‘amount’’ the EPA
has identified as the state’s significant
contribution by respecting a given
control period’s emissions budget,
sources within that state are expected to
continue to make further reductions by
operating their controls in a particular
manner in subsequent control periods
under potentially lower emissions
budgets, which these commenters argue
is inconsistent with case law on prior
CSAPR rules.
Response: Many of these comments
regarding Step 4 issues are addressed
elsewhere in this document or in the
RTC document. The EPA’s authority to
establish unit- or source-specific
emissions rates is addressed in section
IV.B.1 of this document. Responses to
comments and adjustments in the
timing requirements of the final rule
compared to proposal are discussed in
VI.A. Responses to comments and
adjustments in emissions control
requirements for non-EGUs in the final
rule compared to proposal are in section
VI.C of this document.
Responses to comments on the EGU
trading program enhancements and
adjustments in the final rule are
contained in section VI.B of this
document. However, here, in light of the
changes in the emissions trading
program for EGUs that we are finalizing
in this action as compared to prior EGU
emissions trading programs
promulgated to address good neighbor
obligations under other NAAQS, we set
forth responses to comments specific to
this topic.
The EPA finds that these comments
confuse Step 3 emissions reduction
stringency determinations with Step 4
implementation program details. In this
rulemaking’s Step 3 analysis, the EPA is
measuring emissions reduction
potential from improving effective
emissions rates across groups of EGUs
adopting applicable pollution control
measures and selecting a uniform
control level whose effective emissions
rates deliver an acceptable outcome
under the multifactor test (including a
finding of no overcontrol at the selected
control stringency level). The
‘‘amounts’’ defined as significant
contribution to nonattainment and
interference with maintenance are
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emissions that occur at effective
emissions rates above the control
stringency level selected at Step 3. That
is, if a state’s affected EGUs fail to
reduce their effective emissions rates in
line with the widely available and costeffective control measures identified,
they have therefore failed to eliminate
their significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of this NAAQS.
In this rule, the EPA is finalizing
several ‘‘enhancements’’ to its existing
Group 3 emissions trading program for
ozone season NOX, for reasons
explained in section VI.B.1 of this
document. In general, these changes
will ensure that the emissions control
program promulgated for EGUs at Step
4 of the EPA’s 4-step interstate transport
framework is in alignment with the
emissions control stringency
determinations the EPA made at Step 3.
These enhancements reflect lessons
learned through the EPA’s experience
with prior trading programs
implemented under the good neighbor
provision and ensure that the
implementation of the elimination of
significant contribution through an
emissions trading program remains
durable through a period of power
sector transition. None of commenters’
arguments against the EPA’s authority to
implement these enhancements are
persuasive.
First, the EPA is not mandating that
any EGU must install SCR technology.
All but one of the enhancements to the
trading program continue to be
implemented through allowanceholding requirements under the massbased emissions budget and trading
system, including the backstop rate.
(The secondary emissions limitation,
which is not implemented through
allowance-holding requirements under
the mass-based emissions budget and
trading system, and which is discussed
in section VI.B.1.c.ii of this document,
merely establishes a stronger deterrent
for a type of conduct that was already
strongly discouraged under the preexisting trading program regulations).
Nonetheless, the EPA does have the
authority to impose unit-specific
emissions limits under the exercise of
its FIP authority, and it has done so in
this action for non-EGU industrial
sources. This authority is distinct from
the EPA’s title I permitting authority as
discussed by certain commenters, and
the scope of that permitting authority is
not relevant to this action.
The quantification of emissions
budgets in an allowance-based
emissions trading program is one of
multiple potential Step 4
implementation program design choices
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that states and the EPA have authority
to select in securing the emissions
reductions deemed necessary under
Step 3. See CAA section 110(a)(2)(A).
The EPA and the states routinely
determine control stringency on an
emissions rate basis in line with
demonstrated pollution control
opportunities, and both the EPA and the
states have implementation program
design discretion to determine what
compliance requirements, whether
expressed on a rate, mass,
concentration, or percentage basis, will
assure an emissions performance that
reflects the control stringency required.
Dynamic budgets in the Step 4
implementation of this rule are simply
to ensure the trading program continues
to incentivize the implementation of the
EGU control strategies we find are
necessary to eliminate significant
contribution at Step 3. The key
distinction between dynamic budget
approaches and preset budget
approaches is not one in stringency or
authority, but rather in timing and data
resources for determining the suitable
mass-based limits that are as wellmatched as possible to expected
emissions of the affected EGUs
achieving the emissions rate-based
control stringency deemed necessary
under Step 3 to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment and
interference with maintenance of the
NAAQS.
The EPA does not agree that the
administrative mechanisms by which it
will implement ‘‘dynamic budgeting’’
conflict with CAA section 307(d) or the
Administrative Procedure Act. The EPA
is promulgating a complete FIP in this
action, and the codified language of that
FIP will not need to be modified as
budgets are adjusted. This is because the
FIP establishes the formula by which
the budgets will be calculated each year
(with preset budgets functioning as a
floor from 2026 through 2029). This is
no different than how the EPA has
implemented other calculations such as
updating allocations using a rolling set
of data in its prior CSAPR trading
programs. See, e.g., 87 FR 10786. We
view these actions as fundamentally
ministerial in nature in that no exercise
of Agency discretion is required. This
process will rely on notices of
availability of the relevant data in the
Federal Register, coupled with an
opportunity for the public to correct any
errors they may identify in the data
before the EPA sets each updated
budget. See section VI.B.4 for more
detail on how the EPA intends to
implement dynamic budgeting. As in
prior transport rules, this rule provides
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the opportunity for administrative
appeal should an interested party
identify some flaw in the EPA’s updated
data. See 40 CFR 78.1(b)(19)(i) (2023).
That process is coupled with the
availability of judicial review should the
party remain dissatisfied with the EPA’s
resolution of complaints. See 40 CFR
78.1(a)(2) (requiring administrative
adjudication as a prerequisite for
judicial review). This administrative
process has worked well throughout the
history of implementing good neighbor
trading programs under Part 97, and no
such disputes have necessitated judicial
resolution.
Further, because the dynamic budgets
simply implement the stringency level
reflective of the emissions control
performance the EPA has determined at
Step 3 for the covered EGUs, the EPA
does not agree that any ‘‘potential
variables’’ that are unforeseeable now
could upset the basis for the formula the
EPA is establishing in this action. The
EPA has adjusted the role of dynamic
budgeting in this final rule as compared
to the proposal. See sections VI.B.1 and
VI.B.4 of the preamble. In particular, the
EPA is applying an approach to budget
setting through 2029 that will use the
greater of either a preset budget based
on information known to the Agency at
the time of this action, or the dynamic
budget to be calculated based upon
future data yet to be reported. Thus,
through 2029 the imposition of a
dynamic budget would only increase
rather than diminish the emissions
allowed for that control period
compared to the preset budgets
established in this action. In addition,
the EPA will determine each state’s
dynamic budget based on a rolling 3year average of the state’s heat input,
thus smoothing out trends to account for
interannual variability in demand and
heat input and provide greater certainty
and predictability as the budget updates
from year to year.
Moreover, the EPA does not agree that
the EPA is constrained by the statute to
only implement good neighbor
obligations through fixed, unchanging,
mass-based emissions budgets. See
section III.B.1 of this document. The
EPA finds good reason based on its
experience with trading programs using
fixed budgets why this approach does
not necessarily ensure the elimination
of significant contribution in perpetuity.
The EPA has already once adjusted its
historical approach to better account for
known, upcoming changes in the EGU
fleet to ensure mass-based emissions
budgets adequately incentivize the
control strategy determined at Step 3.
This adjustment was introduced in the
Revised CSAPR Update. See 82 FR
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23121–22.96 The EPA now believes it is
appropriate to ensure in a more
comprehensive manner, and in
perpetuity, that the mass-based
emissions budget incentivize continuing
implementation of the Step 3 control
strategies to ensure significant
contribution is eliminated in all upwind
states and remains so. The dynamic
budget-setting process preserves these
incentives over time by calculating the
state emissions budgets for each future
control period so as to reflect the Step
3 control stringency finalized in this
rule as applied to the most current
information regarding the composition
of the power sector in the control
period. This is fully analogous in
material respect to an approach to
implementation at Step 4 that relies on
application of unit-specific emissions
rates that apply in perpetuity. The
availability of unit-specific emissions
rates as a means to eliminate significant
contribution is discussed in further
detail in section III.B.1 of this
document. The EPA also explained this
in the proposal. See 87 FR 20095–96.
The EPA does not agree that either
dynamic budgeting or the backstop rate
results in overcontrol. See section V.D.4
of this document.
The EPA is enhancing the trading
program to help reconcile the approach
of using mass-based budgets to achieve
the elimination of significant
contribution with the Wisconsin
directive to provide a complete remedy
under the good neighbor provision. This
approach also better accords with
ensuring measures to attain and
maintain the NAAQS are permanent
and enforceable. The dynamic budget
approach recognizes that the
uncertainty around future fleet
conditions increases the further into the
future one looks (and the EPA must look
further under the ‘‘full remedy’’
directive). To preserve its ability to
successfully implement its identified
Step 3 stringency, the EPA is designing
the implementation of this rule’s
emissions control program to benefit
from the future availability of better data
from the regulated sources to inform its
96 Further, in the Revised CSAPR Update, the
EPA acknowledged that a mechanism like dynamic
budgeting could be appropriate for a transport rule
with longer time horizons. We stated in response
to comments that we were not ‘‘in this action,
including an adjustment mechanism to further
adjust state emission budgets to account for
currently unknown or uncertain retirements after
the finalization of this rule . . . . EPA observes that
the commenter’s proposed mechanism would
become increasingly valuable for rules where the
timeframe extends further into the future where
retirement uncertainty is higher.’’ Revised CSAPR
Update Response to Comments, EPA–HQ–OAR–
2020–0272–219, at 153.
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application of its stringency measures
identified in this rule.
The EPA does not agree with
commenters who suggest that these
enhancements are undertaken for the
purpose of a non-statutory
‘‘environmental justice’’ objective. As
explained in section VI.B of this
document, certain enhancements to the
trading program ensure that each EGU is
adequately incentivized to continuously
operate its emissions controls once
those controls are installed. One
commenter contends that the backstop
emissions rate is not authorized based
on environmental justice
considerations, since it is not necessary
and is overcontrol with respect to the
EPA’s statutory authority to address
good neighbor obligations. But the EPA
disagrees with the premise that these
enhancements are unrelated to the
statutory obligation to eliminate
significant contribution. Taking
measures to ensure that each upwind
source covered by an emissions trading
program to eliminate significant
contribution is operating its installed
pollution controls on a more continuous
and consistent basis throughout the
ozone season is entirely appropriate in
light of the daily nature of the ozone
problem, the impacts to public health
and the environment from ozone that
can occur through short-term exposure
(e.g., over a course of hours), the fact
that the 2015 ozone NAAQS is
expressed as an 8-hour average, and that
only a small number of days in excess
of the ozone NAAQS are necessary to
place a downwind area in
nonattainment, resulting in continuing
and/or increased regulatory burden on
the downwind jurisdiction. See section
III.A of this document.
Further, the D.C. Circuit has held that
the EPA must ensure that its good
neighbor program has eliminated each
state’s sources from continuing to
significantly contribute to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance in downwind states. See
North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 921. The
commenters neglect to acknowledge the
scenario that has frequently borne out in
prior programs, in which future fleet
changes that were not known at the time
of initial setting of state emissions
budgets produce unexpected ‘‘hot air’’
in the budget that, if unaccounted for,
other units can exploit to forgo
identified cost-effective mitigation
measures deemed necessary to eliminate
significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS.
The EPA’s experience is that fixed
mass-based budgets that are determined
based only on the profile of the power
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sector at the time the rule is
promulgated, and without any
additional requirement for pollution
controls operation, can become quickly
obsolete if the composition of the group
of affected EGUs changes notably over
time. As some sources retire, other
sources relax their operation of NOX
controls in response to a growing
surplus of allowances, even though the
EPA had concluded that ongoing
operation of those controls is necessary
to meet the statutory good neighbor
requirements. For instance, under the
CSAPR Update, in the 2018–2020
period, the fixed budget approach
enabled large, frequently run units with
existing SCR controls to not optimize
those controls even though the EPA’s
assessment (as reflected in the CSAPR
Update) was that the optimization of
those controls was necessary to
eliminate significant contribution. This
deterioration in emission rate at SCRcontrolled coal plants was widely
observed across the CSAPR Update
geography as the program advanced into
later years and allowance price
deteriorated. Whereas coal sources with
SCR performed, on average, at a 0.086
lb/mmBtu rate in 2017, that same set of
sources saw their environmental
performance worsen to a 0.099 lb/
mmBtu rate in 2020. A Congressional
Research Service Report on EPA prior
CSAPR trading programs indicated low
prices observed in later years ‘‘could
lead to some decisions not to run some
pollution controls at maximum output.
This would, in turn, lead to higher
emissions’’.97
In the case of individual units, this
deterioration in performance can be
quite pronounced and can occur as
quickly as the second or third control
period, as in the case of Miami Fort Unit
7 in Ohio in 2019, discussed in section
V.B of this document. The absence of a
sufficient incentive under the trading
program to implement the identified
control strategy at Step 3 can even result
in collective emissions that exceed
state-wide assurance levels. The EPA
established these levels beginning with
CSAPR, above which enhanced
allowance-surrender requirements are
triggered, in an effort to ensure sources
in each state are held to eliminate their
own significant contribution, which the
D.C. Circuit has held is legally required,
see North Carolina, 531 F.3d 896, 906–
08 (D.C. Cir. 2008). In four instances
over the course of the 2019, 2020, and
97 Shouse, Kate. ‘‘The Clean Air Act’s Good
Neighbor Provision: Overview of Interstate Air
Pollution Control’’. Congressional Research
Services. August 30, 2018. Available at https://
sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R45299.pdf.
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2021 control periods under the CSAPR
Update, sources in Mississippi and
Missouri collectively exceeded their
state-wide assurance levels in part due
to deterioration in emissions
performance that can be attributed to a
glut of allowances within the CSAPR
Update. See section VI.B.8 of the
preamble.
Thus, while this trading program
structure may achieve some
environmental benefit through fixed
emissions budgets for initial control
periods, over time those fixed budgets
cease to have their intended effect, and
remaining operating facilities can, and
have, increased emissions or even
discontinued the operation of their
emissions controls. This, in turn, can
lead to the continuation (or reemergence) of significant contribution
in terms of a recurrence of excessive
emissions that had been slated for
permanent elimination under the EPA’s
determinations at Step 3. Although the
EPA has always intended for its trading
programs to provide flexibility, the
Agency did not expect and has certainly
never endorsed the use of that flexibility
to stop the operation of controls that
have already been installed. See, e.g., 76
FR 48256–57 (‘‘[I]t would be
inappropriate for a state linked to
downwind nonattainment or
maintenance areas to stop operating
existing pollution control equipment
(which would increase their emissions
and contribution).’’). Despite the EPA’s
expectations in CSAPR, the historical
data establishes a real risk of ‘‘undercontrol’’ if the existing trading
framework is not improved upon. See
EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 523
(‘‘[T]he Agency also has a statutory
obligation to avoid ‘under-control,’ i.e.,
to maximize achievement of attainment
downwind.’’).
This result is also inconsistent with
the statutory mandate to ‘‘prohibit’’
significant contribution and interference
with maintenance of the NAAQS in
downwind states, as evidenced most
clearly in CAA section 126, which
makes it unlawful for a source ‘‘to
operate more than three months after [a
finding that the source emits or would
emit in violation of the good neighbor
provision] has been made with respect
to it.’’ 42 U.S.C. 7426(c)(2) (emphasis
added). See also North Carolina, 531
F.3d at 906–08 (each state must be held
to the elimination of its own significant
contribution). The purpose of the
Agency’s interstate trading programs
under the good neighbor provision is to
afford sources some flexibility in
achieving region-wide emissions
reductions; however, there is no
justification that can be sustained
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within that framework for sources in
certain areas within that region, or
during periods of high ozone when good
emissions performance is most
essential, to emit at levels well in excess
of the EPA’s Step 3 determinations of
significant contribution. Significant
contribution, according to the statute,
must be ‘‘prohibited.’’ CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i).
Thus, these trading program
enhancements are within the EPA’s
authority under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to eliminate interstate
ozone pollution that significantly
contributes to nonattainment or
interferes with maintenance in
downwind states. These enhancements
ensure the elimination of significant
contribution across all upwind states
and throughout each ozone season. We
observe in the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD, section E, that
the trading program enhancements may
also benefit underserved and
overburdened communities downwind
of EGUs in the covered geography of the
final rule. See section VI.B of this
document. This does not detract from
the statutorily-authorized basis for these
changes, and the EPA finds nothing
impermissible in acknowledging the
reality of these potential benefits for
underserved and overburdened
communities.
The EPA appreciates a commenter’s
concern that our actions be legally
defensible. The EPA acknowledges that
the changes to the trading program
structure for implementing good
neighbor obligations discussed here
constitute a change in the policy
underlying its prior transport-rule
trading programs for EGUs. However,
the EPA is confident that these changes
are in compliance with the holdings in
judicial decisions reviewing prior
transport rules. The fact that the EPA is
making changes does not somehow
render these enhancements legally
impermissible or even subject to a
heightened standard of review. See FCC
v. Fox Television Stations, 556 U.S. 502,
514 (2009) (‘‘We find no basis in the
Administrative Procedure Act or in our
opinions for a requirement that all
agency change be subjected to more
searching review.’’). We have explained
previously and elsewhere in the record
that there are ‘‘good reasons’’ for the
‘‘new policy.’’ See id. at 515. And, we
are of course fully aware that we have
changed our position. See id. at 514–15.
Specifically, we have gone from
previously treating fixed, mass-based
budgets as sufficient to eliminate
significant contribution, to an approach
for purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
reflecting a more nuanced
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understanding of how an emissions
trading program that does not properly
anticipate future fleet conditions at Step
4 may fail to achieve the elimination of
emissions that should be prohibited
based on our findings at Step 3. Further,
we find there to be no ‘‘serious reliance
interests’’ that have been or even could
have been ‘‘engendered’’ by any prior
policy on these issues, see id. at 515–16.
The EPA is implementing these
enhancements for the first time with
respect to a new obligation—good
neighbor requirements for the 2015
ozone NAAQS. No party reasonably
could have invested substantial
resources to-date to comply with an
obligation that was heretofore
undefined; and no commenter has
supplied any information to the
contrary.
2. FIP Authority for Each State Covered
by the Rule
On October 26, 2015, the EPA
promulgated a revision to the 2015 8hour ozone NAAQS, lowering the level
of both the primary and secondary
standards to 0.070 parts per million
(ppm).98 These revisions of the NAAQS,
in turn, established a 3-year deadline for
states to provide SIP submissions
addressing infrastructure requirements
under CAA sections 110(a)(1) and CAA
110(a)(2), including the good neighbor
provision, by October 1, 2018. If the
EPA makes a determination that a state
failed to submit a SIP, or if EPA
disapproves a SIP submission, then the
EPA is obligated under CAA section
110(c) to promulgate a FIP for that state
within 2 years. For a more detailed
discussion of CAA section 110 authority
and timelines, refer to section III.C of
this document.
The EPA is finalizing this FIP action
now to address 23 states’ good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.99 For each state for which the
EPA is finalizing this FIP, the EPA
either issued final findings of failure to
submit or has issued a final disapproval
of that state’s SIP submission.
Several commenters asserted that the
sequence of the EPA’s actions, and in
particular, the timing of its proposed
FIP (which was signed on February 28,
98 National Ambient Air Quality Standards for
Ozone, Final Rule, 80 FR 65292 (Oct. 26, 2015).
Although the level of the standard is specified in
the units of ppm, ozone concentrations are also
described in parts per billion (ppb). For example,
0.070 ppm is equivalent to 70 ppb.
99 The EPA notes that it is subject to, and has met
through this action, a consent decree deadline to
promulgate FIPs addressing 2015 ozone NAAQS
good neighbor obligations for the states of
Pennsylvania, Utah, and Virginia. See Sierra Club
et al. v. Regan, No. 3:22–cv–01992–JD (N.D. Cal.
entered January 24, 2023).
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2022, and published on April 6, 2022)
in relation to the timing of its proposed
SIP disapprovals (most of which were
published on February 22, 2022, four of
which were published on May 24, 2022,
and one of which was published on
October 25, 2022), was either unlawful
or unreasonable in light of the sequence
of steps required under CAA section
110(k) and (c).
These commenters are incorrect. As
an initial matter, concerns about the
timing or substance of the EPA’s actions
on the SIP submittals are beyond the
scope of this action. Nor are the timing
or contents of merely proposed actions
to be considered final agency actions or
subject to judicial review. See In re
Murray Energy, 788 F.3d 330 (D.C. Cir.
2015). With these principles in mind,
the timing of this final action is lawful
under the Act. First, the EPA is not
required to wait to propose a FIP until
after the Agency proposes or finalizes a
SIP disapproval or makes a finding of
failure to submit.100 CAA section 110(c)
authorizes the EPA to promulgate a FIP
‘‘at any time within 2 years’’ of a SIP
100 The EPA notes there are three consent decrees
to resolve three deadline suits related to EPA’s duty
to act on good neighbor SIP submissions for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. In New York et al. v. Regan,
et al. (No. 1:21–CV–00252, S.D.N.Y.), the EPA
agreed to take final action on the 2015 ozone
NAAQS good neighbor SIP submissions from
Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, Texas, and
West Virginia by April 30, 2022; however, if the
EPA proposes to disapprove any SIP submissions
and proposes a replacement FIP by February 28,
2022, then EPA’s deadline to take final action on
that SIP submission is extended to December 30,
2022. In Downwinders at Risk et al. v. Regan (No.
21–cv–03551, N.D. Cal.), the EPA agreed to take
final action on the 2015 ozone NAAQS good
neighbor SIP submissions from Alabama, Arkansas,
Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana,
Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Jersey, New
York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, South
Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin by April 30, 2022; however, if the EPA
proposes to disapprove any of these SIP
submissions and proposes a replacement FIP by
February 28, 2022, then the EPA’s deadline to take
final action on that SIP submission is December 30,
2022. In this CD, the EPA also agreed to take final
action on Hawaii’s SIP submission by April 30,
2022, and to take final action on the SIP
submissions of Arizona, California, Montana,
Nevada, and Wyoming by December 15, 2022. In
Our Children’s Earth Foundation v. EPA (No. 20–
8232, S.D.N.Y.), the EPA agreed to take final action
on the 2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor SIP
submission from New York by April 30, 2022;
however, if the EPA proposes to disapprove New
York’s SIP submission and proposes a replacement
FIP by February 28, 2022, then the EPA’s deadline
to take final action on New York’s SIP submission
is extended to December 30, 2022. By stipulation
of the parties, the December 15, 2022, date in all
three of these consent decrees was extended to
January 31, 2023. By further stipulation of the
parties in the Downwinders at Risk case, the January
31, 2023, date was further extended to December
15, 2023 for the EPA to act on the SIP submissions
from the states of Arizona, Tennessee, and
Wyoming.
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disapproval or making a finding of
failure to submit. The Supreme Court
recognized in EME Homer City that the
EPA is not obligated to first define a
state’s good neighbor obligations or give
the state an additional opportunity to
submit an approvable SIP before
promulgating a FIP: ‘‘EPA is not obliged
to wait two years or postpone its action
even a single day: The Act empowers
the Agency to promulgate a FIP ‘at any
time’ within the two-year limit.’’ 101
Thus, the EPA may promulgate a FIP
contemporaneously with or
immediately following predicate final
SIP disapproval (or finding no SIP was
submitted). To accomplish this, the EPA
must necessarily be able to propose a
FIP prior to taking final action to
disapprove a SIP or make a finding of
failure to submit.
Second, and more importantly, the
EPA has established predicate authority
to promulgate FIPs for all of the covered
states through its action with respect to
the relevant SIP submittals. A brief
history of these actions follows:
On February 22, 2022, the EPA
proposed to disapprove 19 good
neighbor SIP submissions (Alabama,
Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia,
Wisconsin).102 Alabama subsequently
withdrew its SIP submission and resubmitted a SIP submission on June 22,
2022. The EPA proposed to disapprove
that SIP submittal on October 25,
2022.103 The EPA proposed to
disapprove good neighbor SIP
submissions for four additional states,
California, Nevada, Utah, and Wyoming,
on May 24, 2022.104
Subsequently, on January 31, 2023,
the EPA Administrator signed a single
disapproval action for all of the above
states, with the exception of Tennessee
and Wyoming.105 This action
established the EPA’s authority to
promulgate FIPs for the disapproved
states. (As explained in section IV.F of
this document, the Agency is deferring
action at this time for Tennessee and
Wyoming with respect to its proposed
101 See EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P.,
572 U.S. 489, 509 (2014) (citations omitted).
102 See 87 FR 9463 (Maryland); 87 FR 9484 (New
Jersey, New York); 87 FR 9498 (Kentucky); 87 FR
9516 (West Virginia); 87 FR 9533 (Missouri); 87 FR
9545 (Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee); 87 FR
9798 (Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas); 87
FR 9838 (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota,
Ohio, Wisconsin).
103 See 87 FR 64412.
104 See 87 FR 31443 (California); 87 FR 31485
(Nevada); 87 FR 31470 (Utah); 87 FR 31495
(Wyoming).
105 See 88 FR 9336.
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36689
FIP actions for those states. As
discussed in section IV.F of this
document, the EPA’s most recent
modeling and air quality analysis
indicates that several states may be
linked to downwind receptors for which
we had not previously proposed
disapproval or FIP action. The EPA
anticipates addressing remaining
interstate transport obligations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS for these in a
subsequent rulemaking.)
Additionally, the EPA has taken
action that has triggered the EPA’s
obligation under CAA section 110(c) to
promulgate FIPs addressing the good
neighbor provision for several
downwind states. On December 5, 2019,
the EPA published a rule finding that
seven states (Maine, New Mexico,
Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South
Dakota, Utah, and Virginia) failed to
submit or otherwise make complete
submissions that address the
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.106 This finding triggered a 2year deadline for the EPA to issue FIPs
to address the good neighbor provision
for these states by January 6, 2022. As
the EPA has subsequently received and
taken final action to approve good
neighbor SIPs from Maine, Rhode
Island, and South Dakota,107 the EPA
currently has authority under the
December 5, 2019, findings of failure to
submit to issue FIPs for New Mexico,
Pennsylvania, Utah, and Virginia. In
this final rule, the EPA is issuing FIP
requirements for Pennsylvania, Utah,
and Virginia.108
Further information on the procedural
history establishing the EPA’s authority
for this final rule is provided in a
document in the docket.109
106 Findings of Failure To Submit a Clean Air Act
Section 110 State Implementation Plan for
Interstate Transport for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), 84 FR
66612 (December 5, 2019, effective January 6, 2020).
107 Air Plan Approval; Maine and New
Hampshire; 2015 Ozone NAAQS Interstate
Transport Requirements, 86 FR 45870 (August 17,
2021); Air Plan Approval; Rhode Island; 2015
Ozone NAAQS Interstate Transport Requirements,
86 FR 70409 (December 10, 2021); Promulgation of
State Implementation Plan Revisions; Infrastructure
Requirements for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient
Air Quality Standards; South Dakota; Revisions to
the Administrative Rules of South Dakota, 85 FR
29882 (May 19, 2020).
108 WildEarth Guardians v. Regan, No. 1:22–cv–
00174 (D.N.M. entered Aug. 16, 2022); Sierra Club
et al. v. EPA, No. 3:22–cv–01992 (N.D. Cal. entered
Jan. 24, 2023).
109 See ‘‘Final Rule: Status of CAA Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) SIP Submissions for the 2015
Ozone NAAQS for States Covered by the Proposed
Federal Implementation Plan Addressing Regional
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards.’’ This document
updates a prior document of the same title provided
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While the EPA’s previous actions are
sufficient to establish that the EPA’s
promulgation of this FIP action at this
time is lawful, the timing of this action
is all the more reasonable in light of the
need for the EPA to address good
neighbor obligations consistent with the
rest of title I of the CAA. In particular,
the D.C. Circuit in Wisconsin held that
states and the EPA are obligated to fully
address good neighbor obligations for
ozone ‘‘as expeditiously as practical’’
and in no event later than the next
relevant downwind attainment dates
found in CAA section 181(a).110 In
Maryland v. EPA, the D.C. Circuit made
clear that Wisconsin’s and North
Carolina’s holdings are fully applicable
to the Marginal area attainment date for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS,111 which fell
on August 3, 2021.112 As discussed in
section VI.A of this document, by
finalizing this action now, the EPA is
able to implement initial required
emissions reductions to eliminate
significant contribution by the 2023
ozone season, which is the last full
ozone season before the next attainment
date, the Moderate area attainment date
of August 3, 2024. The Wisconsin court
emphasized that the EPA has the
authority under CAA section 110 to
structure and time its actions in a
manner such that the Agency can ensure
necessary reductions are achieved in
alignment with the downwind
attainment schedule, and that is
precisely what the EPA is doing here.113
The EPA provides further response to
the comments on this issue in section 1
of the RTC document.
C. Other CAA Authorities for This
Action
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1. Withdrawal of Proposed Error
Correction for Delaware
The EPA proposed at 87 FR 20036 to
make an error correction under CAA
section 110(k)(6) of its May 1, 2020,
approval at 85 FR 25307 of the interstate
transport elements for Delaware’s
October 11, 2018, and December 26,
at proposal (Document no. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–
0668–0131).
110 Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303, 313–14 (D.C.
Cir. 2019) (citing North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d
896, 911–13 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
111 Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185, 1203–04
(D.C. Cir. 2020).
112 See CAA section 181(a); 40 CFR 51.1303;
Additional Air Quality Designations for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards, 83
FR 25776 (June 4, 2018, effective August 3, 2018).
113 938 F.3d at 318 (‘‘When EPA determines a
State’s SIP is inadequate, EPA presumably must
issue a FIP that will bring that State into
compliance before upcoming attainment deadlines,
even if the outer limit of the statutory timeframe
gives EPA more time to formulate the FIP.’’) (citing
Sierra Club v. EPA, 294 F.3d 155, 161 (D.C. Cir.
2002)).
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2019, ozone infrastructure SIP
submissions as satisfying the
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. The EPA proposed to
determine that the basis for the prior SIP
approval was invalidated by the
Agency’s more recent technical
evaluation of air quality modeling
performed in support of the proposed
rule,114 and that Delaware had
unresolved interstate transport
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The EPA also proposed to issue a FIP for
Delaware given these unresolved
interstate transport obligations.
However, based on the updated air
quality modeling described in section
IV.F. of this document and the technical
assessment that informs this final rule,
the EPA finds that Delaware is not
projected to be linked to any downwind
receptor above the 1 percent of the
NAAQS threshold in 2023. Thus, based
on the record before the Agency now,
the original approval of Delaware’s SIP
submission was not in error, and the
EPA is withdrawing its proposed error
correction and proposed FIP for
Delaware.
2. Application of Rule in Indian Country
and Necessary or Appropriate Finding
The EPA is finalizing its
determination that this rule will be
applicable in all areas of Indian country
(as defined at 18 U.S.C. 1151) within the
covered geography of the final rule, as
defined in this section. Certain areas of
Indian country within the geography of
the rule are or may be subject to state
implementation planning authority.
Other areas of Indian country within
that geography are subject to tribal
planning authority, although none of the
relevant tribes have as yet sought
eligibility to administer a tribal plan to
implement the good neighbor
provision.115 As described later, the
114 See the Air Quality Modeling Proposed Rule
TSD in the docket for this rule.
115 We note that, consistent with the EPA’s prior
good neighbor actions in California, the regulatory
ozone monitor located on the Morongo Band of
Mission Indians (‘‘Morongo’’) reservation is a
projected downwind receptor in 2023. See
monitoring site 060651016 in Table IV.D.–1. We
also note that the Temecula, California, regulatory
ozone monitor is a projected downwind receptor in
2023 and in past regulatory actions has been
deemed representative of air quality on the
Pechanga Band of Luisen˜o Indians (‘‘Pechanga’’)
reservation. See, e.g., Approval of Tribal
Implementation Plan and Designation of Air
Quality Planning Area; Pechanga Band of Luisen˜o
Mission Indians, 80 FR 18120, at 18121–18123
(April 3, 2015); see also monitoring site 060650016
in Table IV.D–1. The presence of receptors on, or
representative of, the Morongo and Pechanga
reservations does not trigger obligations for the
Morongo and Pechanga Tribes. Nevertheless, these
receptors are relevant to the EPA’s assessment of
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EPA is including all areas of Indian
country within the covered geography,
notwithstanding whether those areas are
currently subject to a state’s
implementation planning authority or
the potential planning authority of a
tribe.
a. Indian Country Subject to Tribal
Jurisdiction
With respect to areas of Indian
country not currently subject to a state’s
implementation planning authority—
i.e., Indian reservation lands (with the
partial exception of reservation lands
located in the State of Oklahoma, as
described further in this section) and
other areas of Indian country over
which the EPA or a tribe has
demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction—the EPA here makes a
‘‘necessary or appropriate’’ finding that
direct Federal implementation of the
rule’s requirements is warranted under
CAA section 301(d)(4) and 40 CFR
49.11(a) (the areas of Indian country
subject to this finding will be referred to
as the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas).
Indian Tribes may, but are not required
to, submit tribal plans to implement
CAA requirements, including the good
neighbor provision. Section 301(d) of
the CAA and 40 CFR part 49 authorize
the Administrator to treat an Indian
Tribe in the same manner as a state (i.e.,
TAS) for purposes of developing and
implementing a tribal plan
implementing good neighbor
obligations. See 40 CFR 49.3; see also
‘‘Indian Tribes: Air Quality Planning
and Management,’’ hereafter ‘‘Tribal
Authority Rule’’ (63 FR 7254, February
12, 1998). The EPA is authorized to
directly implement the good neighbor
provision in the 301(d) FIP areas when
it finds, consistent with the authority of
CAA section 301—which the EPA has
exercised in 40 CFR 49.11—that it is
necessary or appropriate to do so.116
any linked upwind states’ good neighbor
obligations. See, e.g., Approval and Promulgation of
Air Quality State Implementation Plans; California;
Interstate Transport Requirements for Ozone, Fine
Particulate Matter, and Sulfur Dioxide, 83 FR 65093
(December 19, 2018). Under 40 CFR 49.4(a), tribes
are not subject to the specific plan submittal and
implementation deadlines for NAAQS-related
requirements, including deadlines for submittal of
plans addressing transport impacts.
116 See Arizona Pub. Serv. Co. v. U.S. E.P.A., 562
F.3d 1116, 1125 (10th Cir. 2009) (stating that 40
CFR 49.11(a) ‘‘provides the EPA discretion to
determine what rulemaking is necessary or
appropriate to protect air quality and requires the
EPA to promulgate such rulemaking’’); Safe Air For
Everyone v. U.S. Env’t Prot. Agency, No. 05–73383,
2006 WL 3697684, at *1 (9th Cir., Dec. 15, 2006)
(‘‘The statutes and regulations that enable EPA to
regulate air quality on Indian reservations provide
EPA with broad discretion in setting the content of
such regulations.’’).
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The EPA hereby finds that it is both
necessary and appropriate to regulate all
new and existing EGU and industrial
sources meeting the applicability
criteria set forth in this rule in all of the
301(d) FIP areas that are located within
the geographic scope of coverage of the
rule. For purposes of this finding, the
geographic scope of coverage of the rule
means the areas of the United States
encompassed within the borders of the
states the EPA has determined to be
linked at Steps 1 and 2 of the 4-step
interstate transport framework.117 For
EGU applicability criteria, see section
VI.B of this document; for industrialsource applicability criteria, see section
VI.C of this document. To EPA’s
knowledge, only one existing EGU or
industrial source is located within the
CAA section 301(d) FIP areas: the
Bonanza Power Plant, an EGU source,
located on the Uintah and Ouray
Reservation, geographically located
within the borders of Utah.
This finding is consistent with the
EPA’s prior good neighbor rules. In
prior rulemakings under the good
neighbor provision, the EPA has
included all areas of Indian country
within the geographic scope of those
FIPs, such that any new or existing
sources meeting the rules’ applicability
criteria would be subject to the rule
irrespective of whether subject to state
or tribal underlying CAA planning
authority. In CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update, the scope of the emissions
trading programs established for EGUs
extended to cover all areas of Indian
country located within the geographic
boundaries of the covered states. In
these rules, at the time of their
promulgation, no existing units were
located in the covered areas of Indian
country; under the general applicability
criteria of the trading programs,
however, any new sources locating in
such areas would become subject to the
programs. Thus, the EPA established a
separate allowance allocation that
would be available for any new units
locating in any of the relevant areas of
Indian country. See, e.g., 76 FR 48293
(describing the CSAPR methodology of
allowance allocation under the ‘‘Indian
country new unit set-aside’’ provisions);
see also id. at 48217 (explaining the
EPA’s source of authority for directly
regulating in relevant areas of Indian
117 With respect to any industrial sources located
in the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas, the geographic
scope of coverage of this rule does not include those
states for which the EPA finds, based on air quality
modeling, that no further linkage exists by the 2026
analytic year at Steps 1 and 2. The states in this rule
not linked in 2026 are Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin.
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country as necessary or appropriate).
Further, in any action in which the EPA
subsequently approved a state’s SIP
submittal to partially or wholly replace
the provisions of a CSAPR FIP, the EPA
has clearly delineated that it will
continue to administer the Indian
country new unit set aside for sources
in any areas of Indian country
geographically located within a state’s
borders and not subject to that state’s
CAA planning authority, and the state
may not exercise jurisdiction over any
such sources. See, e.g., 82 FR 46674,
46677 (October 6, 2017) (approving
Alabama’s SIP submission establishing a
state CSAPR trading program for ozone
season NOX, but providing, ‘‘The SIP is
not approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area
where EPA or an Indian tribe has
demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction.’’).
In this rule, the EPA is taking an
approach similar to the prior CSAPR
rulemakings with respect to regulating
sources in the CAA section 301(d) FIP
areas.118 The EPA believes this
approach is necessary and appropriate
for several reasons. First, the purpose of
this rule is to address the interstate
transport of ozone on a national scale,
and the technical record establishes that
the nonattainment and maintenance
receptors located throughout the
country are impacted by sources of
ozone pollution on a broad geographic
scale. The upwind regions associated
with each receptor typically span at
least two, and often far more, states.
Within the broad upwind region
covered by this rule, the EPA is
applying—consistent with the
methodology of allocating upwind
responsibility in prior transport rules
going back to the NOX SIP Call—a
uniform level of control stringency (as
determined separately for linkages
existing in 2023, and linkages persisting
in 2026). (See section V of this
document for a discussion of EPA’s
determination of control stringency for
this rule.) Within this approach,
consistency in rule requirements across
all jurisdictions is vital in ensuring the
remedy for ozone transport is, in the
words of the Supreme Court, ‘‘efficient
and equitable,’’ 572 U.S. 489, 519. In
particular, as the Supreme Court found
in EME Homer City Generation,
allocating responsibility through
uniform levels of control across the
118 See section VI.B.9 of this document for a
discussion of revisions that are being made in this
rulemaking regarding the point in the allowance
allocation process at which the EPA would
establish set-asides of allowances for units in Indian
country not subject to a state’s CAA implementation
planning authority.
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36691
entire upwind geography is ‘‘equitable’’
because, by imposing uniform cost
thresholds on regulated States, the
EPA’s rule subjects to stricter regulation
those States that have done relatively
less in the past to control their
pollution. Upwind States that have not
yet implemented pollution controls of
the same stringency as their neighbors
will be stopped from free riding on their
neighbors’ efforts to reduce pollution.
They will have to reduce their
emissions by installing devices of the
kind in which neighboring States have
already invested. Id.
In the context of addressing regionalscale ozone transport in this rule, the
importance of a uniform level of
stringency that extends to and includes
the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas
geographically located within the
boundaries of the linked upwind states
carries significant force. Failure to
include all such areas within the scope
of the rule creates a significant risk that
these areas may be targeted for the siting
of facilities emitting ozone-precursor
pollutants, to avoid the regulatory costs
that would be imposed under this rule
in the surrounding areas of state
jurisdiction. Electricity generation or the
production of other goods and
commodities may become more costcompetitive at any EGU or industrial
sources not subject to the rule but
located in a geography where the same
types of sources are subject to the rule.
For instance, the affected EGU source
located on the Uintah and Ouray
Reservation of the Ute Tribe is in an
area that is interconnected with the
western electricity grid and is owned
and operated by an entity that generates
and provides electricity to customers in
several states. It is both necessary and
appropriate, in the EPA’s view, to avoid
creating, via this rule, a structure of
incentives that may cause generation or
production—and the associated NOX
emissions—to shift into the CAA section
301(d) FIP areas to escape regulation
needed to eliminate interstate transport
under the good neighbor provision.
The EPA finds it is appropriate to
directly implement the rule’s
requirements in the CAA section 301(d)
FIP areas in this action rather than at a
later date. Tribes have the opportunity
to seek treatment as a state (TAS) and
to undertake tribal implementation
plans under the CAA. To date, the one
tribe which could develop and seek
approval of a tribal implementation plan
to address good neighbor obligations
with respect to an existing EGU in the
CAA section 301(d) FIP areas for the
2015 ozone NAAQS (or for any other
NAAQS), the Ute Indian Tribe of the
Uintah and Ouray Reservation, has not
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expressed an intent to do so. Nor has the
EPA heard such intentions from any
other tribe, and it would not be
reasonable to expect tribes to undertake
that planning effort, particularly when
no existing sources are currently located
on their lands. Further, the EPA is
mindful that under court precedent, the
EPA and states bear an obligation to
fully implement any required emissions
reductions to eliminate significant
contribution under the good neighbor
provision as expeditiously as
practicable and in alignment with
downwind areas’ attainment schedule
under the Act. As discussed in section
VI.A of this document, the EPA is
implementing certain required
emissions reductions by the 2023 ozone
season, the last full ozone season before
the 2024 Moderate area attainment date,
and other key additional required
emissions reductions by the 2026 ozone
season, the last full ozone season before
the 2027 Serious area attainment date.
Absent the application of this FIP in the
CAA section 301(d) FIP areas, NOX
emissions from any existing or new EGU
or non-EGU sources located in, or
locating in, the CAA section 301(d) FIP
areas within the covered geography of
the rule would remain unregulated for
purposes of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS and could continue or
potentially increase. This would be
inconsistent with the EPA’s overall goal
of aligning good neighbor obligations
with the downwind areas’ attainment
schedule and to achieve emissions
reductions as expeditiously as
practicable.
Further, the EPA recognizes that
Indian country, including the CAA
section 301(d) FIP areas, is often home
to communities with environmental
justice concerns, and these communities
may bear a disproportionate level of
pollution burden as compared with
other areas of the United States. The
EPA’s Fiscal Year 2022–2026 Strategic
Plan 119 includes an objective to
promote environmental justice at the
Federal, Tribal, state, and local levels
and states: ‘‘Integration of
environmental justice principles into all
EPA activities with Tribal governments
and in Indian country is designed to be
flexible enough to accommodate EPA’s
Tribal program activities and goals,
while at the same time meeting the
Agency’s environmental justice goals.’’
As described in section X.F of this
document, the EPA offered Tribal
consultation to 574 Tribes in April of
2022 and received no requests for Tribal
119 https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/
2022-03/fy-2022-2026-epa-strategic-plan.pdf.
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consultation after publication of the
proposed rulemaking. By including all
areas of Indian country within the
covered geography of the rule, the EPA
is advancing environmental justice,
lowering pollution burdens in such
areas, and preventing the potential for
‘‘pollution havens’’ to form in such
areas as a result of facilities seeking to
locate there to avoid the requirements
that would otherwise apply outside of
such areas under this rule.
Therefore, to ensure timely alignment
of all needed emissions reductions
within the timetables of this rule, to
ensure equitable distribution of the
upwind pollution reduction obligation
across all upwind jurisdictions, to avoid
perverse economic incentives to locate
sources of ozone-precursor pollution in
the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas, and
to deliver greater environmental justice
to tribal communities in line with
Executive Order 13985: Advancing
Racial Equity and Support for
Underserved Communities Through the
Federal Government,120 the EPA finds it
both necessary and appropriate that all
existing and new EGU and industrial
sources that are located in the CAA
section 301(d) FIP areas within the
geographic boundaries of the covered
states, and which would be subject to
this rule if located within areas subject
to state CAA planning authority, should
be included in this rule. The EPA issues
this finding under CAA section
301(d)(4) of the Act and 40 CFR 49.11.
Further, to avoid ‘‘unreasonable delay’’
in promulgating this FIP, as required
under section 49.11, the EPA makes this
finding now, to align emissions
reduction obligations for any covered
new or existing sources in the CAA
section 301(d) FIP areas with the larger
schedule of reductions under this rule.
Because all other covered EGU and nonEGU sources within the geography of
this rule would be subject to emissions
reductions of uniform stringency
beginning in the 2023 ozone season, and
as necessary to fully and expeditiously
address good neighbor obligations for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS, there is little
benefit to be had by not including the
CAA section 301(d) FIP areas in this
rule now and a potentially significant
downside to not doing so.
The Agency recognizes that Tribal
governments may still choose to seek
TAS to develop a Tribal plan with
respect to the obligations under this
rule, and this determination does not
preclude the tribes from taking such
120 Executive Order 13985 (January 20, 2021) (86
FR 7009 (January 25, 2021)): https://
www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-01-25/pdf/
2021-01753.pdf.
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actions. Although the formal tribal
consultation process associated with
this action has concluded, the EPA is
willing and available to engage with any
tribe as this rule is implemented.
b. Indian Country Subject to State
Implementation Planning Authority
Following the U.S. Supreme Court
decision in McGirt v. Oklahoma, 140 S.
Ct. 2452 (2020), the Governor of the
State of Oklahoma requested approval
under section 10211(a) of the Safe,
Accountable, Flexible, Efficient
Transportation Equity Act of 2005: A
Legacy for Users, Public Law 109–59,
119 Stat. 1144, 1937 (August 10, 2005)
(‘‘SAFETEA’’), to administer in certain
areas of Indian country (as defined at 18
U.S.C. 1151) the State’s environmental
regulatory programs that were
previously approved by the EPA for
areas outside of Indian country. The
State’s request excluded certain areas of
Indian country further described later.
In addition, the State only sought
approval to the extent that such
approval is necessary for the State to
administer a program in light of
Oklahoma Dept. of Environmental
Quality v. EPA, 740 F.3d 185 (D.C. Cir.
2014).121
On October 1, 2020, the EPA
approved Oklahoma’s SAFETEA request
to administer all the State’s EPAapproved environmental regulatory
programs, including the Oklahoma SIP,
in the requested areas of Indian
country.122 As requested by Oklahoma,
the EPA’s approval under SAFETEA
does not include Indian country lands,
including rights-of-way running through
the same, that: (1) qualify as Indian
allotments, the Indian titles to which
have not been extinguished, under 18
U.S.C. 1151(c); (2) are held in trust by
the United States on behalf of an
individual Indian or Tribe; or (3) are
owned in fee by a Tribe, if the Tribe (a)
acquired that fee title to such land, or
an area that included such land, in
accordance with a treaty with the
United States to which such Tribe was
a party, and (b) never allotted the land
to a member or citizen of the Tribe
121 In ODEQ v. EPA, the D.C. Circuit held that
under the CAA, a state has the authority to
implement a SIP in non-reservation areas of Indian
country in the state, where there has been no
demonstration of tribal jurisdiction. Under the D.C.
Circuit’s decision, the CAA does not provide
authority to states to implement SIPs in Indian
reservations. ODEQ did not, however, substantively
address the separate authority in Indian country
provided specifically to Oklahoma under
SAFETEA. That separate authority was not invoked
until the State submitted its request under
SAFETEA, and was not approved until the EPA’s
decision, described in this section, on October 1,
2020.
122 Available in the docket for this rulemaking.
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(collectively ‘‘excluded Indian country
lands’’).
The EPA’s approval under SAFETEA
expressly provided that to the extent
EPA’s prior approvals of Oklahoma’s
environmental programs excluded
Indian country, any such exclusions are
superseded for the geographic areas of
Indian country covered by the EPA’s
approval of Oklahoma’s SAFETEA
request.123 The approval also provided
that future revisions or amendments to
Oklahoma’s approved environmental
regulatory programs would extend to
the covered areas of Indian country
(without any further need for additional
requests under SAFETEA).
In a Federal Register document
published on February 13, 2023 (88 FR
9336), the EPA disapproved the portion
of an Oklahoma SIP submittal
pertaining to the state’s interstate
transport obligations under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. Consistent with the D.C.
Circuit’s decision in ODEQ v. EPA and
with the EPA’s October 1, 2020
SAFETEA approval, the EPA has
authority under CAA section 110(c) to
promulgate a FIP as needed to address
the disapproved aspects of Oklahoma’s
good neighbor SIP submittal.124 In
accordance with the previous
discussion, the EPA’s FIP authority in
this circumstance extends to all Indian
country in Oklahoma, other than the
excluded Indian country lands, as
described previously.125 Because—per
the State’s request under SAFETEA—
EPA’s October 1, 2020 approval does
not displace any SIP authority
previously exercised by the State under
the CAA as interpreted in ODEQ v. EPA,
the EPA’s FIP authority under CAA
section 110(c) also applies to any Indian
123 The EPA’s prior approvals relating to
Oklahoma’s SIP frequently noted that the SIP was
not approved to apply in areas of Indian country
(consistent with the D.C. Circuit’s decision in
ODEQ v. EPA) located in the state. See, e.g., 85 FR
20178, 20180 (April 10, 2020). Such prior expressed
limitations are superseded by the EPA’s approval of
Oklahoma’s SAFETEA request.
124 The antecedent fact that the state had the
authority and jurisdiction to implement
requirements under the good neighbor provision, in
the EPA’s view, supplies the condition necessary
for the Agency to exercise its FIP authority to the
extent the EPA has disapproved the state’s SIP
submission with respect to those requirements.
Under CAA section 110(c), the EPA ‘‘stands in the
shoes of the defaulting state, and all of the rights
and duties that would otherwise fall to the state
accrue instead to the EPA.’’ Central Ariz. Water
Conservation Dist. v. EPA, 990 F.2d 1531, 1541 (9th
Cir. 1993).
125 With respect to those areas of Indian country
constituting ‘‘excluded Indian country lands’’ in the
State of Oklahoma, as defined supra, the EPA
applies the same necessary or appropriate finding
as set forth above with respect to all other 301(d)
FIP areas within the geographic scope of coverage
of the rule.
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allotments or dependent Indian
communities located outside of an
Indian reservation over which there has
been no demonstration of tribal
authority. The EPA’s FIP authority
under CAA section 110(c) similarly
applies to Indian allotments or
dependent Indian communities located
outside of an Indian reservation over
which there has been no demonstration
of tribal authority located in any other
state within the geographic scope of this
rule.
In light of the relevant legal
authorities discussed above regarding
the scope of the State of Oklahoma’s
regulatory jurisdiction under the CAA,
the EPA has FIP authority under CAA
section 110(c) with respect to all Indian
country in Oklahoma other than
excluded Indian country lands. To the
extent any change occurs in the scope
of Oklahoma’s SIP authority in Indian
country following finalization of this
rule, and such change affects the
exercise of FIP authority provided under
section 110(c) of the Act,126 then, to the
extent any such areas would fall more
appropriately within the CAA section
301(d) FIP areas as described in section
III.C.2.a of this document, the EPA’s
necessary or appropriate finding as set
forth above with respect to all other
CAA section 301(d) FIP areas within the
geographic scope of coverage of the rule
would apply.
D. Severability
The EPA regards this action as a
complete remedy, which will as
expeditiously as practicable implement
good neighbor obligations for the 2015
ozone NAAQS for the covered states,
consistent with the requirements of the
Act. See North Carolina v. EPA, 531
F.3d 896, 911–12 (D.C. Cir. 2008);
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303, 313–
20 (D.C. Cir. 2019); Maryland v. EPA,
958 F.3d 1185, 1204 (D.C. Cir. 2020);
New York v. EPA, 964 F.3d 1214, 1226
(D.C. Cir. 2020); New York v. EPA, 781
Fed. App’x 4, 7–8 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (all
holding that the EPA must address good
neighbor obligations as expeditiously as
practicable and by no later than the next
applicable attainment date). Yet should
a court find any discrete aspect of this
document to be invalid, the Agency
126 On December 22, 2021, the EPA proposed to
withdraw and reconsider the October 1, 2020,
SAFETEA approval. See https://www.epa.gov/ok/
proposed-withdrawal-and-reconsideration-andsupporting-information. The EPA is engaging in
further consultation with tribal governments and
expects to have discussions with the State of
Oklahoma as part of this reconsideration. The EPA
also notes that the October 1, 2020, approval is the
subject of a pending challenge in Federal court.
Pawnee Nation of Oklahoma v. Regan, No. 20–9635
(10th Cir.).
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36693
believes that the remaining aspects of
this rule can and should continue to be
implemented to the extent possible. In
particular, this action promulgates a FIP
for each covered state (and, pursuant to
CAA section 301(d), for each area of
tribal jurisdiction within the geographic
boundaries of those states). Should any
jurisdiction-specific aspect of the final
rule be found invalid, the EPA views
this rule as severable along those state
and/or tribal jurisdictional lines, such
that the rule can continue to be
implemented as to any remaining
jurisdictions. This action promulgates
discrete emissions control requirements
for the power sector and for each of
seven other industries. Should any
industry-specific aspect of the final rule
be found invalid, the EPA views this
rule as severable as between the
different industries and different types
of emissions control requirements. This
is not intended to be an exhaustive list
of the ways in which the rule may be
severable. In the event any part of it is
found invalid, our intention is that the
remaining portions should continue to
be implemented consistent with any
judicial ruling.
The EPA’s conclusion that this rule is
severable also reflects the important
public health and environmental
benefits of this rulemaking in
eliminating significant contribution and
to ensure to the greatest extent possible
the ability of both upwind states and
downwind states and other relevant
stakeholders to be able to rely on this
final rule in their planning. Cf.
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 336–37 (‘‘As a
general rule, we do not vacate
regulations when doing so would risk
significant harm to the public health or
the environment.’’); North Carolina v.
EPA, 550 F.3d 1176, 1178 (D.C. Cir.
2008) (noting the need to preserve
public health benefits); EME Homer City
v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118, 132 (D.C. Cir.
2015) (noting the need to avoid
disruption to emissions trading market
that had developed).
IV. Analyzing Downwind Air Quality
Problems and Contributions From
Upwind States
A. Selection of Analytic Years for
Evaluating Ozone Transport
Contributions to Downwind Air Quality
Problems
In this section, the EPA describes its
process for selecting analytic years for
air quality modeling and analyses
performed to identify nonattainment
and maintenance receptors and identify
upwind state linkages. For this final
rule, the EPA evaluated air quality to
identify receptors at Step 1 for two
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analytic years: 2023 and 2026. The EPA
evaluated interstate contributions to
these receptors from individual upwind
states at Step 2 for these two analytic
years. In selecting these years, the EPA
views 2023 and 2026 to constitute years
by which key emissions reductions from
EGUs and non-EGUS can be
implemented ‘‘as expeditiously as
practicable.’’ In addition, these years are
the last full ozone seasons before the
Moderate and Serious area attainment
dates for the 2015 ozone NAAQS (ozone
seasons run each year from May 1–
September 30). To demonstrate
attainment by these deadlines,
downwind states would be required to
rely on design values calculated using
ozone data from 2021 through 2023 and
2024 through 2026, respectively. By
focusing its analysis, and, potentially,
achieving emissions reductions by, the
last full ozone seasons before the
attainment dates (i.e., in 2023 or 2026),
this final rule can assist the downwind
areas with demonstrating attainment or
receiving extensions of attainment dates
under CAA section 181(a)(5). (The EPA
explains in detail in sections V and VI
of this document its determinations
regarding which emissions reduction
strategies can be implemented by 2023,
and which emissions reduction
strategies require additional time
beyond that ozone season, or the 2026
ozone season.)
It would not be logical for the EPA to
analyze any earlier year than 2023. The
EPA continues to interpret the good
neighbor provision as forward-looking,
based on Congress’s use of the futuretense ‘‘will’’ in CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i), an interpretation upheld
in Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 322. It would
be ‘‘anomalous,’’ id., for the EPA to
impose good neighbor obligations in
2023 and future years based solely on
finding that ‘‘significant contribution’’
had existed at some time in the past. Id.
Applying this framework in the
proposal, the EPA recognized that the
2021 Marginal area attainment date had
already passed. Further, based on the
timing of the proposal, it was not
possible to finalize this rulemaking
before the 2022 ozone season had also
passed. Thus, the EPA has selected 2023
as the first appropriate future analytic
year for this final rule because it reflects
implementation of good neighbor
obligations as expeditiously as
practicable and coincides with the
August 3, 2024, Moderate area
attainment date established for the 2015
ozone NAAQS.
The EPA conducted additional
analysis for 2026 to ensure a complete
Step 3 analysis for future ozone
transport contributions to downwind
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areas. As noted above, 2023 and 2026
coincide with the last full ozone seasons
before future attainment dates for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. In addition, 2026
coincides with the ozone season by
which key additional emissions
reductions from EGUs and non-EGUs
become available. Thus, the EPA
analyzed additional years beyond 2023
to determine whether any additional
emissions reductions that are
impossible to obtain by the 2024
attainment date could still be necessary
to fully address significant contribution.
In all cases, implementation of
necessary emissions reductions is as
expeditiously as practicable, with all
possible emissions reductions
implemented by the next applicable
attainment date.
The timing framework and selection
of analytic years set forth above
comports with the D.C. Circuit’s
direction in Wisconsin that
implementing good neighbor obligations
beyond the dates established for
attainment may be justified on a proper
showing of impossibility or necessity.
See 938 F.3d at 320.
Comment: A commenter claims that
the EPA has not followed the holdings
of Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C.
Cir. 2019), North Carolina v. EPA, 550
F.3d 1176 (D.C. Cir. 2008), and
Maryland v. EPA, 958 F. 3d 1185 (D.C.
Cir. 2020) in the selection of analytic
years, in that commenter interprets
those decisions as holding that the EPA
must ‘‘harmonize’’ the exact timing of
upwind emissions reductions with
when downwind states implement their
required reductions. Commenter also
points to the EPA’s proposed action on
New York’s Good Neighbor SIP
submission specifically to argue that the
EPA is treating upwind and downwind
states dissimilarly. Commenter also
cites CAA sections 172, 177, and 179 to
argue the EPA did not properly align
upwind and downwind obligations.
Several commenters believe the EPA
should defer implementing good
neighbor requirements until downwind
receptor areas have first implemented
their own emissions control strategies.
Response: The EPA maintains that
2023 is an appropriate analytic year and
comports with the relevant caselaw.
Section VI.A further discusses the
compliance schedule for emissions
reductions under this rule. Commenter
misreads the North Carolina, Wisconsin,
and Maryland decisions as calling for
good neighbor analysis and emissions
controls to be aligned with the timing of
the implementation of nonattainment
controls by downwind states. However,
the D.C. Circuit has held that the
statutory attainment dates are the
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relevant downwind deadlines the EPA
must align with in implementing the
good neighbor provision. In Wisconsin,
the court held, ‘‘In sum, under our
decision in North Carolina, the Good
Neighbor Provision calls for elimination
of upwind States’ significant
contributions on par with the relevant
downwind attainment deadlines.’’
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d. at 321 (emphasis
added).
After that decision, the EPA
interpreted Wisconsin as limited to the
attainment dates for Moderate or higher
classifications under CAA section 181
on the basis that Marginal
nonattainment areas have reduced
planning requirements and other
considerations. See, e.g., 85 FR 29882,
29888–89 (May 19, 2020) (proposed
approval of South Dakota’s 2015 ozone
NAAQS good neighbor SIP). However,
on May 19, 2020, the D.C. Circuit in
Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185 (D.C.
Cir. 2020), applying the Wisconsin
decision, rejected that argument and
held that the EPA must assess air
quality at the next downwind
attainment date, including Marginal
area attainment dates under CAA
section 181, in evaluating the basis for
the EPA’s denial of a petition under
CAA section 126(b). 958 F.3d at 1203–
04. After Maryland, the EPA
acknowledged that the Marginal
attainment date is the first attainment
date to consider in evaluating good
neighbor obligations. See, e.g., 85 FR
67653, 67654 (Oct. 26, 2020) (final
approval of South Dakota’s 2015 ozone
NAAQS good neighbor SIP).
The D.C. Circuit again had occasion to
revisit the Agency’s interpretation of
North Carolina, Wisconsin, and
Maryland, in a challenge to the Revised
CSAPR Update brought by the Midwest
Ozone Group (MOG). The court
declined to entertain similar arguments
to those presented by commenters here
and instead in a footnote explained that
it had ‘‘exhaustively summarized the
regulatory framework governing EPA’s
conduct’’ and that it ‘‘[drew] on those
decisions and incorporate them herein
by reference,’’ citing, among other cases,
Maryland, 958 F.3d 1185, and New
York, 781 F. App’x 4. MOG v. EPA, No.
21–1146 (D.C. Cir. March 3, 2023), Slip
Op. at 3 n.1.
The relevance of CAA sections 172,
177, and 179 to the selection of the
analytic year in this action is not clear.
Commenter cites these provisions to
conclude that the EPA did not
appropriately consider downwind
attainment deadlines and the timing of
upwind good neighbor obligations.
These provisions are found in subpart I,
and while they may have continuing
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relevance or applicability to aspects of
ozone nonattainment planning
requirements, the nonattainment dates
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS flow from
subpart 2 of title I of the CAA, and
specifically CAA section 181(a).
Applying that statutory schedule to the
designations for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, the EPA has promulgated the
applicable attainment dates in its
regulations at 40 CFR 51.1303. The
effective date of the initial designations
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS was August
3, 2018 (83 FR 25776, June 4, 2018,
effective August 3, 2018).127 Thus, the
first deadline for attainment planning
under the 2015 ozone NAAQS was the
Marginal attainment date of August 3,
2021, and the second deadline for
attainment planning is the Moderate
attainment date of August 3, 2024. If a
Marginal area fails to attain by the
attainment date it is reclassified, or
‘‘bumped up,’’ to Moderate. Indeed, the
EPA has just completed a rulemaking
action reclassifying many areas of the
country from Marginal to Moderate
nonattainment, including all of the areas
where downwind receptors have been
identified in our 2023 modeling as well
as many other areas of the country. 87
FR 60897, 60899 (Oct. 7, 2022).
Other than under the narrow
circumstances of CAA section 181(a)(5)
(discussed further in this section), the
EPA is not permitted under the CAA to
extend the attainment dates for areas
under a given classification. That is, no
matter when or if the EPA finalizes a
determination that an area failed to
attain by its attainment date and
reclassifies that area, the attainment
date remains fixed, based on the number
of years from the area’s initial
designation. See, e.g., CAA section
182(i) (authorizing the EPA to adjust
any applicable deadlines for newly
reclassified areas ‘‘other than attainment
dates’’). As the D.C. Circuit has
repeatedly made clear, the statutory
attainment schedule of the downwind
nonattainment areas under subpart 2 is
rigorously enforced and is not subject to
change based on policy considerations
of the EPA or the states.
[T]he attainment deadlines, the Supreme
Court has said, are ‘‘the heart’’ of the Act.
Train v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, 421 U.S. 60,
66, 95 S.Ct. 1470, 43 L.Ed.2d 731 (1975); see
Sierra Club v. EPA, 294 F.3d 155, 161 (D.C.
Cir. 2002) (‘‘the attainment deadlines are
central to the regulatory scheme’’) (alteration
and internal quotation marks omitted). The
Act’s central object is the ‘‘attain[ment] [of]
air quality of specified standards [within] a
specified period of time.’’ Train, 421 U.S. at
64–65, 95 S.Ct. 1470.
127 September 24, 2018, for the San Antonio area.
83 FR 35136 (July 25, 2018).
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Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 316. See also
Natural Resources Defense Council v.
EPA, 777 F.3d 456, 466–68 (D.C. Cir.
2014) (holding the EPA cannot adjust
the section 181 attainment schedule to
run from any other date than from the
date of designation); id. at 468 (‘‘EPA
identifies no statutory provision giving
it free-form discretion to set Subpart 2
compliance deadlines based on its own
policy assessment concerning the
number of ozone seasons within which
a nonattainment area should be
expected to achieve compliance.’’)
(citing and quoting Whitman v.
American Trucking Ass’ns, 531 U.S.
457, 484, (2001) (‘‘The principal
distinction between Subpart 1 and
Subpart 2 is that the latter eliminates
regulatory discretion that the former
allowed.’’). Furthermore, as the court in
NRDC noted, ‘‘[T]he ‘attainment
deadlines . . . leave no room for claims
of technological or economic
infeasibility.’ ’’ 777 F.3d at 488 (quoting
Sierra Club, 294 F.3d at 161) (internal
quotation marks and brackets omitted).
With the exception of the Uinta Basin,
which is not an identified receptor in
this action, no Marginal nonattainment
area met the conditions of CAA section
181(a)(5) to obtain a one-year extension
of the Moderate area attainment date. 87
FR 60899. Thus, all Marginal areas
(other than Uinta) that failed to attain
have been reclassified to Moderate. Id.
(And the New York City Metropolitan
nonattainment area was initially
classified as Moderate (see following
text for further details).) Even if the EPA
had extended the attainment date for
any of the downwind areas, it is not
clear that it would necessarily follow
that the EPA must correspondingly
extend or delay the implementation of
good neighbor obligations. While the
Wisconsin court recognized extensions
under CAA section 181(a)(5) as a
possible source of timing flexibility in
implementing the good neighbor
provision, 938 F.3d at 320, the EPA and
the states are still obligated to
implement good neighbor reductions as
expeditiously as practicable and are also
obligated under the good neighbor
provision to address ‘‘interference with
maintenance.’’ Areas that have obtained
an extension under CAA section
181(a)(5) or which are not designated as
in nonattainment could still be
identified as struggling to maintain the
NAAQS, and the EPA is obligated under
the good neighbor provision to
eliminate upwind emissions interfering
with the ability to maintain the NAAQS,
as well. North Carolina, 531 F.3d at
908–11. Thus, while an extension under
CAA section 181(a)(5) may be a source
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of flexibility for the EPA to consider in
the timing of implementation of good
neighbor obligations, as Wisconsin
recognized, it is not the case that the
EPA must delay or defer good neighbor
obligations for that reason, and neither
the D.C. Circuit nor any other court has
so held.
Commenter is therefore incorrect to
the extent that they argue the selection
of 2023 as an analytic year for upwind
obligations results in the misalignment
of downwind and upwind state
obligations. To the contrary, both
downwind and upwind state obligations
are driven by the statutory attainment
date of August 3, 2024 for Moderate
areas, and the last year that air quality
data may impact whether nonattainment
areas are found to have attained by the
attainment date is 2023. That is why, in
the recent final rulemaking
determinations that certain Marginal
areas failed to attain by the attainment
date, bumping those areas up to
Moderate, and giving them SIP
submission deadlines, reasonably
available control measures (RACM), and
reasonably RACT implementation
deadlines, the EPA set the attainment
SIP submission deadlines for the
bumped up Moderate areas to be
January 1, 2023. See 87 FR 60897, 60900
(Oct. 7, 2022). The implementation
deadline for RACM and RACT is also
January 1, 2023. Id. This was in large
part driven by the EPA’s ozone
implementation regulations, 40 CFR
51.1312(a)(3)(i), which previously
established a RACT implementation
deadline for initially classified
Moderate as no later than January 1,
2023, and the modeling and attainment
demonstration requirements in 40 CFR
51.1308(d), which require a state to
provide for implementation of all
control measures needed for attainment
no later than the beginning of the
attainment year ozone season (i.e.,
2023). Given this regulatory history, the
EPA can hardly be accused of letting
states with nonattainment areas for the
2015 ozone NAAQS avoid or delay their
mandatory CAA obligations.
Commenter’s proposal that the EPA
align good neighbor obligations with the
actual implementation of measures in
downwind areas is untethered from the
statute, as discussed above. It is also
unworkable in practice. It would
necessitate coordinating the activities of
multiple states and EPA regional and
headquarters offices to an impossible
degree and effectively could preclude
the implementation of good neighbor
obligations altogether. Commenter does
not explain how the EPA or upwind
states should coordinate upwind
emissions control obligations for states
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linked to multiple downwind receptors
whose states may be implementing their
requirements on different timetables.
Less drastic mechanisms than subjecting
people living in downwind receptor
areas to continuing high levels of air
pollution caused in part by upwindstate pollution are available if the actual
implementation of mandatory CAA
requirements in the downwind areas is
delayed: CAA section 304(a)(2) provides
for judicial recourse where there is an
alleged failure by the Agency to perform
a nondiscretionary duty; that recourse is
for the Agency to be placed on a courtordered deadline to address the relevant
obligations. See Oklahoma v. U.S. EPA,
723 F.3d 1201, 1223–24 (10th Cir. 2013);
Montana Sulphur and Chemical Co. v.
U.S. EPA, 666 F.3d 1174, 1190–91 (9th
Cir. 2012). Commenter focuses on the
EPA’s evaluation of New York’s Good
Neighbor SIP submission to argue the
EPA is treating upwind and downwind
states dissimilarly. The argument
conflates New York’s role as both a
downwind and an upwind state. In
evaluating the Good Neighbor SIP
submission that New York submitted,
the EPA identified as a basis for
disapproval that none of the state
emissions control programs New York
cited included implementation
timeframes to achieve the reductions, let
alone ensure they were achieved by
2023. 87 FR 9484, 9494 (Feb. 22, 2022).
The EPA conducted the same inquiry
into other states’ claims regarding their
existing or proposed state laws or other
emissions reductions claimed in their
SIP submissions. See, e.g., 87 FR 9472–
73 (evaluating claims regarding
emissions reductions anticipated under
Maryland’s state law); 87 FR 9854
(evaluating claims regarding emissions
reductions anticipated under Illinois’
state law). Consistent with its treatment
of the other upwind states included in
this action, the EPA in a separate action
disapproved New York’s good neighbor
SIP submission for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS because its arguments did not
demonstrate that it had fully prohibited
emissions significantly contributing to
out of state nonattainment or
maintenance problems.
Commenter attempts to contrast this
evaluation with what it believes is the
EPA’s permissive attitude toward delays
by downwind states, specifically
claiming that ‘‘certain nonattainment
areas have delayed implementation of
nonattainment controls until 2025 and
beyond.’’ This apparently references
New York’s simple cycle and
regenerative combustion turbines
(SCCT) controls, which commenter
cited elsewhere in its comments. New
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York’s SCCT controls were not included
by New York in its good neighbor SIP
submission, nor was the prior approval
of the SCCT controls reexamined by the
EPA or reopened for consideration by
the Agency in this action. Although not
part of this rulemaking, the EPA notes
that the SCCT controls were approved
by the EPA as a SIP strengthening
measure and not to satisfy any specific
planning requirements for the 2015
ozone NAAQS under CAA section 182.
86 FR 43956, 43958 (Aug. 11, 2021). The
SCCT controls submitted to the EPA
were already a state rule, and the only
effect under the CAA of the EPA
approving them into New York’s SIP
was to make them federally enforceable.
86 FR 43956, 43959 (Aug. 11, 2021). In
other words, approval of the SCCT
controls did not relieve New York of its
nonattainment planning obligations for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The EPA notes that the New YorkNorthern New Jersey-Long Island, NYNJ-CT nonattainment area was initially
designated as Moderate nonattainment.
83 FR 25776 (June 4, 2018). Pursuant to
this designation, New York was
required to submit a RACT SIP
submission and an attainment
demonstration no later than 24 months
and 36 months, respectively, after the
effective date of the Moderate
designation. CAA section 182; 40 CFR
51.1308(a), 51.1312(a)(2). New York
submitted a RACT SIP for the 2015
ozone standards on January 29, 2021,128
and the EPA is currently evaluating that
submission. New York has not yet
submitted its attainment demonstration,
which was due August 3, 2021. Further,
the New York-Northern New JerseyLong Island, NY-NJ-CT nonattainment
area remains subject to the Moderate
nonattainment area date of August 3,
2024. If it fails to attain the 2015 ozone
NAAQS by August 3, 2024, it will be
reclassified to Serious nonattainment,
resulting in additional requirements on
the New York nonattainment area.
In any case, regardless of the status of
New York’s and the EPA’s efforts in
relation to the New York-Northern New
Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT
nonattainment area (which are outside
the scope of this action), the EPA’s
evaluation of 2023 as the relevant
analytic year in assessing New York’s
and other states’ good neighbor
obligations is consistent with the
statutory framework and court decisions
calling on the agency to align these
obligations with the downwind areas’
statutory attainment schedule. The EPA
128 https://edap.epa.gov/public/extensions/S4S_
Public_Dashboard_2/S4S_Public_Dashboard_
2.html.
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further responds to these comments in
the RTC document in the docket.
The remainder of this section
includes information on (1) the air
quality modeling platform used in
support of the final rule with a focus on
the base year and future year base case
emissions inventories, (2) the method
for projecting design values in 2023 and
2026, and (3) the approach for
calculating ozone contributions from
upwind states. The Agency also
provides the design values for
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors and the largest predicted
downwind contributions in 2023 and
2026 from each state. The 2016 base
period and 2023 and 2026 projected
design values and contributions for all
ozone monitoring sites are provided in
the docket for this rule. The ‘‘Air
Quality Modeling Technical Support
Document for the Federal Good
Neighbor Plan for the 2015 Ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
Final Rulemaking’’ (Mar. 2023),
hereinafter referred to as the Air Quality
Modeling Final Rule TSD, in the docket
for this final rule contains more detailed
information on the air quality modeling
aspects of this rule.
B. Overview of Air Quality Modeling
Platform
The EPA used version 3 of the 2016based modeling platform (i.e., 2016v3)
for the air quality modeling for this final
rule. This modeling platform includes
2016 base year emissions from
anthropogenic and natural sources and
anthropogenic emissions projections for
2023 and 2026. The emissions data
contained in this platform represent an
update to the 2016 version 2 inventories
used for the proposal modeling.
The air quality modeling for this final
rule was performed for a modeling
region (i.e., modeling domain) that
covers the contiguous 48 states using a
horizontal resolution of 12 x 12 km. The
EPA used the CAMx version 7.10 for air
quality modeling which is the same
model that EPA used for the proposed
rule air quality modeling.129 Additional
information on the 2016-based air
quality modeling platform can be found
in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule
TSD.
Comment: Commenters noted that the
2016 base year summer maximum daily
average 8-hour (MDA8) ozone
predictions from the proposal modeling
were biased low compared to the
corresponding measured concentrations
in certain locations. In this regard,
commenters said that model
129 Ramboll Environment and Health, January
2021, https://www.camx.com.
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performance statistics for a number of
monitoring sites, particularly those in
portions of the West and in the area
around Lake Michigan, were outside the
range of published performance criteria
for normalized mean bias (NMB) and
normalized mean error (NME) of less
than ±15 percent and less than 25
percent, respectively (Emory, et al.,
2017).130 The commenters said EPA
must investigate the factors contributing
to low bias and make necessary
corrections to improve model
performance in the final rule modeling.
Some commenters said that EPA should
include NOX emissions from lightning
strikes and assess the treatment of other
background sources of ozone to improve
model performance for the final rule.
Additional information on the
comments on model performance can be
found in the RTC document for this
final rule.
Response: In response to these
comments EPA examined the temporal
and spatial characteristics of model
under prediction to investigate the
possible causes of under prediction of
MDA8 ozone concentrations in different
regions of the U.S. in the proposal
modeling. EPA’s analysis indicates that
the under prediction was most extensive
during May and June with less bias
during July and August in most regions
of the U.S. For example, in the Upper
Midwest region model under prediction
was larger in May and June compared to
July through September. Specifically, in
the proposal modeling, the normalized
mean bias for days with measured
concentrations ≥60 ppb improved from
a 21.4 percent under prediction for May
and June to a 12.6 percent under
prediction in the period July through
September. As described in the Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD, the
seasonal pattern in bias in the Upper
Midwest region improves somewhat
gradually with time from the middle of
May to the latter part of June. In view
of the seasonal pattern in bias in the
Upper Midwest and in other regions of
the U.S., EPA focused its investigation
of model performance on model inputs
that, by their nature, have the largest
temporal variation within the ozone
season. These inputs include emissions
from biogenic sources and lightning
NOX, and contributions from transport
of international anthropogenic
emissions and natural sources into the
U.S. Both biogenic and lightning NOX
130 Christopher Emery, Zhen Liu, Armistead G.
Russell, M. Talat Odman, Greg Yarwood & Naresh
Kumar (2017) Recommendations on statistics and
benchmarks to assess photochemical model
performance, Journal of the Air & Waste
Management Association, 67:5, 582–598, DOI:
10.1080/10962247.1265027.
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emissions in the U.S. dramatically
increase from spring to summer.131 132 In
contrast, ozone transported into the U.S.
from international anthropogenic and
natural sources peaks during the period
March through June, with lower
contributions during July through
September.133 134 To investigate the
impacts of these sources, EPA
conducted sensitivity model runs which
focused on the effects on model
performance of adding NOX emissions
from lightning strikes, updating
biogenic emissions, and using an
alternative approach for quantifying
transport of ozone and precursor
pollutants into the U.S. from
international anthropogenic and natural
sources. The development of lightning
NOX emissions and the updates to
biogenic emissions, are described in
section IV.C of this document. In the
proposal modeling the amount of
transport from international
anthropogenic and natural sources was
based on a simulation of the
hemispheric version of the Community
Multi-scale Air Quality Model (H–
CMAQ) for 2016.135 The outputs from
this hemispheric modeling were then
used to provide boundary conditions for
national scale air quality modeling at
proposal.136 Overall, H–CMAQ tends to
131 Guenther, A.B., 1997. Seasonal and spatial
variations in natural volatile organic compound
emissions. Ecol. Appl. 7, 34–45. https://doi.org/
10.1890/10510761(1997)007[0034:SASVIN]2.0.CO;2. Guenther,
A., Hewitt, C.N., Erickson, D., Fall, R.
132 Kang D, Mathur R, Pouliot GA, Gilliam RC,
Wong DC. Significant ground-level ozone attributed
to lightning-induced nitrogen oxides during
summertime over the Mountain West States. NPJ
Clim Atmos Sci. 2020 Jan 30;3:6. doi: 10.1038/
s41612–020–0108–2. PMID: 32181370; PMCID:
PMC7075249.
133 Jaffe DA, Cooper OR, Fiore AM, Henderson
BH, Tonnesen GS, Russell AG, Henze DK, Langford
AO, Lin M, Moore T. Scientific assessment of
background ozone over the U.S.: Implications for air
quality management. Elementa (Wash DC).
2018;6(1):56. doi: 10.1525/elementa.309. PMID:
30364819; PMCID: PMC6198683.
134 Henderson, B.H., P. Dolwick, C. Jang, A., Eyth,
J. Vukovich, R. Mathur, C. Hogrefe, N. Possiel, G.
Pouliot, B. Timin, K.W. Appel, 2019. Global
Sources of North American Ozone. Presented at the
18th Annual Conference of the UNC Institute for the
Environment Community Modeling and Analysis
System (CMAS) Center, October 21–23, 2019.
135 Mathur, R., Gilliam, R., Bullock, O.R., Roselle,
S., Pleim, J., Wong, D., Binkowski, F., and 1 Streets,
D.: Extending the applicability of the community
multiscale air quality model to 2 hemispheric
scales: motivation, challenges, and progress. In:
Steyn DG, Trini S (eds) Air 3 pollution modeling
and its applications, XXI. Springer, Dordrecht, pp
175–179, 2012.
136 Boundary conditions are the concentrations of
pollutants along the north, east, south, and west
boundaries of the air quality modeling domain.
Boundary conditions vary in space and time and are
typically obtained from predictions of global or
hemispheric models. Information on how boundary
conditions were developed for the final rule
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under-predict daytime ozone
concentrations at rural and remote
monitoring sites across the U.S. during
the spring of 2016 whereas the
predictions from the GEOS-Chem global
model 137 were generally less biased.138
During the summer of 2016 both models
showed varying degrees of over
prediction with GEOS-Chem showing
somewhat greater over-prediction,
compared to H–CMAQ. In view of those
results, EPA examined the impacts of
using GEOS-Chem as an alternative to
H–CMAQ for providing boundary
conditions for the final rule modeling.
For the lightning NOX, biogenics, and
GEOS-Chem sensitivity runs, EPA reran
the proposal modeling using each of
these inputs, individually. Results from
these sensitivity runs indicate that each
of the three updates provides an
improvement in model performance.
However, by far the greatest
improvement in model performance is
attributable to the use of GEOS-Chem. In
view of these results EPA has included
lightning NOX emissions, updated
biogenic emissions, and international
transport from GEOS-Chem in the final
rule air quality modeling. Details on the
results of the individual sensitivity runs
can be found in the Air Quality
Modeling Final Rule TSD. For the air
quality modeling supporting this final
action, model performance based on
days in 2016 with measured MDA8
ozone ≥60 ppb is considerably improved
(i.e., less bias and error) compared to the
proposal modeling in nearly all regions
of the U.S. For example, in the Upper
Midwest, which includes monitoring
sites along Lake Michigan, the
normalized mean bias improved from a
19 percent under prediction to a 6.9
percent under prediction and in the
Southwest region, which includes
monitoring sites in Denver and Salt
Lake City, normalized mean bias
improved from a 13.6 percent under
prediction to a 4.8 percent under
prediction.139 In all regions, the
modeling can be found in the Air Quality Modeling
Final Rule TSD.
137 I. Bey, D.J. Jacob, R.M. Yantosca, J.A. Logan,
B.D. Field, A.M. Fiore, Q. Li, H.Y. Liu, L.J. Mickley,
M.G. Schultz. Global modeling of tropospheric
chemistry with assimilated meteorology: model
description and evaluation. J. Geophys. Res.
Atmos., 106 (2001), pp. 23073–23095, 10.1029/
2001jd000807.
138 Henderson, B.H., P. Dolwick, C. Jang, A., Eyth,
J. Vukovich, R. Mathur, C. Hogrefe, G., N. Possiel,
B. Timin, K.W. Appel, 2022. Meteorological and
Emission Sensitivity of Hemispheric Ozone and
PM2.5. Presented at the 21st Annual Conference of
the UNC Institute for the Environment Community
Modeling and Analysis System (CMAS) Center,
October 17–19, 2022.
139 A comparison of model performance from the
proposal modeling to the final modeling for
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normalized mean bias and normalized
mean error statistics for high ozone days
based on the final rule modeling are
within the range of performance criteria
benchmarks (i.e., < ±15 percent for
normalized mean bias and <25 percent
for normalized mean error).140
Additional information on model
performance is provided in the Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD. In
summary, EPA included emissions of
lightning NOX, as requested by
commenters, and investigated and
addressed concerns about model
performance for the final rule modeling.
C. Emissions Inventories
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The EPA developed emissions
inventories to support air quality
modeling for this final rule, including
emissions estimates for EGUs, non-EGU
point sources (i.e., stationary point
sources), stationary nonpoint sources,
onroad mobile sources, nonroad mobile
sources, other mobile sources, wildfires,
prescribed fires, and biogenic emissions
that are not the direct result of human
activities. The EPA’s air quality
modeling relies on this comprehensive
set of emissions inventories because
emissions from multiple source
categories are needed to model ambient
air quality and to facilitate comparison
of model outputs with ambient
measurements.
Prior to air quality modeling, the
emissions inventories were processed
into a format that is appropriate for the
air quality model to use. To prepare the
emissions inventories for air quality
modeling, the EPA processed the
emissions inventories using the Sparse
Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions
(SMOKE) Modeling System version 4.9
to produce the gridded, hourly,
speciated, model-ready emissions for
input to the air quality model.
Additional information on the
development of the emissions
inventories and on data sets used during
the emissions modeling process are
provided in the document titled,
‘‘Technical Support Document (TSD):
Preparation of Emissions Inventories for
the 2016v3 North American Emissions
Modeling Platform’’ (Jan. 2023),
hereafter known as the 2016v3
individual monitoring sites can be found in the
docket for this final rule.
140 Christopher Emery, Zhen Liu, Armistead G.
Russell, M. Talat Odman, Greg Yarwood & Naresh
Kumar (2017) Recommendations on statistics and
benchmarks to assess photochemical model
performance, Journal of the Air & Waste
Management Association, 67:5, 582–598, DOI:
10.1080/10962247.1265027.
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Emissions Modeling TSD. This TSD is
available in the docket for this rule.141
1. Foundation Emissions Inventory Data
Sets
The 2016v3 emissions platform is
comprised of data from various sources
including data developed using models,
methods, and source datasets that
became available in calendar years 2020
through 2022, in addition to data
retained from the Inventory
Collaborative 2016 version 1 (2016v1)
Emissions Modeling Platform, released
in October 2019. The 2016v1 platform
was developed through a national
collaborative effort between the EPA
and state and local agencies along with
MJOs. The 2016v2 platform used to
support the proposed action included
updated data from the 2017 NEI along
with updates to models and methods as
compared to 2016v1. The 2016v3
platform includes updates to the 2016v2
platform implemented in response to
comments along with other updates to
the 2016v2 platform such as corrections
and the incorporation of updated data
sources that became available prior to
the 2016v3 inventories being developed.
Several commenters noted that the
2016v2 platform did not include NOX
emissions that resulted from lightning
strikes. To address this, lightning NOX
emissions were computed and included
in the 2016v3 platform.
For this final rule, the EPA developed
emissions inventories for the base year
of 2016 and the projected years of 2023
and 2026. The 2023 and 2026
inventories represent changes in activity
data and of predicted emissions
reductions from on-the-books actions,
planned emissions control installations,
and promulgated Federal measures that
affect anthropogenic emissions.142 The
2016 emissions inventories for the U.S.
primarily include data derived from the
2017 National Emissions Inventory
(2017 NEI) 143 and data specific to the
year of 2016. The following sections
provide an overview of the construct of
the 2016v3 emissions and projections.
The fire emissions were unchanged
between the 2016v2 and 2016v3
emissions platforms. For the 2016v3
platform, the biogenic emissions were
141 See 2016v3 Emissions Modeling TSD, also
available at https://www.epa.gov/air-emissionsmodeling/2016v3-platform.
142 Biogenic emissions and emissions from
wildfires and prescribed fires were held constant
between 2016 and the future years because (1) these
emissions are tied to the 2016 meteorological
conditions and (2) the focus of this rule is on the
contribution from anthropogenic emissions to
projected ozone nonattainment and maintenance.
143 https://www.epa.gov/air-emissionsinventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-neitechnical-support-document-tsd.
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updated to use the latest available
versions of the Biogenic Emissions
Inventory System and associated land
use data to help address comments
related to a degradation in model
performance in the 2016v2 platform as
compared to the 2016v1 platform.
Details on the construction of the
inventories are available in the 2016v3
Emissions Modeling TSD. Details on
how the EPA responded to comments
related to emissions inventories are
available in the RTC document for this
rule.
2. Development of Emissions
Inventories for EGUs
a. EGU Emissions Inventories
Supporting This Final Rule
Development of emissions inventories
for annual NOX and SO2 emissions for
EGUs in the 2016 base year inventory
are based primarily on data from
continuous emissions monitoring
systems (CEMS) and other monitoring
systems allowed for use by qualifying
units under 40 CFR part 75, with other
EGU pollutants estimated using
emissions factors and annual heat input
data reported to the EPA. For EGUs not
reporting under Part 75, the EPA used
data submitted to the NEI by the state,
local, and tribal agencies. The Air
Emissions Reporting Rule (80 FR 8787;
February 19, 2015), requires that Type A
point sources large enough to meet or
exceed specific thresholds for emissions
be reported to the EPA every year, while
the smaller Type B point sources must
only be reported to EPA every 3 years.
Emissions data for EGUs that did not
have data submitted to the NEI specific
to the year 2016 were filled in with data
from the 2017 NEI. For more
information on the details of how the
2016 EGU emissions were developed
and prepared for air quality modeling,
see the 2016v3 Emissions Modeling
TSD.
The EPA projected 2023 and 2026
baseline EGU emissions using the
version 6—Updated Summer 2021
Reference Case of the Integrated
Planning Model (IPM). IPM, developed
by ICF Consulting, is a state-of-the-art,
peer-reviewed, multi-regional, dynamic,
deterministic linear programming model
of the contiguous U.S. electric power
sector. It provides forecasts of least cost
capacity expansion, electricity dispatch,
and emissions control strategies while
meeting energy demand and
environmental, transmission, dispatch,
and reliability constraints. The EPA has
used IPM for over two decades,
including all prior implemented CSAPR
rulemakings, to better understand power
sector behavior under future business-
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as-usual conditions and to evaluate the
economic and emissions impacts of
prospective environmental policies. The
model is designed to reflect electricity
markets as accurately as possible. The
EPA uses the best available information
from utilities, industry experts, gas and
coal market experts, financial
institutions, and government statistics
as the basis for the detailed power sector
modeling in IPM. The model
documentation provides additional
information on the assumptions
discussed here as well as all other
model assumptions and inputs.144 The
EPA relied on the same model platform
at final as it did at proposal, but made
substantial updates to reflect public
comments on near-term fossil fuel
market price volatility and updated fleet
information reflecting Summer 2022
U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA)
860 data, unit-level comments, and
additional updates to the National
Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS)
inventory.
The IPM version 6—Updated Summer
2021 Reference Case incorporated recent
updates through the Summer of 2022 to
account for updated Federal and state
environmental regulations (including
Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS),
Clean Energy Standards (CES) and other
state mandates), fleet changes
(committed EGU retirements and new
builds), electricity demand, technology
cost and performance assumptions from
recent data (for renewables adopting
from National Renewable Energy Lab
(NREL’s) Annual Technology Baseline
2020 and for fossil sources from EIA’s
Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2020.
Natural gas and coal price projections
reflect data developed in Fall 2020 but
updated in summer of 2022 to capture
near-term price volatility and current
market conditions. The inventory of
EGUs provided as an input to the model
was the NEEDS fall 2022 version and is
available on EPA’s website.145 This
version of NEEDS reflects announced
retirements and under-construction new
builds known as of early summer 2022.
This projected base case accounts for
the effects of the finalized Mercury and
Air Toxics Standards rule, CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR
Update, NSR enforcement settlements,
the final ELG Rule, CCR Rule, and other
on-the-books Federal and state rules
144 Detailed information and documentation of
EPA’s Base Case, including all the underlying
assumptions, data sources, and architecture
parameters can be found on EPA’s website at:
https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/epas-power-sectormodeling-platform-v6-using-ipm-summer-2021reference-case.
145 Available at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/
national-electric-energy-data-system-needs-v6.
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(including renewable energy tax credit
extensions from the Consolidated
Appropriations Act of 2021) through
early 2021 impacting SO2, NOX, directly
emitted particulate matter, CO2, and
power plant operations. It also includes
final actions the EPA has taken to
implement the Regional Haze Rule and
best available retrofit technology
(BART) requirements. Documentation of
IPM version 6 and NEEDS, along with
updates, is in Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–
OAR–2021–0668 and available online at
https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/powersector-modeling. IPM has projected
output years for 2023 and 2025. IPM
year 2025 outputs were adjusted for
known retirements to be reflective of
year 2026, and IPM year 2030 outputs
were used for the year 2032 as is
specified by the mapping of IPM output
years to specific years.
Additional 2023 through 2026 EGU
emissions baseline levels were
developed through engineering
analytics as an alternative approach that
did not involve IPM. The EPA
developed this inventory for use in Step
3 of this final rule, where it determines
emissions reduction potential and
corresponding state-level emissions
budgets. IPM includes optimization and
perfect foresight in solving for least cost
dispatch. Given that this final rule will
likely become effective immediately
prior to the start of the 2023 ozone
season, the EPA adopted a similar
approach to the CSAPR Update and the
Revised CSAPR Update where it
utilized historical data and an
engineering analytics approach in Step
3 to avoid overstating optimization and
dispatch decisions in state-emissions
budget quantification that may not be
possible in a short time frame. The EPA
does this by starting with unit-level
reported data and only making
adjustments to reflect known baseline
changes such as planned retirements
and new builds (for the base case
scenarios) and also identified mitigation
strategies for determining state
emissions budgets. In both the CSAPR
Update and in this rule at Step 3, the
EPA complemented that projected IPM
EGU outlook with an historical (e.g.,
engineering analytics) perspective based
on historical data that only factors in
known changes to the fleet. This 2023
engineering analytics data set is
described in more detail in the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD and corresponding Appendix A:
State Emissions Budgets Calculations
and Underlying Data. The Engineering
Analysis used in Step 3 is also
discussed further in section VII.B of this
document.
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Both IPM and the Engineering
Analytics tools are valuable for
estimating future EGU emissions and
examining the cone of uncertainty
around any future sector-level inventory
estimate. A key difference between the
two tools is that IPM reflects both
announced and projected changes in
fleet operation, whereas the Engineering
Analytics tool only reflects announced
changes. By not including projected
regional changes that are anticipated in
response to market forces and fleet
trends, the Engineering Analysis
deliberately creates future estimates of
the power sector where state estimates
are limited to known changes.
Throughout all of the CSAPR rules to
date, and prior interstate transport
actions, the EPA has used IPM at Steps
1 and 2 as it is best suited for projecting
emissions in an airshed, at projecting
emissions for time horizons more than
a few years out (for which changes
would not yet be announced and thus
projecting changes is critical), and for
scenarios where the assumed change in
emissions is not being codified into a
state emissions reduction requirement.
Using IPM at Steps 1 and 2 helps the
EPA avoid overstating the current
analytic year receptor values (Step 1)
and future year linkages (Step 2) by
reflecting reductions anticipated to
occur within the airshed in the relevant
timeframe.
Engineering analytics has been a
useful tool for Step 3 state-level
emissions reduction estimates in CSAPR
rulemaking, because at that step the
EPA is dealing with more geographic
granularity (state-level as opposed to
regional air shed), more near-term (as
opposed to medium-term) assessments,
and scenarios where reduction estimates
are codified into regulatory
requirements. Using the Engineering
Analytics tool at this step ensures that
the EPA is not codifying into the base
case, and consequently into state
emissions budgets, changes in the
power sector that are merely modeled to
occur rather than announced by realworld actors.
Finally, both in the Revised CSAPR
Update and in this rule, the EPA was
able to use the Air Quality Assessment
Tool to determine that regardless of
which EGU inventory is used, the 2023
geography of the program is not
impacted. In other words, regardless of
whether a stakeholder takes a more
comprehensive view of the EGU future
(IPM) or one limited to current data and
known changes (Engineering Analysis),
the states that are linked to receptors at
Steps 1 and 2 would be the same. This
finding is consistent with the
observation that EGUs are now less than
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10 percent of the total ozone-season
NOX inventory and the degree of nearterm difference between the IPM and
Engineering Analytic regional
projections is relatively small on the
regional level. The EPA continues to
believe that IPM is best suited for Step
1 and Step 2, and engineering analytics
is best suited for Step 3 efforts in this
rulemaking. The Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD contains
data on 2023 and 2026 AQ impacts of
each dataset.
Comment: Some commenters express
concern that using IPM for Step 1 and
Step 2 captures generation shifting
across state lines, which exceeds the
EPA’s authority. Moreover, the
commenters suggest that the resulting
proposed baseline EGU inventory may
understate emissions levels as it projects
economic retirements that are not yet
announced or firm. Other commenters
more generally allege that the EPA is
using different modeling tools at
different steps in its analysis, and this
introduces confusion or uncertainty into
the basis for the EPA’s regulatory
conclusions.
Response: The EPA believes the first
aspect of this comment, in regards to its
focus on generation shifting, is
misguided in several ways. For Step 1
and Step 2, the EPA models no
incremental generation shifting
attributable to the implementation of an
emissions control policy at Step 3.
Rather, any generation patterns are
merely a reflection of the model’s
projection of how regional load
requirements will be met with the
generation sources serving that region in
the baseline. The EPA is not modeling
any additional generation shifting, but
merely capturing the expected
generation dispatch under anticipated
baseline market conditions. Electricity
generated in one state regularly is
transmitted across state boundaries and
is used to serve load in other states; IPM
is not incentivizing or requiring any
additional generation transfer across
state lines in this scenario but is merely
projecting the pattern of this behavior in
the future. Moreover, as noted
previously, the EPA affirms its
geographic findings at Step 2 (states
contributing over 1 percent of the
NAAQS to a downwind receptor) using
historical data (engineering analysis) in
a sensitivity analysis. These historical
data reflect the actual generation
patterns observed to meet regional load.
Therefore, any suggestion by the
commenter that the EPA’s projected
view of baseline grid dispatch is
unreasonable, is mooted by the fact that
the use of historical reported generation
patterns produces the same result.
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Additionally, at the time of the
proposal’s analysis, the 2023 ozone
season was still nearly two years away.
Therefore, it was appropriate for EPA’s
modeling to project economic
retirements as those retirements—which
are regularly occurring—are often not
firm or announced two years in
advance. However, for this final rule,
the 2023 analytic year was close enough
to the period in which EPA was
conducting its analysis that such
retirements would likely be announced.
Therefore, the EPA was able to
incorporate those announced and firm
retirements to occur in the 2023 year.
Further, in recognition of this very near
timeframe, we deactivated IPM’s ability
to project additional economic
retirements for the 2023 year (reflecting
the notion that any retirements
occurring by 2023 would be known at
this point). This adjustment further
accommodates the commenters’ concern
that the baseline overstates generation
shifting (driven by retirements) in the
near term, and consequently understates
emissions levels. Finally, with respect
to comments that the EPA is using
different modeling tools at different
steps in the framework, we previously
explained why these techniques are
appropriate for the purposes at each
step of the analysis, and they are not
incompatible nor do they produce
results so different as to call into
question their reliability or the bases for
our regulatory determinations (EPA
notes that the nationwide projected
ozone season total NOX emissions vary
by less than 1 percent in the 2023
analytic year). Nonetheless, we also
observe that the effect of using
engineering analytics to inform analysis
at Steps 1 and 2 would tend to produce
higher assumed emissions from EGUs in
the baseline than IPM would project in
2026 and beyond and therefore only
strengthen and further affirm the Step 1
and Step 2 geographic findings. EPA’s
use of different tools to project EGU
scenarios is not inconsistent, but rather
it is carefully explained as a deliberate
measure taken to preserve—not
introduce—consistency across each of
the Steps in the 4-step framework. By
using IPM at Step 1 and 2, EPA is
selecting the more conservative
approach for identifying the degree of
nonattainment and geography of states
contributing above 1 percent. By using
Engineering Analytics at Step 3, EPA is
selecting the more conservative value to
codify into state-level budgets.
b. Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act
on EGU Emissions
The EGU modeling used to construct
the EGU emissions inventories used to
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inform the modeling projections for
2023 and 2026 was conducted prior to
the passage of the Inflation Reduction
Act (IRA), Public Law 117–169. The
EPA did not have time to incorporate
updated EGU projections reflecting the
passage of the IRA into the primary air
quality modeling for this final rule.
However, the EPA was able to perform
a sensitivity analysis reflecting the IRA
in its EGU NOX emissions inventories.
The results from this scenario were run
through AQAT and demonstrated that
the status of states identified as linked
at the 1 percent of NAAQS contribution
threshold (based on the modeling and
air quality analysis described in this
section) would not change regardless of
which inventory (with or without IRA)
is used. This sensitivity analysis is
presented in the Regulatory Impact
Analysis accompanying this rule, and
that discussion provides additional
detail on the emissions consequences of
including the IRA in a baseline EGU
inventory. The air quality impact of
including the IRA in EPA’s emissions
inventories and in its Step 3 scenarios
is discussed in Appendix K of the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD.
The results of this analysis are not
surprising and accord with what is
generally understood to be the overall
effect of the IRA over the short to long
term. While the IRA is anticipated to
have a potentially dramatic effect on
reducing both GHG and conventional
pollutant emissions from the power
sector, it is likely to have a more
substantial impact later in the forecast
period (i.e., beyond the attainment
deadlines by which the emissions
reductions under this final rule must
occur). This timing reflects a realistic
assessment of utilities’, regulators’, and
transmission authorities’ planning
requirements associated with the
addition of substantial new renewable
and storage capacity to the grid, as well
as the time needed to integrate that
capacity and retire existing capacity.
Additionally, the IRA incentives span a
longer time period (for example, certain
tax incentives for clean energy sources
are available until the later of 2032 or
the year in which power sector
emissions are 75 percent below 2022
levels) and therefore there is no IRArelated deadline to build cleaner
generation by 2026. Recent analysis by
the Congressional Budget Office
supports the finding that the majority of
power sector EGU emissions reductions
expected from the IRA occur well after
the 2023 and 2026 analytic years
relevant to the attainment dates and this
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rulemaking.146 While the report focuses
on CO2 rather than NOX, the drivers of
the emissions reductions (primarily
increased zero-emitting generation)
would generally have a downward
impact on both pollutants.
We note that important uncertainties
remain at this time in the
implementation of the IRA that further
counsel against over-assuming shortterm emissions reductions for purposes
of this rule. The legislation provides
economic incentives for shifting to
cleaner forms of power generation but
does not mandate emissions reductions
through an enforceable regulatory
program. The strength of those
incentives will vary to some extent
depending on other key market factors
(such as the cost of natural gas or
renewable energy technologies).
Further, some incentives, such as tax
credits for carbon capture and storage,
could lead EGUs to remain in operation
longer, which could in turn result in
greater NOX emissions, if those
emissions are not also well controlled.
Nonetheless, while we find that the
passage of the IRA does not affect the
geography of the rule in terms of which
states we identify as linked, the Agency
is confident that the incentives toward
clean technology provided in the IRA
will, in the longer run beyond the 2015
ozone NAAQS attainment deadlines,
facilitate ongoing EGU compliance with
the emissions reduction requirements of
this rule and will reduce costs borne by
EGUs and their customers as the U.S.
power sector transitions. As discussed
in greater detail in section VI.B of this
document, we have made several
adjustments in the final rule to provide
greater flexibility to EGU owners and
operators to integrate this rule’s
requirements with and facilitate the
accelerating transition to an overall
cleaner electricity-generating sector,
which the IRA represents. Despite the
uncertainties inherent in the
implementation of the IRA at this time,
the EPA also has performed a sensitivity
analysis on the final rule to confirm that
our finding of no overcontrol is robust
to a future with the IRA in effect.
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3. Development of Emissions
Inventories for Stationary Industrial
Point Sources
Non-EGU point source emissions are
mostly consistent with those in the
proposal modeling except where they
were updated in response to comments.
Several commenters mentioned that
146 ‘‘Emissions of Carbon Dioxide In the Electric
Power Sector,’’ Congressional Budget Office.
December 2022. Available at https://www.cbo.gov/
publication/58860.
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point source emissions carried forward
from 2014 NEI were not the best
estimates of 2017 emissions. Thus,
emissions sources in 2016v2 that had
been projected from the 2014 NEI in the
proposal were replaced with emissions
based on the 2017 NEI. Point source
emissions submitted to the 2016 NEI or
to the 2016v1 platform development
process specifically for the year 2016
were retained in 2016v3. Other 2016
non-EGU updates in 2016v3 include a
few sources being moved to the EGU
inventory, the addition of some control
efficiency information for the year 2016,
the replacement of most emissions
projected from 2014 NEI with data from
2017 NEI, and the inclusion of point
source data for solvent processes that
had not been included in the 2016v2
non-EGU inventory.
The 2023 and 2026 non-EGU point
source emissions were grown from 2016
to those years using factors based on the
AEO 2022 and reflect emissions
reductions due to known national and
local rules, control programs, plant
closures, consent decrees, and
settlements that could be computed as
reductions to specific units by July
2022.
Aircraft emissions and ground
support equipment at airports are
represented as point sources and are
based on adjustments to emissions in
the January 2021 version of the 2017
NEI. The EPA developed and applied
factors to adjust the 2017 airport
emissions to 2016, 2023 and 2026 based
on activity growth projected by the
Federal Aviation Administration
Terminal Area Forecast 2021 147 data,
the latest available version at the time
the factors were developed. By basing
the factors on the latest available
Terminal Area Forecast that was
released following the most significant
pandemic impacts on the aviation
sector, the reduction and rebound
impacts of the pandemic on aircraft and
ground support equipment were
reflected in the 2023 and 2026 airport
emissions.
Emissions at rail yards were
represented as point sources. The 2016
rail yard emissions are largely
consistent with the 2017 NEI rail yard
emissions. The 2016 and 2023 rail yard
emissions were developed through the
2016v1 Inventory Collaborative process,
with the 2026 emissions interpolated
between the 2023 and 2028 emissions
from 2016v1 rail yard emissions were
interpolated from the 2016 and 2023
emissions. Class I rail yard emissions
were projected based on the AEO freight
147 https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation/
taf/.
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rail energy use growth rate projections
for 2023, and 2026 with the fleet mix
assumed to be constant throughout the
period.
The EPA made multiple updates to
point source oil and gas emissions in
response to comments. For the final
rule, the point source oil and gas
emissions for 2016 were based on the
2016v2 point inventory except that most
2014 NEI-based emissions were
replaced with 2017 NEI emissions.
Additionally, in response to comments,
state-provided emissions equivalent to
those in the 2016v1 platform were used
for Colorado, and some New Mexico
emissions were replaced with data
backcast from 2020 to 2016. To develop
inventories for 2023 and 2026 for the
final rule, the year 2016 oil and gas
point source inventories were first
projected to 2021 values based on actual
historical production data, then those
2021 emissions were projected to 2023
and 2026 using regional projection
factors based on AEO 2022 projections.
This was an update from the proposal
approach that used actual data only
through the year 2019, because 2021
data were not yet available. NOX and
VOC reductions resulting from cobenefits of NSPS for Stationary
Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines (RICE) are reflected, along with
Natural Gas Turbine and Process Heater
NSPS NOX controls and Oil and Gas
NSPS VOC controls. In some cases, year
2019 point source inventory data were
used instead of the projected future year
emissions except for the Western
Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) states
of Colorado, New Mexico, Montana,
Wyoming, Utah, North Dakota, and
South Dakota. The WRAP future year
inventory 148 was used in these WRAP
states in all future years except in New
Mexico where the WRAP base year
emissions were projected using the EIA
historical and AEO forecasted
production data. Estimated impacts
from the New Mexico Administrative
code 20.2.50 149 were also included.
4. Development of Emissions
Inventories for Onroad Mobile Sources
Onroad mobile sources include
exhaust, evaporative, and brake and tire
wear emissions from vehicles that drive
on roads, parked vehicles, and vehicle
refueling. Emissions from vehicles using
regular gasoline, high ethanol gasoline,
diesel fuel, and electric vehicles were
represented, along with buses that used
compressed natural gas. The EPA
148 https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/WRAP_OGWG_
2028_OTB_RevFinalReport_05March2020.pdf.
149 https://www.srca.nm.gov/parts/title20/
20.002.0050.html.
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developed the onroad mobile source
emissions for states other than
California using the EPA’s Motor
Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES).
MOVES3 was released in November
2020 and has been followed by some
minor releases that improved the usage
of the model but that do not have
substantive impacts on the emissions
estimates. For the proposal, MOVES3
was run using inputs provided by state
and local agencies through the 2017 NEI
where available, in combination with
nationally available data sets to develop
a complete inventory. Onroad emissions
were developed based on emissions
factors output from MOVES3 runs for
the year 2016, coupled with activity
data (e.g., vehicle miles traveled and
vehicle populations) representing the
year 2016. The 2016 activity data were
provided by some state and local
agencies through the 2016v1 process,
and the remaining activity data were
derived from those used to develop the
2017 NEI. The onroad emissions were
computed within SMOKE by
multiplying emissions factors developed
using MOVES with the appropriate
activity data. Prior to computing the
final rule emissions, updates to some
onroad inputs were made in response to
comments and to implement
corrections. Onroad mobile source
emissions for California were consistent
with the updated emissions data
provided by the state for the final rule.
The 2023 and 2026 onroad emissions
reflect projected changes to fuel
properties and usage, along with the
impact of the rules included in
MOVES3 for each of those years.
MOVES emissions factors for the years
2023 and 2026 were used. A
comprehensive list of control programs
included for onroad mobile sources is
available in the 2016v3 Emissions
Modeling TSD. Year 2023 and 2026
activity data for onroad mobile sources
were provided by some state and local
agencies, and otherwise were projected
to 2023 and 2026 by first projecting the
2016 activity to year 2019 based on
county level vehicle miles traveled
(VMT) from the Federal Highway
Administration. Because VMT for
onroad mobile sources were
substantially impacted by the pandemic
and took about two years to rebound to
pre-pandemic levels, in the 2016v3
platform no growth in VMT was
implemented from 2019 to. The
estimated 2021 VMT were then grown
from 2021 to 2023 and 2026 using AEO
2022-based factors. Recent updates to
inspection and maintenance programs
in North Carolina and Tennessee were
reflected in the MOVES inputs for the
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final rule modeling. The 2023 and 2026
onroad mobile emissions were
computed within SMOKE by
multiplying the respective emissions
factors developed using MOVES with
the year-specific activity data. Prior to
computing the final rule emissions for
2023, the EPA made updates to some
onroad inputs in response to comments
and to implement corrections.
5. Development of Emissions
Inventories for Commercial Marine
Vessels
The commercial marine vessel (CMV)
emissions in the 2016 base case
emissions inventory for this rule were
based on those in the 2017 NEI. Factors
were applied to adjust the 2017 NEI
emissions backward to represent
emissions for the year 2016. The CMV
emissions reflect reductions associated
with the Emissions Control Area
proposal to the International Maritime
Organization control strategy (EPA–
420–F–10–041, August 2010);
reductions of NOX, VOC, and CO
emissions for new category 3 (C3)
engines that went into effect in 2011;
and fuel sulfur limits that went into
effect prior to 2016. The cumulative
impacts of these rules through 2023 and
2026 were incorporated into the
projected emissions for CMV sources.
The CMV emissions were split into
emissions inventories from the larger C3
engines, and those from the smaller
category 1 and 2 (C1C2) engines. CMV
emissions in California are based on
emissions provided by the state. The
CMV emissions are consistent with the
emissions for the 2016v1 platform
updated CMV emissions released by
February 2020 although they include
projected emissions for the years of
2023 and 2026 instead of 2023 and
2028. In addition, in response to
comments, the EPA implemented an
improved process for spatial allocating
CMV emissions along state and county
boundaries.
6. Development of Emissions
Inventories for Other Nonroad Mobile
Sources
The EPA developed nonroad mobile
source emissions inventories (other than
CMV, locomotive, and aircraft
emissions) for 2016, 2023, and 2026
from monthly, county, and process level
emissions output from MOVES3. Types
of nonroad equipment include
recreational vehicles, pleasure craft, and
construction, agricultural, mining, and
lawn and garden equipment. Statesubmitted emissions data for nonroad
sources were used for California. The
nonroad emissions for the final rule
were unchanged from those at the
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proposal. The nonroad mobile
emissions control programs include
reductions to locomotives, diesel
engines, and recreational marine
engines, along with standards for fuel
sulfur content and evaporative
emissions. A comprehensive list of
control programs included for mobile
sources is available in the 2016v3
Emissions Modeling TSD.
Line haul locomotives are also
considered a type of nonroad mobile
source but the emissions inventories for
locomotives were not developed using
MOVES3. Year 2016 locomotive
emissions were developed through the
2016v1 collaborative process and the
year 2016 emissions are mostly
consistent with those in the 2017 NEI.
More information on the development
of the Class I, Class II and III, and
commuter rail line haul locomotive
emissions is available in the 2016v3
Emissions Modeling TSD. The projected
locomotive emissions for 2023 and 2026
were developed by applying factors to
the 2016 emissions using activity data
based on AEO freight rail energy use
growth rate projections along with
emissions rates adjusted to account for
recent historical trends. The emission
factors used for NOX, PM10 and VOC for
line haul locomotives in the analytic
years were derived from trend lines
based on historic line-haul emission
factors from the period of 2007 through
2017 and extrapolated to 2023 and 2026.
7. Development of Emissions
Inventories for Nonpoint Sources
For stationary nonpoint sources, some
emissions in the 2016 base case
emissions inventory come directly from
the 2017 NEI, others were adjusted from
the 2017 NEI to represent 2016 levels,
and the remaining emissions including
those from oil and gas, fertilizer, and
solvents were computed specifically to
represent 2016. Stationary nonpoint
sources include evaporative sources,
consumer products, fuel combustion
that is not captured by point sources,
agricultural livestock, agricultural
fertilizer, residential wood combustion,
fugitive dust, and oil and gas sources.
The emissions sources derived from the
2017 NEI include agricultural livestock,
fugitive dust, residential wood
combustion, waste disposal (including
composting), bulk gasoline terminals,
and miscellaneous non-industrial
sources such as cremation, hospitals,
lamp breakage, and automotive repair
shops. A recent method to compute
solvent VOC emissions was used.150
Where comments were provided
about projected control measures or
150 https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5079-2021.
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changes in nonpoint source emissions,
those inputs were first reviewed by the
EPA. Those found to be based on
reasonable data for affected emissions
sources were incorporated into the
projected inventories for 2023 and 2026
to the extent possible. Where possible,
projection factors based on the AEO
used data from AEO 2022, the most
recent AEO at the time available at the
time the inventories were developed.
Federal regulations that impact the
nonpoint sources were reflected in the
inventories. Adjustments for state fuel
sulfur content rules for fuel oil in the
Northeast were included along with
solvent controls applicable within the
ozone transport region. Details are
available in the 2016v3 Emissions
Modeling TSD.
Nonpoint oil and gas emissions
inventories for many states were
developed based on outputs from the
2017 NEI version of the EPA Oil and
Gas Tool using activity data for year
2016. Production-related emissions data
from the 2017 NEI were used for
Oklahoma, 2016v1 emissions were used
for Colorado and for Texas productionrelated sources to response to
comments. Data for production-related
nonpoint oil and gas emissions in the
states of Colorado, Montana, New
Mexico, North Dakota, South Dakota,
Utah, and Wyoming were obtained from
the WRAP baseline inventory.151 A
California Air Resources Boardprovided inventory was used for 2016
oil and gas emissions in California.
Nonpoint oil and gas inventories for
2023 and 2026 were developed by first
projecting the 2016 oil and gas
inventories to 2021 values based on
actual production data. Next, those 2021
emissions were projected to 2023 and
2026 using regional projection factors by
product type based on AEO 2022
projections. A 2017–2019 average
inventory was used for oil and natural
gas exploration emissions in 2023 and
2026 except for California and in the
WRAP states in which data from the
WRAP future year inventory 152 were
used. NOX and VOC reductions that are
co-benefits to the NSPS for RICE are
reflected, along with Natural Gas
Turbines and Process Heaters NSPS
NOX controls and NSPS Oil and Gas
VOC controls. The WRAP future year
inventory was used for oil and natural
gas production sources in 2023 and
2026 except in New Mexico where the
WRAP Base year emissions were
projected using the EIA historical and
151 https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/WRAP_OGWG_
Report_Baseline_17Sep2019.pdf.
152 https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/WRAP_OGWG_
2028_OTB_RevFinalReport_05March2020.pdf.
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AEO forecasted production data.
Estimated impacts from the New Mexico
Administrative Code 20.2.50 were
included.
D. Air Quality Modeling To Identify
Nonattainment and Maintenance
Receptors
In this section, the Agency describes
the air quality modeling and analyses
performed in Step 1 to identify locations
where the Agency expects there to be
nonattainment or maintenance receptors
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS in the 2023
and 2026 analytic years. Where the
EPA’s analysis shows that an area or site
does not fall under the definition of a
nonattainment or maintenance receptor
in these analytic years, that site is
excluded from further analysis under
this rule.
In the proposed rule, the EPA applied
the same approach used in the CSAPR
Update and the Revised CSAPR Update
to identify nonattainment and
maintenance receptors for the 2008
ozone NAAQS.153 See 86 FR 23078–79.
The EPA’s approach gives independent
effect to both the ‘‘contribute
significantly to nonattainment’’ and the
‘‘interfere with maintenance’’ prongs of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), consistent with
the D.C. Circuit’s direction in North
Carolina.154 Further, in its decision on
the remand of the CSAPR from the
Supreme Court in the EME Homer City
case, the D.C. Circuit confirmed that
EPA’s approach to identifying
maintenance receptors in the CSAPR
comported with the court’s prior
instruction to give independent
meaning to the ‘‘interfere with
maintenance’’ prong in the good
neighbor provision. EME Homer City II,
795 F.3d at 136.
In the CSAPR Update and the Revised
CSAPR Update, the EPA identified
nonattainment receptors as those
monitoring sites that are projected to
have average design values that exceed
the NAAQS and that are also measuring
nonattainment based on the most recent
monitored design values. This approach
is consistent with prior transport
rulemakings, such as the NOX SIP Call
and CAIR, where the EPA defined
nonattainment receptors as those areas
that both currently monitor
nonattainment and that the EPA projects
will be in nonattainment in the future
compliance year.155
153 See
86 FR 23078–79.
F.3d at 910–911 (holding that the EPA
must give ‘‘independent significance’’ to each prong
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).
155 See 63 FR 57375, 57377 (October 27, 1998); 70
FR 25241 (January 14, 2005). See also North
Carolina, 531 F.3d at 913–914 (affirming as
154 531
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36703
The Agency explained in the NOX SIP
Call and CAIR and then reaffirmed in
the CSAPR Update that the EPA has the
most confidence in our projections of
nonattainment for those monitoring
sites that also measure nonattainment
for the most recent period of available
ambient data. The EPA separately
identified maintenance receptors as
those monitoring sites that would have
difficulty maintaining the relevant
NAAQS in a scenario that accounts for
historical variability in air quality at
that site. The variability in air quality
was determined by evaluating the
‘‘maximum’’ future design value at each
monitoring site based on a projection of
the maximum measured design value
over the relevant period. The EPA
interprets the projected maximum
future design value to be a potential
future air quality outcome consistent
with the meteorology that yielded
maximum measured concentrations in
the ambient data set analyzed for that
receptor (i.e., ozone conducive
meteorology). The EPA also recognizes
that previously experienced
meteorological conditions (e.g.,
dominant wind direction, temperatures,
and air mass patterns) promoting ozone
formation that led to maximum
concentrations in the measured data
may reoccur in the future. The
maximum design value gives a
reasonable projection of future air
quality at the receptor under a scenario
in which such conditions do, in fact,
reoccur.156 The projected maximum
design value is used to identify upwind
emissions that, under those
circumstances, could interfere with the
downwind area’s ability to maintain the
NAAQS.
Therefore, applying this methodology
in this rule, the EPA assessed the
magnitude of the projected maximum
design values for 2023 and 2026 at each
monitoring site in relation to the 2015
ozone NAAQS and, where such a value
exceeds the NAAQS, the EPA
determined that receptor to be a
‘‘maintenance’’ receptor for purposes of
defining interference with maintenance,
consistent with the method used in
CSAPR and upheld by the D.C. Circuit
in EME Homer City II.157 That is,
reasonable EPA’s approach to defining
nonattainment in CAIR).
156 The EPA’s air quality modeling guidance
identifies the use of the highest of the relevant base
period design values as a means to evaluate future
year attainment under meteorological conditions
that are especially conducive to ozone formation.
See U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, 2018.
Modeling Guidance for Demonstrating Attainment
of Air Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional
Haze, Research Triangle Park, NC.
157 See 795 F.3d at 136.
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monitoring sites with a maximum
design value that exceeds the NAAQS
are projected to have maintenance
problems in the future analytic years.158
Recognizing that nonattainment
receptors are also, by definition,
maintenance receptors, the EPA often
uses the term ‘‘maintenance-only’’ to
refer to receptors that are not also
nonattainment receptors. Consistent
with the concepts for maintenance
receptors, as described previously, the
EPA identifies ‘‘maintenance-only’’
receptors as those monitoring sites that
have projected average design values
above the level of the applicable
NAAQS, but that are not currently
measuring nonattainment based on the
most recent official design values. In
addition, those monitoring sites with
projected average design values below
the NAAQS, but with projected
maximum design values above the
NAAQS are also identified as
‘‘maintenance only’’ receptors, even if
they are currently measuring
nonattainment based on the most recent
official design values.159
Comment: The EPA received
comments claiming that the projected
design values for 2023 were biased low
compared to recent measured data.
158 The EPA issued a memorandum in October
2018, providing additional information to states
developing interstate transport SIP submissions for
the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS concerning
considerations for identifying downwind areas that
may have problems maintaining the standard at
Step 1 of the 4-step interstate transport framework.
See Considerations for Identifying Maintenance
Receptors for Use in Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) Interstate Transport State
Implementation Plan Submissions for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards,
October 19, 2018 (‘‘October 2018 memorandum’’),
available in Docket No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668
or at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/memo-andsupplemental-information-regarding-interstatetransport-sips-2015-ozone-naaqs. EPA is not
applying the suggested analytical approaches in
that memorandum in this rule, nor would those
approaches be appropriate in light of currently
available data. Potential alternative approaches
would introduce unnecessary and substantial
additional analytical burdens that could frustrate
timely and efficient implementation of good
neighbor obligations. In addition, the information
supplied in that memorandum is now outdated due
to several additional years of air quality monitoring
data and updated modeling results. EPA’s current
approach to defining ‘‘maintenance’’ receptors has
been upheld and continues to provide an
appropriate approach to addressing the
‘‘interference with maintenance’’ prong of the Good
Neighbor provision. See EME Homer City, 795 F.3d
118, 136–37; Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325–26.
159 See https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/airquality-design-values for design value reports. At
the time of this action, the most recent reports
available are for the calendar year 2021.
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Commenters noted that a number of
monitoring sites that are projected to be
below the NAAQS in 2023 based on the
EPA’s modeling for the proposed action
are currently measuring nonattainment
based on data from 2020 and 2021. One
commenter requested that the EPA
determine whether its past modeling
tends to overestimate or underestimated
actual observed design values. If EPA
finds that the agency’s model tends to
underestimate future year design values,
the commenter requests that EPA re-run
its ozone modeling, incorporating
parameters that account for this
tendency.
Response: In response to comments,
the EPA compared the projected 2023
design values based on the proposal
modeling to recent trends in measured
data. As a result of this analysis, the
EPA agrees that current data indicate
that there are monitoring sites at risk of
continued nonattainment in 2023 even
though the model projected average and
maximum design values at these sites
are below the NAAQS (i.e., sites that are
not modeling-based receptors). It would
not be reasonable to ignore recent
measured ozone levels in many areas
that are clearly not fully consistent with
certain concentrations in the Step 1
analysis for 2023. Therefore, the EPA
has also developed an additional
maintenance-only receptor category,
which includes what we refer to as
‘‘violating monitor’’ receptors, based on
current ozone concentrations measured
by regulatory ambient air quality
monitoring sites.
Specifically, the EPA has identified
monitoring sites with measured 2021
and preliminary 2022 design values and
4th high maximum daily 8-hour average
(MDA8) ozone in both 2021 and 2022
(preliminary data) that exceed the
NAAQS, although projected to be in
attainment in 2023, as having the
greatest risk of continuing to have a
problem attaining the standard in 2023.
These criteria sufficiently consider
measured air quality data so as to avoid
including monitoring sites that have
measured nonattainment data in recent
years but could reasonably be
anticipated to not have a nonattainment
or maintenance problem in 2023, in line
with our modeling results. Our
methodology is intended only to
identify those sites that have sufficiently
poor ozone levels that there is clearly a
reasonable expectation that an ozone
nonattainment or maintenance problem
will persist in the 2023 ozone season.
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Moreover, 2023 is so near in time that
recent measured ozone levels can be
used to reasonably project whether an
air quality problem is likely to persist.
We view this approach to identifying
additional receptors in 2023 as the best
means of responding to the comments
on this issue in this action, while also
identifying all transport receptors.
For purposes of this action, we treat
these violating monitors as an
additional type of maintenance-only
receptor. Because our modeling did not
identify these sites as receptors, we do
not believe it is sufficiently certain that
these sites will be in nonattainment
such that they should be considered
nonattainment receptors. Rather, our
authority for treating these sites as
receptors in 2023 flows from the
responsibility in CAA section
110(a)(2)(i)(I) to prohibit emissions that
interfere with maintenance of the
NAAQS. See, e.g., North Carolina, 531
F.3d at 910–11 (failing to give effect to
the interfere with maintenance clause
‘‘provides no protection for downwind
areas that, despite EPA’s predictions,
still find themselves struggling to meet
NAAQS due to upwind interference
. . . .’’) (emphasis added). Recognizing
that no modeling can perfectly forecast
the future, and ‘‘a degree of imprecision
is inevitable in tackling the problem of
interstate air pollution,’’ this approach
in the Agency’s judgement best balances
the need to avoid both ‘‘under-control’’
and ‘‘overcontrol,’’ EME Homer City,
572 U.S. at 523.
We acknowledge that the traditional
modeling plus monitoring methodology
we used at proposal and in prior ozone
transport rules would otherwise have
identified such sites as being in
attainment in 2023. Despite the
implications of the current measured
data suggesting there will be a
nonattainment problem at these sites in
2023, we cannot definitively establish
that such sites will be in nonattainment
in 2023 in light of our modeling
projections. In the face of this
uncertainty, we regard our ability to
consider such sites as receptors for
purposes of good neighbor analysis
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to
be a function of the requirement to
prohibit emissions that interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS; even if an
area may be technically in attainment,
we have reliable information indicating
that there is an identified risk that
attainment will not in fact be achieved.
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However, because we did not identify
this basis for receptor-identification at
proposal, in this final action we are only
using this receptor category on a
confirmatory basis. That is, for states
that we find linked based on our
traditional modeling-based methodology
in 2023, we find in this final analysis
that the linkage at Step 2 is strengthened
and confirmed if that state is also linked
to one or more ‘‘violating monitor’’
receptors. If a state is only linked to a
violating-monitor receptor in this final
analysis, we are deferring taking final
action on that state’s SIP submittal. This
is the case for the State of Tennessee.
Among the states that previously had
their transport SIPs fully approved for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA has
also identified a linkage to violatingmonitor receptors for the State of
Kansas. The EPA intends to further
review its air quality modeling results
and recent measured ozone levels, and
we intend to address these states’ good
neighbor obligations as expeditiously as
practicable in a future action.
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E. Methodology for Projecting Future
Year Ozone Design Values
Consistent with the EPA’s modeling
guidance, the 2016 base year and future
year air quality modeling results were
used in a relative sense to project design
values for 2023 and 2026. That is, the
ratios of future year model predictions
to base year model predictions are used
to adjust ambient ozone design
values 160 up or down depending on the
relative (percent) change in model
predictions for each location. The
modeling guidance recommends using
measured ozone concentrations for the
5-year period centered on the base year
as the air quality data starting point for
future year projections. This average
design value is used to dampen the
effects of inter-annual variability in
meteorology on ozone concentrations
and to provide a reasonable projection
of future air quality at the receptor
under average conditions. In addition,
the Agency calculated maximum design
values from within the 5-year base
period to represent conditions when
meteorology is more favorable than
average for ozone formation. Because
the base year for the air quality
modeling used in this final rule is 2016,
measured data for 2014–2018 (i.e.,
design values for 2016, 2017, and 2018)
were used to project average and
maximum design values in 2023 and
2026.
160 The ozone design value at a particular
monitoring site is the 3-year average of the annual
4th highest daily maximum 8-hour ozone
concentration at that site.
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The ozone predictions from the 2016
and future year air quality model
simulations were used to project 2016–
2018 average and maximum ozone
design values to 2023 and 2026 using an
approach similar to the approach in
EPA’s guidance for attainment
demonstration modeling. This guidance
recommends using model predictions
from the 3 x 3 array of grid cells 161
surrounding the location of the
monitoring site to calculate a Relative
Response Factor (RRF) for that site.162
However, the guidance also notes that
an alternative array of grid cells may be
used in certain situations where local
topographic or geographical feature
(e.g., a large water body or a significant
elevation change) may influence model
response.
The 2016–2018 base period average
and maximum design values were
multiplied by the RRF to project each of
these design values to each of the three
future years. In this manner, the
projected design values are grounded in
monitored data, and not the absolute
model-predicted future year
concentrations. Following the approach
in the CSAPR Update and the Revised
CSAPR Update, the EPA also projected
future year design values based on a
modified version of the ‘‘3 × 3’’
approach for those monitoring sites
located in coastal areas. In this
alternative approach, the EPA
eliminated from the RRF calculations
the modeling data in those grid cells
that are dominated by water (i.e., more
than 50 percent of the area in the grid
cell is water) and that do not contain a
monitoring site (i.e., if a grid cell is more
than 50 percent water but contains an
air quality monitor, that cell would
remain in the calculation). The choice of
more than 50 percent of the grid cell
area as water as the criteria for
identifying overwater grid cells is based
on the treatment of land use in the
Weather Research and Forecasting
model (WRF).163 Specifically, in the
161 As noted in this section, each model grid cell
is 12 x 12 km.
162 The relative response factor represents the
change in ozone at a given site. To calculate the
RRF, the EPA’s modeling guidance recommends
selecting the 10 highest ozone days in an ozone
season at a given monitor in the base year, noting
which of the grid cells surrounding the monitor
experienced the highest ozone concentrations in the
base year, and averaging those ten highest
concentrations. The model is then run using the
projected year emissions, in this case 2023, with all
other model variables held constant. Ozone
concentrations from the same ten days, in the same
grid cells, are then averaged. The fractional change
between the base year (2016 model run) average
ozone concentration and the future year (e.g., 2023
model run) average ozone concentration represents
the relative response factor.
163 https://www.mmm.ucar.edu/weather-researchand-forecasting-model.
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WRF meteorological model those grid
cells that are greater than 50 percent
overwater are treated as being 100
percent overwater. In such cases the
meteorological conditions in the entire
grid cell reflect the vertical mixing and
winds over water, even if part of the
grid cell also happens to be over land
with land-based emissions, as can often
be the case for coastal areas. Overlaying
land-based emissions with overwater
meteorology may be representative of
conditions at coastal monitors during
times of on-shore flow associated with
synoptic conditions or sea-breeze or
lake-breeze wind flows. But there may
be other times, particularly with offshore wind flow, when vertical mixing
of land-based emissions may be too
limited due to the presence of overwater
meteorology. Thus, for our modeling the
EPA projected average and maximum
design values at individual monitoring
sites based on both the ‘‘3 × 3’’ approach
as well as the alternative approach that
eliminates overwater cells in the RRF
calculation for near-coastal areas (i.e.,
‘‘no water’’ approach). The projected
2023 and 2026 design values using both
the ‘‘3 × 3’’ and ‘‘no-water’’ approaches
are provided in the docket for this final
rule. For this final rule, the EPA is
relying upon design values based on the
‘‘no water’’ approach for identifying
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors.164
Consistent with the truncation and
rounding procedures for the 8-hour
ozone NAAQS, the projected design
values are truncated to integers in units
of ppb.165 Therefore, projected design
values that are greater than or equal to
71 ppb are considered to be violating
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. For those sites
that are projected to be violating the
NAAQS based on the average design
values in the future analytic years, the
Agency examined the measured design
values for 2021, which are the most
recent official measured design values at
the time of this final rule. As noted
earlier, the Agency is identifying
nonattainment receptors in this
rulemaking as those sites that are
violating the NAAQS based on current
164 Using design values from the ‘‘3 × 3’’
approach, the maintenance-only receptor at site
550590019 in Kenosha County, WI would become
a nonattainment receptor because the average
design value with the ‘‘3 × 3’’ approach is 72.0 ppb
versus 70.8 ppb with the ‘‘no water’’ approach. In
addition, the maintenance-only receptor at site
090099002 in New Haven County, CT would
become a nonattainment receptor using the ‘‘3 × 3’’
approach because the average design value with the
‘‘3 × 3’’ approach is 71.2 ppb versus 70.5 ppb with
the ‘‘no water’’ approach.
165 40 CFR part 50, appendix P—Interpretation of
the Primary and Secondary National Ambient Air
Quality Standards for Ozone.
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measured air quality and also have
projected average design values of 71
ppb or greater. Maintenance-only
receptors include both (1) those sites
with projected average design values
above the NAAQS that are currently
measuring clean data (i.e., ozone design
values below the level of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS) and (2) those sites with
projected average design values below
the level of the NAAQS, but with
projected maximum design values of 71
ppb or greater. In addition to the
maintenance-only receptors, ozone
nonattainment receptors are also
maintenance receptors because the
maximum design values for each of
these sites is always greater than or
equal to the average design value. The
monitoring sites that the Agency
projects to be nonattainment and
maintenance receptors for the ozone
NAAQS in the 2023 and 2026 base case
are used for assessing the contribution
of emissions in upwind states to
downwind nonattainment and
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
as part of this final rule.166
Table IV.D–1 contains the 2016centered 167 base period average and
maximum 8-hour ozone design values,
the 2023 base case average and
maximum design values and the
measured 2021 design values for the
sites that are projected to be
nonattainment receptors in 2023. Table
IV.D–2 contains this same information
for monitoring sites that are projected to
be maintenance-only receptors in 2023.
The design values for all monitoring
sites in the U.S. are provided in the
docket for this rule. Additional details
on the approach for projecting average
and maximum design values are
provided in the Air Quality Modeling
Final Rule TSD.
TABLE IV.D–1—AVERAGE AND MAXIMUM 2016-CENTERED AND 2023 BASE CASE 8-HOUR OZONE DESIGN VALUES AND
2021 DESIGN VALUES (ppb) AT PROJECTED NONATTAINMENT RECEPTORS
Monitor ID
060650016
060651016
080350004
080590006
080590011
090010017
090013007
090019003
481671034
482010024
490110004
490353006
490353013
551170006
State
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
CA
CA
CO
CO
CO
CT
CT
CT
TX
TX
UT
UT
UT
WI
2016
Centered
average
County
Riverside .............................
Riverside .............................
Douglas ...............................
Jefferson ..............................
Jefferson ..............................
Fairfield ................................
Fairfield ................................
Fairfield ................................
Galveston ............................
Harris ...................................
Davis ...................................
Salt Lake .............................
Salt Lake .............................
Sheboygan ..........................
79.0
99.7
77.3
77.3
79.3
79.3
82.0
82.7
75.7
79.3
75.7
76.3
76.5
80.0
2016
Centered
maximum
2023
Average
80.0
101.0
78
78
80
80
83
83
77
81
78
78
77
81
72.2
91.0
71.3
72.8
73.5
71.6
72.9
73.3
71.5
75.1
72.0
72.6
73.3
72.7
2023
Maximum
2021
73.1
92.2
71.9
73.5
74.1
72.2
73.8
73.6
72.8
76.7
74.2
74.2
73.8
73.6
78
95
83
81
83
79
81
80
72
74
78
76
76
72
TABLE IV.D–2—AVERAGE AND MAXIMUM 2016-CENTERED AND 2023 BASE CASE 8-HOUR OZONE DESIGN VALUES AND
2021 DESIGN VALUES (ppb) AT PROJECTED MAINTENANCE-ONLY RECEPTORS
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Monitor ID
040278011
080690011
090099002
170310001
170314201
170317002
350130021
350130022
350151005
350250008
480391004
481210034
481410037
482010055
482011034
482011035
530330023
550590019
551010020
State
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
....................................
AZ
CO
CT
IL
IL
IL
NM
NM
NM
NM
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
WA
WI
WI
Yuma ...................................
Larimer ................................
New Haven ..........................
Cook ....................................
Cook ....................................
Cook ....................................
Dona Ana ............................
Dona Ana ............................
Eddy ....................................
Lea ......................................
Brazoria ...............................
Denton .................................
El Paso ................................
Harris ...................................
Harris ...................................
Harris ...................................
King .....................................
Kenosha ..............................
Racine .................................
166 In addition, there are 71 monitoring sites in
California with projected 2023 maximum design
values above the NAAQS. With two exceptions, as
described in section IV.F of this document, the
Agency is not making a determination in this action
that these monitors are ozone transport receptors.
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2016
Centered
average
County
72.3
75.7
79.7
73.0
73.3
74.0
72.7
71.3
69.7
67.7
74.7
78.0
71.3
76.0
73.7
71.3
73.3
78.0
76.0
The two exceptions are the two monitoring sites
that represent air quality impacts to lands of the
Morongo and Pechanga tribes. As explained in
footnote 110 supra, we treat these as transport
receptors that are impacted by emissions from
California.
PO 00000
Frm 00054
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
2016
Centered
maximum
2023
Average
74
77
82
77
77
77
74
74
74
70
77
80
73
77
75
75
77
79
78
70.4
70.9
70.5
68.2
68.0
68.5
70.8
69.7
69.7
69.8
70.4
69.8
69.8
70.9
70.1
67.8
67.6
70.8
69.7
2023
Maximum
72.1
72.1
72.6
71.9
71.5
71.3
72.1
72.4
74.1
72.2
72.5
71.6
71.4
71.9
71.3
71.3
71.0
71.7
71.5
2021
67
77
82
71
74
73
80
75
77
66
75
74
75
77
71
71
64
74
73
167 2016-centered averaged design values
represent the average of the design values for 2016,
2017, and 2018. Similarly, the maximum 2016centered design value is the highest measured
design value from these three design value periods.
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
In total, in the 2023 base case there
are a total of 33 projected modelingbased receptors nationwide including
14 nonattainment receptors in 9
different counties and 19 maintenanceonly receptors in 13 additional counties
(Harris County, TX, has both
nonattainment and maintenance-only
receptors).168 Of the 14 nonattainment
receptors in 2023, 7 remain
nonattainment receptors, 5 are projected
to become maintenance-only receptors
and 2 are projected to be in attainment
in 2026. Of the 19 maintenance-only
receptors in 2023, 7 are projected to
remain maintenance-only receptors and
12 are projected to be in attainment in
2026. The projected average and
maximum design values in 2026 for all
receptors are included in the Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD.
Comment: EPA received comments
saying that the projected design values
for 2023 were biased low compared to
recent measured data. Commenters
noted that a number of monitoring sites
that are projected to be below the
NAAQS in 2023 based on EPA’s
modeling for the proposed rule are
currently measuring nonattainment.
Because 2023 is only a year later than
the most recent measured data some
commenters said that EPA should give
greater weight to measured data when
identifying downwind receptors.
Response: Based on an analysis of
model projections for 2023 and recent
trends in measured data, the EPA agrees
that current data indicate that there are
monitoring sites at risk of continued
nonattainment in 2023 even though the
model projected average and maximum
design values at these sites are below
the NAAQS (i.e., sites that are not
modeling-based receptors).169
Specifically, the EPA believes that
monitoring sites with measured design
values and 4th high maximum daily 8hour average (MDA8) ozone based on
2021 and preliminary 2022 data have
the greatest risk of continuing to have a
problem attaining the standard in 2023,
even when the modeling projects these
sites will attain. These criteria are
sufficiently conservative that we avoid
including monitoring sites that have
measured nonattainment data in recent
years but could reasonably be
anticipated to not have a nonattainment
or maintenance problem in 2023, in line
with our modeling results. Our
methodology is intended only to
identify those sites that have sufficiently
poor ozone levels that there is clearly a
reasonable expectation that an ozone
nonattainment or maintenance problem
will persist in the 2023 ozone season.
We do not apply this methodology for
the 2026 analytic year, because that year
is sufficiently farther in the future that
we do not believe there would be a
reasonable basis to supplement our
modeling analysis with this ‘‘violating
monitor’’ methodology. By comparison,
2023 is so near in time that recent
measured ozone levels can be used
reasonably to project whether an air
quality problem is likely to persist. We
view this approach to identifying
additional receptors in 2023 as the best
means of responding to the comments
on this issue in this action. The
monitoring sites that meet these criteria,
along with the corresponding measured
and modeled data, are provided in Table
IV.D–3.
For purposes of this action, we will
treat these sites as an additional type of
maintenance-only receptor. Because our
modeling did not identify these sites as
receptors, we do not believe it is
sufficiently certain that these sites will
be in nonattainment that they should be
considered nonattainment receptors for
purposes of this final rule. Rather, our
authority for treating these sites as
receptors in 2023 flows from the
responsibility in CAA section
110(a)(2)(i)(I) to prohibit emissions that
interfere with maintenance of the
NAAQS. See, e.g., North Carolina, 531
F.3d at 910–11 (failing to give effect to
the interfere with maintenance clause
‘‘provides no protection for downwind
areas that, despite EPA’s predictions,
still find themselves struggling to meet
NAAQS due to upwind interference
. . . .’’) (emphasis added). Recognizing
that no modeling can perfectly forecast
the future, and ‘‘a degree of imprecision
is inevitable in tackling the problem of
interstate air pollution,’’ this approach
in the Agency’s judgement best balances
the need to avoid both ‘‘under-control’’
and ‘‘overcontrol,’’ EME Homer City,
572 U.S. at 523.
In this action, we identify ‘‘violating
monitor’’ maintenance-only receptors
for purposes of more firmly establishing
that the states we have otherwise
identified as linked at Step 2 in our
modeling-based methodology can
indeed be reasonably anticipated to be
linked to air quality problems in
downwind states in 2023 for reasons
that extend beyond that methodology. In
this sense, this approach is
‘‘confirmatory’’ and does not alter the
geography of the final rule compared to
the application of the modeling-based
receptor definitions used at proposal.
Rather, it strengthens the analytical
basis for our Step 2 findings by
establishing that many upwind states
covered in this action are also projected
to contribute above 1 percent of the
NAAQS to these types of receptors. For
purposes of this final rule, we will not
finalize FIPs for any states that this
analysis indicates contribute greater
than 1 percent of the NAAQS only to a
‘‘violating monitor’’ receptor. Our
analysis suggests this would be the case
for two states, Kansas and Tennessee
(see section IV.F of this document).170
We are making no final decisions with
respect to these states in this action and
intend to address these states in a
subsequent action.
TABLE IV.D–3—AVERAGE AND MAXIMUM 2023 BASE CASE 8-HOUR OZONE, AND 2021 AND PRELIMINARY 2022 DESIGN
VALUES (ppb) AND 4TH HIGH CONCENTRATIONS AT VIOLATING MONITORS
Monitor ID
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
40070010 ..........................
State
AZ
Gila ....................................
168 The EPA’s modeling also projects that three
monitoring sites in the Uintah Basin (i.e., monitor
490472003 in Uintah County, Utah, and monitors
490130002 and 490137011 in Duchesne County,
Utah) will have average design values above the
NAAQS in 2023. However, as noted in the proposed
rule, the Uinta Basin nonattainment area was
designated as nonattainment for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS not because of an ongoing problem with
summertime ozone (as is usually the case in other
parts of the country), but instead because it violates
the ozone NAAQS in winter. The main causes of
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
2023
Average
County
Jkt 259001
67.9
2023
Maximum
69.5
the Uinta Basin’s wintertime ozone are sources
located at low elevations within the Basin, the
Basin’s unique topography, and the influence of the
wintertime meteorologic inversions that keep ozone
and ozone precursors near the Basin floor and
restrict air flow in the Basin. Because of the
localized nature of the ozone problem at these sites
the EPA has not identified these three monitors as
receptors in Step 1 of this final rule.
169 In addition, we note that comparing the
projected 2023 maximum design values at
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
2021
2022 P *
77
76
2021
4th high
75
2022 P
4th high
74
modeling-based receptors listed in Table IV.D–1
and Table IV.D–2 to the 2021 design values
measured at these sites indicates that the projected
maximum values are lower than the measured data
at most receptors. These differences are particularly
evident at receptors in coastal Connecticut and in
Denver. (See Air Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD
for details).
170 We have not conducted an analysis in this
action to determine whether violating-monitor
receptors may exist in California.
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
TABLE IV.D–3—AVERAGE AND MAXIMUM 2023 BASE CASE 8-HOUR OZONE, AND 2021 AND PRELIMINARY 2022 DESIGN
VALUES (ppb) AND 4TH HIGH CONCENTRATIONS AT VIOLATING MONITORS—Continued
Monitor ID
40130019 ..........................
40131003 ..........................
40131004 ..........................
40131010 ..........................
40132001 ..........................
40132005 ..........................
40133002 ..........................
40134004 ..........................
40134005 ..........................
40134008 ..........................
40134010 ..........................
40137020 ..........................
40137021 ..........................
40137022 ..........................
40137024 ..........................
40139702 ..........................
40139704 ..........................
40139997 ..........................
40218001 ..........................
80013001 ..........................
80050002 ..........................
80310002 ..........................
80310026 ..........................
90079007 ..........................
90110124 ..........................
170310032 ........................
170311601 ........................
181270024 ........................
260050003 ........................
261210039 ........................
320030043 ........................
350011012 ........................
350130008 ........................
361030002 ........................
390850003 ........................
480290052 ........................
480850005 ........................
481130075 ........................
481211032 ........................
482010051 ........................
482010416 ........................
484390075 ........................
484391002 ........................
484392003 ........................
484393009 ........................
490571003 ........................
550590025 ........................
550890008 ........................
State
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
AZ
CO
CO
CO
CO
CT
CT
IL
IL
IN
MI
MI
NV
NM
NM
NY
OH
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
TX
UT
WI
WI
2023
Average
County
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Maricopa ...........................
Pinal ..................................
Adams ...............................
Arapahoe ...........................
Denver ...............................
Denver ...............................
Middlesex ..........................
New London ......................
Cook ..................................
Cook ..................................
Porter ................................
Allegan ..............................
Muskegon ..........................
Clark ..................................
Bernalillo ...........................
Dona Ana ..........................
Suffolk ...............................
Lake ..................................
Bexar .................................
Collin .................................
Dallas ................................
Denton ...............................
Harris .................................
Harris .................................
Tarrant ...............................
Tarrant ...............................
Tarrant ...............................
Tarrant ...............................
Weber ................................
Kenosha ............................
Ozaukee ............................
69.8
70.1
70.2
68.3
63.8
69.6
65.8
65.7
62.3
65.6
63.8
67.0
69.8
68.2
67.0
66.9
65.3
70.5
67.8
63.0
68.0
63.6
64.5
68.7
65.5
67.3
63.8
63.4
66.2
67.5
68.4
63.8
65.6
66.2
64.3
67.1
65.4
65.3
65.9
65.3
68.8
63.8
64.1
65.2
67.5
69.3
67.6
65.2
2023
Maximum
70.0
70.7
70.8
69.2
64.1
70.5
65.8
66.6
62.3
66.5
66.9
67.0
70.1
69.1
67.9
68.1
66.2
70.5
69.0
63.0
68.0
64.8
64.8
69.0
67.0
69.8
64.5
64.6
67.4
68.4
69.4
66.0
66.3
68.0
64.6
67.8
66.0
66.5
67.7
66.3
70.4
64.7
65.7
65.9
68.1
70.3
70.7
65.8
2021
2022 P *
75
80
80
79
74
78
75
73
73
74
74
76
77
76
74
75
74
76
75
72
80
72
75
74
73
75
72
72
75
74
73
72
72
73
72
73
75
71
76
74
73
75
72
72
74
71
72
71
77
80
81
80
78
79
75
73
75
74
76
77
77
78
76
77
77
79
76
77
80
74
77
73
72
75
73
73
75
79
75
73
76
74
74
74
74
71
77
73
73
76
77
72
75
74
73
72
2021
4th high
78
83
81
80
79
79
81
73
79
74
77
77
78
76
74
72
76
82
73
79
84
77
83
78
75
77
72
72
78
75
74
76
79
79
72
78
81
73
85
83
78
76
76
74
75
77
72
72
2022 P
4th high
76
78
77
78
81
77
72
71
73
71
75
75
75
79
77
77
76
76
77
75
73
71
72
73
71
72
71
73
73
82
74
74
78
74
76
72
73
72
77
72
71
77
80
72
75
71
71
72
* 2022 preliminary design values are based on 2022 measured MDA8 concentrations provided by state air agencies to the EPA’s Air Quality
System (AQS), as of January 3, 2023.
F. Pollutant Transport From Upwind
States
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
1. Air Quality Modeling To Quantify
Upwind State Contributions
This section documents the
procedures the EPA used to quantify the
impact of emissions from specific
upwind states on ozone design values in
2023 and 2026 for the identified
downwind nonattainment and
maintenance receptors. The EPA used
CAMx photochemical source
apportionment modeling to quantify the
impact of emissions in specific upwind
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
states on downwind nonattainment and
maintenance receptors for 8-hour ozone.
CAMx employs enhanced source
apportionment techniques that track the
formation and transport of ozone from
specific emissions sources and
calculates the contribution of sources
and precursors to ozone for individual
receptor locations. The benefit of the
photochemical model source
apportionment technique is that all
modeled ozone at a given receptor
location in the modeling domain is
tracked back to specific sources of
PO 00000
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
emissions and boundary conditions to
fully characterize culpable sources.
The EPA performed nationwide, statelevel ozone source apportionment
modeling using the CAMx Ozone
Source Apportionment Technology/
Anthropogenic Precursor Culpability
Analysis (OSAT/APCA) technique 171 to
quantify the contribution of 2023 and
2026 base case NOX and VOC emissions
from all sources in each state to the
171 As part of this technique, ozone formed from
reactions between biogenic VOC and NOX with
anthropogenic NOX and VOC are assigned to the
anthropogenic emissions.
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corresponding projected ozone design
values in 2023 and 2026 at air quality
monitoring sites. The CAMx OSAT/
APCA model run was performed for the
period May 1 through September 30
using the projected future base case
emissions and 2016 meteorology for this
time period. In the source
apportionment modeling the Agency
tracked (i.e., tagged) the amount of
ozone formed from anthropogenic
emissions in each state individually as
well as the contributions from other
sources (e.g., natural emissions).
In the state-by-state source
apportionment model runs, the EPA
tracked the ozone formed from each of
the following tags:
• States—anthropogenic NOX and
VOC emissions from each state tracked
individually (emissions from all
anthropogenic sectors in a given state
were combined);
• Biogenics—biogenic NOX and VOC
emissions domain-wide (i.e., not by
state);
• Boundary Concentrations—
concentrations transported into the air
quality modeling domain;
• Tribes—the emissions from those
tribal lands for which the Agency has
point source inventory data in the
2016v3 emissions modeling platform
(EPA did not model the contributions
from individual tribes);
• Canada and Mexico—
anthropogenic emissions from sources
in the portions of Canada and Mexico
included in the modeling domain (the
EPA did not model the contributions
from Canada and Mexico separately);
• Fires—combined emissions from
wild and prescribed fires domain-wide
(i.e., not by state); and
• Offshore—combined emissions
from offshore marine vessels and
offshore drilling platforms.
The contribution modeling provided
contributions to ozone from
anthropogenic NOX and VOC emissions
in each state, individually. The
contributions to ozone from chemical
reactions between biogenic NOX and
VOC emissions were modeled and
assigned to the ‘‘biogenic’’ category. The
contributions from wildfire and
prescribed fire NOX and VOC emissions
were modeled and assigned to the
‘‘fires’’ category. That is, the
contributions from the ‘‘biogenic’’ and
‘‘fires’’ categories are not assigned to
individual states nor are they included
in the state contributions.
For the Step 2 analysis, the EPA
calculated a contribution metric that
considers the average contribution on
the 10 highest ozone concentration days
(i.e., top 10 days) in 2023. This average
contribution metric is intended to
provide a reasonable representation of
the contribution from individual states
to projected future year design values,
based on modeled transport patterns
and other meteorological conditions
generally associated with modeled high
ozone concentrations at the receptor. An
average contribution metric constructed
in this manner is beneficial since the
magnitude of the contributions is
directly related to the magnitude of the
design value at each site.
The analytic steps for calculating the
contribution metric for the 2023 analytic
year are as follows:
36709
(1) Calculate the 8-hour average
contribution from each source tag to
each monitoring site for the time period
of the 8-hour daily maximum modeled
concentrations in 2023;
(2) Average the contributions and
average the concentrations for the top 10
modeled ozone concentration days in
2023;
(3) Divide the average contribution by
the corresponding average concentration
to obtain a Relative Contribution Factor
(RCF) for each monitoring site;
(4) Multiply the 2023 average design
values by the 2023 RCF at each site to
produce the average contribution metric
values in 2023.172
This same approach was applied to
calculate contribution metric values at
individual monitoring sites for 2026.173
The resulting contributions from each
tag to each monitoring site in the U.S.
for 2023 and 2026 can be found in the
docket for this final rule. Additional
details on the source apportionment
modeling and the procedures for
calculating contributions can be found
in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule
TSD. The EPA’s response to comments
on the method for calculating the
contribution metric can be found in the
RTC document for this final rule.
The largest contribution from each
state that is the subject of this rule to
modeled 8-hour ozone nonattainment
and maintenance receptors in
downwind states in 2023 and 2026 are
provided in Table IV.F–1 and Table
IV.F–2, respectively. The largest
contribution from each state to a
‘‘violating monitor’’ maintenance-only
receptor is provided in Table IV.F–3.
TABLE IV.F–1—LARGEST CONTRIBUTION TO DOWNWIND 8-HOUR OZONE NONATTAINMENT AND MAINTENANCE RECEPTORS
IN 2023
[ppb]
Largest
contribution to
downwind
nonattainment
receptors
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Upwind state
Alabama ...................................................................................................................................................
Arizona .....................................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ..................................................................................................................................................
California ..................................................................................................................................................
Colorado ..................................................................................................................................................
Connecticut ..............................................................................................................................................
Delaware ..................................................................................................................................................
District of Columbia .................................................................................................................................
Florida ......................................................................................................................................................
Georgia ....................................................................................................................................................
Idaho ........................................................................................................................................................
Illinois .......................................................................................................................................................
172 Note that a contribution metric value was not
calculated for any receptor at which there were
fewer than 5 days with model-predicted MDA8
ozone concentrations greater than or equal to 60
ppb in 2023. The monitoring site in Seattle, King
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
County, Washington (530330023), was the only
receptor which did not meet this criterion.
173 To provide consistency in the contributions
for 2023 and 2026, the contribution metric values
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
0.75
0.54
0.94
35.27
0.14
0.01
0.44
0.03
0.50
0.18
0.42
13.89
Largest
contribution to
downwind
maintenance-only
receptors
0.65
1.69
1.21
6.31
0.18
0.01
0.56
0.04
0.54
0.17
0.41
19.09
for 2026 are based on the 2026 daily contributions
for the same days that were used to calculate the
contribution metric values for 2023.
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
TABLE IV.F–1—LARGEST CONTRIBUTION TO DOWNWIND 8-HOUR OZONE NONATTAINMENT AND MAINTENANCE RECEPTORS
IN 2023—Continued
[ppb]
Largest
contribution to
downwind
nonattainment
receptors
Upwind state
Indiana .....................................................................................................................................................
Iowa .........................................................................................................................................................
Kansas .....................................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ..................................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ..................................................................................................................................................
Maine .......................................................................................................................................................
Maryland ..................................................................................................................................................
Massachusetts .........................................................................................................................................
Michigan ...................................................................................................................................................
Minnesota ................................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ................................................................................................................................................
Missouri ....................................................................................................................................................
Montana ...................................................................................................................................................
Nebraska ..................................................................................................................................................
Nevada .....................................................................................................................................................
New Hampshire .......................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..............................................................................................................................................
New Mexico .............................................................................................................................................
New York .................................................................................................................................................
North Carolina ..........................................................................................................................................
North Dakota ............................................................................................................................................
Ohio .........................................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .................................................................................................................................................
Oregon * ...................................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ............................................................................................................................................
Rhode Island ............................................................................................................................................
South Carolina .........................................................................................................................................
South Dakota ...........................................................................................................................................
Tennessee ...............................................................................................................................................
Texas .......................................................................................................................................................
Utah .........................................................................................................................................................
Vermont ...................................................................................................................................................
Virginia .....................................................................................................................................................
Washington ..............................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ............................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .................................................................................................................................................
Wyoming ..................................................................................................................................................
8.90
0.67
0.46
0.84
9.51
0.02
1.13
0.33
1.59
0.36
1.32
1.87
0.08
0.20
1.11
0.10
8.38
0.36
16.10
0.45
0.18
2.05
0.79
0.46
6.00
0.04
0.16
0.05
0.60
1.03
1.29
0.02
1.16
0.16
1.37
0.21
0.68
Largest
contribution to
downwind
maintenance-only
receptors
10.03
0.90
0.52
0.79
5.62
0.01
1.28
0.15
1.56
0.85
0.91
1.39
0.10
0.36
1.13
0.02
5.79
1.59
11.29
0.66
0.45
1.98
1.01
0.31
4.36
0.01
0.18
0.08
0.68
4.74
0.98
0.01
1.76
0.09
1.49
2.86
0.67
TABLE IV.F–2—LARGEST CONTRIBUTION TO DOWNWIND 8-HOUR OZONE NONATTAINMENT AND MAINTENANCE RECEPTORS
IN 2026
[ppb]
Largest
contribution to
downwind
nonattainment
receptors
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Upwind state
Alabama ...................................................................................................................................................
Arizona .....................................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ..................................................................................................................................................
California ..................................................................................................................................................
Colorado ..................................................................................................................................................
Connecticut ..............................................................................................................................................
Delaware ..................................................................................................................................................
District of Columbia .................................................................................................................................
Florida ......................................................................................................................................................
Georgia ....................................................................................................................................................
Idaho ........................................................................................................................................................
Illinois .......................................................................................................................................................
Indiana .....................................................................................................................................................
Iowa .........................................................................................................................................................
Kansas .....................................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ..................................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ..................................................................................................................................................
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0.20
0.44
0.53
34.03
0.04
0.00
0.43
0.03
0.46
0.13
0.27
0.63
1.06
0.14
0.14
0.79
4.57
05JNR2
Largest
contribution to
downwind
maintenance-only
receptors
0.69
1.34
1.16
6.16
0.17
0.01
0.41
0.02
0.17
0.16
0.36
13.57
8.53
0.62
0.42
0.76
9.37
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
36711
TABLE IV.F–2—LARGEST CONTRIBUTION TO DOWNWIND 8-HOUR OZONE NONATTAINMENT AND MAINTENANCE RECEPTORS
IN 2026—Continued
[ppb]
Largest
contribution to
downwind
nonattainment
receptors
Upwind state
Maine .......................................................................................................................................................
Maryland ..................................................................................................................................................
Massachusetts .........................................................................................................................................
Michigan ...................................................................................................................................................
Minnesota ................................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ................................................................................................................................................
Missouri ....................................................................................................................................................
Montana ...................................................................................................................................................
Nebraska ..................................................................................................................................................
Nevada .....................................................................................................................................................
New Hampshire .......................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..............................................................................................................................................
New Mexico .............................................................................................................................................
New York .................................................................................................................................................
North Carolina ..........................................................................................................................................
North Dakota ............................................................................................................................................
Ohio .........................................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .................................................................................................................................................
Oregon * ...................................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ............................................................................................................................................
Rhode Island ............................................................................................................................................
South Carolina .........................................................................................................................................
South Dakota ...........................................................................................................................................
Tennessee ...............................................................................................................................................
Texas .......................................................................................................................................................
Utah .........................................................................................................................................................
Vermont ...................................................................................................................................................
Virginia .....................................................................................................................................................
Washington ..............................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ............................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .................................................................................................................................................
Wyoming ..................................................................................................................................................
0.00
1.06
0.06
1.39
0.15
0.29
0.29
0.06
0.09
0.67
0.01
8.10
0.35
12.65
0.40
0.09
1.95
0.19
0.26
5.47
0.00
0.14
0.03
0.24
0.48
1.05
0.01
1.09
0.10
1.36
0.17
0.40
Largest
contribution to
downwind
maintenance-only
receptors
0.01
0.92
0.31
1.47
0.32
1.15
1.68
0.07
0.19
0.90
0.09
7.04
0.46
12.34
0.42
0.17
1.93
0.74
0.41
4.94
0.03
0.15
0.04
0.54
4.34
0.81
0.02
1.10
0.14
1.34
0.18
0.59
TABLE IV.F–3—LARGEST CONTRIBUTION TO DOWNWIND 8-HOUR OZONE ‘‘VIOLATING MONITOR’’ MAINTENANCE-ONLY
RECEPTORS
[ppb]
Largest
contribution to
downwind violating
monitor
maintenance-only
receptors
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Upwind state
Alabama ...................................................................................................................................................................................
Arizona .....................................................................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ..................................................................................................................................................................................
California ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Colorado ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Connecticut ..............................................................................................................................................................................
Delaware ..................................................................................................................................................................................
District of Columbia .................................................................................................................................................................
Florida ......................................................................................................................................................................................
Georgia ....................................................................................................................................................................................
Idaho ........................................................................................................................................................................................
Illinois .......................................................................................................................................................................................
Indiana .....................................................................................................................................................................................
Iowa .........................................................................................................................................................................................
Kansas .....................................................................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Maine .......................................................................................................................................................................................
Maryland ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Massachusetts .........................................................................................................................................................................
Michigan ...................................................................................................................................................................................
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05JNR2
0.79
1.62
1.16
6.97
0.39
0.17
0.42
0.03
0.50
0.31
0.46
16.53
9.39
1.13
0.82
1.57
5.06
0.02
1.14
0.39
3.47
36712
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
TABLE IV.F–3—LARGEST CONTRIBUTION TO DOWNWIND 8-HOUR OZONE ‘‘VIOLATING MONITOR’’ MAINTENANCE-ONLY
RECEPTORS—Continued
[ppb]
Largest
contribution to
downwind violating
monitor
maintenance-only
receptors
Upwind state
Minnesota ................................................................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ................................................................................................................................................................................
Missouri ....................................................................................................................................................................................
Montana ...................................................................................................................................................................................
Nebraska ..................................................................................................................................................................................
Nevada .....................................................................................................................................................................................
New Hampshire .......................................................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..............................................................................................................................................................................
New Mexico .............................................................................................................................................................................
New York .................................................................................................................................................................................
North Carolina ..........................................................................................................................................................................
North Dakota ............................................................................................................................................................................
Ohio .........................................................................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .................................................................................................................................................................................
Oregon * ...................................................................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ............................................................................................................................................................................
Rhode Island ............................................................................................................................................................................
South Carolina .........................................................................................................................................................................
South Dakota ...........................................................................................................................................................................
Tennessee ...............................................................................................................................................................................
Texas .......................................................................................................................................................................................
Utah .........................................................................................................................................................................................
Vermont ...................................................................................................................................................................................
Virginia .....................................................................................................................................................................................
Washington ..............................................................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ............................................................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .................................................................................................................................................................................
Wyoming ..................................................................................................................................................................................
0.64
1.02
2.95
0.12
0.43
1.11
0.10
8.00
0.34
12.08
0.65
0.35
2.25
1.57
0.36
5.20
0.08
0.23
0.12
0.86
3.83
1.46
0.03
1.39
0.11
1.79
5.10
0.42
* Does not include California monitoring sites.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
2. Application of Contribution
Screening Threshold
In Step 2 of the interstate transport
framework, the EPA uses an air quality
screening threshold to identify upwind
states that contribute to downwind
ozone concentrations in amounts
sufficient to ‘‘link’’ them to these to
downwind nonattainment and
maintenance receptors. The
contributions from each state to each
downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptor that were used for
the Step 2 evaluation can be found in
the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule
TSD.
The EPA applies an air quality
screening threshold of 1 percent of the
NAAQS, which has been used since the
CSAPR rulemaking, including in the
CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR
Update, and numerous actions
evaluating states’ transport SIP
submittals. The explanation for how this
value was originally derived is available
in the CSAPR rulemaking from 2011.
See 76 FR 48208, 48237–38. As
originally explained there, the
application of a relatively low threshold
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is intended to capture a relatively large
percentage of the contribution from
upwind states to downwind receptors in
light of the regional-scale, collective
contribution problem associated with
both ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS. Id. The
Agency also explained that the use of a
higher threshold in transport rules prior
to CSAPR was based on single-day
maximum contribution, whereas in
CSAPR (and continuing in subsequent
rules including this one), the Agency
uses a more robust, average contribution
metric over multiple days. Thus, it was
not the case that 1 percent of NAAQS
was substantially more stringent than
that prior approach. Id. at 48238. In the
2016 CSAPR Update, the EPA reviewed
the 1 percent threshold (as coupled with
multi-day averaging) and determined it
was appropriate to continue to apply
this threshold. The EPA compared the 1
percent threshold to a 0.5 percent of
NAAQS threshold and a 5 percent of
NAAQS threshold. The EPA found that
the lower threshold did not capture
appreciably more upwind state
contribution compared to the 1 percent
threshold, while the 5 percent threshold
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allowed too much upwind state
contribution to drop out from further
analysis.174 The EPA continues to
observe that nonattainment and
maintenance receptors identified at Step
1 are impacted collectively by emissions
from numerous upwind contributors.
Therefore, application of a low, uniform
screening threshold allows the EPA to
identify upwind states that share a
responsibility under the interstate
transport provision to eliminate their
significant contribution.
As we explained at proposal, the EPA
recognizes that in 2018 it issued a
memorandum indicating the potential
for states to use a higher threshold at
Step 2 in the development of their good
neighbor SIP submissions where it
could be technically justified. The
August 2018 memorandum stated that
‘‘it may be reasonable and appropriate’’
for states to rely on an alternative 1 ppb
threshold at Step 2.175 (The
memorandum also indicated that any
174 See Final CSAPR Update Air Quality
Modeling TSD, at 27–30 (EPA–HQ–OAR–2015–
0596–0144). See also 86 FR 23054, 23085.
175 August 2018 memo at 4.
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higher alternative threshold, such as 2
ppb, would likely not be appropriate.)
The EPA nonetheless proposed to fulfill
its role under CAA section 110(c) in
promulgating FIPs to directly
implement good neighbor requirements,
and in this role, proposed retaining use
of the 1 percent threshold for all states.
We noted that in several documents
proposing transport SIP disapprovals,
see, e.g., 87 FR 9498 and 87 FR 9510
(Feb. 22, 2022), we explained that our
experience since the issuance of the
August 2018 memorandum regarding
use of alternative thresholds led the
Agency to believe it may not be
appropriate to continue to attempt to
recognize alternative contribution
thresholds at Step 2, either in the
context of SIPs or FIPs.
We went on to explain that the EPA’s
experience since 2018 is that allowing
for alternative Step 2 thresholds may be
impractical or otherwise inadvisable for
a number of additional policy reasons.
For a regional air pollutant such as
ozone, consistency in requirements and
expectations across all states is
essential. Using multiple different
thresholds at Step 2 with respect to the
2015 ozone NAAQS raises substantial
policy consistency and practical
implementation concerns.176 The
application of different thresholds at
Step 2 has the potential to result in
inconsistent determination of good
neighbor obligations. From the
perspective of ensuring effective
regional implementation of good
neighbor obligations, the more
important analysis is the evaluation of
the emissions reductions needed, if any,
to address a state’s significant
contribution after consideration of a
multifactor analysis at Step 3, including
a detailed evaluation that considers air
quality factors and cost. We explained
that while alternative thresholds for
purposes of Step 2 may be ‘‘similar’’ in
terms of capturing the relative amount
of upwind contribution (as described in
the August 2018 memorandum),
nonetheless, use of alternative
thresholds would allow certain states to
avoid further evaluation of potential
emissions controls while other states
must proceed to a Step 3 analysis. This
could create significant equity and
consistency problems among states.
The EPA further proposed that, in
promulgating FIPs to address these
obligations on a nationwide scale,
176 We note that Congress has placed on the EPA
a general obligation to ensure the requirements of
the CAA are implemented consistently across states
and regions. See CAA section 301(a)(2). Where the
management and regulation of interstate pollution
levels spanning many states is at stake, consistency
in application of CAA requirements is paramount.
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national ozone transport policy would
not be well-served by applying a single,
less stringent threshold at Step 2. The
EPA recognized in the August 2018
memo that there was some similarity in
the amount of total upwind contribution
captured (on a nationwide basis)
between 1 percent and 1 ppb. However,
the EPA noted at proposal that while
this may be true in some sense, that is
hardly a compelling basis to move to a
1 ppb threshold. Indeed, the 1 ppb
threshold has the disadvantage of losing
a certain amount of total upwind
contribution for further evaluation at
Step 3. Considering the core statutory
objective of ensuring elimination of all
significant contribution to
nonattainment or interference of the
NAAQS in downwind states and the
broad, regional nature of the collective
contribution problem with respect to
ozone, EPA could not identify a
compelling policy imperative to move to
a 1 ppb threshold.
In the proposal, we also found
consistency with past interstate
transport actions such as CSAPR, and
the CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR
Update rulemakings (which used a Step
2 threshold of 1 percent of the NAAQS
for two less protective ozone NAAQS) to
be an important consideration.
Continuing to use a 1 percent of NAAQS
approach ensures that as the NAAQS
are revised and made more stringent, an
appropriate increase in stringency at
Step 2 occurs, so as to ensure an
appropriately larger amount of total
upwind-state contribution is captured
for purposes of fully addressing
interstate transport for the more
protective NAAQS.
The Agency also questioned whether
it would be a good use of limited
resources to attempt to further justify
the use of alternative thresholds for
certain states at Step 2 for purposes of
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Therefore,
while EPA articulated the possibility of
an alternative threshold in the August
2018 memorandum, the EPA concluded
in the proposal that our experience and
further evaluation since the issuance of
that memo has revealed substantial
programmatic and policy difficulties in
attempting to implement this approach,
and therefore we proposed to apply the
1 percent of NAAQS threshold.
Comment: Many commenters
disagreed with our proposal to continue
using a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold.
They argued that the EPA was reversing
course from its policy as articulated in
the August 2018 memorandum and that
the EPA was now bound to use a 1 ppb
threshold rather than 1 percent of
NAAQS, even in promulgating a FIP
rather than evaluating SIPs.
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36713
Commenters further argued that a 1 ppb
threshold would be more consistent
with the EPA’s ‘‘significant impact
level’’ (SIL) guidance related to
implementing prevention of significant
deterioration (PSD) permitting
requirements. They argued that the 1
percent threshold was below precision
limits of regulatory ozone monitors, and
they argued it was within the ‘‘margin
of error’’ of the EPA’s modeling.
Response: The EPA is finalizing its
proposed approach of consistently using
a 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold at
Step 2 in this action to determine which
states contribute to identified
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors. This approach ensures both
national consistency across all states
and consistency and continuity with our
prior interstate transport actions for
other NAAQS. We do not agree that this
approach is inconsistent with or a
reversal in policy from the August 2018
memorandum, which only suggested
that states in the development of their
SIPs ‘‘may’’ be able to establish that 1
ppb could be an appropriate alternative
threshold. The EPA has been consistent
in that memorandum, and since that
time, that final determinations on
alternative thresholds would be made
through rulemaking action, as the EPA
is taking here.
The August 2018 memorandum made
clear that the Agency had substantial
doubts that any threshold greater than 1
ppb (such as 2 ppb) would be
acceptable, and the Agency is affirming
that a threshold higher than 1 ppb
would not be justified under any
circumstance for purposes of this action.
No commenter credibly provided a basis
for using a threshold even higher than
1 ppb, and so this issue is primarily
limited to the difference between a 0.7
ppb threshold (the 1 percent of the
NAAQS threshold discussed previously
in this section) and a 1.0 ppb threshold.
Therefore, before proceeding in
responding to these comments, we note
that this issue is only relevant to a small
number of states whose contributions to
any receptor are above 1 percent of the
NAAQS but lower than 1 ppb. Under
the 2016v3 modeling of 2023 being used
in this final rule, the states in this rule
with contributions that fall between
0.70 ppb and 1 ppb are Alabama,
Kentucky, and Minnesota. Similarly, the
EPA applies the 1 percent threshold in
its 2026 modeling projections to
determine if any states will not be
linked to an ozone receptor by that year,
and therefore should not be subject to
the more stringent requirements that
take effect in 2026. The states in this
rule in that year with contribution
between 0.70 ppb and 1 ppb are
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Kentucky, Nevada, and Oklahoma. For
all other states covered in this action, at
least one linkage exists in 2023 (and, as
relevant, in 2026) that is greater than 1
ppb, and therefore the question of
whether the EPA must recognize a 1 ppb
threshold would not have a dispositive
effect on the regulatory determination
being made at Step 2.
The 1 percent of the NAAQS
threshold is consistent with the Step 2
approach that the EPA applied in
CSAPR for the 1997 ozone NAAQS and
has subsequently been applied in the
CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR
Update when evaluating determining
interstate transport obligations for the
2008 ozone NAAQS. The EPA continues
to find 1 percent of the ozone NAAQS
to be an appropriate threshold. For
ozone, as the EPA found in CAIR,
CSAPR, and the CSAPR Update, a
portion of the nonattainment and
maintenance problems in the U.S.
results from the combined impact of
relatively small contributions from
many upwind states, along with
contributions from in-state sources and
other sources. The EPA’s analysis shows
that the ozone transport problem being
analyzed in this rule is still the result of
the collective impacts of emissions from
multiple upwind contributors.
Therefore, application of a consistent
contribution threshold is necessary to
identify those upwind states that should
have responsibility for addressing their
contribution (to the extent found
‘‘significant’’ at Step 3) to the
downwind nonattainment and
maintenance problems to which they
collectively contribute. Where a great
number of geographically dispersed
emissions sources contribute to a
downwind air quality problem, which is
the case for ozone, EPA believes that, in
the context of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), a state-level threshold
of 1 percent of the NAAQS is a
reasonably small enough value to
identify only the greater-than-de
minimis contributors yet is not so large
that it unfairly focuses attention for
further action only on the largest single
or few upwind contributors. Continuing
to use 1 percent of the NAAQS as the
screening metric to evaluate collective
contribution from many upwind states
also allows the EPA (and states) to apply
a consistent framework to evaluate
interstate emissions transport under the
interstate transport provision from one
NAAQS to the next. See 86 FR 23054,
23085; 81 FR 74504, 74518; 76 FR
48208, 48237–38.
Further, the EPA notes that the role of
the Step 2 threshold is limited and just
one step in the larger 4-Step Framework.
It serves to screen in states for further
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evaluation of emissions control
opportunities applying a multifactor
analysis at Step 3. Thus, as the Supreme
Court has recognized, the contribution
threshold essentially functions to
exclude states with ‘‘de miminis’’
impacts. EME Homer City, 572 U.S. 489,
500.
Comments related to the August 2018
memorandum argued that the EPA
legally committed itself to approving
SIP submissions from states with
contributions below 1 ppb and so now
the EPA must apply that threshold in
this FIP action. (Comments regarding
this issue as related to the EPA’s action
on SIPs is addressed in that rulemaking
and is beyond the scope of this action.)
This is not what the memorandum said.
The memorandum merely provided an
analysis regarding ‘‘the degree to which
certain air quality threshold amounts
capture the collective amount of
upwind contribution from upwind
states.’’ 177 It interpreted ‘‘that
information to make recommendations
about what thresholds may be
appropriate for use in’’ SIP submissions
(emphasis added).178 Specifically, the
August 2018 memorandum said,
‘‘Because the amount of upwind
collective contribution capture with the
1 percent and the 1 ppb thresholds is
generally comparable, overall, we
believe it may be reasonable and
appropriate for states to use a 1 ppb
contribution threshold, as an alternative
to a 1 percent threshold, at Step 2 of the
4-step framework in developing their
SIP revisions addressing the good
neighbor provision for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS’’ (emphasis added).179 Thus,
the text of the August 2018
memorandum in no way committed that
the EPA would be using a 1 ppb
threshold going forward either in its
evaluation of SIPs or in promulgating a
FIP. The August 2018 memorandum
indicated that ‘‘[f]ollowing these
recommendations does not ensure that
EPA will approve a SIP revision in all
instances where the recommendations
are followed, as the guidance may not
apply to the facts and circumstances
underlying a particular SIP. Final
decisions by the EPA to approve a
particular SIP revision will only be
made based on the requirements of the
statute and will only be made following
an air agency’s final submission of the
SIP revision to the EPA, and after
appropriate notice and opportunity for
public review and comment.’’ 180
Further, the August 2018 memorandum
177 August
2018 memorandum, at 1.
178 Id.
179 Id.
180 Id.
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at 1.
Frm 00062
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said that ‘‘EPA and air agencies should
consider whether the recommendations
in this guidance are appropriate for each
situation.’’ 181 The memorandum said
nothing regarding what threshold the
EPA would apply if promulgating a FIP.
As explained in the SIP disapproval
action and again here, the EPA finds it
would not be sound policy to apply an
alternative contribution threshold or
thresholds to one or more states within
the 4-step interstate transport
framework for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
However, the EPA disagrees with
commenters’ claims that the agency has
reversed course on applying the August
2018 memorandum, because the
memorandum never adopted a view that
the use of 1 ppb or other alternative
thresholds would in fact be acceptable.
Although the EPA said at proposal that
the EPA may rescind the guidance in
the future, we took comment on the
subject and also stated, ‘‘EPA is not at
this time rescinding the August 2018
memorandum.’’ 182 The EPA is not
formally rescinding the August 2018
memorandum in this action or at this
time. However, it is not required that
agencies must ‘‘rescind’’ a
memorandum or guidance the moment
it becomes outdated or called into
question. The August 2018
memorandum was not issued through
notice-and-comment rulemaking and is
not binding on the Agency or other
parties. While the willingness of the
Agency as expressed in that
memorandum to entertain the
possibility of an alternative threshold of
1 ppb may be considered a kind of
policy position, agencies may change
their non-binding policies without going
through notice and comment
rulemaking. Catawba County v. EPA,
571 F.3d 20, 34 (D.C. Cir. 2009). In this
case, we went through notice and
comment rulemaking on this topic in
the SIP-disapproval action (88 FR 9336)
and here, even though the August 2018
memorandum was issued without such
opportunity for public input. We further
address the basis for the consistent use
of a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold and
summarize our conclusions under the
FCC v. Fox factors below.
We continue to believe, as set forth in
our proposed action, that national ozone
transport policy is not well served by
181 Id.
182 87 FR 9545, 9551 (Feb. 22, 2022) (Alabama,
Mississippi, Tennessee); 87 FR 9498, 9510 (Feb. 22,
2022) (Kentucky); 87 FR 9838, 9844 (Feb. 22, 2022)
(Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio,
Wisconsin); 87 FR 9798, 9807, 9813, 9820 (Feb. 22,
2022) (Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas); 87
FR 9533, 9542 (Feb. 22, 2022) (Missouri); 87 FR
31470, 31479 (May 24, 2022) (Utah); 87 FR 31495,
31504 (May 24, 2022) (Wyoming); 87 FR 31485,
31490 (May 24, 2022) (Nevada).
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allowing for less protective thresholds
than 1 percent of the NAAQS at Step 2.
Furthermore, the EPA disagrees with
commenters who suggest that national
consistency is an inappropriate
consideration in the context of interstate
ozone transport. The Good Neighbor
provision, CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), requires to a unique
degree of concern for consistency,
parity, and equity across state lines.183
For a regional air pollutant such as
ozone, consistency in requirements and
expectations across all states is
essential. Based on the EPA’s review of
good neighbor SIP submissions to-date
and after further consideration of the
policy implications of attempting to
recognize an alternative Step 2
threshold for certain states, the Agency
concludes that the attempted use of
different thresholds at Step 2 with
respect to the 2015 8-hour ozone
NAAQS raises substantial policy
consistency and practical
implementation concerns. The
availability of different thresholds at
Step 2 has the potential to result in
inconsistent application of good
neighbor obligations based solely on the
strength of a state’s SIP submission at
Step 2 of the 4-step interstate transport
framework. The steps of the analysis
that lead up to evaluating emissions
reductions opportunities to address
states’ significant contribution at Step 3
should be applied on a consistent basis.
Where alternative thresholds for
purposes of Step 2 may be ‘‘similar’’ in
terms of capturing the relative amount
of upwind contribution (as described in
the August 2018 memorandum),
nonetheless, use of an alternative
threshold would allow certain states to
avoid further evaluation of potential
emissions controls while other states
must proceed to a Step 3 analysis. This
can create significant equity and
consistency problems among states and
could lead to ineffective or inefficient
approaches to eliminating significant
contribution.
One commenter suggested the EPA
could address this potentially
inequitable outcome by simply adopting
a 1 ppb contribution threshold for all
states. However, the August 2018
memorandum did not conclude that 1
ppb would be appropriate for all states
and the EPA does not view that
conclusion to be supported at present.
The EPA recognized in the August 2018
183 EPA notes that Congress has placed on EPA
a general obligation to ensure the requirements of
the CAA are implemented consistently across states
and regions. See CAA section 301(a)(2). Where the
management and regulation of interstate pollution
levels spanning many states is at stake, consistency
in application of CAA requirements is paramount.
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memorandum that there was some
similarity in the amount of total upwind
contribution captured (on a nationwide
basis) between 1 percent and 1 ppb.
However, while this may be true in
some sense, that is hardly a compelling
basis to move to a 1 ppb threshold for
every state. Indeed, the 1 ppb threshold
has the disadvantage of losing a certain
amount of total upwind contribution for
further evaluation at Step 3 (e.g.,
roughly 7 percent of total upwind state
contribution was lost according to the
modeling underlying the August 2018
memorandum; in the EPA’s 2016v2
modeling, the amount lost is 5 percent;
in the EPA’s 2016v3 modeling used for
final, the amount lost is also 5 percent).
Further, this logic has no end point. A
similar observation could be made with
respect to any incremental change. For
example, should the EPA next recognize
a 1.2 ppb threshold because that would
only cause some small additional loss in
capture of upwind state contribution as
compared to 1 ppb? If the only basis for
moving to a 1 ppb threshold is that it
captures a ‘‘similar’’ (but actually
smaller) amount of upwind
contribution, then there is no basis for
moving to that threshold at all.
Considering the core statutory objective
of ensuring elimination of all significant
contribution to nonattainment or
interference with maintenance of the
NAAQS in other states and the broad,
regional nature of the collective
contribution problem with respect to
ozone, we continue to find no
compelling policy reason to adopt a new
threshold for all states of 1 ppb.
Nor have commenters explained why
use of a 1 ppb threshold would be
appropriate under the more protective
2015 ozone NAAQS when a 1 percent
of the NAAQS contribution threshold
has been used for less protective ozone
NAAQS. To illustrate, a state
contributing greater than 0.75 ppb but
less than 1 ppb to a receptor under the
2008 ozone NAAQS was ‘‘linked’’ at
Step 2,184 but if a 1 ppb threshold were
used for the 2015 ozone NAAQS then
that same state would not be ‘‘linked’’
to a receptor at Step 2 under a NAAQS
that is set to be more protective of
human health and the environment.
Consistency with past interstate
transport actions such as CSAPR, and
the CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR
Update rulemakings (which all used the
1 percent of the NAAQS for less
protective ozone NAAQS), is an
important consideration. We affirm our
view in CSAPR that continuing to use
a 1 percent of NAAQS approach ensures
that if the NAAQS are revised and made
184 See
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more stringent, an appropriate increase
in stringency at Step 2 occurs, so as to
ensure an appropriately larger amount
of total upwind-state contribution is
captured for purposes of fully
addressing interstate transport. See 76
FR 48208, 48237–38.
We note further that application of a
1 percent of NAAQS threshold has been
the EPA’s consistent approach in each
of our notice-and-comment rulemakings
beginning with CSAPR and continuing
with the CSAPR Update, the Revised
CSAPR Update, and numerous actions
on ozone transport SIP submissions. In
each case, the 1 percent of the NAAQS
threshold was subject to rigorous vetting
through public comment and the
Agency’s response to those comments,
including through the use of analytical
evaluations of alternative thresholds.
See, e.g., 81 FR 74518–19. By contrast,
the August 2018 memorandum was not
issued through notice-and-comment
rulemaking procedures, and the EPA
was careful to caveat its utility and
ultimate reliability for that reason.
The EPA disagrees with claims that
the EPA is applying the August 2018
memorandum inconsistently based on
the EPA’s actions with regard to
Arizona, Iowa, and Oregon. The EPA
withdrew a previously proposed
approval of Iowa’s SIP submission that
was premised on a 1 ppb contribution
threshold, and re-proposed and
finalized approval of that SIP based on
a different rationale using a 1 percent of
the NAAQS contribution threshold. 87
FR 9477 (Feb. 22, 2022); 87 FR 22463
(April 15, 2022). The EPA also disagrees
with any claim that Oregon and Arizona
were ‘‘allowed’’ to use a 1 ppb or higher
threshold. The EPA approved Oregon’s
SIP submission for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS on May 17, 2019, and both
Oregon and the EPA relied on a 1
percent of the NAAQS contribution
threshold. 84 FR 7854, 7856 (March 5,
2019) (proposal); 84 FR 22376 (May 17,
2019) (final). In the proposal for this
action, the EPA explained it was not
proposing to conduct an error correction
for Oregon even though updated
modeling indicated Oregon contributed
above 1 percent of the NAAQS to
monitors in California.
The EPA is deferring finalizing a
finding at this time for Oregon (see
section IV.G of this document for
additional information). In 2016, the
EPA approved Arizona’s SIP for the
earlier 2008 ozone NAAQS based on a
similar rationale with regard to certain
monitors in California. 81 FR 15200
(March 22, 2016) (proposal); 81 FR
31513 (May 19, 2016) (final rule). We
are deferring finalizing a finding at this
time that such a rationale is appropriate
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with respect to the more protective 2015
ozone NAAQS. While Arizona and
Oregon’s interstate transport obligations
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS remain
pending (along with several other
states), there is no inconsistency in the
treatment of these states or any other
state at Step 2.
Some commenters claim the EPA
must use a 1 ppb threshold based on the
identification of 1 ppb as a significance
threshold in one step of the PSD
permitting process. The EPA’s SIL
guidances, however, relate to a different
provision of the Clean Air Act regarding
implementation of the prevention of
significant deterioration (PSD)
permitting program. This program
applies in areas that have been
designated attainment of the NAAQS
and is intended to ensure that such
areas remain in attainment even if
emissions were to increase as a result of
new sources or major modifications to
existing sources located in those areas.
This purpose is different than the
purpose of the good neighbor provision,
which is to assist downwind areas (in
some cases hundreds or thousands of
miles away) in resolving ongoing
nonattainment of the NAAQS or
difficulty maintaining the NAAQS
through eliminating the emissions from
other states that are significantly
contributing to those problems. In
addition, as discussed in preceding
paragraphs, the purpose of the Step 2
threshold within the EPA’s interstate
transport framework for ozone is to
broadly sweep in all states contributing
to identified receptors above a de
minimis level in recognition of the
collective-contribution problem
associated with regional-scale ozone
transport. The threshold used in the
context of PSD SIL serves a different
purpose, and so it does not follow that
they should be made equivalent.
Further, commenters incorrectly
associate the EPA’s Step 2 contribution
threshold with the identification of
‘‘significant’’ emissions (which does not
occur until Step 3), and so it is not the
case that the EPA is interpreting the
same term differently.
The EPA has previously explained
this distinction between the good
neighbor framework and PSD SILs. See
70 FR 25162, 25190–25191 (May 12,
2005); 76 FR 48208, 48237 (Aug. 8,
2011). Importantly, the implication of
the PSD SIL threshold is not that singlesource contribution below this level
indicates the absence of a contribution
or that no emissions control
requirements are warranted. Rather, the
PSD SIL threshold addresses whether
further, more comprehensive, multisource review or analysis of air quality
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impacts are required of the source to
support a demonstration that it meets
the criteria for a permit. A source with
estimated impacts below the PSD SIL
may use this to demonstrate that it will
not cause or contribute (as those terms
are used within the PSD program) to a
violation of an ambient air quality
standard, but is still subject to meeting
applicable control requirements,
including best available control
technology, designed to moderate the
source’s impact on air quality.
Moreover, other aspects of the
technical methodology in the SILs
guidance compared to the good
neighbor framework make a direct
comparison between these two values
misleading. For instance, in PSD permit
modeling using a single year of
meteorology the maximum single-day 8hour contribution is evaluated with
respect to the SIL. The purpose of the
contribution threshold at Step 2 of the
4-step good neighbor framework is to
determine whether the average
contribution from a collection of sources
in a state is small enough not to warrant
any additional control for the purpose of
mitigating interstate transport, even if
that control were highly cost effective.
Using a 1 percent of the NAAQS
threshold is more appropriate for
evaluating multi-day average
contributions from upwind states than a
1 ppb threshold applied for a single day,
since that lower value of 1 percent of
the NAAQS will capture variations in
contribution. If EPA were to use a single
day reflecting the maximum amount of
contribution from an upwind state to
determine whether a linkage exists at
Step 2, commenters’ arguments for use
of the PSD SIL might have more force.
This would in effect be a return to the
pre-CSAPR contribution calculation
methodology of using a single day, see
76 FR 48238. However, that would
likely cause more states to become
linked, not less. And in any case,
consistent with the method in our
modeling guidance for projecting future
attainment/nonattainment and as the
EPA concluded in 2011 in CSAPR, the
present good neighbor methodology of
using multiple days provides a more
robust approach to establishing that a
linkage exists at the state level than
relying on a single day of data.
A commenter also claimed the 1
percent of NAAQS threshold is
inconsistent with the standards of
precision for Federal reference monitors
for ozone and the rounding
requirements found in 40 CFR part 50,
appendix U, Interpretation of the
Primary and Secondary National
Ambient Air Quality Standards for
Ozone. Commenter claimed that the 1
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percent contribution threshold of 0.7
ppb is lower than the manufacturer’s
reported precision of these reference
monitors and that the requirements
found in Appendix U truncates monitor
values of 0.7 ppb to 0 ppb. However, the
commenter is mistaken in applying
criteria related to the precision of
monitoring technology to the modeling
methodology by which we project
contributions when quantifying and
evaluating interstate transport at Step 2.
Indeed, contributions by source or state
cannot be derived from the total
ambient concentration of ozone at a
monitor at all but must be apportioned
through modeling. Under our
longstanding methodology for doing so,
the contribution values identified from
upwind states are based on a robust
assessment of the average impact of
each upwind state’s ozone-precursor
emissions over a range of scenarios, as
explained in the 2016v3 modeling’s Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD, in the
docket for this rule, Docket ID No. EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668. This analysis is
in no way connected with or dependent
on monitoring instruments’ precision of
measurement. See EME Homer City, 795
F.3d 118, 135–36 (‘‘[A] model is meant
to simplify reality in order to make it
tractable.’ ’’) (quoting Chemical
Manufacturers Association v. EPA, 28
F.3d 1259, 1264 (D.C. Cir. 1994).
To the extent that commenters argue
that the EPA consider a less stringent
threshold as a result of modeling
uncertainty, the EPA disagrees with this
notion. The EPA has successfully
applied a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold
to identify linked upwind states using
modeling in three prior FIP rulemakings
and numerous state-specific actions on
good neighbor obligations. This
continues to be a reasonable approach,
and indeed courts have repeatedly
declined to establish bright line criteria
for model performance. In upholding
the EPA’s approach to evaluating
interstate transport in CSAPR, the D.C.
Circuit held that it would not
‘‘invalidate EPA’s predictions solely
because there might be discrepancies
between those predictions and the real
world. That possibility is inherent in the
enterprise of prediction.’’ EME Homer
City Generation, L.P. v. EPA, 795 F.3d
118, 135 (2015). ‘‘[T]he fact that a
‘model does not fit every application
perfectly is no criticism; a model is
meant to simplify reality in order to
make it tractable.’ ’’ Id. at 135–36
(quoting Chemical Manufacturers
Association v. EPA, 28 F.3d 1259, 1264
(D.C. Cir. 1994). See also Sierra Club v.
EPA, 939 F.3d 649, 686–87 (5th Cir.
2019) (upholding EPA’s modeling in the
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face of complaints regarding an alleged
‘‘margin of error,’’ noting challengers
face a ‘‘considerable burden’’ in
overcoming a ‘‘presumption of
regularity’’ afforded ‘‘the EPA’s choice
of analytical methodology’’) (citing
BCCA Appeal Grp. v. EPA, 355 F.3d
817, 832 (5th Cir. 2003)).
The Agency will continue to use the
CAMx model to evaluate contributions
from upwind states to downwind areas.
The agency has used CAMx routinely in
previous notice and comment transport
rulemakings to evaluate contributions
relative to the 1 percent threshold for
both ozone and PM2.5. In fact, in the
original CSAPR, the EPA found that
‘‘[t]here was wide support from
commenters for the use of CAMx as an
appropriate, state-of-the science air
quality tool for use in the [Cross-State
Air Pollution] Rule. There were no
comments that suggested that the EPA
should use an alternative model for
quantifying interstate transport.’’ 76 FR
48229 (August 8, 2011). In this action,
the EPA has taken a number of steps
based on comments and new
information to ensure to the greatest
extent the accuracy and reliability of its
modeling projections at Step 1 and 2, as
discussed elsewhere in this section.
The EPA disagrees with commenters
that case law reviewing changes in
agency positions such as FCC v. Fox TV
Stations, Inc., 556 U.S. 502, 515 (2009),
is applicable with respect to this issue.
As explained above, under the terms of
the August 2018 memorandum, the
Agency did not conclude that the use of
an alternative contribution threshold
was justified for any states. But even if
it were found that the Agency’s position
had changed between this rulemaking
action and the August 2018
memorandum, the FCC v. Fox factors
are met. We have explained above that
there are good reasons for continuing to
use a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold.
We also are aware that we are not using
a 1 ppb threshold despite
acknowledging the potential for doing
so in the August 2018 memorandum.
We do not believe that any party has a
serious reliance interest that would be
sufficient to overcome the
countervailing public interest that is
served through the EPA’s determination
to maintain continuity with its
longstanding, more protective 1 percent
of NAAQS threshold in this action. Cf.
88 FR 9373 (reviewing reliance in the
context of the SIP-disapproval action).
The EPA therefore will continue its
longstanding practice of applying the 1
percent of NAAQS threshold in this
action.
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a. States That Contribute Below the
Screening Threshold
Based on the EPA’s modeling and
considering measured data at violating
monitors, the contributions from each of
the following states to nonattainment or
maintenance-only receptors in the 2023
analytic year are below the 1 percent of
the NAAQS threshold: Colorado,
Connecticut, the District of Columbia,
Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho,
Maine, Massachusetts, Montana,
Nebraska, New Hampshire, North
Carolina, North Dakota, Rhode Island,
South Carolina, South Dakota, Vermont,
and Washington.185 The EPA has
already approved these states’ 2015
ozone good neighbor SIP submittals.
Because the contributions from these
states to projected downwind air quality
problems are below the screening
threshold in the current modeling, these
states are not within the scope of this
final rule. Additionally, the EPA has
made final determinations that two
states outside the modeling domain for
the air quality modeling analyzed in this
final rulemaking—Hawaii 186 and
Alaska 187—do not significantly
contribute to nonattainment or interfere
with maintenance of the NAAQS in any
other state.
With respect to Wyoming, our
methodology when applied using the
2016v3 modeling suggests that whether
the state is linked is uncertain and
warrants further analysis. The EPA
intends to expeditiously review its
assessment with respect to Wyoming
and take action addressing Wyoming’s
good neighbor obligations for the 2015
ozone NAAQS through a separate
action.
b. States That Contribute at or Above the
Screening Threshold
Based on the maximum downwind
contributions in Table IV.F–1, the Step
2 analysis identifies that the following
21 states contribute at or above the 0.70
ppb threshold to downwind
nonattainment receptors in 2023:
Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West
Virginia. Based on the maximum
downwind contributions in Table IV.F–
185 The status of monitoring sites in California to
which Oregon may be linked is under review. See
section IV.G.
186 The EPA approved Hawaii’s 2015 ozone
transport SIP on December 27, 2021. See 86 FR
73129.
187 The EPA approved Alaska’s 2015 ozone
transport SIP on December 18, 2019. See 84 FR
69331.
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36717
1, the following 23 states contribute at
or above the 0.70 ppb threshold to
downwind modeling-based
maintenance-only receptors in 2023:
Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Texas, Virginia, West
Virginia, and Wisconsin. Based on the
maximum downwind contribution in
Table IV.F–3, the following additional
states contribute at or above the 0.70
ppb threshold to downwind violating
monitor maintenance-only receptors in
2023: Kansas and Tennessee. (However,
the EPA is not taking final action based
on this analytical result for these two
states at this time.) The levels of
contribution between each of these
linked upwind states and downwind
nonattainment receptors and
maintenance-only receptors are
provided in the Air Quality Modeling
Final Rule TSD.
Among the linked states are several
western states—California, Nevada, and
Utah. While the EPA has not previously
included action on linked western states
in its prior CSAPR rulemakings, the
EPA has consistently applied the 4-step
framework in evaluating good neighbor
obligations from these states. On a caseby-case basis, the EPA has found in
some instances with respect to the 2008
ozone NAAQS that a unique
consideration has warranted approval of
a western state’s good neighbor SIP
submittal that might otherwise be found
to contribute above 1 percent of the
NAAQS without concluding that
additional emissions reductions are
required at Step 3 of the framework.188
The EPA has also explained in prior
actions that its air quality modeling is
reliable for assessing downwind air
quality problems and ozone transport
contributions from upwind states
throughout the nationwide modeling
domain.189 The EPA is deferring
finalizing a finding at this time for
Oregon (see section IV.G of this
document for additional information).
As explained in the following section,
the EPA is not, in this action, altering
its prior approval of Oregon’s good
neighbor SIP submission for the 2015
ozone NAAQS. For the remaining
western states included in this rule, the
EPA’s modeling supports a conclusion
that these states are linked above the
188 See interstate transport approval actions under
the 2008 ozone NAAQS for Arizona, California, and
Wyoming at 81 FR 36179 (June 6, 2016), 83 FR
65093 (December 19, 2018), and 84 FR 14270 (April
10, 2019)), respectively.
189 See 81 FR 71991 (October 19, 2016), 82 FR
9155 (February 3, 2017).
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contribution threshold to identified
ozone transport receptors in downwind
states, and therefore, consistent with the
treatment of all other states within the
modeling domain, the EPA proposes to
proceed to evaluate these states for a
determination of ‘‘significant
contribution’’ at Step 3.
In conclusion, as described above,
states with contributions that equal or
exceed 1 percent of the NAAQS to
either nonattainment or maintenanceonly receptors are identified as ‘‘linked’’
at Step 2 of the good neighbor
framework and warrant further analysis
for significant contribution to
nonattainment or interference with
maintenance under Step 3. The EPA
finds that for purposes of this final rule,
the following 23 states are linked at Step
2 in 2023: Alabama, Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri,
Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah,
Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
In addition, the EPA finds that the
following 20 States are linked at Step 2
in 2026: Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West
Virginia. We note that our updated
modeling for this final rule shows that
two states, Minnesota and Wisconsin,
that we found linked in 2026 at
proposal are no longer projected to be
linked in that year but are linked in
2023.190 As at proposal, Alabama is only
projected to be linked in 2023, not 2026.
For six states, the EPA’s analysis at
this time indicates that a linkage may
exist in 2023 for which the EPA had not
proposed FIP requirements, or the
updated analysis for this final rule
suggests that linkages we had previously
found in the proposed action are now
uncertain and warrant further analysis.
The EPA intends to expeditiously
address these states in a separate action
or actions: Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, New
Mexico, Tennessee, and Wyoming.
G. Treatment of Certain Monitoring
Sites in California and Implications for
Oregon’s Good Neighbor Obligations for
the 2015 Ozone NAAQS
The EPA previously approved
Oregon’s September 25, 2018 transport
SIP submittal for the 2015 ozone
190 Minnesota and Wisconsin were linked to
maintenance-only receptors in Cook County, IL in
2023. Minnesota and Wisconsin are not linked in
2026 because the 2026 average and maximum
design values at the monitoring sites are projected
to show attainment.
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NAAQS on May 17, 2019 (84 FR 22376),
because in an earlier round of modeling
Oregon was not projected to contribute
above 1 percent of the NAAQS to any
downwind receptors. In the EPA’s
updated modeling used at proposal
(2016v2) and again in the final modeling
(2016v3), Oregon is modeled to
contribute above the 1 percent of
NAAQS threshold to several monitoring
sites in California that would generally
meet the EPA’s definition of
nonattainment or maintenance
‘‘receptors’’ at Step 1.191 At proposal,
the EPA explained that our analysis of
the nature of the air quality problem at
these monitoring sites led us to propose
a determination that these monitoring
sites should not be treated as receptors
for purposes of determining interstate
transport obligations of upwind states
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). We
explained that we reached this
conclusion at Step 1 of our 4-step
framework.
The EPA previously made a similar
assessment of the nature of certain other
monitoring sites in California in
approving Arizona’s 2008 ozone
NAAQS transport SIP submittal.192
There, the EPA noted that a ‘‘factor
[. . .] relevant to determining the nature
of a projected receptor’s interstate
transport problem is the magnitude of
ozone attributable to transport from all
upwind states collectively contributing
to the air quality problem.’’ 193 The EPA
observed that only one upwind state
(Arizona) was linked above 1 percent of
the 2008 ozone NAAQS to the two
relevant monitoring sites in California,
and the cumulative ozone contribution
from all upwind states to those sites was
2.5 percent and 4.4 percent of the total
ozone, respectively. The EPA
determined the size of those cumulative
upwind contributions was ‘‘negligible,
particularly when compared to the
relatively large contributions from
upwind states in the East or in certain
other areas of the West.’’ 194 In that
action, the EPA concluded the two
California sites to which Arizona was
linked should not be treated as receptors
for the purposes of determining Good
Neighbor obligations for the 2008 ozone
NAAQS.195
191 Monitors are included in the docket for this
rulemaking. While EPA is providing information
about cumulative upwind contribution to the
California monitors, the Agency is not making a
determination in this action that these monitors are
ozone transport receptors.
192 81 FR 15200 (March 22, 2016) (proposal); 81
FR 31513 (May 19, 2016) (final rule).
193 81 FR 15203.
194 Id.
195 Id.
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Comment: Commenters criticized
what they considered to be unfair
treatment of Oregon, stating that the
EPA is applying a higher contribution
threshold than it applies to other states.
Commenters argued that EPA has not
established a specific threshold for why
the level of upwind-state impact at these
sites should not be considered
meaningful. Commenters argued that
our analysis ignored the fact that there
are many monitoring sites in California
to which Oregon contributes above 1
percent of the NAAQS. Commenters
state that EPA has failed to explain why
Oregon is not subject to this rulemaking,
while other states contribute lower total
downwind ozone contributions and
fewer receptors. Commenters concluded
that since Oregon is linked it should be
subject to the same emissions control
determinations at Step 3 and 4 as every
other state, or otherwise apply the same
‘‘nature of the air quality problem’’
consideration to eliminate other
receptors.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that several commenters opposed the
proposed treatment of Oregon and the
California monitoring sites to which it is
linked in the proposed and final
modeling. We also recognize that other
commenters expressed confusion
regarding the role of this proposed
determination at Step 1 and how it
relates to the longstanding 4-step
interstate transport framework that the
EPA is otherwise applying in this
action. In recognition of these concerns
and the need to give further thought to
the appropriate treatment of both
upwind states and downwind receptors
in these circumstances, the EPA is
deferring finalizing a finding at this time
for Oregon. The current approval of the
state’s SIP submission will remain in
place for the time being, pending further
review. We make no final determination
in this action regarding whether the
California monitoring sites at issue
should or should not be treated as
receptors for purposes of addressing
interstate transport for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.
V. Quantifying Upwind-State NOX
Emissions Reduction Potential To
Reduce Interstate Ozone Transport for
the 2015 Ozone NAAQS
A. The Multi-Factor Test for
Determining Significant Contribution
This section describes the EPA’s
methodology at Step 3 of the 4-step
framework for identifying upwind
emissions that constitute ‘‘significant’’
contribution for the states subject to this
final rule and focuses on the 23 states
with FIP requirements identified in the
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previous sections. Following the
existing framework as applied in the
prior CSAPR rulemakings, the EPA’s
assessment of linked upwind state
emissions is based primarily on analysis
of several alternative levels of NOX
emissions control stringency applied
uniformly across all of the linked states.
The analysis includes assessment of
non-EGU stationary sources in addition
to EGU sources in the linked upwind
states.
The EPA applies a multi-factor test—
the same multi-factor test that was used
in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update 196—to evaluate
increasing levels of uniform NOX
control stringency. The multi-factor test,
which is central to EPA’s Step 3
quantification of significant
contribution, considers cost, available
emissions reductions, downwind air
quality impacts, and other factors to
determine the appropriate level of
uniform NOX control stringency that
would eliminate significant contribution
to downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptors. The selection of
a uniform level of NOX emissions
control stringency across all of the
linked states, reflected as a
representative cost per ton of emissions
reduction (or a weighted average cost
per ton in the case of EPA’s non-EGU
and EGU analysis for 2026 mitigation
measures), also serves to apportion the
reduction responsibility among
collectively contributing upwind states.
This approach to quantifying upwind
state emission-reduction obligations
using uniform cost was reviewed by the
Supreme Court in EME Homer City
Generation, which held that using such
an approach to apportion emissions
reduction responsibilities among
upwind states that are collectively
responsible for downwind air quality
impacts ‘‘is an efficient and equitable
solution to the allocation problem the
Good Neighbor Provision requires the
Agency to address.’’ 572 U.S. at 519.
There are four stages in developing
the multi-factor test: (1) identify levels
of uniform NOX control stringency; (2)
evaluate potential NOX emissions
reductions associated with each
identified level of uniform control
stringency; (3) assess air quality
improvements at downwind receptors
for each level of uniform control
stringency; and (4) select a level of
control stringency considering the
identified cost, available NOX emissions
reductions, and downwind air quality
impacts, while also ensuring that
emissions reductions do not
196 See CSAPR, Final Rule, 76 FR 48208 (August
8, 2011).
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unnecessarily over-control relative to
the contribution threshold or downwind
air quality.
As mentioned in section III.A.2 of this
document, commenters on the proposed
rule and previous ozone transport rules
have suggested that the EPA should
regulate VOCs as an ozone precursor.
For this final rule, the EPA examined
the results of the contribution modeling
performed for this rule to identify the
portion of the ozone contribution
attributable to anthropogenic NOX
emissions versus VOC emissions from
each linked upwind state to each
downwind receptor. Of the total
upwind-downwind linkages in 2023,
the contributions from NOX emissions
comprise 80 percent or more of the total
anthropogenic contribution for nearly
all of the linkages (121 out of 124 total).
Across all receptors, the contribution
from NOX emissions ranges from 84
percent to 97 percent of the total
anthropogenic contribution from
upwind states. This review of the
portion of the ozone contribution
attributable to anthropogenic NOX
emissions versus VOC emissions from
each linked upwind state leads the
Agency to conclude that the vast
majority of the downwind air quality
areas addressed by the final rule under
are primarily NOX-limited, rather than
VOC-limited. Therefore, the EPA
continues to find that regulation of
VOCs as an ozone precursor in upwind
states is not necessary to eliminate
significant contribution or interference
with maintenance in downwind areas in
this final rule. The remainder of this
section focuses on EPA’s strategy for
reducing regional-scale transport of
ozone by targeting NOX emissions from
stationary sources to achieve the most
effective reductions of ozone transport
over the geography of the affected
downwind areas.
For both EGUs and non-EGUs, section
V.B of this document describes the
available NOX emissions controls that
the EPA evaluated for this final rule and
their representative cost levels (in
2016$). Section V.C of this document
discusses EPA’s application of that
information to assess emissions
reduction potential of the identified
control stringencies. Finally, section
V.D of this document describes EPA’s
assessment of associated air quality
impacts and EPA’s subsequent
identification of appropriate control
stringencies considering the key
relevant factors (cost, available
emissions reductions, and downwind
air quality impacts).
This multi-factor approach is
consistent with EPA’s approach in prior
transport actions, such as CSAPR. In
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addition, as was evaluated in the
CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA evaluated whether,
based on particularized evidence, its
selected control strategy would result in
over-control for any upwind state by
examining whether an upwind state is
linked solely to downwind air quality
problems that could have been resolved
at a lesser threshold of control
stringency and whether an upwind state
could reduce its emissions below the 1
percent air quality contribution
threshold at a lesser threshold of control
stringency. This analysis is described in
section V.D of this document.
Finally, while the EPA has evaluated
potential emissions reductions from
non-EGU sources in prior rules and
found certain non-EGU emissions
reductions should inform the budgets
established in the NOX SIP Call, this is
the first action for which the EPA is
finalizing non-EGU emissions
reductions within the context of the
specific, 4-step interstate transport
framework established in CSAPR. The
EPA applies its multi-factor test to nonEGUs and independently evaluates nonEGU industries in a consistent but
parallel track to its Step 3 assessment
for EGUs. This is consistent with the
parallel assessment approach taken for
EGUs and non-EGUs in the Revised
CSAPR Update. Following the
conclusions of the EGU and non-EGU
multi-factor tests, the identified
reductions for EGUs and non-EGUs are
combined and collectively analyzed to
assess their effects on downwind air
quality and whether the rule achieves a
full remedy to eliminate ‘‘significant
contribution’’ while avoiding overcontrol.
To ensure that this rule implements a
full remedy for the elimination of
significant contribution from upwind
states, the EPA has reviewed available
information on all major industrial
source sectors in the upwind states
inclusive of commenter-provided data.
This analysis leads the EPA to conclude
that both EGUs and certain large sources
in several specific industrial categories
should be evaluated for emissions
control opportunities. As discussed in
the sections that follow, the EPA
determines, for both EGUs and the
selected non-EGU source categories,
there are impactful emissions reduction
opportunities available at reasonable
cost-effectiveness thresholds. As in the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
examines EGUs and non-EGUs in this
section on consistent but distinct
parallel tracks due to differences
stemming from the unique
characteristics of the power sector
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compared to other industrial source
categories.
Since the NOX SIP Call, EGUs have
consistently been regulated under ozone
transport rules. These units operate in a
coordinated manner across a highly
interconnected electrical grid. Their
configuration and emissions control
strategies are relatively homogenous,
and their emissions levels and
emissions control opportunities are
generally very well understood due to
longstanding monitoring and datareporting requirements. Non-EGU
sources, by contrast, are relatively
heterogeneous, even within a single
industrial category, and have far greater
variation in existing emissions control
requirements, emissions levels, and
technologies to reduce emissions. In
general, despite these differences, the
information available for this
rulemaking indicates that both EGUs
and certain non-EGU categories have
available cost-effective NOX emissions
reduction opportunities at relatively
commensurate cost per ton levels, and
these emissions reductions will make a
meaningful improvement in air quality
at the downwind receptors. Section
V.B.2 of this document describes EPA’s
process for selecting specific non-EGU
industries and emissions unit types
included in this final rulemaking.
The EPA notes that its Step 3 analysis
for this FIP does not assess additional
emissions reduction opportunities from
mobile sources. The EPA continues to
believe that title II of the CAA provides
the primary authority and process for
reducing these emissions at the Federal
level. EPA’s various Federal mobile
source programs, summarized in this
section, have delivered and are
projected to continue to deliver
substantial nationwide reductions in
both VOCs and NOX emissions; these
reductions from final rules are factored
into the Agency’s assessment of air
quality and contributions at Steps 1 and
2. Further, states are generally
preempted from regulating new vehicles
and engines with certain exceptions,
and therefore a question exists regarding
EPA’s authority to address such
emissions through such means when
regulating in place of the states under
CAA section 110(c). See generally CAA
section 209. See also 86 FR 23099. As
noted earlier, the EPA accounted for
mobile source emissions reductions
resulting from other federally
enforceable regulatory programs in the
development of emissions inventories
used to support analysis for this final
rulemaking, and the EPA does not
evaluate any mobile source control
measures in its Step 3 evaluation in this
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rule.197 For further discussion of EPA’s
existing and ongoing mobile source
measures, see section V.B.4 of this
document.
B. Identifying Control Stringency Levels
1. EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
In identifying levels of uniform
control stringency for EGUs, the EPA
assessed the same NOX emissions
controls that the Agency analyzed in the
CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR
Update, all of which are considered to
be widely available in this sector: (1)
fully operating existing SCR, including
both optimizing NOX removal by
existing operational SCRs and turning
on and optimizing existing idled SCRs;
(2) installing state-of-the-art NOX
combustion controls; (3) fully operating
existing SNCRs, including both
optimizing NOX removal by existing
operational SNCRs and turning on and
optimizing existing idled SNCRs; (4)
installing new SNCRs; and (5) installing
new SCRs. Finally, for each of these
combustion and post combustion
technologies identified, EPA evaluated
whether emissions reduction potential
from generation shifting at that
representative dollar per ton level was
appropriate at this Step. Shifting
generation to lower NOX emitting or
zero-emitting EGUs may occur in
response to economic factors. As the
cost of emitting NOX increases, it
becomes increasingly cost-effective for
units with lower NOX rates to increase
generation, while units with higher NOX
rates reduce generation. Because the
cost of generation is unit-specific, this
generation shifting occurs incrementally
on a continuum. For the reasons
explained in the following sections and
supported by technical information
provided in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD included in
the docket for this final rule, the EPA
determined that for the regional, multistate scale of this rulemaking, only EGU
NOX emissions controls 1 and 3 are
possible for the 2023 ozone season (fully
operating existing SCRs and SNCRs).
The EPA finds that it is not possible to
197 The EPA recognizes that mechanisms exist
under title I of the CAA that allow for the regulation
of the use and operation of mobile sources to reduce
ozone-precursor emissions. These include specific
requirements that apply in certain ozone
nonattainment areas including motor vehicle
inspection and maintenance (I/M) programs,
gasoline vapor recovery, clean-fuel vehicle
programs, transportation control programs, and
vehicle miles traveled programs. See, e.g., CAA
sections 182(b)(3), 182(b)(4), 182(c)(3), 182(c)(4),
182(c)(5), 182(d)(1), 182(e)(3), and 182(e)(4). The
EPA views these programs as well as others that
meet CAA requirements can be effective and
appropriate in the context of the planning
requirements applicable to designated
nonattainment areas.
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install state-of-the-art NOX combustion
controls by the 2023 ozone season on a
regional scale; those controls are
assumed to be available by the
beginning of the 2024 ozone season. All
cost values discussed in the rest of the
section for EGUs are in 2016 dollars.
a. Optimizing Existing SCRs
Optimizing (i.e., turning on idled or
improving operation of partially
operating) existing SCRs can
substantially reduce EGU NOX
emissions quickly, using investments
that have already been made in
pollution control technologies. With the
promulgation of the CSAPR Update and
the Revised CSAPR Update, most
operators in the covered states improved
their SCR performance and have
continued to maintain that level of
improved operation. However, this
optimized SCR performance was not
universal and not always sustained.
Between 2017 and 2020, as the CSAPR
Update ozone-season NOX allowance
price declined, NOX emissions rates at
some SCR-controlled EGUs increased.
For example, power sector data from
2019 revealed that, in some cases,
operating units had SCR controls that
had been idled or were operating
partially, and therefore suggested that
there remained emissions reduction
potential through optimization.198 The
EPA determined in the Revised CSAPR
Update that optimizing SCRs was a
readily available approach for EGUs to
reduce NOX emissions in the 12 states
addressed by a FIP in that rulemaking.
Noticeable improvements in emissions
rates at units with SCRs during the 2021
and 2022 compliance period further
affirm the ability of sources to quickly
implement this mitigation strategy and
to realize emissions reductions from
doing so. This emissions reduction
measure is currently available at EGUs
across the broader geography affected in
this final rulemaking (including in
states not previously affected by the
Revised CSAPR Update). The EPA thus
determines that SCR optimization, of
both idled and partially operating
controls, is a viable mitigation strategy
for the 2023 ozone season.
The EPA estimates a representative
marginal cost of optimizing SCR
controls to be approximately $1,600 per
ton, consistent with its estimation in the
Revised CSAPR Update for this
technology. EPA’s EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD for this rule
describes a range of cost estimates for
198 See ‘‘Ozone Season Data 2018 vs. 2019’’ and
‘‘Coal-fired Characteristics and Controls’’ at https://
www.epa.gov/airmarkets/power-plant-datahighlights#OzoneSeason.
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this technology noting that the costs are
frequently lower than—and for the
majority of EGUs, significantly lower
than—this representative marginal cost.
While the costs of optimizing existing,
operational SCRs include only variable
costs, the cost of optimizing SCR units
that are currently idled considers both
variable and fixed costs of returning the
control into service. Variable and fixed
costs include labor, maintenance and
repair, parasitic load, and ammonia or
urea for use as a NOX reduction reagent
in SCR systems. Depending on a unit’s
control operating status, the
representative cost at the 90th percentile
unit (among the relevant fleet of coal
units with SCR covered in this
rulemaking) ranges between $900 and
$1,700 per ton. The EPA performed an
in-depth cost assessment for all coalfired units with SCRs and found that for
the subset of SCRs that are already
partially operating, the cost of
optimizing is often much lower than
$1,600 per ton and is often under $900
per ton. The EPA anticipates the vast
majority of realized cost for compliance
with this strategy to be better reflected
by the $900 per ton end of that range
(reflecting the 90th percentile of EGUs
optimizing SCRs that are already
partially operating) because this
circumstance is considerably more
common than EGUs that have ceased
operating their SCR. This cost
distinction is reflected in the EPA’s RIA
cost estimates. When representing the
cost of optimization here, the EPA uses
the higher value to reflect both
optimization of partially operating and
idled controls. EPA’s analysis of this
emissions control is informed by the
latest engineering modeling equations
used in EPA’s IPM platform. These cost
and performance equations were
recently updated in the summer of 2021
in preparation for this rule, and
subsequently evaluated for the final rule
in 2022 and determined to still be
appropriate. The description and
development of the equations are
documented in EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD and
accompanying documents.199 They are
also implemented in an interactive
spreadsheet tool called the Retrofit Cost
Analyzer and applied to all units in the
fleet. These materials are available in
the docket for this action.
The EPA is using the same
methodology to identify SCR
199 The CSAPR Update estimated $1,400 per ton
as a representative cost of turning on idled SCR
controls. EPA used the same costing methodology
while updating for input cost increases (e.g., urea
reagent) to arrive at $1,600 per ton in the final
Revised CSAPR Update (while also updating from
2011 dollars to 2016 dollars).
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performance as it did in the Revised
CSAPR Update. To estimate EGU NOX
reduction potential from optimizing, the
EPA considers the difference between
the non-optimized NOX emissions rates
and an achievable operating and
optimized SCR NOX emissions rate. To
determine this rate, EPA evaluated
nationwide coal-fired EGU NOX ozone
season emissions data from 2009
through 2019 and calculated an average
NOX ozone season emissions rate across
the fleet of coal-fired EGUs with SCR for
each of these eleven years. The EPA
found it prudent to not consider the
lowest or second-lowest ozone season
NOX emissions rates, which may reflect
SCR systems that have all new
components (e.g., new layers of
catalyst). Data from these systems are
potentially not representative of ongoing
achievable NOX emissions rates
considering broken-in components and
routine maintenance schedules.
Considering the emissions data over the
full time period from 2009–2019 results
in a third-best rate of 0.079 pounds NOX
per million British thermal units (lb/
mmBtu). Therefore, consistent with the
Revised CSAPR Update, where EPA
identified 0.08 lb/mmBtu as a
reasonable level of performance for
units with optimized SCR, the EPA
finalizes a rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu as the
optimized rate for this rule. The EPA
notes that half of the SCR-controlled
EGUs achieved a NOX emissions rate of
0.064 lb/mmBtu or lower over their
third-best entire ozone season.
Moreover, for the SCR-controlled coal
units that the EPA identified as having
a 2021 emissions rate greater than 0.08
lb/mmBtu, the EPA verified that in prior
years, the majority (more than 90
percent) of these same units had
demonstrated and achieved a NOX
emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu or less
on a seasonal or monthly basis. This
further supports EPA’s determination
that 0.08 lb/mmBtu reflects a reasonable
emissions rate for representing SCR
optimization at coal steam units in
identifying uniform control stringency.
This emissions rate assumption of 0.08
lb/mmBtu reflects what those units
would achieve on average when
optimized, recognizing that individual
units may achieve lower or higher rates
based on unit-specific configuration and
dispatch patterns. Units historically
performing at, or better, than this rate of
0.08 lb/mmBtu are assumed to continue
to operate at that prior performance
level.
Given the magnitude and duration of
the air quality problems addressed by
this rulemaking, the EPA also applied
the same methodology to identify a
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reasonable level of performance for
optimizing existing SCRs at oil- and gasfired steam units and simple cycle units
(for which EPA determined that a 0.03
lb/mmBtu emissions rate reflected SCR
optimization) as well as at combinedcycle units (for which the EPA
determined that a 0.012 lb/mmBtu
emissions rate reflected SCR
optimization).
The EPA evaluated the feasibility of
optimizing idled SCRs for the 2023
ozone season. Based on industry past
practice, the EPA determined that idled
controls can be restored to operation
quickly (i.e., in less than 2 months).
This timeframe is informed by many
electric utilities’ previous long-standing
practice of utilizing SCRs to reduce EGU
NOX emissions during the ozone season
while putting the systems into
protective lay-up during the non-ozone
season months. For example, this was
the long-standing practice of many
EGUs that used SCR systems for
compliance with the NOX Budget
Trading Program. It was quite typical for
SCRs to be turned off following the end
of the ozone season control period on
September 30. These controls would
then be put into protective lay-up for
several months of non-use before being
returned to operation by May 1 of the
following ozone season.200 Therefore,
the EPA believes that optimization of
existing SCRs is possible for the portion
of the 2023 ozone season covered under
this final rule. The recent successful
implementation of this strategy for the
Revised CSAPR Update Rule, and
corresponding fast improvement in SCR
performance rates at units with
optimization potential, provides further
supporting evidence of the viability of
this timeframe.
The vast majority of SCR-controlled
units (nationwide and in the 23 linked
states for which EPA is issuing a FIP for
EGUs) are already partially operating
these controls during the ozone season
based on reported 2021 and 2022
emissions rates. Notably, the higher
ozone season NOX allowance price
observed in 2022 resulted in more units
operating their controls closer to their
potential and bringing collective
emissions from those 12 states closer to
the 2023 emissions budgets for those
states in this final rule, accordingly.
200 In the 22-state CSAPR Update region, 2005
EGU NOX emissions data suggest that 125 EGUs
operated SCR systems in the summer ozone season
while idling these controls for the remaining 7 nonozone season months of the year. Units with SCR
were identified as those with 2005 ozone season
average NOX rates that were less than 0.12 lb/
mmBtu and 2005 average non-ozone season NOX
emissions rates that exceeded 0.12 lb/mmBtu and
where the average non-ozone season NOX rate was
more than double the ozone season rate.
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Existing SCRs operating at partial
capacity still provide functioning,
maintained systems that may only
require an increased chemical reagent
feed rate (i.e., ammonia or urea) up to
their design potential and catalyst
maintenance for mitigating NOX
emissions; such units may require
increased frequency or quantity of
deliveries, which can be accomplished
within a few weeks. In many cases,
EGUs with SCR have historically
achieved more efficient NOX removal
rates than their current performance and
can therefore simply revert to earlier
operation and maintenance plans that
achieved demonstrably better SCR
performance.
In the 12 states subject to this control
stringency in the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA observed significant
immediate-term improvements in SCR
performance in the first ozone season
following finalization of that rule, as
evidenced in particular by the sharp
drop in emissions rate at Miami Fort
unit 7 (see EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD). For instance,
in June of 2021—within months of the
Revised CSAPR Rule being finalized—
Miami Fort Unit 7 and Unit 8 (which
had substantial SCR optimization
potential) were able to reach levels of
0.07 lb/mmBtu of NOX (a greater than 50
percent reduction from where they had
operated the prior year during the same
month). Such empirical data further
illustrates the viability of this mitigation
strategy for the 2023 control period in
response to this rule.
Comment: EPA received comments
supporting the 0.08 lb/mmBtu
emissions rate as achievable and,
according to some commenters,
underestimate the control’s potential.
Some of these commenters went on to
provide their own analysis
demonstrating that the 0.08 lb/mmBtu
was achievable not only on average for
the non-optimized fleet, but also for
these individual units and that the
resulting state emissions budgets were
likewise achievable. Some commenters
suggested that the rate should be lower
and premised on EPA using the first- or
second-best year instead of the third
best year of SCR performance. Some
commenters observed that using the
same methodology, but omitting SCR
units that have since retired, could
deliver an even lower SCR performance
benchmark rate.
Response: The EPA notes that
updating the inventory of coal-fired
EGUs to reflect recent retirements and to
include data reported since 2019 (e.g.,
2009–2021) would provide a lower
value of 0.071 lb/mmBtu. However, EPA
acknowledges that 2020 operational
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data included impacts from COVID–19
pandemic shutdowns (such as atypical
electricity demand patterns) which
complicate interpretations of typical
EGU emissions performance.
Additionally, EPA believes that in this
context, a unit’s retirement in 2020 or
2021 does not obviate the usefulness of
its prior SCR operational data for
assessing the emissions control
performance of other existing SCRs
across the fleet. Consequently, EPA is
continuing to use the same value of the
0.08 lb/mmBtu emissions rate
calculated from the 2009–2019 data set
identified at the time of the final
Revised CSAPR Update Rule in this
rulemaking. EPA’s analysis focuses on
the third best ozone season average rate
because EPA believes that the first- or
second-best rate, consistent with its
CSAPR Update final rule and in the
Revised CSAPR Update, could give
undue weight to the emissions control
performance of new SCRs in their first
year of service and their corresponding
newer SCR components. It does not
necessarily reflect achievable ongoing
NOX emissions rates at relatively older
SCRs. The third-lowest season was
selected because it represents a time
when the unit was most likely
consistently and efficiently operating its
SCR in a manner representative of
sustained future operation.
Comment: Other commenters
suggested that EPA should apply a
higher NOX emissions rate than 0.08 lb/
mmBtu to existing SCR at coal EGUs
premised on considerations such as: a
generally reduced average capacity
factor for coal units in recent years, the
age of the boiler, coal rank (bituminous
or subbituminous), or other unit-specific
considerations that commenters claim
make the 0.08 lb/mmBtu rate
unattainable for a specific unit.
Response: EPA did not find sufficient
justification to apply a higher average
emissions rate than 0.08 lb/mmBtu. EPA
found that some commenters were
misunderstanding or misconstruing
both EPA’s assumption and
implementation mechanism as a unitlevel requirement for every SCRcontrolled unit instead of a reflection of
a fleet-wide average based on a thirdbest rate. The commenters’
observation—that 0.08 lb/mmBtu may
be difficult for some units to achieve or
may not be a preferred compliance
strategy for a given unit given its
dispatch levels—does not contradict
EPA’s assumption, but rather supports
its methodology and assumptions. As
EPA pointed out in the proposed rule,
this fleet-level emissions rate
assumption of 0.08 lb/mmBtu for nonoptimized units reflects, on average,
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what those units would achieve when
optimized. Some of these units may
achieve rates that are lower than 0.08 lb/
mmBtu, and some units may operate
above that rate based on unit-specific
configuration and dispatch patterns. In
other words, EPA is using this
assumption as the average performance
of a unit that optimizes its SCR,
recognizing that heterogeneity within
the fleet will likely lead some units to
overperform and others to underperform
this rate. Moreover, a review of unitspecific historical data indicates that
this is a reasonable assumption: not
only has the group of units with SCR
optimization potential demonstrated
they can perform at or better than the
0.08 lb/mmBtu rate on average, over 90
percent of the individual units in this
group have already met this rate on a
seasonal and/or monthly basis based on
their reported historical data.
Additionally, EPA’s examination of
units experiencing SCR performance
deterioration included notable instances
of poor NOX control at increased
capacity factors. As an example, Miami
Fort Unit 7 had considerably more
hours of operation at a 70 to 79 percent
capacity factor in 2019 compared to
previous years. However, Miami Fort
Unit 7’s ozone-season NOX emissions
rate substantially increased in 2019
compared to previous years. This SCR
performance deterioration runs counter
to the notion that an increase in
emissions rates is purely driven by
reduced capacity factor, as suggested by
commenters. This substantial
deterioration in the median emissions
rate performance is observable even
when comparing specific hours in 2019
to specific hours in prior years when the
unit operated in the same 70 to 79
percent capacity factor range. In fact, in
2019 the unit experienced notable
emissions rate increases from prior
years across multiple capacity factor
ranges as low as 40 percent to as high
as 80 percent. This type of data
indicates instances where the increase
in emissions rate (and emissions) is not
necessitated by load changes but is more
likely due to the erosion of the existing
incentive to optimize controls (i.e., the
ozone-season NOX allowance price has
fallen so low that unit operators find it
more economic to surrender additional
allowances instead of continuing to
operate pollution controls at an
optimized level).
EPA observed this pattern in other
units identified in this rulemaking as
having significant SCR optimization
emissions reduction potential. In the
accompanying Emissions Data TSD for
the supplemental notice that EPA
recently released in a proceeding to
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address a recommendation submitted to
EPA by the Ozone Transport
Commission under CAA section 184(c),
EPA noted, ‘‘In their years with the
lowest average ozone season NOX
emissions rates in this analysis, these
EGUs had relatively low NOX emissions
rates at mid- and high-operating levels;
moreover, there was little variability in
NOX emissions rates at these operating
levels. However, during the 2019 ozone
season, these EGUs had higher NOX
emissions rates and greater variability in
NOX emissions rates across operating
levels than in the past, particularly at
mid-operating levels.’’ 201 That hourly
data analysis, included in this docket,
controls for operating level changes and
still finds there to be instances across
multiple SCR-controlled units where
hourly emissions rates are increasing
even when compared to the same load
levels in previous years.
Some commenters have alleged that
in recent years coal-fired EGUs have
declined in capacity factor and that SCR
performance declines at those lower
operating levels. However, hourly data
indicate that maintaining consistent
SCR performance at lower capacity
factors is possible. For example, the
unit-level performance data in Figure 2
to section VI.B of this document show
the emissions rate at a coal-fired EGU
with existing SCR staying relatively low
(consistent with our optimization
assumption of 0.08 lb/mmBtu) and
stable across a wide range of capacity
factors.202
Furthermore, most recent data from
2022 illustrates that cycling units do
have the ability to adjust cycling
patterns in a manner that enables them
to maintain a lower emissions rate
throughout the season while still
achieving a load cycling pattern at the
unit. For example, the SCR-controlled
Conemaugh Unit 2 in Pennsylvania
adjusted operating patterns in 2022 to
have a slightly higher minimum load in
most hours (maintaining a range of 550
MW–900 MW for most hours as
opposed to 450 MW–900 MW observed
in 2021). This change in minimum load,
and corresponding minimum operating
temperature, enabled the unit to
maintain emissions rates in the 0.05 lb/
mmBtu to 0.10 lb/mmBtu range for most
of the 2022 season (as opposed to NOX
emissions rates that regularly exceeded
0.25 lb/mmBtu in the 2021 season). This
2022 improvement in SCR operation
occurred during a period when
allowance prices increased relative to
prior years, creating an incentive for
potential emissions reductions through
SCR optimization.
Comment: EPA also received
comment suggesting it should deviate
from its approach in the CSAPR Update
of using a nationwide data set of all SCR
controlled coal units to establish a third
best year, and instead limit the dataset
to either just the covered states, or—in
the case of some commenters—just to
the baseline years of those units at
which EPA is identifying optimization
potential. They claim the current
methodology may capture extremely
efficient SCR performance years at the
best performing units and that level of
performance may not be available at all
units with optimization potential. These
commenters also disagree with the EPA
finding that SCRs can consistently
maintain a 0.08 lb/mmBtu rate over
time.
Response: EPA reviewed the data and
its methodology and evaluated it against
its intention to identify a technologyspecific representative emissions rate
for SCR optimization. In doing so, EPA
did not identify any need to make the
suggested change. EPA is interested in
the performance potential of a
technology, and a larger dataset
provides a superior indication of that
potential as opposed to a smaller, statelimited dataset. Moreover, EPA’s use of
the third best year (as opposed to best)
from its baseline period results in an
average optimization level that is robust
201 ‘‘Analysis of Ozone Season NO Emissions
X
Data for Coal-Fired EGUs in Four Mid-Atlantic
States,’’ EPA Clean Air Markets Division. December
2020. Available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/
production/files/2020-12/documents/184c_
emission_data_tsd.pdf.
202 EPA, Air Markets Program Data. Available at
www.epa.gov/ampd.
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to the commenters’ concern that EPA
should not overstate the fleetwide
representative optimization level. Prior
experience with EPA’s methodology and
program has borne out empirical
evidence of its reasonableness. In both
the CSAPR Update and in Revised
CSAPR Update rule, EPA appropriately
relied on the largest dataset possible
(i.e., nationwide) to derive technology
performance averages that it then
applied respectively to the CSAPR
Update 22-state region and the Revised
CSAPR Update’s 12-state region. EPA
repeats that successful approach in this
rule. Finally, as noted in the preceding
paragraphs, in affirming the
reasonableness of this approach, EPA
examined the historical reported data
(pre-2021) for the units in the states
with SCR optimization potential and
found the nationwide derived average
appropriate and consistent with
demonstrated capability and
performance of units within those
states. That is, the vast majority of units
to which this resulting emissions rate
assumption was being applied had
demonstrated the ability to achieve this
rate in some prior year for an extended
monthly or seasonal basis. This
information is discussed further in the
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final
Rule TSD in the docket.
Comment: Some commenters
suggested the price of SCR optimization
is higher than the $1,600 per ton figure
proposed due to current market
conditions for aqueous ammonia or
other input prices.
Response: EPA provides a
representative cost for this mitigation
technology which is anticipated to
reflect the cost, on average, throughout
the compliance period for the rule.
While there may be volatility in the
market during that period where the
price falls above or below the single
representative threshold value, EPA’s
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final
Rule TSD explains how the
representative cost is derived and is
inclusive of consultation and vetting by
third party air pollution control
consulting groups. Commenters did not
demonstrate that observed 2021
elevated prices amid market volatility
would continue into the future
compliance periods discussed in this
rule. Moreover, the selection of the
mitigation technology is reflective of a
variety of factors including reduction
potential and air quality impact. A
higher cost (commenter suggests up to
$3,800 per ton) would not change EPA’s
determination that optimizing already
existing SCRs is an appropriate
mitigation strategy for Step 3 emissions
reduction analysis in this rulemaking as
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it would remain one of the most widely
available, widely practiced, and lowest
cost mitigation measures with
meaningful downwind air quality
benefit. Appendix B of the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD
further addresses commenters’ concerns
as it provides a variety of sensitivities
showing cost per ton levels under a
variety of different input assumptions
(including higher material and reagent
cost). It supports the continued
inclusion of this technology in the rule
even in the event that higher reagent
costs extend into compliance years.
Comment: While many commenters
supported the feasibility of 2023 ozoneseason implementation by noting the
‘‘immediate availability’’ of SCR
optimization, other commenters argued
that the engineering, procurement, and
other steps required for SCR
optimization were not feasible given the
anticipated limited window between
rule finalization and the start of the
2023 ozone season.
Response: There is ample evidence of
units restoring their optimal
performance within a two-month
timeframe. Not only do units reactivate
SCR performance level at the start of an
ozone-season when tighter emissions
limits begin, but unit-level data also
shows instances where sources have
demonstrated the ability to quickly alter
their emissions rate within an ozoneseason and even within the same day in
some cases. Moreover, this emissions
control is familiar to sources and was
analyzed and included in the Revised
CSAPR Update emissions budgets
finalized in 2021 and the CSAPR
Update emissions budgets finalized in
2016. With this experience, and notice
through the March 2022 proposed rule,
as well as over two months from final
rule to effective date, the viability of this
emissions control for the 2023 ozone
season is consistent with the 2-week to
2-month timeframe that EPA identified
as reasonable in the CSAPR Update,
Revised CSAPR Update, and in this
rulemaking. Similar to prior rules,
commenters provide some unit-level
examples where it has taken longer.
Also similar to those prior rules, EPA
does not find those unit-level examples
compelling in the context of its fleet
average assumptions and in the
implementation context of a trading
program which provides compliance
alternatives in the event a specific unit
prefers more time to implement a given
control measure. As noted in Wisconsin,
‘‘. . . all those anecdotes show is that
installation can drag on when
companies are unconstrained by the
ticking clock of the law.’’ 938 F.3d at
330.
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b. Installing State-of-the-Art NOX
Combustion Controls
The EPA estimates that the
representative cost of installing state-ofthe-art combustion controls is
comparable to, if not notably less than,
the estimated cost of optimizing existing
SCR (represented by $1,600 per ton).
State-of-the-art combustion controls
such as low-NOX burners (LNB) and
over-fire air (OFA) can be installed or
updated quickly and can substantially
reduce EGU NOX emissions.
Nationwide, approximately 99 percent
of coal-fired EGU capacity greater than
25 MW is equipped with some form of
combustion control; however, the
control configuration or corresponding
emissions rates at a small portion of
those units (including units in those
states covered in this action) indicate
they do not currently have state-of-theart combustion control technology. For
this rulemaking, the Agency reevaluated its NOX emissions rate
assumptions for upgrading existing
combustion controls to state-of-the-art
combustion control. The EPA is
maintaining its determination that NOX
emissions rates of 0.146 to 0.199 lb/
mmBtu can be achieved on average
depending on the unit’s boiler
configuration,203 and, once installed,
reduce NOX emissions at all times of
EGU operation.
These assumptions are consistent
with the Revised CSAPR Update. They
are further discussed in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD. In
particular, the EPA is finalizing, as
proposed, the application of the 0.199
lb/mmBtu emissions rate assumption for
both boiler types (tangentially and wall
fired). EPA’s analysis calculated average
emissions rates of 0.199 lb/mmBtu for
combustion controls on dry bottom wall
fired units and 0.146 lb/mmBtu for
tangentially fired units. However, many
of the likely impacted units burn
bituminous coal, and the 0.146 lb/
mmBtu nationwide average for
tangentially-fired (inclusive of
subbituminous units) appears to be
below the demonstrated emissions rate
of state-of-the-art combustion controls
for bituminous coal units of this boiler
type. Therefore, EPA’s assignment of a
0.199 lb/mmBtu emissions rate for
combustion controls at all affected unit
types is robust to current and future coal
choice at a unit.
The EPA has previously examined the
feasibility of installing combustion
controls and found that industry had
demonstrated ability to install state-of203 Details of EPA’s assessment of state-of-the-art
NOX combustion controls are provided in the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD.
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the-art LNB controls on a large unit (800
MW) in under six months when
including the pre-installation phases
(design, order placement, fabrication,
and delivery).204 In prior rules, the EPA
has documented its own assessment of
combustion control timing installation
as well as evaluated comments it
received regarding installation of
combustion controls from the Institute
of Clean Air Companies.205 Those
comments provided information on the
equipment and typical installation time
frame for new combustion controls,
accounting for all steps. To date, EPA
has found it generally takes between 6–
8 months on a typical boiler—covering
the time through bid evaluation through
start-up of the technology. The
deployment schedule is repeated here
as:
• 4–8 weeks—bid evaluation and
negotiation
• 4–6 weeks—engineering and
completion of engineering drawings
• 2 weeks—drawing review and
approval from user
• 10–12 weeks—fabrication of
equipment and shipping to end user
site
• 2–3 weeks—installation at end user
site
• 1 week—commissioning and start-up
of technology
Given the referenced timeframe of
approximately 6 to 8 months to
complete combustion control
installation in the region, the EPA is
finalizing that installation of state-ofthe-art combustion controls is a readily
available approach for EGUs to reduce
NOX emissions by the start of the 2024
ozone season. More details on these
analyses can be found in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD.
The cost of installing state-of-the-art
combustion controls per ton of NOX
reduced is dependent on the
combustion control type and unit type.
The EPA estimates the cost per ton of
state-of-the-art combustion controls to
be $400 per ton to $1,200 per ton of
NOX removed using a representative
capacity factor of 85 percent. This cost
fits well within EPA’s representative
cost threshold observed for SCR
optimization and combustion controls
(of $1,600 per ton) which would
accommodate combustion control
upgrade even under scenarios where a
204 The EPA finds that, generally, the installation
phase of state-of-the-art combustion control
upgrades—on a single-unit basis—can be as little as
4 weeks to install with a scheduled outage (not
including the pre-installation phases such as
permitting, design, order, fabrication, and delivery)
and as little as 6 months considering all
implementation phases.
205 EPA–HQ–OAR–2015–0500–0093.
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lower capacity factor is assumed. 99
percent of units have some form of
combustion controls, indicating the
widespread cost-effectiveness of this
control. See the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD for additional
details.
At proposal EPA assumed that
emissions reductions from combustion
control upgrades at affected EGUs in
states subject to the Revised CSAPR
Update program could occur by 2023
given that those EGUs may have already
begun pursuing such upgrades in
response to that previous rule. However,
EPA does not have data to confirm that
presumption, and hence EPA is
determining in this final rule that
combustion control upgrades for all
affected EGUs, regardless of whether
they were previously subject to the
Revised CSAPR Update program, should
be considered available by the 2024
ozone season, consistent with the
deployment schedule noted in this
section.
Comment: Some commenters
suggested that EPA, in its modeling for
the proposed rule, overestimated the
ability of combustion control
technologies to achieve very low NOX
emissions rates. The commenters claim
EPA’s assumptions are derived from
projected NOX emissions rates based on
ideal circumstances for NOX emissions
reductions, including combinations of
fuel composition and unit design that
are not typical and should not be
extrapolated to the national inventory.
Response: EPA’s emissions
performance rate for state-of-the-art
combustion controls is derived from
historical data and takes both boiler
type and coal choice into account. EPA
reviewed historical data and identified
the average emissions rates for units
with this technology already in place. It
segmented this analysis by boiler type
(dry-bottom wall-fired boiler and
tangentially-fired, and further
segmented by coal rank to assess the
average performance among these
varying parameters. As explained in the
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final
Rule TSD, EPA chose an emissions rate
for which it verified accommodated
(i.e., was greater than or equal to) the
average performance rate identified
above for each boiler configuration with
state-of-the-art combustion controls and
resulted in reductions consistent with
the technology’s assumed percent
reduction potential when applied to this
subset of units. It also assessed whether
the rate had been demonstrated by both
subbituminous and bituminous coal
units with state-of-the-art combustion
controls. EPA further assessed the
percent reduction that achieving this
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36725
rate would require from the specific
segment of the fleet identified as having
this mitigation measure available. Here
too, EPA found that the effective percent
reduction for the identified fleet
(inclusive of their existing coal rank
choice) is well within the historical
performance range for this technology.
Therefore, EPA is finalizing the
combustion control upgrade
performance assumption of 0.199 lb/
mmBtu as appropriate representative
average performance rate for this
technology and robust to different boiler
types and coal ranks.
c. Optimizing Already Operating SNCRs
or Turning on Idled Existing SNCRs
Optimizing already operating SNCRs
or turning on idled existing SNCRs can
also reduce EGU NOX emissions
quickly, using investments in pollution
control technologies that have already
been made. Compared to no postcombustion controls on a unit, SNCRs
can achieve a 25 percent reduction on
average in EGU NOX emissions (with
sufficient reagent). They are less capital
intensive but less efficient at NOX
removal than SCRs. These controls are
in use to some degree across the U.S.
power sector. In the 22 linked states
with EGU reductions identified in this
final rule, approximately 11 percent of
coal-fired EGU capacity is equipped
with SNCR.206 Recent power sector data
suggest that, in some cases, SNCR
controls have been operating less in
2021 relative to performance in prior
years. For instance, EPA reviewed the
last five years of performance data for
all the units with SNCR optimization
potential in its Engineering Analysis. It
found that in 2021—the most recent
year reviewed—that the weighted
average ozone season emissions rate for
these units was higher than the prior
three years (indicating some
deterioration in average performance).
Moreover, a unit level review illustrated
that 80 of the 107 units had performed
better in a prior year by an average of
13 percent—indicating substantial
optimization potential.207
The EPA determined that optimizing
already operating SNCRs or turning on
idled SNCRs is an available approach
for EGUs to reduce NOX emissions, has
similar implementation timing to
restarting idled SCR controls (less than
2 months for a given unit), and therefore
could be implemented in time for the
2023 ozone season. In this final rule, the
EPA is determining that this emissions
206 https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/nationalelectric-energy-data-system-needs-v6.
207 See ‘‘Historical Emission Rates for Units with
SNCR Optimization Potential’’ in the docket for this
rulemaking.
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control measure is available beginning
in the 2023 ozone season.
Using the Retrofit Cost Analyzer
described in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final TSD, the EPA estimates
a representative cost of optimizing
SNCR ranging from approximately
$1,800 per ton (for partially operating
SNCRs) to $3,900 per ton (for idled
SNCRs). For existing SNCRs that have
been idled, unit operators may need to
restart payment of some fixed and
variable operating costs including labor,
maintenance and repair, parasitic load,
and ammonia or urea. The EPA
determined that the majority of units
with existing SNCR optimization
potential were already partially
operating their controls. Therefore, the
EPA finalizes a representative cost of
$1,800 per ton for SNCR optimization as
this value best reflects the
circumstances of the majority of the
affected EGUs with SNCR.
d. Installing New SNCRs
The EPA evaluated potential
emissions reductions and associated
costs from retrofitting EGUs with new
SNCR post-combustion controls at
steam units lacking such controls,
which can achieve a 25 percent NOX
reduction on average. New SNCR
technology provides owners with a
relatively less capital-intensive option
for reducing NOX emissions compared
to new SCR technology, albeit at the
expense of higher operating costs on a
per-ton basis and less total emissions
reduction potential. SNCR is more
widely observed on relatively smaller
coal units given its low capital/variable
cost ratio. The average capacity of a coal
unit with SNCR is half the size of the
average capacity of coal unit with
SCR.208 Given these observations, the
EPA identifies this technology as an
emissions reduction measure for coal
units less than 100 MW lacking postcombustion NOX control technology. As
described in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD, the EPA
estimated that $6,700 per ton reflects a
representative SNCR retrofit cost level
for these units.
For this rulemaking, EPA is not
considering SNCR installation timing
unto itself but is instead considering
how long eligible EGUs may need to
adopt either SNCR or SCR as a postcombustion control measure. SNCR
installations generally have shorter
project installation timeframes relative
to other post-combustion controls. The
time for engineering review, contract
award, fabrication, delivery, and
208 See EGU NO Mitigation Strategies Final Rule
X
TSD for additional discussion.
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hookup is as little as 16 months
including pre-contract award steps for
an individual power plant installing
controls on more than one boiler.
However, SNCR retrofits have less
pollution reduction potential than SCRs,
and as explained further in the next
section, the EPA is identifying the
retrofit of new SCR rather than SNCR as
a strategy for larger steam units due to
this lower removal efficiency. This
approach respects empirical evidence
that larger coal-fired EGUs which
installed post-combustion NOX control
technology have overwhelmingly
chosen SCRs over SNCRs. Even for
smaller units less than 100 MW
identified as potential candidates for
SNCR technology, the EPA does not
want to preclude those units from
pursuing SCR in lieu of SNCR.
Therefore, in this final rule the EPA
defines the availability of emissions
reductions from post-combustion
control installation to be in 2026, the
same period as the start of SCR-based
reductions becoming available, to allow
enough time for eligible EGUs to choose
between SCR or SNCR. SNCR
installation shares similar
implementation steps with and also
need to account for the same regional
factors as SCR installations, which are
described in the next section. While the
EPA is determining that at least 16
months would be needed to complete
all necessary steps of SNCR
development and installation, an
eligible EGU choosing new SCR instead
would require installation timing of 36
to 48 months. EPA believes its finalized
joint timing considerations for postcombustion control retrofits (SNCR and
SCR) are justified given that postcombustion control retrofit decisions are
subject to unit-specific economic and
engineering factors and are sensitive to
operator compliance strategy choices
with respect to multiple regulatory
requirements.
Comment: Some commenters argued
that post-combustion control timing
assumptions (SCR and SNCR) should be
decoupled, which could result in the
EPA using the 16-month time frame
specific to SNCR installation to require
emissions reductions related to new
SNCR installations by the 2025 ozone
season.
Response: The EPA does not agree
that decoupling SCR and SNCR timing
consideration is justified in the context
of this final rule’s emissions control
program for EGUs. Approximately 1,000
tons of emissions reduction potential
are estimated for the small coal EGUs
deemed eligible for SNCR retrofit. The
incentives provided through the
implementation of this rule’s trading
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program will encourage these EGUs to
determine and adopt emissions
reduction measures (including SNCR or
SCR) as soon as possible to reduce their
allowance holding compliance burden.
By scheduling SNCR-related emissions
reductions potential for the 2026 ozone
season, the EPA preserves the
opportunity for considerably superior
emissions reduction potential from
these EGUs should they select SCR
retrofit instead, while still requiring
post-combustion control emissions
reduction potential ahead of the next
attainment date.
Comment: Some commenters argued
that the upper range of SNCR NOX
removal performance (40 percent)
referenced by EPA is optimistic for
many boilers.
Response: EPA evaluated both actual
performance and engineering literature
regarding SNCR retrofit technology and
found both sources supported the range
of reduction estimates cited by EPA.
(Refer to the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD in the docket
for this rulemaking for additional
information.) Moreover, for purposes of
calculating state budgets, EPA assumes
25 percent reduction from this
technology—not 40 percent—which
reflects a value well within the range of
documented performance for this
technology. Remaining comments on
SNCR performance potential are
addressed in the RTC Document and in
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final
Rule TSD.
e. Installing New SCRs
Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR)
controls already exist on over 66 percent
of the coal fleet in the linked states that
are subject to a FIP in this rulemaking.
Nearly every pulverized coal unit larger
than 100 MW built in the last 30 years
has installed this control, which is
generally required for Best Available
Control Technology (BACT) purposes.
Other than circulating fluidized bed
coal units which can achieve a
comparably low emissions rate without
this technology, the EPA identifies this
emissions reduction measure for coal
steam units greater than or equal to 100
MW. SCR is widely available for
existing coal units of this size and can
provide significant emissions reduction
potential, with removal efficiencies of
up to 90 percent. The EPA limited its
consideration of SCR technology to
steam units greater than or equal to 100
MW. The costs for retrofitting a plant
smaller than 100 MW with SCR increase
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rapidly due to a lack of economies of
scale.209
The amount of time needed to retrofit
an EGU with new SCR extends beyond
the 2023 ozone season. Similar to the
SNCR retrofits discussed in this section,
the EPA evaluated potential emissions
reductions and associated costs from
this control technology, as well as the
impacts and need for this emissions
control strategy, at the earliest point in
time when their installation could be
achieved. EPA notes that it has
previously determined in the context of
ozone transport that regional scale
implementation of SCRs at numerous
EGUs is achievable in 36 months. See 63
FR 57356, 57447–50 (October. 27, 1998).
However, since that time, the EPA has
found up to 36–48 months to be a more
appropriate installation timeframe for
regionwide actions when the EPA is
evaluating multiple installations at
multiple locations.210
In the past, the EPA has found the
amount of time to retrofit a single EGU
with new SCR, depending on the
regulatory program under which such
control may be required, may vary
between approximately 2 and 4 years
depending on site-specific engineering
considerations and on the number of
installations being considered. This
includes steps for engineering review,
construction permit, operating permit,
and control technology installation
(including fabrication, pre hookup,
control hookup, and testing). EPA’s
assessment of installation procedures
suggests as little as 21 months may be
needed for a single SCR at an individual
plant and 36 months at a single plant
with multiple boilers. EPA’s assessment
of units with SCR retrofit potential
indicate the majority fall into this first
classification, i.e., a single SCR at a
power plant.
While EPA finds that 36 months is a
possible time frame for SCR installation
at individual units or plants, the total of
nearly 31 GW of coal capacity with SCR
retrofit potential and 19 GW of oil/gas
steam capacity with SCR retrofit
potential within the geographic
footprint of the final rule is a scale of
retrofit activity that is not demonstrated
to have been achieved within a threeyear span based on data from the past
two decades. Given that some of the
209 IPM Model-Updates to Cost and Performance
for APC Technologies. SCR Cost Development
Methodology for Coal-fired Boilers. February 2022.
210 See, e.g., CSAPR Close-Out, 83 FR 65878,
65895 (December 21, 2018) and Revised CSAPR
Update, 86 FR 23102 (April 30, 2021). See also
Final Report: Engineering and Economic Factors
Affecting the Installation of Control Technologies
for Multipollutant Strategies, EPA–600/R–02/073
(Oct. 2002), available at https://nepis.epa.gov/
Adobe/PDF/P1001G0O.pdf.
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assumed SCR retrofit potential occurs at
plants with multiple units identified
with retrofit potential, and given the
total volume of SCR retrofit capacity
being implemented across the region,
EPA is allowing in this final rule
between 36 to 48 months, consistent
with the regional time frame discussed
for SCR retrofit in prior rules, for the
full implementation of reductions
commensurate with this volume of SCR
retrofit capacity, as described further in
section VI.A of this document.
The Agency examined the cost for
retrofitting a coal unit with new SCR
technology, which typically attains
controlled NOX rates of 0.05 lb/mmBtu
or less. These updates are further
discussed in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD.211 Based on
the characteristics of coal units of 100
MW or greater capacity that do not have
post-combustion
NOX control technology, the EPA
estimated a weighted-average
representative SCR cost of $11,000 per
ton.212
The 0.05 lb/mmBtu emissions rate
performance assumption for new SCR
retrofits is supported by historical data
and third party independent review by
pollution control engineering and
consulting firms. The EPA first
examined unit-level emissions rate data
for coal-fired units that had a relatively
recent SCR installation (within the last
10 years). The best performing 10
percent of these SCRs were
demonstrating seasonal emissions rates
of 0.036 lb/mmBtu during this time.
While the EPA identified the 0.05 lb/
mmBtu performance assumption
consistent with historical data, these
performance levels are also informed
and consistent with the Agency’s IPM
modeling assumptions used for more
than a decade. These modeling
assumptions are based on input from
leading engineering and pollution
control consulting entities. Most
recently, these data assumptions were
affirmed and updated in the summer of
2021 and included in the docket for this
rulemaking.213 The EPA relies on a
211 As noted in that TSD, approximately half of
the recent SCR retrofits (i.e., installed in the last 10
years) have demonstrated an emission rate across
the ozone season below 0.05 lb/mmBtu, even absent
a requirement or strong incentive to operate at that
level in many cases.
212 This cost estimate is representative of coal
units lacking any post-combustion control. A subset
of units within the universe of coal sources with
SCR retrofit potential, but that have an existing
SNCR technology in place would have a weighted
average cost that falls above this level, but still cost
effective. See the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD for more discussion.
213 See ‘‘IPM Model—Updates to Cost and
Performance for APC Technologies: SCR Cost
Development Methodology for Coal-fired Boilers’’.
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global firm providing engineering,
construction management, and
consulting services for power and
energy with expertise in grid
modernization, renewable energy,
energy storage, nuclear power, and
fossil fuels. Their familiarity with stateof-the art pollution controls at power
plants derives from experience
providing comprehensive project
services—from consulting, design, and
implementation to construction
management, commissioning, and
operations/maintenance. This review
and update supported the 0.05 lb/
mmBtu performance assumption as a
representative emissions rate for new
SCR across coal types.
The EPA performed an assessment for
oil/gas steam units in which it evaluated
the nationwide performance of those
units with SCR technology. For these
units, the EPA tabulated EGU NOX
ozone season emissions data from 2009
through 2021 and calculated an average
NOX ozone season emissions rate across
the fleet of oil- and gas-fired EGUs with
SCR for each of these years. The EPA
identified the third lowest year which
yielded an SCR performance rate of 0.03
lb/mmBtu as representative of
performance for this retrofit technology
applied to this type of EGU. Next, the
EPA evaluated the emissions and
operational characteristics for the
existing oil/gas steam fleet lacking SCR
technology. EPA’s analysis indicated
that the majority of reduction potential
(approximately 76 percent) from these
units occurred at units greater than or
equal to 100 MW and that were emitting
more than 150 tons per ozone season
(i.e., approximately 1 ton per day).
Moreover, the cost of reductions for
units falling below these criteria
increased significantly on a dollar per
ton basis. Therefore, the EPA identified
the portion of the oil/gas steam fleet
meeting these criteria (i.e., greater than
or equal to 100 MW and emitting more
than 150 tons per ozone season) as
representative of the SCR retrofit
reduction potential.214 For this segment
of the oil/gas steam units lacking postcombustion NOX control technology, the
EPA estimated a weighted-average
representative SCR cost of $7,700 per
ton.
Comment: Some commenters
disagreed with EPA’s proposed 36month timeframe for SCR retrofit. These
commenters noted that, while possible
at the unit or plant level, the collective
volume of SCR installation occurring in
214 The EPA used a 3-year average of 2019–2021
reported ozone season emissions to derive a tons
per ozone season value representative for each
covered oil/gas steam unit.
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a limited region of the country would
not be possible given the labor
constraints, supply constraints, and
simultaneous outages necessary to
complete SCR retrofit projects on such
a schedule. They noted that achieving
such a timeframe against a backdrop of
such challenging circumstances is
unprecedented and that EPA’s
assumptions ignore that many of the
remaining unretrofitted coal units
reflect more site-specific challenges
than those that were already retrofitted
on a quicker timeframe.
Response: EPA reviewed the
comments and is making several
changes in this final rule to address
some of the concerns identified by the
commenters. In particular, EPA found
that its own review of historical retrofit
patterns as well as technical information
submitted by commenters supported
commenters’ concerns regarding: (1)
current and anticipated constraints in
labor and supply markets, (2) the
potential collective capacity levels of
SCR retrofit within 36 months, and (3)
possible site-specific complexities at the
remaining units without an existing
SCR. To address these concerns, EPA is
phasing in its SCR installation
requirement over a 48-month time frame
in this final rule, instead of a 36-month
time frame as proposed (see additional
detail and discussion in section VI.A.2.a
and the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD). EPA will require half
of the reductions associated with SCR
installation in 2026 and the other half
in 2027. Additionally, EPA is moving
the daily backstop rate for these units
with identified SCR reduction potential
from 2027 to no later than 2030, which
defers the increased allowance
surrender ratio for emissions above the
backstop rate at any outlier units unable
to complete the retrofit during that time
frame. These adjustments continue to
incentivize reductions in NOX
emissions by the attainment date that
are consistent with cost-effective SCR
controls, but provide more flexibility
(both from timing and technology
perspective) in how they are procured.
Some commenters requested more
than 48 months to install SCR controls
based on the collective total volume of
SCR retrofit volume identified and past
projects that took five or more years.
EPA disagrees with these comments and
finds that they ignored key aspects of
the proposed rule. First, the final rule
does not directly require
implementation of SCR; rather, it
requires reductions commensurate with
SCR installations based on a rigorous
assessment of SCR retrofit potential.
Implementing the reductions through a
trading program means that sources in
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many cases, as suggested by the
Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA), will
find alternative, and more economic
means, of reducing emissions—
including reduced generation and
retirements that are already planned
based on the age of the unit,
decarbonization goals, or compliance
with other Federal/state/local regulation
compliance dates. Moreover, the
additional new generation incentives
provided by the Inflation Reduction Act
(enacted after the proposed rule) will
further increase the pace of new
generation replacing some of the older
generating capacity identified as having
retrofit potential.215 In short, although
EPA identified the total SCR retrofit
capacity potential for today’s existing
fleet and does not premise any
reduction requirements of incremental
retirements, the announced and planned
futures for these units indicates that
many will likely retire instead of
installing SCR. For the capacity
identified at Step 3 which lacks SCR,
the planned or projected retirement in
place of a retrofit moots the SCR timing
for these units. Moreover, it also reduces
the demand for associated labor and
materials which, in turn, frees up
resources for any units proceeding with
a SCR retrofit. Therefore, comments
which cite labor and supply chain
challenges for accommodating the entire
fleet capacity identified as having SCR
retrofit potential significantly overstate
the supply-side challenge—as it ignores
the fact that much of this capacity has
explicit or expected operation plans that
will result in compliance without a
retrofit.
Even for sources choosing a SCR
retrofit compliance pathway, many of
these comments ignore the timing
flexibilities of the trading program,
which (particularly with the changes to
the backstop daily emissions rate in this
final rule) allow sources to temporarily
comply through means other than SCR
retrofit if they experience any sitespecific retrofit limitations that increase
their time frame. Also, historical
examples of SCR retrofit projects that
exceeded 48 months in duration do not
necessarily demonstrate that such
projects are impossible in less than 48
months, but rather that they can extend
beyond the timeframe if no
requirements or incentives are in place
for a faster installation. Some also cite
site-specific conditions that resulted an
215 See ‘‘Regulatory Impact Analysis for 2015
Good Neighbor Plan, Appendix 4A: Inflation
Reduction Act EGU Sensitivity Run Results.’’ EPA
estimated the compliance costs and emissions
changes of the final rule in the presence of the IRA,
but given time and resource constraints, did not
quantify benefits for this sensitivity.
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outlier cases of project timing that
would not be representative of the
conditions expected at future retrofit
projects.216
Comment: Some stakeholders
suggested that EPA’s cost estimates of
$11,000 per ton are premised on a 15year book life of the equipment and are
therefore too optimistic for units that
plan to retire in well under 15 years.
Response: EPA analysis of SCR
retrofit cost reflects a representative
value for the technology based on a
weighted average cost. The underlying
data and the discussion in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final TSD
illustrates that these costs can vary
significantly at the unit level based on
factors such as the length of time a
pollution control technology would be
in operation, the capacity factor of the
unit (i.e., how much does it operate), its
size or potential to emit, and its baseline
emissions rate. The EPA has not in prior
transport rulemakings used such factors
as justification to excuse any source that
is significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance in another state from
eliminating that significant contribution
as expeditiously as practicable. Unlike
under other statutory provisions that
may require retrofit of emissions
controls on existing sources, such as
under CAA section 111(d) or CAA
section 169A, there is no remaining
useful life factor expressly identified as
a justification to relax the requirements
of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). EPA
continues to believe that where an
emissions control strategy has been
identified at Step 3 that is cost-effective
on a regional scale and provides
meaningful downwind air quality
improvement, and is thus appropriately
identified as necessary to eliminate
significant contribution under the good
neighbor provision, it would not be
appropriate to allow emissions to
continue in excess of those achievable
emissions reductions beyond the
timeframe for expeditious
implementation of reductions as
provided under the larger title I
structure of the Act for attaining and
maintaining the NAAQS. The court in
Wisconsin recognized that where such
emissions have been identified, they
should be eliminated as expeditiously
as practicable, and in line with the
216 Commenters, for example, cited the timing of
SCR installation at Sammis 6 and 7. Here, the SCR
design and material delivery schedule were tailored
to meet unique site conditions that were unlike
many other SCR systems where large modules can
be used to maximize shop and ground assembly
techniques. Additional information is available at
https://www.babcock.com/home/about/resources/
success-stories/sammis-plant.
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attainment schedule for downwind
areas, which, for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, is provided in CAA section
181. 938 F.3d at 313–20.
Further, EPA observes that more than
one-third of the identified SCR retrofit
potential (in terms of generating
capacity) has no planned retirement
date within 15 years, and therefore the
cost of pollution control technology on
such units would likely be lower,
holding all other parameters equal, on a
dollar per ton basis by virtue of the
length of time the pollution control
equipment may be in operation. Nor
does EPA agree that units that would
retire in less than 15 years should
automatically be considered to face an
unreasonably higher cost burden. Based
on data analyzed in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD,
we find that the cost per ton associated
with SCR retrofit technology does not
begin to increase significantly above the
$11,000/ton benchmark unless units
have dramatically lower operating
capacity or retire in less than 5 years’
time—as illustrated in Figure 1 to
section V.B.1.e of this document.
Finally, EPA’s identification of this
mitigation strategy is not meant to be
limited only to units that experience a
retrofit cost that is less than the
representative cost threshold. First, that
threshold represents an average,
meaning that EPA’s analysis already
recognizes that some units on a facilityspecific basis may face costs higher than
that threshold. Further, EPA identifies
this technology as widely available,
implemented in practice already at
many existing EGUs, and now standard
for any coal-fired unit coming online in
the past 25 years. More than 66 percent
of the current large coal fleet already has
such controls in place. Even if the cost
were higher for some units for the
reasons provided by commenters—and
there were no less costly means
provided to them to achieve the same
level of emissions reduction (which the
trading program allows for)—that would
not necessarily obviate EPA’s basis for
finding that an emissions-reduction
requirement commensurate with this
standard pollution control practice for
this unit type is warranted. The
implementation of emissions reductions
through a trading program, and its
corresponding compliance flexibilities,
make the use of a single representative
cost all the more appropriate in this
assessment. Therefore, upon reviewing
all of the data including the information
supplied by commenters, and even
accounting for certain units’ announced
plans to retire earlier than an assumed
15-year book life for SCR retrofit
technology, EPA finds its representative
cost for this technology to be
appropriate and reasonable for purposes
of analysis under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) and maintains this cost
estimate in the final rule.
However, in recognition of the unique
circumstances related to the transition
of the power sector away from coal-fired
and other high-NOX emitting fuels and
generating technologies, which is
anticipated to accelerate in the late
2020s and into the 2030s, EPA has
adjusted the final rule to avoid imposing
a capital-intensive control technology
retrofit obligation which could have
overall net-negative environmental
consequences (e.g., by extending the life
of a higher-emitting EGU or
necessitating the allocation of material
and personnel that could be used for
more advanced clean-technology
217 ‘‘Debt Life’’ refers to the term length, or
duration, for a loan used to finance the retrofit.
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innovations). For units that plan to
retire by 2030, the final rule—by
extending the daily backstop rate to
2030—allows these units to continue to
operate, so long as they comply with the
mass-based emissions trading program
requirements.218 Therefore, a unit
experiencing a higher dollar per ton
retrofit cost due to retirement plans has
the flexibility to install less capital
intensive controls such as SNCR,
procure less costly allowances through
either banking or purchase, or they may
also reduce their allowance holding
requirement through reduced utilization
consistent with their phasing out
towards a planned retirement date. This
flexibility that EPA has included in the
final rule is discussed in further detail
in section VI.B of this document.
Comment: Some commenters
suggested that the 0.05 lb/mmBtu
emissions rate assumed for new SCRs at
large coal units is not achievable at all
coal units with retrofit potential and
that EPA should raise this performance
assumption to a value of 0.08 lb/mmBtu
consistent with that assumption for
existing SCRs.
Response: First, EPA believes the
commenter misunderstands its intention
with the 0.05 lb/mmBtu SCR rate
assumption. This is meant to reflect a
representative assumption for emissions
rate performance for new SCR installed
on the currently unretrofitted coal
fleet—in this respect, it represents an
average, not a maximum. EPA
recognizes that some units will likely
perform better (i.e., lower) than this rate
and some will potentially perform
worse (i.e., higher) than this rate—but
that 0.05 lb/mmBtu is a reasonable
representation of new SCR retrofit
potential on a fleet-wide basis and for
identifying expected state and regional
emissions reduction potential from this
technology. It would be inappropriate
for EPA to use the worst performing tier
of new SCR retrofit for this
representative value. Moreover, EPA’s
review of historical environmental
performance for recently installed SCRs
does not support any indication that
0.05 is not representative of the retrofit
potential for the fleet. EPA found that
three quarters of the SCR retrofit
projects completed in the last 15 years
have achieved a rate of 0.05 lb/mmBtu
or better on a monthly or seasonal basis.
Moreover, its review of the engineering
literature and consultation with third
party pollution control engineering
consultancies suggests that vendors are
218 In the RIA, EPA has modeled the mass-based
budgets that are premised on retrofit of SCR
technology with the option of complying through
other strategies, and finds that they are readily
achievable through those other strategies.
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often willing to guarantee 0.05 lb/
mmBtu seasonal performance for new
SCR retrofit projects. Current SCR
catalyst suppliers provide NOX
emissions warranties based at the
catalyst’s end-of-life period, often after
16,000 to 24,000 hours of operations,
with newer catalyst achieving similar or
better NOX removal rates. Standard
commercial terms, made by the
purchaser to the SCR Retrofit supplier,
can specify a system capable of meeting
the proposed NOX emissions rate and
define the catalyst operational life
before replacement. Thus, achieving the
proposed reduction rates is
accomplished through the buyer
specifying the SCR retrofit requirements
and the supplier providing an optimized
system design and installing sufficient
catalyst for the targeted end-of-life NOX
emissions rate. The agency is confident
that SCR retrofit suppliers will be able
to warrant their offerings for the
emissions rates proposed in the
regulation and to provide sufficient
operating life for the affected sector.
Comment: Some commenters suggest
that the evaluation of pollution control
installation cost at Step 3 should be
segmented depending on unit
characteristics, and by failing to do so
understate the cost of retrofitting SCR
controls. In particular, these
commenters note that units with lower
capacity factors, different coal ranks,
with pre-existing controls—such as
SNCR—face substantially higher dollar
per ton reduced costs than those that do
not have such controls in place and
should not be identified as a costeffective mitigation strategy.
Response: Consistent with prior
CSAPR rulemakings, at Step 3 EPA
evaluates a mitigation technology and
its representative cost and performance
for the fleet on average. This
representative cost is inclusive and
robust to the portion of the fleet that
may face higher dollar per ton cost. Both
the ‘‘Technical Support Document
(TSD) for the Proposed Federal
Implementation Plan Addressing
Regional Ozone Transport for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standard, Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–
OAR–2021–0668, EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Proposed Rule TSD’’ (Feb.
2022), hereinafter referred to as the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Proposed
Rule TSD, and the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final TSD discuss the SCR
retrofit cost specific to the segment of
the fleet that has a SNCR in place and
notes that those unit-level higher retrofit
cost estimates are factored into its
determination of the fleet-wide
representative number. Although EPA
believes its representative cost are
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appropriate and underpinned by
operating assumptions reflective of the
fleet averages, it nevertheless examined
how cost would vary based on some of
the variables highlighted by commenter.
The EPA derived its capacity factor
assumption based on expected future
operations of this fleet segment that are
inclusive of units operating at a range of
capacity factors. It also examined how
cost would change assuming different
coal rank, assuming different book life,
and different reagent cost. These
analyses are discussed and shown in
Appendix B of the EGU NOX
Mitigations Strategies Final Rule TSD
and demonstrate that even under
different operating assumptions, the
variation in cost does not reach a point
that would reverse EPA’s finding
regarding the appropriateness of this
technology as part of this final rule’s
control stringency. Moreover, as
discussed in section V.D of this
document, EPA identifies appropriate
mitigation strategies based on multiple
factors—not solely on cost, and there is
no indication that an individual unit’s
higher retrofit cost would obviate the
appropriateness of retrofitting this
standard and best practice technology at
the unit. Finally, in prior rules and in
the proposal, EPA recognized that some
units will have higher cost and some
will have lower cost relative the
fleetwide representative value provided.
Implementing the region and state
reduction requirements through a massbased trading program provides a means
of alternative lower cost compliance for
those sources particularly concerned
about the higher retrofit cost at their
unit.
Comment: Some commenters
suggested that EPA’s proposed
representative cost for SCR pollution
control is likely too high and overstates
the true cost of such control. They also
noted it aligns with agency precedent.
These commenters claim that EPA’s cost
recovery factor is higher than necessary
(thus inflating the cost) as it reflects a
weighting of utility-owned to merchantowned plants that is representative of
the fleet, but not the unretrofitted fleet
with this retrofit potential identified in
this rule. They also noted that EPA’s
assumed interest rate informing the cost
estimate was higher than the prime rate
in June of 2022.
Response: EPA agrees that its
approach for identifying representative
cost thresholds is aligned with prior
rules and agrees that its approach is
reasonable. As the commenter points
out, prime rates and cost recovery
factors may indeed be lower in recent
data than those assumed by EPA for
future years. However, given the
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volatility among these metrics, EPA
believes its choices are appropriate to
build cost estimates that are robust to
future uncertainty, and if these cost
input factors do materialize to be the
lower values highlighted by commenter,
then it will result in a lower cost
assumed in this final rule, but would
not otherwise alter any of the stringency
identification or regulatory findings put
forward in this final rule. EPA
performed a cost sensitivity analysis in
Appendix B of the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD which shows
how cost for this technology would vary
based on different assumed levels for
this variable. This analysis shows that
under lower interest rates such as those
put forward by commenter, that
technology cost would drop by
approximately 15 percent relative to the
representative values put forward in this
rule.
f. Generation Shifting
At proposal, EPA considered
intrastate emissions reduction potential
from generation shifting across the
representative dollar per ton levels
estimated for the emissions controls
considered in previous sections. As the
cost of emitting NOX increases, it
becomes increasingly cost-effective for
units with lower NOX rates to increase
generation, while units with higher NOX
rates reduce generation. Because the
cost of generation is unit-specific, this
generation shifting occurs incrementally
on a continuum. Consequently, there is
more generation shifting at higher cost
NOX-control levels.
The EPA recognizes that imposing a
NOX-control requirement on affected
EGUs, like any environmental
regulation, internalizes the cost of their
pollution, which could result in
generation shifting away from those
sources toward other generators offering
electricity at a lower pollution cost. If,
in the context of a market-based
allowance trading program form of
implementation, the EPA imposes a
preset emissions budget that is premised
only on assumed installation,
optimization, and continued operation
of unit-specific pollution control
technologies, with no accounting for the
likely generation shift in the
marketplace away from these higherpolluting sources, that preset emissions
budget will contain more tons than
would be emitted if the affected EGUs
achieved the emissions performance
level (on a rate basis) selected at step 3.
Hence, EPA has previously quantified
and required expected emissions
reductions from generation shifting in
prior transport rules to avoid
undermining the program’s incentive to
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install, optimize, and operate controls
identified in the Agency’s
determinations regarding the requisite
level of emissions control at Step 3. See,
e.g., 81 FR 74544–45; 76 FR 48280.
As in these prior rules, at proposal,
the EPA did not identify generation
shifting as a primary mitigation strategy
and stringency measure on its own, but
included emissions reductions from this
strategy as it would be projected to
occur in response to the selected
emissions control stringency levels (and
corresponding allowance price signals
in step 4 implementation). For this
rule’s proposal, the EPA only specified
emissions reductions from generation
shifting in its preset budget calculations
for 2023 and 2024. Because this rule’s
dynamic budget methodology applies
the selected control stringency’s
emissions rates to the most recently
reported heat input at each affected
EGU, dynamic budgeting effectively
serves a similar purpose to our ex ante
quantification of emissions reduction
potential from generation shifting for
preset budgets in prior transport rules,
i.e., to adequately and continuously
incentivize the implementation of the
emissions control strategies selected at
Step 3. Therefore, dynamic budgets
under this rule’s program moot the need
to specify discrete emissions reduction
potential from generation shifting for
those control periods, as they
automatically reflect whatever
generation balance affected EGUs would
determine in the marketplace inclusive
of their response to the emissions
performance levels imposed by this
rule.
Comment: Commenters offered both
support for and opposition against the
inclusion of generation shifting at Step
3 analysis for EGUs. Those in support
noted that inclusion of emissions
reductions from generation-shifting is
integral to the successful
implementation of the pollution control
measures identified in the selected
control stringency at Step 3. Those
opposed generally argued the EPA was
overestimating reduction potential from
generation shifting in light of recent
volatility and high prices in the markets
for lower emitting fuels such as natural
gas. Commenters also noted the
electrical grid in certain regions has
constraints that would make generation
shifting more difficult than the EPA
assumed. Commenters also asserted that
the EPA did not have the legal authority
to require generation shifting.
Response: The EPA disagrees with
these comments regarding our legal
authority but notes this issue is not
relevant for purposes of this final action.
The EPA continues to believe it has
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authority under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to consider and require
emissions reductions from generation
shifting if the EPA were to find that
strategy was necessary to eliminate
significant contribution. However, based
on circumstances currently facing
affected EGUs, as well as the inherent
strength of the dynamic budget
methodology to automatically reflect the
market-determined balance of
generation across sources responding to
this rule, the EPA is not specifying
emissions reduction potential from
generation shifting as a part of the Step
3 analysis, nor to require any emissions
reductions from generation shifting in
preset budgets formulated under Step 4
for any control period, for this final rule.
Currently observable market
conditions (e.g., fuel prices) present
unusual uncertainty with respect to key
economic drivers of generation shifting.
The availability of emissions reductions
through generation shifting, and the
magnitude of those emissions, is
dependent on the availability and cost
of substitute generation. The primary
driver of near-term generation shiftingbased emissions reductions has been
shifting to lower-emitting natural gas
generation. Recent volatility and high
prices in the natural gas market have
increased the uncertainty and reduced
the potential of this emissions control
strategy at any given cost threshold in
the near term. For example, Henry Hub
natural gas prices went from under
$3.00/mmBtu during most of the last
decade to an average of nearly $8.00/
mmBtu for the most recent (2022) ozone
season before declining sharply at the
start of 2023. The current volatility in
natural gas prices reduces the
availability of emissions reductions
from generation shifting and make its
identification and quantification too
uncertain for incorporation into Step 3
emissions reduction estimates for this
rulemaking.
The Step 4 dynamic budget-setting
process of this rule obviates the need to
specify and require discrete emissions
reductions from generation shifting
under Step 3. As discussed in section VI
of this document, the EPA in this final
rule will implement a budget-setting
approach that relies on two
components: first, we have calculated
‘‘preset’’ budgets that reflect the best
information currently available about
fleet change over the period 2023
through 2029. Second, beginning in
2026, dynamic state emissions budgets
will be calculated that will reflect the
balance of generation across sources
reported to EPA by EGU operators.
Between 2026 and 2029, the actual
budget that will be implemented will
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reflect the greater of either the preset
budget or the dynamic budget
calculation; from 2030 onwards, the
budgets will be set only through the
dynamic budget calculation. This
overall approach is well suited for a
period of significant power sector
transition driven by a variety of
economic, policy, and regulatory forces
and allows for the balance of generation
in this period to adjust in response to
these forces while nonetheless ensuring
that the budgets will continuously
incentivize the emissions control
stringency identified at Step 3. See
section VI.B.4 of this document for
further discussion on the interaction of
preset and dynamic budgets during the
2026–2029 time period. With these
approaches, and on the present record
before the Agency, we conclude that the
estimation and incorporation of
specified emissions reductions from
generation shifting at Step 3 is not
necessary to eliminate significant
contribution from EGUs for the 2015
ozone NAAQS through this rule’s
program implementation.
In previous CSAPR rulemakings, the
EPA included generation shifting in the
budget setting process to capture those
reductions that would occur through
shifting generation as an economic
response to the control stringency
determined based on the selected NOX
control strategies. See, e.g., 81 FR
74544–45. ‘‘Because we have identified
discrete cost thresholds resulting from
the full implementation of particular
types of emissions controls, it is
reasonable to simultaneously quantify
the reduction potential from generation
shifting strategy at each cost level.
Including these reductions is important,
ensuring that other cost-effective
reductions (e.g., fully operating
controls) can be expected to occur.’’
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final
Rule TSD (EPA–HQ–OAR–2015–0500–
0554), at 11–12.
Commenters on this rule and prior
transport rules have observed that using
preset budgets to factor in generation
shifting is flawed in that it results in
EPA incorporating specific quantities of
emissions reductions from discrete
levels of generation shifting that are
projected to occur but may in fact
ultimately transpire differently in the
marketplace. Commenters on this rule
claim that other variables, such as
constraints in transmission capacity or
changes in fuel prices, can drive such
differences in projected versus realized
generation shifting, and these concerns
are particularly exacerbated in a time of
significant uncertainty around energy
supplies and markets together with new
laws passed by Congress (e.g., the
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Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
and the Inflation Reduction Act) driving
the current transformation of the power
sector. By refraining in this rule from
specifying discrete emissions reductions
from generation shifting in preset
budgets and instead relying on a
dynamic budgeting approach to reflect
market-driven generation patterns, EPA
ensures that its budgets remain
sufficiently stringent over the long term
to continually incentivize the emissions
control stringency it determined to be
cost-effective and therefore appropriate
to eliminate significant contribution at
Step 3. Thus, dynamic budgeting
addresses the same concern that
animated our use of generation shifting
in the CSAPR rulemakings, but in doing
so uses a market-following approach
that will accommodate, over the long
term, unforeseen drops or increases in
heat input levels.
g. Other EGU Mitigation Measures
The EPA requested comment on
whether other EGU ozone-season NOX
Mitigation technologies should be
required to eliminate significant
contribution. For instance, the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Proposed and
Final Rule TSDs discussed certain
mitigation technologies that have been
applied to ‘‘peaking’’ units (small, lowcapacity factor gas combustion turbines
often only operating during periods of
peak demand).
Comment: Some commenters
emphasized that simple cycle
combustion turbines play a significant
role in downwind contribution, and
they highlight that states such as New
York have imposed emissions limits on
these sources acknowledging their
impact on downwind nonattainment.
These commenters suggest that EPA
pursue and expedite the
implementation of these or similar
mitigation measures.
Response: As explained in greater
detail in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final TSD, both the
configuration and operation of this
segment of the EGU fleet reflects
significant variability among units and
across time. In other words, one unit
may have a capacity factor in a given
year that is one hundred times greater
than a similar unit in that same year, or
even than its own capacity factor from
a preceding year. This type of variability
and heterogeneity make it unlikely that
there is a single cost-effective control
strategy across this fleet segment, and
commenters did not provide evidence to
the contrary. EPA’s analysis discussed
in the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD highlights that there are
32 units emitting more than 10 tons per
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year on average for the 2019–2021 ozone
seasons and lacking combustion
controls or more advanced controls
(totaling approximately 1,000 tons of
ozone season NOX emissions in 2021).
EPA analysis estimates a representative
cost of $22,000 per ton for dry low NOX
burners or ultra-low NOX burners at
these simple cycle combustion turbines,
and over $100,000 per ton for SCR
retrofit at some combustion turbines.
Therefore, EPA does not identify any
such uniform mitigation measure at
Step 3 when estimating reduction
potential.
Nonetheless, the EPA recognizes that
these simple cycle combustion turbines
may have cost-effective emissionsreduction opportunities. These units are
included in the emissions trading
program and therefore, as in prior
transport rules, the program continues
to subject them to an allowance holding
requirement under this rule which will
likely incentivize any available costeffective NOX reductions from these
EGUs. For instance, emissions rates
from these units in New York were
considerably lower in 2022, when they
faced a high allowance price, versus
2021, when the allowance price was
much lower. Therefore, we find that the
appropriate treatment of these units in
this final rule is to continue to include
them in the emissions trading program
to incentivize cost-effective emissions
reductions, but EPA does not find the
magnitude or consistency of costeffective mitigation potential to
establish a specific increment of
emissions reduction through a specific
Step 3 emissions control determination.
Moreover, while EPA’s program will
incentivize any available cost-effective
reductions within this cadre of units
(and such behavior is captured in its
final program evaluation and modeling
the RIA), it does not obviate the need for
the other EGU cost-effective reductions
elsewhere as suggested by some
commenters.
2. Non-EGU or Stationary Industrial
Source NOX Mitigation Strategies
In the early stages of preparing the
proposed FIP, the EPA evaluated air
quality modeling information, annual
emissions, and information about
potential controls to determine which
industries, beyond the power sector,
could have the greatest impact on
downwind receptors’ air quality and
therefore the greatest impact in
providing ozone air quality
improvements in affected downwind
states through reducing those emissions.
Specifically, the EPA conducted a
screening assessment focused on
individual emissions units with >100
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tpy of actual NOX emissions in 23
upwind states. Once the industries were
identified, the EPA used its Control
Strategy Tool to identify potential
emissions units and control measures
and to estimate emissions reductions
and compliance costs associated with
application of non-EGU emissions
control measures. The technical
memorandum ‘‘Screening Assessment of
Potential Emissions Reductions, Air
Quality Impacts, and Costs from NonEGU Emissions Units for 2026’’ (‘‘NonEGU Screening Assessment’’ or
‘‘screening assessment’’) lays out the
analytical framework and data used to
prepare proxy estimates for 2026 of
potentially affected non-EGU facilities
and emissions units, emissions
reductions, and costs.219
This screening assessment was not
intended to identify the specific
emissions units subject to the proposed
emissions limits for non-EGU sources
but was intended to inform the
development of the proposed rule by
identifying proxies for (1) non-EGU
emissions units that potentially had the
most impact in terms of the magnitude
of emissions and potential for emissions
reductions, (2) potential controls for and
emissions reductions from these
emissions units, and (3) control costs
from the potential controls on these
emissions units. This information
helped shape the proposed rule.
To further evaluate the industries and
emissions unit types identified by the
screening assessment and to establish
the applicability criteria and proposed
emissions limits, the EPA reviewed
RACT rules, NSPS rules, NESHAP rules,
existing technical studies, rules in
approved SIP submittals, consent
decrees, and permit limits. That
evaluation is detailed in the Proposed
Non-EGU Sectors TSD prepared for the
proposed FIP.220
In this final rule, for purposes of this
part of the Step 3 analysis, the EPA is
retaining emissions control
requirements for these industries and
many of the emissions unit types
included in the proposal. However,
based on comments that credibly
indicated in certain cases that emissions
reduction opportunities are either not
available for certain unit types or are at
costs that are far greater than the EPA
estimated at proposal, the EPA has
changed the final rule to either remove
or adjust the applicability criteria for
such units. For a detailed discussion of
219 The memorandum is available in the docket
here: https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPAHQ-OAR-2021-0668-0150.
220 The TSD for the proposed FIP is available in
the docket here: https://www.regulations.gov/
document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0145.
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the changes between the proposed FIP
and this final rule, in emissions unit
types included and in emissions limits,
see section VI.C of this document.
Tables I.B–2 through I.B–7 in section I.B
of this document identify the emissions
units and applicable emissions
limitations, and Table II.A–1 in section
II.A of this document identifies the
industries included in the final rule.
For the final rule, to determine NOX
emissions reduction potential for the
non-EGU industries and emissions unit
types, with the exception of Solid Waste
Combustors and Incinerators, we used a
2019 inventory prepared from the
emissions inventory system (EIS) to
estimate a list of emissions units
captured by the applicability criteria for
the final rule. For Solid Waste
Combustors and Incinerators, the EPA
estimated the list of covered units using
the 2019 inventory, as well as the
NEEDS-v6-summer-2021-reference-case
workbook.221 Based on the review of
RACT, NSPS, NESHAP rules, as well as
SIPs, consent decrees, and permits, we
also assumed certain control
technologies could meet the final
emissions limits.222 We did not run the
Control Strategy Tool to estimate
emissions reductions and costs and
instead programmed the assessment
using R.223 Using the list of emissions
units estimated to be captured by the
final rule applicability criteria, the
assumed control technologies that
would meet the emissions limits, and
information on control efficiencies and
default cost/ton values from the control
measures database (CMDB),224 the EPA
estimated NOX emissions reductions
and costs for the year 2026. We
estimated emissions reductions using
the actual emissions from the 2019
emissions inventory. In the assessment,
we matched emissions units by Source
Classification Code (SCC) from the
inventory to the applicable control
technologies in the CMDB. We modified
SCC codes as necessary to match control
technologies to inventory records.
The EPA recognized both at proposal
and in the final rule that the cost per ton
of emissions controls could vary by
industry and by facility. The $7,500
221 The workbook is available here: https://
www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/nationalelectric-energy-data-system-needs-v6.
222 The Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD is available
in the docket.
223 R is a free software environment for statistical
computing and graphics. Additional information is
available here: https://www.r-project.org/.
224 More information about the Control Strategy
Tool (CoST) and the control measures database
(CMDB) can be found at the following link: https://
www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysis-airpollution-regulations/cost-analysis-modelstools-airpollution.
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marginal cost/ton threshold reflected in
the Non-EGU Screening Assessment
functioned as a relative, representative
cost/ton level. Similar to the role of
cost-effectiveness thresholds the EPA
uses at Step 3 to evaluate EGU
emissions control opportunities, this
threshold is not intended to represent
the maximum cost any facility may need
to expend but is rather intended to be
a representative figure for evaluating
technologies to allow for a relative
comparison between different levels of
control stringency. The value was used
to identify potentially cost-effective
controls for further evaluation.
In the final rule, partly in recognition
of the many comments indicating
widely varying cost-per-ton values
across industries and facilities, the EPA
has updated its analysis of costs for the
covered non-EGU industries. This data
is summarized in the Technical
Memorandum ‘‘Summary of Final Rule
Applicability Criteria and Emissions
Limits for Non-EGU Emissions Units,
Assumed Control Technologies for
Meeting the Final Emissions Limits, and
Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions
Reductions, and Costs,’’ available in the
docket. We further respond to
comments on the screening assessment
in section 2.2 of the response to
comments document.
3. Other Stationary Sources NOX
Mitigation Strategies
As part of its analysis for this final
rule, the EPA also reviewed whether
NOX mitigation strategies for any other
stationary sources may be appropriate.
In this section, the EPA discusses three
classes of units that have historically
been excluded from our interstate air
transport programs: (1) solid waste
incineration units, (2) electric
generating units less than or equal to 25
MW, and (3) cogeneration units. EPA’s
initial assessment did not lead it to
propose inclusion of the units in these
categories. However, EPA requested
comment on whether any particular
units within this category may offer
cost-effective reduction potential.
Based on our request for comment,
comments received, and our further
evaluation, the EPA is including
emissions limits and associated control
requirements for the ozone season for
solid waste incinerator units in this
final rule, in line with the requirements
we laid out for comment at proposal.
Our analysis in this final rule confirms
that these units have emissions
reductions of a magnitude, degree of
beneficial impact, and cost-effectiveness
that is on par with the units in other
industrial sectors included in this final
rule.
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For electric generating units less than
25 MW and cogeneration units
previously exempted from EGU
emissions budgets established through
ozone interstate transport rules, the EPA
has determined that these units should
not be treated as EGUs in this final rule.
The EPA provides a summary of these
three segments, their emissions control
opportunities, and potential air quality
benefits in the following sections.
Additional considerations are further
discussed in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final TSD and in the RTC
Document.
a. Municipal Solid Waste Units
At proposal, the EPA solicited
comments on whether NOX emissions
reductions should be sought from
municipal waste combustors (MWCs) to
address interstate ozone transport,
specifically on potential emissions
limits, control technologies, and control
costs. The EPA requested comment on
emissions limits of 105 ppmvd on a 30day rolling average and a 110 ppmvd on
a 24-hour block average based on
determinations made in the June 2021
Ozone Transport Commission (OTC)
Municipal Waste Combustor Workgroup
Report (OTC MWC Report). See 87 FR
20085–20086. The OTC MWC Report
found that MWCs in the Ozone
Transport Region (OTR) are a significant
source of NOX emissions and that
significant annual NOX reductions
could be achieved from MWCs in the
OTR using several different
technologies, or combination of
technologies at a reasonable cost. The
OTC MWC report is included in the
docket for this action.
Comment: The EPA received multiple
comments supporting the inclusion of
emissions limits for MWCs in the final
rule. Commenters noted that MWCs are
significant sources of NOX that
contribute to ozone problems in the
states covered by the proposal. Multiple
commenters referenced the OTC MWC
report to contend that NOX emissions
from MWCs could be significantly
reduced at a reasonable cost. Some
commenters reasoned that sources
closer to downwind monitors, including
MWCs, should be regulated as a more
targeted approach and a means to
prevent overcontrol of upwind sources.
Commenters also noted that the OTC
recently signed a memorandum of
understanding (MOU) requesting that
OTC member states develop cost
effective solutions and select the
strategy or combination of strategies, as
necessary and appropriate, that provides
both the maximum certainty and
flexibility for that state and its MWCs.
Additionally, multiple commenters
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noted that MWCs are often located in
economically marginalized
communities or communities of color.
Lastly, one commenter stated that
MWCs were arbitrarily excluded from
the non-EGU screening assessment
prepared for the proposal.
Response: As described in section
VI.B.2 of the notice of proposed
rulemaking, the EPA assessed emissions
reduction potential from non-EGUs by
preparing a screening assessment to
identify those industries that could have
the greatest air quality impact at
downwind receptors. While the EPA did
not prepare an updated non-EGU
screening assessment in preparation for
this final rule, the Agency did evaluate
MWCs using the criteria developed in
the screening assessment for proposal
and determined that MWCs should be
included in this rulemaking. A
discussion of this analysis for MWCs is
available in the Municipal Waste
Combustor Supplement to February 28,
2022 Screening Assessment of Potential
Emissions Reductions, Air Quality
Impacts, and Costs from Non-EGU
Emissions Units for 2026, which is
available in the docket for this rule.
Considering EPA’s conclusion that
MWCs should be included in this final
rule if EPA applied the same criteria
developed in the screening assessment
for proposal, the findings from the OTC
MWC report and recent MOU, the fact
that many state RACT NOX rules apply
to MWCs, and information received
during public comment, the EPA finds
that MWCs should be included in this
final rule. Thus, the EPA is finalizing
NOX emissions limits and compliance
assurance requirements for large MWCs
as defined in the regulatory text at
§ 52.46 and as described in this section.
Comment: Some commenters did not
support the inclusion of emissions
limits for MWCs in the final rule. Some
commenters suggested that the
inclusion of NOX limits in a FIP is not
necessary to continue to reduce NOX
emissions from MWCs or to address
interstate transport problems. Some
commenters noted that many of the
MWCs in the states covered by the
proposal are already subject to RACTbased NOX emissions limits that are
below the current Federal NSPS NOX
emissions limits for MWCs under 40
CFR part 60, subparts Cb and Eb. One
commenter noted that MWCs do not
always account for a large percentage of
statewide NOX emissions. Others
suggested that voluntary industry
actions are also driving downward
trends of NOX emissions for some
MWCs. Some commenters also asserted
that regulation could interfere with state
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waste reduction policies and associated
environmental considerations.
Response: Regarding the comments
that some MWCs are already subject to
RACT NOX emissions limits, the EPA
acknowledges that some states included
in this rulemaking have promulgated
RACT NOX emissions limits that apply
to certain MWCs, including some that
are lower than current MWC NSPS NOX
emissions limits. The EPA does not
consider a source to be exempt from this
rulemaking just because the source may
be subject to other regulatory
requirements. As noted, the Agency did
evaluate MWCs using the criteria
developed in the screening assessment
for proposal and has concluded that
MWCs should be included in this
rulemaking. In considering the
emissions limits that are being finalized
in this rulemaking, the EPA reviewed
existing state RACT rules as described
in section VI.C.6 of this document and
the ‘‘Technical Support Document
(TSD) for the Final Rule, Docket ID No.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668, Non-EGU
Sectors TSD’’ (Mar. 2023), hereinafter
referred to as Final Non-EGU Sectors
TSD. We note that sources already
subject to RACT NOX emissions limits
that are equal to or more stringent than
the limits finalized in this rulemaking
will have the option to streamline
regulatory requirements through the
Title V permitting process.
Regarding the statement that
regulation could interfere with state
waste reduction policies and associated
environmental considerations, the EPA
acknowledges that MWCs serve an
important role in municipal solid waste
management programs, and that many
function as cogeneration facilities that
produce electrical power for the power
grid. The EPA also analyzed control
costs and determined that the required
NOX emissions limits for MWCs can be
achieved at a reasonable cost, as
described in section VI.C.6 of this
document, the Final Non-EGU Sectors
TSD, and the OTC MWC Report.
Although the EPA does not expect these
regulations to disrupt the ability of the
industry to provide municipal solid
waste and electric services, to the extent
a facility is unable to comply with the
standards due to technical impossibility
or extreme economic hardship, the final
rule includes provisions for facility
operators to apply for a case-by-case
alternative emissions limit. See section
VI.C of this document and 40 CFR
52.40(d). In addition, for MWC facilities
that are unable to comply with the
standard by the 2026 ozone season, the
final rule includes provisions for
requesting limited extensions of time to
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comply. See section VI.C and 40 CFR
52.40(c).
b. Electric Generating Units Less Than
or Equal to 25 MW
The EPA has historically not included
control requirements for emissions for
electric generating units less than or
equal to 25 MW of generation for three
primary reasons: low potential
reductions, relatively high cost per ton
of reduction, and high monitoring and
other compliance burdens. In the
January 11, 1993, Acid Rain permitting
rule, the EPA provided for a conditional
exemption from the emissions
reduction, emitting, and emissions
monitoring requirements of the Acid
Rain Program for new units having a
nameplate capacity of 25 MWe or less
that burn fuels with a sulfur content no
greater than 0.05 percent by weight,
because of the de minimis nature of
their potential SO2, CO2 and NOX
emissions. See 63 FR 57484. The NOX
SIP Call identified these as Small Point
Sources. For the purposes of that
rulemaking, the EPA considered
electricity generating boilers and
turbines serving a generator 25 MWe or
less, to be small point sources. The EPA
noted that the collective emissions from
small sources were relatively small and
the administrative burden to the states
and regulated entities of controlling
such sources was likely to be
considerable. As a result, the rule did
not assume reductions from those
sources in state emissions budgets
requirements (63 FR 57402). Similar
size thresholds have been incorporated
in subsequent transport programs such
as CAIR and CSAPR. As these sources
were not identified as having costeffective reductions and so were not
included in those programs, they were
also exempted from certain reporting
requirements and the data for these
sources is, therefore, not of the same
caliber as that of covered larger sources.
EPA’s preliminary survey of current
data, compared to this initial
justification, does not appear to offer a
compelling reason to depart from this
past practice by requiring emissions
reductions from these small EGU
sources as part of this rule. For instance,
as explained in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD, EPA has
evaluated the costs of SCR retrofits at
small EGUs using its Retrofit Cost
Analyzer and found that such controls
become markedly less cost-effective at
lower levels of generating capacity. This
analysis concluded that, after
controlling for all other unit
characteristics, the dollar per ton cost
for a SCR retrofit increases by about a
factor of 2.5 when moving from a 500
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MW to a 10 MW unit, and a factor of
8 when moving to a 1 MW unit.225
Moreover, the EPA estimates that under
6 percent of nationwide EGU emissions
come from units that are less than 25
MW and not covered by current
applicability criteria due to this size
exemption threshold. Therefore, the
EPA is not finalizing any emissions
reductions for these units.
Comment: EPA received comment
supporting the continued application of
the 25 MW threshold.
Response: Consistent with prior rules,
the proposal, and stakeholder comment,
EPA is continuing to apply its 25 MW
applicability threshold for EGUs in this
rulemaking. EPA did not find
compelling comment to reverse its
determination that (1) these sources
offer low potential reductions, (2) have
relatively high cost per ton, and (3) have
high monitoring and other compliance
burdens.
c. Cogeneration Units
Consistent with prior transport rules,
fossil fuel-fired boilers and combustion
turbines that produce both electricity
and useful thermal energy (generally
referred to as ‘‘cogeneration units’’) and
that meet the applicability criteria to be
included in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program would
be subject to the emissions reduction
requirements established in this
rulemaking for EGUs. However, those
applicability criteria—which the EPA is
not altering in this rulemaking (see
section VI.B.3 of this document)—
exempt some cogeneration units from
coverage as EGUs under the trading
program. The EPA is finalizing that
fossil fuel-fired boilers and combustion
turbines that produce both electricity
and useful thermal energy and that do
not meet the applicability criteria to be
included in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program as
EGUs would not be subject to the Group
3 emissions trading program. However,
to the extent a cogeneration unit meets
the applicability criteria for industrial
non-EGU boilers covered by this rule,
that unit will be subject to the relevant
requirements and is not exempted by
virtue of being a cogeneration unit.
According to information contained
in the EPA’s Combined Heat and Power
Partnership’s document ‘‘Catalog of CHP
Technologies’’,226 there are 4,226 CHP
installations in the U.S. providing
225 Preliminary estimate based on representative
coal units with starting NOX rate of 0.2 lb/mmBtu,
10,000 BTU/kwh, and assuming 80 percent
reduction.
226 This document is available at: https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/
documents/catalog_of_chp_technologies.pdf.
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83,317 MWe of electrical capacity. Over
99 percent of the installations are
powered by 5 equipment types, those
being reciprocating engines (52 percent),
boilers/steam turbines (17 percent), gas
turbines (16 percent), microturbines (8
percent), and fuel cells (4 percent). The
majority of the electrical capacity is
provided by gas turbine CHP systems
(64 percent) and boiler/steam turbine
CHP systems (32 percent). The various
CHP technologies described herewith
are available in a large range of sizes,
from as small as 1 kilowatt reciprocating
engine systems to as large as 300
megawatt gas turbine powered systems.
NOX emissions from rich burn
reciprocating engine, gas turbine, and
microturbine systems are low, ranging
from 0.013 to 0.05 lb/mmBtu. NOX
emissions from lean burn reciprocating
engine systems and gas-powered steam
turbines systems range from 0.1 to 0.2
lb/mmBtu. The highest NOX emitting
CHP units are solid fuel-fired boiler/
steam turbine systems which emit NOX
at rates ranging from 0.2 to 1.2 lb/
mmBtu.
Under the final rule (consistent with
prior CSAPR rulemakings), certain
cogeneration units would be exempt
from coverage under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
as EGUs. Specifically, the trading
program regulations include an
exemption for a unit that qualifies as a
cogeneration unit throughout the later of
2005 or the first 12 months during
which the unit first produces electricity
and continues to qualify through each
calendar year ending after the later of
2005 or that 12-month period and that
meets the limitation on electricity sales
to the grid. To meet the trading
program’s definition of ‘‘cogeneration
unit’’ under the regulations, a unit (i.e.,
a fossil-fuel-fired boiler or combustion
turbine) must be a topping-cycle or
bottoming-cycle type that operates as
part of a ‘‘cogeneration system.’’ A
cogeneration system is defined as an
integrated group of equipment at a
source (including a boiler, or
combustion turbine, and a generator)
designed to produce useful thermal
energy for industrial, commercial,
heating, or cooling purposes and
electricity through the sequential use of
energy. A topping-cycle unit is a unit
where the sequential use of energy
results in production of useful power
first and then, through use of reject heat
from such production, in production of
useful thermal energy. A bottomingcycle unit is a unit where the sequential
use of energy results in production of
useful thermal energy first, and then,
through use of reject heat from such
production, in production of useful
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power. To qualify as a cogeneration
unit, a unit also must meet certain
efficiency and operating standards in
2005 and each year thereafter. The
electricity sales limitation under the
exemption is applied in the same way
whether a unit serves only one generator
or serves more than one generator. In
both cases, the total amount of
electricity produced annually by a unit
and sold to the grid cannot exceed the
greater of one-third of the unit’s
potential electric output capacity or
219,000 MWh. This is consistent with
the approach taken in the Acid Rain
Program (40 CFR 72.7(b)(4)), where the
cogeneration-unit exemption originated.
The EPA requested comment on
requiring fossil fuel-fired boilers in the
non-EGU industries identified in section
VI.C of this document that serve
electricity generators and that qualify
for an exemption from inclusion in the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program as EGUs to instead
meet the same emissions standards, if
any, that would apply under this
rulemaking to fossil fuel-fired boilers at
facilities in the same non-EGU
industries that do not serve electricity
generators.
Comment: Some stakeholders support
the continued exclusion of qualifying
cogenerators from the EGU program, but
suggested they be regulated as nonEGUs if they don’t fit the EGU
applicability criteria.
Response: The EPA agrees that there
is no basis within the four-step
framework to exempt cogeneration units
that fall under the applicability criteria
of the final rule for non-EGU boilers
simply because they are cogeneration
units. While cogeneration units do have
environmental benefits as noted at
proposal, some cogeneration unit-types,
particularly boilers, are estimated to
have NOX emissions that would
otherwise meet this rule’s criteria at
Step 3 for constituting ‘‘significant
contribution.’’ These units can meet the
emissions limits that are otherwise
finalized for these unit types, and the
EPA does not find a basis to exclude
them simply because they may have
other environmentally-beneficial
attributes.
These emissions limits are set forth in
section VI.C.5 of this document.
Therefore, the final requirements for
non-EGUs do not exempt cogeneration
units and any cogeneration emissions
units meeting the applicability criteria
for non-EGUs will be subject to the final
emissions limits for the appropriate
non-EGU emissions unit. Based on
EPA’s review of available data, across
all of the non-EGU industries covered
by this rule, there are four cogeneration
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boilers (two in Pulp and Papermill and
two in Basic Chemical Manufacturing)
that would meet the final rule’s
applicability criteria for non-EGU units
and are included in the analysis of nonEGU emissions reduction potential in
section V.C.2 of this document.
4. Mobile Source NOX Mitigation
Strategies
Under a variety of CAA programs, the
EPA has established Federal emissions
and fuel quality standards that reduce
emissions from cars, trucks, buses,
nonroad engines and equipment,
locomotives, marine vessels, and aircraft
(i.e., ‘‘mobile sources’’). Because states
are generally preempted from regulating
new vehicles and engines with certain
exceptions (see generally CAA section
209), mobile source emissions are
primarily controlled through EPA’s
Federal programs. The EPA has been
regulating mobile source emissions
since it was established as a Federal
agency in 1970, and all mobile source
sectors are currently subject to NOX
emissions standards. The EPA factors
these standards and associated
emissions reductions into its baseline
air quality assessment in good neighbor
rulemaking, including in this final rule.
These data are factored into EPA’s
analysis at Steps 1 and 2 of the 4-step
framework. As a result of this long
history, NOX emissions from onroad and
nonroad mobile sources have
substantially decreased (73 percent and
57 percent since 2002, for onroad and
nonroad, respectively) 227 and are
predicted to continue to decrease into
the future as newer vehicles and engines
that are subject to the most recent,
stringent standards replace older
vehicles and engines.228
For example, in 2014, the EPA
promulgated new, more stringent
emissions and fuel standards for lightduty passenger cars and trucks.229 The
fuel standards took effect in 2017, and
the vehicle standards phase in between
2017 and 2025. Other EPA actions that
are continuing to reduce NOX emissions
include the Heavy-Duty Engine and
Vehicle Standards and Highway Diesel
Fuel Sulfur Control Requirements (66
FR 5002; January 18, 2001); the Clean
Air Nonroad Diesel Rule (69 FR 38957;
June 29, 2004); the Locomotive and
227 US EPA. Our Nation’s Air: Status and Trends
Through 2019. https://gispub.epa.gov/air/
trendsreport/2020/#home.
228 National Emissions Inventory Collaborative
(2019). 2016v1 Emissions Modeling Platform.
Retrieved from https://views.cira.colostate.edu/wiki/
wiki/10202.
229 Control of Air Pollution from Motor Vehicles:
Tier 3 Motor Vehicle Emissions and Fuel Standards,
79 FR 23414 (April 28, 2014).
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Marine Rule (73 FR 25098; May 6,
2008); the Marine Spark-Ignition and
Small Spark-Ignition Engine Rule (73 FR
59034; October 8, 2008); the New
Marine Compression-Ignition Engines at
or Above 30 Liters per Cylinder Rule (75
FR 22895; April 30, 2010); and the
Aircraft and Aircraft Engine Emissions
Standards (77 FR 36342; June 18, 2012).
Most recently, EPA finalized more
stringent emissions standards for NOX
and other pollution from heavy-duty
trucks (Control of Air Pollution from
New Motor Vehicles: Heavy-Duty
Engine and Vehicle Standards, 88 FR
4296, January 24, 2023). These
standards will take effect beginning
with model year 2027. Heavy-duty
vehicles are the largest contributor to
mobile source emissions of NOX and
will be one of the largest mobile source
contributors to ozone in 2025.230
Reducing heavy-duty vehicle emissions
nationally will improve air quality
where the trucks are operating as well
as downwind. The EPA’s existing
regulatory program for mobile sources
will continue to reduce NOX emissions
into the future.
Comment: The EPA received
comments on ozone-precursor
emissions from mobile sources,
including cars, trucks, trains, ships, and
planes. Commenters broadly encouraged
the EPA to require emissions reductions
from mobile sources in this rule.
Commenters stated that the
transportation sector plays a significant
role in NOX pollution and ozone
formation and urged the EPA to finalize
emissions reductions for the
transportation sector that will enable
attainment of the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Some commenters noted that high
proportions of NOX emissions in various
upwind states are attributable to the
transportation sector, and stated that
EPA should have targeted emissions
reductions from mobile sources first
before requiring more stringent
emissions controls from stationary
sources in the same upwind states.
Response: The EPA agrees with
commenters that a variety of sources,
including mobile sources in the
transportation sector, produce NOX
emissions that contribute to ozone air
quality problems across the U.S. This
rule, as with prior interstate transport
actions, does not ignore those
emissions, and it credits those on-thebooks measures of states and the Federal
Government within the four-step
framework by including emissions and
230 Zawacki et al, 2018. Mobile source
contributions to ambient ozone and particulate
matter in 2025. Atmospheric Environment. Vol 188,
pg 129–141. Available online: https://doi.org/
10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.04.057.
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emissions reductions from these sources
in the emissions inventory for air
quality modeling, which informs Steps
1 and 2 of this analysis. Thus, this rule
accurately represents emissions from
mobile sources that are used to evaluate
the contribution of states to ozone air
quality problems in other states. See
section IV.C of this document.
The EPA notes that its Step 3 analysis
for this FIP does not assess additional
emissions reductions opportunities from
mobile sources. The EPA continues to
believe that title II of the CAA provides
the primary authority and process for
reducing these emissions at the Federal
level. EPA’s various Federal mobile
source programs, summarized above in
this section, have delivered and are
projected to continue to deliver
substantial nationwide reductions in
both VOCs and NOX emissions; these
reductions from final rules are factored
into the Agency’s assessment of air
quality and contributions at Steps 1 and
2. Further, states are generally
preempted from regulating new vehicles
and engines with certain exceptions,
and therefore a question exists regarding
the EPA’s authority to address such
emissions through such means when
regulating in place of the states under
CAA section 110(c). See generally CAA
section 209. See also 86 FR 23099.231 In
any case, the existence of mobile source
emissions noted by commenters does
not lead to the conclusion that the EPA
must require mobile source reductions
in this rule or that the EPA has not
properly identified ‘‘source[s] or other
type[s] of emissions activity’’ in upwind
states that ‘‘significantly contribute’’ for
purposes of the Good Neighbor
Provision. The EPA is committed to
continuing the effective implementation
and enforcement of current mobile
source standards and continuing its
efforts on new standards. The EPA will
continue to work with state and local air
agencies to incorporate emissions
reductions from the transportation
sector into required ozone attainment
planning elements.
C. Control Stringencies Represented by
Cost Threshold ($ per ton) and
Corresponding Emissions Reductions
1. EGU Emissions Reduction Potential
by Cost Threshold
For EGUs, as discussed in section V.A
of this document, the multi-factor test
considers increasing levels of uniform
control stringency in combination with
considering total NOX reduction
potential and corresponding air quality
improvements. The EPA evaluated EGU
NOX emissions controls that are widely
available (described previously in
36737
section V.B.1 of this document), that
were assessed in previous rules to
address ozone transport, and that have
been incorporated into state planning
requirements to address ozone
nonattainment.
The EPA evaluated the EGU sources
within the State of California and found
there were no covered coal steam
sources greater than 100 MW that would
have emissions reduction potential
according to EPA’s assumed EGU SCR
retrofit mitigation technologies.232 The
EGUs in the state are sufficiently wellcontrolled resulting in the lowest fossilfuel emissions rate and highest share of
renewable generation among the 23
states examined at Step 3. EPA’s Step 3
analysis, including analysis of the
emissions reduction factors from EGU
sources in the state, therefore resulted in
no additional emissions reductions
required to eliminate significant
contribution from any EGU sources in
California.
The following tables summarize the
emissions reduction potentials (in ozone
season tons) from these emissions
controls across the affected
jurisdictions. Table V.C.1–1 focuses on
near-term emissions controls while
Table V.C.1–2 includes emissions
controls with extended implementation
timeframes.
TABLE V.C.1–1—EGU OZONE-SEASON EMISSIONS AND REDUCTION POTENTIAL (TONS)—2023
Reduction potential (tons) for varying levels of
technology inclusion
Baseline 2023
OS NOX
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State
Alabama .................................................................................................
Arkansas ................................................................................................
Illinois .....................................................................................................
Indiana ...................................................................................................
Kentucky ................................................................................................
Louisiana ................................................................................................
Maryland ................................................................................................
Michigan .................................................................................................
Minnesota ..............................................................................................
Mississippi ..............................................................................................
Missouri ..................................................................................................
Nevada ...................................................................................................
New Jersey ............................................................................................
New York ...............................................................................................
Ohio .......................................................................................................
Oklahoma ...............................................................................................
Pennsylvania ..........................................................................................
Texas .....................................................................................................
Utah .......................................................................................................
Virginia ...................................................................................................
West Virginia ..........................................................................................
231 This is not to say that states lack other options
to reduce emissions from mobile sources. For
example, a general list of types of transportation
control measures can be found in CAA section
108(f). In addition, in accordance with section 177,
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6,412
8,955
7,721
13,298
13,900
9,974
1,214
10,746
5,643
6,283
20,094
2,372
915
3,977
10,264
10,470
8,573
41,276
15,762
3,329
14,686
states may (but are not required to) adopt California
vehicle emissions standards for which a waiver has
been granted from the preemption provisions in
section 209(a). States that decide to adopt California
vehicle emissions standards may also choose to
PO 00000
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Sfmt 4700
SCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades
SCR
optimization
32
28
70
856
299
515
0
4
98
73
7,339
4
143
64
1,154
199
336
909
7
164
554
32
28
70
856
901
515
0
4
98
984
7,339
4
143
64
1,154
890
336
909
7
242
1,099
SCR/SNCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades
32
28
247
858
901
611
8
19
139
984
7,497
4
143
64
1,154
890
436
1,142
7
263
1,380
submit those standards to be included as a part of
their SIP.
232 The only coal-fired power plant in California
is the 63 MW Argus Cogeneration facility in Trona,
California.
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TABLE V.C.1–1—EGU OZONE-SEASON EMISSIONS AND REDUCTION POTENTIAL (TONS)—2023—Continued
Reduction potential (tons) for varying levels of
technology inclusion
Baseline 2023
OS NOX
State
SCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades
SCR
optimization
SCR/SNCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades
Wisconsin ...............................................................................................
6,321
7
7
26
Total ................................................................................................
222,184
12,854
15,681
16,832
* The EPA shows reduction potential from state-of-the-art LNB upgrade as near-term emissions controls, but explains in section V.B and VI.A
of this document that this reduction potential would not be implemented until 2024.
TABLE V.C.1–2—EGU OZONE-SEASON EMISSIONS AND REDUCTION POTENTIAL (TONS)—2026 *
Reduction potential (tons) for varying levels of technology inclusion
Baseline 2026
OS NOX
State
SCR
optimization
SCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades
SCR/SNCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades
SCR/SNCR
optimization +
combustion
control
upgrades +
SCR/SNCR
retrofits
Alabama .................................................................
Arkansas ................................................................
Illinois .....................................................................
Indiana ...................................................................
Kentucky ................................................................
Louisiana ................................................................
Maryland ................................................................
Michigan .................................................................
Minnesota ...............................................................
Mississippi ..............................................................
Missouri ..................................................................
Nevada ...................................................................
New Jersey ............................................................
New York ...............................................................
Ohio ........................................................................
Oklahoma ...............................................................
Pennsylvania ..........................................................
Texas .....................................................................
Utah ........................................................................
Virginia ...................................................................
West Virginia ..........................................................
Wisconsin ...............................................................
6,371
8,728
6,644
9,468
13,211
9,704
901
7,790
4,197
6,022
18,612
1,146
915
3,977
9,083
10,259
8,362
39,684
9,930
3,019
13,185
5,016
32
28
70
768
299
515
51
4
98
73
7,339
4
143
64
1,154
199
352
909
7
164
401
7
32
28
70
768
739
515
51
4
98
984
7,339
4
143
64
1,154
890
352
909
7
242
947
7
32
28
230
770
739
611
59
19
139
984
7,497
4
143
64
1,154
890
452
1,142
7
263
1,227
26
604
4,697
1,281
1,333
5,303
5,894
59
1,959
1,613
3,938
11,231
4
143
589
1,154
5,968
1,204
15,980
7,338
646
3,507
623
Total ................................................................
196,225
12,680
15,346
16,480
75,067
* The EPA shows all emissions reduction potential identified for assumed SCR retrofits in the Step 3 analytic year 2026, but explains in sections V.B and VI.A of this document that for Step 4 implementation this emissions reduction potential will be phased in during the 2026 and 2027
ozone season control periods.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
2. Non-EGU or Industrial Source
Emissions Reduction Potential
As described in the memorandum
titled ‘‘Summary of Final Rule
Applicability Criteria and Emissions
Limits for Non-EGU Emissions Units,
Assumed Control Technologies for
Meeting the Final Emissions Limits, and
Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions
Reductions, and Costs,’’ the EPA uses
the 2019 emissions inventory, the list of
emissions units estimated to be
captured by the applicability criteria,
the assumed control technologies that
would meet the emissions limits, and
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information on control efficiencies and
default cost/ton values from the CMDB,
to estimate NOX emissions reductions
and costs for the year 2026. The
estimates using the 2019 inventory and
information from the CMDB identify
proxies for emissions units, as well as
emissions reductions, and costs
associated with the assumed control
technologies that would meet the final
emissions limits. Emissions units
subject to the final rule emissions limits
may differ from those estimated in this
assessment, and the estimated emissions
reductions from and costs to meet the
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final rule emissions limits may also
differ from those estimated in this
assessment. The costs do not include
monitoring, recordkeeping, reporting, or
testing costs.
Table V.C.2–1 summarizes the
industries, estimated emissions unit
types, assumed control technologies,
estimated annual costs (2016$), and
estimated ozone season emissions
reductions in 2026, and Table V.C.2–2
summarizes the estimated reductions by
state.
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TABLE V.C.2–1—BY INDUSTRY IN 2026, ESTIMATED EMISSIONS UNIT TYPES, ASSUMED CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES,
ANNUAL COSTS (2016$), AND ESTIMATED EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (OZONE SEASON TONS)
Assumed control
technologies that meet final emissions
limits
Industry/industries
Emissions unit type
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas .....
Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine
Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing.
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing.
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing ..
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing.
Metal Ore Mining .......................................
Basic Chemical Manufacturing ..................
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing.
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills ...........
Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators
Totals ..................................................
Annual costs
(2016$)
Ozone season
emissions
reductions
385,463,197
32,247
Kiln ............................................................
NSCR or Layered Combustion, Layered
Combustion, SCR, NSCR.
SNCR ........................................................
10,078,205
2,573
Reheat Furnaces .......................................
LNB ...........................................................
3,579,294
408
Furnaces ...................................................
Boilers .......................................................
LNB ...........................................................
SCR, LNB + FGR ......................................
7,052,088
8,838,171
3,129
440
....................................................................
....................................................................
....................................................................
....................................................................
....................................................................
....................................................................
621,496
49,697,848
5,128,439
18
1,748
147
....................................................................
Combustors or Incinerators .......................
....................................................................
ANSCR or LNTM and SNCR .....................
62,268,540
38,949,560
1,836
2,071
....................................................................
....................................................................
571,676,839
44,616
TABLE V.C.2–2—ESTIMATED EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (OZONE SEASON TONS) BY UPWIND STATE IN 2026
2019
OS
emissions *
State
OS NOX
reductions
AR ............................................................................................................................................................................
CA ............................................................................................................................................................................
IL ..............................................................................................................................................................................
IN .............................................................................................................................................................................
KY ............................................................................................................................................................................
LA .............................................................................................................................................................................
MD ...........................................................................................................................................................................
MI .............................................................................................................................................................................
MO ...........................................................................................................................................................................
MS ............................................................................................................................................................................
NJ .............................................................................................................................................................................
NV 233 .......................................................................................................................................................................
NY ............................................................................................................................................................................
OH ............................................................................................................................................................................
OK ............................................................................................................................................................................
PA ............................................................................................................................................................................
TX ............................................................................................................................................................................
UT ............................................................................................................................................................................
VA ............................................................................................................................................................................
WV ...........................................................................................................................................................................
8,790
16,562
15,821
16,673
10,134
40,954
2,818
20,576
11,237
9,763
2,078
2,544
5,363
18,000
26,786
14,919
61,099
4,232
7,757
6,318
1,546
1,600
2,311
1,976
2,665
7,142
157
2,985
2,065
2,499
242
0
958
3,105
4,388
2,184
4,691
252
2,200
1,649
Totals ................................................................................................................................................................
302,425
44,616
* The 2019 OS season emissions are calculated as 5/12 of the annual emissions from the following two emissions inventory files: nonegu_
SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_13sep2021_v0 and oilgas_SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_
13sep2021_v0.
In Table V.C.2–3 by industry and
emissions unit type, the EPA provides a
summary of the control technologies
applied and their average costs across
all of the non-EGU emissions units. The
average cost per ton values range from
$939 to $14,595 per ton. Note that the
average cost per ton values are in 2016
dollars and reflect simple averages and
not a percentile or other representative
cost values from a distribution of cost
estimates.
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TABLE V.C.2–3—BY INDUSTRY, EMISSIONS UNIT TYPE, ASSUMED CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES, AND ESTIMATED AVERAGE
COST PER TON BY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY ACROSS ALL NON-EGU EMISSIONS UNITS
Industry/industries
Emissions unit type
Assumed control technologies that meet final
emissions limits
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas ................
Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engine .........
Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing .....
Kiln .......................................................................
NSCR or Layered Combustion, Layered Combustion, SCR, NSCR.
SNCR ..................................................................
233 We are not aware of existing non-EGU
emissions units in Nevada that meet the
applicability criteria for non-EGUs in the final rule.
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If any such units in fact exist, they would be subject
to the requirements of the rule just as in any other
state. In addition, any new emissions unit in
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Average
cost/ton
values
(2016$)
4,981
1,632
Nevada that meets the applicability criteria in the
final rule will be subject to the final rule’s
requirements. See section III.B.1.d.
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TABLE V.C.2–3—BY INDUSTRY, EMISSIONS UNIT TYPE, ASSUMED CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES, AND ESTIMATED AVERAGE
COST PER TON BY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY ACROSS ALL NON-EGU EMISSIONS UNITS—Continued
Average
cost/ton
values
(2016$)
Industry/industries
Emissions unit type
Assumed control technologies that meet final
emissions limits
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing ..............
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Metal Ore Mining ..................................................
Basic Chemical Manufacturing .............................
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing .......
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills .......................
Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators ...........
Reheat Furnaces .................................................
Furnaces ..............................................................
Boilers ..................................................................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
Combustors or Incinerators .................................
LNB ......................................................................
LNB ......................................................................
SCR or LNB + FGR ............................................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
ANSCR or LNTM and SNCR ...............................
3,656
939
8,369
14,595
11,845
14,582
14,134
7,836
Overall Average Cost/Ton .............................
..............................................................................
..............................................................................
5,339
Refer to the memorandum titled
‘‘Summary of Final Rule Applicability
Criteria and Emissions Limits for NonEGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs’’ for additional estimates—
including by industry and by state.
These estimates are proxy estimates,
and the EPA also did not prepare
detailed engineering analyses for the
industries, facilities, and individual
emissions units identified for the final
rule. Emissions units subject to the final
rule emissions limits may differ from
those estimated in this assessment, and
the estimated emissions reductions from
and costs to meet the final rule
emissions limits may also differ from
those estimated in this assessment.
Comment: Regarding the marginal
cost threshold of $7,500/ton used to
assess potential emissions reductions in
the non-EGU screening assessment
prepared for proposal, commenters
raised a range of questions, including (1)
why the EPA used a marginal cost
threshold that is much higher than the
$2,000/ton threshold used in the 2021
Revised CSAPR Update Rule, (2) why
the EPA used a ‘‘one size fits all’’
approach for addressing the estimated
cost and actual emissions reductions
achievable, particularly for existing
sources of NOX emissions, (3) why the
EPA set a $7,500/ton marginal cost
threshold for all non-EGUs, despite
acknowledging the heterogeneity of
industry, emissions unit types and
control options and failing to consider
the actual costs associated with
achieving the proposed reductions at
different types of emissions units in
order to artificially inflate the marginal
cost threshold and to justify otherwise
cost-prohibitive NOX control
technologies. Commenters also stated
that controls for their industry are not
cost-effective using the EPA’s
presumptive value of $7,500/ton and
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that the value may not be technically
feasible to apply to existing sources that
would have to retrofit controls.
Response: The EPA notes that the
primary purpose of the Screening
Assessment of Potential Emissions
Reductions, Air Quality Impacts, and
Costs from Non-EGU Emissions Units
for 2026 (non-EGU screening
assessment) was to identify potentially
impactful industries and emissions unit
types for further evaluation.234 In the
non-EGU screening assessment
memorandum we presented an
analytical framework to further analyze
potential emissions reductions and costs
and included proxy estimates for 2026.
As noted in section V.D. of this
document, at proposal the EPA found
that based on data available at that time
and for the purposes of the non-EGU
screening assessment, it appeared that a
$7,500 marginal cost-per-ton threshold
could be used as a proxy to identify
cost-effective emissions control
opportunities. Also, the $7,500 marginal
cost-per-ton threshold is higher than the
cost-per-ton value used in the Revised
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update
because that rulemaking assessed
significant contribution for the less
protective 2008 ozone NAAQS, and it is
reasonable when assessing significant
contribution associated with the more
protective 2015 ozone NAAQS, that a
potentially more costly universe of
emissions controls and related potential
reductions should be included in the
analysis.235 Similar to the role of cost234 The non-EGU screening assessment
memorandum is available in the docket here:
https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQOAR-2021-0668-0150.
235 As the amount of air pollution that is allowed
in the ambient air is reduced (i.e., when a NAAQS
is revised), it is reasonable to expect that further
emissions reductions may be necessary to bring
areas into attainment with that more protective
standard. At the same time, the available remaining
emissions reduction opportunities will likely have
become more costly compared to a prior period,
because other CAA requirements, including such as
earlier transport rules, will have consumed those
PO 00000
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Sfmt 4700
effectiveness thresholds the EPA uses at
Step 3 to evaluate EGU emissions
control opportunities, this threshold is
not intended to represent the maximum
cost any facility may need to expend but
is rather intended to be a representative
figure for evaluating technologies to
allow for a relative comparison between
different levels of control stringency.
The EPA’s potential cost threshold for
non-EGU controls at proposal was
intended to serve a similar
representative purpose. Based on the
EPA’s updated analysis for this final
rule, the EPA recognizes that the
$7,500/ton threshold does not reflect the
full range of cost-effectiveness values
that are likely present across the many
different types of non-EGU industries
and emissions units assessed.
While the potentially impactful
industries (identified in Step 1 of the
analytical framework presented in the
non-EGU screening assessment) were
directly used, the proxy estimates for
emissions unit types, emissions
reductions, and costs from the non-EGU
screening assessment were not directly
used to establish applicability
thresholds and emissions limits in the
proposal. To further evaluate the
impactful industries and emissions unit
types and establish the proposed
emissions limits, the EPA reviewed
RACT rules, NSPS rules, NESHAP rules,
existing technical studies (e.g., Ozone
Transport Commission, Technical
Information Oil and Gas Sector
Significant Stationary Sources of NOX
Emissions, October 17, 2012), rules in
approved SIP submittals, consent
decrees, and permit limits.236
emissions reduction opportunities that were the
least costly. The EPA noted this same possibility in
the original CSAPR rulemaking, see 76 FR 48210.
236 This review is detailed in the Final Non-EGU
Sectors TSD available in the docket here: https://
www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR2021-0668-0145.
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D. Assessing Cost, EGU and Non-EGU
NOX Reductions, and Air Quality
To determine the emissions that are
significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance, the EPA applied the
multi-factor test to EGUs and non-EGUs
separately, considering for each the
relationship of cost, available emissions
reductions, and downwind air quality
impacts. Specifically, for each sector,
the EPA finalizes a determination
regarding the appropriate level of
uniform NOX control stringency that
would collectively eliminate significant
contribution to downwind
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors. Based on the air quality
results presented in this section, we find
that the emissions control strategies that
were identified and evaluated in
sections V.B and V.C of this document
and found to be both cost-effective and
feasible, deliver meaningful air quality
benefits through projected reductions in
ozone levels across the linked
downwind nonattainment and
maintenance receptors in the relevant
analytic years 2023 and 2026. Further,
EPA finds the emissions control
strategies in upwind states that would
deliver these benefits to be widely
available and in use at many other
similar EGU and non-EGU facilities
throughout the country, particularly in
those areas that have historically or now
continue to struggle to attain and
maintain the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Applying these emissions control
strategies on a uniform basis across all
linked upwind states continues to
constitute an efficient and equitable
solution to the problem of allocating
upwind-state responsibility for the
elimination of significant contribution.
This approach continues to effectively
address the ‘‘thorny’’ causation problem
of interstate pollution transport for
regional-scale pollutants like ozone that
transport over large distances and are
affected by the vagaries of meteorology.
EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 514–16. It
requires the most impactful sources in
each state that has been found to
contribute to ozone problems in other
states to come up to minimum standards
of environmental performance based on
demonstrated NOX pollution-control
technology. Id. at 519. When the effects
of these emissions reductions are
assessed collectively across the
hundreds of EGU and non-EGU
industrial sources that are subject to this
rule, the cumulative improvements in
ozone levels at downwind receptors,
while they may vary to some extent, are
both measurable and meaningful and
will assist downwind areas in attaining
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and maintaining the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.
In addition to the findings of costeffectiveness, feasibility and widespread
availability that support EPA’s
identification of the appropriate level of
emissions-control stringency at Step 3
discussed in sections V.B and V.C, the
findings regarding air quality
improvement in this section—as in prior
transport rules—are a central
component of our Step 3 analytic
findings as to the definition of
‘‘significant contribution.’’ EPA’s
assessment of air quality improvement
for all of the emissions control strategies
included shows continued air quality
improvement with each additional
control strategy measure. Within the
group of selected control strategies for
EGUs and non-EGUs no clear ‘‘knee-inthe-curve’’ is evident; i.e., there is no
point at which there is a noticeable
decline in the rate of air quality
improvement up through the control
stringency level selected. However, if
EPA were to go beyond the selected
control stringency through inclusion of
additional EGU or non-EGU NOX
mitigation technologies for the covered
sources and unit-types that are, at least
on the record of this action, not widely
available, uncertain or untested, and/or
far more costly, a ‘‘knee-in-the-curve’’
does materialize, where the incremental
air quality benefit per dollar spent per
ton on mitigation measures plateaus
even as costs increase dramatically. In
the Revised CSAPR Update, EPA
explained that a knee in the curve ‘‘is
not on its own a justification for not
requiring reductions beyond that point,’’
86 FR 23107, but does indicate that it
is a useful indicator for informing
potential stopping points. The
observation that no ‘‘knee-in-the-curve’’
materializes at the stringency levels up
through that selected by EPA supports
EPA’s identified control stringency.
Further, as the Supreme Court has
explained, ‘‘while EPA has a statutory
duty to avoid over-control, the Agency
also has a statutory obligation to avoid
‘under-control,’ i.e., to maximize
achievement of attainment downwind.’’
572 U.S. at 523. While the ultimate
purpose of the good neighbor provision
is to eliminate significant contribution
and not necessarily to resolve
downwind areas’ nonattainment and
maintenance problems, we have
evaluated the expected attainment
status at each identified receptor as we
examine the air quality effects of the
different emissions control strategies
identified. As discussed further in this
section, the EPA notes that multiple
receptors shift into projected attainment
status or shift from projected
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36741
nonattainment to maintenance status up
through the stringency level ultimately
selected by EPA. (And all receptors
show improvement in air quality even if
their status does not change.) These
analytic findings at Step 3 cement EPA’s
identification of the selected EGU and
non-EGU mitigation measures as the
appropriate control stringency to fulfill
its statutory obligation to eliminate
significant contribution for the 2015
ozone NAAQS for the covered states.
The EPA also evaluated whether the
final rule resulted in possible overcontrol scenarios by evaluating if an
upwind state is linked solely to
downwind air quality problems that
could have been resolved at a lower cost
threshold, or if an upwind state could
have reduced its emissions below the 1
percent of NAAQS air quality
contribution threshold at a lower cost
threshold. The Agency finds no
overcontrol from this rule. See section
V.D.4 of this document.
1. EGU Assessment
For EGUs, the EPA examined the
emissions reduction potential associated
with each EGU emissions control
technology (presented in section V.C.1
of this document) and its impact on the
air quality at downwind receptors.
Specifically, EPA identified and
assessed the projected average air
quality improvements relative to the
base case and whether these
improvements are sufficient to shift the
status of receptors from projected
nonattainment to maintenance or from
maintenance to attainment. Combining
these air quality factors, costs, and
emissions reductions, the EPA
identified a control stringency for EGUs
that results in substantial air quality
improvement from emissions controls
that are available in the timeframe for
which air quality problems at
downwind receptors persist. For all
affected jurisdictions, this control
stringency reflects, at a minimum, the
optimization of existing postcombustion controls and installation of
state-of-the-art NOX combustion
controls, which are widely available at
a representative cost of $1,800 per ton.
EPA’s evaluation also shows that the
effective emissions rate performance
across affected EGUs consistent with
realization of these mitigation measures
does not over-control upwind states’
emissions relative to either the
downwind air quality problems to
which they are linked at Step 1 or the
1 percent contribution threshold that
triggers further evaluation at Step 3 of
the 4-step framework for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.
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Similarly, the EPA also identified
installation of new SCR postcombustion controls at coal steam
sources greater than or equal to 100 MW
and for a more limited portion of the
oil/gas steam fleet that had higher levels
of emissions as components of the
required control stringency. These SCR
retrofits are widely available starting in
the 2026 ozone season at $11,000 and
$7,700 per ton respectively. For all but
3 of the affected states (Alabama,
Minnesota, and Wisconsin, which are
no longer linked in 2026 at Steps 1 and
2 in EPA’s base case air quality
modeling for this final rule), EPA’s
evaluation shows that the effective
emissions rate performance across EGUs
consistent with the full realization of
these mitigation measures does not
over-control upwind states’ emissions in
2026 relative to either the downwind air
quality problems to which they are
linked at Step 1 or the 1 percent
contribution threshold that triggers
further evaluation at Step 3 of the 4-step
framework for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
(see the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD for details).
To assess downwind air quality
impacts for the nonattainment and
maintenance receptors identified in
section IV.D of this document, the EPA
evaluated the air quality change at that
receptor expected from the
progressively more stringent upwind
EGU control stringencies that were
available for that time period in upwind
states linked to that receptor. This
assessment provides the downwind
ozone improvements for consideration
and provides air quality data that is
used to evaluate potential over-control
situations.
To assess the air quality impacts of
the various control stringencies at
downwind receptors for the purposes of
Step 3, the EPA evaluated changes
resulting from the emissions reductions
associated with the identified emissions
controls in each of the upwind states, as
well as assumed corresponding
reductions of similar stringency in the
downwind state containing the receptor
to which they are linked. By applying
these emissions reductions to the state
containing the receptor, the EPA
assumes that the downwind state will
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implement (if it has not already) an
emissions control stringency for its
sources that is comparable to the
upwind control stringency identified
here. Consequently, the EPA is
accounting for the downwind state’s
‘‘fair share’’ of the responsibility for
resolving a nonattainment or
maintenance problem as a part of the
over-control evaluation.237
For this assessment, the EPA used an
ozone air quality assessment tool (ozone
AQAT) to estimate downwind changes
in ozone concentrations related to
upwind changes in emissions levels.
The EPA focused its assessment on the
years 2023 and 2026 as they pertain to
the last years for which ozone season
emissions data can be used for purposes
of determining attainment for the
Moderate (2024) and Serious (2027)
attainment dates. For each EGU
emissions control technology, the EPA
first evaluated the magnitude of the
change in ozone concentrations at the
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors for each relevant year (i.e.,
2023 and 2026). Next, the EPA
evaluated whether the estimated change
in concentration would resolve the
receptor’s nonattainment or
maintenance concern by lowering the
average or maximum design values,
respectively, below 71 ppb. For a
complete set of estimates, see the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD or the ozone AQAT Excel file.
For 2023, the EPA evaluated potential
air quality improvements at the
downwind receptors outside of
California associated with available
EGU emissions control technologies in
that timeframe. The EPA determined for
the purposes of Step 3 that the average
air quality improvement at the receptors
relative to the engineering analytics base
case was 0.06 ppb for emissions
reductions commensurate with
optimization of existing SCRs/SNCRs
and combustion control upgrades. The
EPA determined for the purposes of
237 For EGUs, this analysis for the Connecticut
receptors shows no EGU reduction potential in
Connecticut from the emissions reduction measures
identified given that state’s already low-emitting
fleet; however, EGU reductions were identified in
Colorado and these reductions were included in the
over-control analysis.
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Step 3 that no receptors switch from
maintenance to attainment or from
nonattainment to maintenance with
these mitigation strategies in place.
Table V.D.1–1 summarizes the results of
EPA’s Step 3 evaluation of air quality
improvements at these receptors using
AQAT.
For 2026, the EPA determined that the
average air quality improvement at these
receptors relative to the engineering
analytics base case was 0.47 ppb for
emissions reductions commensurate
with optimization of existing SCRs/
SNCRs, combustion control upgrades,
and new post-combustion control (SCR
and SNCR) retrofits at eligible units are
assumed to be implemented. The EPA
determined for the purposes of Step 3
that in 2026, all but one of the receptors
are expected to remain nonattainment or
maintenance across these control
stringencies, with one receptor in
Larimer County, Colorado (Monitor
080690011), switching from
maintenance to attainment and two
receptors (one in Fairfield County,
Connecticut (Monitor 90013007), and
one in Galveston, Texas (Monitor ID
481671034)) switching from
nonattainment to maintenance with
these mitigation strategies in place.238
Table V.D.1–2 summarizes the results of
EPA’s Step 3 evaluation of air quality
improvements at the receptors included
in the AQAT analysis. For more
information about how this assessment
was performed and the results of the
analysis for each receptor, refer to the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD and to the Ozone AQAT
included in the docket for this rule.
238 As in prior rules, for the purpose of defining
significant contribution at Step 3, the EPA
evaluated air quality changes resulting from the
application of the emissions reductions in only
those states that are linked to each receptor as well
as the state containing the receptor. By applying
reductions to the state containing the receptor, the
EPA ensures that it is accounting for the downwind
state’s fair share. This method holds each upwind
state responsible for its fair share of the downwind
problems to which it is linked. Reductions made by
other states to address air quality problems at other
receptors do not increase or decrease this share. The
air quality impacts on design values that reflect the
emissions reductions in all linked states action are
further discussed in sections V.D.3 and V.D.4 of this
document.
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TABLE V.D.1–1—AIR QUALITY AT THE RECEPTORS IN 2023 FROM EGU EMISSIONS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES a
Average DV
(ppb)
Max DV
(ppb)
Monitor ID No.
State
County
Baseline
(engineering
analysis)
SCR/SNCR
optimization
+ LNB
upgrade
Baseline
(engineering
analysis)
SCR/SNCR
optimization
+ LNB
upgrade
40278011 ................................
