Request for Comment on Considerations for Additional Measures of Poverty, 8610-8613 [2020-02858]
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The OMB is particularly interested in
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Authority: 44 U.S.C. 3507(a)(1)(D).
Dated: February 7, 2020.
Frederick Licari,
Departmental Clearance Officer.
[FR Doc. 2020–02961 Filed 2–13–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4510–CR–P
OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND
BUDGET
Request for Comment on
Considerations for Additional
Measures of Poverty
Office of Information and
Regulatory Affairs, Office of
Management and Budget, Executive
Office of the President.
ACTION: Notice of solicitation of
comments.
AGENCY:
Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) requests comment on the
questions posed by the Interagency
Technical Working Group on Evaluating
Alternative Measures of Poverty
(Working Group) to help inform the
Working Group’s recommendations on
SUMMARY:
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producing additional measures of
poverty. The Working Group has
developed a consensus interim report
that details its considerations to date.
The Working Group’s interim report is
summarized in the SUPPLEMENTARY
INFORMATION section below and available
in full on www.regulations.gov. The
interim report outlines the history of
poverty measurement in the U.S.,
describes the Working Group’s
considerations of an extended incomebased poverty measure and a
consumption-based poverty measure,
and identifies other areas worthy of
future research. It also identifies
questions for public comment, toward
the goal of helping to inform the
remaining discussions of the Working
Group, and meet their charge of
identifying whether or not to
recommend to the Chief Statistician of
the United States that one or more new
measures of poverty be developed and
published. The Working Group’s
interim report reflects considerations to
date, but does not reflect
recommendations or decisions. This
interim report and the Working Group’s
questions are being published to solicit
input from the public.
DATES: To ensure consideration of
comments on this Notice, comments
must be provided in writing no later
than 60 days from the publication date
of this notice. Because of delays in the
receipt of regular mail related to
security screening, respondents are
encouraged to send comments
electronically (see ADDRESSES, below).
ADDRESSES: Written comments may be
addressed to: Office of the Chief
Statistician, OMB, email US_Chief_
Statistician@omb.eop.gov, fax number
(202) 395–7245. Comments may be sent
via www.regulations.gov—a Federal EGovernment website that allows the
public to find, review, and submit
comments on documents that agencies
have published in the Federal Register
and that are open for comment. Simply
type ‘‘OMB–2019–0007’’ (in quotes) in
the Comment or Submission search box,
click Go, and follow the instructions for
submitting comments. Comments
received by the date specified above
will be included as part of the official
record.
Comments submitted in response to
this notice may be made available to the
public and are subject to disclosure
under the Freedom of Information Act.
For this reason, please do not include in
your comments information of a
confidential nature, such as sensitive
personal information or proprietary
information. If you send an email
comment, your email address will be
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Federal Register / Vol. 85, No. 31 / Friday, February 14, 2020 / Notices
automatically captured and included as
part of the comment that is placed in the
public docket; however,
www.regulations.gov does include the
option of commenting anonymously.
Please note that responses to this public
comment request containing any routine
notice about the confidentiality of the
communication will be treated as public
comments that may be made available to
the public notwithstanding the
inclusion of the routine notice.
Electronic Availability: Federal
Register notices are available
electronically at
www.federalregister.gov/.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For
information about this request for
comments, contact Kerrie Leslie, OMB,
9215 New Executive Office Building,
725 17th St. NW, Washington, DC
20503, telephone (202) 395–1093.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Under the
Budget and Accounting Procedures Act
of 1950 (31 U.S.C. 1104(d)) and the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44
U.S.C. 3504(e)), OMB is issuing a
request for comment on the questions
posed by the Interagency Technical
Working Group on Evaluating
Alternative Measures of Poverty
(Working Group).
In its role as coordinator of the
Federal statistical system under the
Paperwork Reduction Act, OMB, among
other responsibilities, is required to
ensure the system’s efficiency and
effectiveness. A key method used by
OMB to achieve this responsibility is
the promulgation, maintenance, and
oversight of Government-wide
principles, policies, standards, and
guidance concerning the development,
presentation, and dissemination of
Federal statistical products. OMB’s
Office of the Chief Statistician, within
the Office of Information and Regulatory
Affairs (OIRA), relies on public
comment and subject matter expertise
across the Federal government to
identify areas where existing OMB
policies or guidance may be out of date,
lacking clarity, or insufficient for
efficient coordination of Federal
statistics.
