Fisheries Off West Coast States; West Coast Salmon Fisheries; Rebuilding Coho Salmon Stocks, 61912-61918 [2020-19884]
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61912
Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 191 / Thursday, October 1, 2020 / Proposed Rules
any), city, and State, and, in the case of
mailed comments, all address
information, including email addresses.
TTB may omit voluminous attachments
or material that the Bureau considers
unsuitable for posting.
You may also obtain copies of this
proposed rule, all related petitions,
maps and other supporting materials,
and any electronic or mailed comments
that TTB receives about this proposal at
20 cents per 8.5- × 11-inch page. Please
note that TTB is unable to provide
copies of USGS maps or any similarlysized documents that may be included
as part of the AVA petition. Contact
TTB’s Regulations and Rulings Division
by email using the web form at https://
www.ttb.gov/contact-rrd, or by
telephone at 202–453–1039, ext. 175, to
request copies of comments or other
materials.
Regulatory Flexibility Act
TTB certifies that this proposed
regulation, if adopted, would not have
a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
The proposed regulation imposes no
new reporting, recordkeeping, or other
administrative requirement. Any benefit
derived from the use of an AVA name
would be the result of a proprietor’s
efforts and consumer acceptance of
wines from that area. Therefore, no
regulatory flexibility analysis is
required.
Executive Order 12866
It has been determined that this
proposed rule is not a significant
regulatory action as defined by
Executive Order 12866 of September 30,
1993. Therefore, no regulatory
assessment is required.
Drafting Information
Kate M. Bresnahan of the Regulations
and Rulings Division drafted this notice
of proposed rulemaking.
List of Subjects in 27 CFR Part 9
Wine.
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Proposed Regulatory Amendment
For the reasons discussed in the
preamble, TTB proposes to amend title
27, chapter I, part 9, Code of Federal
Regulations, as follows:
PART 9—AMERICAN VITICULTURAL
AREAS
1. The authority citation for part 9
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 27 U.S.C. 205.
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Subpart C—Approved American
Viticultural Areas
2. Subpart C is amended by adding
§ 9.lll to read as follows:
■
§ 9.lll
Oregon.
Mount Pisgah, Polk County,
(a) Name. The name of the viticultural
area described in this section is ‘‘Mount
Pisgah, Polk County, Oregon’’. For
purposes of part 4 of this chapter,
‘‘Mount Pisgah, Polk County, Oregon’’
and ‘‘Mt. Pisgah, Polk County, Oregon’’
are terms of viticultural significance.
(b) Approved maps. The two United
States Geological Survey (USGS)
1:24,000 scale topographic maps used to
determine the boundary of the Mount
Pisgah, Polk County, Oregon viticultural
area are titled:
(1) Dallas, OR, 2014; and
(2) Airlie North, OR, 2014.
(c) Boundary. The Mount Pisgah, Polk
County, Oregon viticultural area is
located in Polk County, Oregon. The
boundary of the Mount Pisgah, Polk
County, Oregon viticultural area is as
described below:
(1) The beginning point is on the
Dallas map at the point where the 320foot elevation contour intersects
Mistletoe Road south of the unnamed
road known locally as SE Lewis Street.
From the beginning point, proceed
south along Mistletoe Road for
approximately 2 miles to the road’s
second intersection with the 740-foot
elevation contour; then
(2) Proceed due west approximately
0.5 miles to the 400-foot elevation
contour; then
(3) Proceed south along the 400-foot
elevation contour, crossing onto the
Airlie North map, to the contour’s
intersection with Cooper Hollow Road
near Fisher Reservoir; then
(4) Proceed southeasterly along
Cooper Hollow Road to its intersection
with McCaleb Road; then
(5) Proceed east, then northeast, then
east along McCaleb Road for
approximately 1.6 miles to its
intersection with Mistletoe Road and
the 260-foot elevation contour; then
(6) Proceed easterly along the 260-foot
elevation contour until it intersects
again with Mistletoe Road; then
(7) Proceed east along Mistletoe Road
for 0.3 mile to its intersection with
Matney Road; then
(8) Proceed north along Matney Road
for 0.6 mile to its intersection with the
260-foot elevation contour at a 90 degree
turn in the road; then
(9) Proceed northwesterly along the
260-foot elevation contour to its
intersection with Bursell Road; then
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(10) Proceed east along Bursell Road
for 0.2 mile to its intersection with the
260-foot elevation contour; then
(11) Proceed north along the 260-foot
elevation contour, crossing onto the
Dallas map, to the contour’s intersection
with Whiteaker Road; then
(12) Proceed southeasterly along
Whiteaker Road for 1.0 mile to its
intersection with the 260-foot elevation
contour at a 90 degree turn in the road;
then
(13) Proceed north, then west along
the 260-foot elevation contour to its
intersection with Ballard Road; then
(14) Proceed south along Ballard Road
to its intersection with the 300-foot
elevation contour; then
(15) Proceed northwesterly along the
300-foot elevation contour, to its
intersection with Cherry Knoll Road;
then
(16) Proceed south along Cherry Knoll
Road to its intersection with the 320foot elevation contour; then
(17) Proceed northwesterly along the
320-foot elevation contour, returning to
the beginning point.
Signed: May 28, 2020.
Mary G. Ryan,
Acting Administrator.
Approved: June 17, 2020.
Timothy E. Skud,
Deputy Assistant Secretary, (Tax, Trade, and
Tariff Policy).
Editorial Note: This document was
received for publication by the Office of the
Federal Register on August 11, 2020.
[FR Doc. 2020–17854 Filed 9–30–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4810–31–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 660
[Docket No. 200902–0231]
RIN 0648–BJ05
Fisheries Off West Coast States; West
Coast Salmon Fisheries; Rebuilding
Coho Salmon Stocks
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Proposed rule; request for
comments.
AGENCY:
NMFS proposes to approve
and implement rebuilding plans
recommended by the Pacific Fishery
Management Council (Council) for three
overfished stocks: Juan de Fuca, Queets,
SUMMARY:
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 191 / Thursday, October 1, 2020 / Proposed Rules
and Snohomish natural coho salmon
(collectively, the overfished coho
stocks). NMFS determined in June 2018
that these stocks were overfished. NMFS
also announces the availability for
public review and comment of a draft
environmental assessment (EA)
analyzing the environmental impacts of
implementing these rebuilding plans.
Public comments must be
received by November 2, 2020.
DATES:
You may submit comments
on this document, identified by NOAA–
NMFS–2019–0138, by any of the
following methods:
• Electronic Submission: Submit all
electronic public comments via the
Federal e-Rulemaking Portal. Go to
www.regulations.gov/
#!docketDetail;D=NOAA–NMFS–2019–
0138, click the ‘‘Comment Now!’’ icon,
complete the required fields, and enter
or attach your comments.
• Mail: Peggy Mundy, NMFS West
Coast Region, Sustainable Fisheries
Division 7600 Sand Point Way NE,
Seattle, WA 98115.
Instructions: Comments sent by any
other method, to any other address or
individual, or received after the end of
the comment period, may not be
considered by NMFS. All comments
considered are a part of the public
record and will generally be posted for
public viewing on www.regulations.gov
without change. All personal identifying
information (e.g., name, address, etc.),
confidential business information, or
otherwise sensitive information
submitted voluntarily by the sender will
be publicly accessible. NMFS will
accept anonymous comments (enter ‘‘N/
A’’ in the required fields if you wish to
remain anonymous).
The Council and NMFS prepared a
draft environmental assessment (EA)
which includes a regulatory flexibility
analysis for each of the three overfished
coho stock rebuilding plans. Electronic
copies of these documents may be
obtained from the West Coast Regional
Office website at https://
www.fisheries.noaa.gov/west-coast/
laws-and-policies/west-coast-regionnational-environmental-policy-actdocuments.
ADDRESSES:
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
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Peggy Mundy at 206–526–4323.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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Background
The Magnuson-Stevens Fishery
Conservation and Management Act
(MSA) established a national program
for the conservation and management of
the fishery resources of the United
States to prevent overfishing and to
rebuild overfished stocks. To that end,
the MSA requires fishery management
plans (FMPs) to specify objective and
measurable criteria for identifying when
the fishery to which the FMP applies is
overfished (MSA section 303(a)(10)).
The MSA includes national standards
which must be followed in any FMP.
