Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program,, 14953-14955 [2021-05782]
Download as PDF
14953
Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 52 / Friday, March 19, 2021 / Notices
Number of
respondents
Information collection
HUD 4710i Instruction to fill out the above
form ............................................................
Total .......................................................
Frequency of
response
0
I
4,870
Authority: The Paperwork Reduction Act
of 1995, 44 U.S.C., Chapter 35, as amended.
Timothy M. Smyth,
Director, Office of Field Policy and
Management.
[FR Doc. 2021–05701 Filed 3–18–21; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210–67–P
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR–6224–N–02]
Fair Market Rents for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program,
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room
Occupancy Program, and Other
Programs
Fiscal Year 2021; Revised
AGENCY: Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice of Revised Fiscal Year
(FY) 2021 Fair Market Rents (FMRs) and
Discussion of Comments on FY 2021
FMRs.
This notice updates the FY
2021 FMRs for four areas based on new
survey data: Houston-The WoodlandsSugar Land, TX HUD Metro FMR Area
(HMFA), Knox County, ME, Lincoln
SUMMARY:
Responses
per annum
0
I
2
Burden hour
per response
0
I
9,740
Annual burden
hours
0
I
2
County, ME, and Waldo County, ME.
Further, HUD responds to comments
received on the FY 2021 FMRs.
DATES: The revised FY 2021 FMRs for
these four areas are effective on April 1,
2021.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Questions related to use of FMRs or
voucher payment standards should be
directed to the respective local HUD
program staff.
For technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or
a listing of all FMRs, please call the
HUD USER information line at 800–
245–2691 (toll-free) or access the
information on the HUD USER website:
https://www.huduser.gov/portal/
datasets/fmr.html. Individuals with
speech or hearing impairments may
access this number through TTY by
calling the Federal Relay Service at 800–
877–8339 (toll-free number). The FY
2021 EXCEL files have been updated to
include these revised FMRs and this
data is included in our query system by
FMR area. For informational purposes,
the 50th percentile rents for all FMR
areas are updated and published at
https://www.huduser.gov/portal/
datasets/50per.html.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: On August
14, 2020 HUD published the FY 2021
Hourly cost
per response
0
I
24,350
Annual cost
0
I
$37.34
9
I
$909,220
FMRs, requesting comments on the FY
2021 FMRs, and outlining procedures
for requesting a reevaluation of an area’s
FY 2021 FMRs (85 FR 49666). This
notice revises FY 2021 FMRs for four
areas based on data provided to HUD. In
addition to providing revised FY 2021
FMRs, this notice also provides
responses to the public comments HUD
received on the notice referenced above.
I. Revised FY 2021 FMRs
The FMRs appearing in the following
table supersede the use of the FY 2020
FMRs for the four areas that provided
statistically valid data. The updated FY
2021 FMRs are based on surveys
conducted by the area public housing
agencies (PHAs) and reflect the
estimated 40th percentile rent levels
trended to April 1, 2021.
Stamford-Norwalk, CT, CT HMFA and
Transylvania County, NC also provided
survey data and have continued to use
FY 2020 FMRs while survey data was
evaluated. However, the survey data
provided by these areas could not be
used to revise their FY 2021 FMRs.
Effective April 1, 2021, the FMRs for
these two areas are the FY 2021 FMRs
as originally calculated.
The FMRs for the affected area are
revised as follows:
FMR by number of bedrooms in unit
2021 Fair Market Rent Area
0 BR
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Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HUD Metro
FMR Area .........................................................................
Knox County, ME .................................................................
Lincoln County, ME ..............................................................
Waldo County, ME ...............................................................
The FY 2021 FMRs are amended and
are available on the HUD USER website:
https://www.huduser.gov/portal/
datasets/fmr.html. The FY 2021 Small
Area FMRs (SAFMRs) for metropolitan
areas with revised FMRs have also been
updated commensurate with the
metropolitan area revisions and may be
found at https://www.huduser.gov/
portal/datasets/fmr/smallarea/
index.html.