Accordingly, OMB is seeking public
comment on questions (see DESIRED
FOCUS OF COMMENTS, below) posed
by the Working Group to help inform
the Working Group’s recommendations
on producing additional measures of
poverty.
I. Background
In 1964, President Johnson’s ‘‘War on
Poverty’’ increased public interest in
poverty measures in the United States.
That year, the Council of Economic
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Advisers proposed initial poverty
definitions that defined approximately
20 percent of the population as poor and
used an absolute standard for adjusting
thresholds historically.1 In 1965, the
Office of Economic Opportunity
adopted a set of now basic poverty
definitions developed by economist and
statistician Mollie Orshansky, which
were based on the cost of nutritionally
adequate diet and were similar to those
of the Council of Economic Advisers, as
a working definition of poverty for
statistical planning.2 In 1968, the
Census Bureau published its first full
report on the subject of poverty.3 Since
1969, these poverty estimates have been
based on absolute living standards with
adjustments to the poverty thresholds
based on increases in the Consumer
Price Index.4 In 1978, OMB issued
Statistical Policy Directive No. 14
specifying the definition of poverty for
statistical purposes.5 (Issuance of
Statistical Policy Directives is one way
in which OMB coordinates the
decentralized U.S. Federal statistical
system. These Directives are issued
when a system-wide need has been
identified to ensure consistent statistical
standards and guidelines are used
across the decentralized system.) The
official poverty measure (OPM), as
defined in OMB Statistical Policy
Directive No. 14, continues to be
produced and updated every year.
In 1992, the National Academy of
Sciences (NAS) convened a Panel on
Poverty and Family Assistance to
analyze statistical issues in measuring
1 Council of Economic Advisers. 1964. ‘‘The
Problem of Poverty in America.’’ In Economic
Report of the President. Washington: U.S.
Government Printing Office. Available at https://
fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/ERP/
1964/ERP_1964.pdf.
2 U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
2000. ‘‘Reasons for Measuring Poverty in the United
States in the Context of Public Policy—A Historical
Review: 1916–1995. Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Planning and Evaluation. June 1.
Available at https://aspe.hhs.gov/report/reasonsmeasuring-poverty-united-states-context-publicpolicy-historical-review-1916-1995.
3 U.S. Census Bureau. 1968. ‘‘The Extent of
Poverty in the United States: 1959 to 1966.’’ Series
P–60, No. 54. May 31. Available at https://
www2.census.gov/library/publications/1968/
demographics/p60-54.pdf.
4 ‘‘Definition of Poverty for Statistical Purposes.’’
Exhibit L. Circular No. A–46. Available at https://
www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP8600244R000300400009-1.pdf and U.S. Census
Bureau. 2017. ‘‘Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) in Statistical Policy Directive 14 (May
1978).’’ Available at https://www.census.gov/topics/
income-poverty/poverty/about/history-of-thepoverty-measure/omb-stat-policy-14.html.
5 U.S. Census Bureau. 2017. ‘‘Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) in Statistical Policy
Directive 14 (May 1978).’’ Available at https://
www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/
about/history-of-the-poverty-measure/omb-statpolicy-14.html.
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and understanding poverty, particularly
in the context of changes in the U.S.
society, economy, and public policy.
NAS released a report entitled
Measuring Poverty: A New Approach in
1995.
In 2009, OMB’s Chief Statistician
formed an Interagency Technical
Working Group on Developing a
Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM
Development Working Group). The SPM
Development Working Group asked the
Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor
Statistics to develop a Supplemental
Poverty Measure (SPM) that could be
used to improve understanding of the
economic well-being of consumers,
families, and households living in the
U.S., and the impact of federal policies
on poverty statistics. In 2010, the SPM
Development Working Group issued a
series of suggestions that included a
resource measure that accounted for
taxes and some in-kind benefits, with
thresholds based on recent consumption
patterns.