NMFS has developed guidelines, based
on the national standards, to assist in
the development and review of FMPs,
amendments, and regulations prepared
by the Councils and the Secretary (50
CFR 600.305(a)(1)). National Standard 1
(NS1) addresses the need under the
MSA for FMPs to specify conservation
and management measures that shall
prevent overfishing while achieving, on
a continuing basis, the optimum yield
from each fishery for the U.S. fishing
industry (50 CFR 600.310). The NS1
guidelines include status determination
criteria (SDC) and other reference points
that are used to determine if overfishing
has occurred, or if the stock or stock
complex is overfished (50 CFR
600.310(e)(2)), and specifies Council
actions required to address overfishing
and rebuilding for stocks and stock
complexes (50 CFR 600.310(j)).
Ocean salmon fisheries in the
exclusive economic zone (EEZ) (3 to 200
nautical miles offshore) off Washington,
Oregon, and California are managed
under the Pacific Fishery Management
Council’s (Council) Pacific Coast
Salmon FMP (Salmon FMP). The
Salmon FMP identifies stocks that are in
the fishery and the SDC and reference
points that are used to determine when
a stock is overfished and when it is
rebuilt. For salmon, these metrics are
based on the stock’s spawning
escapement (i.e., fish that escape the
ocean and in-river fisheries to spawn)
and the abundance of adult spawners
that is expected, on average, to produce
maximum sustained yield (MSY), which
is expressed as SMSY.
The SDC for overfished is defined in
the Salmon FMP to be when the threeyear geometric mean of a salmon stock’s
annual spawning escapements falls
below the reference point known as the
minimum stock size threshold (MSST),
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61913
where MSST is generally defined as
0.5*SMSY or 0.75*SMSY—depending on
the stock. The default SDC in the
Salmon FMP for determining that an
overfished stock is rebuilt is when the
three-year geometric mean spawning
escapement exceeds SMSY. Stockspecific values for the SMSY and MSST
reference points are listed in Table 3–1
of the Salmon FMP, which is available
on the Council’s website
(www.pcouncil.org). The status of
salmon stocks is assessed annually.
When NMFS determines that a stock is
overfished, by virtue of meeting the
overfished criteria in the Salmon FMP,
described above, NMFS notifies the
Council. The MSA requires Councils to
develop and implement a rebuilding
plan within two years of being notified
by NMFS that a stock is overfished.
In 2018, NMFS determined that two
stocks of Chinook salmon and three
stocks of coho salmon were overfished
(83 FR 38292, August 6, 2018). NMFS
published a proposed rule to approve
the Council’s rebuilding plans for the
two Chinook salmon stocks and amend
50 CFR part 660 to add § 660.413
Overfished species rebuilding plans (85
FR 6135, February 4, 2020).
Overfished Determination for Three
Coho Stocks
The annual stock assessments for the
three overfished coho stocks in 2018
used escapement data for 2014 through
2016 to determine if the stocks were
overfished. The three-year geometric
mean spawning escapement for Juan de
Fuca coho for the period 2014–2016 was
6,842, which is less than the stock’s
MSST of 7,000 (Table 1). The three-year
geometric mean spawning escapement
for Queets coho for the period 2014–
2016 was 4,291, which is less than the
stock’s MSST of 4,350 (Table 1). The
three-year geometric mean spawning
escapement for Snohomish coho for the
period 2014–2016 was 29,677, which is
less than the stock’s MSST of 31,000.
NMFS notified the Council that these
stocks were overfished on June 18, 2018,
and the overfished determinations were
announced in the Federal Register on
August 6, 2018 (83 FR 38292). To be
determined to be rebuilt, these stocks
must achieve a three-year geometric
mean escapement of SMSY or greater.
SMSY for Juan de Fuca coho is 11,000.
SMSY for Queets coho is 5,800. SMSY for
Snohomish coho is 50,000.
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TABLE 1—REFERENCE POINTS AND 2014–2016 GEOMETRIC MEAN SPAWNING ESCAPEMENT FOR JUAN DE FUCA,
QUEETS, AND SNOHOMISH NATURAL COHO
Spawning escapement
Coho stock
2014–2016
Geometric
mean
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Juan de Fuca ...............................................................................................................................
Queets .........................................................................................................................................
Snohomish ...................................................................................................................................
Fishery Management for the Overfished
Coho Stocks
U.S. ocean salmon fisheries impact
the three coho stocks in the EEZ north
of Cape Falcon, OR. These stocks are
also harvested in ocean fisheries off
Alaska, British Columbia, and in
Washington state waters, including the
Strait of Juan de Fuca and Puget Sound.
Management of these stocks is subject to
the provisions of the Pacific Salmon
Treaty Act, which implements the
Pacific Salmon Treaty (PST) between
the U.S. and Canada, and also must be
consistent with Indian tribal treaty
fishing rights. The State of Washington
and Indian tribes with reserved fishing
rights on the Washington Coast and in
Puget Sound negotiate annual fisheries
through the North of Falcon Process and
under the auspices of Hoh v. Baldrige
and U.S. v. Washington. Salmon
fisheries under the jurisdiction of the
Council (Council-managed) are managed
to meet agreed upon exploitation rates
(i.e., proportion of potential spawners
removed by fishing) and escapement
goals set under the PST and the North
of Falcon Process for several salmon
stocks, including the three overfished
coho stocks. Total fishing mortality for
these coho stocks includes preterminal
(i.e., fisheries impacts outside a given
stock’s natal river or estuary, including
mixed-stock ocean fisheries) and
terminal (i.e., fisheries impacts within a
given stock’s natal river or estuary).
These exploitation rates, or stepped
harvest rates, are set annually based on
forecast stock abundance, as described
below for each stock (see Rebuilding
Plans). In addition to these exploitation
rates, Council salmon fisheries are also
managed to meet conservation
objectives and status determination
criteria specified in the Salmon FMP
under Amendment 16 (76 FR 81851,
December 29, 2011). However, annual
natural spawning escapement targets for
many Washington coast and Puget
Sound salmon stocks, including the
three overfished coho stocks, may vary
from Salmon FMP conservation
objectives if agreed to by the
Washington tribal and state co-
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managers, under the provisions of Hoh
v. Baldrige, U.S. v. Washington, or
subsequent U.S. District Court orders
(Table 3–1 of the Salmon FMP).
Juan de Fuca natural coho. The Juan
de Fuca coho stock contributes to U.S.
ocean salmon fisheries north of Cape
Falcon and to ocean salmon fisheries off
British Columbia, and to marine and
freshwater Puget Sound salmon
fisheries. For the period 2004–2017, the
total exploitation rate on Juan de Fuca
coho averaged 10.5 percent, distributed
as follows: Alaskan and Canadian ocean
salmon fisheries—23 percent, Councilmanaged ocean salmon fisheries—23
percent, and other preterminal and
terminal salmon fisheries (primarily
sport, net, and troll fisheries in the
Strait of Juan de Fuca)—54 percent.
Queets natural coho. The Queets coho
stock contributes to ocean salmon
fisheries off of British Columbia and
Washington state, as well as Washington
coast in-river salmon fisheries. For the
period 2004–2017, the total exploitation
rate on Queets coho averaged 38.5
percent, distributed as follows: Alaskan
and Canadian ocean salmon fisheries—
8 percent, Council-managed ocean
salmon fisheries—20 percent, and other
preterminal and terminal salmon
fisheries (including freshwater sport and
net fisheries in the Quinault, Hoh, and
Queets Rivers on the Washington
coast)—72 percent.
Snohomish natural coho. The
Snohomish coho stock contributes to
U.S. ocean salmon fisheries north of
Cape Falcon and to ocean salmon
fisheries off British Columbia, and to
marine and freshwater Puget Sound
salmon fisheries. For the period 2004–
2017, the total exploitation rate on
Snohomish coho averaged 24.4 percent,
distributed as follows: Alaskan and
Canadian ocean salmon fisheries—5
percent, Council-managed ocean salmon
fisheries—9 percent, and other
preterminal and terminal salmon
fisheries within Puget Sound—86
percent.
Rebuilding Plans
The Council transmitted their
recommended rebuilding plans for the
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6,842
4,291
29,677
MSST
(overfished
threshold)
7,000
4,350
31,000
SMSY
(target for
rebuilt)
11,000
5,800
50,000
three overfished coho stocks to NMFS
on October 17, 2019. The plans were
developed over the course of several
Council meetings in 2018 and 2019 and
were informed by the analyses of the
Council’s Salmon Technical Team
(STT). The STT held public meetings
and work sessions with state and
Federal agencies, tribal governments,
and the general public to assess
available information on various factors
that could impact the productivity of
these stocks and lead to the overfished
determination. These factors include:
Freshwater survival, marine survival,
harvest impacts, and assessment and
fishery management errors.