II. Public Comments on FY 2021 FMRs
A total of 13 comments were received
and posted on regulations.gov, https://
www.regulations.gov/
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19:13 Mar 18, 2021
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1 BR
$908
771
797
836
2 BR
$983
815
802
841
document?D=HUD-2020-0055-0001. Of
the 13 comments received, 11 were
reevaluation requests for nine FMR
areas. HUD granted requests for
reevaluation for the nine FMR areas.
Three areas elected to conduct a joint
survey of the combined three-county
area. See: https://www.huduser.gov/
portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2021/FY-2021Reevaluation-areas.pdf.
Public housing agencies in the nine
areas where HUD agreed to reevaluate
the FY 2021 FMRs continued to use FY
2020 FMRs during the reevaluation
period as mandated by the Housing
Opportunities Through Modernization
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Fmt 4703
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3 BR
$1,176
967
1,021
1,001
$1,576
1,329
1,270
1,251
4 BR
$2,010
1,365
1,642
1,712
Act. Six of these nine areas have
continued to use FY 2020 FMRs since
January 11, 2020 because they either
provided valid survey data or requested
additional time to collect survey results
because of mail delays attributed to the
COVID–19 pandemic. FY 2021 FMRs
became effective on January 11, 2021 for
the three areas where local survey data
was not submitted by the January 8,
2021 cut-off date. HUD published a list
of the three FMR areas not providing
data at the following link: https://
www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/
fmr2021/FY-2021-FMR-Areas-withoutReevaluation-Data.pdf. This notice
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Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 52 / Friday, March 19, 2021 / Notices
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provides the reevaluated FY 2021 FMRs
for the four areas requesting
reevaluation that provided valid survey
data and requires the use the FY 2021
FMRs as originally published for two
areas that requested reevaluation but
were unable to provide valid survey
data.
General Comments
Most of the comments not related to
specific areas requesting a reevaluation
discussed inaccuracies of the FMRs and
a need for more current and local data.
These comments and their responses are
discussed in greater detail below.
Comment: Several commenters
suggested that HUD should provide
additional funding to PHAs who
undertake local area surveys. One
comment noted that the cost for
address-based mail surveys is in the
$5,000 to $10,000 range.
HUD Response: HUD reminds PHAs
that paying for local area rent surveys is
an eligible expense to be paid from ongoing administrative fees or their
administrative fee reserve account. The
estimate of $5,000 to $10,000 per survey
is too low, based on the 2012 survey
study of small metropolitan areas and is
much higher based on recent
experiences of these small metropolitan
areas and rural counties. The estimate
was never appropriate for rental markets
in large and complex metropolitan FMR
areas. In general, the cost of the survey
increases with the size of the FMR area,
the size of the rental market and the
availability and cost of good rental
market lists.
Comment: HUD’s reliance on setting
FMRs at the 40th percentile is flawed
because this only works if there is a
normal distribution of rental units. Substandard housing should be removed
from the distribution when calculating a
40th percentile rent.
HUD Response: The purpose of using
a percentile instead of an average is to
account for abnormal distributions.
HUD removes responses from the
American Community Survey (ACS)
when the respondent reports the unit
does not have a complete kitchen or
complete plumbing to address substandard units. In addition, HUD
determines a ‘‘public housing cut-off
rent’’ to eliminate the bottom end of the
distribution of rental units from the ACS
before the 40th percentile rent is
calculated as a proxy to remove units
with low rents that are likely in nonmarket transactions (e.g., rented from
relatives), subsidized (ACS does not ask
whether households receive rental
subsidies), or are otherwise inadequate
in some manner not measured by the
ACS. HUD uses a consistent method to
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19:13 Mar 18, 2021
Jkt 253001
calculate this distribution cut off for
each HUD region. HUD continues to
explore alternatives for removing
assisted units from the ACS responses
before the 40th percentile rent is
calculated for the purpose of calculating
FMRs.