In November 2011, the Census Bureau
released the first SPM report, providing
SPM estimates for 2009 and 2010. At the
same time, BLS released SPM
thresholds for reference consumer units
by household tenure (renters, owners
with mortgages, and owners without
mortgages). From 2011 to 2019, the
Census Bureau has released the SPM
report with estimates on an annual
basis, with the most recent report
(September 2019) containing 2018
estimates. BLS produced the SPM
thresholds during this timeframe. The
SPM does not replace the official
poverty measure, and the SPM is not the
measure used to estimate eligibility for
government programs. Instead, the SPM
is designed as an experimental measure
that defines income thresholds and
resources in a manner consistent with
the 1995 NAS report. This purpose
differs from that of the official poverty
measure, and with differences in both
the resource measure and thresholds,
the two measures are not directly
comparable.
Since the issuance of the first SPM,
OMB convened a separate interagency
technical working group (SPM
Implementation Working Group) to
advise on challenges and opportunities
the Census Bureau and BLS identify
concerning data sources, estimation,
survey production, and processing
activities for development,
implementation, publication, and
improvement of the SPM.
Currently, the SPM Implementation
Working Group is reviewing potential
changes to implement in 2021, the 10year anniversary of the first SPM report.
Potential changes to the SPM would be
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presented and discussed at conferences
and expert meetings and posted on the
Census Bureau’s SPM website
(www.census.gov/topics/incomepoverty/supplemental-povertymeasure.html). The SPM
Implementation Working Group plans to
announce any potential changes in Fall
2020 that would be implemented in the
September 2021 SPM report.
As nearly a decade has passed since
the SPM Development Working Group
provided initial observations for the
SPM, it is an opportune time to evaluate
possible additional alternative measures
of poverty distinct from the OPM and
SPM. Recognizing the value of various
poverty and well-being measures for
informing the public and the Federal
government, the Chief Statistician of the
United States chartered the Interagency
Technical Working Group on Evaluating
Alternative Measures of Poverty
(Working Group) in 2019. The Working
Group’s purpose is to evaluate possible
alternative measures of poverty, how
such measures might be constructed,
and whether to publish those measures
along with the measures currently being
published. The Working Group includes
career representatives from 11 Federal
agencies and is chaired by OMB’s Office
of the Chief Statistician. Additional
poverty measures recommended by the
Working Group and ultimately
produced by any government agency
will not be intended to replace the OPM
or the SPM. Additional poverty
measures would not be intended for use
to estimate eligibility for government
programs. The OPM and the SPM would
continue to be produced and updated
every year.
The Working Group developed a
consensus interim report detailing its
considerations to date. The interim
report is available on
www.regulations.gov with docket
number ‘‘OMB–2019–0007’’. A final
report is planned to be delivered to the
Chief Statistician of the U.S. by the end
of Spring 2020 that details the Working
Group’s set of final recommendations
with regard to producing and publishing
alternative measure(s).
II. Considerations of the Working
Group
In its interim report, the Working
Group laid out considerations to date to
evaluate, and potentially produce,
additional alternative measures of
poverty. OMB invites the public to read
and offer comments on the approach
described in the Working Group’s
interim report, which can be found at
www.regulations.gov. OMB is especially
interested in receiving comments on the
set of questions posed by the Working
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Group outlined in the DESIRED FOCUS
OF COMMENTS section below. A
summary of the interim report follows:
Since the establishment of the U.S.
official poverty measure (OPM) more
than fifty years ago, there has been
continuing research on poverty
measurement. Alternative estimates of
poverty have been published for more
than three decades by the Census
Bureau, and in 2011 the Census Bureau
in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor
Statistics (BLS) began publishing the
Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM).
Existing and previous measures of
poverty produced by the Federal
government are income based and rely
on surveys to capture the income data.
Guidance issued by the Commission on
Evidence-based Policymaking, National
Academy of Sciences reports, and OMB
have recommended combining
administrative data with survey data to
improve national statistics. In recent
years, evidence has shown that there is
survey misreporting of many income
sources. Recognizing the changing
landscape and that alternative statistics
can provide useful information, the
Chief Statistician of the United States
formed the Interagency Technical
Working Group on Evaluating
Alternative Measures of Poverty
(Working Group) to evaluate possible
alternative measures of poverty, how
such measures might be constructed,
and whether to publish those measures
along with current measures.