Overfishing on the three overfished
coho stocks, defined as the exploitation
rate on a stock exceeding the maximum
fishing mortality threshold (MFMT), did
not occur during the years that lead to
the overfished determination. The STT’s
report concluded that the overfished
situation for these stocks was primarily
the result of poor marine survival;
abundance in 2015 was substantially
lower than anticipated in preseason
forecasts for many Washington coho
stocks. Freshwater habitat conditions
and fishery management may have
exacerbated the problem caused by low
marine survival, but these were not
identified in the STT’s report as the
proximate cause of the overfished status
of any of the three coho stocks. Based
on 2015–2017 abundance, Juan de Fuca
coho would likely have met the
overfished criteria even in the absence
of fishing in that time period. The STT’s
report is contained within the draft EA
(see ADDRESSES).
The Council considered two
alternatives for the rebuilding plan for
each stock: (1) The existing control rule
and (2) a buffered exploitation rate or
escapement goal. The Council’s
recommendations for rebuilding the
overfished coho stocks, which NMFS
proposes to approve, are to maintain the
existing control rules for Juan de Fuca
coho and Queets coho, and to manage
for a ten-percent buffer on the SMSY
escapement goal for Snohomish coho.
Each of the three rebuilding plans
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recommended by the Council meets the
MSA requirement to rebuild the stock as
quickly as possible, taking into account
the status and biology of any overfished
stock and the needs of fishing
communities (50 CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)).
When a stock or stock complex is
overfished, a Council must specify a
time period for rebuilding the stock or
stock complex based on factors
specified in MSA section 304(e)(4). This
target time for rebuilding (Ttarget) shall
be as short as possible, taking into
account: The status and biology of any
overfished stock, the needs of fishing
communities, recommendations by
international organizations in which the
U.S. participates, and interaction of the
stock within the marine ecosystem. In
addition, the time period shall not
exceed 10 years, except where biology
of the stock, other environmental
conditions, or management measures
under an international agreement to
which the U.S. participates, dictate
otherwise (50 CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)). The
NS1 guidelines also describe the
following rebuilding benchmarks: The
minimum time to rebuild (Tmin) and the
maximum time to rebuild (Tmax) (50 CFR
600.310(j)(3)(i)). These benchmarks
serve to establish the range of target
times to rebuild that the Council may
consider. Under the NS1 guidelines,
Tmin is calculated by assuming no
fishery mortality, regardless of the
source of the mortality. It is not
possible, however, for the Council and
NMFS to implement a Tmin scenario for
the overfished coho stocks, because the
MSA only provides regulatory authority
over fisheries in the EEZ. Therefore, the
Council and NMFS have no authority to
suspend non-federal fisheries in state
waters. However, the Council analyzed
a no-fishing scenario to identify Tmin
and to serve as a bookend in the
analysis of rebuilding probabilities.
Council-area salmon fisheries
management measures are set annually
each April. The Council’s Stock
Assessment and Fishery Evaluation
Document for the Pacific Coast Salmon
Fishery Management Plan (SAFE
document) is released annually in
February and provides escapement data
for previous years. Analyses to
determine rebuilding times in the
Council’s recommended rebuilding
plans used available escapement data in
the SAFE document issued February
2019, which included escapement data
for the overfished coho stocks through
2017. Year 1 in the STT’s calculations
of Tmin and Ttarget was defined as 2018.
This convention was adopted due to
data availability, as the most recent
estimates of ocean abundance and
spawning escapement for the three
overfished coho stocks were from 2017.
Rebuilding times projected by the STT
assume the control rules defined in the
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alternatives were first applied to 2018
fisheries, and each of the nine years
thereafter; however, the STT and the
Council acknowledged that adopted
rebuilding plans were likely be first
implemented in 2020.
Juan de Fuca Natural Coho
Tmin. The Council’s analysis
determined that, with no fishing
mortality, there was a 54 percent
probability that Juan de Fuca coho
would rebuild in four years. Therefore,
Tmin = four years or 2021.
Tmax. NS1 guidelines state that if Tmin
for the stock or stock complex is 10
years or less, then Tmax is 10 years (50
CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)(B)(1)). Since Tmin
for Juan de Fuca coho is four years or
2021, Tmax = 10 years or 2027.
Ttarget. The Council has recommended
the existing control rule to rebuild Juan
de Fuca coho. As described above, this
stock is managed using a stepped
harvest rate control rule which sets
annual exploitation rate ceilings based
upon forecast stock abundance.
Applying that control rule to Juan de
Fuca coho results in a matrix of age-3
ocean abundance and total allowable
exploitation rates that the Council uses
when developing annual management
measures (coho salmon from stocks
managed under the FMP mature at age
3 years) (Table 2).
TABLE 2—MATRIX INFORMED BY THE CURRENT FMP HARVEST CONTROL RULE APPLIED TO JUAN DE FUCA COHO
Age-3 ocean
abundance
Abundance category
Normal .........................................................................................................................................................
Low ..............................................................................................................................................................
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Critical ..........................................................................................................................................................
In the seven years for which we have
escapement data for Juan de Fuca coho
since the implementation of
Amendment 16 (2012 through 2018),
two of those years had escapement
above SMSY.
The Council’s analysis, contained in
the draft EA (see ADDRESSES), used 2018
as year one in calculating Ttarget. Under
the existing control rule, there is a 56
percent probability that Juan de Fuca
coho will meet the rebuilt criteria by
year six (Ttarget = 2023). This means that
the three-year geometric mean of Juan
de Fuca coho escapement for 2021–2023
is expected to meet or exceed SMSY. The
spawning escapement from 2023 will be
included in the 2025 stock assessment.
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MSA consistency. As mentioned
above, the MSA requires overfished
stocks to be rebuilt in as short a time as
possible, while taking into account the
needs of fishing communities. The
Council considered an alternative that
would limit the annual exploitation rate
on Juan de Fuca coho in Southern U.S.
salmon fisheries (i.e., ocean and inland
salmon fisheries south of the U.S./
Canada border, including Council area,
State, and tribal fisheries) to 10 percent
until the stock is rebuilt. The Council’s
analysis of this alternative estimated
this would result in an economic loss of
$4.34 million over the rebuilding period
(in 2016 dollars), not including losses in
tribal fisheries, compared to the existing
control rule. This alternative would
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Greater than
27,445
Between 11,679
and 27,445
11,679 or less
Total allowable
exploitation rate
(percent)
60
40
20
rebuild Juan de Fuca coho one year
earlier than under the existing control
rule; the Council’s analysis indicates
that Ttarget would be achieved in 2022
under this alternative. Therefore, taking
into account the negative economic
impacts of the limited exploitation rate
alternative and the minimal difference
in rebuilding time, the existing control
rule meets the MSA requirement to have
a rebuilding period that is as short as
possible while considering the needs of
fishing communities.
Queets Natural Coho
Tmin. The Council’s analysis
determined that, with no fishing
mortality, there was a 61 percent
probability that Queets coho would
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rebuild in one year. Therefore, Tmin =
one year or 2018.
Tmax. NS1 guidelines state that if Tmin
for the stock or stock complex is 10
years or less, then Tmax is 10 years (50
CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)(B)(1)). Since Tmin
for Queets coho is one year or 2018,
Tmax = 10 years or 2027.
Ttarget. The Council has recommended
the existing control rule to rebuild
Queets coho. As described above, this
stock is managed using a stepped
harvest rate control rule which sets
annual exploitation rate ceilings based
upon forecast stock abundance.
Applying that control rule to Queets
coho results in a matrix of age-3 ocean
abundance and total allowable
exploitation rates that the Council uses
when developing annual management
measures (Table 3).
TABLE 3—MATRIX INFORMED BY THE CURRENT FMP HARVEST CONTROL RULE APPLIED TO QUEETS COHO
Age-3 ocean
abundance
Abundance category
Normal .........................................................................................................................................................
Low ..............................................................................................................................................................
Critical ..........................................................................................................................................................
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In the seven years for which we have
escapement data for Queets coho since
the implementation of Amendment 16
(2012 through 2018), one of those years
had escapement above SMSY.