Comment: HUD needs to conduct its
own analysis or research to address
market anomalies and account for
erratic fluctuations in FMRs between
years and by bedroom size.
HUD Response: HUD did conduct
research into different methods of
calculating the trend factor and
implemented metropolitan and regional
forecasting into the calculation of the
trend factor beginning with the FY 2020
FMRs.
To correct erratic fluctuations in
FMRs year over year, HUD has
implemented steps to attenuate the
fluctuations found in the annually
updated survey data. HUD has made
methodology changes that call for
averaging bedroom ratios over three
years of data and averaging base rents
over the same period when the data is
limited. The statutory directive to use
the most recent data available compels
HUD to update the data behind each
area’s FMR calculation when new data
is released. Consequently, FMRs will
change from year to year in accordance
with changes in the underlying survey
data. HUD emphasizes that the primary
data source for FMRs is a survey (ACS)
and while surveyors do their best to
select unbiased random samples of the
population, sampling error persists
within survey statistics.
In addition, HUD has awarded three
research grants, and each will evaluate
potential methodology changes for the
calculation of FMRs in areas with
rapidly rising rents. The proposed
methodology changes resulting from
these three studies will be presented in
a Federal Register Notice of material
change in methodology that will be
published for comment in early- to mid2022.
HUD reminds agencies that payment
standard regulations allow for a
payment standard that is between 90
percent and 110 percent of the FMR.
Therefore, PHAs may in many cases
adopt payment standards that have
‘‘smoother’’ changes over time than the
FMRs.
Comment: Along with inadequate
administrative fees, inadequate FMRs
result in voucher underutilization
nationwide. HUD’s methodology for
setting FMRs also often results in a
reduction of choice and in many places
relegates voucher holders to the poorest
areas.
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
HUD Response: HUD’s methodology
for calculating FMRs has been revised to
improve choice in metropolitan areas
through the use of Small Area FMRs and
in all FMR areas by the use of local or
regional trend factors as opposed to one
national trend factor
Comment: HUD should create new
administrative mechanisms to cope with
inaccurate FMRs, specifically the
current flexibilities should be expanded.
HUD Response: HUD does have
procedures that provide flexibility in
the voucher program that allow PHAs to
keep payment standards constant when
FMRs decline. For areas where rents
increase more rapidly than what is
captured by the most recent data
available to HUD in calculating FMRs,
the department provides a mechanism
for more recent data collected in a
survey to be supplied to HUD.
Additionally, HUD has eased the
exception payment standard regulations
in metropolitan areas to allow for the
use of up to 110 percent of the Small
Area FMR as an exception payment
standard with no approval needed from
HUD. The only requirement is for PHAs
to notify HUD of their use of Small Area
FMRs in this manner. New
administrative procedures would have
to be developed by the programs other
than the Housing Choice Voucher
program to allow for use of payment
standards to provide additional
flexibility. Each program required to use
FMRs without similar flexibility to
payment standards would have to
amend its regulations to allow for
flexible application of FMRs if statute
permits.
Comment: HUD should continue to
refine its methodology for calculating
FMRs. A high priority should be placed
on improving the data that is used to
derive more accurate FMRs. HUD
should explore ‘‘scraping’’ local rent
data and use more timely data when
calculating FMRs
HUD Response: HUD is looking at
incorporating scraped rental data and
other more recent data in its current
studies of improving FMR calculations
in areas of rapidly rising rents.
Comment: HUD should use the 2017
American Community Survey data to
compare the gross rent by FMR area to
the FY 2017 FMRs to determine
accuracy of FMRs and report back to the
industry.
HUD Response: HUD undertook an
analysis such as this and reported the
results in a recent report to Congress.
Please see the section labeled ‘‘Accuracy
of FMRs’’ in HUD’s report ‘‘Proposals
To Update the Fair Market Rent
Formula’’, page 3, available at https://
www.huduser.gov/portal/sites/default/
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Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 52 / Friday, March 19, 2021 / Notices
files/pdf/Proposals-To-Update-the-FairMarket-Rent-Formula.pdf. Between
2009 and 2016 for areas with
sufficiently large ACS recent mover
rental unit samples, the ACS-measured
40th percentile gross rents were within
90 to 110 percent of the published FMRs
in 83.4 to 94.3 percent of cases. These
results do not adjust for more recent
improvements in the FMR estimation
method.