To provide context for the Working
Group’s discussions of alternative
measures of poverty, the interim report
discusses the history of poverty
measurement in the U.S., including the
development and implementation of the
OPM and SPM. In addition, the Working
Group identified some of the uses of the
OPM and SPM, as well as noted some
of the known concerns with each of the
measures.
To date, the Working Group has
primarily focused on single-dimensional
poverty measurement. Singledimensional poverty measures have two
key parts: The resource measure (such
as income or consumption) and the
thresholds (the cutoffs to which the
resource measure is compared). The
primary focus of the Working Group’s
discussions have been on resource
measures, leaving discussion of
thresholds for future months.
The Working Group is considering
both extended income-based and
consumption-based resource measures,
as well as identifying other areas worthy
of future research by the Federal
Statistical System. For an extended
income resource measure, the Working
Group is considering expanding beyond
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pre-tax cash income to include some inkind transfers and account for taxes and
tax credits, much like the SPM resource
measure. In addition, the Working
Group is considering whether and how
to incorporate the value of health
insurance benefits and implicit flows
from non-financial assets (e.g., vehicles,
owner occupied housing, other
properties). An extended income
resource measure may also integrate
administrative data with household
survey income information, taking
advantage of recent research on the use
and the increased availability of
potentially more accurate administrative
data. The Working Group is considering
other approaches for adjusting survey
data for misreporting as well.
A consumption-based resource
measure may more directly capture the
resources available to a family if they
record the consumption that was
actually achieved. These measures begin
by summing most categories of
expenditures on goods and services.
Certain categories of expenditures are
often thought of as enhancing future
consumption and are typically
excluded, such as pension contributions
and education expenses. Health
expenditures are less uniformly
excluded, since they have both
substantial investment and immediate
consumption features. A flow of
consumption resources is also typically
attributed to some owned durable
goods, in particular vehicles and owneroccupied homes.
Any final recommendation ultimately
made by the Working Group would also
consider implementation issues with, as
well as other advantages and limitations
of, proposed measures. The Working
Group has discussed many
implementation issues to date,
including the choice of survey data (for
example, choosing between the Current
Population Survey Annual Social and
Economic Supplement or the American
Community Survey) most appropriate
for use in developing the measure,
which would have an effect on the
ability to produce estimates at different
geographic levels, for example. In
addition, the Working Group has
identified some advantages and
limitations of extended income- and
consumption-based resource measures.
For example, for an income-based
resource measure, annual income will
not capture the standard of living of
individuals who draw upon savings or
borrow to fund their consumption.
However, an income-based resource
measure captures a household’s
command over resources, and
household income data are available in
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more datasets than a household’s
expenditures.
While the Working Group has not
discussed thresholds in depth, the
Working Group acknowledges that
poverty thresholds are a key component
of a poverty measure. Individuals with
resources that fall below the poverty
threshold are counted as poor, and
individuals with resources at or above
the poverty threshold are not counted as
poor. The Working Group has identified
several key considerations for setting
poverty thresholds, and plans to discuss
each of those considerations in the
coming months, as well as other
concepts related to thresholds.
Finally, while the Working Group is
focused on the extended income-based
and consumption-based measures, the
Working Group has also identified other
topics worthy of further research by the
Federal Statistical System. These topics
include multi-dimensional poverty
measurement and individual indicators
of well-being, and populations such as
those experiencing homelessness that
are not included in the surveys on
which the Working Group has focused.
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Desired Focus of Comments
OMB is particularly interested in
receiving comments on the questions
posed by the Working Group. To be
most useful to the Working Group in
their ongoing deliberations and
ultimately to OMB in reviewing the
Working Group’s final
recommendations, responders should
read the Working Group’s interim report
before addressing the posed questions.
Responses should be concise, include
citations if summarizing or depending
on published work, and any links to
related research. In addition, responses
should clearly identify which question
is being addressed.
