Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Attainment Plan for the Muskingum River SO2, 60933-60942 [2020-21560]
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 189 / Tuesday, September 29, 2020 / Proposed Rules
60933
TABLE 6—RFP MOTOR VEHICLE EMISSIONS BUDGETS FOR HGB
[tpd]
Year
NOX
VOC
2020 .........................................................................................................................................................................
87.69
57.70
III. Proposed Action
We are proposing to approve revisions
to the Texas SIP that address the RFP
requirements for the HGB serious ozone
nonattainment area for the 2008 ozone
NAAQS. Specifically, we are proposing
to approve the RFP demonstration and
associated MVEBs, contingency
measures for RFP or failure-to-attain,
and the revised 2011 base year EI for the
HGB area. Further, as part of today’s
action, EPA is describing the status of
its adequacy determination for the NOX
and VOC MVEBs for 2020 in accordance
with 40 CFR 93.118(f)(2). Within 24
months from the effective date of EPA’s
adequacy determination for the MVEBs
or the publication date for the final rule
for this action, whichever is earlier, the
transportation partners will need to
demonstrate conformity to the new NOX
and VOC MVEBs pursuant to 40 CFR
93.104(e)(3).
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IV. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
Act and applicable Federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the
EPA’s role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of
the CAA. Accordingly, this action
merely proposes to approve state law as
meeting Federal requirements and does
not impose additional requirements
beyond those imposed by state law. For
that reason, this action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821,
January 21, 2011);
• Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82
FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory
action because SIP approvals are
exempted under Executive Order 12866;
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
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• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA; and
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved
to apply on any Indian reservation land
or in any other area where EPA or an
Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the proposed rule does
not have tribal implications and will not
impose substantial direct costs on tribal
governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone,
Volatile organic compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 16, 2020.
Kenley McQueen,
Regional Administrator, Region 6.
[FR Doc. 2020–20849 Filed 9–28–20; 8:45 am]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R05–OAR–2015–0699; FRL–10015–
10–Region 5]
Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Attainment
Plan for the Muskingum River SO2
Nonattainment Area
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve a
revision to the Ohio State
Implementation Plan (SIP) submitted on
April 3, 2015 and October 13, 2015, and
supplemented on June 23, 2020, by the
Ohio Environmental Protection Agency
(Ohio EPA), consisting of its plan for
attaining the 1-hour sulfur dioxide (SO2)
primary national ambient air quality
standard (NAAQS) for the Muskingum
River, Ohio SO2 nonattainment area.
This plan (herein called a
‘‘nonattainment plan’’) includes Ohio’s
attainment demonstration and other
elements required under the Clean Air
Act (CAA). In addition to an attainment
demonstration, the plan addresses the
requirements for meeting reasonable
further progress (RFP) toward
attainment of the NAAQS, reasonably
available control measures (RACM) and
reasonably available control technology
(RACT), enforceable emission
limitations and control measures, baseyear and projection-year emission
inventories, and contingency measures.
EPA proposes to conclude that Ohio has
appropriately demonstrated that the
plan provisions provide for attainment
of the 2010 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS
in the Muskingum River, Ohio
nonattainment area and that the plan
meets the other applicable requirements
under the CAA.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before October 29, 2020.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R05–
OAR–2015–0699 at https://
www.regulations.gov, or via email to
aburano.douglas@epa.gov. For
comments submitted at Regulations.gov,
follow the online instructions for
submitting comments. Once submitted,
SUMMARY:
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comments cannot be edited or removed
from Regulations.gov. For either manner
of submission, EPA may publish any
comment received to its public docket.
Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. EPA will generally not consider
comments or comment contents located
outside of the primary submission (i.e.,
on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). For additional submission
methods, please contact the person
identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the
full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effective comments, please visit
https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Gina
Harrison, Environmental Scientist,
Attainment Planning and Maintenance
Section, Air Programs Branch (AR–18J),
Environmental Protection Agency,
Region 5, 77 West Jackson Boulevard,
Chicago, Illinois 60604, (312) 353–6956,
harrison.gina@epa.gov. The EPA Region
5 office is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30
p.m., Monday through Friday, excluding
Federal holidays and facility closures
due to COVID–19.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document, whenever
‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or ’’our’’ is used, we mean
EPA. This state submittal addressed
Ohio’s Lake County, Muskingum River,
and Steubenville OH-WV SO2
nonattainment areas. EPA is proposing
action on only the Muskingum River
portion of Ohio’s submittal at this time;
the Lake County and Steubenville
portions were addressed in prior
rulemaking actions. The following
outline is provided to aid in locating
information regarding EPA’s proposed
action on Ohio’s Muskingum River SO2
nonattainment plan.
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Table of Contents
I. Why was Ohio required to submit an SO2
plan for the Muskingum River area?
II. Requirements for SO2 Nonattainment Area
Plans
III. Attainment Demonstration and Longer
Term Averaging
IV. Review of Modeled Attainment Plan
A. Model Selection and General Model
Inputs
B. Meteorological Data
C. Modeled Emissions Data
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D. Emission Limits
E. Background Concentrations
F. Summary of Results
V. Review of Other Plan Requirements
A. Emissions Inventory
B. RACM/RACT and Emissions Limitations
and Control Measures
C. New Source Review (NSR)
D. RFP
E. Contingency Measures
VI. EPA’s Proposed Action
VII. Incorporation by Reference
VIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. Why was Ohio required to submit an
SO2 plan for the Muskingum River
area?
On June 22, 2010, EPA promulgated a
new 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS of 75
parts per billion (ppb), which is met at
an ambient air quality monitoring site
when the 3-year average of the annual
99th percentile of the daily maximum 1hour average concentrations does not
exceed 75 ppb, as determined in
accordance with appendix T of 40 CFR
part 50. See 75 FR 35520, codified at 40
CFR 50.17(a)–(b). The 3-year average of
the annual 99th percentile of daily
maximum 1-hour concentrations is
called the air quality monitor’s SO2
‘‘design value.’’ For the 3-year period
2009–2011, the design value at the
Muskingum River SO2 monitor in
Morgan County, Ohio (39–115–004) was
180 ppb, which is a violation of the SO2
NAAQS. On August 5, 2013, EPA
designated a first set of 29 areas of the
country as nonattainment for the 2010
SO2 NAAQS, including the Muskingum
River nonattainment area. Muskingum
River’s SO2 designation was based upon
the monitored design value at this
location for this three-year period. The
Muskingum River nonattainment area is
defined to include part of Morgan
County (Center Township) and part of
Washington County (Waterford
Township). See 78 FR 47191, codified at
40 CFR part 81, subpart C. This area
designation was effective on October 4,
2013.
Section 191(a) of the CAA directs
states to submit SIPs for areas
designated as nonattainment for the SO2
NAAQS to EPA within 18 months of the
effective date of the designation; in this
case, by no later than April 4, 2015.
These SIPs are required by CAA section
192(a) to demonstrate that their
respective areas will attain the NAAQS
as expeditiously as practicable, but no
later than 5 years from the effective date
of designation. The SO2 attainment
deadline for Muskingum River was
October 4, 2018. EPA is proposing to
approve this plan in accordance with a
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court-ordered deadline of October 30,
2020 for final action on the SIP.1
In response to the SO2 nonattainment
plan submittal requirement, Ohio
submitted a nonattainment plan for the
Muskingum River nonattainment area
on April 3, 2015,2 submitted revisions
on October 13, 2015, and submitted a
supplement specific to the Muskingum
River area on June 23, 2020. The June
23, 2020 supplement contains the core
features of the attainment plan. The
remainder of this document describes
the requirements that such plans must
meet in order to obtain EPA approval,
provides a review of the state’s plan
with respect to these requirements, and
describes EPA’s proposed action on the
plan.
II. Requirements for SO2
Nonattainment Area Plans
Nonattainment SIPs must meet the
applicable requirements of the CAA,
and specifically CAA sections 110, 172,
191 and 192. EPA’s regulations
governing nonattainment SIPs are set
forth at 40 CFR part 51, with specific
procedural requirements and control
strategy requirements residing at
subparts F and G, respectively. Soon
after Congress enacted the 1990
Amendments to the CAA, EPA issued
comprehensive guidance on SIPs, in a
document entitled the ‘‘General
Preamble for the Implementation of
Title I of the Clean Air Act Amendments
of 1990,’’ published at 57 FR 13498
(April 16, 1992) (General Preamble).
Among other things, the General
Preamble addressed SO2 SIPs and
fundamental principles for SIP control
strategies. Id., at 13545–13549, 13567–
13568. On April 23, 2014, EPA issued
recommended guidance for meeting the
statutory requirements in SO2 SIPs, in a
document entitled, ‘‘Guidance for 1Hour SO2 Nonattainment Area SIP
Submissions,’’ available at https://
www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/
2016-06/documents/20140423guidance_
nonattainment_sip.pdf. In this
guidance, referred to in this document
as the 2014 SO2 guidance, EPA
described the statutory requirements for
a complete nonattainment area SIP,
1 In a November 26, 2019, order issued in Center
for Biological Diversity, et al. v. Wheeler, No. 4:18–
cv–03544 (N.D. Cal.), the court ordered EPA to take
action on certain aspects of Ohio’s SIP submittal,
including the attainment demonstration for the
Muskingum River area, by October 30, 2020.
2 For a number of areas, EPA published a final
rule on March 18, 2016 that the pertinent states had
failed to submit the required SO2 nonattainment
plan by this submittal deadline. See 81 FR 14736.
However, because Ohio EPA had submitted its SO2
nonattainment plan before that date, EPA did not
make such a finding with respect to Ohio’s
submittal for Muskingum River.
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which includes an accurate emissions
inventory of current emissions for all
sources of SO2 within the
nonattainment area; an attainment
demonstration; demonstration of RFP;
implementation of RACM/RACT;
enforceable emission limitations and
control measures; NSR; and adequate
contingency measures for the affected
area.
In order for EPA to fully approve a
SIP as meeting the requirements of CAA
sections 110, 172 and 191–192, and
EPA’s regulations at 40 CFR part 51, the
SIP for the affected area needs to
demonstrate to EPA’s satisfaction that
each of the aforementioned
requirements have been met. Under
CAA sections 110(l) and 193, EPA may
not approve a SIP that would interfere
with any applicable requirement
concerning NAAQS attainment and
RFP, or any other applicable
requirement, and no requirement in
effect (or required to be adopted by an
order, settlement, agreement, or plan in
effect before November 15, 1990) in any
area which is a nonattainment area for
any air pollutant, may be modified in
any manner unless it ensures equivalent
or greater emission reductions of such
air pollutant.
III. Attainment Demonstration and
Longer Term Averaging
CAA section 172(c)(1) directs states
with areas designated as nonattainment
to demonstrate that the submitted plan
provides for attainment of the NAAQS.
The regulations at 40 CFR part 51,
subpart G further delineate the control
strategy requirements that SIPs must
meet. EPA has long required that all
SIPs and control strategies reflect four
fundamental principles of
quantification, enforceability,
replicability, and accountability. See
General Preamble, at 13567–13568. SO2
attainment plans must consist of two
components: (1) Emission limits and
other control measures that ensure
implementation of permanent,
enforceable and necessary emission
controls, and (2) a modeling analysis
which meets the requirements of 40 CFR
part 51, appendix W which
demonstrates that these emission limits
and control measures provide for timely
attainment of the primary SO2 NAAQS
as expeditiously as practicable, but by
no later than the attainment date for the
affected area. In all cases, the emission
limits and control measures must be
accompanied by appropriate methods
and conditions to determine compliance
with the respective emission limits and
control measures and must be
quantifiable (i.e., a specific amount of
emission reduction can be ascribed to
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the measures), fully enforceable
(specifying clear, unambiguous and
measurable requirements for which
compliance can be practicably
determined), replicable (the procedures
for determining compliance are
sufficiently specific and non-subjective
so that two independent entities
applying the procedures would obtain
the same result), and accountable
(source specific limits must be
permanent and must reflect the
assumptions used in the SIP
demonstrations).
EPA’s 2014 SO2 guidance
recommends that emission limits be
expressed as short-term average limits
(e.g., addressing emissions averaged
over one or three hours), but also
describes an option to utilize emission
limits with longer averaging times of up
to 30 days so long as the state meets
various suggested criteria. See 2014 SO2
guidance, pp. 22 to 39. Should states
and sources utilize longer averaging
times, the guidance recommends that
the longer term average limit be set at
an adjusted level that reflects a
stringency comparable to the 1-hour
average limit that the plan otherwise
would have set at the critical emission
value (CEV) shown to provide for
attainment.
The 2014 SO2 guidance provides an
extensive discussion of EPA’s rationale
for concluding that appropriately set,
comparably stringent limitations based
on averaging times as long as 30 days
can be found to provide for attainment
of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. In evaluating
this option, EPA considered the nature
of the standard, conducted detailed
analyses of the impact of use of 30-day
average limits on the prospects for
attaining the standard, and carefully
reviewed how best to achieve an
appropriate balance among the various
factors that warrant consideration in
judging whether a state’s plan provides
for attainment. Id. at pp. 22 to 39. See
also id. at appendices B, C, and D.