80350004 ................................
80590006 ................................
80590011 ................................
80690011 ................................
90010017 ................................
90013007 ................................
90019003 ................................
90099002 ................................
170310001 ..............................
170314201 ..............................
170317002 ..............................
350130021 ..............................
350130022 ..............................
350151005 ..............................
350250008 ..............................
480391004 ..............................
481210034 ..............................
481410037 ..............................
481671034 ..............................
482010024 ..............................
482010055 ..............................
482011034 ..............................
482011035 ..............................
490110004 ..............................
490353006 ..............................
490353013 ..............................
550590019 ..............................
551010020 ..............................
551170006 ..............................
Arizona ...................................
Colorado .................................
Colorado .................................
Colorado .................................
Colorado .................................
Connecticut .............................
Connecticut .............................
Connecticut .............................
Connecticut .............................
Illinois ......................................
Illinois ......................................
Illinois ......................................
New Mexico ............................
New Mexico ............................
New Mexico b ..........................
New Mexico ............................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Utah ........................................
Utah ........................................
Utah ........................................
Wisconsin ...............................
Wisconsin ...............................
Wisconsin ...............................
Yuma ......................................
Douglas ..................................
Jefferson .................................
Jefferson .................................
Larimer ...................................
Fairfield ...................................
Fairfield ...................................
Fairfield ...................................
New Haven .............................
Cook .......................................
Cook .......................................
Cook .......................................
Dona Ana ...............................
Dona Ana ...............................
Eddy .......................................
Lea ..........................................
Brazoria ..................................
Denton ....................................
El Paso ...................................
Galveston ...............................
Harris ......................................
Harris ......................................
Harris ......................................
Harris ......................................
Davis .......................................
Salt Lake ................................
Salt Lake ................................
Kenosha .................................
Racine ....................................
Sheboygan .............................
70.36
71.12
72.63
73.29
70.79
71.62
72.99
73.32
70.61
68.13
67.92
68.47
70.83
69.73
........................
........................
70.59
69.93
69.82
71.82
75.33
71.19
70.32
68.01
71.88
72.48
73.21
70.75
69.59
72.64
70.34
71.10
72.61
73.27
70.78
71.56
72.90
73.25
70.51
68.11
67.88
68.37
70.82
69.72
........................
........................
70.52
69.88
69.81
71.70
75.25
71.10
70.25
67.94
71.87
72.47
73.20
70.65
69.46
72.46
72.05
71.71
73.32
73.89
71.99
72.22
73.89
73.62
72.71
71.82
71.41
71.27
72.13
72.43
........................
........................
72.69
71.73
71.43
73.13
76.93
72.20
71.52
71.52
74.08
74.07
73.71
71.65
71.39
73.54
72.04
71.70
73.31
73.87
71.98
72.16
73.80
73.55
72.61
71.80
71.37
71.17
72.12
72.42
........................
........................
72.62
71.68
71.41
73.01
76.85
72.10
71.45
71.45
74.07
74.06
73.70
71.55
71.25
73.36
Average AQ Change Relative to Base (ppb) ............................................................................
........................
........................
........................
0.06
........................
........................
........................
1.58
Total PPB Change Across All Receptors Relative to
Base c
....................................................
Table Notes:
a The EPA notes that the design values reflected in tables V.D.1–1 and –2 correspond to the engineering analysis EGU emissions inventory that was used in AQAT
to determine state-level baseline emissions and reductions at Step 3. These tools are discussed in greater detail in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD.
b New Mexico Eddy and Lea monitors have no values in tables V.D.1–1 and 1–2 as EPA does not have calibration factors for these monitors as no contributions
were calculated for them from the proposal AQ modeling
c The cumulative ppb change only shows the aggregate change across all problematic receptors (some of which are located within close proximity to one another)
in this part of the Step 3 analysis. Section VIII of this document provides a more complete picture of the air quality impacts of the final rule.
TABLE V.D.1–2—AIR QUALITY AT RECEPTORS IN 2026 FROM EGU EMISSIONS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Average DV
(ppb)
Max DV
(ppb)
Monitor ID No.
State
County
Baseline
(engineering
analysis)
SCR/SNCR
optimization
+ LNB
upgrade +
SCR/SNCR
retrofit
Baseline
(engineering
analysis)
SCR/SNCR
optimization
+ LNB
upgrade +
SCR/SNCR
retrofit
40278011 .............................
80590006 .............................
80590011 .............................
80690011 .............................
90013007 .............................
90019003 .............................
350130021 ...........................
350130022 ...........................
350151005 ...........................
350250008 ...........................
480391004 ...........................
481671034 ...........................
482010024 ...........................
490110004 ...........................
490353006 ...........................
490353013 ...........................
551170006 ...........................
Arizona ..........................................
Colorado .......................................
Colorado .......................................
Colorado .......................................
Connecticut ...................................
Connecticut ...................................
New Mexico ..................................
New Mexico ..................................
New Mexico ..................................
New Mexico ..................................
Texas ............................................
Texas ............................................
Texas ............................................
Utah ..............................................
Utah ..............................................
Utah ..............................................
Wisconsin .....................................
Yuma ...................................
Jefferson ..............................
Jefferson ..............................
Larimer ................................
Fairfield ................................
Fairfield ................................
Dona Ana ............................
Dona Ana ............................
Eddy ....................................
Lea .......................................
Brazoria ...............................
Galveston ............................
Harris ...................................
Davis ....................................
Salt Lake .............................
Salt Lake .............................
Sheboygan ..........................
69.87
71.70
72.06
69.84
71.25
71.58
70.06
69.17
........................
........................
69.89
71.29
74.83
69.90
70.50
71.91
70.83
69.84
71.36
71.59
69.54
70.98
71.34
69.89
69.00
........................
........................
68.96
70.02
73.86
69.34
69.96
71.45
70.51
71.47
72.30
72.66
71.04
72.06
71.78
71.36
71.77
........................
........................
72.02
72.51
76.45
72.10
72.10
72.31
71.73
71.44
71.95
72.19
70.73
71.78
71.54
71.19
71.60
........................
........................
71.06
71.22
75.46
71.52
71.55
71.84
71.41
Average AQ Change Relative to Base (ppb) ............................................................................
........................
........................
........................
0.47
Total PPB Change Across All Receptors Relative to Base (ppb) .............................................
........................
........................
........................
7.04
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Figures 1 and 2 to section V.D.1 of
this document, included in Appendix I
of the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule TSD available in the docket
for this rulemaking, illustrate the air
quality improvement relative to the
estimated representative cost associated
with the previously identified emissions
control technologies. The graphs show
improving air quality at the downwind
receptors as emissions reductions
commensurate with the identified
control technologies are assumed to be
implemented. Figure 1 to section V.D.1
of this document reflects emissions
reductions commensurate with
optimization of existing SNCRs and
SCRs. Figure 2 to section V.D.1 of this
document reflects emissions reductions
commensurate with installation of new
post combustion controls (mainly SCRs)
layered on top of the emissions
reduction potential from the
technologies represented in Figure 1 to
section V.D.1 of this document. The
graphic, and underlying AQAT
receptor-by-receptor analysis
demonstrates that air quality continues
to improve at downwind receptors as
EPA examines increasingly stringent
EGU NOX control technologies. While
all major technology breakpoints
identified in sections V.B and V.C of
this document show continued air
quality improvements at problematic
receptors and at cost and technology
levels that are commensurate with
mitigation strategies that are proven to
be widely available and implemented,
EPA’s quantification and application of
those breakpoints reflect certain
exclusions to: (1) preserve this
consistency with widely observed
mitigation measures in states, and (2)
remove any retrofit assumptions at
marginal units that would have much
higher dollar per ton representative cost
and little or no air quality benefit. For
instance, the EPA does not define the
SCR retrofit breakpoint ($11,000 per
ton) to include retrofit application at
steam units less than 100 MW or at oil/
gas steam units emitting at less than 150
tons per ozone season. The emissions
reductions from these potential
categories of measures are small and do
not constitute additional ‘‘breakpoints’’
in EPA’s estimation. They would entail
much higher dollar per ton costs, going
beyond what is widely observed in the
fleet. This careful calibration of
technology breakpoints through
exclusion of measures that are clearly
not cost-effective in terms of air quality
benefit allows for the identification of
an EGU uniform control stringency that
is an appropriate reflection of those
readily available and widely
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implemented emissions reduction
strategies that will have meaningful
downwind air quality impact.
Moreover, these technologies (and
representative cost) are demonstrated
ozone pollution mitigation strategies
that are widely practiced across the EGU
fleet and are of comparable stringency to
emissions reduction measures that
many downwind states have already
instituted. The coal SCR retrofit
measures driving the majority of the
emissions reductions in this action not
only reflect industry best practice, but
they also reflect prevailing practice
among EGUs. More than 66 percent of
the existing coal capacity already has
this technology in place. For nearly 25
years, all new coal-fired EGUs that
commenced construction have had SCR
(or equivalent emissions rates). The
1997 proposed amendments to subpart
Da revised the NOX standard based on
the use of SCR. The NOX SIP Call
(promulgated in 1998) established
emissions reduction requirements
premised on extensive SCR installation
(142 units) and incentivized well over
40 GWs of SCR retrofit in the ensuing
years.239 Similarly, the Clean Air
Interstate Rule established emissions
reductions requirements in 2006 that
assumed SCR would be installed on
another 58 units (15 GW) in the ensuing
years among just 10 states, and an even
greater volume of capacity chose SCR
retrofit measures in the wake of
finalizing that action.240
Basing emissions reduction
requirements for EGUs on SCR retrofits
is also consistent with regulatory
approaches adopted by states, which—
particularly in downwind areas more
impacted by ozone transport
contribution from upwind state
emissions—have already adopted SCRbased standards as part of stringent NOX
control programs. Regulatory programs
that impose stringent RACT
requirements on all major power plants
and Lowest Achievable Emission Rate
(LAER) standards on all new major
sources of NOX have resulted in
remaining coal-fired generating
resources in states along the Northeast
Corridor such as Connecticut, Delaware,
New Jersey, New York, and
Massachusetts all being retrofitted with
SCR.241 The Maryland Code of
Regulations requires coal-fired sources
to operate existing SCR controls or
install SCR controls by specified
239 63
FR 57448.
FR 25345.
241 EPA–HQ–OAR–2020–0272. Comment letter
from Attorneys General of NY, NJ, CT, DE, MA.
240 71
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dates.242 Programs like North Carolina’s
Clean Smokestacks Act and Colorado’s
Clean Air, Clean Jobs Act have also
required or prompted SCR retrofits on
units.243 Unit-level BART requirements
for the first Regional Haze planning
period also determined SCR retrofits
(and corresponding emissions rates)
were cost-effective controls for a variety
of sources in the U.S.244
As shown in Figure 1 to section V.D.1
of this document,245 the majority of
EGU emissions reduction potential and
associated air quality improvements
estimated for 2023 occurs from
optimization of existing SCRs, with
some additional reductions from
installation of state-of-the-art
combustion controls at the same
representative cost threshold. At the
slightly higher representative cost
threshold of $1,800 per ton, there is
some additional air quality
improvement from optimization of
existing SNCRs. These measures taken
together represent the control stringency
at which near-term incremental EGU
NOX reduction potential and
corresponding downwind ozone air
quality improvements are maximized.
This evaluation shows that EGU NOX
reductions for each of the near-term
emissions control technologies are
available at reasonable cost and that
these reductions provide meaningful
improvements in downwind ozone
concentrations at the identified
nonattainment and maintenance
receptors. Figure 1 to section V.D.1 of
this document 246 highlights (1) the
continuous connection between
identified emissions reduction potential
and downwind air quality improvement
across the range of near-term mitigation
measures assessed, and (2) the costeffective availability of these reductions
and corresponding air quality
improvements.
Additional considerations that are
unique to EGUs provide additional
support for EPA’s determination to
include SCR and SNCR optimization as
part of the identified near-term control
stringency, including:
242 COMAR 26.11.38 (control of NO Emissions
X
from Coal-Fired Electric Generating Units).
243 https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/
2021-09/table-3-30-state-power-sector-regulationsincluded-in-epa-platform-v6-summer-2021-refe.pdf.
244 See table 3–35 BART regulations in EPA IPM
documentation available at https://www.epa.gov/
airmarkets/documentation-epas-power-sectormodeling-platform-v6-summer-2021-reference-case.
245 Included in Appendix I of the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, which
is available in the docket for this rulemaking.
246 Included in Appendix I of the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, which
is available in the docket for this rulemaking.
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• these controls are already installed
and available for operation on these
units;
• they are on average already partially
operating, but not necessarily
optimized;
• the reductions are available in the
near-term (during ozone seasons when
the problematic receptors are projected
to persist), including by the 2023 ozone
season aligned with the Moderate area
attainment date; and
• these sources are already covered
under the existing CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 or Group 3 Trading
Programs or the Acid Rain Program and
thus have the monitoring, reporting,
recordkeeping, and all other necessary
elements of compliance with the trading
program already in place.
The majority of EGU emissions
reduction potential and associated air
quality improvements estimated to start
in 2026 occur from retrofitting
uncontrolled steam sources with postcombustion controls. At the
representative cost threshold of $11,000
per ton, there are significant additional
air quality improvements from
emissions reductions commensurate
with installation of new SCRs and
SNCRs. These measures taken together
with the near-term emissions reduction
measures described previously
represent the level of control stringency
in 2026 at which incremental EGU NOX
reduction potential and corresponding
downwind ozone air quality
improvements are maximized. This
evaluation shows that EGU NOX
reductions for each of the emissions
control technologies are available at
reasonable cost and that these
reductions can provide improvements
in downwind ozone concentrations at
the identified nonattainment and
maintenance receptors.
The EPA finds that the control
stringency that reflects optimization of
existing SCRs and SNCRs, installation of
state-of-the-art combustion controls, and
the retrofitting of new post combustion
controls at the coal and oil/gas steam
capacity described previously is
projected to result in nearly 73,000 tons
of NOX reduction (approximately 40
percent of the 2026 baseline level) for
the 19 linked states in 2026 subject to
a FIP for EGUs, which will deliver
notable air quality improvements across
all transport-impacted receptors and
assist in fully resolving one downwind
air quality receptor for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. Figure 2 to section V.D.1 of
this document 247 demonstrates the
247 Included in Appendix I of the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, which
is available in the docket for this rulemaking.
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continuous connection between
identified emissions reduction potential
and downwind air quality improvement
across the range of mitigation measures
assessed in 2026. At no point do the
additional emissions mitigation
measures examined here fail to produce
corresponding downwind air quality
improvements.
The EPA is determining that the
appropriate EGU control stringency is
commensurate with the full operation of
all existing post-combustion controls
(both SCRs and SNCRs) and state-of-theart combustion control upgrades for
those states linked to downwind
nonattainment or maintenance receptors
in 2023. For those states also linked in
2026, the EPA is determining that the
appropriate EGU control stringency also
includes emissions reductions
commensurate with the retrofit of SCR
at coal steam units of 100 MW or greater
capacity (excepting circulating fluidized
bed units), new SNCR on coal steam
units of less than 100 MW capacity and
circulating fluidized bed units, and SCR
on oil/gas steam units greater than 100
MW that have historically emitted at
least 150 tons of NOX per ozone season.
As noted previously in section V.B of
this document and in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD,
the EPA considered other methods of
identifying mitigation measures (e.g.,
SCRs on smaller units, combustion
control upgrades on combustion
turbines, SCRs on combined cycle and
simple cycle combustion turbines). The
emissions reductions from these
potential categories of measures do not
constitute additional ‘‘technology
breakpoints’’ in EPA’s estimation, but
rather reflect a different tier of
assessment where further mitigation
measures are based on inclusion of
smaller and/or different generator-type
units (rather than different pollution
control technologies). Emissions
reductions from these measures are
relatively small and would entail much
higher dollar per ton costs, going
beyond what is widely observed in the
fleet. Although these additional
measures are not included in EPA’s
technology breakpoint analysis
discussed in this section, the EPA did
analyze the cost, potential reductions,
and air quality impact of these
additional measures to affirm that they
do not merit inclusion in the final
stringency for this action. That analysis
shows the potential emissions
reductions and air quality
improvements from these additional
measures occur beyond a notable ‘‘kneein-the-curve’’ breakpoint. In other
words, there are very little additional
emissions reductions and air quality
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36745
improvement at problematic receptors,
and the cost associated with these
measures increases substantially on a
dollar per ton basis. The graphic
capturing this effect (located in
Appendix I of the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD)
illustrates the significant decline in
cost-effectiveness of reductions if these
measures had been included in EPA’s
final stringency.248
2. Non-EGU Assessment
Using a 2019 emissions inventory, the
list of emissions units estimated to be
captured by the applicability criteria,
the assumed control technologies that
would meet the emissions limits, and
information on control efficiencies and
default cost/ton values from the control
measures database, the EPA estimated
NOX emissions reductions and costs for
the year 2026. Given the EPA’s
conclusion that the 2026 ozone season
is the earliest date by which the
required controls can be installed across
the identified non-EGU industries, the
EPA assessed the effects of these
controls in 2026 under its multi-factor
test. In the assessment, we matched
emissions units by Source Classification
Code (SCC) from the inventory to the
applicable control technologies in the
CMDB. We modified SCC codes as
necessary to match control technologies
to inventory records. For additional
details about the steps taken to estimate
emissions units, emissions reductions,
and costs, see the memorandum titled
‘‘Summary of Final Rule Applicability
Criteria and Emissions Limits for NonEGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs’’ available in the docket. The
estimates using the 2019 inventory and
information from the CMDB identify
proxies for emissions units, as well as
emissions reductions, and costs
associated with the assumed control
248 This is not to discount the potential
effectiveness of these or other NOX mitigation
strategies outside the context of this rulemaking,
which addresses regional ozone transport on a
nationwide basis based on the present record. States
and local jurisdictions may find such measures
particularly impactful or necessary in the context of
local attainment planning or other unique
circumstances. Further, while the EPA finds on the
present record that this rule is a complete remedy
to the problem of interstate transport for the 2015
ozone NAAQS for the covered states, the EPA has
in the past recognized that circumstances may arise
after the promulgation of remedies under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in which the exercise of
further remedial authority against specific
stationary sources or groups of sources under CAA
section 126 may be warranted. See Response to
Clean Air Act Section 126(b) Petition From
Delaware and Maryland, 83 FR 50444, 50453–54
(Oct. 5, 2018).
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technologies that would meet the final
emissions limits. Emissions units
subject to the final rule emissions limits
may differ from those estimated in this
assessment, and the estimated emissions
reductions from, and costs to meet, the
final rule emissions limits may also
differ from those estimated in this
assessment. The costs do not include
monitoring, recordkeeping, reporting, or
testing costs.
After reviewing public comments and
updating some of the data used to
provide an accurate assessment of the
likely potential emissions reductions
that could be achieved from the
identified emissions units in the
industries analyzed for proposal, the
EPA finds that in general, these
emissions reductions (with some
modifications from proposal) are
necessary to eliminate significant
contribution at Step 3. The EPA’s use of
the analytical framework presented in
the non-EGU screening assessment to
identify potentially impactful industries
and emissions unit types in the proposal
remains valid. The EPA’s criteria were
intended to identify industries and
emissions unit types that on a broad
scale impact multiple receptors to
varying degrees. The EPA focused its
non-EGU screening assessment on (1)
emissions and potential emissions
reductions from these industries and
emissions units and (2) the potential
impact that emissions reductions from
those industries and emissions units
could deliver to the receptors.
While commenters criticized the
analytical framework in the non-EGU
screening assessment for assuming
potentially unachievable emissions
reductions at Step 3, or for not
corresponding to a precise list of
emissions units that would be covered
at Step 4, these comments did not offer
an alternative methodology for the Step
3 analysis to identify those industries
and emissions units that potentially
have the greatest impact and therefore
should be scrutinized more closely for
emissions reduction opportunities.249
Further, contrary to some commenters’
assertions, the EPA’s assessment did not
result in an unbounded scope of
regulation of industrial sources. Of the
approximately 40 industries defined by
North American Industry Classification
System codes the EPA analyzed, only
249 For example, while the EPA has found it
appropriate to limit the scope of emissions units
that would be subject to emissions limits and
controls in the iron and steel industry in light of
comments regarding certain sources’ inability to
meet the EPA’s proposed emission limits, this does
not alter the EPA’s determination that this industry
is an impactful industry and that certain emissions
controls should still be required.
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seven industries were identified as
having emissions and potential
emissions reduction opportunities that
met the EPA’s air quality criteria for
further assessment.
At proposal, the EPA found that based
on data available at that time and for the
purposes of the screening assessment, it
appeared that a $7,500 marginal costper-ton threshold could be used as a
proxy to identify cost-effective
emissions control opportunities. Similar
to the role of cost-effectiveness
thresholds the EPA uses at Step 3 to
evaluate EGU emissions control
opportunities, this threshold is not
intended to represent the maximum cost
any facility may need to expend but is
rather intended to be a representative
figure for evaluating technologies to
allow for a relative comparison between
different levels of control stringency.
For example, in the EGU analysis, the
$11,000/ton average cost threshold for
an SCR retrofit represents a range of
SCR retrofit costs for units for which the
90th percentile cost-per-ton is roughly
$21,000. See section V.B.a of this
document. The EPA’s potential cost
threshold for non-EGU controls at
proposal was intended to serve a similar
representative purpose. We respond
briefly to comments regarding the use of
the $7,500/ton threshold in section V.C
of this document. Comments regarding
the screening assessment are further
addressed in section 2.2 of the response
to comments document in the docket.
Based on the EPA’s updated analysis
for this final rule, the EPA recognizes
that the $7,500/ton threshold does not
reflect the full range of costeffectiveness values that are likely
present across the many different types
of non-EGU industries and emissions
units assessed. However, the EPA
nonetheless finds that, with some
adjustments from proposal, the overall
mix of emissions controls it identified at
proposal is appropriate to eliminate
significant contribution to
nonattainment or interference with
maintenance in downwind areas. In the
final analysis, we find that the average
cost-per-ton of emissions reductions
across all non-EGU industries in this
rule generally ranges from
approximately $939/ton to $14,595/ton,
with an overall average of
approximately $5,339/ton. See
memorandum titled ‘‘Summary of Final
Rule Applicability Criteria and
Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs,’’ available in the docket.
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Nonetheless, overall the EPA finds
that the range of cost-effectiveness
values for non-EGU industries and
emissions units compares favorably
with the values used to evaluate EGUs.
As discussed in the preceding
paragraphs, the representative cost for
EGUs to retrofit SCR is $11,000/ton.
This reflects a range of cost estimates,
with $20,900/ton reflecting the 90th
percentile of units (see section V.B.a of
this document). The higher end of the
estimated average cost range for certain
non-EGU industrial emissions units is
also in that range. While specific
emissions units may have higher costs
associated with installing pollution
control technologies than other similar
unit types, this does not in itself
undermine the Agency’s conclusion that
a level of emissions control associated
with a specific emissions limit or
control technology is appropriate to
require across the linked upwind state
region, in light of the overall emissions
reductions and air quality benefits at
downwind receptors that those controls
are projected to deliver.
We note that the non-EGU control
cost estimates in this final rule were
based on historical actual emissions.
This can affect the presentation of costper-ton values at the unit level, and it
would not be appropriate to abandon
uniform control stringency among like
units in the covered industries across or
within upwind states based on such cost
differentials.
The EPA finds it appropriate to
require a uniform level of emissions
control across similar emissions unit
types to, among other things, prevent
two potential outcomes related to
shifting production, either between
units within the same facility or
between units at different facilities.
First, if some units were exempted from
control requirements because of
historically low actual emissions, there
is a risk that source owners or operators
may shift production to these specific
units, increasing their utilization and
resulting in emissions increases from
these units. Second, if some owners or
operators were able to avoid the control
requirements of the final rule on this
basis, they could gain a competitive
advantage vis-a`-vis other facilities
within their respective industries.
Production could shift from units at
another facility subject to the control
requirements to the units that avoided
control requirements (and thus avoid
costs the regulated facility should bear),
potentially resulting in emissions
increases. The effect of such an
approach in such circumstances would
be mere emissions shifting rather than
the elimination of significant
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contribution. Finally, as we have
explained in prior transport actions, the
cost-effectiveness figure is not the only
factor that the agency considers at Step
3, see 86 FR 23073, and if used in
isolation to make a policy decision
without considering other information,
could produce a result that is
inconsistent with the objective of
ensuring significant contribution is
eliminated.250
In addition to our evaluation of costeffectiveness on a cost per ton basis, the
EPA’s determination at Step 3 for nonEGUs is also informed by the overall
level of emissions reductions that will
be achieved across the region and the
effect those reductions are projected to
have on air quality at the downwind
receptors (discussed more later in this
section). We are also influenced by the
fact that these emissions control
strategies for non-EGUs are generally
well demonstrated to be feasible on
many existing units, as established
through our review of consent decrees,
permits, RACT determinations, and
other data sources. These levels of
emissions control have in many cases
already been required by states with
downwind nonattainment areas for the
2015 ozone NAAQS.
The EPA determined that, for 2026,
the incremental average air quality
improvement at receptors relative to the
EGU case when SCR post-combustion
controls were installed was 0.19 ppb
when non-EGU controls were applied,
based on the Step 3 analysis. The total
average air quality improvement was
0.66 ppb when the non-EGU
improvement was added to the EGU
improvement, meaning that the nonEGU increment accounts for about 29
percent of this average air quality
improvement. In general, the air quality
results from non-EGU emissions
reductions yield additional important
downwind benefits to the air quality
benefits of the EGU strategy. For
example, the total ppb improvement
summed over all of the receptors from
EGUs was 7.04 ppb and the non-EGU
increment adds another 2.82 ppb of
improvement bringing the total to 9.87
(when accounting for rounding). NonEGUs account for 29 percent of this total
air quality improvement as well.
Further, these figures should not be
considered in isolation; EPA is not
comparing EGU strategy effects and
non-EGU effects to make a selection
between two different approaches.
Rather, both the selected EGU and nonEGU emissions reduction strategies at
the cost-effectiveness values identified
in section V.B and V.C of this document
present a comprehensive solution to
eliminating significant contribution for
the covered states. The combined effect
of the EGU and non-EGU strategies is
further presented in the following
section.
TABLE V.D.2–2—AIR QUALITY AT RECEPTORS IN 2026 FROM NON-EGU INDUSTRIES
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Average DV
(ppb)
Max DV
(ppb)
Baseline
(engineering
analysis)
EGU
SCR/SNCR
optimization
+ LNB
upgrade +
SCR/SNCR
retrofit + nonEGU
Baseline
(engineering
analysis)
EGU
SCR/SNCR
optimization
+ LNB
upgrade +
SCR/SNCR
retrofit +
non-EGU
Yuma ......................................
Jefferson .................................
Jefferson .................................
Larimer ...................................
Fairfield ...................................
Fairfield ...................................
Dona Ana ...............................
Dona Ana ...............................
Eddy .......................................
Lea ..........................................
Brazoria ..................................
Galveston ...............................
Harris ......................................
Davis .......................................
Salt Lake ................................
Salt Lake ................................
Sheboygan .............................
69.87
71.70
72.06
69.84
71.25
71.58
70.06
69.17
........................
........................
69.89
71.29
74.83
69.90
70.50
71.91
70.83
69.80
71.34
71.57
69.53
70.66
71.06
69.86
68.96
........................
........................
68.50
69.28
73.39
69.28
69.91
71.40
70.27
71.47
72.30
72.66
71.04
72.06
71.78
71.36
71.77
........................
........................
72.02
72.51
76.45
72.10
72.10
72.31
71.73
71.40
71.93
72.16
70.72
71.46
71.26
71.16
71.56
........................
........................
70.58
70.47
74.98
71.46
71.50
71.80
71.17
Average AQ Change Relative to Base (ppb) ............................................................................
........................
........................
........................
0.66
Total PPB Change Across All Receptors Relative to Base (ppb) .............................................
........................
........................
........................
9.87
Monitor ID No.
State
County
40278011 ................................
80590006 ................................
80590011 ................................
80690011 ................................
90013007 ................................
90019003 ................................
350130021 ..............................
350130022 ..............................
350151005 ..............................
350250008 ..............................
480391004 ..............................
481671034 ..............................
482010024 ..............................
490110004 ..............................
490353006 ..............................
490353013 ..............................
551170006 ..............................
Arizona ...................................
Colorado .................................
Colorado .................................
Colorado .................................
Connecticut .............................
Connecticut .............................
New Mexico ............................
New Mexico ............................
New Mexico ............................
New Mexico ............................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Texas ......................................
Utah ........................................
Utah ........................................
Utah ........................................
Wisconsin ...............................
Table Notes:
a The EPA notes that the design values reflected in Table V.D.–2 correspond to the engineering analysis EGU emissions inventory that was used in AQAT to determine state-level baseline emissions and reductions at Step 3. These tools are discussed in greater detail in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD.
b New Mexico Eddy and Lea monitors have no values in Table V.D.2–2 as EPA does not have calibration factors for these monitors as no contributions were calculated for them from the proposal AQ modeling.
c The cumulative ppb change only shows the aggregate change across all problematic receptors (some of which are located within close proximity to one another)
in this part of the Step 3 analysis. Section VIII of this document provides a more complete picture of the air quality impacts of the final rule.
250 Nonetheless, recognizing the diverse non-EGU
industries and emissions units covered in this
action and the potential that certain individual
facilities and emissions units may face extreme
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hardship in meeting the general requirements being
finalized in this action, the EPA has provided
mechanisms in the regulatory requirements for
industrial sources that provide for some flexibility
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in the emissions limits based on a demonstration
of technical impossibility or extreme economic
hardship. See section VI.C of this document.
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For more information about how this
assessment was performed and the
results of the analysis for each receptor,
refer to the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD and to the
Ozone AQAT included in the docket for
this rule.
3. Combined EGU and Non-EGU
Assessment
The EPA used the Ozone AQAT to
evaluate the combined impact of these
selected stringency levels for both EGUs
and non-EGUs on all receptors
remaining in the 2026 air quality
modeling base case to inform the air
quality effects of the rule and to conduct
our over-control analysis. EPA’s
evaluation demonstrated air quality
improvement at the remaining
nonattainment or maintenance receptors
outside of California (see section IV.D of
this document for receptor details). The
EPA estimated that the average air
quality improvement at these receptors
relative to the engineering analytics base
case was 0.66 ppb for emissions
reductions commensurate with
optimization of existing SCRs/SNCRs,
combustion control upgrades,
application of new post-combustion
control (SCR and SNCR) retrofits at
eligible units, and all estimated
emissions reductions from the non-EGU
industries. Table V.D.3–1 summarizes
the results of EPA’s Step 3 evaluation of
air quality improvements at these
receptors using AQAT. In summary, the
collective application of these
mitigation measures and emissions
reductions are projected to deliver
meaningful downwind air quality
improvements.
TABLE V.D.3–1—CHANGE IN AIR QUALITY AT RECEPTORS IN 2026 FROM FINAL RULE EGU AND NON-EGU EMISSIONS
REDUCTIONS a b c
Ozone season
emissions
reductions
Sector/technology
Total PPB
change across
all downwind
receptors d
Average PPB
change across
all downwind
receptors
EGU (SCR/SNCR optimization + LNB upgrade) .....................................................................
EGU SCR/SNCR Retrofit ........................................................................................................
Non-EGU Industries .................................................................................................................
16,282
55,672
44,616
0.71
6.34
2.82
0.05
0.42
0.19
Total ..................................................................................................................................
........................
9.87
0.66
Table Notes:
a As in prior rules, for the purpose of defining significant contribution at Step 3, the EPA evaluated air quality changes resulting from the application of the emissions reductions in only those states that are linked to each receptor as well as the state containing the receptor. By applying
reductions to the state containing the receptor, the EPA ensures that it is accounting for the downwind state’s fair share. In addition, this method
holds each upwind state responsible for its fair share of the downwind problems to which it is linked. Reductions made by other states to address
air quality problems at other receptors do not increase or decrease this share. The air quality impacts on design values that reflect the emissions
reductions in all linked states and associated health and climate benefits are discussed in section VII of this document.
b The EPA notes that the design values reflected in Tables V.D.1–1 and –2 correspond to the engineering analysis EGU emissions inventory
used in AQAT to determine state-level baseline emissions and reductions at Step 3. These tools are discussed in greater detail in the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. Additionally, these emissions reduction values vary slightly from the technology reduction estimates
described in section V.C of this document, as the values here reflect the sum of the final identified stringency for each state (e.g., SCR retrofit
potential is not assumed in Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin).
c The total and average ppb results from non-EGUs emissions reductions shown here were generated using the Step 3 AQAT methodology
consistent with that for EGUs (i.e., including reductions from the state containing the receptor and excluding states that are not explicitly linked to
particular receptors). The values shown in Table V.C.2–1 were prepared for the non-EGU screening assessment using a methodology where
states within the program make emissions reductions for all receptors. States that contain receptors (i.e., Connecticut and Colorado) that are not
linked to other receptors are not assumed to make reductions under that methodology.
d The cumulative ppb change only shows the aggregate change across all problematic receptors (some of which are located within close proximity to one another) in this part of the Step 3 analysis. Section VIII of this document provides a picture of the projected air quality impacts of the
final rule using modeling techniques that differ from the methodologies employed here.
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4. Over-Control Analysis
The EPA applied its over-control test
to this same set of aggregated EGU and
non-EGU data described in the previous
section. The EPA performed air quality
analysis using the Ozone AQAT to
determine whether the emissions
reductions for both EGUs and non-EGUs
potentially create an ‘‘over-control’’
scenario. As in prior transport rules
following the holdings in EME Homer
City, overcontrol would be established if
the record indicated that, for any given
state, there is an identified, less
stringent emissions control approach for
that state, by which (1) the expected
ozone improvements would be
sufficient to resolve all of the downwind
receptor(s) to which that state is linked;
or (2) the expected ozone improvements
would reduce the upwind state’s ozone
contributions below the screening
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threshold (i.e., 1 percent of the NAAQS
or 0.70 ppb) to all receptors. In EME
Homer City, the Supreme Court held
that the EPA cannot ‘‘require[] an
upwind State to reduce emissions by
more than the amount necessary to
achieve attainment in every downwind
State to which it is linked.’’ 572 U.S. at
521. On remand from the Supreme
Court, the D.C. Circuit held that this
means that the EPA might overstep its
authority ‘‘when those downwind
locations would achieve attainment
even if less stringent emissions limits
were imposed on the upwind States
linked to those locations.’’ EME Homer
City II, 795 F.3d at 127. The D.C. Circuit
qualified this statement by noting that
this ‘‘does not mean that every such
upwind state would then be entitled to
less stringent emissions limits. Some of
those upwind States may still be subject
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to the more stringent emissions limits so
as not to cause other downwind
locations to which those States are
linked to fall into nonattainment.’’ Id. at
14–15. Further, as the Supreme Court
explained, ‘‘while EPA has a statutory
duty to avoid over-control, the Agency
also has a statutory obligation to avoid
‘under-control,’ i.e., to maximize
achievement of attainment downwind.’’
572 U.S. at 523. The Court noted that ‘‘a
degree of imprecision is inevitable in
tackling the problem of interstate air
pollution’’ and that incidental overcontrol may be unavoidable. Id.
‘‘Required to balance the possibilities of
under-control and over-control, EPA
must have leeway in fulfilling its
statutory mandate.’’ Id.251
251 Although the Court described over-control as
going beyond what is needed to address
‘‘nonattainment’’ problems, the EPA interprets this
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Consistent with these instructions
from the Supreme Court and the D.C.
Circuit, using the Ozone AQAT, the
EPA first evaluated whether reductions
resulting from the selected control
stringencies for EGUs in 2023 and 2026
combined with the emissions reductions
selected for non-EGUs in 2026 can be
anticipated to resolve any downwind
nonattainment or maintenance problems
(see the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD for details on
the construction and application of
AQAT).
Similar to our approach in the CSAPR
Update and the Revised CSAPR Update,
our primary overcontrol assessment
examines the receptor changes from the
emissions reductions of the upwind
states found linked to a receptor.
Consistent with prior Rules, EPA also
assumed that downwind states that are
not upwind states in this rule
implement reductions commensurate
with the rule’s requirements (this
treatment applies specifically to
Colorado and Connecticut). This
configuration effectively presents an
equitable representation of the effects of
the rule in that linked upwind states do
not shift their responsibility to other
upwind states linked to different
receptors. It also effectively resolves any
interdependence and ‘‘which state goes
first?’’ questions. Furthermore, the
downwind states in which a receptor is
located are held to a ‘‘fair share’’ of
emissions reductions—i.e., the same
level of emissions control stringency
that the upwind states must implement.
The EPA also repeated this analysis
using an alternative configuration, as
described in the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD. In this
configuration, we looked at the
combined effect of the entire program
across all linked upwind states on each
receptor and did not assume that a
downwind state that is not also an
upwind state makes any additional
emissions reductions beyond the
baseline in the relevant year. This
configuration effectively isolates how
the rule as a whole, and just the rule,
will affect air quality and linkages.
While the first configuration described
is, in the Agency’s view, the more
appropriate way to evaluate overcontrol,
taken together the configurations
provide a more robust basis on which to
rest our conclusions regarding
overcontrol. In any case, as further
holding as not impacting its approach to defining
and addressing both nonattainment and
maintenance receptors. In particular, the EPA
continues to interpret the Good Neighbor provision
as requiring it to give independent effect to the
‘‘interfere with maintenance’’ prong. Accord
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325–27.
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illustrated in the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, our
analysis under both configurations
establishes that there is no overcontrol
and so there is no need to reconcile any
difference in results between them.
We also looked at the ordering of
increments of emissions reduction and
have found that it does not matter
whether we assume EGU emissions
controls would be applied first,
followed by non-EGU controls, or viceversa. For 2023, the question is moot as
there are only EGU reductions to
examine. For 2026, the analysis showed
there would be no overcontrol either
way. In 2026, the EPA’s overcontrol
analysis (as presented here) examined
all EGU reductions first and layered in
non-EGU reductions in the last step of
the overcontrol check. However, the
EPA also examined an alternative
ordering scenario where the non-EGU
reductions were assessed prior to the
EGU reductions associated with
installation of new SCR postcombustion controls (see the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD for details). This ordering did not
impact the results of the overcontrol
test. The specific results of these
analyses are presented in the TSD.
The control stringency selected for
2023 (a representative cost threshold of
$1,800 per ton for EGUs) includes
emissions reductions commensurate
with optimization of existing SCRs and
SNCRs and installation of state-of-theart combustion controls, is not
estimated to change the status of any
receptors.252 Thus, the nonattainment or
maintenance receptors that the states are
linked to remain unresolved. Nor do any
states’ contribution levels drop below
the 1 percent of NAAQS threshold.
Thus, the EPA determined that none of
the 23 linked states have all of their
linkages resolved at the final EGU level
of control stringency in 2023, and
hence, the EPA finds no over-control in
the final level of stringency.
Based on the air quality baseline
modeling for 2026, all receptors to
which Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin are linked in 2023 are
projected to be in attainment in 2026.
Therefore, no additional stringency is
finalized for EGUs or non-EGUs in those
states beyond the 2023 level of
stringency. For the remaining 20 states,
252 For purposes of this rule, the violating monitor
receptors inform our determinations at Step 1 and
2 by strengthening the analytical basis on which we
conclude upwind states are linked in 2023. Because
no linkages identified using our air quality
modeling methodology resolve in 2023 under the
selected control stringency, it is not necessary to
evaluate overcontrol with respect to the additional
set of violating-monitor receptors.
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36749
the selected control stringency
beginning in 2026 includes additional
EGU controls and the non-EGU
emissions reductions.
The EPA assesses air quality impacts
and overcontrol in the year 2026 in this
final rule, even though the rule
accommodates the potential need for
individual facilities (both EGU and nonEGU) to have some additional time to
come into compliance. The EPA views
this additional time to be a reflection of
need (based on demonstrated
impossibility) that is justified at Step 4
of the interstate transport framework
rather than at Step 3. As explained in
section VI.A of this document, with
respect to EGUs, the EPA extends the
full implementation of the SCR retrofitbased reductions across 2026 and 2027
to accommodate any unit-level
scheduling challenges. However, we
find that many sources can meet a threeyear installation time and the trading
program features and the allowance
price will incentivize these reductions
to occur as soon as possible. Similarly,
with respect to non-EGU industrial
sources, the final rule provides limited
circumstances for individual facilities to
seek and to be granted extensions of
time to install required pollution
controls and achieve the emissions rates
established in this rule based on a
showing of necessity. Those
circumstances where an extension may
be warranted for any specific facility are
unknown at this time and will be
evaluated through a source-specific
application process, where the need for
extension can be established with
source-specific evidence. See section
VI.C of this document. Further, 2026 is
the critical analytic year associated with
the last full ozone season before the
2027 Serious area attainment date and is
the year by which significant
contribution must be eliminated if at all
possible. Therefore, for purposes of this
analysis, the collective state and
regional representation of these
reductions are fully assumed in 2026.
The potential ability of both EGU and
non-EGU sources to have some amount
of additional time beyond 2026 to
comply with requirements that we have
determined at Step 3 are necessary to
eliminate significant contribution does
not necessitate evaluating a later year
than 2026 for overcontrol. The
stringency of the control program does
not alter in any year beyond 2026.253 By
253 Thus, we note, this circumstance is different
than the record on which overcontrol was found in
EME Homer City. There, CSAPR would have
implemented an increase in the emissions control
stringency of the rule (as reflected in a change in
emissions control stringency expressed as dollars
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fully reflecting all Step 3 emissions
reductions in its overcontrol test for
2026, EPA ensures that it is not
understating the emissions impact and
benefit when performing the test.
The EPA used the Ozone AQAT to
evaluate the impact of this selected
stringency level (as well as other
potential stringency levels) on all
receptors remaining in the 2026 air
quality modeling base case. This
assessment shows that the selected
control stringency level is estimated to
change the status of three receptors to
attainment or maintenance in 2026.
Brazoria County, Texas (Monitor ID
480391004); and Galveston County,
Texas (Monitor ID 481671034), are
estimated to come into attainment. We
observe that one of the Fairfield,
Connecticut, receptors (Monitor ID
090013007) is estimated to go from
nonattainment to maintenance (when
EGU emissions reductions with SCR are
applied, prior to the application of the
non-EGU emissions reductions). This
receptor is expected to remain in
maintenance even after the application
of the non-EGU emissions reductions.
Based on these data, EPA finds that all
linked states except Arkansas,
Mississippi, and Oklahoma are
projected to continue to be linked to
nonattainment or maintenance receptors
after implementation of all identified
Step 3 reductions, and hence, the EPA
finds no over-control in its
determination of that level of stringency
for those states. Arkansas, Mississippi,
and Oklahoma are linked to at least one
of the two Texas receptors that are
projected to come into attainment with
the full implementation of the control
strategy at Step 3. However, these two
Texas receptors are expected to remain
as maintenance-only receptors prior to
the final increment of reductions
assessed (the addition of the non-EGU
reductions), so EPA concludes that
imposition of the incremental non-EGU
per ton from $100/ton to $500/ton). That change in
stringency marked a determination that EPA had
made at Step 3 regarding the degree of emissions
reduction that sources needed to achieve beginning
in 2014. But in that year, the court found EPA’s
record to reveal that certain states would not need
to go up to that higher level of stringency because
air quality problems and/or linkages were already
projected to be resolved at the lower level of
stringency. See 795 F.3d at 128–30. The analogous
year to 2014 here is 2026. The stringency level of
this control program does not change post-2026.
Nor do we think individual sources should gain the
benefit of delaying emissions reductions simply in
the hopes that they could show those reductions
would be overcontrol; each source must be held to
the elimination of its portion of significant
contribution. Necessity may demand some
additional amount of time for compliance, but
equity demands that individual sources not gain an
untoward advantage from delay and reliance on
other sources’ timelier compliance.
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level is appropriate to avoid undercontrol as to these states and does not
constitute overcontrol.254
Next, the EPA evaluated the potential
for over-control with respect to the 1
percent of the NAAQS threshold
applied in this final rulemaking at Step
3 of the good neighbor framework,
assessed for the selected control
stringencies for each state for each
period that downwind nonattainment
and maintenance problems persist (i.e.,
2023 and 2026). Specifically, the EPA
evaluated whether the selected control
stringencies would reduce upwind
emissions to a level where the
contribution from any of the 23 linked
states in 2023 or 20 linked states in 2026
would be below the 1 percent threshold.
The EPA finds that for the mitigation
measures assumed in 2023 and in 2026,
all states that contributed greater than or
equal to the 1 percent threshold in the
base case are projected to continue to
contribute greater than or equal to 1
percent of the NAAQS to at least one
remaining downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptor for as long as that
receptor remained in nonattainment or
maintenance. EPA notes that in 2026,
for Oklahoma, when the incremental
level of stringency associated with the
non-EGU control strategy is applied,
Oklahoma’s contribution to Galveston
County Texas is expected to drop below
the 1 percent threshold (at the same
time that the receptor has its
maintenance problems resolved). EPA
concludes that this does not constitute
overcontrol because both the receptor
and the contribution are estimated to
remain above the maintenance level and
linkage threshold at the prior level of
stringency and, thus, since otherwise
justified at Step 3, the full stringency for
2026 is appropriate to avoid undercontrol. For more information about this
assessment, refer to the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD and the
Ozone AQAT.
Therefore, EPA finds that all of the
selected EGU and non-EGU NOX
reduction strategies selected in EPA’s
Step 3 analysis can be applied to all
states linked in 2026 to eliminate
significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
without introducing an overcontrol
254 Even with full implementation of the rule,
these two receptors are only projected to come into
attainment by a relatively small degree, and no
policy option is ascertained in the record by which
attainment could be achieved to an even lesser
degree. Nonetheless, the EPA further evaluated
whether there were any overcontrol concerns
through sensitivity analyses. Under all scenarios,
the EPA finds there is no overcontrol. See the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD
for more discussion and analysis.
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problem based on the present record.
The Supreme Court has directed the
EPA to avoid both over-control and
under-control in addressing good
neighbor obligations. In addition, the
D.C. Circuit has reinforced that overcontrol must be established based on
particularized, record evidence on an
as-applied basis.
The determination that the stringency
of this action does not constitute
overcontrol for any linked state is
further reinforced by EPA’s observation
in section III.A of this document
regarding the nature of the ozone
problem. Ozone levels are known to
vary, at times dramatically, from year to
year. Future ozone concentrations and
the formation of ground level ozone may
also be impacted by factors in future
years that the EPA cannot fully account
for at present. For example, changes to
meteorological conditions could affect
future ozone levels. Climate change
could also contribute to higher than
anticipated ozone levels in future years
through wildfires and heat waves,
which can contribute directly and
indirectly to higher levels of ozone. Any
modeling projection can be
characterized as having some
uncertainty, and that is not a sufficient
reason to ignore modeling results.
However, in the context of the
overcontrol test, the question is whether
it is clear according to particularized
evidence that there is no need for the
emissions reductions in question. See
EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 523 (‘‘[A]
degree of imprecision is inevitable in
tackling the problem of interstate air
pollution. Slight changes in wind
patterns or energy consumption, for
example, may vary downwind air
quality in ways EPA might not have
anticipated.’’). Under this standard, the
degree of attainment that is projected to
occur under the rule in relation to the
Texas receptors discussed above is not
so large or certain to occur that it would
be appropriate to attempt to devise a
less stringent emissions control strategy
for the relevant linked states as a result,
particularly in light of the fact that at
the penultimate stringency level the
receptors are not resolved.
It is also possible that ozone-precursor
emissions from certain sources may
decline beyond what we currently
project in this rule. For example, the
IRA may result in reductions in fossilfuel fired generation, which should in
turn result in lower NOX emissions
during the ozone season.255 We have
255 As discussed in section IV.C.2.b, there are also
potential ways in which the IRA may not
necessarily result in reductions in NOX emissions
from EGUs.
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assessed this scenario to ensure our
overcontrol conclusions are robust even
if the IRA has those effects. As
discussed in the Regulatory Impact
Analysis, the EPA conducted additional
modeling of the final policy scenario
(inclusive of economically efficient
methods of compliance available within
the Step 4 implementation programs)
using its IPM tool. The EPA observes
that the differences in estimated costs
and emissions reductions in the IRA
sensitivity (presented in Appendix 4A
of the RIA) suggests that there would
also be differences in estimated health
and climate benefits under that
scenario, although the Agency did not
have time under this rulemaking
schedule to quantify those differences.
The EPA also used AQAT to conduct an
additional EGU modeling sensitivity
reflecting the IRA. Both the IPM
sensitivity and the corresponding AQAT
assessment of the IRA scenarios
demonstrated no overcontrol as every
state linkage to a downwind
problematic receptor persisted in the
penultimate level of stringency when
EPA performed its Step 3 evaluation—
even when the impacts of the IRA are
incorporated. This further affirmed
EPA’s conclusion of no overcontrol
concerns at the stringency level of the
final rule. This overcontrol sensitivity is
further discussed in the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD, Appendix K.
In light of the mandate of the CAA to
protect the public health and
environment through the elimination of
significant contribution under the Good
Neighbor Provision for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, nothing in the present record
establishes on an as-applied,
particularized basis that this rule will
result in an unnecessary degree of
control of upwind-state emissions.
Comment: Many commenters alleged
that the rule overcontrols emissions by
more than necessary to eliminate
significant contribution for the 2015
ozone NAAQS, on the basis that the
emissions reductions are unnecessary or
are unnecessarily stringent.
Response: As discussed earlier in this
section, EPA has analyzed whether this
rule ‘‘overcontrols’’ emissions and has
found based on a robust, multi-faceted
analysis, that it does not. In particular,
EPA has not identified a lesserstringency emissions control strategy for
any state that would either fully resolve
the air quality problems at a downwind
receptor location or resolve that upwind
state’s linkage to a level below the 1
percent of NAAQS contribution
threshold. No commenter has provided
a particularized, as-applied analysis
demonstrating that EPA’s emissions
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control strategy will actually result in
any overcontrol of emissions in the
manner the EPA or courts have
understood that term, and overcontrol
allegations must be proven through
particularized, as-applied challenges.
See EME Homer City, 795 F.3d at 127;
see also Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325
(‘‘[T]he way to contest instances of overcontrol is not through generalized
claims that EPA’s methodology would
lead to over-control, but rather through
a ‘particularized, as-applied
challenge.’ ’’ Accordingly, as we did
when presented with similar arguments
in EME Homer III, we reject Industry
Petitioners’ arguments because they do
no more than speculate that aspects of
‘EPA’s methodology could lead to overcontrol of upwind States.’ ’’) (cleaned
up) (citing EME Homer City, 795 F.3d at
136–137).
Comment: For 2 of the 20 states
linked in 2026, Arkansas and
Mississippi, the last downwind receptor
to which these two states are linked (i.e.,
Brazoria County, Texas) was estimated
to achieve attainment and maintenance
after full application of EGU reductions
and Tier 1 non-EGU reductions at
proposal. Commenters noted that this
suggested application of the estimated
non-EGU, and/or some EGU, emissions
reductions constituted over-control for
these states.
Response: EPA notes that at proposal,
this downwind receptor only resolved
by a small margin after the application
of all EGU and Tier 1 non-EGU
emissions reductions. As explained
earlier in this section, the final rule air
quality modeling shows that the
receptors to which these states are
linked do not resolve upon full
implementation of the identified EGU
reductions by themselves, and only
reach attainment by a small degree
following the additional reductions
from the non-EGU control strategy.256 If
the EPA were to select the control
stringency of this penultimate step, both
upwind-state contribution and
downwind-state air quality receptors
would persist while the cost-effective
emissions reductions that were
identified to eliminate significant
256 Because in the final record we do not identify
cost, air quality, and emission reduction factors that
sufficiently differentiate either source-type or
emissions control strategy among the Tier 1 and
Tier 2 industries identified at proposal, we
combined the non-EGU industries and emissions
reductions into one group, and we are finalizing
requirements for all non-EGU industries and most
emissions unit types identified at proposal. In light
of the small degree to which the relevant receptors
reach attainment and the multi-faceted assessment
of overcontrol we have undertaken, the overcontrol
assessment with respect to non-EGUs in the final
rule is sufficient to establish that there is no
overcontrol.
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36751
contribution remain available but unimplemented. This would constitute
under-control. Consequently, as
described, the EPA views the control
stringency required of these states in
this final rule as not constituting overcontrol and appropriate to eliminate
significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of this NAAQS in line
with our Step 3 determinations for all
other states. See the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD section
C.3 for discussion and analysis
regarding overcontrol for states solely
linked to one or both of these receptors.
Comment: Commenters raised a
variety of arguments that the
enhancements to the EGU trading
program in this action will result in
overcontrol of power plant emissions.
They alleged that dynamic budgeting
would cause the budget to continually
decrease even after significant
contribution is eliminated. They
similarly argue that annual emissions
bank recalibration and the emissions
backstop emissions rate have not been
shown to be justified to eliminate
significant contribution.
Response: This final rule’s
determination regarding the appropriate
level of control stringency for EGUs
finds that the amounts of NOX
emissions reduction achieved through
these strategies at EGUs are appropriate
and cost-justified under the Step 3
multifactor analysis. These
determinations are associated with
particular emissions control
technologies and strategies as detailed
in sections V.B.1 and V.C.1 above. It is
the implementation of those strategies at
the covered EGU sources and the air
quality effects of those strategies
(coupled with non-EGUs) in the relevant
analytic year of 2026 on which we base
our determination of significant
contribution at Step 3. This includes the
evaluation of whether there is
overcontrol, which is also conducted for
the 2026 analytic year as explained
above. As explained below, we disagree
that the enhancements to the trading
program at Step 4 implicate the need for
further overcontrol analysis. These
enhancements operate together to
ensure the trading program continues to
maintain the Step 3 emissions control
stringency over time. These
enhancements reflect lessons learned
through EPA’s experience with prior
trading programs implemented under
the good neighbor provision. None of
commenters’ arguments that these
enhancements result in overcontrol are
persuasive.
Commenters contend that these
enhancements to the trading program go
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beyond a mass-based budget approach
as applied in CSAPR. Because these
improvements in the program result in
a continuing incentive for each covered
EGU source to maintain the pollution
control performance the EPA found
appropriate to eliminate significant
contribution at Step 3, commenters
believe these enhancements must
necessarily result in prohibited
overcontrol. These arguments appear to
be premised on the assumption that
overall emissions may later decline to
such a point that there is no longer a
linkage between a particular state and
any downwind receptors for reasons
other than the requirements of this rule.
As an initial matter, no commenter
has provided an empirical analysis
demonstrating that the control
stringency identified at Step 3 to
eliminate significant contribution would
actually result in any overcontrol. The
case law is clear that over-control
allegations must be proven through
particularized, as-applied challenges.
See prior response to comments. More
importantly here, the Group 3 trading
program enhancements do not impose
increased stringency in years after 2030
and do not force emissions to
continually be reduced to ever lower
levels. They are only designed to
incentivize the implementation of the
Step 3 emissions control stringency that
eliminates significant contribution. The
circumstances that could potentially
cause a receptor or linkage to resolve at
some point in the future after 2026 are
not circumstances that are within the
power of this rule to control. Nor would
those circumstances present a
justification as to why upwind sources
should no longer be obligated to
eliminate their own significant
contribution. Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at
324–25 (rejecting overcontrol arguments
premised on attributing air quality
problems to other emissions).
Further, the EPA is not constrained by
the statute to only implement good
neighbor obligations through fixed,
unchanging, mass-based emissions
budgets. See section III.B.1 of this
document. The EPA has defined the
‘‘amount’’ of emissions that must be
prohibited to eliminate significant
contribution in this action based on a
series of determinations of which
emissions control strategies, for certain
identified EGU and non-EGU sources,
are appropriate applying the Step 3
multifactor analysis. Notably, the nonEGU industrial source emissions
reductions in this action are not being
achieved at Step 4 through mass-based
emissions trading, nor are they required
to be by any provision of the CAA. See
section III.B.1.
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As explained in sections III.B.1.d and
VI.B.1 of this document, the EPA finds
good reason based on its experience
with trading programs that using fixed,
mass-based, ozone-season wide budgets
does not necessarily ensure the
elimination of significant contribution
over the entire region of linked states or
throughout each ozone season. Even in
the original CSAPR rulemaking, which
promulgated only fixed, mass-based
budgets, such outcomes were never the
EPA’s intention to allow. See, e.g., 76
FR 48256–57 (‘‘[I]t would be
inappropriate for a state linked to
downwind nonattainment or
maintenance areas to stop operating
existing pollution control equipment
(which would increase their emissions
and contribution).’’). Despite the EPA’s
expectations in CSAPR, the experience
of the Agency since that time establishes
a real risk of ‘‘under-control’’ if the
existing trading framework is not
enhanced. See EME Homer City, 572
U.S. at 523 (‘‘[T]he Agency also has a
statutory obligation to avoid ‘undercontrol,’ i.e., to maximize achievement
of attainment downwind.’’).
Further, the EPA has already once
adjusted its historical approach to better
account for known, upcoming changes
in the EGU fleet to ensure mass-based
emissions budgets adequately
incentivize the control strategy
determined at Step 3. This adjustment
was introduced in the Revised CSAPR
Update. See 82 FR 23121–22. The EPA
now believes it is appropriate to ensure
in a more comprehensive manner, and
in perpetuity, that a mass-based
emissions-trading framework
incentivizes continuing implementation
of the Step 3 control strategies to ensure
significant contribution is eliminated in
all upwind states and remains so. This
is fully analogous in material respect to
an approach to implementation at Step
4 that relies on application of unitspecific emissions limitations, which
under the Act would typically apply in
perpetuity and may only be modified
through a future SIP- or FIP-revision
rulemaking process. See CAA section
110(i) prohibiting modifications to
implementation plan requirements
except by enumerated processes. The
availability of unit-specific emissions
rates as a means to eliminate significant
contribution is discussed in further
detail in section III.B.1 of this
document. The EPA also explained this
in the proposal. See 87 FR 20095–96.
Further, these enhancements are
directly related to assisting downwind
areas specifically with the goal of
attaining and maintaining the 2015 8hour ozone NAAQS. In this respect,
they are not ‘‘unnecessary’’ or
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‘‘unrelated’’ to carrying out the
mandates of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Taking measures to
ensure that each upwind source covered
by an emissions trading program is
adequately incentivized to eliminate
excessive emissions (as found at Step 3)
throughout the entirety of each ozone
season is entirely appropriate in light of
the nature of the ozone problem. Ozone
exceedances recur on varying days
throughout the summertime ozone
season, and it is not possible to predict
in advance which specific days will
have high ozone. Further, impacts to
public health and the environment from
ozone can occur through short-term
exposure (e.g., over a course of hours,
i.e., on a daily basis). The 2015 ozone
NAAQS is expressed as an 8-hour
average, and only a small number of
days in excess of the ozone NAAQS can
cause a downwind area to be in
nonattainment. Thus, even a small
number of exceedances can result in
continuing and/or increased regulatory
burdens on the downwind jurisdiction.
Taking these considerations into
account, it is evident that a fixed, massbased emissions program that does not
adequately incentivize emissions
reductions commensurate with our Step
3 determinations on each day of every
ozone season going forward does not
provide a sufficient guarantee that the
emissions that significantly contribute
on those particular days and at
particular receptor locations when
ozone levels are at risk of exceeding the
NAAQS have been eliminated. See
section V.B.1.a and VI.B of this
document for more discussion of data
observations regarding SCR
optimization.
These enhancements are also
consistent with the general policies and
principles EPA has long applied in
implementing the NAAQS through the
SIP/FIP framework of section 110.
Emissions control measures relied on to
meet CAA requirements must be
permanent and enforceable and
included in the implementation plan
itself. See, e.g., Montana Sulfur & Chem.
Co. v. EPA, 666 F.3d 1174, 1196 (9th
Cir. 2012); 40 CFR 51.112(a). In the
General Preamble laying out EPA’s
plans for implementing the 1990 CAA
Amendments, the EPA identified a core
‘‘principle’’ that control strategies
should be ‘‘accountable.’’ ‘‘This means,
for example, that source-specific limits
should be permanent and must reflect
the assumptions used in the SIP
demonstrations.’’ 57 FR 13498, 13568
(April 16, 1992). EPA went on, ‘‘The
principles of quantification,
enforceability, replicability, and
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accountability apply to all SIPs and
control strategies, including those
involving emissions trading, marketable
permits and allowances.’’ Id. EPA also
explained that its ‘‘emissions trading
policy provides that only trades
producing reductions that are surplus,
enforceable, permanent, and
quantifiable can get credit and be
banked or used in an emissions trade.’’
Id. These principles follow from the
language of the Act, including CAA
section 110(a)(2), 107(d)(3)(E)(iii),
110(i), and 110(l). These provisions and
principles further underscore the
importance of ensuring that the
emissions reductions the EPA has found
necessary to eliminate significant
contribution are in fact implemented on
a consistent and permanent basis even
within the context of an emissions
trading program.
The EPA disagrees that the budget
adjustments that would occur over time
under this final rule (for example, the
annual dynamic-budget adjustment)
must be reassessed each time they occur
through notice and comment
rulemaking under CAA section 307(d).
This would serve no purpose. The
formulas that the EPA will apply to
adjust the budgets and allowance bank
are set in this final rule and are
intended to maintain, not increase (or
decrease), program stringency. While
the EPA intends to provide an
opportunity for stakeholders to review
and propose corrections to its data as it
implements the established budget
formulas, no larger reassessment of the
emissions control program is needed on
an ongoing basis, because, again, that
program is simply calibrated to ensure
that emissions reductions
commensurate with the determination
of ‘‘significance’’ in Step 3 continue to
be obtained over the long term. As
described earlier, these trading program
provisions are analogous to, or mimic,
the effect of unit-specific emissions
limitations that apply in perpetuity.257
Commenters also confuse the
‘‘amount’’ of emissions that must be
eliminated under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) as being synonymous
with a fixed, mass-based budget that
reflects the residual emissions allowed
following the elimination of significant
contribution. However, EPA views the
‘‘amount’’ to be eliminated as those
emissions that are in excess of the cost257 We note further that because all of the trading
program provisions, including the dynamic budgetsetting provisions and process, are established by
this final FIP rulemaking, the ministerial futureyear budget adjustment process complies with the
CAA section 110(i) prohibition on modification of
implementation plan requirements except by
enumerated process.
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effective emissions control strategies
identified in Step 3. This is further
explained in section III.B.1 of this
document.
Thus, this rule is in compliance with
the overcontrol principles that the D.C.
Circuit applied on remand in EME
Homer City to find certain instances of
overcontrol in CSAPR’s emissions
control strategies. The D.C. Circuit
found that EPA had imposed more
stringent emissions-control strategies for
certain states than were necessary to
resolve all of those states’ linkages. 795
F.3d at 128–30. Specifically, for sulfur
dioxide, the court found certain
receptors would reach attainment if all
linked upwind states had implemented
‘‘cost controls’’ at $100/ton or $400/ton,
rather than EPA’s selected stringency
level of $500/ton. Similarly, for ozone
season NOX, the court found that
receptors were projected to attain the
NAAQS at stringencies below $500/ton.
The court’s focus was on the stringency
of the emissions control obligations as
determined through the application of
cost thresholds at Step 3 of the analysis.
The court did not hold that EPA may
only use fixed, mass-based budgets to
implement those reductions. The court
did not hold that EPA must permit
individual polluting sources to be
allowed to increase their emissions at
some point in the future. The court did
not hold that EPA’s good neighbor FIPs
must, effectively, contain termination
clauses, such that they cease to ensure
the implementation of the control
stringency determined as necessary at
Step 3, the moment a downwind
receptor reaches attainment. Indeed,
such a rule would contravene the
statute’s clear, forward-looking directive
that EPA must also eliminate upwind
emissions that interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS; see North
Carolina, 531 F.3d at 908–911;
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325–26.
The EME Homer City court on remand
in fact rejected various arguments that
other aspects of EPA’s emissions control
strategy in CSAPR resulted in
overcontrol, holding that EPA had
properly given effect to the interfere
with maintenance prong, and noting
that petitioners failed to make out
proven, as-applied demonstrations of
overcontrol:
At bottom, each of those claims is an
argument that EPA’s methodology could lead
to over-control of upwind States that are
found to interfere with maintenance at a
downwind location. That could prove to be
correct in certain locations. But the Supreme
Court made clear in EME Homer that the way
to contest instances of over-control is not
through generalized claims that EPA’s
methodology would lead to over-control, but
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36753
rather through a ‘‘particularized, as-applied
challenge.’’ EME Homer, 134 S. Ct. at 1609,
slip op. at 31. And petitioners do not point
to any actual such instances of over-control
at downwind locations.
795 F.3d at 137. The court went on to
observe, ‘‘EPA may only limit emissions
‘by just enough to permit an alreadyattaining State to maintain satisfactory
air quality.’ If States have been forced to
reduce emissions beyond that point,
affected parties will have meritorious
as-applied challenges.’’ Id. (quoting 572
U.S. at 521–22). But this too was not a
holding that EPA may not ensure
effective and permanent
implementation of an emissions control
stringency that EPA has found
warranted under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Such an approach is
available through the more conventional
CAA practice of setting unit-specific
emissions limitations that would apply
on a permanent and enforceable basis.
See CAA sections 110(a)(2) and 302(y)
(providing for SIPs and FIPs to include
‘‘enforceable emissions limitations’’ in
addition to economic incentive
measures like trading programs).258 This
is in fact how EPA intends to ensure
significant contribution is eliminated
from non-EGU industrial sources for
which a mass-based trading regime is, at
least at the present time, unworkable
(see section VI.C of this document). And
EPA has provided for the elimination of
significant contribution through sourcespecific emissions limitations in prior
transport actions as well, so this
position is not novel. See section III.B
of this document.
Nonetheless, EPA recognizes that
under the Act, both FIPs and SIPs may
be revised, and states may replace FIPs
with SIPs if EPA approves them. Any
such revision must be evaluated to
ensure no applicable CAA requirements
are interfered with. See, e.g., Indiana v.
EPA, 796 F.3d 803 (7th Cir. 2015). For
example, states may be able to
demonstrate in the future that through
some other permanent and enforceable
methods of emissions reduction that
they have adopted into their SIP, they
will be able to achieve a similar
emissions control stringency with
different emissions reduction
requirements imposed on different
sources as compared to the FIPs
finalized in this action. See section VI.D
of this document.
Therefore, commenters’ contentions
that EPA’s trading program
enhancements result in prohibited
258 ‘‘Emissions limitation’’ is in turn defined at
CAA section 302(k) as a ‘‘requirement . . . which
limits the quantity, rate, or concentration of
emissions of air pollutants on a continuous
basis. . . .’’
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overcontrol are not proven through asapplied, particularized challenges, and
they are premised on an incorrect
understanding of the CAA and the
relevant case law. The Agency rejects
the contention that it must somehow
provide in the present FIP action for a
relaxation in the stringency of the Step
4 implementation program and thus
allow for the recurrence of pollution
that we have found here, in this action,
significantly contributes to downwind
ozone nonattainment and maintenance
problems.
VI. Implementation of Emissions
Reductions
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A. NOX Reduction Implementation
Schedule
This action will ensure that emissions
reductions necessary to eliminate
significant contribution will be achieved
‘‘as expeditiously as practicable’’ and no
later than the downwind attainment
dates except where compliance by those
dates is not possible. See CAA section
181(a); Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 318–20.
The timing of this action will provide
for all possible emissions reductions to
go into effect beginning in the 2023
ozone season for the covered states,
which is aligned with the next
upcoming attainment date of August 3,
2024, for areas classified as Moderate
nonattainment under the 2015 ozone
standard. Additional emissions
reductions that the EPA finds not
possible to implement by that
attainment date will take effect as
expeditiously as practicable. Emissions
reductions commensurate with SCR
mitigation measures for EGUs will start
in 2026 and be fully implemented by
2027. Emissions reductions through the
mitigation measures for industrial
sources will generally go into effect in
2026; however, as explained in section
VI.C of this document, we have
provided for case-by-case extensions of
up to one year based on a demonstration
of necessity (with the potential for up to
an additional two years based on a
further demonstration). The full suite of
emissions reductions is generally
anticipated to take effect by the 2027
ozone season, which is aligned with the
August 3, 2027, attainment date for
areas classified as Serious
nonattainment under the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. This rule constitutes a full
remedy for interstate transport for the
2015 ozone NAAQS for the states
covered; the EPA does not anticipate
further rulemaking to address good
neighbor obligations under this NAAQS
will be required for these states with the
finalization of this rule.
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EPA’s determinations regarding the
timing of this rule are informed by and
in compliance with several recent court
decisions. The D.C. Circuit has
reiterated several times that, under the
terms of the Good Neighbor Provision,
upwind states must eliminate their
significant contributions to downwind
areas ‘‘consistent with the provisions of
[title I of the Act],’’ including those
provisions setting attainment deadlines
for downwind areas.259 In North
Carolina, the D.C. Circuit found the
2015 compliance deadline that the EPA
had established in CAIR unlawful in
light of the downwind nonattainment
areas’ 2010 deadline for attaining the
1997 NAAQS for ozone and PM2.5.260
Similarly, in Wisconsin, the Court found
the CSAPR Update unlawful to the
extent it allowed upwind states to
continue their significant contributions
to downwind air quality problems
beyond the downwind states’ statutory
deadlines for attaining the 2008 ozone
NAAQS.261 In Maryland, the Court
found the EPA’s selection of a 2023
analysis year in evaluating state
petitions submitted under CAA section
126 unlawful in light of the downwind
Marginal nonattainment areas’ 2021
deadline for attaining the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.262 The Court noted in
Wisconsin that the statutory command—
that compliance with the Good
Neighbor Provision must be achieved in
a manner ‘‘consistent with’’ title I of the
CAA—may be read to allow for some
deviation from the mandate to eliminate
prohibited transport by downwind
attainment deadlines, ‘‘under particular
circumstances and upon a sufficient
showing of necessity,’’ but concluded
that ‘‘[a]ny such deviation would need
to be rooted in Title I’s framework’’ and
would need to ‘‘provide a sufficient
level of protection to downwind
States.’’ 263
1. 2023–2025: EGU NOX Reductions
Beginning in 2023
The near-term EGU control
stringencies and corresponding
259 North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir.
2008), Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C. Cir.
2019), and Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185 (D.C.
Cir. 2020).
260 North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 911–913.
261 Wisconsin, 938 F. 3d at 303, 3018–20.
262 Maryland, 958 F.3d at 1203–1204. Similarly,
in New York v. EPA, 964 F.3d 1214 (D.C. Cir. 2020),
the Court found the EPA’s selection of a 2023
analysis year in evaluating New York’s section 126
petition unlawful in light of the New York
Metropolitan Area’s 2021 Serious area deadline for
attaining the 2008 ozone NAAQS. 964 F.3d at 1226
(citing Wisconsin and Maryland).
263 Wisconsin, 938 F. 3d at 320 (citing CAA
section 181(a) (allowing one-year extension of
attainment deadlines in particular circumstances)
and North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 912).
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reductions in this rulemaking cover the
2023, 2024, and 2025 ozone seasons.
This is the period in which some
reductions will be available, but the
portion of full remedy reductions
related to post combustion control
installation identified in sections V.B
through V.D of this document are not
yet available. The EGU NOX mitigation
strategies available during these initial 3
years are the optimization of existing
post-combustion controls (SCRs and
SNCRs) and combustion control
upgrades. As described in sections V.B
through V.D of this document and in
accompanying TSDs, these mitigation
measures can be implemented in under
two months in the case of existing
control optimization and in 6 months in
the case of combustion control
upgrades. These timing assumptions
account for planning, procurement, and
any physical or structural modification
necessary. The EPA provides significant
historical data, including the
implementation of the most recent
Revised CSAPR Update, as well as
engineering studies and input factor
analysis documenting the feasibility of
these timing assumptions. However,
these timing assumptions are
representative of fleet averages, and the
EPA has noted that some units will
likely overperform their installation
timing assumptions, while others may
have unit configuration or operational
considerations that result in their
underperforming these timing
assumptions. As in prior interstate
transport rules, the EPA is
implementing these EGU reductions
through a trading program approach.
The trading program’s option to buy
additional allowances provides
flexibility in the program for outlier
sources that may need more time than
what is representative of the fleet
average to implement these mitigation
strategies while providing an economic
incentive to outperform rate and timing
assumptions for those sources that can
do so. In effect, this trading program
implementation operationalizes the
mitigation measures as state-wide
assumptions for the EGU fleet rather
than unit-specific assumptions.
However, starting in 2024, as
described in section VI.B.7 of this
document, unit-specific backstop daily
emissions rates are applied to coal units
with existing SCR at a level consistent
with operating that control. The EPA
believes that implementing these
emissions reductions through state
emissions budgets starting in 2023
while imposing the unit-specific
backstop emissions rates in 2024
achieves the necessary environmental
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performance as soon as possible while
accommodating any heterogeneity in
unit-level implementation schedules
regarding daily operation of optimized
SCRs.
Additionally, as in prior rules, the
EPA assumes combustion control
upgrade implementation may take up to
6 months. In the Revised CSAPR
Update, covering 12 of the 22 states for
which emissions reduction
requirements for EGUs are established
under this action, the EPA finalized the
rule in March of 2021 and thus did not
require these combustion control-based
emissions reductions in ozone-season
state emissions budgets until 2022 (year
two of that program).264 The EPA is
applying the same timing assumption
regarding combustion control upgrades
for this rulemaking. Given the same
relationship here between the date of
final action and the year one ozone
season, the EPA is not assuming the
implementation of any additional
combustion control upgrades in state
emissions budgets until year two (i.e.,
the 2024 ozone season). Any identified
combustion control upgrade emissions
reductions are reflected beginning in the
2024 ozone-season budgets for all
covered states. For the 12 states covered
under the Revised CSAPR Update, any
identified emissions reduction potential
from combustion control upgrade is
included and reflected in those state
budgets beginning in 2024—which
means EGUs in those states have even
more time than the 14 months between
finalization of this rule and the 2024
ozone season if they started any
planning or installation earlier in
response to the Revised CSAPR Update.
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2. 2026 and Later Years: EGU and
Stationary Industrial Source NOX
Reductions Beginning in 2026
The EPA finds that it is not possible
to implement all necessary emissions
controls across all of the affected EGU
and non-EGU sources by the August 3,
2024, Moderate area attainment date. In
accordance with the good neighbor
provision and the downwind attainment
schedule under CAA section 181 for the
2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA is aligning
its analysis and implementation of the
emissions reductions addressing
significant contribution from EGU and
non-EGU sources that require relatively
longer lead time at a sectoral scale with
the 2026 ozone season. The 2026 ozone
season is the last full ozone season that
precedes the August 3, 2027, Serious
area attainment date for the 2015 ozone
264 86
FR 23093.
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NAAQS.265 The EPA proposed to
require compliance with all of the
remaining EGU and non-EGU control
requirements beginning in the 2026
ozone season. The EPA continues to
find 2026 to be the relevant analytic
year for purposes of its Step 3 analysis,
including its analysis of overcontrol, as
discussed in section V.D.4 of this
document. However, many commenters
argued that full implementation of the
EGU and industrial source control
strategies is not feasible for every source
by the 2026 ozone season. The EPA
addresses these technical comments
specifically in sections V.B and VI.C of
this document. The EPA also
commissioned a study to develop a
better understanding of the time needed
for installation of emissions controls for
the industrial sector units covered in
this rule, which is included in the
docket and discussed in section VI.A.2.b
of this document. While the EPA does
not agree with all of the commenters’
assertions regarding the time they claim
is needed for control installation, in
other respects the concerns raised were
sufficient to justify some adjustments to
the compliance schedule for the final
rule. We have provided for the
emissions reductions commensurate
with assumed EGU post-combustion
emissions control retrofits to be phased
in over the 2026 and 2027 ozone season
emissions budgets, and we have
provided a process in the final
regulations for individual non-EGU
industrial sources to seek limited
compliance extensions extending no
later than 2029 based on a case-by-case
demonstration of necessity. This
compliance schedule delivers
substantial emissions reductions in the
2026 and 2027 ozone seasons and before
the 2027 Serious area attainment date,
and it only allows compliance
extensions beyond that attainment date
based on a rigorous, source-specific
demonstration of need for the additional
time.266
265 For each nonattainment area classified under
CAA section 181(a) for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the
attainment date is ‘‘as expeditiously as practicable’’
but not later than the date provided in table 1 to
40 CFR 51.1303(a). Thus, for areas initially
designated nonattainment effective August 3, 2018
(83 FR 25776), the latest permissible attainment
dates are: August 3, 2021 (for Marginal areas),
August 3, 2024 (for Moderate areas), August 3, 2027
(for Serious areas), and August 3, 2033 (for Severe
areas).
266 While we generally use the term ‘‘necessity’’
to describe the showing that non-EGU facilities
must meet in seeking compliance extensions, the
elements for this showing are designed to allow the
EPA to make a judgment that comports with the
standard of ‘‘impossibility’’ established in case law
such as Wisconsin. In other words, the ‘‘necessity’’
for additional time is effectively a showing by the
source that it would be ‘‘impossible’’ for it to meet
the compliance deadline.
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The timing of this final rule provides
three to four years for EGU and nonEGU sources to install whatever controls
they deem suitable to comply with
required emissions reductions by the
start of the 2026 and 2027 ozone
seasons. In addition, the publication of
the proposal provided roughly an
additional year of notice to these source
owners and operators that they should
begin engineering and financial
planning (steps that can be taken prior
to any capital investment) to be
prepared to meet this implementation
timetable.
The EPA views this timeframe for
retrofitting post-combustion NOX
emissions controls and other non-EGU
controls to be reasonable and
achievable. A 3-year period for
installation of control technologies is
consistent with the statutory timeframe
for implementation of the controls
required to address interstate pollution
under section 110(a)(2)(D) and 126 of
the Act, the statutory timeframes for
implementation of RACT in ozone
nonattainment areas classified as
Moderate or above, and other statutory
provisions that establish control
requirements for existing stationary
sources of pollution.
For example, section 126 of the CAA
authorizes a downwind state or tribe to
petition the EPA for a finding that
emissions from ‘‘any major source or
group of stationary sources’’ in an
upwind state contribute significantly to
nonattainment in, or interfere with
maintenance by, the downwind state. If
the EPA makes a finding that a major
source or a group of stationary sources
emits or would emit pollutants in
violation of the relevant prohibition in
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D), the source(s)
must shut down within three months
from the finding unless the EPA directly
regulates the source(s) by establishing
emissions limitations and a compliance
schedule extending no later than three
years from the date of the finding, to
eliminate the prohibited interstate
transport of pollutants as expeditiously
as practicable.267 Thus, in the provision
that allows for direct Federal regulation
of sources violating the good neighbor
provision, Congress established three
years as the maximum amount of time
available from a final rule to when
emissions reductions need to be
achieved at the relevant source or group
of sources. Because this action is not
taken under CAA section 126(c), the
mandatory timeframe for
implementation of emissions controls
267 CAA
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under that provision is not directly
applicable, but it is informative.
In response to arguments from sources
that more time than has been provided
in the final rule is necessary, this
provision strongly indicates that
allowing time beyond a three-year
period must be based on a substantial
showing of impossibility. Our analysis
based on comments and considering
additional information is that the
additional time we have provided in the
final rule is both justified and sufficient
in light of the statutory objective of
expeditious compliance.
Additionally, for ozone
nonattainment areas classified as
Moderate or higher, the CAA requires
states to implement RACT requirements
less than three years after the statutory
deadline for submitting these measures
to the EPA.268 Specifically, for these
areas, CAA sections 182(b)(2) and 182(f)
require that states implement RACT for
existing VOC and NOX sources as
expeditiously as practicable but no later
than May 31, 1995, approximately 30
months after the November 15, 1992,
deadline for submitting RACT SIP
revisions. For purposes of the 2015
ozone NAAQS, the EPA has interpreted
these provisions to require
implementation of RACT SIP revisions
as expeditiously as practicable but no
later than January 1 of the fifth year after
the effective date of designation, which
is less than three years after the
deadline for submitting RACT SIP
revisions.269 For areas initially
designated nonattainment with a
Moderate or higher classification
effective August 3, 2018 (83 FR 25776),
that implementation deadline falls on
January 1, 2023, approximately 29
months after the August 3, 2020
268 See, e.g., 40 CFR 51.1112(a)(3) and
51.1312(a)(3)(i) (requiring implementation of RACT
required pursuant to initial nonattainment area
designations no later than January 1 of the fifth year
after the effective date of designation, which is less
than 3 years after the SIP submission deadline
under 40 CFR 51.1112(a)(2)) and 51.1312(a)(2)(i),
respectively).
269 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(2)(i) (requiring submission
of RACT SIP revisions no later than 24 months after
the effective date of designation) and 40 CFR
51.1312(a)(3)(i) (requiring implementation of RACT
SIP revisions as expeditiously as practicable, but no
later than January 1 of the fifth year after the
effective date of designation). For reclassified areas,
states must implement RACT SIP revisions as
expeditiously as practicable, but no later than the
start of the attainment year ozone season associated
with the area’s new attainment deadline, or January
1 of the third year after the associated SIP revision
submittal deadline, whichever is earlier; or the
deadline established by the Administrator in the
final action issuing the area reclassification. 40 CFR
51.1312(a)(3)(ii); see also 83 FR 62989, 63012–
63014.
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submission deadline.270 Moderate ozone
nonattainment areas must also
implement all reasonably available
control measures (including RACT)
needed for expeditious attainment
within three years after the statutory
deadline for states to submit these
measures to the EPA as part of a
Moderate area attainment
demonstration.271 Nonattainment areas
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS that were
reclassified to Moderate nonattainment
in October 2022 face this same
regulatory schedule, meaning that their
sources are required to implement
RACT controls in 2023. With the
exception of the Uinta Basin, which is
not an identified receptor in this action,
no Marginal nonattainment area met the
conditions of CAA section 181(a)(5) to
obtain a one-year extension of the
Moderate area attainment date. 87 FR
60899 (Oct. 7, 2022). Thus, all Marginal
areas (other than Uinta) that failed to
attain have been reclassified to
Moderate. Id. In the October 2022 final
rulemaking EPA made determinations
that certain Marginal areas failed to
attain by the attainment date,
reclassified those areas to Moderate, and
established SIP submission deadlines
and RACM and RACT implementation
deadlines. EPA set the attainment SIP
submission deadlines for the bumped
up Moderate areas to be January 1, 2023.
See 87 FR 60897, 60900. The
implementation deadline for RACM and
RACT is also January 1, 2023. Id.
The EPA notes that the types and
sizes of the EGU and non-EGU sources
that the EPA includes in this rule, as
well as the types of emissions control
270 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(2)(i) (requiring submission
of RACT SIP revisions no later than 24 months after
the effective date of designation).
271 See, e.g., 40 CFR 51.1108(d) (requiring
implementation of all control measures (including
RACT) needed for expeditious attainment no later
than the beginning of the attainment year ozone
season, which, for a Moderate nonattainment area,
occurs less than 3 years after the deadline for
submission of reasonably available control
measures under 40 CFR 51.1112(c) and 51.1108(a))
and 40 CFR 51.1308(d) (requiring implementation
of all control measures (including RACT) needed
for expeditious attainment no later than the
beginning of the attainment year ozone season,
which, for a Moderate nonattainment area, occurs
less than three years after the deadline for
submission of reasonably available control
measures under 40 CFR 51.1312(c) and 51.1308(a)).
Because the attainment demonstration for a
Moderate nonattainment area (including RACT
needed for expeditious attainment) is due three
years after the effective date of the area’s
designation (40 CFR 51.1308(a) and 51.1312(c)), and
all Moderate nonattainment areas must attain the
NAAQS as expeditiously as practicable but no later
than 6 years after the effective date of the area’s
designation (40 CFR 51.1303(a)), the beginning of
the ‘‘attainment year ozone season’’ (as defined in
40 CFR 51.1300(g)) for such an area is less than
three years after the due date for the attainment
demonstration.
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technologies on which the EPA bases
the emissions limitations that would
take effect for the 2026 and 2027 ozone
seasons, generally are consistent with
the scope and stringency of RACT
requirements for existing major sources
of NOX in downwind Moderate
nonattainment areas and some upwind
areas, which many states have already
implemented in their SIPs.272 Thus, the
timing Congress allotted for sources in
downwind states to come into
compliance with RACT requirements
bears directly on the amount of time
that should be allotted here and
indicates, as does CAA section 126, that
three years is an outer limit on the time
that should be given sources to come
into compliance where possible. In light
of the January 1, 2023, deadline for
implementation of RACT in Moderate
nonattainment areas, the EPA finds that
a May 1, 2026 deadline for full
implementation of the emissions control
requirements in this final rule would
generally provide adequate time for any
individual source to install the
necessary controls, barring the
circumstances of necessity discussed
further in this section.
Finally, with respect to emissions
standards for hazardous air pollutants,
section 112(i)(3) of the CAA requires the
EPA to establish compliance dates for
each category or subcategory of existing
sources subject to an emissions standard
that ‘‘provide for compliance as
expeditiously as practicable, but in no
event later than 3 years after the
effective date of such standard,’’ with
limited exceptions. CAA section
112(i)(3)(B) authorizes the EPA to grant
an extension of up to 1 additional year
for an existing source to comply with
emissions standards ‘‘if such additional
period is necessary for the installation
of controls,’’ and sections 112(i)(4)
through (7) provide for limited
compliance extensions where other
conditions are met.273 Here again, where
Congress was concerned with
addressing emissions of pollutants that
impact public health, a 3-year time
period was allotted as the time needed
for existing sources to come into
compliance where possible. As
discussed further in section VI.A.2.b of
this document, the process for obtaining
a compliance extension for industrial
sources in this rule is generally modeled
on 40 CFR 63.6(i)(3), which implements
272 See the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for a
discussion of SIP-approved RACT rules in effect in
downwind states.
273 See, e.g., CAA section 112(i)(4), which
provides for limited compliance extensions granted
by the President based on national security
interests.
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the extension provision for existing
sources under CAA section 112(i)(3)(B).
All of these statutory timeframes for
implementation of new control
requirements on existing stationary
sources indicate that Congress
considered 3 years to be not only a
sufficient amount of time but an upper
bound of time allowable (barring
instances of impossibility) for existing
stationary sources to install or begin the
installation of pollution controls as
necessary for expeditious attainment, to
eliminate prohibited interstate transport
of pollutants, and to protect public
health.
Further, the EPA notes that, given the
number of years that have passed since
EPA’s promulgation of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS and related nonattainment area
designations in 2018, and in light of the
Maryland court’s holding that good
neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS should have been implemented
by the Marginal area attainment date in
2021,274 the implementation of good
neighbor obligations for these NAAQS is
already delayed, and the sources subject
to NOX emissions control in this rule
have continued to operate for several
years without the controls necessary to
eliminate their significant contribution
to ongoing and persistent ozone
nonattainment and maintenance
problems in other states. Under these
circumstances, we find it reasonable to
require compliance with the control
requirements for all non-EGUs and the
EGU reductions related to postcombustion control retrofit identified in
section V.B.1.b of this document
beginning in the 2026 ozone season
(with full implementation by the 2027
ozone season for EGUs, and the
availability of source-specific extensions
based on a demonstration of necessity
for non-EGUs).
As the D.C. Circuit noted in
Wisconsin, the good neighbor provision
requires upwind states to ‘‘eliminate
their substantial contributions to
downwind nonattainment in concert
with the attainment deadlines’’ in the
downwind states, even where those
attainment deadlines occur before EPA’s
statutory deadline under CAA section
110(c) to promulgate a FIP.275
274 958 F.3d at 1203–1204 (remanding the EPA
denial of section 126 petition based on the EPA
analysis of downwind air quality in 2023 rather
than 2021, the year containing the Marginal area
attainment date).
275 938 F.3d at 317–318. For example, the court
observed that the EPA may shorten the deadline for
SIP submissions under CAA section 110(a)(1) and
may issue FIPs soon thereafter under CAA section
110(c)(1), to align the upwind states’ deadline for
satisfying good neighbor obligations with the
downwind states’ deadline for attaining the
NAAQS. Id. at 318.
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a. EGU Schedule for 2026 and Later
Years
As discussed in sections V.B through
V.D of this document, significant
emissions reduction potential exists and
is included in EPA’s quantification of
significant contribution based on the
potential to install post-combustion
controls (SCR and SNCRs) at EGUs.
However, as discussed in detail in those
sections, the assumption for installation
of this technology on a region-wide
scale is 36–48 months in this final rule.
This amount of time allows for all
necessary procurement, permitting, and
installation milestones across multiple
units in the covered region. Therefore,
the EPA finds that these emissions
reductions are not available any earlier
than the 2026 compliance period.
Starting in 2026, state emissions budgets
will reflect full implementation of
assumed SNCR mitigation measures and
implementation of half the emissions
reduction potential identified for
assumed SCR mitigation measures. For
each year in 2027 and beyond, state
emissions budgets include all of the
emissions reductions commensurate
with these post-combustion control
technologies identified for covered units
in Step 3. The EPA notes that similar
compliance schedules and postcombustion control retrofit installations
have been realized successfully in prior
programs allowing similar timeframes.
Subsequent to the NOX SIP Call and the
parallel Finding of Significant
Contribution and Rulemaking on
Section 126 Petitions (which became
effective December 28, 1998, and
February 17, 2000, respectively 278),
nearly 19 GW of SCR retrofit came
online in 2002 and another 42 GW of
SCR retrofit came online for steam
boilers in 2003, illustrating that a
considerable volume of SCR retrofit
capacity is possible within a 36-month
period.
Comment: Some commenters
disagreed with EPA’s proposed 36month timeframe for SCR retrofit. These
commenters noted that, while possible
at the unit or plant level, the collective
volume of assumed SCR installation
would not be possible given the labor
constraints, supply constraints, and
simultaneous outages necessary to
complete SCR retrofit projects on such
a schedule. They noted that many of the
remaining coal units lacking SCR pose
more site-specific installation
challenges than those that were already
retrofitted on a quicker timeframe.
Response: EPA is making several
changes in this final rule to address
these concerns. First, EPA is phasing in
emissions reductions commensurate
with assumed SCR installations
consistent with a 36-to-48-month time
frame in this final rule, instead of a 36month time frame as proposed. EPA is
implementing half of this emissions
reduction potential in 2026 ozoneseason NOX budgets for states
containing these EGUs and the other
half of this emissions reduction
potential in 2027 ozone-season NOX
budgets for those states. This phase-in
approach to implementing SCR retrofit
reduction potential over a three to four
year period is in response to comments,
including those from third-party fullservice engineering firms. These
commenters highlighted that while the
276 Id. at 316 and 319–320 (noting that any such
deviation must be ‘‘rooted in Title I’s framework’’
and ‘‘provide a sufficient level of protection to
downwind States’’).
277 Compliance by the August 3, 2021, Marginal
area attainment date is also impossible as that date
has passed.
278 See 63 FR 57356 (October 27, 1998); 65 FR
2674 (January 18, 2000). The D.C. Circuit stayed the
NOX SIP Call by an order issued May 25, 1999.
After upholding the rule in most respects in
Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663 (D.C. Cir. 2000), the
court lifted the stay by an order issued June 22,
2000.
Referencing the Supreme Court’s
description of the attainment deadlines
as ‘‘the heart’’ of the CAA, the
Wisconsin court noted that some
deviation from the mandate to eliminate
prohibited transport by downwind
attainment deadlines may be allowed
only ‘‘under particular circumstances
and upon a sufficient showing of
necessity.’’ 276
For the reasons provided in the
following sub-sections, the EPA finds
that installation of certain EGU controls
and all non-EGU controls is not possible
by the Moderate area attainment date for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS (i.e., August 3,
2024),277 and, for certain sources, may
not be possible by the 2026 ozone
season or even the August 3, 2027,
Serious area attainment date. While the
EPA’s technical analysis demonstrates
that for any individual source, control
installation could be accomplished by
the start of the 2026 ozone season, in
light of the scope of this rule coupled
with current information on the present
economic capacity of sources, controlinstallation vendors, and associated
markets for labor and material, it is the
EPA’s judgment that a three-year
timeframe is not possible for all sources
subject to this rule collectively to come
into compliance. Therefore, additional
time beyond 2026 will be allowed for
certain facilities in recognition of these
constraints on the processes needed for
installation of controls across all of the
covered sources.
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proposed 36-month time frame is viable
at the plant level, it would be ‘‘very
unlikely’’ that the collective volume of
SCR capacity could be installed in a
three-year time frame based on a variety
of factors. First, the commenters
identified constraints on labor needed to
retrofit 32 GW of capacity, highlighting
that the Bureau of Labor and Statistics
projects that there will be a decline in
boilermaker employment over the
decade and that the Associated Builders
and Contractors (ABC) identifies the
need for 650,000 additional skilled craft
professionals on top of the normal
hiring pace to meet the economy-wide
demand created by infrastructure
investment and other clean energy
projects (e.g., carbon capture and
storage). They highlighted the decline in
companies serving this type of largescale retrofit project as the lack of new
coal units and the retirement of coal
units has curtailed activity in this area
over the past five years. They also
identified supply bottlenecks for key
SCR components that would slow the
ability to implement a large volume of
SCR within 3 years, affecting electrical
conduits, transformers, piping,
structural and plate steel, and wire
(with temporary price increases ranging
from 30 percent to 200 percent). Finally,
commenters note that site-specific
conditions can make retrofits for
individual units a lengthier process than
historical averages (e.g., under prior
rules more accommodating sites
retrofitted first) and that four years may
be necessary for some projects,
accordingly. EPA found the technical
justification submitted in comment
consistent with its prior assessments
that a range of 39–48 months is
appropriate for SCR-retrofit timing
within regional-scale programs.279
Therefore, EPA is adjusting the
timeframe to still incentivize these
reductions by the attainment date while
accommodating the potential for some
SCR retrofits to require between 36–48
months for installation.
Some commenters requested more
than 48 months for SCR installation
based on past projects that took five or
more years. EPA disagrees with these
commenters for two reasons. First,
while EPA is identifying SCR retrofit
potential to define significant
contribution at Step 3, the rule only
requires emissions reductions
commensurate with that technology,
implemented through a trading
program, meaning that operators of
EGUs eligible for SCR retrofit may
pursue a variety of strategies for
reducing emissions. Such compliance
279 86
FR 23102.
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flexibility will accommodate extreme or
unique circumstances in which a
desired SCR retrofit is not achieved by
the 2027 ozone season, although EPA
finds such a circumstance exceedingly
unlikely. Second, the historical
examples that exceeded 48 months do
not necessarily demonstrate that such
projects are impossible to execute in
less than 48 months, but rather that they
can extend beyond that timeframe if no
requirements or incentives are in place
for a faster installation. As the D.C.
Circuit has recognized, historical data
on the amount of time sources have
taken to install pollution controls do not
in themselves establish the minimum
amount of time in which those controls
could be installed if sources are subject
to a legal mandate to do so. See
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 330 (‘‘[A]ll those
anecdotes show is that installation can
drag on when companies are
unconstrained by the ticking clock of
the law.’’).
b. Non-EGU or Industrial Source
Schedule for 2026 and Later Years
The EPA proposed to require that all
emissions reductions associated with
the requirements for non-EGU industrial
sources go into effect by the start of the
2026 ozone season, but also requested
comment on its control-installation
timing estimates for non-EGUs and
requested comment on the possibility of
providing for limited compliance
extensions based on a showing of
necessity. See 87 FR 20104–05.
Comment: The EPA received
numerous comments regarding the
inability of various non-EGU industries
to install controls to comply with the
emissions limits by 2026. Specifically,
commenters raised concerns regarding
the ability to meet these deadlines due
to the ongoing geopolitical instability
triggered by the war in Ukraine, COVID–
19 pandemic-driven disruptions, and
supply chain delays and shortages.
Commenters also claimed that the EPA’s
three-year installation timeframe for
non-EGUs does not account for the time
needed to obtain necessary permits.
Commenters stated that even where
controls are feasible for a source, some
sources would need to shut down due
to their inability to install controls by
2026 and requested that the EPA
provide additional time for sources to
come into compliance. Commenters
from multiple non-EGU industries
stated that the proposed applicability
criteria will require controls to be
installed on thousands of non-EGU
emissions units. Because of the number
of emissions units, commenters raised
concerns with permitting delays and the
unavailability of skilled labor and
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necessary components. Commenters
suggested various timelines for control
installation timing ranging from one
additional year to seven years. Other
commenters asserted that the data
supported the conclusion that all nonEGU sources, or at least some non-EGU
sources, could install controls by 2026
or earlier, and that EPA has a legal
obligation to impose good neighbor
requirements as expeditiously as
practicable by such sources, including
earlier than 2026 if possible.
Response: After reviewing the
information received during the public
comment period and the additional
information presented in the Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report, the
EPA has concluded that the majority of
non-EGUs can install and operate the
required controls by the 2026 ozone
season. For the non-EGU control
requirements on which the EPA has
based its Step 3 findings as described in
section V of this document, the
emissions limits will generally go into
effect starting with the 2026 ozone
season (except where an individual
source qualifies for a limited extension
of time to comply based on a specific
demonstration of necessity, as described
in this section). The EPA finds that
meeting the emissions limitations of this
final rule through installation of
necessary controls by an ozone season
before 2026 is not expected to be
possible for the industrial sources
covered by this final rule.
The EPA recognizes that labor
shortages, supply shortages, or other
circumstances beyond the control of
source owner/operators may, in some
cases, render compliance by 2026
impossible for a particular industrial
source. Therefore, the final rule contains
provisions allowing source owner/
operators to request limited compliance
extensions based on a case-by-case
demonstration of necessity. Under these
provisions, the owner or operator of a
source may initially apply for an
extension of up to one year to comply
with the applicable emissions control
requirements, which if approved by the
EPA, would require compliance no later
than the 2027 ozone season. The EPA
may grant an additional case-based
extension of up to two additional years
for full compliance, where specific
criteria are met.
The EPA initiated a study to examine
the time necessary to install the
potential controls identified in the final
rule’s cost analysis for all of the nonEGU industries subject to the final rule,
including SNCR, low NOX burners,
layered combustion, NSCR, SCR, fluid
gas recirculation, and SNCR/advanced
selective noncatalytic reduction
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(ASNCR). The resulting report, which
we refer to as the ‘‘Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report,’’ identified a
range of estimated installation times
with minimum estimated installation
times ranging from 6–27 months
without any supply chain delays and 6–
40 months with potential supply chain
delays depending on the industry.280
The Non-EGU Control Installation
Timing Report also identified maximum
estimated installation times ranging
from 12–28 months without any supply
chain delays and 12–72 months with
potential supply chain delays
depending on the industry. As indicated
in the Non-EGU Control Installation
Timing Report, the installation of
layered combustion and NSCR control
technology, in particular, could take
between 9 and 72 months depending on
supply chain delays.281 The report also
indicated that permitting processes may
take 6 to 12 months but noted that these
processes typically can proceed
concurrent with other steps of the
installation process.282
We find that the potential time
needed for permitting processes is
generally unlikely to significantly affect
installation timeframes of at least three
years given that a source that has three
or more years to comply is expected, in
most cases, to have adequate time to
apply for and secure the necessary
permits during that time. Permitting
processes may, however, impact shorter
installation times ranging from 12–28
months. Given the 12–28 month
estimate for minimum and maximum
installation times without supply chain
delays and permitting timeframes
typically ranging from 6–12 months, the
EPA finds that the controls for non-EGU
sources needed to comply with this
final rule are generally not expected to
be installed significantly before the 2026
ozone season.
Generally, the Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report indicated
that all non-EGU unit types subject to
the final rule could install controls
within 28 months if there are no supply
chain delays. Thus, the Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report
confirms that for any individual facility,
meeting the emissions limitations of this
final rule through installation of
controls can be completed by the start
of the 2026 ozone season. It is only
when the number of units in the U.S.
potentially affected by the rule is taken
280 See generally SC&A, NO Emission Control
X
Technology Installation Timing for Non-EGU
Sources (March 14, 2023) (‘‘Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report’’).
281 See Non-EGU Control Installation Timing
Report, Executive Summary (March 14, 2023).
282 Id. at Section 5.6.
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into account, coupled with broader
considerations of economic capacity
including current information on
supply-chain delays, that the potential
need for additional time beyond 2026
becomes a possibility. Under ideal
economic conditions (i.e., no supplychain delays or other constraints),
affected units are estimated to be
capable to install both combustion and
post-combustion controls before the
2026 ozone season. Many commenters,
however, provided information on
installation timing estimates based on
current supply chain delays and labor
constraints. These commenters
generally stated that installation of the
necessary controls for some units would
take longer than three years if supply
chain delays similar to those that have
occurred over the past few years
continue. The Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report reflected this
information, together with additional
information gathered from pollution
control vendors, to develop ranges of
estimates of possible installation times
given current (i.e., 2022) labor market
conditions and material supplies. The
Non-EGU Control Installation Timing
Report also discussed how the
installation and optimization of postcombustion controls over a similar
timeframe at both EGUs and non-EGUs
subject to this final rule would,
considered cumulatively, potentially
affect the installation timing needs of
the covered non-EGU sources.
Based on information provided by
commenters and vendors, the Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report
indicated that if current supply chain
delays continue, control installations
could take as long as 61 months for most
non-EGU industries and possibly as
long as 64–112 months in difficult
cases. Notably, however, the
conclusions in the Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report reflect three
key assumptions that could result in the
relatively lengthy timing estimates at
the outer end of this range: (1) the
current state of supply chain delays and
disruptions would continue without any
increase in labor supply, materials, or
reduction in fabrication timing; (2) the
labor and materials markets would not
adjust in response to this rule in the
timeframe needed to meet the increased
demand for control installations; and (3)
the Report was unable to account for
some of the flexibilities built into the
final rule that will allow owners and
operators to install controls on the most
cost-effective units with shorter
installation times.
As presented in the Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report, supply
chain delays and disruptions have
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generally been lessening since they
peaked in 2020 during the COVID–19
pandemic, and many economic
indicators have showed some
improvement towards pre-pandemic
levels, including freight transportation,
inventory to sales ratios, interstate miles
traveled, U.S. goods imports, and
supply chain indices.283 If these
economic indicators continue to
improve and the availability of
fabricators and materials continues to
trend upward, the control timing
estimates identified in the Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report
could prove to be overstated for some
industries and control technologies. In
addition, the Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report did not
account for the labor and supply market
adjustments that would be anticipated
to occur to meet increased demand for
control technologies and related
materials and labor over the next several
years in response to the rule. Cf.
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 330 (‘‘[A]ll those
anecdotes [of elongated control
installation times] show is that
installation can drag on when
companies are unconstrained by the
ticking clock of the law.’’). For example,
some of the longer installation
timeframes identified in the Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report are
based on assumed limits on the current
availability of skilled labor needed to
install combustion controls and post
combustion controls. If the market
adjusts in response to increasing
demand for this type of skilled labor in
the timeframe needed for compliance
(e.g., there is an increase in boilermaker
and engine controls labor), the
installation timing estimates in the NonEGU Control Installation Timing Report
again could be overstated.
The Non-EGU Control Installation
Timing Report also did not account for
flexibilities provided in this final rule
that will enable owners and operators of
certain affected units to identify the
most cost-effective and efficient means
for installing any necessary controls. For
example, one concern highlighted by
commenters was the amount of time
necessary to install controls on engines
that have been in operation for 50 or
more years. The requirements that we
are finalizing for engines in the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry
include an exemption for emergency
engines and provisions allowing source
owner/operators to request the EPA
approval of facility-wide emissions
averaging plans, both of which enable
owners and operators of affected units
to take costs, installation timing needs,
283 Id.
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and other considerations into account in
deciding which engines to control.
In response to industry concern about
the number and size of units captured
by the proposed applicability criteria,
the EPA has made several changes to the
applicability criteria in the final rule to
focus the control requirements on
impactful non-EGU units. As explained
further in section VI.C of this document,
the EPA is establishing exemptions for
low-use boilers and engines where it
would not be cost-effective to require
controls at this time. Finally, as
discussed in section VI.C.3 of this
document, the EPA is not finalizing the
proposed requirements for most
emissions unit types in the Iron and
Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing industry given the EPA
does not currently have a sufficient
technical basis for finalizing those
proposed requirements. These changes
reduce the number of non-EGU units
that will actually need to install controls
and should reduce the strain on the
labor and supply chain and permitting
processes. For example, for engines, the
EPA estimates that the facility-wide
emissions averaging provision would, in
many cases, allow facilities to install
controls on only one-third of their
engines, on average (see section VI.C.1
of this document for further discussion).
Taking all of these considerations into
account, the EPA finds that the outer
range of timing estimates presented in
the Non-EGU Control Installation
Timing Report generally reflects a
conservative set of installation timing
estimates and that the factors described
previously could result in installation
timeframes that fall toward the shorter
end of the ranges of time that factor in
supply-chain delays or could obviate
those supply-chain delay issues
entirely.
Based on all of these considerations,
the EPA has concluded that three years
is generally an adequate amount of time
for the non-EGU sources covered by this
final rule to install the controls in the
20 states that remain linked in 2026.
The EPA also recognizes, however, that
some sources may not be able to install
controls by the 2026 ozone season
despite making good faith efforts to do
so, due to the aforementioned supply
chain delays or other circumstances
entirely beyond the owner or operator’s
control. Therefore, the final FIPs require
compliance with the emissions control
requirements for non-EGUs by the
beginning of the 2026 ozone season,
with limited exceptions based on a
showing of necessity for individual
sources that meet specific criteria.
Where an individual owner or operator
submits a satisfactory demonstration
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that an extension of time to comply is
necessary, due to circumstances entirely
beyond the owner or operator’s control
and despite all good faith efforts to
install the necessary controls by May 1,
2026, the EPA may determine that
installation by 2026 is not possible and
thereby grant an extension of up to one
year for that source to fully implement
the required controls. If, after the EPA
has granted a request for an initial
compliance extension, the source
remains unable to comply by the
extended compliance date due to
circumstances entirely beyond the
owner or operator’s control and despite
all good faith efforts to install the
necessary controls by the extended
compliance date, the owner or operator
may request and the EPA may grant a
second extension of up to two
additional years for full compliance,
where specific criteria are met. This
application process is generally in
accordance with the concept on which
the Agency requested comment in the
proposal, see 87 FR 20104–05, and is
modeled on a similar process provided
for industrial sources subject to CAA
section 112 NESHAPs, found at 40 CFR
63.6(i)(3).
The EPA intends to grant a request for
an initial compliance extension only
where a source demonstrates that it has
taken all steps possible to install the
necessary controls by the applicable
compliance date and still cannot
comply by the 2026 ozone season, due
to circumstances entirely beyond its
control. Any request for a compliance
extension must be received by the EPA
at least 180 days before the May 1, 2026,
compliance date. The request must
include all information obtained from
control technology vendors
demonstrating that the necessary
controls cannot be installed by the
applicable compliance date, any
permit(s) secured for the installation of
controls or information from the
permitting authority on the timeline for
issuance of such permit(s) if the source
has not yet obtained the required
permit(s); and any contracts entered into
by the source for the installation of the
control technology or an explanation as
to why no contract is necessary. The
EPA may also consider documentation
of a source owner’s/operator’s plans to
shut down a source by the 2027 ozone
season in determining whether a source
is eligible for a compliance extension.
The owner or operator of an affected
unit remains subject to the May 1, 2026
compliance date unless and until the
Administrator grants a compliance
extension.
The EPA intends to grant a request for
a second compliance extension beyond
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2027 only where a source owner/
operator submits updated
documentation showing that it is not
possible to install and operate controls
by the 2027 ozone season, despite all
good faith efforts to comply and due to
circumstances entirely beyond its
control. The request must be received by
the EPA at least 180 days before the
extended compliance date and must
include, at minimum, the same types of
information as that required for the
initial extension request. The owner or
operator of an affected unit remains
subject to the initial extended
compliance date unless and until the
Administrator grants a second
compliance extension. A denial will be
effective on the date of denial.
As discussed earlier in section VI.A,
in Wisconsin the court held that some
deviation from the CAA’s mandate to
eliminate prohibited transport by
downwind attainment deadlines may be
allowed only ‘‘under particular
circumstances and upon a sufficient
showing of necessity.’’ 284 This standard
is met when, in the EPA’s judgment,
compliance by the attainment date
amounts to an impossibility. The EPA
cannot allow a covered industrial source
to avoid timely compliance with the
emissions control requirements
established in this final rule unless the
source owner/operator can demonstrate
that compliance by the 2026 ozone
season is not possible due to
circumstances entirely beyond their
control. The criteria that must be met to
qualify for limited extensions of time to
comply are designed to meet this
statutory mandate. The EPA anticipates
that the majority of the industrial
sources covered by this final rule will
not qualify for a compliance extension.
B. Regulatory Requirements for EGUs
To implement the required emissions
reductions from EGUs, the EPA is
revising the existing CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program (the
‘‘Group 3 trading program’’) established
in the Revised CSAPR Update both to
expand the program’s geographic scope
and to enhance the program’s ability to
ensure favorable environmental
outcomes. The EPA is using a trading
program for EGUs because of the
inherently greater flexibility that a
trading program can provide relative to
more prescriptive, ‘‘command-andcontrol’’ forms of regulation of sufficient
stringency to achieve the necessary
emissions reductions. In the electric
284 Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 316 and 319–320
(noting that any such deviation must be ‘‘rooted in
Title I’s framework’’ and ‘‘provide a sufficient level
of protection to downwind States’’).
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power sector, EGUs’ extensive
interconnectedness and coordination
create the ability to shift both electricity
production and emissions among units,
providing a closely related ability to
achieve emissions reductions in part by
shifting electricity production from
higher-emitting units to lower-emitting
or non-emitting units. Thus, while the
Step 3 control-stringency determination
for EGUs to eliminate significant
contribution is based on strategies that
do not require generation shifting or
reduced utilization of EGUs, the sector’s
unusual flexibility with respect to how
emissions reductions can be achieved
makes the flexibility of a trading
program particularly useful as a means
of lowering the overall costs of
obtaining such reductions. In addition,
it is essential for the electric power
sector to retain short-term operational
flexibility sufficient to allow electricity
to be produced at all times in the
quantities needed to meet demand
simultaneously, and the flexibility of a
trading program can be helpful in
supporting this aspect of the industry as
well.
To ensure emissions reductions
necessary to eliminate significant
contribution are maintained, in this
rulemaking, the EPA is making certain
enhancements to the current provisions
of the Group 3 trading program
addressing emissions-control
performance by some kinds of
individual units that will necessarily
reduce the flexibility of the program to
some extent for those units. In analyzing
significant contribution at Step 3, once
a linkage has been established between
an upwind state and a downwind
receptor, we identify an appropriate set
of emissions control strategies,
considering cost and other factors, that
would eliminate significant contribution
from the upwind state without leading
to undercontrol or overcontrol at the
downwind linked receptors. At Step 4,
for EGUs, we develop emissions budgets
based on consistent application of the
identified strategies to the sources. This
level of emission control at each source
identified in Step 3 is what the EPA
deems to eliminate significant
contribution, while the design of
emission budgets that successfully
implement that level of emission control
is determined at Step 4. See section III.B
and V.
The trading program enhancements
discussed in this section are designed to
ensure that sources actually achieve that
level of emission control and thereby
eliminate significant contribution on a
permanent basis at Step 4. The
enhancements ensure that the emissions
budgets for EGUs continue to secure the
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level of emission control identified at
Step 3 at the sources active in the
trading program on a more consistent
basis throughout each ozone season
than prior transport trading programs
(including those that did not provide
complete remedies for interstate
pollution transport) have required. An
alternative form of implementation at
Step 4 would be to implement sourcespecific emissions limitations (e.g., ratebased standards expressed as mass per
unit of heat input) reflecting the control
strategies identified at Step 3. This is a
very common form of implementation
for many other CAA requirements and
is indeed the manner of implementation
selected in this very rulemaking for
other affected industrial sources. See
sections III.B, V.D.4, and VI.C. But doing
so would require loss of the flexibilities
inherent in a trading program, inclusive
of these enhancements, that facilitate
orderly and timely achievement of the
required emission reductions in the
power sector.
Prior to this rule, the Group 3 trading
program has applied to EGUs meeting
the program’s applicability criteria
within the borders of twelve states:
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia. Affected EGUs in these
twelve states will continue to
participate in the Group 3 trading
program as revised in this rulemaking,
with some revised provisions taking
effect in the 2023 control period and
other revised provisions taking effect
later as discussed elsewhere in this
document. The EPA is expanding the
Group 3 trading program’s geographic
scope to include all of the additional
states for which EGU emissions
reduction requirements are being
established in this rulemaking. Affected
EGUs within the borders of seven states
currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
(the ‘‘Group 2 trading program’’)—
Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi,
Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin—will transition from the
Group 2 trading program to the revised
Group 3 trading program at the
beginning of the 2023 control period,285
and affected EGUs within the borders of
the three states not currently covered by
any CSAPR trading program for seasonal
NOX emissions—Minnesota, Nevada,
and Utah—will enter the Group 3
trading program in the 2023 control
period on the effective date of this rule.
285 Affected EGUs in the three other states
currently covered by the Group 2 trading program—
Iowa, Kansas, and Tennessee—will continue to
participate in that program.
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As discussed in section VI.B.12.a of this
document, because the effective date of
the rule will likely be sometime during
the 2023 ozone season, special
transitional provisions have been
developed to allow for efficient
administration of the rule’s EGU
requirements through the Group 3
trading program while not imposing any
new substantive obligations on parties
prior to the rule’s effective date, similar
to the transitional provisions
implemented under the Revised CSAPR
Update.
As is the case for the states already in
the Group 3 trading program, for each
state added to the program, the set of
affected EGUs will include new units as
well as existing units and will also
include units located in Indian country
within the state’s borders. Sections
VI.B.2 and VI.B.3 of this rule provide
additional discussion of the geographic
expansion of the Group 3 trading
program and the units in the expanded
geography that will become subject to
the program under the program’s
existing applicability provisions.
In addition to expanding the Group 3
trading program’s geographic scope, the
EPA is modifying the program’s
regulations prospectively to include
certain enhancements to improve
environmental outcomes. Two of the
proposed enhancements will adjust the
overall quantities of allowances
available for compliance in the trading
program in each control period so as to
maintain the rule’s selected control
stringency and related EGU effective
emissions rate performance level as the
EGU fleet evolves. First, instead of
establishing emissions budgets for all
future years under the program at the
time of the rulemaking, which cannot
reflect future changes in the EGU fleet
unknown at the time of the rulemaking,
the EPA is revising the trading program
regulations to include a dynamic
budgeting procedure. Under this
procedure, the EPA will calculate
emissions budgets for control periods in
2026 and later years based on more
current information about the
composition and utilization of the EGU
fleet, specifically data available from the
2024 ozone season and following (e.g.,
for 2026, data from periods through
2024; for 2027, data from periods
through 2025; etc.). Through the 2029
control period, the dynamically
determined budgets will apply only if
they are higher than preset budgets
established in the rule. (Associated
revisions to the program’s variability
limits and unit-level allowance
allocation procedures will coordinate
these provisions with the revised
budget-setting procedures.) Second,
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starting with the 2024 control period,
the EPA will annually recalibrate the
quantity of accumulated banked
allowances under the program to
prevent the quantity of allowances
carried over from each control period to
the next from exceeding the target bank
level, which would be revised to
represent a preset percentage of the sum
of the state emissions budgets for each
control period. The preset percentage
will be 21 percent for control periods
through 2029 and 10.5 percent for
control periods in 2030 and later years.
Together, these enhancements will
protect the intended stringency of the
trading program against potential
erosion caused by EGU fleet turnover
and will better sustain over time the
incentives created by the trading
program to achieve the degree of
emissions control for EGUs that the EPA
has determined is necessary to address
states’ good neighbor obligations.
Two further enhancements to the
Group 3 trading program establish
provisions designed to promote more
consistent emissions control by
individual EGUs within the context of
the trading program. First, starting with
the 2024 control period for coal-fired
EGUs with existing SCR controls and
the earlier of the 2030 control period or
the control period after which an SCR
is installed for other large coal-fired
EGUs, a daily NOX emissions rate of
0.14 lb/mmBtu will apply as a backstop
to the seasonal emissions budgets
(which are based on an assumed
seasonal average emissions rate of 0.08
lb/mmBtu for EGUs with existing SCR
controls). Each ton of emissions
exceeding a unit’s backstop daily
emissions rate, after the first 50 such
tons, in a given control period will incur
a 3-for-1 allowance surrender ratio
instead of the usual 1-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio. Second, also starting
with the 2024 control period, the
trading program’s existing assurance
provisions, which require extra
allowance surrenders from sources that
are found responsible for contributing to
an exceedance of the relevant state’s
‘‘assurance level’’ (i.e., typically 121
percent of the state’s emissions budget),
will be strengthened by the addition of
another backstop requirement.
Specifically, for any unit equipped with
post-combustion controls that is found
responsible for contributing to an
exceedance of the state’s assurance
level, the revised regulations will
prohibit the unit’s seasonal emissions
from exceeding by more than 50 tons
the emissions that would have resulted
if the unit had achieved a seasonal
average emissions rate equal to the
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higher of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or 125 percent
of the unit’s lowest previous seasonal
average emissions rate under any
CSAPR seasonal NOX trading
program.286
These two enhancements are designed
to ensure that all individual units with
SCR controls have strong incentives to
continuously operate and optimize their
controls, and also to ensure that all
units with post-combustion controls
have strong incentives to optimize their
emissions performance when a state’s
assurance level might otherwise be
exceeded. These enhancements are
generally designed to ensure
consistency with the EPA’s
determination regarding the emissions
control stringency needed from EGUs to
eliminate significant contribution under
the Step 3 multifactor analysis as
discussed in section V of this document.
Further, these enhancements are
designed to provide greater assurance
that emissions controls will be operated
on all days of the ozone season and
therefore necessarily on the days that
turn out to be most critical for
downwind ozone levels. The EPA
expects that promoting more
consistently good emissions
performance by individual EGUs will
better ensure that each state’s significant
contribution is fully eliminated by this
action, see North Carolina, 531 F.3d at
919–21. In addition to addressing the
statutory requirements of eliminating
significant contribution, the EPA
anticipates that these enhancements
will also deliver public health and
environmental benefits to underserved
and overburdened communities.
The revisions to the Group 3 trading
program being finalized in this rule are
very similar to the proposed revisions.
The changes from proposal to the set of
states covered are driven largely by
updates to the air quality modeling
performed for the final rule, as
described in section IV of this
document. The changes from proposal
to the trading program enhancements
are generally being made in response to
comments on the proposal, as discussed
in more detail in the remainder of
section VI.B of this document.
286 The requirement would not apply for control
periods during which the unit operated for less than
10 percent of the hours, and emissions rates
achieved in such previous control periods would be
excluded from the comparison.
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1. Trading Program Background and
Overview of Revisions
a. Current CSAPR Trading Program
Design Elements and Identified
Concerns
The use of allowance trading
programs to achieve required emissions
reductions from the electric power
sector has a long history, rooted in the
Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. In
Title IV of those amendments, Congress
specified the design elements for a 48state allowance trading program to
reduce SO2 emissions and the resulting
acid precipitation. Building on the
success of that first allowance trading
program as a tool for addressing multistate air pollution issues, since 1998
EPA has promulgated and implemented
multiple allowance trading programs for
SO2 or NOX emissions to address the
requirements of the CAA’s good
neighbor provision with respect to
successively more protective NAAQS
for fine particulate matter and ozone.
Most of these trading programs have
applied either exclusively or primarily
to EGUs.
The EPA currently administers six
CSAPR trading programs for EGUs
(promulgated in CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update) that differ in the pollutants,
geographic regions, and time periods
covered and in the levels of stringency,
but that otherwise have been nearly
identical in their core design elements
and their regulatory text.287 The
principal common design elements
currently reflected in all of the programs
are as follows:
• An ‘‘emissions budget’’ is
established for each state for each
control period, representing the EPA’s
quantification of the emissions that
would remain under certain projected
conditions after elimination of the
emissions prohibited by the good
neighbor provision under those
projected conditions. For each control
period of program operation, a quantity
of newly issued ‘‘allowances’’ equal to
the amount of each state’s emissions
budget is allocated among the state’s
sources. (States have options to replace
the EPA’s default allocations or to
institute an auction process.) Total
emissions in a given control period from
all sources in the program are effectively
287 The six current CSAPR trading programs are
the CSAPR NOX Annual Trading Program, CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program,
CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, CSAPR SO2
Group 2 Trading Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program, and CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program. The
regulations for the six programs are set forth at
subparts AAAAA, BBBBB, CCCCC, DDDDD, EEEEE,
and GGGGG, respectively, of 40 CFR part 97.
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capped at a level no higher than the
total quantity of allowances available for
use in the control period, consisting of
the sum of all states’ emissions budgets
for the control period plus any unused
allowances carried over from previous
control periods as ‘‘banked’’ allowances.
• ‘‘Assurance provisions’’ in each
program establish an ‘‘assurance level’’
for each state for each control period,
defined as the sum of the state’s
emissions budget plus a specified
‘‘variability limit.’’ The purpose of the
assurance provisions is to limit the total
emissions from each state’s sources in
each control period to an amount close
to the state’s emissions budget for the
control period, consistent with the good
neighbor provision’s mandate that
required emissions reductions must be
achieved within the state, while
allowing some flexibility beyond the
emissions budget to accommodate yearto-year operational variability. In the
event a state’s assurance level is
exceeded, responsibility for the
exceedance is apportioned among the
state’s sources through a procedure that
accounts for the sources’ shares of the
state’s total emissions for the control
period as well as the sources’ shares of
the state’s assurance level for the control
period.
• At the program’s compliance
deadlines after each control period,
sources are required to hold for
surrender specified quantities of
allowances. The minimum quantities of
allowances that must be surrendered are
based on the sources’ reported
emissions for the control period at a 1for-1 ratio of allowances to tons of
emissions (or 2-for-1 in instances of late
compliance). In addition, two more
allowances must be surrendered for
each ton of emissions exceeding a state’s
assurance level for a control period,
yielding an overall 3-for-1 surrender
ratio for those emissions (or 4-for-1 in
instances of late compliance). Failure to
timely surrender all required allowances
is potentially subject to penalties under
the CAA’s enforcement provisions.
• To continuously incentivize sources
to reduce their emissions even when
they already hold sufficient allowances
to cover their expected emissions for a
control period, and to promote
compliance cost minimization,
operational flexibility, and allowance
market liquidity, the programs allow
trading of allowances—both among
sources in the program and with nonsource entities—and also let allowances
that are unused in one control period be
carried over for use in future control
periods as banked allowances. Although
the CSAPR programs do not limit
trading of allowances, and prior to this
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rule have not limited banking of
allowances within a given trading
program, the 3-for-1 surrender ratio
imposed by the assurance provisions on
any emissions exceeding a state’s
assurance level disincentivizes sources
from relying on either in-state banked
allowances or net out-of-state purchased
allowances to emit over the assurance
level.288
• Finally, other common design
elements ensure program integrity,
source accountability, and
administrative transparency. Most
notably, each unit must monitor and
report emissions and operational data in
accordance with the provisions of 40
CFR part 75; all allowance allocations or
auction results, transfers, and
deductions must be properly recorded
in the EPA’s Allowance Management
System; each source must have a
designated representative who is
authorized to represent all of the
source’s owners and operators and is
responsible for certifying the accuracy
of the source’s reports to the EPA and
overseeing the source’s Allowance
Management System account; and
comprehensive data on emissions and
allowances are made publicly available.
The EPA continues to believe that the
historical CSAPR trading program
structure established by the common
design elements just described has
important positive attributes,
particularly with respect to the
exceptional degree of compliance
flexibility it can provide to a sector such
as the electric power sector where such
flexibility is especially useful and
valuable. However, the EPA also shares
many stakeholders’ concerns about
whether the historical structure, without
enhancements, is capable of adequately
addressing states’ good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015
ozone NAAQS in light of the rapidly
evolving EGU fleet and the
protectiveness and short-term form of
the ozone standard. One set of concerns
relates to the historically observed
tendency under the trading programs for
the supply of allowances to grow over
time while the demand for allowances
falls, reducing allowance prices and
eroding the consequent incentives for
sources to effectively control their
emissions. A second, overlapping set of
concerns relates to the general absence
of source- or unit-specific emissions
reduction requirements, allowing some
288 As discussed in section VI.B.6 of this
document, while allowance banking has not
previously been limited under any of the CSAPR
trading programs, limits on the use of banked
allowances were included in the earlier NOX
Budget Trading Program in the form of ‘‘flow
control’’ provisions.
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individual sources to idle or run less
optimally existing emissions controls
even when a linkage between the
sources’ state and a receptor persists.
For example, certain units in Ohio and
Pennsylvania have been found to have
operated their controls below target
emissions performance levels used for
budget setting under the CSAPR Update
in the 2019–2021 period, even though
the Revised CSAPR Update found that
these states remained linked through at
least 2021 to receptors for the 2008
ozone NAAQS, and the CSAPR Update
itself was only a partial remedy. See 86
FR 23071, 23083. While this unit-level
behavior may have been permissible
under the prior program, emissions from
these individual sources can contribute
to increased pollution concentrations
downwind on the particular days that
matter for downwind exceedances of the
relevant air quality standard. This
indicates that the prior program design
was not effectively ensuring the
elimination of significant
contribution.289
The EPA has analyzed hourly
emissions data reported in prior capand-trade programs and identified
instances of sources that did not operate
SCR controls for substantial portions of
recent ozone seasons. In an effort to
ensure emissions control on critically
important highest ozone days, guard
against non-operation of emissions
controls under a more protective
NAAQS, and provide assurance of
elimination of significant contribution
to downwind areas, while also
maintaining appropriate compliance
and operational flexibility for EGUs, the
EPA in this rule is implementing a suite
of enhancements to the trading program.
These will help to ensure reductions
occur on the highest ozone days
commensurate with our Step 3
determinations, in addition to
maintaining a mass-based seasonal
requirement. To meet the statutory
mandate to eliminate significant
contribution and interference with
289 We also observe that these sources’ emissions
have the potential to impact downwind
overburdened communities. See Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, Section E. The EPA
conducted a screening-level analysis to determine
whether there may be impacts on overburdened
communities resulting from those EGUs receiving
backstop emissions rates under this rule. This
analysis identified a greater potential for these
sources to affect areas of potential concern than the
national coal-fired EGU fleet on average. However,
this analysis is distinct from the more
comprehensive exposure analysis conducted as
discussed in section VII of this document and the
RIA. In addition, we note that our conclusions
regarding the EGU trading program enhancements
in this final rule are wholly supportable and
justified under the good neighbor provision, even
in the absence of any potential benefits to
overburdened communities.
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maintenance on the critically important
days, this combination of provisions
will strongly incentivize sources to plan
to run controls all season, including on
the highest ozone days, while giving
reasonable flexibility for occasional
operational needs.290
In this rulemaking, the EPA is
revising the Group 3 trading program to
include enhancements designed to
address both sets of concerns described
previously. The principles guiding the
various revisions and the relationships
of the revisions to one another are
discussed in sections VI.B.1.b and
VI.B.1.c of this document. The
individual revisions are discussed in
more detail in sections VI.B.4 through
VI.B.9 of this document.
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b. Enhancements To Maintain Selected
Control Stringency Over Time
The first set of concerns noted about
the current CSAPR trading program
structure relates to the programs’ ability
to maintain the rule’s selected control
stringency and related EGU effective
emissions performance level as the EGU
fleet evolves over time. Under the
historical structure of the CSAPR
trading programs, the effectiveness of
the programs at maintaining the rule’s
selected control stringency depends
entirely on how allowance prices over
time compare to the costs of sources’
various emissions reduction
opportunities, which in turn depends
on the relationship between the supply
for allowances and the demand for
allowances. In considering possible
ways to address concerns about the
ability to enhance the historical trading
program structure to better sustain
incentives to control emissions over
time, the EPA has focused on the
trading program design elements that
determine the supply of allowances,
specifically the approach for setting
state emissions budgets and the rules
concerning the carryover of unused
allowances for use in future control
periods as banked allowances.
i. Revised Emissions Budget-Setting
Process
In each of the previous rulemakings
establishing CSAPR trading programs,
the EPA has evaluated the emissions
that could be eliminated through
implementation of certain types of
emissions control strategies available at
various cost thresholds to achieve
290 Deferral of the backstop daily emissions rate
for certain EGUs, for reasons discussed in section
VI.B.7 of this document, does not alter this finding
that this trading program enhancement is an
important part of the solution to eliminating
significant contribution from EGUs under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
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certain rates of emissions per unit of
heat input (i.e., the amount of fuel
consumed) and the effects of the
resulting emissions reductions on
downwind air quality. After
determining the emissions control
strategies and associated emissions
reductions that should be required
under the good neighbor provision by
considering these factors in a
multifactor test at Step 3, the EPA has
then for purposes of Step 4
implementation program design
projected the amounts of emissions that
would remain after the assumed
implementation of the selected
emissions control strategies at various
points in the future and has established
the projected remaining amounts of
emissions as the state emissions budgets
in trading programs.
Projecting the amounts of emissions
remaining after implementation of
selected emissions controls necessarily
requires projections not only for
sources’ future emissions rates but also
for other factors that influence total
emissions, notably the composition of
the future EGU fleet (i.e., the capacity
amounts of different types of sources
with different emissions rates) and their
future utilization levels (i.e., their heat
input). To the extent conditions unfold
in practice that differ from the
projections made at the time of a
rulemaking for these other factors, over
time the emissions budgets may not
reflect the intended stringency of the
emissions control strategies identified in
the rulemaking as consistent with
addressing states’ good neighbor
obligations. Further, projecting EGU
fleet composition and utilization
beyond the relatively near-term analytic
years of 2023 and 2026 given particular
attention in this rulemaking has become
increasingly challenging in light of the
anticipated continued evolution of the
electric power sector toward more
efficient and cleaner sources of
generation, including as driven by
incentives provided by the
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act
as well as the Inflation Reduction Act.
A consequence of using a trading
program approach with preset emissions
budgets that do not keep pace with the
trends in EGU fleet composition and
heat input is that the preset emissions
budgets maintain the supply of
allowances at levels that increasingly
exceed the emissions that would occur
even without implementation of the
emissions control strategies used as the
basis for determining the emissions
budgets, causing decreases in allowance
prices and hence the incentives to
implement the control strategies. As an
example, although the emissions
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budgets in the CSAPR Update
established in 2016 reflected
implementation of the emissions control
strategy of operating and optimizing
existing SCR controls, within four years
the EPA found that EGU retirements and
changes in utilization not anticipated in
EPA’s previous budget-setting
computations had made it economically
attractive for at least some sources to
idle or reduce the effectiveness of their
existing controls (relying on purchased
allowances instead).291 While the EPA
has provided analysis indicating that,
on average, sources operate their
controls more effectively on high
electric demand days, it has also
identified cases where units fail to
optimize their controls on these days.
Downwind states have suggested this
type of reduced pollution control
performance has occurred on the day
and preceding day of an ozone
exceedance.292 293 While the EPA had
previously provided analysis focusing
on the year of initial program
implementation, when allowance prices
were high (i.e., 2017 for the CSAPR
Update), to demonstrate that on average,
sources operate their controls more
effectively on high electric demand
days, even in that case it had identified
situations where particular units failed
to optimize their controls on these days.
In later years, when allowance prices
had fallen, more sources, including
some identified by commenters, had
idled or reduced the effectiveness of
their controls. Such an outcome
undermined the ongoing achievement of
emissions rate performance consistent
with the control strategies identified in
the CSAPR Update to eliminate
significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance, despite the fact that the
mass-based budgets were being met.
In the Revised CSAPR Update, the
EPA took steps to better address the
rapid evolution of the EGU fleet,
specifically by setting updated
emissions budgets for individual future
291 The price of allowances in CSAPR Update
states started at levels near $800 per ton in 2017 but
declined to less than $100 per ton by 2019 and were
less than $70 per ton in July 2020 (data from S&P
Global Market Intelligence).
292 86 FR 23117.
293 See EPA–HQ–OAR–2020–0272–0094 (‘‘[This]
is demonstrated through examination of Maryland’s
ozone design value days for June 26th–28th, 2019.
On those days, Maryland recorded 8-hour ozone
levels of 75, 85 and 83 ppb at the Edgewood
monitor. Maryland Department of the Environment
evaluated the daily NOX emission rate for units in
Pennsylvania that were found to influence the
design values on the 3 exceedance days (and 1 day
prior to the exceedance) against the past-best ozone
season 30-day rolling average optimized NOX rate
(which tends to be higher than the absolute lowest
seasonal average rate).’’).
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years though 2024 that reflect future
EGU fleet changes known with
reasonable certainty at the time of the
rulemaking. Some commenters in that
rulemaking requested that the EPA also
update the year-by-year emissions
budgets to reflect future fleet changes
that might become known after the time
of the rulemaking, but the EPA declined
to do so, in part because no
methodology for making future
emissions budget adjustments in
response to post-rulemaking data had
been included in the proposal for the
rulemaking.
Based on information available as of
December 2022, it appears that the
emissions budgets set for the first two
control periods covered by the Revised
CSAPR Update generally succeeded at
creating incentives to operate emissions
controls under the Group 3 trading
program for those control periods.
However, the EPA recognizes that the
lack of emissions budget adjustments
after 2024 in conjunction with industry
trends toward more efficient and cleaner
resources will likely lead to a surplus of
allowances after the adjustments end.
This prospect for the existing Group 3
trading program should be avoided by
the changes being made in this
rulemaking. In this rulemaking, besides
establishing new preset emissions
budgets for the 2023 through 2029
control periods, the EPA is also
extending the Group 3 trading program
budget-setting methodology used in the
Revised CSAPR Update to routinely
calculate dynamic emissions budgets for
each future control period from 2026 on,
to be published in the year before that
control period, with each dynamic
emissions budget generally reflecting
the latest available information on the
composition and utilization of the EGU
fleet at the time that dynamic emissions
budget is determined. For the control
periods in 2026 through 2029, each
state’s final emissions budget will be the
preset budget determined for the state in
this rulemaking except in instances
when the dynamic budget determined
for the state (and published
approximately one year before the
control period using the dynamic
budget-setting methodology) is higher.
For control periods in 2030 and
thereafter, the emissions budgets will be
the amounts determined for each state
in the year before the control period
using the dynamic budget-setting
methodology.
The current budget-setting
methodology established in the Revised
CSAPR Update and the revisions being
made to that methodology are discussed
in detail in section VI.B.4 of this
document and the Ozone Transport
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Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. To
summarize here, the methodology used
to determine the preset budgets largely
follows the Revised CSAPR Update’s
emissions budget-setting methodology,
which included three primary steps: (1)
establishment of a baseline inventory of
EGUs adjusted for known retirements
and new units, with heat input and
emissions rate data for each EGU in the
inventory based on recent historical
data; (2) adjustment of the baseline data
to reflect assumed emissions rate
changes resulting from known new
controls, known gas conversions, and
implementation of the emissions control
strategies used to determine states’ good
neighbor obligations; and (3) application
of an increment or decrement to reflect
the effect on emissions from projected
generation shifting among the units in a
state at the emissions reduction cost
associated with the selected emissions
control strategies. In this rulemaking,
the EPA has determined the preset state
emissions budgets for the control
periods from 2023 through 2029 by
using the Revised CSAPR Update’s
budget-setting methodology, except that
the step of that methodology intended to
reflect the effects of generation shifting
has been eliminated.
The dynamic budget-setting
methodology used to determine
dynamic state emissions budgets in the
year before each control period starting
with the 2026 control period is set forth
in the revised Group 3 trading program
regulations at 40 CFR 97.1010(a). This
methodology modifies the Revised
CSAPR Update’s budget-setting
methodology in two ways. First, the
baseline EGU inventory and heat input
data, but not the emissions rate data,
will be updated for each control period
using the most recent available reported
data in combination with reported data
from the four immediately preceding
years. For example, in early 2025, using
the final data reported for 2020 through
2024, the EPA will update the baseline
inventory and heat input data used to
determine dynamic state emissions
budgets for the 2026 control period.294
Second, the EPA will not apply an
increment or decrement to any state
emissions budget for projected
294 As discussed in section VI.B.4 of this
document, the state-level data used to determine
the overall state-level heat input for computing a
state’s dynamic budget will be a three-year average
(e.g., 2022–2024 state-level data will be used in
2025 to set the 2026 dynamic budgets). The unitlevel data used to determine individual units’
shares of the state-level heat input in the
computations will be the average of the three
highest non-zero heat input amounts for the
respective units over the most recent five years (e.g.,
2020–2024 unit-level data will be used in 2025 to
set the 2026 dynamic budgets).
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36765
generation shifting associated with
implementation of the selected control
strategies, because any such shifting
should already be reflected in the
reported heat input data used to update
the baseline.
The EPA believes that the revisions to
the emissions budget-setting process
will substantially improve the ability of
the emissions budgets to keep pace with
changes in the composition and
utilization of the EGU fleet. The
dynamic budget-setting methodology
will account for the electric power
sector’s overall trends toward more
efficient and cleaner resources, both of
which tend to decrease total heat input
at affected EGUs, and through 2029 the
preset budgets established in the rule
will also account for these factors to the
extent known. The dynamic budgetsetting methodology will also account
for other factors that could lead to
increased heat input in some states,
such as generation shifting from other
states or increases in electricity demand
caused by rising electrification. The
dynamic budget-setting procedure is
specified in this final rule’s trading
program regulations and the
computations, which are
straightforward, can be performed in a
spreadsheet to deliver reliable results.
The EPA will provide public notice of
the preliminary calculations and the
data used by March 1 of the year
preceding the control period and will
provide an opportunity for submission
of any objections to the data and
preliminary calculations before
finalizing the dynamic budgets for each
control period by May 1 of the year
before the control period to which those
dynamic budgets apply. Thus, for
example, sources and other stakeholders
will have certainty by May 1, 2025, of
the dynamic emissions budgets that will
be calculated for the 2026 control period
that starts May 1, 2026. Moreover, as of
the issuance of this final rule,
stakeholders will know the state-level
preset emissions budgets for the 2026–
2029 control periods, which serve as
floors that will only be supplanted by
dynamic budgets calculated for those
control periods if such a dynamic
budget yields a higher amount of tons
than the corresponding preset budget
established in this action.
It bears emphasis that the annually
updated information used in the
dynamic budget-setting computations
will concern only the composition and
utilization of the EGU fleet and not the
emissions rate data also used in those
computations. The dynamically
determined emissions budget
computations for all years will reflect
only the specific emissions control
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strategies used to determine states’ good
neighbor obligations as determined in
this rulemaking, along with fixed
historical emissions rates for units that
are not assumed to implement
additional control strategies, thereby
ensuring that the annual updates will
eliminate emissions as determined to be
required under the good neighbor
provision. The stringency of the
emissions budgets will simply reflect
the stringency of the emissions control
strategies determined in the Step 3
multifactor analysis and will do so more
consistently over time than the EPA’s
previous approach of computing
emissions budgets for all future control
periods at the time of the rulemaking.
The rule’s revisions relating to state
emissions budgets and the budgetsetting process generally follow the
proposal except for two changes we are
making in response to comments,
specifically: we will use historical data
from multiple years rather than a single
year in the dynamic budget-setting
process, and we are establishing preset
emissions budgets for the 2026–2029
control periods such that the dynamic
budgets for those control periods will
only be imposed where they exceed the
corresponding preset budgets finalized
in this rule. The rationale for these
changes is discussed later in this section
as part of the responses to the relevant
comments. Details of the final budgetsetting methodology and responses to
additional comments are discussed
further in section VI.B.4 of this
document.
The final rule’s provisions relating to
the determination of state-level
variability limits and assurance levels
and unit-level allowance allocations are
coordinated with the budget-setting
methodology. These provisions
generally follow the proposal except
that the change to the methodology for
determining variability limits is
implemented starting with the 2023
control period instead of the 2025
control period and the final
methodology for determining unit-level
allocations of allowances to coal-fired
units considers the controlled emissions
rate assumptions applicable to the same
units in the budget-setting process.
Details of these provisions, including
the rationales for the changes from
proposal, are discussed in sections
VI.B.5 and VI.B.9, respectively.
ii. Allowance Bank Recalibration
Besides the levels of the emissions
budgets, the second design element of
the trading program structure that
affects the supply of allowances in each
control period, and that consequently
also affects the ability of a trading
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program to maintain the rule’s selected
control stringency as the EGU fleet
evolves over time, is the set of rules
concerning the carryover of unused
allowances for use in future control
periods as banked allowances. As noted
previously, trading and banking of
allowances in the CSAPR trading
programs can serve a variety of
purposes: continuously incentivizing
sources to reduce their emissions even
when they already hold sufficient
allowances to cover their expected
emissions for a control period,
facilitating compliance cost
minimization, accommodating
necessary operational flexibility, and
promoting allowance market liquidity.
All of these purposes are advanced by
rules that allow sources to trade
allowances freely (both with other
sources and with non-source entities
such as brokers). All of these purposes
are also advanced by rules that allow
unused allowances to be carried over for
possible use in future control periods,
thereby preserving a value for the
unused allowances. However, while the
EPA considers it generally advantageous
to place as few restrictions on the
trading of allowances as possible,295
unrestricted banking of allowances has
a potentially significant disadvantage
offsetting its advantages, namely that it
allows what might otherwise be
temporary surpluses of allowances in
some individual control periods to
accumulate into a long-term allowance
surplus that reduces allowance prices
and weakens the trading program’s
incentives to control emissions. With
weakened incentives, some operators
would be more likely to choose not to
continuously operate and optimize their
emissions controls, imperiling the
ongoing achievement of emissions rate
performance consistent with the control
295 The advantages of trading programs discussed
earlier in this section—providing continuous
emissions reduction incentives, facilitating
compliance cost minimization, and supporting
operational flexibility—depend on the existence of
a marketplace for purchasing and selling
allowances. Broader marketplaces generally provide
greater market liquidity and therefore make trading
programs better at providing these advantages. The
EPA recognizes that unrestricted use of net
purchased allowances—meaning quantities of
purchased allowances that exceed the quantities of
allowances sold—by a source or group of sources
as an alternative to making emissions reductions
can interfere with the achievement of the desired
environmental outcome. Therefore, section VI.B.1.c
of this document discusses the enhancements to the
Group 3 trading program that the EPA is making in
this rulemaking to reduce reliance on net purchased
allowances by incentivizing or requiring better
environmental performance at individual EGUs.
However, the concern arises from the use of an
excessive quantity of net purchased allowances for
a particular purpose, not from the existence of a
marketplace where allowances may be freely
bought and sold.
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strategies defined as eliminating
significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance.
As discussed in detail in section
VI.B.6 of this rule, the EPA is revising
the Group 3 trading program by adding
provisions that establish a routine
recalibration process for banked
allowances that will be carried out in
August 2024 and each subsequent
August, after the compliance deadline
for the control period in the previous
year. In each recalibration, the EPA will
reset the total quantity of banked
allowances for the Group 3 trading
program (‘‘Group 3 allowances’’) held in
all Allowance Management System
accounts to a level computed as a target
percentage of the sum of the state
emissions budgets for the current
control period. The target percentage
will be 21 percent for the 2024–2029
control periods and 10.5 percent for
control periods in 2030 and later years.
The recalibration procedure entails
identifying the ratio of the target bank
amount to the total quantity of banked
allowances held in all accounts before
the recalibration and then, if the ratio is
less than 1.0, multiplying the quantity
of banked allowances held in each
account by the ratio to identify the
appropriate recalibrated amount for the
account (rounded to the nearest
allowance), and deducting any
allowances in the account exceeding the
recalibrated amount.
As noted previously, recalibration of
the bank for each control period will be
carried out in August of that control
period. This timing will accommodate
the process of deducting allowances for
compliance for the previous control
period, which cannot be completed
before sources’ June 1 compliance
deadline for the previous control period,
and will then provide approximately
two additional months for sources to
engage in any desired allowance
transactions before recalibration occurs.
However, data that can be used to
estimate the bank recalibration ratio for
each control period will be available
shortly after the end of the previous
control period, and the EPA will use
these data to make information on the
estimated bank recalibration ratio for
each control period publicly available
no later than March 1 of the year of that
control period, thereby facilitating the
ability of affected EGUs to anticipate
their ultimate holdings of recalibrated
banked allowances to inform their
compliance planning for that control
season. Affected EGUs will also have
several months following the completed
bank recalibration in August to transact
allowances with other parties as needed
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before the allowance transfer deadline
of June 1 of the following year.
The EPA believes this revision to the
Group 3 trading program’s banking
provisions establishing an annual bank
recalibration process will complement
the revisions to the budget-setting
process by preventing any surplus of
allowances created in one control
period from diminishing the intended
stringency and resulting emissions
reductions of the emissions budgets for
subsequent control periods.
The calibration procedure will not
erase the value of unused allowances for
the holder, because the larger the
quantity of banked allowances that is
held in a given account before each
recalibration, the larger the quantity of
banked allowances that will be left in
the account after the recalibration for
possible sale or use in meeting future
compliance requirements. Because the
banked allowances will always have
value, the opportunity to bank
allowances will continue to advance the
purposes served by otherwise
unrestricted banking as described
previously. Opportunities to bank
unused allowances can serve all these
same purposes whether a banked
allowance is of partial value (if the bank
needs recalibrating to its target level) or
is of full value compared to a newly
issued allowance for the next control
period.
The final rule’s provisions relating to
bank recalibration generally follow the
proposal except that, in response to
comments, the target percentage used to
determine the recalibrated bank levels
for the 2024–2029 control periods is
being set at 21 percent instead of 10.5
percent. The rationale for this change is
discussed later in this section as part of
the responses to the relevant comments.
Details of the bank recalibration
provisions are discussed further in
section VI.B.6 of this rule.
c. Enhancements To Improve Emissions
Performance at Individual Units
The second set of concerns about the
structure of the current CSAPR trading
programs relates to the general absence
of source- or unit-specific emissions
reduction requirements. Without such
requirements, the programs affect
individual sources’ emissions
performance only to the extent that the
incentives created by allowance prices
are high enough relative to the costs of
the sources’ various emissions control
opportunities. In circumstances where
the incentives to control emissions are
insufficient, some individual sources
even idle existing emissions controls.
Emissions from these individual sources
can contribute to increased pollution
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concentrations downwind on the
particular days that matter for
downwind exceedances of the relevant
air quality standard.
This EPA intends that the trading
program enhancements described in
section VI.B.1.b of this rule will
improve the Group 3 trading program’s
ability to sustain emissions control
incentives over time such that needed
emissions performance will be achieved
by all participating units without the
need for additional requirements to be
imposed at the level of individual units.
However, because obtaining needed
emissions performance at individual
units is also important to the
elimination of significant contribution
in keeping with the EPA’s Step 3
determinations, the EPA is
supplementing the previously discussed
enhancements with two other new sets
of provisions that will apply to certain
individual units within the larger
context of the Group 3 trading program.
The allowance price will continue to be
the most important driver of good
environmental performance for most
units, but the proposed unit-level
requirements will be important
supplemental drivers of performance
and will offer additional assurance that
significant contribution is eliminated on
a daily basis during the ozone season by
more continuous operation of existing
pollution controls.
i. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily
Emissions Rates
The first of the trading program
enhancements intended to improve
emissions performance at the level of
individual units is the addition of
backstop daily NOX emissions rate
provisions that will apply to large coalfired EGUs, defined for this purpose as
units serving electricity generators with
nameplate capacities equal to or greater
than 100 MW and combusting any coal
during the control period in question.
Starting with the 2024 control period, a
3-for-1 allowance surrender ratio
(instead of the usual 1-for-1 surrender
ratio) will apply to emissions during the
ozone season from any large coal-fired
EGU with existing SCR controls
exceeding by more than 50 tons a daily
average NOX emissions rate of 0.14 lb/
mmBtu. The additional allowance
surrender requirement will be integrated
into the trading program as a new
component in the calculation of each
unit’s primary emissions limitation,
such that the additional allowances will
have to be surrendered by the same
compliance deadline of June 1 after each
control period. The amount of
additional allowances to be surrendered
will be determined by computing, for
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each day of the control period, any
excess of the unit’s reported emissions
(in pounds) over the emissions that
would have resulted from combusting
that day’s actual heat input at an
average daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/
mmBtu, summing the daily amounts,
converting from pounds to tons,
computing the amount of any excess
over 50 tons, and multiplying by two.
Starting with the second control period
in which newly installed SCR controls
are operational, but not later than the
2030 control period, the 3-for-1
surrender ratio will apply in the same
way to all large coal-fired EGUs except
circulating fluidized bed units,
consistent with EPA’s determination
that a control stringency reflecting
installation and operation of SCR
controls on all such large coal-fired
EGUs is appropriate to address states’
good neighbor obligations with respect
to the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
In prior rules addressing interstate
transport of air pollution, stakeholders
have noted that while seasonal cap-andtrade programs are effective at lowering
ozone and ozone-forming precursors
across the ozone season, attainment of
the standard is measured on key days
and therefore it is necessary to ensure
that the rule requires emissions
reductions not just seasonally, but also
on those key days.296 They have noted
that while the trading programs
established under the NOX SIP Call,
CAIR, and CSAPR have all been
successful in ensuring seasonal
reductions, states must remain below
daily peak levels, not just seasonal
levels, to reach attainment. These
downwind stakeholder communities
have suggested that operating pollution
controls on the highest ozone days (and
immediately preceding days) during the
ozone season is of critical importance.
The EPA has analyzed hourly emissions
data reported in prior cap-and-trade
programs and has identified instances of
sources that did not operate SCR
controls for substantial portions of
recent ozone seasons. These instances
are discussed in section V.B.1.a of this
document and in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD in
the docket. While the EPA has in prior
ozone transport actions not found
sufficient evidence of emissions control
idling or non-optimization to take the
step of building in enhancements to the
trading program to ensure unit-level
control operation, our review of
subsequent-year data for prior programs
suggests that the non-optimization
296 E.g., comments of Maryland Department of the
Environment on the proposed Revised CSAPR
Update at 3, EPA–HQ–OAR–2020–0272–0094.
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behavior increases in the latter years of
a program. Applied to this context (e.g.,
a rule providing a full remedy to
interstate transport for the more
protective 2015 ozone NAAQS and an
extended period of expected persistence
of receptors), this data suggests this
deterioration in performance could
become prevalent and problematic in
future years if not addressed. Rather
than allow for the potential of continued
deterioration in the environmental
performance of our trading programs,
the EPA finds the evidence of declining
SCR performance in later years of
trading programs sufficient to justify
prophylactic measures in this rule to
ensure the emissions control strategy
selected at Step 3 is indeed
implemented at Step 4. Thus,
particularly in the context of the more
protective 2015 ozone NAAQS
combined with the full remedy nature of
this action and the extended timeframe
for which upwind contribution to
downwind nonattainment is projected
to persist, the EPA agrees with these
stakeholders that the set of measures
promulgated in this rulemaking to
implement the control stringency levels
found necessary to address states’ good
neighbor obligations should include
measures designed to more effectively
ensure that individual units operate
their emissions controls routinely
throughout the ozone season, thereby
also ensuring that the controls are
planned to be in operation on the
particular days that turn out to be most
critical for ozone formation and for
attainment of the NAAQS. Routine
operation of emissions controls will also
provide relief to overburdened
communities downwind of any units
that might otherwise have chosen not to
operate their controls. In the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD, the EPA conducted a screening
analysis that found nearly all of the
EGUs included in this analysis are
located within a 24-hour transport
distance of many areas with potential EJ
concerns. Thus, the EPA is adopting
backstop daily rate limits at the
individual unit level because it is
appropriate and justified in the context
of eliminating significant contribution
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
While the former justification is
sufficient to finalize this enhancement
to the trading program, we also
anticipate that this measure will deliver
public health and environmental
benefits to overburdened communities
(as well as the rest of the population).297
297 Nonetheless, the environmental justice
exposure analysis indicates that preexisting
disparities among demographic groups are likely to
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We considered whether, as some
commenters suggested, it would be
appropriate to simply implement unitspecific daily emissions limitation at all
of the large, coal-fired EGUs, and forego
an emissions trading approach
altogether. While this is within the
EPA’s statutory authority, see CAA
section 110(a)(2)(A) and 302(y), and
merits careful consideration, we are
declining to do so in this action but
intend to closely monitor EGU
emissions performance in response to
the trading program finalized here. The
purpose of establishing a backstop daily
NOX emissions rate and implementing it
through additional allowance surrender
requirements instead of as an
enforceable emissions limitation is to
incentivize improved emissions
performance at the individual unit level
while continuing to preserve, to the
extent possible, the advantages that the
flexibility of a trading program brings to
the electric power sector. As discussed
in section VI.B.7 of this document,
under the EPA’s historical trading
programs without the enhancements
made in this rulemaking, some
individual coal-fired units with SCR
controls have chosen to operate the
controls at lower removal efficiencies
than in past ozone seasons or even to
idle the controls for entire ozone
seasons. In addition, some SCRequipped units have chosen to routinely
cycle their emissions controls off at
lower load levels, such as while
operating overnight, instead of operating
the controls, upgrading the units to
enable the controls to be operated under
those conditions, or not operating the
units under those conditions.
Collectively, this non-optimization of
existing controls has a detrimental
impact on problematic receptors. Table
V.D.1–1 shows the expected air quality
benefit from control optimization
(totaling nearly 1.6 ppb change across
all receptors).298
The EPA has identified sources of
interstate ozone pollution such as the
New Madrid and Conemaugh plants (in
Missouri and Pennsylvania,
respectively) whose SCR controls were
not operating for substantial portions of
recent ozone seasons. The data included
in Appendix G of the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD,
available in the docket for this
rulemaking, demonstrate that these
units have operated their SCRs better
and more consistently during years with
persist even under this final rule. See section VII
of this document.
298 As illustrated in the table and underlying data,
a small portion of this ppb impact is attributable to
combustion control upgrade potential.
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higher NOX allowance prices.
Downwind stakeholders have noted that
some of the higher emissions rates
(specifically in the case of Conemaugh
Unit 2 in 2019) have occurred on the
day of and the preceding day of an
ozone exceedance in bordering states.299
The EPA believes that the design of
the daily emissions rate provisions will
be effective in addressing these types of
high-emitting behavior by significantly
raising the cost of planned operator
decisions that substantially compromise
environmental performance. At the
same time, the provision will not
unduly penalize an occasional
unplanned exceedance, because the
amount of additional allowances that
would have to be surrendered to address
a single day’s exceedance would be
much smaller than the amount that
would have to be surrendered to address
planned poor performance sustained
over longer time periods. Moreover, the
EPA believes that the inclusion of a 50ton threshold before the increased
surrender requirements would apply is
sufficient to address virtually all
instances where a unit’s emissions
would exceed the 0.14 lb/mmBtu daily
rate because of unavoidable startup or
shutdown conditions during which SCR
equipment cannot be operated, thereby
ensuring that the provision will not
penalize units for emissions that are
beyond their reasonable control.
The EPA is applying the daily
emissions rate provisions to large coalfired EGUs, and not to other types of
units, for reasons that are consistent
with EPA’s determinations regarding the
appropriate control stringency for EGUs
to address states’ good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015
ozone NAAQS. Installation and
operation of SCR controls is wellestablished as a common practice for the
best control of NOX emissions from
coal-fired EGUs, as evidenced by the
fact that the technology is already
installed on more than 60 percent of the
sector’s total coal-fired capacity and
installed on nearly 100 percent of the
coal fired boilers in the top quartile of
emissions rate performance. In the
context of addressing good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015
ozone NAAQS, the EPA is determining
that a control stringency reflecting
universal installation and operation of
SCR technology at large coal-fired EGUs
(other than circulating fluidized bed
units) is appropriate at Step 3. Finally,
where SCR controls are installed on
such units, optimized operation of those
controls is an extremely cost-effective
method of achieving NOX emissions
299 EPA–HQ–OAR–2020–0272–0094.
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reductions. The EPA believes these
considerations support establishment of
the daily emissions rate provisions on a
universal basis for large coal-fired EGUs,
with near-term application of the
provisions for units that already have
the controls installed and deferred
application for other units, as discussed
later.
With regard to gas-fired steam EGUs,
SCR controls are nowhere near as
prevalent, and while the EPA is
including some SCR controls at gas-fired
steam units in the selected control
stringency at Step 3, the EPA is not
including universal SCR controls at gasfired steam units. Because the EPA is
not determining that universal
installation and operation of SCR
controls at gas-fired steam EGUs is part
of the selected control stringency, in
order not to constrain the power sector’s
flexibility to choose which particular
gas-fired steam EGUs are the preferred
candidates for achieving the required
emissions reductions, the EPA is not
applying the daily emissions rate
provisions to large gas-fired steam
EGUs. Focusing the backstop daily
emissions rates on coal-fired units is
also consistent with stakeholder input
which has emphasized the need for
short-term rate limits at coal units given
their relatively higher emissions rates.
The EPA developed the level of the
daily average NOX emissions rate—0.14
lb/mmBtu—through analysis of
historical data, as described in section
VI.B.7 of this document. A rate of 0.14
lb/mmBtu represents the daily average
NOX emissions rate that has been
demonstrated to be achievable on
approximately 95 percent of days
covering more than 99 percent of total
ozone-season NOX emissions by coalfired units with SCR controls that are
achieving a seasonal NOX average
emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu (or
less), which is the seasonal NOX
emissions rate that the EPA has
determined is indicative of optimized
SCR performance by units with existing
SCR controls.
As noted previously, the daily average
emissions rate provisions will apply
beginning in the 2024 control period for
large coal-fired units with installed SCR
controls, one control period later than
optimization of those controls will be
reflected in the state emissions budgets
under this rule. For these units, not
applying the daily average rate
provisions until 2024 serves three
purposes. First, it provides all the units
with a preparatory interval to focus
attention on improving not only the
average performance of their SCR
controls but also the day-to-day
consistency of performance before they
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will be held to increased allowancesurrender consequences for exceeding
the daily rate. Second, it provides the
subset of units that exhaust to common
stacks with other units that currently
lack SCR controls an opportunity to
exercise the option to install and certify
any additional monitoring systems
needed to monitor the individual units’
NOX emissions rates separately;
otherwise, the daily emissions rate
provisions will apply to the SCRequipped units based on the combined
NOX emissions rates measured in the
common stacks. Third, it provides all
units sufficient time to update the data
handling software in their existing
monitoring systems as needed to
compute and report the additional
hourly and daily data values needed for
implementation of the provisions.300
With respect to the units without
existing SCR controls, the daily average
emissions rate provisions will apply
starting with the second control period
in which newly installed SCR controls
are operational at the unit, but not later
than the 2030 control period. This
implementation timing represents a
change from the proposal, under which
the daily average emissions rate
provisions would have applied to units
without existing SCR starting in the
2027 control period. Commenters noted
that for many units without SCR,
replacement of the unit within a few
years, and shifting of some generation to
cleaner units in the interim, would be
a more economic compliance strategy
than installation of new SCR controls.
The commenters further noted that
implementation of the daily average
emissions rate for these units starting in
2027 would strongly disadvantage such
an alternative strategy if the capacity
replacement and any associated
transmission improvements could not
be implemented by 2027. In light of
these comments, the EPA has
determined that as long as the emissions
budgets determined in this rule to
eliminate significant contribution are
still being implemented as
expeditiously as practicable—which in
this instance the EPA has determined
requires phasing in the required
emissions reductions by 2027—it is
reasonable to defer implementation of
the daily average emissions rate
provisions to 2030 for units without
SCR to allow temporarily greater
flexibility to pursue compliance
strategies other than installation of new
300 For further discussion of emissions monitoring
and reporting requirements under the rule,
including the options available to plants where
SCR-equipped and non-SCR-equipped coal-fired
units exhaust to common stacks, see section VI.B.10
of this document.
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controls. This lag is permissible
consistent with the obligation to
eliminate significant contribution for
reasons that are further discussed in
response to comments in section
VI.B.1.d of this document. However, for
any units that choose a compliance
strategy of installing new SCR controls
before 2030, the daily average emissions
rate provisions would apply in the
second control period of operation.
Specification of the second control
period rather than the first control
period provides the unit operators with
an opportunity to gain operational
experience with the new equipment
before the units will be held to
increased allowance-surrender
consequences for exceeding the daily
rate.
The unit-specific daily emissions rate
provisions are being finalized as
proposed except for two changes noted
in the previous summary: the exclusion
from extra allowance surrender
requirements of a unit’s first 50 tons of
emissions in a control period exceeding
the backstop daily rate, and the revision
of the starting date for implementation
of the requirement for units without
existing SCR controls to 2030 or the
second control period of SCR operation,
if earlier. The rationale for these
changes is further discussed in the
responses to comments later in this
section. Additional details of the unitspecific daily emissions rate provisions
are discussed in section VI.B.7 of this
document.
ii. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations
Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
The second of the trading program
enhancements intended to improve
emissions performance at the level of
individual units is the addition of unitspecific secondary emissions limitations
for units with post-combustion controls
starting with the 2024 control period.
The secondary emissions limitations
will be determined on a unit-specific
basis according to each unit’s individual
performance but will apply to a given
unit only under the circumstance where
a state’s assurance level for a control
period has been exceeded, the unit is
included in a group of units to which
responsibility for the exceedance has
been apportioned under the program’s
assurance provisions, and the unit
operated during at least 10 percent of
the hours in the control period. Where
these conditions for application of a
secondary emissions limitation to a
given unit for a given control period are
met, the unit’s secondary emissions
limitation consists of a prohibition on
NOX emissions during the control
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period that exceed by more than 50 tons
the NOX emissions that would have
resulted if the unit had achieved an
average emissions rate for the control
period equal to the higher of 0.10 lb/
mmBtu or 125 percent of the unit’s
lowest average emissions rate for any
previous control period under any
CSAPR seasonal NOX trading program
during which the unit operated for at
least 10 percent of the hours.
The secondary emissions limitation is
in addition to, not in lieu of, the
primary emissions limitation applicable
to each source, which continues to take
the form of a requirement to surrender
a quantity of allowances based on the
source’s emissions, and also in addition
to the existing assurance provisions,
which similarly continue to take the
form of a requirement for the owners
and operators of some sources to
surrender additional allowances when a
state’s assurance level is exceeded. In
contrast to these other requirements, the
unit-specific secondary emissions
limitation takes the form of a
prohibition on emissions over a
specified level, such that any emissions
by a unit exceeding its secondary
emissions limitation would be subject to
potential administrative or judicial
action and subject to penalties and other
forms of relief under the CAA’s
enforcement authorities. The reason for
establishing this form of limitation is
that experience under the existing
CSAPR trading programs has shown
that, in some circumstances, the existing
assurance provisions have been
insufficient to prevent exceedances of a
state’s assurance level for a control
period even when the likelihood of an
exceedance has been foreseeable and the
exceedance could have been readily
avoided if certain units had operated
with emissions rates closer to the lower
emissions rates achieved in past control
periods. The assurance levels exist to
ensure that emissions from each state
that contribute significantly to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of a NAAQS in another
state are prohibited. North Carolina v.
EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 906–08 (D.C. Cir.
2008). The EPA’s programs to eliminate
significant contribution must therefore
achieve this prohibition, and the
evidence of foreseeable and avoidable
exceedances of the assurance levels
demonstrates that EPA’s existing
approach has not been sufficient to
accomplish this.
The purpose of including assurance
levels higher than the state emissions
budgets in the CSAPR trading programs
is to provide flexibility to accommodate
operational variability attributable to
factors that are largely outside of an
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individual owner’s or operator’s control,
not to allow owners and operators to
plan to emit at emissions rates that
could be anticipated to cause a state’s
total emissions to exceed the state’s
emissions budget or assurance level.
Conduct leading to a foreseeable, readily
avoidable exceedance of a state’s
assurance level cannot be reconciled
with the statutory mandate of the CAA’s
good neighbor provision that emissions
‘‘within the state’’ significantly
contributing to nonattainment or
interfering with maintenance of a
NAAQS in another state must be
prohibited. Because the current CSAPR
regulations do not expressly prohibit
such conduct and have proven
insufficient to deter it in some
circumstances, the EPA is correcting the
regulatory deficiency in the Group 3
trading program by adding secondary
emissions limitations that cannot be
complied with through the use of
allowances.
The EPA notes that although the
purpose of the secondary emissions
limitations is to strengthen the
assurance provisions, which apply on a
statewide, seasonal basis, the unitspecific structure of the new limitations
will strengthen the incentives for
individual units with post-combustion
controls to maintain their emissions
performance at levels consistent with
their previously demonstrated
capabilities. The new limitations will
strengthen the incentives to operate and
optimize the controls continuously,
which can be expected to reduce some
individual units’ emissions rates
throughout the ozone season, including
on the days that turn out to be most
critical for downwind ozone levels.
Better emissions performance on
average across the ozone season by
individual units likely will also help
address impacts of pollution on
overburdened communities downwind
from some such units. See Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD, Section E.
The unit-specific secondary emissions
limitations are being finalized as
proposed except that the limitations
will apply only to units with postcombustion controls. The rationale for
this change, and additional details
regarding the provisions, are discussed
in section VI.B.8 of this document.
d. Responses to General Comments on
the Revisions to the Group 3 Trading
Program
This section summarizes and provides
the EPA’s responses to overarching
comments received on the EPA’s
proposal to implement the emissions
reductions required from EGUs under
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this rule through expansion and
enhancement of the Group 3 trading
program originally established in the
Revised CSAPR Update, particularly
comments on electric system reliability.
Responses to comments about
individual aspects of the enhanced
trading program are addressed in the
respective subsections of this section in
which those aspects are discussed.
Responses to comments concerning
alleged overcontrol and the EPA’s legal
authority are in sections V.D. and III.
Comments not addressed in this
document are addressed in the separate
RTC document available in the docket
for this action.
Comment: Some commenters,
including EGU owners, states, and
several RTOs, expressed concern that
the requirements for EGUs as
formulated in the proposal could lead to
a degradation in the reliability of the
electric system. As background, some of
these commenters noted that the power
sector is currently undergoing rapid
change, with older and less economic
fossil-fuel-fired steam generating units
retiring while the majority of the new
capacity being added consists of wind
and solar capacity. They noted that
fossil-fuel-fired generating capacity
provides reliability benefits not
necessarily provided by other types of
generating capacity, including not only
the ability to generate electricity in the
absence of wind or sunlight, but also
inertia, ramping capability, voltage
support, and frequency response.
Commenters stated that past EGU
retirements and the pace of change in
the generating capacity mix have
already been stressing the electric
system in some regions, and that the
forecasted risk of events where the
electric system would be unable to fully
meet load is rising.
For purposes of their comments, these
commenters generally assumed that the
rule would lead to additional
retirements of fossil-fuel-fired
generating capacity beyond the
retirements that EGU owners have
already planned and announced. Some
of the commenters also suggested that
remaining fossil-fuel-fired generators
would be unwilling to operate when
needed because allowances might be
unavailable for purchase or too costly.
In the context of an already-stressed
electric system, the commenters
predicted that these assumed
consequences of the rule would threaten
resource adequacy and result in
degraded electric reliability. To support
their assumptions concerning additional
retirements, some of the commenters
pointed to projections of incremental
generating capacity retirements
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included in the results of modeling
performed by the EPA to analyze the
costs and benefits of the proposed rule.
Some commenters indicated that they
expected EGU owners to be interested in
retiring and replacing uncontrolled
units as of the date of implementation
of the backstop daily rate requirement
on uncontrolled units, and expressed
concern that the proposal to implement
that requirement as of the 2027 control
period did not allow sufficient time for
planning and implementation of all the
necessary generation and transmission
investments to make this a viable
compliance strategy; for these
commenters, 2027 and the immediately
following years were the period of
greatest concern. Some commenters
appear simply to have assumed that
owners of units not already equipped
with SCR controls would choose to
retire the units as of the ozone season
in which the units would otherwise
become subject to the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions, regardless of
whether replacement investments had
been completed.
Some of the commenters raising
concerns about electric system
reliability suggested potential
modifications to the proposed rule that
the commenters believed could help
address their concerns. The suggestions
included various mechanisms for
suspending some or all of the trading
program’s requirements for certain
EGUs at times when an RTO or other
entity responsible for overseeing a
region of the interconnected electrical
grid determines that generation from
those EGUs is needed and the EGUs
might not otherwise agree to operate.
Other suggestions focused on ways of
providing EGUs with greater confidence
that allowances would be available to
cover their incremental emissions
during particular events. A number of
commenters used the term ‘‘reliability
safety valve,’’ in some cases with
reference to the types of suggestions just
mentioned and in other cases without
details. Some commenters pointed to
the ‘‘safety valve’’ provision included in
the Group 2 trading program regulations
under the Revised CSAPR Update.
Another commenter pointed to
provisions for a ‘‘reliability safety
valve’’ included in the Clean Power
Plan (80 FR 64662, Oct. 23, 2015).
In addition to offering critiques and
recommendations concerning the
proposed rule’s contents, some
commenters claimed that the EPA had
failed to conduct sufficient analysis of
the potential implications of the
proposed rule on electrical system
reliability. These commenters called on
the EPA to consult with RTOs and other
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entities with responsibilities relating to
electric system reliability and to
perform additional analysis. Some
commenters advocated for renewed
consultations and analysis before each
planned adjustment to emissions
budgets under the dynamic budgetsetting process. Commenters cited the
consultation processes followed during
implementation of other EPA rules,
such as the Mercury and Air Toxics
Standards (MATS) (77 FR 9304, Feb. 16,
2012).
Response: The EPA disagrees with the
comments asserting that this rule would
threaten resource adequacy or otherwise
degrade electric system reliability. The
emissions reduction requirements for
EGUs under this rule are being
implemented through the mechanism of
an allowance trading program. Under
the trading program, no EGU is required
to cease operation. The core trading
program requirements for a participating
EGU are to monitor and report the unit’s
NOX emissions for each ozone season
period and to surrender a quantity of
allowances after the end of the ozone
season based on the reported emissions.
To address states’ obligations under the
good neighbor provision, some units of
course will have to take some type of
action to reduce emissions, the actions
taken to reduce emissions will generally
have costs, and some EGU owners will
conclude that, all else being equal,
retiring a particular EGU and replacing
it with cleaner generating capacity is
likely to be a more economic option
from the perspective of the unit’s
customers and/or owners than making
substantial investments in new
emissions controls at the unit. However,
the EPA also understands that before
implementing such a retirement
decision, the unit’s owner will follow
the processes put in place by the
relevant RTO, balancing authority, or
state regulator to protect electric system
reliability. These processes typically
include analysis of the potential impacts
of the proposed EGU retirement on
electrical system reliability,
identification of options for mitigating
any identified adverse impacts, and, in
some cases, temporary provision of
additional revenues to support the
EGU’s continued operation until longerterm mitigation measures can be put in
place. No commenter stated that this
rule would somehow authorize any EGU
owner to unilaterally retire a unit
without following these processes, yet
some comments nevertheless assume
that is how multiple EGU owners would
proceed, in violation of their obligations
to RTOs, balancing authorities, or state
regulators relating to the provision of
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reliable electric service. Assumptions of
this nature are simply not reasonable.
Like many commenters, the EPA does
expect that retirement will be viewed as
a more economic compliance strategy
for some EGUs than installing new
controls, but the Agency also expects
that any resulting unit retirements will
be carried out through an orderly
process in which RTOs, balancing
authorities, and state regulators use
their powers to ensure that electric
system reliability is protected. The
trading program inherently provides
ample flexibility to allow such an
orderly transition to take place. In
addition, as discussed later in this
section, the EPA has adopted several
changes in the final rule to increase
flexibility specifically for the early years
of the trading program for which
commenters have indicated the greatest
concerns about electric system
reliability.
As an initial matter, the EPA notes
two fundamental aspects of this
rulemaking which together provide a
strong foundation for the Agency’s
conclusion that the emissions
reductions required from EGUs can be
achieved with no adverse impacts on
electric system reliability. First, there is
ample evidence indicating that the
required emissions reductions are
feasible. As discussed in section V of
this document, the magnitude and
timing of the EGU emissions reductions
required by this action reflect
application of technologies that are
already in widespread use, on schedules
that are supported by industry
experience. Second, the required
emissions reductions are being
implemented through the mechanism of
a trading program. The enhanced
trading program under this rule, like the
trading programs established by the EPA
under prior rules, provides EGU owners
with opportunities to substitute
emissions reductions from sources
where achieving reductions is cheaper
and easier for emissions reductions from
other sources where achieving
reductions is more costly or difficult. In
general, an EGU owner has options to
operate the emissions controls
identified by the EPA for that type of
unit (including installation or upgrade
of controls where necessary), operate
other types of emissions controls, or
adapt the unit’s levels of operation to
produce less generation if the unit is a
higher-emitting EGU or more generation
if the unit is a lower-emitting EGU. The
backstop daily emissions rate provisions
in this rule reduce the degree of
available flexibility relative to the
degree of flexibility in the Agency’s
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previous trading programs under CAIR
and CSAPR but by no means eliminate
it. Moreover, even the backstop rate
provisions are structured as
requirements to surrender additional
allowances rather than as hard limits,
providing a further element of flexibility
No EGU is required to retire or is
prohibited from operating at any time
under this rule. EGUs only need to
surrender of the appropriate quantities
of allowances after the end of the
control period.301
Further, in the large number of
comments submitted in this rulemaking
that assert concerns over electric system
reliability, no commenter has cited a
single instance where implementation
of an EPA trading program has actually
caused an adverse reliability impact.
Indeed, similar claims made in the
context of the EPA’s prior trading
program rulemakings have shown a
considerable gap between rhetoric and
reality. For example, in the litigation
over the industry’s multiple motions to
stay implementation of CSAPR, claims
were made that allowing the rule to go
into effect would compromise
reliability. Yet in the 2012 ozone season
starting just over 4 months after the rule
was stayed, EGUs covered by CSAPR
collectively emitted below the overall
program budgets that the rule would
have imposed in that year if the rule had
been allowed to take effect, with most
individual states emitting below their
respective state budgets despite CSAPR
not being in effect.302 Similarly, in the
litigation over the 2015 Clean Power
Plan, assertions that the rule would
threaten electric system reliability were
made by some utilities or their
representatives, yet even though the
Supreme Court stayed the rule in 2016,
the industry achieved the rule’s
emissions reduction targets without the
rule ever going into effect. See West
Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587, 2638
(2022) (Kagan, J., dissenting) (‘‘[T]he
industry didn’t fall short of the [Clean
Power] Plan’s goal; rather, the industry
exceeded that target, all on its
own. . . . At the time of the repeal . . .
‘there [was] likely to be no difference
between a world where the [Clean
Power Plan was] implemented and one
where it [was] not.’ ’’) (quoting 84 FR
32561). The claims that these rules
301 The EPA has prepared a resource adequacy
assessment of the projected impacts of the final rule
showing that the projected impacts of the final rule
on power system operations, under conditions
preserving resource adequacy, are modest and
manageable. See Resource Adequacy and Reliability
Analysis Final Rule TSD, available in the docket.
302 For a state-by-state comparison, see Appendix
G of the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD.
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would have had adverse reliability
impacts were proved to be groundless.
Notwithstanding the long experience
confirming the ability of the EPA’s
trading programs to obtain emissions
reductions from EGUs without
impairing the sector’s ability to provide
reliable electric service, the Agency of
course does not rely here solely on its
experience, but has carefully reviewed
the comments on this topic for any
information that might indicate the
appropriateness of modifications to the
enhanced trading program as proposed.
In recognition of the important role that
RTOs play in ensuring electric system
reliability, and consistent with the
requests of some commenters, the EPA
has engaged in outreach to the RTOs
that commented on the proposal to
better understand their comments
specifically and the reliability-related
comments of other commenters more
generally.303 Through these meetings,
the central reliability-related concern
was identified as one of timing. In order
for retirement to be a viable compliance
strategy for a unit that cannot be entirely
spared until replacement investments in
generation or transmission are
completed, it must be possible for the
unit to operate at critical times for a
transition period. Like other
stakeholders, the RTOs perceived
implementation of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions on
uncontrolled units as materially
strengthening incentives for such units
to either install controls or retire. The
RTOs were concerned that the option
for a coal-fired unit without SCR
controls to maintain limited operation
while surrendering allowances at a 3for-1 ratio for all emissions exceeding
the backstop daily rate was one that
EGU owners would be reluctant to
pursue. Accordingly, the RTOs expected
considerable interest from EGU owners
in retiring and replacing uncontrolled
units as of the date of implementation
of the backstop daily rate requirement
on uncontrolled units, and they were
concerned that the proposal to
implement that requirement as of the
2027 control period did not allow
sufficient time for planning and
implementation of all the necessary
generation and transmission
investments to make this a viable
compliance strategy. The RTOs
described their concerns as greatest
303 The EPA also met with non-RTO balancing
authorities that submitted comments. Memoranda
identifying the dates, attendees, and topics of
discussion of these meetings with RTOs and nonRTO balancing authorities are available in the
docket.
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through approximately the 2029 control
period.
The RTOs also described a concern
about potentially illiquid allowance
markets. They believed it was possible
that some EGUs might claim an inability
to operate at particular times when
needed unless they had confidence that
they would be able obtain additional
allowances. The RTOs were particularly
concerned that introduction of dynamic
budgeting as proposed would create
uncertainty for some EGUs regarding the
quantities of allowances they would
have available for use, particularly given
the potentially large year-to-year swings
if budgets were based on historical data
from a single year. Some of the RTOs
suggested potential solutions for these
issues, principally in the form of
auctions or RTO-administered
allocations of allowances from pools of
supplemental allowances, with access to
the supplemental allowances triggered
by certain indications of temporary
stress on the electric system.
In the final rule, the EPA is adopting
several changes from the proposal to
help address the reliability-related
concerns that were identified in
comments and brought into greater
focus by the consultations with the
RTOs. The first change adopted in
response to these comments is that
application of the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate to units without existing
SCR controls is being deferred until the
2030 control period, or the second
control period in which a unit operates
new SCR controls, if earlier. The
purpose of this change is to address the
concerns that application of the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate to
EGUs without existing SCR starting in
2027 would provide insufficient time
for planning and investments needed to
facilitate unit retirement as a
compliance pathway, which some
commenters noted they prefer or have
already planned. In particular, where an
EGU owner would prefer to retire and
replace an uncontrolled EGU rather than
to install new controls, and in
recognition that reliability-related needs
may require some degree of operation
from such units in the period before the
investments needed to replace the unit
can be completed, deferral of the
backstop daily emissions rate provisions
ensures that the necessary generation
can be provided without being made
subject to a 3-for-1 allowance surrender
ratio that might render that compliance
strategy uneconomic compared to the
faster but less environmentally
beneficial compliance strategy of
installing new controls. The EPA has
considered the statutory mandate that
states’ good neighbor obligations—
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including this action’s requirement for
large coal-fired EGUs to make emissions
reductions commensurate with good
SCR operation—be addressed as
expeditiously as practicable. The EPA
has also considered the fact that in this
rule, the backstop daily emissions rate
serves as a supplement to the broader
requirement for emissions reductions
commensurate with application of
several control technologies at several
types of EGUs, encompassing the extent
of emissions reductions that would be
incentivized by the backstop emissions
rate requirement. The EPA views the
backstop daily emissions rate as part of
the solution to eliminating significant
contribution in that it strongly
incentivizes emissions-control operation
throughout each day of the ozone
season. See sections III.B.1.d, VI.B.1.b,
VI.B.1.c.i. For that reason, in general we
are finalizing the daily backstop
emissions rate for units that have SCR
installed or that install it in the future.
It is only as an exception to that general
rule that we defer the backstop daily
emissions rate given the transition
period and reliability concerns
identified by commenters. The EPA
finds that in this circumstance, as long
as state emissions budgets continue to
reflect the required degree of emissions
reductions, deferral of the backstop rate
requirement for uncontrolled units for a
transition period can be justified on the
basis of the greater long-term
environmental benefits obtained
through facilitating the replacement of
these affected EGUs with cleaner
sources of generation. Beginning in the
2030 ozone season, all coal-fired EGUs
identified for SCR retrofit potential in
this action will be subject to the
backstop daily emissions rate. Any such
units that remain in operation in that
year can and should meet the backstop
daily emissions rate or be subject to the
heightened allowance surrender ratio.
The second change from the proposal
adopted in response to the reliabilityrelated comments is that the target
percentage of the states’ emissions
budgets used to recalibrate the target
bank level will be set at the proposed
10.5 percent starting in the 2030 control
period, and for the control periods from
2024 through 2029, a target percentage
of 21 percent will be used instead. The
adoption of the higher target percentage
for use through the 2029 control period
is intended to promote greater
allowance market liquidity during a
period of relatively rapid fleet transition
about which commenters expressed
more focused reliability-related needs.
As discussed later in this section, the
EPA expects the introduction of the
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bank recalibration process in 2024
generally to boost market liquidity (by
discouraging allowance hoarding) and
also considers the target percentage of
10.5 percent set forth in the proposal
well supported. Nevertheless, the
Agency agrees with suggestions by
commenters that, at least in the early
years of the enhanced trading program,
a larger bank would provide further
liquidity and would give program
participants greater confidence that
allowances would be available for
purchase when needed. Greater
confidence by sources would help
address RTOs’ concern about the
possibility that some sources could be
reluctant to operate if they were unsure
of their ability to procure allowances to
cover their emissions. In finding that
this modification from proposal is
appropriate, the EPA has considered the
fact that use of a higher target
percentage will not result in the creation
of any additional allowances in any
control period, because under the
recalibration provisions, when the total
quantity of allowances banked from the
previous control period is less than the
bank target level, the consequence is not
that additional allowances are created to
raise the bank to the target level, but
simply that no bank adjustment is
carried out. We also note that while
including an annual bank recalibration
of any percentage is an enhancement in
the trading program from prior trading
programs under the good neighbor
provision established in the CAIR,
CSAPR, CSAPR Update, and Revised
CSAPR Update rulemakings, it is not
unprecedented; the trading program
established under the NOX SIP Call
included ‘‘progressive flow control’’
provisions that were designed
differently from the bank recalibration
provisions in this rule but had the same
purpose and general effect.
The third change from the proposal
adopted in response to the reliabilityrelated comments is that the EPA is
determining preset state emissions
budgets not only for the control periods
in 2023 and 2024 as proposed, but also
for the control periods in 2025 through
2029. Finalizing preset state emissions
budgets through 2029 will establish
predictable amounts for the minimum
quantities of allowances available
during the period when commenters
have expressed concern that the
reliability-related need for such
predictability is greatest. Moreover, the
EPA will also determine state emissions
budgets using the final dynamic budgetsetting methodology for the control
periods in 2026 through 2029, and for
each state and control period, the
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36773
dynamic budget to be published in the
future will only supplant the preset
budget finalized in this rule for a control
period in which that dynamic budget is
higher than the corresponding preset
budget. The reason for using dynamic
budgets when they are higher than the
corresponding preset budgets is that the
EPA recognizes that evolution of the
EGU fleet will not follow the exact path
projected at the time of the rulemaking,
and that by not accounting for certain
events, the preset methodology could
result in issuance of smaller quantities
of allowances than the EPA would find
consistent with the quantities of
emissions from a well-controlled EGU
fleet using the dynamic budget-setting
methodology. Events that could cause
preset budgets to underpredict a state’s
well-controlled emissions, which are
more likely in years farther in the future
from the time of the rulemaking, include
deferral of a large EGU’s previously
planned retirement date or increases in
electricity demand that outpace the
general trend of lower-emitting or nonemitting generation replacing higheremitting generation. After considering
the commenters’ interest in greater
predictability during the early years of
the amended trading program as well as
the need to protect against instances
where the preset budgets could
underpredict a state’s well-controlled
emissions in years farther from the year
of the rulemaking, the EPA finds that
the combination of these factors justifies
the approach of using the higher of the
two budgets for the control periods from
2026 through 2029.
In addition to the changes made in
response to reliability-related
comments, several other changes to the
proposal being adopted primarily for
other reasons will also help address the
factors identified as reliability-related
concerns. Most notably, the EPA is
adopting changes to the dynamic budget
computation procedure to incorporate
multiple years of heat input data, which
will reduce year-to-year variability in
the budgets determined under that
procedure and should to some extent
reduce uncertainty about the quantities
of allowances available for use in
instances where a dynamic budget is
being used instead of preset budget. In
addition, the adoption of a 50-ton
threshold before application of the 3-for1 surrender ratio to emissions exceeding
the backstop daily NOX emissions rate
should ensure that no unit incurs the
higher surrender ratio solely because of
unavoidable emissions during startup
and should help address concerns that
some units might be reluctant to operate
because of the associated emissions-
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related costs. Also, the 2026–2027
phase-in of emissions reductions
commensurate with installation of new
SCR controls will increase the quantities
of allowances available in the 2026 state
emissions budgets for most states in the
trading program.
To summarize: in light of the strong
record supporting the feasibility of the
emissions reductions required from
EGUs; the use of a trading program as
the mechanism for achieving those
emissions reductions, with multiple
options for achieving compliance and
no requirements to cease operation of
any individual EGU at any time; the
established processes of RTOs, other
balancing authorities, and state
regulators for managing any EGU
retirement requests that do occur in an
orderly manner with evaluation of
potential reliability impacts and
implementation of mitigation measures
where needed; the unbroken, decadeslong historical success of the EPA’s
trading programs at achieving emissions
reductions without any adverse
reliability impacts; the views expressed
by commenters that facilitating EGU
retirement and replacement as a
possible compliance strategy through
2029 would be particularly helpful; the
changes made in the final rule for
control periods through 2029
specifically to increase flexibility during
this transitional period, including
deferring application of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions for EGUs
without existing SCR controls,
increasing the target percentage used to
determine the target allowance bank
level for purposes of the bank
recalibration provisions, and
establishing preset state emissions
budgets which serve as floors against
potential dynamic budget imposition in
those control periods; and the changes
made in the final rule incorporating
multiple years of heat input data into
the dynamic budget-setting procedure,
adding a 50-ton threshold before
application of the 3-for-1 surrender ratio
to emissions exceeding the backstop
daily NOX emissions rate, and phasing
in emissions reductions requirements
commensurate with new SCR
installations through 2027; the EPA
concludes that this action does not pose
any material risk of adverse impact to
electric system reliability.
The EPA has also considered the
other suggestions offered by
commenters for addressing reliabilityrelated issues. With respect to
suggestions that the rule should include
provisions allowing some or all of the
trading program’s requirements to be
suspended at times when an RTO or
other entity with grid management
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responsibilities determines there is a
reliability-related need, the EPA again
observes that the rule’s emissions
reduction requirements are being
implemented through a trading program
mechanism which makes exceptions of
this nature unnecessary. Trading
programs inherently offer the flexibility
to accommodate variability in the
utilization of individual units. The
‘‘reliability safety valve’’ provisions in
the Clean Power Plan, which one
commenter cited as a precedent to
support some form of temporary
exemption under this rule, in fact was
available only in situations where a
state plan did not allow emissions
trading and instead imposed unitspecific emissions constraints. See 80
FR 64877–879. Even the 3-for-1
allowance surrender ratio under the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate
provisions can be met through the
surrender of additional allowances. The
rule does not bar any EGU from
operating at any time as long as all
allowance surrender requirements are
met.
With respect to suggestions that the
EPA must undertake recurring modeling
of the evolving electrical system and
consult with RTOs before each planned
adjustment to emissions budgets, which
start from the premise that the rule
poses risk to electric system reliability
that must be continuously monitored,
the EPA disagrees with the premise and
therefore also disagrees with the
suggestions. As discussed in section V
of this document, the EPA has taken
care to ensure that the emissions
reduction requirements applicable to
EGUs under this rule are feasible
through application of the control
technologies selected as the basis of the
emissions reductions. The EPA has also
performed modeling in this rulemaking
to assess the benefits and costs of the
rule when all required emissions
reductions are achieved. That modeling,
which incorporates a representation of
electrical grid regions and interregional
constraints on energy and capacity
exchange, affirms the feasibility of the
overall emissions reduction
requirements and is illustrative of a
control strategy where some units retire
and are replaced instead of installing
new controls. The EPA has also
consulted with the RTOs (as well as
other balancing authorities) in the
course of this rulemaking to ensure that
the EPA understood the concerns
expressed in their comments such that
we could address those comments in
this final rule. The EPA does not agree
that further modeling or ongoing
consultations with RTOs are needed in
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advance of the recurring dynamic
budget adjustments, which do not
increase the stringency of the rule’s
emissions reduction requirements
established in the final rule. The
extensive consultation processes
adopted by the Agency in conjunction
with the MATS rulemaking are not a
relevant precedent; the MATS rule,
which was promulgated to address a
different statutory mandate, was
structured in the form of unit-specific
emissions constraints, fundamentally
different from the requirements of this
rule. The EPA notes that other entities
responsible for maintaining reliability
and managing entry and exit of
resources, including the North
American Electric Reliability
Corporation (NERC) and RTOs and other
balancing authorities, already routinely
assess resource adequacy and reliability
inclusive of meeting all regulatory
requirements, including environmental
requirements.
While the EPA does not agree that
such consultations are a necessary
precondition for successful
implementation of this rule, the Agency
remains available to engage with any
affected EGU or reliability authority
requesting to meet and discuss the
intersection of its power sector
regulatory programs with electric
reliability planning and operations. The
EPA is also continuing its practice of
meeting with the U.S. Department of
Energy and the Federal Energy
Regulatory Commission to maintain
mutual awareness of how Federal
actions and programs intersect with the
industry’s responsibility to maintain
electric reliability.304
The EPA is not adopting the
suggestion to replicate the so-called
‘‘safety valve’’ mechanism created under
the Revised CSAPR Update. That
mechanism, cited by some commenters
as potential precedent for an
unspecified form of ‘‘reliability safety
valve’’ in this action, gave owners of
covered EGUs a one-time opportunity to
voluntarily convert allowances banked
under the Group 2 trading program to
allowances useable in the Group 3
trading program at an 18-for-1 ratio for
use in the trading program’s initial
control period in 2021. See 82 FR
23137–138. EGU owners chose to use
the voluntary mechanism to acquire a
total of 382 allowances, representing
only 0.36 percent of the sum of the state
emissions budgets and only 0.26 percent
304 See, e.g., U.S. Department of Energy and U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Joint
Memorandum on Interagency Communication and
Consultation on Electric Reliability (March 8, 2023),
available at https://www.epa.gov/power-sector/
electric-reliability-mou.
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of the total quantity of allowances
available for compliance in that control
period.305 For the 2023 control period,
the bank of allowances carried over
from the 2022 control period plus the
incremental starting bank that will be
created by conversion of additional
allowances banked under the Group 2
trading program (see section VI.B.12.b of
this document) will total over 30
percent of the full-season emissions
budgets.306 Given the larger starting
bank and this rule’s bank recalibration
provisions (which will be implemented
starting with the 2024 control period,
but which the EPA expects will increase
allowance market liquidity starting with
the 2023 control period), the Agency
views establishment of a one-time
voluntary conversion opportunity for
the 2023 control period analogous to the
Revised CSAPR Update’s ‘‘safety valve’’
provision as unnecessary.
Finally, in the final rule the EPA is
not adopting any of the other
suggestions concerning additional
mechanisms to make additional
allowances available through auctions
or RTO-administered allowance pools.
For the reasons discussed throughout
this section, the EPA concludes that the
trading program as established in this
action provides a flexible compliance
mechanism that will allow the required
emissions reductions to be achieved
without the need for creation of
additional allowances. However, the
EPA also recognizes the potential for
allowance market liquidity to be further
increased through some form of auction
mechanism. For instance, it may be
appropriate to pair the introduction of
an auction with a reduction in the bank
recalibration percentage that begins
earlier than 2030. Through a
supplemental rulemaking, the Agency
intends to propose and take comment
on potential amendments to the Group
3 trading program that would add such
an auction mechanism to the regulations
and make other appropriate adjustments
305 Additional allowances available for
compliance under the Group 3 trading program in
the 2021 control period included a starting
allowance bank created through mandatory
conversion of a portion of the allowances banked
under the Group 2 trading program as well as
supplemental allowances issued to ensure that no
provisions of the Revised CSAPR Update increasing
regulatory stringency would take effect before that
rule’s effective date. See 86 FR 23133–137.
306 The full-season emissions budgets for the 2023
control period under the Group 3 trading program
and the incremental starting bank created in this
action through conversion of additional Group 2
allowances (but not the bank of allowances carried
over from the 2022 control period under the Group
3 trading program) will be prorated to reflect the
portion of the 2023 ozone season occurring after the
effective date of this rule. See sections VI.B.12.a.
and VI.B.12.b.
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in the implementation framework at
Step 4.307
2. Expansion of Geographic Scope
In light of the findings at Steps 1, 2,
and 3 of the 4-step interstate transport
framework, the EPA is expanding the
geographic scope of the existing CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program to encompass additional states
(and Indian country within the borders
of such states) with EGU emissions that
significantly contribute for purposes of
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Specifically,
the EPA is expanding the Group 3
trading program to include the
following states and Indian country
within the borders of the states:
Alabama, Arkansas, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada,
Oklahoma, Texas, Utah, and Wisconsin.
Any unit located in a newly added
jurisdiction that meets the applicability
criteria for the Group 3 trading program
will become an affected unit under the
program, as discussed in section VI.B.3
of this document.
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update also applied to
sources in Indian country, although,
when those rules were issued, no
existing EGUs within the regions
covered by the rules were located on
lands that the EPA understood at the
time to be Indian country.308 In contrast,
within the geographic scope of this
rulemaking, the EPA is aware of areas of
Indian country within the borders of
both Utah and Oklahoma with existing
EGUs that meet the program’s
applicability criteria. Issues related to
state, tribal, and Federal CAA
implementation planning authority with
307 Such a rulemaking would not reopen any
determinations which the Agency has made at
Steps 1, 2, or 3 of the interstate transport framework
in this action. Nor would it reopen any aspects of
implementation of the program at Step 4 except for
those in relation to establishing an auction and
associated adjustments to ensure program
stringency is maintained. In this respect, such a
rulemaking would constitute a discretionary action
that is not necessary to resolution of good neighbor
obligations. Rather, these adjustments, if finalized,
would reflect a shift from one acceptable form of
implementation at Step 4 to a slightly modified but
also acceptable form of implementation at Step 4,
as related to EGUs. No legal or technical
justification for this action as set forth in the record
here depends on or would be undermined by the
development of an alternative approach that
includes an auction, and if the EPA for any reason
determines not to propose or finalize such a
rulemaking, no aspect of this rule would thereby be
rendered infeasible or incomplete.
308 CSAPR and the CSAPR Update both applied
to EGUs located in areas within Oklahoma’s borders
that are now understood to be Indian country,
consistent with the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision
in McGirt v. Oklahoma, 140 S. Ct. 2452 (2020) (and
subsequent case law), clarifying the extent of
certain Indian country within Oklahoma’s borders.
However, those rules were issued before the McGirt
decision. See section III.C.2.a.
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36775
respect to sources in Indian country in
general and in these areas in particular
are discussed in section III.C.2 of this
document. EPA’s approach for
determining a portion of each state’s
budget for each control period that will
be set aside for allocation to any units
in areas of Indian country within the
state not subject to the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority is
discussed in section VI.B.9 of this
document.
Units within the borders of each
newly added state will join the Group
3 trading program on one of two
possible dates during the program’s
2023 control period (that is, the period
from May 1, 2023, through September
30, 2023). The reason that two entry
dates are necessary is that, as discussed
in section VI.B.12.a of this document,
the effective date is expected to fall after
May 1, 2023. In the case of states (and
Indian country within the states’
borders) whose sources do not currently
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 trading program—
Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah—the
sources will begin participating in the
Group 3 trading program on the rule’s
effective date. However, in the case of
the states (and Indian country within
the states’ borders) whose sources do
currently participate in the Group 2
trading program—Alabama, Arkansas,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas,
and Wisconsin—the sources will begin
participating in the Group 3 trading
program on May 1, 2023, regardless of
the rule’s effective date, subject to
transitional provisions designed to
ensure that the increased stringency of
the Group 3 trading program as revised
in this rulemaking will not
substantively affect the sources’
requirements prior to the rule’s effective
date. This approach provides a simpler
transition for the sources historically
covered by the Group 2 trading program
than the alternative approach of being
required to switch from the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading
program in the middle of a control
period, and it is the same approach that
was followed for sources that
transitioned from the Group 2 trading
program to the Group 3 trading program
in 2021 under the Revised CSAPR
Update. Section VI.B.12.a of this
document contains further discussion of
the rationale for this approach and the
specific transitional provisions.
The EPA notes that under the rule, the
expanded Group 3 trading program will
include not only 19 states for which the
EPA is determining that the required
control stringency includes, among
other measures, installation of new postcombustion controls, but also three
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states—Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin—for which the EPA is
determining that the required control
stringency does not include such
measures. In previous rulemakings, the
EPA has chosen to combine states in a
single multi-state trading program only
where the selected control stringencies
were comparable, to ensure that states
did not effectively shift their emissions
reduction requirements to other states
with less stringent emissions reduction
requirements by using net out-of-state
purchased allowances. Although the
assurance provisions in the CSAPR
trading programs were designed to
address the same general concern about
excessive shifting of emissions
reduction activities between states, EPA
chose not to rely on the assurance
provisions as sufficient to allow for
interstate trading in situations where the
states were assigned differing emissions
control stringencies.
In this rulemaking, the EPA believes
the previous concern about the
possibility that certain states might not
make the required emissions reductions
is sufficiently addressed through the
various enhancements to the design of
the trading program, even where states
have been assigned differing emissions
control stringencies. First, the existing
assurance provisions are being
substantially strengthened through the
addition of the unit-specific secondary
emissions limitations discussed in
sections VI.B.1.c.ii and VI.B.8. Second,
by ensuring that individual units
operate their emissions controls
effectively, the unit-specific backstop
daily emissions rate provisions
discussed in sections VI.B.1.c.i and
VI.B.7 will necessarily also ensure that
required emissions reductions occur
within the state. With these
enhancements to the design of the
trading program, the EPA does not
believe it is necessary for sources in
Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin to
be excluded from the revised Group 3
trading program simply because their
emissions budgets reflect a different
selected emissions control stringency
than the other states in the program.
The EPA’s legal and analytic bases for
expansion of the Group 3 trading
program to each of the additional
covered states, as well as responses to
the principal related comments, are
discussed in sections III, IV, and V of
this document, respectively, and
responses to additional comments are
contained in the RTC document. With
respect to the proposed approach of
including all states covered by the rule
in a single trading program even where
the assigned control stringencies differ,
the only comments received by the EPA
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supported the approach, which is
finalized as proposed.
3. Applicability and Tentative
Identification of Newly Affected Units
The Group 3 trading program
generally applies to any stationary,
fossil-fuel-fired boiler or stationary,
fossil fuel-fired combustion turbine
located in a covered state (or Indian
country within the borders of a covered
state) and serving at any time on or after
January 1, 2005, a generator with
nameplate capacity exceeding 25 MW
and producing electricity for sale, with
exemptions for certain cogeneration
units and certain solid waste
incineration units. To qualify for an
exemption as a cogeneration unit, an
otherwise-affected unit generally (1)
must be designed to produce electricity
and useful thermal energy through the
sequential use of energy, (2) must
convert energy inputs to energy outputs
with efficiency exceeding specified
minimum levels, and (3) may not
produce electricity for sale in amounts
above specified thresholds. To qualify
for an exemption as a solid waste
incineration unit, an otherwise-affected
unit generally (1) must meet the CAA
section 129(g)(1) definition of a ‘‘solid
waste incineration unit’’ and (2) may
not consume fossil fuel in amounts
above specified thresholds. The
complete text of the Group 3 trading
program’s applicability provisions and
the associated definitions can be found
at 40 CFR 97.1004 and 97.1002,
respectively. The applicability of this
rule to MWCs and cogeneration units
outside the Group 3 trading program is
discussed in sections V.B.3.a and
V.B.3.c of this document, respectively,
and MWC applicability criteria are
further discussed in section VI.C.6 of
this document.
In this rulemaking, the EPA did not
propose and is not finalizing any
revisions to the existing applicability
provisions for the Group 3 trading
program. Thus, any unit that is located
in a newly added state and that meets
the existing applicability criteria for the
Group 3 trading program will become an
affected unit under the program. The
fact that the applicability criteria for all
of the CSAPR trading programs are
identical therefore is sufficient to
establish that any units that are
currently required to participate in
another CSAPR trading program in any
of the additional states where such other
programs currently are in effect—
Alabama, Arkansas, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas,
and Wisconsin (including Indian
country within the borders of such
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states)—will also become subject to the
Group 3 trading program.
In the additional states where other
CSAPR trading programs are not
currently in effect—Nevada and Utah
(including Indian country within the
borders of such states)—units already
subject to the Acid Rain Program under
that program’s applicability criteria (see
40 CFR 72.6) generally also meet the
applicability criteria for the Group 3
trading program. Based on a preliminary
screening analysis of the units in these
states that currently report emissions
and operating data to the EPA under the
Acid Rain Program, the Agency believes
that all such units are likely to meet the
applicability criteria for the Group 3
trading program.
Because the applicability criteria for
the Acid Rain Program and the Group 3
trading program are not identical, it is
possible that some units could meet the
applicability criteria for the Group 3
trading program even if they are not
subject to the Acid Rain Program. Using
data reported to the U.S. Energy
Information Administration, in the
proposal the EPA identified six sources
in Nevada and Utah (and Indian country
within the borders of the states) with a
total of 15 units that appear to meet the
general applicability criteria for the
Group 3 trading program and that do not
currently report NOX emissions and
operating data to the EPA under the
Acid Rain Program. These units were
listed in a table in the proposed rule,
and the data from that table for these
units are reproduced as Table VI.B.3–1
of this document. For each of these
units, the table shows the estimated
historical heat input and emissions data
that the EPA proposed to use for the
unit when determining state emissions
budgets if the unit was ultimately
treated as subject to the Group 3 trading
program.309 The EPA requested
comment on whether each listed unit
would or would not meet all relevant
criteria set forth in 40 CFR 97.1004 and
the associated definitions in 97.1002 to
qualify for an exemption from the
trading program and whether the
estimated historical heat input and
emissions data identified for each unit
309 As discussed in section VI.B.10, any unit that
becomes subject to the Group 3 trading program
pursuant to this rule and that does not already
report emissions data to the EPA in accordance
with 40 CFR part 75 will not be required to report
emissions data or be subject to allowance holding
requirements under the Group 3 trading program
until May 1, 2024, in order to provide time for
installation and certification of the required
monitoring systems. Such a unit will not be taken
into account for purposes of determining state
emissions budgets and unit-level allocations under
the Group 3 trading program until the 2024 control
period.
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were representative. With respect to the
listed units within the borders of
Nevada or Utah, the EPA received no
comments asserting either that the units
qualified for applicability exemptions or
that the estimated data identified by the
EPA were unrepresentative.310 For
purposes of this rule, the EPA is
therefore presuming that the units listed
in Table VI.B.3–1 do not qualify for
applicability exemptions and that the
estimated data shown in the table for
each unit are representative. However,
the owners and operators of the sources
retain the option to seek applicability
determinations under the trading
program regulations at 40 CFR
97.1004(c).
TABLE VI.B.3–1—ESTIMATED DATA TO BE USED FOR PRESUMPTIVELY AFFECTED UNITS WITHIN THE BORDERS OF
NEVADA AND UTAH THAT DO NOT REPORT UNDER THE ACID RAIN PROGRAM
Facility
ID
State
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Nevada .............
Utah ..................
2322
2322
2322
2322
2322
54350
54350
54350
54349
54349
54349
56405
54271
54271
50951
Facility name
Unit ID
Unit type
Clark .................................................
Clark .................................................
Clark .................................................
Clark .................................................
Clark .................................................
Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 1—Garnet Val
Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 1—Garnet Val
Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 1—Garnet Val
Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 2—Black Mtn ..
Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 2—Black Mtn ..
Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 2—Black Mtn ..
Nevada Solar One ...........................
Saguaro ...........................................
Saguaro ...........................................
Sunnyside ........................................
GT4 ..............
GT5 ..............
GT6 ..............
GT7 ..............
GT8 ..............
GTA ..............
GTB ..............
GTC .............
GTA ..............
GTB ..............
GTC .............
HI .................
CTG1 ...........
CTG2 ...........
1 ...................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
CT ................
Boiler ............
CT ................
CT ................
Boiler ............
Estimated
ozone season
heat input
(mmBtu)
Estimated
ozone season
average NOX
emissions
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
190,985
1,455,741
1,455,741
1,455,741
1,455,741
660,100
660,100
660,100
749,778
749,778
749,778
479,452
1,383,149
1,383,149
1,888,174
0.0475
0.0191
0.0187
0.0178
0.0204
0.0377
0.0387
0.0387
0.0323
0.0370
0.0364
0.1667
0.0314
0.0301
0.1715
Notes
............
............
............
............
............
1
1
1
1
1
1
............
1
1
............
Table notes:
1 Unit reports capability of producing both electricity and useful thermal energy.
In this final rule, the EPA is using a
combination of a ‘‘preset’’ budget
calculation methodology and a
‘‘dynamic’’ budget calculation
methodology to establish state
emissions budgets for the Group 3
trading program. A ‘‘preset’’ budget is
one for which the absolute amount
expressed as tons per ozone season
control period is established in this final
rule. It uses the latest data currently
available on EGU fleet composition at
the time of this final action. A
‘‘dynamic’’ budget is one for which the
formula and emissions-rate information
is finalized in this rule, but updated
EGU heat input and inventory
information is used on a rolling basis to
set the total tons per ozone season for
each control period. Both methods of
budget calculation are designed to set
budgets reflective of the emissions
control strategies and associated
stringency levels (expressed as an
emissions rate of pounds of NOX per
mmBtu) identified for relevant EGU
types at Step 3—which we will refer to
in this section as the ‘‘Step 3 emissions
control stringency.’’ Preset budgets
provide greater certainty for planning
purposes and can be reliably established
in the short-term based on known,
upcoming changes in the EGU fleet. Due
to build time for new units and
planning and approval processes for
plant retirements, these major fleet
alterations are often known several
years in advance. This information
facilitates presetting budgets that
appropriately calibrate the identified
control stringency to the fleet. Dynamic
budgets better assure that the budgets
remain commensurate with the Step 3
emissions control stringency over the
longer term, as currently unknown
changes in the EGU fleet occur. In this
final rule, in response to comments, we
have adjusted the proposal to give a
greater role for preset budgets through
2029, while dynamic budgeting will be
phased in to provide greater certainty in
the short term and allow for a transition
period to an exclusively ‘‘dynamic’’
approach beginning in 2030.
For the control periods from 2023
through 2025, the preset budgets
established in the rule will serve as the
state emissions budgets for the control
periods in those years, with no role for
dynamic budgeting. For the control
periods from 2026 through 2029, the
EPA is determining preset emissions
budgets for each control period in the
rule and will also calculate and publish
dynamic budgets for each state in the
year before each control period using
the dynamic budget-setting
methodology finalized in this rule,
applied to data available at the time of
the calculations. For these four control
periods, each state’s preset budget
serves as a floor and may be supplanted
by the dynamic emissions budget EPA
calculates for the state for that control
period only if the dynamic budget is
higher than the preset budget. For
control periods in 2030 and thereafter,
the state emissions budgets will be the
dynamic budgets calculated and
published in the year before each
control period.
In the dynamic budget calculation
methodology, it is the fleet composition
(reflected by heat input patterns across
the fleet in service, inclusive of EGU
entry and exit) that is dynamic, while
the emissions stringency finalized in
this rule is constant, as reflected in
310 One commenter expressed the view that eight
of the listed units within Nevada’s borders appear
to meet the CSAPR applicability criteria but
provided no comments on the specific proposed
data. See comments of Berkshire Hathaway Energy,
EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0554, at 58–59. The
EPA also received comments concerning sources
within Delaware’s borders that were included in the
proposal’s request for comment; these comments
are moot because Delaware is not being added to
the Group 3 trading program in the final rule. See
comments of Calpine, EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668–
0515; comments of Delaware City Refining, EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0309.
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4. State Emissions Budgets
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emissions rates for various types of
units. Multiplying the assumed
emissions rate for each unit (as finalized
in this rule) by the identified recent
historical heat input for each unit and
summing the results to the state level
would provide a given year’s state
dynamic emissions budgets. Dynamic
budgets are a product of the formula
promulgated in this action applied to a
rolling three-year average of reported
heat input data at the state level and a
rolling highest-three-of-five-year average
of reported heat input data at the unit
level. As such, the EPA is confident that
dynamic budgets will more accurately
reflect power sector composition,
particularly in later years, and certainly
from 2030 and beyond, than preset
budgets could and will therefore better
implement the Step 3 emissions control
stringency over long time horizons.
Starting in 2025 (for the 2026 control
period), the dynamic budgets, along
with the underlying data and
calculations will be publicly
announced, and this will occur
approximately one year before the
relevant control period begins. These
will be published in the Federal
Register through notices of data
availability (NODAs), similar to how
other periodic actions that are
ministerial in nature to implement the
trading programs are currently handled.
And as with such other actions,
interested parties will have the
opportunity to seek corrections or
administrative adjudication under 40
CFR part 78 if they believe any data
used in making these calculations, or
the calculations themselves, are in error.
To illustrate how dynamic budgeting
will work after the transition from
preset budgets, the dynamic budgets for
the 2030 ozone season control period
will be identified by May 1, 2029, using
the latest available average of three
years of reported operational data at that
time (i.e., the average of 2026–2028 heat
input data at the state level and 2024–
2028 years of rolling data at the unit
level) applied in a simple mathematical
formula finalized in this rule, which
multiplies this heat input data by the
emissions rates quantified in this rule.
Therefore, if a unit retires before the
start of the 2028 ozone season but had
not announced its upcoming retirement
at the time of this rule’s finalization, the
dynamic budget approach ensures that
the dynamic budgets for 2030 and
subsequent control periods would
represent the identified control
stringency applied to a fleet reflecting
that retirement.
The two examples discussed next
illustrate the implementation of the
dynamic budget during the 2026–2029
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time period. During this period, the
state emissions budget for each state for
a given control period will be the preset
state emissions budget unless the
dynamic budget is higher. This
approach accommodates scenarios
where baseline fossil heat input may
exceed levels anticipated by EPA in the
preset budgets (e.g., this could result
from greater electric vehicle penetration
rates). Table VI.B.4–1 illustrates this
scenario. In the preset budget approach
for 2028, the 2028 heat input is
estimated based on the latest available
heat input data at the time of rule
proposal (i.e., 2021; see the subsection
on preset budget methodology later in
this section), which cannot reflect a
subsequent change in fleet heat input
values (column 2) due to, e.g., increased
utilization to meet increased electric
load. However, the dynamic budget
would use 2022–2026 heat input values
at the unit level and 2024–2026 heat
input values at the state level—as
opposed to 2021 heat input values—as
the latest representative values to
inform the 2028 state emissions budget.
Therefore, the heat input values in
column 2 under the dynamic scenario
reflect the change in fleet utilization
levels, and when multiplied by the
emissions rates reflecting the Step 3
emissions control stringency in this
final rule, the corresponding emissions
(18,700 tons) summed in column 4
constitute a state budget that more
accurately reflects the Step 3 emissions
control stringency applied to the fleet
composition for that year, as opposed to
the 17,000 tons identified in the preset
budget approach. As illustrated in the
example, the dynamic variable is the
heat input variable, which changes over
time. In this instance, the dynamic
budget value of 18,700 tons would be
implemented for 2028 instead of the
preset value, and thus accommodate the
unforeseen utilization changes in
response to higher demand.
In the second table, Table VI.B.4–2,
the dynamic budget is lower than the
preset budget due to retirements that
were not foreseen at the time the preset
budgets were determined. In the preset
budget approach for 2028, the 2028 heat
input is still estimated based on the
latest available heat input data at the
time of rule proposal (i.e., 2021), which
cannot reflect a subsequent fleet change
in heat input values due to an
unanticipated retirement of one of the
state’s coal-fired units before the start of
the 2028 ozone season. However, the
dynamic budget again would use 2022–
2026 heat input values at the unit level
and 2024–2026 heat input values at the
state level—as opposed to 2021 heat
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input values—as the latest
representative values to inform the 2028
state emissions budget, which would
reflect the decline in coal heat input and
replacement with natural gas heat input
(capturing the coal unit’s retirement).
Therefore, the heat input values under
the dynamic budget scenario reflect the
change in fleet composition, and when
multiplied by the relevant emissions
rates reflecting the Step 3 emissions
control stringency identified in this
final rule, the corresponding emissions
(15,000 tons) constitute a state budget
that reflects the identified control
stringency applied to the fleet
composition for that year as opposed to
the 17,000 tons in summed in the first
table. However, for the 2026–2029
period, in which the EPA implements
an approach that utilizes the higher of
the dynamic budget or preset budget,
the budget implemented for 2028 in this
scenario would be the 17,000 ton preset
amount.
During the 2026–2029 transition
period—during which substantial,
publicly announced utility
commitments exist for higher emitting
units to exit the fleet—it is still possible
that yet-to-be known, unit-specific
retirements (such as illustrated in this
second scenario) may result in dynamic
budgets that are lower than the preset
budgets finalized in this rule. However,
during this transition period EPA
believes that having the preset budgets
serve as floors for the state emissions
budgets is appropriate for two primary
reasons identified by commenters. First,
commenters repeatedly emphasized the
need for certainty and flexibility to
successfully carryout plans for
significant fleet transition through the
end of the decade. The 2026–2029
period is expected to have substantial
fleet turnover. Current Form EIA–860
data, in which utilities report their
retirement plans, identify 2028 as the
year with the most planned coal
capacity retirements during the 2023–
2029 timeframe. Using preset budgets as
state emissions budget floors provides
states and utilities with information on
minimum quantities of allowances that
can be used for planning purposes. In
turn, this fosters the operational
flexibility needed while putting
generation and transmission solutions
into place to accommodate such
elevated levels of retirements. Second,
the latter part of the decade has a
significant amount of unit-level firm
retirements already planned and
announced for purposes of compliance
with other power sector regulations or
fulfillment of utility commitments.
These known retirements are already
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captured in the preset state budgets,
with the result that the likelihood and
magnitude of instances where a state’s
dynamic budget for a given control
period would be lower than its preset
budget for the control period is reduced
in this 2026–2029 period relative to
control periods further in the future for
which retirement plans have not yet
been announced. After 2029, the
dynamic budgets from 2030 forward
will fully capture all prior retirements
and new builds when the fleet is
entering this period where unit-specific
data on such plans is less frequently
available. For instance, through the
remaining portion of the decade, the
amount of coal steam retirements
identified and reported through Form
EIA–860 is nearly 7 GW each year.
However, for the decade beginning in
2030—the amount of capacity currently
36779
reported with a planned retirement is
less than 2 GW each year.311 This yetto-be available data and relative lack of
currently known firm retirement plans
for 2030 and beyond make dynamic
budget implementation for those years
essential for state emissions budgets to
maintain the Step 3 control stringency
required under this rule.
TABLE VI.B.4–1—EXAMPLE OF PRESET AND DYNAMIC BUDGET CALCULATION IN SCENARIO OF INCREASED FOSSIL HEAT
INPUT
Preset budget approach (2028)
Preset
heat input
(tBtu)
Preset
emissions
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
Dynamic budget approach (2028)
Preset tons
(heat input ×
emissions
rate)/2000
Heat input
(tBtu)
Emissions
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
Tons
(heat input ×
emissions
rate)/2000
Coal Units ............................................................
Gas Units .............................................................
600
400
0.05
0.01
15,000
2,000
660
440
0.05
0.01
16,500
2,200
State Budget (tons) ......................................
....................
......................
17,000
....................
......................
18,700
TABLE VI.B.4–2—EXAMPLE OF PRESET AND DYNAMIC BUDGET CALCULATION IN SCENARIO OF UNANTICIPATED
RETIREMENT
Preset budget approach (2028)
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Preset
heat input
(tBtu)
Preset
emissions
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
Dynamic budget approach (2028)
Preset tons
(heat input ×
emissions
rate)/2000
Heat input
(tBtu)
Emissions
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
Tons
(heat input ×
emissions
rate)/2000
Coal Units ............................................................
Gas Units .............................................................
600
400
0.05
0.01
15,000
2,000
500
500
0.05
0.01
12,500
2,500
State Budget (tons) ......................................
....................
......................
17,000
....................
......................
15,000
In summary, for the control periods in
2023 through 2025, EPA is providing
only preset budgets in this final rule
because those control periods are in the
immediate future and would not
substantially benefit from the use of
future reported data. For these years, the
certainty around new builds and
retirements is higher than ensuing years.
For the ozone season control periods of
2026 through 2029, EPA is providing
both preset budgets in this final rule and
dynamic budgets via future ministerial
actions. For those control periods from
2026 through 2029, the preset budgets
finalized in this rule serve as floors,
such that a given state’s dynamic budget
ultimately calculated and published for
that control period will apply to that
state’s affected EGUs only if it is higher
than the corresponding preset budget
finalized in this rulemaking. This
approach is in response to stakeholder
comments requesting more advance
notice regarding the total quantities of
allowances available to accommodate
compliance planning through the latter
half of the decade, during a period of
particularly high fleet transition
expected with or without this
rulemaking.
EPA’s emissions budget methodology
and formula for establishing Group 3
budgets are described in detail in the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD and summarized later in this
section.
a. Methodology for Determining Preset
State Emissions Budgets for the 2023
Through 2029 Control Periods
To compose preset state emissions
budgets, the EPA is using the best
available data at the time of developing
this final rule regarding retirements and
new builds. The EPA relies on a
compilation of data from Form EIA–860
(where facilities report their future
retirement plans), the PJM Retirement
Tracker, utilities’ integrated resource
plans, notification of compliance plans
with other EPA power sector regulatory
requirements, and other information
sources that EPA routinely canvasses to
populate the data fields included in the
Agency’s NEEDS database. The EPA has
updated this data on retirements and
new builds using the latest information
available from these sources at the time
of final rule development as well as
input provided by commenters.
For determining preset state
emissions budgets, the EPA generally
uses historical ozone season data from
the 2021 ozone season, the most recent
data available to EPA and to
commenters responding to this
rulemaking’s proposal and providing a
reasonable representation of near-term
fleet conditions. This is similar to the
approach taken in the CSAPR Update
and the Revised CSAPR Update, where
311 See 2021 Form EIA Form 860—Schedule 3,
Generator Data. Department of Energy, Energy
Information Administration.
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the EPA likewise began with data for the
most recent ozone season at the time of
proposal (2015 and 2019, respectively).
By using historical unit-level NOX
emissions rates, heat input, and
emissions data in the first stage of
determining preset emissions budgets,
the EPA is grounding its budgets in the
most recent representative historical
operation for the covered units at the
time EPA began its final rulemaking.
This data set is a reasonable starting
point for the budget-setting process as it
reflects recent publicly available and
quality assured data reported by affected
facilities under 40 CFR part 75, largely
using CEMS. The reporting
requirements include quality control
measures, verification measures, and
instrumentation to best record and
report the data. In addition, the
designated representatives of EGU
sources are required to attest to the
accuracy and completeness of the data.
The first step in deriving the future
year state emissions budget is to
calibrate historical data to planned
future fleet conditions. EPA does this by
adjusting this historical baseline
information to reflect the known
changes (e.g., when deriving the 2023
state emissions budget, EPA starts by
adjusting 2021 unit-level data to reflect
changes announced and planned to
occur by 2023). The EPA adjusted the
2021 ozone-season data to reflect
committed fleet changes expected to
occur in the baseline. This includes
announced and confirmed retirements,
new builds, and retrofits that occur after
2021 but prior to 2023. For example, if
a unit emitted in 2021, but retired prior
to May 1, 2022, its 2021 emissions
would not be included in the 2023
baseline estimate. For units that had no
known changes, the EPA uses the actual
emissions, heat input, and emissions
rates reported for 2021 as the baseline
starting point for calculating the 2023
state emissions budgets. Using this
method, the EPA arrived at a baseline
emission, heat input, and emissions rate
estimate for each unit for a future year
(e.g., 2023).
The second step in deriving the preset
state emissions budgets is for EPA to
take the adjusted historical data from
Step 1, and adjust the emissions rates
and mass emissions to reflect the
control stringencies identified as
appropriate for EGUs of that type. For
instance, if an SCR-equipped unit was
not operating its SCR so as to achieve
a seasonal average emissions rate of 0.08
lb/mmBtu or less in the historical
baseline, the EPA lowered that unit’s
assumed emissions rate to 0.08 lb/
mmBtu and calculated the impact on
the unit’s mass emissions. Note that the
heat input is held constant for the unit
in the process, reflecting the same level
of unit operation compared to historical
2021 data. The improved emissions rate
of 0.08 lb/mmBtu is applied to this
constant heat input, reflecting control
optimization. In this manner, the unitlevel totals from Step 1 are adjusted to
reflect the additional application of the
assumed control technology at a given
control stringency. This is illustrated in
Table VI.B.4.a–1. Row 1 reflects the
2021 historical data for this SCRcontrolled unit. Row 2 reflects no
change (as there are no known changes
such as planned retirement or coal-togas conversion). Row 3 reflects
application of the Step 3 stringency (i.e.,
a 0.08 lb/mmBtu emissions rate from
SCR optimization). The resulting impact
on emissions is a reduction from the
historical 4,700 tons to an expected
future level of 615 tons. A state’s preset
budget for a given control period is the
sum of the amounts computed in this
manner for each unit in the state for the
control period.
TABLE VI.B.4.a–1—EXAMPLE OF UNIT-LEVEL DATA CALCULATIONS FOR DERIVING STATE EMISSIONS BUDGETS
Heat input
(tBtu)
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Historical Data (2021) ..................................................................................................................
Step 1 (Baseline)—Historical data adjusted for planned changes .............................................
Step 2—Baseline further adjusted for Step 3 stringency ............................................................
For each control period from 2026
onward, the unit-specific emissions
rates assumed for all affected states
except Alabama, Minnesota, and
Wisconsin will reflect the selected
control stringency that incorporates
post-combustion control retrofit
opportunities for the relevant units
identified in the state emissions budgets
and calculations appendix to the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD. The emissions rates assigned to
large coal-fired EGUs for 2026 state
emissions budget computations only
reflect 50 percent of the SCR retrofit
emissions reduction potential at each of
those units, to capture the phase-in
approach EPA is taking for this control
as described in section VI.A of this
document. The EPA calculates these
unit-level emissions rates in 2026 as the
sum of the unit’s baseline emissions rate
and its controlled emissions rate
divided by two (i.e., 50 percent of the
emissions reduction potential of that
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pollution control measure). The
emissions rates assigned to these large
coal-fired EGUs for 2027 state emissions
budget computations reflect the full
assumed SCR retrofit emissions
potential at those units, by applying the
controlled emissions rate only. For
example, a coal steam unit greater than
or equal to 100 MW currently lacking a
SCR and emitting at 0.20 lb/mmBtu
would be assumed to reduce its
emissions rate to 0.125 lb/mmBtu rate in
2026 and 0.050 lb/mmBtu rate in 2027
for purposes of deriving its preset state
emissions budgets in those years.
Comment: Some commenters
suggested that EPA should not reflect
planned retirements in its preset
budgets. The suggestion stems from
commenters’ observation that those
retirement decisions may yet change.
Response: The effectiveness of EPA’s
future year preset state emissions
budgets depends on how well they are
calibrated to the expected future fleet.
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15.384
15.384
15.384
Emission
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
0.61
0.61
0.08
Emissions
(tons)
4,700
4,700
615
Therefore, EPA believes it is important
to incorporate expected new builds,
retirements, and unit changes already
slated to occur. Ignoring these factors
would dilute, rather than strengthen, the
ability of preset budgets to capture the
most representative fleet of EGUs to
which they will be applied. Omitting
scheduled retirements and new builds
from state emissions budgets would
reflect units that power sector operators
and planning authorities do not expect
to exist, while failing to reflect units
that are expected to exist.
EPA notes it is using the best
available data at the time of the final
rule. EPA relies on a compilation of data
from Form EIA–860 where facilities
report their future retirement plans. In
addition, EPA is using data from
regional transmission organizations who
are cataloging, evaluating, and
approving such retirement plans and
data; data from notifications submitted
directly to EPA by the utility themselves
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through comments; and retirement
notifications submitted to permitting
authorities. This information is highly
reliable, real-world information that
provides EPA with the high confidence
that such retirements will in fact occur.
If a unit’s future retirement does not
occur on the currently scheduled date,
EPA observes that such an unexpected
departure from the currently available
evidence would still not undermine the
ability of affected EGUs to comply with
their applicable state budgets. EPA’s
approach of using historical data and
incorporation only of announced fleet
changes in estimating its future
engineering analytics baseline means
that its future year baseline generation
and retirement outlook for higher
emitting sources is more likely to
understate future retirements (rather
than overstate as suggested by
commenter), as EPA does not assume for
the purpose of preset budget
quantification any retirements beyond
those that are already planned. In other
words, in the 2023 through 2029
timeframe for which EPA is establishing
preset state emissions budgets in this
rulemaking, there are more likely to be
additional future EGU retirements
beyond those scheduled prior to the
finalization of this rule than there are to
be reversed or substantially delayed
changes to already announced EGU
retirement plans. For instance,
subsequent to the EPA’s finalization of
the Revised CSAPR Update Rule
budgets for 2023 (rule finalized in
March 2021), the owners of Sammis
Units 5–7 and Zimmer Unit 1 in Ohio
(totaling nearly 3 GW of coal capacity)
announced that the units would retire
by 2023—nearly 5 years earlier than
previously planned.312 313 These coal
retirements were not captured in Ohio’s
2023 or 2024 state emissions budgets
established under the Revised CSAPR
Update. Meanwhile, there have been no
announcements of previously
announced retirement plans being
rescinded or delayed for other Ohio
units. Similarly, the Joppa Power Plant
in Illinois accelerated its retirement
from 2025 to 2022 shortly after the
Revised CSAPR Update Rule was
signed.314
312 Available at https://www.prnewswire.com/
news-releases/energy-harbor-transitions-to-100carbon-free-energy-infrastructure-company-in-2023301501879.html.
313 Available at https://www.spglobal.com/
commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/
coal/071921-vistra-plans-to-retire-13-gw-zimmercoal-plant-in-ohio-five-years-early.
314 Available at https://www.prnewswire.com/
news-releases/joppa-power-plant-to-close-in-2022as-company-transitions-to-a-cleaner-future301263013.html.
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We further observe that the
commenters’ concern is only materially
meaningful for the 2023 through 2025
preset budget periods, where the
currently known information is
generally the most reliable. For the
2026–2029 control periods, if an
anticipated fleet change such as an EGU
retirement does not actually occur, the
dynamic budget setting methodology
would, all else being equal, generate a
budget reflective of that unit’s
continued operation (as the budget
would be based on the preceding years
of historical data), and that dynamic
budget will supplant the preset budget
for that state (if it represents a total
quantity of emissions higher than the
preset budget).
Because the future is inherently
uncertain, all analytic tools and
information resources used in any
estimation of future EGU emissions will
yield some differences between the
projected future and the realized future.
Such potential differences may either
increase or decrease future emissions in
practice, and the unavoidable existence
of such differences does not, on its own,
render the EPA’s inclusion of currently
announced retirements an unreasonable
feature of the methodology for
determining future year preset
emissions budgets. To the contrary, if
the EPA failed to include these
announced retirements, the rule would
knowingly authorize amounts of
additional, sustained pollution that are
not currently expected to occur. If those
retirements largely or entirely occur as
currently scheduled, the overestimated
state budgets would allow other EGUs to
emit additional pollution in place of the
emissions from the retired EGUs instead
of maintaining or improving their
emissions performance to eliminate
significant contribution with
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS.315
Additionally, as noted elsewhere,
EPA’s use of a market-based program, a
starting bank of converted allowances,
and variability limits are all features
that will readily accommodate whatever
relatively limited differences in
emissions may occur if a currently
scheduled EGU retirement is ultimately
postponed during the preset budget
years of 2023 through 2025. Therefore,
EPA’s resulting preset state emissions
budgets—inclusive of expected fleet
turnover—are robust to the inherent
uncertainty in future year baseline
315 Some of these announced retirements reflect
the operator’s reported intention to EPA to retire the
affected capacity by that time as part of their
compliance with effluent limitation guidelines or
with the coal combustion residuals rule.
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36781
conditions for the period in which they
are applied.
Comment: Some commenters
suggested that EPA should use a multiyear baseline for all of its state budget
derivations, including preset budgets, to
control for outlier years that may not be
representative of future years due to
major weather events or other fleet
disruptions (such as a large nuclear unit
outage).
Response: For preset state emissions
budget derivation, EPA is finalizing use
of the same single-year 316 historical
baseline approach it used in the
proposed rule. This approach is similar
to the Revised CSAPR Update, where
EPA also relied on a single-year
historical baseline to inform its Step 3
approach. EPA’s interest in a historical
data set to inform this part of the
analysis is to capture the most
representative view of the power sector.
For estimating preset state budgets, EPA
finds that, particularly at the state level,
more recent data is a better
representation and basis for future year
baselines rather than incorporating
older data. Taking as an example preset
budget estimation for the 2023 through
2025 ozone seasons, the EPA is able to
compare its single-year base line to an
alternative multi-year baseline (e.g., a 3year baseline encompassing 2020–2022)
and determine that the single year
baseline better reflects future fleet
operation expectation than a multi-year
baseline that incorporates units which
have since retired as well as outlier
patterns in load during pandemicrelated shutdowns.
EPA recognizes that 2021 is the latest
available historical data as of the
preparation of this rulemaking, and
therefore the most up-to-date picture of
the fleet at the time EPA began its
analysis. EPA then further evaluates the
2021 historical data at the state level to
determine whether it was a
representative starting point for
estimating future year baseline levels
and subsequently deriving the preset
state emissions budgets. If the Agency
finds any state-level anomalies, it makes
necessary adjustments to the data.
While unit-level variation may occur
from year-to-year, those variations are
often offset by substitute generation
from other units within the state.
Therefore, EPA conducts its first
screening at the state level by
identifying any states where 2021 heat
316 For the purposes of this rulemaking, when
describing a ‘‘year’’ or ‘‘years’’ of data utilized in
state emission budget computations, the EPA is
actually utilizing the relevant data from May 1
through September 30 of the referenced year(s),
consistent with the control period duration of this
rule’s EGU trading program.
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input and 2021 emissions were the
lowest year for heat input and emissions
relative to the past several years (2018–
2022, excluding 2020 due to shut downs
and corresponding reduced utilization
related to the pandemic onset).317 318
Then, for that limited number of states
(AL, LA, MS, and TX) in which 2021
reflects the minimum fossil fuel heat
input and minimum emissions over the
baseline evaluation period, EPA—
similar to prior rules—evaluated
whether any unit-level anomalies in
operation were driving this lower heat
input at the state level. EPA examined
unit-level 2021 outages to determine
where an individual unit-level outage
might yield a significant difference in
state heat input, corresponding
emissions baseline and resulting state
emissions budgets. When applying this
test to all of the units in the previously
identified states (and even when
applying to EGUs in all states for whom
Federal implementation plans are
finalized in this rulemaking), the EPA
determined that the only unit with a
2021 outage that (1) decreased its output
relative to preceding or subsequent
years by 75 percent or more (signifying
an outage), and (2) could potentially
impact the state’s emissions budget
substantially as it constituted more than
5 percent of the state’s heat input in a
non-outage year was Daniel Unit 2 in
Mississippi. EPA therefore adjusted this
state’s baseline heat input and NOX
emissions to reflect the operation of this
unit based on its 2019 data—which was
the second most recent year of data
available at the time of proposal
(excluding 2020 given atypical impacts
from pandemic-related shutdowns) for
which this unit operated. The EPA then
applied the Step 3 mitigation strategies
as appropriate to this unit (i.e.,
combustion controls upgrade in 2024,
SCR retrofit in 2026/2027) to derive this
portion of Mississippi’s budget. This
test, and subsequent adjustment as
necessary, enables EPA to utilize the
latest, most representative data in a
manner that is robust to any substantial
state-level or region-level outlier events
within that dataset and further validates
EPA’s comprehensive approach to using
the most recent single year of data for
preset budgets.
b. Methodology for Determining
Dynamic State Emissions Budgets for
Control Periods in 2026 onwards
In this final rule, the EPA is finalizing
an approach of using multi-year
baseline data for purposes of dynamic
budget computation. The
aforementioned testing of the
representative nature of a single year of
baseline data for purposes of preset
budget setting is not possible in the
dynamic budget process as that data
will not be available until a later date.
Further, the EPA generally agrees with
commenters that use of a multi-year
period will be more robust to any
unrepresentative outlier years in fleet
operation and thus better suited for
purposes of dynamic budgets. The
methodology for determining dynamic
state emissions budgets for later control
periods (2026 and beyond) relies on a
nearly identical methodology for
applying unit-level emissions rate
assumptions as the preset budget
methodology. But it uses more recent
heat input data that will become
available by that future time, employing
a multi-year approach for identifying
the heat input data so as to ensure
representativeness.
For dynamic budgets, EPA uses more
years of baseline data to control for any
state-level and unit-level variation that
may occur in a future single year that is
not possible to identify at present. First,
for each unit operating in the most
recent ozone season for which data have
been reported, EPA identifies the
average of the three highest unit-level
heat input values from the five ozone
seasons ending with that ozone season
to get a representative unit-level heat
input. Ozone seasons for which a unit
reported zero heat input are excluded
from the averaging of the three highest
heat input values for that unit. These
representative unit-level heat input
values established for each unit
individually are then summed for all
units in each state. Each unit’s
representative unit-level heat input is
then divided into this state-level sum to
get that unit’s representative percent of
the aggregated average heat input values
for all affected EGUs in that state.
Next, EPA calculates a representative
state-level heat input by taking the
average state-level total heat input
across affected EGUs from the most
recent three ozone seasons for which
data have been reported, to which the
above-derived representative unit-level
percentages of heat input are applied.
The EPA uses a three-year baseline
period for state-level heat input versus
the five-year baseline period noted
previously for unit-level heat input
because there is less variation from year
to year at the state level compared to the
unit level. Multiplying the
representative unit-level percentages of
heat input by the representative statelevel heat input yields a normalized
unit-level heat input value for each
affected EGU. This step assures that the
total heat input being reflected in a
dynamic state budget does not exceed
the average total heat input reported by
affected EGUs in that state from the
three most recent years. Finally, each
normalized unit-level heat input value
is multiplied by the emissions rate
reflecting the assumed unit-specific
control stringency for each particular
year (determined at Step 3) to get a unitlevel emissions estimate. These unitlevel emissions estimates are then
summed to the state level to identify the
dynamic budget for that year. This
procedure to derive normalized unitlevel heat input is captured in the
following table:
TABLE VI.B.4.b–1—DERIVATION OF NORMALIZED UNIT-LEVEL HEAT INPUT
[Illustrative]
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2022
Heat
input
Unit A ..................................
Unit B ..................................
Unit C ..................................
2023
Heat
input
100
50
250
2024
Heat
input
200
100
150
150
200
150
317 EPA identified states for which 2021 both heat
input and emissions were the low year among the
examined baseline period as a preliminary screen
to identify potential instances where reduced
utilization may lead to an understated emissions
baseline value.
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2025
Heat
input
200
50
200
2026
Heat
input
Representative
unit-level heat
input
(avg of 3
highest of past 5)
300
100
100
Representative
unit-level
percent
233
133
200
318 EPA also conducted a similar test to identify
states in which 2021 heat input and emissions were
the high year among the examined baseline period
and found that it was for both Utah and
Pennsylvania. However, for both states the elevated
heat input trend persisted into 2022 (at slightly
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41%
24
35
Representative
state level heat
input
(avg 3 most
recent state totals)
483
483
483
Normalized
unit—level
heat input
199
114
170
lower levels and was correlated with retirements
elsewhere in the region—indicating that some of
this heat input increase may be representative of the
future fleet and that planned retirements factored
into preset budget will remove any unrepresentative
heat input from 2021.
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TABLE VI.B.4.b–1—DERIVATION OF NORMALIZED UNIT-LEVEL HEAT INPUT—Continued
[Illustrative]
2022
Heat
input
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State Total ....................
2023
Heat
input
400
2024
Heat
input
450
500
The EPA will issue these dynamic
budget quantifications approximately 1
year before the relevant control period.
We view such actions as ministerial in
nature in that no exercise of agency
discretion is required. For instance,
starting in early 2025, the EPA would
take the most recent three years of statelevel heat input data and the most
recent five years of unit-level heat input
data and calculate 2026 state emissions
budgets using the methodology
described previously. For 2026–2029,
EPA is establishing the preset state
emissions budgets finalized in this
rulemaking and will only supplant
those preset emissions budgets with the
to-be-published dynamic emissions
budgets if, for a given state and a given
control period, that dynamic budget
yields a higher level of emissions than
the corresponding preset budget
finalized in this rulemaking. For 2030
and beyond, the EPA solely uses the
dynamic budget process.
By March 1 of 2025, and each year
thereafter, the EPA will make publicly
available through a NODA the
preliminary state emissions budgets for
the subsequent control period and will
provide stakeholders with a 30-day
opportunity to submit any objections to
the updated data and computations.
(This process will be similar to the
releases of data and preliminary
computations for allocations from new
unit set-asides that is already used in
existing CSAPR trading programs.) By
May 1 of 2025, and each year thereafter,
the EPA will publish the dynamic
budgets for the ozone-season control
period in the following calendar year.
Through the 2029 ozone season control
period, these budgets will only be
imposed if the applicable dynamic state
budget is higher than the corresponding
preset state budget finalized in this
rulemaking. Preliminary and final unitlevel allowance allocations for the units
in each state in each control period will
be published on the same schedule as
the dynamic budgets for the control
period. For the control periods from
2026 through 2029, the allocations will
reflect the higher of the preset or
dynamic budget for each state, and after
2030, the allocations will reflect the
dynamic budgets. Additional details,
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2025
Heat
input
450
2026
Heat
input
Representative
unit-level heat
input
(avg of 3
highest of past 5)
500
567
Representative
unit-level
percent
Representative
state level heat
input
(avg 3 most
recent state totals)
Normalized
unit—level
heat input
............................
........................................
......................
corresponding data and formulas, and
examples for the dynamic budget are
described in the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD.
Comment: Multiple commenters
claimed that designing a dynamic
budget process that relies on a single
year of yet-to-be known heat input data
may produce an unrepresentative view
of fleet operations for the immediate
ensuing years. Commenters pointed to
the hypothetical of another pandemiclike year (e.g., 2020) occurring in the
future, noting that 2020 would have
been a poor choice for estimating 2022
fleet operation and the same would
likely hold true if a similar event
occurred, for example, in 2025—that
would consequently make that year a
poor choice as a representative of 2027
baseline. They further pointed out that
severe weather events and operating
disruptions (a large nuclear plant
outage) can similarly render a single
year baseline a risky choice to inform
future expectations.
Response: Insofar as the commenters
are addressing the reference period for
dynamic budget computation regarding
years of data that have not yet occurred
and therefore not currently available for
evaluating their representative nature,
EPA agrees and is incorporating a
rolling 3-year baseline at the state level
and a rolling 5-year baseline at the unit
level for determining dynamic budgets
in this final rule. These multi-year
rolling baseline (or reference periods)
will minimize any otherwise undue
impact from individual years where
fleet-level or unit-level heat input was
uncharacteristically high or low. EPA
determined that such an approach,
while not needed for preset budgets, is
necessary in the case of dynamic
budgets because the baseline in that
instance is occurring in a future year
and therefore is not knowable and
available to test for representativeness at
the time of the final rule. To control for
this type of uncertainty, the EPA finds
it appropriate to use a multi-year
baseline in this instance per commenter
suggestion. While a multi-year baseline
may have a slight drawback of using a
slightly more dated past fleet
performance (including emissions from
higher emitting EGUs that may have
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subsequently reduced utilization by the
target year for which the dynamic
budget is being calculated) to estimate
the expected future fleet performance at
the emissions performance levels
determined by the Step 3 result in this
rulemaking, that drawback is worth the
advantage of protecting against
instances where atypical circumstances
in the most recent single year may occur
and not be representative of the
subsequent year for which the dynamic
budget is being estimated. This singular
drawback of moving to a multi-year
baseline is most pronounced in the early
years of dynamic budgeting. Therefore,
EPA is able to lessen the impact of this
drawback of the multi-year baseline by
extending the earliest start date of
dynamic budgets from 2025 (as
proposed) to 2026 in the final rule.
Comment: Commenters suggested that
the dynamic budget procedure would
not provide enough advance notice of
state budget and unit level allocation for
sources to adequately plan future year
operation.
Response: EPA disagrees with the
notion that the timing of the dynamic
budget determination would occur too
close to the control period to allow
adequate operations planning for
compliance. As described previously,
the dynamic budget level would be
provided approximately 1 year in
advance of the start of the control period
(i.e., around May 1), and the allowance
allocations would occur on July 1,
approximately 10 months prior to the
start of the compliance period. Not only
is this an adequate amount of time as
demonstrated by the successful
implementation of past rules that have
been finalized and implemented within
several months of the beginning of the
first affected compliance period (e.g.,
Revised CSAPR Update), but EPA notes
it is maintaining similar trading
program flexibility and banking
flexibilities of past programs which
provide further opportunities for
sources to procure allowances and plan
for any future operating conditions.
Finally, as noted previously, the EPA is
providing preset budgets for the years
2023–2029, which serve as an effective
floor on the state’s ultimate emissions
budget level for years 2026–2029, as
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states will receive the higher of the
preset or dynamic budget for those
years. This provision of certain preset
state emissions budgets serving as a
floor level for 2026–2029 should further
assuage commenters’ concerns regarding
planning certainty about allowance
allocations and state emissions budget
levels during this period of power sector
transition to cleaner energy sources.
Comment: Commenters raised
concerns that there is a two-year lag in
the dynamic budgets in that, for
example, for the dynamic budget in the
2026 control period, the calculations
will be based on heat input and
inventory information reflective of data
through 2024. Commenters contend
that, if there is a much greater need for
allowances for compliance due to
unavoidable or unforeseen need for a
higher amount of heat input than
reflected in prior years’ data, the budget
for that control period will not reflect
this need, and the allowances will only
become available when the dynamic
budget is calculated using that
information (i.e., 2025 data would be
reflected starting in the 2027 dynamic
budget). According to commenters, this
lag could present a serious compliance
challenge. Other commenters raised a
concern in the opposite direction about
the potential ‘‘slack’’ created by the lag
time—meaning that as high-emitting
units retire, their emissions and
operation will still inform the state
emissions budgets for additional years
beyond their retirement due to the lag.
Response: The EPA recognizes there
will be a data lag inherent in the
computation of future year dynamic
emissions budgets, because the dynamic
budgets will reflect fleet composition
and utilization data from recent
previous control periods rather than the
control periods for which the dynamic
budgets are being calculated. This
means that the resulting dynamic
budgets will reflect a limited lag behind
the actual pace of the EGU fleet’s trends.
However, on the whole, those trends are
clearly toward more efficient and
cleaner generating resources. Thus, the
data lag on the whole will inure to the
compliance benefit of EGUs by resulting
in dynamic budgets that are generally
calculated at levels likely to be
somewhat higher than what a dynamic
budget calculation reflecting real-time
EGU operations would produce. The
EPA believes this data lag is worthwhile
to provide more compliance planning
certainty and advance notice to affected
EGUs of the dynamic budget applicable
to an upcoming control period.
Furthermore, this data lag in dynamic
budget computation is comparable to
the data lag of quantifying preset state
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budgets for 2023 through 2025 based
upon 2021 data, and at no point in the
long history of EPA’s trading programs
has such a data lag in state budget
computation yielded any compliance
problems for affected EGUs. Without
dynamic budgeting, the data lag
inherent in calculating preset budgets
would grow unabated with the passage
of time, as a fixed reference year of heat
input levels would continually apply
regardless of potentially higher heat
input levels farther and farther into the
future. By eliminating the increase in
the length of the data lag, this new
dynamic budgeting approach is a
substantial improvement in
performance of the program relative to
previous approaches that were not
capable of capturing changes over time
in the fleet and its utilization beyond
the scheduled changes known to the
EPA at the time of establishing preset
budgets.
The EPA disagrees that this lag will in
fact pose compliance challenges for
EGUs even if the unlikely scenario
described by commenters were to occur.
Several factors influence this. First, the
change in methodology to preset
budgets serving as a floor on budgets
through 2029 means that the dynamic
budget methodology can only produce
an increase in the budget from this final
rule through that year. Second, the
adoption of a multi-year approach for
identifying the heat input used to
calculate the dynamic budgets will
smooth the year-to-year budget changes
and effectively eliminate the possibility
of greatest concern, which was that a
single year of unusually low heat input
would be used to set the budget for a
subsequent year that turned out to have
unusually high heat input. While a year
of unusually high heat input for a given
state may still occur, the state’s budgets
for those years will never be based on
heat input from an anomalously low
year, but instead will always be based
on an average of several years’ heat
input. Third, because the Group 3
trading program is an interstate program
implemented over a wide geographic
region, and it is unlikely that all regions
of the country would uniformly
experience a marked increase in fossil
fuel heat input necessitating an
additional supply of allowances, it is
likely that allowances will be available
for trade from one area of the country
where there is less demand to another
area where there is greater demand.
Fourth, as explained in section VI.B.5 of
this document, each state’s assurance
level will adjust to reflect actual heat
input in that year. Specifically, the EPA
will determine each state’s variability
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limit for a given control period so that
the percentage value used will be the
higher of 21 percent or the percentage
(if any) by which the total reported heat
input of the state’s affected EGUs in the
control period exceeds the total reported
heat input of the state’s affected EGUs
as reflected in the state’s emissions
budget for the control period. Thus, if in
year 2030, for example, a state’s actual
heat input levels increase to a level that
is not reflected in the dynamic budget
calculation using earlier years of data,
the assurance level (which absent the
unusually high heat input would be 121
percent of the state’s budget) will be
calculated by the EPA following the
2030 ozone season, using that higher
reported heat input. This will avoid
imposing a three-for-one allowance
surrender penalty on sources except
where emissions exceed the assurance
level even factoring in the increase in
heat input in that year. Finally, as some
commenters observed, the inherent data
lag in dynamic budget quantification
means that a state budget for the year
2030 will continue to reflect emissions
from any EGU that retires before the
2030 control period but is still operating
anytime during the 2026–2028 reference
years from which the 2030 dynamic
budget will be calculated. Given the
likely ongoing trend of relatively highemitting EGU retirements over time, this
method for determining dynamic
budgets should further assist the ability
of remaining EGUs to obtain sufficient
allowances to cover future heat input
levels.
With respect to the comments
expressing concern that dynamic
budgets would create too much slack
because of the lag in incorporating
retirements, the EPA observes that
dynamic budgets will yield a closer
representation of Step 3 control
stringency across the future fleet than
preset budgets for years in which
retirement plans are currently relatively
unknown. Moreover, any risk that the
lag would lead to an unacceptably large
surplus of allowances is limited by
EPA’s finalization of the annual bank
recalibration to 21 percent and 10.5
percent of the budget beginning in 2024
and 2030 respectively. The
corresponding risk that a lag will lead
sources to not operate emissions
controls, due to a surplus of allowances,
is also limited by the backstop daily
emissions rates that start in 2024 (for
sources with existing SCR controls) and
no later than 2030 for other coal-fired
sources.
Comment: Commenters allege that the
dynamic budget methodology is
effectively a ‘‘one-way ratchet’’ because,
if EGUs pursue compliance strategies
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such as reduced utilization or
generation shifting to comply with the
rule rather than install or optimize
pollution controls pursuant to the
identified Step 3 emissions control
strategies, the effect will be that the
dynamic budget calculated in a future
year will reflect that reduced heat input,
but the applied emissions rate
assumption will be the same. Thus, the
approach according to commenters
actually ‘‘punishes’’ sources for
achievement of emissions reductions
commensurate with EPA’s Step 3
determinations through alternative
compliance means, by producing a
smaller budget in later years (less heat
input multiplied by the same emissions
rate). If the source again reduces
utilization or shifts generation to
comply with this budget, then budgets
in later years will again ratchet down,
and so on.
Response: First, the claims of
dynamic budgeting being a one-way
ratchet are incorrect. As pointed out at
proposal, the dynamic budget process
would allow for increased utilization to
result in increased budgets. Moreover,
this concern is entirely mooted for the
period 2026 through 2029 with the shift
to preset budgets serving as a floor;
dynamic budgeting can only increase
the budget used in any given year in this
time period. Additionally, the use of a
multi-year average heat input in the
budget-setting calculations will, on the
whole, modulate the dynamic budgets
such that the budgets over time will
only gradually change with changes in
the operating profile of the EGU fleet.
For the control periods 2030 and later,
this rule is premised on the expectation
that all large coal-fired EGU sources
identified for SCR-retrofit potential will,
if they continue operating in 2030 or
later, have installed the requisite postcombustion controls. Thus, the backstop
daily emissions rate applies for all such
sources beginning in the 2030 ozone
season. In this latter period (post-2030),
the EPA disagrees that the dynamic
budget will punish fleet segments
seeking to continue to pursue a strategy
of reduced utilization. Rather, the
dynamic budget will simply continue to
reflect the Step 3 emissions control
stringency. For instance, if there are two
otherwise high-emitting sources in a
state that can reduce emissions by
operating SCR, this rule’s control
stringency finds it cost effective for both
sources to operate their controls. If one
source retires and is replaced by new
lower-emitting generation, it is not a
punishment to have the budgets adjust
in a way that still incentivize remaining
units to operate their controls. This is
simply right-sizing the budget to an
evolving fleet. It is a feature of the rule,
not a flaw, and is designed to address
observed instances in prior rules where
market-driven reduced utilization
resulted in non-binding (i.e., overly
36785
slack) budgets and corresponding
conditions where the incentive to
operate a control dissipated over time.
In the event that sources reduce
utilization whether for compliance
purposes or market-driven reasons, that
also does not obviate the importance of
continuing to incentivize the Step 3
emissions control stringency at
identified sources.
c. Final Preset State Emissions Budgets
For affected EGUs in each covered
state (and Indian country within the
state’s borders), this final rule
establishes preset budgets for the
control periods 2023 through 2029. For
control periods 2026 through 2029, any
of those preset budgets may be
supplanted by the corresponding
dynamic budget that will be tabulated at
later date, if and only if that dynamic
budget yields a higher amount. For 2030
and beyond, the dynamic budget
formula promulgated in this rule will be
applied to future year data to quantify
state emissions budgets for those control
periods. The procedures for allocating
the allowances from each state budget
among the units in each state (and
Indian country within the state’s
borders) are described in section VI.B.9
of this document. The amounts of the
final preset state emissions budgets for
the 2023 through 2029 control periods
are shown in Table VI.B.4.c–1.
TABLE VI.B.4.c–1—CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 PRESET STATE EMISSIONS BUDGETS FOR THE 2023
THROUGH 2029 CONTROL PERIODS
[Tons] a b
Final
emissions
budgets
for 2023
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
State
Alabama .................................................................
Arkansas ................................................................
Illinois .....................................................................
Indiana ...................................................................
Kentucky ................................................................
Louisiana ................................................................
Maryland ................................................................
Michigan .................................................................
Minnesota ...............................................................
Mississippi ..............................................................
Missouri ..................................................................
Nevada ...................................................................
New Jersey ............................................................
New York ...............................................................
Ohio ........................................................................
Oklahoma ...............................................................
Pennsylvania ..........................................................
Texas .....................................................................
Utah ........................................................................
Virginia ...................................................................
West Virginia ..........................................................
Wisconsin ...............................................................
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PO 00000
6,379
8,927
7,474
12,440
13,601
9,363
1,206
10,727
5,504
6,210
12,598
2,368
773
3,912
9,110
10,271
8,138
40,134
15,755
3,143
13,791
6,295
Frm 00133
Final
emissions
budgets
for 2024
Final
emissions
budgets
for 2025
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,999
9,363
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,058
11,116
2,589
773
3,912
7,929
9,384
8,138
40,134
15,917
2,756
11,958
6,295
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,472
9,107
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,037
11,116
2,545
773
3,912
7,929
9,376
8,138
38,542
15,917
2,756
11,958
5,988
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2026
6,339
6,365
5,889
8,410
10,190
6,370
842
6,743
4,058
3,484
9,248
1,142
773
3,650
7,929
6,631
7,512
31,123
6,258
2,565
10,818
4,990
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2027
6,236
4,031
5,363
8,135
7,908
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
2,084
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
7,929
3,917
7,158
23,009
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
05JNR2
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2028
6,236
4,031
4,555
7,280
7,837
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
1,752
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
6,911
3,917
7,158
21,623
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2029
5,105
3,582
4,050
5,808
7,392
3,639
842
4,656
2,578
1,752
7,329
880
773
3,388
6,409
3,917
4,828
20,635
2,593
1,951
9,678
3,416
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TABLE VI.B.4.c–1—CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 PRESET STATE EMISSIONS BUDGETS FOR THE 2023
THROUGH 2029 CONTROL PERIODS—Continued
[Tons] a b
Final
emissions
budgets
for 2023
State
Total ................................................................
208,119
Final
emissions
budgets
for 2024
Final
emissions
budgets
for 2025
198,014
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2026
195,259
151,329
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2027
119,663
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2028
115,193
Preset
emissions
budgets
for 2029
105,201
Table Notes:
a The state emissions budget calculations pertaining to Table VI.B.4.c–1 are described in greater detail in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule TSD. Budget calculations and underlying data are also available in Appendix A of that TSD.
b In the event this final rule becomes effective after May 1, 2023, the emissions budgets and assurance levels for the 2023 control period will
be adjusted under the rule’s transitional provisions to ensure that the increased stringency of the new budgets would apply only after the rule’s
effective date. The 2023 budget amounts shown in Table VI.B.4.c–1 do not reflect these possible adjustments. The transitional provisions are
discussed in section VI.B.12 of this document.
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5. Variability Limits and Assurance
Levels
Like each of the other CSAPR trading
programs, the Group 3 trading program
includes assurance provisions designed
to limit the total emissions from the
sources in each state (and Indian
country within the state’s borders) in
each control period to an amount close
to the state’s emissions budget for the
control period, consistent with the
principle that each state’s sources must
be held to the elimination of significant
contribution within that state, while
allowing some flexibility beyond the
emissions budget to accommodate yearto-year operational variability beyond
sources’ reasonable ability to control.
For each state, the assurance provisions
establish an assurance level for each
control period, defined as the sum of the
state’s emissions budget for the control
period plus a variability limit, which
under the Group 3 trading program
regulations in effect before this
rulemaking was 21 percent of the
relevant state emissions budget. The
purpose of the variability limit is to
account for year-to-year variability in
EGU operations, which can occur for a
variety of reasons including changes in
weather patterns, changes in electricity
demand, and disruptions in electricity
supply from other units or from the
transmission grid. Because of the need
to account for such variability in
operations of each state’s EGUs, the fact
that emissions from the state’s EGUs
may exceed the state’s emissions budget
for a given control period is not treated
as inconsistent with satisfaction of the
state’s good neighbor obligations as long
as the total emissions from the EGUs
remain below the state’s assurance level.
Emissions from a state’s EGUs above the
state’s emissions budget but below the
state’s assurance level are treated in the
same manner as emissions below the
state’s emissions budget in that such
emissions are subject to the same
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requirement to surrender allowances at
a ratio of one allowance per ton of
emissions. In contrast, emissions above
the state’s assurance level for a given
control period are strongly discouraged
as inconsistent with the state’s good
neighbor obligations and are subject to
an overall 3-for-1 allowance surrender
ratio. The establishment of assurance
levels with associated extra allowance
surrender requirements was intended to
respond to the D.C. Circuit’s holding in
North Carolina requiring the EPA to
ensure within the context of an
interstate trading program that sources
in each state are required to address
their good neighbor obligations within
the state and may not simply shift those
obligations to other states by failing to
reduce their own emissions and instead
surrendering surplus allowances
purchased from sources in other
states.319
In this rulemaking, the EPA did not
propose and is not making changes to
the basic structure of the Group 3
trading program’s assurance provisions,
which will continue to set an assurance
level for each control period equal to the
state’s emissions budget for the control
period plus a variability limit and will
continue to apply a 3-for-1 surrender
ratio to emissions exceeding the state’s
assurance level.320 Each assurance level
also will continue to apply to the
collective emissions of all units within
the state and Indian country within the
state’s borders.321 However, the EPA is
making a change to the methodology for
determining the variability limits.
Specifically, the EPA will determine
319 531
F.3d at 908.
discussed in section VI.B.8, the EPA is also
establishing a new secondary emissions limitation
for individual units that will apply in situations
where an exceedance of the relevant state’s
assurance level has occurred.
321 See 40 CFR 97.1002 (definitions of ‘‘common
designated representative,’’ ‘‘common designated
representative’s assurance level’’ and ‘‘common
designated representative’s share’’), 97.1006(c)(2),
and 97.1025.
320 As
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each state’s variability limit for a given
control period so that, instead of always
multiplying the state’s emissions budget
for the control period by a value of 21
percent, the percentage value used will
be the higher of 21 percent or the
percentage (if any) by which the total
reported heat input of the state’s
affected EGUs in the control period
exceeds the total historical heat input of
the state’s affected EGUs as reflected in
the state’s emissions budget for the
control period. For example, if the total
reported heat input of the state’s
covered sources for the 2025 control
period is 130 percent of the historical
heat input used in computing the state’s
2025 budget, then the state’s variability
limit for the 2025 control period will be
30 percent of the state’s emissions
budget instead of 21 percent of the
state’s emissions budget. The EPA
expects that the minimum 21 percent
will apply in almost all instances, and
that the alternative, higher percentage
value will apply only in control periods
where operational variability causes an
unusually large increase relative to the
historical data used in setting the state’s
emissions budget, which would be a
situation meriting a temporarily higher
variability limit and assurance level.
The revised methodology for
determining the variability limits will
apply both with respect to control
periods when a state’s emissions budget
is a preset budget established in this
final rule and with respect to control
periods when a state’s emissions budget
is a dynamically-determined budget
computed using the procedures laid out
in the regulations, and it will apply
starting with the 2023 control period
rather than starting with the 2025
control period as proposed.
The purpose of the revision to the
variability limits is to better align the
variability limits for successive control
periods with the heat input data used in
setting the state emissions budgets.
Under the final rule, each dynamically
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determined emissions budget will be
computed using the latest available
reported heat input, which for each
budget set for a control period in 2026
or a later year will be the average statelevel heat input for the control periods
two, three, and four years before the
control period whose budget is being
determined (for example, the dynamic
state emissions budgets for the 2026
control period will be computed in early
2025 using the reported state-level heat
input for the 2022–2024 control
periods). The revised variability limits
will be well coordinated with the
budgets established using this dynamic
budgeting process, because the
percentage change in the actual heat
input for the control period relative to
the earlier multi-year average heat input
used in computing the state’s emissions
budget will be an appropriate measure
of the degree of operational variability
actually experienced by the state‘s EGUs
in the control period relative to the
assumed operating conditions reflected
in the state’s budget. Setting a
variability limit in this manner is thus
entirely consistent with the overall
purpose of including variability limits
in the assurance provisions.
As discussed in sections VI.B.1.b.i
and VI.B.4, for the 2023–2025 control
periods the state emissions budget for a
given control period will be the preset
budget determined in this rule, and for
the 2026–2029 control periods, the state
emissions budget for a given control
period will be the preset budget
determined in this rule rather than the
dynamically determined budget
computed in the year before the control
period unless the dynamic budget is
higher than the preset budget. If the
state emissions budget is the preset
budget, the historical heat input data
reflected in that budget will be the heat
input data for the 2021 control period,
adjusted to reflect projected changes in
fleet composition over time that are
known at the time of this rulemaking,
but not adjusted to reflect changes in
fleet composition that are not known at
the time of the rulemaking or changes in
the utilization of individual units.322 In
this case, the variability limit for the
control period would be the higher of 21
percent or the percentage change in the
actual heat input for the control period
relative to the heat input for the 2021
control period as adjusted to reflect the
projected changes in fleet composition.
The EPA believes it is reasonable to
322 The total heat input amount used in
computing each state’s preset emissions budget for
each control period from 2023 through 2029 is
included in Appendix A of the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD at column I of the
‘‘State 2023’’–‘‘State 2029’’ worksheets.
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apply the same principle in setting the
variability limit in control periods
where the preset floor budgets are used
as in control periods where the
dynamically determined budgets are
used, because the preset floor budgets
are computed using the same principles
as the dynamically determined budgets,
with the major difference being that the
available heat input data used in
computing the preset budgets are
necessarily less current. Accordingly,
because preset budgets established in
this manner are used starting with the
2023 control period, the EPA believes it
is also reasonable to begin
implementing the revised methodology
for determining variability limits
starting with the 2023 control period.
The reason the EPA is using the
higher of a fixed 21 percent or the
percentage change in heat input
computed as just described is that the
EPA believes that, for operational
planning purposes, it can be useful for
sources to know in advance of the
control period a minimum value for
what the variability limit could turn out
to be. Because a state’s actual total heat
input for a control period is not known
until after the end of the control period,
this revision will have the consequence
that the state’s final variability limit and
assurance level for the control period
also will not be known until after the
control period. However, because the
rule provides that the variability limit
will always be at least 21 percent, the
sources in a state will be able to rely for
planning purposes on the knowledge
that the assurance level will always be
at least 121 percent of the state’s
emissions budget for the control period.
Advance knowledge of the minimum
possible amount of the assurance level
can be useful to sources, because one
way a fleet owner can be confident that
it will never incur the 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio owed for emissions
exceeding its state’s assurance level is to
plan its operations so as to never allow
the emissions from its fleet to exceed
the fleet’s aggregated share of the state’s
assurance level for the control period.
Knowing that the variability limit will
always be at least 21 percent will
provide sources with minimum values
they could use for such planning
purposes.
The EPA believes that 21 percent is a
reasonable value to use as the minimum
variability limit. To determine
appropriate variability limits for the
trading programs established in CSAPR,
the EPA analyzed historical state-level
heat input variability over the period
from 2000 through 2010 as a proxy for
emissions variability, assuming constant
emissions rates. See 76 FR 48265. Based
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on that analysis, the variability limits
for ozone season NOX in both CSAPR
and the CSAPR Update were set at 21
percent of each state’s budget, and these
variability limits for the NOX ozone
season trading programs were then
codified in 40 CFR 97.510 and 97.810,
along with the respective state
budgets.323 For the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA performed an updated
variability analysis for the twelve states
being moved into the Group 3 trading
program in that rulemaking, evaluating
historical state-level heat input
variability over the period from 2000
through 2019. The updated analysis
again resulted in a variability estimate
of 21 percent. The EPA also considered
shorter time periods for the updated
analysis and found that the resulting
variability estimates were not especially
sensitive to the particular time period
analyzed.324 A further updated analysis
for this rulemaking again results in a
variability estimate of 21 percent for
most states, and although the historical
analysis indicates a higher percentage
for the covered state with the smallest
total heat input figures in this analysis—
New Jersey—the EPA does not consider
it appropriate to raise the minimum
variability limit percentage beyond 21
percent for all other covered states
based on the analytic results for one
state, where small absolute heat input
figures have resulted in a larger
variability percentage.325 (Moreover,
because of the provision allowing a
state’s variability limit for a given
control period to be higher than 21
percent if the state’s actual heat input
exceeds the heat input used to set the
state’s emissions budget by more than
21 percent, there is no need to set a
minimum variability limit higher than
21 percent specifically for New Jersey.)
Based on the consistent conclusions of
these multiple analyses, the EPA is
continuing to use 21 percent as the
323 Briefly, the 21 percent variability limit was
determined in the analysis by identifying, for all the
states in the region covered by the ozone season
NOX trading program, and at a 95 percent
confidence level, the maximum expected deviation
in any state’s total heat input for any single control
period in the data sample from that state’s trendadjusted mean total heat input for all the control
periods in the data sample. For details on the
original variability analysis for 26 states over the
2000–2010 period, including a description of the
methodology, see the Power Sector Variability Final
Rule TSD from the CSAPR (EPA–HQ–OAR–2009–
0491–4454), available in the docket for this rule.
324 For the updated variability analysis for twelve
states for the 2000–2019 period, see the Excel file
‘‘Historical Variability in Heat Input 2000 to
2019.xls’’, available in the docket for this rule.
325 See the Excel document, ‘‘OS Heat Input—
Variability 2000 to 2021.xls’’ for updated data,
application of the CSAPR variability methodology,
and results applied to heat input for 2000 through
2021 for all states and for the region collectively.
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minimum value in the revised approach
for establishing variability limits for all
control periods under this rule.
The provisions of the final rule
relating to assurance levels and
variability limits are unchanged from
proposal, with the exception that the
provision establishing a higher
variability limit for a state in a given
control period where the state’s actual
heat input exceeds the heat input used
in computing the state emissions budget
for that control period by more than 21
percent will be implemented starting
with the 2023 control period instead of
the 2025 control period.
Comment: Some commenters
supported the EPA’s proposal to raise a
state’s variability limit above 21 percent
for a given control period if the state’s
actual heat input for the control period
was more than 121 percent of the
historical heat input used to set the
state’s budget for that control period.
These commenters agreed with the EPA
that making this adjustment is
consistent with the assurance
provisions’ purpose of strongly
incentivizing each state to achieve its
required emissions reductions within
the state while also accounting for yearto-year variability in electric system
operations.
One commenter stated that the EPA
should not finalize the proposed
revision to the variability limit
provisions, claiming that by allowing
sources in some states to increase
utilization and heat input so as to
exceed the state’s budget by more than
21 percent in a given year, the
adjustment would then cause the state’s
subsequent dynamically determined
budgets to be higher, allowing greater
emissions over time.
Response: The EPA disagrees with the
comment advocating against finalization
of the proposed change to the variability
limit provisions. The Agency continues
to view the proposed change as useful
for accommodating instances where,
because of electrical system operating
needs, a state’s actual total heat input in
a control period exceeds the historical
heat input used to set the state
emissions budget for the control period,
potentially causing increased emissions
even when all EGUs in a state are
achieving emissions rates consistent
with the Step 3 emissions control
stringency. Moreover, the EPA does not
believe that the provision would lead to
higher overall program-wide budgets.
No extra allowances would be created
by the increase in a state’s variability
limit, so with or without the adjustment,
any allowances to cover the emissions
in excess of the state’s budget would
still need to be obtained through
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acquisition of allowances issued to
sources in other states or the use of
banked allowances. Thus, to the extent
that the change in the variability limit
provisions facilitates shifting of
generation from some states to other
states, increased heat input in the first
set of states would generally be offset by
decreased heat input in the second set
of states, such that any increases in
future dynamic budgets for the first set
of states would be offset by decreases in
future dynamic budgets for the second
set of states. In addition, the final rule’s
use of multiple years of historical heat
input data to compute the dynamicallydetermined state budgets will moderate
the effect of any single year’s heat input
on the dynamically-determined budgets
for future control periods.
6. Annual Recalibration of Allowance
Bank
As discussed in section VI.B.1.b of
this document, the EPA is making two
revisions to the Group 3 trading
program designed to better maintain the
Step 3 emissions control stringency over
time. The first proposed revision,
discussed in section VI.B.4 of this
document, is to adopt a dynamic
budget-setting methodology that will
allow state emissions budgets in future
years to reflect more accurate
information about the composition and
utilization of the EGU fleet. The second,
complementary, revision is to
recalibrate the bank of unused
allowances each control period to
prevent allowance surpluses from
accumulating and adversely impacting
the ability of the trading program in
future control periods to maintain the
Step 3 emissions control stringency.
As proposed and now finalized in this
rule, the bank recalibration process will
start with the 2024 control period, after
the compliance process for the 2023
control period for all current and newly
added states in the Group 3 trading
program has been completed. The
recalibration process for each control
period will be carried out on or shortly
after August 1 of that control period,
two months after the compliance
deadline for the previous control period,
making the date of the first recalibration
August 1, 2024. The recalibrations take
place on August 1 each year because
compliance for the previous control
period would not be completed until
after June 1. However, because data on
the amounts of allowances held are
publicly available and the total quantity
of allowances needed for compliance for
the previous control period will be
known shortly after the end of that
control period, sources and other market
participants will be able to ascertain
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with reasonable accuracy shortly after
the end of each control period what
degree of recalibration to expect for the
next control period, even if the
recalibration would not actually be
carried out until the following August.
The EPA will make an estimate of the
applicable calibration ratio for each
control period publicly available no
later than March 1 of the year of the
control period for which the bank will
be recalibrated.
Before undertaking a recalibration
process each control period, the EPA
will first determine whether the total
amount of all banked Group 3
allowances from previous control
periods held in all facility accounts and
general accounts in the Allowance
Management System exceeds the target
bank amount. (For this purpose, no
distinction will be made between
banked Group 3 allowances issued from
the state emissions budgets for previous
control periods and banked Group 3
allowances issued through the
conversion of previously banked Group
2 allowances.) If the total amount of
banked Group 3 allowances does not
exceed the target bank amount, the EPA
will not carry out any recalibration for
that control period. If the total amount
of unused allowances does exceed the
target bank amount, the EPA will
determine for each account with
holdings of banked Group 3 allowances
the account-specific recalibrated
amount of allowances, computed as the
account’s total holdings of banked
Group 3 allowances immediately before
the recalibration multiplied by the target
bank amount and divided by the total
amount of banked Group 3 allowances
in all accounts, rounded up to the
nearest allowance. Finally, the EPA will
deduct from each account any banked
Group 3 allowances exceeding the
account’s recalibrated amount of banked
allowances.
As the target bank amount used in the
recalibration process for each control
period, the EPA will use an amount
determined as a percentage of the sum
of the state emissions budgets for the
control period. For the control periods
from 2024 through 2029, the target
percentage will be 21 percent, which is
the sum of the states’ minimum
variability limits.326 For control periods
in 2030 and later years, the target
percentage will be 10.5 percent, or half
of the sum of the states’ minimum
326 As discussed in section VI.B.5, an individual
state’s variability limit can be higher than 21
percent in a given control period if the state’s actual
heat input for that control period is more than 121
percent of the historical heat input used in
computing the state emissions budget for the
control period.
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variability limits. In the proposal, the
EPA cited two reasons for proposing the
10.5 percentage amount. First, in the
transition from CSAPR to the CSAPR
Update, where the EPA set a target bank
amount 1.5 times the sum of the
variability limits, and in the transition
from the CSAPR Update to the Revised
CSAPR Update, where the EPA set a
target bank amount of 1.0 times the sum
of the variability limits, in each case the
initial bank proved larger than
necessary, as total emissions of all
sources in the program were less than
the budgets. Second, an analysis of yearto-year variability of heat input for the
region covered by this rule suggests that
the regional heat input for an individual
year can be expected to vary by up to
10.5 percent above or below the central
trend with 95 percent confidence. This
variability analysis is an application to
the entire region of the variability
analysis EPA has performed for
individual states to establish the
minimum variability limit of 21 percent
for the states in the trading program.327
When the analysis is performed at the
regional level, the data show less yearto-year variation than when the analysis
is performed at the individual state
level. Within the trading program
structure, it is reasonable to use
variability analyzed at the level of
individual states to set the variability
limits, which apply at the level of
individual states, while using variability
analyzed at the level of the overall
region to set a target level for a bank,
which will apply at the level of the
overall program.
In the final rule, in response to
comments, the EPA has determined to
maintain the 10.5 target percentage for
the reasons discussed in previous
paragraphs, but to defer application of
this target percentage until the 2030
control period. For the control periods
from 2024 through 2029, the EPA will
instead use a target percentage of 21
percent. The reason for using a higher
target percentage for the 2024–2029
control periods is to provide additional
support for allowance market liquidity
during these years, which both the EPA
and commenters view as an important
period of generating fleet transition for
the power industry.
The annual bank recalibrations, at
either ratio, are an important
327 See the Power Sector Variability Final Rule
TSD from CSAPR, available at https://www.epa.gov/
csapr/power-sector-variability-final-rule-tsd for a
description of the methodology. Also see the Excel
document ‘‘OS Heat Input—Variability 2000 to
2021.xls’’ for updated data, application of the
CSAPR variability methodology, and results applied
to heat input for 2000 through 2021 for all states
and for the region collectively.
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enhancement to the trading program
that will help maintain the control
stringency determined to be necessary
to address states’ good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
over time. Moreover, the recalibrations
are less complex than alternative
approaches would be. For example, the
NOX Budget Trading Program
established in the NOX SIP Call also
contained provisions designed to
prevent excessive accumulations of
banked allowances on program
stringency, but those provisions—under
the name ‘‘progressive flow control’’—
introduced uncertainty as to whether
banked allowances would be usable to
offset one ton of emissions or less than
one ton of emissions in the current
control period. As a consequence of this
uncertainty, in some control periods,
allowances banked from earlier control
periods traded at lower prices than
allowances issued for the current
control period.328 The EPA considers
the recalibration mechanism established
in this rule to be simpler with less
associated uncertainty. Following each
bank recalibration, all allowances usable
for compliance in the control period
will have known, equal compliance
values for the remainder of the control
period and until the deadline for
surrendering allowances after the
control period.
Finally, the EPA observes that the
recalibration mechanism is entirely
consistent with the Agency’s existing
authority under 40 CFR 97.1006(c)(6) to
‘‘terminate or limit the use and
duration’’ of any Group 3 allowance ‘‘to
the extent the Administrator determines
is necessary or appropriate to
implement any provision of the Clean
Air Act.’’ The Administrator is
determining that the recalibrations are
both necessary and appropriate to
ensure that the control stringency
selected in this rulemaking is
maintained and states’ good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015
ozone NAAQS are addressed. The
recalibration process will complement
the revised budget-setting process by
preventing any surplus of allowances
created in one control period from
diminishing the intended stringency
and resulting emissions reductions of
the emissions budgets for subsequent
control periods. For further discussion
328 For more discussion of the progressive flow
control mechanism, as well as allowance price data
showing a discounted value for banked allowances,
see ‘‘NOX Budget Trading Program: 2005 Program
Compliance and Environmental Results’’
(September 2006) at 28–30, https://www.epa.gov/
sites/default/files/2015-08/documents/2005-nbpcompliance-report.pdf.
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of the reasons for bank recalibration, see
section VI.B.1.b.ii of this document.
The bank recalibration mechanism
finalized in this rule is unchanged from
the proposal except for the final rule’s
adoption of a target percentage of 21
percent rather than 10.5 percent for the
control periods from 2024 through 2029.
The EPA’s responses to comments on
the bank recalibration mechanism are
discussed in the remainder or this
section and in section 5 of the RTC
document. Further discussion of the
reasons for adopting a higher target
percentage for the 2024–2029 control
periods is included in section VI.B.1.d
of this document.
Comment: Some commenters
acknowledged the EPA’s authority to
manage the quantities of allowances
carried over from one control period to
the next as banked allowances,
including some commenters who as a
policy matter did not support such an
approach. Other commenters claimed
that any removal from the program of
allowances banked in earlier control
periods would constitute an unlawful
taking of property or would constitute
unlawful overcontrol.
Response: The EPA disagrees with
comments contending that the proposed
bank recalibration provisions would be
unlawful, either as asserted takings of
property or as over-control for purposes
of the Good Neighbor provision. With
respect to the claim that removing
allowances would constitute takings of
property, the commenters misconstrue
the nature of an allowance. The
allowances used in the Group 3 trading
program are created under the program’s
regulations, which expressly provide
that the allowances are not property
rights but are limited authorizations to
emit NOX in accordance with the
provisions of the Group 3 trading
program.329 These provisions of the
Group 3 trading program regulations
have been in existence since the Revised
CSAPR Update and were not reopened
in this action. This approach of creating
limited authorizations to engage in
particular forms of conduct within a
regulatory program extends back to the
Acid Rain Program, where the approach
was mandated by Congress, and has
been followed by EPA in each
subsequent allowance trading program
for the electric power sector.330
Moreover, as noted earlier in this
section, the Group 3 trading program
regulations provide the EPA
329 40
CFR 97.1006(c)(6)–(7).
e.g., 42 U.S.C. 7651b(f) and 40 CFR
72.9(c)(6)–(7) (Acid Rain Program example); 40 CFR
97.6(c)(6)–(7) (Federal NOX Budget Trading
Program example); 40 CFR 97.106(c)(5)–(6) (CAIR
NOX Annual Trading Program example).
330 See,
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Administrator with the authority to
terminate or limit the use and duration
of such authorization to the extent the
Administrator determines is necessary
or appropriate to implement any
provision of the Clean Air Act, and the
Administrator is making such a
determination in this rule.
The EPA also disagrees that bank
recalibration would constitute
overcontrol. The emissions that are
permissible in a given control period
consistent with the Step 3 control
stringency are quantified in the state
emissions budgets for the control
period. Banked allowances from
previous control periods are necessarily
surplus to the state emissions budgets
for the current control period. As noted
in section VI.B.1, in an allowance
trading program, banking provisions can
serve several useful purposes, including
continuously incentivizing sources to
reduce their emissions even when they
already hold sufficient allowances to
cover their expected emissions for a
control period, facilitating compliance
cost minimization, accommodating
necessary operational flexibility, and
promoting allowance market liquidity.
However, these useful purposes do not
include allowing sources to plan to emit
in excess of the Step 3 control
stringency as represented by the state
emissions budgets for the control
period. Accordingly, in the overcontrol
analysis discussed in section V.D.4, the
EPA analyzed whether the emissions
reductions necessary to meet the state
emissions budgets without relying for
compliance purposes on any allowances
banked in earlier control periods would
result in overcontrol and determined
there would be no overcontrol. (That is,
the modeling of the effects of the Group
3 emissions budgets in 2026 did not
include an assumption that there would
be any banked allowances.) Thus, even
if the Agency had finalized regulatory
provisions removing all banked
allowances from the trading program
between control periods—in contrast to
the actual bank recalibration provisions,
which permit substantial quantities of
banked allowances to remain in the
trading program—the information
available to the Agency suggests such
provisions would not constitute overcontrol. With respect to some
commenters’ assertions that bank
recalibration would over-control by
‘‘writing off’’ emission reductions that
may have gone beyond the reductions
necessary to address the Good Neighbor
provision or would make it more
difficult to create surplus allowances in
one control period to offset excess
emissions in later control periods, EPA
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notes that the NAAQS apply
continuously, and the possibility that
the sources in a state may have done
more than the minimum necessary to
meet the state’s Good Neighbor
obligations in one control period does
not create a right for the state to do less
than is necessary to meet the state’s
Good Neighbor obligations in
subsequent control periods.
Comment: Some commenters
expressed concern that excessive
quantities of banked allowances, like
excessive quantities of budgeted
allowances, can lead to lower allowance
prices. The commenters observed that
with lower allowance prices, some units
would likely operate their controls less
effectively, resulting in a greater
likelihood that the emissions stringency
found necessary in this rule would not
be sustained. Other commenters
expressed the view that other provisions
of the rule, including more stringent
state emissions budgets, the backstop
daily NOX emissions rate provisions,
and the assurance provisions would be
sufficient to incentivize EGUs to operate
their controls effectively, making
allowance bank recalibration
superfluous for this purpose.
Response: The EPA agrees with the
comments explaining that without bank
recalibration, the quantities of banked
allowances can grow, leading to lower
allowance prices, diminished incentives
for sources to optimize control
operation, and greater risk of failure to
sustain the Step 3 control stringency,
and disagrees with the comments
arguing that other rule provisions would
make bank recalibration unnecessary.
The suggestion that the assurance
provisions can maintain program
stringency regardless of allowance
quantities ignores the fact that the
emission levels consistent with the
Group 3 control stringency in a given
control period are the state emissions
budgets, not the higher assurance levels.
If the quantities of banked allowances in
the program grow to the point where
sources collectively can plan to emit
above the collective state emissions
budgets, then the trading program
would be unable to ensure that the
Group 3 control stringency is being
achieved, even if emissions do not rise
further than the assurance levels.
Further, there are now examples from
the Group 2 trading program of sources
emitting in excess of the state-wide
assurance levels, because a glut of
banked allowances which was not
prevented by the regulations for that
trading program rendered even the
three-to-one surrender ratio ineffective.
Suggestions that the backstop emissions
rate provisions can maintain program
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stringency regardless of the quantities of
banked allowances are similarly
mistaken, because rather than reducing
overall emissions of all sources in the
trading program, the backstop rate
provisions are designed to ensure that
the largest individual sources of
potential emissions operate their
controls consistently. If the quantities of
banked allowances are allowed to grow
to the point where sources collectively
can plan to emit above the collective
state emissions budgets, the backstop
rate provisions would do nothing to
constrain emissions from the sources
not subject to the backstop rate.
With respect to the suggestion that
state emissions budgets reflecting
sufficient control stringency can avoid
the need for bank recalibration, the EPA
observes that the budget-setting and
bank recalibration provisions in this
rule are complements, not substitutes. If
in a given year sources collectively emit
against the collective state emissions
budgets such that the ending allowance
bank—that is, the allowances remaining
after deduction of the allowances
required for compliance—is less than
the bank target amount, then the bank
will not be recalibrated for the following
control period. However, in the event
that sources collectively emit against the
collective state emissions budgets such
that the ending allowance bank is above
the bank target amount, then the
recalibration provisions will ensure that
the recalibrated allowance bank does
not introduce an excessive overall
quantity of allowances into the trading
program for the following control period
when combined with the state
emissions budgets calculated for that
control period. Without the
recalibration provisions, the trading
program would lack any mechanism for
removing excess allowances that are
inconsistent with maintaining the Step
3 emissions control stringency which
the Step 4 trading program is designed
to implement.
Comment: Some commenters claimed
that the recalibration process itself
would have undesirable consequences.
First, some said that because bank
recalibration would be executed
partway through the control period, it
would introduce uncertainty concerning
the quantities of allowances each source
would have available, impeding efforts
to plan. Second, some commenters
claimed that the prospect of bank
recalibration would create
counterproductive incentives for
allowance holders. According to the
commenters, allowances holders would
be incentivized to ‘‘use or lose’’ their
allowances (to reduce the number of
allowances that would be removed from
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their accounts in the recalibration
process), thereby causing increased
emissions, or alternatively would be
incentivized to refuse to sell allowances
(to allow the holders to have more
allowances after the next recalibration),
thereby reducing allowance market
liquidity.
Response: The EPA disagrees with
these comments. As discussed
previously in this section, the
recalibration process has been
scheduled for August 1 of each control
period because compliance for the
previous control period (and the
associated allowance trading activities)
would not be completed until after June
1. However, the information needed to
project the degree of recalibration will
be available by early November of the
previous year, and the EPA will make
an estimate publicly available no later
than March 1, two months before the
start of the control period. Further, at
least 80 percent of the allowances for
use in a given control period will be the
allowances allocated from the state
emissions budgets (with the recalibrated
banked allowances from the prior
control period comprising the
remainder), and the emissions budgets
and unit-level allocations amounts will
be known approximately a year before
the start of the control period.
The comments claiming that the
introduction of a bank recalibration
process would create incentives to ‘‘use
or lose’’ allowances or to hoard
allowances are not persuasive. By
reducing the supply of allowances
carried over from previous control
periods, bank recalibration would tend
to raise the price of allowances in the
current control period, making it more
cost-effective and therefore in sources’
interest to further reduce their
emissions than to increase their
emissions. Higher allowance prices
would also increase the cost of hoarding
allowances just as higher fuel prices
raise the cost of maintaining large fuel
inventories. Moreover, the EPA expects
that the prospect of having banked
allowances recalibrated after the end of
the control period is much more likely
to discourage hoarding than to
encourage it. Given the choice between
holding an allowance which may be
removed as part of an upcoming
recalibration process or instead selling
the allowance for cash, the sale option
will become more attractive. By creating
a ‘‘sell or lose’’ incentive for holders of
surplus allowances, the recalibration
process should increase allowance
market liquidity. At the same time, by
ensuring a banked allowance will
always have some value for use in a
future control period, the bank
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recalibration mechanism in this
program will continue to incentivize
early emissions reductions.
Comment: Turning to the level of the
bank recalibration target, some
commenters objected to the target bank
percentage of 10.5 percent, saying that
a larger bank would be needed to ensure
that sufficient allowances would be
available to enable sources to run as
needed to provide reliable electricity
service, particularly with the large yearto-year swings in budgets that the
commenters anticipated could occur
with dynamic budgets computed using
a single rolling historical year and with
anticipated growth in renewable
generation. Some commenters
recommended a target bank percentage
of 21 percent. Some commenters stated
that even if the overall quantity of
allowances available for use was greater
than the total amount of emissions, a
larger bank of allowances would
facilitate trading and promote greater
allowance market liquidity, citing
reports of high allowance prices in
2022.
Response: As discussed in sections
VI.B.1.d and VI.B.4 and earlier in this
section, the EPA does not agree with
comments suggesting that annual bank
recalibration in itself poses a risk to
electric grid reliability. Nevertheless,
the Agency has made several changes
from proposal in the final rule designed
to address concerns expressed about
reliability by increasing compliance
flexibility through the 2029 control
period. These changes through the 2029
control period include the use of a target
bank percentage of 21 percent and the
promulgation of preset budgets that will
serve as the state emissions budgets
unless the dynamic budgets for the
control periods are higher. In addition,
to reduce year-to-year variability under
the budget-setting methodology,
dynamic budgets will be calculated
using multiple years of historical heat
input data instead of heat input data
from a single year. The EPA views these
changes as responsive to the principal
reasons that commenters gave for their
claims that the target bank percentage
should be higher than 10.5 percent.
Regarding the claim that a higher target
bank percentage is needed because
increased renewable generation makes
the demand for fossil generation more
variable, commenters did not provide
evidence demonstrating that the overall
quantities of fossil generation
throughout the multi-state region
covered by this rule—as opposed to the
operating patterns of some individual
units—are becoming more variable, and
the Agency declines to make an
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adjustment for such a reason at this
time.
With respect to the comments
advocating for an even higher bank
target percentage to facilitate trading
and promote market liquidity, the
Agency observes that any such
advantage of larger allowance banks
must be balanced with the
disadvantages of excess allowance
supply—specifically, reduced allowance
prices, diminished incentives for
sources to optimize control operation,
and greater risk of failure to sustain the
Step 3 control stringency. In the final
rule, the EPA finds that a reasonable
balance between these opposing
considerations is struck by temporarily
adopting a higher bank target percentage
of 21 percent (consistent with the initial
bank targets used in this rule and
previous rules) and deferring
implementation of the 10.5 percent
target bank percentage identified by the
Agency’s analysis as a sustainable
percentage in the longer term until the
2030 control period.
7. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily
Emissions Rates
While the identified EGU emissions
reductions in section V of this
document (i.e., the Step 3 emissions
control stringency) are incentivized and
secured primarily through the
corresponding seasonal state emissions
budgets (expressed as a seasonal
tonnage limit for all covered EGUs
within a state’s borders) described
earlier, the EPA is also incorporating a
backstop daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/
mmBtu applied to coal-fired steam units
serving generators with nameplate
capacity greater than or equal to 100
MW in covered states, except circulating
fluidized bed units. This is important
for ensuring the elimination of
significant contribution on a more
consistent basis from the relevant
sources and over each day of the ozone
season.
Starting with the 2024 control period,
a 3-for-1 allowance surrender ratio
(instead of the usual 1-for-1 surrender
ratio) will apply to emissions during the
ozone season from any large coal-fired
EGU with existing SCR controls
exceeding by more than 50 tons a daily
average NOX emissions rate of 0.14 lb/
mmBtu. The daily average emissions
rate provisions will apply to large coalfired EGUs without existing SCR
controls (except circulating fluidized
bed units) starting with the second
control period in which newly installed
SCR controls are operational at the unit,
but not later than the 2030 control
period. See Appendix A of the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
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TSD for a list of coal-fired steam units
serving generators larger than or equal
to 100 MW in covered states for which
the identified backstop emissions rate
will apply.
For each unit subject to the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions for a
given control period, the amount of
emissions subject to the 3-for-1
surrender ratio will be determined as
follows, generally on an automated basis
using the unit’s data acquisition and
handling system (DAHS) required under
40 CFR part 75. For each day of the
control period where the unit’s average
emissions rate for that day was higher
than 0.14 lb/mmBtu, the owner or
operator will compute what the unit’s
reported emissions on that day would
have been (given the unit’s reported
heat input for the day) at an emissions
rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. The difference
between the unit’s emissions for the day
as actually reported and the emissions
that would have been reported if the
unit’s emissions rate was 0.14 lb/mmBtu
is the unit’s daily exceedance. The
amount of emissions subject to the 3-for1 surrender ratio for the control period
is the sum of the unit’s daily
exceedances for all days of the control
period minus 50 tons (but not less than
zero).331 All calculations will rely on
the data monitored and reported for the
unit in accordance with 40 CFR part 75.
The EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD describes the
methodology for deriving the 0.14 lb/
mmBtu daily rate limit in more detail.
The methodology is summarized as
follows. First, consistent with
stakeholders’ focus on providing daily
assurance of control operation, which is
consistent with the 8-hour form of the
2015 ozone NAAQS and the tendency
for ozone levels to spike on a diurnal
cycle, the EPA determined that daily (as
opposed to hourly or monthly) was an
appropriate time metric for backstop
emissions rate limits instituted to
ensure operation of controls on high
ozone days. The EPA derived the 0.14
lb/mmBtu daily rate limit by
determining the particular level of a
daily rate that would be comparable in
stringency to the 0.08 lb/mmBtu
seasonal emissions rate that the Agency
has identified as reflecting SCR
optimization at existing units.332 The
331 In the regulatory text at 40 CFR 97.1024
defining the total quantity of allowances that must
be surrendered for a source’s emissions in a control
period, these amounts of emissions for all the units
at the source are subject to a requirement to
surrender two extra allowances per ton in addition
to the usual 1-for-1 allowance surrender
requirement, yielding a total surrender ratio of 3for-1 for emissions over the 50-ton threshold.
332 See page 24 of ‘‘Guidance for 1-hour SO
2
Nonattainment Area SIP Submission’’ at https://
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EPA first conducted an empirical
exercise using reported daily emissions
rate data from existing, SCR-controlled
coal units that were emitting at or below
0.08 lb/mmBtu on a seasonal average
basis. This seasonal rate reflects the
average across a unit’s range of varying
daily rates reflecting different operation
conditions. When the EPA examined the
daily emissions rate pattern for these
units considered to be optimizing their
SCRs on a seasonal basis, the EPA
observed that over 95 percent of the
time, their daily rates were below 0.14
lb/mmBtu. In addition, for these units,
less than 1 percent of their seasonal
emissions would exceed this daily rate
limit.
The EPA conducted this analysis to be
consistent with the methodology
developed in the 2014 1-hr SO2
attainment area guidance for identifying
‘‘comparably stringent’’ emissions rates
over varying time-periods.333 Appendix
C of that guidance describes a series of
steps that involve: (1) compiling
emissions data to reflect a distribution
of emissions rates with various
averaging times, (2) determining the
99th percentile of the average emissions
values compiled in the previous step,
and then (3) applying ‘‘adjustment
factors’’ or ratios of the 99th percentile
values to emissions rates to convert
them (usually from a short-term rate to
a longer-term rate). In this case, the EPA
applied the methodology in reverse to
convert a longer-term limit (the seasonal
rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu which was
assumed to be equivalent to a 30-day
rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu for purposes of
this comparison of rates across
averaging times) to a comparably
stringent short-term limit (a daily rate of
0.14 lb/mmBtu).
The inclusion of a 50-ton threshold
for emissions exceeding the backstop
daily emissions rate before the 3-for-1
surrender applies is a change from the
proposal. As discussed in section
VI.B.1.d of this document, the EPA
made this change in response to
comments concerning the possibility
that the 3-for-1 surrender ratio could
otherwise have applied to emissions
outside an EGU operator’s control, with
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-06/
documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_
sip.pdf. ‘‘A limit based on the 30-day average of
emissions, for example, at a particular level is likely
to be a less stringent limit than a 1-hour limit at
the same level 1 since the control level needed to
meet a 1-hour limit every hour is likely to be greater
than the control level needed to achieve the same
limit on a 30-day average basis.’’
333 See Guidance for 1-Hour SO Nonattainment
2
Area SIP Submissions available at https://
www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-06/
documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_
sip.pdf.
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the most important example being the
emissions during unit startup before
SCR equipment can be brought into
service, and to a lesser extent the
emissions during unit shutdown. The
analysis used by the EPA to derive the
50-ton threshold is described in detail
in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule TSD. Briefly, for a set of 164
SCR-equipped units with seasonal
average NOX emissions rates at or below
0.08 lb/mmBtu in 2021, the EPA
evaluated the total amounts of
emissions that would have been
determined to exceed a daily average
emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu in the
2021 and 2022 ozone seasons. In the
2021 ozone season, only 572 tons out of
these units’ total emissions of 60,350
tons, or 0.9 percent, would have been
considered exceedances, with an
average exceedance per unit of less than
4 tons. The highest amount for any of
the 164 individual units in either ozone
season was 48 tons. Based on this
analysis, the EPA concludes that adding
a 50-ton threshold to the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions will ensure
that substantially all emissions outside
the control of an SCR-equipped unit’s
operator will not be subject to the 3-for1 surrender ratio. Because there is no
reason to expect the range of emissions
during conditions when SCR controls
cannot be operated to differ between
SCR-equipped units and units without
SCR, inclusion of the 50-ton threshold
effectively prevents application of the 3for-1 ratio to emissions during startup
and shutdown by units without SCR as
well.
At the same time, the EPA believes
the 50-ton threshold is not large enough
to eliminate the intended incentive to
achieve emissions rates consistent with
good SCR performance under conditions
other than startup and shutdown. For a
set of 124 SCR-equipped units with
seasonal average NOX emissions rates
above 0.08 lb/mmBtu, the total amount
of emissions exceeding a daily average
emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu in the
2021 ozone season was 18,629 tons. Of
this total amount, 15,374 tons would
have been in excess of the 50-ton
thresholds for the various units,
indicating that even after application of
the threshold, the 3-for-1 surrender ratio
would have applied to over 80 percent
of the daily exceedance amounts.
The backstop daily NOX emissions
rate provisions finalized in this rule are
unchanged from the proposal except for
the inclusion of a 50-ton threshold for
emissions exceeding the backstop
emissions rate before the 3-for-1
surrender ratio applies and the deferral
of the application of the provisions to
units without existing SCR controls
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until the 2030 control period or, if
earlier, the second control period in
which new SCR controls are operated at
a unit. The EPA’s responses to
comments on the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate provisions, including the
reasons for these changes, are discussed
in the remainder of this section and in
section 5 of the RTC document.
Comment: Some commenters strongly
supported the backstop daily emissions
rate provisions, noting their benefit to
downwind receptors on potential
nonattainment days, their benefit to
neighboring communities, and evidence
of deterioration in SCR performance in
the absence of such provisions. Other
commenters stated that the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions are
unnecessary, either because SCRequipped EGUs would already be
sufficiently incentivized to operate and
optimize their controls by the stringency
of the state emissions budgets and the
resulting allowance prices or because
most SCR-equipped EGUs are already
required to operate and optimize their
SCRs by conditions in their operating
permits. Some commenters cited
previous EPA analyses showing that it
is unusual for SCR-equipped units to
turn off their SCRs only on high
electricity demand days (HEDD).
Commenters suggested diverse
possible changes to the types of EGUs
that would be covered by the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions. Some
commenters stated that the provisions
should apply to all EGUs or to all SCRequipped EGUs, including non-coalfired units. Other commenters stated
that exemptions should be provided for
units operating at capacity factors below
10 percent or for emissions during
emergencies.
Some commenters stated that
implementation of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions would cause
unintended and counterproductive
consequences. Some of these
commenters claimed that by requiring
the surrender of extra allowances, the
backstop emissions rate provisions
would create shortages of allowances for
the program overall. Other commenters
claimed that the disincentives to operate
units subject to the backstop emissions
rate provisions would cause load to shift
to higher-emitting generators not
covered by the trading program (such as
sources in states outside the program’s
geographic region, EGUs smaller than 25
MW, and sources considered demandside resources, including end-user-sited
diesel generator units), potentially
resulting in higher overall emissions.
Response: The EPA agrees that
backstop daily emissions rate provisions
should be implemented and disagrees
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with comments suggesting that the need
for the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions is contradicted by previous
EPA analyses or is already adequately
addressed by other provisions of this
rule or other legal requirements. As
discussed in sections V.D.1 and VI.B.1.c
of this document, the EPA has
determined that a control stringency
reflecting universal installation and
operation of SCR technology at large
coal-fired EGUs is appropriate. There
are several important differences
between this rule and previous actions
addressing interstate ozone transport
where the Agency did not include such
provisions. First, this rule constitutes a
full remedy, unlike some prior actions.
Second, this rule is the first rule in
which the EPA is addressing good
neighbor obligations with respect to the
more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Third, the EPA has examined the most
recent data over a broader geographic
and temporal footprint specific to the
coverage of this rule, and it illustrates a
greater degree of SCR performance
erosion than in the prior years in which
EPA conducted such analysis. Fourth,
nonattainment and maintenance for this
NAAQS are projected to persist well
into the future in EPA’s baseline,
making enhancements and safeguards
such as the backstop daily emissions
rate provisions essential for securing
elimination of significant contribution
in future periods for which fleet
configuration is inherently more
uncertain.
With respect to claims that inclusion
of the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions is contradicted by the EPA’s
earlier analyses concerning SCR
operational changes specific to high
electricity demand days, the EPA
disagrees. Historical data reported to the
EPA show that multiple SCR-equipped
units across the states covered by this
action have chosen not to operate their
SCRs, or to operate them at materially
less than their full removal capability,
for entire ozone seasons. The apparent
infrequency of one type of behavior—
i.e., instances of units running their
controls on most days but turning the
controls off specifically on high
electricity demand days—does not
contradict the evidence concerning
another type of behavior—i.e., nonoperation or suboptimal operation of
controls for entire ozone seasons. The
evidence from previous trading
programs demonstrates that reliance
solely on the incentives created by
allowance prices and corresponding
static state emissions budgets has been
insufficient to cause all SCR-equipped
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units to operate and optimize their
controls for entire ozone seasons.
The EPA acknowledges that some
SCR-equipped units are likely already
subject to other legal requirements
calling for their SCR controls to be
operated and optimized such that their
seasonal average NOX emissions rates
will generally not exceed 0.08 lb/
mmBtu (the level of seasonal SCR
performance that the EPA used to derive
the equivalent 0.14 lb/mmBtu level of
daily SCR performance for the backstop
daily NOX emissions rate). However,
commenters do not claim, and the EPA
does not believe, that all SCR-equipped
units are subject to other legal
requirements calling for an equivalent
degree of SCR operation and
optimization. In the context of a multistate trading program, it is more
efficient and equitable, and far more
transparent, for the EPA to establish rule
provisions uniformly incentivizing all
large coal-fired EGUs to install and
operate SCR controls than to attempt to
establish differentiated requirements for
various units according to the EPA’s
analysis of the effectiveness of their preexisting permit conditions. Further, to
the extent that a given unit’s permits
already require SCR performance that
would meet the backstop emissions rate
established in this rule, or to the extent
that allowance prices would incentivize
the unit to operate the SCR anyway, the
EPA expects that the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions (as finalized
with a 50-ton threshold to address
emissions outside an EGU’s control
before the 3-for-1 surrender ratio
applies) will cause no incremental cost
for the unit.
The EPA disagrees with the suggested
changes to applicability of the backstop
emissions rate provisions. With respect
to the comments advocating broader
coverage, the EPA discusses its reasons
for applying the provisions only to coalfired EGUs in section VI.B.1.c of this
document, including the fact that
operation of SCR controls is a wellestablished practice among the best
performing coal-fired boilers but not for
non-coal-fired units.334 The comments
indicate a preference for a less flexible
trading program design than the EPA
has found appropriate but do not
demonstrate that EPA’s decision to
allow greater flexibility is either
impermissible or unreasonable; our
reasoning in this regard is further
explained in section VI.B.1.c.i of this
334 Nationwide and among operating units in
2021, EPA identified the best performing quartile
(i.e., lowest ozone season emissions rate) of coalfired EGU boilers (excluding CFB units). Nearly 100
percent of these units (159 of 160 units) were
equipped with SCR controls.
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document. With respect to the
comments advocating narrower
coverage, the commenters have
provided no information indicating that
the sources for which exemptions are
sought could not comply with the
provisions, including through the
surrender of additional allowances if
necessary. The EPA notes that emissions
from coal-fired units operating at low
capacity factors may be concentrated
around days of high electricity demand
when incentives to minimize such
emissions may be most helpful in
mitigating downwind air quality
problems. The EPA also notes that to the
extent the comments are intended to
support exemptions for units without
existing SCR controls, the final rule
defers application of the backstop
emissions rate provisions to such units
until the 2030 control period, providing
additional flexibility to develop
alternatives to the use of such units if
the owners choose not to equip them
with SCR controls.
Finally, the EPA also disagrees with
the comments asserting that the
backstop emissions rate provisions
would cause unintended and
counterproductive consequences. With
respect to units already equipped with
SCR controls, the EPA expects that by
far the most important effect of the
provisions will be to incentivize the
units to operate and optimize their
controls. The EPA sees no basis for
speculation that such units would
choose to operate in a manner that
would result in large amounts of
emissions becoming subject to the 3-for1 allowance surrender ratio or in
generation being shifted to sources
outside the trading program. The results
of the EPA’s modeling of benefits and
costs of the rule show little leakage of
emissions to non-covered sources, and
commenters have presented no analysis
to the contrary. For instance, as shown
in Table 4.6 of the RIA, non-covered
state ozone season NOX emissions
increased on average by 1 percent over
the 2023–2030 time period between the
base and final rule scenarios, while
covered state emissions fell by 14
percent on average over the same
period. With respect to units without
existing SCR controls, the EPA expects
the backstop emissions rate provisions,
when they would take effect for such
units, to provide a strong incentive
against extensive operation (unless and
until such controls are installed), again
not resulting in large amounts of
emissions becoming subject to the 3-for1 allowance surrender ratio.
Comment: For units with existing SCR
controls, the aspect of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions that
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received the most attention in
comments was how emissions outside
the operator’s control should be treated.
Multiple commenters expressed concern
that the backstop daily emissions rate
would be exceeded on days when the
SCR equipment cannot be operated for
all or a portion of the day. The most
commonly cited example of a situation
where SCR equipment cannot be
operated was unit startups, although
some commenters also mentioned unit
shutdowns, boiler or emissions control
malfunctions, and unit maintenance or
tests. The commenters expressed the
view that emissions that cannot be
controlled by SCR equipment should be
exempted from the backstop emissions
rate provisions and suggested a variety
of approaches for implementing an
exemption.
Some commenters also stated that the
backstop emissions rate provisions
would not sufficiently accommodate
sustained low-load operation, such as
where an SCR-equipped unit operates
for extended periods at a load level too
low to permit SCR operation so that the
unit is ready to ramp up to higher load
levels in less time than would be
required for a startup. The commenters
suggested that implementation of a
backstop daily rate would reduce the
ability to operate the units in this
manner, generally reducing system
flexibility. Some noted that the need for
flexibility of this nature is increasing
because of the rapid growth in
intermittent renewable generation.
Additional comments on the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions for units
with existing SCR controls addressed
the level of the daily emissions rate and
the implementation timing. With
respect to the rate level, various
commenters suggested rates from 0.08 to
0.20 lb/mmBtu. With respect to
implementation timing, some
commenters stated that because
immediate compliance was possible, the
good neighbor provision required
implementation as of the 2023 control
period rather than the 2024 control
period as proposed. Other commenters
expressed the view that units with
existing SCR controls should not be
required to comply with the backstop
emissions rate provisions earlier than
units without existing SCR controls.
Some owners of SCR-equipped EGUs
that exhaust to stacks shared with EGUs
without SCR suggested that their
particular units with existing SCR
controls should not be required to
comply with the backstop emissions
rate provisions earlier than units
without existing SCR controls in order
to avoid the cost of upgrading their
emissions monitoring equipment.
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Response: With respect to the topic of
emissions outside an operator’s control,
as a general matter the EPA agrees that
the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions are intended to incentivize
good SCR operation and that it was not
the Agency’s intent to apply a higher
surrender ratio to emissions that are
truly unavoidable, such as emissions
occurring before an operator could
reasonably initialize SCR operation
when a unit is started up. As explained
elsewhere in this section, the EPA
selected the level of the backstop rate
based on analysis of 2021 emissions
data showing that for SCR-equipped
coal-fired units achieving seasonal
average NOX emissions rates at or below
0.08 lb/mmBtu, more than 99 percent of
the units’ emissions would fall below a
backstop daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/
mmBtu. In response to the comments
summarized previously, the EPA has
further analyzed 2021 and 2022
emissions data to determine what if any
modifications to the proposal might be
appropriate to limit the imposition of a
3-to-1 allowance surrender requirement
for emissions caused by circumstances
outside an operator’s control while
preserving the intended incentive to
operate and optimize SCR controls
whenever possible. The analysis
showed that for the same set of units
achieving seasonal average emissions
rates at or below 0.08 lb/mmBtu, the
highest total amount of emissions
exceeding the backstop daily emissions
rate in either the 2021 or 2022 control
period for any unit was 48 tons. The
Agency views this amount as a
reasonable upper bound on the quantity
of emissions that might contribute to an
exceedance of the backstop emissions
rate arising from circumstances outside
an operator’s control for any coal-fired
unit, not just the well-controlled units
in the data set analyzed, because the
amount generally encompasses all of a
unit’s emissions occurring in hours
when an SCR could not be operated
over an ozone season.
Based on this analysis, the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions in this
final rule exclude the first 50 tons of a
unit’s emissions in a given control
period exceeding the backstop daily
emissions rate from incremental
allowance surrender requirements. The
EPA finds that establishing a threshold
of this nature will provide an
appropriate maximum exclusion to all
coal-fired units for unavoidable
emissions caused by circumstances
outside the operator’s control while
maintaining the incentives for less wellcontrolled units to improve their
emissions performance on all days of
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the ozone season. Well-controlled units
will likely have no emissions over the
threshold that will be subject to
incremental allowance surrender
requirements, while for SCR-equipped
units not already achieving a seasonal
average emissions rates sufficiently low
to routinely operate at daily average
emissions rates of 0.14 lb/mmBtu or
less, the incentive to reduce daily
emissions rates will remain in place,
because the 50-ton threshold is not
expected to encompass all emissions
exceeding the backstop daily emissions
rate for such units. In contrast to more
complicated exceptions suggested by
commenters, the 50-ton threshold can
be easily integrated into the overall
trading program structure with minimal
additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements.
With respect to the comments
claiming that the inability of some SCRequipped units to operate their SCR
controls at sustained low load levels
likewise merits alteration of the
backstop daily emissions rate
provisions, the EPA disagrees. There is
no dispute concerning the technical
need for a unit to attain and maintain a
certain range of exhaust gas
temperatures at the SCR inlet in order
to achieve optimal SCR performance
and no dispute concerning the general
relationship between a unit’s load level
in a given hour and its ability to attain
and maintain that exhaust gas
temperature range in that hour.
However, the EPA is also aware that at
least in some cases, units whose role in
the integrated electric system currently
calls for them to operate at low load
levels for sustained periods (such as
overnight) in fact may be able to operate
at slightly higher load levels that would
accommodate SCR operation during
those periods and still meet the needs
of the integrated electric system, thereby
avoiding operation of the unit for
sustained periods with the SCR out of
service. Figure B.5 in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD
illustrates this opportunity using data
reported for the 2021 and 2022 ozone
seasons by a large SCR-equipped EGU in
Pennsylvania. In both ozone seasons,
the unit often cycled daily between its
maximum load of approximately 900
MW during the daytime and a lower
load level overnight, and in both ozone
seasons the unit’s typical daytime
emissions rate was between 0.05 and
0.07 lb/mmBtu. However, while in the
2021 ozone season, the unit cycled
down to a load level of approximately
440 MW overnight and did not operate
its SCR, in the 2022 ozone season, when
allowance prices were considerably
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higher, the unit cycled down to a load
level of approximately 540 MW
overnight and did operate its SCR.
Despite the higher nighttime generation
levels, the result was a decrease of
roughly 50 percent in the unit’s seasonal
average NOX emissions rate, from
approximately 0.14 lb/mmBtu to
approximately 0.07 lb/mmBtu, and a
comparable reduction in NOX mass
emissions. This unit is not uniquely
situated; operating data for several other
large SCR-equipped EGUs in
Pennsylvania show the same past
pattern of cycling down to low load
levels at which the SCR controls cannot
be operated, and these other units have
similar opportunities to cycle down to
somewhat higher load levels
(necessarily subject to the needs and
constraints of the integrated electric
system) at which their SCR controls can
be operated.335 No commenter has
submitted data to the contrary.
Furthermore, this example demonstrates
the need for this rule’s backstop
emissions rate provision, which (had it
been in place) would have motivated
this facility to operate its SCR overnight
during the 2021 ozone season when the
prevailing allowance price provided an
insufficient incentive to do so.
The EPA disagrees with the comments
advocating for a backstop daily
emissions rate lower or higher than 0.14
lb/mmBtu. In general, these comments
simply represent disagreements with the
EPA’s conclusions regarding the
identification of required emissions
reductions under this rule, as reflected
in part by the EPA’s conclusion that a
seasonal average emissions rate of 0.08
lb/mmBtu reasonably reflects the
seasonal average emissions rate
achievable through optimization of
controls by existing SCR-equipped units
that are not already achieving a lower
seasonal average emissions rate.
Comments concerning the selection of
the 0.08 lb/mmBtu seasonal average
emissions rate are addressed in section
V of this document. Commenters did
not challenge the EPA’s analysis
identifying a daily emissions rate of 0.14
lb/mmBtu as comparable in stringency
to a seasonal average emissions rate of
0.08 lb/mmBtu (see further discussion
elsewhere in this section).
The EPA also disagrees with the
comments stating that the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions should
apply to units with existing SCR
controls starting in a control period
earlier or later than the 2024 control
period. The EPA does not consider
335 See the spreadsheet ‘‘Conemaugh and
Keystone unit 2021 to 2022 hourly ozone season
data’’ in the docket.
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36795
implementation of the provisions in the
2023 control period feasible because it
is currently unknown whether the
necessary updates to the emissions
recordkeeping and reporting software
for all the affected sources could be
completed and tested before July 30,
2023, which is the first quarterly
reporting deadline for the 2023 control
period. Moreover, as discussed in
section VI.B.1.c.i of this document,
implementing the requirements starting
in 2024 will provide a window for EGUs
to improve the consistency of SCR
operation or in some cases to optionally
install additional emissions monitoring
equipment. As for the suggestion that
implementation timing of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions for units
with existing SCR controls should be
synchronized with the later
implementation timing for units without
existing SCR controls, the EPA is not
persuaded that there is any inequity in
implementing provisions intended to
incentivize operation of SCR controls
first at sources that already have such
controls and later at sources that do not
already have such controls, allowing
time for the latter sources to install the
controls. In any event, in this instance,
where some upwind sources have an
immediate and highly cost-effective
option for controlling their emissions,
the statutory requirement for significant
contribution to be eliminated as
expeditiously as practicable so as to
provide downwind states with the
protection intended by the Good
Neighbor provision overrides these
sources’ claim of inequity relative to
sources whose emissions control
options would take longer and have
higher cost. We conclude that the
backstop daily emissions rate is an
important aspect of the elimination of
significant contribution and should be
applied at the relevant units. It is only
out of recognition of unique
circumstances associated with
facilitating power-sector transition as
identified by commenters, that we defer
the application of the rate for the
minority of units that have not yet
installed SCR controls.
Finally, with respect to the SCRequipped units that share common
stacks with units that do not have SCR,
the EPA disagrees that monitoring cost
considerations merit a later
implementation date for the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions. As
discussed in section VI.B.10 of this
document, five plants with this
configuration are covered by the rule
(one of which has announced plans to
retire in 2023). Under this rule, as
proposed, the owner of a plant with this
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configuration can choose between either
upgrading the plant’s monitoring
systems so as to obtain unit-specific
NOX emissions rate data for each unit
subject to the backstop daily emissions
rate or else using the NOX emissions
rate data from the common stack,
recognizing that the common stack
emissions rate would generally be
biased upwards relative to the emissions
rate that could be reported for the SCRequipped unit if that unit’s emissions
were monitored separately. Commenters
have suggested a third option of a
temporary exemption from the backstop
emissions rate to avoid the cost of
upgrading their monitoring systems.
With the timing for implementation of
the backstop emissions rate provisions
for currently uncontrolled units in the
proposal, the temporary exemption for
the SCR-equipped units would have
been in place for three control periods,
from 2024 through 2026. With the final
rule’s deferral of the implementation of
the backstop emissions rate provisions
for the uncontrolled units for up to three
years, the suggested temporary
exemption for the SCR-equipped units
would be in effect for up to six control
periods, from 2024 through 2029. The
EPA does not consider it reasonable to
allow these SCR-equipped units an
exemption from the backstop rate
provisions for six years to avoid the cost
of upgrading their monitoring systems,
particularly given that the additional
costs of monitoring at the individualunit level are already borne by the large
majority of other plants and the rule
already provides these plants with an
alternative to the monitoring system
upgrades, if desired, by allowing the
plants to use the emissions rate data
from the common stack.336
Comment: With respect to units
without existing SCRs, some
commenters viewed the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions as likely to
make units without SCR altogether
unwilling or unable to operate and
characterized the provisions as a
mandate for such units to install such
controls or retire as of the control period
when the provisions are implemented.
Other commenters acknowledged that
the provisions are not actually hard
limits but stated that the higher
allowance surrender ratio for emissions
in excess of the backstop daily rate
would nevertheless reduce the ability of
336 The owner of one of the five plants with
common stacks submitted comments stating that no
location in the plant’s ductwork could meet the
criteria for a unit-specific monitoring location. As
discussed in section VI.B.10 of this document, EPA
staff have reviewed the comment and do not believe
the commenter has provided sufficient information
to reach such a conclusion.
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such units to operate as needed to back
up intermittent renewable generation.
Some commenters claimed that
inclusion of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions would
substantially eliminate the potential
benefits of allowance trading, because
all units would have to meet the same
emissions rate.
Some commenters stated that the
proposed application of the daily
backstop emissions rate provisions in
the 2027 control period in some cases
would occur only slightly before the
units’ otherwise planned retirement
dates, and that short-term reliability
considerations could create the need to
make substantial investments in new
controls at the units, which in turn
could result in deferral of the units’
retirement plans. In the proposal, the
EPA requested comment on the
possibility of deferring the application
of the backstop emissions rate
provisions to units without existing SCR
controls until the 2029 control period if
the owners provided the EPA with
information indicating with sufficient
certainty that the units would retire by
the end of 2028. Commenters in favor of
this concept suggested longer deferral
periods, ranging from 2029 through
2032, and some also suggested that the
EPA should simultaneously enlarge the
emissions budgets to provide more
allowances for units subject to the
deferred requirement. Other
commenters opposed any deferral of the
applicability of the backstop rate
provisions.
Response: The EPA disagrees that
implementation of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions for EGUs
without existing SCR controls
constitutes a mandate for such units to
install controls or retire but agrees that,
as intended, the provisions would create
strong incentives to minimize operation
of the units unless and until controls are
installed, and further agrees that in
some instances retirement and
replacement may be a more
economically attractive option for the
unit’s customers and/or owners than
installation of new controls. The EPA’s
rationale for determining at Step 3 that
the control stringency required to
address states’ good neighbor
obligations includes achievement of
emissions rates consistent with good
SCR performance at all large coal-fired
EGUs (other than circulating fluidized
bed boilers) is discussed in section
V.D.1 of this document, and the EPA’s
rationale for determining at Step 4 that
the trading program should include
strong unit-level incentives to
implement these controls is discussed
in section VI.B.1.c. of this document. As
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noted in section VI.B.1.c of this
document, the backstop daily emissions
rate provisions are structured as
incremental allowance surrender
requirements rather than as directly
enforceable emissions limits to
incentivize improved emissions
performance at the individual unit level
while continuing to preserve, to the
extent possible, the advantages that the
flexibility of a trading program brings to
the electric power sector. The EPA
appreciates that, in comparison to
previous transport rules using a trading
program mechanism for the power
sector, the degree of flexibility available
under this rule is reduced both by the
greater stringency of the overall
emissions reduction requirements,
which leave less room to accommodate
emissions from high-emitting units such
as uncontrolled coal-fired units, and by
the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions. However, the EPA maintains
that the trading program structure still
is significantly more flexible than an
array of directly enforceable emissions
limits imposed on all EGUs or even on
all coal-fired EGUs, and the comments
do not show otherwise.
With respect to the comments
concerning the timing for application of
the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions to EGUs without existing
SCR controls, in the final rule the
provisions will apply to these units
starting with the second control period
in which newly installed SCR controls
are operational at the unit, but not later
than the 2030 control period. As
discussed in section VI.B.1.d of this
document, the purpose of this change
from the proposal is to address concerns
expressed by RTOs and other
commenters that application of the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate to
EGUs without existing SCR controls
starting in the 2027 control period
would provide insufficient time for
planning and investments needed to
facilitate the unit retirements they
viewed as likely to be a preferred
compliance pathway for some owners.
The EPA recognizes that retrofitting new
emissions controls on aging coal-fired
EGUs may be less environmentally
efficient than the alternative of
retirement and replacement, which
could yield lower cumulative emissions
of NOX and multiple other pollutants
over time. The EPA also recognizes that
several coal-fired EGUs have already
been considering retirement in 2028 (or
earlier) under compliance pathways
available under the Clean Water Act
effluent guidelines 337 and the coal
combustion residuals rule under the
337 See
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Resource Conservation and Recovery
Act.338 The year 2028 also represents
the end of the second planning period
under the Regional Haze program, and
thus is a significant year in states’
planning of strategies to make
reasonable progress towards natural
visibility at Class I areas.339 In addition,
other regulatory actions at the state or
Federal level are being or recently have
been proposed. This includes among
other things a proposed revision to the
PM NAAQS for which transport SIPs
would be due later in the 2020s. We
understand that EGUs may wish to take
the entire regulatory and market
landscape into account when deciding
whether to invest in SCR or pursue
other NOX reduction strategies. To
facilitate a unit-level compliance
alternative under this rule that
maintains the NOX reductions
corresponding to SCR-level emissions
control performance required by the
state budgets from 2026 forward and
that is potentially superior both
economically and environmentally
across multiple regulatory programs
than installation of new, capitalintensive, post-combustion controls, the
EPA is providing the fleet more
flexibility in how to achieve those
emissions reductions in the years
through 2029. Relatedly, the deferral of
the application of the backstop
emissions rate provisions to
uncontrolled units also addresses
commenters’ concerns that the
provisions otherwise would reduce the
ability of uncontrolled units to operate
as needed to back up intermittent
renewable generation (subject of course
to the allowance-holding requirements
to cover emissions). The deferral
addresses this concern directly for the
period through 2029, by eliminating
application of the backstop provisions
to uncontrolled EGUs through this
period, and also indirectly after 2029, by
ensuring the availability of sufficient
time for owners and operators to
complete other investments that may be
needed to back up renewable generation
after that point.
The EPA disagrees with the comments
stating that application of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions to
uncontrolled units should not be
deferred and also disagrees with the
comments stating that deferral should
be accompanied by increases in the state
emissions budgets reflecting higher
assumed emissions rates for these units.
The responses to these two comments
are related. This rule complies with the
mandate for the EPA to address good
338 See
339 See
40 CFR 257.103(b).
40 CFR 51.308(f).
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neighbor obligations as expeditiously as
practicable and is based on a
demonstration that emissions
reductions commensurate with the
overall emissions control strategy at
Step 3 can be achieved beginning in the
2027 ozone season (following a two-year
phase in of emissions reductions
associated with installation of SCR
retrofits). In the RIA, we demonstrate
that EGUs will have multiple pathways
to meeting the state budgets even if they
choose not to install the SCR controls—
thus no relaxation in the stringency of
these budgets has been demonstrated to
be warranted based on feasibility,
necessity, or impossibility. The EGU
economic modeling discussed in the
RIA illustrates that many sources
identified as currently having SCR
retrofit potential elect not to install a
SCR, and those that do retrofit SCR
make no such installation until 2030.
Yet, the fleet is able to comply with
2026 state emissions budgets (whose
emissions reductions are premised in
large part on assumed SCR retrofits)
through reduced utilization (many of
these units are projected to retire, and
thus reduce emissions). While these
changes in coal fleet utilization are not
required or imposed through the EPA’s
state emissions budgets, they are
projected to be an economic preference
for a substantial portion of the
unretrofitted fleet owing to future
market and policy conditions. If sources
do ultimately elect this pathway, then
compliance will occur with significantly
less demand on SCR retrofit labor and
material markets than assumed at Step
3. The daily emissions rates are a
backstop to the broader emissions
reduction requirements, which we view
as an important and necessary
component to the elimination of
significant contribution. But we also
recognize that the objectives to be
accomplished by the backstop must be
balanced with larger economic and
environmental conditions facing EGUs
for which a deferral of the backstop rate
ultimately is the most reasonable
approach given these competing
concerns. See Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at
320 (‘‘EPA, though, possesses a measure
of latitude in defining which upwind
contribution ‘amounts’ count as
‘significant[ ]’ and thus must be
abated.’’). As noted in section VI.B.1.d
of this document, the EPA finds that as
long as state emissions budgets continue
to reflect the required degree of
emissions reductions at least for an
interim period until the backstop rate
would apply more uniformly, deferral of
the backstop rate requirement for
uncontrolled units in recognition of the
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36797
transition period identified by
commenters can be justified on the basis
of the greater long-term environmental
benefits obtained through greater
compliance flexibility.
8. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations
Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
As emphasized by the D.C. Circuit in
its decision invalidating CAIR, under
the CAA’s good neighbor provision,
emissions ‘‘within the State’’ that
contribute significantly to
nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of a NAAQS in another
state must be prohibited. North Carolina
v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 906–08 (D.C. Cir.
2008). The CAIR trading programs
contained no provisions limiting the
degree to which a state could rely on net
purchased allowances as a substitute for
making in-state emissions reductions,
an omission which the court found was
inconsistent with the requirements of
the good neighbor provision. Id. In
response to that holding, the EPA
established the CSAPR trading
programs’ assurance provisions to
ensure that, in the context of a flexible
trading program, the emissions
reductions required under the good
neighbor provision in fact will take
place within the state. The EPA believes
the assurance provisions have generally
been successful in achieving that
objective, as evidenced by the fact that
since the assurance provisions took
effect in 2017, out of the nearly 300
instances where a given state’s
compliance with the assurance
provisions of a given CSAPR trading
program for a given control period has
been assessed, a state’s collective
emissions have exceeded the applicable
assurance level only four times.
Unfortunately, the EPA also
recognizes that the assurance
provisions’ very good historical
compliance record is not good enough.
The four past exceedances all occurred
under the Group 2 trading program:
sources in Mississippi collectively
exceeded their applicable assurance
levels in the 2019 and 2020 control
periods, and sources in Missouri
collectively exceeded their applicable
assurance levels in the 2020 and 2021
control periods.340 Both of the
exceedances by Missouri sources could
easily have been avoided if the owner
and operator of several SCR-equipped,
340 Information on the assurance level
exceedances in the 2019, 2020, and 2021 control
periods is available in the final notices concerning
EPA’s administration of the assurance provisions
for those control periods. 85 FR 53364 (August 28,
2020); 86 FR 52674 (September 22, 2021); 87 FR
57695 (September 21, 2022).
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coal-fired steam units had not chosen to
idle the units’ controls and rely instead
on net out-of-state purchased
allowances. The exceedances were
large, and ample quantities of
allowances to cover the resulting 3-for1 allowance surrender requirements
were purchased in advance, suggesting
that the assurance level exceedances
may have been anticipated as a
possibility. In the case of the
Mississippi exceedances, the
exceedances were smaller, operational
variability (manifesting as increased
heat input) appears to have been a
material contributing factor, and the
EPA has not concluded that the owners
and operators anticipated the
exceedances. However, an additional
contributing factor was the fact that
several large, gas-fired steam units
without SCR controls emitted NOX at
average rates much higher than the
average emissions rates the same units
had achieved in previous control
periods. In short, while the Missouri
exceedances appear far more significant,
the EPA’s analysis indicates that all four
past exceedances could have been
avoided if the units most responsible
had achieved emissions rates more
comparable to the same units’ previous
performance. In the EPA’s view, the
operation of the Missouri units in
particular—although not prohibited by
the current regulatory requirements—
cannot be reconciled with the statutory
requirements of the good neighbor
provision. The fact that such operation
is not prohibited by the current
regulations therefore indicates a
deficiency in the current regulatory
requirements.
To correct the deficiency in the
regulatory requirements, the EPA in this
rulemaking is revising the Group 3
trading program regulations to establish
an additional emissions limitation to
more effectively deter avoidable
assurance level exceedances starting
with the 2024 control period. Because
the pollutant involved is ozone season
NOX and the particular sources for
which deterrence is most needed are
located in states that are transitioning
from the Group 2 trading program to the
Group 3 trading program, the EPA is
promulgating the strengthening
provisions as revisions to the Group 3
trading program regulations rather than
the Group 2 trading program
regulations.341
341 The EPA believes that the occurrence of
avoidable assurance level exceedances under the
Group 2 trading program, combined with the
express statutory directive that good neighbor
obligations must be addressed ‘‘within the state,’’
and through ‘‘prohibition,’’ would also provide a
sufficient legal basis for the Agency to promulgate
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The two historical emissions-related
compliance requirements in the Group 3
trading program regulations are both
structured in the form of requirements
to hold allowances. The first
requirement applies at the source level:
specifically, at the compliance deadline
after each control period, the owners
and operators of each source covered by
the program must surrender a quantity
of allowances that is determined based
on the emissions from the units at the
source during the control period. The
second requirement applies at the
designated representative level (which
typically is the owner or operator level):
if the state’s sources collectively emit in
excess of the state’s assurance level, the
owners and operators of each set of
sources determined to have contributed
to the exceedance must surrender an
additional quantity of allowances. As
long as a source’s owners and operators
comply with these two allowance
surrender requirements (and meet
certain other requirements not related to
the amounts of the sources’ emissions),
they are in compliance with the
program.
In light of the operation of the
Missouri sources, the EPA is doubtful
that strengthening the assurance
provisions by increasing allowance
surrender requirements at the unit,
source, or designated representative
level would create a sufficient deterrent.
Accordingly, the EPA is instead adding
a new, unit-level emissions limitation
structured as a prohibition to emit NOX
in excess of a defined amount. A
violation of the prohibition will not
trigger additional allowance surrender
requirements beyond the surrender
requirements that would otherwise
apply, but will trigger the possible
application of the CAA’s enforcement
authorities. The new emissions
limitation will be in addition to, not in
lieu of, the other requirements of the
Group 3 trading program. This point is
being made explicit by relabeling the
source-level allowance holding
requirement, currently called the
‘‘emissions limitation,’’ as the ‘‘primary
emissions limitation’’ and labeling the
the same revisions to the assurance provisions for
all the other CSAPR trading programs. The EPA is
not doing so at this time because the Agency has
seen no reason to expect exceedances of the
assurance levels under any of the other CSAPR
trading programs by any of the states that will
remain subject to the respective trading programs
after this rulemaking, except possibly by Missouri
under the CSAPR NOX Annual Trading Program.
The EPA expects that reductions in Missouri’s
seasonal NOX emissions sufficient to comply with
the proposed provisions of the revised Group 3
trading program, including the secondary emissions
limitations, would also prevent exceedances of
Missouri’s currently applicable assurance level for
annual NOX emissions.
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new unit-level requirement as the
‘‘secondary emissions limitation.’’ (The
regulations label the designated
representative-level requirement as
‘‘compliance with the . . . assurance
provisions.’’)
Because the purpose of the new unitlevel secondary emissions limitation is
to deter conduct causing exceedances of
a state’s assurance level, the EPA is
conditioning applicability of the new
limitation on (1) the occurrence of an
exceedance of the state’s assurance level
for the control period, and (2) the
apportionment of at least some of the
responsibility for the assurance level
exceedance to the set of units
represented by the unit’s designated
representative. Apportionment of
responsibility for the assurance level
exceedance will be carried out
according to the existing assurance
provision procedures and will therefore
depend on the designated
representative’s shares of both the
state’s total emissions for the control
period and the state’s assurance level for
the control period. To ensure that the
secondary emissions limitation is
focused on units where the need for
improved incentives is greatest, and also
to ensure that the limitation will not
apply to units used only to meet peak
electricity demand, the limitation
applies only to units that are equipped
with post-combustion controls (i.e., SCR
or SNCR) and that operated for at least
ten percent of the hours in the control
period in question and in at least one
previous control period.
For units to which a secondary
emissions limitation applies in a given
control period based on the conditions
just summarized, the limitation is
defined by a formula in the regulations.
The formula is generally designed to
compute the potential amount the unit
would have emitted during the control
period, given its actual heat input
during the control period, if the unit
had achieved an average emissions rate
equal to the unit’s lowest average
emissions rate in a previous control
period plus a margin of 25 percent. To
ensure that the data used to establish
the unit’s lowest previous average
emissions rate are representative and of
high quality, only past control periods
where the unit participated in a CSAPR
trading program for ozone season NOX
and operated in at least ten percent of
the hours in the control period are
considered. Further, to avoid causing
units that achieve emissions rates lower
than 0.08 lb/mmBtu from becoming
subject to more stringent secondary
emissions limitations in subsequent
control periods, the secondary
emissions limitation formula uses a
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floor emissions rate of 0.10 lb/mmBtu
(which is 0.08 lb/mmBtu plus the
formula’s 25 percent margin). In
addition to making sure that
performance better than 0.08 lb/mmBtu
is not disincentivized, the inclusion of
the floor emissions rate also ensures that
no unit achieving an average emissions
rate of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or less in a given
control period will exceed a secondary
emissions limitation in that control
period. Finally, the formula includes a
50-ton threshold, which will avert
violations for small performance
deviations at large EGUs and also ensure
that no unit emitting less than 50 tons
in a given control period will exceed a
secondary emissions limitation in that
control period.
In summary, a secondary emissions
limitation is applicable to a unit for a
given control period only if the state’s
assurance level is exceeded,
responsibility for the exceedance is
apportioned at least in part to the set of
units represented by the unit’s
designated representative, the unit is
equipped with post-combustion
controls, and the unit operated for at
least ten percent of the hours in the
control period. Where a secondary
emissions limitation applies to a unit for
a given control period, the amount of
the limitation is computed as the sum
of 50 tons plus the product of (1) the
unit’s heat input for the control period
times (2) a NOX emissions rate of 0.10
lb/mmBtu or, if higher, 125 percent
times the lowest seasonal average NOX
emissions rate achieved by the unit in
a previous control period when the unit
participated in a CSAPR trading
program for ozone season NOX
emissions and operated in at least ten
percent of the hours in the control
period.342
Table VI.B.8–1 shows the secondary
emissions limitations that the formula
would have produced and which units
would have exceeded those limitations
36799
if the limitations and formula had been
in effect for the Group 2 trading program
in 2020 and 2021 when assurance level
exceedances occurred in Missouri.
Following consideration of comments,
the EPA believes that in each case the
formula functions in a reasonable
manner, and the Missouri units
identified as exceeding their respective
secondary emissions limitations are
sources for which an enforcement
deterrent under CAA sections 113 and
304 would have been appropriate to
compel better control of NOX emissions.
Table VI.B.8–1 does not show any units
that would have been identified as
subject to secondary emissions
limitations in the case of the 2019 and
2020 assurance level exceedances in
Mississippi because no units in the state
meeting all conditions for
applicability—including the
requirement to be equipped with postcombustion controls—exceeded their
respective limitations.
TABLE VI.B.8–1—ILLUSTRATIVE RESULTS OF APPLYING SECONDARY EMISSIONS LIMITATION IN PREVIOUS INSTANCES OF
ASSURANCE LEVEL EXCEEDANCES
Owner/operator
125% of Lowest
previously
achieved NOX
emissions rate
(lb/mmBtu)
Unit
Actual
NOX
emissions
rate
(lb/mmBtu)
Secondary
emissions
limitation
(tons)
Actual
NOX
emissions
(tons)
Exceedance
(tons)
Missouri—2020
Assoc.
Assoc.
Assoc.
Assoc.
Assoc.
Elec.
Elec.
Elec.
Elec.
Elec.
Coop
Coop
Coop
Coop
Coop
..................................
..................................
..................................
..................................
..................................
New Madrid 1
New Madrid 2
Thomas Hill 1
Thomas Hill 2
Thomas Hill 3
.........................................
.........................................
.........................................
.........................................
.........................................
0.135
0.131
0.123
0.122
0.104
0.670
0.497
0.526
0.537
0.195
961
866
374
548
780
4,524
3,108
1,384
2,187
1,374
3,563
2,242
1,010
1,639
594
0.135
0.131
0.123
0.122
0.652
0.611
0.146
0.400
353
1,054
421
600
1,466
4,700
440
1,801
1,113
3,646
19
1,201
Missouri—2021
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Assoc.
Assoc.
Assoc.
Assoc.
Elec.
Elec.
Elec.
Elec.
Coop
Coop
Coop
Coop
..................................
..................................
..................................
..................................
New Madrid 1
New Madrid 2
Thomas Hill 1
Thomas Hill 2
For further illustrations of the
application of the secondary emissions
limitation formula to other units in the
states to be subject to the expanded
Group 3 trading program in the control
periods from 2016 through 2021, see the
spreadsheet ‘‘Illustrative Calculations
Using Proposed Secondary Emissions
Limitation Formula,’’ available in the
docket. The EPA notes that, with the
exception of the units listed in Table
VI.B.8–1, no unit shown in the
spreadsheet as having emissions
exceeding the illustrative secondary
emissions limitation calculated for the
unit would have violated the
prohibition because no violation would
occur in the absence of an exceedance
of the assurance level and
.........................................
.........................................
.........................................
.........................................
apportionment of responsibility for a
share of the exceedance to the unit
under the assurance provisions.
The secondary emissions limitation
provisions are being finalized as
proposed except for the addition of the
condition that a unit to which the
provisions apply must be equipped with
post-combustion controls. The EPA’s
responses to comments concerning the
secondary emissions limitation
provisions, including the comments
giving rise to the change just mentioned,
are in the remainder of this section and
section 5 of the RTC document.
Comment: Some commenters stated
that the secondary emissions limitation
is not necessary, or would be a
disproportionate remedy, because
experience shows that exceedances of
the assurance level have been rare, and
where exceedances of a state’s assurance
level have occurred, the 3-for-1
surrender ratio under the existing
regulations has applied, providing a
sufficient remedy.
Response: The EPA disagrees with
these comments. The purpose of the
assurance provisions in the CSAPR
trading programs is to ensure that the
emissions reductions required to
address a state’s obligations under the
Good Neighbor Provision occur ‘‘within
the state’’ as mandated by the CAA. See
North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896,
906–08 (D.C. Cir. 2008). Prior to this
action, the sole consequence for an
exceedance of a state’s assurance level
342 For the actual regulatory language, see 40 CFR
97.1025(c) as added by this rule.
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has been a requirement to surrender two
additional allowances for each ton of
the exceedance. The repeated, large,
foreseeable, and easily avoidable
exceedances of Missouri’s assurance
level under the Group 2 trading program
in 2020 and 2021 have made clear that
a remedy based solely on additional
allowance surrenders is insufficient to
address this statutory requirement and
that a materially stronger deterrent is
needed.
Comment: Some commenters stated
that the secondary emissions limitation
could apply to exceedances caused by
factors outside the control of the EGU
operator, going beyond the EPA’s intent
of deterring exceedances that are
foreseeable and avoidable. For example,
commenters pointed out that some units
that typically combust gas may
sometimes be ordered to combust oil at
times when supplies of gas are
constrained and expressed concern that
the resulting higher NOX emissions
could cause a unit to exceed its
secondary emissions limitation. Another
commenter stated that it is not
uncommon for units’ seasonal average
NOX emissions rate to vary by more
than 25 percent across control periods.
Response: The EPA agrees that the
secondary emissions limitation is
intended to apply to units in a position
to avert an exceedance of a state’s
assurance level. The contention that
year-to-year variability of 25 percent in
units’ seasonal average emissions rates
is common is not in itself a persuasive
reason to omit the secondary emissions
limitation from the final rule, because
the mere existence of such variability
says nothing about whether the
operators of those units could reduce
that variability through their operational
decisions, and the commenter provided
no data regarding the extent to which
the historical variability was avoidable.
However, the EPA agrees that a
secondary emissions limitation should
be designed to avoid application to a
unit whose increase in emissions rate
was caused by mandated combustion of
a higher-NOX fuel than the unit’s
normal fuel. Moreover, based on the
analysis of the secondary emissions
limitation formula prepared for the
proposal, the EPA has reviewed the
applicability of the limitation more
generally and has determined that it
should apply only to units with postcombustion controls, which are the
units with the greatest ability to manage
their emissions rates through their
operating behavior. This modification
will avoid application of a secondary
emissions limitation in situations where
a unit’s increase in seasonal average
NOX emissions rate relative to past
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control periods is caused by factors in
that control period beyond the
operator’s control, such as being
mandated by a regulator to combust a
higher proportion of oil or operating for
a higher proportion of hours at load
levels where the unit has a higher NOX
emissions rate for reasons other than
non-operation of emissions controls.
Comment: Some commenters asserted
that because it is not known if a state’s
assurance level has been exceeded until
after the end of the control period, EGU
operators would be unable to know
whether the secondary emissions
limitation would apply to them during
the control period. Some of these
commenters suggested that where a unit
has been found to have contributed to
an assurance level exceedance, the EPA
should apply a secondary emissions
limitation to the unit not in that control
period but instead in the following
control period.
Commenters suggested that
uncertainty about whether a unit would
be subject to a secondary emissions
limitation could have a variety of
undesirable consequences. For example,
they asserted that some EGUs could
become unwilling to operate when
needed for reliability because they
would be concerned that merely
operating more than in previous control
periods could cause a unit to exceed its
limitation. One commenter asserted that
the uncertainty would make it difficult
for an owner of multiple EGUs to use
allowances allocated to one EGU to
meet another EGU’s surrender
requirements, possibly leading to
operating restrictions on multiple EGUs.