Questions posed below are those the
Working Group deemed most significant
and relevant to the Working Group’s
remaining discussions. The questions
have been sorted into broad categories
for ease of review. In addition, a pointer
to related discussion within the interim
report follows each question. The
Working Group’s interim report titled
‘‘Interim Report of the Interagency
Technical Working Group on
Alternative Poverty Measures’’ is
available as a supplemental document
on www.regulations.gov in docket
number ‘‘OMB–2019–0007’’.
Definitions
1. How should a sharing unit be
defined? A sharing unit is meant to
reflect the set of people sharing
resources in a household. (See
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Adjusting for different sharing unit
sizes.)
Resource Measures
2. What standards should the group
use to determine which resource
measures should be preferred?
Specifically, to what extent should the
group consider the following standards:
(i) Association with other measures of
material hardship, (ii) conceptual
advantages, (iii) simplicity, (iv)
feasibility (including data availability),
(v) reproducibility? (See Advantages/
Disadvantages of Income and
Consumption Resource Measures. See
also Multi-Dimensional Poverty
Measurement and Individual Indicators
of Well-Being.)
3. Should the value of health
insurance be incorporated? And if so,
how? (See Alternative versions of
income measures with different values
of health insurance.)
4. Should the value of education be
incorporated? And if so, how? (See
Treatment of Education.)
For a Potential Income Resource
Measure
5. What income sources should be
included (aside from health insurance,
which is addressed by question 3)? If so,
how? (See Income Measures Using the
CPS ASEC and American Community
Survey.)
6. What expenses, if any, should be
subtracted from income? For example,
how should medical out of pocket
(MOOP) expenditures be treated in a
new measure? Should other expenses
such as childcare and commuting costs
be subtracted? (See Income should be
defined more broadly than pre-tax cash
income currently used for the OPM.)
7. How should the Working Group
address the problem of survey
misreporting of income in household
surveys? (See Correcting Survey Data for
Misreporting and Improving Tax
Estimates.)
For a Potential Consumption Resource
Measure
8. What types of spending should be
included as consumption (aside from
spending on health care or insurance,
which is addressed by question 3)? If so,
how? (See Consumption Measures
Using the Consumer Expenditure
Interview Survey.)
9. How should vehicles and housing
be included? (See Consumption
Measures Using the Consumer
Expenditure Interview Survey.)
10. How should the Working Group
address the problem of survey
misreporting of consumption in
household surveys? Should the group
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8613
consider using only those types of
consumption that are reported with
greater accuracy, while excluding less
accurately measured types of
consumption? What are the tradeoffs in
using only well-measured consumption
versus full consumption? (See
Accounting for Expenditure
Misreporting.)
Thresholds
11. How should the thresholds be set
initially? (See Setting poverty
thresholds in a baseline year.)
12. How should they be updated over
time? (See Adjusting poverty thresholds
over time.)
13. Should thresholds be adjusted for
geographic areas? If so, how? (See
Adjusting poverty thresholds across
geographic areas.)
14. How should a sharing unit’s size
and composition be accounted for? (See
Adjusting for different sharing unit
sizes.)
Thank you for your thoughts on these
and other important questions
associated with the Working Group’s
discussion of Alternative Measures of
Poverty. OMB and the Working Group
look forward to your insights and
feedback.
Paul J. Ray,
Administrator, Office of Information and
Regulatory Affairs.
[FR Doc. 2020–02858 Filed 2–13–20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3110–01–P
NATIONAL AERONAUTICS AND
SPACE ADMINISTRATION
[Notice: (20–013)]
NASA Advisory Council; Human
Explorations and Operations
Committee; Meeting
National Aeronautics and
Space Administration.
ACTION: Notice of meeting.
AGENCY:
In accordance with the
Federal Advisory Committee Act, the
National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) announces a
meeting of the Human Exploration and
Operations Committee of the NASA
Advisory Council (NAC). This
Committee reports to the NAC.
DATES: Tuesday, March 3, 2020, 1:00
p.m.–6:00 p.m.; and Wednesday, March
4, 2020, 8:30 a.m.–4:00 p.m. All times
listed are Eastern Time.
ADDRESSES: NASA Headquarters, Room
8Q40, 300 E Street SW, Washington, DC
20546.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Dr.