III. Environmental Impact
This Notice involves a statutorily
required establishment of fair market
rent schedules and does not constitute
a development decision affecting the
physical condition of specific project
areas or building sites. Accordingly,
under 24 CFR 50.19(c)(6), this Notice is
categorically excluded from
environmental review under the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321).
Todd M. Richardson,
General Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office
of Policy Development and Research.
[FR Doc. 2021–05782 Filed 3–18–21; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210–67–P
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR–7034–N–13; OMB Control
No.: 2577–0280]
30-Day Notice of Proposed Information
Collection: Transfer and Consolidation
of Public Housing Programs
Office of the Chief Information
Officer, HUD.
AGENCY:
ACTION:
Notice.
described in Section A. The Federal
Register notice that solicited public
comment on the information collection
for a period of 60 days was published
on January 4, 2021 at 86 FR 115.
HUD has submitted the
proposed information collection
requirement described below to the
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) for review, in accordance with
the Paperwork Reduction Act. The
purpose of this notice is to allow for an
additional 30 days of public comment.
DATES: Comments Due Date: April 19,
2021.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are
invited to submit comments regarding
this proposal. Written comments and
recommendations for the proposed
information collection should be sent
within 30 days of publication of this
notice to www.reginfo.gov/public/do/
Start Printed Page 15501PRAMain. Find
this particular information collection by
selecting ‘‘Currently under 30-day
Review—Open for Public Comments’’ or
by using the search function.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Colette Pollard, Reports Management
Officer, QDAM, Department of Housing
and Urban Development, 451 7th Street
SW, Washington, DC 20410; email
Colette Pollard at Colette.Pollard@
hud.gov or telephone 202–402–3400.
Persons with hearing or speech
impairments may access this number
through TTY by calling the toll-free
Federal Relay Service at (800) 877–8339.
This is not a toll-free number. Copies of
available documents submitted to OMB
may be obtained from Ms. Pollard.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This
notice informs the public that HUD has
submitted to OMB a request for
approval of the information collection
SUMMARY:
A. Overview of Information Collection
Title of Information Collection: Public
Housing Program—Transfer and
Consolidation of Public Housing
Programs.
OMB Approval Number: 2577–0280.
Type of Request: Extension of a
previously approved collection.
Form Number: N/A.
Description of the need for the
information and proposed use: State
legislatures or other local governing
bodies may from time to time direct or
agree that the public interest is best
served if one public housing agency
(PHA) cedes its public housing program
to another PHA, or that two or more
PHAs should be combined into one
multijurisdictional PHA. This proposed
information collection serves to protect
HUD’s several interests in either
transaction: (1) insuring the continued
used of the property as public housing;
(2) that HUD’s interests are secured; and
(3) that the operating and capital
subsidies that HUD pays to support the
operation and maintenance of public
housing is properly paid to the correct
PHA on behalf of the correct properties.
In addition to submitting
documentation to HUD, PHAs are
required to make conforming changes to
HUD’s Public Housing Information
Center (PIC).
Total Estimated Burdens:
TOTAL BURDEN HOUR ESTIMATES FOR PHAS
Number of
respondents
Number of transfer or consolidation actions
Frequency of
requirement *
×
Estimated
average time for
requirement
(hours)
=
Estimated
annual burden
(hours)
3 Transfers .................................................................................
2 Consolidations .........................................................................
6
4
1
1
120
200
720
800
Subtotals .............................................................................
10
........................
320
1,520
* The frequency shown assumes that the receiving or consolidated PHA makes one submission for all other PHAs involved in either the transfer or consolidation.