Response: The EPA disagrees with
these comments. While an operator
cannot be certain that the secondary
emissions limitation will apply to a
particular EGU until after the end of a
control period, the operator can be
certain that the limitation will not apply
to a particular EGU simply by ensuring
that the unit’s seasonal average NOX
emissions rate does not exceed the
higher of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or 125 percent
of the unit’s lowest seasonal average
NOX emissions rate in a previous
control period under a CSAPR trading
program (excluding control periods
where the unit operated for less than 10
percent of the hours). Because any
operator of a unit with post-combustion
controls can readily avoid being subject
to the limitation, there is no need for
application of the limitation to be
deferred to the following control period.
Deferral of the limitation’s application
would also have the effect of excusing
a unit’s first contribution to an
assurance level exceedance, which the
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EPA views as inappropriate when that
exceedance could have been avoided.
The asserted possible consequences of
uncertainty about whether the
limitation would apply rest on
mischaracterizations of the provision.
The formula for the limitation reflects
the unit’s actual heat input for the
control period, so there is no penalty for
increased operation as long as the unit’s
seasonal NOX average emissions rate
stays below the level just referenced.
Finally, nothing about the secondary
emissions limitation disincentivizes an
EGU fleet owner from transferring
allocated allowances among the fleet’s
EGUs, because apportionment of
responsibility for an assurance level
exceedance—one of the conditions for
application of the secondary emissions
limitation—is determined at the level of
the group of units represented by a
common designated representative
(typically the set of all units operated by
a particular owner) rather than the
individual unit.
Comment: Some commenters stated
that the EPA should revise the
secondary emissions limitation formula
so that where a limitation applies to a
unit, the unit’s previous NOX emissions
rate used in the formula would not be
subject to any floor. These commenters
also recommended that if the secondary
emissions limitation provisions are not
finalized, the EPA instead should raise
the allowance surrender ratio applied to
exceedances of the assurance level in
this final rule.
Response: The EPA disagrees with the
suggestion to remove the emissions rate
floor from the secondary emissions
limitation formula, which would have
the effect of making the limitation more
stringent for any unit that has achieved
a seasonal average NOX emissions rate
lower than 0.08 lb/mmBtu in a past
control period. As indicated by their
label, the secondary emissions
limitation provisions play a secondary
role in the Group 3 trading program
regulations, specifically to provide the
strongest possible deterrent against
conduct leading to foreseeable and
avoidable exceedances of a state’s
assurance level. The distinguishing
feature of the secondary emissions
limitation provisions is therefore the
remedy for an exceedance, which is
potential application of the CAA’s
enforcement authorities. The trading
program’s primary role of achieving
required emissions reductions in a more
flexible and cost-effective manner than
command-and-control regulation is
played by the primary emissions
limitation provisions, which are
structured as allowance surrender
requirements. Within this overall
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trading program structure, the EPA
considers it sufficient for the operation
of units at emissions rates lower than
0.08 lb/mmBtu to be incentivized
through the allowance surrender
requirements instead of being mandated
through potential application of the
CAA’s enforcement authorities.
The recommendation to raise the
allowance surrender ratio applicable to
exceedances of the assurance level if the
secondary emissions limitation is not
finalized is moot because the secondary
emissions limitation is being finalized.
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9. Unit-Level Allowance Allocation and
Recordation Procedures
In this rule, the EPA is establishing
default procedures for allocating CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
(‘‘Group 3 allowances’’) in amounts
equal to each state emissions budget for
each control period among the sources
in the state for use in complying with
the Group 3 trading program. Like the
allocation processes established in
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update, the revised
allocation process finalized in this rule
is designed to provide default allowance
allocations to all units that are subject
to allowance holding requirements. The
EPA’s allocations and allocation
procedures apply for the 2023 control
period 343 and, by default, for
subsequent control periods unless and
until a state or tribe provides statedetermined or tribe-determined
allowance allocations under an
approved SIP revision or tribal
implementation plan.344
The default allocation process for the
Group 3 trading program as updated in
this rule involves three main steps.
First, portions of each state emissions
budget for each control period are
reserved for potential allocation to units
that are subject to allowance holding
requirements and that might not
otherwise receive allowance allocations
in the overall allocation process,
including both ‘‘existing’’ units in any
343 The rule does not include an option for states
to replace the EPA’s unit-level allocations for the
2023 control period because the Agency believes a
process for obtaining appropriately authorized
allowance allocations determined by a state or tribe
could not be completed in time for those allocations
to be recorded before the end of the 2023 control
period.
344 The options for states to submit SIP revisions
that would replace the EPA’s default allowance
allocations are discussed in sections VI.D.1, VI.D.2,
and VI.D.3 of this document. Similarly, for a
covered area of Indian country not subject to a
state’s CAA implementation planning authority, a
tribe could elect to work with the EPA under the
Tribal Authority Rule to develop a full or partial
tribal implementation plan under which the tribe
would determine allowance allocations that would
replace the EPA’s default allocations for subsequent
control periods.
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areas of Indian country not subject to a
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority as well as ‘‘new’’ units
anywhere within a state’s borders.345
Second, in advance of each control
period, the unreserved portion of the
state budget is allocated among the
state’s eligible existing units, any
portion of the state budget reserved for
existing units in Indian country not
subject to the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority is
allocated among those units, and the
allocations are recorded in the
respective sources’ compliance
accounts. Finally, after the control
period but before the compliance
deadline by which sources must hold
allowances to cover their emissions for
the control period, allowances from the
portion of the budget reserved for new
units are allocated to qualifying units,
any remaining reserved allowances not
allocated to qualifying units are
allocated among the state’s existing
units, and the allocations are recorded
in the respective sources’ compliance
accounts.
While the overall three-step allocation
process summarized in this section was
also followed in CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update, in this rule the EPA is making
revisions to each step to better address
units in Indian country and to better
coordinate the unit-level allocation
process with the dynamic budget-setting
process discussed in section VI.B.4 of
this document. The revisions to the
three steps are discussed in sections
VI.B.9.a, VI.B.9.b, and VI.B.9.c,
respectively.
a. Set-Asides of Portions of State
Emissions Budgets
The first step of the overall unit-level
allocation process for a given control
period involves reserving portions of
each state’s budget for the control
period in ‘‘set-asides.’’ In this rule, the
EPA is making several revisions
affecting the establishment of set-asides.
The first revision, which is largely
unrelated to the other aspects of this
345 Under this rule, the unit-level allocations to
‘‘existing’’ units are generally computed in the year
before the year of each control period, and the
determination of whether to treat a particular unit
as existing for purposes of that control period’s
allocations is made as part of the allocation process,
generally based on whether the Agency has the data
needed to compute an allocation for the unit as an
existing unit. A unit that is subject to allowance
holding requirements for a given control period and
that did not receive an allocation for that control
period as an existing unit is generally eligible to
receive an allocation from the portion of the budget
reserved for ‘‘new’’ units. For further discussion of
which units are considered eligible for allocations
as existing units or new units in particular control
periods, see sections VI.B.9.b and VI.B.9.c.
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36801
rulemaking, will update the regulations
for the Group 3 trading program 346 to
reflect the D.C. Circuit’s holding in
ODEQ v. EPA that the relevant states
have initial CAA implementation
planning authority in non-reservation
areas of Indian country until displaced
by a demonstration of tribal jurisdiction
over such an area.347 Consistent with
this holding, the EPA is revising
language in the Group 3 trading program
regulations that prior to this rule, for
purposes of allocating allowances from
a given state’s emissions budget,
distinguished between (1) the set of
units within the state’s borders that are
not in Indian country and (2) the set of
units within the state’s borders that are
in Indian country. As revised, the
provisions now distinguish between (1)
the set of units within the state’s borders
that are not in Indian country or are in
areas of Indian country covered by the
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority and (2) the set of units within
the state’s borders that are in areas of
Indian country not covered by the
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority. The revised language more
accurately distinguishes which units
are, or are not, covered by a state’s CAA
implementation planning authority,
which is the underlying purpose for
which the term ‘‘Indian country’’ is
currently used in the allowance
allocation provisions. The effect of the
revision is that any units located in
areas of ‘‘Indian country’’ as defined in
18 U.S.C. 1151 that are covered by a
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority will be treated for allowance
allocation purposes in the same manner
as units in areas of the state that are not
Indian country, consistent with the
ODEQ holding.348
The remaining revisions, which are
interrelated, concern the types of setasides that in the context of this rule
will best accomplish the goal of
ensuring the availability of allocations
to units that are subject to allowance
holding requirements and that would
346 As discussed in section VI.B.13, the EPA is
also making this revision to the regulations for the
other CSAPR trading programs in addition to the
Group 3 trading program.
347 For additional discussion of the ODEQ v. EPA
decision and other issues related to the CAA
implementation planning authority of states, tribes,
and the EPA in various areas of Indian country, see
section III.C.2.
348 The EPA notes that the units that will be
treated for allocation purposes in the same manner
as units not in Indian country will include units in
any areas of Indian country subject to a state’s CAA
implementation planning authority, whether those
are non-reservation areas (consistent with ODEQ) or
reservation areas (such as areas of Indian country
within Oklahoma’s borders covered by the EPA’s
October 1, 2020 approval of Oklahoma’s request
under SAFETEA, as discussed in section III.C.2).
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not otherwise receive allowance
allocations. One revision to the types of
set-asides addresses allocations to
existing units in Indian country. The
revised geographic scope of the Group 3
trading program under this rule will for
the first time include an existing EGU in
Indian country not covered by a state’s
CAA implementation planning
authority—the Bonanza coal-fired unit
in the Uintah and Ouray Reservation
within Utah’s borders. To provide an
option for Utah (or a similarly situated
state in the future) to replace the
Agency’s default allowance allocations
to most existing units with statedetermined allocations through a SIP
revision while continuing to ensure the
availability of a default allocation to the
Bonanza unit, which is not subject to
the state’s jurisdiction or control (or
similarly situated units in the future),
the EPA is revising the Group 3 trading
program regulations to provide for
‘‘Indian country existing unit setasides.’’ Specifically, for each state and
for each control period where the set of
units within a state’s borders eligible to
receive allocations as existing units
includes one or more units 349 in an area
of Indian country not covered by the
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority, the EPA will reserve a portion
of the state’s emissions budget in an
Indian country existing unit set-aside
for the unit or units. The amount of each
Indian country existing unit set-aside
will equal the sum of the default
allocations that the units covered by the
set-aside would receive if the
allocations to all existing units within
the state’s borders were computed
according to EPA’s default allocation
procedure (which is discussed in
section VI.B.9.b of this document).
Immediately after determining the
amount of a state’s emissions budget for
a control period (and after reserving a
portion for potential allocation to new
units, as discussed later in this section),
the EPA will first determine the default
allocations for all existing units within
the state’s borders, then allocate the
appropriate quantity of allowances to
the Indian country existing unit setaside, then allocate the allowances from
the set-aside to the covered units in
Indian country, and finally record the
allocations in the sources’ compliance
349 In coordination with the dynamic budgeting
process discussed in section VI.B.4, each unit
included in the unit inventory used to determine
a state’s dynamic emissions budget for a given
control period in 2026 or a later year will be
considered an ‘‘existing’’ unit for that control
period for purposes of the determination of unitlevel allowance allocations. In other words, there
will no longer be a single fixed date that divides
‘‘existing’’ from ‘‘new’’ units.
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accounts at the same time as the
allocations to other sources not in
Indian country. The existence of the
Indian country existing unit set-aside
thus will have no substantive effect
unless and until the relevant state
chooses to replace the EPA’s default
allowance allocations through a SIP
revision, in which case the state would
have the ability to establish statedetermined allocations for the units
subject to the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority
while the EPA would continue to
administer the Indian country existing
unit set-aside for the units in Indian
country not covered by the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority.350
The EPA believes the establishment of
Indian country existing unit set-asides
accomplishes the objective of allowing
states to control allowance allocations to
units covered by their CAA
implementation planning authority
while ensuring that the allocations to
units in Indian country not covered by
such authority remain under Federal
authority (unless replaced by a tribal
implementation plan).
The remaining revisions to the types
of set-asides address the set-asides used
to ensure availability of allowance
allocations to new units in light of the
division of the budget for existing units
into a reserved portion for existing units
in Indian country and an unreserved
portion for other existing units. Under
the Group 3 trading program regulations
as in effect before this rule, allowances
for new units have been provided from
separate new unit set-asides and Indian
country new unit set-asides. Under this
rule, the EPA is combining these two
types of set-asides starting with the 2023
control period by eliminating the Indian
country new unit set-asides and
expanding eligibility for allocations
from the new unit set-asides to include
units anywhere within the relevant
states’ borders. However, as with the
Indian country new unit set-asides
under the current regulations, the EPA
will continue to administer the new unit
set-asides in the event a state chooses to
replace the EPA’s default allocations to
existing units with state-determined
allocations, thereby ensuring the
availability of allocations to any new
units not covered by a state’s CAA
implementation planning authority.
The reason for the revisions to the
new unit set-asides and Indian country
350 As noted in section VI.D, a tribe could elect
to work with EPA under the Tribal Authority Rule
to develop a full or partial tribal implementation
plan under which the tribe would determine
allowance allocations for units in the relevant area
of Indian country that would replace EPA’s default
allocations for subsequent control periods.
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new unit set-asides is to avoid
unnecessary and potentially inequitable
changes to the degree to which
individual existing units contribute to,
or benefit from, the new unit set-asides.
The allowances used to establish these
set-asides are reserved from each state
emissions budget before determination
of the allocations from the unreserved
portion of the budget to existing units,
so that certain existing units—generally
those receiving the largest allocations—
contribute to creation of the set-asides
through roughly proportional reductions
in their allocations. Later, if any
allowances in a set-aside are not
allocated to qualifying new units, the
remaining allowances are reallocated to
the existing units in proportion to their
initial allocations from the unreserved
portion of the budget, so that certain
existing units—again, generally those
receiving the largest allocations—benefit
from the reallocations in rough
proportion to their previous
contributions.351 The EPA believes
maintaining this symmetry, where the
same existing units—whether in Indian
country or not—both contribute to and
potentially benefit from the set-asides, is
a reasonable policy objective, and doing
so requires that the EPA continue to
administer the new unit set-asides in
the event a state chooses to replace the
EPA’s default allocations to existing
units with state-determined allocations,
because otherwise the EPA would be
unable to maintain Federal
implementation authority and ensure
that the units in Indian country would
receive an appropriate share of any
reallocated allowances.352 The principal
difference between the new unit setasides and the Indian country new unit
set-asides under the regulations in effect
before this rule was that, if a state chose
to replace the EPA’s default allocations
with state-determined allocations, the
state would take over administration of
the new unit set-aside, but not any
Indian country new unit set-aside.
351 Under the regulations in effect before this final
rule, allowances from an Indian country new unit
set-aside that are not allocated to qualifying new
units in Indian country are first transferred to the
state’s new unit set-aside, and if the allowances are
not allocated to qualifying new units elsewhere
within the state’s borders, the allowances are then
reallocated to the state’s existing units.
352 If units in Indian country were unable to share
in the benefits of reallocation of allowances from
the new unit set-asides, it would be possible to
achieve a different form of symmetry by
simultaneously exempting the units in Indian
country from the obligation to share in the
contribution of allowances to the new unit setasides. However, some stakeholders might view this
alternative as potentially inequitable because
existing units in Indian country would then make
no contributions toward the new unit set-aside
while other existing units would still be required
to do so.
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Under the revised regulations finalized
in this rule, states will not be able to
take over administration of the new unit
set-asides in this situation. Therefore,
there is no longer any reason to
establish separate Indian country new
unit set-asides in order to preserve
Federal (and potentially tribal) authority
to implement the rule in areas of Indian
country subject to tribal jurisdiction.
With respect to the total amounts of
allowances that will be set aside for
potential allocation to new units from
the emissions budgets for each state, for
the control periods in 2023 through
2025 (but not for subsequent control
periods, as discussed later in this
section), the EPA is establishing total
set-aside amounts equal to the projected
amounts of emissions from any planned
units in the state for the control period,
plus an additional base 2 percent of the
state emissions budget to address any
unknown new units, with a minimum
total amount of 5 percent. For example,
if planned units in a state are projected
to emit 4 percent of the state’s NOX
ozone season emissions budget, then the
new unit set-aside for the state would be
set at 6 percent, which is the sum of the
4 percent for planned units plus the
base 2 percent for unknown new units.
Alternatively, if planned new units are
projected to emit only 1 percent of the
state’s budget, the new unit set-aside
would be set at the minimum 5 percent
amount. Except for the addition of the
5 percent minimum, which is a change
being made in response to comments,
the approach to setting the new unit setaside amounts is generally the same
approach previously used to establish
the amounts of new unit set-asides in
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update for all the
CSAPR trading programs. See, e.g., 76
FR 48292 (August 8, 2011).
As under the Revised CSAPR Update,
the EPA is making an exception for New
York for the 2023 through 2025 control
periods, establishing a total new unit
set-aside amount for each control period
of 5 percent of the state’s emissions
budget, with no additional
consideration for planned units, because
this approach is consistent with New
York’s preferences as reflected in an
approved SIP addressing allowance
allocations for the Group 2 trading
program.
The final regulations issued under
this rule specify the new unit set-aside
amounts in terms of the percentages of
the state emissions budgets. The
amounts are shown in Tables VI.B.9.a–
1, VI.B.9.a–2, and VI.B.9.a–3 of this
document show the tonnage amounts of
the new unit set-asides for the control
periods in 2023 through 2025 that are
computed by multiplying the new unit
set-aside percentages by the preset
budgets finalized in this rule for those
control periods. The amounts of the
2023 new unit set-asides are illustrative
because they do not reflect the impact
of transitional adjustments included in
the rule that that are likely to affect the
2023 budgets as implemented.353 The
amounts of the 2024 and 2025 new unit
set-asides are the actual amounts,
because the 2024 and 2025 budgets
computed in this rule are the budgets
that will be implemented, without any
need for transitional adjustments.
TABLE VI.B.9.a–1—ILLUSTRATIVE CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 NEW UNIT SET-ASIDE (NUSA) AMOUNTS FOR
THE 2023 CONTROL PERIOD
Emissions
budgets
(tons)
State
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Alabama .......................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ......................................................................................................................................
Illinois ...........................................................................................................................................
Indiana .........................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ......................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ......................................................................................................................................
Maryland ......................................................................................................................................
Michigan .......................................................................................................................................
Minnesota ....................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ....................................................................................................................................
Missouri ........................................................................................................................................
Nevada .........................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..................................................................................................................................
New York .....................................................................................................................................
Ohio .............................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .....................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ................................................................................................................................
Texas ...........................................................................................................................................
Utah .............................................................................................................................................
Virginia .........................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .....................................................................................................................................
353 As discussed in section VI.B.12, the EPA
expects that this final rule will become effective
after May 1, 2023, causing the emissions budgets for
the 2023 control period to be adjusted under the
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rule’s transitional provisions so as to ensure that the
new budgets will apply only after the rule’s
effective date. The actual new unit set-asides for the
2023 control period will be computed using the
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6,379
8,927
7,474
12,440
13,601
9,363
1,206
10,727
5,504
6,210
12,598
2,368
773
3,912
9,110
10,271
8,138
40,134
15,755
3,143
13,791
6,295
New unit
set-aside
amount
(percent)
New unit
set-aside
amount
(tons)
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
5
5
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
319
446
374
622
680
468
60
536
275
311
630
213
39
196
547
514
407
2,007
788
157
690
315
adjusted budgets, but the 2023 budget amounts
shown in Table VI.B.9.a–1 do not reflect these
adjustments.
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TABLE VI.B.9.a–2—CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 NEW UNIT SET-ASIDE (NUSA) AMOUNTS FOR THE 2024
CONTROL PERIOD
Emissions
budgets
(tons)
State
Alabama .......................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ......................................................................................................................................
Illinois ...........................................................................................................................................
Indiana .........................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ......................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ......................................................................................................................................
Maryland ......................................................................................................................................
Michigan .......................................................................................................................................
Minnesota ....................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ....................................................................................................................................
Missouri ........................................................................................................................................
Nevada .........................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..................................................................................................................................
New York .....................................................................................................................................
Ohio .............................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .....................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ................................................................................................................................
Texas ...........................................................................................................................................
Utah .............................................................................................................................................
Virginia .........................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .....................................................................................................................................
New unit
set-aside
amount
(percent)
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,999
9,363
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,058
11,116
2,589
773
3,912
7,929
9,384
8,138
40,134
15,917
2,756
11,958
6,295
New unit
set-aside
amount
(tons)
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
5
5
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
324
446
366
571
650
468
60
514
203
253
556
233
39
196
476
469
407
2,007
796
138
598
315
TABLE VI.B.9.a–3—CSAPR NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 NEW UNIT SET-ASIDE (NUSA) AMOUNTS FOR THE 2025
CONTROL PERIOD
Emissions
budgets
(tons)
State
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Alabama .......................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ......................................................................................................................................
Illinois ...........................................................................................................................................
Indiana .........................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ......................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ......................................................................................................................................
Maryland ......................................................................................................................................
Michigan .......................................................................................................................................
Minnesota ....................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ....................................................................................................................................
Missouri ........................................................................................................................................
Nevada .........................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..................................................................................................................................
New York .....................................................................................................................................
Ohio .............................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .....................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ................................................................................................................................
Texas ...........................................................................................................................................
Utah .............................................................................................................................................
Virginia .........................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .....................................................................................................................................
For control periods in 2026 and later
years, the EPA will allocate a total of 5
percent of each state emissions budget
to a new unit set-aside, with no
additional amount for planned new
units. The amounts of the set-asides for
each state and control period will be
computed when the emissions budgets
for the control period are established, by
May 1 of the year before the year of the
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control period. The procedure for
determining the amounts of the setasides based on the amounts of the state
emissions budgets is being codified in
the Group 3 trading program regulations
and will reflect the same percentage of
the emissions budget for all states.
The purpose of the change to the
procedure for establishing the amounts
of the set-asides is to coordinate with
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6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,472
9,107
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,037
11,116
2,545
773
3,912
7,929
9,376
8,138
38,542
15,917
2,756
11,958
5,988
New unit
set-aside
amount
(percent)
New unit
set-aside
amount
(tons)
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
9
5
5
6
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
324
446
366
571
624
455
60
514
203
252
556
229
39
196
476
469
407
1,927
796
138
598
299
the dynamic budget-setting process that
may be used to determine budgets
beginning with the 2026 control period.
As discussed in section VI.B.4 of this
document, under the dynamic budgetsetting process, each state’s budget for
each control period will be computed
using fleet composition information and
the total ozone season heat input
reported by all affected units in the state
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for the most recent control periods
before the budget-setting computations.
(For example, 2026 emissions budgets
would be based on 2022–2024 statelevel heat input data.) Moreover, as
discussed in section VI.B.9.b of this
document, the set of units eligible to
receive allocations as ‘‘existing’’ units in
a given control period will generally be
the set of units that operated in the
control period two years earlier (with
the exception of any units whose
monitor certification deadlines fell after
the start of that earlier control period).
Consequently, by the 2025 control
period, all or almost all units that
commenced commercial operation
before issuance of this rule will be
considered ‘‘existing’’ units for purposes
of budget-setting and allocations, and
units commencing commercial
operation after issuance of this rule
generally will be considered ‘‘existing’’
units for all but their first two full
control periods of operation (and
possibly a preceding partial control
period). Given that new units will not
be relying on the new unit set-asides as
a permanent source of allowances, as is
the case for ‘‘new’’ units under the other
CSAPR trading programs, the EPA
believes it is unnecessary to establish
set-aside percentages for some states
that are permanently larger than 5
percent based solely on the fact that
projected emissions from planned new
units happen to be a somewhat larger
proportion of those states’ overall
budgets at the time of this rule’s
issuance.
The changes to the structure and
amounts of set-asides in this rule largely
follow the proposal. The EPA received
few comments on these topics. As noted
previously, one commenter expressed
the view that if the amounts of the new
unit set-asides were based on 2 percent
of the respective states’ budgets, the setasides would be too small in certain
circumstances, and in response the final
rule bases the amounts of the set-asides
on a floor percentage of 5 percent
instead of 2 percent. The remaining
commenters expressed a concern that
the final rule’s provisions regarding setasides should ensure that any tribal
decisions relating to allowance
allocations would not be constrained by
state decisions. The EPA had this same
concern in mind when designing the
rule and believes that the final set-aside
structure—encompassing Indian
country existing unit set-asides as well
as EPA-administered new unit setasides for sources in all areas within
each state’s borders—fully addresses the
concern, is equitable, and preserves
Federal and tribal authority under this
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rule for areas of Indian country subject
to tribal jurisdiction. The comments and
the EPA’s responses are discussed in
greater detail in section 1 of the RTC
document.
b. Allocations to Existing Units,
Including Units That Cease Operation
In conjunction with the new and
revised state emissions budget-setting
methodology for the Group 3 trading
program finalized in this rulemaking,
the EPA is necessarily establishing a
revised procedure for making unit-level
allocations of Group 3 allowances to
existing units.354 The procedure that the
EPA is employing to compute the unitlevel allocations is very similar but not
identical to the procedure used to
compute unit-level allocations for units
subject to the Group 3 trading program
in the Revised CSAPR Update. The
steps of the procedure for determining
allocations from each state emissions
budget for each control period are
described in detail in the Unit-Level
Allowance Allocations Final Rule TSD.
The steps are summarized in the
following paragraphs, with changes
from the procedure followed in the
Revised CSAPR Update noted.
In the first step, the EPA identifies the
list of units eligible to receive
allocations for the control period. The
unit inventories used to compute unitlevel allocations for the control periods
in 2023 through 2025 are the same
inventories that have been used to
determine the preset emissions budget
for these control periods. These
inventories have been determined in
this rulemaking in essentially the same
manner as in the Revised CSAPR
Update. The procedures for updating
the unit inventories for these control
periods are discussed in section VI.B.4
of this document, and the criteria that
the EPA has applied to determine
whether a unit’s scheduled retirement is
sufficiently certain to serve as a basis for
adjusting emissions budgets and unitlevel allocations, are discussed in
section V.B of this document and in the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD.
The unit inventories used to compute
unit-level allocations for control periods
in 2026 and later years will be
determined in the year before the
control period in question based on the
latest reported emissions and
operational data, which is an extension
354 The revisions to the procedures for computing
unit-level allowance allocations in this rulemaking
apply only to the Group 3 trading program. In this
rulemaking, the EPA is not reopening the
methodology for computing the amounts of
allowances allocated to any unit under any other
CSAPR trading program.
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36805
of the methodology used in the Revised
CSAPR Update to reflect more recent
data (for example, the unit inventories
used to compute 2026 budgets and
allocations will reflect reported data up
through the 2024 control period). These
inventories, which are generally the
same as the inventories used to compute
dynamic budgets for each control
period, include any unit whose monitor
certification deadline was no later than
the start of the relevant historical
control period and that reported
emissions data during the relevant
historical control period. The EPA notes
that basing the list of eligible units on
the list of units that reported heat input
in the control period two years earlier
than the control period for which
allocations are being determined
represents a revision to the Group 3
trading program regulations as in effect
before this rule concerning the
treatment of allocations to retired units.
Under the prior regulations, units that
cease operations for two consecutive
control periods would continue to
receive allocations as existing units for
three additional years (that is, a total of
five years) before the allowances they
would otherwise have received are
reallocated to the new unit set-aside for
the state. Under the regulations as
revised in this rule, units that cease
operation will receive allocations for
only two full control periods of nonoperation. While the EPA has in prior
transport rulemakings noted a
qualitative concern that ceasing
allowance allocations prematurely
could distort the economic incentives of
EGUs to continue operating when
retirement is more economical, the EPA
believes that anticipated market
conditions (in particular, the incentives
toward power sector transition to
cleaner generating sources), particularly
in the later 2020s, are such that a
continuation of allowance allocations to
retiring units likely has no more than a
de minimis effect on the consideration
of an EGU whether to retire or not.
In the second step of the procedure
for determining allocations to existing
units, the EPA will compile a database
containing for each eligible unit the
unit’s historical heat input and total
NOX emissions data for the five most
recent ozone seasons. For each unit, the
EPA will compute an average heat input
value based on the three highest nonzero heat input values over the 5-year
period, or as the average of all the nonzero values in the period if there are
fewer than three non-zero values. For
each unit, the EPA will also determine
the maximum total NOX emissions
value over the 5-year period. For coal-
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fired units of 100 MW or larger, the EPA
will further determine a ‘‘maximum
controlled baseline’’ NOX emissions
value, computed as the unit’s maximum
heat input over the 5-year period times
a NOX emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu.
The maximum controlled baseline will
serve as an additional cap on unit-level
allocations for all such coal-fired units
starting with the control periods in
which the assumed use of SCR controls
at the units is reflected in the state
emissions budgets. Thus, the maximum
controlled baseline will apply for
purposes of allocations to units with
existing SCR controls for all control
periods starting with the 2024 control
period and for all other coal-fired units
of 100 MW or more (except circulating
fluidized bed units) starting with the
2027 control period. These procedures
are nearly identical to the procedures
used in the Revised CSAPR Update,
with three exceptions. First, instead of
using only the data available at the time
of the rulemaking, for each control
period the EPA will use data from the
most recent five control periods for
which data had been reported. (For
example, for the 2026 control period,
the EPA will use data for the 2020–2024
control periods.) Second, to simplify the
data compilation process, the EPA will
use only a five-year period for NOX
mass emissions, in contrast to the 8-year
period used in the Revised CSAPR
Update for NOX mass emissions. Third,
the use of the maximum controlled
baseline as an additional cap on
emissions is a change adopted in this
rule in response to comments received
on the proposal. Specifically,
commenters observed that if a state’s
emissions budget is decreased to reflect
an assumption that a particular unit in
the state is capable of reducing its
emissions through the installation of
new SCR controls, but the historical
emissions cap applied to that unit in the
unit-level allocation methodology does
not reflect use of the new controls, then
the allocation methodology could have
the effect of reducing unit-level
allocations to the other units in the state
whose historical emissions already
reflect use of existing controls rather
than the unit assumed to install new
controls. The EPA agrees with the
comment and in this rule has added the
maximum controlled baseline provision
to the allocation methodology to
mitigate the potential effect identified
by the commenters.
In the third step of the procedure for
determining allocations to existing units
in each state, the EPA will allocate the
available allowances for that state
among the state’s eligible units in
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proportion to the share each unit’s
average heat input value represents of
the total of the average heat input values
for all the state’s eligible units, but not
more than the unit’s maximum total
NOX value or, if applicable, the unit’s
maximum controlled baseline. If the
allocations to one or more units are
curtailed because of the units’
applicable caps, the EPA will iterate the
calculation procedure as needed to
allocate the remaining allowances,
excluding from each successive iteration
any units whose allocations have
already reached their caps. (If all units
in a state reach their caps, any
remaining allowances are allocated in
proportion to the units’ average heat
input values, notwithstanding the caps.)
This calculation procedure is identical
to the calculation procedure used in the
Revised CSAPR Update (as well as the
CSAPR Update and CSAPR), but using
caps that reflect both the units’
maximum historical NOX values and
also, where applicable, the maximum
controlled baseline values.
Illustrative unit-level allocations for
the 2023 control period and final unitlevel allocations for the 2024 and 2025
control periods are being determined in
this rulemaking based on the emissions
budgets for those control periods also
determined in the rulemaking and are
included in the docket. The 2023
allocations are only illustrative because,
as discussed in section VI.B.12.a, the
EPA expects the effective date of the
rule to occur after the start of the 2023
control period and consequently expects
the 2023 control period to be a
transitional period in which the
emissions budgets determined in this
rulemaking apply only for the portion of
the control period occurring on and
after the rule’s effective date, while any
previously determined emissions
budgets apply for the portion of the
control period before the rule’s effective
date. The rule’s effective date will
become known when the rule is
published in the Federal Register. As
soon as practicable thereafter, the EPA
will calculate the final prorated or
blended 2023 state emissions budgets
and 2023 unit-level allocations based on
the transitional formulas finalized in
this action (see section VI.B.12.a of this
document) and will communicate the
information to the public through a
notice of data availability. The 2023 and
2024 allocations will then be recorded
30 days after the effective date of the
final rule (to provide an interval in
which to execute the recall of 2023 and
2024 Group 2 allowances, as discussed
in section VI.B.12.c of this document),
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while the 2025 allocations will be
recorded by July 1, 2024.355
The default unit-level allocations for
each control period in 2026 or a later
year will be computed immediately
following the determination of the state
emissions budgets for the control
period. The EPA will perform the
computations and issue a notice of data
availability concerning the preliminary
unit-level allocations for each control
period by March 1 of the year before the
control period. There will be a 30-day
period in which objections to the data
and preliminary computations may be
submitted, and the EPA will then make
any appropriate revisions and issue
another notice of data availability by
May 1 of the year before the control
period. The EPA will then record the
allocations by July 1 of the year before
the control period.356
All covered states also have options to
establish state-determined allowance
allocations for control periods in 2024
and later years. As discussed in section
VI.D.1 of this rule, a state choosing to
establish state-determined allocations
for the 2024 control period would need
to submit a letter of intent to the EPA
by August 4, 2023, and would need to
submit the SIP revision with the
allocations by September 1, 2023. The
EPA would defer recordation of the
2024 allocations for the state’s sources
until March 1, 2024, to provide time for
this process to be completed. As
discussed in sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3
of this rule, a state choosing to establish
state-determined allocations for control
periods in 2025 and later years would
need to submit a SIP revision by
December 1 of the year two years before
the first year for which state-determined
allocations are being established—e.g.,
by December 1, 2023, for allocations for
the 2025 control period—and would
need to submit the allocations for each
control period by June 1 of the year
before the control period—e.g., by June
1, 2024, for allocations for the 2025
355 The recordation schedule for the 2023 and
2024 allocations represents an expected
acceleration of the recordation schedule in effect
immediately before this final rule, which called for
allocations of 2023 and 2024 Group 3 allowances
to existing units to be recorded by September 1,
2023. See Deadlines for Submission and
Recordation of Allowance Allocations Under the
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) Trading
Programs and the Texas SO2 Trading Program (the
‘‘Recordation Rule’’), 87 FR 52473 (August 26,
2022).
356 The current recordation schedule, which
provides for almost all allowance allocations to
existing units for a given control period under all
the CSAPR trading programs to be recorded by July
1 of the year before the year of that control period,
was adopted in the Recordation Rule.
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control period.357 The EPA would
record any state-determined allocations
for control periods in 2025 and later
years by July 1 of the year before the
control period, simultaneously with the
recordation of allocations to units in
states where the EPA determines the
unit-level allocations.
The EPA notes that for the three states
with approved SIP revisions
establishing their own methodologies
for allocating Group 2 allowances—
Alabama, Indiana, and New York—the
EPA will follow the states’
methodologies to the extent possible in
developing the EPA’s allocations of
Group 3 allowances to the units in those
states for the control periods in 2023
through 2025.358 The EPA will not
follow any state-specific methodologies
as part of the procedures for
determining default unit-level
allocations of Group 3 allowances for
control periods in 2026 or later years.
However, like other states, these three
states have options to replace the EPA’s
default allocations with statedetermined allocations through SIP
revisions starting with the 2024 control
period.
As an exception to all of the
recordation deadlines that would
otherwise apply, the EPA will not
record any allocations of Group 3
allowances in a source’s compliance
account unless that source has complied
with the requirements to surrender
previously allocated 2023–2024 Group 2
allowances. The surrender requirements
are necessary to maintain the previously
established levels of stringency of the
Group 2 trading program for the states
and sources that remain subject to that
program under this final rule. The EPA
finds that it is reasonable to condition
the recordation of Group 3 allowances
on compliance with the surrender
requirements because the condition will
spur compliance and will not impose an
inappropriate burden on sources. The
EPA considers establishment of this
357 The current deadlines for states to submit
state-determined allowance allocations to the EPA
were adopted in the Recordation Rule and are
coordinated with the schedule for computation of
state emissions budgets for control periods in 2026
and later years. For example, for the 2026 control
period, by May 1, 2025, the EPA will publish the
final state emissions budgets and the EPA’s default
unit-level allocations; by June 1, 2025, states will
submit any state-determined unit-level allocations
that would replace the default allocations; and by
July 1, 2025, the EPA will record the default unitlevel allocations or the state-determined unit-level
allocations, as applicable, in sources’ compliance
accounts.
358 For discussion of how the EPA is using the
previously approved allocation methodologies for
Alabama, Indiana, and New York to determine
allocations to units in these states for the 2023–
2025 control periods, see the Allowance Allocation
Final Rule TSD.
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condition, which will facilitate the
continued functioning of the Group 2
trading program, to be an appropriate
exercise of the Agency’s authority under
CAA section 301 (42 U.S.C. 7601) to
prescribe such regulations as are
necessary to carry out its functions
under the Act.
The provisions governing allocations
to existing units are being finalized
substantially as proposed, except for the
addition of an additional cap on unitlevel allocations in response to
comments. The EPA’s responses to
comments on the unit-level allocation
provisions for existing units are in
section 5 of the RTC document.
c. Allocations From Portions of State
Emissions Budgets Set Aside for New
Units
The Group 3 trading program
regulations provide for the EPA to
allocate allowances from each new unit
set-aside after the end of the control
period at issue. An eligible new unit for
purposes of allocations from a set-aside
for a given control period is generally
any unit in the relevant area that
reported emissions subject to allowance
surrender requirements during the
control period and that was not eligible
to receive an allowance allocation as an
‘‘existing’’ unit for the control period.
Thus, in addition to units that have not
yet completed two full control periods
of operation since their monitor
certification deadlines, units eligible for
allocations from the new unit set-asides
may also include existing coal-fired
units that first lose their eligibility for
allocations from the unreserved portion
of the applicable state budget by ceasing
operation, and then resume operation in
a later control period. The regulations
call for the EPA to allocate allowances
to any eligible ‘‘new’’ units in the state
generally in proportion to their
respective emissions during the control
period, up to the amounts of those
emissions if the relevant set-aside
contains sufficient allowances, and not
exceeding those emissions. However, in
the case of a unit whose allocation for
the control period would have been
subject to a maximum controlled
baseline if the unit was eligible to
receive allocations as an existing unit,
the unit’s allocation from the new unit
set-aside will not exceed a cap equal to
the unit’s reported heat input for the
control period times an emissions rate
of 0.08 lb/mmBtu.
Any allowances remaining in a new
unit set-aside after the allocations to
new units are reallocated to the existing
units in the state in proportion to those
units’ previous allocations for the
control period as existing units. The
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36807
EPA issues a notice of data availability
concerning the proposed allocations by
March 1 following the control period,
provides an opportunity for submission
of objections, and issues a final notice
of data availability and record the
allocations by May 1 following the
control period, one month before the
June 1 compliance deadline.
This EPA notes that the revisions to
other provisions of the Group 3 trading
program regulations discussed
elsewhere in this document will reduce
the portions of the state emissions
budgets that are allocated through the
new unit set-asides. Specifically,
because the new unit set-asides will no
longer receive any additional
allowances when units retire, for control
periods in 2025 and later years the
amounts of allowances in the new unit
set-asides will always be 5 percent of
the respective state emissions budgets
for the respective control periods. This
limit on growth of the new unit setasides is appropriate given that the
number of consecutive control periods
for which any particular unit is likely to
receive allocations from a state’s new
unit set-aside will be reduced to two full
control periods (and possibly a partial
control period before those two control
periods) before the unit becomes eligible
to receive allocations as an ‘‘existing’’
unit from the unreserved portion of the
state’s emissions budget. This approach
contrasts with the approach under the
other CSAPR trading programs where a
new unit never becomes eligible to
receive allocations from the unreserved
portion of the emissions budget and
where the new unit set-aside therefore
needs to grow to accommodate an everincreasing share of the state’s total
emissions.
The EPA also notes that, as discussed
in sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3 of this
document, in the event that a state
chooses to replace EPA’s default
allowance allocations under the Group
3 trading program with state-determined
allocations through a SIP revision, the
EPA will continue to administer the
portion of each state emissions budget
reserved in a new unit set-aside to
ensure the availability of allowance
allocations to new units in any areas of
Indian country within the state not
covered by the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority.
The final rule’s provisions concerning
unit-level allocations from the new unit
set-asides are unchanged from the
proposal except for the addition of the
allocation cap in a given control period
for any unit that would have been
subject to a maximum controlled
baseline if the unit was eligible to
receive an allocation as an existing unit
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for that control period.359 This change
was made to address the same
comments discussed in section VI.B.9.b
of this document that caused the
Agency to add the maximum controlled
baseline provision to the procedure for
allocating allowances to existing units.
The Agency did not receive any other
comments on the proposed provisions
concerning unit-level allocations of
allowances from the new unit set-asides.
d. Incorrectly Allocated Allowances
The Group 3 trading program
regulations as promulgated in the
Revised CSAPR Update include
provisions addressing incorrectly
allocated allowances. With regard to any
allowances that were incorrectly
allocated and are subsequently
recovered, the provisions as in effect
prior to this rule have generally called
for the recovered allowances to be
reallocated to other units in the relevant
state (or Indian country within the
borders of the state) through the process
for allocating allowances from the new
unit set-aside (or Indian country new
unit set-aside) for the state. If the
procedures for allocating allowances
from the set-asides have already been
carried out for the control period for
which the recovered allowances were
issued, the allowances would be
allocated through the set-asides for
subsequent control periods.
The EPA continues to view the
current provisions for disposition of
recovered allowances as reasonable in
the case of any allowances that are
recovered before the deadline for
recording allocations of allowances from
the new unit set-aside for the control
period for which the recovered
allowances were issued. However, in
the case of any allowances that are
recovered after that deadline, adding the
recovered allowances to the new unit
set-aside for a subsequent control
period, as provided in the current
regulations, would be inconsistent with
the trading program enhancements
discussed elsewhere in this document,
where the amounts of allowances
provided in the state emissions budgets
for each control period are designed to
reflect the most current available
information on fleet composition and
utilization and where the quantities of
banked allowances available for use in
each control period are recalibrated for
consistency with the state emissions
budgets. The EPA is therefore finalizing
359 As discussed in section IX.B of this rule, the
EPA is relocating some of the regulatory provisions
relating to administration of the new unit set-asides
and is also removing certain provisions that are
made obsolete by revisions to other provisions of
the Group 3 trading program regulations.
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revisions to provide that, starting with
allowances allocated for the 2024
control period, any incorrectly allocated
allowances that are recovered after the
deadline for allocating allowances from
the new unit set-aside for that control
period (i.e., May 1 of the year following
the control period) will be transferred to
a surrender account instead of being
reallocated to other units in the state.
The EPA received no comments on this
proposed revision, which is being
finalized as proposed.
10. Monitoring and Reporting
Requirements
The Group 3 trading program requires
monitoring and reporting of emissions
and heat input data in accordance with
the provisions of 40 CFR part 75. Under
40 CFR part 75, a given unit may have
several options for monitoring and
reporting. Any unit can use CEMS.
Qualifying gas- or oil-fired units can use
certain excepted monitoring
methodologies that rely in part on fuelflow metering in combination with
CEMS-based or testing-based NOX
emissions rate data. Certain non-coalfired, low-emitting units can use a low
mass emissions (LME) methodology,
and sources can seek approval of
alternative monitoring systems
approved by the Administrator through
a petition process. Each CEMS must
undergo rigorous initial certification
testing and periodic quality assurance
testing thereafter, including the use of
relative accuracy test audits and 24-hour
calibrations. In addition, when a
monitoring system is not operating
properly, standard substitute data
procedures are applied to produce a
conservative estimate of emissions for
the period involved. Further, 40 CFR
part 75 requires electronic submission
of quarterly emissions reports to the
Administrator, in a format prescribed by
the Administrator. The quarterly reports
will contain all the data required
concerning ozone season NOX emissions
under the Group 3 trading program.
In this rulemaking, as proposed, the
EPA is making two changes to the
Group 3 trading program’s previous
requirements related to monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting. First, the
EPA is revising the monitor certification
deadline in the Group 3 trading program
regulations applicable to certain units
that have not already certified
monitoring systems for use under 40
CFR part 75. This revision is expected
to provide approximately 15 EGUs in
Nevada and Utah with 180 days
following the rule’s effective date to
certify monitoring systems, with the
consequence that the units are expected
to become subject to allowance holding
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requirements under the Group 3 trading
program starting with the 2024 control
period. Second, to implement the
trading program enhancements, the EPA
is adding certain new recordkeeping
and reporting requirements, which will
be implemented through amendments to
the regulations in 40 CFR part 75 and
will apply starting January 1, 2024.
Sources generally will be able to meet
the additional recordkeeping and
reporting requirements using the data
that are already collected by their
current monitoring systems, and the
EPA is not requiring the installation of
additional monitoring systems at any
source. However, a small number of
sources with common stacks could find
it advantageous to upgrade their
monitoring systems so as to monitor at
the individual units instead of
monitoring at the common stack. The
Group 3 trading program monitor
certification deadline revisions and the
additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements are discussed in sections
VI.B.10.a and VI.B.10.b, respectively.360
a. Monitor Certification Deadlines
In general, a unit subject to the Group
3 trading program must monitor and
report emissions data using certified
monitoring systems starting as of the
date the unit enters the trading program
or, if later, 180 days after the unit
commences commercial operation.
Where an EGU has already certified and
maintained monitoring systems in
accordance with 40 CFR part 75 for
purposes of another trading program, no
recertification solely for purposes of
entering the Group 3 trading program is
required. Under these pre-existing
provisions of the Group 3 trading
program regulations, nearly all currently
operating EGUs transitioning to the
trading program under this rule are
positioned to begin monitoring and
reporting under the trading program as
of their dates of entry (or if later, 180
days after they commence commercial
operation) because of the units’ previous
requirements to monitor and report
emissions under other programs
including the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program (for
360 The EPA is not amending the existing
provisions of the Group 3 trading program
regulations that govern whether units covered by
the program must record and report required data
on a year-round basis or may elect to record and
report required data on an ozone season-only basis.
See 40 CFR 97.1034(d)(1); see also 40 CFR 75.74(a)(b). Thus, for units that are required or elect to
report other data on a year-round basis, the
additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements will also apply year-round, while for
units that are allowed and elect to report other data
on an ozone season-only basis, the additional
requirements will also apply for the ozone season
only.
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units in Alabama, Arkansas,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas,
and Wisconsin), the CSAPR NOX
Annual Trading Program (for units in
Minnesota), and the Acid Rain Program
(for most units in Nevada and Utah).
As discussed in section VI.B.3 of this
document, the EPA has identified 15
potentially affected units in Nevada and
Utah that commenced commercial
operation more than 180 days before the
effective date of this rule and that do not
currently report emissions data to the
Agency under 40 CFR part 75.361 To
ensure that units in this situation have
sufficient time to certify monitoring
systems as required under this rule, the
final rule establishes a monitoring
certification deadline of 180 days after
the effective date of the rule for affected
units that are not already required to
report emissions under 40 CFR part 75
under another program, equivalent to
the 180-day window already provided
to units commencing commercial
operation after (or less than 180 days
before) the final rule’s effective date.
The 180th day for units in this situation
will likely fall after the end of the 2023
ozone season, with the result that the
certification deadline will be extended
until May 1, 2024, the first day of the
2024 ozone season. Because the Group
3 trading program’s allowance holding
requirements apply to a given unit only
after that unit’s monitor certification
deadline, the units in this situation
consequently will become subject to
allowance holding requirements as of
the 2024 ozone season rather than the
2023 ozone season.
The EPA received no comments on
the provisions establishing a monitor
certification deadline 180 days after the
effective date of this rule for affected
units that are not already required to
report emissions under 40 CFR part 75,
and the provisions are being finalized as
proposed.
b. Additional Recordkeeping and
Reporting Requirements
To facilitate implementation of the
backstop daily NOX emissions rates for
certain coal-fired units, the secondary
emissions limitations for units
contributing to assurance level
exceedances, and the revised default
unit-level allowance allocation
procedures, the final rule amends 40
CFR part 75 to establish two sets of
additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements. The first set of additional
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements is specific to the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions. Starting
January 1, 2024, units listing coal as a
361 The
units are listed in Table VI.B.3–1.
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fuel in their monitoring plans, serving
generators of 100 MW or larger, and
equipped with SCR controls on or
before the end of the previous control
period (except circulating fluidized bed
units) will be required to record and
report total daily NOX emissions and
total daily heat input, daily average NOX
emissions rate, and daily NOX emissions
exceeding the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate. The units will also be
required to record and report
cumulative NOX emissions exceeding
the backstop daily NOX emissions rate
for the ozone season and any portion of
such cumulative NOX emissions
exceeding 50 tons. Starting January 1,
2030, the same recordkeeping and
reporting requirements will apply to all
units listing coal as a fuel in their
monitoring plans and serving generators
of 100 MW or larger (except circulating
fluidized bed units), including units not
equipped with SCR controls. These data
will be used to determine the allowance
surrender requirements related to the
backstop daily NOX emissions rates.
Implementation of these additional
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements would necessitate a onetime update to the units’ data
acquisition and handling systems but
would not require any changes to the
monitoring systems already needed to
meet other requirements under 40 CFR
part 75.
The second type of additional
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements applies to units
exhausting to common stacks. For these
units, 40 CFR part 75 includes options
that often allow monitoring to be
conducted at the common stack on a
combined basis for all the units as an
alternative to installing separate
monitoring systems for the individual
units in the ductwork leading to the
common stack. The units then keep
records and report hourly and
cumulative NOX mass emissions and in
many cases heat input data on a
combined basis for all units exhausting
to the common stack. With respect to
heat input data, but not NOX mass
emissions data, most such units have
also been required historically to record
and report hourly and cumulative data
on an individual-unit basis, and where
necessary they typically have computed
the necessary unit-level hourly heat
input values by apportioning the
combined hourly heat input values for
the common stack in proportion to the
individual units’ recorded hourly
output of electricity or steam. See
generally 40 CFR 75.72.
In this rulemaking, the provisions
governing default unit-level allowance
allocations, backstop daily NOX
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36809
emissions rates for certain coal-fired
units, and secondary emissions
limitations for units contributing to
assurance level exceedances all require
the use of unit-level reported data on
NOX mass emissions (or unit-level NOX
emissions rates computed in part based
on unit-level reported data on NOX mass
emissions). To facilitate the
implementation of these provisions, the
final rule requires all units covered by
the Group 3 trading program exhausting
to common stacks to record and report
unit-level hourly and cumulative NOX
mass emissions data starting January 1,
2024. To obtain the necessary unit-level
hourly mass emissions values, the
revised regulations rule allow the units
to apportion hourly mass emissions
values determined at the common stack
in proportion to the individual units’
recorded hourly heat input. The
apportionment procedure is very similar
to the apportionment procedure that
most such units already apply to
compute reported unit-level heat input
data. Where sources choose to obtain
the additional required data values
through apportionment, implementation
of the additional recordkeeping and
reporting requirements will necessitate
a one-time update to the units’ data
acquisition and handling systems but
will not require any changes to the
monitoring systems already needed to
meet other requirements under 40 CFR
part 75.
For most units sharing common
stacks, the EPA expects that the
reported unit-specific hourly NOX
emissions values computed through the
apportionment procedures will
reasonably approximate the values that
could be obtained through installation
and operation of separate monitoring
systems for the individual units,
because the units exhausting to the
common stack would be expected to
have similar NOX emissions rates.
However, the EPA also recognizes that
at some plants, particularly those where
SCR-equipped and non-SCR-equipped
coal-fired units share a common stack,
unit-level values determined through
apportionment based on electricity or
steam output could overstate the
reported NOX mass emissions for the
SCR-equipped units and
correspondingly understate the reported
NOX mass emissions for the non-SCRequipped units.362 As proposed, the
362 The EPA is aware of five plants in the states
covered by this rule where SCR-equipped and nonSCR-equipped coal-fired units exhaust to a common
stack: Clifty Creek in Indiana; Cooper, Ghent, and
Shawnee in Kentucky; and Sammis in Ohio. The
owners of the Sammis plant have announced plans
to retire the plant in 2023.
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final rule leaves in place the existing
options under 40 CFR part 75 for plants
to upgrade their monitoring equipment
to monitor on a unit-specific basis
instead of at the common stack. Plant
owners may find this option attractive if
they believe it would reduce the
quantities of reported emissions
exceeding the backstop daily emissions
rate.
The EPA is finalizing the additional
recordkeeping and reporting
requirements generally as proposed,
with modifications as needed to
accommodate the changes in the
backstop daily emissions rate provisions
from proposal discussed in sections
VI.B.1.c.i and VI.B.1.7. No comments
were received on the recordkeeping and
reporting requirements added to
facilitate implementation of the
backstop daily emissions rate.
Comments on the requirement to report
unit-specific NOX emissions data for
units sharing common stacks are
addressed in the following paragraphs.
Comment: Some commenters claimed
that for plants where SCR-equipped and
non-SCR-equipped coal-fired units
share common stacks, the rule as
proposed would have effectively
mandated installation of unit-specific
monitoring systems in order to comply
with the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions. The commenters generally
requested that application of the
backstop daily rate provisions be
delayed for plants with common stacks
until all units sharing the stacks were
subject to the provisions. Alternatively,
they claimed that the EPA should
consider the cost of the additional unitspecific monitoring system to be a cost
of the rule.
One commenter claimed that the
option to install unit-specific
monitoring systems for the units sharing
a common stack at its plant was not
feasible because of a lack of locations in
the units’ ductwork suitable for
installation of the monitoring
equipment. Specifically, the commenter
claimed that EPA Method 1 requires
monitoring equipment to be located at
least eight duct diameters downstream
and two duct diameters upstream of any
flow disturbance and stated that the
units had no straight runs of ductwork
sufficiently long to meet these criteria.
Response: The EPA’s response to
comments about the application of
backstop rate requirements to units
sharing common stacks is in section
VI.B.7 of this document. With respect to
assertions that the rule effectively
mandates installation of unit-specific
monitoring systems, the EPA disagrees.
Although the EPA pointed out the
option in the proposal, anticipating that
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owners of some units sharing common
stacks might find it advantageous to
upgrade their monitoring systems, the
final rule does not mandate such
upgrades and explicitly provides a
reporting option that can be used if a
plant owner continues to monitor only
at the common stack. For example, a
plant owner might choose not to
upgrade monitoring systems if the
owner does not plan to operate the nonSCR-equipped units sharing the stack
frequently. Regarding the contention
that the cost of additional monitoring
systems should be considered a cost of
the rule, the EPA notes that the
monitoring cost estimates that the
Agency regularly develops for 40 CFR
part 75 already reflect the conservative
assumption that all affected units
perform monitoring on a unit-specific
basis.
With respect to the comment asserting
an inability to install unit-specific
monitoring equipment because of a lack
of suitable locations, the EPA does not
believe the commenter has provided
sufficient information to support the
assertion. Although the commenter cites
the EPA Method 1 location criteria, the
CEMS location provisions in 40 CFR
part 75 do not reference those location
criteria but instead reference the EPA
Performance Specification 2 location
criteria, which recommend that a CEMS
be located at least two duct diameters
downstream and a half duct diameter
upstream from a point at which a
change in pollutant concentration may
occur.363 Thus, while the commenter
states that its units do not have straight
runs of ductwork ten duct diameters
long, the relevant siting criteria actually
call for straight runs of ductwork only
2.5 duct diameters long, and the
commenter has not provided
information indicating that these criteria
could not be met. Moreover, even EPA
Method 1 does not require monitoring
equipment to be located eight duct
diameters upstream and two duct
diameters downstream of any flow
disturbance. While the method
recommends those distances as the first
option, the method also allows for
locations two duct diameters upstream
and a half duct diameter upstream from
any flow disturbance, as well as other
locations if certain performance criteria
can be met.364
363 Appendix
B to 40 CFR part 60, Performance
Specification 2, sec. 8.1.2; see also appendix A to
40 CFR part 75, section 1.1.
364 Appendix A–1 to 40 CFR part 60, Method 1,
sec. 11.1.
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11. Designated Representative
Requirements
As noted in section VI.B.1.a of this
document, a core design element of all
the CSAPR trading programs is the
requirement that each source must have
a designated representative who is
authorized to represent all of the
source’s owners and operators and is
responsible for certifying the accuracy
of the source’s reports to the EPA and
overseeing the source’s Allowance
Management System account. The
necessary authorization of a designated
representative is certified to the EPA in
a certificate of representation.
The existing designated representative
provisions in the Group 3 trading
program regulations already provide
that the EPA will interpret references to
the Group 2 trading program in certain
documents—including a certificate of
representation as well as a notice of
delegation to an agent or an application
for a general account—as if the
documents referenced the Group 3
trading program instead of the Group 2
trading program. For these reasons,
sources that have participated in the
Group 2 trading program and that are
transitioning to the Group 3 trading
program under this rule will not need to
submit any new forms as part of the
transition, because previously submitted
forms will be valid for purposes of the
Group 3 trading program.
For a source that is newly affected
under the Group 3 trading program and
that is not currently affected under the
Group 2 trading program, a designated
representative who has been duly
authorized by the source’s owners and
operators must submit a new or updated
certificate of representation to the EPA.
The EPA will not record any Group 3
allowances allocated to a source in the
source’s compliance account until a
certificate of representation has been
submitted for the source. If a source is
also affected under other CSAPR trading
programs or the Acid Rain Program, the
same individual must be the source’s
designated representative for purposes
of all the programs.
The EPA did not propose and is not
finalizing any changes to the designated
representative requirements. The EPA
received no comments on the provisions
of the proposal relating to these
requirements.
12. Transitional Provisions
This section discusses several
provisions that the EPA will implement
to address the transition of sources into
the Group 3 trading program as revised.
The purposes of the transitional
provisions are generally the same as the
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purposes of the analogous transitional
provisions promulgated in the Revised
CSAPR Update: first, addressing the
likelihood that the effective date of this
rule will fall after the starting date of the
first affected ozone season (which in
this case is, May 1, 2023); second,
establishing an appropriately-sized
initial allowance bank through the
conversion of previously banked
allowances; and third, preserving the
intended stringency of the Group 2
trading program for the sources that will
continue to be subject to that
program.365 However, the sources that
will be participants in the revised Group
3 trading program under this rule are
transitioning from several different
starting points—with some sources
already in the existing Group 3 trading
program, some sources coming from the
Group 2 trading program, and some
sources not currently participating in
any seasonal NOX trading program. The
EPA is therefore finalizing transitional
provisions that differ across the sets of
potentially affected sources based on the
sources’ different starting points.
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a. Prorating Emissions Budgets,
Assurance Levels, and Unit-Level
Allowance Allocations in the Event of
an Effective Date After May 1, 2023
The EPA expects that the effective
date of this rule will fall after the start
of the Group 3 trading program’s 2023
control period on May 1, 2023, because
the effective date of the rule will be 60
days after the date of the final rule’s
publication in the Federal Register. The
EPA is addressing this circumstance by
determining the amounts of emissions
budgets and unit-level allowance
allocations on a full-season basis in the
rulemaking and by also including
provisions in the revised regulations to
prorate the full-season amounts as
needed to ensure that no sources
become subject to new or more stringent
regulatory requirements before the final
rule’s effective date.366 Variability
365 As discussed in section VI.B.1.d, the EPA is
not creating a ‘‘safety valve’’ mechanism in this rule
analogous to the voluntary supplemental allowance
conversion mechanism established under the
Revised CSAPR Update, but intends in the near
future to propose and take comment on potential
amendments to the Group 3 trading program that
would add an auction mechanism to the regulations
for the purpose of further increasing allowance
market liquidity in conjunction with other
appropriate changes to ensure program stringency
is maintained. While these changes may provide an
additional measure of assurance to the market that
allowances will be available for compliance to a
degree consistent with the Step 3 emissions control
stringency, the EPA does not anticipate that market
liquidity concerns pose a challenge to the feasibility
of sources to comply with the Group 3 trading
program as finalized in this action.
366 As discussed in sections VI.B.7 and VI.B.8, the
revisions establishing unit-specific backstop daily
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limits, assurance levels, and unit-level
allocations for 2023 will all be
computed using the appropriately
prorated emissions budgets amounts.367
As discussed in section VI.B.2 of this
document, in the case of the three states
(and Indian country within the states’
borders) whose sources do not currently
participate in either the Group 2 trading
program or the Group 3 trading
program—Minnesota, Nevada, and
Utah—the sources will begin
participating in the Group 3 trading
program on the later of May 1, 2023, or
the rule’s effective date. For these states,
in the rulemaking the EPA has
computed the full-season emissions
budgets that would have applied for the
entire 2023 control period if the final
rule had become effective no later than
May 1, 2023, and were therefore in
effect for the entire 153-day control
period from May 1, 2023, through
September 30, 2023. Assuming that the
final rule becomes effective after May 1,
2023, as expected, the EPA will
determine prorated emissions budgets
for the 2023 control period by
multiplying each full-season emissions
budget by the number of days from the
rule’s effective date through September
30, 2023, dividing by 153 days, and
rounding to the nearest allowance. The
prorated variability limits for the 2023
control period will be computed by first
determining for each state the
percentage by which the state’s reported
heat input for the full 2023 ozone
season (i.e., May 1, 2023 through
September 30, 2023) exceeds the heat
input used to compute the state’s fullseason 2023 emissions budget under
this rule and then multiplying the
higher of this percentage or 21 percent
by the state’s prorated emissions budget
and rounding to the nearest allowance,
yielding prorated assurance levels that
equal a minimum of 121 percent of the
prorated emissions budgets. To
determine unit-level allocation amounts
from the prorated emissions budgets,
the EPA will apply the unit-level
allocation procedure described in
section VI.B.9 to the prorated budgets.
All calculations required to determine
the prorated emissions budgets, the
minimum 21 percent variability limits,
and the unit-level allocations for the
2023 control period will be carried out
as soon as possible after the EPA learns
the rule’s effective date. The unit-level
emissions rates and, for units contributing to
assurance level exceedances, secondary unitspecific emissions limitations, will not take effect
until the 2024 control period or later.
367 The EPA notes that transitional provisions
similar to the prorating provisions being finalized
in this rule were finalized and implemented
without issue under the Revised CSAPR Update.
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36811
allocations for both the 2023 and 2024
control periods will be recorded in
facilities’ compliance accounts
approximately 30 days after the rule’s
effective date, as discussed in section
VI.B.9.b of this document.
In the case of the states (and Indian
country within the states’ borders)
whose sources currently participate in
the Group 3 trading program—Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia—the sources will
continue to participate in the Group 3
trading program for the 2023 control
period, subject to prorating procedures
designed to ensure that the changes in
2023 emissions budgets and assurance
levels will not substantively affect the
sources’ requirements prior to the rule’s
effective date. For these states, in the
rulemaking the EPA has computed the
full-season emissions budgets that
would have applied for the entire 2023
control period if the final rule had
become effective no later than May 1,
2023, but the EPA has also retained in
the regulations the full-season emissions
budgets for the 2023 control period that
were established in the Revised CSAPR
Update rulemaking. The EPA has added
a provision to the regulations indicating
that the emissions budgets promulgated
in the Revised CSAPR Update will
apply on a prorated basis for the portion
of the 2023 control period before the
final rule’s effective date and the
emissions budgets established in this
rulemaking will apply on a prorated
basis for the portion of the 2023 control
period on and after the final rule’s
effective date. Under this provision, the
EPA will determine a blended emissions
budget for each state for the 2023
control period, computed as the sum of
the appropriately prorated amounts of
the state’s previous and revised
emissions budgets. (For example, if the
final rule becomes effective on the
eleventh day of the 153-day 2023
control period, the blended emissions
budget will equal the sum of 10/153
times the previous emissions budget
plus 143/153 times the revised
emissions budget, rounded to the
nearest allowance.) Blended variability
limits for the 2023 control period will
be computed by first determining for
each state the percentage by which the
state’s reported heat input for the full
2023 ozone season exceeds the heat
input used to compute the state’s fullseason 2023 emissions budget under
this rule and then multiplying the
higher of this percentage or 21 percent
by the state’s prorated emissions budget
and rounding to the nearest allowance,
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yielding blended assurance levels that
equal a minimum of 121 percent of the
blended emissions budgets. Unit-level
allocations will be determined by
applying the allocation procedure
described in section VI.B.9 to the
blended budgets. Again, all calculations
required to determine the prorated
emissions budgets, the minimum 21
percent variability limits, and the unitlevel allocations for the 2023 control
period will be carried out as soon as
possible after the EPA learns the
effective date of this rule. The unit-level
allocations for both the 2023 and 2024
control periods will be recorded in
facilities’ compliance accounts
approximately 30 days after the final
rule’s effective date, as discussed in
section VI.B.9.b of this document.
In the case of the states (and Indian
country within the states’ borders)
whose sources currently participate in
the Group 2 trading program—Alabama,
Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin—the
sources will begin to participate in the
Group 3 trading program as of May 1,
2023, regardless of the rule’s effective
date, as discussed in section VI.B.2 of
this document, subject to prorating
procedures designed to ensure that the
transition from the Group 2 trading
program to the Group 3 trading program
will not substantively affect the sources’
requirements prior to the rule’s effective
date. The prorating procedures for these
states mirror the procedures for the
states currently in the Group 3 trading
program, except that because no
emissions budgets currently appear in
the Group 3 trading program regulations
for the states that are currently covered
by the Group 2 trading program, the
EPA has added two sets of emissions
budgets for these states to the Group 3
trading program regulations: first, the
states’ emissions budgets for the 2023
control period that currently appear in
the Group 2 trading program
regulations, which are being included in
the revised Group 3 trading program
regulations to represent the states’
emissions budgets for the portion of the
2023 control period before the rule’s
effective date, and second, the
emissions budgets for the 2023 control
period established for the states in this
rulemaking, which are being included
in the revised Group 3 trading program
regulations to represent the state’s
emissions budgets for the portion of the
2023 control period on and after the
rule’s effective date. The procedures and
timing for determining blended
emissions budgets, variability limits and
assurance levels, and unit-level
allowance allocations, as well as the
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timing for the recordation of unit-level
allocations, are the same as for the states
currently in the Group 3 trading
program.
Beginning administrative
implementation of the Group 3 trading
program starting on May 1, 2023, for
sources currently in the Group 2 trading
program imposes no new or different
requirements on these sources. It would
serve the public interest and greatly aid
in administrative efficiency for most
elements of the Group 3 trading
program—specifically, all elements of
the trading program other than the
elements designed to establish more
stringent emissions limitations for the
sources coming from the Group 2
trading program—to apply to the
sources starting on May 1, 2023. This is
how the EPA handled the earlier
transition of twelve states from the
Group 2 to the Group 3 trading program
in the Revised CSAPR Update, which
was accomplished successfully and
without incident. See 86 FR 23133–34.
This approach would facilitate
implementation of the Group 3 trading
program in an orderly manner for the
entire 2023 ozone season and reduce
compliance burdens and potential
confusion. Each of the CSAPR trading
programs for ozone season NOX is
designed to be implemented over an
entire ozone season. Implementing the
transition from the Group 2 trading
program to the Group 3 trading program
in a manner that required the covered
sources to participate in the Group 2
trading program for part of the 2023
ozone season and the Group 3 trading
program for the remainder of that ozone
season would be complex and
burdensome for sources. Attempting to
address the issue by splitting the Group
2 and Group 3 requirements for these
sources into separate years is not a
viable approach, because the EPA has
no legal basis for releasing the
transitioning Group 2 sources from the
emissions reduction requirements found
to be necessary in the CSAPR Update for
a portion of the 2023 ozone season, and
the EPA similarly has no legal basis for
deferring implementation of the 2023
emissions reduction requirements found
to be necessary under this rule for the
transitioning Group 2 sources until
2024. Moreover, the requirements of the
current Group 2 trading program and
the revised Group 3 trading program for
the 2023 control period are
substantively identical as to almost all
provisions, such that with respect to
those provisions, a source will not need
to alter its operations in any manner or
face different compliance obligations as
a consequence of a transition from the
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Group 2 trading program to the Group
3 trading program. Thus, the EPA
believes that no substantive concerns
regarding retroactivity arise from
transitioning the sources currently in
the Group 2 trading program to the
Group 3 trading program starting on
May 1, 2023, as long as those aspects of
the revised Group 3 trading program for
the 2023 control period that do
meaningfully differ from the analogous
aspects of the Group 2 trading
program—that is, the relative
stringencies of the two trading
programs, as reflected in the emissions
budgets and associated assurance
levels—are applied only as of the
effective date of the final rule.
In all respects other than prorating the
emissions budgets, variability limits and
assurance levels, and unit-level
allowance allocations, with respect to
the sources currently participating in
the Group 2 trading program or the
Group 3 trading program, the EPA will
implement the revised Group 3 trading
program for the 2023 control period in
a uniform manner for the entire control
period. Thus, emissions will be
monitored and reported for the entire
2023 ozone season (i.e., May 1, 2023,
through September 30, 2023), and as of
the allowance transfer deadline for the
2023 control period (i.e., June 1, 2024)
each source will be required to hold in
its compliance account vintage-year
2023 Group 3 allowances not less than
the source’s emissions of NOX during
the entire 2023 ozone season. Any
efforts undertaken by one of these
sources to reduce its emissions during
the portion of the 2023 ozone season
before the effective date of the rule will
aid the source’s compliance by reducing
the amount of Group 3 allowances that
the source would need to hold in its
compliance account as of the allowance
transfer deadline, increasing the range
of options available to the source for
meeting its compliance obligations
under the revised Group 3 trading
program.
In the case of the sources in the three
states that do not currently participate
in the Group 2 trading program or the
Group 3 trading program, the 2023
control period will begin on the
effective date of the rule, and because
the effective date of the rule is expected
to fall after May 1, 2023, the 2023
control period for the sources in these
states will be shorter than the 153-day
length of the 2023 control period for the
sources in the remaining states.
However, the EPA similarly will
implement the revised Group 3 trading
program for the sources in these states
in a uniform manner for the entire
shorter control period.
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The prorating provisions are being
finalized as proposed. The EPA received
no comments on the portion of the
proposal discussing these provisions.
b. Creation of Additional Group 3
Allowance Bank for 2023 Control Period
In the CSAPR Update, where the EPA
established the Group 2 trading program
and transitioned over 95 percent of the
sources that had been participating in
what is now the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 Trading Program (the
‘‘Group 1 trading program’’) to the new
program, the EPA determined that it
was reasonable to establish an initial
bank of allowances for the Group 2
trading program by converting almost
all allowances banked under the Group
1 trading program at a conversion ratio
determined by a formula. In the Revised
CSAPR Update, where the EPA
established the Group 3 trading program
and transitioned approximately 55
percent of the sources that had been
participating in the Group 2 trading
program to the new program, the EPA
similarly determined that it was
reasonable to provide for an initial bank
of allowances for the Group 3 trading
program by converting allowances
banked under the Group 2 trading
program at a conversion ratio
determined by a formula, using a
conversion procedure that was modified
to leave much of the Group 2 allowance
bank available for use by the
approximately 45 percent of sources
then in the Group 2 trading program
that would remain in that program. Any
conversion of banked allowances from a
previous trading program for use in a
new trading program must ensure that
implementation of the new trading
program will result in NOX emissions
reductions sufficient to address
significant contribution by all states that
would be participating in the new
trading program, while also providing
industry certainty (and obtaining an
environmental benefit) through
continued recognition of the value of
saving allowances through early
reductions in emissions. The EPA’s
approach to balancing these concerns in
the CSAPR Update through the
conversion of banked allowances from
the Group 1 trading program to the
Group 2 trading program was upheld in
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d at 321.
Under this final rule, applying the
same balancing principle as in the
CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR
Update, the EPA will carry out a further
conversion of allowances banked for
control periods before 2023 under the
Group 2 trading program into
allowances usable in the Group 3
trading program in control periods in
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2023 and later years. Because the EPA
is transitioning over 80 percent of the
remaining sources in the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading
program—much closer to the situation
in the CSAPR Update than the situation
in the Revised CSAPR Update—in this
rule the EPA is applying a conversion
procedure similar to the procedure
followed in the CSAPR Update. Under
the conversion procedure in this rule,
the EPA has not set a predetermined
conversion ratio in the regulations (as
was done in the Revised CSAPR
Update) but instead has established
provisions identifying the target amount
of new Group 3 allowances that will be
created and defining the types of
accounts whose holdings of Group 2
allowances will be converted to Group
3 allowances (as was done in the CSAPR
Update). The conversion date will be
carried out by September 18, 2023,
which is expected to be approximately
2 months after the compliance deadline
for the 2022 control period under the
Group 2 trading program and
approximately ten months before the
compliance deadline for the 2023
control period under the Group 3
trading program. The actual conversion
ratio will be determined as of the
conversion date and will be the ratio of
the total amount of Group 2 allowances
held in the identified types of accounts
prior to the conversion to the total
amount of Group 3 allowances being
created.
With respect to the numerator of the
conversion ratio—that is, the total
amount of Group 2 allowances being
converted—the EPA has defined the
types of accounts included in the
conversion to include all accounts
except the facility accounts of sources in
states that will remain in the Group 2
trading program, consistent with the
approach taken in the CSAPR
Update.368 Thus, the accounts whose
holdings of Group 2 allowances will be
converted to Group 3 allowances will
include (1) the facility accounts of all
sources in the states transitioning from
the Group 2 trading program to the
Group 3 trading program, (2) the facility
accounts of all sources in the states
already participating in the Group 3
trading program, (3) the facility
accounts of all sources in any other
states not covered by the Group 2
trading program that happen to hold
Group 2 allowances as of the conversion
date, and (4) all general accounts (that
is, accounts that are not facility
368 The states whose sources will continue to
participate in the Group 2 trading program for the
2023 control period will be Iowa, Kansas, and
Tennessee.
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36813
accounts, including other accounts
controlled by source owners as well as
accounts controlled by non-source
entities such as allowance brokers).
Creating the new Group 3 allowances
through conversion of previously
banked Group 2 allowances will also
help preserve the stringency of the
Group 2 trading program for the states
that remain covered by that trading
program at levels consistent with the
stringency found to be appropriate to
address those states’ good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2008
ozone NAAQS in the CSAPR Update.
With respect to the denominator of
the conversion ratio—that is, the target
amount of Group 3 allowances that will
be created in the conversion process—
the EPA has followed the same
approach for setting the target amount
that was used in the Revised CSAPR
Update for creation of the initial Group
3 allowance bank. Specifically, the
target amount of Group 3 allowances to
be created in this rule will be computed
as the sum of the minimum 21 percent
variability limits for the 2024 control
period 369 established for the ten states
being added to the Group 3 trading
program, prorated to reflect the portion
of the 2023 control period occurring on
and after the effective date of the final
rule. Based on the amounts of the state
emissions budgets and variability limits,
the full-season target amount for the
conversion would be 23,094 Group 3
allowances. The quantity of banked
Group 2 allowances currently held in
accounts other than the facility accounts
of sources in Iowa, Kansas, and
Tennessee exceeding the quantity of
allowances likely to be needed for 2022
compliance is approximately 149,386
allowances. Thus, if the quantities of
banked Group 2 allowances held in the
accounts being included in the
conversion do not change between now
and the conversion date, and if there
was no prorating adjustment, the
conversion ratio would be
approximately 6.5-to-1, meaning that
one Group 3 allowance would be
created for every 6.5 Group 2
allowances deducted in the conversion
process.370
As noted in section VI.B.12.a of this
document, the EPA expects that the
effective date of this rule will occur after
369 Similar to the approach taken in the Revised
CSAPR Update, because emissions reductions from
some of the emissions controls that EPA has
identified as appropriate to use in setting budgets
are first reflected in the 2024 state budgets rather
than the 2023 state budgets, the EPA is basing the
bank target amount on the sum of the states’ 2024
variability limits rather than the 2023 variability
limits.
370 By comparison, the analogous conversion ratio
under the Revised CSAPR Update was 8-to-1.
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the start of the 2023 ozone season, and
prorating provisions are being
promulgated in this rule to ensure that
the increased stringency of this rule’s
state budgets and state assurance levels
(i.e., the sums of the budgets and
variability limits) will take effect only
after the rule’s effective date. Consistent
with these other procedures, the EPA
will similarly prorate the bank target
amount used in the conversion process.
For example, if the effective date of the
final rule is the eleventh day of the 153day 2023 ozone season, the full-season
initial bank target amount of 23,094
allowances would be prorated to an
initial bank target amount of 21,585
allowances.371 The EPA notes that
prorating the bank amount in this
manner will not reduce sources’
compliance flexibility for the 2023
ozone season, because the amounts of
Group 3 allowances that sources will
receive for the portion of the 2023 ozone
season before the rule’s effective date
will be based on the trading program
budgets for the 2023 control period that
were in effect before this rulemaking.
These trading program budgets exceed
the sources’ collective 2022 emissions
by approximately 29,789 tons,
indicating potentially surplus
allowances roughly 1.3 times the fullseason bank conversion target amount of
23,094 allowances. Thus, although the
prorating procedure will reduce the
amount of Group 3 allowances that
would be available to sources in the
form of an initial bank, the reduction in
the quantity of these allowances will be
more than offset by the quantities of
Group 3 allowances that will be
allocated in excess of sources’ recent
historical emissions levels for the
portion of the ozone season before the
final rule’s effective date.
As in the CSAPR Update and the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA’s
overall objective in establishing the
target amount for the allowance
conversion is to achieve a total target
amount for the bank at a level high
enough to accommodate year-to-year
variability in operations and emissions,
as reflected in states’ variability limits,
but not high enough to allow sources
collectively to plan to emit in excess of
the collective state budgets. The EPA
believes that a well-established trading
program should be able to function with
an allowance bank lower than the full
amount of the covered states’ variability
limits, as discussed in section VI.B.6 of
this document with respect to the bank
recalibration process that will begin
with the 2024 control period. However,
the EPA also believes there are several
371 23,094
× (153¥10) ÷ 153 = 21,585.
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compelling reasons in this instance to
use a bank target higher than the
minimum practicable level.
First, making an allowance bank
available for use in the 2023 control
period that is somewhat higher than the
minimum practicable level will help to
address concerns that might otherwise
arise regarding the transition to a new
set of compliance requirements, for
some sources, and the transition to
compliance requirements based on
revised emissions budgets different from
the emissions budgets that the sources
had reason to anticipate under previous
rulemakings, for the remaining sources.
Although the EPA is confident that the
emissions budgets being established in
this rulemaking for the 2023 control
period are readily achievable, the EPA
also believes that the existence of a
somewhat larger allowance bank at this
transition point will promote sources’
confidence in their ability to meet their
2023 compliance obligations in general
and in a liquid allowance market in
particular. Second, because the large
majority of the remaining Group 2
allowances that will be converted to
Group 3 allowances in this rulemaking
are held by the sources currently in the
Group 2 trading program, while the
large majority of the initial bank of
Group 3 allowances previously created
in the conversion under the Revised
CSAPR Update are held by the sources
already in the Group 3 trading program,
basing the conversion in this
rulemaking on a target bank amount set
in the same manner as the target bank
amount used in the Revised CSAPR
Update is expected to result in a less
concentrated distribution of holdings of
banked Group 3 allowances following
the conversion than would be the case
if a more stringent target bank amount
were used under this rulemaking than
was used in the Revised CSAPR Update.
A lower concentration of holdings of
banked Group 3 allowances would
generally be expected to help ensure
allowance market liquidity. Third, the
EPA considers it equitable to treat the
sources in the states transitioning from
the Group 2 trading program to the
Group 3 trading program in this
rulemaking roughly similarly to the
sources in the states that transitioned
between the same two trading programs
in the Revised CSAPR Update with
respect to the benefit they would receive
under the Group 3 trading program for
any efforts they may have made to make
emissions reductions under the Group 2
trading program beyond the minimum
efforts that were required to comply
with the emissions budgets under that
program. Finally, to the extent that the
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conversion results in a larger bank of
allowances remaining after the 2023
control period than is considered
necessary to sustain a well-functioning
trading program in subsequent control
periods, the excess will be removed
from the program in the bank
recalibration process that will be
implemented starting with the 2024
control period and therefore will not
weaken sources’ incentives to control
emissions on a permanent basis.
The rule’s provisions relating to the
creation of an incremental Group 3
allowance bank are being finalized as
proposed. Comments on the creation of
the incremental allowance bank are
discussed in section 5 of the RTC.
c. Recall of Group 2 Allowances
Allocated for Control Periods After 2022
To maintain the previously
established levels of stringency of the
Group 2 trading program for the states
and sources that remain subject to that
program, the EPA is recalling CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in amount and usability to
all vintage year 2023–2024 CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
previously allocated to sources in states
and areas of Indian country
transitioning to the Group 3 trading
program and recorded in the sources’
compliance accounts. The recall
provisions apply to all sources in
jurisdictions newly added to the Group
3 trading program in whose compliance
accounts CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances for a control period
in 2023 or 2024 were recorded,
including sources where some or all
units have permanently retired or where
the previously recorded 2023–2024
allowances have been transferred out of
the compliance account. The recall
provisions provide a flexible
compliance schedule intended to
accommodate any sources that have
already transferred the previously
recorded 2023–2024 allowances out of
their compliance accounts and allow
Group 2 allowances of earlier vintages
to be surrendered to achieve
compliance. Like the similar recall
provisions finalized in the Revised
CSAPR Update, the recall provisions
include specifications for how the recall
provisions apply in instances where a
source and its allowances have been
transferred to different parties and for
the procedures that the EPA will follow
to implement the recall.
Under the Group 2 trading program
regulations, each Group 2 allowance is
a ‘‘limited authorization to emit one ton
of NOX during the control period in one
year,’’ where the relevant limitations
include the EPA Administrator’s
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authority ‘‘to terminate or limit the use
and duration of such authorization to
the extent the Administrator determines
is necessary or appropriate to
implement any provision of the Clean
Air Act.’’ 40 CFR 97.806(c)(6)(ii). The
Administrator is determining that, to
effectively implement the Group 2
trading program as a compliance
mechanism through which states not
subject to the Group 3 trading program
may continue to meet their obligations
under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
with regard to the 2008 ozone NAAQS,
it is necessary to limit the use of Group
2 allowances equivalent in quantity and
usability to all Group 2 allowances
previously allocated for the 2023–2024
control periods and recorded in the
compliance accounts of sources in the
newly added Group 3 jurisdictions. The
Group 2 allowances that have already
been allocated to sources in the newly
added Group 3 states for the 2023–2024
control periods and recorded in the
sources’ compliance accounts represent
the substantial majority of the total
remaining quantity of Group 2
allowances that have been allocated and
recorded for the 2023–2024 control
periods and that were not already made
subject to recall when other
jurisdictions were transferred from the
Group 2 trading program to the Group
3 trading program in the Revised CSAPR
Update. Because allowances can be
freely traded, if the use of the 2023–
2024 Group 2 allowances previously
recorded in newly added Group 3
sources’ compliance accounts (or
equivalent Group 2 allowances) were
not limited, the effect would be the
same as if the EPA had issued to sources
in the states that will remain covered by
the Group 2 trading program a quantity
of allowances available for compliance
under the 2023–2024 control periods
many times the levels that the EPA
determined to be appropriate emissions
budgets for these states in the CSAPR
Update. Through the use of banked
allowances, the excess Group 2
allowances would affect compliance
under the Group 2 trading program in
control periods after 2024 as well.
Continued implementation of the Group
2 trading program at levels of stringency
consistent with the levels contemplated
under the CSAPR Update therefore
requires that the EPA limit the use of
the excess allowances, as the EPA is
doing through the recall provisions.
In this rule, the EPA is implementing
limitations on the use of the excess
2023–2024 Group 2 allowances through
requirements to surrender, for each
2023–2024 Group 2 allowance recorded
in a newly added Group 3 source’s
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compliance account, one Group 2
allowance of equivalent usability under
the Group 2 trading program. The
surrender requirements apply to the
owners and operators of the Group 3
sources in whose compliance account
the excess 2023–2024 Group 2
allowances were initially recorded. In
general, each source’s current owners
and operators are required to comply
with the surrender requirements for the
source by ensuring that sufficient
allowances to complete the deductions
are available in the source’s compliance
account by one of two possible
deadlines discussed later in this section.
However, an exception is provided if a
source’s current owners and operators
obtained ownership and operational
control of the source in a transaction
that did not include rights to direct the
use and transfer of some or all of the
2023–2024 Group 2 allowances
allocated and recorded (either before or
after that transaction) in the source’s
compliance account. The rule provides
that in such a circumstance, with
respect to the 2023–2024 Group 2
allowances for which rights were not
included in the transaction, the
surrender requirements apply to the
most recent former owners and
operators of the source before any such
transactions occurred. Because in this
situation a source’s former owners and
operators might lack the ability to access
the source’s compliance account for
purposes of complying with the
surrender requirements, the former
owners and operators would instead be
allowed to meet the surrender
requirements with Group 2 allowances
held in a general account.372
To provide as much flexibility as
possible consistent with the need to
limit the use of the excess Group 2
allowances, for each 2023–2024 Group 2
allowance recorded in a Group 3
source’s compliance account, the EPA
will accept the surrender of either the
same specific 2023–2024 Group 2
allowance or any other Group 2
allowance with equivalent (or greater)
usability under the Group 2 trading
program. Thus, a surrender requirement
with regard to a Group 2 allowance
allocated for the 2023 control period
could be met through the surrender of
any Group 2 allowance allocated for the
2023 control period or the control
period in any earlier year—in other
words, any 2017–2023 Group 2
allowance.373 Similarly, the surrender
372 The EPA is currently unaware of any source
that would need to use this flexibility but has
included the option in the rule to address the
theoretical possibility of such a situation.
373 The first control period for the Group 2 trading
program was in 2017.
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36815
requirement with regard to a 2024
Group 2 allowance could be met
through the surrender of any 2017–2024
Group 2 allowance.
Owners and operators subject to the
surrender requirements can choose from
two possible deadlines for meeting the
requirements. The optional first
deadline will be 15 days after the
effective date of this rule.374 As soon as
practicable or after this date, the EPA
will make a first attempt to complete the
deductions of Group 2 allowances
required for each Group 3 source from
the source’s compliance account. The
EPA will deduct Group 2 allowances
first to address any surrender
requirements for the 2023 control period
and then to address any surrender
requirements for the 2024 control
period. When deducting Group 2
allowances to address the surrender
requirements for each control period,
EPA will first deduct allowances
allocated for that control period and
then will deduct allowances allocated
for each successively earlier control
period. This order of deductions is
intended to ensure that whatever Group
2 allowances are available in the
account are applied to the surrender
requirements in a manner that both
maximizes the extent to which all of the
source’s surrender requirements will be
met and also ensures that any Group 2
allowances left in the source’s
compliance account after completion of
all required deductions will be the
earliest allocated, and therefore most
useful, Group 2 allowances possible.
Among the Group 2 allowances
allocated for a given control period, The
EPA will first deduct allowances that
were initially recorded in that account,
in the order of recordation, and will
then deduct allowances that were
transferred into that account after
having been initially recorded in some
other account, in the order of
recordation.
Following the first attempt to deduct
Group 2 allowances to address Group 3
sources’ surrender requirements, the
374 As discussed later in this section and in
section VI.B.9.b, the EPA has conditioned
recordation of any allocations of Group 3
allowances in a source’s compliance account on the
source’s prior compliance with the recall
requirements for Group 2 allowances. The purpose
of providing an optional first deadline for the recall
provisions 15 days after a final rule’s effective is to
ensure that sources have an early opportunity to
comply with the recall provisions to be eligible to
have allocations of Group 3 allowances recorded in
their accounts 30 days after the final rule’s effective
date. Because the vast majority of sources subject
to the recall provisions already hold sufficient
Group 2 allowances to comply with the recall
provisions, the EPA anticipates that the sources will
easily be able to comply with the optional first
recall deadline.
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EPA will send a notification to the
designated representative for each such
source (as well as any alternate
designated representative) indicating
whether all required deductions were
completed and, if not, the additional
amounts of Group 2 allowances usable
in the 2023 or 2024 control periods that
must be held in the appropriate account
by the second surrender deadline of
September 15, 2023. Each notification
will be sent to the email addresses most
recently provided to the EPA for the
recipients and will include information
on how to contact the EPA with any
questions. The EPA has provided that
no allocations of Group 3 allowances
will be recorded in a source’s
compliance account until all the
source’s surrender requirements with
regard to 2023–2024 Group 2
allowances have been met. For this
reason, the principal consequence to a
source of failure to fully comply with
the surrender requirements by 15 days
after the effective date of this rule will
be that any Group 3 allowances
allocated to the units at the source for
the 2023 and 2024 control periods that
would otherwise have been recorded in
the source’s compliance account by 30
days after the effective date of a final
rule will not be recorded as of that
recordation date.
If all surrender requirements of 2023–
2024 Group 2 allowances for a source
have not been met in EPA’s first
attempt, the EPA will make a second
attempt to complete the required
deductions from the source’s
compliance account (or from a specified
general account, in the limited
circumstance noted previously) as soon
as practicable on or after September 15,
2023. The order in which Group 2
allowances are deducted will be the
same as described previously for the
first attempt.
If the second attempt to deduct Group
2 allowances to meet the surrender
requirements through deductions from
the source’s compliance account (or
from a specified general account) is
unsuccessful for a given source, as soon
as practicable on or after November 15,
2023, to the extent necessary to address
the unsatisfied surrender requirements
for the source, the EPA will deduct the
2023–2024 Group 2 allowances that
were initially recorded in the source’s
compliance account from whatever
accounts the allowances are held in as
of the date of the deduction, except for
any allowances where, as of April 30,
2022, no person with an ownership
interest in the allowances was an owner
or operator of the source, was a direct
or indirect parent or subsidiary of an
owner or operator of the source, or was
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directly or indirectly under common
ownership with an owner or operator of
the source.375 Before making any
deduction under this provision, the EPA
will send a notification to the
authorized account representative for
the account in which the allowance is
held and will provide an opportunity
for submission of objections concerning
the data upon which the EPA is relying.
In EPA’s view, this provision does not
unduly interfere with the legitimate
expectations of participants in the
allowance markets because the
provision will not be invoked in the
case of any allowance that was
transferred to an independent party in
an arms-length transaction before EPA’s
intent to recall 2023–2024 Group 2
allowances became widely known. The
provision would apply only to a Group
2 allowance that, as of April 30, 2022,
was still controlled either by the owners
and operators of the source in whose
compliance account it was initially
recorded or by an entity affiliated with
such an owner or operator. The EPA
believes that by April 30, 2022, all
market participants had ample
opportunity to become informed of the
proposed rule provisions to recall 2023–
2024 Group 2 allowances recorded in
Group 3 sources’ compliance accounts,
particularly since the EPA implemented
a closely analogous recall of Group 2
allowances in the Revised CSAPR
Update.376
The final revised regulations provide
that failure of a source’s owners and
operators to comply with the surrender
requirements will be subject to possible
enforcement as a violation of the CAA,
with each allowance and each day of the
control period constituting a separate
violation.
To eliminate any possible uncertainty
regarding the amounts of Group 2
allowances allocated for the 2023–2024
control periods (or earlier control
periods) that the owners and operators
375 The
provision under which the EPA will not
deduct Group 2 allowances transferred to unrelated
parties before April 30, 2022 from the transferees’
accounts does not relieve the source to which the
Group 2 allowances were originally allocated from
the obligation to comply with the recall
requirements. Specifically, the source would be
required to comply with the recall requirements by
obtaining and surrendering other Group 2
allowances.
376 Even before publication of the proposed rule,
the EPA posted information on its websites to notify
market participants that a pending rulemaking
could have consequences for the value and usability
of Group 2 allowances. The posted locations
included the electronic portal that authorized
account representatives use to enter allowance
transfers for recordation by the EPA in the
Allowance Management System. Additionally, the
EPA emailed a notice identifying the possibility of
such consequences to the representatives for all
Allowance Management System accounts.
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of each Group 3 source are required to
surrender under the recall provisions,
the EPA has prepared a list of the
sources in the additional Group 3 states
and areas of Indian country in whose
compliance accounts allocations of
2023–2024 Group 2 allowances were
recorded, with the amounts of the
allocations recorded in each such
compliance account for the 2023 and
2024 control periods. An additional list
shows, for each newly added Group 3
source, the specific Group 2 allowances
(batched by serial number) allocated for
each control period and recorded in the
source’s compliance account and
indicates whether, as of April 30, 2022,
that batch of allowances was held in the
source’s compliance account, in an
account believed to be partially or fully
controlled by a related party (i.e., an
owner or operator of the source or an
affiliate of an owner or operator of the
source), or in an account believed to be
fully controlled by independent parties.
The lists are in a spreadsheet titled,
‘‘Recall of Additional CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Allowances,’’
available in the docket for this rule.
After the first and second surrender
deadlines, the EPA intends to update
the lists to indicate for each Group 3
source whether the surrender
requirements for the source under the
recall provisions have been fully
satisfied. The EPA will post the updated
lists on a publicly accessible website to
ensure that all market participants have
the ability to determine which specific
2023–2024 Group 2 allowances initially
recorded in any given Group 3 source’s
compliance account do or do not remain
subject to potential deduction to address
the source’s surrender requirements
under the recall provisions.
The recall provisions have been
finalized without change from the
proposal. The EPA received no
comments on the proposed provisions.
13. Conforming Revisions to Regulations
for Other CSAPR Trading Programs
As noted in section VI.B.1.a of this
document, in addition to the Group 3
trading program, EPA currently
administers five other CSAPR trading
programs, all of which have provisions
that in most respects parallel the
provisions of the Group 3 trading
program.377 In this rulemaking, in
addition to the revisions to the Group 3
trading program, the EPA is finalizing a
set of conforming revisions that concern
how various areas of Indian country are
377 The regulations for the Group 3 Trading
Program are at 40 CFR part 97, subpart GGGGG. The
regulations for the other five CSAPR trading
programs are at 40 CFR part 97, subparts AAAAA,
BBBBB, CCCCC, DDDDD, and EEEEE.
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treated for purposes of the allowance
allocation provisions of the regulations
for all the CSAPR trading programs.378
As discussed in section VI.B.9.a of
this document, to reflect the D.C.
Circuit’s holding in ODEQ v. EPA that
states have initial CAA implementation
planning authority in non-reservation
areas of Indian country until displaced
by a demonstration of tribal jurisdiction
over such an area, the EPA is revising
the allowance allocation provisions in
the Group 3 trading program regulations
so that, instead of distinguishing
between the sets of units within a given
state’s borders that either are not or are
in Indian country, the revised
regulations distinguish between (1) the
set of units within the state’s borders
that are not in Indian country or are in
areas of Indian country covered by the
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority and (2) the set of units within
the state’s borders that are in areas of
Indian country not covered by the
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority. For the same reasons stated in
section VI.B.9.a of this document for the
Group 3 trading program, the EPA is
revising the allowance allocation
provisions in the regulations for all the
other CSAPR trading programs
establishing the same substantive
distinction among the sets of units
within each state’s borders. The specific
regulatory provisions that are affected
are identified in section IX.D of this
document. The EPA is unaware of any
currently operating units that would be
affected by this revision to the
regulations for the other CSAPR trading
programs.
The conforming revisions to the
regulations for the other CSAPR trading
programs concerning Indian country are
being finalized as proposed with no
changes. The EPA received no
comments on this portion of the
proposal.
C. Regulatory Requirements for
Stationary Industrial Sources
The EPA is finalizing FIPs with
requirements for certain non-EGU
industry sources for 20 of the states
covered in this final rule. See section
II.B of this document for the list of
states. The FIPs include new emissions
limitations for units in nine non-EGU
industries that the EPA finds (as
discussed in sections IV and V of this
final rule) are significantly contributing
378 Additional conforming revisions concerning
the schedules for the EPA to record allowance
allocations in source’s compliance accounts and for
states to submit state-determined allowance
allocations to the EPA for subsequent recordation
were finalized in an earlier final rule in this docket.
See 87 FR 52473 (August 26, 2022).
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to nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance in other states. The
emissions control requirements of these
FIPs for non-EGU sources apply only
during the ozone season (May through
September) each year, beginning in
2026.
To achieve the necessary non-EGU
emissions reductions for these 20 states,
the EPA is finalizing the proposed
emissions limitations with some
adjustments as a result of information
received during the public comment
period. The final emissions limits apply
to the most impactful types of units in
the relevant industries and are
achievable with the control technologies
identified in this preamble and further
discussed in the Final Non-EGU Sectors
TSD. The non-EGU regulatory
requirements unique to each industry
that EPA is finalizing after considering
public comments are discussed in
sections VI.C.1 through VI.C.6 of this
document.
These final FIP requirements apply to
both new and existing emissions units.
The non-EGU emissions limits and
compliance requirements will apply in
all 20 states (and, as discussed in
section III.C.2 of this document, in areas
of Indian country within the borders of
those states), even if some of those states
do not currently have emissions units in
a particular source category. This
approach is consistent with the
approach that the EPA proposed, and
the EPA did not receive any comments
specifically objecting to our proposal to
regulate new units. This approach will
ensure that all new sources constructed
in any of the 20 states will be subject to
the same good neighbor requirements
that apply to existing units under this
final rule. This will also avoid creating
incentives to move production from an
existing non-EGU source to a new nonEGU source of the same type but lacking
the relevant emissions control
requirements either within a linked
state or in another linked state.
Comment: The EPA received several
comments regarding the proposed
approach of establishing unit-specific
emissions limitations for non-EGUs
instead of an emissions trading program.
Some commenters suggested that a
trading program for non-EGUs could
provide for operational flexibility and
that EPA should allow sources to work
with regulatory authorities to develop a
trading program. Other commenters
generally supported EPA’s proposed
approach and the decision to not
include non-EGUs in an emissions
trading program, because the EPA
would not need to require sources to
unnecessarily install CEMS.
Commenters from several states and
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36817
industry groups generally supported
other monitoring options over CEMS,
such as parametric monitoring,
performance testing, and predictive
emissions monitoring systems (PEMS).
Additional commenters voiced concern
with the expense and burden of
continuous parametric monitoring and
semi-annual performance tests.
Specifically, commenters explained that
semi-annual testing should not be
required when the emissions limits only
apply during the ozone season.
Commenters also noted that many nonEGU boilers have recently been relieved
from meeting the CEMS requirements
under the 1998 NOX SIP Call and that
implementing CEMS on many of the
non-EGU sources would be difficult and
unnecessary.
Response: The EPA is finalizing a
unit-specific approach with rate-based
emissions limitations set on a uniform
basis for the different segments of nonEGU emissions units using applicability
criteria based on size and type of unit
and, in some cases, emissions
thresholds. In response to public
comments, the EPA has adjusted these
requirements as necessary to ensure that
the emissions control requirements are
achievable while ensuring that the FIPs
achieve the necessary emissions
reductions from the covered units to
eliminate significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with
maintenance as discussed in section V
of this document. The EPA has
concluded that a unit-specific approach
is more appropriate for non-EGUs at this
time than implementing a trading
program and requiring all units to
implement rigorous part 75 monitoring
and reporting requirements. As
explained in the proposal, to be
considered for a trading program, nonEGU sources would have to comply
with requirements for monitoring and
reporting of hourly mass emissions in
accordance with 40 CFR part 75 as we
have required for all previous trading
programs. Monitoring and reporting
under part 75 include CEMS (or an
approved alternative method), rigorous
initial certification testing, and periodic
quality assurance testing thereafter,
such as relative accuracy test audits and
daily calibrations. Consistent and
accurate measurement of emissions is
necessary to ensure that each allowance
actually represents one ton of emissions
and that one ton of reported emissions
from one source would be equivalent to
one ton of reported emissions from
another source. See 75 FR 45325
(August 2, 2010). Moreover, these
monitoring requirements generally
would need to be in place for at least
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one full ozone season to establish
baseline data before it would be
appropriate to rely on a trading program
as the mechanism to achieve the
required emissions reductions. Many
industry and state commenters provided
information confirming that many nonEGU units subject to this rulemaking do
not currently utilize CEMS and
specifically requested that EPA avoid
requiring CEMS for all non-EGU
industries. The EPA generally agrees
that CEMS is not necessary for all nonEGU industries under the approach of
this final rule and is finalizing other
continuous monitoring, recordkeeping,
and reporting requirements, as
appropriate, that are specific to each
non-EGU industry. The EPA has
determined that establishing unitspecific emissions limitations for nonEGUs is a preferable approach in part
because it avoids the rigorous
monitoring requirements that would be
applied to non-EGUs for the first time
under a trading program.
Furthermore, to address commenters’
concerns regarding non-EGU
requirements for performance testing on
a semi-annual basis, the EPA has also
reduced the frequency of all required
performance testing for non-EGU
sources to once per calendar year. As
commenters correctly pointed out, the
emissions limits in these final FIPs only
apply during the ozone season and
testing once per calendar year should be
sufficient to confirm the accuracy of the
parameters being monitored to
demonstrate continuous compliance
during the ozone season. The EPA also
agrees with commenters that the annual
testing requirements need not occur
during the ozone season.
In addition, the EPA is modifying the
applicability criteria and other
regulatory requirements in response to
public comments to provide certain
compliance flexibilities for non-EGU
industries where appropriate. As
discussed further in section V.C.1 of this
document, the EPA is modifying the
requirements for Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas by
finalizing an exemption for emergency
engines and allowing any owner or
operator of an affected unit to propose
a ‘‘Facility-Wide Averaging Plan’’ that
would, if approved by EPA, provide an
alternative means for compliance with
the emissions limits in this final rule.
Further, as discussed in section VI.C.5
of this document, the EPA is finalizing
a low-use exemption for non-EGU
boilers that operates less than 10
percent per year on an hourly basis,
based on the three most recent years of
use and no more than 20 percent in any
one of the three years. These final rule
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provisions require controls on the most
impactful non-EGU industrial sources
while providing the flexibility needed to
accommodate unique circumstances on
a case-by-case basis.
Comment: Commenters from several
non-EGU industries and states raised
general concerns regarding the ability
for all sources to comply with the
proposed emissions limits. Some
commenters suggested that the EPA
allow for case-by-case limits where
necessary, similar to case-by-case RACT
determinations. Specifically,
commenters operating boilers, furnaces,
and MWCs provided general
explanations of how some units might
not be able to meet the proposed
emissions limits and requested that EPA
provide for compliance flexibility where
a source can demonstrate technical and
economical infeasibility.
Response: As explained more in
sections VI.C.1 through VI.C.6, the EPA
has made several adjustments to the
proposed applicability criteria,
emissions limits, and compliance
requirements in response to public
comments and to reduce the costs of
compliance with the final rule. For
Pipeline Transportation and Natural
Gas, the EPA is finalizing emissions
averaging provisions and exemptions for
emergency engines to allow facilities to
avoid installing controls on units with
lower actual emissions where the
installation of controls would be less
cost effective compared to higheremitting units. For Cement and Concrete
Product Manufacturing, the EPA has
removed the daily source cap that
would have resulted in an artificially
restrictive NOX emissions limit for
affected cement kilns that have operated
at lower levels due to the COVID–19
pandemic. For Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing, the EPA is
finalizing a ‘‘test-and-set’’ requirement
for reheat furnaces that will require the
installation of low-NOX burners or
equivalent technology. The EPA has
addressed the economic concerns raised
by commenters regarding installation of
controls at Iron and Steel facilities by
not finalizing the other ten proposed
emissions limits that were intended to
require the installation of SCR at these
facilities. For Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing, the EPA is finalizing
alternative standards that apply during
startup, shutdown, and idling
conditions. For boilers in Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills, Metal Ore
Mining, and the Iron and Steel Industry,
the EPA is finalizing a low-use
exemption to eliminate the need to
install controls on boilers that would
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have resulted in relatively small
reductions in emissions. Finally, the
EPA has modified the monitoring and
recordkeeping requirements for all nonEGU industries where possible to
reduce the testing frequency to once a
year and to provide for alternative
monitoring protocols where appropriate,
which should further reduce the costs of
compliance on non-EGU sources. With
these modifications to the final rule in
response to comments, the non-EGU
sources subject to this rule should be
able to meet the applicable control
requirements established in this final
rule.
The EPA also recognizes, however,
that there may be unique circumstances
the Agency cannot anticipate that
would, for a particular source, render
the final emissions control requirements
technically impossible or impossible
without extreme economic hardship. To
address these limited circumstances, the
EPA is finalizing a provision that allows
a source to request EPA approval of a
case-by-case emissions limit based on a
showing that an emissions unit cannot
meet the applicable standard due to
technical impossibility or extreme
economic hardship. The EPA has
modeled the case-by-case emissions
limit mechanism on case-by-case RACT
requirements and certain facilityspecific emissions limits under 40 CFR
part 60 identified by commenters.379
The owner or operator of a source
seeking a case-by-case emissions limit
must submit a request meeting specific
requirements to the EPA by August 5,
2024, one year after the effective date of
this final rule. The applicable emissions
limits established in this final rule
remain in effect until the EPA approves
a source’s request for a case-by-case
emissions limit. Given the May 1, 2026
compliance date that generally applies
to all affected units in the non-EGU
industries covered by this final rule, we
encourage owners and operators of
affected units who believe they must
seek case-by-case emissions limits to
submit their requests to the EPA before
the one-year deadline for such requests,
if possible, to ensure adequate time for
EPA review and to install the necessary
controls.
For a source requesting a case-by-case
limit due to technical impossibility, the
final rule requires that the request
include emissions data obtained
through CEMS or stack tests, an analysis
379 For examples of case-by-case RACT provisions
and source specific limits for boilers in subpart Db
of the EPA’s NSPS, see 40 CFR 60.44b(f);
Regulations of Connecticut State Agencies section
22a–174–22e; Code of Maryland Regulations section
26.11.09.08(B)(3); and Code of Maine Rules section
096–138–3, subsection (I).
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of all available control technologies
based on an engineering assessment by
a professional engineer or data from a
representative sample of similar
sources, and a recommendation
concerning the most stringent emissions
limit the source can technically achieve.
For a source requesting a case-by-case
limit on the basis of extreme economic
hardship, the final rule requires that the
request include at least three vendor
estimates from three separate vendors
that do not have a corporate or businessaffiliation with the source of the costs of
installing the control technology
necessary to meet the applicable
emissions limit and other information
that demonstrates, to the satisfaction of
the Administrator, that the cost of
compliance with the applicable
emissions limit for that particular
source would present an extreme
economic hardship relative to the costs
borne by other comparable sources in
the industry under this rule. In
evaluating a source’s request for a caseby-case limit due to extreme economic
hardship, the EPA will consider the
emissions reductions and costs
identified in this final rulemaking (and
related support documents) for other
sources in the relevant industry and
whether the costs of compliance for the
source seeking the case-by-case limit
would significantly exceed the highest
representative end of the range of
estimated cost-per-ton figures identified
for any source in the relevant industry
as discussed in section V of this
document.
As discussed in section VI.A of this
document, in Wisconsin the court held
that some deviation from the CAA’s
mandate to eliminate prohibited
transport by downwind attainment
deadlines may be allowed only ‘‘under
particular circumstances and upon a
sufficient showing of necessity,’’ e.g.,
when compliance with the statutory
mandate amounts to an impossibility.380
Given these directives, the EPA cannot
allow a covered source to avoid
complying with the emissions limits
established in this final rule unless the
source can demonstrate that compliance
with the limit would either be
impossible as a technical matter or
result in an extreme economic
hardship—i.e., exceed the high end of
the cost-effectiveness estimates that
informed the EPA’s Step 3
determination of significant
contribution, as discussed in section V
of this document. The criteria that must
380 Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 316 and 319–320
(noting that any such deviation must be ‘‘rooted in
Title I’s framework’’ and ‘‘provide a sufficient level
of protection to downwind States’’).
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be met to qualify for a case-by-case limit
are designed to meet this statutory
mandate.
Comment: Several commenters raised
concerns about the EPA’s differing
applicability criteria for the various
non-EGU industries. Specifically, the
commenters questioned why EPA set
applicability criteria for engines in
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
and non-EGU boilers based on design
capacity instead of potential to emit
(PTE). Commenters also requested that
the EPA allow each non-EGU category
to rely on operating permits or other
federally enforceable instruments to
avoid being subject to the rule, such as
limits to the PTE or limits on fuels used.
Response: The 100 tpy PTE threshold
and comparable design capacity
thresholds of 1,000 horsepower (hp) for
engines and 100 mmBtu/hr for boilers
are appropriate to ensure that the final
rule reduces emissions from the most
impactful units. The EPA finds the
control technologies assumed to be
installed to meet the final emissions
limits would not be as readily available
or cost effective for emissions units with
PTE or design capacities lower than the
applicability thresholds in this final
rule.
With regard to the selection of design
capacity thresholds for boilers and
engines, the EPA finds that most RACT
requirements and other standards
reviewed by the EPA establish
applicability criteria for engines and
boilers based on design capacity rather
than PTE. We further explain our basis
for establishing applicability thresholds
based on design capacity for these two
source categories in sections VI.C.1. and
VI.C.5. For consistency with preexisting
requirements for engines and boilers
and to capture the sizes of units
identified in Step 3 of our analysis, the
EPA selected design capacities of 1,000
hp for engines and 100 mmBtu/hr for
boilers. The EPA recognizes that these
applicability thresholds captured more
units than the EPA intended,
particularly some low-use units.
Therefore, as explained in sections
VI.C.1 and VI.C.5., the EPA is
establishing exemptions for low-use
boilers and emergency engines, as well
as new emissions averaging provisions
for engines, to ensure that this final rule
focuses on larger, more impactful units.
The EPA also agrees with commenters
that the applicability criteria should
allow for sources to rely on enforceable
requirements that limit a source’s PTE
and is finalizing a regulatory definition
of PTE that is generally consistent with
the definitions of that term in the EPA’s
title V and NSR permit programs. See,
e.g., 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(iii), 70.2. In
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36819
constructing the list of potential sources
subject to the final rule, the EPA relied
on available information to identify the
PTE of the emissions units in the
various non-EGU industries that are
captured by the applicability criteria.
See Memo to Docket titled Summary of
Final Rule Applicability Criteria and
Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs. Thus, the EPA’s Step 3
analysis takes into account available
information about currently enforceable
emissions limits and physical and
operational limitations identified in
existing permits. The EPA finds it
necessary to define PTE consistent with
its use in the title V and NSR permit
programs to ensure that the
requirements of the final FIPs apply to
the most impactful units identified in
Step 3 of our analysis. However, to
ensure that these FIPs achieve the
emissions reductions necessary to
eliminate significant contribution or
interference with maintenance as
described in this final rule, the
applicability criteria for the Cement and
Concrete Manufacturing, Iron and Steel
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing, and
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
industries take into account only those
enforceable PTE limits in effect as of the
effective date of this final rule. Thus,
any emissions unit in these three
industries that has a PTE equal to or
greater than 100 tons per year and thus
meets the definition of an ‘‘affected
unit’’ as of August 4, 2023, will remain
subject to the applicable FIPs, without
regard to any PTE limit that the
emissions unit may subsequently
become subject to. Each affected unit in
these three industries must submit an
initial notification of applicability to the
EPA by December 4, 2023, that
identifies its PTE as of the effective date
of this final rule. Additionally, any
owner or operator of an existing
emissions unit that is not an affected
unit as of August 4, 2023, but
subsequently meets the applicability
criteria (e.g., due to a change in fuel use
that increases the unit’s PTE) will
become an affected unit subject to the
applicable requirements of this final
rule at that time.
Comment: In responding to the EPA’s
request for comment on whether some
non-EGU units would need to run
controls required by the final FIP yearround, one commenter anticipated that
control equipment would be operated as
necessary to achieve applicable
emissions limits, but that operational
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flexibility, cost considerations and
equipment longevity would warrant
operation of certain control equipment
on a schedule such that the equipment
would not be used when unnecessary to
meet emissions limits and/or outside of
ozone season (i.e., during winter
months). The commenter further
explained that flexibility in the
operation of certain control equipment
when unnecessary to meet emissions
limits will allow for routine
maintenance and repairs without
requiring variances or similar
exemptions from continuous operation
requirements.
Response: Based on the feedback
received during the public comment
period, the EPA is finalizing
requirements for non-EGU sources that
will apply only during the ozone
season, which runs annually from May
to September. As discussed in the
proposed rule, this is consistent with
EPA’s prior practice in Federal actions
to eliminate significant contribution of
ozone in the 1998 NOX SIP Call, CAIR,
CSAPR, CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update. In addition, the
EPA did not receive any information
during the public comment period
suggesting that sources would have to
run the necessary controls year-round
due to the nature of those controls. We
note, however, that certain emissionscontrol technologies, such as
combustion controls that are integrated
into the unit itself, would likely
function to reduce NOX emissions yearround as a practical engineering matter.
Comment: Regarding electronic
reporting through the Compliance and
Emissions Data Reporting Interface
(CEDRI), one commenter requested that
CEDRI reporting requirements be
consolidated in one location rather than
repeated in each section. Another
commenter requested that EPA include
electronic reporting requirements for
MWCs and specifically require that
MWCs report CEMS data to CEDRI.
Another commenter requested that EPA
allow for extensions of time for
electronic reports due to technical
glitches.
Response: To increase the ease and
efficiency of data submittal and data
accessibility, the EPA is finalizing, as
proposed, a requirement that owners
and operators of non-EGU sources
subject to the final FIPs, including
MWCs, submit electronic copies of
required initial notifications of
applicability, performance test reports,
performance evaluation reports,
quarterly and semi-annual reports, and
excess emissions reports through EPA’s
Central Data Exchange (CDX) using the
CEDRI. The final rule requires that
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performance test results collected using
test methods that are supported by the
EPA’s Electronic Reporting Tool (ERT)
as listed on the ERT website 381 at the
time of the test be submitted in the
format generated through the use of the
ERT or an electronic file consistent with
the XML schema on the ERT website
and that other performance test results
be submitted in portable document
format (PDF) using the attachment
module of the ERT. Similarly, the EPA
is finalizing a requirement that
performance evaluation results of CEMS
measuring relative accuracy test audit
(RATA) pollutants that are supported by
the ERT at the time of the test be
submitted in the format generated
through the use of the ERT or an
electronic file consistent with the XML
schema on the ERT website, and a
requirement that other performance
evaluation results be submitted in PDF
using the attachment module of the
ERT. The final rule also requires that
initial notifications of applicability,
annual compliance reports, and excess
emissions reports be submitted in PDF
uploaded in CEDRI.
Furthermore, the EPA is finalizing, as
proposed, provisions that allow owners
and operators to seek extensions of time
to submit electronic reports due to
circumstances beyond the control of the
owner or operator (e.g., due to a possible
outage in CDX or CEDRI or a force
majeure event) in the time just prior to
a report’s due date, as well as provisions
specifying how to submit such a claim.
Public commenters supported these
proposed provisions.
The EPA agrees with commenters that
the CEDRI reporting requirements could
be centralized and has moved the CEDRI
reporting requirements to 40 CFR 52.40.
1. Pipeline Transportation of Natural
Gas
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory
requirements for the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry
that apply to stationary, natural gasfired, spark ignited reciprocating
internal combustion engines
(‘‘stationary SI engines’’) within these
facilities that have a maximum rated
capacity of 1,000 hp or greater. Based on
our review of the potential emissions
from stationary SI engines, we find that
use of a maximum rated capacity of
1,000 hp reasonably approximates the
100 tpy PTE threshold used in the
Screening Assessment of Potential
Emissions Reductions, Air Quality
381 The ERT website is located at https://
www.epa.gov/electronic-reporting-air-emissions/
electronic-reporting-tool-ert.
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Impacts, and Costs from Non-EGU
Emissions Units for 2026, as described
in section V.B of this document.
The EPA is also modifying certain
provisions in response to public
comments to provide compliance
flexibilities for the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry
sector in order to focus emissions
reduction efforts on the highest emitting
units. Specifically, the EPA is finalizing
an exemption for emergency engines,
and establishing provisions that allow
any owner or operator of an affected
unit to propose a Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan that would, if approved
by EPA, provide an alternative means
for compliance with the emissions
limits in this final rule.
For purposes of this rule, the EPA is
clarifying and narrowing the definition
of ‘‘pipeline transportation of natural
gas’’ to mean the transport or storage of
natural gas prior to delivery to a local
distribution company custody transfer
station or to a final end-user (if there is
no local distribution company custody
transfer station). The revised definition
of this term in § 52.41(a) is consistent
with the EPA’s regulatory definition of
‘‘natural gas transmission and storage
segment’’ in 40 CFR 60.5430(a) (subpart
OOOOa, Standards of Performance for
Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities for
Which Construction, Modification, or
Reconstruction Commenced After
September 18, 2015).
The EPA is also adding definitions of
the terms ‘‘local distribution company’’
and ‘‘local distribution company
custody transfer station’’ that are
consistent with the definitions found in
40 CFR 98.400 (subpart NN, Suppliers
of Natural Gas and Natural Gas Liquids)
and 40 CFR 60.5430(a) (subpart OOOOa,
Standards of Performance for Crude Oil
and Natural Gas Facilities for Which
Construction, Modification, or
Reconstruction Commenced After
September 18, 2015), respectively.
Comment: Several commenters asked
EPA to exclude emergency engines in
the final rule and one commenter
recommended that the EPA revise the
definition of affected unit to specifically
exempt emergency engines.
Commenters stated that doing so would
not only be consistent with other
regulations applicable to stationary SI
engines, but it would also be more
consistent with EPA’s applicability
analysis, which assumes stationary SI
engines will operate for 7,000 hours a
year, something emergency engines are
prohibited from doing by Federal
regulation. Commenters also stated that
emergency generators are currently
exempt from requirements applicable to
non-emergency RICE covered by both
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the relevant NSPS rule (subpart JJJJ), as
well as the relevant NESHAP rule
(subpart ZZZZ), and that although the
NSPS and NESHAP standards EPA has
adopted for emergency RICE do not
limit the amount of time they may run
for emergency purposes, EPA has
recognized in the past that states may
assume a maximum of 500 hours of
operation to estimate the ‘‘potential to
emit’’ in issuing air permits for
emergency RICE. One commenter
asserted that emergency engines
operating under other standards
currently only operate for emergencies
or for a few hours at a time to
periodically conduct regular
maintenance, that their emissions are
low, and that their contribution to the
ozone transport issues EPA’s proposal
seeks to address is negligible. Another
commenter stated that the EPA has
traditionally exempted emergency
engines in past standards because the
EPA has typically found that the use of
add-on emissions controls cannot be
justified due to the cost of the
technology relative to the emissions
reduction that would be obtained.
Response: With respect to stationary
SI emergency engines, the EPA has
reviewed the information submitted by
the commenters and has decided to
exempt such engines from the
requirements of the final rule.
Exemption of emergency engines is
generally consistent with the EPA’s
treatment of emergency engines in other
CAA rulemakings. See, e.g., 40 CFR
63.6585(f). The EPA expects that this
change from the proposed rule
addresses the concerns expressed by the
commenters about the requirements for
stationary emergency engines.
The final rule defines emergency
engines as engines that are stationary
and operated to provide electrical power
or mechanical work during an
emergency situation. These engines are
typically used only a few hours per
year, and the costs of emissions control
are not warranted when compared to the
emissions reductions that would be
achieved.
In the final rule, emergency engines
are subject to certain compliance
requirements on a continuous basis.
Continuous compliance requirements
include operating limitations that apply
during non-emergency use but do not
include emissions testing of emergency
engines.
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Comment: Several commenters raised
concerns about the EPA’s proposal to
establish applicability criteria for
engines in Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas based on design capacity
rather than PTE. Other commenters
asserted that the horsepower rating of an
engine does not necessarily correspond
to its annual emissions and that engines
with a rated capacity of more than 1,000
hp in this industry sector may operate
at low load and/or infrequently and be
associated with limited NOX emissions.
One commenter stated that most of the
subject facilities in their state that have
natural gas fired SI engines with a
nameplate capacity rating of 1,000 hp or
greater have annual NOX emissions less
than 100 tpy, with nearly 25 percent of
them less than 25 tpy. The commenter
suggested that the 1,000 hp applicability
threshold would result in overcontrol.
According to one commenter, the EPA
has overestimated the emissions rates
and operating hours of engines with a
rated capacity of more than 1,000 hp
and thus underestimated the size of
pipeline RICE that would be expected to
emit more than 100 tpy of NOX
annually. According to this commenter,
only engines much larger than 1,000 hp
are likely to emit at the level EPA
deemed appropriate for regulation.
Another commenter suggested that
the EPA should use a 150 ton per year
threshold that the commenter alleges
was used in the Revised CSAPR Update
rulemaking so that stationary SI engines
are regulated on equal footing with
EGUs and raise the 1,000 hp threshold
to 2,000 hp, which according to the
commenter would not sacrifice the
emissions reductions to be achieved.
Response: As explained in the
proposal, the EPA found that most
RACT requirements and other standards
reviewed by the EPA establish
applicability criteria for engines based
on design capacity rather than PTE. For
consistency with preexisting
requirements for engines, the EPA
selected a design capacity of 1,000 hp
for engines to capture the sizes of units
identified in Step 3 of our analysis.
Based on the Non-EGU Screening
Assessment memorandum, engines with
a potential to emit of 100 tpy or greater
had the most significant potential for
NOX emissions reductions. The EPA
recognizes that the use of a 1,000 hp
design capacity as part of the
applicability criteria may capture low-
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use units and some units with emissions
of less than 100 tons per year. However,
it is also not possible to guarantee
without an effective emissions control
program that all such units could not
increase emissions in the future. As
discussed in section V of this document,
we continue to find that collectively
engines with a design capacity of 1,000
hp or higher in the states and industries
covered by this final rule emit
substantial amounts of NOX that
significantly contribute to downwind air
quality problems.
However, in response to concerns
raised by commenters while continuing
to ensure that this rule establishes an
effective emissions control program for
these units that is consistent with our
Step 3 determinations, the EPA is
establishing a compliance alternative
using facility-wide emissions averaging,
which will allow facilities to prioritize
emissions reductions from larger,
higher-emitting units. (As previously
discussed, we are also establishing an
exemption for emergency engines,
which also helps ensure that this final
rule focuses on larger, more impactful
units in this industry.) The facility-wide
emissions averaging alternative is
explained in the following paragraphs.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
In developing the emissions limits for
the Pipeline Transportation of Natural
Gas industry, the EPA reviewed RACT
NOX rules, air permits, and OTC model
rules. While some permits and rules
express engine emissions limits in parts
per million by volume (ppmv), the
majority of rules and source-specific
requirements express the emissions
limits in grams per horsepower per hour
(g/hp-hr). The EPA has historically set
emissions limits for these types of
engines using g/hp-hr and finds that
method appropriate for this final FIP as
well.
Based on the available information for
this industry, including applicable State
and local air agency rules and active air
permits issued to sources with similar
engines, the EPA is finalizing the
following emissions limits for stationary
SI engines in the covered states.
Beginning in the 2026 ozone season and
in each ozone season thereafter, the
following emissions limits apply, based
on a 30-day rolling average emissions
rate during the ozone season:
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TABLE VI.C–1—SUMMARY OF FINAL NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR PIPELINE TRANSPORTATION OF NATURAL GAS
Final NOX
emissions limit
(g/hp-hr)
Engine type and fuel
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Rich Burn .....................................................................................................................................
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Lean Burn ....................................................................................................................................
Natural Gas Fired Two Stroke Lean Burn .....................................................................................................................................
The EPA anticipates that, in some
cases, affected engines will need to
install NOX controls to comply with the
final emissions limits in Table VI.C–1.
The emissions limits for four stroke rich
burn engines, four stroke lean burn
engines and two stroke lean burn
engines are designed to be achievable by
installing Non-Selective Catalytic
Reduction (NSCR) on existing four
stroke rich burn engines; installing SCR
on existing four stroke lean burn
engines; and retrofitting layer
combustion on existing two stroke lean
burn engines as identified in the Final
Non-EGU Sectors TSD. Sources have the
flexibility to install any other control
technologies that enable the affected
units to meet the applicable emissions
limit on a continuous basis.
The EPA is establishing provisions
that allow any owner or operator of an
affected unit in the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas Industry
to propose a Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan that would, if approved by EPA,
provide an alternative means for
compliance with the emissions limits in
this final rule. These provisions will
provide some flexibility to owners and
operators of affected units to determine
which engines to control and at what
level, so long as the average emissions
across all covered units, on a weighted
basis, meet the applicable emissions
limits for each engine type. This
approach allows facilities to target the
most cost-effective emissions reductions
and to avoid installing controls on
equipment that is infrequently operated.
We provide a more detailed
discussion of the basis for the final
emissions limits and the anticipated
control technologies to be installed in
the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
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Four Stroke Rich Burn and Four Stroke
Lean Burn Engines
The EPA requested comment on
whether a lower emissions limit is
appropriate for four stroke rich burn
engines since even an assumed
reduction of 95 percent would result in
most engines being able to achieve an
emissions rate of 0.5 g/hp-hr. The EPA
also requested comment on whether a
lower or higher emissions limit is
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appropriate for four stroke lean burn
engines.
Comment: One commenter stated that
the limits as proposed were not
technically feasible in all circumstances.
The commenter explained that its
company has 150 four stroke rich burn
engines in its fleet and that some of
those engines cannot achieve the
proposed 1.0 g/hp-hr limit even with
both NSCR and layered combustion due
to the vintage design of the individual
cylinder geometry and the fact that most
of these engines are not in production
today, which limits availability of parts
and retrofit technologies. The
commenter asserted that 10 of its four
stroke rich burn engines have all
available controls on them and half of
those still exceed the proposed limits.
The commenter estimated that 10 of its
four stroke lean burn engines would
require SCR to meet the 1.5 g/hp-hr
limit and that this control installation
would require custom retrofit due to the
age of these engines. Furthermore, the
commenter stated that if current limits
are not achievable in all circumstances,
then lower limits are likewise
impossible for four stroke rich burn
engines and four stroke lean burn
engines in even more circumstances.
The commenter stated that the technical
feasibility of installing controls on any
single existing engine varies and
depends, in part, on site-specific and
engine-specific considerations such as
space for the installation of the control,
the availability of sufficient power, the
emissions reductions required to meet
the applicable standards, and the
vintage, make, and model of a particular
engine. Another commenter
recommended tightening the proposed
emissions standards for four stroke lean
burn engines to an emissions limit
similar to Colorado’s limit of 1.2 g/hphr. A third commenter noted that the
District of Columbia Department of
Energy and Environment has NOX
emissions limits for both rich- and lean
burn engines burning natural gas at 0.7
g/hp-hr.
Response: The EPA is finalizing the
emissions limits for both four stroke
rich burn engines and four stroke lean
burn engines as proposed but also
establishing alternative compliance
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1.0
1.5
3.0
provisions and criteria for establishing
case-by-case alternative emissions limits
in response to the concerns raised by
commenters. NSCR can achieve NOX
reductions of 90 to 99 percent, and
engines in California, Colorado,
Pennsylvania and Texas have achieved
the emissions limits that the EPA had
proposed. Based on this information
and the emissions limits and NOX
controls analysis developed by the OTC
in a report entitled Technical
Information Oil and Gas Sector
Significant Stationary Sources of NOX
Emissions (October 17, 2012), the EPA
is finalizing a 1.0 g/hp-hr emissions
limit for four stroke rich burn engines
and a 1.5 g/hp-hr emissions limit for
four stroke lean burn engines. The Final
Non-EGU Sectors TSD provides a more
detailed explanation of the basis for
these emissions limits.
To address the concerns raised by
some commenters that not all engines
may be able to achieve the emissions
limits as proposed due to engine vintage
and technical constraints, the final rule
allows any owner or operator of an
affected unit to request a Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan that would, if approved
by EPA, provide an alternative means
for compliance with the emissions
limits in the final rule. An approved
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan would
allow the owner or operator of the
facility to identify the most costeffective means for installing the
necessary controls (i.e., by installing
controls on the subset of engines that
provide the greatest emissions reduction
potential at lowest costs). In addition to
the Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
provisions, the final rule allows owners
and operators to seek EPA approval of
alternative emissions limits, on a caseby-case basis, where necessary due to
technical impossibility or to avoid
extreme economic hardship. The
provisions governing case-by-case
alternative limits are explained in more
detail in section VI.C of this document.
Two Stroke Lean Burn Engines
The EPA requested comment on
whether a lower emissions limit would
be achievable with layered combustion
alone for the two stroke lean burn
engines covered by this final rule. The
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EPA also sought comment on whether
these engines could install additional
control technology at or below the
marginal cost threshold to achieve a
lower emissions rate.
Comment: Commenters did not
specifically address whether a lower
emissions limit would be achievable
with layered combustion alone at two
stroke lean burn engines. However, one
commenter stated that older two stroke
lean burn engines generally would not
be able to achieve the proposed NOX
emissions limits. The commenter stated
that conversion kits are available for
several models that can reduce
emissions but that such kits are not
made for all models, especially older
stationary engines. Commenters further
stated that where conversion kits are not
available, a company would likely have
no choice but to replace the older four
stroke or two stroke stationary engines,
typically at a cost of $2 million to $4
million each.
Two commenters stated that they are
required by their state agency to have
RACT, BACT, or BART controls, at
minimum. Commenters stated that
requiring additional controls at facilities
already equipped with RACT, BACT or
BART control technologies would not
achieve the anticipated emissions
reductions due to operational factors
inherent in the preexisting and precontrolled equipment and that the
achievability of targeted control levels is
highly dependent upon a number of
variables at each facility.
Another commenter suggested that
the EPA set lower limits for two stroke
lean burn engines similar to the OTCrecommended limits in the range of 1.5–
2.0 g/hp-hr.
Response: Information currently
available to the EPA indicates that the
amount of emissions reductions
achievable with layered combustion
controls is unit specific and can range
from a 60 to 90 percent reduction in
NOX emissions. The EPA estimates that
existing uncontrolled two stroke lean
burn engines would need to reduce
emissions by up to 80 percent to comply
with a 3.0 g/hp-hr emissions limit. The
EPA has found that engines in
California, Colorado, Pennsylvania and
Texas have achieved these emissions
rates. Based on this information and the
emissions limits and NOX controls
analysis developed by the OTC in a
report entitled Technical Information
Oil and Gas Sector Significant
Stationary Sources of NOX Emissions
(October 17, 2012), the EPA is finalizing
a 3.0 g/hp-hr emissions limit for two
stroke lean burn engines. Although
some affected units may be able to
achieve a lower emissions rate, we find
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that a 3.0 g/hp-hr emissions limit
generally reflects a level of control that
is cost-effective for the majority of the
affected units and sufficient to achieve
the necessary emissions reductions. As
explained in the proposed rule and
expressed by public commenters, if the
EPA were to establish an emissions
limit lower than 3.0 g/hp-hr, some two
stroke lean burn engines would not be
able to meet the emissions limit with
the installation of layered combustion
control alone. In that case, the lower
limit might require the installation of
SCR, which the EPA did not find to be
cost-effective for two stroke lean burn
engines in its Step 3 analysis.382 The
Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD provides a
more detailed explanation of the basis
for this emissions limit.
In response to commenters’ concerns
about the difficulties involved in
retrofitting or replacing older stationary
engines to achieve the EPA’s proposed
emissions limit, the final rule allows
any owner or operator of an affected
unit to request a Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan that would, if approved
by EPA, provide an alternative means
for compliance with the emissions
limits in the final rule. In addition to the
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
provisions, the final rule allows owners
and operators to seek EPA approval of
alternative emissions limits, on a caseby-case basis, where necessary due to
technical impossibility or to avoid
extreme economic hardship. However,
in the context of older or ‘‘vintage,’’
high-emitting engines in this industry
for which commenters claim emissions
control technology retrofit is not
feasible, the Agency anticipates taking
into consideration the cost associated
with alternative compliance strategies,
such as replacement with new, far more
efficient and less polluting engines, in
evaluating claims of extreme economic
hardship.
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
The EPA is finalizing regulatory text
that provides for an emissions limit
compliance alternative using facilitylevel emissions averaging. An approved
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan will allow
the owner or operator of the facility to
average emissions across all
participating units and thus to select the
most cost-effective means for installing
the necessary controls (i.e., by installing
controls on the subset of engines that
provide the greatest emissions reduction
potential at lowest costs and avoiding
382 87 FR 20036, 20143 (noting that an emissions
limit below 3.0 g/hp-hr may require some two
stroke lean burn engines to install additional
controls beyond the EPA’s cost threshold).
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installation of controls on equipment
that is infrequently operated or
otherwise less cost-effective to control).
So long as all of the emissions units
covered by the Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan collectively emit less than or equal
to the total amount of NOX emissions (in
tons per day) that would be emitted if
each covered unit individually met the
applicable NOX emissions limitations,
the covered units will be in compliance
with the final rule. Under this
alternative compliance option, facilities
have the flexibility to prioritize
emissions reductions from larger, dirtier
engines.
Comment: Several commenters
recommended that the EPA promulgate
emissions averaging provisions, as it did
in the 2004 NOX SIP Call Phase 2 rule
(69 FR 21604), in which the EPA
evaluated and supported reliance on
emissions averaging for RICE in the
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
industry sector. The commenter stated
that the EPA’s guidance to states on
developing an appropriate SIP in
response to the SIP Call provided
companies the ‘‘flexibility’’ to use a
number of control options, as long as
the collective result achieved the
required NOX reductions, and that many
states built their revised SIPs around the
emissions averaging approach addressed
in this guidance document.383 One
commenter recommended that the EPA
allow intra-state emissions averaging
across all pipeline RICE owned or
operated by the same company. Another
commenter asserted that units of certain
vintages and units from certain
manufacturers will not be able to meet
the emissions rate limits the EPA had
proposed. The commenter claimed that,
absent a system based on source-specific
emissions limits, emissions averaging is
one of the only practical mechanisms
for addressing these challenges.
One commenter stated that it had
evaluated the cost of controls for
engines in its fleet and that the variety
in cost-per-ton for each potential project
counsels for a more flexible approach,
like an averaging program. Another
commenter advocated for an emissions
averaging plan that would allow an
engine-by-engine showing of economic
infeasibility to ensure a cost-effective
application of the emissions standards,
a reduced impact on natural gas
capacity, and a means for addressing the
problem presented by achieving
383 The commenter refers to an August 22, 2002
memorandum from Lydia N. Wegman, Director,
EPA, Air Quality Strategies and Standards Division
to EPA Air Division Directors, entitled ‘‘State
Implementation Plan (SIP) Call for Reducing
Nitrogen Oxides (NOX)—Stationary Reciprocating
Internal Combustion Engines.’’
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compliance on engines that are
technically impossible to retrofit.
One commenter stated that the EPA
should also consider allowing
companies to choose a mass-based
alternative that would ensure emissions
reductions align with the tons per year
reductions upon which the EPA based
its significant contribution and overcontrol analyses.
Response: Based upon the EPA’s 2019
NEI emissions inventory data, the EPA
estimates that a total of 3,005 stationary
SI engines are subject to the final rule.
The EPA recognizes that many low-use
engines are captured by the 1,000 hp
design capacity applicability threshold.
In the process of reviewing public
comments, the EPA reviewed emissions
averaging plans found in state air
quality rules for Colorado, Illinois,
Louisiana, New Jersey, and
Tennessee.384 Based on these additional
reviews, the EPA is finalizing in
§ 52.41(c) of this final rule an emissions
limit compliance alternative using
facility-level emissions averaging.
Emissions averaging plans will allow
facility owners and operators to
determine how to best achieve the
necessary emissions reductions by
installing controls on the affected
engines with the greatest emissions
reduction potential rather than on units
with lower actual emissions where the
installation of controls would be less
cost effective. The final rule defines
‘‘facility’’ consistent with the definition
of this term as it generally applies in the
EPA’s NSR and title V permitting
regulations,385 with one addition to
make clear that, for purposes of this
final rule, a ‘‘facility’’ may not extend
beyond the boundaries of the 20 states
covered by the FIP for industrial
sources, as identified in § 52.40(b)(2).
Because a facility cannot extend beyond
this geographic area, a Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan also cannot extend
beyond the 20-state area covered by the
FIP.
To estimate the number of facilities
that may take advantage of the Facility384 See Code of Colorado Regulations, Regulation
Number 7 (5 CCR 1001–9), Part E, Section I.D.5.c.,
Illinois Administrative Code, Title 35, Section
217.390, Louisiana Administrative Code, Title 33,
Section 2201, New Jersey Administrative Code,
Title 7, Chapter 27, Section 19.6, and Rules of the
Tennessee Dept. of Environment and Conservation,
Rule 1200–03–27–.09.
385 See 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(ii)(A), 51.166(b)(6)(i),
and 52.21(b)(6)(i) (defining ‘‘building, structure,
facility, or installation’’ for Nonattainment New
Source Review and Prevention of Significant
Deterioration permits) and Natural Resources
Defense Council v. EPA, 725 F.2d 761 (D.C. Cir.
1984) (vacating and remanding EPA’s categorial
exclusion of vessel activities from this definition);
see also 40 CFR 70.2 (defining ‘‘major source’’ for
title V operating permits).
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Wide Averaging Plan provisions, and
the number of affected units that would
install controls under such an emissions
averaging plan, the EPA conducted an
analysis on a subset of the estimated
3,005 stationary IC engines subject to
the final rule. The EPA evaluated the
reported actual NOX emissions data in
tpy from a subset of facilities in the
covered states using 2019 NEI data for
stationary IC engines with design
capacities of 1,000 hp or greater. The
EPA then identified a number of
facilities that have more than one
affected engine, calculated each
facility’s emissions ‘‘cap’’ as the total
NOX emissions (in tpy) allowed facilitywide based on the unit-specific NOX
emissions limits applicable to all
affected units at the facility, and
identified a number of higher-emitting
engines at each facility that were
candidates for having controls installed.
For engines that EPA identified were
likely to install controls, the EPA
assumed that four stroke rich burn
engines, four stroke lean burn engines,
and two stroke lean burn engines could
achieve a NOX emissions rate of 0.5 g/
hp-hr with the installation of SCR based
on data obtained from the Ozone
Transport Commission report entitled
Technical Information Oil and Gas
Sector Significant Stationary Sources of
NOX Emissions (October 17, 2012). For
the remaining engines identified as
uncontrolled, the EPA assumed a NOX
emissions rate of 16 g/hp-hr for all
engine types. Thus, under the assumed
averaging scenarios, engines with
controls installed would achieve
emissions levels below the emissions
limits in the final rule and would offset
the higher emissions from the remaining
uncontrolled units.
The EPA then calculated the total
facility-wide emissions (in tpy) under
various assumed averaging scenarios
and compared those totals to each
facility’s calculated emissions cap (in
tpy) to estimate the number of affected
units at each facility that would need to
install controls to ensure that total
facility-wide emissions remained below
the emissions cap. Based on these
analyses, the EPA found that emissions
averaging should allow most facilities to
install controls on approximately onethird of the engines at their sites, on
average, while complying with the
applicable NOX emissions cap on a
facility-wide basis. For a more detailed
discussion of the EPA’s analysis and
related assumptions, see the Final NonEGU Sectors TSD.
The Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
provisions that the EPA is finalizing
provide the flexibility needed to address
the concerns about the costs of
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emissions control installations for
certain stationary SI engines, by
allowing facility owners and operators
to average emissions across all
participating units and thus to select the
most cost-effective means for installing
the necessary controls (i.e., by installing
controls on the subset of engines that
provide the greatest emissions reduction
potential at lowest costs and avoiding
installation of controls on equipment
that is infrequently operated or
otherwise less cost-effective to control).
An owner or operator of a facility
containing more than one affected unit
may elect to use an EPA-approved
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan as an
alternative means of compliance with
the NOX emissions limits in § 52.41(c).
The owner or operator of such a facility
must submit a request to the EPA that,
among other things, specifies the
affected units that will be covered by
the plan, provides facility and unit-level
identification information, identifies the
facility-wide emissions ‘‘cap’’ (in tpd)
that the facility must comply with on a
30-day rolling average basis, and
provides the calculation methodology
used to demonstrate compliance with
the identified emissions cap. The EPA
will approve a request for a FacilityWide Averaging Plan if the EPA
determines that the facility-wide
emissions total (in tpd), based on a 30day rolling emissions average basis
during the ozone season, is less than the
emissions cap (in tpd) and the plan
establishes satisfactory means for
determining initial and continuous
compliance, including appropriate
testing, monitoring, and recordkeeping
requirements.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA is requiring owners and
operators of affected units to conduct
annual performance tests in accordance
with 40 CFR 60.8 to demonstrate
compliance with the NOX emissions
limit in this final rule. The EPA is also
requiring owners and operators to
monitor and record hours of operation
and fuel consumption and to use
continuous parametric monitoring
systems to demonstrate ongoing
compliance with the applicable NOX
emissions limit. For example, owners
and operators of engines that utilize
layered combustion controls will need
to monitor and record temperature, air
to fuel ratio, and other parameters as
appropriate to ensure that combustion
conditions are optimized to reduce NOX
emissions and assure compliance with
the emissions limit. For engines using
SCR or NSCR, owners and operators
must monitor and record parameters
such as inlet temperature to the catalyst
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and pressure drop across the catalyst.
For affected engines that meet the
certification requirements of
§ 60.4243(a), however, the facility-wide
emissions calculations may be based on
certified engine emissions standards
data pursuant to § 60.4243(a), instead of
performance tests.
In calculating the facility-wide
emissions total during the ozone season,
affected engines covered by the FacilityWide Averaging Plan must be identified
by each engine’s nameplate capacity in
horsepower, its actual operating hours
during the ozone season, and its
emissions rates in g/hp-hr from certified
engine data or from the most recent
performance test results for noncertified engines according to § 52.41(e).
Comment: Several commenters stated
that semi-annual performance testing
would not be appropriate due to its high
costs and limited benefits. One
commenter proposed a ‘‘step-down’’
testing alternative that could be
conducted after establishing an engine’s
initial compliance via performance
testing. Under this approach, owners
and operators would conduct one
performance test and would only need
to conduct a second performance test
within a given year if the first
performance test demonstrated that an
engine was not meeting the applicable
emissions standards.
Another commenter asserted that to
test all of its 950 units, a minimum of
12 months would be needed rather than
the six months the EPA had proposed to
provide (or five months if the EPA
would require one of the semi-annual
tests to be conducted during the ozone
season). The commenter stated that the
EPA had accounted for these
operational realities in the past and that
under the NSPS and NESHAP, testing is
generally required only once for every
8,760 hours of run time. The commenter
asserted that there is no reason to
require more frequent testing than those
required under the NSPS and NESHAP.
Several commenters requested that
the EPA allow for reduction in the
frequency of testing to once every two
years if testing shows that NOX
emissions are no more than 75 percent
of permitted NOX emissions limits. In
addition, several commenters stated that
since the rule is intended to address the
ozone season, a single, annual test is
more feasible than semi-annual testing
and reporting.
Response: For the stationary SI
engines subject to this final rule, the
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EPA is revising the frequency of
required performance tests from a semiannual basis to once per calendar year.
As commenters correctly pointed out,
the emissions limits in these final FIPs
only apply during the 5-month ozone
season and testing once per calendar
year should be sufficient to confirm the
accuracy of the parameters being
monitored to determine continuous
compliance during the ozone season.
The EPA also agrees with commenters
that the annual tests required under the
final rule need not occur during the
ozone season. However, where sources
are able to do so, we recommend
conducting a stack test in the period
relatively soon before the start of the
ozone season. This would provide the
greatest assurance that the emissions
control systems are working as intended
and the applicable emissions limit will
be met when the ozone season starts.
Comment: Commenters generally
stated that requiring CEMS would add
an unnecessary cost and complexity,
would provide no emissions reduction
benefit for the affected units the
proposed FIP intends to control and are
not warranted due to the availability of
other established methods of
compliance assurance, such as
parametric monitoring and periodic
testing. One commenter stated that
requiring CEMS would add unnecessary
CEMS testing obligations. Another
commenter stated that the costs
associated with CEMS and frequent
performance testing on affected RICE
would be as much, if not more, than the
costs associated with installation and
operation of some of the control
technologies EPA has considered in
setting the proposed emissions limits.
According to one commenter, the EPA
has traditionally agreed with this
viewpoint on the high cost of CEMS, as
most stationary engines are not
currently required under the NSPS or
NESHAP to install or operate CEMS.
Another commenter stated that in
addition to cost, there are other barriers
to installing CEMS on RICE across the
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
industry. Many RICE in the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry
are located at remote, unstaffed
locations, meaning that there would be
no staff available to respond and react
to communication or alarms from
CEMS.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the
costs associated with the installation
and maintenance of CEMS at affected
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36825
units in the Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas industry and agrees that it
is not necessary to require CEMS for
purposes of compliance with the
requirements of this final rule for this
industry. Accordingly, the EPA is not
finalizing requirements for affected
units in this industry sector to install or
operate CEMS. Instead, the EPA is
requiring parametric monitoring
protocols, as described earlier, coupled
with an annual performance test, which
will ensure that the emissions limits are
legally and practically enforceable on a
continuous basis, and that data are
recorded, reported, and can be made
publicly available, ensuring the ability
of state and Federal regulators and other
persons under CAA sections 113 and
304 to enforce the requirements of the
Act.
2. Cement and Concrete Product
Manufacturing
Applicability
For cement kilns in the Cement and
Cement Product Manufacturing
industry, the EPA is finalizing the
proposed applicability provisions
without change. The affected units in
this industry are cement kilns that emit
or have a PTE of 100 tpy or more of
NOX. The EPA received comments
regarding the definition of PTE, which
we address in section VI.C, but no
comments concerning the 100 tpy PTE
threshold for applicability purposes.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
As explained in the proposal, the EPA
based the proposed emissions limits for
cement kilns on the types of limits being
met across the nation in RACT NOX
rules, NSPS, air permits, and consent
decrees. Based on these requirements,
the EPA proposed emissions limits in
the form of mass of pollutant emitted (in
pounds) per kiln’s clinker output (in
tons), i.e., pounds of NOX emitted per
ton of clinker produced during a 30operating day rolling average period.
Further, the EPA proposed specific
emissions limits for long wet, long dry,
preheater, precalciner, and combined
preheater/precalciner kilns. The EPA
also proposed a daily source cap limit
that would apply to all units at a
facility. Based on information received
from public comments, the EPA is
removing the daily source cap limit but
finalizing the emissions limits as
proposed in all other respects, as shown
in Table VI.C–2.
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TABLE VI.C–2—SUMMARY OF NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR KILN TYPES IN CEMENT AND CONCRETE PRODUCT
MANUFACTURING
NOX emissions limit
(lb/ton of clinker)
Kiln type
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Long Wet ...............................................................................................................................................................................
Long Dry ................................................................................................................................................................................
Preheater ...............................................................................................................................................................................
Precalciner .............................................................................................................................................................................
Preheater/Precalciner ............................................................................................................................................................
Comment: Numerous commenters
raised concerns about designing a
source cap limit based on average
annual production in tons of clinker and
kiln type. Commenters stated that the
source cap limit equation as used in a
prior action applied to long wet and dry
preheater-precalciner or precalciner
kilns and did not include other kiln
types. Commenters expressed concern
that the CAP2015 Ozone Transport
equation the EPA proposed in this rule
could lead to artificially low and
restrictive daily emissions caps for
facilities that experienced a temporary
decrease in production due to the
COVID–19 pandemic, during the
historical three-year period proposed for
use in determining the NOX source cap.
Also, commenters expressed concern
that the proposed daily emissions cap
limit originated as a local or regional
limit for a single county and would not
be appropriate for national application
without further evaluation taking into
account the specific characteristics of
cement kilns in other states. One
commenter suggested more stringent
emissions limits than those the EPA had
proposed for individual kiln types.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing
the proposed daily source cap limit as
the Agency agrees with the commenters
that this proposed limit would be
unnecessarily restrictive and was based
on a formula that did not include all
kiln types. Given the unusual reduction
in cement production activities due to
the COVID–19 pandemic, production
rates during the 2019–2021 period are
not representative of cement plants
activities generally. Accordingly, use of
the proposed daily source cap limit
would result in an artificially restrictive
NOX emissions limit for affected cement
kilns, particularly when this sector
operates longer hours during the spring
and summer construction season. With
respect to those comments supporting
more stringent emissions limits than
those the EPA proposed for individual
kiln types, we disagree given the
significant differences among different
kilns in design, configuration, age, fuel
capabilities, and raw material
composition. The EPA finds that the
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ozone season emissions limits for
individual kiln types listed in Table
VI.C–2 will achieve the necessary
emissions reductions for purposes of
eliminating significant contribution as
defined in section V and is, therefore,
finalizing these emissions limitations
without change.
Comment: One commenter supported
retirement of existing long wet kilns and
replacement of these kilns with modern
kilns. Other commenters opposed the
phase out and retiring of these kilns,
stating that many of the screened kilns
have SNCR already installed and
questioning whether replacement of
existing long wet kilns is cost-effective.
Some commenters also stated that
according to EPA’s ‘‘NOX Control
Technologies for the Cement Industry,
Final Report,’’ SNCR is not an
appropriate NOX control technique for
long wet kilns.
Response: The EPA appreciates the
challenges identified by commenters,
such as site-specific technical
evaluation and review and significant
capital investment associated with
undertaking kiln conversions or to
install new kilns and is not finalizing
any requirements to replace existing
long wet kilns in this rule.
Comment: Several commenters
expressed concern about the supply
chain issues relevant to the
procurement, design, construction, and
installation of control devices, as well as
securing related contracts, for the
cement industry, particularly when
cement sources will be competing with
the EGU and other industrial sectors for
similar services. One commenter stated
that many preheater/precalciner kilns
are already equipped with SNCR and
that one facility not equipped with
SNCR is already meeting NOX emissions
levels of 1.95 lb/ton of clinker or less.
The commenter stated that the EPA
should revise its assessment of potential
NOX reductions and cost estimates by
accurately accounting for existing
operating efficiencies and control
devices at cement kilns.
Response: The EPA’s response to
comments on the time needed for
installation of controls for non-EGU
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4.0
3.0
3.8
2.3
2.8
sources is provided in section VI.A.
Regarding the comment that certain
facilities may already have SNCR
control technology installed, we
recognize that many sources throughout
the EGU sector and non-EGU industries
covered by this rule may already be
achieving enforceable emissions
performance commensurate with the
requirements of this action. This is
entirely consistent with the logic of our
4-step interstate transport framework,
which is designed to bring all covered
sources within the region of linked
upwind states up to a uniform level of
NOX emissions performance during the
ozone season. See EME Homer City, 572
U.S. at 519. Sources that are already
achieving that level of performance will
face relatively limited compliance costs
associated with this rule.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA received no comments on
the proposed test methods and
procedures provisions for the cement
industry. Therefore, we are finalizing
the proposed test methods and
procedures for affected cement kilns
without change.
Comment: Commenters generally
supported requiring performance testing
or installation of CEMS on affected
cement kilns. Some commenters
suggested that no performance testing
should be required and others suggested
that performance testing should only be
required when a title V permit is due for
renewal (every 5 years). One commenter
suggested requiring sources to conduct
stack tests during the ozone season.
Response: Affected kilns that operate
a NOX CEMS may use CEMS data
consistent with the requirements of 40
CFR 60.13 in lieu of performance tests
to demonstrate compliance with the
requirements of this final rule. For
affected kilns subject to this final rule
that do not employ NOX CEMS, the EPA
is adjusting the performance testing
frequency and requiring kilns to
conduct a performance test on an
annual basis during a given calendar
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year.386 The EPA finds that annual
performance testing and recordkeeping
of cement production and fuel
consumption during the ozone season
will assure compliance with the
emissions limits during the ozone
season (May through September) each
year for purposes of this rule. The
required annual performance test may
be performed at any time during the
calendar year. However, where sources
are able to do so, we recommend
conducting a stack test in the period
relatively soon before the start of the
ozone season. This would provide the
greatest assurance that the emissions
control systems are working as intended
and the applicable emissions limit will
be met when the ozone season starts.
Comment: One commenter stated that
CEMS has been used successfully at its
facility. Another commenter explained
that the inside of a cement kiln is an
extremely challenging environment for
making any kind of continuous
measurement as temperatures are high,
and there is a lot of dust and tumbling
clinker can damage in situ measuring
instruments.
Response: The majority of cement
kilns in the United States are already
equipped with CEMS. However, in
response to commenters concerns
regarding the installation of CEMS, the
EPA is finalizing alternative compliance
requirements in lieu of CEMS. Owners
or operators of affected emissions units
without CEMS installed must conduct
annual performance testing and
continuous parametric monitoring to
demonstrate compliance with the
emissions limits in this final rule.
Specifically, owners or operators of
affected units without CEMS must
monitor and record stack exhaust gas
flow rate, hourly production rate, and
stack exhaust temperature during the
initial performance test and subsequent
annual performance tests to assure
compliance with the applicable
emissions limit. The owner or operator
must then continuously monitor and
record those parameters to demonstrate
continuous compliance with the NOX
emissions limits.
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3. Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing
Applicability
The EPA is establishing emissions
control requirements for the Iron and
Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing source category that
apply to reheat furnaces that directly
emit or have the potential to emit 100
386 40 CFR 63.11237 ‘‘Calendar year’’ defined as
the period between January 1 and December 31,
inclusive, for a given year.
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tpy or more of NOX. After review of all
available information received during
public comment, the EPA has
determined that there is sufficient
information to determine that low-NOX
burners can be installed on reheat
furnaces. As explained further in the
Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, the EPA
identified 32 reheat furnaces with lowNOX burners installed and has
concluded that low-NOX burners are a
readily available and widely
implemented emissions reduction
strategy.387 This rule defines reheat
furnaces to include all furnaces used to
heat steel product—metal ingots, billets,
slabs, beams, blooms and other similar
products—to temperatures at which it
will be suitable for deformation and
further processing.
Comment: Several industry
commenters requested that the EPA not
include certain iron and steel emissions
units—including blast furnaces, basic
oxygen furnaces (BOFs), ladle and
tundish preheaters, annealing furnaces,
vacuum degassers, taconite kilns, coke
ovens, and electric arc furnaces
(EAFs)—in the final rule as proposed
due to, among other things, the
uniqueness of each emissions unit,
various design-related challenges, and
expected impossibility of successful
implementation of add-on NOX control
technology. Commenters expressed
concern about requirements to install
SCR for all iron and steel units for
which the EPA proposed emissions
limits. The commenters stated that iron
and steel units had not installed SCR
except in a few rare instances for
experimental reasons and that SCR
technology was not readily available or
known for the iron and steel industry,
unlike the control technologies expected
to be installed in other non-EGU
industries. Furthermore, commenters
stated that SCR had not been applied for
RACT, BACT, or LAER purposes on iron
and steel units.
Response: In light of the comments
we received on the complex economic
and, in some cases, technical challenges
associated with implementation of NOX
control technologies on certain
emissions units in this sector, the EPA
is not finalizing the proposed emissions
limits for blast furnaces, BOFs, ladle
and tundish preheaters, annealing
furnaces, vacuum degassers, taconite
kilns, coke ovens, or EAFs.
The EPA is aware of many examples
of low-NOX technology utilized at
furnaces, kilns, and other emissions
units in other sectors with similar
stoichiometry, including taconite kilns,
blast furnace stoves, electric arc
387 See
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36827
furnaces (oxy-fuel burners), and many
other examples at refineries and other
large industrial facilities. The EPA
anticipates that with adequate time,
modeling, and optimization efforts, such
NOX reduction technology may be
achievable and cost-effective for these
emissions units in the Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
sector as well. However, the data we
have reviewed is insufficient at this
time to support a generalized
conclusion that the application of NOX
controls, including SCR or other NOX
control technologies such as LNB, is
currently both technically feasible and
cost effective on a fleetwide basis for
these emission source types in this
industry. We provide a more detailed
discussion of the economic and
technical issues associated with
implementation of NOX control
technologies on these emissions units,
including information provided by
commenters, in section 4 of the Final
Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
Reheat furnaces are the only type of
emissions unit within the Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
industry that this final rule applies to.
Low-NOX controls (e.g., low-NOX
burners) are a demonstrated control
technology that many reheat furnaces
have successfully employed.
Comment: One commenter claimed
that the proposed definition of ‘‘reheat
furnaces’’ is overly vague and requested
that the EPA amend the definition.
Specifically, the commenter asserted
that the EPA’s proposed definition does
not indicate what counts as ‘‘steel
product’’ and whether this includes
only products that have already been
manufactured into some form before
being introduced to a reheat furnace, or
whether it also includes steel that has
never left the original production
process, such as hot steel coming
directly from a connected casting
process which has not yet been formed
into a definitive product. The
commenter referenced the definition of
reheat furnaces in Ohio’s RACT
regulations as an example to consider.
Response: In response to these
comments, the EPA is finalizing a
definition of reheat furnaces that is
consistent with the definition in Ohio’s
NOX RACT regulations. See Ohio
Admin. Code 3745–110–01(b)(35)
(March 25, 2022). Specifically, the EPA
is defining reheat furnaces to mean ‘‘all
furnaces used to heat steel product,
including metal ingots, billets, slabs,
beams, blooms and other similar
products, to temperatures at which it
will be suitable for deformation and
further processing.’’
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Emissions Control Requirements,
Testing, and Rationale
Based on the available information for
this industry, applicable Federal and
state rules, and active air permits or
enforceable orders issued to affected
facilities in the iron and steel and
ferroalloy manufacturing industry, the
EPA is finalizing requirements for each
facility with an affected reheat furnace
to design, fabricate and install highefficiency low-NOX burners designed to
reduce NOX emissions from preinstallation emissions rates by at least
40 percent by volume, and to conduct
performance testing before and after
burner installation to set emissions
limits and verify emissions reductions
from pre-installation emissions rates.
Each low-NOX burner shall be designed
to achieve at least 40 percent NOX
reduction from existing reheat furnace
exhaust emissions rates. Each facility
with an affected reheat furnace shall,
within 60 days of conclusion of the
post-installation performance test,
submit testing results to the EPA to
establish NOX emissions limits over a
30-day rolling average. Each proposed
emissions limit must be supported by
performance test data and analysis.
In evaluating potential emissions
limits for the Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry, the
EPA reviewed RACT NOX rules,
NESHAP rules, air permits and related
emissions tests, technical support
documents, and consent decrees. These
rules and source-specific requirements
most commonly express emissions
limits for this industry in terms of mass
of pollutant emitted (pounds) per
operating hour (hour) (i.e., pounds of
NOX emitted per production hour),
pounds per energy unit (i.e., million
British thermal unit (mmBtu)), or
pounds of NOX per ton of steel
produced. Regulated iron and steel
facilities, including facilities operating
reheat furnaces in this sector, routinely
monitor and keep track of production in
terms of tons of steel produced per hour
(heat rate) as it pertains to each facility’s
rate of iron and steel production.
Several facilities, including Steel
Dynamics, Columbia, Indiana,
Cleveland-Cliffs, Cleveland, Ohio, and
Cleveland-Cliffs, Burns Harbor, Indiana,
are already operating various types of
reheat furnaces with low-NOX burners
and achieving emissions rates as low as
0.11 lb/mmBtu of NOX. The EPA
identified at least nine reheat furnaces
with a PTE greater than 100 tpy,
including slab, rotary hearth, and
walking beam furnaces, that have
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installed low-NOX burners and are
achieving various emissions rates.388
Due to variations in the emissions
rates that different types of reheat
furnaces can achieve, the EPA is not
finalizing one emissions limit for all
reheat furnaces and is instead requiring
the installation of low-NOX burners or
equivalent low-NOX technology
designed to achieve a minimum 40
percent reduction from baseline NOX
emission levels, together with source
specific emissions limits to be set
thereafter based on performance testing.
Specifically, the final rule requires that
each owner or operator of an affected
unit submit to the EPA, within one year
after the effective date of the final rule,
a work plan that identifies the low-NOX
burner or alternative low-NOX
technology selected, the phased
construction timeframe by which the
owner or operator will design, install,
and consistently operate the control
device, an emissions limit reflecting the
required 40 percent reduction in NOX
emission levels, and, where applicable,
performance test results obtained no
more than five years before the effective
date of the final rule to be used as
baseline emissions testing data
providing the basis for the required
emissions reductions. If no such data
exist, then the owner or operator must
perform pre-installation testing to
establish baseline emissions data.
Comment: One commenter stated that
the standard practice for setting NOX
limits for iron and steel sources often
requires consideration of site or unitspecific issues. Similarly, another
commenter stated that a single limit
would not provide an adequate basis for
establishing NOX emissions limits that
will universally apply to multiple,
unique facilities. The same commenter
stated that NOX reduction in certain
furnaces is routinely achievable by
combustion controls or measures other
than SCR.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the
difficulty in crafting one emissions limit
for multiple iron and steel facilities and
units of varying size, age, and design, in
light of the unique issues associated
with varying unit types in this
particular industry. We also
acknowledge that in some cases, reheat
furnaces are equipped with recently
388 Specifically, through a review of title V
permits, the EPA identified reheat furnaces with
low-NOX burners installed at Steel Dynamics in
Columbia City, Indiana (two furnaces), Steel
Dynamics in Butler, Indiana (one furnace),
Cleveland Cliffs in Burns Harbor, Indiana (four
furnaces), Cleveland Cliffs in East Chicago, Indiana
(one furnace), and Cleveland Cliffs in Cleveland,
Ohio (one furnace). For a further discussion of the
limits and information on these facilities, see the
Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
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installed, high-efficiency low-NOX
burners. Many sources throughout the
EGU sector and non-EGU industries
covered by this rule may already be
achieving enforceable emissions
performance commensurate with the
requirements of this action. This is
entirely consistent with the logic of our
4-step interstate transport framework,
which is designed to bring all covered
sources within the region of linked
upwind states up to a uniform level of
NOX emissions performance during the
ozone season. See EME Homer City, 572
U.S. at 519. Sources that are already
achieving that level of performance will
face relatively limited compliance costs
associated with this rule.
The EPA is finalizing requirements for
reheat furnaces to install high-efficiency
low-NOX burners designed to reduce
NOX emissions from pre-installation
emissions rates by 40 percent by
volume, and to perform pre- and postinstallation performance testing at
exhaust outlets to determine rate-based
emissions limits for reheat furnaces in
lb/hour, lb/mmBtu, or lb/ton on a
rolling 30-operating day average.
Owners and operators of affected units
must also monitor NOX emissions from
reheat furnaces using CEMS or annual
performance testing and recordkeeping
and operate low-NOX burners in
accordance with work practice
standards set forth in the regulatory text.
Due to the many types of emissions
units within the Iron and Steel Mills
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry,
and the limited information available at
this time regarding NOX control options
that are achievable for these units, the
EPA is finalizing requirements only for
reheat furnaces at this time.
Comment: Commenters expressed
concern that the proposed emissions
limits identified both a 3-hour and a 30day averaging time for the same limits
and requested that the EPA clarify the
averaging time in the final rule.
Commenters requested that the EPA
finalize limits with a 30-day averaging
time consistent with the requirements
for other non-EGU industries.
Response: In determining the
appropriateness of 30-day rolling
averaging times, the EPA initially
reviewed the NESHAP for Iron and Steel
Foundries codified at 40 CFR part 63,
subpart EEEEE, the NESHAP for
Integrated Iron and Steel manufacturing
facilities codified at 40 CFR part 63,
subpart FFFFF, the NESHAP for
Ferroalloys Production: Ferromanganese
and Silicomanganese codified at 40 CFR
part 63, subpart XXX, and the NESHAP
for Ferroalloys Production Facilities
codified at 40 CFR part 63, subpart
YYYYYY. The EPA also reviewed
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various RACT NOX rules from states
located within the OTR, several of
which have chosen to implement OTC
model rules and recommendations.
Based on this information and the
information provided by public
commenters, the EPA is requiring a 30operating day rolling average period as
the averaging timeframe for reheat
furnaces. The EPA finds that a 30operating day rolling average period
provides a reasonable balance between
short term (hourly or daily) and long
term (annual) averaging periods, while
providing the flexibility needed to
address fluctuations in operations and
production.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA is finalizing requirements for
each owner or operator of an affected
unit in the Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry to
use CEMS or annual performance tests
and continuous parametric monitoring
to determine compliance with the 30day rolling average emissions limit
during the ozone season. Facilities
choosing to use CEMS must perform an
initial RATA per CEMS and maintain
and operate the CEMS according to the
applicable performance specifications in
40 CFR part 60, appendix B. Facilities
choosing to use testing and continuous
parametric monitoring for compliance
purposes must use the test methods and
procedures in 40 CFR part 60, appendix
A–4, Method 7E, or other EPA-approved
(federally enforceable) test methods and
procedures.
Comment: Several commenters raised
concerns with the requirement to install
and operate CEMS to monitor NOX
emissions. Commenters cited the high
relative costs of installing CEMS,
especially for smaller units with lower
actual emissions, and the complexities
with installing CEMS on mobile reheat
furnaces. Further, commenters
explained that due to the unique
configuration of certain facilities, it
would be impossible for a CEMS to
differentiate emissions from a reheat
furnace and other units, like waste heat
boilers. As an alternative to CEMS,
commenters requested that the EPA
finalize similar monitoring and
recordkeeping requirements as proposed
for the Cement and Concrete Product
Manufacturing industry in the proposed
rule, which allow for CEMS or
performance testing and recordkeeping.
Commenters explained that for reheat
furnaces that are natural gas-fired,
emissions can be tracked by relying on
vendor guarantees and emissions factors
and natural gas throughput.
Response: The EPA reviewed
comments received from the industry
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regarding their concerns of affected
units within the iron and steel mills and
ferroalloy manufacturing sector being
required to demonstrate compliance
through CEMS. The EPA acknowledges
the cost associated with the installation
and maintenance of CEMS to
demonstrate compliance with the
finalized emissions standards for reheat
furnaces. In this final rule, the EPA is
revising the compliance assurance
requirements to provide flexibility to
owners or operators of affected units.
Compliance may be demonstrated
through CEMS or annual performance
testing and continuous parametric
monitoring to demonstrate compliance
with the emissions limits in this final
rule. If an affected unit does not use
CEMS, the final rule requires the owner
or operator to monitor and record stack
exhaust gas flow rate, hourly production
rate, and stack exhaust temperature
during the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests to
assure compliance with the applicable
emissions limit. The owner or operator
must then continuously monitor and
record those parameters to demonstrate
continuous compliance with the NOX
emissions limits. Affected units that
operate NOX CEMS meeting specified
requirements may use CEMS data in
lieu of performance testing and
monitoring of operating parameters. For
sources relying on annual performance
tests and continuous parametric
monitoring to assure compliance, the
EPA is requiring that sources keep
records of production and fuel usage
during the ozone season to assure
compliance with the emissions limits on
a 30-day rolling average basis. To avoid
challenges in scheduling and
availability of testing firms, the annual
performance test required under this
final rule does not have to be performed
during the ozone season. However,
where sources are able to do so, we
recommend conducting a stack test in
the period relatively soon before the
start of the ozone season. This would
provide the greatest assurance that the
emissions control systems are working
as intended and the applicable
emissions limit will be met when the
ozone season starts.
4. Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory
requirements for the Glass and Glass
Product Manufacturing source category
that apply to furnaces that directly emit
or have a PTE of 100 tpy or more of
NOX. For this industry, the EPA is
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finalizing the proposed applicability
provisions without change.
Comment: One commenter requested
that the applicability threshold for glass
manufacturing furnaces should be based
on a unit’s design production capacity
instead of the proposed applicability
criteria (i.e., units that directly emit or
have the potential to emit 100 TPY or
more of NOX). The commenter stated
that the production capacity for glass
manufacturing furnaces is a more
relevant basis for applicability and
would focus the EPA analysis on costeffective regulations.
Response: During the EPA’s
development of the proposed emissions
limits, the EPA reviewed the
applicability provisions in various state
RACT NOX rules, air permits, consent
decrees, and Federal regulations
applicable to glass manufacturing
furnaces. Most of these applicability
provisions were expressed in terms of
actual emissions or PTE. Given the
significant differences in the types,
designs, configurations, ages, and fuel
capabilities among glass furnaces, and
differences in raw material
compositions within the sector, the EPA
finds that applicability criteria based on
emissions or potential to emit are the
most appropriate way to capture higheremitting glass manufacturing furnaces
that contribute NOX emissions to
downwind receptors.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
The EPA is finalizing the proposed
NOX emissions limits for furnaces
within the Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing industry, except that for
flat glass manufacturing furnaces the
EPA is finalizing an emissions limit
slightly lower than the limit we had
proposed, based on a correction to a
factual error in our proposal. For further
discussion of the basis for the form and
level of the final emissions limits, see
the proposed rule, 87 FR 20036, 20146
(April 6, 2022) (discussing EPA review
of state RACT rules, NSPS, and other
regulations applicable to the Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing industry).
Several comments supported the EPA’s
effort to regulate sources within the
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
industry but also requested that the EPA
establish more stringent emissions
limits for this industry.
Comment: One commenter stated that
NOX emissions from the Glass and Glass
Product Manufacturing industry are not
currently subject to any Federal NSPS
and that the industry is expected to
grow in the coming years. The
commenter stated that while the EPA’s
proposed limits on glass furnaces fell
within the ranges of limits required by
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various states and air districts, they fell
at the weakest levels within those
ranges. For example, the commenter
stated that the EPA had proposed a 4.0
lb/ton NOX emissions limit for container
glass manufacturing furnaces, while
state and local NOX emissions limits for
these emissions units range from 1 to 4
lb/ton. Similarly, the commenter stated
that the EPA had proposed a 4.0 lb/ton
NOX emissions limit for pressed/blown
glass manufacturing furnaces, while
state and local NOX emissions limits for
these emissions units range from 1.36 to
4 lb/ton, and that EPA had proposed a
9.2 lb/ton NOX emissions limit for flat
glass manufacturing furnaces, while
state NOX emissions limits for these
emissions units range from 5–9.2 lb/ton.
The commenter urged the EPA to
establish emissions limits lower than
those the EPA had proposed.
Response: The EPA is finalizing the
emissions limits for affected units in the
glass and glass product manufacturing
industry as proposed for all but flat
glass manufacturing furnaces, for which
the EPA is finalizing a slightly lower
emissions limit to reflect a correction to
a factual error in our proposal. During
the EPA’s development of the proposed
emissions limits, the EPA reviewed the
control requirements or
recommendations and related analyses
in various RACT NOX rules, air permits,
Alternative Control Techniques (ACT)
documents, and consent decrees to
determine the appropriate NOX
emissions limits for the different types
of glass manufacturing furnaces. Based
on these reviews and given the
significant differences in the types,
designs, configurations, ages, and fuel
capabilities among glass furnaces, and
differences in raw material
compositions within the sector, the EPA
has concluded that it is appropriate to
finalize the emissions limits for this
industry as proposed, except for the
limit proposed for flat glass
manufacturing furnaces. For flat glass
manufacturing furnaces, the EPA had
proposed a NOX emissions limit of 9.2
pounds (lbs) per ton of glass pulled but
is finalizing a limit of 7.0 lbs/ton of
glass pulled on a 30-day rolling average
basis. This is based on our review of
specific state RACT NOX regulations
that contain a 9.2 lbs/ton limit averaged
over a single day but contain a 7.0 lbs/
ton limit over a 30-day averaging period.
This change aligns the final limit for flat
glass manufacturing furnaces with the
correct averaging time and is consistent
with both the state RACT regulations
that we reviewed 389 and our evaluation
of cost-effective controls for this
industry in the supporting documents
for the proposed and final rule.
The EPA acknowledges that NOX
emissions from some glass
manufacturing furnaces are subject to
control under other regulatory
programs, such as those adopted by
states to meet CAA RACT requirements,
and that some of these programs have
implemented more stringent emissions
limits than those the EPA is finalizing
in these FIPs. However, as noted in the
preamble to the proposed rule and
related TSD, many OTR states do not
establish specific NOX emissions limits
for glass manufacturing sources.390 See
87 FR 20146. In addition to state RACT
rules, air permits, ACT documents, and
consent decrees applicable to this
industry, the EPA reviewed reports and
recommendations from the National
Association of Clean Air Agencies
(NACAA), the European Union
Commission, and EPA’s Menu of
Control Measures (MCM) to identify
potentially available control measures
for reducing NOX emissions from the
glass manufacturing industry. The EPA
also reviewed permit data for existing
glass manufacturing furnaces to identify
control devices currently in use at these
sources. Based on these reviews, we
find that the final emissions limits for
the Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing industry provided in
Table VI.C.3–1 generally reflect a level
of control that is cost-effective for the
majority of the affected units and
sufficient to achieve the necessary
emissions reductions. The Final NonEGU Sectors TSD provides a more
detailed explanation of the basis for
these emissions limits.
TABLE VI.C.3–1—SUMMARY OF FINALIZED NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR FURNACE UNIT TYPES IN GLASS AND GLASS
PRODUCT MANUFACTURING
NOX emissions limit
(lbs/ton of glass
produced,
30 operating-day
rolling average)
Furnace type
Container Glass Manufacturing Furnace ...............................................................................................................................
Pressed/Blown Glass Manufacturing Furnace or Fiberglass Manufacturing Furnace ..........................................................
Flat Glass Manufacturing Furnace ........................................................................................................................................
Comment: Numerous commenters
urged the EPA to provide additional
flexibilities, alternative NOX emissions
limits, or exceptions to the NOX
emissions limits for glass manufacturing
furnaces during periods of startup,
shutdown and idling. Commenters
requested that the EPA consider
excluding days with low glass pull (e.g.,
abnormally low production rate),
furnace start-up days, furnace
maintenance days, and malfunction
days from the definition of ‘‘operating
day’’ to allow for exclusion of these
days from the calculation of an
emissions unit’s 30-operating day
rolling average emissions. The
commenters argued that because the
glass furnace temperature is much lower
during these periods than they are
during normal operating conditions, it
would be technologically infeasible to
equip furnaces with NOX control
devices including SCR. Commenters
also stated that because control
equipment cannot be operated during
these periods without damaging the
equipment, it would be very difficult or
impossible to meet the proposed NOX
limits during these periods.
Response: After review of the
comments received and the EPA’s
assessment of current practices within
389 For example, Pennsylvania’s RACT NO
X
emission limits for flat glass furnaces are 7.0 lbs of
NOX per ton of glass produced on 30-day rolling
average. See Title 25, Part I, Subpart C, Article III,
Section 129.304, available at https://casetext.com/
regulation/pennsylvania-code-rules-andregulations/title-25-environmental-protection/parti-department-of-environmental-protection/subpartc-protection-of-natural-resources/article-iii-airresources/chapter-129-standards-for-sources/
control-of-nox-emissions-from-glass-meltingfurnaces/section-129304-emission-requirements.
390 See Proposed Non-EGU Sectors TSD at 56,
EPA–HQ–OAR–2021–0668–0145.
Alternative Emissions Standards During
Periods of Start-Up, Shutdown, and
Idling
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4.0
7.0
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the glass manufacturing industry, the
EPA is establishing provisions for
alternative work practice standards and
emissions limits that may apply in lieu
of the emissions limits in § 52.44(c)
during periods of start-up, shutdown,
and idling. The emissions limits for
glass melting furnaces in § 52.44(c) do
not apply during periods of start-up,
shutdown, and/or idling at affected
units that comply instead with the
alternative requirements for start-up,
shutdown, and/or idling periods
specified in § 52.44(d), (e), and/or (f),
respectively. The EPA has modeled
these alternative requirements that
apply during startup, shutdown, and
idling to some extent on State RACT
requirements identified by
commenters.391 These alternative work
practice standards adequately address
the seven criteria that the EPA has
recommended states consider when
establishing appropriate alternative
emissions limitations for periods of
startup and shutdown.392 We provide a
more detailed evaluation of these
provisions in the TSD supporting this
final rule.
Specifically, each owner or operator
of an affected unit seeking to comply
with alternative work practice standards
in lieu of emissions limits during
startup or shutdown periods must
submit specific information to the
Administrator no later than 30 days
prior to the anticipated date of startup
or shutdown. The required information
is necessary to ensure that the furnace
will be properly operated during the
startup or shutdown period, as
applicable. The final rule establishes
limits on the number of days when the
owner or operator may comply with
alternative work practice standards in
lieu of emissions limits during startup
and shutdown, depending on the type of
glass furnace. Additionally, the owner
or operator must maintain operating
records and additional documentation
as necessary to demonstrate compliance
with the alternative requirements during
startup or shutdown periods. For
startups, the owner or operator must
place the emissions control system in
391 See Pennsylvania Code, Title 25, Part I,
Subpart C, Article III, Sections 129.305–129.307
(effective June 19, 2010), available at https://
www.pacodeandbulletin.gov/Display/pacode?file=/
secure/pacode/data/025/chapter129/
chap129toc.html&d=reduce and San Joaquin Valley
Unified Air Pollution Control District, Rule 4354,
‘‘Glass Melting Furnaces,’’ sections 5.5–5.7
(amended May 19, 2011), available at https://
www.valleyair.org/rules/currntrules/R4354
%20051911.pdf.
392 See 80 FR 33840, 33914 (June 12, 2015)
(identifying the EPA’s recommended criteria for
developing and evaluating alternative emissions
limitations applicable during startup and
shutdown).
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operation as soon as technologically
feasible to minimize emissions. For
shutdowns, the owner or operator must
operate the emissions control system
whenever technologically feasible to
minimize emissions.
For periods of idling, the owner or
operator of an affected unit may comply
with an alternative emissions limit
calculated in accordance with a specific
equation to limit emissions to an
amount (in pounds per day) that reflects
the furnace’s permitted production
capacity in tons of glass produced per
day. Additionally, the owner or operator
must maintain operating records as
necessary to demonstrate compliance
with the alternative emissions
limitations during idling periods.
During idling, the owner or operator
must operate the emissions control
system to minimize emissions whenever
technologically feasible.
All-Electric Glass Furnaces
The EPA solicited comment on
whether it is feasible or appropriate to
phase out and retire existing glass
manufacturing furnaces in the affected
states and replace them with more
energy efficient and less emitting units
like all-electric melter installations. The
EPA also requested comment on the
time needed to complete such a task.
All-electric melters are glass melting
furnaces in which all the heat required
for melting is provided by electric
current from electrodes submerged in
the molten glass.393 The EPA received
numerous comments from the glass
industry regarding their concerns with
replacing an existing glass
manufacturing furnace with an allelectric melter. The commenters stated
that various operational restrictions
present within all-electric furnaces
prevent these units from being
implemented throughout the industry,
including limited glass production
output, reduced glass furnace life, and
increased glass plant operating cost due
to high levels of electric current usage.
Based on the EPA’s review of comments
submitted on this issue, the EPA has
decided not to establish any
requirements to replace existing glass
manufacturing furnaces with all-electric
furnaces at this time. We provide in the
following paragraphs a summary of the
comments and the EPA’s responses
thereto.
Comment: One commenter stated that
the lifetime of an all-electric glass
melting furnace is only about three to
five years before it must be rebricked,
compared to well-maintained natural
gas or hybrid furnace that may be
393 See
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36831
operated continuously for as long as
fifteen to twenty years between
rebricking events. The commenter also
states that electric furnaces for
manufacture of glass containers are
limited to a maximum glass production
of about 120 tons per day, which is a
stark contrast to large natural gas fired
glass melting furnaces, which are
capable of producing over 400 tons of
glass per day. The commenter also
stated that the cullet percentage is
greatly reduced in all-electric furnaces
which increases energy consumption in
the affected facility.
Response: At proposal, the EPA
solicited comment on whether it is
feasible or appropriate for owners or
operators of existing glass
manufacturing furnaces to phase out
and retire their units and replace them
with less emitting units like all-electric
furnace installations. As explained in
the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, over
the last few decades the demand for flat,
container, and pressed/blown glass has
continued to grow annually. Nitrogen
oxides remain one of the primary air
pollutants emitted during the
production and manufacturing of glass
products. However, no current Federal
CAA regulation controls NOX emissions
from the industry on a category-wide
basis.394 Therefore, the glass
manufacturing industry has conducted
various pollution prevention and
research efforts to help identify
preferred techniques for the control of
NOX. Some of these studies revealed
recent trends to control NOX emissions
in the glass industry, including the use
of all-electric glass furnaces. We
understand based on the comments
received from the glass manufacturing
industry that significant differences
exist in the design, configuration, age,
and replacement cost of glass furnaces
and in the feasibility of controls and raw
material compositions. These
differences as well as the production
limitations present with all-electric
furnaces create difficulties in
implementing all-electric furnaces
across the industry while keeping up
with glass product demands. Therefore,
the EPA is not mandating any
requirement for owners or operators of
existing glass manufacturing furnaces to
replace their units with all-electric
furnaces.
Combustion Modification and PostCombustion Modification Control
Devices
According to the EPA’s ‘‘Alternative
Control Techniques Document—NOX
Emissions from Glass
394 See
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Manufacturing,’’ 395 glass manufacturing
furnaces may utilize combustion
modifications equivalent to low-NOX
burners and oxy-firing. At proposal, the
EPA solicited comments on whether it
is feasible or appropriate to require
sources with existing glass
manufacturing furnaces in affected
states that currently utilize these
combustion modifications to add or
operate a post-combustion
modifications control device like SNCR
or SCR to further improve their NOX
removal efficiency. The EPA received
numerous comments from the glass
industry that detailed the differences
present in glass furnace designs,
operations and finished product that
influenced the type of combustion
modification or post-combustion
modification control device that is
feasible for such unit. Several
commenters have requested that the
EPA focus on establishing an emissions
limit rather than specifying the use of a
particular control technology given the
significant differences across glass
furnaces. As a result of the comments
received, the EPA is not specifically
requiring affected units to install
combustion modification and postcombustion controls to meet the
finalized emissions limits. The EPA is
finalizing the emissions limits as
proposed, which may be met with
combustion modifications (e.g., lowNOX burners, oxy-firing), process
modifications (e.g., modified furnace,
cullet preheat), and/or post-combustion
controls (SNCR or SCR) and thus
provide sources some flexibility to
choose the control technology that
works best for their unique
circumstances.
Comment: Multiple commenters
responded to EPA’s request for
comments by stating it is unnecessary
and unhelpful for the proposed rule to
specify use of particular postcombustion control device. The
commenters note that various flat glass
furnaces have a variety of combustion
and post-combustion control options.
Each furnace is different in its design,
operations, and finished product
produced. The commenters state that it
is more appropriate for EPA to establish
an emissions limit in the proposed rule
than it is for the EPA to specify use of
a particular control technology.
Response: In response to these
comments, the EPA is not establishing
any requirements for affected units to
install specific control technologies to
meet the emissions limits. The EPA is
395 EPA, Alternative Control Techniques
Document—NOX Emissions from Glass
Manufacturing, EPA–453/R–94–037, June 1994.
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finalizing the limits as proposed to offer
sources some flexibility to choose the
control technology that works best for
their unique circumstances.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA proposed to require owners
or operators of an affected facility that
is subject to the NOX emissions
standards for glass manufacturing
furnaces to install, calibrate, maintain
and operate a CEMS for the
measurement of NOX emissions
discharged. The EPA also solicited
comments on alternative monitoring
systems or methods that are equivalent
to CEMS to demonstrate compliance
with the emissions limits. The EPA
received numerous comments from the
glass industry expressing concern with
any requirement to use CEMS at affected
units. After review of the comments
received and EPA’s assessment of
practices conducted within the glass
manufacturing industry, the EPA is
finalizing compliance assurance
requirements that allow affected glass
manufacturing furnaces to demonstrate
compliance through annual testing or
use CEMS, or similar alternative
monitoring system data in lieu of a
performance test. The EPA is also
establishing recordkeeping provisions
that require owners or operators of
affected units to conduct parametric
monitoring of fuel use and glass
production during performance testing
to assure continuous compliance on a
30-operating day rolling average.
Comment: Commenters representing
the glass industry stated that a
requirement to install and operate
CEMS would present significant costs
and technical complexities in a
situation where emissions can be
effectively monitored using stack testing
rather than continuous monitoring.
Commenters also objected to the EPA’s
proposal to require CEMS together with
semi-annual stack testing. Commenters
stated that a requirement to both operate
CEMS and conduct semi-annual testing
would be unnecessary and excessive
and would not provide commensurate
benefit unless a facility’s emissions are
near or above the proposed emissions
limit. Commenters requested that
owners or operators of affected units be
allowed to use alternative monitoring
systems, e.g., parametric emissions
monitoring. The commenters stated that
parametric monitoring requires less
initial and ongoing manpower
requirements, has lower capital and
operating costs than CEMS, does not
require spare parts, and is accurate over
a mapped range.
Response: The EPA is establishing
compliance assurance requirements that
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provide flexibility to owners or
operators of affected units. Compliance
with the emissions limits in this final
rule may be demonstrated through
CEMS or via annual performance test
and continuous parametric monitoring.
If an affected unit does not use CEMS,
the final rule requires the owner or
operator to monitor and record stack
exhaust gas flow rate, hourly production
rate, and stack exhaust temperature
during the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests to
assure compliance with the applicable
emissions limit. The owner or operator
must then continuously monitor and
record those parameters to demonstrate
continuous compliance with the NOX
emissions limits. Affected units that
operate NOX CEMS meeting specified
requirements may use CEMS data in
lieu of performance testing and
monitoring of operating parameters. To
avoid challenges in scheduling and
availability of testing firms, the annual
performance test required under this
final rule does not have to be performed
during the ozone season.
5. Boilers at Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills, Iron and Steel
and Ferroalloys Manufacturing, and
Metal Ore Mining facilities
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory
requirements for the Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
industry, Basic Chemical Manufacturing
industry, Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing industry, Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills industry, and the
Metal Ore Mining industry that apply to
boilers that have a design capacity of
100 mmBtu/hr or greater. The Non-EGU
Screening Assessment memorandum
developed in support of Step 3 of our
proposal identified emissions from large
boilers in certain industries (i.e., those
projected to emit more than 100 tpy of
NOX in 2026) as having adverse impacts
on downwind receptors. As discussed
in the proposed rule, we developed
applicability criteria for boilers based on
design capacity (i.e., heat input), rather
than on potential emissions, because
use of a boiler design capacity of 100
mmBtu/hr reasonably approximates the
100 tpy threshold used in the Non-EGU
Screening Assessment memorandum to
identify impactful boilers. In this final
rule, we are establishing the heat inputbased applicability criteria described in
our proposal, with some adjustments as
explained further in this section.
Additionally, we have determined that
boilers meeting these applicability
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criteria exist within the following five
industries: Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills, Metal Ore
Mining, and Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing.
As we explained in the proposed rule,
the potential emissions from industrial
boilers with a design capacity of 100
mmBtu/hr or greater burning coal,
residual or distillate oil, or natural gas
can equal or exceed the 100 tpy
threshold that we used to identify
impactful boilers within the Non-EGU
Screening Assessment memorandum.
We are finalizing NOX emissions limits
that apply to boilers with design
capacities of 100 mmBTU/hr or greater
located at any of the five identified
industries in any of the 20 covered
states with non-EGU emissions
reduction obligations. In response to
comments on our proposed rule,
however, the EPA is finalizing a low-use
exemption for industrial boilers that
operate less than 10 percent per year
and provisions for EPA approval of
alternative emissions limits on a caseby-case basis, where specific criteria are
met. Additionally, only boilers that
combust, on a BTU basis, 90 percent or
more of coal, residual or distillate oil,
natural gas, or combinations of these
fuels are subject to the requirements of
these final FIPs.
The EPA has determined that boilers
meeting the applicability criteria of this
section exist within the five industrial
sectors identified in Table VI.C.5–1:
TABLE VI.C.5—1: NON-EGU INDUSTRIES WITH LARGE BOILERS AND ASSOCIATED NAICS CODES
Industry
NAICS code
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Basic Chemical Manufacturing ......................................................................................................................................................
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing ...............................................................................................................................
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills ...............................................................................................................................................
Iron and Steel and Ferroalloys Manufacturing ..............................................................................................................................
Metal Ore Mining ...........................................................................................................................................................................
Comment: Several commenters
requested that the EPA establish PTEbased applicability criteria for boilers as
it had proposed to do for other non-EGU
sectors and stated that using heat input
as the basis for determining
applicability would result in lowemitting boilers being subject to the
final rule’s control requirements.
Commenters stated that the EPA should
provide a low-use exemption for
infrequently run units because these
units produce a lower amount of
emissions.
Response: The EPA is finalizing
applicability criteria for boilers based on
boiler design capacity for a number of
reasons. First, Federal emissions
standards applicable to boilers 396 and
all of the state RACT rules that we
reviewed contain applicability criteria
based on boiler design capacity. Second,
as explained in the Final Non-EGU
Sectors TSD, most boilers with design
capacities of 100 mmBTU/hr or greater
that are fueled by coal, oil, or gas have
the potential to emit 100 tpy or more of
NOX. Thus, use of a boiler design
capacity of 100 mmBtu/hr for
applicability purposes reasonably
approximates the 100 tpy threshold
used in the Non-EGU Screening
Assessment memorandum to identify
impactful boilers. Finally, use of a
boiler’s design capacity for applicability
purposes facilitates applicability
determinations given that a boiler’s
design capacity is, in most cases, clearly
396 See, e.g., 40 CFR 60.44b (subpart Db,
Standards of Performance for IndustrialCommercial-Institutional Steam Generating Units).
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indicated by the manufacture on the
unit’s nameplate.
In response to the comments
expressing concern that infrequentlyoperated boilers would be captured by
the EPA’s proposed applicability
criteria, the EPA is finalizing a low-use
exemption for industrial boilers that
operate less than 10 percent per year on
an hourly basis, based on the three most
recent years of use and no more than 20
percent in any one of the three years.
Such boilers will be exempt from the
emissions limits in these FIPs provided
they operate less than 10 percent per
year, on an hourly basis, based on the
three most recent years of use and no
more than 20 percent in any one of the
three years, but will have recordkeeping
obligations. The EPA finds it
appropriate to exempt such low-use
boilers from the emissions limits in this
final rule because the amount of air
pollution emitted from a boiler is
directly related to its operational hours,
and installation of controls on
infrequently operated units results in
reduced air quality benefits.
Comment: Commenters asked
whether the EPA’s proposed emissions
limits for boilers would apply to
emissions units that burn fuels other
than coal, residual or distillate oil, or
natural gas. For example, one
commenter stated that some biomass
boilers start up by co-firing oil or gas
and that some NOX controls such as
low-NOX burners (LNB) cannot be used
on biomass boilers. The commenter
requested clarification on whether
boilers burning biomass would be
covered by the EPA’s proposed
requirements. Other commenters noted
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3251xx
3241xx
3221xx
3311xx
2122xx
that some industrial boilers burn natural
gas in conjunction with other gaseous
fuels, such as hydrogen/methane off-gas
and vent gas from various on-site
processes, and may not be able to meet
the EPA’s proposed 0.08 lb/mmBtu NOX
emissions limit for boilers burning
natural gas. One commenter stated that
it operated a boiler that burns hazardous
waste and is subject to 40 CFR part 63,
subpart EEE, National Emission
Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants
from Hazardous Waste Combustors, and
that this boiler uses natural gas for startup and at other times to stabilize
operations but also combusts other fuels
such as liquid waste. The commenter
asserted that such boilers should not be
covered by the final rule.
Response: In recognition and
consideration of comments received on
our proposal, the EPA is finalizing
requirements for boilers that apply only
to boilers burning 90 percent or more
coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural
gas or combinations of these fuels on a
heat-input basis. Public commenters
presented information indicating that
the burning of fuels other than coal,
residual or distillate oil, or natural gas
at levels exceeding 10 percent may
interfere with the functions of the
control technologies that may be
necessary to the meet the final rule, like
SCR. The EPA does not have sufficient
information at this time to conclude that
units burning more than 10 percent
fuels other than coal, residual or
distillate oil, or natural gas can operate
the necessary controls effectively and at
a reasonable cost. Therefore, boilers that
burn greater than 10 percent fuels other
than coal, residual or distillate oil,
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natural gas, or combinations of these
three fuels are not subject to the
emissions limits and other requirements
of this final rule.
Comment: Some commenters claimed
that the EPA cannot include emissions
limits for boilers that burn combinations
of coal, residual or distillate oil, and
natural gas, because the EPA did not
propose limits for such boilers. Other
commenters suggested it would be
appropriate to establish emissions limits
for such boilers as long as the EPA
provides criteria for establishing such
emissions limits.
Response: The EPA disagrees with the
claim that boilers burning combinations
of coal, residual or distillate oil, or
natural gas cannot be covered by the
final FIP because the EPA did not
propose specific emissions limits for
these boilers and agrees with
commenters who stated that the EPA’s
proposed emissions limits can be
extended to such boilers provided the
EPA provides criteria for doing so. The
applicability criteria in the final rule
cover boilers burning combinations of
coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural
gas and include a methodology for
determining the emissions limits for
such units based on a simple formula
that correlates the amount of heat input
expended while burning each fuel with
the corresponding emissions limit for
that particular fuel. For example, a
boiler with a heat input of 85 percent
natural gas and 15 percent distillate oil
would be subject to an emissions limit
derived by multiplying the natural gas
emissions limit by 0.85 and adding to
that the distillate oil emissions limit
multiplied by 0.15. Thus calculated, the
NOX emissions limits for boilers
burning combinations of coal, residual
or distillate oil, or natural gas are
consistent with the NOX emissions
limits identified in our proposed rule
for each of these individual fuels.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
The EPA is finalizing all of the
proposed NOX emissions limits for
industrial boilers and adding a formula
for calculating emissions limits for
multi-fueled units as shown in Table
VI.C.5–2. The emissions limits apply to
boilers with design capacities of 100
mmBtu/hr or greater located at any of
the five industries identified in Table
II.A–1 within any of the 20 states
covered by the non-EGU requirements
of this final rule.
TABLE VI.C.5–2—NOX EMISSIONS LIMITS FOR BOILERS >100 mmBtu/hr
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[Based on a 30-day rolling average]
Unit type
Emissions limit
(lbs NOX/mmBtu)
Coal ..........................................................................................................
Residual oil ...............................................................................................
Distillate oil ...............................................................................................
Natural gas ...............................................................................................
Multi-fueled unit ........................................................................................
0.20.
0.20.
0.12.
0.08.
Limit derived by formula based on heat input contribution from each
fuel.
Additional information on the EPA’s
derivation of these proposed emissions
rates for boilers is provided in the Final
Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
Comment: Some commenters noted
that many boilers are already subject to
other state and Federal controls, and
that programs such as RACT, NSR,
BACT, NSPS, and maximum achievable
control technology (MACT) are all
achieving emissions reductions from
boilers.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that some affected units may already be
meeting the emissions limits established
in this rule as a result of controls
installed to comply with other
regulatory programs, such as the CAA’s
RACT requirements. However,
emissions from the universe of boilers
subject to the applicability requirements
of this final rule are not being uniformly
reduced by these programs to the same
extent that the limits we are adopting
will require, nor for the same reason,
which is to mitigate the impact of
emissions from upwind sources on
downwind locations that are
experiencing air quality problems. The
EPA has determined that the limits we
are finalizing in this action are readily
achievable and are already required in
practice in many parts of the country.
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Regarding RACT controls, some of the
sources covered by the final rule are not
subject to RACT requirements because
RACT is only applicable to sources
located in ozone nonattainment areas
and in the OTR, and many sources
covered by the final rule are not located
within such jurisdictions. Regarding
sources that are subject to RACT, we
note that unlike RACT requirements
applicable to sources of VOCs, where a
majority of such sources are covered by
state RACT rules adopted to conform
with uniform ‘‘presumptive’’ limits
contained within the EPA’s Control
Technique Guidelines (CTGs), in most
cases presumptive NOX emissions limits
have not been established for industrial
sources of this pollutant. In light of this,
NOX RACT requirements are primarily
determined on a state-by-state basis and
exhibit a range of stringencies as
determined by each state. Additionally,
RACT requirements tend to become
more stringent with the passage of time
as existing control options are
improved, and new options become
available. Thus, older RACT
determinations may not be as stringent
as more recent determinations made for
similar equipment types. As noted in
our proposal, we based our NOX
emissions limits for coal, residual or
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distillate oil, and natural gas-fired
industrial boilers on RACT limits that
are already in place in many areas of the
country.
Regarding NSR control requirements,
we note that the NSR program was
created by the 1977 amendments to the
CAA and applies only to new or
modified stationary sources. Many of
the boilers covered by the applicability
requirement of this final rule were
initially installed or last modified prior
to 1977 and have not undergone NSR
analysis, such as a BACT analysis for
sources located within an attainment
area or a LAER analysis for sources
located within nonattainment areas.
Additionally, BACT and LAER
determinations made many years ago
are not likely to be as stringent as more
recent determinations.
Regarding NSPS requirements, 40
CFR part 60, subpart Db, Standards of
Performance for Industrial-CommercialInstitutional Steam Generating Units,
contains NOX emissions limits for
boilers with capacities of 100 mmBTU/
hr or greater that were constructed or
modified after June 19, 1984, and so
boilers constructed or modified prior to
that date are not subject to its
requirements. Additionally, the limits
for coal, residual or distillate oil, and
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gas-fired units are not as stringent as
more recent limits adopted by states
pursuant to RACT control obligations.
Lastly, MACT controls are primarily
designed to reduce emissions of
hazardous air pollutants, not to reduce
NOX emissions. We anticipate the
MACT program’s boiler tune-up
requirement should reduce NOX
emissions to some extent, but not to the
extent that compliance with the limits
adopted within this final rule will
achieve.
Comment: One commenter noted that
a 2017 OTC survey found that boilers,
including those used in the paper
products, chemical, and petroleum
industries, are already required to
achieve more stringent limits, and
pointed to limits for distillate oil that
are lower than what the EPA considered
in developing the proposal. The
commenter also noted that California’s
South Coast Air Quality Management
District has adopted a facility-wide NOX
emissions limit of 0.03 lb/mmBtu at
petroleum refineries. The commenter
noted that CEMs data shows a residual
oil-fired boiler at the Ravenswood
Steam Plant in New York achieves an
average NOX emissions rate of 0.0716 lb
NOX/MMBtu and that CEMS data shows
that a gas-fired boiler in Johnsonville,
Tennessee, achieves an average NOX
emissions rate of 0.0058 lb NOX/
mmBTU. Regarding coal-fired boilers,
the commenter stated that a coal boiler
at the Ingredion Incorporated Argo Plant
in Illinois achieves an average NOX
emissions rate of 0.1153 lb NOX/MMBtu
with selective non-catalytic control
technology, and the Axiall Corporation
facility in West Virginia achieves a
0.1162 lb/mmBtu using low-NOX burner
technology with overfire air. The
commenter also noted that more than
half of the gas-fired boilers included in
the air markets program database
already emit NOX at rates below the
EPA’s proposed emissions rate, and that
the RACT/BACT/LAER Clearinghouse
(RBLC) shows more stringent limits for
gas boilers than the limits the EPA
proposed, with many facilities being
required to meet a NOX limit of less
than 0.0400 lb/mmBtu.
Response: The EPA’s intent was not to
set the NOX emissions limits for coal,
residual or distillate oil, and natural gasfired boilers to match the lowest levels
required elsewhere by state or local
authorities, but rather to establish limits
that are commensurate with broadly
applicable RACT limits currently in
place in a number of states as noted
within our proposal. The limits we
selected were not the most stringent of
the state RACT rules we reviewed but
were relatively close to that value. We
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did not select the most stringent limits
because such limits may reflect casespecific technological and economic
feasibility considerations that do not
apply more broadly across the industry.
Furthermore, although the EPA
acknowledges that some industrial
boilers powered by coal, residual or
distillate oil, natural gas, or
combinations of these fuels can meet
very low NOX emissions limits as noted
by the commenter, it is unlikely that all
such units could meet these limits given
case-specific considerations such as
boiler design and operation, some of
which limit the types of control
technology that may be available to a
particular unit.
a. Coal-Fired Industrial Boilers
As we proposed, coal-fired industrial
boilers subject to the applicability
requirements of this section are required
to meet a NOX emissions limit of 0.2 lb/
mmBtu on a 30-day rolling average
basis. Various forms of combustion and
post-combustion NOX control
technology exist that should enable
most facilities to retrofit with equipment
to meet this emissions limit. As we
explained in our proposal, many states
containing ozone nonattainment areas
or located within the OTR have already
adopted RACT emissions limits similar
to or more stringent than the limits in
this final rule, and most of those RACT
limits apply statewide and extend to
boilers located at commercial and
institutional facilities, not just to boilers
located in the industrial sector.
Comment: One commenter noted that
the coal-fired boilers it operates already
use combustion controls to reduce NOX
emissions and contended that the
effectiveness of SNCR on these boilers is
unknown but would likely be on the
low end of the control effectiveness
range because they experience variable
loads, which would compromise the
proper functioning of an SNCR control
system. The commenter stated that the
only way their coal-fired boilers would
be able to comply with the EPA’s
proposed NOX limit would be to install
SCR. The commenter added that for
coal-fired industrial boilers with a heat
input rating of 100 MMBtu/hr or more,
a review of the available RBLC records
indicates that out of the 23 RBLC entries
identified, nine units (less than half)
were subject to an emissions limit at or
below 0.2 lb/mmBtu, and eight of these
nine units were equipped with SNCR.
The commenter stated that based on a
review of the available data in the RBLC
and given the technical difficulties and
low control efficiencies when applying
SNCR to swing boilers, the EPA’s
proposed limit for coal firing does not
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appear achievable for industrial coalfired boilers that experience load swings
unless SCR is installed. Other
commenters stated that while there have
been recent advancements in SNCR
technology, such as the setting up of
multiple injection grids and the
addition of sophisticated CEMs-based
feedback loops, implementing SNCR on
industrial load-following boilers
continues to pose several technical
challenges, including lack of
achievement of optimal temperature
range for the reduction reactions to
successfully complete, and inadequate
reagent dispersion in the injection
region due to boiler design which can
lead to significant amounts of unreacted
ammonia exhausted to the atmosphere
(i.e., large ammonia slip). The
commenter noted that at least one pulp
mill boiler had to abandon its SNCR
system due to problems caused by poor
dispersion of the reagent within the
boiler, and that SNCR has yet to be
successfully demonstrated for a pulp
mill boiler with constant swing loads.
Response: To the extent the
commenter’s concerns pertain primarily
to SNCR control technology, we note
that the final rule does not mandate the
use of any particular type of control
technology and that other types of
control equipment such as SCR should
be examined as a means for meeting the
final emissions limits. The EPA
acknowledges that some coal-fired
industrial boilers subject to this section
of the final rule may need to install SCR
to meet the NOX emissions limits. This
is reflected in our evaluation of costs for
the non-EGU sector contained within
the Non-EGU Screening Assessment
memorandum and the cost calculations
for the final rule discussed in section V
and the Memo to Docket—Non-EGU
Applicability Requirements and
Estimate Emissions Reductions and
Costs. We note that although the RBLC
contains information on emissions
limits and control technology for some
units, it only provides information on a
relatively small number of units subject
to NOX emissions limits and operating
NOX controls. Additionally, our final
rule provides an exemption for units
that operate infrequently (i.e., ‘‘low-use
boilers’’), and also allows a facility
owner or operator to submit a request
for a case-by-case alternative emissions
limit in cases where compliance with
the emissions limit in this final rule is
technically impossible or would result
in extreme economic hardship. We note
that non-EGU boilers share many
similarities with EGU boilers, many of
which already operate SCR to control
NOX emissions or will be required to
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install and operate SCR systems under
the requirements for EGUs contained in
this final rule. Lastly, we note that
information collected during the
development of updates to the EPA’s
MACT requirements for industrial,
commercial, and institutional (ICI)
boilers indicates that over 150 ICI
boilers have installed SCR control
systems to reduce their NOX emissions.
This information is available in the
docket for this final rule.
All affected units must install and
operate NOX control equipment as
necessary to meet the applicable
emissions limits in the final rule, except
that if the owner or operator requests,
and the EPA approves, a case-by-case
emissions limit based on a showing of
technical impossibility or extreme
economic hardship, the affected unit
would be required to comply with the
EPA-approved case-by-case emissions
limit instead.
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b. Residual or Distillate Oil-Fired
Industrial Boilers
Most oil-fired boilers are fueled by
either residual (heavy) oil or distillate
(light) oil. We proposed a NOX
emissions limit of 0.2 lb/mmBtu 397 for
residual oil-fired boilers and proposed a
NOX emissions limit of 0.12 lb/mmBtu
for distillate oil-fired boilers. We are
finalizing both limits as proposed, based
on a 30-day rolling average. As with
coal-fired industrial boilers, a number of
combustion and post-combustion NOX
control technologies exist that should
generally enable facilities meeting the
applicability criteria of this section to
meet these emissions limits, and the
Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD identifies
numerous states that have already
adopted emissions limits similar to the
limits in this final rule. There are
relatively few boilers fueled by residual
or distillate oil within the industries
affected by this final rule that meet the
applicability criteria of this section, and
we received relatively few comments
regarding our proposed emissions limits
for them.
c. Natural Gas-Fired Industrial Boilers
We proposed a NOX emissions limit
of 0.08 lb/mmBtu based on a 30-day
rolling average for natural gas-fired
boilers meeting the applicability criteria
of this section, and we are finalizing this
emissions limit and averaging time as
proposed. As explained in our proposal,
397 Section
52.45(c) of the regulatory text in our
proposed rule identified a proposed emissions limit
of 0.15 lb/mmBtu for residual oil-fired boilers, but
the emissions limit that we intended to propose for
this equipment and discussed both in the preamble
to the proposed rule and in the TSD supporting the
proposed rule was 0.20 lb/mmBtu.
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numerous combustion and postcombustion NOX control technologies
exist that should generally enable
facilities meeting the applicability
criteria of this section to meet this
emissions limit. Additionally, many
states have already adopted emissions
limits similar to the emissions limit in
this final rule, and some natural gasfired industrial boilers may be able to
meet the 0.08 lb/mmBtu emissions limit
by modifying existing NOX control
equipment installed to meet the
requirements in 40 CFR 60.44b (subpart
Db of 40 CFR part 60, Standards of
Performance for Industrial-CommercialInstitutional Steam Generating Units),
which already requires that natural gasfired units meet a NOX emissions limit
of between 0.1 to 0.2 lbs/MMBtu.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
We proposed compliance provisions
for boilers subject to the requirements of
this section similar to the emissions
monitoring requirements found in 40
CFR 60.45 (subpart D of 40 CFR part 60,
Standards of Performance for FossilFuel-Fired Steam Generators). Those
requirements include, among other
provisions, the performance of an initial
compliance test and installation of a
CEMS unless the initial performance
test indicates the unit’s emissions rate is
70 percent or less of the emissions limit
in this final rule. We received a number
of comments on this portion of our
proposal and provide responses to some
of these comments in the following
paragraphs. Our full responses to
comments are provided in the response
to comments document included in the
docket for this action.
Comment: A number of commenters
stated that CEMS monitoring is too
expensive and unnecessary for ensuring
compliance with the emissions limits
for boilers and requested that alternative
monitoring techniques be allowed.
Response: The EPA acknowledges
that the installation and operation of
CEMs systems is more expensive than
other monitoring techniques and may
not be necessary for smaller sized
boilers that typically produce less
emissions than larger ones. In response
to these comments, we have modified
the monitoring requirements in the final
rule such that boilers rated with heatinput capacities less than 250 mmBTU/
hr can demonstrate compliance by
conducting an annual stack test as an
alternative to monitoring using a CEMs
system and by complying with the
provisions of a monitoring plan meeting
specific criteria that enables the facility
owner or operator to demonstrate
continuous compliance with the
emissions limits of this final rule.
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Comment: One commenter stated that
the proposed reporting obligations
require the submittal of excess
emissions reports, continuous
monitoring, and quarterly emissions
reports. The commenter suggested that
since the NOX emissions standards only
apply during the ozone season (May 1–
September 30), the reporting
requirements should only apply during
the second and third quarters of the year
and should require that only emissions
and monitoring data from this time
period be included in these reports.
Response: In response to these
comments, the EPA is finalizing
recordkeeping, monitoring, and
reporting requirements that are designed
to ensure compliance with the
applicable emissions limits only during
the ozone season. Additionally, the final
rule requires annual reports rather than
the proposed quarterly reports as annual
reports are adequate to determine
compliance with the emissions limits
during the ozone season.
Comment: A number of commenters
stated that some of their boilers that
may potentially be subject to a final FIP
already have a NOX CEMS installed and
requested that the EPA clarify whether
a 30-day initial compliance test is
required in such cases.
Response: The EPA’s final rule
provides that in instances where a boiler
meeting the applicability requirements
of this section has already installed a
NOX CEMs that meets the requirements
for such equipment located within 40
CFR 60.13 or 40 CFR part 75,
Continuous Emissions Monitoring,
pursuant to a federally enforceable
requirement, a 30-day initial
compliance test is not required.
Comment: One commenter stated that
§ 52.45(d) of the EPA’s proposed rule
included requirements to complete an
initial 30-day compliance test within 90
days of installing pollution control
equipment but did not specify whether
the test must be complete prior to the
May 1, 2026, ozone season or by some
later date.
Response: In response to this
comment, the EPA is finalizing
provisions requiring that initial
compliance tests occur prior to the May
1, 2026 compliance date.
6. Municipal Waste Combustors
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory
requirements that apply to municipal
solid waste combustors located in a
state subject to the non-EGU
requirements of this final rule (i.e., the
20 states with linkages that persist in
2026 as identified in section II.B) and
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that combust greater than or equal to
250 tons per day of municipal solid
waste (‘‘affected units’’). See 40 CFR
52.46(d) for guidelines on calculating
municipal waste combustor unit
capacity. This applicability threshold
was supported by commenters and is
consistent with the applicability criteria
in 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb, Standards
of Performance for New Stationary
Sources and Emission Guidelines for
Existing Sources: Large Municipal
Waste Combustors. State RACT rules for
MWCs and the OTC MWC report
similarly define large MWC units as
units with a combustion capacity greater
than or equal to 250 tons per day.
Across the 20 states subject to the
non-EGU requirements, this
applicability threshold captures 28
MWC facilities with a total of 80
affected units. The identified affected
units include mass burn waterwall
units, mass burn rotary waterwall units,
refuse derived fuel (RDF) units, and one
CLEERGASTM (‘‘Covanta Low Emissions
Energy Recovery Gasification’’) modular
system.398 The EPA analyzed actual
emissions from the facilities captured by
this threshold and found that on
average, a unit with a design capacity of
250 tons per day has a PTE of
approximately 138 tons per year,399
which is similar to the PTE threshold
applied to other non-EGU sources under
this rulemaking.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
Based on the available information for
this industry, including information
provided during the public comment
period, the OTC MWC Report, a review
of State and local RACT rules that apply
to MWCs, and active air permits issued
to MWCs, the EPA is finalizing the
following emissions limits for
municipal solid waste combustors.
TABLE VI.C.6–1—NOX EMISSIONS
LIMITS FOR LARGE MUNICIPAL
WASTE COMBUSTORS
NOX Limit
(ppmvd)
corrected to 7 percent oxygen
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110 .............................................
105 .............................................
Averaging
period
24-hour.
30-day.
At proposal, the EPA noted that the
NOX limits for large MWCs constructed
on or before September 20, 1994 under
NSPS subpart Cb are found within
Tables 1 and 2 of 40 CFR 60.39b and
398 See the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for
additional information on this inventory.
399 See the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for
additional information on the calculation of PTE for
large MWCs.
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range from 165 to 250 ppm depending
on the combustor design type. The NOX
limits for large MWCs constructed after
September 20, 1994 or for which
modification or reconstruction is
commenced after June 19, 1996 under
NSPS subpart Eb are found at 40 CFR
60.52b(d) and are 180 ppm during a
unit’s first year of operation and 150
ppm afterwards, applicable across all
combustor types. These limits
correspond to NOX emissions rates of
0.31 and 0.26 lb/mmBtu, respectively.
In reviewing active air permits for
MWCs, the EPA found that most MWCs
are meeting emissions limits similar to
those reflected in the applicable
NSPS.400
The EPA also cited the OTC’s MWC
report that evaluated the emissions
reduction potential of large MWCs
located in the OTR from two different
control levels, one based on a NOX
concentration of 105 to 110 ppm, and
another based on a limit of 130 ppm.
The OTC MWC report found that a
control level of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day
rolling average basis and a 110 ppmvd
on a 24-hour block averaging period
would reduce NOX emissions from
MWCs by approximately 7,300 tons
annually, and that a limit of 130 ppmvd
on a 30 day-average could achieve a
4,000 ton reduction. The OTR MWC
Report noted that at the time of
publication, eight MWC units were
already subject to permit limits of 110
ppm, seven in Virginia, and one in
Florida. In consideration of control
costs, the report cited multiple studies
evaluating MWCs similar in design to
the large MWCs in the OTR and found
NOX reductions could be achieved at
costs ranging from $2,900 to $6,600 per
ton of NOX reduced.
To further inform the EPA’s
consideration of emissions limits for
MWCs, the EPA requested comment on
the emissions limit and averaging time
MWCs should be required to meet, and
specifically whether the EPA should
adopt emissions rates of 105 ppmvd on
a 30-day rolling averaging basis and 110
ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging
basis.
Comment: The agency received
several comments regarding emissions
limits and averaging time for MWCs.
Many commenters asserted that the EPA
should set a 24-hour emissions limit no
higher than 110 ppm, noting that recent
studies have shown that there are a
variety of technologies that can help a
wide range of MWC types achieve this
limit at costs that are significantly below
the $7,500/ton cost effectiveness
400 For further discussion of the permits
reviewed, see the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
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36837
threshold that the EPA identified at
proposal. Some commenters confirmed
the accuracy of the OTC workgroup’s
estimated cost of controls for reducing
NOX emissions from MWCs of $2,900 to
$6,600 while others stated that the cost
of controls is well below $7,500. One
commenter asserted that the EPA should
set a 24-hour NOX emissions limit of 50
ppmvd for MWCs, which could be
achieved by the installation of SCR
technology. Alternatively, the
commenters stated that the EPA should
set a 24-hour emissions limit no higher
than 110 ppm based on less effective,
though still widely available, control
technology. Although some commenters
stated that MWCs should not be
included in the rulemaking, no
commenters specifically identified units
or categories of units that could not
achieve emissions limits of 105 ppmvd
on a 30-day rolling averaging basis and
110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block
averaging basis.
Response: The EPA recognizes that
there have been instances where MWCs
have installed SCR and achieved
emissions rates of 50 ppmvd on a 24-hr
averaging basis and 45 ppmvd on a 30day rolling averaging basis with cost
effectiveness estimates around $10,296/
ton to $12,779/ton of NOX reduced.
Given uncertainties pertaining to
whether SCR can be installed on all
types of MWCs, the EPA has decided
not to establish emissions limits as low
as 50 ppmvd for MWCs using SCR at
this time. However, as generally
supported by most commenters, the
EPA is finalizing emissions limits of 105
ppmvd at 7 percent oxygen (O2) on a 30day rolling average and 110 ppmvd at 7
percent O2 on a 24-hour block average
that apply at all times except during
periods of startup and shutdown. The
EPA recognizes that the final emissions
limits for steady-state operations cannot
be achieved during periods of startup,
shutdown, and malfunction. This is
primarily due to the fact that during
periods of startup and shutdown,
additional ambient air is introduced
into the units, resulting in higher
oxygen concentrations. Therefore, the
EPA is finalizing provisions applicable
during periods of startup and shutdown
that do not require correction of CEMS
data to 7 percent oxygen but do require
that such data be measured at stack
oxygen content. This approach is
consistent with EPA regulations
applicable during startup and shutdown
periods for other solid-waste
incinerators under the NSPS for
Commercial and Industrial Solid Waste
Incineration Units. See 40 CFR part 60,
subparts CCCC and DDDD.
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Information received from public
commenters generally aligned with the
results from studies showing that the
emissions limits of 105 ppmvd on a 30day rolling averaging basis and 110
ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging
basis can be reached using ASNCR or
low NOX technology in addition to
SNCR.401 The EPA recognizes that not
all units can implement low NOX
technology, including those using Aireal
grate technology, those operating RFD
units, and those with rotary combustor
units. Of the 80 affected MWC units that
the EPA identified, nine units across
two facilities are classified as rotary
combustors, four units at a single
facility are classified as RDF, and no
units captured are classified as using
Aireal grate technology. One affected
unit is classified as CLEERGAS
gasification while the remaining 64
affected units are classified as mass
burn waterwall combustors, which have
not been explicitly identified as units
unable to install low NOX technology.
For those units unable to install low
NOX technology or SNCR, the EPA has
identified ASCNR as an alternative
control technology that has been shown
to enable units to achieve emissions
limits of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling
averaging basis and 110 ppmvd on a 24hour block averaging basis, either as a
new retrofit technology or as a
significant upgrade to existing SNCR.
The EPA finds that the availability of
ASNCR or SNCR and low NOX burners
provides sufficient flexibility for MWCs
to meet the emissions limits in the final
rule, especially considering 74 of the 80
affected units already have SNCR
installed. Although there is uncertainty
on the cost effectiveness of ASNCR for
achieving significant NOX reductions in
small MWCs, small MWCs that combust
less than 250 tons per day of municipal
solid waste are not included in this
rulemaking.
While commenters noted
discrepancies across cost effectiveness
values for specific types of control
technology, no commenters specifically
indicated that emissions control
technology could not be cost effectively
installed on large MWCs to achieve an
emissions limit of 105 ppmvd on a 30day rolling averaging basis and 110
ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging
401 The only demonstrated use of low NO
X
technology in addition to SNCR at MWC facilities
is at Covanta facilities using Covanta’s proprietary
low NOX combustion system (LNTM). For the
purpose of this rule, EPA is assuming Covanta
facilities will take advantage of this technology and
others will use ASNCR. However, other iterations
of low NOX technology could become available, or
facilities could work with Covanta to apply this
technology to their units.
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basis. Studies show that these limits can
be achieved through a variety of
emissions controls, including ASNCR
and the addition of low NOX technology
to existing SNCR.402 Of the 80 MWC
units subject to this rule, 55 units
already have SNCR installed, 16 units
already have SNCR and low NOX
technology installed, and three units
already have ASNCR installed.
Applying the cost values provided in
the OTC’s MWC report to the MWC
inventory in section 7 of the Final NonEGU Sectors TSD, the estimated
weighted average cost effectiveness of
applying advanced SNCR to units with
and without existing SNCR and adding
low NOX technology to eligible units
with SNCR was found to be
approximately $7,929.02/ton.403 This
value is in line with the control
technology costs for other non-EGU
sectors and the EGU costs associated
with this final rule.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
In this final rule, the EPA is
establishing compliance requirements
for MWCs similar to the NSPS
requirements for large MWCs under 40
CFR part 60, subpart Eb. Those
requirements include, among other
provisions, the performance of an initial
performance test and installation of a
CEMS. At proposal, the EPA requested
comment on whether it would be
appropriate to rely on existing testing,
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements for MWCs under
applicable NSPS or other requirements.
Comment: Some commenters noted
that all large MWCs are already required
to use CEMS to demonstrate compliance
with NOX limits under the NSPS
program. These commenters asserted
that the EPA should improve electronic
reporting requirements beyond current
requirements in the NSPS. The
commenters suggested that an owner or
operator of an MWC subject to a limit
402 See OTC MWC Report at 6–7; Trinity
Consultants, Project Report Covanta Alexandria/
Arlington, Inc., Reasonably Available Control
Technology Determination for NOX (September
2017); Trinity Consultants, Project Report Covanta
Fairfax, Inc., Reasonably Available Control
Technology Determination for NOX (September
2017); Babcock Power Environmental, Waste to
Energy NOX Feasibility Study, Prepared for:
Wheelabrator Technologies Baltimore Waste to
Energy Facility Baltimore, MD (February 20, 2020);
White, M., Goff, S., Deduck, S., Gohlke, O., New
Process for Achieving Very Low NOX, Proceedings
of the 17th Annual North American Waste-toEnergy Conference, NAWTEC17 (May 2009); Letter
from the State of New Jersey to Michael Klein, In
Rreference to Covanta Energy Group, Inc. Essex
County Resource Recovery Facility, Newark Annual
Stack Test Program (March 14, 2019).
403 See Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for more
information on these cost effectiveness estimates
were generated.
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under the final rule should be required
to report NOX CEMS data electronically
at least annually to the EPA’s CEDRI
and any other database that the EPA
will utilize when considering revisions
to the NSPS for large MWCs. The
commenters asserted that MWC
operators should be required to report
NOX CEMS data to the EPA’s Clean Air
Markets database, to allow the public
access to MWC CEMS data on a large
scale for the first time.
Response: The EPA is finalizing
provisions that require MWCs subject to
the requirements of this section to
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
a CEMS for the measurement of NOX
emissions discharged into the
atmosphere from the affected facility.
This is consistent with NSPS
requirements for large MWCs under 40
CFR part 60, subparts Ea and Eb, and
state RACT rules that are applicable to
MWCs in many of the states covered
under this rulemaking.404 Additionally,
each emissions unit will be required to
conduct an initial performance test.
With regard to electronic reporting, the
final rule requires performance tests and
reports, including CEMS data, to be
submitted to CEDRI, as required for all
non-EGU industries covered by this
final rule.
D. Submitting a SIP
A state may submit a SIP at any time
to address CAA requirements that are
covered by a FIP, and if the EPA
approves the SIP it would replace the
FIP, in whole or in part, as appropriate.
As discussed in this section, states may
opt for one of several alternatives that
the EPA has provided to take over all or
portions of the FIP. However, as
discussed in greater detail further in this
section, the EPA also recognizes that
states retain the discretion to develop
SIPs to replace a FIP under approaches
that differ from those the EPA has
finalized.
The EPA has established certain
specialized provisions for replacing FIPs
with SIPs within all the CSAPR trading
programs, including the use of so-called
‘‘abbreviated SIPs’’ and ‘‘full SIPs,’’ see
40 CFR 52.38(a)(4) and (5) and (b)(4),
(5), (8), (9), (11), and (12); 40 CFR
52.39(e), (f), (h), and (i). For a state to
remove all FIP provisions through an
approved SIP revision, a state would
need to address all of the required
reductions addressed by the FIP for that
state, i.e., reductions achieved through
both EGU control and non-EGU control,
404 For examples of RACT provisions applicable
to MWCs that require CEMS, see Regulations of
Connecticut State Agencies section 22a–174–22e;
and Virginia Administrative Code section 5–40–
6730, subsection (D).
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as applicable to that state. Additionally,
tribes in Indian country within the
geographic scope of this rule may elect
to work with EPA under the Tribal
Authority Rule to replace the FIP for
areas of Indian country, in whole or in
part, with a tribal implementation plan
or reasonably severable portions of a
tribal implementation plan.
Under the FIPs for the 22 states whose
EGUs are required to participate in the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program with the modifications
finalized in this rule, EPA continues to
offer ‘‘abbreviated’’ and ‘‘full’’ SIP
options for states. An ‘‘abbreviated SIP’’
allows a state to submit a SIP revision
that establishes state-determined
allowance allocation provisions
replacing the default FIP allocation
provisions but leaving the remaining
FIP provisions in place. A ‘‘full SIP’’
allows a state to adopt a trading program
meeting certain requirements that allow
sources in the state to continue to use
the EPA-administered trading program
through an approved SIP revision,
rather than a FIP. In addition, as under
past CSAPR rulemakings, states have
the option to adopt state-determined
allowance allocations for existing units
for the second control period under this
rule—in this case, the 2024 control
period—through streamlined SIP
revisions. See 76 FR 48326–48332 for
additional discussion of full and
abbreviated SIP options; see also 40 CFR
52.38(b).
Comments: Some commenters alleged
that by taking this action, EPA is
depriving states of the ability to develop
SIPs to implement good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
or from choosing their own compliance
strategies. Commenters also claimed
that the EPA cannot require states to
implement emissions reductions
equivalent to the emissions control
stringency that the EPA determined at
Step 3 if their proposed SIPs are
otherwise shown to be adequate to
eliminate significant contribution. Other
commenters raised concerns that the
trading program enhancements for EGUs
made it too uncertain what a state could
develop as an approvable replacement
SIP. At least one commenter argued that
the EPA must give states a single, massbased emissions budget so that they can
understand how to replace the FIP with
a SIP.
Response: The EPA disagrees that it is
depriving States of the opportunity to
replace the FIP with a SIP or preventing
states from targeting alternative
emissions reductions strategies that can
be shown to be equivalent to the FIP.
States have always possessed the
authority and the opportunity to revise
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their SIPs at any point. The EPA has
repeatedly emphasized that states are
free to develop a SIP revision to replace
a transport FIP and submit that to the
EPA for approval, and this remains true.
See 87 FR 20036, 20051 (April 6, 2022);
86 FR 23054, 23062 (April 30, 2021); 81
FR 74504, 74506 (Oct. 26, 2016). In the
FIP proposal, as in prior transport
actions, the EPA discussed a number of
ways in which states could take over or
replace a FIP, see 87 FR 20036, 20149–
51 (section VII.D: ‘‘Submitting A SIP’’);
see also id. at 20040 (noting as one
purpose in proposing the FIP that ‘‘this
proposal will provide states with as
much information as the EPA can
supply at this time to support their
ability to submit SIP revisions to
achieve the emissions reductions the
EPA believes necessary to eliminate
significant contribution’’). The EPA
provides further guidance on submitting
SIPs in this section. If, and when, the
EPA receives a SIP submission that
satisfies the requirements of CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) and 110(l), the
Agency will take action to approve
those SIP submissions and withdraw the
FIP.
At the outset, we note that the Agency
does not anticipate revisiting its
findings at Steps 1 or 2 of the transport
framework. Those findings establish
that the projected baseline
anthropogenic emissions from these
states contribute to downwind
nonattainment or maintenance receptors
in 2023, and, for certain states, that
contribution continues through 2026.
Those represent critical analytical years
for downwind areas as they are the last
full ozone season before the Moderate
and Serious area attainment dates.
Those findings, for those years, establish
the basis for an upwind state’s linkage,
from which we proceed to evaluate
emissions control opportunities and
their implementation at Steps 3 and 4.
We cannot prejudge now whether
state submissions to replace the EPA’s
FIP will be approvable, but we note a
number of statutory and implementation
considerations states should be aware of
if designing a replacement SIP. We have
demonstrated that the EPA’s transport
FIP is adequate to eliminate significant
contribution to downwind air quality
problems for purposes of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, and that the FIP does not result
in overcontrol. The level of reductions
required by the FIP therefore provides
an important benchmark for states in
evaluating the equivalency of possible
replacement SIPs. As discussed in more
detail in this section, in order to comply
with their obligation under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), we generally anticipate
that states seeking to replace the FIP
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36839
with a SIP that takes an alternative
approach would need to establish, at a
minimum, an equivalent level of
emissions reduction to what the FIP
requires at Step 3, and any such
replacement SIP will need to comply
with CAA section 110(l).
The concept of equivalency is
important for the state to consider.
Under CAA section 110(l), ‘‘the
Administrator shall not approve a
revision of a plan if the revision would
interfere with any applicable
requirement concerning attainment . . .
or any other applicable requirement of
this chapter.’’ Section 110(l) applies to
all CAA requirements, including
110(a)(2)(D) requirements relating to
interstate transport. The EPA interprets
section 110(l) such that states have two
main options to make a noninterference
demonstration. First, the state could
demonstrate that emissions reductions
removed from the SIP are replaced with
new control measures that achieve
equivalent or greater emissions
reductions. Thus, a 110(l) analysis
would generally need to show that the
SIP revision, or, in this case, a potential
SIP submission replacing an existing
FIP, will not interfere with any area’s
ability to continue to attain or maintain
the affected NAAQS or other CAA
requirements. The EPA further has
interpreted section 110(l) as requiring
such substitute measures to be
quantifiable, permanent, and
enforceable, among other
considerations. For section 110(l)
purposes, ‘‘permanent’’ means the state
cannot modify or remove the substitute
measure without EPA review and
approval. Second, the state could
conduct air quality modeling or develop
an attainment or maintenance
demonstration based on the EPA’s most
recent technical guidance to show that,
even without the control measure or
with the control measure in its modified
form, significant contribution from the
state would continue to be prohibited as
the Act requires. As discussed further in
this section, for purposes of interstate
ozone transport, such an analysis entails
important questions of consistency and
equity among states for resolving air
quality problems that the EPA would
need to carefully evaluate.405
405 For instance, future circumstances in which
the receptor or receptors to which a state is linked
come fully into attainment or to which the upwind
state’s linkage drops below 1 percent of the NAAQS
would likely not, solely on those grounds, be
sufficient to relax transport requirements
established by the FIP or justify approving a less
stringent SIP. First, the emissions reductions
achieved by the FIP are part of the reason that a
receptor may come into attainment or a linkage may
drop below 1 percent of the NAAQS. Simply
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In the EPA’s experience implementing
the CAA criteria pollutant program,
reductions arising from the good
neighbor provision have been critically
important to the improvement of air
quality in downwind areas struggling
with attainment and maintenance of the
NAAQS, and states’ reliance on good
neighbor FIP reductions will need to be
taken into account in any replacement
SIP. In order for a nonattainment area to
be redesignated to attainment, the CAA
requires not only that an area attain the
standard, but also the Administrator
must determine ‘‘that the improvement
in air quality is due to permanent and
enforceable reductions in emissions
resulting from implementation of the
applicable implementation plan and
applicable Federal air pollutant control
regulations and other permanent and
enforceable reductions.’’ CAA section
107(d)(3)(E)(i) and (iii). Many
nonattainment areas across the country
that have attained various PM2.5 and
ozone NAAQS have done so in part due
to the imposition of Federal good
neighbor emissions control measures,
and, per CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(iii),
states have specifically relied on the
emissions reductions required by those
programs in order to be redesignated to
attainment. See, e.g., 84 FR 8422, 8425
(March 8, 2019) (noting that ‘‘[a]t least
140 EPA final actions redesignating
areas in 20 states to attainment with an
ozone NAAQS or a fine particulate
matter (PM2.5) NAAQS—because NOX is
a precursor to PM2.5 as well as ozone—
have relied in part on the NOX SIP Call’s
emissions reductions’’); see also Sierra
Club v. EPA, 774 F.3d 383, 397–99 (7th
Cir. 2014) (upholding EPA’s approval of
a redesignation, and specifically EPA’s
determination that reductions from
Federal good neighbor transport trading
programs could reasonably be
removing emissions control requirements the
moment this occurs is illogical, since those
reductions are part of the solution by which the
attaining air quality was achieved or the linkage
was resolved. See CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(iii)
(areas cannot be redesignated unless based on
permanent and enforceable reductions); see also
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 324–25 (explaining that
upwind states are held to a contribution standard,
not a but-for causation standard and thus cannot
escape good neighbor obligations on the basis that
other emissions ‘‘cause’’ the NAAQS to be
exceeded). There is a risk of inconsistency and
inequity in removing any requirements in this
manner in that any increase in emissions that could
occur in one upwind state would likely need to be
reviewed in relation to the obligations other
upwind states would continue to meet. Further, any
such relaxation in upwind state requirements could
then unreasonably shift the burden for maintaining
air quality onto the downwind states where
receptors are located. These issues may entail
complex state- or case-specific analyses that would
need to be evaluated at the time such a SIP revision
is submitted; these issues are not ripe for resolution
in this action.
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considered ‘‘permanent and
enforceable’’ under the statute); Sierra
Club v. EPA, 793 F.3d 656, 665–68 (6th
Cir. 2015) (same). States seeking area
redesignations are also required under
CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(iv) to develop
revisions to their state implementation
plans that provide for maintenance of
the NAAQS. In so doing, states develop
air quality modeling, in which they
project future air quality based on
emissions inputs that account for
enforceable emissions reductions, or
states project emissions in the future
relative to emissions in an attainment
year, showing that the future emissions
(which, again, account for on-the-books,
enforceable emissions limits) do not
exceed emissions in the baseline
attainment year. See ‘‘Procedures for
Processing Requests to Redesignate
Areas to Attainment,’’ Memo from John
Calcagni to EPA Regions, September 4,
1992, at 9. Reductions required by
Federal good neighbor programs may
therefore also be relied upon by states
seeking area redesignations in the
context of how states demonstrate that
areas will maintain the NAAQS.
We anticipate that air quality in areas
struggling to attain and maintain the
2015 ozone NAAQS will improve due to
the emissions reductions required by
EPA’s FIP. We also anticipate that,
consistent with EPA’s historical
experience implementing the NAAQS
and acting on state requests for
nonattainment area redesignations,
emissions reductions associated with
EPA’s transport FIP for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS are likely to be a critical
component in those requests for
redesignation. Where states have relied
and are relying on the FIP’s reductions
in order to attain and maintain the
NAAQS, EPA will look very critically at
any replacement SIP that appears to fall
short of equivalent emissions
reductions—in terms of the level of
reductions or the permanence of those
reductions.
Finally, we disagree with commenters
that the absence of fixed, mass-based
emissions budgets for each state make it
impossible to replace the FIP with an
equivalent SIP. In the case of the trading
program enhancements for EGUs, the
EPA recognizes that the dynamic
budgeting methodology will generally
function to impose a continuous
incentive on relevant EGUs to continue
to implement the emissions control
strategies determined at Step 3. Further,
the backstop rate and banking
recalibration enhancements also are
designed to ensure that EGUs
implement emissions controls
consistent with Step 3 determinations
on a continuous basis throughout each
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ozone season. As explained in section
V.D.4 of this document, these aspects of
the trading program do not in
themselves introduce an overcontrol
concern. Nonetheless, consistent with
the more general principles discussed in
this section with respect to the potential
bases on which states may replace the
FIP with SIPs, we reserve judgment at
this time on whether some future
demonstration could successfully
establish that revision of the FIP or its
replacement with a SIP could be
acceptable even if the way that
significant contribution is eliminated is
through means that differ from the
trading program enhancements included
for EGUs in this action. As discussed
further in this section, a state may
choose to withdraw its EGUs from the
trading program and instead subject
those EGUs to daily emissions rates
commensurate with installation and
optimization of state-of-the-art
combustion and post-combustion
controls as the EPA determined at Step
3. Likewise, states are free to explore an
alternative set of emissions controls on
non-EGU industrial sources (or other
sources in the state), so long as they can
demonstrate that an equivalent amount
of emissions is eliminated. In any case,
we need not resolve these questions
here. The EPA, in promulgating a FIP,
is not obligated to identify each way a
state could replace it with a SIP
revision. Several options are discussed
further in this section, and, as always,
EPA Regional Offices will work closely
with states who wish to explore these
options or other alternatives.
1. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for
2024 Under EGU Trading Program
As with the start of past CSAPR
rulemakings, the EPA is finalizing the
option to allow a state to use a similar
process to submit a SIP revision
establishing allowance allocations for
existing EGU units in the state for the
second control period of the new
requirements, i.e., in 2024, to replace
the EPA-determined default allocations.
A state must submit a letter to EPA by
August 4, 2023, indicating its intent to
submit a complete SIP revision by
September 1, 2023. The SIP would
provide in an EPA-prescribed format a
list of existing units within the state and
their allocations for the 2024 control
period. If a state does not submit a letter
of intent to submit a SIP revision, the
EPA-determined default allocations will
be recorded by September 5, 2023. If a
state submits a timely letter of intent but
fails to submit a SIP revision, the EPAdetermined default allocations will be
recorded by September 15, 2023. If a
state submits a timely letter of intent
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followed by a timely SIP revision that is
approved, the approved SIP allocations
will be recorded by March 1, 2024.
The EPA received no comments on
the proposed option to modify
allowance allocations under the Group
3 trading program for EGUs for the 2024
control period through a SIP revision
and is finalizing the provisions as
proposed.
2. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for
2025 and Beyond Under EGU Trading
Program
For the 2025 control period and later,
states in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program can modify
the EPA-determined default allocations
with an approved SIP revision. For the
2025 control period and later, SIPs can
be full or abbreviated SIPs. See 76 FR
48326–48332 for additional discussion
of full and abbreviated SIP options; see
also 40 CFR 52.38(b).
In this final rule, the EPA is removing
the previous regulatory text defining
specific options for states to expand
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading program applicability to include
EGUs between 15 MWe and 25 MWe or,
in the case of states subject to the NOX
SIP Call, large non-EGU boilers and
combustion turbines. These options for
expanding trading program applicability
through SIP revisions have been
available to states since the start of the
CSAPR trading programs for small EGUs
and since the CSAPR Update for large
non-EGU boilers and combustion
turbines, and no state has chosen to use
the SIP process for this purpose.
Additionally, the EPA did not receive
comment supporting these expansion
options during the comment period for
this rule. The EPA is finalizing a
methodology for updating the affected
EGU portion of the budget in this rule,
and the regulatory text defining the
applicability expansion to non-EGUs
did not include a mechanism for
updating the incremental non-EGU
portion of a state’s budget based on
changes over time of the non-EGU fleet;
therefore, continuation of the option to
expand applicability to certain nonEGUs subject to the NOX SIP Call would
be inconsistent with the trading
program as applied to EGUs in this rule.
However, the EPA recognizes that
states may seek to include non-EGUs
covered in this action in an emissions
trading program, subject to important
considerations to ensure equivalency in
emissions reductions is maintained.
While the EPA is not offering specific
regulatory text to implement an option
to expand the trading program
applicability, a state could submit a SIP
to expand the CSAPR NOX Ozone
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Season Group 3 Trading Program
applicability, which the EPA would
evaluate on a case-by-case basis. The
SIP revision would need to address
critical program elements, and include:
(1) high-quality baseline data, (2)
ongoing Part 75 monitoring, and (3)
provisions to update the non-EGU
portion of the budget to appropriately
reflect changes to the fleet over time.
For states that want to modify the
EPA-determined default allocations, the
EPA proposed that a state could submit
a SIP revision that makes changes only
to that provision while relying on the
FIP for the remaining provisions of the
EGU trading program. This abbreviated
SIP option allows states to tailor the FIP
to their individual choices while
maintaining the FIP-based structure of
the trading program. To ensure the
availability of allowance allocations for
units in any Indian country within a
state not covered by the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority, if
the state chose to replace the EPA’s
default allocations with statedetermined allocations, the EPA would
continue to administer any portion of
each state emissions budget reserved as
a new unit set-aside or an Indian
country existing unit set-aside.
The SIP submittal deadline for this
type of revision is December 1, 2023, if
the state intends for the SIP revision to
be effective beginning with the 2025
control period. For states that submit
this type of SIP revision, the deadline to
submit state-determined allocations
beginning with the 2025 control period
under an approved SIP is June 1, 2024,
and the deadline for the EPA to record
those allocations is July 1, 2024.
Similarly, a state can submit a SIP
revision beginning with the 2026
control period and beyond by December
1, 2024, with state allocations for the
2026 control period due June 1, 2025,
and EPA recordation of the allocations
by July 1, 2025.
The EPA received no comment on the
option to replace certain allowance
allocation provisions under the Group 3
trading program for EGUs for control
periods in 2025 and later years through
a SIP revision and is finalizing the
provisions generally as proposed, with
the exception that any potential
expansion of trading program
applicability under a SIP revision would
be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
3. SIP Option To Replace the Federal
EGU Trading Program With an
Integrated State EGU Trading Program
For the 2025 control period and later,
states in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program can choose to
replace the Federal EGU trading
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36841
program with an integrated State EGU
trading program through an approved
SIP revision. Under this option, a state
can submit a SIP revision that makes
changes only to modify the EPAdetermined default allocations and that
adopts identical provisions for the
remaining portions of the EGU trading
program. This SIP option allows states
to replace these FIP provisions with
state-based SIP provisions while
continuing participation in the larger
regional trading program. As with the
abbreviated SIP option discussed
previously, to ensure the availability of
allowance allocations for units in any
Indian country within a state not
covered by the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority, if
the state chooses to replace the EPA’s
default allocations with statedetermined allocations, the EPA would
continue to administer any portion of
each state emissions budget reserved as
a new unit set-aside or an Indian
country existing unit set-aside. Also, for
the same reasons discussed with respect
to the abbreviated SIP option, the EPA
is removing the option for states to
expand CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading program applicability to
include EGUs between 15 MWe and 25
MWe or, in the case of states subject to
the NOX SIP Call, large non-EGU boilers
and combustion turbines.
Deadlines for this type of SIP revision
are the same as the deadlines for
abbreviated SIP revisions. For the SIPbased program to start with the 2025
control period, the SIP deadline is
December 1, 2023, the deadline to
submit state-determined allocations for
the 2025 control period under an
approved SIP is June 1, 2024, and the
deadline for the EPA to record those
allocations is July 1, 2024, and so on.
The EPA received no comment on the
option to replace the Federal trading
program for EGUs with an integrated
state trading program for EGUs for
control periods in 2025 and later years
through a SIP revision and is finalizing
the provisions generally as proposed,
with the exception that any potential
expansion of trading program
applicability under a SIP revision would
be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
4. SIP Revisions That Do Not Use the
Trading Program
States can submit SIP revisions to
replace the FIP that achieve the
necessary EGU emissions reductions but
do not use the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program. For a
transport SIP revision that does not use
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program, the EPA would
evaluate the transport SIP based on the
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particular control strategies selected and
whether the strategies as a whole
provide adequate and enforceable
provisions ensuring that the necessary
emissions reductions (i.e., reductions
equal to or greater than what the Group
3 trading program will achieve) will be
achieved. To address the applicable
CAA requirements, the SIP revision
should include the following general
elements: (1) a comprehensive baseline
2023 statewide NOX emissions
inventory (which includes existing
control requirements), which should be
consistent with the 2023 emissions
inventory that the EPA used to calculate
the required state budget in this final
rule (unless the state can explain the
discrepancy); (2) a list and description
of control measures to satisfy the state
emissions reduction obligation and a
demonstration showing when each
measure would be implemented to meet
the 2023 and successive control periods;
(3) fully-adopted state rules providing
for such NOX controls during the ozone
season; (4) for EGUs greater than 25
MWe, monitoring and reporting under
40 CFR part 75, and for other units,
monitoring and reporting procedures
sufficient to demonstrate that sources
are complying with the SIP (see 40 CFR
part 51, subpart K (‘‘source
surveillance’’ requirements)); and (5) a
projected inventory demonstrating that
state measures along with Federal
measures will achieve the necessary
emissions reductions in time to meet the
2023 and successive compliance
deadlines (e.g., enforceable reductions
commensurate with installation of SCR
on coal-fired EGUs by the 2027 ozone
season). The SIPs must meet procedural
requirements under the Act, such as the
requirements for public hearing, be
adopted by the appropriate state board
or authority, and establish by a
practically enforceable regulation or
permit(s) a schedule and date for each
affected source or source category to
achieve compliance. Once the state has
made a SIP submission, the EPA will
evaluate the submission(s) for
completeness before acting on the SIP.
EPA’s criteria for determining
completeness of a SIP submission are
codified at 40 CFR part 51, appendix V.
For further background information
on considerations for replacing a FIP
with a SIP, see the discussion in the
final CSAPR rulemaking (76 FR 48326).
5. SIP Revision Requirements for NonEGU or Industrial Source Control
Requirements
EPA’s promulgation of a non-EGU
transport FIP would in no way affect the
ability of states to submit, for review
and approval, a SIP that replaces the
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requirements of the FIP with state
requirements. To replace the non-EGU
portion of the FIP in a state, the state’s
SIP must provide adequate provisions to
prohibit NOX emissions that contribute
significantly to nonattainment or
interfere with maintenance of the 2015
ozone NAAQS in any other state. The
state SIP submittal must demonstrate
that the emissions reductions required
by the SIP would continue to ensure
that significant contribution from that
state has been eliminated through
permanent and enforceable measures.
The non-EGU requirements of the FIP
would remain in place in each covered
state until a state’s SIP has been
approved by the EPA to replace the FIP.
The most straightforward method for
a state to submit a presumptively
approvable SIP revision to replace the
non-EGU portion of the FIPs for the
state would be to provide a SIP that
includes emissions limits at an
equivalent or greater level of stringency
than is specified for non-EGU sources
meeting the applicability criteria and
associated compliance assurance
provisions for each of the unit types
identified in section VI.C of this
document.
Comment: One commenter stated that
they believed EPA’s assertion in the
proposal that any SIP submittal would
have to achieve equal or greater
reductions for non-EGUs than the FIP
was unlawful. The commenter asserted
that a state’s ability to replace the FIP
must be tied to whether it has addressed
the underlying nonattainment/
maintenance concerns by reducing
significant contribution from sources in
the state below the significance
threshold, (as opposed to whether it
prohibits equivalent emissions to the
FIP).
Response: The EPA recognizes that
states may select emissions reductions
strategies that differ from the emissions
limitations included in the proposed
non-EGU FIP; this is discussed in
response to comments earlier in this
section. For example, some states may
desire to include non-EGUs in a trading
program. This may be possible subject
to taking into account a number of
considerations as discussed earlier in
this section to ensure equivalency
between the different approaches. But
the state must still demonstrate that the
replacement SIP provides an equivalent
or greater amount of emissions
reductions as the proposed FIP to be
presumptively approvable. The EPA
anticipates that such emissions
reductions strategies would have to
achieve reductions equivalent to or
beyond those emissions reductions
already projected to occur in EPA’s
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emissions projections and air quality
modeling conducted at Steps 1 and 2.
Such reductions must also be achieved
by the 2026 ozone season.
EPA further acknowledges that a
demonstration of equivalency using
other control strategies is complicated
by the fact that the final emissions
limits for non-EGU sources are generally
unit-specific and expressed in a variety
of forms; comparative analysis with
alternative control requirements to
determine equivalency would need to
take this into account. Similarly, we
recognize that the emissions trading
program for EGUs in this action
includes a number of enhancements to
ensure that the Step 3 determination of
which emissions are ‘‘significant’’ and
must be eliminated continues to be
implemented over time. Although there
is not a fixed, mass-based emissions
budget established for each state in this
action, there are other objective metrics
that could guide states in developing
replacement SIPs. For example, for nonEGUs, states may choose to conduct an
analysis of their industrial stationary
sources and present an alternative set of
emissions limits applying to specific
units that it believes would achieve an
equivalent level of emissions reduction.
States could apply cost-effectiveness
thresholds for emissions control
technologies that could be applied to
establish that some alternative
emissions control strategy results in
equivalent or greater improvement at
downwind receptors. The EPA
anticipates that such a comparison may
entail review of both baseline emissions
information and growth projections
between the different sets of units to
ensure that a truly equivalent or greater
degree of emissions reduction is
achieved; additionality and emissions
shifting potential may also need to be
considered. We note that the CAMx
policy case run for 2026 provides a
benchmark for assessing the level of air
quality improvement anticipated at
receptors with implementation of the
FIP. This data may be of use to states as
part of a demonstration that a
replacement SIP achieves an equivalent
or greater level of air quality
improvement to the FIP; however, the
use of such modeling in such a
demonstration would need to be more
fully evaluated at the time of such a SIP
revision.
In all cases, a SIP submitted by a state
to replace the non-EGU components of
the FIPs would very likely need to rely
on permanent and practically
enforceable controls measures that are
included in the SIP and, once approved
by the EPA, rendered federally
enforceable. So-called ‘‘demonstration-
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only’’ or ‘‘non-regulatory’’ SIPs would
very likely be insufficient; see
discussion in response to comments
earlier in this section. Further, the EPA
anticipates that states would bear the
burden of establishing that the state’s
alternative approach achieves at least an
equivalent level of emissions reduction
as the FIP.
E. Title V Permitting
This final rule, like CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update does not establish any
permitting requirements independent of
those under Title V of the CAA and the
regulations implementing Title V, 40
CFR parts 70 and 71.406 All major
stationary sources of air pollution and
certain other sources are required to
apply for title V operating permits that
include emissions limitations and other
conditions as necessary to ensure
compliance with the applicable
requirements of the CAA, including the
requirements of the applicable SIP. CAA
sections 502(a) and 504(a), 42 U.S.C.
7661a(a) and 7661c(a). The ‘‘applicable
requirements’’ that must be addressed in
title V permits are defined in the title V
regulations (40 CFR 70.2 and 71.2
(definition of ‘‘applicable
requirement’’)).
The EPA anticipates that, given the
nature of the units subject to this final
rule, most if not all of the sources at
which the units are located are already
subject to title V permitting
requirements and already possess a title
V operating permit. For sources subject
to title V, the interstate transport
requirements for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS that are applicable to them
under the FIPs finalized in this action
would be ‘‘applicable requirements’’
under title V and therefore must be
addressed in the title V permits. For
example, EGU requirements concerning
designated representatives, monitoring,
reporting, and recordkeeping, the
requirement to hold allowances
covering emissions, the compliance
assurance provisions, and liability, and
for non-EGUs, the emissions limits and
compliance requirements are, to the
extent relevant to each source,
‘‘applicable requirements’’ that must be
addressed in the permits.
Consistent with EPA’s approach
under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and
the Revised CSAPR Update, the
applicable requirements resulting from
the FIPs generally will have to be
incorporated into affected sources’
existing title V permits either pursuant
406 Part 70 addresses requirements for state title
V programs, and part 71 governs the Federal title
V program.
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to the provisions for reopening for cause
(40 CFR 70.7(f) and 71.7(f)), significant
modifications (40 CFR 70.7(e)(4)) or the
standard permit renewal provisions (40
CFR 70.7(c) and 71.7(c)).407 For sources
newly subject to title V that are affected
sources under the FIPs, the initial title
V permit issued pursuant to 40 CFR
70.7(a) should address the final FIP
requirements.
As was the case in the CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR
Update, the new and amended FIPs
impose no independent permitting
requirements and the title V permitting
process will impose no additional
burden on sources already required to
be permitted under title V.
1. Title V Permitting Considerations for
EGUs
Title V of the CAA establishes the
basic requirements for state title V
permitting programs, including, among
other things, provisions governing
permit applications, permit content, and
permit revisions that address applicable
requirements under final FIPs in a
manner that provides the flexibility
necessary to implement market-based
programs such as the trading programs
established in CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, the Revised CSAPR Update and
this final rule. 42 U.S.C. 7661a(b); 40
CFR 70.6(a)(8) & (10); 40 CFR 71.6(a)(8)
& (10).
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
established standard requirements
governing how sources covered by those
rules would comply with title V and its
regulations.408 40 CFR 97.506(d),
97.806(d) and 97.1006(d). For any new
or existing sources subject to this rule,
identical title V compliance provisions
will apply with respect to the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program. For example, the title V
regulations provide that a permit issued
under title V must include ‘‘[a]
provision stating that no permit revision
407 A permit is reopened for cause if any new
applicable requirements (such as those under a FIP)
become applicable to an affected source with a
remaining permit term of 3 or more years. If the
remaining permit term is less than 3 years, such
new applicable requirements will be added to the
permit during permit renewal. See 40 CFR
70.7(f)(1)(i) and 71.7(f)(1)(i).
408 The EPA has also issued a guidance document
and template that includes instructions for how to
incorporate the applicable requirements into a
source’s Title V permit. See Memorandum dated
May 13, 2015, from Anna Marie Wood, Director, Air
Quality Policy Division, and Reid P. Harvey,
Director, Clean Air Market Division, EPA, to
Regional Air Division Directors, Subject: ‘‘Title V
Permit Guidance and Template for the Cross-State
Air Pollution Rule’’ (‘‘2015 Title V Guidance’’),
available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/
2016–10/documents/csapr_title_v_permit_
guidance.pdf.
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36843
shall be required under any approved
. . . emissions trading and other similar
programs or processes for changes that
are provided for in the permit.’’ 40 CFR
70.6(a)(8) and 71.6(a)(8). Consistent
with these provisions in the title V
regulations, in CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update and the Revised CSAPR Update,
the EPA included a provision stating
that no permit revision is necessary for
the allocation, holding, deduction, or
transfer of allowances. 40 CFR
97.506(d)(1), 97.806(d)(1) and
97.1006(d)(1). This provision is also
included in each title V permit for an
affected source. This final rule
maintains the approach taken under
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the
Revised CSAPR Update that allows
allowances to be traded (or allocated,
held, or deducted) without a revision to
the title V permit of any of the sources
involved.
Similarly, this final rule would also
continue to support the means by which
a source in the final trading program can
use the title V minor modification
procedure to change its approach for
monitoring and reporting emissions, in
certain circumstances. Specifically,
sources may use the minor modification
procedure so long as the new
monitoring and reporting approach is
one of the prior-approved approaches
under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and
the Revised CSAPR Update (i.e.,
approaches using a continuous
emissions monitoring system under
subparts B and H of 40 CFR part 75, an
excepted monitoring system under
appendices D and E to 40 CFR part 75,
a low mass emissions excepted
monitoring methodology under 40 CFR
75.19, or an alternative monitoring
system under subpart E of 40 CFR part
75), and the permit already includes a
description of the new monitoring and
reporting approach to be used. See 40
CFR 97.506(d)(2), 97.806(d)(2) and
97.1006(d)(2); 40 CFR 70.7(e)(2)(i)(B)
and 71.7(e)(1)(i)(B). As described in
EPA’s 2015 Title V Guidance, sources
may comply with this requirement by
including a table of all of the approved
monitoring and reporting approaches
under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and
the Revised CSAPR Update trading
programs in which the source is
required to participate, and the
applicable requirements governing each
of those approaches.409 Inclusion of
such a table in a source’s title V permit
therefore allows a covered unit that
seeks to change or add to its chosen
monitoring and recordkeeping approach
to easily comply with the regulations
409 Id.
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governing the use of the title V minor
modification procedure.
Under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update
and the Revised CSAPR Update, to
employ a monitoring or reporting
approach different from the priorapproved approaches discussed
previously, unit owners and operators
must submit monitoring system
certification applications to the EPA
establishing the monitoring and
reporting approach actually to be used
by the unit, or, if the owners and
operators choose to employ an
alternative monitoring system, to submit
petitions for that alternative to the EPA.
These applications and petitions are
subject to the EPA review and approval
to ensure consistency in monitoring and
reporting among all trading program
participants. EPA’s responses to any
petitions for alternative monitoring
systems or for alternatives to specific
monitoring or reporting requirements
are posted on EPA’s website.410 The
EPA maintains the same approach for
the trading program in this final rule.
2. Title V Permitting Considerations for
Industrial Stationary Sources
For non-EGU sources, affected sources
will need to work with their local, state,
or tribal permitting authority to
determine if the new applicable
requirements should be incorporated
into their existing title V permit under
the reopening for cause, significant
modification, or permit renewal
procedures of the approved permitting
program. Title V permits for existing
sources will need to be updated to
include the applicable requirements of
this final rule and any necessary
preconstruction permits obtained in
order to comply with this final rule.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
F. Relationship to Other Emissions
Trading and Ozone Transport Programs
1. NOX SIP Call
Sources in states affected by both the
NOX SIP Call for the 1979 ozone
NAAQS and the requirements
established in this final rule for the 2015
ozone NAAQS will be required to
comply with the requirements of both
rules. With respect to EGUs larger than
25 MW, in this rule the EPA is requiring
NOX ozone season emissions reductions
from these sources in many of the NOX
SIP Call states, and at greater stringency
than required by the NOX SIP Call, by
requiring the EGUs to participate in the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program. The emissions
reductions required under this rule are
therefore sufficient to satisfy the
410 https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/part-75petition-responses.
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emissions reduction requirements under
the NOX SIP Call for these large EGUs.
With respect to the large non-EGU
boilers and combustion turbines that
formerly participated in the NOX Budget
Trading Program under the NOX SIP
Call, the EPA provided options under
both the CSAPR Update and the Revised
CSAPR Update for states to address
these sources’ ongoing NOX SIP Call
requirements by expanding applicability
of the relevant CSAPR trading programs
for ozone season NOX emissions to
include the sources, and no state chose
to use these options. As discussed in
sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3, in this rule
the EPA is removing the previous
regulatory text defining specific options
for states to expand trading program
applicability to include these sources
and instead will evaluate any SIP
revisions seeking to include these
sources in the Group 3 trading program
on a case-by-case basis.411
2. Acid Rain Program
This rule does not affect any SO2 and
NOX requirements under the Acid Rain
Program, which are established
separately under 40 CFR parts 72
through 78 and will continue to apply
independently of this rule’s provisions.
Sources subject to the Acid Rain
Program will continue to be required to
comply with all requirements of that
program, including the requirement to
hold sufficient allowances issued under
the Acid Rain Program to cover their
SO2 emissions after the end of each
control period.
3. Other CSAPR Trading Programs
This rule does not substantively affect
any provisions of the CSAPR NOX
Annual, CSAPR SO2 Group 1, CSAPR
SO2 Group 2, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1, or CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 trading programs for
sources that continue to participate in
those programs. Sources subject to any
of the CSAPR trading programs will
continue to be required to comply with
all requirements of all such trading
programs to which they are subject,
including the requirement to hold
sufficient allowances issued under the
respective programs to cover emissions
after the end of each control period.
The EPA also notes that where a
state’s good neighbor obligations with
respect to the 1997 ozone NAAQS or the
2008 ozone NAAQS have previously
411 Only one NO SIP Call state—Tennessee—
X
continues to participate in the Group 2 trading
program, and the EPA has already approved other
SIP provisions addressing the ongoing NOX SIP Call
obligations for Tennessee’s large non-EGU boilers
and combustion turbines. See 84 FR 7998 (March
6, 2019); 86 FR 12092 (March 2, 2021).
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been met by participation of the state’s
large EGUs in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program (or
earlier by the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 Trading Program), the
EPA will deem those obligations to be
satisfied by the participation of the same
sources in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program.
Specifically, for all states covered by the
Group 3 trading program under this rule
except Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah,
participation of the state’s EGUs in the
Group 3 trading program will be
deemed to satisfy not only the EGUrelated portion of the state’s good
neighbor obligations with respect to the
2015 ozone NAAQS but also the state’s
good neighbor obligations with respect
to the 2008 ozone NAAQS. In addition,
for Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, and
Wisconsin, participation of the state’s
EGUs in the Group 3 trading program
will also be deemed to satisfy the state’s
good neighbor obligations with respect
to the 1997 ozone NAAQS.412
VII. Environmental Justice Analytical
Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
Consistent with EPA’s commitment to
integrating environmental justice in the
agency’s actions, and following the
directives set forth in multiple
Executive orders, the Agency has
analyzed the impacts of this final rule
on communities with environmental
justice concerns and engaged with
stakeholders representing these
communities to seek input and
feedback. Executive Order 12898 is
discussed in section X.J of this final rule
and analytical results are available in
Chapter 7 of the RIA. This analysis is
being provided for informational
purposes only.
A. Introduction
Executive Order 12898 directs EPA to
identify the populations of concern who
are most likely to experience unequal
burdens from environmental harms;
specifically, minority populations, lowincome populations, and indigenous
peoples.413 Additionally, Executive
412 For the remaining state transitioning from the
Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading
program under this rule—Texas—as well as the
remaining states that transitioned from the Group
2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program
under the Revised CSAPR Update—Maryland, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
West Virginia—participation of the states’ EGUs in
the Group 2 trading program as required by the
CSAPR Update was addressing good neighbor
obligations of the states with respect to only the
2008 ozone NAAQS, not the 1997 ozone NAAQS.
See 81 FR 74523–74526.
413 59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994.
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Order 13985 is intended to advance
racial equity and support underserved
communities through Federal
Government actions.414 The EPA
defines environmental justice as the fair
treatment and meaningful involvement
of all people regardless of race, color,
national origin, or income, with respect
to the development, implementation,
and enforcement of environmental laws,
regulations, and policies. The EPA
further defines the term fair treatment to
mean that ‘‘no group of people should
bear a disproportionate burden of
environmental harms and risks,
including those resulting from the
negative environmental consequences of
industrial, governmental, and
commercial operations or programs and
policies.’’ 415 In recognizing that
minority and low-income populations
often bear an unequal burden of
environmental harms and risks, the EPA
continues to consider ways of protecting
them from adverse public health and
environmental effects of air pollution.
B. Analytical Considerations
The EPA’s environmental justice (EJ)
technical guidance 416 states that:
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
The analysis of potential EJ concerns for
regulatory actions should address three
questions:
1. Are there potential EJ concerns
associated with environmental stressors
affected by the regulatory action for
population groups of concern in the baseline?
2. Are there potential EJ concerns
associated with environmental stressors
affected by the regulatory action for
population groups of concern for the
regulatory option(s) under consideration?
3. For the regulatory option(s) under
consideration, are potential EJ concerns
created or mitigated compared to the
baseline?
To address these questions in the
EPA’s first quantitative EJ analysis in
the context of a transport rule, the EPA
developed a unique analytical approach
that considers the purpose and specifics
of the final rulemaking, as well as the
nature of known and potential
exposures and impacts. However, due to
data limitations, it is possible that our
analysis failed to identify disparities
that may exist, such as potential
environmental justice characteristics
(e.g., residence of historically red lined
areas), environmental impacts (e.g.,
other ozone metrics), and more granular
spatial resolutions (e.g., neighborhood
scale) that were not evaluated.
414 86
For the final rule, we employ two
types of analytics to respond to the
previous three questions: proximity
analyses and exposure analyses. Both
types of analyses can inform whether
there are potential EJ concerns for
population groups of concern in the
baseline (question 1).417 In contrast,
only the exposure analyses, which are
based on future air quality modeling,
can inform whether there will be
potential EJ concerns after
implementation of the regulatory
options under consideration (question
2) and whether potential EJ concerns
will be created or mitigated compared to
the baseline (question 3). While the
exposure analysis can respond to all
three questions, several caveats should
be noted. For example, the air pollutant
exposure metrics are limited to those
used in the benefits assessment. For
ozone, that is the maximum daily 8hour average, averaged across the April
through September warm season (AS–
MO3) and for PM2.5 that is the annual
average. This ozone metric likely
smooths potential daily ozone gradients
and is not directly relatable to the
National Ambient Air Quality Standard
(NAAQS), whereas the PM2.5 metric is
more similar to the long term PM2.5
standard. The air quality modeling
estimates are also based on state level
emissions data paired with facility-level
baseline emissions, and provided at a
resolution of 12km2. Additionally, here
we focus on air quality changes due to
this final rulemaking and infer postpolicy exposure burden impacts.
Exposure analytic results are provided
in two formats: aggregated and
distributional. The aggregated results
provide an overview of potential ozone
exposure differences across populations
at the national- and state-levels, while
the distributional results show detailed
information about ozone concentration
changes experienced by everyone
within each population.
In Chapter 7 of the RIA we utilize the
two types of analytics to address the
three EJ questions by quantitatively
evaluating: (1) the proximity of affected
facilities to potentially disadvantaged
populations (section 7.3); and (2) the
potential for disproportionate ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations in the baseline and
concentration changes after rule
implementation across different
demographic groups (section 7.4). Each
of these analyses depends on mutually
exclusive assumptions, was performed
to answer separate questions, and is
FR 7009, January 20, 2021.
415 https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice.
416 U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA),
2015. Guidance on Considering Environmental
Justice During the Development of Regulatory
Actions.
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417 The baseline for proximity analyses is current
population information (e.g., 2021), whereas the
baseline for ozone exposure analyses are the future
years in which the regulatory options will be
implemented (e.g., 2023 and 2026).
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36845
associated with unique limitations and
uncertainties.
Baseline demographic proximity
analyses can be relevant for identifying
populations that may be exposed to
local pollutants, such as NO2 emitted
from affected sources in this final rule.
However, such analyses are less useful
here as they do not account for the
potential impacts of this final rule on
long-range concentration changes.
Baseline demographic proximity
analysis presented in the RIA suggest
that larger percentages of Hispanics,
African Americans, people below the
poverty level, people with less
educational attainment, and people
linguistically isolated are living within
5 km and 10 km of an affected EGU,
compared to national averages. It also
finds larger percentages of African
Americans, people below the poverty
level, and with less educational
attainment living within 5 km and 10
km of an affected non-EGU facility.
Relating these results to question 1 from
section 7.2 of the RIA, we conclude that
there may be potential EJ concerns
associated with directly emitted
pollutants that are affected by the
regulatory action (e.g., NO2) for certain
population groups of concern in the
baseline. However, as proximity to
affected facilities does not capture
variation in baseline exposure across
communities, nor does it indicate that
any exposures or impacts will occur,
these results do not in themselves
demonstrate disproportionate impacts of
affected facilities in the baseline and
should not be interpreted as a direct
measure of exposure or impact.
Whereas proximity analyses are
limited to evaluating the
representativeness of populations
residing nearby affected facilities, the
ozone and PM2.5 exposure analyses can
provide insight into all three EJ
questions. Even though both the
proximity and exposure analyses can
potentially improve understanding of
baseline EJ concerns (question 1), the
two should not be directly compared.
This is because the demographic
proximity analysis does not include air
quality information and is based on
current, not future, population
information.
The baseline analysis of ozone and
PM2.5 concentration burden responds to
question 1 from EPA’s environmental
justice technical guidance document
more directly than the proximity
analyses, as it evaluates a form of the
environmental stressor targeted by the
regulatory action. Baseline ozone and
PM2.5 analyses show that certain
populations, such as Hispanics, Asians,
those linguistically isolated, those less
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
educated, and children may experience
somewhat higher ozone and PM2.5
concentrations compared to the national
average. Therefore, also in response to
question 1, there likely are potential
environmental justice concerns
associated with ozone and PM2.5
exposures affected by the regulatory
action for population groups of concern
in the baseline. However, these baseline
exposure results have not been fully
explored and additional analyses are
likely needed to understand potential
implications. In addition, we infer that
disparities in the ozone and PM2.5
concentration burdens are likely to
persist after implementation of the
regulatory action or alternatives under
consideration due to similar modeled
concentration reductions across
population demographics (question 2).
Question 3 asks whether potential EJ
concerns will be created or mitigated as
compared to the baseline. Due to the
very small differences observed in the
distributional analyses of post-policy
ozone and PM2.5 exposure impacts
across populations, we do not find
evidence that potential EJ concerns
related to ozone and PM2.5
concentrations will be created or
mitigated as compared to the
baseline.418
C. Outreach and Engagement
Prior to proposal, the EPA hosted an
outreach webinar with environmental
justice stakeholders to share information
about the proposed rule and solicit
feedback about potential environmental
justice considerations. The webinar was
attended by representatives of state
governments, federally recognized
tribes, environmental NGOs, higher
education institutions, industry, and the
EPA.419 Participants were invited to
comment on pre-proposal
environmental justice considerations
during the webinar or submit written
comments to a pre-proposal nonregulatory docket.
After proposal, the EPA opened a
public comment period to invite the
public to submit written comments to
the regulatory docket for this
rulemaking.420 The EPA also invited the
public to participate in a public hearing
held on April 21, 2022. A transcript of
the public hearing is available in the
docket for this rulemaking.
Additionally, on March 31, 2022, the
EPA hosted an informational webinar
with non-governmental groups and
environmental justice stakeholders to
answer questions and share information
about the proposed rule. A record of this
webinar, including the informational
power point shared at the webinar is
available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
VIII. Costs, Benefits, and Other Impacts
of the Final Rule
In the RIA for the Federal Good
Neighbor Plan Addressing Regional
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone
National Ambient Air Quality
Standards, the EPA estimated the health
and climate benefits, compliance costs,
and emissions changes that may result
from the final rule for the analysis
period 2023 to 2042. The estimated
health and climate benefits and
compliance costs are presented in detail
in this RIA. The EPA notes that for
EGUs the estimated benefits and
compliance costs are directly associated
with fully operating existing SCRs
during ozone season; fully operating
existing SNCRs during ozone season;
installing state-of-the-art combustion
controls; imposing a backstop emissions
rate on certain units that lack SCR
controls; and installing SCR and SNCR
post-combustion controls. The EPA also
notes that for non-EGUs the estimated
health benefits and compliance costs are
directly associated with installing
controls to meet the NOX emissions
requirements presented in section I.B of
this document.
For EGUs, the EPA analyzed this
action’s emissions budgets using
uniform control stringency represented
by $1,800 per ton of NOX (2016$) in
2023 and $11,000 per ton of NOX
(2016$) in 2026. The EPA also analyzed
a more and a less stringent alternative.
The more and less stringent alternatives
differ from the rule in that they set
different NOX ozone season emissions
budgets for the affected EGUs and
different dates for large, coal-fired
EGUs’ compliance with the backstop
emissions rate.
For non-EGUs, the EPA developed an
analytical framework to determine
which industries and emissions unit
types to include in a proposed
Transport FIP for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS transport obligations. A
February 28, 2022 memorandum, titled
‘‘Screening Assessment of Potential
Emissions Reductions, Air Quality
Impacts, and Costs from Non-EGU
Emissions Units for 2026,’’ documents
the analytical framework used to
identify industries and emissions unit
types included in the proposed FIP. To
further evaluate the industries and
emissions unit types identified and to
establish the proposed emissions limits,
the EPA reviewed Reasonably RACT
rules, NSPS rules, NESHAP rules,
existing technical studies, rules in
approved SIP submittals, consent
decrees, and permit limits. That
evaluation is detailed in the Proposed
Non-EGU Sectors TSD prepared for the
proposed FIP. The EPA is retaining the
industries and many of the emissions
unit types included in the proposal in
this final action. For the non-EGU
industries, in the final rule we made
some minor changes to the non-EGU
emissions units covered, the
applicability criteria, as well as
provided for facility-wide emissions
averaging for engines and for a low-use
exemption to eliminate the need to
install controls on low-use boilers.
Table VIII–1 provides the projected
2023 through 2027, 2030, 2035, and
2042 EGU NOX, SO2, PM2.5, and CO2
emissions reductions for the evaluated
regulatory control alternatives. For
additional information on emissions
changes, see Table 4–6 and Table 4–7 in
Chapter 4 of the RIA.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
TABLE VIII–1—EGU OZONE SEASON NOX EMISSIONS CHANGES AND ANNUAL EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (TONS) FOR NOX,
SO2, PM2.5, AND CO2 FOR THE REGULATORY CONTROL ALTERNATIVES FROM 2023–2042
2023:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
418 Please note, exposure results should not be
extrapolated to other air pollutant. Detailed
environmental justice analytical results can be
found in Chapter 7 of the RIA.
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Final rule
Less stringent
alternative
More stringent
alternative
10,000
15,000
1,000
..........................
10,000
15,000
3,000
............................
10,000
15,000
1,000
............................
419 This does not constitute EPA’s tribal
consultation under E.O. 13175, which is described
in section XI.F of this rule.
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420 Comments and responses regarding
environmental justice considerations are available
in Section 6 of the RTC document for this
rulemaking.
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36847
TABLE VIII–1—EGU OZONE SEASON NOX EMISSIONS CHANGES AND ANNUAL EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (TONS) FOR NOX,
SO2, PM2.5, AND CO2 FOR THE REGULATORY CONTROL ALTERNATIVES FROM 2023–2042—Continued
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2024:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2025:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2026:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2027:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2030:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2035:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual) ............................................................................................................
2042:
NOX (ozone season) ..................................................................................................
NOX (annual) ..............................................................................................................
SO2 (annual) ...............................................................................................................
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons) ..........................................................................
PM2.5 (annual).
Final rule
Less stringent
alternative
More stringent
alternative
..........................
............................
............................
21,000
25,000
19,000
10,000
1,000
10,000
15,000
5,000
4,000
............................
33,000
57,000
59,000
20,000
1,000
32,000
35,000
38,000
21,000
2,000
10,000
15,000
7,000
8,000
1,000
56,000
99,000
118,000
40,000
2,000
25,000
29,000
29,000
16,000
1,000
8,000
12,000
5,000
6,000
............................
49,000
88,000
104,000
34,000
2,000
19,000
22,000
21,000
10,000
1,000
6,000
9,000
4,000
3,000
............................
43,000
78,000
91,000
28,000
2,000
34,000
62,000
93,000
26,000
1,000
33,000
59,000
98,000
23,000
1,000
31,000
50,000
51,000
8,000
............................
29,000
46,000
21,000
16,000
1,000
30,000
46,000
19,000
15,000
1,000
27,000
41,000
15,000
8,000
............................
22,000
23,000
15,000
9,000
22,000
22,000
15,000
8,000
22,000
21,000
7,000
4,000
Emissions changes for NOX, SO2, and PM2.5 are in tons.
Table VIII–2 provides a summary of
the ozone season NOX emissions for
non-EGUs for the 20 states subject to the
non-EGU emissions requirements
starting in 2026, along with the
estimated ozone season NOX reductions
for 2026 for the rule and the less and
more stringent alternatives. The analysis
in the RIA assumes that the estimated
reductions in 2026 will be the same in
later years.
TABLE VIII–2—OZONE SEASON NOX EMISSIONS AND EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (TONS) FOR NON-EGUS FOR THE FINAL
RULE AND THE LESS AND MORE STRINGENT ALTERNATIVES
2019 Ozone
season
emissions a
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State
AR ....................................................................................................
CA ....................................................................................................
IL ......................................................................................................
IN .....................................................................................................
KY ....................................................................................................
LA .....................................................................................................
MD ...................................................................................................
MI .....................................................................................................
MO ...................................................................................................
MS ....................................................................................................
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Final rule—
ozone season
NOX reductions
8,790
16,562
15,821
16,673
10,134
40,954
2,818
20,576
11,237
9,763
Sfmt 4700
Less stringent—
ozone season
NOX reductions
More stringent—
ozone season
NOX reductions
457
1,432
751
1,352
583
1,869
147
760
579
507
1,690
4,346
2,991
3,428
3,120
7,687
1,145
5,087
4,716
2,650
1,546
1,600
2,311
1,976
2,665
7,142
157
2,985
2,065
2,499
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TABLE VIII–2—OZONE SEASON NOX EMISSIONS AND EMISSIONS REDUCTIONS (TONS) FOR NON-EGUS FOR THE FINAL
RULE AND THE LESS AND MORE STRINGENT ALTERNATIVES—Continued
2019 Ozone
season
emissions a
State
Final rule—
ozone season
NOX reductions
Less stringent—
ozone season
NOX reductions
More stringent—
ozone season
NOX reductions
NJ .....................................................................................................
NV 421 ...............................................................................................
NY ....................................................................................................
OH ....................................................................................................
OK ....................................................................................................
PA ....................................................................................................
TX ....................................................................................................
UT ....................................................................................................
VA ....................................................................................................
WV ...................................................................................................
2,078
2,544
5,363
18,000
26,786
14,919
61,099
4,232
7,757
6,318
242
0
958
3,105
4,388
2,184
4,691
252
2,200
1,649
242
0
726
1,031
1,376
1,656
1,880
52
978
408
258
0
1,447
4,006
5,276
4,550
9,963
615
2,652
2,100
Totals ........................................................................................
302,425
44,616
16,786
67,728
a The
2019 ozone season emissions are calculated as 5/12 of the annual emissions from the following two emissions inventory files: nonegu_
SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_13sep2021_v0 and oilgas_SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_
13sep2021_v0.
For EGUs, the EPA analyzed ozone
season NOX emissions reductions and
the associated costs to the power sector
using the Integrated Planning Model
(IPM) and its underlying data and
inputs. For non-EGUs, the EPA prepared
an assessment summarized in the
memorandum titled Summary of Final
Rule Applicability Criteria and
Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs, and the memorandum
includes estimated emissions reductions
by state for the rule.421
Table VIII–3 reflects the estimates of
the changes in the cost of supplying
electricity for the regulatory control
alternatives for EGUs and estimates of
complying with the emissions
requirements for non-EGUs. The costs
presented in Table VIII–3 do not include
monitoring and reporting costs, which
EPA summarizes in section X.B.2 of this
document. The monitoring and
reporting costs presented in section
X.B.2 are $0.35 million per year for
EGUs and $3.8 million per year for nonEGUs. For EGUs, compliance costs are
negative in 2026. While seemingly
counterintuitive, estimating negative
compliance costs in a single year is
possible given IPM’s objective function
is to minimize the discounted net
present value (NPV) of a stream of
annual total cost of generation over a
multi-decadal time period. As such the
model may undertake a compliance
pathway that pushes higher costs later
into the forecast period, since future
costs are discounted more heavily than
near term costs. This can result in a
policy scenario showing single year
costs that are lower than the Baseline,
but over the entire forecast horizon, the
policy scenario shows higher costs.422
For a detailed description of these cost
trends, please see Chapter 4, section
4.5.2, of the RIA. For a detailed
description of the methods and results
from the memorandum titled Summary
of Final Rule Applicability Criteria and
Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control
Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated
Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs, see Chapter 4, sections 4.4
and 4.5.4 of the RIA.
TABLE VIII–3—TOTAL ESTIMATED COMPLIANCE COSTS (MILLION 2016$), 2023–2042
2023:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
Total ............................................................................................................................
2024:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Total ............................................................................................................................
2025:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
Final rule
Less-stringent
alternative
More-stringent
alternative
57
..........................
56
............................
49
............................
57
56
49
(5)
..........................
(35)
............................
840
............................
(5)
(35)
840
(5)
..........................
(35)
............................
840
............................
(5)
(35)
840
Total ............................................................................................................................
2026:
421 We are not aware of existing non-EGU
emissions units in Nevada that meet the
applicability criteria for non-EGUs in the final rule.
If any such units in fact exist, they would be subject
to the requirements of the rule just as in any other
state. In addition, any new emissions unit in
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Nevada that meets the applicability criteria in the
final rule will be subject to the final rule’s
requirements. See section III.B.1.d.
422 As a sensitivity, the EPA re-calculated costs
assuming annual costs cannot be negative. This
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resulted in annualized 2023–42 costs under the
final rule increasing from $448.6 million to $449.5
million (less than 1%) and did not change the
conclusions of the RIA. See Section 4.5.2 of the RIA
for more information.
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TABLE VIII–3—TOTAL ESTIMATED COMPLIANCE COSTS (MILLION 2016$), 2023–2042—Continued
Less-stringent
alternative
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Final rule
More-stringent
alternative
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
(5)
570
(35)
140
840
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2027:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
570
110
2,100
24
570
(47)
140
760
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2028:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
600
97
2,000
24
570
(47)
140
760
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2029:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
600
97
2,000
24
570
(47)
140
760
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2030:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
600
97
2,000
710
570
770
140
840
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2031:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,300
920
2,100
710
570
770
140
840
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2032:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,300
920
2,100
820
570
850
140
590
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2033:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
990
1,900
820
570
850
140
590
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2034:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
990
1,900
820
570
850
140
590
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2035:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
990
1,900
820
570
850
140
590
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2036:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
990
1,900
820
570
850
140
590
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2037:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
990
1,900
820
570
850
140
590
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2038:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
990
1,900
820
570
830
140
600
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2039:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
970
1,900
820
570
830
140
600
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2040:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
1,400
970
1,900
820
830
600
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TABLE VIII–3—TOTAL ESTIMATED COMPLIANCE COSTS (MILLION 2016$), 2023–2042—Continued
Less-stringent
alternative
Final rule
More-stringent
alternative
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
570
140
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2041:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
970
1,900
820
570
830
140
600
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
2042:
EGUs ..........................................................................................................................
Non-EGUs ..................................................................................................................
1,400
970
1,900
820
570
830
140
600
1,300
Total ............................................................................................................................
1,400
970
1,900
Tables VIII–4 and VIII–5 report the
estimated economic value of avoided
premature deaths and illness in each
year relative to the baseline along with
the 95 percent confidence interval. In
each of these tables, for each discount
rate and regulatory control alternative,
two benefits estimates are presented
reflecting alternative ozone and PM2.5
mortality risk estimates. For additional
information on these benefits, see
Chapter 5 of the RIA.
TABLE VIII–4—ESTIMATED DISCOUNTED ECONOMIC VALUE OF AVOIDED OZONE-RELATED PREMATURE MORTALITY AND
ILLNESS FOR THE FINAL RULE AND THE LESS AND MORE STRINGENT ALTERNATIVES IN 2023
[95 Percent confidence interval; millions of 2016$] a b
Disc rate
Pollutant
Final rule
Less stringent
alternative
More stringent
alternative
3% ...................
Ozone Benefits ...........
7% ...................
Ozone Benefits ...........
$100 [$27 to $220] c and $820 [$91 to
$2,100] d.
$93 [$17 to 210] c and $730 [$75 to
$1,900] d.
$100 [$27 to $220] c and $810 [$91 to
$2,100] d.
$93 [$17 to $210] c and $730 [$75 to
$1,900] d.
$110 [$28 to $230] c and $840 [$94 to
$2,200] d.
$96 [$18 to $210] c and $750 [$77 to
$2,000] d.
a Values rounded to two significant figures. The two benefits estimates are separated by the word ‘‘and’’ to signify that they are two separate estimates. The estimates do not represent lower- and upper-bound estimates and should not be summed.
b We estimated ozone benefits for changes in NO for the ozone season. This table does not include benefits from reductions for non-EGUs because reductions
X
from these sources are not expected prior to 2026 when the final standards would apply to these sources.
c Using the pooled short-term ozone exposure mortality risk estimate.
d Using the long-term ozone exposure mortality risk estimate.
TABLE VIII–5—ESTIMATED DISCOUNTED ECONOMIC VALUE OF AVOIDED OZONE AND PM2.5-RELATED PREMATURE
MORTALITY AND ILLNESS FOR THE FINAL RULE AND THE LESS AND MORE STRINGENT ALTERNATIVES IN 2026
[95% Confidence interval; millions of 2016$] a b
Disc rate
Pollutant
Final rule
Less stringent
alternative
More stringent
alternative
3% ...................
Ozone Benefits ...........
$1,100 [$280 to $2,400] c and $9,400
[$1,000 to $25,000] d.
$2,000 [$220 to $5,300] and $4,400
[$430 to $12,000].
$3,200 [$500 to $7,700] c and $14,000
[$1,500 to $36,000] d.
$1,000 [$180 to $2,300] c and $8,400
[$850 to $22,000] d.
$1,800 [$190 to $4,700] and $3,900
[$380 to $11,000].
$2,800 [$370 to $7,000] c and $12,000
[$1,200 to $33,000] d.
$420 [$110 to $900] c and $3,400
[$380 to $8,900] d.
$530 [$57 to $1,400] and $1,100 [$110
to $3,100].
$950 [$160 to $2,300] c and $4,600
[$490 to $12,000] d.
$380 [$68 to $850] c and $3,100 [$310
to $8,100] d.
470 [$50 to $1,200] and $1,000 [$100
to $2,800].
$850 [$120 to $2,100] c and $4,100
[$410 to $11,000] d.
$1,900 [470 to $4,000] c and $15,000
[$1,700 to $40,000] d.
$6,400 [$690 to $17,000] and $14,000
[$1,300 to $37,000]
$8,300 [$1,200 to $21,000] c and
$29,000 [$3,000 to $77,000] d.
$1,700 [$300 to $3,800] c and $14,000
[$1,400 to $36,000] d.
$5,800 [$600 to $15,000] and $12,000
[$1,200 to $33,000].
$7,500 [$910 to $19,000] c and
$26,000 [$2,600 to $69,000] d.
PM Benefits ................
7% ...................
Ozone plus PM Benefits.
Ozone Benefits ...........
PM Benefits ................
Ozone plus PM Benefits.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
a Values rounded to two significant figures. The two benefits estimates are separated by the word ‘‘and’’ to signify that they are two separate estimates. The estimates do not represent lower- and upper-bound estimates and should not be summed.
b We estimated changes in NO for the ozone season and annual changes in PM
X
2.5 and PM2.5 precursors in 2026.
c Sum of ozone mortality estimated using the pooled short-term ozone exposure risk estimate and the Di et al. (2017) long-term PM
2.5 exposure mortality risk estimate.
d Sum of the Turner et al. (2016) long-term ozone exposure risk estimate and the Di et al. (2017) long-term PM
exposure
mortality
risk estimate.
2.5
In Tables VIII–6, VIII–7, and VIII–8,
the EPA presents a summary of the
monetized health and climate benefits,
costs, and net benefits of the rule and
the more and less stringent alternatives
for 2023, 2026, and 2030, respectively.
There are important water quality
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benefits and health benefits associated
with reductions in concentrations of air
pollutants other than ozone and PM2.5
that are not quantified. Discussion of the
non-monetized health, welfare, and
water quality benefits is found in
Chapter 5 of the RIA. In this action,
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monetized climate benefits are
presented for purposes of providing a
complete economic impact analysis
under E.O. 12866 and other relevant
Executive orders. The estimates of GHG
emissions changes and the monetized
benefits associated with those changes
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is not part of the record basis for this
action, which is taken to implement the
good neighbor provision, CAA section
36851
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.
TABLE VIII–6—MONETIZED BENEFITS, COSTS, AND NET BENEFITS OF THE FINAL RULE AND LESS AND MORE STRINGENT
ALTERNATIVES FOR 2023 FOR THE U.S.
[3% Discount rate for benefits, millions of 2016$] a b
Health Benefits c ............................
Climate Benefits .............................
Total Benefits .................................
Costs d ............................................
Net Benefits ...................................
Final rule
Less stringent
alternative
More stringent
alternative
$100 and $820 .............................
$5 ..................................................
$100 and $820 .............................
$57 ................................................
$48 and $760 ...............................
$100 and $810 .............................
$4 ..................................................
$100 and $820 .............................
$56 ................................................
$48 and $760 ...............................
$110 and $840.
$5.
$110 and $840.
$49.
$66 and $800.
a We focus results to provide a snapshot of costs and benefits in 2023, using the best available information to approximate social costs and social benefits recognizing uncertainties and limitations in those estimates.
b Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
c The health benefits are associated with two point estimates from two different epidemiologic studies. For the purposes of presenting the values in this table the health and climate benefits are discounted at 3 percent.
d The costs presented in this table are 2023 annual estimates for each alternative analyzed. For EGUs, an NPV of costs was calculated using
a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM’s objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please see Chapter 4, Table 4–8 in the RIA.
TABLE VIII–7—MONETIZED BENEFITS, COSTS, AND NET BENEFITS OF THE FINAL RULE AND LESS AND MORE STRINGENT
ALTERNATIVES FOR 2026 FOR THE U.S.
[3% Discount rate for benefits, millions of 2016$] a b
Health Benefits c ............................
Climate Benefits .............................
Total Benefits .................................
Costs d ............................................
Net Benefits ...................................
Final rule
Less stringent
alternative
More stringent
alternative
$3,200 and $14,000 .....................
$1,100 ...........................................
$4,300 and $15,000 .....................
$570 ..............................................
$3,700 and $14,000 .....................
$950 and $4,600 ..........................
$420 ..............................................
$1,400 and $5,000 .......................
$110 ..............................................
$1,300 and $4,900 .......................
$8,300 and $29,000.
$2,100.
$10,000 and $31,000.
$2,100.
$8,300 and $29,000.
a We focus results to provide a snapshot of costs and benefits in 2026, using the best available information to approximate social costs and social benefits recognizing uncertainties and limitations in those estimates.
b Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
c The health benefits are associated with two point estimates from two different epidemiologic studies. For the purposes of presenting the values in this table the health and climate benefits are discounted at 3 percent.
d The costs presented in this table are 2026 annual estimates for each alternative analyzed. For EGUs, an NPV of costs was calculated using
a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM’s objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please see Chapter 4, Table 4–8 in the RIA.
TABLE VIII–8—MONETIZED BENEFITS, COSTS, AND NET BENEFITS OF THE FINAL RULE AND LESS AND MORE STRINGENT
ALTERNATIVES FOR 2030 FOR THE U.S.
[3% Discount rate for benefits, millions of 2016$] a b
Less stringent
alternative
Final rule
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Health Benefits c ............................
Climate Benefits .............................
Total Benefits .................................
Costs d ............................................
Net Benefits ...................................
$3,400
$1,500
$4,900
$1,300
$3,600
and $15,000 .....................
...........................................
and $16,000 .....................
...........................................
and $15,000 .....................
More stringent
alternative
$1,000 and $4,900 .......................
$1,300 ...........................................
$2,300 and $6,200 .......................
$920 ..............................................
$1,400 and $5,300 .......................
$9,000 and $31,000.
$500.
$9,500 and $31,000.
$2,100.
$7,400 and $29,000.
a We focus results to provide a snapshot of costs and benefits in 2030, using the best available information to approximate social costs and social benefits recognizing uncertainties and limitations in those estimates.
b Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
c The health benefits are associated with two point estimates from two different epidemiologic studies. For the purposes of presenting the values in this table the health and climate benefits are discounted at 3 percent.
d The costs presented in this table are 2030 annual estimates for each alternative analyzed. For EGUs, an NPV of costs was calculated using
a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM’s objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please see Chapter 4, Table 4–8 in the RIA.
In addition, Table VIII–9 presents
estimates of the present value (PV) of
the monetized benefits and costs and
the equivalent annualized value (EAV),
an estimate of the annualized value of
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the net benefits consistent with the
present value, over the twenty-year
period of 2023 to 2042. The estimates of
the PV and EAV are calculated using
discount rates of 3 and 7 percent as
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recommended by OMB’s Circular A–4
and are presented in 2016 dollars
discounted to 2023.
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TABLE VIII–9—MONETIZED ESTIMATED HEALTH AND CLIMATE BENEFITS, COMPLIANCE COSTS, AND NET BENEFITS OF THE
FINAL RULE AND LESS AND MORE STRINGENT ALTERNATIVES, 2023 THROUGH 2042
[Millions 2016$, discounted to 2023]
3 Percent discount rate
PV
7 Percent discount rate
EAV
PV
EAV
Health benefits
Final Rule .........................................................................................................
Less Stringent Alternative ................................................................................
More Stringent Alternative ...............................................................................
$200,000
67,000
410,000
$13,000
4,500
28,000
$130,000
40,000
240,000
$12,000
3,800
23,000
15,000
11,000
14,000
970
770
920
15,000
11,000
14,000
970
770
920
14,000
8,700
25,000
910
590
1,700
9,400
5,300
17,000
770
500
1,600
200,000
70,000
400,000
13,000
4,700
27,000
140,000
42,000
240,000
12,000
4,000
22,000
Climate Benefits a
Final Rule .........................................................................................................
Less Stringent Alternative ................................................................................
More Stringent Alternative ...............................................................................
Compliance Costs
Final Rule .........................................................................................................
Less Stringent Alternative ................................................................................
More Stringent Alternative ...............................................................................
Net Benefits
Final Rule .........................................................................................................
Less Stringent Alternative ................................................................................
More Stringent Alternative ...............................................................................
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
a Climate benefits are calculated using four different estimates of the social cost of carbon (SC–CO ) (model average at 2.5 percent, 3 percent,
2
and 5 percent discount rates; 95th percentile at 3 percent discount rate). For presentational purposes in this table, the climate benefits associated with the average SC–CO2 at a 3-percent discount rate are used in the columns displaying results of other costs and benefits that are discounted at either a 3-percent or 7-percent discount rate.
As shown in Table VIII–9, the PV of
the monetized health benefits of this
rule, discounted at a 3-percent discount
rate, is estimated to be about $200
billion ($200,000 million), with an EAV
of about $13 billion ($13,000 million).
At a 7-percent discount rate, the PV of
the monetized health benefits is
estimated to be $130 billion ($130,000
million), with an EAV of about $12
billion ($12,000 million). The PV of the
monetized climate benefits of this rule,
discounted at a 3-percent discount rate,
is estimated to be about $15 billion
($15,000 million), with an EAV of about
$970 million. The PV of the monetized
compliance costs, discounted at a 3percent rate, is estimated to be about
$14 billion ($14,000 million), with an
EAV of about $910 million. At a 7percent discount rate, the PV of the
compliance costs is estimated to be
about $9.4 billion ($9,400 million), with
an EAV of about $770 million.
In addition to the analysis of costs
and benefits as described above, for the
final rule, the EPA was able to conduct
a full-scale photochemical grid
modeling run of the effects of the ‘‘final
rule’’ emissions control scenario in
2026. This modeling can be used to
estimate the impacts on projected 2026
ozone design values that are expected
from the combined EGU and non-EGU
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control emissions reductions in this
final rule. These results do not replace
the AQAT-generated estimates used for
our Step 3 determinations, and the EPA
needed to continue to use AQAT for
Step 3 determinations in order to
characterize various potential control
scenarios to inform these regulatory
determinations. Nonetheless, though
they differ slightly from the AQATgenerated air quality estimates of the
final rule control scenario conducted for
purposes of our Step 3 analysis (as
presented in section V.D of this
document), these results using full-scale
photochemical grid modeling
complement those estimates and
confirm in all cases the regulatory
conclusions reached applying AQAT.423
Appendix 3A of the RIA presents the
full results of the projected impacts of
the final rule control scenario on ozone
levels using CAMx. To briefly
summarize, the largest reductions in
423 Note that the EPA’s ‘‘overcontrol’’ analysis
relies primarily on a ‘‘Step 3’’ control scenario
rather than the ‘‘full geography’’ scenario. The
CAMx modeling described here captures the effects
of the rule as a whole and so is more akin to the
‘‘full geography’’ scenario, which the EPA does not
believe is the appropriate method for conducting
overcontrol analysis. Nonetheless, as explained in
the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD, the results under either scenario establish no
overcontrol, and the CAMx results presented here
do not call those conclusions into question.
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ozone design values at identified
receptors are predicted to occur in the
Houston-Galveston-Brazoria, Texas area.
In this area the reductions from the final
rule case range from 0.7 to 0.9 ppb. At
most of the receptors in both the Dallas/
Ft Worth and the New York/Coastal
Connecticut areas the reductions in
ozone range from 0.4 to 0.5 ppb. At
receptors in Indiana, Michigan, and
Wisconsin near the shoreline of Lake
Michigan, ozone is projected to decline
by 0.3 to 0.4 ppb, but by as much as 0.5
ppb at the receptor in Muskegon, MI.
Reductions of 0.1 ppb are predicted in
the urban and near-urban receptors in
Chicago. In the West, ozone reductions
just under 0.2 ppb are predicted at
receptors in Denver with slightly greater
reductions, just above 0.2 ppb, at
receptors in Salt Lake City. At receptors
in Phoenix, California, El Paso/Las
Cruces, and southeast New Mexico the
reductions in ozone are predicted to be
less than 0.1 ppb.
IX. Summary of Changes to the
Regulatory Text for the Federal
Implementation Plans and Trading
Programs for EGUs
This section describes the
amendments to the regulatory text that
implement the findings and remedy
discussed elsewhere in this rule with
respect to EGUs. The primary CFR
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ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
amendments are revisions to the FIP
provisions addressing states’ good
neighbor obligations related to ozone in
40 CFR part 52 as well as the revisions
to the regulations for the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
in 40 CFR part 97, subpart GGGGG. In
conjunction with the amendments to the
Group 3 trading program, the
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting regulations in 40 CFR part 75
are being amended to reflect the
addition of certain new reporting
requirements associated with the
amended trading program and the
administrative appeal provisions in 40
CFR part 78 are being amended to
identify certain additional types of
appealable decisions of the EPA
Administrator under the amended
trading program. The provisions to
address the transition of the EGUs in
certain states from the Group 2 trading
program to the Group 3 trading program
are implemented in part through
revisions to the regulations noted
previously and in part through revisions
to the regulations for the Group 2
trading program in 40 CFR part 97,
subpart EEEEE.
In addition to these primary
amendments, certain revisions are being
made to the regulations for the other
CSAPR trading programs in 40 CFR part
97, subparts AAAAA through EEEEE,
for conformity with the amended
provisions of the Group 3 trading
program, as discussed in section
VI.B.13. Documents have been included
in the docket for this rule showing all
of the revisions in redline-strikeout
format.
A. Amendments to FIP Provisions in 40
CFR Part 52
The CSAPR, CSAPR Update, and
Revised CSAPR Update FIP
requirements related to ozone season
NOX emissions are set forth in 40 CFR
52.38(b) as well as other sections of part
52 specific to each covered state. The
existing text of § 52.38(b)(1) identifies
the trading program regulations in 40
CFR part 97, subparts BBBBB, EEEEE,
and GGGGG, as constituting the relevant
FIP provisions relating to seasonal NOX
emissions and transported ozone
pollution. Because in this rulemaking
the EPA is establishing new or amended
FIP requirements not only for the types
of EGUs covered by the trading
programs but also for certain types of
industrial sources, an amendment to
§ 52.38(b)(1) clarifies that the trading
programs constitute the FIP provisions
only for the sources meeting the
applicability requirements of the trading
programs. A parallel clarification is
being added to §§ 52.38(a)(1) and
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52.39(a) with respect to the CSAPR FIP
requirements relating to annual NOX
emissions, SO2 emissions, and
transported fine particulate pollution.
The states whose EGU sources are
required to participate in the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1, Group 2,
and Group 3 trading programs under the
FIPs established in CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update, as well as the control periods
for which those requirements apply, are
identified in § 52.38(b)(2). The
amendments to this paragraph expand
the applicability of the Group 3 trading
program to sources in the ten additional
states that the EPA is adding to the
Group 3 trading program starting with
the 2023 control period and end the
applicability of the Group 2 trading
program (with the exception of certain
provisions) for sources in seven of the
ten states after the 2022 control period,
as discussed in section VI.B.2.424 The
paragraphs within § 52.38(b)(2) are
being renumbered to clarify the
organization of the provisions and to
facilitate cross-references from other
regulatory provisions. Regarding the two
states currently participating in the
Group 2 trading program through
approved SIP revisions that replaced the
previous FIPs issued under the CSAPR
Update (Alabama and Missouri), a
provision indicating that the EPA will
no longer administer the state trading
programs adopted under those SIP
revisions after the 2022 control period is
being added at § 52.38(b)(16)(ii)(B).
In the Revised CSAPR Update, the
EPA established several options for
states to revise their SIPs to modify or
replace the FIPs applicable to their
sources while continuing to use the
Group 3 trading program as the
mechanism for meeting the states’ good
neighbor obligations. As in effect before
this rule, § 52.38(b)(10), (11), and (12)
established options to replace allowance
allocations for the 2022 control period,
to adopt an abbreviated SIP revision for
control periods in 2023 or later years,
and to adopt a full SIP revision for
control periods in 2023 or later years,
respectively.425 As discussed in section
VI.D, the EPA is retaining these SIP
revision options and is making them
available for all states covered by the
Group 3 trading program after the
geographic expansion. The option under
424 Like the previous text of § 52.38(b)(2), the final
amended text expressly encompasses sources in
Indian country within the respective states’ borders.
425 Revisions to the deadlines for states with
approved SIP revisions to submit their statedetermined allowance allocations to the EPA for
subsequent recordation were finalized in an earlier
final rule in this docket. See 87 FR 52473 (August
26, 2022).
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§ 52.38(b)(10) to replace allowance
allocations for a single control period is
being amended to be available for the
2024 control period, with attendant
revisions to the years and dates shown
in § 52.38(b)(10) (multiple paragraphs)
and (b)(17)(i) as well as the Group 3
trading program regulations, as
discussed in section IX.B. The options
under § 52.38(b)(11) and (12) to adopt
abbreviated or full SIP revisions are
being amended to be available starting
with the 2025 control period, with
attendant revisions to § 52.38(b)(11)(iii),
(b)(12)(iii), and (b)(17)(ii).426 The
removal of the previous options for
states to expand applicability of the
trading programs for ozone season NOX
emissions to certain non-EGUs and
smaller EGUs, discussed in sections
VI.D.2 and VI.D.3, is accomplished by
the removal or revision of multiple
paragraphs of § 52.38(b), including most
notably the removal of § 52.38(b)(4)(i),
(b)(5)(i), (b)(8)(i)–(ii), (b)(9)(i)–(ii),
(b)(11)(i)–(iii), and (b)(12)(i)–(iii).
The changes with respect to set-asides
and the treatment of units in Indian
country discussed in section VI.B.9,
although implemented largely through
amendments to the Group 3 trading
program regulations, are also
implemented in part through
amendments to § 52.38(b)(11) and (12).
First, the text in § 52.38(b)(11)(iii)(A)
and (b)(12)(iii)(A) identifying the
portion of each state trading budget for
which a state may establish statedetermined allowance allocations is
being revised to exclude any allowances
in a new unit set-aside or Indian
country existing unit set-aside. Second,
the text in § 52.38(b)(12)(vi) identifying
provisions that states may not adopt
into their SIPs (because the provisions
concern regulation of sources in Indian
country not subject to a state’s CAA
implementation planning authority) are
being revised to include the provisions
of the amended Group 3 trading
program addressing allocation and
recordation of allowances from all types
of set-asides. Finally, the text in
§ 52.38(b)(12)(vii) authorizing the EPA
to modify the previous approval of a SIP
revision with regard to the assurance
provisions ‘‘if and when a covered unit
is located in Indian country’’ are being
revised to account for the fact that at
least one covered unit is already located
in Indian country not subject to a state’s
CAA planning authority.
The transitional provisions discussed
in sections VI.B.12.b and VI.B.12.c to
426 No state currently in the Group 3 trading
program has submitted a SIP revision to make use
of these options in control periods before the
control periods in which the options can be used
under the amended provisions.
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convert certain 2017–2022 Group 2
allowances to Group 3 allowances and
to recall certain 2023–2024 Group 2
allowances, although promulgated as
amendments to the Group 2 trading
program regulations, will necessarily be
implemented after the end of the 2022
control period. Amendments clarifying
that these provisions continue to apply
to the relevant sources and holders of
allowances notwithstanding the
transition of certain states out of the
Group 2 trading program after the 2022
control period are being added at
§ 52.38(b)(14)(iii). Cross-references
clarifying that the EPA’s allocations of
the converted Group 3 allowances are
not subject to modification through SIP
revisions are also being added to the
existing provisions at
§ 52.38(b)(11)(iii)(D) and (b)(12)(iii)(D).
The general FIP provisions applicable
to all states covered by this rule as set
forth in § 52.38(b)(2) are being
replicated in the state-specific subparts
of 40 CFR part 52 for each of the ten
states that the EPA is adding to the
Group 3 trading program.427 In each
such state-specific CFR subpart,
provisions are being added indicating
that sources in the state are required to
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program with
respect to emissions starting in 2023.
Provisions are also being added
repeating the substance of
§ 52.38(b)(13)(i), which generally
provides that the Administrator’s full
and unconditional approval of a full SIP
revision correcting the same SIP
deficiency that is the basis for a FIP
promulgated in this rulemaking would
cause the FIP to no longer apply to
sources subject to the state’s CAA
implementation planning authority, and
§ 52.38(b)(14)(ii), which generally
provides the EPA with authority to
complete recordation of EPAdetermined allowance allocations for
any control period for which EPA has
already started such recordation
notwithstanding the approval of a state’s
SIP revision establishing statedetermined allowance allocations.
For each of the seven states that the
EPA is removing from the Group 2
trading program, the provisions of the
state-specific CFR subparts indicating
that sources in the state are required to
participate in that trading program are
being revised to end that requirement
with respect to emissions after 2022,
and a further provision is being added
427 See §§ 52.54(b) (Alabama), 52.184(a)
(Arkansas), 52.1240(d) (Minnesota), 52.1824(a)
(Mississippi), 52.1326(b) (Missouri), 52.1492
(Nevada), 52.1930(a) (Oklahoma), 52.2283(d)
(Texas), 52.2356 (Utah), and 52.2587(e)
(Wisconsin).
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repeating the substance of
§ 52.38(b)(14)(iii), which identifies
certain provisions that continue to
apply to sources and allowances
notwithstanding discontinuation of a
trading program with respect to a
particular state.428 In addition, for the
five states that during their time in the
Group 2 trading program have not
exercised the option to adopt full SIP
revisions to replace the FIPs issued
under the CSAPR Update (all but
Alabama and Missouri), obsolete
provisions concerning the unexercised
SIP revision option are being removed.
No amendments with respect to FIP
requirements for EGUs are being made
to the state-specific CFR subparts for the
twelve states whose sources currently
participate in the Group 3 trading
program429 except as needed to update
cross-references or to implement the
changes related to the treatment of
Indian country, as discussed in section
IX.D.
B. Amendments to Group 3 Trading
Program and Related Regulations
To implement the geographic
expansion of the Group 3 trading
program and the revised trading budgets
that are being established under the new
and amended FIPs in this rulemaking,
several sections of the Group 3 trading
program regulations are being amended.
Revisions identifying the applicable
control periods, deadlines for
certification of monitoring systems, and
deadlines for commencement of
quarterly reporting for sources not
previously covered by the Group 3
trading program are being made at
§§ 97.1006(c)(3)(i), 97.1030(b)(1), and
97.1034(d)(2)(i), respectively. Revisions
identifying the new or revised budgets
and new unit set-asides for the control
periods after 2022 for all covered states
are being made at § 97.1010(a)(1) and
(c)(2), respectively.
Each of the enhancements to the
Group 3 trading program discussed in
section VI.B is also implemented
primarily through revisions to the
trading program regulations. The
dynamic budget-setting process
discussed in sections VI.B.1.b.i and
VI.B.4 is implemented at § 97.1010(a)(2)
through (4), and the associated revised
process for determining variability
428 See §§ 52.54(b) (Alabama), 52.184(a)
(Arkansas), 52.1824(a) (Mississippi), 52.1326(b)
(Missouri), 52.1930(a) (Oklahoma), 52.2283(d)
(Texas), and 52.2587(e) (Wisconsin).
429 See §§ 52.731(b) (Illinois), 52.789(b) (Indiana),
52.940(b) (Kentucky), 52.984(d) (Louisiana),
52.1084(b) (Maryland), 52.1186(e) (Michigan),
52.1584(e) (New Jersey), 52.1684(b) (New York),
52.1882(b) (Ohio), 52.2040(b) (Pennsylvania),
52.2440(b) (Virginia), and 52.2540(b) (West
Virginia).
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limits and assurance levels discussed in
section VI.B.5 is implemented at
§ 97.1010(e). The Group 3 allowance
bank recalibration process discussed in
sections VI.B.1.b.ii and VI.B.6 is
implemented at § 97.1026(d). The
backstop daily NOX emissions rate
component of the primary emissions
limitation discussed in sections
VI.B.1.c.i and VI.B.7 is implemented at
§§ 97.1006(c)(1)(i) and 97.1024(b)(1) and
(3), accompanied by the addition of a
definition of ‘‘backstop daily NOX
emissions rate’’ and modification of the
definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowance’’ in
§§ 97.1002 and 97.1006(c)(6). The
secondary emissions limitation for
sources found responsible for
exceedances of the assurance levels
discussed in sections VI.B.1.c.ii and
VI.B.8 is implemented at
§§ 97.1006(c)(1)(iii) and (iv) and
(c)(3)(ii) and 97.1025(c), accompanied
by the addition of a definition of
‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
secondary emissions limitation’’ in
§ 97.1002.
The changes relating to set-asides, the
treatment of Indian country, and unitlevel allowance allocations discussed in
section VI.B.9 of this document are
implemented through revisions to
multiple paragraphs of §§ 97.1010,
97.1011, and 97.1012, as well as limited
revisions to §§ 97.1002 (definition of
‘‘allocate or allocation’’) and
97.1006(b)(2). In § 97.1010, paragraphs
(b), (c), and (d) address the amounts for
each control period of the Indian
country existing unit set-asides, new
unit set-asides, and Indian country new
unit set-asides, respectively.430
Paragraphs (b) and (d) reflect the
establishment of Indian country existing
unit set-asides starting with the 2023
control period and the discontinuation
of Indian country new unit set-asides
after the 2022 control period.
A newly added definition at § 97.1002
for ‘‘coal-derived fuel’’ (based on the
existing definition in 40 CFR 72.2) helps
in implementation of both the backstop
daily NOX emissions rate provisions and
the unit-level allocation provisions by
clarifying that the provisions apply
without regard to how any coal
combusted by a unit might have been
processed before combustion. Another
newly added definition at § 97.1002 for
‘‘historical control period’’ helps in
implementation of the dynamic budgetsetting provisions, the secondary
emissions limitation provisions, and the
430 The former § 97.1011(c), which addresses the
relationships of set-asides and variability limits to
state trading budgets, is being relocated to
§ 97.1011(f).
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unit-level allocation provisions by
facilitating references to data reported
by a unit for periods before the unit’s
entry into the Group 3 trading program.
The revisions to § 97.1011 refocus the
section exclusively on allocation to
‘‘existing’’ units from the portion of
each state emissions budget not reserved
in a new unit set-aside or Indian
country new unit set-aside. In
§ 97.1011(a), the provision formerly in
§ 97.1011(a)(1) requiring allocations to
existing units to be made in the amounts
provided in NODAs issued by the EPA
is being split into two separate
provisions, with paragraph (a)(1)
applying to existing units in the state
and areas of Indian country covered by
the state’s CAA implementation
planning authority and paragraph (a)(2)
applying to existing units in areas of
Indian country not covered by the
state’s CAA implementation planning
authority.431 This split will facilitate the
submission and approval of SIP
revisions by states interested in
submitting state-determined allowance
allocations for the units over which they
exercise CAA implementation authority,
while leaving allocations to any units
outside their authority to be addressed
either by the EPA or by the relevant
tribe under an approved tribal
implementation plan. The process for
determining default allocations to
existing units of allowances from state
trading budgets starting with the 2026
control period is set forth in revised
§ 97.1011(b), while the former
provisions of § 97.1011(b), which
concern timing and notice procedures
for allocations to new units, are being
relocated to § 97.1012. The provisions
addressing incorrectly allocated
allowances at § 97.1011(c) are being
streamlined by relocating the portions
applicable to new units to § 97.1012(c).
In addition, as discussed in section
VI.B.9.d, § 97.1011(c)(5) is being revised
to provide that, starting with the 2024
control period, any incorrectly allocated
allowances recovered after May 1 of the
year following the control period will
not be reallocated to other units in the
431 An additional provision currently in
§ 97.1011(a)(1), which clarifies that an allocation or
lack of allocation to a unit in a NODA does not
constitute a determination by the EPA that the unit
is or is not a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
unit, is being relocated to § 97.1011(a)(3). The
former § 97.1011(a)(2), which provides for certain
existing units that cease operations to receive
allocations for their first five control periods of nonoperation and provides for the allowances for
subsequent control periods to be allocated to the
relevant state’s new unit set-asides, is inconsistent
with the proposed revisions to the set-asides and
the default allowance allocation process, as
discussed in section VI.B.9, and is being removed
as obsolete.
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state but instead would be transferred to
a surrender account.
The revisions to § 97.1012 retain the
section’s current focus on allocations to
‘‘new’’ units, generally combining the
former provisions at § 97.1012 with the
former provisions at § 97.1011(b) and (c)
that address new units. The text of
multiple paragraphs in both § 97.1012(a)
and (b) is being revised as needed to
reflect the change in treatment of Indian
country discussed in section VI.B.9.a,
under which the new unit set-asides
will be used to provide allowance
allocations to new units both in nonIndian country and Indian country
within the borders of the respective
states for control periods starting in
2023.432 The timing and notice
provisions in § 97.1012(a)(13) and
(b)(13) are relocated from former
§ 97.1011(b)(1) and (2). The text of
§ 97.1012(c), addressing incorrect
allocations to new units, is largely
relocated from § 97.1011(c) (which
addresses incorrect allocations to
existing units) and reflects a parallel
revision addressing the disposition of
recovered allowances, as discussed in
section VI.B.9.d.
The amendments to § 97.1021
implement two distinct sets of changes
discussed in sections VI.B.9 and VI.D.1.
First, revisions to § 97.1021(b) through
(e) replace the previous schedule for
recording Group 3 allowances for the
2023 and 2024 control periods
established in the August 2022
Recordation Rule with an updated
recordation schedule tailored to the
effective date of this rule. The updated
schedule also eliminates the unused
former option for states to provide statedetermined allowance allocations for
the 2022 control period and establishes
a substantively equivalent new option
for states to provide state-determined
allowance allocations for the 2024
control period. Second, revisions to
§ 97.1021(g) through (j) begin
recordation for Indian country existing
unit set-asides starting with allocations
for the 2023 control period, modify the
text to eliminate references to statedetermined allocations of allowances
from new unit set-asides, and end
recordation for Indian country new unit
set-asides after allocations for the 2022
control period.
432 Revisions are also being made to the text of
§ 97.1012(a) and (b) for the control periods in 2021
and 2022 consistent with the revisions to the
parallel provisions in the regulations for the other
CSAPR trading programs, generally calling for
allocations to units in areas of Indian country
subject to a state’s CAA implementation planning
authority to be made from the new unit set-asides
instead of from the Indian country new unit setasides.
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Implementation of the revisions to the
Group 3 trading program is also
accomplished in part through
amendments to regulations in other CFR
parts. In 40 CFR part 75, which contains
detailed monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements applicable to
sources covered by the Group 3 trading
program, the additional recordkeeping
and reporting requirements discussed in
section VI.B.10 of this document are
implemented through the addition of
§§ 75.72(f) and 75.73(f)(1)(ix) and (x)
and revisions to § 75.75, and the
procedures for calculating daily total
heat input and daily total NOX
emissions and the procedures for
apportioning NOX mass emissions
monitored at a common stack among the
individual units using the common
stack are being added at sections 5.3.3,
8.4(c), and 8.5.3 of appendix F to part
75. In 40 CFR part 78, which contains
the administrative appeal procedures
applicable to decisions of the EPA
Administrator under the Group 3
trading program, § 78.1(b)(19) is being
amended to add calculation of the
dynamic budgets to the list of
administrative decisions under the
trading program regulations that will be
appealable under those procedures.
C. Transitional Provisions
As discussed in section VI.B.12, the
EPA is establishing several transitional
provisions for sources entering the
Group 3 trading program. The
provisions discussed in section
VI.B.12.a of this document, concerning
the prorating of state emissions budgets,
assurance levels, and unit-level
allocations for the 2023 control period,
are implemented through the Group 3
trading program regulations.
Specifically, the state emissions budgets
for the 2023 control period will be
prorated according to procedures set out
at § 97.1010(a)(1)(ii). Variability limits
for the 2023 control period, and the
resulting assurance levels, will be
computed under § 97.1010(e) from the
prorated state emissions budgets. Unitlevel allocations to existing units for the
2023 control period will be computed
from the prorated state emissions
budgets according to procedures
substantively the same as the
procedures codified in § 97.1011(b) for
calculating default allocations to
existing units for later control periods,
as discussed in section VI.B.9.b, and
will be announced in the notice of data
availability issued under § 97.1011(a)(1)
and (2) for the 2023 through 2025
control periods.
The remaining transitional provisions
are being implemented through the
Group 2 trading program regulations.
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The creation of an additional Group 3
allowance bank for the 2023 control
period through the conversion of
banked 2017–2022 Group 2 allowances
as discussed in section VI.B.12.b of this
document is implemented at
§ 97.826(e).433 Related provisions
addressing the use of Group 3
allowances to satisfy after-arising
compliance obligations under the Group
2 trading program or the Group 1
trading program are implemented at
§§ 97.826(f)(2) and 97.526(e)(3),
respectively, and related provisions
addressing recordation of late-arising
allocations of Group 1 allowances are
implemented at § 97.526(d)(2)(iii). The
recall of Group 2 allowances previously
issued for the 2023 and 2024 control
periods as discussed in section VI.B.12.c
of this document is implemented at
§ 97.811(e).
Decisions of the Administrator related
to the allowance bank creation
provisions and the allowance recall
provisions are identified as appealable
decisions under 40 CFR part 78 through
revisions to § 78.1(b)(17)(viii) and (ix).
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D. Clarifications and Conforming
Revisions
As discussed in section VI.B.13 of this
document, the EPA is revising the
provisions regarding allowance
allocations for units in Indian country
in all the CSAPR trading programs so
that instead of distinguishing among
units based on whether they are or are
not located in Indian country, the
revised provisions distinguish among
units based on whether they are or are
not covered by a state’s CAA
implementation planning authority. The
revisions are implemented in multiple
paragraphs of §§ 97.411(b), 97.412,
97.511(b), 97.512, 97.611(b), 97.612,
97.711(b), 97.712, 97.811(b), and 97.812.
The associated revisions to states’
options regarding SIP revisions to
establish state-determined allowance
allocations for units covered by their
CAA implementation planning
authority are implemented in multiple
paragraphs of §§ 52.38(a) and (b) and
52.39 as well as the state-specific
subparts of 40 CFR part 52.
Certain other revisions to the
regulatory text in the FIP and trading
program regulations are minor
simplifications and clarifications. First,
in the Group 2 trading program
regulations, the paragraphs in § 97.810
setting forth the amounts of state
emissions budgets, new unit set-asides,
433 The provision formerly at § 97.826(e)(1) is
being relocated to § 97.826(f)(1), and the provision
formerly at § 97.826(e)(2) is being removed as no
longer necessary.
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Indian country new unit set-asides, and
variability limits for states that the EPA
is transitioning out of the Group 2
trading program are being modified to
indicate that the amounts are applicable
under that program only for control
periods through 2022.
Second, as noted in sections VI.D.2
and VI.D.3, the existing options for
states subject to the NOX SIP Call to
expand applicability of the Group 2
trading program to include certain nonEGUs and smaller EGUs are being
eliminated. While the most directly
affected provisions are the provisions
setting forth the SIP options at
§ 52.38(b)(4), (5), (8), (9), (12), and (13),
as discussed in section IX.A of this
document, the changes also render
references to ‘‘base’’ units and ‘‘base’’
sources in the regulations for the Group
2 trading program and the Group 3
trading program obsolete. Removal of
the references to ‘‘base’’ units and
‘‘base’’ sources affects multiple
paragraphs of §§ 97.802, 97.806, 97.825,
97.1002, 97.1006, and 97.1025.
Third, to clarify the regulatory text,
the EPA is removing the language in the
Group 3 trading program regulations
that formerly appeared at §§ 97.1002
(definition of ‘‘common designated
representative’s assurance level’’),
97.1006(c)(2)(iii), 97.1010(d), and
97.1011(a)(1) referencing supplemental
amounts of allowances issued for the
2021 control period and associated
increments to the 2021 assurance levels
(each state’s assurance level increment
was described as 21 percent of the
state’s supplemental amount of
allowances). In place of the removed
language, the EPA is restating the
amounts of the 2021 state emissions
budgets in § 97.1010(a)(1)(i) so as to
include the supplemental amounts of
allowances and is restating the amounts
of the 2021 variability limits in
§ 97.1010(e)(1) so as to include the
associated assurance level increments.
The revised language is substantively
equivalent to and simpler than the
previous language.
Fourth, in 40 CFR part 75, the EPA is
removing obsolete text in § 75.73(c) and
(f) to clarify the context for other text
being added to the section, as discussed
in section IX.B of this document.
Fifth, in 40 CFR part 52, the EPA is
adding §§ 52.38(a)(7)(iii) and 52.39(k)(3)
to clarify in §§ 52.38 and 52.39 that the
Allowance Management System
housekeeping provisions added by the
Revised CSAPR Update at §§ 97.426(c),
97.626(c), and 97.726(c) in the
regulations for the CSAPR NOX Annual,
SO2 Group 1, and SO2 Group 2 trading
programs, respectively, continue to
apply after the sources in a given state
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have been removed from the programs,
consistent with the text of the latter
provisions.
Finally, the EPA is updating crossreferences throughout 40 CFR parts 52
and 97 for consistency with the other
amendments being made in this
rulemaking.
X. Statutory and Executive Orders
Reviews
Additional information about these
statutes and Executive orders (‘‘E.O.’’)
can be found at https://www2.epa.gov/
laws-regulations/laws-and-executiveorders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review and Executive
Order 13563: Improving Regulation and
Regulatory Review
This action is a significant regulatory
action within the scope of section 3(f)(1)
of Executive Order 12866 that was
submitted to the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) for review. Any
changes made in response to Executive
Order 12866 review have been
documented in the docket. The EPA
prepared an analysis of the potential
costs and benefits associated with this
action. This analysis, which is
contained in the ‘‘Regulatory Impact
Analysis for Final Federal Good
Neighbor Plan Addressing Regional
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone
National Ambient Air Quality
Standard’’ [EPA–452–R–23–001], is
available in the docket and is briefly
summarized in section VIII of this
document.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. Information Collection Request for
Electric Generating Units
The information collection activities
in this rule have been submitted for
approval to the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) under the PRA. The
Information Collection Request (ICR)
document that the EPA prepared has
been assigned EPA ICR number 2709.01.
The EPA has placed a copy of the ICR
in the docket for this rule, and it is
briefly summarized here.
The EPA is finalizing an information
collection request (ICR), related
specifically to electric generating units
(EGU), for the Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor
Plan’’ for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards. The
rule would amend the Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR) NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading program
addressing seasonal NOX emissions in
various states. Under the amendments,
all EGU sources in the original twelve
Group 3 states (Illinois, Indiana,
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Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia) would remain. Additionally,
EGU sources in seven states (Alabama,
Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin)
currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
would transition from the Group 2
program to the revised Group 3 trading
program beginning with the 2023 ozone
season. Further, sources in three states
not currently covered by any CSAPR
NOX ozone season trading program
would join the revised Group 3 trading
program: Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah.
In total, EGU sources in 22 states would
now be covered by the Group 3
program.
There is an existing ICR (OMB Control
Number 2060–0667), that includes
information collection requirements
placed on EGU sources for the six CrossState Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR)
trading programs addressing sulfur
dioxide (SO2) emissions, annual
nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions, or
seasonal NOX emissions in various sets
of states, and the Texas SO2 trading
program which is modeled after CSAPR.
This ICR accounts for the additional
respondent burden related to the
amendments to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Group 3 trading program.
The principal information collection
requirements under the CSAPR and
Texas trading programs relate to the
monitoring and reporting of emissions
and associated data in accordance with
40 CFR part 75. Other information
collection requirements under the
programs concern the submittal of
information necessary to allocate and
transfer emissions allowances and the
submittal of certificates of
representation and other typically onetime registration forms.
Affected sources under the CSAPR
and Texas trading programs are
generally stationary, fossil fuel-fired
boilers and combustion turbines serving
generators larger than 25 megawatts
(MW) producing electricity for sale.
Most of these affected sources are also
subject to the Acid Rain Program (ARP).
The information collection requirements
under the CSAPR and Texas trading
programs and the ARP substantially
overlap and are fully integrated. The
burden and costs of overlapping
requirements are accounted for in the
ARP ICR (OMB Control Number 2060–
0258). Thus, this ICR accounts for
information collection burden and costs
under the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading program that are
incremental to the burden and costs
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already accounted for in both the ARP
and CSAPR ICRs.
For most sources already reporting
data under the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 or the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Group 2 trading programs, the
reporting requirements will remain
identical so there will be no incremental
burden or cost. Certain sources
currently reporting data will be subject
to additional emissions reporting
requirements under the rule requiring
these sources to make a one-time
monitoring plan and DAHS update.
These sources include those with a
common stack configuration and/or
those that are large, coal-fired EGUs.
Additionally, sources with a common
stack configuration have the option to
install additional monitoring equipment
to measure emissions at each individual
unit within the facility, and for
purposes of estimating information
collection costs and burden, the EPA
assumes certain sources will utilize this
option. Finally, the assessment of
incremental cost and burden are
required for those sources in the three
states not currently reporting data under
a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season program.
Sources in Minnesota are already
reporting data for the CSAPR NOX
Annual program with almost identical
information collection requirements,
requiring only a one-time monitoring
plan and DAHS update. Most of the
affected sources in Nevada and Utah are
already reporting data as part of the
Acid Rain Program, thus only requiring
a monitoring plan and DAHS update as
well. There are a small number of
sources in Nevada and Utah that do not
report emissions data to the EPA under
40 CFR part 75 and will need to
implement a Part 75 monitoring
methodology which includes burdens
related to installation, certification, and
necessary updates.
Respondents/affected entities:
Industry respondents are stationary,
fossil fuel-fired boilers and combustion
turbines serving electricity generators
subject to the CSAPR and Texas trading
programs, as well as non-source entities
voluntarily participating in allowance
trading activities. Potential state
respondents are states that can elect to
submit state-determined allowance
allocations for sources located in their
states.
Respondent’s obligation to respond:
Industry respondents: voluntary and
mandatory (sections 110(a) and 301(a) of
the Clean Air Act).
Estimated number of respondents:
The EPA estimates that there would be
120 industry respondents.
Frequency of response: on occasion,
quarterly, and annually.
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Total estimated additional burden:
2,289 hours (per year). Burden is
defined at 5 CFR 1320.03(b).
Total estimated additional cost:
$356,623 (per year); includes $182,379
annualized capital or operation &
maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for the EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When
OMB approves this ICR, the Agency will
announce that approval in the Federal
Register and publish a technical
amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to display
the OMB control number for the
approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
2. Information Collection Request for
Non-Electric Generating Units
The information collection activities
in this final rule have been submitted
for approval to the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) under
the PRA. The Information Collection
Request (ICR) document that the EPA
prepared has been assigned EPA ICR
number 2705.02. The EPA has filed a
copy of the non-EGU ICR in the docket
for this rule, and it is briefly
summarized here.
ICR No. 2705.02 is a new request and
it addresses the burden associated with
new regulatory requirements under the
final rule. Owners and operators of
certain non-Electric Generating Unit
(non-EGU) industry stationary sources
will potentially modify or install new
emissions controls and associated
monitoring systems to meet the nitrogen
oxides (NOX) emissions limits of this
final rule. The burden in this ICR
reflects the new monitoring, calibrating,
recordkeeping, reporting and testing
activities required of covered industrial
sources. This information is being
collected to assure compliance with the
final rule. In accordance with the Clean
Air Act Amendments of 1990, any
monitoring information to be submitted
by sources is a matter of public record.
Information received and identified by
owners or operators as confidential
business information (CBI) and
approved as CBI by the EPA, in
accordance with 40 CFR chapter I, part
2, subpart B, shall be maintained
appropriately (see 40 CFR part 2; 41 FR
36902, September 1, 1976; amended by
43 FR 39999, September 8, 1978; 43 FR
42251, September 28, 1978; 44 FR
17674, March 23, 1979).
Respondents/affected entities: The
respondents/affected entities are the
owners/operators of certain non-EGU
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industry sources in the following
industry sectors: furnaces in Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers
and furnaces in Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing; kilns in
Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reciprocating internal
combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; and
boilers in Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and
Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and
combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
Respondent’s obligation to respond:
Voluntary and mandatory. (Sections
110(a) and 301(a) of the Clean Air Act.)
All data that is recorded or reported by
respondents is required by the final
rule, titled ‘‘Federal ‘‘Good Neighbor
Plan’’ for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards.’’
Estimated number of respondents:
3,328.
Frequency of response: The specific
frequency for each information
collection activity within the non-EGU
ICR is shown at the end of the ICR
document in Tables 1 through 18. In
general, the frequency varies across the
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting activities. Some recordkeeping
such as work plan preparation is a onetime activity whereas pipeline engine
maintenance recordkeeping is
conducted quarterly. Reporting
frequency is on an annual basis.
Total estimated burden: 11,481 hours
(per year). Burden is defined at 5 CFR
1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $3,823,000
(average per year); includes $2,400,000
annualized capital or operation &
maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for the EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When
OMB approves this ICR, the Agency will
announce that approval in the Federal
Register and publish a technical
amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to display
the OMB control number for the
approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have
a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the RFA. The small entities
subject to the requirements of this
action are small businesses, which
includes EGUs and non-EGUs and are
described in more detail below. In 2026,
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the EPA identified a total of 29 small
entities affected by the rule. Of these, 2
small entities may experience costs of
greater than 1 percent of revenues. In
2026 for EGUs, the EPA identified 19
small entities. The EPA’s decision to
exclude units smaller than 25 MW
capacity from the final rule, and
exclusion of uncontrolled units smaller
than 100 MW from backstop emissions
rates significantly reduced the burden
on small entities by reducing the
number of affected small entity-owned
units. Further, in 2026 for non-EGUs,
there are ten small entities, and two
small entities are estimated to have a
cost-to-sales impact between 1.7 and 2.4
percent of their revenues.
The Agency has not determined that
a significant number of small entities
potentially affected by the rule will have
compliance costs greater than 1 percent
of annual revenues during the
compliance period. The EPA has
concluded that there will be no
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities (No
SISNOSE) for this rule overall. Details of
this analysis are presented in Chapter 6
of the RIA, which is in the public
docket.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
This action contains no unfunded
Federal mandate for State, local, or
Tribal governments as described in
UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531–1538, and does
not significantly or uniquely affect small
governments. This action imposes no
enforceable duty on any State, local, or
Tribal government. This action contains
a Federal mandate under UMRA, 2
U.S.C. 1531–1538, that may result in
expenditures of $100 million or more in
any one year for the private sector.
Accordingly, the costs and benefits
associated with this action are discussed
in section VIII of this preamble and in
the RIA, which is in the docket for this
rule. Additional details are presented in
the RIA. This action is not subject to the
requirements of UMRA section 203
because it contains no regulatory
requirements that might significantly or
uniquely affect small governments.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism
implications. It will not have substantial
direct effects on the states, on the
relationship between the National
Government and the states, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government.
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F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
This final action has tribal
implications. However, it would neither
impose substantial direct compliance
costs on federally recognized tribal
governments, nor preempt tribal law.
The EPA is finalizing a finding that
interstate transport of ozone precursor
emissions from 23 upwind states
(Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin) is
significantly contributing to downwind
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in other states. The EPA is promulgating
FIP requirements to eliminate interstate
transport of ozone precursors from these
23 states. Under CAA section 301(d)(4),
the EPA is extending FIP requirements
to apply in Indian country located
within the upwind geography of the
final rule, including Indian reservation
lands and other areas of Indian country
over which the EPA or a tribe has
demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction. The EPA’s determinations
in this regard are described further in
section III.C.2 of this document,
Application of Rule in Indian Country
and Necessary or Appropriate Finding.
The EPA finds that all covered existing
and new EGU and non-EGU sources that
are located in the ‘‘301(d) FIP’’ areas
within the geographic boundaries of the
covered states, and which would be
subject to this rule if located within
areas subject to state CAA planning
authority, should be included in this
rule. To the EPA’s knowledge, only one
covered existing EGU or non-EGU
source is located within the 301(d) FIP
areas: the Bonanza Power Plant, an EGU
source, located on the Uintah and Ouray
Reservation, geographically located
within the borders of Utah. This final
action has tribal implication because of
the extension of FIP requirements into
Indian country and because, in general,
tribes have a vested interest in how this
final rule would affect air quality.
The EPA hosted an environmental
justice webinar on October 26, 2021,
that was attended by state regulatory
authorities, environmental groups,
federally recognized tribes, and small
business stakeholders. The EPA issued
tribal consultation letters addressed to
574 tribes in February 2022 after the
proposed rule was signed. The EPA
received no further requests to facilitate
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additional tribal consultation for the
final rule.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
The EPA interprets Executive Order
13045 as applying only to those
regulatory actions that concern
environmental health or safety risks that
the EPA has reason to believe may
disproportionately affect children, per
the definition of ‘‘covered regulatory
action’’ in section 2–202 of the
Executive order. This action is not
subject to Executive Order 13045
because it implements a previously
promulgated health-based Federal
standard. This action’s health and risk
assessments are contained in Chapter 5
and 6 of the RIA. The EPA believes that
the ozone-related benefits, PM2.5-related
benefits, and CO2- related benefits from
this final rule will further improve
children’s health. Additionally, the
ozone and PM2.5 EJ exposure analyses in
Chapter 7 of the RIA suggests that
nationally, children (ages 0–17) will
experience at least as great a reduction
in ozone and PM2.5 exposures as adults
(ages 18–64) in 2023 and 2026 under all
regulatory alternatives of this
rulemaking.
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H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution or Use
This action is not a ‘‘significant
energy action’’ because it is not likely to
have a significant adverse effect on the
supply, distribution, or use of energy.
The EPA has prepared a Statement of
Energy Effects for the final regulatory
control alternative as follows. The
Agency estimates a 1 percent change in
retail electricity prices on average across
the contiguous U.S. in the 2025 run
year, a 4 percent reduction (28 GWh) in
coal-fired electricity generation, a 2
percent increase (21 GWh) in natural
gas-fired electricity generation, and a 1
percent increase (8 GWh) in renewable
electricity generation as a result of this
final rule. The EPA projects that utility
power sector delivered natural gas
prices will change by less than 1 percent
in 2025. Details of the estimated energy
effects are presented in Chapter 4 of the
RIA, which is in the public docket.
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act (NTTAA)
This rulemaking does not involve
technical standards.
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J. Executive Order 12898: Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629,
February 16, 1994) directs Federal
agencies, to the greatest extent
practicable and permitted by law, to
make environmental justice part of their
mission by identifying and addressing,
as appropriate, disproportionately high
and adverse human health or
environmental effects of their programs,
policies, and activities on minority
populations (people of color and/or
indigenous peoples) and low-income
populations.
The EPA believes that the human
health or environmental conditions that
exist prior to this action result in or
have the potential to result in
disproportionate and adverse human
health or environmental effects on
people of color, low-income populations
and/or Indigenous peoples. The
documentation for this decision is
contained in section VII of this
document, Environmental Justice
Analytical Considerations and
Stakeholder Outreach and Engagement,
and in Chapter 7, Environmental Justice
Impacts of the RIA, which is in the
public document. Briefly, proximity
demographic analyses found larger
percentages of Hispanics, African
Americans, people below the poverty
level, people with less educational
attainment, and people linguistically
isolated are living within 5 km and 10
km of an affected EGU, compared to
national averages. It also finds larger
percentages of African Americans,
people below the poverty level, and
with less educational attainment living
within 5 km and 10 km of an affected
non-EGU facility. Considering the
known limitations of proximity
analyses, including the inability to
assess policy-specific impacts, we also
performed analysis of baseline EJ ozone
and PM2.5 exposures. Baseline ozone
and PM2.5 exposure analyses show that
certain populations, such as Hispanics,
Asians, those linguistically isolated,
those less educated, and children may
experience disproportionately higher
ozone and PM2.5 exposures as compared
to the national average. American
Indians may also experience
disproportionately higher ozone
concentrations than the reference group.
The EPA believes that this action is
not likely to change existing
disproportionate and adverse effects on
people of color, low-income populations
and/or Indigenous peoples. Specifically,
we do not find evidence that potential
EJ concerns related to ozone or PM2.5
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36859
exposures will be meaningfully
exacerbated or mitigated in the
regulatory alternatives under
consideration as compared to the
baseline. We infer that baseline
disparities in the ozone and PM2.5
concentration burdens are likely to
persist after implementation of the
regulatory action or alternatives under
consideration, due to similar modeled
concentration reductions across
population demographics. Importantly,
the action described in this rule is
expected to lower ozone and PM2.5 in
many areas, including in ozone
nonattainment areas, and thus mitigate
some pre-existing health risks across all
populations evaluated.
The EPA additionally identified and
addressed environmental justice
concerns by providing the public,
including those communities
disproportionately impacted by the
burdens of pollution, opportunities for
meaningful engagement with the EPA
on this action through outreach
activities conducted by the Agency. The
information supporting this Executive
order review is contained in section VII
of this document.
K. Congressional Review Act
This action is subject to the CRA, and
the EPA will submit a rule report to
each House of the Congress and to the
Comptroller General of the United
States. Because this action falls within
the definition provided by 5 U.S.C.
804(2), the rule’s effective date is
consistent with 5 U.S.C. 801(a)(3).
L. Determinations Under CAA Section
307(b)(1) and (d)
Section 307(b)(1) of the CAA governs
judicial review of final actions by the
EPA. This section provides, in part, that
petitions for review must be filed in the
D.C. Circuit: (i) when the agency action
consists of ‘‘nationally applicable
regulations promulgated, or final actions
taken, by the Administrator,’’ or (ii)
when such action is locally or regionally
applicable, but ‘‘such action is based on
a determination of nationwide scope or
effect and if in taking such action the
Administrator finds and publishes that
such action is based on such a
determination.’’ For locally or regionally
applicable final actions, the CAA
reserves to the EPA complete discretion
whether to invoke the exception in
(ii).434
434 In deciding whether to invoke the exception
by making and publishing a finding that an action
is based on a determination of nationwide scope or
effect, the Administrator takes into account a
number of policy considerations, including his
judgment balancing the benefit of obtaining the D.C.
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This rulemaking is ‘‘nationally
applicable’’ within the meaning of CAA
section 307(b)(1). In this final action, the
EPA is applying a uniform legal
interpretation and common, nationwide
analytical methods with respect to the
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) concerning interstate
transport of pollution (i.e., ‘‘good
neighbor’’ requirements) to promulgate
FIPs that satisfy these requirements for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Based on these
analyses, the EPA is promulgating FIPs
for 23 states located across a wide
geographic area in eight of the ten EPA
regions and ten Federal judicial circuits.
Given that this action addresses
implementation of the good neighbor
requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in a large number of
states located across the country, and
given the interdependent nature of
interstate pollution transport and the
common core of knowledge and analysis
involved in promulgating these FIPs,
this is a ‘‘nationally applicable’’ action
within the meaning of CAA section
307(b)(1).
In the alternative, to the extent a court
finds this action to be locally or
regionally applicable, the Administrator
is exercising the complete discretion
afforded to him under the CAA to make
and publish a finding that this action is
based on a determination of
‘‘nationwide scope or effect’’ within the
meaning of CAA section 307(b)(1). In
this final action, the EPA is interpreting
and applying section 110(a)(2)(d)(i)(I) of
the CAA for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
based on a common core of nationwide
policy judgments and technical analysis
concerning the interstate transport of
pollutants throughout the continental
U.S. In particular, the EPA is applying
here the same, nationally consistent 4step framework for assessing good
neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS that it has applied in other
nationally applicable rulemakings, such
as CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update. The EPA is
relying on the results from nationwide
photochemical grid modeling using a
2016 base year and 2023 projection year
as the primary basis for its assessment
of air quality conditions and pollution
contribution levels at Step 1 and Step 2
of that 4-step framework and applying a
nationally uniform approach to the
identification of nonattainment and
maintenance receptors across the entire
Circuit’s authoritative centralized review versus
allowing development of the issue in other contexts
and the best use of agency resources.
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geographic area covered by this final
rule.435
The Administrator finds that this is a
matter on which national uniformity in
judicial resolution of any petitions for
review is desirable, to take advantage of
the D.C. Circuit’s administrative law
expertise, and to facilitate the orderly
development of the basic law under the
Act. The Administrator also finds that
consolidated review of this action in the
D.C. Circuit will avoid piecemeal
litigation in the regional circuits, further
judicial economy, and eliminate the risk
of inconsistent results for different
states, and that a nationally consistent
approach to the CAA’s mandate
concerning interstate transport of ozone
pollution constitutes the best use of
agency resources. The EPA’s responses
to comments on the appropriate venue
for petitions for review are contained in
section 1.10 of the RTC document.