Bette Siegel, Human Exploration and
SUMMARY:
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 85, Number 31 (Friday, February 14, 2020)]
[Notices]
[Pages 8610-8613]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2020-02858]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
OFFICE OF MANAGEMENT AND BUDGET
Request for Comment on Considerations for Additional Measures of
Poverty
AGENCY: Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs, Office of
Management and Budget, Executive Office of the President.
ACTION: Notice of solicitation of comments.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Office of Management and Budget (OMB) requests comment on the
questions posed by the Interagency Technical Working Group on
Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty (Working Group) to help
inform the Working Group's recommendations on producing additional
measures of poverty. The Working Group has developed a consensus
interim report that details its considerations to date. The Working
Group's interim report is summarized in the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
section below and available in full on www.regulations.gov. The interim
report outlines the history of poverty measurement in the U.S.,
describes the Working Group's considerations of an extended income-
based poverty measure and a consumption-based poverty measure, and
identifies other areas worthy of future research. It also identifies
questions for public comment, toward the goal of helping to inform the
remaining discussions of the Working Group, and meet their charge of
identifying whether or not to recommend to the Chief Statistician of
the United States that one or more new measures of poverty be developed
and published. The Working Group's interim report reflects
considerations to date, but does not reflect recommendations or
decisions. This interim report and the Working Group's questions are
being published to solicit input from the public.
DATES: To ensure consideration of comments on this Notice, comments
must be provided in writing no later than 60 days from the publication
date of this notice. Because of delays in the receipt of regular mail
related to security screening, respondents are encouraged to send
comments electronically (see ADDRESSES, below).
ADDRESSES: Written comments may be addressed to: Office of the Chief
Statistician, OMB, email [email protected], fax number
(202) 395-7245. Comments may be sent via www.regulations.gov--a Federal
E-Government website that allows the public to find, review, and submit
comments on documents that agencies have published in the Federal
Register and that are open for comment. Simply type ``OMB-2019-0007''
(in quotes) in the Comment or Submission search box, click Go, and
follow the instructions for submitting comments. Comments received by
the date specified above will be included as part of the official
record.
Comments submitted in response to this notice may be made available
to the public and are subject to disclosure under the Freedom of
Information Act. For this reason, please do not include in your
comments information of a confidential nature, such as sensitive
personal information or proprietary information. If you send an email
comment, your email address will be
[[Page 8611]]
automatically captured and included as part of the comment that is
placed in the public docket; however, www.regulations.gov does include
the option of commenting anonymously. Please note that responses to
this public comment request containing any routine notice about the
confidentiality of the communication will be treated as public comments
that may be made available to the public notwithstanding the inclusion
of the routine notice.
Electronic Availability: Federal Register notices are available
electronically at www.federalregister.gov/.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For information about this request for
comments, contact Kerrie Leslie, OMB, 9215 New Executive Office
Building, 725 17th St. NW, Washington, DC 20503, telephone (202) 395-
1093.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Under the Budget and Accounting Procedures
Act of 1950 (31 U.S.C. 1104(d)) and the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
(44 U.S.C. 3504(e)), OMB is issuing a request for comment on the
questions posed by the Interagency Technical Working Group on
Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty (Working Group).
In its role as coordinator of the Federal statistical system under
the Paperwork Reduction Act, OMB, among other responsibilities, is
required to ensure the system's efficiency and effectiveness. A key
method used by OMB to achieve this responsibility is the promulgation,
maintenance, and oversight of Government-wide principles, policies,
standards, and guidance concerning the development, presentation, and
dissemination of Federal statistical products. OMB's Office of the
Chief Statistician, within the Office of Information and Regulatory
Affairs (OIRA), relies on public comment and subject matter expertise
across the Federal government to identify areas where existing OMB
policies or guidance may be out of date, lacking clarity, or
insufficient for efficient coordination of Federal statistics.
Accordingly, OMB is seeking public comment on questions (see
DESIRED FOCUS OF COMMENTS, below) posed by the Working Group to help
inform the Working Group's recommendations on producing additional
measures of poverty.