The Council’s analysis, contained in
the draft EA (see ADDRESSES), used 2018
as year one in calculating Ttarget. Under
the existing control rule, the Council’s
analysis determined there was a 54
percent probability that Queets coho
would meet the rebuilt criteria by year
two (Ttarget = 2019). This means that the
three-year geometric mean of Queets
coho escapement for 2017–2019 is
expected to meet or exceed SMSY.
Because of the timing of coho spawning,
there is a delay in the availability of
coho escapement data; for example, the
Council’s Review of 2019 Ocean Salmon
Fisheries (February 2020) included coho
spawning escapement through 2018.
The 2019 spawning escapement for
Queets coho, and the 2017–2019
escapement geometric mean, will be
available in February 2021 in the
Council’s Review of 2020 Ocean Salmon
Fisheries. The Council’s annual reviews
of ocean salmon fisheries are available
on the Council’s website
(www.pcouncil.org).
MSA consistency. As mentioned
above, the MSA requires overfished
stocks to be rebuilt in as short a time as
possible, while taking into account the
needs of fishing communities. The
Council considered an alternative that
would buffer the existing control rule
for Queets coho by limiting the total
exploition rate at forecast ocean age-3
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abundance between 5,800 and 7,250,
beginning at 15 percent and ramping
linearly to 20 percent. During the
preseason process, if spawning
escapement is projected to be less than
4,930 (85 percent of SMSY), the nontreaty Council-area fisheries north of
Cape Falcon, OR, would be structured to
minimize impacts on Queets coho. The
Council’s analysis of this alternative
estimated this would result in an
economic loss of $1.28 million over the
rebuilding period (in 2016 dollars), not
including losses in tribal fisheries,
compared to the existing control rule.
This alternative would not improve the
rebuilding time compared to the
existing control rule; the Council
calculated Ttarget would be achieved in
2019 under the buffered control rule,
the same as under the existing control
rule. Therefore, due to the negative
economic impacts of the buffered
control rule alternative and negligible
difference in rebuilding time, NMFS
and the Council found that the existing
control rule meets the MSA requirement
to have a rebuilding period that is as
short as possible while considering the
needs of fishing communities.
Snohomish Natural Coho
Tmin. The Council’s analysis
determined that, with no fishing
mortality, there was a 78 percent
probability that Snohomish coho would
rebuild in three years. Therefore, Tmin =
three years or 2020.
Tmax. NS1 guidelines state that if Tmin
for the stock or stock complex is 10
years or less, then Tmax is 10 years (50
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Greater than
9,667
Between 7,250
and 9,667
Less than 7,250
Total allowable
exploitation rate
(percent)
41–65
21–40
Up to 20
CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)(B)(1)). Since Tmin
for Snohomish coho is three years or
2020, Tmax = 10 years or 2027.
Ttarget. The Council has recommended
a rebuilding plan that uses a buffered
control rule to rebuild Snohomish coho
as the preferred alternative. As
described above, this stock is managed
using a stepped harvest rate control rule
which sets annual exploitation rate
ceilings based upon forecast stock
abundance. Applying that control rule
to Snohomish coho results in a matrix
of age-3 ocean abundance and total
allowable exploitation rates that the
Council uses when developing annual
management measures (Table 4, below).
In the seven years for which we have
escapement data for Snohomish coho
since the implementation of
Amendment 16 (2012 through 2018),
three of those years had escapement
above SMSY.
Under the preferred alternative
rebuilding plan, Council-area salmon
fisheries would limit impacts on
Snohomish natural coho consistent with
escapement thresholds and exploitation
rate limits identified by the Washington
tribal and state co-managers, and
consistent with the Salmon FMP. The
tribal and state co-managers will
increase the annual MSY escapement
goal of 50,000 by 10 percent, to 55,000,
until rebuilt status is achieved and
adjust the age-3 ocean abundance break
points that establish the annual
allowable exploitation rate, as shown in
Table 4.
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TABLE 4—MATRIX FOR SETTING ANNUAL ALLOWABLE EXPLOITATION RATE ON SNOHOMISH COHO UNDER THE CURRENT
FMP HARVEST CONTROL RULE AND THE PROPOSED REBUILDING PLAN
Age-3 ocean abundance
Abundance category
Normal .........................................................................................
Low ..............................................................................................
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Critical ..........................................................................................
The Council’s analysis, contained in
the draft EA (see ADDRESSES), used 2018
as year one in calculating Ttarget. Under
the Council’s preferred alternative
rebuilding plan, there is a 62 percent
probability that Snohomish coho will
meet the rebuilt criteria by year three
(Ttarget = 2020). This means that the
three-year geometric mean of
Snohomish coho escapement for 2018–
2020 is expected to meet or exceed
SMSY. The spawning escapement from
2020 will be included in the 2022 stock
assessment.
MSA consistency. As mentioned
above, the MSA requires overfished
stocks to be rebuilt in as short a time as
possible, while taking into account the
needs of fishing communities. The
Council considered an alternative that
would use the existing control rule for
Snohomish coho as well as the preferred
alternative. The Council’s analysis of
the alternatives estimates that the
preferred alternative would result in an
economic loss of $432 thousand over
the rebuilding period (in 2016 dollars),
not including losses in tribal fisheries,
compared to no such loss under the
existing control rule. The rebuilding
time under both the status quo
alternative (existing control rule) and
the preferred alternative rebuilding plan
would have the same rebuilding time;
the Council calculated Ttarget would be
achieved in 2020 under both
alternatives. The state and tribal comanagers supported the Council’s
preferred alternative rebuilding plan,
and the fishing communities did not
oppose it. The preferred alternative
rebuilding plan has the same Ttarget as
the status quo alternative and is
supported by fishery managers and
fishing communities, and therefore
meets the MSA requirement to have a
rebuilding period that is as short as
possible while considering the needs of
fishing communities.
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
The draft EA for this action is an
integrated document that includes the
Council’s analysis of the overfished
stocks, analysis of environmental and
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FMP control rule
Proposed rebuilding plan
Greater than 125,000 .........
Between 51,667 and
125,000.
Less than 51,667 ...............
Greater than 137,500 .........
Between 51,667 and
137,500.
Less than 51,667 ...............
socioeconomic effects under NEPA, the
regulatory impact review, and
regulatory flexibility analysis. The draft
EA for this action is posted on the
NMFS West Coast Region website (see
ADDRESSES).
Classification
Pursuant to section 304(b)(1)(A) of the
MSA, the NMFS Assistant
Administrator has determined that this
proposed rule is consistent with the
Pacific Coast Salmon Fishery
Management Plan, other provisions of
the MSA, and other applicable law,
subject to further consideration after
public comment.
This proposed rule has been
determined to be not significant for
purposes of Executive Order 12866.
This proposed rule is not an
Executive Order 13771 regulatory action
because this rule is not significant under
Executive Order 12866.
The Chief Counsel for Regulation of
the Department of Commerce certified
to the Chief Counsel for Advocacy of the
Small Business Administration that this
proposed rule, if adopted, would not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.
Using the catch area description in
the Pacific States Marine Fisheries
Commission Information Network
(PacFIN), the most recent year of
complete fishing data, 2018, NMFS
determined that 357 distinct
commercial vessels land fish caught
north of Cape Falcon. The Council’s
2020 SAFE document lists ex-vessel
value for 2018 salmon landings in
Washington state at $2.4 million (in
2019 dollars). Therefore, no vessel met
NMFS’ threshold for being a large
entity, which is $11 million in annual
gross receipts. We note, however, that
the rebuilding plans implemented by
this proposed rule would not change
harvest policy, and, thus, by definition,
would have no direct or indirect
economic impact on these small
entities.
Because all directly regulated entities
are small, these regulations are not
expected to place small entities at a
significant disadvantage in comparison
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Total allowable
exploitation rate
(percent)
60
40
20
with large entities. The Council
recommended, and NMFS proposes
approving, the status quo alternatives
for the Juan de Fuca coho rebuilding
plan and the Queets coho rebuilding
plan. The state and tribal co-managers
recommended, and NMFS proposes
approving a rebuilding plan that
includes a buffered SMSY target for
Snohomish coho. These rebuilding
plans are consistent with the provisions
of the existing Salmon FMP. Therefore,
this proposed rule to approve and
implement the rebuilding plans,
consistent with the parameters required
under NS1, is largely administrative.