For these reasons, this final action is
nationally applicable or, alternatively,
the Administrator is exercising the
complete discretion afforded to him by
the CAA and finds that this final action
is based on a determination of
nationwide scope or effect for purposes
of CAA section 307(b)(1) and is
publishing that finding in the Federal
Register. Under section 307(b)(1) of the
CAA, petitions for judicial review of
this action must be filed in the United
States Court of Appeals for the District
of Columbia Circuit by August 4, 2023.
This action is subject to the
provisions of section 307(d). CAA
section 307(d)(1)(B) provides that
section 307(d) applies to, among other
things, ‘‘the promulgation or revision of
an implementation plan by the
Administrator under [CAA section
110(c)].’’ 42 U.S.C. 7407(d)(1)(B). This
action, among other things, promulgates
new Federal implementation plans
pursuant to the authority of section
110(c). To the extent any portion of this
final action is not expressly identified
under section 307(d)(1)(B), the
Administrator determines that the
provisions of section 307(d) apply to
such final action. See CAA section
307(d)(1)(V) (the provisions of section
307(d) apply to ‘‘such other actions as
the Administrator may determine’’).
435 In the report on the 1977 Amendments that
revised section 307(b)(1) of the CAA, Congress
noted that the Administrator’s determination that
the ‘‘nationwide scope or effect’’ exception applies
would be appropriate for any action that has a
scope or effect beyond a single judicial circuit. See
H.R. Rep. No. 95–294 at 323, 324, reprinted in 1977
U.S.C.C.A.N. 1402–03.
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List of Subjects
40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations,
Nitrogen oxides, Ozone, Particulate
matter, Sulfur dioxide.
40 CFR Part 75
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Continuous
emissions monitoring, Electric power
plants, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur
dioxide.
40 CFR Part 78
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Electric power
plants, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Sulfur dioxide.
40 CFR Part 97
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Electric power
plants, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur
dioxide.
Michael S. Regan,
Administrator.
For the reasons stated in the
preamble, parts 52, 75, 78, and 97 of
title 40 of the Code of Federal
Regulations are amended as follows:
PART 52—APPROVAL AND
PROMULGATION OF
IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
1. The authority citation for part 52
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart A—General Provisions
2. Amend § 52.38 by:
a. In paragraph (a)(1), removing
‘‘(NOX), except’’ and adding in its place
‘‘(NOX) for sources meeting the
applicability criteria set forth in subpart
AAAAA, except’’;
■ b. In paragraph (a)(3) introductory
text:
■ i. Removing ‘‘(a)(2)(i) or (ii)’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(a)(2)’’; and
■ ii. Removing ‘‘the State and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘sources in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority for’’;
■ c. In paragraph (a)(3)(i), removing
‘‘State and’’ and adding in its place
■
■
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‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority and that’’;
■ d. In paragraph (a)(4) introductory
text, removing ‘‘for the State’s sources,
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘with
regard to sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, and’’;
■ e. Revising table 1 to paragraph
(a)(4)(i)(B);
■ f. In paragraph (a)(4)(ii), removing
‘‘deadlines for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraphs
(a)(4)(i)(B) and (C)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (a)(4)(i)(B)’’;
■ g. In paragraph (a)(5) introductory
text, removing ‘‘State (but not sources in
any Indian country within the borders
of the State), regulations’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
regulations’’;
■ h. Revising table 2 to paragraph
(a)(5)(i)(B);
■ i. In paragraph (a)(5)(iv), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’;
■ j. In paragraph (a)(5)(v), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State, the’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the’’;
■ k. In paragraph (a)(5)(vi), removing
‘‘deadlines for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraphs
(a)(5)(i)(B) and (C)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (a)(5)(i)(B)’’;
■ l. Revising paragraphs (a)(6) and
(a)(7)(ii);
■ m. Adding paragraph (a)(7)(iii);
■ n. In paragraphs (a)(8)(i) and (ii),
removing ‘‘the State and’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for’’;
■ o. In paragraph (a)(8)(iii), removing
‘‘State (but not sources in any Indian
country within the borders of the
State):’’ and adding in its place ‘‘State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority:’’;
■ p. In paragraph (b)(1), removing
‘‘year), except’’ and adding in its place
‘‘year) for sources meeting the
applicability criteria set forth in
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subparts BBBBB, EEEEE, and GGGGG,
except’’;
■ q. Redesignating paragraphs (b)(2)(i)
and (ii) as paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and
(B), respectively, paragraphs (b)(2)(iii)
and (iv) as paragraphs (b)(2)(ii)(A) and
(B), respectively, and paragraph (b)(2)(v)
as paragraph (b)(2)(iii)(A);
■ r. In newly redesignated paragraph
(b)(2)(ii)(A), removing ‘‘Alabama,
Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Mississippi,
Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas,
and Wisconsin.’’ and adding in its place
‘‘Iowa, Kansas, and Tennessee.’’;
■ s. Adding paragraphs (b)(2)(ii)(C) and
(b)(2)(iii)(B) and (C);
■ t. In paragraph (b)(3) introductory
text:
■ i. Removing ‘‘or (ii)’’; and
■ ii. Removing ‘‘the State and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘sources in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority for’’;
■ u. In paragraph (b)(3)(i), removing
‘‘State and’’ and adding in its place
‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority and that’’;
■ v. Revising paragraph (b)(4)
introductory text;
■ w. Removing and reserving paragraph
(b)(4)(i);
■ x. Revising table 3 to paragraph
(b)(4)(ii)(B) and paragraphs (b)(4)(iii)
and (b)(5) introductory text;
■ y. Removing and reserving paragraph
(b)(5)(i);
■ z. Revising table 4 to paragraph
(b)(5)(ii)(B);
■ aa. In paragraph (b)(5)(v), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’;
■ bb. In paragraph (b)(5)(vi), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State, the’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the’’;
■ cc. Revising paragraphs (b)(5)(vii),
(b)(7) introductory text, (b)(7)(i), and
(b)(8) introductory text;
■ dd. Removing and reserving
paragraphs (b)(8)(i) and (ii);
■ ee. Revising paragraph (b)(8)(iii)(A),
table 5 to paragraph (b)(8)(iii)(B), and
paragraphs (b)(8)(iv) and (b)(9)
introductory text;
■ ff. Removing and reserving paragraphs
(b)(9)(i) and (ii);
■ gg. Revising paragraph (b)(9)(iii)(A)
and table 6 to paragraph (b)(9)(iii)(B);
■ hh. In paragraph (b)(9)(vi), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
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36861
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’;
■ ii. Revising paragraphs (b)(9)(vii) and
(viii), (b)(10) introductory text, (b)(10)(i)
and (ii), (b)(10)(v)(A) and (B), and
(b)(11) introductory text;
■ jj. Removing and reserving paragraphs
(b)(11)(i) and (ii);
■ kk. In paragraph (b)(11)(iii)
introductory text, removing
‘‘§§ 97.1011(a) and (b)(1) and
97.1012(a)’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 97.1011(a)(1)’’;
■ ll. Revising paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(A);
mm. In paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(B):
■ i. Removing ‘‘§ 97.1011(a)’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘§ 97.1011(a)(1)’’;
and
■ ii. Adding ‘‘and’’ after the semicolon;
■ nn. Removing and reserving
paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(C);
■ oo. Revising paragraphs (b)(11)(iii)(D),
(b)(11)(iv), and (b)(12) introductory text;
■ pp. Removing and reserving
paragraphs (b)(12)(i) and (ii);
■ qq. In paragraph (b)(12)(iii)
introductory text, removing
‘‘§§ 97.1011(a) and (b)(1) and
97.1012(a)’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 97.1011(a)(1)’’;
■ rr. Revising paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(A);
■ ss. In paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(B):
■ i. Removing ‘‘§ 97.1011(a)’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘§ 97.1011(a)(1)’’;
and
■ ii. Adding ‘‘and’’ after the semicolon;
■ tt. Removing and reserving paragraph
(b)(12)(iii)(C);
■ uu. Revising paragraphs (b)(12)(iii)(D),
(b)(12)(vi) through (viii), (b)(13)
introductory text, and (b)(13)(i);
■ vv. In paragraph (b)(13)(ii), removing
‘‘regulations, including any sources
made subject to such regulations
pursuant to paragraph (b)(9)(ii) or
(b)(12)(ii) of this section, the’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘regulations the’’;
■ ww. In paragraph (b)(14)(i)(F),
removing ‘‘§ 97.825(b)’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘§§ 97.806(c)(2) and (3) and
97.825(b)’’;
■ xx. In paragraph (b)(14)(i)(G),
removing ‘‘§ 97.826(e)’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘§ 97.826(f)’’;
■ yy. Revising paragraphs (b)(14)(ii) and
(iii);
■ zz. In paragraph (b)(15)(i), removing
‘‘the State and’’ and adding in its place
‘‘sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority for’’;
■ aaa. Revising paragraph (b)(15)(ii);
■ bbb. In paragraph (b)(15)(iii),
removing ‘‘State (but not sources in any
Indian country within the borders of the
State):’’ and adding in its place ‘‘State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority:’’;
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ccc. In paragraph (b)(16)(i)(A),
removing ‘‘the State and’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for’’;
■ ddd. Revising paragraphs (b)(16)(i)(B)
and (C);
■ eee. Redesignating paragraph
(b)(16)(ii) as paragraph (b)(16)(ii)(A),
■
and, in newly redesignated paragraph
(b)(16)(ii)(A), removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iv)’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii)(B)’’;
■ fff. Adding paragraph (b)(16)(ii)(B);
and
■ ggg. Revising paragraphs (b)(17)(i)
through (iii).
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
§ 52.38 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs) for the
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR)
relating to emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a) * * *
(4) * * *
(i) * * *
(B) * * *
TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (a)(4)(i)(B)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR NOX Annual allowances
are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
*
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
*
*
(5) * * *
(i) * * *
*
*
Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
(B) * * *
TABLE 2 TO PARAGRAPH (a)(5)(i)(B)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR NOX Annual allowances
are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
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*
*
*
*
*
(6) Withdrawal of CSAPR FIP
provisions relating to NOX annual
emissions. Except as provided in
paragraph (a)(7) of this section,
following promulgation of an approval
by the Administrator of a State’s SIP
revision as correcting the SIP’s
deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set
forth in paragraphs (a)(1), (a)(2)(i), and
(a)(3) and (4) of this section for sources
in the State and Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the provisions of
paragraph (a)(2)(i) of this section will no
longer apply to sources in the State and
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority, unless the
Administrator’s approval of the SIP
revision is partial or conditional, and
will continue to apply to sources in
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, provided that if
the CSAPR Federal Implementation
Plan was promulgated as a partial rather
than full remedy for an obligation of the
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Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
State to address interstate air pollution,
the SIP revision likewise will constitute
a partial rather than full remedy for the
State’s obligation unless provided
otherwise in the Administrator’s
approval of the SIP revision.
(7) * * *
(ii) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(6) of this section, if, at the
time of any approval of a State’s SIP
revision under this section, the
Administrator has already started
recording any allocations of CSAPR
NOX Annual allowances under subpart
AAAAA of part 97 of this chapter to
units in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority for a
control period in any year, the
provisions of subpart AAAAA
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of such allowances to such units for
each such control period shall continue
to apply, unless provided otherwise by
such approval of the State’s SIP
revision.
(iii) Notwithstanding any
discontinuation pursuant to paragraph
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(a)(2)(ii) or (a)(6) of this section of the
applicability of subpart AAAAA of part
97 of this chapter to the sources in a
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority with regard to
emissions occurring in any control
period, the following provisions shall
continue to apply with regard to all
CSAPR NOX Annual allowances at any
time allocated for any control period to
any source or other entity in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority and shall apply to all
entities, wherever located, that at any
time held or hold such allowances:
(A) The provisions of § 97.426(c) of
this chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Annual allowances
between certain Allowance Management
System accounts under common
control).
(B) [Reserved]
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(2) * * *
(ii) * * *
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(C) The provisions of subpart EEEEE
of part 97 of this chapter apply to
sources in each of the following States
and Indian country located within the
borders of such States with regard to
emissions occurring in 2017 through
2022 only, except as provided in
paragraph (b)(14)(iii) of this section:
Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi,
Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin.
(iii) * * *
(B) The provisions of subpart GGGGG
of part 97 of this chapter apply to
sources in each of the following States
and Indian country located within the
borders of such States with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year: Alabama, Arkansas,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas,
and Wisconsin.
(C) The provisions of subpart GGGGG
of part 97 of this chapter apply to
sources in each of the following States
and Indian country located within the
borders of such States with regard to
emissions occurring on and after August
4, 2023, and in each subsequent year:
Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah.
*
*
*
*
*
(4) Abbreviated SIP revisions
replacing certain provisions of the
36863
Federal CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 1 Trading Program. A State listed
in paragraph (b)(2)(i)(A) of this section
may adopt and include in a SIP
revision, and the Administrator will
approve, regulations replacing specified
provisions of subpart BBBBB of part 97
of this chapter with regard to sources in
the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, and not
substantively replacing any other
provisions, as follows:
*
*
*
*
*
(ii) * * *
(B) * * *
TABLE 3 TO PARAGRAPH (b)(4)(ii)(B)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
1 allowances are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) Provided that the State must
submit a complete SIP revision meeting
the requirements of paragraph (b)(4)(ii)
of this section by December 1 of the year
before the year of the deadline for
submission of allocations or auction
results under paragraph (b)(4)(ii)(B) of
this section applicable to the first
control period for which the State wants
to make allocations or hold an auction
under paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section.
Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
(5) Full SIP revisions adopting State
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Programs. A State listed in
paragraph (b)(2)(i)(A) of this section
may adopt and include in a SIP
revision, and the Administrator will
approve, as correcting the deficiency in
the SIP that is the basis for the CSAPR
Federal Implementation Plan set forth in
paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(i), and (b)(3)
and (4) of this section with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
regulations that are substantively
identical to the provisions of the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
Program set forth in §§ 97.502 through
97.535 of this chapter, except that the
SIP revision:
*
*
*
*
*
(ii) * * *
(B) * * *
TABLE 4 TO PARAGRAPH (b)(5)(ii)(B)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR NOX Ozone Season group
1 allowances are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
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*
*
*
*
*
(vii) Provided that the State must
submit a complete SIP revision meeting
the requirements of paragraphs (b)(5)(ii)
through (v) of this section by December
1 of the year before the year of the
deadline for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraph
(b)(5)(ii)(B) of this section applicable to
the first control period for which the
State wants to make allocations or hold
an auction under paragraph (b)(5)(ii) of
this section.
*
*
*
*
*
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Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
(7) State-determined allocations of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for 2018. A State listed in
paragraph (b)(2)(ii) of this section may
adopt and include in a SIP revision, and
the Administrator will approve, as
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance allocation provisions
replacing the provisions in § 97.811(a)
of this chapter with regard to sources in
the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority for the
control period in 2018, a list of CSAPR
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NOX Ozone Season Group 2 units and
the amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances allocated to
each unit on such list, provided that the
list of units and allocations meets the
following requirements:
(i) All of the units on the list must be
units that are in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority
and that commenced commercial
operation before January 1, 2015;
*
*
*
*
*
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(8) Abbreviated SIP revisions
replacing certain provisions of the
Federal CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program. A State listed
in paragraph (b)(2)(ii) of this section
may adopt and include in a SIP
revision, and the Administrator will
approve, regulations replacing specified
provisions of subpart EEEEE of part 97
of this chapter with regard to sources in
the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, and not
substantively replacing any other
provisions, as follows:
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the
permitting authority to allocate and, if
applicable, auction a total amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for any such control period
not exceeding the amount, under
§§ 97.810(a) and 97.821 of this chapter
for the State and such control period, of
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
trading budget minus the sum of the
Indian country new unit set-aside and
the amount of any CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances already
allocated and recorded by the
Administrator;
(B) * * *
TABLE 5 TO PARAGRAPH (b)(8)(iii)(B)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances are allocated or auctioned
2019
2021
2023
2025
or
or
or
or
2020 ............................................................................................
2022 ............................................................................................
2024 ............................................................................................
any year thereafter ......................................................................
*
*
*
*
*
(iv) Provided that the State must
submit a complete SIP revision meeting
the requirements of paragraph (b)(8)(iii)
of this section by December 1 of the year
before the year of the deadline for
submission of allocations or auction
results under paragraph (b)(8)(iii)(B) of
this section applicable to the first
control period for which the State wants
to make allocations or hold an auction
under paragraph (b)(8)(iii) of this
section.
(9) Full SIP revisions adopting State
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Programs. A State listed in
paragraph (b)(2)(ii) of this section may
Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
adopt and include in a SIP revision, and
the Administrator will approve, as
correcting the deficiency in the SIP that
is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan set forth in
paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(ii), and (b)(7)
and (8) of this section with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
regulations that are substantively
identical to the provisions of the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program set forth in §§ 97.802 through
97.835 of this chapter, except that the
SIP revision:
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the
permitting authority to allocate and, if
applicable, auction a total amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for any such control period
not exceeding the amount, under
§§ 97.810(a) and 97.821 of this chapter
for the State and such control period, of
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
trading budget minus the sum of the
Indian country new unit set-aside and
the amount of any CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances already
allocated and recorded by the
Administrator;
(B) * * *
TABLE 6 TO PARAGRAPH (b)(9)(iii)(B)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances are allocated or auctioned
2019
2021
2023
2025
or
or
or
or
2020 ............................................................................................
2022 ............................................................................................
2024 ............................................................................................
any year thereafter ......................................................................
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
*
*
*
*
*
(vii) Provided that, if and when any
covered unit is located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator may
modify his or her approval of the SIP
revision to exclude the provisions in
§§ 97.802 (definitions of ‘‘common
designated representative’’, ‘‘common
designated representative’s assurance
level’’, and ‘‘common designated
representative’s share’’), 97.806(c)(2),
and 97.825 of this chapter and the
portions of other provisions of subpart
EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter
referencing §§ 97.802, 97.806(c)(2), and
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
97.825 and may modify any portion of
the CSAPR Federal Implementation
Plan that is not replaced by the SIP
revision to include these provisions;
and
(viii) Provided that the State must
submit a complete SIP revision meeting
the requirements of paragraphs (b)(9)(iii)
through (vi) of this section by December
1 of the year before the year of the
deadline for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraph
(b)(9)(iii)(B) of this section applicable to
the first control period for which the
State wants to make allocations or hold
an auction under paragraph (b)(9)(iii) of
this section.
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Fmt 4701
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(10) State-determined allocations of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for 2024. A State listed in
paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of this section may
adopt and include in a SIP revision, and
the Administrator will approve, as
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance allocation provisions
replacing the provisions in
§ 97.1011(a)(1) of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for the control period in 2024,
a list of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 units and the amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
05JNR2
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
allocated to each unit on such list,
provided that the list of units and
allocations meets the following
requirements:
(i) All of the units on the list must be
units that are in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority
and that commenced commercial
operation before January 1, 2021;
(ii) The total amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocations on the list must not exceed
the amount, under § 97.1010 of this
chapter for the State and the control
period in 2024, of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
minus the sum of the Indian country
existing unit set-aside and the new unit
set-aside;
*
*
*
*
*
(v) * * *
(A) By August 4, 2023, the State must
notify the Administrator electronically
in a format specified by the
Administrator of the State’s intent to
submit to the Administrator a complete
SIP revision meeting the requirements
of paragraphs (b)(10)(i) through (iv) of
this section by September 1, 2023; and
(B) The State must submit to the
Administrator a complete SIP revision
described in paragraph (b)(10)(v)(A) of
this section by September 1, 2023.
(11) Abbreviated SIP revisions
replacing certain provisions of the
Federal CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program. A State listed
in paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of this section
may adopt and include in a SIP
revision, and the Administrator will
approve, regulations replacing specified
provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97
of this chapter with regard to sources in
the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, and not
substantively replacing any other
provisions, as follows:
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the
permitting authority to allocate and, if
applicable, auction a total amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for any such control period
not exceeding the amount, under
§§ 97.1010 and 97.1021 of this chapter
for the State and such control period, of
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget minus the sum of the
Indian country existing unit set-aside,
the new unit set-aside, and the amount
of any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances already allocated
and recorded by the Administrator;
*
*
*
*
*
VerDate Sep<11>2014
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Jkt 259001
(D) Does not provide for any change,
after the submission deadlines in
paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(B) of this section,
in the allocations submitted to the
Administrator by such deadlines and
does not provide for any change in any
allocation determined and recorded by
the Administrator under subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or
§ 97.526(d) or § 97.826(d) or (e) of this
chapter; and
(iv) Provided that the State must
submit a complete SIP revision meeting
the requirements of paragraph
(b)(11)(iii) of this section by December
1 of the year before the year of the
deadline for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraph
(b)(11)(iii)(B) of this section applicable
to the first control period for which the
State wants to make allocations or hold
an auction under paragraph (b)(11)(iii)
of this section.
(12) Full SIP revisions adopting State
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Programs. A State listed in
paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of this section may
adopt and include in a SIP revision, and
the Administrator will approve, as
correcting the deficiency in the SIP that
is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan set forth in
paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and (b)(10)
and (11) of this section with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
regulations that are substantively
identical to the provisions of the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program set forth in §§ 97.1002 through
97.1035 of this chapter, except that the
SIP revision:
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the
permitting authority to allocate and, if
applicable, auction a total amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for any such control period
not exceeding the amount, under
§§ 97.1010 and 97.1021 of this chapter
for the State and such control period, of
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget minus the sum of the
Indian country existing unit set-aside,
the new unit set-aside, and the amount
of any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances already allocated
and recorded by the Administrator;
*
*
*
*
*
(D) Does not provide for any change,
after the submission deadlines in
paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(B) of this section,
in the allocations submitted to the
Administrator by such deadlines and
does not provide for any change in any
allocation determined and recorded by
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
36865
the Administrator under subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or
§ 97.526(d) or § 97.826(d) or (e) of this
chapter;
*
*
*
*
*
(vi) Must not include any of the
requirements imposed on any unit in
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority in the provisions in
§§ 97.1002 through 97.1035 of this
chapter and must not include the
provisions in §§ 97.1011(a)(2), 97.1012,
and 97.1021(g) through (j) of this
chapter, all of which provisions will
continue to apply under any portion of
the CSAPR Federal Implementation
Plan that is not replaced by the SIP
revision;
(vii) Provided that, if before the
Administrator’s approval of the SIP
revision any covered unit is located in
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority before the
Administrator’s approval of the SIP
revision, the SIP revision must exclude
the provisions in §§ 97.1002 (definitions
of ‘‘common designated representative’’,
‘‘common designated representative’s
assurance level’’, and ‘‘common
designated representative’s share’’),
97.1006(c)(2), and 97.1025 of this
chapter and the portions of other
provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97
of this chapter referencing §§ 97.1002,
97.1006(c)(2), and 97.1025, and further
provided that, if and when after the
Administrator’s approval of the SIP
revision any covered unit is located in
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the Administrator
may modify his or her approval of the
SIP revision to exclude these provisions
and may modify any portion of the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
that is not replaced by the SIP revision
to include these provisions; and
(viii) Provided that the State must
submit a complete SIP revision meeting
the requirements of paragraphs
(b)(12)(iii) through (vi) of this section by
December 1 of the year before the year
of the deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(B) of this section
applicable to the first control period for
which the State wants to make
allocations or hold an auction under
paragraph (b)(12)(iii) of this section.
(13) Withdrawal of CSAPR FIP
provisions relating to NOX ozone season
emissions; satisfaction of NOX SIP Call
requirements. Following promulgation
of an approval by the Administrator of
a State’s SIP revision as correcting the
SIP’s deficiency that is the basis for the
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36866
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set
forth in paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(i), and
(b)(3) and (4) of this section, paragraphs
(b)(1), (b)(2)(ii), and (b)(7) and (8) of this
section, or paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(iii),
and (b)(10) and (11) of this section for
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority—
(i) Except as provided in paragraph
(b)(14) of this section, the provisions of
paragraph (b)(2)(i), (ii), or (iii) of this
section, as applicable, will no longer
apply to sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, unless the Administrator’s
approval of the SIP revision is partial or
conditional, and will continue to apply
to sources in areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
provided that if the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan was promulgated
as a partial rather than full remedy for
an obligation of the State to address
interstate air pollution, the SIP revision
likewise will constitute a partial rather
than full remedy for the State’s
obligation unless provided otherwise in
the Administrator’s approval of the SIP
revision; and
*
*
*
*
*
(14) * * *
(ii) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this section, if, at
the time of any approval of a State’s SIP
revision under this section, the
Administrator has already started
recording any allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances
under subpart BBBBB of part 97 of this
chapter, or allocations of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
under subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this
chapter, or allocations of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter, to units in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for a control period in any
year, the provisions of such subpart
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of such allowances to such units for
each such control period shall continue
to apply, unless provided otherwise by
such approval of the State’s SIP
revision.
(iii) Notwithstanding any
discontinuation pursuant to paragraph
(b)(2)(i)(B), (b)(2)(ii)(B) or (C), or
(b)(13)(i) of this section of the
applicability of subpart BBBBB or
EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter to the
sources in a State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
subject to the State’s SIP authority with
regard to emissions occurring in any
control period, the following provisions
shall continue to apply with regard to
all CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
allowances and CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances at any time
allocated for any control period to any
source or other entity in the State and
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority and shall apply to all
entities, wherever located, that at any
time held or hold such allowances:
(A) The provisions of §§ 97.526(c) and
97.826(c) of this chapter (concerning the
transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 1 allowances and CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
between certain Allowance Management
System accounts under common
control);
(B) The provisions of §§ 97.526(d) and
97.826(d) and (e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of unused
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
allowances allocated for specified
control periods to different amounts of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances or CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances and the
conversion of unused CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
allocated for specified control periods to
different amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances); and
(C) The provisions of § 97.811(d) and
(e) of this chapter (concerning the recall
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances equivalent in quantity and
usability to all CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances allocated for
specified control periods and recorded
in specified Allowance Management
System accounts).
(15) * * *
(ii) For each of the following States,
the Administrator has approved a SIP
revision under paragraph (b)(4) of this
section as replacing the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 allowance
allocation provisions in §§ 97.511(a) and
(b)(1) and 97.512(a) of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for the control period in 2017
or any subsequent year: [none].
*
*
*
*
*
(16) * * *
(i) * * *
(B) For each of the following States,
the Administrator has approved a SIP
revision under paragraph (b)(8) of this
section as replacing the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
allocation provisions in §§ 97.811(a) and
(b)(1) and 97.812(a) of this chapter with
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
regard to sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for the control period in 2019
or any subsequent year: New York.
(C) For each of the following States,
the Administrator has approved a SIP
revision under paragraph (b)(9) of this
section as correcting the SIP’s
deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set
forth in paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(ii), and
(b)(7) and (8) of this section with regard
to sources in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority:
Alabama, Indiana, and Missouri.
(ii) * * *
(B) Notwithstanding any provision of
subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter
or any State’s SIP, with regard to any
State listed in paragraph (b)(2)(ii)(C) of
this section and any control period that
begins after December 31, 2022, the
Administrator will not carry out any of
the functions set forth for the
Administrator in subpart EEEEE of part
97 of this chapter, except §§ 97.811(e)
and 97.826(c) and (e) of this chapter, or
in any emissions trading program
provisions in a State’s SIP approved
under paragraph (b)(8) or (9) of this
section.
(17) * * *
(i) For each of the following States,
the Administrator has approved a SIP
revision under paragraph (b)(10) of this
section as replacing the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation provisions in § 97.1011(a)(1)
of this chapter with regard to sources in
the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority for the
control period in 2024: [none].
(ii) For each of the following States,
the Administrator has approved a SIP
revision under paragraph (b)(11) of this
section as replacing the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation provisions in § 97.1011(a)(1)
of this chapter with regard to sources in
the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority for the
control period in 2025 or any
subsequent year: [none].
(iii) For each of the following States,
the Administrator has approved a SIP
revision under paragraph (b)(12) of this
section as correcting the SIP’s
deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set
forth in paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and
(b)(10) and (11) of this section with
regard to sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority: [none].
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
3. Amend § 52.39 by:
a. In paragraph (a), removing ‘‘(SO2),
except’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(SO2)
for sources meeting the applicability
criteria set forth in subparts CCCCC and
DDDDD, except’’;
■ b. In paragraph (d) introductory text,
removing ‘‘the State and’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for’’;
■ c. In paragraph (d)(1), removing ‘‘State
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘State and
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority and that’’;
■ d. In paragraph (e) introductory text,
removing ‘‘for the State’s sources, and’’
and adding in its place ‘‘with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
and’’;
■ e. Revising table 1 to paragraph
(e)(1)(ii);
■ f. In paragraph (e)(2), removing
‘‘deadlines for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraphs
(e)(1)(ii) and (iii)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (e)(1)(ii)’’;
■ g. In paragraph (f) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State (but not sources in any
Indian country within the borders of the
State), regulations’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority,
regulations’’;
■ h. Revising table 2 to paragraph
(f)(1)(ii);
■ i. In paragraph (f)(4), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’;
■ j. In paragraph (f)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State, the’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
■
■
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the’’;
■ k. In paragraph (f)(6), removing
‘‘deadlines for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraphs
(f)(1)(ii) and (iii)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (f)(1)(ii)’’;
■ l. In paragraph (g) introductory text:
■ i. Removing ‘‘(c)(1) or (2)’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘(c)’’; and
■ ii. Removing ‘‘the State and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘sources in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority for’’;
■ m. In paragraph (g)(1), removing
‘‘State and’’ and adding in its place
‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority and that’’;
■ n. In paragraph (h) introductory text,
removing ‘‘for the State’s sources, and’’
and adding in its place ‘‘with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
and’’;
■ o. Revising table 3 to paragraph
(h)(1)(ii);
■ p. In paragraph (h)(2), removing
‘‘deadlines for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraphs
(h)(1)(ii) and (iii)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (h)(1)(ii)’’;
■ q. In paragraph (i) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State (but not sources in any
Indian country within the borders of the
State), regulations’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority,
regulations’’;
■ r. Revising table 4 to paragraph
(i)(1)(ii);
■ s. In paragraph (i)(4), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’;
36867
t. In paragraph (i)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State, the’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the’’;
■ u. In paragraph (i)(6), removing
‘‘deadlines for submission of allocations
or auction results under paragraphs
(i)(1)(ii) and (iii)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘deadline for submission of
allocations or auction results under
paragraph (i)(1)(ii)’’;
■ v. Revising paragraphs (j) and (k)(2);
■ w. Adding paragraph (k)(3);
■ x. In paragraphs (l)(1) and (2),
removing ‘‘the State and’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for’’;
■ y. In paragraph (l)(3), removing ‘‘State
(but not sources in any Indian country
within the borders of the State):’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP
authority:’’.
■ z. In paragraphs (m)(1) and (2),
removing ‘‘the State and’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘sources in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for’’; and
■ aa. In paragraph (m)(3), removing
‘‘State (but not sources in any Indian
country within the borders of the
State):’’ and adding in its place ‘‘State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority:’’.
The revisions and addition read as
follows:
■
§ 52.39 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs) for the
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR)
relating to emissions of sulfur dioxide?
*
*
*
(e) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
*
*
TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (e)(1)(ii)
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Year of the control period for which CSAPR SO2 group 1 allowances
are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
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Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
Sfmt 4700
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36868
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
*
*
*
*
(f) * * *
(1) * * *
*
(ii) * * *
TABLE 2 TO PARAGRAPH (f)(1)(ii)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR SO2 group 1 allowances
are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
*
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
*
*
(h) * * *
(1) * * *
*
*
Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
(ii) * * *
TABLE 3 TO PARAGRAPH (h)(1)(ii)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR SO2 group 2 allowances
are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
*
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
*
*
(i) * * *
(1) * * *
*
*
Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
(ii) * * *
TABLE 4 TO PARAGRAPH (i)(1)(ii)
Year of the control period for which CSAPR SO2 group 2 allowances
are allocated or auctioned
2017
2019
2021
2023
2024
2025
or 2018 ............................................................................................
or 2020 ............................................................................................
or 2022 ............................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................
or any year thereafter ......................................................................
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*
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(j) Withdrawal of CSAPR FIP
provisions relating to SO2 emissions.
Except as provided in paragraph (k) of
this section, following promulgation of
an approval by the Administrator of a
State’s SIP revision as correcting the
SIP’s deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set
forth in paragraphs (a), (b), (d), and (e)
of this section or paragraphs (a), (c)(1),
(g), and (h) of this section for sources in
the State and Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority, the provisions of
paragraph (b) or (c)(1) of this section, as
applicable, will no longer apply to
sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority,
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Deadline for submission of allocations or auction results
to the administrator
June
June
June
June
June
June
1, 2016.
1, 2017.
1, 2018.
1, 2019.
1, 2020.
1 of the year before the year of the control period.
unless the Administrator’s approval of
the SIP revision is partial or conditional,
and will continue to apply to sources in
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, provided that if
the CSAPR Federal Implementation
Plan was promulgated as a partial rather
than full remedy for an obligation of the
State to address interstate air pollution,
the SIP revision likewise will constitute
a partial rather than full remedy for the
State’s obligation unless provided
otherwise in the Administrator’s
approval of the SIP revision.
(k) * * *
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (j) of this section, if, at the
time of any approval of a State’s SIP
revision under this section, the
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Administrator has already started
recording any allocations of CSAPR SO2
Group 1 allowances under subpart
CCCCC of part 97 of this chapter, or
allocations of CSAPR SO2 Group 2
allowances under subpart DDDDD of
part 97 of this chapter, to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of such
subpart authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of such allowances to such units for
each such control period shall continue
to apply, unless provided otherwise by
such approval of the State’s SIP
revision.
(3) Notwithstanding any
discontinuation pursuant to paragraph
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(c)(2) or (j) of this section of the
applicability of subpart CCCCC or
DDDDD of part 97 of this chapter to the
sources in a State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State
subject to the State’s SIP authority with
regard to emissions occurring in any
control period, the following provisions
shall continue to apply with regard to
all CSAPR SO2 Group 1 allowances and
CSAPR SO2 Group 2 allowances at any
time allocated for any control period to
any source or other entity in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority and shall apply to all
entities, wherever located, that at any
time held or hold such allowances:
(i) The provisions of §§ 97.626(c) and
97.726(c) of this chapter (concerning the
transfer of CSAPR SO2 Group 1
allowances and CSAPR SO2 Group 2
allowances between certain Allowance
Management System accounts under
common control).
(ii) [Reserved]
*
*
*
*
*
■ 4. Add §§ 52.40 through 52.46 to
subpart A to read as follows:
Sec.
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52.40 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from sources not subject
to the CSAPR ozone season trading
program?
52.41 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas Industry?
52.42 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Cement and
Concrete Product Manufacturing
Industry?
52.43 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Industry?
52.44 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Glass and Glass
Product Manufacturing Industry?
52.45 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, the Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills Industries, Metal
Ore Mining, and the Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing Industries?
52.46 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
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nitrogen oxides from Municipal Waste
Combustors?
*
*
*
*
*
§ 52.40 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from sources not subject to
the CSAPR ozone season trading program?
(a) Purpose. This section establishes
Federal Implementation Plan
requirements for new and existing units
in the industries specified in paragraph
(b) of this section to eliminate
significant contribution to
nonattainment, or interference with
maintenance, of the 2015 8-hour ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
in other states pursuant to 42 U.S.C.
7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
(b) Definitions. The terms used in this
section and §§ 52.41 through § 52.46 are
defined as follows:
Calendar year means the period
between January 1 and December 31,
inclusive, for a given year.
Existing affected unit means any
affected unit for which construction
commenced before August 4, 2023.
New affected unit means any affected
unit for which construction commenced
on or after August 4, 2023.
Operator means any person who
operates, controls, or supervises an
affected unit and shall include, but not
be limited to, any holding company,
utility system, or plant manager of such
affected unit.
Owner means any holder of any
portion of the legal or equitable title in
an affected unit.
Potential to emit means the maximum
capacity of a unit to emit a pollutant
under its physical and operational
design. Any physical or operational
limitation on the capacity of the unit to
emit a pollutant, including air pollution
control equipment and restrictions on
hours of operation or on the type or
amount of material combusted, stored,
or processed, shall be treated as part of
its design only if the limitation or the
effect it would have on emissions is
federally enforceable. Secondary
emissions do not count in determining
the potential to emit of a unit.
Rolling average means the weighted
average of all data, meeting quality
assurance and quality control (QA/QC)
requirements in this part or otherwise
normalized, collected during the
applicable averaging period. The period
of a rolling average stipulates the
frequency of data averaging and
reporting. To demonstrate compliance
with an operating parameter a 30-day
rolling average period requires
calculation of a new average value each
operating day and shall include the
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average of all the hourly averages of the
specific operating parameter. For
demonstration of compliance with an
emissions limit based on pollutant
concentration, a 30-day rolling average
is comprised of the average of all the
hourly average concentrations over the
previous 30 operating days. For
demonstration of compliance with an
emissions limit based on lbs-pollutant
per production unit, the 30-day rolling
average is calculated by summing the
hourly mass emissions over the
previous 30 operating days, then
dividing that sum by the total
production during the same period.
(c) General requirements. (1) The NOX
emissions limitations or emissions
control requirements and associated
compliance requirements for the
following listed source categories not
subject to the CSAPR ozone season
trading program constitute the Federal
Implementation Plan provisions that
relate to emissions of NOX during the
ozone season (defined as May 1 through
September 30 of a calendar year):
§§ 52.41 for engines in the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas Industry,
52.42 for kilns in the Cement and
Concrete Product Manufacturing
Industry, 52.43 for reheat furnaces in
the Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing Industry, 52.44 for
furnaces in the Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing Industry, 52.45 for
boilers in the Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing, Metal Ore
Mining, Basic Chemical Manufacturing,
Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing, and Pulp, Paper, and
Paperboard Mills industries, and 52.46
for Municipal Waste Combustors.
(2) The provisions of this section or
§ 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45,
or § 52.46 apply to affected units located
in each of the following States,
including Indian country located within
the borders of such States, beginning in
the 2026 ozone season and in each
subsequent ozone season: Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia.
(3) The testing, monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements of this section or § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 only apply during the ozone
season, except as otherwise specified in
these sections. Additionally, if an owner
or operator of an affected unit chooses
to conduct a performance or compliance
test outside of the ozone season, all
recordkeeping, reporting, and
notification requirements associated
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with that test shall apply, without
regard to whether they occur during the
ozone season.
(d) Requests for extension of
compliance. (1) The owner or operator
of an existing affected unit under
§ 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45,
or § 52.46 that cannot comply with the
applicable requirements in those
sections by May 1, 2026, due to
circumstances entirely beyond the
owner or operator’s control, may request
an initial compliance extension to a date
certain no later than May 1, 2027. The
extension request must contain a
demonstration of necessity consistent
with the requirements of paragraph
(d)(3) of this section.
(2) If, after the EPA has granted a
request for an initial compliance
extension, the source remains unable to
comply with the applicable
requirements in § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 by the
extended compliance date due to
circumstances entirely beyond the
owner or operator’s control, the owner
or operator may apply for a second
compliance extension to a date certain
no later than May 1, 2029. The
extension request must contain an
updated demonstration of necessity
consistent with the requirements of
paragraph (d)(3) of this section.
(3) Each request for a compliance
extension shall demonstrate that the
owner or operator has taken all steps
possible to install the controls necessary
for compliance with the applicable
requirements in § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 by the
applicable compliance date and shall:
(i) Identify each affected unit for
which the owner or operator is seeking
the compliance extension;
(ii) Identify and describe the controls
to be installed at each affected unit to
comply with the applicable
requirements in § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46;
(iii) Identify the circumstances
entirely beyond the owner or operator’s
control that necessitate additional time
to install the identified controls;
(iv) Identify the date(s) by which onsite construction, installation of control
equipment, and/or process changes will
be initiated;
(v) Identify the owner or operator’s
proposed compliance date. A request for
an initial compliance extension under
paragraph (d)(1) of this section must
specify a proposed compliance date no
later than May 1, 2027, and state
whether the owner or operator
anticipates a need to request a second
compliance extension. A request for a
second compliance extension under
paragraph (d)(2) of this section must
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specify a proposed compliance date no
later than May 1, 2029, and identify
additional actions taken by the owner or
operator to ensure that the affected
unit(s) will be in compliance with the
applicable requirements in this section
by that proposed compliance date;
(vi) Include all information obtained
from control technology vendors
demonstrating that the identified
controls cannot be installed by the
applicable compliance date;
(vii) Include any and all contract(s)
entered into for the installation of the
identified controls or an explanation as
to why no contract is necessary or
obtainable; and
(viii) Include any permit(s) obtained
for the installation of the identified
controls or, where a required permit has
not yet been issued, a copy of the permit
application submitted to the permitting
authority and a statement from the
permitting authority identifying its
anticipated timeframe for issuance of
such permit(s).
(4) Each request for a compliance
extension shall be submitted via the
Compliance and Emissions Data
Reporting Interface (CEDRI) or
analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA no later than 180
days prior to the applicable compliance
date. Until an extension has been
granted by the Administrator under this
section, the owner or operator of an
affected unit shall comply with all
applicable requirements of this section
and shall remain subject to the May 1,
2026 compliance date or the initial
extended compliance date, as
applicable. A denial will be effective as
of the date of denial.
(5) The owner or operator of an
affected unit who has requested a
compliance extension under this
paragraph (d)(5) and is required to have
a title V permit shall apply to have the
relevant title V permit revised to
incorporate the conditions of the
extension of compliance. The
conditions of a compliance extension
granted under this paragraph (d)(5) will
be incorporated into the affected unit’s
title V permit according to the
provisions of an EPA-approved state
operating permit program or the Federal
title V regulations in 40 CFR part 71,
whichever apply.
(6) Based on the information provided
in any request made under paragraph
(d) of this section or other information,
the Administrator may grant an
extension of time to comply with
applicable requirements in § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 consistent with the provisions of
paragraph (d)(1) or (2) of this section.
The decision to grant an extension will
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be provided by notification via the
CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
and publicly available, and will identify
each affected unit covered by the
extension; specify the termination date
of the extension; and specify any
additional conditions that the
Administrator deems necessary to
ensure timely installation of the
necessary controls (e.g., the date(s) by
which on-site construction, installation
of control equipment, and/or process
changes will be initiated).
(7) The Administrator will provide
notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided
by the EPA to the owner or operator of
an affected unit who has requested a
compliance extension under this
paragraph (d)(7) whether the submitted
request is complete, that is, whether the
request contains sufficient information
to make a determination, within 60
calendar days after receipt of the
original request and within 60 calendar
days after receipt of any supplementary
information.
(8) The Administrator will provide
notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided
by the EPA, which shall be publicly
available, to the owner or operator of a
decision to grant or intention to deny a
request for a compliance extension
within 60 calendar days after providing
written notification pursuant to
paragraph (d)(7) of this section that the
submitted request is complete.
(9) Before denying any request for an
extension of compliance, the
Administrator will provide notification
via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
to the owner or operator in writing of
the Administrator’s intention to issue
the denial, together with:
(i) Notice of the information and
findings on which the intended denial
is based; and
(ii) Notice of opportunity for the
owner or operator to present via the
CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the
EPA, within 15 calendar days after he/
she is notified of the intended denial,
additional information or arguments to
the Administrator before further action
on the request.
(10) The Administrator’s final
decision to deny any request for an
extension will be provided via the
CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
and publicly available, and will set forth
the specific grounds on which the
denial is based. The final decision will
be made within 60 calendar days after
presentation of additional information
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or argument (if the request is complete),
or within 60 calendar days after the
deadline for the submission of
additional information or argument
under paragraph (d)(9)(ii) of this
section, if no such submission is made.
(11) The granting of an extension
under this section shall not abrogate the
Administrator’s authority under section
114 of the Clean Air Act (CAA or the
Act).
(e) Requests for case-by-case
emissions limits. (1) The owner or
operator of an existing affected unit
under § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44,
§ 52.45, or § 52.46 that cannot comply
with the applicable requirements in
those sections due to technical
impossibility or extreme economic
hardship may submit to the
Administrator, by August 5, 2024, a
request for approval of a case-by-case
emissions limit. The request shall
contain information sufficient for the
Administrator to confirm that the
affected unit is unable to comply with
the applicable emissions limit, due to
technical impossibility or extreme
economic hardship, and to establish an
appropriate alternative case-by-case
emissions limit for the affected unit.
Until a case-by-case emissions limit has
been approved by the Administrator
under this section, the owner or
operator shall remain subject to all
applicable requirements in § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46. A denial will be effective as of
the date of denial.
(2) Each request for a case-by-case
emissions limit shall include, but not be
limited to, the following:
(i) A demonstration that the affected
unit cannot achieve the applicable
emissions limit with available control
technology due to technical
impossibility or extreme economic
hardship.
(A) A demonstration of technical
impossibility shall include:
(1) Uncontrolled NOX emissions for
the affected unit established with a
CEMS, or stack tests obtained during
steady state operation in accordance
with the applicable reference test
methods of 40 CFR part 60, appendix
A–4, any alternative test method
approved by the EPA as of June 5, 2023,
under 40 CFR 59.104(f), 60.8(b)(3),
61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii)(2), or
65.158(a)(2) and available at the EPA’s
website (https://www.epa.gov/emc/
broadly-applicable-approvedalternative-test-methods), or other
methods and procedures approved by
the EPA through notice-and-comment
rulemaking; and
(2) A demonstration that the affected
unit cannot meet the applicable
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emissions limit even with available
control technology, including:
(i) Stack test data or other emissions
data for the affected unit; or
(ii) A third-party engineering
assessment demonstrating that the
affected unit cannot meet the applicable
emissions limit with available control
technology.
(B) A demonstration of extreme
economic hardship shall include at least
three vendor estimates of the costs of
installing control technology necessary
to meet the applicable emissions limit
and other information that
demonstrates, to the satisfaction of the
Administrator, that the cost of
complying with the applicable
emissions limit would present an
extreme economic hardship relative to
the costs borne by other comparable
sources in the industry.
(ii) An analysis of available control
technology options and a proposed caseby-case emissions limit that represents
the lowest emissions limitation
technically achievable by the affected
unit without causing extreme economic
hardship relative to the costs borne by
other comparable sources in the
industry. The owner or operator may
propose additional measures to reduce
NOX emissions, such as operational
standards or work practice standards.
(iii) Calculations of the NOX
emissions reduction to be achieved
through implementation of the proposed
case-by-case emissions limit and any
additional proposed measures, the
difference between this NOX emissions
reduction level and the NOX emissions
reductions that would have occurred if
the affected unit complied with the
applicable emissions limitations in
§ 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45,
or § 52.46, and a description of the
methodology used for these
calculations.
(3) The owner or operator of an
affected unit who has requested a caseby-case emissions limit under this
paragraph (e)(3) and is required to have
a title V permit shall apply to have the
relevant title V permit revised to
incorporate the case-by-case emissions
limit. Any case-by-case emissions limit
approved under this paragraph (e)(3)
will be incorporated into the affected
unit’s title V permit according to the
provisions of an EPA-approved state
operating permit program or the Federal
title V regulations in 40 CFR part 71,
whichever apply.
(4) Based on the information provided
in any request made under this
paragraph (e)(4) or other information,
the Administrator may approve a caseby-case emissions limit that will apply
to an affected unit in lieu of the
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applicable emissions limit in § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46. The decision to approve a caseby-case emissions limit will be provided
via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
in paragraph (d) of this section and
publicly available, and will identify
each affected unit covered by the caseby-case emissions limit.
(5) The Administrator will provide
notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided
by the EPA in paragraph (d) of this
section to the owner or operator of an
affected unit who has requested a caseby-case emissions limit under this
paragraph (e)(5) whether the submitted
request is complete, that is, whether the
request contains sufficient information
to make a determination, within 60
calendar days after receipt of the
original request and within 60 calendar
days after receipt of any supplementary
information.
(6) The Administrator will provide
notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system described
by the EPA in paragraph (d) of this
section, which shall be publicly
available, to the owner or operator of a
decision to approve or intention to deny
the request within 60 calendar days
after providing notification pursuant to
paragraph (e)(5) of this section that the
submitted request is complete.
(7) Before denying any request for a
case-by-case emissions limit, the
Administrator will provide notification
via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
to the owner or operator in writing of
the Administrator’s intention to issue
the denial, together with:
(i) Notice of the information and
findings on which the intended denial
is based; and
(ii) Notice of opportunity for the
owner or operator to present via the
CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the
EPA, within 15 calendar days after he/
she is notified of the intended denial,
additional information or arguments to
the Administrator before further action
on the request.
(8) The Administrator’s final decision
to deny any request for a case-by-case
emissions limit will be provided by
notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided
by the EPAand publicly available, and
will set forth the specific grounds on
which the denial is based. The final
decision will be made within 60
calendar days after presentation of
additional information or argument (if
the request is complete), or within 60
calendar days after the deadline for the
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submission of additional information or
argument under paragraph (e)(7)(ii) of
this section, if no such submission is
made.
(9) The approval of a case-by-case
emissions limit under this section shall
not abrogate the Administrator’s
authority under section 114 of the Act.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. (1)
The owner or operator of an affected
unit subject to the provisions of this
section or § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 shall
maintain files of all information
(including all reports and notifications)
required by these sections recorded in a
form suitable and readily available for
expeditious inspection and review. The
files shall be retained for at least 5 years
following the date of each occurrence,
measurement, maintenance, corrective
action, report, or record. At minimum,
the most recent 2 years of data shall be
retained on site. The remaining 3 years
of data may be retained off site. Such
files may be maintained on microfilm,
on a computer, on computer floppy
disks, on magnetic tape disks, or on
microfiche.
(2) Any records required to be
maintained by § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 that are
submitted electronically via the EPA’s
Compliance and Emissions Data
Reporting Interface (CEDRI) may be
maintained in electronic format. This
ability to maintain electronic copies
does not affect the requirement for
facilities to make records, data, and
reports available upon request to the
EPA as part of an on-site compliance
evaluation.
(g) CEDRI reporting requirements. (1)
You shall submit the results of the
performance test following the
procedures specified in paragraphs
(g)(1)(i) through (iii) of this section:
(i) Data collected using test methods
supported by the EPA’s Electronic
Reporting Tool (ERT) as listed on the
EPA’s ERT website (https://
www.epa.gov/electronic-reporting-airemissions/electronic-reporting-tool-ert)
at the time of the test. Submit the results
of the performance test to the EPA via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA
to report data required by § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46, which can be accessed through
the EPA’s Central Data Exchange (CDX)
(https://cdx.epa.gov/). The data must be
submitted in a file format generated
using the EPA’s ERT. Alternatively, you
may submit an electronic file consistent
with the extensible markup language
(XML) schema listed on the EPA’s ERT
website.
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(ii) Data collected using test methods
that are not supported by the EPA’s ERT
as listed on the EPA’s ERT website at
the time of the test. The results of the
performance test must be included as an
attachment in the ERT or an alternate
electronic file consistent with the XML
schema listed on the EPA’s ERT
website. Submit the ERT generated
package or alternative file to the EPA via
CEDRI.
(iii)(A) The EPA will make all the
information submitted through CEDRI
available to the public without further
notice to you. Do not use CEDRI to
submit information you claim as
confidential business information (CBI).
Although we do not expect persons to
assert a claim of CBI, if you wish to
assert a CBI claim for some of the
information submitted under paragraph
(g)(1) or (2) of this section, you should
submit a complete file, including
information claimed to be CBI, to the
EPA.
(B) The file must be generated using
the EPA’s ERT or an alternate electronic
file consistent with the XML schema
listed on the EPA’s ERT website.
(C) Clearly mark the part or all of the
information that you claim to be CBI.
Information not marked as CBI may be
authorized for public release without
prior notice. Information marked as CBI
will not be disclosed except in
accordance with procedures set forth in
40 CFR part 2.
(D) The preferred method to receive
CBI is for it to be transmitted
electronically using email attachments,
File Transfer Protocol, or other online
file sharing services. Electronic
submissions must be transmitted
directly to the Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards (OAQPS) CBI
Office at the email address oaqpscbi@
epa.gov, and as described in this
paragraph (g), should include clear CBI
markings and be flagged to the attention
of Lead of 2015 Ozone Transport FIP. If
assistance is needed with submitting
large electronic files that exceed the file
size limit for email attachments, and if
you do not have your own file sharing
service, please email oaqpscbi@epa.gov
to request a file transfer link.
(E) If you cannot transmit the file
electronically, you may send CBI
information through the postal service
to the following address: OAQPS
Document Control Officer (C404–02),
OAQPS, U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, Research Triangle Park, North
Carolina 27711, Attention Lead of 2015
Ozone Transport FIP. The mailed CBI
material should be double wrapped and
clearly marked. Any CBI markings
should not show through the outer
envelope.
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(F) All CBI claims must be asserted at
the time of submission. Anything
submitted using CEDRI cannot later be
claimed CBI. Furthermore, under CAA
section 114(c), emissions data is not
entitled to confidential treatment, and
the EPA is required to make emissions
data available to the public. Thus,
emissions data will not be protected as
CBI and will be made publicly available.
(G) You must submit the same file
submitted to the CBI office with the CBI
omitted to the EPA via the EPA’s CDX
as described in paragraphs (g)(1) and (2)
of this section.
(2) Annual reports must be submitted
via CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA
to report data required by § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46.
(3) If you are required to
electronically submit a report through
CEDRI in the EPA’s CDX, you may
assert a claim of EPA system outage for
failure to timely comply with that
reporting requirement. To assert a claim
of EPA system outage, you must meet
the requirements outlined in paragraphs
(g)(3)(i) through (vii) of this section.
(i) You must have been or will be
precluded from accessing CEDRI and
submitting a required report within the
time prescribed due to an outage of
either the EPA’s CEDRI or CDX systems.
(ii) The outage must have occurred
within the period of time beginning five
business days prior to the date that the
submission is due.
(iii) The outage may be planned or
unplanned.
(iv) You must submit notification to
the Administrator in writing as soon as
possible following the date you first
knew, or through due diligence should
have known, that the event may cause
or has caused a delay in reporting.
(v) You must provide to the
Administrator a written description
identifying:
(A) The date(s) and time(s) when CDX
or CEDRI was accessed and the system
was unavailable;
(B) A rationale for attributing the
delay in reporting beyond the regulatory
deadline to EPA system outage;
(C) A description of measures taken or
to be taken to minimize the delay in
reporting; and
(D) The date by which you propose to
report, or if you have already met the
reporting requirement at the time of the
notification, the date you reported.
(vi) The decision to accept the claim
of EPA system outage and allow an
extension to the reporting deadline is
solely within the discretion of the
Administrator.
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(vii) In any circumstance, the report
must be submitted electronically as
soon as possible after the outage is
resolved.
(4) If you are required to
electronically submit a report through
CEDRI in the EPA’s CDX, you may
assert a claim of force majeure for
failure to timely comply with that
reporting requirement. To assert a claim
of force majeure, you must meet the
requirements outlined in paragraphs
(g)(4)(i) through (v) of this section.
(i) You may submit a claim if a force
majeure event is about to occur, occurs,
or has occurred or there are lingering
effects from such an event within the
period of time beginning five business
days prior to the date the submission is
due. For the purposes of this section, a
force majeure event is defined as an
event that will be or has been caused by
circumstances beyond the control of the
affected unit, its contractors, or any
entity controlled by the affected unit
that prevents you from complying with
the requirement to submit a report
electronically within the time period
prescribed. Examples of such events are
acts of nature (e.g., hurricanes,
earthquakes, or floods), acts of war or
terrorism, or equipment failure or safety
hazard beyond the control of the
affected unit (e.g., large scale power
outage).
(ii) You must submit notification to
the Administrator in writing as soon as
possible following the date you first
knew, or through due diligence should
have known, that the event may cause
or has caused a delay in reporting.
(iii) You must provide to the
Administrator:
(A) A written description of the force
majeure event;
(B) A rationale for attributing the
delay in reporting beyond the regulatory
deadline to the force majeure event;
(C) A description of measures taken or
to be taken to minimize the delay in
reporting; and
(D) The date by which you propose to
report, or if you have already met the
reporting requirement at the time of the
notification, the date you reported.
(iv) The decision to accept the claim
of force majeure and allow an extension
to the reporting deadline is solely
within the discretion of the
Administrator.
(v) In any circumstance, the reporting
must occur as soon as possible after the
force majeure event occurs.
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§ 52.41 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined
in this paragraph (a) shall have the
meaning given to them in the Act and
in subpart A of 40 CFR part 60.
Affected unit means an engine
meeting the applicability criteria of this
section.
Cap means the total amount of NOX
emissions, in tons per day on a 30-day
rolling average basis, that is collectively
allowed from all of the affected units
covered by a Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan and is calculated as the sum each
affected unit’s NOX emissions at the
emissions limit applicable to such unit
under paragraph (c) of this section,
converted to tons per day in accordance
with paragraph (d)(3) of this section.
Emergency engine means any
stationary reciprocating internal
combustion engine (RICE) that meets all
of the criteria in paragraphs (i) and (ii)
of this definition. All emergency
stationary RICE must comply with the
requirements specified in paragraph
(b)(1) of this section in order to be
considered emergency engines. If the
engine does not comply with the
requirements specified in paragraph
(b)(1), it is not considered an emergency
engine under this section.
(i) The stationary engine is operated
to provide electrical power or
mechanical work during an emergency
situation. Examples include stationary
RICE used to produce power for critical
networks or equipment (including
power supplied to portions of a facility)
when electric power from the local
utility (or the normal power source, if
the facility runs on its own power
production) is interrupted, or stationary
RICE used to pump water in the case of
fire or flood, etc.
(ii) The stationary RICE is operated
under limited circumstances for
purposes other than those identified in
paragraph (i) of this definition, as
specified in paragraph (b)(1) of this
section.
Facility means all of the pollutantemitting activities which belong to the
same industrial grouping, are located on
one or more contiguous or adjacent
properties, and are under the control of
the same person (or persons under
common control). Pollutant-emitting
activities shall be considered as part of
the same industrial grouping if they
belong to the same ‘‘Major Group’’ (i.e.,
which have the same first two digit code
as described in the Standard Industrial
Classification Manual, 1987). For
purposes of this section, a facility may
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not extend beyond the 20 states
identified in § 52.40(b)(2).
Four stroke means any type of engine
which completes the power cycle in two
crankshaft revolutions, with intake and
compression strokes in the first
revolution and power and exhaust
strokes in the second revolution.
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15
°C), 60 percent relative humidity, and
101.3 kilopascals pressure.
Lean burn means any two-stroke or
four-stroke spark ignited reciprocating
internal combustion engine that does
not meet the definition of a rich burn
engine.
Local Distribution Companies (LDCs)
are companies that own or operate
distribution pipelines, but not interstate
pipelines or intrastate pipelines, that
physically deliver natural gas to end
users and that are within a single state
that are regulated as separate operating
companies by State public utility
commissions or that operate as
independent municipally-owned
distribution systems. LDCs do not
include pipelines (both interstate and
intrastate) delivering natural gas directly
to major industrial users and farm taps
upstream of the local distribution
company inlet.
Local Distribution Company (LDC)
custody transfer station means a
metering station where the LDC receives
a natural gas supply from an upstream
supplier, which may be an interstate
transmission pipeline or a local natural
gas producer, for delivery to customers
through the LDC’s intrastate
transmission or distribution lines.
Nameplate rating means the
manufacturer’s maximum design
capacity in horsepower (hp) at the
installation site conditions. Starting
from the completion of any physical
change in the engine resulting in an
increase in the maximum output (in hp)
that the engine is capable of producing
on a steady state basis and during
continuous operation, such increased
maximum output shall be as specified
by the person conducting the physical
change.
Natural gas means a fluid mixture of
hydrocarbons (e.g., methane, ethane, or
propane) or non-hydrocarbons,
composed of at least 70 percent methane
by volume or that has a gross calorific
value between 35 and 41 megajoules
(MJ) per dry standard cubic meter (950
and 1,100 Btu per dry standard cubic
foot), that maintains a gaseous state
under ISO conditions. Natural gas does
not include the following gaseous fuels:
Landfill gas, digester gas, refinery gas,
sour gas, blast furnace gas, coal-derived
gas, producer gas, coke oven gas, or any
gaseous fuel produced in a process
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which might result in highly variable
CO2 content or heating value.
Natural gas-fired means that greater
than or equal to 90% of the engine’s
heat input, excluding recirculated or
recuperated exhaust heat, is derived
from the combustion of natural gas.
Natural gas processing plant means
any processing site engaged in the
extraction of natural gas liquids from
field gas, fractionation of mixed natural
gas liquids to natural gas products, or
both. A Joule-Thompson valve, a dew
point depression valve, or an isolated or
standalone Joule-Thompson skid is not
a natural gas processing plant.
Natural gas production facility means
all equipment at a single stationary
source directly associated with one or
more natural gas wells upstream of the
natural gas processing plant. This
equipment includes, but is not limited
to, equipment used for storage,
separation, treating, dehydration,
artificial lift, combustion, compression,
pumping, metering, monitoring, and
flowline.
Operating day means a 24-hour
period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which any fuel is combusted at
any time in the engine.
Pipeline transportation of natural gas
means the movement of natural gas
through an interconnected network of
compressors and pipeline components,
including the compressor and pipeline
network used to transport the natural
gas from processing plants over a
distance (intrastate or interstate) to and
from storage facilities, to large natural
gas end-users, and prior to delivery to
a ‘‘local distribution company custody
transfer station’’ (as defined in this
section) of an LDC that provides the
natural gas to end-users. Pipeline
transportation of natural gas does not
include natural gas production facilities,
natural gas processing plants, or the
portion of a compressor and pipeline
network that is upstream of a natural gas
processing plant.
Reciprocating internal combustion
engine (RICE) means a reciprocating
engine in which power, produced by
heat and/or pressure that is developed
in the engine combustion chambers by
the burning of a mixture of air and fuel,
is subsequently converted to mechanical
work.
Rich burn means any four-stroke
spark ignited reciprocating internal
combustion engine where the
manufacturer’s recommended operating
air/fuel ratio divided by the
stoichiometric air/fuel ratio at full load
conditions is less than or equal to 1.1.
Internal combustion engines originally
manufactured as rich burn engines but
modified with passive emissions control
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technology for nitrogen oxides (NOX)
(such as pre-combustion chambers) will
be considered lean burn engines.
Existing affected unit where there are no
manufacturer’s recommendations
regarding air/fuel ratio will be
considered rich burn engines if the
excess oxygen content of the exhaust at
full load conditions is less than or equal
to 2 percent.
Spark ignition means a reciprocating
internal combustion engine utilizing a
spark plug (or other sparking device) to
ignite the air/fuel mixture and with
operating characteristics significantly
similar to the theoretical Otto
combustion cycle.
Stoichiometric means the theoretical
air-to-fuel ratio required for complete
combustion.
Two stroke means a type of
reciprocating internal combustion
engine which completes the power
cycle in a single crankshaft revolution
by combining the intake and
compression operations into one stroke
(one-half revolution) and the power and
exhaust operations into a second stroke.
This system requires auxiliary exhaust
scavenging of the combustion products
and inherently runs lean (excess of air)
of stoichiometry.
(b) Applicability. You are subject to
the requirements under this section if
you own or operate a new or existing
natural gas-fired spark ignition engine,
other than an emergency engine, with a
nameplate rating of 1,000 hp or greater
that is used for pipeline transportation
of natural gas and is located within any
of the States listed in § 52.40(c)(2),
including Indian country located within
the borders of any such State(s).
(1) For purposes of this section, the
owner or operator of an emergency
stationary RICE must operate the RICE
according to the requirements in
paragraphs (b)(1)(i) through (iii) of this
section to be treated as an emergency
stationary RICE. In order for stationary
RICE to be treated as an emergency RICE
under this subpart, any operation other
than emergency operation, maintenance
and testing, and operation in nonemergency situations for up to 50 hours
per year, as described in paragraphs
(b)(1)(i) through (iii), is prohibited. If
you do not operate the RICE according
to the requirements in paragraphs
(b)(1)(i) through (iii), the RICE will not
be considered an emergency engine
under this section and must meet all
requirements for affected units in this
section.
(i) There is no time limit on the use
of emergency stationary RICE in
emergency situations.
(ii) The owner or operator may
operate your emergency stationary RICE
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for maintenance checks and readiness
testing for a maximum of 100 hours per
calendar year, provided that the tests are
recommended by a Federal, state, or
local government agency, the
manufacturer, the vendor, or the
insurance company associated with the
engine. Any operation for nonemergency situations as allowed by
paragraph (b)(1)(iii) of this section
counts as part of the 100 hours per
calendar year allowed by paragraph
(b)(1)(ii) of this section. The owner or
operator may petition the Administrator
for approval of additional hours to be
used for maintenance checks and
readiness testing, but a petition is not
required if the owner or operator
maintains records confirming that
Federal, state, or local standards require
maintenance and testing of emergency
RICE beyond 100 hours per calendar
year. Any approval of a petition for
additional hours granted by the
Administrator under 40 CFR part 63,
subpart ZZZZ, shall constitute approval
by the Administrator of the same
petition under this paragraph (b)(1)(ii).
(iii) Emergency stationary RICE may
be operated for up to 50 hours per
calendar year in non-emergency
situations. The 50 hours of operation in
non-emergency situations are counted
as part of the 100 hours per calendar
year for maintenance and testing
provided in paragraph (b)(1)(ii) of this
section.
(2) If you own or operate a natural
gas-fired two stroke lean burn spark
ignition engine manufactured after July
1, 2007 that is meeting the applicable
emissions limits in 40 CFR part 60,
subpart JJJJ, table 1, the engine is not an
affected unit under this section and you
do not have to comply with the
requirements of this section.
(3) If you own or operate a natural
gas-fired four stroke lean or rich burn
spark ignition engine manufactured
after July 1, 2010, that is meeting the
applicable emissions limits in 40 CFR
part 60, subpart JJJJ, table 1, the engine
is not an affected unit under this section
and you do not have to comply with the
requirements of this section.
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must meet the following
emissions limitations on a 30-day
rolling average basis during the 2026
ozone season and in each ozone season
thereafter:
(1) Natural gas-fired four stroke rich
burn spark ignition engine: 1.0 grams
per hp-hour (g/hp-hr);
(2) Natural gas-fired four stroke lean
burn spark ignition engine: 1.5 g/hp-hr;
and
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(3) Natural gas-fired two stroke lean
burn spark ignition engine: 3.0 g/hp-hr.
(d) Facility-Wide Averaging Plan. If
you are the owner or operator of a
facility containing more than one
affected unit, you may submit a request
via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
to the Administrator for approval of a
proposed Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
as an alternative means of compliance
with the applicable emissions limits in
paragraph (c) of this section. Any such
request shall be submitted to the
Administrator on or before October 1st
of the year prior to each emissions
averaging year. The Administrator will
approve a proposed Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan submitted under this
paragraph (d) if the Administrator
determines that the proposed FacilityWide Averaging Plan meets the
requirements of this paragraph (d), will
provide total emissions reductions
equivalent to or greater than those
achieved by the applicable emissions
limits in paragraph (c), and identifies
satisfactory means for determining
initial and continuous compliance,
including appropriate testing,
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements. You may only
include affected units (i.e., engines
meeting the applicability criteria in
paragraph (b) of this section) in a
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan. Upon
EPA approval of a proposed FacilityWide Averaging Plan, you cannot
withdraw any affected unit listed in
such plan, and the terms of the plan
may not be changed unless approved in
writing by the Administrator.
(1) Each request for approval of a
proposed Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
shall include, but not be limited to:
(i) The address of the facility;
(ii) A list of all affected units at the
facility that will be covered by the plan,
identified by unit identification number,
the engine manufacturer’s name, and
model;
(iii) For each affected unit, a
description of any existing NOX
emissions control technology and the
date of installation, and a description of
any NOX emissions control technology
to be installed and the projected date of
installation;
(iv) Identification of the emissions
cap, calculated in accordance with
paragraph (d)(3) of this section, that all
affected units covered by the proposed
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan will be
subject to during the ozone season,
together with all assumptions included
in such calculation; and
(iv) Adequate provisions for testing,
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting for each affected unit.
(2) Upon the Administrator’s approval
of a proposed Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan, the owner or operator of the
affected units covered by the FacilityWide Averaging Plan shall comply with
the cap identified in the plan in lieu of
the emissions limits in paragraph (c) of
this section. You will be in compliance
with the cap if the sum of NOX
emissions from all units covered by the
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan, in tons
per day on a 30-day rolling average
basis, is less than or equal to the cap.
(3) The owner or operator will
calculate the cap according to equation
1 to this paragraph (d)(3). You will
monitor and record daily hours of
engine operation for use in calculating
the cap on a 30-day rolling average
basis. You will base the hours of
operation on hour readings from a nonresettable hour meter or an equivalent
monitoring device.
Equation 1 to Paragraph (d)(3)
Where:
Hi = the average daily operating hours based
on the highest consecutive 30-day period
during the ozone season of the two most
recent years preceding the emissions
averaging year (hours).
i = each affected unit included in the Cap.
N = number of affected units.
DC = the engine manufacturer’s design
maximum capacity in horsepower (hp) at
the installation site conditions.
Rli = the emissions limit for each affected
unit from paragraph (c) of this section
(grams/hp-hr).
tons per day on a 30-day rolling average
basis, exceeds the cap. Each day of
noncompliance by each affected unit
covered by the Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan shall be a violation of the cap until
corrective action is taken to achieve
compliance.
(e) Testing and monitoring
requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit subject to a
NOX emissions limit under paragraph
(c) of this section, you must keep a
maintenance plan and records of
conducted maintenance and must, to
the extent practicable, maintain and
operate the engine in a manner
consistent with good air pollution
control practice for minimizing
emissions.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit and are operating a NOX
continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) that monitors NOX
emissions from the affected unit, you
may use the CEMS data in lieu of the
annual performance tests and
parametric monitoring required under
this section. You must meet the
following requirements for using CEMS
to monitor NOX emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a continuous
emissions monitoring system (CEMS)
for measuring NOX emissions and either
oxygen (O2) or carbon dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and
data recorded during all periods of
operation during the ozone season of the
affected unit except for CEMS
breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be
recorded during calibration checks and
zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX
emissions rates measured by the CEMS
shall be used to calculate the average
emissions rates to demonstrate
compliance with the applicable
emissions limits in this section.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR
60.13 shall be followed for installation,
evaluation, and operation of the
continuous monitoring systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not
obtained because of CEMS breakdowns,
repairs, calibration checks, and zero and
span adjustments, emissions data will
be obtained by using standby
(i) Any affected unit for which less
than two years of operating data are
available shall not be included in the
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan unless the
owner or operator extrapolates the
available operating data for the affected
unit to two years of operating data, for
use in calculating the emissions cap in
accordance with paragraph (d)(3) of this
section.
(ii) [Reserved]
(4) The owner or operator of an
affected units covered by an EPAapproved Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
will be in violation of the cap if the sum
of NOX emissions from all such units, in
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monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40
CFR part 60, appendix A–4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A–4, or
other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum
of 75 percent of the operating hours in
each affected unit operating day, in at
least 22 out of 30 successive operating
days.
(3)(i) If you are the owner or operator
of a new affected unit, you must
conduct an initial performance test
within six months of engine startup and
conduct subsequent performance tests
every twelve months thereafter to
demonstrate compliance. If pollution
control equipment is installed to
comply with a NOX emissions limit in
paragraph (c) of this section, however,
the initial performance test shall be
conducted within 90 days of such
installation.
(ii) If you are the owner or operator
of an existing affected unit, you must
conduct an initial performance test
within six months of becoming subject
to an emissions limit under paragraph
(c) of this section and conduct
subsequent performance tests every
twelve months thereafter to demonstrate
compliance. If pollution control
equipment is installed to comply with a
NOX emissions limit in paragraph (c) of
this section, however, the initial
performance test shall be conducted
within 90 days of such installation.
(iii) If you are the owner or operator
of a new or existing affected unit that is
only operated during peak demand
periods outside of the ozone season and
the engine’s hours of operation during
the ozone season are 50 hours or less,
the affected unit is not subject to the
testing and monitoring requirements of
this paragraph (e)(3)(iii) as long as you
record and report your hours of
operation during the ozone season in
accordance with paragraphs (f) and (g)
of this section.
(iv) If you are the owner or operator
of an affected unit, you must conduct all
performance tests consistent with the
requirements of 40 CFR 60.4244 in
accordance with the applicable
reference test methods identified in
table 2 to subpart JJJJ of 40 CFR part 60,
any alternative test method approved by
the EPA as of June 5, 2023, under 40
CFR 59.104(f), 60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii),
63.7(e)(2)(ii), or 65.158(a)(2) and
available at the EPA’s website (https://
www.epa.gov/emc/broadly-applicableapproved-alternative-test-methods), or
other methods and procedures approved
by the EPA through notice-andcomment rulemaking. To determine
compliance with the NOX emissions
limit in paragraph (c) of this section, the
emissions rate shall be calculated in
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accordance with the requirements of 40
CFR 60.4244(d).
(4) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit that has a non-selective
catalytic reduction (NSCR) control
device to reduce emissions, you must:
(i) Monitor the inlet temperature to
the catalyst daily and conduct
maintenance if the temperature is not
within the observed inlet temperature
range from the most recent performance
test or the temperatures specified by the
manufacturer if no performance test was
required by this section; and
(ii) Measure the pressure drop across
the catalyst monthly and conduct
maintenance if the pressure drop across
the catalyst changes by more than 2
inches of water at 100 percent load plus
or minus 10 percent from the pressure
drop across the catalyst measured
during the most recent performance test.
(5) If you are the owner of operator of
an affected unit not using an NSCR
control device to reduce emissions, you
are required to conduct continuous
parametric monitoring to assure
compliance with the applicable
emissions limits according to the
requirements in paragraphs (e)(5)(i)
through (vi) of this section.
(i) You must prepare a site-specific
monitoring plan that includes all of the
following monitoring system design,
data collection, and quality assurance
and quality control elements:
(A) The performance criteria and
design specifications for the monitoring
system equipment, including the sample
interface, detector signal analyzer, and
data acquisition and calculations.
(B) Sampling interface (e.g.,
thermocouple) location such that the
monitoring system will provide
representative measurements.
(C) Equipment performance
evaluations, system accuracy audits, or
other audit procedures.
(D) Ongoing operation and
maintenance procedures in accordance
with the requirements of paragraph
(e)(1) of this section.
(E) Ongoing recordkeeping and
reporting procedures in accordance with
the requirements of paragraphs (f) and
(g) of this section.
(ii) You must continuously monitor
the selected operating parameters
according to the procedures in your sitespecific monitoring plan.
(iii) You must collect parametric
monitoring data at least once every 15
minutes.
(iv) When measuring temperature
range, the temperature sensor must have
a minimum tolerance of 2.8 degrees
Celsius (5 degrees Fahrenheit) or 1
percent of the measurement range,
whichever is larger.
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(v) You must conduct performance
evaluations, system accuracy audits, or
other audit procedures specified in your
site-specific monitoring plan at least
annually.
(vi) You must conduct a performance
evaluation of each parametric
monitoring device in accordance with
your site-specific monitoring plan.
(6) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit that is only operated
during peak periods outside of the
ozone season and your hours of
operation during the ozone season are 0,
you are not subject to the testing and
monitoring requirements of this
paragraph (e)(6) so long as you record
and report your hours of operation
during the ozone season in accordance
with paragraphs (f) and (g) of this
section.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must keep records of:
(1) Performance tests conducted
pursuant to paragraph (e)(2) of this
section, including the date, engine
settings on the date of the test, and
documentation of the methods and
results of the testing.
(2) Catalyst monitoring required by
paragraph (e)(3) of this section, if
applicable, and any actions taken to
address monitored values outside the
temperature or pressure drop
parameters, including the date and a
description of actions taken.
(3) Parameters monitored pursuant to
the facility’s site-specific parametric
monitoring plan.
(4) Hours of operation on a daily
basis.
(5) Tuning, adjustments, or other
combustion process adjustments and the
date of the adjustment(s).
(6) For any Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan approved by the Administrator
under paragraph (d) of this section,
daily calculations of total NOX
emissions to demonstrate compliance
with the cap during the ozone season.
You must use the equation in this
paragraph (f)(6) to calculate total NOX
emissions from all affected units
covered by the Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan, in tons per day on a 30-day rolling
average basis, for purposes of
determining compliance with the cap
during the ozone season. A new 30-day
rolling average emissions rate in tpd is
calculated for each operating day during
the ozone season, using the 30-day
rolling average daily operating hours for
the preceding 30 operating days.
Equation 2 to Paragraph (f)(6)
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§ 52.42 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Cement and
Concrete Product Manufacturing Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined
in this paragraph (a) shall have the
meaning given to them in the Act and
in subpart A of 40 CFR part 60.
Affected unit means a cement kiln
meeting the applicability criteria of this
section.
Cement kiln means an installation,
including any associated pre-heater or
pre-calciner devices, that produces
clinker by heating limestone and other
materials to produce Portland cement.
Cement plant means any facility
manufacturing cement by either the wet
or dry process.
Clinker means the product of a
cement kiln from which finished
cement is manufactured by milling and
grinding.
Operating day means a 24-hour
period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which the kiln produces clinker
at any time.
(b) Applicability. You are subject to
the requirements of this section if you
own or operate a new or existing cement
kiln that emits or has the potential to
emit 100 tons per year or more of NOX
on or after August 4, 2023, and is
located within any of the States listed in
§ 52.40(c)(2), including Indian country
located within the borders of any such
State(s). Any existing cement kiln with
a potential to emit of 100 tons per year
or more of NOX on August 4, 2023, will
continue to be subject to the
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requirements of this section even if that
unit later becomes subject to a physical
or operational limitation that lowers its
potential to emit below 100 tons per
year of NOX.
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must meet the following
emissions limitations on a 30-day
rolling average basis during the 2026
ozone season and in each ozone season
thereafter:
(1) Long wet kilns: 4.0 lb/ton of
clinker;
(2) Long dry kilns: 3.0 lb/ton of
clinker;
(3) Preheater kilns: 3.8 lb/ton of
clinker;
(4) Precalciner kilns: 2.3 lb/ton of
clinker; and
(5) Preheater/Precalciner kilns: 2.8 lb/
ton of clinker.
(d) Testing and monitoring
requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit you must
conduct performance tests, on an annual
basis, in accordance with the applicable
reference test methods of 40 CFR part
60, appendix A–4, any alternative test
method approved by the EPA as of June
5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f),
60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii),
or 65.158(a)(2) and available at the
EPA’s website (https://www.epa.gov/
emc/broadly-applicable-approvedalternative-test-methods), or other
methods and procedures approved by
the EPA through notice-and-comment
rulemaking. The annual performance
test does not have to be performed
during the ozone season. You must
calculate and record the 30-operating
day rolling average emissions rate of
NOX as the total of all hourly emissions
data for a cement kiln in the preceding
30 days, divided by the total tons of
clinker produced in that kiln during the
same 30-operating day period, using
equation 1 to this paragraph (d)(1):
Equation 1 to Paragraph (d)(1)
Where:
E30D = 30 kiln operating day average
emissions rate of NOX, in lbs/ton of
clinker.
Ci = Concentration of NOX for hour i, in ppm.
Qi = Volumetric flow rate of effluent gas for
hour i, where Ci and Qi are on the same
basis (either wet or dry), in scf/hr.
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ER05JN23.002
(g) Reporting requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must submit the results of the
performance test or performance
evaluation of the CEMS following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g)
within 60 days after completing each
performance test required by this
section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you are required to
submit excess emissions reports for any
excess emissions that occurred during
the reporting period. Excess emissions
are defined as any calculated 30-day
rolling average NOX emissions rate that
exceeds the applicable emissions limit
in paragraph (c) of this section. Excess
emissions reports must be submitted in
PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI or
analogous electronic reporting approach
provided by the EPA to report data
required by this section following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g).
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must submit an
annual report in PDF format to the EPA
by January 30th of each year via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting
approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section. Annual
reports shall be submitted following the
procedures in paragraph (g) of this
section. The report shall contain the
following information:
(i) The name and address of the owner
and operator;
(ii) The address of the subject engine;
(iii) Longitude and latitude
coordinates of the subject engine;
(iv) Identification of the subject
engine;
(v) Statement of compliance with the
applicable emissions limit under
paragraph (c) of this section or a
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan under
paragraph (d) of this section;
(vi) Statement of compliance
regarding the conduct of maintenance
and operations in a manner consistent
with good air pollution control practices
for minimizing emissions;
(vii) The date and results of the
performance test conducted pursuant to
paragraph (e) of this section;
(viii) Any records required by
paragraph (f) of this section, including
records of parametric monitoring data,
to demonstrate compliance with the
applicable emissions limit under
paragraph (c) of this section or a
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan under
paragraph (d) of this section, if
applicable;
(ix) If applicable, a statement
documenting any change in the
operating characteristics of the subject
engine; and
(x) A statement certifying that the
information included in the annual
report is complete and accurate.
ER05JN23.007
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Where:
Hai = the consecutive 30-day rolling average
daily operating hours for the preceding
30 operating days during ozone season
(hours).
i = each affected unit.
N = number of affected units.
DC = the engine manufacturer’s maximum
design capacity in horsepower (hp) at the
installation site conditions.
Rai = the actual emissions rate for each
affected unit based on the most recent
performance test results, (grams/hp-hr).
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P = 30 days of clinker production during the
same Time period as the NOX emissions
measured, in tons.
k = Conversion factor, 1.194 × 10¥7 for NOX,
in lb/scf/ppm.
n = Number of kiln operating hours over 30
kiln operating days.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit and are operating a NOX
continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) that monitors NOX
emissions from the affected unit, you
may use the CEMS data in lieu of the
annual performance tests and
parametric monitoring required under
this section. You must meet the
following requirements for using CEMS
to monitor NOX emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a continuous
emissions monitoring system (CEMS)
for measuring NOX emissions and either
oxygen (O2) or carbon dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and
data recorded during all periods of
operation during the ozone season of the
affected unit except for CEMS
breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be
recorded during calibration checks and
zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX
emissions rates measured by the CEMS
shall be expressed in terms of lbs/ton of
clinker and shall be used to calculate
the average emissions rates to
demonstrate compliance with the
applicable emissions limits in this
section.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR
60.13 shall be followed for installation,
evaluation, and operation of the
continuous monitoring systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not
obtained because of CEMS breakdowns,
repairs, calibration checks and zero and
span adjustments, emissions data will
be obtained by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40
CFR part 60, appendix A–4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A–4, or
other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum
of 75 percent of the operating hours in
each affected unit operating day, in at
least 22 out of 30 successive operating
days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit not operating NOX
CEMS, you must conduct an initial
performance test before the 2026 ozone
season to establish appropriate indicator
ranges for operating parameters and
continuously monitor those operator
parameters consistent with the
requirements of paragraphs (d)(3)(i)
through (v) of this section.
(i) You must monitor and record kiln
stack exhaust gas flow rate, hourly
clinker production rate or kiln feed rate,
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and kiln stack exhaust temperature
during the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests to
demonstrate continuous compliance
with your NOX emissions limits.
(ii) You must determine hourly
clinker production by one of two
methods:
(A) Install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate a permanent weigh scale system
to record weight rates of the amount of
clinker produced in tons of mass per
hour. The system of measuring hourly
clinker production must be maintained
within ±5 percent accuracy; or
(B) Install, calibrate, maintain, and
operate a permanent weigh scale system
to measure and record weight rates of
the amount of feed to the kiln in tons
of mass per hour. The system of
measuring feed must be maintained
within ±5 percent accuracy. Calculate
your hourly clinker production rate
using a kiln specific feed-to-clinker ratio
based on reconciled clinker production
rates determined for accounting
purposes and recorded feed rates. This
ratio should be updated monthly. Note
that if this ratio changes at clinker
reconciliation, you must use the new
ratio going forward, but you do not have
to retroactively change clinker
production rates previously estimated.
(C) For each kiln operating hour for
which you do not have data on clinker
production or the amount of feed to the
kiln, use the value from the most recent
previous hour for which valid data are
available.
(D) If you measure clinker production
directly, record the daily clinker
production rates; if you measure the
kiln feed rates and calculate clinker
production, record the daily kiln feed
and clinker production rates.
(iii) You must use the kiln stack
exhaust gas flow rate, hourly kiln
production rate or kiln feed rate, and
kiln stack exhaust temperature during
the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests as
indicators of NOX operating parameters
to demonstrate continuous compliance
and establish site-specific indicator
ranges for these operating parameters.
(iv) You must repeat the performance
test annually to reassess and adjust the
site-specific operating parameter
indicator ranges in accordance with the
results of the performance test.
(v) You must report and include your
ongoing site-specific operating
parameter data in the annual reports
required under paragraph (e) of this
section and semi-annual title V
monitoring reports to the relevant
permitting authority.
(e) Recordkeeping requirements. If
you are the owner or operator of an
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affected unit, you shall maintain records
of the following information for each
day the affected unit operates:
(1) Calendar date;
(2) The average hourly NOX emissions
rates measured or predicted;
(3) The 30-day average NOX emissions
rates calculated at the end of each
affected unit operating day from the
measured or predicted hourly NOX
emissions rates for the preceding 30
operating days;
(4) Identification of the affected unit
operating days when the calculated 30day average NOX emissions rates are in
excess of the applicable site-specific
NOX emissions limit with the reasons
for such excess emissions as well as a
description of corrective actions taken;
(5) Identification of the affected unit
operating days for which pollutant data
have not been obtained, including
reasons for not obtaining sufficient data
and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(6) Identification of the times when
emissions data have been excluded from
the calculation of average emissions
rates and the reasons for excluding data;
(7) If a CEMS is used to verify
compliance:
(i) Identification of the times when
the pollutant concentration exceeded
full span of the CEMS;
(ii) Description of any modifications
to the CEMS that could affect the ability
of the CEMS to comply with
Performance Specification 2 or 3 in
appendix B to 40 CFR part 60; and
(iii) Results of daily CEMS drift tests
and quarterly accuracy assessments as
required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR
part 60, appendix F;
(8) Operating parameters required
under paragraph (d) of this section to
demonstrate compliance during the
ozone season;
(9) Each fuel type, usage, and heat
content; and
(10) Clinker production rates.
(f) Reporting requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall submit the results of the
performance test or performance
evaluation of the CEMS following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g)
within 60 days after the date of
completing each performance test
required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you are required to
submit excess emissions reports for any
excess emissions that occurred during
the reporting period. Excess emissions
are defined as any calculated 30-day
rolling average NOX emissions rate that
exceeds the applicable emissions limit
established under paragraph (c) of this
section. Excess emissions reports must
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be submitted in PDF format to the EPA
via CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA
to report data required by this section
following the procedures specified in
§ 52.40(g).
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit an
annual report in PDF format to the EPA
by January 30th of each year via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting
approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section. Annual
reports shall be submitted following the
procedures in § 52.40(g). The report
shall include records all records
required by paragraph (d) of this
section, including record of CEMS data
or operating parameters required by
paragraph (d) to demonstrate
continuous compliance the applicable
emissions limits under paragraph (c) of
this section.
(g) Initial notification requirements
for existing affected units. (1) The
requirements of this paragraph (g) apply
to the owner or operator of an existing
affected unit.
(2) The owner or operator of an
existing affected unit that emits or has
a potential to emit 100 tons per year or
greater as of August 4, 2023, shall notify
the Administrator via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA that the unit is
subject to this section. The notification,
which shall be submitted not later than
December 4, 2023, shall be submitted in
PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI,
which can be accessed through the
EPA’s CDX (https://cdx.epa.gov/). The
notification shall provide the following
information:
(i) The name and address of the owner
or operator;
(ii) The address (i.e., physical
location) of the affected unit;
(iii) An identification of the relevant
standard, or other requirement, that is
the basis for the notification and the
unit’s compliance date; and
(iv) A brief description of the nature,
size, design, and method of operation of
the facility and an identification of the
types of emissions points (units) within
the facility subject to the relevant
standard.
§ 52.43 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined
in this paragraph (a) shall have the
meaning given to them in the Act and
in subpart A of 40 CFR part 60.
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Affected unit means any reheat
furnace meeting the applicability
criteria of this section.
Day means a calendar day unless
expressly stated to be a business day. In
computing any period of time for
recordkeeping and reporting purposes
where the last day would fall on a
Saturday, Sunday, or Federal holiday,
the period shall run until the close of
business of the next business day.
Low NOX burner means a burner
designed to reduce flame turbulence by
the mixing of fuel and air and by
establishing fuel-rich zones for initial
combustion, thereby reducing the
formation of NOX.
Low-NOX technology means any postcombustion NOX control technology
capable of reducing NOX emissions by
40% from baseline emission levels as
measured during pre-installation
testing.
Operating day means a 24-hour
period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which any fuel is combusted at
any time in the reheat furnace.
Reheat furnace means a furnace used
to heat steel product—including metal
ingots, billets, slabs, beams, blooms and
other similar products—for the purpose
of deformation and rolling.
(b) Applicability. The requirements of
this section apply to each new or
existing reheat furnace at an iron and
steel mill or ferroalloy manufacturing
facility that directly emits or has the
potential to emit 100 tons per year or
more of NOX on or after August 4, 2023,
does not have low-NOX burners
installed, and is located within any of
the States listed in § 52.40(c)(2),
including Indian country located within
the borders of any such State(s). Any
existing reheat furnace with a potential
to emit of 100 tons per year or more of
NOX on August 4, 2023, will continue
to be subject to the requirements of this
section even if that unit later becomes
subject to a physical or operational
limitation that lowers its potential to
emit below 100 tons per year of NOX.
(c) Emissions control requirements. If
you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit without low-NOX burners
already installed, you must install and
operate low-NOX burners or equivalent
alternative low-NOX technology
designed to achieve at least a 40%
reduction from baseline NOX emissions
in accordance with the work plan
established pursuant to paragraph (d) of
this section. You must meet the
emissions limit established under
paragraph (d) on a 30-day rolling
average basis.
(d) Work plan requirements. (1) The
owner or operator of each affected unit
must submit a work plan for each
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affected unit by August 5, 2024. The
work plan must be submitted via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting
approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section following
the procedures specified in § 52.40(g).
Each work plan must include a
description of the affected unit and
rated production and energy capacities,
identification of the low-NOX burner or
alternative low NOX technology
selected, and the phased construction
timeframe by which you will design,
install, and consistently operate the
device. Each work plan shall also
include, where applicable, performance
test results obtained no more than five
years before August 4, 2023, to be used
as baseline emissions testing data
providing the basis for required
emissions reductions. If no such data
exist, then the owner or operator must
perform pre-installation testing as
described in paragraph (e)(3) of this
section.
(2) The owner or operator of an
affected unit shall design each low-NOX
burner or alternative low-NOX
technology identified in the work plan
to achieve NOX emission reductions by
a minimum of 40% from baseline
emission levels measured during
performance testing that meets the
criteria set forth in paragraph (e)(1) of
this section, or during pre-installation
testing as described in paragraph (e)(3)
of this section. Each low-NOX burner or
alternative low-NOX technology shall be
continuously operated during all
production periods according to
paragraph (c) of this section.
(3) The owner or operator of an
affected unit shall establish an
emissions limit in the work plan that
the affected unit must comply with in
accordance with paragraph (c) of this
section.
(4) The EPA’s action on work plans:
(i) The Administrator will provide via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
notification to the owner or operator of
an affected unit if the submitted work
plan is complete, that is, whether the
request contains sufficient information
to make a determination, within 60
calendar days after receipt of the
original work plan and within 60
calendar days after receipt of any
supplementary information.
(ii) The Administrator will provide
notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided
by the EPA, which shall be publicly
available, to the owner or operator of a
decision to approve or intention to
disapprove the work plan within 60
calendar days after providing written
notification pursuant to paragraph
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(d)(4)(i) of this section that the
submitted work plan is complete.
(iii) Before disapproving a work plan,
the Administrator will notify the owner
or operator via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided
by the EPA of the Administrator’s
intention to issue the disapproval,
together with:
(A) Notice of the information and
findings on which the intended
disapproval is based; and
(B) Notice of opportunity for the
owner or operator to present in writing,
within 15 calendar days after he/she is
notified of the intended disapproval,
additional information or arguments to
the Administrator before further action
on the work plan.
(iv) The Administrator’s final decision
to disapprove a work plan will be via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
and publicly available, and will set forth
the specific grounds on which the
disapproval is based. The final decision
will be made within 60 calendar days
after presentation of additional
information or argument (if the
submitted work plan is complete), or
within 60 calendar days after the
deadline for the submission of
additional information or argument
under paragraph (d)(5)(iii)(B) of this
section, if no such submission is made.
(v) If the Administrator disapproves
the submitted work plan for failure to
satisfy the requirements of paragraphs
(c) and (d)(1) through (3) of this section,
or if the owner or operator of an affected
unit fails to submit a work plan by
August 5, 2024, the owner or operator
will be in violation of this section. Each
day that the affected unit operates
following such disapproval or failure to
submit shall constitute a violation.
(e) Testing and monitoring
requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit you must
conduct performance tests, on an annual
basis, in accordance with the applicable
reference test methods of 40 CFR part
60, appendix A–4, any alternative test
method approved by the EPA as of June
5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f),
60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii),
or 65.158(a)(2) and available at the
EPA’s website (https://www.epa.gov/
emc/broadly-applicable-approvedalternative-test-methods), or other
methods and procedures approved by
the EPA through notice-and-comment
rulemaking. The annual performance
test does not have to be performed
during the ozone season.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit and are operating a NOX
continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) that monitors NOX
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emissions from the affected unit, you
may use the CEMS data in lieu of the
annual performance tests and
parametric monitoring required under
this section. You must meet the
following requirements for using CEMS
to monitor NOX emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a continuous
emissions monitoring system (CEMS)
for measuring NOX emissions and either
oxygen (O2) or carbon dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and
data recorded during all periods of
operation during the ozone season of the
affected unit except for CEMS
breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be
recorded during calibration checks and
zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX
emissions rates measured by the CEMS
shall be expressed in form of the
emissions limit established in the work
plan and shall be used to calculate the
average emissions rates to demonstrate
compliance with the applicable
emissions limits established in the work
plan.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR
60.13 shall be followed for installation,
evaluation, and operation of the
continuous monitoring systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not
obtained because of CEMS breakdowns,
repairs, calibration checks and zero and
span adjustments, emissions data will
be obtained by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40
CFR part 60, appendix A–4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A–4, or
other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum
of 75 percent of the operating hours in
each affected unit operating day, in at
least 22 out of 30 successive operating
days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit not operating NOX
CEMS, you must conduct an initial
performance test before the 2026 ozone
season to establish appropriate indicator
ranges for operating parameters and
continuously monitor those operator
parameters consistent with the
requirements of paragraphs (e)(3)(i)
through (iv) of this section.
(i) You must monitor and record stack
exhaust gas flow rate and temperature
during the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests to
demonstrate continuous compliance
with your NOX emissions limits.
(ii) You must use the stack exhaust
gas flow rate and temperature during the
initial performance test and subsequent
annual performance tests to establish a
site-specific indicator for these
operating parameters.
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(iii) You must repeat the performance
test annually to reassess and adjust the
site-specific operating parameter
indicator ranges in accordance with the
results of the performance test.
(iv) You must report and include your
ongoing site-specific operating
parameter data in the annual reports
required under paragraph (f) of this
section and semi-annual title V
monitoring reports to the relevant
permitting authority.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall maintain records of the
following information for each day the
affected unit operates:
(1) Calendar date;
(2) The average hourly NOX emissions
rates measured or predicted;
(3) The 30-day average NOX emissions
rates calculated at the end of each
affected unit operating day from the
measured or predicted hourly NOX
emissions rates for the preceding 30
operating days;
(4) Identification of the affected unit
operating days when the calculated 30day average NOX emissions rates are in
excess of the applicable site-specific
NOX emissions limit with the reasons
for such excess emissions as well as a
description of corrective actions taken;
(5) Identification of the affected unit
operating days for which pollutant data
have not been obtained, including
reasons for not obtaining sufficient data
and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(6) Identification of the times when
emissions data have been excluded from
the calculation of average emissions
rates and the reasons for excluding data;
(7) If a CEMS is used to verify
compliance:
(i) Identification of the times when
the pollutant concentration exceeded
full span of the CEMS;
(ii) Description of any modifications
to the CEMS that could affect the ability
of the CEMS to comply with
Performance Specification 2 or 3 in
appendix B to 40 CFR part 60; and
(iii) Results of daily CEMS drift tests
and quarterly accuracy assessments as
required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR
part 60, appendix F;
(8) Operating parameters required
under paragraph (d) of this section to
demonstrate compliance during the
ozone season; and
(9) Each fuel type, usage, and heat
content.
(g) Reporting requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall submit a final report via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the
EPA, by no later than March 30, 2026,
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certifying that installation of each
selected control device has been
completed. You shall include in the
report the dates of final construction
and relevant performance testing, where
applicable, demonstrating compliance
with the selected emission limits
pursuant to paragraphs (c) and (d) of
this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must submit the
results of the performance test or
performance evaluation of the CEMS
following the procedures specified in
§ 52.40(g) within 60 days after the date
of completing each performance test
required by this section.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you are required to
submit excess emissions reports for any
excess emissions that occurred during
the reporting period. Excess emissions
are defined as any calculated 30-day
rolling average NOX emissions rate that
exceeds the applicable emissions limit
established under paragraphs (c) and (d)
of this section. Excess emissions reports
must be submitted in PDF format to the
EPA via CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA
to report data required by this section
following the procedures specified in
§ 52.40(g).
(4) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit an
annual report in PDF format to the EPA
by January 30th of each year via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting
approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section. Annual
reports shall be submitted following the
procedures in § 52.40(g). The report
shall include records all records
required by paragraphs (e) and (f) of this
section, including record of CEMS data
or operating parameters required by
paragraph (e) to demonstrate
compliance the applicable emissions
limits established under paragraphs (c)
and (d) of this section.
(h) Initial notification requirements
for existing affected units. (1) The
requirements of this paragraph (h) apply
to the owner or operator of an existing
affected unit.
(2) The owner or operator of an
existing affected unit that emits or has
a potential to emit 100 tons per year or
more of NOX as of August 4, 2023, shall
notify the Administrator via the CEDRI
or analogous electronic submission
system provided by the EPA that the
unit is subject to this section. The
notification, which shall be submitted
not later than December 4, 2023, shall
be submitted in PDF format to the EPA
via CEDRI, which can be accessed
through the EPA’s CDX (https://
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cdx.epa.gov/). The notification shall
provide the following information:
(i) The name and address of the owner
or operator;
(ii) The address (i.e., physical
location) of the affected unit;
(iii) An identification of the relevant
standard, or other requirement, that is
the basis for the notification and the
unit’s compliance date; and
(iv) A brief description of the nature,
size, design, and method of operation of
the facility and an identification of the
types of emissions points (units) within
the facility subject to the relevant
standard.
§ 52.44 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Glass and Glass
Product Manufacturing Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined
in this paragraph (a) shall have the
meaning given to them in the Act and
in subpart A of 40 CFR part 60.
Affected units means a glass
manufacturing furnace meeting the
applicability criteria of this section.
Borosilicate recipe means glass
product composition of the following
approximate ranges of weight
proportions: 60 to 80 percent silicon
dioxide, 4 to 10 percent total R2O (e.g.,
Na2O and K2O), 5 to 35 percent boric
oxides, and 0 to 13 percent other oxides.
Container glass means glass made of
soda-lime recipe, clear or colored,
which is pressed and/or blown into
bottles, jars, ampoules, and other
products listed in Standard Industrial
Classification (SIC) 3221 (SIC 3221).
Flat glass means glass made of sodalime recipe and produced into
continuous flat sheets and other
products listed in SIC 3211.
Glass melting furnace means a unit
comprising a refractory vessel in which
raw materials are charged, melted at
high temperature, refined, and
conditioned to produce molten glass.
The unit includes foundations,
superstructure and retaining walls, raw
material charger systems, heat
exchangers, melter cooling system,
exhaust system, refractory brick work,
fuel supply and electrical boosting
equipment, integral control systems and
instrumentation, and appendages for
conditioning and distributing molten
glass to forming apparatuses. The
forming apparatuses, including the float
bath used in flat glass manufacturing
and flow channels in wool fiberglass
and textile fiberglass manufacturing, are
not considered part of the glass melting
furnace.
Glass produced means the weight of
the glass pulled from the glass melting
furnace.
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Idling means the operation of a glass
melting furnace at less than 25% of the
permitted production capacity or fuel
use capacity as stated in the operating
permit.
Lead recipe means glass product
composition of the following ranges of
weight proportions: 50 to 60 percent
silicon dioxide, 18 to 35 percent lead
oxides, 5 to 20 percent total R2O (e.g.,
Na2O and K2O), 0 to 8 percent total R2O3
(e.g., Al2O3), 0 to 15 percent total RO
(e.g., CaO, MgO), other than lead oxide,
and 5 to 10 percent other oxides.
Operating day means a 24-hr period
beginning at 12:00 midnight during
which the furnace combusts fuel at any
time but excludes any period of startup,
shutdown, or idling during which the
affected unit complies with the
requirements in paragraphs (d) through
(f) of this section, as applicable.
Pressed and blown glass means glass
which is pressed, blown, or both,
including textile fiberglass,
noncontinuous flat glass, noncontainer
glass, and other products listed in SIC
3229. It is separated into: Glass of
borosilicate recipe, Glass of soda-lime
and lead recipes, and Glass of opal,
fluoride, and other recipes.
Raw material means minerals, such as
silica sand, limestone, and dolomite;
inorganic chemical compounds, such as
soda ash (sodium carbonate), salt cake
(sodium sulfate), and potash (potassium
carbonate); metal oxides and other
metal-based compounds, such as lead
oxide, chromium oxide, and sodium
antimonate; metal ores, such as
chromite and pyrolusite; and other
substances that are intentionally added
to a glass manufacturing batch and
melted in a glass melting furnace to
produce glass. Metals that are naturallyoccurring trace constituents or
contaminants of other substances are
not considered to be raw materials.
Shutdown means the period of time
during which a glass melting furnace is
taken from an operational to a nonoperational status by allowing it to cool
down from its operating temperature to
a cold or ambient temperature as the
fuel supply is turned off.
Soda-lime recipe means glass product
composition of the following ranges of
weight proportions: 60 to 75 percent
silicon dioxide, 10 to 17 percent total
R2O (e.g., Na2O and K2O), 8 to 20
percent total RO but not to include any
PbO (e.g., CaO, and MgO), 0 to 8 percent
total R2O3 (e.g., Al2O3), and 1 to 5
percent other oxides.
Startup means the period of time,
after initial construction or a furnace
rebuild, during which a glass melting
furnace is heated to operating
temperatures by the primary furnace
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combustion system, and systems and
instrumentation are brought to
stabilization.
Textile fiberglass means fibrous glass
in the form of continuous strands
having uniform thickness.
Wool fiberglass means fibrous glass of
random texture, including accoustical
board and tile (mineral wool), fiberglass
insulation, glass wool, insulation (rock
wool, fiberglass, slag, and silicia
minerals), and mineral wool roofing
mats.
(b) Applicability. You are subject to
the requirements under this section if
you own or operate a new or existing
glass manufacturing furnace that
directly emits or has the potential to
emit 100 tons per year or more of NOX
on or after August 4, 2023, and is
located within any of the States listed in
§ 52.40(c)(2), including Indian country
located within the borders of any such
State(s). Any existing glass
manufacturing furnace with a potential
to emit of 100 tons per year or more of
NOX on August 4, 2023, will continue
to be subject to the requirements of this
section even if that unit later becomes
subject to a physical or operational
limitation that lowers its potential to
emit below 100 tons per year of NOX.
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must meet the emissions
limitations in paragraphs (c)(1) and (2)
of this section on a 30-day rolling
average basis during the 2026 ozone
season and in each ozone season
thereafter. For the 2026 ozone season,
the emissions limitations in paragraphs
(c)(1) and (2) do not apply during
shutdown and idling if the affected unit
complies with the requirements in
paragraphs (e) and (f) of this section, as
applicable. For the 2027 and subsequent
ozone seasons, the emissions limitations
in paragraphs (c)(1) and (2) do not apply
during startup, shutdown, and idling, if
the affected unit complies with the
requirements in paragraphs (d) through
(f) of this section, as applicable.
(1) Container glass, pressed/blown
glass, or fiberglass manufacturing
furnace: 4.0 lb/ton of glass; and
(2) Flat glass manufacturing furnace:
7.0 lb/ton of glass.
(d) Startup requirements. (1) If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall submit via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA, no later than 30
days prior to the anticipated date of
startup, the following information to
assure proper operation of the furnace:
(i) A detailed list of activities to be
performed during startup and
explanations to support the length of
time needed to complete each activity.
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(ii) A description of the material
process flow rates, system operating
parameters, and other information that
the owner or operator shall monitor and
record during the startup period.
(iii) Identification of the control
technologies or strategies to be utilized.
(iv) A description of the physical
conditions present during startup
periods that prevent the controls from
being effective.
(v) A reasonably precise estimate as to
when physical conditions will have
reached a state that allows for the
effective control of emissions.
(2) The length of startup following
activation of the primary furnace
combustion system may not exceed:
(i) Seventy days for a container,
pressed or blown glass furnace;
(ii) Forty days for a fiberglass furnace;
and
(iii) One hundred and four days for a
flat glass furnace and for all other glass
melting furnaces not covered under
paragraphs (d)(2)(i) and (ii) of this
section.
(3) During the startup period, the
owner or operator of an affected unit
shall maintain the stoichiometric ratio
of the primary furnace combustion
system so as not to exceed 5 percent
excess oxygen, as calculated from the
actual fuel and oxidant flow
measurements for combustion in the
affected unit.
(4) The owner or operator of an
affected unit shall place the emissions
control system in operation as soon as
technologically feasible during startup
to minimize emissions.
(e) Shutdown requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall submit via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA to the
Administrator, no later than 30 days
prior to the anticipated date of
shutdown, the following information to
assure proper operation of the furnace:
(i) A detailed list of activities to be
performed during shutdown and
explanations to support the length of
time needed to complete each activity.
(ii) A description of the material
process flow rates, system operating
parameters, and other information that
the owner or operator shall monitor and
record during the shutdown period.
(iii) Identification of the control
technologies or strategies to be utilized.
(iv) A description of the physical
conditions present during shutdown
periods that prevent the controls from
being effective.
(v) A reasonably precise estimate as to
when physical conditions will have
reached a state that allows for the
effective control of emissions.
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(2) The duration of a shutdown, as
measured from the time the furnace
operations drop below 25% of the
permitted production capacity or fuel
use capacity to when all emissions from
the furnace cease, may not exceed 20
days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall operate the
emissions control system whenever
technologically feasible during
shutdown to minimize emissions.
(f) Idling requirements. (1) If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall operate the emissions
control system whenever
technologically feasible during idling to
minimize emissions.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, your NOX emissions
during idling may not exceed the
amount calculated using the following
equation: Pounds per day emissions
limit of NOX = (Applicable NOX
emissions limit specified in paragraph
(c) of this section expressed in pounds
per ton of glass produced) × (Furnace
permitted production capacity in tons of
glass produced per day).
(3) To demonstrate compliance with
the alternative daily NOX emissions
limit identified in paragraph (f)(2) of
this section during periods of idling, the
owners or operators of an affected unit
shall maintain records consistent with
paragraph (h)(3) of this section.
(g) Testing and monitoring
requirements. (1) If you own or operate
an affected unit subject to the NOX
emissions limits under paragraph (c) of
this section you must conduct
performance tests, on an annual basis,
in accordance with the applicable
reference test methods of 40 CFR part
60, appendix A–4, any alternative test
method approved by the EPA as of June
5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f),
60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii),
or 65.158(a)(2) and available at the
EPA’s website (https://www.epa.gov/
emc/broadly-applicable-approvedalternative-test-methods), or other
methods and procedures approved by
the EPA through notice-and-comment
rulemaking. The annual performance
test does not have to be performed
during the ozone season. Owners or
operators of affected units must
calculate and record the 30-day rolling
average emissions rate of NOX as the
total of all hourly emissions data for an
affected unit in the preceding 30 days,
divided by the total tons of glass
produced in that affected unit during
the same 30-day period. Direct
measurement or material balance using
good engineering practice shall be used
to determine the amount of glass
produced during the performance test.
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The rate of glass produced is defined as
the weight of glass pulled from the
affected unit during the performance
test divided by the number of hours
taken to perform the performance test.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit subject to the NOX
emissions limits under paragraph (c)(1)
of this section and are operating a NOX
CEMS that monitors NOX emissions
from the affected unit, you may use the
CEMS data in lieu of the annual
performance tests and parametric
monitoring required under this section.
You must meet the following
requirements for using CEMS to monitor
NOX emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a continuous
emissions monitoring system (CEMS)
for measuring NOX emissions and either
oxygen (O2) or carbon dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and
data recorded during all periods of
operation during the ozone season of the
affected unit except for CEMS
breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be
recorded during calibration checks and
zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX
emissions rates measured by the CEMS
shall be expressed in terms of lbs/ton of
glass and shall be used to calculate the
average emissions rates to demonstrate
compliance with the applicable
emissions limits in this section.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR
60.13 shall be followed for installation,
evaluation, and operation of the
continuous monitoring systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not
obtained because of CEMS breakdowns,
repairs, calibration checks and zero and
span adjustments, emissions data will
be obtained by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40
CFR part 60, appendix A–4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A–4, or
other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum
of 75 percent of the operating hours in
each affected unit operating day, in at
least 22 out of 30 successive operating
days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit not operating NOX
CEMS, you must conduct an initial
performance test before the 2026 ozone
season to establish appropriate indicator
ranges for operating parameters and
continuously monitor those operator
parameters consistent with the
requirements of paragraphs (g)(3)(i)
through (iv) of this section.
(i) You must monitor and record stack
exhaust gas flow rate, hourly glass
production, and stack exhaust gas
temperature during the initial
performance test and subsequent annual
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performance tests to demonstrate
continuous compliance with your NOX
emissions limits.
(ii) You must use the stack exhaust
gas flow rate, hourly glass production,
and stack exhaust gas temperature
during the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests as
NOX CEMS indicators to demonstrate
continuous compliance and establish a
site-specific indicator ranges for these
operating parameters.
(iii) You must repeat the performance
test annually to reassess and adjust the
site-specific operating parameter
indicator ranges in accordance with the
results of the performance test.
(iv) You must report and include your
ongoing site-specific operating
parameter data in the annual reports
required under paragraph (h) of this
section and semi-annual title V
monitoring reports to the relevant
permitting authority.
(4) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit seeking to comply with
the requirements for startup under
paragraph (d) of this section or
shutdown under paragraph (e) of this
section in lieu of the applicable
emissions limit under paragraph (c) of
this section, you must monitor material
process flow rates, fuel throughput,
oxidant flow rate, and the selected
system operating parameters in
accordance with paragraphs (d)(1)(ii)
and (e)(1)(ii) of this section.
(h) Recordkeeping requirements. (1) If
you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you shall maintain records
of the following information for each
day the affected unit operates:
(i) Calendar date;
(ii) The average hourly NOX emissions
rates measured or predicted;
(iii) The 30-day average NOX
emissions rates calculated at the end of
each affected unit operating day from
the measured or predicted hourly NOX
emissions rates for the preceding 30
operating days;
(iv) Identification of the affected unit
operating days when the calculated 30day average NOX emissions rates are in
excess of the applicable site-specific
NOX emissions limit with the reasons
for such excess emissions as well as a
description of corrective actions taken;
(v) Identification of the affected unit
operating days for which pollutant data
have not been obtained, including
reasons for not obtaining sufficient data
and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(vi) Identification of the times when
emissions data have been excluded from
the calculation of average emissions
rates and the reasons for excluding data;
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(vii) If a CEMS is used to verify
compliance:
(A) Identification of the times when
the pollutant concentration exceeded
full span of the CEMS;
(B) Description of any modifications
to the CEMS that could affect the ability
of the CEMS to comply with
Performance Specification 2 or 3 in
appendix B to 40 CFR part 60; and
(C) Results of daily CEMS drift tests
and quarterly accuracy assessments as
required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR
part 60, appendix F;
(D) Operating parameters required
under paragraph (g) to demonstrate
compliance during the ozone season;
(viii) Each fuel type, usage, and heat
content; and
(ix) Glass production rate.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall maintain all
records necessary to demonstrate
compliance with the startup and
shutdown requirements in paragraphs
(d) and (e) of this section, including but
not limited to records of material
process flow rates, system operating
parameters, the duration of each startup
and shutdown period, fuel throughput,
oxidant flow rate, and any additional
records necessary to determine whether
the stoichiometric ratio of the primary
furnace combustion system exceeded 5
percent excess oxygen during startup.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall maintain
records of daily NOX emissions in
pounds per day for purposes of
determining compliance with the
applicable emissions limit for idling
periods under paragraph (f)(2) of this
section. Each owner or operator shall
also record the duration of each idling
period.
(i) Reporting requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must submit the results of the
performance test or performance
evaluation of the CEMS following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g)
within 60 days after the date of
completing each performance test
required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you are required to
submit excess emissions reports for any
excess emissions that occurred during
the reporting period. Excess emissions
are defined as any calculated 30-day
rolling average NOX emissions rate that
exceeds the applicable emissions limit
in paragraph (c) of this section. Excess
emissions reports must be submitted in
PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI or
analogous electronic reporting approach
provided by the EPA to report data
required by this section following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g).
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(3) If you own or operate an affected
unit, you shall submit an annual report
in PDF format to the EPA by January
30th of each year via CEDRI or
analogous electronic reporting approach
provided by the EPA to report data
required by this section. Annual reports
shall be submitted following the
procedures in § 52.40(g). The report
shall include records all records
required by paragraph (g) of this section,
including record of CEMS data or
operating parameters to demonstrate
continuous compliance the applicable
emissions limits under paragraphs (c) of
this section.
(j) Initial notification requirements for
existing affected units. (1) The
requirements of this paragraph (j) apply
to the owner or operator of an existing
affected unit.
(2) The owner or operator of an
existing affected unit that emits or has
a potential to emit greater than 100 tons
per year or greater as of August 4, 2023,
shall notify the Administrator via the
CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA
that the unit is subject to this section.
The notification, which shall be
submitted not later than June 23, 2023,
shall be submitted in PDF format to the
EPA via CEDRI, which can be accessed
through the EPA’s CDX (https://
cdx.epa.gov/). The notification shall
provide the following information:
(i) The name and address of the owner
or operator;
(ii) The address (i.e., physical
location) of the affected unit;
(iii) An identification of the relevant
standard, or other requirement, that is
the basis for the notification and the
unit’s compliance date; and
(iv) A brief description of the nature,
size, design, and method of operation of
the facility and an identification of the
types of emissions points (units) within
the facility subject to the relevant
standard.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
§ 52.45 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from the Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, the Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills Industries, Metal Ore
Mining, and the Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing Industries?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined
in this paragraph (a) shall have the
meaning given to them in the Act and
in subpart A of 40 CFR part 60.
Affected unit means an industrial
boiler meeting the applicability criteria
of this section.
Boiler means an enclosed device
using controlled flame combustion and
having the primary purpose of
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recovering thermal energy in the form of
steam or hot water. Controlled flame
combustion refers to a steady-state, or
near steady-state, process wherein fuel
and/or oxidizer feed rates are
controlled.
Coal means ‘‘coal’’ as defined in 40
CFR 60.41b.
Distillate oil means ‘‘distillate oil’’ as
defined in 40 CFR 60.41b.
Maximum heat input capacity means
means the ability of a steam generating
unit to combust a stated maximum
amount of fuel on a steady state basis,
as determined by the physical design
and characteristics of the steam
generating unit.
Natural gas means ‘‘natural gas’’ as
defined in 40 CFR 60.41.
Operating day means a 24-hour
period between 12:00 midnight and the
following midnight during which any
fuel is combusted at any time in the
steam generating unit. It is not necessary
for fuel to be combusted continuously
for the entire 24-hour period.
Residual oil means ‘‘residual oil’’ as
defined in 40 CFR 60.41c.
(b) Applicability. (1) The requirements
of this section apply to each new or
existing boiler with a design capacity of
100 mmBtu/hr or greater that receives
90% or more of its heat input from coal,
residual oil, distillate oil, natural gas, or
combinations of these fuels in the
previous ozone season, is located at
sources that are within the Basic
Chemical Manufacturing industry, the
Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing industry, the Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard industry, the
Metal Ore Mining industry, and the Iron
and Steel and Ferroalloys
Manufacturing industry and which is
located within any of the States listed in
§ 52.40(c)(2), including Indian country
located within the borders of any such
State(s). The requirements of this
section do not apply to an emissions
unit that meets the requirements for a
low-use exemption as provided in
paragraph (b)(2) of this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
a boiler meeting the applicability
criteria of paragraph (b)(1) of this
section that operates less than 10% per
year on an hourly basis, based on the
three most recent years of use and no
more than 20% in any one of the three
years, you are exempt from meeting the
emissions limits of this section and are
only subject to the recordkeeping and
reporting requirements of paragraph
(f)(2) of this section.
(i) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit that exceeds the 10%
per year hour of operation over three
years or the 20% hours of operation per
year criteria, you can no longer comply
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via the low-use exemption provisions
and must meet the applicable emissions
limits and other applicable provisions
as soon as possible but not later than
one year from the date eligibility as a
low-use boiler was negated by
exceedance of the low-use boiler
criteria.
(ii) [Reserved]
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must meet the following
emissions limitations on a 30-day
rolling average basis during the 2026
ozone season and in each ozone season
thereafter:
(1) Coal-fired industrial boilers: 0.20
lbs NOX/mmBtu;
(2) Residual oil-fired industrial
boilers: 0.20 lbs NOX/mmBtu;
(3) Distillate oil-fired industrial
boilers: 0.12 lbs NOX/mmBtu;
(4) Natural gas-fired industrial boilers:
0.08 lbs NOX/mmBtu; and
(5) Boilers using combinations of fuels
listed in paragraphs (c)(1) through (4) of
this section: such units shall comply
with a NOX emissions limit derived by
summing the products of each fuel’s
heat input and respective emissions
limit and dividing by the sum of the
heat input contributed by each fuel.
(d) Testing and monitoring
requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit, you shall
conduct an initial compliance test as
described in 40 CFR 60.8 using the
continuous system for monitoring NOX
specified by EPA Test Method 7E of 40
CFR part 60, appendix A–4, to
determine compliance with the
emissions limits for NOX identified in
paragraph (c) of this section. In lieu of
the timing of the compliance test
described in 40 CFR 60.8(a), you shall
conduct the test within 90 days from the
installation of the pollution control
equipment used to comply with the
NOX emissions limits in paragraph (c) of
this section and no later than May 1,
2026.
(i) For the initial compliance test, you
shall monitor NOX emissions from the
affected unit for 30 successive operating
days and the 30-day average emissions
rate will be used to determine
compliance with the NOX emissions
limits in paragraph (c) of this section.
You shall calculate the 30-day average
emission rate as the average of all
hourly emissions data recorded by the
monitoring system during the 30-day
test period.
(ii) You are not required to conduct an
initial compliance test if the affected
unit is subject to a pre-existing,
federally enforceable requirement to
monitor its NOX emissions using a
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CEMS in accordance with 40 CFR 60.13
or 40 CFR part 75.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit with a heat input
capacity of 250 mmBTU/hr or greater,
you are subject to the following
monitoring requirements:
(i) You shall install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a continuous
emissions monitoring system (CEMS)
for measuring NOX emissions and either
oxygen (O2) or carbon dioxide (CO2),
unless the Administrator has approved
a request from you to use an alternative
monitoring technique under paragraph
(d)(2)(vii) of this section. If you have
previously installed a NOX emissions
rate CEMS to meet the requirements of
40 CFR 60.13 or 40 CFR part 75 and
continue to meet the ongoing
requirements of 40 CFR 60.13 or 40 CFR
part 75, that CEMS may be used to meet
the monitoring requirements of this
section.
(ii) You shall operate the CEMS and
record data during all periods of
operation during the ozone season of the
affected unit except for CEMS
breakdowns and repairs. You shall
record data during calibration checks
and zero and span adjustments.
(iii) You shall express the 1-hour
average NOX emissions rates measured
by the CEMS in terms of lbs/mmBtu
heat input and shall be used to calculate
the average emissions rates under
paragraph (c) of this section.
(iv) Following the date on which the
initial compliance test is completed,
you shall determine compliance with
the applicable NOX emissions limit in
paragraph (c) of this section during the
ozone season on a continuous basis
using a 30-day rolling average emissions
rate unless you monitor emissions by
means of an alternative monitoring
procedure approved pursuant to
paragraph (d)(2)(vii) of this section. You
shall calculate a new 30-day rolling
average emissions rate for each
operating day as the average of all the
hourly NOX emissions data for the
preceding 30 operating days.
(v) You shall follow the procedures
under 40 CFR 60.13 for installation,
evaluation, and operation of the
continuous monitoring systems.
Additionally, you shall use a span value
of 1000 ppm NOX for affected units
combusting coal and span value of 500
ppm NOX for units combusting oil or
gas. As an alternative to meeting these
span values, you may elect to use the
NOX span values determined according
to section 2.1.2 in appendix A to 40 CFR
part 75.
(vi) When you are unable to obtain
NOX emissions data because of CEMS
breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks
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and zero and span adjustments, you will
obtain emissions data by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40
CFR part 60, appendix A–4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A–4, or
other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum
of 75 percent of the operating hours in
each affected unit operating day, in at
least 22 out of 30 successive operating
days.
(vii) You may delay installing a CEMS
for NOX until after the initial
performance test has been conducted. If
you demonstrate during the
performance test that emissions of NOX
are less than 70 percent of the
applicable emissions limit in paragraph
(c) of this section, you are not required
to install a CEMS for measuring NOX. If
you demonstrate your affected unit
emits less than 70 percent of the
applicable emissions limit chooses to
not install a CEMS, you must submit a
written request to the Administrator that
documents the results of the initial
performance test and includes an
alternative monitoring procedure that
will be used to track compliance with
the applicable NOX emissions limit(s) in
paragraph (c) of this section. The
Administrator may consider the request
and, following public notice and
comment, may approve the alternative
monitoring procedure with or without
revision, or disapprove the request.
Upon receipt of a disapproved request,
you will have one year to install a
CEMS.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit with a heat input
capacity less than 250 mmBTU/hr, you
must monitor NOX emission via the
requirements of paragraph (e)(1) of this
section or you must monitor NOX
emissions by conducting an annual test
in conjunction with the implementation
of a monitoring plan meeting the
following requirements:
(i) You must conduct an initial
performance test over a minimum of 24
consecutive steam generating unit
operating hours at maximum heat input
capacity to demonstrate compliance
with the NOX emission standards under
paragraph (c) of this section using
Method 7, 7A, or 7E of appendix A–4
to 40 CFR part 60, Method 320 of
appendix A to 40 CFR part 63, or other
approved reference methods.
(ii) You must conduct annual
performance tests once per calendar
year to demonstrate compliance with
the NOX emission standards under
paragraph (c) of this section over a
minimum of 3 consecutive steam
generating unit operating hours at
maximum heat input capacity using
Method 7, 7A, or 7E of appendix A–4
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to 40 CFR part 60, Method 320 of
appendix A to 40 CFR part 63, or other
approved reference methods. The
annual performance test must be
conducted before the affected units
operates more than 400 hours in a given
year.
(iii) You must develop and comply
with a monitoring plan that relates the
operational parameters to emissions of
the affected unit. The owner or operator
of each affected unit shall develop a
monitoring plan that identifies the
operating conditions of the affected unit
to be monitored and the records to be
maintained in order to reliably predict
NOX emissions and determine
compliance with the applicable
emissions limits of this section on a
continuous basis. You shall include the
following information in the plan:
(A) You shall identify the specific
operating parameters to be monitored
and the relationship between these
operating parameters and the applicable
NOX emission rates. Operating
parameters of the affected unit include,
but are not limited to, the degree of
staged combustion (i.e., the ratio of
primary air to secondary and/or tertiary
air) and the level of excess air (i.e., flue
gas O2 level).
(B) You shall include the data and
information used to identify the
relationship between NOX emission
rates and these operating conditions.
(C) You shall identify: how these
operating parameters, including steam
generating unit load, will be monitored
on an hourly basis during periods of
operation of the affected unit; the
quality assurance procedures or
practices that will be employed to
ensure that the data generated by
monitoring these operating parameters
will be representative and accurate; and
the type and format of the records of
these operating parameters, including
steam generating unit load, that you will
maintain.
(4) You shall submit the monitoring
plan to the EPA via the CEDRI reporting
system, and request that the relevant
permitting agency incorporate the
monitoring plan into the facility’s title
V permit.
(e) Recordkeeping requirements. (1) If
you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, which is not a low-use
boiler, you shall maintain records of the
following information for each day the
affected unit operates during the ozone
season:
(i) Calendar date;
(ii) The average hourly NOX emissions
rates (expressed as lbs NO2/mmBtu heat
input) measured or predicted;
(iii) The 30-day average NOX
emissions rates calculated at the end of
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each affected unit operating day from
the measured or predicted hourly NOX
emissions rates for the preceding 30
steam generating unit operating days;
(iv) Identification of the affected unit
operating days when the calculated 30day rolling average NOX emissions rates
are in excess of the applicable NOX
emissions limit in paragraph (c) of this
section with the reasons for such excess
emissions as well as a description of
corrective actions taken;
(v) Identification of the affected unit
operating days for which pollutant data
have not been obtained, including
reasons for not obtaining sufficient data
and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(vi) Identification of the times when
emissions data have been excluded from
the calculation of average emissions
rates and the reasons for excluding data;
(vii) Identification of ‘‘F’’ factor used
for calculations, method of
determination, and type of fuel
combusted;
(viii) Identification of the times when
the pollutant concentration exceeded
full span of the CEMS;
(ix) Description of any modifications
to the CEMS that could affect the ability
of the CEMS to comply with
Performance Specification 2 or 3 in
appendix B to 40 CFR part 60;
(x) Results of daily CEMS drift tests
and quarterly accuracy assessments as
required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR
part 60, appendix F; and
(xi) The type and amounts of each
fuel combusted.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit complying as a low-use
boiler, you must maintain the following
records consistent with the
requirements of § 52.40(g):
(i) Identification and location of the
boiler;
(ii) Nameplate capacity;
(iii) The fuel or fuels used by the
boiler;
(iv) For each operating day, the type
and amount of fuel combusted, and the
date and total number of hours of
operation; and
(v) the annual hours of operation for
each of the prior 3 years, and the 3-year
average hours or operation.
(f) Reporting requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must submit the results of the
performance test or performance
evaluation of the CEMS following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g)
within 60 days after the date of
completing each performance test
required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you are required to
submit excess emissions reports for any
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excess emissions that occurred during
the reporting period. Excess emissions
are defined as any calculated 30-day
rolling average NOX emissions rate, as
determined under paragraph (e)(1)(iii) of
this section, that exceeds the applicable
emissions limit in paragraph (c) of this
section. Excess emissions reports must
be submitted in PDF format to the EPA
via CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA
to report data required by this section
following the procedures specified in
§ 52.40(g).
(3) If you are the owner or operator an
affected unit subject to the continuous
monitoring requirements for NOX under
paragraph (d) of this section, you shall
submit reports containing the
information recorded under paragraph
(d) of this section as described in
paragraph (e)(1) of this section. You
shall submit compliance reports for
continuous monitoring in PDF format to
the EPA via CEDRI or analogous
electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by
this section following the procedures
specified in § 52.40(g).
(4) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit an
annual report in PDF format to the EPA
by January 30th of each year via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting
approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section. Annual
reports shall be submitted following the
procedures in § 52.40(g).
§ 52.46 What are the requirements of the
Federal Implementation Plans (FIPs)
relating to ozone season emissions of
nitrogen oxides from Municipal Waste
Combustors?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined
in this paragraph (a) shall have the
meaning given them in the Act and in
subpart A of 40 CFR part 60.
Affected unit means a municipal
waste combustor meeting the
applicability criteria of this section.
Chief facility operator means the
person in direct charge and control of
the operation of a municipal waste
combustor and who is responsible for
daily onsite supervision, technical
direction, management, and overall
performance of the facility.
Mass burn refractory municipal waste
combustor means a field-erected
combustor that combusts municipal
solid waste in a refractory wall furnace.
Unless otherwise specified, this
includes combustors with a cylindrical
rotary refractory wall furnace.
Mass burn rotary waterwall municipal
waste combustor means a field-erected
combustor that combusts municipal
solid waste in a cylindrical rotary
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waterwall furnace or on a tumbling-tile
grate.
Mass burn waterwall municipal waste
combustor means a field-erected
combustor that combusts municipal
solid waste in a waterwall furnace.
Municipal waste combustor, MWC, or
municipal waste combustor unit means:
(i) Means any setting or equipment
that combusts solid, liquid, or gasified
MSW including, but not limited to,
field-erected incinerators (with or
without heat recovery), modular
incinerators (starved-air or excess-air),
boilers (i.e., steam-generating units),
furnaces (whether suspension-fired,
grate-fired, mass-fired, air curtain
incinerators, or fluidized bed-fired), and
pyrolysis/combustion units. Municipal
waste combustors do not include
pyrolysis/combustion units located at
plastics/rubber recycling units.
Municipal waste combustors do not
include internal combustion engines,
gas turbines, or other combustion
devices that combust landfill gases
collected by landfill gas collection
systems.
(ii) The boundaries of a MWC are
defined as follows. The MWC unit
includes, but is not limited to, the MSW
fuel feed system, grate system, flue gas
system, bottom ash system, and the
combustor water system. The MWC
boundary starts at the MSW pit or
hopper and extends through:
(A) The combustor flue gas system,
which ends immediately following the
heat recovery equipment or, if there is
no heat recovery equipment,
immediately following the combustion
chamber;
(B) The combustor bottom ash system,
which ends at the truck loading station
or similar ash handling equipment that
transfer the ash to final disposal,
including all ash handling systems that
are connected to the bottom ash
handling system; and
(C) The combustor water system,
which starts at the feed water pump and
ends at the piping exiting the steam
drum or superheater.
(iii) The MWC unit does not include
air pollution control equipment, the
stack, water treatment equipment, or the
turbine generator set.
Municipal waste combustor unit
capacity means the maximum charging
rate of a municipal waste combustor
unit expressed in tons per day of
municipal solid waste combusted,
calculated according to the procedures
under paragraph (e)(4) of this section.
Shift supervisor means the person
who is in direct charge and control of
the operation of a municipal waste
combustor and who is responsible for
onsite supervision, technical direction,
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management, and overall performance
of the facility during an assigned shift.
(b) Applicability. The requirements of
this section apply to each new or
existing municipal waste combustor
unit with a combustion capacity greater
than 250 tons per day (225 megagrams
per day) of municipal solid waste and
which is located within any of the
States listed in § 52.40(c)(2), including
Indian country located within the
borders of any such State(s).
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are
the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must meet the following
emissions limitations at all times,
except during startup and shutdown, on
a 30-day rolling average basis during the
2026 ozone season and in each ozone
season thereafter:
(1) 110 ppmvd at 7 percent oxygen on
a 24-hour block averaging period; and
(2) 105 ppmvd at 7 percent oxygen on
a 30-day rolling averaging period.
(d) Startup and shutdown
requirements. If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit, you must
comply with the following requirements
during startup and shutdown:
(1) During periods of startup and
shutdown, you shall meet the following
emissions limits at stack oxygen
content:
(i) 110 ppmvd at stack oxygen content
on a 24-hour block averaging period;
and
(ii) 105 ppmvd at stack oxygen
content on a 30-day rolling averaging
period.
(2) Duration of startup and shutdown,
periods are limited to 3 hours per
occurrence.
(3) The startup period commences
when the affected unit begins the
continuous burning of municipal solid
waste and does not include any warmup
period when the affected unit is
combusting fossil fuel or other
nonmunicipal solid waste fuel, and no
municipal solid waste is being fed to the
combustor.
(4) Continuous burning is the
continuous, semicontinuous, or batch
feeding of municipal solid waste for
purposes of waste disposal, energy
production, or providing heat to the
combustion system in preparation for
waste disposal or energy production.
The use of municipal solid waste solely
to provide thermal protection of the
grate or hearth during the startup period
when municipal solid waste is not being
fed to the grate is not considered to be
continuous burning.
(5) The owner and operator of an
affected unit shall minimize NOX
emissions by operating and optimizing
the use of all installed pollution control
technology and combustion controls
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consistent with the technological
limitations, manufacturers’
specifications, good engineering and
maintenance practices, and good air
pollution control practices for
minimizing emissions (as defined in 40
CFR 60.11(d)) for such equipment and
the unit at all times the unit is in
operation.
(e) Testing and monitoring
requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit, you shall
install, calibrate, maintain, and operate
a continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) for measuring the
oxygen or carbon dioxide content of the
flue gas at each location where NOX are
monitored and record the output of the
system. You shall comply with the
following test procedures and test
methods:
(i) You shall use a span value of 25
percent oxygen for the oxygen monitor
or 20 percent carbon dioxide for the
carbon dioxide monitor;
(ii) You shall install, evaluate, and
operate the CEMS in accordance with 40
CFR 60.13;
(iii) You shall complete the initial
performance evaluation no later than
180 days after the date of initial startup
of the affected unit, as specified under
40 CFR 60.8;
(iv) You shall operate the monitor in
conformance with Performance
Specification 3 in 40 CFR part 60,
appendix B, except for section 2.3
(relative accuracy requirement);
(v) You shall operate the monitor in
accordance with the quality assurance
procedures of 40 CFR part 60, appendix
F, except for section 5.1.1 (relative
accuracy test audit); and
(vi) If you select carbon dioxide for
use in diluent corrections, you shall
establish the relationship between
oxygen and carbon dioxide levels
during the initial performance test
according to the following procedures
and methods:
(A) This relationship may be
reestablished during performance
compliance tests; and
(B) You shall submit the relationship
between carbon dioxide and oxygen
concentrations to the EPA as part of the
initial performance test report and as
part of the annual test report if the
relationship is reestablished during the
annual performance test.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall use the
following procedures and test methods
to determine compliance with the NOX
emission limits in paragraph (c) of this
section:
(i) If you are not already operating a
CEMS in accordance with 40 CFR 60.13,
you shall conduct an initial
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performance test for nitrogen oxides
consistent with 40 CFR 60.8.
(ii) You shall install and operate the
NOX CEMS according to Performance
Specification 2 in 40 CFR part 60,
appendix B, and shall follow the
requirements of 40 CFR 60.58b(h)(10).
(iii) Quarterly accuracy
determinations and daily calibration
drift tests for the CEMS shall be
performed in accordance with
Procedure 1 in 40 CFR part 60,
appendix F.
(iv) When NOX continuous emissions
data are not obtained because of CEMS
breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks,
and zero and span adjustments,
emissions data shall be obtained using
other monitoring systems as approved
by the EPA or EPA Reference Method 19
in 40 CFR part 60, appendix A–7, to
provide, as necessary, valid emissions
data for a minimum of 90 percent of the
hours per calendar quarter and 95
percent of the hours per calendar year
the unit is operated and combusting
municipal solid waste.
(v) You shall use EPA Reference
Method 19, section 4.1, in 40 CFR part
60, appendix A–7, for determining the
daily arithmetic average NOX emissions
concentration.
(A) You may request that compliance
with the NOX emissions limit be
determined using carbon dioxide
measurements corrected to an
equivalent of 7 percent oxygen. The
relationship between oxygen and carbon
dioxide levels for the affected unit shall
be established as specified in paragraph
(e)(1)(vi) of this section.
(B) [Reserved]
(vi) At a minimum, you shall obtain
valid CEMS hourly averages for 90
percent of the operating hours per
calendar quarter and for 95 percent of
the operating hours per calendar year
that the affected unit is combusting
municipal solid waste:
(A) At least 2 data points per hour
shall be used to calculate each 1-hour
arithmetic average.
(B) Each NOX 1-hour arithmetic
average shall be corrected to 7 percent
oxygen on an hourly basis using the 1hour arithmetic average of the oxygen
(or carbon dioxide) continuous
emissions monitoring system data.
(vii) The 1-hour arithmetic averages
section shall be expressed in parts per
million by volume (dry basis) and used
to calculate the 24-hour daily arithmetic
average concentrations. The 1-hour
arithmetic averages shall be calculated
using the data points required under 40
CFR 60.13(e)(2).
(viii) All valid CEMS data must be
used in calculating emissions averages
even if the minimum CEMS data
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requirements of paragraph (e)(2)(iv) of
this section are not met.
(ix) The procedures under 40 CFR
60.13 shall be followed for installation,
evaluation, and operation of the CEMS.
The initial performance evaluation shall
be completed no later than 180 days
after the date of initial startup of the
municipal waste combustor unit.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must determine
compliance with the startup and
shutdown requirements of paragraph (d)
of this section by following the
requirements in paragraphs (e)(3)(i) and
(ii) of this section:
(i) You can measure CEMS data at
stack oxygen content. You can dismiss
or exclude CEMS data from compliance
calculations, but you shall record and
report CEMS data in accordance with
the provisions of 40 CFR 60.59b(d)(7).
(ii) You shall determine compliance
with the NOX mass loading emissions
limitation for periods of startup and
shutdown by calculating the 24-hour
average of all hourly average NOX
emissions concentrations from
continuous emissions monitoring
systems.
(A) You shall perform this
calculations using stack flow rates
derived from flow monitors, for all the
hours during the 3-hour startup or
shutdown period and the remaining 21
hours of the 24-hour period.
(B) [Reserved]
(4) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall calculate
municipal waste combustor unit
capacity using the following procedures:
(i) For municipal waste combustor
units capable of combusting municipal
solid waste continuously for a 24-hour
period, municipal waste combustor unit
capacity shall be calculated based on 24
hours of operation at the maximum
charging rate. The maximum charging
rate shall be determined as specified in
paragraphs (e)(4)(i)(A) and (B) of this
section as applicable.
(A) For combustors that are designed
based on heat capacity, the maximum
charging rate shall be calculated based
on the maximum design heat input
capacity of the unit and a heating value
of 12,800 kilojoules per kilogram for
combustors firing refuse-derived fuel
and a heating value of 10,500 kilojoules
per kilogram for combustors firing
municipal solid waste that is not refusederived fuel.
(B) For combustors that are not
designed based on heat capacity, the
maximum charging rate shall be the
maximum design charging rate.
(ii) For batch feed municipal waste
combustor units, municipal waste
combustor unit capacity shall be
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calculated as the maximum design
amount of municipal solid waste that
can be charged per batch multiplied by
the maximum number of batches that
could be processed in a 24-hour period.
The maximum number of batches that
could be processed in a 24-hour period
is calculated as 24 hours divided by the
design number of hours required to
process one batch of municipal solid
waste, and may include fractional
batches (e.g., if one batch requires 16
hours, then 24/16, or 1.5 batches, could
be combusted in a 24-hour period). For
batch combustors that are designed
based on heat capacity, the design
heating value of 12,800 kilojoules per
kilogram for combustors firing refusederived fuel and a heating value of
10,500 kilojoules per kilogram for
combustors firing municipal solid waste
that is not refuse-derived fuel shall be
used in calculating the municipal waste
combustor unit capacity in megagrams
per day of municipal solid waste.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you shall maintain records of the
following information, as applicable, for
each affected unit consistent with the
requirements of § 52.40(g).
(1) The calendar date of each record.
(2) The emissions concentrations and
parameters measured using continuous
monitoring systems.
(i) All 1-hour average NOX emissions
concentrations.
(ii) The average concentrations and
percent reductions, as applicable,
including all 24-hour daily arithmetic
average NOX emissions concentrations.
(3) Identification of the calendar dates
and times (hours) for which valid
hourly NOX emissions, including
reasons for not obtaining the data and a
description of corrective actions taken.
(4) Identification of each occurrence
that NOX emissions data, or operational
data (i.e., unit load) have been excluded
from the calculation of average
emissions concentrations or parameters,
and the reasons for excluding the data.
(5) The results of daily drift tests and
quarterly accuracy determinations for
CEMS, as required under 40 CFR part
60, appendix F, Procedure 1.
(6) The following records:
(i) Records showing the names of the
municipal waste combustor chief
facility operator, shift supervisors, and
control room operators who have been
provisionally certified by the American
Society of Mechanical Engineers or an
equivalent State-approved certification
program as required by 40 CFR
60.54b(a) including the dates of initial
and renewal certifications and
documentation of current certification;
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(ii) Records showing the names of the
municipal waste combustor chief
facility operator, shift supervisors, and
control room operators who have been
fully certified by the American Society
of Mechanical Engineers or an
equivalent State-approved certification
program as required by 40 CFR
60.54b(b) including the dates of initial
and renewal certifications and
documentation of current certification;
(iii) Records showing the names of the
municipal waste combustor chief
facility operator, shift supervisors, and
control room operators who have
completed the EPA municipal waste
combustor operator training course or a
State-approved equivalent course as
required by 40 CFR 60.54b(d) including
documentation of training completion;
and
(iv) Records of when a certified
operator is temporarily off site. Include
two main items:
(A) If the certified chief facility
operator and certified shift supervisor
are off site for more than 12 hours, but
for 2 weeks or less, and no other
certified operator is on site, record the
dates that the certified chief facility
operator and certified shift supervisor
were off site.
(B) When all certified chief facility
operators and certified shift supervisors
are off site for more than 2 weeks and
no other certified operator is on site,
keep records of four items:
(1) Time of day that all certified
persons are off site.
(2) The conditions that cause those
people to be off site.
(3) The corrective actions taken by the
owner or operator of the affected unit to
ensure a certified chief facility operator
or certified shift supervisor is on site as
soon as practicable.
(4) Copies of the reports submitted
every 4 weeks that summarize the
actions taken by the owner or operator
of the affected unit to ensure that a
certified chief facility operator or
certified shift supervisor will be on site
as soon as practicable.
(7) Records showing the names of
persons who have completed a review
of the operating manual as required by
40 CFR 60.54b(f) including the date of
the initial review and subsequent
annual reviews.
(8) Records of steps taken to minimize
emissions during startup and shutdown
as required by paragraph (d)(5) of this
section.
(g) Reporting requirements. (1) If you
are the owner or operator of an affected
unit, you must submit the results of the
performance test or performance
evaluation of the CEMS following the
procedures specified in § 52.40(g)
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within 60 days after the date of
completing each performance test
required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit an
annual report in PDF format to the EPA
by January 30th of each year via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting
approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section. Annual
reports shall be submitted following the
procedures in § 52.40(g). The report
shall include all information required
by paragraph (e) of this section,
including CEMS data to demonstrate
compliance with the applicable
emissions limits under paragraph (c) of
this section.
Subpart B—Alabama
5. Amend § 52.54 by revising
paragraphs (b)(2) and (3) and adding
paragraphs (b)(4) and (5) to read as
follows:
■
§ 52.54 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(2) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Alabama and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program in subpart EEEEE of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2017 through
2022. The obligation to comply with
such requirements with regard to
sources and units in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Alabama’s
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(ii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Alabama’s
SIP.
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Alabama and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
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requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Alabama’s
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Alabama’s
SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraphs (b)(2) and (3) of this section,
if, at the time of the approval of
Alabama’s SIP revision described in
paragraph (b)(2) or (3) of this section,
the Administrator has already started
recording any allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart EEEEE or
GGGGG, respectively, of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority for a control period in any
year, the provisions of such subpart
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of such allowances to such units for
each such control period shall continue
to apply, unless provided otherwise by
such approval of the State’s SIP
revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (b)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
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36889
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State and Indian country within the
borders of the State for control periods
after 2022) shall continue to apply.
Subpart E—Arkansas
6. Amend § 52.184 by:
a. Redesignating paragraphs (a)
through (c) as paragraphs (a)(1) through
(3);
■ b. In newly redesignated paragraph
(a)(2):
■ i. Removing ‘‘2017 and each
subsequent year’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘2017 through 2022’’; and
■ ii. Removing the second sentence;
■ c. Revising newly redesignated
paragraph (a)(3); and
■ d. Adding paragraphs (a)(4) and (5)
and (b).
The revision and additions read as
follows:
■
■
§ 52.184 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
(a) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Arkansas and for which requirements
are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
in subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2023 and each subsequent
year. The obligation to comply with
such requirements will be eliminated by
the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Arkansas’
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii), except to the
extent the Administrator’s approval is
partial or conditional.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Arkansas’ SIP
revision described in paragraph (a)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State for a control period in any year,
the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part
97 of this chapter authorizing the
Administrator to complete the
allocation and recordation of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
to such units for each such control
period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of
the State’s SIP revision.
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(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State for control periods after 2022)
shall continue to apply.
(b) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Arkansas
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart F—California
■
7. Add § 52.284 to read as follows:
§ 52.284 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of California
and Indian country within the borders
of the State and for which requirements
are set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
9. Amend § 52.789 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(2), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(iv), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii), except’’;
■ b. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ c. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 52.789 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Indiana
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart S—Kentucky
10. Amend § 52.940 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 52.940 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Kentucky
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart O—Illinois
Subpart T—Louisiana
8. Amend § 52.731 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
■
■
§ 52.731 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Subpart P—Indiana
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Illinois
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
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11. Amend § 52.984 by:
a. In paragraph (d)(3), revising the
second and third sentences;
■ b. Revising paragraph (d)(4);
■ c. In paragraph (d)(5), adding ‘‘and
Indian country within the borders of the
State’’ after ‘‘in the State’’; and
■ d. Adding paragraph (e).
The revision and addition read as
follows:
§ 52.984 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(3) * * * The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units in the State and areas
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of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Louisiana’s State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP’s deficiency
that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Louisiana’s SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (d)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Louisiana’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (d)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Louisiana
and Indian country within the borders
of the State and for which requirements
are set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart V—Maryland
12. Amend § 52.1084 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 52.1084 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Maryland
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and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart X—Michigan
13. Amend § 52.1186 by:
a. In paragraph (e)(3), revising the
second and third sentences;
■ b. Revising paragraph (e)(4);
■ c. In paragraph (e)(5), adding ‘‘and
Indian country within the borders of the
State’’ after ‘‘in the State’’; and
■ d. Adding paragraph (f).
The revision and addition read as
follows:
■
■
§ 52.1186 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
*
*
*
*
*
(e) * * *
(3) * * * The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Michigan’s State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP’s deficiency
that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Michigan’s SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (e)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Michigan’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (e)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
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unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
*
*
*
*
*
(f) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Michigan
and Indian country within the borders
of the State and for which requirements
are set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart Y—Minnesota
14. Amend § 52.1240 by adding
paragraph (d) to read as follows:
■
§ 52.1240 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(d)(1) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Minnesota and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Minnesota’s State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP’s deficiency
that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Minnesota’s SIP.
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (d)(1) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Minnesota’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (d)(1) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
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State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
Subpart Z—Mississippi
15. Amend § 52.1284 by:
a. Redesignating paragraphs (a)
through (c) as paragraphs (a)(1) through
(3);
■ b. In newly redesignated paragraph
(a)(2):
■ i. Removing ‘‘2017 and each
subsequent year’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘2017 through 2022’’; and
■ ii. Removing the second and third
sentences;
■ c. Revising newly redesignated
paragraph (a)(3); and
■ d. Adding paragraphs (a)(4) and (5)
and (b).
The revision and additions read as
follows:
■
■
§ 52.1284 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
(a) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Mississippi and Indian country
within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth under
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Mississippi’s State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP’s deficiency
that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Mississippi’s SIP.
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(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Mississippi’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (a)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State and Indian country within the
borders of the State for control periods
after 2022) shall continue to apply.
(b) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of
Mississippi and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth in § 52.40 and
§ 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45,
or § 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart AA—Missouri
16. Amend § 52.1326 by revising
paragraph (b)(2) and (3) and adding
paragraphs (b)(4) and (5) and (c) to read
as follows:
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
■
§ 52.1326 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(2) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Missouri and for which requirements
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are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
in subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this
chapter must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2017 through 2022. The
obligation to comply with such
requirements will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Missouri’s
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(ii), except to the
extent the Administrator’s approval is
partial or conditional.
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Missouri and for which requirements
are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
in subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2023 and each subsequent
year. The obligation to comply with
such requirements will be eliminated by
the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Missouri’s
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii), except to the
extent the Administrator’s approval is
partial or conditional.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraphs (b)(2) and (3) of this section,
if, at the time of the approval of
Missouri’s SIP revision described in
paragraph (b)(2) or (3) of this section,
the Administrator has already started
recording any allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart EEEEE or
GGGGG, respectively, of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State for a control
period in any year, the provisions of
such subpart authorizing the
Administrator to complete the
allocation and recordation of such
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (b)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
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of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State for control periods after 2022)
shall continue to apply.
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Missouri
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart DD—Nevada
■
17. Add § 52.1492 to read as follows:
§ 52.1492 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
(a)(1) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Nevada and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Nevada’s
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Nevada’s
SIP.
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(1) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Nevada’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (a)(1) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
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the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(b) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Nevada
and Indian country within the borders
of the State and for which requirements
are set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart FF—New Jersey
18. Amend § 52.1584 by:
a. In paragraph (e)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (f).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 52.1584 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(f) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of New Jersey
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart HH—New York
19. Amend § 52.1684 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), revising the
second and third sentences;
■ b. Revising paragraph (b)(4);
■ c. In paragraph (b)(5), adding ‘‘and
Indian country within the borders of the
State’’ after ‘‘in the State’’; and
■ d. Adding paragraph (c).
The revision and addition read as
follows:
■
■
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
§ 52.1684 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(3) * * * The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units in the State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority will be eliminated by the
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20:14 Jun 02, 2023
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promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to New
York’s State Implementation Plan (SIP)
as correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to New
York’s SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (b)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of New York’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (b)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of New York
and Indian country within the borders
of the State and for which requirements
are set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart KK—Ohio
20. Amend § 52.1882 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 52.1882 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Ohio and
for which requirements are set forth in
§ 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
36893
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart LL—Oklahoma
21. Amend § 52.1930 by:
a. Redesignating paragraphs (a)
through (c) as paragraphs (a)(1) through
(3);
■ b. In newly redesignated paragraph
(a)(2):
■ i. Removing ‘‘2017 and each
subsequent year’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘2017 through 2022’’; and
■ ii. Removing the second and third
sentences;
■ c. Revising newly redesignated
paragraph (a)(3); and
■ d. Adding paragraphs (a)(4) and (5)
and (b).
The revision and additions read as
follows:
■
■
§ 52.1930 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
(a) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Oklahoma and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Oklahoma’s State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP’s deficiency
that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Oklahoma’s SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Oklahoma’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (a)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
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of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State and Indian country within the
borders of the State for control periods
after 2022) shall continue to apply.
(b) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Oklahoma
and Indian country within the borders
of the State and for which requirements
are set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41,
§ 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or
§ 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart NN—Pennsylvania
22. Amend § 52.2040 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
§ 52.2040 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of
Pennsylvania and for which
requirements are set forth in § 52.40 and
§ 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45,
or § 52.46 must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions
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Jkt 259001
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent
year.
Subpart SS—Texas
23. Amend § 52.2283 by:
a. In paragraph (d)(2):
i. Removing ‘‘2017 and each
subsequent year’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘2017 through 2022’’; and
■ ii. Removing the second and third
sentences;
■ b. Revising paragraph (d)(3); and
■ c. Adding paragraphs (d)(4) and (5)
and (e).
The revision and additions read as
follows:
■
■
■
§ 52.2283 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Texas and Indian country within the
borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Texas’
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Texas’
SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (d)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Texas’ SIP
revision described in paragraph (d)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (d)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State and Indian country within the
borders of the State for control periods
after 2022) shall continue to apply.
(e) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Texas and
Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set
forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42,
§ 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with
regard to emissions occurring in 2026
and each subsequent year.
Subpart TT—Utah
■
24. Add § 52.2356 to read as follows:
§ 52.2356 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
(a)(1) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Utah and Indian country within the
borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Utah’s
State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP’s deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal
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Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Utah’s
SIP.
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (a)(1) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Utah’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (a)(1) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(b) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Utah and
Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set
forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42,
§ 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with
regard to emissions occurring in 2026
and each subsequent year.
Subpart VV—Virginia
25. Amend § 52.2440 by:
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 52.2440 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of Virginia
and for which requirements are set forth
in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42, § 52.43,
§ 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart XX—West Virginia
■
26. Amend § 52.2540 by:
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a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)(v), except’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), except’’; and
■ b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
■
§ 52.2540 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The owner and operator of each
source located in the State of West
Virginia and for which requirements are
set forth in § 52.40 and § 52.41, § 52.42,
§ 52.43, § 52.44, § 52.45, or § 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with
regard to emissions occurring in 2026
and each subsequent year.
Subpart YY—Wisconsin
27. Amend § 52.2587 by:
a. In paragraph (e)(2):
i. Removing ‘‘2017 and each
subsequent year’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘2017 through 2022’’; and
■ ii. Removing the second and third
sentences;
■ b. Revising paragraph (e)(3); and
■ c. Adding paragraphs (e)(4) and (5).
The revision and additions read as
follows:
■
■
■
§ 52.2587 Interstate pollutant transport
provisions; What are the FIP requirements
for decreases in emissions of nitrogen
oxides?
*
*
*
*
*
(e) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each
source and each unit located in the State
of Wisconsin and Indian country within
the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply
with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Wisconsin’s State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP’s deficiency
that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under
§ 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those
sources and units, except to the extent
the Administrator’s approval is partial
or conditional. The obligation to comply
with such requirements with regard to
sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State’s SIP
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36895
authority will not be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to
Wisconsin’s SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (e)(3) of this section, if, at the
time of the approval of Wisconsin’s SIP
revision described in paragraph (e)(3) of
this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter to units in the
State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the
State’s SIP authority for a control period
in any year, the provisions of subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
authorizing the Administrator to
complete the allocation and recordation
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such
control period shall continue to apply,
unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State’s SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of
paragraph (e)(2) of this section, after
2022 the provisions of § 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts
under common control), the provisions
of § 97.826(e) of this chapter
(concerning the conversion of amounts
of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances allocated for control
periods before 2023 to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances), and the provisions of
§ 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning
the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in
quantity and usability to all such
allowances allocated to units in the
State and Indian country within the
borders of the State for control periods
after 2022) shall continue to apply.
PART 75—CONTINUOUS EMISSION
MONITORING
28. The authority citation for part 75
is revised to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401–7671q and
7651k note.
Subpart H—NOX Mass Emissions
Provisions
29. Amend § 75.72 by:
a. In paragraph (c)(3), removing
‘‘appendix B of this part’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘appendix B to this part’’;
■ b. In paragraph (e)(1)(ii), removing
‘‘heat input from’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘heat input rate to’’;
■ c. In paragraph (e)(2), removing
‘‘appendix D of this part’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘appendix D to this part’’; and
■
■
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d. Adding paragraph (f).
The addition reads as follows:
§ 75.72 Determination of NOX mass
emissions for common stack and multiple
stack configurations.
*
*
*
*
*
(f) Procedures for apportioning hourly
NOX mass emission rate to the unit
level. If the owner or operator of a unit
determining hourly NOX mass emission
rate at a common stack under this
section is subject to a State or Federal
NOX mass emissions reduction program
under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter or under a state implementation
plan approved pursuant to
§ 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter, then on
and after January 1, 2024, the owner or
operator shall apportion the hourly NOX
mass emissions rate at the common
stack to each unit using the common
stack based on the ratio of the hourly
heat input rate for each such unit to the
total hourly heat input rate for all such
units, in conjunction with the
appropriate unit and stack operating
times, according to the procedures in
section 8.5.3 of appendix F to this part.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 30. Amend § 75.73 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (a)(3);
■ b. In paragraph (c)(1), removing ‘‘NOX
emissions’’ and adding in its place
‘‘NOX emissions’’;
■ c. Adding a heading to paragraph
(c)(2);
■ d. Revising paragraphs (c)(3) and (f)(1)
introductory text;
■ e. Removing and reserving paragraph
(f)(1)(i)(B);
■ f. In paragraph (f)(1)(ii)(G), removing
‘‘appendix D;’’ and adding in its place
‘‘appendix D to this part;’’;
■ g. Adding paragraphs (f)(1)(ix) and (x);
■ h. Adding a heading to paragraph
(f)(2); and
■ i. Revising paragraph (f)(4).
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
§ 75.73
Recordkeeping and reporting.
(a) * * *
(3) For each hour when the unit is
operating, NOX mass emission rate,
calculated in accordance with section 8
of appendix F to this part.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(2) Monitoring plan updates. * * *
(3) Contents of the monitoring plan.
Each monitoring plan shall contain the
information in § 75.53(g)(1) in electronic
format and the information in
§ 75.53(g)(2) in hardcopy format. In
addition, to the extent applicable, each
monitoring plan shall contain the
information in § 75.53(h)(1)(i) and
(h)(2)(i) in electronic format and the
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information in § 75.53(h)(1)(ii) and
(h)(2)(ii) in hardcopy format. For units
using the low mass emissions excepted
methodology under § 75.19, the
monitoring plan shall include the
additional information in § 75.53(h)(4)(i)
and (ii). The monitoring plan also shall
include a seasonal controls indicator
and an ozone season fuel-switching flag.
*
*
*
*
*
(f) * * *
(1) Electronic submission. The
designated representative for an affected
unit shall electronically report the data
and information in this paragraph (f)(1)
and in paragraphs (f)(2) and (3) of this
section to the Administrator quarterly,
unless the unit has been placed in longterm cold storage (as defined in § 72.2
of this chapter). Each electronic report
must be submitted to the Administrator
within 30 days following the end of
each calendar quarter. Each electronic
report shall include the information
provided in paragraphs (f)(1)(i) through
(x) of this section and shall also include
the date of report generation. A unit
placed into long-term cold storage is
exempted from submitting quarterly
reports beginning with the calendar
quarter following the quarter in which
the unit is placed into long-term cold
storage, provided that the owner or
operator shall submit quarterly reports
for the unit beginning with the data
from the quarter in which the unit
recommences operation (where the
initial quarterly report contains hourly
data beginning with the first hour of
recommenced operation of the unit).
*
*
*
*
*
(ix) On and after on January 1, 2024,
for a unit subject to subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter or a state
implementation plan approved under
§ 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter and
determining NOX mass emission rate at
a common stack, apportioned hourly
NOX mass emission rate for the unit, lb/
hr.
(x) On and after January 1, 2024, for
a unit that is subject to subpart GGGGG
of part 97 of this chapter or a state
implementation plan approved under
§ 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter, that lists
coal or a solid coal-derived fuel as a fuel
in the unit’s monitoring plan under
§ 75.53 for any portion of the ozone
season in the year for which data are
being reported, that serves a generator of
100 MW or larger nameplate capacity,
and that is not a circulating fluidized
bed boiler, provided that through
December 31, 2029, the requirements
under this paragraph (f)(1)(x) shall
apply to a unit in a given calendar year
only if the unit also was equipped with
selective catalytic reduction controls on
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or before September 30 of the previous
year:
(A) Daily NOX emissions (lbs) for each
day of the reporting period;
(B) Daily heat input (mmBtu) for each
day of the reporting period;
(C) Daily average NOX emission rate
(lb/mmBtu, rounded to the nearest
thousandth) for each day of the
reporting period;
(D) Daily NOX emissions (lbs)
exceeding the applicable backstop daily
NOX emission rate for each day of the
reporting period;
(E) Cumulative NOX emissions (tons,
rounded to the nearest tenth) exceeding
the applicable backstop daily NOX
emission rate during the ozone season;
and
(F) Cumulative NOX emissions (tons,
rounded to the nearest tenth) exceeding
the applicable backstop daily NOX
emission rate during the ozone season
by more than 50 tons, calculated as the
remainder of the amount calculated
under paragraph (f)(1)(x)(E) of this
section minus 50, but not less than zero.
(2) Verification of identification codes
and formulas. * * *
(4) Electronic format, method of
submission, and explanatory
information. The designated
representative shall comply with all of
the quarterly reporting requirements in
§ 75.64(d), (f), and (g).
■ 31. Revise § 75.75 to read as follows:
§ 75.75 Additional ozone season
calculation procedures.
(a) The owner or operator of a unit
that is required to calculate daily or
ozone season heat input shall do so by
summing the unit’s hourly heat input
determined according to the procedures
in this part for all hours in which the
unit operated during the day or ozone
season.
(b) The owner or operator of a unit
that is required to determine daily or
ozone season NOX emission rate (in lbs/
mmBtu) shall do so by dividing daily or
ozone season NOX mass emissions (in
lbs) determined in accordance with this
subpart, by daily or ozone season heat
input determined in accordance with
paragraph (a) of this section.
■ 32. Amend appendix F to part 75 by:
■ a. Adding section 5.3.3;
■ b. In section 8.1.2, revising the
introductory text preceding Equation F–
25;
■ c. In section 8.4, revising the
introductory text, paragraph (a)
introductory text (preceding Equation
F–27), and paragraph (b) introductory
text (preceding Equation F–27a) and
adding paragraph (c);
■ d. In section 8.5.2, removing ‘‘the
hourly NOX mass emissions at each
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Appendix F to Part 75—Conversion
Procedures
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*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
8. Procedures for NOX Mass Emissions
*
*
*
*
*
8.1.2 If NOX emission rate is measured at
a common stack and heat input rate is
measured at the unit level, calculate the
hourly heat input rate at the common stack
according to the following formula:
*
*
*
*
*
8.4 Use the following equations to
calculate daily, quarterly, cumulative ozone
season, and cumulative year-to-date NOX
mass emissions:
(a) When hourly NOX mass emissions are
reported in lb., use Eq. F–27 to this appendix
Where:
M(NOX)d = NOX mass emissions for a unit for
the day, pounds.
E(NOX)h = NOX mass emission rate for the unit
for hour ‘‘h’’ from Equation F–24a, F–
26a, F–26b, or F–28, lb/hr.
th = Unit operating time, fraction of the hour
(0.00 to 1.00, in equal increments from
one hundredth to one quarter of an hour,
at the option of the owner or operator).
h = Designation of a particular hour.
Where:
E(NOX)i = Apportioned NOX mass emission
rate for the hour for unit ‘‘i’’, lb/hr.
E(NOX)CS = NOX mass emission rate for the
hour at the common stack, lb/hr.
HIi = Heat input rate for the hour for unit
‘‘i’’,’’ from Equation F–15, F–16, F–17,
F–18, F–21a, or F–21b to this appendix,
mmBtu/hr.
ti = Operating time for unit ‘‘i’’, fraction of
the hour (0.00 to 1.00, in equal
increments from one hundredth to one
quarter of an hour, at the option of the
owner or operator).
tCS = Common stack operating time, fraction
of the hour (0.00 to 1.00, in equal
increments from one hundredth to one
quarter of an hour, at the option of the
owner or operator).
n = Number of units using the common stack.
i = Designation of a particular unit.
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*
5.3.3 Calculate total daily heat input for
a unit using a flow monitor and diluent
monitor to calculate heat input, using the
following equation:
to calculate quarterly, cumulative ozone
season, and cumulative year-to-date NOX
mass emissions in tons.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) When hourly NOX mass emission rate
is reported in lb/hr, use Eq. F–27a to this
appendix to calculate quarterly, cumulative
ozone season, and cumulative year-to-date
NOX mass emissions in tons.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) To calculate daily NOX mass emissions
for a unit in pounds, use Eq. F–27b to this
appendix.
8.5.3 Where applicable, the owner or
operator of a unit that determines hourly
NOX mass emission rate at a common stack
shall apportion hourly NOX mass emissions
rate to the units using the common stack
based on the hourly heat input rate, using
Equation F–28 to this appendix:
PART 78—APPEAL PROCEDURES
33. The authority citation for part 78
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401–7671q.
34. Amend § 78.1 by:
a. In paragraphs (b)(13)(i), (b)(14)(i),
(b)(15)(i), (b)(16)(i), and (b)(17)(i),
removing ‘‘decision on the’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘calculation of an’’;
■
■
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ER05JN23.005
*
Where:
HId = Total heat input for a unit for the day,
mmBtu.
HIh = Heat input rate for the unit for hour ‘‘h’’
from Equation F–15, F–16, F–17, F–18,
F–21a, or F–21b to this appendix,
mmBtu/hr.
th = Unit operating time, fraction of the hour
(0.00 to 1.00, in equal increments from
one hundredth to one quarter of an hour,
at the option of the owner or operator).
h = Designation of a particular hour.
*
*
5. Procedures for Heat Input
ER05JN23.004
*
5.3 Heat Input Summation (for Heat Input
Determined Using a Flow Monitor and
Diluent Monitor)
ER05JN23.003
unit’’ and adding in its place ‘‘hourly
NOX mass emissions at the common
stack’’; and
■ e. Adding section 8.5.3.
The additions and revisions read as
follows:
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b. In paragraph (b)(17)(viii), adding
‘‘or (e)’’ after ‘‘§ 97.826(d)’’;
■ c. In paragraph (b)(17)(ix), adding ‘‘or
(e)’’ after ‘‘§ 97.811(d)’’;
■ d. In paragraph (b)(18)(i), removing
‘‘decision on the’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘calculation of an’’; and
■ e. Revising paragraph (b)(19).
The revision reads as follows:
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’; and
■ c. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(v), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), and’’.
§ 78.1
■
■
Purpose and scope.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(19) Under subpart GGGGG of part 97
of this chapter:
(i) The calculation of a dynamic
trading budget under § 97.1010(a)(4) of
this chapter.
(ii) The calculation of an allocation of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under § 97.1011 or § 97.1012
of this chapter.
(iii) The decision on the transfer of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under § 97.1023 of this
chapter.
(iv) The decision on the deduction of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under § 97.1024, § 97.1025,
or § 97.1026(d) of this chapter.
(v) The correction of an error in an
Allowance Management System account
under § 97.1027 of this chapter.
(vi) The adjustment of information in
a submission and the decision on the
deduction and transfer of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
based on the information as adjusted
under § 97.1028 of this chapter.
(vii) The finalization of control period
emissions data, including retroactive
adjustment based on audit.
(viii) The approval or disapproval of
a petition under § 97.1035 of this
chapter.
*
*
*
*
*
PART 97—FEDERAL NOX BUDGET
TRADING PROGRAM, CAIR NOX AND
SO2 TRADING PROGRAMS, CSAPR
NOX AND SO2 TRADING PROGRAMS,
AND TEXAS SO2 TRADING PROGRAM
35. The authority citation for part 97
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401, 7403, 7410,
7426, 7491, 7601, and 7651, et seq.
Subpart AAAAA—CSAPR NOX Annual
Trading Program
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§ 97.402
[Amended]
36. Amend § 97.402 by:
a. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(i) and (ii),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(i),
and’’;
■ b. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
■
■
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§ 97.411
[Amended]
37. Amend § 97.411 by:
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority,
in accordance’’; and
■ b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of a State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘areas of Indian
country within the borders of a State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority, in
accordance’’.
■
§ 97.412
[Amended]
38. Amend § 97.412 by:
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State, the Administrator’’
and adding in its place ‘‘State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator’’;
■ b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5),
adding ‘‘and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority’’ after ‘‘in the
State’’;
■ c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing
‘‘State, is allocated’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, is
allocated’’;
■ d. In paragraph (b) introductory text,
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of each State, the
Administrator’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of each State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the
Administrator’’; and
■ e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’.
■
■
§ 97.426
[Amended]
39. In § 97.426, amend paragraph (c)
by:
■ a. Removing ‘‘set forth in’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘established under’’; and
■ b. Removing ‘‘State (or Indian’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State (and Indian’’.
■
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Subpart BBBBB—CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 Trading Program
§ 97.502
[Amended]
40. Amend § 97.502 by:
a. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(i) and (ii),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(i),
and’’;
■ b. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’;
■ c. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance’’:
■ i. Adding ‘‘or (e)’’ after ‘‘§ 97.826(d)’’;
and
■ ii. Adding ‘‘or less’’ after ‘‘one ton’’;
■ d. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(v), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), and’’; and
■ e. In the definition of ‘‘State’’,
removing ‘‘(b)(2)(i) and (ii), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(i), and’’.
■
■
§ 97.511
[Amended]
41. Amend § 97.511 by:
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority,
in accordance’’; and
■ b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of a State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘areas of Indian
country within the borders of a State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority, in
accordance’’.
■
■
§ 97.512
[Amended]
42. Amend § 97.512 by:
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State, the Administrator’’
and adding in its place ‘‘State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator’’;
■ b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5),
adding ‘‘and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority’’ after ‘‘in the
State’’;
■ c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing
‘‘State, is allocated’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, is
allocated’’;
■ d. In paragraph (b) introductory text,
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of each State, the
Administrator’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of each State not subject to the
■
■
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State’s SIP authority, the
Administrator’’; and
■ e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’.
■ 43. Amend § 97.526 by:
■ a. In paragraph (c):
■ i. Removing ‘‘set forth in’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘established under’’; and
■ ii. Removing ‘‘State (or Indian’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State (and Indian’’;
■ b. In paragraph (d)(1) introductory
text, removing ‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(i) of this
chapter (or’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(i)(A) of this chapter
(and’’;
■ c. In paragraph (d)(1)(ii), removing
‘‘except a State listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(i)’’
and adding in its place ‘‘listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii)’’;
■ d. In paragraph (d)(1)(iv), removing
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii) or (iv) of this chapter
(or’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii) of this chapter (and’’;
■ e. Revising paragraph (d)(2)(i);
■ f. In paragraph (d)(2)(ii), removing
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(v) of this chapter (or’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A)
of this chapter (and’’;
■ g. Adding paragraph (d)(2)(iii);
■ h. In paragraph (e)(1), removing
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii) of this chapter (or
Indian’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(i)(B) of this chapter (and
Indian’’;
■ i. In paragraph (e)(2), removing
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iv) of this chapter (or’’
and adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B) of this chapter
(and’’; and
■ j. Adding paragraph (e)(3).
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
§ 97.526
Banking and conversion.
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*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(2)(i) Except as provided in
paragraphs (d)(2)(ii) and (iii) of this
section, after the Administrator has
carried out the procedures set forth in
paragraph (d)(1) of this section, upon
any determination that would otherwise
result in the initial recordation of a
given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 allowances in the
compliance account for a source in a
State listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(ii) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State), the
Administrator will not record such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
allowances but instead will allocate and
record in such account an amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for the control period in
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2017 computed as the quotient, rounded
up to the nearest allowance, of such
given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 allowances divided by
the conversion factor determined under
paragraph (d)(1)(ii) of this section.
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) After the Administrator has
carried out the procedures set forth in
paragraph (d)(1) of this section and
§ 97.826(e)(1), upon any determination
that would otherwise result in the initial
recordation of a given number of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances
in the compliance account for a source
in a State listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of
this chapter (and Indian country within
the borders of such a State), the
Administrator will not record such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
allowances but instead will allocate and
record in such account an amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period in
2023 computed as the quotient, rounded
up to the nearest allowance, of such
given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 allowances divided by
the conversion factor determined under
paragraph (d)(1)(ii) of this section and
further divided by the conversion factor
determined under § 97.826(e)(1)(ii).
(e) * * *
(3) After the Administrator has carried
out the procedures set forth in
paragraph (d)(1) of this section and
§ 97.826(e)(1), the owner or operator of
a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
source in a State listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(C) of this chapter (and
Indian country within the borders of
such a State) may satisfy a requirement
to hold a given number of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 allowances for
the control period in 2015 or 2016 by
holding instead, in a general account
established for this sole purpose, an
amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances for the control
period in 2023 (or any later control
period for which the allowance transfer
deadline defined in § 97.1002 has
passed) computed as the quotient,
rounded up to the nearest allowance, of
such given number of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 allowances
divided by the conversion factor
determined under paragraph (d)(1)(ii) of
this section and further divided by the
conversion factor determined under
§ 97.826(e)(1)(ii).
Subpart CCCCC—CSAPR SO2 Group 1
Trading Program
§ 97.602
[Amended]
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Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(i) and (ii),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(i),
and’’;
■ b. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’; and
■ c. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(v), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), and’’.
§ 97.611
[Amended]
45. Amend § 97.611 by:
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority,
in accordance’’; and
■ b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of a State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘areas of Indian
country within the borders of a State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority, in
accordance’’.
■
■
§ 97.612
[Amended]
46. Amend § 97.612 by:
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State, the Administrator’’
and adding in its place ‘‘State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator’’;
■ b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5),
adding ‘‘and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority’’ after ‘‘in the
State’’;
■ c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing
‘‘State, is allocated’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, is
allocated’’;
■ d. In paragraph (b) introductory text,
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of each State, the
Administrator’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of each State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the
Administrator’’; and
■ e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’.
■
■
§ 97.626
[Amended]
47. In § 97.626, amend paragraph (c)
by:
■ a. Removing ‘‘set forth in’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘established under’’; and
■
44. Amend § 97.602 by:
a. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
■
■
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b. Removing ‘‘State (or Indian’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State (and Indian’’.
■
Subpart DDDDD—CSAPR SO2 Group 2
Trading Program
48. Amend § 97.702 by:
a. In the definition of ‘‘Alternate
designated representative’’, removing
‘‘or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program, then’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program, then’’;
■ b. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(i) and (ii),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(i),
and’’;
■ c. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’;
■ d. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program’’; and
■ e. In the definition of ‘‘Designated
representative’’, removing ‘‘or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, then’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program, then’’.
The addition reads as follows:
■
■
§ 97.702
Definitions.
*
*
*
*
*
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program means a multi-state
NOX air pollution control and emission
reduction program established in
accordance with subpart GGGGG of this
part and § 52.38(b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and
(b)(10) through (14) and (17) of this
chapter (including such a program that
is revised in a SIP revision approved by
the Administrator under § 52.38(b)(10)
or (11) of this chapter or that is
established in a SIP revision approved
by the Administrator under
§ 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter), as a
means of mitigating interstate transport
of ozone and NOX.
*
*
*
*
*
§ 97.711
[Amended]
49. Amend § 97.711 by:
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority,
in accordance’’; and
■ b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of a State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘areas of Indian
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■
■
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country within the borders of a State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority, in
accordance’’.
§ 97.712
[Amended]
50. Amend § 97.712 by:
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State, the Administrator’’
and adding in its place ‘‘State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator’’;
■ b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5),
adding ‘‘and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority’’ after ‘‘in the
State’’;
■ c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing
‘‘State, is allocated’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, is
allocated’’;
■ d. In paragraph (b) introductory text,
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of each State, the
Administrator’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of each State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, the
Administrator’’; and
■ e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’.
■
■
§ 97.726
[Amended]
51. In § 97.726, amend paragraph (c)
by:
■ a. Removing ‘‘set forth in’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘established under’’; and
■ b. Removing ‘‘State (or Indian’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State (and Indian’’.
■
§ 97.734
[Amended]
52. In § 97.734, amend paragraph
(d)(3) by removing ‘‘or CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, quarterly’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program, quarterly’’.
■
Subpart EEEEE—CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program
53. Amend § 97.802 by:
a. In the definition of ‘‘Assurance
account’’, removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘CSAPR’’;
■ b. Removing the definitions for ‘‘Base
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
source’’ and ‘‘Base CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 unit’’;
■ c. In the definition of ‘‘Common
designated representative’’, removing
■
■
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‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR’’;
■ d. In the definition of ‘‘Common
designated representative’s assurance
level’’, revising paragraph (1);
■ e. In the definition of ‘‘Common
designated representative’s share’’,
removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it appears;
■ f. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’;
■ g. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance’’:
■ i. Adding ‘‘or (e)’’ after ‘‘§ 97.826(d)’’;
and
■ ii. Adding ‘‘or less’’ after ‘‘one ton’’;
■ h. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(v), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), and’’; and
■ i. In the definition of ‘‘State’’,
removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii), and’’.
The revision reads as follows:
§ 97.802
Definitions.
*
*
*
*
*
Common designated representative’s
assurance level * * *
(1) The amount (rounded to the
nearest allowance) equal to the sum of
the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances allocated for
such control period to the group of one
or more CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 units in such State (and such
Indian country) having the common
designated representative for such
control period and the total amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances purchased by an owner or
operator of such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 units in an auction for
such control period and submitted by
the State or the permitting authority to
the Administrator for recordation in the
compliance accounts for such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 units in
accordance with the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance auction
provisions in a SIP revision approved by
the Administrator under § 52.38(b)(8) or
(9) of this chapter, multiplied by the
sum of the State NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 trading budget under
§ 97.810(a) and the State’s variability
limit under § 97.810(b) for such control
period, and divided by such State NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 trading budget;
*
*
*
*
*
§ 97.806
[Amended]
54. Amend § 97.806 by:
a. In paragraphs (c)(2)(i) introductory
text, (c)(2)(i)(B), and (c)(2)(iii) and (iv),
■
■
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removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it appears;
■ b. In paragraph (c)(3)(i), removing
‘‘paragraph (c)(1)’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘paragraphs (c)(1) and (2)’’; and
■ c. Removing and reserving paragraph
(c)(3)(ii).
§ 97.810
[Amended]
55. In § 97.810, amend paragraphs
(a)(1)(i) through (iii), (a)(2)(i) and (ii),
(a)(12)(i) through (iii), (a)(13)(i) and (ii),
(a)(17)(i) through (iii), (a)(20)(i) through
(iii), (a)(23)(i) through (iii), and (b)(1),
(2), (12), (13), (17), (20), and (23) by
removing ‘‘and thereafter’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘through 2022’’.
■ 56. Amend § 97.811 by:
■ a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State’s SIP authority,
in accordance’’;
■ b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of a State, in accordance’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘areas of Indian
country within the borders of a State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority, in
accordance’’;
■ c. In paragraph (d)(1), removing
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iv) of this chapter (or’’
and adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B) of this chapter
(and’’; and
■ d. Adding paragraph (e).
The addition reads as follows:
■
§ 97.811 Timing requirements for CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
allocations.
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*
*
*
*
*
(e) Recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances allocated
for control periods after 2022. (1)
Notwithstanding any other provision of
this subpart, part 52 of this chapter, or
any SIP revision approved under
§ 52.38(b) of this chapter, the provisions
of this paragraph (e)(1) and paragraphs
(e)(2) through (7) of this section shall
apply with regard to each CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowance that
was allocated for a control period after
2022 to any unit (including a
permanently retired unit qualifying for
an exemption under § 97.805) in a State
listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(C) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State) and that was
initially recorded in the compliance
account for the source that includes the
unit, whether such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance was allocated
pursuant to this subpart or pursuant to
a SIP revision approved under § 52.38(b)
of this chapter and whether such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
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allowance remains in such compliance
account or has been transferred to
another Allowance Management System
account.
(2)(i) For each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance described in
paragraph (e)(1) of this section that was
allocated for a given control period and
initially recorded in a given source’s
compliance account, one CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowance that
was allocated for the same or an earlier
control period and initially recorded in
the same or any other Allowance
Management System account must be
surrendered in accordance with the
procedures in paragraphs (e)(3) and (4)
of this section.
(ii)(A) The surrender requirement
under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section
corresponding to each CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
described in paragraph (e)(1) of this
section initially recorded in a given
source’s compliance account shall apply
to such source’s current owners and
operators, except as provided in
paragraph (e)(2)(ii)(B) of this section.
(B) If the owners and operators of a
given source as of a given date assumed
ownership and operational control of
the source through a transaction that did
not also provide rights to direct the use
or transfer of a given CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance described in
paragraph (e)(1) of this section with
regard to such source (whether
recordation of such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance in the
source’s compliance account occurred
before such transaction or was
anticipated to occur after such
transaction), then the surrender
requirement under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of
this section corresponding to such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance shall apply to the most recent
former owners and operators of the
source before the occurrence of such a
transaction.
(C) The Administrator will not
adjudicate any private legal dispute
among the owners and operators of a
source or among the former owners and
operators of a source, including any
disputes relating to the requirements to
surrender CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances for the source under
paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section.
(3)(i) As soon as practicable on or
after August 4, 2023, the Administrator
will send a notification to the
designated representative for each
source described in paragraph (e)(1) of
this section identifying the amounts of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for each control
period after 2022 and recorded in the
source’s compliance account and the
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36901
corresponding surrender requirements
for the source under paragraph (e)(2)(i)
of this section.
(ii) As soon as practicable on or after
August 21, 2023, the Administrator will
deduct from the compliance account for
each source described in paragraph
(e)(1) of this section CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances eligible to
satisfy the surrender requirements for
the source under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of
this section until all such surrender
requirements for the source are satisfied
or until no more CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances eligible to
satisfy such surrender requirements
remain in such compliance account.
(iii) As soon as practicable after
completion of the deductions under
paragraph (e)(3)(ii) of this section, the
Administrator will identify for each
source described in paragraph (e)(1) of
this section the amounts, if any, of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for each control
period after 2022 and recorded in the
source’s compliance account for which
the corresponding surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i)
of this section have not been satisfied
and will send a notification concerning
such identified amounts to the
designated representative for the source.
(iv) With regard to each source for
which unsatisfied surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i)
of this section remain after the
deductions under paragraph (e)(3)(ii) of
this section:
(A) Except as provided in paragraph
(e)(3)(iv)(B) of this section, not later
than September 15, 2023, the owners
and operators of the source shall hold
sufficient CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances eligible to satisfy
such unsatisfied surrender requirements
under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section
in the source’s compliance account.
(B) With regard to any portion of such
unsatisfied surrender requirements that
apply to former owners and operators of
the source pursuant to paragraph
(e)(2)(ii)(B) of this section, not later than
September 15, 2023, such former
owners and operators shall hold
sufficient CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances eligible to satisfy
such portion of the unsatisfied
surrender requirements under paragraph
(e)(2)(i) of this section either in the
source’s compliance account or in
another Allowance Management System
account identified to the Administrator
on or before such date in a submission
by the authorized account
representative for such account.
(C) As soon as practicable on or after
September 15, 2023, the Administrator
will deduct from the Allowance
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Management System account identified
in accordance with paragraph
(e)(3)(iv)(A) or (B) of this section CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
eligible to satisfy the surrender
requirements for the source under
paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section until
all such surrender requirements for the
source are satisfied or until no more
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances eligible to satisfy such
surrender requirements remain in such
account.
(v) When making deductions under
paragraph (e)(3)(ii) or (iv) of this section
to address the surrender requirements
under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section
for a given source:
(A) The Administrator will make
deductions to address any surrender
requirements with regard to first the
2023 control period and then the 2024
control period.
(B) When making deductions to
address the surrender requirements with
regard to a given control period, the
Administrator will first deduct CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
allocated for such given control period
and will then deduct CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
allocated for each successively earlier
control period in sequence.
(C) When deducting CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
allocated for a given control period from
a given Allowance Management System
account, the Administrator will first
deduct CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances initially recorded in
the account under § 97.821 (if the
account is a compliance account) in the
order of recordation and will then
deduct CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances recorded in the
account under § 97.526(d) or § 97.823 in
the order of recordation.
(4)(i) To the extent the surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i)
of this section corresponding to any
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for a control
period after 2022 and initially recorded
in a given source’s compliance account
have not been fully satisfied through the
deductions under paragraph (e)(3) of
this section, as soon as practicable on or
after November 15, 2023, the
Administrator will deduct such initially
recorded CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances from any
Allowance Management System
accounts in which such CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances are
held, making such deductions in any
order determined by the Administrator,
until all such surrender requirements
for such source have been satisfied or
until all such CSAPR NOX Ozone
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Season Group 2 allowances have been
deducted, except as provided in
paragraph (e)(4)(ii) of this section.
(ii) If no person with an ownership
interest in a given CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance as of April
30, 2022, was an owner or operator of
the source in whose compliance account
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowance was initially recorded, was
a direct or indirect parent or subsidiary
of an owner or operator of such source,
or was directly or indirectly under
common ownership with an owner or
operator of such source, the
Administrator will not deduct such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance under paragraph (e)(4)(i) of
this section. For purposes of this
paragraph (e)(4)(ii), each owner or
operator of a source shall be deemed to
be a person with an ownership interest
in any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowance held in that source’s
compliance account. The limitation
established by this paragraph (e)(4)(ii)
on the deductibility of certain CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
under paragraph (e)(4)(i) of this section
shall not be construed as a waiver of the
surrender requirements under paragraph
(e)(2)(i) of this section corresponding to
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances.
(iii) Not less than 45 days before the
planned date for any deductions under
paragraph (e)(4)(i) of this section, the
Administrator will send a notification to
the authorized account representative
for the Allowance Management System
account from which such deductions
will be made identifying the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
to be deducted and the data upon which
the Administrator has relied and
specifying a process for submission of
any objections to such data. Any
objections must be submitted to the
Administrator not later than 15 days
before the planned date for such
deductions as indicated in such
notification.
(5) To the extent the surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i)
of this section corresponding to any
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for a control
period after 2022 and initially recorded
in a given source’s compliance account
have not been fully satisfied through the
deductions under paragraphs (e)(3) and
(4) of this section:
(i) The persons identified in
accordance with paragraph (e)(2)(ii) of
this section with regard to such source
and each such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance shall pay any
fine, penalty, or assessment or comply
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with any other remedy imposed under
the Clean Air Act; and
(ii) Each such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance, and each
day in such control period, shall
constitute a separate violation of this
subpart and the Clean Air Act.
(6) The Administrator will record in
the appropriate Allowance Management
System accounts all deductions of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances under paragraphs (e)(3) and
(4) of this section.
(7)(i) Each submission, objection, or
other written communication from a
designated representative, authorized
account representative, or other person
to the Administrator under paragraph
(e)(2), (3), or (4) of this section shall be
sent electronically to the email address
CSAPR@epa.gov. Each such
communication from a designated
representative must contain the
certification statement set forth in
§ 97.814(a), and each such
communication from the authorized
account representative for a general
account must contain the certification
statement set forth in § 97.820(c)(2)(ii).
(ii) Each notification from the
Administrator to a designated
representative or authorized account
representative under paragraph (e)(3) or
(4) of this section will be sent
electronically to the email address most
recently received by the Administrator
for such representative. In any such
notification, the Administrator may
provide information by means of a
reference to a publicly accessible
website where the information is
available.
§ 97.812
[Amended]
57. Amend § 97.812 by:
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text,
removing ‘‘State, the Administrator’’
and adding in its place ‘‘State and areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator’’;
■ b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5),
adding ‘‘and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority’’ after ‘‘in the
State’’;
■ c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing
‘‘State, is allocated’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject
to the State’s SIP authority, is
allocated’’;
■ d. In paragraph (b) introductory text,
removing ‘‘Indian country within the
borders of each State, the
Administrator’’ and adding in its place
‘‘areas of Indian country within the
borders of each State not subject to the
■
■
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State’s SIP authority, the
Administrator’’; and
■ e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’.
§ 97.825
[Amended]
58. In § 97.825, amend paragraphs (a)
introductory text, (a)(2), (b)(1)(i),
(b)(1)(ii)(A) and (B), (b)(3), (b)(4)(i),
(b)(5), (b)(6)(i), (b)(6)(iii) introductory
text, and (b)(6)(iii)(A) and (B) by
removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it appears.
■ 59. Amend § 97.826 by:
■ a. In paragraph (b), removing ‘‘(c) or
(d)’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(c), (d), or
(e)’’;
■ b. In paragraph (c):
■ i. Removing ‘‘set forth in’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘established under’’; and
■ ii. Removing ‘‘State (or Indian’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State (and Indian’’;
■ c. In paragraphs (d)(1)(i)(A) and (B),
removing ‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iv)’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B)’’;
■ d. Revising paragraph (d)(1)(i)(C);
■ e. In paragraph (d)(1)(ii) introductory
text, removing ‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(v)’’ and
adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A)’’;
■ f. In paragraphs (d)(2)(i) and (d)(3),
removing ‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(v) of this
chapter (or’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter
(and’’;
■ g. Redesignating paragraph (e) as
paragraph (f) and adding a new
paragraph (e); and
■ h. Revising newly redesignated
paragraphs (f)(1) and (2).
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
■
§ 97.826
Banking and conversion.
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*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(1) * * *
(i) * * *
(C) The full-season CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank
target, computed as the sum for all
States listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of
this chapter of the variability limits
under § 97.1010(e) for such States for
the control period in 2022.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) Notwithstanding any other
provision of this subpart, part 52 of this
chapter, or any SIP revision approved
under § 52.38(b)(8) or (9) of this chapter:
(1) By September 18, 2023, the
Administrator will temporarily suspend
acceptance of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowance transfers
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submitted under § 97.822 and, before
resuming acceptance of such transfers,
will take the following actions with
regard to every general account and
every compliance account except a
compliance account for a CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 source in a State
listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(A) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State):
(i) The Administrator will deduct all
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for the control
periods in 2017 through 2022 from each
such account.
(ii) The Administrator will determine
a conversion factor equal to the greater
of 1.0000 or the quotient, expressed to
four decimal places, of—
(A) The sum of all CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances deducted
from all such accounts under paragraph
(e)(1)(i) of this section; divided by
(B) The product of the sum of the
variability limits for the control period
in 2024 under § 97.1010(e) for all States
listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) and (C) of
this chapter multiplied by a fraction
whose numerator is the number of days
from August 4, 2023 through September
30, 2023, inclusive, and whose
denominator is 153.
(iii) The Administrator will allocate
and record in each such account an
amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances for the control
period in 2023 computed as the
quotient, rounded up to the nearest
allowance, of the number of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
deducted from such account under
paragraph (e)(1)(i) of this section
divided by the conversion factor
determined under paragraph (e)(1)(ii) of
this section, except as provided in
paragraph (e)(1)(iv) or (v) of this section.
(iv) Where, pursuant to paragraph
(e)(1)(i) of this section, the
Administrator deducts CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances from
the compliance account for a source in
a State not listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii) of
this chapter (and Indian country within
the borders of such a State), the
Administrator will not record CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
in that compliance account but instead
will allocate and record the amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period in
2023 computed for such source in
accordance with paragraph (e)(1)(iii) of
this section in a general account
identified by the designated
representative for such source, provided
that if the designated representative fails
to identify such a general account in a
submission to the Administrator by
September 18, 2023, the Administrator
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36903
may record such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances in a general
account identified or established by the
Administrator with the designated
representative as the authorized account
representative and with the owners and
operators of such source (as indicated
on the certificate of representation for
the source) as the persons represented
by the authorized account
representative.
(v)(A) In computing any amounts of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to be allocated to and
recorded in general accounts under
paragraph (e)(1)(iii) of this section, the
Administrator may group multiple
general accounts whose ownership
interests are held by the same or related
persons or entities and treat the group
of accounts as a single account for
purposes of such computation.
(B) Following a computation for a
group of general accounts in accordance
with paragraph (e)(1)(v)(A) of this
section, the Administrator will allocate
to and record in each individual
account in such group a proportional
share of the quantity of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
computed for such group, basing such
shares on the respective quantities of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances removed from such
individual accounts under paragraph
(e)(1)(i) of this section.
(C) In determining the proportional
shares under paragraph (e)(1)(v)(B) of
this section, the Administrator may
employ any reasonable adjustment
methodology to truncate or round each
such share up or down to a whole
number and to cause the total of such
whole numbers to equal the amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances computed for such group of
accounts in accordance with paragraph
(e)(1)(v)(A) of this section, even where
such adjustments cause the numbers of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances allocated to some individual
accounts to equal zero.
(2) After the Administrator has carried
out the procedures set forth in
paragraph (e)(1) of this section, upon
any determination that would otherwise
result in the initial recordation of a
given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances in the
compliance account for a source in a
State listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State), the
Administrator will not record such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances but instead will allocate and
record in such account an amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period in
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2023 computed as the quotient, rounded
up to the nearest allowance, of such
given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances divided by
the conversion factor determined under
paragraph (e)(1)(ii) of this section.
(f) * * *
(1) After the Administrator has carried
out the procedures set forth in
paragraph (d)(1) of this section, the
owner or operator of a CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 source in a State
listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State) may satisfy a
requirement to hold a given number of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for a control period in 2017
through 2020 by holding instead, in a
general account established for this sole
purpose, an amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for
the control period in 2021 (or any later
control period for which the allowance
transfer deadline defined in § 97.1002
has passed) computed as the quotient,
rounded up to the nearest allowance, of
such given number of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
divided by the conversion factor
determined under paragraph (d)(1)(i)(D)
of this section.
(2) After the Administrator has carried
out the procedures set forth in
paragraph (e)(1) of this section, the
owner or operator of a CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 source in a State
listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(C) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State) may satisfy a
requirement to hold a given number of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for a control period in 2017
through 2022 by holding instead, in a
general account established for this sole
purpose, an amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for
the control period in 2023 (or any later
control period for which the allowance
transfer deadline defined in § 97.1002
has passed) computed as the quotient,
rounded up to the nearest allowance, of
such given number of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
divided by the conversion factor
determined under paragraph (e)(1)(ii) of
this section.
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Subpart FFFFF—Texas SO2 Trading
Program
60. Amend § 97.902 by:
a. In the definition of ‘‘Alternate
designated representative’’, removing
‘‘Program or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program, then’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘Program, CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
■
■
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Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program, then’’;
■ b. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’;
■ c. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program’’; and
■ d. In the definition of ‘‘Designated
representative’’, removing ‘‘Program or
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program, then’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program, or
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program, then’’.
The addition reads as follows:
§ 97.902
Definitions.
*
*
*
*
*
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program means a multi-state
NOX air pollution control and emission
reduction program established in
accordance with subpart GGGGG of this
part and § 52.38(b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and
(b)(10) through (14) and (17) of this
chapter (including such a program that
is revised in a SIP revision approved by
the Administrator under § 52.38(b)(10)
or (11) of this chapter or that is
established in a SIP revision approved
by the Administrator under
§ 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter), as a
means of mitigating interstate transport
of ozone and NOX.
*
*
*
*
*
§ 97.934
[Amended]
61. In § 97.934, amend paragraph
(d)(3) by removing ‘‘Program or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, quarterly’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program, or
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program, quarterly’’.
■
Subpart GGGGG—CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program
62. Amend § 97.1002 by:
a. Revising the definition of ‘‘Allocate
or allocation’’;
■ b. In the definition of ‘‘Allowance
transfer deadline’’, adding ‘‘primary’’
before ‘‘emissions limitation’’;
■ c. In the definition of ‘‘Alternate
designated representative’’, removing
‘‘or CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading
Program, then’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program,
or CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading
Program, then’’;
■ d. In the definition of ‘‘Assurance
account’’, removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘CSAPR’’;
■
■
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e. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘Backstop daily NOX
emissions rate’’;
■ f. Removing the definitions for ‘‘Base
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
source’’ and ‘‘Base CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit’’;
■ g. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘Coal-derived fuel’’;
■ h. In the definition of ‘‘Common
designated representative’’, removing
‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR’’;
■ i. Revising the definition of ‘‘Common
designated representative’s assurance
level’’;
■ j. In the definition of ‘‘Common
designated representative’s share’’,
removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it appears;
■ k. In the definition of ‘‘Compliance
account’’, adding ‘‘primary’’ before
‘‘emissions limitation’’;
■ l. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 Trading Program’’;
■ m. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(ii),
and’’;
■ n. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance’’:
■ i. Adding ‘‘or (e)’’ after ‘‘§ 97.826(d)’’;
and
■ ii. Adding ‘‘or less’’ after ‘‘one ton’’;
■ o. In the definitions of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
deduction’’ and ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 emissions limitation’’,
adding ‘‘primary’’ before ‘‘emissions
limitation’’;
■ p. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 secondary emissions
limitation’’;
■ q. In the definition of ‘‘CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program’’, removing ‘‘(b)(2)(v), and’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), and’’;
■ r. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘CSAPR SO2 Group 2
Trading Program’’;
■ s. In the definition of ‘‘Designated
representative’’, removing ‘‘or CSAPR
SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, then’’
and adding in its place ‘‘CSAPR SO2
Group 1 Trading Program, or CSAPR
SO2 Group 2 Trading Program, then’’.
■ t. In the definition of ‘‘Excess
emissions’’, adding ‘‘primary’’ before
‘‘emissions limitation’’;
■ u. Adding in alphabetical order a
definition for ‘‘Historical control
period’’; and
■ v. In the definition of ‘‘State’’,
removing ‘‘(b)(2)(v), and’’ and adding in
its place ‘‘(b)(2)(iii), and’’.
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
■
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§ 97.1002
Definitions.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
*
*
*
*
*
Allocate or allocation means, with
regard to CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances, the determination
by the Administrator, State, or
permitting authority, in accordance with
this subpart, §§ 97.526(d) and 97.826(d)
and (e), and any SIP revision submitted
by the State and approved by the
Administrator under § 52.38(b)(10), (11),
or (12) of this chapter, of the amount of
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances to be initially credited, at
no cost to the recipient, to:
(1) A CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit;
(2) A new unit set-aside;
(3) An Indian country new unit setaside;
(4) An Indian country existing unit
set-aside; or
(5) An entity not listed in paragraphs
(1) through (4) of this definition;
(6) Provided that, if the
Administrator, State, or permitting
authority initially credits, to a CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
qualifying for an initial credit, a credit
in the amount of zero CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances, the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
will be treated as being allocated an
amount (i.e., zero) of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances.
*
*
*
*
*
Backstop daily NOX emissions rate
means a NOX emissions rate used in the
determination of the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 primary emissions
limitation for a CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 source in accordance
with § 97.1024(b).
*
*
*
*
*
Coal-derived fuel means any fuel,
whether in a solid, liquid, or gaseous
state, produced by the mechanical,
thermal, or chemical processing of coal.
*
*
*
*
*
Common designated representative’s
assurance level means, with regard to a
specific common designated
representative and a State (and Indian
country within the borders of such
State) and control period in a given year
for which the State assurance level is
exceeded as described in
§ 97.1006(c)(2)(iii):
(1) The amount (rounded to the
nearest allowance) equal to the sum of
the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances allocated for
such control period to the group of one
or more CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 units in such State (and such
Indian country) having the common
designated representative for such
control period and the total amount of
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CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances purchased by an owner or
operator of such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units in an auction for
such control period and submitted by
the State or the permitting authority to
the Administrator for recordation in the
compliance accounts for such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units in
accordance with the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowance auction
provisions in a SIP revision approved by
the Administrator under § 52.38(b)(11)
or (12) of this chapter, multiplied by the
sum of the State NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget under
§ 97.1010(a) and the State’s variability
limit under § 97.1010(e) for such control
period, and divided by such State NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget;
(2) Provided that the allocations of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for any control period taken
into account for purposes of this
definition shall exclude any CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated for such control period under
§ 97.526(d) or § 97.826(d) or (e).
*
*
*
*
*
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Program means a multi-state
NOX air pollution control and emission
reduction program established in
accordance with subpart BBBBB of this
part and § 52.38(b)(1), (b)(2)(i), and
(b)(3) through (5) and (13) through (15)
of this chapter (including such a
program that is revised in a SIP revision
approved by the Administrator under
§ 52.38(b)(3) or (4) of this chapter or that
is established in a SIP revision approved
by the Administrator under § 52.38(b)(5)
of this chapter), as a means of mitigating
interstate transport of ozone and NOX.
*
*
*
*
*
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
secondary emissions limitation means,
for a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 unit to which such a limitation
applies under § 97.1025(c)(1) for a
control period in a given year, the
tonnage of NOX emissions calculated for
the unit in accordance with
§ 97.1025(c)(2) for such control period.
*
*
*
*
*
CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading Program
means a multi-state SO2 air pollution
control and emission reduction program
established in accordance with subpart
DDDDD of this part and § 52.39(a), (c),
(g) through (k), and (m) of this chapter
(including such a program that is
revised in a SIP revision approved by
the Administrator under § 52.39(g) or (h)
of this chapter or that is established in
a SIP revision approved by the
Administrator under § 52.39(i) of this
chapter), as a means of mitigating
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36905
interstate transport of fine particulates
and SO2.
*
*
*
*
*
Historical control period means, for a
unit as of a given calendar year, the
period starting May 1 of a previous
calendar year and ending September 30
of that previous calendar year,
inclusive, without regard to whether the
unit was subject to requirements under
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program during such period.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 63. Amend § 97.1006 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (b)(2),
paragraph (c)(1) heading, paragraph
(c)(1)(i), and paragraph (c)(1)(ii)
introductory text;
■ b. Adding paragraphs (c)(1)(iii) and
(iv);
■ c. In paragraphs (c)(2)(i) introductory
text and (c)(2)(i)(B), removing ‘‘base
CSAPR’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it appears;
■ d. Revising paragraph (c)(2)(iii);
■ e. In paragraph (c)(2)(iv), removing
‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it appears;
■ f. Revising paragraph (c)(3); and
■ g. In paragraph (c)(6) introductory
text, adding ‘‘or less’’ after ‘‘one ton’’.
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
§ 97.1006
Standard requirements.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(2) The emissions and heat input data
determined in accordance with
§§ 97.1030 through 97.1035 shall be
used to calculate allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
under §§ 97.1011 and 97.1012 and to
determine compliance with the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 primary
and secondary emissions limitations
and assurance provisions under
paragraph (c) of this section, provided
that, for each monitoring location from
which mass emissions are reported, the
mass emissions amount used in
calculating such allocations and
determining such compliance shall be
the mass emissions amount for the
monitoring location determined in
accordance with §§ 97.1030 through
97.1035 and rounded to the nearest ton,
with any fraction of a ton less than 0.50
being deemed to be zero.
(c) * * *
(1) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 primary and secondary emissions
limitations—(i) Primary emissions
limitation. As of the allowance transfer
deadline for a control period in a given
year, the owners and operators of each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
source and each CSAPR NOX Ozone
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Season Group 3 unit at the source shall
hold, in the source’s compliance
account, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances available for
deduction for such control period under
§ 97.1024(a) in an amount not less than
the amount determined under
§ 97.1024(b), comprising the sum of—
(A) The tons of total NOX emissions
for such control period from all CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the
source; plus
(B) Two times the excess, if any, over
50 tons of the sum, for all CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units at the
source and all calendar days of the
control period, of any NOX emissions
from such a unit on any calendar day of
the control period exceeding the NOX
emissions that would have occurred on
that calendar day if the unit had
combusted the same daily heat input
and emitted at any backstop daily NOX
emissions rate applicable to the unit for
that control period.
(ii) Exceedances of primary emissions
limitation. If total NOX emissions during
a control period in a given year from the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units at a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 source are in excess of the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
primary emissions limitation set forth in
paragraph (c)(1)(i) of this section, then:
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) Secondary emissions limitation.
The owner or operator of a CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 unit subject to an
emissions limitation under
§ 97.1025(c)(1) shall not discharge, or
allow to be discharged, emissions of
NOX to the atmosphere during a control
period in excess of the tonnage amount
calculated in accordance with
§ 97.1025(c)(2).
(iv) Exceedances of secondary
emissions limitation. If total NOX
emissions during a control period in a
given year from a CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit are in excess of the
amount of a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 secondary emissions limitation
applicable to the unit for the control
period under paragraph (c)(1)(iii) of this
section, then the owners and operators
of the unit and the source at which the
unit is located shall pay any fine,
penalty, or assessment or comply with
any other remedy imposed, for the same
violations, under the Clean Air Act, and
each ton of such excess emissions and
each day of such control period shall
constitute a separate violation of this
subpart and the Clean Air Act.
(2) * * *
(iii) Total NOX emissions from all
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units at CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 sources in a State (and Indian
country within the borders of such
State) during a control period in a given
year exceed the State assurance level if
such total NOX emissions exceed the
sum, for such control period, of the
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget under § 97.1010(a) and
the State’s variability limit under
§ 97.1010(e).
*
*
*
*
*
(3) Compliance periods. (i) A CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit shall
be subject to the requirements under
paragraphs (c)(1)(i) and (ii) and (c)(2) of
this section for the control period
starting on the later of the applicable
date in paragraph (c)(3)(i)(A), (B), or (C)
of this section or the deadline for
meeting the unit’s monitor certification
requirements under § 97.1030(b) and for
each control period thereafter:
(A) May 1, 2021, for a unit in a State
(and Indian country within the borders
of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter;
(B) May 1, 2023, for a unit in a State
(and Indian country within the borders
of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this chapter; or
(C) August 4, 2023, for a unit in a
State (and Indian country within the
borders of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C) of this chapter.
(ii) A CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit shall be subject to the
requirements under paragraphs
(c)(1)(iii) and (iv) of this section for the
control period starting on the later of
May 1, 2024, or the deadline for meeting
the unit’s monitor certification
requirements under § 97.1030(b) and for
each control period thereafter.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 64. Revise § 97.1010 to read as
follows:
§ 97.1010 State NOX Ozone Season Group
3 trading budgets, set-asides, and
variability limits.
(a) State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budgets. (1)(i) The State NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets
for allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for the
control periods in 2021 through 2025
shall be as indicated in table 1 to this
paragraph (a)(1)(i), subject to prorating
for the control period in 2023 as
provided in paragraph (a)(1)(ii) of this
section:
TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (a)(1)(i)—STATE NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 TRADING BUDGETS BY CONTROL PERIOD,
2021–2025
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
[Tons]
State
2021
2022
Portion of
2023 control
period before
August 4,
2023, before
prorating
Alabama ...................................................
Arkansas ..................................................
Illinois .......................................................
Indiana .....................................................
Kentucky ..................................................
Louisiana ..................................................
Maryland ..................................................
Michigan ...................................................
Minnesota .................................................
Mississippi ................................................
Missouri ....................................................
Nevada .....................................................
New Jersey ..............................................
New York .................................................
Ohio ..........................................................
Oklahoma .................................................
........................
........................
11,223
17,004
17,542
16,291
2,397
14,384
........................
........................
........................
........................
1,565
4,079
13,481
........................
........................
........................
9,102
12,582
14,051
14,818
1,266
12,290
........................
........................
........................
........................
1,253
3,416
9,773
........................
13,211
9,210
8,179
12,553
14,051
14,818
1,266
9,975
........................
6,315
15,780
........................
1,253
3,421
9,773
11,641
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Fmt 4701
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Portion of
2023 control
period on and
after August 4,
2023, before
prorating
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
6,379
8,927
7,474
12,440
13,601
9,363
1,206
10,727
5,504
6,210
12,598
2,368
773
3,912
9,110
10,271
05JNR2
2024
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,999
9,363
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,058
11,116
2,589
773
3,912
7,929
9,384
2025
6,489
8,927
7,325
11,413
12,472
9,107
1,206
10,275
4,058
5,037
11,116
2,545
773
3,912
7,929
9,376
Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
36907
TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (a)(1)(i)—STATE NOX OZONE SEASON GROUP 3 TRADING BUDGETS BY CONTROL PERIOD,
2021–2025—Continued
[Tons]
State
2021
2022
Portion of
2023 control
period before
August 4,
2023, before
prorating
Pennsylvania ............................................
Texas .......................................................
Utah ..........................................................
Virginia .....................................................
West Virginia ............................................
Wisconsin .................................................
12,071
........................
........................
6,331
15,062
........................
8,373
........................
........................
3,897
12,884
........................
8,373
52,301
........................
3,980
12,884
7,915
(ii) For the control period in 2023, the
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget for each State shall be
calculated as the sum, rounded to the
nearest allowance, of the following
prorated amounts:
(A) The product of the non-prorated
trading budget for the portion of the
2023 control period before August 4,
2023, shown for the State in table 1 to
paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section (or
zero if table 1 to paragraph (a)(1)(i)
shows no amount for such portion of the
2023 control period for the State)
multiplied by a fraction whose
numerator is the number of days from
May 1, 2023, through the day before
August 4, 2023, inclusive, and whose
denominator is 153; plus
(B) The product of the non-prorated
trading budget for the portion of the
2023 control period on and after August
4, 2023, shown for the State in table 1
to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section
multiplied by a fraction whose
numerator is the number of days from
Portion of
2023 control
period on and
after August 4,
2023, before
prorating
8,138
40,134
15,755
3,143
13,791
6,295
2024
8,138
40,134
15,917
2,756
11,958
6,295
2025
8,138
38,542
15,917
2,756
11,958
5,988
August 4, 2023, through September 30,
2023, inclusive, and whose denominator
is 153.
(2)(i) The State NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget for each State
and each control period in 2026 through
2029 shall be the preset trading budget
indicated for the State and control
period in table 2 to this paragraph
(a)(2)(i), except as provided in
paragraph (a)(2)(ii) of this section.
TABLE 2 TO PARAGRAPH (a)(2)(i)—PRESET TRADING BUDGETS BY CONTROL PERIOD, 2026–2029
[Tons]
State
2026
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Alabama ...........................................................................................................
Arkansas ..........................................................................................................
Illinois ...............................................................................................................
Indiana .............................................................................................................
Kentucky ..........................................................................................................
Louisiana ..........................................................................................................
Maryland ..........................................................................................................
Michigan ...........................................................................................................
Minnesota ........................................................................................................
Mississippi ........................................................................................................
Missouri ............................................................................................................
Nevada .............................................................................................................
New Jersey ......................................................................................................
New York .........................................................................................................
Ohio .................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .........................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ....................................................................................................
Texas ...............................................................................................................
Utah .................................................................................................................
Virginia .............................................................................................................
West Virginia ....................................................................................................
Wisconsin .........................................................................................................
(ii) If the preset trading budget
indicated for a given State and control
period in table 2 to paragraph (a)(2)(i) of
this section is less than the dynamic
trading budget for the State and control
period referenced in the applicable
notice promulgated under paragraph
(a)(4)(v)(C) of this section, then the State
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading
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6,339
6,365
5,889
8,363
9,697
6,370
842
6,743
4,058
3,484
9,248
1,142
773
3,650
7,929
6,631
7,512
31,123
6,258
2,565
10,818
4,990
budget for the State and control period
shall be the dynamic trading budget for
the State and control period referenced
in the applicable notice promulgated
under paragraph (a)(4)(v)(C) of this
section.
(3) The State NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget for each State
and each control period in 2030 and
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2027
6,236
4,031
5,363
8,135
7,908
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
2,084
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
7,929
3,917
7,158
23,009
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
2028
6,236
4,031
4,555
7,280
7,837
3,792
842
5,691
2,905
1,752
7,329
1,113
773
3,388
6,911
3,917
7,158
21,623
2,593
2,373
9,678
3,416
2029
5,105
3,582
4,050
5,808
7,392
3,639
842
4,656
2,578
1,752
7,329
880
773
3,388
6,409
3,917
4,828
20,635
2,593
1,951
9,678
3,416
thereafter shall be the dynamic trading
budget for the State and control period
referenced in the applicable notice
promulgated under paragraph
(a)(4)(v)(C) of this section.
(4) The Administrator will calculate
the dynamic trading budget for each
State and each control period in 2026
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
05JNR2
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and thereafter in the year before the year
of the control period as follows:
(i) The Administrator will include a
unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of the State) in the
calculation of the State’s dynamic
trading budget for a control period if—
(A) To the best of the Administrator’s
knowledge, the unit qualifies as a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
under § 97.1004, without regard to
whether the unit has permanently
retired, provided that including a unit
in the calculation of a dynamic trading
budget does not constitute a
determination that the unit is a CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit, and
not including a unit in the calculation
of a dynamic trading budget does not
constitute a determination that the unit
is not a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit;
(B) The unit’s deadline for
certification of monitoring systems
under § 97.1030(b) is on or before May
1 of the year two years before the year
of the control period for which the
dynamic trading budget is being
calculated; and
(C) The owner or operator reported
heat input greater than zero for the unit
in accordance with part 75 of this
chapter for the historical control period
in the year two years before the year of
the control period for which the
dynamic trading budget is being
calculated.
(ii) For each unit identified for
inclusion in the calculation of the
State’s dynamic trading budget for a
control period under paragraph (a)(4)(i)
of this section, the Administrator will
calculate the heat input amount in
mmBtu to be used in the budget
calculation as follows:
(A) For each such unit, the
Administrator will determine the
following unit-level amounts:
(1) The total heat input amounts
reported in accordance with part 75 of
this chapter for the unit for the
historical control periods in the years
two, three, four, five, and six years
before the year of the control period for
which the dynamic trading budget is
being calculated, except any historical
control period that commenced before
the unit’s first deadline under any
regulatory program to begin recording
and reporting heat input in accordance
with part 75 of this chapter; and
(2) The average of the three highest
unit-level total heat input amounts
identified for the unit under paragraph
(a)(4)(iv)(A)(1) of this section or, if fewer
than three non-zero amounts are
identified for the unit, the average of all
such non-zero total heat input amounts.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
(B) For the State, the Administrator
will determine the following state-level
amounts:
(1) The sum for all units in the State
meeting the criterion under paragraph
(a)(4)(i)(A) of this section, without
regard to whether such units also meet
the criteria under paragraphs (a)(4)(i)(B)
and (C) of this section, of the total heat
input amounts reported in accordance
with part 75 of this chapter for the
historical control periods in the years
two, three, and four years before the
year of the control period for which the
dynamic trading budget is being
calculated, provided that for the
historical control periods in 2022 and
2023, the total reported heat input
amounts for Nevada and Utah as
otherwise determined under this
paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(1) shall be
increased by 13,489,332 mmBtu for
Nevada and by 1,888,174 mmBtu for
Utah;
(2) The average of the three state-level
total heat input amounts calculated for
the State under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(1)
of this section; and
(3) The sum for all units identified for
inclusion in the calculation of the
State’s dynamic trading budget for the
control period under paragraph (a)(4)(i)
of this section of the unit-level average
heat input amounts calculated under
paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A)(2) of this section.
(C) The heat input amount for a unit
used in the calculation of the State’s
dynamic trading budget shall be the
product of the unit-level average total
heat input amount calculated for the
unit under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A)(2) of
this section multiplied by a fraction
whose numerator is the state-level
average total heat input amount
calculated under paragraph
(a)(4)(ii)(B)(2) of this section and whose
denominator is the state-level sum of
the unit-level average heat input
amounts calculated under paragraph
(a)(4)(ii)(B)(3) of this section.
(iii) For each unit identified for
inclusion in the calculation of the
State’s dynamic trading budget for a
control period under paragraph (a)(4)(i)
of this section, the Administrator will
identify the NOX emissions rate in lb/
mmBtu to be used in the calculation as
follows:
(A) For a unit listed in the document
entitled ‘‘Unit-Specific Ozone Season
NOX Emissions Rates for Dynamic
Budget Calculations’’ posted at
www.regulations.gov in docket EPA–
HQ–OAR–2021–0668, the NOX
emissions rate used in the calculation
for the control period shall be the NOX
emissions rate shown for the unit and
control period in that document.
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(B) For a unit not listed in the
document referenced in paragraph
(a)(4)(iii)(A) of this section, the NOX
emissions rate used in the calculation
for the control period shall be identified
according to the type of unit and the
type of fuel combusted by the unit
during the control period beginning
May 1 on or immediately after the unit’s
deadline for certification of monitoring
systems under § 97.1030(b) as follows:
(1) 0.011 lb/mmBtu, for a simple cycle
combustion turbine or a combined cycle
combustion turbine other than an
integrated coal gasification combined
cycle unit;
(2) 0.030 lb/mmBtu, for a boiler
combusting only fuel oil or gaseous fuel
(other than coal-derived fuel) during
such control period; or
(3) 0.050 lb/mmBtu, for a boiler
combusting any amount of coal or coalderived fuel during such control period
or any other unit not covered by
paragraph (a)(4)(iii)(B)(1) or (2) of this
section.
(iv) The Administrator will calculate
the State’s dynamic trading budget for
the control period as the sum (converted
to tons at a conversion factor of 2,000
lb/ton and rounded to the nearest ton),
for all units identified for inclusion in
the calculation under paragraph (a)(4)(i)
of this section, of the product for each
such unit of the heat input amount in
mmBtu calculated for the unit under
paragraph (a)(4)(ii) of this section
multiplied by the NOX emissions rate in
lb/mmBtu identified for the unit under
paragraph (a)(4)(iii) of this section.
(v)(A) By March 1, 2025 and March 1
of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will calculate the
dynamic trading budget for each State,
in accordance with paragraphs (a)(4)(i)
through (iv) of this section and
§§ 97.1006(b)(2) and 97.1030 through
97.1035, for the control period in the
year after the year of the applicable
calculation deadline under this
paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) and will
promulgate a notice of data availability
of the results of the calculations.
(B) For each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) of this
section, the Administrator will provide
an opportunity for submission of
objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be
submitted by the deadline specified in
such notice and shall be limited to
addressing whether the calculations
(including the identification of the units
included in the calculations) are in
accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) of
this section.
(C) The Administrator will adjust the
calculations to the extent necessary to
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
ensure that they are in accordance with
the provisions referenced in paragraph
(a)(4)(v)(A) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of
each notice of data availability required
in paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) of this section,
the Administrator will promulgate a
notice of data availability of the results
of the calculations incorporating any
adjustments that the Administrator
determines to be necessary and the
reasons for accepting or rejecting any
objections submitted in accordance with
paragraph (a)(4)(v)(B) of this section.
(b) Indian country existing unit setasides for the control periods in 2023
and thereafter. The Indian country
existing unit set-aside for allocations of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for each State for each
control period in 2023 and thereafter
shall be calculated as the sum of all
allowance allocations to units in areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority as provided in the applicable
notice of data availability for the control
period referenced in § 97.1011(a)(2).
(c) New unit set-asides. (1) The new
unit set-asides for allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
for the control periods in 2021 and 2022
for each State with CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budgets for such
control periods shall be as indicated in
table 3 to this paragraph (c)(1):
TABLE 3 TO PARAGRAPH (c)(1)—NEW
UNIT SET-ASIDES BY CONTROL PERIOD
[2021–2022 (tons)]
State
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
Illinois ....................................
Indiana ..................................
Kentucky ...............................
Louisiana ..............................
Maryland ...............................
Michigan ...............................
New Jersey ...........................
New York ..............................
Ohio ......................................
Pennsylvania ........................
Virginia ..................................
West Virginia ........................
2021
2022
265
262
309
430
135
500
27
168
291
335
185
266
265
254
283
430
115
482
27
168
290
339
161
261
(2) The new unit set-aside for
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for each
State for each control period in 2023
and thereafter shall be calculated as the
product (rounded to the nearest
allowance) of the State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget for the
State and control period established in
VerDate Sep<11>2014
20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
accordance with paragraph (a) of this
section multiplied by—
(i) 0.09, for Nevada for the control
periods in 2023 through 2025;
(ii) 0.06, for Ohio for the control
periods in 2023 through 2025;
(iii) 0.05, for each State other than
Nevada and Ohio for the control periods
in 2023 through 2025; or
(iv) 0.05, for each State for each
control period in 2026 and thereafter.
(d) Indian country new unit set-asides
for the control periods in 2021 and
2022. The Indian country new unit setasides for allocations of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for
the control periods in 2021 and 2022 for
each State with CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budgets for such
control periods shall be as indicated in
table 4 to this paragraph (d):
TABLE 4 TO PARAGRAPH (d)—INDIAN
COUNTRY NEW UNIT SET-ASIDES BY
CONTROL PERIOD
[2021–2022 (tons)]
State
2021
2022
Illinois ....................................
Indiana ..................................
Kentucky ...............................
Louisiana ..............................
Maryland ...............................
Michigan ...............................
New Jersey ...........................
New York ..............................
Ohio ......................................
Pennsylvania ........................
Virginia ..................................
West Virginia ........................
..........
..........
..........
15
..........
13
..........
3
..........
..........
..........
..........
..........
..........
..........
15
..........
12
..........
3
..........
..........
..........
..........
(e) Variability limits. (1) The
variability limits for the State NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets
for the control periods in 2021 and 2022
for each State with such trading budgets
for such control periods shall be as
indicated in table 5 to this paragraph
(e)(1).
TABLE 5 TO PARAGRAPH (e)(1)—VARIABILITY LIMITS BY CONTROL PERIOD
[2021–2022 (tons)]
State
2021
2022
Illinois ....................................
Indiana ..................................
Kentucky ...............................
Louisiana ..............................
Maryland ...............................
Michigan ...............................
New Jersey ...........................
New York ..............................
2,356
3,571
3,684
3,421
504
3,021
329
856
1,911
2,642
2,951
3,112
266
2,581
263
717
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TABLE 5 TO PARAGRAPH (e)(1)—VARIABILITY LIMITS BY CONTROL PERIOD—Continued
[2021–2022 (tons)]
State
2021
2022
Ohio ......................................
Pennsylvania ........................
Virginia ..................................
West Virginia ........................
2,831
2,535
1,329
3,163
2,052
1,758
818
2,706
(2) The variability limit for the State
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading
budget for each State for each control
period in 2023 and thereafter shall be
calculated as the product (rounded to
the nearest ton) of the State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget for the
State and control period established in
accordance with paragraph (a) of this
section multiplied by the greater of—
(i) 0.21; or
(ii) Any excess over 1.00 of the
quotient (rounded to two decimal
places) of—
(A) The sum for all CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units in the State
and Indian country within the borders
of the State of the total heat input
reported for the control period in
mmBtu, provided that, for purposes of
this paragraph (e)(2)(ii)(A), the 2023
control period for all States shall be
deemed to be the period from May 1,
2023 through September 30, 2023,
inclusive; divided by
(B) The state-level total heat input
amount used in the calculation of the
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget for the State and control
period in mmBtu, as identified in
accordance with paragraph (e)(3) of this
section.
(3) For purposes of paragraph
(e)(2)(ii)(B) of this section, the statelevel total heat input amount used in
the calculation of a State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget for a
given control period shall be identified
as follows:
(i) For a control period in 2023
through 2025, and for a control period
in 2026 through 2029 if the State NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
for the State and control period under
paragraph (a)(2) of this section is the
preset trading budget set forth for the
State and control period in table 2 to
paragraph (a)(2)(i) of this section, the
state-level total heat input amounts
shall be as indicated in table 6 to this
paragraph (e)(3)(i).
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
TABLE 6 TO PARAGRAPH (e)(3)(i)—STATE-LEVEL TOTAL HEAT INPUT USED IN CALCULATIONS OF PRESET TRADING
BUDGETS BY CONTROL PERIOD
[2023–2029 (mmBtu)]
State
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
Alabama ........................................................
Arkansas .......................................................
Illinois ............................................................
Indiana ...........................................................
Kentucky ........................................................
Louisiana .......................................................
Maryland ........................................................
Michigan ........................................................
Minnesota ......................................................
Mississippi .....................................................
Missouri .........................................................
Nevada ..........................................................
New Jersey ...................................................
New York .......................................................
Ohio ...............................................................
Oklahoma ......................................................
Pennsylvania .................................................
Texas .............................................................
Utah ...............................................................
Virginia ..........................................................
West Virginia .................................................
Wisconsin ......................................................
313,037,541
192,843,561
274,005,935
356,047,916
301,161,750
280,592,592
70,725,007
313,846,533
128,893,685
192,978,295
284,308,851
103,489,785
112,233,231
242,853,661
412,292,609
212,903,386
550,993,363
1,395,116,925
164,519,648
202,953,791
306,845,495
220,794,282
333,030,691
192,843,561
286,568,112
330,175,944
301,161,750
280,592,592
70,725,007
299,124,688
107,821,236
189,415,018
249,153,661
116,979,117
112,233,231
242,853,661
386,560,212
211,187,283
550,993,363
1,395,116,925
166,407,822
194,015,719
273,151,957
220,792,155
333,030,691
192,843,561
286,568,112
330,175,944
295,857,697
278,766,253
70,725,007
299,124,688
107,821,236
189,279,160
249,153,661
114,729,782
112,233,231
242,853,661
386,560,212
211,165,691
550,993,363
1,389,251,813
166,407,822
194,015,719
273,151,957
213,038,308
330,396,046
190,921,052
253,219,463
302,245,332
295,857,697
278,461,807
70,725,007
258,225,107
107,821,236
189,279,160
249,153,661
105,018,415
112,233,231
242,853,661
386,560,212
211,145,820
550,993,363
1,389,251,813
127,217,396
194,015,719
273,151,957
185,469,476
328,650,653
190,921,052
253,219,463
302,245,332
295,857,697
277,262,840
70,725,007
258,225,107
93,890,928
189,279,160
248,413,545
100,193,805
112,233,231
242,853,661
386,560,212
196,160,642
550,993,363
1,356,192,532
127,217,396
194,015,719
273,151,957
151,343,287
328,650,653
190,921,052
214,086,655
277,218,546
293,016,485
277,262,840
70,725,007
258,225,107
93,890,928
176,004,820
248,413,545
100,193,805
112,233,231
242,853,661
358,992,155
196,160,642
550,993,363
1,320,040,162
127,217,396
194,015,719
273,151,957
151,343,287
307,987,882
190,921,052
193,900,867
236,611,101
274,595,978
277,262,840
70,725,007
222,314,181
85,707,385
176,004,820
248,413,545
96,378,269
112,233,231
242,853,661
342,075,946
196,160,642
487,590,728
1,280,014,875
127,217,396
186,848,587
273,151,957
151,343,287
(ii) For a control period in 2026
through 2029 if the State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget for the
State and control period under
paragraph (a)(2) of this section is the
dynamic trading budget for the State
and control period referenced in the
applicable notice promulgated under
paragraph (a)(4)(v)(C) of this section,
and for a control period in 2030 and
thereafter, the state-level total heat input
amount shall be the amount for the State
and control period calculated under
paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(2) of this section.
(f) Relationship of trading budgets,
set-asides, and variability limits. Each
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget in this section includes
any tons in an Indian country existing
unit set-aside, a new unit set-aside, or
an Indian country new unit set-aside but
does not include any tons in a
variability limit.
■ 65. Amend § 97.1011 by revising the
section heading and paragraphs (a), (b),
paragraph (c) heading, and paragraphs
(c)(1) and (5) to read as follows:
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
§ 97.1011 CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowance allocations to existing
units.
(a) Allocations to existing units in
general. (1) For the control periods in
2021 and each year thereafter, CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
will be allocated to units in each State
and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
SIP authority as provided in notices of
data availability issued by the
Administrator. Starting with the control
period in 2026, the notices of data
availability will be the notices issued
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under paragraph (b)(11)(iii) of this
section.
(2) For the control periods in 2023
and each year thereafter, CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances will
be allocated to units in areas of Indian
country within the borders of each State
not subject to the State’s SIP authority
as provided in notices of data
availability issued by the Administrator.
Starting with the control period in 2026,
the notices of data availability will be
the notices issued under paragraph
(b)(11)(iii) of this section.
(3) Providing an allocation to a unit in
a notice of data availability does not
constitute a determination that the unit
is a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 unit, and not providing an allocation
to a unit in such notice does not
constitute a determination that the unit
is not a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit.
(b) Calculation of default allocations
to existing units for control periods in
2026 and thereafter. For each control
period in 2026 and thereafter, and for
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units in each State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State,
the Administrator will calculate default
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances to the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units as follows:
(1) For each State and control period,
the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for which
the Administrator will calculate default
allocations shall be the remainder of the
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget for the control period
under § 97.1010(a) minus the new unit
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set-aside for the control period under
§ 97.1010(c).
(2) The Administrator will calculate a
default allocation of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
in the State and Indian country within
the borders of the State meeting the
following criteria:
(i) To the best of the Administrator’s
knowledge, the unit qualifies as a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
under § 97.1004, without regard to
whether the unit has permanently
retired;
(ii) The unit’s deadline for
certification of monitoring systems
under § 97.1030(b) is on or before May
1 of the year two years before the year
of the control period for which the
allowances are being allocated; and
(iii) The owner or operator reported
heat input greater than zero for the unit
in accordance with part 75 of this
chapter for the historical control period
in the year two years before the year of
the control period for which the
allowances are being allocated.
(3) For each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit for which a default
allocation is being calculated for a
control period, the Administrator will
calculate an average heat input amount
to be used in the allocation calculations
as follows:
(i) The Administrator will identify the
total heat input amounts reported for
the unit in accordance with part 75 of
this chapter for the historical control
periods in the years two, three, four,
five, and six years before the year of the
control period for which the allowances
are being allocated, except any
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historical control period that
commenced before the unit’s first
deadline under any regulatory program
to begin recording and reporting heat
input in accordance with part 75 of this
chapter.
(ii) The average heat input amount
used in the allocation calculations shall
be the average of the three highest total
heat input amounts identified for the
unit under paragraph (b)(3)(i) of this
section or, if fewer than three non-zero
amounts are identified for the unit, the
average of all such non-zero total heat
input amounts.
(4) For each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit for which a default
allocation is being calculated for a
control period, the Administrator will
calculate a tentative maximum
allocation amount to be used in the
allocation calculations as follows:
(i) The Administrator will identify the
total NOX emissions amounts reported
for the unit in accordance with part 75
of this chapter for the historical control
periods in the years two, three, four,
five, and six years before the year of the
control period for which the allowances
are being allocated.
(ii) The tentative maximum allocation
amount used in the allocation
calculations shall be the highest of the
total NOX emissions amounts identified
for the unit under paragraph (b)(4)(i) of
this section or, if less, any applicable
amount calculated under paragraph
(b)(4)(iii) of this section.
(iii)(A) The tentative maximum
allocation amount under paragraph
(b)(4)(ii) of this section for a unit
described in paragraph (b)(4)(iii)(B) or
(C) of this section may not exceed a
maximum controlled baseline
calculated as the product (converted to
tons at a conversion factor of 2,000 lb/
ton and rounded to the nearest ton) of
the highest total heat input amount
identified for the unit under paragraph
(b)(3)(i) of this section in mmBtu
multiplied by a NOX emissions rate of
0.08 lb/mmBtu.
(B) For the control period in 2026, a
maximum controlled baseline under
paragraph (b)(4)(iii)(A) of this section
shall apply to any unit that combusted
any coal or solid coal-derived fuel
during the historical control period for
which the unit’s heat input was most
recently reported, that serves a generator
with nameplate capacity of 100 MW or
more, and that is equipped with
selective catalytic reduction controls,
except a circulating fluidized bed boiler.
(C) For each control period in 2027
and thereafter, a maximum controlled
baseline under paragraph (b)(4)(iii)(A) of
this section shall apply to any unit that
combusted any coal or solid coal-
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derived fuel during the historical
control period for which the unit’s heat
input was most recently reported and
that serves a generator with nameplate
capacity of 100 MW or more, except a
circulating fluidized bed boiler.
(5) The Administrator will calculate
the initial unrounded default allocations
for each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit according to the procedure
in paragraph (b)(6) of this section and
will recalculate the unrounded default
allocations according to the procedures
in paragraph (b)(7) or (8) of this section,
as applicable, iterating the
recalculations as necessary until the
total of the unrounded default
allocations to all eligible units equals
the amount of allowances determined
for the State under paragraph (b)(1) of
this section.
(6) The Administrator will calculate
the initial unrounded default allocations
to CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units as follows:
(i) The Administrator will calculate
the sum, for all units determined under
paragraph (b)(2) of this section to be
eligible to receive default allocations, of
the units’ average heat input amounts
determined under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of
this section.
(ii) For each unit determined under
paragraph (b)(2) of this section to be
eligible to receive a default allocation,
the Administrator will calculate the
unit’s unrounded default allocation as
the lesser of—
(A) The product of the total amount
of allowances determined for the State
and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section multiplied by a
fraction whose numerator is the unit’s
average heat input amount determined
under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section
and whose denominator is the sum
determined under paragraph (b)(6)(i) of
this section; and
(B) The unit’s tentative maximum
allocation amount determined under
paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section.
(iii) If the sum of the unrounded
default allocations determined under
paragraph (b)(6)(ii) of this section is less
than the total amount of allowances
determined for the State and control
period under paragraph (b)(1) of this
section, the Administrator will follow
the procedures in paragraph (b)(7) or (8)
of this section, as applicable.
(iv) If the sum of the unrounded
default allocations determined under
paragraph (b)(6)(ii) of this section equals
the total amount of allowances
determined for the State and control
period under paragraph (b)(1) of this
section, the Administrator will
determine the rounded default
allocations according to the procedures
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36911
in paragraphs (b)(9) and (10) of this
section.
(7) If the unrounded default allocation
determined in the previous round of the
calculation procedure for at least one
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
is less than the unit’s tentative
maximum allocation amount
determined under paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of
this section, the Administrator will
recalculate the unrounded default
allocations as follows:
(i) The Administrator will calculate
the additional pool of allowances to be
allocated as the remainder of the total
amount of allowances determined for
the State and control period under
paragraph (b)(1) of this section minus
the sum of the unrounded default
allocations from the previous round of
the calculation procedure for all units
determined under paragraph (b)(2) of
this section to be eligible to receive
default allocations.
(ii) The Administrator will calculate
the sum, for all units whose unrounded
default allocations determined in the
previous round of the calculation
procedure were less than the respective
units’ tentative maximum allocation
amounts determined under paragraph
(b)(4)(ii) of this section, of the units’
average heat input amounts determined
under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section.
(iii) For each unit whose unrounded
default allocation determined in the
previous round of the calculation
procedure was less than the unit’s
tentative maximum allocation amount
determined under paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of
this section, the Administrator will
recalculate the unit’s unrounded default
allocation as the lesser of—
(A) The sum of the unit’s unrounded
default allocation determined in the
previous round of the calculation
procedure plus the product of the
additional pool of allowances
determined under paragraph (b)(7)(i) of
this section multiplied by a fraction
whose numerator is the unit’s average
heat input amount determined under
paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section and
whose denominator is the sum
determined under paragraph (b)(7)(ii) of
this section; and
(B) The unit’s tentative maximum
allocation amount determined under
paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section.
(iv) Except as provided in paragraph
(b)(7)(iii) of this section, a unit’s
unrounded default allocation shall
equal the amount determined in the
previous round of the calculation
procedure.
(v) If the sum of the unrounded
default allocations determined under
paragraphs (b)(7)(iii) and (iv) of this
section is less than the total amount of
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allowances determined for the State and
control period under paragraph (b)(1) of
this section, the Administrator will
iterate the procedures in paragraph
(b)(7) of this section or follow the
procedures in paragraph (b)(8) of this
section, as applicable.
(vi) If the sum of the unrounded
default allocations determined under
paragraphs (b)(7)(iii) and (iv) of this
section equals the total amount of
allowances determined for the State and
control period under paragraph (b)(1) of
this section, the Administrator will
determine the rounded default
allocations according to the procedures
in paragraphs (b)(9) and (10) of this
section.
(8) If the unrounded default allocation
determined in the previous round of the
calculation procedure for every CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit equals
the unit’s tentative maximum allocation
amount determined under paragraph
(b)(4)(ii) of this section, the
Administrator will recalculate the
unrounded default allocations as
follows:
(i) The Administrator will calculate
the additional pool of allowances to be
allocated as the remainder of the total
amount of allowances determined for
the State and control period under
paragraph (b)(1) of this section minus
the sum of the unrounded default
allocations from the previous round of
the calculation procedure for all units
determined under paragraph (b)(2) of
this section to be eligible to receive
default allocations.
(ii) The Administrator will recalculate
the unrounded default allocation for
each eligible unit as the sum of—
(A) The unit’s unrounded default
allocation as determined in the previous
round of the calculation procedure; plus
(B) The product of the additional pool
of allowances determined under
paragraph (b)(8)(i) of this section
multiplied by a fraction whose
numerator is the unit’s average heat
input amount determined under
paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section and
whose denominator is the sum
determined under paragraph (b)(6)(i) of
this section.
(9) The Administrator will round the
default allocation for each eligible unit
determined under paragraph (b)(6), (7),
or (8) of this section to the nearest
allowance and make any adjustments
required under paragraph (b)(10) of this
section.
(10) If the sum of the default
allocations after rounding under
paragraph (b)(9) of this section does not
equal the total amount of allowances
determined for the State and control
period under paragraph (b)(1) of this
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20:14 Jun 02, 2023
Jkt 259001
section, the Administrator will adjust
the default allocations as follows. The
Administrator will list the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units in
descending order based on such units’
allocation amounts under paragraph
(b)(9) of this section and, in cases of
equal allocation amounts, in
alphabetical order of the relevant
sources’ names and numerical order of
the relevant units’ identification
numbers, and will adjust each unit’s
allocation amount upward or downward
by one CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowance (but not below zero)
in the order in which the units are
listed, and will repeat this adjustment
process as necessary, until the total of
the adjusted default allocations equals
the total amount of allowances
determined for the State and control
period under paragraph (b)(1) of this
section.
(11)(i) By March 1, 2025 and March 1
of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will calculate the default
allocation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances to each CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 unit in a State
and Indian country within the borders
of the State, in accordance with
paragraphs (b)(1) through (10) of this
section and §§ 97.1006(b)(2) and
97.1030 through 97.1035, for the control
period in the year after the year of the
applicable calculation deadline under
this paragraph (b)(11)(i) and will
promulgate a notice of data availability
of the results of the calculations.
(ii) For each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (b)(11)(i) of this
section, the Administrator will provide
an opportunity for submission of
objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be
submitted by the deadline specified in
such notice and shall be limited to
addressing whether the calculations
(including the identification of the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units) are in accordance with the
provisions referenced in paragraph
(b)(11)(i) of this section.
(iii) The Administrator will adjust the
calculations to the extent necessary to
ensure that they are in accordance with
the provisions referenced in paragraph
(b)(11)(i) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of
each notice of data availability required
in paragraph (b)(11)(i) of this section,
the Administrator will promulgate a
notice of data availability of the results
of the calculations incorporating any
adjustments that the Administrator
determines to be necessary and the
reasons for accepting or rejecting any
objections submitted in accordance with
paragraph (b)(11)(ii) of this section.
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(c) Incorrect allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
to existing units. (1) For each control
period in 2021 and thereafter, if the
Administrator determines that CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
were allocated for the control period to
a recipient covered by the provisions of
paragraph (c)(1)(i), (ii), or (iii) of this
section, then the Administrator will
notify the designated representative of
the recipient and will act in accordance
with the procedures set forth in
paragraphs (c)(2) through (5) of this
section:
(i) The recipient is not actually a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
under § 97.1004 as of the first day of the
control period and is allocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
for such control period under paragraph
(a)(1) or (2) of this section;
(ii) The recipient is not actually a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
under § 97.1004 as of the first day of the
control period and is allocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
for such control period under a
provision of a SIP revision approved
under § 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this
chapter that the SIP revision provides
should be allocated only to recipients
that are CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 units as of the first day of such
control period; or
(iii) The recipient is not located as of
the first day of the control period in the
State (and Indian country within the
borders of the State) from whose NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances were allocated to the
recipient for such control period under
paragraph (a)(1) or (2) of this section or
under a provision of a SIP revision
approved under § 52.38(b)(10), (11), or
(12) of this chapter.
*
*
*
*
*
(5) With regard to any CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances that
are not recorded, or that are deducted as
an incorrect allocation, in accordance
with paragraphs (c)(2) and (3) of this
section:
(i) If the non-recordation decision
under paragraph (c)(2) of this section or
the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of
this section occurs on or before May 1,
2024, the Administrator will transfer the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to the new unit set-aside for
2021, 2022, or 2023 for the State from
whose NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances were
allocated.
(ii) If the non-recordation decision
under paragraph (c)(2) of this section or
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the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of
this section occurs after May 1, 2024,
and on or before May 1 of the year
following the year of the control period
for which the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances were
allocated, the Administrator will
transfer the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances to the new unit setaside for such control period for the
State from whose NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were
allocated.
(iii) If the non-recordation decision
under paragraph (c)(2) of this section or
the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of
this section occurs after May 1, 2024,
and after May 1 of the year following the
year of the control period for which the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances were allocated, the
Administrator will transfer the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
to a surrender account.
■ 66. Amend § 97.1012 by:
■ a. Revising paragraphs (a)
introductory text and (a)(1)(i) and (ii);
■ b. Removing paragraphs (a)(1)(iii) and
(iv);
■ c. Revising paragraphs (a)(2) and
(a)(3)(i);
■ d. In paragraph (a)(3)(ii), adding
‘‘and’’ after the semicolon;
■ e. Revising paragraph (a)(3)(iii);
■ f. Removing paragraph (a)(3)(iv);
■ g. Revising paragraph (a)(4)(i);
■ h. Redesignating paragraph (a)(4)(ii) as
paragraph (a)(4)(iii) and adding a new
paragraph (a)(4)(ii);
■ i. Revising paragraphs (a)(5) and (10):
■ j. In paragraph (a)(11), removing
‘‘§ 97.1011(b)(1)(i), (ii), and (v), of’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘paragraph (a)(13) of
this section, of’’;
■ k. Adding paragraph (a)(13);
■ l. Revising paragraphs (b) introductory
text and (b)(1) and (2);
■ m. In paragraph (b)(5), removing
‘‘Indian country within the borders of
the State’’ and adding in its place ‘‘areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority’’;
■ n. Revising paragraph (b)(10);
■ o. In paragraph (b)(11), removing
‘‘§ 97.1011(b)(2)(i), (ii), and (v), of’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘paragraph (b)(13) of
this section, of’’; and
■ p. Adding paragraphs (b)(13) and (c).
The revisions and additions read as
follows:
§ 97.1012 CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowance allocations to new units.
(a) Allocations from new unit setasides. For each control period in 2021
and thereafter for a State listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter, or
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2023 and thereafter for a State listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) or (C) of this chapter,
and for the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 units in each State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the
State (except, for the control periods in
2021 and 2022, areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State not
subject to the State’s SIP authority), the
Administrator will allocate CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units as follows:
(1) * * *
(i) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 units that are not allocated an amount
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for such control period in
the applicable notice of data availability
referenced in § 97.1011(a)(1) or (2) and
that have deadlines for certification of
monitoring systems under § 97.1030(b)
not later than September 30 of the year
of the control period; or
(ii) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 units whose allocation of an amount
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for such control period in
the applicable notice of data availability
referenced in § 97.1011(a)(1) or (2) is
covered by § 97.1011(c)(2) or (3).
(2) The Administrator will establish a
separate new unit set-aside for the State
for each such control period. Each such
new unit set-aside will be allocated
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances in an amount equal to the
applicable amount of tons of NOX
emissions as set forth in § 97.1010(c)
and will be allocated additional CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
(if any) in accordance with
§ 97.1011(c)(5) and paragraphs (b)(10)
and (c)(5) of this section.
(3) * * *
(i) The control period in 2021, for a
State listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this
chapter, or the control period in 2023,
for a State listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B)
or (C) of this chapter;
*
*
*
*
*
(iii) For a unit described in paragraph
(a)(1)(ii) of this section, the first control
period in which the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit operates in the
State and Indian country within the
borders of the State (except, for the
control periods in 2021 and 2022, areas
of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority) after operating in another
jurisdiction and for which the unit is
not already allocated one or more
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances.
(4)(i) The allocation to each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
described in paragraphs (a)(1)(i) through
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36913
(iii) of this section and for each control
period described in paragraph (a)(3) of
this section will be an amount equal to
the unit’s total tons of NOX emissions
during the control period or, if less, any
applicable amount calculated under
paragraph (a)(4)(ii) of this section.
(ii)(A) The allocation under paragraph
(a)(4)(i) of this section to a unit
described in paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B) or
(C) of this section may not exceed a
maximum controlled baseline
calculated as the product (converted to
tons at a conversion factor of 2,000 lb/
ton and rounded to the nearest ton) of
the unit’s total heat input during the
control period in mmBtu multiplied by
a NOX emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu.
(B) For a control period in 2024
through 2026, a maximum controlled
baseline under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A) of
this section shall apply to any unit
combusting any coal or solid coalderived fuel during the control period,
serving a generator with nameplate
capacity of 100 MW or more, and
equipped with selective catalytic
reduction controls on or before
September 30 of the preceding control
period, except a circulating fluidized
bed boiler.
(C) For a control period in 2027 and
thereafter, a maximum controlled
baseline under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A) of
this section shall apply to any unit
combusting any coal or solid coalderived fuel during the control period
and serving a generator with nameplate
capacity of 100 MW or more, except a
circulating fluidized bed boiler.
*
*
*
*
*
(5) The Administrator will calculate
the sum of the allocation amounts of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances determined for all such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units under paragraph (a)(4)(i) of this
section in the State and Indian country
within the borders of the State (except,
for the control periods in 2021 and
2022, areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority) for such control
period.
*
*
*
*
*
(10)(i) For a control period in 2021 or
2022, if, after completion of the
procedures under paragraphs (a)(2)
through (7) and (12) of this section for
a control period, any unallocated
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances remain in the new unit setaside for the State for such control
period, the Administrator will allocate
to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit that is in the State and
areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State’s
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SIP authority and is allocated an
amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances for the control
period in the applicable notice of data
availability referenced in § 97.1011(a)(1)
an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances equal to the
following: The total amount of such
remaining unallocated CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances in
such new unit set-aside, multiplied by
the unit’s allocation under
§ 97.1011(a)(1) for such control period,
divided by the remainder of the amount
of tons in the applicable State NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
minus the sum of the amounts of tons
in such new unit set-aside and the
Indian country new unit set-aside for
the State for such control period, and
rounded to the nearest allowance.
(ii) For a control period in 2023 or
thereafter, if, after completion of the
procedures under paragraphs (a)(2)
through (7) and (12) of this section for
a control period, any unallocated
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances remain in the new unit setaside for the State for such control
period, the Administrator will allocate
to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit that is in the State and
Indian country within the borders of the
State and is allocated an amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period by the
Administrator in the applicable notice
of data availability referenced in
§ 97.1011(a)(1) or (2), or under a
provision of a SIP revision approved
under § 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this
chapter, an amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances equal
to the following: The total amount of
such remaining unallocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
in such new unit set-aside, multiplied
by the unit’s allocation under
§ 97.1011(a)(1) or (2) or a provision of a
SIP revision approved under
§ 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this
chapter for such control period, divided
by the remainder of the amount of tons
in the applicable State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget minus
the amount of tons in such new unit setaside for the State for such control
period, and rounded to the nearest
allowance.
*
*
*
*
*
(13)(i) By March 1, 2022, and March
1 of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will calculate the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation to each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit in a State and
Indian country within the borders of the
State (except, for the control periods in
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2021 and 2022, areas of Indian country
within the State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority), in accordance
with paragraphs (a)(2) through (7), (10),
and (12) of this section and
§§ 97.1006(b)(2) and 97.1030 through
97.1035, for the control period in the
year before the year of the applicable
calculation deadline under this
paragraph (a)(13)(i) and will promulgate
a notice of data availability of the results
of the calculations.
(ii) For each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (a)(13)(i) of this
section, the Administrator will provide
an opportunity for submission of
objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be
submitted by the deadline specified in
such notice and shall be limited to
addressing whether the calculations
(including the identification of the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units) are in accordance with the
provisions referenced in paragraph
(a)(13)(i) of this section.
(iii) The Administrator will adjust the
calculations to the extent necessary to
ensure that they are in accordance with
the provisions referenced in paragraph
(a)(13)(i) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of
each notice of data availability required
in paragraph (a)(13)(i) of this section,
the Administrator will promulgate a
notice of data availability of the results
of the calculations incorporating any
adjustments that the Administrator
determines to be necessary and the
reasons for accepting or rejecting any
objections submitted in accordance with
paragraph (a)(13)(ii) of this section.
(b) Allocations from Indian country
new unit set-asides. For the control
periods in 2021 and 2022, for a State
listed in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this
chapter, and for the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units in areas of Indian
country within the borders of each such
State not subject to the State’s SIP
authority, the Administrator will
allocate CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances to the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units as follows:
(1) The CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances will be allocated to
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units that are not allocated an amount
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for such control period in
the applicable notice of data availability
referenced in § 97.1011(a)(1) and that
have deadlines for certification of
monitoring systems under § 97.1030(b)
not later than September 30 of the year
of the control period, except as provided
in paragraph (b)(10) of this section.
(2) The Administrator will establish a
separate Indian country new unit set-
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aside for the State for each such control
period. Each such Indian country new
unit set-aside will be allocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
in an amount equal to the applicable
amount of tons of NOX emissions as set
forth in § 97.1010(d) and will be
allocated additional CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances (if any) in
accordance with paragraph (c)(5) of this
section.
*
*
*
*
*
(10) If, after completion of the
procedures under paragraphs (b)(2)
through (7) and (12) of this section for
a control period, any unallocated
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances remain in the Indian country
new unit set-aside for the State for such
control period, the Administrator will
transfer such unallocated CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
the new unit set-aside for the State for
such control period.
*
*
*
*
*
(13)(i) By March 1, 2022, and March
1, 2023, the Administrator will calculate
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance allocation to each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit in
areas of Indian country within the
borders of a State not subject to the
State’s SIP authority, in accordance with
paragraphs (b)(2) through (7), (10), and
(12) of this section and §§ 97.1006(b)(2)
and 97.1030 through 97.1035, for the
control period in the year before the
year of the applicable calculation
deadline under this paragraph (b)(13)(i)
and will promulgate a notice of data
availability of the results of the
calculations.
(ii) For each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this
section, the Administrator will provide
an opportunity for submission of
objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be
submitted by the deadline specified in
such notice and shall be limited to
addressing whether the calculations
(including the identification of the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units) are in accordance with the
provisions referenced in paragraph
(b)(13)(i) of this section.
(iii) The Administrator will adjust the
calculations to the extent necessary to
ensure that they are in accordance with
the provisions referenced in paragraph
(b)(13)(i) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of
each notice of data availability required
in paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this section,
the Administrator will promulgate a
notice of data availability of the results
of the calculations incorporating any
adjustments that the Administrator
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determines to be necessary and the
reasons for accepting or rejecting any
objections submitted in accordance with
paragraph (b)(13)(ii) of this section.
(c) Incorrect allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
to new units. (1) For each control period
in 2021 and thereafter, if the
Administrator determines that CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
were allocated for the control period
under paragraphs (a)(2) through (7) and
(12) of this section or paragraphs (b)(2)
through (7) and (12) of this section to a
recipient that is not actually a CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit under
§ 97.1004 as of the first day of such
control period, then the Administrator
will notify the designated representative
of the recipient and will act in
accordance with the procedures set
forth in paragraphs (c)(2) through (5) of
this section.
(2) Except as provided in paragraph
(c)(3) or (4) of this section, the
Administrator will not record such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under § 97.1021.
(3) If the Administrator already
recorded such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under
§ 97.1021 and if the Administrator
makes the determination under
paragraph (c)(1) of this section before
making deductions for the source that
includes such recipient under
§ 97.1024(b) for such control period,
then the Administrator will deduct from
the account in which such CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were
recorded an amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated for the same or a prior control
period equal to the amount of such
already recorded CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances. The
authorized account representative shall
ensure that there are sufficient CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
in such account for completion of the
deduction.
(4) If the Administrator already
recorded such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under
§ 97.1021 and if the Administrator
makes the determination under
paragraph (c)(1) of this section after
making deductions for the source that
includes such recipient under
§ 97.1024(b) for such control period,
then the Administrator will not make
any deduction to take account of such
already recorded CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances.
(5) With regard to any CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances that
are not recorded, or that are deducted as
an incorrect allocation, in accordance
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with paragraphs (c)(2) and (3) of this
section:
(i) If the non-recordation decision
under paragraph (c)(2) of this section or
the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of
this section occurs on or before May 1,
2023, the Administrator will transfer the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to the new unit set-aside, in
the case of allowances allocated under
paragraph (a) of this section, or the
Indian country new unit set-aside, in
the case of allowances allocated under
paragraph (b) of this section, for the
control period in 2021 or 2022 for the
State from whose NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were
allocated.
(ii) If the non-recordation decision
under paragraph (c)(2) of this section or
the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of
this section occurs after May 1, 2023,
and on or before May 1, 2024, the
Administrator will transfer the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
to the new unit set-aside for the control
period in 2023 for the State from whose
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading
budget the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances were allocated.
(iii) If the non-recordation decision
under paragraph (c)(2) of this section or
the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of
this section occurs after May 1, 2024,
the Administrator will transfer the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to a surrender account.
■ 67. Amend § 97.1021 by:
■ a. In paragraph (a), removing
‘‘§ 97.1011(a)’’ and adding in its place
‘‘§ 97.1011(a)(1)’’;
■ b. Revising paragraph (b);
■ c. Removing and reserving paragraph
(c);
■ d. Adding paragraphs (d) and (e);
■ e. In paragraph (f), removing
‘‘§ 97.1011(a), or’’ and adding in its
place ‘‘§ 97.1011(a)(1), or’’;
■ f. Redesignating paragraphs (g) and (h)
as paragraphs (i) and (j), respectively,
and adding new paragraphs (g) and (h);
■ g. Revising newly redesignated
paragraph (i);
■ h. In newly redesignated paragraph (j),
removing ‘‘and May 1 of each year
thereafter, the’’ and adding in its place
‘‘, and May 1, 2023, the’’; and
■ i. In paragraph (m), adding ‘‘or (e)’’
after ‘‘§ 97.811(d)’’ each time it appears.
The revisions and addition read as
follows:
§ 97.1021 Recordation of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocations and auction results.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) By July 29, 2021, the
Administrator will record in each
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36915
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
source’s compliance account the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with § 97.1011(a)(1) for the
control period in 2022.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) By September 5, 2023, the
Administrator will record in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
source’s compliance account the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with § 97.1011(a)(1) for the
control period in 2023.
(e) By September 5, 2023, the
Administrator will record in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
source’s compliance account the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with § 97.1011(a)(1) for the
control period in 2024, unless the State
in which the source is located notifies
the Administrator in writing by August
4, 2023, of the State’s intent to submit
to the Administrator a complete SIP
revision by September 1, 2023, meeting
the requirements of § 52.38(b)(10)(i)
through (iv) of this chapter.
(1) If, by September 1, 2023, the State
does not submit to the Administrator
such complete SIP revision, the
Administrator will record by September
15, 2023, in each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 source’s compliance
account the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances allocated to the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units at the source in accordance with
§ 97.1011(a)(1) for the control period in
2024.
(2) If the State submits to the
Administrator by September 1, 2023,
and the Administrator approves by
March 1, 2024, such complete SIP
revision, the Administrator will record
by March 1, 2024, in each CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 source’s
compliance account the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source as
provided in such approved, complete
SIP revision for the control period in
2024.
(3) If the State submits to the
Administrator by September 1, 2023,
and the Administrator does not approve
by March 1, 2024, such complete SIP
revision, the Administrator will record
by March 1, 2024, in each CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 source’s
compliance account the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
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allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with § 97.1011(a)(1) for the
control period in 2024.
*
*
*
*
*
(g) By September 5, 2023, the
Administrator will record in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
source’s compliance account the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with § 97.1011(a)(2) for the
control periods in 2023 and 2024.
(h) By July 1, 2024, and July 1 of each
year thereafter, the Administrator will
record in each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 source’s compliance
account the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances allocated to the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units at the source in accordance with
§ 97.1011(a)(2) for the control period in
the year after the year of the applicable
recordation deadline under this
paragraph (h).
(i) By May 1, 2022, and May 1 of each
year thereafter, the Administrator will
record in each CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 source’s compliance
account the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances allocated to the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units at the source in accordance with
§ 97.1012(a) for the control period in the
year before the year of the applicable
recordation deadline under this
paragraph (i).
*
*
*
*
*
■ 68. Amend § 97.1024 by:
■ a. Revising the section heading;
■ b. In paragraphs (a) introductory text
and (b) introductory text, adding
‘‘primary’’ before ‘‘emissions
limitation’’;
■ c. Revising paragraph (b)(1);
■ d. Adding paragraph (b)(3); and
■ e. In paragraph (c)(2)(ii), adding ‘‘or
(e)’’ after ‘‘§ 97.826(d)’’.
The revisions and addition read as
follows:
calendar days in the control period and
all CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units at the source to which the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate
applies for the control period under
paragraph (b)(3) of this section, of any
amount by which a unit’s NOX
emissions for a given calendar day in
pounds exceed the product in pounds of
the unit’s total heat input in mmBtu for
that calendar day multiplied by 0.14 lb/
mmBtu; or
*
*
*
*
*
(3) The backstop daily NOX emissions
rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu applies as
follows:
(i) For each control period in 2024
through 2029, the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate shall apply to each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
combusting any coal or solid coalderived fuel during the control period,
serving a generator with nameplate
capacity of 100 MW or more, and
equipped with selective catalytic
reduction controls on or before
September 30 of the preceding control
period, except a circulating fluidized
bed boiler.
(ii) For each control in 2030 and
thereafter, the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate shall apply to each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
combusting any coal or solid coalderived fuel during the control period
and serving a generator with nameplate
capacity of 100 MW or more, except a
circulating fluidized bed boiler.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 69. Amend § 97.1025 by:
■ a. Revising the section heading;
■ b. In paragraphs (a) introductory text,
(a)(2), (b)(1)(i), (b)(1)(ii)(A) and (B),
(b)(3), (b)(4)(i), (b)(5), (b)(6)(i), (b)(6)(iii)
introductory text, and (b)(6)(iii)(A) and
(B), removing ‘‘base CSAPR’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘CSAPR’’ each time it
appears; and
■ c. Adding paragraph (c).
The revision and addition read as
follows:
§ 97.1024 Compliance with CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 primary emissions
limitation; backstop daily NOX emissions
rate.
§ 97.1025 Compliance with CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 assurance
provisions; CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 secondary emissions limitation.
*
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(1) Until the amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
deducted equals the sum of:
(i) The number of tons of total NOX
emissions from all CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source for
such control period; plus
(ii) Two times the excess, if any, over
50 tons of the sum (converted to tons at
a conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and
rounded to the nearest ton), for all
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*
*
*
*
(c) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 secondary emissions limitation. (1)
The owner or operator of a CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 unit equipped
with selective catalytic reduction
controls or selective non-catalytic
reduction controls shall not discharge,
or allow to be discharged, emissions of
NOX to the atmosphere during a control
period in excess of the tonnage amount
calculated in accordance with paragraph
(c)(2) of this section, provided that the
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emissions limitation established under
this paragraph (c)(1) shall apply to a
unit for a control period only if:
(i) The unit is included for the control
period in a group of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 sources in a
State (and Indian country within the
borders of such State) having a common
designated representative and the
owners and operators of such units and
sources are subject to a requirement for
such control period to hold one or more
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances under § 97.1006(c)(2)(i) and
paragraph (b) of this section with
respect to such group; and
(ii) The unit was required to report
NOX emissions and heat input data for
all or portions of at least 367 operating
hours during the control period and all
or portions of at least 367 operating
hours during at least one historical
control period under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program.
(2) The amount of the emissions
limitation applicable to a CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 unit for a control
period under paragraph (c)(1) of this
section, in tons of NOX, shall be
calculated as the sum of 50 plus the
product (converted to tons at a
conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and
rounded to the nearest ton) of
multiplying—
(i) The total heat input in mmBtu
reported for the unit for the control
period in accordance with §§ 97.1030
through 97.1035; and
(ii) A NOX emission rate of 0.10 lb/
mmBtu or, if higher, the product of 1.25
times the lowest seasonal average NOX
emission rate in lb/mmBtu achieved by
the unit in any historical control period
for which the unit was required to
report NOX emissions and heat input
data for all or portions of at least 367
operating hours under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading
Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program, where the unit’s seasonal
average NOX emission rate for each such
historical control period shall be
calculated from such reported data as
the quotient (converted to lb/mmBtu at
a conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton, and
rounded to the nearest 0.0001 lb/
mmBtu) of the unit’s total NOX
emissions in tons for the historical
control period divided by the unit’s
total heat input in mmBtu for the
historical control period.
■ 70. Amend § 97.1026 by:
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a. Revising the section heading and
paragraph (b);
■ b. In paragraph (c):
■ i. Removing ‘‘set forth in’’ and adding
in its place ‘‘established under’’; and
■ ii. Removing ‘‘State (or Indian’’ and
adding in its place ‘‘State (and Indian’’;
and
■ c. Adding paragraph (d).
The revision and addition read as
follows:
■
§ 97.1026
Banking; bank recalibration.
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
*
*
*
*
*
(b) Any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowance that is held in a
compliance account or a general
account will remain in such account
unless and until the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowance is deducted
or transferred under § 97.1011(c),
§ 97.1012(c), § 97.1023, § 97.1024,
§ 97.1025, § 97.1027, or § 97.1028 or
paragraph (c) or (d) of this section.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) Before the allowance transfer
deadline for each control period in 2024
and thereafter, the Administrator will
deduct amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances issued for
the control periods in previous years
exceeding the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowance bank ceiling
target for the control period in
accordance with paragraphs (d)(1)
through (4) of this section.
(1) As soon as practicable on or after
August 1, 2024, and August 1 of each
year thereafter, the Administrator will
temporarily suspend acceptance of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance transfers submitted under
§ 97.1022 and, before resuming
acceptance of such transfers, will take
the actions in paragraphs (d)(2) through
(4) of this section.
(2) The Administrator will determine
each of the following values:
(i) The total amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
issued for control periods in years
before the year of the deadline under
paragraph (d)(1) of this section and held
in all compliance and general accounts.
(ii) The CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowance bank ceiling target
for the control period in the year of the
deadline under paragraph (d)(1) of this
section, calculated as the product,
rounded to the nearest allowance, of the
sum for all States listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii) of this chapter of the
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budgets under § 97.1010(a) for
such States for such control period
multiplied by—
(A) 0.210, for a control period in 2024
through 2029; or
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(B) 0.105, for a control period in 2030
and thereafter.
(3) If the total amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
determined under paragraph (d)(2)(i) of
this section exceeds the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank
ceiling target determined under
paragraph (d)(2)(ii) of this section, then
for each compliance account or general
account holding CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances issued for
control periods in years before the year
of the deadline under paragraph (d)(1)
of this section, the Administrator will:
(i) Determine the total amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances issued for control periods in
years before the year of the deadline
under paragraph (d)(1) of this section
and held in the account.
(ii) Determine the account’s share of
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance bank ceiling target for the
control period, calculated as the
product, rounded up to the nearest
allowance, of the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowance bank ceiling
target determined under paragraph
(d)(2)(ii) of this section multiplied by a
fraction whose numerator is the total
amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances held in the account
determined under paragraph (d)(3)(i) of
this section and whose denominator is
the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances held in all
compliance and general accounts
determined under paragraph (d)(2)(i) of
this section.
(iii) Deduct an amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
issued for control periods in years
before the year of the deadline under
paragraph (d)(1) of this section equal to
any positive remainder of the total
amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances held in the account
determined under paragraph (d)(3)(i) of
this section minus the account’s share of
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance bank ceiling target for the
control period determined under
paragraph (d)(3)(ii) of this section. The
allowances will be deducted on a firstin, first-out basis in the order set forth
in § 97.1024(c)(2)(i) and (ii).
(iv) Record the deductions under
paragraph (d)(3)(iii) of this section in
the account.
(4)(i) In computing any amounts of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to be deducted from general
accounts under paragraph (d)(3) of this
section, the Administrator may group
multiple general accounts whose
ownership interests are held by the
same or related persons or entities and
treat the group of accounts as a single
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
36917
account for purposes of such
computation.
(ii) Following a computation for a
group of general accounts in accordance
with paragraph (d)(4)(i) of this section,
the Administrator will deduct from and
record in each individual account in
such group a proportional share of the
quantity of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances computed for such
group, basing such shares on the
respective quantities of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
determined for such individual
accounts under paragraph (d)(3)(i) of
this section.
(iii) In determining the proportional
shares under paragraph (d)(4)(ii) of this
section, the Administrator may employ
any reasonable adjustment methodology
to truncate or round each such share up
or down to a whole number and to
cause the total of such whole numbers
to equal the amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
computed for such group of accounts in
accordance with paragraph (d)(4)(i) of
this section, even where such
adjustments cause the numbers of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances remaining in some
individual accounts following the
deductions to equal zero.
■ 71. Amend § 97.1030 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (b)(1); and
■ b. In paragraph (b)(3), removing
‘‘(b)(2)’’ and adding in its place ‘‘(b)(1)
or (2)’’ each time it appears.
The revision reads as follows:
§ 97.1030 General monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting requirements.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) * * *
(1)(i) May 1, 2021, for a unit in a State
(and Indian country within the borders
of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter;
(ii) May 1, 2023, for a unit in a State
(and Indian country within the borders
of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this chapter;
(iii) August 4, 2023, for a unit in a
State (and Indian country within the
borders of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C) of this chapter,
where the unit is required to report NOX
mass emissions data or NOX emissions
rate data according to 40 CFR part 75 to
address other regulatory requirements;
or
(iv) January 31, 2024, for a unit in a
State (and Indian country within the
borders of such State) listed in
§ 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C) of this chapter,
where the unit is not required to report
NOX mass emissions data or NOX
emissions rate data according to 40 CFR
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Federal Register / Vol. 88, No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules and Regulations
ddrumheller on DSK120RN23PROD with RULES2
part 75 to address other regulatory
requirements.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 72. Amend § 97.1034 by:
■ a. Revising paragraph (d)(2)(i); and
■ b. In paragraph (d)(4), removing ‘‘or
CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program,
quarterly’’ and adding in its place
‘‘CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program,
or CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading
Program, quarterly’’.
The revision reads as follows:
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Jkt 259001
§ 97.1034
Recordkeeping and reporting.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) * * *
(2) * * *
(i)(A) The calendar quarter covering
May 1, 2021, through June 30, 2021, for
a unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of such State) listed
in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter;
(B) The calendar quarter covering May
1, 2023, through June 30, 2023, for a
unit in a State (and Indian country
PO 00000
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 9990
within the borders of such State) listed
in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this chapter; or
(C) The calendar quarter covering
August 4, 2023, through June 30, 2023,
for a unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of such State) listed
in § 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C) of this chapter;
*
*
*
*
*
[FR Doc. 2023–05744 Filed 6–2–23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
E:\FR\FM\05JNR2.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 88, Number 107 (Monday, June 5, 2023)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 36654-36918]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2023-05744]
[[Page 36653]]
Vol. 88
Monday,
No. 107
June 5, 2023
Part II
Environmental Protection Agency
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
40 CFR Parts 52, 75, 78, et al.
Federal ``Good Neighbor Plan'' for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standards; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 88 , No. 107 / Monday, June 5, 2023 / Rules
and Regulations
[[Page 36654]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 52, 75, 78, and 97
[EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668; FRL-8670-02-OAR]
RIN 2060-AV51
Federal ``Good Neighbor Plan'' for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This action finalizes Federal Implementation Plan (FIP)
requirements to address 23 states' obligations to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment, or interference with maintenance, of the
2015 ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) in other
states. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is taking this
action under the ``good neighbor'' or ``interstate transport''
provision of the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act). The Agency is defining the
amount of ozone-precursor emissions (specifically, nitrogen oxides)
that constitute significant contribution to nonattainment and
interference with maintenance from these 23 states. With respect to
fossil fuel-fired power plants in 22 states, this action will prohibit
those emissions by implementing an allowance-based trading program
beginning in the 2023 ozone season. With respect to certain other
industrial stationary sources in 20 states, this action will prohibit
those emissions through emissions limitations and associated
requirements beginning in the 2026 ozone season. These industrial
source types are: reciprocating internal combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing;
boilers in Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing, Metal Ore
Mining, Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing, and Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and combustors
and incinerators in Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
DATES: This final rule is effective on August 4, 2023.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a docket for this rulemaking under
Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668. All documents in the docket are
listed in the https://www.regulations.gov index. Although listed in the
index, some information is not publicly available, e.g., Confidential
Business Information or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other material, such as copyrighted
material, will be publicly available only in hard copy. Publicly
available docket materials are available either electronically at
https://www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at the U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, EPA Docket Center, William Jefferson Clinton West
Building, Room 3334, 1301 Constitution Ave. NW, Washington, DC. The
Public Reading Room is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday through
Friday, excluding legal holidays. The telephone number for the Public
Reading Room is (202) 566-1744, and the telephone number for the Office
of Air and Radiation Docket is (202) 566-1742.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ms. Elizabeth Selbst, Air Quality
Policy Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards (C539-
01), Environmental Protection Agency, 109 TW Alexander Drive, Research
Triangle Park, NC 27711; telephone number: (312) 886-4746; email
address: [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Preamble Glossary of Terms and Abbreviations
The following are abbreviations of terms used in the preamble.
2016v1 2016 Version 1 Emissions Modeling Platform
2016v2 2016 Version 2 Emissions Modeling Platform
4-Step Framework 4-Step Interstate Transport Framework
ABC Associated Builders and Contractors
ACS American Community Survey
ACT Alternative Control Techniques
AEO Annual Energy Outlook
AQAT Air Quality Assessment Tool
AQS Air Quality System
BACT Best Available Control Technology
BART Best Available Retrofit Technology
BOF Basic Oxygen Furnace
BPT Benefit Per Ton
C1C2 Category 1 and Category 2
C3 Category 3
CAA or Act Clean Air Act
CAIR Clean Air Interstate Rule
CBI Confidential Business Information
CCR Coal Combustion Residual
CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
CDX Central Data Exchange
CEDRI Compliance and Emissions Data Reporting Interface
CEMS Continuous Emissions Monitoring Systems
CES Clean Energy Standards
CFB Circulating Fluidized Bed Units
CHP Combined Heat and Power
CMDB Control Measures Database
CMV Commercial Marine Vehicle
CoST Control Strategy Tool
CPT Cost Per Ton
CRA Congressional Review Act
CSAPR Cross-State Air Pollution Rule
DAHS Data Acquisition and Handling System
DOE Department of Energy
EAF Electric Arc Furnace
EGU Electric Generating Unit
EIA U.S. Energy Information Agency
EIS Emissions Inventory System
EISA Energy Independence and Security Act
ELG Effluent Limitation Guidelines
E.O. Executive Order
EPA or the Agency United States Environmental Protection Agency
ERT Electronic Reporting Tool
FERC Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
FFS Findings of Failure to Submit
FIP Federal Implementation Plan
GIS Geographic Information System
g/hp-hr grams per horsepower per hour
HDGHG Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Fuel Efficiency Standards for
Medium- and Heavy-Duty Engines and Vehicles
HEDD High Electricity Demand Days
ICI Industrial, Commercial, and Institutional
I/M Inspection and Maintenance
IPM Integrated Planning Model
IRA Inflation Reduction Act
LAER Lowest Achievable Emission Rate
LDC Local Distribution Company
LME Low Mass Emissions
LNB Low-NOX Burners
MATS Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
MCM Menu of Control Measures
MDA8 Maximum Daily Average 8-Hour
MJO Multi-Jurisdictional Organization
MOU Memorandum of Understanding
MOVES Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator
MSAT2 Mobile Source Air Toxics Rule
MWC Municipal Waste Combustor
NAAQS National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NACAA National Association of Clean Air Agencies
NAICS North American Industry Classification System
NEEDS National Electric Energy Data System
NEI National Emissions Inventory
NERC North American Electric Reliability Corporation
NESHAP National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants
NMB Normalized Mean Bias
NME Normalized Mean Error
No SISNOSE No Significant Economic Impact on a Substantial Number of
Small Entities
Non-EGU Non-Electric Generating Unit
NODA Notice of Data Availability
NOX Nitrogen Oxides
NREL National Renewable Energy Lab
NSCR Non-Selective Catalytic Reduction
NSPS New Source Performance Standard
NSR New Source Review
NTTAA National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act
OFA Over-Fire Air
OMB United States Office of Management and Budget
[[Page 36655]]
OSAT/APCA Ozone Source Apportionment Technology/Anthropogenic
Precursor Culpability Analysis
OTC Ozone Transport Commission
OTR Ozone Transport Region
OTSA Oklahoma Tribal Statistical Area
PDF Portable Document Format
PEMS Predictive Emissions Monitoring Systems
PM2.5 Fine Particulate Matter
ppb parts per billion
ppm parts per million
ppmv parts per million by volume
ppmvd parts per million by volume, dry
PRA Paperwork Reduction Act
PSD Prevention of Significant Deterioration
PTE Potential to Emit
RACT Reasonably Available Control Technology
RATA Relative Accuracy Test Audit
RCF Relative Contribution Factor
RFA Regulatory Flexibility Act
RICE Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines
ROP Rate of Progress
RPS Renewable Portfolio Standards
RRF Relative Response Factor
RTC Response to Comments
RTO Regional Transmission Organization
SAFETEA Safe, Accountable, Flexible, Efficient, Transportation
Equity Act
SCC Source Classification Code
SCR Selective Catalytic Reduction
SIL Significant Impact Level
SIP State Implementation Plan
SMOKE Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions
SNCR Selective Non-Catalytic Reduction
SO2 Sulfur Dioxide
tpd ton per day
TAS Treatment as State
TSD Technical Support Document
UMRA Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
VMT Vehicle Miles Traveled
VOCs Volatile Organic Compounds
WRAP Western Regional Air Partnership
WRF Weather Research and Forecasting
Table of Contents
I. Executive Summary
A. Purpose of the Regulatory Action
1. Emissions Limitations for EGUs Established by the Final Rule
2. Emissions Limitations for Industrial Stationary Point Sources
Established by the Final Rule
B. Summary of the Regulatory Framework of the Rule
C. Costs and Benefits
II. General Information
A. Does this action apply to me?
B. What action is the Agency taking?
C. What is the Agency's legal authority for taking this action?
D. What actions has the EPA previously issued to address
regional ozone transport?
III. Air Quality Issues Addressed and Overall Rule Approach
A. The Interstate Ozone Transport Air Quality Challenge
1. Nature of Ozone and the Ozone NAAQS
2. Ozone Transport
3. Health and Environmental Effects
B. Final Rule Approach
1. The 4-Step Interstate Transport Framework
a. Step 1 Approach
b. Step 2 Approach
c. Step 3 Approach
d. Step 4 Approach
2. FIP Authority for Each State Covered by the Rule
C. Other CAA Authorities for This Action
1. Withdrawal of Proposed Error Correction for Delaware
2. Application of Rule in Indian Country and Necessary or
Appropriate Finding
a. Indian Country Subject to Tribal Jurisdiction
b. Indian Country Subject to State Implementation Planning
Authority
D. Severability
IV. Analyzing Downwind Air Quality Problems and Contributions From
Upwind States
A. Selection of Analytic Years for Evaluating Ozone Transport
Contributions to Downwind Air Quality Problems
B. Overview of Air Quality Modeling Platform
C. Emissions Inventories
1. Foundation Emissions Inventory Data Sets
2. Development of Emissions Inventories for EGUs
a. EGU Emissions Inventories Supporting This Rule
b. Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on EGU Emissions
3. Development of Emissions Inventories for Stationary
Industrial Point Sources
4. Development of Emissions Inventories for Onroad Mobile
Sources
5. Development of Emissions Inventories for Commercial Marine
Vessels
6. Development of Emissions Inventories for Other Nonroad Mobile
Sources
7. Development of Emissions Inventories for Nonpoint Sources
D. Air Quality Modeling To Identify Nonattainment and
Maintenance Receptors
E. Methodology for Projecting Future Year Ozone Design Values
F. Pollutant Transport From Upwind States
1. Air Quality Modeling To Quantify Upwind State Ozone
Contributions
2. Application of Ozone Contribution Screening Threshold
a. States That Contribute Below the Screening Threshold
b. States That Contribute Above the Screening Threshold
G. Treatment of Certain Monitoring Sites in California and
Implications for Oregon's Good Neighbor Obligations for the 2015
Ozone NAAQS
V. Quantifying Upwind-State NOX Emissions Reduction
Potential To Reduce Interstate Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone
NAAQS
A. The Multi-Factor Test for Determining Significant
Contribution
B. Identifying Control Stringency Levels
1. EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
a. Optimizing Existing SCRs
b. Installing State-of-the-Art NOX Combustion
Controls
c. Optimizing Already Operating SNCRs or Turning on Idled
Existing SNCRs
d. Installing New SNCRs
e. Installing New SCRs
f. Generation Shifting
g. Other EGU Mitigation Measures
2. Non-EGU or Stationary Industrial Source NOX
Mitigation Strategies
3. Other Stationary Sources NOX Mitigation Strategies
a. Municipal Solid Waste Units
b. Electric Generating Units Less Than or Equal to 25 MW
c. Cogeneration Units
4. Mobile Source NOX Mitigation Strategies
C. Control Stringencies Represented by Cost Threshold ($ per
ton) and Corresponding Emissions Reductions
1. EGU Emissions Reduction Potential by Cost Threshold
2. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Emissions Reduction Potential
D. Assessing Cost, EGU and Industrial Source NOX
Reductions, and Air Quality
1. EGU Assessment
2. Stationary Industrial Sources Assessment
3. Combined EGU and Non-EGU Assessment
4. Over-Control Analysis
VI. Implementation of Emissions Reductions
A. NOX Reduction Implementation Schedule
1. 2023-2025: EGU NOX Reductions Beginning in 2023
2. 2026 and Later Years: EGU and Stationary Industrial Source
NOX Reductions Beginning in 2026
a. EGU Schedule for 2026 and Later Years
b. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Schedule for 2026 and Later
Years
B. Regulatory Requirements for EGUs
1. Trading Program Background and Overview of Revisions
a. Current CSAPR Trading Program Design Elements and Identified
Concerns
b. Enhancements To Maintain Selected Control Stringency Over
Time
i. Revised Emissions Budget-Setting Process
ii. Allowance Bank Recalibration
c. Enhancements To Improve Emissions Performance at Individual
Units
i. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions Rates
ii. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations Contingent on Assurance
Level Exceedances
d. Responses to General Comments on the Revisions to the Group 3
Trading Program
2. Expansion of Geographic Scope
3. Applicability and Tentative Identification of Newly Affected
Units
4. State Emissions Budgets
a. Methodology for Determining Preset State Emissions Budgets
for the 2023 through 2029 Control Periods
b. Methodology for Determining Dynamic State Emissions Budgets
for Control Periods in 2026 Onwards
c. Final Preset State Emissions Budgets
5. Variability Limits and Assurance Levels
6. Annual Recalibration of Allowance Bank
7. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions Rates
8. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations Contingent on Assurance
Level Exceedances
[[Page 36656]]
9. Unit-Level Allowance Allocation and Recordation Procedures
a. Set-Asides of Portions of State Emissions Budgets
b. Allocations to Existing Units, Including Units That Cease
Operation
c. Allocations From Portions of State Emissions Budgets Set
Aside for New Units
d. Incorrectly Allocated Allowances
10. Monitoring and Reporting Requirements
a. Monitor Certification Deadlines
b. Additional Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
11. Designated Representative Requirements
12. Transitional Provisions
a. Prorating Emissions Budgets, Assurance Levels, and Unit-Level
Allowance Allocations in the Event of an Effective Date After May 1,
2023
b. Creation of Additional Group 3 Allowance Bank for 2023
Control Period
c. Recall of Group 2 Allowances for Control Periods After 2022
13. Conforming Revisions to Regulations for Other CSAPR Trading
Programs
C. Regulatory Requirements for Stationary Industrial Sources
1. Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
2. Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing
3. Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
4. Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
5. Boilers at Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills, Iron and
Steel and Ferroalloys Manufacturing, and Metal Ore Mining Facilities
a. Coal-fired Industrial Boilers
b. Oil-fired Industrial Boilers
c. Natural gas-fired Industrial Boilers
6. Municipal Waste Combustors
D. Submitting a SIP
1. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for 2024 under EGU Trading
Program
2. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for 2025 and Beyond Under
EGU Trading Program
3. SIP Option To Replace the Federal EGU Trading Program With an
Integrated State EGU Trading Program
4. SIP Revisions That Do Not Use the New Trading Program
5. SIP Revision Requirements for Non-EGU or Industrial Source
Control Requirements
E. Title V Permitting
1. Title V Permitting Considerations for EGUs
2. Title V Permitting Considerations for Industrial Stationary
Sources
F. Relationship to Other Emissions Trading and Ozone Transport
Programs
1. NOX SIP Call
2. Acid Rain Program
3. Other CSAPR Trading Programs
VII. Environmental Justice Analytical Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
A. Introduction
B. Analytical Considerations
C. Outreach and Engagement
VIII. Costs, Benefits, and Other Impacts of the Final Rule
IX. Summary of Changes to the Regulatory Text for the Federal
Implementation Plans and Trading Programs for EGUs
A. Amendments to FIP Provisions in 40 CFR Part 52
B. Amendments to Group 3 Trading Program and Related Regulations
C. Transitional Provisions
D. Clarifications and Conforming Revisions
X. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and
Executive Order 13563: Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. Information Collection Request for EGUs
2. Information Collection Request for Non-EGUs
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With
Indian Tribal Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From
Environmental Health Risks and Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA)
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address
Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations
K. Congressional Review Act
L. Determinations Under CAA Section 307(b)(1) and (d)
I. Executive Summary
This final rule resolves the interstate transport obligations of 23
states under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), referred to as the ``good
neighbor provision'' or the ``interstate transport provision'' of the
Act, for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. On October 1, 2015, the EPA revised the
primary and secondary 8-hour standards for ozone to 70 parts per
billion (ppb).\1\ States were required to submit to EPA ozone
infrastructure State Implementation Plan (SIP) revisions to fulfill
interstate transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS by October 1,
2018. The EPA proposed the subject rule to address outstanding
interstate ozone transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS in the
Federal Register on April 6, 2022 (87 FR 20036).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ See 80 FR 65291 (October 26, 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is making a finding that interstate transport of ozone
precursor emissions from 23 upwind states (Alabama, Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin) is significantly contributing to nonattainment or
interfering with maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS in downwind
states, based on projected ozone precursor emissions in the 2023 ozone
season. The EPA is issuing FIP requirements to eliminate interstate
transport of ozone precursor emissions from these 23 states that
significantly contributes to nonattainment or interferes with
maintenance of the NAAQS in downwind states. The EPA is not finalizing
its proposed error correction for Delaware's ozone transport SIP, and
we are deferring final action at this time on the proposed FIPs for
Tennessee and Wyoming pending further review of the updated air quality
and contribution modeling and analysis developed for this final action.
As discussed in section III of this document, the EPA's updated
analysis of 2023 suggests that the states of Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, and
New Mexico may be significantly contributing to one or more
nonattainment or maintenance receptors. The EPA is not making any final
determinations with respect to these states in this action but intends
to address these states, along with Tennessee and Wyoming, in a
subsequent action or actions.
The EPA is finalizing FIP requirements for 21 states for which the
Agency has, in a separate action, disapproved (or partially
disapproved) ozone transport SIP revisions that were submitted for the
2015 ozone NAAQS: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas, Utah,
West Virginia, and Wisconsin. See 88 FR 9336. In this final rule, the
EPA is issuing FIPs for two states--Pennsylvania and Virginia--for
which the EPA issued Findings of Failure to Submit for 2015 ozone NAAQS
transport SIPs. See 84 FR 66612 (December 5, 2019). Under CAA section
301(d)(4), the EPA is extending FIP requirements to apply in Indian
country located within the upwind geography of the final rule,
including Indian reservation lands and other areas of Indian country
over which the EPA or a tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction.\2\
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\2\ In general, specific tribal names or reservations are not
identified separately in this final rule except as needed. See
section III.C.2 of this document for further discussion about the
application of this rule in Indian Country.
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This final rule defines ozone season nitrogen oxides
(NOX) emissions
[[Page 36657]]
performance obligations for Electric Generating Unit (EGU) sources and
fulfills those obligations by implementing an allowance-based ozone
season trading program beginning in 2023. This rule also establishes
emissions limitations beginning in 2026 for certain other industrial
stationary sources (referred to generally as ``non-Electric Generating
Units'' (non-EGUs)). Taken together, these regulatory requirements will
fully eliminate the amount of emissions that constitute the covered
states' significant contribution to nonattainment and interference with
maintenance in downwind states for purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
This final rule implements the necessary emissions reductions as
follows. Under the FIP requirements, EGUs in 22 states (Alabama,
Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin) are required to participate in a revised version of the
Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program that was previously established in the Revised
CSAPR Update.\3\ In addition to reflecting emissions reductions based
on the Agency's determination of the necessary control stringency in
this rule, the revised trading program includes several enhancements to
the program's design to better ensure achievement of the selected
control stringency on all days of the ozone season and over time. For
12 states already required to participate in the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program (Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia) under the Revised CSAPR
Update (with respect to the 2008 ozone NAAQS), the FIPs are amended by
the revisions to the Group 3 trading program regulations. For seven
states currently covered by the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 Trading Program under SIPs or FIPs, the EPA is issuing new FIPs for
two states (Alabama and Missouri) and amending existing FIPs for five
states (Arkansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin) to
transition EGU sources in these states from the Group 2 program to the
revised Group 3 trading program, beginning with the 2023 ozone season.
The EPA is issuing new FIPs for three states not currently covered by
any CSAPR NOX ozone season trading program: Minnesota,
Nevada, and Utah.
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\3\ As explained in section V.C.1 of this document, the EPA is
making a finding that EGU sources within the State of California are
sufficiently controlled such that no further emissions reductions
are needed from them to eliminate significant contribution to
downwind states.
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This rulemaking requires emissions reductions in the selected
control stringency to be achieved as expeditiously as practicable and,
to the extent possible, by the next applicable nonattainment dates for
downwind areas for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Thus, initial emissions
reductions from EGUs will be required beginning in the 2023 ozone
season and prior to the August 3, 2024, attainment date for areas
classified as Moderate nonattainment for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The remaining emissions reduction obligations will be phased in as
soon as possible thereafter. Substantial additional reductions from
potential new post-combustion control installations at EGUs as well as
from installation of new pollution controls at non-EGUs, also referred
to in this action as industrial sources, will phase in beginning in the
2026 ozone season, associated with the August 3, 2027, attainment date
for areas classified as Serious nonattainment for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The EPA had proposed to require all emissions reductions to eliminate
significant contribution to be in place by the 2026 ozone season. While
we continue to view 2026 as the appropriate analytic year for purposes
of applying the 4-step interstate transport framework, as discussed in
section V.D.4 and VI.A.2 of this document, the final rule will allow
individual facilities limited additional time to fully implement the
required emissions reductions where the owner or operator demonstrates
to the EPA's satisfaction that more rapid compliance is not possible.
For EGUs, the emissions trading program budget stringency associated
with retrofit of post-combustion controls will be phased in over two
ozone seasons (2026-2027). For industrial sources, this final rule
provides a process for individual facilities to seek a one year
extension, with the possibility of up to two additional years, based on
a specific showing of necessity.
The EGU emissions reductions are based on the feasibility of
control installation for EGUs in 19 states that remain linked to
downwind nonattainment and maintenance receptors in 2026. These 19
states are: Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia. The
emissions reductions required for EGUs in these states are based
primarily on the potential retrofit of additional post-combustion
controls for NOX on most coal-fired EGUs and a portion of
oil/gas-fired EGUs that are currently lacking such controls.
The EPA is finalizing, with some modifications from proposal in
response to comments, certain additional features in the allowance-
based trading program approach for EGUs, including dynamic adjustments
of the emissions budgets and recalibration of the allowance bank over
time as well as backstop daily emissions rate limits for large coal-
fired units. The purpose of these enhancements is to better ensure that
the emissions control stringency the EPA found necessary to eliminate
significant contribution at Step 3 of the 4-step interstate transport
framework is maintained over time in Step 4 implementation and is
durable to changes in the power sector. These enhancements ensure the
elimination of significant contribution is maintained both in terms of
geographical distribution (by limiting the degree to which individual
sources can avoid making emissions reductions) and in terms of temporal
distribution (by better ensuring emissions reductions are maintained
throughout each ozone season, year over year). As we further discuss in
section V.D of this document, these changes do not alter the stringency
of the emissions trading program over time. Rather, they ensure that
the trading program (as the method of implementation at Step 4) remains
aligned with the determinations made at Step 3. These enhancements are
further discussed in section VI.B of this document.
The EPA is making a finding that NOX emissions from
certain non-EGU sources are significantly contributing to nonattainment
or interfering with maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS and that cost-
effective controls for NOX emissions reductions are
available in certain industrial source categories that would result in
meaningful air quality improvements in downwind receptors. The EPA is
establishing emissions limitations beginning in 2026 for non-EGU
sources located within 20 states: Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia. The final rule establishes
NOX emissions limitations during the ozone season for the
following unit types for sources in
[[Page 36658]]
non-EGU industries: \4\ reciprocating internal combustion engines in
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in Cement and Cement
Product Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing; boilers in Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic Chemical Manufacturing,
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp, Paper, and
Paperboard Mills; and combustors and incinerators in Solid Waste
Combustors and Incinerators.
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\4\ We use the terms ``emissions limitation'' and ``emissions
limit'' to refer to both numeric emissions limitations and control
technology requirements that specify levels of emissions reductions
to be achieved.
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A. Purpose of the Regulatory Action
The purpose of this rulemaking is to protect public health and the
environment by reducing interstate transport of certain air pollutants
that significantly contribute to nonattainment, or interfere with
maintenance, of the 2015 ozone NAAQS in downwind states. Ground-level
ozone has detrimental effects on human health as well as vegetation and
ecosystems. Acute and chronic exposure to ozone in humans is associated
with premature mortality and certain morbidity effects, such as asthma
exacerbation. Ozone exposure can also negatively impact ecosystems by
limiting tree growth, causing foliar injury, and changing ecosystem
community composition. Section III of this document provides additional
evidence of the harmful effects of ozone exposure on human health and
the environment. Studies have established that ozone air pollution can
be transported over hundreds of miles, with elevated ground-level ozone
concentrations occurring in rural and metropolitan areas.5 6
Assessments of ozone control approaches have concluded that control
strategies targeting reduction of NOX emissions are an
effective method to reduce regional-scale ozone transport.\7\
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\5\ Bergin, M.S. et al. (2007) Regional air quality: local and
interstate impacts of NOX and SO2 emissions on
ozone and fine particulate matter in the eastern United States.
Environmental Sci & Tech. 41: 4677-4689.
\6\ Liao, K. et al. (2013) Impacts of interstate transport of
pollutants on high ozone events over the Mid-Atlantic United States.
Atmospheric Environment 84, 100-112.
\7\ See 82 FR 51238, 51248 (November 3, 2017) [citing 76 FR
48208, 48222 (August 8, 2011)] and 63 FR 57381 (October 27, 1998).
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CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requires states to prohibit
emissions that will contribute significantly to nonattainment or
interfere with maintenance in any other state with respect to any
primary or secondary NAAQS.\8\ Within 3 years of the EPA promulgating a
new or revised NAAQS, all states are required to provide SIP
submittals, often referred to as ``infrastructure SIPs,'' addressing
certain requirements, including the good neighbor provision. See CAA
section 110(a)(1) and (2). The EPA must either approve or disapprove
such submittals or make a finding that a state has failed to submit a
complete SIP revision. As with any other type of SIP under the Act,
when the EPA disapproves an interstate transport SIP or finds that a
state failed to submit an interstate transport SIP, the CAA requires
the EPA to issue a FIP to directly implement the measures necessary to
eliminate significant contribution under the good neighbor provision.
See generally CAA section 110(k) and 110(c). As such, in this rule, the
EPA is finalizing requirements to fully address good neighbor
obligations for the covered states for the 2015 ozone NAAQS under its
authority to promulgate FIPs under CAA section 110(c). By eliminating
significant contribution from these upwind states, this rule will make
substantial and meaningful improvements in air quality by reducing
ozone levels at the identified downwind receptors as well as many other
areas of the country. At any time after the effective date of this
rule, states may submit a Good Neighbor SIP to replace the FIP
requirements contained in this rule, subject to EPA approval under CAA
section 110(a).
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\8\ 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
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The EPA conducted air quality modeling for the 2023 and 2026
analytic years to identify (1) the downwind areas identified as
``receptors'' (which are associated with monitoring sites) that are
expected to have trouble attaining or maintaining the 2015 ozone NAAQS
in the future and (2) the contribution of ozone transport from upwind
states to the downwind air quality problems. We use the term
``downwind'' to describe those states or areas where a receptor is
located, and we use the term ``upwind'' to describe states whose
emissions are linked to one or more receptors. States may be both
downwind and upwind depending on the receptor or linkage in question.
Section IV of this document provides a full description of the results
of the EPA's updated air quality modeling and relevant analyses for the
rulemaking, including a discussion of how updates to the modeling and
air quality analysis following the proposed rule have resulted in some
modest changes in the overall geography of the final rule. Based on the
EPA's air quality analysis, the 23 upwind states covered in this action
are linked above the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold to downwind air
quality problems in downwind states. The EPA intends to expeditiously
review the updated air quality modeling and related analyses to address
potential good neighbor requirements of six additional states--Arizona,
Iowa, Kansas, New Mexico, Tennessee, and Wyoming--in a subsequent
action. The EPA had previously approved 2015 ozone transport SIPs
submitted by Oregon and Delaware, but in the proposed FIP action the
EPA found these states potentially to be linked in the modeling
supporting our proposal. We proposed to issue an error correction for
our prior approval of Delaware's 2015 ozone transport SIP; however, in
this final rule, the EPA is withdrawing the proposed error correction
and the proposed FIP for Delaware, because our updated modeling for
this final rule confirms that Delaware is not linked above the 1
percent of NAAQS threshold (see section III.C.1 of this document for
additional information). The EPA is deferring finalizing a finding at
this time for Oregon (see section IV.G of this document for additional
information).
1. Emissions Limitations for EGUs Established by the Final Rule
In this rule, the EPA is issuing FIP requirements that apply the
provisions of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program as revised in the rule to EGU sources within the borders of the
following 22 states: Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri,
Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas,
Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Implementation of the
revised trading program provisions begins in the 2023 ozone season.
The EPA is expanding the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program beginning in the 2023 ozone season. Specifically, the
FIPs require power plants within the borders of the 22 states listed in
the previous paragraph to participate in an expanded and revised
version of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program created by the Revised CSAPR Update. Affected EGUs within the
borders of the following 12 states currently participating in the Group
3 Trading Program under existing FIPs remain in the program, with
revised provisions beginning in the 2023 ozone season, under this rule:
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
[[Page 36659]]
Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia. The FIPs also require affected EGUs within the borders of the
following seven states currently covered by the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program (the ``Group 2 trading program'')
under existing FIPs or existing SIPs to transition from the Group 2
program to the revised Group 3 trading program beginning with the 2023
control period: Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma,
Texas, and Wisconsin.\9\ Finally, the EPA is issuing new FIPs for EGUs
within the borders of three states not currently covered by any
existing CSAPR trading program for seasonal NOX emissions:
Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah. Sources in these states will enter the
Group 3 trading program in the 2023 control period following the
effective date of the final rule.\10\ Refer to section VI.B of this
document for details on EGU regulatory requirements.
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\9\ Five of these seven states (Arkansas, Mississippi, Oklahoma,
Texas, and Wisconsin) currently participate in the Federal Group 2
trading program pursuant to the FIPs finalized in the CSAPR Update.
The FIPs required under this rule amend the existing FIPs for these
states. The other two states (Alabama and Missouri) have already
replaced the FIPs finalized in the CSAPR Update with approved SIP
revisions that require their EGUs to participate in state Group 2
trading programs integrated with the Federal Group 2 trading
program, so the FIPs required in this action constitute new FIPs for
these states. The EPA will cease implementation of the state Group 2
trading programs included in the two states' SIPs on the effective
date of this rule.
\10\ Three states, Kansas, Iowa, and Tennessee, will remain in
the Group 2 Trading Program.
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2. Emissions Limitations for Industrial Stationary Point Sources
Established by the Final Rule
The EPA is issuing FIP requirements that include new NOX
emissions limitations for industrial or non-EGU sources in 20 states,
with sources expected to demonstrate compliance no later than 2026. The
EPA is requiring emissions reductions from non-EGU sources to address
interstate transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS for the
following 20 states: Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia
and West Virginia.
The EPA is establishing emissions limitations for the following
unit types in non-EGU industries: reciprocating internal combustion
engines in Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas; kilns in Cement and
Cement Product Manufacturing; reheat furnaces in Iron and Steel Mills
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing; furnaces in Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing; boilers in Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic Chemical Manufacturing,
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp, Paper, and
Paperboard Mills; and combustors and incinerators in Solid Waste
Combustors and Incinerators. Refer to Table II.A-1 for a list of North
American Industry Classification System (NAICS) codes for each entity
included for regulation under this rule.
B. Summary of the Regulatory Framework of the Rule
The EPA is applying the 4-step interstate transport framework
developed and used in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR
Update, and other previous ozone transport rules under the authority
provided in CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). The 4-step interstate
transport framework provides a stepwise method for the EPA to define
and implement good neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. The
four steps are as follows: (Step 1) identifying downwind receptors that
are expected to have problems attaining or maintaining the NAAQS; (Step
2) determining which upwind states contribute to these identified
problems in amounts sufficient to ``link'' them to the downwind air
quality problems (i.e., in this rule as in prior transport rules
beginning with CSAPR in 2011, above a contribution threshold of 1
percent of the NAAQS); (Step 3) for states linked to downwind air
quality problems, identifying upwind emissions that significantly
contribute to downwind nonattainment or interfere with downwind
maintenance of the NAAQS through a multifactor analysis; and (Step 4)
for states that are found to have emissions that significantly
contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS
in downwind areas, implementing the necessary emissions reductions
through enforceable measures. The remainder of this section provides a
general overview of the EPA's application of the 4-step framework as it
applies to the provisions of the rule; additional details regarding the
EPA's approach are found in section III of this document.
To apply the first step of the 4-step framework to the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, the EPA performed air quality modeling to project ozone
concentrations at air quality monitoring sites in 2023 and 2026.\11\
The EPA evaluated projected ozone concentrations for the 2023 analytic
year at individual monitoring sites and considered current ozone
monitoring data at these sites to identify receptors that are
anticipated to have problems attaining or maintaining the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. This analysis of projected ozone concentrations was then
repeated for 2026.
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\11\ These 2 analytic years are the last full ozone seasons
before, and thus align with, upcoming attainment dates for the 2015
ozone NAAQS: August 3, 2024, for areas classified as Moderate
nonattainment, and August 3, 2027, for areas classified as Serious
nonattainment. See 83 FR 25776.
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To apply the second step of the framework, the EPA used air quality
modeling to quantify the contributions from upwind states to ozone
concentrations in 2023 and 2026 at downwind receptors.\12\ Once
quantified, the EPA then evaluated these contributions relative to a
screening threshold of 1 percent of the NAAQS (i.e., 0.70 ppb).\13\
States with contributions that equaled or exceeded 1 percent of the
NAAQS were identified as warranting further analysis at Step 3 of the
4-step framework to determine if the upwind state significantly
contributes to nonattainment or interference with maintenance in a
downwind state. States with contributions below 1 percent of the NAAQS
were considered not to significantly contribute to nonattainment or
interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS in downwind states.
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\12\ The EPA performed air quality modeling for 2032 in the
proposed rulemaking, but did not perform contribution modeling for
2032 since contribution data for this year were not needed to
identify upwind states to be analyzed in Step 3. The modeling of
2032 done at proposal using the 2016v2 platform does not constitute
or represent any final agency determinations respecting air quality
conditions or regulatory judgments with respect to good neighbor
obligations or any other CAA requirements.
\13\ See section IV.F of this document for explanation of EPA's
use of the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold in the Step 2 analysis.
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Based on the EPA's most recent air quality modeling and
contribution analysis using 2023 as the analytic year, the EPA finds
that the following 23 states have contributions that equal or exceed 1
percent of the 2015 ozone NAAQS, and, thereby, warrant further analysis
of significant contribution to nonattainment or interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
There are locations in California to which Oregon contributes
greater than 1 percent of the NAAQS; the EPA
[[Page 36660]]
proposed that downwind areas represented by these monitoring sites in
California should not be considered interstate ozone transport
receptors at Step 1. However, the EPA is deferring finalizing a finding
at this time for Oregon (see section IV.G of this document for
additional information).
Based on the air quality analysis presented in section IV of this
document, the EPA finds that, with the exception of Alabama, Minnesota,
and Wisconsin, the states found linked in 2023 will continue to
contribute above the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold to at least one
receptor whose nonattainment and maintenance concerns persist through
the 2026 ozone season. As a result, the EPA's evaluation of
significantly contributing emissions at Step 3 for Alabama, Minnesota,
and Wisconsin is limited to emissions reductions achievable by the 2023
and 2024 ozone seasons.
At the third step of the 4-step framework, the EPA applied a
multifactor test that incorporates cost, availability of emissions
reductions, and air quality impacts at the downwind receptors to
determine the amount of ozone precursor emissions from the linked
upwind states that ``significantly'' contribute to downwind
nonattainment or maintenance receptors. The EPA is applying the
multifactor test described in section V.A of this document to both EGU
and industrial sources. The EPA assessed the potential emissions
reductions in 2023 and 2026,\14\ as well as in intervening and later
years to determine the emissions reductions required to eliminate
significant contribution in 2023 and future years where downwind areas
are projected to have potential problems attaining or maintaining the
2015 ozone NAAQS.
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\14\ The EPA included emissions reductions from the potential
installation of SCRs at all affected large coal-fired EGUs in the
2026 analytic year for the purposes of assessing significant
contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance,
which is consistent with the associated attainment date. However, in
response to comments identifying potential supply chain and outage
scheduling challenges if the full breadth of these assumed SCR
installations were to occur, the EPA is implementing half of this
emissions reduction potential in 2026 ozone-season NOX
budgets for states containing these EGUs and the other half of this
emissions reduction potential in 2027 ozone-season NOX
budgets for those states.
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For EGU sources, the EPA evaluated the following set of widely-
available NOX emissions control technologies: (1) fully
operating existing selective catalytic reduction (SCR) controls,
including both optimizing NOX removal by existing
operational SCRs and turning on and optimizing existing idled SCRs; (2)
installing state-of-the-art NOX combustion controls; (3)
fully operating existing selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR)
controls, including both optimizing NOX removal by existing
operational SNCRs and turning on and optimizing existing idled SNCRs;
(4) installing new SNCRs; (5) installing new SCRs; and (6) generation
shifting. For the reasons explained in section V of this document and
supported by the ``Technical Support Document (TSD) for the Final
Federal Good Neighbor Plan for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standard, Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668, EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD'' (Mar. 2023),
hereinafter referred to as the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD, included in the docket for this action, the EPA
determines that for the regional, multi-state scale of this rulemaking,
only fully operating and optimizing existing SCRs and existing SNCRs
(EGU NOX emissions controls options 1 and 3 in the list
earlier) are possible for the 2023 ozone season. The EPA determined
that state-of-the-art NOX combustion controls at EGUs
(emissions control option 2 in the list above) are available by the
beginning of the 2024 ozone season. See section V.B.1 of this document
for a full discussion of EPA's analysis of NOX emissions
mitigation strategies for EGU sources.
The EPA is requiring control stringency levels that offer the most
incremental NOX emissions reduction potential from EGUs--
among the uniform mitigation measures assessed for the covered region--
and the most corresponding downwind ozone air quality improvements to
the extent feasible in each year analyzed. The EPA is making a finding
that the required controls provide cost-effective reductions of
NOX emissions that will provide substantial improvements in
downwind ozone air quality to address interstate transport obligations
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS in a timely manner. These controls represent
greater stringency in upwind EGU controls than in the EPA's most recent
ozone transport rulemakings, such as the CSAPR Update and the Revised
CSAPR Update. However, programs to address interstate ozone transport
based on the retrofit of post-combustion controls are by no means
unprecedented. In prior ozone transport rulemakings such as the
NOX SIP Call and the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR), the
EPA established EGU budgets premised on the widespread availability of
retrofitting EGUs with post-combustion emissions controls such as
SCR.\15\ While these programs successfully drove many EGUs to retrofit
post-combustion controls, other EGUs throughout the present geography
of linked upwind states continue to operate without such controls and
continue to emit at relatively high rates more than 20 years after
similar units reduced these emissions under prior interstate ozone
transport rulemakings.
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\15\ See, e.g., 70 FR 25162, 25205-06 (May 12, 2005).
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Furthermore, the CSAPR Update provided only a partial remedy for
eliminating significant contribution for the 2008 ozone NAAQS, as
needed to obtain available reductions by the 2017 ozone season. In that
rule, the EPA made no determination regarding the appropriateness of
more stringent EGU NOX controls that would be required for a
full remedy for interstate transport for the 2008 ozone NAAQS.
Following the remand of the CSAPR Update in Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d
303 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (Wisconsin), the EPA again declined to require the
retrofit of new post-combustion controls on EGUs in the Revised CSAPR
Update, but that determination was based on a specific timing
consideration: downwind air quality problems under the 2008 ozone NAAQS
were projected to resolve before post-combustion control retrofits
could be accomplished on a fleetwide, regional scale. See 86 FR 23054,
23110 (April 30, 2021).
In this rulemaking, the EPA is addressing good neighbor obligations
for the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS, and the Agency observes
ongoing and persistent contribution from upwind states to ozone
nonattainment and maintenance receptors in downwind states under that
NAAQS. As further discussed in section V of this document, the nature
of this contribution warrants a greater degree of control stringency
than the EPA determined to be necessary to eliminate significant
contribution of ozone transport in prior CSAPR rulemakings. In this
rule, the EPA is requiring emissions performance levels for EGU
NOX control strategies commensurate with those determined to
be necessary in the NOX SIP Call and CAIR.
Based on the Step 3 analysis described in section V of this
document, the EPA finds that emissions reductions commensurate with the
full operation of all existing post-combustion controls (both SCRs and
SNCRs) and state-of-the-art combustion control upgrades constitute the
Agency's selected control stringency for EGUs within the borders of 22
states linked to downwind
[[Page 36661]]
nonattainment or maintenance in 2023 (Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin). For
19 of those states that are also linked in 2026 (Arkansas, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia), the EPA is determining that
the selected EGU control stringency also includes emissions reductions
commensurate with the retrofit of SCR at coal-fired units of 100 MW or
greater capacity (excepting circulating fluidized bed units (CFB)), new
SNCR on coal-fired units of less than 100 MW capacity and on CFBs of
any capacity size, and SCR on oil/gas steam units greater than 100 MW
that have historically emitted at least 150 tons of NOX per
ozone season.
To identify appropriate control strategies for non-EGU sources to
achieve NOX emissions reductions that would result in
meaningful air quality improvements in downwind areas, for the proposed
FIP, the EPA evaluated air quality modeling information, annual
emissions, and information about potential controls to determine which
industries, beyond the power sector, could have the greatest impact in
providing ozone air quality improvements in affected downwind states.
Once the EPA identified the industries, the EPA used its Control
Strategy Tool to identify potential emissions units and control
measures and to estimate emissions reductions and compliance costs
associated with application of non-EGU emissions control measures. The
technical memorandum Screening Assessment of Potential Emissions
Reductions, Air Quality Impacts, and Costs from Non-EGU Emissions Units
for 2026 lays out the analytical framework and data used to prepare
proxy estimates for 2026 of potentially affected non-EGU facilities and
emissions units, emissions reductions, and costs.16 17 This
information helped shape the proposal and final rule. To further
evaluate the industries and emissions unit types identified by the
screening assessment and to establish the applicability criteria and
proposed emissions limits, the EPA reviewed Reasonably Available
Control Technology (RACT) rules, New Source Performance Standards
(NSPS) rules, National Emissions Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants
(NESHAP) rules, existing technical studies, rules in approved SIPs,
consent decrees, and permit limits. That evaluation is detailed in the
``Technical Support Document (TSD) for the Proposed Rule, Docket ID No.
EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668, Non-EGU Sectors TSD'' (Dec. 2021), hereinafter
referred to as the Proposed Non-EGU Sectors TSD, prepared for the
proposed FIP.\18\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\16\ The memorandum is available in the docket at https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0150.
\17\ This screening assessment was not intended to identify the
specific emissions units subject to the proposed emissions limits
for non-EGU sources but was intended to inform the development of
the proposed rule by identifying proxies for (1) non-EGU emissions
units that had emissions reduction potential, (2) potential controls
for and emissions reductions from these emissions units, and (3)
control costs from the potential controls on these emissions units.
This information helped shape the proposed rule.
\18\ The TSD is available in the docket at https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0145.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this final rule, the EPA is retaining the industries and many of
the emissions unit types included in the proposal in its findings of
significant contribution at Step 3, as discussed in section V of this
document. As discussed in the memorandum for the final rule, titled
``Summary of Final Rule Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for
Non-EGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the
Final Emissions Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions
Reductions, and Costs,'' the EPA uses the 2019 emissions inventory, the
list of emissions units estimated to be captured by the applicability
criteria, the assumed control technologies that would meet the
emissions limits, and information on control efficiencies and default
cost/ton values from the Control Measures Database,\19\ to estimate
NOX emissions reductions and costs for the year 2026. In
this final rule, the EPA made changes to the applicability criteria and
emissions limits following consideration of comments on the proposal
and reassessed the overall non-EGU emissions reduction strategy based
on the factors at Step 3 to render a judgment as to whether the level
of emissions control that would be achievable from these units meets
the criteria for ``significant contribution.'' In the final rule, we
affirm our proposed determinations of which industries and emissions
units are potentially impactful and warrant further analysis at Step 3,
and we find that the available emissions reductions are cost-effective
and make meaningful improvements at the identified downwind receptors.
For a detailed discussion of the changes, between the proposal and this
final rule, in emissions unit types included and in emissions limits,
see section VI.C. of this document.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\19\ More information about the control measures database (CMDB)
can be found at the following link: https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysis-air-pollution-regulations/cost-analysis-modelstools-air-pollution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA performed air quality analysis using the Ozone Air Quality
Assessment Tool (AQAT) to evaluate the air quality improvements
anticipated to result from the implementation of the selected EGU and
non-EGU emissions reduction strategies. See section V.D of this
document.\20\ We also used AQAT to determine whether the emissions
reductions for both EGUs and non-EGUs potentially create an ``over-
control'' scenario. As in prior transport rules following the holdings
in EME Homer City, overcontrol would be established if the record
indicated that, for any given state, there is a less stringent
emissions control approach for that state, by which (1) the expected
ozone improvements would be sufficient to resolve all of the downwind
receptor(s) to which that state is linked; or (2) the expected ozone
improvements would reduce the upwind state's ozone contributions below
the screening threshold (i.e., 1 percent of the NAAQS or 0.70 ppb) to
all of linked receptors. The EPA's over-control analysis, discussed in
section V.D.4 of this document, shows that the control stringencies for
EGU and non-EGU sources in this final rule do not over-control upwind
states' emissions either with respect to the downwind air quality
problems to which they are linked or with respect to the 1 percent of
the NAAQS contribution threshold, such that over-control would trigger
re-evaluation at Step 3 for any linked upwind state.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\20\ The use of AQAT and other simplified modeling tools to
generate ``appropriately reliable projections of air quality
conditions and contributions'' when there is limited time to conduct
full-scale photochemical grid modeling was upheld by the D.C.
Circuit in MOG v. EPA, No. 21-1146 (D.C. Cir. March 3, 2023). The
EPA has used AQAT for the purpose of air quality and overcontrol
assessments at Step 3 in the prior CSAPR rulemakings, and we
continue to find it reliable for such purposes. We discuss the
calibration of AQAT for this action and the multiple sensitivity
checks we performed to ensure its reliability in the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD in the docket. Because we were able
to conduct a photochemical grid modeling run of the 2026 final rule
policy scenario, these results are also included in the docket and
confirm the regulatory conclusions reached with AQAT. See section
VIII of this document and Appendix 3A of the Final Rule RIA for more
information.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Based on the multi-factor test applied to both EGU and non-EGU
sources and
[[Page 36662]]
our subsequent assessment of over-control, the EPA finds that the
selected EGU and non-EGU control stringencies constitute the
elimination of significant contribution and interference with
maintenance, without over-controlling emissions, from the 23 upwind
states subject to EGU and non-EGU emissions reductions requirements
under the rule. For additional details about the multi-factor test and
the over-control analysis, see the document titled ``Technical Support
Document (TSD) for the Final Federal Good Neighbor Plan for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard, Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-
2021-0668, Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Proposed Rule TSD'' (Mar.
2023), hereinafter referred to as Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD, included in the docket for this rulemaking.
In this fourth step of the 4-step framework, the EPA is including
enforceable measures in the promulgated FIPs to achieve the required
emissions reductions in each of the 23 states. Specifically, the FIPs
require covered power plants within the borders of 22 states (Alabama,
Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin) to participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program created by the Revised CSAPR Update. Affected
EGUs within the borders of the following 12 states currently
participating in the Group 3 Trading Program will remain in the
program, with revised provisions beginning in the 2023 ozone season,
under this rule: Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia. Affected EGUs within the borders of the following seven
states currently covered by the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 Trading Program (the ``Group 2 trading program'')--Alabama, Arkansas,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin--will transition
from the Group 2 program to the revised Group 3 trading program
beginning with the 2023 control period,\21\ and affected EGUs within
the borders of three states not currently covered by any CSAPR trading
program for seasonal NOX emissions--Minnesota, Nevada, and
Utah--will enter the Group 3 trading program in the 2023 control period
following the effective date of the final rule. In addition, the EPA is
revising other aspects of the Group 3 trading program to better ensure
that this method of implementation at Step 4 provides a durable remedy
for the elimination of the amount of emissions deemed to constitute
significant contribution at Step 3 of the interstate transport
framework. These enhancements, summarized later in this section, are
designed to operate together to maintain that degree of control
stringency over time, thus improving emissions performance at
individual units and offering a necessary measure of assurance that
NOX pollution controls will be operated throughout each
ozone season, as described in section VI.B of this document. This
rulemaking does not revise the budget stringency and geography of the
existing CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 trading program.
Aside from the seven states moving from the Group 2 trading program to
the Group 3 trading program under the final rule, this rule otherwise
leaves unchanged the budget stringency of the existing CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 trading program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\21\ The EPA will deem participation in the Group 3 trading
program by the EGUs in these seven states as also addressing the
respective states' good neighbor obligations with respect to the
2008 ozone NAAQS (for all seven states), the 1997 ozone NAAQS (for
all the states except Texas), and the 1979 ozone NAAQS (for Alabama
and Missouri) to the same extent that those obligations are
currently being addressed by participation of the states' EGUs in
the Group 2 trading program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is establishing preset ozone season NOX
emissions budgets for each ozone season from 2023 through 2029, using
generally the same Group 3 trading program budget-setting methodology
used in the Revised CSAPR Update, as explained in section VI.B of this
document and as shown in Table I.B-1. The preset budgets for the 2026
through 2029 ozone seasons incorporate EGU emissions reductions to
eliminate significant contribution and also take into account a
substantial number of known retirements over that period to ensure the
elimination of significant contribution is maintained as intended by
this rule. These budgets serve as floors and may be supplanted by a
budget that the EPA calculates for that control period using more
recent information (a ``dynamic budget'') if that dynamic budget yields
a higher level of allowable emissions--still consistent with the Step 3
level of emissions control stringency--than the preset budget. As
reflected in Table I.B-1, and accounting for both the stringency of the
rule and known fleet change, the 2026 preset budget is 23 percent lower
than the 2025 preset budget; the 2027 preset budget is 20 percent lower
than the 2026 preset budget; the 2028 preset budget is 4 percent lower
than the 2027 preset budget; and the 2029 preset budget is 8 percent
lower than the 2028 preset budget.
While it is possible that additional EGUs may seek to retire in
this 2026-2029 period than are currently scheduled and captured in the
preset emissions budgets, it is also possible that EGUs with currently
scheduled retirements may adjust their retirement timing to accommodate
the timing of replacement generation and/or transmission upgrades
necessitated by their retirement. While the EPA designed this final
rule to provide preset budgets through 2029 to incorporate known
retirement-related emissions reductions to ensure the elimination of
significant contribution as identified at Step 3 is maintained over
time, the use of these floors also provides generators and grid
operators enhanced certainty regarding the minimum amount of allowable
NOX emissions for reliability planning through the 2020s. By
providing the opportunity for dynamic budgets to subsequently calibrate
budgets to any unforeseen increases in fleet demand, it also ensures
this rule will not interfere with ongoing retirement scheduling or
adjustments and thus is robust to future uncertainty during a
transition period.
The EPA also believes the likelihood and magnitude of a scenario in
which a state's preset emissions budgets during this period would
authorize more emissions than the corresponding dynamic budget is low.
As described elsewhere, dynamic budgets are incorporated to best
calibrate the rule's stringency to future unknown changes to the fleet.
The circumstances in which a dynamic budget would produce a level of
allowable emissions less than preset budgets is most pronounced for
future periods in which there is a high degree of unknown retirements
(increasing the risk that budgets are not appropriately calibrated to
the reduced fossil fuel heat input post retirement). However, the 2026-
2029 period presents a case where retirement planning has been
announced with greater lead time than normal due to a combination of
utility 2030 decarbonization commitments, and Effluent Limitation
Guideline (ELG) and Coal Combustion Residual (CCR) alternative
compliance pathways available to units planning to cease combustion of
coal by December 31, 2028. For each of these existing rules, facilities
that are planning to retire have already conveyed that intention to EPA
in order to take advantage of the alternative compliance pathways
[[Page 36663]]
available to such facilities.\22\ Therefore, the likelihood of unknown
retirements--leading to lower dynamic budgets--is much lower than
typical for this time horizon. This makes EPA's balanced use of preset
emissions budgets or dynamic budgets if they exceed preset levels a
reasonable mechanism to accommodate planning and fleet transition
dynamics during this period. The need and reasoning for the limited-
period preset budget floor is further discussed in section VI.B.4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\22\ Notices of Planned Participation for the ELG
Reconsideration Rule were due October 31, 2021 (85 FR 64708, 64679).
For the CCR Action, facilities had to indicate their future plans to
cease receipt of waste by April 11, 2021 (85 FR 53517).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For control periods in 2030 and thereafter, the emissions budgets
will be the amounts calculated for each state and noticed to the public
roughly one year before the control period, using the dynamic budget-
setting methodology. In this manner, the stringency of the program will
be secured and sustained in the dynamic budgets of this program,
regardless of whatever EGU transition activities ultimately occur in
this 2026-2029 transition period.
Table I.B-1--Preset CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 State Emissions Budgets (tons) for 2023 Through 2029 Control Periods *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2023 State 2024 State 2025 State 2026 State 2027 State 2028 State 2029 State
State budget budget budget budget ** budget ** budget ** budget **
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama................................. 6,379 6,489 6,489 6,339 6,236 6,236 5,105
Arkansas................................ 8,927 8,927 8,927 6,365 4,031 4,031 3,582
Illinois................................ 7,474 7,325 7,325 5,889 5,363 4,555 4,050
Indiana................................. 12,440 11,413 11,413 8,410 8,135 7,280 5,808
Kentucky................................ 13,601 12,999 12,472 10,190 7,908 7,837 7,392
Louisiana............................... 9,363 9,363 9,107 6,370 3,792 3,792 3,639
Maryland................................ 1,206 1,206 1,206 842 842 842 842
Michigan................................ 10,727 10,275 10,275 6,743 5,691 5,691 4,656
Minnesota............................... 5,504 4,058 4,058 4,058 2,905 2,905 2,578
Mississippi............................. 6,210 5,058 5,037 3,484 2,084 1,752 1,752
Missouri................................ 12,598 11,116 11,116 9,248 7,329 7,329 7,329
Nevada.................................. 2,368 2,589 2,545 1,142 1,113 1,113 880
New Jersey.............................. 773 773 773 773 773 773 773
New York................................ 3,912 3,912 3,912 3,650 3,388 3,388 3,388
Ohio.................................... 9,110 7,929 7,929 7,929 7,929 6,911 6,409
Oklahoma................................ 10,271 9,384 9,376 6,631 3,917 3,917 3,917
Pennsylvania............................ 8,138 8,138 8,138 7,512 7,158 7,158 4,828
Texas................................... 40,134 40,134 38,542 31,123 23,009 21,623 20,635
Utah.................................... 15,755 15,917 15,917 6,258 2,593 2,593 2,593
Virginia................................ 3,143 2,756 2,756 2,565 2,373 2,373 1,951
West Virginia........................... 13,791 11,958 11,958 10,818 9,678 9,678 9,678
Wisconsin............................... 6,295 6,295 5,988 4,990 3,416 3,416 3,416
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total............................... 208,119 198,014 195,259 151,329 119,663 115,193 105,201
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Further information on the state-level emissions budget calculations pertaining to Table I.B-1 is provided in section VI.B.4 of this document as well
as the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. Further information on the approach for allocating a portion of Utah's emissions budget for
each control period to the existing EGU in the Uintah and Ouray Reservation within Utah's borders is provided in section VI.B.9 of this document.
** As described in section VI of this document, the budget for these years will be subsequently determined and equal the greater of the value above or
that derived from the dynamic budget methodology.
The budget-setting methodology that the EPA will use to determine
dynamic budgets for each control period starting with 2026 is an
extension of the methodology used to determine the preset budgets and
will be used routinely to determine emissions budgets for each future
control period in the year before that control period, with each
emissions budget reflecting the latest available information on the
composition and utilization of the EGU fleet at the time that emissions
budget is determined. The stringency of the dynamic emissions budgets
will simply reflect the stringency of the emissions control strategies
selected in the rulemaking more consistently over time and ensure that
the annual updates would eliminate emissions determined to be unlawful
under the good neighbor provision. As already noted, for the control
periods in which both preset budgets and dynamic budgets are determined
for a state (i.e., 2026 through 2029), the state's dynamic budget will
apply only if it is higher than the state's preset budget. See section
VI.B of this document for additional discussion of the EPA's method for
adjusting emissions budgets to ensure elimination of significant
contribution from EGU sources in the linked upwind states.
In conjunction with the levels of the emissions budgets, the
carryover of unused allowances for use in future control periods as
banked allowances affects the ability of a trading program to maintain
the rule's selected control stringency and related EGU effective
emissions rate performance level as the EGU fleet evolves over time.
Unrestricted banking of allowances allows what might otherwise be
temporary surpluses of allowances in some individual control periods to
accumulate into a long-term allowance surplus that reduces allowance
prices and weakens the trading program's incentives to control
emissions. To prevent this outcome, the EPA is also revising the Group
3 trading program by adding provisions that establish a routine
recalibration process for banked allowances using a target percentage
of 21 percent for the 2024-2029 control periods and 10.5 percent for
control periods in 2030 and later years.
As an enhancement to the structure of the trading program
originally promulgated in the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA is also
establishing backstop daily emissions rates for coal
[[Page 36664]]
steam EGUs greater than or equal to 100 MW in covered states. Starting
with the 2024 control period, a 3-for-1 allowance surrender ratio
(instead of the usual 1-for-1 surrender ratio) will apply to emissions
during the ozone season from any large coal-fired EGU with existing SCR
controls exceeding by more than 50 tons a daily average NOX
emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. The daily average emissions rate
provisions will apply to large coal-fired EGUs without existing SCR
controls starting with the second control period in which newly
installed SCR controls are operational at the unit, but not later than
the 2030 control period.
The backstop daily emissions rates work in tandem with the ozone
season emissions budgets to ensure the elimination of significant
contribution as determined at Step 3 is maintained over time and more
consistently throughout each ozone season. They will offer downwind
receptor areas a necessary measure of assurance that they will be
protected on a daily basis during the ozone season by more continuous
and consistent operation of installed pollution controls. The EPA's
experience with the CSAPR trading programs has revealed instances where
EGUs have reduced their SCRs' performance on a given day, or across the
entire ozone seasons in some cases, including high ozone days.\23\ In
addition to maintaining a mass-based seasonal requirement, this rule
will achieve a much more consistent level of emissions control in line
with our Step 3 determination of significant contribution while
maintaining compliance flexibility consistent with that determination.
These trading program improvements will promote consistent emissions
control performance across the power sector in the linked upwind
states, which protects communities living in downwind ozone
nonattainment areas from exceedances of the NAAQS that might otherwise
occur.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\23\ See 86 FR 23090. The EPA highlighted the Miami Fort Unit 7
(possessing a SCR) more than tripled its ozone-season NOX
emission rate between 2017 and 2019.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is including enforceable emissions control requirements
that will apply during the ozone season (annually from May to
September) for nine non-EGU industries in the promulgated FIPs to
achieve the required emissions reductions in 20 states with remaining
interstate transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS in 2026:
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia. These
requirements would apply to all existing emissions units and to any
future emissions units constructed in the covered states that meet the
relevant applicability criteria. Thus, the emissions limitations for
non-EGU sources and associated compliance requirements would apply in
all 20 states listed in this paragraph, even if some of these states do
not currently have any existing emissions units meeting the
applicability criteria for the identified industries.
Based on our evaluation of the time required to install controls at
the types of non-EGU sources covered by this rule, the EPA has
identified the 2026 ozone season as a reasonable compliance date for
industrial sources. The EPA is therefore finalizing control
requirements for non-EGU sources that take effect in 2026. However, in
recognition of comments and additional information indicating that not
all facilities may be capable of meeting the control requirements by
that time, the final rule provides a process by which the EPA may grant
compliance extensions of up to 1 year, which if approved by the EPA,
would require compliance no later than the 2027 ozone season, followed
by an additional possible extension of up to 2 more years, where
specific criteria are met. For sources located in the 20 states listed
in the previous paragraph, the EPA is finalizing the NOX
emissions limits listed in Table I.B-2 for reciprocating internal
combustion engines in Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas; the
NOX emissions limits listed in Table I.B-3 for kilns in
Cement and Cement Product Manufacturing; the NOX emissions
limits listed in Table I.B-4 for reheat furnaces in Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing; the NOX emissions limits
listed in Table I.B-5 for furnaces in Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing; the NOX emissions limits listed in Table I.B-
6 for boilers in Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing,
Metal Ore Mining, Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, and Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and the
NOX emissions limits listed in Table I.B-7 for combustors
and incinerators in Solid Waste Combustors or Incinerators.
Table I.B-2--Summary of NOX Emissions Limits for Pipeline Transportation
of Natural Gas
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions limit
Engine type and fuel (g/hp-hr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Rich Burn........... 1.0
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Lean Burn........... 1.5
Natural Gas Fired Two Stroke Lean Burn............ 3.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table I.B-3--Summary of NOX Emissions Limits for Kiln Types in Cement
and Concrete Product Manufacturing
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions limit
Kiln type (lb/ton of clinker)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long Wet.......................................... 4.0
Long Dry.......................................... 3.0
Preheater......................................... 3.8
Precalciner....................................... 2.3
Preheater/Precalciner............................. 2.8
------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 36665]]
Based on evaluation of comments received, the EPA is not, at this
time, finalizing the source cap limit as proposed at 87 FR 20046 (see
section VII.C.2 of the April 6, 2022, Proposal).
Table I.B-4--Summary of NOX Control Requirements for Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloy Emissions Units
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions standard or
Emissions unit requirement (lb/mmBtu)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reheat furnace......................... Test and set limit based on
installation of Low-NOX
Burners.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table I.B-5--Summary of NOX Emissions Limits for Furnace Unit Types in
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions limit (lb/ton
Furnace type of glass produced)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Container Glass Manufacturing Furnace...... 4.0
Pressed/Blown Glass Manufacturing Furnace 4.0
or Fiberglass Manufacturing Furnace.......
Flat Glass Manufacturing Furnace........... 7.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table I.B-6--Summary of NOX Emissions Limits for Boilers in Iron and
Steel and Ferroalloy Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Emissions limit (lbs
Unit type NOX/mmBtu)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coal.............................................. 0.20
Residual oil...................................... 0.20
Distillate oil.................................... 0.12
Natural gas....................................... 0.08
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table I.B-7--Summary of NOX Emissions Limits for Combustors and
Incinerators in Solid Waste Combustors or Incinerators
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions limit
Combustor or incinerator, averaging period (ppmvd)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging period......... 110
ppmvd on a 30-day rolling averaging period........ 105
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Section VI.C of this document provides an overview of the
applicability criteria, compliance assurance requirements, and the
EPA's rationale for establishing these emissions limits and control
requirements for each of the non-EGU industries covered by the rule.
The remainder of this preamble is organized as follows: section II
of this document outlines general applicability criteria and describes
the EPA's legal authority for this rule and the relationship of the
rule to previous interstate ozone transport rulemakings. Section III of
this document describes the human health and environmental challenges
posed by interstate transport contributions to ozone air quality
problems, as well as the EPA's overall approach for addressing
interstate transport for the 2015 ozone NAAQS in this rule. Section IV
of this document describes the Agency's analyses of air quality data to
inform this rulemaking, including descriptions of the air quality
modeling platform and emissions inventories used in the rule, as well
as the EPA's methods for identifying downwind air quality problems and
upwind states' ozone transport contributions to downwind states.
Section V of this document describes the EPA's approach to quantifying
upwind states' obligations in the form of EGU NOX control
stringencies and non-EGU emissions limits. Section VI of this document
describes key elements of the implementation schedule for EGU and non-
EGU emissions reductions requirements, including details regarding the
revised aspects of the CSAPR NOX Group 3 trading program and
compliance deadlines, as well as regulatory requirements and compliance
deadlines for non-EGU sources. Section VII of this document discusses
the environmental justice analysis of the rule, as well as outreach and
engagement efforts. Section VIII of this document describes the
expected costs, benefits, and other impacts of this rule. Section IX of
this document provides a summary of changes to the existing regulatory
text applicable to the EGUs covered by this rule; and section X of this
document discusses the statutory and executive orders affecting this
rulemaking.
C. Costs and Benefits
A summary of the key results of the cost-benefit analysis that was
prepared for this final rule is presented in Table I.C-1. Table I.C-1
presents estimates of the present values (PV) and equivalent annualized
values (EAV), calculated using discount rates of 3 and 7 percent as
recommended by OMB's Circular A-4, of the health and climate benefits,
compliance costs, and net benefits of the final rule, in 2016 dollars,
discounted to 2023. The estimated monetized net benefits are the
estimated monetized benefits minus the estimated monetized costs of the
final rule. These results present an incomplete overview of the effects
of the rule because important
[[Page 36666]]
categories of benefits--including benefits from reducing other types of
air pollutants, and water pollution--were not monetized and are
therefore not reflected in the cost-benefit tables. We anticipate that
taking non-monetized effects into account would show the rule to be
more net beneficial than this table reflects.
Table I.C-1--Estimated Monetized Health and Climate Benefits, Compliance
Costs, and Net Benefits of the Final Rule, 2023 Through 2042
[Millions 2016$, discounted to 2023] \a\
------------------------------------------------------------------------
3% Discount 7% Discount
rate rate
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Present Value:
Health Benefits \b\................. $200,000 $130,000
Climate Benefits \c\................ 15,000 15,000
Compliance Costs \d\................ 14,000 9,400
Net Benefits........................ 200,000 140,000
Equivalent Annualized Value:
Health Benefits..................... 13,000 12,000
Climate Benefits.................... 970 970
Compliance Costs.................... 910 770
Net Benefits........................ 13,000 12,000
------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
\b\ The annualized present value of costs and benefits are calculated
over a 20-year period from 2023 to 2042. Monetized benefits include
those related to public health associated with reductions in ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations. The health benefits are associated with two
point estimates and are presented at real discount rates of 3 and 7
percent. Several categories of benefits remain unmonetized and are
thus not reflected in the table.
\c\ Climate benefits are calculated using four different estimates of
the social cost of carbon (SC-CO2 (model average at 2.5 percent, 3
percent, and 5 percent discount rates; 95th percentile at 3 percent
discount rate). For presentational purposes in this table, the climate
benefits associated with the average SC-CO2 at a 3-percent discount
rate are used in the columns displaying results of other costs and
benefits that are discounted at either a 3-percent or 7-percent
discount rate.
\d\ The costs presented in this table are consistent with the costs
presented in Chapter 4 of the Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA). To
estimate these annualized costs for EGUs, the EPA uses a conventional
and widely accepted approach that applies a capital recovery factor
(CRF) multiplier to capital investments and adds that to the annual
incremental operating expenses. Costs were calculated using a 3.76
percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM's
objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on
the discount rate use, please see Chapter 4, Table 4-8 in the RIA.
As shown in Table I.C-1, the PV of the monetized health benefits,
associated with reductions in ozone and PM2.5 concentrations, of this
final rule, discounted at a 3-percent discount rate, is estimated to be
about $200 billion ($200,000 million), with an EAV of about $13 billion
($13,000 million). At a 7-percent discount rate, the PV of the
monetized health benefits is estimated to be $130 billion ($130,000
million), with an EAV of about $12 billion ($12,000 million). The PV of
the monetized climate benefits, associated with reductions in GHG
emissions, of this final rule, discounted at a 3-percent discount rate,
is estimated to be about $15 billion ($15,000 million), with an EAV of
about $970 million. The PV of the monetized compliance costs,
discounted at a 3-percent rate, is estimated to be about $14 billion
($14,000 million), with an EAV of about $910 million. At a 7-percent
discount rate, the PV of the compliance costs is estimated to be about
$9.4 billion ($9,400 million), with an EAV of about $770 million.
II. General Information
A. Does this action apply to me?
This rule affects EGU and non-EGU sources, and regulates the groups
identified in Table II.A-1.
Table II.A-1--Regulated Groups
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Industry group NAICS
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fossil fuel-fired electric power generation............. 221112
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas.................. 4862
Metal Ore Mining........................................ 2122
Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing............... 3273
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing....... 3311
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing................... 3272
Basic Chemical Manufacturing............................ 3251
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing............... 3241
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills....................... 3221
Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators................. 562213
------------------------------------------------------------------------
This table is not intended to be exhaustive, but rather provides a
guide for readers regarding entities likely to be regulated by this
rule. This table lists the types of entities that the EPA is now aware
could potentially be regulated by this rule. Other types of entities
not listed in the table could also be regulated. To determine whether
your EGU entity is regulated by this rule, you should carefully examine
the applicability criteria found in 40 CFR 97.1004, which are unchanged
in this rule. If you have questions regarding the applicability of this
rule to a particular entity, consult the person listed in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
[[Page 36667]]
B. What action is the Agency taking?
The EPA evaluated whether interstate ozone transport emissions from
upwind states are significantly contributing to nonattainment, or
interfering with maintenance, of the 2015 ozone NAAQS in any downwind
state using the same 4-step interstate transport framework that was
developed in previous ozone transport rulemakings. The EPA finds that
emissions reductions are required from EGU and non-EGU sources in a
total of 23 upwind states to eliminate significant contribution to
downwind air quality problems for the 2015 ozone standard under the
interstate transport provision of the CAA. The EPA will ensure that
these NOX emissions reductions are achieved by issuing FIP
requirements for 23 states: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin.
The EPA is revising the existing CSAPR Group 3 Trading Program to
include additional states beginning in the 2023 ozone season. EGUs in
three states not currently covered by any CSAPR trading program for
seasonal NOX emissions--Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah--will be
added to the CSAPR Group 3 Trading Program under this rule. EGUs in
twelve states currently participating in the Group 3 Trading Program
will remain in the program under this rule: Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia. EGUs in seven states
(Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin) will transition from the CSAPR Group 2 Trading Program to
the CSAPR Group 3 Trading Program under this rule beginning in the 2023
ozone season. The EPA is establishing control stringency levels
reflecting installation of state-of-the-art combustion controls on
certain covered EGU sources in emissions budgets beginning in the 2024
ozone season. The EPA is establishing control stringency levels
reflecting installation of new SCR or SNCR controls on certain covered
EGU sources in emissions budgets beginning in the 2026 ozone season.
As a complement to the ozone season emissions budgets, the EPA is
also establishing a backstop daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu for
coal-fired steam units greater than or equal to 100 MW in covered
states. The backstop emissions rate will first apply in 2024 for coal-
fired steam sources with existing SCRs, and in the second control
period in which a new SCR operates, but not later than 2030, for those
currently without SCRs.
This rule establishes emissions limitations for non-EGU sources in
20 states: Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia. In these states, the EPA is establishing control
requirements for the following unit types in non-EGU industries:
reciprocating internal combustion engines in Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas; kilns in Cement and Cement Product Manufacturing; reheat
furnaces in Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing; furnaces
in Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers in Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and combustors and incinerators in Solid
Waste Combustors and Incinerators. See Table II.A-1 in this document
for a list of NAICS codes for each entity included for regulation in
this rule.
This rule reduces the transport of ozone precursor emissions to
downwind areas, which is protective of human health and the environment
because acute and chronic exposure to ozone are both associated with
negative health impacts. Ozone exposure is also associated with
negative effects on ecosystems. Additional information on the air
quality issues addressed by this rule are included in section III of
this document.
C. What is the Agency's legal authority for taking this action?
The statutory authority for this rule is provided by the CAA as
amended (42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.). Specifically, sections 110 and 301 of
the CAA provide the primary statutory underpinnings for this rule. The
most relevant portions of CAA section 110 are subsections 110(a)(1),
110(a)(2) (including 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)) and 110(c)(1)).
CAA section 110(a)(1) provides that states must make SIP
submissions ``within 3 years (or such shorter period as the
Administrator may prescribe) after the promulgation of a national
primary ambient air quality standard (or any revision thereof),'' and
that these SIP submissions are to provide for the ``implementation,
maintenance, and enforcement'' of such NAAQS.\24\ The statute directly
imposes on states the duty to make these SIP submissions, and the
requirement to make the submissions is not conditioned upon the EPA
taking any action other than promulgating a new or revised NAAQS.\25\
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\24\ 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(1).
\25\ See EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. 489,
509-10 (2014).
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The EPA has historically referred to SIP submissions made for the
purpose of satisfying the applicable requirements of CAA sections
110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2) as ``infrastructure SIP'' or ``iSIP''
submissions. CAA section 110(a)(1) addresses the timing and general
requirements for iSIP submissions, and CAA section 110(a)(2) provides
more details concerning the required content of these submissions.\26\
It includes a list of specific elements that ``[e]ach such plan'' must
address.\27\
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\26\ 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2).
\27\ The EPA's general approach to infrastructure SIP
submissions is explained in greater detail in individual notices
acting or proposing to act on state infrastructure SIP submissions
and in guidance. See, e.g., Memorandum from Stephen D. Page on
Guidance on Infrastructure State Implementation Plan (SIP) Elements
under Clean Air Act Sections 110(a)(1) and 110(a)(2) (September 13,
2013).
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CAA section 110(c)(1) requires the Administrator to promulgate a
FIP at any time within 2 years after the Administrator: (1) finds that
a state has failed to make a required SIP submission; (2) finds a SIP
submission to be incomplete pursuant to CAA section 110(k)(1)(C); or
(3) disapproves a SIP submission. This obligation applies unless the
state corrects the deficiency through a SIP revision that the
Administrator approves before the FIP is promulgated.\28\
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\28\ 42 U.S.C. 7410(c)(1).