I. Background
In 1964, President Johnson's ``War on Poverty'' increased public
interest in poverty measures in the United States. That year, the
Council of Economic Advisers proposed initial poverty definitions that
defined approximately 20 percent of the population as poor and used an
absolute standard for adjusting thresholds historically.\1\ In 1965,
the Office of Economic Opportunity adopted a set of now basic poverty
definitions developed by economist and statistician Mollie Orshansky,
which were based on the cost of nutritionally adequate diet and were
similar to those of the Council of Economic Advisers, as a working
definition of poverty for statistical planning.\2\ In 1968, the Census
Bureau published its first full report on the subject of poverty.\3\
Since 1969, these poverty estimates have been based on absolute living
standards with adjustments to the poverty thresholds based on increases
in the Consumer Price Index.\4\ In 1978, OMB issued Statistical Policy
Directive No. 14 specifying the definition of poverty for statistical
purposes.\5\ (Issuance of Statistical Policy Directives is one way in
which OMB coordinates the decentralized U.S. Federal statistical
system. These Directives are issued when a system-wide need has been
identified to ensure consistent statistical standards and guidelines
are used across the decentralized system.) The official poverty measure
(OPM), as defined in OMB Statistical Policy Directive No. 14, continues
to be produced and updated every year.
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\1\ Council of Economic Advisers. 1964. ``The Problem of Poverty
in America.'' In Economic Report of the President. Washington: U.S.
Government Printing Office. Available at https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/files/docs/publications/ERP/1964/ERP_1964.pdf.
\2\ U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. 2000.
``Reasons for Measuring Poverty in the United States in the Context
of Public Policy--A Historical Review: 1916-1995. Office of the
Assistant Secretary for Planning and Evaluation. June 1. Available
at https://aspe.hhs.gov/report/reasons-measuring-poverty-united-states-context-public-policy-historical-review-1916-1995.
\3\ U.S. Census Bureau. 1968. ``The Extent of Poverty in the
United States: 1959 to 1966.'' Series P-60, No. 54. May 31.
Available at https://www2.census.gov/library/publications/1968/demographics/p60-54.pdf.
\4\ ``Definition of Poverty for Statistical Purposes.'' Exhibit
L. Circular No. A-46. Available at https://www.cia.gov/library/readingroom/docs/CIA-RDP86-00244R000300400009-1.pdf and U.S. Census
Bureau. 2017. ``Office of Management and Budget (OMB) in Statistical
Policy Directive 14 (May 1978).'' Available at https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/about/history-of-the-poverty-measure/omb-stat-policy-14.html.
\5\ U.S. Census Bureau. 2017. ``Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) in Statistical Policy Directive 14 (May 1978).'' Available at
https://www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/poverty/about/history-of-the-poverty-measure/omb-stat-policy-14.html.
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In 1992, the National Academy of Sciences (NAS) convened a Panel on
Poverty and Family Assistance to analyze statistical issues in
measuring and understanding poverty, particularly in the context of
changes in the U.S. society, economy, and public policy. NAS released a
report entitled Measuring Poverty: A New Approach in 1995.
In 2009, OMB's Chief Statistician formed an Interagency Technical
Working Group on Developing a Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM
Development Working Group). The SPM Development Working Group asked the
Census Bureau and the Bureau of Labor Statistics to develop a
Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) that could be used to improve
understanding of the economic well-being of consumers, families, and
households living in the U.S., and the impact of federal policies on
poverty statistics. In 2010, the SPM Development Working Group issued a
series of suggestions that included a resource measure that accounted
for taxes and some in-kind benefits, with thresholds based on recent
consumption patterns.
In November 2011, the Census Bureau released the first SPM report,
providing SPM estimates for 2009 and 2010. At the same time, BLS
released SPM thresholds for reference consumer units by household
tenure (renters, owners with mortgages, and owners without mortgages).
From 2011 to 2019, the Census Bureau has released the SPM report with
estimates on an annual basis, with the most recent report (September
2019) containing 2018 estimates. BLS produced the SPM thresholds during
this timeframe. The SPM does not replace the official poverty measure,
and the SPM is not the measure used to estimate eligibility for
government programs. Instead, the SPM is designed as an experimental
measure that defines income thresholds and resources in a manner
consistent with the 1995 NAS report. This purpose differs from that of
the official poverty measure, and with differences in both the resource
measure and thresholds, the two measures are not directly comparable.