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B. Solicitation of Public Comment
This notice is soliciting comments
from members of the public and affected
parties concerning the collection of
information described in Section A on
the following:
(1) Whether the proposed collection
of information is necessary for the
proper performance of the functions of
the agency, including whether the
information will have practical utility;
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19:13 Mar 18, 2021
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(2) The accuracy of the agency’s
estimate of the burden of the proposed
collection of information;
(3) Ways to enhance the quality,
utility, and clarity of the information to
be collected; and
(4) Ways to minimize the burden of
the collection of information on those
who are to respond; including through
the use of appropriate automated
collection techniques or other forms of
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
information technology, e.g., permitting
electronic submission of responses.
(5) Ways to minimize the burden of
the collection of information on those
who are to respond, including the use
of automated collection techniques or
other forms of information technology.
HUD encourages interested parties to
submit comment in response to these
questions.
E:\FR\FM\19MRN1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 86, Number 52 (Friday, March 19, 2021)]
[Notices]
[Pages 14953-14955]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2021-05782]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR-6224-N-02]
Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program,
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program, and Other
Programs
Fiscal Year 2021; Revised
AGENCY: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice of Revised Fiscal Year (FY) 2021 Fair Market Rents
(FMRs) and Discussion of Comments on FY 2021 FMRs.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This notice updates the FY 2021 FMRs for four areas based on
new survey data: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX HUD Metro FMR
Area (HMFA), Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, and Waldo County, ME.
Further, HUD responds to comments received on the FY 2021 FMRs.
DATES: The revised FY 2021 FMRs for these four areas are effective on
April 1, 2021.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Questions related to use of FMRs or voucher payment standards
should be directed to the respective local HUD program staff.
For technical information on the methodology used to develop FMRs
or a listing of all FMRs, please call the HUD USER information line at
800-245-2691 (toll-free) or access the information on the HUD USER
website: https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr.html. Individuals
with speech or hearing impairments may access this number through TTY
by calling the Federal Relay Service at 800-877-8339 (toll-free
number). The FY 2021 EXCEL files have been updated to include these
revised FMRs and this data is included in our query system by FMR area.
For informational purposes, the 50th percentile rents for all FMR areas
are updated and published at https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/50per.html.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: On August 14, 2020 HUD published the FY 2021
FMRs, requesting comments on the FY 2021 FMRs, and outlining procedures
for requesting a reevaluation of an area's FY 2021 FMRs (85 FR 49666).
This notice revises FY 2021 FMRs for four areas based on data provided
to HUD. In addition to providing revised FY 2021 FMRs, this notice also
provides responses to the public comments HUD received on the notice
referenced above.
I. Revised FY 2021 FMRs
The FMRs appearing in the following table supersede the use of the
FY 2020 FMRs for the four areas that provided statistically valid data.
The updated FY 2021 FMRs are based on surveys conducted by the area
public housing agencies (PHAs) and reflect the estimated 40th
percentile rent levels trended to April 1, 2021.
Stamford-Norwalk, CT, CT HMFA and Transylvania County, NC also
provided survey data and have continued to use FY 2020 FMRs while
survey data was evaluated. However, the survey data provided by these
areas could not be used to revise their FY 2021 FMRs. Effective April
1, 2021, the FMRs for these two areas are the FY 2021 FMRs as
originally calculated.
The FMRs for the affected area are revised as follows:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
FMR by number of bedrooms in unit
2021 Fair Market Rent Area -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
0 BR 1 BR 2 BR 3 BR 4 BR
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar $908 $983 $1,176 $1,576 $2,010
Land, TX HUD Metro FMR Area....
Knox County, ME................. 771 815 967 1,329 1,365
Lincoln County, ME.............. 797 802 1,021 1,270 1,642
Waldo County, ME................ 836 841 1,001 1,251 1,712
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The FY 2021 FMRs are amended and are available on the HUD USER
website: https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr.html. The FY 2021
Small Area FMRs (SAFMRs) for metropolitan areas with revised FMRs have
also been updated commensurate with the metropolitan area revisions and
may be found at https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/smallarea/.