EPA considered that the 1-hour
primary SO2 NAAQS, as specified in 40
CFR 50.17(b), is met at an ambient air
quality monitoring site when the 3-year
average of the annual 99th percentile of
daily maximum 1-hour average
concentrations is less than or equal to
75 ppb. In a year with 365 days of valid
monitoring data, the 99th percentile
would be the fourth highest daily
maximum 1-hour value. The 2010 SO2
NAAQS, including this form of
determining compliance with the
standard, was upheld by the U.S. Court
of Appeals for the District of Columbia
Circuit in Nat’l Envt’l Dev. Ass’n’s Clean
Air Project v. EPA, 686 F.3d 803 (D.C.
Cir. 2012). Because the standard has this
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form, a single hourly exceedance of the
75 ppb NAAQS level does not create a
violation of the standard. Therefore, an
emission limit which allows some
operational flexibility or emission
variability may still be protective of the
standard.
At issue is whether a source operating
in compliance with a properly set longer
term average could cause exceedances
of the NAAQS level, and if so, what are
the resulting frequency and magnitude
of such exceedances. Specifically, EPA
must determine with reasonable
confidence whether a properly set
longer term average limit will provide
that the 3-year average of the annual
fourth highest daily maximum 1-hour
value will be at or below 75 ppb. A
synopsis of EPA’s review of how to
judge whether such plans provide for
attainment in light of the NAAQS’ form,
based on modeling of projected
allowable emissions for determining
attainment at monitoring sites, is given
below.
For SO2 plans based on 1-hour
emission limits, the standard approach
is to conduct modeling using fixed
emission rates. The maximum emission
rate that would be modeled to result in
attainment (i.e., in an ‘‘average year’’ 3
shows three, not four days with
maximum hourly levels exceeding 75
ppb) is labeled the ‘‘critical emission
value’’ or ‘‘CEV.’’ The modeling process
for identifying this CEV inherently
considers the numerous variables that
affect ambient concentrations of SO2,
such as meteorological data, background
concentrations, and topography. In the
standard approach, the state would then
provide for attainment by setting a
continuously applicable 1-hour
emission limit at this CEV.
EPA recognizes that some sources
have highly variable emissions, for
example due to variations in fuel sulfur
content and operating rate, that can
make it extremely difficult, even with a
well-designed control strategy, to ensure
in practice that emissions for any given
hour do not exceed the CEV. EPA also
acknowledges the concern that longer
term emission limits can allow short
periods with emissions above the CEV,
which, if coincident with
meteorological conditions conducive to
high SO2 concentrations, could in turn
create the possibility of a NAAQS
3 An ‘‘average year’’ is used to mean a year with
average air quality. While 40 CFR 50 appendix T
provides for averaging three years of 99th percentile
daily maximum hourly values (e.g., the fourth
highest maximum daily hourly concentration in a
year with 365 days with valid data), this discussion
and an example below uses a single ‘‘average year’’
in order to simplify the illustration of relevant
principles.
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exceedance occurring on a day when an
exceedance would not have occurred if
emissions were continuously controlled
at the level corresponding to the CEV.
However, for several reasons, EPA
believes that the approach
recommended in its guidance document
suitably addresses this concern. First,
from a practical perspective, EPA
expects the actual emission profile of a
source subject to an appropriately set
longer term average limit to be similar
to the emission profile of a source
subject to an analogous 1-hour average
limit. EPA expects this similarity
because it has recommended that the
longer term average limit be set at a
level that is comparably stringent to the
otherwise applicable 1-hour limit
(reflecting a downward adjustment from
the CEV) and that takes the source’s
emissions profile into account. As a
result, EPA expects either form of
emission limit to yield comparable air
quality.
Second, from a more theoretical
perspective, EPA has compared the
likely air quality with a source having
maximum allowable emissions under an
appropriately set longer term limit, as
compared to the likely air quality with
the source having maximum allowable
emissions under the comparable 1-hour
limit. In this comparison, in the 1-hour
average limit scenario, the source is
presumed at all times to emit at the CEV
level, and in the longer term average
limit scenario, the source is presumed
occasionally to emit more than the CEV
level but on average, and presumably at
most times, to emit well below the CEV.
In an ‘‘average year,’’ compliance with
the 1-hour limit is expected to result in
three exceedance days (i.e., three days
with maximum hourly values above 75
ppb) and a fourth day with a maximum
hourly value at 75 ppb. By comparison,
with the source complying with a longer
term limit, it is possible that additional
hourly exceedances would occur that
would not occur in the 1-hour limit
scenario (if emissions exceed the CEV at
times when meteorology is conducive to
poor air quality). However, this
comparison must also factor in the
likelihood that hourly exceedances that
would be expected in the 1-hour limit
scenario would not occur in the longer
term limit scenario. This result arises
because the longer term limit requires
lower emissions most of the time
(because the limit is set well below the
CEV), so a source complying with an
appropriately set longer term limit is
likely to have lower emissions at critical
times than would be the case if the
source were emitting as allowed with a
1-hour limit.
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As a hypothetical example to
illustrate these points, suppose a source
that always emits 1,000 pounds of SO2
per hour (lb/hr), which results in air
quality at the level of the NAAQS (i.e.,
results in a design value of 75 ppb).
Suppose further that in an ‘‘average
year,’’ these emissions cause the 5
highest daily maximum 1-hour average
concentrations to be 100 ppb, 90 ppb, 80
ppb, 75 ppb, and 70 ppb. Then suppose
that the source becomes subject to a 30day average emission limit of 700 lb/hr.
It is theoretically possible for a source
meeting this limit to have emissions that
occasionally exceed 1,000 lb/hr, but
with a typical emissions profile
emissions would much more commonly
be between 600 and 800 lb/hr. In this
simplified example, assume a zero
background concentration, which
allows one to assume a linear
relationship between emissions and air
quality. (A nonzero background
concentration would make the
mathematics more difficult but would
give similar results.) Air quality will
depend on what emissions happen on
what critical hours, but suppose that
emissions at the relevant times on these
5 days are 800 pounds/hour, 1,100 lb/
hr, 500 lb/hr, 900 lb/hr, and 1,200 lb/
hr, respectively. (This is a conservative
example because the average of these
emissions, 900 lb/hr, is well over the 30day average emission limit.) These
emissions would result in daily
maximum 1-hour average
concentrations of 80 ppb, 99 ppb, 40
ppb, 67.5 ppb, and 84 ppb. In this
example, the fifth day would have an
exceedance of the NAAQS level that
would not otherwise have occurred, but
the third day would not have an
exceedance that otherwise would have
occurred, and the fourth day would
have been below, rather than at, 75 ppb.
In this example, the fourth highest
maximum daily concentration under the
30-day average would be 67.5 ppb.
This simplified example illustrates
the findings of a more complicated
statistical analysis that EPA conducted
using a range of scenarios using actual
plant data. As described in appendix B
of EPA’s April 2014 SO2 guidance, EPA
found that the requirement for lower
average emissions is highly likely to
yield better air quality than is required
with a comparably stringent 1-hour
limit. Based on analyses described in
appendix B of its April 2014 SO2
guidance, EPA expects that an emission
profile with maximum allowable
emissions under an appropriately set
comparably stringent 30-day average
limit is likely to have the net effect of
having a lower number of NAAQS
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exceedances and better air quality than
an emission profile with maximum
allowable emissions under a 1-hour
emission limit at the CEV. This result
provides a compelling policy rationale
for allowing the use of a longer
averaging period in appropriate
circumstances where the facts indicate
that a result of this type might occur.4
The question then becomes whether
this approach—which is likely to
produce no more overall NAAQS
exceedances even though it may
produce some unexpected exceedances
above the CEV—meets the requirements
in sections 110(a)(1), 172(c)(1), and
172(c)(6) for emission limitations in
state implementation plans to ‘‘provide
for attainment’’ of the NAAQS. For SO2,
as for other pollutants, it is generally
impossible to design a nonattainment
plan in the present that will guarantee
that attainment will occur in the future.
A variety of factors can cause a welldesigned plan to fail and unexpectedly
not result in attainment, for example if
meteorological conditions occur that are
more conducive to poor air quality than
was anticipated in the plan. Therefore,
in determining whether a plan meets the
requirement to provide for attainment,
EPA’s task is commonly to judge not
whether the plan provides absolute
certainty that attainment will in fact
occur, but rather whether the plan
provides an adequate level of
confidence of prospective NAAQS
attainment.
From this perspective, in evaluating
use of a 30-day average limit, EPA must
weigh the likely net effect on air quality.
Such an evaluation must consider the
risk that occasions with meteorological
conditions conducive to high
concentrations will have elevated
emissions leading to exceedances of the
NAAQS level that would not otherwise
have occurred, and must also weigh the
likelihood that the requirement for
lower emissions on average will result
in days not having exceedances that
would have been expected with
emissions at the CEV. Additional policy
considerations, such as in this case the
desirability of accommodating real
4 See also work done to supplement the work
described in appendix B. This supplemental work,
done to address a comment on rulemaking for the
Southwest Indiana SO2 nonattainment area
objecting that the appendix B analysis is not
comparable to an assessment of air quality with a
1-hour emission limit, provides further evidence
that longer term limits that are appropriately
determined can be expected to achieve comparable
air quality as comparably stringent 1-hour limits.
Documentation of this supplemental work is
available in the docket for the Southwest Indiana
rulemaking, at https://www.regulations.gov/
document?D=EPA-R05-OAR-2015-0700-0023, as
discussed in the associated rulemaking at 85 FR
49969–49971 (August 17, 2020).
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world emissions variability without
significant risk of NAAQS violations,
are also appropriate factors for EPA to
weigh in judging whether a plan
provides a reasonable degree of
confidence that the plan will lead to
attainment. Based on these
considerations, especially given the
high likelihood that a continuously
enforceable limit averaged over as long
as 30 days, determined in accordance
with EPA’s guidance, will result in
attainment, EPA believes as a general
matter that such limits, if appropriately
determined, can reasonably be
considered to provide for attainment of
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
The 2014 SO2 guidance offers specific
recommendations for determining an
appropriate longer term average limit.
The recommended method starts with
determination of the 1-hour emission
limit that would provide for attainment
(i.e., the CEV), and applies an
adjustment factor to determine the
(lower) level of the longer term average
emission limit that would be estimated
to have a stringency comparable to the
otherwise necessary 1-hour emission
limit. This method uses a database of
continuous emission data reflecting the
type of control that the source will be
using to comply with the SIP emission
limits, which (if compliance requires
new controls) may require use of an
emission database from another source.
The recommended method involves
using these data to compute a complete
set of emission averages, computed
according to the averaging time and
averaging procedures of the prospective
emission limitation. In this
recommended method, the ratio of the
99th percentile among these longer term
averages to the 99th percentile of the 1hour values represents an adjustment
factor that may be multiplied by the
candidate 1-hour emission limit to
determine a longer term average
emission limit that may be considered
comparably stringent.5 The guidance
also addresses a variety of related
topics, such as the potential utility of
setting supplemental emission limits,
such as mass-based limits, to reduce the
likelihood and/or magnitude of elevated
emission levels that might occur under
the longer term emission rate limit.
EPA anticipates that most modeling
used to develop longer term average
emission limits and to prepare full
attainment demonstrations will be
performed using one of EPA’s preferred
air quality models. Preferred air quality
5 For example, if the CEV is 1,000 pounds of SO
2
per hour, and a suitable adjustment factor is
determined to be 70 percent, the recommended
longer term average limit would be 700 lb/hr.
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models for use in regulatory
applications are described in appendix
A of EPA’s Guideline on Air Quality
Models (40 CFR part 51, appendix W).6
In 2005, EPA promulgated AERMOD as
the Agency’s preferred near-field
dispersion modeling for a wide range of
regulatory applications addressing
stationary sources (for example in
estimating SO2 concentrations) in all
types of terrain based on extensive
developmental and performance
evaluation. Supplemental guidance on
modeling for purposes of demonstrating
attainment of the SO2 standard is
provided in appendix A to the 2014 SO2
nonattainment area SIP guidance
document referenced above. Appendix
A provides extensive guidance on the
modeling domain, the source inputs,
assorted types of meteorological data,
and background concentrations.
Consistency with the recommendations
in this guidance is generally necessary
for the attainment demonstration to
offer adequately reliable assurance that
the plan provides for attainment.
As stated previously, attainment
demonstrations for the 2010 1-hour
primary SO2 NAAQS must demonstrate
future attainment and maintenance of
the NAAQS in the entire area
designated as nonattainment (i.e., not
just at the violating monitor) by using
air quality dispersion modeling (see
appendix W to 40 CFR part 51) to show
that the mix of sources and enforceable
control measures and emission rates in
an identified area will not lead to a
violation of the SO2 NAAQS. For a
short-term (i.e., 1-hour) standard, EPA
believes that dispersion modeling, using
allowable emissions and addressing
stationary sources in the affected area
(and in some cases those sources located
outside the nonattainment area which
may affect attainment in the area) is
technically appropriate, efficient and
effective in demonstrating attainment in
nonattainment areas because it takes
into consideration combinations of
meteorological and emission source
operating conditions that may
contribute to peak ground-level
concentrations of SO2.
The meteorological data used in the
analysis should generally be processed
with the most recent version of
AERMET. Estimated concentrations
should include ambient background
concentrations, should follow the form
of the standard, and should be
calculated as described in section
2.6.1.2 of the August 23, 2010
clarification memo on ‘‘Applicability of
appendix W Modeling Guidance for the
6 EPA published revisions to the Guideline on Air
Quality Models on January 17, 2017.