This action does not change salmon
harvest policy, and economic activity is
not expected to change from the
baseline at all for Juan de Fuca coho and
Queets coho, and is expected to change
only minimally, as described above, for
Snohomish coho. Therefore, this action
is also not expected to significantly
reduce profit for the directly regulated
small entities. As a result, an initial
regulatory flexibility analysis is not
required and none has been prepared.
This proposed rule was developed
after meaningful collaboration with the
tribal representative on the Council, and
the Council subsequently agreed with
the provisions that apply to tribal
vessels.
This proposed rule does not include
a collection-of-information requirement
subject to the Paperwork Reduction Act.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 660
Fisheries, Fishing, Recordkeeping and
reporting requirements.
Dated: September 2, 2020.
Samuel D. Rauch, III,
Deputy Assistant Administrator for
Regulatory Programs, National Marine
Fisheries Service.
For the reasons set out in the
preamble, the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration proposes
to amend 50 CFR part 660 as follows:
PART 660—FISHERIES OFF WEST
COAST STATES
1. The authority citation for part 660
continues to read as follows:
■
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 191 / Thursday, October 1, 2020 / Proposed Rules
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq., 16
U.S.C. 773 et seq., and 16 U.S.C. 7001 et seq.
2. In § 660.413 (proposed to be added
at 85 FR 6135), add paragraphs (c)
through (e) to read as follows:
■
§ 660.413
plans.
Overfished species rebuilding
*
*
*
*
*
(c) Juan de Fuca coho. The Juan de
Fuca coho salmon stock was declared
overfished in 2018. The target year for
rebuilding Juan de Fuca coho is 2023.
The harvest control rule during the
rebuilding period for Juan de Fuca coho
is the abundance-based stepped harvest
rate as shown in table 1 to this
paragraph (c).
TABLE 1 TO PARAGRAPH (C)
Juan de Fuca coho stepped harvest rates
Abundance category
Age-3 ocean abundance
Normal ..........................................................................................................................................
Low ...............................................................................................................................................
Greater than 27,445 ...........
Between 11,679 and
27,445.
11,679 or less ....................
Critical ...........................................................................................................................................
(d) Queets coho. The Queets coho
salmon stock was declared overfished in
2018. The target year for rebuilding
Queets coho is 2019. The harvest
control rule during the rebuilding
period for Queets coho is the
Total allowable
exploitation rate
(percent)
60
40
20
abundance-based stepped harvest rate as
shown in table 2 to this paragraph (d).
TABLE 2 TO PARAGRAPH (D)
Queets coho stepped harvest rates
Abundance category
Age-3 abundance
Normal ..........................................................................................................................................
Low ...............................................................................................................................................
Critical ...........................................................................................................................................
Greater than 9,667 .............
Between 7,250 and 9,667 ..
Less than 7,250 .................
(e) Snohomish coho. (1) The
Snohomish coho salmon stock was
declared overfished in 2018. The target
year for rebuilding Snohomish coho is
2020. The harvest control rule during
the rebuilding period for Snohomish
Total allowable
exploitation rate
65
40
20
coho is the abundance-based stepped
harvest rate as shown in table 3 to this
paragraph (e).
TABLE 3 TO PARAGRAPH (E)
Snohomish coho stepped harvest rates
Abundance category
Age-3 abundance
Normal ..........................................................................................................................................
Low ...............................................................................................................................................
Greater than 137,000 .........
Between 51,667 and
137,000.
Less than 51,667 ...............
Critical ...........................................................................................................................................
(2) In years when Snohomish coho
abundance is forecast to exceed 137,000,
the total allowable exploitation rate will
be limited to target achieving a
Total allowable
exploitation rate
(percent)
spawning escapement of 55,000
Snohomish coho.
[FR Doc. 2020–19884 Filed 9–30–20; 8:45 am]
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 191 (Thursday, October 1, 2020)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 61912-61918]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2020-19884]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
50 CFR Part 660
[Docket No. 200902-0231]
RIN 0648-BJ05
Fisheries Off West Coast States; West Coast Salmon Fisheries;
Rebuilding Coho Salmon Stocks
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Proposed rule; request for comments.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: NMFS proposes to approve and implement rebuilding plans
recommended by the Pacific Fishery Management Council (Council) for
three overfished stocks: Juan de Fuca, Queets,
[[Page 61913]]
and Snohomish natural coho salmon (collectively, the overfished coho
stocks). NMFS determined in June 2018 that these stocks were
overfished. NMFS also announces the availability for public review and
comment of a draft environmental assessment (EA) analyzing the
environmental impacts of implementing these rebuilding plans.
DATES: Public comments must be received by November 2, 2020.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments on this document, identified by
NOAA-NMFS-2019-0138, by any of the following methods:
Electronic Submission: Submit all electronic public
comments via the Federal e-Rulemaking Portal. Go to
www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;D=NOAA-NMFS-2019-0138, click the
``Comment Now!'' icon, complete the required fields, and enter or
attach your comments.
Mail: Peggy Mundy, NMFS West Coast Region, Sustainable
Fisheries Division 7600 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115.
Instructions: Comments sent by any other method, to any other
address or individual, or received after the end of the comment period,
may not be considered by NMFS. All comments considered are a part of
the public record and will generally be posted for public viewing on
www.regulations.gov without change. All personal identifying
information (e.g., name, address, etc.), confidential business
information, or otherwise sensitive information submitted voluntarily
by the sender will be publicly accessible. NMFS will accept anonymous
comments (enter ``N/A'' in the required fields if you wish to remain
anonymous).
The Council and NMFS prepared a draft environmental assessment (EA)
which includes a regulatory flexibility analysis for each of the three
overfished coho stock rebuilding plans. Electronic copies of these
documents may be obtained from the West Coast Regional Office website
at https://www.fisheries.noaa.gov/west-coast/laws-and-policies/west-coast-region-national-environmental-policy-act-documents.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Peggy Mundy at 206-526-4323.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
The Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act (MSA)
established a national program for the conservation and management of
the fishery resources of the United States to prevent overfishing and
to rebuild overfished stocks. To that end, the MSA requires fishery
management plans (FMPs) to specify objective and measurable criteria
for identifying when the fishery to which the FMP applies is overfished
(MSA section 303(a)(10)). The MSA includes national standards which
must be followed in any FMP. NMFS has developed guidelines, based on
the national standards, to assist in the development and review of
FMPs, amendments, and regulations prepared by the Councils and the
Secretary (50 CFR 600.305(a)(1)). National Standard 1 (NS1) addresses
the need under the MSA for FMPs to specify conservation and management
measures that shall prevent overfishing while achieving, on a
continuing basis, the optimum yield from each fishery for the U.S.
fishing industry (50 CFR 600.310). The NS1 guidelines include status
determination criteria (SDC) and other reference points that are used
to determine if overfishing has occurred, or if the stock or stock
complex is overfished (50 CFR 600.310(e)(2)), and specifies Council
actions required to address overfishing and rebuilding for stocks and
stock complexes (50 CFR 600.310(j)).
Ocean salmon fisheries in the exclusive economic zone (EEZ) (3 to
200 nautical miles offshore) off Washington, Oregon, and California are
managed under the Pacific Fishery Management Council's (Council)
Pacific Coast Salmon FMP (Salmon FMP). The Salmon FMP identifies stocks
that are in the fishery and the SDC and reference points that are used
to determine when a stock is overfished and when it is rebuilt. For
salmon, these metrics are based on the stock's spawning escapement
(i.e., fish that escape the ocean and in-river fisheries to spawn) and
the abundance of adult spawners that is expected, on average, to
produce maximum sustained yield (MSY), which is expressed as
SMSY.
The SDC for overfished is defined in the Salmon FMP to be when the
three-year geometric mean of a salmon stock's annual spawning
escapements falls below the reference point known as the minimum stock
size threshold (MSST), where MSST is generally defined as
0.5*SMSY or 0.75*SMSY--depending on the stock.
The default SDC in the Salmon FMP for determining that an overfished
stock is rebuilt is when the three-year geometric mean spawning
escapement exceeds SMSY. Stock-specific values for the
SMSY and MSST reference points are listed in Table 3-1 of
the Salmon FMP, which is available on the Council's website
(www.pcouncil.org). The status of salmon stocks is assessed annually.
When NMFS determines that a stock is overfished, by virtue of meeting
the overfished criteria in the Salmon FMP, described above, NMFS
notifies the Council. The MSA requires Councils to develop and
implement a rebuilding plan within two years of being notified by NMFS
that a stock is overfished.