II. Public Comments on FY 2021 FMRs
A total of 13 comments were received and posted on regulations.gov,
https://www.regulations.gov/document?D=HUD-2020-0055-0001. Of the 13
comments received, 11 were reevaluation requests for nine FMR areas.
HUD granted requests for reevaluation for the nine FMR areas. Three
areas elected to conduct a joint survey of the combined three-county
area. See: https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2021/FY-2021-Reevaluation-areas.pdf.
Public housing agencies in the nine areas where HUD agreed to
reevaluate the FY 2021 FMRs continued to use FY 2020 FMRs during the
reevaluation period as mandated by the Housing Opportunities Through
Modernization Act. Six of these nine areas have continued to use FY
2020 FMRs since January 11, 2020 because they either provided valid
survey data or requested additional time to collect survey results
because of mail delays attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic. FY 2021
FMRs became effective on January 11, 2021 for the three areas where
local survey data was not submitted by the January 8, 2021 cut-off
date. HUD published a list of the three FMR areas not providing data at
the following link: https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2021/FY-2021-FMR-Areas-without-Reevaluation-Data.pdf. This notice
[[Page 14954]]
provides the reevaluated FY 2021 FMRs for the four areas requesting
reevaluation that provided valid survey data and requires the use the
FY 2021 FMRs as originally published for two areas that requested
reevaluation but were unable to provide valid survey data.
General Comments
Most of the comments not related to specific areas requesting a
reevaluation discussed inaccuracies of the FMRs and a need for more
current and local data. These comments and their responses are
discussed in greater detail below.
Comment: Several commenters suggested that HUD should provide
additional funding to PHAs who undertake local area surveys. One
comment noted that the cost for address-based mail surveys is in the
$5,000 to $10,000 range.
HUD Response: HUD reminds PHAs that paying for local area rent
surveys is an eligible expense to be paid from on-going administrative
fees or their administrative fee reserve account. The estimate of
$5,000 to $10,000 per survey is too low, based on the 2012 survey study
of small metropolitan areas and is much higher based on recent
experiences of these small metropolitan areas and rural counties. The
estimate was never appropriate for rental markets in large and complex
metropolitan FMR areas. In general, the cost of the survey increases
with the size of the FMR area, the size of the rental market and the
availability and cost of good rental market lists.
Comment: HUD's reliance on setting FMRs at the 40th percentile is
flawed because this only works if there is a normal distribution of
rental units. Sub-standard housing should be removed from the
distribution when calculating a 40th percentile rent.
HUD Response: The purpose of using a percentile instead of an
average is to account for abnormal distributions. HUD removes responses
from the American Community Survey (ACS) when the respondent reports
the unit does not have a complete kitchen or complete plumbing to
address sub-standard units. In addition, HUD determines a ``public
housing cut-off rent'' to eliminate the bottom end of the distribution
of rental units from the ACS before the 40th percentile rent is
calculated as a proxy to remove units with low rents that are likely in
non-market transactions (e.g., rented from relatives), subsidized (ACS
does not ask whether households receive rental subsidies), or are
otherwise inadequate in some manner not measured by the ACS. HUD uses a
consistent method to calculate this distribution cut off for each HUD
region. HUD continues to explore alternatives for removing assisted
units from the ACS responses before the 40th percentile rent is
calculated for the purpose of calculating FMRs.
Comment: HUD needs to conduct its own analysis or research to
address market anomalies and account for erratic fluctuations in FMRs
between years and by bedroom size.
HUD Response: HUD did conduct research into different methods of
calculating the trend factor and implemented metropolitan and regional
forecasting into the calculation of the trend factor beginning with the
FY 2020 FMRs.
To correct erratic fluctuations in FMRs year over year, HUD has
implemented steps to attenuate the fluctuations found in the annually
updated survey data. HUD has made methodology changes that call for
averaging bedroom ratios over three years of data and averaging base
rents over the same period when the data is limited. The statutory
directive to use the most recent data available compels HUD to update
the data behind each area's FMR calculation when new data is released.