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60937
1-hr SO2 National Ambient Air Quality
Standard’’ (EPA, 2010).
IV. Review of Modeled Attainment Plan
As part of its SIP development
process, Ohio used EPA’s regulatory
dispersion model, AERMOD, to help
determine the SO2 emission limit
revisions that would be needed to bring
the Muskingum River area into
attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
Ohio evaluated the two highest-emitting
facilities in the Muskingum River area—
the Muskingum River Power Plant and
the Globe Metallurgical, Inc. facility
(Globe). According to Ohio’s submittal,
99 percent of the Muskingum River
area’s 2011 SO2 emissions were
attributable to the Muskingum River
Power Plant, with the Globe facility
accounting for 1,203 tons of SO2, which
comprised the remaining 1 percent that
year. On May 31, 2015, all coal fired
boilers at the Muskingum River Power
Plant were permanently shut down.
Subsequently, the ambient monitor
which had been showing violations of
the NAAQS no longer recorded
violations. Nevertheless, for purposes of
assuring attainment and maintenance of
the NAAQS, Ohio determined that, in
addition to the permanent retirement of
the Muskingum River Power Plant, a
reduction in allowable emissions at the
remaining source, the Globe facility,
was warranted. Ohio performed air
quality modeling and analysis and
issued Director’s Final Findings and
Orders (DFFOs) to the Globe facility
establishing 24-hour average SO2
emission limits at the facility. Ohio
submitted the DFFOs to EPA as a
supplement its original SIP submission.
These DFFOs were issued on June 23,
2020, and have a compliance deadline
of September 15, 2020.
The following paragraphs evaluate
various features of the most recent
modeling analysis that Ohio performed
for its attainment demonstration, as
supplemented by the DFFOs.
A. Model Selection and General Model
Inputs
For the Muskingum River attainment
demonstration, Ohio used the AERMOD
model, version 19191. AERMOD is
EPA’s preferred model for this type of
application and version 19191 is the
current version. The AERMOD model
was run using the regulatory default
mode.
AERMOD requires land use to be
characterized to determine how
pollutants are dispersed in the
atmosphere. The state used urban
dispersion coefficients to represent the
proposed heat island generated by the
facility operations. Beyond the facility
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industrial region, the area is best
classified as rural.
EPA’s Guideline on Air Quality
Models (40 CFR part 51 appendix W)
acknowledges that larger industrial
facilities can impact turbulence and
dispersion in the vicinity of the facility,
similar to overnight impacts on
turbulence in cities.
The Globe facility analysis used two
approaches to examine and justify
whether the heat released from the
facility was significant enough to
influence dispersion. They first used
satellite thermal images to estimate the
urban-rural temperature difference.
Twelve images from the Advanced
Spaceborne Thermal Emission and
Reflection radiometer satellite system
were identified, with 8 images without
cloud interference, to estimate the
difference in temperature between warm
facility areas and cooler rural areas. The
average difference between the
industrial area temperatures and the
rural temperatures was 8.7 degrees
Celsius.
The second analysis used formulas
from the AERMOD Formulation
Document to relate heat flux to
temperature differences between urban
and rural areas. Another formula relates
the temperature difference to
population. The temperature difference
using the Formulation Document
equation results in a value of 8.5 degrees
Celsius. This compares well with the 8.7
degree value determined from thermal
satellite images. Ultimately the
calculated heat release and temperature
difference information can be used to
calculate an estimated population.
AERMOD uses a population value to
represent the strength of the urban
impact. The population used in the
Globe analysis is 108,000, which reflects
a relatively modest industrial heat
island effect.
The state used a set of nested grids of
receptors centered on the Globe facility.
The analysis included a total of 5,049
receptors. Receptors were placed every
25 meters (m) along the ambient air
boundary out to 350 m; 50 m out to 1
km; 100 m spacing out to 2 km, and 200
m spacing out to 5 km. The facility is
in the process of purchasing property to
the north. This property will be nonambient air and does not have receptors
in the current modeling. A fence runs
around the entire Globe facility with
adjacent property protected through
surveillance and patrols. EPA finds that
Ohio’s submitted modeling results,
based on modeling without receptors on
fenced plant property and surveilled
and patrolled property currently under
purchase, are adequate to demonstrate
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that no such violations of the 1-hour
SO2 NAAQS are occurring.
Ohio used the AERMAP terrain
preprocessor, version 18081, with USGS
Digital Elevation Data to include terrain
heights at the receptor locations. The
Globe facility is in the Muskingum River
valley. Terrain rises about 50–60 m
within a kilometer to the east and north
of the facility. Similar terrain increases
also occur about 2–3 km in the westerly
and southern directions. EPA finds the
model selection and these modeling
options appropriate.
B. Meteorological Data
Ohio used five years (2014–2018) of
National Weather Service (NWS)
meteorological data from the
Parkersburg, West Virginia Airport
(Station 03804) with upper air data from
Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania (Station
94823). One-minute wind data was
processed using AERMINUTE version
15272 with a 0.5 m/s minimum wind
speed threshold option. Surface
parameters of the Bowen ratios (a
measure of surface moisture) were
developed using monthly precipitation
data compared to climatological
averages. The Parkersburg NWS station
is at the Regional Airport located about
10 km northeast of Parkersburg, and
about 35 km southeast of the Globe
facility. The station is up out of the
Ohio River valley on the elevated
terrain. The Pittsburgh upper air station
is at the International Airport and is
roughly 140 km from the Globe facility.
The prevailing winds in southeast Ohio
are from the south and west. The
Parkersburg NWS wind roses illustrate a
predominantly southwesterly flow. Both
the surface and upper air station are
considered reasonably representative of
surface and upper air meteorological
conditions, respectively, impacting the
area around the Globe facility. EPA
finds that the meteorological data and
the procedure for determining surface
characteristics are acceptable.
C. Modeled Emissions Data
The Globe facility consists of two
electric arc furnace shops. The main
sources of SO2 emissions are two
baghouses, which collect emissions at
the two shops from the electric arc
furnaces and ancillary equipment,
respectively. Emissions from each
baghouse exit through a roof monitor.
The Globe facility modeled emissions
from the roof monitors using point
source release characteristics that
allowed for capturing building
downwash impacts while also
preserving the total buoyancy of the
emission releases. Neither of these
features would have been represented
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had the sources been modeled as
volume sources. Volume source
characterization does not include plume
buoyancy or building downwash
impacts. The baghouse stack
characterizations include a stack height
equal to the height of the roof monitor.
The exit velocities were calculated to
match the actual flow rates from each
baghouse roof monitor. Additionally,
one of the baghouses (Baghouse 1) has
a roof monitor that releases emissions
horizontally rather than vertically.
Consequently, the POINTHOR
AERMOD option was used for this
source to more accurately characterize
its release.
Fugitive emissions released from the
roof of the furnace shops were modeled
using volume source parameters. A
series of seven alternate volume sources
were placed at the height of the roof
monitor at furnace shop 1, and a series
of 4 alternate volume sources were
placed at the height of furnace shop 2.
All were aligned evenly along monitor
openings. Volume source model inputs
were developed based on
recommendations in the AERMOD
User’s Guide, Table 3–2.
Ohio modeled 26 different scenarios
reflecting 26 different combinations of
emissions from the two baghouses. Each
of the 26 scenarios was specifically
modeled for attainment of the 1-hr SO2
NAAQS. Each of the 26 different
scenarios also included an assumption
that 2 percent of the total emissions
were being released as fugitive
emissions from the furnace shop. The 2
percent fugitive value was based on a
capture efficiency analysis document
prepared for the Globe facility and
included in Ohio’s submittal.
Ohio EPA’s attainment demonstration
only modeled emission units associated
with the Globe facility. An examination
of National Emissions Inventory data
shows there are no other SO2 sources of
significance in the area near the Globe
facility, specifically that no other
sources within 25 km emit over 5 tons
per year (tpy).
D. Emission Limits
An important prerequisite for
approval of a nonattainment plan is that
the emission limits that provide for
attainment be quantifiable, fully
enforceable, replicable, and
accountable. See General Preamble at
13567–68. Ohio issued DFFOs to Globe
on June 23, 2020, which set forth new
emission limits for the facility on the
basis of a matrix of CEVs for the two
baghouses, where each combination was
modeled to demonstrate attainment and
maintenance of the standard. As part of
this proposed approval of Ohio’s
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Because the limits set forth in the
DFFOs are expressed as 24-hour average
limits, part of the review of Ohio’s
nonattainment plan must address the
use of these limits, both with respect to
the general suitability of using such
limits for this purpose and with respect
to whether the particular limits
TABLE 1
included in the plan have been suitably
Calendar day (24-hour)
demonstrated to provide for attainment.
emission limits
The first subsection that follows
addresses the overall enforceability of
BH1
BH2
the emission limits in Ohio’s plan, and
(lbs/hr)
(lbs/hr)
the second subsection that follows
195.3
0.0 addresses the 24-hour average limits.
190.6
55.8
The DFFOs also require that
186.0
74.4 validation testing be performed to verify
181.3
102.3 the accuracy of the mass balance
176.7
116.2 calculations. In addition, a Capture
172.0
130.2
Evaluation conducted by a third party is
167.4
144.1
162.7
158.1 required to be performed during the
158.1
167.4 validation testing. This Capture
153.4
176.7 Evaluation will include observations of
148.8
186.0 emissions capture during the validation
144.1
190.6 testing period, an evaluation of
139.5
195.3 emissions capture performance, and, if
134.8
199.9 appropriate, recommendations for
130.2
204.6 measures to improve capture, as well as
125.5
213.9 operational parameter(s) and ranges that
120.9
218.5
could serve as an indicator of ongoing
116.2
223.2
111.6
223.2 performance of the capture system.
supplemented attainment plan for this
area, EPA is proposing to approve
Ohio’s June 23, 2020 DFFOs for the
Globe facility into the SIP, which
include these new CEV combinations as
emission limits. See Table 1.
SO2
emission
limit sets
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2 ................
3 ................
4 ................
5 ................
6 ................
7 ................
8 ................
9 ................
10 ..............
11 ..............
12 ..............
13 ..............
14 ..............
15 ..............
16 ..............
17 ..............
18 ..............
19 ..............
20 ..............
21 ..............
22 ..............
23 ..............
24 ..............
25 ..............
26 ..............
106.9
88.3
74.4
60.4
41.8
27.9
0.0
227.8
232.5
237.1
241.8
246.4
251.1
260.4
As described in the DFFOs,
compliance with the emission limit sets
is determined through mass balance
calculations, as implemented through a
compliance assurance plan (CAP).
Compliance with the emission limits
will also be determined through
periodic compliance performance
testing.
Ohio EPA stated in its June 2020
attainment plan supplement that it
plans to adopt and submit a state rule
that incorporates the emission limits for
the Globe facility, and associated
requirements, into its regulations (Ohio
Administrative Code Chapter 3745–18).
Ohio believes that its DFFOs provide
enforceable limits and specification of
the procedures that will be used to
determine compliance with these limits
such that the DFFOs provide sufficient
enforceable requirements for EPA to rely
on these DFFOs as enforceable measures
that provide for attainment, if
incorporated as permanent measures
into the SIP. Any future submittal of
rules to replace the DFFOs in the SIP
will be addressed in separate future
rulemaking, subject to the requirements
of CAA section 110(l).
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1. Enforceability
Ohio’s supplemented nonattainment
plan for the Muskingum River area
relies on the permanence of the
Muskingum River Power Plant
retirement and on revised emission
limits for the Globe facility as discussed
above (in section D. Emission Limits).
As of April 2015, the entire Muskingum
River Power Plant was shut down and
all coal fired boilers were permanently
retired. This facility is no longer
authorized to operate its coal-fired
boilers, and cannot reinstate them
without obtaining a new permit under
Ohio’s New Source Review program.
Therefore, the reductions in SO2
emissions from the Muskingum River
Power Plant retirement can be
considered permanent, enforceable
reductions.
Ohio’s June 2020 DFFOs issued to
Globe, in addition to establishing new
emission limits, also provide specific
measures and requirements that add
stringency to the required emission
control requirements. Specifically, the
DFFOs require that Globe conduct
validation testing and perform a Capture
Evaluation at the facility’s two
baghouses to validate the mass balance
calculation, and that Globe submit a
CAP to be approved by Ohio EPA in
consultation with EPA. The DFFOs
require that the Capture Evaluation be
performed by a third party in a manner
designed to identify improvements and
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60939
other measures, if any, that may aid in
the capture of SO2 emissions, and
operational parameters that could serve
as a reasonable indicator of ongoing
performance of the capture systems. The
CAP will include specific monitoring
data and techniques used to perform the
mass balance calculations, associated
recordkeeping and reporting to
demonstrate compliance with the
emission limits, parameters to be
monitored to ensure adequate
performance of the capture system, and
reporting from the Capture Evaluation.
To provide an additional level of
assurance that air quality standards are
being met in the area, Ohio’s new
DFFOs require Globe to install an
ambient SO2 monitor. This monitor will
be located across the Muskingum River
in the vicinity of the Globe facility near
an expected area of maximum impact as
approved by Ohio EPA.