In 2018, NMFS determined that two stocks of Chinook salmon and
three stocks of coho salmon were overfished (83 FR 38292, August 6,
2018). NMFS published a proposed rule to approve the Council's
rebuilding plans for the two Chinook salmon stocks and amend 50 CFR
part 660 to add Sec. 660.413 Overfished species rebuilding plans (85
FR 6135, February 4, 2020).
Overfished Determination for Three Coho Stocks
The annual stock assessments for the three overfished coho stocks
in 2018 used escapement data for 2014 through 2016 to determine if the
stocks were overfished. The three-year geometric mean spawning
escapement for Juan de Fuca coho for the period 2014-2016 was 6,842,
which is less than the stock's MSST of 7,000 (Table 1). The three-year
geometric mean spawning escapement for Queets coho for the period 2014-
2016 was 4,291, which is less than the stock's MSST of 4,350 (Table 1).
The three-year geometric mean spawning escapement for Snohomish coho
for the period 2014-2016 was 29,677, which is less than the stock's
MSST of 31,000. NMFS notified the Council that these stocks were
overfished on June 18, 2018, and the overfished determinations were
announced in the Federal Register on August 6, 2018 (83 FR 38292). To
be determined to be rebuilt, these stocks must achieve a three-year
geometric mean escapement of SMSY or greater.
SMSY for Juan de Fuca coho is 11,000. SMSY for
Queets coho is 5,800. SMSY for Snohomish coho is 50,000.
[[Page 61914]]
Table 1--Reference Points and 2014-2016 Geometric Mean Spawning Escapement for Juan de Fuca, Queets, and
Snohomish Natural Coho
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Spawning escapement
-----------------------------------------------
Coho stock MSST SMSY (target
2014-2016 (overfished for rebuilt)
Geometric mean threshold)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Juan de Fuca.................................................... 6,842 7,000 11,000
Queets.......................................................... 4,291 4,350 5,800
Snohomish....................................................... 29,677 31,000 50,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Fishery Management for the Overfished Coho Stocks
U.S. ocean salmon fisheries impact the three coho stocks in the EEZ
north of Cape Falcon, OR. These stocks are also harvested in ocean
fisheries off Alaska, British Columbia, and in Washington state waters,
including the Strait of Juan de Fuca and Puget Sound. Management of
these stocks is subject to the provisions of the Pacific Salmon Treaty
Act, which implements the Pacific Salmon Treaty (PST) between the U.S.
and Canada, and also must be consistent with Indian tribal treaty
fishing rights. The State of Washington and Indian tribes with reserved
fishing rights on the Washington Coast and in Puget Sound negotiate
annual fisheries through the North of Falcon Process and under the
auspices of Hoh v. Baldrige and U.S. v. Washington. Salmon fisheries
under the jurisdiction of the Council (Council-managed) are managed to
meet agreed upon exploitation rates (i.e., proportion of potential
spawners removed by fishing) and escapement goals set under the PST and
the North of Falcon Process for several salmon stocks, including the
three overfished coho stocks. Total fishing mortality for these coho
stocks includes preterminal (i.e., fisheries impacts outside a given
stock's natal river or estuary, including mixed-stock ocean fisheries)
and terminal (i.e., fisheries impacts within a given stock's natal
river or estuary). These exploitation rates, or stepped harvest rates,
are set annually based on forecast stock abundance, as described below
for each stock (see Rebuilding Plans). In addition to these
exploitation rates, Council salmon fisheries are also managed to meet
conservation objectives and status determination criteria specified in
the Salmon FMP under Amendment 16 (76 FR 81851, December 29, 2011).
However, annual natural spawning escapement targets for many Washington
coast and Puget Sound salmon stocks, including the three overfished
coho stocks, may vary from Salmon FMP conservation objectives if agreed
to by the Washington tribal and state co-managers, under the provisions
of Hoh v. Baldrige, U.S. v. Washington, or subsequent U.S. District
Court orders (Table 3-1 of the Salmon FMP).
Juan de Fuca natural coho. The Juan de Fuca coho stock contributes
to U.S. ocean salmon fisheries north of Cape Falcon and to ocean salmon
fisheries off British Columbia, and to marine and freshwater Puget
Sound salmon fisheries. For the period 2004-2017, the total
exploitation rate on Juan de Fuca coho averaged 10.5 percent,
distributed as follows: Alaskan and Canadian ocean salmon fisheries--23
percent, Council-managed ocean salmon fisheries--23 percent, and other
preterminal and terminal salmon fisheries (primarily sport, net, and
troll fisheries in the Strait of Juan de Fuca)--54 percent.
Queets natural coho. The Queets coho stock contributes to ocean
salmon fisheries off of British Columbia and Washington state, as well
as Washington coast in-river salmon fisheries. For the period 2004-
2017, the total exploitation rate on Queets coho averaged 38.5 percent,
distributed as follows: Alaskan and Canadian ocean salmon fisheries--8
percent, Council-managed ocean salmon fisheries--20 percent, and other
preterminal and terminal salmon fisheries (including freshwater sport
and net fisheries in the Quinault, Hoh, and Queets Rivers on the
Washington coast)--72 percent.
Snohomish natural coho. The Snohomish coho stock contributes to
U.S. ocean salmon fisheries north of Cape Falcon and to ocean salmon
fisheries off British Columbia, and to marine and freshwater Puget
Sound salmon fisheries. For the period 2004-2017, the total
exploitation rate on Snohomish coho averaged 24.4 percent, distributed
as follows: Alaskan and Canadian ocean salmon fisheries--5 percent,
Council-managed ocean salmon fisheries--9 percent, and other
preterminal and terminal salmon fisheries within Puget Sound--86
percent.
Rebuilding Plans
The Council transmitted their recommended rebuilding plans for the
three overfished coho stocks to NMFS on October 17, 2019. The plans
were developed over the course of several Council meetings in 2018 and
2019 and were informed by the analyses of the Council's Salmon
Technical Team (STT). The STT held public meetings and work sessions
with state and Federal agencies, tribal governments, and the general
public to assess available information on various factors that could
impact the productivity of these stocks and lead to the overfished
determination. These factors include: Freshwater survival, marine
survival, harvest impacts, and assessment and fishery management
errors.
Overfishing on the three overfished coho stocks, defined as the
exploitation rate on a stock exceeding the maximum fishing mortality
threshold (MFMT), did not occur during the years that lead to the
overfished determination. The STT's report concluded that the
overfished situation for these stocks was primarily the result of poor
marine survival; abundance in 2015 was substantially lower than
anticipated in preseason forecasts for many Washington coho stocks.
Freshwater habitat conditions and fishery management may have
exacerbated the problem caused by low marine survival, but these were
not identified in the STT's report as the proximate cause of the
overfished status of any of the three coho stocks. Based on 2015-2017
abundance, Juan de Fuca coho would likely have met the overfished
criteria even in the absence of fishing in that time period. The STT's
report is contained within the draft EA (see ADDRESSES).
The Council considered two alternatives for the rebuilding plan for
each stock: (1) The existing control rule and (2) a buffered
exploitation rate or escapement goal. The Council's recommendations for
rebuilding the overfished coho stocks, which NMFS proposes to approve,
are to maintain the existing control rules for Juan de Fuca coho and
Queets coho, and to manage for a ten-percent buffer on the
SMSY escapement goal for Snohomish coho. Each of the three
rebuilding plans
[[Page 61915]]
recommended by the Council meets the MSA requirement to rebuild the
stock as quickly as possible, taking into account the status and
biology of any overfished stock and the needs of fishing communities
(50 CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)).
When a stock or stock complex is overfished, a Council must specify
a time period for rebuilding the stock or stock complex based on
factors specified in MSA section 304(e)(4). This target time for
rebuilding (Ttarget) shall be as short as possible, taking
into account: The status and biology of any overfished stock, the needs
of fishing communities, recommendations by international organizations
in which the U.S. participates, and interaction of the stock within the
marine ecosystem. In addition, the time period shall not exceed 10
years, except where biology of the stock, other environmental
conditions, or management measures under an international agreement to
which the U.S. participates, dictate otherwise (50 CFR
600.310(j)(3)(i)). The NS1 guidelines also describe the following
rebuilding benchmarks: The minimum time to rebuild (Tmin)
and the maximum time to rebuild (Tmax) (50 CFR
600.310(j)(3)(i)). These benchmarks serve to establish the range of
target times to rebuild that the Council may consider. Under the NS1
guidelines, Tmin is calculated by assuming no fishery
mortality, regardless of the source of the mortality. It is not
possible, however, for the Council and NMFS to implement a
Tmin scenario for the overfished coho stocks, because the
MSA only provides regulatory authority over fisheries in the EEZ.