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CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), also known as the ``good neighbor''
provision, provides the primary basis for this rule.\29\ It requires
that each state SIP include provisions sufficient to ``prohibit[ ],
consistent with the provisions of this subchapter, any source or other
type of emissions activity within the State from emitting any air
pollutant in amounts which will--(I) contribute significantly to
nonattainment in, or interfere with maintenance by, any other State
with respect to any [NAAQS].'' \30\ The EPA often refers to the
emissions reduction requirements under this provision as ``good
neighbor obligations'' and submissions addressing these requirements as
``good neighbor SIPs.''
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\29\ 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
\30\ Id.
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[[Page 36668]]
Once the EPA promulgates a NAAQS, the EPA must designate areas as
being in ``attainment'' or ``nonattainment'' of the NAAQS, or
``unclassifiable.'' CAA section 107(d).\31\ For ozone, nonattainment is
further split into five classifications based on the severity of the
violation--Marginal, Moderate, Serious, Severe, or Extreme. Higher
classifications provide states with progressively more time to attain
while imposing progressively more stringent control requirements. See
CAA sections 181, 182.\32\ In general, states with nonattainment areas
classified as Moderate or higher must submit plans to the EPA to bring
these areas into attainment according to the statutory schedule. CAA
section 182.\33\ If an area fails to attain the NAAQS by the attainment
date associated with its classification, it is ``bumped up'' to the
next classification. CAA section 181(b).\34\
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\31\ 42 U.S.C. 7407(d).
\32\ 42 U.S.C. 7511, 7511a.
\33\ 42 U.S.C. 7511a.
\34\ 42 U.S.C. 7511(b).
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Section 301(a)(1) of the CAA gives the Administrator the general
authority to prescribe such regulations as are necessary to carry out
functions under the Act.\35\ Pursuant to this section, the EPA has
authority to clarify the applicability of CAA requirements and
undertake other rulemaking action as necessary to implement CAA
requirements. CAA section 301 affords the Agency any additional
authority that may be needed to make certain other changes to its
regulations under 40 CFR parts 52, 75, 78, and 97, to effectuate the
purposes of the Act. Such changes are discussed in section IX of this
document.
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\35\ 42 U.S.C. 7601(a)(1).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tribes are not required to submit state implementation plans.
However, as explained in the EPA's regulations outlining Tribal Clean
Air Act authority, the EPA is authorized to promulgate FIPs for Indian
country as necessary or appropriate to protect air quality if a tribe
does not submit, and obtain the EPA's approval of, an implementation
plan. See 40 CFR 49.11(a); see also CAA section 301(d)(4).\36\ In the
proposed rule, the EPA proposed an ``appropriate or necessary'' finding
under CAA section 301(d) and proposed tribal FIP(s) as necessary to
implement the relevant requirements. The EPA is finalizing these
determinations, as further discussed in section III.C.2 of this
document.
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\36\ 42 U.S.C. 7601(d)(4).
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D. What actions has the EPA previously issued to address regional ozone
transport?
The EPA has issued several previous rules interpreting and
clarifying the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) with
respect to the regional transport of ozone. These rules, and the
associated court decisions addressing these rules, summarized here,
provide important direction regarding the requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
The ``NOX SIP Call,'' promulgated in 1998, addressed the
good neighbor provision for the 1979 1-hour ozone NAAQS.\37\ The rule
required 22 states and the District of Columbia to amend their SIPs to
reduce NOX emissions that contribute to ozone nonattainment
in downwind states. The EPA set ozone season NOX budgets for
each state, and the states were given the option to participate in a
regional allowance trading program, known as the NOX Budget
Trading Program.\38\ The D.C. Circuit largely upheld the NOX
SIP Call in Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663 (D.C. Cir. 2000), cert.
denied, 532 U.S. 904 (2001).
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\37\ Finding of Significant Contribution and Rulemaking for
Certain States in the Ozone Transport Assessment Group Region for
Purposes of Reducing Regional Transport of Ozone, 63 FR 57356 (Oct.
27, 1998). As originally promulgated, the NOX SIP Call
also addressed good neighbor obligations under the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS, but EPA subsequently stayed and later rescinded the rule's
provisions with respect to that standard. See 84 FR 8422 (March 8,
2019).
\38\ ``Allowance Trading,'' sometimes referred to as ``cap and
trade,'' is an approach to reducing pollution that has been used
successfully to protect human health and the environment. The design
elements of the EPA's most recent trading programs are discussed in
section VI.B.1.a of this document.
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The EPA's next rule addressing the good neighbor provision, CAIR,
was promulgated in 2005 and addressed both the 1997 fine particulate
matter (PM2.5) NAAQS and 1997 ozone NAAQS.\39\ CAIR required
SIP revisions in 28 states and the District of Columbia to reduce
emissions of sulfur dioxide (SO2) or NOX--
important precursors of regionally transported PM2.5
(SO2 and annual NOX) and ozone (summer-time
NOX). As in the NOX SIP Call, states were given
the option to participate in regional trading programs to achieve the
reductions. When the EPA promulgated the final CAIR in 2005, the EPA
also issued findings that states nationwide had failed to submit SIPs
to address the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) with respect
to the 1997 PM2.5 and 1997 ozone NAAQS.\40\ On March 15,
2006, the EPA promulgated FIPs to implement the emissions reductions
required by CAIR.\41\ CAIR was remanded to EPA by the D.C. Circuit in
North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir.), modified on reh'g, 550
F.3d 1176 (D.C. Cir. 2008). For more information on the legal issues
underlying CAIR and the D.C. Circuit's holding in North Carolina, refer
to the preamble of the CSAPR rule.\42\
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\39\ Rule To Reduce Interstate Transport of Fine Particulate
Matter and Ozone (Clean Air Interstate Rule); Revisions to Acid Rain
Program; Revisions to the NOX SIP Call, 70 FR 25162 (May
12, 2005).
\40\ 70 FR 21147 (April 25, 2005).
\41\ 71 FR 25328 (April 28, 2006).
\42\ Federal Implementation Plans: Interstate Transport of Fine
Particulate Matter and Ozone and Correction of SIP Approvals, 76 FR
48208, 48217 (August 8, 2011).
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In 2011, the EPA promulgated CSAPR to address the issues raised by
the remand of CAIR. CSAPR addressed the two NAAQS at issue in CAIR and
additionally addressed the good neighbor provision for the 2006
PM2.5 NAAQS.\43\ CSAPR required 28 states to reduce
SO2 emissions, annual NOX emissions, or ozone
season NOX emissions that significantly contribute to other
states' nonattainment or interfere with other states' abilities to
maintain these air quality standards.\44\ To align implementation with
the applicable attainment deadlines, the EPA promulgated FIPs for each
of the 28 states covered by CSAPR. The FIPs require EGUs in the covered
states to participate in regional trading programs to achieve the
necessary emissions reductions. Each state can submit a good neighbor
SIP at any time that, if approved by EPA, would replace the CSAPR FIP
for that state.
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\43\ 76 FR 48208.
\44\ CSAPR was revised by several rulemakings after its initial
promulgation to revise certain states' budgets and to promulgate
FIPs for five additional states addressing the good neighbor
obligation for the 1997 ozone NAAQS. See 76 FR 80760 (December 27,
2011); 77 FR 10324 (February 21, 2012); 77 FR 34830 (June 12, 2012).
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CSAPR was the subject of an adverse decision by the D.C. Circuit in
August 2012.\45\ However, this decision was reversed in April 2014 by
the Supreme Court, which largely upheld the rule, including the EPA's
approach to addressing interstate transport in CSAPR. EPA v. EME Homer
City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. 489 (2014) (EME Homer City I). The rule
was remanded to the D.C. Circuit to consider claims not addressed by
the Supreme Court. Id. In July 2015 the D.C. Circuit
[[Page 36669]]
generally affirmed the EPA's interpretation of various statutory
provisions and the EPA's technical decisions. EME Homer City
Generation, L.P. v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118 (2015) (EME Homer City II).
However, the court remanded the rule without vacatur for
reconsideration of the EPA's emissions budgets for certain states,
which the court found may have over-controlled those states' emissions
with respect to the downwind air quality problems to which the states
were linked. Id. at 129-30, 138. For more information on the legal
issues associated with CSAPR and the Supreme Court's and D.C. Circuit's
decisions in the EME Homer City litigation, refer to the preamble of
the CSAPR Update.\46\
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\45\ On August 21, 2012, the D.C. Circuit issued a decision in
EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. EPA, 696 F.3d 7 (D.C. Cir. 2012),
vacating CSAPR. The EPA sought review with the D.C. Circuit en banc
and the D.C. Circuit declined to consider the EPA's appeal en banc.
EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. EPA, No. 11-1302 (D.C. Cir.
January 24, 2013), ECF No. 1417012 (denying EPA's motion for
rehearing en banc).
\46\ Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update for the 2008 Ozone
NAAQS, 81 FR 74504, 74511 (October 26, 2016).
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In 2016, the EPA promulgated the CSAPR Update to address interstate
transport of ozone pollution with respect to the 2008 ozone NAAQS.\47\
The final rule updated the CSAPR ozone season NOX emissions
budgets for 22 states to achieve cost-effective and immediately
feasible NOX emissions reductions from EGUs within those
states.\48\ The EPA aligned the analysis and implementation of the
CSAPR Update with the 2017 ozone season to assist downwind states with
timely attainment of the 2008 ozone NAAQS.\49\ The CSAPR Update
implemented the budgets through FIPs requiring sources to participate
in a revised CSAPR NOX ozone season trading program
beginning with the 2017 ozone season. As under CSAPR, each state could
submit a good neighbor SIP at any time that, if approved by the EPA,
would replace the CSAPR Update FIP for that state. The final CSAPR
Update also addressed the remand by the D.C. Circuit of certain states'
CSAPR phase 2 ozone season NOX emissions budgets in EME
Homer City II.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\47\ 81 FR 74504.
\48\ One state, Kansas, was made newly subject to ozone season
NOX requirements by the CSAPR Update. All other CSAPR
Update states were already subject to ozone season NOX
requirements under CSAPR.
\49\ 81 FR 74516. The EPA's final 2008 Ozone NAAQS SIP
Requirements Rule, 80 FR 12264, 12268 (March 6, 2015), revised the
attainment deadline for ozone nonattainment areas designated as
Moderate to July 20, 2018. See 40 CFR 51.1103. To demonstrate
attainment by this deadline, states were required to rely on design
values calculated using ozone season data from 2015 through 2017,
since the July 20, 2018, deadline did not afford enough time for
measured data of the full 2018 ozone season.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In December 2018, the EPA promulgated the CSAPR ``Close-Out,''
which determined that no further enforceable reductions in emissions of
NOX were required with respect to the 2008 ozone NAAQS for
20 of the 22 eastern states covered by the CSAPR Update.\50\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\50\ Determination Regarding Good Neighbor Obligations for the
2008 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard, 83 FR 65878, 65882
(December 21, 2018). After promulgating the CSAPR Update and before
promulgating the CSAPR Close-Out, the EPA approved a SIP from
Kentucky resolving the Commonwealth's good neighbor obligations for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS. 83 FR 33730 (July 17, 2018). In the Revised
CSAPR Update, the EPA made an error correction under CAA section
110(k)(6) to convert this approval to a disapproval, because the
Kentucky approval relied on the same analysis which the D.C. Circuit
determined to be unlawful in the CSAPR Close-Out.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The CSAPR Update and the CSAPR Close-Out were both subject to legal
challenges in the D.C. Circuit. Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C.
Cir. 2019) (Wisconsin); New York v. EPA, 781 Fed. App'x 4 (D.C. Cir.
2019) (New York). In September 2019, the D.C. Circuit upheld the CSAPR
Update in virtually all respects but remanded the rule because it was
partial in nature and did not fully eliminate upwind states'
significant contribution to nonattainment or interference with
maintenance of the 2008 ozone NAAQS by ``the relevant downwind
attainment deadlines'' in the CAA. Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 313-15. In
October 2019, the D.C. Circuit vacated the CSAPR Close-Out on the same
grounds that it remanded the CSAPR Update in Wisconsin, specifically
because the Close-Out rule did not address good neighbor obligations by
``the next applicable attainment date'' of downwind states. New York,
781 Fed. App'x at 7.\51\
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\51\ Subsequently, the D.C. Circuit made clear in a decision
reviewing the EPA's denial of a petition under CAA section 126 that
the holding in Wisconsin regarding alignment with downwind area's
attainment schedules applies with equal force to the Marginal area
attainment date established under CAA section 181(a). See Maryland
v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185, 1203-04 (D.C. Cir. 2020).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In response to the Wisconsin remand of the CSAPR Update and the New
York vacatur of the CSAPR Close-Out, the EPA promulgated the Revised
CSAPR Update on April 30, 2021.\52\ The Revised CSAPR Update found that
the CSAPR Update was a full remedy for nine of the covered states. For
the 12 remaining states, the EPA found that their projected 2021 ozone
season NOX emissions would significantly contribute to
downwind states' nonattainment or maintenance problems. The EPA issued
new or amended FIPs for these 12 states and required implementation of
revised emissions budgets for EGUs beginning with the 2021 ozone
season. Based on the EPA's assessment of remaining air quality issues
and additional emissions control strategies for EGUs and emissions
sources in other industry sectors (non-EGUs), the EPA determined that
the NOX emissions reductions achieved by the Revised CSAPR
Update fully eliminated these states' significant contributions to
downwind air quality problems for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. As under the
CSAPR and the CSAPR Update, each state can submit a good neighbor SIP
at any time that, if approved by the EPA, would replace the Revised
CSAPR Update FIP for that state.
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\52\ Revised Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update for the 2008
Ozone NAAQS, 86 FR 23054 (April 30, 2021).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
On March 3, 2023, the D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals denied the
Midwest Ozone Group's (MOG) petition for review of the Revised CSAPR
Update. MOG v. EPA, No. 21-1146 (D.C. Cir. March 3, 2023). The court
noted that it has ``exhaustively'' addressed the interstate transport
framework before, citing relevant cases, and ``incorporate them herein
by reference.'' Slip Op. 1 n.1. In response to MOG's arguments, the
court upheld the Agency's air quality analysis. Id. at 10-11. The court
noted that in light of the statutory timing framework and court-ordered
schedule the EPA was under, the Agency's methodological choices were
reasonable and provided ``an appropriately reliable projection of air
quality conditions and contributions in 2021.'' Id. at 11-12.
III. Air Quality Issues Addressed and Overall Rule Approach
A. The Interstate Ozone Transport Air Quality Challenge
1. Nature of Ozone and the Ozone NAAQS
Ground-level ozone is not emitted directly into the air but is
created by chemical reactions between NOX and volatile
organic compounds (VOCs) in the presence of sunlight. Emissions from
electric utilities and industrial facilities, motor vehicles, gasoline
vapors, and chemical solvents are some of the major sources of
NOX and VOCs.
Because ground-level ozone formation increases with temperature and
sunlight, ozone levels are generally higher during the summer months.
Increased temperature also increases emissions of volatile man-made and
biogenic organics and can also indirectly increase NOX
emissions (e.g., increased electricity generation for air
conditioning).
On October 1, 2015, the EPA strengthened the primary and secondary
ozone standards to 70 ppb as an 8-hour
[[Page 36670]]
level.\53\ Specifically, the standards require that the 3-year average
of the fourth highest 24-hour maximum 8-hour average ozone
concentration may not exceed 70 ppb as a truncated value (i.e., digits
to right of decimal removed).\54\ In general, areas that exceed the
ozone standard are designated as nonattainment areas, pursuant to the
designations process under CAA section 107(d), and are subject to
heightened planning requirements depending on the severity of their
nonattainment classification, see CAA sections 181, 182.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\53\ 80 FR 65291.
\54\ 40 CFR part 50, appendix P.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the process of setting the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA noted that
the conditions conducive to the formation of ozone (i.e., seasonally-
dependent factors such as ambient temperature, strength of solar
insolation, and length of day) differ by location, and that the Agency
believes it is important that ozone monitors operate during all periods
when there is a reasonable possibility of ambient levels approaching
the level of the NAAQS. At that time, the EPA stated that ambient ozone
concentrations in many areas could approach or exceed the level of the
NAAQS, more frequently and during more months of the year compared with
the historical ozone season monitoring lengths. Consequently, the EPA
extended the ozone monitoring season for many locations. See 80 FR
65416 for more details.
Furthermore, the EPA stated that in addition to being affected by
changing emissions, future ozone concentrations may also be affected by
climate change. Modeling studies in the EPA's Interim Assessment (U.S.
EPA, 2009a) that are cited in support of the 2009 Greenhouse Gas
Endangerment Finding under CAA section 202(a) (74 FR 66496, Dec. 15,
2009) as well as a recent assessment of potential climate change
impacts (Fann et al., 2015) project that climate change may lead to
future increases in summer ozone concentrations across the contiguous
U.S.\55\ (80 FR 65300). The U.S. Global Change Research Program's
Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A
Scientific Assessment \56\ and Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the
United States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II \57\
reinforced these findings. The increase in ozone results from changes
in local weather conditions, including temperature and atmospheric
circulation patterns, as well as changes in ozone precursor emissions
that are influenced by meteorology (Nolte et al., 2018). While the
projected impact may not be uniform, climate change has the potential
to increase average summertime ozone relative to a future without
climate change.58 59 60 Climate change has the potential to
offset some of the improvements in ozone air quality, and therefore
some of the improvements in public health, that are expected from
reductions in emissions of ozone precursors (80 FR 65300). The EPA
responds to comments received on the impacts of climate change on ozone
formation in section 11 of the Response to Comments (RTC) document.
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\55\ These modeling studies are based on coupled global climate
and regional air quality models and are designed to assess the
sensitivity of U.S. air quality to climate change. A wide range of
future climate scenarios and future years have been modeled and
there can be variations in the expected response in U.S. O3 by
scenario and across models and years, within the overall signal of
higher summer O3 concentrations in a warmer climate.
\56\ U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), 2016: The
Impacts of Climate Change on Human Health in the United States: A
Scientific Assessment. Crimmins, A., J. Balbus, J.L. Gamble, C.B.
Beard, J.E. Bell, D. Dodgen, R.J. Eisen, N. Fann, M.D. Hawkins, S.C.
Herring, L. Jantarasami, D.M. Mills, S. Saha, M.C. Sarofim, J.
Trtanj, and L. Ziska, Eds. U.S. Global Change Research Program,
Washington, DC, 312 pp. https://dx.doi.org/10.7930/J0R49NQX.
\57\ USGCRP, 2018: Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United
States: Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller,
D.R., C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K.
Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research
Program, Washington, DC, USA, 1515 pp. doi: 10.7930/NCA4.2018.
\58\ Fann NL, Nolte CG, Sarofim MC, Martinich J, Nassikas NJ.
Associations Between Simulated Future Changes in Climate, Air
Quality, and Human Health. JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(1):e2032064.
doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.32064
\59\ Christopher G Nolte, Tanya L Spero, Jared H Bowden, Marcus
C Sarofim, Jeremy Martinich, Megan S Mallard. Regional temperature-
ozone relationships across the U.S. under multiple climate and
emissions scenarios. J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2021 Oct;71(10):1251-
1264. doi: 10.1080/10962247.2021.1970048.
\60\ Nolte, C.G., P.D. Dolwick, N. Fann, L.W. Horowitz, V. Naik,
R.W. Pinder, T.L. Spero, D.A. Winner, and L.H. Ziska, 2018: Air
Quality. In Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States:
Fourth National Climate Assessment, Volume II [Reidmiller, D.R.,
C.W. Avery, D.R. Easterling, K.E. Kunkel, K.L.M. Lewis, T.K.
Maycock, and B.C. Stewart (eds.)]. U.S. Global Change Research
Program, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 512-538. doi: 10.7930/
NCA4.2018.CH13
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2. Ozone Transport
Studies have established that ozone formation, atmospheric
residence, and transport occur on a regional scale (i.e., thousands of
kilometers) over much of the U.S.\61\ While substantial progress has
been made in reducing ozone in many areas, the interstate transport of
ozone precursor emissions remains an important contributor to peak
ozone concentrations and high-ozone days during the summer ozone
season.
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\61\ Bergin, M.S. et al. (2007) Regional air quality: Local and
interstate impacts of NOX and SO2 emissions on
ozone and fine particulate matter in the eastern United States.
Environmental Sci & Tech. 41: 4677-4689.
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The EPA has previously concluded in the NOX SIP Call,
CAIR, CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update that a
regional NOX control strategy would be effective in reducing
regional-scale transport of ozone precursor emissions. NOX
emissions can be transported downwind as NOX or as ozone
after transformation in the atmosphere. In any given location, ozone
pollution levels are impacted by a combination of background ozone
concentration, local emissions, and emissions from upwind sources
resulting from ozone transport, in conjunction with variable
meteorological conditions. Downwind states' ability to meet health-
based air quality standards such as the NAAQS is challenged by the
transport of ozone pollution across state borders. For example, ozone
assessments conducted for the October 2015 Regulatory Impact Analysis
of the Final Revisions to the National Ambient Air Quality Standards
for Ground-Level Ozone \62\ continue to show the importance of
NOX emissions for ozone transport. This analysis is included
in the docket for this rulemaking.
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\62\ Available in the docket for the October 2015 Revisions to
the National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ground-Level Ozone at
https://www.regulations.gov/docket/EPA-HQ-OAR-2008-0699.
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Further, studies have found that EGU NOX emissions
reductions can be effective in reducing individual 8-hour peak ozone
concentrations and in reducing 8-hour peak ozone concentrations
averaged across the ozone season. For example, a study of the EGU
NOX reductions achieved under the NOX Budget
Trading Program (i.e., the NOX SIP Call) shows that
regulating NOX emissions in that program was highly
effective in reducing ozone concentrations during the ozone season.\63\
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\63\ Butler, et al., ``Response of Ozone and Nitrate to
Stationary Source Reductions in the Eastern USA.''Atmospheric
Environment, 2011.
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Previous regional ozone transport efforts, including the
NOX SIP Call, CAIR, CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised
CSAPR Update, required ozone season NOX reductions from EGU
sources to address interstate transport of ozone. Together with
NOX, the EPA has also identified VOCs as a precursor in
forming ground-level ozone. Ozone formation chemistry can be
``NOX-limited,'' where ozone production is primarily
determined by the amount of NOX emissions or ``VOC-
limited,'' where ozone production is primarily
[[Page 36671]]
determined by the amount of VOC emissions.\64\ The EPA and others have
long regarded NOX to be the more significant ozone precursor
in the context of interstate ozone transport.\65\
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\64\ ``Ozone Air Pollution.'' Introduction to Atmospheric
Chemistry, by Daniel J. Jacob, Princeton University Press,
Princeton, New Jersey, 1999, pp. 231-244.
\65\ 81 FR 74514.
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The EPA has determined that the regulation of VOCs as an ozone
precursor is not necessary to eliminate significant contribution of
ozone transport to downwind areas in this rule. As described in section
V.A of this document, the EPA examined the results of the contribution
modeling performed for this rule to identify the portion of the ozone
contribution attributable to anthropogenic NOX emissions
versus VOC emissions from each linked upwind state to each downwind
receptor. Our analysis of the ozone contribution from upwind states
subject to regulation demonstrates that regional ozone concentrations
affecting the vast majority of the downwind areas of air quality
concern are NOX-limited, rather than VOC-limited. Therefore,
the rule's strategy for reducing regional-scale transport of ozone
targets NOX emissions from stationary sources to achieve the
most effective reductions of ozone transport over the geography of the
affected downwind areas. The potential impacts of NOX
mitigation strategies from other sources are discussed in section V.B
of this document.
In section V of this document, the EPA describes the multi-factor
test that is used to determine NOX emissions reductions that
are cost-effective and reduce interstate transport of ground-level
ozone. Our analysis indicates that the EGU and non-EGU control
requirements included in this rule will provide meaningful improvements
in air quality at the downwind receptors. Based on the implementation
schedule established in section VI.A of this document, the EPA finds
that the regulatory requirements included in the rule are as
expeditious as practicable and are aligned with the attainment schedule
of downwind areas.
3. Health and Environmental Effects
Exposure to ambient ozone causes a variety of negative effects on
human health, vegetation, and ecosystems. In humans, acute and chronic
exposure to ozone is associated with premature mortality and certain
morbidity effects, such as asthma exacerbation. In ecosystems, ozone
exposure causes visible foliar injury, decreases plant growth, and
affects ecosystem community composition. See EPA's October 2015
Regulatory Impact Analysis of the Final Revisions to the National
Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ground-Level Ozone \66\ in the docket
for this rulemaking for more information on the human health and
ecosystem effects associated with ambient ozone exposure.
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\66\ Available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-02/documents/20151001ria.pdf.
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Commenters on prior ozone transport rules have asserted that VOC
emissions harm underserved and overburdened communities experiencing
disproportionate environmental health burdens and facing other
environmental injustices. The EPA acknowledges that VOCs can contain
toxic chemicals that are detrimental to public health. The EPA
conducted a demographic analysis as part of the regulatory impact
analysis for the 2015 revisions to the primary and secondary ozone
NAAQS. This analysis, which is included in the docket for this
rulemaking, found greater representation of minority populations in
areas with poor air quality relative to the revised ozone standard than
in the U.S. as a whole. The EPA concluded that populations in these
areas would be expected to benefit from implementation of future air
pollution control actions from state and local air agencies in
implementing the strengthened standard. This rule is an example of air
pollution control actions implemented by the Federal Government in
support of the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS, and populations living
in downwind ozone nonattainment and maintenance areas are expected to
benefit from improved air quality that will result from reducing ozone
transport. Further discussion of the environmental justice analysis of
this rule is located in section VII of this document and in the
accompanying regulatory impact analysis, titled ``Regulatory Impact
Analysis for Final Federal Good Neighbor Plan Addressing Regional Ozone
Transport for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard''
[EPA-452/D-22-001], which is available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
The Agency regulates exposure to toxic pollutant concentrations and
ambient exposure to criteria pollutants other than ozone through other
sections of the Act, such as the regulation of hazardous air pollutants
under CAA section 112 or the process for revising and implementing the
NAAQS under CAA sections 107-110. The purpose of the subject rulemaking
is to protect public health and the environment by eliminating
significant contribution from 23 states to nonattainment or maintenance
of the 2015 ozone NAAQS to meet the requirements of the CAA's
interstate transport provision. In this rule, the EPA continues to
observe that requiring NOX emissions reductions from
stationary sources is an effective strategy for reducing regional ozone
transport in the U.S.
The EPA responds to other comments received on the health and
environmental impacts of ozone exposure in section 11 of the RTC
document.
B. Final Rule Approach
1. The 4-Step Interstate Transport Framework
The EPA first developed a multi-step process to address the
requirements of the good neighbor provision in the 1998 NOX
SIP Call and the 2005 CAIR. The Agency built upon this framework and
further refined the methodology for addressing interstate transport
obligations in subsequent rules such as CSAPR in 2011, the CSAPR Update
in 2016, and the Revised CSAPR Update in 2021.\67\ In CSAPR, the EPA
first articulated a ``4-step framework'' within which to assess
interstate transport obligations for ozone. In this rule to address
interstate transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA is
again utilizing the 4-step interstate transport framework. These steps
are: (1) identifying downwind receptors that are expected to have
problems attaining the NAAQS (nonattainment receptors) or maintaining
the NAAQS (maintenance receptors); (2) determining which upwind states
are ``linked'' to these identified downwind receptors based on a
numerical contribution threshold; (3) for states linked to downwind air
quality problems, identifying upwind emissions on a statewide basis
that significantly contribute to downwind nonattainment or interfere
with downwind maintenance of the NAAQS, considering cost- and air
quality-based factors; and (4) for upwind states that are found to have
emissions that significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere
with maintenance of the NAAQS in any downwind state, implementing the
necessary emissions reductions through enforceable measures.
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\67\ See CSAPR, Final Rule, 76 FR 48208, 48248-48249 (August 8,
2011); CSAPR Update, Final Rule, 81 FR 74504, 74517-74521 (October
26, 2016).
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Comment: The EPA received comments supporting the Agency's use of
the 4-step interstate transport framework as a permissible method for
assigning the required amount of
[[Page 36672]]
emissions reductions necessary to eliminate upwind states' significant
contribution. Commenters also noted that the 4-step interstate
transport framework was reviewed by the Supreme Court in EPA vs. EME
Homer City Generation, 572 U.S. 489 (2014), and upheld. However, other
commenters took exception to the overall approach of this proposed
action. These commenters alleged that the EPA is ignoring the
``flexibility'' in addressing good neighbor obligations that it had
purportedly suggested to states would be permissible in memoranda that
the EPA issued in 2018. Commenters also raised concerns that the air
quality modeling (2016v2) the EPA used to propose to disapprove SIP
submittals and as the basis for the proposed FIP was not available to
states at the time they made their submissions and that the changes in
results at Steps 1 and 2 from prior rounds of modeling rendered the new
modeling unreliable. Commenters also raised a number of arguments that
the EPA should allow states an additional opportunity to submit SIPs
before promulgating a FIP, advocated that the EPA should issue a ``SIP
call'' under CAA section 110(k)(5), asked for the EPA to issue new or
more specific guidance, or otherwise suggested that the EPA should
defer acting to promulgate a FIP at this time.
Response: As an initial matter, comments regarding the EPA's basis
for disapproving SIPs are beyond the scope of this action.\68\ To the
extent these comments relate to the legal basis for the EPA to
promulgate a FIP, the EPA disagrees that it is acting in a manner
contrary to the memoranda it released in 2018 related to good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Arguments that the EPA must or
should allow states to re-submit SIP submissions based on the most
recent modeling information before the EPA promulgates a FIP ignore the
plain language of the statute and relevant caselaw. CAA section 110(c)
authorizes the EPA to promulgate a FIP ``at any time within 2 years''
of a SIP disapproval. No provision of the Act requires the EPA to give
states an additional opportunity to prepare a new SIP submittal once
the EPA has proposed a FIP or proposed disapproval of a SIP submittal.
Comments regarding the timing of the EPA's actions and calls for the
EPA to allow time for states to resubmit SIPs are further addressed in
RTC sections 1.1 and 2.4.
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\68\ We nonetheless further respond to comments regarding the
timing and sequence of the EPA's SIP and FIP actions, the relevance
of judicial consent decrees, the requests for a SIP call, and
related comments--to the extent any of these issues are within scope
of the present action--in Sections 1 and 2 of the RTC document
located in the docket for this action.
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With regard to the need for the EPA to develop and issue guidance
in addressing good neighbor obligations, in EPA v. EME Homer City
Generation, L.P., the Supreme Court held that ``nothing in the statute
places the EPA under an obligation to provide specific metrics to
States before they undertake to fulfill their good neighbor
obligations.'' \69\ While we have taken a different approach in some
prior rulemakings by providing states with an opportunity to submit a
SIP after we quantified the states' budgets (e.g., the NOX
SIP Call and CAIR \70\), the CAA does not require such an approach.
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\69\ 572 U.S. 489, 510 (2014). ``Nothing in the Act
differentiates the Good Neighbor Provision from the several other
matters a State must address in its SIP. Rather, the statute speaks
without reservation: Once a NAAQS has been issued, a State `shall'
propose a SIP within three years, Sec. [thinsp]7410(a)(1), and that
SIP `shall' include, among other components, provisions adequate to
satisfy the Good Neighbor Provision, Sec. [thinsp]7410(a)(2).'' EPA
v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. at 515.
\70\ For information on the NOX SIP call see 63 FR
57356 (October 27, 1998). For information on CAIR see 70 FR 25162
(May 12, 2005).
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2018 Memoranda. As commenters point out, the EPA issued three
``memoranda'' in 2018 to provide some assistance to states in
developing these SIP submittals.\71\ Each memorandum made clear that
the EPA's action on SIP submissions would be through a separate notice-
and-comment rulemaking process and that SIP submissions seeking to rely
on or take advantage of any so-called ``flexibilities'' in these
memoranda would be carefully reviewed against the relevant legal
requirements and technical information available to the EPA at the time
it would take such rulemaking action. Further, certain aspects of
discussions in those memoranda were specifically identified as not
constituting agency guidance (especially Attachment A to the March 2018
memorandum, which comprised an unvetted list of external stakeholders'
ideas). And, although outside the scope of this action, as the EPA has
explained in disapproving states' SIP submittals, those submittals did
not meet the terms of the August 2018 or October 2018 memoranda
addressing contribution thresholds and maintenance receptors,
respectively.
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\71\ See Information on the Interstate Transport State
Implementation Plan Submissions for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient
Air Quality Standards under Clean Air Act Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
(March 27, 2018) (``March 2018 memorandum''); Analysis of
Contribution Thresholds for Use in Clean Air Act Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) Interstate Transport State Implementation Plan
Submissions for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards, August 31, 2018) (``August 2018 memorandum'');
Considerations for Identifying Maintenance Receptors for Use in
Clean Air Act Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) Interstate Transport State
Implementation Plan Submissions for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient
Air Quality Standards, October 19, 2018 (``October 2018
memorandum''). These are available in the docket or at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/memo-and-supplemental-information-regarding-interstate-transport-sips-2015-ozone-naaqs.
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Commenters mistakenly view Attachment A to the March 2018
memorandum as constituting agency guidance. This memorandum was
primarily issued to share modeling results for 2023 that represented
the best information available to the Agency as of March 2018, while
Attachment A then listed certain ideas from certain stakeholders that
the EPA said could be further discussed among states and stakeholders.
The EPA disagrees with commenters' characterization of the EPA's stance
regarding these so-called ``flexibilities'' listed (without analysis)
in Attachment A. The March 2018 memorandum provided, ``While the
information in this memorandum and the associated air quality analysis
data could be used to inform the development of these SIPs, the
information is not a final determination regarding states' obligations
under the good neighbor provision.'' The EPA again affirms that the
concepts listed in Attachment A to the March 2018 memorandum require
unique consideration, and these ideas do not constitute agency guidance
with respect to transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Attachment A to the March 2018 memorandum identified a ``Preliminary
List of Potential Flexibilities'' that could potentially inform SIP
development. However, the EPA made clear in both the March 2018
memorandum \72\ and in Attachment A that the list of ideas was not
endorsed by the Agency but rather ``comments provided in various
forums'' on which the EPA sought ``feedback from interested
stakeholders.'' \73\ Further, Attachment A stated, ``EPA is not at this
time making any determination that the ideas discussed below are
consistent with the requirements of the CAA, nor are we specifically
recommending that states use these approaches.'' \74\ Attachment A to
the March 2018 memorandum, therefore, does not
[[Page 36673]]
constitute agency guidance, but was intended to generate further
discussion around potential approaches to addressing ozone transport
among interested stakeholders. The EPA emphasized in these memoranda
that such alternative approaches must be technically justified and
appropriate in light of the facts and circumstances of each particular
state's submittal. To the extent states sought to develop or rely on
one or more of these ideas in support of their SIP submissions, the EPA
reviewed their technical and legal justifications for doing so.\75\
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\72\ ``In addition, the memorandum is accompanied by Attachment
A, which provides a preliminary list of potential flexibilities in
analytical approaches for developing a good neighbor SIP that may
warrant further discussion between EPA and states.'' March 2018
memorandum at 1.
\73\ March 2018 memorandum, Attachment A at A-1.
\74\ Id.
\75\ E.g., 87 FR 64423-64425 (Alabama); 87 FR 31453-31454
(California); 87 FR 9852-9854 (Illinois); 87 FR 9859-9860 (Indiana);
87 FR 9508, 9515 (Kentucky); 87 FR 9861-9862 (Michigan); 87 FR 9869-
9870 (Ohio); 87 FR 9798, 9818-9820 (Oklahoma); 87 FR 31477-31481
(Utah); 87 FR 9526-9527 (West Virginia).
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Regarding the October 2018 memorandum, that document recognized
that states may be able to demonstrate in their SIPs that conditions
exist that would justify treating a monitoring site as not being a
maintenance receptor despite results from our modeling methodology
identifying it as such a receptor. The EPA explained that this
demonstration could be appropriate under two circumstances: (1) the
site currently has ``clean data'' indicating attainment of the 2015
ozone NAAQS based on measured air quality concentrations, or (2) the
state believes there is a technical reason to justify using a design
value from the baseline period that is lower than the maximum design
value based on monitored data during the same baseline period. To
justify such an approach, the EPA anticipated that any such showing
would be based on an analytical demonstration that (1) meteorological
conditions in the area of the monitoring site were conducive to ozone
formation during the period of clean data or during the alternative
base period design value used for projections; (2) ozone concentrations
have been trending downward at the site since 2011 (and ozone precursor
emissions of NOX and VOC have also decreased); and (3)
emissions are expected to continue to decline in the upwind and
downwind states out to the attainment date of the receptor. Although
this is beyond the scope of this action, the EPA explained in its final
SIP disapproval action that no state successfully demonstrated that one
of these alternative approaches is justified. In this action, our
analysis of the air quality data and projections in section IV of this
document indicate that trends in historic measured data do not
necessarily support adopting a less stringent approach for identifying
maintenance receptors for purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS. In fact, as
explained in section III.B.1.a and IV.D of this document, the EPA has
found in its analysis for this final rule that, in general, recent
measured data from regulatory ambient air quality ozone monitoring
sites suggest that a number of receptors with elevated ozone levels
will persist in 2023 even though our traditional methodology at Step 1
did not identify these monitoring sites as receptors in 2023. Thus, the
EPA is not acting inconsistently with that memorandum--the factual
conditions that would need to exist for the suggested approaches of
that memorandum to be applicable have not been demonstrated as being
applicable or appropriate based on the relevant data.
Regarding the August 2018 memorandum, as discussed in section
IV.F.2 of this document, for purposes of Step 2 of our ozone transport
evaluation framework, we are applying a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold
rather than a 1 ppb threshold, as this memorandum had suggested might
be appropriate for states to apply as an alternative. The EPA is
finalizing its proposed approach of consistently using a 1 percent of
the NAAQS contribution threshold at Step 2 to evaluate whether states
are linked to downwind nonattainment and maintenance concerns for
purposes of this FIP.
The approach of this FIP ensures both national consistency across
all states and consistency and continuity with our prior interstate
transport actions for other NAAQS. Further, in this action the EPA is
promulgating FIPs under the authority of CAA section 110(c). In doing
so, the EPA has exercised its discretion to determine how to define and
apply good neighbor obligations in place of the discretion states
otherwise would exercise (subject to the EPA's approval as compliant
with the Act). In general, the EPA is applying the 4-step interstate
transport framework it devised over the course of its prior good
neighbor rulemakings, including applying a consistent definition of
nonattainment and maintenance-only receptors, and applying the 1
percent of NAAQS threshold at Step 2. The basis for these decisions is
further explained in sections IV.F.1 and IV.F.2 of the document. These
policy judgments reflect consistency with relevant good neighbor case
law and past agency practice implementing the good neighbor provision
as reflected in the original CSAPR, CSAPR Update, Revised CSAPR Update,
and related rulemakings. Nationwide consistency in approach is
particularly important in the context of interstate ozone transport,
which is a regional-scale pollution problem involving the collective
emissions of many smaller contributors. Effective policy solutions to
the problem of interstate ozone transport dating back to the
NOX SIP Call (63 FR 57356 (October 27, 1998)) have
necessitated the application of a uniform framework of policy
judgments, and the EPA's framework applied here has been upheld as
ensuring an ``efficient and equitable'' approach. See EME Homer City
Generation, LP v. EPA, 572 U.S. 489, 519 (2014).
Updated modeling. The EPA had originally provided 2023 modeling
results in its March 2018 memorandum, which used a 2011-based platform.
Many states used this modeling in providing good neighbor SIP
submittals for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. While our action on the SIP
submittals is not within scope of this action, commenters claim the use
of new modeling or other information not available to states at the
time they made their submittals renders this action promulgating a FIP
unlawful. Notwithstanding whether that is an accurate characterization
of the EPA's basis for disapproving the SIPs, we note that the court in
Wisconsin rejected this precise argument against the CSAPR Update FIPs
as a collateral attack on the SIP disapprovals. 938 F.3d at 336 (``That
is the hallmark of an improper collateral attack. The true gravamen of
the claim lies in the agency's failure to timely act upon the States'
SIP submissions and, relatedly, its reliance on data compiled after the
SIP action deadline. Both go directly to the legitimacy of the SIP
denials.'').
Nonetheless, we offer the following explanation of the evolution of
the EPA's understanding of projected air quality conditions and
contributions in 2023 resulting from the iterative nature of our
modeling efforts. These modeling efforts are further addressed in
section IV of this document. We acknowledge that to evaluate transport
SIPs and support our proposed FIP the EPA reassessed receptors at Step
1 and states' contribution levels at Step 2 through additional modeling
(2016v2) before proposing this action and have reassessed again to
inform the final action (2016v3). At proposal, we relied on CAMx
Version 7.10 and the 2016v2 emissions platform to make updated
determinations regarding which receptors would likely exist in 2023 and
which states are projected to contribute above the contribution
threshold to those receptors. As explained in the preamble of the EPA's
proposed FIP and further detailed in the ``Air Quality
[[Page 36674]]
Modeling Technical Support Document for the Federal Implementation Plan
Addressing Regional Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient
Air Quality Standards Proposed Rulemaking'' (Dec. 2021), hereinafter
referred to as Air Quality Modeling Proposed Rule TSD, and the
``Technical Support Document (TSD): Preparation of Emissions
Inventories for the 2016v2 North American Emissions Modeling Platform''
(Dec. 2021), hereinafter referred to as the 2016v2 Emissions Inventory
TSD, both available in the docket for this action (docket ID no. EPA-
HQ-OAR-2021-0668), this modeling built off of previous modeling
iterations used to support the EPA's action on interstate transport
obligations. The EPA periodically refines its modeling to ensure the
results are as indicative as possible of air quality in future years.
This includes making any necessary adjustments to our modeling platform
and updating our emissions inventories to reflect current information,
including information submitted during public comments on proposed
actions.
For this final rule, the EPA has evaluated a raft of technical
information and critiques of its 2016v2 modeling provided by commenters
on this action (as well as comments on the SIP actions) and has
responded to those comments and incorporated updates into the version
of the modeling used to support this final rule (2016v3). As explained
in section IV.B of the document, in response to additional information
provided by stakeholders following a solicitation of feedback during
the release of the 2016v2 emissions inventory and during the comment
periods on the proposed SIP actions, the EPA has reviewed and revised
its 2016v2 modeling platform and input since the platform was made
available for comment. The new modeling platform 2016v3 was developed
from this input, and the modeling results using platform 2016v3 are
available with this action. See section IV of this document for further
discussion. Thus, the EPA's final rule is based on a comprehensive
record of data and technical evaluation, including the updated modeling
information used at proposal (2016v2), the comments received on that
modeling, and the latest modeling used in this final rule (2016v3).
The changes in projected outcomes at Steps 1 and 2 are a product of
these changes; these updates between the data released in 2018 to now
are an outgrowth of this iterative process, including updating the
platform from a 2011 to a 2016 base year, updates to the emissions
inventory information and other updates. It is reasonable for the
Agency to improve its understanding of a situation before taking final
action, and the Agency uses the best information available to it in
taking this action.
Further, these modeling updates have not uniformly resulted in new
linkages--the 2016v2 modeling, for instance, corroborated the proposed
approval of Montana and supported approval of Colorado's SIP in October
of 2022.\76\ Although some commenters indicate that our modeling
iterations have provided differing outcomes and are therefore
unreliable, this is not what the overall record indicates. Rather, in
general, although the specifics of states' linkages may have changed to
some extent, our modeling on the whole has provided consistent outcomes
regarding which states are linked to downwind air quality problems. For
example, the EPA's modeling shows that most states that were linked to
one or more receptors using the 2011-based platform (i.e., the March
2018 data release) are also linked to one or more receptors using the
newer 2016-based platform. Because the new platform uses different
meteorology (i.e., 2016 instead of 2011), it is not unexpected that an
upwind state would be linked to different receptors using 2011 versus
2016 meteorology. In addition, although a state may be linked to a
different set of receptors, those receptors are within the same areas
that have historically had a persistent air quality problem. Only three
upwind states included in the FIP went from being unlinked to being
linked in 2023 between the 2011-based modeling provided in the March
2018 memorandum and the 2016v3-based modeling--Alabama, Minnesota, and
Nevada.
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\76\ 87 FR 6095, 6097 at n. 15 (February 3, 2022) (Montana
proposal); 87 FR 27050, 27056 (May 6, 2022) (Colorado, proposal), 87
FR 61249 (October 11, 2022) (Colorado, final).
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Additionally, we disagree with commenters who claim that the 2016v2
modeling results were sprung upon the states with the publication of
the proposed SIP disapprovals. In fact, states had prior access to a
series of data and modeling releases beginning as early as the
publication of the 2016v1 modeling with the proposed Revised CSAPR
Update in October 2020. States could have reviewed and used this
technical information to understand and track how the EPA's modeling
updates were affecting the list of potential receptors and linkages for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS in the 2023 analytic year.
The 2016-based meteorology and boundary conditions used in the
modeling have been available through the 2016v1 platform, which was
used for the Revised CSAPR Update (proposed, 85 FR 68964; October 30,
2020). The updated emissions inventory files used in the current
modeling were publicly released September 21, 2021, for stakeholder
feedback, and have been available on our website since that time.\77\
The CAMx modeling software that the EPA used has likewise been publicly
available for over a year before this final rule was proposed on April
6, 2022. CAMx version 7.10 was released by the model developer,
Ramboll, in December 2020. On January 19, 2022, we released on our
website and notified a wide range of stakeholders of the availability
of both the modeling results for 2023 and 2026 (including contribution
data) along with many key underlying input files.\78\
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\77\ See https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/2016v2-platform.
\78\ See https://www.epa.gov/scram/photochemical-modeling-applications.
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By providing the 2016 meteorology and boundary conditions (used in
the 2016v1 version) in fall of 2020, and by releasing updated emissions
inventory information used in 2016v2 in September of 2021,\79\ we gave
states and other interested parties multiple opportunities prior to
proposal of this rule on April 6, 2022, to consider how our modeling
updates could affect their status for purposes of evaluating potential
linkages for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. In this final rule, we have updated
our modeling to 2016v3, incorporating and reflecting the feedback and
additional information we received through the multiple public comment
opportunities the EPA made available on the 2016v2 modeling.
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\79\ https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/2016v2-platform.
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The EPA's development of and reliance on newer modeling is
reasonable and is simply another iteration of the EPA's longstanding
scientific and technical work to improve our understanding of air
quality issues and causes going back many decades.
Comment: Commenters asserted that the EPA lacks authority under the
good neighbor provision to do more than establish state-wide emissions
budgets, which states may then implement through their own choice of
emissions controls. The commenters claim that the EPA lacks authority
to directly regulate emissions sources under the good neighbor
provision, and they cite to case law that they view as establishing a
``federalism bar'' to direct Federal regulation. Commenters assert that
the
[[Page 36675]]
term ``amounts'' as used in the good neighbor provision prevents the
agency from establishing emissions limits at individual sources, such
as the non-EGU industrial units that the EPA proposed to regulate or
implementing ``enhancements'' in its mass-based emissions trading
approach for EGUs as it had proposed. Commenters claim these aspects of
the rule are an unlawful or arbitrary and capricious departure from the
EPA's prior transport rulemakings, which they claim only set mass-based
emissions budgets as the means to eliminate ``significant
contribution.''
Response: To the extent these comments challenge the EPA's
disapproval of states' 2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor SIP submissions,
they are out of scope of this action, which promulgates a FIP under the
authority of CAA section 110(c)(1). To the extent commenters assert
that the EPA does not have the authority to directly implement source-
specific emissions control requirements or other emissions control
measures, means, or techniques, including emissions trading programs,
in the exercise of that FIP authority, the EPA disagrees. While the
courts have long recognized that the states have wide discretion in the
design of SIPs to attain and maintain the NAAQS, see, e.g., Union
Electric Co v. EPA, 427 U.S. 246 (1976), when the EPA promulgates a FIP
to cure a defective SIP, the Act, including the definition of a FIP in
section 302(y), provides for the EPA to directly implement the Act's
requirements. The EPA is granted authority to choose among a broad
range of ``emission limitations or other control measures, means, or
techniques (including economic incentives, such as marketable permits
or auctions of emissions allowances) . . . .'' CAA section 302(y); see
also CAA section 110(a)(2) (empowering states to implement an identical
set of emissions control mechanisms).
The courts have also recognized that the EPA has broad authority to
cure a defective SIP, that the EPA may exercise its own, independent
regulatory authority in implementing a FIP in accordance with the CAA,
and that the EPA in effect steps into the shoes of a state when it
promulgates a FIP. See, e.g., Central Ariz. Water Conservation Dist. v.
EPA, 990 F.2d 1531 (9th Cir. 1993); South Terminal Corp. v. EPA, 504
F.2d 646 (1st Cir. 1974). Accord Virginia v. EPA, 108 F.3d 1397, 1406-
07 (D.C. Cir. 1997) (``The Federal Plan `provides an additional
incentive for state compliance because it rescinds state authority to
make the many sensitive and policy choices that a pollution control
regime demands.''') (quoting Natural Resources Defense Council v.
Browner, 57 F.3d 1122, 1124 (D.C. Cir. 1995)). Cf. District of Columbia
v. Train, 521 F.2d 971 (D.C. Cir. 1975), vacated sub nom. EPA v. Brown,
431 U.S. 99 (1977) (``[W]here cooperation [from states] is not
forthcoming, we believe that the recourse contemplated by the commerce
clause is direct federal regulation of the offending activity . . .
.'').
These same principles apply where the EPA must promulgate a FIP to
address good neighbor requirements under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). The EPA has promulgated a series of FIPs in the
past to address the relevant requirements for prior ozone and PM NAAQS.
See, e.g., CAIR FIP, 71 FR 25328 (April 28, 2006); CSAPR, 76 FR 48208
(August 8, 2011); the CSAPR Update, 81 FR 74504 (October 26, 2016); and
the Revised CSAPR Update, 86 FR 23054 (April 30, 2021). Courts have
upheld the EPA's exercise of this authority. See EME Homer City
Generation v. EPA, 572 U.S. 489 (2014); Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303
(D.C. Cir. 2019). Indeed, in EME Homer City, the U.S. Supreme Court
held that the EPA is not obligated to provide guidance to states before
acting on their good neighbor submissions or give states a second
chance at correcting the deficiencies before promulgating a FIP, and
the EPA may promulgate a FIP at any time after finalizing its
disapproval of SIP submissions. 572 U.S. at 508-11.
The cases cited by commenters, which they refer to as establishing
the Train-Virginia federalism bar, were not reviewing the exercise of
the EPA's authority in promulgating a FIP under CAA section 110(c)(1)
but rather were describing the scope of the EPA's authority in acting
on SIP submissions under CAA section 110(k)(3) or in issuing a ``SIP
call'' under section 110(k)(5). In those latter contexts, the courts
have held that the EPA may not dictate the specific control measures
states must implement to meet the Act's requirements. See Virginia, 108
F.3d at 1409-10. In Michigan, the D.C. Circuit upheld the EPA's
exercise of CAA section 110(k)(5) authority in issuing the
``NOX SIP Call,'' because, ``EPA does not tell the states
how to achieve SIP compliance. Rather, EPA looks to section
110(a)(2)(D) and merely provides the levels to be achieved by state-
determined compliance mechanisms. . . . However, EPA made clear that
states do not have to adopt the control scheme that EPA assumed for
budget-setting purposes.'' Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663, 687-88 (D.C.
Cir. 2000).
Commenters' position that the EPA must provide similar flexibility
to the states in this action (i.e., only provide a general emissions
reduction target and leave to states how to meet that target) is a non
sequitur. The EPA is implementing a FIP in this action and must
directly implement the necessary emissions controls. The EPA is not
empowered to require states to implement FIP mandates. Such an approach
would conflict with constitutional anti-commandeering principles, is
not provided for in the Act, and would only constitute a partial
implementation of FIP obligations in contravention of the holding in
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d at 313-20.
Commenters' attempt to contrast the implementation of source-
specific emissions limitations at industrial sources with the
establishment of a specific mass-based budget (as the EPA has set for
power plants in prior good neighbor FIPs) is unavailing. CAA section
110(c)(1) and 302(y) authorize the EPA in promulgating a FIP to
establish ``enforceable emission limitations'' in addition to other
types of control measures like mass-based trading programs. Further, in
this action, the EPA has developed an emissions control strategy that
prohibits the ``amount'' of pollution that significantly contributes to
nonattainment and/or interferes with maintenance. We determine that
amount, as we have in prior transport actions, at Step 3 of the
analysis, by applying a multifactor analysis that includes considering
cost and downwind air quality effects. See section V.A of this
document. With the implementation of the selected controls (at Step 4)
through both an emissions trading program for power plants and source-
specific emissions limitations for industrial sources, those
``amounts'' that had been emitted prior to imposition of the controls
will be eliminated.
The Act does not mandate that the EPA must set a specific mass-
based budget for each state to eliminate significant contribution based
on the use of the term ``amounts'' in CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). As
the Supreme Court recognized, the statute ``requires States to
eliminate those `amounts' of pollution that `contribute significantly
to nonattainment' in downwind States,'' and it delegates to states or
EPA acting in their stead discretion to determine how to apportion
responsibility among those upwind states. 572 U.S. at 514 (emphasis
added). The statute does not define the term ``amount'' in the way
commenters suggest (or in any other way), and neither the Agency nor
any court has reached that conclusion. The
[[Page 36676]]
Supreme Court itself has recognized that the language of the good
neighbor provision is amenable to different types of metrics for
quantification of ``significant contribution.'' See EME Homer City
Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. at 514 (``How is EPA to divide
responsibility among the . . . States? Should the Agency allocate
reductions proportionally . . ., on a per capita basis, on the basis of
the cost of abatement, or by some other metric? . . . The Good Neighbor
Provision does not answer that question for EPA.''); see also Michigan
v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663, 677 D.C. Cir. 2000) (``Nothing in the text of . .
. the statute spells out a criterion for classifying `emissions
activity' as `significant.' ''); id. at 677 (``Must EPA simply pick
some flat `amount' of contribution . . . ?''). When the State of
Delaware petitioned the Agency under CAA section 126(b) to establish
daily emissions rates for EGUs to remedy what it saw as continuing
violations of the good neighbor provision for the 2008 ozone NAAQS,
neither the EPA nor the reviewing court questioned whether the Agency
had the statutory authority to do so. The EPA's decision not to was
upheld on record grounds. See Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185, 1207 D.C.
Cir. 2020) (``In other words, Delaware's concern makes sense but has
not been observed in practice.'').\80\
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\80\ The Agency's view of the basis for backstop daily emissions
rates for certain EGUs within the trading program has changed since
the time of its action on Delaware's petition, as explained in
section VI.B.
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The term ``amounts'' can be interpreted to refer to any number of
metrics, and in fact the CAA uses the term in several contexts where it
is clear Congress did not intend the term to refer to a fixed, mass-
based quantity of emissions. For example, in the definition of ``lowest
achievable emission rate'' (LAER) in CAA section 171, the Act provides
that the application of LAER shall not permit a proposed new or
modified source to emit any pollutant in excess of ``the amount
allowable under applicable new source standards of performance
[NSPS].'' NSPS may be, and usually are, set as emissions standards or
limitations that are rate- or concentration-based. See, e.g., 40 CFR
part 60, subpart KKKK, table I (establishing concentration-based and
rate-based emissions limits for stationary combustion turbines).\81\
Congress has elsewhere used the term ``amount'' in the CAA to refer to
concentration-based standards. For example, in CAA section 163(b),
Congress provided that maximum allowable increases in concentrations of
certain pollutants ``shall not exceed the following amounts,'' with a
list of allowable increases provided that are expressed in micrograms
per cubic meter.\82\ As a third example, in the 1990 CAA Amendments,
Congress provided that ozone nonattainment areas classified as Serious
must provide a reasonable further progress demonstration of reductions
in VOC emissions ``equal to the following amount,'' which is then
described as a percentage reduction from baseline emissions. CAA
section 182(c)(2)(B). These examples illustrate that the word
``amounts'' is amenable to a variety of meanings depending on what is
being measured or quantified. It would therefore be highly unlikely
that Congress could have intended that ``amount'' as used in the good
neighbor provision must signify only a fixed mass budget of emissions
for each state expressed as total tons per ozone season.
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\81\ The EPA has interpreted the term ``amount'' as used in CAA
section 111(a)(4) in the definition of the term ``modifications'' as
an increase in a rate of emissions expressed as kilograms per hour.
40 CFR 60.14(b).
\82\ Notably, both the provisions of CAA section 171 and section
163 given as examples here were added by the CAA Amendments of 1977,
in the same set of amendments that Congress first strengthened the
good neighbor provision and added the term ``amounts.'' See Public
Law 95-95, 91 Stat. 685, 693, 732, 746.
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Such an approach would, in fact, fail to address an important
aspect of the problem of interstate transport. As explained in sections
III.B.1.d, V.D.4, and VI.B.1, the EPA in this rule seeks to better
address the need for emissions reductions on each day of the ozone
season, reflecting the daily, but unpredictably recurring, nature of
the air pollution problem, short-term health impacts, and the form of
the 2015 ozone NAAQS, wherein nonattainment for downwind areas (and
thus heightened regulatory requirements) could be based on ozone
exceedances on just a few days of the year. The expression of the
``amount'' of pollution that should be eliminated to address upwind
states' ``significant contribution'' to that type of air pollution
problem may appropriately take into account those aspects of the
problem, and the EPA may appropriately conclude, as we do here, that a
single, fixed, emissions budget covering an entire ozone season is not
sufficient to the task at hand.
In this action, the EPA reasonably applies the good neighbor
provision, including the term ``amount,'' through the 4-step interstate
transport framework. Under this approach, the EPA here, as it has in
prior transport rulemakings for regional pollutants like ozone,
identifies a uniform level of emissions reduction that the covered
sources in the linked upwind states can achieve that cost-effectively
delivers improvement in air quality at downwind receptors on a regional
scale. The ``amount'' of pollution that is identified for elimination
at Step 3 of the framework is therefore that amount of emissions that
is in excess of the emissions control strategies the EPA has deemed
cost-effective. Contrary to commenters' views, in prior transport rules
utilizing emissions trading, the mass budgets through which the
elimination of significant contribution was effectuated did not
constitute the ``amounts'' to be eliminated but rather the residual
emissions remaining following the elimination of significant
contribution through the control stringency selected based on our
multifactor assessment at Step 3. Nor did the EPA consider a mass-based
budget to be the sole expression, even indirectly, of what constituted
``significant contribution.'' See, e.g., CSAPR, 76 FR 48256-57
(discussing the evaluation of the control strategies that would
eliminate significant contribution for the 1997 ozone NAAQS, including
combustion controls, and explaining, ``[I]t would be inappropriate for
a state linked to downwind nonattainment or maintenance areas to stop
operating existing pollution control equipment (which would increase
their emissions and contribution).'').
In other actions the EPA has taken to implement good neighbor
obligations, the EPA has required or allowed for reliance on source-
specific emissions limitations rather than defining significant
contribution as a mass-based budget. For example, the EPA imposed unit-
specific emissions limitations in granting a CAA section 126(b)
petition from the State of New Jersey in 2011. Final Response to
Petition From New Jersey Regarding SO2 Emissions From the
Portland Generating Station, 76 FR 69052, 69063-64 (Nov. 7, 2011)
(discussing the analytical basis for the establishment of emissions
limits at specific units). This action was upheld by the Third Circuit
in Genon Rema LLC v. EPA, 722 F.3d 513, 526 (3d. Cir. 2013).\83\
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\83\ In CAA section 126(c), Congress provided for the EPA to
directly impose ``emission limitations'' to eliminate prohibited
significant contribution. Notably, the statute affords the EPA and
states flexibility in how an ``emissions limitation'' may be
expressed, including as a ``quantity, rate, or concentration,'' see
CAA section 302(k). It would make little sense that the EPA could
only establish a mass-based definition of ``amounts'' under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), when the statute provides for rate- or
concentration-based limitations in CAA section 126, which directly
incorporates 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). (In observing this, we do not
concede that an ``emissions limitation'' itself could not also be
expressed through a mass-based approach, which may be read as
authorized by the term ``quantity,'' a term also used in CAA section
302(k).)
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[[Page 36677]]
Even where the EPA has provided for implementation of good neighbor
requirements through mass-based budgets, it has recognized that other
approaches may be acceptable as providing an equivalent degree of
emissions reduction to eliminate significant contribution. See, e.g.,
NOX SIP Call, 63 FR 57378-79 (discussing approvability of
rate-based emissions limit approaches for implementing NOX
SIP Call and providing, ``the 2007 overall budget is an important
accounting tool. However, the State is not required to demonstrate that
it has limited its total NOX emissions to the budget
amounts. Thus, the overall budget amount is not an independently
enforceable requirement.''); CAIR, 70 FR 25261-62 (discussing ways
states could implement CAIR obligations, including through emission-
rate limitations, so long as adequately demonstrated to achieve
comparable reductions to CAIR's emissions budgets).
Finally, as it has in its prior transport FIP actions, the EPA has
in this action provided guidance for states on methods by which they
could replace this FIP with SIPs, and in so doing, continues to
recognize substantial state flexibility in achieving an equivalent
degree of emissions reduction that would successfully eliminate
significant contribution for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. See section VI.D of
this document. While the EPA has exercised the responsibility it has
under CAA section 110(c)(1) to step into the shoes of the covered
states and directly implement good neighbor requirements through a
particular set of regulatory mechanisms in this action, we anticipate
that states may identify alternative, equivalent mechanisms that we
would be bound to evaluate and approve if satisfactory, should states
seek to replace this FIP with a SIP.
For these reasons, the EPA disagrees with the contention that it is
constrained by the good neighbor provision to define upwind state
obligations solely by reference to a fixed, mass budget. We find it
reasonable in this action to again determine the amount of
``significant contribution'' at Step 3 by reference to uniform levels
of cost-effective emissions controls that can be applied across the
upwind sources. And, we find it appropriate to implement those
emissions reductions at Step 4 through mechanisms that go beyond fixed,
mass-based, ozone-season long budgets.
The EPA's authority for its industrial source control strategies is
further discussed in sections II.C. and III.B.1.c of this document. The
relationship of the control strategy to the assessment of overcontrol
is discussed in section V.D.4 of this document. The relationship of our
FIP authority to state authorities and SIP calls under CAA section
110(k)(5) is further discussed in RTC sections 1 and 2.
a. Step 1 Approach
As proposed, the EPA applies the same basic method of the CSAPR
Update and the Revised CSAPR Update for identifying nonattainment and
maintenance receptors. However, we received comments arguing that the
outcome of applying our methodology to identify receptors in 2023
appears overly optimistic in light of current measured data from the
network of ambient air quality monitors across the country. These
commenters suggest that the EPA give greater weight to current measured
data as part of the method for identifying projected receptors. As
discussed further in section IV.D of this document, the EPA has
modified its approach for identifying receptors for this final rule in
response to these comments.
This concern is more evident given that the 2023 ozone season is
just a few months away, and the most recent measured ozone values in
many areas strongly suggest that these areas will not likely see the
substantial reduction in ozone levels that the 2016v2 and 2016v3
modeling continue to project.
It would not be reasonable to ignore recent measured ozone levels
in many areas that are clearly not fully consistent with certain
concentrations in the Step 1 analysis for 2023. Therefore, the EPA has
developed an additional maintenance-only receptor category, which
includes what we refer to as ``violating monitor'' receptors, based on
current ozone concentrations measured by regulatory ambient air quality
monitoring sites. We acknowledge that the traditional modeling plus
monitoring methodology we used at proposal and in prior ozone transport
rules would otherwise have identified such sites as being in attainment
in 2023. Despite the implications of the current measured data
suggesting there will be a nonattainment problem at these sites in
2023, we cannot definitively establish that such sites will be in
nonattainment in 2023 in light of our modeling projections. In the face
of this uncertainty, we regard our ability to consider such sites as
receptors for purposes of good neighbor analysis under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to be a function of the requirement to prohibit
emissions that interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS; even if our
transport modeling projects that an area may reach attainment in 2023,
we have other information indicating that there is an identified risk
that attainment will not in fact be achieved in 2023. The EPA's
analysis of these additional receptors further is explained in section
IV.D of this document.
However, because we did not identify this basis for receptor-
identification at proposal, in this final action we are only using this
receptor category on a confirmatory basis. That is, for states that we
find linked based on our traditional modeling-based methodology in
2023, we find in this final analysis that the linkage at Step 2 is
strengthened and confirmed if that state is also linked to one or more
``violating monitor'' receptors. If a state is only linked to a
violating-monitor receptor in this final analysis, we are deferring
promulgating a final FIP (and we have also deferred taking final action
on that state's SIP submittal). This is the case for the State of
Tennessee. Among the states that previously had their transport SIPs
fully approved for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA has also identified a
linkage to violating-monitor receptors for the State of Kansas. The EPA
intends to further review its air quality modeling results and recent
measured ozone levels, and we intend to address these states' good
neighbor obligations as expeditiously as practicable in a future
action.
b. Step 2 Approach
The EPA applies the same approach for identifying which states are
contributing to downwind nonattainment and maintenance receptors as it
has applied in the three prior CSAPR rulemakings. CSAPR, the CSAPR
Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update used a screening threshold of 1
percent of the NAAQS to identify upwind states that were ``linked'' to
downwind air pollution problems. States with contributions greater than
or equal to the threshold for at least one downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptor identified in Step 1 were identified in these
rules as needing further evaluation of their good neighbor obligations
to downwind states at Step 3.\84\ The EPA evaluated each state's
contribution based on the average relative downwind impact calculated
[[Page 36678]]
over multiple days.\85\ States whose air quality impacts to all
downwind receptors were below this threshold did not require further
evaluation for measures to address transport. In other words, the EPA
determined that these states did not contribute to downwind air quality
problems and therefore had no emissions reduction obligations under the
good neighbor provision. The EPA applies a relatively low contribution
screening threshold because many downwind ozone nonattainment and
maintenance receptors receive transport contributions from multiple
upwind states. While the proportion of contribution from a single
upwind state may be relatively small, the effect of collective
contribution resulting from multiple upwind states may substantially
contribute to nonattainment of or interference with maintenance of the
NAAQS in downwind areas. The preambles to the proposed and final CSAPR
rules discuss the use of the 1 percent threshold for CSAPR. See 75 FR
45237 (August 2, 2010); 76 FR 48238 (August 8, 2011). The same metric
is discussed in the CSAPR Update, see 81 FR 74538, and in the Revised
CSAPR Update, see 86 FR 23054. In this final rule, the EPA has updated
the air quality modeling data used for determining contributions at
Step 2 of the 4-step interstate transport framework using the 2016v3
modeling platform. The EPA continues to find that this threshold is
appropriate to apply for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. This rule's application
of the Step 2 approach is comprehensively described in section IV of
this document.
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\84\ For ozone, the impacts include those from VOC and
NOX from all sectors.
\85\ The number of days used in calculating the average
contribution metric has historically been determined in a manner
that is generally consistent with the EPA's recommendations for
projecting future year ozone design values. Our ozone attainment
demonstration modeling guidance at the time of CSAPR recommended
using all model-predicted days above the NAAQS to calculate future
year design values (https://www3.epa.gov/ttn/scram/guidance/guide/final-03-pm-rh-guidance.pdf). In 2014, the EPA issued draft revised
guidance that changed the recommended number of days to the top-10
model predicted days (https://www3.epa.gov/ttn/scram/guidance/guide/Draft-O3-PM-RH-Modeling_Guidance-2014.pdf). For the CSAPR Update,
the EPA transitioned to calculating design values based on this
draft revised approach. The revised modeling guidance was finalized
in 2019 and, in this regard, the EPA is calculating both the ozone
design values and the contributions based on a top-10 day approach
(https://www3.epa.gov/ttn/scram/guidance/guide/O3-PM-RH-Modeling_Guidance-2018.pdf).
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Many commenters challenged the use of a 1 percent of NAAQS
threshold or otherwise raised issues with the EPA's Step 2 methodology.
These comments are addressed in section IV.F of this document and in
the RTC document.
c. Step 3 Approach
The EPA continues to apply the same approach as the prior three
CSAPR rulemakings for evaluating ``significant contribution'' at Step
3.\86\ For states that are linked at Step 2 to downwind air quality
problems, CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update
evaluated NOX reduction potential, cost, and downwind air
quality improvements available at various mitigation technology
breakpoints (represented by cost thresholds) in the multi-factor test.
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
selected the technology breakpoint (represented by a cost threshold)
that, in general, maximized cost-effectiveness--i.e., that achieved a
reasonable balance of incremental NOX reduction potential
and corresponding downwind ozone air quality improvements, relative to
the other emissions budget levels evaluated. See, e.g., 81 FR 74550.
The EPA determined the level of emissions reductions associated with
that level of control stringency to constitute significant contribution
to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of a NAAQS downwind.
See, e.g., 86 FR 23116. This approach was upheld by the U.S. Supreme
Court in EPA v. EME Homer City.\87\
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\86\ For simplicity, the EPA (and courts) at times will refer to
the Step 3 analysis as determining ``significant contribution'';
however, the EPA's approach at Step 3 also implements the
``interference with maintenance'' prong of the good neighbor
provision by also addressing emissions that impact the maintenance
receptors identified at Step 1. See 86 FR 23074 (``In effect, EPA's
determination of what level of upwind contribution constitutes
`interference' with a maintenance receptor is the same determination
as what constitutes `significant contribution' for a nonattainment
receptor. Nonetheless, this continues to give independent effect to
prong 2 because the EPA applies a broader definition for identifying
maintenance receptors, which accounts for the possibility of
problems maintaining the NAAQS under realistic potential future
conditions.''). See also EME Homer City, 795 F.3d 118, 136
(upholding this approach to prong 2).
\87\ EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. 489
(2014).
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In this action, the EPA applies this approach to identify EGU and
non-EGU NOX control stringencies necessary to address
significant contribution for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. The EPA applies a
multifactor assessment using cost-thresholds, total emissions reduction
potential, and downwind air quality effects as key factors in
determining a reasonable balance of NOX controls in light of
the downwind air quality problems. The EPA's evaluation of available
NOX mitigation strategies for EGUs focuses on the same core
set of measures as prior transport rules, and the EPA finalizes a
control stringency for EGUs from these measures that is commensurate
with the nature of the ongoing ozone nonattainment and maintenance
problems observed for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Similarly, in this action,
the EPA includes other industrial sources (non-EGUs) in its Step 3
analysis and finalizes emissions limitations for certain non-EGU
sources as needed to eliminate significant contribution and
interference with maintenance. The available reductions and cost-levels
for the non-EGU stringency is commensurate with the control strategy
for EGUs.
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
focused its Step 3 analysis on EGUs. In the Revised CSAPR Update, in
response to the Wisconsin decision's finding that the EPA had not
adequately evaluated potential non-EGU reductions, see 938 F.3d at 318,
the EPA determined that the available NOX emissions
reductions from non-EGU sources, for purposes of addressing good
neighbor obligations for the 2008 ozone NAAQS, at a comparable cost
threshold to the required EGU emissions reductions (for which the EPA
used an adjusted representative cost of $1,800 per ton), and based on
the timing of when such measures could be implemented, did not provide
a sufficiently meaningful and timely air quality improvement at the
downwind receptors before those receptors were projected to resolve.
See 86 FR 23110. On that basis, the EPA made a finding that emissions
reductions from non-EGU sources were not required to eliminate
significant contribution to downwind air quality problems under the
interstate transport provision for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. In this rule,
the EPA's ``significant contribution'' analysis at Step 3 of the 4-step
framework includes a comprehensive evaluation of major stationary
source non-EGU industries in the linked upwind states. The EPA finds
that emissions from certain non-EGU sources in the upwind states
significantly contribute to downwind air quality problems for the 2015
ozone NAAQS, and that cost-effective emissions reductions from these
sources are required to eliminate significant contribution under the
interstate transport provision. Therefore, this rule requires emissions
reductions from non-EGU sources in upwind states to fulfill interstate
transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. This analysis is
described fully in section V of this document.
In this rule, the EPA also continues to apply its approach for
assessing and avoiding ``over-control.'' In EME Homer
[[Page 36679]]
City, the Supreme Court held that ``EPA cannot require a State to
reduce its output of pollution by more than is necessary to achieve
attainment in every downwind State or at odds with the one-percent
threshold the Agency has set.'' 572 U.S. at 521. The Court acknowledged
that ``instances of `over-control' in particular downwind locations may
be incidental to reductions necessary to ensure attainment elsewhere.''
Id. at 492.
Because individual upwind States often `contribute
significantly' to nonattainment in multiple downwind locations, the
emissions reductions required to bring one linked downwind State
into attainment may well be large enough to push other linked
downwind States over the attainment line. As the Good Neighbor
Provision seeks attainment in every downwind State, however,
exceeding attainment in one State cannot rank as `over-control'
unless unnecessary to achieving attainment in any downwind State.
Only reductions unnecessary to downwind attainment anywhere fall
outside the Agency's statutory authority.
Id. at 522 (footnotes omitted).
The Court further explained that ``while EPA has a statutory duty
to avoid over-control, the Agency also has a statutory obligation to
avoid `under-control,' i.e., to maximize achievement of attainment
downwind.'' Id. at 523. Therefore, in the CSAPR Update and Revised
CSAPR Update, the EPA evaluated possible over-control by considering
whether an upwind state is linked solely to downwind air quality
problems that can be resolved at a lower cost threshold, or if upwind
states would reduce their emissions at a lower cost threshold to the
extent that they would no longer meet or exceed the 1 percent air
quality contribution threshold. See, e.g., 81 FR 74551-52. See also
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325 (over-control must be proven through a ``
`particularized, as-applied challenge' '') (quoting EME Homer City
Generation, 572 U.S. at 523-24). The EPA continues to apply this
framework for assessing over-control in this rule, and, as discussed in
section V.D.4 of this document, does not find any over-control at the
final control stringency selected.
This evaluation of cost, NOX reductions, and air quality
improvements, including consideration of whether there is proven over-
control, results in the EPA's determination of the appropriate level of
upwind control stringency that would result in elimination of emissions
that significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in downwind areas.
Comment: Commenters alleged that the EPA lacks authority to
regulate EGUs under the good neighbor provision of the CAA, or at least
in the manner proposed, because in their view, this regulation would
intrude into areas of regulation that are reserved to other Federal
agencies or are beyond the EPA's expertise. They focused in particular
on the EGU trading program enhancements, which they alleged would
threaten electric grid reliability, and asserted that EPA lacks
authority or expertise to dictate the mix of electricity generation in
the country.
Response: The EPA disagrees that the regulation of EGUs in this
action is unlawful or unsupported. The Agency has consistently and
successfully regulated EGUs' ozone season NOX emissions
under the good neighbor provision for over 25 years, beginning with the
1997 NOX SIP Call. This action does not intrude on other
Federal agencies' authorities and responsibilities with respect to
managing the electric power grid and ensuring reliable electricity.
While other agencies such as the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
(FERC) have primary responsibility for ensuring reliability of the bulk
electric system, the EPA has ensured that its final rule here will not
create electric reliability concerns. See section VI.B.1.d of this
document. Thus, to the extent commenters are raising a record-based
issue that the EPA through this action has created a reliability
concern, we disagree. The EPA engaged in a series of stakeholder
meetings with Reliability Coordinators who commented on the proposed
rule, including several Regional Transmission Organizations (RTOs) as
well as non-RTO entities throughout the rulemaking process.\88\
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\88\ See Documents no. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0938, EPA-HQ-OAR-
2021-0668-0940, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0941, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-
0942, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0943, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0944, and EPA-
HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0945 in the docket for this rulemaking.
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To the extent commenters maintain that--despite this record of
collaboration and sensitivity to the need to ensure reliability in the
implementation of its mandates, including in this rule--the EPA
nonetheless fundamentally lacks authority to regulate the electric-
power sector in any way that ``impact[s] national electricity and
energy markets,'' the EPA disagrees. The EPA has successfully regulated
interstate ozone-precursor emissions from the power sector since the
NOX SIP Call and the establishment of the NOX
Budget Trading Program. See generally Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663
(D.C. Cir. 2000); Appalachian Power Co. v. EPA, 249 F.3d 1032 (D.C.
Cir. 2001). In fact, each of the EPA's interstate ozone transport
rulemakings has focused on the regulation of ozone-precursor emissions
from the power sector (all but the NOX SIP Call
exclusively), because substantial, cost-effective reductions in ozone-
precursor emissions have been and continue to be available from fossil-
fuel fired EGUs. See, e.g., 63 FR 57399-400 (NOX SIP Call);
70 FR 25165 and 71 FR 25343 (CAIR and CAIR FIP); 76 FR 48210-11
(CSAPR); 81 FR 74507 (CSAPR Update); 86 FR 23061 (Revised CSAPR
Update).\89\
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\89\ There are myriad other examples of effective power sector
regulation under the CAA and other environmental statutes, including
for example, new source performance standards (NSPS), best available
retrofit technology (BART) requirements, and mercury and air toxics
standards (MATS) under the CAA; effluent limitation guidelines
(ELGs) under the Clean Water Act; and coal combustion residuals
(CCR) requirements under the Resource Conservation and Recovery Act.
Whether implemented through unit- or facility-level pollution
control requirements or through emissions-trading or other market-
based programs, these regulations have been effective in reducing
air and water pollution while not intruding into the regulatory
arenas of other state and Federal entities. See Section 1 of the RTC
for further discussion.
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This rule, like all prior EPA ozone-transport rulemakings,
regulates only one aspect of the operation of fossil-fuel fired EGUs,
that is, the emissions of NOX as an ozone-precursor
pollutant during the ozone season. This rule limits EGU NOX
emissions that interfere with downwind states' ability to attain and
maintain the 2015 ozone NAAQS. The rule does not regulate any other
aspect of energy generation, distribution, or sale. For these reasons,
the rule does not intrude on FERC's power under the Federal Power Act,
16 U.S.C. 791a, et seq. And, as in prior transport rules, the EPA
implements this regulation through a proven, flexible mass-based
emissions trading program that integrates well with, and in no way
intrudes upon, the management of the power sector under other state and
Federal authorities. This rule will not alter the procedures system
operators employ to dispatch resources or force changes to FERC-
jurisdictional electricity markets, nor have commenters offered any
explanation in this regard themselves.
The actual compliance requirement that the EGUs must meet in the
allowance trading system finalized here--just as in all prior
interstate transport trading programs--is simply to hold sufficient
allowances to cover emissions during a given control period, not to
undertake any specific
[[Page 36680]]
compliance strategy.\90\ The owner or operator of an EGU has
flexibility in determining how it will meet this requirement, whether
through the add-on emissions controls that the EPA has selected in our
Step 3 analysis, or through some other method or methods of compliance.
The costs of meeting this allowance-holding requirement--just like the
cost associated with meeting any other regulatory requirements--could
possibly then be factored into what that unit bids in the wholesale
electricity market (or in regulated jurisdictions, would factor into
utility regulators' determinations of what can be cost-recovered).
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\90\ The EPA has included in this trading program certain
``enhancements'' to ensure that the program continues to eliminate
the emissions the EPA has determined constitute ``significant
contribution'' over the entire life of the trading program. While
one of the enhancements elevates a type of conduct that was already
strongly discouraged into an enforceable violation, the other
enhancements all simply modify the traditional allowance-based
program structure to revise how the specific quantities of
allowances that must be surrendered or the specific quantities of
allowances available for surrender are determined. In finalizing
this rule, the EPA has made a number of changes to its proposed
enhancements to the trading program in response to comment and in
part to ensure no impact on system reliability. Nonetheless, with
these changes, the EPA has determined that the enhanced trading
program can be implemented without impacting grid reliability. See
section VI.B.1.d of this document.
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Those costs could, in turn, result in a reduction in electricity
generation from higher-emitting sources and an increase in electricity
generation from lower-emitting or zero-emitting generators, but that
kind of generation shifting (not mandated but occurring as an economic
choice by the regulated sources) is consistent, and in no way
interferes with, the existing security-constrained economic dispatch
protocols of the modern electrical grid. Further, this type of
``impact'' on electricity markets--merely incidental, not mandated or
even intended--is of the same type that results from any other kind of
regulation, environmental or otherwise. Indeed, the U.S. Supreme Court
recognizes that regulatory actions that may have some ``effect,'' or
impact, in electricity markets do not on that basis alone intrude into
authorities reserved to electricity rate-setting regulators by the
Federal Power Act. See FERC v. Electric Power Supply Ass'n, 577 U.S.
260, 282-84 (2016) (distinguishing between actions that have an effect
on retail rates and actual intrusion into retail rate-setting itself);
see also Hughes v. Talen, 578 U.S. 150, 166 (2016). The Supreme Court
again recognized this distinction between ``incidental'' effects caused
by lawfully issued environmental regulations and attempts to mandate a
particular energy mix in West Virginia v. EPA. See 142 S. Ct. 2587,
2613 n.4 (2022) (``[T]here is an obvious difference between (1) issuing
a rule that may end up causing an incidental loss of coal's market
share, and (2) simply announcing what the market share of coal, natural
gas, wind, and solar must be . . . .'').
This rule is squarely in the former camp; as the most stringent
component of its emissions controls strategy for EGUs, the EPA has
determined that to eliminate significant contribution to harmful levels
of ozone in other states, certain fossil-fuel fired EGUs in ``linked''
upwind states that do not already have selective catalytic reduction
(SCR) post-combustion control technology, should install it (or achieve
emissions reductions commensurate with that technology). SCR is a well-
established at-the-source NOX control technology already in
use by EGUs representing roughly 60 percent of the existing coal-fired
generating capacity in the United States. This technology can be
installed and operated to reduce NOX emissions without
forcing the retirement or reduced utilization of any EGU. However, if
market conditions are such that an EGU faced with this mandate (again,
as expressed through an emissions trading budget) finds it more
economic to comply with the mandate through the purchase of allowances,
installation of other types of pollution control, reduced utilization,
and/or retirement, rather than installing SCR technology, that is a
choice that the EGU owner/operator can freely make under this rule.\91\
Security constrained economic dispatch is thereby maintained and is in
no way interfered with.
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\91\ As explained in section V.B of this document, the
imposition of a backstop emissions rate beginning in 2030 for units
that do not already have SCR installed could lead the owner of a
given unit to decide that the unit's continued operation would be
uneconomic without installation of SCR, but the establishment of
technology-based emissions rates that require such decisions is
consistent with decades of the EPA's rulemaking and permitting
actions requiring source-specific pollution controls. Further, the
backstop rate in this program is implemented through an enhanced
allowance-surrender ratio, thus preserving some degree of
flexibility through the emissions-trading program as the mechanism
of compliance.
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The EPA recognizes that cost to operate generators is one of the
major factors that system operators utilize to determine ``merit''
order in dispatching resources. However, this rule does not intrude in
any way into that process. To the extent that compliance with
environmental regulations is a kind of cost that may need to be
factored into generators' bids, this rule is no different than many
other such requirements EGUs are already subject to. Further, as in
prior transport rules, this rule applies a uniform control stringency
to EGUs within the covered upwind states. EGUs that may have enjoyed a
competitive advantage in the past through not bearing the costs of
installing and running state-of-the-art emissions control technology
now must bear that cost just as their competitors with that technology
already are. Cf. EME Homer City, 572 U.S. 489, 519 (CSAPR is
``[e]quitable because, by imposing uniform cost thresholds on regulated
States, EPA's rule subjects to stricter regulation those States that
have done relatively less in the past to control their pollution.
Upwind States that have not yet implemented pollution controls of the
same stringency as their neighbors will be stopped from free riding on
their neighbors' efforts to reduce pollution. They will have to bring
down their emissions by installing devices of the kind in which
neighboring States have already invested.'').
Finally, we note that this final rule does not include ``generation
shifting'' as a component of the budget-setting process, even in the
limited way that it had been used in prior transport rules like CSAPR
and the CSAPR Update, i.e., to ensure the budget provided adequate
incentive to ensure implementation of the selected emission-control
strategy. See section V.B.1.f of this document. Further comments
regarding legal authority for ``generation shifting,'' relationship to
state authorities, and expertise associated with grid reliability are
addressed in section 1.3 of the RTC. We further discuss our
consideration of grid reliability concerns and adjustments in the
approach to the EGU emissions trading program from proposal in section
VI.B.1.d of this document.
Comment: Commenters generally challenged the EPA's authority to
establish emissions control requirements for non-EGU industrial sources
in this action, or argued that such controls are unnecessary or
unsupported, or run contrary to the EPA's prior actions under the good
neighbor provision.
Response: The states and the EPA have authority under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to prohibit emissions from ``any source or other
type of emissions activity'' that are found to significantly contribute
to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS in downwind
states. This language is not limited only to power plant emissions, nor
is it limited only to ``major'' sources or ``stationary'' sources.
Thus, as a legal
[[Page 36681]]
matter, the emissions control requirements for certain large ``non-
EGU'' industrial sources in this action are grounded in unambiguous
statutory authority, in particular the statute's use of the broad term
``any source.'' Whereas the Act elsewhere includes definitions of
``major stationary source,'' ``small source,'' and ``stationary
source,'' see, e.g., CAA section 302(j), (x), and (z), no such
qualifying terms are used with respect to the term ``any source'' at
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). Rather, the scope of authority in this
provision expands to encompass ``other type of emissions activity'' in
addition to ``any source.'' The EPA has previously included non-EGU
industrial sources in findings quantifying states' obligations under
the good neighbor provision, in the 1998 NOX SIP Call, see
63 FR 57365.\92\ See also Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663, 690-93
(upholding the inclusion of certain non-EGU boilers in the
NOX SIP Call). The EPA's determinations in prior transport
rules not to regulate sources beyond the power sector were grounded in
considerations not related to the Agency's statutory authority. For
example, in the original CSAPR rulemaking, the EPA determined that the
analytical effort needed to regulate non-EGU industrial sources would
substantially delay the implementation of emissions reductions from the
power sector. See, e.g., 76 FR 48247-48 (``[D]eveloping the additional
information needed to consider NOX emissions from non-EGU
source categories to fully quantify upwind state responsibility with
respect to the 1997 ozone NAAQS would substantially delay promulgation
of the Transport Rule. . . . [W]e do not believe that effort should
delay the emissions reductions and large health benefits this final
rule will deliver[.]''). The EPA acknowledged that by not addressing
non-EGUs, it may not have promulgated a complete remedy to good
neighbor obligations in CSAPR, id. at 48248. Nonetheless, the EPA went
on to explain that there were limited emissions reductions available
from non-EGUs at the cost thresholds the EPA determined would deliver
substantial reductions from power plants. See id. at 48249 (the EPA's
``preliminary assessment in the rule proposal suggested that there
likely would be very large emissions reductions available from EGUs
before costs reach the point for which non-EGU sources have available
reductions . . . . EPA revisited these non-EGU reduction cost levels in
this final rulemaking and verified that there are little or no
reductions available from non-EGUs at costs lower than the thresholds
that EPA has chosen . . . .''). The EPA noted in CSAPR that states
retained the authority to regulate non-EGUs as a method of addressing
their good neighbor obligations. Id. at 48320. The EPA also noted in
CSAPR that ``potentially substantial'' non-EGU emissions reductions
could be available in future rulemakings applying a higher cost
threshold. See id. at 48256.
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\92\ Specifically, in the NOX SIP Call, the EPA set
statewide budgets while states could determine which sectors to
regulate. The EPA recommended that states regulate certain types of
non-EGUs and quantified the statewide budgets based in part on the
emissions reductions from those types of non-EGUs. In the parallel
rule that followed under the EPA's CAA section 126(b) authority to
directly regulate emissions to eliminate significant contribution,
we promulgated an emissions trading program that would have included
these same types of non-EGUs. Before this rule was implemented, all
states adopted equivalent state trading programs using the
NOX SIP Call model rule.
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Similarly, in the CSAPR Update, which addressed good neighbor
obligations for the 2008 ozone NAAQS, the EPA found that regulation of
non-EGUs was not warranted as the analysis required could delay the
expeditious implementation of power plant reductions. The EPA found
that the availability and cost-effectiveness of non-EGU reductions was
uncertain and further analysis could delay implementation of the EGU
strategy beyond 2017. The EPA acknowledged that it was not promulgating
a complete remedy for good neighbor obligations for the 2008 ozone
NAAQS and indicated its intention to further review emissions-reduction
opportunities from non-EGU and EGU sources. 81 FR 74521-22.
In Wisconsin, the court held that the EPA's deferral of a complete
good neighbor remedy by 2017, on the basis, among other things, of
uncertainty regarding non-EGU emissions reductions and the need for
further regulatory analysis, was unlawful. 938 F.3d at 318-19. The
court noted that `` `the statutes and common sense demand regulatory
action to prevent harm, even if the regulator is less than certain.' ''
Id. at 319 (quoting Ethyl Corp. v. EPA, 541 F.2d 1, 24-25 (D.C. Cir.
1976)), and that agencies can only avoid meeting their statutory
obligations where ``scientific uncertainty is so profound that it
precludes EPA from making a reasoned judgment.'' Id. (citing
Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497, 534 (2007)). Further, the court
rejected the EPA's argument that it would have delayed its rulemaking
if the EPA needed to complete a non-EGU analysis in a timely manner,
holding that ``administrative infeasibility'' is not sufficient to
``justify . . . noncompliance with the statute.'' Id. Rather, the
Agency would need to ``meet the `heavy burden to demonstrate the
existence of an impossibility.' '' Id. (quoting Sierra Club v. EPA, 719
F.2d 436, 462 (D.C. Cir. 1983)).
Following the remand of the CSAPR Update in Wisconsin, in the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA conducted an analysis of non-EGUs to
ensure it had implemented a complete remedy to eliminate significant
contribution for the covered states for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. While
acknowledging uncertainty in the datasets for non-EGUs, the EPA
concluded: ``[U]sing the best information currently available to the
Agency, . . . the EPA is concluding that there are relatively fewer
emissions reductions available at a cost threshold comparable to the
cost threshold selected for EGUs. In the EPA's reasoned judgment, the
Agency concludes such reductions are estimated to have a much smaller
effect on any downwind receptor in the year by which the EPA finds such
controls could be installed.'' 86 FR 23059. Therefore, the EPA
determined control of non-EGU emissions was not required to eliminate
significant contribution for the 2008 ozone NAAQS.
The circumstances that led the EPA to defer or decline regulation
of non-EGU sources in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update, are not present here, and the EPA's determination in this
action that prohibiting certain emissions from certain non-EGU sources
is necessary to eliminate significant contribution for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS is a logical extension of the analyses and evolution of
regulatory policy development spanning its prior good neighbor rules,
now applied to implement this more protective NAAQS. As the EPA
explained at proposal, unlike in CSAPR and the Revised CSAPR Update, in
this action the EPA finds that available reductions and cost-levels for
the non-EGU stringency are commensurate with the control strategy for
EGUs. Following consideration of comments and after some adjustments in
the non-EGU analysis and control strategy, in this final rule, the EPA
continues to find this to be the case. See sections V.C and V.D of this
document.
In particular, the EPA continues to find that cost-effective
emissions reductions are available for non-EGUs at a representative
cost-threshold that is lower than the cost-threshold the EPA is
applying for EGUs. See section V.C. of this document. These emissions
control strategies are generally comparable to the emissions reduction
requirements that similar sources in downwind states
[[Page 36682]]
are already required to meet. See section V.B.2 of this document. The
EPA finds that the implementation of these emissions control strategies
at non-EGUs, in conjunction with the strategies for EGU, will make a
cost-effective and meaningful improvement in air quality through
reducing ozone levels at the identified downwind receptors, and,
therefore, the EPA has determined that these strategies will eliminate
the amount of upwind emissions needed to address significant
contribution under the good neighbor provision. The EPA's action here
is focused on the most impactful industries and emissions units as
determined by our evaluation of the power sector and the non-EGU
screening assessment prepared for the proposal; indeed, of the 41
industries, as identified by North American Industry Classification
System codes, we analyzed, only nine industries met the criteria for
further evaluation of significant contribution. See section V.B.2 of
this document. Further, the EPA finds that these strategies do not
result in ``overcontrol.'' See section V.D.4 of this document. As such,
the EPA maintains that its final determinations regarding non-EGUs and
its inclusion of non-EGU emissions sources within this final rule are
statutorily authorized and lawful.\93\
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\93\ Certain changes in the emissions control strategies for
non-EGUs reflecting comments and updated information are explained
in section VI.C of this document.
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The EPA disagrees that it should defer regulation of industrial
sources to the NSPS program under CAA section 111(b). CAA section
111(b) does not expressly provide for the elimination of ``significant
contribution'' as is required under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). In
particular, commenter's statement that NSPS rulemakings under section
111(b) will appropriately address the emissions that we find must be
eliminated in this action is not correct. Standards under section
111(b) apply only to new and modified sources, not existing sources.
This action, however, finds that reductions in ongoing emissions from
existing sources are needed to eliminate significant contribution. An
NSPS standard for new and modified sources would not address such
emissions from existing sources. To the extent that covered sources in
this action also may be covered by an older NSPS, these sources
nonetheless continue to have emissions that the EPA finds significantly
contribute and can be eliminated through further emissions control as
determined in this action. We further disagree with commenter's
separate suggestion that the EPA use section 111(b) and (d) to regulate
both new and existing sources of ozone season NOX, which is
premised on the incorrect notion that the EPA's action here is an
attempt to regulate entire source categories nationwide, rather than to
eliminate significant contribution pursuant to CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). This action applies only to the extent a state is
``linked'' to downwind receptors, and therefore this action only
regulates covered non-EGU industrial sources in 20 states. Further,
this comment ignores that the regulation of criteria pollutant
emissions from existing sources under CAA section 111(d) is limited by
the criteria pollutant exclusion in CAA section 111(d)(1)(A)(i).
The EPA agrees with the commenters who assert that the EPA's
authority to regulate non-EGUs under the good neighbor provision is
well-grounded in administrative precedent and case law. Our previous
discussion briefly recites several of the most salient aspects of that
history. We also agree that the statutory language is not limited only
to those sources that emit above 100 tons per year. The EPA's Step 3
and Step 4 analyses in this regard, which establish certain thresholds
based on historical actual emissions, potential to emit and/or metrics
for unit design capacity, reflect a reasoned judgment by the Agency
regarding which emissions can be cost-effectively eliminated to address
significant contribution, under the facts and circumstances of this
action. That these thresholds are designed to exclude certain smaller
or lower-emitting units does not reflect a determination that the EPA
lacks legal authority to regulate such sources under different facts
and circumstances.
The EPA identified two industry tiers of potential non-EGU
emissions reductions in its non-EGU screening assessment at proposal,
based on screening metrics intended to capture different kinds of
impacts that non-EGU sources may have on identified receptors. The EPA
agrees that it is only authorized to prohibit emissions under the good
neighbor provision that significantly contribute to nonattainment or
interfere with maintenance in downwind states, and we determined that
these industries did so. The EPA sought comment on whether additional
non-EGU industries significantly contributed to nonattainment or
interfered with maintenance in downwind states. The EPA did not receive
comments identifying other industrial stationary sources that are more
impactful that should be regulated instead of those the EPA identified.
We believed at proposal and confirm here in our final rule that the
methodology used in the screening assessment comported with the factors
that we consider at Step 3. Further, the EPA's 4-step interstate
transport framework, including the Step 3 analysis and an overcontrol
assessment, ensure that the emissions reductions achieved at each
source covered by this rule are in fact justified as part of an
overall, complete remedy to eliminate significant contribution for the
covered states for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. The EPA has decided to
finalize emissions limitations for all of the non-EGU industries, with
some modifications from proposal reflecting public input, as discussed
in section VI.C of this document. The Agency's authority to establish
unit- and/or source-specific emissions limitations in exercising our
FIP authority is further discussed in section III.B.1 of this document.
Comment: Commenters raise additional issues with the overall
approach of the rule at Step 3 to address significant contribution
through our evaluation of EGU and non-EGU strategies through parallel
but separate analyses. They stated that the EPA failed to establish
that the identified non-EGU emissions reductions are needed to
eliminate significant contribution. Commenters stated that the
identified non-EGU emissions reductions are not impactful of air
quality at receptors or that they are much less cost-effective than the
EGU emissions reductions. Commenters stated that the EPA grouped all
non-EGU emissions reductions together in making a cost-effectiveness
determination that is only an average and ignores significant variation
in costs associated with controls on different types of non-EGU
emissions units. They also stated the EPA did not assess multiple
control technologies in the way that it did for EGUs, and they argued
there is great variation in the profile of non-EGU industries and
emissions unit types in the different upwind states or that individual
emissions units do not contribute to an out-of-state air quality
problem at all. Commenters argued that certain non-EGU controls were
not feasible, or that the EPA had applied a different standard for
``feasibility'' for non-EGUs than it did for EGUs. Commenters stated
that the EPA should have provided a mass-based trading option for non-
EGUs just as it had for EGUs. By contrast, other commenters supported
the regulation of non-EGUs in this action as necessary to ensure a
complete remedy to good neighbor obligations, since the statute is not
limited to regulating power plants.
[[Page 36683]]
Some commenters further stated that EGUs should not face any further
emissions reduction obligation because all cost-effective controls have
already been identified through prior transport rules, and that any
further regulation of EGUs would only lead to the retirement of coal
plants, which they believe is the EPA's true objective. Finally, some
commenters argued that the EPA had not ensured that it only regulated
up to the minimum needed for downwind areas to come into attainment.
Response: Issues related to the specific technical bases for the
Agency's determinations of what emissions constitute ``significant
contribution'' at Step 3 of the 4-step framework are addressed in
section V of this document. Here, we evaluate commenters' more general
assertions that this action addresses non-EGU or EGU emissions in an
inconsistent way. First, the EPA agrees with commenters that the task
of evaluating significant contribution from the non-EGU industries is
complex compared to EGUs in light of the much greater diversity in
industries and emissions unit types. This, however, is not a valid
basis to avoid emissions control requirements on such sources if needed
to eliminate significant contribution. In this respect, the EPA's
analysis in this final rule is that the 4-step framework, as upheld by
the Supreme Court in EME Homer City, can be adequately applied even to
this more complex set of sources in a way that parallels the analysis
previously conducted only for EGUs. This analysis relies on evaluation
of uniform levels of control stringency across all upwind states to
find a level of emissions control that is cost-effective and
collectively delivers meaningful downwind air quality improvement. For
non-EGUs, the EPA identified the most impactful industries and
emissions unit types and evaluated emissions control strategies for
these units that have been demonstrated or applied across many similar
facilities and emissions units. The EPA has evaluated whether these
strategies are cost-effective on a cost-per-ton basis, and in
particular has compared these strategies to those selected for EGUs.
This analysis is set forth in sections V and VI of this document and
associated technical support documents.
Commenter's statement that the establishment of a uniform level of
control for each group of industrial units across the linked upwind
states fails to assess with greater precision or define a state-
specific proportion of emissions reduction that is needed for each
downwind receptor is effectively an attempt to relitigate EME Homer
City. The Court in that case rejected that the EPA must define
significant contribution by reference to a specific quantum of
reductions that each state must achieve that is proportional to its
impact at a downwind receptor. The Court agreed with the EPA's concerns
as to why that approach would be problematically complicated or even
impossible to apply in light of the complex set of linkages among
states for a regional pollutant like ozone. See 572 U.S. at 515-17. The
Court found that the use of uniform cost thresholds to allocate
responsibility for good neighbor obligations to be efficient and
equitable, in that it requires those sources that have done less to
reduce their emissions to come up to a minimum level of performance to
what other sources are already achieving. Id. at 519. The EPA's
analysis in this action in section V of this document establishes that
this continues to be an appropriate means of delivering meaningful air
quality improvement to downwind receptors, taking into consideration
the complexities of interstate pollution transport.
Not every upwind state has the same mix of non-EGU industries and
emissions unit types, and it is also the case that the costs for
installation of the selected level of control technology will vary from
facility to facility based on site-specific considerations. This is
also true for the set of EGU sources regulated here and in previous
CSAPR rulemakings. These real-world complexities do not obviate the
broader policy and technical judgements that the EPA makes at Step 3
regarding what level of emissions control performance can be achieved
on a region-wide basis to resolve significant contribution for a
regional-scale pollutant like ozone. The EPA's design of cost
thresholds derives from the identification of discrete types of
NOX emissions control strategies. The EPA then identifies a
representative cost-effectiveness on a per ton basis for that
technology. In the Step 3 analysis, it is not the cost per ton value
itself that is inherently meaningful, but rather how that cost-
effectiveness value relates to other control stringencies, how many
emissions reductions may be obtained, and how air quality is ultimately
impacted. The selected level of control stringency reflects a point at
which further emissions mitigation strategies become excessively costly
on a per-ton basis while also delivering far fewer additional emissions
reductions and air quality benefits. This is often referred to as a
``knee in the curve'' analysis. There are always inherent uncertainties
in identifying a representative cost per ton value for any particular
control stringency, but this in itself does not upset the EPA's ability
to render an overall policy judgment based on the Step 3 factors as to
a set of emissions control strategies that together eliminate
significant contribution. See 86 FR 23054, 23073 (responding to similar
comments on the Revised CSAPR Update).
We note that the EPA has made a number of adjustments to the non-
EGU emissions limits identified at Step 4 to accommodate legitimate
concerns regarding the ability of certain non-EGU facilities to meet
the emissions control requirements that the EPA had proposed. The
Agency's determinations regarding feasibility and installation timing
for pollution controls are comparable and not inconsistent between EGUs
and non-EGUs. The EPA is not establishing a trading program for non-
EGUs because the Agency does not have adequate baseline emissions data
and information on monitoring currently at many of these emissions
units to develop emissions budgets that could reliably implement the
Step 3 determinations made in this action. However, for most of the
non-EGU industries,\94\ the EPA is not mandating a specific control
technology and is instead establishing numeric emissions limits that
are uniform across the region and that allow sources to choose how to
comply. The EPA's analysis, including review of RACT determinations,
consent decrees, and permitting actions, shows that these emissions
limits and control requirements are achievable by existing units in the
non-EGU industries covered by this final rule. This rule will therefore
bring all of these impactful industries and unit types across the
region of linked upwind states up to this standard of performance, and
thus will result collectively in a relatively substantial decrease in
ozone-season NOX emissions, with associated reductions in
ozone levels projected to result at the downwind receptors. This is
further discussed in section V.D.
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\94\ For reheat furnaces in the Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry, the EPA is establishing
requirements to operate low-NOX burners achieving a
specified level of emissions reduction; this approach is needed to
allow for unit-specific testing before an appropriate emissions
limitation can be set. See section VI.C.3 of this document.
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Some commenters alleged that the EPA's EGU control strategy goes
beyond the cost-effectiveness determinations of prior transport rules,
and they believe that the EPA's true objective is to force the
retirement of coal plants. First, we note that the EGU emissions
control strategy is premised entirely on at-the-
[[Page 36684]]
source emissions control technologies that are widely available and in
use across the EGU fleet. It is not the EPA's intention in this rule to
force the retirement of any EGU or non-EGU facilities or emissions
units but to identify and eliminate significant contribution under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) based on cost-effective and proven control
technologies that are appropriate in relation to address the problem of
interstate transport for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Further, determinations
of cost-effectiveness must be made in relation to the particular
statutory provision and its purpose. The EPA recognized in CSAPR, for
example, that additional emissions reductions beyond what were
determined to be cost-effective in that action could be required to
implement good neighbor obligations if a NAAQS were revised to a more
protective level. See 76 FR 48210. Here it is not surprising that a
more stringent level of control could be found justified in
implementing transport obligations for the more protective 2015 ozone
NAAQS. Those reductions are projected to deliver meaningful air quality
improvement to downwind receptors, as discussed in section V.D of this
document. Those air quality benefits continue to compare favorably to
the air quality benefits that will be delivered through the combined
non-EGU emissions limits, which apply to nine non-EGU industries (see
section V.C of this document). We find that the implementation of both
the EGU and non-EGU strategies identified in section V of this document
together represent the appropriate level of emissions control
stringency to eliminate significant contribution under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
Finally, the EPA also analyzed for overcontrol and does not
identify any. Some commenters misstate the purpose of this rule as
bringing downwind receptors into attainment. In line with the statutory
directive in CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), this rule eliminates
``significant contribution'' from upwind states; while the rule has
substantial air quality benefits for downwind receptors, in many cases
we project that a nonattainment or maintenance problem will continue to
persist through 2023 and 2026 despite the emissions reductions achieved
by this rule. Commenters alleging overcontrol have not met the
requirement that overcontrol be established by particularized evidence
through as-applied challenges. The Supreme Court has recognized that
the EPA also has an obligation to avoid under-control and must have
some leeway in fulfilling the good neighbor mandate of the Act given
uncertainty in making forward projections of air quality and the
efficacy or impact of emissions control determinations. See EME Homer
City, 572 U.S. at 523. This is further addressed in section V.D.4 of
this document.
d. Step 4 Approach
The EPA is finalizing an approach similar to its prior transport
rulemakings to implement the necessary emissions reductions through
permanent and enforceable measures. The EPA is requiring EGU sources to
participate in an emissions trading program and is making additional
enhancements to the trading regime to maintain the selected control
stringency over time and improve emissions performance at individual
units, offering a necessary measure of assurance that emissions
controls will be operated throughout the ozone season. For non-EGUs,
the EPA is finalizing permanent and enforceable emissions rate limits
and work practice standards, and associated compliance requirements,
for several types of NOX-emitting combustion units across
several industrial sectors. The measures for both EGUs and non-EGUs are
required throughout the May 1-September 30 ozone season of each year.
The EGU program will begin with the 2023 ozone season, and the non-EGU
implementation schedule is targeted to the 2026 ozone season. Refer to
section VI.A of this document for details on the implementation
schedule.
Based on the EPA's experience in implementing prior transport
rulemakings, the Agency is making several enhancements to its trading-
program approach for implementing good neighbor requirements for EGUs.
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
established interstate trading programs for EGUs to implement the
necessary emissions reductions. In each of these rules, EGUs in each
covered state are assigned an emissions budget in each control period
for their collective emissions. Emissions allowances are allocated to
units covered by the trading program, and the covered units then
surrender allowances after the close of the control period, usually in
an amount equal to their ozone season EGU NOX emissions.
While these programs have been effective in achieving overall
reductions in emissions, experience has shown that these programs may
not fully reflect in perpetuity the degree of emissions stringency
determined necessary to eliminate significant contribution in Step 3
and may not adequately ensure the control of emissions throughout all
days of the ozone season. At the same time, the EPA continues to find
that an interstate-trading program approach delivers substantial
benefits at Step 4 in terms of affording an appropriate degree of
compliance flexibility, certainty in emissions outcomes, data and
performance transparency, and cost-effective achievement of a high
degree of aggregate emissions reductions. As such, the EPA is retaining
an interstate trading program approach while making several
enhancements to that approach.
Thus, in this rulemaking, the EPA is including dynamic budget-
setting procedures in the regulations that will allow state emissions
budgets for control periods in 2026 and later years to reflect more
current data on the composition and utilization of the EGU fleet (e.g.,
the 2026 budgets will reflect recent data through 2024 data, the 2027
budgets will reflect data through 2025, etc.). These enhancements will
enable the trading program to better maintain over time the selected
control stringency that was determined to be necessary to address
states' good neighbor obligations with respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
In prior programs, where state emissions budgets were static across
years rather than calibrated to yearly fleet changes, the EPA has
observed instances of units idling their emissions controls in the
latter years of the program. To provide greater certainty regarding the
minimum quantities of allowances that will be available for compliance
for the control periods in 2026 through 2029, the EPA is also
establishing preset state emissions budgets for these control periods,
and a dynamic state emissions budget determined for one of these
control periods will apply only if it is higher than the state's preset
budget for the control period.
In the trading programs established for ozone season NOX
emissions under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update,
the EPA included assurance provisions to limit state emissions to
levels below 121 percent of the state's budget by requiring additional
allowance surrenders in the instance that emissions in the state exceed
this level. This limit on the degree to which a state's emissions can
exceed its budget is designed to allow for a certain level of year-to-
year variability in power sector emissions to account for fluctuations
in demand and EGU operations and is responsive to previous court
decisions (see discussion in section VI.B.5 of this document). In this
[[Page 36685]]
action, the EPA is maintaining the existing assurance provisions that
limit state emissions to levels below a percentage of the state's
budget by requiring additional allowance surrenders in any instance
where emissions in the state exceed the specified level, but with
adjustments that allow the level to exceed 121 percent of a state's
budget in a given control period if necessary to account for actual
operational conditions in that control period. In addition, the EPA is
also making several additional enhancements to the EGU trading program
in this action, including routine recalibrations of the total amount of
banked allowances, unit-specific backstop daily emissions rates for
certain units, and unit-specific secondary emissions limitations for
certain units that contribute to exceedances of the assurance levels,
to ensure EGU emissions control operation and associated air quality
improvements. Implementation of the EGU emissions reductions using a
CSAPR NOX trading program is further described in section
VI.B of this document.
In this rule, the EPA is also establishing emissions limitations
for the non-EGU industry sources listed in Table II.A-1. The EPA has
the authority to require emissions limitations from stationary sources,
as well as from other sources and emissions activities, under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). The EPA finds that requiring NOX
emissions reductions through emissions rate limits and control
technology requirements for certain non-EGU industrial sources that the
EPA found at Step 3 to be relatively impactful \95\ on downwind air
quality is an effective strategy for reducing regional ozone transport.
Therefore, the EPA is establishing NOX emissions limitations
and associated compliance requirements for non-EGU sources to ensure
the elimination of significant contribution of ozone precursor
emissions required under the interstate transport provision for the
2015 ozone NAAQS.
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\95\ Section III of the Non-EGU Screening Assessment memorandum
in the docket for this rulemaking describes the EPA's approach to
evaluating impacts on downwind air quality, considering estimated
total, maximum, and average contributions from each industry and the
total number of receptors with contributions from each industry.
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Finally, the EPA finds that the control measures determined to be
required for the identified EGU and non-EGU sources apply to both
existing units and any new, modified, or reconstructed units meeting
the applicability criteria established in this final rule. This is
consistent with the EPA's transport actions dating back to the
NOX SIP Call and the NOX Budget Trading Program.
In all CSAPR EGU trading programs, for instance, new EGUs are subject
to the program, and the EPA has established provisions for the
allocation of allowances to such units through ``new unit set asides.''
See, e.g., 86 FR 23126. In the NOX SIP Call, the EPA
required that states cover new and existing units in the relevant
source sectors through an enforceable cap or other emissions
limitation. See 40 CFR 51.121(f). The EPA's approach of including new
units in the NOX Budget Trading Program promulgated under
the EPA's CAA section 126 authority was upheld by the D.C. Circuit in
Appalachian Power v. EPA, 249 F.3d 1032 (2001). As the court noted, the
EPA explained in its action:
Once EPA has determined that the emissions from the existing
sources in an upwind State already make a significant contribution
to one or more petitioning downwind States, any additional emissions
from a new source in that upwind State would also constitute a
portion of that significant contribution, unless the emissions from
that new source are limited to the level of highly effective
controls.
Id. at 1058 (quoting EPA 1999 RTC at 39). The court affirmed this
approach: ``Indeed, it would be irrational to enable the EPA to make
findings that a group of sources in an upwind state contribute to
downwind nonattainment, but then preclude the EPA from regulating new
sources that contribute to that same pollution.'' Id. at 1057-58. The
EPA is implementing the same court-affirmed approach in this action
because this reasoning is equally applicable to addressing interstate
transport obligations under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015
ozone NAAQS.
Comment: Commenters took issue with aspects of the EPA's proposed
Step 4 approach. Commenters argued the EPA could not set unit- or
source-specific emissions limits or other control requirements, for
EGUs or non-EGUs. Commenters argued that various aspects of the non-EGU
emissions control strategy would not be feasible for their facilities
or were otherwise flawed. Many industrial-source and EGU commenters
argued that the EPA had not provided sufficient time for sources to
come into compliance. Commenters also challenged the EGU trading
program ``enhancements'' as unnecessary or beyond the EPA's authority.
In this regard, commenters argued that these changes deviated from the
EPA's prior approach, were unnecessary overcontrol, constituted a
command-and-control approach, could not be supported on the basis of
environmental justice benefits, or were otherwise unlawful for other
reasons. These commenters argue that the EPA's Step 4 dynamic budget
approach for EGU regulation purportedly re-defines each state's
``significant contribution'' annually and independent of any impact (or
lack thereof) on air quality. They further argue that under this
dynamic budgeting approach, even if a state eliminates the ``amount''
the EPA has identified as the state's significant contribution by
respecting a given control period's emissions budget, sources within
that state are expected to continue to make further reductions by
operating their controls in a particular manner in subsequent control
periods under potentially lower emissions budgets, which these
commenters argue is inconsistent with case law on prior CSAPR rules.
Response: Many of these comments regarding Step 4 issues are
addressed elsewhere in this document or in the RTC document. The EPA's
authority to establish unit- or source-specific emissions rates is
addressed in section IV.B.1 of this document. Responses to comments and
adjustments in the timing requirements of the final rule compared to
proposal are discussed in VI.A. Responses to comments and adjustments
in emissions control requirements for non-EGUs in the final rule
compared to proposal are in section VI.C of this document.
Responses to comments on the EGU trading program enhancements and
adjustments in the final rule are contained in section VI.B of this
document. However, here, in light of the changes in the emissions
trading program for EGUs that we are finalizing in this action as
compared to prior EGU emissions trading programs promulgated to address
good neighbor obligations under other NAAQS, we set forth responses to
comments specific to this topic.
The EPA finds that these comments confuse Step 3 emissions
reduction stringency determinations with Step 4 implementation program
details. In this rulemaking's Step 3 analysis, the EPA is measuring
emissions reduction potential from improving effective emissions rates
across groups of EGUs adopting applicable pollution control measures
and selecting a uniform control level whose effective emissions rates
deliver an acceptable outcome under the multifactor test (including a
finding of no overcontrol at the selected control stringency level).
The ``amounts'' defined as significant contribution to nonattainment
and interference with maintenance are
[[Page 36686]]
emissions that occur at effective emissions rates above the control
stringency level selected at Step 3. That is, if a state's affected
EGUs fail to reduce their effective emissions rates in line with the
widely available and cost-effective control measures identified, they
have therefore failed to eliminate their significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with maintenance of this NAAQS.
In this rule, the EPA is finalizing several ``enhancements'' to its
existing Group 3 emissions trading program for ozone season
NOX, for reasons explained in section VI.B.1 of this
document. In general, these changes will ensure that the emissions
control program promulgated for EGUs at Step 4 of the EPA's 4-step
interstate transport framework is in alignment with the emissions
control stringency determinations the EPA made at Step 3. These
enhancements reflect lessons learned through the EPA's experience with
prior trading programs implemented under the good neighbor provision
and ensure that the implementation of the elimination of significant
contribution through an emissions trading program remains durable
through a period of power sector transition. None of commenters'
arguments against the EPA's authority to implement these enhancements
are persuasive.
First, the EPA is not mandating that any EGU must install SCR
technology. All but one of the enhancements to the trading program
continue to be implemented through allowance-holding requirements under
the mass-based emissions budget and trading system, including the
backstop rate. (The secondary emissions limitation, which is not
implemented through allowance-holding requirements under the mass-based
emissions budget and trading system, and which is discussed in section
VI.B.1.c.ii of this document, merely establishes a stronger deterrent
for a type of conduct that was already strongly discouraged under the
pre-existing trading program regulations). Nonetheless, the EPA does
have the authority to impose unit-specific emissions limits under the
exercise of its FIP authority, and it has done so in this action for
non-EGU industrial sources. This authority is distinct from the EPA's
title I permitting authority as discussed by certain commenters, and
the scope of that permitting authority is not relevant to this action.
The quantification of emissions budgets in an allowance-based
emissions trading program is one of multiple potential Step 4
implementation program design choices that states and the EPA have
authority to select in securing the emissions reductions deemed
necessary under Step 3. See CAA section 110(a)(2)(A). The EPA and the
states routinely determine control stringency on an emissions rate
basis in line with demonstrated pollution control opportunities, and
both the EPA and the states have implementation program design
discretion to determine what compliance requirements, whether expressed
on a rate, mass, concentration, or percentage basis, will assure an
emissions performance that reflects the control stringency required.
Dynamic budgets in the Step 4 implementation of this rule are simply to
ensure the trading program continues to incentivize the implementation
of the EGU control strategies we find are necessary to eliminate
significant contribution at Step 3. The key distinction between dynamic
budget approaches and preset budget approaches is not one in stringency
or authority, but rather in timing and data resources for determining
the suitable mass-based limits that are as well-matched as possible to
expected emissions of the affected EGUs achieving the emissions rate-
based control stringency deemed necessary under Step 3 to eliminate
significant contribution to nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS.
The EPA does not agree that the administrative mechanisms by which
it will implement ``dynamic budgeting'' conflict with CAA section
307(d) or the Administrative Procedure Act. The EPA is promulgating a
complete FIP in this action, and the codified language of that FIP will
not need to be modified as budgets are adjusted. This is because the
FIP establishes the formula by which the budgets will be calculated
each year (with preset budgets functioning as a floor from 2026 through
2029). This is no different than how the EPA has implemented other
calculations such as updating allocations using a rolling set of data
in its prior CSAPR trading programs. See, e.g., 87 FR 10786. We view
these actions as fundamentally ministerial in nature in that no
exercise of Agency discretion is required. This process will rely on
notices of availability of the relevant data in the Federal Register,
coupled with an opportunity for the public to correct any errors they
may identify in the data before the EPA sets each updated budget. See
section VI.B.4 for more detail on how the EPA intends to implement
dynamic budgeting. As in prior transport rules, this rule provides the
opportunity for administrative appeal should an interested party
identify some flaw in the EPA's updated data. See 40 CFR 78.1(b)(19)(i)
(2023). That process is coupled with the availability of judicial
review should the party remain dissatisfied with the EPA's resolution
of complaints. See 40 CFR 78.1(a)(2) (requiring administrative
adjudication as a prerequisite for judicial review). This
administrative process has worked well throughout the history of
implementing good neighbor trading programs under Part 97, and no such
disputes have necessitated judicial resolution.
Further, because the dynamic budgets simply implement the
stringency level reflective of the emissions control performance the
EPA has determined at Step 3 for the covered EGUs, the EPA does not
agree that any ``potential variables'' that are unforeseeable now could
upset the basis for the formula the EPA is establishing in this action.
The EPA has adjusted the role of dynamic budgeting in this final rule
as compared to the proposal. See sections VI.B.1 and VI.B.4 of the
preamble. In particular, the EPA is applying an approach to budget
setting through 2029 that will use the greater of either a preset
budget based on information known to the Agency at the time of this
action, or the dynamic budget to be calculated based upon future data
yet to be reported. Thus, through 2029 the imposition of a dynamic
budget would only increase rather than diminish the emissions allowed
for that control period compared to the preset budgets established in
this action. In addition, the EPA will determine each state's dynamic
budget based on a rolling 3-year average of the state's heat input,
thus smoothing out trends to account for interannual variability in
demand and heat input and provide greater certainty and predictability
as the budget updates from year to year.
Moreover, the EPA does not agree that the EPA is constrained by the
statute to only implement good neighbor obligations through fixed,
unchanging, mass-based emissions budgets. See section III.B.1 of this
document. The EPA finds good reason based on its experience with
trading programs using fixed budgets why this approach does not
necessarily ensure the elimination of significant contribution in
perpetuity. The EPA has already once adjusted its historical approach
to better account for known, upcoming changes in the EGU fleet to
ensure mass-based emissions budgets adequately incentivize the control
strategy determined at Step 3. This adjustment was introduced in the
Revised CSAPR Update. See 82 FR
[[Page 36687]]
23121-22.\96\ The EPA now believes it is appropriate to ensure in a
more comprehensive manner, and in perpetuity, that the mass-based
emissions budget incentivize continuing implementation of the Step 3
control strategies to ensure significant contribution is eliminated in
all upwind states and remains so. The dynamic budget-setting process
preserves these incentives over time by calculating the state emissions
budgets for each future control period so as to reflect the Step 3
control stringency finalized in this rule as applied to the most
current information regarding the composition of the power sector in
the control period. This is fully analogous in material respect to an
approach to implementation at Step 4 that relies on application of
unit-specific emissions rates that apply in perpetuity. The
availability of unit-specific emissions rates as a means to eliminate
significant contribution is discussed in further detail in section
III.B.1 of this document. The EPA also explained this in the proposal.
See 87 FR 20095-96. The EPA does not agree that either dynamic
budgeting or the backstop rate results in overcontrol. See section
V.D.4 of this document.
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\96\ Further, in the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA acknowledged
that a mechanism like dynamic budgeting could be appropriate for a
transport rule with longer time horizons. We stated in response to
comments that we were not ``in this action, including an adjustment
mechanism to further adjust state emission budgets to account for
currently unknown or uncertain retirements after the finalization of
this rule . . . . EPA observes that the commenter's proposed
mechanism would become increasingly valuable for rules where the
timeframe extends further into the future where retirement
uncertainty is higher.'' Revised CSAPR Update Response to Comments,
EPA-HQ-OAR-2020-0272-219, at 153.
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The EPA is enhancing the trading program to help reconcile the
approach of using mass-based budgets to achieve the elimination of
significant contribution with the Wisconsin directive to provide a
complete remedy under the good neighbor provision. This approach also
better accords with ensuring measures to attain and maintain the NAAQS
are permanent and enforceable. The dynamic budget approach recognizes
that the uncertainty around future fleet conditions increases the
further into the future one looks (and the EPA must look further under
the ``full remedy'' directive). To preserve its ability to successfully
implement its identified Step 3 stringency, the EPA is designing the
implementation of this rule's emissions control program to benefit from
the future availability of better data from the regulated sources to
inform its application of its stringency measures identified in this
rule.
The EPA does not agree with commenters who suggest that these
enhancements are undertaken for the purpose of a non-statutory
``environmental justice'' objective. As explained in section VI.B of
this document, certain enhancements to the trading program ensure that
each EGU is adequately incentivized to continuously operate its
emissions controls once those controls are installed. One commenter
contends that the backstop emissions rate is not authorized based on
environmental justice considerations, since it is not necessary and is
overcontrol with respect to the EPA's statutory authority to address
good neighbor obligations. But the EPA disagrees with the premise that
these enhancements are unrelated to the statutory obligation to
eliminate significant contribution. Taking measures to ensure that each
upwind source covered by an emissions trading program to eliminate
significant contribution is operating its installed pollution controls
on a more continuous and consistent basis throughout the ozone season
is entirely appropriate in light of the daily nature of the ozone
problem, the impacts to public health and the environment from ozone
that can occur through short-term exposure (e.g., over a course of
hours), the fact that the 2015 ozone NAAQS is expressed as an 8-hour
average, and that only a small number of days in excess of the ozone
NAAQS are necessary to place a downwind area in nonattainment,
resulting in continuing and/or increased regulatory burden on the
downwind jurisdiction. See section III.A of this document.
Further, the D.C. Circuit has held that the EPA must ensure that
its good neighbor program has eliminated each state's sources from
continuing to significantly contribute to nonattainment or interfere
with maintenance in downwind states. See North Carolina, 531 F.3d at
921. The commenters neglect to acknowledge the scenario that has
frequently borne out in prior programs, in which future fleet changes
that were not known at the time of initial setting of state emissions
budgets produce unexpected ``hot air'' in the budget that, if
unaccounted for, other units can exploit to forgo identified cost-
effective mitigation measures deemed necessary to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance of the
NAAQS.
The EPA's experience is that fixed mass-based budgets that are
determined based only on the profile of the power sector at the time
the rule is promulgated, and without any additional requirement for
pollution controls operation, can become quickly obsolete if the
composition of the group of affected EGUs changes notably over time. As
some sources retire, other sources relax their operation of
NOX controls in response to a growing surplus of allowances,
even though the EPA had concluded that ongoing operation of those
controls is necessary to meet the statutory good neighbor requirements.
For instance, under the CSAPR Update, in the 2018-2020 period, the
fixed budget approach enabled large, frequently run units with existing
SCR controls to not optimize those controls even though the EPA's
assessment (as reflected in the CSAPR Update) was that the optimization
of those controls was necessary to eliminate significant contribution.
This deterioration in emission rate at SCR-controlled coal plants was
widely observed across the CSAPR Update geography as the program
advanced into later years and allowance price deteriorated. Whereas
coal sources with SCR performed, on average, at a 0.086 lb/mmBtu rate
in 2017, that same set of sources saw their environmental performance
worsen to a 0.099 lb/mmBtu rate in 2020. A Congressional Research
Service Report on EPA prior CSAPR trading programs indicated low prices
observed in later years ``could lead to some decisions not to run some
pollution controls at maximum output. This would, in turn, lead to
higher emissions''.\97\
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\97\ Shouse, Kate. ``The Clean Air Act's Good Neighbor
Provision: Overview of Interstate Air Pollution Control''.
Congressional Research Services. August 30, 2018. Available at
https://sgp.fas.org/crs/misc/R45299.pdf.
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In the case of individual units, this deterioration in performance
can be quite pronounced and can occur as quickly as the second or third
control period, as in the case of Miami Fort Unit 7 in Ohio in 2019,
discussed in section V.B of this document. The absence of a sufficient
incentive under the trading program to implement the identified control
strategy at Step 3 can even result in collective emissions that exceed
state-wide assurance levels. The EPA established these levels beginning
with CSAPR, above which enhanced allowance-surrender requirements are
triggered, in an effort to ensure sources in each state are held to
eliminate their own significant contribution, which the D.C. Circuit
has held is legally required, see North Carolina, 531 F.3d 896, 906-08
(D.C. Cir. 2008). In four instances over the course of the 2019, 2020,
and
[[Page 36688]]
2021 control periods under the CSAPR Update, sources in Mississippi and
Missouri collectively exceeded their state-wide assurance levels in
part due to deterioration in emissions performance that can be
attributed to a glut of allowances within the CSAPR Update. See section
VI.B.8 of the preamble.
Thus, while this trading program structure may achieve some
environmental benefit through fixed emissions budgets for initial
control periods, over time those fixed budgets cease to have their
intended effect, and remaining operating facilities can, and have,
increased emissions or even discontinued the operation of their
emissions controls. This, in turn, can lead to the continuation (or re-
emergence) of significant contribution in terms of a recurrence of
excessive emissions that had been slated for permanent elimination
under the EPA's determinations at Step 3. Although the EPA has always
intended for its trading programs to provide flexibility, the Agency
did not expect and has certainly never endorsed the use of that
flexibility to stop the operation of controls that have already been
installed. See, e.g., 76 FR 48256-57 (``[I]t would be inappropriate for
a state linked to downwind nonattainment or maintenance areas to stop
operating existing pollution control equipment (which would increase
their emissions and contribution).''). Despite the EPA's expectations
in CSAPR, the historical data establishes a real risk of ``under-
control'' if the existing trading framework is not improved upon. See
EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 523 (``[T]he Agency also has a statutory
obligation to avoid `under-control,' i.e., to maximize achievement of
attainment downwind.'').
This result is also inconsistent with the statutory mandate to
``prohibit'' significant contribution and interference with maintenance
of the NAAQS in downwind states, as evidenced most clearly in CAA
section 126, which makes it unlawful for a source ``to operate more
than three months after [a finding that the source emits or would emit
in violation of the good neighbor provision] has been made with respect
to it.'' 42 U.S.C. 7426(c)(2) (emphasis added). See also North
Carolina, 531 F.3d at 906-08 (each state must be held to the
elimination of its own significant contribution). The purpose of the
Agency's interstate trading programs under the good neighbor provision
is to afford sources some flexibility in achieving region-wide
emissions reductions; however, there is no justification that can be
sustained within that framework for sources in certain areas within
that region, or during periods of high ozone when good emissions
performance is most essential, to emit at levels well in excess of the
EPA's Step 3 determinations of significant contribution. Significant
contribution, according to the statute, must be ``prohibited.'' CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i).
Thus, these trading program enhancements are within the EPA's
authority under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to eliminate interstate
ozone pollution that significantly contributes to nonattainment or
interferes with maintenance in downwind states. These enhancements
ensure the elimination of significant contribution across all upwind
states and throughout each ozone season. We observe in the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, section E, that the trading
program enhancements may also benefit underserved and overburdened
communities downwind of EGUs in the covered geography of the final
rule. See section VI.B of this document. This does not detract from the
statutorily-authorized basis for these changes, and the EPA finds
nothing impermissible in acknowledging the reality of these potential
benefits for underserved and overburdened communities.
The EPA appreciates a commenter's concern that our actions be
legally defensible. The EPA acknowledges that the changes to the
trading program structure for implementing good neighbor obligations
discussed here constitute a change in the policy underlying its prior
transport-rule trading programs for EGUs. However, the EPA is confident
that these changes are in compliance with the holdings in judicial
decisions reviewing prior transport rules. The fact that the EPA is
making changes does not somehow render these enhancements legally
impermissible or even subject to a heightened standard of review. See
FCC v. Fox Television Stations, 556 U.S. 502, 514 (2009) (``We find no
basis in the Administrative Procedure Act or in our opinions for a
requirement that all agency change be subjected to more searching
review.''). We have explained previously and elsewhere in the record
that there are ``good reasons'' for the ``new policy.'' See id. at 515.
And, we are of course fully aware that we have changed our position.
See id. at 514-15. Specifically, we have gone from previously treating
fixed, mass-based budgets as sufficient to eliminate significant
contribution, to an approach for purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS
reflecting a more nuanced understanding of how an emissions trading
program that does not properly anticipate future fleet conditions at
Step 4 may fail to achieve the elimination of emissions that should be
prohibited based on our findings at Step 3. Further, we find there to
be no ``serious reliance interests'' that have been or even could have
been ``engendered'' by any prior policy on these issues, see id. at
515-16. The EPA is implementing these enhancements for the first time
with respect to a new obligation--good neighbor requirements for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. No party reasonably could have invested substantial
resources to-date to comply with an obligation that was heretofore
undefined; and no commenter has supplied any information to the
contrary.
2. FIP Authority for Each State Covered by the Rule
On October 26, 2015, the EPA promulgated a revision to the 2015 8-
hour ozone NAAQS, lowering the level of both the primary and secondary
standards to 0.070 parts per million (ppm).\98\ These revisions of the
NAAQS, in turn, established a 3-year deadline for states to provide SIP
submissions addressing infrastructure requirements under CAA sections
110(a)(1) and CAA 110(a)(2), including the good neighbor provision, by
October 1, 2018. If the EPA makes a determination that a state failed
to submit a SIP, or if EPA disapproves a SIP submission, then the EPA
is obligated under CAA section 110(c) to promulgate a FIP for that
state within 2 years. For a more detailed discussion of CAA section 110
authority and timelines, refer to section III.C of this document.
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\98\ National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ozone, Final
Rule, 80 FR 65292 (Oct. 26, 2015). Although the level of the
standard is specified in the units of ppm, ozone concentrations are
also described in parts per billion (ppb). For example, 0.070 ppm is
equivalent to 70 ppb.
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The EPA is finalizing this FIP action now to address 23 states'
good neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.\99\ For each state
for which the EPA is finalizing this FIP, the EPA either issued final
findings of failure to submit or has issued a final disapproval of that
state's SIP submission.
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\99\ The EPA notes that it is subject to, and has met through
this action, a consent decree deadline to promulgate FIPs addressing
2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor obligations for the states of
Pennsylvania, Utah, and Virginia. See Sierra Club et al. v. Regan,
No. 3:22-cv-01992-JD (N.D. Cal. entered January 24, 2023).
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Several commenters asserted that the sequence of the EPA's actions,
and in particular, the timing of its proposed FIP (which was signed on
February 28,
[[Page 36689]]
2022, and published on April 6, 2022) in relation to the timing of its
proposed SIP disapprovals (most of which were published on February 22,
2022, four of which were published on May 24, 2022, and one of which
was published on October 25, 2022), was either unlawful or unreasonable
in light of the sequence of steps required under CAA section 110(k) and
(c).
These commenters are incorrect. As an initial matter, concerns
about the timing or substance of the EPA's actions on the SIP
submittals are beyond the scope of this action. Nor are the timing or
contents of merely proposed actions to be considered final agency
actions or subject to judicial review. See In re Murray Energy, 788
F.3d 330 (D.C. Cir. 2015). With these principles in mind, the timing of
this final action is lawful under the Act. First, the EPA is not
required to wait to propose a FIP until after the Agency proposes or
finalizes a SIP disapproval or makes a finding of failure to
submit.\100\ CAA section 110(c) authorizes the EPA to promulgate a FIP
``at any time within 2 years'' of a SIP disapproval or making a finding
of failure to submit. The Supreme Court recognized in EME Homer City
that the EPA is not obligated to first define a state's good neighbor
obligations or give the state an additional opportunity to submit an
approvable SIP before promulgating a FIP: ``EPA is not obliged to wait
two years or postpone its action even a single day: The Act empowers
the Agency to promulgate a FIP `at any time' within the two-year
limit.'' \101\ Thus, the EPA may promulgate a FIP contemporaneously
with or immediately following predicate final SIP disapproval (or
finding no SIP was submitted). To accomplish this, the EPA must
necessarily be able to propose a FIP prior to taking final action to
disapprove a SIP or make a finding of failure to submit.
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\100\ The EPA notes there are three consent decrees to resolve
three deadline suits related to EPA's duty to act on good neighbor
SIP submissions for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. In New York et al. v.
Regan, et al. (No. 1:21-CV-00252, S.D.N.Y.), the EPA agreed to take
final action on the 2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor SIP submissions
from Indiana, Kentucky, Michigan, Ohio, Texas, and West Virginia by
April 30, 2022; however, if the EPA proposes to disapprove any SIP
submissions and proposes a replacement FIP by February 28, 2022,
then EPA's deadline to take final action on that SIP submission is
extended to December 30, 2022. In Downwinders at Risk et al. v.
Regan (No. 21-cv-03551, N.D. Cal.), the EPA agreed to take final
action on the 2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor SIP submissions from
Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana,
Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota,
Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma,
South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, West Virginia, and Wisconsin by
April 30, 2022; however, if the EPA proposes to disapprove any of
these SIP submissions and proposes a replacement FIP by February 28,
2022, then the EPA's deadline to take final action on that SIP
submission is December 30, 2022. In this CD, the EPA also agreed to
take final action on Hawaii's SIP submission by April 30, 2022, and
to take final action on the SIP submissions of Arizona, California,
Montana, Nevada, and Wyoming by December 15, 2022. In Our Children's
Earth Foundation v. EPA (No. 20-8232, S.D.N.Y.), the EPA agreed to
take final action on the 2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor SIP
submission from New York by April 30, 2022; however, if the EPA
proposes to disapprove New York's SIP submission and proposes a
replacement FIP by February 28, 2022, then the EPA's deadline to
take final action on New York's SIP submission is extended to
December 30, 2022. By stipulation of the parties, the December 15,
2022, date in all three of these consent decrees was extended to
January 31, 2023. By further stipulation of the parties in the
Downwinders at Risk case, the January 31, 2023, date was further
extended to December 15, 2023 for the EPA to act on the SIP
submissions from the states of Arizona, Tennessee, and Wyoming.
\101\ See EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 572 U.S. 489,
509 (2014) (citations omitted).
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Second, and more importantly, the EPA has established predicate
authority to promulgate FIPs for all of the covered states through its
action with respect to the relevant SIP submittals. A brief history of
these actions follows:
On February 22, 2022, the EPA proposed to disapprove 19 good
neighbor SIP submissions (Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi,
Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, West
Virginia, Wisconsin).\102\ Alabama subsequently withdrew its SIP
submission and re-submitted a SIP submission on June 22, 2022. The EPA
proposed to disapprove that SIP submittal on October 25, 2022.\103\ The
EPA proposed to disapprove good neighbor SIP submissions for four
additional states, California, Nevada, Utah, and Wyoming, on May 24,
2022.\104\
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\102\ See 87 FR 9463 (Maryland); 87 FR 9484 (New Jersey, New
York); 87 FR 9498 (Kentucky); 87 FR 9516 (West Virginia); 87 FR 9533
(Missouri); 87 FR 9545 (Alabama, Mississippi, Tennessee); 87 FR 9798
(Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas); 87 FR 9838 (Illinois,
Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, Wisconsin).
\103\ See 87 FR 64412.
\104\ See 87 FR 31443 (California); 87 FR 31485 (Nevada); 87 FR
31470 (Utah); 87 FR 31495 (Wyoming).
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Subsequently, on January 31, 2023, the EPA Administrator signed a
single disapproval action for all of the above states, with the
exception of Tennessee and Wyoming.\105\ This action established the
EPA's authority to promulgate FIPs for the disapproved states. (As
explained in section IV.F of this document, the Agency is deferring
action at this time for Tennessee and Wyoming with respect to its
proposed FIP actions for those states. As discussed in section IV.F of
this document, the EPA's most recent modeling and air quality analysis
indicates that several states may be linked to downwind receptors for
which we had not previously proposed disapproval or FIP action. The EPA
anticipates addressing remaining interstate transport obligations for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS for these in a subsequent rulemaking.)
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\105\ See 88 FR 9336.
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Additionally, the EPA has taken action that has triggered the EPA's
obligation under CAA section 110(c) to promulgate FIPs addressing the
good neighbor provision for several downwind states. On December 5,
2019, the EPA published a rule finding that seven states (Maine, New
Mexico, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Dakota, Utah, and Virginia)
failed to submit or otherwise make complete submissions that address
the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS.\106\ This finding triggered a 2-year deadline for the EPA to
issue FIPs to address the good neighbor provision for these states by
January 6, 2022. As the EPA has subsequently received and taken final
action to approve good neighbor SIPs from Maine, Rhode Island, and
South Dakota,\107\ the EPA currently has authority under the December
5, 2019, findings of failure to submit to issue FIPs for New Mexico,
Pennsylvania, Utah, and Virginia. In this final rule, the EPA is
issuing FIP requirements for Pennsylvania, Utah, and Virginia.\108\
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\106\ Findings of Failure To Submit a Clean Air Act Section 110
State Implementation Plan for Interstate Transport for the 2015
Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS), 84 FR 66612
(December 5, 2019, effective January 6, 2020).
\107\ Air Plan Approval; Maine and New Hampshire; 2015 Ozone
NAAQS Interstate Transport Requirements, 86 FR 45870 (August 17,
2021); Air Plan Approval; Rhode Island; 2015 Ozone NAAQS Interstate
Transport Requirements, 86 FR 70409 (December 10, 2021);
Promulgation of State Implementation Plan Revisions; Infrastructure
Requirements for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards; South Dakota; Revisions to the Administrative Rules of
South Dakota, 85 FR 29882 (May 19, 2020).
\108\ WildEarth Guardians v. Regan, No. 1:22-cv-00174 (D.N.M.
entered Aug. 16, 2022); Sierra Club et al. v. EPA, No. 3:22-cv-01992
(N.D. Cal. entered Jan. 24, 2023).
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Further information on the procedural history establishing the
EPA's authority for this final rule is provided in a document in the
docket.\109\
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\109\ See ``Final Rule: Status of CAA Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
SIP Submissions for the 2015 Ozone NAAQS for States Covered by the
Proposed Federal Implementation Plan Addressing Regional Ozone
Transport for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards.'' This document updates a prior document of the same
title provided at proposal (Document no. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0131).
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[[Page 36690]]
While the EPA's previous actions are sufficient to establish that
the EPA's promulgation of this FIP action at this time is lawful, the
timing of this action is all the more reasonable in light of the need
for the EPA to address good neighbor obligations consistent with the
rest of title I of the CAA. In particular, the D.C. Circuit in
Wisconsin held that states and the EPA are obligated to fully address
good neighbor obligations for ozone ``as expeditiously as practical''
and in no event later than the next relevant downwind attainment dates
found in CAA section 181(a).\110\ In Maryland v. EPA, the D.C. Circuit
made clear that Wisconsin's and North Carolina's holdings are fully
applicable to the Marginal area attainment date for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS,\111\ which fell on August 3, 2021.\112\ As discussed in section
VI.A of this document, by finalizing this action now, the EPA is able
to implement initial required emissions reductions to eliminate
significant contribution by the 2023 ozone season, which is the last
full ozone season before the next attainment date, the Moderate area
attainment date of August 3, 2024. The Wisconsin court emphasized that
the EPA has the authority under CAA section 110 to structure and time
its actions in a manner such that the Agency can ensure necessary
reductions are achieved in alignment with the downwind attainment
schedule, and that is precisely what the EPA is doing here.\113\ The
EPA provides further response to the comments on this issue in section
1 of the RTC document.
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\110\ Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303, 313-14 (D.C. Cir. 2019)
(citing North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 911-13 (D.C. Cir.
2008).
\111\ Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185, 1203-04 (D.C. Cir. 2020).
\112\ See CAA section 181(a); 40 CFR 51.1303; Additional Air
Quality Designations for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards, 83 FR 25776 (June 4, 2018, effective August 3, 2018).
\113\ 938 F.3d at 318 (``When EPA determines a State's SIP is
inadequate, EPA presumably must issue a FIP that will bring that
State into compliance before upcoming attainment deadlines, even if
the outer limit of the statutory timeframe gives EPA more time to
formulate the FIP.'') (citing Sierra Club v. EPA, 294 F.3d 155, 161
(D.C. Cir. 2002)).
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C. Other CAA Authorities for This Action
1. Withdrawal of Proposed Error Correction for Delaware
The EPA proposed at 87 FR 20036 to make an error correction under
CAA section 110(k)(6) of its May 1, 2020, approval at 85 FR 25307 of
the interstate transport elements for Delaware's October 11, 2018, and
December 26, 2019, ozone infrastructure SIP submissions as satisfying
the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. The EPA proposed to determine that the basis for the prior SIP
approval was invalidated by the Agency's more recent technical
evaluation of air quality modeling performed in support of the proposed
rule,\114\ and that Delaware had unresolved interstate transport
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. The EPA also proposed to issue a
FIP for Delaware given these unresolved interstate transport
obligations. However, based on the updated air quality modeling
described in section IV.F. of this document and the technical
assessment that informs this final rule, the EPA finds that Delaware is
not projected to be linked to any downwind receptor above the 1 percent
of the NAAQS threshold in 2023. Thus, based on the record before the
Agency now, the original approval of Delaware's SIP submission was not
in error, and the EPA is withdrawing its proposed error correction and
proposed FIP for Delaware.
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\114\ See the Air Quality Modeling Proposed Rule TSD in the
docket for this rule.
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2. Application of Rule in Indian Country and Necessary or Appropriate
Finding
The EPA is finalizing its determination that this rule will be
applicable in all areas of Indian country (as defined at 18 U.S.C.
1151) within the covered geography of the final rule, as defined in
this section. Certain areas of Indian country within the geography of
the rule are or may be subject to state implementation planning
authority. Other areas of Indian country within that geography are
subject to tribal planning authority, although none of the relevant
tribes have as yet sought eligibility to administer a tribal plan to
implement the good neighbor provision.\115\ As described later, the EPA
is including all areas of Indian country within the covered geography,
notwithstanding whether those areas are currently subject to a state's
implementation planning authority or the potential planning authority
of a tribe.
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\115\ We note that, consistent with the EPA's prior good
neighbor actions in California, the regulatory ozone monitor located
on the Morongo Band of Mission Indians (``Morongo'') reservation is
a projected downwind receptor in 2023. See monitoring site 060651016
in Table IV.D.-1. We also note that the Temecula, California,
regulatory ozone monitor is a projected downwind receptor in 2023
and in past regulatory actions has been deemed representative of air
quality on the Pechanga Band of Luise[ntilde]o Indians
(``Pechanga'') reservation. See, e.g., Approval of Tribal
Implementation Plan and Designation of Air Quality Planning Area;
Pechanga Band of Luise[ntilde]o Mission Indians, 80 FR 18120, at
18121-18123 (April 3, 2015); see also monitoring site 060650016 in
Table IV.D-1. The presence of receptors on, or representative of,
the Morongo and Pechanga reservations does not trigger obligations
for the Morongo and Pechanga Tribes. Nevertheless, these receptors
are relevant to the EPA's assessment of any linked upwind states'
good neighbor obligations. See, e.g., Approval and Promulgation of
Air Quality State Implementation Plans; California; Interstate
Transport Requirements for Ozone, Fine Particulate Matter, and
Sulfur Dioxide, 83 FR 65093 (December 19, 2018). Under 40 CFR
49.4(a), tribes are not subject to the specific plan submittal and
implementation deadlines for NAAQS-related requirements, including
deadlines for submittal of plans addressing transport impacts.
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a. Indian Country Subject to Tribal Jurisdiction
With respect to areas of Indian country not currently subject to a
state's implementation planning authority--i.e., Indian reservation
lands (with the partial exception of reservation lands located in the
State of Oklahoma, as described further in this section) and other
areas of Indian country over which the EPA or a tribe has demonstrated
that a tribe has jurisdiction--the EPA here makes a ``necessary or
appropriate'' finding that direct Federal implementation of the rule's
requirements is warranted under CAA section 301(d)(4) and 40 CFR
49.11(a) (the areas of Indian country subject to this finding will be
referred to as the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas). Indian Tribes may,
but are not required to, submit tribal plans to implement CAA
requirements, including the good neighbor provision. Section 301(d) of
the CAA and 40 CFR part 49 authorize the Administrator to treat an
Indian Tribe in the same manner as a state (i.e., TAS) for purposes of
developing and implementing a tribal plan implementing good neighbor
obligations. See 40 CFR 49.3; see also ``Indian Tribes: Air Quality
Planning and Management,'' hereafter ``Tribal Authority Rule'' (63 FR
7254, February 12, 1998). The EPA is authorized to directly implement
the good neighbor provision in the 301(d) FIP areas when it finds,
consistent with the authority of CAA section 301--which the EPA has
exercised in 40 CFR 49.11--that it is necessary or appropriate to do
so.\116\
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\116\ See Arizona Pub. Serv. Co. v. U.S. E.P.A., 562 F.3d 1116,
1125 (10th Cir. 2009) (stating that 40 CFR 49.11(a) ``provides the
EPA discretion to determine what rulemaking is necessary or
appropriate to protect air quality and requires the EPA to
promulgate such rulemaking''); Safe Air For Everyone v. U.S. Env't
Prot. Agency, No. 05-73383, 2006 WL 3697684, at *1 (9th Cir., Dec.
15, 2006) (``The statutes and regulations that enable EPA to
regulate air quality on Indian reservations provide EPA with broad
discretion in setting the content of such regulations.'').
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[[Page 36691]]
The EPA hereby finds that it is both necessary and appropriate to
regulate all new and existing EGU and industrial sources meeting the
applicability criteria set forth in this rule in all of the 301(d) FIP
areas that are located within the geographic scope of coverage of the
rule. For purposes of this finding, the geographic scope of coverage of
the rule means the areas of the United States encompassed within the
borders of the states the EPA has determined to be linked at Steps 1
and 2 of the 4-step interstate transport framework.\117\ For EGU
applicability criteria, see section VI.B of this document; for
industrial-source applicability criteria, see section VI.C of this
document. To EPA's knowledge, only one existing EGU or industrial
source is located within the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas: the Bonanza
Power Plant, an EGU source, located on the Uintah and Ouray
Reservation, geographically located within the borders of Utah.
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\117\ With respect to any industrial sources located in the CAA
section 301(d) FIP areas, the geographic scope of coverage of this
rule does not include those states for which the EPA finds, based on
air quality modeling, that no further linkage exists by the 2026
analytic year at Steps 1 and 2. The states in this rule not linked
in 2026 are Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin.
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This finding is consistent with the EPA's prior good neighbor
rules. In prior rulemakings under the good neighbor provision, the EPA
has included all areas of Indian country within the geographic scope of
those FIPs, such that any new or existing sources meeting the rules'
applicability criteria would be subject to the rule irrespective of
whether subject to state or tribal underlying CAA planning authority.
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update, the scope of
the emissions trading programs established for EGUs extended to cover
all areas of Indian country located within the geographic boundaries of
the covered states. In these rules, at the time of their promulgation,
no existing units were located in the covered areas of Indian country;
under the general applicability criteria of the trading programs,
however, any new sources locating in such areas would become subject to
the programs. Thus, the EPA established a separate allowance allocation
that would be available for any new units locating in any of the
relevant areas of Indian country. See, e.g., 76 FR 48293 (describing
the CSAPR methodology of allowance allocation under the ``Indian
country new unit set-aside'' provisions); see also id. at 48217
(explaining the EPA's source of authority for directly regulating in
relevant areas of Indian country as necessary or appropriate). Further,
in any action in which the EPA subsequently approved a state's SIP
submittal to partially or wholly replace the provisions of a CSAPR FIP,
the EPA has clearly delineated that it will continue to administer the
Indian country new unit set aside for sources in any areas of Indian
country geographically located within a state's borders and not subject
to that state's CAA planning authority, and the state may not exercise
jurisdiction over any such sources. See, e.g., 82 FR 46674, 46677
(October 6, 2017) (approving Alabama's SIP submission establishing a
state CSAPR trading program for ozone season NOX, but
providing, ``The SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian reservation
land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has demonstrated
that a tribe has jurisdiction.'').
In this rule, the EPA is taking an approach similar to the prior
CSAPR rulemakings with respect to regulating sources in the CAA section
301(d) FIP areas.\118\ The EPA believes this approach is necessary and
appropriate for several reasons. First, the purpose of this rule is to
address the interstate transport of ozone on a national scale, and the
technical record establishes that the nonattainment and maintenance
receptors located throughout the country are impacted by sources of
ozone pollution on a broad geographic scale. The upwind regions
associated with each receptor typically span at least two, and often
far more, states. Within the broad upwind region covered by this rule,
the EPA is applying--consistent with the methodology of allocating
upwind responsibility in prior transport rules going back to the
NOX SIP Call--a uniform level of control stringency (as
determined separately for linkages existing in 2023, and linkages
persisting in 2026). (See section V of this document for a discussion
of EPA's determination of control stringency for this rule.) Within
this approach, consistency in rule requirements across all
jurisdictions is vital in ensuring the remedy for ozone transport is,
in the words of the Supreme Court, ``efficient and equitable,'' 572
U.S. 489, 519. In particular, as the Supreme Court found in EME Homer
City Generation, allocating responsibility through uniform levels of
control across the entire upwind geography is ``equitable'' because, by
imposing uniform cost thresholds on regulated States, the EPA's rule
subjects to stricter regulation those States that have done relatively
less in the past to control their pollution. Upwind States that have
not yet implemented pollution controls of the same stringency as their
neighbors will be stopped from free riding on their neighbors' efforts
to reduce pollution. They will have to reduce their emissions by
installing devices of the kind in which neighboring States have already
invested. Id.
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\118\ See section VI.B.9 of this document for a discussion of
revisions that are being made in this rulemaking regarding the point
in the allowance allocation process at which the EPA would establish
set-asides of allowances for units in Indian country not subject to
a state's CAA implementation planning authority.
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In the context of addressing regional-scale ozone transport in this
rule, the importance of a uniform level of stringency that extends to
and includes the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas geographically located
within the boundaries of the linked upwind states carries significant
force. Failure to include all such areas within the scope of the rule
creates a significant risk that these areas may be targeted for the
siting of facilities emitting ozone-precursor pollutants, to avoid the
regulatory costs that would be imposed under this rule in the
surrounding areas of state jurisdiction. Electricity generation or the
production of other goods and commodities may become more cost-
competitive at any EGU or industrial sources not subject to the rule
but located in a geography where the same types of sources are subject
to the rule. For instance, the affected EGU source located on the
Uintah and Ouray Reservation of the Ute Tribe is in an area that is
interconnected with the western electricity grid and is owned and
operated by an entity that generates and provides electricity to
customers in several states. It is both necessary and appropriate, in
the EPA's view, to avoid creating, via this rule, a structure of
incentives that may cause generation or production--and the associated
NOX emissions--to shift into the CAA section 301(d) FIP
areas to escape regulation needed to eliminate interstate transport
under the good neighbor provision.
The EPA finds it is appropriate to directly implement the rule's
requirements in the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas in this action rather
than at a later date. Tribes have the opportunity to seek treatment as
a state (TAS) and to undertake tribal implementation plans under the
CAA. To date, the one tribe which could develop and seek approval of a
tribal implementation plan to address good neighbor obligations with
respect to an existing EGU in the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas for the
2015 ozone NAAQS (or for any other NAAQS), the Ute Indian Tribe of the
Uintah and Ouray Reservation, has not
[[Page 36692]]
expressed an intent to do so. Nor has the EPA heard such intentions
from any other tribe, and it would not be reasonable to expect tribes
to undertake that planning effort, particularly when no existing
sources are currently located on their lands. Further, the EPA is
mindful that under court precedent, the EPA and states bear an
obligation to fully implement any required emissions reductions to
eliminate significant contribution under the good neighbor provision as
expeditiously as practicable and in alignment with downwind areas'
attainment schedule under the Act. As discussed in section VI.A of this
document, the EPA is implementing certain required emissions reductions
by the 2023 ozone season, the last full ozone season before the 2024
Moderate area attainment date, and other key additional required
emissions reductions by the 2026 ozone season, the last full ozone
season before the 2027 Serious area attainment date. Absent the
application of this FIP in the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas,
NOX emissions from any existing or new EGU or non-EGU
sources located in, or locating in, the CAA section 301(d) FIP areas
within the covered geography of the rule would remain unregulated for
purposes of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone NAAQS and
could continue or potentially increase. This would be inconsistent with
the EPA's overall goal of aligning good neighbor obligations with the
downwind areas' attainment schedule and to achieve emissions reductions
as expeditiously as practicable.
Further, the EPA recognizes that Indian country, including the CAA
section 301(d) FIP areas, is often home to communities with
environmental justice concerns, and these communities may bear a
disproportionate level of pollution burden as compared with other areas
of the United States. The EPA's Fiscal Year 2022-2026 Strategic Plan
\119\ includes an objective to promote environmental justice at the
Federal, Tribal, state, and local levels and states: ``Integration of
environmental justice principles into all EPA activities with Tribal
governments and in Indian country is designed to be flexible enough to
accommodate EPA's Tribal program activities and goals, while at the
same time meeting the Agency's environmental justice goals.'' As
described in section X.F of this document, the EPA offered Tribal
consultation to 574 Tribes in April of 2022 and received no requests
for Tribal consultation after publication of the proposed rulemaking.
By including all areas of Indian country within the covered geography
of the rule, the EPA is advancing environmental justice, lowering
pollution burdens in such areas, and preventing the potential for
``pollution havens'' to form in such areas as a result of facilities
seeking to locate there to avoid the requirements that would otherwise
apply outside of such areas under this rule.
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\119\ https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-03/fy-2022-2026-epa-strategic-plan.pdf.
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Therefore, to ensure timely alignment of all needed emissions
reductions within the timetables of this rule, to ensure equitable
distribution of the upwind pollution reduction obligation across all
upwind jurisdictions, to avoid perverse economic incentives to locate
sources of ozone-precursor pollution in the CAA section 301(d) FIP
areas, and to deliver greater environmental justice to tribal
communities in line with Executive Order 13985: Advancing Racial Equity
and Support for Underserved Communities Through the Federal
Government,\120\ the EPA finds it both necessary and appropriate that
all existing and new EGU and industrial sources that are located in the
CAA section 301(d) FIP areas within the geographic boundaries of the
covered states, and which would be subject to this rule if located
within areas subject to state CAA planning authority, should be
included in this rule. The EPA issues this finding under CAA section
301(d)(4) of the Act and 40 CFR 49.11. Further, to avoid ``unreasonable
delay'' in promulgating this FIP, as required under section 49.11, the
EPA makes this finding now, to align emissions reduction obligations
for any covered new or existing sources in the CAA section 301(d) FIP
areas with the larger schedule of reductions under this rule. Because
all other covered EGU and non-EGU sources within the geography of this
rule would be subject to emissions reductions of uniform stringency
beginning in the 2023 ozone season, and as necessary to fully and
expeditiously address good neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, there is little benefit to be had by not including the CAA
section 301(d) FIP areas in this rule now and a potentially significant
downside to not doing so.
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\120\ Executive Order 13985 (January 20, 2021) (86 FR 7009
(January 25, 2021)): https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2021-01-25/pdf/2021-01753.pdf.
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The Agency recognizes that Tribal governments may still choose to
seek TAS to develop a Tribal plan with respect to the obligations under
this rule, and this determination does not preclude the tribes from
taking such actions. Although the formal tribal consultation process
associated with this action has concluded, the EPA is willing and
available to engage with any tribe as this rule is implemented.
b. Indian Country Subject to State Implementation Planning Authority
Following the U.S. Supreme Court decision in McGirt v. Oklahoma,
140 S. Ct. 2452 (2020), the Governor of the State of Oklahoma requested
approval under section 10211(a) of the Safe, Accountable, Flexible,
Efficient Transportation Equity Act of 2005: A Legacy for Users, Public
Law 109-59, 119 Stat. 1144, 1937 (August 10, 2005) (``SAFETEA''), to
administer in certain areas of Indian country (as defined at 18 U.S.C.
1151) the State's environmental regulatory programs that were
previously approved by the EPA for areas outside of Indian country. The
State's request excluded certain areas of Indian country further
described later. In addition, the State only sought approval to the
extent that such approval is necessary for the State to administer a
program in light of Oklahoma Dept. of Environmental Quality v. EPA, 740
F.3d 185 (D.C. Cir. 2014).\121\
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\121\ In ODEQ v. EPA, the D.C. Circuit held that under the CAA,
a state has the authority to implement a SIP in non-reservation
areas of Indian country in the state, where there has been no
demonstration of tribal jurisdiction. Under the D.C. Circuit's
decision, the CAA does not provide authority to states to implement
SIPs in Indian reservations. ODEQ did not, however, substantively
address the separate authority in Indian country provided
specifically to Oklahoma under SAFETEA. That separate authority was
not invoked until the State submitted its request under SAFETEA, and
was not approved until the EPA's decision, described in this
section, on October 1, 2020.
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On October 1, 2020, the EPA approved Oklahoma's SAFETEA request to
administer all the State's EPA-approved environmental regulatory
programs, including the Oklahoma SIP, in the requested areas of Indian
country.\122\ As requested by Oklahoma, the EPA's approval under
SAFETEA does not include Indian country lands, including rights-of-way
running through the same, that: (1) qualify as Indian allotments, the
Indian titles to which have not been extinguished, under 18 U.S.C.
1151(c); (2) are held in trust by the United States on behalf of an
individual Indian or Tribe; or (3) are owned in fee by a Tribe, if the
Tribe (a) acquired that fee title to such land, or an area that
included such land, in accordance with a treaty with the United States
to which such Tribe was a party, and (b) never allotted the land to a
member or citizen of the Tribe
[[Page 36693]]
(collectively ``excluded Indian country lands'').
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\122\ Available in the docket for this rulemaking.
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The EPA's approval under SAFETEA expressly provided that to the
extent EPA's prior approvals of Oklahoma's environmental programs
excluded Indian country, any such exclusions are superseded for the
geographic areas of Indian country covered by the EPA's approval of
Oklahoma's SAFETEA request.\123\ The approval also provided that future
revisions or amendments to Oklahoma's approved environmental regulatory
programs would extend to the covered areas of Indian country (without
any further need for additional requests under SAFETEA).
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\123\ The EPA's prior approvals relating to Oklahoma's SIP
frequently noted that the SIP was not approved to apply in areas of
Indian country (consistent with the D.C. Circuit's decision in ODEQ
v. EPA) located in the state. See, e.g., 85 FR 20178, 20180 (April
10, 2020). Such prior expressed limitations are superseded by the
EPA's approval of Oklahoma's SAFETEA request.
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In a Federal Register document published on February 13, 2023 (88
FR 9336), the EPA disapproved the portion of an Oklahoma SIP submittal
pertaining to the state's interstate transport obligations under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Consistent with
the D.C. Circuit's decision in ODEQ v. EPA and with the EPA's October
1, 2020 SAFETEA approval, the EPA has authority under CAA section
110(c) to promulgate a FIP as needed to address the disapproved aspects
of Oklahoma's good neighbor SIP submittal.\124\ In accordance with the
previous discussion, the EPA's FIP authority in this circumstance
extends to all Indian country in Oklahoma, other than the excluded
Indian country lands, as described previously.\125\ Because--per the
State's request under SAFETEA--EPA's October 1, 2020 approval does not
displace any SIP authority previously exercised by the State under the
CAA as interpreted in ODEQ v. EPA, the EPA's FIP authority under CAA
section 110(c) also applies to any Indian allotments or dependent
Indian communities located outside of an Indian reservation over which
there has been no demonstration of tribal authority. The EPA's FIP
authority under CAA section 110(c) similarly applies to Indian
allotments or dependent Indian communities located outside of an Indian
reservation over which there has been no demonstration of tribal
authority located in any other state within the geographic scope of
this rule.
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\124\ The antecedent fact that the state had the authority and
jurisdiction to implement requirements under the good neighbor
provision, in the EPA's view, supplies the condition necessary for
the Agency to exercise its FIP authority to the extent the EPA has
disapproved the state's SIP submission with respect to those
requirements. Under CAA section 110(c), the EPA ``stands in the
shoes of the defaulting state, and all of the rights and duties that
would otherwise fall to the state accrue instead to the EPA.''
Central Ariz. Water Conservation Dist. v. EPA, 990 F.2d 1531, 1541
(9th Cir. 1993).
\125\ With respect to those areas of Indian country constituting
``excluded Indian country lands'' in the State of Oklahoma, as
defined supra, the EPA applies the same necessary or appropriate
finding as set forth above with respect to all other 301(d) FIP
areas within the geographic scope of coverage of the rule.
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In light of the relevant legal authorities discussed above
regarding the scope of the State of Oklahoma's regulatory jurisdiction
under the CAA, the EPA has FIP authority under CAA section 110(c) with
respect to all Indian country in Oklahoma other than excluded Indian
country lands. To the extent any change occurs in the scope of
Oklahoma's SIP authority in Indian country following finalization of
this rule, and such change affects the exercise of FIP authority
provided under section 110(c) of the Act,\126\ then, to the extent any
such areas would fall more appropriately within the CAA section 301(d)
FIP areas as described in section III.C.2.a of this document, the EPA's
necessary or appropriate finding as set forth above with respect to all
other CAA section 301(d) FIP areas within the geographic scope of
coverage of the rule would apply.
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\126\ On December 22, 2021, the EPA proposed to withdraw and
reconsider the October 1, 2020, SAFETEA approval. See https://www.epa.gov/ok/proposed-withdrawal-and-reconsideration-and-supporting-information. The EPA is engaging in further consultation
with tribal governments and expects to have discussions with the
State of Oklahoma as part of this reconsideration. The EPA also
notes that the October 1, 2020, approval is the subject of a pending
challenge in Federal court. Pawnee Nation of Oklahoma v. Regan, No.
20-9635 (10th Cir.).
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D. Severability
The EPA regards this action as a complete remedy, which will as
expeditiously as practicable implement good neighbor obligations for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS for the covered states, consistent with the
requirements of the Act. See North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 911-
12 (D.C. Cir. 2008); Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303, 313-20 (D.C. Cir.
2019); Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185, 1204 (D.C. Cir. 2020); New York
v. EPA, 964 F.3d 1214, 1226 (D.C. Cir. 2020); New York v. EPA, 781 Fed.
App'x 4, 7-8 (D.C. Cir. 2019) (all holding that the EPA must address
good neighbor obligations as expeditiously as practicable and by no
later than the next applicable attainment date). Yet should a court
find any discrete aspect of this document to be invalid, the Agency
believes that the remaining aspects of this rule can and should
continue to be implemented to the extent possible. In particular, this
action promulgates a FIP for each covered state (and, pursuant to CAA
section 301(d), for each area of tribal jurisdiction within the
geographic boundaries of those states). Should any jurisdiction-
specific aspect of the final rule be found invalid, the EPA views this
rule as severable along those state and/or tribal jurisdictional lines,
such that the rule can continue to be implemented as to any remaining
jurisdictions. This action promulgates discrete emissions control
requirements for the power sector and for each of seven other
industries. Should any industry-specific aspect of the final rule be
found invalid, the EPA views this rule as severable as between the
different industries and different types of emissions control
requirements. This is not intended to be an exhaustive list of the ways
in which the rule may be severable. In the event any part of it is
found invalid, our intention is that the remaining portions should
continue to be implemented consistent with any judicial ruling.
The EPA's conclusion that this rule is severable also reflects the
important public health and environmental benefits of this rulemaking
in eliminating significant contribution and to ensure to the greatest
extent possible the ability of both upwind states and downwind states
and other relevant stakeholders to be able to rely on this final rule
in their planning. Cf. Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 336-37 (``As a general
rule, we do not vacate regulations when doing so would risk significant
harm to the public health or the environment.''); North Carolina v.
EPA, 550 F.3d 1176, 1178 (D.C. Cir. 2008) (noting the need to preserve
public health benefits); EME Homer City v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118, 132 (D.C.
Cir. 2015) (noting the need to avoid disruption to emissions trading
market that had developed).
IV. Analyzing Downwind Air Quality Problems and Contributions From
Upwind States
A. Selection of Analytic Years for Evaluating Ozone Transport
Contributions to Downwind Air Quality Problems
In this section, the EPA describes its process for selecting
analytic years for air quality modeling and analyses performed to
identify nonattainment and maintenance receptors and identify upwind
state linkages. For this final rule, the EPA evaluated air quality to
identify receptors at Step 1 for two
[[Page 36694]]
analytic years: 2023 and 2026. The EPA evaluated interstate
contributions to these receptors from individual upwind states at Step
2 for these two analytic years. In selecting these years, the EPA views
2023 and 2026 to constitute years by which key emissions reductions
from EGUs and non-EGUS can be implemented ``as expeditiously as
practicable.'' In addition, these years are the last full ozone seasons
before the Moderate and Serious area attainment dates for the 2015
ozone NAAQS (ozone seasons run each year from May 1-September 30). To
demonstrate attainment by these deadlines, downwind states would be
required to rely on design values calculated using ozone data from 2021
through 2023 and 2024 through 2026, respectively. By focusing its
analysis, and, potentially, achieving emissions reductions by, the last
full ozone seasons before the attainment dates (i.e., in 2023 or 2026),
this final rule can assist the downwind areas with demonstrating
attainment or receiving extensions of attainment dates under CAA
section 181(a)(5). (The EPA explains in detail in sections V and VI of
this document its determinations regarding which emissions reduction
strategies can be implemented by 2023, and which emissions reduction
strategies require additional time beyond that ozone season, or the
2026 ozone season.)
It would not be logical for the EPA to analyze any earlier year
than 2023. The EPA continues to interpret the good neighbor provision
as forward-looking, based on Congress's use of the future-tense
``will'' in CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), an interpretation upheld in
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 322. It would be ``anomalous,'' id., for the EPA
to impose good neighbor obligations in 2023 and future years based
solely on finding that ``significant contribution'' had existed at some
time in the past. Id.
Applying this framework in the proposal, the EPA recognized that
the 2021 Marginal area attainment date had already passed. Further,
based on the timing of the proposal, it was not possible to finalize
this rulemaking before the 2022 ozone season had also passed. Thus, the
EPA has selected 2023 as the first appropriate future analytic year for
this final rule because it reflects implementation of good neighbor
obligations as expeditiously as practicable and coincides with the
August 3, 2024, Moderate area attainment date established for the 2015
ozone NAAQS.
The EPA conducted additional analysis for 2026 to ensure a complete
Step 3 analysis for future ozone transport contributions to downwind
areas. As noted above, 2023 and 2026 coincide with the last full ozone
seasons before future attainment dates for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. In
addition, 2026 coincides with the ozone season by which key additional
emissions reductions from EGUs and non-EGUs become available. Thus, the
EPA analyzed additional years beyond 2023 to determine whether any
additional emissions reductions that are impossible to obtain by the
2024 attainment date could still be necessary to fully address
significant contribution. In all cases, implementation of necessary
emissions reductions is as expeditiously as practicable, with all
possible emissions reductions implemented by the next applicable
attainment date.
The timing framework and selection of analytic years set forth
above comports with the D.C. Circuit's direction in Wisconsin that
implementing good neighbor obligations beyond the dates established for
attainment may be justified on a proper showing of impossibility or
necessity. See 938 F.3d at 320.
Comment: A commenter claims that the EPA has not followed the
holdings of Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C. Cir. 2019), North
Carolina v. EPA, 550 F.3d 1176 (D.C. Cir. 2008), and Maryland v. EPA,
958 F. 3d 1185 (D.C. Cir. 2020) in the selection of analytic years, in
that commenter interprets those decisions as holding that the EPA must
``harmonize'' the exact timing of upwind emissions reductions with when
downwind states implement their required reductions. Commenter also
points to the EPA's proposed action on New York's Good Neighbor SIP
submission specifically to argue that the EPA is treating upwind and
downwind states dissimilarly. Commenter also cites CAA sections 172,
177, and 179 to argue the EPA did not properly align upwind and
downwind obligations. Several commenters believe the EPA should defer
implementing good neighbor requirements until downwind receptor areas
have first implemented their own emissions control strategies.
Response: The EPA maintains that 2023 is an appropriate analytic
year and comports with the relevant caselaw. Section VI.A further
discusses the compliance schedule for emissions reductions under this
rule. Commenter misreads the North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Maryland
decisions as calling for good neighbor analysis and emissions controls
to be aligned with the timing of the implementation of nonattainment
controls by downwind states. However, the D.C. Circuit has held that
the statutory attainment dates are the relevant downwind deadlines the
EPA must align with in implementing the good neighbor provision. In
Wisconsin, the court held, ``In sum, under our decision in North
Carolina, the Good Neighbor Provision calls for elimination of upwind
States' significant contributions on par with the relevant downwind
attainment deadlines.'' Wisconsin, 938 F.3d. at 321 (emphasis added).
After that decision, the EPA interpreted Wisconsin as limited to
the attainment dates for Moderate or higher classifications under CAA
section 181 on the basis that Marginal nonattainment areas have reduced
planning requirements and other considerations. See, e.g., 85 FR 29882,
29888-89 (May 19, 2020) (proposed approval of South Dakota's 2015 ozone
NAAQS good neighbor SIP). However, on May 19, 2020, the D.C. Circuit in
Maryland v. EPA, 958 F.3d 1185 (D.C. Cir. 2020), applying the Wisconsin
decision, rejected that argument and held that the EPA must assess air
quality at the next downwind attainment date, including Marginal area
attainment dates under CAA section 181, in evaluating the basis for the
EPA's denial of a petition under CAA section 126(b). 958 F.3d at 1203-
04. After Maryland, the EPA acknowledged that the Marginal attainment
date is the first attainment date to consider in evaluating good
neighbor obligations. See, e.g., 85 FR 67653, 67654 (Oct. 26, 2020)
(final approval of South Dakota's 2015 ozone NAAQS good neighbor SIP).
The D.C. Circuit again had occasion to revisit the Agency's
interpretation of North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Maryland, in a
challenge to the Revised CSAPR Update brought by the Midwest Ozone
Group (MOG). The court declined to entertain similar arguments to those
presented by commenters here and instead in a footnote explained that
it had ``exhaustively summarized the regulatory framework governing
EPA's conduct'' and that it ``[drew] on those decisions and incorporate
them herein by reference,'' citing, among other cases, Maryland, 958
F.3d 1185, and New York, 781 F. App'x 4. MOG v. EPA, No. 21-1146 (D.C.
Cir. March 3, 2023), Slip Op. at 3 n.1.
The relevance of CAA sections 172, 177, and 179 to the selection of
the analytic year in this action is not clear. Commenter cites these
provisions to conclude that the EPA did not appropriately consider
downwind attainment deadlines and the timing of upwind good neighbor
obligations. These provisions are found in subpart I, and while they
may have continuing
[[Page 36695]]
relevance or applicability to aspects of ozone nonattainment planning
requirements, the nonattainment dates for the 2015 ozone NAAQS flow
from subpart 2 of title I of the CAA, and specifically CAA section
181(a). Applying that statutory schedule to the designations for the
2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA has promulgated the applicable attainment
dates in its regulations at 40 CFR 51.1303. The effective date of the
initial designations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS was August 3, 2018 (83 FR
25776, June 4, 2018, effective August 3, 2018).\127\ Thus, the first
deadline for attainment planning under the 2015 ozone NAAQS was the
Marginal attainment date of August 3, 2021, and the second deadline for
attainment planning is the Moderate attainment date of August 3, 2024.
If a Marginal area fails to attain by the attainment date it is
reclassified, or ``bumped up,'' to Moderate. Indeed, the EPA has just
completed a rulemaking action reclassifying many areas of the country
from Marginal to Moderate nonattainment, including all of the areas
where downwind receptors have been identified in our 2023 modeling as
well as many other areas of the country. 87 FR 60897, 60899 (Oct. 7,
2022).
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\127\ September 24, 2018, for the San Antonio area. 83 FR 35136
(July 25, 2018).
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Other than under the narrow circumstances of CAA section 181(a)(5)
(discussed further in this section), the EPA is not permitted under the
CAA to extend the attainment dates for areas under a given
classification. That is, no matter when or if the EPA finalizes a
determination that an area failed to attain by its attainment date and
reclassifies that area, the attainment date remains fixed, based on the
number of years from the area's initial designation. See, e.g., CAA
section 182(i) (authorizing the EPA to adjust any applicable deadlines
for newly reclassified areas ``other than attainment dates''). As the
D.C. Circuit has repeatedly made clear, the statutory attainment
schedule of the downwind nonattainment areas under subpart 2 is
rigorously enforced and is not subject to change based on policy
considerations of the EPA or the states.
[T]he attainment deadlines, the Supreme Court has said, are
``the heart'' of the Act. Train v. Nat. Res. Def. Council, 421 U.S.
60, 66, 95 S.Ct. 1470, 43 L.Ed.2d 731 (1975); see Sierra Club v.
EPA, 294 F.3d 155, 161 (D.C. Cir. 2002) (``the attainment deadlines
are central to the regulatory scheme'') (alteration and internal
quotation marks omitted). The Act's central object is the
``attain[ment] [of] air quality of specified standards [within] a
specified period of time.'' Train, 421 U.S. at 64-65, 95 S.Ct. 1470.
Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 316. See also Natural Resources Defense Council
v. EPA, 777 F.3d 456, 466-68 (D.C. Cir. 2014) (holding the EPA cannot
adjust the section 181 attainment schedule to run from any other date
than from the date of designation); id. at 468 (``EPA identifies no
statutory provision giving it free-form discretion to set Subpart 2
compliance deadlines based on its own policy assessment concerning the
number of ozone seasons within which a nonattainment area should be
expected to achieve compliance.'') (citing and quoting Whitman v.
American Trucking Ass'ns, 531 U.S. 457, 484, (2001) (``The principal
distinction between Subpart 1 and Subpart 2 is that the latter
eliminates regulatory discretion that the former allowed.'').
Furthermore, as the court in NRDC noted, ``[T]he `attainment deadlines
. . . leave no room for claims of technological or economic
infeasibility.' '' 777 F.3d at 488 (quoting Sierra Club, 294 F.3d at
161) (internal quotation marks and brackets omitted).
With the exception of the Uinta Basin, which is not an identified
receptor in this action, no Marginal nonattainment area met the
conditions of CAA section 181(a)(5) to obtain a one-year extension of
the Moderate area attainment date. 87 FR 60899. Thus, all Marginal
areas (other than Uinta) that failed to attain have been reclassified
to Moderate. Id. (And the New York City Metropolitan nonattainment area
was initially classified as Moderate (see following text for further
details).) Even if the EPA had extended the attainment date for any of
the downwind areas, it is not clear that it would necessarily follow
that the EPA must correspondingly extend or delay the implementation of
good neighbor obligations. While the Wisconsin court recognized
extensions under CAA section 181(a)(5) as a possible source of timing
flexibility in implementing the good neighbor provision, 938 F.3d at
320, the EPA and the states are still obligated to implement good
neighbor reductions as expeditiously as practicable and are also
obligated under the good neighbor provision to address ``interference
with maintenance.'' Areas that have obtained an extension under CAA
section 181(a)(5) or which are not designated as in nonattainment could
still be identified as struggling to maintain the NAAQS, and the EPA is
obligated under the good neighbor provision to eliminate upwind
emissions interfering with the ability to maintain the NAAQS, as well.
North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 908-11. Thus, while an extension under CAA
section 181(a)(5) may be a source of flexibility for the EPA to
consider in the timing of implementation of good neighbor obligations,
as Wisconsin recognized, it is not the case that the EPA must delay or
defer good neighbor obligations for that reason, and neither the D.C.
Circuit nor any other court has so held.
Commenter is therefore incorrect to the extent that they argue the
selection of 2023 as an analytic year for upwind obligations results in
the misalignment of downwind and upwind state obligations. To the
contrary, both downwind and upwind state obligations are driven by the
statutory attainment date of August 3, 2024 for Moderate areas, and the
last year that air quality data may impact whether nonattainment areas
are found to have attained by the attainment date is 2023. That is why,
in the recent final rulemaking determinations that certain Marginal
areas failed to attain by the attainment date, bumping those areas up
to Moderate, and giving them SIP submission deadlines, reasonably
available control measures (RACM), and reasonably RACT implementation
deadlines, the EPA set the attainment SIP submission deadlines for the
bumped up Moderate areas to be January 1, 2023. See 87 FR 60897, 60900
(Oct. 7, 2022). The implementation deadline for RACM and RACT is also
January 1, 2023. Id. This was in large part driven by the EPA's ozone
implementation regulations, 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(3)(i), which previously
established a RACT implementation deadline for initially classified
Moderate as no later than January 1, 2023, and the modeling and
attainment demonstration requirements in 40 CFR 51.1308(d), which
require a state to provide for implementation of all control measures
needed for attainment no later than the beginning of the attainment
year ozone season (i.e., 2023). Given this regulatory history, the EPA
can hardly be accused of letting states with nonattainment areas for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS avoid or delay their mandatory CAA obligations.
Commenter's proposal that the EPA align good neighbor obligations
with the actual implementation of measures in downwind areas is
untethered from the statute, as discussed above. It is also unworkable
in practice. It would necessitate coordinating the activities of
multiple states and EPA regional and headquarters offices to an
impossible degree and effectively could preclude the implementation of
good neighbor obligations altogether. Commenter does not explain how
the EPA or upwind states should coordinate upwind emissions control
obligations for states
[[Page 36696]]
linked to multiple downwind receptors whose states may be implementing
their requirements on different timetables. Less drastic mechanisms
than subjecting people living in downwind receptor areas to continuing
high levels of air pollution caused in part by upwind-state pollution
are available if the actual implementation of mandatory CAA
requirements in the downwind areas is delayed: CAA section 304(a)(2)
provides for judicial recourse where there is an alleged failure by the
Agency to perform a nondiscretionary duty; that recourse is for the
Agency to be placed on a court-ordered deadline to address the relevant
obligations. See Oklahoma v. U.S. EPA, 723 F.3d 1201, 1223-24 (10th
Cir. 2013); Montana Sulphur and Chemical Co. v. U.S. EPA, 666 F.3d
1174, 1190-91 (9th Cir. 2012). Commenter focuses on the EPA's
evaluation of New York's Good Neighbor SIP submission to argue the EPA
is treating upwind and downwind states dissimilarly. The argument
conflates New York's role as both a downwind and an upwind state. In
evaluating the Good Neighbor SIP submission that New York submitted,
the EPA identified as a basis for disapproval that none of the state
emissions control programs New York cited included implementation
timeframes to achieve the reductions, let alone ensure they were
achieved by 2023. 87 FR 9484, 9494 (Feb. 22, 2022). The EPA conducted
the same inquiry into other states' claims regarding their existing or
proposed state laws or other emissions reductions claimed in their SIP
submissions. See, e.g., 87 FR 9472-73 (evaluating claims regarding
emissions reductions anticipated under Maryland's state law); 87 FR
9854 (evaluating claims regarding emissions reductions anticipated
under Illinois' state law). Consistent with its treatment of the other
upwind states included in this action, the EPA in a separate action
disapproved New York's good neighbor SIP submission for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS because its arguments did not demonstrate that it had fully
prohibited emissions significantly contributing to out of state
nonattainment or maintenance problems.
Commenter attempts to contrast this evaluation with what it
believes is the EPA's permissive attitude toward delays by downwind
states, specifically claiming that ``certain nonattainment areas have
delayed implementation of nonattainment controls until 2025 and
beyond.'' This apparently references New York's simple cycle and
regenerative combustion turbines (SCCT) controls, which commenter cited
elsewhere in its comments. New York's SCCT controls were not included
by New York in its good neighbor SIP submission, nor was the prior
approval of the SCCT controls reexamined by the EPA or reopened for
consideration by the Agency in this action. Although not part of this
rulemaking, the EPA notes that the SCCT controls were approved by the
EPA as a SIP strengthening measure and not to satisfy any specific
planning requirements for the 2015 ozone NAAQS under CAA section 182.
86 FR 43956, 43958 (Aug. 11, 2021). The SCCT controls submitted to the
EPA were already a state rule, and the only effect under the CAA of the
EPA approving them into New York's SIP was to make them federally
enforceable. 86 FR 43956, 43959 (Aug. 11, 2021). In other words,
approval of the SCCT controls did not relieve New York of its
nonattainment planning obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The EPA notes that the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island,
NY-NJ-CT nonattainment area was initially designated as Moderate
nonattainment. 83 FR 25776 (June 4, 2018). Pursuant to this
designation, New York was required to submit a RACT SIP submission and
an attainment demonstration no later than 24 months and 36 months,
respectively, after the effective date of the Moderate designation. CAA
section 182; 40 CFR 51.1308(a), 51.1312(a)(2). New York submitted a
RACT SIP for the 2015 ozone standards on January 29, 2021,\128\ and the
EPA is currently evaluating that submission. New York has not yet
submitted its attainment demonstration, which was due August 3, 2021.
Further, the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island, NY-NJ-CT
nonattainment area remains subject to the Moderate nonattainment area
date of August 3, 2024. If it fails to attain the 2015 ozone NAAQS by
August 3, 2024, it will be reclassified to Serious nonattainment,
resulting in additional requirements on the New York nonattainment
area.
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\128\ https://edap.epa.gov/public/extensions/S4S_Public_Dashboard_2/S4S_Public_Dashboard_2.html.
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In any case, regardless of the status of New York's and the EPA's
efforts in relation to the New York-Northern New Jersey-Long Island,
NY-NJ-CT nonattainment area (which are outside the scope of this
action), the EPA's evaluation of 2023 as the relevant analytic year in
assessing New York's and other states' good neighbor obligations is
consistent with the statutory framework and court decisions calling on
the agency to align these obligations with the downwind areas'
statutory attainment schedule. The EPA further responds to these
comments in the RTC document in the docket.
The remainder of this section includes information on (1) the air
quality modeling platform used in support of the final rule with a
focus on the base year and future year base case emissions inventories,
(2) the method for projecting design values in 2023 and 2026, and (3)
the approach for calculating ozone contributions from upwind states.
The Agency also provides the design values for nonattainment and
maintenance receptors and the largest predicted downwind contributions
in 2023 and 2026 from each state. The 2016 base period and 2023 and
2026 projected design values and contributions for all ozone monitoring
sites are provided in the docket for this rule. The ``Air Quality
Modeling Technical Support Document for the Federal Good Neighbor Plan
for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards Final
Rulemaking'' (Mar. 2023), hereinafter referred to as the Air Quality
Modeling Final Rule TSD, in the docket for this final rule contains
more detailed information on the air quality modeling aspects of this
rule.
B. Overview of Air Quality Modeling Platform
The EPA used version 3 of the 2016-based modeling platform (i.e.,
2016v3) for the air quality modeling for this final rule. This modeling
platform includes 2016 base year emissions from anthropogenic and
natural sources and anthropogenic emissions projections for 2023 and
2026. The emissions data contained in this platform represent an update
to the 2016 version 2 inventories used for the proposal modeling.
The air quality modeling for this final rule was performed for a
modeling region (i.e., modeling domain) that covers the contiguous 48
states using a horizontal resolution of 12 x 12 km. The EPA used the
CAMx version 7.10 for air quality modeling which is the same model that
EPA used for the proposed rule air quality modeling.\129\ Additional
information on the 2016-based air quality modeling platform can be
found in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD.
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\129\ Ramboll Environment and Health, January 2021, https://www.camx.com.
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Comment: Commenters noted that the 2016 base year summer maximum
daily average 8-hour (MDA8) ozone predictions from the proposal
modeling were biased low compared to the corresponding measured
concentrations in certain locations. In this regard, commenters said
that model
[[Page 36697]]
performance statistics for a number of monitoring sites, particularly
those in portions of the West and in the area around Lake Michigan,
were outside the range of published performance criteria for normalized
mean bias (NMB) and normalized mean error (NME) of less than 15 percent and less than 25 percent, respectively (Emory, et al.,
2017).\130\ The commenters said EPA must investigate the factors
contributing to low bias and make necessary corrections to improve
model performance in the final rule modeling. Some commenters said that
EPA should include NOX emissions from lightning strikes and
assess the treatment of other background sources of ozone to improve
model performance for the final rule. Additional information on the
comments on model performance can be found in the RTC document for this
final rule.
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\130\ Christopher Emery, Zhen Liu, Armistead G. Russell, M.
Talat Odman, Greg Yarwood & Naresh Kumar (2017) Recommendations on
statistics and benchmarks to assess photochemical model performance,
Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 67:5, 582-598,
DOI: 10.1080/10962247.1265027.
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Response: In response to these comments EPA examined the temporal
and spatial characteristics of model under prediction to investigate
the possible causes of under prediction of MDA8 ozone concentrations in
different regions of the U.S. in the proposal modeling. EPA's analysis
indicates that the under prediction was most extensive during May and
June with less bias during July and August in most regions of the U.S.
For example, in the Upper Midwest region model under prediction was
larger in May and June compared to July through September.
Specifically, in the proposal modeling, the normalized mean bias for
days with measured concentrations >=60 ppb improved from a 21.4 percent
under prediction for May and June to a 12.6 percent under prediction in
the period July through September. As described in the Air Quality
Modeling Final Rule TSD, the seasonal pattern in bias in the Upper
Midwest region improves somewhat gradually with time from the middle of
May to the latter part of June. In view of the seasonal pattern in bias
in the Upper Midwest and in other regions of the U.S., EPA focused its
investigation of model performance on model inputs that, by their
nature, have the largest temporal variation within the ozone season.
These inputs include emissions from biogenic sources and lightning
NOX, and contributions from transport of international
anthropogenic emissions and natural sources into the U.S. Both biogenic
and lightning NOX emissions in the U.S. dramatically
increase from spring to summer.131 132 In contrast, ozone
transported into the U.S. from international anthropogenic and natural
sources peaks during the period March through June, with lower
contributions during July through September.133 134 To
investigate the impacts of these sources, EPA conducted sensitivity
model runs which focused on the effects on model performance of adding
NOX emissions from lightning strikes, updating biogenic
emissions, and using an alternative approach for quantifying transport
of ozone and precursor pollutants into the U.S. from international
anthropogenic and natural sources. The development of lightning
NOX emissions and the updates to biogenic emissions, are
described in section IV.C of this document. In the proposal modeling
the amount of transport from international anthropogenic and natural
sources was based on a simulation of the hemispheric version of the
Community Multi-scale Air Quality Model (H-CMAQ) for 2016.\135\ The
outputs from this hemispheric modeling were then used to provide
boundary conditions for national scale air quality modeling at
proposal.\136\ Overall, H-CMAQ tends to under-predict daytime ozone
concentrations at rural and remote monitoring sites across the U.S.
during the spring of 2016 whereas the predictions from the GEOS-Chem
global model \137\ were generally less biased.\138\ During the summer
of 2016 both models showed varying degrees of over prediction with
GEOS-Chem showing somewhat greater over-prediction, compared to H-CMAQ.
In view of those results, EPA examined the impacts of using GEOS-Chem
as an alternative to H-CMAQ for providing boundary conditions for the
final rule modeling.
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\131\ Guenther, A.B., 1997. Seasonal and spatial variations in
natural volatile organic compound emissions. Ecol. Appl. 7, 34-45.
https://doi.org/10.1890/1051-0761(1997)007[0034:SASVIN]2.0.CO;2.
Guenther, A., Hewitt, C.N., Erickson, D., Fall, R.
\132\ Kang D, Mathur R, Pouliot GA, Gilliam RC, Wong DC.
Significant ground-level ozone attributed to lightning-induced
nitrogen oxides during summertime over the Mountain West States. NPJ
Clim Atmos Sci. 2020 Jan 30;3:6. doi: 10.1038/s41612-020-0108-2.
PMID: 32181370; PMCID: PMC7075249.
\133\ Jaffe DA, Cooper OR, Fiore AM, Henderson BH, Tonnesen GS,
Russell AG, Henze DK, Langford AO, Lin M, Moore T. Scientific
assessment of background ozone over the U.S.: Implications for air
quality management. Elementa (Wash DC). 2018;6(1):56. doi: 10.1525/
elementa.309. PMID: 30364819; PMCID: PMC6198683.
\134\ Henderson, B.H., P. Dolwick, C. Jang, A., Eyth, J.
Vukovich, R. Mathur, C. Hogrefe, N. Possiel, G. Pouliot, B. Timin,
K.W. Appel, 2019. Global Sources of North American Ozone. Presented
at the 18th Annual Conference of the UNC Institute for the
Environment Community Modeling and Analysis System (CMAS) Center,
October 21-23, 2019.
\135\ Mathur, R., Gilliam, R., Bullock, O.R., Roselle, S.,
Pleim, J., Wong, D., Binkowski, F., and 1 Streets, D.: Extending the
applicability of the community multiscale air quality model to 2
hemispheric scales: motivation, challenges, and progress. In: Steyn
DG, Trini S (eds) Air 3 pollution modeling and its applications,
XXI. Springer, Dordrecht, pp 175-179, 2012.
\136\ Boundary conditions are the concentrations of pollutants
along the north, east, south, and west boundaries of the air quality
modeling domain. Boundary conditions vary in space and time and are
typically obtained from predictions of global or hemispheric models.
Information on how boundary conditions were developed for the final
rule modeling can be found in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule
TSD.
\137\ I. Bey, D.J. Jacob, R.M. Yantosca, J.A. Logan, B.D. Field,
A.M. Fiore, Q. Li, H.Y. Liu, L.J. Mickley, M.G. Schultz. Global
modeling of tropospheric chemistry with assimilated meteorology:
model description and evaluation. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 106
(2001), pp. 23073-23095, 10.1029/2001jd000807.
\138\ Henderson, B.H., P. Dolwick, C. Jang, A., Eyth, J.
Vukovich, R. Mathur, C. Hogrefe, G., N. Possiel, B. Timin, K.W.
Appel, 2022. Meteorological and Emission Sensitivity of Hemispheric
Ozone and PM2.5. Presented at the 21st Annual Conference
of the UNC Institute for the Environment Community Modeling and
Analysis System (CMAS) Center, October 17-19, 2022.
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For the lightning NOX, biogenics, and GEOS-Chem
sensitivity runs, EPA reran the proposal modeling using each of these
inputs, individually. Results from these sensitivity runs indicate that
each of the three updates provides an improvement in model performance.
However, by far the greatest improvement in model performance is
attributable to the use of GEOS-Chem. In view of these results EPA has
included lightning NOX emissions, updated biogenic
emissions, and international transport from GEOS-Chem in the final rule
air quality modeling. Details on the results of the individual
sensitivity runs can be found in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule
TSD. For the air quality modeling supporting this final action, model
performance based on days in 2016 with measured MDA8 ozone >=60 ppb is
considerably improved (i.e., less bias and error) compared to the
proposal modeling in nearly all regions of the U.S. For example, in the
Upper Midwest, which includes monitoring sites along Lake Michigan, the
normalized mean bias improved from a 19 percent under prediction to a
6.9 percent under prediction and in the Southwest region, which
includes monitoring sites in Denver and Salt Lake City, normalized mean
bias improved from a 13.6 percent under prediction to a 4.8 percent
under prediction.\139\ In all regions, the
[[Page 36698]]
normalized mean bias and normalized mean error statistics for high
ozone days based on the final rule modeling are within the range of
performance criteria benchmarks (i.e., < 15 percent for
normalized mean bias and <25 percent for normalized mean error).\140\
Additional information on model performance is provided in the Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD. In summary, EPA included emissions of
lightning NOX, as requested by commenters, and investigated
and addressed concerns about model performance for the final rule
modeling.
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\139\ A comparison of model performance from the proposal
modeling to the final modeling for individual monitoring sites can
be found in the docket for this final rule.
\140\ Christopher Emery, Zhen Liu, Armistead G. Russell, M.
Talat Odman, Greg Yarwood & Naresh Kumar (2017) Recommendations on
statistics and benchmarks to assess photochemical model performance,
Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 67:5, 582-598,
DOI: 10.1080/10962247.1265027.
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C. Emissions Inventories
The EPA developed emissions inventories to support air quality
modeling for this final rule, including emissions estimates for EGUs,
non-EGU point sources (i.e., stationary point sources), stationary
nonpoint sources, onroad mobile sources, nonroad mobile sources, other
mobile sources, wildfires, prescribed fires, and biogenic emissions
that are not the direct result of human activities. The EPA's air
quality modeling relies on this comprehensive set of emissions
inventories because emissions from multiple source categories are
needed to model ambient air quality and to facilitate comparison of
model outputs with ambient measurements.
Prior to air quality modeling, the emissions inventories were
processed into a format that is appropriate for the air quality model
to use. To prepare the emissions inventories for air quality modeling,
the EPA processed the emissions inventories using the Sparse Matrix
Operator Kernel Emissions (SMOKE) Modeling System version 4.9 to
produce the gridded, hourly, speciated, model-ready emissions for input
to the air quality model. Additional information on the development of
the emissions inventories and on data sets used during the emissions
modeling process are provided in the document titled, ``Technical
Support Document (TSD): Preparation of Emissions Inventories for the
2016v3 North American Emissions Modeling Platform'' (Jan. 2023),
hereafter known as the 2016v3 Emissions Modeling TSD. This TSD is
available in the docket for this rule.\141\
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\141\ See 2016v3 Emissions Modeling TSD, also available at
https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-modeling/2016v3-platform.
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1. Foundation Emissions Inventory Data Sets
The 2016v3 emissions platform is comprised of data from various
sources including data developed using models, methods, and source
datasets that became available in calendar years 2020 through 2022, in
addition to data retained from the Inventory Collaborative 2016 version
1 (2016v1) Emissions Modeling Platform, released in October 2019. The
2016v1 platform was developed through a national collaborative effort
between the EPA and state and local agencies along with MJOs. The
2016v2 platform used to support the proposed action included updated
data from the 2017 NEI along with updates to models and methods as
compared to 2016v1. The 2016v3 platform includes updates to the 2016v2
platform implemented in response to comments along with other updates
to the 2016v2 platform such as corrections and the incorporation of
updated data sources that became available prior to the 2016v3
inventories being developed. Several commenters noted that the 2016v2
platform did not include NOX emissions that resulted from
lightning strikes. To address this, lightning NOX emissions
were computed and included in the 2016v3 platform.
For this final rule, the EPA developed emissions inventories for
the base year of 2016 and the projected years of 2023 and 2026. The
2023 and 2026 inventories represent changes in activity data and of
predicted emissions reductions from on-the-books actions, planned
emissions control installations, and promulgated Federal measures that
affect anthropogenic emissions.\142\ The 2016 emissions inventories for
the U.S. primarily include data derived from the 2017 National
Emissions Inventory (2017 NEI) \143\ and data specific to the year of
2016. The following sections provide an overview of the construct of
the 2016v3 emissions and projections. The fire emissions were unchanged
between the 2016v2 and 2016v3 emissions platforms. For the 2016v3
platform, the biogenic emissions were updated to use the latest
available versions of the Biogenic Emissions Inventory System and
associated land use data to help address comments related to a
degradation in model performance in the 2016v2 platform as compared to
the 2016v1 platform. Details on the construction of the inventories are
available in the 2016v3 Emissions Modeling TSD. Details on how the EPA
responded to comments related to emissions inventories are available in
the RTC document for this rule.
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\142\ Biogenic emissions and emissions from wildfires and
prescribed fires were held constant between 2016 and the future
years because (1) these emissions are tied to the 2016
meteorological conditions and (2) the focus of this rule is on the
contribution from anthropogenic emissions to projected ozone
nonattainment and maintenance.
\143\ https://www.epa.gov/air-emissions-inventories/2017-national-emissions-inventory-nei-technical-support-document-tsd.
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2. Development of Emissions Inventories for EGUs
a. EGU Emissions Inventories Supporting This Final Rule
Development of emissions inventories for annual NOX and
SO2 emissions for EGUs in the 2016 base year inventory are
based primarily on data from continuous emissions monitoring systems
(CEMS) and other monitoring systems allowed for use by qualifying units
under 40 CFR part 75, with other EGU pollutants estimated using
emissions factors and annual heat input data reported to the EPA. For
EGUs not reporting under Part 75, the EPA used data submitted to the
NEI by the state, local, and tribal agencies. The Air Emissions
Reporting Rule (80 FR 8787; February 19, 2015), requires that Type A
point sources large enough to meet or exceed specific thresholds for
emissions be reported to the EPA every year, while the smaller Type B
point sources must only be reported to EPA every 3 years. Emissions
data for EGUs that did not have data submitted to the NEI specific to
the year 2016 were filled in with data from the 2017 NEI. For more
information on the details of how the 2016 EGU emissions were developed
and prepared for air quality modeling, see the 2016v3 Emissions
Modeling TSD.
The EPA projected 2023 and 2026 baseline EGU emissions using the
version 6--Updated Summer 2021 Reference Case of the Integrated
Planning Model (IPM). IPM, developed by ICF Consulting, is a state-of-
the-art, peer-reviewed, multi-regional, dynamic, deterministic linear
programming model of the contiguous U.S. electric power sector. It
provides forecasts of least cost capacity expansion, electricity
dispatch, and emissions control strategies while meeting energy demand
and environmental, transmission, dispatch, and reliability constraints.
The EPA has used IPM for over two decades, including all prior
implemented CSAPR rulemakings, to better understand power sector
behavior under future business-
[[Page 36699]]
as-usual conditions and to evaluate the economic and emissions impacts
of prospective environmental policies. The model is designed to reflect
electricity markets as accurately as possible. The EPA uses the best
available information from utilities, industry experts, gas and coal
market experts, financial institutions, and government statistics as
the basis for the detailed power sector modeling in IPM. The model
documentation provides additional information on the assumptions
discussed here as well as all other model assumptions and inputs.\144\
The EPA relied on the same model platform at final as it did at
proposal, but made substantial updates to reflect public comments on
near-term fossil fuel market price volatility and updated fleet
information reflecting Summer 2022 U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA)
860 data, unit-level comments, and additional updates to the National
Electric Energy Data System (NEEDS) inventory.
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\144\ Detailed information and documentation of EPA's Base Case,
including all the underlying assumptions, data sources, and
architecture parameters can be found on EPA's website at: https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/epas-power-sector-modeling-platform-v6-using-ipm-summer-2021-reference-case.
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The IPM version 6--Updated Summer 2021 Reference Case incorporated
recent updates through the Summer of 2022 to account for updated
Federal and state environmental regulations (including Renewable
Portfolio Standards (RPS), Clean Energy Standards (CES) and other state
mandates), fleet changes (committed EGU retirements and new builds),
electricity demand, technology cost and performance assumptions from
recent data (for renewables adopting from National Renewable Energy Lab
(NREL's) Annual Technology Baseline 2020 and for fossil sources from
EIA's Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2020. Natural gas and coal price
projections reflect data developed in Fall 2020 but updated in summer
of 2022 to capture near-term price volatility and current market
conditions. The inventory of EGUs provided as an input to the model was
the NEEDS fall 2022 version and is available on EPA's website.\145\
This version of NEEDS reflects announced retirements and under-
construction new builds known as of early summer 2022. This projected
base case accounts for the effects of the finalized Mercury and Air
Toxics Standards rule, CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR
Update, NSR enforcement settlements, the final ELG Rule, CCR Rule, and
other on-the-books Federal and state rules (including renewable energy
tax credit extensions from the Consolidated Appropriations Act of 2021)
through early 2021 impacting SO2, NOX, directly
emitted particulate matter, CO2, and power plant operations.
It also includes final actions the EPA has taken to implement the
Regional Haze Rule and best available retrofit technology (BART)
requirements. Documentation of IPM version 6 and NEEDS, along with
updates, is in Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668 and available online
at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/power-sector-modeling. IPM has
projected output years for 2023 and 2025. IPM year 2025 outputs were
adjusted for known retirements to be reflective of year 2026, and IPM
year 2030 outputs were used for the year 2032 as is specified by the
mapping of IPM output years to specific years.
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\145\ Available at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs-v6.
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Additional 2023 through 2026 EGU emissions baseline levels were
developed through engineering analytics as an alternative approach that
did not involve IPM. The EPA developed this inventory for use in Step 3
of this final rule, where it determines emissions reduction potential
and corresponding state-level emissions budgets. IPM includes
optimization and perfect foresight in solving for least cost dispatch.
Given that this final rule will likely become effective immediately
prior to the start of the 2023 ozone season, the EPA adopted a similar
approach to the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update where it
utilized historical data and an engineering analytics approach in Step
3 to avoid overstating optimization and dispatch decisions in state-
emissions budget quantification that may not be possible in a short
time frame. The EPA does this by starting with unit-level reported data
and only making adjustments to reflect known baseline changes such as
planned retirements and new builds (for the base case scenarios) and
also identified mitigation strategies for determining state emissions
budgets. In both the CSAPR Update and in this rule at Step 3, the EPA
complemented that projected IPM EGU outlook with an historical (e.g.,
engineering analytics) perspective based on historical data that only
factors in known changes to the fleet. This 2023 engineering analytics
data set is described in more detail in the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD and corresponding Appendix A: State Emissions
Budgets Calculations and Underlying Data. The Engineering Analysis used
in Step 3 is also discussed further in section VII.B of this document.
Both IPM and the Engineering Analytics tools are valuable for
estimating future EGU emissions and examining the cone of uncertainty
around any future sector-level inventory estimate. A key difference
between the two tools is that IPM reflects both announced and projected
changes in fleet operation, whereas the Engineering Analytics tool only
reflects announced changes. By not including projected regional changes
that are anticipated in response to market forces and fleet trends, the
Engineering Analysis deliberately creates future estimates of the power
sector where state estimates are limited to known changes. Throughout
all of the CSAPR rules to date, and prior interstate transport actions,
the EPA has used IPM at Steps 1 and 2 as it is best suited for
projecting emissions in an airshed, at projecting emissions for time
horizons more than a few years out (for which changes would not yet be
announced and thus projecting changes is critical), and for scenarios
where the assumed change in emissions is not being codified into a
state emissions reduction requirement. Using IPM at Steps 1 and 2 helps
the EPA avoid overstating the current analytic year receptor values
(Step 1) and future year linkages (Step 2) by reflecting reductions
anticipated to occur within the airshed in the relevant timeframe.
Engineering analytics has been a useful tool for Step 3 state-level
emissions reduction estimates in CSAPR rulemaking, because at that step
the EPA is dealing with more geographic granularity (state-level as
opposed to regional air shed), more near-term (as opposed to medium-
term) assessments, and scenarios where reduction estimates are codified
into regulatory requirements. Using the Engineering Analytics tool at
this step ensures that the EPA is not codifying into the base case, and
consequently into state emissions budgets, changes in the power sector
that are merely modeled to occur rather than announced by real-world
actors.
Finally, both in the Revised CSAPR Update and in this rule, the EPA
was able to use the Air Quality Assessment Tool to determine that
regardless of which EGU inventory is used, the 2023 geography of the
program is not impacted. In other words, regardless of whether a
stakeholder takes a more comprehensive view of the EGU future (IPM) or
one limited to current data and known changes (Engineering Analysis),
the states that are linked to receptors at Steps 1 and 2 would be the
same. This finding is consistent with the observation that EGUs are now
less than
[[Page 36700]]
10 percent of the total ozone-season NOX inventory and the
degree of near-term difference between the IPM and Engineering Analytic
regional projections is relatively small on the regional level. The EPA
continues to believe that IPM is best suited for Step 1 and Step 2, and
engineering analytics is best suited for Step 3 efforts in this
rulemaking. The Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD contains
data on 2023 and 2026 AQ impacts of each dataset.
Comment: Some commenters express concern that using IPM for Step 1
and Step 2 captures generation shifting across state lines, which
exceeds the EPA's authority. Moreover, the commenters suggest that the
resulting proposed baseline EGU inventory may understate emissions
levels as it projects economic retirements that are not yet announced
or firm. Other commenters more generally allege that the EPA is using
different modeling tools at different steps in its analysis, and this
introduces confusion or uncertainty into the basis for the EPA's
regulatory conclusions.
Response: The EPA believes the first aspect of this comment, in
regards to its focus on generation shifting, is misguided in several
ways. For Step 1 and Step 2, the EPA models no incremental generation
shifting attributable to the implementation of an emissions control
policy at Step 3. Rather, any generation patterns are merely a
reflection of the model's projection of how regional load requirements
will be met with the generation sources serving that region in the
baseline. The EPA is not modeling any additional generation shifting,
but merely capturing the expected generation dispatch under anticipated
baseline market conditions. Electricity generated in one state
regularly is transmitted across state boundaries and is used to serve
load in other states; IPM is not incentivizing or requiring any
additional generation transfer across state lines in this scenario but
is merely projecting the pattern of this behavior in the future.
Moreover, as noted previously, the EPA affirms its geographic findings
at Step 2 (states contributing over 1 percent of the NAAQS to a
downwind receptor) using historical data (engineering analysis) in a
sensitivity analysis. These historical data reflect the actual
generation patterns observed to meet regional load. Therefore, any
suggestion by the commenter that the EPA's projected view of baseline
grid dispatch is unreasonable, is mooted by the fact that the use of
historical reported generation patterns produces the same result.
Additionally, at the time of the proposal's analysis, the 2023 ozone
season was still nearly two years away. Therefore, it was appropriate
for EPA's modeling to project economic retirements as those
retirements--which are regularly occurring--are often not firm or
announced two years in advance. However, for this final rule, the 2023
analytic year was close enough to the period in which EPA was
conducting its analysis that such retirements would likely be
announced. Therefore, the EPA was able to incorporate those announced
and firm retirements to occur in the 2023 year. Further, in recognition
of this very near timeframe, we deactivated IPM's ability to project
additional economic retirements for the 2023 year (reflecting the
notion that any retirements occurring by 2023 would be known at this
point). This adjustment further accommodates the commenters' concern
that the baseline overstates generation shifting (driven by
retirements) in the near term, and consequently understates emissions
levels. Finally, with respect to comments that the EPA is using
different modeling tools at different steps in the framework, we
previously explained why these techniques are appropriate for the
purposes at each step of the analysis, and they are not incompatible
nor do they produce results so different as to call into question their
reliability or the bases for our regulatory determinations (EPA notes
that the nationwide projected ozone season total NOX
emissions vary by less than 1 percent in the 2023 analytic year).
Nonetheless, we also observe that the effect of using engineering
analytics to inform analysis at Steps 1 and 2 would tend to produce
higher assumed emissions from EGUs in the baseline than IPM would
project in 2026 and beyond and therefore only strengthen and further
affirm the Step 1 and Step 2 geographic findings. EPA's use of
different tools to project EGU scenarios is not inconsistent, but
rather it is carefully explained as a deliberate measure taken to
preserve--not introduce--consistency across each of the Steps in the 4-
step framework. By using IPM at Step 1 and 2, EPA is selecting the more
conservative approach for identifying the degree of nonattainment and
geography of states contributing above 1 percent. By using Engineering
Analytics at Step 3, EPA is selecting the more conservative value to
codify into state-level budgets.
b. Impact of the Inflation Reduction Act on EGU Emissions
The EGU modeling used to construct the EGU emissions inventories
used to inform the modeling projections for 2023 and 2026 was conducted
prior to the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), Public Law
117-169. The EPA did not have time to incorporate updated EGU
projections reflecting the passage of the IRA into the primary air
quality modeling for this final rule. However, the EPA was able to
perform a sensitivity analysis reflecting the IRA in its EGU
NOX emissions inventories. The results from this scenario
were run through AQAT and demonstrated that the status of states
identified as linked at the 1 percent of NAAQS contribution threshold
(based on the modeling and air quality analysis described in this
section) would not change regardless of which inventory (with or
without IRA) is used. This sensitivity analysis is presented in the
Regulatory Impact Analysis accompanying this rule, and that discussion
provides additional detail on the emissions consequences of including
the IRA in a baseline EGU inventory. The air quality impact of
including the IRA in EPA's emissions inventories and in its Step 3
scenarios is discussed in Appendix K of the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD.
The results of this analysis are not surprising and accord with
what is generally understood to be the overall effect of the IRA over
the short to long term. While the IRA is anticipated to have a
potentially dramatic effect on reducing both GHG and conventional
pollutant emissions from the power sector, it is likely to have a more
substantial impact later in the forecast period (i.e., beyond the
attainment deadlines by which the emissions reductions under this final
rule must occur). This timing reflects a realistic assessment of
utilities', regulators', and transmission authorities' planning
requirements associated with the addition of substantial new renewable
and storage capacity to the grid, as well as the time needed to
integrate that capacity and retire existing capacity. Additionally, the
IRA incentives span a longer time period (for example, certain tax
incentives for clean energy sources are available until the later of
2032 or the year in which power sector emissions are 75 percent below
2022 levels) and therefore there is no IRA-related deadline to build
cleaner generation by 2026. Recent analysis by the Congressional Budget
Office supports the finding that the majority of power sector EGU
emissions reductions expected from the IRA occur well after the 2023
and 2026 analytic years relevant to the attainment dates and this
[[Page 36701]]
rulemaking.\146\ While the report focuses on CO2 rather than
NOX, the drivers of the emissions reductions (primarily
increased zero-emitting generation) would generally have a downward
impact on both pollutants.
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\146\ ``Emissions of Carbon Dioxide In the Electric Power
Sector,'' Congressional Budget Office. December 2022. Available at
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/58860.
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We note that important uncertainties remain at this time in the
implementation of the IRA that further counsel against over-assuming
short-term emissions reductions for purposes of this rule. The
legislation provides economic incentives for shifting to cleaner forms
of power generation but does not mandate emissions reductions through
an enforceable regulatory program. The strength of those incentives
will vary to some extent depending on other key market factors (such as
the cost of natural gas or renewable energy technologies). Further,
some incentives, such as tax credits for carbon capture and storage,
could lead EGUs to remain in operation longer, which could in turn
result in greater NOX emissions, if those emissions are not
also well controlled.
Nonetheless, while we find that the passage of the IRA does not
affect the geography of the rule in terms of which states we identify
as linked, the Agency is confident that the incentives toward clean
technology provided in the IRA will, in the longer run beyond the 2015
ozone NAAQS attainment deadlines, facilitate ongoing EGU compliance
with the emissions reduction requirements of this rule and will reduce
costs borne by EGUs and their customers as the U.S. power sector
transitions. As discussed in greater detail in section VI.B of this
document, we have made several adjustments in the final rule to provide
greater flexibility to EGU owners and operators to integrate this
rule's requirements with and facilitate the accelerating transition to
an overall cleaner electricity-generating sector, which the IRA
represents. Despite the uncertainties inherent in the implementation of
the IRA at this time, the EPA also has performed a sensitivity analysis
on the final rule to confirm that our finding of no overcontrol is
robust to a future with the IRA in effect.
3. Development of Emissions Inventories for Stationary Industrial Point
Sources
Non-EGU point source emissions are mostly consistent with those in
the proposal modeling except where they were updated in response to
comments. Several commenters mentioned that point source emissions
carried forward from 2014 NEI were not the best estimates of 2017
emissions. Thus, emissions sources in 2016v2 that had been projected
from the 2014 NEI in the proposal were replaced with emissions based on
the 2017 NEI. Point source emissions submitted to the 2016 NEI or to
the 2016v1 platform development process specifically for the year 2016
were retained in 2016v3. Other 2016 non-EGU updates in 2016v3 include a
few sources being moved to the EGU inventory, the addition of some
control efficiency information for the year 2016, the replacement of
most emissions projected from 2014 NEI with data from 2017 NEI, and the
inclusion of point source data for solvent processes that had not been
included in the 2016v2 non-EGU inventory.
The 2023 and 2026 non-EGU point source emissions were grown from
2016 to those years using factors based on the AEO 2022 and reflect
emissions reductions due to known national and local rules, control
programs, plant closures, consent decrees, and settlements that could
be computed as reductions to specific units by July 2022.
Aircraft emissions and ground support equipment at airports are
represented as point sources and are based on adjustments to emissions
in the January 2021 version of the 2017 NEI. The EPA developed and
applied factors to adjust the 2017 airport emissions to 2016, 2023 and
2026 based on activity growth projected by the Federal Aviation
Administration Terminal Area Forecast 2021 \147\ data, the latest
available version at the time the factors were developed. By basing the
factors on the latest available Terminal Area Forecast that was
released following the most significant pandemic impacts on the
aviation sector, the reduction and rebound impacts of the pandemic on
aircraft and ground support equipment were reflected in the 2023 and
2026 airport emissions.
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\147\ https://www.faa.gov/data_research/aviation/taf/.
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Emissions at rail yards were represented as point sources. The 2016
rail yard emissions are largely consistent with the 2017 NEI rail yard
emissions. The 2016 and 2023 rail yard emissions were developed through
the 2016v1 Inventory Collaborative process, with the 2026 emissions
interpolated between the 2023 and 2028 emissions from 2016v1 rail yard
emissions were interpolated from the 2016 and 2023 emissions. Class I
rail yard emissions were projected based on the AEO freight rail energy
use growth rate projections for 2023, and 2026 with the fleet mix
assumed to be constant throughout the period.
The EPA made multiple updates to point source oil and gas emissions
in response to comments. For the final rule, the point source oil and
gas emissions for 2016 were based on the 2016v2 point inventory except
that most 2014 NEI-based emissions were replaced with 2017 NEI
emissions. Additionally, in response to comments, state-provided
emissions equivalent to those in the 2016v1 platform were used for
Colorado, and some New Mexico emissions were replaced with data
backcast from 2020 to 2016. To develop inventories for 2023 and 2026
for the final rule, the year 2016 oil and gas point source inventories
were first projected to 2021 values based on actual historical
production data, then those 2021 emissions were projected to 2023 and
2026 using regional projection factors based on AEO 2022 projections.
This was an update from the proposal approach that used actual data
only through the year 2019, because 2021 data were not yet available.
NOX and VOC reductions resulting from co-benefits of NSPS
for Stationary Reciprocating Internal Combustion Engines (RICE) are
reflected, along with Natural Gas Turbine and Process Heater NSPS
NOX controls and Oil and Gas NSPS VOC controls. In some
cases, year 2019 point source inventory data were used instead of the
projected future year emissions except for the Western Regional Air
Partnership (WRAP) states of Colorado, New Mexico, Montana, Wyoming,
Utah, North Dakota, and South Dakota. The WRAP future year inventory
\148\ was used in these WRAP states in all future years except in New
Mexico where the WRAP base year emissions were projected using the EIA
historical and AEO forecasted production data. Estimated impacts from
the New Mexico Administrative code 20.2.50 \149\ were also included.
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\148\ https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/WRAP_OGWG_2028_OTB_RevFinalReport_05March2020.pdf.
\149\ https://www.srca.nm.gov/parts/title20/20.002.0050.html.
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4. Development of Emissions Inventories for Onroad Mobile Sources
Onroad mobile sources include exhaust, evaporative, and brake and
tire wear emissions from vehicles that drive on roads, parked vehicles,
and vehicle refueling. Emissions from vehicles using regular gasoline,
high ethanol gasoline, diesel fuel, and electric vehicles were
represented, along with buses that used compressed natural gas. The EPA
[[Page 36702]]
developed the onroad mobile source emissions for states other than
California using the EPA's Motor Vehicle Emissions Simulator (MOVES).
MOVES3 was released in November 2020 and has been followed by some
minor releases that improved the usage of the model but that do not
have substantive impacts on the emissions estimates. For the proposal,
MOVES3 was run using inputs provided by state and local agencies
through the 2017 NEI where available, in combination with nationally
available data sets to develop a complete inventory. Onroad emissions
were developed based on emissions factors output from MOVES3 runs for
the year 2016, coupled with activity data (e.g., vehicle miles traveled
and vehicle populations) representing the year 2016. The 2016 activity
data were provided by some state and local agencies through the 2016v1
process, and the remaining activity data were derived from those used
to develop the 2017 NEI. The onroad emissions were computed within
SMOKE by multiplying emissions factors developed using MOVES with the
appropriate activity data. Prior to computing the final rule emissions,
updates to some onroad inputs were made in response to comments and to
implement corrections. Onroad mobile source emissions for California
were consistent with the updated emissions data provided by the state
for the final rule.
The 2023 and 2026 onroad emissions reflect projected changes to
fuel properties and usage, along with the impact of the rules included
in MOVES3 for each of those years. MOVES emissions factors for the
years 2023 and 2026 were used. A comprehensive list of control programs
included for onroad mobile sources is available in the 2016v3 Emissions
Modeling TSD. Year 2023 and 2026 activity data for onroad mobile
sources were provided by some state and local agencies, and otherwise
were projected to 2023 and 2026 by first projecting the 2016 activity
to year 2019 based on county level vehicle miles traveled (VMT) from
the Federal Highway Administration. Because VMT for onroad mobile
sources were substantially impacted by the pandemic and took about two
years to rebound to pre-pandemic levels, in the 2016v3 platform no
growth in VMT was implemented from 2019 to. The estimated 2021 VMT were
then grown from 2021 to 2023 and 2026 using AEO 2022-based factors.
Recent updates to inspection and maintenance programs in North Carolina
and Tennessee were reflected in the MOVES inputs for the final rule
modeling. The 2023 and 2026 onroad mobile emissions were computed
within SMOKE by multiplying the respective emissions factors developed
using MOVES with the year-specific activity data. Prior to computing
the final rule emissions for 2023, the EPA made updates to some onroad
inputs in response to comments and to implement corrections.
5. Development of Emissions Inventories for Commercial Marine Vessels
The commercial marine vessel (CMV) emissions in the 2016 base case
emissions inventory for this rule were based on those in the 2017 NEI.
Factors were applied to adjust the 2017 NEI emissions backward to
represent emissions for the year 2016. The CMV emissions reflect
reductions associated with the Emissions Control Area proposal to the
International Maritime Organization control strategy (EPA-420-F-10-041,
August 2010); reductions of NOX, VOC, and CO emissions for
new category 3 (C3) engines that went into effect in 2011; and fuel
sulfur limits that went into effect prior to 2016. The cumulative
impacts of these rules through 2023 and 2026 were incorporated into the
projected emissions for CMV sources. The CMV emissions were split into
emissions inventories from the larger C3 engines, and those from the
smaller category 1 and 2 (C1C2) engines. CMV emissions in California
are based on emissions provided by the state. The CMV emissions are
consistent with the emissions for the 2016v1 platform updated CMV
emissions released by February 2020 although they include projected
emissions for the years of 2023 and 2026 instead of 2023 and 2028. In
addition, in response to comments, the EPA implemented an improved
process for spatial allocating CMV emissions along state and county
boundaries.
6. Development of Emissions Inventories for Other Nonroad Mobile
Sources
The EPA developed nonroad mobile source emissions inventories
(other than CMV, locomotive, and aircraft emissions) for 2016, 2023,
and 2026 from monthly, county, and process level emissions output from
MOVES3. Types of nonroad equipment include recreational vehicles,
pleasure craft, and construction, agricultural, mining, and lawn and
garden equipment. State-submitted emissions data for nonroad sources
were used for California. The nonroad emissions for the final rule were
unchanged from those at the proposal. The nonroad mobile emissions
control programs include reductions to locomotives, diesel engines, and
recreational marine engines, along with standards for fuel sulfur
content and evaporative emissions. A comprehensive list of control
programs included for mobile sources is available in the 2016v3
Emissions Modeling TSD.
Line haul locomotives are also considered a type of nonroad mobile
source but the emissions inventories for locomotives were not developed
using MOVES3. Year 2016 locomotive emissions were developed through the
2016v1 collaborative process and the year 2016 emissions are mostly
consistent with those in the 2017 NEI. More information on the
development of the Class I, Class II and III, and commuter rail line
haul locomotive emissions is available in the 2016v3 Emissions Modeling
TSD. The projected locomotive emissions for 2023 and 2026 were
developed by applying factors to the 2016 emissions using activity data
based on AEO freight rail energy use growth rate projections along with
emissions rates adjusted to account for recent historical trends. The
emission factors used for NOX, PM10 and VOC for line haul
locomotives in the analytic years were derived from trend lines based
on historic line-haul emission factors from the period of 2007 through
2017 and extrapolated to 2023 and 2026.
7. Development of Emissions Inventories for Nonpoint Sources
For stationary nonpoint sources, some emissions in the 2016 base
case emissions inventory come directly from the 2017 NEI, others were
adjusted from the 2017 NEI to represent 2016 levels, and the remaining
emissions including those from oil and gas, fertilizer, and solvents
were computed specifically to represent 2016. Stationary nonpoint
sources include evaporative sources, consumer products, fuel combustion
that is not captured by point sources, agricultural livestock,
agricultural fertilizer, residential wood combustion, fugitive dust,
and oil and gas sources. The emissions sources derived from the 2017
NEI include agricultural livestock, fugitive dust, residential wood
combustion, waste disposal (including composting), bulk gasoline
terminals, and miscellaneous non-industrial sources such as cremation,
hospitals, lamp breakage, and automotive repair shops. A recent method
to compute solvent VOC emissions was used.\150\
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\150\ https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-5079-2021.
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Where comments were provided about projected control measures or
[[Page 36703]]
changes in nonpoint source emissions, those inputs were first reviewed
by the EPA. Those found to be based on reasonable data for affected
emissions sources were incorporated into the projected inventories for
2023 and 2026 to the extent possible. Where possible, projection
factors based on the AEO used data from AEO 2022, the most recent AEO
at the time available at the time the inventories were developed.
Federal regulations that impact the nonpoint sources were reflected in
the inventories. Adjustments for state fuel sulfur content rules for
fuel oil in the Northeast were included along with solvent controls
applicable within the ozone transport region. Details are available in
the 2016v3 Emissions Modeling TSD.
Nonpoint oil and gas emissions inventories for many states were
developed based on outputs from the 2017 NEI version of the EPA Oil and
Gas Tool using activity data for year 2016. Production-related
emissions data from the 2017 NEI were used for Oklahoma, 2016v1
emissions were used for Colorado and for Texas production-related
sources to response to comments. Data for production-related nonpoint
oil and gas emissions in the states of Colorado, Montana, New Mexico,
North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah, and Wyoming were obtained from the
WRAP baseline inventory.\151\ A California Air Resources Board-provided
inventory was used for 2016 oil and gas emissions in California.
Nonpoint oil and gas inventories for 2023 and 2026 were developed by
first projecting the 2016 oil and gas inventories to 2021 values based
on actual production data. Next, those 2021 emissions were projected to
2023 and 2026 using regional projection factors by product type based
on AEO 2022 projections. A 2017-2019 average inventory was used for oil
and natural gas exploration emissions in 2023 and 2026 except for
California and in the WRAP states in which data from the WRAP future
year inventory \152\ were used. NOX and VOC reductions that
are co-benefits to the NSPS for RICE are reflected, along with Natural
Gas Turbines and Process Heaters NSPS NOX controls and NSPS
Oil and Gas VOC controls. The WRAP future year inventory was used for
oil and natural gas production sources in 2023 and 2026 except in New
Mexico where the WRAP Base year emissions were projected using the EIA
historical and AEO forecasted production data. Estimated impacts from
the New Mexico Administrative Code 20.2.50 were included.
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\151\ https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/WRAP_OGWG_Report_Baseline_17Sep2019.pdf.
\152\ https://www.wrapair2.org/pdf/WRAP_OGWG_2028_OTB_RevFinalReport_05March2020.pdf.
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D. Air Quality Modeling To Identify Nonattainment and Maintenance
Receptors
In this section, the Agency describes the air quality modeling and
analyses performed in Step 1 to identify locations where the Agency
expects there to be nonattainment or maintenance receptors for the 2015
ozone NAAQS in the 2023 and 2026 analytic years. Where the EPA's
analysis shows that an area or site does not fall under the definition
of a nonattainment or maintenance receptor in these analytic years,
that site is excluded from further analysis under this rule.
In the proposed rule, the EPA applied the same approach used in the
CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update to identify nonattainment and
maintenance receptors for the 2008 ozone NAAQS.\153\ See 86 FR 23078-
79. The EPA's approach gives independent effect to both the
``contribute significantly to nonattainment'' and the ``interfere with
maintenance'' prongs of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), consistent with the
D.C. Circuit's direction in North Carolina.\154\ Further, in its
decision on the remand of the CSAPR from the Supreme Court in the EME
Homer City case, the D.C. Circuit confirmed that EPA's approach to
identifying maintenance receptors in the CSAPR comported with the
court's prior instruction to give independent meaning to the
``interfere with maintenance'' prong in the good neighbor provision.
EME Homer City II, 795 F.3d at 136.
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\153\ See 86 FR 23078-79.
\154\ 531 F.3d at 910-911 (holding that the EPA must give
``independent significance'' to each prong of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)).
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In the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
identified nonattainment receptors as those monitoring sites that are
projected to have average design values that exceed the NAAQS and that
are also measuring nonattainment based on the most recent monitored
design values. This approach is consistent with prior transport
rulemakings, such as the NOX SIP Call and CAIR, where the
EPA defined nonattainment receptors as those areas that both currently
monitor nonattainment and that the EPA projects will be in
nonattainment in the future compliance year.\155\
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\155\ See 63 FR 57375, 57377 (October 27, 1998); 70 FR 25241
(January 14, 2005). See also North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 913-914
(affirming as reasonable EPA's approach to defining nonattainment in
CAIR).
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The Agency explained in the NOX SIP Call and CAIR and
then reaffirmed in the CSAPR Update that the EPA has the most
confidence in our projections of nonattainment for those monitoring
sites that also measure nonattainment for the most recent period of
available ambient data. The EPA separately identified maintenance
receptors as those monitoring sites that would have difficulty
maintaining the relevant NAAQS in a scenario that accounts for
historical variability in air quality at that site. The variability in
air quality was determined by evaluating the ``maximum'' future design
value at each monitoring site based on a projection of the maximum
measured design value over the relevant period. The EPA interprets the
projected maximum future design value to be a potential future air
quality outcome consistent with the meteorology that yielded maximum
measured concentrations in the ambient data set analyzed for that
receptor (i.e., ozone conducive meteorology). The EPA also recognizes
that previously experienced meteorological conditions (e.g., dominant
wind direction, temperatures, and air mass patterns) promoting ozone
formation that led to maximum concentrations in the measured data may
reoccur in the future. The maximum design value gives a reasonable
projection of future air quality at the receptor under a scenario in
which such conditions do, in fact, reoccur.\156\ The projected maximum
design value is used to identify upwind emissions that, under those
circumstances, could interfere with the downwind area's ability to
maintain the NAAQS.
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\156\ The EPA's air quality modeling guidance identifies the use
of the highest of the relevant base period design values as a means
to evaluate future year attainment under meteorological conditions
that are especially conducive to ozone formation. See U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, 2018. Modeling Guidance for
Demonstrating Attainment of Air Quality Goals for Ozone,
PM2.5, and Regional Haze, Research Triangle Park, NC.
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Therefore, applying this methodology in this rule, the EPA assessed
the magnitude of the projected maximum design values for 2023 and 2026
at each monitoring site in relation to the 2015 ozone NAAQS and, where
such a value exceeds the NAAQS, the EPA determined that receptor to be
a ``maintenance'' receptor for purposes of defining interference with
maintenance, consistent with the method used in CSAPR and upheld by the
D.C. Circuit in EME Homer City II.\157\ That is,
[[Page 36704]]
monitoring sites with a maximum design value that exceeds the NAAQS are
projected to have maintenance problems in the future analytic
years.\158\
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\157\ See 795 F.3d at 136.
\158\ The EPA issued a memorandum in October 2018, providing
additional information to states developing interstate transport SIP
submissions for the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS concerning
considerations for identifying downwind areas that may have problems
maintaining the standard at Step 1 of the 4-step interstate
transport framework. See Considerations for Identifying Maintenance
Receptors for Use in Clean Air Act Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
Interstate Transport State Implementation Plan Submissions for the
2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards, October 19, 2018
(``October 2018 memorandum''), available in Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-
2021-0668 or at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/memo-and-supplemental-information-regarding-interstate-transport-sips-2015-ozone-naaqs. EPA is not applying the suggested analytical approaches
in that memorandum in this rule, nor would those approaches be
appropriate in light of currently available data. Potential
alternative approaches would introduce unnecessary and substantial
additional analytical burdens that could frustrate timely and
efficient implementation of good neighbor obligations. In addition,
the information supplied in that memorandum is now outdated due to
several additional years of air quality monitoring data and updated
modeling results. EPA's current approach to defining ``maintenance''
receptors has been upheld and continues to provide an appropriate
approach to addressing the ``interference with maintenance'' prong
of the Good Neighbor provision. See EME Homer City, 795 F.3d 118,
136-37; Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325-26.
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Recognizing that nonattainment receptors are also, by definition,
maintenance receptors, the EPA often uses the term ``maintenance-only''
to refer to receptors that are not also nonattainment receptors.
Consistent with the concepts for maintenance receptors, as described
previously, the EPA identifies ``maintenance-only'' receptors as those
monitoring sites that have projected average design values above the
level of the applicable NAAQS, but that are not currently measuring
nonattainment based on the most recent official design values. In
addition, those monitoring sites with projected average design values
below the NAAQS, but with projected maximum design values above the
NAAQS are also identified as ``maintenance only'' receptors, even if
they are currently measuring nonattainment based on the most recent
official design values.\159\
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\159\ See https://www.epa.gov/air-trends/air-quality-design-values for design value reports. At the time of this action, the
most recent reports available are for the calendar year 2021.
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Comment: The EPA received comments claiming that the projected
design values for 2023 were biased low compared to recent measured
data. Commenters noted that a number of monitoring sites that are
projected to be below the NAAQS in 2023 based on the EPA's modeling for
the proposed action are currently measuring nonattainment based on data
from 2020 and 2021. One commenter requested that the EPA determine
whether its past modeling tends to overestimate or underestimated
actual observed design values. If EPA finds that the agency's model
tends to underestimate future year design values, the commenter
requests that EPA re-run its ozone modeling, incorporating parameters
that account for this tendency.
Response: In response to comments, the EPA compared the projected
2023 design values based on the proposal modeling to recent trends in
measured data. As a result of this analysis, the EPA agrees that
current data indicate that there are monitoring sites at risk of
continued nonattainment in 2023 even though the model projected average
and maximum design values at these sites are below the NAAQS (i.e.,
sites that are not modeling-based receptors). It would not be
reasonable to ignore recent measured ozone levels in many areas that
are clearly not fully consistent with certain concentrations in the
Step 1 analysis for 2023. Therefore, the EPA has also developed an
additional maintenance-only receptor category, which includes what we
refer to as ``violating monitor'' receptors, based on current ozone
concentrations measured by regulatory ambient air quality monitoring
sites.
Specifically, the EPA has identified monitoring sites with measured
2021 and preliminary 2022 design values and 4th high maximum daily 8-
hour average (MDA8) ozone in both 2021 and 2022 (preliminary data) that
exceed the NAAQS, although projected to be in attainment in 2023, as
having the greatest risk of continuing to have a problem attaining the
standard in 2023. These criteria sufficiently consider measured air
quality data so as to avoid including monitoring sites that have
measured nonattainment data in recent years but could reasonably be
anticipated to not have a nonattainment or maintenance problem in 2023,
in line with our modeling results. Our methodology is intended only to
identify those sites that have sufficiently poor ozone levels that
there is clearly a reasonable expectation that an ozone nonattainment
or maintenance problem will persist in the 2023 ozone season. Moreover,
2023 is so near in time that recent measured ozone levels can be used
to reasonably project whether an air quality problem is likely to
persist. We view this approach to identifying additional receptors in
2023 as the best means of responding to the comments on this issue in
this action, while also identifying all transport receptors.
For purposes of this action, we treat these violating monitors as
an additional type of maintenance-only receptor. Because our modeling
did not identify these sites as receptors, we do not believe it is
sufficiently certain that these sites will be in nonattainment such
that they should be considered nonattainment receptors. Rather, our
authority for treating these sites as receptors in 2023 flows from the
responsibility in CAA section 110(a)(2)(i)(I) to prohibit emissions
that interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS. See, e.g., North
Carolina, 531 F.3d at 910-11 (failing to give effect to the interfere
with maintenance clause ``provides no protection for downwind areas
that, despite EPA's predictions, still find themselves struggling to
meet NAAQS due to upwind interference . . . .'') (emphasis added).
Recognizing that no modeling can perfectly forecast the future, and ``a
degree of imprecision is inevitable in tackling the problem of
interstate air pollution,'' this approach in the Agency's judgement
best balances the need to avoid both ``under-control'' and
``overcontrol,'' EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 523.
We acknowledge that the traditional modeling plus monitoring
methodology we used at proposal and in prior ozone transport rules
would otherwise have identified such sites as being in attainment in
2023. Despite the implications of the current measured data suggesting
there will be a nonattainment problem at these sites in 2023, we cannot
definitively establish that such sites will be in nonattainment in 2023
in light of our modeling projections. In the face of this uncertainty,
we regard our ability to consider such sites as receptors for purposes
of good neighbor analysis under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to be a
function of the requirement to prohibit emissions that interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS; even if an area may be technically in
attainment, we have reliable information indicating that there is an
identified risk that attainment will not in fact be achieved.
[[Page 36705]]
However, because we did not identify this basis for receptor-
identification at proposal, in this final action we are only using this
receptor category on a confirmatory basis. That is, for states that we
find linked based on our traditional modeling-based methodology in
2023, we find in this final analysis that the linkage at Step 2 is
strengthened and confirmed if that state is also linked to one or more
``violating monitor'' receptors. If a state is only linked to a
violating-monitor receptor in this final analysis, we are deferring
taking final action on that state's SIP submittal. This is the case for
the State of Tennessee. Among the states that previously had their
transport SIPs fully approved for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA has
also identified a linkage to violating-monitor receptors for the State
of Kansas. The EPA intends to further review its air quality modeling
results and recent measured ozone levels, and we intend to address
these states' good neighbor obligations as expeditiously as practicable
in a future action.
E. Methodology for Projecting Future Year Ozone Design Values
Consistent with the EPA's modeling guidance, the 2016 base year and
future year air quality modeling results were used in a relative sense
to project design values for 2023 and 2026. That is, the ratios of
future year model predictions to base year model predictions are used
to adjust ambient ozone design values \160\ up or down depending on the
relative (percent) change in model predictions for each location. The
modeling guidance recommends using measured ozone concentrations for
the 5-year period centered on the base year as the air quality data
starting point for future year projections. This average design value
is used to dampen the effects of inter-annual variability in
meteorology on ozone concentrations and to provide a reasonable
projection of future air quality at the receptor under average
conditions. In addition, the Agency calculated maximum design values
from within the 5-year base period to represent conditions when
meteorology is more favorable than average for ozone formation. Because
the base year for the air quality modeling used in this final rule is
2016, measured data for 2014-2018 (i.e., design values for 2016, 2017,
and 2018) were used to project average and maximum design values in
2023 and 2026.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\160\ The ozone design value at a particular monitoring site is
the 3-year average of the annual 4th highest daily maximum 8-hour
ozone concentration at that site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The ozone predictions from the 2016 and future year air quality
model simulations were used to project 2016-2018 average and maximum
ozone design values to 2023 and 2026 using an approach similar to the
approach in EPA's guidance for attainment demonstration modeling. This
guidance recommends using model predictions from the 3 x 3 array of
grid cells \161\ surrounding the location of the monitoring site to
calculate a Relative Response Factor (RRF) for that site.\162\ However,
the guidance also notes that an alternative array of grid cells may be
used in certain situations where local topographic or geographical
feature (e.g., a large water body or a significant elevation change)
may influence model response.
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\161\ As noted in this section, each model grid cell is 12 x 12
km.
\162\ The relative response factor represents the change in
ozone at a given site. To calculate the RRF, the EPA's modeling
guidance recommends selecting the 10 highest ozone days in an ozone
season at a given monitor in the base year, noting which of the grid
cells surrounding the monitor experienced the highest ozone
concentrations in the base year, and averaging those ten highest
concentrations. The model is then run using the projected year
emissions, in this case 2023, with all other model variables held
constant. Ozone concentrations from the same ten days, in the same
grid cells, are then averaged. The fractional change between the
base year (2016 model run) average ozone concentration and the
future year (e.g., 2023 model run) average ozone concentration
represents the relative response factor.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The 2016-2018 base period average and maximum design values were
multiplied by the RRF to project each of these design values to each of
the three future years. In this manner, the projected design values are
grounded in monitored data, and not the absolute model-predicted future
year concentrations. Following the approach in the CSAPR Update and the
Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA also projected future year design values
based on a modified version of the ``3 x 3'' approach for those
monitoring sites located in coastal areas. In this alternative
approach, the EPA eliminated from the RRF calculations the modeling
data in those grid cells that are dominated by water (i.e., more than
50 percent of the area in the grid cell is water) and that do not
contain a monitoring site (i.e., if a grid cell is more than 50 percent
water but contains an air quality monitor, that cell would remain in
the calculation). The choice of more than 50 percent of the grid cell
area as water as the criteria for identifying overwater grid cells is
based on the treatment of land use in the Weather Research and
Forecasting model (WRF).\163\ Specifically, in the WRF meteorological
model those grid cells that are greater than 50 percent overwater are
treated as being 100 percent overwater. In such cases the
meteorological conditions in the entire grid cell reflect the vertical
mixing and winds over water, even if part of the grid cell also happens
to be over land with land-based emissions, as can often be the case for
coastal areas. Overlaying land-based emissions with overwater
meteorology may be representative of conditions at coastal monitors
during times of on-shore flow associated with synoptic conditions or
sea-breeze or lake-breeze wind flows. But there may be other times,
particularly with off-shore wind flow, when vertical mixing of land-
based emissions may be too limited due to the presence of overwater
meteorology. Thus, for our modeling the EPA projected average and
maximum design values at individual monitoring sites based on both the
``3 x 3'' approach as well as the alternative approach that eliminates
overwater cells in the RRF calculation for near-coastal areas (i.e.,
``no water'' approach). The projected 2023 and 2026 design values using
both the ``3 x 3'' and ``no-water'' approaches are provided in the
docket for this final rule. For this final rule, the EPA is relying
upon design values based on the ``no water'' approach for identifying
nonattainment and maintenance receptors.\164\
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\163\ https://www.mmm.ucar.edu/weather-research-and-forecasting-model.
\164\ Using design values from the ``3 x 3'' approach, the
maintenance-only receptor at site 550590019 in Kenosha County, WI
would become a nonattainment receptor because the average design
value with the ``3 x 3'' approach is 72.0 ppb versus 70.8 ppb with
the ``no water'' approach. In addition, the maintenance-only
receptor at site 090099002 in New Haven County, CT would become a
nonattainment receptor using the ``3 x 3'' approach because the
average design value with the ``3 x 3'' approach is 71.2 ppb versus
70.5 ppb with the ``no water'' approach.
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Consistent with the truncation and rounding procedures for the 8-
hour ozone NAAQS, the projected design values are truncated to integers
in units of ppb.\165\ Therefore, projected design values that are
greater than or equal to 71 ppb are considered to be violating the 2015
ozone NAAQS. For those sites that are projected to be violating the
NAAQS based on the average design values in the future analytic years,
the Agency examined the measured design values for 2021, which are the
most recent official measured design values at the time of this final
rule. As noted earlier, the Agency is identifying nonattainment
receptors in this rulemaking as those sites that are violating the
NAAQS based on current
[[Page 36706]]
measured air quality and also have projected average design values of
71 ppb or greater. Maintenance-only receptors include both (1) those
sites with projected average design values above the NAAQS that are
currently measuring clean data (i.e., ozone design values below the
level of the 2015 ozone NAAQS) and (2) those sites with projected
average design values below the level of the NAAQS, but with projected
maximum design values of 71 ppb or greater. In addition to the
maintenance-only receptors, ozone nonattainment receptors are also
maintenance receptors because the maximum design values for each of
these sites is always greater than or equal to the average design
value. The monitoring sites that the Agency projects to be
nonattainment and maintenance receptors for the ozone NAAQS in the 2023
and 2026 base case are used for assessing the contribution of emissions
in upwind states to downwind nonattainment and maintenance of the 2015
ozone NAAQS as part of this final rule.\166\
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\165\ 40 CFR part 50, appendix P--Interpretation of the Primary
and Secondary National Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ozone.
\166\ In addition, there are 71 monitoring sites in California
with projected 2023 maximum design values above the NAAQS. With two
exceptions, as described in section IV.F of this document, the
Agency is not making a determination in this action that these
monitors are ozone transport receptors. The two exceptions are the
two monitoring sites that represent air quality impacts to lands of
the Morongo and Pechanga tribes. As explained in footnote 110 supra,
we treat these as transport receptors that are impacted by emissions
from California.
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Table IV.D-1 contains the 2016-centered \167\ base period average
and maximum 8-hour ozone design values, the 2023 base case average and
maximum design values and the measured 2021 design values for the sites
that are projected to be nonattainment receptors in 2023. Table IV.D-2
contains this same information for monitoring sites that are projected
to be maintenance-only receptors in 2023. The design values for all
monitoring sites in the U.S. are provided in the docket for this rule.
Additional details on the approach for projecting average and maximum
design values are provided in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\167\ 2016-centered averaged design values represent the average
of the design values for 2016, 2017, and 2018. Similarly, the
maximum 2016-centered design value is the highest measured design
value from these three design value periods.
Table IV.D-1--Average and Maximum 2016-Centered and 2023 Base Case 8-Hour Ozone Design Values and 2021 Design Values (ppb) at Projected Nonattainment
Receptors
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2016 2016
Monitor ID State County Centered Centered 2023 2023 2021
average maximum Average Maximum
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
060650016............................... CA Riverside................. 79.0 80.0 72.2 73.1 78
060651016............................... CA Riverside................. 99.7 101.0 91.0 92.2 95
080350004............................... CO Douglas................... 77.3 78 71.3 71.9 83
080590006............................... CO Jefferson................. 77.3 78 72.8 73.5 81
080590011............................... CO Jefferson................. 79.3 80 73.5 74.1 83
090010017............................... CT Fairfield................. 79.3 80 71.6 72.2 79
090013007............................... CT Fairfield................. 82.0 83 72.9 73.8 81
090019003............................... CT Fairfield................. 82.7 83 73.3 73.6 80
481671034............................... TX Galveston................. 75.7 77 71.5 72.8 72
482010024............................... TX Harris.................... 79.3 81 75.1 76.7 74
490110004............................... UT Davis..................... 75.7 78 72.0 74.2 78
490353006............................... UT Salt Lake................. 76.3 78 72.6 74.2 76
490353013............................... UT Salt Lake................. 76.5 77 73.3 73.8 76
551170006............................... WI Sheboygan................. 80.0 81 72.7 73.6 72
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table IV.D-2--Average and Maximum 2016-Centered and 2023 Base Case 8-Hour Ozone Design Values and 2021 Design Values (ppb) at Projected Maintenance-Only
Receptors
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2016 2016
Monitor ID State County Centered Centered 2023 2023 2021
average maximum Average Maximum
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
040278011............................... AZ Yuma...................... 72.3 74 70.4 72.1 67
080690011............................... CO Larimer................... 75.7 77 70.9 72.1 77
090099002............................... CT New Haven................. 79.7 82 70.5 72.6 82
170310001............................... IL Cook...................... 73.0 77 68.2 71.9 71
170314201............................... IL Cook...................... 73.3 77 68.0 71.5 74
170317002............................... IL Cook...................... 74.0 77 68.5 71.3 73
350130021............................... NM Dona Ana.................. 72.7 74 70.8 72.1 80
350130022............................... NM Dona Ana.................. 71.3 74 69.7 72.4 75
350151005............................... NM Eddy...................... 69.7 74 69.7 74.1 77
350250008............................... NM Lea....................... 67.7 70 69.8 72.2 66
480391004............................... TX Brazoria.................. 74.7 77 70.4 72.5 75
481210034............................... TX Denton.................... 78.0 80 69.8 71.6 74
481410037............................... TX El Paso................... 71.3 73 69.8 71.4 75
482010055............................... TX Harris.................... 76.0 77 70.9 71.9 77
482011034............................... TX Harris.................... 73.7 75 70.1 71.3 71
482011035............................... TX Harris.................... 71.3 75 67.8 71.3 71
530330023............................... WA King...................... 73.3 77 67.6 71.0 64
550590019............................... WI Kenosha................... 78.0 79 70.8 71.7 74
551010020............................... WI Racine.................... 76.0 78 69.7 71.5 73
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 36707]]
In total, in the 2023 base case there are a total of 33 projected
modeling-based receptors nationwide including 14 nonattainment
receptors in 9 different counties and 19 maintenance-only receptors in
13 additional counties (Harris County, TX, has both nonattainment and
maintenance-only receptors).\168\ Of the 14 nonattainment receptors in
2023, 7 remain nonattainment receptors, 5 are projected to become
maintenance-only receptors and 2 are projected to be in attainment in
2026. Of the 19 maintenance-only receptors in 2023, 7 are projected to
remain maintenance-only receptors and 12 are projected to be in
attainment in 2026. The projected average and maximum design values in
2026 for all receptors are included in the Air Quality Modeling Final
Rule TSD.
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\168\ The EPA's modeling also projects that three monitoring
sites in the Uintah Basin (i.e., monitor 490472003 in Uintah County,
Utah, and monitors 490130002 and 490137011 in Duchesne County, Utah)
will have average design values above the NAAQS in 2023. However, as
noted in the proposed rule, the Uinta Basin nonattainment area was
designated as nonattainment for the 2015 ozone NAAQS not because of
an ongoing problem with summertime ozone (as is usually the case in
other parts of the country), but instead because it violates the
ozone NAAQS in winter. The main causes of the Uinta Basin's
wintertime ozone are sources located at low elevations within the
Basin, the Basin's unique topography, and the influence of the
wintertime meteorologic inversions that keep ozone and ozone
precursors near the Basin floor and restrict air flow in the Basin.
Because of the localized nature of the ozone problem at these sites
the EPA has not identified these three monitors as receptors in Step
1 of this final rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: EPA received comments saying that the projected design
values for 2023 were biased low compared to recent measured data.
Commenters noted that a number of monitoring sites that are projected
to be below the NAAQS in 2023 based on EPA's modeling for the proposed
rule are currently measuring nonattainment. Because 2023 is only a year
later than the most recent measured data some commenters said that EPA
should give greater weight to measured data when identifying downwind
receptors.
Response: Based on an analysis of model projections for 2023 and
recent trends in measured data, the EPA agrees that current data
indicate that there are monitoring sites at risk of continued
nonattainment in 2023 even though the model projected average and
maximum design values at these sites are below the NAAQS (i.e., sites
that are not modeling-based receptors).\169\ Specifically, the EPA
believes that monitoring sites with measured design values and 4th high
maximum daily 8-hour average (MDA8) ozone based on 2021 and preliminary
2022 data have the greatest risk of continuing to have a problem
attaining the standard in 2023, even when the modeling projects these
sites will attain. These criteria are sufficiently conservative that we
avoid including monitoring sites that have measured nonattainment data
in recent years but could reasonably be anticipated to not have a
nonattainment or maintenance problem in 2023, in line with our modeling
results. Our methodology is intended only to identify those sites that
have sufficiently poor ozone levels that there is clearly a reasonable
expectation that an ozone nonattainment or maintenance problem will
persist in the 2023 ozone season. We do not apply this methodology for
the 2026 analytic year, because that year is sufficiently farther in
the future that we do not believe there would be a reasonable basis to
supplement our modeling analysis with this ``violating monitor''
methodology. By comparison, 2023 is so near in time that recent
measured ozone levels can be used reasonably to project whether an air
quality problem is likely to persist. We view this approach to
identifying additional receptors in 2023 as the best means of
responding to the comments on this issue in this action. The monitoring
sites that meet these criteria, along with the corresponding measured
and modeled data, are provided in Table IV.D-3.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\169\ In addition, we note that comparing the projected 2023
maximum design values at modeling-based receptors listed in Table
IV.D-1 and Table IV.D-2 to the 2021 design values measured at these
sites indicates that the projected maximum values are lower than the
measured data at most receptors. These differences are particularly
evident at receptors in coastal Connecticut and in Denver. (See Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD for details).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For purposes of this action, we will treat these sites as an
additional type of maintenance-only receptor. Because our modeling did
not identify these sites as receptors, we do not believe it is
sufficiently certain that these sites will be in nonattainment that
they should be considered nonattainment receptors for purposes of this
final rule. Rather, our authority for treating these sites as receptors
in 2023 flows from the responsibility in CAA section 110(a)(2)(i)(I) to
prohibit emissions that interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS. See,
e.g., North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 910-11 (failing to give effect to the
interfere with maintenance clause ``provides no protection for downwind
areas that, despite EPA's predictions, still find themselves struggling
to meet NAAQS due to upwind interference . . . .'') (emphasis added).
Recognizing that no modeling can perfectly forecast the future, and ``a
degree of imprecision is inevitable in tackling the problem of
interstate air pollution,'' this approach in the Agency's judgement
best balances the need to avoid both ``under-control'' and
``overcontrol,'' EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 523.
In this action, we identify ``violating monitor'' maintenance-only
receptors for purposes of more firmly establishing that the states we
have otherwise identified as linked at Step 2 in our modeling-based
methodology can indeed be reasonably anticipated to be linked to air
quality problems in downwind states in 2023 for reasons that extend
beyond that methodology. In this sense, this approach is
``confirmatory'' and does not alter the geography of the final rule
compared to the application of the modeling-based receptor definitions
used at proposal. Rather, it strengthens the analytical basis for our
Step 2 findings by establishing that many upwind states covered in this
action are also projected to contribute above 1 percent of the NAAQS to
these types of receptors. For purposes of this final rule, we will not
finalize FIPs for any states that this analysis indicates contribute
greater than 1 percent of the NAAQS only to a ``violating monitor''
receptor. Our analysis suggests this would be the case for two states,
Kansas and Tennessee (see section IV.F of this document).\170\ We are
making no final decisions with respect to these states in this action
and intend to address these states in a subsequent action.
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\170\ We have not conducted an analysis in this action to
determine whether violating-monitor receptors may exist in
California.
Table IV.D-3--Average and Maximum 2023 Base Case 8-Hour Ozone, and 2021 and Preliminary 2022 Design Values (ppb) and 4th High Concentrations at
Violating Monitors
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2023 2023 2021 4th 2022 P 4th
Monitor ID State County Average Maximum 2021 2022 P * high high
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40070010............................. AZ Gila................... 67.9 69.5 77 76 75 74
[[Page 36708]]
40130019............................. AZ Maricopa............... 69.8 70.0 75 77 78 76
40131003............................. AZ Maricopa............... 70.1 70.7 80 80 83 78
40131004............................. AZ Maricopa............... 70.2 70.8 80 81 81 77
40131010............................. AZ Maricopa............... 68.3 69.2 79 80 80 78
40132001............................. AZ Maricopa............... 63.8 64.1 74 78 79 81
40132005............................. AZ Maricopa............... 69.6 70.5 78 79 79 77
40133002............................. AZ Maricopa............... 65.8 65.8 75 75 81 72
40134004............................. AZ Maricopa............... 65.7 66.6 73 73 73 71
40134005............................. AZ Maricopa............... 62.3 62.3 73 75 79 73
40134008............................. AZ Maricopa............... 65.6 66.5 74 74 74 71
40134010............................. AZ Maricopa............... 63.8 66.9 74 76 77 75
40137020............................. AZ Maricopa............... 67.0 67.0 76 77 77 75
40137021............................. AZ Maricopa............... 69.8 70.1 77 77 78 75
40137022............................. AZ Maricopa............... 68.2 69.1 76 78 76 79
40137024............................. AZ Maricopa............... 67.0 67.9 74 76 74 77
40139702............................. AZ Maricopa............... 66.9 68.1 75 77 72 77
40139704............................. AZ Maricopa............... 65.3 66.2 74 77 76 76
40139997............................. AZ Maricopa............... 70.5 70.5 76 79 82 76
40218001............................. AZ Pinal.................. 67.8 69.0 75 76 73 77
80013001............................. CO Adams.................. 63.0 63.0 72 77 79 75
80050002............................. CO Arapahoe............... 68.0 68.0 80 80 84 73
80310002............................. CO Denver................. 63.6 64.8 72 74 77 71
80310026............................. CO Denver................. 64.5 64.8 75 77 83 72
90079007............................. CT Middlesex.............. 68.7 69.0 74 73 78 73
90110124............................. CT New London............. 65.5 67.0 73 72 75 71
170310032............................ IL Cook................... 67.3 69.8 75 75 77 72
170311601............................ IL Cook................... 63.8 64.5 72 73 72 71
181270024............................ IN Porter................. 63.4 64.6 72 73 72 73
260050003............................ MI Allegan................ 66.2 67.4 75 75 78 73
261210039............................ MI Muskegon............... 67.5 68.4 74 79 75 82
320030043............................ NV Clark.................. 68.4 69.4 73 75 74 74
350011012............................ NM Bernalillo............. 63.8 66.0 72 73 76 74
350130008............................ NM Dona Ana............... 65.6 66.3 72 76 79 78
361030002............................ NY Suffolk................ 66.2 68.0 73 74 79 74
390850003............................ OH Lake................... 64.3 64.6 72 74 72 76
480290052............................ TX Bexar.................. 67.1 67.8 73 74 78 72
480850005............................ TX Collin................. 65.4 66.0 75 74 81 73
481130075............................ TX Dallas................. 65.3 66.5 71 71 73 72
481211032............................ TX Denton................. 65.9 67.7 76 77 85 77
482010051............................ TX Harris................. 65.3 66.3 74 73 83 72
482010416............................ TX Harris................. 68.8 70.4 73 73 78 71
484390075............................ TX Tarrant................ 63.8 64.7 75 76 76 77
484391002............................ TX Tarrant................ 64.1 65.7 72 77 76 80
484392003............................ TX Tarrant................ 65.2 65.9 72 72 74 72
484393009............................ TX Tarrant................ 67.5 68.1 74 75 75 75
490571003............................ UT Weber.................. 69.3 70.3 71 74 77 71
550590025............................ WI Kenosha................ 67.6 70.7 72 73 72 71
550890008............................ WI Ozaukee................ 65.2 65.8 71 72 72 72
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* 2022 preliminary design values are based on 2022 measured MDA8 concentrations provided by state air agencies to the EPA's Air Quality System (AQS), as
of January 3, 2023.
F. Pollutant Transport From Upwind States
1. Air Quality Modeling To Quantify Upwind State Contributions
This section documents the procedures the EPA used to quantify the
impact of emissions from specific upwind states on ozone design values
in 2023 and 2026 for the identified downwind nonattainment and
maintenance receptors. The EPA used CAMx photochemical source
apportionment modeling to quantify the impact of emissions in specific
upwind states on downwind nonattainment and maintenance receptors for
8-hour ozone. CAMx employs enhanced source apportionment techniques
that track the formation and transport of ozone from specific emissions
sources and calculates the contribution of sources and precursors to
ozone for individual receptor locations. The benefit of the
photochemical model source apportionment technique is that all modeled
ozone at a given receptor location in the modeling domain is tracked
back to specific sources of emissions and boundary conditions to fully
characterize culpable sources.
The EPA performed nationwide, state-level ozone source
apportionment modeling using the CAMx Ozone Source Apportionment
Technology/Anthropogenic Precursor Culpability Analysis (OSAT/APCA)
technique \171\ to quantify the contribution of 2023 and 2026 base case
NOX and VOC emissions from all sources in each state to the
[[Page 36709]]
corresponding projected ozone design values in 2023 and 2026 at air
quality monitoring sites. The CAMx OSAT/APCA model run was performed
for the period May 1 through September 30 using the projected future
base case emissions and 2016 meteorology for this time period. In the
source apportionment modeling the Agency tracked (i.e., tagged) the
amount of ozone formed from anthropogenic emissions in each state
individually as well as the contributions from other sources (e.g.,
natural emissions).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\171\ As part of this technique, ozone formed from reactions
between biogenic VOC and NOX with anthropogenic
NOX and VOC are assigned to the anthropogenic emissions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the state-by-state source apportionment model runs, the EPA
tracked the ozone formed from each of the following tags:
States--anthropogenic NOX and VOC emissions
from each state tracked individually (emissions from all anthropogenic
sectors in a given state were combined);
Biogenics--biogenic NOX and VOC emissions
domain-wide (i.e., not by state);
Boundary Concentrations--concentrations transported into
the air quality modeling domain;
Tribes--the emissions from those tribal lands for which
the Agency has point source inventory data in the 2016v3 emissions
modeling platform (EPA did not model the contributions from individual
tribes);
Canada and Mexico--anthropogenic emissions from sources in
the portions of Canada and Mexico included in the modeling domain (the
EPA did not model the contributions from Canada and Mexico separately);
Fires--combined emissions from wild and prescribed fires
domain-wide (i.e., not by state); and
Offshore--combined emissions from offshore marine vessels
and offshore drilling platforms.
The contribution modeling provided contributions to ozone from
anthropogenic NOX and VOC emissions in each state,
individually. The contributions to ozone from chemical reactions
between biogenic NOX and VOC emissions were modeled and
assigned to the ``biogenic'' category. The contributions from wildfire
and prescribed fire NOX and VOC emissions were modeled and
assigned to the ``fires'' category. That is, the contributions from the
``biogenic'' and ``fires'' categories are not assigned to individual
states nor are they included in the state contributions.
For the Step 2 analysis, the EPA calculated a contribution metric
that considers the average contribution on the 10 highest ozone
concentration days (i.e., top 10 days) in 2023. This average
contribution metric is intended to provide a reasonable representation
of the contribution from individual states to projected future year
design values, based on modeled transport patterns and other
meteorological conditions generally associated with modeled high ozone
concentrations at the receptor. An average contribution metric
constructed in this manner is beneficial since the magnitude of the
contributions is directly related to the magnitude of the design value
at each site.
The analytic steps for calculating the contribution metric for the
2023 analytic year are as follows:
(1) Calculate the 8-hour average contribution from each source tag
to each monitoring site for the time period of the 8-hour daily maximum
modeled concentrations in 2023;
(2) Average the contributions and average the concentrations for
the top 10 modeled ozone concentration days in 2023;
(3) Divide the average contribution by the corresponding average
concentration to obtain a Relative Contribution Factor (RCF) for each
monitoring site;
(4) Multiply the 2023 average design values by the 2023 RCF at each
site to produce the average contribution metric values in 2023.\172\
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\172\ Note that a contribution metric value was not calculated
for any receptor at which there were fewer than 5 days with model-
predicted MDA8 ozone concentrations greater than or equal to 60 ppb
in 2023. The monitoring site in Seattle, King County, Washington
(530330023), was the only receptor which did not meet this
criterion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
This same approach was applied to calculate contribution metric
values at individual monitoring sites for 2026.\173\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\173\ To provide consistency in the contributions for 2023 and
2026, the contribution metric values for 2026 are based on the 2026
daily contributions for the same days that were used to calculate
the contribution metric values for 2023.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The resulting contributions from each tag to each monitoring site
in the U.S. for 2023 and 2026 can be found in the docket for this final
rule. Additional details on the source apportionment modeling and the
procedures for calculating contributions can be found in the Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD. The EPA's response to comments on the
method for calculating the contribution metric can be found in the RTC
document for this final rule.
The largest contribution from each state that is the subject of
this rule to modeled 8-hour ozone nonattainment and maintenance
receptors in downwind states in 2023 and 2026 are provided in Table
IV.F-1 and Table IV.F-2, respectively. The largest contribution from
each state to a ``violating monitor'' maintenance-only receptor is
provided in Table IV.F-3.
Table IV.F-1--Largest Contribution to Downwind 8-Hour Ozone
Nonattainment and Maintenance Receptors in 2023
[ppb]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Largest Largest
contribution to contribution to
Upwind state downwind downwind
nonattainment maintenance-only
receptors receptors
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama......................... 0.75 0.65
Arizona......................... 0.54 1.69
Arkansas........................ 0.94 1.21
California...................... 35.27 6.31
Colorado........................ 0.14 0.18
Connecticut..................... 0.01 0.01
Delaware........................ 0.44 0.56
District of Columbia............ 0.03 0.04
Florida......................... 0.50 0.54
Georgia......................... 0.18 0.17
Idaho........................... 0.42 0.41
Illinois........................ 13.89 19.09
[[Page 36710]]
Indiana......................... 8.90 10.03
Iowa............................ 0.67 0.90
Kansas.......................... 0.46 0.52
Kentucky........................ 0.84 0.79
Louisiana....................... 9.51 5.62
Maine........................... 0.02 0.01
Maryland........................ 1.13 1.28
Massachusetts................... 0.33 0.15
Michigan........................ 1.59 1.56
Minnesota....................... 0.36 0.85
Mississippi..................... 1.32 0.91
Missouri........................ 1.87 1.39
Montana......................... 0.08 0.10
Nebraska........................ 0.20 0.36
Nevada.......................... 1.11 1.13
New Hampshire................... 0.10 0.02
New Jersey...................... 8.38 5.79
New Mexico...................... 0.36 1.59
New York........................ 16.10 11.29
North Carolina.................. 0.45 0.66
North Dakota.................... 0.18 0.45
Ohio............................ 2.05 1.98
Oklahoma........................ 0.79 1.01
Oregon *........................ 0.46 0.31
Pennsylvania.................... 6.00 4.36
Rhode Island.................... 0.04 0.01
South Carolina.................. 0.16 0.18
South Dakota.................... 0.05 0.08
Tennessee....................... 0.60 0.68
Texas........................... 1.03 4.74
Utah............................ 1.29 0.98
Vermont......................... 0.02 0.01
Virginia........................ 1.16 1.76
Washington...................... 0.16 0.09
West Virginia................... 1.37 1.49
Wisconsin....................... 0.21 2.86
Wyoming......................... 0.68 0.67
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table IV.F-2--Largest Contribution to Downwind 8-Hour Ozone
Nonattainment and Maintenance Receptors in 2026
[ppb]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Largest Largest
contribution to contribution to
Upwind state downwind downwind
nonattainment maintenance-only
receptors receptors
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama......................... 0.20 0.69
Arizona......................... 0.44 1.34
Arkansas........................ 0.53 1.16
California...................... 34.03 6.16
Colorado........................ 0.04 0.17
Connecticut..................... 0.00 0.01
Delaware........................ 0.43 0.41
District of Columbia............ 0.03 0.02
Florida......................... 0.46 0.17
Georgia......................... 0.13 0.16
Idaho........................... 0.27 0.36
Illinois........................ 0.63 13.57
Indiana......................... 1.06 8.53
Iowa............................ 0.14 0.62
Kansas.......................... 0.14 0.42
Kentucky........................ 0.79 0.76
Louisiana....................... 4.57 9.37
[[Page 36711]]
Maine........................... 0.00 0.01
Maryland........................ 1.06 0.92
Massachusetts................... 0.06 0.31
Michigan........................ 1.39 1.47
Minnesota....................... 0.15 0.32
Mississippi..................... 0.29 1.15
Missouri........................ 0.29 1.68
Montana......................... 0.06 0.07
Nebraska........................ 0.09 0.19
Nevada.......................... 0.67 0.90
New Hampshire................... 0.01 0.09
New Jersey...................... 8.10 7.04
New Mexico...................... 0.35 0.46
New York........................ 12.65 12.34
North Carolina.................. 0.40 0.42
North Dakota.................... 0.09 0.17
Ohio............................ 1.95 1.93
Oklahoma........................ 0.19 0.74
Oregon *........................ 0.26 0.41
Pennsylvania.................... 5.47 4.94
Rhode Island.................... 0.00 0.03
South Carolina.................. 0.14 0.15
South Dakota.................... 0.03 0.04
Tennessee....................... 0.24 0.54
Texas........................... 0.48 4.34
Utah............................ 1.05 0.81
Vermont......................... 0.01 0.02
Virginia........................ 1.09 1.10
Washington...................... 0.10 0.14
West Virginia................... 1.36 1.34
Wisconsin....................... 0.17 0.18
Wyoming......................... 0.40 0.59
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table IV.F-3--Largest Contribution to Downwind 8-Hour Ozone ``Violating
Monitor'' Maintenance-Only Receptors
[ppb]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Largest contribution
to downwind
Upwind state violating monitor
maintenance-only
receptors
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama........................................... 0.79
Arizona........................................... 1.62
Arkansas.......................................... 1.16
California........................................ 6.97
Colorado.......................................... 0.39
Connecticut....................................... 0.17
Delaware.......................................... 0.42
District of Columbia.............................. 0.03
Florida........................................... 0.50
Georgia........................................... 0.31
Idaho............................................. 0.46
Illinois.......................................... 16.53
Indiana........................................... 9.39
Iowa.............................................. 1.13
Kansas............................................ 0.82
Kentucky.......................................... 1.57
Louisiana......................................... 5.06
Maine............................................. 0.02
Maryland.......................................... 1.14
Massachusetts..................................... 0.39
Michigan.......................................... 3.47
[[Page 36712]]
Minnesota......................................... 0.64
Mississippi....................................... 1.02
Missouri.......................................... 2.95
Montana........................................... 0.12
Nebraska.......................................... 0.43
Nevada............................................ 1.11
New Hampshire..................................... 0.10
New Jersey........................................ 8.00
New Mexico........................................ 0.34
New York.......................................... 12.08
North Carolina.................................... 0.65
North Dakota...................................... 0.35
Ohio.............................................. 2.25
Oklahoma.......................................... 1.57
Oregon *.......................................... 0.36
Pennsylvania...................................... 5.20
Rhode Island...................................... 0.08
South Carolina.................................... 0.23
South Dakota...................................... 0.12
Tennessee......................................... 0.86
Texas............................................. 3.83
Utah.............................................. 1.46
Vermont........................................... 0.03
Virginia.......................................... 1.39
Washington........................................ 0.11
West Virginia..................................... 1.79
Wisconsin......................................... 5.10
Wyoming........................................... 0.42
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Does not include California monitoring sites.
2. Application of Contribution Screening Threshold
In Step 2 of the interstate transport framework, the EPA uses an
air quality screening threshold to identify upwind states that
contribute to downwind ozone concentrations in amounts sufficient to
``link'' them to these to downwind nonattainment and maintenance
receptors. The contributions from each state to each downwind
nonattainment or maintenance receptor that were used for the Step 2
evaluation can be found in the Air Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD.
The EPA applies an air quality screening threshold of 1 percent of
the NAAQS, which has been used since the CSAPR rulemaking, including in
the CSAPR Update, the Revised CSAPR Update, and numerous actions
evaluating states' transport SIP submittals. The explanation for how
this value was originally derived is available in the CSAPR rulemaking
from 2011. See 76 FR 48208, 48237-38. As originally explained there,
the application of a relatively low threshold is intended to capture a
relatively large percentage of the contribution from upwind states to
downwind receptors in light of the regional-scale, collective
contribution problem associated with both ozone and PM2.5
NAAQS. Id. The Agency also explained that the use of a higher threshold
in transport rules prior to CSAPR was based on single-day maximum
contribution, whereas in CSAPR (and continuing in subsequent rules
including this one), the Agency uses a more robust, average
contribution metric over multiple days. Thus, it was not the case that
1 percent of NAAQS was substantially more stringent than that prior
approach. Id. at 48238. In the 2016 CSAPR Update, the EPA reviewed the
1 percent threshold (as coupled with multi-day averaging) and
determined it was appropriate to continue to apply this threshold. The
EPA compared the 1 percent threshold to a 0.5 percent of NAAQS
threshold and a 5 percent of NAAQS threshold. The EPA found that the
lower threshold did not capture appreciably more upwind state
contribution compared to the 1 percent threshold, while the 5 percent
threshold allowed too much upwind state contribution to drop out from
further analysis.\174\ The EPA continues to observe that nonattainment
and maintenance receptors identified at Step 1 are impacted
collectively by emissions from numerous upwind contributors. Therefore,
application of a low, uniform screening threshold allows the EPA to
identify upwind states that share a responsibility under the interstate
transport provision to eliminate their significant contribution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\174\ See Final CSAPR Update Air Quality Modeling TSD, at 27-30
(EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0596-0144). See also 86 FR 23054, 23085.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As we explained at proposal, the EPA recognizes that in 2018 it
issued a memorandum indicating the potential for states to use a higher
threshold at Step 2 in the development of their good neighbor SIP
submissions where it could be technically justified. The August 2018
memorandum stated that ``it may be reasonable and appropriate'' for
states to rely on an alternative 1 ppb threshold at Step 2.\175\ (The
memorandum also indicated that any
[[Page 36713]]
higher alternative threshold, such as 2 ppb, would likely not be
appropriate.) The EPA nonetheless proposed to fulfill its role under
CAA section 110(c) in promulgating FIPs to directly implement good
neighbor requirements, and in this role, proposed retaining use of the
1 percent threshold for all states. We noted that in several documents
proposing transport SIP disapprovals, see, e.g., 87 FR 9498 and 87 FR
9510 (Feb. 22, 2022), we explained that our experience since the
issuance of the August 2018 memorandum regarding use of alternative
thresholds led the Agency to believe it may not be appropriate to
continue to attempt to recognize alternative contribution thresholds at
Step 2, either in the context of SIPs or FIPs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\175\ August 2018 memo at 4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We went on to explain that the EPA's experience since 2018 is that
allowing for alternative Step 2 thresholds may be impractical or
otherwise inadvisable for a number of additional policy reasons. For a
regional air pollutant such as ozone, consistency in requirements and
expectations across all states is essential. Using multiple different
thresholds at Step 2 with respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS raises
substantial policy consistency and practical implementation
concerns.\176\ The application of different thresholds at Step 2 has
the potential to result in inconsistent determination of good neighbor
obligations. From the perspective of ensuring effective regional
implementation of good neighbor obligations, the more important
analysis is the evaluation of the emissions reductions needed, if any,
to address a state's significant contribution after consideration of a
multifactor analysis at Step 3, including a detailed evaluation that
considers air quality factors and cost. We explained that while
alternative thresholds for purposes of Step 2 may be ``similar'' in
terms of capturing the relative amount of upwind contribution (as
described in the August 2018 memorandum), nonetheless, use of
alternative thresholds would allow certain states to avoid further
evaluation of potential emissions controls while other states must
proceed to a Step 3 analysis. This could create significant equity and
consistency problems among states.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\176\ We note that Congress has placed on the EPA a general
obligation to ensure the requirements of the CAA are implemented
consistently across states and regions. See CAA section 301(a)(2).
Where the management and regulation of interstate pollution levels
spanning many states is at stake, consistency in application of CAA
requirements is paramount.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA further proposed that, in promulgating FIPs to address
these obligations on a nationwide scale, national ozone transport
policy would not be well-served by applying a single, less stringent
threshold at Step 2. The EPA recognized in the August 2018 memo that
there was some similarity in the amount of total upwind contribution
captured (on a nationwide basis) between 1 percent and 1 ppb. However,
the EPA noted at proposal that while this may be true in some sense,
that is hardly a compelling basis to move to a 1 ppb threshold. Indeed,
the 1 ppb threshold has the disadvantage of losing a certain amount of
total upwind contribution for further evaluation at Step 3. Considering
the core statutory objective of ensuring elimination of all significant
contribution to nonattainment or interference of the NAAQS in downwind
states and the broad, regional nature of the collective contribution
problem with respect to ozone, EPA could not identify a compelling
policy imperative to move to a 1 ppb threshold.
In the proposal, we also found consistency with past interstate
transport actions such as CSAPR, and the CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR
Update rulemakings (which used a Step 2 threshold of 1 percent of the
NAAQS for two less protective ozone NAAQS) to be an important
consideration. Continuing to use a 1 percent of NAAQS approach ensures
that as the NAAQS are revised and made more stringent, an appropriate
increase in stringency at Step 2 occurs, so as to ensure an
appropriately larger amount of total upwind-state contribution is
captured for purposes of fully addressing interstate transport for the
more protective NAAQS.
The Agency also questioned whether it would be a good use of
limited resources to attempt to further justify the use of alternative
thresholds for certain states at Step 2 for purposes of the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. Therefore, while EPA articulated the possibility of an
alternative threshold in the August 2018 memorandum, the EPA concluded
in the proposal that our experience and further evaluation since the
issuance of that memo has revealed substantial programmatic and policy
difficulties in attempting to implement this approach, and therefore we
proposed to apply the 1 percent of NAAQS threshold.
Comment: Many commenters disagreed with our proposal to continue
using a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold. They argued that the EPA was
reversing course from its policy as articulated in the August 2018
memorandum and that the EPA was now bound to use a 1 ppb threshold
rather than 1 percent of NAAQS, even in promulgating a FIP rather than
evaluating SIPs. Commenters further argued that a 1 ppb threshold would
be more consistent with the EPA's ``significant impact level'' (SIL)
guidance related to implementing prevention of significant
deterioration (PSD) permitting requirements. They argued that the 1
percent threshold was below precision limits of regulatory ozone
monitors, and they argued it was within the ``margin of error'' of the
EPA's modeling.
Response: The EPA is finalizing its proposed approach of
consistently using a 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold at Step 2 in this
action to determine which states contribute to identified nonattainment
and maintenance receptors. This approach ensures both national
consistency across all states and consistency and continuity with our
prior interstate transport actions for other NAAQS. We do not agree
that this approach is inconsistent with or a reversal in policy from
the August 2018 memorandum, which only suggested that states in the
development of their SIPs ``may'' be able to establish that 1 ppb could
be an appropriate alternative threshold. The EPA has been consistent in
that memorandum, and since that time, that final determinations on
alternative thresholds would be made through rulemaking action, as the
EPA is taking here.
The August 2018 memorandum made clear that the Agency had
substantial doubts that any threshold greater than 1 ppb (such as 2
ppb) would be acceptable, and the Agency is affirming that a threshold
higher than 1 ppb would not be justified under any circumstance for
purposes of this action. No commenter credibly provided a basis for
using a threshold even higher than 1 ppb, and so this issue is
primarily limited to the difference between a 0.7 ppb threshold (the 1
percent of the NAAQS threshold discussed previously in this section)
and a 1.0 ppb threshold. Therefore, before proceeding in responding to
these comments, we note that this issue is only relevant to a small
number of states whose contributions to any receptor are above 1
percent of the NAAQS but lower than 1 ppb. Under the 2016v3 modeling of
2023 being used in this final rule, the states in this rule with
contributions that fall between 0.70 ppb and 1 ppb are Alabama,
Kentucky, and Minnesota. Similarly, the EPA applies the 1 percent
threshold in its 2026 modeling projections to determine if any states
will not be linked to an ozone receptor by that year, and therefore
should not be subject to the more stringent requirements that take
effect in 2026. The states in this rule in that year with contribution
between 0.70 ppb and 1 ppb are
[[Page 36714]]
Kentucky, Nevada, and Oklahoma. For all other states covered in this
action, at least one linkage exists in 2023 (and, as relevant, in 2026)
that is greater than 1 ppb, and therefore the question of whether the
EPA must recognize a 1 ppb threshold would not have a dispositive
effect on the regulatory determination being made at Step 2.
The 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold is consistent with the Step 2
approach that the EPA applied in CSAPR for the 1997 ozone NAAQS and has
subsequently been applied in the CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR Update
when evaluating determining interstate transport obligations for the
2008 ozone NAAQS. The EPA continues to find 1 percent of the ozone
NAAQS to be an appropriate threshold. For ozone, as the EPA found in
CAIR, CSAPR, and the CSAPR Update, a portion of the nonattainment and
maintenance problems in the U.S. results from the combined impact of
relatively small contributions from many upwind states, along with
contributions from in-state sources and other sources. The EPA's
analysis shows that the ozone transport problem being analyzed in this
rule is still the result of the collective impacts of emissions from
multiple upwind contributors. Therefore, application of a consistent
contribution threshold is necessary to identify those upwind states
that should have responsibility for addressing their contribution (to
the extent found ``significant'' at Step 3) to the downwind
nonattainment and maintenance problems to which they collectively
contribute. Where a great number of geographically dispersed emissions
sources contribute to a downwind air quality problem, which is the case
for ozone, EPA believes that, in the context of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), a state-level threshold of 1 percent of the NAAQS
is a reasonably small enough value to identify only the greater-than-de
minimis contributors yet is not so large that it unfairly focuses
attention for further action only on the largest single or few upwind
contributors. Continuing to use 1 percent of the NAAQS as the screening
metric to evaluate collective contribution from many upwind states also
allows the EPA (and states) to apply a consistent framework to evaluate
interstate emissions transport under the interstate transport provision
from one NAAQS to the next. See 86 FR 23054, 23085; 81 FR 74504, 74518;
76 FR 48208, 48237-38.
Further, the EPA notes that the role of the Step 2 threshold is
limited and just one step in the larger 4-Step Framework. It serves to
screen in states for further evaluation of emissions control
opportunities applying a multifactor analysis at Step 3. Thus, as the
Supreme Court has recognized, the contribution threshold essentially
functions to exclude states with ``de miminis'' impacts. EME Homer
City, 572 U.S. 489, 500.
Comments related to the August 2018 memorandum argued that the EPA
legally committed itself to approving SIP submissions from states with
contributions below 1 ppb and so now the EPA must apply that threshold
in this FIP action. (Comments regarding this issue as related to the
EPA's action on SIPs is addressed in that rulemaking and is beyond the
scope of this action.) This is not what the memorandum said. The
memorandum merely provided an analysis regarding ``the degree to which
certain air quality threshold amounts capture the collective amount of
upwind contribution from upwind states.'' \177\ It interpreted ``that
information to make recommendations about what thresholds may be
appropriate for use in'' SIP submissions (emphasis added).\178\
Specifically, the August 2018 memorandum said, ``Because the amount of
upwind collective contribution capture with the 1 percent and the 1 ppb
thresholds is generally comparable, overall, we believe it may be
reasonable and appropriate for states to use a 1 ppb contribution
threshold, as an alternative to a 1 percent threshold, at Step 2 of the
4-step framework in developing their SIP revisions addressing the good
neighbor provision for the 2015 ozone NAAQS'' (emphasis added).\179\
Thus, the text of the August 2018 memorandum in no way committed that
the EPA would be using a 1 ppb threshold going forward either in its
evaluation of SIPs or in promulgating a FIP. The August 2018 memorandum
indicated that ``[f]ollowing these recommendations does not ensure that
EPA will approve a SIP revision in all instances where the
recommendations are followed, as the guidance may not apply to the
facts and circumstances underlying a particular SIP. Final decisions by
the EPA to approve a particular SIP revision will only be made based on
the requirements of the statute and will only be made following an air
agency's final submission of the SIP revision to the EPA, and after
appropriate notice and opportunity for public review and comment.''
\180\ Further, the August 2018 memorandum said that ``EPA and air
agencies should consider whether the recommendations in this guidance
are appropriate for each situation.'' \181\ The memorandum said nothing
regarding what threshold the EPA would apply if promulgating a FIP.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\177\ August 2018 memorandum, at 1.
\178\ Id.
\179\ Id. at 4.
\180\ Id. at 1.
\181\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As explained in the SIP disapproval action and again here, the EPA
finds it would not be sound policy to apply an alternative contribution
threshold or thresholds to one or more states within the 4-step
interstate transport framework for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. However, the
EPA disagrees with commenters' claims that the agency has reversed
course on applying the August 2018 memorandum, because the memorandum
never adopted a view that the use of 1 ppb or other alternative
thresholds would in fact be acceptable. Although the EPA said at
proposal that the EPA may rescind the guidance in the future, we took
comment on the subject and also stated, ``EPA is not at this time
rescinding the August 2018 memorandum.'' \182\ The EPA is not formally
rescinding the August 2018 memorandum in this action or at this time.
However, it is not required that agencies must ``rescind'' a memorandum
or guidance the moment it becomes outdated or called into question. The
August 2018 memorandum was not issued through notice-and-comment
rulemaking and is not binding on the Agency or other parties. While the
willingness of the Agency as expressed in that memorandum to entertain
the possibility of an alternative threshold of 1 ppb may be considered
a kind of policy position, agencies may change their non-binding
policies without going through notice and comment rulemaking. Catawba
County v. EPA, 571 F.3d 20, 34 (D.C. Cir. 2009). In this case, we went
through notice and comment rulemaking on this topic in the SIP-
disapproval action (88 FR 9336) and here, even though the August 2018
memorandum was issued without such opportunity for public input. We
further address the basis for the consistent use of a 1 percent of
NAAQS threshold and summarize our conclusions under the FCC v. Fox
factors below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\182\ 87 FR 9545, 9551 (Feb. 22, 2022) (Alabama, Mississippi,
Tennessee); 87 FR 9498, 9510 (Feb. 22, 2022) (Kentucky); 87 FR 9838,
9844 (Feb. 22, 2022) (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio,
Wisconsin); 87 FR 9798, 9807, 9813, 9820 (Feb. 22, 2022) (Arkansas,
Louisiana, Oklahoma, Texas); 87 FR 9533, 9542 (Feb. 22, 2022)
(Missouri); 87 FR 31470, 31479 (May 24, 2022) (Utah); 87 FR 31495,
31504 (May 24, 2022) (Wyoming); 87 FR 31485, 31490 (May 24, 2022)
(Nevada).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We continue to believe, as set forth in our proposed action, that
national ozone transport policy is not well served by
[[Page 36715]]
allowing for less protective thresholds than 1 percent of the NAAQS at
Step 2. Furthermore, the EPA disagrees with commenters who suggest that
national consistency is an inappropriate consideration in the context
of interstate ozone transport. The Good Neighbor provision, CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), requires to a unique degree of concern for
consistency, parity, and equity across state lines.\183\ For a regional
air pollutant such as ozone, consistency in requirements and
expectations across all states is essential. Based on the EPA's review
of good neighbor SIP submissions to-date and after further
consideration of the policy implications of attempting to recognize an
alternative Step 2 threshold for certain states, the Agency concludes
that the attempted use of different thresholds at Step 2 with respect
to the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS raises substantial policy consistency
and practical implementation concerns. The availability of different
thresholds at Step 2 has the potential to result in inconsistent
application of good neighbor obligations based solely on the strength
of a state's SIP submission at Step 2 of the 4-step interstate
transport framework. The steps of the analysis that lead up to
evaluating emissions reductions opportunities to address states'
significant contribution at Step 3 should be applied on a consistent
basis. Where alternative thresholds for purposes of Step 2 may be
``similar'' in terms of capturing the relative amount of upwind
contribution (as described in the August 2018 memorandum), nonetheless,
use of an alternative threshold would allow certain states to avoid
further evaluation of potential emissions controls while other states
must proceed to a Step 3 analysis. This can create significant equity
and consistency problems among states and could lead to ineffective or
inefficient approaches to eliminating significant contribution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\183\ EPA notes that Congress has placed on EPA a general
obligation to ensure the requirements of the CAA are implemented
consistently across states and regions. See CAA section 301(a)(2).
Where the management and regulation of interstate pollution levels
spanning many states is at stake, consistency in application of CAA
requirements is paramount.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
One commenter suggested the EPA could address this potentially
inequitable outcome by simply adopting a 1 ppb contribution threshold
for all states. However, the August 2018 memorandum did not conclude
that 1 ppb would be appropriate for all states and the EPA does not
view that conclusion to be supported at present. The EPA recognized in
the August 2018 memorandum that there was some similarity in the amount
of total upwind contribution captured (on a nationwide basis) between 1
percent and 1 ppb. However, while this may be true in some sense, that
is hardly a compelling basis to move to a 1 ppb threshold for every
state. Indeed, the 1 ppb threshold has the disadvantage of losing a
certain amount of total upwind contribution for further evaluation at
Step 3 (e.g., roughly 7 percent of total upwind state contribution was
lost according to the modeling underlying the August 2018 memorandum;
in the EPA's 2016v2 modeling, the amount lost is 5 percent; in the
EPA's 2016v3 modeling used for final, the amount lost is also 5
percent). Further, this logic has no end point. A similar observation
could be made with respect to any incremental change. For example,
should the EPA next recognize a 1.2 ppb threshold because that would
only cause some small additional loss in capture of upwind state
contribution as compared to 1 ppb? If the only basis for moving to a 1
ppb threshold is that it captures a ``similar'' (but actually smaller)
amount of upwind contribution, then there is no basis for moving to
that threshold at all. Considering the core statutory objective of
ensuring elimination of all significant contribution to nonattainment
or interference with maintenance of the NAAQS in other states and the
broad, regional nature of the collective contribution problem with
respect to ozone, we continue to find no compelling policy reason to
adopt a new threshold for all states of 1 ppb.
Nor have commenters explained why use of a 1 ppb threshold would be
appropriate under the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS when a 1 percent
of the NAAQS contribution threshold has been used for less protective
ozone NAAQS. To illustrate, a state contributing greater than 0.75 ppb
but less than 1 ppb to a receptor under the 2008 ozone NAAQS was
``linked'' at Step 2,\184\ but if a 1 ppb threshold were used for the
2015 ozone NAAQS then that same state would not be ``linked'' to a
receptor at Step 2 under a NAAQS that is set to be more protective of
human health and the environment. Consistency with past interstate
transport actions such as CSAPR, and the CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR
Update rulemakings (which all used the 1 percent of the NAAQS for less
protective ozone NAAQS), is an important consideration. We affirm our
view in CSAPR that continuing to use a 1 percent of NAAQS approach
ensures that if the NAAQS are revised and made more stringent, an
appropriate increase in stringency at Step 2 occurs, so as to ensure an
appropriately larger amount of total upwind-state contribution is
captured for purposes of fully addressing interstate transport. See 76
FR 48208, 48237-38.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\184\ See 86 FR 23054, 23058 (April 30, 2021).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We note further that application of a 1 percent of NAAQS threshold
has been the EPA's consistent approach in each of our notice-and-
comment rulemakings beginning with CSAPR and continuing with the CSAPR
Update, the Revised CSAPR Update, and numerous actions on ozone
transport SIP submissions. In each case, the 1 percent of the NAAQS
threshold was subject to rigorous vetting through public comment and
the Agency's response to those comments, including through the use of
analytical evaluations of alternative thresholds. See, e.g., 81 FR
74518-19. By contrast, the August 2018 memorandum was not issued
through notice-and-comment rulemaking procedures, and the EPA was
careful to caveat its utility and ultimate reliability for that reason.
The EPA disagrees with claims that the EPA is applying the August
2018 memorandum inconsistently based on the EPA's actions with regard
to Arizona, Iowa, and Oregon. The EPA withdrew a previously proposed
approval of Iowa's SIP submission that was premised on a 1 ppb
contribution threshold, and re-proposed and finalized approval of that
SIP based on a different rationale using a 1 percent of the NAAQS
contribution threshold. 87 FR 9477 (Feb. 22, 2022); 87 FR 22463 (April
15, 2022). The EPA also disagrees with any claim that Oregon and
Arizona were ``allowed'' to use a 1 ppb or higher threshold. The EPA
approved Oregon's SIP submission for the 2015 ozone NAAQS on May 17,
2019, and both Oregon and the EPA relied on a 1 percent of the NAAQS
contribution threshold. 84 FR 7854, 7856 (March 5, 2019) (proposal); 84
FR 22376 (May 17, 2019) (final). In the proposal for this action, the
EPA explained it was not proposing to conduct an error correction for
Oregon even though updated modeling indicated Oregon contributed above
1 percent of the NAAQS to monitors in California.
The EPA is deferring finalizing a finding at this time for Oregon
(see section IV.G of this document for additional information). In
2016, the EPA approved Arizona's SIP for the earlier 2008 ozone NAAQS
based on a similar rationale with regard to certain monitors in
California. 81 FR 15200 (March 22, 2016) (proposal); 81 FR 31513 (May
19, 2016) (final rule). We are deferring finalizing a finding at this
time that such a rationale is appropriate
[[Page 36716]]
with respect to the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS. While Arizona and
Oregon's interstate transport obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
remain pending (along with several other states), there is no
inconsistency in the treatment of these states or any other state at
Step 2.
Some commenters claim the EPA must use a 1 ppb threshold based on
the identification of 1 ppb as a significance threshold in one step of
the PSD permitting process. The EPA's SIL guidances, however, relate to
a different provision of the Clean Air Act regarding implementation of
the prevention of significant deterioration (PSD) permitting program.
This program applies in areas that have been designated attainment of
the NAAQS and is intended to ensure that such areas remain in
attainment even if emissions were to increase as a result of new
sources or major modifications to existing sources located in those
areas. This purpose is different than the purpose of the good neighbor
provision, which is to assist downwind areas (in some cases hundreds or
thousands of miles away) in resolving ongoing nonattainment of the
NAAQS or difficulty maintaining the NAAQS through eliminating the
emissions from other states that are significantly contributing to
those problems. In addition, as discussed in preceding paragraphs, the
purpose of the Step 2 threshold within the EPA's interstate transport
framework for ozone is to broadly sweep in all states contributing to
identified receptors above a de minimis level in recognition of the
collective-contribution problem associated with regional-scale ozone
transport. The threshold used in the context of PSD SIL serves a
different purpose, and so it does not follow that they should be made
equivalent. Further, commenters incorrectly associate the EPA's Step 2
contribution threshold with the identification of ``significant''
emissions (which does not occur until Step 3), and so it is not the
case that the EPA is interpreting the same term differently.
The EPA has previously explained this distinction between the good
neighbor framework and PSD SILs. See 70 FR 25162, 25190-25191 (May 12,
2005); 76 FR 48208, 48237 (Aug. 8, 2011). Importantly, the implication
of the PSD SIL threshold is not that single-source contribution below
this level indicates the absence of a contribution or that no emissions
control requirements are warranted. Rather, the PSD SIL threshold
addresses whether further, more comprehensive, multi-source review or
analysis of air quality impacts are required of the source to support a
demonstration that it meets the criteria for a permit. A source with
estimated impacts below the PSD SIL may use this to demonstrate that it
will not cause or contribute (as those terms are used within the PSD
program) to a violation of an ambient air quality standard, but is
still subject to meeting applicable control requirements, including
best available control technology, designed to moderate the source's
impact on air quality.
Moreover, other aspects of the technical methodology in the SILs
guidance compared to the good neighbor framework make a direct
comparison between these two values misleading. For instance, in PSD
permit modeling using a single year of meteorology the maximum single-
day 8-hour contribution is evaluated with respect to the SIL. The
purpose of the contribution threshold at Step 2 of the 4-step good
neighbor framework is to determine whether the average contribution
from a collection of sources in a state is small enough not to warrant
any additional control for the purpose of mitigating interstate
transport, even if that control were highly cost effective. Using a 1
percent of the NAAQS threshold is more appropriate for evaluating
multi-day average contributions from upwind states than a 1 ppb
threshold applied for a single day, since that lower value of 1 percent
of the NAAQS will capture variations in contribution. If EPA were to
use a single day reflecting the maximum amount of contribution from an
upwind state to determine whether a linkage exists at Step 2,
commenters' arguments for use of the PSD SIL might have more force.
This would in effect be a return to the pre-CSAPR contribution
calculation methodology of using a single day, see 76 FR 48238.
However, that would likely cause more states to become linked, not
less. And in any case, consistent with the method in our modeling
guidance for projecting future attainment/nonattainment and as the EPA
concluded in 2011 in CSAPR, the present good neighbor methodology of
using multiple days provides a more robust approach to establishing
that a linkage exists at the state level than relying on a single day
of data.
A commenter also claimed the 1 percent of NAAQS threshold is
inconsistent with the standards of precision for Federal reference
monitors for ozone and the rounding requirements found in 40 CFR part
50, appendix U, Interpretation of the Primary and Secondary National
Ambient Air Quality Standards for Ozone. Commenter claimed that the 1
percent contribution threshold of 0.7 ppb is lower than the
manufacturer's reported precision of these reference monitors and that
the requirements found in Appendix U truncates monitor values of 0.7
ppb to 0 ppb. However, the commenter is mistaken in applying criteria
related to the precision of monitoring technology to the modeling
methodology by which we project contributions when quantifying and
evaluating interstate transport at Step 2. Indeed, contributions by
source or state cannot be derived from the total ambient concentration
of ozone at a monitor at all but must be apportioned through modeling.
Under our longstanding methodology for doing so, the contribution
values identified from upwind states are based on a robust assessment
of the average impact of each upwind state's ozone-precursor emissions
over a range of scenarios, as explained in the 2016v3 modeling's Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD, in the docket for this rule, Docket ID
No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668. This analysis is in no way connected with or
dependent on monitoring instruments' precision of measurement. See EME
Homer City, 795 F.3d 118, 135-36 (``[A] model is meant to simplify
reality in order to make it tractable.' '') (quoting Chemical
Manufacturers Association v. EPA, 28 F.3d 1259, 1264 (D.C. Cir. 1994).
To the extent that commenters argue that the EPA consider a less
stringent threshold as a result of modeling uncertainty, the EPA
disagrees with this notion. The EPA has successfully applied a 1
percent of NAAQS threshold to identify linked upwind states using
modeling in three prior FIP rulemakings and numerous state-specific
actions on good neighbor obligations. This continues to be a reasonable
approach, and indeed courts have repeatedly declined to establish
bright line criteria for model performance. In upholding the EPA's
approach to evaluating interstate transport in CSAPR, the D.C. Circuit
held that it would not ``invalidate EPA's predictions solely because
there might be discrepancies between those predictions and the real
world. That possibility is inherent in the enterprise of prediction.''
EME Homer City Generation, L.P. v. EPA, 795 F.3d 118, 135 (2015).
``[T]he fact that a `model does not fit every application perfectly is
no criticism; a model is meant to simplify reality in order to make it
tractable.' '' Id. at 135-36 (quoting Chemical Manufacturers
Association v. EPA, 28 F.3d 1259, 1264 (D.C. Cir. 1994). See also
Sierra Club v. EPA, 939 F.3d 649, 686-87 (5th Cir. 2019) (upholding
EPA's modeling in the
[[Page 36717]]
face of complaints regarding an alleged ``margin of error,'' noting
challengers face a ``considerable burden'' in overcoming a
``presumption of regularity'' afforded ``the EPA's choice of analytical
methodology'') (citing BCCA Appeal Grp. v. EPA, 355 F.3d 817, 832 (5th
Cir. 2003)).
The Agency will continue to use the CAMx model to evaluate
contributions from upwind states to downwind areas. The agency has used
CAMx routinely in previous notice and comment transport rulemakings to
evaluate contributions relative to the 1 percent threshold for both
ozone and PM2.5. In fact, in the original CSAPR, the EPA
found that ``[t]here was wide support from commenters for the use of
CAMx as an appropriate, state-of-the science air quality tool for use
in the [Cross-State Air Pollution] Rule. There were no comments that
suggested that the EPA should use an alternative model for quantifying
interstate transport.'' 76 FR 48229 (August 8, 2011). In this action,
the EPA has taken a number of steps based on comments and new
information to ensure to the greatest extent the accuracy and
reliability of its modeling projections at Step 1 and 2, as discussed
elsewhere in this section.
The EPA disagrees with commenters that case law reviewing changes
in agency positions such as FCC v. Fox TV Stations, Inc., 556 U.S. 502,
515 (2009), is applicable with respect to this issue. As explained
above, under the terms of the August 2018 memorandum, the Agency did
not conclude that the use of an alternative contribution threshold was
justified for any states. But even if it were found that the Agency's
position had changed between this rulemaking action and the August 2018
memorandum, the FCC v. Fox factors are met. We have explained above
that there are good reasons for continuing to use a 1 percent of NAAQS
threshold. We also are aware that we are not using a 1 ppb threshold
despite acknowledging the potential for doing so in the August 2018
memorandum. We do not believe that any party has a serious reliance
interest that would be sufficient to overcome the countervailing public
interest that is served through the EPA's determination to maintain
continuity with its longstanding, more protective 1 percent of NAAQS
threshold in this action. Cf. 88 FR 9373 (reviewing reliance in the
context of the SIP-disapproval action).
The EPA therefore will continue its longstanding practice of
applying the 1 percent of NAAQS threshold in this action.
a. States That Contribute Below the Screening Threshold
Based on the EPA's modeling and considering measured data at
violating monitors, the contributions from each of the following states
to nonattainment or maintenance-only receptors in the 2023 analytic
year are below the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold: Colorado,
Connecticut, the District of Columbia, Delaware, Florida, Georgia,
Idaho, Maine, Massachusetts, Montana, Nebraska, New Hampshire, North
Carolina, North Dakota, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota,
Vermont, and Washington.\185\ The EPA has already approved these
states' 2015 ozone good neighbor SIP submittals. Because the
contributions from these states to projected downwind air quality
problems are below the screening threshold in the current modeling,
these states are not within the scope of this final rule. Additionally,
the EPA has made final determinations that two states outside the
modeling domain for the air quality modeling analyzed in this final
rulemaking--Hawaii \186\ and Alaska \187\--do not significantly
contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS
in any other state.
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\185\ The status of monitoring sites in California to which
Oregon may be linked is under review. See section IV.G.
\186\ The EPA approved Hawaii's 2015 ozone transport SIP on
December 27, 2021. See 86 FR 73129.
\187\ The EPA approved Alaska's 2015 ozone transport SIP on
December 18, 2019. See 84 FR 69331.
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With respect to Wyoming, our methodology when applied using the
2016v3 modeling suggests that whether the state is linked is uncertain
and warrants further analysis. The EPA intends to expeditiously review
its assessment with respect to Wyoming and take action addressing
Wyoming's good neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS through a
separate action.
b. States That Contribute at or Above the Screening Threshold
Based on the maximum downwind contributions in Table IV.F-1, the
Step 2 analysis identifies that the following 21 states contribute at
or above the 0.70 ppb threshold to downwind nonattainment receptors in
2023: Alabama, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia,
and West Virginia. Based on the maximum downwind contributions in Table
IV.F-1, the following 23 states contribute at or above the 0.70 ppb
threshold to downwind modeling-based maintenance-only receptors in
2023: Arizona, Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri,
Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Texas,
Virginia, West Virginia, and Wisconsin. Based on the maximum downwind
contribution in Table IV.F-3, the following additional states
contribute at or above the 0.70 ppb threshold to downwind violating
monitor maintenance-only receptors in 2023: Kansas and Tennessee.
(However, the EPA is not taking final action based on this analytical
result for these two states at this time.) The levels of contribution
between each of these linked upwind states and downwind nonattainment
receptors and maintenance-only receptors are provided in the Air
Quality Modeling Final Rule TSD.
Among the linked states are several western states--California,
Nevada, and Utah. While the EPA has not previously included action on
linked western states in its prior CSAPR rulemakings, the EPA has
consistently applied the 4-step framework in evaluating good neighbor
obligations from these states. On a case-by-case basis, the EPA has
found in some instances with respect to the 2008 ozone NAAQS that a
unique consideration has warranted approval of a western state's good
neighbor SIP submittal that might otherwise be found to contribute
above 1 percent of the NAAQS without concluding that additional
emissions reductions are required at Step 3 of the framework.\188\ The
EPA has also explained in prior actions that its air quality modeling
is reliable for assessing downwind air quality problems and ozone
transport contributions from upwind states throughout the nationwide
modeling domain.\189\ The EPA is deferring finalizing a finding at this
time for Oregon (see section IV.G of this document for additional
information).
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\188\ See interstate transport approval actions under the 2008
ozone NAAQS for Arizona, California, and Wyoming at 81 FR 36179
(June 6, 2016), 83 FR 65093 (December 19, 2018), and 84 FR 14270
(April 10, 2019)), respectively.
\189\ See 81 FR 71991 (October 19, 2016), 82 FR 9155 (February
3, 2017).
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As explained in the following section, the EPA is not, in this
action, altering its prior approval of Oregon's good neighbor SIP
submission for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. For the remaining western states
included in this rule, the EPA's modeling supports a conclusion that
these states are linked above the
[[Page 36718]]
contribution threshold to identified ozone transport receptors in
downwind states, and therefore, consistent with the treatment of all
other states within the modeling domain, the EPA proposes to proceed to
evaluate these states for a determination of ``significant
contribution'' at Step 3.
In conclusion, as described above, states with contributions that
equal or exceed 1 percent of the NAAQS to either nonattainment or
maintenance-only receptors are identified as ``linked'' at Step 2 of
the good neighbor framework and warrant further analysis for
significant contribution to nonattainment or interference with
maintenance under Step 3. The EPA finds that for purposes of this final
rule, the following 23 states are linked at Step 2 in 2023: Alabama,
Arkansas, California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New
York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West
Virginia, and Wisconsin. In addition, the EPA finds that the following
20 States are linked at Step 2 in 2026: Arkansas, California, Illinois,
Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi,
Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania,
Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia. We note that our updated
modeling for this final rule shows that two states, Minnesota and
Wisconsin, that we found linked in 2026 at proposal are no longer
projected to be linked in that year but are linked in 2023.\190\ As at
proposal, Alabama is only projected to be linked in 2023, not 2026.
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\190\ Minnesota and Wisconsin were linked to maintenance-only
receptors in Cook County, IL in 2023. Minnesota and Wisconsin are
not linked in 2026 because the 2026 average and maximum design
values at the monitoring sites are projected to show attainment.
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For six states, the EPA's analysis at this time indicates that a
linkage may exist in 2023 for which the EPA had not proposed FIP
requirements, or the updated analysis for this final rule suggests that
linkages we had previously found in the proposed action are now
uncertain and warrant further analysis. The EPA intends to
expeditiously address these states in a separate action or actions:
Arizona, Iowa, Kansas, New Mexico, Tennessee, and Wyoming.
G. Treatment of Certain Monitoring Sites in California and Implications
for Oregon's Good Neighbor Obligations for the 2015 Ozone NAAQS
The EPA previously approved Oregon's September 25, 2018 transport
SIP submittal for the 2015 ozone NAAQS on May 17, 2019 (84 FR 22376),
because in an earlier round of modeling Oregon was not projected to
contribute above 1 percent of the NAAQS to any downwind receptors. In
the EPA's updated modeling used at proposal (2016v2) and again in the
final modeling (2016v3), Oregon is modeled to contribute above the 1
percent of NAAQS threshold to several monitoring sites in California
that would generally meet the EPA's definition of nonattainment or
maintenance ``receptors'' at Step 1.\191\ At proposal, the EPA
explained that our analysis of the nature of the air quality problem at
these monitoring sites led us to propose a determination that these
monitoring sites should not be treated as receptors for purposes of
determining interstate transport obligations of upwind states under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). We explained that we reached this
conclusion at Step 1 of our 4-step framework.
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\191\ Monitors are included in the docket for this rulemaking.
While EPA is providing information about cumulative upwind
contribution to the California monitors, the Agency is not making a
determination in this action that these monitors are ozone transport
receptors.
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The EPA previously made a similar assessment of the nature of
certain other monitoring sites in California in approving Arizona's
2008 ozone NAAQS transport SIP submittal.\192\ There, the EPA noted
that a ``factor [. . .] relevant to determining the nature of a
projected receptor's interstate transport problem is the magnitude of
ozone attributable to transport from all upwind states collectively
contributing to the air quality problem.'' \193\ The EPA observed that
only one upwind state (Arizona) was linked above 1 percent of the 2008
ozone NAAQS to the two relevant monitoring sites in California, and the
cumulative ozone contribution from all upwind states to those sites was
2.5 percent and 4.4 percent of the total ozone, respectively. The EPA
determined the size of those cumulative upwind contributions was
``negligible, particularly when compared to the relatively large
contributions from upwind states in the East or in certain other areas
of the West.'' \194\ In that action, the EPA concluded the two
California sites to which Arizona was linked should not be treated as
receptors for the purposes of determining Good Neighbor obligations for
the 2008 ozone NAAQS.\195\
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\192\ 81 FR 15200 (March 22, 2016) (proposal); 81 FR 31513 (May
19, 2016) (final rule).
\193\ 81 FR 15203.
\194\ Id.
\195\ Id.
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Comment: Commenters criticized what they considered to be unfair
treatment of Oregon, stating that the EPA is applying a higher
contribution threshold than it applies to other states. Commenters
argued that EPA has not established a specific threshold for why the
level of upwind-state impact at these sites should not be considered
meaningful. Commenters argued that our analysis ignored the fact that
there are many monitoring sites in California to which Oregon
contributes above 1 percent of the NAAQS. Commenters state that EPA has
failed to explain why Oregon is not subject to this rulemaking, while
other states contribute lower total downwind ozone contributions and
fewer receptors. Commenters concluded that since Oregon is linked it
should be subject to the same emissions control determinations at Step
3 and 4 as every other state, or otherwise apply the same ``nature of
the air quality problem'' consideration to eliminate other receptors.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that several commenters opposed the
proposed treatment of Oregon and the California monitoring sites to
which it is linked in the proposed and final modeling. We also
recognize that other commenters expressed confusion regarding the role
of this proposed determination at Step 1 and how it relates to the
longstanding 4-step interstate transport framework that the EPA is
otherwise applying in this action. In recognition of these concerns and
the need to give further thought to the appropriate treatment of both
upwind states and downwind receptors in these circumstances, the EPA is
deferring finalizing a finding at this time for Oregon. The current
approval of the state's SIP submission will remain in place for the
time being, pending further review. We make no final determination in
this action regarding whether the California monitoring sites at issue
should or should not be treated as receptors for purposes of addressing
interstate transport for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
V. Quantifying Upwind-State NOX Emissions Reduction Potential To Reduce
Interstate Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone NAAQS
A. The Multi-Factor Test for Determining Significant Contribution
This section describes the EPA's methodology at Step 3 of the 4-
step framework for identifying upwind emissions that constitute
``significant'' contribution for the states subject to this final rule
and focuses on the 23 states with FIP requirements identified in the
[[Page 36719]]
previous sections. Following the existing framework as applied in the
prior CSAPR rulemakings, the EPA's assessment of linked upwind state
emissions is based primarily on analysis of several alternative levels
of NOX emissions control stringency applied uniformly across
all of the linked states. The analysis includes assessment of non-EGU
stationary sources in addition to EGU sources in the linked upwind
states.
The EPA applies a multi-factor test--the same multi-factor test
that was used in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update
\196\--to evaluate increasing levels of uniform NOX control
stringency. The multi-factor test, which is central to EPA's Step 3
quantification of significant contribution, considers cost, available
emissions reductions, downwind air quality impacts, and other factors
to determine the appropriate level of uniform NOX control
stringency that would eliminate significant contribution to downwind
nonattainment or maintenance receptors. The selection of a uniform
level of NOX emissions control stringency across all of the
linked states, reflected as a representative cost per ton of emissions
reduction (or a weighted average cost per ton in the case of EPA's non-
EGU and EGU analysis for 2026 mitigation measures), also serves to
apportion the reduction responsibility among collectively contributing
upwind states. This approach to quantifying upwind state emission-
reduction obligations using uniform cost was reviewed by the Supreme
Court in EME Homer City Generation, which held that using such an
approach to apportion emissions reduction responsibilities among upwind
states that are collectively responsible for downwind air quality
impacts ``is an efficient and equitable solution to the allocation
problem the Good Neighbor Provision requires the Agency to address.''
572 U.S. at 519.
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\196\ See CSAPR, Final Rule, 76 FR 48208 (August 8, 2011).
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There are four stages in developing the multi-factor test: (1)
identify levels of uniform NOX control stringency; (2)
evaluate potential NOX emissions reductions associated with
each identified level of uniform control stringency; (3) assess air
quality improvements at downwind receptors for each level of uniform
control stringency; and (4) select a level of control stringency
considering the identified cost, available NOX emissions
reductions, and downwind air quality impacts, while also ensuring that
emissions reductions do not unnecessarily over-control relative to the
contribution threshold or downwind air quality.
As mentioned in section III.A.2 of this document, commenters on the
proposed rule and previous ozone transport rules have suggested that
the EPA should regulate VOCs as an ozone precursor. For this final
rule, the EPA examined the results of the contribution modeling
performed for this rule to identify the portion of the ozone
contribution attributable to anthropogenic NOX emissions
versus VOC emissions from each linked upwind state to each downwind
receptor. Of the total upwind-downwind linkages in 2023, the
contributions from NOX emissions comprise 80 percent or more
of the total anthropogenic contribution for nearly all of the linkages
(121 out of 124 total). Across all receptors, the contribution from
NOX emissions ranges from 84 percent to 97 percent of the
total anthropogenic contribution from upwind states. This review of the
portion of the ozone contribution attributable to anthropogenic
NOX emissions versus VOC emissions from each linked upwind
state leads the Agency to conclude that the vast majority of the
downwind air quality areas addressed by the final rule under are
primarily NOX-limited, rather than VOC-limited. Therefore,
the EPA continues to find that regulation of VOCs as an ozone precursor
in upwind states is not necessary to eliminate significant contribution
or interference with maintenance in downwind areas in this final rule.
The remainder of this section focuses on EPA's strategy for reducing
regional-scale transport of ozone by targeting NOX emissions
from stationary sources to achieve the most effective reductions of
ozone transport over the geography of the affected downwind areas.
For both EGUs and non-EGUs, section V.B of this document describes
the available NOX emissions controls that the EPA evaluated
for this final rule and their representative cost levels (in 2016$).
Section V.C of this document discusses EPA's application of that
information to assess emissions reduction potential of the identified
control stringencies. Finally, section V.D of this document describes
EPA's assessment of associated air quality impacts and EPA's subsequent
identification of appropriate control stringencies considering the key
relevant factors (cost, available emissions reductions, and downwind
air quality impacts).
This multi-factor approach is consistent with EPA's approach in
prior transport actions, such as CSAPR. In addition, as was evaluated
in the CSAPR Update and Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA evaluated
whether, based on particularized evidence, its selected control
strategy would result in over-control for any upwind state by examining
whether an upwind state is linked solely to downwind air quality
problems that could have been resolved at a lesser threshold of control
stringency and whether an upwind state could reduce its emissions below
the 1 percent air quality contribution threshold at a lesser threshold
of control stringency. This analysis is described in section V.D of
this document.
Finally, while the EPA has evaluated potential emissions reductions
from non-EGU sources in prior rules and found certain non-EGU emissions
reductions should inform the budgets established in the NOX
SIP Call, this is the first action for which the EPA is finalizing non-
EGU emissions reductions within the context of the specific, 4-step
interstate transport framework established in CSAPR. The EPA applies
its multi-factor test to non-EGUs and independently evaluates non-EGU
industries in a consistent but parallel track to its Step 3 assessment
for EGUs. This is consistent with the parallel assessment approach
taken for EGUs and non-EGUs in the Revised CSAPR Update. Following the
conclusions of the EGU and non-EGU multi-factor tests, the identified
reductions for EGUs and non-EGUs are combined and collectively analyzed
to assess their effects on downwind air quality and whether the rule
achieves a full remedy to eliminate ``significant contribution'' while
avoiding over-control.
To ensure that this rule implements a full remedy for the
elimination of significant contribution from upwind states, the EPA has
reviewed available information on all major industrial source sectors
in the upwind states inclusive of commenter-provided data. This
analysis leads the EPA to conclude that both EGUs and certain large
sources in several specific industrial categories should be evaluated
for emissions control opportunities. As discussed in the sections that
follow, the EPA determines, for both EGUs and the selected non-EGU
source categories, there are impactful emissions reduction
opportunities available at reasonable cost-effectiveness thresholds. As
in the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA examines EGUs and non-EGUs in this
section on consistent but distinct parallel tracks due to differences
stemming from the unique characteristics of the power sector
[[Page 36720]]
compared to other industrial source categories.
Since the NOX SIP Call, EGUs have consistently been
regulated under ozone transport rules. These units operate in a
coordinated manner across a highly interconnected electrical grid.
Their configuration and emissions control strategies are relatively
homogenous, and their emissions levels and emissions control
opportunities are generally very well understood due to longstanding
monitoring and data-reporting requirements. Non-EGU sources, by
contrast, are relatively heterogeneous, even within a single industrial
category, and have far greater variation in existing emissions control
requirements, emissions levels, and technologies to reduce emissions.
In general, despite these differences, the information available for
this rulemaking indicates that both EGUs and certain non-EGU categories
have available cost-effective NOX emissions reduction
opportunities at relatively commensurate cost per ton levels, and these
emissions reductions will make a meaningful improvement in air quality
at the downwind receptors. Section V.B.2 of this document describes
EPA's process for selecting specific non-EGU industries and emissions
unit types included in this final rulemaking.
The EPA notes that its Step 3 analysis for this FIP does not assess
additional emissions reduction opportunities from mobile sources. The
EPA continues to believe that title II of the CAA provides the primary
authority and process for reducing these emissions at the Federal
level. EPA's various Federal mobile source programs, summarized in this
section, have delivered and are projected to continue to deliver
substantial nationwide reductions in both VOCs and NOX
emissions; these reductions from final rules are factored into the
Agency's assessment of air quality and contributions at Steps 1 and 2.
Further, states are generally preempted from regulating new vehicles
and engines with certain exceptions, and therefore a question exists
regarding EPA's authority to address such emissions through such means
when regulating in place of the states under CAA section 110(c). See
generally CAA section 209. See also 86 FR 23099. As noted earlier, the
EPA accounted for mobile source emissions reductions resulting from
other federally enforceable regulatory programs in the development of
emissions inventories used to support analysis for this final
rulemaking, and the EPA does not evaluate any mobile source control
measures in its Step 3 evaluation in this rule.\197\ For further
discussion of EPA's existing and ongoing mobile source measures, see
section V.B.4 of this document.
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\197\ The EPA recognizes that mechanisms exist under title I of
the CAA that allow for the regulation of the use and operation of
mobile sources to reduce ozone-precursor emissions. These include
specific requirements that apply in certain ozone nonattainment
areas including motor vehicle inspection and maintenance (I/M)
programs, gasoline vapor recovery, clean-fuel vehicle programs,
transportation control programs, and vehicle miles traveled
programs. See, e.g., CAA sections 182(b)(3), 182(b)(4), 182(c)(3),
182(c)(4), 182(c)(5), 182(d)(1), 182(e)(3), and 182(e)(4). The EPA
views these programs as well as others that meet CAA requirements
can be effective and appropriate in the context of the planning
requirements applicable to designated nonattainment areas.
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B. Identifying Control Stringency Levels
1. EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
In identifying levels of uniform control stringency for EGUs, the
EPA assessed the same NOX emissions controls that the Agency
analyzed in the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, all of which
are considered to be widely available in this sector: (1) fully
operating existing SCR, including both optimizing NOX
removal by existing operational SCRs and turning on and optimizing
existing idled SCRs; (2) installing state-of-the-art NOX
combustion controls; (3) fully operating existing SNCRs, including both
optimizing NOX removal by existing operational SNCRs and
turning on and optimizing existing idled SNCRs; (4) installing new
SNCRs; and (5) installing new SCRs. Finally, for each of these
combustion and post combustion technologies identified, EPA evaluated
whether emissions reduction potential from generation shifting at that
representative dollar per ton level was appropriate at this Step.
Shifting generation to lower NOX emitting or zero-emitting
EGUs may occur in response to economic factors. As the cost of emitting
NOX increases, it becomes increasingly cost-effective for
units with lower NOX rates to increase generation, while
units with higher NOX rates reduce generation. Because the
cost of generation is unit-specific, this generation shifting occurs
incrementally on a continuum. For the reasons explained in the
following sections and supported by technical information provided in
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD included in
the docket for this final rule, the EPA determined that for the
regional, multi-state scale of this rulemaking, only EGU NOX
emissions controls 1 and 3 are possible for the 2023 ozone season
(fully operating existing SCRs and SNCRs). The EPA finds that it is not
possible to install state-of-the-art NOX combustion controls
by the 2023 ozone season on a regional scale; those controls are
assumed to be available by the beginning of the 2024 ozone season. All
cost values discussed in the rest of the section for EGUs are in 2016
dollars.
a. Optimizing Existing SCRs
Optimizing (i.e., turning on idled or improving operation of
partially operating) existing SCRs can substantially reduce EGU
NOX emissions quickly, using investments that have already
been made in pollution control technologies. With the promulgation of
the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, most operators in the
covered states improved their SCR performance and have continued to
maintain that level of improved operation. However, this optimized SCR
performance was not universal and not always sustained. Between 2017
and 2020, as the CSAPR Update ozone-season NOX allowance
price declined, NOX emissions rates at some SCR-controlled
EGUs increased. For example, power sector data from 2019 revealed that,
in some cases, operating units had SCR controls that had been idled or
were operating partially, and therefore suggested that there remained
emissions reduction potential through optimization.\198\ The EPA
determined in the Revised CSAPR Update that optimizing SCRs was a
readily available approach for EGUs to reduce NOX emissions
in the 12 states addressed by a FIP in that rulemaking. Noticeable
improvements in emissions rates at units with SCRs during the 2021 and
2022 compliance period further affirm the ability of sources to quickly
implement this mitigation strategy and to realize emissions reductions
from doing so. This emissions reduction measure is currently available
at EGUs across the broader geography affected in this final rulemaking
(including in states not previously affected by the Revised CSAPR
Update). The EPA thus determines that SCR optimization, of both idled
and partially operating controls, is a viable mitigation strategy for
the 2023 ozone season.
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\198\ See ``Ozone Season Data 2018 vs. 2019'' and ``Coal-fired
Characteristics and Controls'' at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/power-plant-data-highlights#OzoneSeason.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA estimates a representative marginal cost of optimizing SCR
controls to be approximately $1,600 per ton, consistent with its
estimation in the Revised CSAPR Update for this technology. EPA's EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD for this rule
describes a range of cost estimates for
[[Page 36721]]
this technology noting that the costs are frequently lower than--and
for the majority of EGUs, significantly lower than--this representative
marginal cost. While the costs of optimizing existing, operational SCRs
include only variable costs, the cost of optimizing SCR units that are
currently idled considers both variable and fixed costs of returning
the control into service. Variable and fixed costs include labor,
maintenance and repair, parasitic load, and ammonia or urea for use as
a NOX reduction reagent in SCR systems. Depending on a
unit's control operating status, the representative cost at the 90th
percentile unit (among the relevant fleet of coal units with SCR
covered in this rulemaking) ranges between $900 and $1,700 per ton. The
EPA performed an in-depth cost assessment for all coal-fired units with
SCRs and found that for the subset of SCRs that are already partially
operating, the cost of optimizing is often much lower than $1,600 per
ton and is often under $900 per ton. The EPA anticipates the vast
majority of realized cost for compliance with this strategy to be
better reflected by the $900 per ton end of that range (reflecting the
90th percentile of EGUs optimizing SCRs that are already partially
operating) because this circumstance is considerably more common than
EGUs that have ceased operating their SCR. This cost distinction is
reflected in the EPA's RIA cost estimates. When representing the cost
of optimization here, the EPA uses the higher value to reflect both
optimization of partially operating and idled controls. EPA's analysis
of this emissions control is informed by the latest engineering
modeling equations used in EPA's IPM platform. These cost and
performance equations were recently updated in the summer of 2021 in
preparation for this rule, and subsequently evaluated for the final
rule in 2022 and determined to still be appropriate. The description
and development of the equations are documented in EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD and accompanying documents.\199\
They are also implemented in an interactive spreadsheet tool called the
Retrofit Cost Analyzer and applied to all units in the fleet. These
materials are available in the docket for this action.
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\199\ The CSAPR Update estimated $1,400 per ton as a
representative cost of turning on idled SCR controls. EPA used the
same costing methodology while updating for input cost increases
(e.g., urea reagent) to arrive at $1,600 per ton in the final
Revised CSAPR Update (while also updating from 2011 dollars to 2016
dollars).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is using the same methodology to identify SCR performance
as it did in the Revised CSAPR Update. To estimate EGU NOX
reduction potential from optimizing, the EPA considers the difference
between the non-optimized NOX emissions rates and an
achievable operating and optimized SCR NOX emissions rate.
To determine this rate, EPA evaluated nationwide coal-fired EGU
NOX ozone season emissions data from 2009 through 2019 and
calculated an average NOX ozone season emissions rate across
the fleet of coal-fired EGUs with SCR for each of these eleven years.
The EPA found it prudent to not consider the lowest or second-lowest
ozone season NOX emissions rates, which may reflect SCR
systems that have all new components (e.g., new layers of catalyst).
Data from these systems are potentially not representative of ongoing
achievable NOX emissions rates considering broken-in
components and routine maintenance schedules. Considering the emissions
data over the full time period from 2009-2019 results in a third-best
rate of 0.079 pounds NOX per million British thermal units
(lb/mmBtu). Therefore, consistent with the Revised CSAPR Update, where
EPA identified 0.08 lb/mmBtu as a reasonable level of performance for
units with optimized SCR, the EPA finalizes a rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu as
the optimized rate for this rule. The EPA notes that half of the SCR-
controlled EGUs achieved a NOX emissions rate of 0.064 lb/
mmBtu or lower over their third-best entire ozone season. Moreover, for
the SCR-controlled coal units that the EPA identified as having a 2021
emissions rate greater than 0.08 lb/mmBtu, the EPA verified that in
prior years, the majority (more than 90 percent) of these same units
had demonstrated and achieved a NOX emissions rate of 0.08
lb/mmBtu or less on a seasonal or monthly basis. This further supports
EPA's determination that 0.08 lb/mmBtu reflects a reasonable emissions
rate for representing SCR optimization at coal steam units in
identifying uniform control stringency. This emissions rate assumption
of 0.08 lb/mmBtu reflects what those units would achieve on average
when optimized, recognizing that individual units may achieve lower or
higher rates based on unit-specific configuration and dispatch
patterns. Units historically performing at, or better, than this rate
of 0.08 lb/mmBtu are assumed to continue to operate at that prior
performance level.
Given the magnitude and duration of the air quality problems
addressed by this rulemaking, the EPA also applied the same methodology
to identify a reasonable level of performance for optimizing existing
SCRs at oil- and gas-fired steam units and simple cycle units (for
which EPA determined that a 0.03 lb/mmBtu emissions rate reflected SCR
optimization) as well as at combined-cycle units (for which the EPA
determined that a 0.012 lb/mmBtu emissions rate reflected SCR
optimization).
The EPA evaluated the feasibility of optimizing idled SCRs for the
2023 ozone season. Based on industry past practice, the EPA determined
that idled controls can be restored to operation quickly (i.e., in less
than 2 months). This timeframe is informed by many electric utilities'
previous long-standing practice of utilizing SCRs to reduce EGU
NOX emissions during the ozone season while putting the
systems into protective lay-up during the non-ozone season months. For
example, this was the long-standing practice of many EGUs that used SCR
systems for compliance with the NOX Budget Trading Program.
It was quite typical for SCRs to be turned off following the end of the
ozone season control period on September 30. These controls would then
be put into protective lay-up for several months of non-use before
being returned to operation by May 1 of the following ozone
season.\200\ Therefore, the EPA believes that optimization of existing
SCRs is possible for the portion of the 2023 ozone season covered under
this final rule. The recent successful implementation of this strategy
for the Revised CSAPR Update Rule, and corresponding fast improvement
in SCR performance rates at units with optimization potential, provides
further supporting evidence of the viability of this timeframe.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\200\ In the 22-state CSAPR Update region, 2005 EGU
NOX emissions data suggest that 125 EGUs operated SCR
systems in the summer ozone season while idling these controls for
the remaining 7 non-ozone season months of the year. Units with SCR
were identified as those with 2005 ozone season average
NOX rates that were less than 0.12 lb/mmBtu and 2005
average non-ozone season NOX emissions rates that
exceeded 0.12 lb/mmBtu and where the average non-ozone season
NOX rate was more than double the ozone season rate.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The vast majority of SCR-controlled units (nationwide and in the 23
linked states for which EPA is issuing a FIP for EGUs) are already
partially operating these controls during the ozone season based on
reported 2021 and 2022 emissions rates. Notably, the higher ozone
season NOX allowance price observed in 2022 resulted in more
units operating their controls closer to their potential and bringing
collective emissions from those 12 states closer to the 2023 emissions
budgets for those states in this final rule, accordingly.
[[Page 36722]]
Existing SCRs operating at partial capacity still provide functioning,
maintained systems that may only require an increased chemical reagent
feed rate (i.e., ammonia or urea) up to their design potential and
catalyst maintenance for mitigating NOX emissions; such
units may require increased frequency or quantity of deliveries, which
can be accomplished within a few weeks. In many cases, EGUs with SCR
have historically achieved more efficient NOX removal rates
than their current performance and can therefore simply revert to
earlier operation and maintenance plans that achieved demonstrably
better SCR performance.
In the 12 states subject to this control stringency in the Revised
CSAPR Update, the EPA observed significant immediate-term improvements
in SCR performance in the first ozone season following finalization of
that rule, as evidenced in particular by the sharp drop in emissions
rate at Miami Fort unit 7 (see EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD). For instance, in June of 2021--within months of the
Revised CSAPR Rule being finalized--Miami Fort Unit 7 and Unit 8 (which
had substantial SCR optimization potential) were able to reach levels
of 0.07 lb/mmBtu of NOX (a greater than 50 percent reduction
from where they had operated the prior year during the same month).
Such empirical data further illustrates the viability of this
mitigation strategy for the 2023 control period in response to this
rule.
Comment: EPA received comments supporting the 0.08 lb/mmBtu
emissions rate as achievable and, according to some commenters,
underestimate the control's potential. Some of these commenters went on
to provide their own analysis demonstrating that the 0.08 lb/mmBtu was
achievable not only on average for the non-optimized fleet, but also
for these individual units and that the resulting state emissions
budgets were likewise achievable. Some commenters suggested that the
rate should be lower and premised on EPA using the first- or second-
best year instead of the third best year of SCR performance. Some
commenters observed that using the same methodology, but omitting SCR
units that have since retired, could deliver an even lower SCR
performance benchmark rate.
Response: The EPA notes that updating the inventory of coal-fired
EGUs to reflect recent retirements and to include data reported since
2019 (e.g., 2009-2021) would provide a lower value of 0.071 lb/mmBtu.
However, EPA acknowledges that 2020 operational data included impacts
from COVID-19 pandemic shutdowns (such as atypical electricity demand
patterns) which complicate interpretations of typical EGU emissions
performance. Additionally, EPA believes that in this context, a unit's
retirement in 2020 or 2021 does not obviate the usefulness of its prior
SCR operational data for assessing the emissions control performance of
other existing SCRs across the fleet. Consequently, EPA is continuing
to use the same value of the 0.08 lb/mmBtu emissions rate calculated
from the 2009-2019 data set identified at the time of the final Revised
CSAPR Update Rule in this rulemaking. EPA's analysis focuses on the
third best ozone season average rate because EPA believes that the
first- or second-best rate, consistent with its CSAPR Update final rule
and in the Revised CSAPR Update, could give undue weight to the
emissions control performance of new SCRs in their first year of
service and their corresponding newer SCR components. It does not
necessarily reflect achievable ongoing NOX emissions rates
at relatively older SCRs. The third-lowest season was selected because
it represents a time when the unit was most likely consistently and
efficiently operating its SCR in a manner representative of sustained
future operation.
Comment: Other commenters suggested that EPA should apply a higher
NOX emissions rate than 0.08 lb/mmBtu to existing SCR at
coal EGUs premised on considerations such as: a generally reduced
average capacity factor for coal units in recent years, the age of the
boiler, coal rank (bituminous or subbituminous), or other unit-specific
considerations that commenters claim make the 0.08 lb/mmBtu rate
unattainable for a specific unit.
Response: EPA did not find sufficient justification to apply a
higher average emissions rate than 0.08 lb/mmBtu. EPA found that some
commenters were misunderstanding or misconstruing both EPA's assumption
and implementation mechanism as a unit-level requirement for every SCR-
controlled unit instead of a reflection of a fleet-wide average based
on a third-best rate. The commenters' observation--that 0.08 lb/mmBtu
may be difficult for some units to achieve or may not be a preferred
compliance strategy for a given unit given its dispatch levels--does
not contradict EPA's assumption, but rather supports its methodology
and assumptions. As EPA pointed out in the proposed rule, this fleet-
level emissions rate assumption of 0.08 lb/mmBtu for non-optimized
units reflects, on average, what those units would achieve when
optimized. Some of these units may achieve rates that are lower than
0.08 lb/mmBtu, and some units may operate above that rate based on
unit-specific configuration and dispatch patterns. In other words, EPA
is using this assumption as the average performance of a unit that
optimizes its SCR, recognizing that heterogeneity within the fleet will
likely lead some units to overperform and others to underperform this
rate. Moreover, a review of unit-specific historical data indicates
that this is a reasonable assumption: not only has the group of units
with SCR optimization potential demonstrated they can perform at or
better than the 0.08 lb/mmBtu rate on average, over 90 percent of the
individual units in this group have already met this rate on a seasonal
and/or monthly basis based on their reported historical data.
Additionally, EPA's examination of units experiencing SCR
performance deterioration included notable instances of poor
NOX control at increased capacity factors. As an example,
Miami Fort Unit 7 had considerably more hours of operation at a 70 to
79 percent capacity factor in 2019 compared to previous years. However,
Miami Fort Unit 7's ozone-season NOX emissions rate
substantially increased in 2019 compared to previous years. This SCR
performance deterioration runs counter to the notion that an increase
in emissions rates is purely driven by reduced capacity factor, as
suggested by commenters. This substantial deterioration in the median
emissions rate performance is observable even when comparing specific
hours in 2019 to specific hours in prior years when the unit operated
in the same 70 to 79 percent capacity factor range. In fact, in 2019
the unit experienced notable emissions rate increases from prior years
across multiple capacity factor ranges as low as 40 percent to as high
as 80 percent. This type of data indicates instances where the increase
in emissions rate (and emissions) is not necessitated by load changes
but is more likely due to the erosion of the existing incentive to
optimize controls (i.e., the ozone-season NOX allowance
price has fallen so low that unit operators find it more economic to
surrender additional allowances instead of continuing to operate
pollution controls at an optimized level).
EPA observed this pattern in other units identified in this
rulemaking as having significant SCR optimization emissions reduction
potential. In the accompanying Emissions Data TSD for the supplemental
notice that EPA recently released in a proceeding to
[[Page 36723]]
address a recommendation submitted to EPA by the Ozone Transport
Commission under CAA section 184(c), EPA noted, ``In their years with
the lowest average ozone season NOX emissions rates in this
analysis, these EGUs had relatively low NOX emissions rates
at mid- and high-operating levels; moreover, there was little
variability in NOX emissions rates at these operating
levels. However, during the 2019 ozone season, these EGUs had higher
NOX emissions rates and greater variability in
NOX emissions rates across operating levels than in the
past, particularly at mid-operating levels.'' \201\ That hourly data
analysis, included in this docket, controls for operating level changes
and still finds there to be instances across multiple SCR-controlled
units where hourly emissions rates are increasing even when compared to
the same load levels in previous years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\201\ ``Analysis of Ozone Season NOX Emissions Data
for Coal-Fired EGUs in Four Mid-Atlantic States,'' EPA Clean Air
Markets Division. December 2020. Available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2020-12/documents/184c_emission_data_tsd.pdf.
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Some commenters have alleged that in recent years coal-fired EGUs
have declined in capacity factor and that SCR performance declines at
those lower operating levels. However, hourly data indicate that
maintaining consistent SCR performance at lower capacity factors is
possible. For example, the unit-level performance data in Figure 2 to
section VI.B of this document show the emissions rate at a coal-fired
EGU with existing SCR staying relatively low (consistent with our
optimization assumption of 0.08 lb/mmBtu) and stable across a wide
range of capacity factors.\202\
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\202\ EPA, Air Markets Program Data. Available at www.epa.gov/ampd.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.000
Furthermore, most recent data from 2022 illustrates that cycling
units do have the ability to adjust cycling patterns in a manner that
enables them to maintain a lower emissions rate throughout the season
while still achieving a load cycling pattern at the unit. For example,
the SCR-controlled Conemaugh Unit 2 in Pennsylvania adjusted operating
patterns in 2022 to have a slightly higher minimum load in most hours
(maintaining a range of 550 MW-900 MW for most hours as opposed to 450
MW-900 MW observed in 2021). This change in minimum load, and
corresponding minimum operating temperature, enabled the unit to
maintain emissions rates in the 0.05 lb/mmBtu to 0.10 lb/mmBtu range
for most of the 2022 season (as opposed to NOX emissions
rates that regularly exceeded 0.25 lb/mmBtu in the 2021 season). This
2022 improvement in SCR operation occurred during a period when
allowance prices increased relative to prior years, creating an
incentive for potential emissions reductions through SCR optimization.
Comment: EPA also received comment suggesting it should deviate
from its approach in the CSAPR Update of using a nationwide data set of
all SCR controlled coal units to establish a third best year, and
instead limit the dataset to either just the covered states, or--in the
case of some commenters--just to the baseline years of those units at
which EPA is identifying optimization potential. They claim the current
methodology may capture extremely efficient SCR performance years at
the best performing units and that level of performance may not be
available at all units with optimization potential. These commenters
also disagree with the EPA finding that SCRs can consistently maintain
a 0.08 lb/mmBtu rate over time.
Response: EPA reviewed the data and its methodology and evaluated
it against its intention to identify a technology-specific
representative emissions rate for SCR optimization. In doing so, EPA
did not identify any need to make the suggested change. EPA is
interested in the performance potential of a technology, and a larger
dataset provides a superior indication of that potential as opposed to
a smaller, state-limited dataset. Moreover, EPA's use of the third best
year (as opposed to best) from its baseline period results in an
average optimization level that is robust
[[Page 36724]]
to the commenters' concern that EPA should not overstate the fleetwide
representative optimization level. Prior experience with EPA's
methodology and program has borne out empirical evidence of its
reasonableness. In both the CSAPR Update and in Revised CSAPR Update
rule, EPA appropriately relied on the largest dataset possible (i.e.,
nationwide) to derive technology performance averages that it then
applied respectively to the CSAPR Update 22-state region and the
Revised CSAPR Update's 12-state region. EPA repeats that successful
approach in this rule. Finally, as noted in the preceding paragraphs,
in affirming the reasonableness of this approach, EPA examined the
historical reported data (pre-2021) for the units in the states with
SCR optimization potential and found the nationwide derived average
appropriate and consistent with demonstrated capability and performance
of units within those states. That is, the vast majority of units to
which this resulting emissions rate assumption was being applied had
demonstrated the ability to achieve this rate in some prior year for an
extended monthly or seasonal basis. This information is discussed
further in the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD
in the docket.
Comment: Some commenters suggested the price of SCR optimization is
higher than the $1,600 per ton figure proposed due to current market
conditions for aqueous ammonia or other input prices.
Response: EPA provides a representative cost for this mitigation
technology which is anticipated to reflect the cost, on average,
throughout the compliance period for the rule. While there may be
volatility in the market during that period where the price falls above
or below the single representative threshold value, EPA's EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD explains how the
representative cost is derived and is inclusive of consultation and
vetting by third party air pollution control consulting groups.
Commenters did not demonstrate that observed 2021 elevated prices amid
market volatility would continue into the future compliance periods
discussed in this rule. Moreover, the selection of the mitigation
technology is reflective of a variety of factors including reduction
potential and air quality impact. A higher cost (commenter suggests up
to $3,800 per ton) would not change EPA's determination that optimizing
already existing SCRs is an appropriate mitigation strategy for Step 3
emissions reduction analysis in this rulemaking as it would remain one
of the most widely available, widely practiced, and lowest cost
mitigation measures with meaningful downwind air quality benefit.
Appendix B of the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule
TSD further addresses commenters' concerns as it provides a variety of
sensitivities showing cost per ton levels under a variety of different
input assumptions (including higher material and reagent cost). It
supports the continued inclusion of this technology in the rule even in
the event that higher reagent costs extend into compliance years.
Comment: While many commenters supported the feasibility of 2023
ozone-season implementation by noting the ``immediate availability'' of
SCR optimization, other commenters argued that the engineering,
procurement, and other steps required for SCR optimization were not
feasible given the anticipated limited window between rule finalization
and the start of the 2023 ozone season.
Response: There is ample evidence of units restoring their optimal
performance within a two-month timeframe. Not only do units reactivate
SCR performance level at the start of an ozone-season when tighter
emissions limits begin, but unit-level data also shows instances where
sources have demonstrated the ability to quickly alter their emissions
rate within an ozone-season and even within the same day in some cases.
Moreover, this emissions control is familiar to sources and was
analyzed and included in the Revised CSAPR Update emissions budgets
finalized in 2021 and the CSAPR Update emissions budgets finalized in
2016. With this experience, and notice through the March 2022 proposed
rule, as well as over two months from final rule to effective date, the
viability of this emissions control for the 2023 ozone season is
consistent with the 2-week to 2-month timeframe that EPA identified as
reasonable in the CSAPR Update, Revised CSAPR Update, and in this
rulemaking. Similar to prior rules, commenters provide some unit-level
examples where it has taken longer. Also similar to those prior rules,
EPA does not find those unit-level examples compelling in the context
of its fleet average assumptions and in the implementation context of a
trading program which provides compliance alternatives in the event a
specific unit prefers more time to implement a given control measure.
As noted in Wisconsin, ``. . . all those anecdotes show is that
installation can drag on when companies are unconstrained by the
ticking clock of the law.'' 938 F.3d at 330.
b. Installing State-of-the-Art NOX Combustion Controls
The EPA estimates that the representative cost of installing state-
of-the-art combustion controls is comparable to, if not notably less
than, the estimated cost of optimizing existing SCR (represented by
$1,600 per ton). State-of-the-art combustion controls such as low-
NOX burners (LNB) and over-fire air (OFA) can be installed
or updated quickly and can substantially reduce EGU NOX
emissions. Nationwide, approximately 99 percent of coal-fired EGU
capacity greater than 25 MW is equipped with some form of combustion
control; however, the control configuration or corresponding emissions
rates at a small portion of those units (including units in those
states covered in this action) indicate they do not currently have
state-of-the-art combustion control technology. For this rulemaking,
the Agency re-evaluated its NOX emissions rate assumptions
for upgrading existing combustion controls to state-of-the-art
combustion control. The EPA is maintaining its determination that
NOX emissions rates of 0.146 to 0.199 lb/mmBtu can be
achieved on average depending on the unit's boiler configuration,\203\
and, once installed, reduce NOX emissions at all times of
EGU operation.
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\203\ Details of EPA's assessment of state-of-the-art
NOX combustion controls are provided in the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD.