2. Longer Term Average Limits
Ohio’s SIP submittal includes
emission limits for the Globe facility
which require compliance based on 24hour average emission rates. See Table
1. Ohio’s primary method for
determining compliance is a mass
balance method, in which the emissions
are assessed by determining the sulfur
content of the raw materials,
determining the sulfur content of the
product and the process by-products,
and assuming that the difference
between these quantities of sulfur is all
converted to SO2 and emitted to the
atmosphere. Ohio adopted a 24-hour
limit to provide a more practical
frequency of conducting this
compliance determination.
In accordance with EPA’s
recommendations, Ohio adopted its
limits at levels that were adjusted to
account for the effect on stringency of
adopting the limits on a 24-hour average
basis. The Globe facility does not have
the continuous emissions monitoring
system (CEMS) data necessary to
determine an appropriate site-specific
adjustment factor. Therefore, Ohio
applied a national average adjustment
factor from appendix D of EPA’s 2014
guidance. Specifically, Ohio applied an
adjustment factor of 0.93, appropriate
for establishment of 24-hour average
SO2 limits for sources without SO2
emissions control equipment. Since
EPA anticipates that the Globe facility
will meet its limits through careful
management of the sulfur content of its
feed materials, EPA considers this
selection of an adjustment factor to be
acceptable.
Ohio calculated the Globe facility’s
emission limits in accordance with
EPA’s recommended method. See
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section III. Ohio used dispersion
modeling to determine 26 combinations
of 1-hour CEVs for each unit that would
provide for attainment of the NAAQS.
Ohio then applied the above adjustment
factor to determine, for each
combination, the level of the longer
term average emission limit for each
unit that would be estimated to have a
stringency comparable to the critical 1hour emission values for each
combination. EPA finds this acceptable.
E. Background Concentrations
The modeled attainment
demonstration for a nonattainment area
specifically includes the maximum
allowable emissions and the individual
dispersion characteristics of the most
significant emission source in the area.
To ensure that the demonstration also
represents the cumulative impacts of
additional sources which are
individually too small or too distant to
be expected to show a significant
concentration gradient within the
modeling domain, a background
concentration is added to the modeled
results. Data from a nearby air quality
monitor can be used to determine a
background value which approximates
the diffuse impacts of these sources
within the modeling domain. For the
Globe emissions assessment, Ohio used
background contributions on a season/
hour-of-day basis using values from the
Hackney monitor, located
approximately 5.5 km to the north of the
Globe facility. In order to avoid double
counting of impacts from Globe, hourly
values in a 90 degree sector representing
winds from the south were removed
from the monitoring data and replaced
with the average of those hourly values
prior to determining season/hour-of-day
values. Values ranged from 6.32
micrograms per cubic meter (mg/m3) to
13.09 mg/m3. EPA finds the background
values used in the Globe assessment to
be acceptable.
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F. Summary of Results
Ohio’s attainment modeling analyses
resulted in a predicted 1-hour design
value of 196.0 mg/m3, or 74.8 ppb,
which is below the SO2 NAAQS of 75
ppb/196.4 mg/m3. This modeled value,
which includes the background
concentration, occurred at the northern
boundary of the Globe facility, less than
200 meters from the emission units.
EPA policy also requires that one
facility must not cause or contribute to
exceedances of the NAAQS on another
facility’s property. Ohio’s modeling only
excludes receptors from the Globe
facility. Consequently, EPA agrees that
the modeling shows that no facility is
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causing or contributing to violations
within another facility’s property.
The emission releases from the Globe
facility are difficult to characterize.
Ohio considered various options for
characterizing the release of fugitive
emissions from the baghouses and the
furnace shops before concluding that
the characterizations described above
were warranted. While no direct means
of assessing the efficiency at capturing
the emissions of the furnace are
available, the requirements of the
DFFOs, particularly the requirement to
implement recommendations of the
Capture Evaluation, help make the
plan’s estimate of 98 percent capture a
reasonable estimate. Therefore, despite
the uncertainties inherent in modeling
this source, EPA finds that Ohio has
submitted an appropriate analysis of the
impact of this source. In addition, EPA
finds that the ambient SO2 monitoring
that Globe and Ohio are undertaking
will provide a further assessment of the
reliability of this modeling and thereby
will provide further assurance that air
quality in this area is attaining the 1hour SO2 NAAQS.
Based on its review of Ohio’s analysis,
EPA finds that the emission limits for
the Globe facility set forth in the DFFOs,
in combination with other measures
identified in the state’s plan, will
provide for attainment and maintenance
of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, and proposes
to approve the DFFOs into the SIP.
V. Review of Other Plan Requirements
A. Emissions Inventory
The emissions inventory and source
emission rate data for an area serve as
the foundation for air quality modeling
and other analyses that enable states to:
(1) Estimate the degree to which
different sources within a
nonattainment area contribute to
violations within the affected area; and
(2) assess the expected improvement in
air quality within the nonattainment
area due to the adoption and
implementation of control measures. As
noted above, the state must develop and
submit to EPA a comprehensive,
accurate and current inventory of actual
emissions from all sources of SO2
emissions in each nonattainment area,
as well as any sources located outside
the nonattainment area which may
affect attainment in the area. See CAA
section 172(c)(3).
Ohio prepared an emissions
inventory 7 using 2011 as the base year
7 The
Emissions Modeling Clearinghouse (EMCH)
provides emissions model input formatted
inventories based on the latest versions of the NEI
databases as well as the projection of these
emissions. For Ohio’s inventory, Ohio used 2011
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and 2018, the SO2 NAAQS attainment
year, as the future year. The inventories
were prepared for six categories:
Electrical generating units (EGU), nonelectrical generating units (non-EGU),
non-road mobile sources, on-road
mobile sources, area sources, and
marine, air and rail sources. The 2011
base year inventory totaled 105,317.67
tpy for all six categories. Reflecting
growth and known, planned, point
source emission reductions, the 2018
future year inventory projection totaled
1,204.18 tpy. Emissions from the Globe
facility were projected to remain
constant between 2011 and 2018. The
EGU category of this emissions
inventory only contains the Muskingum
River Power Plant’s six emission
sources (six coal-fired boilers). The 2018
inventory submitted by Ohio accounted
for the closure of the Muskingum River
Power Plant. As of April 2015, the
Muskingum River Power Plant retired
its coal-fired boilers, which resulted in
projected 2018 EGU emissions of 0.0 tpy
(104,113.16 tpy reduction from 2011),
and thus would reduce Ohio’s total sixcategory 2018 projected year inventory
to 1,204.18 tpy. Ohio’s emissions
inventory indicates that SO2 emissions
were significantly and permanently
reduced in the Muskingum River area of
the SO2 NAAQS attainment year.
B. RACM/RACT and Emissions
Limitations and Control Measures
Section 172(c)(1) of the CAA requires
states to adopt and submit all RACM,
including RACT, as needed to attain the
standards as expeditiously as
practicable. Section 172(c)(6) requires
the SIP to contain enforceable emission
limitations and control measures
necessary to provide for timely
attainment of the standard. Ohio EPA’s
initial plan for attaining the 1-hour SO2
NAAQS in the Muskingum River area
was based only on emission reductions
resulting from the Muskingum River
Power Plant. Following discussions
with EPA, Ohio determined that a
combination of the permanent
retirement of the Muskingum River
Power Plant and additional emission
limitations and emission reduction
strategies implemented at the Globe
facility will result in attainment of the
NAAQS. Redevelopment of the
Muskingum River Power Plant site
would require new source review
analysis and potentially additional
emission controls to maintain SO2
and projected 2018 county level emissions data for
area (non-point), on-road, marine/air/rail (MAR),
and non-road sources from the 2011 NEI version 1based Emissions Modeling Platform (2011v6)
(https://ftp.epa.gov/EmisInventory/2011v6/
v1platform/).
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attainment in the Muskingum River
area. Therefore, EPA concludes that the
Muskingum River Power Plant’s SO2
emissions are currently zero and RACT
requirements are satisfied at this source.
The initial Globe facility RACM
evaluation and subsequent
supplemental RACM evaluation[1]
determined that RACM for control of
SO2 emissions from the electric arc
furnaces (EAFs) at the Globe facility is
pollution prevention through the use of
low sulfur coal and low sulfur coke. In
its evaluation of whether Ohio satisfied
the requirement for RACM, in
accordance with EPA guidance, EPA
evaluated whether Ohio had provided
for sufficient control to provide for
attainment.
Ohio’s plan includes new emission
limits at the Globe facility and requires
timely compliance with such limits and
other control measures required by the
June 23, 2020 DFFOs. Ohio has
determined that these measures suffice
to provide for timely attainment. EPA
concurs and proposes to find that the
state has satisfied the requirements in
sections 172(c)(1) and 172(c)(6) to adopt
and submit all RACM and enforceable
limitations and control measures as are
needed to attain the standards as
expeditiously as practicable.
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C. New Source Review (NSR)
Section 172 of the CAA requires the
state to have an adequate new source
review program. EPA approved Ohio’s
nonattainment new source review rules
on January 22, 2003 (68 FR 2909).
Ohio’s new source review rules,
codified at OAC 3745–31, provide for
appropriate new source review for SO2
sources undergoing construction or
major modification in the Muskingum
River area without need for
modification of the approved rules. The
latest revisions to OAC Chapter 3745–31
were approved into Ohio’s SIP on
February 20, 2013 (78 FR 11748). EPA
concludes that this requirement has
been met for this area.
D. RFP
Section 172 of the CAA requires
Ohio’s Muskingum River nonattainment
SIP to provide for reasonable further
progress toward attainment. For SO2
SIPs, which address a small number of
affected sources, requiring expeditious
compliance with attainment emission
limits can address the RFP requirement.
EPA concludes that the state’s revised
limits and required additional control
strategy measures for the Globe facility
and the 2015 retirement of the
Muskingum River Power Plant represent
implementation of control measures as
expeditiously as practicable.
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Accordingly, EPA proposes to find that
Ohio’s plan provides for RFP.
E. Contingency Measures
Section 172 of the CAA requires that
nonattainment plans include additional
measures which will take effect if an
area fails to meet RFP or fails to attain
the standard by the attainment date. As
noted above, EPA guidance describes
special features of SO2 planning that
influence the suitability of alternative
means of addressing the requirement in
section 172(c)(9) for contingency
measures for SO2. An appropriate means
of satisfying this requirement is for the
state to have a comprehensive
enforcement program that identifies
sources of violations of the SO2 NAAQS
and for the state to undertake aggressive
follow-up for compliance and
enforcement. Ohio’s plan provides for
satisfying the contingency measure
requirement in this manner. EPA
concurs and proposes to approve Ohio’s
plan for meeting the contingency
measure requirement in this manner.
VI. EPA’s Proposed Action
EPA is proposing to approve Ohio’s
SIP submission for attaining the 2010 1hour SO2 NAAQS and for meeting other
nonattainment area planning
requirements for the Muskingum River
SO2 nonattainment area. This SO2
nonattainment plan includes Ohio’s
revised emission limits and attainment
demonstration for the Muskingum River
nonattainment area as submitted on
June 23, 2020, and addresses the CAA
requirements for reasonable further
progress, RACM/RACT, base-year and
projection-year emission inventories,
and contingency measures. In
conjunction with this proposed plan
approval, EPA is also proposing to
approve the DFFOs issued by Ohio to
Globe on June 23, 2020, and submitted
to EPA as a supplement to the original
SIP submission.
EPA concludes that Ohio has
appropriately demonstrated that the
plan provisions provide for attainment
of the 2010 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS
in the Muskingum River nonattainment
area and that the plan meets the other
applicable requirements of section 172
of the CAA. EPA therefore is proposing
to approve Ohio’s nonattainment plan
for the Muskingum River nonattainment
area.
VII. Incorporation by Reference
In this rule, EPA is proposing to
include in a final EPA rule regulatory
text that includes incorporation by
reference. In accordance with
requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, EPA is
proposing to incorporate by reference
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Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
60941
the Ohio Director’s Final Findings and
Orders for the Globe facility, issued on
June 23, 2020. EPA has made, and will
continue to make, these documents
generally available through
www.regulations.gov, and at the EPA
Region 5 Office (please contact the
person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this
preamble for more information).
VIII. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
CAA and applicable Federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions,
EPA’s role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of
the CAA. Accordingly, this action
merely approves state law as meeting
Federal requirements and does not
impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law. For that
reason, this action:
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to review by the Office of
Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821,
January 21, 2011);
• Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82
FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory
action because it is not a significant
regulatory action under Executive Order
12866;
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA; and
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 189 / Tuesday, September 29, 2020 / Proposed Rules
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved
to apply on any Indian reservation land
or in any other area where EPA or an
Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the rule does not have
tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on tribal
governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations,
Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: September 24, 2020.
Kurt Thiede,
Regional Administrator, Region 5.
[FR Doc. 2020–21560 Filed 9–28–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R05–OAR–2010–0037; FRL–10014–
72–Region 5]
Air Plan Approval; Minnesota;
Revision to Taconite Federal
Implementation Plan; Notice of Public
Hearing
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is announcing that a
virtual public hearing will be held on
the proposed action titled, ‘‘Air Plan
Approval; Minnesota; Revision to
Taconite Federal Implementation Plan,’’
which was published in the Federal
Register on February 4, 2020. The
hearing will be held on October 14,
2020.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before November 13, 2020. EPA will
hold a virtual public hearing on October
14, 2020. Please refer to the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section for
additional information on the public
hearing and the submission of written
comments.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R05–
jbell on DSKJLSW7X2PROD with PROPOSALS
SUMMARY:
VerDate Sep<11>2014
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OAR–2010–0037, at https://
www.regulations.gov or via email to
aburano.douglas@epa.gov. For
comments submitted at Regulations.gov,
follow the online instructions for
submitting comments. Once submitted,
comments cannot be edited or removed
from Regulations.gov. For either manner
of submission, EPA may publish any
comment received to its public docket.