Therefore, the Council and NMFS have no authority to suspend non-
federal fisheries in state waters. However, the Council analyzed a no-
fishing scenario to identify Tmin and to serve as a bookend
in the analysis of rebuilding probabilities.
Council-area salmon fisheries management measures are set annually
each April. The Council's Stock Assessment and Fishery Evaluation
Document for the Pacific Coast Salmon Fishery Management Plan (SAFE
document) is released annually in February and provides escapement data
for previous years. Analyses to determine rebuilding times in the
Council's recommended rebuilding plans used available escapement data
in the SAFE document issued February 2019, which included escapement
data for the overfished coho stocks through 2017. Year 1 in the STT's
calculations of Tmin and Ttarget was defined as
2018. This convention was adopted due to data availability, as the most
recent estimates of ocean abundance and spawning escapement for the
three overfished coho stocks were from 2017. Rebuilding times projected
by the STT assume the control rules defined in the alternatives were
first applied to 2018 fisheries, and each of the nine years thereafter;
however, the STT and the Council acknowledged that adopted rebuilding
plans were likely be first implemented in 2020.
Juan de Fuca Natural Coho
Tmin. The Council's analysis determined that, with no
fishing mortality, there was a 54 percent probability that Juan de Fuca
coho would rebuild in four years. Therefore, Tmin = four
years or 2021.
Tmax. NS1 guidelines state that if Tmin for
the stock or stock complex is 10 years or less, then Tmax is
10 years (50 CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)(B)(1)). Since Tmin for
Juan de Fuca coho is four years or 2021, Tmax = 10 years or
2027.
Ttarget. The Council has recommended the existing
control rule to rebuild Juan de Fuca coho. As described above, this
stock is managed using a stepped harvest rate control rule which sets
annual exploitation rate ceilings based upon forecast stock abundance.
Applying that control rule to Juan de Fuca coho results in a matrix of
age-3 ocean abundance and total allowable exploitation rates that the
Council uses when developing annual management measures (coho salmon
from stocks managed under the FMP mature at age 3 years) (Table 2).
Table 2--Matrix Informed by the Current FMP Harvest Control Rule Applied
to Juan de Fuca Coho
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total allowable
Abundance category Age-3 ocean exploitation rate
abundance (percent)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Normal............................ Greater than 60
27,445
Low............................... Between 11,679 40
and 27,445
Critical.......................... 11,679 or less 20
------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the seven years for which we have escapement data for Juan de
Fuca coho since the implementation of Amendment 16 (2012 through 2018),
two of those years had escapement above SMSY.
The Council's analysis, contained in the draft EA (see ADDRESSES),
used 2018 as year one in calculating Ttarget. Under the
existing control rule, there is a 56 percent probability that Juan de
Fuca coho will meet the rebuilt criteria by year six
(Ttarget = 2023). This means that the three-year geometric
mean of Juan de Fuca coho escapement for 2021-2023 is expected to meet
or exceed SMSY. The spawning escapement from 2023 will be
included in the 2025 stock assessment.
MSA consistency. As mentioned above, the MSA requires overfished
stocks to be rebuilt in as short a time as possible, while taking into
account the needs of fishing communities. The Council considered an
alternative that would limit the annual exploitation rate on Juan de
Fuca coho in Southern U.S. salmon fisheries (i.e., ocean and inland
salmon fisheries south of the U.S./Canada border, including Council
area, State, and tribal fisheries) to 10 percent until the stock is
rebuilt. The Council's analysis of this alternative estimated this
would result in an economic loss of $4.34 million over the rebuilding
period (in 2016 dollars), not including losses in tribal fisheries,
compared to the existing control rule. This alternative would rebuild
Juan de Fuca coho one year earlier than under the existing control
rule; the Council's analysis indicates that Ttarget would be
achieved in 2022 under this alternative. Therefore, taking into account
the negative economic impacts of the limited exploitation rate
alternative and the minimal difference in rebuilding time, the existing
control rule meets the MSA requirement to have a rebuilding period that
is as short as possible while considering the needs of fishing
communities.
Queets Natural Coho
Tmin. The Council's analysis determined that, with no
fishing mortality, there was a 61 percent probability that Queets coho
would
[[Page 61916]]
rebuild in one year. Therefore, Tmin = one year or 2018.
Tmax. NS1 guidelines state that if Tmin for
the stock or stock complex is 10 years or less, then Tmax is
10 years (50 CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)(B)(1)). Since Tmin for
Queets coho is one year or 2018, Tmax = 10 years or 2027.
Ttarget. The Council has recommended the existing
control rule to rebuild Queets coho. As described above, this stock is
managed using a stepped harvest rate control rule which sets annual
exploitation rate ceilings based upon forecast stock abundance.
Applying that control rule to Queets coho results in a matrix of age-3
ocean abundance and total allowable exploitation rates that the Council
uses when developing annual management measures (Table 3).
Table 3--Matrix Informed by the Current FMP Harvest Control Rule Applied
To Queets Coho
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total allowable
Abundance category Age-3 ocean exploitation rate
abundance (percent)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Normal............................ Greater than 41-65
9,667
Low............................... Between 7,250 and 21-40
9,667
Critical.......................... Less than 7,250 Up to 20
------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the seven years for which we have escapement data for Queets
coho since the implementation of Amendment 16 (2012 through 2018), one
of those years had escapement above SMSY.
The Council's analysis, contained in the draft EA (see ADDRESSES),
used 2018 as year one in calculating Ttarget. Under the
existing control rule, the Council's analysis determined there was a 54
percent probability that Queets coho would meet the rebuilt criteria by
year two (Ttarget = 2019). This means that the three-year
geometric mean of Queets coho escapement for 2017-2019 is expected to
meet or exceed SMSY. Because of the timing of coho spawning,
there is a delay in the availability of coho escapement data; for
example, the Council's Review of 2019 Ocean Salmon Fisheries (February
2020) included coho spawning escapement through 2018. The 2019 spawning
escapement for Queets coho, and the 2017-2019 escapement geometric
mean, will be available in February 2021 in the Council's Review of
2020 Ocean Salmon Fisheries. The Council's annual reviews of ocean
salmon fisheries are available on the Council's website
(www.pcouncil.org).
MSA consistency. As mentioned above, the MSA requires overfished
stocks to be rebuilt in as short a time as possible, while taking into
account the needs of fishing communities. The Council considered an
alternative that would buffer the existing control rule for Queets coho
by limiting the total exploition rate at forecast ocean age-3 abundance
between 5,800 and 7,250, beginning at 15 percent and ramping linearly
to 20 percent. During the preseason process, if spawning escapement is
projected to be less than 4,930 (85 percent of SMSY), the
non-treaty Council-area fisheries north of Cape Falcon, OR, would be
structured to minimize impacts on Queets coho. The Council's analysis
of this alternative estimated this would result in an economic loss of
$1.28 million over the rebuilding period (in 2016 dollars), not
including losses in tribal fisheries, compared to the existing control
rule. This alternative would not improve the rebuilding time compared
to the existing control rule; the Council calculated Ttarget
would be achieved in 2019 under the buffered control rule, the same as
under the existing control rule. Therefore, due to the negative
economic impacts of the buffered control rule alternative and
negligible difference in rebuilding time, NMFS and the Council found
that the existing control rule meets the MSA requirement to have a
rebuilding period that is as short as possible while considering the
needs of fishing communities.
Snohomish Natural Coho
Tmin. The Council's analysis determined that, with no
fishing mortality, there was a 78 percent probability that Snohomish
coho would rebuild in three years. Therefore, Tmin = three
years or 2020.
Tmax. NS1 guidelines state that if Tmin for
the stock or stock complex is 10 years or less, then Tmax is
10 years (50 CFR 600.310(j)(3)(i)(B)(1)). Since Tmin for
Snohomish coho is three years or 2020, Tmax = 10 years or
2027.
Ttarget. The Council has recommended a rebuilding plan that uses a
buffered control rule to rebuild Snohomish coho as the preferred
alternative. As described above, this stock is managed using a stepped
harvest rate control rule which sets annual exploitation rate ceilings
based upon forecast stock abundance. Applying that control rule to
Snohomish coho results in a matrix of age-3 ocean abundance and total
allowable exploitation rates that the Council uses when developing
annual management measures (Table 4, below). In the seven years for
which we have escapement data for Snohomish coho since the
implementation of Amendment 16 (2012 through 2018), three of those
years had escapement above SMSY.