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These assumptions are consistent with the Revised CSAPR Update.
They are further discussed in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD. In particular, the EPA is finalizing, as
proposed, the application of the 0.199 lb/mmBtu emissions rate
assumption for both boiler types (tangentially and wall fired). EPA's
analysis calculated average emissions rates of 0.199 lb/mmBtu for
combustion controls on dry bottom wall fired units and 0.146 lb/mmBtu
for tangentially fired units. However, many of the likely impacted
units burn bituminous coal, and the 0.146 lb/mmBtu nationwide average
for tangentially-fired (inclusive of subbituminous units) appears to be
below the demonstrated emissions rate of state-of-the-art combustion
controls for bituminous coal units of this boiler type. Therefore,
EPA's assignment of a 0.199 lb/mmBtu emissions rate for combustion
controls at all affected unit types is robust to current and future
coal choice at a unit.
The EPA has previously examined the feasibility of installing
combustion controls and found that industry had demonstrated ability to
install state-of-
[[Page 36725]]
the-art LNB controls on a large unit (800 MW) in under six months when
including the pre-installation phases (design, order placement,
fabrication, and delivery).\204\ In prior rules, the EPA has documented
its own assessment of combustion control timing installation as well as
evaluated comments it received regarding installation of combustion
controls from the Institute of Clean Air Companies.\205\ Those comments
provided information on the equipment and typical installation time
frame for new combustion controls, accounting for all steps. To date,
EPA has found it generally takes between 6-8 months on a typical
boiler--covering the time through bid evaluation through start-up of
the technology. The deployment schedule is repeated here as:
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\204\ The EPA finds that, generally, the installation phase of
state-of-the-art combustion control upgrades--on a single-unit
basis--can be as little as 4 weeks to install with a scheduled
outage (not including the pre-installation phases such as
permitting, design, order, fabrication, and delivery) and as little
as 6 months considering all implementation phases.
\205\ EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-0500-0093.
4-8 weeks--bid evaluation and negotiation
4-6 weeks--engineering and completion of engineering drawings
2 weeks--drawing review and approval from user
10-12 weeks--fabrication of equipment and shipping to end user
site
2-3 weeks--installation at end user site
1 week--commissioning and start-up of technology
Given the referenced timeframe of approximately 6 to 8 months to
complete combustion control installation in the region, the EPA is
finalizing that installation of state-of-the-art combustion controls is
a readily available approach for EGUs to reduce NOX
emissions by the start of the 2024 ozone season. More details on these
analyses can be found in the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule
TSD.
The cost of installing state-of-the-art combustion controls per ton
of NOX reduced is dependent on the combustion control type
and unit type. The EPA estimates the cost per ton of state-of-the-art
combustion controls to be $400 per ton to $1,200 per ton of
NOX removed using a representative capacity factor of 85
percent. This cost fits well within EPA's representative cost threshold
observed for SCR optimization and combustion controls (of $1,600 per
ton) which would accommodate combustion control upgrade even under
scenarios where a lower capacity factor is assumed. 99 percent of units
have some form of combustion controls, indicating the widespread cost-
effectiveness of this control. See the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD for additional details.
At proposal EPA assumed that emissions reductions from combustion
control upgrades at affected EGUs in states subject to the Revised
CSAPR Update program could occur by 2023 given that those EGUs may have
already begun pursuing such upgrades in response to that previous rule.
However, EPA does not have data to confirm that presumption, and hence
EPA is determining in this final rule that combustion control upgrades
for all affected EGUs, regardless of whether they were previously
subject to the Revised CSAPR Update program, should be considered
available by the 2024 ozone season, consistent with the deployment
schedule noted in this section.
Comment: Some commenters suggested that EPA, in its modeling for
the proposed rule, overestimated the ability of combustion control
technologies to achieve very low NOX emissions rates. The
commenters claim EPA's assumptions are derived from projected
NOX emissions rates based on ideal circumstances for
NOX emissions reductions, including combinations of fuel
composition and unit design that are not typical and should not be
extrapolated to the national inventory.
Response: EPA's emissions performance rate for state-of-the-art
combustion controls is derived from historical data and takes both
boiler type and coal choice into account. EPA reviewed historical data
and identified the average emissions rates for units with this
technology already in place. It segmented this analysis by boiler type
(dry-bottom wall-fired boiler and tangentially-fired, and further
segmented by coal rank to assess the average performance among these
varying parameters. As explained in the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies
Final Rule TSD, EPA chose an emissions rate for which it verified
accommodated (i.e., was greater than or equal to) the average
performance rate identified above for each boiler configuration with
state-of-the-art combustion controls and resulted in reductions
consistent with the technology's assumed percent reduction potential
when applied to this subset of units. It also assessed whether the rate
had been demonstrated by both subbituminous and bituminous coal units
with state-of-the-art combustion controls. EPA further assessed the
percent reduction that achieving this rate would require from the
specific segment of the fleet identified as having this mitigation
measure available. Here too, EPA found that the effective percent
reduction for the identified fleet (inclusive of their existing coal
rank choice) is well within the historical performance range for this
technology. Therefore, EPA is finalizing the combustion control upgrade
performance assumption of 0.199 lb/mmBtu as appropriate representative
average performance rate for this technology and robust to different
boiler types and coal ranks.
c. Optimizing Already Operating SNCRs or Turning on Idled Existing
SNCRs
Optimizing already operating SNCRs or turning on idled existing
SNCRs can also reduce EGU NOX emissions quickly, using
investments in pollution control technologies that have already been
made. Compared to no post-combustion controls on a unit, SNCRs can
achieve a 25 percent reduction on average in EGU NOX
emissions (with sufficient reagent). They are less capital intensive
but less efficient at NOX removal than SCRs. These controls
are in use to some degree across the U.S. power sector. In the 22
linked states with EGU reductions identified in this final rule,
approximately 11 percent of coal-fired EGU capacity is equipped with
SNCR.\206\ Recent power sector data suggest that, in some cases, SNCR
controls have been operating less in 2021 relative to performance in
prior years. For instance, EPA reviewed the last five years of
performance data for all the units with SNCR optimization potential in
its Engineering Analysis. It found that in 2021--the most recent year
reviewed--that the weighted average ozone season emissions rate for
these units was higher than the prior three years (indicating some
deterioration in average performance). Moreover, a unit level review
illustrated that 80 of the 107 units had performed better in a prior
year by an average of 13 percent--indicating substantial optimization
potential.\207\
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\206\ https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs-v6.
\207\ See ``Historical Emission Rates for Units with SNCR
Optimization Potential'' in the docket for this rulemaking.
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The EPA determined that optimizing already operating SNCRs or
turning on idled SNCRs is an available approach for EGUs to reduce
NOX emissions, has similar implementation timing to
restarting idled SCR controls (less than 2 months for a given unit),
and therefore could be implemented in time for the 2023 ozone season.
In this final rule, the EPA is determining that this emissions
[[Page 36726]]
control measure is available beginning in the 2023 ozone season.
Using the Retrofit Cost Analyzer described in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final TSD, the EPA estimates a representative
cost of optimizing SNCR ranging from approximately $1,800 per ton (for
partially operating SNCRs) to $3,900 per ton (for idled SNCRs). For
existing SNCRs that have been idled, unit operators may need to restart
payment of some fixed and variable operating costs including labor,
maintenance and repair, parasitic load, and ammonia or urea. The EPA
determined that the majority of units with existing SNCR optimization
potential were already partially operating their controls. Therefore,
the EPA finalizes a representative cost of $1,800 per ton for SNCR
optimization as this value best reflects the circumstances of the
majority of the affected EGUs with SNCR.
d. Installing New SNCRs
The EPA evaluated potential emissions reductions and associated
costs from retrofitting EGUs with new SNCR post-combustion controls at
steam units lacking such controls, which can achieve a 25 percent
NOX reduction on average. New SNCR technology provides
owners with a relatively less capital-intensive option for reducing
NOX emissions compared to new SCR technology, albeit at the
expense of higher operating costs on a per-ton basis and less total
emissions reduction potential. SNCR is more widely observed on
relatively smaller coal units given its low capital/variable cost
ratio. The average capacity of a coal unit with SNCR is half the size
of the average capacity of coal unit with SCR.\208\ Given these
observations, the EPA identifies this technology as an emissions
reduction measure for coal units less than 100 MW lacking post-
combustion NOX control technology. As described in the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD, the EPA estimated that $6,700
per ton reflects a representative SNCR retrofit cost level for these
units.
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\208\ See EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule
TSD for additional discussion.
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For this rulemaking, EPA is not considering SNCR installation
timing unto itself but is instead considering how long eligible EGUs
may need to adopt either SNCR or SCR as a post-combustion control
measure. SNCR installations generally have shorter project installation
timeframes relative to other post-combustion controls. The time for
engineering review, contract award, fabrication, delivery, and hookup
is as little as 16 months including pre-contract award steps for an
individual power plant installing controls on more than one boiler.
However, SNCR retrofits have less pollution reduction potential than
SCRs, and as explained further in the next section, the EPA is
identifying the retrofit of new SCR rather than SNCR as a strategy for
larger steam units due to this lower removal efficiency. This approach
respects empirical evidence that larger coal-fired EGUs which installed
post-combustion NOX control technology have overwhelmingly
chosen SCRs over SNCRs. Even for smaller units less than 100 MW
identified as potential candidates for SNCR technology, the EPA does
not want to preclude those units from pursuing SCR in lieu of SNCR.
Therefore, in this final rule the EPA defines the availability of
emissions reductions from post-combustion control installation to be in
2026, the same period as the start of SCR-based reductions becoming
available, to allow enough time for eligible EGUs to choose between SCR
or SNCR. SNCR installation shares similar implementation steps with and
also need to account for the same regional factors as SCR
installations, which are described in the next section. While the EPA
is determining that at least 16 months would be needed to complete all
necessary steps of SNCR development and installation, an eligible EGU
choosing new SCR instead would require installation timing of 36 to 48
months. EPA believes its finalized joint timing considerations for
post-combustion control retrofits (SNCR and SCR) are justified given
that post-combustion control retrofit decisions are subject to unit-
specific economic and engineering factors and are sensitive to operator
compliance strategy choices with respect to multiple regulatory
requirements.
Comment: Some commenters argued that post-combustion control timing
assumptions (SCR and SNCR) should be decoupled, which could result in
the EPA using the 16-month time frame specific to SNCR installation to
require emissions reductions related to new SNCR installations by the
2025 ozone season.
Response: The EPA does not agree that decoupling SCR and SNCR
timing consideration is justified in the context of this final rule's
emissions control program for EGUs. Approximately 1,000 tons of
emissions reduction potential are estimated for the small coal EGUs
deemed eligible for SNCR retrofit. The incentives provided through the
implementation of this rule's trading program will encourage these EGUs
to determine and adopt emissions reduction measures (including SNCR or
SCR) as soon as possible to reduce their allowance holding compliance
burden. By scheduling SNCR-related emissions reductions potential for
the 2026 ozone season, the EPA preserves the opportunity for
considerably superior emissions reduction potential from these EGUs
should they select SCR retrofit instead, while still requiring post-
combustion control emissions reduction potential ahead of the next
attainment date.
Comment: Some commenters argued that the upper range of SNCR
NOX removal performance (40 percent) referenced by EPA is
optimistic for many boilers.
Response: EPA evaluated both actual performance and engineering
literature regarding SNCR retrofit technology and found both sources
supported the range of reduction estimates cited by EPA. (Refer to the
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD in the docket for this
rulemaking for additional information.) Moreover, for purposes of
calculating state budgets, EPA assumes 25 percent reduction from this
technology--not 40 percent--which reflects a value well within the
range of documented performance for this technology. Remaining comments
on SNCR performance potential are addressed in the RTC Document and in
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD.
e. Installing New SCRs
Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) controls already exist on over
66 percent of the coal fleet in the linked states that are subject to a
FIP in this rulemaking. Nearly every pulverized coal unit larger than
100 MW built in the last 30 years has installed this control, which is
generally required for Best Available Control Technology (BACT)
purposes. Other than circulating fluidized bed coal units which can
achieve a comparably low emissions rate without this technology, the
EPA identifies this emissions reduction measure for coal steam units
greater than or equal to 100 MW. SCR is widely available for existing
coal units of this size and can provide significant emissions reduction
potential, with removal efficiencies of up to 90 percent. The EPA
limited its consideration of SCR technology to steam units greater than
or equal to 100 MW. The costs for retrofitting a plant smaller than 100
MW with SCR increase
[[Page 36727]]
rapidly due to a lack of economies of scale.\209\
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\209\ IPM Model-Updates to Cost and Performance for APC
Technologies. SCR Cost Development Methodology for Coal-fired
Boilers. February 2022.
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The amount of time needed to retrofit an EGU with new SCR extends
beyond the 2023 ozone season. Similar to the SNCR retrofits discussed
in this section, the EPA evaluated potential emissions reductions and
associated costs from this control technology, as well as the impacts
and need for this emissions control strategy, at the earliest point in
time when their installation could be achieved. EPA notes that it has
previously determined in the context of ozone transport that regional
scale implementation of SCRs at numerous EGUs is achievable in 36
months. See 63 FR 57356, 57447-50 (October. 27, 1998). However, since
that time, the EPA has found up to 36-48 months to be a more
appropriate installation timeframe for regionwide actions when the EPA
is evaluating multiple installations at multiple locations.\210\
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\210\ See, e.g., CSAPR Close-Out, 83 FR 65878, 65895 (December
21, 2018) and Revised CSAPR Update, 86 FR 23102 (April 30, 2021).
See also Final Report: Engineering and Economic Factors Affecting
the Installation of Control Technologies for Multipollutant
Strategies, EPA-600/R-02/073 (Oct. 2002), available at https://nepis.epa.gov/Adobe/PDF/P1001G0O.pdf.
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In the past, the EPA has found the amount of time to retrofit a
single EGU with new SCR, depending on the regulatory program under
which such control may be required, may vary between approximately 2
and 4 years depending on site-specific engineering considerations and
on the number of installations being considered. This includes steps
for engineering review, construction permit, operating permit, and
control technology installation (including fabrication, pre hookup,
control hookup, and testing). EPA's assessment of installation
procedures suggests as little as 21 months may be needed for a single
SCR at an individual plant and 36 months at a single plant with
multiple boilers. EPA's assessment of units with SCR retrofit potential
indicate the majority fall into this first classification, i.e., a
single SCR at a power plant.
While EPA finds that 36 months is a possible time frame for SCR
installation at individual units or plants, the total of nearly 31 GW
of coal capacity with SCR retrofit potential and 19 GW of oil/gas steam
capacity with SCR retrofit potential within the geographic footprint of
the final rule is a scale of retrofit activity that is not demonstrated
to have been achieved within a three-year span based on data from the
past two decades. Given that some of the assumed SCR retrofit potential
occurs at plants with multiple units identified with retrofit
potential, and given the total volume of SCR retrofit capacity being
implemented across the region, EPA is allowing in this final rule
between 36 to 48 months, consistent with the regional time frame
discussed for SCR retrofit in prior rules, for the full implementation
of reductions commensurate with this volume of SCR retrofit capacity,
as described further in section VI.A of this document.
The Agency examined the cost for retrofitting a coal unit with new
SCR technology, which typically attains controlled NOX rates
of 0.05 lb/mmBtu or less. These updates are further discussed in the
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD.\211\ Based on
the characteristics of coal units of 100 MW or greater capacity that do
not have post-combustion
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\211\ As noted in that TSD, approximately half of the recent SCR
retrofits (i.e., installed in the last 10 years) have demonstrated
an emission rate across the ozone season below 0.05 lb/mmBtu, even
absent a requirement or strong incentive to operate at that level in
many cases.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX control technology, the EPA estimated a weighted-
average representative SCR cost of $11,000 per ton.\212\
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\212\ This cost estimate is representative of coal units lacking
any post-combustion control. A subset of units within the universe
of coal sources with SCR retrofit potential, but that have an
existing SNCR technology in place would have a weighted average cost
that falls above this level, but still cost effective. See the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD for more
discussion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The 0.05 lb/mmBtu emissions rate performance assumption for new SCR
retrofits is supported by historical data and third party independent
review by pollution control engineering and consulting firms. The EPA
first examined unit-level emissions rate data for coal-fired units that
had a relatively recent SCR installation (within the last 10 years).
The best performing 10 percent of these SCRs were demonstrating
seasonal emissions rates of 0.036 lb/mmBtu during this time.
While the EPA identified the 0.05 lb/mmBtu performance assumption
consistent with historical data, these performance levels are also
informed and consistent with the Agency's IPM modeling assumptions used
for more than a decade. These modeling assumptions are based on input
from leading engineering and pollution control consulting entities.
Most recently, these data assumptions were affirmed and updated in the
summer of 2021 and included in the docket for this rulemaking.\213\ The
EPA relies on a global firm providing engineering, construction
management, and consulting services for power and energy with expertise
in grid modernization, renewable energy, energy storage, nuclear power,
and fossil fuels. Their familiarity with state-of-the art pollution
controls at power plants derives from experience providing
comprehensive project services--from consulting, design, and
implementation to construction management, commissioning, and
operations/maintenance. This review and update supported the 0.05 lb/
mmBtu performance assumption as a representative emissions rate for new
SCR across coal types.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\213\ See ``IPM Model--Updates to Cost and Performance for APC
Technologies: SCR Cost Development Methodology for Coal-fired
Boilers''.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA performed an assessment for oil/gas steam units in which it
evaluated the nationwide performance of those units with SCR
technology. For these units, the EPA tabulated EGU NOX ozone
season emissions data from 2009 through 2021 and calculated an average
NOX ozone season emissions rate across the fleet of oil- and
gas-fired EGUs with SCR for each of these years. The EPA identified the
third lowest year which yielded an SCR performance rate of 0.03 lb/
mmBtu as representative of performance for this retrofit technology
applied to this type of EGU. Next, the EPA evaluated the emissions and
operational characteristics for the existing oil/gas steam fleet
lacking SCR technology. EPA's analysis indicated that the majority of
reduction potential (approximately 76 percent) from these units
occurred at units greater than or equal to 100 MW and that were
emitting more than 150 tons per ozone season (i.e., approximately 1 ton
per day). Moreover, the cost of reductions for units falling below
these criteria increased significantly on a dollar per ton basis.
Therefore, the EPA identified the portion of the oil/gas steam fleet
meeting these criteria (i.e., greater than or equal to 100 MW and
emitting more than 150 tons per ozone season) as representative of the
SCR retrofit reduction potential.\214\ For this segment of the oil/gas
steam units lacking post-combustion NOX control technology,
the EPA estimated a weighted-average representative SCR cost of $7,700
per ton.
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\214\ The EPA used a 3-year average of 2019-2021 reported ozone
season emissions to derive a tons per ozone season value
representative for each covered oil/gas steam unit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Some commenters disagreed with EPA's proposed 36-month
timeframe for SCR retrofit. These commenters noted that, while possible
at the unit or plant level, the collective volume of SCR installation
occurring in
[[Page 36728]]
a limited region of the country would not be possible given the labor
constraints, supply constraints, and simultaneous outages necessary to
complete SCR retrofit projects on such a schedule. They noted that
achieving such a timeframe against a backdrop of such challenging
circumstances is unprecedented and that EPA's assumptions ignore that
many of the remaining unretrofitted coal units reflect more site-
specific challenges than those that were already retrofitted on a
quicker timeframe.
Response: EPA reviewed the comments and is making several changes
in this final rule to address some of the concerns identified by the
commenters. In particular, EPA found that its own review of historical
retrofit patterns as well as technical information submitted by
commenters supported commenters' concerns regarding: (1) current and
anticipated constraints in labor and supply markets, (2) the potential
collective capacity levels of SCR retrofit within 36 months, and (3)
possible site-specific complexities at the remaining units without an
existing SCR. To address these concerns, EPA is phasing in its SCR
installation requirement over a 48-month time frame in this final rule,
instead of a 36-month time frame as proposed (see additional detail and
discussion in section VI.A.2.a and the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD). EPA will require half of the reductions
associated with SCR installation in 2026 and the other half in 2027.
Additionally, EPA is moving the daily backstop rate for these units
with identified SCR reduction potential from 2027 to no later than
2030, which defers the increased allowance surrender ratio for
emissions above the backstop rate at any outlier units unable to
complete the retrofit during that time frame. These adjustments
continue to incentivize reductions in NOX emissions by the
attainment date that are consistent with cost-effective SCR controls,
but provide more flexibility (both from timing and technology
perspective) in how they are procured.
Some commenters requested more than 48 months to install SCR
controls based on the collective total volume of SCR retrofit volume
identified and past projects that took five or more years. EPA
disagrees with these comments and finds that they ignored key aspects
of the proposed rule. First, the final rule does not directly require
implementation of SCR; rather, it requires reductions commensurate with
SCR installations based on a rigorous assessment of SCR retrofit
potential. Implementing the reductions through a trading program means
that sources in many cases, as suggested by the Regulatory Impact
Analysis (RIA), will find alternative, and more economic means, of
reducing emissions--including reduced generation and retirements that
are already planned based on the age of the unit, decarbonization
goals, or compliance with other Federal/state/local regulation
compliance dates. Moreover, the additional new generation incentives
provided by the Inflation Reduction Act (enacted after the proposed
rule) will further increase the pace of new generation replacing some
of the older generating capacity identified as having retrofit
potential.\215\ In short, although EPA identified the total SCR
retrofit capacity potential for today's existing fleet and does not
premise any reduction requirements of incremental retirements, the
announced and planned futures for these units indicates that many will
likely retire instead of installing SCR. For the capacity identified at
Step 3 which lacks SCR, the planned or projected retirement in place of
a retrofit moots the SCR timing for these units. Moreover, it also
reduces the demand for associated labor and materials which, in turn,
frees up resources for any units proceeding with a SCR retrofit.
Therefore, comments which cite labor and supply chain challenges for
accommodating the entire fleet capacity identified as having SCR
retrofit potential significantly overstate the supply-side challenge--
as it ignores the fact that much of this capacity has explicit or
expected operation plans that will result in compliance without a
retrofit.
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\215\ See ``Regulatory Impact Analysis for 2015 Good Neighbor
Plan, Appendix 4A: Inflation Reduction Act EGU Sensitivity Run
Results.'' EPA estimated the compliance costs and emissions changes
of the final rule in the presence of the IRA, but given time and
resource constraints, did not quantify benefits for this
sensitivity.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Even for sources choosing a SCR retrofit compliance pathway, many
of these comments ignore the timing flexibilities of the trading
program, which (particularly with the changes to the backstop daily
emissions rate in this final rule) allow sources to temporarily comply
through means other than SCR retrofit if they experience any site-
specific retrofit limitations that increase their time frame. Also,
historical examples of SCR retrofit projects that exceeded 48 months in
duration do not necessarily demonstrate that such projects are
impossible in less than 48 months, but rather that they can extend
beyond the timeframe if no requirements or incentives are in place for
a faster installation. Some also cite site-specific conditions that
resulted an outlier cases of project timing that would not be
representative of the conditions expected at future retrofit
projects.\216\
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\216\ Commenters, for example, cited the timing of SCR
installation at Sammis 6 and 7. Here, the SCR design and material
delivery schedule were tailored to meet unique site conditions that
were unlike many other SCR systems where large modules can be used
to maximize shop and ground assembly techniques. Additional
information is available at https://www.babcock.com/home/about/resources/success-stories/sammis-plant.
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Comment: Some stakeholders suggested that EPA's cost estimates of
$11,000 per ton are premised on a 15-year book life of the equipment
and are therefore too optimistic for units that plan to retire in well
under 15 years.
Response: EPA analysis of SCR retrofit cost reflects a
representative value for the technology based on a weighted average
cost. The underlying data and the discussion in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final TSD illustrates that these costs can vary
significantly at the unit level based on factors such as the length of
time a pollution control technology would be in operation, the capacity
factor of the unit (i.e., how much does it operate), its size or
potential to emit, and its baseline emissions rate. The EPA has not in
prior transport rulemakings used such factors as justification to
excuse any source that is significantly contributing to nonattainment
or interfering with maintenance in another state from eliminating that
significant contribution as expeditiously as practicable. Unlike under
other statutory provisions that may require retrofit of emissions
controls on existing sources, such as under CAA section 111(d) or CAA
section 169A, there is no remaining useful life factor expressly
identified as a justification to relax the requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). EPA continues to believe that where an emissions
control strategy has been identified at Step 3 that is cost-effective
on a regional scale and provides meaningful downwind air quality
improvement, and is thus appropriately identified as necessary to
eliminate significant contribution under the good neighbor provision,
it would not be appropriate to allow emissions to continue in excess of
those achievable emissions reductions beyond the timeframe for
expeditious implementation of reductions as provided under the larger
title I structure of the Act for attaining and maintaining the NAAQS.
The court in Wisconsin recognized that where such emissions have been
identified, they should be eliminated as expeditiously as practicable,
and in line with the
[[Page 36729]]
attainment schedule for downwind areas, which, for the 2015 ozone
NAAQS, is provided in CAA section 181. 938 F.3d at 313-20.
Further, EPA observes that more than one-third of the identified
SCR retrofit potential (in terms of generating capacity) has no planned
retirement date within 15 years, and therefore the cost of pollution
control technology on such units would likely be lower, holding all
other parameters equal, on a dollar per ton basis by virtue of the
length of time the pollution control equipment may be in operation. Nor
does EPA agree that units that would retire in less than 15 years
should automatically be considered to face an unreasonably higher cost
burden. Based on data analyzed in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD, we find that the cost per ton associated
with SCR retrofit technology does not begin to increase significantly
above the $11,000/ton benchmark unless units have dramatically lower
operating capacity or retire in less than 5 years' time--as illustrated
in Figure 1 to section V.B.1.e of this document.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.001
Finally, EPA's identification of this mitigation strategy is not
meant to be limited only to units that experience a retrofit cost that
is less than the representative cost threshold. First, that threshold
represents an average, meaning that EPA's analysis already recognizes
that some units on a facility-specific basis may face costs higher than
that threshold. Further, EPA identifies this technology as widely
available, implemented in practice already at many existing EGUs, and
now standard for any coal-fired unit coming online in the past 25
years. More than 66 percent of the current large coal fleet already has
such controls in place. Even if the cost were higher for some units for
the reasons provided by commenters--and there were no less costly means
provided to them to achieve the same level of emissions reduction
(which the trading program allows for)--that would not necessarily
obviate EPA's basis for finding that an emissions-reduction requirement
commensurate with this standard pollution control practice for this
unit type is warranted. The implementation of emissions reductions
through a trading program, and its corresponding compliance
flexibilities, make the use of a single representative cost all the
more appropriate in this assessment. Therefore, upon reviewing all of
the data including the information supplied by commenters, and even
accounting for certain units' announced plans to retire earlier than an
assumed 15-year book life for SCR retrofit technology, EPA finds its
representative cost for this technology to be appropriate and
reasonable for purposes of analysis under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) and maintains this cost estimate in the final rule.
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\217\ ``Debt Life'' refers to the term length, or duration, for
a loan used to finance the retrofit.
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However, in recognition of the unique circumstances related to the
transition of the power sector away from coal-fired and other high-
NOX emitting fuels and generating technologies, which is
anticipated to accelerate in the late 2020s and into the 2030s, EPA has
adjusted the final rule to avoid imposing a capital-intensive control
technology retrofit obligation which could have overall net-negative
environmental consequences (e.g., by extending the life of a higher-
emitting EGU or necessitating the allocation of material and personnel
that could be used for more advanced clean-technology
[[Page 36730]]
innovations). For units that plan to retire by 2030, the final rule--by
extending the daily backstop rate to 2030--allows these units to
continue to operate, so long as they comply with the mass-based
emissions trading program requirements.\218\ Therefore, a unit
experiencing a higher dollar per ton retrofit cost due to retirement
plans has the flexibility to install less capital intensive controls
such as SNCR, procure less costly allowances through either banking or
purchase, or they may also reduce their allowance holding requirement
through reduced utilization consistent with their phasing out towards a
planned retirement date. This flexibility that EPA has included in the
final rule is discussed in further detail in section VI.B of this
document.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\218\ In the RIA, EPA has modeled the mass-based budgets that
are premised on retrofit of SCR technology with the option of
complying through other strategies, and finds that they are readily
achievable through those other strategies.
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Comment: Some commenters suggested that the 0.05 lb/mmBtu emissions
rate assumed for new SCRs at large coal units is not achievable at all
coal units with retrofit potential and that EPA should raise this
performance assumption to a value of 0.08 lb/mmBtu consistent with that
assumption for existing SCRs.
Response: First, EPA believes the commenter misunderstands its
intention with the 0.05 lb/mmBtu SCR rate assumption. This is meant to
reflect a representative assumption for emissions rate performance for
new SCR installed on the currently unretrofitted coal fleet--in this
respect, it represents an average, not a maximum. EPA recognizes that
some units will likely perform better (i.e., lower) than this rate and
some will potentially perform worse (i.e., higher) than this rate--but
that 0.05 lb/mmBtu is a reasonable representation of new SCR retrofit
potential on a fleet-wide basis and for identifying expected state and
regional emissions reduction potential from this technology. It would
be inappropriate for EPA to use the worst performing tier of new SCR
retrofit for this representative value. Moreover, EPA's review of
historical environmental performance for recently installed SCRs does
not support any indication that 0.05 is not representative of the
retrofit potential for the fleet. EPA found that three quarters of the
SCR retrofit projects completed in the last 15 years have achieved a
rate of 0.05 lb/mmBtu or better on a monthly or seasonal basis.
Moreover, its review of the engineering literature and consultation
with third party pollution control engineering consultancies suggests
that vendors are often willing to guarantee 0.05 lb/mmBtu seasonal
performance for new SCR retrofit projects. Current SCR catalyst
suppliers provide NOX emissions warranties based at the
catalyst's end-of-life period, often after 16,000 to 24,000 hours of
operations, with newer catalyst achieving similar or better
NOX removal rates. Standard commercial terms, made by the
purchaser to the SCR Retrofit supplier, can specify a system capable of
meeting the proposed NOX emissions rate and define the
catalyst operational life before replacement. Thus, achieving the
proposed reduction rates is accomplished through the buyer specifying
the SCR retrofit requirements and the supplier providing an optimized
system design and installing sufficient catalyst for the targeted end-
of-life NOX emissions rate. The agency is confident that SCR
retrofit suppliers will be able to warrant their offerings for the
emissions rates proposed in the regulation and to provide sufficient
operating life for the affected sector.
Comment: Some commenters suggest that the evaluation of pollution
control installation cost at Step 3 should be segmented depending on
unit characteristics, and by failing to do so understate the cost of
retrofitting SCR controls. In particular, these commenters note that
units with lower capacity factors, different coal ranks, with pre-
existing controls--such as SNCR--face substantially higher dollar per
ton reduced costs than those that do not have such controls in place
and should not be identified as a cost-effective mitigation strategy.
Response: Consistent with prior CSAPR rulemakings, at Step 3 EPA
evaluates a mitigation technology and its representative cost and
performance for the fleet on average. This representative cost is
inclusive and robust to the portion of the fleet that may face higher
dollar per ton cost. Both the ``Technical Support Document (TSD) for
the Proposed Federal Implementation Plan Addressing Regional Ozone
Transport for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standard,
Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668, EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Proposed Rule TSD'' (Feb. 2022), hereinafter referred to as
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Proposed Rule TSD, and the
EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final TSD discuss the SCR
retrofit cost specific to the segment of the fleet that has a SNCR in
place and notes that those unit-level higher retrofit cost estimates
are factored into its determination of the fleet-wide representative
number. Although EPA believes its representative cost are appropriate
and underpinned by operating assumptions reflective of the fleet
averages, it nevertheless examined how cost would vary based on some of
the variables highlighted by commenter. The EPA derived its capacity
factor assumption based on expected future operations of this fleet
segment that are inclusive of units operating at a range of capacity
factors. It also examined how cost would change assuming different coal
rank, assuming different book life, and different reagent cost. These
analyses are discussed and shown in Appendix B of the EGU
NOX Mitigations Strategies Final Rule TSD and demonstrate
that even under different operating assumptions, the variation in cost
does not reach a point that would reverse EPA's finding regarding the
appropriateness of this technology as part of this final rule's control
stringency. Moreover, as discussed in section V.D of this document, EPA
identifies appropriate mitigation strategies based on multiple
factors--not solely on cost, and there is no indication that an
individual unit's higher retrofit cost would obviate the
appropriateness of retrofitting this standard and best practice
technology at the unit. Finally, in prior rules and in the proposal,
EPA recognized that some units will have higher cost and some will have
lower cost relative the fleetwide representative value provided.
Implementing the region and state reduction requirements through a
mass-based trading program provides a means of alternative lower cost
compliance for those sources particularly concerned about the higher
retrofit cost at their unit.
Comment: Some commenters suggested that EPA's proposed
representative cost for SCR pollution control is likely too high and
overstates the true cost of such control. They also noted it aligns
with agency precedent. These commenters claim that EPA's cost recovery
factor is higher than necessary (thus inflating the cost) as it
reflects a weighting of utility-owned to merchant-owned plants that is
representative of the fleet, but not the unretrofitted fleet with this
retrofit potential identified in this rule. They also noted that EPA's
assumed interest rate informing the cost estimate was higher than the
prime rate in June of 2022.
Response: EPA agrees that its approach for identifying
representative cost thresholds is aligned with prior rules and agrees
that its approach is reasonable. As the commenter points out, prime
rates and cost recovery factors may indeed be lower in recent data than
those assumed by EPA for future years. However, given the
[[Page 36731]]
volatility among these metrics, EPA believes its choices are
appropriate to build cost estimates that are robust to future
uncertainty, and if these cost input factors do materialize to be the
lower values highlighted by commenter, then it will result in a lower
cost assumed in this final rule, but would not otherwise alter any of
the stringency identification or regulatory findings put forward in
this final rule. EPA performed a cost sensitivity analysis in Appendix
B of the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD which
shows how cost for this technology would vary based on different
assumed levels for this variable. This analysis shows that under lower
interest rates such as those put forward by commenter, that technology
cost would drop by approximately 15 percent relative to the
representative values put forward in this rule.
f. Generation Shifting
At proposal, EPA considered intrastate emissions reduction
potential from generation shifting across the representative dollar per
ton levels estimated for the emissions controls considered in previous
sections. As the cost of emitting NOX increases, it becomes
increasingly cost-effective for units with lower NOX rates
to increase generation, while units with higher NOX rates
reduce generation. Because the cost of generation is unit-specific,
this generation shifting occurs incrementally on a continuum.
Consequently, there is more generation shifting at higher cost
NOX-control levels.
The EPA recognizes that imposing a NOX-control
requirement on affected EGUs, like any environmental regulation,
internalizes the cost of their pollution, which could result in
generation shifting away from those sources toward other generators
offering electricity at a lower pollution cost. If, in the context of a
market-based allowance trading program form of implementation, the EPA
imposes a preset emissions budget that is premised only on assumed
installation, optimization, and continued operation of unit-specific
pollution control technologies, with no accounting for the likely
generation shift in the marketplace away from these higher-polluting
sources, that preset emissions budget will contain more tons than would
be emitted if the affected EGUs achieved the emissions performance
level (on a rate basis) selected at step 3. Hence, EPA has previously
quantified and required expected emissions reductions from generation
shifting in prior transport rules to avoid undermining the program's
incentive to install, optimize, and operate controls identified in the
Agency's determinations regarding the requisite level of emissions
control at Step 3. See, e.g., 81 FR 74544-45; 76 FR 48280.
As in these prior rules, at proposal, the EPA did not identify
generation shifting as a primary mitigation strategy and stringency
measure on its own, but included emissions reductions from this
strategy as it would be projected to occur in response to the selected
emissions control stringency levels (and corresponding allowance price
signals in step 4 implementation). For this rule's proposal, the EPA
only specified emissions reductions from generation shifting in its
preset budget calculations for 2023 and 2024. Because this rule's
dynamic budget methodology applies the selected control stringency's
emissions rates to the most recently reported heat input at each
affected EGU, dynamic budgeting effectively serves a similar purpose to
our ex ante quantification of emissions reduction potential from
generation shifting for preset budgets in prior transport rules, i.e.,
to adequately and continuously incentivize the implementation of the
emissions control strategies selected at Step 3. Therefore, dynamic
budgets under this rule's program moot the need to specify discrete
emissions reduction potential from generation shifting for those
control periods, as they automatically reflect whatever generation
balance affected EGUs would determine in the marketplace inclusive of
their response to the emissions performance levels imposed by this
rule.
Comment: Commenters offered both support for and opposition against
the inclusion of generation shifting at Step 3 analysis for EGUs. Those
in support noted that inclusion of emissions reductions from
generation-shifting is integral to the successful implementation of the
pollution control measures identified in the selected control
stringency at Step 3. Those opposed generally argued the EPA was
overestimating reduction potential from generation shifting in light of
recent volatility and high prices in the markets for lower emitting
fuels such as natural gas. Commenters also noted the electrical grid in
certain regions has constraints that would make generation shifting
more difficult than the EPA assumed. Commenters also asserted that the
EPA did not have the legal authority to require generation shifting.
Response: The EPA disagrees with these comments regarding our legal
authority but notes this issue is not relevant for purposes of this
final action. The EPA continues to believe it has authority under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to consider and require emissions reductions
from generation shifting if the EPA were to find that strategy was
necessary to eliminate significant contribution. However, based on
circumstances currently facing affected EGUs, as well as the inherent
strength of the dynamic budget methodology to automatically reflect the
market-determined balance of generation across sources responding to
this rule, the EPA is not specifying emissions reduction potential from
generation shifting as a part of the Step 3 analysis, nor to require
any emissions reductions from generation shifting in preset budgets
formulated under Step 4 for any control period, for this final rule.
Currently observable market conditions (e.g., fuel prices) present
unusual uncertainty with respect to key economic drivers of generation
shifting. The availability of emissions reductions through generation
shifting, and the magnitude of those emissions, is dependent on the
availability and cost of substitute generation. The primary driver of
near-term generation shifting-based emissions reductions has been
shifting to lower-emitting natural gas generation. Recent volatility
and high prices in the natural gas market have increased the
uncertainty and reduced the potential of this emissions control
strategy at any given cost threshold in the near term. For example,
Henry Hub natural gas prices went from under $3.00/mmBtu during most of
the last decade to an average of nearly $8.00/mmBtu for the most recent
(2022) ozone season before declining sharply at the start of 2023. The
current volatility in natural gas prices reduces the availability of
emissions reductions from generation shifting and make its
identification and quantification too uncertain for incorporation into
Step 3 emissions reduction estimates for this rulemaking.
The Step 4 dynamic budget-setting process of this rule obviates the
need to specify and require discrete emissions reductions from
generation shifting under Step 3. As discussed in section VI of this
document, the EPA in this final rule will implement a budget-setting
approach that relies on two components: first, we have calculated
``preset'' budgets that reflect the best information currently
available about fleet change over the period 2023 through 2029. Second,
beginning in 2026, dynamic state emissions budgets will be calculated
that will reflect the balance of generation across sources reported to
EPA by EGU operators. Between 2026 and 2029, the actual budget that
will be implemented will
[[Page 36732]]
reflect the greater of either the preset budget or the dynamic budget
calculation; from 2030 onwards, the budgets will be set only through
the dynamic budget calculation. This overall approach is well suited
for a period of significant power sector transition driven by a variety
of economic, policy, and regulatory forces and allows for the balance
of generation in this period to adjust in response to these forces
while nonetheless ensuring that the budgets will continuously
incentivize the emissions control stringency identified at Step 3. See
section VI.B.4 of this document for further discussion on the
interaction of preset and dynamic budgets during the 2026-2029 time
period. With these approaches, and on the present record before the
Agency, we conclude that the estimation and incorporation of specified
emissions reductions from generation shifting at Step 3 is not
necessary to eliminate significant contribution from EGUs for the 2015
ozone NAAQS through this rule's program implementation.
In previous CSAPR rulemakings, the EPA included generation shifting
in the budget setting process to capture those reductions that would
occur through shifting generation as an economic response to the
control stringency determined based on the selected NOX
control strategies. See, e.g., 81 FR 74544-45. ``Because we have
identified discrete cost thresholds resulting from the full
implementation of particular types of emissions controls, it is
reasonable to simultaneously quantify the reduction potential from
generation shifting strategy at each cost level. Including these
reductions is important, ensuring that other cost-effective reductions
(e.g., fully operating controls) can be expected to occur.'' EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD (EPA-HQ-OAR-2015-
0500-0554), at 11-12.
Commenters on this rule and prior transport rules have observed
that using preset budgets to factor in generation shifting is flawed in
that it results in EPA incorporating specific quantities of emissions
reductions from discrete levels of generation shifting that are
projected to occur but may in fact ultimately transpire differently in
the marketplace. Commenters on this rule claim that other variables,
such as constraints in transmission capacity or changes in fuel prices,
can drive such differences in projected versus realized generation
shifting, and these concerns are particularly exacerbated in a time of
significant uncertainty around energy supplies and markets together
with new laws passed by Congress (e.g., the Infrastructure Investment
and Jobs Act and the Inflation Reduction Act) driving the current
transformation of the power sector. By refraining in this rule from
specifying discrete emissions reductions from generation shifting in
preset budgets and instead relying on a dynamic budgeting approach to
reflect market-driven generation patterns, EPA ensures that its budgets
remain sufficiently stringent over the long term to continually
incentivize the emissions control stringency it determined to be cost-
effective and therefore appropriate to eliminate significant
contribution at Step 3. Thus, dynamic budgeting addresses the same
concern that animated our use of generation shifting in the CSAPR
rulemakings, but in doing so uses a market-following approach that will
accommodate, over the long term, unforeseen drops or increases in heat
input levels.
g. Other EGU Mitigation Measures
The EPA requested comment on whether other EGU ozone-season
NOX Mitigation technologies should be required to eliminate
significant contribution. For instance, the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Proposed and Final Rule TSDs discussed certain
mitigation technologies that have been applied to ``peaking'' units
(small, low-capacity factor gas combustion turbines often only
operating during periods of peak demand).
Comment: Some commenters emphasized that simple cycle combustion
turbines play a significant role in downwind contribution, and they
highlight that states such as New York have imposed emissions limits on
these sources acknowledging their impact on downwind nonattainment.
These commenters suggest that EPA pursue and expedite the
implementation of these or similar mitigation measures.
Response: As explained in greater detail in the EGU NOX
Mitigation Strategies Final TSD, both the configuration and operation
of this segment of the EGU fleet reflects significant variability among
units and across time. In other words, one unit may have a capacity
factor in a given year that is one hundred times greater than a similar
unit in that same year, or even than its own capacity factor from a
preceding year. This type of variability and heterogeneity make it
unlikely that there is a single cost-effective control strategy across
this fleet segment, and commenters did not provide evidence to the
contrary. EPA's analysis discussed in the EGU NOX Mitigation
Strategies Final Rule TSD highlights that there are 32 units emitting
more than 10 tons per year on average for the 2019-2021 ozone seasons
and lacking combustion controls or more advanced controls (totaling
approximately 1,000 tons of ozone season NOX emissions in
2021). EPA analysis estimates a representative cost of $22,000 per ton
for dry low NOX burners or ultra-low NOX burners
at these simple cycle combustion turbines, and over $100,000 per ton
for SCR retrofit at some combustion turbines. Therefore, EPA does not
identify any such uniform mitigation measure at Step 3 when estimating
reduction potential.
Nonetheless, the EPA recognizes that these simple cycle combustion
turbines may have cost-effective emissions-reduction opportunities.
These units are included in the emissions trading program and
therefore, as in prior transport rules, the program continues to
subject them to an allowance holding requirement under this rule which
will likely incentivize any available cost-effective NOX
reductions from these EGUs. For instance, emissions rates from these
units in New York were considerably lower in 2022, when they faced a
high allowance price, versus 2021, when the allowance price was much
lower. Therefore, we find that the appropriate treatment of these units
in this final rule is to continue to include them in the emissions
trading program to incentivize cost-effective emissions reductions, but
EPA does not find the magnitude or consistency of cost-effective
mitigation potential to establish a specific increment of emissions
reduction through a specific Step 3 emissions control determination.
Moreover, while EPA's program will incentivize any available cost-
effective reductions within this cadre of units (and such behavior is
captured in its final program evaluation and modeling the RIA), it does
not obviate the need for the other EGU cost-effective reductions
elsewhere as suggested by some commenters.
2. Non-EGU or Stationary Industrial Source NOX Mitigation
Strategies
In the early stages of preparing the proposed FIP, the EPA
evaluated air quality modeling information, annual emissions, and
information about potential controls to determine which industries,
beyond the power sector, could have the greatest impact on downwind
receptors' air quality and therefore the greatest impact in providing
ozone air quality improvements in affected downwind states through
reducing those emissions. Specifically, the EPA conducted a screening
assessment focused on individual emissions units with >100
[[Page 36733]]
tpy of actual NOX emissions in 23 upwind states. Once the
industries were identified, the EPA used its Control Strategy Tool to
identify potential emissions units and control measures and to estimate
emissions reductions and compliance costs associated with application
of non-EGU emissions control measures. The technical memorandum
``Screening Assessment of Potential Emissions Reductions, Air Quality
Impacts, and Costs from Non-EGU Emissions Units for 2026'' (``Non-EGU
Screening Assessment'' or ``screening assessment'') lays out the
analytical framework and data used to prepare proxy estimates for 2026
of potentially affected non-EGU facilities and emissions units,
emissions reductions, and costs.\219\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\219\ The memorandum is available in the docket here: https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0150.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
This screening assessment was not intended to identify the specific
emissions units subject to the proposed emissions limits for non-EGU
sources but was intended to inform the development of the proposed rule
by identifying proxies for (1) non-EGU emissions units that potentially
had the most impact in terms of the magnitude of emissions and
potential for emissions reductions, (2) potential controls for and
emissions reductions from these emissions units, and (3) control costs
from the potential controls on these emissions units. This information
helped shape the proposed rule.
To further evaluate the industries and emissions unit types
identified by the screening assessment and to establish the
applicability criteria and proposed emissions limits, the EPA reviewed
RACT rules, NSPS rules, NESHAP rules, existing technical studies, rules
in approved SIP submittals, consent decrees, and permit limits. That
evaluation is detailed in the Proposed Non-EGU Sectors TSD prepared for
the proposed FIP.\220\
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\220\ The TSD for the proposed FIP is available in the docket
here: https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0145.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this final rule, for purposes of this part of the Step 3
analysis, the EPA is retaining emissions control requirements for these
industries and many of the emissions unit types included in the
proposal. However, based on comments that credibly indicated in certain
cases that emissions reduction opportunities are either not available
for certain unit types or are at costs that are far greater than the
EPA estimated at proposal, the EPA has changed the final rule to either
remove or adjust the applicability criteria for such units. For a
detailed discussion of the changes between the proposed FIP and this
final rule, in emissions unit types included and in emissions limits,
see section VI.C of this document. Tables I.B-2 through I.B-7 in
section I.B of this document identify the emissions units and
applicable emissions limitations, and Table II.A-1 in section II.A of
this document identifies the industries included in the final rule.
For the final rule, to determine NOX emissions reduction
potential for the non-EGU industries and emissions unit types, with the
exception of Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators, we used a 2019
inventory prepared from the emissions inventory system (EIS) to
estimate a list of emissions units captured by the applicability
criteria for the final rule. For Solid Waste Combustors and
Incinerators, the EPA estimated the list of covered units using the
2019 inventory, as well as the NEEDS-v6-summer-2021-reference-case
workbook.\221\ Based on the review of RACT, NSPS, NESHAP rules, as well
as SIPs, consent decrees, and permits, we also assumed certain control
technologies could meet the final emissions limits.\222\ We did not run
the Control Strategy Tool to estimate emissions reductions and costs
and instead programmed the assessment using R.\223\ Using the list of
emissions units estimated to be captured by the final rule
applicability criteria, the assumed control technologies that would
meet the emissions limits, and information on control efficiencies and
default cost/ton values from the control measures database (CMDB),\224\
the EPA estimated NOX emissions reductions and costs for the
year 2026. We estimated emissions reductions using the actual emissions
from the 2019 emissions inventory. In the assessment, we matched
emissions units by Source Classification Code (SCC) from the inventory
to the applicable control technologies in the CMDB. We modified SCC
codes as necessary to match control technologies to inventory records.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\221\ The workbook is available here: https://www.epa.gov/power-sector-modeling/national-electric-energy-data-system-needs-v6.
\222\ The Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD is available in the docket.
\223\ R is a free software environment for statistical computing
and graphics. Additional information is available here: https://www.r-project.org/.
\224\ More information about the Control Strategy Tool (CoST)
and the control measures database (CMDB) can be found at the
following link: https://www.epa.gov/economic-and-cost-analysis-air-pollution-regulations/cost-analysis-modelstools-air-pollution.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA recognized both at proposal and in the final rule that the
cost per ton of emissions controls could vary by industry and by
facility. The $7,500 marginal cost/ton threshold reflected in the Non-
EGU Screening Assessment functioned as a relative, representative cost/
ton level. Similar to the role of cost-effectiveness thresholds the EPA
uses at Step 3 to evaluate EGU emissions control opportunities, this
threshold is not intended to represent the maximum cost any facility
may need to expend but is rather intended to be a representative figure
for evaluating technologies to allow for a relative comparison between
different levels of control stringency. The value was used to identify
potentially cost-effective controls for further evaluation.
In the final rule, partly in recognition of the many comments
indicating widely varying cost-per-ton values across industries and
facilities, the EPA has updated its analysis of costs for the covered
non-EGU industries. This data is summarized in the Technical Memorandum
``Summary of Final Rule Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for
Non-EGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the
Final Emissions Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions
Reductions, and Costs,'' available in the docket. We further respond to
comments on the screening assessment in section 2.2 of the response to
comments document.
3. Other Stationary Sources NOX Mitigation Strategies
As part of its analysis for this final rule, the EPA also reviewed
whether NOX mitigation strategies for any other stationary
sources may be appropriate. In this section, the EPA discusses three
classes of units that have historically been excluded from our
interstate air transport programs: (1) solid waste incineration units,
(2) electric generating units less than or equal to 25 MW, and (3)
cogeneration units. EPA's initial assessment did not lead it to propose
inclusion of the units in these categories. However, EPA requested
comment on whether any particular units within this category may offer
cost-effective reduction potential.
Based on our request for comment, comments received, and our
further evaluation, the EPA is including emissions limits and
associated control requirements for the ozone season for solid waste
incinerator units in this final rule, in line with the requirements we
laid out for comment at proposal. Our analysis in this final rule
confirms that these units have emissions reductions of a magnitude,
degree of beneficial impact, and cost-effectiveness that is on par with
the units in other industrial sectors included in this final rule.
[[Page 36734]]
For electric generating units less than 25 MW and cogeneration
units previously exempted from EGU emissions budgets established
through ozone interstate transport rules, the EPA has determined that
these units should not be treated as EGUs in this final rule.
The EPA provides a summary of these three segments, their emissions
control opportunities, and potential air quality benefits in the
following sections. Additional considerations are further discussed in
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final TSD and in the RTC
Document.
a. Municipal Solid Waste Units
At proposal, the EPA solicited comments on whether NOX
emissions reductions should be sought from municipal waste combustors
(MWCs) to address interstate ozone transport, specifically on potential
emissions limits, control technologies, and control costs. The EPA
requested comment on emissions limits of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling
average and a 110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block average based on
determinations made in the June 2021 Ozone Transport Commission (OTC)
Municipal Waste Combustor Workgroup Report (OTC MWC Report). See 87 FR
20085-20086. The OTC MWC Report found that MWCs in the Ozone Transport
Region (OTR) are a significant source of NOX emissions and
that significant annual NOX reductions could be achieved
from MWCs in the OTR using several different technologies, or
combination of technologies at a reasonable cost. The OTC MWC report is
included in the docket for this action.
Comment: The EPA received multiple comments supporting the
inclusion of emissions limits for MWCs in the final rule. Commenters
noted that MWCs are significant sources of NOX that
contribute to ozone problems in the states covered by the proposal.
Multiple commenters referenced the OTC MWC report to contend that
NOX emissions from MWCs could be significantly reduced at a
reasonable cost. Some commenters reasoned that sources closer to
downwind monitors, including MWCs, should be regulated as a more
targeted approach and a means to prevent overcontrol of upwind sources.
Commenters also noted that the OTC recently signed a memorandum of
understanding (MOU) requesting that OTC member states develop cost
effective solutions and select the strategy or combination of
strategies, as necessary and appropriate, that provides both the
maximum certainty and flexibility for that state and its MWCs.
Additionally, multiple commenters noted that MWCs are often located in
economically marginalized communities or communities of color. Lastly,
one commenter stated that MWCs were arbitrarily excluded from the non-
EGU screening assessment prepared for the proposal.
Response: As described in section VI.B.2 of the notice of proposed
rulemaking, the EPA assessed emissions reduction potential from non-
EGUs by preparing a screening assessment to identify those industries
that could have the greatest air quality impact at downwind receptors.
While the EPA did not prepare an updated non-EGU screening assessment
in preparation for this final rule, the Agency did evaluate MWCs using
the criteria developed in the screening assessment for proposal and
determined that MWCs should be included in this rulemaking. A
discussion of this analysis for MWCs is available in the Municipal
Waste Combustor Supplement to February 28, 2022 Screening Assessment of
Potential Emissions Reductions, Air Quality Impacts, and Costs from
Non-EGU Emissions Units for 2026, which is available in the docket for
this rule.
Considering EPA's conclusion that MWCs should be included in this
final rule if EPA applied the same criteria developed in the screening
assessment for proposal, the findings from the OTC MWC report and
recent MOU, the fact that many state RACT NOX rules apply to
MWCs, and information received during public comment, the EPA finds
that MWCs should be included in this final rule. Thus, the EPA is
finalizing NOX emissions limits and compliance assurance
requirements for large MWCs as defined in the regulatory text at Sec.
52.46 and as described in this section.
Comment: Some commenters did not support the inclusion of emissions
limits for MWCs in the final rule. Some commenters suggested that the
inclusion of NOX limits in a FIP is not necessary to
continue to reduce NOX emissions from MWCs or to address
interstate transport problems. Some commenters noted that many of the
MWCs in the states covered by the proposal are already subject to RACT-
based NOX emissions limits that are below the current
Federal NSPS NOX emissions limits for MWCs under 40 CFR part
60, subparts Cb and Eb. One commenter noted that MWCs do not always
account for a large percentage of statewide NOX emissions.
Others suggested that voluntary industry actions are also driving
downward trends of NOX emissions for some MWCs. Some
commenters also asserted that regulation could interfere with state
waste reduction policies and associated environmental considerations.
Response: Regarding the comments that some MWCs are already subject
to RACT NOX emissions limits, the EPA acknowledges that some
states included in this rulemaking have promulgated RACT NOX
emissions limits that apply to certain MWCs, including some that are
lower than current MWC NSPS NOX emissions limits. The EPA
does not consider a source to be exempt from this rulemaking just
because the source may be subject to other regulatory requirements. As
noted, the Agency did evaluate MWCs using the criteria developed in the
screening assessment for proposal and has concluded that MWCs should be
included in this rulemaking. In considering the emissions limits that
are being finalized in this rulemaking, the EPA reviewed existing state
RACT rules as described in section VI.C.6 of this document and the
``Technical Support Document (TSD) for the Final Rule, Docket ID No.
EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668, Non-EGU Sectors TSD'' (Mar. 2023), hereinafter
referred to as Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD. We note that sources already
subject to RACT NOX emissions limits that are equal to or
more stringent than the limits finalized in this rulemaking will have
the option to streamline regulatory requirements through the Title V
permitting process.
Regarding the statement that regulation could interfere with state
waste reduction policies and associated environmental considerations,
the EPA acknowledges that MWCs serve an important role in municipal
solid waste management programs, and that many function as cogeneration
facilities that produce electrical power for the power grid. The EPA
also analyzed control costs and determined that the required
NOX emissions limits for MWCs can be achieved at a
reasonable cost, as described in section VI.C.6 of this document, the
Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, and the OTC MWC Report. Although the EPA
does not expect these regulations to disrupt the ability of the
industry to provide municipal solid waste and electric services, to the
extent a facility is unable to comply with the standards due to
technical impossibility or extreme economic hardship, the final rule
includes provisions for facility operators to apply for a case-by-case
alternative emissions limit. See section VI.C of this document and 40
CFR 52.40(d). In addition, for MWC facilities that are unable to comply
with the standard by the 2026 ozone season, the final rule includes
provisions for requesting limited extensions of time to
[[Page 36735]]
comply. See section VI.C and 40 CFR 52.40(c).
b. Electric Generating Units Less Than or Equal to 25 MW
The EPA has historically not included control requirements for
emissions for electric generating units less than or equal to 25 MW of
generation for three primary reasons: low potential reductions,
relatively high cost per ton of reduction, and high monitoring and
other compliance burdens. In the January 11, 1993, Acid Rain permitting
rule, the EPA provided for a conditional exemption from the emissions
reduction, emitting, and emissions monitoring requirements of the Acid
Rain Program for new units having a nameplate capacity of 25 MWe or
less that burn fuels with a sulfur content no greater than 0.05 percent
by weight, because of the de minimis nature of their potential
SO2, CO2 and NOX emissions. See 63 FR
57484. The NOX SIP Call identified these as Small Point
Sources. For the purposes of that rulemaking, the EPA considered
electricity generating boilers and turbines serving a generator 25 MWe
or less, to be small point sources. The EPA noted that the collective
emissions from small sources were relatively small and the
administrative burden to the states and regulated entities of
controlling such sources was likely to be considerable. As a result,
the rule did not assume reductions from those sources in state
emissions budgets requirements (63 FR 57402). Similar size thresholds
have been incorporated in subsequent transport programs such as CAIR
and CSAPR. As these sources were not identified as having cost-
effective reductions and so were not included in those programs, they
were also exempted from certain reporting requirements and the data for
these sources is, therefore, not of the same caliber as that of covered
larger sources.
EPA's preliminary survey of current data, compared to this initial
justification, does not appear to offer a compelling reason to depart
from this past practice by requiring emissions reductions from these
small EGU sources as part of this rule. For instance, as explained in
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD, EPA has
evaluated the costs of SCR retrofits at small EGUs using its Retrofit
Cost Analyzer and found that such controls become markedly less cost-
effective at lower levels of generating capacity. This analysis
concluded that, after controlling for all other unit characteristics,
the dollar per ton cost for a SCR retrofit increases by about a factor
of 2.5 when moving from a 500 MW to a 10 MW unit, and a factor of 8
when moving to a 1 MW unit.\225\ Moreover, the EPA estimates that under
6 percent of nationwide EGU emissions come from units that are less
than 25 MW and not covered by current applicability criteria due to
this size exemption threshold. Therefore, the EPA is not finalizing any
emissions reductions for these units.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\225\ Preliminary estimate based on representative coal units
with starting NOX rate of 0.2 lb/mmBtu, 10,000 BTU/kwh,
and assuming 80 percent reduction.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: EPA received comment supporting the continued application
of the 25 MW threshold.
Response: Consistent with prior rules, the proposal, and
stakeholder comment, EPA is continuing to apply its 25 MW applicability
threshold for EGUs in this rulemaking. EPA did not find compelling
comment to reverse its determination that (1) these sources offer low
potential reductions, (2) have relatively high cost per ton, and (3)
have high monitoring and other compliance burdens.
c. Cogeneration Units
Consistent with prior transport rules, fossil fuel-fired boilers
and combustion turbines that produce both electricity and useful
thermal energy (generally referred to as ``cogeneration units'') and
that meet the applicability criteria to be included in the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program would be subject to
the emissions reduction requirements established in this rulemaking for
EGUs. However, those applicability criteria--which the EPA is not
altering in this rulemaking (see section VI.B.3 of this document)--
exempt some cogeneration units from coverage as EGUs under the trading
program. The EPA is finalizing that fossil fuel-fired boilers and
combustion turbines that produce both electricity and useful thermal
energy and that do not meet the applicability criteria to be included
in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program as
EGUs would not be subject to the Group 3 emissions trading program.
However, to the extent a cogeneration unit meets the applicability
criteria for industrial non-EGU boilers covered by this rule, that unit
will be subject to the relevant requirements and is not exempted by
virtue of being a cogeneration unit.
According to information contained in the EPA's Combined Heat and
Power Partnership's document ``Catalog of CHP Technologies'',\226\
there are 4,226 CHP installations in the U.S. providing 83,317 MWe of
electrical capacity. Over 99 percent of the installations are powered
by 5 equipment types, those being reciprocating engines (52 percent),
boilers/steam turbines (17 percent), gas turbines (16 percent),
microturbines (8 percent), and fuel cells (4 percent). The majority of
the electrical capacity is provided by gas turbine CHP systems (64
percent) and boiler/steam turbine CHP systems (32 percent). The various
CHP technologies described herewith are available in a large range of
sizes, from as small as 1 kilowatt reciprocating engine systems to as
large as 300 megawatt gas turbine powered systems.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\226\ This document is available at: https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-07/documents/catalog_of_chp_technologies.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions from rich burn reciprocating engine, gas
turbine, and microturbine systems are low, ranging from 0.013 to 0.05
lb/mmBtu. NOX emissions from lean burn reciprocating engine
systems and gas-powered steam turbines systems range from 0.1 to 0.2
lb/mmBtu. The highest NOX emitting CHP units are solid fuel-
fired boiler/steam turbine systems which emit NOX at rates
ranging from 0.2 to 1.2 lb/mmBtu.
Under the final rule (consistent with prior CSAPR rulemakings),
certain cogeneration units would be exempt from coverage under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program as EGUs.
Specifically, the trading program regulations include an exemption for
a unit that qualifies as a cogeneration unit throughout the later of
2005 or the first 12 months during which the unit first produces
electricity and continues to qualify through each calendar year ending
after the later of 2005 or that 12-month period and that meets the
limitation on electricity sales to the grid. To meet the trading
program's definition of ``cogeneration unit'' under the regulations, a
unit (i.e., a fossil-fuel-fired boiler or combustion turbine) must be a
topping-cycle or bottoming-cycle type that operates as part of a
``cogeneration system.'' A cogeneration system is defined as an
integrated group of equipment at a source (including a boiler, or
combustion turbine, and a generator) designed to produce useful thermal
energy for industrial, commercial, heating, or cooling purposes and
electricity through the sequential use of energy. A topping-cycle unit
is a unit where the sequential use of energy results in production of
useful power first and then, through use of reject heat from such
production, in production of useful thermal energy. A bottoming-cycle
unit is a unit where the sequential use of energy results in production
of useful thermal energy first, and then, through use of reject heat
from such production, in production of useful
[[Page 36736]]
power. To qualify as a cogeneration unit, a unit also must meet certain
efficiency and operating standards in 2005 and each year thereafter.
The electricity sales limitation under the exemption is applied in the
same way whether a unit serves only one generator or serves more than
one generator. In both cases, the total amount of electricity produced
annually by a unit and sold to the grid cannot exceed the greater of
one-third of the unit's potential electric output capacity or 219,000
MWh. This is consistent with the approach taken in the Acid Rain
Program (40 CFR 72.7(b)(4)), where the cogeneration-unit exemption
originated.
The EPA requested comment on requiring fossil fuel-fired boilers in
the non-EGU industries identified in section VI.C of this document that
serve electricity generators and that qualify for an exemption from
inclusion in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program as EGUs to instead meet the same emissions standards, if any,
that would apply under this rulemaking to fossil fuel-fired boilers at
facilities in the same non-EGU industries that do not serve electricity
generators.
Comment: Some stakeholders support the continued exclusion of
qualifying cogenerators from the EGU program, but suggested they be
regulated as non-EGUs if they don't fit the EGU applicability criteria.
Response: The EPA agrees that there is no basis within the four-
step framework to exempt cogeneration units that fall under the
applicability criteria of the final rule for non-EGU boilers simply
because they are cogeneration units. While cogeneration units do have
environmental benefits as noted at proposal, some cogeneration unit-
types, particularly boilers, are estimated to have NOX
emissions that would otherwise meet this rule's criteria at Step 3 for
constituting ``significant contribution.'' These units can meet the
emissions limits that are otherwise finalized for these unit types, and
the EPA does not find a basis to exclude them simply because they may
have other environmentally-beneficial attributes.
These emissions limits are set forth in section VI.C.5 of this
document. Therefore, the final requirements for non-EGUs do not exempt
cogeneration units and any cogeneration emissions units meeting the
applicability criteria for non-EGUs will be subject to the final
emissions limits for the appropriate non-EGU emissions unit. Based on
EPA's review of available data, across all of the non-EGU industries
covered by this rule, there are four cogeneration boilers (two in Pulp
and Papermill and two in Basic Chemical Manufacturing) that would meet
the final rule's applicability criteria for non-EGU units and are
included in the analysis of non-EGU emissions reduction potential in
section V.C.2 of this document.
4. Mobile Source NOX Mitigation Strategies
Under a variety of CAA programs, the EPA has established Federal
emissions and fuel quality standards that reduce emissions from cars,
trucks, buses, nonroad engines and equipment, locomotives, marine
vessels, and aircraft (i.e., ``mobile sources''). Because states are
generally preempted from regulating new vehicles and engines with
certain exceptions (see generally CAA section 209), mobile source
emissions are primarily controlled through EPA's Federal programs. The
EPA has been regulating mobile source emissions since it was
established as a Federal agency in 1970, and all mobile source sectors
are currently subject to NOX emissions standards. The EPA
factors these standards and associated emissions reductions into its
baseline air quality assessment in good neighbor rulemaking, including
in this final rule. These data are factored into EPA's analysis at
Steps 1 and 2 of the 4-step framework. As a result of this long
history, NOX emissions from onroad and nonroad mobile
sources have substantially decreased (73 percent and 57 percent since
2002, for onroad and nonroad, respectively) \227\ and are predicted to
continue to decrease into the future as newer vehicles and engines that
are subject to the most recent, stringent standards replace older
vehicles and engines.\228\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\227\ US EPA. Our Nation's Air: Status and Trends Through 2019.
https://gispub.epa.gov/air/trendsreport/2020/#home.
\228\ National Emissions Inventory Collaborative (2019). 2016v1
Emissions Modeling Platform. Retrieved from https://views.cira.colostate.edu/wiki/wiki/10202.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For example, in 2014, the EPA promulgated new, more stringent
emissions and fuel standards for light-duty passenger cars and
trucks.\229\ The fuel standards took effect in 2017, and the vehicle
standards phase in between 2017 and 2025. Other EPA actions that are
continuing to reduce NOX emissions include the Heavy-Duty
Engine and Vehicle Standards and Highway Diesel Fuel Sulfur Control
Requirements (66 FR 5002; January 18, 2001); the Clean Air Nonroad
Diesel Rule (69 FR 38957; June 29, 2004); the Locomotive and Marine
Rule (73 FR 25098; May 6, 2008); the Marine Spark-Ignition and Small
Spark-Ignition Engine Rule (73 FR 59034; October 8, 2008); the New
Marine Compression-Ignition Engines at or Above 30 Liters per Cylinder
Rule (75 FR 22895; April 30, 2010); and the Aircraft and Aircraft
Engine Emissions Standards (77 FR 36342; June 18, 2012).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\229\ Control of Air Pollution from Motor Vehicles: Tier 3 Motor
Vehicle Emissions and Fuel Standards, 79 FR 23414 (April 28, 2014).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Most recently, EPA finalized more stringent emissions standards for
NOX and other pollution from heavy-duty trucks (Control of
Air Pollution from New Motor Vehicles: Heavy-Duty Engine and Vehicle
Standards, 88 FR 4296, January 24, 2023). These standards will take
effect beginning with model year 2027. Heavy-duty vehicles are the
largest contributor to mobile source emissions of NOX and
will be one of the largest mobile source contributors to ozone in
2025.\230\ Reducing heavy-duty vehicle emissions nationally will
improve air quality where the trucks are operating as well as downwind.
The EPA's existing regulatory program for mobile sources will continue
to reduce NOX emissions into the future.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\230\ Zawacki et al, 2018. Mobile source contributions to
ambient ozone and particulate matter in 2025. Atmospheric
Environment. Vol 188, pg 129-141. Available online: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosenv.2018.04.057.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The EPA received comments on ozone-precursor emissions
from mobile sources, including cars, trucks, trains, ships, and planes.
Commenters broadly encouraged the EPA to require emissions reductions
from mobile sources in this rule. Commenters stated that the
transportation sector plays a significant role in NOX
pollution and ozone formation and urged the EPA to finalize emissions
reductions for the transportation sector that will enable attainment of
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Some commenters noted that high proportions of
NOX emissions in various upwind states are attributable to
the transportation sector, and stated that EPA should have targeted
emissions reductions from mobile sources first before requiring more
stringent emissions controls from stationary sources in the same upwind
states.
Response: The EPA agrees with commenters that a variety of sources,
including mobile sources in the transportation sector, produce
NOX emissions that contribute to ozone air quality problems
across the U.S. This rule, as with prior interstate transport actions,
does not ignore those emissions, and it credits those on-the-books
measures of states and the Federal Government within the four-step
framework by including emissions and
[[Page 36737]]
emissions reductions from these sources in the emissions inventory for
air quality modeling, which informs Steps 1 and 2 of this analysis.
Thus, this rule accurately represents emissions from mobile sources
that are used to evaluate the contribution of states to ozone air
quality problems in other states. See section IV.C of this document.
The EPA notes that its Step 3 analysis for this FIP does not assess
additional emissions reductions opportunities from mobile sources. The
EPA continues to believe that title II of the CAA provides the primary
authority and process for reducing these emissions at the Federal
level. EPA's various Federal mobile source programs, summarized above
in this section, have delivered and are projected to continue to
deliver substantial nationwide reductions in both VOCs and
NOX emissions; these reductions from final rules are
factored into the Agency's assessment of air quality and contributions
at Steps 1 and 2. Further, states are generally preempted from
regulating new vehicles and engines with certain exceptions, and
therefore a question exists regarding the EPA's authority to address
such emissions through such means when regulating in place of the
states under CAA section 110(c). See generally CAA section 209. See
also 86 FR 23099.\231\ In any case, the existence of mobile source
emissions noted by commenters does not lead to the conclusion that the
EPA must require mobile source reductions in this rule or that the EPA
has not properly identified ``source[s] or other type[s] of emissions
activity'' in upwind states that ``significantly contribute'' for
purposes of the Good Neighbor Provision. The EPA is committed to
continuing the effective implementation and enforcement of current
mobile source standards and continuing its efforts on new standards.
The EPA will continue to work with state and local air agencies to
incorporate emissions reductions from the transportation sector into
required ozone attainment planning elements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\231\ This is not to say that states lack other options to
reduce emissions from mobile sources. For example, a general list of
types of transportation control measures can be found in CAA section
108(f). In addition, in accordance with section 177, states may (but
are not required to) adopt California vehicle emissions standards
for which a waiver has been granted from the preemption provisions
in section 209(a). States that decide to adopt California vehicle
emissions standards may also choose to submit those standards to be
included as a part of their SIP.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. Control Stringencies Represented by Cost Threshold ($ per ton) and
Corresponding Emissions Reductions
1. EGU Emissions Reduction Potential by Cost Threshold
For EGUs, as discussed in section V.A of this document, the multi-
factor test considers increasing levels of uniform control stringency
in combination with considering total NOX reduction
potential and corresponding air quality improvements. The EPA evaluated
EGU NOX emissions controls that are widely available
(described previously in section V.B.1 of this document), that were
assessed in previous rules to address ozone transport, and that have
been incorporated into state planning requirements to address ozone
nonattainment.
The EPA evaluated the EGU sources within the State of California
and found there were no covered coal steam sources greater than 100 MW
that would have emissions reduction potential according to EPA's
assumed EGU SCR retrofit mitigation technologies.\232\ The EGUs in the
state are sufficiently well-controlled resulting in the lowest fossil-
fuel emissions rate and highest share of renewable generation among the
23 states examined at Step 3. EPA's Step 3 analysis, including analysis
of the emissions reduction factors from EGU sources in the state,
therefore resulted in no additional emissions reductions required to
eliminate significant contribution from any EGU sources in California.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\232\ The only coal-fired power plant in California is the 63 MW
Argus Cogeneration facility in Trona, California.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following tables summarize the emissions reduction potentials
(in ozone season tons) from these emissions controls across the
affected jurisdictions. Table V.C.1-1 focuses on near-term emissions
controls while Table V.C.1-2 includes emissions controls with extended
implementation timeframes.
Table V.C.1-1--EGU Ozone-Season Emissions and Reduction Potential (Tons)--2023
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reduction potential (tons) for varying levels of
technology inclusion
---------------------------------------------------
State Baseline 2023 SCR/SNCR
OS NOX SCR SCR optimization optimization +
optimization + combustion combustion
control upgrades control upgrades
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama.................................... 6,412 32 32 32
Arkansas................................... 8,955 28 28 28
Illinois................................... 7,721 70 70 247
Indiana.................................... 13,298 856 856 858
Kentucky................................... 13,900 299 901 901
Louisiana.................................. 9,974 515 515 611
Maryland................................... 1,214 0 0 8
Michigan................................... 10,746 4 4 19
Minnesota.................................. 5,643 98 98 139
Mississippi................................ 6,283 73 984 984
Missouri................................... 20,094 7,339 7,339 7,497
Nevada..................................... 2,372 4 4 4
New Jersey................................. 915 143 143 143
New York................................... 3,977 64 64 64
Ohio....................................... 10,264 1,154 1,154 1,154
Oklahoma................................... 10,470 199 890 890
Pennsylvania............................... 8,573 336 336 436
Texas...................................... 41,276 909 909 1,142
Utah....................................... 15,762 7 7 7
Virginia................................... 3,329 164 242 263
West Virginia.............................. 14,686 554 1,099 1,380
[[Page 36738]]
Wisconsin.................................. 6,321 7 7 26
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................. 222,184 12,854 15,681 16,832
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The EPA shows reduction potential from state-of-the-art LNB upgrade as near-term emissions controls, but
explains in section V.B and VI.A of this document that this reduction potential would not be implemented until
2024.
Table V.C.1-2--EGU Ozone-Season Emissions and Reduction Potential (Tons)--2026 *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reduction potential (tons) for varying levels of technology
inclusion
---------------------------------------------------------------------
SCR/SNCR
State Baseline 2026 SCR/SNCR optimization +
OS NOX SCR SCR optimization optimization + combustion
optimization + combustion combustion control upgrades
control upgrades control upgrades + SCR/SNCR
retrofits
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama.......................................................... 6,371 32 32 32 604
Arkansas......................................................... 8,728 28 28 28 4,697
Illinois......................................................... 6,644 70 70 230 1,281
Indiana.......................................................... 9,468 768 768 770 1,333
Kentucky......................................................... 13,211 299 739 739 5,303
Louisiana........................................................ 9,704 515 515 611 5,894
Maryland......................................................... 901 51 51 59 59
Michigan......................................................... 7,790 4 4 19 1,959
Minnesota........................................................ 4,197 98 98 139 1,613
Mississippi...................................................... 6,022 73 984 984 3,938
Missouri......................................................... 18,612 7,339 7,339 7,497 11,231
Nevada........................................................... 1,146 4 4 4 4
New Jersey....................................................... 915 143 143 143 143
New York......................................................... 3,977 64 64 64 589
Ohio............................................................. 9,083 1,154 1,154 1,154 1,154
Oklahoma......................................................... 10,259 199 890 890 5,968
Pennsylvania..................................................... 8,362 352 352 452 1,204
Texas............................................................ 39,684 909 909 1,142 15,980
Utah............................................................. 9,930 7 7 7 7,338
Virginia......................................................... 3,019 164 242 263 646
West Virginia.................................................... 13,185 401 947 1,227 3,507
Wisconsin........................................................ 5,016 7 7 26 623
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total........................................................ 196,225 12,680 15,346 16,480 75,067
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The EPA shows all emissions reduction potential identified for assumed SCR retrofits in the Step 3 analytic year 2026, but explains in sections V.B
and VI.A of this document that for Step 4 implementation this emissions reduction potential will be phased in during the 2026 and 2027 ozone season
control periods.
2. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Emissions Reduction Potential
As described in the memorandum titled ``Summary of Final Rule
Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for Non-EGU Emissions
Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the Final Emissions
Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions, and
Costs,'' the EPA uses the 2019 emissions inventory, the list of
emissions units estimated to be captured by the applicability criteria,
the assumed control technologies that would meet the emissions limits,
and information on control efficiencies and default cost/ton values
from the CMDB, to estimate NOX emissions reductions and
costs for the year 2026. The estimates using the 2019 inventory and
information from the CMDB identify proxies for emissions units, as well
as emissions reductions, and costs associated with the assumed control
technologies that would meet the final emissions limits. Emissions
units subject to the final rule emissions limits may differ from those
estimated in this assessment, and the estimated emissions reductions
from and costs to meet the final rule emissions limits may also differ
from those estimated in this assessment. The costs do not include
monitoring, recordkeeping, reporting, or testing costs.
Table V.C.2-1 summarizes the industries, estimated emissions unit
types, assumed control technologies, estimated annual costs (2016$),
and estimated ozone season emissions reductions in 2026, and Table
V.C.2-2 summarizes the estimated reductions by state.
[[Page 36739]]
Table V.C.2-1--By Industry in 2026, Estimated Emissions Unit Types, Assumed Control Technologies, Annual Costs
(2016$), and Estimated Emissions Reductions (Ozone Season Tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Assumed control
technologies that Annual costs Ozone season
Industry/industries Emissions unit type meet final emissions (2016$) emissions
limits reductions
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Reciprocating NSCR or Layered 385,463,197 32,247
Gas. Internal Combustion Combustion, Layered
Engine. Combustion, SCR,
NSCR.
Cement and Concrete Product Kiln................. SNCR................. 10,078,205 2,573
Manufacturing.
Iron and Steel Mills and Reheat Furnaces...... LNB.................. 3,579,294 408
Ferroalloy Manufacturing.
Glass and Glass Product Furnaces............. LNB.................. 7,052,088 3,129
Manufacturing.
Iron and Steel Mills and Boilers.............. SCR, LNB + FGR....... 8,838,171 440
Ferroalloy Manufacturing.
Metal Ore Mining.................. ..................... ..................... 621,496 18
Basic Chemical Manufacturing...... ..................... ..................... 49,697,848 1,748
Petroleum and Coal Products ..................... ..................... 5,128,439 147
Manufacturing.
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills. ..................... ..................... 62,268,540 1,836
Solid Waste Combustors and Combustors or ANSCR or LN\TM\ and 38,949,560 2,071
Incinerators. Incinerators. SNCR.
-------------------------------
Totals........................ ..................... ..................... 571,676,839 44,616
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table V.C.2-2--Estimated Emissions Reductions (Ozone Season Tons) by
Upwind State in 2026
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2019 OS OS NOX
State emissions * reductions
------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR...................................... 8,790 1,546
CA...................................... 16,562 1,600
IL...................................... 15,821 2,311
IN...................................... 16,673 1,976
KY...................................... 10,134 2,665
LA...................................... 40,954 7,142
MD...................................... 2,818 157
MI...................................... 20,576 2,985
MO...................................... 11,237 2,065
MS...................................... 9,763 2,499
NJ...................................... 2,078 242
NV \233\................................ 2,544 0
NY...................................... 5,363 958
OH...................................... 18,000 3,105
OK...................................... 26,786 4,388
PA...................................... 14,919 2,184
TX...................................... 61,099 4,691
UT...................................... 4,232 252
VA...................................... 7,757 2,200
WV...................................... 6,318 1,649
-------------------------------
Totals.............................. 302,425 44,616
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* The 2019 OS season emissions are calculated as 5/12 of the annual
emissions from the following two emissions inventory files:
nonegu_SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_13sep2021_v0
and
oilgas_SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_13sep2021_v0
.
In Table V.C.2-3 by industry and emissions unit type, the EPA
provides a summary of the control technologies applied and their
average costs across all of the non-EGU emissions units. The average
cost per ton values range from $939 to $14,595 per ton. Note that the
average cost per ton values are in 2016 dollars and reflect simple
averages and not a percentile or other representative cost values from
a distribution of cost estimates.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\233\ We are not aware of existing non-EGU emissions units in
Nevada that meet the applicability criteria for non-EGUs in the
final rule. If any such units in fact exist, they would be subject
to the requirements of the rule just as in any other state. In
addition, any new emissions unit in Nevada that meets the
applicability criteria in the final rule will be subject to the
final rule's requirements. See section III.B.1.d.
Table V.C.2-3--By Industry, Emissions Unit Type, Assumed Control Technologies, and Estimated Average Cost per
Ton by Control Technology Across All Non-EGU Emissions Units
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average
Assumed control cost/ton
Industry/industries Emissions unit type technologies that meet values
final emissions limits (2016$)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas... Reciprocating Internal NSCR or Layered Combustion, 4,981
Combustion Engine. Layered Combustion, SCR,
NSCR.
Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing Kiln....................... SNCR....................... 1,632
[[Page 36740]]
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Reheat Furnaces............ LNB........................ 3,656
Manufacturing.
Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing.... Furnaces................... LNB........................ 939
Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Boilers.................... SCR or LNB + FGR........... 8,369
Manufacturing.
Metal Ore Mining......................... ........................... ........................... 14,595
Basic Chemical Manufacturing............. ........................... ........................... 11,845
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing ........................... ........................... 14,582
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills........ ........................... ........................... 14,134
Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators.. Combustors or Incinerators. ANSCR or LN\TM\ and SNCR... 7,836
------------
Overall Average Cost/Ton............. ........................... ........................... 5,339
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Refer to the memorandum titled ``Summary of Final Rule
Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for Non-EGU Emissions
Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the Final Emissions
Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions, and
Costs'' for additional estimates--including by industry and by state.
These estimates are proxy estimates, and the EPA also did not prepare
detailed engineering analyses for the industries, facilities, and
individual emissions units identified for the final rule. Emissions
units subject to the final rule emissions limits may differ from those
estimated in this assessment, and the estimated emissions reductions
from and costs to meet the final rule emissions limits may also differ
from those estimated in this assessment.
Comment: Regarding the marginal cost threshold of $7,500/ton used
to assess potential emissions reductions in the non-EGU screening
assessment prepared for proposal, commenters raised a range of
questions, including (1) why the EPA used a marginal cost threshold
that is much higher than the $2,000/ton threshold used in the 2021
Revised CSAPR Update Rule, (2) why the EPA used a ``one size fits all''
approach for addressing the estimated cost and actual emissions
reductions achievable, particularly for existing sources of
NOX emissions, (3) why the EPA set a $7,500/ton marginal
cost threshold for all non-EGUs, despite acknowledging the
heterogeneity of industry, emissions unit types and control options and
failing to consider the actual costs associated with achieving the
proposed reductions at different types of emissions units in order to
artificially inflate the marginal cost threshold and to justify
otherwise cost-prohibitive NOX control technologies.
Commenters also stated that controls for their industry are not cost-
effective using the EPA's presumptive value of $7,500/ton and that the
value may not be technically feasible to apply to existing sources that
would have to retrofit controls.
Response: The EPA notes that the primary purpose of the Screening
Assessment of Potential Emissions Reductions, Air Quality Impacts, and
Costs from Non-EGU Emissions Units for 2026 (non-EGU screening
assessment) was to identify potentially impactful industries and
emissions unit types for further evaluation.\234\ In the non-EGU
screening assessment memorandum we presented an analytical framework to
further analyze potential emissions reductions and costs and included
proxy estimates for 2026.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\234\ The non-EGU screening assessment memorandum is available
in the docket here: https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0150.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As noted in section V.D. of this document, at proposal the EPA
found that based on data available at that time and for the purposes of
the non-EGU screening assessment, it appeared that a $7,500 marginal
cost-per-ton threshold could be used as a proxy to identify cost-
effective emissions control opportunities. Also, the $7,500 marginal
cost-per-ton threshold is higher than the cost-per-ton value used in
the Revised Cross-State Air Pollution Rule Update because that
rulemaking assessed significant contribution for the less protective
2008 ozone NAAQS, and it is reasonable when assessing significant
contribution associated with the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS, that
a potentially more costly universe of emissions controls and related
potential reductions should be included in the analysis.\235\ Similar
to the role of cost-effectiveness thresholds the EPA uses at Step 3 to
evaluate EGU emissions control opportunities, this threshold is not
intended to represent the maximum cost any facility may need to expend
but is rather intended to be a representative figure for evaluating
technologies to allow for a relative comparison between different
levels of control stringency. The EPA's potential cost threshold for
non-EGU controls at proposal was intended to serve a similar
representative purpose. Based on the EPA's updated analysis for this
final rule, the EPA recognizes that the $7,500/ton threshold does not
reflect the full range of cost-effectiveness values that are likely
present across the many different types of non-EGU industries and
emissions units assessed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\235\ As the amount of air pollution that is allowed in the
ambient air is reduced (i.e., when a NAAQS is revised), it is
reasonable to expect that further emissions reductions may be
necessary to bring areas into attainment with that more protective
standard. At the same time, the available remaining emissions
reduction opportunities will likely have become more costly compared
to a prior period, because other CAA requirements, including such as
earlier transport rules, will have consumed those emissions
reduction opportunities that were the least costly. The EPA noted
this same possibility in the original CSAPR rulemaking, see 76 FR
48210.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While the potentially impactful industries (identified in Step 1 of
the analytical framework presented in the non-EGU screening assessment)
were directly used, the proxy estimates for emissions unit types,
emissions reductions, and costs from the non-EGU screening assessment
were not directly used to establish applicability thresholds and
emissions limits in the proposal. To further evaluate the impactful
industries and emissions unit types and establish the proposed
emissions limits, the EPA reviewed RACT rules, NSPS rules, NESHAP
rules, existing technical studies (e.g., Ozone Transport Commission,
Technical Information Oil and Gas Sector Significant Stationary Sources
of NOX Emissions, October 17, 2012), rules in approved SIP
submittals, consent decrees, and permit limits.\236\
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\236\ This review is detailed in the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD
available in the docket here: https://www.regulations.gov/document/EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0145.
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[[Page 36741]]
D. Assessing Cost, EGU and Non-EGU NOX Reductions, and Air Quality
To determine the emissions that are significantly contributing to
nonattainment or interfering with maintenance, the EPA applied the
multi-factor test to EGUs and non-EGUs separately, considering for each
the relationship of cost, available emissions reductions, and downwind
air quality impacts. Specifically, for each sector, the EPA finalizes a
determination regarding the appropriate level of uniform NOX
control stringency that would collectively eliminate significant
contribution to downwind nonattainment and maintenance receptors. Based
on the air quality results presented in this section, we find that the
emissions control strategies that were identified and evaluated in
sections V.B and V.C of this document and found to be both cost-
effective and feasible, deliver meaningful air quality benefits through
projected reductions in ozone levels across the linked downwind
nonattainment and maintenance receptors in the relevant analytic years
2023 and 2026. Further, EPA finds the emissions control strategies in
upwind states that would deliver these benefits to be widely available
and in use at many other similar EGU and non-EGU facilities throughout
the country, particularly in those areas that have historically or now
continue to struggle to attain and maintain the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Applying these emissions control strategies on a uniform basis across
all linked upwind states continues to constitute an efficient and
equitable solution to the problem of allocating upwind-state
responsibility for the elimination of significant contribution. This
approach continues to effectively address the ``thorny'' causation
problem of interstate pollution transport for regional-scale pollutants
like ozone that transport over large distances and are affected by the
vagaries of meteorology. EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 514-16. It
requires the most impactful sources in each state that has been found
to contribute to ozone problems in other states to come up to minimum
standards of environmental performance based on demonstrated
NOX pollution-control technology. Id. at 519. When the
effects of these emissions reductions are assessed collectively across
the hundreds of EGU and non-EGU industrial sources that are subject to
this rule, the cumulative improvements in ozone levels at downwind
receptors, while they may vary to some extent, are both measurable and
meaningful and will assist downwind areas in attaining and maintaining
the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
In addition to the findings of cost-effectiveness, feasibility and
widespread availability that support EPA's identification of the
appropriate level of emissions-control stringency at Step 3 discussed
in sections V.B and V.C, the findings regarding air quality improvement
in this section--as in prior transport rules--are a central component
of our Step 3 analytic findings as to the definition of ``significant
contribution.'' EPA's assessment of air quality improvement for all of
the emissions control strategies included shows continued air quality
improvement with each additional control strategy measure. Within the
group of selected control strategies for EGUs and non-EGUs no clear
``knee-in-the-curve'' is evident; i.e., there is no point at which
there is a noticeable decline in the rate of air quality improvement up
through the control stringency level selected. However, if EPA were to
go beyond the selected control stringency through inclusion of
additional EGU or non-EGU NOX mitigation technologies for
the covered sources and unit-types that are, at least on the record of
this action, not widely available, uncertain or untested, and/or far
more costly, a ``knee-in-the-curve'' does materialize, where the
incremental air quality benefit per dollar spent per ton on mitigation
measures plateaus even as costs increase dramatically. In the Revised
CSAPR Update, EPA explained that a knee in the curve ``is not on its
own a justification for not requiring reductions beyond that point,''
86 FR 23107, but does indicate that it is a useful indicator for
informing potential stopping points. The observation that no ``knee-in-
the-curve'' materializes at the stringency levels up through that
selected by EPA supports EPA's identified control stringency.
Further, as the Supreme Court has explained, ``while EPA has a
statutory duty to avoid over-control, the Agency also has a statutory
obligation to avoid `under-control,' i.e., to maximize achievement of
attainment downwind.'' 572 U.S. at 523. While the ultimate purpose of
the good neighbor provision is to eliminate significant contribution
and not necessarily to resolve downwind areas' nonattainment and
maintenance problems, we have evaluated the expected attainment status
at each identified receptor as we examine the air quality effects of
the different emissions control strategies identified. As discussed
further in this section, the EPA notes that multiple receptors shift
into projected attainment status or shift from projected nonattainment
to maintenance status up through the stringency level ultimately
selected by EPA. (And all receptors show improvement in air quality
even if their status does not change.) These analytic findings at Step
3 cement EPA's identification of the selected EGU and non-EGU
mitigation measures as the appropriate control stringency to fulfill
its statutory obligation to eliminate significant contribution for the
2015 ozone NAAQS for the covered states. The EPA also evaluated whether
the final rule resulted in possible over-control scenarios by
evaluating if an upwind state is linked solely to downwind air quality
problems that could have been resolved at a lower cost threshold, or if
an upwind state could have reduced its emissions below the 1 percent of
NAAQS air quality contribution threshold at a lower cost threshold. The
Agency finds no overcontrol from this rule. See section V.D.4 of this
document.
1. EGU Assessment
For EGUs, the EPA examined the emissions reduction potential
associated with each EGU emissions control technology (presented in
section V.C.1 of this document) and its impact on the air quality at
downwind receptors. Specifically, EPA identified and assessed the
projected average air quality improvements relative to the base case
and whether these improvements are sufficient to shift the status of
receptors from projected nonattainment to maintenance or from
maintenance to attainment. Combining these air quality factors, costs,
and emissions reductions, the EPA identified a control stringency for
EGUs that results in substantial air quality improvement from emissions
controls that are available in the timeframe for which air quality
problems at downwind receptors persist. For all affected jurisdictions,
this control stringency reflects, at a minimum, the optimization of
existing post-combustion controls and installation of state-of-the-art
NOX combustion controls, which are widely available at a
representative cost of $1,800 per ton. EPA's evaluation also shows that
the effective emissions rate performance across affected EGUs
consistent with realization of these mitigation measures does not over-
control upwind states' emissions relative to either the downwind air
quality problems to which they are linked at Step 1 or the 1 percent
contribution threshold that triggers further evaluation at Step 3 of
the 4-step framework for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
[[Page 36742]]
Similarly, the EPA also identified installation of new SCR post-
combustion controls at coal steam sources greater than or equal to 100
MW and for a more limited portion of the oil/gas steam fleet that had
higher levels of emissions as components of the required control
stringency. These SCR retrofits are widely available starting in the
2026 ozone season at $11,000 and $7,700 per ton respectively. For all
but 3 of the affected states (Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin, which
are no longer linked in 2026 at Steps 1 and 2 in EPA's base case air
quality modeling for this final rule), EPA's evaluation shows that the
effective emissions rate performance across EGUs consistent with the
full realization of these mitigation measures does not over-control
upwind states' emissions in 2026 relative to either the downwind air
quality problems to which they are linked at Step 1 or the 1 percent
contribution threshold that triggers further evaluation at Step 3 of
the 4-step framework for the 2015 ozone NAAQS (see the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD for details).
To assess downwind air quality impacts for the nonattainment and
maintenance receptors identified in section IV.D of this document, the
EPA evaluated the air quality change at that receptor expected from the
progressively more stringent upwind EGU control stringencies that were
available for that time period in upwind states linked to that
receptor. This assessment provides the downwind ozone improvements for
consideration and provides air quality data that is used to evaluate
potential over-control situations.
To assess the air quality impacts of the various control
stringencies at downwind receptors for the purposes of Step 3, the EPA
evaluated changes resulting from the emissions reductions associated
with the identified emissions controls in each of the upwind states, as
well as assumed corresponding reductions of similar stringency in the
downwind state containing the receptor to which they are linked. By
applying these emissions reductions to the state containing the
receptor, the EPA assumes that the downwind state will implement (if it
has not already) an emissions control stringency for its sources that
is comparable to the upwind control stringency identified here.
Consequently, the EPA is accounting for the downwind state's ``fair
share'' of the responsibility for resolving a nonattainment or
maintenance problem as a part of the over-control evaluation.\237\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\237\ For EGUs, this analysis for the Connecticut receptors
shows no EGU reduction potential in Connecticut from the emissions
reduction measures identified given that state's already low-
emitting fleet; however, EGU reductions were identified in Colorado
and these reductions were included in the over-control analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For this assessment, the EPA used an ozone air quality assessment
tool (ozone AQAT) to estimate downwind changes in ozone concentrations
related to upwind changes in emissions levels. The EPA focused its
assessment on the years 2023 and 2026 as they pertain to the last years
for which ozone season emissions data can be used for purposes of
determining attainment for the Moderate (2024) and Serious (2027)
attainment dates. For each EGU emissions control technology, the EPA
first evaluated the magnitude of the change in ozone concentrations at
the nonattainment and maintenance receptors for each relevant year
(i.e., 2023 and 2026). Next, the EPA evaluated whether the estimated
change in concentration would resolve the receptor's nonattainment or
maintenance concern by lowering the average or maximum design values,
respectively, below 71 ppb. For a complete set of estimates, see the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD or the ozone AQAT Excel
file.
For 2023, the EPA evaluated potential air quality improvements at
the downwind receptors outside of California associated with available
EGU emissions control technologies in that timeframe. The EPA
determined for the purposes of Step 3 that the average air quality
improvement at the receptors relative to the engineering analytics base
case was 0.06 ppb for emissions reductions commensurate with
optimization of existing SCRs/SNCRs and combustion control upgrades.
The EPA determined for the purposes of Step 3 that no receptors switch
from maintenance to attainment or from nonattainment to maintenance
with these mitigation strategies in place. Table V.D.1-1 summarizes the
results of EPA's Step 3 evaluation of air quality improvements at these
receptors using AQAT.
For 2026, the EPA determined that the average air quality
improvement at these receptors relative to the engineering analytics
base case was 0.47 ppb for emissions reductions commensurate with
optimization of existing SCRs/SNCRs, combustion control upgrades, and
new post-combustion control (SCR and SNCR) retrofits at eligible units
are assumed to be implemented. The EPA determined for the purposes of
Step 3 that in 2026, all but one of the receptors are expected to
remain nonattainment or maintenance across these control stringencies,
with one receptor in Larimer County, Colorado (Monitor 080690011),
switching from maintenance to attainment and two receptors (one in
Fairfield County, Connecticut (Monitor 90013007), and one in Galveston,
Texas (Monitor ID 481671034)) switching from nonattainment to
maintenance with these mitigation strategies in place.\238\ Table
V.D.1-2 summarizes the results of EPA's Step 3 evaluation of air
quality improvements at the receptors included in the AQAT analysis.
For more information about how this assessment was performed and the
results of the analysis for each receptor, refer to the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD and to the Ozone AQAT included in the
docket for this rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\238\ As in prior rules, for the purpose of defining significant
contribution at Step 3, the EPA evaluated air quality changes
resulting from the application of the emissions reductions in only
those states that are linked to each receptor as well as the state
containing the receptor. By applying reductions to the state
containing the receptor, the EPA ensures that it is accounting for
the downwind state's fair share. This method holds each upwind state
responsible for its fair share of the downwind problems to which it
is linked. Reductions made by other states to address air quality
problems at other receptors do not increase or decrease this share.
The air quality impacts on design values that reflect the emissions
reductions in all linked states action are further discussed in
sections V.D.3 and V.D.4 of this document.
[[Page 36743]]
Table V.D.1-1--Air Quality at the Receptors in 2023 From EGU Emissions Control Technologies a
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average DV (ppb) Max DV (ppb)
---------------------------------------------------------------
Monitor ID No. State County Baseline SCR/SNCR Baseline SCR/SNCR
(engineering optimization + (engineering optimization +
analysis) LNB upgrade analysis) LNB upgrade
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40278011............................. Arizona................. Yuma................... 70.36 70.34 72.05 72.04
80350004............................. Colorado................ Douglas................ 71.12 71.10 71.71 71.70
80590006............................. Colorado................ Jefferson.............. 72.63 72.61 73.32 73.31
80590011............................. Colorado................ Jefferson.............. 73.29 73.27 73.89 73.87
80690011............................. Colorado................ Larimer................ 70.79 70.78 71.99 71.98
90010017............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 71.62 71.56 72.22 72.16
90013007............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 72.99 72.90 73.89 73.80
90019003............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 73.32 73.25 73.62 73.55
90099002............................. Connecticut............. New Haven.............. 70.61 70.51 72.71 72.61
170310001............................ Illinois................ Cook................... 68.13 68.11 71.82 71.80
170314201............................ Illinois................ Cook................... 67.92 67.88 71.41 71.37
170317002............................ Illinois................ Cook................... 68.47 68.37 71.27 71.17
350130021............................ New Mexico.............. Dona Ana............... 70.83 70.82 72.13 72.12
350130022............................ New Mexico.............. Dona Ana............... 69.73 69.72 72.43 72.42
350151005............................ New Mexico \b\.......... Eddy................... .............. .............. .............. ..............
350250008............................ New Mexico.............. Lea.................... .............. .............. .............. ..............
480391004............................ Texas................... Brazoria............... 70.59 70.52 72.69 72.62
481210034............................ Texas................... Denton................. 69.93 69.88 71.73 71.68
481410037............................ Texas................... El Paso................ 69.82 69.81 71.43 71.41
481671034............................ Texas................... Galveston.............. 71.82 71.70 73.13 73.01
482010024............................ Texas................... Harris................. 75.33 75.25 76.93 76.85
482010055............................ Texas................... Harris................. 71.19 71.10 72.20 72.10
482011034............................ Texas................... Harris................. 70.32 70.25 71.52 71.45
482011035............................ Texas................... Harris................. 68.01 67.94 71.52 71.45
490110004............................ Utah.................... Davis.................. 71.88 71.87 74.08 74.07
490353006............................ Utah.................... Salt Lake.............. 72.48 72.47 74.07 74.06
490353013............................ Utah.................... Salt Lake.............. 73.21 73.20 73.71 73.70
550590019............................ Wisconsin............... Kenosha................ 70.75 70.65 71.65 71.55
551010020............................ Wisconsin............... Racine................. 69.59 69.46 71.39 71.25
551170006............................ Wisconsin............... Sheboygan.............. 72.64 72.46 73.54 73.36
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average AQ Change Relative to Base (ppb)............................................ .............. .............. .............. 0.06
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total PPB Change Across All Receptors Relative to Base \c\.......................... .............. .............. .............. 1.58
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Notes:
\a\ The EPA notes that the design values reflected in tables V.D.1-1 and -2 correspond to the engineering analysis EGU emissions inventory that was used
in AQAT to determine state-level baseline emissions and reductions at Step 3. These tools are discussed in greater detail in the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD.
\b\ New Mexico Eddy and Lea monitors have no values in tables V.D.1-1 and 1-2 as EPA does not have calibration factors for these monitors as no
contributions were calculated for them from the proposal AQ modeling
\c\ The cumulative ppb change only shows the aggregate change across all problematic receptors (some of which are located within close proximity to one
another) in this part of the Step 3 analysis. Section VIII of this document provides a more complete picture of the air quality impacts of the final
rule.
Table V.D.1-2--Air Quality at Receptors in 2026 From EGU Emissions Control Technologies
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average DV (ppb) Max DV (ppb)
---------------------------------------------------------------
SCR/SNCR SCR/SNCR
Monitor ID No. State County Baseline optimization + Baseline optimization +
(engineering LNB upgrade + (engineering LNB upgrade +
analysis) SCR/SNCR analysis) SCR/SNCR
retrofit retrofit
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40278011............................. Arizona................. Yuma................... 69.87 69.84 71.47 71.44
80590006............................. Colorado................ Jefferson.............. 71.70 71.36 72.30 71.95
80590011............................. Colorado................ Jefferson.............. 72.06 71.59 72.66 72.19
80690011............................. Colorado................ Larimer................ 69.84 69.54 71.04 70.73
90013007............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 71.25 70.98 72.06 71.78
90019003............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 71.58 71.34 71.78 71.54
350130021............................ New Mexico.............. Dona Ana............... 70.06 69.89 71.36 71.19
350130022............................ New Mexico.............. Dona Ana............... 69.17 69.00 71.77 71.60
350151005............................ New Mexico.............. Eddy................... .............. .............. .............. ..............
350250008............................ New Mexico.............. Lea.................... .............. .............. .............. ..............
480391004............................ Texas................... Brazoria............... 69.89 68.96 72.02 71.06
481671034............................ Texas................... Galveston.............. 71.29 70.02 72.51 71.22
482010024............................ Texas................... Harris................. 74.83 73.86 76.45 75.46
490110004............................ Utah.................... Davis.................. 69.90 69.34 72.10 71.52
490353006............................ Utah.................... Salt Lake.............. 70.50 69.96 72.10 71.55
490353013............................ Utah.................... Salt Lake.............. 71.91 71.45 72.31 71.84
551170006............................ Wisconsin............... Sheboygan.............. 70.83 70.51 71.73 71.41
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average AQ Change Relative to Base (ppb)............................................ .............. .............. .............. 0.47
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total PPB Change Across All Receptors Relative to Base (ppb)........................ .............. .............. .............. 7.04
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 36744]]
Figures 1 and 2 to section V.D.1 of this document, included in
Appendix I of the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD
available in the docket for this rulemaking, illustrate the air quality
improvement relative to the estimated representative cost associated
with the previously identified emissions control technologies. The
graphs show improving air quality at the downwind receptors as
emissions reductions commensurate with the identified control
technologies are assumed to be implemented. Figure 1 to section V.D.1
of this document reflects emissions reductions commensurate with
optimization of existing SNCRs and SCRs. Figure 2 to section V.D.1 of
this document reflects emissions reductions commensurate with
installation of new post combustion controls (mainly SCRs) layered on
top of the emissions reduction potential from the technologies
represented in Figure 1 to section V.D.1 of this document. The graphic,
and underlying AQAT receptor-by-receptor analysis demonstrates that air
quality continues to improve at downwind receptors as EPA examines
increasingly stringent EGU NOX control technologies. While
all major technology breakpoints identified in sections V.B and V.C of
this document show continued air quality improvements at problematic
receptors and at cost and technology levels that are commensurate with
mitigation strategies that are proven to be widely available and
implemented, EPA's quantification and application of those breakpoints
reflect certain exclusions to: (1) preserve this consistency with
widely observed mitigation measures in states, and (2) remove any
retrofit assumptions at marginal units that would have much higher
dollar per ton representative cost and little or no air quality
benefit. For instance, the EPA does not define the SCR retrofit
breakpoint ($11,000 per ton) to include retrofit application at steam
units less than 100 MW or at oil/gas steam units emitting at less than
150 tons per ozone season. The emissions reductions from these
potential categories of measures are small and do not constitute
additional ``breakpoints'' in EPA's estimation. They would entail much
higher dollar per ton costs, going beyond what is widely observed in
the fleet. This careful calibration of technology breakpoints through
exclusion of measures that are clearly not cost-effective in terms of
air quality benefit allows for the identification of an EGU uniform
control stringency that is an appropriate reflection of those readily
available and widely implemented emissions reduction strategies that
will have meaningful downwind air quality impact.
Moreover, these technologies (and representative cost) are
demonstrated ozone pollution mitigation strategies that are widely
practiced across the EGU fleet and are of comparable stringency to
emissions reduction measures that many downwind states have already
instituted. The coal SCR retrofit measures driving the majority of the
emissions reductions in this action not only reflect industry best
practice, but they also reflect prevailing practice among EGUs. More
than 66 percent of the existing coal capacity already has this
technology in place. For nearly 25 years, all new coal-fired EGUs that
commenced construction have had SCR (or equivalent emissions rates).
The 1997 proposed amendments to subpart Da revised the NOX
standard based on the use of SCR. The NOX SIP Call
(promulgated in 1998) established emissions reduction requirements
premised on extensive SCR installation (142 units) and incentivized
well over 40 GWs of SCR retrofit in the ensuing years.\239\ Similarly,
the Clean Air Interstate Rule established emissions reductions
requirements in 2006 that assumed SCR would be installed on another 58
units (15 GW) in the ensuing years among just 10 states, and an even
greater volume of capacity chose SCR retrofit measures in the wake of
finalizing that action.\240\
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\239\ 63 FR 57448.
\240\ 71 FR 25345.
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Basing emissions reduction requirements for EGUs on SCR retrofits
is also consistent with regulatory approaches adopted by states,
which--particularly in downwind areas more impacted by ozone transport
contribution from upwind state emissions--have already adopted SCR-
based standards as part of stringent NOX control programs.
Regulatory programs that impose stringent RACT requirements on all
major power plants and Lowest Achievable Emission Rate (LAER) standards
on all new major sources of NOX have resulted in remaining
coal-fired generating resources in states along the Northeast Corridor
such as Connecticut, Delaware, New Jersey, New York, and Massachusetts
all being retrofitted with SCR.\241\ The Maryland Code of Regulations
requires coal-fired sources to operate existing SCR controls or install
SCR controls by specified dates.\242\ Programs like North Carolina's
Clean Smokestacks Act and Colorado's Clean Air, Clean Jobs Act have
also required or prompted SCR retrofits on units.\243\ Unit-level BART
requirements for the first Regional Haze planning period also
determined SCR retrofits (and corresponding emissions rates) were cost-
effective controls for a variety of sources in the U.S.\244\
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\241\ EPA-HQ-OAR-2020-0272. Comment letter from Attorneys
General of NY, NJ, CT, DE, MA.
\242\ COMAR 26.11.38 (control of NOX Emissions from
Coal-Fired Electric Generating Units).
\243\ https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2021-09/table-3-30-state-power-sector-regulations-included-in-epa-platform-v6-summer-2021-refe.pdf.
\244\ See table 3-35 BART regulations in EPA IPM documentation
available at https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/documentation-epas-power-sector-modeling-platform-v6-summer-2021-reference-case.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As shown in Figure 1 to section V.D.1 of this document,\245\ the
majority of EGU emissions reduction potential and associated air
quality improvements estimated for 2023 occurs from optimization of
existing SCRs, with some additional reductions from installation of
state-of-the-art combustion controls at the same representative cost
threshold. At the slightly higher representative cost threshold of
$1,800 per ton, there is some additional air quality improvement from
optimization of existing SNCRs. These measures taken together represent
the control stringency at which near-term incremental EGU
NOX reduction potential and corresponding downwind ozone air
quality improvements are maximized. This evaluation shows that EGU
NOX reductions for each of the near-term emissions control
technologies are available at reasonable cost and that these reductions
provide meaningful improvements in downwind ozone concentrations at the
identified nonattainment and maintenance receptors. Figure 1 to section
V.D.1 of this document \246\ highlights (1) the continuous connection
between identified emissions reduction potential and downwind air
quality improvement across the range of near-term mitigation measures
assessed, and (2) the cost-effective availability of these reductions
and corresponding air quality improvements.
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\245\ Included in Appendix I of the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD, which is available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
\246\ Included in Appendix I of the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD, which is available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additional considerations that are unique to EGUs provide
additional support for EPA's determination to include SCR and SNCR
optimization as part of the identified near-term control stringency,
including:
[[Page 36745]]
these controls are already installed and available for
operation on these units;
they are on average already partially operating, but not
necessarily optimized;
the reductions are available in the near-term (during
ozone seasons when the problematic receptors are projected to persist),
including by the 2023 ozone season aligned with the Moderate area
attainment date; and
these sources are already covered under the existing CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 or Group 3 Trading Programs or the
Acid Rain Program and thus have the monitoring, reporting,
recordkeeping, and all other necessary elements of compliance with the
trading program already in place.
The majority of EGU emissions reduction potential and associated
air quality improvements estimated to start in 2026 occur from
retrofitting uncontrolled steam sources with post-combustion controls.
At the representative cost threshold of $11,000 per ton, there are
significant additional air quality improvements from emissions
reductions commensurate with installation of new SCRs and SNCRs. These
measures taken together with the near-term emissions reduction measures
described previously represent the level of control stringency in 2026
at which incremental EGU NOX reduction potential and
corresponding downwind ozone air quality improvements are maximized.
This evaluation shows that EGU NOX reductions for each of
the emissions control technologies are available at reasonable cost and
that these reductions can provide improvements in downwind ozone
concentrations at the identified nonattainment and maintenance
receptors.
The EPA finds that the control stringency that reflects
optimization of existing SCRs and SNCRs, installation of state-of-the-
art combustion controls, and the retrofitting of new post combustion
controls at the coal and oil/gas steam capacity described previously is
projected to result in nearly 73,000 tons of NOX reduction
(approximately 40 percent of the 2026 baseline level) for the 19 linked
states in 2026 subject to a FIP for EGUs, which will deliver notable
air quality improvements across all transport-impacted receptors and
assist in fully resolving one downwind air quality receptor for the
2015 ozone NAAQS. Figure 2 to section V.D.1 of this document \247\
demonstrates the continuous connection between identified emissions
reduction potential and downwind air quality improvement across the
range of mitigation measures assessed in 2026. At no point do the
additional emissions mitigation measures examined here fail to produce
corresponding downwind air quality improvements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\247\ Included in Appendix I of the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD, which is available in the docket for this
rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA is determining that the appropriate EGU control stringency
is commensurate with the full operation of all existing post-combustion
controls (both SCRs and SNCRs) and state-of-the-art combustion control
upgrades for those states linked to downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptors in 2023. For those states also linked in 2026,
the EPA is determining that the appropriate EGU control stringency also
includes emissions reductions commensurate with the retrofit of SCR at
coal steam units of 100 MW or greater capacity (excepting circulating
fluidized bed units), new SNCR on coal steam units of less than 100 MW
capacity and circulating fluidized bed units, and SCR on oil/gas steam
units greater than 100 MW that have historically emitted at least 150
tons of NOX per ozone season.
As noted previously in section V.B of this document and in the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD, the EPA considered
other methods of identifying mitigation measures (e.g., SCRs on smaller
units, combustion control upgrades on combustion turbines, SCRs on
combined cycle and simple cycle combustion turbines). The emissions
reductions from these potential categories of measures do not
constitute additional ``technology breakpoints'' in EPA's estimation,
but rather reflect a different tier of assessment where further
mitigation measures are based on inclusion of smaller and/or different
generator-type units (rather than different pollution control
technologies). Emissions reductions from these measures are relatively
small and would entail much higher dollar per ton costs, going beyond
what is widely observed in the fleet. Although these additional
measures are not included in EPA's technology breakpoint analysis
discussed in this section, the EPA did analyze the cost, potential
reductions, and air quality impact of these additional measures to
affirm that they do not merit inclusion in the final stringency for
this action. That analysis shows the potential emissions reductions and
air quality improvements from these additional measures occur beyond a
notable ``knee-in-the-curve'' breakpoint. In other words, there are
very little additional emissions reductions and air quality improvement
at problematic receptors, and the cost associated with these measures
increases substantially on a dollar per ton basis. The graphic
capturing this effect (located in Appendix I of the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD) illustrates the significant decline in
cost-effectiveness of reductions if these measures had been included in
EPA's final stringency.\248\
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\248\ This is not to discount the potential effectiveness of
these or other NOX mitigation strategies outside the
context of this rulemaking, which addresses regional ozone transport
on a nationwide basis based on the present record. States and local
jurisdictions may find such measures particularly impactful or
necessary in the context of local attainment planning or other
unique circumstances. Further, while the EPA finds on the present
record that this rule is a complete remedy to the problem of
interstate transport for the 2015 ozone NAAQS for the covered
states, the EPA has in the past recognized that circumstances may
arise after the promulgation of remedies under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in which the exercise of further remedial
authority against specific stationary sources or groups of sources
under CAA section 126 may be warranted. See Response to Clean Air
Act Section 126(b) Petition From Delaware and Maryland, 83 FR 50444,
50453-54 (Oct. 5, 2018).
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2. Non-EGU Assessment
Using a 2019 emissions inventory, the list of emissions units
estimated to be captured by the applicability criteria, the assumed
control technologies that would meet the emissions limits, and
information on control efficiencies and default cost/ton values from
the control measures database, the EPA estimated NOX
emissions reductions and costs for the year 2026. Given the EPA's
conclusion that the 2026 ozone season is the earliest date by which the
required controls can be installed across the identified non-EGU
industries, the EPA assessed the effects of these controls in 2026
under its multi-factor test. In the assessment, we matched emissions
units by Source Classification Code (SCC) from the inventory to the
applicable control technologies in the CMDB. We modified SCC codes as
necessary to match control technologies to inventory records. For
additional details about the steps taken to estimate emissions units,
emissions reductions, and costs, see the memorandum titled ``Summary of
Final Rule Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for Non-EGU
Emissions Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the Final
Emissions Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions,
and Costs'' available in the docket. The estimates using the 2019
inventory and information from the CMDB identify proxies for emissions
units, as well as emissions reductions, and costs associated with the
assumed control
[[Page 36746]]
technologies that would meet the final emissions limits. Emissions
units subject to the final rule emissions limits may differ from those
estimated in this assessment, and the estimated emissions reductions
from, and costs to meet, the final rule emissions limits may also
differ from those estimated in this assessment. The costs do not
include monitoring, recordkeeping, reporting, or testing costs.
After reviewing public comments and updating some of the data used
to provide an accurate assessment of the likely potential emissions
reductions that could be achieved from the identified emissions units
in the industries analyzed for proposal, the EPA finds that in general,
these emissions reductions (with some modifications from proposal) are
necessary to eliminate significant contribution at Step 3. The EPA's
use of the analytical framework presented in the non-EGU screening
assessment to identify potentially impactful industries and emissions
unit types in the proposal remains valid. The EPA's criteria were
intended to identify industries and emissions unit types that on a
broad scale impact multiple receptors to varying degrees. The EPA
focused its non-EGU screening assessment on (1) emissions and potential
emissions reductions from these industries and emissions units and (2)
the potential impact that emissions reductions from those industries
and emissions units could deliver to the receptors.
While commenters criticized the analytical framework in the non-EGU
screening assessment for assuming potentially unachievable emissions
reductions at Step 3, or for not corresponding to a precise list of
emissions units that would be covered at Step 4, these comments did not
offer an alternative methodology for the Step 3 analysis to identify
those industries and emissions units that potentially have the greatest
impact and therefore should be scrutinized more closely for emissions
reduction opportunities.\249\ Further, contrary to some commenters'
assertions, the EPA's assessment did not result in an unbounded scope
of regulation of industrial sources. Of the approximately 40 industries
defined by North American Industry Classification System codes the EPA
analyzed, only seven industries were identified as having emissions and
potential emissions reduction opportunities that met the EPA's air
quality criteria for further assessment.
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\249\ For example, while the EPA has found it appropriate to
limit the scope of emissions units that would be subject to
emissions limits and controls in the iron and steel industry in
light of comments regarding certain sources' inability to meet the
EPA's proposed emission limits, this does not alter the EPA's
determination that this industry is an impactful industry and that
certain emissions controls should still be required.
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At proposal, the EPA found that based on data available at that
time and for the purposes of the screening assessment, it appeared that
a $7,500 marginal cost-per-ton threshold could be used as a proxy to
identify cost-effective emissions control opportunities. Similar to the
role of cost-effectiveness thresholds the EPA uses at Step 3 to
evaluate EGU emissions control opportunities, this threshold is not
intended to represent the maximum cost any facility may need to expend
but is rather intended to be a representative figure for evaluating
technologies to allow for a relative comparison between different
levels of control stringency. For example, in the EGU analysis, the
$11,000/ton average cost threshold for an SCR retrofit represents a
range of SCR retrofit costs for units for which the 90th percentile
cost-per-ton is roughly $21,000. See section V.B.a of this document.
The EPA's potential cost threshold for non-EGU controls at proposal was
intended to serve a similar representative purpose. We respond briefly
to comments regarding the use of the $7,500/ton threshold in section
V.C of this document. Comments regarding the screening assessment are
further addressed in section 2.2 of the response to comments document
in the docket.
Based on the EPA's updated analysis for this final rule, the EPA
recognizes that the $7,500/ton threshold does not reflect the full
range of cost-effectiveness values that are likely present across the
many different types of non-EGU industries and emissions units
assessed. However, the EPA nonetheless finds that, with some
adjustments from proposal, the overall mix of emissions controls it
identified at proposal is appropriate to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment or interference with maintenance in
downwind areas. In the final analysis, we find that the average cost-
per-ton of emissions reductions across all non-EGU industries in this
rule generally ranges from approximately $939/ton to $14,595/ton, with
an overall average of approximately $5,339/ton. See memorandum titled
``Summary of Final Rule Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for
Non-EGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the
Final Emissions Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions
Reductions, and Costs,'' available in the docket.
Nonetheless, overall the EPA finds that the range of cost-
effectiveness values for non-EGU industries and emissions units
compares favorably with the values used to evaluate EGUs. As discussed
in the preceding paragraphs, the representative cost for EGUs to
retrofit SCR is $11,000/ton. This reflects a range of cost estimates,
with $20,900/ton reflecting the 90th percentile of units (see section
V.B.a of this document). The higher end of the estimated average cost
range for certain non-EGU industrial emissions units is also in that
range. While specific emissions units may have higher costs associated
with installing pollution control technologies than other similar unit
types, this does not in itself undermine the Agency's conclusion that a
level of emissions control associated with a specific emissions limit
or control technology is appropriate to require across the linked
upwind state region, in light of the overall emissions reductions and
air quality benefits at downwind receptors that those controls are
projected to deliver.
We note that the non-EGU control cost estimates in this final rule
were based on historical actual emissions. This can affect the
presentation of cost-per-ton values at the unit level, and it would not
be appropriate to abandon uniform control stringency among like units
in the covered industries across or within upwind states based on such
cost differentials.
The EPA finds it appropriate to require a uniform level of
emissions control across similar emissions unit types to, among other
things, prevent two potential outcomes related to shifting production,
either between units within the same facility or between units at
different facilities. First, if some units were exempted from control
requirements because of historically low actual emissions, there is a
risk that source owners or operators may shift production to these
specific units, increasing their utilization and resulting in emissions
increases from these units. Second, if some owners or operators were
able to avoid the control requirements of the final rule on this basis,
they could gain a competitive advantage vis-[agrave]-vis other
facilities within their respective industries. Production could shift
from units at another facility subject to the control requirements to
the units that avoided control requirements (and thus avoid costs the
regulated facility should bear), potentially resulting in emissions
increases. The effect of such an approach in such circumstances would
be mere emissions shifting rather than the elimination of significant
[[Page 36747]]
contribution. Finally, as we have explained in prior transport actions,
the cost-effectiveness figure is not the only factor that the agency
considers at Step 3, see 86 FR 23073, and if used in isolation to make
a policy decision without considering other information, could produce
a result that is inconsistent with the objective of ensuring
significant contribution is eliminated.\250\
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\250\ Nonetheless, recognizing the diverse non-EGU industries
and emissions units covered in this action and the potential that
certain individual facilities and emissions units may face extreme
hardship in meeting the general requirements being finalized in this
action, the EPA has provided mechanisms in the regulatory
requirements for industrial sources that provide for some
flexibility in the emissions limits based on a demonstration of
technical impossibility or extreme economic hardship. See section
VI.C of this document.
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In addition to our evaluation of cost-effectiveness on a cost per
ton basis, the EPA's determination at Step 3 for non-EGUs is also
informed by the overall level of emissions reductions that will be
achieved across the region and the effect those reductions are
projected to have on air quality at the downwind receptors (discussed
more later in this section). We are also influenced by the fact that
these emissions control strategies for non-EGUs are generally well
demonstrated to be feasible on many existing units, as established
through our review of consent decrees, permits, RACT determinations,
and other data sources. These levels of emissions control have in many
cases already been required by states with downwind nonattainment areas
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
The EPA determined that, for 2026, the incremental average air
quality improvement at receptors relative to the EGU case when SCR
post-combustion controls were installed was 0.19 ppb when non-EGU
controls were applied, based on the Step 3 analysis. The total average
air quality improvement was 0.66 ppb when the non-EGU improvement was
added to the EGU improvement, meaning that the non-EGU increment
accounts for about 29 percent of this average air quality improvement.
In general, the air quality results from non-EGU emissions reductions
yield additional important downwind benefits to the air quality
benefits of the EGU strategy. For example, the total ppb improvement
summed over all of the receptors from EGUs was 7.04 ppb and the non-EGU
increment adds another 2.82 ppb of improvement bringing the total to
9.87 (when accounting for rounding). Non-EGUs account for 29 percent of
this total air quality improvement as well. Further, these figures
should not be considered in isolation; EPA is not comparing EGU
strategy effects and non-EGU effects to make a selection between two
different approaches. Rather, both the selected EGU and non-EGU
emissions reduction strategies at the cost-effectiveness values
identified in section V.B and V.C of this document present a
comprehensive solution to eliminating significant contribution for the
covered states. The combined effect of the EGU and non-EGU strategies
is further presented in the following section.
Table V.D.2-2--Air Quality at Receptors in 2026 From Non-EGU Industries
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average DV (ppb) Max DV (ppb)
---------------------------------------------------------------
EGU SCR/SNCR EGU SCR/SNCR
optimization + optimization +
Monitor ID No. State County Baseline LNB upgrade + Baseline LNB upgrade +
(engineering SCR/SNCR (engineering SCR/SNCR
analysis) retrofit + non- analysis) retrofit + non-
EGU EGU
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40278011............................. Arizona................. Yuma................... 69.87 69.80 71.47 71.40
80590006............................. Colorado................ Jefferson.............. 71.70 71.34 72.30 71.93
80590011............................. Colorado................ Jefferson.............. 72.06 71.57 72.66 72.16
80690011............................. Colorado................ Larimer................ 69.84 69.53 71.04 70.72
90013007............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 71.25 70.66 72.06 71.46
90019003............................. Connecticut............. Fairfield.............. 71.58 71.06 71.78 71.26
350130021............................ New Mexico.............. Dona Ana............... 70.06 69.86 71.36 71.16
350130022............................ New Mexico.............. Dona Ana............... 69.17 68.96 71.77 71.56
350151005............................ New Mexico.............. Eddy................... .............. .............. .............. ..............
350250008............................ New Mexico.............. Lea.................... .............. .............. .............. ..............
480391004............................ Texas................... Brazoria............... 69.89 68.50 72.02 70.58
481671034............................ Texas................... Galveston.............. 71.29 69.28 72.51 70.47
482010024............................ Texas................... Harris................. 74.83 73.39 76.45 74.98
490110004............................ Utah.................... Davis.................. 69.90 69.28 72.10 71.46
490353006............................ Utah.................... Salt Lake.............. 70.50 69.91 72.10 71.50
490353013............................ Utah.................... Salt Lake.............. 71.91 71.40 72.31 71.80
551170006............................ Wisconsin............... Sheboygan.............. 70.83 70.27 71.73 71.17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average AQ Change Relative to Base (ppb)............................................ .............. .............. .............. 0.66
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total PPB Change Across All Receptors Relative to Base (ppb)........................ .............. .............. .............. 9.87
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Notes:
\a\ The EPA notes that the design values reflected in Table V.D.-2 correspond to the engineering analysis EGU emissions inventory that was used in AQAT
to determine state-level baseline emissions and reductions at Step 3. These tools are discussed in greater detail in the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD.
\b\ New Mexico Eddy and Lea monitors have no values in Table V.D.2-2 as EPA does not have calibration factors for these monitors as no contributions
were calculated for them from the proposal AQ modeling.
\c\ The cumulative ppb change only shows the aggregate change across all problematic receptors (some of which are located within close proximity to one
another) in this part of the Step 3 analysis. Section VIII of this document provides a more complete picture of the air quality impacts of the final
rule.
[[Page 36748]]
For more information about how this assessment was performed and
the results of the analysis for each receptor, refer to the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD and to the Ozone AQAT included
in the docket for this rule.
3. Combined EGU and Non-EGU Assessment
The EPA used the Ozone AQAT to evaluate the combined impact of
these selected stringency levels for both EGUs and non-EGUs on all
receptors remaining in the 2026 air quality modeling base case to
inform the air quality effects of the rule and to conduct our over-
control analysis. EPA's evaluation demonstrated air quality improvement
at the remaining nonattainment or maintenance receptors outside of
California (see section IV.D of this document for receptor details).
The EPA estimated that the average air quality improvement at these
receptors relative to the engineering analytics base case was 0.66 ppb
for emissions reductions commensurate with optimization of existing
SCRs/SNCRs, combustion control upgrades, application of new post-
combustion control (SCR and SNCR) retrofits at eligible units, and all
estimated emissions reductions from the non-EGU industries. Table
V.D.3-1 summarizes the results of EPA's Step 3 evaluation of air
quality improvements at these receptors using AQAT. In summary, the
collective application of these mitigation measures and emissions
reductions are projected to deliver meaningful downwind air quality
improvements.
Table V.D.3-1--Change in Air Quality at Receptors in 2026 From Final Rule EGU and Non-EGU Emissions Reductions a
b c
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total PPB Average PPB
Ozone season change across change across
Sector/technology emissions all downwind all downwind
reductions receptors \d\ receptors
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
EGU (SCR/SNCR optimization + LNB upgrade)..................... 16,282 0.71 0.05
EGU SCR/SNCR Retrofit......................................... 55,672 6.34 0.42
Non-EGU Industries............................................ 44,616 2.82 0.19
-------------------------------------------------
Total..................................................... .............. 9.87 0.66
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Notes:
\a\ As in prior rules, for the purpose of defining significant contribution at Step 3, the EPA evaluated air
quality changes resulting from the application of the emissions reductions in only those states that are
linked to each receptor as well as the state containing the receptor. By applying reductions to the state
containing the receptor, the EPA ensures that it is accounting for the downwind state's fair share. In
addition, this method holds each upwind state responsible for its fair share of the downwind problems to which
it is linked. Reductions made by other states to address air quality problems at other receptors do not
increase or decrease this share. The air quality impacts on design values that reflect the emissions
reductions in all linked states and associated health and climate benefits are discussed in section VII of
this document.
\b\ The EPA notes that the design values reflected in Tables V.D.1-1 and -2 correspond to the engineering
analysis EGU emissions inventory used in AQAT to determine state-level baseline emissions and reductions at
Step 3. These tools are discussed in greater detail in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD.
Additionally, these emissions reduction values vary slightly from the technology reduction estimates described
in section V.C of this document, as the values here reflect the sum of the final identified stringency for
each state (e.g., SCR retrofit potential is not assumed in Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin).
\c\ The total and average ppb results from non-EGUs emissions reductions shown here were generated using the
Step 3 AQAT methodology consistent with that for EGUs (i.e., including reductions from the state containing
the receptor and excluding states that are not explicitly linked to particular receptors). The values shown in
Table V.C.2-1 were prepared for the non-EGU screening assessment using a methodology where states within the
program make emissions reductions for all receptors. States that contain receptors (i.e., Connecticut and
Colorado) that are not linked to other receptors are not assumed to make reductions under that methodology.
\d\ The cumulative ppb change only shows the aggregate change across all problematic receptors (some of which
are located within close proximity to one another) in this part of the Step 3 analysis. Section VIII of this
document provides a picture of the projected air quality impacts of the final rule using modeling techniques
that differ from the methodologies employed here.
4. Over-Control Analysis
The EPA applied its over-control test to this same set of
aggregated EGU and non-EGU data described in the previous section. The
EPA performed air quality analysis using the Ozone AQAT to determine
whether the emissions reductions for both EGUs and non-EGUs potentially
create an ``over-control'' scenario. As in prior transport rules
following the holdings in EME Homer City, overcontrol would be
established if the record indicated that, for any given state, there is
an identified, less stringent emissions control approach for that
state, by which (1) the expected ozone improvements would be sufficient
to resolve all of the downwind receptor(s) to which that state is
linked; or (2) the expected ozone improvements would reduce the upwind
state's ozone contributions below the screening threshold (i.e., 1
percent of the NAAQS or 0.70 ppb) to all receptors. In EME Homer City,
the Supreme Court held that the EPA cannot ``require[] an upwind State
to reduce emissions by more than the amount necessary to achieve
attainment in every downwind State to which it is linked.'' 572 U.S. at
521. On remand from the Supreme Court, the D.C. Circuit held that this
means that the EPA might overstep its authority ``when those downwind
locations would achieve attainment even if less stringent emissions
limits were imposed on the upwind States linked to those locations.''
EME Homer City II, 795 F.3d at 127. The D.C. Circuit qualified this
statement by noting that this ``does not mean that every such upwind
state would then be entitled to less stringent emissions limits. Some
of those upwind States may still be subject to the more stringent
emissions limits so as not to cause other downwind locations to which
those States are linked to fall into nonattainment.'' Id. at 14-15.
Further, as the Supreme Court explained, ``while EPA has a statutory
duty to avoid over-control, the Agency also has a statutory obligation
to avoid `under-control,' i.e., to maximize achievement of attainment
downwind.'' 572 U.S. at 523. The Court noted that ``a degree of
imprecision is inevitable in tackling the problem of interstate air
pollution'' and that incidental over-control may be unavoidable. Id.
``Required to balance the possibilities of under-control and over-
control, EPA must have leeway in fulfilling its statutory mandate.''
Id.\251\
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\251\ Although the Court described over-control as going beyond
what is needed to address ``nonattainment'' problems, the EPA
interprets this holding as not impacting its approach to defining
and addressing both nonattainment and maintenance receptors. In
particular, the EPA continues to interpret the Good Neighbor
provision as requiring it to give independent effect to the
``interfere with maintenance'' prong. Accord Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at
325-27.
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[[Page 36749]]
Consistent with these instructions from the Supreme Court and the
D.C. Circuit, using the Ozone AQAT, the EPA first evaluated whether
reductions resulting from the selected control stringencies for EGUs in
2023 and 2026 combined with the emissions reductions selected for non-
EGUs in 2026 can be anticipated to resolve any downwind nonattainment
or maintenance problems (see the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final
Rule TSD for details on the construction and application of AQAT).
Similar to our approach in the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR
Update, our primary overcontrol assessment examines the receptor
changes from the emissions reductions of the upwind states found linked
to a receptor. Consistent with prior Rules, EPA also assumed that
downwind states that are not upwind states in this rule implement
reductions commensurate with the rule's requirements (this treatment
applies specifically to Colorado and Connecticut). This configuration
effectively presents an equitable representation of the effects of the
rule in that linked upwind states do not shift their responsibility to
other upwind states linked to different receptors. It also effectively
resolves any interdependence and ``which state goes first?'' questions.
Furthermore, the downwind states in which a receptor is located are
held to a ``fair share'' of emissions reductions--i.e., the same level
of emissions control stringency that the upwind states must implement.
The EPA also repeated this analysis using an alternative
configuration, as described in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule TSD. In this configuration, we looked at the combined effect
of the entire program across all linked upwind states on each receptor
and did not assume that a downwind state that is not also an upwind
state makes any additional emissions reductions beyond the baseline in
the relevant year. This configuration effectively isolates how the rule
as a whole, and just the rule, will affect air quality and linkages.
While the first configuration described is, in the Agency's view, the
more appropriate way to evaluate overcontrol, taken together the
configurations provide a more robust basis on which to rest our
conclusions regarding overcontrol. In any case, as further illustrated
in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, our analysis
under both configurations establishes that there is no overcontrol and
so there is no need to reconcile any difference in results between
them.
We also looked at the ordering of increments of emissions reduction
and have found that it does not matter whether we assume EGU emissions
controls would be applied first, followed by non-EGU controls, or vice-
versa. For 2023, the question is moot as there are only EGU reductions
to examine. For 2026, the analysis showed there would be no overcontrol
either way. In 2026, the EPA's overcontrol analysis (as presented here)
examined all EGU reductions first and layered in non-EGU reductions in
the last step of the overcontrol check. However, the EPA also examined
an alternative ordering scenario where the non-EGU reductions were
assessed prior to the EGU reductions associated with installation of
new SCR post-combustion controls (see the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD for details). This ordering did not impact the
results of the overcontrol test. The specific results of these analyses
are presented in the TSD.
The control stringency selected for 2023 (a representative cost
threshold of $1,800 per ton for EGUs) includes emissions reductions
commensurate with optimization of existing SCRs and SNCRs and
installation of state-of-the-art combustion controls, is not estimated
to change the status of any receptors.\252\ Thus, the nonattainment or
maintenance receptors that the states are linked to remain unresolved.
Nor do any states' contribution levels drop below the 1 percent of
NAAQS threshold. Thus, the EPA determined that none of the 23 linked
states have all of their linkages resolved at the final EGU level of
control stringency in 2023, and hence, the EPA finds no over-control in
the final level of stringency.
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\252\ For purposes of this rule, the violating monitor receptors
inform our determinations at Step 1 and 2 by strengthening the
analytical basis on which we conclude upwind states are linked in
2023. Because no linkages identified using our air quality modeling
methodology resolve in 2023 under the selected control stringency,
it is not necessary to evaluate overcontrol with respect to the
additional set of violating-monitor receptors.
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Based on the air quality baseline modeling for 2026, all receptors
to which Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin are linked in 2023 are
projected to be in attainment in 2026. Therefore, no additional
stringency is finalized for EGUs or non-EGUs in those states beyond the
2023 level of stringency. For the remaining 20 states, the selected
control stringency beginning in 2026 includes additional EGU controls
and the non-EGU emissions reductions.
The EPA assesses air quality impacts and overcontrol in the year
2026 in this final rule, even though the rule accommodates the
potential need for individual facilities (both EGU and non-EGU) to have
some additional time to come into compliance. The EPA views this
additional time to be a reflection of need (based on demonstrated
impossibility) that is justified at Step 4 of the interstate transport
framework rather than at Step 3. As explained in section VI.A of this
document, with respect to EGUs, the EPA extends the full implementation
of the SCR retrofit-based reductions across 2026 and 2027 to
accommodate any unit-level scheduling challenges. However, we find that
many sources can meet a three-year installation time and the trading
program features and the allowance price will incentivize these
reductions to occur as soon as possible. Similarly, with respect to
non-EGU industrial sources, the final rule provides limited
circumstances for individual facilities to seek and to be granted
extensions of time to install required pollution controls and achieve
the emissions rates established in this rule based on a showing of
necessity. Those circumstances where an extension may be warranted for
any specific facility are unknown at this time and will be evaluated
through a source-specific application process, where the need for
extension can be established with source-specific evidence. See section
VI.C of this document. Further, 2026 is the critical analytic year
associated with the last full ozone season before the 2027 Serious area
attainment date and is the year by which significant contribution must
be eliminated if at all possible. Therefore, for purposes of this
analysis, the collective state and regional representation of these
reductions are fully assumed in 2026. The potential ability of both EGU
and non-EGU sources to have some amount of additional time beyond 2026
to comply with requirements that we have determined at Step 3 are
necessary to eliminate significant contribution does not necessitate
evaluating a later year than 2026 for overcontrol. The stringency of
the control program does not alter in any year beyond 2026.\253\ By
[[Page 36750]]
fully reflecting all Step 3 emissions reductions in its overcontrol
test for 2026, EPA ensures that it is not understating the emissions
impact and benefit when performing the test.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\253\ Thus, we note, this circumstance is different than the
record on which overcontrol was found in EME Homer City. There,
CSAPR would have implemented an increase in the emissions control
stringency of the rule (as reflected in a change in emissions
control stringency expressed as dollars per ton from $100/ton to
$500/ton). That change in stringency marked a determination that EPA
had made at Step 3 regarding the degree of emissions reduction that
sources needed to achieve beginning in 2014. But in that year, the
court found EPA's record to reveal that certain states would not
need to go up to that higher level of stringency because air quality
problems and/or linkages were already projected to be resolved at
the lower level of stringency. See 795 F.3d at 128-30. The analogous
year to 2014 here is 2026. The stringency level of this control
program does not change post-2026. Nor do we think individual
sources should gain the benefit of delaying emissions reductions
simply in the hopes that they could show those reductions would be
overcontrol; each source must be held to the elimination of its
portion of significant contribution. Necessity may demand some
additional amount of time for compliance, but equity demands that
individual sources not gain an untoward advantage from delay and
reliance on other sources' timelier compliance.
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The EPA used the Ozone AQAT to evaluate the impact of this selected
stringency level (as well as other potential stringency levels) on all
receptors remaining in the 2026 air quality modeling base case. This
assessment shows that the selected control stringency level is
estimated to change the status of three receptors to attainment or
maintenance in 2026. Brazoria County, Texas (Monitor ID 480391004); and
Galveston County, Texas (Monitor ID 481671034), are estimated to come
into attainment. We observe that one of the Fairfield, Connecticut,
receptors (Monitor ID 090013007) is estimated to go from nonattainment
to maintenance (when EGU emissions reductions with SCR are applied,
prior to the application of the non-EGU emissions reductions). This
receptor is expected to remain in maintenance even after the
application of the non-EGU emissions reductions. Based on these data,
EPA finds that all linked states except Arkansas, Mississippi, and
Oklahoma are projected to continue to be linked to nonattainment or
maintenance receptors after implementation of all identified Step 3
reductions, and hence, the EPA finds no over-control in its
determination of that level of stringency for those states. Arkansas,
Mississippi, and Oklahoma are linked to at least one of the two Texas
receptors that are projected to come into attainment with the full
implementation of the control strategy at Step 3. However, these two
Texas receptors are expected to remain as maintenance-only receptors
prior to the final increment of reductions assessed (the addition of
the non-EGU reductions), so EPA concludes that imposition of the
incremental non-EGU level is appropriate to avoid under-control as to
these states and does not constitute overcontrol.\254\
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\254\ Even with full implementation of the rule, these two
receptors are only projected to come into attainment by a relatively
small degree, and no policy option is ascertained in the record by
which attainment could be achieved to an even lesser degree.
Nonetheless, the EPA further evaluated whether there were any
overcontrol concerns through sensitivity analyses. Under all
scenarios, the EPA finds there is no overcontrol. See the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD for more discussion and
analysis.
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Next, the EPA evaluated the potential for over-control with respect
to the 1 percent of the NAAQS threshold applied in this final
rulemaking at Step 3 of the good neighbor framework, assessed for the
selected control stringencies for each state for each period that
downwind nonattainment and maintenance problems persist (i.e., 2023 and
2026). Specifically, the EPA evaluated whether the selected control
stringencies would reduce upwind emissions to a level where the
contribution from any of the 23 linked states in 2023 or 20 linked
states in 2026 would be below the 1 percent threshold. The EPA finds
that for the mitigation measures assumed in 2023 and in 2026, all
states that contributed greater than or equal to the 1 percent
threshold in the base case are projected to continue to contribute
greater than or equal to 1 percent of the NAAQS to at least one
remaining downwind nonattainment or maintenance receptor for as long as
that receptor remained in nonattainment or maintenance. EPA notes that
in 2026, for Oklahoma, when the incremental level of stringency
associated with the non-EGU control strategy is applied, Oklahoma's
contribution to Galveston County Texas is expected to drop below the 1
percent threshold (at the same time that the receptor has its
maintenance problems resolved). EPA concludes that this does not
constitute overcontrol because both the receptor and the contribution
are estimated to remain above the maintenance level and linkage
threshold at the prior level of stringency and, thus, since otherwise
justified at Step 3, the full stringency for 2026 is appropriate to
avoid under-control. For more information about this assessment, refer
to the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD and the Ozone
AQAT.
Therefore, EPA finds that all of the selected EGU and non-EGU
NOX reduction strategies selected in EPA's Step 3 analysis
can be applied to all states linked in 2026 to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance of the
2015 ozone NAAQS without introducing an overcontrol problem based on
the present record. The Supreme Court has directed the EPA to avoid
both over-control and under-control in addressing good neighbor
obligations. In addition, the D.C. Circuit has reinforced that over-
control must be established based on particularized, record evidence on
an as-applied basis.
The determination that the stringency of this action does not
constitute overcontrol for any linked state is further reinforced by
EPA's observation in section III.A of this document regarding the
nature of the ozone problem. Ozone levels are known to vary, at times
dramatically, from year to year. Future ozone concentrations and the
formation of ground level ozone may also be impacted by factors in
future years that the EPA cannot fully account for at present. For
example, changes to meteorological conditions could affect future ozone
levels. Climate change could also contribute to higher than anticipated
ozone levels in future years through wildfires and heat waves, which
can contribute directly and indirectly to higher levels of ozone. Any
modeling projection can be characterized as having some uncertainty,
and that is not a sufficient reason to ignore modeling results.
However, in the context of the overcontrol test, the question is
whether it is clear according to particularized evidence that there is
no need for the emissions reductions in question. See EME Homer City,
572 U.S. at 523 (``[A] degree of imprecision is inevitable in tackling
the problem of interstate air pollution. Slight changes in wind
patterns or energy consumption, for example, may vary downwind air
quality in ways EPA might not have anticipated.''). Under this
standard, the degree of attainment that is projected to occur under the
rule in relation to the Texas receptors discussed above is not so large
or certain to occur that it would be appropriate to attempt to devise a
less stringent emissions control strategy for the relevant linked
states as a result, particularly in light of the fact that at the
penultimate stringency level the receptors are not resolved.
It is also possible that ozone-precursor emissions from certain
sources may decline beyond what we currently project in this rule. For
example, the IRA may result in reductions in fossil-fuel fired
generation, which should in turn result in lower NOX
emissions during the ozone season.\255\ We have
[[Page 36751]]
assessed this scenario to ensure our overcontrol conclusions are robust
even if the IRA has those effects. As discussed in the Regulatory
Impact Analysis, the EPA conducted additional modeling of the final
policy scenario (inclusive of economically efficient methods of
compliance available within the Step 4 implementation programs) using
its IPM tool. The EPA observes that the differences in estimated costs
and emissions reductions in the IRA sensitivity (presented in Appendix
4A of the RIA) suggests that there would also be differences in
estimated health and climate benefits under that scenario, although the
Agency did not have time under this rulemaking schedule to quantify
those differences. The EPA also used AQAT to conduct an additional EGU
modeling sensitivity reflecting the IRA. Both the IPM sensitivity and
the corresponding AQAT assessment of the IRA scenarios demonstrated no
overcontrol as every state linkage to a downwind problematic receptor
persisted in the penultimate level of stringency when EPA performed its
Step 3 evaluation--even when the impacts of the IRA are incorporated.
This further affirmed EPA's conclusion of no overcontrol concerns at
the stringency level of the final rule. This overcontrol sensitivity is
further discussed in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD, Appendix K.
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\255\ As discussed in section IV.C.2.b, there are also potential
ways in which the IRA may not necessarily result in reductions in
NOX emissions from EGUs.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In light of the mandate of the CAA to protect the public health and
environment through the elimination of significant contribution under
the Good Neighbor Provision for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, nothing in the
present record establishes on an as-applied, particularized basis that
this rule will result in an unnecessary degree of control of upwind-
state emissions.
Comment: Many commenters alleged that the rule overcontrols
emissions by more than necessary to eliminate significant contribution
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, on the basis that the emissions reductions
are unnecessary or are unnecessarily stringent.
Response: As discussed earlier in this section, EPA has analyzed
whether this rule ``overcontrols'' emissions and has found based on a
robust, multi-faceted analysis, that it does not. In particular, EPA
has not identified a lesser-stringency emissions control strategy for
any state that would either fully resolve the air quality problems at a
downwind receptor location or resolve that upwind state's linkage to a
level below the 1 percent of NAAQS contribution threshold. No commenter
has provided a particularized, as-applied analysis demonstrating that
EPA's emissions control strategy will actually result in any
overcontrol of emissions in the manner the EPA or courts have
understood that term, and overcontrol allegations must be proven
through particularized, as-applied challenges. See EME Homer City, 795
F.3d at 127; see also Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325 (``[T]he way to
contest instances of over-control is not through generalized claims
that EPA's methodology would lead to over-control, but rather through a
`particularized, as-applied challenge.' '' Accordingly, as we did when
presented with similar arguments in EME Homer III, we reject Industry
Petitioners' arguments because they do no more than speculate that
aspects of `EPA's methodology could lead to over-control of upwind
States.' '') (cleaned up) (citing EME Homer City, 795 F.3d at 136-137).
Comment: For 2 of the 20 states linked in 2026, Arkansas and
Mississippi, the last downwind receptor to which these two states are
linked (i.e., Brazoria County, Texas) was estimated to achieve
attainment and maintenance after full application of EGU reductions and
Tier 1 non-EGU reductions at proposal. Commenters noted that this
suggested application of the estimated non-EGU, and/or some EGU,
emissions reductions constituted over-control for these states.
Response: EPA notes that at proposal, this downwind receptor only
resolved by a small margin after the application of all EGU and Tier 1
non-EGU emissions reductions. As explained earlier in this section, the
final rule air quality modeling shows that the receptors to which these
states are linked do not resolve upon full implementation of the
identified EGU reductions by themselves, and only reach attainment by a
small degree following the additional reductions from the non-EGU
control strategy.\256\ If the EPA were to select the control stringency
of this penultimate step, both upwind-state contribution and downwind-
state air quality receptors would persist while the cost-effective
emissions reductions that were identified to eliminate significant
contribution remain available but un-implemented. This would constitute
under-control. Consequently, as described, the EPA views the control
stringency required of these states in this final rule as not
constituting over-control and appropriate to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance of this
NAAQS in line with our Step 3 determinations for all other states. See
the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD section C.3 for
discussion and analysis regarding overcontrol for states solely linked
to one or both of these receptors.
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\256\ Because in the final record we do not identify cost, air
quality, and emission reduction factors that sufficiently
differentiate either source-type or emissions control strategy among
the Tier 1 and Tier 2 industries identified at proposal, we combined
the non-EGU industries and emissions reductions into one group, and
we are finalizing requirements for all non-EGU industries and most
emissions unit types identified at proposal. In light of the small
degree to which the relevant receptors reach attainment and the
multi-faceted assessment of overcontrol we have undertaken, the
overcontrol assessment with respect to non-EGUs in the final rule is
sufficient to establish that there is no overcontrol.
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Comment: Commenters raised a variety of arguments that the
enhancements to the EGU trading program in this action will result in
overcontrol of power plant emissions. They alleged that dynamic
budgeting would cause the budget to continually decrease even after
significant contribution is eliminated. They similarly argue that
annual emissions bank recalibration and the emissions backstop
emissions rate have not been shown to be justified to eliminate
significant contribution.
Response: This final rule's determination regarding the appropriate
level of control stringency for EGUs finds that the amounts of
NOX emissions reduction achieved through these strategies at
EGUs are appropriate and cost-justified under the Step 3 multifactor
analysis. These determinations are associated with particular emissions
control technologies and strategies as detailed in sections V.B.1 and
V.C.1 above. It is the implementation of those strategies at the
covered EGU sources and the air quality effects of those strategies
(coupled with non-EGUs) in the relevant analytic year of 2026 on which
we base our determination of significant contribution at Step 3. This
includes the evaluation of whether there is overcontrol, which is also
conducted for the 2026 analytic year as explained above. As explained
below, we disagree that the enhancements to the trading program at Step
4 implicate the need for further overcontrol analysis. These
enhancements operate together to ensure the trading program continues
to maintain the Step 3 emissions control stringency over time. These
enhancements reflect lessons learned through EPA's experience with
prior trading programs implemented under the good neighbor provision.
None of commenters' arguments that these enhancements result in
overcontrol are persuasive.
Commenters contend that these enhancements to the trading program
go
[[Page 36752]]
beyond a mass-based budget approach as applied in CSAPR. Because these
improvements in the program result in a continuing incentive for each
covered EGU source to maintain the pollution control performance the
EPA found appropriate to eliminate significant contribution at Step 3,
commenters believe these enhancements must necessarily result in
prohibited overcontrol. These arguments appear to be premised on the
assumption that overall emissions may later decline to such a point
that there is no longer a linkage between a particular state and any
downwind receptors for reasons other than the requirements of this
rule.
As an initial matter, no commenter has provided an empirical
analysis demonstrating that the control stringency identified at Step 3
to eliminate significant contribution would actually result in any
overcontrol. The case law is clear that over-control allegations must
be proven through particularized, as-applied challenges. See prior
response to comments. More importantly here, the Group 3 trading
program enhancements do not impose increased stringency in years after
2030 and do not force emissions to continually be reduced to ever lower
levels. They are only designed to incentivize the implementation of the
Step 3 emissions control stringency that eliminates significant
contribution. The circumstances that could potentially cause a receptor
or linkage to resolve at some point in the future after 2026 are not
circumstances that are within the power of this rule to control. Nor
would those circumstances present a justification as to why upwind
sources should no longer be obligated to eliminate their own
significant contribution. Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 324-25 (rejecting
overcontrol arguments premised on attributing air quality problems to
other emissions).
Further, the EPA is not constrained by the statute to only
implement good neighbor obligations through fixed, unchanging, mass-
based emissions budgets. See section III.B.1 of this document. The EPA
has defined the ``amount'' of emissions that must be prohibited to
eliminate significant contribution in this action based on a series of
determinations of which emissions control strategies, for certain
identified EGU and non-EGU sources, are appropriate applying the Step 3
multifactor analysis. Notably, the non-EGU industrial source emissions
reductions in this action are not being achieved at Step 4 through
mass-based emissions trading, nor are they required to be by any
provision of the CAA. See section III.B.1.
As explained in sections III.B.1.d and VI.B.1 of this document, the
EPA finds good reason based on its experience with trading programs
that using fixed, mass-based, ozone-season wide budgets does not
necessarily ensure the elimination of significant contribution over the
entire region of linked states or throughout each ozone season. Even in
the original CSAPR rulemaking, which promulgated only fixed, mass-based
budgets, such outcomes were never the EPA's intention to allow. See,
e.g., 76 FR 48256-57 (``[I]t would be inappropriate for a state linked
to downwind nonattainment or maintenance areas to stop operating
existing pollution control equipment (which would increase their
emissions and contribution).''). Despite the EPA's expectations in
CSAPR, the experience of the Agency since that time establishes a real
risk of ``under-control'' if the existing trading framework is not
enhanced. See EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at 523 (``[T]he Agency also has
a statutory obligation to avoid `under-control,' i.e., to maximize
achievement of attainment downwind.'').
Further, the EPA has already once adjusted its historical approach
to better account for known, upcoming changes in the EGU fleet to
ensure mass-based emissions budgets adequately incentivize the control
strategy determined at Step 3. This adjustment was introduced in the
Revised CSAPR Update. See 82 FR 23121-22. The EPA now believes it is
appropriate to ensure in a more comprehensive manner, and in
perpetuity, that a mass-based emissions-trading framework incentivizes
continuing implementation of the Step 3 control strategies to ensure
significant contribution is eliminated in all upwind states and remains
so. This is fully analogous in material respect to an approach to
implementation at Step 4 that relies on application of unit-specific
emissions limitations, which under the Act would typically apply in
perpetuity and may only be modified through a future SIP- or FIP-
revision rulemaking process. See CAA section 110(i) prohibiting
modifications to implementation plan requirements except by enumerated
processes. The availability of unit-specific emissions rates as a means
to eliminate significant contribution is discussed in further detail in
section III.B.1 of this document. The EPA also explained this in the
proposal. See 87 FR 20095-96.
Further, these enhancements are directly related to assisting
downwind areas specifically with the goal of attaining and maintaining
the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS. In this respect, they are not
``unnecessary'' or ``unrelated'' to carrying out the mandates of CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Taking measures to ensure that each upwind
source covered by an emissions trading program is adequately
incentivized to eliminate excessive emissions (as found at Step 3)
throughout the entirety of each ozone season is entirely appropriate in
light of the nature of the ozone problem. Ozone exceedances recur on
varying days throughout the summertime ozone season, and it is not
possible to predict in advance which specific days will have high
ozone. Further, impacts to public health and the environment from ozone
can occur through short-term exposure (e.g., over a course of hours,
i.e., on a daily basis). The 2015 ozone NAAQS is expressed as an 8-hour
average, and only a small number of days in excess of the ozone NAAQS
can cause a downwind area to be in nonattainment. Thus, even a small
number of exceedances can result in continuing and/or increased
regulatory burdens on the downwind jurisdiction. Taking these
considerations into account, it is evident that a fixed, mass-based
emissions program that does not adequately incentivize emissions
reductions commensurate with our Step 3 determinations on each day of
every ozone season going forward does not provide a sufficient
guarantee that the emissions that significantly contribute on those
particular days and at particular receptor locations when ozone levels
are at risk of exceeding the NAAQS have been eliminated. See section
V.B.1.a and VI.B of this document for more discussion of data
observations regarding SCR optimization.
These enhancements are also consistent with the general policies
and principles EPA has long applied in implementing the NAAQS through
the SIP/FIP framework of section 110. Emissions control measures relied
on to meet CAA requirements must be permanent and enforceable and
included in the implementation plan itself. See, e.g., Montana Sulfur &
Chem. Co. v. EPA, 666 F.3d 1174, 1196 (9th Cir. 2012); 40 CFR
51.112(a). In the General Preamble laying out EPA's plans for
implementing the 1990 CAA Amendments, the EPA identified a core
``principle'' that control strategies should be ``accountable.'' ``This
means, for example, that source-specific limits should be permanent and
must reflect the assumptions used in the SIP demonstrations.'' 57 FR
13498, 13568 (April 16, 1992). EPA went on, ``The principles of
quantification, enforceability, replicability, and
[[Page 36753]]
accountability apply to all SIPs and control strategies, including
those involving emissions trading, marketable permits and allowances.''
Id. EPA also explained that its ``emissions trading policy provides
that only trades producing reductions that are surplus, enforceable,
permanent, and quantifiable can get credit and be banked or used in an
emissions trade.'' Id. These principles follow from the language of the
Act, including CAA section 110(a)(2), 107(d)(3)(E)(iii), 110(i), and
110(l). These provisions and principles further underscore the
importance of ensuring that the emissions reductions the EPA has found
necessary to eliminate significant contribution are in fact implemented
on a consistent and permanent basis even within the context of an
emissions trading program.
The EPA disagrees that the budget adjustments that would occur over
time under this final rule (for example, the annual dynamic-budget
adjustment) must be reassessed each time they occur through notice and
comment rulemaking under CAA section 307(d). This would serve no
purpose. The formulas that the EPA will apply to adjust the budgets and
allowance bank are set in this final rule and are intended to maintain,
not increase (or decrease), program stringency. While the EPA intends
to provide an opportunity for stakeholders to review and propose
corrections to its data as it implements the established budget
formulas, no larger reassessment of the emissions control program is
needed on an ongoing basis, because, again, that program is simply
calibrated to ensure that emissions reductions commensurate with the
determination of ``significance'' in Step 3 continue to be obtained
over the long term. As described earlier, these trading program
provisions are analogous to, or mimic, the effect of unit-specific
emissions limitations that apply in perpetuity.\257\
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\257\ We note further that because all of the trading program
provisions, including the dynamic budget-setting provisions and
process, are established by this final FIP rulemaking, the
ministerial future-year budget adjustment process complies with the
CAA section 110(i) prohibition on modification of implementation
plan requirements except by enumerated process.
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Commenters also confuse the ``amount'' of emissions that must be
eliminated under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) as being synonymous
with a fixed, mass-based budget that reflects the residual emissions
allowed following the elimination of significant contribution. However,
EPA views the ``amount'' to be eliminated as those emissions that are
in excess of the cost-effective emissions control strategies identified
in Step 3. This is further explained in section III.B.1 of this
document.
Thus, this rule is in compliance with the overcontrol principles
that the D.C. Circuit applied on remand in EME Homer City to find
certain instances of overcontrol in CSAPR's emissions control
strategies. The D.C. Circuit found that EPA had imposed more stringent
emissions-control strategies for certain states than were necessary to
resolve all of those states' linkages. 795 F.3d at 128-30.
Specifically, for sulfur dioxide, the court found certain receptors
would reach attainment if all linked upwind states had implemented
``cost controls'' at $100/ton or $400/ton, rather than EPA's selected
stringency level of $500/ton. Similarly, for ozone season
NOX, the court found that receptors were projected to attain
the NAAQS at stringencies below $500/ton. The court's focus was on the
stringency of the emissions control obligations as determined through
the application of cost thresholds at Step 3 of the analysis. The court
did not hold that EPA may only use fixed, mass-based budgets to
implement those reductions. The court did not hold that EPA must permit
individual polluting sources to be allowed to increase their emissions
at some point in the future. The court did not hold that EPA's good
neighbor FIPs must, effectively, contain termination clauses, such that
they cease to ensure the implementation of the control stringency
determined as necessary at Step 3, the moment a downwind receptor
reaches attainment. Indeed, such a rule would contravene the statute's
clear, forward-looking directive that EPA must also eliminate upwind
emissions that interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS; see North
Carolina, 531 F.3d at 908-911; Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 325-26.
The EME Homer City court on remand in fact rejected various
arguments that other aspects of EPA's emissions control strategy in
CSAPR resulted in overcontrol, holding that EPA had properly given
effect to the interfere with maintenance prong, and noting that
petitioners failed to make out proven, as-applied demonstrations of
overcontrol:
At bottom, each of those claims is an argument that EPA's
methodology could lead to over-control of upwind States that are
found to interfere with maintenance at a downwind location. That
could prove to be correct in certain locations. But the Supreme
Court made clear in EME Homer that the way to contest instances of
over-control is not through generalized claims that EPA's
methodology would lead to over-control, but rather through a
``particularized, as-applied challenge.'' EME Homer, 134 S. Ct. at
1609, slip op. at 31. And petitioners do not point to any actual
such instances of over-control at downwind locations.
795 F.3d at 137. The court went on to observe, ``EPA may only limit
emissions `by just enough to permit an already-attaining State to
maintain satisfactory air quality.' If States have been forced to
reduce emissions beyond that point, affected parties will have
meritorious as-applied challenges.'' Id. (quoting 572 U.S. at 521-22).
But this too was not a holding that EPA may not ensure effective and
permanent implementation of an emissions control stringency that EPA
has found warranted under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). Such an
approach is available through the more conventional CAA practice of
setting unit-specific emissions limitations that would apply on a
permanent and enforceable basis. See CAA sections 110(a)(2) and 302(y)
(providing for SIPs and FIPs to include ``enforceable emissions
limitations'' in addition to economic incentive measures like trading
programs).\258\ This is in fact how EPA intends to ensure significant
contribution is eliminated from non-EGU industrial sources for which a
mass-based trading regime is, at least at the present time, unworkable
(see section VI.C of this document). And EPA has provided for the
elimination of significant contribution through source-specific
emissions limitations in prior transport actions as well, so this
position is not novel. See section III.B of this document.
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\258\ ``Emissions limitation'' is in turn defined at CAA section
302(k) as a ``requirement . . . which limits the quantity, rate, or
concentration of emissions of air pollutants on a continuous basis.
. . .''
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Nonetheless, EPA recognizes that under the Act, both FIPs and SIPs
may be revised, and states may replace FIPs with SIPs if EPA approves
them. Any such revision must be evaluated to ensure no applicable CAA
requirements are interfered with. See, e.g., Indiana v. EPA, 796 F.3d
803 (7th Cir. 2015). For example, states may be able to demonstrate in
the future that through some other permanent and enforceable methods of
emissions reduction that they have adopted into their SIP, they will be
able to achieve a similar emissions control stringency with different
emissions reduction requirements imposed on different sources as
compared to the FIPs finalized in this action. See section VI.D of this
document.
Therefore, commenters' contentions that EPA's trading program
enhancements result in prohibited
[[Page 36754]]
overcontrol are not proven through as-applied, particularized
challenges, and they are premised on an incorrect understanding of the
CAA and the relevant case law. The Agency rejects the contention that
it must somehow provide in the present FIP action for a relaxation in
the stringency of the Step 4 implementation program and thus allow for
the recurrence of pollution that we have found here, in this action,
significantly contributes to downwind ozone nonattainment and
maintenance problems.
VI. Implementation of Emissions Reductions
A. NOX Reduction Implementation Schedule
This action will ensure that emissions reductions necessary to
eliminate significant contribution will be achieved ``as expeditiously
as practicable'' and no later than the downwind attainment dates except
where compliance by those dates is not possible. See CAA section
181(a); Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 318-20. The timing of this action will
provide for all possible emissions reductions to go into effect
beginning in the 2023 ozone season for the covered states, which is
aligned with the next upcoming attainment date of August 3, 2024, for
areas classified as Moderate nonattainment under the 2015 ozone
standard. Additional emissions reductions that the EPA finds not
possible to implement by that attainment date will take effect as
expeditiously as practicable. Emissions reductions commensurate with
SCR mitigation measures for EGUs will start in 2026 and be fully
implemented by 2027. Emissions reductions through the mitigation
measures for industrial sources will generally go into effect in 2026;
however, as explained in section VI.C of this document, we have
provided for case-by-case extensions of up to one year based on a
demonstration of necessity (with the potential for up to an additional
two years based on a further demonstration). The full suite of
emissions reductions is generally anticipated to take effect by the
2027 ozone season, which is aligned with the August 3, 2027, attainment
date for areas classified as Serious nonattainment under the 2015 ozone
NAAQS. This rule constitutes a full remedy for interstate transport for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS for the states covered; the EPA does not
anticipate further rulemaking to address good neighbor obligations
under this NAAQS will be required for these states with the
finalization of this rule.
EPA's determinations regarding the timing of this rule are informed
by and in compliance with several recent court decisions. The D.C.
Circuit has reiterated several times that, under the terms of the Good
Neighbor Provision, upwind states must eliminate their significant
contributions to downwind areas ``consistent with the provisions of
[title I of the Act],'' including those provisions setting attainment
deadlines for downwind areas.\259\ In North Carolina, the D.C. Circuit
found the 2015 compliance deadline that the EPA had established in CAIR
unlawful in light of the downwind nonattainment areas' 2010 deadline
for attaining the 1997 NAAQS for ozone and PM2.5.\260\
Similarly, in Wisconsin, the Court found the CSAPR Update unlawful to
the extent it allowed upwind states to continue their significant
contributions to downwind air quality problems beyond the downwind
states' statutory deadlines for attaining the 2008 ozone NAAQS.\261\ In
Maryland, the Court found the EPA's selection of a 2023 analysis year
in evaluating state petitions submitted under CAA section 126 unlawful
in light of the downwind Marginal nonattainment areas' 2021 deadline
for attaining the 2015 ozone NAAQS.\262\ The Court noted in Wisconsin
that the statutory command--that compliance with the Good Neighbor
Provision must be achieved in a manner ``consistent with'' title I of
the CAA--may be read to allow for some deviation from the mandate to
eliminate prohibited transport by downwind attainment deadlines,
``under particular circumstances and upon a sufficient showing of
necessity,'' but concluded that ``[a]ny such deviation would need to be
rooted in Title I's framework'' and would need to ``provide a
sufficient level of protection to downwind States.'' \263\
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\259\ North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir. 2008),
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d 303 (D.C. Cir. 2019), and Maryland v.
EPA, 958 F.3d 1185 (D.C. Cir. 2020).
\260\ North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 911-913.
\261\ Wisconsin, 938 F. 3d at 303, 3018-20.
\262\ Maryland, 958 F.3d at 1203-1204. Similarly, in New York v.
EPA, 964 F.3d 1214 (D.C. Cir. 2020), the Court found the EPA's
selection of a 2023 analysis year in evaluating New York's section
126 petition unlawful in light of the New York Metropolitan Area's
2021 Serious area deadline for attaining the 2008 ozone NAAQS. 964
F.3d at 1226 (citing Wisconsin and Maryland).
\263\ Wisconsin, 938 F. 3d at 320 (citing CAA section 181(a)
(allowing one-year extension of attainment deadlines in particular
circumstances) and North Carolina, 531 F.3d at 912).
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1. 2023-2025: EGU NOX Reductions Beginning in 2023
The near-term EGU control stringencies and corresponding reductions
in this rulemaking cover the 2023, 2024, and 2025 ozone seasons. This
is the period in which some reductions will be available, but the
portion of full remedy reductions related to post combustion control
installation identified in sections V.B through V.D of this document
are not yet available. The EGU NOX mitigation strategies
available during these initial 3 years are the optimization of existing
post-combustion controls (SCRs and SNCRs) and combustion control
upgrades. As described in sections V.B through V.D of this document and
in accompanying TSDs, these mitigation measures can be implemented in
under two months in the case of existing control optimization and in 6
months in the case of combustion control upgrades. These timing
assumptions account for planning, procurement, and any physical or
structural modification necessary. The EPA provides significant
historical data, including the implementation of the most recent
Revised CSAPR Update, as well as engineering studies and input factor
analysis documenting the feasibility of these timing assumptions.
However, these timing assumptions are representative of fleet averages,
and the EPA has noted that some units will likely overperform their
installation timing assumptions, while others may have unit
configuration or operational considerations that result in their
underperforming these timing assumptions. As in prior interstate
transport rules, the EPA is implementing these EGU reductions through a
trading program approach. The trading program's option to buy
additional allowances provides flexibility in the program for outlier
sources that may need more time than what is representative of the
fleet average to implement these mitigation strategies while providing
an economic incentive to outperform rate and timing assumptions for
those sources that can do so. In effect, this trading program
implementation operationalizes the mitigation measures as state-wide
assumptions for the EGU fleet rather than unit-specific assumptions.
However, starting in 2024, as described in section VI.B.7 of this
document, unit-specific backstop daily emissions rates are applied to
coal units with existing SCR at a level consistent with operating that
control. The EPA believes that implementing these emissions reductions
through state emissions budgets starting in 2023 while imposing the
unit-specific backstop emissions rates in 2024 achieves the necessary
environmental
[[Page 36755]]
performance as soon as possible while accommodating any heterogeneity
in unit-level implementation schedules regarding daily operation of
optimized SCRs.
Additionally, as in prior rules, the EPA assumes combustion control
upgrade implementation may take up to 6 months. In the Revised CSAPR
Update, covering 12 of the 22 states for which emissions reduction
requirements for EGUs are established under this action, the EPA
finalized the rule in March of 2021 and thus did not require these
combustion control-based emissions reductions in ozone-season state
emissions budgets until 2022 (year two of that program).\264\ The EPA
is applying the same timing assumption regarding combustion control
upgrades for this rulemaking. Given the same relationship here between
the date of final action and the year one ozone season, the EPA is not
assuming the implementation of any additional combustion control
upgrades in state emissions budgets until year two (i.e., the 2024
ozone season). Any identified combustion control upgrade emissions
reductions are reflected beginning in the 2024 ozone-season budgets for
all covered states. For the 12 states covered under the Revised CSAPR
Update, any identified emissions reduction potential from combustion
control upgrade is included and reflected in those state budgets
beginning in 2024--which means EGUs in those states have even more time
than the 14 months between finalization of this rule and the 2024 ozone
season if they started any planning or installation earlier in response
to the Revised CSAPR Update.
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\264\ 86 FR 23093.
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2. 2026 and Later Years: EGU and Stationary Industrial Source
NOX Reductions Beginning in 2026
The EPA finds that it is not possible to implement all necessary
emissions controls across all of the affected EGU and non-EGU sources
by the August 3, 2024, Moderate area attainment date. In accordance
with the good neighbor provision and the downwind attainment schedule
under CAA section 181 for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA is aligning its
analysis and implementation of the emissions reductions addressing
significant contribution from EGU and non-EGU sources that require
relatively longer lead time at a sectoral scale with the 2026 ozone
season. The 2026 ozone season is the last full ozone season that
precedes the August 3, 2027, Serious area attainment date for the 2015
ozone NAAQS.\265\ The EPA proposed to require compliance with all of
the remaining EGU and non-EGU control requirements beginning in the
2026 ozone season. The EPA continues to find 2026 to be the relevant
analytic year for purposes of its Step 3 analysis, including its
analysis of overcontrol, as discussed in section V.D.4 of this
document. However, many commenters argued that full implementation of
the EGU and industrial source control strategies is not feasible for
every source by the 2026 ozone season. The EPA addresses these
technical comments specifically in sections V.B and VI.C of this
document. The EPA also commissioned a study to develop a better
understanding of the time needed for installation of emissions controls
for the industrial sector units covered in this rule, which is included
in the docket and discussed in section VI.A.2.b of this document. While
the EPA does not agree with all of the commenters' assertions regarding
the time they claim is needed for control installation, in other
respects the concerns raised were sufficient to justify some
adjustments to the compliance schedule for the final rule. We have
provided for the emissions reductions commensurate with assumed EGU
post-combustion emissions control retrofits to be phased in over the
2026 and 2027 ozone season emissions budgets, and we have provided a
process in the final regulations for individual non-EGU industrial
sources to seek limited compliance extensions extending no later than
2029 based on a case-by-case demonstration of necessity. This
compliance schedule delivers substantial emissions reductions in the
2026 and 2027 ozone seasons and before the 2027 Serious area attainment
date, and it only allows compliance extensions beyond that attainment
date based on a rigorous, source-specific demonstration of need for the
additional time.\266\
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\265\ For each nonattainment area classified under CAA section
181(a) for the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the attainment date is ``as
expeditiously as practicable'' but not later than the date provided
in table 1 to 40 CFR 51.1303(a). Thus, for areas initially
designated nonattainment effective August 3, 2018 (83 FR 25776), the
latest permissible attainment dates are: August 3, 2021 (for
Marginal areas), August 3, 2024 (for Moderate areas), August 3, 2027
(for Serious areas), and August 3, 2033 (for Severe areas).
\266\ While we generally use the term ``necessity'' to describe
the showing that non-EGU facilities must meet in seeking compliance
extensions, the elements for this showing are designed to allow the
EPA to make a judgment that comports with the standard of
``impossibility'' established in case law such as Wisconsin. In
other words, the ``necessity'' for additional time is effectively a
showing by the source that it would be ``impossible'' for it to meet
the compliance deadline.
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The timing of this final rule provides three to four years for EGU
and non-EGU sources to install whatever controls they deem suitable to
comply with required emissions reductions by the start of the 2026 and
2027 ozone seasons. In addition, the publication of the proposal
provided roughly an additional year of notice to these source owners
and operators that they should begin engineering and financial planning
(steps that can be taken prior to any capital investment) to be
prepared to meet this implementation timetable.
The EPA views this timeframe for retrofitting post-combustion
NOX emissions controls and other non-EGU controls to be
reasonable and achievable. A 3-year period for installation of control
technologies is consistent with the statutory timeframe for
implementation of the controls required to address interstate pollution
under section 110(a)(2)(D) and 126 of the Act, the statutory timeframes
for implementation of RACT in ozone nonattainment areas classified as
Moderate or above, and other statutory provisions that establish
control requirements for existing stationary sources of pollution.
For example, section 126 of the CAA authorizes a downwind state or
tribe to petition the EPA for a finding that emissions from ``any major
source or group of stationary sources'' in an upwind state contribute
significantly to nonattainment in, or interfere with maintenance by,
the downwind state. If the EPA makes a finding that a major source or a
group of stationary sources emits or would emit pollutants in violation
of the relevant prohibition in CAA section 110(a)(2)(D), the source(s)
must shut down within three months from the finding unless the EPA
directly regulates the source(s) by establishing emissions limitations
and a compliance schedule extending no later than three years from the
date of the finding, to eliminate the prohibited interstate transport
of pollutants as expeditiously as practicable.\267\ Thus, in the
provision that allows for direct Federal regulation of sources
violating the good neighbor provision, Congress established three years
as the maximum amount of time available from a final rule to when
emissions reductions need to be achieved at the relevant source or
group of sources. Because this action is not taken under CAA section
126(c), the mandatory timeframe for implementation of emissions
controls
[[Page 36756]]
under that provision is not directly applicable, but it is informative.
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\267\ CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i) and 126(c).
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In response to arguments from sources that more time than has been
provided in the final rule is necessary, this provision strongly
indicates that allowing time beyond a three-year period must be based
on a substantial showing of impossibility. Our analysis based on
comments and considering additional information is that the additional
time we have provided in the final rule is both justified and
sufficient in light of the statutory objective of expeditious
compliance.
Additionally, for ozone nonattainment areas classified as Moderate
or higher, the CAA requires states to implement RACT requirements less
than three years after the statutory deadline for submitting these
measures to the EPA.\268\ Specifically, for these areas, CAA sections
182(b)(2) and 182(f) require that states implement RACT for existing
VOC and NOX sources as expeditiously as practicable but no
later than May 31, 1995, approximately 30 months after the November 15,
1992, deadline for submitting RACT SIP revisions. For purposes of the
2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA has interpreted these provisions to require
implementation of RACT SIP revisions as expeditiously as practicable
but no later than January 1 of the fifth year after the effective date
of designation, which is less than three years after the deadline for
submitting RACT SIP revisions.\269\ For areas initially designated
nonattainment with a Moderate or higher classification effective August
3, 2018 (83 FR 25776), that implementation deadline falls on January 1,
2023, approximately 29 months after the August 3, 2020 submission
deadline.\270\ Moderate ozone nonattainment areas must also implement
all reasonably available control measures (including RACT) needed for
expeditious attainment within three years after the statutory deadline
for states to submit these measures to the EPA as part of a Moderate
area attainment demonstration.\271\ Nonattainment areas for the 2015
ozone NAAQS that were reclassified to Moderate nonattainment in October
2022 face this same regulatory schedule, meaning that their sources are
required to implement RACT controls in 2023. With the exception of the
Uinta Basin, which is not an identified receptor in this action, no
Marginal nonattainment area met the conditions of CAA section 181(a)(5)
to obtain a one-year extension of the Moderate area attainment date. 87
FR 60899 (Oct. 7, 2022). Thus, all Marginal areas (other than Uinta)
that failed to attain have been reclassified to Moderate. Id. In the
October 2022 final rulemaking EPA made determinations that certain
Marginal areas failed to attain by the attainment date, reclassified
those areas to Moderate, and established SIP submission deadlines and
RACM and RACT implementation deadlines. EPA set the attainment SIP
submission deadlines for the bumped up Moderate areas to be January 1,
2023. See 87 FR 60897, 60900. The implementation deadline for RACM and
RACT is also January 1, 2023. Id.
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\268\ See, e.g., 40 CFR 51.1112(a)(3) and 51.1312(a)(3)(i)
(requiring implementation of RACT required pursuant to initial
nonattainment area designations no later than January 1 of the fifth
year after the effective date of designation, which is less than 3
years after the SIP submission deadline under 40 CFR 51.1112(a)(2))
and 51.1312(a)(2)(i), respectively).
\269\ 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(2)(i) (requiring submission of RACT SIP
revisions no later than 24 months after the effective date of
designation) and 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(3)(i) (requiring implementation
of RACT SIP revisions as expeditiously as practicable, but no later
than January 1 of the fifth year after the effective date of
designation). For reclassified areas, states must implement RACT SIP
revisions as expeditiously as practicable, but no later than the
start of the attainment year ozone season associated with the area's
new attainment deadline, or January 1 of the third year after the
associated SIP revision submittal deadline, whichever is earlier; or
the deadline established by the Administrator in the final action
issuing the area reclassification. 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(3)(ii); see
also 83 FR 62989, 63012-63014.
\270\ 40 CFR 51.1312(a)(2)(i) (requiring submission of RACT SIP
revisions no later than 24 months after the effective date of
designation).
\271\ See, e.g., 40 CFR 51.1108(d) (requiring implementation of
all control measures (including RACT) needed for expeditious
attainment no later than the beginning of the attainment year ozone
season, which, for a Moderate nonattainment area, occurs less than 3
years after the deadline for submission of reasonably available
control measures under 40 CFR 51.1112(c) and 51.1108(a)) and 40 CFR
51.1308(d) (requiring implementation of all control measures
(including RACT) needed for expeditious attainment no later than the
beginning of the attainment year ozone season, which, for a Moderate
nonattainment area, occurs less than three years after the deadline
for submission of reasonably available control measures under 40 CFR
51.1312(c) and 51.1308(a)). Because the attainment demonstration for
a Moderate nonattainment area (including RACT needed for expeditious
attainment) is due three years after the effective date of the
area's designation (40 CFR 51.1308(a) and 51.1312(c)), and all
Moderate nonattainment areas must attain the NAAQS as expeditiously
as practicable but no later than 6 years after the effective date of
the area's designation (40 CFR 51.1303(a)), the beginning of the
``attainment year ozone season'' (as defined in 40 CFR 51.1300(g))
for such an area is less than three years after the due date for the
attainment demonstration.
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The EPA notes that the types and sizes of the EGU and non-EGU
sources that the EPA includes in this rule, as well as the types of
emissions control technologies on which the EPA bases the emissions
limitations that would take effect for the 2026 and 2027 ozone seasons,
generally are consistent with the scope and stringency of RACT
requirements for existing major sources of NOX in downwind
Moderate nonattainment areas and some upwind areas, which many states
have already implemented in their SIPs.\272\ Thus, the timing Congress
allotted for sources in downwind states to come into compliance with
RACT requirements bears directly on the amount of time that should be
allotted here and indicates, as does CAA section 126, that three years
is an outer limit on the time that should be given sources to come into
compliance where possible. In light of the January 1, 2023, deadline
for implementation of RACT in Moderate nonattainment areas, the EPA
finds that a May 1, 2026 deadline for full implementation of the
emissions control requirements in this final rule would generally
provide adequate time for any individual source to install the
necessary controls, barring the circumstances of necessity discussed
further in this section.
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\272\ See the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for a discussion of SIP-
approved RACT rules in effect in downwind states.
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Finally, with respect to emissions standards for hazardous air
pollutants, section 112(i)(3) of the CAA requires the EPA to establish
compliance dates for each category or subcategory of existing sources
subject to an emissions standard that ``provide for compliance as
expeditiously as practicable, but in no event later than 3 years after
the effective date of such standard,'' with limited exceptions. CAA
section 112(i)(3)(B) authorizes the EPA to grant an extension of up to
1 additional year for an existing source to comply with emissions
standards ``if such additional period is necessary for the installation
of controls,'' and sections 112(i)(4) through (7) provide for limited
compliance extensions where other conditions are met.\273\ Here again,
where Congress was concerned with addressing emissions of pollutants
that impact public health, a 3-year time period was allotted as the
time needed for existing sources to come into compliance where
possible. As discussed further in section VI.A.2.b of this document,
the process for obtaining a compliance extension for industrial sources
in this rule is generally modeled on 40 CFR 63.6(i)(3), which
implements
[[Page 36757]]
the extension provision for existing sources under CAA section
112(i)(3)(B).
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\273\ See, e.g., CAA section 112(i)(4), which provides for
limited compliance extensions granted by the President based on
national security interests.
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All of these statutory timeframes for implementation of new control
requirements on existing stationary sources indicate that Congress
considered 3 years to be not only a sufficient amount of time but an
upper bound of time allowable (barring instances of impossibility) for
existing stationary sources to install or begin the installation of
pollution controls as necessary for expeditious attainment, to
eliminate prohibited interstate transport of pollutants, and to protect
public health.
Further, the EPA notes that, given the number of years that have
passed since EPA's promulgation of the 2015 ozone NAAQS and related
nonattainment area designations in 2018, and in light of the Maryland
court's holding that good neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
should have been implemented by the Marginal area attainment date in
2021,\274\ the implementation of good neighbor obligations for these
NAAQS is already delayed, and the sources subject to NOX
emissions control in this rule have continued to operate for several
years without the controls necessary to eliminate their significant
contribution to ongoing and persistent ozone nonattainment and
maintenance problems in other states. Under these circumstances, we
find it reasonable to require compliance with the control requirements
for all non-EGUs and the EGU reductions related to post-combustion
control retrofit identified in section V.B.1.b of this document
beginning in the 2026 ozone season (with full implementation by the
2027 ozone season for EGUs, and the availability of source-specific
extensions based on a demonstration of necessity for non-EGUs).
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\274\ 958 F.3d at 1203-1204 (remanding the EPA denial of section
126 petition based on the EPA analysis of downwind air quality in
2023 rather than 2021, the year containing the Marginal area
attainment date).
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As the D.C. Circuit noted in Wisconsin, the good neighbor provision
requires upwind states to ``eliminate their substantial contributions
to downwind nonattainment in concert with the attainment deadlines'' in
the downwind states, even where those attainment deadlines occur before
EPA's statutory deadline under CAA section 110(c) to promulgate a
FIP.\275\ Referencing the Supreme Court's description of the attainment
deadlines as ``the heart'' of the CAA, the Wisconsin court noted that
some deviation from the mandate to eliminate prohibited transport by
downwind attainment deadlines may be allowed only ``under particular
circumstances and upon a sufficient showing of necessity.'' \276\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\275\ 938 F.3d at 317-318. For example, the court observed that
the EPA may shorten the deadline for SIP submissions under CAA
section 110(a)(1) and may issue FIPs soon thereafter under CAA
section 110(c)(1), to align the upwind states' deadline for
satisfying good neighbor obligations with the downwind states'
deadline for attaining the NAAQS. Id. at 318.
\276\ Id. at 316 and 319-320 (noting that any such deviation
must be ``rooted in Title I's framework'' and ``provide a sufficient
level of protection to downwind States'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For the reasons provided in the following sub-sections, the EPA
finds that installation of certain EGU controls and all non-EGU
controls is not possible by the Moderate area attainment date for the
2015 ozone NAAQS (i.e., August 3, 2024),\277\ and, for certain sources,
may not be possible by the 2026 ozone season or even the August 3,
2027, Serious area attainment date. While the EPA's technical analysis
demonstrates that for any individual source, control installation could
be accomplished by the start of the 2026 ozone season, in light of the
scope of this rule coupled with current information on the present
economic capacity of sources, control-installation vendors, and
associated markets for labor and material, it is the EPA's judgment
that a three-year timeframe is not possible for all sources subject to
this rule collectively to come into compliance. Therefore, additional
time beyond 2026 will be allowed for certain facilities in recognition
of these constraints on the processes needed for installation of
controls across all of the covered sources.
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\277\ Compliance by the August 3, 2021, Marginal area attainment
date is also impossible as that date has passed.
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a. EGU Schedule for 2026 and Later Years
As discussed in sections V.B through V.D of this document,
significant emissions reduction potential exists and is included in
EPA's quantification of significant contribution based on the potential
to install post-combustion controls (SCR and SNCRs) at EGUs. However,
as discussed in detail in those sections, the assumption for
installation of this technology on a region-wide scale is 36-48 months
in this final rule. This amount of time allows for all necessary
procurement, permitting, and installation milestones across multiple
units in the covered region. Therefore, the EPA finds that these
emissions reductions are not available any earlier than the 2026
compliance period. Starting in 2026, state emissions budgets will
reflect full implementation of assumed SNCR mitigation measures and
implementation of half the emissions reduction potential identified for
assumed SCR mitigation measures. For each year in 2027 and beyond,
state emissions budgets include all of the emissions reductions
commensurate with these post-combustion control technologies identified
for covered units in Step 3. The EPA notes that similar compliance
schedules and post-combustion control retrofit installations have been
realized successfully in prior programs allowing similar timeframes.
Subsequent to the NOX SIP Call and the parallel Finding of
Significant Contribution and Rulemaking on Section 126 Petitions (which
became effective December 28, 1998, and February 17, 2000, respectively
\278\), nearly 19 GW of SCR retrofit came online in 2002 and another 42
GW of SCR retrofit came online for steam boilers in 2003, illustrating
that a considerable volume of SCR retrofit capacity is possible within
a 36-month period.
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\278\ See 63 FR 57356 (October 27, 1998); 65 FR 2674 (January
18, 2000). The D.C. Circuit stayed the NOX SIP Call by an
order issued May 25, 1999. After upholding the rule in most respects
in Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663 (D.C. Cir. 2000), the court lifted
the stay by an order issued June 22, 2000.
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Comment: Some commenters disagreed with EPA's proposed 36-month
timeframe for SCR retrofit. These commenters noted that, while possible
at the unit or plant level, the collective volume of assumed SCR
installation would not be possible given the labor constraints, supply
constraints, and simultaneous outages necessary to complete SCR
retrofit projects on such a schedule. They noted that many of the
remaining coal units lacking SCR pose more site-specific installation
challenges than those that were already retrofitted on a quicker
timeframe.
Response: EPA is making several changes in this final rule to
address these concerns. First, EPA is phasing in emissions reductions
commensurate with assumed SCR installations consistent with a 36-to-48-
month time frame in this final rule, instead of a 36-month time frame
as proposed. EPA is implementing half of this emissions reduction
potential in 2026 ozone-season NOX budgets for states
containing these EGUs and the other half of this emissions reduction
potential in 2027 ozone-season NOX budgets for those states.
This phase-in approach to implementing SCR retrofit reduction potential
over a three to four year period is in response to comments, including
those from third-party full-service engineering firms. These commenters
highlighted that while the
[[Page 36758]]
proposed 36-month time frame is viable at the plant level, it would be
``very unlikely'' that the collective volume of SCR capacity could be
installed in a three-year time frame based on a variety of factors.
First, the commenters identified constraints on labor needed to
retrofit 32 GW of capacity, highlighting that the Bureau of Labor and
Statistics projects that there will be a decline in boilermaker
employment over the decade and that the Associated Builders and
Contractors (ABC) identifies the need for 650,000 additional skilled
craft professionals on top of the normal hiring pace to meet the
economy-wide demand created by infrastructure investment and other
clean energy projects (e.g., carbon capture and storage). They
highlighted the decline in companies serving this type of large-scale
retrofit project as the lack of new coal units and the retirement of
coal units has curtailed activity in this area over the past five
years. They also identified supply bottlenecks for key SCR components
that would slow the ability to implement a large volume of SCR within 3
years, affecting electrical conduits, transformers, piping, structural
and plate steel, and wire (with temporary price increases ranging from
30 percent to 200 percent). Finally, commenters note that site-specific
conditions can make retrofits for individual units a lengthier process
than historical averages (e.g., under prior rules more accommodating
sites retrofitted first) and that four years may be necessary for some
projects, accordingly. EPA found the technical justification submitted
in comment consistent with its prior assessments that a range of 39-48
months is appropriate for SCR-retrofit timing within regional-scale
programs.\279\ Therefore, EPA is adjusting the timeframe to still
incentivize these reductions by the attainment date while accommodating
the potential for some SCR retrofits to require between 36-48 months
for installation.
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\279\ 86 FR 23102.
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Some commenters requested more than 48 months for SCR installation
based on past projects that took five or more years. EPA disagrees with
these commenters for two reasons. First, while EPA is identifying SCR
retrofit potential to define significant contribution at Step 3, the
rule only requires emissions reductions commensurate with that
technology, implemented through a trading program, meaning that
operators of EGUs eligible for SCR retrofit may pursue a variety of
strategies for reducing emissions. Such compliance flexibility will
accommodate extreme or unique circumstances in which a desired SCR
retrofit is not achieved by the 2027 ozone season, although EPA finds
such a circumstance exceedingly unlikely. Second, the historical
examples that exceeded 48 months do not necessarily demonstrate that
such projects are impossible to execute in less than 48 months, but
rather that they can extend beyond that timeframe if no requirements or
incentives are in place for a faster installation. As the D.C. Circuit
has recognized, historical data on the amount of time sources have
taken to install pollution controls do not in themselves establish the
minimum amount of time in which those controls could be installed if
sources are subject to a legal mandate to do so. See Wisconsin, 938
F.3d at 330 (``[A]ll those anecdotes show is that installation can drag
on when companies are unconstrained by the ticking clock of the
law.'').
b. Non-EGU or Industrial Source Schedule for 2026 and Later Years
The EPA proposed to require that all emissions reductions
associated with the requirements for non-EGU industrial sources go into
effect by the start of the 2026 ozone season, but also requested
comment on its control-installation timing estimates for non-EGUs and
requested comment on the possibility of providing for limited
compliance extensions based on a showing of necessity. See 87 FR 20104-
05.
Comment: The EPA received numerous comments regarding the inability
of various non-EGU industries to install controls to comply with the
emissions limits by 2026. Specifically, commenters raised concerns
regarding the ability to meet these deadlines due to the ongoing
geopolitical instability triggered by the war in Ukraine, COVID-19
pandemic-driven disruptions, and supply chain delays and shortages.
Commenters also claimed that the EPA's three-year installation
timeframe for non-EGUs does not account for the time needed to obtain
necessary permits. Commenters stated that even where controls are
feasible for a source, some sources would need to shut down due to
their inability to install controls by 2026 and requested that the EPA
provide additional time for sources to come into compliance. Commenters
from multiple non-EGU industries stated that the proposed applicability
criteria will require controls to be installed on thousands of non-EGU
emissions units. Because of the number of emissions units, commenters
raised concerns with permitting delays and the unavailability of
skilled labor and necessary components. Commenters suggested various
timelines for control installation timing ranging from one additional
year to seven years. Other commenters asserted that the data supported
the conclusion that all non-EGU sources, or at least some non-EGU
sources, could install controls by 2026 or earlier, and that EPA has a
legal obligation to impose good neighbor requirements as expeditiously
as practicable by such sources, including earlier than 2026 if
possible.
Response: After reviewing the information received during the
public comment period and the additional information presented in the
Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report, the EPA has concluded that
the majority of non-EGUs can install and operate the required controls
by the 2026 ozone season. For the non-EGU control requirements on which
the EPA has based its Step 3 findings as described in section V of this
document, the emissions limits will generally go into effect starting
with the 2026 ozone season (except where an individual source qualifies
for a limited extension of time to comply based on a specific
demonstration of necessity, as described in this section). The EPA
finds that meeting the emissions limitations of this final rule through
installation of necessary controls by an ozone season before 2026 is
not expected to be possible for the industrial sources covered by this
final rule.
The EPA recognizes that labor shortages, supply shortages, or other
circumstances beyond the control of source owner/operators may, in some
cases, render compliance by 2026 impossible for a particular industrial
source. Therefore, the final rule contains provisions allowing source
owner/operators to request limited compliance extensions based on a
case-by-case demonstration of necessity. Under these provisions, the
owner or operator of a source may initially apply for an extension of
up to one year to comply with the applicable emissions control
requirements, which if approved by the EPA, would require compliance no
later than the 2027 ozone season. The EPA may grant an additional case-
based extension of up to two additional years for full compliance,
where specific criteria are met.
The EPA initiated a study to examine the time necessary to install
the potential controls identified in the final rule's cost analysis for
all of the non-EGU industries subject to the final rule, including
SNCR, low NOX burners, layered combustion, NSCR, SCR, fluid
gas recirculation, and SNCR/advanced selective noncatalytic reduction
[[Page 36759]]
(ASNCR). The resulting report, which we refer to as the ``Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report,'' identified a range of estimated
installation times with minimum estimated installation times ranging
from 6-27 months without any supply chain delays and 6-40 months with
potential supply chain delays depending on the industry.\280\ The Non-
EGU Control Installation Timing Report also identified maximum
estimated installation times ranging from 12-28 months without any
supply chain delays and 12-72 months with potential supply chain delays
depending on the industry. As indicated in the Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report, the installation of layered combustion and
NSCR control technology, in particular, could take between 9 and 72
months depending on supply chain delays.\281\ The report also indicated
that permitting processes may take 6 to 12 months but noted that these
processes typically can proceed concurrent with other steps of the
installation process.\282\
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\280\ See generally SC&A, NOX Emission Control Technology
Installation Timing for Non-EGU Sources (March 14, 2023) (``Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report'').
\281\ See Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report, Executive
Summary (March 14, 2023).
\282\ Id. at Section 5.6.
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We find that the potential time needed for permitting processes is
generally unlikely to significantly affect installation timeframes of
at least three years given that a source that has three or more years
to comply is expected, in most cases, to have adequate time to apply
for and secure the necessary permits during that time. Permitting
processes may, however, impact shorter installation times ranging from
12-28 months. Given the 12-28 month estimate for minimum and maximum
installation times without supply chain delays and permitting
timeframes typically ranging from 6-12 months, the EPA finds that the
controls for non-EGU sources needed to comply with this final rule are
generally not expected to be installed significantly before the 2026
ozone season.
Generally, the Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report indicated
that all non-EGU unit types subject to the final rule could install
controls within 28 months if there are no supply chain delays. Thus,
the Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report confirms that for any
individual facility, meeting the emissions limitations of this final
rule through installation of controls can be completed by the start of
the 2026 ozone season. It is only when the number of units in the U.S.
potentially affected by the rule is taken into account, coupled with
broader considerations of economic capacity including current
information on supply-chain delays, that the potential need for
additional time beyond 2026 becomes a possibility. Under ideal economic
conditions (i.e., no supply-chain delays or other constraints),
affected units are estimated to be capable to install both combustion
and post-combustion controls before the 2026 ozone season. Many
commenters, however, provided information on installation timing
estimates based on current supply chain delays and labor constraints.
These commenters generally stated that installation of the necessary
controls for some units would take longer than three years if supply
chain delays similar to those that have occurred over the past few
years continue. The Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report
reflected this information, together with additional information
gathered from pollution control vendors, to develop ranges of estimates
of possible installation times given current (i.e., 2022) labor market
conditions and material supplies. The Non-EGU Control Installation
Timing Report also discussed how the installation and optimization of
post-combustion controls over a similar timeframe at both EGUs and non-
EGUs subject to this final rule would, considered cumulatively,
potentially affect the installation timing needs of the covered non-EGU
sources.
Based on information provided by commenters and vendors, the Non-
EGU Control Installation Timing Report indicated that if current supply
chain delays continue, control installations could take as long as 61
months for most non-EGU industries and possibly as long as 64-112
months in difficult cases. Notably, however, the conclusions in the
Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report reflect three key
assumptions that could result in the relatively lengthy timing
estimates at the outer end of this range: (1) the current state of
supply chain delays and disruptions would continue without any increase
in labor supply, materials, or reduction in fabrication timing; (2) the
labor and materials markets would not adjust in response to this rule
in the timeframe needed to meet the increased demand for control
installations; and (3) the Report was unable to account for some of the
flexibilities built into the final rule that will allow owners and
operators to install controls on the most cost-effective units with
shorter installation times.
As presented in the Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report,
supply chain delays and disruptions have generally been lessening since
they peaked in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, and many economic
indicators have showed some improvement towards pre-pandemic levels,
including freight transportation, inventory to sales ratios, interstate
miles traveled, U.S. goods imports, and supply chain indices.\283\ If
these economic indicators continue to improve and the availability of
fabricators and materials continues to trend upward, the control timing
estimates identified in the Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report
could prove to be overstated for some industries and control
technologies. In addition, the Non-EGU Control Installation Timing
Report did not account for the labor and supply market adjustments that
would be anticipated to occur to meet increased demand for control
technologies and related materials and labor over the next several
years in response to the rule. Cf. Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 330 (``[A]ll
those anecdotes [of elongated control installation times] show is that
installation can drag on when companies are unconstrained by the
ticking clock of the law.''). For example, some of the longer
installation timeframes identified in the Non-EGU Control Installation
Timing Report are based on assumed limits on the current availability
of skilled labor needed to install combustion controls and post
combustion controls. If the market adjusts in response to increasing
demand for this type of skilled labor in the timeframe needed for
compliance (e.g., there is an increase in boilermaker and engine
controls labor), the installation timing estimates in the Non-EGU
Control Installation Timing Report again could be overstated.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\283\ Id. at Section 6.1.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Non-EGU Control Installation Timing Report also did not account
for flexibilities provided in this final rule that will enable owners
and operators of certain affected units to identify the most cost-
effective and efficient means for installing any necessary controls.
For example, one concern highlighted by commenters was the amount of
time necessary to install controls on engines that have been in
operation for 50 or more years. The requirements that we are finalizing
for engines in the Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas industry
include an exemption for emergency engines and provisions allowing
source owner/operators to request the EPA approval of facility-wide
emissions averaging plans, both of which enable owners and operators of
affected units to take costs, installation timing needs,
[[Page 36760]]
and other considerations into account in deciding which engines to
control.
In response to industry concern about the number and size of units
captured by the proposed applicability criteria, the EPA has made
several changes to the applicability criteria in the final rule to
focus the control requirements on impactful non-EGU units. As explained
further in section VI.C of this document, the EPA is establishing
exemptions for low-use boilers and engines where it would not be cost-
effective to require controls at this time. Finally, as discussed in
section VI.C.3 of this document, the EPA is not finalizing the proposed
requirements for most emissions unit types in the Iron and Steel Mills
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry given the EPA does not currently
have a sufficient technical basis for finalizing those proposed
requirements. These changes reduce the number of non-EGU units that
will actually need to install controls and should reduce the strain on
the labor and supply chain and permitting processes. For example, for
engines, the EPA estimates that the facility-wide emissions averaging
provision would, in many cases, allow facilities to install controls on
only one-third of their engines, on average (see section VI.C.1 of this
document for further discussion).
Taking all of these considerations into account, the EPA finds that
the outer range of timing estimates presented in the Non-EGU Control
Installation Timing Report generally reflects a conservative set of
installation timing estimates and that the factors described previously
could result in installation timeframes that fall toward the shorter
end of the ranges of time that factor in supply-chain delays or could
obviate those supply-chain delay issues entirely.
Based on all of these considerations, the EPA has concluded that
three years is generally an adequate amount of time for the non-EGU
sources covered by this final rule to install the controls in the 20
states that remain linked in 2026. The EPA also recognizes, however,
that some sources may not be able to install controls by the 2026 ozone
season despite making good faith efforts to do so, due to the
aforementioned supply chain delays or other circumstances entirely
beyond the owner or operator's control. Therefore, the final FIPs
require compliance with the emissions control requirements for non-EGUs
by the beginning of the 2026 ozone season, with limited exceptions
based on a showing of necessity for individual sources that meet
specific criteria. Where an individual owner or operator submits a
satisfactory demonstration that an extension of time to comply is
necessary, due to circumstances entirely beyond the owner or operator's
control and despite all good faith efforts to install the necessary
controls by May 1, 2026, the EPA may determine that installation by
2026 is not possible and thereby grant an extension of up to one year
for that source to fully implement the required controls. If, after the
EPA has granted a request for an initial compliance extension, the
source remains unable to comply by the extended compliance date due to
circumstances entirely beyond the owner or operator's control and
despite all good faith efforts to install the necessary controls by the
extended compliance date, the owner or operator may request and the EPA
may grant a second extension of up to two additional years for full
compliance, where specific criteria are met. This application process
is generally in accordance with the concept on which the Agency
requested comment in the proposal, see 87 FR 20104-05, and is modeled
on a similar process provided for industrial sources subject to CAA
section 112 NESHAPs, found at 40 CFR 63.6(i)(3).
The EPA intends to grant a request for an initial compliance
extension only where a source demonstrates that it has taken all steps
possible to install the necessary controls by the applicable compliance
date and still cannot comply by the 2026 ozone season, due to
circumstances entirely beyond its control. Any request for a compliance
extension must be received by the EPA at least 180 days before the May
1, 2026, compliance date. The request must include all information
obtained from control technology vendors demonstrating that the
necessary controls cannot be installed by the applicable compliance
date, any permit(s) secured for the installation of controls or
information from the permitting authority on the timeline for issuance
of such permit(s) if the source has not yet obtained the required
permit(s); and any contracts entered into by the source for the
installation of the control technology or an explanation as to why no
contract is necessary. The EPA may also consider documentation of a
source owner's/operator's plans to shut down a source by the 2027 ozone
season in determining whether a source is eligible for a compliance
extension. The owner or operator of an affected unit remains subject to
the May 1, 2026 compliance date unless and until the Administrator
grants a compliance extension.
The EPA intends to grant a request for a second compliance
extension beyond 2027 only where a source owner/operator submits
updated documentation showing that it is not possible to install and
operate controls by the 2027 ozone season, despite all good faith
efforts to comply and due to circumstances entirely beyond its control.
The request must be received by the EPA at least 180 days before the
extended compliance date and must include, at minimum, the same types
of information as that required for the initial extension request. The
owner or operator of an affected unit remains subject to the initial
extended compliance date unless and until the Administrator grants a
second compliance extension. A denial will be effective on the date of
denial.
As discussed earlier in section VI.A, in Wisconsin the court held
that some deviation from the CAA's mandate to eliminate prohibited
transport by downwind attainment deadlines may be allowed only ``under
particular circumstances and upon a sufficient showing of necessity.''
\284\ This standard is met when, in the EPA's judgment, compliance by
the attainment date amounts to an impossibility. The EPA cannot allow a
covered industrial source to avoid timely compliance with the emissions
control requirements established in this final rule unless the source
owner/operator can demonstrate that compliance by the 2026 ozone season
is not possible due to circumstances entirely beyond their control. The
criteria that must be met to qualify for limited extensions of time to
comply are designed to meet this statutory mandate. The EPA anticipates
that the majority of the industrial sources covered by this final rule
will not qualify for a compliance extension.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\284\ Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 316 and 319-320 (noting that any
such deviation must be ``rooted in Title I's framework'' and
``provide a sufficient level of protection to downwind States'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
B. Regulatory Requirements for EGUs
To implement the required emissions reductions from EGUs, the EPA
is revising the existing CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program (the ``Group 3 trading program'') established in the
Revised CSAPR Update both to expand the program's geographic scope and
to enhance the program's ability to ensure favorable environmental
outcomes. The EPA is using a trading program for EGUs because of the
inherently greater flexibility that a trading program can provide
relative to more prescriptive, ``command-and-control'' forms of
regulation of sufficient stringency to achieve the necessary emissions
reductions. In the electric
[[Page 36761]]
power sector, EGUs' extensive interconnectedness and coordination
create the ability to shift both electricity production and emissions
among units, providing a closely related ability to achieve emissions
reductions in part by shifting electricity production from higher-
emitting units to lower-emitting or non-emitting units. Thus, while the
Step 3 control-stringency determination for EGUs to eliminate
significant contribution is based on strategies that do not require
generation shifting or reduced utilization of EGUs, the sector's
unusual flexibility with respect to how emissions reductions can be
achieved makes the flexibility of a trading program particularly useful
as a means of lowering the overall costs of obtaining such reductions.
In addition, it is essential for the electric power sector to retain
short-term operational flexibility sufficient to allow electricity to
be produced at all times in the quantities needed to meet demand
simultaneously, and the flexibility of a trading program can be helpful
in supporting this aspect of the industry as well.
To ensure emissions reductions necessary to eliminate significant
contribution are maintained, in this rulemaking, the EPA is making
certain enhancements to the current provisions of the Group 3 trading
program addressing emissions-control performance by some kinds of
individual units that will necessarily reduce the flexibility of the
program to some extent for those units. In analyzing significant
contribution at Step 3, once a linkage has been established between an
upwind state and a downwind receptor, we identify an appropriate set of
emissions control strategies, considering cost and other factors, that
would eliminate significant contribution from the upwind state without
leading to undercontrol or overcontrol at the downwind linked
receptors. At Step 4, for EGUs, we develop emissions budgets based on
consistent application of the identified strategies to the sources.
This level of emission control at each source identified in Step 3 is
what the EPA deems to eliminate significant contribution, while the
design of emission budgets that successfully implement that level of
emission control is determined at Step 4. See section III.B and V.
The trading program enhancements discussed in this section are
designed to ensure that sources actually achieve that level of emission
control and thereby eliminate significant contribution on a permanent
basis at Step 4. The enhancements ensure that the emissions budgets for
EGUs continue to secure the level of emission control identified at
Step 3 at the sources active in the trading program on a more
consistent basis throughout each ozone season than prior transport
trading programs (including those that did not provide complete
remedies for interstate pollution transport) have required. An
alternative form of implementation at Step 4 would be to implement
source-specific emissions limitations (e.g., rate-based standards
expressed as mass per unit of heat input) reflecting the control
strategies identified at Step 3. This is a very common form of
implementation for many other CAA requirements and is indeed the manner
of implementation selected in this very rulemaking for other affected
industrial sources. See sections III.B, V.D.4, and VI.C. But doing so
would require loss of the flexibilities inherent in a trading program,
inclusive of these enhancements, that facilitate orderly and timely
achievement of the required emission reductions in the power sector.
Prior to this rule, the Group 3 trading program has applied to EGUs
meeting the program's applicability criteria within the borders of
twelve states: Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland,
Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West
Virginia. Affected EGUs in these twelve states will continue to
participate in the Group 3 trading program as revised in this
rulemaking, with some revised provisions taking effect in the 2023
control period and other revised provisions taking effect later as
discussed elsewhere in this document. The EPA is expanding the Group 3
trading program's geographic scope to include all of the additional
states for which EGU emissions reduction requirements are being
established in this rulemaking. Affected EGUs within the borders of
seven states currently covered by the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program (the ``Group 2 trading program'')--Alabama,
Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin--will
transition from the Group 2 trading program to the revised Group 3
trading program at the beginning of the 2023 control period,\285\ and
affected EGUs within the borders of the three states not currently
covered by any CSAPR trading program for seasonal NOX
emissions--Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah--will enter the Group 3 trading
program in the 2023 control period on the effective date of this rule.
As discussed in section VI.B.12.a of this document, because the
effective date of the rule will likely be sometime during the 2023
ozone season, special transitional provisions have been developed to
allow for efficient administration of the rule's EGU requirements
through the Group 3 trading program while not imposing any new
substantive obligations on parties prior to the rule's effective date,
similar to the transitional provisions implemented under the Revised
CSAPR Update.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\285\ Affected EGUs in the three other states currently covered
by the Group 2 trading program--Iowa, Kansas, and Tennessee--will
continue to participate in that program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As is the case for the states already in the Group 3 trading
program, for each state added to the program, the set of affected EGUs
will include new units as well as existing units and will also include
units located in Indian country within the state's borders. Sections
VI.B.2 and VI.B.3 of this rule provide additional discussion of the
geographic expansion of the Group 3 trading program and the units in
the expanded geography that will become subject to the program under
the program's existing applicability provisions.
In addition to expanding the Group 3 trading program's geographic
scope, the EPA is modifying the program's regulations prospectively to
include certain enhancements to improve environmental outcomes. Two of
the proposed enhancements will adjust the overall quantities of
allowances available for compliance in the trading program in each
control period so as to maintain the rule's selected control stringency
and related EGU effective emissions rate performance level as the EGU
fleet evolves. First, instead of establishing emissions budgets for all
future years under the program at the time of the rulemaking, which
cannot reflect future changes in the EGU fleet unknown at the time of
the rulemaking, the EPA is revising the trading program regulations to
include a dynamic budgeting procedure. Under this procedure, the EPA
will calculate emissions budgets for control periods in 2026 and later
years based on more current information about the composition and
utilization of the EGU fleet, specifically data available from the 2024
ozone season and following (e.g., for 2026, data from periods through
2024; for 2027, data from periods through 2025; etc.). Through the 2029
control period, the dynamically determined budgets will apply only if
they are higher than preset budgets established in the rule.
(Associated revisions to the program's variability limits and unit-
level allowance allocation procedures will coordinate these provisions
with the revised budget-setting procedures.) Second,
[[Page 36762]]
starting with the 2024 control period, the EPA will annually
recalibrate the quantity of accumulated banked allowances under the
program to prevent the quantity of allowances carried over from each
control period to the next from exceeding the target bank level, which
would be revised to represent a preset percentage of the sum of the
state emissions budgets for each control period. The preset percentage
will be 21 percent for control periods through 2029 and 10.5 percent
for control periods in 2030 and later years. Together, these
enhancements will protect the intended stringency of the trading
program against potential erosion caused by EGU fleet turnover and will
better sustain over time the incentives created by the trading program
to achieve the degree of emissions control for EGUs that the EPA has
determined is necessary to address states' good neighbor obligations.
Two further enhancements to the Group 3 trading program establish
provisions designed to promote more consistent emissions control by
individual EGUs within the context of the trading program. First,
starting with the 2024 control period for coal-fired EGUs with existing
SCR controls and the earlier of the 2030 control period or the control
period after which an SCR is installed for other large coal-fired EGUs,
a daily NOX emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu will apply as a
backstop to the seasonal emissions budgets (which are based on an
assumed seasonal average emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu for EGUs with
existing SCR controls). Each ton of emissions exceeding a unit's
backstop daily emissions rate, after the first 50 such tons, in a given
control period will incur a 3-for-1 allowance surrender ratio instead
of the usual 1-for-1 allowance surrender ratio. Second, also starting
with the 2024 control period, the trading program's existing assurance
provisions, which require extra allowance surrenders from sources that
are found responsible for contributing to an exceedance of the relevant
state's ``assurance level'' (i.e., typically 121 percent of the state's
emissions budget), will be strengthened by the addition of another
backstop requirement. Specifically, for any unit equipped with post-
combustion controls that is found responsible for contributing to an
exceedance of the state's assurance level, the revised regulations will
prohibit the unit's seasonal emissions from exceeding by more than 50
tons the emissions that would have resulted if the unit had achieved a
seasonal average emissions rate equal to the higher of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or
125 percent of the unit's lowest previous seasonal average emissions
rate under any CSAPR seasonal NOX trading program.\286\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\286\ The requirement would not apply for control periods during
which the unit operated for less than 10 percent of the hours, and
emissions rates achieved in such previous control periods would be
excluded from the comparison.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
These two enhancements are designed to ensure that all individual
units with SCR controls have strong incentives to continuously operate
and optimize their controls, and also to ensure that all units with
post-combustion controls have strong incentives to optimize their
emissions performance when a state's assurance level might otherwise be
exceeded. These enhancements are generally designed to ensure
consistency with the EPA's determination regarding the emissions
control stringency needed from EGUs to eliminate significant
contribution under the Step 3 multifactor analysis as discussed in
section V of this document. Further, these enhancements are designed to
provide greater assurance that emissions controls will be operated on
all days of the ozone season and therefore necessarily on the days that
turn out to be most critical for downwind ozone levels. The EPA expects
that promoting more consistently good emissions performance by
individual EGUs will better ensure that each state's significant
contribution is fully eliminated by this action, see North Carolina,
531 F.3d at 919-21. In addition to addressing the statutory
requirements of eliminating significant contribution, the EPA
anticipates that these enhancements will also deliver public health and
environmental benefits to underserved and overburdened communities.
The revisions to the Group 3 trading program being finalized in
this rule are very similar to the proposed revisions. The changes from
proposal to the set of states covered are driven largely by updates to
the air quality modeling performed for the final rule, as described in
section IV of this document. The changes from proposal to the trading
program enhancements are generally being made in response to comments
on the proposal, as discussed in more detail in the remainder of
section VI.B of this document.
1. Trading Program Background and Overview of Revisions
a. Current CSAPR Trading Program Design Elements and Identified
Concerns
The use of allowance trading programs to achieve required emissions
reductions from the electric power sector has a long history, rooted in
the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990. In Title IV of those amendments,
Congress specified the design elements for a 48-state allowance trading
program to reduce SO2 emissions and the resulting acid
precipitation. Building on the success of that first allowance trading
program as a tool for addressing multi-state air pollution issues,
since 1998 EPA has promulgated and implemented multiple allowance
trading programs for SO2 or NOX emissions to
address the requirements of the CAA's good neighbor provision with
respect to successively more protective NAAQS for fine particulate
matter and ozone. Most of these trading programs have applied either
exclusively or primarily to EGUs.
The EPA currently administers six CSAPR trading programs for EGUs
(promulgated in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update)
that differ in the pollutants, geographic regions, and time periods
covered and in the levels of stringency, but that otherwise have been
nearly identical in their core design elements and their regulatory
text.\287\ The principal common design elements currently reflected in
all of the programs are as follows:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\287\ The six current CSAPR trading programs are the CSAPR
NOX Annual Trading Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 Trading Program, CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading
Program, CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading Program, CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program, and CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program. The regulations
for the six programs are set forth at subparts AAAAA, BBBBB, CCCCC,
DDDDD, EEEEE, and GGGGG, respectively, of 40 CFR part 97.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
An ``emissions budget'' is established for each state for
each control period, representing the EPA's quantification of the
emissions that would remain under certain projected conditions after
elimination of the emissions prohibited by the good neighbor provision
under those projected conditions. For each control period of program
operation, a quantity of newly issued ``allowances'' equal to the
amount of each state's emissions budget is allocated among the state's
sources. (States have options to replace the EPA's default allocations
or to institute an auction process.) Total emissions in a given control
period from all sources in the program are effectively
[[Page 36763]]
capped at a level no higher than the total quantity of allowances
available for use in the control period, consisting of the sum of all
states' emissions budgets for the control period plus any unused
allowances carried over from previous control periods as ``banked''
allowances.
``Assurance provisions'' in each program establish an
``assurance level'' for each state for each control period, defined as
the sum of the state's emissions budget plus a specified ``variability
limit.'' The purpose of the assurance provisions is to limit the total
emissions from each state's sources in each control period to an amount
close to the state's emissions budget for the control period,
consistent with the good neighbor provision's mandate that required
emissions reductions must be achieved within the state, while allowing
some flexibility beyond the emissions budget to accommodate year-to-
year operational variability. In the event a state's assurance level is
exceeded, responsibility for the exceedance is apportioned among the
state's sources through a procedure that accounts for the sources'
shares of the state's total emissions for the control period as well as
the sources' shares of the state's assurance level for the control
period.
At the program's compliance deadlines after each control
period, sources are required to hold for surrender specified quantities
of allowances. The minimum quantities of allowances that must be
surrendered are based on the sources' reported emissions for the
control period at a 1-for-1 ratio of allowances to tons of emissions
(or 2-for-1 in instances of late compliance). In addition, two more
allowances must be surrendered for each ton of emissions exceeding a
state's assurance level for a control period, yielding an overall 3-
for-1 surrender ratio for those emissions (or 4-for-1 in instances of
late compliance). Failure to timely surrender all required allowances
is potentially subject to penalties under the CAA's enforcement
provisions.
To continuously incentivize sources to reduce their
emissions even when they already hold sufficient allowances to cover
their expected emissions for a control period, and to promote
compliance cost minimization, operational flexibility, and allowance
market liquidity, the programs allow trading of allowances--both among
sources in the program and with non-source entities--and also let
allowances that are unused in one control period be carried over for
use in future control periods as banked allowances. Although the CSAPR
programs do not limit trading of allowances, and prior to this rule
have not limited banking of allowances within a given trading program,
the 3-for-1 surrender ratio imposed by the assurance provisions on any
emissions exceeding a state's assurance level disincentivizes sources
from relying on either in-state banked allowances or net out-of-state
purchased allowances to emit over the assurance level.\288\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\288\ As discussed in section VI.B.6 of this document, while
allowance banking has not previously been limited under any of the
CSAPR trading programs, limits on the use of banked allowances were
included in the earlier NOX Budget Trading Program in the
form of ``flow control'' provisions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, other common design elements ensure program
integrity, source accountability, and administrative transparency. Most
notably, each unit must monitor and report emissions and operational
data in accordance with the provisions of 40 CFR part 75; all allowance
allocations or auction results, transfers, and deductions must be
properly recorded in the EPA's Allowance Management System; each source
must have a designated representative who is authorized to represent
all of the source's owners and operators and is responsible for
certifying the accuracy of the source's reports to the EPA and
overseeing the source's Allowance Management System account; and
comprehensive data on emissions and allowances are made publicly
available.
The EPA continues to believe that the historical CSAPR trading
program structure established by the common design elements just
described has important positive attributes, particularly with respect
to the exceptional degree of compliance flexibility it can provide to a
sector such as the electric power sector where such flexibility is
especially useful and valuable. However, the EPA also shares many
stakeholders' concerns about whether the historical structure, without
enhancements, is capable of adequately addressing states' good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS in light of the
rapidly evolving EGU fleet and the protectiveness and short-term form
of the ozone standard. One set of concerns relates to the historically
observed tendency under the trading programs for the supply of
allowances to grow over time while the demand for allowances falls,
reducing allowance prices and eroding the consequent incentives for
sources to effectively control their emissions. A second, overlapping
set of concerns relates to the general absence of source- or unit-
specific emissions reduction requirements, allowing some individual
sources to idle or run less optimally existing emissions controls even
when a linkage between the sources' state and a receptor persists. For
example, certain units in Ohio and Pennsylvania have been found to have
operated their controls below target emissions performance levels used
for budget setting under the CSAPR Update in the 2019-2021 period, even
though the Revised CSAPR Update found that these states remained linked
through at least 2021 to receptors for the 2008 ozone NAAQS, and the
CSAPR Update itself was only a partial remedy. See 86 FR 23071, 23083.
While this unit-level behavior may have been permissible under the
prior program, emissions from these individual sources can contribute
to increased pollution concentrations downwind on the particular days
that matter for downwind exceedances of the relevant air quality
standard. This indicates that the prior program design was not
effectively ensuring the elimination of significant contribution.\289\
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\289\ We also observe that these sources' emissions have the
potential to impact downwind overburdened communities. See Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, Section E. The EPA
conducted a screening-level analysis to determine whether there may
be impacts on overburdened communities resulting from those EGUs
receiving backstop emissions rates under this rule. This analysis
identified a greater potential for these sources to affect areas of
potential concern than the national coal-fired EGU fleet on average.
However, this analysis is distinct from the more comprehensive
exposure analysis conducted as discussed in section VII of this
document and the RIA. In addition, we note that our conclusions
regarding the EGU trading program enhancements in this final rule
are wholly supportable and justified under the good neighbor
provision, even in the absence of any potential benefits to
overburdened communities.
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The EPA has analyzed hourly emissions data reported in prior cap-
and-trade programs and identified instances of sources that did not
operate SCR controls for substantial portions of recent ozone seasons.
In an effort to ensure emissions control on critically important
highest ozone days, guard against non-operation of emissions controls
under a more protective NAAQS, and provide assurance of elimination of
significant contribution to downwind areas, while also maintaining
appropriate compliance and operational flexibility for EGUs, the EPA in
this rule is implementing a suite of enhancements to the trading
program. These will help to ensure reductions occur on the highest
ozone days commensurate with our Step 3 determinations, in addition to
maintaining a mass-based seasonal requirement. To meet the statutory
mandate to eliminate significant contribution and interference with
[[Page 36764]]
maintenance on the critically important days, this combination of
provisions will strongly incentivize sources to plan to run controls
all season, including on the highest ozone days, while giving
reasonable flexibility for occasional operational needs.\290\
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\290\ Deferral of the backstop daily emissions rate for certain
EGUs, for reasons discussed in section VI.B.7 of this document, does
not alter this finding that this trading program enhancement is an
important part of the solution to eliminating significant
contribution from EGUs under CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
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In this rulemaking, the EPA is revising the Group 3 trading program
to include enhancements designed to address both sets of concerns
described previously. The principles guiding the various revisions and
the relationships of the revisions to one another are discussed in
sections VI.B.1.b and VI.B.1.c of this document. The individual
revisions are discussed in more detail in sections VI.B.4 through
VI.B.9 of this document.
b. Enhancements To Maintain Selected Control Stringency Over Time
The first set of concerns noted about the current CSAPR trading
program structure relates to the programs' ability to maintain the
rule's selected control stringency and related EGU effective emissions
performance level as the EGU fleet evolves over time. Under the
historical structure of the CSAPR trading programs, the effectiveness
of the programs at maintaining the rule's selected control stringency
depends entirely on how allowance prices over time compare to the costs
of sources' various emissions reduction opportunities, which in turn
depends on the relationship between the supply for allowances and the
demand for allowances. In considering possible ways to address concerns
about the ability to enhance the historical trading program structure
to better sustain incentives to control emissions over time, the EPA
has focused on the trading program design elements that determine the
supply of allowances, specifically the approach for setting state
emissions budgets and the rules concerning the carryover of unused
allowances for use in future control periods as banked allowances.
i. Revised Emissions Budget-Setting Process
In each of the previous rulemakings establishing CSAPR trading
programs, the EPA has evaluated the emissions that could be eliminated
through implementation of certain types of emissions control strategies
available at various cost thresholds to achieve certain rates of
emissions per unit of heat input (i.e., the amount of fuel consumed)
and the effects of the resulting emissions reductions on downwind air
quality. After determining the emissions control strategies and
associated emissions reductions that should be required under the good
neighbor provision by considering these factors in a multifactor test
at Step 3, the EPA has then for purposes of Step 4 implementation
program design projected the amounts of emissions that would remain
after the assumed implementation of the selected emissions control
strategies at various points in the future and has established the
projected remaining amounts of emissions as the state emissions budgets
in trading programs.
Projecting the amounts of emissions remaining after implementation
of selected emissions controls necessarily requires projections not
only for sources' future emissions rates but also for other factors
that influence total emissions, notably the composition of the future
EGU fleet (i.e., the capacity amounts of different types of sources
with different emissions rates) and their future utilization levels
(i.e., their heat input). To the extent conditions unfold in practice
that differ from the projections made at the time of a rulemaking for
these other factors, over time the emissions budgets may not reflect
the intended stringency of the emissions control strategies identified
in the rulemaking as consistent with addressing states' good neighbor
obligations. Further, projecting EGU fleet composition and utilization
beyond the relatively near-term analytic years of 2023 and 2026 given
particular attention in this rulemaking has become increasingly
challenging in light of the anticipated continued evolution of the
electric power sector toward more efficient and cleaner sources of
generation, including as driven by incentives provided by the
Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act as well as the Inflation
Reduction Act.
A consequence of using a trading program approach with preset
emissions budgets that do not keep pace with the trends in EGU fleet
composition and heat input is that the preset emissions budgets
maintain the supply of allowances at levels that increasingly exceed
the emissions that would occur even without implementation of the
emissions control strategies used as the basis for determining the
emissions budgets, causing decreases in allowance prices and hence the
incentives to implement the control strategies. As an example, although
the emissions budgets in the CSAPR Update established in 2016 reflected
implementation of the emissions control strategy of operating and
optimizing existing SCR controls, within four years the EPA found that
EGU retirements and changes in utilization not anticipated in EPA's
previous budget-setting computations had made it economically
attractive for at least some sources to idle or reduce the
effectiveness of their existing controls (relying on purchased
allowances instead).\291\ While the EPA has provided analysis
indicating that, on average, sources operate their controls more
effectively on high electric demand days, it has also identified cases
where units fail to optimize their controls on these days. Downwind
states have suggested this type of reduced pollution control
performance has occurred on the day and preceding day of an ozone
exceedance.\292\ \293\ While the EPA had previously provided analysis
focusing on the year of initial program implementation, when allowance
prices were high (i.e., 2017 for the CSAPR Update), to demonstrate that
on average, sources operate their controls more effectively on high
electric demand days, even in that case it had identified situations
where particular units failed to optimize their controls on these days.
In later years, when allowance prices had fallen, more sources,
including some identified by commenters, had idled or reduced the
effectiveness of their controls. Such an outcome undermined the ongoing
achievement of emissions rate performance consistent with the control
strategies identified in the CSAPR Update to eliminate significant
contribution to nonattainment and interference with maintenance,
despite the fact that the mass-based budgets were being met.
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\291\ The price of allowances in CSAPR Update states started at
levels near $800 per ton in 2017 but declined to less than $100 per
ton by 2019 and were less than $70 per ton in July 2020 (data from
S&P Global Market Intelligence).
\292\ 86 FR 23117.
\293\ See EPA-HQ-OAR-2020-0272-0094 (``[This] is demonstrated
through examination of Maryland's ozone design value days for June
26th-28th, 2019. On those days, Maryland recorded 8-hour ozone
levels of 75, 85 and 83 ppb at the Edgewood monitor. Maryland
Department of the Environment evaluated the daily NOX
emission rate for units in Pennsylvania that were found to influence
the design values on the 3 exceedance days (and 1 day prior to the
exceedance) against the past-best ozone season 30-day rolling
average optimized NOX rate (which tends to be higher than
the absolute lowest seasonal average rate).'').
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In the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA took steps to better address
the rapid evolution of the EGU fleet, specifically by setting updated
emissions budgets for individual future
[[Page 36765]]
years though 2024 that reflect future EGU fleet changes known with
reasonable certainty at the time of the rulemaking. Some commenters in
that rulemaking requested that the EPA also update the year-by-year
emissions budgets to reflect future fleet changes that might become
known after the time of the rulemaking, but the EPA declined to do so,
in part because no methodology for making future emissions budget
adjustments in response to post-rulemaking data had been included in
the proposal for the rulemaking.
Based on information available as of December 2022, it appears that
the emissions budgets set for the first two control periods covered by
the Revised CSAPR Update generally succeeded at creating incentives to
operate emissions controls under the Group 3 trading program for those
control periods. However, the EPA recognizes that the lack of emissions
budget adjustments after 2024 in conjunction with industry trends
toward more efficient and cleaner resources will likely lead to a
surplus of allowances after the adjustments end. This prospect for the
existing Group 3 trading program should be avoided by the changes being
made in this rulemaking. In this rulemaking, besides establishing new
preset emissions budgets for the 2023 through 2029 control periods, the
EPA is also extending the Group 3 trading program budget-setting
methodology used in the Revised CSAPR Update to routinely calculate
dynamic emissions budgets for each future control period from 2026 on,
to be published in the year before that control period, with each
dynamic emissions budget generally reflecting the latest available
information on the composition and utilization of the EGU fleet at the
time that dynamic emissions budget is determined. For the control
periods in 2026 through 2029, each state's final emissions budget will
be the preset budget determined for the state in this rulemaking except
in instances when the dynamic budget determined for the state (and
published approximately one year before the control period using the
dynamic budget-setting methodology) is higher. For control periods in
2030 and thereafter, the emissions budgets will be the amounts
determined for each state in the year before the control period using
the dynamic budget-setting methodology.
The current budget-setting methodology established in the Revised
CSAPR Update and the revisions being made to that methodology are
discussed in detail in section VI.B.4 of this document and the Ozone
Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. To summarize here, the
methodology used to determine the preset budgets largely follows the
Revised CSAPR Update's emissions budget-setting methodology, which
included three primary steps: (1) establishment of a baseline inventory
of EGUs adjusted for known retirements and new units, with heat input
and emissions rate data for each EGU in the inventory based on recent
historical data; (2) adjustment of the baseline data to reflect assumed
emissions rate changes resulting from known new controls, known gas
conversions, and implementation of the emissions control strategies
used to determine states' good neighbor obligations; and (3)
application of an increment or decrement to reflect the effect on
emissions from projected generation shifting among the units in a state
at the emissions reduction cost associated with the selected emissions
control strategies. In this rulemaking, the EPA has determined the
preset state emissions budgets for the control periods from 2023
through 2029 by using the Revised CSAPR Update's budget-setting
methodology, except that the step of that methodology intended to
reflect the effects of generation shifting has been eliminated.
The dynamic budget-setting methodology used to determine dynamic
state emissions budgets in the year before each control period starting
with the 2026 control period is set forth in the revised Group 3
trading program regulations at 40 CFR 97.1010(a). This methodology
modifies the Revised CSAPR Update's budget-setting methodology in two
ways. First, the baseline EGU inventory and heat input data, but not
the emissions rate data, will be updated for each control period using
the most recent available reported data in combination with reported
data from the four immediately preceding years. For example, in early
2025, using the final data reported for 2020 through 2024, the EPA will
update the baseline inventory and heat input data used to determine
dynamic state emissions budgets for the 2026 control period.\294\
Second, the EPA will not apply an increment or decrement to any state
emissions budget for projected generation shifting associated with
implementation of the selected control strategies, because any such
shifting should already be reflected in the reported heat input data
used to update the baseline.
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\294\ As discussed in section VI.B.4 of this document, the
state-level data used to determine the overall state-level heat
input for computing a state's dynamic budget will be a three-year
average (e.g., 2022-2024 state-level data will be used in 2025 to
set the 2026 dynamic budgets). The unit-level data used to determine
individual units' shares of the state-level heat input in the
computations will be the average of the three highest non-zero heat
input amounts for the respective units over the most recent five
years (e.g., 2020-2024 unit-level data will be used in 2025 to set
the 2026 dynamic budgets).
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The EPA believes that the revisions to the emissions budget-setting
process will substantially improve the ability of the emissions budgets
to keep pace with changes in the composition and utilization of the EGU
fleet. The dynamic budget-setting methodology will account for the
electric power sector's overall trends toward more efficient and
cleaner resources, both of which tend to decrease total heat input at
affected EGUs, and through 2029 the preset budgets established in the
rule will also account for these factors to the extent known. The
dynamic budget-setting methodology will also account for other factors
that could lead to increased heat input in some states, such as
generation shifting from other states or increases in electricity
demand caused by rising electrification. The dynamic budget-setting
procedure is specified in this final rule's trading program regulations
and the computations, which are straightforward, can be performed in a
spreadsheet to deliver reliable results. The EPA will provide public
notice of the preliminary calculations and the data used by March 1 of
the year preceding the control period and will provide an opportunity
for submission of any objections to the data and preliminary
calculations before finalizing the dynamic budgets for each control
period by May 1 of the year before the control period to which those
dynamic budgets apply. Thus, for example, sources and other
stakeholders will have certainty by May 1, 2025, of the dynamic
emissions budgets that will be calculated for the 2026 control period
that starts May 1, 2026. Moreover, as of the issuance of this final
rule, stakeholders will know the state-level preset emissions budgets
for the 2026-2029 control periods, which serve as floors that will only
be supplanted by dynamic budgets calculated for those control periods
if such a dynamic budget yields a higher amount of tons than the
corresponding preset budget established in this action.
It bears emphasis that the annually updated information used in the
dynamic budget-setting computations will concern only the composition
and utilization of the EGU fleet and not the emissions rate data also
used in those computations. The dynamically determined emissions budget
computations for all years will reflect only the specific emissions
control
[[Page 36766]]
strategies used to determine states' good neighbor obligations as
determined in this rulemaking, along with fixed historical emissions
rates for units that are not assumed to implement additional control
strategies, thereby ensuring that the annual updates will eliminate
emissions as determined to be required under the good neighbor
provision. The stringency of the emissions budgets will simply reflect
the stringency of the emissions control strategies determined in the
Step 3 multifactor analysis and will do so more consistently over time
than the EPA's previous approach of computing emissions budgets for all
future control periods at the time of the rulemaking.
The rule's revisions relating to state emissions budgets and the
budget-setting process generally follow the proposal except for two
changes we are making in response to comments, specifically: we will
use historical data from multiple years rather than a single year in
the dynamic budget-setting process, and we are establishing preset
emissions budgets for the 2026-2029 control periods such that the
dynamic budgets for those control periods will only be imposed where
they exceed the corresponding preset budgets finalized in this rule.
The rationale for these changes is discussed later in this section as
part of the responses to the relevant comments. Details of the final
budget-setting methodology and responses to additional comments are
discussed further in section VI.B.4 of this document.
The final rule's provisions relating to the determination of state-
level variability limits and assurance levels and unit-level allowance
allocations are coordinated with the budget-setting methodology. These
provisions generally follow the proposal except that the change to the
methodology for determining variability limits is implemented starting
with the 2023 control period instead of the 2025 control period and the
final methodology for determining unit-level allocations of allowances
to coal-fired units considers the controlled emissions rate assumptions
applicable to the same units in the budget-setting process. Details of
these provisions, including the rationales for the changes from
proposal, are discussed in sections VI.B.5 and VI.B.9, respectively.
ii. Allowance Bank Recalibration
Besides the levels of the emissions budgets, the second design
element of the trading program structure that affects the supply of
allowances in each control period, and that consequently also affects
the ability of a trading program to maintain the rule's selected
control stringency as the EGU fleet evolves over time, is the set of
rules concerning the carryover of unused allowances for use in future
control periods as banked allowances. As noted previously, trading and
banking of allowances in the CSAPR trading programs can serve a variety
of purposes: continuously incentivizing sources to reduce their
emissions even when they already hold sufficient allowances to cover
their expected emissions for a control period, facilitating compliance
cost minimization, accommodating necessary operational flexibility, and
promoting allowance market liquidity. All of these purposes are
advanced by rules that allow sources to trade allowances freely (both
with other sources and with non-source entities such as brokers). All
of these purposes are also advanced by rules that allow unused
allowances to be carried over for possible use in future control
periods, thereby preserving a value for the unused allowances. However,
while the EPA considers it generally advantageous to place as few
restrictions on the trading of allowances as possible,\295\
unrestricted banking of allowances has a potentially significant
disadvantage offsetting its advantages, namely that it allows what
might otherwise be temporary surpluses of allowances in some individual
control periods to accumulate into a long-term allowance surplus that
reduces allowance prices and weakens the trading program's incentives
to control emissions. With weakened incentives, some operators would be
more likely to choose not to continuously operate and optimize their
emissions controls, imperiling the ongoing achievement of emissions
rate performance consistent with the control strategies defined as
eliminating significant contribution to nonattainment and interference
with maintenance.
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\295\ The advantages of trading programs discussed earlier in
this section--providing continuous emissions reduction incentives,
facilitating compliance cost minimization, and supporting
operational flexibility--depend on the existence of a marketplace
for purchasing and selling allowances. Broader marketplaces
generally provide greater market liquidity and therefore make
trading programs better at providing these advantages. The EPA
recognizes that unrestricted use of net purchased allowances--
meaning quantities of purchased allowances that exceed the
quantities of allowances sold--by a source or group of sources as an
alternative to making emissions reductions can interfere with the
achievement of the desired environmental outcome. Therefore, section
VI.B.1.c of this document discusses the enhancements to the Group 3
trading program that the EPA is making in this rulemaking to reduce
reliance on net purchased allowances by incentivizing or requiring
better environmental performance at individual EGUs. However, the
concern arises from the use of an excessive quantity of net
purchased allowances for a particular purpose, not from the
existence of a marketplace where allowances may be freely bought and
sold.
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As discussed in detail in section VI.B.6 of this rule, the EPA is
revising the Group 3 trading program by adding provisions that
establish a routine recalibration process for banked allowances that
will be carried out in August 2024 and each subsequent August, after
the compliance deadline for the control period in the previous year. In
each recalibration, the EPA will reset the total quantity of banked
allowances for the Group 3 trading program (``Group 3 allowances'')
held in all Allowance Management System accounts to a level computed as
a target percentage of the sum of the state emissions budgets for the
current control period. The target percentage will be 21 percent for
the 2024-2029 control periods and 10.5 percent for control periods in
2030 and later years. The recalibration procedure entails identifying
the ratio of the target bank amount to the total quantity of banked
allowances held in all accounts before the recalibration and then, if
the ratio is less than 1.0, multiplying the quantity of banked
allowances held in each account by the ratio to identify the
appropriate recalibrated amount for the account (rounded to the nearest
allowance), and deducting any allowances in the account exceeding the
recalibrated amount.
As noted previously, recalibration of the bank for each control
period will be carried out in August of that control period. This
timing will accommodate the process of deducting allowances for
compliance for the previous control period, which cannot be completed
before sources' June 1 compliance deadline for the previous control
period, and will then provide approximately two additional months for
sources to engage in any desired allowance transactions before
recalibration occurs. However, data that can be used to estimate the
bank recalibration ratio for each control period will be available
shortly after the end of the previous control period, and the EPA will
use these data to make information on the estimated bank recalibration
ratio for each control period publicly available no later than March 1
of the year of that control period, thereby facilitating the ability of
affected EGUs to anticipate their ultimate holdings of recalibrated
banked allowances to inform their compliance planning for that control
season. Affected EGUs will also have several months following the
completed bank recalibration in August to transact allowances with
other parties as needed
[[Page 36767]]
before the allowance transfer deadline of June 1 of the following year.
The EPA believes this revision to the Group 3 trading program's
banking provisions establishing an annual bank recalibration process
will complement the revisions to the budget-setting process by
preventing any surplus of allowances created in one control period from
diminishing the intended stringency and resulting emissions reductions
of the emissions budgets for subsequent control periods.
The calibration procedure will not erase the value of unused
allowances for the holder, because the larger the quantity of banked
allowances that is held in a given account before each recalibration,
the larger the quantity of banked allowances that will be left in the
account after the recalibration for possible sale or use in meeting
future compliance requirements. Because the banked allowances will
always have value, the opportunity to bank allowances will continue to
advance the purposes served by otherwise unrestricted banking as
described previously. Opportunities to bank unused allowances can serve
all these same purposes whether a banked allowance is of partial value
(if the bank needs recalibrating to its target level) or is of full
value compared to a newly issued allowance for the next control period.
The final rule's provisions relating to bank recalibration
generally follow the proposal except that, in response to comments, the
target percentage used to determine the recalibrated bank levels for
the 2024-2029 control periods is being set at 21 percent instead of
10.5 percent. The rationale for this change is discussed later in this
section as part of the responses to the relevant comments. Details of
the bank recalibration provisions are discussed further in section
VI.B.6 of this rule.
c. Enhancements To Improve Emissions Performance at Individual Units
The second set of concerns about the structure of the current CSAPR
trading programs relates to the general absence of source- or unit-
specific emissions reduction requirements. Without such requirements,
the programs affect individual sources' emissions performance only to
the extent that the incentives created by allowance prices are high
enough relative to the costs of the sources' various emissions control
opportunities. In circumstances where the incentives to control
emissions are insufficient, some individual sources even idle existing
emissions controls. Emissions from these individual sources can
contribute to increased pollution concentrations downwind on the
particular days that matter for downwind exceedances of the relevant
air quality standard.
This EPA intends that the trading program enhancements described in
section VI.B.1.b of this rule will improve the Group 3 trading
program's ability to sustain emissions control incentives over time
such that needed emissions performance will be achieved by all
participating units without the need for additional requirements to be
imposed at the level of individual units. However, because obtaining
needed emissions performance at individual units is also important to
the elimination of significant contribution in keeping with the EPA's
Step 3 determinations, the EPA is supplementing the previously
discussed enhancements with two other new sets of provisions that will
apply to certain individual units within the larger context of the
Group 3 trading program. The allowance price will continue to be the
most important driver of good environmental performance for most units,
but the proposed unit-level requirements will be important supplemental
drivers of performance and will offer additional assurance that
significant contribution is eliminated on a daily basis during the
ozone season by more continuous operation of existing pollution
controls.
i. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions Rates
The first of the trading program enhancements intended to improve
emissions performance at the level of individual units is the addition
of backstop daily NOX emissions rate provisions that will
apply to large coal-fired EGUs, defined for this purpose as units
serving electricity generators with nameplate capacities equal to or
greater than 100 MW and combusting any coal during the control period
in question. Starting with the 2024 control period, a 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio (instead of the usual 1-for-1 surrender ratio) will
apply to emissions during the ozone season from any large coal-fired
EGU with existing SCR controls exceeding by more than 50 tons a daily
average NOX emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. The additional
allowance surrender requirement will be integrated into the trading
program as a new component in the calculation of each unit's primary
emissions limitation, such that the additional allowances will have to
be surrendered by the same compliance deadline of June 1 after each
control period. The amount of additional allowances to be surrendered
will be determined by computing, for each day of the control period,
any excess of the unit's reported emissions (in pounds) over the
emissions that would have resulted from combusting that day's actual
heat input at an average daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu, summing
the daily amounts, converting from pounds to tons, computing the amount
of any excess over 50 tons, and multiplying by two. Starting with the
second control period in which newly installed SCR controls are
operational, but not later than the 2030 control period, the 3-for-1
surrender ratio will apply in the same way to all large coal-fired EGUs
except circulating fluidized bed units, consistent with EPA's
determination that a control stringency reflecting installation and
operation of SCR controls on all such large coal-fired EGUs is
appropriate to address states' good neighbor obligations with respect
to the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
In prior rules addressing interstate transport of air pollution,
stakeholders have noted that while seasonal cap-and-trade programs are
effective at lowering ozone and ozone-forming precursors across the
ozone season, attainment of the standard is measured on key days and
therefore it is necessary to ensure that the rule requires emissions
reductions not just seasonally, but also on those key days.\296\ They
have noted that while the trading programs established under the
NOX SIP Call, CAIR, and CSAPR have all been successful in
ensuring seasonal reductions, states must remain below daily peak
levels, not just seasonal levels, to reach attainment. These downwind
stakeholder communities have suggested that operating pollution
controls on the highest ozone days (and immediately preceding days)
during the ozone season is of critical importance. The EPA has analyzed
hourly emissions data reported in prior cap-and-trade programs and has
identified instances of sources that did not operate SCR controls for
substantial portions of recent ozone seasons. These instances are
discussed in section V.B.1.a of this document and in the EGU
NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD in the docket.
While the EPA has in prior ozone transport actions not found sufficient
evidence of emissions control idling or non-optimization to take the
step of building in enhancements to the trading program to ensure unit-
level control operation, our review of subsequent-year data for prior
programs suggests that the non-optimization
[[Page 36768]]
behavior increases in the latter years of a program. Applied to this
context (e.g., a rule providing a full remedy to interstate transport
for the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS and an extended period of
expected persistence of receptors), this data suggests this
deterioration in performance could become prevalent and problematic in
future years if not addressed. Rather than allow for the potential of
continued deterioration in the environmental performance of our trading
programs, the EPA finds the evidence of declining SCR performance in
later years of trading programs sufficient to justify prophylactic
measures in this rule to ensure the emissions control strategy selected
at Step 3 is indeed implemented at Step 4. Thus, particularly in the
context of the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS combined with the full
remedy nature of this action and the extended timeframe for which
upwind contribution to downwind nonattainment is projected to persist,
the EPA agrees with these stakeholders that the set of measures
promulgated in this rulemaking to implement the control stringency
levels found necessary to address states' good neighbor obligations
should include measures designed to more effectively ensure that
individual units operate their emissions controls routinely throughout
the ozone season, thereby also ensuring that the controls are planned
to be in operation on the particular days that turn out to be most
critical for ozone formation and for attainment of the NAAQS. Routine
operation of emissions controls will also provide relief to
overburdened communities downwind of any units that might otherwise
have chosen not to operate their controls. In the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, the EPA conducted a screening analysis
that found nearly all of the EGUs included in this analysis are located
within a 24-hour transport distance of many areas with potential EJ
concerns. Thus, the EPA is adopting backstop daily rate limits at the
individual unit level because it is appropriate and justified in the
context of eliminating significant contribution under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). While the former justification is sufficient to
finalize this enhancement to the trading program, we also anticipate
that this measure will deliver public health and environmental benefits
to overburdened communities (as well as the rest of the
population).\297\
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\296\ E.g., comments of Maryland Department of the Environment
on the proposed Revised CSAPR Update at 3, EPA-HQ-OAR-2020-0272-
0094.
\297\ Nonetheless, the environmental justice exposure analysis
indicates that preexisting disparities among demographic groups are
likely to persist even under this final rule. See section VII of
this document.
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We considered whether, as some commenters suggested, it would be
appropriate to simply implement unit-specific daily emissions
limitation at all of the large, coal-fired EGUs, and forego an
emissions trading approach altogether. While this is within the EPA's
statutory authority, see CAA section 110(a)(2)(A) and 302(y), and
merits careful consideration, we are declining to do so in this action
but intend to closely monitor EGU emissions performance in response to
the trading program finalized here. The purpose of establishing a
backstop daily NOX emissions rate and implementing it
through additional allowance surrender requirements instead of as an
enforceable emissions limitation is to incentivize improved emissions
performance at the individual unit level while continuing to preserve,
to the extent possible, the advantages that the flexibility of a
trading program brings to the electric power sector. As discussed in
section VI.B.7 of this document, under the EPA's historical trading
programs without the enhancements made in this rulemaking, some
individual coal-fired units with SCR controls have chosen to operate
the controls at lower removal efficiencies than in past ozone seasons
or even to idle the controls for entire ozone seasons. In addition,
some SCR-equipped units have chosen to routinely cycle their emissions
controls off at lower load levels, such as while operating overnight,
instead of operating the controls, upgrading the units to enable the
controls to be operated under those conditions, or not operating the
units under those conditions. Collectively, this non-optimization of
existing controls has a detrimental impact on problematic receptors.
Table V.D.1-1 shows the expected air quality benefit from control
optimization (totaling nearly 1.6 ppb change across all
receptors).\298\
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\298\ As illustrated in the table and underlying data, a small
portion of this ppb impact is attributable to combustion control
upgrade potential.
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The EPA has identified sources of interstate ozone pollution such
as the New Madrid and Conemaugh plants (in Missouri and Pennsylvania,
respectively) whose SCR controls were not operating for substantial
portions of recent ozone seasons. The data included in Appendix G of
the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, available in the
docket for this rulemaking, demonstrate that these units have operated
their SCRs better and more consistently during years with higher
NOX allowance prices. Downwind stakeholders have noted that
some of the higher emissions rates (specifically in the case of
Conemaugh Unit 2 in 2019) have occurred on the day of and the preceding
day of an ozone exceedance in bordering states.\299\
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\299\ EPA-HQ-OAR-2020-0272-0094.
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The EPA believes that the design of the daily emissions rate
provisions will be effective in addressing these types of high-emitting
behavior by significantly raising the cost of planned operator
decisions that substantially compromise environmental performance. At
the same time, the provision will not unduly penalize an occasional
unplanned exceedance, because the amount of additional allowances that
would have to be surrendered to address a single day's exceedance would
be much smaller than the amount that would have to be surrendered to
address planned poor performance sustained over longer time periods.
Moreover, the EPA believes that the inclusion of a 50-ton threshold
before the increased surrender requirements would apply is sufficient
to address virtually all instances where a unit's emissions would
exceed the 0.14 lb/mmBtu daily rate because of unavoidable startup or
shutdown conditions during which SCR equipment cannot be operated,
thereby ensuring that the provision will not penalize units for
emissions that are beyond their reasonable control.
The EPA is applying the daily emissions rate provisions to large
coal-fired EGUs, and not to other types of units, for reasons that are
consistent with EPA's determinations regarding the appropriate control
stringency for EGUs to address states' good neighbor obligations with
respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Installation and operation of SCR
controls is well-established as a common practice for the best control
of NOX emissions from coal-fired EGUs, as evidenced by the
fact that the technology is already installed on more than 60 percent
of the sector's total coal-fired capacity and installed on nearly 100
percent of the coal fired boilers in the top quartile of emissions rate
performance. In the context of addressing good neighbor obligations
with respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS, the EPA is determining that a
control stringency reflecting universal installation and operation of
SCR technology at large coal-fired EGUs (other than circulating
fluidized bed units) is appropriate at Step 3. Finally, where SCR
controls are installed on such units, optimized operation of those
controls is an extremely cost-effective method of achieving
NOX emissions
[[Page 36769]]
reductions. The EPA believes these considerations support establishment
of the daily emissions rate provisions on a universal basis for large
coal-fired EGUs, with near-term application of the provisions for units
that already have the controls installed and deferred application for
other units, as discussed later.
With regard to gas-fired steam EGUs, SCR controls are nowhere near
as prevalent, and while the EPA is including some SCR controls at gas-
fired steam units in the selected control stringency at Step 3, the EPA
is not including universal SCR controls at gas-fired steam units.
Because the EPA is not determining that universal installation and
operation of SCR controls at gas-fired steam EGUs is part of the
selected control stringency, in order not to constrain the power
sector's flexibility to choose which particular gas-fired steam EGUs
are the preferred candidates for achieving the required emissions
reductions, the EPA is not applying the daily emissions rate provisions
to large gas-fired steam EGUs. Focusing the backstop daily emissions
rates on coal-fired units is also consistent with stakeholder input
which has emphasized the need for short-term rate limits at coal units
given their relatively higher emissions rates.
The EPA developed the level of the daily average NOX
emissions rate--0.14 lb/mmBtu--through analysis of historical data, as
described in section VI.B.7 of this document. A rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu
represents the daily average NOX emissions rate that has
been demonstrated to be achievable on approximately 95 percent of days
covering more than 99 percent of total ozone-season NOX
emissions by coal-fired units with SCR controls that are achieving a
seasonal NOX average emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu (or
less), which is the seasonal NOX emissions rate that the EPA
has determined is indicative of optimized SCR performance by units with
existing SCR controls.
As noted previously, the daily average emissions rate provisions
will apply beginning in the 2024 control period for large coal-fired
units with installed SCR controls, one control period later than
optimization of those controls will be reflected in the state emissions
budgets under this rule. For these units, not applying the daily
average rate provisions until 2024 serves three purposes. First, it
provides all the units with a preparatory interval to focus attention
on improving not only the average performance of their SCR controls but
also the day-to-day consistency of performance before they will be held
to increased allowance-surrender consequences for exceeding the daily
rate. Second, it provides the subset of units that exhaust to common
stacks with other units that currently lack SCR controls an opportunity
to exercise the option to install and certify any additional monitoring
systems needed to monitor the individual units' NOX
emissions rates separately; otherwise, the daily emissions rate
provisions will apply to the SCR-equipped units based on the combined
NOX emissions rates measured in the common stacks. Third, it
provides all units sufficient time to update the data handling software
in their existing monitoring systems as needed to compute and report
the additional hourly and daily data values needed for implementation
of the provisions.\300\
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\300\ For further discussion of emissions monitoring and
reporting requirements under the rule, including the options
available to plants where SCR-equipped and non-SCR-equipped coal-
fired units exhaust to common stacks, see section VI.B.10 of this
document.
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With respect to the units without existing SCR controls, the daily
average emissions rate provisions will apply starting with the second
control period in which newly installed SCR controls are operational at
the unit, but not later than the 2030 control period. This
implementation timing represents a change from the proposal, under
which the daily average emissions rate provisions would have applied to
units without existing SCR starting in the 2027 control period.
Commenters noted that for many units without SCR, replacement of the
unit within a few years, and shifting of some generation to cleaner
units in the interim, would be a more economic compliance strategy than
installation of new SCR controls. The commenters further noted that
implementation of the daily average emissions rate for these units
starting in 2027 would strongly disadvantage such an alternative
strategy if the capacity replacement and any associated transmission
improvements could not be implemented by 2027. In light of these
comments, the EPA has determined that as long as the emissions budgets
determined in this rule to eliminate significant contribution are still
being implemented as expeditiously as practicable--which in this
instance the EPA has determined requires phasing in the required
emissions reductions by 2027--it is reasonable to defer implementation
of the daily average emissions rate provisions to 2030 for units
without SCR to allow temporarily greater flexibility to pursue
compliance strategies other than installation of new controls. This lag
is permissible consistent with the obligation to eliminate significant
contribution for reasons that are further discussed in response to
comments in section VI.B.1.d of this document. However, for any units
that choose a compliance strategy of installing new SCR controls before
2030, the daily average emissions rate provisions would apply in the
second control period of operation. Specification of the second control
period rather than the first control period provides the unit operators
with an opportunity to gain operational experience with the new
equipment before the units will be held to increased allowance-
surrender consequences for exceeding the daily rate.
The unit-specific daily emissions rate provisions are being
finalized as proposed except for two changes noted in the previous
summary: the exclusion from extra allowance surrender requirements of a
unit's first 50 tons of emissions in a control period exceeding the
backstop daily rate, and the revision of the starting date for
implementation of the requirement for units without existing SCR
controls to 2030 or the second control period of SCR operation, if
earlier. The rationale for these changes is further discussed in the
responses to comments later in this section. Additional details of the
unit-specific daily emissions rate provisions are discussed in section
VI.B.7 of this document.
ii. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
The second of the trading program enhancements intended to improve
emissions performance at the level of individual units is the addition
of unit-specific secondary emissions limitations for units with post-
combustion controls starting with the 2024 control period. The
secondary emissions limitations will be determined on a unit-specific
basis according to each unit's individual performance but will apply to
a given unit only under the circumstance where a state's assurance
level for a control period has been exceeded, the unit is included in a
group of units to which responsibility for the exceedance has been
apportioned under the program's assurance provisions, and the unit
operated during at least 10 percent of the hours in the control period.
Where these conditions for application of a secondary emissions
limitation to a given unit for a given control period are met, the
unit's secondary emissions limitation consists of a prohibition on
NOX emissions during the control
[[Page 36770]]
period that exceed by more than 50 tons the NOX emissions
that would have resulted if the unit had achieved an average emissions
rate for the control period equal to the higher of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or 125
percent of the unit's lowest average emissions rate for any previous
control period under any CSAPR seasonal NOX trading program
during which the unit operated for at least 10 percent of the hours.
The secondary emissions limitation is in addition to, not in lieu
of, the primary emissions limitation applicable to each source, which
continues to take the form of a requirement to surrender a quantity of
allowances based on the source's emissions, and also in addition to the
existing assurance provisions, which similarly continue to take the
form of a requirement for the owners and operators of some sources to
surrender additional allowances when a state's assurance level is
exceeded. In contrast to these other requirements, the unit-specific
secondary emissions limitation takes the form of a prohibition on
emissions over a specified level, such that any emissions by a unit
exceeding its secondary emissions limitation would be subject to
potential administrative or judicial action and subject to penalties
and other forms of relief under the CAA's enforcement authorities. The
reason for establishing this form of limitation is that experience
under the existing CSAPR trading programs has shown that, in some
circumstances, the existing assurance provisions have been insufficient
to prevent exceedances of a state's assurance level for a control
period even when the likelihood of an exceedance has been foreseeable
and the exceedance could have been readily avoided if certain units had
operated with emissions rates closer to the lower emissions rates
achieved in past control periods. The assurance levels exist to ensure
that emissions from each state that contribute significantly to
nonattainment or interfere with maintenance of a NAAQS in another state
are prohibited. North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 906-08 (D.C. Cir.
2008). The EPA's programs to eliminate significant contribution must
therefore achieve this prohibition, and the evidence of foreseeable and
avoidable exceedances of the assurance levels demonstrates that EPA's
existing approach has not been sufficient to accomplish this.
The purpose of including assurance levels higher than the state
emissions budgets in the CSAPR trading programs is to provide
flexibility to accommodate operational variability attributable to
factors that are largely outside of an individual owner's or operator's
control, not to allow owners and operators to plan to emit at emissions
rates that could be anticipated to cause a state's total emissions to
exceed the state's emissions budget or assurance level. Conduct leading
to a foreseeable, readily avoidable exceedance of a state's assurance
level cannot be reconciled with the statutory mandate of the CAA's good
neighbor provision that emissions ``within the state'' significantly
contributing to nonattainment or interfering with maintenance of a
NAAQS in another state must be prohibited. Because the current CSAPR
regulations do not expressly prohibit such conduct and have proven
insufficient to deter it in some circumstances, the EPA is correcting
the regulatory deficiency in the Group 3 trading program by adding
secondary emissions limitations that cannot be complied with through
the use of allowances.
The EPA notes that although the purpose of the secondary emissions
limitations is to strengthen the assurance provisions, which apply on a
statewide, seasonal basis, the unit-specific structure of the new
limitations will strengthen the incentives for individual units with
post-combustion controls to maintain their emissions performance at
levels consistent with their previously demonstrated capabilities. The
new limitations will strengthen the incentives to operate and optimize
the controls continuously, which can be expected to reduce some
individual units' emissions rates throughout the ozone season,
including on the days that turn out to be most critical for downwind
ozone levels. Better emissions performance on average across the ozone
season by individual units likely will also help address impacts of
pollution on overburdened communities downwind from some such units.
See Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD, Section E.
The unit-specific secondary emissions limitations are being
finalized as proposed except that the limitations will apply only to
units with post-combustion controls. The rationale for this change, and
additional details regarding the provisions, are discussed in section
VI.B.8 of this document.
d. Responses to General Comments on the Revisions to the Group 3
Trading Program
This section summarizes and provides the EPA's responses to
overarching comments received on the EPA's proposal to implement the
emissions reductions required from EGUs under this rule through
expansion and enhancement of the Group 3 trading program originally
established in the Revised CSAPR Update, particularly comments on
electric system reliability. Responses to comments about individual
aspects of the enhanced trading program are addressed in the respective
subsections of this section in which those aspects are discussed.
Responses to comments concerning alleged overcontrol and the EPA's
legal authority are in sections V.D. and III. Comments not addressed in
this document are addressed in the separate RTC document available in
the docket for this action.
Comment: Some commenters, including EGU owners, states, and several
RTOs, expressed concern that the requirements for EGUs as formulated in
the proposal could lead to a degradation in the reliability of the
electric system. As background, some of these commenters noted that the
power sector is currently undergoing rapid change, with older and less
economic fossil-fuel-fired steam generating units retiring while the
majority of the new capacity being added consists of wind and solar
capacity. They noted that fossil-fuel-fired generating capacity
provides reliability benefits not necessarily provided by other types
of generating capacity, including not only the ability to generate
electricity in the absence of wind or sunlight, but also inertia,
ramping capability, voltage support, and frequency response. Commenters
stated that past EGU retirements and the pace of change in the
generating capacity mix have already been stressing the electric system
in some regions, and that the forecasted risk of events where the
electric system would be unable to fully meet load is rising.
For purposes of their comments, these commenters generally assumed
that the rule would lead to additional retirements of fossil-fuel-fired
generating capacity beyond the retirements that EGU owners have already
planned and announced. Some of the commenters also suggested that
remaining fossil-fuel-fired generators would be unwilling to operate
when needed because allowances might be unavailable for purchase or too
costly. In the context of an already-stressed electric system, the
commenters predicted that these assumed consequences of the rule would
threaten resource adequacy and result in degraded electric reliability.
To support their assumptions concerning additional retirements, some of
the commenters pointed to projections of incremental generating
capacity retirements
[[Page 36771]]
included in the results of modeling performed by the EPA to analyze the
costs and benefits of the proposed rule. Some commenters indicated that
they expected EGU owners to be interested in retiring and replacing
uncontrolled units as of the date of implementation of the backstop
daily rate requirement on uncontrolled units, and expressed concern
that the proposal to implement that requirement as of the 2027 control
period did not allow sufficient time for planning and implementation of
all the necessary generation and transmission investments to make this
a viable compliance strategy; for these commenters, 2027 and the
immediately following years were the period of greatest concern. Some
commenters appear simply to have assumed that owners of units not
already equipped with SCR controls would choose to retire the units as
of the ozone season in which the units would otherwise become subject
to the backstop daily emissions rate provisions, regardless of whether
replacement investments had been completed.
Some of the commenters raising concerns about electric system
reliability suggested potential modifications to the proposed rule that
the commenters believed could help address their concerns. The
suggestions included various mechanisms for suspending some or all of
the trading program's requirements for certain EGUs at times when an
RTO or other entity responsible for overseeing a region of the
interconnected electrical grid determines that generation from those
EGUs is needed and the EGUs might not otherwise agree to operate. Other
suggestions focused on ways of providing EGUs with greater confidence
that allowances would be available to cover their incremental emissions
during particular events. A number of commenters used the term
``reliability safety valve,'' in some cases with reference to the types
of suggestions just mentioned and in other cases without details. Some
commenters pointed to the ``safety valve'' provision included in the
Group 2 trading program regulations under the Revised CSAPR Update.
Another commenter pointed to provisions for a ``reliability safety
valve'' included in the Clean Power Plan (80 FR 64662, Oct. 23, 2015).
In addition to offering critiques and recommendations concerning
the proposed rule's contents, some commenters claimed that the EPA had
failed to conduct sufficient analysis of the potential implications of
the proposed rule on electrical system reliability. These commenters
called on the EPA to consult with RTOs and other entities with
responsibilities relating to electric system reliability and to perform
additional analysis. Some commenters advocated for renewed
consultations and analysis before each planned adjustment to emissions
budgets under the dynamic budget-setting process. Commenters cited the
consultation processes followed during implementation of other EPA
rules, such as the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) (77 FR 9304,
Feb. 16, 2012).
Response: The EPA disagrees with the comments asserting that this
rule would threaten resource adequacy or otherwise degrade electric
system reliability. The emissions reduction requirements for EGUs under
this rule are being implemented through the mechanism of an allowance
trading program. Under the trading program, no EGU is required to cease
operation. The core trading program requirements for a participating
EGU are to monitor and report the unit's NOX emissions for
each ozone season period and to surrender a quantity of allowances
after the end of the ozone season based on the reported emissions. To
address states' obligations under the good neighbor provision, some
units of course will have to take some type of action to reduce
emissions, the actions taken to reduce emissions will generally have
costs, and some EGU owners will conclude that, all else being equal,
retiring a particular EGU and replacing it with cleaner generating
capacity is likely to be a more economic option from the perspective of
the unit's customers and/or owners than making substantial investments
in new emissions controls at the unit. However, the EPA also
understands that before implementing such a retirement decision, the
unit's owner will follow the processes put in place by the relevant
RTO, balancing authority, or state regulator to protect electric system
reliability. These processes typically include analysis of the
potential impacts of the proposed EGU retirement on electrical system
reliability, identification of options for mitigating any identified
adverse impacts, and, in some cases, temporary provision of additional
revenues to support the EGU's continued operation until longer-term
mitigation measures can be put in place. No commenter stated that this
rule would somehow authorize any EGU owner to unilaterally retire a
unit without following these processes, yet some comments nevertheless
assume that is how multiple EGU owners would proceed, in violation of
their obligations to RTOs, balancing authorities, or state regulators
relating to the provision of reliable electric service. Assumptions of
this nature are simply not reasonable. Like many commenters, the EPA
does expect that retirement will be viewed as a more economic
compliance strategy for some EGUs than installing new controls, but the
Agency also expects that any resulting unit retirements will be carried
out through an orderly process in which RTOs, balancing authorities,
and state regulators use their powers to ensure that electric system
reliability is protected. The trading program inherently provides ample
flexibility to allow such an orderly transition to take place. In
addition, as discussed later in this section, the EPA has adopted
several changes in the final rule to increase flexibility specifically
for the early years of the trading program for which commenters have
indicated the greatest concerns about electric system reliability.
As an initial matter, the EPA notes two fundamental aspects of this
rulemaking which together provide a strong foundation for the Agency's
conclusion that the emissions reductions required from EGUs can be
achieved with no adverse impacts on electric system reliability. First,
there is ample evidence indicating that the required emissions
reductions are feasible. As discussed in section V of this document,
the magnitude and timing of the EGU emissions reductions required by
this action reflect application of technologies that are already in
widespread use, on schedules that are supported by industry experience.
Second, the required emissions reductions are being implemented through
the mechanism of a trading program. The enhanced trading program under
this rule, like the trading programs established by the EPA under prior
rules, provides EGU owners with opportunities to substitute emissions
reductions from sources where achieving reductions is cheaper and
easier for emissions reductions from other sources where achieving
reductions is more costly or difficult. In general, an EGU owner has
options to operate the emissions controls identified by the EPA for
that type of unit (including installation or upgrade of controls where
necessary), operate other types of emissions controls, or adapt the
unit's levels of operation to produce less generation if the unit is a
higher-emitting EGU or more generation if the unit is a lower-emitting
EGU. The backstop daily emissions rate provisions in this rule reduce
the degree of available flexibility relative to the degree of
flexibility in the Agency's
[[Page 36772]]
previous trading programs under CAIR and CSAPR but by no means
eliminate it. Moreover, even the backstop rate provisions are
structured as requirements to surrender additional allowances rather
than as hard limits, providing a further element of flexibility No EGU
is required to retire or is prohibited from operating at any time under
this rule. EGUs only need to surrender of the appropriate quantities of
allowances after the end of the control period.\301\
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\301\ The EPA has prepared a resource adequacy assessment of the
projected impacts of the final rule showing that the projected
impacts of the final rule on power system operations, under
conditions preserving resource adequacy, are modest and manageable.
See Resource Adequacy and Reliability Analysis Final Rule TSD,
available in the docket.
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Further, in the large number of comments submitted in this
rulemaking that assert concerns over electric system reliability, no
commenter has cited a single instance where implementation of an EPA
trading program has actually caused an adverse reliability impact.
Indeed, similar claims made in the context of the EPA's prior trading
program rulemakings have shown a considerable gap between rhetoric and
reality. For example, in the litigation over the industry's multiple
motions to stay implementation of CSAPR, claims were made that allowing
the rule to go into effect would compromise reliability. Yet in the
2012 ozone season starting just over 4 months after the rule was
stayed, EGUs covered by CSAPR collectively emitted below the overall
program budgets that the rule would have imposed in that year if the
rule had been allowed to take effect, with most individual states
emitting below their respective state budgets despite CSAPR not being
in effect.\302\ Similarly, in the litigation over the 2015 Clean Power
Plan, assertions that the rule would threaten electric system
reliability were made by some utilities or their representatives, yet
even though the Supreme Court stayed the rule in 2016, the industry
achieved the rule's emissions reduction targets without the rule ever
going into effect. See West Virginia v. EPA, 142 S. Ct. 2587, 2638
(2022) (Kagan, J., dissenting) (``[T]he industry didn't fall short of
the [Clean Power] Plan's goal; rather, the industry exceeded that
target, all on its own. . . . At the time of the repeal . . . `there
[was] likely to be no difference between a world where the [Clean Power
Plan was] implemented and one where it [was] not.' '') (quoting 84 FR
32561). The claims that these rules would have had adverse reliability
impacts were proved to be groundless.
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\302\ For a state-by-state comparison, see Appendix G of the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD.
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Notwithstanding the long experience confirming the ability of the
EPA's trading programs to obtain emissions reductions from EGUs without
impairing the sector's ability to provide reliable electric service,
the Agency of course does not rely here solely on its experience, but
has carefully reviewed the comments on this topic for any information
that might indicate the appropriateness of modifications to the
enhanced trading program as proposed. In recognition of the important
role that RTOs play in ensuring electric system reliability, and
consistent with the requests of some commenters, the EPA has engaged in
outreach to the RTOs that commented on the proposal to better
understand their comments specifically and the reliability-related
comments of other commenters more generally.\303\ Through these
meetings, the central reliability-related concern was identified as one
of timing. In order for retirement to be a viable compliance strategy
for a unit that cannot be entirely spared until replacement investments
in generation or transmission are completed, it must be possible for
the unit to operate at critical times for a transition period. Like
other stakeholders, the RTOs perceived implementation of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions on uncontrolled units as materially
strengthening incentives for such units to either install controls or
retire. The RTOs were concerned that the option for a coal-fired unit
without SCR controls to maintain limited operation while surrendering
allowances at a 3-for-1 ratio for all emissions exceeding the backstop
daily rate was one that EGU owners would be reluctant to pursue.
Accordingly, the RTOs expected considerable interest from EGU owners in
retiring and replacing uncontrolled units as of the date of
implementation of the backstop daily rate requirement on uncontrolled
units, and they were concerned that the proposal to implement that
requirement as of the 2027 control period did not allow sufficient time
for planning and implementation of all the necessary generation and
transmission investments to make this a viable compliance strategy. The
RTOs described their concerns as greatest through approximately the
2029 control period.
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\303\ The EPA also met with non-RTO balancing authorities that
submitted comments. Memoranda identifying the dates, attendees, and
topics of discussion of these meetings with RTOs and non-RTO
balancing authorities are available in the docket.
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The RTOs also described a concern about potentially illiquid
allowance markets. They believed it was possible that some EGUs might
claim an inability to operate at particular times when needed unless
they had confidence that they would be able obtain additional
allowances. The RTOs were particularly concerned that introduction of
dynamic budgeting as proposed would create uncertainty for some EGUs
regarding the quantities of allowances they would have available for
use, particularly given the potentially large year-to-year swings if
budgets were based on historical data from a single year. Some of the
RTOs suggested potential solutions for these issues, principally in the
form of auctions or RTO-administered allocations of allowances from
pools of supplemental allowances, with access to the supplemental
allowances triggered by certain indications of temporary stress on the
electric system.
In the final rule, the EPA is adopting several changes from the
proposal to help address the reliability-related concerns that were
identified in comments and brought into greater focus by the
consultations with the RTOs. The first change adopted in response to
these comments is that application of the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate to units without existing SCR controls is being deferred
until the 2030 control period, or the second control period in which a
unit operates new SCR controls, if earlier. The purpose of this change
is to address the concerns that application of the backstop daily
NOX emissions rate to EGUs without existing SCR starting in
2027 would provide insufficient time for planning and investments
needed to facilitate unit retirement as a compliance pathway, which
some commenters noted they prefer or have already planned. In
particular, where an EGU owner would prefer to retire and replace an
uncontrolled EGU rather than to install new controls, and in
recognition that reliability-related needs may require some degree of
operation from such units in the period before the investments needed
to replace the unit can be completed, deferral of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions ensures that the necessary generation can be
provided without being made subject to a 3-for-1 allowance surrender
ratio that might render that compliance strategy uneconomic compared to
the faster but less environmentally beneficial compliance strategy of
installing new controls. The EPA has considered the statutory mandate
that states' good neighbor obligations--
[[Page 36773]]
including this action's requirement for large coal-fired EGUs to make
emissions reductions commensurate with good SCR operation--be addressed
as expeditiously as practicable. The EPA has also considered the fact
that in this rule, the backstop daily emissions rate serves as a
supplement to the broader requirement for emissions reductions
commensurate with application of several control technologies at
several types of EGUs, encompassing the extent of emissions reductions
that would be incentivized by the backstop emissions rate requirement.
The EPA views the backstop daily emissions rate as part of the solution
to eliminating significant contribution in that it strongly
incentivizes emissions-control operation throughout each day of the
ozone season. See sections III.B.1.d, VI.B.1.b, VI.B.1.c.i. For that
reason, in general we are finalizing the daily backstop emissions rate
for units that have SCR installed or that install it in the future. It
is only as an exception to that general rule that we defer the backstop
daily emissions rate given the transition period and reliability
concerns identified by commenters. The EPA finds that in this
circumstance, as long as state emissions budgets continue to reflect
the required degree of emissions reductions, deferral of the backstop
rate requirement for uncontrolled units for a transition period can be
justified on the basis of the greater long-term environmental benefits
obtained through facilitating the replacement of these affected EGUs
with cleaner sources of generation. Beginning in the 2030 ozone season,
all coal-fired EGUs identified for SCR retrofit potential in this
action will be subject to the backstop daily emissions rate. Any such
units that remain in operation in that year can and should meet the
backstop daily emissions rate or be subject to the heightened allowance
surrender ratio.
The second change from the proposal adopted in response to the
reliability-related comments is that the target percentage of the
states' emissions budgets used to recalibrate the target bank level
will be set at the proposed 10.5 percent starting in the 2030 control
period, and for the control periods from 2024 through 2029, a target
percentage of 21 percent will be used instead. The adoption of the
higher target percentage for use through the 2029 control period is
intended to promote greater allowance market liquidity during a period
of relatively rapid fleet transition about which commenters expressed
more focused reliability-related needs. As discussed later in this
section, the EPA expects the introduction of the bank recalibration
process in 2024 generally to boost market liquidity (by discouraging
allowance hoarding) and also considers the target percentage of 10.5
percent set forth in the proposal well supported. Nevertheless, the
Agency agrees with suggestions by commenters that, at least in the
early years of the enhanced trading program, a larger bank would
provide further liquidity and would give program participants greater
confidence that allowances would be available for purchase when needed.
Greater confidence by sources would help address RTOs' concern about
the possibility that some sources could be reluctant to operate if they
were unsure of their ability to procure allowances to cover their
emissions. In finding that this modification from proposal is
appropriate, the EPA has considered the fact that use of a higher
target percentage will not result in the creation of any additional
allowances in any control period, because under the recalibration
provisions, when the total quantity of allowances banked from the
previous control period is less than the bank target level, the
consequence is not that additional allowances are created to raise the
bank to the target level, but simply that no bank adjustment is carried
out. We also note that while including an annual bank recalibration of
any percentage is an enhancement in the trading program from prior
trading programs under the good neighbor provision established in the
CAIR, CSAPR, CSAPR Update, and Revised CSAPR Update rulemakings, it is
not unprecedented; the trading program established under the
NOX SIP Call included ``progressive flow control''
provisions that were designed differently from the bank recalibration
provisions in this rule but had the same purpose and general effect.
The third change from the proposal adopted in response to the
reliability-related comments is that the EPA is determining preset
state emissions budgets not only for the control periods in 2023 and
2024 as proposed, but also for the control periods in 2025 through
2029. Finalizing preset state emissions budgets through 2029 will
establish predictable amounts for the minimum quantities of allowances
available during the period when commenters have expressed concern that
the reliability-related need for such predictability is greatest.
Moreover, the EPA will also determine state emissions budgets using the
final dynamic budget-setting methodology for the control periods in
2026 through 2029, and for each state and control period, the dynamic
budget to be published in the future will only supplant the preset
budget finalized in this rule for a control period in which that
dynamic budget is higher than the corresponding preset budget. The
reason for using dynamic budgets when they are higher than the
corresponding preset budgets is that the EPA recognizes that evolution
of the EGU fleet will not follow the exact path projected at the time
of the rulemaking, and that by not accounting for certain events, the
preset methodology could result in issuance of smaller quantities of
allowances than the EPA would find consistent with the quantities of
emissions from a well-controlled EGU fleet using the dynamic budget-
setting methodology. Events that could cause preset budgets to
underpredict a state's well-controlled emissions, which are more likely
in years farther in the future from the time of the rulemaking, include
deferral of a large EGU's previously planned retirement date or
increases in electricity demand that outpace the general trend of
lower-emitting or non-emitting generation replacing higher-emitting
generation. After considering the commenters' interest in greater
predictability during the early years of the amended trading program as
well as the need to protect against instances where the preset budgets
could underpredict a state's well-controlled emissions in years farther
from the year of the rulemaking, the EPA finds that the combination of
these factors justifies the approach of using the higher of the two
budgets for the control periods from 2026 through 2029.
In addition to the changes made in response to reliability-related
comments, several other changes to the proposal being adopted primarily
for other reasons will also help address the factors identified as
reliability-related concerns. Most notably, the EPA is adopting changes
to the dynamic budget computation procedure to incorporate multiple
years of heat input data, which will reduce year-to-year variability in
the budgets determined under that procedure and should to some extent
reduce uncertainty about the quantities of allowances available for use
in instances where a dynamic budget is being used instead of preset
budget. In addition, the adoption of a 50-ton threshold before
application of the 3-for-1 surrender ratio to emissions exceeding the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate should ensure that no unit
incurs the higher surrender ratio solely because of unavoidable
emissions during startup and should help address concerns that some
units might be reluctant to operate because of the associated
emissions-
[[Page 36774]]
related costs. Also, the 2026-2027 phase-in of emissions reductions
commensurate with installation of new SCR controls will increase the
quantities of allowances available in the 2026 state emissions budgets
for most states in the trading program.
To summarize: in light of the strong record supporting the
feasibility of the emissions reductions required from EGUs; the use of
a trading program as the mechanism for achieving those emissions
reductions, with multiple options for achieving compliance and no
requirements to cease operation of any individual EGU at any time; the
established processes of RTOs, other balancing authorities, and state
regulators for managing any EGU retirement requests that do occur in an
orderly manner with evaluation of potential reliability impacts and
implementation of mitigation measures where needed; the unbroken,
decades-long historical success of the EPA's trading programs at
achieving emissions reductions without any adverse reliability impacts;
the views expressed by commenters that facilitating EGU retirement and
replacement as a possible compliance strategy through 2029 would be
particularly helpful; the changes made in the final rule for control
periods through 2029 specifically to increase flexibility during this
transitional period, including deferring application of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions for EGUs without existing SCR controls,
increasing the target percentage used to determine the target allowance
bank level for purposes of the bank recalibration provisions, and
establishing preset state emissions budgets which serve as floors
against potential dynamic budget imposition in those control periods;
and the changes made in the final rule incorporating multiple years of
heat input data into the dynamic budget-setting procedure, adding a 50-
ton threshold before application of the 3-for-1 surrender ratio to
emissions exceeding the backstop daily NOX emissions rate,
and phasing in emissions reductions requirements commensurate with new
SCR installations through 2027; the EPA concludes that this action does
not pose any material risk of adverse impact to electric system
reliability.
The EPA has also considered the other suggestions offered by
commenters for addressing reliability-related issues. With respect to
suggestions that the rule should include provisions allowing some or
all of the trading program's requirements to be suspended at times when
an RTO or other entity with grid management responsibilities determines
there is a reliability-related need, the EPA again observes that the
rule's emissions reduction requirements are being implemented through a
trading program mechanism which makes exceptions of this nature
unnecessary. Trading programs inherently offer the flexibility to
accommodate variability in the utilization of individual units. The
``reliability safety valve'' provisions in the Clean Power Plan, which
one commenter cited as a precedent to support some form of temporary
exemption under this rule, in fact was available only in situations
where a state plan did not allow emissions trading and instead imposed
unit-specific emissions constraints. See 80 FR 64877-879. Even the 3-
for-1 allowance surrender ratio under the backstop daily NOX
emissions rate provisions can be met through the surrender of
additional allowances. The rule does not bar any EGU from operating at
any time as long as all allowance surrender requirements are met.
With respect to suggestions that the EPA must undertake recurring
modeling of the evolving electrical system and consult with RTOs before
each planned adjustment to emissions budgets, which start from the
premise that the rule poses risk to electric system reliability that
must be continuously monitored, the EPA disagrees with the premise and
therefore also disagrees with the suggestions. As discussed in section
V of this document, the EPA has taken care to ensure that the emissions
reduction requirements applicable to EGUs under this rule are feasible
through application of the control technologies selected as the basis
of the emissions reductions. The EPA has also performed modeling in
this rulemaking to assess the benefits and costs of the rule when all
required emissions reductions are achieved. That modeling, which
incorporates a representation of electrical grid regions and
interregional constraints on energy and capacity exchange, affirms the
feasibility of the overall emissions reduction requirements and is
illustrative of a control strategy where some units retire and are
replaced instead of installing new controls. The EPA has also consulted
with the RTOs (as well as other balancing authorities) in the course of
this rulemaking to ensure that the EPA understood the concerns
expressed in their comments such that we could address those comments
in this final rule. The EPA does not agree that further modeling or
ongoing consultations with RTOs are needed in advance of the recurring
dynamic budget adjustments, which do not increase the stringency of the
rule's emissions reduction requirements established in the final rule.
The extensive consultation processes adopted by the Agency in
conjunction with the MATS rulemaking are not a relevant precedent; the
MATS rule, which was promulgated to address a different statutory
mandate, was structured in the form of unit-specific emissions
constraints, fundamentally different from the requirements of this
rule. The EPA notes that other entities responsible for maintaining
reliability and managing entry and exit of resources, including the
North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) and RTOs and
other balancing authorities, already routinely assess resource adequacy
and reliability inclusive of meeting all regulatory requirements,
including environmental requirements.
While the EPA does not agree that such consultations are a
necessary precondition for successful implementation of this rule, the
Agency remains available to engage with any affected EGU or reliability
authority requesting to meet and discuss the intersection of its power
sector regulatory programs with electric reliability planning and
operations. The EPA is also continuing its practice of meeting with the
U.S. Department of Energy and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
to maintain mutual awareness of how Federal actions and programs
intersect with the industry's responsibility to maintain electric
reliability.\304\
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\304\ See, e.g., U.S. Department of Energy and U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Joint Memorandum on Interagency
Communication and Consultation on Electric Reliability (March 8,
2023), available at https://www.epa.gov/power-sector/electric-reliability-mou.
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The EPA is not adopting the suggestion to replicate the so-called
``safety valve'' mechanism created under the Revised CSAPR Update. That
mechanism, cited by some commenters as potential precedent for an
unspecified form of ``reliability safety valve'' in this action, gave
owners of covered EGUs a one-time opportunity to voluntarily convert
allowances banked under the Group 2 trading program to allowances
useable in the Group 3 trading program at an 18-for-1 ratio for use in
the trading program's initial control period in 2021. See 82 FR 23137-
138. EGU owners chose to use the voluntary mechanism to acquire a total
of 382 allowances, representing only 0.36 percent of the sum of the
state emissions budgets and only 0.26 percent
[[Page 36775]]
of the total quantity of allowances available for compliance in that
control period.\305\ For the 2023 control period, the bank of
allowances carried over from the 2022 control period plus the
incremental starting bank that will be created by conversion of
additional allowances banked under the Group 2 trading program (see
section VI.B.12.b of this document) will total over 30 percent of the
full-season emissions budgets.\306\ Given the larger starting bank and
this rule's bank recalibration provisions (which will be implemented
starting with the 2024 control period, but which the EPA expects will
increase allowance market liquidity starting with the 2023 control
period), the Agency views establishment of a one-time voluntary
conversion opportunity for the 2023 control period analogous to the
Revised CSAPR Update's ``safety valve'' provision as unnecessary.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\305\ Additional allowances available for compliance under the
Group 3 trading program in the 2021 control period included a
starting allowance bank created through mandatory conversion of a
portion of the allowances banked under the Group 2 trading program
as well as supplemental allowances issued to ensure that no
provisions of the Revised CSAPR Update increasing regulatory
stringency would take effect before that rule's effective date. See
86 FR 23133-137.
\306\ The full-season emissions budgets for the 2023 control
period under the Group 3 trading program and the incremental
starting bank created in this action through conversion of
additional Group 2 allowances (but not the bank of allowances
carried over from the 2022 control period under the Group 3 trading
program) will be prorated to reflect the portion of the 2023 ozone
season occurring after the effective date of this rule. See sections
VI.B.12.a. and VI.B.12.b.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Finally, in the final rule the EPA is not adopting any of the other
suggestions concerning additional mechanisms to make additional
allowances available through auctions or RTO-administered allowance
pools. For the reasons discussed throughout this section, the EPA
concludes that the trading program as established in this action
provides a flexible compliance mechanism that will allow the required
emissions reductions to be achieved without the need for creation of
additional allowances. However, the EPA also recognizes the potential
for allowance market liquidity to be further increased through some
form of auction mechanism. For instance, it may be appropriate to pair
the introduction of an auction with a reduction in the bank
recalibration percentage that begins earlier than 2030. Through a
supplemental rulemaking, the Agency intends to propose and take comment
on potential amendments to the Group 3 trading program that would add
such an auction mechanism to the regulations and make other appropriate
adjustments in the implementation framework at Step 4.\307\
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\307\ Such a rulemaking would not reopen any determinations
which the Agency has made at Steps 1, 2, or 3 of the interstate
transport framework in this action. Nor would it reopen any aspects
of implementation of the program at Step 4 except for those in
relation to establishing an auction and associated adjustments to
ensure program stringency is maintained. In this respect, such a
rulemaking would constitute a discretionary action that is not
necessary to resolution of good neighbor obligations. Rather, these
adjustments, if finalized, would reflect a shift from one acceptable
form of implementation at Step 4 to a slightly modified but also
acceptable form of implementation at Step 4, as related to EGUs. No
legal or technical justification for this action as set forth in the
record here depends on or would be undermined by the development of
an alternative approach that includes an auction, and if the EPA for
any reason determines not to propose or finalize such a rulemaking,
no aspect of this rule would thereby be rendered infeasible or
incomplete.
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2. Expansion of Geographic Scope
In light of the findings at Steps 1, 2, and 3 of the 4-step
interstate transport framework, the EPA is expanding the geographic
scope of the existing CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program to encompass additional states (and Indian country within the
borders of such states) with EGU emissions that significantly
contribute for purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Specifically, the EPA
is expanding the Group 3 trading program to include the following
states and Indian country within the borders of the states: Alabama,
Arkansas, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, Oklahoma, Texas,
Utah, and Wisconsin. Any unit located in a newly added jurisdiction
that meets the applicability criteria for the Group 3 trading program
will become an affected unit under the program, as discussed in section
VI.B.3 of this document.
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update also applied
to sources in Indian country, although, when those rules were issued,
no existing EGUs within the regions covered by the rules were located
on lands that the EPA understood at the time to be Indian country.\308\
In contrast, within the geographic scope of this rulemaking, the EPA is
aware of areas of Indian country within the borders of both Utah and
Oklahoma with existing EGUs that meet the program's applicability
criteria. Issues related to state, tribal, and Federal CAA
implementation planning authority with respect to sources in Indian
country in general and in these areas in particular are discussed in
section III.C.2 of this document. EPA's approach for determining a
portion of each state's budget for each control period that will be set
aside for allocation to any units in areas of Indian country within the
state not subject to the state's CAA implementation planning authority
is discussed in section VI.B.9 of this document.
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\308\ CSAPR and the CSAPR Update both applied to EGUs located in
areas within Oklahoma's borders that are now understood to be Indian
country, consistent with the U.S. Supreme Court's decision in McGirt
v. Oklahoma, 140 S. Ct. 2452 (2020) (and subsequent case law),
clarifying the extent of certain Indian country within Oklahoma's
borders. However, those rules were issued before the McGirt
decision. See section III.C.2.a.
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Units within the borders of each newly added state will join the
Group 3 trading program on one of two possible dates during the
program's 2023 control period (that is, the period from May 1, 2023,
through September 30, 2023). The reason that two entry dates are
necessary is that, as discussed in section VI.B.12.a of this document,
the effective date is expected to fall after May 1, 2023. In the case
of states (and Indian country within the states' borders) whose sources
do not currently participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 trading program--Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah--the sources will
begin participating in the Group 3 trading program on the rule's
effective date. However, in the case of the states (and Indian country
within the states' borders) whose sources do currently participate in
the Group 2 trading program--Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin--the sources will begin participating in
the Group 3 trading program on May 1, 2023, regardless of the rule's
effective date, subject to transitional provisions designed to ensure
that the increased stringency of the Group 3 trading program as revised
in this rulemaking will not substantively affect the sources'
requirements prior to the rule's effective date. This approach provides
a simpler transition for the sources historically covered by the Group
2 trading program than the alternative approach of being required to
switch from the Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program
in the middle of a control period, and it is the same approach that was
followed for sources that transitioned from the Group 2 trading program
to the Group 3 trading program in 2021 under the Revised CSAPR Update.
Section VI.B.12.a of this document contains further discussion of the
rationale for this approach and the specific transitional provisions.
The EPA notes that under the rule, the expanded Group 3 trading
program will include not only 19 states for which the EPA is
determining that the required control stringency includes, among other
measures, installation of new post-combustion controls, but also three
[[Page 36776]]
states--Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin--for which the EPA is
determining that the required control stringency does not include such
measures. In previous rulemakings, the EPA has chosen to combine states
in a single multi-state trading program only where the selected control
stringencies were comparable, to ensure that states did not effectively
shift their emissions reduction requirements to other states with less
stringent emissions reduction requirements by using net out-of-state
purchased allowances. Although the assurance provisions in the CSAPR
trading programs were designed to address the same general concern
about excessive shifting of emissions reduction activities between
states, EPA chose not to rely on the assurance provisions as sufficient
to allow for interstate trading in situations where the states were
assigned differing emissions control stringencies.
In this rulemaking, the EPA believes the previous concern about the
possibility that certain states might not make the required emissions
reductions is sufficiently addressed through the various enhancements
to the design of the trading program, even where states have been
assigned differing emissions control stringencies. First, the existing
assurance provisions are being substantially strengthened through the
addition of the unit-specific secondary emissions limitations discussed
in sections VI.B.1.c.ii and VI.B.8. Second, by ensuring that individual
units operate their emissions controls effectively, the unit-specific
backstop daily emissions rate provisions discussed in sections
VI.B.1.c.i and VI.B.7 will necessarily also ensure that required
emissions reductions occur within the state. With these enhancements to
the design of the trading program, the EPA does not believe it is
necessary for sources in Alabama, Minnesota, and Wisconsin to be
excluded from the revised Group 3 trading program simply because their
emissions budgets reflect a different selected emissions control
stringency than the other states in the program.
The EPA's legal and analytic bases for expansion of the Group 3
trading program to each of the additional covered states, as well as
responses to the principal related comments, are discussed in sections
III, IV, and V of this document, respectively, and responses to
additional comments are contained in the RTC document. With respect to
the proposed approach of including all states covered by the rule in a
single trading program even where the assigned control stringencies
differ, the only comments received by the EPA supported the approach,
which is finalized as proposed.
3. Applicability and Tentative Identification of Newly Affected Units
The Group 3 trading program generally applies to any stationary,
fossil-fuel-fired boiler or stationary, fossil fuel-fired combustion
turbine located in a covered state (or Indian country within the
borders of a covered state) and serving at any time on or after January
1, 2005, a generator with nameplate capacity exceeding 25 MW and
producing electricity for sale, with exemptions for certain
cogeneration units and certain solid waste incineration units. To
qualify for an exemption as a cogeneration unit, an otherwise-affected
unit generally (1) must be designed to produce electricity and useful
thermal energy through the sequential use of energy, (2) must convert
energy inputs to energy outputs with efficiency exceeding specified
minimum levels, and (3) may not produce electricity for sale in amounts
above specified thresholds. To qualify for an exemption as a solid
waste incineration unit, an otherwise-affected unit generally (1) must
meet the CAA section 129(g)(1) definition of a ``solid waste
incineration unit'' and (2) may not consume fossil fuel in amounts
above specified thresholds. The complete text of the Group 3 trading
program's applicability provisions and the associated definitions can
be found at 40 CFR 97.1004 and 97.1002, respectively. The applicability
of this rule to MWCs and cogeneration units outside the Group 3 trading
program is discussed in sections V.B.3.a and V.B.3.c of this document,
respectively, and MWC applicability criteria are further discussed in
section VI.C.6 of this document.
In this rulemaking, the EPA did not propose and is not finalizing
any revisions to the existing applicability provisions for the Group 3
trading program. Thus, any unit that is located in a newly added state
and that meets the existing applicability criteria for the Group 3
trading program will become an affected unit under the program. The
fact that the applicability criteria for all of the CSAPR trading
programs are identical therefore is sufficient to establish that any
units that are currently required to participate in another CSAPR
trading program in any of the additional states where such other
programs currently are in effect--Alabama, Arkansas, Minnesota,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin (including Indian
country within the borders of such states)--will also become subject to
the Group 3 trading program.
In the additional states where other CSAPR trading programs are not
currently in effect--Nevada and Utah (including Indian country within
the borders of such states)--units already subject to the Acid Rain
Program under that program's applicability criteria (see 40 CFR 72.6)
generally also meet the applicability criteria for the Group 3 trading
program. Based on a preliminary screening analysis of the units in
these states that currently report emissions and operating data to the
EPA under the Acid Rain Program, the Agency believes that all such
units are likely to meet the applicability criteria for the Group 3
trading program.
Because the applicability criteria for the Acid Rain Program and
the Group 3 trading program are not identical, it is possible that some
units could meet the applicability criteria for the Group 3 trading
program even if they are not subject to the Acid Rain Program. Using
data reported to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, in the
proposal the EPA identified six sources in Nevada and Utah (and Indian
country within the borders of the states) with a total of 15 units that
appear to meet the general applicability criteria for the Group 3
trading program and that do not currently report NOX
emissions and operating data to the EPA under the Acid Rain Program.
These units were listed in a table in the proposed rule, and the data
from that table for these units are reproduced as Table VI.B.3-1 of
this document. For each of these units, the table shows the estimated
historical heat input and emissions data that the EPA proposed to use
for the unit when determining state emissions budgets if the unit was
ultimately treated as subject to the Group 3 trading program.\309\ The
EPA requested comment on whether each listed unit would or would not
meet all relevant criteria set forth in 40 CFR 97.1004 and the
associated definitions in 97.1002 to qualify for an exemption from the
trading program and whether the estimated historical heat input and
emissions data identified for each unit
[[Page 36777]]
were representative. With respect to the listed units within the
borders of Nevada or Utah, the EPA received no comments asserting
either that the units qualified for applicability exemptions or that
the estimated data identified by the EPA were unrepresentative.\310\
For purposes of this rule, the EPA is therefore presuming that the
units listed in Table VI.B.3-1 do not qualify for applicability
exemptions and that the estimated data shown in the table for each unit
are representative. However, the owners and operators of the sources
retain the option to seek applicability determinations under the
trading program regulations at 40 CFR 97.1004(c).
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\309\ As discussed in section VI.B.10, any unit that becomes
subject to the Group 3 trading program pursuant to this rule and
that does not already report emissions data to the EPA in accordance
with 40 CFR part 75 will not be required to report emissions data or
be subject to allowance holding requirements under the Group 3
trading program until May 1, 2024, in order to provide time for
installation and certification of the required monitoring systems.
Such a unit will not be taken into account for purposes of
determining state emissions budgets and unit-level allocations under
the Group 3 trading program until the 2024 control period.
\310\ One commenter expressed the view that eight of the listed
units within Nevada's borders appear to meet the CSAPR applicability
criteria but provided no comments on the specific proposed data. See
comments of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0554, at
58-59. The EPA also received comments concerning sources within
Delaware's borders that were included in the proposal's request for
comment; these comments are moot because Delaware is not being added
to the Group 3 trading program in the final rule. See comments of
Calpine, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0515; comments of Delaware City
Refining, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-0668-0309.
Table VI.B.3-1--Estimated Data To Be Used for Presumptively Affected Units Within the Borders of Nevada and Utah That Do Not Report Under the Acid Rain
Program
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Estimated
Estimated ozone season
Facility ozone season average NOX
State ID Facility name Unit ID Unit type heat input emissions rate Notes
(mmBtu) (lb/mmBtu)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Nevada..................... 2322 Clark................. GT4.................... CT.................... 190,985 0.0475 .......
Nevada..................... 2322 Clark................. GT5.................... CT.................... 1,455,741 0.0191 .......
Nevada..................... 2322 Clark................. GT6.................... CT.................... 1,455,741 0.0187 .......
Nevada..................... 2322 Clark................. GT7.................... CT.................... 1,455,741 0.0178 .......
Nevada..................... 2322 Clark................. GT8.................... CT.................... 1,455,741 0.0204 .......
Nevada..................... 54350 Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 1-- GTA.................... CT.................... 660,100 0.0377 1
Garnet Val.
Nevada..................... 54350 Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 1-- GTB.................... CT.................... 660,100 0.0387 1
Garnet Val.
Nevada..................... 54350 Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 1-- GTC.................... CT.................... 660,100 0.0387 1
Garnet Val.
Nevada..................... 54349 Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 2-- GTA.................... CT.................... 749,778 0.0323 1
Black Mtn.
Nevada..................... 54349 Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 2-- GTB.................... CT.................... 749,778 0.0370 1
Black Mtn.
Nevada..................... 54349 Nev. Cogen. Assoc. 2-- GTC.................... CT.................... 749,778 0.0364 1
Black Mtn.
Nevada..................... 56405 Nevada Solar One...... HI..................... Boiler................ 479,452 0.1667 .......
Nevada..................... 54271 Saguaro............... CTG1................... CT.................... 1,383,149 0.0314 1
Nevada..................... 54271 Saguaro............... CTG2................... CT.................... 1,383,149 0.0301 1
Utah....................... 50951 Sunnyside............. 1...................... Boiler................ 1,888,174 0.1715 .......
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table notes:
\1\ Unit reports capability of producing both electricity and useful thermal energy.
4. State Emissions Budgets
In this final rule, the EPA is using a combination of a ``preset''
budget calculation methodology and a ``dynamic'' budget calculation
methodology to establish state emissions budgets for the Group 3
trading program. A ``preset'' budget is one for which the absolute
amount expressed as tons per ozone season control period is established
in this final rule. It uses the latest data currently available on EGU
fleet composition at the time of this final action. A ``dynamic''
budget is one for which the formula and emissions-rate information is
finalized in this rule, but updated EGU heat input and inventory
information is used on a rolling basis to set the total tons per ozone
season for each control period. Both methods of budget calculation are
designed to set budgets reflective of the emissions control strategies
and associated stringency levels (expressed as an emissions rate of
pounds of NOX per mmBtu) identified for relevant EGU types
at Step 3--which we will refer to in this section as the ``Step 3
emissions control stringency.'' Preset budgets provide greater
certainty for planning purposes and can be reliably established in the
short-term based on known, upcoming changes in the EGU fleet. Due to
build time for new units and planning and approval processes for plant
retirements, these major fleet alterations are often known several
years in advance. This information facilitates presetting budgets that
appropriately calibrate the identified control stringency to the fleet.
Dynamic budgets better assure that the budgets remain commensurate with
the Step 3 emissions control stringency over the longer term, as
currently unknown changes in the EGU fleet occur. In this final rule,
in response to comments, we have adjusted the proposal to give a
greater role for preset budgets through 2029, while dynamic budgeting
will be phased in to provide greater certainty in the short term and
allow for a transition period to an exclusively ``dynamic'' approach
beginning in 2030.
For the control periods from 2023 through 2025, the preset budgets
established in the rule will serve as the state emissions budgets for
the control periods in those years, with no role for dynamic budgeting.
For the control periods from 2026 through 2029, the EPA is determining
preset emissions budgets for each control period in the rule and will
also calculate and publish dynamic budgets for each state in the year
before each control period using the dynamic budget-setting methodology
finalized in this rule, applied to data available at the time of the
calculations. For these four control periods, each state's preset
budget serves as a floor and may be supplanted by the dynamic emissions
budget EPA calculates for the state for that control period only if the
dynamic budget is higher than the preset budget. For control periods in
2030 and thereafter, the state emissions budgets will be the dynamic
budgets calculated and published in the year before each control
period.
In the dynamic budget calculation methodology, it is the fleet
composition (reflected by heat input patterns across the fleet in
service, inclusive of EGU entry and exit) that is dynamic, while the
emissions stringency finalized in this rule is constant, as reflected
in
[[Page 36778]]
emissions rates for various types of units. Multiplying the assumed
emissions rate for each unit (as finalized in this rule) by the
identified recent historical heat input for each unit and summing the
results to the state level would provide a given year's state dynamic
emissions budgets. Dynamic budgets are a product of the formula
promulgated in this action applied to a rolling three-year average of
reported heat input data at the state level and a rolling highest-
three-of-five-year average of reported heat input data at the unit
level. As such, the EPA is confident that dynamic budgets will more
accurately reflect power sector composition, particularly in later
years, and certainly from 2030 and beyond, than preset budgets could
and will therefore better implement the Step 3 emissions control
stringency over long time horizons.
Starting in 2025 (for the 2026 control period), the dynamic
budgets, along with the underlying data and calculations will be
publicly announced, and this will occur approximately one year before
the relevant control period begins. These will be published in the
Federal Register through notices of data availability (NODAs), similar
to how other periodic actions that are ministerial in nature to
implement the trading programs are currently handled. And as with such
other actions, interested parties will have the opportunity to seek
corrections or administrative adjudication under 40 CFR part 78 if they
believe any data used in making these calculations, or the calculations
themselves, are in error.
To illustrate how dynamic budgeting will work after the transition
from preset budgets, the dynamic budgets for the 2030 ozone season
control period will be identified by May 1, 2029, using the latest
available average of three years of reported operational data at that
time (i.e., the average of 2026-2028 heat input data at the state level
and 2024-2028 years of rolling data at the unit level) applied in a
simple mathematical formula finalized in this rule, which multiplies
this heat input data by the emissions rates quantified in this rule.
Therefore, if a unit retires before the start of the 2028 ozone season
but had not announced its upcoming retirement at the time of this
rule's finalization, the dynamic budget approach ensures that the
dynamic budgets for 2030 and subsequent control periods would represent
the identified control stringency applied to a fleet reflecting that
retirement.
The two examples discussed next illustrate the implementation of
the dynamic budget during the 2026-2029 time period. During this
period, the state emissions budget for each state for a given control
period will be the preset state emissions budget unless the dynamic
budget is higher. This approach accommodates scenarios where baseline
fossil heat input may exceed levels anticipated by EPA in the preset
budgets (e.g., this could result from greater electric vehicle
penetration rates). Table VI.B.4-1 illustrates this scenario. In the
preset budget approach for 2028, the 2028 heat input is estimated based
on the latest available heat input data at the time of rule proposal
(i.e., 2021; see the subsection on preset budget methodology later in
this section), which cannot reflect a subsequent change in fleet heat
input values (column 2) due to, e.g., increased utilization to meet
increased electric load. However, the dynamic budget would use 2022-
2026 heat input values at the unit level and 2024-2026 heat input
values at the state level--as opposed to 2021 heat input values--as the
latest representative values to inform the 2028 state emissions budget.
Therefore, the heat input values in column 2 under the dynamic scenario
reflect the change in fleet utilization levels, and when multiplied by
the emissions rates reflecting the Step 3 emissions control stringency
in this final rule, the corresponding emissions (18,700 tons) summed in
column 4 constitute a state budget that more accurately reflects the
Step 3 emissions control stringency applied to the fleet composition
for that year, as opposed to the 17,000 tons identified in the preset
budget approach. As illustrated in the example, the dynamic variable is
the heat input variable, which changes over time. In this instance, the
dynamic budget value of 18,700 tons would be implemented for 2028
instead of the preset value, and thus accommodate the unforeseen
utilization changes in response to higher demand.
In the second table, Table VI.B.4-2, the dynamic budget is lower
than the preset budget due to retirements that were not foreseen at the
time the preset budgets were determined. In the preset budget approach
for 2028, the 2028 heat input is still estimated based on the latest
available heat input data at the time of rule proposal (i.e., 2021),
which cannot reflect a subsequent fleet change in heat input values due
to an unanticipated retirement of one of the state's coal-fired units
before the start of the 2028 ozone season. However, the dynamic budget
again would use 2022-2026 heat input values at the unit level and 2024-
2026 heat input values at the state level--as opposed to 2021 heat
input values--as the latest representative values to inform the 2028
state emissions budget, which would reflect the decline in coal heat
input and replacement with natural gas heat input (capturing the coal
unit's retirement). Therefore, the heat input values under the dynamic
budget scenario reflect the change in fleet composition, and when
multiplied by the relevant emissions rates reflecting the Step 3
emissions control stringency identified in this final rule, the
corresponding emissions (15,000 tons) constitute a state budget that
reflects the identified control stringency applied to the fleet
composition for that year as opposed to the 17,000 tons in summed in
the first table. However, for the 2026-2029 period, in which the EPA
implements an approach that utilizes the higher of the dynamic budget
or preset budget, the budget implemented for 2028 in this scenario
would be the 17,000 ton preset amount.
During the 2026-2029 transition period--during which substantial,
publicly announced utility commitments exist for higher emitting units
to exit the fleet--it is still possible that yet-to-be known, unit-
specific retirements (such as illustrated in this second scenario) may
result in dynamic budgets that are lower than the preset budgets
finalized in this rule. However, during this transition period EPA
believes that having the preset budgets serve as floors for the state
emissions budgets is appropriate for two primary reasons identified by
commenters. First, commenters repeatedly emphasized the need for
certainty and flexibility to successfully carryout plans for
significant fleet transition through the end of the decade. The 2026-
2029 period is expected to have substantial fleet turnover. Current
Form EIA-860 data, in which utilities report their retirement plans,
identify 2028 as the year with the most planned coal capacity
retirements during the 2023-2029 timeframe. Using preset budgets as
state emissions budget floors provides states and utilities with
information on minimum quantities of allowances that can be used for
planning purposes. In turn, this fosters the operational flexibility
needed while putting generation and transmission solutions into place
to accommodate such elevated levels of retirements. Second, the latter
part of the decade has a significant amount of unit-level firm
retirements already planned and announced for purposes of compliance
with other power sector regulations or fulfillment of utility
commitments. These known retirements are already
[[Page 36779]]
captured in the preset state budgets, with the result that the
likelihood and magnitude of instances where a state's dynamic budget
for a given control period would be lower than its preset budget for
the control period is reduced in this 2026-2029 period relative to
control periods further in the future for which retirement plans have
not yet been announced. After 2029, the dynamic budgets from 2030
forward will fully capture all prior retirements and new builds when
the fleet is entering this period where unit-specific data on such
plans is less frequently available. For instance, through the remaining
portion of the decade, the amount of coal steam retirements identified
and reported through Form EIA-860 is nearly 7 GW each year. However,
for the decade beginning in 2030--the amount of capacity currently
reported with a planned retirement is less than 2 GW each year.\311\
This yet-to-be available data and relative lack of currently known firm
retirement plans for 2030 and beyond make dynamic budget implementation
for those years essential for state emissions budgets to maintain the
Step 3 control stringency required under this rule.
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\311\ See 2021 Form EIA Form 860--Schedule 3, Generator Data.
Department of Energy, Energy Information Administration.
Table VI.B.4-1--Example of Preset and Dynamic Budget Calculation in Scenario of Increased Fossil Heat Input
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Preset budget approach (2028) Dynamic budget approach (2028)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Preset Preset tons Tons (heat
Preset heat emissions (heat input x Heat input Emissions input x
input rate (lb/ emissions rate)/ (tBtu) rate (lb/ emissions
(tBtu) mmBtu) 2000 mmBtu) rate)/2000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coal Units....................................................... 600 0.05 15,000 660 0.05 16,500
Gas Units........................................................ 400 0.01 2,000 440 0.01 2,200
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State Budget (tons).......................................... ........... ............ 17,000 ........... ............ 18,700
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table VI.B.4-2--Example of Preset and Dynamic Budget Calculation in Scenario of Unanticipated Retirement
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Preset budget approach (2028) Dynamic budget approach (2028)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Preset Preset tons Tons (heat
Preset heat emissions (heat input x Heat input Emissions input x
input rate (lb/ emissions rate)/ (tBtu) rate (lb/ emissions
(tBtu) mmBtu) 2000 mmBtu) rate)/2000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coal Units....................................................... 600 0.05 15,000 500 0.05 12,500
Gas Units........................................................ 400 0.01 2,000 500 0.01 2,500
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State Budget (tons).......................................... ........... ............ 17,000 ........... ............ 15,000
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In summary, for the control periods in 2023 through 2025, EPA is
providing only preset budgets in this final rule because those control
periods are in the immediate future and would not substantially benefit
from the use of future reported data. For these years, the certainty
around new builds and retirements is higher than ensuing years. For the
ozone season control periods of 2026 through 2029, EPA is providing
both preset budgets in this final rule and dynamic budgets via future
ministerial actions. For those control periods from 2026 through 2029,
the preset budgets finalized in this rule serve as floors, such that a
given state's dynamic budget ultimately calculated and published for
that control period will apply to that state's affected EGUs only if it
is higher than the corresponding preset budget finalized in this
rulemaking. This approach is in response to stakeholder comments
requesting more advance notice regarding the total quantities of
allowances available to accommodate compliance planning through the
latter half of the decade, during a period of particularly high fleet
transition expected with or without this rulemaking.
EPA's emissions budget methodology and formula for establishing
Group 3 budgets are described in detail in the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD and summarized later in this section.
a. Methodology for Determining Preset State Emissions Budgets for the
2023 Through 2029 Control Periods
To compose preset state emissions budgets, the EPA is using the
best available data at the time of developing this final rule regarding
retirements and new builds. The EPA relies on a compilation of data
from Form EIA-860 (where facilities report their future retirement
plans), the PJM Retirement Tracker, utilities' integrated resource
plans, notification of compliance plans with other EPA power sector
regulatory requirements, and other information sources that EPA
routinely canvasses to populate the data fields included in the
Agency's NEEDS database. The EPA has updated this data on retirements
and new builds using the latest information available from these
sources at the time of final rule development as well as input provided
by commenters.
For determining preset state emissions budgets, the EPA generally
uses historical ozone season data from the 2021 ozone season, the most
recent data available to EPA and to commenters responding to this
rulemaking's proposal and providing a reasonable representation of
near-term fleet conditions. This is similar to the approach taken in
the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, where
[[Page 36780]]
the EPA likewise began with data for the most recent ozone season at
the time of proposal (2015 and 2019, respectively).
By using historical unit-level NOX emissions rates, heat
input, and emissions data in the first stage of determining preset
emissions budgets, the EPA is grounding its budgets in the most recent
representative historical operation for the covered units at the time
EPA began its final rulemaking. This data set is a reasonable starting
point for the budget-setting process as it reflects recent publicly
available and quality assured data reported by affected facilities
under 40 CFR part 75, largely using CEMS. The reporting requirements
include quality control measures, verification measures, and
instrumentation to best record and report the data. In addition, the
designated representatives of EGU sources are required to attest to the
accuracy and completeness of the data.
The first step in deriving the future year state emissions budget
is to calibrate historical data to planned future fleet conditions. EPA
does this by adjusting this historical baseline information to reflect
the known changes (e.g., when deriving the 2023 state emissions budget,
EPA starts by adjusting 2021 unit-level data to reflect changes
announced and planned to occur by 2023). The EPA adjusted the 2021
ozone-season data to reflect committed fleet changes expected to occur
in the baseline. This includes announced and confirmed retirements, new
builds, and retrofits that occur after 2021 but prior to 2023. For
example, if a unit emitted in 2021, but retired prior to May 1, 2022,
its 2021 emissions would not be included in the 2023 baseline estimate.
For units that had no known changes, the EPA uses the actual emissions,
heat input, and emissions rates reported for 2021 as the baseline
starting point for calculating the 2023 state emissions budgets. Using
this method, the EPA arrived at a baseline emission, heat input, and
emissions rate estimate for each unit for a future year (e.g., 2023).
The second step in deriving the preset state emissions budgets is
for EPA to take the adjusted historical data from Step 1, and adjust
the emissions rates and mass emissions to reflect the control
stringencies identified as appropriate for EGUs of that type. For
instance, if an SCR-equipped unit was not operating its SCR so as to
achieve a seasonal average emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu or less in
the historical baseline, the EPA lowered that unit's assumed emissions
rate to 0.08 lb/mmBtu and calculated the impact on the unit's mass
emissions. Note that the heat input is held constant for the unit in
the process, reflecting the same level of unit operation compared to
historical 2021 data. The improved emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu is
applied to this constant heat input, reflecting control optimization.
In this manner, the unit-level totals from Step 1 are adjusted to
reflect the additional application of the assumed control technology at
a given control stringency. This is illustrated in Table VI.B.4.a-1.
Row 1 reflects the 2021 historical data for this SCR-controlled unit.
Row 2 reflects no change (as there are no known changes such as planned
retirement or coal-to-gas conversion). Row 3 reflects application of
the Step 3 stringency (i.e., a 0.08 lb/mmBtu emissions rate from SCR
optimization). The resulting impact on emissions is a reduction from
the historical 4,700 tons to an expected future level of 615 tons. A
state's preset budget for a given control period is the sum of the
amounts computed in this manner for each unit in the state for the
control period.
Table VI.B.4.a-1--Example of Unit-Level Data Calculations for Deriving State Emissions Budgets
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat input Emission rate Emissions
(tBtu) (lb/mmBtu) (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Historical Data (2021).......................................... 15.384 0.61 4,700
Step 1 (Baseline)--Historical data adjusted for planned changes. 15.384 0.61 4,700
Step 2--Baseline further adjusted for Step 3 stringency......... 15.384 0.08 615
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For each control period from 2026 onward, the unit-specific
emissions rates assumed for all affected states except Alabama,
Minnesota, and Wisconsin will reflect the selected control stringency
that incorporates post-combustion control retrofit opportunities for
the relevant units identified in the state emissions budgets and
calculations appendix to the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule
TSD. The emissions rates assigned to large coal-fired EGUs for 2026
state emissions budget computations only reflect 50 percent of the SCR
retrofit emissions reduction potential at each of those units, to
capture the phase-in approach EPA is taking for this control as
described in section VI.A of this document. The EPA calculates these
unit-level emissions rates in 2026 as the sum of the unit's baseline
emissions rate and its controlled emissions rate divided by two (i.e.,
50 percent of the emissions reduction potential of that pollution
control measure). The emissions rates assigned to these large coal-
fired EGUs for 2027 state emissions budget computations reflect the
full assumed SCR retrofit emissions potential at those units, by
applying the controlled emissions rate only. For example, a coal steam
unit greater than or equal to 100 MW currently lacking a SCR and
emitting at 0.20 lb/mmBtu would be assumed to reduce its emissions rate
to 0.125 lb/mmBtu rate in 2026 and 0.050 lb/mmBtu rate in 2027 for
purposes of deriving its preset state emissions budgets in those years.
Comment: Some commenters suggested that EPA should not reflect
planned retirements in its preset budgets. The suggestion stems from
commenters' observation that those retirement decisions may yet change.
Response: The effectiveness of EPA's future year preset state
emissions budgets depends on how well they are calibrated to the
expected future fleet. Therefore, EPA believes it is important to
incorporate expected new builds, retirements, and unit changes already
slated to occur. Ignoring these factors would dilute, rather than
strengthen, the ability of preset budgets to capture the most
representative fleet of EGUs to which they will be applied. Omitting
scheduled retirements and new builds from state emissions budgets would
reflect units that power sector operators and planning authorities do
not expect to exist, while failing to reflect units that are expected
to exist.
EPA notes it is using the best available data at the time of the
final rule. EPA relies on a compilation of data from Form EIA-860 where
facilities report their future retirement plans. In addition, EPA is
using data from regional transmission organizations who are cataloging,
evaluating, and approving such retirement plans and data; data from
notifications submitted directly to EPA by the utility themselves
[[Page 36781]]
through comments; and retirement notifications submitted to permitting
authorities. This information is highly reliable, real-world
information that provides EPA with the high confidence that such
retirements will in fact occur.
If a unit's future retirement does not occur on the currently
scheduled date, EPA observes that such an unexpected departure from the
currently available evidence would still not undermine the ability of
affected EGUs to comply with their applicable state budgets. EPA's
approach of using historical data and incorporation only of announced
fleet changes in estimating its future engineering analytics baseline
means that its future year baseline generation and retirement outlook
for higher emitting sources is more likely to understate future
retirements (rather than overstate as suggested by commenter), as EPA
does not assume for the purpose of preset budget quantification any
retirements beyond those that are already planned. In other words, in
the 2023 through 2029 timeframe for which EPA is establishing preset
state emissions budgets in this rulemaking, there are more likely to be
additional future EGU retirements beyond those scheduled prior to the
finalization of this rule than there are to be reversed or
substantially delayed changes to already announced EGU retirement
plans. For instance, subsequent to the EPA's finalization of the
Revised CSAPR Update Rule budgets for 2023 (rule finalized in March
2021), the owners of Sammis Units 5-7 and Zimmer Unit 1 in Ohio
(totaling nearly 3 GW of coal capacity) announced that the units would
retire by 2023--nearly 5 years earlier than previously
planned.312 313 These coal retirements were not captured in
Ohio's 2023 or 2024 state emissions budgets established under the
Revised CSAPR Update. Meanwhile, there have been no announcements of
previously announced retirement plans being rescinded or delayed for
other Ohio units. Similarly, the Joppa Power Plant in Illinois
accelerated its retirement from 2025 to 2022 shortly after the Revised
CSAPR Update Rule was signed.\314\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\312\ Available at https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/energy-harbor-transitions-to-100-carbon-free-energy-infrastructure-company-in-2023-301501879.html.
\313\ Available at https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/coal/071921-vistra-plans-to-retire-13-gw-zimmer-coal-plant-in-ohio-five-years-early.
\314\ Available at https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/joppa-power-plant-to-close-in-2022-as-company-transitions-to-a-cleaner-future-301263013.html.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We further observe that the commenters' concern is only materially
meaningful for the 2023 through 2025 preset budget periods, where the
currently known information is generally the most reliable. For the
2026-2029 control periods, if an anticipated fleet change such as an
EGU retirement does not actually occur, the dynamic budget setting
methodology would, all else being equal, generate a budget reflective
of that unit's continued operation (as the budget would be based on the
preceding years of historical data), and that dynamic budget will
supplant the preset budget for that state (if it represents a total
quantity of emissions higher than the preset budget).
Because the future is inherently uncertain, all analytic tools and
information resources used in any estimation of future EGU emissions
will yield some differences between the projected future and the
realized future. Such potential differences may either increase or
decrease future emissions in practice, and the unavoidable existence of
such differences does not, on its own, render the EPA's inclusion of
currently announced retirements an unreasonable feature of the
methodology for determining future year preset emissions budgets. To
the contrary, if the EPA failed to include these announced retirements,
the rule would knowingly authorize amounts of additional, sustained
pollution that are not currently expected to occur. If those
retirements largely or entirely occur as currently scheduled, the
overestimated state budgets would allow other EGUs to emit additional
pollution in place of the emissions from the retired EGUs instead of
maintaining or improving their emissions performance to eliminate
significant contribution with nonattainment and interference with
maintenance of the NAAQS.\315\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\315\ Some of these announced retirements reflect the operator's
reported intention to EPA to retire the affected capacity by that
time as part of their compliance with effluent limitation guidelines
or with the coal combustion residuals rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additionally, as noted elsewhere, EPA's use of a market-based
program, a starting bank of converted allowances, and variability
limits are all features that will readily accommodate whatever
relatively limited differences in emissions may occur if a currently
scheduled EGU retirement is ultimately postponed during the preset
budget years of 2023 through 2025. Therefore, EPA's resulting preset
state emissions budgets--inclusive of expected fleet turnover--are
robust to the inherent uncertainty in future year baseline conditions
for the period in which they are applied.
Comment: Some commenters suggested that EPA should use a multi-year
baseline for all of its state budget derivations, including preset
budgets, to control for outlier years that may not be representative of
future years due to major weather events or other fleet disruptions
(such as a large nuclear unit outage).
Response: For preset state emissions budget derivation, EPA is
finalizing use of the same single-year \316\ historical baseline
approach it used in the proposed rule. This approach is similar to the
Revised CSAPR Update, where EPA also relied on a single-year historical
baseline to inform its Step 3 approach. EPA's interest in a historical
data set to inform this part of the analysis is to capture the most
representative view of the power sector. For estimating preset state
budgets, EPA finds that, particularly at the state level, more recent
data is a better representation and basis for future year baselines
rather than incorporating older data. Taking as an example preset
budget estimation for the 2023 through 2025 ozone seasons, the EPA is
able to compare its single-year base line to an alternative multi-year
baseline (e.g., a 3-year baseline encompassing 2020-2022) and determine
that the single year baseline better reflects future fleet operation
expectation than a multi-year baseline that incorporates units which
have since retired as well as outlier patterns in load during pandemic-
related shutdowns.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\316\ For the purposes of this rulemaking, when describing a
``year'' or ``years'' of data utilized in state emission budget
computations, the EPA is actually utilizing the relevant data from
May 1 through September 30 of the referenced year(s), consistent
with the control period duration of this rule's EGU trading program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA recognizes that 2021 is the latest available historical data as
of the preparation of this rulemaking, and therefore the most up-to-
date picture of the fleet at the time EPA began its analysis. EPA then
further evaluates the 2021 historical data at the state level to
determine whether it was a representative starting point for estimating
future year baseline levels and subsequently deriving the preset state
emissions budgets. If the Agency finds any state-level anomalies, it
makes necessary adjustments to the data. While unit-level variation may
occur from year-to-year, those variations are often offset by
substitute generation from other units within the state. Therefore, EPA
conducts its first screening at the state level by identifying any
states where 2021 heat
[[Page 36782]]
input and 2021 emissions were the lowest year for heat input and
emissions relative to the past several years (2018-2022, excluding 2020
due to shut downs and corresponding reduced utilization related to the
pandemic onset).317 318 Then, for that limited number of
states (AL, LA, MS, and TX) in which 2021 reflects the minimum fossil
fuel heat input and minimum emissions over the baseline evaluation
period, EPA--similar to prior rules--evaluated whether any unit-level
anomalies in operation were driving this lower heat input at the state
level. EPA examined unit-level 2021 outages to determine where an
individual unit-level outage might yield a significant difference in
state heat input, corresponding emissions baseline and resulting state
emissions budgets. When applying this test to all of the units in the
previously identified states (and even when applying to EGUs in all
states for whom Federal implementation plans are finalized in this
rulemaking), the EPA determined that the only unit with a 2021 outage
that (1) decreased its output relative to preceding or subsequent years
by 75 percent or more (signifying an outage), and (2) could potentially
impact the state's emissions budget substantially as it constituted
more than 5 percent of the state's heat input in a non-outage year was
Daniel Unit 2 in Mississippi. EPA therefore adjusted this state's
baseline heat input and NOX emissions to reflect the
operation of this unit based on its 2019 data--which was the second
most recent year of data available at the time of proposal (excluding
2020 given atypical impacts from pandemic-related shutdowns) for which
this unit operated. The EPA then applied the Step 3 mitigation
strategies as appropriate to this unit (i.e., combustion controls
upgrade in 2024, SCR retrofit in 2026/2027) to derive this portion of
Mississippi's budget. This test, and subsequent adjustment as
necessary, enables EPA to utilize the latest, most representative data
in a manner that is robust to any substantial state-level or region-
level outlier events within that dataset and further validates EPA's
comprehensive approach to using the most recent single year of data for
preset budgets.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\317\ EPA identified states for which 2021 both heat input and
emissions were the low year among the examined baseline period as a
preliminary screen to identify potential instances where reduced
utilization may lead to an understated emissions baseline value.
\318\ EPA also conducted a similar test to identify states in
which 2021 heat input and emissions were the high year among the
examined baseline period and found that it was for both Utah and
Pennsylvania. However, for both states the elevated heat input trend
persisted into 2022 (at slightly lower levels and was correlated
with retirements elsewhere in the region--indicating that some of
this heat input increase may be representative of the future fleet
and that planned retirements factored into preset budget will remove
any unrepresentative heat input from 2021.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
b. Methodology for Determining Dynamic State Emissions Budgets for
Control Periods in 2026 onwards
In this final rule, the EPA is finalizing an approach of using
multi-year baseline data for purposes of dynamic budget computation.
The aforementioned testing of the representative nature of a single
year of baseline data for purposes of preset budget setting is not
possible in the dynamic budget process as that data will not be
available until a later date. Further, the EPA generally agrees with
commenters that use of a multi-year period will be more robust to any
unrepresentative outlier years in fleet operation and thus better
suited for purposes of dynamic budgets. The methodology for determining
dynamic state emissions budgets for later control periods (2026 and
beyond) relies on a nearly identical methodology for applying unit-
level emissions rate assumptions as the preset budget methodology. But
it uses more recent heat input data that will become available by that
future time, employing a multi-year approach for identifying the heat
input data so as to ensure representativeness.
For dynamic budgets, EPA uses more years of baseline data to
control for any state-level and unit-level variation that may occur in
a future single year that is not possible to identify at present.
First, for each unit operating in the most recent ozone season for
which data have been reported, EPA identifies the average of the three
highest unit-level heat input values from the five ozone seasons ending
with that ozone season to get a representative unit-level heat input.
Ozone seasons for which a unit reported zero heat input are excluded
from the averaging of the three highest heat input values for that
unit. These representative unit-level heat input values established for
each unit individually are then summed for all units in each state.
Each unit's representative unit-level heat input is then divided into
this state-level sum to get that unit's representative percent of the
aggregated average heat input values for all affected EGUs in that
state.
Next, EPA calculates a representative state-level heat input by
taking the average state-level total heat input across affected EGUs
from the most recent three ozone seasons for which data have been
reported, to which the above-derived representative unit-level
percentages of heat input are applied. The EPA uses a three-year
baseline period for state-level heat input versus the five-year
baseline period noted previously for unit-level heat input because
there is less variation from year to year at the state level compared
to the unit level. Multiplying the representative unit-level
percentages of heat input by the representative state-level heat input
yields a normalized unit-level heat input value for each affected EGU.
This step assures that the total heat input being reflected in a
dynamic state budget does not exceed the average total heat input
reported by affected EGUs in that state from the three most recent
years. Finally, each normalized unit-level heat input value is
multiplied by the emissions rate reflecting the assumed unit-specific
control stringency for each particular year (determined at Step 3) to
get a unit-level emissions estimate. These unit-level emissions
estimates are then summed to the state level to identify the dynamic
budget for that year. This procedure to derive normalized unit-level
heat input is captured in the following table:
Table VI.B.4.b-1--Derivation of Normalized Unit-Level Heat Input
[Illustrative]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Representative unit- Representative state
2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 level heat input Representative level heat input (avg 3 Normalized
Heat Heat Heat Heat Heat (avg of 3 highest of unit-level most recent state unit--level
input input input input input past 5) percent totals) heat input
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Unit A...................... 100 200 150 200 300 233 41% 483 199
Unit B...................... 50 100 200 50 100 133 24 483 114
Unit C...................... 250 150 150 200 100 200 35 483 170
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[[Page 36783]]
State Total............. 400 450 500 450 500 567 ................ ....................... ............
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The EPA will issue these dynamic budget quantifications
approximately 1 year before the relevant control period. We view such
actions as ministerial in nature in that no exercise of agency
discretion is required. For instance, starting in early 2025, the EPA
would take the most recent three years of state-level heat input data
and the most recent five years of unit-level heat input data and
calculate 2026 state emissions budgets using the methodology described
previously. For 2026-2029, EPA is establishing the preset state
emissions budgets finalized in this rulemaking and will only supplant
those preset emissions budgets with the to-be-published dynamic
emissions budgets if, for a given state and a given control period,
that dynamic budget yields a higher level of emissions than the
corresponding preset budget finalized in this rulemaking. For 2030 and
beyond, the EPA solely uses the dynamic budget process.
By March 1 of 2025, and each year thereafter, the EPA will make
publicly available through a NODA the preliminary state emissions
budgets for the subsequent control period and will provide stakeholders
with a 30-day opportunity to submit any objections to the updated data
and computations. (This process will be similar to the releases of data
and preliminary computations for allocations from new unit set-asides
that is already used in existing CSAPR trading programs.) By May 1 of
2025, and each year thereafter, the EPA will publish the dynamic
budgets for the ozone-season control period in the following calendar
year. Through the 2029 ozone season control period, these budgets will
only be imposed if the applicable dynamic state budget is higher than
the corresponding preset state budget finalized in this rulemaking.
Preliminary and final unit-level allowance allocations for the units in
each state in each control period will be published on the same
schedule as the dynamic budgets for the control period. For the control
periods from 2026 through 2029, the allocations will reflect the higher
of the preset or dynamic budget for each state, and after 2030, the
allocations will reflect the dynamic budgets. Additional details,
corresponding data and formulas, and examples for the dynamic budget
are described in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD.
Comment: Multiple commenters claimed that designing a dynamic
budget process that relies on a single year of yet-to-be known heat
input data may produce an unrepresentative view of fleet operations for
the immediate ensuing years. Commenters pointed to the hypothetical of
another pandemic-like year (e.g., 2020) occurring in the future, noting
that 2020 would have been a poor choice for estimating 2022 fleet
operation and the same would likely hold true if a similar event
occurred, for example, in 2025--that would consequently make that year
a poor choice as a representative of 2027 baseline. They further
pointed out that severe weather events and operating disruptions (a
large nuclear plant outage) can similarly render a single year baseline
a risky choice to inform future expectations.
Response: Insofar as the commenters are addressing the reference
period for dynamic budget computation regarding years of data that have
not yet occurred and therefore not currently available for evaluating
their representative nature, EPA agrees and is incorporating a rolling
3-year baseline at the state level and a rolling 5-year baseline at the
unit level for determining dynamic budgets in this final rule. These
multi-year rolling baseline (or reference periods) will minimize any
otherwise undue impact from individual years where fleet-level or unit-
level heat input was uncharacteristically high or low. EPA determined
that such an approach, while not needed for preset budgets, is
necessary in the case of dynamic budgets because the baseline in that
instance is occurring in a future year and therefore is not knowable
and available to test for representativeness at the time of the final
rule. To control for this type of uncertainty, the EPA finds it
appropriate to use a multi-year baseline in this instance per commenter
suggestion. While a multi-year baseline may have a slight drawback of
using a slightly more dated past fleet performance (including emissions
from higher emitting EGUs that may have subsequently reduced
utilization by the target year for which the dynamic budget is being
calculated) to estimate the expected future fleet performance at the
emissions performance levels determined by the Step 3 result in this
rulemaking, that drawback is worth the advantage of protecting against
instances where atypical circumstances in the most recent single year
may occur and not be representative of the subsequent year for which
the dynamic budget is being estimated. This singular drawback of moving
to a multi-year baseline is most pronounced in the early years of
dynamic budgeting. Therefore, EPA is able to lessen the impact of this
drawback of the multi-year baseline by extending the earliest start
date of dynamic budgets from 2025 (as proposed) to 2026 in the final
rule.
Comment: Commenters suggested that the dynamic budget procedure
would not provide enough advance notice of state budget and unit level
allocation for sources to adequately plan future year operation.
Response: EPA disagrees with the notion that the timing of the
dynamic budget determination would occur too close to the control
period to allow adequate operations planning for compliance. As
described previously, the dynamic budget level would be provided
approximately 1 year in advance of the start of the control period
(i.e., around May 1), and the allowance allocations would occur on July
1, approximately 10 months prior to the start of the compliance period.
Not only is this an adequate amount of time as demonstrated by the
successful implementation of past rules that have been finalized and
implemented within several months of the beginning of the first
affected compliance period (e.g., Revised CSAPR Update), but EPA notes
it is maintaining similar trading program flexibility and banking
flexibilities of past programs which provide further opportunities for
sources to procure allowances and plan for any future operating
conditions. Finally, as noted previously, the EPA is providing preset
budgets for the years 2023-2029, which serve as an effective floor on
the state's ultimate emissions budget level for years 2026-2029, as
[[Page 36784]]
states will receive the higher of the preset or dynamic budget for
those years. This provision of certain preset state emissions budgets
serving as a floor level for 2026-2029 should further assuage
commenters' concerns regarding planning certainty about allowance
allocations and state emissions budget levels during this period of
power sector transition to cleaner energy sources.
Comment: Commenters raised concerns that there is a two-year lag in
the dynamic budgets in that, for example, for the dynamic budget in the
2026 control period, the calculations will be based on heat input and
inventory information reflective of data through 2024. Commenters
contend that, if there is a much greater need for allowances for
compliance due to unavoidable or unforeseen need for a higher amount of
heat input than reflected in prior years' data, the budget for that
control period will not reflect this need, and the allowances will only
become available when the dynamic budget is calculated using that
information (i.e., 2025 data would be reflected starting in the 2027
dynamic budget). According to commenters, this lag could present a
serious compliance challenge. Other commenters raised a concern in the
opposite direction about the potential ``slack'' created by the lag
time--meaning that as high-emitting units retire, their emissions and
operation will still inform the state emissions budgets for additional
years beyond their retirement due to the lag.
Response: The EPA recognizes there will be a data lag inherent in
the computation of future year dynamic emissions budgets, because the
dynamic budgets will reflect fleet composition and utilization data
from recent previous control periods rather than the control periods
for which the dynamic budgets are being calculated. This means that the
resulting dynamic budgets will reflect a limited lag behind the actual
pace of the EGU fleet's trends. However, on the whole, those trends are
clearly toward more efficient and cleaner generating resources. Thus,
the data lag on the whole will inure to the compliance benefit of EGUs
by resulting in dynamic budgets that are generally calculated at levels
likely to be somewhat higher than what a dynamic budget calculation
reflecting real-time EGU operations would produce. The EPA believes
this data lag is worthwhile to provide more compliance planning
certainty and advance notice to affected EGUs of the dynamic budget
applicable to an upcoming control period. Furthermore, this data lag in
dynamic budget computation is comparable to the data lag of quantifying
preset state budgets for 2023 through 2025 based upon 2021 data, and at
no point in the long history of EPA's trading programs has such a data
lag in state budget computation yielded any compliance problems for
affected EGUs. Without dynamic budgeting, the data lag inherent in
calculating preset budgets would grow unabated with the passage of
time, as a fixed reference year of heat input levels would continually
apply regardless of potentially higher heat input levels farther and
farther into the future. By eliminating the increase in the length of
the data lag, this new dynamic budgeting approach is a substantial
improvement in performance of the program relative to previous
approaches that were not capable of capturing changes over time in the
fleet and its utilization beyond the scheduled changes known to the EPA
at the time of establishing preset budgets.
The EPA disagrees that this lag will in fact pose compliance
challenges for EGUs even if the unlikely scenario described by
commenters were to occur. Several factors influence this. First, the
change in methodology to preset budgets serving as a floor on budgets
through 2029 means that the dynamic budget methodology can only produce
an increase in the budget from this final rule through that year.
Second, the adoption of a multi-year approach for identifying the heat
input used to calculate the dynamic budgets will smooth the year-to-
year budget changes and effectively eliminate the possibility of
greatest concern, which was that a single year of unusually low heat
input would be used to set the budget for a subsequent year that turned
out to have unusually high heat input. While a year of unusually high
heat input for a given state may still occur, the state's budgets for
those years will never be based on heat input from an anomalously low
year, but instead will always be based on an average of several years'
heat input. Third, because the Group 3 trading program is an interstate
program implemented over a wide geographic region, and it is unlikely
that all regions of the country would uniformly experience a marked
increase in fossil fuel heat input necessitating an additional supply
of allowances, it is likely that allowances will be available for trade
from one area of the country where there is less demand to another area
where there is greater demand. Fourth, as explained in section VI.B.5
of this document, each state's assurance level will adjust to reflect
actual heat input in that year. Specifically, the EPA will determine
each state's variability limit for a given control period so that the
percentage value used will be the higher of 21 percent or the
percentage (if any) by which the total reported heat input of the
state's affected EGUs in the control period exceeds the total reported
heat input of the state's affected EGUs as reflected in the state's
emissions budget for the control period. Thus, if in year 2030, for
example, a state's actual heat input levels increase to a level that is
not reflected in the dynamic budget calculation using earlier years of
data, the assurance level (which absent the unusually high heat input
would be 121 percent of the state's budget) will be calculated by the
EPA following the 2030 ozone season, using that higher reported heat
input. This will avoid imposing a three-for-one allowance surrender
penalty on sources except where emissions exceed the assurance level
even factoring in the increase in heat input in that year. Finally, as
some commenters observed, the inherent data lag in dynamic budget
quantification means that a state budget for the year 2030 will
continue to reflect emissions from any EGU that retires before the 2030
control period but is still operating anytime during the 2026-2028
reference years from which the 2030 dynamic budget will be calculated.
Given the likely ongoing trend of relatively high-emitting EGU
retirements over time, this method for determining dynamic budgets
should further assist the ability of remaining EGUs to obtain
sufficient allowances to cover future heat input levels.
With respect to the comments expressing concern that dynamic
budgets would create too much slack because of the lag in incorporating
retirements, the EPA observes that dynamic budgets will yield a closer
representation of Step 3 control stringency across the future fleet
than preset budgets for years in which retirement plans are currently
relatively unknown. Moreover, any risk that the lag would lead to an
unacceptably large surplus of allowances is limited by EPA's
finalization of the annual bank recalibration to 21 percent and 10.5
percent of the budget beginning in 2024 and 2030 respectively. The
corresponding risk that a lag will lead sources to not operate
emissions controls, due to a surplus of allowances, is also limited by
the backstop daily emissions rates that start in 2024 (for sources with
existing SCR controls) and no later than 2030 for other coal-fired
sources.
Comment: Commenters allege that the dynamic budget methodology is
effectively a ``one-way ratchet'' because, if EGUs pursue compliance
strategies
[[Page 36785]]
such as reduced utilization or generation shifting to comply with the
rule rather than install or optimize pollution controls pursuant to the
identified Step 3 emissions control strategies, the effect will be that
the dynamic budget calculated in a future year will reflect that
reduced heat input, but the applied emissions rate assumption will be
the same. Thus, the approach according to commenters actually
``punishes'' sources for achievement of emissions reductions
commensurate with EPA's Step 3 determinations through alternative
compliance means, by producing a smaller budget in later years (less
heat input multiplied by the same emissions rate). If the source again
reduces utilization or shifts generation to comply with this budget,
then budgets in later years will again ratchet down, and so on.
Response: First, the claims of dynamic budgeting being a one-way
ratchet are incorrect. As pointed out at proposal, the dynamic budget
process would allow for increased utilization to result in increased
budgets. Moreover, this concern is entirely mooted for the period 2026
through 2029 with the shift to preset budgets serving as a floor;
dynamic budgeting can only increase the budget used in any given year
in this time period. Additionally, the use of a multi-year average heat
input in the budget-setting calculations will, on the whole, modulate
the dynamic budgets such that the budgets over time will only gradually
change with changes in the operating profile of the EGU fleet.
For the control periods 2030 and later, this rule is premised on
the expectation that all large coal-fired EGU sources identified for
SCR-retrofit potential will, if they continue operating in 2030 or
later, have installed the requisite post-combustion controls. Thus, the
backstop daily emissions rate applies for all such sources beginning in
the 2030 ozone season. In this latter period (post-2030), the EPA
disagrees that the dynamic budget will punish fleet segments seeking to
continue to pursue a strategy of reduced utilization. Rather, the
dynamic budget will simply continue to reflect the Step 3 emissions
control stringency. For instance, if there are two otherwise high-
emitting sources in a state that can reduce emissions by operating SCR,
this rule's control stringency finds it cost effective for both sources
to operate their controls. If one source retires and is replaced by new
lower-emitting generation, it is not a punishment to have the budgets
adjust in a way that still incentivize remaining units to operate their
controls. This is simply right-sizing the budget to an evolving fleet.
It is a feature of the rule, not a flaw, and is designed to address
observed instances in prior rules where market-driven reduced
utilization resulted in non-binding (i.e., overly slack) budgets and
corresponding conditions where the incentive to operate a control
dissipated over time. In the event that sources reduce utilization
whether for compliance purposes or market-driven reasons, that also
does not obviate the importance of continuing to incentivize the Step 3
emissions control stringency at identified sources.
c. Final Preset State Emissions Budgets
For affected EGUs in each covered state (and Indian country within
the state's borders), this final rule establishes preset budgets for
the control periods 2023 through 2029. For control periods 2026 through
2029, any of those preset budgets may be supplanted by the
corresponding dynamic budget that will be tabulated at later date, if
and only if that dynamic budget yields a higher amount. For 2030 and
beyond, the dynamic budget formula promulgated in this rule will be
applied to future year data to quantify state emissions budgets for
those control periods. The procedures for allocating the allowances
from each state budget among the units in each state (and Indian
country within the state's borders) are described in section VI.B.9 of
this document. The amounts of the final preset state emissions budgets
for the 2023 through 2029 control periods are shown in Table VI.B.4.c-
1.