Do not submit electronically any
information you consider to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be
accompanied by a written comment.
The written comment is considered the
official comment and should include
discussion of all points you wish to
make. EPA will generally not consider
comments or comment contents located
outside of the primary submission (i.e.,
on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). For additional submission
methods, please contact the person
identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the
full EPA public comment policy,
information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on
making effective comments, please visit
https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/
commenting-epa-dockets.
Virtual Public Hearing. The virtual
public hearing will be held on October
14, 2020. The hearing will convene at
9:00 a.m. Central Daylight Time (CDT)
and will conclude at 1:00 p.m. CDT, or
15 minutes after the last pre-registered
presenter in attendance has presented if
there are no additional presenters. EPA
will announce further details on the
virtual public hearing website at https://
www.epa.gov/mn/revision-taconitefederal-implementation-plan. Refer to
the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section
below for additional information.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Abigail Teener, Environmental
Engineer, Attainment Planning and
Maintenance Section, Air Programs
Branch (AR–18J), U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Region 5, 77 West
Jackson Boulevard, Chicago, Illinois
60604, 312–353–7314, Taconite-FIPRevision@epa.gov. The EPA Region 5
office is open from 8:30 a.m. to 4:30
p.m., Monday through Friday, excluding
Federal holidays and facility closures
due to COVID–19.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document whenever
‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or ‘‘our’’ is used, we mean
EPA.
On February 6, 2013, EPA
promulgated a Federal implementation
plan (FIP) that included BART limits for
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Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
certain taconite furnaces in Minnesota
and Michigan (2013 Taconite FIP; 78 FR
8706). On February 4, 2020, EPA
proposed to revise the 2013 Taconite
FIP with respect to the nitrogen oxides
(NOX) best available retrofit technology
(BART) emission limitations and
compliance schedules for the United
States Steel Corporation’s (U.S. Steel’s)
Minntac taconite facility (‘‘Minntac’’ or
‘‘Minntac facility’’) located in Mt. Iron,
Minnesota (85 FR 6125). Specifically,
EPA proposed that an aggregate
emission limit of 1.6 pounds NOX per
million British Thermal Units (lbs NOX/
MMBTU), based on a 30-day rolling
average, averaged across Minntac’s five
production lines, represents NOX BART
for the Minntac facility. An explanation
of the Clean Air Act (CAA)
requirements, a detailed analysis of how
these requirements apply to Minntac,
and EPA’s bases for proposing the
revised limit and compliance schedule
were provided in the notice of proposed
rulemaking. The public comment period
for this proposed rule ended on March
5, 2020.
One commenter stated that EPA did
not provide information regarding a
public hearing and did not ask the
public if they were interested in a
public hearing in accordance with CAA
section 307(d)(5). The commenter also
stated that EPA did not demonstrate that
the agency consulted with Federal Land
Managers (FLMs) regarding the
proposed FIP revision.
To address these comments, EPA is
holding a virtual public hearing and
reopening the comment period
consistent with CAA section 307(d)(5).
Further, EPA has engaged with the
FLMs on the proposed revision to the
taconite FIP for Minntac. The FLMs
have indicated that they have no
comments on the proposed FIP revision.
Participation in virtual public
hearing. In order to comply with current
Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention (CDC) recommendations, as
well as state and local orders, for social
distancing to limit the spread of
COVID–19, EPA is holding a virtual
public hearing to provide interested
parties the opportunity to present data,
views, or arguments concerning the
proposal.
EPA will begin pre-registering
presenters and attendees for the hearing
upon publication of this document in
the Federal Register. EPA will provide
information on participating in the
virtual public hearing at https://
www.epa.gov/mn/revision-taconitefederal-implementation-plan. To preregister to attend or present at the
virtual public hearing, please use the
online registration form available at
E:\FR\FM\29SEP1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 189 (Tuesday, September 29, 2020)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 60933-60942]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2020-21560]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R05-OAR-2015-0699; FRL-10015-10-Region 5]
Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Attainment Plan for the Muskingum River
SO2 Nonattainment Area
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to
approve a revision to the Ohio State Implementation Plan (SIP)
submitted on April 3, 2015 and October 13, 2015, and supplemented on
June 23, 2020, by the Ohio Environmental Protection Agency (Ohio EPA),
consisting of its plan for attaining the 1-hour sulfur dioxide
(SO2) primary national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS)
for the Muskingum River, Ohio SO2 nonattainment area. This
plan (herein called a ``nonattainment plan'') includes Ohio's
attainment demonstration and other elements required under the Clean
Air Act (CAA). In addition to an attainment demonstration, the plan
addresses the requirements for meeting reasonable further progress
(RFP) toward attainment of the NAAQS, reasonably available control
measures (RACM) and reasonably available control technology (RACT),
enforceable emission limitations and control measures, base-year and
projection-year emission inventories, and contingency measures. EPA
proposes to conclude that Ohio has appropriately demonstrated that the
plan provisions provide for attainment of the 2010 1-hour primary
SO2 NAAQS in the Muskingum River, Ohio nonattainment area
and that the plan meets the other applicable requirements under the
CAA.
DATES: Comments must be received on or before October 29, 2020.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R05-
OAR-2015-0699 at https://www.regulations.gov, or via email to
[email protected]. For comments submitted at Regulations.gov,
follow the online instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted,
[[Page 60934]]
comments cannot be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. For either
manner of submission, EPA may publish any comment received to its
public docket. Do not submit electronically any information you
consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other
information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia
submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written
comment. The written comment is considered the official comment and
should include discussion of all points you wish to make. EPA will
generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of
the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing
system). For additional submission methods, please contact the person
identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section. For the full
EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia
submissions, and general guidance on making effective comments, please
visit https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Gina Harrison, Environmental
Scientist, Attainment Planning and Maintenance Section, Air Programs
Branch (AR-18J), Environmental Protection Agency, Region 5, 77 West
Jackson Boulevard, Chicago, Illinois 60604, (312) 353-6956,
[email protected]. The EPA Region 5 office is open from 8:30 a.m.
to 4:30 p.m., Monday through Friday, excluding Federal holidays and
facility closures due to COVID-19.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document, whenever ``we,''
``us,'' or ''our'' is used, we mean EPA. This state submittal addressed
Ohio's Lake County, Muskingum River, and Steubenville OH-WV
SO2 nonattainment areas. EPA is proposing action on only the
Muskingum River portion of Ohio's submittal at this time; the Lake
County and Steubenville portions were addressed in prior rulemaking
actions. The following outline is provided to aid in locating
information regarding EPA's proposed action on Ohio's Muskingum River
SO2 nonattainment plan.
Table of Contents
I. Why was Ohio required to submit an SO2 plan for the
Muskingum River area?
II. Requirements for SO2 Nonattainment Area Plans
III. Attainment Demonstration and Longer Term Averaging
IV. Review of Modeled Attainment Plan
A. Model Selection and General Model Inputs
B. Meteorological Data
C. Modeled Emissions Data
D. Emission Limits
E. Background Concentrations
F. Summary of Results
V. Review of Other Plan Requirements
A. Emissions Inventory
B. RACM/RACT and Emissions Limitations and Control Measures
C. New Source Review (NSR)
D. RFP
E. Contingency Measures
VI. EPA's Proposed Action
VII. Incorporation by Reference
VIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. Why was Ohio required to submit an SO2 plan for the
Muskingum River area?
On June 22, 2010, EPA promulgated a new 1-hour primary
SO2 NAAQS of 75 parts per billion (ppb), which is met at an
ambient air quality monitoring site when the 3-year average of the
annual 99th percentile of the daily maximum 1-hour average
concentrations does not exceed 75 ppb, as determined in accordance with
appendix T of 40 CFR part 50. See 75 FR 35520, codified at 40 CFR
50.17(a)-(b). The 3-year average of the annual 99th percentile of daily
maximum 1-hour concentrations is called the air quality monitor's
SO2 ``design value.'' For the 3-year period 2009-2011, the
design value at the Muskingum River SO2 monitor in Morgan
County, Ohio (39-115-004) was 180 ppb, which is a violation of the
SO2 NAAQS. On August 5, 2013, EPA designated a first set of
29 areas of the country as nonattainment for the 2010 SO2
NAAQS, including the Muskingum River nonattainment area. Muskingum
River's SO2 designation was based upon the monitored design
value at this location for this three-year period. The Muskingum River
nonattainment area is defined to include part of Morgan County (Center
Township) and part of Washington County (Waterford Township). See 78 FR
47191, codified at 40 CFR part 81, subpart C. This area designation was
effective on October 4, 2013.
Section 191(a) of the CAA directs states to submit SIPs for areas
designated as nonattainment for the SO2 NAAQS to EPA within
18 months of the effective date of the designation; in this case, by no
later than April 4, 2015. These SIPs are required by CAA section 192(a)
to demonstrate that their respective areas will attain the NAAQS as
expeditiously as practicable, but no later than 5 years from the
effective date of designation. The SO2 attainment deadline
for Muskingum River was October 4, 2018. EPA is proposing to approve
this plan in accordance with a court-ordered deadline of October 30,
2020 for final action on the SIP.\1\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ In a November 26, 2019, order issued in Center for
Biological Diversity, et al. v. Wheeler, No. 4:18-cv-03544 (N.D.
Cal.), the court ordered EPA to take action on certain aspects of
Ohio's SIP submittal, including the attainment demonstration for the
Muskingum River area, by October 30, 2020.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In response to the SO2 nonattainment plan submittal
requirement, Ohio submitted a nonattainment plan for the Muskingum
River nonattainment area on April 3, 2015,\2\ submitted revisions on
October 13, 2015, and submitted a supplement specific to the Muskingum
River area on June 23, 2020. The June 23, 2020 supplement contains the
core features of the attainment plan. The remainder of this document
describes the requirements that such plans must meet in order to obtain
EPA approval, provides a review of the state's plan with respect to
these requirements, and describes EPA's proposed action on the plan.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ For a number of areas, EPA published a final rule on March
18, 2016 that the pertinent states had failed to submit the required
SO2 nonattainment plan by this submittal deadline. See 81
FR 14736. However, because Ohio EPA had submitted its SO2
nonattainment plan before that date, EPA did not make such a finding
with respect to Ohio's submittal for Muskingum River.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
II. Requirements for SO2 Nonattainment Area Plans
Nonattainment SIPs must meet the applicable requirements of the
CAA, and specifically CAA sections 110, 172, 191 and 192. EPA's
regulations governing nonattainment SIPs are set forth at 40 CFR part
51, with specific procedural requirements and control strategy
requirements residing at subparts F and G, respectively. Soon after
Congress enacted the 1990 Amendments to the CAA, EPA issued
comprehensive guidance on SIPs, in a document entitled the ``General
Preamble for the Implementation of Title I of the Clean Air Act
Amendments of 1990,'' published at 57 FR 13498 (April 16, 1992)
(General Preamble). Among other things, the General Preamble addressed
SO2 SIPs and fundamental principles for SIP control
strategies. Id., at 13545-13549, 13567-13568. On April 23, 2014, EPA
issued recommended guidance for meeting the statutory requirements in
SO2 SIPs, in a document entitled, ``Guidance for 1-Hour
SO2 Nonattainment Area SIP Submissions,'' available at
https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-06/documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_sip.pdf. In this guidance, referred to
in this document as the 2014 SO2 guidance, EPA described the
statutory requirements for a complete nonattainment area SIP,
[[Page 60935]]
which includes an accurate emissions inventory of current emissions for
all sources of SO2 within the nonattainment area; an
attainment demonstration; demonstration of RFP; implementation of RACM/
RACT; enforceable emission limitations and control measures; NSR; and
adequate contingency measures for the affected area.
In order for EPA to fully approve a SIP as meeting the requirements
of CAA sections 110, 172 and 191-192, and EPA's regulations at 40 CFR
part 51, the SIP for the affected area needs to demonstrate to EPA's
satisfaction that each of the aforementioned requirements have been
met. Under CAA sections 110(l) and 193, EPA may not approve a SIP that
would interfere with any applicable requirement concerning NAAQS
attainment and RFP, or any other applicable requirement, and no
requirement in effect (or required to be adopted by an order,
settlement, agreement, or plan in effect before November 15, 1990) in
any area which is a nonattainment area for any air pollutant, may be
modified in any manner unless it ensures equivalent or greater emission
reductions of such air pollutant.