Consequently, FMRs will change from year to year in accordance with
changes in the underlying survey data. HUD emphasizes that the primary
data source for FMRs is a survey (ACS) and while surveyors do their
best to select unbiased random samples of the population, sampling
error persists within survey statistics.
In addition, HUD has awarded three research grants, and each will
evaluate potential methodology changes for the calculation of FMRs in
areas with rapidly rising rents. The proposed methodology changes
resulting from these three studies will be presented in a Federal
Register Notice of material change in methodology that will be
published for comment in early- to mid-2022.
HUD reminds agencies that payment standard regulations allow for a
payment standard that is between 90 percent and 110 percent of the FMR.
Therefore, PHAs may in many cases adopt payment standards that have
``smoother'' changes over time than the FMRs.
Comment: Along with inadequate administrative fees, inadequate FMRs
result in voucher underutilization nationwide. HUD's methodology for
setting FMRs also often results in a reduction of choice and in many
places relegates voucher holders to the poorest areas.
HUD Response: HUD's methodology for calculating FMRs has been
revised to improve choice in metropolitan areas through the use of
Small Area FMRs and in all FMR areas by the use of local or regional
trend factors as opposed to one national trend factor
Comment: HUD should create new administrative mechanisms to cope
with inaccurate FMRs, specifically the current flexibilities should be
expanded.
HUD Response: HUD does have procedures that provide flexibility in
the voucher program that allow PHAs to keep payment standards constant
when FMRs decline. For areas where rents increase more rapidly than
what is captured by the most recent data available to HUD in
calculating FMRs, the department provides a mechanism for more recent
data collected in a survey to be supplied to HUD. Additionally, HUD has
eased the exception payment standard regulations in metropolitan areas
to allow for the use of up to 110 percent of the Small Area FMR as an
exception payment standard with no approval needed from HUD. The only
requirement is for PHAs to notify HUD of their use of Small Area FMRs
in this manner. New administrative procedures would have to be
developed by the programs other than the Housing Choice Voucher program
to allow for use of payment standards to provide additional
flexibility. Each program required to use FMRs without similar
flexibility to payment standards would have to amend its regulations to
allow for flexible application of FMRs if statute permits.
Comment: HUD should continue to refine its methodology for
calculating FMRs. A high priority should be placed on improving the
data that is used to derive more accurate FMRs. HUD should explore
``scraping'' local rent data and use more timely data when calculating
FMRs
HUD Response: HUD is looking at incorporating scraped rental data
and other more recent data in its current studies of improving FMR
calculations in areas of rapidly rising rents.
Comment: HUD should use the 2017 American Community Survey data to
compare the gross rent by FMR area to the FY 2017 FMRs to determine
accuracy of FMRs and report back to the industry.
HUD Response: HUD undertook an analysis such as this and reported
the results in a recent report to Congress. Please see the section
labeled ``Accuracy of FMRs'' in HUD's report ``Proposals To Update the
Fair Market Rent Formula'', page 3, available at https://
www.huduser.gov/portal/sites/default/
[[Page 14955]]
files/pdf/Proposals-To-Update-the-Fair-Market-Rent-Formula.pdf. Between
2009 and 2016 for areas with sufficiently large ACS recent mover rental
unit samples, the ACS-measured 40th percentile gross rents were within
90 to 110 percent of the published FMRs in 83.4 to 94.3 percent of
cases. These results do not adjust for more recent improvements in the
FMR estimation method.
III. Environmental Impact
This Notice involves a statutorily required establishment of fair
market rent schedules and does not constitute a development decision
affecting the physical condition of specific project areas or building
sites. Accordingly, under 24 CFR 50.19(c)(6), this Notice is
categorically excluded from environmental review under the National
Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321).
Todd M. Richardson,
General Deputy Assistant Secretary, Office of Policy Development and
Research.
[FR Doc. 2021-05782 Filed 3-18-21; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210-67-P