Table VI.B.4.c-1--CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Preset State Emissions Budgets for the 2023 Through 2029
Control Periods
[Tons] \a\ \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Final Final Preset Preset Preset Preset
emissions emissions emissions emissions emissions emissions emissions
State budgets budgets budgets budgets budgets budgets budgets
for 2023 for 2024 for 2025 for 2026 for 2027 for 2028 for 2029
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama..................... 6,379 6,489 6,489 6,339 6,236 6,236 5,105
Arkansas.................... 8,927 8,927 8,927 6,365 4,031 4,031 3,582
Illinois.................... 7,474 7,325 7,325 5,889 5,363 4,555 4,050
Indiana..................... 12,440 11,413 11,413 8,410 8,135 7,280 5,808
Kentucky.................... 13,601 12,999 12,472 10,190 7,908 7,837 7,392
Louisiana................... 9,363 9,363 9,107 6,370 3,792 3,792 3,639
Maryland.................... 1,206 1,206 1,206 842 842 842 842
Michigan.................... 10,727 10,275 10,275 6,743 5,691 5,691 4,656
Minnesota................... 5,504 4,058 4,058 4,058 2,905 2,905 2,578
Mississippi................. 6,210 5,058 5,037 3,484 2,084 1,752 1,752
Missouri.................... 12,598 11,116 11,116 9,248 7,329 7,329 7,329
Nevada...................... 2,368 2,589 2,545 1,142 1,113 1,113 880
New Jersey.................. 773 773 773 773 773 773 773
New York.................... 3,912 3,912 3,912 3,650 3,388 3,388 3,388
Ohio........................ 9,110 7,929 7,929 7,929 7,929 6,911 6,409
Oklahoma.................... 10,271 9,384 9,376 6,631 3,917 3,917 3,917
Pennsylvania................ 8,138 8,138 8,138 7,512 7,158 7,158 4,828
Texas....................... 40,134 40,134 38,542 31,123 23,009 21,623 20,635
Utah........................ 15,755 15,917 15,917 6,258 2,593 2,593 2,593
Virginia.................... 3,143 2,756 2,756 2,565 2,373 2,373 1,951
West Virginia............... 13,791 11,958 11,958 10,818 9,678 9,678 9,678
Wisconsin................... 6,295 6,295 5,988 4,990 3,416 3,416 3,416
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 36786]]
Total................... 208,119 198,014 195,259 151,329 119,663 115,193 105,201
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table Notes:
\a\ The state emissions budget calculations pertaining to Table VI.B.4.c-1 are described in greater detail in
the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. Budget calculations and underlying data are also available
in Appendix A of that TSD.
\b\ In the event this final rule becomes effective after May 1, 2023, the emissions budgets and assurance levels
for the 2023 control period will be adjusted under the rule's transitional provisions to ensure that the
increased stringency of the new budgets would apply only after the rule's effective date. The 2023 budget
amounts shown in Table VI.B.4.c-1 do not reflect these possible adjustments. The transitional provisions are
discussed in section VI.B.12 of this document.
5. Variability Limits and Assurance Levels
Like each of the other CSAPR trading programs, the Group 3 trading
program includes assurance provisions designed to limit the total
emissions from the sources in each state (and Indian country within the
state's borders) in each control period to an amount close to the
state's emissions budget for the control period, consistent with the
principle that each state's sources must be held to the elimination of
significant contribution within that state, while allowing some
flexibility beyond the emissions budget to accommodate year-to-year
operational variability beyond sources' reasonable ability to control.
For each state, the assurance provisions establish an assurance level
for each control period, defined as the sum of the state's emissions
budget for the control period plus a variability limit, which under the
Group 3 trading program regulations in effect before this rulemaking
was 21 percent of the relevant state emissions budget. The purpose of
the variability limit is to account for year-to-year variability in EGU
operations, which can occur for a variety of reasons including changes
in weather patterns, changes in electricity demand, and disruptions in
electricity supply from other units or from the transmission grid.
Because of the need to account for such variability in operations of
each state's EGUs, the fact that emissions from the state's EGUs may
exceed the state's emissions budget for a given control period is not
treated as inconsistent with satisfaction of the state's good neighbor
obligations as long as the total emissions from the EGUs remain below
the state's assurance level. Emissions from a state's EGUs above the
state's emissions budget but below the state's assurance level are
treated in the same manner as emissions below the state's emissions
budget in that such emissions are subject to the same requirement to
surrender allowances at a ratio of one allowance per ton of emissions.
In contrast, emissions above the state's assurance level for a given
control period are strongly discouraged as inconsistent with the
state's good neighbor obligations and are subject to an overall 3-for-1
allowance surrender ratio. The establishment of assurance levels with
associated extra allowance surrender requirements was intended to
respond to the D.C. Circuit's holding in North Carolina requiring the
EPA to ensure within the context of an interstate trading program that
sources in each state are required to address their good neighbor
obligations within the state and may not simply shift those obligations
to other states by failing to reduce their own emissions and instead
surrendering surplus allowances purchased from sources in other
states.\319\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\319\ 531 F.3d at 908.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this rulemaking, the EPA did not propose and is not making
changes to the basic structure of the Group 3 trading program's
assurance provisions, which will continue to set an assurance level for
each control period equal to the state's emissions budget for the
control period plus a variability limit and will continue to apply a 3-
for-1 surrender ratio to emissions exceeding the state's assurance
level.\320\ Each assurance level also will continue to apply to the
collective emissions of all units within the state and Indian country
within the state's borders.\321\ However, the EPA is making a change to
the methodology for determining the variability limits. Specifically,
the EPA will determine each state's variability limit for a given
control period so that, instead of always multiplying the state's
emissions budget for the control period by a value of 21 percent, the
percentage value used will be the higher of 21 percent or the
percentage (if any) by which the total reported heat input of the
state's affected EGUs in the control period exceeds the total
historical heat input of the state's affected EGUs as reflected in the
state's emissions budget for the control period. For example, if the
total reported heat input of the state's covered sources for the 2025
control period is 130 percent of the historical heat input used in
computing the state's 2025 budget, then the state's variability limit
for the 2025 control period will be 30 percent of the state's emissions
budget instead of 21 percent of the state's emissions budget. The EPA
expects that the minimum 21 percent will apply in almost all instances,
and that the alternative, higher percentage value will apply only in
control periods where operational variability causes an unusually large
increase relative to the historical data used in setting the state's
emissions budget, which would be a situation meriting a temporarily
higher variability limit and assurance level. The revised methodology
for determining the variability limits will apply both with respect to
control periods when a state's emissions budget is a preset budget
established in this final rule and with respect to control periods when
a state's emissions budget is a dynamically-determined budget computed
using the procedures laid out in the regulations, and it will apply
starting with the 2023 control period rather than starting with the
2025 control period as proposed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\320\ As discussed in section VI.B.8, the EPA is also
establishing a new secondary emissions limitation for individual
units that will apply in situations where an exceedance of the
relevant state's assurance level has occurred.
\321\ See 40 CFR 97.1002 (definitions of ``common designated
representative,'' ``common designated representative's assurance
level'' and ``common designated representative's share''),
97.1006(c)(2), and 97.1025.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The purpose of the revision to the variability limits is to better
align the variability limits for successive control periods with the
heat input data used in setting the state emissions budgets. Under the
final rule, each dynamically
[[Page 36787]]
determined emissions budget will be computed using the latest available
reported heat input, which for each budget set for a control period in
2026 or a later year will be the average state-level heat input for the
control periods two, three, and four years before the control period
whose budget is being determined (for example, the dynamic state
emissions budgets for the 2026 control period will be computed in early
2025 using the reported state-level heat input for the 2022-2024
control periods). The revised variability limits will be well
coordinated with the budgets established using this dynamic budgeting
process, because the percentage change in the actual heat input for the
control period relative to the earlier multi-year average heat input
used in computing the state's emissions budget will be an appropriate
measure of the degree of operational variability actually experienced
by the state`s EGUs in the control period relative to the assumed
operating conditions reflected in the state's budget. Setting a
variability limit in this manner is thus entirely consistent with the
overall purpose of including variability limits in the assurance
provisions.
As discussed in sections VI.B.1.b.i and VI.B.4, for the 2023-2025
control periods the state emissions budget for a given control period
will be the preset budget determined in this rule, and for the 2026-
2029 control periods, the state emissions budget for a given control
period will be the preset budget determined in this rule rather than
the dynamically determined budget computed in the year before the
control period unless the dynamic budget is higher than the preset
budget. If the state emissions budget is the preset budget, the
historical heat input data reflected in that budget will be the heat
input data for the 2021 control period, adjusted to reflect projected
changes in fleet composition over time that are known at the time of
this rulemaking, but not adjusted to reflect changes in fleet
composition that are not known at the time of the rulemaking or changes
in the utilization of individual units.\322\ In this case, the
variability limit for the control period would be the higher of 21
percent or the percentage change in the actual heat input for the
control period relative to the heat input for the 2021 control period
as adjusted to reflect the projected changes in fleet composition. The
EPA believes it is reasonable to apply the same principle in setting
the variability limit in control periods where the preset floor budgets
are used as in control periods where the dynamically determined budgets
are used, because the preset floor budgets are computed using the same
principles as the dynamically determined budgets, with the major
difference being that the available heat input data used in computing
the preset budgets are necessarily less current. Accordingly, because
preset budgets established in this manner are used starting with the
2023 control period, the EPA believes it is also reasonable to begin
implementing the revised methodology for determining variability limits
starting with the 2023 control period.
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\322\ The total heat input amount used in computing each state's
preset emissions budget for each control period from 2023 through
2029 is included in Appendix A of the Ozone Transport Policy
Analysis Final Rule TSD at column I of the ``State 2023''-``State
2029'' worksheets.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The reason the EPA is using the higher of a fixed 21 percent or the
percentage change in heat input computed as just described is that the
EPA believes that, for operational planning purposes, it can be useful
for sources to know in advance of the control period a minimum value
for what the variability limit could turn out to be. Because a state's
actual total heat input for a control period is not known until after
the end of the control period, this revision will have the consequence
that the state's final variability limit and assurance level for the
control period also will not be known until after the control period.
However, because the rule provides that the variability limit will
always be at least 21 percent, the sources in a state will be able to
rely for planning purposes on the knowledge that the assurance level
will always be at least 121 percent of the state's emissions budget for
the control period. Advance knowledge of the minimum possible amount of
the assurance level can be useful to sources, because one way a fleet
owner can be confident that it will never incur the 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio owed for emissions exceeding its state's assurance
level is to plan its operations so as to never allow the emissions from
its fleet to exceed the fleet's aggregated share of the state's
assurance level for the control period. Knowing that the variability
limit will always be at least 21 percent will provide sources with
minimum values they could use for such planning purposes.
The EPA believes that 21 percent is a reasonable value to use as
the minimum variability limit. To determine appropriate variability
limits for the trading programs established in CSAPR, the EPA analyzed
historical state-level heat input variability over the period from 2000
through 2010 as a proxy for emissions variability, assuming constant
emissions rates. See 76 FR 48265. Based on that analysis, the
variability limits for ozone season NOX in both CSAPR and
the CSAPR Update were set at 21 percent of each state's budget, and
these variability limits for the NOX ozone season trading
programs were then codified in 40 CFR 97.510 and 97.810, along with the
respective state budgets.\323\ For the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
performed an updated variability analysis for the twelve states being
moved into the Group 3 trading program in that rulemaking, evaluating
historical state-level heat input variability over the period from 2000
through 2019. The updated analysis again resulted in a variability
estimate of 21 percent. The EPA also considered shorter time periods
for the updated analysis and found that the resulting variability
estimates were not especially sensitive to the particular time period
analyzed.\324\ A further updated analysis for this rulemaking again
results in a variability estimate of 21 percent for most states, and
although the historical analysis indicates a higher percentage for the
covered state with the smallest total heat input figures in this
analysis--New Jersey--the EPA does not consider it appropriate to raise
the minimum variability limit percentage beyond 21 percent for all
other covered states based on the analytic results for one state, where
small absolute heat input figures have resulted in a larger variability
percentage.\325\ (Moreover, because of the provision allowing a state's
variability limit for a given control period to be higher than 21
percent if the state's actual heat input exceeds the heat input used to
set the state's emissions budget by more than 21 percent, there is no
need to set a minimum variability limit higher than 21 percent
specifically for New Jersey.) Based on the consistent conclusions of
these multiple analyses, the EPA is continuing to use 21 percent as the
[[Page 36788]]
minimum value in the revised approach for establishing variability
limits for all control periods under this rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\323\ Briefly, the 21 percent variability limit was determined
in the analysis by identifying, for all the states in the region
covered by the ozone season NOX trading program, and at a
95 percent confidence level, the maximum expected deviation in any
state's total heat input for any single control period in the data
sample from that state's trend-adjusted mean total heat input for
all the control periods in the data sample. For details on the
original variability analysis for 26 states over the 2000-2010
period, including a description of the methodology, see the Power
Sector Variability Final Rule TSD from the CSAPR (EPA-HQ-OAR-2009-
0491-4454), available in the docket for this rule.
\324\ For the updated variability analysis for twelve states for
the 2000-2019 period, see the Excel file ``Historical Variability in
Heat Input 2000 to 2019.xls'', available in the docket for this
rule.
\325\ See the Excel document, ``OS Heat Input--Variability 2000
to 2021.xls'' for updated data, application of the CSAPR variability
methodology, and results applied to heat input for 2000 through 2021
for all states and for the region collectively.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The provisions of the final rule relating to assurance levels and
variability limits are unchanged from proposal, with the exception that
the provision establishing a higher variability limit for a state in a
given control period where the state's actual heat input exceeds the
heat input used in computing the state emissions budget for that
control period by more than 21 percent will be implemented starting
with the 2023 control period instead of the 2025 control period.
Comment: Some commenters supported the EPA's proposal to raise a
state's variability limit above 21 percent for a given control period
if the state's actual heat input for the control period was more than
121 percent of the historical heat input used to set the state's budget
for that control period. These commenters agreed with the EPA that
making this adjustment is consistent with the assurance provisions'
purpose of strongly incentivizing each state to achieve its required
emissions reductions within the state while also accounting for year-
to-year variability in electric system operations.
One commenter stated that the EPA should not finalize the proposed
revision to the variability limit provisions, claiming that by allowing
sources in some states to increase utilization and heat input so as to
exceed the state's budget by more than 21 percent in a given year, the
adjustment would then cause the state's subsequent dynamically
determined budgets to be higher, allowing greater emissions over time.
Response: The EPA disagrees with the comment advocating against
finalization of the proposed change to the variability limit
provisions. The Agency continues to view the proposed change as useful
for accommodating instances where, because of electrical system
operating needs, a state's actual total heat input in a control period
exceeds the historical heat input used to set the state emissions
budget for the control period, potentially causing increased emissions
even when all EGUs in a state are achieving emissions rates consistent
with the Step 3 emissions control stringency. Moreover, the EPA does
not believe that the provision would lead to higher overall program-
wide budgets. No extra allowances would be created by the increase in a
state's variability limit, so with or without the adjustment, any
allowances to cover the emissions in excess of the state's budget would
still need to be obtained through acquisition of allowances issued to
sources in other states or the use of banked allowances. Thus, to the
extent that the change in the variability limit provisions facilitates
shifting of generation from some states to other states, increased heat
input in the first set of states would generally be offset by decreased
heat input in the second set of states, such that any increases in
future dynamic budgets for the first set of states would be offset by
decreases in future dynamic budgets for the second set of states. In
addition, the final rule's use of multiple years of historical heat
input data to compute the dynamically-determined state budgets will
moderate the effect of any single year's heat input on the dynamically-
determined budgets for future control periods.
6. Annual Recalibration of Allowance Bank
As discussed in section VI.B.1.b of this document, the EPA is
making two revisions to the Group 3 trading program designed to better
maintain the Step 3 emissions control stringency over time. The first
proposed revision, discussed in section VI.B.4 of this document, is to
adopt a dynamic budget-setting methodology that will allow state
emissions budgets in future years to reflect more accurate information
about the composition and utilization of the EGU fleet. The second,
complementary, revision is to recalibrate the bank of unused allowances
each control period to prevent allowance surpluses from accumulating
and adversely impacting the ability of the trading program in future
control periods to maintain the Step 3 emissions control stringency.
As proposed and now finalized in this rule, the bank recalibration
process will start with the 2024 control period, after the compliance
process for the 2023 control period for all current and newly added
states in the Group 3 trading program has been completed. The
recalibration process for each control period will be carried out on or
shortly after August 1 of that control period, two months after the
compliance deadline for the previous control period, making the date of
the first recalibration August 1, 2024. The recalibrations take place
on August 1 each year because compliance for the previous control
period would not be completed until after June 1. However, because data
on the amounts of allowances held are publicly available and the total
quantity of allowances needed for compliance for the previous control
period will be known shortly after the end of that control period,
sources and other market participants will be able to ascertain with
reasonable accuracy shortly after the end of each control period what
degree of recalibration to expect for the next control period, even if
the recalibration would not actually be carried out until the following
August. The EPA will make an estimate of the applicable calibration
ratio for each control period publicly available no later than March 1
of the year of the control period for which the bank will be
recalibrated.
Before undertaking a recalibration process each control period, the
EPA will first determine whether the total amount of all banked Group 3
allowances from previous control periods held in all facility accounts
and general accounts in the Allowance Management System exceeds the
target bank amount. (For this purpose, no distinction will be made
between banked Group 3 allowances issued from the state emissions
budgets for previous control periods and banked Group 3 allowances
issued through the conversion of previously banked Group 2 allowances.)
If the total amount of banked Group 3 allowances does not exceed the
target bank amount, the EPA will not carry out any recalibration for
that control period. If the total amount of unused allowances does
exceed the target bank amount, the EPA will determine for each account
with holdings of banked Group 3 allowances the account-specific
recalibrated amount of allowances, computed as the account's total
holdings of banked Group 3 allowances immediately before the
recalibration multiplied by the target bank amount and divided by the
total amount of banked Group 3 allowances in all accounts, rounded up
to the nearest allowance. Finally, the EPA will deduct from each
account any banked Group 3 allowances exceeding the account's
recalibrated amount of banked allowances.
As the target bank amount used in the recalibration process for
each control period, the EPA will use an amount determined as a
percentage of the sum of the state emissions budgets for the control
period. For the control periods from 2024 through 2029, the target
percentage will be 21 percent, which is the sum of the states' minimum
variability limits.\326\ For control periods in 2030 and later years,
the target percentage will be 10.5 percent, or half of the sum of the
states' minimum
[[Page 36789]]
variability limits. In the proposal, the EPA cited two reasons for
proposing the 10.5 percentage amount. First, in the transition from
CSAPR to the CSAPR Update, where the EPA set a target bank amount 1.5
times the sum of the variability limits, and in the transition from the
CSAPR Update to the Revised CSAPR Update, where the EPA set a target
bank amount of 1.0 times the sum of the variability limits, in each
case the initial bank proved larger than necessary, as total emissions
of all sources in the program were less than the budgets. Second, an
analysis of year-to-year variability of heat input for the region
covered by this rule suggests that the regional heat input for an
individual year can be expected to vary by up to 10.5 percent above or
below the central trend with 95 percent confidence. This variability
analysis is an application to the entire region of the variability
analysis EPA has performed for individual states to establish the
minimum variability limit of 21 percent for the states in the trading
program.\327\ When the analysis is performed at the regional level, the
data show less year-to-year variation than when the analysis is
performed at the individual state level. Within the trading program
structure, it is reasonable to use variability analyzed at the level of
individual states to set the variability limits, which apply at the
level of individual states, while using variability analyzed at the
level of the overall region to set a target level for a bank, which
will apply at the level of the overall program.
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\326\ As discussed in section VI.B.5, an individual state's
variability limit can be higher than 21 percent in a given control
period if the state's actual heat input for that control period is
more than 121 percent of the historical heat input used in computing
the state emissions budget for the control period.
\327\ See the Power Sector Variability Final Rule TSD from
CSAPR, available at https://www.epa.gov/csapr/power-sector-variability-final-rule-tsd for a description of the methodology.
Also see the Excel document ``OS Heat Input--Variability 2000 to
2021.xls'' for updated data, application of the CSAPR variability
methodology, and results applied to heat input for 2000 through 2021
for all states and for the region collectively.
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In the final rule, in response to comments, the EPA has determined
to maintain the 10.5 target percentage for the reasons discussed in
previous paragraphs, but to defer application of this target percentage
until the 2030 control period. For the control periods from 2024
through 2029, the EPA will instead use a target percentage of 21
percent. The reason for using a higher target percentage for the 2024-
2029 control periods is to provide additional support for allowance
market liquidity during these years, which both the EPA and commenters
view as an important period of generating fleet transition for the
power industry.
The annual bank recalibrations, at either ratio, are an important
enhancement to the trading program that will help maintain the control
stringency determined to be necessary to address states' good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS over time. Moreover, the
recalibrations are less complex than alternative approaches would be.
For example, the NOX Budget Trading Program established in
the NOX SIP Call also contained provisions designed to
prevent excessive accumulations of banked allowances on program
stringency, but those provisions--under the name ``progressive flow
control''--introduced uncertainty as to whether banked allowances would
be usable to offset one ton of emissions or less than one ton of
emissions in the current control period. As a consequence of this
uncertainty, in some control periods, allowances banked from earlier
control periods traded at lower prices than allowances issued for the
current control period.\328\ The EPA considers the recalibration
mechanism established in this rule to be simpler with less associated
uncertainty. Following each bank recalibration, all allowances usable
for compliance in the control period will have known, equal compliance
values for the remainder of the control period and until the deadline
for surrendering allowances after the control period.
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\328\ For more discussion of the progressive flow control
mechanism, as well as allowance price data showing a discounted
value for banked allowances, see ``NOX Budget Trading
Program: 2005 Program Compliance and Environmental Results''
(September 2006) at 28-30, https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2015-08/documents/2005-nbp-compliance-report.pdf.
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Finally, the EPA observes that the recalibration mechanism is
entirely consistent with the Agency's existing authority under 40 CFR
97.1006(c)(6) to ``terminate or limit the use and duration'' of any
Group 3 allowance ``to the extent the Administrator determines is
necessary or appropriate to implement any provision of the Clean Air
Act.'' The Administrator is determining that the recalibrations are
both necessary and appropriate to ensure that the control stringency
selected in this rulemaking is maintained and states' good neighbor
obligations with respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS are addressed. The
recalibration process will complement the revised budget-setting
process by preventing any surplus of allowances created in one control
period from diminishing the intended stringency and resulting emissions
reductions of the emissions budgets for subsequent control periods. For
further discussion of the reasons for bank recalibration, see section
VI.B.1.b.ii of this document.
The bank recalibration mechanism finalized in this rule is
unchanged from the proposal except for the final rule's adoption of a
target percentage of 21 percent rather than 10.5 percent for the
control periods from 2024 through 2029. The EPA's responses to comments
on the bank recalibration mechanism are discussed in the remainder or
this section and in section 5 of the RTC document. Further discussion
of the reasons for adopting a higher target percentage for the 2024-
2029 control periods is included in section VI.B.1.d of this document.
Comment: Some commenters acknowledged the EPA's authority to manage
the quantities of allowances carried over from one control period to
the next as banked allowances, including some commenters who as a
policy matter did not support such an approach. Other commenters
claimed that any removal from the program of allowances banked in
earlier control periods would constitute an unlawful taking of property
or would constitute unlawful overcontrol.
Response: The EPA disagrees with comments contending that the
proposed bank recalibration provisions would be unlawful, either as
asserted takings of property or as over-control for purposes of the
Good Neighbor provision. With respect to the claim that removing
allowances would constitute takings of property, the commenters
misconstrue the nature of an allowance. The allowances used in the
Group 3 trading program are created under the program's regulations,
which expressly provide that the allowances are not property rights but
are limited authorizations to emit NOX in accordance with
the provisions of the Group 3 trading program.\329\ These provisions of
the Group 3 trading program regulations have been in existence since
the Revised CSAPR Update and were not reopened in this action. This
approach of creating limited authorizations to engage in particular
forms of conduct within a regulatory program extends back to the Acid
Rain Program, where the approach was mandated by Congress, and has been
followed by EPA in each subsequent allowance trading program for the
electric power sector.\330\ Moreover, as noted earlier in this section,
the Group 3 trading program regulations provide the EPA
[[Page 36790]]
Administrator with the authority to terminate or limit the use and
duration of such authorization to the extent the Administrator
determines is necessary or appropriate to implement any provision of
the Clean Air Act, and the Administrator is making such a determination
in this rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\329\ 40 CFR 97.1006(c)(6)-(7).
\330\ See, e.g., 42 U.S.C. 7651b(f) and 40 CFR 72.9(c)(6)-(7)
(Acid Rain Program example); 40 CFR 97.6(c)(6)-(7) (Federal
NOX Budget Trading Program example); 40 CFR 97.106(c)(5)-
(6) (CAIR NOX Annual Trading Program example).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA also disagrees that bank recalibration would constitute
overcontrol. The emissions that are permissible in a given control
period consistent with the Step 3 control stringency are quantified in
the state emissions budgets for the control period. Banked allowances
from previous control periods are necessarily surplus to the state
emissions budgets for the current control period. As noted in section
VI.B.1, in an allowance trading program, banking provisions can serve
several useful purposes, including continuously incentivizing sources
to reduce their emissions even when they already hold sufficient
allowances to cover their expected emissions for a control period,
facilitating compliance cost minimization, accommodating necessary
operational flexibility, and promoting allowance market liquidity.
However, these useful purposes do not include allowing sources to plan
to emit in excess of the Step 3 control stringency as represented by
the state emissions budgets for the control period. Accordingly, in the
overcontrol analysis discussed in section V.D.4, the EPA analyzed
whether the emissions reductions necessary to meet the state emissions
budgets without relying for compliance purposes on any allowances
banked in earlier control periods would result in overcontrol and
determined there would be no overcontrol. (That is, the modeling of the
effects of the Group 3 emissions budgets in 2026 did not include an
assumption that there would be any banked allowances.) Thus, even if
the Agency had finalized regulatory provisions removing all banked
allowances from the trading program between control periods--in
contrast to the actual bank recalibration provisions, which permit
substantial quantities of banked allowances to remain in the trading
program--the information available to the Agency suggests such
provisions would not constitute over-control. With respect to some
commenters' assertions that bank recalibration would over-control by
``writing off'' emission reductions that may have gone beyond the
reductions necessary to address the Good Neighbor provision or would
make it more difficult to create surplus allowances in one control
period to offset excess emissions in later control periods, EPA notes
that the NAAQS apply continuously, and the possibility that the sources
in a state may have done more than the minimum necessary to meet the
state's Good Neighbor obligations in one control period does not create
a right for the state to do less than is necessary to meet the state's
Good Neighbor obligations in subsequent control periods.
Comment: Some commenters expressed concern that excessive
quantities of banked allowances, like excessive quantities of budgeted
allowances, can lead to lower allowance prices. The commenters observed
that with lower allowance prices, some units would likely operate their
controls less effectively, resulting in a greater likelihood that the
emissions stringency found necessary in this rule would not be
sustained. Other commenters expressed the view that other provisions of
the rule, including more stringent state emissions budgets, the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate provisions, and the
assurance provisions would be sufficient to incentivize EGUs to operate
their controls effectively, making allowance bank recalibration
superfluous for this purpose.
Response: The EPA agrees with the comments explaining that without
bank recalibration, the quantities of banked allowances can grow,
leading to lower allowance prices, diminished incentives for sources to
optimize control operation, and greater risk of failure to sustain the
Step 3 control stringency, and disagrees with the comments arguing that
other rule provisions would make bank recalibration unnecessary. The
suggestion that the assurance provisions can maintain program
stringency regardless of allowance quantities ignores the fact that the
emission levels consistent with the Group 3 control stringency in a
given control period are the state emissions budgets, not the higher
assurance levels. If the quantities of banked allowances in the program
grow to the point where sources collectively can plan to emit above the
collective state emissions budgets, then the trading program would be
unable to ensure that the Group 3 control stringency is being achieved,
even if emissions do not rise further than the assurance levels.
Further, there are now examples from the Group 2 trading program of
sources emitting in excess of the state-wide assurance levels, because
a glut of banked allowances which was not prevented by the regulations
for that trading program rendered even the three-to-one surrender ratio
ineffective. Suggestions that the backstop emissions rate provisions
can maintain program stringency regardless of the quantities of banked
allowances are similarly mistaken, because rather than reducing overall
emissions of all sources in the trading program, the backstop rate
provisions are designed to ensure that the largest individual sources
of potential emissions operate their controls consistently. If the
quantities of banked allowances are allowed to grow to the point where
sources collectively can plan to emit above the collective state
emissions budgets, the backstop rate provisions would do nothing to
constrain emissions from the sources not subject to the backstop rate.
With respect to the suggestion that state emissions budgets
reflecting sufficient control stringency can avoid the need for bank
recalibration, the EPA observes that the budget-setting and bank
recalibration provisions in this rule are complements, not substitutes.
If in a given year sources collectively emit against the collective
state emissions budgets such that the ending allowance bank--that is,
the allowances remaining after deduction of the allowances required for
compliance--is less than the bank target amount, then the bank will not
be recalibrated for the following control period. However, in the event
that sources collectively emit against the collective state emissions
budgets such that the ending allowance bank is above the bank target
amount, then the recalibration provisions will ensure that the
recalibrated allowance bank does not introduce an excessive overall
quantity of allowances into the trading program for the following
control period when combined with the state emissions budgets
calculated for that control period. Without the recalibration
provisions, the trading program would lack any mechanism for removing
excess allowances that are inconsistent with maintaining the Step 3
emissions control stringency which the Step 4 trading program is
designed to implement.
Comment: Some commenters claimed that the recalibration process
itself would have undesirable consequences. First, some said that
because bank recalibration would be executed partway through the
control period, it would introduce uncertainty concerning the
quantities of allowances each source would have available, impeding
efforts to plan. Second, some commenters claimed that the prospect of
bank recalibration would create counterproductive incentives for
allowance holders. According to the commenters, allowances holders
would be incentivized to ``use or lose'' their allowances (to reduce
the number of allowances that would be removed from
[[Page 36791]]
their accounts in the recalibration process), thereby causing increased
emissions, or alternatively would be incentivized to refuse to sell
allowances (to allow the holders to have more allowances after the next
recalibration), thereby reducing allowance market liquidity.
Response: The EPA disagrees with these comments. As discussed
previously in this section, the recalibration process has been
scheduled for August 1 of each control period because compliance for
the previous control period (and the associated allowance trading
activities) would not be completed until after June 1. However, the
information needed to project the degree of recalibration will be
available by early November of the previous year, and the EPA will make
an estimate publicly available no later than March 1, two months before
the start of the control period. Further, at least 80 percent of the
allowances for use in a given control period will be the allowances
allocated from the state emissions budgets (with the recalibrated
banked allowances from the prior control period comprising the
remainder), and the emissions budgets and unit-level allocations
amounts will be known approximately a year before the start of the
control period.
The comments claiming that the introduction of a bank recalibration
process would create incentives to ``use or lose'' allowances or to
hoard allowances are not persuasive. By reducing the supply of
allowances carried over from previous control periods, bank
recalibration would tend to raise the price of allowances in the
current control period, making it more cost-effective and therefore in
sources' interest to further reduce their emissions than to increase
their emissions. Higher allowance prices would also increase the cost
of hoarding allowances just as higher fuel prices raise the cost of
maintaining large fuel inventories. Moreover, the EPA expects that the
prospect of having banked allowances recalibrated after the end of the
control period is much more likely to discourage hoarding than to
encourage it. Given the choice between holding an allowance which may
be removed as part of an upcoming recalibration process or instead
selling the allowance for cash, the sale option will become more
attractive. By creating a ``sell or lose'' incentive for holders of
surplus allowances, the recalibration process should increase allowance
market liquidity. At the same time, by ensuring a banked allowance will
always have some value for use in a future control period, the bank
recalibration mechanism in this program will continue to incentivize
early emissions reductions.
Comment: Turning to the level of the bank recalibration target,
some commenters objected to the target bank percentage of 10.5 percent,
saying that a larger bank would be needed to ensure that sufficient
allowances would be available to enable sources to run as needed to
provide reliable electricity service, particularly with the large year-
to-year swings in budgets that the commenters anticipated could occur
with dynamic budgets computed using a single rolling historical year
and with anticipated growth in renewable generation. Some commenters
recommended a target bank percentage of 21 percent. Some commenters
stated that even if the overall quantity of allowances available for
use was greater than the total amount of emissions, a larger bank of
allowances would facilitate trading and promote greater allowance
market liquidity, citing reports of high allowance prices in 2022.
Response: As discussed in sections VI.B.1.d and VI.B.4 and earlier
in this section, the EPA does not agree with comments suggesting that
annual bank recalibration in itself poses a risk to electric grid
reliability. Nevertheless, the Agency has made several changes from
proposal in the final rule designed to address concerns expressed about
reliability by increasing compliance flexibility through the 2029
control period. These changes through the 2029 control period include
the use of a target bank percentage of 21 percent and the promulgation
of preset budgets that will serve as the state emissions budgets unless
the dynamic budgets for the control periods are higher. In addition, to
reduce year-to-year variability under the budget-setting methodology,
dynamic budgets will be calculated using multiple years of historical
heat input data instead of heat input data from a single year. The EPA
views these changes as responsive to the principal reasons that
commenters gave for their claims that the target bank percentage should
be higher than 10.5 percent. Regarding the claim that a higher target
bank percentage is needed because increased renewable generation makes
the demand for fossil generation more variable, commenters did not
provide evidence demonstrating that the overall quantities of fossil
generation throughout the multi-state region covered by this rule--as
opposed to the operating patterns of some individual units--are
becoming more variable, and the Agency declines to make an adjustment
for such a reason at this time.
With respect to the comments advocating for an even higher bank
target percentage to facilitate trading and promote market liquidity,
the Agency observes that any such advantage of larger allowance banks
must be balanced with the disadvantages of excess allowance supply--
specifically, reduced allowance prices, diminished incentives for
sources to optimize control operation, and greater risk of failure to
sustain the Step 3 control stringency. In the final rule, the EPA finds
that a reasonable balance between these opposing considerations is
struck by temporarily adopting a higher bank target percentage of 21
percent (consistent with the initial bank targets used in this rule and
previous rules) and deferring implementation of the 10.5 percent target
bank percentage identified by the Agency's analysis as a sustainable
percentage in the longer term until the 2030 control period.
7. Unit-Specific Backstop Daily Emissions Rates
While the identified EGU emissions reductions in section V of this
document (i.e., the Step 3 emissions control stringency) are
incentivized and secured primarily through the corresponding seasonal
state emissions budgets (expressed as a seasonal tonnage limit for all
covered EGUs within a state's borders) described earlier, the EPA is
also incorporating a backstop daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu
applied to coal-fired steam units serving generators with nameplate
capacity greater than or equal to 100 MW in covered states, except
circulating fluidized bed units. This is important for ensuring the
elimination of significant contribution on a more consistent basis from
the relevant sources and over each day of the ozone season.
Starting with the 2024 control period, a 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio (instead of the usual 1-for-1 surrender ratio) will
apply to emissions during the ozone season from any large coal-fired
EGU with existing SCR controls exceeding by more than 50 tons a daily
average NOX emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. The daily
average emissions rate provisions will apply to large coal-fired EGUs
without existing SCR controls (except circulating fluidized bed units)
starting with the second control period in which newly installed SCR
controls are operational at the unit, but not later than the 2030
control period. See Appendix A of the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis
Final Rule
[[Page 36792]]
TSD for a list of coal-fired steam units serving generators larger than
or equal to 100 MW in covered states for which the identified backstop
emissions rate will apply.
For each unit subject to the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions for a given control period, the amount of emissions subject
to the 3-for-1 surrender ratio will be determined as follows, generally
on an automated basis using the unit's data acquisition and handling
system (DAHS) required under 40 CFR part 75. For each day of the
control period where the unit's average emissions rate for that day was
higher than 0.14 lb/mmBtu, the owner or operator will compute what the
unit's reported emissions on that day would have been (given the unit's
reported heat input for the day) at an emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu.
The difference between the unit's emissions for the day as actually
reported and the emissions that would have been reported if the unit's
emissions rate was 0.14 lb/mmBtu is the unit's daily exceedance. The
amount of emissions subject to the 3-for-1 surrender ratio for the
control period is the sum of the unit's daily exceedances for all days
of the control period minus 50 tons (but not less than zero).\331\ All
calculations will rely on the data monitored and reported for the unit
in accordance with 40 CFR part 75.
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\331\ In the regulatory text at 40 CFR 97.1024 defining the
total quantity of allowances that must be surrendered for a source's
emissions in a control period, these amounts of emissions for all
the units at the source are subject to a requirement to surrender
two extra allowances per ton in addition to the usual 1-for-1
allowance surrender requirement, yielding a total surrender ratio of
3-for-1 for emissions over the 50-ton threshold.
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The EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD
describes the methodology for deriving the 0.14 lb/mmBtu daily rate
limit in more detail. The methodology is summarized as follows. First,
consistent with stakeholders' focus on providing daily assurance of
control operation, which is consistent with the 8-hour form of the 2015
ozone NAAQS and the tendency for ozone levels to spike on a diurnal
cycle, the EPA determined that daily (as opposed to hourly or monthly)
was an appropriate time metric for backstop emissions rate limits
instituted to ensure operation of controls on high ozone days. The EPA
derived the 0.14 lb/mmBtu daily rate limit by determining the
particular level of a daily rate that would be comparable in stringency
to the 0.08 lb/mmBtu seasonal emissions rate that the Agency has
identified as reflecting SCR optimization at existing units.\332\ The
EPA first conducted an empirical exercise using reported daily
emissions rate data from existing, SCR-controlled coal units that were
emitting at or below 0.08 lb/mmBtu on a seasonal average basis. This
seasonal rate reflects the average across a unit's range of varying
daily rates reflecting different operation conditions. When the EPA
examined the daily emissions rate pattern for these units considered to
be optimizing their SCRs on a seasonal basis, the EPA observed that
over 95 percent of the time, their daily rates were below 0.14 lb/
mmBtu. In addition, for these units, less than 1 percent of their
seasonal emissions would exceed this daily rate limit.
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\332\ See page 24 of ``Guidance for 1-hour SO2
Nonattainment Area SIP Submission'' at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-06/documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_sip.pdf. ``A limit based on the 30-
day average of emissions, for example, at a particular level is
likely to be a less stringent limit than a 1-hour limit at the same
level 1 since the control level needed to meet a 1-hour limit every
hour is likely to be greater than the control level needed to
achieve the same limit on a 30-day average basis.''
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The EPA conducted this analysis to be consistent with the
methodology developed in the 2014 1-hr SO2 attainment area
guidance for identifying ``comparably stringent'' emissions rates over
varying time-periods.\333\ Appendix C of that guidance describes a
series of steps that involve: (1) compiling emissions data to reflect a
distribution of emissions rates with various averaging times, (2)
determining the 99th percentile of the average emissions values
compiled in the previous step, and then (3) applying ``adjustment
factors'' or ratios of the 99th percentile values to emissions rates to
convert them (usually from a short-term rate to a longer-term rate). In
this case, the EPA applied the methodology in reverse to convert a
longer-term limit (the seasonal rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu which was assumed
to be equivalent to a 30-day rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu for purposes of this
comparison of rates across averaging times) to a comparably stringent
short-term limit (a daily rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu).
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\333\ See Guidance for 1-Hour SO2 Nonattainment Area
SIP Submissions available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-06/documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_sip.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The inclusion of a 50-ton threshold for emissions exceeding the
backstop daily emissions rate before the 3-for-1 surrender applies is a
change from the proposal. As discussed in section VI.B.1.d of this
document, the EPA made this change in response to comments concerning
the possibility that the 3-for-1 surrender ratio could otherwise have
applied to emissions outside an EGU operator's control, with the most
important example being the emissions during unit startup before SCR
equipment can be brought into service, and to a lesser extent the
emissions during unit shutdown. The analysis used by the EPA to derive
the 50-ton threshold is described in detail in the Ozone Transport
Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD. Briefly, for a set of 164 SCR-equipped
units with seasonal average NOX emissions rates at or below
0.08 lb/mmBtu in 2021, the EPA evaluated the total amounts of emissions
that would have been determined to exceed a daily average emissions
rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu in the 2021 and 2022 ozone seasons. In the 2021
ozone season, only 572 tons out of these units' total emissions of
60,350 tons, or 0.9 percent, would have been considered exceedances,
with an average exceedance per unit of less than 4 tons. The highest
amount for any of the 164 individual units in either ozone season was
48 tons. Based on this analysis, the EPA concludes that adding a 50-ton
threshold to the backstop daily emissions rate provisions will ensure
that substantially all emissions outside the control of an SCR-equipped
unit's operator will not be subject to the 3-for-1 surrender ratio.
Because there is no reason to expect the range of emissions during
conditions when SCR controls cannot be operated to differ between SCR-
equipped units and units without SCR, inclusion of the 50-ton threshold
effectively prevents application of the 3-for-1 ratio to emissions
during startup and shutdown by units without SCR as well.
At the same time, the EPA believes the 50-ton threshold is not
large enough to eliminate the intended incentive to achieve emissions
rates consistent with good SCR performance under conditions other than
startup and shutdown. For a set of 124 SCR-equipped units with seasonal
average NOX emissions rates above 0.08 lb/mmBtu, the total
amount of emissions exceeding a daily average emissions rate of 0.14
lb/mmBtu in the 2021 ozone season was 18,629 tons. Of this total
amount, 15,374 tons would have been in excess of the 50-ton thresholds
for the various units, indicating that even after application of the
threshold, the 3-for-1 surrender ratio would have applied to over 80
percent of the daily exceedance amounts.
The backstop daily NOX emissions rate provisions
finalized in this rule are unchanged from the proposal except for the
inclusion of a 50-ton threshold for emissions exceeding the backstop
emissions rate before the 3-for-1 surrender ratio applies and the
deferral of the application of the provisions to units without existing
SCR controls
[[Page 36793]]
until the 2030 control period or, if earlier, the second control period
in which new SCR controls are operated at a unit. The EPA's responses
to comments on the backstop daily NOX emissions rate
provisions, including the reasons for these changes, are discussed in
the remainder of this section and in section 5 of the RTC document.
Comment: Some commenters strongly supported the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions, noting their benefit to downwind receptors
on potential nonattainment days, their benefit to neighboring
communities, and evidence of deterioration in SCR performance in the
absence of such provisions. Other commenters stated that the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions are unnecessary, either because SCR-
equipped EGUs would already be sufficiently incentivized to operate and
optimize their controls by the stringency of the state emissions
budgets and the resulting allowance prices or because most SCR-equipped
EGUs are already required to operate and optimize their SCRs by
conditions in their operating permits. Some commenters cited previous
EPA analyses showing that it is unusual for SCR-equipped units to turn
off their SCRs only on high electricity demand days (HEDD).
Commenters suggested diverse possible changes to the types of EGUs
that would be covered by the backstop daily emissions rate provisions.
Some commenters stated that the provisions should apply to all EGUs or
to all SCR-equipped EGUs, including non-coal-fired units. Other
commenters stated that exemptions should be provided for units
operating at capacity factors below 10 percent or for emissions during
emergencies.
Some commenters stated that implementation of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions would cause unintended and counterproductive
consequences. Some of these commenters claimed that by requiring the
surrender of extra allowances, the backstop emissions rate provisions
would create shortages of allowances for the program overall. Other
commenters claimed that the disincentives to operate units subject to
the backstop emissions rate provisions would cause load to shift to
higher-emitting generators not covered by the trading program (such as
sources in states outside the program's geographic region, EGUs smaller
than 25 MW, and sources considered demand-side resources, including
end-user-sited diesel generator units), potentially resulting in higher
overall emissions.
Response: The EPA agrees that backstop daily emissions rate
provisions should be implemented and disagrees with comments suggesting
that the need for the backstop daily emissions rate provisions is
contradicted by previous EPA analyses or is already adequately
addressed by other provisions of this rule or other legal requirements.
As discussed in sections V.D.1 and VI.B.1.c of this document, the EPA
has determined that a control stringency reflecting universal
installation and operation of SCR technology at large coal-fired EGUs
is appropriate. There are several important differences between this
rule and previous actions addressing interstate ozone transport where
the Agency did not include such provisions. First, this rule
constitutes a full remedy, unlike some prior actions. Second, this rule
is the first rule in which the EPA is addressing good neighbor
obligations with respect to the more protective 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Third, the EPA has examined the most recent data over a broader
geographic and temporal footprint specific to the coverage of this
rule, and it illustrates a greater degree of SCR performance erosion
than in the prior years in which EPA conducted such analysis. Fourth,
nonattainment and maintenance for this NAAQS are projected to persist
well into the future in EPA's baseline, making enhancements and
safeguards such as the backstop daily emissions rate provisions
essential for securing elimination of significant contribution in
future periods for which fleet configuration is inherently more
uncertain.
With respect to claims that inclusion of the backstop daily
emissions rate provisions is contradicted by the EPA's earlier analyses
concerning SCR operational changes specific to high electricity demand
days, the EPA disagrees. Historical data reported to the EPA show that
multiple SCR-equipped units across the states covered by this action
have chosen not to operate their SCRs, or to operate them at materially
less than their full removal capability, for entire ozone seasons. The
apparent infrequency of one type of behavior--i.e., instances of units
running their controls on most days but turning the controls off
specifically on high electricity demand days--does not contradict the
evidence concerning another type of behavior--i.e., non-operation or
suboptimal operation of controls for entire ozone seasons. The evidence
from previous trading programs demonstrates that reliance solely on the
incentives created by allowance prices and corresponding static state
emissions budgets has been insufficient to cause all SCR-equipped units
to operate and optimize their controls for entire ozone seasons.
The EPA acknowledges that some SCR-equipped units are likely
already subject to other legal requirements calling for their SCR
controls to be operated and optimized such that their seasonal average
NOX emissions rates will generally not exceed 0.08 lb/mmBtu
(the level of seasonal SCR performance that the EPA used to derive the
equivalent 0.14 lb/mmBtu level of daily SCR performance for the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate). However, commenters do
not claim, and the EPA does not believe, that all SCR-equipped units
are subject to other legal requirements calling for an equivalent
degree of SCR operation and optimization. In the context of a multi-
state trading program, it is more efficient and equitable, and far more
transparent, for the EPA to establish rule provisions uniformly
incentivizing all large coal-fired EGUs to install and operate SCR
controls than to attempt to establish differentiated requirements for
various units according to the EPA's analysis of the effectiveness of
their pre-existing permit conditions. Further, to the extent that a
given unit's permits already require SCR performance that would meet
the backstop emissions rate established in this rule, or to the extent
that allowance prices would incentivize the unit to operate the SCR
anyway, the EPA expects that the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions (as finalized with a 50-ton threshold to address emissions
outside an EGU's control before the 3-for-1 surrender ratio applies)
will cause no incremental cost for the unit.
The EPA disagrees with the suggested changes to applicability of
the backstop emissions rate provisions. With respect to the comments
advocating broader coverage, the EPA discusses its reasons for applying
the provisions only to coal-fired EGUs in section VI.B.1.c of this
document, including the fact that operation of SCR controls is a well-
established practice among the best performing coal-fired boilers but
not for non-coal-fired units.\334\ The comments indicate a preference
for a less flexible trading program design than the EPA has found
appropriate but do not demonstrate that EPA's decision to allow greater
flexibility is either impermissible or unreasonable; our reasoning in
this regard is further explained in section VI.B.1.c.i of this
[[Page 36794]]
document. With respect to the comments advocating narrower coverage,
the commenters have provided no information indicating that the sources
for which exemptions are sought could not comply with the provisions,
including through the surrender of additional allowances if necessary.
The EPA notes that emissions from coal-fired units operating at low
capacity factors may be concentrated around days of high electricity
demand when incentives to minimize such emissions may be most helpful
in mitigating downwind air quality problems. The EPA also notes that to
the extent the comments are intended to support exemptions for units
without existing SCR controls, the final rule defers application of the
backstop emissions rate provisions to such units until the 2030 control
period, providing additional flexibility to develop alternatives to the
use of such units if the owners choose not to equip them with SCR
controls.
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\334\ Nationwide and among operating units in 2021, EPA
identified the best performing quartile (i.e., lowest ozone season
emissions rate) of coal-fired EGU boilers (excluding CFB units).
Nearly 100 percent of these units (159 of 160 units) were equipped
with SCR controls.
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Finally, the EPA also disagrees with the comments asserting that
the backstop emissions rate provisions would cause unintended and
counterproductive consequences. With respect to units already equipped
with SCR controls, the EPA expects that by far the most important
effect of the provisions will be to incentivize the units to operate
and optimize their controls. The EPA sees no basis for speculation that
such units would choose to operate in a manner that would result in
large amounts of emissions becoming subject to the 3-for-1 allowance
surrender ratio or in generation being shifted to sources outside the
trading program. The results of the EPA's modeling of benefits and
costs of the rule show little leakage of emissions to non-covered
sources, and commenters have presented no analysis to the contrary. For
instance, as shown in Table 4.6 of the RIA, non-covered state ozone
season NOX emissions increased on average by 1 percent over
the 2023-2030 time period between the base and final rule scenarios,
while covered state emissions fell by 14 percent on average over the
same period. With respect to units without existing SCR controls, the
EPA expects the backstop emissions rate provisions, when they would
take effect for such units, to provide a strong incentive against
extensive operation (unless and until such controls are installed),
again not resulting in large amounts of emissions becoming subject to
the 3-for-1 allowance surrender ratio.
Comment: For units with existing SCR controls, the aspect of the
backstop daily emissions rate provisions that received the most
attention in comments was how emissions outside the operator's control
should be treated. Multiple commenters expressed concern that the
backstop daily emissions rate would be exceeded on days when the SCR
equipment cannot be operated for all or a portion of the day. The most
commonly cited example of a situation where SCR equipment cannot be
operated was unit startups, although some commenters also mentioned
unit shutdowns, boiler or emissions control malfunctions, and unit
maintenance or tests. The commenters expressed the view that emissions
that cannot be controlled by SCR equipment should be exempted from the
backstop emissions rate provisions and suggested a variety of
approaches for implementing an exemption.
Some commenters also stated that the backstop emissions rate
provisions would not sufficiently accommodate sustained low-load
operation, such as where an SCR-equipped unit operates for extended
periods at a load level too low to permit SCR operation so that the
unit is ready to ramp up to higher load levels in less time than would
be required for a startup. The commenters suggested that implementation
of a backstop daily rate would reduce the ability to operate the units
in this manner, generally reducing system flexibility. Some noted that
the need for flexibility of this nature is increasing because of the
rapid growth in intermittent renewable generation.
Additional comments on the backstop daily emissions rate provisions
for units with existing SCR controls addressed the level of the daily
emissions rate and the implementation timing. With respect to the rate
level, various commenters suggested rates from 0.08 to 0.20 lb/mmBtu.
With respect to implementation timing, some commenters stated that
because immediate compliance was possible, the good neighbor provision
required implementation as of the 2023 control period rather than the
2024 control period as proposed. Other commenters expressed the view
that units with existing SCR controls should not be required to comply
with the backstop emissions rate provisions earlier than units without
existing SCR controls. Some owners of SCR-equipped EGUs that exhaust to
stacks shared with EGUs without SCR suggested that their particular
units with existing SCR controls should not be required to comply with
the backstop emissions rate provisions earlier than units without
existing SCR controls in order to avoid the cost of upgrading their
emissions monitoring equipment.
Response: With respect to the topic of emissions outside an
operator's control, as a general matter the EPA agrees that the
backstop daily emissions rate provisions are intended to incentivize
good SCR operation and that it was not the Agency's intent to apply a
higher surrender ratio to emissions that are truly unavoidable, such as
emissions occurring before an operator could reasonably initialize SCR
operation when a unit is started up. As explained elsewhere in this
section, the EPA selected the level of the backstop rate based on
analysis of 2021 emissions data showing that for SCR-equipped coal-
fired units achieving seasonal average NOX emissions rates
at or below 0.08 lb/mmBtu, more than 99 percent of the units' emissions
would fall below a backstop daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu. In
response to the comments summarized previously, the EPA has further
analyzed 2021 and 2022 emissions data to determine what if any
modifications to the proposal might be appropriate to limit the
imposition of a 3-to-1 allowance surrender requirement for emissions
caused by circumstances outside an operator's control while preserving
the intended incentive to operate and optimize SCR controls whenever
possible. The analysis showed that for the same set of units achieving
seasonal average emissions rates at or below 0.08 lb/mmBtu, the highest
total amount of emissions exceeding the backstop daily emissions rate
in either the 2021 or 2022 control period for any unit was 48 tons. The
Agency views this amount as a reasonable upper bound on the quantity of
emissions that might contribute to an exceedance of the backstop
emissions rate arising from circumstances outside an operator's control
for any coal-fired unit, not just the well-controlled units in the data
set analyzed, because the amount generally encompasses all of a unit's
emissions occurring in hours when an SCR could not be operated over an
ozone season.
Based on this analysis, the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions in this final rule exclude the first 50 tons of a unit's
emissions in a given control period exceeding the backstop daily
emissions rate from incremental allowance surrender requirements. The
EPA finds that establishing a threshold of this nature will provide an
appropriate maximum exclusion to all coal-fired units for unavoidable
emissions caused by circumstances outside the operator's control while
maintaining the incentives for less well-controlled units to improve
their emissions performance on all days of
[[Page 36795]]
the ozone season. Well-controlled units will likely have no emissions
over the threshold that will be subject to incremental allowance
surrender requirements, while for SCR-equipped units not already
achieving a seasonal average emissions rates sufficiently low to
routinely operate at daily average emissions rates of 0.14 lb/mmBtu or
less, the incentive to reduce daily emissions rates will remain in
place, because the 50-ton threshold is not expected to encompass all
emissions exceeding the backstop daily emissions rate for such units.
In contrast to more complicated exceptions suggested by commenters, the
50-ton threshold can be easily integrated into the overall trading
program structure with minimal additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements.
With respect to the comments claiming that the inability of some
SCR-equipped units to operate their SCR controls at sustained low load
levels likewise merits alteration of the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions, the EPA disagrees. There is no dispute concerning the
technical need for a unit to attain and maintain a certain range of
exhaust gas temperatures at the SCR inlet in order to achieve optimal
SCR performance and no dispute concerning the general relationship
between a unit's load level in a given hour and its ability to attain
and maintain that exhaust gas temperature range in that hour. However,
the EPA is also aware that at least in some cases, units whose role in
the integrated electric system currently calls for them to operate at
low load levels for sustained periods (such as overnight) in fact may
be able to operate at slightly higher load levels that would
accommodate SCR operation during those periods and still meet the needs
of the integrated electric system, thereby avoiding operation of the
unit for sustained periods with the SCR out of service. Figure B.5 in
the EGU NOX Mitigation Strategies Final Rule TSD illustrates
this opportunity using data reported for the 2021 and 2022 ozone
seasons by a large SCR-equipped EGU in Pennsylvania. In both ozone
seasons, the unit often cycled daily between its maximum load of
approximately 900 MW during the daytime and a lower load level
overnight, and in both ozone seasons the unit's typical daytime
emissions rate was between 0.05 and 0.07 lb/mmBtu. However, while in
the 2021 ozone season, the unit cycled down to a load level of
approximately 440 MW overnight and did not operate its SCR, in the 2022
ozone season, when allowance prices were considerably higher, the unit
cycled down to a load level of approximately 540 MW overnight and did
operate its SCR. Despite the higher nighttime generation levels, the
result was a decrease of roughly 50 percent in the unit's seasonal
average NOX emissions rate, from approximately 0.14 lb/mmBtu
to approximately 0.07 lb/mmBtu, and a comparable reduction in
NOX mass emissions. This unit is not uniquely situated;
operating data for several other large SCR-equipped EGUs in
Pennsylvania show the same past pattern of cycling down to low load
levels at which the SCR controls cannot be operated, and these other
units have similar opportunities to cycle down to somewhat higher load
levels (necessarily subject to the needs and constraints of the
integrated electric system) at which their SCR controls can be
operated.\335\ No commenter has submitted data to the contrary.
Furthermore, this example demonstrates the need for this rule's
backstop emissions rate provision, which (had it been in place) would
have motivated this facility to operate its SCR overnight during the
2021 ozone season when the prevailing allowance price provided an
insufficient incentive to do so.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\335\ See the spreadsheet ``Conemaugh and Keystone unit 2021 to
2022 hourly ozone season data'' in the docket.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA disagrees with the comments advocating for a backstop daily
emissions rate lower or higher than 0.14 lb/mmBtu. In general, these
comments simply represent disagreements with the EPA's conclusions
regarding the identification of required emissions reductions under
this rule, as reflected in part by the EPA's conclusion that a seasonal
average emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu reasonably reflects the
seasonal average emissions rate achievable through optimization of
controls by existing SCR-equipped units that are not already achieving
a lower seasonal average emissions rate. Comments concerning the
selection of the 0.08 lb/mmBtu seasonal average emissions rate are
addressed in section V of this document. Commenters did not challenge
the EPA's analysis identifying a daily emissions rate of 0.14 lb/mmBtu
as comparable in stringency to a seasonal average emissions rate of
0.08 lb/mmBtu (see further discussion elsewhere in this section).
The EPA also disagrees with the comments stating that the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions should apply to units with existing SCR
controls starting in a control period earlier or later than the 2024
control period. The EPA does not consider implementation of the
provisions in the 2023 control period feasible because it is currently
unknown whether the necessary updates to the emissions recordkeeping
and reporting software for all the affected sources could be completed
and tested before July 30, 2023, which is the first quarterly reporting
deadline for the 2023 control period. Moreover, as discussed in section
VI.B.1.c.i of this document, implementing the requirements starting in
2024 will provide a window for EGUs to improve the consistency of SCR
operation or in some cases to optionally install additional emissions
monitoring equipment. As for the suggestion that implementation timing
of the backstop daily emissions rate provisions for units with existing
SCR controls should be synchronized with the later implementation
timing for units without existing SCR controls, the EPA is not
persuaded that there is any inequity in implementing provisions
intended to incentivize operation of SCR controls first at sources that
already have such controls and later at sources that do not already
have such controls, allowing time for the latter sources to install the
controls. In any event, in this instance, where some upwind sources
have an immediate and highly cost-effective option for controlling
their emissions, the statutory requirement for significant contribution
to be eliminated as expeditiously as practicable so as to provide
downwind states with the protection intended by the Good Neighbor
provision overrides these sources' claim of inequity relative to
sources whose emissions control options would take longer and have
higher cost. We conclude that the backstop daily emissions rate is an
important aspect of the elimination of significant contribution and
should be applied at the relevant units. It is only out of recognition
of unique circumstances associated with facilitating power-sector
transition as identified by commenters, that we defer the application
of the rate for the minority of units that have not yet installed SCR
controls.
Finally, with respect to the SCR-equipped units that share common
stacks with units that do not have SCR, the EPA disagrees that
monitoring cost considerations merit a later implementation date for
the backstop daily emissions rate provisions. As discussed in section
VI.B.10 of this document, five plants with this configuration are
covered by the rule (one of which has announced plans to retire in
2023). Under this rule, as proposed, the owner of a plant with this
[[Page 36796]]
configuration can choose between either upgrading the plant's
monitoring systems so as to obtain unit-specific NOX
emissions rate data for each unit subject to the backstop daily
emissions rate or else using the NOX emissions rate data
from the common stack, recognizing that the common stack emissions rate
would generally be biased upwards relative to the emissions rate that
could be reported for the SCR-equipped unit if that unit's emissions
were monitored separately. Commenters have suggested a third option of
a temporary exemption from the backstop emissions rate to avoid the
cost of upgrading their monitoring systems. With the timing for
implementation of the backstop emissions rate provisions for currently
uncontrolled units in the proposal, the temporary exemption for the
SCR-equipped units would have been in place for three control periods,
from 2024 through 2026. With the final rule's deferral of the
implementation of the backstop emissions rate provisions for the
uncontrolled units for up to three years, the suggested temporary
exemption for the SCR-equipped units would be in effect for up to six
control periods, from 2024 through 2029. The EPA does not consider it
reasonable to allow these SCR-equipped units an exemption from the
backstop rate provisions for six years to avoid the cost of upgrading
their monitoring systems, particularly given that the additional costs
of monitoring at the individual-unit level are already borne by the
large majority of other plants and the rule already provides these
plants with an alternative to the monitoring system upgrades, if
desired, by allowing the plants to use the emissions rate data from the
common stack.\336\
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\336\ The owner of one of the five plants with common stacks
submitted comments stating that no location in the plant's ductwork
could meet the criteria for a unit-specific monitoring location. As
discussed in section VI.B.10 of this document, EPA staff have
reviewed the comment and do not believe the commenter has provided
sufficient information to reach such a conclusion.
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Comment: With respect to units without existing SCRs, some
commenters viewed the backstop daily emissions rate provisions as
likely to make units without SCR altogether unwilling or unable to
operate and characterized the provisions as a mandate for such units to
install such controls or retire as of the control period when the
provisions are implemented. Other commenters acknowledged that the
provisions are not actually hard limits but stated that the higher
allowance surrender ratio for emissions in excess of the backstop daily
rate would nevertheless reduce the ability of such units to operate as
needed to back up intermittent renewable generation. Some commenters
claimed that inclusion of the backstop daily emissions rate provisions
would substantially eliminate the potential benefits of allowance
trading, because all units would have to meet the same emissions rate.
Some commenters stated that the proposed application of the daily
backstop emissions rate provisions in the 2027 control period in some
cases would occur only slightly before the units' otherwise planned
retirement dates, and that short-term reliability considerations could
create the need to make substantial investments in new controls at the
units, which in turn could result in deferral of the units' retirement
plans. In the proposal, the EPA requested comment on the possibility of
deferring the application of the backstop emissions rate provisions to
units without existing SCR controls until the 2029 control period if
the owners provided the EPA with information indicating with sufficient
certainty that the units would retire by the end of 2028. Commenters in
favor of this concept suggested longer deferral periods, ranging from
2029 through 2032, and some also suggested that the EPA should
simultaneously enlarge the emissions budgets to provide more allowances
for units subject to the deferred requirement. Other commenters opposed
any deferral of the applicability of the backstop rate provisions.
Response: The EPA disagrees that implementation of the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions for EGUs without existing SCR controls
constitutes a mandate for such units to install controls or retire but
agrees that, as intended, the provisions would create strong incentives
to minimize operation of the units unless and until controls are
installed, and further agrees that in some instances retirement and
replacement may be a more economically attractive option for the unit's
customers and/or owners than installation of new controls. The EPA's
rationale for determining at Step 3 that the control stringency
required to address states' good neighbor obligations includes
achievement of emissions rates consistent with good SCR performance at
all large coal-fired EGUs (other than circulating fluidized bed
boilers) is discussed in section V.D.1 of this document, and the EPA's
rationale for determining at Step 4 that the trading program should
include strong unit-level incentives to implement these controls is
discussed in section VI.B.1.c. of this document. As noted in section
VI.B.1.c of this document, the backstop daily emissions rate provisions
are structured as incremental allowance surrender requirements rather
than as directly enforceable emissions limits to incentivize improved
emissions performance at the individual unit level while continuing to
preserve, to the extent possible, the advantages that the flexibility
of a trading program brings to the electric power sector. The EPA
appreciates that, in comparison to previous transport rules using a
trading program mechanism for the power sector, the degree of
flexibility available under this rule is reduced both by the greater
stringency of the overall emissions reduction requirements, which leave
less room to accommodate emissions from high-emitting units such as
uncontrolled coal-fired units, and by the backstop daily emissions rate
provisions. However, the EPA maintains that the trading program
structure still is significantly more flexible than an array of
directly enforceable emissions limits imposed on all EGUs or even on
all coal-fired EGUs, and the comments do not show otherwise.
With respect to the comments concerning the timing for application
of the backstop daily emissions rate provisions to EGUs without
existing SCR controls, in the final rule the provisions will apply to
these units starting with the second control period in which newly
installed SCR controls are operational at the unit, but not later than
the 2030 control period. As discussed in section VI.B.1.d of this
document, the purpose of this change from the proposal is to address
concerns expressed by RTOs and other commenters that application of the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate to EGUs without existing
SCR controls starting in the 2027 control period would provide
insufficient time for planning and investments needed to facilitate the
unit retirements they viewed as likely to be a preferred compliance
pathway for some owners. The EPA recognizes that retrofitting new
emissions controls on aging coal-fired EGUs may be less environmentally
efficient than the alternative of retirement and replacement, which
could yield lower cumulative emissions of NOX and multiple
other pollutants over time. The EPA also recognizes that several coal-
fired EGUs have already been considering retirement in 2028 (or
earlier) under compliance pathways available under the Clean Water Act
effluent guidelines \337\ and the coal combustion residuals rule under
the
[[Page 36797]]
Resource Conservation and Recovery Act.\338\ The year 2028 also
represents the end of the second planning period under the Regional
Haze program, and thus is a significant year in states' planning of
strategies to make reasonable progress towards natural visibility at
Class I areas.\339\ In addition, other regulatory actions at the state
or Federal level are being or recently have been proposed. This
includes among other things a proposed revision to the PM NAAQS for
which transport SIPs would be due later in the 2020s. We understand
that EGUs may wish to take the entire regulatory and market landscape
into account when deciding whether to invest in SCR or pursue other
NOX reduction strategies. To facilitate a unit-level
compliance alternative under this rule that maintains the
NOX reductions corresponding to SCR-level emissions control
performance required by the state budgets from 2026 forward and that is
potentially superior both economically and environmentally across
multiple regulatory programs than installation of new, capital-
intensive, post-combustion controls, the EPA is providing the fleet
more flexibility in how to achieve those emissions reductions in the
years through 2029. Relatedly, the deferral of the application of the
backstop emissions rate provisions to uncontrolled units also addresses
commenters' concerns that the provisions otherwise would reduce the
ability of uncontrolled units to operate as needed to back up
intermittent renewable generation (subject of course to the allowance-
holding requirements to cover emissions). The deferral addresses this
concern directly for the period through 2029, by eliminating
application of the backstop provisions to uncontrolled EGUs through
this period, and also indirectly after 2029, by ensuring the
availability of sufficient time for owners and operators to complete
other investments that may be needed to back up renewable generation
after that point.
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\337\ See 40 CFR 423.11(w).
\338\ See 40 CFR 257.103(b).
\339\ See 40 CFR 51.308(f).
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The EPA disagrees with the comments stating that application of the
backstop daily emissions rate provisions to uncontrolled units should
not be deferred and also disagrees with the comments stating that
deferral should be accompanied by increases in the state emissions
budgets reflecting higher assumed emissions rates for these units. The
responses to these two comments are related. This rule complies with
the mandate for the EPA to address good neighbor obligations as
expeditiously as practicable and is based on a demonstration that
emissions reductions commensurate with the overall emissions control
strategy at Step 3 can be achieved beginning in the 2027 ozone season
(following a two-year phase in of emissions reductions associated with
installation of SCR retrofits). In the RIA, we demonstrate that EGUs
will have multiple pathways to meeting the state budgets even if they
choose not to install the SCR controls--thus no relaxation in the
stringency of these budgets has been demonstrated to be warranted based
on feasibility, necessity, or impossibility. The EGU economic modeling
discussed in the RIA illustrates that many sources identified as
currently having SCR retrofit potential elect not to install a SCR, and
those that do retrofit SCR make no such installation until 2030. Yet,
the fleet is able to comply with 2026 state emissions budgets (whose
emissions reductions are premised in large part on assumed SCR
retrofits) through reduced utilization (many of these units are
projected to retire, and thus reduce emissions). While these changes in
coal fleet utilization are not required or imposed through the EPA's
state emissions budgets, they are projected to be an economic
preference for a substantial portion of the unretrofitted fleet owing
to future market and policy conditions. If sources do ultimately elect
this pathway, then compliance will occur with significantly less demand
on SCR retrofit labor and material markets than assumed at Step 3. The
daily emissions rates are a backstop to the broader emissions reduction
requirements, which we view as an important and necessary component to
the elimination of significant contribution. But we also recognize that
the objectives to be accomplished by the backstop must be balanced with
larger economic and environmental conditions facing EGUs for which a
deferral of the backstop rate ultimately is the most reasonable
approach given these competing concerns. See Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 320
(``EPA, though, possesses a measure of latitude in defining which
upwind contribution `amounts' count as `significant[ ]' and thus must
be abated.''). As noted in section VI.B.1.d of this document, the EPA
finds that as long as state emissions budgets continue to reflect the
required degree of emissions reductions at least for an interim period
until the backstop rate would apply more uniformly, deferral of the
backstop rate requirement for uncontrolled units in recognition of the
transition period identified by commenters can be justified on the
basis of the greater long-term environmental benefits obtained through
greater compliance flexibility.
8. Unit-Specific Emissions Limitations Contingent on Assurance Level
Exceedances
As emphasized by the D.C. Circuit in its decision invalidating
CAIR, under the CAA's good neighbor provision, emissions ``within the
State'' that contribute significantly to nonattainment or interfere
with maintenance of a NAAQS in another state must be prohibited. North
Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 906-08 (D.C. Cir. 2008). The CAIR
trading programs contained no provisions limiting the degree to which a
state could rely on net purchased allowances as a substitute for making
in-state emissions reductions, an omission which the court found was
inconsistent with the requirements of the good neighbor provision. Id.
In response to that holding, the EPA established the CSAPR trading
programs' assurance provisions to ensure that, in the context of a
flexible trading program, the emissions reductions required under the
good neighbor provision in fact will take place within the state. The
EPA believes the assurance provisions have generally been successful in
achieving that objective, as evidenced by the fact that since the
assurance provisions took effect in 2017, out of the nearly 300
instances where a given state's compliance with the assurance
provisions of a given CSAPR trading program for a given control period
has been assessed, a state's collective emissions have exceeded the
applicable assurance level only four times.
Unfortunately, the EPA also recognizes that the assurance
provisions' very good historical compliance record is not good enough.
The four past exceedances all occurred under the Group 2 trading
program: sources in Mississippi collectively exceeded their applicable
assurance levels in the 2019 and 2020 control periods, and sources in
Missouri collectively exceeded their applicable assurance levels in the
2020 and 2021 control periods.\340\ Both of the exceedances by Missouri
sources could easily have been avoided if the owner and operator of
several SCR-equipped,
[[Page 36798]]
coal-fired steam units had not chosen to idle the units' controls and
rely instead on net out-of-state purchased allowances. The exceedances
were large, and ample quantities of allowances to cover the resulting
3-for-1 allowance surrender requirements were purchased in advance,
suggesting that the assurance level exceedances may have been
anticipated as a possibility. In the case of the Mississippi
exceedances, the exceedances were smaller, operational variability
(manifesting as increased heat input) appears to have been a material
contributing factor, and the EPA has not concluded that the owners and
operators anticipated the exceedances. However, an additional
contributing factor was the fact that several large, gas-fired steam
units without SCR controls emitted NOX at average rates much
higher than the average emissions rates the same units had achieved in
previous control periods. In short, while the Missouri exceedances
appear far more significant, the EPA's analysis indicates that all four
past exceedances could have been avoided if the units most responsible
had achieved emissions rates more comparable to the same units'
previous performance. In the EPA's view, the operation of the Missouri
units in particular--although not prohibited by the current regulatory
requirements--cannot be reconciled with the statutory requirements of
the good neighbor provision. The fact that such operation is not
prohibited by the current regulations therefore indicates a deficiency
in the current regulatory requirements.
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\340\ Information on the assurance level exceedances in the
2019, 2020, and 2021 control periods is available in the final
notices concerning EPA's administration of the assurance provisions
for those control periods. 85 FR 53364 (August 28, 2020); 86 FR
52674 (September 22, 2021); 87 FR 57695 (September 21, 2022).
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To correct the deficiency in the regulatory requirements, the EPA
in this rulemaking is revising the Group 3 trading program regulations
to establish an additional emissions limitation to more effectively
deter avoidable assurance level exceedances starting with the 2024
control period. Because the pollutant involved is ozone season
NOX and the particular sources for which deterrence is most
needed are located in states that are transitioning from the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading program, the EPA is promulgating
the strengthening provisions as revisions to the Group 3 trading
program regulations rather than the Group 2 trading program
regulations.\341\
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\341\ The EPA believes that the occurrence of avoidable
assurance level exceedances under the Group 2 trading program,
combined with the express statutory directive that good neighbor
obligations must be addressed ``within the state,'' and through
``prohibition,'' would also provide a sufficient legal basis for the
Agency to promulgate the same revisions to the assurance provisions
for all the other CSAPR trading programs. The EPA is not doing so at
this time because the Agency has seen no reason to expect
exceedances of the assurance levels under any of the other CSAPR
trading programs by any of the states that will remain subject to
the respective trading programs after this rulemaking, except
possibly by Missouri under the CSAPR NOX Annual Trading
Program. The EPA expects that reductions in Missouri's seasonal
NOX emissions sufficient to comply with the proposed
provisions of the revised Group 3 trading program, including the
secondary emissions limitations, would also prevent exceedances of
Missouri's currently applicable assurance level for annual
NOX emissions.
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The two historical emissions-related compliance requirements in the
Group 3 trading program regulations are both structured in the form of
requirements to hold allowances. The first requirement applies at the
source level: specifically, at the compliance deadline after each
control period, the owners and operators of each source covered by the
program must surrender a quantity of allowances that is determined
based on the emissions from the units at the source during the control
period. The second requirement applies at the designated representative
level (which typically is the owner or operator level): if the state's
sources collectively emit in excess of the state's assurance level, the
owners and operators of each set of sources determined to have
contributed to the exceedance must surrender an additional quantity of
allowances. As long as a source's owners and operators comply with
these two allowance surrender requirements (and meet certain other
requirements not related to the amounts of the sources' emissions),
they are in compliance with the program.
In light of the operation of the Missouri sources, the EPA is
doubtful that strengthening the assurance provisions by increasing
allowance surrender requirements at the unit, source, or designated
representative level would create a sufficient deterrent. Accordingly,
the EPA is instead adding a new, unit-level emissions limitation
structured as a prohibition to emit NOX in excess of a
defined amount. A violation of the prohibition will not trigger
additional allowance surrender requirements beyond the surrender
requirements that would otherwise apply, but will trigger the possible
application of the CAA's enforcement authorities. The new emissions
limitation will be in addition to, not in lieu of, the other
requirements of the Group 3 trading program. This point is being made
explicit by relabeling the source-level allowance holding requirement,
currently called the ``emissions limitation,'' as the ``primary
emissions limitation'' and labeling the new unit-level requirement as
the ``secondary emissions limitation.'' (The regulations label the
designated representative-level requirement as ``compliance with the .
. . assurance provisions.'')
Because the purpose of the new unit-level secondary emissions
limitation is to deter conduct causing exceedances of a state's
assurance level, the EPA is conditioning applicability of the new
limitation on (1) the occurrence of an exceedance of the state's
assurance level for the control period, and (2) the apportionment of at
least some of the responsibility for the assurance level exceedance to
the set of units represented by the unit's designated representative.
Apportionment of responsibility for the assurance level exceedance will
be carried out according to the existing assurance provision procedures
and will therefore depend on the designated representative's shares of
both the state's total emissions for the control period and the state's
assurance level for the control period. To ensure that the secondary
emissions limitation is focused on units where the need for improved
incentives is greatest, and also to ensure that the limitation will not
apply to units used only to meet peak electricity demand, the
limitation applies only to units that are equipped with post-combustion
controls (i.e., SCR or SNCR) and that operated for at least ten percent
of the hours in the control period in question and in at least one
previous control period.
For units to which a secondary emissions limitation applies in a
given control period based on the conditions just summarized, the
limitation is defined by a formula in the regulations. The formula is
generally designed to compute the potential amount the unit would have
emitted during the control period, given its actual heat input during
the control period, if the unit had achieved an average emissions rate
equal to the unit's lowest average emissions rate in a previous control
period plus a margin of 25 percent. To ensure that the data used to
establish the unit's lowest previous average emissions rate are
representative and of high quality, only past control periods where the
unit participated in a CSAPR trading program for ozone season
NOX and operated in at least ten percent of the hours in the
control period are considered. Further, to avoid causing units that
achieve emissions rates lower than 0.08 lb/mmBtu from becoming subject
to more stringent secondary emissions limitations in subsequent control
periods, the secondary emissions limitation formula uses a
[[Page 36799]]
floor emissions rate of 0.10 lb/mmBtu (which is 0.08 lb/mmBtu plus the
formula's 25 percent margin). In addition to making sure that
performance better than 0.08 lb/mmBtu is not disincentivized, the
inclusion of the floor emissions rate also ensures that no unit
achieving an average emissions rate of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or less in a given
control period will exceed a secondary emissions limitation in that
control period. Finally, the formula includes a 50-ton threshold, which
will avert violations for small performance deviations at large EGUs
and also ensure that no unit emitting less than 50 tons in a given
control period will exceed a secondary emissions limitation in that
control period.
In summary, a secondary emissions limitation is applicable to a
unit for a given control period only if the state's assurance level is
exceeded, responsibility for the exceedance is apportioned at least in
part to the set of units represented by the unit's designated
representative, the unit is equipped with post-combustion controls, and
the unit operated for at least ten percent of the hours in the control
period. Where a secondary emissions limitation applies to a unit for a
given control period, the amount of the limitation is computed as the
sum of 50 tons plus the product of (1) the unit's heat input for the
control period times (2) a NOX emissions rate of 0.10 lb/
mmBtu or, if higher, 125 percent times the lowest seasonal average
NOX emissions rate achieved by the unit in a previous
control period when the unit participated in a CSAPR trading program
for ozone season NOX emissions and operated in at least ten
percent of the hours in the control period.\342\
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\342\ For the actual regulatory language, see 40 CFR 97.1025(c)
as added by this rule.
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Table VI.B.8-1 shows the secondary emissions limitations that the
formula would have produced and which units would have exceeded those
limitations if the limitations and formula had been in effect for the
Group 2 trading program in 2020 and 2021 when assurance level
exceedances occurred in Missouri. Following consideration of comments,
the EPA believes that in each case the formula functions in a
reasonable manner, and the Missouri units identified as exceeding their
respective secondary emissions limitations are sources for which an
enforcement deterrent under CAA sections 113 and 304 would have been
appropriate to compel better control of NOX emissions. Table
VI.B.8-1 does not show any units that would have been identified as
subject to secondary emissions limitations in the case of the 2019 and
2020 assurance level exceedances in Mississippi because no units in the
state meeting all conditions for applicability--including the
requirement to be equipped with post-combustion controls--exceeded
their respective limitations.
Table VI.B.8-1--Illustrative Results of Applying Secondary Emissions Limitation in Previous Instances of Assurance Level Exceedances
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125% of Lowest
previously Actual NOX Secondary Actual NOX
Owner/operator Unit achieved NOX emissions rate emissions emissions Exceedance
emissions rate (lb/mmBtu) limitation (tons) (tons)
(lb/mmBtu) (tons)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Missouri--2020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ New Madrid 1................... 0.135 0.670 961 4,524 3,563
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ New Madrid 2................... 0.131 0.497 866 3,108 2,242
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ Thomas Hill 1.................. 0.123 0.526 374 1,384 1,010
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ Thomas Hill 2.................. 0.122 0.537 548 2,187 1,639
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ Thomas Hill 3.................. 0.104 0.195 780 1,374 594
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Missouri--2021
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ New Madrid 1................... 0.135 0.652 353 1,466 1,113
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ New Madrid 2................... 0.131 0.611 1,054 4,700 3,646
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ Thomas Hill 1.................. 0.123 0.146 421 440 19
Assoc. Elec. Coop............................ Thomas Hill 2.................. 0.122 0.400 600 1,801 1,201
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For further illustrations of the application of the secondary
emissions limitation formula to other units in the states to be subject
to the expanded Group 3 trading program in the control periods from
2016 through 2021, see the spreadsheet ``Illustrative Calculations
Using Proposed Secondary Emissions Limitation Formula,'' available in
the docket. The EPA notes that, with the exception of the units listed
in Table VI.B.8-1, no unit shown in the spreadsheet as having emissions
exceeding the illustrative secondary emissions limitation calculated
for the unit would have violated the prohibition because no violation
would occur in the absence of an exceedance of the assurance level and
apportionment of responsibility for a share of the exceedance to the
unit under the assurance provisions.
The secondary emissions limitation provisions are being finalized
as proposed except for the addition of the condition that a unit to
which the provisions apply must be equipped with post-combustion
controls. The EPA's responses to comments concerning the secondary
emissions limitation provisions, including the comments giving rise to
the change just mentioned, are in the remainder of this section and
section 5 of the RTC document.
Comment: Some commenters stated that the secondary emissions
limitation is not necessary, or would be a disproportionate remedy,
because experience shows that exceedances of the assurance level have
been rare, and where exceedances of a state's assurance level have
occurred, the 3-for-1 surrender ratio under the existing regulations
has applied, providing a sufficient remedy.
Response: The EPA disagrees with these comments. The purpose of the
assurance provisions in the CSAPR trading programs is to ensure that
the emissions reductions required to address a state's obligations
under the Good Neighbor Provision occur ``within the state'' as
mandated by the CAA. See North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 906-08
(D.C. Cir. 2008). Prior to this action, the sole consequence for an
exceedance of a state's assurance level
[[Page 36800]]
has been a requirement to surrender two additional allowances for each
ton of the exceedance. The repeated, large, foreseeable, and easily
avoidable exceedances of Missouri's assurance level under the Group 2
trading program in 2020 and 2021 have made clear that a remedy based
solely on additional allowance surrenders is insufficient to address
this statutory requirement and that a materially stronger deterrent is
needed.
Comment: Some commenters stated that the secondary emissions
limitation could apply to exceedances caused by factors outside the
control of the EGU operator, going beyond the EPA's intent of deterring
exceedances that are foreseeable and avoidable. For example, commenters
pointed out that some units that typically combust gas may sometimes be
ordered to combust oil at times when supplies of gas are constrained
and expressed concern that the resulting higher NOX
emissions could cause a unit to exceed its secondary emissions
limitation. Another commenter stated that it is not uncommon for units'
seasonal average NOX emissions rate to vary by more than 25
percent across control periods.
Response: The EPA agrees that the secondary emissions limitation is
intended to apply to units in a position to avert an exceedance of a
state's assurance level. The contention that year-to-year variability
of 25 percent in units' seasonal average emissions rates is common is
not in itself a persuasive reason to omit the secondary emissions
limitation from the final rule, because the mere existence of such
variability says nothing about whether the operators of those units
could reduce that variability through their operational decisions, and
the commenter provided no data regarding the extent to which the
historical variability was avoidable. However, the EPA agrees that a
secondary emissions limitation should be designed to avoid application
to a unit whose increase in emissions rate was caused by mandated
combustion of a higher-NOX fuel than the unit's normal fuel.
Moreover, based on the analysis of the secondary emissions limitation
formula prepared for the proposal, the EPA has reviewed the
applicability of the limitation more generally and has determined that
it should apply only to units with post-combustion controls, which are
the units with the greatest ability to manage their emissions rates
through their operating behavior. This modification will avoid
application of a secondary emissions limitation in situations where a
unit's increase in seasonal average NOX emissions rate
relative to past control periods is caused by factors in that control
period beyond the operator's control, such as being mandated by a
regulator to combust a higher proportion of oil or operating for a
higher proportion of hours at load levels where the unit has a higher
NOX emissions rate for reasons other than non-operation of
emissions controls.
Comment: Some commenters asserted that because it is not known if a
state's assurance level has been exceeded until after the end of the
control period, EGU operators would be unable to know whether the
secondary emissions limitation would apply to them during the control
period. Some of these commenters suggested that where a unit has been
found to have contributed to an assurance level exceedance, the EPA
should apply a secondary emissions limitation to the unit not in that
control period but instead in the following control period.
Commenters suggested that uncertainty about whether a unit would be
subject to a secondary emissions limitation could have a variety of
undesirable consequences. For example, they asserted that some EGUs
could become unwilling to operate when needed for reliability because
they would be concerned that merely operating more than in previous
control periods could cause a unit to exceed its limitation. One
commenter asserted that the uncertainty would make it difficult for an
owner of multiple EGUs to use allowances allocated to one EGU to meet
another EGU's surrender requirements, possibly leading to operating
restrictions on multiple EGUs.
Response: The EPA disagrees with these comments. While an operator
cannot be certain that the secondary emissions limitation will apply to
a particular EGU until after the end of a control period, the operator
can be certain that the limitation will not apply to a particular EGU
simply by ensuring that the unit's seasonal average NOX
emissions rate does not exceed the higher of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or 125
percent of the unit's lowest seasonal average NOX emissions
rate in a previous control period under a CSAPR trading program
(excluding control periods where the unit operated for less than 10
percent of the hours). Because any operator of a unit with post-
combustion controls can readily avoid being subject to the limitation,
there is no need for application of the limitation to be deferred to
the following control period. Deferral of the limitation's application
would also have the effect of excusing a unit's first contribution to
an assurance level exceedance, which the EPA views as inappropriate
when that exceedance could have been avoided.
The asserted possible consequences of uncertainty about whether the
limitation would apply rest on mischaracterizations of the provision.
The formula for the limitation reflects the unit's actual heat input
for the control period, so there is no penalty for increased operation
as long as the unit's seasonal NOX average emissions rate
stays below the level just referenced. Finally, nothing about the
secondary emissions limitation disincentivizes an EGU fleet owner from
transferring allocated allowances among the fleet's EGUs, because
apportionment of responsibility for an assurance level exceedance--one
of the conditions for application of the secondary emissions
limitation--is determined at the level of the group of units
represented by a common designated representative (typically the set of
all units operated by a particular owner) rather than the individual
unit.
Comment: Some commenters stated that the EPA should revise the
secondary emissions limitation formula so that where a limitation
applies to a unit, the unit's previous NOX emissions rate
used in the formula would not be subject to any floor. These commenters
also recommended that if the secondary emissions limitation provisions
are not finalized, the EPA instead should raise the allowance surrender
ratio applied to exceedances of the assurance level in this final rule.
Response: The EPA disagrees with the suggestion to remove the
emissions rate floor from the secondary emissions limitation formula,
which would have the effect of making the limitation more stringent for
any unit that has achieved a seasonal average NOX emissions
rate lower than 0.08 lb/mmBtu in a past control period. As indicated by
their label, the secondary emissions limitation provisions play a
secondary role in the Group 3 trading program regulations, specifically
to provide the strongest possible deterrent against conduct leading to
foreseeable and avoidable exceedances of a state's assurance level. The
distinguishing feature of the secondary emissions limitation provisions
is therefore the remedy for an exceedance, which is potential
application of the CAA's enforcement authorities. The trading program's
primary role of achieving required emissions reductions in a more
flexible and cost-effective manner than command-and-control regulation
is played by the primary emissions limitation provisions, which are
structured as allowance surrender requirements. Within this overall
[[Page 36801]]
trading program structure, the EPA considers it sufficient for the
operation of units at emissions rates lower than 0.08 lb/mmBtu to be
incentivized through the allowance surrender requirements instead of
being mandated through potential application of the CAA's enforcement
authorities.
The recommendation to raise the allowance surrender ratio
applicable to exceedances of the assurance level if the secondary
emissions limitation is not finalized is moot because the secondary
emissions limitation is being finalized.
9. Unit-Level Allowance Allocation and Recordation Procedures
In this rule, the EPA is establishing default procedures for
allocating CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
(``Group 3 allowances'') in amounts equal to each state emissions
budget for each control period among the sources in the state for use
in complying with the Group 3 trading program. Like the allocation
processes established in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR
Update, the revised allocation process finalized in this rule is
designed to provide default allowance allocations to all units that are
subject to allowance holding requirements. The EPA's allocations and
allocation procedures apply for the 2023 control period \343\ and, by
default, for subsequent control periods unless and until a state or
tribe provides state-determined or tribe-determined allowance
allocations under an approved SIP revision or tribal implementation
plan.\344\
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\343\ The rule does not include an option for states to replace
the EPA's unit-level allocations for the 2023 control period because
the Agency believes a process for obtaining appropriately authorized
allowance allocations determined by a state or tribe could not be
completed in time for those allocations to be recorded before the
end of the 2023 control period.
\344\ The options for states to submit SIP revisions that would
replace the EPA's default allowance allocations are discussed in
sections VI.D.1, VI.D.2, and VI.D.3 of this document. Similarly, for
a covered area of Indian country not subject to a state's CAA
implementation planning authority, a tribe could elect to work with
the EPA under the Tribal Authority Rule to develop a full or partial
tribal implementation plan under which the tribe would determine
allowance allocations that would replace the EPA's default
allocations for subsequent control periods.
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The default allocation process for the Group 3 trading program as
updated in this rule involves three main steps. First, portions of each
state emissions budget for each control period are reserved for
potential allocation to units that are subject to allowance holding
requirements and that might not otherwise receive allowance allocations
in the overall allocation process, including both ``existing'' units in
any areas of Indian country not subject to a state's CAA implementation
planning authority as well as ``new'' units anywhere within a state's
borders.\345\ Second, in advance of each control period, the unreserved
portion of the state budget is allocated among the state's eligible
existing units, any portion of the state budget reserved for existing
units in Indian country not subject to the state's CAA implementation
planning authority is allocated among those units, and the allocations
are recorded in the respective sources' compliance accounts. Finally,
after the control period but before the compliance deadline by which
sources must hold allowances to cover their emissions for the control
period, allowances from the portion of the budget reserved for new
units are allocated to qualifying units, any remaining reserved
allowances not allocated to qualifying units are allocated among the
state's existing units, and the allocations are recorded in the
respective sources' compliance accounts.
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\345\ Under this rule, the unit-level allocations to
``existing'' units are generally computed in the year before the
year of each control period, and the determination of whether to
treat a particular unit as existing for purposes of that control
period's allocations is made as part of the allocation process,
generally based on whether the Agency has the data needed to compute
an allocation for the unit as an existing unit. A unit that is
subject to allowance holding requirements for a given control period
and that did not receive an allocation for that control period as an
existing unit is generally eligible to receive an allocation from
the portion of the budget reserved for ``new'' units. For further
discussion of which units are considered eligible for allocations as
existing units or new units in particular control periods, see
sections VI.B.9.b and VI.B.9.c.
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While the overall three-step allocation process summarized in this
section was also followed in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised
CSAPR Update, in this rule the EPA is making revisions to each step to
better address units in Indian country and to better coordinate the
unit-level allocation process with the dynamic budget-setting process
discussed in section VI.B.4 of this document. The revisions to the
three steps are discussed in sections VI.B.9.a, VI.B.9.b, and VI.B.9.c,
respectively.
a. Set-Asides of Portions of State Emissions Budgets
The first step of the overall unit-level allocation process for a
given control period involves reserving portions of each state's budget
for the control period in ``set-asides.'' In this rule, the EPA is
making several revisions affecting the establishment of set-asides. The
first revision, which is largely unrelated to the other aspects of this
rulemaking, will update the regulations for the Group 3 trading program
\346\ to reflect the D.C. Circuit's holding in ODEQ v. EPA that the
relevant states have initial CAA implementation planning authority in
non-reservation areas of Indian country until displaced by a
demonstration of tribal jurisdiction over such an area.\347\ Consistent
with this holding, the EPA is revising language in the Group 3 trading
program regulations that prior to this rule, for purposes of allocating
allowances from a given state's emissions budget, distinguished between
(1) the set of units within the state's borders that are not in Indian
country and (2) the set of units within the state's borders that are in
Indian country. As revised, the provisions now distinguish between (1)
the set of units within the state's borders that are not in Indian
country or are in areas of Indian country covered by the state's CAA
implementation planning authority and (2) the set of units within the
state's borders that are in areas of Indian country not covered by the
state's CAA implementation planning authority. The revised language
more accurately distinguishes which units are, or are not, covered by a
state's CAA implementation planning authority, which is the underlying
purpose for which the term ``Indian country'' is currently used in the
allowance allocation provisions. The effect of the revision is that any
units located in areas of ``Indian country'' as defined in 18 U.S.C.
1151 that are covered by a state's CAA implementation planning
authority will be treated for allowance allocation purposes in the same
manner as units in areas of the state that are not Indian country,
consistent with the ODEQ holding.\348\
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\346\ As discussed in section VI.B.13, the EPA is also making
this revision to the regulations for the other CSAPR trading
programs in addition to the Group 3 trading program.
\347\ For additional discussion of the ODEQ v. EPA decision and
other issues related to the CAA implementation planning authority of
states, tribes, and the EPA in various areas of Indian country, see
section III.C.2.
\348\ The EPA notes that the units that will be treated for
allocation purposes in the same manner as units not in Indian
country will include units in any areas of Indian country subject to
a state's CAA implementation planning authority, whether those are
non-reservation areas (consistent with ODEQ) or reservation areas
(such as areas of Indian country within Oklahoma's borders covered
by the EPA's October 1, 2020 approval of Oklahoma's request under
SAFETEA, as discussed in section III.C.2).
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The remaining revisions, which are interrelated, concern the types
of set-asides that in the context of this rule will best accomplish the
goal of ensuring the availability of allocations to units that are
subject to allowance holding requirements and that would
[[Page 36802]]
not otherwise receive allowance allocations. One revision to the types
of set-asides addresses allocations to existing units in Indian
country. The revised geographic scope of the Group 3 trading program
under this rule will for the first time include an existing EGU in
Indian country not covered by a state's CAA implementation planning
authority--the Bonanza coal-fired unit in the Uintah and Ouray
Reservation within Utah's borders. To provide an option for Utah (or a
similarly situated state in the future) to replace the Agency's default
allowance allocations to most existing units with state-determined
allocations through a SIP revision while continuing to ensure the
availability of a default allocation to the Bonanza unit, which is not
subject to the state's jurisdiction or control (or similarly situated
units in the future), the EPA is revising the Group 3 trading program
regulations to provide for ``Indian country existing unit set-asides.''
Specifically, for each state and for each control period where the set
of units within a state's borders eligible to receive allocations as
existing units includes one or more units \349\ in an area of Indian
country not covered by the state's CAA implementation planning
authority, the EPA will reserve a portion of the state's emissions
budget in an Indian country existing unit set-aside for the unit or
units. The amount of each Indian country existing unit set-aside will
equal the sum of the default allocations that the units covered by the
set-aside would receive if the allocations to all existing units within
the state's borders were computed according to EPA's default allocation
procedure (which is discussed in section VI.B.9.b of this document).
Immediately after determining the amount of a state's emissions budget
for a control period (and after reserving a portion for potential
allocation to new units, as discussed later in this section), the EPA
will first determine the default allocations for all existing units
within the state's borders, then allocate the appropriate quantity of
allowances to the Indian country existing unit set-aside, then allocate
the allowances from the set-aside to the covered units in Indian
country, and finally record the allocations in the sources' compliance
accounts at the same time as the allocations to other sources not in
Indian country. The existence of the Indian country existing unit set-
aside thus will have no substantive effect unless and until the
relevant state chooses to replace the EPA's default allowance
allocations through a SIP revision, in which case the state would have
the ability to establish state-determined allocations for the units
subject to the state's CAA implementation planning authority while the
EPA would continue to administer the Indian country existing unit set-
aside for the units in Indian country not covered by the state's CAA
implementation planning authority.\350\ The EPA believes the
establishment of Indian country existing unit set-asides accomplishes
the objective of allowing states to control allowance allocations to
units covered by their CAA implementation planning authority while
ensuring that the allocations to units in Indian country not covered by
such authority remain under Federal authority (unless replaced by a
tribal implementation plan).
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\349\ In coordination with the dynamic budgeting process
discussed in section VI.B.4, each unit included in the unit
inventory used to determine a state's dynamic emissions budget for a
given control period in 2026 or a later year will be considered an
``existing'' unit for that control period for purposes of the
determination of unit-level allowance allocations. In other words,
there will no longer be a single fixed date that divides
``existing'' from ``new'' units.
\350\ As noted in section VI.D, a tribe could elect to work with
EPA under the Tribal Authority Rule to develop a full or partial
tribal implementation plan under which the tribe would determine
allowance allocations for units in the relevant area of Indian
country that would replace EPA's default allocations for subsequent
control periods.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The remaining revisions to the types of set-asides address the set-
asides used to ensure availability of allowance allocations to new
units in light of the division of the budget for existing units into a
reserved portion for existing units in Indian country and an unreserved
portion for other existing units. Under the Group 3 trading program
regulations as in effect before this rule, allowances for new units
have been provided from separate new unit set-asides and Indian country
new unit set-asides. Under this rule, the EPA is combining these two
types of set-asides starting with the 2023 control period by
eliminating the Indian country new unit set-asides and expanding
eligibility for allocations from the new unit set-asides to include
units anywhere within the relevant states' borders. However, as with
the Indian country new unit set-asides under the current regulations,
the EPA will continue to administer the new unit set-asides in the
event a state chooses to replace the EPA's default allocations to
existing units with state-determined allocations, thereby ensuring the
availability of allocations to any new units not covered by a state's
CAA implementation planning authority.
The reason for the revisions to the new unit set-asides and Indian
country new unit set-asides is to avoid unnecessary and potentially
inequitable changes to the degree to which individual existing units
contribute to, or benefit from, the new unit set-asides. The allowances
used to establish these set-asides are reserved from each state
emissions budget before determination of the allocations from the
unreserved portion of the budget to existing units, so that certain
existing units--generally those receiving the largest allocations--
contribute to creation of the set-asides through roughly proportional
reductions in their allocations. Later, if any allowances in a set-
aside are not allocated to qualifying new units, the remaining
allowances are reallocated to the existing units in proportion to their
initial allocations from the unreserved portion of the budget, so that
certain existing units--again, generally those receiving the largest
allocations--benefit from the reallocations in rough proportion to
their previous contributions.\351\ The EPA believes maintaining this
symmetry, where the same existing units--whether in Indian country or
not--both contribute to and potentially benefit from the set-asides, is
a reasonable policy objective, and doing so requires that the EPA
continue to administer the new unit set-asides in the event a state
chooses to replace the EPA's default allocations to existing units with
state-determined allocations, because otherwise the EPA would be unable
to maintain Federal implementation authority and ensure that the units
in Indian country would receive an appropriate share of any reallocated
allowances.\352\ The principal difference between the new unit set-
asides and the Indian country new unit set-asides under the regulations
in effect before this rule was that, if a state chose to replace the
EPA's default allocations with state-determined allocations, the state
would take over administration of the new unit set-aside, but not any
Indian country new unit set-aside.
[[Page 36803]]
Under the revised regulations finalized in this rule, states will not
be able to take over administration of the new unit set-asides in this
situation. Therefore, there is no longer any reason to establish
separate Indian country new unit set-asides in order to preserve
Federal (and potentially tribal) authority to implement the rule in
areas of Indian country subject to tribal jurisdiction.
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\351\ Under the regulations in effect before this final rule,
allowances from an Indian country new unit set-aside that are not
allocated to qualifying new units in Indian country are first
transferred to the state's new unit set-aside, and if the allowances
are not allocated to qualifying new units elsewhere within the
state's borders, the allowances are then reallocated to the state's
existing units.
\352\ If units in Indian country were unable to share in the
benefits of reallocation of allowances from the new unit set-asides,
it would be possible to achieve a different form of symmetry by
simultaneously exempting the units in Indian country from the
obligation to share in the contribution of allowances to the new
unit set-asides. However, some stakeholders might view this
alternative as potentially inequitable because existing units in
Indian country would then make no contributions toward the new unit
set-aside while other existing units would still be required to do
so.
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With respect to the total amounts of allowances that will be set
aside for potential allocation to new units from the emissions budgets
for each state, for the control periods in 2023 through 2025 (but not
for subsequent control periods, as discussed later in this section),
the EPA is establishing total set-aside amounts equal to the projected
amounts of emissions from any planned units in the state for the
control period, plus an additional base 2 percent of the state
emissions budget to address any unknown new units, with a minimum total
amount of 5 percent. For example, if planned units in a state are
projected to emit 4 percent of the state's NOX ozone season
emissions budget, then the new unit set-aside for the state would be
set at 6 percent, which is the sum of the 4 percent for planned units
plus the base 2 percent for unknown new units. Alternatively, if
planned new units are projected to emit only 1 percent of the state's
budget, the new unit set-aside would be set at the minimum 5 percent
amount. Except for the addition of the 5 percent minimum, which is a
change being made in response to comments, the approach to setting the
new unit set-aside amounts is generally the same approach previously
used to establish the amounts of new unit set-asides in CSAPR, the
CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update for all the CSAPR trading
programs. See, e.g., 76 FR 48292 (August 8, 2011).
As under the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA is making an exception
for New York for the 2023 through 2025 control periods, establishing a
total new unit set-aside amount for each control period of 5 percent of
the state's emissions budget, with no additional consideration for
planned units, because this approach is consistent with New York's
preferences as reflected in an approved SIP addressing allowance
allocations for the Group 2 trading program.
The final regulations issued under this rule specify the new unit
set-aside amounts in terms of the percentages of the state emissions
budgets. The amounts are shown in Tables VI.B.9.a-1, VI.B.9.a-2, and
VI.B.9.a-3 of this document show the tonnage amounts of the new unit
set-asides for the control periods in 2023 through 2025 that are
computed by multiplying the new unit set-aside percentages by the
preset budgets finalized in this rule for those control periods. The
amounts of the 2023 new unit set-asides are illustrative because they
do not reflect the impact of transitional adjustments included in the
rule that that are likely to affect the 2023 budgets as
implemented.\353\ The amounts of the 2024 and 2025 new unit set-asides
are the actual amounts, because the 2024 and 2025 budgets computed in
this rule are the budgets that will be implemented, without any need
for transitional adjustments.
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\353\ As discussed in section VI.B.12, the EPA expects that this
final rule will become effective after May 1, 2023, causing the
emissions budgets for the 2023 control period to be adjusted under
the rule's transitional provisions so as to ensure that the new
budgets will apply only after the rule's effective date. The actual
new unit set-asides for the 2023 control period will be computed
using the adjusted budgets, but the 2023 budget amounts shown in
Table VI.B.9.a-1 do not reflect these adjustments.
Table VI.B.9.a-1--Illustrative CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 New Unit Set-Aside (NUSA) Amounts for the 2023
Control Period
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New unit set- New unit set-
State Emissions aside amount aside amount
budgets (tons) (percent) (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama......................................................... 6,379 5 319
Arkansas........................................................ 8,927 5 446
Illinois........................................................ 7,474 5 374
Indiana......................................................... 12,440 5 622
Kentucky........................................................ 13,601 5 680
Louisiana....................................................... 9,363 5 468
Maryland........................................................ 1,206 5 60
Michigan........................................................ 10,727 5 536
Minnesota....................................................... 5,504 5 275
Mississippi..................................................... 6,210 5 311
Missouri........................................................ 12,598 5 630
Nevada.......................................................... 2,368 9 213
New Jersey...................................................... 773 5 39
New York........................................................ 3,912 5 196
Ohio............................................................ 9,110 6 547
Oklahoma........................................................ 10,271 5 514
Pennsylvania.................................................... 8,138 5 407
Texas........................................................... 40,134 5 2,007
Utah............................................................ 15,755 5 788
Virginia........................................................ 3,143 5 157
West Virginia................................................... 13,791 5 690
Wisconsin....................................................... 6,295 5 315
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 36804]]
Table VI.B.9.a-2--CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 New Unit Set-Aside (NUSA) Amounts for the 2024 Control Period
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New unit set- New unit set-
State Emissions aside amount aside amount
budgets (tons) (percent) (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama......................................................... 6,489 5 324
Arkansas........................................................ 8,927 5 446
Illinois........................................................ 7,325 5 366
Indiana......................................................... 11,413 5 571
Kentucky........................................................ 12,999 5 650
Louisiana....................................................... 9,363 5 468
Maryland........................................................ 1,206 5 60
Michigan........................................................ 10,275 5 514
Minnesota....................................................... 4,058 5 203
Mississippi..................................................... 5,058 5 253
Missouri........................................................ 11,116 5 556
Nevada.......................................................... 2,589 9 233
New Jersey...................................................... 773 5 39
New York........................................................ 3,912 5 196
Ohio............................................................ 7,929 6 476
Oklahoma........................................................ 9,384 5 469
Pennsylvania.................................................... 8,138 5 407
Texas........................................................... 40,134 5 2,007
Utah............................................................ 15,917 5 796
Virginia........................................................ 2,756 5 138
West Virginia................................................... 11,958 5 598
Wisconsin....................................................... 6,295 5 315
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Table VI.B.9.a-3--CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 New Unit Set-Aside (NUSA) Amounts for the 2025 Control Period
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New unit set- New unit set-
State Emissions aside amount aside amount
budgets (tons) (percent) (tons)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama......................................................... 6,489 5 324
Arkansas........................................................ 8,927 5 446
Illinois........................................................ 7,325 5 366
Indiana......................................................... 11,413 5 571
Kentucky........................................................ 12,472 5 624
Louisiana....................................................... 9,107 5 455
Maryland........................................................ 1,206 5 60
Michigan........................................................ 10,275 5 514
Minnesota....................................................... 4,058 5 203
Mississippi..................................................... 5,037 5 252
Missouri........................................................ 11,116 5 556
Nevada.......................................................... 2,545 9 229
New Jersey...................................................... 773 5 39
New York........................................................ 3,912 5 196
Ohio............................................................ 7,929 6 476
Oklahoma........................................................ 9,376 5 469
Pennsylvania.................................................... 8,138 5 407
Texas........................................................... 38,542 5 1,927
Utah............................................................ 15,917 5 796
Virginia........................................................ 2,756 5 138
West Virginia................................................... 11,958 5 598
Wisconsin....................................................... 5,988 5 299
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For control periods in 2026 and later years, the EPA will allocate
a total of 5 percent of each state emissions budget to a new unit set-
aside, with no additional amount for planned new units. The amounts of
the set-asides for each state and control period will be computed when
the emissions budgets for the control period are established, by May 1
of the year before the year of the control period. The procedure for
determining the amounts of the set-asides based on the amounts of the
state emissions budgets is being codified in the Group 3 trading
program regulations and will reflect the same percentage of the
emissions budget for all states.
The purpose of the change to the procedure for establishing the
amounts of the set-asides is to coordinate with the dynamic budget-
setting process that may be used to determine budgets beginning with
the 2026 control period. As discussed in section VI.B.4 of this
document, under the dynamic budget-setting process, each state's budget
for each control period will be computed using fleet composition
information and the total ozone season heat input reported by all
affected units in the state
[[Page 36805]]
for the most recent control periods before the budget-setting
computations. (For example, 2026 emissions budgets would be based on
2022-2024 state-level heat input data.) Moreover, as discussed in
section VI.B.9.b of this document, the set of units eligible to receive
allocations as ``existing'' units in a given control period will
generally be the set of units that operated in the control period two
years earlier (with the exception of any units whose monitor
certification deadlines fell after the start of that earlier control
period). Consequently, by the 2025 control period, all or almost all
units that commenced commercial operation before issuance of this rule
will be considered ``existing'' units for purposes of budget-setting
and allocations, and units commencing commercial operation after
issuance of this rule generally will be considered ``existing'' units
for all but their first two full control periods of operation (and
possibly a preceding partial control period). Given that new units will
not be relying on the new unit set-asides as a permanent source of
allowances, as is the case for ``new'' units under the other CSAPR
trading programs, the EPA believes it is unnecessary to establish set-
aside percentages for some states that are permanently larger than 5
percent based solely on the fact that projected emissions from planned
new units happen to be a somewhat larger proportion of those states'
overall budgets at the time of this rule's issuance.
The changes to the structure and amounts of set-asides in this rule
largely follow the proposal. The EPA received few comments on these
topics. As noted previously, one commenter expressed the view that if
the amounts of the new unit set-asides were based on 2 percent of the
respective states' budgets, the set-asides would be too small in
certain circumstances, and in response the final rule bases the amounts
of the set-asides on a floor percentage of 5 percent instead of 2
percent. The remaining commenters expressed a concern that the final
rule's provisions regarding set-asides should ensure that any tribal
decisions relating to allowance allocations would not be constrained by
state decisions. The EPA had this same concern in mind when designing
the rule and believes that the final set-aside structure--encompassing
Indian country existing unit set-asides as well as EPA-administered new
unit set-asides for sources in all areas within each state's borders--
fully addresses the concern, is equitable, and preserves Federal and
tribal authority under this rule for areas of Indian country subject to
tribal jurisdiction. The comments and the EPA's responses are discussed
in greater detail in section 1 of the RTC document.
b. Allocations to Existing Units, Including Units That Cease Operation
In conjunction with the new and revised state emissions budget-
setting methodology for the Group 3 trading program finalized in this
rulemaking, the EPA is necessarily establishing a revised procedure for
making unit-level allocations of Group 3 allowances to existing
units.\354\ The procedure that the EPA is employing to compute the
unit-level allocations is very similar but not identical to the
procedure used to compute unit-level allocations for units subject to
the Group 3 trading program in the Revised CSAPR Update. The steps of
the procedure for determining allocations from each state emissions
budget for each control period are described in detail in the Unit-
Level Allowance Allocations Final Rule TSD. The steps are summarized in
the following paragraphs, with changes from the procedure followed in
the Revised CSAPR Update noted.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\354\ The revisions to the procedures for computing unit-level
allowance allocations in this rulemaking apply only to the Group 3
trading program. In this rulemaking, the EPA is not reopening the
methodology for computing the amounts of allowances allocated to any
unit under any other CSAPR trading program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the first step, the EPA identifies the list of units eligible to
receive allocations for the control period. The unit inventories used
to compute unit-level allocations for the control periods in 2023
through 2025 are the same inventories that have been used to determine
the preset emissions budget for these control periods. These
inventories have been determined in this rulemaking in essentially the
same manner as in the Revised CSAPR Update. The procedures for updating
the unit inventories for these control periods are discussed in section
VI.B.4 of this document, and the criteria that the EPA has applied to
determine whether a unit's scheduled retirement is sufficiently certain
to serve as a basis for adjusting emissions budgets and unit-level
allocations, are discussed in section V.B of this document and in the
Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD.
The unit inventories used to compute unit-level allocations for
control periods in 2026 and later years will be determined in the year
before the control period in question based on the latest reported
emissions and operational data, which is an extension of the
methodology used in the Revised CSAPR Update to reflect more recent
data (for example, the unit inventories used to compute 2026 budgets
and allocations will reflect reported data up through the 2024 control
period). These inventories, which are generally the same as the
inventories used to compute dynamic budgets for each control period,
include any unit whose monitor certification deadline was no later than
the start of the relevant historical control period and that reported
emissions data during the relevant historical control period. The EPA
notes that basing the list of eligible units on the list of units that
reported heat input in the control period two years earlier than the
control period for which allocations are being determined represents a
revision to the Group 3 trading program regulations as in effect before
this rule concerning the treatment of allocations to retired units.
Under the prior regulations, units that cease operations for two
consecutive control periods would continue to receive allocations as
existing units for three additional years (that is, a total of five
years) before the allowances they would otherwise have received are
reallocated to the new unit set-aside for the state. Under the
regulations as revised in this rule, units that cease operation will
receive allocations for only two full control periods of non-operation.
While the EPA has in prior transport rulemakings noted a qualitative
concern that ceasing allowance allocations prematurely could distort
the economic incentives of EGUs to continue operating when retirement
is more economical, the EPA believes that anticipated market conditions
(in particular, the incentives toward power sector transition to
cleaner generating sources), particularly in the later 2020s, are such
that a continuation of allowance allocations to retiring units likely
has no more than a de minimis effect on the consideration of an EGU
whether to retire or not.
In the second step of the procedure for determining allocations to
existing units, the EPA will compile a database containing for each
eligible unit the unit's historical heat input and total NOX
emissions data for the five most recent ozone seasons. For each unit,
the EPA will compute an average heat input value based on the three
highest non-zero heat input values over the 5-year period, or as the
average of all the non-zero values in the period if there are fewer
than three non-zero values. For each unit, the EPA will also determine
the maximum total NOX emissions value over the 5-year
period. For coal-
[[Page 36806]]
fired units of 100 MW or larger, the EPA will further determine a
``maximum controlled baseline'' NOX emissions value,
computed as the unit's maximum heat input over the 5-year period times
a NOX emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu. The maximum
controlled baseline will serve as an additional cap on unit-level
allocations for all such coal-fired units starting with the control
periods in which the assumed use of SCR controls at the units is
reflected in the state emissions budgets. Thus, the maximum controlled
baseline will apply for purposes of allocations to units with existing
SCR controls for all control periods starting with the 2024 control
period and for all other coal-fired units of 100 MW or more (except
circulating fluidized bed units) starting with the 2027 control period.
These procedures are nearly identical to the procedures used in the
Revised CSAPR Update, with three exceptions. First, instead of using
only the data available at the time of the rulemaking, for each control
period the EPA will use data from the most recent five control periods
for which data had been reported. (For example, for the 2026 control
period, the EPA will use data for the 2020-2024 control periods.)
Second, to simplify the data compilation process, the EPA will use only
a five-year period for NOX mass emissions, in contrast to
the 8-year period used in the Revised CSAPR Update for NOX
mass emissions. Third, the use of the maximum controlled baseline as an
additional cap on emissions is a change adopted in this rule in
response to comments received on the proposal. Specifically, commenters
observed that if a state's emissions budget is decreased to reflect an
assumption that a particular unit in the state is capable of reducing
its emissions through the installation of new SCR controls, but the
historical emissions cap applied to that unit in the unit-level
allocation methodology does not reflect use of the new controls, then
the allocation methodology could have the effect of reducing unit-level
allocations to the other units in the state whose historical emissions
already reflect use of existing controls rather than the unit assumed
to install new controls. The EPA agrees with the comment and in this
rule has added the maximum controlled baseline provision to the
allocation methodology to mitigate the potential effect identified by
the commenters.
In the third step of the procedure for determining allocations to
existing units in each state, the EPA will allocate the available
allowances for that state among the state's eligible units in
proportion to the share each unit's average heat input value represents
of the total of the average heat input values for all the state's
eligible units, but not more than the unit's maximum total
NOX value or, if applicable, the unit's maximum controlled
baseline. If the allocations to one or more units are curtailed because
of the units' applicable caps, the EPA will iterate the calculation
procedure as needed to allocate the remaining allowances, excluding
from each successive iteration any units whose allocations have already
reached their caps. (If all units in a state reach their caps, any
remaining allowances are allocated in proportion to the units' average
heat input values, notwithstanding the caps.) This calculation
procedure is identical to the calculation procedure used in the Revised
CSAPR Update (as well as the CSAPR Update and CSAPR), but using caps
that reflect both the units' maximum historical NOX values
and also, where applicable, the maximum controlled baseline values.
Illustrative unit-level allocations for the 2023 control period and
final unit-level allocations for the 2024 and 2025 control periods are
being determined in this rulemaking based on the emissions budgets for
those control periods also determined in the rulemaking and are
included in the docket. The 2023 allocations are only illustrative
because, as discussed in section VI.B.12.a, the EPA expects the
effective date of the rule to occur after the start of the 2023 control
period and consequently expects the 2023 control period to be a
transitional period in which the emissions budgets determined in this
rulemaking apply only for the portion of the control period occurring
on and after the rule's effective date, while any previously determined
emissions budgets apply for the portion of the control period before
the rule's effective date. The rule's effective date will become known
when the rule is published in the Federal Register. As soon as
practicable thereafter, the EPA will calculate the final prorated or
blended 2023 state emissions budgets and 2023 unit-level allocations
based on the transitional formulas finalized in this action (see
section VI.B.12.a of this document) and will communicate the
information to the public through a notice of data availability. The
2023 and 2024 allocations will then be recorded 30 days after the
effective date of the final rule (to provide an interval in which to
execute the recall of 2023 and 2024 Group 2 allowances, as discussed in
section VI.B.12.c of this document), while the 2025 allocations will be
recorded by July 1, 2024.\355\
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\355\ The recordation schedule for the 2023 and 2024 allocations
represents an expected acceleration of the recordation schedule in
effect immediately before this final rule, which called for
allocations of 2023 and 2024 Group 3 allowances to existing units to
be recorded by September 1, 2023. See Deadlines for Submission and
Recordation of Allowance Allocations Under the Cross-State Air
Pollution Rule (CSAPR) Trading Programs and the Texas SO2
Trading Program (the ``Recordation Rule''), 87 FR 52473 (August 26,
2022).
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The default unit-level allocations for each control period in 2026
or a later year will be computed immediately following the
determination of the state emissions budgets for the control period.
The EPA will perform the computations and issue a notice of data
availability concerning the preliminary unit-level allocations for each
control period by March 1 of the year before the control period. There
will be a 30-day period in which objections to the data and preliminary
computations may be submitted, and the EPA will then make any
appropriate revisions and issue another notice of data availability by
May 1 of the year before the control period. The EPA will then record
the allocations by July 1 of the year before the control period.\356\
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\356\ The current recordation schedule, which provides for
almost all allowance allocations to existing units for a given
control period under all the CSAPR trading programs to be recorded
by July 1 of the year before the year of that control period, was
adopted in the Recordation Rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
All covered states also have options to establish state-determined
allowance allocations for control periods in 2024 and later years. As
discussed in section VI.D.1 of this rule, a state choosing to establish
state-determined allocations for the 2024 control period would need to
submit a letter of intent to the EPA by August 4, 2023, and would need
to submit the SIP revision with the allocations by September 1, 2023.
The EPA would defer recordation of the 2024 allocations for the state's
sources until March 1, 2024, to provide time for this process to be
completed. As discussed in sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3 of this rule, a
state choosing to establish state-determined allocations for control
periods in 2025 and later years would need to submit a SIP revision by
December 1 of the year two years before the first year for which state-
determined allocations are being established--e.g., by December 1,
2023, for allocations for the 2025 control period--and would need to
submit the allocations for each control period by June 1 of the year
before the control period--e.g., by June 1, 2024, for allocations for
the 2025
[[Page 36807]]
control period.\357\ The EPA would record any state-determined
allocations for control periods in 2025 and later years by July 1 of
the year before the control period, simultaneously with the recordation
of allocations to units in states where the EPA determines the unit-
level allocations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\357\ The current deadlines for states to submit state-
determined allowance allocations to the EPA were adopted in the
Recordation Rule and are coordinated with the schedule for
computation of state emissions budgets for control periods in 2026
and later years. For example, for the 2026 control period, by May 1,
2025, the EPA will publish the final state emissions budgets and the
EPA's default unit-level allocations; by June 1, 2025, states will
submit any state-determined unit-level allocations that would
replace the default allocations; and by July 1, 2025, the EPA will
record the default unit-level allocations or the state-determined
unit-level allocations, as applicable, in sources' compliance
accounts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA notes that for the three states with approved SIP revisions
establishing their own methodologies for allocating Group 2
allowances--Alabama, Indiana, and New York--the EPA will follow the
states' methodologies to the extent possible in developing the EPA's
allocations of Group 3 allowances to the units in those states for the
control periods in 2023 through 2025.\358\ The EPA will not follow any
state-specific methodologies as part of the procedures for determining
default unit-level allocations of Group 3 allowances for control
periods in 2026 or later years. However, like other states, these three
states have options to replace the EPA's default allocations with
state-determined allocations through SIP revisions starting with the
2024 control period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\358\ For discussion of how the EPA is using the previously
approved allocation methodologies for Alabama, Indiana, and New York
to determine allocations to units in these states for the 2023-2025
control periods, see the Allowance Allocation Final Rule TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As an exception to all of the recordation deadlines that would
otherwise apply, the EPA will not record any allocations of Group 3
allowances in a source's compliance account unless that source has
complied with the requirements to surrender previously allocated 2023-
2024 Group 2 allowances. The surrender requirements are necessary to
maintain the previously established levels of stringency of the Group 2
trading program for the states and sources that remain subject to that
program under this final rule. The EPA finds that it is reasonable to
condition the recordation of Group 3 allowances on compliance with the
surrender requirements because the condition will spur compliance and
will not impose an inappropriate burden on sources. The EPA considers
establishment of this condition, which will facilitate the continued
functioning of the Group 2 trading program, to be an appropriate
exercise of the Agency's authority under CAA section 301 (42 U.S.C.
7601) to prescribe such regulations as are necessary to carry out its
functions under the Act.
The provisions governing allocations to existing units are being
finalized substantially as proposed, except for the addition of an
additional cap on unit-level allocations in response to comments. The
EPA's responses to comments on the unit-level allocation provisions for
existing units are in section 5 of the RTC document.
c. Allocations From Portions of State Emissions Budgets Set Aside for
New Units
The Group 3 trading program regulations provide for the EPA to
allocate allowances from each new unit set-aside after the end of the
control period at issue. An eligible new unit for purposes of
allocations from a set-aside for a given control period is generally
any unit in the relevant area that reported emissions subject to
allowance surrender requirements during the control period and that was
not eligible to receive an allowance allocation as an ``existing'' unit
for the control period. Thus, in addition to units that have not yet
completed two full control periods of operation since their monitor
certification deadlines, units eligible for allocations from the new
unit set-asides may also include existing coal-fired units that first
lose their eligibility for allocations from the unreserved portion of
the applicable state budget by ceasing operation, and then resume
operation in a later control period. The regulations call for the EPA
to allocate allowances to any eligible ``new'' units in the state
generally in proportion to their respective emissions during the
control period, up to the amounts of those emissions if the relevant
set-aside contains sufficient allowances, and not exceeding those
emissions. However, in the case of a unit whose allocation for the
control period would have been subject to a maximum controlled baseline
if the unit was eligible to receive allocations as an existing unit,
the unit's allocation from the new unit set-aside will not exceed a cap
equal to the unit's reported heat input for the control period times an
emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu.
Any allowances remaining in a new unit set-aside after the
allocations to new units are reallocated to the existing units in the
state in proportion to those units' previous allocations for the
control period as existing units. The EPA issues a notice of data
availability concerning the proposed allocations by March 1 following
the control period, provides an opportunity for submission of
objections, and issues a final notice of data availability and record
the allocations by May 1 following the control period, one month before
the June 1 compliance deadline.
This EPA notes that the revisions to other provisions of the Group
3 trading program regulations discussed elsewhere in this document will
reduce the portions of the state emissions budgets that are allocated
through the new unit set-asides. Specifically, because the new unit
set-asides will no longer receive any additional allowances when units
retire, for control periods in 2025 and later years the amounts of
allowances in the new unit set-asides will always be 5 percent of the
respective state emissions budgets for the respective control periods.
This limit on growth of the new unit set-asides is appropriate given
that the number of consecutive control periods for which any particular
unit is likely to receive allocations from a state's new unit set-aside
will be reduced to two full control periods (and possibly a partial
control period before those two control periods) before the unit
becomes eligible to receive allocations as an ``existing'' unit from
the unreserved portion of the state's emissions budget. This approach
contrasts with the approach under the other CSAPR trading programs
where a new unit never becomes eligible to receive allocations from the
unreserved portion of the emissions budget and where the new unit set-
aside therefore needs to grow to accommodate an ever-increasing share
of the state's total emissions.
The EPA also notes that, as discussed in sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3
of this document, in the event that a state chooses to replace EPA's
default allowance allocations under the Group 3 trading program with
state-determined allocations through a SIP revision, the EPA will
continue to administer the portion of each state emissions budget
reserved in a new unit set-aside to ensure the availability of
allowance allocations to new units in any areas of Indian country
within the state not covered by the state's CAA implementation planning
authority.
The final rule's provisions concerning unit-level allocations from
the new unit set-asides are unchanged from the proposal except for the
addition of the allocation cap in a given control period for any unit
that would have been subject to a maximum controlled baseline if the
unit was eligible to receive an allocation as an existing unit
[[Page 36808]]
for that control period.\359\ This change was made to address the same
comments discussed in section VI.B.9.b of this document that caused the
Agency to add the maximum controlled baseline provision to the
procedure for allocating allowances to existing units. The Agency did
not receive any other comments on the proposed provisions concerning
unit-level allocations of allowances from the new unit set-asides.
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\359\ As discussed in section IX.B of this rule, the EPA is
relocating some of the regulatory provisions relating to
administration of the new unit set-asides and is also removing
certain provisions that are made obsolete by revisions to other
provisions of the Group 3 trading program regulations.
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d. Incorrectly Allocated Allowances
The Group 3 trading program regulations as promulgated in the
Revised CSAPR Update include provisions addressing incorrectly
allocated allowances. With regard to any allowances that were
incorrectly allocated and are subsequently recovered, the provisions as
in effect prior to this rule have generally called for the recovered
allowances to be reallocated to other units in the relevant state (or
Indian country within the borders of the state) through the process for
allocating allowances from the new unit set-aside (or Indian country
new unit set-aside) for the state. If the procedures for allocating
allowances from the set-asides have already been carried out for the
control period for which the recovered allowances were issued, the
allowances would be allocated through the set-asides for subsequent
control periods.
The EPA continues to view the current provisions for disposition of
recovered allowances as reasonable in the case of any allowances that
are recovered before the deadline for recording allocations of
allowances from the new unit set-aside for the control period for which
the recovered allowances were issued. However, in the case of any
allowances that are recovered after that deadline, adding the recovered
allowances to the new unit set-aside for a subsequent control period,
as provided in the current regulations, would be inconsistent with the
trading program enhancements discussed elsewhere in this document,
where the amounts of allowances provided in the state emissions budgets
for each control period are designed to reflect the most current
available information on fleet composition and utilization and where
the quantities of banked allowances available for use in each control
period are recalibrated for consistency with the state emissions
budgets. The EPA is therefore finalizing revisions to provide that,
starting with allowances allocated for the 2024 control period, any
incorrectly allocated allowances that are recovered after the deadline
for allocating allowances from the new unit set-aside for that control
period (i.e., May 1 of the year following the control period) will be
transferred to a surrender account instead of being reallocated to
other units in the state. The EPA received no comments on this proposed
revision, which is being finalized as proposed.
10. Monitoring and Reporting Requirements
The Group 3 trading program requires monitoring and reporting of
emissions and heat input data in accordance with the provisions of 40
CFR part 75. Under 40 CFR part 75, a given unit may have several
options for monitoring and reporting. Any unit can use CEMS. Qualifying
gas- or oil-fired units can use certain excepted monitoring
methodologies that rely in part on fuel-flow metering in combination
with CEMS-based or testing-based NOX emissions rate data.
Certain non-coal-fired, low-emitting units can use a low mass emissions
(LME) methodology, and sources can seek approval of alternative
monitoring systems approved by the Administrator through a petition
process. Each CEMS must undergo rigorous initial certification testing
and periodic quality assurance testing thereafter, including the use of
relative accuracy test audits and 24-hour calibrations. In addition,
when a monitoring system is not operating properly, standard substitute
data procedures are applied to produce a conservative estimate of
emissions for the period involved. Further, 40 CFR part 75 requires
electronic submission of quarterly emissions reports to the
Administrator, in a format prescribed by the Administrator. The
quarterly reports will contain all the data required concerning ozone
season NOX emissions under the Group 3 trading program.
In this rulemaking, as proposed, the EPA is making two changes to
the Group 3 trading program's previous requirements related to
monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting. First, the EPA is revising
the monitor certification deadline in the Group 3 trading program
regulations applicable to certain units that have not already certified
monitoring systems for use under 40 CFR part 75. This revision is
expected to provide approximately 15 EGUs in Nevada and Utah with 180
days following the rule's effective date to certify monitoring systems,
with the consequence that the units are expected to become subject to
allowance holding requirements under the Group 3 trading program
starting with the 2024 control period. Second, to implement the trading
program enhancements, the EPA is adding certain new recordkeeping and
reporting requirements, which will be implemented through amendments to
the regulations in 40 CFR part 75 and will apply starting January 1,
2024. Sources generally will be able to meet the additional
recordkeeping and reporting requirements using the data that are
already collected by their current monitoring systems, and the EPA is
not requiring the installation of additional monitoring systems at any
source. However, a small number of sources with common stacks could
find it advantageous to upgrade their monitoring systems so as to
monitor at the individual units instead of monitoring at the common
stack. The Group 3 trading program monitor certification deadline
revisions and the additional recordkeeping and reporting requirements
are discussed in sections VI.B.10.a and VI.B.10.b, respectively.\360\
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\360\ The EPA is not amending the existing provisions of the
Group 3 trading program regulations that govern whether units
covered by the program must record and report required data on a
year-round basis or may elect to record and report required data on
an ozone season-only basis. See 40 CFR 97.1034(d)(1); see also 40
CFR 75.74(a)-(b). Thus, for units that are required or elect to
report other data on a year-round basis, the additional
recordkeeping and reporting requirements will also apply year-round,
while for units that are allowed and elect to report other data on
an ozone season-only basis, the additional requirements will also
apply for the ozone season only.
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a. Monitor Certification Deadlines
In general, a unit subject to the Group 3 trading program must
monitor and report emissions data using certified monitoring systems
starting as of the date the unit enters the trading program or, if
later, 180 days after the unit commences commercial operation. Where an
EGU has already certified and maintained monitoring systems in
accordance with 40 CFR part 75 for purposes of another trading program,
no recertification solely for purposes of entering the Group 3 trading
program is required. Under these pre-existing provisions of the Group 3
trading program regulations, nearly all currently operating EGUs
transitioning to the trading program under this rule are positioned to
begin monitoring and reporting under the trading program as of their
dates of entry (or if later, 180 days after they commence commercial
operation) because of the units' previous requirements to monitor and
report emissions under other programs including the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program (for
[[Page 36809]]
units in Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin), the CSAPR NOX Annual Trading Program (for units
in Minnesota), and the Acid Rain Program (for most units in Nevada and
Utah).
As discussed in section VI.B.3 of this document, the EPA has
identified 15 potentially affected units in Nevada and Utah that
commenced commercial operation more than 180 days before the effective
date of this rule and that do not currently report emissions data to
the Agency under 40 CFR part 75.\361\ To ensure that units in this
situation have sufficient time to certify monitoring systems as
required under this rule, the final rule establishes a monitoring
certification deadline of 180 days after the effective date of the rule
for affected units that are not already required to report emissions
under 40 CFR part 75 under another program, equivalent to the 180-day
window already provided to units commencing commercial operation after
(or less than 180 days before) the final rule's effective date. The
180th day for units in this situation will likely fall after the end of
the 2023 ozone season, with the result that the certification deadline
will be extended until May 1, 2024, the first day of the 2024 ozone
season. Because the Group 3 trading program's allowance holding
requirements apply to a given unit only after that unit's monitor
certification deadline, the units in this situation consequently will
become subject to allowance holding requirements as of the 2024 ozone
season rather than the 2023 ozone season.
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\361\ The units are listed in Table VI.B.3-1.
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The EPA received no comments on the provisions establishing a
monitor certification deadline 180 days after the effective date of
this rule for affected units that are not already required to report
emissions under 40 CFR part 75, and the provisions are being finalized
as proposed.
b. Additional Recordkeeping and Reporting Requirements
To facilitate implementation of the backstop daily NOX
emissions rates for certain coal-fired units, the secondary emissions
limitations for units contributing to assurance level exceedances, and
the revised default unit-level allowance allocation procedures, the
final rule amends 40 CFR part 75 to establish two sets of additional
recordkeeping and reporting requirements. The first set of additional
recordkeeping and reporting requirements is specific to the backstop
daily emissions rate provisions. Starting January 1, 2024, units
listing coal as a fuel in their monitoring plans, serving generators of
100 MW or larger, and equipped with SCR controls on or before the end
of the previous control period (except circulating fluidized bed units)
will be required to record and report total daily NOX
emissions and total daily heat input, daily average NOX
emissions rate, and daily NOX emissions exceeding the
backstop daily NOX emissions rate. The units will also be
required to record and report cumulative NOX emissions
exceeding the backstop daily NOX emissions rate for the
ozone season and any portion of such cumulative NOX
emissions exceeding 50 tons. Starting January 1, 2030, the same
recordkeeping and reporting requirements will apply to all units
listing coal as a fuel in their monitoring plans and serving generators
of 100 MW or larger (except circulating fluidized bed units), including
units not equipped with SCR controls. These data will be used to
determine the allowance surrender requirements related to the backstop
daily NOX emissions rates. Implementation of these
additional recordkeeping and reporting requirements would necessitate a
one-time update to the units' data acquisition and handling systems but
would not require any changes to the monitoring systems already needed
to meet other requirements under 40 CFR part 75.
The second type of additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements applies to units exhausting to common stacks. For these
units, 40 CFR part 75 includes options that often allow monitoring to
be conducted at the common stack on a combined basis for all the units
as an alternative to installing separate monitoring systems for the
individual units in the ductwork leading to the common stack. The units
then keep records and report hourly and cumulative NOX mass
emissions and in many cases heat input data on a combined basis for all
units exhausting to the common stack. With respect to heat input data,
but not NOX mass emissions data, most such units have also
been required historically to record and report hourly and cumulative
data on an individual-unit basis, and where necessary they typically
have computed the necessary unit-level hourly heat input values by
apportioning the combined hourly heat input values for the common stack
in proportion to the individual units' recorded hourly output of
electricity or steam. See generally 40 CFR 75.72.
In this rulemaking, the provisions governing default unit-level
allowance allocations, backstop daily NOX emissions rates
for certain coal-fired units, and secondary emissions limitations for
units contributing to assurance level exceedances all require the use
of unit-level reported data on NOX mass emissions (or unit-
level NOX emissions rates computed in part based on unit-
level reported data on NOX mass emissions). To facilitate
the implementation of these provisions, the final rule requires all
units covered by the Group 3 trading program exhausting to common
stacks to record and report unit-level hourly and cumulative
NOX mass emissions data starting January 1, 2024. To obtain
the necessary unit-level hourly mass emissions values, the revised
regulations rule allow the units to apportion hourly mass emissions
values determined at the common stack in proportion to the individual
units' recorded hourly heat input. The apportionment procedure is very
similar to the apportionment procedure that most such units already
apply to compute reported unit-level heat input data. Where sources
choose to obtain the additional required data values through
apportionment, implementation of the additional recordkeeping and
reporting requirements will necessitate a one-time update to the units'
data acquisition and handling systems but will not require any changes
to the monitoring systems already needed to meet other requirements
under 40 CFR part 75.
For most units sharing common stacks, the EPA expects that the
reported unit-specific hourly NOX emissions values computed
through the apportionment procedures will reasonably approximate the
values that could be obtained through installation and operation of
separate monitoring systems for the individual units, because the units
exhausting to the common stack would be expected to have similar
NOX emissions rates. However, the EPA also recognizes that
at some plants, particularly those where SCR-equipped and non-SCR-
equipped coal-fired units share a common stack, unit-level values
determined through apportionment based on electricity or steam output
could overstate the reported NOX mass emissions for the SCR-
equipped units and correspondingly understate the reported
NOX mass emissions for the non-SCR-equipped units.\362\ As
proposed, the
[[Page 36810]]
final rule leaves in place the existing options under 40 CFR part 75
for plants to upgrade their monitoring equipment to monitor on a unit-
specific basis instead of at the common stack. Plant owners may find
this option attractive if they believe it would reduce the quantities
of reported emissions exceeding the backstop daily emissions rate.
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\362\ The EPA is aware of five plants in the states covered by
this rule where SCR-equipped and non-SCR-equipped coal-fired units
exhaust to a common stack: Clifty Creek in Indiana; Cooper, Ghent,
and Shawnee in Kentucky; and Sammis in Ohio. The owners of the
Sammis plant have announced plans to retire the plant in 2023.
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The EPA is finalizing the additional recordkeeping and reporting
requirements generally as proposed, with modifications as needed to
accommodate the changes in the backstop daily emissions rate provisions
from proposal discussed in sections VI.B.1.c.i and VI.B.1.7. No
comments were received on the recordkeeping and reporting requirements
added to facilitate implementation of the backstop daily emissions
rate. Comments on the requirement to report unit-specific
NOX emissions data for units sharing common stacks are
addressed in the following paragraphs.
Comment: Some commenters claimed that for plants where SCR-equipped
and non-SCR-equipped coal-fired units share common stacks, the rule as
proposed would have effectively mandated installation of unit-specific
monitoring systems in order to comply with the backstop daily emissions
rate provisions. The commenters generally requested that application of
the backstop daily rate provisions be delayed for plants with common
stacks until all units sharing the stacks were subject to the
provisions. Alternatively, they claimed that the EPA should consider
the cost of the additional unit-specific monitoring system to be a cost
of the rule.
One commenter claimed that the option to install unit-specific
monitoring systems for the units sharing a common stack at its plant
was not feasible because of a lack of locations in the units' ductwork
suitable for installation of the monitoring equipment. Specifically,
the commenter claimed that EPA Method 1 requires monitoring equipment
to be located at least eight duct diameters downstream and two duct
diameters upstream of any flow disturbance and stated that the units
had no straight runs of ductwork sufficiently long to meet these
criteria.
Response: The EPA's response to comments about the application of
backstop rate requirements to units sharing common stacks is in section
VI.B.7 of this document. With respect to assertions that the rule
effectively mandates installation of unit-specific monitoring systems,
the EPA disagrees. Although the EPA pointed out the option in the
proposal, anticipating that owners of some units sharing common stacks
might find it advantageous to upgrade their monitoring systems, the
final rule does not mandate such upgrades and explicitly provides a
reporting option that can be used if a plant owner continues to monitor
only at the common stack. For example, a plant owner might choose not
to upgrade monitoring systems if the owner does not plan to operate the
non-SCR-equipped units sharing the stack frequently. Regarding the
contention that the cost of additional monitoring systems should be
considered a cost of the rule, the EPA notes that the monitoring cost
estimates that the Agency regularly develops for 40 CFR part 75 already
reflect the conservative assumption that all affected units perform
monitoring on a unit-specific basis.
With respect to the comment asserting an inability to install unit-
specific monitoring equipment because of a lack of suitable locations,
the EPA does not believe the commenter has provided sufficient
information to support the assertion. Although the commenter cites the
EPA Method 1 location criteria, the CEMS location provisions in 40 CFR
part 75 do not reference those location criteria but instead reference
the EPA Performance Specification 2 location criteria, which recommend
that a CEMS be located at least two duct diameters downstream and a
half duct diameter upstream from a point at which a change in pollutant
concentration may occur.\363\ Thus, while the commenter states that its
units do not have straight runs of ductwork ten duct diameters long,
the relevant siting criteria actually call for straight runs of
ductwork only 2.5 duct diameters long, and the commenter has not
provided information indicating that these criteria could not be met.
Moreover, even EPA Method 1 does not require monitoring equipment to be
located eight duct diameters upstream and two duct diameters downstream
of any flow disturbance. While the method recommends those distances as
the first option, the method also allows for locations two duct
diameters upstream and a half duct diameter upstream from any flow
disturbance, as well as other locations if certain performance criteria
can be met.\364\
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\363\ Appendix B to 40 CFR part 60, Performance Specification 2,
sec. 8.1.2; see also appendix A to 40 CFR part 75, section 1.1.
\364\ Appendix A-1 to 40 CFR part 60, Method 1, sec. 11.1.
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11. Designated Representative Requirements
As noted in section VI.B.1.a of this document, a core design
element of all the CSAPR trading programs is the requirement that each
source must have a designated representative who is authorized to
represent all of the source's owners and operators and is responsible
for certifying the accuracy of the source's reports to the EPA and
overseeing the source's Allowance Management System account. The
necessary authorization of a designated representative is certified to
the EPA in a certificate of representation.
The existing designated representative provisions in the Group 3
trading program regulations already provide that the EPA will interpret
references to the Group 2 trading program in certain documents--
including a certificate of representation as well as a notice of
delegation to an agent or an application for a general account--as if
the documents referenced the Group 3 trading program instead of the
Group 2 trading program. For these reasons, sources that have
participated in the Group 2 trading program and that are transitioning
to the Group 3 trading program under this rule will not need to submit
any new forms as part of the transition, because previously submitted
forms will be valid for purposes of the Group 3 trading program.
For a source that is newly affected under the Group 3 trading
program and that is not currently affected under the Group 2 trading
program, a designated representative who has been duly authorized by
the source's owners and operators must submit a new or updated
certificate of representation to the EPA. The EPA will not record any
Group 3 allowances allocated to a source in the source's compliance
account until a certificate of representation has been submitted for
the source. If a source is also affected under other CSAPR trading
programs or the Acid Rain Program, the same individual must be the
source's designated representative for purposes of all the programs.
The EPA did not propose and is not finalizing any changes to the
designated representative requirements. The EPA received no comments on
the provisions of the proposal relating to these requirements.
12. Transitional Provisions
This section discusses several provisions that the EPA will
implement to address the transition of sources into the Group 3 trading
program as revised. The purposes of the transitional provisions are
generally the same as the
[[Page 36811]]
purposes of the analogous transitional provisions promulgated in the
Revised CSAPR Update: first, addressing the likelihood that the
effective date of this rule will fall after the starting date of the
first affected ozone season (which in this case is, May 1, 2023);
second, establishing an appropriately-sized initial allowance bank
through the conversion of previously banked allowances; and third,
preserving the intended stringency of the Group 2 trading program for
the sources that will continue to be subject to that program.\365\
However, the sources that will be participants in the revised Group 3
trading program under this rule are transitioning from several
different starting points--with some sources already in the existing
Group 3 trading program, some sources coming from the Group 2 trading
program, and some sources not currently participating in any seasonal
NOX trading program. The EPA is therefore finalizing
transitional provisions that differ across the sets of potentially
affected sources based on the sources' different starting points.
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\365\ As discussed in section VI.B.1.d, the EPA is not creating
a ``safety valve'' mechanism in this rule analogous to the voluntary
supplemental allowance conversion mechanism established under the
Revised CSAPR Update, but intends in the near future to propose and
take comment on potential amendments to the Group 3 trading program
that would add an auction mechanism to the regulations for the
purpose of further increasing allowance market liquidity in
conjunction with other appropriate changes to ensure program
stringency is maintained. While these changes may provide an
additional measure of assurance to the market that allowances will
be available for compliance to a degree consistent with the Step 3
emissions control stringency, the EPA does not anticipate that
market liquidity concerns pose a challenge to the feasibility of
sources to comply with the Group 3 trading program as finalized in
this action.
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a. Prorating Emissions Budgets, Assurance Levels, and Unit-Level
Allowance Allocations in the Event of an Effective Date After May 1,
2023
The EPA expects that the effective date of this rule will fall
after the start of the Group 3 trading program's 2023 control period on
May 1, 2023, because the effective date of the rule will be 60 days
after the date of the final rule's publication in the Federal Register.
The EPA is addressing this circumstance by determining the amounts of
emissions budgets and unit-level allowance allocations on a full-season
basis in the rulemaking and by also including provisions in the revised
regulations to prorate the full-season amounts as needed to ensure that
no sources become subject to new or more stringent regulatory
requirements before the final rule's effective date.\366\ Variability
limits, assurance levels, and unit-level allocations for 2023 will all
be computed using the appropriately prorated emissions budgets
amounts.\367\
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\366\ As discussed in sections VI.B.7 and VI.B.8, the revisions
establishing unit-specific backstop daily emissions rates and, for
units contributing to assurance level exceedances, secondary unit-
specific emissions limitations, will not take effect until the 2024
control period or later.
\367\ The EPA notes that transitional provisions similar to the
prorating provisions being finalized in this rule were finalized and
implemented without issue under the Revised CSAPR Update.
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As discussed in section VI.B.2 of this document, in the case of the
three states (and Indian country within the states' borders) whose
sources do not currently participate in either the Group 2 trading
program or the Group 3 trading program--Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah--
the sources will begin participating in the Group 3 trading program on
the later of May 1, 2023, or the rule's effective date. For these
states, in the rulemaking the EPA has computed the full-season
emissions budgets that would have applied for the entire 2023 control
period if the final rule had become effective no later than May 1,
2023, and were therefore in effect for the entire 153-day control
period from May 1, 2023, through September 30, 2023. Assuming that the
final rule becomes effective after May 1, 2023, as expected, the EPA
will determine prorated emissions budgets for the 2023 control period
by multiplying each full-season emissions budget by the number of days
from the rule's effective date through September 30, 2023, dividing by
153 days, and rounding to the nearest allowance. The prorated
variability limits for the 2023 control period will be computed by
first determining for each state the percentage by which the state's
reported heat input for the full 2023 ozone season (i.e., May 1, 2023
through September 30, 2023) exceeds the heat input used to compute the
state's full-season 2023 emissions budget under this rule and then
multiplying the higher of this percentage or 21 percent by the state's
prorated emissions budget and rounding to the nearest allowance,
yielding prorated assurance levels that equal a minimum of 121 percent
of the prorated emissions budgets. To determine unit-level allocation
amounts from the prorated emissions budgets, the EPA will apply the
unit-level allocation procedure described in section VI.B.9 to the
prorated budgets. All calculations required to determine the prorated
emissions budgets, the minimum 21 percent variability limits, and the
unit-level allocations for the 2023 control period will be carried out
as soon as possible after the EPA learns the rule's effective date. The
unit-level allocations for both the 2023 and 2024 control periods will
be recorded in facilities' compliance accounts approximately 30 days
after the rule's effective date, as discussed in section VI.B.9.b of
this document.
In the case of the states (and Indian country within the states'
borders) whose sources currently participate in the Group 3 trading
program--Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia--
the sources will continue to participate in the Group 3 trading program
for the 2023 control period, subject to prorating procedures designed
to ensure that the changes in 2023 emissions budgets and assurance
levels will not substantively affect the sources' requirements prior to
the rule's effective date. For these states, in the rulemaking the EPA
has computed the full-season emissions budgets that would have applied
for the entire 2023 control period if the final rule had become
effective no later than May 1, 2023, but the EPA has also retained in
the regulations the full-season emissions budgets for the 2023 control
period that were established in the Revised CSAPR Update rulemaking.
The EPA has added a provision to the regulations indicating that the
emissions budgets promulgated in the Revised CSAPR Update will apply on
a prorated basis for the portion of the 2023 control period before the
final rule's effective date and the emissions budgets established in
this rulemaking will apply on a prorated basis for the portion of the
2023 control period on and after the final rule's effective date. Under
this provision, the EPA will determine a blended emissions budget for
each state for the 2023 control period, computed as the sum of the
appropriately prorated amounts of the state's previous and revised
emissions budgets. (For example, if the final rule becomes effective on
the eleventh day of the 153-day 2023 control period, the blended
emissions budget will equal the sum of 10/153 times the previous
emissions budget plus 143/153 times the revised emissions budget,
rounded to the nearest allowance.) Blended variability limits for the
2023 control period will be computed by first determining for each
state the percentage by which the state's reported heat input for the
full 2023 ozone season exceeds the heat input used to compute the
state's full-season 2023 emissions budget under this rule and then
multiplying the higher of this percentage or 21 percent by the state's
prorated emissions budget and rounding to the nearest allowance,
[[Page 36812]]
yielding blended assurance levels that equal a minimum of 121 percent
of the blended emissions budgets. Unit-level allocations will be
determined by applying the allocation procedure described in section
VI.B.9 to the blended budgets. Again, all calculations required to
determine the prorated emissions budgets, the minimum 21 percent
variability limits, and the unit-level allocations for the 2023 control
period will be carried out as soon as possible after the EPA learns the
effective date of this rule. The unit-level allocations for both the
2023 and 2024 control periods will be recorded in facilities'
compliance accounts approximately 30 days after the final rule's
effective date, as discussed in section VI.B.9.b of this document.
In the case of the states (and Indian country within the states'
borders) whose sources currently participate in the Group 2 trading
program--Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and
Wisconsin--the sources will begin to participate in the Group 3 trading
program as of May 1, 2023, regardless of the rule's effective date, as
discussed in section VI.B.2 of this document, subject to prorating
procedures designed to ensure that the transition from the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading program will not substantively
affect the sources' requirements prior to the rule's effective date.
The prorating procedures for these states mirror the procedures for the
states currently in the Group 3 trading program, except that because no
emissions budgets currently appear in the Group 3 trading program
regulations for the states that are currently covered by the Group 2
trading program, the EPA has added two sets of emissions budgets for
these states to the Group 3 trading program regulations: first, the
states' emissions budgets for the 2023 control period that currently
appear in the Group 2 trading program regulations, which are being
included in the revised Group 3 trading program regulations to
represent the states' emissions budgets for the portion of the 2023
control period before the rule's effective date, and second, the
emissions budgets for the 2023 control period established for the
states in this rulemaking, which are being included in the revised
Group 3 trading program regulations to represent the state's emissions
budgets for the portion of the 2023 control period on and after the
rule's effective date. The procedures and timing for determining
blended emissions budgets, variability limits and assurance levels, and
unit-level allowance allocations, as well as the timing for the
recordation of unit-level allocations, are the same as for the states
currently in the Group 3 trading program.
Beginning administrative implementation of the Group 3 trading
program starting on May 1, 2023, for sources currently in the Group 2
trading program imposes no new or different requirements on these
sources. It would serve the public interest and greatly aid in
administrative efficiency for most elements of the Group 3 trading
program--specifically, all elements of the trading program other than
the elements designed to establish more stringent emissions limitations
for the sources coming from the Group 2 trading program--to apply to
the sources starting on May 1, 2023. This is how the EPA handled the
earlier transition of twelve states from the Group 2 to the Group 3
trading program in the Revised CSAPR Update, which was accomplished
successfully and without incident. See 86 FR 23133-34. This approach
would facilitate implementation of the Group 3 trading program in an
orderly manner for the entire 2023 ozone season and reduce compliance
burdens and potential confusion. Each of the CSAPR trading programs for
ozone season NOX is designed to be implemented over an
entire ozone season. Implementing the transition from the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading program in a manner that
required the covered sources to participate in the Group 2 trading
program for part of the 2023 ozone season and the Group 3 trading
program for the remainder of that ozone season would be complex and
burdensome for sources. Attempting to address the issue by splitting
the Group 2 and Group 3 requirements for these sources into separate
years is not a viable approach, because the EPA has no legal basis for
releasing the transitioning Group 2 sources from the emissions
reduction requirements found to be necessary in the CSAPR Update for a
portion of the 2023 ozone season, and the EPA similarly has no legal
basis for deferring implementation of the 2023 emissions reduction
requirements found to be necessary under this rule for the
transitioning Group 2 sources until 2024. Moreover, the requirements of
the current Group 2 trading program and the revised Group 3 trading
program for the 2023 control period are substantively identical as to
almost all provisions, such that with respect to those provisions, a
source will not need to alter its operations in any manner or face
different compliance obligations as a consequence of a transition from
the Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program. Thus, the
EPA believes that no substantive concerns regarding retroactivity arise
from transitioning the sources currently in the Group 2 trading program
to the Group 3 trading program starting on May 1, 2023, as long as
those aspects of the revised Group 3 trading program for the 2023
control period that do meaningfully differ from the analogous aspects
of the Group 2 trading program--that is, the relative stringencies of
the two trading programs, as reflected in the emissions budgets and
associated assurance levels--are applied only as of the effective date
of the final rule.
In all respects other than prorating the emissions budgets,
variability limits and assurance levels, and unit-level allowance
allocations, with respect to the sources currently participating in the
Group 2 trading program or the Group 3 trading program, the EPA will
implement the revised Group 3 trading program for the 2023 control
period in a uniform manner for the entire control period. Thus,
emissions will be monitored and reported for the entire 2023 ozone
season (i.e., May 1, 2023, through September 30, 2023), and as of the
allowance transfer deadline for the 2023 control period (i.e., June 1,
2024) each source will be required to hold in its compliance account
vintage-year 2023 Group 3 allowances not less than the source's
emissions of NOX during the entire 2023 ozone season. Any
efforts undertaken by one of these sources to reduce its emissions
during the portion of the 2023 ozone season before the effective date
of the rule will aid the source's compliance by reducing the amount of
Group 3 allowances that the source would need to hold in its compliance
account as of the allowance transfer deadline, increasing the range of
options available to the source for meeting its compliance obligations
under the revised Group 3 trading program.
In the case of the sources in the three states that do not
currently participate in the Group 2 trading program or the Group 3
trading program, the 2023 control period will begin on the effective
date of the rule, and because the effective date of the rule is
expected to fall after May 1, 2023, the 2023 control period for the
sources in these states will be shorter than the 153-day length of the
2023 control period for the sources in the remaining states. However,
the EPA similarly will implement the revised Group 3 trading program
for the sources in these states in a uniform manner for the entire
shorter control period.
[[Page 36813]]
The prorating provisions are being finalized as proposed. The EPA
received no comments on the portion of the proposal discussing these
provisions.
b. Creation of Additional Group 3 Allowance Bank for 2023 Control
Period
In the CSAPR Update, where the EPA established the Group 2 trading
program and transitioned over 95 percent of the sources that had been
participating in what is now the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 1 Trading Program (the ``Group 1 trading program'') to the new
program, the EPA determined that it was reasonable to establish an
initial bank of allowances for the Group 2 trading program by
converting almost all allowances banked under the Group 1 trading
program at a conversion ratio determined by a formula. In the Revised
CSAPR Update, where the EPA established the Group 3 trading program and
transitioned approximately 55 percent of the sources that had been
participating in the Group 2 trading program to the new program, the
EPA similarly determined that it was reasonable to provide for an
initial bank of allowances for the Group 3 trading program by
converting allowances banked under the Group 2 trading program at a
conversion ratio determined by a formula, using a conversion procedure
that was modified to leave much of the Group 2 allowance bank available
for use by the approximately 45 percent of sources then in the Group 2
trading program that would remain in that program. Any conversion of
banked allowances from a previous trading program for use in a new
trading program must ensure that implementation of the new trading
program will result in NOX emissions reductions sufficient
to address significant contribution by all states that would be
participating in the new trading program, while also providing industry
certainty (and obtaining an environmental benefit) through continued
recognition of the value of saving allowances through early reductions
in emissions. The EPA's approach to balancing these concerns in the
CSAPR Update through the conversion of banked allowances from the Group
1 trading program to the Group 2 trading program was upheld in
Wisconsin v. EPA, 938 F.3d at 321.
Under this final rule, applying the same balancing principle as in
the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA will carry out a
further conversion of allowances banked for control periods before 2023
under the Group 2 trading program into allowances usable in the Group 3
trading program in control periods in 2023 and later years. Because the
EPA is transitioning over 80 percent of the remaining sources in the
Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program--much closer to
the situation in the CSAPR Update than the situation in the Revised
CSAPR Update--in this rule the EPA is applying a conversion procedure
similar to the procedure followed in the CSAPR Update. Under the
conversion procedure in this rule, the EPA has not set a predetermined
conversion ratio in the regulations (as was done in the Revised CSAPR
Update) but instead has established provisions identifying the target
amount of new Group 3 allowances that will be created and defining the
types of accounts whose holdings of Group 2 allowances will be
converted to Group 3 allowances (as was done in the CSAPR Update). The
conversion date will be carried out by September 18, 2023, which is
expected to be approximately 2 months after the compliance deadline for
the 2022 control period under the Group 2 trading program and
approximately ten months before the compliance deadline for the 2023
control period under the Group 3 trading program. The actual conversion
ratio will be determined as of the conversion date and will be the
ratio of the total amount of Group 2 allowances held in the identified
types of accounts prior to the conversion to the total amount of Group
3 allowances being created.
With respect to the numerator of the conversion ratio--that is, the
total amount of Group 2 allowances being converted--the EPA has defined
the types of accounts included in the conversion to include all
accounts except the facility accounts of sources in states that will
remain in the Group 2 trading program, consistent with the approach
taken in the CSAPR Update.\368\ Thus, the accounts whose holdings of
Group 2 allowances will be converted to Group 3 allowances will include
(1) the facility accounts of all sources in the states transitioning
from the Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program, (2)
the facility accounts of all sources in the states already
participating in the Group 3 trading program, (3) the facility accounts
of all sources in any other states not covered by the Group 2 trading
program that happen to hold Group 2 allowances as of the conversion
date, and (4) all general accounts (that is, accounts that are not
facility accounts, including other accounts controlled by source owners
as well as accounts controlled by non-source entities such as allowance
brokers). Creating the new Group 3 allowances through conversion of
previously banked Group 2 allowances will also help preserve the
stringency of the Group 2 trading program for the states that remain
covered by that trading program at levels consistent with the
stringency found to be appropriate to address those states' good
neighbor obligations with respect to the 2008 ozone NAAQS in the CSAPR
Update.
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\368\ The states whose sources will continue to participate in
the Group 2 trading program for the 2023 control period will be
Iowa, Kansas, and Tennessee.
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With respect to the denominator of the conversion ratio--that is,
the target amount of Group 3 allowances that will be created in the
conversion process--the EPA has followed the same approach for setting
the target amount that was used in the Revised CSAPR Update for
creation of the initial Group 3 allowance bank. Specifically, the
target amount of Group 3 allowances to be created in this rule will be
computed as the sum of the minimum 21 percent variability limits for
the 2024 control period \369\ established for the ten states being
added to the Group 3 trading program, prorated to reflect the portion
of the 2023 control period occurring on and after the effective date of
the final rule. Based on the amounts of the state emissions budgets and
variability limits, the full-season target amount for the conversion
would be 23,094 Group 3 allowances. The quantity of banked Group 2
allowances currently held in accounts other than the facility accounts
of sources in Iowa, Kansas, and Tennessee exceeding the quantity of
allowances likely to be needed for 2022 compliance is approximately
149,386 allowances. Thus, if the quantities of banked Group 2
allowances held in the accounts being included in the conversion do not
change between now and the conversion date, and if there was no
prorating adjustment, the conversion ratio would be approximately 6.5-
to-1, meaning that one Group 3 allowance would be created for every 6.5
Group 2 allowances deducted in the conversion process.\370\
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\369\ Similar to the approach taken in the Revised CSAPR Update,
because emissions reductions from some of the emissions controls
that EPA has identified as appropriate to use in setting budgets are
first reflected in the 2024 state budgets rather than the 2023 state
budgets, the EPA is basing the bank target amount on the sum of the
states' 2024 variability limits rather than the 2023 variability
limits.
\370\ By comparison, the analogous conversion ratio under the
Revised CSAPR Update was 8-to-1.
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As noted in section VI.B.12.a of this document, the EPA expects
that the effective date of this rule will occur after
[[Page 36814]]
the start of the 2023 ozone season, and prorating provisions are being
promulgated in this rule to ensure that the increased stringency of
this rule's state budgets and state assurance levels (i.e., the sums of
the budgets and variability limits) will take effect only after the
rule's effective date. Consistent with these other procedures, the EPA
will similarly prorate the bank target amount used in the conversion
process. For example, if the effective date of the final rule is the
eleventh day of the 153-day 2023 ozone season, the full-season initial
bank target amount of 23,094 allowances would be prorated to an initial
bank target amount of 21,585 allowances.\371\ The EPA notes that
prorating the bank amount in this manner will not reduce sources'
compliance flexibility for the 2023 ozone season, because the amounts
of Group 3 allowances that sources will receive for the portion of the
2023 ozone season before the rule's effective date will be based on the
trading program budgets for the 2023 control period that were in effect
before this rulemaking. These trading program budgets exceed the
sources' collective 2022 emissions by approximately 29,789 tons,
indicating potentially surplus allowances roughly 1.3 times the full-
season bank conversion target amount of 23,094 allowances. Thus,
although the prorating procedure will reduce the amount of Group 3
allowances that would be available to sources in the form of an initial
bank, the reduction in the quantity of these allowances will be more
than offset by the quantities of Group 3 allowances that will be
allocated in excess of sources' recent historical emissions levels for
the portion of the ozone season before the final rule's effective date.
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\371\ 23,094 x (153-10) / 153 = 21,585.
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As in the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA's
overall objective in establishing the target amount for the allowance
conversion is to achieve a total target amount for the bank at a level
high enough to accommodate year-to-year variability in operations and
emissions, as reflected in states' variability limits, but not high
enough to allow sources collectively to plan to emit in excess of the
collective state budgets. The EPA believes that a well-established
trading program should be able to function with an allowance bank lower
than the full amount of the covered states' variability limits, as
discussed in section VI.B.6 of this document with respect to the bank
recalibration process that will begin with the 2024 control period.
However, the EPA also believes there are several compelling reasons in
this instance to use a bank target higher than the minimum practicable
level.
First, making an allowance bank available for use in the 2023
control period that is somewhat higher than the minimum practicable
level will help to address concerns that might otherwise arise
regarding the transition to a new set of compliance requirements, for
some sources, and the transition to compliance requirements based on
revised emissions budgets different from the emissions budgets that the
sources had reason to anticipate under previous rulemakings, for the
remaining sources. Although the EPA is confident that the emissions
budgets being established in this rulemaking for the 2023 control
period are readily achievable, the EPA also believes that the existence
of a somewhat larger allowance bank at this transition point will
promote sources' confidence in their ability to meet their 2023
compliance obligations in general and in a liquid allowance market in
particular. Second, because the large majority of the remaining Group 2
allowances that will be converted to Group 3 allowances in this
rulemaking are held by the sources currently in the Group 2 trading
program, while the large majority of the initial bank of Group 3
allowances previously created in the conversion under the Revised CSAPR
Update are held by the sources already in the Group 3 trading program,
basing the conversion in this rulemaking on a target bank amount set in
the same manner as the target bank amount used in the Revised CSAPR
Update is expected to result in a less concentrated distribution of
holdings of banked Group 3 allowances following the conversion than
would be the case if a more stringent target bank amount were used
under this rulemaking than was used in the Revised CSAPR Update. A
lower concentration of holdings of banked Group 3 allowances would
generally be expected to help ensure allowance market liquidity. Third,
the EPA considers it equitable to treat the sources in the states
transitioning from the Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading
program in this rulemaking roughly similarly to the sources in the
states that transitioned between the same two trading programs in the
Revised CSAPR Update with respect to the benefit they would receive
under the Group 3 trading program for any efforts they may have made to
make emissions reductions under the Group 2 trading program beyond the
minimum efforts that were required to comply with the emissions budgets
under that program. Finally, to the extent that the conversion results
in a larger bank of allowances remaining after the 2023 control period
than is considered necessary to sustain a well-functioning trading
program in subsequent control periods, the excess will be removed from
the program in the bank recalibration process that will be implemented
starting with the 2024 control period and therefore will not weaken
sources' incentives to control emissions on a permanent basis.
The rule's provisions relating to the creation of an incremental
Group 3 allowance bank are being finalized as proposed. Comments on the
creation of the incremental allowance bank are discussed in section 5
of the RTC.
c. Recall of Group 2 Allowances Allocated for Control Periods After
2022
To maintain the previously established levels of stringency of the
Group 2 trading program for the states and sources that remain subject
to that program, the EPA is recalling CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances equivalent in amount and usability to all vintage
year 2023-2024 CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
previously allocated to sources in states and areas of Indian country
transitioning to the Group 3 trading program and recorded in the
sources' compliance accounts. The recall provisions apply to all
sources in jurisdictions newly added to the Group 3 trading program in
whose compliance accounts CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for a control period in 2023 or 2024 were recorded,
including sources where some or all units have permanently retired or
where the previously recorded 2023-2024 allowances have been
transferred out of the compliance account. The recall provisions
provide a flexible compliance schedule intended to accommodate any
sources that have already transferred the previously recorded 2023-2024
allowances out of their compliance accounts and allow Group 2
allowances of earlier vintages to be surrendered to achieve compliance.
Like the similar recall provisions finalized in the Revised CSAPR
Update, the recall provisions include specifications for how the recall
provisions apply in instances where a source and its allowances have
been transferred to different parties and for the procedures that the
EPA will follow to implement the recall.
Under the Group 2 trading program regulations, each Group 2
allowance is a ``limited authorization to emit one ton of
NOX during the control period in one year,'' where the
relevant limitations include the EPA Administrator's
[[Page 36815]]
authority ``to terminate or limit the use and duration of such
authorization to the extent the Administrator determines is necessary
or appropriate to implement any provision of the Clean Air Act.'' 40
CFR 97.806(c)(6)(ii). The Administrator is determining that, to
effectively implement the Group 2 trading program as a compliance
mechanism through which states not subject to the Group 3 trading
program may continue to meet their obligations under CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) with regard to the 2008 ozone NAAQS, it is necessary
to limit the use of Group 2 allowances equivalent in quantity and
usability to all Group 2 allowances previously allocated for the 2023-
2024 control periods and recorded in the compliance accounts of sources
in the newly added Group 3 jurisdictions. The Group 2 allowances that
have already been allocated to sources in the newly added Group 3
states for the 2023-2024 control periods and recorded in the sources'
compliance accounts represent the substantial majority of the total
remaining quantity of Group 2 allowances that have been allocated and
recorded for the 2023-2024 control periods and that were not already
made subject to recall when other jurisdictions were transferred from
the Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program in the
Revised CSAPR Update. Because allowances can be freely traded, if the
use of the 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances previously recorded in newly
added Group 3 sources' compliance accounts (or equivalent Group 2
allowances) were not limited, the effect would be the same as if the
EPA had issued to sources in the states that will remain covered by the
Group 2 trading program a quantity of allowances available for
compliance under the 2023-2024 control periods many times the levels
that the EPA determined to be appropriate emissions budgets for these
states in the CSAPR Update. Through the use of banked allowances, the
excess Group 2 allowances would affect compliance under the Group 2
trading program in control periods after 2024 as well. Continued
implementation of the Group 2 trading program at levels of stringency
consistent with the levels contemplated under the CSAPR Update
therefore requires that the EPA limit the use of the excess allowances,
as the EPA is doing through the recall provisions.
In this rule, the EPA is implementing limitations on the use of the
excess 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances through requirements to surrender,
for each 2023-2024 Group 2 allowance recorded in a newly added Group 3
source's compliance account, one Group 2 allowance of equivalent
usability under the Group 2 trading program. The surrender requirements
apply to the owners and operators of the Group 3 sources in whose
compliance account the excess 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances were
initially recorded. In general, each source's current owners and
operators are required to comply with the surrender requirements for
the source by ensuring that sufficient allowances to complete the
deductions are available in the source's compliance account by one of
two possible deadlines discussed later in this section. However, an
exception is provided if a source's current owners and operators
obtained ownership and operational control of the source in a
transaction that did not include rights to direct the use and transfer
of some or all of the 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances allocated and
recorded (either before or after that transaction) in the source's
compliance account. The rule provides that in such a circumstance, with
respect to the 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances for which rights were not
included in the transaction, the surrender requirements apply to the
most recent former owners and operators of the source before any such
transactions occurred. Because in this situation a source's former
owners and operators might lack the ability to access the source's
compliance account for purposes of complying with the surrender
requirements, the former owners and operators would instead be allowed
to meet the surrender requirements with Group 2 allowances held in a
general account.\372\
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\372\ The EPA is currently unaware of any source that would need
to use this flexibility but has included the option in the rule to
address the theoretical possibility of such a situation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To provide as much flexibility as possible consistent with the need
to limit the use of the excess Group 2 allowances, for each 2023-2024
Group 2 allowance recorded in a Group 3 source's compliance account,
the EPA will accept the surrender of either the same specific 2023-2024
Group 2 allowance or any other Group 2 allowance with equivalent (or
greater) usability under the Group 2 trading program. Thus, a surrender
requirement with regard to a Group 2 allowance allocated for the 2023
control period could be met through the surrender of any Group 2
allowance allocated for the 2023 control period or the control period
in any earlier year--in other words, any 2017-2023 Group 2
allowance.\373\ Similarly, the surrender requirement with regard to a
2024 Group 2 allowance could be met through the surrender of any 2017-
2024 Group 2 allowance.
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\373\ The first control period for the Group 2 trading program
was in 2017.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Owners and operators subject to the surrender requirements can
choose from two possible deadlines for meeting the requirements. The
optional first deadline will be 15 days after the effective date of
this rule.\374\ As soon as practicable or after this date, the EPA will
make a first attempt to complete the deductions of Group 2 allowances
required for each Group 3 source from the source's compliance account.
The EPA will deduct Group 2 allowances first to address any surrender
requirements for the 2023 control period and then to address any
surrender requirements for the 2024 control period. When deducting
Group 2 allowances to address the surrender requirements for each
control period, EPA will first deduct allowances allocated for that
control period and then will deduct allowances allocated for each
successively earlier control period. This order of deductions is
intended to ensure that whatever Group 2 allowances are available in
the account are applied to the surrender requirements in a manner that
both maximizes the extent to which all of the source's surrender
requirements will be met and also ensures that any Group 2 allowances
left in the source's compliance account after completion of all
required deductions will be the earliest allocated, and therefore most
useful, Group 2 allowances possible. Among the Group 2 allowances
allocated for a given control period, The EPA will first deduct
allowances that were initially recorded in that account, in the order
of recordation, and will then deduct allowances that were transferred
into that account after having been initially recorded in some other
account, in the order of recordation.
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\374\ As discussed later in this section and in section
VI.B.9.b, the EPA has conditioned recordation of any allocations of
Group 3 allowances in a source's compliance account on the source's
prior compliance with the recall requirements for Group 2
allowances. The purpose of providing an optional first deadline for
the recall provisions 15 days after a final rule's effective is to
ensure that sources have an early opportunity to comply with the
recall provisions to be eligible to have allocations of Group 3
allowances recorded in their accounts 30 days after the final rule's
effective date. Because the vast majority of sources subject to the
recall provisions already hold sufficient Group 2 allowances to
comply with the recall provisions, the EPA anticipates that the
sources will easily be able to comply with the optional first recall
deadline.
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Following the first attempt to deduct Group 2 allowances to address
Group 3 sources' surrender requirements, the
[[Page 36816]]
EPA will send a notification to the designated representative for each
such source (as well as any alternate designated representative)
indicating whether all required deductions were completed and, if not,
the additional amounts of Group 2 allowances usable in the 2023 or 2024
control periods that must be held in the appropriate account by the
second surrender deadline of September 15, 2023. Each notification will
be sent to the email addresses most recently provided to the EPA for
the recipients and will include information on how to contact the EPA
with any questions. The EPA has provided that no allocations of Group 3
allowances will be recorded in a source's compliance account until all
the source's surrender requirements with regard to 2023-2024 Group 2
allowances have been met. For this reason, the principal consequence to
a source of failure to fully comply with the surrender requirements by
15 days after the effective date of this rule will be that any Group 3
allowances allocated to the units at the source for the 2023 and 2024
control periods that would otherwise have been recorded in the source's
compliance account by 30 days after the effective date of a final rule
will not be recorded as of that recordation date.
If all surrender requirements of 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances for a
source have not been met in EPA's first attempt, the EPA will make a
second attempt to complete the required deductions from the source's
compliance account (or from a specified general account, in the limited
circumstance noted previously) as soon as practicable on or after
September 15, 2023. The order in which Group 2 allowances are deducted
will be the same as described previously for the first attempt.
If the second attempt to deduct Group 2 allowances to meet the
surrender requirements through deductions from the source's compliance
account (or from a specified general account) is unsuccessful for a
given source, as soon as practicable on or after November 15, 2023, to
the extent necessary to address the unsatisfied surrender requirements
for the source, the EPA will deduct the 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances
that were initially recorded in the source's compliance account from
whatever accounts the allowances are held in as of the date of the
deduction, except for any allowances where, as of April 30, 2022, no
person with an ownership interest in the allowances was an owner or
operator of the source, was a direct or indirect parent or subsidiary
of an owner or operator of the source, or was directly or indirectly
under common ownership with an owner or operator of the source.\375\
Before making any deduction under this provision, the EPA will send a
notification to the authorized account representative for the account
in which the allowance is held and will provide an opportunity for
submission of objections concerning the data upon which the EPA is
relying. In EPA's view, this provision does not unduly interfere with
the legitimate expectations of participants in the allowance markets
because the provision will not be invoked in the case of any allowance
that was transferred to an independent party in an arms-length
transaction before EPA's intent to recall 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances
became widely known. The provision would apply only to a Group 2
allowance that, as of April 30, 2022, was still controlled either by
the owners and operators of the source in whose compliance account it
was initially recorded or by an entity affiliated with such an owner or
operator. The EPA believes that by April 30, 2022, all market
participants had ample opportunity to become informed of the proposed
rule provisions to recall 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances recorded in
Group 3 sources' compliance accounts, particularly since the EPA
implemented a closely analogous recall of Group 2 allowances in the
Revised CSAPR Update.\376\
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\375\ The provision under which the EPA will not deduct Group 2
allowances transferred to unrelated parties before April 30, 2022
from the transferees' accounts does not relieve the source to which
the Group 2 allowances were originally allocated from the obligation
to comply with the recall requirements. Specifically, the source
would be required to comply with the recall requirements by
obtaining and surrendering other Group 2 allowances.
\376\ Even before publication of the proposed rule, the EPA
posted information on its websites to notify market participants
that a pending rulemaking could have consequences for the value and
usability of Group 2 allowances. The posted locations included the
electronic portal that authorized account representatives use to
enter allowance transfers for recordation by the EPA in the
Allowance Management System. Additionally, the EPA emailed a notice
identifying the possibility of such consequences to the
representatives for all Allowance Management System accounts.
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The final revised regulations provide that failure of a source's
owners and operators to comply with the surrender requirements will be
subject to possible enforcement as a violation of the CAA, with each
allowance and each day of the control period constituting a separate
violation.
To eliminate any possible uncertainty regarding the amounts of
Group 2 allowances allocated for the 2023-2024 control periods (or
earlier control periods) that the owners and operators of each Group 3
source are required to surrender under the recall provisions, the EPA
has prepared a list of the sources in the additional Group 3 states and
areas of Indian country in whose compliance accounts allocations of
2023-2024 Group 2 allowances were recorded, with the amounts of the
allocations recorded in each such compliance account for the 2023 and
2024 control periods. An additional list shows, for each newly added
Group 3 source, the specific Group 2 allowances (batched by serial
number) allocated for each control period and recorded in the source's
compliance account and indicates whether, as of April 30, 2022, that
batch of allowances was held in the source's compliance account, in an
account believed to be partially or fully controlled by a related party
(i.e., an owner or operator of the source or an affiliate of an owner
or operator of the source), or in an account believed to be fully
controlled by independent parties. The lists are in a spreadsheet
titled, ``Recall of Additional CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 Allowances,'' available in the docket for this rule. After the first
and second surrender deadlines, the EPA intends to update the lists to
indicate for each Group 3 source whether the surrender requirements for
the source under the recall provisions have been fully satisfied. The
EPA will post the updated lists on a publicly accessible website to
ensure that all market participants have the ability to determine which
specific 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances initially recorded in any given
Group 3 source's compliance account do or do not remain subject to
potential deduction to address the source's surrender requirements
under the recall provisions.
The recall provisions have been finalized without change from the
proposal. The EPA received no comments on the proposed provisions.
13. Conforming Revisions to Regulations for Other CSAPR Trading
Programs
As noted in section VI.B.1.a of this document, in addition to the
Group 3 trading program, EPA currently administers five other CSAPR
trading programs, all of which have provisions that in most respects
parallel the provisions of the Group 3 trading program.\377\ In this
rulemaking, in addition to the revisions to the Group 3 trading
program, the EPA is finalizing a set of conforming revisions that
concern how various areas of Indian country are
[[Page 36817]]
treated for purposes of the allowance allocation provisions of the
regulations for all the CSAPR trading programs.\378\
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\377\ The regulations for the Group 3 Trading Program are at 40
CFR part 97, subpart GGGGG. The regulations for the other five CSAPR
trading programs are at 40 CFR part 97, subparts AAAAA, BBBBB,
CCCCC, DDDDD, and EEEEE.
\378\ Additional conforming revisions concerning the schedules
for the EPA to record allowance allocations in source's compliance
accounts and for states to submit state-determined allowance
allocations to the EPA for subsequent recordation were finalized in
an earlier final rule in this docket. See 87 FR 52473 (August 26,
2022).
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As discussed in section VI.B.9.a of this document, to reflect the
D.C. Circuit's holding in ODEQ v. EPA that states have initial CAA
implementation planning authority in non-reservation areas of Indian
country until displaced by a demonstration of tribal jurisdiction over
such an area, the EPA is revising the allowance allocation provisions
in the Group 3 trading program regulations so that, instead of
distinguishing between the sets of units within a given state's borders
that either are not or are in Indian country, the revised regulations
distinguish between (1) the set of units within the state's borders
that are not in Indian country or are in areas of Indian country
covered by the state's CAA implementation planning authority and (2)
the set of units within the state's borders that are in areas of Indian
country not covered by the state's CAA implementation planning
authority. For the same reasons stated in section VI.B.9.a of this
document for the Group 3 trading program, the EPA is revising the
allowance allocation provisions in the regulations for all the other
CSAPR trading programs establishing the same substantive distinction
among the sets of units within each state's borders. The specific
regulatory provisions that are affected are identified in section IX.D
of this document. The EPA is unaware of any currently operating units
that would be affected by this revision to the regulations for the
other CSAPR trading programs.
The conforming revisions to the regulations for the other CSAPR
trading programs concerning Indian country are being finalized as
proposed with no changes. The EPA received no comments on this portion
of the proposal.
C. Regulatory Requirements for Stationary Industrial Sources
The EPA is finalizing FIPs with requirements for certain non-EGU
industry sources for 20 of the states covered in this final rule. See
section II.B of this document for the list of states. The FIPs include
new emissions limitations for units in nine non-EGU industries that the
EPA finds (as discussed in sections IV and V of this final rule) are
significantly contributing to nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance in other states. The emissions control requirements of
these FIPs for non-EGU sources apply only during the ozone season (May
through September) each year, beginning in 2026.
To achieve the necessary non-EGU emissions reductions for these 20
states, the EPA is finalizing the proposed emissions limitations with
some adjustments as a result of information received during the public
comment period. The final emissions limits apply to the most impactful
types of units in the relevant industries and are achievable with the
control technologies identified in this preamble and further discussed
in the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD. The non-EGU regulatory requirements
unique to each industry that EPA is finalizing after considering public
comments are discussed in sections VI.C.1 through VI.C.6 of this
document.
These final FIP requirements apply to both new and existing
emissions units. The non-EGU emissions limits and compliance
requirements will apply in all 20 states (and, as discussed in section
III.C.2 of this document, in areas of Indian country within the borders
of those states), even if some of those states do not currently have
emissions units in a particular source category. This approach is
consistent with the approach that the EPA proposed, and the EPA did not
receive any comments specifically objecting to our proposal to regulate
new units. This approach will ensure that all new sources constructed
in any of the 20 states will be subject to the same good neighbor
requirements that apply to existing units under this final rule. This
will also avoid creating incentives to move production from an existing
non-EGU source to a new non-EGU source of the same type but lacking the
relevant emissions control requirements either within a linked state or
in another linked state.
Comment: The EPA received several comments regarding the proposed
approach of establishing unit-specific emissions limitations for non-
EGUs instead of an emissions trading program. Some commenters suggested
that a trading program for non-EGUs could provide for operational
flexibility and that EPA should allow sources to work with regulatory
authorities to develop a trading program. Other commenters generally
supported EPA's proposed approach and the decision to not include non-
EGUs in an emissions trading program, because the EPA would not need to
require sources to unnecessarily install CEMS. Commenters from several
states and industry groups generally supported other monitoring options
over CEMS, such as parametric monitoring, performance testing, and
predictive emissions monitoring systems (PEMS). Additional commenters
voiced concern with the expense and burden of continuous parametric
monitoring and semi-annual performance tests. Specifically, commenters
explained that semi-annual testing should not be required when the
emissions limits only apply during the ozone season. Commenters also
noted that many non-EGU boilers have recently been relieved from
meeting the CEMS requirements under the 1998 NOX SIP Call
and that implementing CEMS on many of the non-EGU sources would be
difficult and unnecessary.
Response: The EPA is finalizing a unit-specific approach with rate-
based emissions limitations set on a uniform basis for the different
segments of non-EGU emissions units using applicability criteria based
on size and type of unit and, in some cases, emissions thresholds. In
response to public comments, the EPA has adjusted these requirements as
necessary to ensure that the emissions control requirements are
achievable while ensuring that the FIPs achieve the necessary emissions
reductions from the covered units to eliminate significant contribution
to nonattainment and interference with maintenance as discussed in
section V of this document. The EPA has concluded that a unit-specific
approach is more appropriate for non-EGUs at this time than
implementing a trading program and requiring all units to implement
rigorous part 75 monitoring and reporting requirements. As explained in
the proposal, to be considered for a trading program, non-EGU sources
would have to comply with requirements for monitoring and reporting of
hourly mass emissions in accordance with 40 CFR part 75 as we have
required for all previous trading programs. Monitoring and reporting
under part 75 include CEMS (or an approved alternative method),
rigorous initial certification testing, and periodic quality assurance
testing thereafter, such as relative accuracy test audits and daily
calibrations. Consistent and accurate measurement of emissions is
necessary to ensure that each allowance actually represents one ton of
emissions and that one ton of reported emissions from one source would
be equivalent to one ton of reported emissions from another source. See
75 FR 45325 (August 2, 2010). Moreover, these monitoring requirements
generally would need to be in place for at least
[[Page 36818]]
one full ozone season to establish baseline data before it would be
appropriate to rely on a trading program as the mechanism to achieve
the required emissions reductions. Many industry and state commenters
provided information confirming that many non-EGU units subject to this
rulemaking do not currently utilize CEMS and specifically requested
that EPA avoid requiring CEMS for all non-EGU industries. The EPA
generally agrees that CEMS is not necessary for all non-EGU industries
under the approach of this final rule and is finalizing other
continuous monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements, as
appropriate, that are specific to each non-EGU industry. The EPA has
determined that establishing unit-specific emissions limitations for
non-EGUs is a preferable approach in part because it avoids the
rigorous monitoring requirements that would be applied to non-EGUs for
the first time under a trading program.
Furthermore, to address commenters' concerns regarding non-EGU
requirements for performance testing on a semi-annual basis, the EPA
has also reduced the frequency of all required performance testing for
non-EGU sources to once per calendar year. As commenters correctly
pointed out, the emissions limits in these final FIPs only apply during
the ozone season and testing once per calendar year should be
sufficient to confirm the accuracy of the parameters being monitored to
demonstrate continuous compliance during the ozone season. The EPA also
agrees with commenters that the annual testing requirements need not
occur during the ozone season.
In addition, the EPA is modifying the applicability criteria and
other regulatory requirements in response to public comments to provide
certain compliance flexibilities for non-EGU industries where
appropriate. As discussed further in section V.C.1 of this document,
the EPA is modifying the requirements for Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas by finalizing an exemption for emergency engines and
allowing any owner or operator of an affected unit to propose a
``Facility-Wide Averaging Plan'' that would, if approved by EPA,
provide an alternative means for compliance with the emissions limits
in this final rule. Further, as discussed in section VI.C.5 of this
document, the EPA is finalizing a low-use exemption for non-EGU boilers
that operates less than 10 percent per year on an hourly basis, based
on the three most recent years of use and no more than 20 percent in
any one of the three years. These final rule provisions require
controls on the most impactful non-EGU industrial sources while
providing the flexibility needed to accommodate unique circumstances on
a case-by-case basis.
Comment: Commenters from several non-EGU industries and states
raised general concerns regarding the ability for all sources to comply
with the proposed emissions limits. Some commenters suggested that the
EPA allow for case-by-case limits where necessary, similar to case-by-
case RACT determinations. Specifically, commenters operating boilers,
furnaces, and MWCs provided general explanations of how some units
might not be able to meet the proposed emissions limits and requested
that EPA provide for compliance flexibility where a source can
demonstrate technical and economical infeasibility.
Response: As explained more in sections VI.C.1 through VI.C.6, the
EPA has made several adjustments to the proposed applicability
criteria, emissions limits, and compliance requirements in response to
public comments and to reduce the costs of compliance with the final
rule. For Pipeline Transportation and Natural Gas, the EPA is
finalizing emissions averaging provisions and exemptions for emergency
engines to allow facilities to avoid installing controls on units with
lower actual emissions where the installation of controls would be less
cost effective compared to higher-emitting units. For Cement and
Concrete Product Manufacturing, the EPA has removed the daily source
cap that would have resulted in an artificially restrictive
NOX emissions limit for affected cement kilns that have
operated at lower levels due to the COVID-19 pandemic. For Iron and
Steel and Ferroalloy Manufacturing, the EPA is finalizing a ``test-and-
set'' requirement for reheat furnaces that will require the
installation of low-NOX burners or equivalent technology.
The EPA has addressed the economic concerns raised by commenters
regarding installation of controls at Iron and Steel facilities by not
finalizing the other ten proposed emissions limits that were intended
to require the installation of SCR at these facilities. For Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing, the EPA is finalizing alternative
standards that apply during startup, shutdown, and idling conditions.
For boilers in Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal
Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills, Metal Ore
Mining, and the Iron and Steel Industry, the EPA is finalizing a low-
use exemption to eliminate the need to install controls on boilers that
would have resulted in relatively small reductions in emissions.
Finally, the EPA has modified the monitoring and recordkeeping
requirements for all non-EGU industries where possible to reduce the
testing frequency to once a year and to provide for alternative
monitoring protocols where appropriate, which should further reduce the
costs of compliance on non-EGU sources. With these modifications to the
final rule in response to comments, the non-EGU sources subject to this
rule should be able to meet the applicable control requirements
established in this final rule.
The EPA also recognizes, however, that there may be unique
circumstances the Agency cannot anticipate that would, for a particular
source, render the final emissions control requirements technically
impossible or impossible without extreme economic hardship. To address
these limited circumstances, the EPA is finalizing a provision that
allows a source to request EPA approval of a case-by-case emissions
limit based on a showing that an emissions unit cannot meet the
applicable standard due to technical impossibility or extreme economic
hardship. The EPA has modeled the case-by-case emissions limit
mechanism on case-by-case RACT requirements and certain facility-
specific emissions limits under 40 CFR part 60 identified by
commenters.\379\ The owner or operator of a source seeking a case-by-
case emissions limit must submit a request meeting specific
requirements to the EPA by August 5, 2024, one year after the effective
date of this final rule. The applicable emissions limits established in
this final rule remain in effect until the EPA approves a source's
request for a case-by-case emissions limit. Given the May 1, 2026
compliance date that generally applies to all affected units in the
non-EGU industries covered by this final rule, we encourage owners and
operators of affected units who believe they must seek case-by-case
emissions limits to submit their requests to the EPA before the one-
year deadline for such requests, if possible, to ensure adequate time
for EPA review and to install the necessary controls.
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\379\ For examples of case-by-case RACT provisions and source
specific limits for boilers in subpart Db of the EPA's NSPS, see 40
CFR 60.44b(f); Regulations of Connecticut State Agencies section
22a-174-22e; Code of Maryland Regulations section 26.11.09.08(B)(3);
and Code of Maine Rules section 096-138-3, subsection (I).
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For a source requesting a case-by-case limit due to technical
impossibility, the final rule requires that the request include
emissions data obtained through CEMS or stack tests, an analysis
[[Page 36819]]
of all available control technologies based on an engineering
assessment by a professional engineer or data from a representative
sample of similar sources, and a recommendation concerning the most
stringent emissions limit the source can technically achieve.
For a source requesting a case-by-case limit on the basis of
extreme economic hardship, the final rule requires that the request
include at least three vendor estimates from three separate vendors
that do not have a corporate or business-affiliation with the source of
the costs of installing the control technology necessary to meet the
applicable emissions limit and other information that demonstrates, to
the satisfaction of the Administrator, that the cost of compliance with
the applicable emissions limit for that particular source would present
an extreme economic hardship relative to the costs borne by other
comparable sources in the industry under this rule. In evaluating a
source's request for a case-by-case limit due to extreme economic
hardship, the EPA will consider the emissions reductions and costs
identified in this final rulemaking (and related support documents) for
other sources in the relevant industry and whether the costs of
compliance for the source seeking the case-by-case limit would
significantly exceed the highest representative end of the range of
estimated cost-per-ton figures identified for any source in the
relevant industry as discussed in section V of this document.
As discussed in section VI.A of this document, in Wisconsin the
court held that some deviation from the CAA's mandate to eliminate
prohibited transport by downwind attainment deadlines may be allowed
only ``under particular circumstances and upon a sufficient showing of
necessity,'' e.g., when compliance with the statutory mandate amounts
to an impossibility.\380\ Given these directives, the EPA cannot allow
a covered source to avoid complying with the emissions limits
established in this final rule unless the source can demonstrate that
compliance with the limit would either be impossible as a technical
matter or result in an extreme economic hardship--i.e., exceed the high
end of the cost-effectiveness estimates that informed the EPA's Step 3
determination of significant contribution, as discussed in section V of
this document. The criteria that must be met to qualify for a case-by-
case limit are designed to meet this statutory mandate.
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\380\ Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 316 and 319-320 (noting that any
such deviation must be ``rooted in Title I's framework'' and
``provide a sufficient level of protection to downwind States'').
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Several commenters raised concerns about the EPA's
differing applicability criteria for the various non-EGU industries.
Specifically, the commenters questioned why EPA set applicability
criteria for engines in Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas and non-
EGU boilers based on design capacity instead of potential to emit
(PTE). Commenters also requested that the EPA allow each non-EGU
category to rely on operating permits or other federally enforceable
instruments to avoid being subject to the rule, such as limits to the
PTE or limits on fuels used.
Response: The 100 tpy PTE threshold and comparable design capacity
thresholds of 1,000 horsepower (hp) for engines and 100 mmBtu/hr for
boilers are appropriate to ensure that the final rule reduces emissions
from the most impactful units. The EPA finds the control technologies
assumed to be installed to meet the final emissions limits would not be
as readily available or cost effective for emissions units with PTE or
design capacities lower than the applicability thresholds in this final
rule.
With regard to the selection of design capacity thresholds for
boilers and engines, the EPA finds that most RACT requirements and
other standards reviewed by the EPA establish applicability criteria
for engines and boilers based on design capacity rather than PTE. We
further explain our basis for establishing applicability thresholds
based on design capacity for these two source categories in sections
VI.C.1. and VI.C.5. For consistency with preexisting requirements for
engines and boilers and to capture the sizes of units identified in
Step 3 of our analysis, the EPA selected design capacities of 1,000 hp
for engines and 100 mmBtu/hr for boilers. The EPA recognizes that these
applicability thresholds captured more units than the EPA intended,
particularly some low-use units. Therefore, as explained in sections
VI.C.1 and VI.C.5., the EPA is establishing exemptions for low-use
boilers and emergency engines, as well as new emissions averaging
provisions for engines, to ensure that this final rule focuses on
larger, more impactful units.
The EPA also agrees with commenters that the applicability criteria
should allow for sources to rely on enforceable requirements that limit
a source's PTE and is finalizing a regulatory definition of PTE that is
generally consistent with the definitions of that term in the EPA's
title V and NSR permit programs. See, e.g., 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(iii),
70.2. In constructing the list of potential sources subject to the
final rule, the EPA relied on available information to identify the PTE
of the emissions units in the various non-EGU industries that are
captured by the applicability criteria. See Memo to Docket titled
Summary of Final Rule Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for
Non-EGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the
Final Emissions Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions
Reductions, and Costs. Thus, the EPA's Step 3 analysis takes into
account available information about currently enforceable emissions
limits and physical and operational limitations identified in existing
permits. The EPA finds it necessary to define PTE consistent with its
use in the title V and NSR permit programs to ensure that the
requirements of the final FIPs apply to the most impactful units
identified in Step 3 of our analysis. However, to ensure that these
FIPs achieve the emissions reductions necessary to eliminate
significant contribution or interference with maintenance as described
in this final rule, the applicability criteria for the Cement and
Concrete Manufacturing, Iron and Steel and Ferroalloy Manufacturing,
and Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing industries take into account
only those enforceable PTE limits in effect as of the effective date of
this final rule. Thus, any emissions unit in these three industries
that has a PTE equal to or greater than 100 tons per year and thus
meets the definition of an ``affected unit'' as of August 4, 2023, will
remain subject to the applicable FIPs, without regard to any PTE limit
that the emissions unit may subsequently become subject to. Each
affected unit in these three industries must submit an initial
notification of applicability to the EPA by December 4, 2023, that
identifies its PTE as of the effective date of this final rule.
Additionally, any owner or operator of an existing emissions unit that
is not an affected unit as of August 4, 2023, but subsequently meets
the applicability criteria (e.g., due to a change in fuel use that
increases the unit's PTE) will become an affected unit subject to the
applicable requirements of this final rule at that time.
Comment: In responding to the EPA's request for comment on whether
some non-EGU units would need to run controls required by the final FIP
year-round, one commenter anticipated that control equipment would be
operated as necessary to achieve applicable emissions limits, but that
operational
[[Page 36820]]
flexibility, cost considerations and equipment longevity would warrant
operation of certain control equipment on a schedule such that the
equipment would not be used when unnecessary to meet emissions limits
and/or outside of ozone season (i.e., during winter months). The
commenter further explained that flexibility in the operation of
certain control equipment when unnecessary to meet emissions limits
will allow for routine maintenance and repairs without requiring
variances or similar exemptions from continuous operation requirements.
Response: Based on the feedback received during the public comment
period, the EPA is finalizing requirements for non-EGU sources that
will apply only during the ozone season, which runs annually from May
to September. As discussed in the proposed rule, this is consistent
with EPA's prior practice in Federal actions to eliminate significant
contribution of ozone in the 1998 NOX SIP Call, CAIR, CSAPR,
CSAPR Update, and the Revised CSAPR Update. In addition, the EPA did
not receive any information during the public comment period suggesting
that sources would have to run the necessary controls year-round due to
the nature of those controls. We note, however, that certain emissions-
control technologies, such as combustion controls that are integrated
into the unit itself, would likely function to reduce NOX
emissions year-round as a practical engineering matter.
Comment: Regarding electronic reporting through the Compliance and
Emissions Data Reporting Interface (CEDRI), one commenter requested
that CEDRI reporting requirements be consolidated in one location
rather than repeated in each section. Another commenter requested that
EPA include electronic reporting requirements for MWCs and specifically
require that MWCs report CEMS data to CEDRI. Another commenter
requested that EPA allow for extensions of time for electronic reports
due to technical glitches.
Response: To increase the ease and efficiency of data submittal and
data accessibility, the EPA is finalizing, as proposed, a requirement
that owners and operators of non-EGU sources subject to the final FIPs,
including MWCs, submit electronic copies of required initial
notifications of applicability, performance test reports, performance
evaluation reports, quarterly and semi-annual reports, and excess
emissions reports through EPA's Central Data Exchange (CDX) using the
CEDRI. The final rule requires that performance test results collected
using test methods that are supported by the EPA's Electronic Reporting
Tool (ERT) as listed on the ERT website \381\ at the time of the test
be submitted in the format generated through the use of the ERT or an
electronic file consistent with the XML schema on the ERT website and
that other performance test results be submitted in portable document
format (PDF) using the attachment module of the ERT. Similarly, the EPA
is finalizing a requirement that performance evaluation results of CEMS
measuring relative accuracy test audit (RATA) pollutants that are
supported by the ERT at the time of the test be submitted in the format
generated through the use of the ERT or an electronic file consistent
with the XML schema on the ERT website, and a requirement that other
performance evaluation results be submitted in PDF using the attachment
module of the ERT. The final rule also requires that initial
notifications of applicability, annual compliance reports, and excess
emissions reports be submitted in PDF uploaded in CEDRI.
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\381\ The ERT website is located at https://www.epa.gov/electronic-reporting-air-emissions/electronic-reporting-tool-ert.
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Furthermore, the EPA is finalizing, as proposed, provisions that
allow owners and operators to seek extensions of time to submit
electronic reports due to circumstances beyond the control of the owner
or operator (e.g., due to a possible outage in CDX or CEDRI or a force
majeure event) in the time just prior to a report's due date, as well
as provisions specifying how to submit such a claim. Public commenters
supported these proposed provisions.
The EPA agrees with commenters that the CEDRI reporting
requirements could be centralized and has moved the CEDRI reporting
requirements to 40 CFR 52.40.
1. Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory requirements for the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry that apply to stationary,
natural gas-fired, spark ignited reciprocating internal combustion
engines (``stationary SI engines'') within these facilities that have a
maximum rated capacity of 1,000 hp or greater. Based on our review of
the potential emissions from stationary SI engines, we find that use of
a maximum rated capacity of 1,000 hp reasonably approximates the 100
tpy PTE threshold used in the Screening Assessment of Potential
Emissions Reductions, Air Quality Impacts, and Costs from Non-EGU
Emissions Units for 2026, as described in section V.B of this document.
The EPA is also modifying certain provisions in response to public
comments to provide compliance flexibilities for the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry sector in order to focus
emissions reduction efforts on the highest emitting units.
Specifically, the EPA is finalizing an exemption for emergency engines,
and establishing provisions that allow any owner or operator of an
affected unit to propose a Facility-Wide Averaging Plan that would, if
approved by EPA, provide an alternative means for compliance with the
emissions limits in this final rule.
For purposes of this rule, the EPA is clarifying and narrowing the
definition of ``pipeline transportation of natural gas'' to mean the
transport or storage of natural gas prior to delivery to a local
distribution company custody transfer station or to a final end-user
(if there is no local distribution company custody transfer station).
The revised definition of this term in Sec. 52.41(a) is consistent
with the EPA's regulatory definition of ``natural gas transmission and
storage segment'' in 40 CFR 60.5430(a) (subpart OOOOa, Standards of
Performance for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities for Which
Construction, Modification, or Reconstruction Commenced After September
18, 2015).
The EPA is also adding definitions of the terms ``local
distribution company'' and ``local distribution company custody
transfer station'' that are consistent with the definitions found in 40
CFR 98.400 (subpart NN, Suppliers of Natural Gas and Natural Gas
Liquids) and 40 CFR 60.5430(a) (subpart OOOOa, Standards of Performance
for Crude Oil and Natural Gas Facilities for Which Construction,
Modification, or Reconstruction Commenced After September 18, 2015),
respectively.
Comment: Several commenters asked EPA to exclude emergency engines
in the final rule and one commenter recommended that the EPA revise the
definition of affected unit to specifically exempt emergency engines.
Commenters stated that doing so would not only be consistent with other
regulations applicable to stationary SI engines, but it would also be
more consistent with EPA's applicability analysis, which assumes
stationary SI engines will operate for 7,000 hours a year, something
emergency engines are prohibited from doing by Federal regulation.
Commenters also stated that emergency generators are currently exempt
from requirements applicable to non-emergency RICE covered by both
[[Page 36821]]
the relevant NSPS rule (subpart JJJJ), as well as the relevant NESHAP
rule (subpart ZZZZ), and that although the NSPS and NESHAP standards
EPA has adopted for emergency RICE do not limit the amount of time they
may run for emergency purposes, EPA has recognized in the past that
states may assume a maximum of 500 hours of operation to estimate the
``potential to emit'' in issuing air permits for emergency RICE. One
commenter asserted that emergency engines operating under other
standards currently only operate for emergencies or for a few hours at
a time to periodically conduct regular maintenance, that their
emissions are low, and that their contribution to the ozone transport
issues EPA's proposal seeks to address is negligible. Another commenter
stated that the EPA has traditionally exempted emergency engines in
past standards because the EPA has typically found that the use of add-
on emissions controls cannot be justified due to the cost of the
technology relative to the emissions reduction that would be obtained.
Response: With respect to stationary SI emergency engines, the EPA
has reviewed the information submitted by the commenters and has
decided to exempt such engines from the requirements of the final rule.
Exemption of emergency engines is generally consistent with the EPA's
treatment of emergency engines in other CAA rulemakings. See, e.g., 40
CFR 63.6585(f). The EPA expects that this change from the proposed rule
addresses the concerns expressed by the commenters about the
requirements for stationary emergency engines.
The final rule defines emergency engines as engines that are
stationary and operated to provide electrical power or mechanical work
during an emergency situation. These engines are typically used only a
few hours per year, and the costs of emissions control are not
warranted when compared to the emissions reductions that would be
achieved.
In the final rule, emergency engines are subject to certain
compliance requirements on a continuous basis. Continuous compliance
requirements include operating limitations that apply during non-
emergency use but do not include emissions testing of emergency
engines.
Comment: Several commenters raised concerns about the EPA's
proposal to establish applicability criteria for engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas based on design capacity rather than PTE.
Other commenters asserted that the horsepower rating of an engine does
not necessarily correspond to its annual emissions and that engines
with a rated capacity of more than 1,000 hp in this industry sector may
operate at low load and/or infrequently and be associated with limited
NOX emissions. One commenter stated that most of the subject
facilities in their state that have natural gas fired SI engines with a
nameplate capacity rating of 1,000 hp or greater have annual
NOX emissions less than 100 tpy, with nearly 25 percent of
them less than 25 tpy. The commenter suggested that the 1,000 hp
applicability threshold would result in overcontrol. According to one
commenter, the EPA has overestimated the emissions rates and operating
hours of engines with a rated capacity of more than 1,000 hp and thus
underestimated the size of pipeline RICE that would be expected to emit
more than 100 tpy of NOX annually. According to this
commenter, only engines much larger than 1,000 hp are likely to emit at
the level EPA deemed appropriate for regulation.
Another commenter suggested that the EPA should use a 150 ton per
year threshold that the commenter alleges was used in the Revised CSAPR
Update rulemaking so that stationary SI engines are regulated on equal
footing with EGUs and raise the 1,000 hp threshold to 2,000 hp, which
according to the commenter would not sacrifice the emissions reductions
to be achieved.
Response: As explained in the proposal, the EPA found that most
RACT requirements and other standards reviewed by the EPA establish
applicability criteria for engines based on design capacity rather than
PTE. For consistency with preexisting requirements for engines, the EPA
selected a design capacity of 1,000 hp for engines to capture the sizes
of units identified in Step 3 of our analysis. Based on the Non-EGU
Screening Assessment memorandum, engines with a potential to emit of
100 tpy or greater had the most significant potential for
NOX emissions reductions. The EPA recognizes that the use of
a 1,000 hp design capacity as part of the applicability criteria may
capture low-use units and some units with emissions of less than 100
tons per year. However, it is also not possible to guarantee without an
effective emissions control program that all such units could not
increase emissions in the future. As discussed in section V of this
document, we continue to find that collectively engines with a design
capacity of 1,000 hp or higher in the states and industries covered by
this final rule emit substantial amounts of NOX that
significantly contribute to downwind air quality problems.
However, in response to concerns raised by commenters while
continuing to ensure that this rule establishes an effective emissions
control program for these units that is consistent with our Step 3
determinations, the EPA is establishing a compliance alternative using
facility-wide emissions averaging, which will allow facilities to
prioritize emissions reductions from larger, higher-emitting units. (As
previously discussed, we are also establishing an exemption for
emergency engines, which also helps ensure that this final rule focuses
on larger, more impactful units in this industry.) The facility-wide
emissions averaging alternative is explained in the following
paragraphs.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
In developing the emissions limits for the Pipeline Transportation
of Natural Gas industry, the EPA reviewed RACT NOX rules,
air permits, and OTC model rules. While some permits and rules express
engine emissions limits in parts per million by volume (ppmv), the
majority of rules and source-specific requirements express the
emissions limits in grams per horsepower per hour (g/hp-hr). The EPA
has historically set emissions limits for these types of engines using
g/hp-hr and finds that method appropriate for this final FIP as well.
Based on the available information for this industry, including
applicable State and local air agency rules and active air permits
issued to sources with similar engines, the EPA is finalizing the
following emissions limits for stationary SI engines in the covered
states. Beginning in the 2026 ozone season and in each ozone season
thereafter, the following emissions limits apply, based on a 30-day
rolling average emissions rate during the ozone season:
[[Page 36822]]
Table VI.C-1--Summary of Final NOX Emissions Limits for Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final NOX
Engine type and fuel emissions limit
(g/hp-hr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Rich Burn.............. 1.0
Natural Gas Fired Four Stroke Lean Burn.............. 1.5
Natural Gas Fired Two Stroke Lean Burn............... 3.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA anticipates that, in some cases, affected engines will need
to install NOX controls to comply with the final emissions
limits in Table VI.C-1. The emissions limits for four stroke rich burn
engines, four stroke lean burn engines and two stroke lean burn engines
are designed to be achievable by installing Non-Selective Catalytic
Reduction (NSCR) on existing four stroke rich burn engines; installing
SCR on existing four stroke lean burn engines; and retrofitting layer
combustion on existing two stroke lean burn engines as identified in
the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD. Sources have the flexibility to install
any other control technologies that enable the affected units to meet
the applicable emissions limit on a continuous basis.
The EPA is establishing provisions that allow any owner or operator
of an affected unit in the Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas
Industry to propose a Facility-Wide Averaging Plan that would, if
approved by EPA, provide an alternative means for compliance with the
emissions limits in this final rule. These provisions will provide some
flexibility to owners and operators of affected units to determine
which engines to control and at what level, so long as the average
emissions across all covered units, on a weighted basis, meet the
applicable emissions limits for each engine type. This approach allows
facilities to target the most cost-effective emissions reductions and
to avoid installing controls on equipment that is infrequently
operated.
We provide a more detailed discussion of the basis for the final
emissions limits and the anticipated control technologies to be
installed in the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
Four Stroke Rich Burn and Four Stroke Lean Burn Engines
The EPA requested comment on whether a lower emissions limit is
appropriate for four stroke rich burn engines since even an assumed
reduction of 95 percent would result in most engines being able to
achieve an emissions rate of 0.5 g/hp-hr. The EPA also requested
comment on whether a lower or higher emissions limit is appropriate for
four stroke lean burn engines.
Comment: One commenter stated that the limits as proposed were not
technically feasible in all circumstances. The commenter explained that
its company has 150 four stroke rich burn engines in its fleet and that
some of those engines cannot achieve the proposed 1.0 g/hp-hr limit
even with both NSCR and layered combustion due to the vintage design of
the individual cylinder geometry and the fact that most of these
engines are not in production today, which limits availability of parts
and retrofit technologies. The commenter asserted that 10 of its four
stroke rich burn engines have all available controls on them and half
of those still exceed the proposed limits. The commenter estimated that
10 of its four stroke lean burn engines would require SCR to meet the
1.5 g/hp-hr limit and that this control installation would require
custom retrofit due to the age of these engines. Furthermore, the
commenter stated that if current limits are not achievable in all
circumstances, then lower limits are likewise impossible for four
stroke rich burn engines and four stroke lean burn engines in even more
circumstances. The commenter stated that the technical feasibility of
installing controls on any single existing engine varies and depends,
in part, on site-specific and engine-specific considerations such as
space for the installation of the control, the availability of
sufficient power, the emissions reductions required to meet the
applicable standards, and the vintage, make, and model of a particular
engine. Another commenter recommended tightening the proposed emissions
standards for four stroke lean burn engines to an emissions limit
similar to Colorado's limit of 1.2 g/hp-hr. A third commenter noted
that the District of Columbia Department of Energy and Environment has
NOX emissions limits for both rich- and lean burn engines
burning natural gas at 0.7 g/hp-hr.
Response: The EPA is finalizing the emissions limits for both four
stroke rich burn engines and four stroke lean burn engines as proposed
but also establishing alternative compliance provisions and criteria
for establishing case-by-case alternative emissions limits in response
to the concerns raised by commenters. NSCR can achieve NOX
reductions of 90 to 99 percent, and engines in California, Colorado,
Pennsylvania and Texas have achieved the emissions limits that the EPA
had proposed. Based on this information and the emissions limits and
NOX controls analysis developed by the OTC in a report
entitled Technical Information Oil and Gas Sector Significant
Stationary Sources of NOX Emissions (October 17, 2012), the EPA is
finalizing a 1.0 g/hp-hr emissions limit for four stroke rich burn
engines and a 1.5 g/hp-hr emissions limit for four stroke lean burn
engines. The Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD provides a more detailed
explanation of the basis for these emissions limits.
To address the concerns raised by some commenters that not all
engines may be able to achieve the emissions limits as proposed due to
engine vintage and technical constraints, the final rule allows any
owner or operator of an affected unit to request a Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan that would, if approved by EPA, provide an alternative
means for compliance with the emissions limits in the final rule. An
approved Facility-Wide Averaging Plan would allow the owner or operator
of the facility to identify the most cost-effective means for
installing the necessary controls (i.e., by installing controls on the
subset of engines that provide the greatest emissions reduction
potential at lowest costs). In addition to the Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan provisions, the final rule allows owners and operators to seek EPA
approval of alternative emissions limits, on a case-by-case basis,
where necessary due to technical impossibility or to avoid extreme
economic hardship. The provisions governing case-by-case alternative
limits are explained in more detail in section VI.C of this document.
Two Stroke Lean Burn Engines
The EPA requested comment on whether a lower emissions limit would
be achievable with layered combustion alone for the two stroke lean
burn engines covered by this final rule. The
[[Page 36823]]
EPA also sought comment on whether these engines could install
additional control technology at or below the marginal cost threshold
to achieve a lower emissions rate.
Comment: Commenters did not specifically address whether a lower
emissions limit would be achievable with layered combustion alone at
two stroke lean burn engines. However, one commenter stated that older
two stroke lean burn engines generally would not be able to achieve the
proposed NOX emissions limits. The commenter stated that
conversion kits are available for several models that can reduce
emissions but that such kits are not made for all models, especially
older stationary engines. Commenters further stated that where
conversion kits are not available, a company would likely have no
choice but to replace the older four stroke or two stroke stationary
engines, typically at a cost of $2 million to $4 million each.
Two commenters stated that they are required by their state agency
to have RACT, BACT, or BART controls, at minimum. Commenters stated
that requiring additional controls at facilities already equipped with
RACT, BACT or BART control technologies would not achieve the
anticipated emissions reductions due to operational factors inherent in
the preexisting and pre-controlled equipment and that the achievability
of targeted control levels is highly dependent upon a number of
variables at each facility.
Another commenter suggested that the EPA set lower limits for two
stroke lean burn engines similar to the OTC-recommended limits in the
range of 1.5-2.0 g/hp-hr.
Response: Information currently available to the EPA indicates that
the amount of emissions reductions achievable with layered combustion
controls is unit specific and can range from a 60 to 90 percent
reduction in NOX emissions. The EPA estimates that existing
uncontrolled two stroke lean burn engines would need to reduce
emissions by up to 80 percent to comply with a 3.0 g/hp-hr emissions
limit. The EPA has found that engines in California, Colorado,
Pennsylvania and Texas have achieved these emissions rates. Based on
this information and the emissions limits and NOX controls
analysis developed by the OTC in a report entitled Technical
Information Oil and Gas Sector Significant Stationary Sources of NOX
Emissions (October 17, 2012), the EPA is finalizing a 3.0 g/hp-hr
emissions limit for two stroke lean burn engines. Although some
affected units may be able to achieve a lower emissions rate, we find
that a 3.0 g/hp-hr emissions limit generally reflects a level of
control that is cost-effective for the majority of the affected units
and sufficient to achieve the necessary emissions reductions. As
explained in the proposed rule and expressed by public commenters, if
the EPA were to establish an emissions limit lower than 3.0 g/hp-hr,
some two stroke lean burn engines would not be able to meet the
emissions limit with the installation of layered combustion control
alone. In that case, the lower limit might require the installation of
SCR, which the EPA did not find to be cost-effective for two stroke
lean burn engines in its Step 3 analysis.\382\ The Final Non-EGU
Sectors TSD provides a more detailed explanation of the basis for this
emissions limit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\382\ 87 FR 20036, 20143 (noting that an emissions limit below
3.0 g/hp-hr may require some two stroke lean burn engines to install
additional controls beyond the EPA's cost threshold).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In response to commenters' concerns about the difficulties involved
in retrofitting or replacing older stationary engines to achieve the
EPA's proposed emissions limit, the final rule allows any owner or
operator of an affected unit to request a Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
that would, if approved by EPA, provide an alternative means for
compliance with the emissions limits in the final rule. In addition to
the Facility-Wide Averaging Plan provisions, the final rule allows
owners and operators to seek EPA approval of alternative emissions
limits, on a case-by-case basis, where necessary due to technical
impossibility or to avoid extreme economic hardship. However, in the
context of older or ``vintage,'' high-emitting engines in this industry
for which commenters claim emissions control technology retrofit is not
feasible, the Agency anticipates taking into consideration the cost
associated with alternative compliance strategies, such as replacement
with new, far more efficient and less polluting engines, in evaluating
claims of extreme economic hardship.
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
The EPA is finalizing regulatory text that provides for an
emissions limit compliance alternative using facility-level emissions
averaging. An approved Facility-Wide Averaging Plan will allow the
owner or operator of the facility to average emissions across all
participating units and thus to select the most cost-effective means
for installing the necessary controls (i.e., by installing controls on
the subset of engines that provide the greatest emissions reduction
potential at lowest costs and avoiding installation of controls on
equipment that is infrequently operated or otherwise less cost-
effective to control). So long as all of the emissions units covered by
the Facility-Wide Averaging Plan collectively emit less than or equal
to the total amount of NOX emissions (in tons per day) that
would be emitted if each covered unit individually met the applicable
NOX emissions limitations, the covered units will be in
compliance with the final rule. Under this alternative compliance
option, facilities have the flexibility to prioritize emissions
reductions from larger, dirtier engines.
Comment: Several commenters recommended that the EPA promulgate
emissions averaging provisions, as it did in the 2004 NOX
SIP Call Phase 2 rule (69 FR 21604), in which the EPA evaluated and
supported reliance on emissions averaging for RICE in the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry sector. The commenter stated
that the EPA's guidance to states on developing an appropriate SIP in
response to the SIP Call provided companies the ``flexibility'' to use
a number of control options, as long as the collective result achieved
the required NOX reductions, and that many states built
their revised SIPs around the emissions averaging approach addressed in
this guidance document.\383\ One commenter recommended that the EPA
allow intra-state emissions averaging across all pipeline RICE owned or
operated by the same company. Another commenter asserted that units of
certain vintages and units from certain manufacturers will not be able
to meet the emissions rate limits the EPA had proposed. The commenter
claimed that, absent a system based on source-specific emissions
limits, emissions averaging is one of the only practical mechanisms for
addressing these challenges.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\383\ The commenter refers to an August 22, 2002 memorandum from
Lydia N. Wegman, Director, EPA, Air Quality Strategies and Standards
Division to EPA Air Division Directors, entitled ``State
Implementation Plan (SIP) Call for Reducing Nitrogen Oxides
(NOX)--Stationary Reciprocating Internal Combustion
Engines.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
One commenter stated that it had evaluated the cost of controls for
engines in its fleet and that the variety in cost-per-ton for each
potential project counsels for a more flexible approach, like an
averaging program. Another commenter advocated for an emissions
averaging plan that would allow an engine-by-engine showing of economic
infeasibility to ensure a cost-effective application of the emissions
standards, a reduced impact on natural gas capacity, and a means for
addressing the problem presented by achieving
[[Page 36824]]
compliance on engines that are technically impossible to retrofit.
One commenter stated that the EPA should also consider allowing
companies to choose a mass-based alternative that would ensure
emissions reductions align with the tons per year reductions upon which
the EPA based its significant contribution and over-control analyses.
Response: Based upon the EPA's 2019 NEI emissions inventory data,
the EPA estimates that a total of 3,005 stationary SI engines are
subject to the final rule. The EPA recognizes that many low-use engines
are captured by the 1,000 hp design capacity applicability threshold.
In the process of reviewing public comments, the EPA reviewed emissions
averaging plans found in state air quality rules for Colorado,
Illinois, Louisiana, New Jersey, and Tennessee.\384\ Based on these
additional reviews, the EPA is finalizing in Sec. 52.41(c) of this
final rule an emissions limit compliance alternative using facility-
level emissions averaging. Emissions averaging plans will allow
facility owners and operators to determine how to best achieve the
necessary emissions reductions by installing controls on the affected
engines with the greatest emissions reduction potential rather than on
units with lower actual emissions where the installation of controls
would be less cost effective. The final rule defines ``facility''
consistent with the definition of this term as it generally applies in
the EPA's NSR and title V permitting regulations,\385\ with one
addition to make clear that, for purposes of this final rule, a
``facility'' may not extend beyond the boundaries of the 20 states
covered by the FIP for industrial sources, as identified in Sec.
52.40(b)(2). Because a facility cannot extend beyond this geographic
area, a Facility-Wide Averaging Plan also cannot extend beyond the 20-
state area covered by the FIP.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\384\ See Code of Colorado Regulations, Regulation Number 7 (5
CCR 1001-9), Part E, Section I.D.5.c., Illinois Administrative Code,
Title 35, Section 217.390, Louisiana Administrative Code, Title 33,
Section 2201, New Jersey Administrative Code, Title 7, Chapter 27,
Section 19.6, and Rules of the Tennessee Dept. of Environment and
Conservation, Rule 1200-03-27-.09.
\385\ See 40 CFR 51.165(a)(1)(ii)(A), 51.166(b)(6)(i), and
52.21(b)(6)(i) (defining ``building, structure, facility, or
installation'' for Nonattainment New Source Review and Prevention of
Significant Deterioration permits) and Natural Resources Defense
Council v. EPA, 725 F.2d 761 (D.C. Cir. 1984) (vacating and
remanding EPA's categorial exclusion of vessel activities from this
definition); see also 40 CFR 70.2 (defining ``major source'' for
title V operating permits).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To estimate the number of facilities that may take advantage of the
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan provisions, and the number of affected
units that would install controls under such an emissions averaging
plan, the EPA conducted an analysis on a subset of the estimated 3,005
stationary IC engines subject to the final rule. The EPA evaluated the
reported actual NOX emissions data in tpy from a subset of
facilities in the covered states using 2019 NEI data for stationary IC
engines with design capacities of 1,000 hp or greater. The EPA then
identified a number of facilities that have more than one affected
engine, calculated each facility's emissions ``cap'' as the total
NOX emissions (in tpy) allowed facility-wide based on the
unit-specific NOX emissions limits applicable to all
affected units at the facility, and identified a number of higher-
emitting engines at each facility that were candidates for having
controls installed. For engines that EPA identified were likely to
install controls, the EPA assumed that four stroke rich burn engines,
four stroke lean burn engines, and two stroke lean burn engines could
achieve a NOX emissions rate of 0.5 g/hp-hr with the
installation of SCR based on data obtained from the Ozone Transport
Commission report entitled Technical Information Oil and Gas Sector
Significant Stationary Sources of NOX Emissions (October 17, 2012). For
the remaining engines identified as uncontrolled, the EPA assumed a
NOX emissions rate of 16 g/hp-hr for all engine types. Thus,
under the assumed averaging scenarios, engines with controls installed
would achieve emissions levels below the emissions limits in the final
rule and would offset the higher emissions from the remaining
uncontrolled units.
The EPA then calculated the total facility-wide emissions (in tpy)
under various assumed averaging scenarios and compared those totals to
each facility's calculated emissions cap (in tpy) to estimate the
number of affected units at each facility that would need to install
controls to ensure that total facility-wide emissions remained below
the emissions cap. Based on these analyses, the EPA found that
emissions averaging should allow most facilities to install controls on
approximately one-third of the engines at their sites, on average,
while complying with the applicable NOX emissions cap on a
facility-wide basis. For a more detailed discussion of the EPA's
analysis and related assumptions, see the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
The Facility-Wide Averaging Plan provisions that the EPA is
finalizing provide the flexibility needed to address the concerns about
the costs of emissions control installations for certain stationary SI
engines, by allowing facility owners and operators to average emissions
across all participating units and thus to select the most cost-
effective means for installing the necessary controls (i.e., by
installing controls on the subset of engines that provide the greatest
emissions reduction potential at lowest costs and avoiding installation
of controls on equipment that is infrequently operated or otherwise
less cost-effective to control).
An owner or operator of a facility containing more than one
affected unit may elect to use an EPA-approved Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan as an alternative means of compliance with the NOX
emissions limits in Sec. 52.41(c). The owner or operator of such a
facility must submit a request to the EPA that, among other things,
specifies the affected units that will be covered by the plan, provides
facility and unit-level identification information, identifies the
facility-wide emissions ``cap'' (in tpd) that the facility must comply
with on a 30-day rolling average basis, and provides the calculation
methodology used to demonstrate compliance with the identified
emissions cap. The EPA will approve a request for a Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan if the EPA determines that the facility-wide emissions
total (in tpd), based on a 30-day rolling emissions average basis
during the ozone season, is less than the emissions cap (in tpd) and
the plan establishes satisfactory means for determining initial and
continuous compliance, including appropriate testing, monitoring, and
recordkeeping requirements.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA is requiring owners and operators of affected units to
conduct annual performance tests in accordance with 40 CFR 60.8 to
demonstrate compliance with the NOX emissions limit in this
final rule. The EPA is also requiring owners and operators to monitor
and record hours of operation and fuel consumption and to use
continuous parametric monitoring systems to demonstrate ongoing
compliance with the applicable NOX emissions limit. For
example, owners and operators of engines that utilize layered
combustion controls will need to monitor and record temperature, air to
fuel ratio, and other parameters as appropriate to ensure that
combustion conditions are optimized to reduce NOX emissions
and assure compliance with the emissions limit. For engines using SCR
or NSCR, owners and operators must monitor and record parameters such
as inlet temperature to the catalyst
[[Page 36825]]
and pressure drop across the catalyst. For affected engines that meet
the certification requirements of Sec. 60.4243(a), however, the
facility-wide emissions calculations may be based on certified engine
emissions standards data pursuant to Sec. 60.4243(a), instead of
performance tests.
In calculating the facility-wide emissions total during the ozone
season, affected engines covered by the Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
must be identified by each engine's nameplate capacity in horsepower,
its actual operating hours during the ozone season, and its emissions
rates in g/hp-hr from certified engine data or from the most recent
performance test results for non-certified engines according to Sec.
52.41(e).
Comment: Several commenters stated that semi-annual performance
testing would not be appropriate due to its high costs and limited
benefits. One commenter proposed a ``step-down'' testing alternative
that could be conducted after establishing an engine's initial
compliance via performance testing. Under this approach, owners and
operators would conduct one performance test and would only need to
conduct a second performance test within a given year if the first
performance test demonstrated that an engine was not meeting the
applicable emissions standards.
Another commenter asserted that to test all of its 950 units, a
minimum of 12 months would be needed rather than the six months the EPA
had proposed to provide (or five months if the EPA would require one of
the semi-annual tests to be conducted during the ozone season). The
commenter stated that the EPA had accounted for these operational
realities in the past and that under the NSPS and NESHAP, testing is
generally required only once for every 8,760 hours of run time. The
commenter asserted that there is no reason to require more frequent
testing than those required under the NSPS and NESHAP.
Several commenters requested that the EPA allow for reduction in
the frequency of testing to once every two years if testing shows that
NOX emissions are no more than 75 percent of permitted
NOX emissions limits. In addition, several commenters stated
that since the rule is intended to address the ozone season, a single,
annual test is more feasible than semi-annual testing and reporting.
Response: For the stationary SI engines subject to this final rule,
the EPA is revising the frequency of required performance tests from a
semi-annual basis to once per calendar year. As commenters correctly
pointed out, the emissions limits in these final FIPs only apply during
the 5-month ozone season and testing once per calendar year should be
sufficient to confirm the accuracy of the parameters being monitored to
determine continuous compliance during the ozone season. The EPA also
agrees with commenters that the annual tests required under the final
rule need not occur during the ozone season. However, where sources are
able to do so, we recommend conducting a stack test in the period
relatively soon before the start of the ozone season. This would
provide the greatest assurance that the emissions control systems are
working as intended and the applicable emissions limit will be met when
the ozone season starts.
Comment: Commenters generally stated that requiring CEMS would add
an unnecessary cost and complexity, would provide no emissions
reduction benefit for the affected units the proposed FIP intends to
control and are not warranted due to the availability of other
established methods of compliance assurance, such as parametric
monitoring and periodic testing. One commenter stated that requiring
CEMS would add unnecessary CEMS testing obligations. Another commenter
stated that the costs associated with CEMS and frequent performance
testing on affected RICE would be as much, if not more, than the costs
associated with installation and operation of some of the control
technologies EPA has considered in setting the proposed emissions
limits. According to one commenter, the EPA has traditionally agreed
with this viewpoint on the high cost of CEMS, as most stationary
engines are not currently required under the NSPS or NESHAP to install
or operate CEMS.
Another commenter stated that in addition to cost, there are other
barriers to installing CEMS on RICE across the Pipeline Transportation
of Natural Gas industry. Many RICE in the Pipeline Transportation of
Natural Gas industry are located at remote, unstaffed locations,
meaning that there would be no staff available to respond and react to
communication or alarms from CEMS.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the costs associated with the
installation and maintenance of CEMS at affected units in the Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas industry and agrees that it is not
necessary to require CEMS for purposes of compliance with the
requirements of this final rule for this industry. Accordingly, the EPA
is not finalizing requirements for affected units in this industry
sector to install or operate CEMS. Instead, the EPA is requiring
parametric monitoring protocols, as described earlier, coupled with an
annual performance test, which will ensure that the emissions limits
are legally and practically enforceable on a continuous basis, and that
data are recorded, reported, and can be made publicly available,
ensuring the ability of state and Federal regulators and other persons
under CAA sections 113 and 304 to enforce the requirements of the Act.
2. Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing
Applicability
For cement kilns in the Cement and Cement Product Manufacturing
industry, the EPA is finalizing the proposed applicability provisions
without change. The affected units in this industry are cement kilns
that emit or have a PTE of 100 tpy or more of NOX. The EPA
received comments regarding the definition of PTE, which we address in
section VI.C, but no comments concerning the 100 tpy PTE threshold for
applicability purposes.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
As explained in the proposal, the EPA based the proposed emissions
limits for cement kilns on the types of limits being met across the
nation in RACT NOX rules, NSPS, air permits, and consent
decrees. Based on these requirements, the EPA proposed emissions limits
in the form of mass of pollutant emitted (in pounds) per kiln's clinker
output (in tons), i.e., pounds of NOX emitted per ton of
clinker produced during a 30-operating day rolling average period.
Further, the EPA proposed specific emissions limits for long wet, long
dry, preheater, precalciner, and combined preheater/precalciner kilns.
The EPA also proposed a daily source cap limit that would apply to all
units at a facility. Based on information received from public
comments, the EPA is removing the daily source cap limit but finalizing
the emissions limits as proposed in all other respects, as shown in
Table VI.C-2.
[[Page 36826]]
Table VI.C-2--Summary of NOX Emissions Limits for Kiln Types in Cement
and Concrete Product Manufacturing
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions limit
Kiln type (lb/ton of clinker)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long Wet......................................... 4.0
Long Dry......................................... 3.0
Preheater........................................ 3.8
Precalciner...................................... 2.3
Preheater/Precalciner............................ 2.8
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Numerous commenters raised concerns about designing a
source cap limit based on average annual production in tons of clinker
and kiln type. Commenters stated that the source cap limit equation as
used in a prior action applied to long wet and dry preheater-
precalciner or precalciner kilns and did not include other kiln types.
Commenters expressed concern that the CAP2015 Ozone Transport equation
the EPA proposed in this rule could lead to artificially low and
restrictive daily emissions caps for facilities that experienced a
temporary decrease in production due to the COVID-19 pandemic, during
the historical three-year period proposed for use in determining the
NOX source cap. Also, commenters expressed concern that the
proposed daily emissions cap limit originated as a local or regional
limit for a single county and would not be appropriate for national
application without further evaluation taking into account the specific
characteristics of cement kilns in other states. One commenter
suggested more stringent emissions limits than those the EPA had
proposed for individual kiln types.
Response: The EPA is not finalizing the proposed daily source cap
limit as the Agency agrees with the commenters that this proposed limit
would be unnecessarily restrictive and was based on a formula that did
not include all kiln types. Given the unusual reduction in cement
production activities due to the COVID-19 pandemic, production rates
during the 2019-2021 period are not representative of cement plants
activities generally. Accordingly, use of the proposed daily source cap
limit would result in an artificially restrictive NOX
emissions limit for affected cement kilns, particularly when this
sector operates longer hours during the spring and summer construction
season. With respect to those comments supporting more stringent
emissions limits than those the EPA proposed for individual kiln types,
we disagree given the significant differences among different kilns in
design, configuration, age, fuel capabilities, and raw material
composition. The EPA finds that the ozone season emissions limits for
individual kiln types listed in Table VI.C-2 will achieve the necessary
emissions reductions for purposes of eliminating significant
contribution as defined in section V and is, therefore, finalizing
these emissions limitations without change.
Comment: One commenter supported retirement of existing long wet
kilns and replacement of these kilns with modern kilns. Other
commenters opposed the phase out and retiring of these kilns, stating
that many of the screened kilns have SNCR already installed and
questioning whether replacement of existing long wet kilns is cost-
effective. Some commenters also stated that according to EPA's
``NOX Control Technologies for the Cement Industry, Final
Report,'' SNCR is not an appropriate NOX control technique
for long wet kilns.
Response: The EPA appreciates the challenges identified by
commenters, such as site-specific technical evaluation and review and
significant capital investment associated with undertaking kiln
conversions or to install new kilns and is not finalizing any
requirements to replace existing long wet kilns in this rule.
Comment: Several commenters expressed concern about the supply
chain issues relevant to the procurement, design, construction, and
installation of control devices, as well as securing related contracts,
for the cement industry, particularly when cement sources will be
competing with the EGU and other industrial sectors for similar
services. One commenter stated that many preheater/precalciner kilns
are already equipped with SNCR and that one facility not equipped with
SNCR is already meeting NOX emissions levels of 1.95 lb/ton
of clinker or less. The commenter stated that the EPA should revise its
assessment of potential NOX reductions and cost estimates by
accurately accounting for existing operating efficiencies and control
devices at cement kilns.
Response: The EPA's response to comments on the time needed for
installation of controls for non-EGU sources is provided in section
VI.A. Regarding the comment that certain facilities may already have
SNCR control technology installed, we recognize that many sources
throughout the EGU sector and non-EGU industries covered by this rule
may already be achieving enforceable emissions performance commensurate
with the requirements of this action. This is entirely consistent with
the logic of our 4-step interstate transport framework, which is
designed to bring all covered sources within the region of linked
upwind states up to a uniform level of NOX emissions
performance during the ozone season. See EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at
519. Sources that are already achieving that level of performance will
face relatively limited compliance costs associated with this rule.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA received no comments on the proposed test methods and
procedures provisions for the cement industry. Therefore, we are
finalizing the proposed test methods and procedures for affected cement
kilns without change.
Comment: Commenters generally supported requiring performance
testing or installation of CEMS on affected cement kilns. Some
commenters suggested that no performance testing should be required and
others suggested that performance testing should only be required when
a title V permit is due for renewal (every 5 years). One commenter
suggested requiring sources to conduct stack tests during the ozone
season.
Response: Affected kilns that operate a NOX CEMS may use
CEMS data consistent with the requirements of 40 CFR 60.13 in lieu of
performance tests to demonstrate compliance with the requirements of
this final rule. For affected kilns subject to this final rule that do
not employ NOX CEMS, the EPA is adjusting the performance
testing frequency and requiring kilns to conduct a performance test on
an annual basis during a given calendar
[[Page 36827]]
year.\386\ The EPA finds that annual performance testing and
recordkeeping of cement production and fuel consumption during the
ozone season will assure compliance with the emissions limits during
the ozone season (May through September) each year for purposes of this
rule. The required annual performance test may be performed at any time
during the calendar year. However, where sources are able to do so, we
recommend conducting a stack test in the period relatively soon before
the start of the ozone season. This would provide the greatest
assurance that the emissions control systems are working as intended
and the applicable emissions limit will be met when the ozone season
starts.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\386\ 40 CFR 63.11237 ``Calendar year'' defined as the period
between January 1 and December 31, inclusive, for a given year.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: One commenter stated that CEMS has been used successfully
at its facility. Another commenter explained that the inside of a
cement kiln is an extremely challenging environment for making any kind
of continuous measurement as temperatures are high, and there is a lot
of dust and tumbling clinker can damage in situ measuring instruments.
Response: The majority of cement kilns in the United States are
already equipped with CEMS. However, in response to commenters concerns
regarding the installation of CEMS, the EPA is finalizing alternative
compliance requirements in lieu of CEMS. Owners or operators of
affected emissions units without CEMS installed must conduct annual
performance testing and continuous parametric monitoring to demonstrate
compliance with the emissions limits in this final rule. Specifically,
owners or operators of affected units without CEMS must monitor and
record stack exhaust gas flow rate, hourly production rate, and stack
exhaust temperature during the initial performance test and subsequent
annual performance tests to assure compliance with the applicable
emissions limit. The owner or operator must then continuously monitor
and record those parameters to demonstrate continuous compliance with
the NOX emissions limits.
3. Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Applicability
The EPA is establishing emissions control requirements for the Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing source category that apply
to reheat furnaces that directly emit or have the potential to emit 100
tpy or more of NOX. After review of all available
information received during public comment, the EPA has determined that
there is sufficient information to determine that low-NOX
burners can be installed on reheat furnaces. As explained further in
the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, the EPA identified 32 reheat furnaces
with low-NOX burners installed and has concluded that low-
NOX burners are a readily available and widely implemented
emissions reduction strategy.\387\ This rule defines reheat furnaces to
include all furnaces used to heat steel product--metal ingots, billets,
slabs, beams, blooms and other similar products--to temperatures at
which it will be suitable for deformation and further processing.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\387\ See Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, Section 4.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Several industry commenters requested that the EPA not
include certain iron and steel emissions units--including blast
furnaces, basic oxygen furnaces (BOFs), ladle and tundish preheaters,
annealing furnaces, vacuum degassers, taconite kilns, coke ovens, and
electric arc furnaces (EAFs)--in the final rule as proposed due to,
among other things, the uniqueness of each emissions unit, various
design-related challenges, and expected impossibility of successful
implementation of add-on NOX control technology. Commenters
expressed concern about requirements to install SCR for all iron and
steel units for which the EPA proposed emissions limits. The commenters
stated that iron and steel units had not installed SCR except in a few
rare instances for experimental reasons and that SCR technology was not
readily available or known for the iron and steel industry, unlike the
control technologies expected to be installed in other non-EGU
industries. Furthermore, commenters stated that SCR had not been
applied for RACT, BACT, or LAER purposes on iron and steel units.
Response: In light of the comments we received on the complex
economic and, in some cases, technical challenges associated with
implementation of NOX control technologies on certain
emissions units in this sector, the EPA is not finalizing the proposed
emissions limits for blast furnaces, BOFs, ladle and tundish
preheaters, annealing furnaces, vacuum degassers, taconite kilns, coke
ovens, or EAFs.
The EPA is aware of many examples of low-NOX technology
utilized at furnaces, kilns, and other emissions units in other sectors
with similar stoichiometry, including taconite kilns, blast furnace
stoves, electric arc furnaces (oxy-fuel burners), and many other
examples at refineries and other large industrial facilities. The EPA
anticipates that with adequate time, modeling, and optimization
efforts, such NOX reduction technology may be achievable and
cost-effective for these emissions units in the Iron and Steel Mills
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing sector as well. However, the data we have
reviewed is insufficient at this time to support a generalized
conclusion that the application of NOX controls, including
SCR or other NOX control technologies such as LNB, is
currently both technically feasible and cost effective on a fleetwide
basis for these emission source types in this industry. We provide a
more detailed discussion of the economic and technical issues
associated with implementation of NOX control technologies
on these emissions units, including information provided by commenters,
in section 4 of the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
Reheat furnaces are the only type of emissions unit within the Iron
and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry that this final
rule applies to. Low-NOX controls (e.g., low-NOX
burners) are a demonstrated control technology that many reheat
furnaces have successfully employed.
Comment: One commenter claimed that the proposed definition of
``reheat furnaces'' is overly vague and requested that the EPA amend
the definition. Specifically, the commenter asserted that the EPA's
proposed definition does not indicate what counts as ``steel product''
and whether this includes only products that have already been
manufactured into some form before being introduced to a reheat
furnace, or whether it also includes steel that has never left the
original production process, such as hot steel coming directly from a
connected casting process which has not yet been formed into a
definitive product. The commenter referenced the definition of reheat
furnaces in Ohio's RACT regulations as an example to consider.
Response: In response to these comments, the EPA is finalizing a
definition of reheat furnaces that is consistent with the definition in
Ohio's NOX RACT regulations. See Ohio Admin. Code 3745-110-
01(b)(35) (March 25, 2022). Specifically, the EPA is defining reheat
furnaces to mean ``all furnaces used to heat steel product, including
metal ingots, billets, slabs, beams, blooms and other similar products,
to temperatures at which it will be suitable for deformation and
further processing.''
[[Page 36828]]
Emissions Control Requirements, Testing, and Rationale
Based on the available information for this industry, applicable
Federal and state rules, and active air permits or enforceable orders
issued to affected facilities in the iron and steel and ferroalloy
manufacturing industry, the EPA is finalizing requirements for each
facility with an affected reheat furnace to design, fabricate and
install high-efficiency low-NOX burners designed to reduce
NOX emissions from pre-installation emissions rates by at
least 40 percent by volume, and to conduct performance testing before
and after burner installation to set emissions limits and verify
emissions reductions from pre-installation emissions rates. Each low-
NOX burner shall be designed to achieve at least 40 percent
NOX reduction from existing reheat furnace exhaust emissions
rates. Each facility with an affected reheat furnace shall, within 60
days of conclusion of the post-installation performance test, submit
testing results to the EPA to establish NOX emissions limits
over a 30-day rolling average. Each proposed emissions limit must be
supported by performance test data and analysis.
In evaluating potential emissions limits for the Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry, the EPA reviewed RACT NOX
rules, NESHAP rules, air permits and related emissions tests, technical
support documents, and consent decrees. These rules and source-specific
requirements most commonly express emissions limits for this industry
in terms of mass of pollutant emitted (pounds) per operating hour
(hour) (i.e., pounds of NOX emitted per production hour),
pounds per energy unit (i.e., million British thermal unit (mmBtu)), or
pounds of NOX per ton of steel produced. Regulated iron and
steel facilities, including facilities operating reheat furnaces in
this sector, routinely monitor and keep track of production in terms of
tons of steel produced per hour (heat rate) as it pertains to each
facility's rate of iron and steel production. Several facilities,
including Steel Dynamics, Columbia, Indiana, Cleveland-Cliffs,
Cleveland, Ohio, and Cleveland-Cliffs, Burns Harbor, Indiana, are
already operating various types of reheat furnaces with low-
NOX burners and achieving emissions rates as low as 0.11 lb/
mmBtu of NOX. The EPA identified at least nine reheat
furnaces with a PTE greater than 100 tpy, including slab, rotary
hearth, and walking beam furnaces, that have installed low-
NOX burners and are achieving various emissions rates.\388\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\388\ Specifically, through a review of title V permits, the EPA
identified reheat furnaces with low-NOX burners installed
at Steel Dynamics in Columbia City, Indiana (two furnaces), Steel
Dynamics in Butler, Indiana (one furnace), Cleveland Cliffs in Burns
Harbor, Indiana (four furnaces), Cleveland Cliffs in East Chicago,
Indiana (one furnace), and Cleveland Cliffs in Cleveland, Ohio (one
furnace). For a further discussion of the limits and information on
these facilities, see the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Due to variations in the emissions rates that different types of
reheat furnaces can achieve, the EPA is not finalizing one emissions
limit for all reheat furnaces and is instead requiring the installation
of low-NOX burners or equivalent low-NOX
technology designed to achieve a minimum 40 percent reduction from
baseline NOX emission levels, together with source specific
emissions limits to be set thereafter based on performance testing.
Specifically, the final rule requires that each owner or operator of an
affected unit submit to the EPA, within one year after the effective
date of the final rule, a work plan that identifies the low-
NOX burner or alternative low-NOX technology
selected, the phased construction timeframe by which the owner or
operator will design, install, and consistently operate the control
device, an emissions limit reflecting the required 40 percent reduction
in NOX emission levels, and, where applicable, performance
test results obtained no more than five years before the effective date
of the final rule to be used as baseline emissions testing data
providing the basis for the required emissions reductions. If no such
data exist, then the owner or operator must perform pre-installation
testing to establish baseline emissions data.
Comment: One commenter stated that the standard practice for
setting NOX limits for iron and steel sources often requires
consideration of site or unit-specific issues. Similarly, another
commenter stated that a single limit would not provide an adequate
basis for establishing NOX emissions limits that will
universally apply to multiple, unique facilities. The same commenter
stated that NOX reduction in certain furnaces is routinely
achievable by combustion controls or measures other than SCR.
Response: The EPA acknowledges the difficulty in crafting one
emissions limit for multiple iron and steel facilities and units of
varying size, age, and design, in light of the unique issues associated
with varying unit types in this particular industry. We also
acknowledge that in some cases, reheat furnaces are equipped with
recently installed, high-efficiency low-NOX burners. Many
sources throughout the EGU sector and non-EGU industries covered by
this rule may already be achieving enforceable emissions performance
commensurate with the requirements of this action. This is entirely
consistent with the logic of our 4-step interstate transport framework,
which is designed to bring all covered sources within the region of
linked upwind states up to a uniform level of NOX emissions
performance during the ozone season. See EME Homer City, 572 U.S. at
519. Sources that are already achieving that level of performance will
face relatively limited compliance costs associated with this rule.
The EPA is finalizing requirements for reheat furnaces to install
high-efficiency low-NOX burners designed to reduce
NOX emissions from pre-installation emissions rates by 40
percent by volume, and to perform pre- and post-installation
performance testing at exhaust outlets to determine rate-based
emissions limits for reheat furnaces in lb/hour, lb/mmBtu, or lb/ton on
a rolling 30-operating day average. Owners and operators of affected
units must also monitor NOX emissions from reheat furnaces
using CEMS or annual performance testing and recordkeeping and operate
low-NOX burners in accordance with work practice standards
set forth in the regulatory text. Due to the many types of emissions
units within the Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
industry, and the limited information available at this time regarding
NOX control options that are achievable for these units, the
EPA is finalizing requirements only for reheat furnaces at this time.
Comment: Commenters expressed concern that the proposed emissions
limits identified both a 3-hour and a 30-day averaging time for the
same limits and requested that the EPA clarify the averaging time in
the final rule. Commenters requested that the EPA finalize limits with
a 30-day averaging time consistent with the requirements for other non-
EGU industries.
Response: In determining the appropriateness of 30-day rolling
averaging times, the EPA initially reviewed the NESHAP for Iron and
Steel Foundries codified at 40 CFR part 63, subpart EEEEE, the NESHAP
for Integrated Iron and Steel manufacturing facilities codified at 40
CFR part 63, subpart FFFFF, the NESHAP for Ferroalloys Production:
Ferromanganese and Silicomanganese codified at 40 CFR part 63, subpart
XXX, and the NESHAP for Ferroalloys Production Facilities codified at
40 CFR part 63, subpart YYYYYY. The EPA also reviewed
[[Page 36829]]
various RACT NOX rules from states located within the OTR,
several of which have chosen to implement OTC model rules and
recommendations. Based on this information and the information provided
by public commenters, the EPA is requiring a 30-operating day rolling
average period as the averaging timeframe for reheat furnaces. The EPA
finds that a 30-operating day rolling average period provides a
reasonable balance between short term (hourly or daily) and long term
(annual) averaging periods, while providing the flexibility needed to
address fluctuations in operations and production.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA is finalizing requirements for each owner or operator of an
affected unit in the Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
industry to use CEMS or annual performance tests and continuous
parametric monitoring to determine compliance with the 30-day rolling
average emissions limit during the ozone season. Facilities choosing to
use CEMS must perform an initial RATA per CEMS and maintain and operate
the CEMS according to the applicable performance specifications in 40
CFR part 60, appendix B. Facilities choosing to use testing and
continuous parametric monitoring for compliance purposes must use the
test methods and procedures in 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, Method 7E,
or other EPA-approved (federally enforceable) test methods and
procedures.
Comment: Several commenters raised concerns with the requirement to
install and operate CEMS to monitor NOX emissions.
Commenters cited the high relative costs of installing CEMS, especially
for smaller units with lower actual emissions, and the complexities
with installing CEMS on mobile reheat furnaces. Further, commenters
explained that due to the unique configuration of certain facilities,
it would be impossible for a CEMS to differentiate emissions from a
reheat furnace and other units, like waste heat boilers. As an
alternative to CEMS, commenters requested that the EPA finalize similar
monitoring and recordkeeping requirements as proposed for the Cement
and Concrete Product Manufacturing industry in the proposed rule, which
allow for CEMS or performance testing and recordkeeping. Commenters
explained that for reheat furnaces that are natural gas-fired,
emissions can be tracked by relying on vendor guarantees and emissions
factors and natural gas throughput.
Response: The EPA reviewed comments received from the industry
regarding their concerns of affected units within the iron and steel
mills and ferroalloy manufacturing sector being required to demonstrate
compliance through CEMS. The EPA acknowledges the cost associated with
the installation and maintenance of CEMS to demonstrate compliance with
the finalized emissions standards for reheat furnaces. In this final
rule, the EPA is revising the compliance assurance requirements to
provide flexibility to owners or operators of affected units.
Compliance may be demonstrated through CEMS or annual performance
testing and continuous parametric monitoring to demonstrate compliance
with the emissions limits in this final rule. If an affected unit does
not use CEMS, the final rule requires the owner or operator to monitor
and record stack exhaust gas flow rate, hourly production rate, and
stack exhaust temperature during the initial performance test and
subsequent annual performance tests to assure compliance with the
applicable emissions limit. The owner or operator must then
continuously monitor and record those parameters to demonstrate
continuous compliance with the NOX emissions limits.
Affected units that operate NOX CEMS meeting specified
requirements may use CEMS data in lieu of performance testing and
monitoring of operating parameters. For sources relying on annual
performance tests and continuous parametric monitoring to assure
compliance, the EPA is requiring that sources keep records of
production and fuel usage during the ozone season to assure compliance
with the emissions limits on a 30-day rolling average basis. To avoid
challenges in scheduling and availability of testing firms, the annual
performance test required under this final rule does not have to be
performed during the ozone season. However, where sources are able to
do so, we recommend conducting a stack test in the period relatively
soon before the start of the ozone season. This would provide the
greatest assurance that the emissions control systems are working as
intended and the applicable emissions limit will be met when the ozone
season starts.
4. Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory requirements for the Glass and
Glass Product Manufacturing source category that apply to furnaces that
directly emit or have a PTE of 100 tpy or more of NOX. For
this industry, the EPA is finalizing the proposed applicability
provisions without change.
Comment: One commenter requested that the applicability threshold
for glass manufacturing furnaces should be based on a unit's design
production capacity instead of the proposed applicability criteria
(i.e., units that directly emit or have the potential to emit 100 TPY
or more of NOX). The commenter stated that the production
capacity for glass manufacturing furnaces is a more relevant basis for
applicability and would focus the EPA analysis on cost-effective
regulations.
Response: During the EPA's development of the proposed emissions
limits, the EPA reviewed the applicability provisions in various state
RACT NOX rules, air permits, consent decrees, and Federal
regulations applicable to glass manufacturing furnaces. Most of these
applicability provisions were expressed in terms of actual emissions or
PTE. Given the significant differences in the types, designs,
configurations, ages, and fuel capabilities among glass furnaces, and
differences in raw material compositions within the sector, the EPA
finds that applicability criteria based on emissions or potential to
emit are the most appropriate way to capture higher-emitting glass
manufacturing furnaces that contribute NOX emissions to
downwind receptors.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
The EPA is finalizing the proposed NOX emissions limits
for furnaces within the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing industry,
except that for flat glass manufacturing furnaces the EPA is finalizing
an emissions limit slightly lower than the limit we had proposed, based
on a correction to a factual error in our proposal. For further
discussion of the basis for the form and level of the final emissions
limits, see the proposed rule, 87 FR 20036, 20146 (April 6, 2022)
(discussing EPA review of state RACT rules, NSPS, and other regulations
applicable to the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing industry).
Several comments supported the EPA's effort to regulate sources within
the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing industry but also requested
that the EPA establish more stringent emissions limits for this
industry.
Comment: One commenter stated that NOX emissions from
the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing industry are not currently
subject to any Federal NSPS and that the industry is expected to grow
in the coming years. The commenter stated that while the EPA's proposed
limits on glass furnaces fell within the ranges of limits required by
[[Page 36830]]
various states and air districts, they fell at the weakest levels
within those ranges. For example, the commenter stated that the EPA had
proposed a 4.0 lb/ton NOX emissions limit for container
glass manufacturing furnaces, while state and local NOX
emissions limits for these emissions units range from 1 to 4 lb/ton.
Similarly, the commenter stated that the EPA had proposed a 4.0 lb/ton
NOX emissions limit for pressed/blown glass manufacturing
furnaces, while state and local NOX emissions limits for
these emissions units range from 1.36 to 4 lb/ton, and that EPA had
proposed a 9.2 lb/ton NOX emissions limit for flat glass
manufacturing furnaces, while state NOX emissions limits for
these emissions units range from 5-9.2 lb/ton. The commenter urged the
EPA to establish emissions limits lower than those the EPA had
proposed.
Response: The EPA is finalizing the emissions limits for affected
units in the glass and glass product manufacturing industry as proposed
for all but flat glass manufacturing furnaces, for which the EPA is
finalizing a slightly lower emissions limit to reflect a correction to
a factual error in our proposal. During the EPA's development of the
proposed emissions limits, the EPA reviewed the control requirements or
recommendations and related analyses in various RACT NOX
rules, air permits, Alternative Control Techniques (ACT) documents, and
consent decrees to determine the appropriate NOX emissions
limits for the different types of glass manufacturing furnaces. Based
on these reviews and given the significant differences in the types,
designs, configurations, ages, and fuel capabilities among glass
furnaces, and differences in raw material compositions within the
sector, the EPA has concluded that it is appropriate to finalize the
emissions limits for this industry as proposed, except for the limit
proposed for flat glass manufacturing furnaces. For flat glass
manufacturing furnaces, the EPA had proposed a NOX emissions
limit of 9.2 pounds (lbs) per ton of glass pulled but is finalizing a
limit of 7.0 lbs/ton of glass pulled on a 30-day rolling average basis.
This is based on our review of specific state RACT NOX
regulations that contain a 9.2 lbs/ton limit averaged over a single day
but contain a 7.0 lbs/ton limit over a 30-day averaging period. This
change aligns the final limit for flat glass manufacturing furnaces
with the correct averaging time and is consistent with both the state
RACT regulations that we reviewed \389\ and our evaluation of cost-
effective controls for this industry in the supporting documents for
the proposed and final rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\389\ For example, Pennsylvania's RACT NOX emission
limits for flat glass furnaces are 7.0 lbs of NOX per ton
of glass produced on 30-day rolling average. See Title 25, Part I,
Subpart C, Article III, Section 129.304, available at https://casetext.com/regulation/pennsylvania-code-rules-and-regulations/title-25-environmental-protection/part-i-department-of-environmental-protection/subpart-c-protection-of-natural-resources/article-iii-air-resources/chapter-129-standards-for-sources/control-of-nox-emissions-from-glass-melting-furnaces/section-129304-emission-requirements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA acknowledges that NOX emissions from some glass
manufacturing furnaces are subject to control under other regulatory
programs, such as those adopted by states to meet CAA RACT
requirements, and that some of these programs have implemented more
stringent emissions limits than those the EPA is finalizing in these
FIPs. However, as noted in the preamble to the proposed rule and
related TSD, many OTR states do not establish specific NOX
emissions limits for glass manufacturing sources.\390\ See 87 FR 20146.
In addition to state RACT rules, air permits, ACT documents, and
consent decrees applicable to this industry, the EPA reviewed reports
and recommendations from the National Association of Clean Air Agencies
(NACAA), the European Union Commission, and EPA's Menu of Control
Measures (MCM) to identify potentially available control measures for
reducing NOX emissions from the glass manufacturing
industry. The EPA also reviewed permit data for existing glass
manufacturing furnaces to identify control devices currently in use at
these sources. Based on these reviews, we find that the final emissions
limits for the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing industry provided
in Table VI.C.3-1 generally reflect a level of control that is cost-
effective for the majority of the affected units and sufficient to
achieve the necessary emissions reductions. The Final Non-EGU Sectors
TSD provides a more detailed explanation of the basis for these
emissions limits.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\390\ See Proposed Non-EGU Sectors TSD at 56, EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-
0668-0145.
Table VI.C.3-1--Summary of Finalized NOX Emissions Limits for Furnace
Unit Types in Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX emissions limit
(lbs/ton of glass
Furnace type produced, 30
operating-day rolling
average)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Container Glass Manufacturing Furnace............ 4.0
Pressed/Blown Glass Manufacturing Furnace or 4.0
Fiberglass Manufacturing Furnace................
Flat Glass Manufacturing Furnace................. 7.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alternative Emissions Standards During Periods of Start-Up, Shutdown,
and Idling
Comment: Numerous commenters urged the EPA to provide additional
flexibilities, alternative NOX emissions limits, or
exceptions to the NOX emissions limits for glass
manufacturing furnaces during periods of startup, shutdown and idling.
Commenters requested that the EPA consider excluding days with low
glass pull (e.g., abnormally low production rate), furnace start-up
days, furnace maintenance days, and malfunction days from the
definition of ``operating day'' to allow for exclusion of these days
from the calculation of an emissions unit's 30-operating day rolling
average emissions. The commenters argued that because the glass furnace
temperature is much lower during these periods than they are during
normal operating conditions, it would be technologically infeasible to
equip furnaces with NOX control devices including SCR.
Commenters also stated that because control equipment cannot be
operated during these periods without damaging the equipment, it would
be very difficult or impossible to meet the proposed NOX
limits during these periods.
Response: After review of the comments received and the EPA's
assessment of current practices within
[[Page 36831]]
the glass manufacturing industry, the EPA is establishing provisions
for alternative work practice standards and emissions limits that may
apply in lieu of the emissions limits in Sec. 52.44(c) during periods
of start-up, shutdown, and idling. The emissions limits for glass
melting furnaces in Sec. 52.44(c) do not apply during periods of
start-up, shutdown, and/or idling at affected units that comply instead
with the alternative requirements for start-up, shutdown, and/or idling
periods specified in Sec. 52.44(d), (e), and/or (f), respectively. The
EPA has modeled these alternative requirements that apply during
startup, shutdown, and idling to some extent on State RACT requirements
identified by commenters.\391\ These alternative work practice
standards adequately address the seven criteria that the EPA has
recommended states consider when establishing appropriate alternative
emissions limitations for periods of startup and shutdown.\392\ We
provide a more detailed evaluation of these provisions in the TSD
supporting this final rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\391\ See Pennsylvania Code, Title 25, Part I, Subpart C,
Article III, Sections 129.305-129.307 (effective June 19, 2010),
available at https://www.pacodeandbulletin.gov/Display/pacode?file=/secure/pacode/data/025/chapter129/chap129toc.html&d=reduce and San
Joaquin Valley Unified Air Pollution Control District, Rule 4354,
``Glass Melting Furnaces,'' sections 5.5-5.7 (amended May 19, 2011),
available at https://www.valleyair.org/rules/currntrules/R4354%20051911.pdf.
\392\ See 80 FR 33840, 33914 (June 12, 2015) (identifying the
EPA's recommended criteria for developing and evaluating alternative
emissions limitations applicable during startup and shutdown).
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Specifically, each owner or operator of an affected unit seeking to
comply with alternative work practice standards in lieu of emissions
limits during startup or shutdown periods must submit specific
information to the Administrator no later than 30 days prior to the
anticipated date of startup or shutdown. The required information is
necessary to ensure that the furnace will be properly operated during
the startup or shutdown period, as applicable. The final rule
establishes limits on the number of days when the owner or operator may
comply with alternative work practice standards in lieu of emissions
limits during startup and shutdown, depending on the type of glass
furnace. Additionally, the owner or operator must maintain operating
records and additional documentation as necessary to demonstrate
compliance with the alternative requirements during startup or shutdown
periods. For startups, the owner or operator must place the emissions
control system in operation as soon as technologically feasible to
minimize emissions. For shutdowns, the owner or operator must operate
the emissions control system whenever technologically feasible to
minimize emissions.
For periods of idling, the owner or operator of an affected unit
may comply with an alternative emissions limit calculated in accordance
with a specific equation to limit emissions to an amount (in pounds per
day) that reflects the furnace's permitted production capacity in tons
of glass produced per day. Additionally, the owner or operator must
maintain operating records as necessary to demonstrate compliance with
the alternative emissions limitations during idling periods. During
idling, the owner or operator must operate the emissions control system
to minimize emissions whenever technologically feasible.
All-Electric Glass Furnaces
The EPA solicited comment on whether it is feasible or appropriate
to phase out and retire existing glass manufacturing furnaces in the
affected states and replace them with more energy efficient and less
emitting units like all-electric melter installations. The EPA also
requested comment on the time needed to complete such a task. All-
electric melters are glass melting furnaces in which all the heat
required for melting is provided by electric current from electrodes
submerged in the molten glass.\393\ The EPA received numerous comments
from the glass industry regarding their concerns with replacing an
existing glass manufacturing furnace with an all-electric melter. The
commenters stated that various operational restrictions present within
all-electric furnaces prevent these units from being implemented
throughout the industry, including limited glass production output,
reduced glass furnace life, and increased glass plant operating cost
due to high levels of electric current usage. Based on the EPA's review
of comments submitted on this issue, the EPA has decided not to
establish any requirements to replace existing glass manufacturing
furnaces with all-electric furnaces at this time. We provide in the
following paragraphs a summary of the comments and the EPA's responses
thereto.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\393\ See definitions in 40 CFR part 60, subpart CC.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: One commenter stated that the lifetime of an all-electric
glass melting furnace is only about three to five years before it must
be rebricked, compared to well-maintained natural gas or hybrid furnace
that may be operated continuously for as long as fifteen to twenty
years between rebricking events. The commenter also states that
electric furnaces for manufacture of glass containers are limited to a
maximum glass production of about 120 tons per day, which is a stark
contrast to large natural gas fired glass melting furnaces, which are
capable of producing over 400 tons of glass per day. The commenter also
stated that the cullet percentage is greatly reduced in all-electric
furnaces which increases energy consumption in the affected facility.
Response: At proposal, the EPA solicited comment on whether it is
feasible or appropriate for owners or operators of existing glass
manufacturing furnaces to phase out and retire their units and replace
them with less emitting units like all-electric furnace installations.
As explained in the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, over the last few
decades the demand for flat, container, and pressed/blown glass has
continued to grow annually. Nitrogen oxides remain one of the primary
air pollutants emitted during the production and manufacturing of glass
products. However, no current Federal CAA regulation controls
NOX emissions from the industry on a category-wide
basis.\394\ Therefore, the glass manufacturing industry has conducted
various pollution prevention and research efforts to help identify
preferred techniques for the control of NOX. Some of these
studies revealed recent trends to control NOX emissions in
the glass industry, including the use of all-electric glass furnaces.
We understand based on the comments received from the glass
manufacturing industry that significant differences exist in the
design, configuration, age, and replacement cost of glass furnaces and
in the feasibility of controls and raw material compositions. These
differences as well as the production limitations present with all-
electric furnaces create difficulties in implementing all-electric
furnaces across the industry while keeping up with glass product
demands. Therefore, the EPA is not mandating any requirement for owners
or operators of existing glass manufacturing furnaces to replace their
units with all-electric furnaces.
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\394\ See Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
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Combustion Modification and Post-Combustion Modification Control
Devices
According to the EPA's ``Alternative Control Techniques Document--
NOX Emissions from Glass
[[Page 36832]]
Manufacturing,'' \395\ glass manufacturing furnaces may utilize
combustion modifications equivalent to low-NOX burners and
oxy-firing. At proposal, the EPA solicited comments on whether it is
feasible or appropriate to require sources with existing glass
manufacturing furnaces in affected states that currently utilize these
combustion modifications to add or operate a post-combustion
modifications control device like SNCR or SCR to further improve their
NOX removal efficiency. The EPA received numerous comments
from the glass industry that detailed the differences present in glass
furnace designs, operations and finished product that influenced the
type of combustion modification or post-combustion modification control
device that is feasible for such unit. Several commenters have
requested that the EPA focus on establishing an emissions limit rather
than specifying the use of a particular control technology given the
significant differences across glass furnaces. As a result of the
comments received, the EPA is not specifically requiring affected units
to install combustion modification and post-combustion controls to meet
the finalized emissions limits. The EPA is finalizing the emissions
limits as proposed, which may be met with combustion modifications
(e.g., low-NOX burners, oxy-firing), process modifications
(e.g., modified furnace, cullet preheat), and/or post-combustion
controls (SNCR or SCR) and thus provide sources some flexibility to
choose the control technology that works best for their unique
circumstances.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\395\ EPA, Alternative Control Techniques Document--
NOX Emissions from Glass Manufacturing, EPA-453/R-94-037,
June 1994.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Multiple commenters responded to EPA's request for
comments by stating it is unnecessary and unhelpful for the proposed
rule to specify use of particular post-combustion control device. The
commenters note that various flat glass furnaces have a variety of
combustion and post-combustion control options. Each furnace is
different in its design, operations, and finished product produced. The
commenters state that it is more appropriate for EPA to establish an
emissions limit in the proposed rule than it is for the EPA to specify
use of a particular control technology.
Response: In response to these comments, the EPA is not
establishing any requirements for affected units to install specific
control technologies to meet the emissions limits. The EPA is
finalizing the limits as proposed to offer sources some flexibility to
choose the control technology that works best for their unique
circumstances.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
The EPA proposed to require owners or operators of an affected
facility that is subject to the NOX emissions standards for
glass manufacturing furnaces to install, calibrate, maintain and
operate a CEMS for the measurement of NOX emissions
discharged. The EPA also solicited comments on alternative monitoring
systems or methods that are equivalent to CEMS to demonstrate
compliance with the emissions limits. The EPA received numerous
comments from the glass industry expressing concern with any
requirement to use CEMS at affected units. After review of the comments
received and EPA's assessment of practices conducted within the glass
manufacturing industry, the EPA is finalizing compliance assurance
requirements that allow affected glass manufacturing furnaces to
demonstrate compliance through annual testing or use CEMS, or similar
alternative monitoring system data in lieu of a performance test. The
EPA is also establishing recordkeeping provisions that require owners
or operators of affected units to conduct parametric monitoring of fuel
use and glass production during performance testing to assure
continuous compliance on a 30-operating day rolling average.
Comment: Commenters representing the glass industry stated that a
requirement to install and operate CEMS would present significant costs
and technical complexities in a situation where emissions can be
effectively monitored using stack testing rather than continuous
monitoring. Commenters also objected to the EPA's proposal to require
CEMS together with semi-annual stack testing. Commenters stated that a
requirement to both operate CEMS and conduct semi-annual testing would
be unnecessary and excessive and would not provide commensurate benefit
unless a facility's emissions are near or above the proposed emissions
limit. Commenters requested that owners or operators of affected units
be allowed to use alternative monitoring systems, e.g., parametric
emissions monitoring. The commenters stated that parametric monitoring
requires less initial and ongoing manpower requirements, has lower
capital and operating costs than CEMS, does not require spare parts,
and is accurate over a mapped range.
Response: The EPA is establishing compliance assurance requirements
that provide flexibility to owners or operators of affected units.
Compliance with the emissions limits in this final rule may be
demonstrated through CEMS or via annual performance test and continuous
parametric monitoring. If an affected unit does not use CEMS, the final
rule requires the owner or operator to monitor and record stack exhaust
gas flow rate, hourly production rate, and stack exhaust temperature
during the initial performance test and subsequent annual performance
tests to assure compliance with the applicable emissions limit. The
owner or operator must then continuously monitor and record those
parameters to demonstrate continuous compliance with the NOX
emissions limits. Affected units that operate NOX CEMS
meeting specified requirements may use CEMS data in lieu of performance
testing and monitoring of operating parameters. To avoid challenges in
scheduling and availability of testing firms, the annual performance
test required under this final rule does not have to be performed
during the ozone season.
5. Boilers at Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills, Iron and Steel and
Ferroalloys Manufacturing, and Metal Ore Mining facilities
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory requirements for the Iron and
Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing industry, Basic Chemical
Manufacturing industry, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing
industry, Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills industry, and the Metal Ore
Mining industry that apply to boilers that have a design capacity of
100 mmBtu/hr or greater. The Non-EGU Screening Assessment memorandum
developed in support of Step 3 of our proposal identified emissions
from large boilers in certain industries (i.e., those projected to emit
more than 100 tpy of NOX in 2026) as having adverse impacts
on downwind receptors. As discussed in the proposed rule, we developed
applicability criteria for boilers based on design capacity (i.e., heat
input), rather than on potential emissions, because use of a boiler
design capacity of 100 mmBtu/hr reasonably approximates the 100 tpy
threshold used in the Non-EGU Screening Assessment memorandum to
identify impactful boilers. In this final rule, we are establishing the
heat input-based applicability criteria described in our proposal, with
some adjustments as explained further in this section. Additionally, we
have determined that boilers meeting these applicability
[[Page 36833]]
criteria exist within the following five industries: Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, Pulp, Paper,
and Paperboard Mills, Metal Ore Mining, and Iron and Steel Mills and
Ferroalloy Manufacturing.
As we explained in the proposed rule, the potential emissions from
industrial boilers with a design capacity of 100 mmBtu/hr or greater
burning coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural gas can equal or
exceed the 100 tpy threshold that we used to identify impactful boilers
within the Non-EGU Screening Assessment memorandum. We are finalizing
NOX emissions limits that apply to boilers with design
capacities of 100 mmBTU/hr or greater located at any of the five
identified industries in any of the 20 covered states with non-EGU
emissions reduction obligations. In response to comments on our
proposed rule, however, the EPA is finalizing a low-use exemption for
industrial boilers that operate less than 10 percent per year and
provisions for EPA approval of alternative emissions limits on a case-
by-case basis, where specific criteria are met. Additionally, only
boilers that combust, on a BTU basis, 90 percent or more of coal,
residual or distillate oil, natural gas, or combinations of these fuels
are subject to the requirements of these final FIPs.
The EPA has determined that boilers meeting the applicability
criteria of this section exist within the five industrial sectors
identified in Table VI.C.5-1:
Table VI.C.5--1: Non-EGU Industries With Large Boilers and Associated
NAICS Codes
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Industry NAICS code
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Basic Chemical Manufacturing......................... 3251xx
Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing............ 3241xx
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills.................... 3221xx
Iron and Steel and Ferroalloys Manufacturing......... 3311xx
Metal Ore Mining..................................... 2122xx
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: Several commenters requested that the EPA establish PTE-
based applicability criteria for boilers as it had proposed to do for
other non-EGU sectors and stated that using heat input as the basis for
determining applicability would result in low-emitting boilers being
subject to the final rule's control requirements. Commenters stated
that the EPA should provide a low-use exemption for infrequently run
units because these units produce a lower amount of emissions.
Response: The EPA is finalizing applicability criteria for boilers
based on boiler design capacity for a number of reasons. First, Federal
emissions standards applicable to boilers \396\ and all of the state
RACT rules that we reviewed contain applicability criteria based on
boiler design capacity. Second, as explained in the Final Non-EGU
Sectors TSD, most boilers with design capacities of 100 mmBTU/hr or
greater that are fueled by coal, oil, or gas have the potential to emit
100 tpy or more of NOX. Thus, use of a boiler design
capacity of 100 mmBtu/hr for applicability purposes reasonably
approximates the 100 tpy threshold used in the Non-EGU Screening
Assessment memorandum to identify impactful boilers. Finally, use of a
boiler's design capacity for applicability purposes facilitates
applicability determinations given that a boiler's design capacity is,
in most cases, clearly indicated by the manufacture on the unit's
nameplate.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\396\ See, e.g., 40 CFR 60.44b (subpart Db, Standards of
Performance for Industrial-Commercial-Institutional Steam Generating
Units).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In response to the comments expressing concern that infrequently-
operated boilers would be captured by the EPA's proposed applicability
criteria, the EPA is finalizing a low-use exemption for industrial
boilers that operate less than 10 percent per year on an hourly basis,
based on the three most recent years of use and no more than 20 percent
in any one of the three years. Such boilers will be exempt from the
emissions limits in these FIPs provided they operate less than 10
percent per year, on an hourly basis, based on the three most recent
years of use and no more than 20 percent in any one of the three years,
but will have recordkeeping obligations. The EPA finds it appropriate
to exempt such low-use boilers from the emissions limits in this final
rule because the amount of air pollution emitted from a boiler is
directly related to its operational hours, and installation of controls
on infrequently operated units results in reduced air quality benefits.
Comment: Commenters asked whether the EPA's proposed emissions
limits for boilers would apply to emissions units that burn fuels other
than coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural gas. For example, one
commenter stated that some biomass boilers start up by co-firing oil or
gas and that some NOX controls such as low-NOX
burners (LNB) cannot be used on biomass boilers. The commenter
requested clarification on whether boilers burning biomass would be
covered by the EPA's proposed requirements. Other commenters noted that
some industrial boilers burn natural gas in conjunction with other
gaseous fuels, such as hydrogen/methane off-gas and vent gas from
various on-site processes, and may not be able to meet the EPA's
proposed 0.08 lb/mmBtu NOX emissions limit for boilers
burning natural gas. One commenter stated that it operated a boiler
that burns hazardous waste and is subject to 40 CFR part 63, subpart
EEE, National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants from
Hazardous Waste Combustors, and that this boiler uses natural gas for
start-up and at other times to stabilize operations but also combusts
other fuels such as liquid waste. The commenter asserted that such
boilers should not be covered by the final rule.
Response: In recognition and consideration of comments received on
our proposal, the EPA is finalizing requirements for boilers that apply
only to boilers burning 90 percent or more coal, residual or distillate
oil, or natural gas or combinations of these fuels on a heat-input
basis. Public commenters presented information indicating that the
burning of fuels other than coal, residual or distillate oil, or
natural gas at levels exceeding 10 percent may interfere with the
functions of the control technologies that may be necessary to the meet
the final rule, like SCR. The EPA does not have sufficient information
at this time to conclude that units burning more than 10 percent fuels
other than coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural gas can operate
the necessary controls effectively and at a reasonable cost. Therefore,
boilers that burn greater than 10 percent fuels other than coal,
residual or distillate oil,
[[Page 36834]]
natural gas, or combinations of these three fuels are not subject to
the emissions limits and other requirements of this final rule.
Comment: Some commenters claimed that the EPA cannot include
emissions limits for boilers that burn combinations of coal, residual
or distillate oil, and natural gas, because the EPA did not propose
limits for such boilers. Other commenters suggested it would be
appropriate to establish emissions limits for such boilers as long as
the EPA provides criteria for establishing such emissions limits.
Response: The EPA disagrees with the claim that boilers burning
combinations of coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural gas cannot
be covered by the final FIP because the EPA did not propose specific
emissions limits for these boilers and agrees with commenters who
stated that the EPA's proposed emissions limits can be extended to such
boilers provided the EPA provides criteria for doing so. The
applicability criteria in the final rule cover boilers burning
combinations of coal, residual or distillate oil, or natural gas and
include a methodology for determining the emissions limits for such
units based on a simple formula that correlates the amount of heat
input expended while burning each fuel with the corresponding emissions
limit for that particular fuel. For example, a boiler with a heat input
of 85 percent natural gas and 15 percent distillate oil would be
subject to an emissions limit derived by multiplying the natural gas
emissions limit by 0.85 and adding to that the distillate oil emissions
limit multiplied by 0.15. Thus calculated, the NOX emissions
limits for boilers burning combinations of coal, residual or distillate
oil, or natural gas are consistent with the NOX emissions
limits identified in our proposed rule for each of these individual
fuels.
Emissions Limitations and Rationale
The EPA is finalizing all of the proposed NOX emissions
limits for industrial boilers and adding a formula for calculating
emissions limits for multi-fueled units as shown in Table VI.C.5-2. The
emissions limits apply to boilers with design capacities of 100 mmBtu/
hr or greater located at any of the five industries identified in Table
II.A-1 within any of the 20 states covered by the non-EGU requirements
of this final rule.
Table VI.C.5-2--NOX Emissions Limits for Boilers >100 mmBtu/hr
[Based on a 30-day rolling average]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Emissions limit (lbs NOX/mmBtu)
Unit type
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coal................................... 0.20.
Residual oil........................... 0.20.
Distillate oil......................... 0.12.
Natural gas............................ 0.08.
Multi-fueled unit...................... Limit derived by formula based
on heat input contribution
from each fuel.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Additional information on the EPA's derivation of these proposed
emissions rates for boilers is provided in the Final Non-EGU Sectors
TSD.
Comment: Some commenters noted that many boilers are already
subject to other state and Federal controls, and that programs such as
RACT, NSR, BACT, NSPS, and maximum achievable control technology (MACT)
are all achieving emissions reductions from boilers.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that some affected units may already
be meeting the emissions limits established in this rule as a result of
controls installed to comply with other regulatory programs, such as
the CAA's RACT requirements. However, emissions from the universe of
boilers subject to the applicability requirements of this final rule
are not being uniformly reduced by these programs to the same extent
that the limits we are adopting will require, nor for the same reason,
which is to mitigate the impact of emissions from upwind sources on
downwind locations that are experiencing air quality problems. The EPA
has determined that the limits we are finalizing in this action are
readily achievable and are already required in practice in many parts
of the country.
Regarding RACT controls, some of the sources covered by the final
rule are not subject to RACT requirements because RACT is only
applicable to sources located in ozone nonattainment areas and in the
OTR, and many sources covered by the final rule are not located within
such jurisdictions. Regarding sources that are subject to RACT, we note
that unlike RACT requirements applicable to sources of VOCs, where a
majority of such sources are covered by state RACT rules adopted to
conform with uniform ``presumptive'' limits contained within the EPA's
Control Technique Guidelines (CTGs), in most cases presumptive
NOX emissions limits have not been established for
industrial sources of this pollutant. In light of this, NOX
RACT requirements are primarily determined on a state-by-state basis
and exhibit a range of stringencies as determined by each state.
Additionally, RACT requirements tend to become more stringent with the
passage of time as existing control options are improved, and new
options become available. Thus, older RACT determinations may not be as
stringent as more recent determinations made for similar equipment
types. As noted in our proposal, we based our NOX emissions
limits for coal, residual or distillate oil, and natural gas-fired
industrial boilers on RACT limits that are already in place in many
areas of the country.
Regarding NSR control requirements, we note that the NSR program
was created by the 1977 amendments to the CAA and applies only to new
or modified stationary sources. Many of the boilers covered by the
applicability requirement of this final rule were initially installed
or last modified prior to 1977 and have not undergone NSR analysis,
such as a BACT analysis for sources located within an attainment area
or a LAER analysis for sources located within nonattainment areas.
Additionally, BACT and LAER determinations made many years ago are not
likely to be as stringent as more recent determinations.
Regarding NSPS requirements, 40 CFR part 60, subpart Db, Standards
of Performance for Industrial-Commercial-Institutional Steam Generating
Units, contains NOX emissions limits for boilers with
capacities of 100 mmBTU/hr or greater that were constructed or modified
after June 19, 1984, and so boilers constructed or modified prior to
that date are not subject to its requirements. Additionally, the limits
for coal, residual or distillate oil, and
[[Page 36835]]
gas-fired units are not as stringent as more recent limits adopted by
states pursuant to RACT control obligations.
Lastly, MACT controls are primarily designed to reduce emissions of
hazardous air pollutants, not to reduce NOX emissions. We
anticipate the MACT program's boiler tune-up requirement should reduce
NOX emissions to some extent, but not to the extent that
compliance with the limits adopted within this final rule will achieve.
Comment: One commenter noted that a 2017 OTC survey found that
boilers, including those used in the paper products, chemical, and
petroleum industries, are already required to achieve more stringent
limits, and pointed to limits for distillate oil that are lower than
what the EPA considered in developing the proposal. The commenter also
noted that California's South Coast Air Quality Management District has
adopted a facility-wide NOX emissions limit of 0.03 lb/mmBtu
at petroleum refineries. The commenter noted that CEMs data shows a
residual oil-fired boiler at the Ravenswood Steam Plant in New York
achieves an average NOX emissions rate of 0.0716 lb
NOX/MMBtu and that CEMS data shows that a gas-fired boiler
in Johnsonville, Tennessee, achieves an average NOX
emissions rate of 0.0058 lb NOX/mmBTU. Regarding coal-fired
boilers, the commenter stated that a coal boiler at the Ingredion
Incorporated Argo Plant in Illinois achieves an average NOX
emissions rate of 0.1153 lb NOX/MMBtu with selective non-
catalytic control technology, and the Axiall Corporation facility in
West Virginia achieves a 0.1162 lb/mmBtu using low-NOX
burner technology with overfire air. The commenter also noted that more
than half of the gas-fired boilers included in the air markets program
database already emit NOX at rates below the EPA's proposed
emissions rate, and that the RACT/BACT/LAER Clearinghouse (RBLC) shows
more stringent limits for gas boilers than the limits the EPA proposed,
with many facilities being required to meet a NOX limit of
less than 0.0400 lb/mmBtu.
Response: The EPA's intent was not to set the NOX
emissions limits for coal, residual or distillate oil, and natural gas-
fired boilers to match the lowest levels required elsewhere by state or
local authorities, but rather to establish limits that are commensurate
with broadly applicable RACT limits currently in place in a number of
states as noted within our proposal. The limits we selected were not
the most stringent of the state RACT rules we reviewed but were
relatively close to that value. We did not select the most stringent
limits because such limits may reflect case-specific technological and
economic feasibility considerations that do not apply more broadly
across the industry. Furthermore, although the EPA acknowledges that
some industrial boilers powered by coal, residual or distillate oil,
natural gas, or combinations of these fuels can meet very low
NOX emissions limits as noted by the commenter, it is
unlikely that all such units could meet these limits given case-
specific considerations such as boiler design and operation, some of
which limit the types of control technology that may be available to a
particular unit.
a. Coal-Fired Industrial Boilers
As we proposed, coal-fired industrial boilers subject to the
applicability requirements of this section are required to meet a
NOX emissions limit of 0.2 lb/mmBtu on a 30-day rolling
average basis. Various forms of combustion and post-combustion
NOX control technology exist that should enable most
facilities to retrofit with equipment to meet this emissions limit. As
we explained in our proposal, many states containing ozone
nonattainment areas or located within the OTR have already adopted RACT
emissions limits similar to or more stringent than the limits in this
final rule, and most of those RACT limits apply statewide and extend to
boilers located at commercial and institutional facilities, not just to
boilers located in the industrial sector.
Comment: One commenter noted that the coal-fired boilers it
operates already use combustion controls to reduce NOX
emissions and contended that the effectiveness of SNCR on these boilers
is unknown but would likely be on the low end of the control
effectiveness range because they experience variable loads, which would
compromise the proper functioning of an SNCR control system. The
commenter stated that the only way their coal-fired boilers would be
able to comply with the EPA's proposed NOX limit would be to
install SCR. The commenter added that for coal-fired industrial boilers
with a heat input rating of 100 MMBtu/hr or more, a review of the
available RBLC records indicates that out of the 23 RBLC entries
identified, nine units (less than half) were subject to an emissions
limit at or below 0.2 lb/mmBtu, and eight of these nine units were
equipped with SNCR. The commenter stated that based on a review of the
available data in the RBLC and given the technical difficulties and low
control efficiencies when applying SNCR to swing boilers, the EPA's
proposed limit for coal firing does not appear achievable for
industrial coal-fired boilers that experience load swings unless SCR is
installed. Other commenters stated that while there have been recent
advancements in SNCR technology, such as the setting up of multiple
injection grids and the addition of sophisticated CEMs-based feedback
loops, implementing SNCR on industrial load-following boilers continues
to pose several technical challenges, including lack of achievement of
optimal temperature range for the reduction reactions to successfully
complete, and inadequate reagent dispersion in the injection region due
to boiler design which can lead to significant amounts of unreacted
ammonia exhausted to the atmosphere (i.e., large ammonia slip). The
commenter noted that at least one pulp mill boiler had to abandon its
SNCR system due to problems caused by poor dispersion of the reagent
within the boiler, and that SNCR has yet to be successfully
demonstrated for a pulp mill boiler with constant swing loads.
Response: To the extent the commenter's concerns pertain primarily
to SNCR control technology, we note that the final rule does not
mandate the use of any particular type of control technology and that
other types of control equipment such as SCR should be examined as a
means for meeting the final emissions limits. The EPA acknowledges that
some coal-fired industrial boilers subject to this section of the final
rule may need to install SCR to meet the NOX emissions
limits. This is reflected in our evaluation of costs for the non-EGU
sector contained within the Non-EGU Screening Assessment memorandum and
the cost calculations for the final rule discussed in section V and the
Memo to Docket--Non-EGU Applicability Requirements and Estimate
Emissions Reductions and Costs. We note that although the RBLC contains
information on emissions limits and control technology for some units,
it only provides information on a relatively small number of units
subject to NOX emissions limits and operating NOX
controls. Additionally, our final rule provides an exemption for units
that operate infrequently (i.e., ``low-use boilers''), and also allows
a facility owner or operator to submit a request for a case-by-case
alternative emissions limit in cases where compliance with the
emissions limit in this final rule is technically impossible or would
result in extreme economic hardship. We note that non-EGU boilers share
many similarities with EGU boilers, many of which already operate SCR
to control NOX emissions or will be required to
[[Page 36836]]
install and operate SCR systems under the requirements for EGUs
contained in this final rule. Lastly, we note that information
collected during the development of updates to the EPA's MACT
requirements for industrial, commercial, and institutional (ICI)
boilers indicates that over 150 ICI boilers have installed SCR control
systems to reduce their NOX emissions. This information is
available in the docket for this final rule.
All affected units must install and operate NOX control
equipment as necessary to meet the applicable emissions limits in the
final rule, except that if the owner or operator requests, and the EPA
approves, a case-by-case emissions limit based on a showing of
technical impossibility or extreme economic hardship, the affected unit
would be required to comply with the EPA-approved case-by-case
emissions limit instead.
b. Residual or Distillate Oil-Fired Industrial Boilers
Most oil-fired boilers are fueled by either residual (heavy) oil or
distillate (light) oil. We proposed a NOX emissions limit of
0.2 lb/mmBtu \397\ for residual oil-fired boilers and proposed a
NOX emissions limit of 0.12 lb/mmBtu for distillate oil-
fired boilers. We are finalizing both limits as proposed, based on a
30-day rolling average. As with coal-fired industrial boilers, a number
of combustion and post-combustion NOX control technologies
exist that should generally enable facilities meeting the applicability
criteria of this section to meet these emissions limits, and the Final
Non-EGU Sectors TSD identifies numerous states that have already
adopted emissions limits similar to the limits in this final rule.
There are relatively few boilers fueled by residual or distillate oil
within the industries affected by this final rule that meet the
applicability criteria of this section, and we received relatively few
comments regarding our proposed emissions limits for them.
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\397\ Section 52.45(c) of the regulatory text in our proposed
rule identified a proposed emissions limit of 0.15 lb/mmBtu for
residual oil-fired boilers, but the emissions limit that we intended
to propose for this equipment and discussed both in the preamble to
the proposed rule and in the TSD supporting the proposed rule was
0.20 lb/mmBtu.
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c. Natural Gas-Fired Industrial Boilers
We proposed a NOX emissions limit of 0.08 lb/mmBtu based
on a 30-day rolling average for natural gas-fired boilers meeting the
applicability criteria of this section, and we are finalizing this
emissions limit and averaging time as proposed. As explained in our
proposal, numerous combustion and post-combustion NOX
control technologies exist that should generally enable facilities
meeting the applicability criteria of this section to meet this
emissions limit. Additionally, many states have already adopted
emissions limits similar to the emissions limit in this final rule, and
some natural gas-fired industrial boilers may be able to meet the 0.08
lb/mmBtu emissions limit by modifying existing NOX control
equipment installed to meet the requirements in 40 CFR 60.44b (subpart
Db of 40 CFR part 60, Standards of Performance for Industrial-
Commercial-Institutional Steam Generating Units), which already
requires that natural gas-fired units meet a NOX emissions
limit of between 0.1 to 0.2 lbs/MMBtu.
Compliance Assurance Requirements
We proposed compliance provisions for boilers subject to the
requirements of this section similar to the emissions monitoring
requirements found in 40 CFR 60.45 (subpart D of 40 CFR part 60,
Standards of Performance for Fossil-Fuel-Fired Steam Generators). Those
requirements include, among other provisions, the performance of an
initial compliance test and installation of a CEMS unless the initial
performance test indicates the unit's emissions rate is 70 percent or
less of the emissions limit in this final rule. We received a number of
comments on this portion of our proposal and provide responses to some
of these comments in the following paragraphs. Our full responses to
comments are provided in the response to comments document included in
the docket for this action.
Comment: A number of commenters stated that CEMS monitoring is too
expensive and unnecessary for ensuring compliance with the emissions
limits for boilers and requested that alternative monitoring techniques
be allowed.
Response: The EPA acknowledges that the installation and operation
of CEMs systems is more expensive than other monitoring techniques and
may not be necessary for smaller sized boilers that typically produce
less emissions than larger ones. In response to these comments, we have
modified the monitoring requirements in the final rule such that
boilers rated with heat-input capacities less than 250 mmBTU/hr can
demonstrate compliance by conducting an annual stack test as an
alternative to monitoring using a CEMs system and by complying with the
provisions of a monitoring plan meeting specific criteria that enables
the facility owner or operator to demonstrate continuous compliance
with the emissions limits of this final rule.
Comment: One commenter stated that the proposed reporting
obligations require the submittal of excess emissions reports,
continuous monitoring, and quarterly emissions reports. The commenter
suggested that since the NOX emissions standards only apply
during the ozone season (May 1-September 30), the reporting
requirements should only apply during the second and third quarters of
the year and should require that only emissions and monitoring data
from this time period be included in these reports.
Response: In response to these comments, the EPA is finalizing
recordkeeping, monitoring, and reporting requirements that are designed
to ensure compliance with the applicable emissions limits only during
the ozone season. Additionally, the final rule requires annual reports
rather than the proposed quarterly reports as annual reports are
adequate to determine compliance with the emissions limits during the
ozone season.
Comment: A number of commenters stated that some of their boilers
that may potentially be subject to a final FIP already have a
NOX CEMS installed and requested that the EPA clarify
whether a 30-day initial compliance test is required in such cases.
Response: The EPA's final rule provides that in instances where a
boiler meeting the applicability requirements of this section has
already installed a NOX CEMs that meets the requirements for
such equipment located within 40 CFR 60.13 or 40 CFR part 75,
Continuous Emissions Monitoring, pursuant to a federally enforceable
requirement, a 30-day initial compliance test is not required.
Comment: One commenter stated that Sec. 52.45(d) of the EPA's
proposed rule included requirements to complete an initial 30-day
compliance test within 90 days of installing pollution control
equipment but did not specify whether the test must be complete prior
to the May 1, 2026, ozone season or by some later date.
Response: In response to this comment, the EPA is finalizing
provisions requiring that initial compliance tests occur prior to the
May 1, 2026 compliance date.
6. Municipal Waste Combustors
Applicability
The EPA is finalizing regulatory requirements that apply to
municipal solid waste combustors located in a state subject to the non-
EGU requirements of this final rule (i.e., the 20 states with linkages
that persist in 2026 as identified in section II.B) and
[[Page 36837]]
that combust greater than or equal to 250 tons per day of municipal
solid waste (``affected units''). See 40 CFR 52.46(d) for guidelines on
calculating municipal waste combustor unit capacity. This applicability
threshold was supported by commenters and is consistent with the
applicability criteria in 40 CFR part 60, subpart Eb, Standards of
Performance for New Stationary Sources and Emission Guidelines for
Existing Sources: Large Municipal Waste Combustors. State RACT rules
for MWCs and the OTC MWC report similarly define large MWC units as
units with a combustion capacity greater than or equal to 250 tons per
day.
Across the 20 states subject to the non-EGU requirements, this
applicability threshold captures 28 MWC facilities with a total of 80
affected units. The identified affected units include mass burn
waterwall units, mass burn rotary waterwall units, refuse derived fuel
(RDF) units, and one CLEERGAS\TM\ (``Covanta Low Emissions Energy
Recovery Gasification'') modular system.\398\ The EPA analyzed actual
emissions from the facilities captured by this threshold and found that
on average, a unit with a design capacity of 250 tons per day has a PTE
of approximately 138 tons per year,\399\ which is similar to the PTE
threshold applied to other non-EGU sources under this rulemaking.
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\398\ See the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for additional
information on this inventory.
\399\ See the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for additional
information on the calculation of PTE for large MWCs.
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Emissions Limitations and Rationale
Based on the available information for this industry, including
information provided during the public comment period, the OTC MWC
Report, a review of State and local RACT rules that apply to MWCs, and
active air permits issued to MWCs, the EPA is finalizing the following
emissions limits for municipal solid waste combustors.
Table VI.C.6-1--NOX Emissions Limits for Large Municipal Waste
Combustors
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX Limit (ppmvd) corrected to 7 percent
oxygen Averaging period
------------------------------------------------------------------------
110....................................... 24-hour.
105....................................... 30-day.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
At proposal, the EPA noted that the NOX limits for large
MWCs constructed on or before September 20, 1994 under NSPS subpart Cb
are found within Tables 1 and 2 of 40 CFR 60.39b and range from 165 to
250 ppm depending on the combustor design type. The NOX
limits for large MWCs constructed after September 20, 1994 or for which
modification or reconstruction is commenced after June 19, 1996 under
NSPS subpart Eb are found at 40 CFR 60.52b(d) and are 180 ppm during a
unit's first year of operation and 150 ppm afterwards, applicable
across all combustor types. These limits correspond to NOX
emissions rates of 0.31 and 0.26 lb/mmBtu, respectively. In reviewing
active air permits for MWCs, the EPA found that most MWCs are meeting
emissions limits similar to those reflected in the applicable
NSPS.\400\
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\400\ For further discussion of the permits reviewed, see the
Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA also cited the OTC's MWC report that evaluated the
emissions reduction potential of large MWCs located in the OTR from two
different control levels, one based on a NOX concentration
of 105 to 110 ppm, and another based on a limit of 130 ppm. The OTC MWC
report found that a control level of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling
average basis and a 110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging period would
reduce NOX emissions from MWCs by approximately 7,300 tons
annually, and that a limit of 130 ppmvd on a 30 day-average could
achieve a 4,000 ton reduction. The OTR MWC Report noted that at the
time of publication, eight MWC units were already subject to permit
limits of 110 ppm, seven in Virginia, and one in Florida. In
consideration of control costs, the report cited multiple studies
evaluating MWCs similar in design to the large MWCs in the OTR and
found NOX reductions could be achieved at costs ranging from
$2,900 to $6,600 per ton of NOX reduced.
To further inform the EPA's consideration of emissions limits for
MWCs, the EPA requested comment on the emissions limit and averaging
time MWCs should be required to meet, and specifically whether the EPA
should adopt emissions rates of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling averaging
basis and 110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging basis.
Comment: The agency received several comments regarding emissions
limits and averaging time for MWCs. Many commenters asserted that the
EPA should set a 24-hour emissions limit no higher than 110 ppm, noting
that recent studies have shown that there are a variety of technologies
that can help a wide range of MWC types achieve this limit at costs
that are significantly below the $7,500/ton cost effectiveness
threshold that the EPA identified at proposal. Some commenters
confirmed the accuracy of the OTC workgroup's estimated cost of
controls for reducing NOX emissions from MWCs of $2,900 to
$6,600 while others stated that the cost of controls is well below
$7,500. One commenter asserted that the EPA should set a 24-hour
NOX emissions limit of 50 ppmvd for MWCs, which could be
achieved by the installation of SCR technology. Alternatively, the
commenters stated that the EPA should set a 24-hour emissions limit no
higher than 110 ppm based on less effective, though still widely
available, control technology. Although some commenters stated that
MWCs should not be included in the rulemaking, no commenters
specifically identified units or categories of units that could not
achieve emissions limits of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling averaging
basis and 110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging basis.
Response: The EPA recognizes that there have been instances where
MWCs have installed SCR and achieved emissions rates of 50 ppmvd on a
24-hr averaging basis and 45 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling averaging basis
with cost effectiveness estimates around $10,296/ton to $12,779/ton of
NOX reduced. Given uncertainties pertaining to whether SCR
can be installed on all types of MWCs, the EPA has decided not to
establish emissions limits as low as 50 ppmvd for MWCs using SCR at
this time. However, as generally supported by most commenters, the EPA
is finalizing emissions limits of 105 ppmvd at 7 percent oxygen
(O2) on a 30-day rolling average and 110 ppmvd at 7 percent
O2 on a 24-hour block average that apply at all times except
during periods of startup and shutdown. The EPA recognizes that the
final emissions limits for steady-state operations cannot be achieved
during periods of startup, shutdown, and malfunction. This is primarily
due to the fact that during periods of startup and shutdown, additional
ambient air is introduced into the units, resulting in higher oxygen
concentrations. Therefore, the EPA is finalizing provisions applicable
during periods of startup and shutdown that do not require correction
of CEMS data to 7 percent oxygen but do require that such data be
measured at stack oxygen content. This approach is consistent with EPA
regulations applicable during startup and shutdown periods for other
solid-waste incinerators under the NSPS for Commercial and Industrial
Solid Waste Incineration Units. See 40 CFR part 60, subparts CCCC and
DDDD.
[[Page 36838]]
Information received from public commenters generally aligned with
the results from studies showing that the emissions limits of 105 ppmvd
on a 30-day rolling averaging basis and 110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block
averaging basis can be reached using ASNCR or low NOX
technology in addition to SNCR.\401\ The EPA recognizes that not all
units can implement low NOX technology, including those
using Aireal grate technology, those operating RFD units, and those
with rotary combustor units. Of the 80 affected MWC units that the EPA
identified, nine units across two facilities are classified as rotary
combustors, four units at a single facility are classified as RDF, and
no units captured are classified as using Aireal grate technology. One
affected unit is classified as CLEERGAS gasification while the
remaining 64 affected units are classified as mass burn waterwall
combustors, which have not been explicitly identified as units unable
to install low NOX technology. For those units unable to
install low NOX technology or SNCR, the EPA has identified
ASCNR as an alternative control technology that has been shown to
enable units to achieve emissions limits of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day
rolling averaging basis and 110 ppmvd on a 24-hour block averaging
basis, either as a new retrofit technology or as a significant upgrade
to existing SNCR. The EPA finds that the availability of ASNCR or SNCR
and low NOX burners provides sufficient flexibility for MWCs
to meet the emissions limits in the final rule, especially considering
74 of the 80 affected units already have SNCR installed. Although there
is uncertainty on the cost effectiveness of ASNCR for achieving
significant NOX reductions in small MWCs, small MWCs that
combust less than 250 tons per day of municipal solid waste are not
included in this rulemaking.
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\401\ The only demonstrated use of low NOX technology
in addition to SNCR at MWC facilities is at Covanta facilities using
Covanta's proprietary low NOX combustion system (LN\TM\).
For the purpose of this rule, EPA is assuming Covanta facilities
will take advantage of this technology and others will use ASNCR.
However, other iterations of low NOX technology could
become available, or facilities could work with Covanta to apply
this technology to their units.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
While commenters noted discrepancies across cost effectiveness
values for specific types of control technology, no commenters
specifically indicated that emissions control technology could not be
cost effectively installed on large MWCs to achieve an emissions limit
of 105 ppmvd on a 30-day rolling averaging basis and 110 ppmvd on a 24-
hour block averaging basis. Studies show that these limits can be
achieved through a variety of emissions controls, including ASNCR and
the addition of low NOX technology to existing SNCR.\402\ Of
the 80 MWC units subject to this rule, 55 units already have SNCR
installed, 16 units already have SNCR and low NOX technology
installed, and three units already have ASNCR installed. Applying the
cost values provided in the OTC's MWC report to the MWC inventory in
section 7 of the Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD, the estimated weighted
average cost effectiveness of applying advanced SNCR to units with and
without existing SNCR and adding low NOX technology to
eligible units with SNCR was found to be approximately $7,929.02/
ton.\403\ This value is in line with the control technology costs for
other non-EGU sectors and the EGU costs associated with this final
rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\402\ See OTC MWC Report at 6-7; Trinity Consultants, Project
Report Covanta Alexandria/Arlington, Inc., Reasonably Available
Control Technology Determination for NOX (September
2017); Trinity Consultants, Project Report Covanta Fairfax, Inc.,
Reasonably Available Control Technology Determination for
NOX (September 2017); Babcock Power Environmental, Waste
to Energy NOX Feasibility Study, Prepared for:
Wheelabrator Technologies Baltimore Waste to Energy Facility
Baltimore, MD (February 20, 2020); White, M., Goff, S., Deduck, S.,
Gohlke, O., New Process for Achieving Very Low NOX, Proceedings of
the 17th Annual North American Waste-to-Energy Conference, NAWTEC17
(May 2009); Letter from the State of New Jersey to Michael Klein, In
Rreference to Covanta Energy Group, Inc. Essex County Resource
Recovery Facility, Newark Annual Stack Test Program (March 14,
2019).
\403\ See Final Non-EGU Sectors TSD for more information on
these cost effectiveness estimates were generated.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Compliance Assurance Requirements
In this final rule, the EPA is establishing compliance requirements
for MWCs similar to the NSPS requirements for large MWCs under 40 CFR
part 60, subpart Eb. Those requirements include, among other
provisions, the performance of an initial performance test and
installation of a CEMS. At proposal, the EPA requested comment on
whether it would be appropriate to rely on existing testing,
monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements for MWCs under
applicable NSPS or other requirements.
Comment: Some commenters noted that all large MWCs are already
required to use CEMS to demonstrate compliance with NOX
limits under the NSPS program. These commenters asserted that the EPA
should improve electronic reporting requirements beyond current
requirements in the NSPS. The commenters suggested that an owner or
operator of an MWC subject to a limit under the final rule should be
required to report NOX CEMS data electronically at least
annually to the EPA's CEDRI and any other database that the EPA will
utilize when considering revisions to the NSPS for large MWCs. The
commenters asserted that MWC operators should be required to report
NOX CEMS data to the EPA's Clean Air Markets database, to
allow the public access to MWC CEMS data on a large scale for the first
time.
Response: The EPA is finalizing provisions that require MWCs
subject to the requirements of this section to install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a CEMS for the measurement of NOX
emissions discharged into the atmosphere from the affected facility.
This is consistent with NSPS requirements for large MWCs under 40 CFR
part 60, subparts Ea and Eb, and state RACT rules that are applicable
to MWCs in many of the states covered under this rulemaking.\404\
Additionally, each emissions unit will be required to conduct an
initial performance test. With regard to electronic reporting, the
final rule requires performance tests and reports, including CEMS data,
to be submitted to CEDRI, as required for all non-EGU industries
covered by this final rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\404\ For examples of RACT provisions applicable to MWCs that
require CEMS, see Regulations of Connecticut State Agencies section
22a-174-22e; and Virginia Administrative Code section 5-40-6730,
subsection (D).
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D. Submitting a SIP
A state may submit a SIP at any time to address CAA requirements
that are covered by a FIP, and if the EPA approves the SIP it would
replace the FIP, in whole or in part, as appropriate. As discussed in
this section, states may opt for one of several alternatives that the
EPA has provided to take over all or portions of the FIP. However, as
discussed in greater detail further in this section, the EPA also
recognizes that states retain the discretion to develop SIPs to replace
a FIP under approaches that differ from those the EPA has finalized.
The EPA has established certain specialized provisions for
replacing FIPs with SIPs within all the CSAPR trading programs,
including the use of so-called ``abbreviated SIPs'' and ``full SIPs,''
see 40 CFR 52.38(a)(4) and (5) and (b)(4), (5), (8), (9), (11), and
(12); 40 CFR 52.39(e), (f), (h), and (i). For a state to remove all FIP
provisions through an approved SIP revision, a state would need to
address all of the required reductions addressed by the FIP for that
state, i.e., reductions achieved through both EGU control and non-EGU
control,
[[Page 36839]]
as applicable to that state. Additionally, tribes in Indian country
within the geographic scope of this rule may elect to work with EPA
under the Tribal Authority Rule to replace the FIP for areas of Indian
country, in whole or in part, with a tribal implementation plan or
reasonably severable portions of a tribal implementation plan.
Under the FIPs for the 22 states whose EGUs are required to
participate in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading
Program with the modifications finalized in this rule, EPA continues to
offer ``abbreviated'' and ``full'' SIP options for states. An
``abbreviated SIP'' allows a state to submit a SIP revision that
establishes state-determined allowance allocation provisions replacing
the default FIP allocation provisions but leaving the remaining FIP
provisions in place. A ``full SIP'' allows a state to adopt a trading
program meeting certain requirements that allow sources in the state to
continue to use the EPA-administered trading program through an
approved SIP revision, rather than a FIP. In addition, as under past
CSAPR rulemakings, states have the option to adopt state-determined
allowance allocations for existing units for the second control period
under this rule--in this case, the 2024 control period--through
streamlined SIP revisions. See 76 FR 48326-48332 for additional
discussion of full and abbreviated SIP options; see also 40 CFR
52.38(b).
Comments: Some commenters alleged that by taking this action, EPA
is depriving states of the ability to develop SIPs to implement good
neighbor obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS or from choosing their
own compliance strategies. Commenters also claimed that the EPA cannot
require states to implement emissions reductions equivalent to the
emissions control stringency that the EPA determined at Step 3 if their
proposed SIPs are otherwise shown to be adequate to eliminate
significant contribution. Other commenters raised concerns that the
trading program enhancements for EGUs made it too uncertain what a
state could develop as an approvable replacement SIP. At least one
commenter argued that the EPA must give states a single, mass-based
emissions budget so that they can understand how to replace the FIP
with a SIP.
Response: The EPA disagrees that it is depriving States of the
opportunity to replace the FIP with a SIP or preventing states from
targeting alternative emissions reductions strategies that can be shown
to be equivalent to the FIP. States have always possessed the authority
and the opportunity to revise their SIPs at any point. The EPA has
repeatedly emphasized that states are free to develop a SIP revision to
replace a transport FIP and submit that to the EPA for approval, and
this remains true. See 87 FR 20036, 20051 (April 6, 2022); 86 FR 23054,
23062 (April 30, 2021); 81 FR 74504, 74506 (Oct. 26, 2016). In the FIP
proposal, as in prior transport actions, the EPA discussed a number of
ways in which states could take over or replace a FIP, see 87 FR 20036,
20149-51 (section VII.D: ``Submitting A SIP''); see also id. at 20040
(noting as one purpose in proposing the FIP that ``this proposal will
provide states with as much information as the EPA can supply at this
time to support their ability to submit SIP revisions to achieve the
emissions reductions the EPA believes necessary to eliminate
significant contribution''). The EPA provides further guidance on
submitting SIPs in this section. If, and when, the EPA receives a SIP
submission that satisfies the requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) and 110(l), the Agency will take action to approve
those SIP submissions and withdraw the FIP.
At the outset, we note that the Agency does not anticipate
revisiting its findings at Steps 1 or 2 of the transport framework.
Those findings establish that the projected baseline anthropogenic
emissions from these states contribute to downwind nonattainment or
maintenance receptors in 2023, and, for certain states, that
contribution continues through 2026. Those represent critical
analytical years for downwind areas as they are the last full ozone
season before the Moderate and Serious area attainment dates. Those
findings, for those years, establish the basis for an upwind state's
linkage, from which we proceed to evaluate emissions control
opportunities and their implementation at Steps 3 and 4.
We cannot prejudge now whether state submissions to replace the
EPA's FIP will be approvable, but we note a number of statutory and
implementation considerations states should be aware of if designing a
replacement SIP. We have demonstrated that the EPA's transport FIP is
adequate to eliminate significant contribution to downwind air quality
problems for purposes of the 2015 ozone NAAQS, and that the FIP does
not result in overcontrol. The level of reductions required by the FIP
therefore provides an important benchmark for states in evaluating the
equivalency of possible replacement SIPs. As discussed in more detail
in this section, in order to comply with their obligation under CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I), we generally anticipate that states seeking
to replace the FIP with a SIP that takes an alternative approach would
need to establish, at a minimum, an equivalent level of emissions
reduction to what the FIP requires at Step 3, and any such replacement
SIP will need to comply with CAA section 110(l).
The concept of equivalency is important for the state to consider.
Under CAA section 110(l), ``the Administrator shall not approve a
revision of a plan if the revision would interfere with any applicable
requirement concerning attainment . . . or any other applicable
requirement of this chapter.'' Section 110(l) applies to all CAA
requirements, including 110(a)(2)(D) requirements relating to
interstate transport. The EPA interprets section 110(l) such that
states have two main options to make a noninterference demonstration.
First, the state could demonstrate that emissions reductions removed
from the SIP are replaced with new control measures that achieve
equivalent or greater emissions reductions. Thus, a 110(l) analysis
would generally need to show that the SIP revision, or, in this case, a
potential SIP submission replacing an existing FIP, will not interfere
with any area's ability to continue to attain or maintain the affected
NAAQS or other CAA requirements. The EPA further has interpreted
section 110(l) as requiring such substitute measures to be
quantifiable, permanent, and enforceable, among other considerations.
For section 110(l) purposes, ``permanent'' means the state cannot
modify or remove the substitute measure without EPA review and
approval. Second, the state could conduct air quality modeling or
develop an attainment or maintenance demonstration based on the EPA's
most recent technical guidance to show that, even without the control
measure or with the control measure in its modified form, significant
contribution from the state would continue to be prohibited as the Act
requires. As discussed further in this section, for purposes of
interstate ozone transport, such an analysis entails important
questions of consistency and equity among states for resolving air
quality problems that the EPA would need to carefully evaluate.\405\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\405\ For instance, future circumstances in which the receptor
or receptors to which a state is linked come fully into attainment
or to which the upwind state's linkage drops below 1 percent of the
NAAQS would likely not, solely on those grounds, be sufficient to
relax transport requirements established by the FIP or justify
approving a less stringent SIP. First, the emissions reductions
achieved by the FIP are part of the reason that a receptor may come
into attainment or a linkage may drop below 1 percent of the NAAQS.
Simply removing emissions control requirements the moment this
occurs is illogical, since those reductions are part of the solution
by which the attaining air quality was achieved or the linkage was
resolved. See CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(iii) (areas cannot be
redesignated unless based on permanent and enforceable reductions);
see also Wisconsin, 938 F.3d at 324-25 (explaining that upwind
states are held to a contribution standard, not a but-for causation
standard and thus cannot escape good neighbor obligations on the
basis that other emissions ``cause'' the NAAQS to be exceeded).
There is a risk of inconsistency and inequity in removing any
requirements in this manner in that any increase in emissions that
could occur in one upwind state would likely need to be reviewed in
relation to the obligations other upwind states would continue to
meet. Further, any such relaxation in upwind state requirements
could then unreasonably shift the burden for maintaining air quality
onto the downwind states where receptors are located. These issues
may entail complex state- or case-specific analyses that would need
to be evaluated at the time such a SIP revision is submitted; these
issues are not ripe for resolution in this action.
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[[Page 36840]]
In the EPA's experience implementing the CAA criteria pollutant
program, reductions arising from the good neighbor provision have been
critically important to the improvement of air quality in downwind
areas struggling with attainment and maintenance of the NAAQS, and
states' reliance on good neighbor FIP reductions will need to be taken
into account in any replacement SIP. In order for a nonattainment area
to be redesignated to attainment, the CAA requires not only that an
area attain the standard, but also the Administrator must determine
``that the improvement in air quality is due to permanent and
enforceable reductions in emissions resulting from implementation of
the applicable implementation plan and applicable Federal air pollutant
control regulations and other permanent and enforceable reductions.''
CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(i) and (iii). Many nonattainment areas across
the country that have attained various PM2.5 and ozone NAAQS
have done so in part due to the imposition of Federal good neighbor
emissions control measures, and, per CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(iii),
states have specifically relied on the emissions reductions required by
those programs in order to be redesignated to attainment. See, e.g., 84
FR 8422, 8425 (March 8, 2019) (noting that ``[a]t least 140 EPA final
actions redesignating areas in 20 states to attainment with an ozone
NAAQS or a fine particulate matter (PM2.5) NAAQS--because
NOX is a precursor to PM2.5 as well as ozone--
have relied in part on the NOX SIP Call's emissions
reductions''); see also Sierra Club v. EPA, 774 F.3d 383, 397-99 (7th
Cir. 2014) (upholding EPA's approval of a redesignation, and
specifically EPA's determination that reductions from Federal good
neighbor transport trading programs could reasonably be considered
``permanent and enforceable'' under the statute); Sierra Club v. EPA,
793 F.3d 656, 665-68 (6th Cir. 2015) (same). States seeking area
redesignations are also required under CAA section 107(d)(3)(E)(iv) to
develop revisions to their state implementation plans that provide for
maintenance of the NAAQS. In so doing, states develop air quality
modeling, in which they project future air quality based on emissions
inputs that account for enforceable emissions reductions, or states
project emissions in the future relative to emissions in an attainment
year, showing that the future emissions (which, again, account for on-
the-books, enforceable emissions limits) do not exceed emissions in the
baseline attainment year. See ``Procedures for Processing Requests to
Redesignate Areas to Attainment,'' Memo from John Calcagni to EPA
Regions, September 4, 1992, at 9. Reductions required by Federal good
neighbor programs may therefore also be relied upon by states seeking
area redesignations in the context of how states demonstrate that areas
will maintain the NAAQS.
We anticipate that air quality in areas struggling to attain and
maintain the 2015 ozone NAAQS will improve due to the emissions
reductions required by EPA's FIP. We also anticipate that, consistent
with EPA's historical experience implementing the NAAQS and acting on
state requests for nonattainment area redesignations, emissions
reductions associated with EPA's transport FIP for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
are likely to be a critical component in those requests for
redesignation. Where states have relied and are relying on the FIP's
reductions in order to attain and maintain the NAAQS, EPA will look
very critically at any replacement SIP that appears to fall short of
equivalent emissions reductions--in terms of the level of reductions or
the permanence of those reductions.
Finally, we disagree with commenters that the absence of fixed,
mass-based emissions budgets for each state make it impossible to
replace the FIP with an equivalent SIP. In the case of the trading
program enhancements for EGUs, the EPA recognizes that the dynamic
budgeting methodology will generally function to impose a continuous
incentive on relevant EGUs to continue to implement the emissions
control strategies determined at Step 3. Further, the backstop rate and
banking recalibration enhancements also are designed to ensure that
EGUs implement emissions controls consistent with Step 3 determinations
on a continuous basis throughout each ozone season. As explained in
section V.D.4 of this document, these aspects of the trading program do
not in themselves introduce an overcontrol concern. Nonetheless,
consistent with the more general principles discussed in this section
with respect to the potential bases on which states may replace the FIP
with SIPs, we reserve judgment at this time on whether some future
demonstration could successfully establish that revision of the FIP or
its replacement with a SIP could be acceptable even if the way that
significant contribution is eliminated is through means that differ
from the trading program enhancements included for EGUs in this action.
As discussed further in this section, a state may choose to withdraw
its EGUs from the trading program and instead subject those EGUs to
daily emissions rates commensurate with installation and optimization
of state-of-the-art combustion and post-combustion controls as the EPA
determined at Step 3. Likewise, states are free to explore an
alternative set of emissions controls on non-EGU industrial sources (or
other sources in the state), so long as they can demonstrate that an
equivalent amount of emissions is eliminated. In any case, we need not
resolve these questions here. The EPA, in promulgating a FIP, is not
obligated to identify each way a state could replace it with a SIP
revision. Several options are discussed further in this section, and,
as always, EPA Regional Offices will work closely with states who wish
to explore these options or other alternatives.
1. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for 2024 Under EGU Trading Program
As with the start of past CSAPR rulemakings, the EPA is finalizing
the option to allow a state to use a similar process to submit a SIP
revision establishing allowance allocations for existing EGU units in
the state for the second control period of the new requirements, i.e.,
in 2024, to replace the EPA-determined default allocations. A state
must submit a letter to EPA by August 4, 2023, indicating its intent to
submit a complete SIP revision by September 1, 2023. The SIP would
provide in an EPA-prescribed format a list of existing units within the
state and their allocations for the 2024 control period. If a state
does not submit a letter of intent to submit a SIP revision, the EPA-
determined default allocations will be recorded by September 5, 2023.
If a state submits a timely letter of intent but fails to submit a SIP
revision, the EPA-determined default allocations will be recorded by
September 15, 2023. If a state submits a timely letter of intent
[[Page 36841]]
followed by a timely SIP revision that is approved, the approved SIP
allocations will be recorded by March 1, 2024.
The EPA received no comments on the proposed option to modify
allowance allocations under the Group 3 trading program for EGUs for
the 2024 control period through a SIP revision and is finalizing the
provisions as proposed.
2. SIP Option To Modify Allocations for 2025 and Beyond Under EGU
Trading Program
For the 2025 control period and later, states in the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program can modify the EPA-
determined default allocations with an approved SIP revision. For the
2025 control period and later, SIPs can be full or abbreviated SIPs.
See 76 FR 48326-48332 for additional discussion of full and abbreviated
SIP options; see also 40 CFR 52.38(b).
In this final rule, the EPA is removing the previous regulatory
text defining specific options for states to expand CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading program applicability to
include EGUs between 15 MWe and 25 MWe or, in the case of states
subject to the NOX SIP Call, large non-EGU boilers and
combustion turbines. These options for expanding trading program
applicability through SIP revisions have been available to states since
the start of the CSAPR trading programs for small EGUs and since the
CSAPR Update for large non-EGU boilers and combustion turbines, and no
state has chosen to use the SIP process for this purpose. Additionally,
the EPA did not receive comment supporting these expansion options
during the comment period for this rule. The EPA is finalizing a
methodology for updating the affected EGU portion of the budget in this
rule, and the regulatory text defining the applicability expansion to
non-EGUs did not include a mechanism for updating the incremental non-
EGU portion of a state's budget based on changes over time of the non-
EGU fleet; therefore, continuation of the option to expand
applicability to certain non-EGUs subject to the NOX SIP
Call would be inconsistent with the trading program as applied to EGUs
in this rule.
However, the EPA recognizes that states may seek to include non-
EGUs covered in this action in an emissions trading program, subject to
important considerations to ensure equivalency in emissions reductions
is maintained. While the EPA is not offering specific regulatory text
to implement an option to expand the trading program applicability, a
state could submit a SIP to expand the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program applicability, which the EPA would
evaluate on a case-by-case basis. The SIP revision would need to
address critical program elements, and include: (1) high-quality
baseline data, (2) ongoing Part 75 monitoring, and (3) provisions to
update the non-EGU portion of the budget to appropriately reflect
changes to the fleet over time.
For states that want to modify the EPA-determined default
allocations, the EPA proposed that a state could submit a SIP revision
that makes changes only to that provision while relying on the FIP for
the remaining provisions of the EGU trading program. This abbreviated
SIP option allows states to tailor the FIP to their individual choices
while maintaining the FIP-based structure of the trading program. To
ensure the availability of allowance allocations for units in any
Indian country within a state not covered by the state's CAA
implementation planning authority, if the state chose to replace the
EPA's default allocations with state-determined allocations, the EPA
would continue to administer any portion of each state emissions budget
reserved as a new unit set-aside or an Indian country existing unit
set-aside.
The SIP submittal deadline for this type of revision is December 1,
2023, if the state intends for the SIP revision to be effective
beginning with the 2025 control period. For states that submit this
type of SIP revision, the deadline to submit state-determined
allocations beginning with the 2025 control period under an approved
SIP is June 1, 2024, and the deadline for the EPA to record those
allocations is July 1, 2024. Similarly, a state can submit a SIP
revision beginning with the 2026 control period and beyond by December
1, 2024, with state allocations for the 2026 control period due June 1,
2025, and EPA recordation of the allocations by July 1, 2025.
The EPA received no comment on the option to replace certain
allowance allocation provisions under the Group 3 trading program for
EGUs for control periods in 2025 and later years through a SIP revision
and is finalizing the provisions generally as proposed, with the
exception that any potential expansion of trading program applicability
under a SIP revision would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
3. SIP Option To Replace the Federal EGU Trading Program With an
Integrated State EGU Trading Program
For the 2025 control period and later, states in the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program can choose to
replace the Federal EGU trading program with an integrated State EGU
trading program through an approved SIP revision. Under this option, a
state can submit a SIP revision that makes changes only to modify the
EPA-determined default allocations and that adopts identical provisions
for the remaining portions of the EGU trading program. This SIP option
allows states to replace these FIP provisions with state-based SIP
provisions while continuing participation in the larger regional
trading program. As with the abbreviated SIP option discussed
previously, to ensure the availability of allowance allocations for
units in any Indian country within a state not covered by the state's
CAA implementation planning authority, if the state chooses to replace
the EPA's default allocations with state-determined allocations, the
EPA would continue to administer any portion of each state emissions
budget reserved as a new unit set-aside or an Indian country existing
unit set-aside. Also, for the same reasons discussed with respect to
the abbreviated SIP option, the EPA is removing the option for states
to expand CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading program
applicability to include EGUs between 15 MWe and 25 MWe or, in the case
of states subject to the NOX SIP Call, large non-EGU boilers
and combustion turbines.
Deadlines for this type of SIP revision are the same as the
deadlines for abbreviated SIP revisions. For the SIP-based program to
start with the 2025 control period, the SIP deadline is December 1,
2023, the deadline to submit state-determined allocations for the 2025
control period under an approved SIP is June 1, 2024, and the deadline
for the EPA to record those allocations is July 1, 2024, and so on.
The EPA received no comment on the option to replace the Federal
trading program for EGUs with an integrated state trading program for
EGUs for control periods in 2025 and later years through a SIP revision
and is finalizing the provisions generally as proposed, with the
exception that any potential expansion of trading program applicability
under a SIP revision would be evaluated on a case-by-case basis.
4. SIP Revisions That Do Not Use the Trading Program
States can submit SIP revisions to replace the FIP that achieve the
necessary EGU emissions reductions but do not use the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program. For a transport
SIP revision that does not use the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program, the EPA would evaluate the transport SIP based
on the
[[Page 36842]]
particular control strategies selected and whether the strategies as a
whole provide adequate and enforceable provisions ensuring that the
necessary emissions reductions (i.e., reductions equal to or greater
than what the Group 3 trading program will achieve) will be achieved.
To address the applicable CAA requirements, the SIP revision should
include the following general elements: (1) a comprehensive baseline
2023 statewide NOX emissions inventory (which includes
existing control requirements), which should be consistent with the
2023 emissions inventory that the EPA used to calculate the required
state budget in this final rule (unless the state can explain the
discrepancy); (2) a list and description of control measures to satisfy
the state emissions reduction obligation and a demonstration showing
when each measure would be implemented to meet the 2023 and successive
control periods; (3) fully-adopted state rules providing for such
NOX controls during the ozone season; (4) for EGUs greater
than 25 MWe, monitoring and reporting under 40 CFR part 75, and for
other units, monitoring and reporting procedures sufficient to
demonstrate that sources are complying with the SIP (see 40 CFR part
51, subpart K (``source surveillance'' requirements)); and (5) a
projected inventory demonstrating that state measures along with
Federal measures will achieve the necessary emissions reductions in
time to meet the 2023 and successive compliance deadlines (e.g.,
enforceable reductions commensurate with installation of SCR on coal-
fired EGUs by the 2027 ozone season). The SIPs must meet procedural
requirements under the Act, such as the requirements for public
hearing, be adopted by the appropriate state board or authority, and
establish by a practically enforceable regulation or permit(s) a
schedule and date for each affected source or source category to
achieve compliance. Once the state has made a SIP submission, the EPA
will evaluate the submission(s) for completeness before acting on the
SIP. EPA's criteria for determining completeness of a SIP submission
are codified at 40 CFR part 51, appendix V.
For further background information on considerations for replacing
a FIP with a SIP, see the discussion in the final CSAPR rulemaking (76
FR 48326).
5. SIP Revision Requirements for Non-EGU or Industrial Source Control
Requirements
EPA's promulgation of a non-EGU transport FIP would in no way
affect the ability of states to submit, for review and approval, a SIP
that replaces the requirements of the FIP with state requirements. To
replace the non-EGU portion of the FIP in a state, the state's SIP must
provide adequate provisions to prohibit NOX emissions that
contribute significantly to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance
of the 2015 ozone NAAQS in any other state. The state SIP submittal
must demonstrate that the emissions reductions required by the SIP
would continue to ensure that significant contribution from that state
has been eliminated through permanent and enforceable measures. The
non-EGU requirements of the FIP would remain in place in each covered
state until a state's SIP has been approved by the EPA to replace the
FIP.
The most straightforward method for a state to submit a
presumptively approvable SIP revision to replace the non-EGU portion of
the FIPs for the state would be to provide a SIP that includes
emissions limits at an equivalent or greater level of stringency than
is specified for non-EGU sources meeting the applicability criteria and
associated compliance assurance provisions for each of the unit types
identified in section VI.C of this document.
Comment: One commenter stated that they believed EPA's assertion in
the proposal that any SIP submittal would have to achieve equal or
greater reductions for non-EGUs than the FIP was unlawful. The
commenter asserted that a state's ability to replace the FIP must be
tied to whether it has addressed the underlying nonattainment/
maintenance concerns by reducing significant contribution from sources
in the state below the significance threshold, (as opposed to whether
it prohibits equivalent emissions to the FIP).
Response: The EPA recognizes that states may select emissions
reductions strategies that differ from the emissions limitations
included in the proposed non-EGU FIP; this is discussed in response to
comments earlier in this section. For example, some states may desire
to include non-EGUs in a trading program. This may be possible subject
to taking into account a number of considerations as discussed earlier
in this section to ensure equivalency between the different approaches.
But the state must still demonstrate that the replacement SIP provides
an equivalent or greater amount of emissions reductions as the proposed
FIP to be presumptively approvable. The EPA anticipates that such
emissions reductions strategies would have to achieve reductions
equivalent to or beyond those emissions reductions already projected to
occur in EPA's emissions projections and air quality modeling conducted
at Steps 1 and 2. Such reductions must also be achieved by the 2026
ozone season.
EPA further acknowledges that a demonstration of equivalency using
other control strategies is complicated by the fact that the final
emissions limits for non-EGU sources are generally unit-specific and
expressed in a variety of forms; comparative analysis with alternative
control requirements to determine equivalency would need to take this
into account. Similarly, we recognize that the emissions trading
program for EGUs in this action includes a number of enhancements to
ensure that the Step 3 determination of which emissions are
``significant'' and must be eliminated continues to be implemented over
time. Although there is not a fixed, mass-based emissions budget
established for each state in this action, there are other objective
metrics that could guide states in developing replacement SIPs. For
example, for non-EGUs, states may choose to conduct an analysis of
their industrial stationary sources and present an alternative set of
emissions limits applying to specific units that it believes would
achieve an equivalent level of emissions reduction. States could apply
cost-effectiveness thresholds for emissions control technologies that
could be applied to establish that some alternative emissions control
strategy results in equivalent or greater improvement at downwind
receptors. The EPA anticipates that such a comparison may entail review
of both baseline emissions information and growth projections between
the different sets of units to ensure that a truly equivalent or
greater degree of emissions reduction is achieved; additionality and
emissions shifting potential may also need to be considered. We note
that the CAMx policy case run for 2026 provides a benchmark for
assessing the level of air quality improvement anticipated at receptors
with implementation of the FIP. This data may be of use to states as
part of a demonstration that a replacement SIP achieves an equivalent
or greater level of air quality improvement to the FIP; however, the
use of such modeling in such a demonstration would need to be more
fully evaluated at the time of such a SIP revision.
In all cases, a SIP submitted by a state to replace the non-EGU
components of the FIPs would very likely need to rely on permanent and
practically enforceable controls measures that are included in the SIP
and, once approved by the EPA, rendered federally enforceable. So-
called ``demonstration-
[[Page 36843]]
only'' or ``non-regulatory'' SIPs would very likely be insufficient;
see discussion in response to comments earlier in this section.
Further, the EPA anticipates that states would bear the burden of
establishing that the state's alternative approach achieves at least an
equivalent level of emissions reduction as the FIP.
E. Title V Permitting
This final rule, like CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the Revised
CSAPR Update does not establish any permitting requirements independent
of those under Title V of the CAA and the regulations implementing
Title V, 40 CFR parts 70 and 71.\406\ All major stationary sources of
air pollution and certain other sources are required to apply for title
V operating permits that include emissions limitations and other
conditions as necessary to ensure compliance with the applicable
requirements of the CAA, including the requirements of the applicable
SIP. CAA sections 502(a) and 504(a), 42 U.S.C. 7661a(a) and 7661c(a).
The ``applicable requirements'' that must be addressed in title V
permits are defined in the title V regulations (40 CFR 70.2 and 71.2
(definition of ``applicable requirement'')).
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\406\ Part 70 addresses requirements for state title V programs,
and part 71 governs the Federal title V program.
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The EPA anticipates that, given the nature of the units subject to
this final rule, most if not all of the sources at which the units are
located are already subject to title V permitting requirements and
already possess a title V operating permit. For sources subject to
title V, the interstate transport requirements for the 2015 ozone NAAQS
that are applicable to them under the FIPs finalized in this action
would be ``applicable requirements'' under title V and therefore must
be addressed in the title V permits. For example, EGU requirements
concerning designated representatives, monitoring, reporting, and
recordkeeping, the requirement to hold allowances covering emissions,
the compliance assurance provisions, and liability, and for non-EGUs,
the emissions limits and compliance requirements are, to the extent
relevant to each source, ``applicable requirements'' that must be
addressed in the permits.
Consistent with EPA's approach under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and
the Revised CSAPR Update, the applicable requirements resulting from
the FIPs generally will have to be incorporated into affected sources'
existing title V permits either pursuant to the provisions for
reopening for cause (40 CFR 70.7(f) and 71.7(f)), significant
modifications (40 CFR 70.7(e)(4)) or the standard permit renewal
provisions (40 CFR 70.7(c) and 71.7(c)).\407\ For sources newly subject
to title V that are affected sources under the FIPs, the initial title
V permit issued pursuant to 40 CFR 70.7(a) should address the final FIP
requirements.
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\407\ A permit is reopened for cause if any new applicable
requirements (such as those under a FIP) become applicable to an
affected source with a remaining permit term of 3 or more years. If
the remaining permit term is less than 3 years, such new applicable
requirements will be added to the permit during permit renewal. See
40 CFR 70.7(f)(1)(i) and 71.7(f)(1)(i).
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As was the case in the CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the Revised
CSAPR Update, the new and amended FIPs impose no independent permitting
requirements and the title V permitting process will impose no
additional burden on sources already required to be permitted under
title V.
1. Title V Permitting Considerations for EGUs
Title V of the CAA establishes the basic requirements for state
title V permitting programs, including, among other things, provisions
governing permit applications, permit content, and permit revisions
that address applicable requirements under final FIPs in a manner that
provides the flexibility necessary to implement market-based programs
such as the trading programs established in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update,
the Revised CSAPR Update and this final rule. 42 U.S.C. 7661a(b); 40
CFR 70.6(a)(8) & (10); 40 CFR 71.6(a)(8) & (10).
In CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA
established standard requirements governing how sources covered by
those rules would comply with title V and its regulations.\408\ 40 CFR
97.506(d), 97.806(d) and 97.1006(d). For any new or existing sources
subject to this rule, identical title V compliance provisions will
apply with respect to the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program. For example, the title V regulations provide that a
permit issued under title V must include ``[a] provision stating that
no permit revision shall be required under any approved . . . emissions
trading and other similar programs or processes for changes that are
provided for in the permit.'' 40 CFR 70.6(a)(8) and 71.6(a)(8).
Consistent with these provisions in the title V regulations, in CSAPR,
the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA included a
provision stating that no permit revision is necessary for the
allocation, holding, deduction, or transfer of allowances. 40 CFR
97.506(d)(1), 97.806(d)(1) and 97.1006(d)(1). This provision is also
included in each title V permit for an affected source. This final rule
maintains the approach taken under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the
Revised CSAPR Update that allows allowances to be traded (or allocated,
held, or deducted) without a revision to the title V permit of any of
the sources involved.
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\408\ The EPA has also issued a guidance document and template
that includes instructions for how to incorporate the applicable
requirements into a source's Title V permit. See Memorandum dated
May 13, 2015, from Anna Marie Wood, Director, Air Quality Policy
Division, and Reid P. Harvey, Director, Clean Air Market Division,
EPA, to Regional Air Division Directors, Subject: ``Title V Permit
Guidance and Template for the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule''
(``2015 Title V Guidance''), available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/default/files/2016-10/documents/csapr_title_v_permit_guidance.pdf.
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Similarly, this final rule would also continue to support the means
by which a source in the final trading program can use the title V
minor modification procedure to change its approach for monitoring and
reporting emissions, in certain circumstances. Specifically, sources
may use the minor modification procedure so long as the new monitoring
and reporting approach is one of the prior-approved approaches under
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update (i.e., approaches
using a continuous emissions monitoring system under subparts B and H
of 40 CFR part 75, an excepted monitoring system under appendices D and
E to 40 CFR part 75, a low mass emissions excepted monitoring
methodology under 40 CFR 75.19, or an alternative monitoring system
under subpart E of 40 CFR part 75), and the permit already includes a
description of the new monitoring and reporting approach to be used.
See 40 CFR 97.506(d)(2), 97.806(d)(2) and 97.1006(d)(2); 40 CFR
70.7(e)(2)(i)(B) and 71.7(e)(1)(i)(B). As described in EPA's 2015 Title
V Guidance, sources may comply with this requirement by including a
table of all of the approved monitoring and reporting approaches under
CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update trading programs
in which the source is required to participate, and the applicable
requirements governing each of those approaches.\409\ Inclusion of such
a table in a source's title V permit therefore allows a covered unit
that seeks to change or add to its chosen monitoring and recordkeeping
approach to easily comply with the regulations
[[Page 36844]]
governing the use of the title V minor modification procedure.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\409\ Id.
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Under CSAPR, the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update, to
employ a monitoring or reporting approach different from the prior-
approved approaches discussed previously, unit owners and operators
must submit monitoring system certification applications to the EPA
establishing the monitoring and reporting approach actually to be used
by the unit, or, if the owners and operators choose to employ an
alternative monitoring system, to submit petitions for that alternative
to the EPA. These applications and petitions are subject to the EPA
review and approval to ensure consistency in monitoring and reporting
among all trading program participants. EPA's responses to any
petitions for alternative monitoring systems or for alternatives to
specific monitoring or reporting requirements are posted on EPA's
website.\410\ The EPA maintains the same approach for the trading
program in this final rule.
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\410\ https://www.epa.gov/airmarkets/part-75-petition-responses.
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2. Title V Permitting Considerations for Industrial Stationary Sources
For non-EGU sources, affected sources will need to work with their
local, state, or tribal permitting authority to determine if the new
applicable requirements should be incorporated into their existing
title V permit under the reopening for cause, significant modification,
or permit renewal procedures of the approved permitting program. Title
V permits for existing sources will need to be updated to include the
applicable requirements of this final rule and any necessary
preconstruction permits obtained in order to comply with this final
rule.
F. Relationship to Other Emissions Trading and Ozone Transport Programs
1. NOX SIP Call
Sources in states affected by both the NOX SIP Call for
the 1979 ozone NAAQS and the requirements established in this final
rule for the 2015 ozone NAAQS will be required to comply with the
requirements of both rules. With respect to EGUs larger than 25 MW, in
this rule the EPA is requiring NOX ozone season emissions
reductions from these sources in many of the NOX SIP Call
states, and at greater stringency than required by the NOX
SIP Call, by requiring the EGUs to participate in the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program. The emissions
reductions required under this rule are therefore sufficient to satisfy
the emissions reduction requirements under the NOX SIP Call
for these large EGUs.
With respect to the large non-EGU boilers and combustion turbines
that formerly participated in the NOX Budget Trading Program
under the NOX SIP Call, the EPA provided options under both
the CSAPR Update and the Revised CSAPR Update for states to address
these sources' ongoing NOX SIP Call requirements by
expanding applicability of the relevant CSAPR trading programs for
ozone season NOX emissions to include the sources, and no
state chose to use these options. As discussed in sections VI.D.2 and
VI.D.3, in this rule the EPA is removing the previous regulatory text
defining specific options for states to expand trading program
applicability to include these sources and instead will evaluate any
SIP revisions seeking to include these sources in the Group 3 trading
program on a case-by-case basis.\411\
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\411\ Only one NOX SIP Call state--Tennessee--
continues to participate in the Group 2 trading program, and the EPA
has already approved other SIP provisions addressing the ongoing
NOX SIP Call obligations for Tennessee's large non-EGU
boilers and combustion turbines. See 84 FR 7998 (March 6, 2019); 86
FR 12092 (March 2, 2021).
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2. Acid Rain Program
This rule does not affect any SO2 and NOX
requirements under the Acid Rain Program, which are established
separately under 40 CFR parts 72 through 78 and will continue to apply
independently of this rule's provisions. Sources subject to the Acid
Rain Program will continue to be required to comply with all
requirements of that program, including the requirement to hold
sufficient allowances issued under the Acid Rain Program to cover their
SO2 emissions after the end of each control period.
3. Other CSAPR Trading Programs
This rule does not substantively affect any provisions of the CSAPR
NOX Annual, CSAPR SO2 Group 1, CSAPR
SO2 Group 2, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1, or
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 trading programs for sources
that continue to participate in those programs. Sources subject to any
of the CSAPR trading programs will continue to be required to comply
with all requirements of all such trading programs to which they are
subject, including the requirement to hold sufficient allowances issued
under the respective programs to cover emissions after the end of each
control period.
The EPA also notes that where a state's good neighbor obligations
with respect to the 1997 ozone NAAQS or the 2008 ozone NAAQS have
previously been met by participation of the state's large EGUs in the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program (or earlier
by the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program), the
EPA will deem those obligations to be satisfied by the participation of
the same sources in the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program. Specifically, for all states covered by the Group 3
trading program under this rule except Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah,
participation of the state's EGUs in the Group 3 trading program will
be deemed to satisfy not only the EGU-related portion of the state's
good neighbor obligations with respect to the 2015 ozone NAAQS but also
the state's good neighbor obligations with respect to the 2008 ozone
NAAQS. In addition, for Alabama, Arkansas, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, and Wisconsin,
participation of the state's EGUs in the Group 3 trading program will
also be deemed to satisfy the state's good neighbor obligations with
respect to the 1997 ozone NAAQS.\412\
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\412\ For the remaining state transitioning from the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading program under this rule--
Texas--as well as the remaining states that transitioned from the
Group 2 trading program to the Group 3 trading program under the
Revised CSAPR Update--Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia--participation of the
states' EGUs in the Group 2 trading program as required by the CSAPR
Update was addressing good neighbor obligations of the states with
respect to only the 2008 ozone NAAQS, not the 1997 ozone NAAQS. See
81 FR 74523-74526.
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VII. Environmental Justice Analytical Considerations and Stakeholder
Outreach and Engagement
Consistent with EPA's commitment to integrating environmental
justice in the agency's actions, and following the directives set forth
in multiple Executive orders, the Agency has analyzed the impacts of
this final rule on communities with environmental justice concerns and
engaged with stakeholders representing these communities to seek input
and feedback. Executive Order 12898 is discussed in section X.J of this
final rule and analytical results are available in Chapter 7 of the
RIA. This analysis is being provided for informational purposes only.
A. Introduction
Executive Order 12898 directs EPA to identify the populations of
concern who are most likely to experience unequal burdens from
environmental harms; specifically, minority populations, low-income
populations, and indigenous peoples.\413\ Additionally, Executive
[[Page 36845]]
Order 13985 is intended to advance racial equity and support
underserved communities through Federal Government actions.\414\ The
EPA defines environmental justice as the fair treatment and meaningful
involvement of all people regardless of race, color, national origin,
or income, with respect to the development, implementation, and
enforcement of environmental laws, regulations, and policies. The EPA
further defines the term fair treatment to mean that ``no group of
people should bear a disproportionate burden of environmental harms and
risks, including those resulting from the negative environmental
consequences of industrial, governmental, and commercial operations or
programs and policies.'' \415\ In recognizing that minority and low-
income populations often bear an unequal burden of environmental harms
and risks, the EPA continues to consider ways of protecting them from
adverse public health and environmental effects of air pollution.
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\413\ 59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994.
\414\ 86 FR 7009, January 20, 2021.
\415\ https://www.epa.gov/environmentaljustice.
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B. Analytical Considerations
The EPA's environmental justice (EJ) technical guidance \416\
states that:
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\416\ U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), 2015. Guidance
on Considering Environmental Justice During the Development of
Regulatory Actions.
The analysis of potential EJ concerns for regulatory actions
should address three questions:
1. Are there potential EJ concerns associated with environmental
stressors affected by the regulatory action for population groups of
concern in the baseline?
2. Are there potential EJ concerns associated with environmental
stressors affected by the regulatory action for population groups of
concern for the regulatory option(s) under consideration?
3. For the regulatory option(s) under consideration, are
potential EJ concerns created or mitigated compared to the baseline?
To address these questions in the EPA's first quantitative EJ
analysis in the context of a transport rule, the EPA developed a unique
analytical approach that considers the purpose and specifics of the
final rulemaking, as well as the nature of known and potential
exposures and impacts. However, due to data limitations, it is possible
that our analysis failed to identify disparities that may exist, such
as potential environmental justice characteristics (e.g., residence of
historically red lined areas), environmental impacts (e.g., other ozone
metrics), and more granular spatial resolutions (e.g., neighborhood
scale) that were not evaluated.
For the final rule, we employ two types of analytics to respond to
the previous three questions: proximity analyses and exposure analyses.
Both types of analyses can inform whether there are potential EJ
concerns for population groups of concern in the baseline (question
1).\417\ In contrast, only the exposure analyses, which are based on
future air quality modeling, can inform whether there will be potential
EJ concerns after implementation of the regulatory options under
consideration (question 2) and whether potential EJ concerns will be
created or mitigated compared to the baseline (question 3). While the
exposure analysis can respond to all three questions, several caveats
should be noted. For example, the air pollutant exposure metrics are
limited to those used in the benefits assessment. For ozone, that is
the maximum daily 8-hour average, averaged across the April through
September warm season (AS-MO3) and for PM2.5 that is the
annual average. This ozone metric likely smooths potential daily ozone
gradients and is not directly relatable to the National Ambient Air
Quality Standard (NAAQS), whereas the PM2.5 metric is more
similar to the long term PM2.5 standard. The air quality
modeling estimates are also based on state level emissions data paired
with facility-level baseline emissions, and provided at a resolution of
12km\2\. Additionally, here we focus on air quality changes due to this
final rulemaking and infer post-policy exposure burden impacts.
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\417\ The baseline for proximity analyses is current population
information (e.g., 2021), whereas the baseline for ozone exposure
analyses are the future years in which the regulatory options will
be implemented (e.g., 2023 and 2026).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Exposure analytic results are provided in two formats: aggregated
and distributional. The aggregated results provide an overview of
potential ozone exposure differences across populations at the
national- and state-levels, while the distributional results show
detailed information about ozone concentration changes experienced by
everyone within each population.