III. Attainment Demonstration and Longer Term Averaging
CAA section 172(c)(1) directs states with areas designated as
nonattainment to demonstrate that the submitted plan provides for
attainment of the NAAQS. The regulations at 40 CFR part 51, subpart G
further delineate the control strategy requirements that SIPs must
meet. EPA has long required that all SIPs and control strategies
reflect four fundamental principles of quantification, enforceability,
replicability, and accountability. See General Preamble, at 13567-
13568. SO2 attainment plans must consist of two components:
(1) Emission limits and other control measures that ensure
implementation of permanent, enforceable and necessary emission
controls, and (2) a modeling analysis which meets the requirements of
40 CFR part 51, appendix W which demonstrates that these emission
limits and control measures provide for timely attainment of the
primary SO2 NAAQS as expeditiously as practicable, but by no
later than the attainment date for the affected area. In all cases, the
emission limits and control measures must be accompanied by appropriate
methods and conditions to determine compliance with the respective
emission limits and control measures and must be quantifiable (i.e., a
specific amount of emission reduction can be ascribed to the measures),
fully enforceable (specifying clear, unambiguous and measurable
requirements for which compliance can be practicably determined),
replicable (the procedures for determining compliance are sufficiently
specific and non-subjective so that two independent entities applying
the procedures would obtain the same result), and accountable (source
specific limits must be permanent and must reflect the assumptions used
in the SIP demonstrations).
EPA's 2014 SO2 guidance recommends that emission limits
be expressed as short-term average limits (e.g., addressing emissions
averaged over one or three hours), but also describes an option to
utilize emission limits with longer averaging times of up to 30 days so
long as the state meets various suggested criteria. See 2014
SO2 guidance, pp. 22 to 39. Should states and sources
utilize longer averaging times, the guidance recommends that the longer
term average limit be set at an adjusted level that reflects a
stringency comparable to the 1-hour average limit that the plan
otherwise would have set at the critical emission value (CEV) shown to
provide for attainment.
The 2014 SO2 guidance provides an extensive discussion
of EPA's rationale for concluding that appropriately set, comparably
stringent limitations based on averaging times as long as 30 days can
be found to provide for attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. In
evaluating this option, EPA considered the nature of the standard,
conducted detailed analyses of the impact of use of 30-day average
limits on the prospects for attaining the standard, and carefully
reviewed how best to achieve an appropriate balance among the various
factors that warrant consideration in judging whether a state's plan
provides for attainment. Id. at pp. 22 to 39. See also id. at
appendices B, C, and D.
EPA considered that the 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS, as
specified in 40 CFR 50.17(b), is met at an ambient air quality
monitoring site when the 3-year average of the annual 99th percentile
of daily maximum 1-hour average concentrations is less than or equal to
75 ppb. In a year with 365 days of valid monitoring data, the 99th
percentile would be the fourth highest daily maximum 1-hour value. The
2010 SO2 NAAQS, including this form of determining
compliance with the standard, was upheld by the U.S. Court of Appeals
for the District of Columbia Circuit in Nat'l Envt'l Dev. Ass'n's Clean
Air Project v. EPA, 686 F.3d 803 (D.C. Cir. 2012). Because the standard
has this form, a single hourly exceedance of the 75 ppb NAAQS level
does not create a violation of the standard. Therefore, an emission
limit which allows some operational flexibility or emission variability
may still be protective of the standard.
At issue is whether a source operating in compliance with a
properly set longer term average could cause exceedances of the NAAQS
level, and if so, what are the resulting frequency and magnitude of
such exceedances. Specifically, EPA must determine with reasonable
confidence whether a properly set longer term average limit will
provide that the 3-year average of the annual fourth highest daily
maximum 1-hour value will be at or below 75 ppb. A synopsis of EPA's
review of how to judge whether such plans provide for attainment in
light of the NAAQS' form, based on modeling of projected allowable
emissions for determining attainment at monitoring sites, is given
below.
For SO2 plans based on 1-hour emission limits, the
standard approach is to conduct modeling using fixed emission rates.
The maximum emission rate that would be modeled to result in attainment
(i.e., in an ``average year'' \3\ shows three, not four days with
maximum hourly levels exceeding 75 ppb) is labeled the ``critical
emission value'' or ``CEV.'' The modeling process for identifying this
CEV inherently considers the numerous variables that affect ambient
concentrations of SO2, such as meteorological data,
background concentrations, and topography. In the standard approach,
the state would then provide for attainment by setting a continuously
applicable 1-hour emission limit at this CEV.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ An ``average year'' is used to mean a year with average air
quality. While 40 CFR 50 appendix T provides for averaging three
years of 99th percentile daily maximum hourly values (e.g., the
fourth highest maximum daily hourly concentration in a year with 365
days with valid data), this discussion and an example below uses a
single ``average year'' in order to simplify the illustration of
relevant principles.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA recognizes that some sources have highly variable emissions,
for example due to variations in fuel sulfur content and operating
rate, that can make it extremely difficult, even with a well-designed
control strategy, to ensure in practice that emissions for any given
hour do not exceed the CEV. EPA also acknowledges the concern that
longer term emission limits can allow short periods with emissions
above the CEV, which, if coincident with meteorological conditions
conducive to high SO2 concentrations, could in turn create
the possibility of a NAAQS
[[Page 60936]]
exceedance occurring on a day when an exceedance would not have
occurred if emissions were continuously controlled at the level
corresponding to the CEV. However, for several reasons, EPA believes
that the approach recommended in its guidance document suitably
addresses this concern. First, from a practical perspective, EPA
expects the actual emission profile of a source subject to an
appropriately set longer term average limit to be similar to the
emission profile of a source subject to an analogous 1-hour average
limit. EPA expects this similarity because it has recommended that the
longer term average limit be set at a level that is comparably
stringent to the otherwise applicable 1-hour limit (reflecting a
downward adjustment from the CEV) and that takes the source's emissions
profile into account. As a result, EPA expects either form of emission
limit to yield comparable air quality.
Second, from a more theoretical perspective, EPA has compared the
likely air quality with a source having maximum allowable emissions
under an appropriately set longer term limit, as compared to the likely
air quality with the source having maximum allowable emissions under
the comparable 1-hour limit. In this comparison, in the 1-hour average
limit scenario, the source is presumed at all times to emit at the CEV
level, and in the longer term average limit scenario, the source is
presumed occasionally to emit more than the CEV level but on average,
and presumably at most times, to emit well below the CEV. In an
``average year,'' compliance with the 1-hour limit is expected to
result in three exceedance days (i.e., three days with maximum hourly
values above 75 ppb) and a fourth day with a maximum hourly value at 75
ppb. By comparison, with the source complying with a longer term limit,
it is possible that additional hourly exceedances would occur that
would not occur in the 1-hour limit scenario (if emissions exceed the
CEV at times when meteorology is conducive to poor air quality).
However, this comparison must also factor in the likelihood that hourly
exceedances that would be expected in the 1-hour limit scenario would
not occur in the longer term limit scenario. This result arises because
the longer term limit requires lower emissions most of the time
(because the limit is set well below the CEV), so a source complying
with an appropriately set longer term limit is likely to have lower
emissions at critical times than would be the case if the source were
emitting as allowed with a 1-hour limit.
As a hypothetical example to illustrate these points, suppose a
source that always emits 1,000 pounds of SO2 per hour (lb/
hr), which results in air quality at the level of the NAAQS (i.e.,
results in a design value of 75 ppb). Suppose further that in an
``average year,'' these emissions cause the 5 highest daily maximum 1-
hour average concentrations to be 100 ppb, 90 ppb, 80 ppb, 75 ppb, and
70 ppb. Then suppose that the source becomes subject to a 30-day
average emission limit of 700 lb/hr. It is theoretically possible for a
source meeting this limit to have emissions that occasionally exceed
1,000 lb/hr, but with a typical emissions profile emissions would much
more commonly be between 600 and 800 lb/hr. In this simplified example,
assume a zero background concentration, which allows one to assume a
linear relationship between emissions and air quality. (A nonzero
background concentration would make the mathematics more difficult but
would give similar results.) Air quality will depend on what emissions
happen on what critical hours, but suppose that emissions at the
relevant times on these 5 days are 800 pounds/hour, 1,100 lb/hr, 500
lb/hr, 900 lb/hr, and 1,200 lb/hr, respectively. (This is a
conservative example because the average of these emissions, 900 lb/hr,
is well over the 30-day average emission limit.) These emissions would
result in daily maximum 1-hour average concentrations of 80 ppb, 99
ppb, 40 ppb, 67.5 ppb, and 84 ppb. In this example, the fifth day would
have an exceedance of the NAAQS level that would not otherwise have
occurred, but the third day would not have an exceedance that otherwise
would have occurred, and the fourth day would have been below, rather
than at, 75 ppb. In this example, the fourth highest maximum daily
concentration under the 30-day average would be 67.5 ppb.
This simplified example illustrates the findings of a more
complicated statistical analysis that EPA conducted using a range of
scenarios using actual plant data. As described in appendix B of EPA's
April 2014 SO2 guidance, EPA found that the requirement for
lower average emissions is highly likely to yield better air quality
than is required with a comparably stringent 1-hour limit. Based on
analyses described in appendix B of its April 2014 SO2
guidance, EPA expects that an emission profile with maximum allowable
emissions under an appropriately set comparably stringent 30-day
average limit is likely to have the net effect of having a lower number
of NAAQS exceedances and better air quality than an emission profile
with maximum allowable emissions under a 1-hour emission limit at the
CEV. This result provides a compelling policy rationale for allowing
the use of a longer averaging period in appropriate circumstances where
the facts indicate that a result of this type might occur.\4\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ See also work done to supplement the work described in
appendix B. This supplemental work, done to address a comment on
rulemaking for the Southwest Indiana SO2 nonattainment
area objecting that the appendix B analysis is not comparable to an
assessment of air quality with a 1-hour emission limit, provides
further evidence that longer term limits that are appropriately
determined can be expected to achieve comparable air quality as
comparably stringent 1-hour limits. Documentation of this
supplemental work is available in the docket for the Southwest
Indiana rulemaking, at https://www.regulations.gov/document?D=EPA-R05-OAR-2015-0700-0023, as discussed in the associated rulemaking at
85 FR 49969-49971 (August 17, 2020).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The question then becomes whether this approach--which is likely to
produce no more overall NAAQS exceedances even though it may produce
some unexpected exceedances above the CEV--meets the requirements in
sections 110(a)(1), 172(c)(1), and 172(c)(6) for emission limitations
in state implementation plans to ``provide for attainment'' of the
NAAQS. For SO2, as for other pollutants, it is generally
impossible to design a nonattainment plan in the present that will
guarantee that attainment will occur in the future. A variety of
factors can cause a well-designed plan to fail and unexpectedly not
result in attainment, for example if meteorological conditions occur
that are more conducive to poor air quality than was anticipated in the
plan. Therefore, in determining whether a plan meets the requirement to
provide for attainment, EPA's task is commonly to judge not whether the
plan provides absolute certainty that attainment will in fact occur,
but rather whether the plan provides an adequate level of confidence of
prospective NAAQS attainment.
From this perspective, in evaluating use of a 30-day average limit,
EPA must weigh the likely net effect on air quality. Such an evaluation
must consider the risk that occasions with meteorological conditions
conducive to high concentrations will have elevated emissions leading
to exceedances of the NAAQS level that would not otherwise have
occurred, and must also weigh the likelihood that the requirement for
lower emissions on average will result in days not having exceedances
that would have been expected with emissions at the CEV. Additional
policy considerations, such as in this case the desirability of
accommodating real
[[Page 60937]]
world emissions variability without significant risk of NAAQS
violations, are also appropriate factors for EPA to weigh in judging
whether a plan provides a reasonable degree of confidence that the plan
will lead to attainment. Based on these considerations, especially
given the high likelihood that a continuously enforceable limit
averaged over as long as 30 days, determined in accordance with EPA's
guidance, will result in attainment, EPA believes as a general matter
that such limits, if appropriately determined, can reasonably be
considered to provide for attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS.
The 2014 SO2 guidance offers specific recommendations
for determining an appropriate longer term average limit. The
recommended method starts with determination of the 1-hour emission
limit that would provide for attainment (i.e., the CEV), and applies an
adjustment factor to determine the (lower) level of the longer term
average emission limit that would be estimated to have a stringency
comparable to the otherwise necessary 1-hour emission limit. This
method uses a database of continuous emission data reflecting the type
of control that the source will be using to comply with the SIP
emission limits, which (if compliance requires new controls) may
require use of an emission database from another source. The
recommended method involves using these data to compute a complete set
of emission averages, computed according to the averaging time and
averaging procedures of the prospective emission limitation. In this
recommended method, the ratio of the 99th percentile among these longer
term averages to the 99th percentile of the 1-hour values represents an
adjustment factor that may be multiplied by the candidate 1-hour
emission limit to determine a longer term average emission limit that
may be considered comparably stringent.\5\ The guidance also addresses
a variety of related topics, such as the potential utility of setting
supplemental emission limits, such as mass-based limits, to reduce the
likelihood and/or magnitude of elevated emission levels that might
occur under the longer term emission rate limit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ For example, if the CEV is 1,000 pounds of SO2
per hour, and a suitable adjustment factor is determined to be 70
percent, the recommended longer term average limit would be 700 lb/
hr.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA anticipates that most modeling used to develop longer term
average emission limits and to prepare full attainment demonstrations
will be performed using one of EPA's preferred air quality models.