Under the preferred alternative rebuilding plan, Council-area
salmon fisheries would limit impacts on Snohomish natural coho
consistent with escapement thresholds and exploitation rate limits
identified by the Washington tribal and state co-managers, and
consistent with the Salmon FMP. The tribal and state co-managers will
increase the annual MSY escapement goal of 50,000 by 10 percent, to
55,000, until rebuilt status is achieved and adjust the age-3 ocean
abundance break points that establish the annual allowable exploitation
rate, as shown in Table 4.
[[Page 61917]]
Table 4--Matrix for Setting Annual Allowable Exploitation Rate on Snohomish Coho Under the Current FMP Harvest Control Rule and the Proposed Rebuilding
Plan
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Age-3 ocean abundance Total allowable
Abundance category --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- exploitation rate
FMP control rule Proposed rebuilding plan (percent)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Normal.................................. Greater than 125,000......................... Greater than 137,500........................ 60
Low..................................... Between 51,667 and 125,000................... Between 51,667 and 137,500.................. 40
Critical................................ Less than 51,667............................. Less than 51,667............................ 20
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Council's analysis, contained in the draft EA (see ADDRESSES),
used 2018 as year one in calculating Ttarget. Under the
Council's preferred alternative rebuilding plan, there is a 62 percent
probability that Snohomish coho will meet the rebuilt criteria by year
three (Ttarget = 2020). This means that the three-year
geometric mean of Snohomish coho escapement for 2018-2020 is expected
to meet or exceed SMSY. The spawning escapement from 2020
will be included in the 2022 stock assessment.
MSA consistency. As mentioned above, the MSA requires overfished
stocks to be rebuilt in as short a time as possible, while taking into
account the needs of fishing communities. The Council considered an
alternative that would use the existing control rule for Snohomish coho
as well as the preferred alternative. The Council's analysis of the
alternatives estimates that the preferred alternative would result in
an economic loss of $432 thousand over the rebuilding period (in 2016
dollars), not including losses in tribal fisheries, compared to no such
loss under the existing control rule. The rebuilding time under both
the status quo alternative (existing control rule) and the preferred
alternative rebuilding plan would have the same rebuilding time; the
Council calculated Ttarget would be achieved in 2020 under
both alternatives. The state and tribal co-managers supported the
Council's preferred alternative rebuilding plan, and the fishing
communities did not oppose it. The preferred alternative rebuilding
plan has the same Ttarget as the status quo alternative and
is supported by fishery managers and fishing communities, and therefore
meets the MSA requirement to have a rebuilding period that is as short
as possible while considering the needs of fishing communities.
National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)
The draft EA for this action is an integrated document that
includes the Council's analysis of the overfished stocks, analysis of
environmental and socioeconomic effects under NEPA, the regulatory
impact review, and regulatory flexibility analysis. The draft EA for
this action is posted on the NMFS West Coast Region website (see
ADDRESSES).
Classification
Pursuant to section 304(b)(1)(A) of the MSA, the NMFS Assistant
Administrator has determined that this proposed rule is consistent with
the Pacific Coast Salmon Fishery Management Plan, other provisions of
the MSA, and other applicable law, subject to further consideration
after public comment.
This proposed rule has been determined to be not significant for
purposes of Executive Order 12866.
This proposed rule is not an Executive Order 13771 regulatory
action because this rule is not significant under Executive Order
12866.
The Chief Counsel for Regulation of the Department of Commerce
certified to the Chief Counsel for Advocacy of the Small Business
Administration that this proposed rule, if adopted, would not have a
significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities.
Using the catch area description in the Pacific States Marine
Fisheries Commission Information Network (PacFIN), the most recent year
of complete fishing data, 2018, NMFS determined that 357 distinct
commercial vessels land fish caught north of Cape Falcon. The Council's
2020 SAFE document lists ex-vessel value for 2018 salmon landings in
Washington state at $2.4 million (in 2019 dollars). Therefore, no
vessel met NMFS' threshold for being a large entity, which is $11
million in annual gross receipts. We note, however, that the rebuilding
plans implemented by this proposed rule would not change harvest
policy, and, thus, by definition, would have no direct or indirect
economic impact on these small entities.
Because all directly regulated entities are small, these
regulations are not expected to place small entities at a significant
disadvantage in comparison with large entities. The Council
recommended, and NMFS proposes approving, the status quo alternatives
for the Juan de Fuca coho rebuilding plan and the Queets coho
rebuilding plan. The state and tribal co-managers recommended, and NMFS
proposes approving a rebuilding plan that includes a buffered
SMSY target for Snohomish coho. These rebuilding plans are
consistent with the provisions of the existing Salmon FMP. Therefore,
this proposed rule to approve and implement the rebuilding plans,
consistent with the parameters required under NS1, is largely
administrative. This action does not change salmon harvest policy, and
economic activity is not expected to change from the baseline at all
for Juan de Fuca coho and Queets coho, and is expected to change only
minimally, as described above, for Snohomish coho. Therefore, this
action is also not expected to significantly reduce profit for the
directly regulated small entities. As a result, an initial regulatory
flexibility analysis is not required and none has been prepared.
This proposed rule was developed after meaningful collaboration
with the tribal representative on the Council, and the Council
subsequently agreed with the provisions that apply to tribal vessels.
This proposed rule does not include a collection-of-information
requirement subject to the Paperwork Reduction Act.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 660
Fisheries, Fishing, Recordkeeping and reporting requirements.
Dated: September 2, 2020.
Samuel D. Rauch, III,
Deputy Assistant Administrator for Regulatory Programs, National Marine
Fisheries Service.
For the reasons set out in the preamble, the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration proposes to amend 50 CFR part 660 as
follows:
PART 660--FISHERIES OFF WEST COAST STATES
0
1. The authority citation for part 660 continues to read as follows:
[[Page 61918]]
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq., 16 U.S.C. 773 et seq., and
16 U.S.C. 7001 et seq.
0
2. In Sec. 660.413 (proposed to be added at 85 FR 6135), add
paragraphs (c) through (e) to read as follows:
Sec. 660.413 Overfished species rebuilding plans.
* * * * *
(c) Juan de Fuca coho. The Juan de Fuca coho salmon stock was
declared overfished in 2018. The target year for rebuilding Juan de
Fuca coho is 2023. The harvest control rule during the rebuilding
period for Juan de Fuca coho is the abundance-based stepped harvest
rate as shown in table 1 to this paragraph (c).
Table 1 to Paragraph (c)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Juan de Fuca coho stepped harvest rates
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total allowable
Abundance category Age-3 ocean abundance exploitation rate
(percent)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Normal..................................... Greater than 27,445............................. 60
Low........................................ Between 11,679 and 27,445....................... 40
Critical................................... 11,679 or less.................................. 20
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(d) Queets coho. The Queets coho salmon stock was declared
overfished in 2018. The target year for rebuilding Queets coho is 2019.
The harvest control rule during the rebuilding period for Queets coho
is the abundance-based stepped harvest rate as shown in table 2 to this
paragraph (d).
Table 2 to Paragraph (d)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Queets coho stepped harvest rates
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total allowable
Abundance category Age-3 abundance exploitation rate
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Normal..................................... Greater than 9,667.............................. 65
Low........................................ Between 7,250 and 9,667......................... 40
Critical................................... Less than 7,250................................. 20
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(e) Snohomish coho. (1) The Snohomish coho salmon stock was
declared overfished in 2018. The target year for rebuilding Snohomish
coho is 2020. The harvest control rule during the rebuilding period for
Snohomish coho is the abundance-based stepped harvest rate as shown in
table 3 to this paragraph (e).
Table 3 to Paragraph (e)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Snohomish coho stepped harvest rates
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total allowable
Abundance category Age-3 abundance exploitation rate
(percent)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Normal..................................... Greater than 137,000............................ 60
Low........................................ Between 51,667 and 137,000...................... 40
Critical................................... Less than 51,667................................ 20
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(2) In years when Snohomish coho abundance is forecast to exceed
137,000, the total allowable exploitation rate will be limited to
target achieving a spawning escapement of 55,000 Snohomish coho.
[FR Doc. 2020-19884 Filed 9-30-20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-P