In Chapter 7 of the RIA we utilize the two types of analytics to
address the three EJ questions by quantitatively evaluating: (1) the
proximity of affected facilities to potentially disadvantaged
populations (section 7.3); and (2) the potential for disproportionate
ozone and PM2.5 concentrations in the baseline and
concentration changes after rule implementation across different
demographic groups (section 7.4). Each of these analyses depends on
mutually exclusive assumptions, was performed to answer separate
questions, and is associated with unique limitations and uncertainties.
Baseline demographic proximity analyses can be relevant for
identifying populations that may be exposed to local pollutants, such
as NO2 emitted from affected sources in this final rule.
However, such analyses are less useful here as they do not account for
the potential impacts of this final rule on long-range concentration
changes. Baseline demographic proximity analysis presented in the RIA
suggest that larger percentages of Hispanics, African Americans, people
below the poverty level, people with less educational attainment, and
people linguistically isolated are living within 5 km and 10 km of an
affected EGU, compared to national averages. It also finds larger
percentages of African Americans, people below the poverty level, and
with less educational attainment living within 5 km and 10 km of an
affected non-EGU facility. Relating these results to question 1 from
section 7.2 of the RIA, we conclude that there may be potential EJ
concerns associated with directly emitted pollutants that are affected
by the regulatory action (e.g., NO2) for certain population
groups of concern in the baseline. However, as proximity to affected
facilities does not capture variation in baseline exposure across
communities, nor does it indicate that any exposures or impacts will
occur, these results do not in themselves demonstrate disproportionate
impacts of affected facilities in the baseline and should not be
interpreted as a direct measure of exposure or impact.
Whereas proximity analyses are limited to evaluating the
representativeness of populations residing nearby affected facilities,
the ozone and PM2.5 exposure analyses can provide insight
into all three EJ questions. Even though both the proximity and
exposure analyses can potentially improve understanding of baseline EJ
concerns (question 1), the two should not be directly compared. This is
because the demographic proximity analysis does not include air quality
information and is based on current, not future, population
information.
The baseline analysis of ozone and PM2.5 concentration
burden responds to question 1 from EPA's environmental justice
technical guidance document more directly than the proximity analyses,
as it evaluates a form of the environmental stressor targeted by the
regulatory action. Baseline ozone and PM2.5 analyses show
that certain populations, such as Hispanics, Asians, those
linguistically isolated, those less
[[Page 36846]]
educated, and children may experience somewhat higher ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations compared to the national average.
Therefore, also in response to question 1, there likely are potential
environmental justice concerns associated with ozone and
PM2.5 exposures affected by the regulatory action for
population groups of concern in the baseline. However, these baseline
exposure results have not been fully explored and additional analyses
are likely needed to understand potential implications. In addition, we
infer that disparities in the ozone and PM2.5 concentration
burdens are likely to persist after implementation of the regulatory
action or alternatives under consideration due to similar modeled
concentration reductions across population demographics (question 2).
Question 3 asks whether potential EJ concerns will be created or
mitigated as compared to the baseline. Due to the very small
differences observed in the distributional analyses of post-policy
ozone and PM2.5 exposure impacts across populations, we do
not find evidence that potential EJ concerns related to ozone and
PM2.5 concentrations will be created or mitigated as
compared to the baseline.\418\
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\418\ Please note, exposure results should not be extrapolated
to other air pollutant. Detailed environmental justice analytical
results can be found in Chapter 7 of the RIA.
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C. Outreach and Engagement
Prior to proposal, the EPA hosted an outreach webinar with
environmental justice stakeholders to share information about the
proposed rule and solicit feedback about potential environmental
justice considerations. The webinar was attended by representatives of
state governments, federally recognized tribes, environmental NGOs,
higher education institutions, industry, and the EPA.\419\ Participants
were invited to comment on pre-proposal environmental justice
considerations during the webinar or submit written comments to a pre-
proposal non-regulatory docket.
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\419\ This does not constitute EPA's tribal consultation under
E.O. 13175, which is described in section XI.F of this rule.
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After proposal, the EPA opened a public comment period to invite
the public to submit written comments to the regulatory docket for this
rulemaking.\420\ The EPA also invited the public to participate in a
public hearing held on April 21, 2022. A transcript of the public
hearing is available in the docket for this rulemaking. Additionally,
on March 31, 2022, the EPA hosted an informational webinar with non-
governmental groups and environmental justice stakeholders to answer
questions and share information about the proposed rule. A record of
this webinar, including the informational power point shared at the
webinar is available in the docket for this rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\420\ Comments and responses regarding environmental justice
considerations are available in Section 6 of the RTC document for
this rulemaking.
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VIII. Costs, Benefits, and Other Impacts of the Final Rule
In the RIA for the Federal Good Neighbor Plan Addressing Regional
Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air Quality
Standards, the EPA estimated the health and climate benefits,
compliance costs, and emissions changes that may result from the final
rule for the analysis period 2023 to 2042. The estimated health and
climate benefits and compliance costs are presented in detail in this
RIA. The EPA notes that for EGUs the estimated benefits and compliance
costs are directly associated with fully operating existing SCRs during
ozone season; fully operating existing SNCRs during ozone season;
installing state-of-the-art combustion controls; imposing a backstop
emissions rate on certain units that lack SCR controls; and installing
SCR and SNCR post-combustion controls. The EPA also notes that for non-
EGUs the estimated health benefits and compliance costs are directly
associated with installing controls to meet the NOX
emissions requirements presented in section I.B of this document.
For EGUs, the EPA analyzed this action's emissions budgets using
uniform control stringency represented by $1,800 per ton of
NOX (2016$) in 2023 and $11,000 per ton of NOX
(2016$) in 2026. The EPA also analyzed a more and a less stringent
alternative. The more and less stringent alternatives differ from the
rule in that they set different NOX ozone season emissions
budgets for the affected EGUs and different dates for large, coal-fired
EGUs' compliance with the backstop emissions rate.
For non-EGUs, the EPA developed an analytical framework to
determine which industries and emissions unit types to include in a
proposed Transport FIP for the 2015 ozone NAAQS transport obligations.
A February 28, 2022 memorandum, titled ``Screening Assessment of
Potential Emissions Reductions, Air Quality Impacts, and Costs from
Non-EGU Emissions Units for 2026,'' documents the analytical framework
used to identify industries and emissions unit types included in the
proposed FIP. To further evaluate the industries and emissions unit
types identified and to establish the proposed emissions limits, the
EPA reviewed Reasonably RACT rules, NSPS rules, NESHAP rules, existing
technical studies, rules in approved SIP submittals, consent decrees,
and permit limits. That evaluation is detailed in the Proposed Non-EGU
Sectors TSD prepared for the proposed FIP. The EPA is retaining the
industries and many of the emissions unit types included in the
proposal in this final action. For the non-EGU industries, in the final
rule we made some minor changes to the non-EGU emissions units covered,
the applicability criteria, as well as provided for facility-wide
emissions averaging for engines and for a low-use exemption to
eliminate the need to install controls on low-use boilers.
Table VIII-1 provides the projected 2023 through 2027, 2030, 2035,
and 2042 EGU NOX, SO2, PM2.5, and CO2
emissions reductions for the evaluated regulatory control alternatives.
For additional information on emissions changes, see Table 4-6 and
Table 4-7 in Chapter 4 of the RIA.
Table VIII-1--EGU Ozone Season NOX Emissions Changes and Annual Emissions Reductions (Tons) for NOX, SO2, PM2.5,
and CO2 for the Regulatory Control Alternatives From 2023-2042
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less stringent More stringent
Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2023:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 10,000 10,000 10,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 15,000 15,000 15,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 1,000 3,000 1,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... ............... ................ ................
[[Page 36847]]
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... ............... ................ ................
2024:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 21,000 10,000 33,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 25,000 15,000 57,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 19,000 5,000 59,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 10,000 4,000 20,000
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... 1,000 ................ 1,000
2025:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 32,000 10,000 56,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 35,000 15,000 99,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 38,000 7,000 118,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 21,000 8,000 40,000
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... 2,000 1,000 2,000
2026:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 25,000 8,000 49,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 29,000 12,000 88,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 29,000 5,000 104,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 16,000 6,000 34,000
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... 1,000 ................ 2,000
2027:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 19,000 6,000 43,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 22,000 9,000 78,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 21,000 4,000 91,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 10,000 3,000 28,000
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... 1,000 ................ 2,000
2030:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 34,000 33,000 31,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 62,000 59,000 50,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 93,000 98,000 51,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 26,000 23,000 8,000
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... 1,000 1,000 ................
2035:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 29,000 30,000 27,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 46,000 46,000 41,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 21,000 19,000 15,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 16,000 15,000 8,000
PM2.5 (annual)......................................... 1,000 1,000 ................
2042:
NOX (ozone season)..................................... 22,000 22,000 22,000
NOX (annual)........................................... 23,000 22,000 21,000
SO2 (annual)........................................... 15,000 15,000 7,000
CO2 (annual, thousand metric tons)..................... 9,000 8,000 4,000
PM2.5 (annual).........................................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Emissions changes for NOX, SO2, and PM2.5 are in tons.
Table VIII-2 provides a summary of the ozone season NOX
emissions for non-EGUs for the 20 states subject to the non-EGU
emissions requirements starting in 2026, along with the estimated ozone
season NOX reductions for 2026 for the rule and the less and
more stringent alternatives. The analysis in the RIA assumes that the
estimated reductions in 2026 will be the same in later years.
Table VIII-2--Ozone Season NOX Emissions and Emissions Reductions (Tons) for Non-EGUs for the Final Rule and the
Less and More Stringent Alternatives
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final rule-- Less stringent-- More stringent--
2019 Ozone ozone season NOX ozone season NOX ozone season NOX
State season emissions reductions reductions reductions
\a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AR...................................... 8,790 1,546 457 1,690
CA...................................... 16,562 1,600 1,432 4,346
IL...................................... 15,821 2,311 751 2,991
IN...................................... 16,673 1,976 1,352 3,428
KY...................................... 10,134 2,665 583 3,120
LA...................................... 40,954 7,142 1,869 7,687
MD...................................... 2,818 157 147 1,145
MI...................................... 20,576 2,985 760 5,087
MO...................................... 11,237 2,065 579 4,716
MS...................................... 9,763 2,499 507 2,650
[[Page 36848]]
NJ...................................... 2,078 242 242 258
NV \421\................................ 2,544 0 0 0
NY...................................... 5,363 958 726 1,447
OH...................................... 18,000 3,105 1,031 4,006
OK...................................... 26,786 4,388 1,376 5,276
PA...................................... 14,919 2,184 1,656 4,550
TX...................................... 61,099 4,691 1,880 9,963
UT...................................... 4,232 252 52 615
VA...................................... 7,757 2,200 978 2,652
WV...................................... 6,318 1,649 408 2,100
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Totals.............................. 302,425 44,616 16,786 67,728
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ The 2019 ozone season emissions are calculated as 5/12 of the annual emissions from the following two
emissions inventory files: nonegu_SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_13sep2021_v0 and
oilgas_SmokeFlatFile_2019NEI_POINT_20210721_controlupdate_13sep2021_v0.
For EGUs, the EPA analyzed ozone season NOX emissions
reductions and the associated costs to the power sector using the
Integrated Planning Model (IPM) and its underlying data and inputs. For
non-EGUs, the EPA prepared an assessment summarized in the memorandum
titled Summary of Final Rule Applicability Criteria and Emissions
Limits for Non-EGU Emissions Units, Assumed Control Technologies for
Meeting the Final Emissions Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units,
Emissions Reductions, and Costs, and the memorandum includes estimated
emissions reductions by state for the rule.\421\
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\421\ We are not aware of existing non-EGU emissions units in
Nevada that meet the applicability criteria for non-EGUs in the
final rule. If any such units in fact exist, they would be subject
to the requirements of the rule just as in any other state. In
addition, any new emissions unit in Nevada that meets the
applicability criteria in the final rule will be subject to the
final rule's requirements. See section III.B.1.d.
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Table VIII-3 reflects the estimates of the changes in the cost of
supplying electricity for the regulatory control alternatives for EGUs
and estimates of complying with the emissions requirements for non-
EGUs. The costs presented in Table VIII-3 do not include monitoring and
reporting costs, which EPA summarizes in section X.B.2 of this
document. The monitoring and reporting costs presented in section X.B.2
are $0.35 million per year for EGUs and $3.8 million per year for non-
EGUs. For EGUs, compliance costs are negative in 2026. While seemingly
counterintuitive, estimating negative compliance costs in a single year
is possible given IPM's objective function is to minimize the
discounted net present value (NPV) of a stream of annual total cost of
generation over a multi-decadal time period. As such the model may
undertake a compliance pathway that pushes higher costs later into the
forecast period, since future costs are discounted more heavily than
near term costs. This can result in a policy scenario showing single
year costs that are lower than the Baseline, but over the entire
forecast horizon, the policy scenario shows higher costs.\422\ For a
detailed description of these cost trends, please see Chapter 4,
section 4.5.2, of the RIA. For a detailed description of the methods
and results from the memorandum titled Summary of Final Rule
Applicability Criteria and Emissions Limits for Non-EGU Emissions
Units, Assumed Control Technologies for Meeting the Final Emissions
Limits, and Estimated Emissions Units, Emissions Reductions, and Costs,
see Chapter 4, sections 4.4 and 4.5.4 of the RIA.
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\422\ As a sensitivity, the EPA re-calculated costs assuming
annual costs cannot be negative. This resulted in annualized 2023-42
costs under the final rule increasing from $448.6 million to $449.5
million (less than 1%) and did not change the conclusions of the
RIA. See Section 4.5.2 of the RIA for more information.
Table VIII-3--Total Estimated Compliance Costs (Million 2016$), 2023-2042
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less-stringent More-stringent
Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2023:
EGUs................................................... 57 56 49
Non-EGUs............................................... ............... ................ ................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 57 56 49
2024:
EGUs................................................... (5) (35) 840
Non-EGUs............................................... ............... ................ ................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. (5) (35) 840
2025:
EGUs................................................... (5) (35) 840
Non-EGUs............................................... ............... ................ ................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. (5) (35) 840
2026:
[[Page 36849]]
EGUs................................................... (5) (35) 840
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 570 110 2,100
2027:
EGUs................................................... 24 (47) 760
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 600 97 2,000
2028:
EGUs................................................... 24 (47) 760
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 600 97 2,000
2029:
EGUs................................................... 24 (47) 760
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 600 97 2,000
2030:
EGUs................................................... 710 770 840
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,300 920 2,100
2031:
EGUs................................................... 710 770 840
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,300 920 2,100
2032:
EGUs................................................... 820 850 590
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 990 1,900
2033:
EGUs................................................... 820 850 590
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 990 1,900
2034:
EGUs................................................... 820 850 590
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 990 1,900
2035:
EGUs................................................... 820 850 590
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 990 1,900
2036:
EGUs................................................... 820 850 590
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 990 1,900
2037:
EGUs................................................... 820 850 590
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 990 1,900
2038:
EGUs................................................... 820 830 600
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 970 1,900
2039:
EGUs................................................... 820 830 600
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 970 1,900
2040:
EGUs................................................... 820 830 600
[[Page 36850]]
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 970 1,900
2041:
EGUs................................................... 820 830 600
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 970 1,900
2042:
EGUs................................................... 820 830 600
Non-EGUs............................................... 570 140 1,300
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................................................. 1,400 970 1,900
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tables VIII-4 and VIII-5 report the estimated economic value of
avoided premature deaths and illness in each year relative to the
baseline along with the 95 percent confidence interval. In each of
these tables, for each discount rate and regulatory control
alternative, two benefits estimates are presented reflecting
alternative ozone and PM2.5 mortality risk estimates. For
additional information on these benefits, see Chapter 5 of the RIA.
Table VIII-4--Estimated Discounted Economic Value of Avoided Ozone-Related Premature Mortality and Illness for
the Final Rule and the Less and More Stringent Alternatives in 2023
[95 Percent confidence interval; millions of 2016$] \a\ \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less stringent More stringent
Disc rate Pollutant Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3%.................. Ozone Benefits.............. $100 [$27 to $220] $100 [$27 to $220] $110 [$28 to $230]
\c\ and $820 [$91 \c\ and $810 [$91 \c\ and $840 [$94
to $2,100] \d\. to $2,100] \d\. to $2,200] \d\.
7%.................. Ozone Benefits.............. $93 [$17 to 210] $93 [$17 to $210] $96 [$18 to $210]
\c\ and $730 [$75 \c\ and $730 [$75 \c\ and $750 [$77
to $1,900] \d\. to $1,900] \d\. to $2,000] \d\.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Values rounded to two significant figures. The two benefits estimates are separated by the word ``and'' to
signify that they are two separate estimates. The estimates do not represent lower- and upper-bound estimates
and should not be summed.
\b\ We estimated ozone benefits for changes in NOX for the ozone season. This table does not include benefits
from reductions for non-EGUs because reductions from these sources are not expected prior to 2026 when the
final standards would apply to these sources.
\c\ Using the pooled short-term ozone exposure mortality risk estimate.
\d\ Using the long-term ozone exposure mortality risk estimate.
Table VIII-5--Estimated Discounted Economic Value of Avoided Ozone and PM2.5-Related Premature Mortality and
Illness for the Final Rule and the Less and More Stringent Alternatives in 2026
[95% Confidence interval; millions of 2016$] \a\ \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less stringent More stringent
Disc rate Pollutant Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3%.................. Ozone Benefits.............. $1,100 [$280 to $420 [$110 to $900] $1,900 [470 to
$2,400] \c\ and \c\ and $3,400 $4,000] \c\ and
$9,400 [$1,000 to [$380 to $8,900] $15,000 [$1,700
$25,000] \ d\. \d\. to $40,000] \d\.
PM Benefits................. $2,000 [$220 to $530 [$57 to $6,400 [$690 to
$5,300] and $4,400 $1,400] and $1,100 $17,000] and
[$430 to $12,000]. [$110 to $3,100]. $14,000 [$1,300
to $37,000]
Ozone plus PM Benefits...... $3,200 [$500 to $950 [$160 to $8,300 [$1,200 to
$7,700] \c\ and $2,300] \c\ and $21,000] \c\ and
$14,000 [$1,500 to $4,600 [$490 to $29,000 [$3,000
$36,000] \d\. $12,000] \d\. to $77,000] \d\.
7%.................. Ozone Benefits.............. $1,000 [$180 to $380 [$68 to $850] $1,700 [$300 to
$2,300] \c\ and \c\ and $3,100 $3,800] \c\ and
$8,400 [$850 to [$310 to $8,100] $14,000 [$1,400
$22,000] \d\. \d\. to $36,000] \ d\.
PM Benefits................. $1,800 [$190 to 470 [$50 to $1,200] $5,800 [$600 to
$4,700] and $3,900 and $1,000 [$100 $15,000] and
[$380 to $11,000]. to $2,800]. $12,000 [$1,200
to $33,000].
Ozone plus PM Benefits...... $2,800 [$370 to $850 [$120 to $7,500 [$910 to
$7,000] \c\ and $2,100] \c\ and $19,000] \c\ and
$12,000 [$1,200 to $4,100 [$410 to $26,000 [$2,600
$33,000] \d\. $11,000] \d\. to $69,000] \d\.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Values rounded to two significant figures. The two benefits estimates are separated by the word ``and'' to
signify that they are two separate estimates. The estimates do not represent lower- and upper-bound estimates
and should not be summed.
\b\ We estimated changes in NOX for the ozone season and annual changes in PM2.5 and PM2.5 precursors in 2026.
\c\ Sum of ozone mortality estimated using the pooled short-term ozone exposure risk estimate and the Di et al.
(2017) long-term PM2.5 exposure mortality risk estimate.
\d\ Sum of the Turner et al. (2016) long-term ozone exposure risk estimate and the Di et al. (2017) long-term
PM2.5 exposure mortality risk estimate.
In Tables VIII-6, VIII-7, and VIII-8, the EPA presents a summary of
the monetized health and climate benefits, costs, and net benefits of
the rule and the more and less stringent alternatives for 2023, 2026,
and 2030, respectively. There are important water quality benefits and
health benefits associated with reductions in concentrations of air
pollutants other than ozone and PM2.5 that are not
quantified. Discussion of the non-monetized health, welfare, and water
quality benefits is found in Chapter 5 of the RIA. In this action,
monetized climate benefits are presented for purposes of providing a
complete economic impact analysis under E.O. 12866 and other relevant
Executive orders. The estimates of GHG emissions changes and the
monetized benefits associated with those changes
[[Page 36851]]
is not part of the record basis for this action, which is taken to
implement the good neighbor provision, CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I),
for the 2015 ozone NAAQS.
Table VIII-6--Monetized Benefits, Costs, and Net Benefits of the Final Rule and Less and More Stringent
Alternatives for 2023 for the U.S.
[3% Discount rate for benefits, millions of 2016$] \a\ \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less stringent More stringent
Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Health Benefits \c\.................. $100 and $820.......... $100 and $810.......... $110 and $840.
Climate Benefits..................... $5..................... $4..................... $5.
Total Benefits....................... $100 and $820.......... $100 and $820.......... $110 and $840.
Costs \d\............................ $57.................... $56.................... $49.
Net Benefits......................... $48 and $760........... $48 and $760........... $66 and $800.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ We focus results to provide a snapshot of costs and benefits in 2023, using the best available information
to approximate social costs and social benefits recognizing uncertainties and limitations in those estimates.
\b\ Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
\c\ The health benefits are associated with two point estimates from two different epidemiologic studies. For
the purposes of presenting the values in this table the health and climate benefits are discounted at 3
percent.
\d\ The costs presented in this table are 2023 annual estimates for each alternative analyzed. For EGUs, an NPV
of costs was calculated using a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM's
objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please see Chapter
4, Table 4-8 in the RIA.
Table VIII-7--Monetized Benefits, Costs, and Net Benefits of the Final Rule and Less and More Stringent
Alternatives for 2026 for the U.S.
[3% Discount rate for benefits, millions of 2016$] \a\ \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less stringent More stringent
Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Health Benefits \c\.................. $3,200 and $14,000..... $950 and $4,600........ $8,300 and $29,000.
Climate Benefits..................... $1,100................. $420................... $2,100.
Total Benefits....................... $4,300 and $15,000..... $1,400 and $5,000...... $10,000 and $31,000.
Costs \d\............................ $570................... $110................... $2,100.
Net Benefits......................... $3,700 and $14,000..... $1,300 and $4,900...... $8,300 and $29,000.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ We focus results to provide a snapshot of costs and benefits in 2026, using the best available information
to approximate social costs and social benefits recognizing uncertainties and limitations in those estimates.
\b\ Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
\c\ The health benefits are associated with two point estimates from two different epidemiologic studies. For
the purposes of presenting the values in this table the health and climate benefits are discounted at 3
percent.
\d\ The costs presented in this table are 2026 annual estimates for each alternative analyzed. For EGUs, an NPV
of costs was calculated using a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM's
objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please see Chapter
4, Table 4-8 in the RIA.
Table VIII-8--Monetized Benefits, Costs, and Net Benefits of the Final Rule and Less and More Stringent
Alternatives for 2030 for the U.S.
[3% Discount rate for benefits, millions of 2016$] \a\ \b\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Less stringent More stringent
Final rule alternative alternative
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Health Benefits \c\.................. $3,400 and $15,000..... $1,000 and $4,900...... $9,000 and $31,000.
Climate Benefits..................... $1,500................. $1,300................. $500.
Total Benefits....................... $4,900 and $16,000..... $2,300 and $6,200...... $9,500 and $31,000.
Costs \d\............................ $1,300................. $920................... $2,100.
Net Benefits......................... $3,600 and $15,000..... $1,400 and $5,300...... $7,400 and $29,000.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ We focus results to provide a snapshot of costs and benefits in 2030, using the best available information
to approximate social costs and social benefits recognizing uncertainties and limitations in those estimates.
\b\ Rows may not appear to add correctly due to rounding.
\c\ The health benefits are associated with two point estimates from two different epidemiologic studies. For
the purposes of presenting the values in this table the health and climate benefits are discounted at 3
percent.
\d\ The costs presented in this table are 2030 annual estimates for each alternative analyzed. For EGUs, an NPV
of costs was calculated using a 3.76 percent real discount rate consistent with the rate used in IPM's
objective function for cost-minimization. For further information on the discount rate use, please see Chapter
4, Table 4-8 in the RIA.
In addition, Table VIII-9 presents estimates of the present value
(PV) of the monetized benefits and costs and the equivalent annualized
value (EAV), an estimate of the annualized value of the net benefits
consistent with the present value, over the twenty-year period of 2023
to 2042. The estimates of the PV and EAV are calculated using discount
rates of 3 and 7 percent as recommended by OMB's Circular A-4 and are
presented in 2016 dollars discounted to 2023.
[[Page 36852]]
Table VIII-9--Monetized Estimated Health and Climate Benefits, Compliance Costs, and Net Benefits of the Final
Rule and Less and More Stringent Alternatives, 2023 Through 2042
[Millions 2016$, discounted to 2023]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3 Percent discount rate 7 Percent discount rate
---------------------------------------------------------------
PV EAV PV EAV
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Health benefits
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Rule...................................... $200,000 $13,000 $130,000 $12,000
Less Stringent Alternative...................... 67,000 4,500 40,000 3,800
More Stringent Alternative...................... 410,000 28,000 240,000 23,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Climate Benefits \a\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Rule...................................... 15,000 970 15,000 970
Less Stringent Alternative...................... 11,000 770 11,000 770
More Stringent Alternative...................... 14,000 920 14,000 920
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Compliance Costs
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Rule...................................... 14,000 910 9,400 770
Less Stringent Alternative...................... 8,700 590 5,300 500
More Stringent Alternative...................... 25,000 1,700 17,000 1,600
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net Benefits
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Rule...................................... 200,000 13,000 140,000 12,000
Less Stringent Alternative...................... 70,000 4,700 42,000 4,000
More Stringent Alternative...................... 400,000 27,000 240,000 22,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ Climate benefits are calculated using four different estimates of the social cost of carbon (SC-CO2) (model
average at 2.5 percent, 3 percent, and 5 percent discount rates; 95th percentile at 3 percent discount rate).
For presentational purposes in this table, the climate benefits associated with the average SC-CO2 at a 3-
percent discount rate are used in the columns displaying results of other costs and benefits that are
discounted at either a 3-percent or 7-percent discount rate.
As shown in Table VIII-9, the PV of the monetized health benefits
of this rule, discounted at a 3-percent discount rate, is estimated to
be about $200 billion ($200,000 million), with an EAV of about $13
billion ($13,000 million). At a 7-percent discount rate, the PV of the
monetized health benefits is estimated to be $130 billion ($130,000
million), with an EAV of about $12 billion ($12,000 million). The PV of
the monetized climate benefits of this rule, discounted at a 3-percent
discount rate, is estimated to be about $15 billion ($15,000 million),
with an EAV of about $970 million. The PV of the monetized compliance
costs, discounted at a 3-percent rate, is estimated to be about $14
billion ($14,000 million), with an EAV of about $910 million. At a 7-
percent discount rate, the PV of the compliance costs is estimated to
be about $9.4 billion ($9,400 million), with an EAV of about $770
million.
In addition to the analysis of costs and benefits as described
above, for the final rule, the EPA was able to conduct a full-scale
photochemical grid modeling run of the effects of the ``final rule''
emissions control scenario in 2026. This modeling can be used to
estimate the impacts on projected 2026 ozone design values that are
expected from the combined EGU and non-EGU control emissions reductions
in this final rule. These results do not replace the AQAT-generated
estimates used for our Step 3 determinations, and the EPA needed to
continue to use AQAT for Step 3 determinations in order to characterize
various potential control scenarios to inform these regulatory
determinations. Nonetheless, though they differ slightly from the AQAT-
generated air quality estimates of the final rule control scenario
conducted for purposes of our Step 3 analysis (as presented in section
V.D of this document), these results using full-scale photochemical
grid modeling complement those estimates and confirm in all cases the
regulatory conclusions reached applying AQAT.\423\ Appendix 3A of the
RIA presents the full results of the projected impacts of the final
rule control scenario on ozone levels using CAMx. To briefly summarize,
the largest reductions in ozone design values at identified receptors
are predicted to occur in the Houston-Galveston-Brazoria, Texas area.
In this area the reductions from the final rule case range from 0.7 to
0.9 ppb. At most of the receptors in both the Dallas/Ft Worth and the
New York/Coastal Connecticut areas the reductions in ozone range from
0.4 to 0.5 ppb. At receptors in Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin near
the shoreline of Lake Michigan, ozone is projected to decline by 0.3 to
0.4 ppb, but by as much as 0.5 ppb at the receptor in Muskegon, MI.
Reductions of 0.1 ppb are predicted in the urban and near-urban
receptors in Chicago. In the West, ozone reductions just under 0.2 ppb
are predicted at receptors in Denver with slightly greater reductions,
just above 0.2 ppb, at receptors in Salt Lake City. At receptors in
Phoenix, California, El Paso/Las Cruces, and southeast New Mexico the
reductions in ozone are predicted to be less than 0.1 ppb.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\423\ Note that the EPA's ``overcontrol'' analysis relies
primarily on a ``Step 3'' control scenario rather than the ``full
geography'' scenario. The CAMx modeling described here captures the
effects of the rule as a whole and so is more akin to the ``full
geography'' scenario, which the EPA does not believe is the
appropriate method for conducting overcontrol analysis. Nonetheless,
as explained in the Ozone Transport Policy Analysis Final Rule TSD,
the results under either scenario establish no overcontrol, and the
CAMx results presented here do not call those conclusions into
question.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
IX. Summary of Changes to the Regulatory Text for the Federal
Implementation Plans and Trading Programs for EGUs
This section describes the amendments to the regulatory text that
implement the findings and remedy discussed elsewhere in this rule with
respect to EGUs. The primary CFR
[[Page 36853]]
amendments are revisions to the FIP provisions addressing states' good
neighbor obligations related to ozone in 40 CFR part 52 as well as the
revisions to the regulations for the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program in 40 CFR part 97, subpart GGGGG. In
conjunction with the amendments to the Group 3 trading program, the
monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting regulations in 40 CFR part 75
are being amended to reflect the addition of certain new reporting
requirements associated with the amended trading program and the
administrative appeal provisions in 40 CFR part 78 are being amended to
identify certain additional types of appealable decisions of the EPA
Administrator under the amended trading program. The provisions to
address the transition of the EGUs in certain states from the Group 2
trading program to the Group 3 trading program are implemented in part
through revisions to the regulations noted previously and in part
through revisions to the regulations for the Group 2 trading program in
40 CFR part 97, subpart EEEEE.
In addition to these primary amendments, certain revisions are
being made to the regulations for the other CSAPR trading programs in
40 CFR part 97, subparts AAAAA through EEEEE, for conformity with the
amended provisions of the Group 3 trading program, as discussed in
section VI.B.13. Documents have been included in the docket for this
rule showing all of the revisions in redline-strikeout format.
A. Amendments to FIP Provisions in 40 CFR Part 52
The CSAPR, CSAPR Update, and Revised CSAPR Update FIP requirements
related to ozone season NOX emissions are set forth in 40
CFR 52.38(b) as well as other sections of part 52 specific to each
covered state. The existing text of Sec. 52.38(b)(1) identifies the
trading program regulations in 40 CFR part 97, subparts BBBBB, EEEEE,
and GGGGG, as constituting the relevant FIP provisions relating to
seasonal NOX emissions and transported ozone pollution.
Because in this rulemaking the EPA is establishing new or amended FIP
requirements not only for the types of EGUs covered by the trading
programs but also for certain types of industrial sources, an amendment
to Sec. 52.38(b)(1) clarifies that the trading programs constitute the
FIP provisions only for the sources meeting the applicability
requirements of the trading programs. A parallel clarification is being
added to Sec. Sec. 52.38(a)(1) and 52.39(a) with respect to the CSAPR
FIP requirements relating to annual NOX emissions,
SO2 emissions, and transported fine particulate pollution.
The states whose EGU sources are required to participate in the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1, Group 2, and Group 3 trading
programs under the FIPs established in CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and the
Revised CSAPR Update, as well as the control periods for which those
requirements apply, are identified in Sec. 52.38(b)(2). The amendments
to this paragraph expand the applicability of the Group 3 trading
program to sources in the ten additional states that the EPA is adding
to the Group 3 trading program starting with the 2023 control period
and end the applicability of the Group 2 trading program (with the
exception of certain provisions) for sources in seven of the ten states
after the 2022 control period, as discussed in section VI.B.2.\424\ The
paragraphs within Sec. 52.38(b)(2) are being renumbered to clarify the
organization of the provisions and to facilitate cross-references from
other regulatory provisions. Regarding the two states currently
participating in the Group 2 trading program through approved SIP
revisions that replaced the previous FIPs issued under the CSAPR Update
(Alabama and Missouri), a provision indicating that the EPA will no
longer administer the state trading programs adopted under those SIP
revisions after the 2022 control period is being added at Sec.
52.38(b)(16)(ii)(B).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\424\ Like the previous text of Sec. 52.38(b)(2), the final
amended text expressly encompasses sources in Indian country within
the respective states' borders.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the Revised CSAPR Update, the EPA established several options
for states to revise their SIPs to modify or replace the FIPs
applicable to their sources while continuing to use the Group 3 trading
program as the mechanism for meeting the states' good neighbor
obligations. As in effect before this rule, Sec. 52.38(b)(10), (11),
and (12) established options to replace allowance allocations for the
2022 control period, to adopt an abbreviated SIP revision for control
periods in 2023 or later years, and to adopt a full SIP revision for
control periods in 2023 or later years, respectively.\425\ As discussed
in section VI.D, the EPA is retaining these SIP revision options and is
making them available for all states covered by the Group 3 trading
program after the geographic expansion. The option under Sec.
52.38(b)(10) to replace allowance allocations for a single control
period is being amended to be available for the 2024 control period,
with attendant revisions to the years and dates shown in Sec.
52.38(b)(10) (multiple paragraphs) and (b)(17)(i) as well as the Group
3 trading program regulations, as discussed in section IX.B. The
options under Sec. 52.38(b)(11) and (12) to adopt abbreviated or full
SIP revisions are being amended to be available starting with the 2025
control period, with attendant revisions to Sec. 52.38(b)(11)(iii),
(b)(12)(iii), and (b)(17)(ii).\426\ The removal of the previous options
for states to expand applicability of the trading programs for ozone
season NOX emissions to certain non-EGUs and smaller EGUs,
discussed in sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3, is accomplished by the removal
or revision of multiple paragraphs of Sec. 52.38(b), including most
notably the removal of Sec. 52.38(b)(4)(i), (b)(5)(i), (b)(8)(i)-(ii),
(b)(9)(i)-(ii), (b)(11)(i)-(iii), and (b)(12)(i)-(iii).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\425\ Revisions to the deadlines for states with approved SIP
revisions to submit their state-determined allowance allocations to
the EPA for subsequent recordation were finalized in an earlier
final rule in this docket. See 87 FR 52473 (August 26, 2022).
\426\ No state currently in the Group 3 trading program has
submitted a SIP revision to make use of these options in control
periods before the control periods in which the options can be used
under the amended provisions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The changes with respect to set-asides and the treatment of units
in Indian country discussed in section VI.B.9, although implemented
largely through amendments to the Group 3 trading program regulations,
are also implemented in part through amendments to Sec. 52.38(b)(11)
and (12). First, the text in Sec. 52.38(b)(11)(iii)(A) and
(b)(12)(iii)(A) identifying the portion of each state trading budget
for which a state may establish state-determined allowance allocations
is being revised to exclude any allowances in a new unit set-aside or
Indian country existing unit set-aside. Second, the text in Sec.
52.38(b)(12)(vi) identifying provisions that states may not adopt into
their SIPs (because the provisions concern regulation of sources in
Indian country not subject to a state's CAA implementation planning
authority) are being revised to include the provisions of the amended
Group 3 trading program addressing allocation and recordation of
allowances from all types of set-asides. Finally, the text in Sec.
52.38(b)(12)(vii) authorizing the EPA to modify the previous approval
of a SIP revision with regard to the assurance provisions ``if and when
a covered unit is located in Indian country'' are being revised to
account for the fact that at least one covered unit is already located
in Indian country not subject to a state's CAA planning authority.
The transitional provisions discussed in sections VI.B.12.b and
VI.B.12.c to
[[Page 36854]]
convert certain 2017-2022 Group 2 allowances to Group 3 allowances and
to recall certain 2023-2024 Group 2 allowances, although promulgated as
amendments to the Group 2 trading program regulations, will necessarily
be implemented after the end of the 2022 control period. Amendments
clarifying that these provisions continue to apply to the relevant
sources and holders of allowances notwithstanding the transition of
certain states out of the Group 2 trading program after the 2022
control period are being added at Sec. 52.38(b)(14)(iii). Cross-
references clarifying that the EPA's allocations of the converted Group
3 allowances are not subject to modification through SIP revisions are
also being added to the existing provisions at Sec.
52.38(b)(11)(iii)(D) and (b)(12)(iii)(D).
The general FIP provisions applicable to all states covered by this
rule as set forth in Sec. 52.38(b)(2) are being replicated in the
state-specific subparts of 40 CFR part 52 for each of the ten states
that the EPA is adding to the Group 3 trading program.\427\ In each
such state-specific CFR subpart, provisions are being added indicating
that sources in the state are required to participate in the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program with respect to
emissions starting in 2023. Provisions are also being added repeating
the substance of Sec. 52.38(b)(13)(i), which generally provides that
the Administrator's full and unconditional approval of a full SIP
revision correcting the same SIP deficiency that is the basis for a FIP
promulgated in this rulemaking would cause the FIP to no longer apply
to sources subject to the state's CAA implementation planning
authority, and Sec. 52.38(b)(14)(ii), which generally provides the EPA
with authority to complete recordation of EPA-determined allowance
allocations for any control period for which EPA has already started
such recordation notwithstanding the approval of a state's SIP revision
establishing state-determined allowance allocations.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\427\ See Sec. Sec. 52.54(b) (Alabama), 52.184(a) (Arkansas),
52.1240(d) (Minnesota), 52.1824(a) (Mississippi), 52.1326(b)
(Missouri), 52.1492 (Nevada), 52.1930(a) (Oklahoma), 52.2283(d)
(Texas), 52.2356 (Utah), and 52.2587(e) (Wisconsin).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For each of the seven states that the EPA is removing from the
Group 2 trading program, the provisions of the state-specific CFR
subparts indicating that sources in the state are required to
participate in that trading program are being revised to end that
requirement with respect to emissions after 2022, and a further
provision is being added repeating the substance of Sec.
52.38(b)(14)(iii), which identifies certain provisions that continue to
apply to sources and allowances notwithstanding discontinuation of a
trading program with respect to a particular state.\428\ In addition,
for the five states that during their time in the Group 2 trading
program have not exercised the option to adopt full SIP revisions to
replace the FIPs issued under the CSAPR Update (all but Alabama and
Missouri), obsolete provisions concerning the unexercised SIP revision
option are being removed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\428\ See Sec. Sec. 52.54(b) (Alabama), 52.184(a) (Arkansas),
52.1824(a) (Mississippi), 52.1326(b) (Missouri), 52.1930(a)
(Oklahoma), 52.2283(d) (Texas), and 52.2587(e) (Wisconsin).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
No amendments with respect to FIP requirements for EGUs are being
made to the state-specific CFR subparts for the twelve states whose
sources currently participate in the Group 3 trading program \429\
except as needed to update cross-references or to implement the changes
related to the treatment of Indian country, as discussed in section
IX.D.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\429\ See Sec. Sec. 52.731(b) (Illinois), 52.789(b) (Indiana),
52.940(b) (Kentucky), 52.984(d) (Louisiana), 52.1084(b) (Maryland),
52.1186(e) (Michigan), 52.1584(e) (New Jersey), 52.1684(b) (New
York), 52.1882(b) (Ohio), 52.2040(b) (Pennsylvania), 52.2440(b)
(Virginia), and 52.2540(b) (West Virginia).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
B. Amendments to Group 3 Trading Program and Related Regulations
To implement the geographic expansion of the Group 3 trading
program and the revised trading budgets that are being established
under the new and amended FIPs in this rulemaking, several sections of
the Group 3 trading program regulations are being amended. Revisions
identifying the applicable control periods, deadlines for certification
of monitoring systems, and deadlines for commencement of quarterly
reporting for sources not previously covered by the Group 3 trading
program are being made at Sec. Sec. 97.1006(c)(3)(i), 97.1030(b)(1),
and 97.1034(d)(2)(i), respectively. Revisions identifying the new or
revised budgets and new unit set-asides for the control periods after
2022 for all covered states are being made at Sec. 97.1010(a)(1) and
(c)(2), respectively.
Each of the enhancements to the Group 3 trading program discussed
in section VI.B is also implemented primarily through revisions to the
trading program regulations. The dynamic budget-setting process
discussed in sections VI.B.1.b.i and VI.B.4 is implemented at Sec.
97.1010(a)(2) through (4), and the associated revised process for
determining variability limits and assurance levels discussed in
section VI.B.5 is implemented at Sec. 97.1010(e). The Group 3
allowance bank recalibration process discussed in sections VI.B.1.b.ii
and VI.B.6 is implemented at Sec. 97.1026(d). The backstop daily
NOX emissions rate component of the primary emissions
limitation discussed in sections VI.B.1.c.i and VI.B.7 is implemented
at Sec. Sec. 97.1006(c)(1)(i) and 97.1024(b)(1) and (3), accompanied
by the addition of a definition of ``backstop daily NOX
emissions rate'' and modification of the definition of ``CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance'' in Sec. Sec. 97.1002
and 97.1006(c)(6). The secondary emissions limitation for sources found
responsible for exceedances of the assurance levels discussed in
sections VI.B.1.c.ii and VI.B.8 is implemented at Sec. Sec.
97.1006(c)(1)(iii) and (iv) and (c)(3)(ii) and 97.1025(c), accompanied
by the addition of a definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 secondary emissions limitation'' in Sec. 97.1002.
The changes relating to set-asides, the treatment of Indian
country, and unit-level allowance allocations discussed in section
VI.B.9 of this document are implemented through revisions to multiple
paragraphs of Sec. Sec. 97.1010, 97.1011, and 97.1012, as well as
limited revisions to Sec. Sec. 97.1002 (definition of ``allocate or
allocation'') and 97.1006(b)(2). In Sec. 97.1010, paragraphs (b), (c),
and (d) address the amounts for each control period of the Indian
country existing unit set-asides, new unit set-asides, and Indian
country new unit set-asides, respectively.\430\ Paragraphs (b) and (d)
reflect the establishment of Indian country existing unit set-asides
starting with the 2023 control period and the discontinuation of Indian
country new unit set-asides after the 2022 control period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\430\ The former Sec. 97.1011(c), which addresses the
relationships of set-asides and variability limits to state trading
budgets, is being relocated to Sec. 97.1011(f).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A newly added definition at Sec. 97.1002 for ``coal-derived fuel''
(based on the existing definition in 40 CFR 72.2) helps in
implementation of both the backstop daily NOX emissions rate
provisions and the unit-level allocation provisions by clarifying that
the provisions apply without regard to how any coal combusted by a unit
might have been processed before combustion. Another newly added
definition at Sec. 97.1002 for ``historical control period'' helps in
implementation of the dynamic budget-setting provisions, the secondary
emissions limitation provisions, and the
[[Page 36855]]
unit-level allocation provisions by facilitating references to data
reported by a unit for periods before the unit's entry into the Group 3
trading program.
The revisions to Sec. 97.1011 refocus the section exclusively on
allocation to ``existing'' units from the portion of each state
emissions budget not reserved in a new unit set-aside or Indian country
new unit set-aside. In Sec. 97.1011(a), the provision formerly in
Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) requiring allocations to existing units to be made
in the amounts provided in NODAs issued by the EPA is being split into
two separate provisions, with paragraph (a)(1) applying to existing
units in the state and areas of Indian country covered by the state's
CAA implementation planning authority and paragraph (a)(2) applying to
existing units in areas of Indian country not covered by the state's
CAA implementation planning authority.\431\ This split will facilitate
the submission and approval of SIP revisions by states interested in
submitting state-determined allowance allocations for the units over
which they exercise CAA implementation authority, while leaving
allocations to any units outside their authority to be addressed either
by the EPA or by the relevant tribe under an approved tribal
implementation plan. The process for determining default allocations to
existing units of allowances from state trading budgets starting with
the 2026 control period is set forth in revised Sec. 97.1011(b), while
the former provisions of Sec. 97.1011(b), which concern timing and
notice procedures for allocations to new units, are being relocated to
Sec. 97.1012. The provisions addressing incorrectly allocated
allowances at Sec. 97.1011(c) are being streamlined by relocating the
portions applicable to new units to Sec. 97.1012(c). In addition, as
discussed in section VI.B.9.d, Sec. 97.1011(c)(5) is being revised to
provide that, starting with the 2024 control period, any incorrectly
allocated allowances recovered after May 1 of the year following the
control period will not be reallocated to other units in the state but
instead would be transferred to a surrender account.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\431\ An additional provision currently in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1),
which clarifies that an allocation or lack of allocation to a unit
in a NODA does not constitute a determination by the EPA that the
unit is or is not a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit,
is being relocated to Sec. 97.1011(a)(3). The former Sec.
97.1011(a)(2), which provides for certain existing units that cease
operations to receive allocations for their first five control
periods of non-operation and provides for the allowances for
subsequent control periods to be allocated to the relevant state's
new unit set-asides, is inconsistent with the proposed revisions to
the set-asides and the default allowance allocation process, as
discussed in section VI.B.9, and is being removed as obsolete.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The revisions to Sec. 97.1012 retain the section's current focus
on allocations to ``new'' units, generally combining the former
provisions at Sec. 97.1012 with the former provisions at Sec.
97.1011(b) and (c) that address new units. The text of multiple
paragraphs in both Sec. 97.1012(a) and (b) is being revised as needed
to reflect the change in treatment of Indian country discussed in
section VI.B.9.a, under which the new unit set-asides will be used to
provide allowance allocations to new units both in non-Indian country
and Indian country within the borders of the respective states for
control periods starting in 2023.\432\ The timing and notice provisions
in Sec. 97.1012(a)(13) and (b)(13) are relocated from former Sec.
97.1011(b)(1) and (2). The text of Sec. 97.1012(c), addressing
incorrect allocations to new units, is largely relocated from Sec.
97.1011(c) (which addresses incorrect allocations to existing units)
and reflects a parallel revision addressing the disposition of
recovered allowances, as discussed in section VI.B.9.d.
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\432\ Revisions are also being made to the text of Sec.
97.1012(a) and (b) for the control periods in 2021 and 2022
consistent with the revisions to the parallel provisions in the
regulations for the other CSAPR trading programs, generally calling
for allocations to units in areas of Indian country subject to a
state's CAA implementation planning authority to be made from the
new unit set-asides instead of from the Indian country new unit set-
asides.
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The amendments to Sec. 97.1021 implement two distinct sets of
changes discussed in sections VI.B.9 and VI.D.1. First, revisions to
Sec. 97.1021(b) through (e) replace the previous schedule for
recording Group 3 allowances for the 2023 and 2024 control periods
established in the August 2022 Recordation Rule with an updated
recordation schedule tailored to the effective date of this rule. The
updated schedule also eliminates the unused former option for states to
provide state-determined allowance allocations for the 2022 control
period and establishes a substantively equivalent new option for states
to provide state-determined allowance allocations for the 2024 control
period. Second, revisions to Sec. 97.1021(g) through (j) begin
recordation for Indian country existing unit set-asides starting with
allocations for the 2023 control period, modify the text to eliminate
references to state-determined allocations of allowances from new unit
set-asides, and end recordation for Indian country new unit set-asides
after allocations for the 2022 control period.
Implementation of the revisions to the Group 3 trading program is
also accomplished in part through amendments to regulations in other
CFR parts. In 40 CFR part 75, which contains detailed monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting requirements applicable to sources covered
by the Group 3 trading program, the additional recordkeeping and
reporting requirements discussed in section VI.B.10 of this document
are implemented through the addition of Sec. Sec. 75.72(f) and
75.73(f)(1)(ix) and (x) and revisions to Sec. 75.75, and the
procedures for calculating daily total heat input and daily total
NOX emissions and the procedures for apportioning
NOX mass emissions monitored at a common stack among the
individual units using the common stack are being added at sections
5.3.3, 8.4(c), and 8.5.3 of appendix F to part 75. In 40 CFR part 78,
which contains the administrative appeal procedures applicable to
decisions of the EPA Administrator under the Group 3 trading program,
Sec. 78.1(b)(19) is being amended to add calculation of the dynamic
budgets to the list of administrative decisions under the trading
program regulations that will be appealable under those procedures.
C. Transitional Provisions
As discussed in section VI.B.12, the EPA is establishing several
transitional provisions for sources entering the Group 3 trading
program. The provisions discussed in section VI.B.12.a of this
document, concerning the prorating of state emissions budgets,
assurance levels, and unit-level allocations for the 2023 control
period, are implemented through the Group 3 trading program
regulations. Specifically, the state emissions budgets for the 2023
control period will be prorated according to procedures set out at
Sec. 97.1010(a)(1)(ii). Variability limits for the 2023 control
period, and the resulting assurance levels, will be computed under
Sec. 97.1010(e) from the prorated state emissions budgets. Unit-level
allocations to existing units for the 2023 control period will be
computed from the prorated state emissions budgets according to
procedures substantively the same as the procedures codified in Sec.
97.1011(b) for calculating default allocations to existing units for
later control periods, as discussed in section VI.B.9.b, and will be
announced in the notice of data availability issued under Sec.
97.1011(a)(1) and (2) for the 2023 through 2025 control periods.
The remaining transitional provisions are being implemented through
the Group 2 trading program regulations.
[[Page 36856]]
The creation of an additional Group 3 allowance bank for the 2023
control period through the conversion of banked 2017-2022 Group 2
allowances as discussed in section VI.B.12.b of this document is
implemented at Sec. 97.826(e).\433\ Related provisions addressing the
use of Group 3 allowances to satisfy after-arising compliance
obligations under the Group 2 trading program or the Group 1 trading
program are implemented at Sec. Sec. 97.826(f)(2) and 97.526(e)(3),
respectively, and related provisions addressing recordation of late-
arising allocations of Group 1 allowances are implemented at Sec.
97.526(d)(2)(iii). The recall of Group 2 allowances previously issued
for the 2023 and 2024 control periods as discussed in section VI.B.12.c
of this document is implemented at Sec. 97.811(e).
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\433\ The provision formerly at Sec. 97.826(e)(1) is being
relocated to Sec. 97.826(f)(1), and the provision formerly at Sec.
97.826(e)(2) is being removed as no longer necessary.
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Decisions of the Administrator related to the allowance bank
creation provisions and the allowance recall provisions are identified
as appealable decisions under 40 CFR part 78 through revisions to Sec.
78.1(b)(17)(viii) and (ix).
D. Clarifications and Conforming Revisions
As discussed in section VI.B.13 of this document, the EPA is
revising the provisions regarding allowance allocations for units in
Indian country in all the CSAPR trading programs so that instead of
distinguishing among units based on whether they are or are not located
in Indian country, the revised provisions distinguish among units based
on whether they are or are not covered by a state's CAA implementation
planning authority. The revisions are implemented in multiple
paragraphs of Sec. Sec. 97.411(b), 97.412, 97.511(b), 97.512,
97.611(b), 97.612, 97.711(b), 97.712, 97.811(b), and 97.812. The
associated revisions to states' options regarding SIP revisions to
establish state-determined allowance allocations for units covered by
their CAA implementation planning authority are implemented in multiple
paragraphs of Sec. Sec. 52.38(a) and (b) and 52.39 as well as the
state-specific subparts of 40 CFR part 52.
Certain other revisions to the regulatory text in the FIP and
trading program regulations are minor simplifications and
clarifications. First, in the Group 2 trading program regulations, the
paragraphs in Sec. 97.810 setting forth the amounts of state emissions
budgets, new unit set-asides, Indian country new unit set-asides, and
variability limits for states that the EPA is transitioning out of the
Group 2 trading program are being modified to indicate that the amounts
are applicable under that program only for control periods through
2022.
Second, as noted in sections VI.D.2 and VI.D.3, the existing
options for states subject to the NOX SIP Call to expand
applicability of the Group 2 trading program to include certain non-
EGUs and smaller EGUs are being eliminated. While the most directly
affected provisions are the provisions setting forth the SIP options at
Sec. 52.38(b)(4), (5), (8), (9), (12), and (13), as discussed in
section IX.A of this document, the changes also render references to
``base'' units and ``base'' sources in the regulations for the Group 2
trading program and the Group 3 trading program obsolete. Removal of
the references to ``base'' units and ``base'' sources affects multiple
paragraphs of Sec. Sec. 97.802, 97.806, 97.825, 97.1002, 97.1006, and
97.1025.
Third, to clarify the regulatory text, the EPA is removing the
language in the Group 3 trading program regulations that formerly
appeared at Sec. Sec. 97.1002 (definition of ``common designated
representative's assurance level''), 97.1006(c)(2)(iii), 97.1010(d),
and 97.1011(a)(1) referencing supplemental amounts of allowances issued
for the 2021 control period and associated increments to the 2021
assurance levels (each state's assurance level increment was described
as 21 percent of the state's supplemental amount of allowances). In
place of the removed language, the EPA is restating the amounts of the
2021 state emissions budgets in Sec. 97.1010(a)(1)(i) so as to include
the supplemental amounts of allowances and is restating the amounts of
the 2021 variability limits in Sec. 97.1010(e)(1) so as to include the
associated assurance level increments. The revised language is
substantively equivalent to and simpler than the previous language.
Fourth, in 40 CFR part 75, the EPA is removing obsolete text in
Sec. 75.73(c) and (f) to clarify the context for other text being
added to the section, as discussed in section IX.B of this document.
Fifth, in 40 CFR part 52, the EPA is adding Sec. Sec.
52.38(a)(7)(iii) and 52.39(k)(3) to clarify in Sec. Sec. 52.38 and
52.39 that the Allowance Management System housekeeping provisions
added by the Revised CSAPR Update at Sec. Sec. 97.426(c), 97.626(c),
and 97.726(c) in the regulations for the CSAPR NOX Annual,
SO2 Group 1, and SO2 Group 2 trading programs,
respectively, continue to apply after the sources in a given state have
been removed from the programs, consistent with the text of the latter
provisions.
Finally, the EPA is updating cross-references throughout 40 CFR
parts 52 and 97 for consistency with the other amendments being made in
this rulemaking.
X. Statutory and Executive Orders Reviews
Additional information about these statutes and Executive orders
(``E.O.'') can be found at https://www2.epa.gov/laws-regulations/laws-and-executive-orders.
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review and Executive
Order 13563: Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review
This action is a significant regulatory action within the scope of
section 3(f)(1) of Executive Order 12866 that was submitted to the
Office of Management and Budget (OMB) for review. Any changes made in
response to Executive Order 12866 review have been documented in the
docket. The EPA prepared an analysis of the potential costs and
benefits associated with this action. This analysis, which is contained
in the ``Regulatory Impact Analysis for Final Federal Good Neighbor
Plan Addressing Regional Ozone Transport for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standard'' [EPA-452-R-23-001], is available in the
docket and is briefly summarized in section VIII of this document.
B. Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA)
1. Information Collection Request for Electric Generating Units
The information collection activities in this rule have been
submitted for approval to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB)
under the PRA. The Information Collection Request (ICR) document that
the EPA prepared has been assigned EPA ICR number 2709.01. The EPA has
placed a copy of the ICR in the docket for this rule, and it is briefly
summarized here.
The EPA is finalizing an information collection request (ICR),
related specifically to electric generating units (EGU), for the
Federal ``Good Neighbor Plan'' for the 2015 Ozone National Ambient Air
Quality Standards. The rule would amend the Cross-State Air Pollution
Rule (CSAPR) NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading program
addressing seasonal NOX emissions in various states. Under
the amendments, all EGU sources in the original twelve Group 3 states
(Illinois, Indiana,
[[Page 36857]]
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Pennsylvania, Virginia, and West Virginia) would remain. Additionally,
EGU sources in seven states (Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin) currently covered by the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program would transition
from the Group 2 program to the revised Group 3 trading program
beginning with the 2023 ozone season. Further, sources in three states
not currently covered by any CSAPR NOX ozone season trading
program would join the revised Group 3 trading program: Minnesota,
Nevada, and Utah. In total, EGU sources in 22 states would now be
covered by the Group 3 program.
There is an existing ICR (OMB Control Number 2060-0667), that
includes information collection requirements placed on EGU sources for
the six Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) trading programs
addressing sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions, annual nitrogen
oxides (NOX) emissions, or seasonal NOX emissions
in various sets of states, and the Texas SO2 trading program
which is modeled after CSAPR. This ICR accounts for the additional
respondent burden related to the amendments to the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Group 3 trading program.
The principal information collection requirements under the CSAPR
and Texas trading programs relate to the monitoring and reporting of
emissions and associated data in accordance with 40 CFR part 75. Other
information collection requirements under the programs concern the
submittal of information necessary to allocate and transfer emissions
allowances and the submittal of certificates of representation and
other typically one-time registration forms.
Affected sources under the CSAPR and Texas trading programs are
generally stationary, fossil fuel-fired boilers and combustion turbines
serving generators larger than 25 megawatts (MW) producing electricity
for sale. Most of these affected sources are also subject to the Acid
Rain Program (ARP). The information collection requirements under the
CSAPR and Texas trading programs and the ARP substantially overlap and
are fully integrated. The burden and costs of overlapping requirements
are accounted for in the ARP ICR (OMB Control Number 2060-0258). Thus,
this ICR accounts for information collection burden and costs under the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading program that are
incremental to the burden and costs already accounted for in both the
ARP and CSAPR ICRs.
For most sources already reporting data under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 or the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Group 2 trading programs, the reporting requirements will remain
identical so there will be no incremental burden or cost. Certain
sources currently reporting data will be subject to additional
emissions reporting requirements under the rule requiring these sources
to make a one-time monitoring plan and DAHS update. These sources
include those with a common stack configuration and/or those that are
large, coal-fired EGUs. Additionally, sources with a common stack
configuration have the option to install additional monitoring
equipment to measure emissions at each individual unit within the
facility, and for purposes of estimating information collection costs
and burden, the EPA assumes certain sources will utilize this option.
Finally, the assessment of incremental cost and burden are required for
those sources in the three states not currently reporting data under a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season program. Sources in Minnesota are
already reporting data for the CSAPR NOX Annual program with
almost identical information collection requirements, requiring only a
one-time monitoring plan and DAHS update. Most of the affected sources
in Nevada and Utah are already reporting data as part of the Acid Rain
Program, thus only requiring a monitoring plan and DAHS update as well.
There are a small number of sources in Nevada and Utah that do not
report emissions data to the EPA under 40 CFR part 75 and will need to
implement a Part 75 monitoring methodology which includes burdens
related to installation, certification, and necessary updates.
Respondents/affected entities: Industry respondents are stationary,
fossil fuel-fired boilers and combustion turbines serving electricity
generators subject to the CSAPR and Texas trading programs, as well as
non-source entities voluntarily participating in allowance trading
activities. Potential state respondents are states that can elect to
submit state-determined allowance allocations for sources located in
their states.
Respondent's obligation to respond: Industry respondents: voluntary
and mandatory (sections 110(a) and 301(a) of the Clean Air Act).
Estimated number of respondents: The EPA estimates that there would
be 120 industry respondents.
Frequency of response: on occasion, quarterly, and annually.
Total estimated additional burden: 2,289 hours (per year). Burden
is defined at 5 CFR 1320.03(b).
Total estimated additional cost: $356,623 (per year); includes
$182,379 annualized capital or operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or sponsor, and a person is not required
to respond to, a collection of information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number. The OMB control numbers for the
EPA's regulations in 40 CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When OMB
approves this ICR, the Agency will announce that approval in the
Federal Register and publish a technical amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to
display the OMB control number for the approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
2. Information Collection Request for Non-Electric Generating Units
The information collection activities in this final rule have been
submitted for approval to the Office of Management and Budget (OMB)
under the PRA. The Information Collection Request (ICR) document that
the EPA prepared has been assigned EPA ICR number 2705.02. The EPA has
filed a copy of the non-EGU ICR in the docket for this rule, and it is
briefly summarized here.
ICR No. 2705.02 is a new request and it addresses the burden
associated with new regulatory requirements under the final rule.
Owners and operators of certain non-Electric Generating Unit (non-EGU)
industry stationary sources will potentially modify or install new
emissions controls and associated monitoring systems to meet the
nitrogen oxides (NOX) emissions limits of this final rule.
The burden in this ICR reflects the new monitoring, calibrating,
recordkeeping, reporting and testing activities required of covered
industrial sources. This information is being collected to assure
compliance with the final rule. In accordance with the Clean Air Act
Amendments of 1990, any monitoring information to be submitted by
sources is a matter of public record. Information received and
identified by owners or operators as confidential business information
(CBI) and approved as CBI by the EPA, in accordance with 40 CFR chapter
I, part 2, subpart B, shall be maintained appropriately (see 40 CFR
part 2; 41 FR 36902, September 1, 1976; amended by 43 FR 39999,
September 8, 1978; 43 FR 42251, September 28, 1978; 44 FR 17674, March
23, 1979).
Respondents/affected entities: The respondents/affected entities
are the owners/operators of certain non-EGU
[[Page 36858]]
industry sources in the following industry sectors: furnaces in Glass
and Glass Product Manufacturing; boilers and furnaces in Iron and Steel
Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing; kilns in Cement and Cement Product
Manufacturing; reciprocating internal combustion engines in Pipeline
Transportation of Natural Gas; and boilers in Metal Ore Mining, Basic
Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, and
Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills; and combustors and incinerators in
Solid Waste Combustors and Incinerators.
Respondent's obligation to respond: Voluntary and mandatory.
(Sections 110(a) and 301(a) of the Clean Air Act.) All data that is
recorded or reported by respondents is required by the final rule,
titled ``Federal ``Good Neighbor Plan'' for the 2015 Ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standards.''
Estimated number of respondents: 3,328.
Frequency of response: The specific frequency for each information
collection activity within the non-EGU ICR is shown at the end of the
ICR document in Tables 1 through 18. In general, the frequency varies
across the monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting activities. Some
recordkeeping such as work plan preparation is a one-time activity
whereas pipeline engine maintenance recordkeeping is conducted
quarterly. Reporting frequency is on an annual basis.
Total estimated burden: 11,481 hours (per year). Burden is defined
at 5 CFR 1320.3(b).
Total estimated cost: $3,823,000 (average per year); includes
$2,400,000 annualized capital or operation & maintenance costs.
An agency may not conduct or sponsor, and a person is not required
to respond to, a collection of information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number. The OMB control numbers for the
EPA's regulations in 40 CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9. When OMB
approves this ICR, the Agency will announce that approval in the
Federal Register and publish a technical amendment to 40 CFR part 9 to
display the OMB control number for the approved information collection
activities contained in this final rule.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
I certify that this action will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small entities under the RFA. The
small entities subject to the requirements of this action are small
businesses, which includes EGUs and non-EGUs and are described in more
detail below. In 2026, the EPA identified a total of 29 small entities
affected by the rule. Of these, 2 small entities may experience costs
of greater than 1 percent of revenues. In 2026 for EGUs, the EPA
identified 19 small entities. The EPA's decision to exclude units
smaller than 25 MW capacity from the final rule, and exclusion of
uncontrolled units smaller than 100 MW from backstop emissions rates
significantly reduced the burden on small entities by reducing the
number of affected small entity-owned units. Further, in 2026 for non-
EGUs, there are ten small entities, and two small entities are
estimated to have a cost-to-sales impact between 1.7 and 2.4 percent of
their revenues.
The Agency has not determined that a significant number of small
entities potentially affected by the rule will have compliance costs
greater than 1 percent of annual revenues during the compliance period.
The EPA has concluded that there will be no significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities (No SISNOSE) for this rule
overall. Details of this analysis are presented in Chapter 6 of the
RIA, which is in the public docket.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act (UMRA)
This action contains no unfunded Federal mandate for State, local,
or Tribal governments as described in UMRA, 2 U.S.C. 1531-1538, and
does not significantly or uniquely affect small governments. This
action imposes no enforceable duty on any State, local, or Tribal
government. This action contains a Federal mandate under UMRA, 2 U.S.C.
1531-1538, that may result in expenditures of $100 million or more in
any one year for the private sector. Accordingly, the costs and
benefits associated with this action are discussed in section VIII of
this preamble and in the RIA, which is in the docket for this rule.
Additional details are presented in the RIA. This action is not subject
to the requirements of UMRA section 203 because it contains no
regulatory requirements that might significantly or uniquely affect
small governments.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
This action does not have federalism implications. It will not have
substantial direct effects on the states, on the relationship between
the National Government and the states, or on the distribution of power
and responsibilities among the various levels of government.
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination With Indian
Tribal Governments
This final action has tribal implications. However, it would
neither impose substantial direct compliance costs on federally
recognized tribal governments, nor preempt tribal law.
The EPA is finalizing a finding that interstate transport of ozone
precursor emissions from 23 upwind states (Alabama, Arkansas,
California, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio,
Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, and
Wisconsin) is significantly contributing to downwind nonattainment or
interfering with maintenance of the 2015 ozone NAAQS in other states.
The EPA is promulgating FIP requirements to eliminate interstate
transport of ozone precursors from these 23 states. Under CAA section
301(d)(4), the EPA is extending FIP requirements to apply in Indian
country located within the upwind geography of the final rule,
including Indian reservation lands and other areas of Indian country
over which the EPA or a tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has
jurisdiction. The EPA's determinations in this regard are described
further in section III.C.2 of this document, Application of Rule in
Indian Country and Necessary or Appropriate Finding. The EPA finds that
all covered existing and new EGU and non-EGU sources that are located
in the ``301(d) FIP'' areas within the geographic boundaries of the
covered states, and which would be subject to this rule if located
within areas subject to state CAA planning authority, should be
included in this rule. To the EPA's knowledge, only one covered
existing EGU or non-EGU source is located within the 301(d) FIP areas:
the Bonanza Power Plant, an EGU source, located on the Uintah and Ouray
Reservation, geographically located within the borders of Utah. This
final action has tribal implication because of the extension of FIP
requirements into Indian country and because, in general, tribes have a
vested interest in how this final rule would affect air quality.
The EPA hosted an environmental justice webinar on October 26,
2021, that was attended by state regulatory authorities, environmental
groups, federally recognized tribes, and small business stakeholders.
The EPA issued tribal consultation letters addressed to 574 tribes in
February 2022 after the proposed rule was signed. The EPA received no
further requests to facilitate
[[Page 36859]]
additional tribal consultation for the final rule.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children From Environmental
Health Risks and Safety Risks
The EPA interprets Executive Order 13045 as applying only to those
regulatory actions that concern environmental health or safety risks
that the EPA has reason to believe may disproportionately affect
children, per the definition of ``covered regulatory action'' in
section 2-202 of the Executive order. This action is not subject to
Executive Order 13045 because it implements a previously promulgated
health-based Federal standard. This action's health and risk
assessments are contained in Chapter 5 and 6 of the RIA. The EPA
believes that the ozone-related benefits, PM2.5-related
benefits, and CO2- related benefits from this final rule
will further improve children's health. Additionally, the ozone and
PM2.5 EJ exposure analyses in Chapter 7 of the RIA suggests
that nationally, children (ages 0-17) will experience at least as great
a reduction in ozone and PM2.5 exposures as adults (ages 18-
64) in 2023 and 2026 under all regulatory alternatives of this
rulemaking.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply, Distribution or Use
This action is not a ``significant energy action'' because it is
not likely to have a significant adverse effect on the supply,
distribution, or use of energy. The EPA has prepared a Statement of
Energy Effects for the final regulatory control alternative as follows.
The Agency estimates a 1 percent change in retail electricity prices on
average across the contiguous U.S. in the 2025 run year, a 4 percent
reduction (28 GWh) in coal-fired electricity generation, a 2 percent
increase (21 GWh) in natural gas-fired electricity generation, and a 1
percent increase (8 GWh) in renewable electricity generation as a
result of this final rule. The EPA projects that utility power sector
delivered natural gas prices will change by less than 1 percent in
2025. Details of the estimated energy effects are presented in Chapter
4 of the RIA, which is in the public docket.
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act (NTTAA)
This rulemaking does not involve technical standards.
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income Populations
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994) directs
Federal agencies, to the greatest extent practicable and permitted by
law, to make environmental justice part of their mission by identifying
and addressing, as appropriate, disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects of their programs, policies, and
activities on minority populations (people of color and/or indigenous
peoples) and low-income populations.
The EPA believes that the human health or environmental conditions
that exist prior to this action result in or have the potential to
result in disproportionate and adverse human health or environmental
effects on people of color, low-income populations and/or Indigenous
peoples. The documentation for this decision is contained in section
VII of this document, Environmental Justice Analytical Considerations
and Stakeholder Outreach and Engagement, and in Chapter 7,
Environmental Justice Impacts of the RIA, which is in the public
document. Briefly, proximity demographic analyses found larger
percentages of Hispanics, African Americans, people below the poverty
level, people with less educational attainment, and people
linguistically isolated are living within 5 km and 10 km of an affected
EGU, compared to national averages. It also finds larger percentages of
African Americans, people below the poverty level, and with less
educational attainment living within 5 km and 10 km of an affected non-
EGU facility. Considering the known limitations of proximity analyses,
including the inability to assess policy-specific impacts, we also
performed analysis of baseline EJ ozone and PM2.5 exposures.
Baseline ozone and PM2.5 exposure analyses show that certain
populations, such as Hispanics, Asians, those linguistically isolated,
those less educated, and children may experience disproportionately
higher ozone and PM2.5 exposures as compared to the national
average. American Indians may also experience disproportionately higher
ozone concentrations than the reference group.
The EPA believes that this action is not likely to change existing
disproportionate and adverse effects on people of color, low-income
populations and/or Indigenous peoples. Specifically, we do not find
evidence that potential EJ concerns related to ozone or
PM2.5 exposures will be meaningfully exacerbated or
mitigated in the regulatory alternatives under consideration as
compared to the baseline. We infer that baseline disparities in the
ozone and PM2.5 concentration burdens are likely to persist
after implementation of the regulatory action or alternatives under
consideration, due to similar modeled concentration reductions across
population demographics. Importantly, the action described in this rule
is expected to lower ozone and PM2.5 in many areas,
including in ozone nonattainment areas, and thus mitigate some pre-
existing health risks across all populations evaluated.
The EPA additionally identified and addressed environmental justice
concerns by providing the public, including those communities
disproportionately impacted by the burdens of pollution, opportunities
for meaningful engagement with the EPA on this action through outreach
activities conducted by the Agency. The information supporting this
Executive order review is contained in section VII of this document.
K. Congressional Review Act
This action is subject to the CRA, and the EPA will submit a rule
report to each House of the Congress and to the Comptroller General of
the United States. Because this action falls within the definition
provided by 5 U.S.C. 804(2), the rule's effective date is consistent
with 5 U.S.C. 801(a)(3).
L. Determinations Under CAA Section 307(b)(1) and (d)
Section 307(b)(1) of the CAA governs judicial review of final
actions by the EPA. This section provides, in part, that petitions for
review must be filed in the D.C. Circuit: (i) when the agency action
consists of ``nationally applicable regulations promulgated, or final
actions taken, by the Administrator,'' or (ii) when such action is
locally or regionally applicable, but ``such action is based on a
determination of nationwide scope or effect and if in taking such
action the Administrator finds and publishes that such action is based
on such a determination.'' For locally or regionally applicable final
actions, the CAA reserves to the EPA complete discretion whether to
invoke the exception in (ii).\434\
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\434\ In deciding whether to invoke the exception by making and
publishing a finding that an action is based on a determination of
nationwide scope or effect, the Administrator takes into account a
number of policy considerations, including his judgment balancing
the benefit of obtaining the D.C. Circuit's authoritative
centralized review versus allowing development of the issue in other
contexts and the best use of agency resources.
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[[Page 36860]]
This rulemaking is ``nationally applicable'' within the meaning of
CAA section 307(b)(1). In this final action, the EPA is applying a
uniform legal interpretation and common, nationwide analytical methods
with respect to the requirements of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
concerning interstate transport of pollution (i.e., ``good neighbor''
requirements) to promulgate FIPs that satisfy these requirements for
the 2015 ozone NAAQS. Based on these analyses, the EPA is promulgating
FIPs for 23 states located across a wide geographic area in eight of
the ten EPA regions and ten Federal judicial circuits. Given that this
action addresses implementation of the good neighbor requirements of
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in a large number of states located
across the country, and given the interdependent nature of interstate
pollution transport and the common core of knowledge and analysis
involved in promulgating these FIPs, this is a ``nationally
applicable'' action within the meaning of CAA section 307(b)(1).
In the alternative, to the extent a court finds this action to be
locally or regionally applicable, the Administrator is exercising the
complete discretion afforded to him under the CAA to make and publish a
finding that this action is based on a determination of ``nationwide
scope or effect'' within the meaning of CAA section 307(b)(1). In this
final action, the EPA is interpreting and applying section
110(a)(2)(d)(i)(I) of the CAA for the 2015 ozone NAAQS based on a
common core of nationwide policy judgments and technical analysis
concerning the interstate transport of pollutants throughout the
continental U.S. In particular, the EPA is applying here the same,
nationally consistent 4-step framework for assessing good neighbor
obligations for the 2015 ozone NAAQS that it has applied in other
nationally applicable rulemakings, such as CSAPR, the CSAPR Update, and
the Revised CSAPR Update. The EPA is relying on the results from
nationwide photochemical grid modeling using a 2016 base year and 2023
projection year as the primary basis for its assessment of air quality
conditions and pollution contribution levels at Step 1 and Step 2 of
that 4-step framework and applying a nationally uniform approach to the
identification of nonattainment and maintenance receptors across the
entire geographic area covered by this final rule.\435\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\435\ In the report on the 1977 Amendments that revised section
307(b)(1) of the CAA, Congress noted that the Administrator's
determination that the ``nationwide scope or effect'' exception
applies would be appropriate for any action that has a scope or
effect beyond a single judicial circuit. See H.R. Rep. No. 95-294 at
323, 324, reprinted in 1977 U.S.C.C.A.N. 1402-03.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Administrator finds that this is a matter on which national
uniformity in judicial resolution of any petitions for review is
desirable, to take advantage of the D.C. Circuit's administrative law
expertise, and to facilitate the orderly development of the basic law
under the Act. The Administrator also finds that consolidated review of
this action in the D.C. Circuit will avoid piecemeal litigation in the
regional circuits, further judicial economy, and eliminate the risk of
inconsistent results for different states, and that a nationally
consistent approach to the CAA's mandate concerning interstate
transport of ozone pollution constitutes the best use of agency
resources. The EPA's responses to comments on the appropriate venue for
petitions for review are contained in section 1.10 of the RTC document.
For these reasons, this final action is nationally applicable or,
alternatively, the Administrator is exercising the complete discretion
afforded to him by the CAA and finds that this final action is based on
a determination of nationwide scope or effect for purposes of CAA
section 307(b)(1) and is publishing that finding in the Federal
Register. Under section 307(b)(1) of the CAA, petitions for judicial
review of this action must be filed in the United States Court of
Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit by August 4, 2023.
This action is subject to the provisions of section 307(d). CAA
section 307(d)(1)(B) provides that section 307(d) applies to, among
other things, ``the promulgation or revision of an implementation plan
by the Administrator under [CAA section 110(c)].'' 42 U.S.C.
7407(d)(1)(B). This action, among other things, promulgates new Federal
implementation plans pursuant to the authority of section 110(c). To
the extent any portion of this final action is not expressly identified
under section 307(d)(1)(B), the Administrator determines that the
provisions of section 307(d) apply to such final action. See CAA
section 307(d)(1)(V) (the provisions of section 307(d) apply to ``such
other actions as the Administrator may determine'').
List of Subjects
40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Incorporation by reference, Intergovernmental
relations, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone, Particulate matter, Sulfur dioxide.
40 CFR Part 75
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Continuous emissions monitoring, Electric power
plants, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur dioxide.
40 CFR Part 78
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Electric power plants, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Sulfur dioxide.
40 CFR Part 97
Environmental protection, Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Electric power plants, Nitrogen oxides, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur
dioxide.
Michael S. Regan,
Administrator.
For the reasons stated in the preamble, parts 52, 75, 78, and 97 of
title 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations are amended as follows:
PART 52--APPROVAL AND PROMULGATION OF IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
0
1. The authority citation for part 52 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart A--General Provisions
0
2. Amend Sec. 52.38 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a)(1), removing ``(NOX), except'' and
adding in its place ``(NOX) for sources meeting the
applicability criteria set forth in subpart AAAAA, except'';
0
b. In paragraph (a)(3) introductory text:
0
i. Removing ``(a)(2)(i) or (ii)'' and adding in its place ``(a)(2)'';
and
0
ii. Removing ``the State and'' and adding in its place ``sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
0
c. In paragraph (a)(3)(i), removing ``State and'' and adding in its
place
[[Page 36861]]
``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority and that'';
0
d. In paragraph (a)(4) introductory text, removing ``for the State's
sources, and'' and adding in its place ``with regard to sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority, and'';
0
e. Revising table 1 to paragraph (a)(4)(i)(B);
0
f. In paragraph (a)(4)(ii), removing ``deadlines for submission of
allocations or auction results under paragraphs (a)(4)(i)(B) and (C)''
and adding in its place ``deadline for submission of allocations or
auction results under paragraph (a)(4)(i)(B)'';
0
g. In paragraph (a)(5) introductory text, removing ``State (but not
sources in any Indian country within the borders of the State),
regulations'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, regulations'';
0
h. Revising table 2 to paragraph (a)(5)(i)(B);
0
i. In paragraph (a)(5)(iv), removing ``Indian country within the
borders of the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority'';
0
j. In paragraph (a)(5)(v), removing ``Indian country within the borders
of the State, the'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority, the'';
0
k. In paragraph (a)(5)(vi), removing ``deadlines for submission of
allocations or auction results under paragraphs (a)(5)(i)(B) and (C)''
and adding in its place ``deadline for submission of allocations or
auction results under paragraph (a)(5)(i)(B)'';
0
l. Revising paragraphs (a)(6) and (a)(7)(ii);
0
m. Adding paragraph (a)(7)(iii);
0
n. In paragraphs (a)(8)(i) and (ii), removing ``the State and'' and
adding in its place ``sources in the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority
for'';
0
o. In paragraph (a)(8)(iii), removing ``State (but not sources in any
Indian country within the borders of the State):'' and adding in its
place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority:'';
0
p. In paragraph (b)(1), removing ``year), except'' and adding in its
place ``year) for sources meeting the applicability criteria set forth
in subparts BBBBB, EEEEE, and GGGGG, except'';
0
q. Redesignating paragraphs (b)(2)(i) and (ii) as paragraphs
(b)(2)(i)(A) and (B), respectively, paragraphs (b)(2)(iii) and (iv) as
paragraphs (b)(2)(ii)(A) and (B), respectively, and paragraph (b)(2)(v)
as paragraph (b)(2)(iii)(A);
0
r. In newly redesignated paragraph (b)(2)(ii)(A), removing ``Alabama,
Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee,
Texas, and Wisconsin.'' and adding in its place ``Iowa, Kansas, and
Tennessee.'';
0
s. Adding paragraphs (b)(2)(ii)(C) and (b)(2)(iii)(B) and (C);
0
t. In paragraph (b)(3) introductory text:
0
i. Removing ``or (ii)''; and
0
ii. Removing ``the State and'' and adding in its place ``sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
0
u. In paragraph (b)(3)(i), removing ``State and'' and adding in its
place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority and that'';
0
v. Revising paragraph (b)(4) introductory text;
0
w. Removing and reserving paragraph (b)(4)(i);
0
x. Revising table 3 to paragraph (b)(4)(ii)(B) and paragraphs
(b)(4)(iii) and (b)(5) introductory text;
0
y. Removing and reserving paragraph (b)(5)(i);
0
z. Revising table 4 to paragraph (b)(5)(ii)(B);
0
aa. In paragraph (b)(5)(v), removing ``Indian country within the
borders of the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority'';
0
bb. In paragraph (b)(5)(vi), removing ``Indian country within the
borders of the State, the'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority, the'';
0
cc. Revising paragraphs (b)(5)(vii), (b)(7) introductory text,
(b)(7)(i), and (b)(8) introductory text;
0
dd. Removing and reserving paragraphs (b)(8)(i) and (ii);
0
ee. Revising paragraph (b)(8)(iii)(A), table 5 to paragraph
(b)(8)(iii)(B), and paragraphs (b)(8)(iv) and (b)(9) introductory text;
0
ff. Removing and reserving paragraphs (b)(9)(i) and (ii);
0
gg. Revising paragraph (b)(9)(iii)(A) and table 6 to paragraph
(b)(9)(iii)(B);
0
hh. In paragraph (b)(9)(vi), removing ``Indian country within the
borders of the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority'';
0
ii. Revising paragraphs (b)(9)(vii) and (viii), (b)(10) introductory
text, (b)(10)(i) and (ii), (b)(10)(v)(A) and (B), and (b)(11)
introductory text;
0
jj. Removing and reserving paragraphs (b)(11)(i) and (ii);
0
kk. In paragraph (b)(11)(iii) introductory text, removing ``Sec. Sec.
97.1011(a) and (b)(1) and 97.1012(a)'' and adding in its place ``Sec.
97.1011(a)(1)'';
0
ll. Revising paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(A);
mm. In paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(B):
0
i. Removing ``Sec. 97.1011(a)'' and adding in its place ``Sec.
97.1011(a)(1)''; and
0
ii. Adding ``and'' after the semicolon;
0
nn. Removing and reserving paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(C);
0
oo. Revising paragraphs (b)(11)(iii)(D), (b)(11)(iv), and (b)(12)
introductory text;
0
pp. Removing and reserving paragraphs (b)(12)(i) and (ii);
0
qq. In paragraph (b)(12)(iii) introductory text, removing ``Sec. Sec.
97.1011(a) and (b)(1) and 97.1012(a)'' and adding in its place ``Sec.
97.1011(a)(1)'';
0
rr. Revising paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(A);
0
ss. In paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(B):
0
i. Removing ``Sec. 97.1011(a)'' and adding in its place ``Sec.
97.1011(a)(1)''; and
0
ii. Adding ``and'' after the semicolon;
0
tt. Removing and reserving paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(C);
0
uu. Revising paragraphs (b)(12)(iii)(D), (b)(12)(vi) through (viii),
(b)(13) introductory text, and (b)(13)(i);
0
vv. In paragraph (b)(13)(ii), removing ``regulations, including any
sources made subject to such regulations pursuant to paragraph
(b)(9)(ii) or (b)(12)(ii) of this section, the'' and adding in its
place ``regulations the'';
0
ww. In paragraph (b)(14)(i)(F), removing ``Sec. 97.825(b)'' and adding
in its place ``Sec. Sec. 97.806(c)(2) and (3) and 97.825(b)'';
0
xx. In paragraph (b)(14)(i)(G), removing ``Sec. 97.826(e)'' and adding
in its place ``Sec. 97.826(f)'';
0
yy. Revising paragraphs (b)(14)(ii) and (iii);
0
zz. In paragraph (b)(15)(i), removing ``the State and'' and adding in
its place ``sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
0
aaa. Revising paragraph (b)(15)(ii);
0
bbb. In paragraph (b)(15)(iii), removing ``State (but not sources in
any Indian country within the borders of the State):'' and adding in
its place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority:'';
[[Page 36862]]
0
ccc. In paragraph (b)(16)(i)(A), removing ``the State and'' and adding
in its place ``sources in the State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
0
ddd. Revising paragraphs (b)(16)(i)(B) and (C);
0
eee. Redesignating paragraph (b)(16)(ii) as paragraph (b)(16)(ii)(A),
and, in newly redesignated paragraph (b)(16)(ii)(A), removing
``(b)(2)(iv)'' and adding in its place ``(b)(2)(ii)(B)'';
0
fff. Adding paragraph (b)(16)(ii)(B); and
0
ggg. Revising paragraphs (b)(17)(i) through (iii).
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.38 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) for the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) relating to
emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a) * * *
(4) * * *
(i) * * *
(B) * * *
Table 1 to Paragraph (a)(4)(i)(B)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR NOX Annual allowances are allocations or auction results
allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(5) * * *
(i) * * *
(B) * * *
Table 2 to Paragraph (a)(5)(i)(B)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR NOX Annual allowances are allocations or auction results
allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(6) Withdrawal of CSAPR FIP provisions relating to NOX annual
emissions. Except as provided in paragraph (a)(7) of this section,
following promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a State's
SIP revision as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for
the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs (a)(1),
(a)(2)(i), and (a)(3) and (4) of this section for sources in the State
and Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the
State's SIP authority, the provisions of paragraph (a)(2)(i) of this
section will no longer apply to sources in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority, unless the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision
is partial or conditional, and will continue to apply to sources in
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to
the State's SIP authority, provided that if the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan was promulgated as a partial rather than full
remedy for an obligation of the State to address interstate air
pollution, the SIP revision likewise will constitute a partial rather
than full remedy for the State's obligation unless provided otherwise
in the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision.
(7) * * *
(ii) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(6) of this
section, if, at the time of any approval of a State's SIP revision
under this section, the Administrator has already started recording any
allocations of CSAPR NOX Annual allowances under subpart
AAAAA of part 97 of this chapter to units in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority for a control period in any year, the provisions of
subpart AAAAA authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation
and recordation of such allowances to such units for each such control
period shall continue to apply, unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State's SIP revision.
(iii) Notwithstanding any discontinuation pursuant to paragraph
(a)(2)(ii) or (a)(6) of this section of the applicability of subpart
AAAAA of part 97 of this chapter to the sources in a State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority with regard to emissions occurring in any control period,
the following provisions shall continue to apply with regard to all
CSAPR NOX Annual allowances at any time allocated for any
control period to any source or other entity in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority and shall apply to all entities, wherever located, that
at any time held or hold such allowances:
(A) The provisions of Sec. 97.426(c) of this chapter (concerning
the transfer of CSAPR NOX Annual allowances between certain
Allowance Management System accounts under common control).
(B) [Reserved]
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(2) * * *
(ii) * * *
[[Page 36863]]
(C) The provisions of subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter
apply to sources in each of the following States and Indian country
located within the borders of such States with regard to emissions
occurring in 2017 through 2022 only, except as provided in paragraph
(b)(14)(iii) of this section: Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Missouri,
Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin.
(iii) * * *
(B) The provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
apply to sources in each of the following States and Indian country
located within the borders of such States with regard to emissions
occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year: Alabama, Arkansas,
Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas, and Wisconsin.
(C) The provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter
apply to sources in each of the following States and Indian country
located within the borders of such States with regard to emissions
occurring on and after August 4, 2023, and in each subsequent year:
Minnesota, Nevada, and Utah.
* * * * *
(4) Abbreviated SIP revisions replacing certain provisions of the
Federal CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program. A State listed
in paragraph (b)(2)(i)(A) of this section may adopt and include in a
SIP revision, and the Administrator will approve, regulations replacing
specified provisions of subpart BBBBB of part 97 of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority, and not
substantively replacing any other provisions, as follows:
* * * * *
(ii) * * *
(B) * * *
Table 3 to Paragraph (b)(4)(ii)(B)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allocations or auction results
allowances are allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(iii) Provided that the State must submit a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section by
December 1 of the year before the year of the deadline for submission
of allocations or auction results under paragraph (b)(4)(ii)(B) of this
section applicable to the first control period for which the State
wants to make allocations or hold an auction under paragraph (b)(4)(ii)
of this section.
(5) Full SIP revisions adopting State CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
1 Trading Programs. A State listed in paragraph (b)(2)(i)(A) of this
section may adopt and include in a SIP revision, and the Administrator
will approve, as correcting the deficiency in the SIP that is the basis
for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs
(b)(1), (b)(2)(i), and (b)(3) and (4) of this section with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State's SIP authority, regulations that are
substantively identical to the provisions of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program set forth in Sec. Sec. 97.502
through 97.535 of this chapter, except that the SIP revision:
* * * * *
(ii) * * *
(B) * * *
Table 4 to Paragraph (b)(5)(ii)(B)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season group 1 allocations or auction results
allowances are allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(vii) Provided that the State must submit a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraphs (b)(5)(ii) through (v) of this
section by December 1 of the year before the year of the deadline for
submission of allocations or auction results under paragraph
(b)(5)(ii)(B) of this section applicable to the first control period
for which the State wants to make allocations or hold an auction under
paragraph (b)(5)(ii) of this section.
* * * * *
(7) State-determined allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for 2018. A State listed in paragraph (b)(2)(ii) of this
section may adopt and include in a SIP revision, and the Administrator
will approve, as CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
allocation provisions replacing the provisions in Sec. 97.811(a) of
this chapter with regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority for the control period in 2018, a list of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 units and the amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated to each unit
on such list, provided that the list of units and allocations meets the
following requirements:
(i) All of the units on the list must be units that are in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority and that commenced commercial
operation before January 1, 2015;
* * * * *
[[Page 36864]]
(8) Abbreviated SIP revisions replacing certain provisions of the
Federal CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program. A State listed
in paragraph (b)(2)(ii) of this section may adopt and include in a SIP
revision, and the Administrator will approve, regulations replacing
specified provisions of subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority, and not
substantively replacing any other provisions, as follows:
* * * * *
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the permitting authority to allocate and,
if applicable, auction a total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances for any such control period not exceeding the
amount, under Sec. Sec. 97.810(a) and 97.821 of this chapter for the
State and such control period, of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 trading budget minus the sum of the Indian country new unit
set-aside and the amount of any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances already allocated and recorded by the Administrator;
(B) * * *
Table 5 to Paragraph (b)(8)(iii)(B)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allocations or auction results
allowances are allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2018.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2019.
2023 or 2024........................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(iv) Provided that the State must submit a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraph (b)(8)(iii) of this section by
December 1 of the year before the year of the deadline for submission
of allocations or auction results under paragraph (b)(8)(iii)(B) of
this section applicable to the first control period for which the State
wants to make allocations or hold an auction under paragraph
(b)(8)(iii) of this section.
(9) Full SIP revisions adopting State CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 Trading Programs. A State listed in paragraph (b)(2)(ii) of this
section may adopt and include in a SIP revision, and the Administrator
will approve, as correcting the deficiency in the SIP that is the basis
for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs
(b)(1), (b)(2)(ii), and (b)(7) and (8) of this section with regard to
sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of
the State subject to the State's SIP authority, regulations that are
substantively identical to the provisions of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program set forth in Sec. Sec. 97.802
through 97.835 of this chapter, except that the SIP revision:
* * * * *
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the permitting authority to allocate and,
if applicable, auction a total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances for any such control period not exceeding the
amount, under Sec. Sec. 97.810(a) and 97.821 of this chapter for the
State and such control period, of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 trading budget minus the sum of the Indian country new unit
set-aside and the amount of any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances already allocated and recorded by the Administrator;
(B) * * *
Table 6 to Paragraph (b)(9)(iii)(B)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allocations or auction results
allowances are allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2018.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2019.
2023 or 2024........................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(vii) Provided that, if and when any covered unit is located in
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to
the State's SIP authority, the Administrator may modify his or her
approval of the SIP revision to exclude the provisions in Sec. Sec.
97.802 (definitions of ``common designated representative'', ``common
designated representative's assurance level'', and ``common designated
representative's share''), 97.806(c)(2), and 97.825 of this chapter and
the portions of other provisions of subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this
chapter referencing Sec. Sec. 97.802, 97.806(c)(2), and 97.825 and may
modify any portion of the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan that is not
replaced by the SIP revision to include these provisions; and
(viii) Provided that the State must submit a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraphs (b)(9)(iii) through (vi) of this
section by December 1 of the year before the year of the deadline for
submission of allocations or auction results under paragraph
(b)(9)(iii)(B) of this section applicable to the first control period
for which the State wants to make allocations or hold an auction under
paragraph (b)(9)(iii) of this section.
(10) State-determined allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for 2024. A State listed in paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of this
section may adopt and include in a SIP revision, and the Administrator
will approve, as CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation provisions replacing the provisions in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1)
of this chapter with regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority for the control period in 2024, a list of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units and the amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
[[Page 36865]]
allocated to each unit on such list, provided that the list of units
and allocations meets the following requirements:
(i) All of the units on the list must be units that are in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority and that commenced commercial
operation before January 1, 2021;
(ii) The total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance allocations on the list must not exceed the amount, under
Sec. 97.1010 of this chapter for the State and the control period in
2024, of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
minus the sum of the Indian country existing unit set-aside and the new
unit set-aside;
* * * * *
(v) * * *
(A) By August 4, 2023, the State must notify the Administrator
electronically in a format specified by the Administrator of the
State's intent to submit to the Administrator a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraphs (b)(10)(i) through (iv) of this
section by September 1, 2023; and
(B) The State must submit to the Administrator a complete SIP
revision described in paragraph (b)(10)(v)(A) of this section by
September 1, 2023.
(11) Abbreviated SIP revisions replacing certain provisions of the
Federal CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program. A State listed
in paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of this section may adopt and include in a SIP
revision, and the Administrator will approve, regulations replacing
specified provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority, and not
substantively replacing any other provisions, as follows:
* * * * *
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the permitting authority to allocate and,
if applicable, auction a total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for any such control period not exceeding the
amount, under Sec. Sec. 97.1010 and 97.1021 of this chapter for the
State and such control period, of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget minus the sum of the Indian country existing
unit set-aside, the new unit set-aside, and the amount of any CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances already allocated and
recorded by the Administrator;
* * * * *
(D) Does not provide for any change, after the submission deadlines
in paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(B) of this section, in the allocations
submitted to the Administrator by such deadlines and does not provide
for any change in any allocation determined and recorded by the
Administrator under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or Sec.
97.526(d) or Sec. 97.826(d) or (e) of this chapter; and
(iv) Provided that the State must submit a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraph (b)(11)(iii) of this section by
December 1 of the year before the year of the deadline for submission
of allocations or auction results under paragraph (b)(11)(iii)(B) of
this section applicable to the first control period for which the State
wants to make allocations or hold an auction under paragraph
(b)(11)(iii) of this section.
(12) Full SIP revisions adopting State CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 Trading Programs. A State listed in paragraph (b)(2)(iii) of this
section may adopt and include in a SIP revision, and the Administrator
will approve, as correcting the deficiency in the SIP that is the basis
for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs
(b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and (b)(10) and (11) of this section with regard
to sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the borders
of the State subject to the State's SIP authority, regulations that are
substantively identical to the provisions of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program set forth in Sec. Sec. 97.1002
through 97.1035 of this chapter, except that the SIP revision:
* * * * *
(iii) * * *
(A) Requires the State or the permitting authority to allocate and,
if applicable, auction a total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for any such control period not exceeding the
amount, under Sec. Sec. 97.1010 and 97.1021 of this chapter for the
State and such control period, of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget minus the sum of the Indian country existing
unit set-aside, the new unit set-aside, and the amount of any CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances already allocated and
recorded by the Administrator;
* * * * *
(D) Does not provide for any change, after the submission deadlines
in paragraph (b)(12)(iii)(B) of this section, in the allocations
submitted to the Administrator by such deadlines and does not provide
for any change in any allocation determined and recorded by the
Administrator under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or Sec.
97.526(d) or Sec. 97.826(d) or (e) of this chapter;
* * * * *
(vi) Must not include any of the requirements imposed on any unit
in areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject
to the State's SIP authority in the provisions in Sec. Sec. 97.1002
through 97.1035 of this chapter and must not include the provisions in
Sec. Sec. 97.1011(a)(2), 97.1012, and 97.1021(g) through (j) of this
chapter, all of which provisions will continue to apply under any
portion of the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan that is not replaced
by the SIP revision;
(vii) Provided that, if before the Administrator's approval of the
SIP revision any covered unit is located in areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority before the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision, the
SIP revision must exclude the provisions in Sec. Sec. 97.1002
(definitions of ``common designated representative'', ``common
designated representative's assurance level'', and ``common designated
representative's share''), 97.1006(c)(2), and 97.1025 of this chapter
and the portions of other provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of
this chapter referencing Sec. Sec. 97.1002, 97.1006(c)(2), and
97.1025, and further provided that, if and when after the
Administrator's approval of the SIP revision any covered unit is
located in areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not
subject to the State's SIP authority, the Administrator may modify his
or her approval of the SIP revision to exclude these provisions and may
modify any portion of the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan that is not
replaced by the SIP revision to include these provisions; and
(viii) Provided that the State must submit a complete SIP revision
meeting the requirements of paragraphs (b)(12)(iii) through (vi) of
this section by December 1 of the year before the year of the deadline
for submission of allocations or auction results under paragraph
(b)(12)(iii)(B) of this section applicable to the first control period
for which the State wants to make allocations or hold an auction under
paragraph (b)(12)(iii) of this section.
(13) Withdrawal of CSAPR FIP provisions relating to NOX ozone
season emissions; satisfaction of NOX SIP Call requirements. Following
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a State's SIP
revision as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the
[[Page 36866]]
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs (b)(1),
(b)(2)(i), and (b)(3) and (4) of this section, paragraphs (b)(1),
(b)(2)(ii), and (b)(7) and (8) of this section, or paragraphs (b)(1),
(b)(2)(iii), and (b)(10) and (11) of this section for sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority--
(i) Except as provided in paragraph (b)(14) of this section, the
provisions of paragraph (b)(2)(i), (ii), or (iii) of this section, as
applicable, will no longer apply to sources in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority, unless the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision
is partial or conditional, and will continue to apply to sources in
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to
the State's SIP authority, provided that if the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan was promulgated as a partial rather than full
remedy for an obligation of the State to address interstate air
pollution, the SIP revision likewise will constitute a partial rather
than full remedy for the State's obligation unless provided otherwise
in the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision; and
* * * * *
(14) * * *
(ii) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this
section, if, at the time of any approval of a State's SIP revision
under this section, the Administrator has already started recording any
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances
under subpart BBBBB of part 97 of this chapter, or allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances under subpart EEEEE of
part 97 of this chapter, or allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter, to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of such subpart authorizing the
Administrator to complete the allocation and recordation of such
allowances to such units for each such control period shall continue to
apply, unless provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP
revision.
(iii) Notwithstanding any discontinuation pursuant to paragraph
(b)(2)(i)(B), (b)(2)(ii)(B) or (C), or (b)(13)(i) of this section of
the applicability of subpart BBBBB or EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter
to the sources in a State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority with regard
to emissions occurring in any control period, the following provisions
shall continue to apply with regard to all CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 1 allowances and CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances at any time allocated for any control period to any source
or other entity in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority and shall
apply to all entities, wherever located, that at any time held or hold
such allowances:
(A) The provisions of Sec. Sec. 97.526(c) and 97.826(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 1 allowances and CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain Allowance Management System accounts under
common control);
(B) The provisions of Sec. Sec. 97.526(d) and 97.826(d) and (e) of
this chapter (concerning the conversion of unused CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 allowances allocated for specified control periods
to different amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances and
the conversion of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for specified control periods to different amounts
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances); and
(C) The provisions of Sec. 97.811(d) and (e) of this chapter
(concerning the recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances equivalent in quantity and usability to all CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated for specified
control periods and recorded in specified Allowance Management System
accounts).
(15) * * *
(ii) For each of the following States, the Administrator has
approved a SIP revision under paragraph (b)(4) of this section as
replacing the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowance
allocation provisions in Sec. Sec. 97.511(a) and (b)(1) and 97.512(a)
of this chapter with regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority for the control period in 2017 or any subsequent year:
[none].
* * * * *
(16) * * *
(i) * * *
(B) For each of the following States, the Administrator has
approved a SIP revision under paragraph (b)(8) of this section as
replacing the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
allocation provisions in Sec. Sec. 97.811(a) and (b)(1) and 97.812(a)
of this chapter with regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority for the control period in 2019 or any subsequent year: New
York.
(C) For each of the following States, the Administrator has
approved a SIP revision under paragraph (b)(9) of this section as
correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(ii), and
(b)(7) and (8) of this section with regard to sources in the State and
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the
State's SIP authority: Alabama, Indiana, and Missouri.
(ii) * * *
(B) Notwithstanding any provision of subpart EEEEE of part 97 of
this chapter or any State's SIP, with regard to any State listed in
paragraph (b)(2)(ii)(C) of this section and any control period that
begins after December 31, 2022, the Administrator will not carry out
any of the functions set forth for the Administrator in subpart EEEEE
of part 97 of this chapter, except Sec. Sec. 97.811(e) and 97.826(c)
and (e) of this chapter, or in any emissions trading program provisions
in a State's SIP approved under paragraph (b)(8) or (9) of this
section.
(17) * * *
(i) For each of the following States, the Administrator has
approved a SIP revision under paragraph (b)(10) of this section as
replacing the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation provisions in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for the
control period in 2024: [none].
(ii) For each of the following States, the Administrator has
approved a SIP revision under paragraph (b)(11) of this section as
replacing the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation provisions in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) of this chapter with
regard to sources in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for the
control period in 2025 or any subsequent year: [none].
(iii) For each of the following States, the Administrator has
approved a SIP revision under paragraph (b)(12) of this section as
correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs (b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and
(b)(10) and (11) of this section with regard to sources in the State
and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State subject to
the State's SIP authority: [none].
[[Page 36867]]
0
3. Amend Sec. 52.39 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a), removing ``(SO2), except'' and adding
in its place ``(SO2) for sources meeting the applicability
criteria set forth in subparts CCCCC and DDDDD, except'';
0
b. In paragraph (d) introductory text, removing ``the State and'' and
adding in its place ``sources in the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority
for'';
0
c. In paragraph (d)(1), removing ``State and'' and adding in its place
``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority and that'';
0
d. In paragraph (e) introductory text, removing ``for the State's
sources, and'' and adding in its place ``with regard to sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority, and'';
0
e. Revising table 1 to paragraph (e)(1)(ii);
0
f. In paragraph (e)(2), removing ``deadlines for submission of
allocations or auction results under paragraphs (e)(1)(ii) and (iii)''
and adding in its place ``deadline for submission of allocations or
auction results under paragraph (e)(1)(ii)'';
0
g. In paragraph (f) introductory text, removing ``State (but not
sources in any Indian country within the borders of the State),
regulations'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, regulations'';
0
h. Revising table 2 to paragraph (f)(1)(ii);
0
i. In paragraph (f)(4), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority'';
0
j. In paragraph (f)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State, the'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority, the'';
0
k. In paragraph (f)(6), removing ``deadlines for submission of
allocations or auction results under paragraphs (f)(1)(ii) and (iii)''
and adding in its place ``deadline for submission of allocations or
auction results under paragraph (f)(1)(ii)'';
0
l. In paragraph (g) introductory text:
0
i. Removing ``(c)(1) or (2)'' and adding in its place ``(c)''; and
0
ii. Removing ``the State and'' and adding in its place ``sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
0
m. In paragraph (g)(1), removing ``State and'' and adding in its place
``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority and that'';
0
n. In paragraph (h) introductory text, removing ``for the State's
sources, and'' and adding in its place ``with regard to sources in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority, and'';
0
o. Revising table 3 to paragraph (h)(1)(ii);
0
p. In paragraph (h)(2), removing ``deadlines for submission of
allocations or auction results under paragraphs (h)(1)(ii) and (iii)''
and adding in its place ``deadline for submission of allocations or
auction results under paragraph (h)(1)(ii)'';
0
q. In paragraph (i) introductory text, removing ``State (but not
sources in any Indian country within the borders of the State),
regulations'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, regulations'';
0
r. Revising table 4 to paragraph (i)(1)(ii);
0
s. In paragraph (i)(4), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority'';
0
t. In paragraph (i)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State, the'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority, the'';
0
u. In paragraph (i)(6), removing ``deadlines for submission of
allocations or auction results under paragraphs (i)(1)(ii) and (iii)''
and adding in its place ``deadline for submission of allocations or
auction results under paragraph (i)(1)(ii)'';
0
v. Revising paragraphs (j) and (k)(2);
0
w. Adding paragraph (k)(3);
0
x. In paragraphs (l)(1) and (2), removing ``the State and'' and adding
in its place ``sources in the State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
0
y. In paragraph (l)(3), removing ``State (but not sources in any Indian
country within the borders of the State):'' and adding in its place
``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority:''.
0
z. In paragraphs (m)(1) and (2), removing ``the State and'' and adding
in its place ``sources in the State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for'';
and
0
aa. In paragraph (m)(3), removing ``State (but not sources in any
Indian country within the borders of the State):'' and adding in its
place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority:''.
The revisions and addition read as follows:
Sec. 52.39 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) for the Cross-State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR) relating to
emissions of sulfur dioxide?
* * * * *
(e) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
Table 1 to Paragraph (e)(1)(ii)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR SO2 group 1 allowances are allocations or auction results
allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 36868]]
* * * * *
(f) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
Table 2 to Paragraph (f)(1)(ii)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR SO2 group 1 allowances are allocations or auction results
allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(h) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
Table 3 to Paragraph (h)(1)(ii)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR SO2 group 2 allowances are allocations or auction results
allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(i) * * *
(1) * * *
(ii) * * *
Table 4 to Paragraph (i)(1)(ii)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year of the control period for which Deadline for submission of
CSAPR SO2 group 2 allowances are allocations or auction results
allocated or auctioned to the administrator
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2017 or 2018........................... June 1, 2016.
2019 or 2020........................... June 1, 2017.
2021 or 2022........................... June 1, 2018.
2023................................... June 1, 2019.
2024................................... June 1, 2020.
2025 or any year thereafter............ June 1 of the year before the
year of the control period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(j) Withdrawal of CSAPR FIP provisions relating to SO2 emissions.
Except as provided in paragraph (k) of this section, following
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a State's SIP
revision as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan set forth in paragraphs (a), (b),
(d), and (e) of this section or paragraphs (a), (c)(1), (g), and (h) of
this section for sources in the State and Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority, the
provisions of paragraph (b) or (c)(1) of this section, as applicable,
will no longer apply to sources in the State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, unless the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision is
partial or conditional, and will continue to apply to sources in areas
of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to the
State's SIP authority, provided that if the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan was promulgated as a partial rather than full
remedy for an obligation of the State to address interstate air
pollution, the SIP revision likewise will constitute a partial rather
than full remedy for the State's obligation unless provided otherwise
in the Administrator's approval of the SIP revision.
(k) * * *
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (j) of this
section, if, at the time of any approval of a State's SIP revision
under this section, the Administrator has already started recording any
allocations of CSAPR SO2 Group 1 allowances under subpart
CCCCC of part 97 of this chapter, or allocations of CSAPR
SO2 Group 2 allowances under subpart DDDDD of part 97 of
this chapter, to units in the State and areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a
control period in any year, the provisions of such subpart authorizing
the Administrator to complete the allocation and recordation of such
allowances to such units for each such control period shall continue to
apply, unless provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP
revision.
(3) Notwithstanding any discontinuation pursuant to paragraph
[[Page 36869]]
(c)(2) or (j) of this section of the applicability of subpart CCCCC or
DDDDD of part 97 of this chapter to the sources in a State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority with regard to emissions occurring in any control period,
the following provisions shall continue to apply with regard to all
CSAPR SO2 Group 1 allowances and CSAPR SO2 Group
2 allowances at any time allocated for any control period to any source
or other entity in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority and shall
apply to all entities, wherever located, that at any time held or hold
such allowances:
(i) The provisions of Sec. Sec. 97.626(c) and 97.726(c) of this
chapter (concerning the transfer of CSAPR SO2 Group 1
allowances and CSAPR SO2 Group 2 allowances between certain
Allowance Management System accounts under common control).
(ii) [Reserved]
* * * * *
0
4. Add Sec. Sec. 52.40 through 52.46 to subpart A to read as follows:
Sec.
* * * * *
52.40 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
sources not subject to the CSAPR ozone season trading program?
52.41 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas Industry?
52.42 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing Industry?
52.43 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing Industry?
52.44 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing Industry?
52.45 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing, the Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills Industries,
Metal Ore Mining, and the Iron and Steel and Ferroalloy
Manufacturing Industries?
52.46 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation Plans
(FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
Municipal Waste Combustors?
* * * * *
Sec. 52.40 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
sources not subject to the CSAPR ozone season trading program?
(a) Purpose. This section establishes Federal Implementation Plan
requirements for new and existing units in the industries specified in
paragraph (b) of this section to eliminate significant contribution to
nonattainment, or interference with maintenance, of the 2015 8-hour
ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards in other states pursuant
to 42 U.S.C. 7410(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
(b) Definitions. The terms used in this section and Sec. Sec.
52.41 through Sec. 52.46 are defined as follows:
Calendar year means the period between January 1 and December 31,
inclusive, for a given year.
Existing affected unit means any affected unit for which
construction commenced before August 4, 2023.
New affected unit means any affected unit for which construction
commenced on or after August 4, 2023.
Operator means any person who operates, controls, or supervises an
affected unit and shall include, but not be limited to, any holding
company, utility system, or plant manager of such affected unit.
Owner means any holder of any portion of the legal or equitable
title in an affected unit.
Potential to emit means the maximum capacity of a unit to emit a
pollutant under its physical and operational design. Any physical or
operational limitation on the capacity of the unit to emit a pollutant,
including air pollution control equipment and restrictions on hours of
operation or on the type or amount of material combusted, stored, or
processed, shall be treated as part of its design only if the
limitation or the effect it would have on emissions is federally
enforceable. Secondary emissions do not count in determining the
potential to emit of a unit.
Rolling average means the weighted average of all data, meeting
quality assurance and quality control (QA/QC) requirements in this part
or otherwise normalized, collected during the applicable averaging
period. The period of a rolling average stipulates the frequency of
data averaging and reporting. To demonstrate compliance with an
operating parameter a 30-day rolling average period requires
calculation of a new average value each operating day and shall include
the average of all the hourly averages of the specific operating
parameter. For demonstration of compliance with an emissions limit
based on pollutant concentration, a 30-day rolling average is comprised
of the average of all the hourly average concentrations over the
previous 30 operating days. For demonstration of compliance with an
emissions limit based on lbs-pollutant per production unit, the 30-day
rolling average is calculated by summing the hourly mass emissions over
the previous 30 operating days, then dividing that sum by the total
production during the same period.
(c) General requirements. (1) The NOX emissions
limitations or emissions control requirements and associated compliance
requirements for the following listed source categories not subject to
the CSAPR ozone season trading program constitute the Federal
Implementation Plan provisions that relate to emissions of
NOX during the ozone season (defined as May 1 through
September 30 of a calendar year): Sec. Sec. 52.41 for engines in the
Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas Industry, 52.42 for kilns in the
Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing Industry, 52.43 for reheat
furnaces in the Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Industry, 52.44 for furnaces in the Glass and Glass Product
Manufacturing Industry, 52.45 for boilers in the Iron and Steel Mills
and Ferroalloy Manufacturing, Metal Ore Mining, Basic Chemical
Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products Manufacturing, and Pulp,
Paper, and Paperboard Mills industries, and 52.46 for Municipal Waste
Combustors.
(2) The provisions of this section or Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42,
Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 apply to affected
units located in each of the following States, including Indian country
located within the borders of such States, beginning in the 2026 ozone
season and in each subsequent ozone season: Arkansas, California,
Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan,
Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Jersey, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Texas, Utah, Virginia, and West Virginia.
(3) The testing, monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements of this section or Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43,
Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 only apply during the ozone
season, except as otherwise specified in these sections. Additionally,
if an owner or operator of an affected unit chooses to conduct a
performance or compliance test outside of the ozone season, all
recordkeeping, reporting, and notification requirements associated
[[Page 36870]]
with that test shall apply, without regard to whether they occur during
the ozone season.
(d) Requests for extension of compliance. (1) The owner or operator
of an existing affected unit under Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec.
52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 that cannot comply with
the applicable requirements in those sections by May 1, 2026, due to
circumstances entirely beyond the owner or operator's control, may
request an initial compliance extension to a date certain no later than
May 1, 2027. The extension request must contain a demonstration of
necessity consistent with the requirements of paragraph (d)(3) of this
section.
(2) If, after the EPA has granted a request for an initial
compliance extension, the source remains unable to comply with the
applicable requirements in Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec.
52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 by the extended compliance date due
to circumstances entirely beyond the owner or operator's control, the
owner or operator may apply for a second compliance extension to a date
certain no later than May 1, 2029. The extension request must contain
an updated demonstration of necessity consistent with the requirements
of paragraph (d)(3) of this section.
(3) Each request for a compliance extension shall demonstrate that
the owner or operator has taken all steps possible to install the
controls necessary for compliance with the applicable requirements in
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 by the applicable compliance date and shall:
(i) Identify each affected unit for which the owner or operator is
seeking the compliance extension;
(ii) Identify and describe the controls to be installed at each
affected unit to comply with the applicable requirements in Sec.
52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec.
52.46;
(iii) Identify the circumstances entirely beyond the owner or
operator's control that necessitate additional time to install the
identified controls;
(iv) Identify the date(s) by which on-site construction,
installation of control equipment, and/or process changes will be
initiated;
(v) Identify the owner or operator's proposed compliance date. A
request for an initial compliance extension under paragraph (d)(1) of
this section must specify a proposed compliance date no later than May
1, 2027, and state whether the owner or operator anticipates a need to
request a second compliance extension. A request for a second
compliance extension under paragraph (d)(2) of this section must
specify a proposed compliance date no later than May 1, 2029, and
identify additional actions taken by the owner or operator to ensure
that the affected unit(s) will be in compliance with the applicable
requirements in this section by that proposed compliance date;
(vi) Include all information obtained from control technology
vendors demonstrating that the identified controls cannot be installed
by the applicable compliance date;
(vii) Include any and all contract(s) entered into for the
installation of the identified controls or an explanation as to why no
contract is necessary or obtainable; and
(viii) Include any permit(s) obtained for the installation of the
identified controls or, where a required permit has not yet been
issued, a copy of the permit application submitted to the permitting
authority and a statement from the permitting authority identifying its
anticipated timeframe for issuance of such permit(s).
(4) Each request for a compliance extension shall be submitted via
the Compliance and Emissions Data Reporting Interface (CEDRI) or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA no later
than 180 days prior to the applicable compliance date. Until an
extension has been granted by the Administrator under this section, the
owner or operator of an affected unit shall comply with all applicable
requirements of this section and shall remain subject to the May 1,
2026 compliance date or the initial extended compliance date, as
applicable. A denial will be effective as of the date of denial.
(5) The owner or operator of an affected unit who has requested a
compliance extension under this paragraph (d)(5) and is required to
have a title V permit shall apply to have the relevant title V permit
revised to incorporate the conditions of the extension of compliance.
The conditions of a compliance extension granted under this paragraph
(d)(5) will be incorporated into the affected unit's title V permit
according to the provisions of an EPA-approved state operating permit
program or the Federal title V regulations in 40 CFR part 71, whichever
apply.
(6) Based on the information provided in any request made under
paragraph (d) of this section or other information, the Administrator
may grant an extension of time to comply with applicable requirements
in Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 consistent with the provisions of paragraph (d)(1) or (2)
of this section. The decision to grant an extension will be provided by
notification via the CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA and publicly available, and will identify each
affected unit covered by the extension; specify the termination date of
the extension; and specify any additional conditions that the
Administrator deems necessary to ensure timely installation of the
necessary controls (e.g., the date(s) by which on-site construction,
installation of control equipment, and/or process changes will be
initiated).
(7) The Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA to the owner
or operator of an affected unit who has requested a compliance
extension under this paragraph (d)(7) whether the submitted request is
complete, that is, whether the request contains sufficient information
to make a determination, within 60 calendar days after receipt of the
original request and within 60 calendar days after receipt of any
supplementary information.
(8) The Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA, which shall
be publicly available, to the owner or operator of a decision to grant
or intention to deny a request for a compliance extension within 60
calendar days after providing written notification pursuant to
paragraph (d)(7) of this section that the submitted request is
complete.
(9) Before denying any request for an extension of compliance, the
Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided by the EPA to the owner or
operator in writing of the Administrator's intention to issue the
denial, together with:
(i) Notice of the information and findings on which the intended
denial is based; and
(ii) Notice of opportunity for the owner or operator to present via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system provided by the
EPA, within 15 calendar days after he/she is notified of the intended
denial, additional information or arguments to the Administrator before
further action on the request.
(10) The Administrator's final decision to deny any request for an
extension will be provided via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA and publicly available, and will
set forth the specific grounds on which the denial is based. The final
decision will be made within 60 calendar days after presentation of
additional information
[[Page 36871]]
or argument (if the request is complete), or within 60 calendar days
after the deadline for the submission of additional information or
argument under paragraph (d)(9)(ii) of this section, if no such
submission is made.
(11) The granting of an extension under this section shall not
abrogate the Administrator's authority under section 114 of the Clean
Air Act (CAA or the Act).
(e) Requests for case-by-case emissions limits. (1) The owner or
operator of an existing affected unit under Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42,
Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 that cannot
comply with the applicable requirements in those sections due to
technical impossibility or extreme economic hardship may submit to the
Administrator, by August 5, 2024, a request for approval of a case-by-
case emissions limit. The request shall contain information sufficient
for the Administrator to confirm that the affected unit is unable to
comply with the applicable emissions limit, due to technical
impossibility or extreme economic hardship, and to establish an
appropriate alternative case-by-case emissions limit for the affected
unit. Until a case-by-case emissions limit has been approved by the
Administrator under this section, the owner or operator shall remain
subject to all applicable requirements in Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42,
Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46. A denial will be
effective as of the date of denial.
(2) Each request for a case-by-case emissions limit shall include,
but not be limited to, the following:
(i) A demonstration that the affected unit cannot achieve the
applicable emissions limit with available control technology due to
technical impossibility or extreme economic hardship.
(A) A demonstration of technical impossibility shall include:
(1) Uncontrolled NOX emissions for the affected unit
established with a CEMS, or stack tests obtained during steady state
operation in accordance with the applicable reference test methods of
40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, any alternative test method approved by
the EPA as of June 5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f), 60.8(b)(3),
61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii)(2), or 65.158(a)(2) and available at
the EPA's website (https://www.epa.gov/emc/broadly-applicable-approved-alternative-test-methods), or other methods and procedures approved by
the EPA through notice-and-comment rulemaking; and
(2) A demonstration that the affected unit cannot meet the
applicable emissions limit even with available control technology,
including:
(i) Stack test data or other emissions data for the affected unit;
or
(ii) A third-party engineering assessment demonstrating that the
affected unit cannot meet the applicable emissions limit with available
control technology.
(B) A demonstration of extreme economic hardship shall include at
least three vendor estimates of the costs of installing control
technology necessary to meet the applicable emissions limit and other
information that demonstrates, to the satisfaction of the
Administrator, that the cost of complying with the applicable emissions
limit would present an extreme economic hardship relative to the costs
borne by other comparable sources in the industry.
(ii) An analysis of available control technology options and a
proposed case-by-case emissions limit that represents the lowest
emissions limitation technically achievable by the affected unit
without causing extreme economic hardship relative to the costs borne
by other comparable sources in the industry. The owner or operator may
propose additional measures to reduce NOX emissions, such as
operational standards or work practice standards.
(iii) Calculations of the NOX emissions reduction to be
achieved through implementation of the proposed case-by-case emissions
limit and any additional proposed measures, the difference between this
NOX emissions reduction level and the NOX
emissions reductions that would have occurred if the affected unit
complied with the applicable emissions limitations in Sec. 52.41,
Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46, and
a description of the methodology used for these calculations.
(3) The owner or operator of an affected unit who has requested a
case-by-case emissions limit under this paragraph (e)(3) and is
required to have a title V permit shall apply to have the relevant
title V permit revised to incorporate the case-by-case emissions limit.
Any case-by-case emissions limit approved under this paragraph (e)(3)
will be incorporated into the affected unit's title V permit according
to the provisions of an EPA-approved state operating permit program or
the Federal title V regulations in 40 CFR part 71, whichever apply.
(4) Based on the information provided in any request made under
this paragraph (e)(4) or other information, the Administrator may
approve a case-by-case emissions limit that will apply to an affected
unit in lieu of the applicable emissions limit in Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46. The
decision to approve a case-by-case emissions limit will be provided via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA
in paragraph (d) of this section and publicly available, and will
identify each affected unit covered by the case-by-case emissions
limit.
(5) The Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA in paragraph
(d) of this section to the owner or operator of an affected unit who
has requested a case-by-case emissions limit under this paragraph
(e)(5) whether the submitted request is complete, that is, whether the
request contains sufficient information to make a determination, within
60 calendar days after receipt of the original request and within 60
calendar days after receipt of any supplementary information.
(6) The Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system described by the EPA in
paragraph (d) of this section, which shall be publicly available, to
the owner or operator of a decision to approve or intention to deny the
request within 60 calendar days after providing notification pursuant
to paragraph (e)(5) of this section that the submitted request is
complete.
(7) Before denying any request for a case-by-case emissions limit,
the Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided by the EPA to the owner or
operator in writing of the Administrator's intention to issue the
denial, together with:
(i) Notice of the information and findings on which the intended
denial is based; and
(ii) Notice of opportunity for the owner or operator to present via
the CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system provided by the
EPA, within 15 calendar days after he/she is notified of the intended
denial, additional information or arguments to the Administrator before
further action on the request.
(8) The Administrator's final decision to deny any request for a
case-by-case emissions limit will be provided by notification via the
CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPAand
publicly available, and will set forth the specific grounds on which
the denial is based. The final decision will be made within 60 calendar
days after presentation of additional information or argument (if the
request is complete), or within 60 calendar days after the deadline for
the
[[Page 36872]]
submission of additional information or argument under paragraph
(e)(7)(ii) of this section, if no such submission is made.
(9) The approval of a case-by-case emissions limit under this
section shall not abrogate the Administrator's authority under section
114 of the Act.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. (1) The owner or operator of an
affected unit subject to the provisions of this section or Sec. 52.41,
Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46
shall maintain files of all information (including all reports and
notifications) required by these sections recorded in a form suitable
and readily available for expeditious inspection and review. The files
shall be retained for at least 5 years following the date of each
occurrence, measurement, maintenance, corrective action, report, or
record. At minimum, the most recent 2 years of data shall be retained
on site. The remaining 3 years of data may be retained off site. Such
files may be maintained on microfilm, on a computer, on computer floppy
disks, on magnetic tape disks, or on microfiche.
(2) Any records required to be maintained by Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 that are
submitted electronically via the EPA's Compliance and Emissions Data
Reporting Interface (CEDRI) may be maintained in electronic format.
This ability to maintain electronic copies does not affect the
requirement for facilities to make records, data, and reports available
upon request to the EPA as part of an on-site compliance evaluation.
(g) CEDRI reporting requirements. (1) You shall submit the results
of the performance test following the procedures specified in
paragraphs (g)(1)(i) through (iii) of this section:
(i) Data collected using test methods supported by the EPA's
Electronic Reporting Tool (ERT) as listed on the EPA's ERT website
(https://www.epa.gov/electronic-reporting-air-emissions/electronic-reporting-tool-ert) at the time of the test. Submit the results of the
performance test to the EPA via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA to report data required by Sec.
52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec.
52.46, which can be accessed through the EPA's Central Data Exchange
(CDX) (https://cdx.epa.gov/). The data must be submitted in a file
format generated using the EPA's ERT. Alternatively, you may submit an
electronic file consistent with the extensible markup language (XML)
schema listed on the EPA's ERT website.
(ii) Data collected using test methods that are not supported by
the EPA's ERT as listed on the EPA's ERT website at the time of the
test. The results of the performance test must be included as an
attachment in the ERT or an alternate electronic file consistent with
the XML schema listed on the EPA's ERT website. Submit the ERT
generated package or alternative file to the EPA via CEDRI.
(iii)(A) The EPA will make all the information submitted through
CEDRI available to the public without further notice to you. Do not use
CEDRI to submit information you claim as confidential business
information (CBI). Although we do not expect persons to assert a claim
of CBI, if you wish to assert a CBI claim for some of the information
submitted under paragraph (g)(1) or (2) of this section, you should
submit a complete file, including information claimed to be CBI, to the
EPA.
(B) The file must be generated using the EPA's ERT or an alternate
electronic file consistent with the XML schema listed on the EPA's ERT
website.
(C) Clearly mark the part or all of the information that you claim
to be CBI. Information not marked as CBI may be authorized for public
release without prior notice. Information marked as CBI will not be
disclosed except in accordance with procedures set forth in 40 CFR part
2.
(D) The preferred method to receive CBI is for it to be transmitted
electronically using email attachments, File Transfer Protocol, or
other online file sharing services. Electronic submissions must be
transmitted directly to the Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards (OAQPS) CBI Office at the email address [email protected], and
as described in this paragraph (g), should include clear CBI markings
and be flagged to the attention of Lead of 2015 Ozone Transport FIP. If
assistance is needed with submitting large electronic files that exceed
the file size limit for email attachments, and if you do not have your
own file sharing service, please email [email protected] to request a
file transfer link.
(E) If you cannot transmit the file electronically, you may send
CBI information through the postal service to the following address:
OAQPS Document Control Officer (C404-02), OAQPS, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711,
Attention Lead of 2015 Ozone Transport FIP. The mailed CBI material
should be double wrapped and clearly marked. Any CBI markings should
not show through the outer envelope.
(F) All CBI claims must be asserted at the time of submission.
Anything submitted using CEDRI cannot later be claimed CBI.
Furthermore, under CAA section 114(c), emissions data is not entitled
to confidential treatment, and the EPA is required to make emissions
data available to the public. Thus, emissions data will not be
protected as CBI and will be made publicly available.
(G) You must submit the same file submitted to the CBI office with
the CBI omitted to the EPA via the EPA's CDX as described in paragraphs
(g)(1) and (2) of this section.
(2) Annual reports must be submitted via CEDRI or analogous
electronic reporting approach provided by the EPA to report data
required by Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec.
52.45, or Sec. 52.46.
(3) If you are required to electronically submit a report through
CEDRI in the EPA's CDX, you may assert a claim of EPA system outage for
failure to timely comply with that reporting requirement. To assert a
claim of EPA system outage, you must meet the requirements outlined in
paragraphs (g)(3)(i) through (vii) of this section.
(i) You must have been or will be precluded from accessing CEDRI
and submitting a required report within the time prescribed due to an
outage of either the EPA's CEDRI or CDX systems.
(ii) The outage must have occurred within the period of time
beginning five business days prior to the date that the submission is
due.
(iii) The outage may be planned or unplanned.
(iv) You must submit notification to the Administrator in writing
as soon as possible following the date you first knew, or through due
diligence should have known, that the event may cause or has caused a
delay in reporting.
(v) You must provide to the Administrator a written description
identifying:
(A) The date(s) and time(s) when CDX or CEDRI was accessed and the
system was unavailable;
(B) A rationale for attributing the delay in reporting beyond the
regulatory deadline to EPA system outage;
(C) A description of measures taken or to be taken to minimize the
delay in reporting; and
(D) The date by which you propose to report, or if you have already
met the reporting requirement at the time of the notification, the date
you reported.
(vi) The decision to accept the claim of EPA system outage and
allow an extension to the reporting deadline is solely within the
discretion of the Administrator.
[[Page 36873]]
(vii) In any circumstance, the report must be submitted
electronically as soon as possible after the outage is resolved.
(4) If you are required to electronically submit a report through
CEDRI in the EPA's CDX, you may assert a claim of force majeure for
failure to timely comply with that reporting requirement. To assert a
claim of force majeure, you must meet the requirements outlined in
paragraphs (g)(4)(i) through (v) of this section.
(i) You may submit a claim if a force majeure event is about to
occur, occurs, or has occurred or there are lingering effects from such
an event within the period of time beginning five business days prior
to the date the submission is due. For the purposes of this section, a
force majeure event is defined as an event that will be or has been
caused by circumstances beyond the control of the affected unit, its
contractors, or any entity controlled by the affected unit that
prevents you from complying with the requirement to submit a report
electronically within the time period prescribed. Examples of such
events are acts of nature (e.g., hurricanes, earthquakes, or floods),
acts of war or terrorism, or equipment failure or safety hazard beyond
the control of the affected unit (e.g., large scale power outage).
(ii) You must submit notification to the Administrator in writing
as soon as possible following the date you first knew, or through due
diligence should have known, that the event may cause or has caused a
delay in reporting.
(iii) You must provide to the Administrator:
(A) A written description of the force majeure event;
(B) A rationale for attributing the delay in reporting beyond the
regulatory deadline to the force majeure event;
(C) A description of measures taken or to be taken to minimize the
delay in reporting; and
(D) The date by which you propose to report, or if you have already
met the reporting requirement at the time of the notification, the date
you reported.
(iv) The decision to accept the claim of force majeure and allow an
extension to the reporting deadline is solely within the discretion of
the Administrator.
(v) In any circumstance, the reporting must occur as soon as
possible after the force majeure event occurs.
Sec. 52.41 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Pipeline Transportation of Natural Gas Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined in this paragraph (a) shall
have the meaning given to them in the Act and in subpart A of 40 CFR
part 60.
Affected unit means an engine meeting the applicability criteria of
this section.
Cap means the total amount of NOX emissions, in tons per
day on a 30-day rolling average basis, that is collectively allowed
from all of the affected units covered by a Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan and is calculated as the sum each affected unit's NOX
emissions at the emissions limit applicable to such unit under
paragraph (c) of this section, converted to tons per day in accordance
with paragraph (d)(3) of this section.
Emergency engine means any stationary reciprocating internal
combustion engine (RICE) that meets all of the criteria in paragraphs
(i) and (ii) of this definition. All emergency stationary RICE must
comply with the requirements specified in paragraph (b)(1) of this
section in order to be considered emergency engines. If the engine does
not comply with the requirements specified in paragraph (b)(1), it is
not considered an emergency engine under this section.
(i) The stationary engine is operated to provide electrical power
or mechanical work during an emergency situation. Examples include
stationary RICE used to produce power for critical networks or
equipment (including power supplied to portions of a facility) when
electric power from the local utility (or the normal power source, if
the facility runs on its own power production) is interrupted, or
stationary RICE used to pump water in the case of fire or flood, etc.
(ii) The stationary RICE is operated under limited circumstances
for purposes other than those identified in paragraph (i) of this
definition, as specified in paragraph (b)(1) of this section.
Facility means all of the pollutant-emitting activities which
belong to the same industrial grouping, are located on one or more
contiguous or adjacent properties, and are under the control of the
same person (or persons under common control). Pollutant-emitting
activities shall be considered as part of the same industrial grouping
if they belong to the same ``Major Group'' (i.e., which have the same
first two digit code as described in the Standard Industrial
Classification Manual, 1987). For purposes of this section, a facility
may not extend beyond the 20 states identified in Sec. 52.40(b)(2).
Four stroke means any type of engine which completes the power
cycle in two crankshaft revolutions, with intake and compression
strokes in the first revolution and power and exhaust strokes in the
second revolution.
ISO conditions means 288 Kelvin (15 [deg]C), 60 percent relative
humidity, and 101.3 kilopascals pressure.
Lean burn means any two[hyphen]stroke or four[hyphen]stroke spark
ignited reciprocating internal combustion engine that does not meet the
definition of a rich burn engine.
Local Distribution Companies (LDCs) are companies that own or
operate distribution pipelines, but not interstate pipelines or
intrastate pipelines, that physically deliver natural gas to end users
and that are within a single state that are regulated as separate
operating companies by State public utility commissions or that operate
as independent municipally-owned distribution systems. LDCs do not
include pipelines (both interstate and intrastate) delivering natural
gas directly to major industrial users and farm taps upstream of the
local distribution company inlet.
Local Distribution Company (LDC) custody transfer station means a
metering station where the LDC receives a natural gas supply from an
upstream supplier, which may be an interstate transmission pipeline or
a local natural gas producer, for delivery to customers through the
LDC's intrastate transmission or distribution lines.
Nameplate rating means the manufacturer's maximum design capacity
in horsepower (hp) at the installation site conditions. Starting from
the completion of any physical change in the engine resulting in an
increase in the maximum output (in hp) that the engine is capable of
producing on a steady state basis and during continuous operation, such
increased maximum output shall be as specified by the person conducting
the physical change.
Natural gas means a fluid mixture of hydrocarbons (e.g., methane,
ethane, or propane) or non-hydrocarbons, composed of at least 70
percent methane by volume or that has a gross calorific value between
35 and 41 megajoules (MJ) per dry standard cubic meter (950 and 1,100
Btu per dry standard cubic foot), that maintains a gaseous state under
ISO conditions. Natural gas does not include the following gaseous
fuels: Landfill gas, digester gas, refinery gas, sour gas, blast
furnace gas, coal-derived gas, producer gas, coke oven gas, or any
gaseous fuel produced in a process
[[Page 36874]]
which might result in highly variable CO2 content or heating
value.
Natural gas-fired means that greater than or equal to 90% of the
engine's heat input, excluding recirculated or recuperated exhaust
heat, is derived from the combustion of natural gas.
Natural gas processing plant means any processing site engaged in
the extraction of natural gas liquids from field gas, fractionation of
mixed natural gas liquids to natural gas products, or both. A Joule-
Thompson valve, a dew point depression valve, or an isolated or
standalone Joule-Thompson skid is not a natural gas processing plant.
Natural gas production facility means all equipment at a single
stationary source directly associated with one or more natural gas
wells upstream of the natural gas processing plant. This equipment
includes, but is not limited to, equipment used for storage,
separation, treating, dehydration, artificial lift, combustion,
compression, pumping, metering, monitoring, and flowline.
Operating day means a 24-hour period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which any fuel is combusted at any time in the engine.
Pipeline transportation of natural gas means the movement of
natural gas through an interconnected network of compressors and
pipeline components, including the compressor and pipeline network used
to transport the natural gas from processing plants over a distance
(intrastate or interstate) to and from storage facilities, to large
natural gas end[hyphen]users, and prior to delivery to a ``local
distribution company custody transfer station'' (as defined in this
section) of an LDC that provides the natural gas to end-users. Pipeline
transportation of natural gas does not include natural gas production
facilities, natural gas processing plants, or the portion of a
compressor and pipeline network that is upstream of a natural gas
processing plant.
Reciprocating internal combustion engine (RICE) means a
reciprocating engine in which power, produced by heat and/or pressure
that is developed in the engine combustion chambers by the burning of a
mixture of air and fuel, is subsequently converted to mechanical work.
Rich burn means any four[hyphen]stroke spark ignited reciprocating
internal combustion engine where the manufacturer's recommended
operating air/fuel ratio divided by the stoichiometric air/fuel ratio
at full load conditions is less than or equal to 1.1. Internal
combustion engines originally manufactured as rich burn engines but
modified with passive emissions control technology for nitrogen oxides
(NOX) (such as pre[hyphen]combustion chambers) will be
considered lean burn engines. Existing affected unit where there are no
manufacturer's recommendations regarding air/fuel ratio will be
considered rich burn engines if the excess oxygen content of the
exhaust at full load conditions is less than or equal to 2 percent.
Spark ignition means a reciprocating internal combustion engine
utilizing a spark plug (or other sparking device) to ignite the air/
fuel mixture and with operating characteristics significantly similar
to the theoretical Otto combustion cycle.
Stoichiometric means the theoretical air[hyphen]to[hyphen]fuel
ratio required for complete combustion.
Two stroke means a type of reciprocating internal combustion engine
which completes the power cycle in a single crankshaft revolution by
combining the intake and compression operations into one stroke
(one[hyphen]half revolution) and the power and exhaust operations into
a second stroke. This system requires auxiliary exhaust scavenging of
the combustion products and inherently runs lean (excess of air) of
stoichiometry.
(b) Applicability. You are subject to the requirements under this
section if you own or operate a new or existing natural gas-fired spark
ignition engine, other than an emergency engine, with a nameplate
rating of 1,000 hp or greater that is used for pipeline transportation
of natural gas and is located within any of the States listed in Sec.
52.40(c)(2), including Indian country located within the borders of any
such State(s).
(1) For purposes of this section, the owner or operator of an
emergency stationary RICE must operate the RICE according to the
requirements in paragraphs (b)(1)(i) through (iii) of this section to
be treated as an emergency stationary RICE. In order for stationary
RICE to be treated as an emergency RICE under this subpart, any
operation other than emergency operation, maintenance and testing, and
operation in non-emergency situations for up to 50 hours per year, as
described in paragraphs (b)(1)(i) through (iii), is prohibited. If you
do not operate the RICE according to the requirements in paragraphs
(b)(1)(i) through (iii), the RICE will not be considered an emergency
engine under this section and must meet all requirements for affected
units in this section.
(i) There is no time limit on the use of emergency stationary RICE
in emergency situations.
(ii) The owner or operator may operate your emergency stationary
RICE for maintenance checks and readiness testing for a maximum of 100
hours per calendar year, provided that the tests are recommended by a
Federal, state, or local government agency, the manufacturer, the
vendor, or the insurance company associated with the engine. Any
operation for non-emergency situations as allowed by paragraph
(b)(1)(iii) of this section counts as part of the 100 hours per
calendar year allowed by paragraph (b)(1)(ii) of this section. The
owner or operator may petition the Administrator for approval of
additional hours to be used for maintenance checks and readiness
testing, but a petition is not required if the owner or operator
maintains records confirming that Federal, state, or local standards
require maintenance and testing of emergency RICE beyond 100 hours per
calendar year. Any approval of a petition for additional hours granted
by the Administrator under 40 CFR part 63, subpart ZZZZ, shall
constitute approval by the Administrator of the same petition under
this paragraph (b)(1)(ii).
(iii) Emergency stationary RICE may be operated for up to 50 hours
per calendar year in non-emergency situations. The 50 hours of
operation in non-emergency situations are counted as part of the 100
hours per calendar year for maintenance and testing provided in
paragraph (b)(1)(ii) of this section.
(2) If you own or operate a natural gas-fired two stroke lean burn
spark ignition engine manufactured after July 1, 2007 that is meeting
the applicable emissions limits in 40 CFR part 60, subpart JJJJ, table
1, the engine is not an affected unit under this section and you do not
have to comply with the requirements of this section.
(3) If you own or operate a natural gas-fired four stroke lean or
rich burn spark ignition engine manufactured after July 1, 2010, that
is meeting the applicable emissions limits in 40 CFR part 60, subpart
JJJJ, table 1, the engine is not an affected unit under this section
and you do not have to comply with the requirements of this section.
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you must meet the following emissions limitations on a
30-day rolling average basis during the 2026 ozone season and in each
ozone season thereafter:
(1) Natural gas-fired four stroke rich burn spark ignition engine:
1.0 grams per hp-hour (g/hp-hr);
(2) Natural gas-fired four stroke lean burn spark ignition engine:
1.5 g/hp-hr; and
[[Page 36875]]
(3) Natural gas-fired two stroke lean burn spark ignition engine:
3.0 g/hp-hr.
(d) Facility-Wide Averaging Plan. If you are the owner or operator
of a facility containing more than one affected unit, you may submit a
request via the CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA to the Administrator for approval of a proposed
Facility-Wide Averaging Plan as an alternative means of compliance with
the applicable emissions limits in paragraph (c) of this section. Any
such request shall be submitted to the Administrator on or before
October 1st of the year prior to each emissions averaging year. The
Administrator will approve a proposed Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
submitted under this paragraph (d) if the Administrator determines that
the proposed Facility-Wide Averaging Plan meets the requirements of
this paragraph (d), will provide total emissions reductions equivalent
to or greater than those achieved by the applicable emissions limits in
paragraph (c), and identifies satisfactory means for determining
initial and continuous compliance, including appropriate testing,
monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements. You may only
include affected units (i.e., engines meeting the applicability
criteria in paragraph (b) of this section) in a Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan. Upon EPA approval of a proposed Facility-Wide Averaging Plan, you
cannot withdraw any affected unit listed in such plan, and the terms of
the plan may not be changed unless approved in writing by the
Administrator.
(1) Each request for approval of a proposed Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan shall include, but not be limited to:
(i) The address of the facility;
(ii) A list of all affected units at the facility that will be
covered by the plan, identified by unit identification number, the
engine manufacturer's name, and model;
(iii) For each affected unit, a description of any existing
NOX emissions control technology and the date of
installation, and a description of any NOX emissions control
technology to be installed and the projected date of installation;
(iv) Identification of the emissions cap, calculated in accordance
with paragraph (d)(3) of this section, that all affected units covered
by the proposed Facility-Wide Averaging Plan will be subject to during
the ozone season, together with all assumptions included in such
calculation; and
(iv) Adequate provisions for testing, monitoring, recordkeeping,
and reporting for each affected unit.
(2) Upon the Administrator's approval of a proposed Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan, the owner or operator of the affected units covered by
the Facility-Wide Averaging Plan shall comply with the cap identified
in the plan in lieu of the emissions limits in paragraph (c) of this
section. You will be in compliance with the cap if the sum of
NOX emissions from all units covered by the Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan, in tons per day on a 30-day rolling average basis, is
less than or equal to the cap.
(3) The owner or operator will calculate the cap according to
equation 1 to this paragraph (d)(3). You will monitor and record daily
hours of engine operation for use in calculating the cap on a 30-day
rolling average basis. You will base the hours of operation on hour
readings from a non-resettable hour meter or an equivalent monitoring
device.
Equation 1 to Paragraph (d)(3)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.006
Where:
Hi = the average daily operating hours based on the
highest consecutive 30-day period during the ozone season of the two
most recent years preceding the emissions averaging year (hours).
i = each affected unit included in the Cap.
N = number of affected units.
DC = the engine manufacturer's design maximum capacity in horsepower
(hp) at the installation site conditions.
Rli = the emissions limit for each affected unit from
paragraph (c) of this section (grams/hp-hr).
(i) Any affected unit for which less than two years of operating
data are available shall not be included in the Facility-Wide Averaging
Plan unless the owner or operator extrapolates the available operating
data for the affected unit to two years of operating data, for use in
calculating the emissions cap in accordance with paragraph (d)(3) of
this section.
(ii) [Reserved]
(4) The owner or operator of an affected units covered by an EPA-
approved Facility-Wide Averaging Plan will be in violation of the cap
if the sum of NOX emissions from all such units, in tons per
day on a 30-day rolling average basis, exceeds the cap. Each day of
noncompliance by each affected unit covered by the Facility-Wide
Averaging Plan shall be a violation of the cap until corrective action
is taken to achieve compliance.
(e) Testing and monitoring requirements. (1) If you are the owner
or operator of an affected unit subject to a NOX emissions
limit under paragraph (c) of this section, you must keep a maintenance
plan and records of conducted maintenance and must, to the extent
practicable, maintain and operate the engine in a manner consistent
with good air pollution control practice for minimizing emissions.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit and are
operating a NOX continuous emissions monitoring system
(CEMS) that monitors NOX emissions from the affected unit,
you may use the CEMS data in lieu of the annual performance tests and
parametric monitoring required under this section. You must meet the
following requirements for using CEMS to monitor NOX
emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a
continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) for measuring
NOX emissions and either oxygen (O2) or carbon
dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and data recorded during all
periods of operation during the ozone season of the affected unit
except for CEMS breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be recorded during
calibration checks and zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX emissions rates measured by
the CEMS shall be used to calculate the average emissions rates to
demonstrate compliance with the applicable emissions limits in this
section.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR 60.13 shall be followed for
installation, evaluation, and operation of the continuous monitoring
systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not obtained because of
CEMS breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks, and zero and span
adjustments, emissions data will be obtained by using standby
[[Page 36876]]
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, or other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum of 75 percent of the operating
hours in each affected unit operating day, in at least 22 out of 30
successive operating days.
(3)(i) If you are the owner or operator of a new affected unit, you
must conduct an initial performance test within six months of engine
startup and conduct subsequent performance tests every twelve months
thereafter to demonstrate compliance. If pollution control equipment is
installed to comply with a NOX emissions limit in paragraph
(c) of this section, however, the initial performance test shall be
conducted within 90 days of such installation.
(ii) If you are the owner or operator of an existing affected unit,
you must conduct an initial performance test within six months of
becoming subject to an emissions limit under paragraph (c) of this
section and conduct subsequent performance tests every twelve months
thereafter to demonstrate compliance. If pollution control equipment is
installed to comply with a NOX emissions limit in paragraph
(c) of this section, however, the initial performance test shall be
conducted within 90 days of such installation.
(iii) If you are the owner or operator of a new or existing
affected unit that is only operated during peak demand periods outside
of the ozone season and the engine's hours of operation during the
ozone season are 50 hours or less, the affected unit is not subject to
the testing and monitoring requirements of this paragraph (e)(3)(iii)
as long as you record and report your hours of operation during the
ozone season in accordance with paragraphs (f) and (g) of this section.
(iv) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you must
conduct all performance tests consistent with the requirements of 40
CFR 60.4244 in accordance with the applicable reference test methods
identified in table 2 to subpart JJJJ of 40 CFR part 60, any
alternative test method approved by the EPA as of June 5, 2023, under
40 CFR 59.104(f), 60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii), or
65.158(a)(2) and available at the EPA's website (https://www.epa.gov/emc/broadly-applicable-approved-alternative-test-methods), or other
methods and procedures approved by the EPA through notice-and-comment
rulemaking. To determine compliance with the NOX emissions
limit in paragraph (c) of this section, the emissions rate shall be
calculated in accordance with the requirements of 40 CFR 60.4244(d).
(4) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit that has a
non-selective catalytic reduction (NSCR) control device to reduce
emissions, you must:
(i) Monitor the inlet temperature to the catalyst daily and conduct
maintenance if the temperature is not within the observed inlet
temperature range from the most recent performance test or the
temperatures specified by the manufacturer if no performance test was
required by this section; and
(ii) Measure the pressure drop across the catalyst monthly and
conduct maintenance if the pressure drop across the catalyst changes by
more than 2 inches of water at 100 percent load plus or minus 10
percent from the pressure drop across the catalyst measured during the
most recent performance test.
(5) If you are the owner of operator of an affected unit not using
an NSCR control device to reduce emissions, you are required to conduct
continuous parametric monitoring to assure compliance with the
applicable emissions limits according to the requirements in paragraphs
(e)(5)(i) through (vi) of this section.
(i) You must prepare a site-specific monitoring plan that includes
all of the following monitoring system design, data collection, and
quality assurance and quality control elements:
(A) The performance criteria and design specifications for the
monitoring system equipment, including the sample interface, detector
signal analyzer, and data acquisition and calculations.
(B) Sampling interface (e.g., thermocouple) location such that the
monitoring system will provide representative measurements.
(C) Equipment performance evaluations, system accuracy audits, or
other audit procedures.
(D) Ongoing operation and maintenance procedures in accordance with
the requirements of paragraph (e)(1) of this section.
(E) Ongoing recordkeeping and reporting procedures in accordance
with the requirements of paragraphs (f) and (g) of this section.
(ii) You must continuously monitor the selected operating
parameters according to the procedures in your site-specific monitoring
plan.
(iii) You must collect parametric monitoring data at least once
every 15 minutes.
(iv) When measuring temperature range, the temperature sensor must
have a minimum tolerance of 2.8 degrees Celsius (5 degrees Fahrenheit)
or 1 percent of the measurement range, whichever is larger.
(v) You must conduct performance evaluations, system accuracy
audits, or other audit procedures specified in your site-specific
monitoring plan at least annually.
(vi) You must conduct a performance evaluation of each parametric
monitoring device in accordance with your site-specific monitoring
plan.
(6) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit that is
only operated during peak periods outside of the ozone season and your
hours of operation during the ozone season are 0, you are not subject
to the testing and monitoring requirements of this paragraph (e)(6) so
long as you record and report your hours of operation during the ozone
season in accordance with paragraphs (f) and (g) of this section.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must keep records of:
(1) Performance tests conducted pursuant to paragraph (e)(2) of
this section, including the date, engine settings on the date of the
test, and documentation of the methods and results of the testing.
(2) Catalyst monitoring required by paragraph (e)(3) of this
section, if applicable, and any actions taken to address monitored
values outside the temperature or pressure drop parameters, including
the date and a description of actions taken.
(3) Parameters monitored pursuant to the facility's site-specific
parametric monitoring plan.
(4) Hours of operation on a daily basis.
(5) Tuning, adjustments, or other combustion process adjustments
and the date of the adjustment(s).
(6) For any Facility-Wide Averaging Plan approved by the
Administrator under paragraph (d) of this section, daily calculations
of total NOX emissions to demonstrate compliance with the
cap during the ozone season. You must use the equation in this
paragraph (f)(6) to calculate total NOX emissions from all
affected units covered by the Facility-Wide Averaging Plan, in tons per
day on a 30-day rolling average basis, for purposes of determining
compliance with the cap during the ozone season. A new 30-day rolling
average emissions rate in tpd is calculated for each operating day
during the ozone season, using the 30-day rolling average daily
operating hours for the preceding 30 operating days.
Equation 2 to Paragraph (f)(6)
[[Page 36877]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.007
Where:
Hai = the consecutive 30-day rolling average daily
operating hours for the preceding 30 operating days during ozone
season (hours).
i = each affected unit.
N = number of affected units.
DC = the engine manufacturer's maximum design capacity in horsepower
(hp) at the installation site conditions.
Rai = the actual emissions rate for each affected unit
based on the most recent performance test results, (grams/hp-hr).
(g) Reporting requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must submit the results of the performance test
or performance evaluation of the CEMS following the procedures
specified in Sec. 52.40(g) within 60 days after completing each
performance test required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you are
required to submit excess emissions reports for any excess emissions
that occurred during the reporting period. Excess emissions are defined
as any calculated 30-day rolling average NOX emissions rate
that exceeds the applicable emissions limit in paragraph (c) of this
section. Excess emissions reports must be submitted in PDF format to
the EPA via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section following the
procedures specified in Sec. 52.40(g).
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you must
submit an annual report in PDF format to the EPA by January 30th of
each year via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section. Annual reports
shall be submitted following the procedures in paragraph (g) of this
section. The report shall contain the following information:
(i) The name and address of the owner and operator;
(ii) The address of the subject engine;
(iii) Longitude and latitude coordinates of the subject engine;
(iv) Identification of the subject engine;
(v) Statement of compliance with the applicable emissions limit
under paragraph (c) of this section or a Facility-Wide Averaging Plan
under paragraph (d) of this section;
(vi) Statement of compliance regarding the conduct of maintenance
and operations in a manner consistent with good air pollution control
practices for minimizing emissions;
(vii) The date and results of the performance test conducted
pursuant to paragraph (e) of this section;
(viii) Any records required by paragraph (f) of this section,
including records of parametric monitoring data, to demonstrate
compliance with the applicable emissions limit under paragraph (c) of
this section or a Facility-Wide Averaging Plan under paragraph (d) of
this section, if applicable;
(ix) If applicable, a statement documenting any change in the
operating characteristics of the subject engine; and
(x) A statement certifying that the information included in the
annual report is complete and accurate.
Sec. 52.42 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Cement and Concrete Product Manufacturing Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined in this paragraph (a) shall
have the meaning given to them in the Act and in subpart A of 40 CFR
part 60.
Affected unit means a cement kiln meeting the applicability
criteria of this section.
Cement kiln means an installation, including any associated pre-
heater or pre-calciner devices, that produces clinker by heating
limestone and other materials to produce Portland cement.
Cement plant means any facility manufacturing cement by either the
wet or dry process.
Clinker means the product of a cement kiln from which finished
cement is manufactured by milling and grinding.
Operating day means a 24-hour period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which the kiln produces clinker at any time.
(b) Applicability. You are subject to the requirements of this
section if you own or operate a new or existing cement kiln that emits
or has the potential to emit 100 tons per year or more of
NOX on or after August 4, 2023, and is located within any of
the States listed in Sec. 52.40(c)(2), including Indian country
located within the borders of any such State(s). Any existing cement
kiln with a potential to emit of 100 tons per year or more of
NOX on August 4, 2023, will continue to be subject to the
requirements of this section even if that unit later becomes subject to
a physical or operational limitation that lowers its potential to emit
below 100 tons per year of NOX.
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you must meet the following emissions limitations on a
30-day rolling average basis during the 2026 ozone season and in each
ozone season thereafter:
(1) Long wet kilns: 4.0 lb/ton of clinker;
(2) Long dry kilns: 3.0 lb/ton of clinker;
(3) Preheater kilns: 3.8 lb/ton of clinker;
(4) Precalciner kilns: 2.3 lb/ton of clinker; and
(5) Preheater/Precalciner kilns: 2.8 lb/ton of clinker.
(d) Testing and monitoring requirements. (1) If you are the owner
or operator of an affected unit you must conduct performance tests, on
an annual basis, in accordance with the applicable reference test
methods of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, any alternative test method
approved by the EPA as of June 5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f),
60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii), or 65.158(a)(2) and
available at the EPA's website (https://www.epa.gov/emc/broadly-applicable-approved-alternative-test-methods), or other methods and
procedures approved by the EPA through notice-and-comment rulemaking.
The annual performance test does not have to be performed during the
ozone season. You must calculate and record the 30-operating day
rolling average emissions rate of NOX as the total of all
hourly emissions data for a cement kiln in the preceding 30 days,
divided by the total tons of clinker produced in that kiln during the
same 30-operating day period, using equation 1 to this paragraph
(d)(1):
Equation 1 to Paragraph (d)(1)
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.002
Where:
E30D = 30 kiln operating day average emissions rate of
NOX, in lbs/ton of clinker.
Ci = Concentration of NOX for hour i, in ppm.
Qi = Volumetric flow rate of effluent gas for hour i, where Ci and
Qi are on the same basis (either wet or dry), in scf/hr.
[[Page 36878]]
P = 30 days of clinker production during the same Time period as the
NOX emissions measured, in tons.
k = Conversion factor, 1.194 x 10-7 for NOX,
in lb/scf/ppm.
n = Number of kiln operating hours over 30 kiln operating days.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit and are
operating a NOX continuous emissions monitoring system
(CEMS) that monitors NOX emissions from the affected unit,
you may use the CEMS data in lieu of the annual performance tests and
parametric monitoring required under this section. You must meet the
following requirements for using CEMS to monitor NOX
emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a
continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) for measuring
NOX emissions and either oxygen (O2) or carbon
dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and data recorded during all
periods of operation during the ozone season of the affected unit
except for CEMS breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be recorded during
calibration checks and zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX emissions rates measured by
the CEMS shall be expressed in terms of lbs/ton of clinker and shall be
used to calculate the average emissions rates to demonstrate compliance
with the applicable emissions limits in this section.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR 60.13 shall be followed for
installation, evaluation, and operation of the continuous monitoring
systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not obtained because of
CEMS breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks and zero and span
adjustments, emissions data will be obtained by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, or other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum of 75 percent of the operating
hours in each affected unit operating day, in at least 22 out of 30
successive operating days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit not
operating NOX CEMS, you must conduct an initial performance
test before the 2026 ozone season to establish appropriate indicator
ranges for operating parameters and continuously monitor those operator
parameters consistent with the requirements of paragraphs (d)(3)(i)
through (v) of this section.
(i) You must monitor and record kiln stack exhaust gas flow rate,
hourly clinker production rate or kiln feed rate, and kiln stack
exhaust temperature during the initial performance test and subsequent
annual performance tests to demonstrate continuous compliance with your
NOX emissions limits.
(ii) You must determine hourly clinker production by one of two
methods:
(A) Install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a permanent weigh
scale system to record weight rates of the amount of clinker produced
in tons of mass per hour. The system of measuring hourly clinker
production must be maintained within 5 percent accuracy; or
(B) Install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a permanent weigh
scale system to measure and record weight rates of the amount of feed
to the kiln in tons of mass per hour. The system of measuring feed must
be maintained within 5 percent accuracy. Calculate your
hourly clinker production rate using a kiln specific feed-to-clinker
ratio based on reconciled clinker production rates determined for
accounting purposes and recorded feed rates. This ratio should be
updated monthly. Note that if this ratio changes at clinker
reconciliation, you must use the new ratio going forward, but you do
not have to retroactively change clinker production rates previously
estimated.
(C) For each kiln operating hour for which you do not have data on
clinker production or the amount of feed to the kiln, use the value
from the most recent previous hour for which valid data are available.
(D) If you measure clinker production directly, record the daily
clinker production rates; if you measure the kiln feed rates and
calculate clinker production, record the daily kiln feed and clinker
production rates.
(iii) You must use the kiln stack exhaust gas flow rate, hourly
kiln production rate or kiln feed rate, and kiln stack exhaust
temperature during the initial performance test and subsequent annual
performance tests as indicators of NOX operating parameters
to demonstrate continuous compliance and establish site-specific
indicator ranges for these operating parameters.
(iv) You must repeat the performance test annually to reassess and
adjust the site-specific operating parameter indicator ranges in
accordance with the results of the performance test.
(v) You must report and include your ongoing site-specific
operating parameter data in the annual reports required under paragraph
(e) of this section and semi-annual title V monitoring reports to the
relevant permitting authority.
(e) Recordkeeping requirements. If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall maintain records of the following
information for each day the affected unit operates:
(1) Calendar date;
(2) The average hourly NOX emissions rates measured or
predicted;
(3) The 30-day average NOX emissions rates calculated at
the end of each affected unit operating day from the measured or
predicted hourly NOX emissions rates for the preceding 30
operating days;
(4) Identification of the affected unit operating days when the
calculated 30-day average NOX emissions rates are in excess
of the applicable site-specific NOX emissions limit with the
reasons for such excess emissions as well as a description of
corrective actions taken;
(5) Identification of the affected unit operating days for which
pollutant data have not been obtained, including reasons for not
obtaining sufficient data and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(6) Identification of the times when emissions data have been
excluded from the calculation of average emissions rates and the
reasons for excluding data;
(7) If a CEMS is used to verify compliance:
(i) Identification of the times when the pollutant concentration
exceeded full span of the CEMS;
(ii) Description of any modifications to the CEMS that could affect
the ability of the CEMS to comply with Performance Specification 2 or 3
in appendix B to 40 CFR part 60; and
(iii) Results of daily CEMS drift tests and quarterly accuracy
assessments as required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix
F;
(8) Operating parameters required under paragraph (d) of this
section to demonstrate compliance during the ozone season;
(9) Each fuel type, usage, and heat content; and
(10) Clinker production rates.
(f) Reporting requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit the results of the performance test
or performance evaluation of the CEMS following the procedures
specified in Sec. 52.40(g) within 60 days after the date of completing
each performance test required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you are
required to submit excess emissions reports for any excess emissions
that occurred during the reporting period. Excess emissions are defined
as any calculated 30-day rolling average NOX emissions rate
that exceeds the applicable emissions limit established under paragraph
(c) of this section. Excess emissions reports must
[[Page 36879]]
be submitted in PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA to report data required by this
section following the procedures specified in Sec. 52.40(g).
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
submit an annual report in PDF format to the EPA by January 30th of
each year via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section. Annual reports
shall be submitted following the procedures in Sec. 52.40(g). The
report shall include records all records required by paragraph (d) of
this section, including record of CEMS data or operating parameters
required by paragraph (d) to demonstrate continuous compliance the
applicable emissions limits under paragraph (c) of this section.
(g) Initial notification requirements for existing affected units.
(1) The requirements of this paragraph (g) apply to the owner or
operator of an existing affected unit.
(2) The owner or operator of an existing affected unit that emits
or has a potential to emit 100 tons per year or greater as of August 4,
2023, shall notify the Administrator via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided by the EPA that the unit is
subject to this section. The notification, which shall be submitted not
later than December 4, 2023, shall be submitted in PDF format to the
EPA via CEDRI, which can be accessed through the EPA's CDX (https://cdx.epa.gov/). The notification shall provide the following
information:
(i) The name and address of the owner or operator;
(ii) The address (i.e., physical location) of the affected unit;
(iii) An identification of the relevant standard, or other
requirement, that is the basis for the notification and the unit's
compliance date; and
(iv) A brief description of the nature, size, design, and method of
operation of the facility and an identification of the types of
emissions points (units) within the facility subject to the relevant
standard.
Sec. 52.43 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Iron and Steel Mills and Ferroalloy Manufacturing Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined in this paragraph (a) shall
have the meaning given to them in the Act and in subpart A of 40 CFR
part 60.
Affected unit means any reheat furnace meeting the applicability
criteria of this section.
Day means a calendar day unless expressly stated to be a business
day. In computing any period of time for recordkeeping and reporting
purposes where the last day would fall on a Saturday, Sunday, or
Federal holiday, the period shall run until the close of business of
the next business day.
Low NOX burner means a burner designed to reduce flame turbulence
by the mixing of fuel and air and by establishing fuel-rich zones for
initial combustion, thereby reducing the formation of NOX.
Low-NOX technology means any post-combustion NOX control
technology capable of reducing NOX emissions by 40% from
baseline emission levels as measured during pre-installation testing.
Operating day means a 24-hour period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which any fuel is combusted at any time in the reheat furnace.
Reheat furnace means a furnace used to heat steel product--
including metal ingots, billets, slabs, beams, blooms and other similar
products--for the purpose of deformation and rolling.
(b) Applicability. The requirements of this section apply to each
new or existing reheat furnace at an iron and steel mill or ferroalloy
manufacturing facility that directly emits or has the potential to emit
100 tons per year or more of NOX on or after August 4, 2023,
does not have low-NOX burners installed, and is located
within any of the States listed in Sec. 52.40(c)(2), including Indian
country located within the borders of any such State(s). Any existing
reheat furnace with a potential to emit of 100 tons per year or more of
NOX on August 4, 2023, will continue to be subject to the
requirements of this section even if that unit later becomes subject to
a physical or operational limitation that lowers its potential to emit
below 100 tons per year of NOX.
(c) Emissions control requirements. If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit without low-NOX burners already
installed, you must install and operate low-NOX burners or
equivalent alternative low-NOX technology designed to
achieve at least a 40% reduction from baseline NOX emissions
in accordance with the work plan established pursuant to paragraph (d)
of this section. You must meet the emissions limit established under
paragraph (d) on a 30-day rolling average basis.
(d) Work plan requirements. (1) The owner or operator of each
affected unit must submit a work plan for each affected unit by August
5, 2024. The work plan must be submitted via CEDRI or analogous
electronic reporting approach provided by the EPA to report data
required by this section following the procedures specified in Sec.
52.40(g). Each work plan must include a description of the affected
unit and rated production and energy capacities, identification of the
low-NOX burner or alternative low NOX technology
selected, and the phased construction timeframe by which you will
design, install, and consistently operate the device. Each work plan
shall also include, where applicable, performance test results obtained
no more than five years before August 4, 2023, to be used as baseline
emissions testing data providing the basis for required emissions
reductions. If no such data exist, then the owner or operator must
perform pre-installation testing as described in paragraph (e)(3) of
this section.
(2) The owner or operator of an affected unit shall design each
low-NOX burner or alternative low-NOX technology
identified in the work plan to achieve NOX emission
reductions by a minimum of 40% from baseline emission levels measured
during performance testing that meets the criteria set forth in
paragraph (e)(1) of this section, or during pre-installation testing as
described in paragraph (e)(3) of this section. Each low-NOX
burner or alternative low-NOX technology shall be
continuously operated during all production periods according to
paragraph (c) of this section.
(3) The owner or operator of an affected unit shall establish an
emissions limit in the work plan that the affected unit must comply
with in accordance with paragraph (c) of this section.
(4) The EPA's action on work plans:
(i) The Administrator will provide via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided by the EPA notification to the
owner or operator of an affected unit if the submitted work plan is
complete, that is, whether the request contains sufficient information
to make a determination, within 60 calendar days after receipt of the
original work plan and within 60 calendar days after receipt of any
supplementary information.
(ii) The Administrator will provide notification via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA, which shall
be publicly available, to the owner or operator of a decision to
approve or intention to disapprove the work plan within 60 calendar
days after providing written notification pursuant to paragraph
[[Page 36880]]
(d)(4)(i) of this section that the submitted work plan is complete.
(iii) Before disapproving a work plan, the Administrator will
notify the owner or operator via the CEDRI or analogous electronic
submission system provided by the EPA of the Administrator's intention
to issue the disapproval, together with:
(A) Notice of the information and findings on which the intended
disapproval is based; and
(B) Notice of opportunity for the owner or operator to present in
writing, within 15 calendar days after he/she is notified of the
intended disapproval, additional information or arguments to the
Administrator before further action on the work plan.
(iv) The Administrator's final decision to disapprove a work plan
will be via the CEDRI or analogous electronic submission system
provided by the EPA and publicly available, and will set forth the
specific grounds on which the disapproval is based. The final decision
will be made within 60 calendar days after presentation of additional
information or argument (if the submitted work plan is complete), or
within 60 calendar days after the deadline for the submission of
additional information or argument under paragraph (d)(5)(iii)(B) of
this section, if no such submission is made.
(v) If the Administrator disapproves the submitted work plan for
failure to satisfy the requirements of paragraphs (c) and (d)(1)
through (3) of this section, or if the owner or operator of an affected
unit fails to submit a work plan by August 5, 2024, the owner or
operator will be in violation of this section. Each day that the
affected unit operates following such disapproval or failure to submit
shall constitute a violation.
(e) Testing and monitoring requirements. (1) If you are the owner
or operator of an affected unit you must conduct performance tests, on
an annual basis, in accordance with the applicable reference test
methods of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, any alternative test method
approved by the EPA as of June 5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f),
60.8(b)(3), 61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii), or 65.158(a)(2) and
available at the EPA's website (https://www.epa.gov/emc/broadly-applicable-approved-alternative-test-methods), or other methods and
procedures approved by the EPA through notice-and-comment rulemaking.
The annual performance test does not have to be performed during the
ozone season.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit and are
operating a NOX continuous emissions monitoring system
(CEMS) that monitors NOX emissions from the affected unit,
you may use the CEMS data in lieu of the annual performance tests and
parametric monitoring required under this section. You must meet the
following requirements for using CEMS to monitor NOX
emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a
continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) for measuring
NOX emissions and either oxygen (O2) or carbon
dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and data recorded during all
periods of operation during the ozone season of the affected unit
except for CEMS breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be recorded during
calibration checks and zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX emissions rates measured by
the CEMS shall be expressed in form of the emissions limit established
in the work plan and shall be used to calculate the average emissions
rates to demonstrate compliance with the applicable emissions limits
established in the work plan.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR 60.13 shall be followed for
installation, evaluation, and operation of the continuous monitoring
systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not obtained because of
CEMS breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks and zero and span
adjustments, emissions data will be obtained by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, or other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum of 75 percent of the operating
hours in each affected unit operating day, in at least 22 out of 30
successive operating days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit not
operating NOX CEMS, you must conduct an initial performance
test before the 2026 ozone season to establish appropriate indicator
ranges for operating parameters and continuously monitor those operator
parameters consistent with the requirements of paragraphs (e)(3)(i)
through (iv) of this section.
(i) You must monitor and record stack exhaust gas flow rate and
temperature during the initial performance test and subsequent annual
performance tests to demonstrate continuous compliance with your
NOX emissions limits.
(ii) You must use the stack exhaust gas flow rate and temperature
during the initial performance test and subsequent annual performance
tests to establish a site-specific indicator for these operating
parameters.
(iii) You must repeat the performance test annually to reassess and
adjust the site-specific operating parameter indicator ranges in
accordance with the results of the performance test.
(iv) You must report and include your ongoing site-specific
operating parameter data in the annual reports required under paragraph
(f) of this section and semi-annual title V monitoring reports to the
relevant permitting authority.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall maintain records of the following
information for each day the affected unit operates:
(1) Calendar date;
(2) The average hourly NOX emissions rates measured or
predicted;
(3) The 30-day average NOX emissions rates calculated at
the end of each affected unit operating day from the measured or
predicted hourly NOX emissions rates for the preceding 30
operating days;
(4) Identification of the affected unit operating days when the
calculated 30-day average NOX emissions rates are in excess
of the applicable site-specific NOX emissions limit with the
reasons for such excess emissions as well as a description of
corrective actions taken;
(5) Identification of the affected unit operating days for which
pollutant data have not been obtained, including reasons for not
obtaining sufficient data and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(6) Identification of the times when emissions data have been
excluded from the calculation of average emissions rates and the
reasons for excluding data;
(7) If a CEMS is used to verify compliance:
(i) Identification of the times when the pollutant concentration
exceeded full span of the CEMS;
(ii) Description of any modifications to the CEMS that could affect
the ability of the CEMS to comply with Performance Specification 2 or 3
in appendix B to 40 CFR part 60; and
(iii) Results of daily CEMS drift tests and quarterly accuracy
assessments as required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix
F;
(8) Operating parameters required under paragraph (d) of this
section to demonstrate compliance during the ozone season; and
(9) Each fuel type, usage, and heat content.
(g) Reporting requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit a final report via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA, by no later
than March 30, 2026,
[[Page 36881]]
certifying that installation of each selected control device has been
completed. You shall include in the report the dates of final
construction and relevant performance testing, where applicable,
demonstrating compliance with the selected emission limits pursuant to
paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you must
submit the results of the performance test or performance evaluation of
the CEMS following the procedures specified in Sec. 52.40(g) within 60
days after the date of completing each performance test required by
this section.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you are
required to submit excess emissions reports for any excess emissions
that occurred during the reporting period. Excess emissions are defined
as any calculated 30-day rolling average NOX emissions rate
that exceeds the applicable emissions limit established under
paragraphs (c) and (d) of this section. Excess emissions reports must
be submitted in PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI or analogous electronic
reporting approach provided by the EPA to report data required by this
section following the procedures specified in Sec. 52.40(g).
(4) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
submit an annual report in PDF format to the EPA by January 30th of
each year via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section. Annual reports
shall be submitted following the procedures in Sec. 52.40(g). The
report shall include records all records required by paragraphs (e) and
(f) of this section, including record of CEMS data or operating
parameters required by paragraph (e) to demonstrate compliance the
applicable emissions limits established under paragraphs (c) and (d) of
this section.
(h) Initial notification requirements for existing affected units.
(1) The requirements of this paragraph (h) apply to the owner or
operator of an existing affected unit.
(2) The owner or operator of an existing affected unit that emits
or has a potential to emit 100 tons per year or more of NOX
as of August 4, 2023, shall notify the Administrator via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA that the
unit is subject to this section. The notification, which shall be
submitted not later than December 4, 2023, shall be submitted in PDF
format to the EPA via CEDRI, which can be accessed through the EPA's
CDX (https://cdx.epa.gov/). The notification shall provide the
following information:
(i) The name and address of the owner or operator;
(ii) The address (i.e., physical location) of the affected unit;
(iii) An identification of the relevant standard, or other
requirement, that is the basis for the notification and the unit's
compliance date; and
(iv) A brief description of the nature, size, design, and method of
operation of the facility and an identification of the types of
emissions points (units) within the facility subject to the relevant
standard.
Sec. 52.44 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Glass and Glass Product Manufacturing Industry?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined in this paragraph (a) shall
have the meaning given to them in the Act and in subpart A of 40 CFR
part 60.
Affected units means a glass manufacturing furnace meeting the
applicability criteria of this section.
Borosilicate recipe means glass product composition of the
following approximate ranges of weight proportions: 60 to 80 percent
silicon dioxide, 4 to 10 percent total R2O (e.g.,
Na2O and K2O), 5 to 35 percent boric oxides, and
0 to 13 percent other oxides.
Container glass means glass made of soda-lime recipe, clear or
colored, which is pressed and/or blown into bottles, jars, ampoules,
and other products listed in Standard Industrial Classification (SIC)
3221 (SIC 3221).
Flat glass means glass made of soda-lime recipe and produced into
continuous flat sheets and other products listed in SIC 3211.
Glass melting furnace means a unit comprising a refractory vessel
in which raw materials are charged, melted at high temperature,
refined, and conditioned to produce molten glass. The unit includes
foundations, superstructure and retaining walls, raw material charger
systems, heat exchangers, melter cooling system, exhaust system,
refractory brick work, fuel supply and electrical boosting equipment,
integral control systems and instrumentation, and appendages for
conditioning and distributing molten glass to forming apparatuses. The
forming apparatuses, including the float bath used in flat glass
manufacturing and flow channels in wool fiberglass and textile
fiberglass manufacturing, are not considered part of the glass melting
furnace.
Glass produced means the weight of the glass pulled from the glass
melting furnace.
Idling means the operation of a glass melting furnace at less than
25% of the permitted production capacity or fuel use capacity as stated
in the operating permit.
Lead recipe means glass product composition of the following ranges
of weight proportions: 50 to 60 percent silicon dioxide, 18 to 35
percent lead oxides, 5 to 20 percent total R2O (e.g.,
Na2O and K2O), 0 to 8 percent total
R2O3 (e.g., Al2O3), 0 to 15
percent total RO (e.g., CaO, MgO), other than lead oxide, and 5 to 10
percent other oxides.
Operating day means a 24-hr period beginning at 12:00 midnight
during which the furnace combusts fuel at any time but excludes any
period of startup, shutdown, or idling during which the affected unit
complies with the requirements in paragraphs (d) through (f) of this
section, as applicable.
Pressed and blown glass means glass which is pressed, blown, or
both, including textile fiberglass, noncontinuous flat glass,
noncontainer glass, and other products listed in SIC 3229. It is
separated into: Glass of borosilicate recipe, Glass of soda-lime and
lead recipes, and Glass of opal, fluoride, and other recipes.
Raw material means minerals, such as silica sand, limestone, and
dolomite; inorganic chemical compounds, such as soda ash (sodium
carbonate), salt cake (sodium sulfate), and potash (potassium
carbonate); metal oxides and other metal-based compounds, such as lead
oxide, chromium oxide, and sodium antimonate; metal ores, such as
chromite and pyrolusite; and other substances that are intentionally
added to a glass manufacturing batch and melted in a glass melting
furnace to produce glass. Metals that are naturally-occurring trace
constituents or contaminants of other substances are not considered to
be raw materials.
Shutdown means the period of time during which a glass melting
furnace is taken from an operational to a non-operational status by
allowing it to cool down from its operating temperature to a cold or
ambient temperature as the fuel supply is turned off.
Soda-lime recipe means glass product composition of the following
ranges of weight proportions: 60 to 75 percent silicon dioxide, 10 to
17 percent total R2O (e.g., Na2O and
K2O), 8 to 20 percent total RO but not to include any PbO
(e.g., CaO, and MgO), 0 to 8 percent total R2O3
(e.g., Al2O3), and 1 to 5 percent other oxides.
Startup means the period of time, after initial construction or a
furnace rebuild, during which a glass melting furnace is heated to
operating temperatures by the primary furnace
[[Page 36882]]
combustion system, and systems and instrumentation are brought to
stabilization.
Textile fiberglass means fibrous glass in the form of continuous
strands having uniform thickness.
Wool fiberglass means fibrous glass of random texture, including
accoustical board and tile (mineral wool), fiberglass insulation, glass
wool, insulation (rock wool, fiberglass, slag, and silicia minerals),
and mineral wool roofing mats.
(b) Applicability. You are subject to the requirements under this
section if you own or operate a new or existing glass manufacturing
furnace that directly emits or has the potential to emit 100 tons per
year or more of NOX on or after August 4, 2023, and is
located within any of the States listed in Sec. 52.40(c)(2), including
Indian country located within the borders of any such State(s). Any
existing glass manufacturing furnace with a potential to emit of 100
tons per year or more of NOX on August 4, 2023, will
continue to be subject to the requirements of this section even if that
unit later becomes subject to a physical or operational limitation that
lowers its potential to emit below 100 tons per year of NOX.
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you must meet the emissions limitations in paragraphs
(c)(1) and (2) of this section on a 30-day rolling average basis during
the 2026 ozone season and in each ozone season thereafter. For the 2026
ozone season, the emissions limitations in paragraphs (c)(1) and (2) do
not apply during shutdown and idling if the affected unit complies with
the requirements in paragraphs (e) and (f) of this section, as
applicable. For the 2027 and subsequent ozone seasons, the emissions
limitations in paragraphs (c)(1) and (2) do not apply during startup,
shutdown, and idling, if the affected unit complies with the
requirements in paragraphs (d) through (f) of this section, as
applicable.
(1) Container glass, pressed/blown glass, or fiberglass
manufacturing furnace: 4.0 lb/ton of glass; and
(2) Flat glass manufacturing furnace: 7.0 lb/ton of glass.
(d) Startup requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided by the EPA, no later than 30 days
prior to the anticipated date of startup, the following information to
assure proper operation of the furnace:
(i) A detailed list of activities to be performed during startup
and explanations to support the length of time needed to complete each
activity.
(ii) A description of the material process flow rates, system
operating parameters, and other information that the owner or operator
shall monitor and record during the startup period.
(iii) Identification of the control technologies or strategies to
be utilized.
(iv) A description of the physical conditions present during
startup periods that prevent the controls from being effective.
(v) A reasonably precise estimate as to when physical conditions
will have reached a state that allows for the effective control of
emissions.
(2) The length of startup following activation of the primary
furnace combustion system may not exceed:
(i) Seventy days for a container, pressed or blown glass furnace;
(ii) Forty days for a fiberglass furnace; and
(iii) One hundred and four days for a flat glass furnace and for
all other glass melting furnaces not covered under paragraphs (d)(2)(i)
and (ii) of this section.
(3) During the startup period, the owner or operator of an affected
unit shall maintain the stoichiometric ratio of the primary furnace
combustion system so as not to exceed 5 percent excess oxygen, as
calculated from the actual fuel and oxidant flow measurements for
combustion in the affected unit.
(4) The owner or operator of an affected unit shall place the
emissions control system in operation as soon as technologically
feasible during startup to minimize emissions.
(e) Shutdown requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall submit via the CEDRI or analogous
electronic submission system provided by the EPA to the Administrator,
no later than 30 days prior to the anticipated date of shutdown, the
following information to assure proper operation of the furnace:
(i) A detailed list of activities to be performed during shutdown
and explanations to support the length of time needed to complete each
activity.
(ii) A description of the material process flow rates, system
operating parameters, and other information that the owner or operator
shall monitor and record during the shutdown period.
(iii) Identification of the control technologies or strategies to
be utilized.
(iv) A description of the physical conditions present during
shutdown periods that prevent the controls from being effective.
(v) A reasonably precise estimate as to when physical conditions
will have reached a state that allows for the effective control of
emissions.
(2) The duration of a shutdown, as measured from the time the
furnace operations drop below 25% of the permitted production capacity
or fuel use capacity to when all emissions from the furnace cease, may
not exceed 20 days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
operate the emissions control system whenever technologically feasible
during shutdown to minimize emissions.
(f) Idling requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you shall operate the emissions control system whenever
technologically feasible during idling to minimize emissions.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, your
NOX emissions during idling may not exceed the amount
calculated using the following equation: Pounds per day emissions limit
of NOX = (Applicable NOX emissions limit
specified in paragraph (c) of this section expressed in pounds per ton
of glass produced) x (Furnace permitted production capacity in tons of
glass produced per day).
(3) To demonstrate compliance with the alternative daily
NOX emissions limit identified in paragraph (f)(2) of this
section during periods of idling, the owners or operators of an
affected unit shall maintain records consistent with paragraph (h)(3)
of this section.
(g) Testing and monitoring requirements. (1) If you own or operate
an affected unit subject to the NOX emissions limits under
paragraph (c) of this section you must conduct performance tests, on an
annual basis, in accordance with the applicable reference test methods
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, any alternative test method approved
by the EPA as of June 5, 2023, under 40 CFR 59.104(f), 60.8(b)(3),
61.13(h)(1)(ii), 63.7(e)(2)(ii), or 65.158(a)(2) and available at the
EPA's website (https://www.epa.gov/emc/broadly-applicable-approved-alternative-test-methods), or other methods and procedures approved by
the EPA through notice-and-comment rulemaking. The annual performance
test does not have to be performed during the ozone season. Owners or
operators of affected units must calculate and record the 30-day
rolling average emissions rate of NOX as the total of all
hourly emissions data for an affected unit in the preceding 30 days,
divided by the total tons of glass produced in that affected unit
during the same 30-day period. Direct measurement or material balance
using good engineering practice shall be used to determine the amount
of glass produced during the performance test.
[[Page 36883]]
The rate of glass produced is defined as the weight of glass pulled
from the affected unit during the performance test divided by the
number of hours taken to perform the performance test.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit subject to
the NOX emissions limits under paragraph (c)(1) of this
section and are operating a NOX CEMS that monitors
NOX emissions from the affected unit, you may use the CEMS
data in lieu of the annual performance tests and parametric monitoring
required under this section. You must meet the following requirements
for using CEMS to monitor NOX emissions:
(i) You shall install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a
continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) for measuring
NOX emissions and either oxygen (O2) or carbon
dioxide (CO2).
(ii) The CEMS shall be operated and data recorded during all
periods of operation during the ozone season of the affected unit
except for CEMS breakdowns and repairs. Data shall be recorded during
calibration checks and zero and span adjustments.
(iii) The 1-hour average NOX emissions rates measured by
the CEMS shall be expressed in terms of lbs/ton of glass and shall be
used to calculate the average emissions rates to demonstrate compliance
with the applicable emissions limits in this section.
(iv) The procedures under 40 CFR 60.13 shall be followed for
installation, evaluation, and operation of the continuous monitoring
systems.
(v) When NOX emissions data are not obtained because of
CEMS breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks and zero and span
adjustments, emissions data will be obtained by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, or other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum of 75 percent of the operating
hours in each affected unit operating day, in at least 22 out of 30
successive operating days.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit not
operating NOX CEMS, you must conduct an initial performance
test before the 2026 ozone season to establish appropriate indicator
ranges for operating parameters and continuously monitor those operator
parameters consistent with the requirements of paragraphs (g)(3)(i)
through (iv) of this section.
(i) You must monitor and record stack exhaust gas flow rate, hourly
glass production, and stack exhaust gas temperature during the initial
performance test and subsequent annual performance tests to demonstrate
continuous compliance with your NOX emissions limits.
(ii) You must use the stack exhaust gas flow rate, hourly glass
production, and stack exhaust gas temperature during the initial
performance test and subsequent annual performance tests as
NOX CEMS indicators to demonstrate continuous compliance and
establish a site-specific indicator ranges for these operating
parameters.
(iii) You must repeat the performance test annually to reassess and
adjust the site-specific operating parameter indicator ranges in
accordance with the results of the performance test.
(iv) You must report and include your ongoing site-specific
operating parameter data in the annual reports required under paragraph
(h) of this section and semi-annual title V monitoring reports to the
relevant permitting authority.
(4) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit seeking to
comply with the requirements for startup under paragraph (d) of this
section or shutdown under paragraph (e) of this section in lieu of the
applicable emissions limit under paragraph (c) of this section, you
must monitor material process flow rates, fuel throughput, oxidant flow
rate, and the selected system operating parameters in accordance with
paragraphs (d)(1)(ii) and (e)(1)(ii) of this section.
(h) Recordkeeping requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit, you shall maintain records of the
following information for each day the affected unit operates:
(i) Calendar date;
(ii) The average hourly NOX emissions rates measured or
predicted;
(iii) The 30-day average NOX emissions rates calculated
at the end of each affected unit operating day from the measured or
predicted hourly NOX emissions rates for the preceding 30
operating days;
(iv) Identification of the affected unit operating days when the
calculated 30-day average NOX emissions rates are in excess
of the applicable site-specific NOX emissions limit with the
reasons for such excess emissions as well as a description of
corrective actions taken;
(v) Identification of the affected unit operating days for which
pollutant data have not been obtained, including reasons for not
obtaining sufficient data and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(vi) Identification of the times when emissions data have been
excluded from the calculation of average emissions rates and the
reasons for excluding data;
(vii) If a CEMS is used to verify compliance:
(A) Identification of the times when the pollutant concentration
exceeded full span of the CEMS;
(B) Description of any modifications to the CEMS that could affect
the ability of the CEMS to comply with Performance Specification 2 or 3
in appendix B to 40 CFR part 60; and
(C) Results of daily CEMS drift tests and quarterly accuracy
assessments as required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix
F;
(D) Operating parameters required under paragraph (g) to
demonstrate compliance during the ozone season;
(viii) Each fuel type, usage, and heat content; and
(ix) Glass production rate.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
maintain all records necessary to demonstrate compliance with the
startup and shutdown requirements in paragraphs (d) and (e) of this
section, including but not limited to records of material process flow
rates, system operating parameters, the duration of each startup and
shutdown period, fuel throughput, oxidant flow rate, and any additional
records necessary to determine whether the stoichiometric ratio of the
primary furnace combustion system exceeded 5 percent excess oxygen
during startup.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
maintain records of daily NOX emissions in pounds per day
for purposes of determining compliance with the applicable emissions
limit for idling periods under paragraph (f)(2) of this section. Each
owner or operator shall also record the duration of each idling period.
(i) Reporting requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must submit the results of the performance test
or performance evaluation of the CEMS following the procedures
specified in Sec. 52.40(g) within 60 days after the date of completing
each performance test required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you are
required to submit excess emissions reports for any excess emissions
that occurred during the reporting period. Excess emissions are defined
as any calculated 30-day rolling average NOX emissions rate
that exceeds the applicable emissions limit in paragraph (c) of this
section. Excess emissions reports must be submitted in PDF format to
the EPA via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section following the
procedures specified in Sec. 52.40(g).
[[Page 36884]]
(3) If you own or operate an affected unit, you shall submit an
annual report in PDF format to the EPA by January 30th of each year via
CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided by the EPA to
report data required by this section. Annual reports shall be submitted
following the procedures in Sec. 52.40(g). The report shall include
records all records required by paragraph (g) of this section,
including record of CEMS data or operating parameters to demonstrate
continuous compliance the applicable emissions limits under paragraphs
(c) of this section.
(j) Initial notification requirements for existing affected units.
(1) The requirements of this paragraph (j) apply to the owner or
operator of an existing affected unit.
(2) The owner or operator of an existing affected unit that emits
or has a potential to emit greater than 100 tons per year or greater as
of August 4, 2023, shall notify the Administrator via the CEDRI or
analogous electronic submission system provided by the EPA that the
unit is subject to this section. The notification, which shall be
submitted not later than June 23, 2023, shall be submitted in PDF
format to the EPA via CEDRI, which can be accessed through the EPA's
CDX (https://cdx.epa.gov/). The notification shall provide the
following information:
(i) The name and address of the owner or operator;
(ii) The address (i.e., physical location) of the affected unit;
(iii) An identification of the relevant standard, or other
requirement, that is the basis for the notification and the unit's
compliance date; and
(iv) A brief description of the nature, size, design, and method of
operation of the facility and an identification of the types of
emissions points (units) within the facility subject to the relevant
standard.
Sec. 52.45 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
the Basic Chemical Manufacturing, Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing, the Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard Mills Industries, Metal
Ore Mining, and the Iron and Steel and Ferroalloy Manufacturing
Industries?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined in this paragraph (a) shall
have the meaning given to them in the Act and in subpart A of 40 CFR
part 60.
Affected unit means an industrial boiler meeting the applicability
criteria of this section.
Boiler means an enclosed device using controlled flame combustion
and having the primary purpose of recovering thermal energy in the form
of steam or hot water. Controlled flame combustion refers to a steady-
state, or near steady-state, process wherein fuel and/or oxidizer feed
rates are controlled.
Coal means ``coal'' as defined in 40 CFR 60.41b.
Distillate oil means ``distillate oil'' as defined in 40 CFR
60.41b.
Maximum heat input capacity means means the ability of a steam
generating unit to combust a stated maximum amount of fuel on a steady
state basis, as determined by the physical design and characteristics
of the steam generating unit.
Natural gas means ``natural gas'' as defined in 40 CFR 60.41.
Operating day means a 24-hour period between 12:00 midnight and the
following midnight during which any fuel is combusted at any time in
the steam generating unit. It is not necessary for fuel to be combusted
continuously for the entire 24-hour period.
Residual oil means ``residual oil'' as defined in 40 CFR 60.41c.
(b) Applicability. (1) The requirements of this section apply to
each new or existing boiler with a design capacity of 100 mmBtu/hr or
greater that receives 90% or more of its heat input from coal, residual
oil, distillate oil, natural gas, or combinations of these fuels in the
previous ozone season, is located at sources that are within the Basic
Chemical Manufacturing industry, the Petroleum and Coal Products
Manufacturing industry, the Pulp, Paper, and Paperboard industry, the
Metal Ore Mining industry, and the Iron and Steel and Ferroalloys
Manufacturing industry and which is located within any of the States
listed in Sec. 52.40(c)(2), including Indian country located within
the borders of any such State(s). The requirements of this section do
not apply to an emissions unit that meets the requirements for a low-
use exemption as provided in paragraph (b)(2) of this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of a boiler meeting the
applicability criteria of paragraph (b)(1) of this section that
operates less than 10% per year on an hourly basis, based on the three
most recent years of use and no more than 20% in any one of the three
years, you are exempt from meeting the emissions limits of this section
and are only subject to the recordkeeping and reporting requirements of
paragraph (f)(2) of this section.
(i) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit that
exceeds the 10% per year hour of operation over three years or the 20%
hours of operation per year criteria, you can no longer comply via the
low-use exemption provisions and must meet the applicable emissions
limits and other applicable provisions as soon as possible but not
later than one year from the date eligibility as a low-use boiler was
negated by exceedance of the low-use boiler criteria.
(ii) [Reserved]
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you must meet the following emissions limitations on a
30-day rolling average basis during the 2026 ozone season and in each
ozone season thereafter:
(1) Coal-fired industrial boilers: 0.20 lbs NOX/mmBtu;
(2) Residual oil-fired industrial boilers: 0.20 lbs NOX/
mmBtu;
(3) Distillate oil-fired industrial boilers: 0.12 lbs
NOX/mmBtu;
(4) Natural gas-fired industrial boilers: 0.08 lbs NOX/
mmBtu; and
(5) Boilers using combinations of fuels listed in paragraphs (c)(1)
through (4) of this section: such units shall comply with a
NOX emissions limit derived by summing the products of each
fuel's heat input and respective emissions limit and dividing by the
sum of the heat input contributed by each fuel.
(d) Testing and monitoring requirements. (1) If you are the owner
or operator of an affected unit, you shall conduct an initial
compliance test as described in 40 CFR 60.8 using the continuous system
for monitoring NOX specified by EPA Test Method 7E of 40 CFR
part 60, appendix A-4, to determine compliance with the emissions
limits for NOX identified in paragraph (c) of this section.
In lieu of the timing of the compliance test described in 40 CFR
60.8(a), you shall conduct the test within 90 days from the
installation of the pollution control equipment used to comply with the
NOX emissions limits in paragraph (c) of this section and no
later than May 1, 2026.
(i) For the initial compliance test, you shall monitor
NOX emissions from the affected unit for 30 successive
operating days and the 30-day average emissions rate will be used to
determine compliance with the NOX emissions limits in
paragraph (c) of this section. You shall calculate the 30-day average
emission rate as the average of all hourly emissions data recorded by
the monitoring system during the 30-day test period.
(ii) You are not required to conduct an initial compliance test if
the affected unit is subject to a pre-existing, federally enforceable
requirement to monitor its NOX emissions using a
[[Page 36885]]
CEMS in accordance with 40 CFR 60.13 or 40 CFR part 75.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit with a
heat input capacity of 250 mmBTU/hr or greater, you are subject to the
following monitoring requirements:
(i) You shall install, calibrate, maintain, and operate a
continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) for measuring
NOX emissions and either oxygen (O2) or carbon
dioxide (CO2), unless the Administrator has approved a
request from you to use an alternative monitoring technique under
paragraph (d)(2)(vii) of this section. If you have previously installed
a NOX emissions rate CEMS to meet the requirements of 40 CFR
60.13 or 40 CFR part 75 and continue to meet the ongoing requirements
of 40 CFR 60.13 or 40 CFR part 75, that CEMS may be used to meet the
monitoring requirements of this section.
(ii) You shall operate the CEMS and record data during all periods
of operation during the ozone season of the affected unit except for
CEMS breakdowns and repairs. You shall record data during calibration
checks and zero and span adjustments.
(iii) You shall express the 1-hour average NOX emissions
rates measured by the CEMS in terms of lbs/mmBtu heat input and shall
be used to calculate the average emissions rates under paragraph (c) of
this section.
(iv) Following the date on which the initial compliance test is
completed, you shall determine compliance with the applicable
NOX emissions limit in paragraph (c) of this section during
the ozone season on a continuous basis using a 30-day rolling average
emissions rate unless you monitor emissions by means of an alternative
monitoring procedure approved pursuant to paragraph (d)(2)(vii) of this
section. You shall calculate a new 30-day rolling average emissions
rate for each operating day as the average of all the hourly
NOX emissions data for the preceding 30 operating days.
(v) You shall follow the procedures under 40 CFR 60.13 for
installation, evaluation, and operation of the continuous monitoring
systems. Additionally, you shall use a span value of 1000 ppm
NOX for affected units combusting coal and span value of 500
ppm NOX for units combusting oil or gas. As an alternative
to meeting these span values, you may elect to use the NOX
span values determined according to section 2.1.2 in appendix A to 40
CFR part 75.
(vi) When you are unable to obtain NOX emissions data
because of CEMS breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks and zero and
span adjustments, you will obtain emissions data by using standby
monitoring systems, Method 7 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, Method 7A
of 40 CFR part 60, appendix A-4, or other approved reference methods to
provide emissions data for a minimum of 75 percent of the operating
hours in each affected unit operating day, in at least 22 out of 30
successive operating days.
(vii) You may delay installing a CEMS for NOX until
after the initial performance test has been conducted. If you
demonstrate during the performance test that emissions of
NOX are less than 70 percent of the applicable emissions
limit in paragraph (c) of this section, you are not required to install
a CEMS for measuring NOX. If you demonstrate your affected
unit emits less than 70 percent of the applicable emissions limit
chooses to not install a CEMS, you must submit a written request to the
Administrator that documents the results of the initial performance
test and includes an alternative monitoring procedure that will be used
to track compliance with the applicable NOX emissions
limit(s) in paragraph (c) of this section. The Administrator may
consider the request and, following public notice and comment, may
approve the alternative monitoring procedure with or without revision,
or disapprove the request. Upon receipt of a disapproved request, you
will have one year to install a CEMS.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit with a
heat input capacity less than 250 mmBTU/hr, you must monitor
NOX emission via the requirements of paragraph (e)(1) of
this section or you must monitor NOX emissions by conducting
an annual test in conjunction with the implementation of a monitoring
plan meeting the following requirements:
(i) You must conduct an initial performance test over a minimum of
24 consecutive steam generating unit operating hours at maximum heat
input capacity to demonstrate compliance with the NOX
emission standards under paragraph (c) of this section using Method 7,
7A, or 7E of appendix A-4 to 40 CFR part 60, Method 320 of appendix A
to 40 CFR part 63, or other approved reference methods.
(ii) You must conduct annual performance tests once per calendar
year to demonstrate compliance with the NOX emission
standards under paragraph (c) of this section over a minimum of 3
consecutive steam generating unit operating hours at maximum heat input
capacity using Method 7, 7A, or 7E of appendix A-4 to 40 CFR part 60,
Method 320 of appendix A to 40 CFR part 63, or other approved reference
methods. The annual performance test must be conducted before the
affected units operates more than 400 hours in a given year.
(iii) You must develop and comply with a monitoring plan that
relates the operational parameters to emissions of the affected unit.
The owner or operator of each affected unit shall develop a monitoring
plan that identifies the operating conditions of the affected unit to
be monitored and the records to be maintained in order to reliably
predict NOX emissions and determine compliance with the
applicable emissions limits of this section on a continuous basis. You
shall include the following information in the plan:
(A) You shall identify the specific operating parameters to be
monitored and the relationship between these operating parameters and
the applicable NOX emission rates. Operating parameters of
the affected unit include, but are not limited to, the degree of staged
combustion (i.e., the ratio of primary air to secondary and/or tertiary
air) and the level of excess air (i.e., flue gas O2 level).
(B) You shall include the data and information used to identify the
relationship between NOX emission rates and these operating
conditions.
(C) You shall identify: how these operating parameters, including
steam generating unit load, will be monitored on an hourly basis during
periods of operation of the affected unit; the quality assurance
procedures or practices that will be employed to ensure that the data
generated by monitoring these operating parameters will be
representative and accurate; and the type and format of the records of
these operating parameters, including steam generating unit load, that
you will maintain.
(4) You shall submit the monitoring plan to the EPA via the CEDRI
reporting system, and request that the relevant permitting agency
incorporate the monitoring plan into the facility's title V permit.
(e) Recordkeeping requirements. (1) If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit, which is not a low-use boiler, you shall
maintain records of the following information for each day the affected
unit operates during the ozone season:
(i) Calendar date;
(ii) The average hourly NOX emissions rates (expressed
as lbs NO2/mmBtu heat input) measured or predicted;
(iii) The 30-day average NOX emissions rates calculated
at the end of
[[Page 36886]]
each affected unit operating day from the measured or predicted hourly
NOX emissions rates for the preceding 30 steam generating
unit operating days;
(iv) Identification of the affected unit operating days when the
calculated 30-day rolling average NOX emissions rates are in
excess of the applicable NOX emissions limit in paragraph
(c) of this section with the reasons for such excess emissions as well
as a description of corrective actions taken;
(v) Identification of the affected unit operating days for which
pollutant data have not been obtained, including reasons for not
obtaining sufficient data and a description of corrective actions
taken;
(vi) Identification of the times when emissions data have been
excluded from the calculation of average emissions rates and the
reasons for excluding data;
(vii) Identification of ``F'' factor used for calculations, method
of determination, and type of fuel combusted;
(viii) Identification of the times when the pollutant concentration
exceeded full span of the CEMS;
(ix) Description of any modifications to the CEMS that could affect
the ability of the CEMS to comply with Performance Specification 2 or 3
in appendix B to 40 CFR part 60;
(x) Results of daily CEMS drift tests and quarterly accuracy
assessments as required under Procedure 1 of 40 CFR part 60, appendix
F; and
(xi) The type and amounts of each fuel combusted.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit complying
as a low-use boiler, you must maintain the following records consistent
with the requirements of Sec. 52.40(g):
(i) Identification and location of the boiler;
(ii) Nameplate capacity;
(iii) The fuel or fuels used by the boiler;
(iv) For each operating day, the type and amount of fuel combusted,
and the date and total number of hours of operation; and
(v) the annual hours of operation for each of the prior 3 years,
and the 3-year average hours or operation.
(f) Reporting requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must submit the results of the performance test
or performance evaluation of the CEMS following the procedures
specified in Sec. 52.40(g) within 60 days after the date of completing
each performance test required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you are
required to submit excess emissions reports for any excess emissions
that occurred during the reporting period. Excess emissions are defined
as any calculated 30-day rolling average NOX emissions rate,
as determined under paragraph (e)(1)(iii) of this section, that exceeds
the applicable emissions limit in paragraph (c) of this section. Excess
emissions reports must be submitted in PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI
or analogous electronic reporting approach provided by the EPA to
report data required by this section following the procedures specified
in Sec. 52.40(g).
(3) If you are the owner or operator an affected unit subject to
the continuous monitoring requirements for NOX under
paragraph (d) of this section, you shall submit reports containing the
information recorded under paragraph (d) of this section as described
in paragraph (e)(1) of this section. You shall submit compliance
reports for continuous monitoring in PDF format to the EPA via CEDRI or
analogous electronic reporting approach provided by the EPA to report
data required by this section following the procedures specified in
Sec. 52.40(g).
(4) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
submit an annual report in PDF format to the EPA by January 30th of
each year via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section. Annual reports
shall be submitted following the procedures in Sec. 52.40(g).
Sec. 52.46 What are the requirements of the Federal Implementation
Plans (FIPs) relating to ozone season emissions of nitrogen oxides from
Municipal Waste Combustors?
(a) Definitions. All terms not defined in this paragraph (a) shall
have the meaning given them in the Act and in subpart A of 40 CFR part
60.
Affected unit means a municipal waste combustor meeting the
applicability criteria of this section.
Chief facility operator means the person in direct charge and
control of the operation of a municipal waste combustor and who is
responsible for daily onsite supervision, technical direction,
management, and overall performance of the facility.
Mass burn refractory municipal waste combustor means a field-
erected combustor that combusts municipal solid waste in a refractory
wall furnace. Unless otherwise specified, this includes combustors with
a cylindrical rotary refractory wall furnace.
Mass burn rotary waterwall municipal waste combustor means a field-
erected combustor that combusts municipal solid waste in a cylindrical
rotary waterwall furnace or on a tumbling-tile grate.
Mass burn waterwall municipal waste combustor means a field-erected
combustor that combusts municipal solid waste in a waterwall furnace.
Municipal waste combustor, MWC, or municipal waste combustor unit
means:
(i) Means any setting or equipment that combusts solid, liquid, or
gasified MSW including, but not limited to, field-erected incinerators
(with or without heat recovery), modular incinerators (starved-air or
excess-air), boilers (i.e., steam-generating units), furnaces (whether
suspension-fired, grate-fired, mass-fired, air curtain incinerators, or
fluidized bed-fired), and pyrolysis/combustion units. Municipal waste
combustors do not include pyrolysis/combustion units located at
plastics/rubber recycling units. Municipal waste combustors do not
include internal combustion engines, gas turbines, or other combustion
devices that combust landfill gases collected by landfill gas
collection systems.
(ii) The boundaries of a MWC are defined as follows. The MWC unit
includes, but is not limited to, the MSW fuel feed system, grate
system, flue gas system, bottom ash system, and the combustor water
system. The MWC boundary starts at the MSW pit or hopper and extends
through:
(A) The combustor flue gas system, which ends immediately following
the heat recovery equipment or, if there is no heat recovery equipment,
immediately following the combustion chamber;
(B) The combustor bottom ash system, which ends at the truck
loading station or similar ash handling equipment that transfer the ash
to final disposal, including all ash handling systems that are
connected to the bottom ash handling system; and
(C) The combustor water system, which starts at the feed water pump
and ends at the piping exiting the steam drum or superheater.
(iii) The MWC unit does not include air pollution control
equipment, the stack, water treatment equipment, or the turbine
generator set.
Municipal waste combustor unit capacity means the maximum charging
rate of a municipal waste combustor unit expressed in tons per day of
municipal solid waste combusted, calculated according to the procedures
under paragraph (e)(4) of this section.
Shift supervisor means the person who is in direct charge and
control of the operation of a municipal waste combustor and who is
responsible for onsite supervision, technical direction,
[[Page 36887]]
management, and overall performance of the facility during an assigned
shift.
(b) Applicability. The requirements of this section apply to each
new or existing municipal waste combustor unit with a combustion
capacity greater than 250 tons per day (225 megagrams per day) of
municipal solid waste and which is located within any of the States
listed in Sec. 52.40(c)(2), including Indian country located within
the borders of any such State(s).
(c) Emissions limitations. If you are the owner or operator of an
affected unit, you must meet the following emissions limitations at all
times, except during startup and shutdown, on a 30-day rolling average
basis during the 2026 ozone season and in each ozone season thereafter:
(1) 110 ppmvd at 7 percent oxygen on a 24-hour block averaging
period; and
(2) 105 ppmvd at 7 percent oxygen on a 30-day rolling averaging
period.
(d) Startup and shutdown requirements. If you are the owner or
operator of an affected unit, you must comply with the following
requirements during startup and shutdown:
(1) During periods of startup and shutdown, you shall meet the
following emissions limits at stack oxygen content:
(i) 110 ppmvd at stack oxygen content on a 24-hour block averaging
period; and
(ii) 105 ppmvd at stack oxygen content on a 30-day rolling
averaging period.
(2) Duration of startup and shutdown, periods are limited to 3
hours per occurrence.
(3) The startup period commences when the affected unit begins the
continuous burning of municipal solid waste and does not include any
warmup period when the affected unit is combusting fossil fuel or other
nonmunicipal solid waste fuel, and no municipal solid waste is being
fed to the combustor.
(4) Continuous burning is the continuous, semicontinuous, or batch
feeding of municipal solid waste for purposes of waste disposal, energy
production, or providing heat to the combustion system in preparation
for waste disposal or energy production. The use of municipal solid
waste solely to provide thermal protection of the grate or hearth
during the startup period when municipal solid waste is not being fed
to the grate is not considered to be continuous burning.
(5) The owner and operator of an affected unit shall minimize
NOX emissions by operating and optimizing the use of all
installed pollution control technology and combustion controls
consistent with the technological limitations, manufacturers'
specifications, good engineering and maintenance practices, and good
air pollution control practices for minimizing emissions (as defined in
40 CFR 60.11(d)) for such equipment and the unit at all times the unit
is in operation.
(e) Testing and monitoring requirements. (1) If you are the owner
or operator of an affected unit, you shall install, calibrate,
maintain, and operate a continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS)
for measuring the oxygen or carbon dioxide content of the flue gas at
each location where NOX are monitored and record the output
of the system. You shall comply with the following test procedures and
test methods:
(i) You shall use a span value of 25 percent oxygen for the oxygen
monitor or 20 percent carbon dioxide for the carbon dioxide monitor;
(ii) You shall install, evaluate, and operate the CEMS in
accordance with 40 CFR 60.13;
(iii) You shall complete the initial performance evaluation no
later than 180 days after the date of initial startup of the affected
unit, as specified under 40 CFR 60.8;
(iv) You shall operate the monitor in conformance with Performance
Specification 3 in 40 CFR part 60, appendix B, except for section 2.3
(relative accuracy requirement);
(v) You shall operate the monitor in accordance with the quality
assurance procedures of 40 CFR part 60, appendix F, except for section
5.1.1 (relative accuracy test audit); and
(vi) If you select carbon dioxide for use in diluent corrections,
you shall establish the relationship between oxygen and carbon dioxide
levels during the initial performance test according to the following
procedures and methods:
(A) This relationship may be reestablished during performance
compliance tests; and
(B) You shall submit the relationship between carbon dioxide and
oxygen concentrations to the EPA as part of the initial performance
test report and as part of the annual test report if the relationship
is reestablished during the annual performance test.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
use the following procedures and test methods to determine compliance
with the NOX emission limits in paragraph (c) of this
section:
(i) If you are not already operating a CEMS in accordance with 40
CFR 60.13, you shall conduct an initial performance test for nitrogen
oxides consistent with 40 CFR 60.8.
(ii) You shall install and operate the NOX CEMS
according to Performance Specification 2 in 40 CFR part 60, appendix B,
and shall follow the requirements of 40 CFR 60.58b(h)(10).
(iii) Quarterly accuracy determinations and daily calibration drift
tests for the CEMS shall be performed in accordance with Procedure 1 in
40 CFR part 60, appendix F.
(iv) When NOX continuous emissions data are not obtained
because of CEMS breakdowns, repairs, calibration checks, and zero and
span adjustments, emissions data shall be obtained using other
monitoring systems as approved by the EPA or EPA Reference Method 19 in
40 CFR part 60, appendix A-7, to provide, as necessary, valid emissions
data for a minimum of 90 percent of the hours per calendar quarter and
95 percent of the hours per calendar year the unit is operated and
combusting municipal solid waste.
(v) You shall use EPA Reference Method 19, section 4.1, in 40 CFR
part 60, appendix A-7, for determining the daily arithmetic average
NOX emissions concentration.
(A) You may request that compliance with the NOX
emissions limit be determined using carbon dioxide measurements
corrected to an equivalent of 7 percent oxygen. The relationship
between oxygen and carbon dioxide levels for the affected unit shall be
established as specified in paragraph (e)(1)(vi) of this section.
(B) [Reserved]
(vi) At a minimum, you shall obtain valid CEMS hourly averages for
90 percent of the operating hours per calendar quarter and for 95
percent of the operating hours per calendar year that the affected unit
is combusting municipal solid waste:
(A) At least 2 data points per hour shall be used to calculate each
1-hour arithmetic average.
(B) Each NOX 1-hour arithmetic average shall be
corrected to 7 percent oxygen on an hourly basis using the 1-hour
arithmetic average of the oxygen (or carbon dioxide) continuous
emissions monitoring system data.
(vii) The 1-hour arithmetic averages section shall be expressed in
parts per million by volume (dry basis) and used to calculate the 24-
hour daily arithmetic average concentrations. The 1-hour arithmetic
averages shall be calculated using the data points required under 40
CFR 60.13(e)(2).
(viii) All valid CEMS data must be used in calculating emissions
averages even if the minimum CEMS data
[[Page 36888]]
requirements of paragraph (e)(2)(iv) of this section are not met.
(ix) The procedures under 40 CFR 60.13 shall be followed for
installation, evaluation, and operation of the CEMS. The initial
performance evaluation shall be completed no later than 180 days after
the date of initial startup of the municipal waste combustor unit.
(3) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you must
determine compliance with the startup and shutdown requirements of
paragraph (d) of this section by following the requirements in
paragraphs (e)(3)(i) and (ii) of this section:
(i) You can measure CEMS data at stack oxygen content. You can
dismiss or exclude CEMS data from compliance calculations, but you
shall record and report CEMS data in accordance with the provisions of
40 CFR 60.59b(d)(7).
(ii) You shall determine compliance with the NOX mass
loading emissions limitation for periods of startup and shutdown by
calculating the 24-hour average of all hourly average NOX
emissions concentrations from continuous emissions monitoring systems.
(A) You shall perform this calculations using stack flow rates
derived from flow monitors, for all the hours during the 3-hour startup
or shutdown period and the remaining 21 hours of the 24-hour period.
(B) [Reserved]
(4) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
calculate municipal waste combustor unit capacity using the following
procedures:
(i) For municipal waste combustor units capable of combusting
municipal solid waste continuously for a 24-hour period, municipal
waste combustor unit capacity shall be calculated based on 24 hours of
operation at the maximum charging rate. The maximum charging rate shall
be determined as specified in paragraphs (e)(4)(i)(A) and (B) of this
section as applicable.
(A) For combustors that are designed based on heat capacity, the
maximum charging rate shall be calculated based on the maximum design
heat input capacity of the unit and a heating value of 12,800
kilojoules per kilogram for combustors firing refuse-derived fuel and a
heating value of 10,500 kilojoules per kilogram for combustors firing
municipal solid waste that is not refuse-derived fuel.
(B) For combustors that are not designed based on heat capacity,
the maximum charging rate shall be the maximum design charging rate.
(ii) For batch feed municipal waste combustor units, municipal
waste combustor unit capacity shall be calculated as the maximum design
amount of municipal solid waste that can be charged per batch
multiplied by the maximum number of batches that could be processed in
a 24-hour period. The maximum number of batches that could be processed
in a 24-hour period is calculated as 24 hours divided by the design
number of hours required to process one batch of municipal solid waste,
and may include fractional batches (e.g., if one batch requires 16
hours, then 24/16, or 1.5 batches, could be combusted in a 24-hour
period). For batch combustors that are designed based on heat capacity,
the design heating value of 12,800 kilojoules per kilogram for
combustors firing refuse-derived fuel and a heating value of 10,500
kilojoules per kilogram for combustors firing municipal solid waste
that is not refuse-derived fuel shall be used in calculating the
municipal waste combustor unit capacity in megagrams per day of
municipal solid waste.
(f) Recordkeeping requirements. If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you shall maintain records of the following
information, as applicable, for each affected unit consistent with the
requirements of Sec. 52.40(g).
(1) The calendar date of each record.
(2) The emissions concentrations and parameters measured using
continuous monitoring systems.
(i) All 1-hour average NOX emissions concentrations.
(ii) The average concentrations and percent reductions, as
applicable, including all 24-hour daily arithmetic average
NOX emissions concentrations.
(3) Identification of the calendar dates and times (hours) for
which valid hourly NOX emissions, including reasons for not
obtaining the data and a description of corrective actions taken.
(4) Identification of each occurrence that NOX emissions
data, or operational data (i.e., unit load) have been excluded from the
calculation of average emissions concentrations or parameters, and the
reasons for excluding the data.
(5) The results of daily drift tests and quarterly accuracy
determinations for CEMS, as required under 40 CFR part 60, appendix F,
Procedure 1.
(6) The following records:
(i) Records showing the names of the municipal waste combustor
chief facility operator, shift supervisors, and control room operators
who have been provisionally certified by the American Society of
Mechanical Engineers or an equivalent State-approved certification
program as required by 40 CFR 60.54b(a) including the dates of initial
and renewal certifications and documentation of current certification;
(ii) Records showing the names of the municipal waste combustor
chief facility operator, shift supervisors, and control room operators
who have been fully certified by the American Society of Mechanical
Engineers or an equivalent State-approved certification program as
required by 40 CFR 60.54b(b) including the dates of initial and renewal
certifications and documentation of current certification;
(iii) Records showing the names of the municipal waste combustor
chief facility operator, shift supervisors, and control room operators
who have completed the EPA municipal waste combustor operator training
course or a State-approved equivalent course as required by 40 CFR
60.54b(d) including documentation of training completion; and
(iv) Records of when a certified operator is temporarily off site.
Include two main items:
(A) If the certified chief facility operator and certified shift
supervisor are off site for more than 12 hours, but for 2 weeks or
less, and no other certified operator is on site, record the dates that
the certified chief facility operator and certified shift supervisor
were off site.
(B) When all certified chief facility operators and certified shift
supervisors are off site for more than 2 weeks and no other certified
operator is on site, keep records of four items:
(1) Time of day that all certified persons are off site.
(2) The conditions that cause those people to be off site.
(3) The corrective actions taken by the owner or operator of the
affected unit to ensure a certified chief facility operator or
certified shift supervisor is on site as soon as practicable.
(4) Copies of the reports submitted every 4 weeks that summarize
the actions taken by the owner or operator of the affected unit to
ensure that a certified chief facility operator or certified shift
supervisor will be on site as soon as practicable.
(7) Records showing the names of persons who have completed a
review of the operating manual as required by 40 CFR 60.54b(f)
including the date of the initial review and subsequent annual reviews.
(8) Records of steps taken to minimize emissions during startup and
shutdown as required by paragraph (d)(5) of this section.
(g) Reporting requirements. (1) If you are the owner or operator of
an affected unit, you must submit the results of the performance test
or performance evaluation of the CEMS following the procedures
specified in Sec. 52.40(g)
[[Page 36889]]
within 60 days after the date of completing each performance test
required by this section.
(2) If you are the owner or operator of an affected unit, you shall
submit an annual report in PDF format to the EPA by January 30th of
each year via CEDRI or analogous electronic reporting approach provided
by the EPA to report data required by this section. Annual reports
shall be submitted following the procedures in Sec. 52.40(g). The
report shall include all information required by paragraph (e) of this
section, including CEMS data to demonstrate compliance with the
applicable emissions limits under paragraph (c) of this section.
Subpart B--Alabama
0
5. Amend Sec. 52.54 by revising paragraphs (b)(2) and (3) and adding
paragraphs (b)(4) and (5) to read as follows:
Sec. 52.54 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(2) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Alabama and Indian country within the borders of the State
and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program in subpart EEEEE of part 97 of
this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2017 through 2022. The obligation to comply with
such requirements with regard to sources and units in the State and
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the
State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the promulgation of an
approval by the Administrator of a revision to Alabama's State
Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is
the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec.
52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(ii) for those sources and units, except to the
extent the Administrator's approval is partial or conditional. The
obligation to comply with such requirements with regard to sources and
units located in areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State not subject to the State's SIP authority will not be eliminated
by the promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision
to Alabama's SIP.
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Alabama and Indian country within the borders of the State
and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of part 97 of
this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Alabama's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Alabama's SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraphs (b)(2) and (3) of
this section, if, at the time of the approval of Alabama's SIP revision
described in paragraph (b)(2) or (3) of this section, the Administrator
has already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances under subpart EEEEE or GGGGG, respectively, of part
97 of this chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority
for a control period in any year, the provisions of such subpart
authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of such allowances to such units for each such control
period shall continue to apply, unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State's SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (b)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State and Indian country within the borders of the
State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to apply.
Subpart E--Arkansas
0
6. Amend Sec. 52.184 by:
0
a. Redesignating paragraphs (a) through (c) as paragraphs (a)(1)
through (3);
0
b. In newly redesignated paragraph (a)(2):
0
i. Removing ``2017 and each subsequent year'' and adding in its place
``2017 through 2022''; and
0
ii. Removing the second sentence;
0
c. Revising newly redesignated paragraph (a)(3); and
0
d. Adding paragraphs (a)(4) and (5) and (b).
The revision and additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.184 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Arkansas and for which requirements are set forth under
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in
subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to comply with such requirements will
be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the Administrator
of a revision to Arkansas' State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii),
except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Arkansas' SIP revision
described in paragraph (a)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State for a control period in any year, the
provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter authorizing the
Administrator to complete the allocation and recordation of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to such units for each
such control period shall continue to apply, unless provided otherwise
by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
[[Page 36890]]
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to
apply.
(b) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Arkansas and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart F--California
0
7. Add Sec. 52.284 to read as follows:
Sec. 52.284 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
California and Indian country within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in
2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart O--Illinois
0
8. Amend Sec. 52.731 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.731 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Illinois and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart P--Indiana
0
9. Amend Sec. 52.789 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(2), removing ``(b)(2)(iv), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), except'';
0
b. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
c. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.789 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Indiana and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart S--Kentucky
0
10. Amend Sec. 52.940 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.940 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Kentucky and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart T--Louisiana
0
11. Amend Sec. 52.984 by:
0
a. In paragraph (d)(3), revising the second and third sentences;
0
b. Revising paragraph (d)(4);
0
c. In paragraph (d)(5), adding ``and Indian country within the borders
of the State'' after ``in the State''; and
0
d. Adding paragraph (e).
The revision and addition read as follows:
Sec. 52.984 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(3) * * * The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority
will be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Louisiana's State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and
(b)(2)(iii) for those sources and units, except to the extent the
Administrator's approval is partial or conditional. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units located
in areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject
to the State's SIP authority will not be eliminated by the promulgation
of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to Louisiana's SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (d)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Louisiana's SIP revision
described in paragraph (d)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
* * * * *
(e) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Louisiana and Indian country within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in
2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart V--Maryland
0
12. Amend Sec. 52.1084 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.1084 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Maryland
[[Page 36891]]
and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec.
52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec.
52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart X--Michigan
0
13. Amend Sec. 52.1186 by:
0
a. In paragraph (e)(3), revising the second and third sentences;
0
b. Revising paragraph (e)(4);
0
c. In paragraph (e)(5), adding ``and Indian country within the borders
of the State'' after ``in the State''; and
0
d. Adding paragraph (f).
The revision and addition read as follows:
Sec. 52.1186 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(e) * * *
(3) * * * The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority
will be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Michigan's State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and
(b)(2)(iii) for those sources and units, except to the extent the
Administrator's approval is partial or conditional. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units located
in areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject
to the State's SIP authority will not be eliminated by the promulgation
of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to Michigan's SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (e)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Michigan's SIP revision
described in paragraph (e)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
* * * * *
(f) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Michigan and Indian country within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in
2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart Y--Minnesota
0
14. Amend Sec. 52.1240 by adding paragraph (d) to read as follows:
Sec. 52.1240 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(d)(1) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located
in the State of Minnesota and Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard
to emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation
to comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in
the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Minnesota's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Minnesota's SIP.
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (d)(1) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Minnesota's SIP revision
described in paragraph (d)(1) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
Subpart Z--Mississippi
0
15. Amend Sec. 52.1284 by:
0
a. Redesignating paragraphs (a) through (c) as paragraphs (a)(1)
through (3);
0
b. In newly redesignated paragraph (a)(2):
0
i. Removing ``2017 and each subsequent year'' and adding in its place
``2017 through 2022''; and
0
ii. Removing the second and third sentences;
0
c. Revising newly redesignated paragraph (a)(3); and
0
d. Adding paragraphs (a)(4) and (5) and (b).
The revision and additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.1284 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Mississippi and Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard
to emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation
to comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in
the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Mississippi's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Mississippi's SIP.
[[Page 36892]]
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Mississippi's SIP revision
described in paragraph (a)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State and Indian country within the borders of the
State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to apply.
(b) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Mississippi and Indian country within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in
2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart AA--Missouri
0
16. Amend Sec. 52.1326 by revising paragraph (b)(2) and (3) and adding
paragraphs (b)(4) and (5) and (c) to read as follows:
Sec. 52.1326 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(2) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Missouri and for which requirements are set forth under
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program in
subpart EEEEE of part 97 of this chapter must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions occurring in 2017 through 2022.
The obligation to comply with such requirements will be eliminated by
the promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Missouri's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(ii), except to the extent the
Administrator's approval is partial or conditional.
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Missouri and for which requirements are set forth under
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in
subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter must comply with such
requirements with regard to emissions occurring in 2023 and each
subsequent year. The obligation to comply with such requirements will
be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the Administrator
of a revision to Missouri's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as
correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii),
except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraphs (b)(2) and (3) of
this section, if, at the time of the approval of Missouri's SIP
revision described in paragraph (b)(2) or (3) of this section, the
Administrator has already started recording any allocations of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances or CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances under subpart EEEEE or GGGGG,
respectively, of part 97 of this chapter to units in the State for a
control period in any year, the provisions of such subpart authorizing
the Administrator to complete the allocation and recordation of such
allowances to such units for each such control period shall continue to
apply, unless provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP
revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (b)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to
apply.
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Missouri and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart DD--Nevada
0
17. Add Sec. 52.1492 to read as follows:
Sec. 52.1492 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a)(1) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located
in the State of Nevada and Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard
to emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation
to comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in
the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Nevada's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Nevada's SIP.
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(1) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Nevada's SIP revision
described in paragraph (a)(1) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within
[[Page 36893]]
the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a
control period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97
of this chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the
allocation and recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to such units for each such control period shall continue to
apply, unless provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP
revision.
(b) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Nevada and Indian country within the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42,
Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must comply with
such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart FF--New Jersey
0
18. Amend Sec. 52.1584 by:
0
a. In paragraph (e)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (f).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.1584 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(f) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
New Jersey and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart HH--New York
0
19. Amend Sec. 52.1684 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), revising the second and third sentences;
0
b. Revising paragraph (b)(4);
0
c. In paragraph (b)(5), adding ``and Indian country within the borders
of the State'' after ``in the State''; and
0
d. Adding paragraph (c).
The revision and addition read as follows:
Sec. 52.1684 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(3) * * * The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units in the State and areas of Indian country
within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority
will be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to New York's State Implementation Plan
(SIP) as correcting the SIP's deficiency that is the basis for the
CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and
(b)(2)(iii) for those sources and units, except to the extent the
Administrator's approval is partial or conditional. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units located
in areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject
to the State's SIP authority will not be eliminated by the promulgation
of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to New York's SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (b)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of New York's SIP revision
described in paragraph (b)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
New York and Indian country within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in
2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart KK--Ohio
0
20. Amend Sec. 52.1882 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.1882 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Ohio and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec.
52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec.
52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart LL--Oklahoma
0
21. Amend Sec. 52.1930 by:
0
a. Redesignating paragraphs (a) through (c) as paragraphs (a)(1)
through (3);
0
b. In newly redesignated paragraph (a)(2):
0
i. Removing ``2017 and each subsequent year'' and adding in its place
``2017 through 2022''; and
0
ii. Removing the second and third sentences;
0
c. Revising newly redesignated paragraph (a)(3); and
0
d. Adding paragraphs (a)(4) and (5) and (b).
The revision and additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.1930 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Oklahoma and Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard
to emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation
to comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in
the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Oklahoma's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Oklahoma's SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Oklahoma's SIP revision
described in paragraph (a)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations
[[Page 36894]]
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances under subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter to units in the State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the State's
SIP authority for a control period in any year, the provisions of
subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter authorizing the Administrator
to complete the allocation and recordation of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to such units for each such control
period shall continue to apply, unless provided otherwise by such
approval of the State's SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State and Indian country within the borders of the
State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to apply.
(b) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Oklahoma and Indian country within the borders of the State and for
which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec.
52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must
comply with such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in
2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart NN--Pennsylvania
0
22. Amend Sec. 52.2040 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.2040 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Pennsylvania and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40
and Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart SS--Texas
0
23. Amend Sec. 52.2283 by:
0
a. In paragraph (d)(2):
0
i. Removing ``2017 and each subsequent year'' and adding in its place
``2017 through 2022''; and
0
ii. Removing the second and third sentences;
0
b. Revising paragraph (d)(3); and
0
c. Adding paragraphs (d)(4) and (5) and (e).
The revision and additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.2283 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Texas and Indian country within the borders of the State
and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of part 97 of
this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Texas' State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Texas' SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (d)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Texas' SIP revision
described in paragraph (d)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (d)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State and Indian country within the borders of the
State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to apply.
(e) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Texas and Indian country within the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42,
Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must comply with
such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart TT--Utah
0
24. Add Sec. 52.2356 to read as follows:
Sec. 52.2356 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
(a)(1) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located
in the State of Utah and Indian country within the borders of the State
and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of part 97 of
this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard to
emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation to
comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Utah's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal
[[Page 36895]]
Implementation Plan (FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for
those sources and units, except to the extent the Administrator's
approval is partial or conditional. The obligation to comply with such
requirements with regard to sources and units located in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to the
State's SIP authority will not be eliminated by the promulgation of an
approval by the Administrator of a revision to Utah's SIP.
(2) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (a)(1) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Utah's SIP revision
described in paragraph (a)(1) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
(b) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Utah and Indian country within the borders of the State and for which
requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42,
Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or Sec. 52.46 must comply with
such requirements with regard to emissions occurring in 2026 and each
subsequent year.
Subpart VV--Virginia
0
25. Amend Sec. 52.2440 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.2440 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
Virginia and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40 and
Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart XX--West Virginia
0
26. Amend Sec. 52.2540 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)(v), except'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(iii), except''; and
0
b. Adding paragraph (c).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 52.2540 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(c) The owner and operator of each source located in the State of
West Virginia and for which requirements are set forth in Sec. 52.40
and Sec. 52.41, Sec. 52.42, Sec. 52.43, Sec. 52.44, Sec. 52.45, or
Sec. 52.46 must comply with such requirements with regard to emissions
occurring in 2026 and each subsequent year.
Subpart YY--Wisconsin
0
27. Amend Sec. 52.2587 by:
0
a. In paragraph (e)(2):
0
i. Removing ``2017 and each subsequent year'' and adding in its place
``2017 through 2022''; and
0
ii. Removing the second and third sentences;
0
b. Revising paragraph (e)(3); and
0
c. Adding paragraphs (e)(4) and (5).
The revision and additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.2587 Interstate pollutant transport provisions; What are the
FIP requirements for decreases in emissions of nitrogen oxides?
* * * * *
(e) * * *
(3) The owner and operator of each source and each unit located in
the State of Wisconsin and Indian country within the borders of the
State and for which requirements are set forth under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program in subpart GGGGG of
part 97 of this chapter must comply with such requirements with regard
to emissions occurring in 2023 and each subsequent year. The obligation
to comply with such requirements with regard to sources and units in
the State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's SIP authority will be eliminated by the
promulgation of an approval by the Administrator of a revision to
Wisconsin's State Implementation Plan (SIP) as correcting the SIP's
deficiency that is the basis for the CSAPR Federal Implementation Plan
(FIP) under Sec. 52.38(b)(1) and (b)(2)(iii) for those sources and
units, except to the extent the Administrator's approval is partial or
conditional. The obligation to comply with such requirements with
regard to sources and units located in areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority will
not be eliminated by the promulgation of an approval by the
Administrator of a revision to Wisconsin's SIP.
(4) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (e)(3) of this
section, if, at the time of the approval of Wisconsin's SIP revision
described in paragraph (e)(3) of this section, the Administrator has
already started recording any allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter to units in the State and areas of Indian country within the
borders of the State subject to the State's SIP authority for a control
period in any year, the provisions of subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this
chapter authorizing the Administrator to complete the allocation and
recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
such units for each such control period shall continue to apply, unless
provided otherwise by such approval of the State's SIP revision.
(5) Notwithstanding the provisions of paragraph (e)(2) of this
section, after 2022 the provisions of Sec. 97.826(c) of this chapter
(concerning the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances between certain accounts under common control), the
provisions of Sec. 97.826(e) of this chapter (concerning the
conversion of amounts of unused CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
2 allowances allocated for control periods before 2023 to different
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances), and
the provisions of Sec. 97.811(e) of this chapter (concerning the
recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
equivalent in quantity and usability to all such allowances allocated
to units in the State and Indian country within the borders of the
State for control periods after 2022) shall continue to apply.
PART 75--CONTINUOUS EMISSION MONITORING
0
28. The authority citation for part 75 is revised to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401-7671q and 7651k note.
Subpart H--NOX Mass Emissions Provisions
0
29. Amend Sec. 75.72 by:
0
a. In paragraph (c)(3), removing ``appendix B of this part'' and adding
in its place ``appendix B to this part'';
0
b. In paragraph (e)(1)(ii), removing ``heat input from'' and adding in
its place ``heat input rate to'';
0
c. In paragraph (e)(2), removing ``appendix D of this part'' and adding
in its place ``appendix D to this part''; and
[[Page 36896]]
0
d. Adding paragraph (f).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 75.72 Determination of NOX mass emissions for common stack and
multiple stack configurations.
* * * * *
(f) Procedures for apportioning hourly NOX mass emission rate to
the unit level. If the owner or operator of a unit determining hourly
NOX mass emission rate at a common stack under this section
is subject to a State or Federal NOX mass emissions
reduction program under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or
under a state implementation plan approved pursuant to Sec.
52.38(b)(12) of this chapter, then on and after January 1, 2024, the
owner or operator shall apportion the hourly NOX mass
emissions rate at the common stack to each unit using the common stack
based on the ratio of the hourly heat input rate for each such unit to
the total hourly heat input rate for all such units, in conjunction
with the appropriate unit and stack operating times, according to the
procedures in section 8.5.3 of appendix F to this part.
* * * * *
0
30. Amend Sec. 75.73 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (a)(3);
0
b. In paragraph (c)(1), removing ``NOX emissions'' and
adding in its place ``NOX emissions'';
0
c. Adding a heading to paragraph (c)(2);
0
d. Revising paragraphs (c)(3) and (f)(1) introductory text;
0
e. Removing and reserving paragraph (f)(1)(i)(B);
0
f. In paragraph (f)(1)(ii)(G), removing ``appendix D;'' and adding in
its place ``appendix D to this part;'';
0
g. Adding paragraphs (f)(1)(ix) and (x);
0
h. Adding a heading to paragraph (f)(2); and
0
i. Revising paragraph (f)(4).
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 75.73 Recordkeeping and reporting.
(a) * * *
(3) For each hour when the unit is operating, NOX mass
emission rate, calculated in accordance with section 8 of appendix F to
this part.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
(2) Monitoring plan updates. * * *
(3) Contents of the monitoring plan. Each monitoring plan shall
contain the information in Sec. 75.53(g)(1) in electronic format and
the information in Sec. 75.53(g)(2) in hardcopy format. In addition,
to the extent applicable, each monitoring plan shall contain the
information in Sec. 75.53(h)(1)(i) and (h)(2)(i) in electronic format
and the information in Sec. 75.53(h)(1)(ii) and (h)(2)(ii) in hardcopy
format. For units using the low mass emissions excepted methodology
under Sec. 75.19, the monitoring plan shall include the additional
information in Sec. 75.53(h)(4)(i) and (ii). The monitoring plan also
shall include a seasonal controls indicator and an ozone season fuel-
switching flag.
* * * * *
(f) * * *
(1) Electronic submission. The designated representative for an
affected unit shall electronically report the data and information in
this paragraph (f)(1) and in paragraphs (f)(2) and (3) of this section
to the Administrator quarterly, unless the unit has been placed in
long-term cold storage (as defined in Sec. 72.2 of this chapter). Each
electronic report must be submitted to the Administrator within 30 days
following the end of each calendar quarter. Each electronic report
shall include the information provided in paragraphs (f)(1)(i) through
(x) of this section and shall also include the date of report
generation. A unit placed into long-term cold storage is exempted from
submitting quarterly reports beginning with the calendar quarter
following the quarter in which the unit is placed into long-term cold
storage, provided that the owner or operator shall submit quarterly
reports for the unit beginning with the data from the quarter in which
the unit recommences operation (where the initial quarterly report
contains hourly data beginning with the first hour of recommenced
operation of the unit).
* * * * *
(ix) On and after on January 1, 2024, for a unit subject to subpart
GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or a state implementation plan
approved under Sec. 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter and determining
NOX mass emission rate at a common stack, apportioned hourly
NOX mass emission rate for the unit, lb/hr.
(x) On and after January 1, 2024, for a unit that is subject to
subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter or a state implementation plan
approved under Sec. 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter, that lists coal or a
solid coal-derived fuel as a fuel in the unit's monitoring plan under
Sec. 75.53 for any portion of the ozone season in the year for which
data are being reported, that serves a generator of 100 MW or larger
nameplate capacity, and that is not a circulating fluidized bed boiler,
provided that through December 31, 2029, the requirements under this
paragraph (f)(1)(x) shall apply to a unit in a given calendar year only
if the unit also was equipped with selective catalytic reduction
controls on or before September 30 of the previous year:
(A) Daily NOX emissions (lbs) for each day of the
reporting period;
(B) Daily heat input (mmBtu) for each day of the reporting period;
(C) Daily average NOX emission rate (lb/mmBtu, rounded
to the nearest thousandth) for each day of the reporting period;
(D) Daily NOX emissions (lbs) exceeding the applicable
backstop daily NOX emission rate for each day of the
reporting period;
(E) Cumulative NOX emissions (tons, rounded to the
nearest tenth) exceeding the applicable backstop daily NOX
emission rate during the ozone season; and
(F) Cumulative NOX emissions (tons, rounded to the
nearest tenth) exceeding the applicable backstop daily NOX
emission rate during the ozone season by more than 50 tons, calculated
as the remainder of the amount calculated under paragraph (f)(1)(x)(E)
of this section minus 50, but not less than zero.
(2) Verification of identification codes and formulas. * * *
(4) Electronic format, method of submission, and explanatory
information. The designated representative shall comply with all of the
quarterly reporting requirements in Sec. 75.64(d), (f), and (g).
0
31. Revise Sec. 75.75 to read as follows:
Sec. 75.75 Additional ozone season calculation procedures.
(a) The owner or operator of a unit that is required to calculate
daily or ozone season heat input shall do so by summing the unit's
hourly heat input determined according to the procedures in this part
for all hours in which the unit operated during the day or ozone
season.
(b) The owner or operator of a unit that is required to determine
daily or ozone season NOX emission rate (in lbs/mmBtu) shall
do so by dividing daily or ozone season NOX mass emissions
(in lbs) determined in accordance with this subpart, by daily or ozone
season heat input determined in accordance with paragraph (a) of this
section.
0
32. Amend appendix F to part 75 by:
0
a. Adding section 5.3.3;
0
b. In section 8.1.2, revising the introductory text preceding Equation
F-25;
0
c. In section 8.4, revising the introductory text, paragraph (a)
introductory text (preceding Equation F-27), and paragraph (b)
introductory text (preceding Equation F-27a) and adding paragraph (c);
0
d. In section 8.5.2, removing ``the hourly NOX mass
emissions at each
[[Page 36897]]
unit'' and adding in its place ``hourly NOX mass emissions
at the common stack''; and
0
e. Adding section 8.5.3.
The additions and revisions read as follows:
Appendix F to Part 75--Conversion Procedures
* * * * *
5. Procedures for Heat Input
* * * * *
5.3 Heat Input Summation (for Heat Input Determined Using a Flow
Monitor and Diluent Monitor)
* * * * *
5.3.3 Calculate total daily heat input for a unit using a flow
monitor and diluent monitor to calculate heat input, using the
following equation:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.003
Where:
HId = Total heat input for a unit for the day, mmBtu.
HIh = Heat input rate for the unit for hour ``h'' from
Equation F-15, F-16, F-17, F-18, F-21a, or F-21b to this appendix,
mmBtu/hr.
th = Unit operating time, fraction of the hour (0.00 to
1.00, in equal increments from one hundredth to one quarter of an
hour, at the option of the owner or operator).
h = Designation of a particular hour.
* * * * *
8. Procedures for NOX Mass Emissions
* * * * *
8.1.2 If NOX emission rate is measured at a common
stack and heat input rate is measured at the unit level, calculate
the hourly heat input rate at the common stack according to the
following formula:
* * * * *
8.4 Use the following equations to calculate daily, quarterly,
cumulative ozone season, and cumulative year-to-date NOX
mass emissions:
(a) When hourly NOX mass emissions are reported in
lb., use Eq. F-27 to this appendix to calculate quarterly,
cumulative ozone season, and cumulative year-to-date NOX
mass emissions in tons.
* * * * *
(b) When hourly NOX mass emission rate is reported in
lb/hr, use Eq. F-27a to this appendix to calculate quarterly,
cumulative ozone season, and cumulative year-to-date NOX
mass emissions in tons.
* * * * *
(c) To calculate daily NOX mass emissions for a unit
in pounds, use Eq. F-27b to this appendix.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.004
Where:
M(NOX)d = NOX mass emissions for a unit for
the day, pounds.
E(NOX)h = NOX mass emission rate for the unit
for hour ``h'' from Equation F-24a, F-26a, F-26b, or F-28, lb/hr.
th = Unit operating time, fraction of the hour (0.00 to
1.00, in equal increments from one hundredth to one quarter of an
hour, at the option of the owner or operator).
h = Designation of a particular hour.
* * * * *
8.5.3 Where applicable, the owner or operator of a unit that
determines hourly NOX mass emission rate at a common
stack shall apportion hourly NOX mass emissions rate to
the units using the common stack based on the hourly heat input
rate, using Equation F-28 to this appendix:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR05JN23.005
Where:
E(NOX)i = Apportioned NOX mass emission rate
for the hour for unit ``i'', lb/hr.
E(NOX)CS = NOX mass emission rate for the hour
at the common stack, lb/hr.
HIi = Heat input rate for the hour for unit ``i'','' from
Equation F-15, F-16, F-17, F-18, F-21a, or F-21b to this appendix,
mmBtu/hr.
ti = Operating time for unit ``i'', fraction of the hour
(0.00 to 1.00, in equal increments from one hundredth to one quarter
of an hour, at the option of the owner or operator).
tCS = Common stack operating time, fraction of the hour
(0.00 to 1.00, in equal increments from one hundredth to one quarter
of an hour, at the option of the owner or operator).
n = Number of units using the common stack.
i = Designation of a particular unit.
* * * * *
PART 78--APPEAL PROCEDURES
0
33. The authority citation for part 78 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401-7671q.
0
34. Amend Sec. 78.1 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (b)(13)(i), (b)(14)(i), (b)(15)(i), (b)(16)(i), and
(b)(17)(i), removing ``decision on the'' and adding in its place
``calculation of an'';
[[Page 36898]]
0
b. In paragraph (b)(17)(viii), adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec.
97.826(d)'';
0
c. In paragraph (b)(17)(ix), adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec.
97.811(d)'';
0
d. In paragraph (b)(18)(i), removing ``decision on the'' and adding in
its place ``calculation of an''; and
0
e. Revising paragraph (b)(19).
The revision reads as follows:
Sec. 78.1 Purpose and scope.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(19) Under subpart GGGGG of part 97 of this chapter:
(i) The calculation of a dynamic trading budget under Sec.
97.1010(a)(4) of this chapter.
(ii) The calculation of an allocation of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under Sec. 97.1011 or Sec. 97.1012 of this
chapter.
(iii) The decision on the transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under Sec. 97.1023 of this chapter.
(iv) The decision on the deduction of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under Sec. 97.1024, Sec. 97.1025, or Sec.
97.1026(d) of this chapter.
(v) The correction of an error in an Allowance Management System
account under Sec. 97.1027 of this chapter.
(vi) The adjustment of information in a submission and the decision
on the deduction and transfer of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances based on the information as adjusted under Sec.
97.1028 of this chapter.
(vii) The finalization of control period emissions data, including
retroactive adjustment based on audit.
(viii) The approval or disapproval of a petition under Sec.
97.1035 of this chapter.
* * * * *
PART 97--FEDERAL NOX BUDGET TRADING PROGRAM, CAIR NOX AND SO2
TRADING PROGRAMS, CSAPR NOX AND SO2 TRADING PROGRAMS, AND TEXAS SO2
TRADING PROGRAM
0
35. The authority citation for part 97 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401, 7403, 7410, 7426, 7491, 7601, and
7651, et seq.
Subpart AAAAA--CSAPR NOX Annual Trading Program
Sec. 97.402 [Amended]
0
36. Amend Sec. 97.402 by:
0
a. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(i) and (ii), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(i), and'';
0
b. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and''; and
0
c. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(v), and'' and adding in its place
``(b)(2)(iii), and''.
Sec. 97.411 [Amended]
0
37. Amend Sec. 97.411 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``State, in
accordance'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, in accordance''; and
0
b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``Indian country within
the borders of a State, in accordance'' and adding in its place ``areas
of Indian country within the borders of a State not subject to the
State's SIP authority, in accordance''.
Sec. 97.412 [Amended]
0
38. Amend Sec. 97.412 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text, removing ``State, the
Administrator'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, the Administrator'';
0
b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5), adding ``and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority'' after ``in the State'';
0
c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing ``State, is allocated'' and adding in
its place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority, is allocated'';
0
d. In paragraph (b) introductory text, removing ``Indian country within
the borders of each State, the Administrator'' and adding in its place
``areas of Indian country within the borders of each State not subject
to the State's SIP authority, the Administrator''; and
0
e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority''.
Sec. 97.426 [Amended]
0
39. In Sec. 97.426, amend paragraph (c) by:
0
a. Removing ``set forth in'' and adding in its place ``established
under''; and
0
b. Removing ``State (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``State (and
Indian''.
Subpart BBBBB--CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program
Sec. 97.502 [Amended]
0
40. Amend Sec. 97.502 by:
0
a. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(i) and (ii), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(i), and'';
0
b. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and'';
0
c. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance'':
0
i. Adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec. 97.826(d)''; and
0
ii. Adding ``or less'' after ``one ton'';
0
d. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(v), and'' and adding in its place
``(b)(2)(iii), and''; and
0
e. In the definition of ``State'', removing ``(b)(2)(i) and (ii), and''
and adding in its place ``(b)(2)(i), and''.
Sec. 97.511 [Amended]
0
41. Amend Sec. 97.511 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``State, in
accordance'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, in accordance''; and
0
b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``Indian country within
the borders of a State, in accordance'' and adding in its place ``areas
of Indian country within the borders of a State not subject to the
State's SIP authority, in accordance''.
Sec. 97.512 [Amended]
0
42. Amend Sec. 97.512 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text, removing ``State, the
Administrator'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, the Administrator'';
0
b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5), adding ``and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority'' after ``in the State'';
0
c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing ``State, is allocated'' and adding in
its place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority, is allocated'';
0
d. In paragraph (b) introductory text, removing ``Indian country within
the borders of each State, the Administrator'' and adding in its place
``areas of Indian country within the borders of each State not subject
to the
[[Page 36899]]
State's SIP authority, the Administrator''; and
0
e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority''.
0
43. Amend Sec. 97.526 by:
0
a. In paragraph (c):
0
i. Removing ``set forth in'' and adding in its place ``established
under''; and
0
ii. Removing ``State (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``State (and
Indian'';
0
b. In paragraph (d)(1) introductory text, removing ``Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(i) of this chapter (or'' and adding in its place ``Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(i)(A) of this chapter (and'';
0
c. In paragraph (d)(1)(ii), removing ``except a State listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(i)'' and adding in its place ``listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(ii)'';
0
d. In paragraph (d)(1)(iv), removing ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii) or (iv)
of this chapter (or'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)
of this chapter (and'';
0
e. Revising paragraph (d)(2)(i);
0
f. In paragraph (d)(2)(ii), removing ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(v) of this
chapter (or'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of
this chapter (and'';
0
g. Adding paragraph (d)(2)(iii);
0
h. In paragraph (e)(1), removing ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii) of this
chapter (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(i)(B)
of this chapter (and Indian'';
0
i. In paragraph (e)(2), removing ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iv) of this
chapter (or'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B) of
this chapter (and''; and
0
j. Adding paragraph (e)(3).
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 97.526 Banking and conversion.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(2)(i) Except as provided in paragraphs (d)(2)(ii) and (iii) of
this section, after the Administrator has carried out the procedures
set forth in paragraph (d)(1) of this section, upon any determination
that would otherwise result in the initial recordation of a given
number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances in the
compliance account for a source in a State listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(ii) of this chapter (and Indian country within the borders
of such a State), the Administrator will not record such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances but instead will
allocate and record in such account an amount of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances for the control period in 2017 computed
as the quotient, rounded up to the nearest allowance, of such given
number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances divided
by the conversion factor determined under paragraph (d)(1)(ii) of this
section.
* * * * *
(iii) After the Administrator has carried out the procedures set
forth in paragraph (d)(1) of this section and Sec. 97.826(e)(1), upon
any determination that would otherwise result in the initial
recordation of a given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 1 allowances in the compliance account for a source in a State
listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this chapter (and Indian country
within the borders of such a State), the Administrator will not record
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances but instead
will allocate and record in such account an amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for the control period
in 2023 computed as the quotient, rounded up to the nearest allowance,
of such given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
allowances divided by the conversion factor determined under paragraph
(d)(1)(ii) of this section and further divided by the conversion factor
determined under Sec. 97.826(e)(1)(ii).
(e) * * *
(3) After the Administrator has carried out the procedures set
forth in paragraph (d)(1) of this section and Sec. 97.826(e)(1), the
owner or operator of a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 source
in a State listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(C) of this chapter (and
Indian country within the borders of such a State) may satisfy a
requirement to hold a given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 1 allowances for the control period in 2015 or 2016 by holding
instead, in a general account established for this sole purpose, an
amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for the
control period in 2023 (or any later control period for which the
allowance transfer deadline defined in Sec. 97.1002 has passed)
computed as the quotient, rounded up to the nearest allowance, of such
given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 allowances
divided by the conversion factor determined under paragraph (d)(1)(ii)
of this section and further divided by the conversion factor determined
under Sec. 97.826(e)(1)(ii).
Subpart CCCCC--CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program
Sec. 97.602 [Amended]
0
44. Amend Sec. 97.602 by:
0
a. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(i) and (ii), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(i), and'';
0
b. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and''; and
0
c. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(v), and'' and adding in its place
``(b)(2)(iii), and''.
Sec. 97.611 [Amended]
0
45. Amend Sec. 97.611 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``State, in
accordance'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, in accordance''; and
0
b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``Indian country within
the borders of a State, in accordance'' and adding in its place ``areas
of Indian country within the borders of a State not subject to the
State's SIP authority, in accordance''.
Sec. 97.612 [Amended]
0
46. Amend Sec. 97.612 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text, removing ``State, the
Administrator'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, the Administrator'';
0
b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5), adding ``and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority'' after ``in the State'';
0
c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing ``State, is allocated'' and adding in
its place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority, is allocated'';
0
d. In paragraph (b) introductory text, removing ``Indian country within
the borders of each State, the Administrator'' and adding in its place
``areas of Indian country within the borders of each State not subject
to the State's SIP authority, the Administrator''; and
0
e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority''.
Sec. 97.626 [Amended]
0
47. In Sec. 97.626, amend paragraph (c) by:
0
a. Removing ``set forth in'' and adding in its place ``established
under''; and
[[Page 36900]]
0
b. Removing ``State (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``State (and
Indian''.
Subpart DDDDD--CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading Program
0
48. Amend Sec. 97.702 by:
0
a. In the definition of ``Alternate designated representative'',
removing ``or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, then'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program, then'';
0
b. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(i) and (ii), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(i), and'';
0
c. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and'';
0
d. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program''; and
0
e. In the definition of ``Designated representative'', removing ``or
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program, then'' and
adding in its place ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program,
then''.
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 97.702 Definitions.
* * * * *
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program means a multi-state
NOX air pollution control and emission reduction program
established in accordance with subpart GGGGG of this part and Sec.
52.38(b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and (b)(10) through (14) and (17) of this
chapter (including such a program that is revised in a SIP revision
approved by the Administrator under Sec. 52.38(b)(10) or (11) of this
chapter or that is established in a SIP revision approved by the
Administrator under Sec. 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter), as a means of
mitigating interstate transport of ozone and NOX.
* * * * *
Sec. 97.711 [Amended]
0
49. Amend Sec. 97.711 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``State, in
accordance'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, in accordance''; and
0
b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``Indian country within
the borders of a State, in accordance'' and adding in its place ``areas
of Indian country within the borders of a State not subject to the
State's SIP authority, in accordance''.
Sec. 97.712 [Amended]
0
50. Amend Sec. 97.712 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text, removing ``State, the
Administrator'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, the Administrator'';
0
b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5), adding ``and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority'' after ``in the State'';
0
c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing ``State, is allocated'' and adding in
its place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority, is allocated'';
0
d. In paragraph (b) introductory text, removing ``Indian country within
the borders of each State, the Administrator'' and adding in its place
``areas of Indian country within the borders of each State not subject
to the State's SIP authority, the Administrator''; and
0
e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority''.
Sec. 97.726 [Amended]
0
51. In Sec. 97.726, amend paragraph (c) by:
0
a. Removing ``set forth in'' and adding in its place ``established
under''; and
0
b. Removing ``State (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``State (and
Indian''.
Sec. 97.734 [Amended]
0
52. In Sec. 97.734, amend paragraph (d)(3) by removing ``or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program, quarterly'' and
adding in its place ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program,
quarterly''.
Subpart EEEEE--CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program
0
53. Amend Sec. 97.802 by:
0
a. In the definition of ``Assurance account'', removing ``base CSAPR''
and adding in its place ``CSAPR'';
0
b. Removing the definitions for ``Base CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 source'' and ``Base CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 unit'';
0
c. In the definition of ``Common designated representative'', removing
``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'';
0
d. In the definition of ``Common designated representative's assurance
level'', revising paragraph (1);
0
e. In the definition of ``Common designated representative's share'',
removing ``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'' each time it
appears;
0
f. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and'';
0
g. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance'':
0
i. Adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec. 97.826(d)''; and
0
ii. Adding ``or less'' after ``one ton'';
0
h. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(v), and'' and adding in its place
``(b)(2)(iii), and''; and
0
i. In the definition of ``State'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv),
and'' and adding in its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and''.
The revision reads as follows:
Sec. 97.802 Definitions.
* * * * *
Common designated representative's assurance level * * *
(1) The amount (rounded to the nearest allowance) equal to the sum
of the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for such control period to the group of one or
more CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 units in such State (and
such Indian country) having the common designated representative for
such control period and the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances purchased by an owner or operator of such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 units in an auction for such
control period and submitted by the State or the permitting authority
to the Administrator for recordation in the compliance accounts for
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 units in accordance with
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance auction
provisions in a SIP revision approved by the Administrator under Sec.
52.38(b)(8) or (9) of this chapter, multiplied by the sum of the State
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 trading budget under Sec.
97.810(a) and the State's variability limit under Sec. 97.810(b) for
such control period, and divided by such State NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 trading budget;
* * * * *
Sec. 97.806 [Amended]
0
54. Amend Sec. 97.806 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (c)(2)(i) introductory text, (c)(2)(i)(B), and
(c)(2)(iii) and (iv),
[[Page 36901]]
removing ``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'' each time it
appears;
0
b. In paragraph (c)(3)(i), removing ``paragraph (c)(1)'' and adding in
its place ``paragraphs (c)(1) and (2)''; and
0
c. Removing and reserving paragraph (c)(3)(ii).
Sec. 97.810 [Amended]
0
55. In Sec. 97.810, amend paragraphs (a)(1)(i) through (iii),
(a)(2)(i) and (ii), (a)(12)(i) through (iii), (a)(13)(i) and (ii),
(a)(17)(i) through (iii), (a)(20)(i) through (iii), (a)(23)(i) through
(iii), and (b)(1), (2), (12), (13), (17), (20), and (23) by removing
``and thereafter'' and adding in its place ``through 2022''.
0
56. Amend Sec. 97.811 by:
0
a. In paragraphs (b)(1)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``State, in
accordance'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, in accordance'';
0
b. In paragraphs (b)(2)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``Indian country within
the borders of a State, in accordance'' and adding in its place ``areas
of Indian country within the borders of a State not subject to the
State's SIP authority, in accordance'';
0
c. In paragraph (d)(1), removing ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iv) of this
chapter (or'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B) of
this chapter (and''; and
0
d. Adding paragraph (e).
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 97.811 Timing requirements for CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance allocations.
* * * * *
(e) Recall of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated
for control periods after 2022. (1) Notwithstanding any other provision
of this subpart, part 52 of this chapter, or any SIP revision approved
under Sec. 52.38(b) of this chapter, the provisions of this paragraph
(e)(1) and paragraphs (e)(2) through (7) of this section shall apply
with regard to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
that was allocated for a control period after 2022 to any unit
(including a permanently retired unit qualifying for an exemption under
Sec. 97.805) in a State listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(C) of this
chapter (and Indian country within the borders of such a State) and
that was initially recorded in the compliance account for the source
that includes the unit, whether such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowance was allocated pursuant to this subpart or pursuant to
a SIP revision approved under Sec. 52.38(b) of this chapter and
whether such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
remains in such compliance account or has been transferred to another
Allowance Management System account.
(2)(i) For each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
described in paragraph (e)(1) of this section that was allocated for a
given control period and initially recorded in a given source's
compliance account, one CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance that was allocated for the same or an earlier control period
and initially recorded in the same or any other Allowance Management
System account must be surrendered in accordance with the procedures in
paragraphs (e)(3) and (4) of this section.
(ii)(A) The surrender requirement under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this
section corresponding to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance described in paragraph (e)(1) of this section initially
recorded in a given source's compliance account shall apply to such
source's current owners and operators, except as provided in paragraph
(e)(2)(ii)(B) of this section.
(B) If the owners and operators of a given source as of a given
date assumed ownership and operational control of the source through a
transaction that did not also provide rights to direct the use or
transfer of a given CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance
described in paragraph (e)(1) of this section with regard to such
source (whether recordation of such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowance in the source's compliance account occurred before
such transaction or was anticipated to occur after such transaction),
then the surrender requirement under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this
section corresponding to such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance shall apply to the most recent former owners and operators of
the source before the occurrence of such a transaction.
(C) The Administrator will not adjudicate any private legal dispute
among the owners and operators of a source or among the former owners
and operators of a source, including any disputes relating to the
requirements to surrender CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances for the source under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section.
(3)(i) As soon as practicable on or after August 4, 2023, the
Administrator will send a notification to the designated representative
for each source described in paragraph (e)(1) of this section
identifying the amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for each control period after 2022 and recorded in
the source's compliance account and the corresponding surrender
requirements for the source under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section.
(ii) As soon as practicable on or after August 21, 2023, the
Administrator will deduct from the compliance account for each source
described in paragraph (e)(1) of this section CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances eligible to satisfy the surrender
requirements for the source under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section
until all such surrender requirements for the source are satisfied or
until no more CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
eligible to satisfy such surrender requirements remain in such
compliance account.
(iii) As soon as practicable after completion of the deductions
under paragraph (e)(3)(ii) of this section, the Administrator will
identify for each source described in paragraph (e)(1) of this section
the amounts, if any, of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for each control period after 2022 and recorded in
the source's compliance account for which the corresponding surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section have not been
satisfied and will send a notification concerning such identified
amounts to the designated representative for the source.
(iv) With regard to each source for which unsatisfied surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section remain after the
deductions under paragraph (e)(3)(ii) of this section:
(A) Except as provided in paragraph (e)(3)(iv)(B) of this section,
not later than September 15, 2023, the owners and operators of the
source shall hold sufficient CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances eligible to satisfy such unsatisfied surrender requirements
under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section in the source's compliance
account.
(B) With regard to any portion of such unsatisfied surrender
requirements that apply to former owners and operators of the source
pursuant to paragraph (e)(2)(ii)(B) of this section, not later than
September 15, 2023, such former owners and operators shall hold
sufficient CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances
eligible to satisfy such portion of the unsatisfied surrender
requirements under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section either in the
source's compliance account or in another Allowance Management System
account identified to the Administrator on or before such date in a
submission by the authorized account representative for such account.
(C) As soon as practicable on or after September 15, 2023, the
Administrator will deduct from the Allowance
[[Page 36902]]
Management System account identified in accordance with paragraph
(e)(3)(iv)(A) or (B) of this section CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 allowances eligible to satisfy the surrender requirements for
the source under paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section until all such
surrender requirements for the source are satisfied or until no more
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances eligible to
satisfy such surrender requirements remain in such account.
(v) When making deductions under paragraph (e)(3)(ii) or (iv) of
this section to address the surrender requirements under paragraph
(e)(2)(i) of this section for a given source:
(A) The Administrator will make deductions to address any surrender
requirements with regard to first the 2023 control period and then the
2024 control period.
(B) When making deductions to address the surrender requirements
with regard to a given control period, the Administrator will first
deduct CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated
for such given control period and will then deduct CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated for each successively earlier
control period in sequence.
(C) When deducting CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances allocated for a given control period from a given Allowance
Management System account, the Administrator will first deduct CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances initially recorded in
the account under Sec. 97.821 (if the account is a compliance account)
in the order of recordation and will then deduct CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances recorded in the account under Sec.
97.526(d) or Sec. 97.823 in the order of recordation.
(4)(i) To the extent the surrender requirements under paragraph
(e)(2)(i) of this section corresponding to any CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated for a control period after
2022 and initially recorded in a given source's compliance account have
not been fully satisfied through the deductions under paragraph (e)(3)
of this section, as soon as practicable on or after November 15, 2023,
the Administrator will deduct such initially recorded CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances from any Allowance
Management System accounts in which such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances are held, making such deductions in any order
determined by the Administrator, until all such surrender requirements
for such source have been satisfied or until all such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances have been deducted,
except as provided in paragraph (e)(4)(ii) of this section.
(ii) If no person with an ownership interest in a given CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance as of April 30, 2022, was
an owner or operator of the source in whose compliance account such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance was initially
recorded, was a direct or indirect parent or subsidiary of an owner or
operator of such source, or was directly or indirectly under common
ownership with an owner or operator of such source, the Administrator
will not deduct such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance under paragraph (e)(4)(i) of this section. For purposes of
this paragraph (e)(4)(ii), each owner or operator of a source shall be
deemed to be a person with an ownership interest in any CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance held in that source's
compliance account. The limitation established by this paragraph
(e)(4)(ii) on the deductibility of certain CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances under paragraph (e)(4)(i) of this section
shall not be construed as a waiver of the surrender requirements under
paragraph (e)(2)(i) of this section corresponding to such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances.
(iii) Not less than 45 days before the planned date for any
deductions under paragraph (e)(4)(i) of this section, the Administrator
will send a notification to the authorized account representative for
the Allowance Management System account from which such deductions will
be made identifying the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances to be deducted and the data upon which the Administrator has
relied and specifying a process for submission of any objections to
such data. Any objections must be submitted to the Administrator not
later than 15 days before the planned date for such deductions as
indicated in such notification.
(5) To the extent the surrender requirements under paragraph
(e)(2)(i) of this section corresponding to any CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 allowances allocated for a control period after
2022 and initially recorded in a given source's compliance account have
not been fully satisfied through the deductions under paragraphs (e)(3)
and (4) of this section:
(i) The persons identified in accordance with paragraph (e)(2)(ii)
of this section with regard to such source and each such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance shall pay any fine,
penalty, or assessment or comply with any other remedy imposed under
the Clean Air Act; and
(ii) Each such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowance,
and each day in such control period, shall constitute a separate
violation of this subpart and the Clean Air Act.
(6) The Administrator will record in the appropriate Allowance
Management System accounts all deductions of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances under paragraphs (e)(3) and (4) of this
section.
(7)(i) Each submission, objection, or other written communication
from a designated representative, authorized account representative, or
other person to the Administrator under paragraph (e)(2), (3), or (4)
of this section shall be sent electronically to the email address
[email protected]. Each such communication from a designated representative
must contain the certification statement set forth in Sec. 97.814(a),
and each such communication from the authorized account representative
for a general account must contain the certification statement set
forth in Sec. 97.820(c)(2)(ii).
(ii) Each notification from the Administrator to a designated
representative or authorized account representative under paragraph
(e)(3) or (4) of this section will be sent electronically to the email
address most recently received by the Administrator for such
representative. In any such notification, the Administrator may provide
information by means of a reference to a publicly accessible website
where the information is available.
Sec. 97.812 [Amended]
0
57. Amend Sec. 97.812 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a) introductory text, removing ``State, the
Administrator'' and adding in its place ``State and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority, the Administrator'';
0
b. In paragraphs (a)(3)(iii) and (a)(5), adding ``and areas of Indian
country within the borders of the State subject to the State's SIP
authority'' after ``in the State'';
0
c. In paragraph (a)(10), removing ``State, is allocated'' and adding in
its place ``State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the
State subject to the State's SIP authority, is allocated'';
0
d. In paragraph (b) introductory text, removing ``Indian country within
the borders of each State, the Administrator'' and adding in its place
``areas of Indian country within the borders of each State not subject
to the
[[Page 36903]]
State's SIP authority, the Administrator''; and
0
e. In paragraph (b)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority''.
Sec. 97.825 [Amended]
0
58. In Sec. 97.825, amend paragraphs (a) introductory text, (a)(2),
(b)(1)(i), (b)(1)(ii)(A) and (B), (b)(3), (b)(4)(i), (b)(5), (b)(6)(i),
(b)(6)(iii) introductory text, and (b)(6)(iii)(A) and (B) by removing
``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'' each time it appears.
0
59. Amend Sec. 97.826 by:
0
a. In paragraph (b), removing ``(c) or (d)'' and adding in its place
``(c), (d), or (e)'';
0
b. In paragraph (c):
0
i. Removing ``set forth in'' and adding in its place ``established
under''; and
0
ii. Removing ``State (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``State (and
Indian'';
0
c. In paragraphs (d)(1)(i)(A) and (B), removing ``Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(iv)'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B)'';
0
d. Revising paragraph (d)(1)(i)(C);
0
e. In paragraph (d)(1)(ii) introductory text, removing ``Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(v)'' and adding in its place ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A)'';
0
f. In paragraphs (d)(2)(i) and (d)(3), removing ``Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(v)
of this chapter (or'' and adding in its place ``Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter (and'';
0
g. Redesignating paragraph (e) as paragraph (f) and adding a new
paragraph (e); and
0
h. Revising newly redesignated paragraphs (f)(1) and (2).
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 97.826 Banking and conversion.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(1) * * *
(i) * * *
(C) The full-season CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance bank target, computed as the sum for all States listed in
Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter of the variability limits
under Sec. 97.1010(e) for such States for the control period in 2022.
* * * * *
(e) Notwithstanding any other provision of this subpart, part 52 of
this chapter, or any SIP revision approved under Sec. 52.38(b)(8) or
(9) of this chapter:
(1) By September 18, 2023, the Administrator will temporarily
suspend acceptance of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowance transfers submitted under Sec. 97.822 and, before resuming
acceptance of such transfers, will take the following actions with
regard to every general account and every compliance account except a
compliance account for a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
source in a State listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(A) of this chapter
(and Indian country within the borders of such a State):
(i) The Administrator will deduct all CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances allocated for the control periods in 2017
through 2022 from each such account.
(ii) The Administrator will determine a conversion factor equal to
the greater of 1.0000 or the quotient, expressed to four decimal
places, of--
(A) The sum of all CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances deducted from all such accounts under paragraph (e)(1)(i) of
this section; divided by
(B) The product of the sum of the variability limits for the
control period in 2024 under Sec. 97.1010(e) for all States listed in
Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) and (C) of this chapter multiplied by a
fraction whose numerator is the number of days from August 4, 2023
through September 30, 2023, inclusive, and whose denominator is 153.
(iii) The Administrator will allocate and record in each such
account an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period in 2023 computed as the quotient,
rounded up to the nearest allowance, of the number of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances deducted from such
account under paragraph (e)(1)(i) of this section divided by the
conversion factor determined under paragraph (e)(1)(ii) of this
section, except as provided in paragraph (e)(1)(iv) or (v) of this
section.
(iv) Where, pursuant to paragraph (e)(1)(i) of this section, the
Administrator deducts CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances from the compliance account for a source in a State not
listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii) of this chapter (and Indian country
within the borders of such a State), the Administrator will not record
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances in that compliance
account but instead will allocate and record the amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for the control period
in 2023 computed for such source in accordance with paragraph
(e)(1)(iii) of this section in a general account identified by the
designated representative for such source, provided that if the
designated representative fails to identify such a general account in a
submission to the Administrator by September 18, 2023, the
Administrator may record such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances in a general account identified or established by the
Administrator with the designated representative as the authorized
account representative and with the owners and operators of such source
(as indicated on the certificate of representation for the source) as
the persons represented by the authorized account representative.
(v)(A) In computing any amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances to be allocated to and recorded in general
accounts under paragraph (e)(1)(iii) of this section, the Administrator
may group multiple general accounts whose ownership interests are held
by the same or related persons or entities and treat the group of
accounts as a single account for purposes of such computation.
(B) Following a computation for a group of general accounts in
accordance with paragraph (e)(1)(v)(A) of this section, the
Administrator will allocate to and record in each individual account in
such group a proportional share of the quantity of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances computed for such group, basing such
shares on the respective quantities of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances removed from such individual accounts under
paragraph (e)(1)(i) of this section.
(C) In determining the proportional shares under paragraph
(e)(1)(v)(B) of this section, the Administrator may employ any
reasonable adjustment methodology to truncate or round each such share
up or down to a whole number and to cause the total of such whole
numbers to equal the amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances computed for such group of accounts in accordance with
paragraph (e)(1)(v)(A) of this section, even where such adjustments
cause the numbers of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances allocated to some individual accounts to equal zero.
(2) After the Administrator has carried out the procedures set
forth in paragraph (e)(1) of this section, upon any determination that
would otherwise result in the initial recordation of a given number of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances in the compliance
account for a source in a State listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of
this chapter (and Indian country within the borders of such a State),
the Administrator will not record such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 allowances but instead will allocate and record in such
account an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period in
[[Page 36904]]
2023 computed as the quotient, rounded up to the nearest allowance, of
such given number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
allowances divided by the conversion factor determined under paragraph
(e)(1)(ii) of this section.
(f) * * *
(1) After the Administrator has carried out the procedures set
forth in paragraph (d)(1) of this section, the owner or operator of a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 source in a State listed in
Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(B) of this chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State) may satisfy a requirement to hold a given
number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances for a
control period in 2017 through 2020 by holding instead, in a general
account established for this sole purpose, an amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for the control period
in 2021 (or any later control period for which the allowance transfer
deadline defined in Sec. 97.1002 has passed) computed as the quotient,
rounded up to the nearest allowance, of such given number of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances divided by the
conversion factor determined under paragraph (d)(1)(i)(D) of this
section.
(2) After the Administrator has carried out the procedures set
forth in paragraph (e)(1) of this section, the owner or operator of a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 source in a State listed in
Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(ii)(C) of this chapter (and Indian country within the
borders of such a State) may satisfy a requirement to hold a given
number of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances for a
control period in 2017 through 2022 by holding instead, in a general
account established for this sole purpose, an amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for the control period
in 2023 (or any later control period for which the allowance transfer
deadline defined in Sec. 97.1002 has passed) computed as the quotient,
rounded up to the nearest allowance, of such given number of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 allowances divided by the
conversion factor determined under paragraph (e)(1)(ii) of this
section.
Subpart FFFFF--Texas SO2 Trading Program
0
60. Amend Sec. 97.902 by:
0
a. In the definition of ``Alternate designated representative'',
removing ``Program or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, then'' and adding in its place ``Program, CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 Trading Program, then'';
0
b. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and'';
0
c. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program''; and
0
d. In the definition of ``Designated representative'', removing
``Program or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program,
then'' and adding in its place ``Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 Trading Program, then''.
The addition reads as follows:
Sec. 97.902 Definitions.
* * * * *
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program means a multi-state
NOX air pollution control and emission reduction program
established in accordance with subpart GGGGG of this part and Sec.
52.38(b)(1), (b)(2)(iii), and (b)(10) through (14) and (17) of this
chapter (including such a program that is revised in a SIP revision
approved by the Administrator under Sec. 52.38(b)(10) or (11) of this
chapter or that is established in a SIP revision approved by the
Administrator under Sec. 52.38(b)(12) of this chapter), as a means of
mitigating interstate transport of ozone and NOX.
* * * * *
Sec. 97.934 [Amended]
0
61. In Sec. 97.934, amend paragraph (d)(3) by removing ``Program or
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program, quarterly''
and adding in its place ``Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program, quarterly''.
Subpart GGGGG--CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program
0
62. Amend Sec. 97.1002 by:
0
a. Revising the definition of ``Allocate or allocation'';
0
b. In the definition of ``Allowance transfer deadline'', adding
``primary'' before ``emissions limitation'';
0
c. In the definition of ``Alternate designated representative'',
removing ``or CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, then'' and
adding in its place ``CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, or
CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading Program, then'';
0
d. In the definition of ``Assurance account'', removing ``base CSAPR''
and adding in its place ``CSAPR'';
0
e. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``Backstop daily
NOX emissions rate'';
0
f. Removing the definitions for ``Base CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 source'' and ``Base CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit'';
0
g. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``Coal-derived fuel'';
0
h. In the definition of ``Common designated representative'', removing
``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'';
0
i. Revising the definition of ``Common designated representative's
assurance level'';
0
j. In the definition of ``Common designated representative's share'',
removing ``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'' each time it
appears;
0
k. In the definition of ``Compliance account'', adding ``primary''
before ``emissions limitation'';
0
l. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program'';
0
m. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(iii) and (iv), and'' and adding in
its place ``(b)(2)(ii), and'';
0
n. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance'':
0
i. Adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec. 97.826(d)''; and
0
ii. Adding ``or less'' after ``one ton'';
0
o. In the definitions of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance deduction'' and ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
emissions limitation'', adding ``primary'' before ``emissions
limitation'';
0
p. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 secondary emissions limitation'';
0
q. In the definition of ``CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
Trading Program'', removing ``(b)(2)(v), and'' and adding in its place
``(b)(2)(iii), and'';
0
r. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``CSAPR SO2
Group 2 Trading Program'';
0
s. In the definition of ``Designated representative'', removing ``or
CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, then'' and adding in its
place ``CSAPR SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, or CSAPR
SO2 Group 2 Trading Program, then''.
0
t. In the definition of ``Excess emissions'', adding ``primary'' before
``emissions limitation'';
0
u. Adding in alphabetical order a definition for ``Historical control
period''; and
0
v. In the definition of ``State'', removing ``(b)(2)(v), and'' and
adding in its place ``(b)(2)(iii), and''.
The revisions and additions read as follows:
[[Page 36905]]
Sec. 97.1002 Definitions.
* * * * *
Allocate or allocation means, with regard to CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances, the determination by the
Administrator, State, or permitting authority, in accordance with this
subpart, Sec. Sec. 97.526(d) and 97.826(d) and (e), and any SIP
revision submitted by the State and approved by the Administrator under
Sec. 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this chapter, of the amount of
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to be
initially credited, at no cost to the recipient, to:
(1) A CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit;
(2) A new unit set-aside;
(3) An Indian country new unit set-aside;
(4) An Indian country existing unit set-aside; or
(5) An entity not listed in paragraphs (1) through (4) of this
definition;
(6) Provided that, if the Administrator, State, or permitting
authority initially credits, to a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit qualifying for an initial credit, a credit in the amount
of zero CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances, the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit will be treated as being
allocated an amount (i.e., zero) of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances.
* * * * *
Backstop daily NOX emissions rate means a NOX emissions
rate used in the determination of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 primary emissions limitation for a CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 source in accordance with Sec. 97.1024(b).
* * * * *
Coal-derived fuel means any fuel, whether in a solid, liquid, or
gaseous state, produced by the mechanical, thermal, or chemical
processing of coal.
* * * * *
Common designated representative's assurance level means, with
regard to a specific common designated representative and a State (and
Indian country within the borders of such State) and control period in
a given year for which the State assurance level is exceeded as
described in Sec. 97.1006(c)(2)(iii):
(1) The amount (rounded to the nearest allowance) equal to the sum
of the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances allocated for such control period to the group of one or
more CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units in such State (and
such Indian country) having the common designated representative for
such control period and the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances purchased by an owner or operator of such
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units in an auction for such
control period and submitted by the State or the permitting authority
to the Administrator for recordation in the compliance accounts for
such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units in accordance with
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance auction
provisions in a SIP revision approved by the Administrator under Sec.
52.38(b)(11) or (12) of this chapter, multiplied by the sum of the
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget under Sec.
97.1010(a) and the State's variability limit under Sec. 97.1010(e) for
such control period, and divided by such State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget;
(2) Provided that the allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for any control period taken into account for
purposes of this definition shall exclude any CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated for such control period under
Sec. 97.526(d) or Sec. 97.826(d) or (e).
* * * * *
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program means a multi-state
NOX air pollution control and emission reduction program
established in accordance with subpart BBBBB of this part and Sec.
52.38(b)(1), (b)(2)(i), and (b)(3) through (5) and (13) through (15) of
this chapter (including such a program that is revised in a SIP
revision approved by the Administrator under Sec. 52.38(b)(3) or (4)
of this chapter or that is established in a SIP revision approved by
the Administrator under Sec. 52.38(b)(5) of this chapter), as a means
of mitigating interstate transport of ozone and NOX.
* * * * *
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 secondary emissions limitation
means, for a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit to which
such a limitation applies under Sec. 97.1025(c)(1) for a control
period in a given year, the tonnage of NOX emissions
calculated for the unit in accordance with Sec. 97.1025(c)(2) for such
control period.
* * * * *
CSAPR SO2 Group 2 Trading Program means a multi-state
SO2 air pollution control and emission reduction program
established in accordance with subpart DDDDD of this part and Sec.
52.39(a), (c), (g) through (k), and (m) of this chapter (including such
a program that is revised in a SIP revision approved by the
Administrator under Sec. 52.39(g) or (h) of this chapter or that is
established in a SIP revision approved by the Administrator under Sec.
52.39(i) of this chapter), as a means of mitigating interstate
transport of fine particulates and SO2.
* * * * *
Historical control period means, for a unit as of a given calendar
year, the period starting May 1 of a previous calendar year and ending
September 30 of that previous calendar year, inclusive, without regard
to whether the unit was subject to requirements under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program during such period.
* * * * *
0
63. Amend Sec. 97.1006 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (b)(2), paragraph (c)(1) heading, paragraph
(c)(1)(i), and paragraph (c)(1)(ii) introductory text;
0
b. Adding paragraphs (c)(1)(iii) and (iv);
0
c. In paragraphs (c)(2)(i) introductory text and (c)(2)(i)(B), removing
``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'' each time it appears;
0
d. Revising paragraph (c)(2)(iii);
0
e. In paragraph (c)(2)(iv), removing ``base CSAPR'' and adding in its
place ``CSAPR'' each time it appears;
0
f. Revising paragraph (c)(3); and
0
g. In paragraph (c)(6) introductory text, adding ``or less'' after
``one ton''.
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 97.1006 Standard requirements.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(2) The emissions and heat input data determined in accordance with
Sec. Sec. 97.1030 through 97.1035 shall be used to calculate
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
under Sec. Sec. 97.1011 and 97.1012 and to determine compliance with
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 primary and secondary
emissions limitations and assurance provisions under paragraph (c) of
this section, provided that, for each monitoring location from which
mass emissions are reported, the mass emissions amount used in
calculating such allocations and determining such compliance shall be
the mass emissions amount for the monitoring location determined in
accordance with Sec. Sec. 97.1030 through 97.1035 and rounded to the
nearest ton, with any fraction of a ton less than 0.50 being deemed to
be zero.
(c) * * *
(1) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 primary and secondary emissions
limitations--(i) Primary emissions limitation. As of the allowance
transfer deadline for a control period in a given year, the owners and
operators of each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source and
each CSAPR NOX Ozone
[[Page 36906]]
Season Group 3 unit at the source shall hold, in the source's
compliance account, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances available for deduction for such control period under Sec.
97.1024(a) in an amount not less than the amount determined under Sec.
97.1024(b), comprising the sum of--
(A) The tons of total NOX emissions for such control
period from all CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the
source; plus
(B) Two times the excess, if any, over 50 tons of the sum, for all
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source and all
calendar days of the control period, of any NOX emissions
from such a unit on any calendar day of the control period exceeding
the NOX emissions that would have occurred on that calendar
day if the unit had combusted the same daily heat input and emitted at
any backstop daily NOX emissions rate applicable to the unit
for that control period.
(ii) Exceedances of primary emissions limitation. If total
NOX emissions during a control period in a given year from
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at a CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source are in excess of the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 primary emissions limitation set
forth in paragraph (c)(1)(i) of this section, then:
* * * * *
(iii) Secondary emissions limitation. The owner or operator of a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit subject to an emissions
limitation under Sec. 97.1025(c)(1) shall not discharge, or allow to
be discharged, emissions of NOX to the atmosphere during a
control period in excess of the tonnage amount calculated in accordance
with Sec. 97.1025(c)(2).
(iv) Exceedances of secondary emissions limitation. If total
NOX emissions during a control period in a given year from a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit are in excess of the
amount of a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 secondary
emissions limitation applicable to the unit for the control period
under paragraph (c)(1)(iii) of this section, then the owners and
operators of the unit and the source at which the unit is located shall
pay any fine, penalty, or assessment or comply with any other remedy
imposed, for the same violations, under the Clean Air Act, and each ton
of such excess emissions and each day of such control period shall
constitute a separate violation of this subpart and the Clean Air Act.
(2) * * *
(iii) Total NOX emissions from all CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units at CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
sources in a State (and Indian country within the borders of such
State) during a control period in a given year exceed the State
assurance level if such total NOX emissions exceed the sum,
for such control period, of the State NOX Ozone Season Group
3 trading budget under Sec. 97.1010(a) and the State's variability
limit under Sec. 97.1010(e).
* * * * *
(3) Compliance periods. (i) A CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit shall be subject to the requirements under paragraphs
(c)(1)(i) and (ii) and (c)(2) of this section for the control period
starting on the later of the applicable date in paragraph (c)(3)(i)(A),
(B), or (C) of this section or the deadline for meeting the unit's
monitor certification requirements under Sec. 97.1030(b) and for each
control period thereafter:
(A) May 1, 2021, for a unit in a State (and Indian country within
the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this
chapter;
(B) May 1, 2023, for a unit in a State (and Indian country within
the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this
chapter; or
(C) August 4, 2023, for a unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C)
of this chapter.
(ii) A CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit shall be
subject to the requirements under paragraphs (c)(1)(iii) and (iv) of
this section for the control period starting on the later of May 1,
2024, or the deadline for meeting the unit's monitor certification
requirements under Sec. 97.1030(b) and for each control period
thereafter.
* * * * *
0
64. Revise Sec. 97.1010 to read as follows:
Sec. 97.1010 State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets, set-
asides, and variability limits.
(a) State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets. (1)(i) The
State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets for
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for
the control periods in 2021 through 2025 shall be as indicated in table
1 to this paragraph (a)(1)(i), subject to prorating for the control
period in 2023 as provided in paragraph (a)(1)(ii) of this section:
Table 1 to Paragraph (a)(1)(i)--State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Budgets by Control Period, 2021-2025
[Tons]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Portion of
Portion of 2023 control
2023 control period on and
State 2021 2022 period before after August 2024 2025
August 4, 4, 2023,
2023, before before
prorating prorating
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama................................................. .............. .............. 13,211 6,379 6,489 6,489
Arkansas................................................ .............. .............. 9,210 8,927 8,927 8,927
Illinois................................................ 11,223 9,102 8,179 7,474 7,325 7,325
Indiana................................................. 17,004 12,582 12,553 12,440 11,413 11,413
Kentucky................................................ 17,542 14,051 14,051 13,601 12,999 12,472
Louisiana............................................... 16,291 14,818 14,818 9,363 9,363 9,107
Maryland................................................ 2,397 1,266 1,266 1,206 1,206 1,206
Michigan................................................ 14,384 12,290 9,975 10,727 10,275 10,275
Minnesota............................................... .............. .............. .............. 5,504 4,058 4,058
Mississippi............................................. .............. .............. 6,315 6,210 5,058 5,037
Missouri................................................ .............. .............. 15,780 12,598 11,116 11,116
Nevada.................................................. .............. .............. .............. 2,368 2,589 2,545
New Jersey.............................................. 1,565 1,253 1,253 773 773 773
New York................................................ 4,079 3,416 3,421 3,912 3,912 3,912
Ohio.................................................... 13,481 9,773 9,773 9,110 7,929 7,929
Oklahoma................................................ .............. .............. 11,641 10,271 9,384 9,376
[[Page 36907]]
Pennsylvania............................................ 12,071 8,373 8,373 8,138 8,138 8,138
Texas................................................... .............. .............. 52,301 40,134 40,134 38,542
Utah.................................................... .............. .............. .............. 15,755 15,917 15,917
Virginia................................................ 6,331 3,897 3,980 3,143 2,756 2,756
West Virginia........................................... 15,062 12,884 12,884 13,791 11,958 11,958
Wisconsin............................................... .............. .............. 7,915 6,295 6,295 5,988
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(ii) For the control period in 2023, the State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget for each State shall be calculated as the
sum, rounded to the nearest allowance, of the following prorated
amounts:
(A) The product of the non-prorated trading budget for the portion
of the 2023 control period before August 4, 2023, shown for the State
in table 1 to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section (or zero if table 1
to paragraph (a)(1)(i) shows no amount for such portion of the 2023
control period for the State) multiplied by a fraction whose numerator
is the number of days from May 1, 2023, through the day before August
4, 2023, inclusive, and whose denominator is 153; plus
(B) The product of the non-prorated trading budget for the portion
of the 2023 control period on and after August 4, 2023, shown for the
State in table 1 to paragraph (a)(1)(i) of this section multiplied by a
fraction whose numerator is the number of days from August 4, 2023,
through September 30, 2023, inclusive, and whose denominator is 153.
(2)(i) The State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
for each State and each control period in 2026 through 2029 shall be
the preset trading budget indicated for the State and control period in
table 2 to this paragraph (a)(2)(i), except as provided in paragraph
(a)(2)(ii) of this section.
Table 2 to Paragraph (a)(2)(i)--Preset Trading Budgets by Control Period, 2026-2029
[Tons]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State 2026 2027 2028 2029
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama......................................... 6,339 6,236 6,236 5,105
Arkansas........................................ 6,365 4,031 4,031 3,582
Illinois........................................ 5,889 5,363 4,555 4,050
Indiana......................................... 8,363 8,135 7,280 5,808
Kentucky........................................ 9,697 7,908 7,837 7,392
Louisiana....................................... 6,370 3,792 3,792 3,639
Maryland........................................ 842 842 842 842
Michigan........................................ 6,743 5,691 5,691 4,656
Minnesota....................................... 4,058 2,905 2,905 2,578
Mississippi..................................... 3,484 2,084 1,752 1,752
Missouri........................................ 9,248 7,329 7,329 7,329
Nevada.......................................... 1,142 1,113 1,113 880
New Jersey...................................... 773 773 773 773
New York........................................ 3,650 3,388 3,388 3,388
Ohio............................................ 7,929 7,929 6,911 6,409
Oklahoma........................................ 6,631 3,917 3,917 3,917
Pennsylvania.................................... 7,512 7,158 7,158 4,828
Texas........................................... 31,123 23,009 21,623 20,635
Utah............................................ 6,258 2,593 2,593 2,593
Virginia........................................ 2,565 2,373 2,373 1,951
West Virginia................................... 10,818 9,678 9,678 9,678
Wisconsin....................................... 4,990 3,416 3,416 3,416
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(ii) If the preset trading budget indicated for a given State and
control period in table 2 to paragraph (a)(2)(i) of this section is
less than the dynamic trading budget for the State and control period
referenced in the applicable notice promulgated under paragraph
(a)(4)(v)(C) of this section, then the State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budget for the State and control period shall be
the dynamic trading budget for the State and control period referenced
in the applicable notice promulgated under paragraph (a)(4)(v)(C) of
this section.
(3) The State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
for each State and each control period in 2030 and thereafter shall be
the dynamic trading budget for the State and control period referenced
in the applicable notice promulgated under paragraph (a)(4)(v)(C) of
this section.
(4) The Administrator will calculate the dynamic trading budget for
each State and each control period in 2026
[[Page 36908]]
and thereafter in the year before the year of the control period as
follows:
(i) The Administrator will include a unit in a State (and Indian
country within the borders of the State) in the calculation of the
State's dynamic trading budget for a control period if--
(A) To the best of the Administrator's knowledge, the unit
qualifies as a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit under
Sec. 97.1004, without regard to whether the unit has permanently
retired, provided that including a unit in the calculation of a dynamic
trading budget does not constitute a determination that the unit is a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit, and not including a
unit in the calculation of a dynamic trading budget does not constitute
a determination that the unit is not a CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit;
(B) The unit's deadline for certification of monitoring systems
under Sec. 97.1030(b) is on or before May 1 of the year two years
before the year of the control period for which the dynamic trading
budget is being calculated; and
(C) The owner or operator reported heat input greater than zero for
the unit in accordance with part 75 of this chapter for the historical
control period in the year two years before the year of the control
period for which the dynamic trading budget is being calculated.
(ii) For each unit identified for inclusion in the calculation of
the State's dynamic trading budget for a control period under paragraph
(a)(4)(i) of this section, the Administrator will calculate the heat
input amount in mmBtu to be used in the budget calculation as follows:
(A) For each such unit, the Administrator will determine the
following unit-level amounts:
(1) The total heat input amounts reported in accordance with part
75 of this chapter for the unit for the historical control periods in
the years two, three, four, five, and six years before the year of the
control period for which the dynamic trading budget is being
calculated, except any historical control period that commenced before
the unit's first deadline under any regulatory program to begin
recording and reporting heat input in accordance with part 75 of this
chapter; and
(2) The average of the three highest unit-level total heat input
amounts identified for the unit under paragraph (a)(4)(iv)(A)(1) of
this section or, if fewer than three non-zero amounts are identified
for the unit, the average of all such non-zero total heat input
amounts.
(B) For the State, the Administrator will determine the following
state-level amounts:
(1) The sum for all units in the State meeting the criterion under
paragraph (a)(4)(i)(A) of this section, without regard to whether such
units also meet the criteria under paragraphs (a)(4)(i)(B) and (C) of
this section, of the total heat input amounts reported in accordance
with part 75 of this chapter for the historical control periods in the
years two, three, and four years before the year of the control period
for which the dynamic trading budget is being calculated, provided that
for the historical control periods in 2022 and 2023, the total reported
heat input amounts for Nevada and Utah as otherwise determined under
this paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(1) shall be increased by 13,489,332 mmBtu
for Nevada and by 1,888,174 mmBtu for Utah;
(2) The average of the three state-level total heat input amounts
calculated for the State under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(1) of this
section; and
(3) The sum for all units identified for inclusion in the
calculation of the State's dynamic trading budget for the control
period under paragraph (a)(4)(i) of this section of the unit-level
average heat input amounts calculated under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A)(2)
of this section.
(C) The heat input amount for a unit used in the calculation of the
State's dynamic trading budget shall be the product of the unit-level
average total heat input amount calculated for the unit under paragraph
(a)(4)(ii)(A)(2) of this section multiplied by a fraction whose
numerator is the state-level average total heat input amount calculated
under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(2) of this section and whose denominator
is the state-level sum of the unit-level average heat input amounts
calculated under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(3) of this section.
(iii) For each unit identified for inclusion in the calculation of
the State's dynamic trading budget for a control period under paragraph
(a)(4)(i) of this section, the Administrator will identify the
NOX emissions rate in lb/mmBtu to be used in the calculation
as follows:
(A) For a unit listed in the document entitled ``Unit-Specific
Ozone Season NOX Emissions Rates for Dynamic Budget
Calculations'' posted at www.regulations.gov in docket EPA-HQ-OAR-2021-
0668, the NOX emissions rate used in the calculation for the
control period shall be the NOX emissions rate shown for the
unit and control period in that document.
(B) For a unit not listed in the document referenced in paragraph
(a)(4)(iii)(A) of this section, the NOX emissions rate used
in the calculation for the control period shall be identified according
to the type of unit and the type of fuel combusted by the unit during
the control period beginning May 1 on or immediately after the unit's
deadline for certification of monitoring systems under Sec. 97.1030(b)
as follows:
(1) 0.011 lb/mmBtu, for a simple cycle combustion turbine or a
combined cycle combustion turbine other than an integrated coal
gasification combined cycle unit;
(2) 0.030 lb/mmBtu, for a boiler combusting only fuel oil or
gaseous fuel (other than coal-derived fuel) during such control period;
or
(3) 0.050 lb/mmBtu, for a boiler combusting any amount of coal or
coal-derived fuel during such control period or any other unit not
covered by paragraph (a)(4)(iii)(B)(1) or (2) of this section.
(iv) The Administrator will calculate the State's dynamic trading
budget for the control period as the sum (converted to tons at a
conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and rounded to the nearest ton), for
all units identified for inclusion in the calculation under paragraph
(a)(4)(i) of this section, of the product for each such unit of the
heat input amount in mmBtu calculated for the unit under paragraph
(a)(4)(ii) of this section multiplied by the NOX emissions
rate in lb/mmBtu identified for the unit under paragraph (a)(4)(iii) of
this section.
(v)(A) By March 1, 2025 and March 1 of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will calculate the dynamic trading budget for each State,
in accordance with paragraphs (a)(4)(i) through (iv) of this section
and Sec. Sec. 97.1006(b)(2) and 97.1030 through 97.1035, for the
control period in the year after the year of the applicable calculation
deadline under this paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) and will promulgate a notice
of data availability of the results of the calculations.
(B) For each notice of data availability required in paragraph
(a)(4)(v)(A) of this section, the Administrator will provide an
opportunity for submission of objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be submitted by the deadline specified
in such notice and shall be limited to addressing whether the
calculations (including the identification of the units included in the
calculations) are in accordance with the provisions referenced in
paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) of this section.
(C) The Administrator will adjust the calculations to the extent
necessary to
[[Page 36909]]
ensure that they are in accordance with the provisions referenced in
paragraph (a)(4)(v)(A) of this section. By May 1 immediately after the
promulgation of each notice of data availability required in paragraph
(a)(4)(v)(A) of this section, the Administrator will promulgate a
notice of data availability of the results of the calculations
incorporating any adjustments that the Administrator determines to be
necessary and the reasons for accepting or rejecting any objections
submitted in accordance with paragraph (a)(4)(v)(B) of this section.
(b) Indian country existing unit set-asides for the control periods
in 2023 and thereafter. The Indian country existing unit set-aside for
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for
each State for each control period in 2023 and thereafter shall be
calculated as the sum of all allowance allocations to units in areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to the
State's SIP authority as provided in the applicable notice of data
availability for the control period referenced in Sec. 97.1011(a)(2).
(c) New unit set-asides. (1) The new unit set-asides for
allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for
the control periods in 2021 and 2022 for each State with CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets for such control
periods shall be as indicated in table 3 to this paragraph (c)(1):
Table 3 to Paragraph (c)(1)--New Unit Set-Asides by Control Period
[2021-2022 (tons)]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
State 2021 2022
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Illinois................................................ 265 265
Indiana................................................. 262 254
Kentucky................................................ 309 283
Louisiana............................................... 430 430
Maryland................................................ 135 115
Michigan................................................ 500 482
New Jersey.............................................. 27 27
New York................................................ 168 168
Ohio.................................................... 291 290
Pennsylvania............................................ 335 339
Virginia................................................ 185 161
West Virginia........................................... 266 261
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(2) The new unit set-aside for allocations of CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for each State for each control period
in 2023 and thereafter shall be calculated as the product (rounded to
the nearest allowance) of the State NOX Ozone Season Group 3
trading budget for the State and control period established in
accordance with paragraph (a) of this section multiplied by--
(i) 0.09, for Nevada for the control periods in 2023 through 2025;
(ii) 0.06, for Ohio for the control periods in 2023 through 2025;
(iii) 0.05, for each State other than Nevada and Ohio for the
control periods in 2023 through 2025; or
(iv) 0.05, for each State for each control period in 2026 and
thereafter.
(d) Indian country new unit set-asides for the control periods in
2021 and 2022. The Indian country new unit set-asides for allocations
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for the control
periods in 2021 and 2022 for each State with CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budgets for such control periods shall be as
indicated in table 4 to this paragraph (d):
Table 4 to Paragraph (d)--Indian Country New Unit Set-Asides by Control
Period
[2021-2022 (tons)]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
State 2021 2022
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Illinois................................................ ...... ......
Indiana................................................. ...... ......
Kentucky................................................ ...... ......
Louisiana............................................... 15 15
Maryland................................................ ...... ......
Michigan................................................ 13 12
New Jersey.............................................. ...... ......
New York................................................ 3 3
Ohio.................................................... ...... ......
Pennsylvania............................................ ...... ......
Virginia................................................ ...... ......
West Virginia........................................... ...... ......
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(e) Variability limits. (1) The variability limits for the State
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budgets for the control
periods in 2021 and 2022 for each State with such trading budgets for
such control periods shall be as indicated in table 5 to this paragraph
(e)(1).
Table 5 to Paragraph (e)(1)--Variability Limits by Control Period
[2021-2022 (tons)]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
State 2021 2022
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Illinois................................................ 2,356 1,911
Indiana................................................. 3,571 2,642
Kentucky................................................ 3,684 2,951
Louisiana............................................... 3,421 3,112
Maryland................................................ 504 266
Michigan................................................ 3,021 2,581
New Jersey.............................................. 329 263
New York................................................ 856 717
Ohio.................................................... 2,831 2,052
Pennsylvania............................................ 2,535 1,758
Virginia................................................ 1,329 818
West Virginia........................................... 3,163 2,706
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(2) The variability limit for the State NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget for each State for each control period in 2023
and thereafter shall be calculated as the product (rounded to the
nearest ton) of the State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading
budget for the State and control period established in accordance with
paragraph (a) of this section multiplied by the greater of--
(i) 0.21; or
(ii) Any excess over 1.00 of the quotient (rounded to two decimal
places) of--
(A) The sum for all CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units
in the State and Indian country within the borders of the State of the
total heat input reported for the control period in mmBtu, provided
that, for purposes of this paragraph (e)(2)(ii)(A), the 2023 control
period for all States shall be deemed to be the period from May 1, 2023
through September 30, 2023, inclusive; divided by
(B) The state-level total heat input amount used in the calculation
of the State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget for the
State and control period in mmBtu, as identified in accordance with
paragraph (e)(3) of this section.
(3) For purposes of paragraph (e)(2)(ii)(B) of this section, the
state-level total heat input amount used in the calculation of a State
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget for a given control
period shall be identified as follows:
(i) For a control period in 2023 through 2025, and for a control
period in 2026 through 2029 if the State NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 trading budget for the State and control period under paragraph
(a)(2) of this section is the preset trading budget set forth for the
State and control period in table 2 to paragraph (a)(2)(i) of this
section, the state-level total heat input amounts shall be as indicated
in table 6 to this paragraph (e)(3)(i).
[[Page 36910]]
Table 6 to Paragraph (e)(3)(i)--State-Level Total Heat Input Used in Calculations of Preset Trading Budgets by Control Period
[2023-2029 (mmBtu)]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alabama................................. 313,037,541 333,030,691 333,030,691 330,396,046 328,650,653 328,650,653 307,987,882
Arkansas................................ 192,843,561 192,843,561 192,843,561 190,921,052 190,921,052 190,921,052 190,921,052
Illinois................................ 274,005,935 286,568,112 286,568,112 253,219,463 253,219,463 214,086,655 193,900,867
Indiana................................. 356,047,916 330,175,944 330,175,944 302,245,332 302,245,332 277,218,546 236,611,101
Kentucky................................ 301,161,750 301,161,750 295,857,697 295,857,697 295,857,697 293,016,485 274,595,978
Louisiana............................... 280,592,592 280,592,592 278,766,253 278,461,807 277,262,840 277,262,840 277,262,840
Maryland................................ 70,725,007 70,725,007 70,725,007 70,725,007 70,725,007 70,725,007 70,725,007
Michigan................................ 313,846,533 299,124,688 299,124,688 258,225,107 258,225,107 258,225,107 222,314,181
Minnesota............................... 128,893,685 107,821,236 107,821,236 107,821,236 93,890,928 93,890,928 85,707,385
Mississippi............................. 192,978,295 189,415,018 189,279,160 189,279,160 189,279,160 176,004,820 176,004,820
Missouri................................ 284,308,851 249,153,661 249,153,661 249,153,661 248,413,545 248,413,545 248,413,545
Nevada.................................. 103,489,785 116,979,117 114,729,782 105,018,415 100,193,805 100,193,805 96,378,269
New Jersey.............................. 112,233,231 112,233,231 112,233,231 112,233,231 112,233,231 112,233,231 112,233,231
New York................................ 242,853,661 242,853,661 242,853,661 242,853,661 242,853,661 242,853,661 242,853,661
Ohio.................................... 412,292,609 386,560,212 386,560,212 386,560,212 386,560,212 358,992,155 342,075,946
Oklahoma................................ 212,903,386 211,187,283 211,165,691 211,145,820 196,160,642 196,160,642 196,160,642
Pennsylvania............................ 550,993,363 550,993,363 550,993,363 550,993,363 550,993,363 550,993,363 487,590,728
Texas................................... 1,395,116,925 1,395,116,925 1,389,251,813 1,389,251,813 1,356,192,532 1,320,040,162 1,280,014,875
Utah.................................... 164,519,648 166,407,822 166,407,822 127,217,396 127,217,396 127,217,396 127,217,396
Virginia................................ 202,953,791 194,015,719 194,015,719 194,015,719 194,015,719 194,015,719 186,848,587
West Virginia........................... 306,845,495 273,151,957 273,151,957 273,151,957 273,151,957 273,151,957 273,151,957
Wisconsin............................... 220,794,282 220,792,155 213,038,308 185,469,476 151,343,287 151,343,287 151,343,287
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(ii) For a control period in 2026 through 2029 if the State
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget for the State and
control period under paragraph (a)(2) of this section is the dynamic
trading budget for the State and control period referenced in the
applicable notice promulgated under paragraph (a)(4)(v)(C) of this
section, and for a control period in 2030 and thereafter, the state-
level total heat input amount shall be the amount for the State and
control period calculated under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B)(2) of this
section.
(f) Relationship of trading budgets, set-asides, and variability
limits. Each State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget
in this section includes any tons in an Indian country existing unit
set-aside, a new unit set-aside, or an Indian country new unit set-
aside but does not include any tons in a variability limit.
0
65. Amend Sec. 97.1011 by revising the section heading and paragraphs
(a), (b), paragraph (c) heading, and paragraphs (c)(1) and (5) to read
as follows:
Sec. 97.1011 CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance allocations to
existing units.
(a) Allocations to existing units in general. (1) For the control
periods in 2021 and each year thereafter, CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances will be allocated to units in each State and
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State subject to the
State's SIP authority as provided in notices of data availability
issued by the Administrator. Starting with the control period in 2026,
the notices of data availability will be the notices issued under
paragraph (b)(11)(iii) of this section.
(2) For the control periods in 2023 and each year thereafter, CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances will be allocated to
units in areas of Indian country within the borders of each State not
subject to the State's SIP authority as provided in notices of data
availability issued by the Administrator. Starting with the control
period in 2026, the notices of data availability will be the notices
issued under paragraph (b)(11)(iii) of this section.
(3) Providing an allocation to a unit in a notice of data
availability does not constitute a determination that the unit is a
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit, and not providing an
allocation to a unit in such notice does not constitute a determination
that the unit is not a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit.
(b) Calculation of default allocations to existing units for
control periods in 2026 and thereafter. For each control period in 2026
and thereafter, and for the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
units in each State and areas of Indian country within the borders of
the State, the Administrator will calculate default allocations of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units as follows:
(1) For each State and control period, the total amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for which the
Administrator will calculate default allocations shall be the remainder
of the State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget for the
control period under Sec. 97.1010(a) minus the new unit set-aside for
the control period under Sec. 97.1010(c).
(2) The Administrator will calculate a default allocation of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances for each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit in the State and Indian
country within the borders of the State meeting the following criteria:
(i) To the best of the Administrator's knowledge, the unit
qualifies as a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit under
Sec. 97.1004, without regard to whether the unit has permanently
retired;
(ii) The unit's deadline for certification of monitoring systems
under Sec. 97.1030(b) is on or before May 1 of the year two years
before the year of the control period for which the allowances are
being allocated; and
(iii) The owner or operator reported heat input greater than zero
for the unit in accordance with part 75 of this chapter for the
historical control period in the year two years before the year of the
control period for which the allowances are being allocated.
(3) For each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit for
which a default allocation is being calculated for a control period,
the Administrator will calculate an average heat input amount to be
used in the allocation calculations as follows:
(i) The Administrator will identify the total heat input amounts
reported for the unit in accordance with part 75 of this chapter for
the historical control periods in the years two, three, four, five, and
six years before the year of the control period for which the
allowances are being allocated, except any
[[Page 36911]]
historical control period that commenced before the unit's first
deadline under any regulatory program to begin recording and reporting
heat input in accordance with part 75 of this chapter.
(ii) The average heat input amount used in the allocation
calculations shall be the average of the three highest total heat input
amounts identified for the unit under paragraph (b)(3)(i) of this
section or, if fewer than three non-zero amounts are identified for the
unit, the average of all such non-zero total heat input amounts.
(4) For each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit for
which a default allocation is being calculated for a control period,
the Administrator will calculate a tentative maximum allocation amount
to be used in the allocation calculations as follows:
(i) The Administrator will identify the total NOX
emissions amounts reported for the unit in accordance with part 75 of
this chapter for the historical control periods in the years two,
three, four, five, and six years before the year of the control period
for which the allowances are being allocated.
(ii) The tentative maximum allocation amount used in the allocation
calculations shall be the highest of the total NOX emissions
amounts identified for the unit under paragraph (b)(4)(i) of this
section or, if less, any applicable amount calculated under paragraph
(b)(4)(iii) of this section.
(iii)(A) The tentative maximum allocation amount under paragraph
(b)(4)(ii) of this section for a unit described in paragraph
(b)(4)(iii)(B) or (C) of this section may not exceed a maximum
controlled baseline calculated as the product (converted to tons at a
conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and rounded to the nearest ton) of
the highest total heat input amount identified for the unit under
paragraph (b)(3)(i) of this section in mmBtu multiplied by a
NOX emissions rate of 0.08 lb/mmBtu.
(B) For the control period in 2026, a maximum controlled baseline
under paragraph (b)(4)(iii)(A) of this section shall apply to any unit
that combusted any coal or solid coal-derived fuel during the
historical control period for which the unit's heat input was most
recently reported, that serves a generator with nameplate capacity of
100 MW or more, and that is equipped with selective catalytic reduction
controls, except a circulating fluidized bed boiler.
(C) For each control period in 2027 and thereafter, a maximum
controlled baseline under paragraph (b)(4)(iii)(A) of this section
shall apply to any unit that combusted any coal or solid coal-derived
fuel during the historical control period for which the unit's heat
input was most recently reported and that serves a generator with
nameplate capacity of 100 MW or more, except a circulating fluidized
bed boiler.
(5) The Administrator will calculate the initial unrounded default
allocations for each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
according to the procedure in paragraph (b)(6) of this section and will
recalculate the unrounded default allocations according to the
procedures in paragraph (b)(7) or (8) of this section, as applicable,
iterating the recalculations as necessary until the total of the
unrounded default allocations to all eligible units equals the amount
of allowances determined for the State under paragraph (b)(1) of this
section.
(6) The Administrator will calculate the initial unrounded default
allocations to CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units as
follows:
(i) The Administrator will calculate the sum, for all units
determined under paragraph (b)(2) of this section to be eligible to
receive default allocations, of the units' average heat input amounts
determined under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section.
(ii) For each unit determined under paragraph (b)(2) of this
section to be eligible to receive a default allocation, the
Administrator will calculate the unit's unrounded default allocation as
the lesser of--
(A) The product of the total amount of allowances determined for
the State and control period under paragraph (b)(1) of this section
multiplied by a fraction whose numerator is the unit's average heat
input amount determined under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section and
whose denominator is the sum determined under paragraph (b)(6)(i) of
this section; and
(B) The unit's tentative maximum allocation amount determined under
paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section.
(iii) If the sum of the unrounded default allocations determined
under paragraph (b)(6)(ii) of this section is less than the total
amount of allowances determined for the State and control period under
paragraph (b)(1) of this section, the Administrator will follow the
procedures in paragraph (b)(7) or (8) of this section, as applicable.
(iv) If the sum of the unrounded default allocations determined
under paragraph (b)(6)(ii) of this section equals the total amount of
allowances determined for the State and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section, the Administrator will determine the rounded
default allocations according to the procedures in paragraphs (b)(9)
and (10) of this section.
(7) If the unrounded default allocation determined in the previous
round of the calculation procedure for at least one CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit is less than the unit's
tentative maximum allocation amount determined under paragraph
(b)(4)(ii) of this section, the Administrator will recalculate the
unrounded default allocations as follows:
(i) The Administrator will calculate the additional pool of
allowances to be allocated as the remainder of the total amount of
allowances determined for the State and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section minus the sum of the unrounded default
allocations from the previous round of the calculation procedure for
all units determined under paragraph (b)(2) of this section to be
eligible to receive default allocations.
(ii) The Administrator will calculate the sum, for all units whose
unrounded default allocations determined in the previous round of the
calculation procedure were less than the respective units' tentative
maximum allocation amounts determined under paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of
this section, of the units' average heat input amounts determined under
paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section.
(iii) For each unit whose unrounded default allocation determined
in the previous round of the calculation procedure was less than the
unit's tentative maximum allocation amount determined under paragraph
(b)(4)(ii) of this section, the Administrator will recalculate the
unit's unrounded default allocation as the lesser of--
(A) The sum of the unit's unrounded default allocation determined
in the previous round of the calculation procedure plus the product of
the additional pool of allowances determined under paragraph (b)(7)(i)
of this section multiplied by a fraction whose numerator is the unit's
average heat input amount determined under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this
section and whose denominator is the sum determined under paragraph
(b)(7)(ii) of this section; and
(B) The unit's tentative maximum allocation amount determined under
paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section.
(iv) Except as provided in paragraph (b)(7)(iii) of this section, a
unit's unrounded default allocation shall equal the amount determined
in the previous round of the calculation procedure.
(v) If the sum of the unrounded default allocations determined
under paragraphs (b)(7)(iii) and (iv) of this section is less than the
total amount of
[[Page 36912]]
allowances determined for the State and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section, the Administrator will iterate the procedures
in paragraph (b)(7) of this section or follow the procedures in
paragraph (b)(8) of this section, as applicable.
(vi) If the sum of the unrounded default allocations determined
under paragraphs (b)(7)(iii) and (iv) of this section equals the total
amount of allowances determined for the State and control period under
paragraph (b)(1) of this section, the Administrator will determine the
rounded default allocations according to the procedures in paragraphs
(b)(9) and (10) of this section.
(8) If the unrounded default allocation determined in the previous
round of the calculation procedure for every CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit equals the unit's tentative maximum allocation
amount determined under paragraph (b)(4)(ii) of this section, the
Administrator will recalculate the unrounded default allocations as
follows:
(i) The Administrator will calculate the additional pool of
allowances to be allocated as the remainder of the total amount of
allowances determined for the State and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section minus the sum of the unrounded default
allocations from the previous round of the calculation procedure for
all units determined under paragraph (b)(2) of this section to be
eligible to receive default allocations.
(ii) The Administrator will recalculate the unrounded default
allocation for each eligible unit as the sum of--
(A) The unit's unrounded default allocation as determined in the
previous round of the calculation procedure; plus
(B) The product of the additional pool of allowances determined
under paragraph (b)(8)(i) of this section multiplied by a fraction
whose numerator is the unit's average heat input amount determined
under paragraph (b)(3)(ii) of this section and whose denominator is the
sum determined under paragraph (b)(6)(i) of this section.
(9) The Administrator will round the default allocation for each
eligible unit determined under paragraph (b)(6), (7), or (8) of this
section to the nearest allowance and make any adjustments required
under paragraph (b)(10) of this section.
(10) If the sum of the default allocations after rounding under
paragraph (b)(9) of this section does not equal the total amount of
allowances determined for the State and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section, the Administrator will adjust the default
allocations as follows. The Administrator will list the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units in descending order based on
such units' allocation amounts under paragraph (b)(9) of this section
and, in cases of equal allocation amounts, in alphabetical order of the
relevant sources' names and numerical order of the relevant units'
identification numbers, and will adjust each unit's allocation amount
upward or downward by one CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance (but not below zero) in the order in which the units are
listed, and will repeat this adjustment process as necessary, until the
total of the adjusted default allocations equals the total amount of
allowances determined for the State and control period under paragraph
(b)(1) of this section.
(11)(i) By March 1, 2025 and March 1 of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will calculate the default allocation of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit in a State and Indian country
within the borders of the State, in accordance with paragraphs (b)(1)
through (10) of this section and Sec. Sec. 97.1006(b)(2) and 97.1030
through 97.1035, for the control period in the year after the year of
the applicable calculation deadline under this paragraph (b)(11)(i) and
will promulgate a notice of data availability of the results of the
calculations.
(ii) For each notice of data availability required in paragraph
(b)(11)(i) of this section, the Administrator will provide an
opportunity for submission of objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be submitted by the deadline specified
in such notice and shall be limited to addressing whether the
calculations (including the identification of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units) are in accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (b)(11)(i) of this section.
(iii) The Administrator will adjust the calculations to the extent
necessary to ensure that they are in accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (b)(11)(i) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (b)(11)(i) of this section, the Administrator
will promulgate a notice of data availability of the results of the
calculations incorporating any adjustments that the Administrator
determines to be necessary and the reasons for accepting or rejecting
any objections submitted in accordance with paragraph (b)(11)(ii) of
this section.
(c) Incorrect allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to existing units. (1) For each control period in 2021 and
thereafter, if the Administrator determines that CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were allocated for the control period
to a recipient covered by the provisions of paragraph (c)(1)(i), (ii),
or (iii) of this section, then the Administrator will notify the
designated representative of the recipient and will act in accordance
with the procedures set forth in paragraphs (c)(2) through (5) of this
section:
(i) The recipient is not actually a CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit under Sec. 97.1004 as of the first day of the
control period and is allocated CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances for such control period under paragraph (a)(1) or (2) of
this section;
(ii) The recipient is not actually a CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 unit under Sec. 97.1004 as of the first day of the
control period and is allocated CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances for such control period under a provision of a SIP
revision approved under Sec. 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this
chapter that the SIP revision provides should be allocated only to
recipients that are CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units as
of the first day of such control period; or
(iii) The recipient is not located as of the first day of the
control period in the State (and Indian country within the borders of
the State) from whose NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading
budget CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were
allocated to the recipient for such control period under paragraph
(a)(1) or (2) of this section or under a provision of a SIP revision
approved under Sec. 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this chapter.
* * * * *
(5) With regard to any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances that are not recorded, or that are deducted as an incorrect
allocation, in accordance with paragraphs (c)(2) and (3) of this
section:
(i) If the non-recordation decision under paragraph (c)(2) of this
section or the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of this section occurs
on or before May 1, 2024, the Administrator will transfer the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to the new unit set-
aside for 2021, 2022, or 2023 for the State from whose NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances were allocated.
(ii) If the non-recordation decision under paragraph (c)(2) of this
section or
[[Page 36913]]
the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of this section occurs after May
1, 2024, and on or before May 1 of the year following the year of the
control period for which the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances were allocated, the Administrator will transfer the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to the new unit set-
aside for such control period for the State from whose NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances were allocated.
(iii) If the non-recordation decision under paragraph (c)(2) of
this section or the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of this section
occurs after May 1, 2024, and after May 1 of the year following the
year of the control period for which the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances were allocated, the Administrator will
transfer the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to a
surrender account.
0
66. Amend Sec. 97.1012 by:
0
a. Revising paragraphs (a) introductory text and (a)(1)(i) and (ii);
0
b. Removing paragraphs (a)(1)(iii) and (iv);
0
c. Revising paragraphs (a)(2) and (a)(3)(i);
0
d. In paragraph (a)(3)(ii), adding ``and'' after the semicolon;
0
e. Revising paragraph (a)(3)(iii);
0
f. Removing paragraph (a)(3)(iv);
0
g. Revising paragraph (a)(4)(i);
0
h. Redesignating paragraph (a)(4)(ii) as paragraph (a)(4)(iii) and
adding a new paragraph (a)(4)(ii);
0
i. Revising paragraphs (a)(5) and (10):
0
j. In paragraph (a)(11), removing ``Sec. 97.1011(b)(1)(i), (ii), and
(v), of'' and adding in its place ``paragraph (a)(13) of this section,
of'';
0
k. Adding paragraph (a)(13);
0
l. Revising paragraphs (b) introductory text and (b)(1) and (2);
0
m. In paragraph (b)(5), removing ``Indian country within the borders of
the State'' and adding in its place ``areas of Indian country within
the borders of the State not subject to the State's SIP authority'';
0
n. Revising paragraph (b)(10);
0
o. In paragraph (b)(11), removing ``Sec. 97.1011(b)(2)(i), (ii), and
(v), of'' and adding in its place ``paragraph (b)(13) of this section,
of''; and
0
p. Adding paragraphs (b)(13) and (c).
The revisions and additions read as follows:
Sec. 97.1012 CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance allocations to
new units.
(a) Allocations from new unit set-asides. For each control period
in 2021 and thereafter for a State listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A)
of this chapter, or 2023 and thereafter for a State listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) or (C) of this chapter, and for the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units in each State and areas of
Indian country within the borders of the State (except, for the control
periods in 2021 and 2022, areas of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State's SIP authority), the Administrator
will allocate CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units as follows:
(1) * * *
(i) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units that are not
allocated an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for such control period in the applicable notice of data
availability referenced in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) or (2) and that have
deadlines for certification of monitoring systems under Sec.
97.1030(b) not later than September 30 of the year of the control
period; or
(ii) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units whose
allocation of an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for such control period in the applicable notice of data
availability referenced in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) or (2) is covered by
Sec. 97.1011(c)(2) or (3).
(2) The Administrator will establish a separate new unit set-aside
for the State for each such control period. Each such new unit set-
aside will be allocated CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances in an amount equal to the applicable amount of tons of
NOX emissions as set forth in Sec. 97.1010(c) and will be
allocated additional CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances (if any) in accordance with Sec. 97.1011(c)(5) and
paragraphs (b)(10) and (c)(5) of this section.
(3) * * *
(i) The control period in 2021, for a State listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter, or the control period in 2023, for
a State listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) or (C) of this chapter;
* * * * *
(iii) For a unit described in paragraph (a)(1)(ii) of this section,
the first control period in which the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit operates in the State and Indian country within the
borders of the State (except, for the control periods in 2021 and 2022,
areas of Indian country within the borders of the State not subject to
the State's SIP authority) after operating in another jurisdiction and
for which the unit is not already allocated one or more CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances.
(4)(i) The allocation to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit described in paragraphs (a)(1)(i) through (iii) of this
section and for each control period described in paragraph (a)(3) of
this section will be an amount equal to the unit's total tons of
NOX emissions during the control period or, if less, any
applicable amount calculated under paragraph (a)(4)(ii) of this
section.
(ii)(A) The allocation under paragraph (a)(4)(i) of this section to
a unit described in paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(B) or (C) of this section may
not exceed a maximum controlled baseline calculated as the product
(converted to tons at a conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and rounded
to the nearest ton) of the unit's total heat input during the control
period in mmBtu multiplied by a NOX emissions rate of 0.08
lb/mmBtu.
(B) For a control period in 2024 through 2026, a maximum controlled
baseline under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A) of this section shall apply to
any unit combusting any coal or solid coal-derived fuel during the
control period, serving a generator with nameplate capacity of 100 MW
or more, and equipped with selective catalytic reduction controls on or
before September 30 of the preceding control period, except a
circulating fluidized bed boiler.
(C) For a control period in 2027 and thereafter, a maximum
controlled baseline under paragraph (a)(4)(ii)(A) of this section shall
apply to any unit combusting any coal or solid coal-derived fuel during
the control period and serving a generator with nameplate capacity of
100 MW or more, except a circulating fluidized bed boiler.
* * * * *
(5) The Administrator will calculate the sum of the allocation
amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
determined for all such CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units
under paragraph (a)(4)(i) of this section in the State and Indian
country within the borders of the State (except, for the control
periods in 2021 and 2022, areas of Indian country within the borders of
the State not subject to the State's SIP authority) for such control
period.
* * * * *
(10)(i) For a control period in 2021 or 2022, if, after completion
of the procedures under paragraphs (a)(2) through (7) and (12) of this
section for a control period, any unallocated CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances remain in the new unit set-aside for
the State for such control period, the Administrator will allocate to
each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit that is in the
State and areas of Indian country within the borders of the State
subject to the State's
[[Page 36914]]
SIP authority and is allocated an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances for the control period in the applicable
notice of data availability referenced in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) an amount
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances equal to the
following: The total amount of such remaining unallocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances in such new unit set-
aside, multiplied by the unit's allocation under Sec. 97.1011(a)(1)
for such control period, divided by the remainder of the amount of tons
in the applicable State NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading
budget minus the sum of the amounts of tons in such new unit set-aside
and the Indian country new unit set-aside for the State for such
control period, and rounded to the nearest allowance.
(ii) For a control period in 2023 or thereafter, if, after
completion of the procedures under paragraphs (a)(2) through (7) and
(12) of this section for a control period, any unallocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances remain in the new unit
set-aside for the State for such control period, the Administrator will
allocate to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit that is
in the State and Indian country within the borders of the State and is
allocated an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances for the control period by the Administrator in the
applicable notice of data availability referenced in Sec.
97.1011(a)(1) or (2), or under a provision of a SIP revision approved
under Sec. 52.38(b)(10), (11), or (12) of this chapter, an amount of
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances equal to the
following: The total amount of such remaining unallocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances in such new unit set-
aside, multiplied by the unit's allocation under Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) or
(2) or a provision of a SIP revision approved under Sec. 52.38(b)(10),
(11), or (12) of this chapter for such control period, divided by the
remainder of the amount of tons in the applicable State NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget minus the amount of tons in such
new unit set-aside for the State for such control period, and rounded
to the nearest allowance.
* * * * *
(13)(i) By March 1, 2022, and March 1 of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will calculate the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowance allocation to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 unit in a State and Indian country within the borders of the
State (except, for the control periods in 2021 and 2022, areas of
Indian country within the State not subject to the State's SIP
authority), in accordance with paragraphs (a)(2) through (7), (10), and
(12) of this section and Sec. Sec. 97.1006(b)(2) and 97.1030 through
97.1035, for the control period in the year before the year of the
applicable calculation deadline under this paragraph (a)(13)(i) and
will promulgate a notice of data availability of the results of the
calculations.
(ii) For each notice of data availability required in paragraph
(a)(13)(i) of this section, the Administrator will provide an
opportunity for submission of objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be submitted by the deadline specified
in such notice and shall be limited to addressing whether the
calculations (including the identification of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units) are in accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (a)(13)(i) of this section.
(iii) The Administrator will adjust the calculations to the extent
necessary to ensure that they are in accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (a)(13)(i) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (a)(13)(i) of this section, the Administrator
will promulgate a notice of data availability of the results of the
calculations incorporating any adjustments that the Administrator
determines to be necessary and the reasons for accepting or rejecting
any objections submitted in accordance with paragraph (a)(13)(ii) of
this section.
(b) Allocations from Indian country new unit set-asides. For the
control periods in 2021 and 2022, for a State listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter, and for the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units in areas of Indian country within the
borders of each such State not subject to the State's SIP authority,
the Administrator will allocate CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances to the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units as
follows:
(1) The CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances will
be allocated to CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units that
are not allocated an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances for such control period in the applicable notice of data
availability referenced in Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) and that have deadlines
for certification of monitoring systems under Sec. 97.1030(b) not
later than September 30 of the year of the control period, except as
provided in paragraph (b)(10) of this section.
(2) The Administrator will establish a separate Indian country new
unit set-aside for the State for each such control period. Each such
Indian country new unit set-aside will be allocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances in an amount equal to
the applicable amount of tons of NOX emissions as set forth
in Sec. 97.1010(d) and will be allocated additional CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances (if any) in accordance
with paragraph (c)(5) of this section.
* * * * *
(10) If, after completion of the procedures under paragraphs (b)(2)
through (7) and (12) of this section for a control period, any
unallocated CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances remain
in the Indian country new unit set-aside for the State for such control
period, the Administrator will transfer such unallocated CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to the new unit set-
aside for the State for such control period.
* * * * *
(13)(i) By March 1, 2022, and March 1, 2023, the Administrator will
calculate the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocation to each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit in
areas of Indian country within the borders of a State not subject to
the State's SIP authority, in accordance with paragraphs (b)(2) through
(7), (10), and (12) of this section and Sec. Sec. 97.1006(b)(2) and
97.1030 through 97.1035, for the control period in the year before the
year of the applicable calculation deadline under this paragraph
(b)(13)(i) and will promulgate a notice of data availability of the
results of the calculations.
(ii) For each notice of data availability required in paragraph
(b)(13)(i) of this section, the Administrator will provide an
opportunity for submission of objections to the calculations referenced
in such notice. Objections shall be submitted by the deadline specified
in such notice and shall be limited to addressing whether the
calculations (including the identification of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 units) are in accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this section.
(iii) The Administrator will adjust the calculations to the extent
necessary to ensure that they are in accordance with the provisions
referenced in paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this section. By May 1
immediately after the promulgation of each notice of data availability
required in paragraph (b)(13)(i) of this section, the Administrator
will promulgate a notice of data availability of the results of the
calculations incorporating any adjustments that the Administrator
[[Page 36915]]
determines to be necessary and the reasons for accepting or rejecting
any objections submitted in accordance with paragraph (b)(13)(ii) of
this section.
(c) Incorrect allocations of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances to new units. (1) For each control period in 2021 and
thereafter, if the Administrator determines that CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were allocated for the control period
under paragraphs (a)(2) through (7) and (12) of this section or
paragraphs (b)(2) through (7) and (12) of this section to a recipient
that is not actually a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit
under Sec. 97.1004 as of the first day of such control period, then
the Administrator will notify the designated representative of the
recipient and will act in accordance with the procedures set forth in
paragraphs (c)(2) through (5) of this section.
(2) Except as provided in paragraph (c)(3) or (4) of this section,
the Administrator will not record such CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances under Sec. 97.1021.
(3) If the Administrator already recorded such CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances under Sec. 97.1021 and if the
Administrator makes the determination under paragraph (c)(1) of this
section before making deductions for the source that includes such
recipient under Sec. 97.1024(b) for such control period, then the
Administrator will deduct from the account in which such CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were recorded an amount
of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated for
the same or a prior control period equal to the amount of such already
recorded CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances. The
authorized account representative shall ensure that there are
sufficient CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances in such
account for completion of the deduction.
(4) If the Administrator already recorded such CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowances under Sec. 97.1021 and if the
Administrator makes the determination under paragraph (c)(1) of this
section after making deductions for the source that includes such
recipient under Sec. 97.1024(b) for such control period, then the
Administrator will not make any deduction to take account of such
already recorded CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances.
(5) With regard to any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances that are not recorded, or that are deducted as an incorrect
allocation, in accordance with paragraphs (c)(2) and (3) of this
section:
(i) If the non-recordation decision under paragraph (c)(2) of this
section or the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of this section occurs
on or before May 1, 2023, the Administrator will transfer the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to the new unit set-
aside, in the case of allowances allocated under paragraph (a) of this
section, or the Indian country new unit set-aside, in the case of
allowances allocated under paragraph (b) of this section, for the
control period in 2021 or 2022 for the State from whose NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances were allocated.
(ii) If the non-recordation decision under paragraph (c)(2) of this
section or the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of this section occurs
after May 1, 2023, and on or before May 1, 2024, the Administrator will
transfer the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to
the new unit set-aside for the control period in 2023 for the State
from whose NOX Ozone Season Group 3 trading budget the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances were allocated.
(iii) If the non-recordation decision under paragraph (c)(2) of
this section or the deduction under paragraph (c)(3) of this section
occurs after May 1, 2024, the Administrator will transfer the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances to a surrender account.
0
67. Amend Sec. 97.1021 by:
0
a. In paragraph (a), removing ``Sec. 97.1011(a)'' and adding in its
place ``Sec. 97.1011(a)(1)'';
0
b. Revising paragraph (b);
0
c. Removing and reserving paragraph (c);
0
d. Adding paragraphs (d) and (e);
0
e. In paragraph (f), removing ``Sec. 97.1011(a), or'' and adding in
its place ``Sec. 97.1011(a)(1), or'';
0
f. Redesignating paragraphs (g) and (h) as paragraphs (i) and (j),
respectively, and adding new paragraphs (g) and (h);
0
g. Revising newly redesignated paragraph (i);
0
h. In newly redesignated paragraph (j), removing ``and May 1 of each
year thereafter, the'' and adding in its place ``, and May 1, 2023,
the''; and
0
i. In paragraph (m), adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec. 97.811(d)'' each
time it appears.
The revisions and addition read as follows:
Sec. 97.1021 Recordation of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
allocations and auction results.
* * * * *
(b) By July 29, 2021, the Administrator will record in each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source's compliance account the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated to the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) for the control period in 2022.
* * * * *
(d) By September 5, 2023, the Administrator will record in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source's compliance account
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated to
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) for the control period in 2023.
(e) By September 5, 2023, the Administrator will record in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source's compliance account
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated to
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) for the control period in 2024,
unless the State in which the source is located notifies the
Administrator in writing by August 4, 2023, of the State's intent to
submit to the Administrator a complete SIP revision by September 1,
2023, meeting the requirements of Sec. 52.38(b)(10)(i) through (iv) of
this chapter.
(1) If, by September 1, 2023, the State does not submit to the
Administrator such complete SIP revision, the Administrator will record
by September 15, 2023, in each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 source's compliance account the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 units at the source in accordance with Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) for
the control period in 2024.
(2) If the State submits to the Administrator by September 1, 2023,
and the Administrator approves by March 1, 2024, such complete SIP
revision, the Administrator will record by March 1, 2024, in each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source's compliance account the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated to the
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source as
provided in such approved, complete SIP revision for the control period
in 2024.
(3) If the State submits to the Administrator by September 1, 2023,
and the Administrator does not approve by March 1, 2024, such complete
SIP revision, the Administrator will record by March 1, 2024, in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source's compliance account
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
[[Page 36916]]
allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the
source in accordance with Sec. 97.1011(a)(1) for the control period in
2024.
* * * * *
(g) By September 5, 2023, the Administrator will record in each
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 source's compliance account
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances allocated to
the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source in
accordance with Sec. 97.1011(a)(2) for the control periods in 2023 and
2024.
(h) By July 1, 2024, and July 1 of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will record in each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 source's compliance account the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in accordance with Sec.
97.1011(a)(2) for the control period in the year after the year of the
applicable recordation deadline under this paragraph (h).
(i) By May 1, 2022, and May 1 of each year thereafter, the
Administrator will record in each CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 source's compliance account the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances allocated to the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 units at the source in accordance with Sec. 97.1012(a)
for the control period in the year before the year of the applicable
recordation deadline under this paragraph (i).
* * * * *
0
68. Amend Sec. 97.1024 by:
0
a. Revising the section heading;
0
b. In paragraphs (a) introductory text and (b) introductory text,
adding ``primary'' before ``emissions limitation'';
0
c. Revising paragraph (b)(1);
0
d. Adding paragraph (b)(3); and
0
e. In paragraph (c)(2)(ii), adding ``or (e)'' after ``Sec.
97.826(d)''.
The revisions and addition read as follows:
Sec. 97.1024 Compliance with CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 primary
emissions limitation; backstop daily NOX emissions rate.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(1) Until the amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances deducted equals the sum of:
(i) The number of tons of total NOX emissions from all
CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source for such
control period; plus
(ii) Two times the excess, if any, over 50 tons of the sum
(converted to tons at a conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and rounded
to the nearest ton), for all calendar days in the control period and
all CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at the source to
which the backstop daily NOX emissions rate applies for the
control period under paragraph (b)(3) of this section, of any amount by
which a unit's NOX emissions for a given calendar day in
pounds exceed the product in pounds of the unit's total heat input in
mmBtu for that calendar day multiplied by 0.14 lb/mmBtu; or
* * * * *
(3) The backstop daily NOX emissions rate of 0.14 lb/
mmBtu applies as follows:
(i) For each control period in 2024 through 2029, the backstop
daily NOX emissions rate shall apply to each CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit combusting any coal or solid
coal-derived fuel during the control period, serving a generator with
nameplate capacity of 100 MW or more, and equipped with selective
catalytic reduction controls on or before September 30 of the preceding
control period, except a circulating fluidized bed boiler.
(ii) For each control in 2030 and thereafter, the backstop daily
NOX emissions rate shall apply to each CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 unit combusting any coal or solid coal-derived
fuel during the control period and serving a generator with nameplate
capacity of 100 MW or more, except a circulating fluidized bed boiler.
* * * * *
0
69. Amend Sec. 97.1025 by:
0
a. Revising the section heading;
0
b. In paragraphs (a) introductory text, (a)(2), (b)(1)(i),
(b)(1)(ii)(A) and (B), (b)(3), (b)(4)(i), (b)(5), (b)(6)(i),
(b)(6)(iii) introductory text, and (b)(6)(iii)(A) and (B), removing
``base CSAPR'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR'' each time it appears;
and
0
c. Adding paragraph (c).
The revision and addition read as follows:
Sec. 97.1025 Compliance with CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 assurance
provisions; CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 secondary emissions
limitation.
* * * * *
(c) CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 secondary emissions limitation.
(1) The owner or operator of a CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 unit equipped with selective catalytic reduction controls or
selective non-catalytic reduction controls shall not discharge, or
allow to be discharged, emissions of NOX to the atmosphere
during a control period in excess of the tonnage amount calculated in
accordance with paragraph (c)(2) of this section, provided that the
emissions limitation established under this paragraph (c)(1) shall
apply to a unit for a control period only if:
(i) The unit is included for the control period in a group of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 units at CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 sources in a State (and Indian country within the
borders of such State) having a common designated representative and
the owners and operators of such units and sources are subject to a
requirement for such control period to hold one or more CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances under Sec.
97.1006(c)(2)(i) and paragraph (b) of this section with respect to such
group; and
(ii) The unit was required to report NOX emissions and
heat input data for all or portions of at least 367 operating hours
during the control period and all or portions of at least 367 operating
hours during at least one historical control period under the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 1 Trading Program, CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading Program, or CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program.
(2) The amount of the emissions limitation applicable to a CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 unit for a control period under
paragraph (c)(1) of this section, in tons of NOX, shall be
calculated as the sum of 50 plus the product (converted to tons at a
conversion factor of 2,000 lb/ton and rounded to the nearest ton) of
multiplying--
(i) The total heat input in mmBtu reported for the unit for the
control period in accordance with Sec. Sec. 97.1030 through 97.1035;
and
(ii) A NOX emission rate of 0.10 lb/mmBtu or, if higher,
the product of 1.25 times the lowest seasonal average NOX
emission rate in lb/mmBtu achieved by the unit in any historical
control period for which the unit was required to report NOX
emissions and heat input data for all or portions of at least 367
operating hours under the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 1
Trading Program, CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 2 Trading
Program, or CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 Trading Program,
where the unit's seasonal average NOX emission rate for each
such historical control period shall be calculated from such reported
data as the quotient (converted to lb/mmBtu at a conversion factor of
2,000 lb/ton, and rounded to the nearest 0.0001 lb/mmBtu) of the unit's
total NOX emissions in tons for the historical control
period divided by the unit's total heat input in mmBtu for the
historical control period.
0
70. Amend Sec. 97.1026 by:
[[Page 36917]]
0
a. Revising the section heading and paragraph (b);
0
b. In paragraph (c):
0
i. Removing ``set forth in'' and adding in its place ``established
under''; and
0
ii. Removing ``State (or Indian'' and adding in its place ``State (and
Indian''; and
0
c. Adding paragraph (d).
The revision and addition read as follows:
Sec. 97.1026 Banking; bank recalibration.
* * * * *
(b) Any CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance that is
held in a compliance account or a general account will remain in such
account unless and until the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowance is deducted or transferred under Sec. 97.1011(c), Sec.
97.1012(c), Sec. 97.1023, Sec. 97.1024, Sec. 97.1025, Sec. 97.1027,
or Sec. 97.1028 or paragraph (c) or (d) of this section.
* * * * *
(d) Before the allowance transfer deadline for each control period
in 2024 and thereafter, the Administrator will deduct amounts of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances issued for the control
periods in previous years exceeding the CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowance bank ceiling target for the control period in
accordance with paragraphs (d)(1) through (4) of this section.
(1) As soon as practicable on or after August 1, 2024, and August 1
of each year thereafter, the Administrator will temporarily suspend
acceptance of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance
transfers submitted under Sec. 97.1022 and, before resuming acceptance
of such transfers, will take the actions in paragraphs (d)(2) through
(4) of this section.
(2) The Administrator will determine each of the following values:
(i) The total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances issued for control periods in years before the year of the
deadline under paragraph (d)(1) of this section and held in all
compliance and general accounts.
(ii) The CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank
ceiling target for the control period in the year of the deadline under
paragraph (d)(1) of this section, calculated as the product, rounded to
the nearest allowance, of the sum for all States listed in Sec.
52.38(b)(2)(iii) of this chapter of the State NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 trading budgets under Sec. 97.1010(a) for such States
for such control period multiplied by--
(A) 0.210, for a control period in 2024 through 2029; or
(B) 0.105, for a control period in 2030 and thereafter.
(3) If the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group
3 allowances determined under paragraph (d)(2)(i) of this section
exceeds the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank
ceiling target determined under paragraph (d)(2)(ii) of this section,
then for each compliance account or general account holding CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances issued for control
periods in years before the year of the deadline under paragraph (d)(1)
of this section, the Administrator will:
(i) Determine the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances issued for control periods in years before the year
of the deadline under paragraph (d)(1) of this section and held in the
account.
(ii) Determine the account's share of the CSAPR NOX
Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank ceiling target for the control
period, calculated as the product, rounded up to the nearest allowance,
of the CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank ceiling
target determined under paragraph (d)(2)(ii) of this section multiplied
by a fraction whose numerator is the total amount of CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances held in the account
determined under paragraph (d)(3)(i) of this section and whose
denominator is the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances held in all compliance and general accounts
determined under paragraph (d)(2)(i) of this section.
(iii) Deduct an amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances issued for control periods in years before the year of the
deadline under paragraph (d)(1) of this section equal to any positive
remainder of the total amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances held in the account determined under paragraph
(d)(3)(i) of this section minus the account's share of the CSAPR
NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowance bank ceiling target for
the control period determined under paragraph (d)(3)(ii) of this
section. The allowances will be deducted on a first-in, first-out basis
in the order set forth in Sec. 97.1024(c)(2)(i) and (ii).
(iv) Record the deductions under paragraph (d)(3)(iii) of this
section in the account.
(4)(i) In computing any amounts of CSAPR NOX Ozone
Season Group 3 allowances to be deducted from general accounts under
paragraph (d)(3) of this section, the Administrator may group multiple
general accounts whose ownership interests are held by the same or
related persons or entities and treat the group of accounts as a single
account for purposes of such computation.
(ii) Following a computation for a group of general accounts in
accordance with paragraph (d)(4)(i) of this section, the Administrator
will deduct from and record in each individual account in such group a
proportional share of the quantity of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season
Group 3 allowances computed for such group, basing such shares on the
respective quantities of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3
allowances determined for such individual accounts under paragraph
(d)(3)(i) of this section.
(iii) In determining the proportional shares under paragraph
(d)(4)(ii) of this section, the Administrator may employ any reasonable
adjustment methodology to truncate or round each such share up or down
to a whole number and to cause the total of such whole numbers to equal
the amount of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
computed for such group of accounts in accordance with paragraph
(d)(4)(i) of this section, even where such adjustments cause the
numbers of CSAPR NOX Ozone Season Group 3 allowances
remaining in some individual accounts following the deductions to equal
zero.
0
71. Amend Sec. 97.1030 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (b)(1); and
0
b. In paragraph (b)(3), removing ``(b)(2)'' and adding in its place
``(b)(1) or (2)'' each time it appears.
The revision reads as follows:
Sec. 97.1030 General monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements.
* * * * *
(b) * * *
(1)(i) May 1, 2021, for a unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A)
of this chapter;
(ii) May 1, 2023, for a unit in a State (and Indian country within
the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this
chapter;
(iii) August 4, 2023, for a unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C)
of this chapter, where the unit is required to report NOX
mass emissions data or NOX emissions rate data according to
40 CFR part 75 to address other regulatory requirements; or
(iv) January 31, 2024, for a unit in a State (and Indian country
within the borders of such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C)
of this chapter, where the unit is not required to report
NOX mass emissions data or NOX emissions rate
data according to 40 CFR
[[Page 36918]]
part 75 to address other regulatory requirements.
* * * * *
0
72. Amend Sec. 97.1034 by:
0
a. Revising paragraph (d)(2)(i); and
0
b. In paragraph (d)(4), removing ``or CSAPR SO2 Group 1
Trading Program, quarterly'' and adding in its place ``CSAPR
SO2 Group 1 Trading Program, or CSAPR SO2 Group 2
Trading Program, quarterly''.
The revision reads as follows:
Sec. 97.1034 Recordkeeping and reporting.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(2) * * *
(i)(A) The calendar quarter covering May 1, 2021, through June 30,
2021, for a unit in a State (and Indian country within the borders of
such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(A) of this chapter;
(B) The calendar quarter covering May 1, 2023, through June 30,
2023, for a unit in a State (and Indian country within the borders of
such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(B) of this chapter; or
(C) The calendar quarter covering August 4, 2023, through June 30,
2023, for a unit in a State (and Indian country within the borders of
such State) listed in Sec. 52.38(b)(2)(iii)(C) of this chapter;
* * * * *
[FR Doc. 2023-05744 Filed 6-2-23; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P