Preferred air quality models for use in regulatory applications are
described in appendix A of EPA's Guideline on Air Quality Models (40
CFR part 51, appendix W).\6\ In 2005, EPA promulgated AERMOD as the
Agency's preferred near-field dispersion modeling for a wide range of
regulatory applications addressing stationary sources (for example in
estimating SO2 concentrations) in all types of terrain based
on extensive developmental and performance evaluation. Supplemental
guidance on modeling for purposes of demonstrating attainment of the
SO2 standard is provided in appendix A to the 2014
SO2 nonattainment area SIP guidance document referenced
above. Appendix A provides extensive guidance on the modeling domain,
the source inputs, assorted types of meteorological data, and
background concentrations. Consistency with the recommendations in this
guidance is generally necessary for the attainment demonstration to
offer adequately reliable assurance that the plan provides for
attainment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ EPA published revisions to the Guideline on Air Quality
Models on January 17, 2017.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As stated previously, attainment demonstrations for the 2010 1-hour
primary SO2 NAAQS must demonstrate future attainment and
maintenance of the NAAQS in the entire area designated as nonattainment
(i.e., not just at the violating monitor) by using air quality
dispersion modeling (see appendix W to 40 CFR part 51) to show that the
mix of sources and enforceable control measures and emission rates in
an identified area will not lead to a violation of the SO2
NAAQS. For a short-term (i.e., 1-hour) standard, EPA believes that
dispersion modeling, using allowable emissions and addressing
stationary sources in the affected area (and in some cases those
sources located outside the nonattainment area which may affect
attainment in the area) is technically appropriate, efficient and
effective in demonstrating attainment in nonattainment areas because it
takes into consideration combinations of meteorological and emission
source operating conditions that may contribute to peak ground-level
concentrations of SO2.
The meteorological data used in the analysis should generally be
processed with the most recent version of AERMET. Estimated
concentrations should include ambient background concentrations, should
follow the form of the standard, and should be calculated as described
in section 2.6.1.2 of the August 23, 2010 clarification memo on
``Applicability of appendix W Modeling Guidance for the 1-hr
SO2 National Ambient Air Quality Standard'' (EPA, 2010).
IV. Review of Modeled Attainment Plan
As part of its SIP development process, Ohio used EPA's regulatory
dispersion model, AERMOD, to help determine the SO2 emission
limit revisions that would be needed to bring the Muskingum River area
into attainment of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Ohio evaluated the
two highest-emitting facilities in the Muskingum River area--the
Muskingum River Power Plant and the Globe Metallurgical, Inc. facility
(Globe). According to Ohio's submittal, 99 percent of the Muskingum
River area's 2011 SO2 emissions were attributable to the
Muskingum River Power Plant, with the Globe facility accounting for
1,203 tons of SO2, which comprised the remaining 1 percent
that year. On May 31, 2015, all coal fired boilers at the Muskingum
River Power Plant were permanently shut down. Subsequently, the ambient
monitor which had been showing violations of the NAAQS no longer
recorded violations. Nevertheless, for purposes of assuring attainment
and maintenance of the NAAQS, Ohio determined that, in addition to the
permanent retirement of the Muskingum River Power Plant, a reduction in
allowable emissions at the remaining source, the Globe facility, was
warranted. Ohio performed air quality modeling and analysis and issued
Director's Final Findings and Orders (DFFOs) to the Globe facility
establishing 24-hour average SO2 emission limits at the
facility. Ohio submitted the DFFOs to EPA as a supplement its original
SIP submission. These DFFOs were issued on June 23, 2020, and have a
compliance deadline of September 15, 2020.
The following paragraphs evaluate various features of the most
recent modeling analysis that Ohio performed for its attainment
demonstration, as supplemented by the DFFOs.
A. Model Selection and General Model Inputs
For the Muskingum River attainment demonstration, Ohio used the
AERMOD model, version 19191. AERMOD is EPA's preferred model for this
type of application and version 19191 is the current version. The
AERMOD model was run using the regulatory default mode.
AERMOD requires land use to be characterized to determine how
pollutants are dispersed in the atmosphere. The state used urban
dispersion coefficients to represent the proposed heat island generated
by the facility operations. Beyond the facility
[[Page 60938]]
industrial region, the area is best classified as rural.
EPA's Guideline on Air Quality Models (40 CFR part 51 appendix W)
acknowledges that larger industrial facilities can impact turbulence
and dispersion in the vicinity of the facility, similar to overnight
impacts on turbulence in cities.
The Globe facility analysis used two approaches to examine and
justify whether the heat released from the facility was significant
enough to influence dispersion. They first used satellite thermal
images to estimate the urban-rural temperature difference. Twelve
images from the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection
radiometer satellite system were identified, with 8 images without
cloud interference, to estimate the difference in temperature between
warm facility areas and cooler rural areas. The average difference
between the industrial area temperatures and the rural temperatures was
8.7 degrees Celsius.
The second analysis used formulas from the AERMOD Formulation
Document to relate heat flux to temperature differences between urban
and rural areas. Another formula relates the temperature difference to
population. The temperature difference using the Formulation Document
equation results in a value of 8.5 degrees Celsius. This compares well
with the 8.7 degree value determined from thermal satellite images.
Ultimately the calculated heat release and temperature difference
information can be used to calculate an estimated population. AERMOD
uses a population value to represent the strength of the urban impact.
The population used in the Globe analysis is 108,000, which reflects a
relatively modest industrial heat island effect.
The state used a set of nested grids of receptors centered on the
Globe facility. The analysis included a total of 5,049 receptors.
Receptors were placed every 25 meters (m) along the ambient air
boundary out to 350 m; 50 m out to 1 km; 100 m spacing out to 2 km, and
200 m spacing out to 5 km. The facility is in the process of purchasing
property to the north. This property will be non-ambient air and does
not have receptors in the current modeling. A fence runs around the
entire Globe facility with adjacent property protected through
surveillance and patrols. EPA finds that Ohio's submitted modeling
results, based on modeling without receptors on fenced plant property
and surveilled and patrolled property currently under purchase, are
adequate to demonstrate that no such violations of the 1-hour
SO2 NAAQS are occurring.
Ohio used the AERMAP terrain preprocessor, version 18081, with USGS
Digital Elevation Data to include terrain heights at the receptor
locations. The Globe facility is in the Muskingum River valley. Terrain
rises about 50-60 m within a kilometer to the east and north of the
facility. Similar terrain increases also occur about 2-3 km in the
westerly and southern directions. EPA finds the model selection and
these modeling options appropriate.
B. Meteorological Data
Ohio used five years (2014-2018) of National Weather Service (NWS)
meteorological data from the Parkersburg, West Virginia Airport
(Station 03804) with upper air data from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
(Station 94823). One-minute wind data was processed using AERMINUTE
version 15272 with a 0.5 m/s minimum wind speed threshold option.
Surface parameters of the Bowen ratios (a measure of surface moisture)
were developed using monthly precipitation data compared to
climatological averages. The Parkersburg NWS station is at the Regional
Airport located about 10 km northeast of Parkersburg, and about 35 km
southeast of the Globe facility. The station is up out of the Ohio
River valley on the elevated terrain. The Pittsburgh upper air station
is at the International Airport and is roughly 140 km from the Globe
facility. The prevailing winds in southeast Ohio are from the south and
west. The Parkersburg NWS wind roses illustrate a predominantly
southwesterly flow. Both the surface and upper air station are
considered reasonably representative of surface and upper air
meteorological conditions, respectively, impacting the area around the
Globe facility. EPA finds that the meteorological data and the
procedure for determining surface characteristics are acceptable.
C. Modeled Emissions Data
The Globe facility consists of two electric arc furnace shops. The
main sources of SO2 emissions are two baghouses, which
collect emissions at the two shops from the electric arc furnaces and
ancillary equipment, respectively. Emissions from each baghouse exit
through a roof monitor. The Globe facility modeled emissions from the
roof monitors using point source release characteristics that allowed
for capturing building downwash impacts while also preserving the total
buoyancy of the emission releases. Neither of these features would have
been represented had the sources been modeled as volume sources. Volume
source characterization does not include plume buoyancy or building
downwash impacts. The baghouse stack characterizations include a stack
height equal to the height of the roof monitor. The exit velocities
were calculated to match the actual flow rates from each baghouse roof
monitor. Additionally, one of the baghouses (Baghouse 1) has a roof
monitor that releases emissions horizontally rather than vertically.
Consequently, the POINTHOR AERMOD option was used for this source to
more accurately characterize its release.
Fugitive emissions released from the roof of the furnace shops were
modeled using volume source parameters. A series of seven alternate
volume sources were placed at the height of the roof monitor at furnace
shop 1, and a series of 4 alternate volume sources were placed at the
height of furnace shop 2. All were aligned evenly along monitor
openings. Volume source model inputs were developed based on
recommendations in the AERMOD User's Guide, Table 3-2.
Ohio modeled 26 different scenarios reflecting 26 different
combinations of emissions from the two baghouses. Each of the 26
scenarios was specifically modeled for attainment of the 1-hr
SO2 NAAQS. Each of the 26 different scenarios also included
an assumption that 2 percent of the total emissions were being released
as fugitive emissions from the furnace shop. The 2 percent fugitive
value was based on a capture efficiency analysis document prepared for
the Globe facility and included in Ohio's submittal.
Ohio EPA's attainment demonstration only modeled emission units
associated with the Globe facility. An examination of National
Emissions Inventory data shows there are no other SO2
sources of significance in the area near the Globe facility,
specifically that no other sources within 25 km emit over 5 tons per
year (tpy).
D. Emission Limits
An important prerequisite for approval of a nonattainment plan is
that the emission limits that provide for attainment be quantifiable,
fully enforceable, replicable, and accountable. See General Preamble at
13567-68. Ohio issued DFFOs to Globe on June 23, 2020, which set forth
new emission limits for the facility on the basis of a matrix of CEVs
for the two baghouses, where each combination was modeled to
demonstrate attainment and maintenance of the standard. As part of this
proposed approval of Ohio's
[[Page 60939]]
supplemented attainment plan for this area, EPA is proposing to approve
Ohio's June 23, 2020 DFFOs for the Globe facility into the SIP, which
include these new CEV combinations as emission limits. See Table 1.
Table 1
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Calendar day (24-hour)
emission limits
SO2 emission limit sets -------------------------------
BH1 (lbs/hr) BH2 (lbs/hr)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1....................................... 195.3 0.0
2....................................... 190.6 55.8
3....................................... 186.0 74.4
4....................................... 181.3 102.3
5....................................... 176.7 116.2
6....................................... 172.0 130.2
7....................................... 167.4 144.1
8....................................... 162.7 158.1
9....................................... 158.1 167.4
10...................................... 153.4 176.7
11...................................... 148.8 186.0
12...................................... 144.1 190.6
13...................................... 139.5 195.3
14...................................... 134.8 199.9
15...................................... 130.2 204.6
16...................................... 125.5 213.9
17...................................... 120.9 218.5
18...................................... 116.2 223.2
19...................................... 111.6 223.2
20...................................... 106.9 227.8
21...................................... 88.3 232.5
22...................................... 74.4 237.1
23...................................... 60.4 241.8
24...................................... 41.8 246.4
25...................................... 27.9 251.1
26...................................... 0.0 260.4
------------------------------------------------------------------------
As described in the DFFOs, compliance with the emission limit sets
is determined through mass balance calculations, as implemented through
a compliance assurance plan (CAP). Compliance with the emission limits
will also be determined through periodic compliance performance
testing.
Ohio EPA stated in its June 2020 attainment plan supplement that it
plans to adopt and submit a state rule that incorporates the emission
limits for the Globe facility, and associated requirements, into its
regulations (Ohio Administrative Code Chapter 3745-18). Ohio believes
that its DFFOs provide enforceable limits and specification of the
procedures that will be used to determine compliance with these limits
such that the DFFOs provide sufficient enforceable requirements for EPA
to rely on these DFFOs as enforceable measures that provide for
attainment, if incorporated as permanent measures into the SIP. Any
future submittal of rules to replace the DFFOs in the SIP will be
addressed in separate future rulemaking, subject to the requirements of
CAA section 110(l).
Because the limits set forth in the DFFOs are expressed as 24-hour
average limits, part of the review of Ohio's nonattainment plan must
address the use of these limits, both with respect to the general
suitability of using such limits for this purpose and with respect to
whether the particular limits included in the plan have been suitably
demonstrated to provide for attainment. The first subsection that
follows addresses the overall enforceability of the emission limits in
Ohio's plan, and the second subsection that follows addresses the 24-
hour average limits.
The DFFOs also require that validation testing be performed to
verify the accuracy of the mass balance calculations. In addition, a
Capture Evaluation conducted by a third party is required to be
performed during the validation testing. This Capture Evaluation will
include observations of emissions capture during the validation testing
period, an evaluation of emissions capture performance, and, if
appropriate, recommendations for measures to improve capture, as well
as operational parameter(s) and ranges that could serve as an indicator
of ongoing performance of the capture system.
1. Enforceability
Ohio's supplemented nonattainment plan for the Muskingum River area
relies on the permanence of the Muskingum River Power Plant retirement
and on revised emission limits for the Globe facility as discussed
above (in section D. Emission Limits). As of April 2015, the entire
Muskingum River Power Plant was shut down and all coal fired boilers
were permanently retired. This facility is no longer authorized to
operate its coal-fired boilers, and cannot reinstate them without
obtaining a new permit under Ohio's New Source Review program.
Therefore, the reductions in SO2 emissions from the
Muskingum River Power Plant retirement can be considered permanent,
enforceable reductions.
Ohio's June 2020 DFFOs issued to Globe, in addition to establishing
new emission limits, also provide specific measures and requirements
that add stringency to the required emission control requirements.
Specifically, the DFFOs require that Globe conduct validation testing
and perform a Capture Evaluation at the facility's two baghouses to
validate the mass balance calculation, and that Globe submit a CAP to
be approved by Ohio EPA in consultation with EPA. The DFFOs require
that the Capture Evaluation be performed by a third party in a manner
designed to identify improvements and other measures, if any, that may
aid in the capture of SO2 emissions, and operational
parameters that could serve as a reasonable indicator of ongoing
performance of the capture systems. The CAP will include specific
monitoring data and techniques used to perform the mass balance
calculations, associated recordkeeping and reporting to demonstrate
compliance with the emission limits, parameters to be monitored to
ensure adequate performance of the capture system, and reporting from
the Capture Evaluation.
To provide an additional level of assurance that air quality
standards are being met in the area, Ohio's new DFFOs require Globe to
install an ambient SO2 monitor. This monitor will be located
across the Muskingum River in the vicinity of the Globe facility near
an expected area of maximum impact as approved by Ohio EPA.
2. Longer Term Average Limits
Ohio's SIP submittal includes emission limits for the Globe
facility which require compliance based on 24-hour average emission
rates. See Table 1. Ohio's primary method for determining compliance is
a mass balance method, in which the emissions are assessed by
determining the sulfur content of the raw materials, determining the
sulfur content of the product and the process by-products, and assuming
that the difference between these quantities of sulfur is all converted
to SO2 and emitted to the atmosphere. Ohio adopted a 24-hour
limit to provide a more practical frequency of conducting this
compliance determination.
In accordance with EPA's recommendations, Ohio adopted its limits
at levels that were adjusted to account for the effect on stringency of
adopting the limits on a 24-hour average basis. The Globe facility does
not have the continuous emissions monitoring system (CEMS) data
necessary to determine an appropriate site-specific adjustment factor.
Therefore, Ohio applied a national average adjustment factor from
appendix D of EPA's 2014 guidance. Specifically, Ohio applied an
adjustment factor of 0.93, appropriate for establishment of 24-hour
average SO2 limits for sources without SO2
emissions control equipment. Since EPA anticipates that the Globe
facility will meet its limits through careful management of the sulfur
content of its feed materials, EPA considers this selection of an
adjustment factor to be acceptable.
Ohio calculated the Globe facility's emission limits in accordance
with EPA's recommended method. See
[[Page 60940]]
section III. Ohio used dispersion modeling to determine 26 combinations
of 1-hour CEVs for each unit that would provide for attainment of the
NAAQS. Ohio then applied the above adjustment factor to determine, for
each combination, the level of the longer term average emission limit
for each unit that would be estimated to have a stringency comparable
to the critical 1-hour emission values for each combination. EPA finds
this acceptable.
E. Background Concentrations
The modeled attainment demonstration for a nonattainment area
specifically includes the maximum allowable emissions and the
individual dispersion characteristics of the most significant emission
source in the area. To ensure that the demonstration also represents
the cumulative impacts of additional sources which are individually too
small or too distant to be expected to show a significant concentration
gradient within the modeling domain, a background concentration is
added to the modeled results. Data from a nearby air quality monitor
can be used to determine a background value which approximates the
diffuse impacts of these sources within the modeling domain. For the
Globe emissions assessment, Ohio used background contributions on a
season/hour-of-day basis using values from the Hackney monitor, located
approximately 5.5 km to the north of the Globe facility. In order to
avoid double counting of impacts from Globe, hourly values in a 90
degree sector representing winds from the south were removed from the
monitoring data and replaced with the average of those hourly values
prior to determining season/hour-of-day values. Values ranged from 6.32
micrograms per cubic meter ([micro]g/m\3\) to 13.09 [micro]g/m\3\. EPA
finds the background values used in the Globe assessment to be
acceptable.
F. Summary of Results
Ohio's attainment modeling analyses resulted in a predicted 1-hour
design value of 196.0 [micro]g/m\3\, or 74.8 ppb, which is below the
SO2 NAAQS of 75 ppb/196.4 [micro]g/m\3\. This modeled value,
which includes the background concentration, occurred at the northern
boundary of the Globe facility, less than 200 meters from the emission
units.
EPA policy also requires that one facility must not cause or
contribute to exceedances of the NAAQS on another facility's property.
Ohio's modeling only excludes receptors from the Globe facility.
Consequently, EPA agrees that the modeling shows that no facility is
causing or contributing to violations within another facility's
property.
The emission releases from the Globe facility are difficult to
characterize. Ohio considered various options for characterizing the
release of fugitive emissions from the baghouses and the furnace shops
before concluding that the characterizations described above were
warranted. While no direct means of assessing the efficiency at
capturing the emissions of the furnace are available, the requirements
of the DFFOs, particularly the requirement to implement recommendations
of the Capture Evaluation, help make the plan's estimate of 98 percent
capture a reasonable estimate. Therefore, despite the uncertainties
inherent in modeling this source, EPA finds that Ohio has submitted an
appropriate analysis of the impact of this source. In addition, EPA
finds that the ambient SO2 monitoring that Globe and Ohio
are undertaking will provide a further assessment of the reliability of
this modeling and thereby will provide further assurance that air
quality in this area is attaining the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS.
Based on its review of Ohio's analysis, EPA finds that the emission
limits for the Globe facility set forth in the DFFOs, in combination
with other measures identified in the state's plan, will provide for
attainment and maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS, and
proposes to approve the DFFOs into the SIP.
V. Review of Other Plan Requirements
A. Emissions Inventory
The emissions inventory and source emission rate data for an area
serve as the foundation for air quality modeling and other analyses
that enable states to: (1) Estimate the degree to which different
sources within a nonattainment area contribute to violations within the
affected area; and (2) assess the expected improvement in air quality
within the nonattainment area due to the adoption and implementation of
control measures. As noted above, the state must develop and submit to
EPA a comprehensive, accurate and current inventory of actual emissions
from all sources of SO2 emissions in each nonattainment
area, as well as any sources located outside the nonattainment area
which may affect attainment in the area. See CAA section 172(c)(3).
Ohio prepared an emissions inventory \7\ using 2011 as the base
year and 2018, the SO2 NAAQS attainment year, as the future
year. The inventories were prepared for six categories: Electrical
generating units (EGU), non-electrical generating units (non-EGU), non-
road mobile sources, on-road mobile sources, area sources, and marine,
air and rail sources. The 2011 base year inventory totaled 105,317.67
tpy for all six categories. Reflecting growth and known, planned, point
source emission reductions, the 2018 future year inventory projection
totaled 1,204.18 tpy. Emissions from the Globe facility were projected
to remain constant between 2011 and 2018. The EGU category of this
emissions inventory only contains the Muskingum River Power Plant's six
emission sources (six coal-fired boilers). The 2018 inventory submitted
by Ohio accounted for the closure of the Muskingum River Power Plant.
As of April 2015, the Muskingum River Power Plant retired its coal-
fired boilers, which resulted in projected 2018 EGU emissions of 0.0
tpy (104,113.16 tpy reduction from 2011), and thus would reduce Ohio's
total six-category 2018 projected year inventory to 1,204.18 tpy.
Ohio's emissions inventory indicates that SO2 emissions were
significantly and permanently reduced in the Muskingum River area of
the SO2 NAAQS attainment year.
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\7\ The Emissions Modeling Clearinghouse (EMCH) provides
emissions model input formatted inventories based on the latest
versions of the NEI databases as well as the projection of these
emissions. For Ohio's inventory, Ohio used 2011 and projected 2018
county level emissions data for area (non-point), on-road, marine/
air/rail (MAR), and non-road sources from the 2011 NEI version 1-
based Emissions Modeling Platform (2011v6) (https://ftp.epa.gov/EmisInventory/2011v6/v1platform/).
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B. RACM/RACT and Emissions Limitations and Control Measures
Section 172(c)(1) of the CAA requires states to adopt and submit
all RACM, including RACT, as needed to attain the standards as
expeditiously as practicable. Section 172(c)(6) requires the SIP to
contain enforceable emission limitations and control measures necessary
to provide for timely attainment of the standard. Ohio EPA's initial
plan for attaining the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS in the Muskingum
River area was based only on emission reductions resulting from the
Muskingum River Power Plant. Following discussions with EPA, Ohio
determined that a combination of the permanent retirement of the
Muskingum River Power Plant and additional emission limitations and
emission reduction strategies implemented at the Globe facility will
result in attainment of the NAAQS. Redevelopment of the Muskingum River
Power Plant site would require new source review analysis and
potentially additional emission controls to maintain SO2
[[Page 60941]]
attainment in the Muskingum River area. Therefore, EPA concludes that
the Muskingum River Power Plant's SO2 emissions are
currently zero and RACT requirements are satisfied at this source.
The initial Globe facility RACM evaluation and subsequent
supplemental RACM evaluation[1] determined that RACM for control of
SO2 emissions from the electric arc furnaces (EAFs) at the
Globe facility is pollution prevention through the use of low sulfur
coal and low sulfur coke. In its evaluation of whether Ohio satisfied
the requirement for RACM, in accordance with EPA guidance, EPA
evaluated whether Ohio had provided for sufficient control to provide
for attainment.
Ohio's plan includes new emission limits at the Globe facility and
requires timely compliance with such limits and other control measures
required by the June 23, 2020 DFFOs. Ohio has determined that these
measures suffice to provide for timely attainment. EPA concurs and
proposes to find that the state has satisfied the requirements in
sections 172(c)(1) and 172(c)(6) to adopt and submit all RACM and
enforceable limitations and control measures as are needed to attain
the standards as expeditiously as practicable.
C. New Source Review (NSR)
Section 172 of the CAA requires the state to have an adequate new
source review program. EPA approved Ohio's nonattainment new source
review rules on January 22, 2003 (68 FR 2909). Ohio's new source review
rules, codified at OAC 3745-31, provide for appropriate new source
review for SO2 sources undergoing construction or major
modification in the Muskingum River area without need for modification
of the approved rules. The latest revisions to OAC Chapter 3745-31 were
approved into Ohio's SIP on February 20, 2013 (78 FR 11748). EPA
concludes that this requirement has been met for this area.
D. RFP
Section 172 of the CAA requires Ohio's Muskingum River
nonattainment SIP to provide for reasonable further progress toward
attainment. For SO2 SIPs, which address a small number of
affected sources, requiring expeditious compliance with attainment
emission limits can address the RFP requirement. EPA concludes that the
state's revised limits and required additional control strategy
measures for the Globe facility and the 2015 retirement of the
Muskingum River Power Plant represent implementation of control
measures as expeditiously as practicable. Accordingly, EPA proposes to
find that Ohio's plan provides for RFP.
E. Contingency Measures
Section 172 of the CAA requires that nonattainment plans include
additional measures which will take effect if an area fails to meet RFP
or fails to attain the standard by the attainment date. As noted above,
EPA guidance describes special features of SO2 planning that
influence the suitability of alternative means of addressing the
requirement in section 172(c)(9) for contingency measures for
SO2. An appropriate means of satisfying this requirement is
for the state to have a comprehensive enforcement program that
identifies sources of violations of the SO2 NAAQS and for
the state to undertake aggressive follow-up for compliance and
enforcement. Ohio's plan provides for satisfying the contingency
measure requirement in this manner. EPA concurs and proposes to approve
Ohio's plan for meeting the contingency measure requirement in this
manner.
VI. EPA's Proposed Action
EPA is proposing to approve Ohio's SIP submission for attaining the
2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS and for meeting other nonattainment
area planning requirements for the Muskingum River SO2
nonattainment area. This SO2 nonattainment plan includes
Ohio's revised emission limits and attainment demonstration for the
Muskingum River nonattainment area as submitted on June 23, 2020, and
addresses the CAA requirements for reasonable further progress, RACM/
RACT, base-year and projection-year emission inventories, and
contingency measures. In conjunction with this proposed plan approval,
EPA is also proposing to approve the DFFOs issued by Ohio to Globe on
June 23, 2020, and submitted to EPA as a supplement to the original SIP
submission.
EPA concludes that Ohio has appropriately demonstrated that the
plan provisions provide for attainment of the 2010 1-hour primary
SO2 NAAQS in the Muskingum River nonattainment area and that
the plan meets the other applicable requirements of section 172 of the
CAA. EPA therefore is proposing to approve Ohio's nonattainment plan
for the Muskingum River nonattainment area.
VII. Incorporation by Reference
In this rule, EPA is proposing to include in a final EPA rule
regulatory text that includes incorporation by reference. In accordance
with requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, EPA is proposing to incorporate by
reference the Ohio Director's Final Findings and Orders for the Globe
facility, issued on June 23, 2020. EPA has made, and will continue to
make, these documents generally available through www.regulations.gov,
and at the EPA Region 5 Office (please contact the person identified in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section of this preamble for more
information).
VIII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the CAA and applicable
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this
action merely approves state law as meeting Federal requirements and
does not impose additional requirements beyond those imposed by state
law. For that reason, this action:
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to review
by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011);
Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82 FR 9339, February 2,
2017) regulatory action because it is not a significant regulatory
action under Executive Order 12866;
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the CAA; and
[[Page 60942]]
Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has
demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian
country, the rule does not have tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: September 24, 2020.
Kurt Thiede,
Regional Administrator, Region 5.
[FR Doc. 2020-21560 Filed 9-28-20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P