Since the issuance of the first SPM, OMB convened a separate
interagency technical working group (SPM Implementation Working Group)
to advise on challenges and opportunities the Census Bureau and BLS
identify concerning data sources, estimation, survey production, and
processing activities for development, implementation, publication, and
improvement of the SPM.
Currently, the SPM Implementation Working Group is reviewing
potential changes to implement in 2021, the 10-year anniversary of the
first SPM report. Potential changes to the SPM would be
[[Page 8612]]
presented and discussed at conferences and expert meetings and posted
on the Census Bureau's SPM website (www.census.gov/topics/income-poverty/supplemental-poverty-measure.html). The SPM Implementation
Working Group plans to announce any potential changes in Fall 2020 that
would be implemented in the September 2021 SPM report.
As nearly a decade has passed since the SPM Development Working
Group provided initial observations for the SPM, it is an opportune
time to evaluate possible additional alternative measures of poverty
distinct from the OPM and SPM. Recognizing the value of various poverty
and well-being measures for informing the public and the Federal
government, the Chief Statistician of the United States chartered the
Interagency Technical Working Group on Evaluating Alternative Measures
of Poverty (Working Group) in 2019. The Working Group's purpose is to
evaluate possible alternative measures of poverty, how such measures
might be constructed, and whether to publish those measures along with
the measures currently being published. The Working Group includes
career representatives from 11 Federal agencies and is chaired by OMB's
Office of the Chief Statistician. Additional poverty measures
recommended by the Working Group and ultimately produced by any
government agency will not be intended to replace the OPM or the SPM.
Additional poverty measures would not be intended for use to estimate
eligibility for government programs. The OPM and the SPM would continue
to be produced and updated every year.
The Working Group developed a consensus interim report detailing
its considerations to date. The interim report is available on
www.regulations.gov with docket number ``OMB-2019-0007''. A final
report is planned to be delivered to the Chief Statistician of the U.S.
by the end of Spring 2020 that details the Working Group's set of final
recommendations with regard to producing and publishing alternative
measure(s).
II. Considerations of the Working Group
In its interim report, the Working Group laid out considerations to
date to evaluate, and potentially produce, additional alternative
measures of poverty. OMB invites the public to read and offer comments
on the approach described in the Working Group's interim report, which
can be found at www.regulations.gov. OMB is especially interested in
receiving comments on the set of questions posed by the Working Group
outlined in the DESIRED FOCUS OF COMMENTS section below. A summary of
the interim report follows:
Since the establishment of the U.S. official poverty measure (OPM)
more than fifty years ago, there has been continuing research on
poverty measurement. Alternative estimates of poverty have been
published for more than three decades by the Census Bureau, and in 2011
the Census Bureau in cooperation with the Bureau of Labor Statistics
(BLS) began publishing the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM). Existing
and previous measures of poverty produced by the Federal government are
income based and rely on surveys to capture the income data. Guidance
issued by the Commission on Evidence-based Policymaking, National
Academy of Sciences reports, and OMB have recommended combining
administrative data with survey data to improve national statistics. In
recent years, evidence has shown that there is survey misreporting of
many income sources. Recognizing the changing landscape and that
alternative statistics can provide useful information, the Chief
Statistician of the United States formed the Interagency Technical
Working Group on Evaluating Alternative Measures of Poverty (Working
Group) to evaluate possible alternative measures of poverty, how such
measures might be constructed, and whether to publish those measures
along with current measures.
To provide context for the Working Group's discussions of
alternative measures of poverty, the interim report discusses the
history of poverty measurement in the U.S., including the development
and implementation of the OPM and SPM. In addition, the Working Group
identified some of the uses of the OPM and SPM, as well as noted some
of the known concerns with each of the measures.
To date, the Working Group has primarily focused on single-
dimensional poverty measurement. Single-dimensional poverty measures
have two key parts: The resource measure (such as income or
consumption) and the thresholds (the cutoffs to which the resource
measure is compared). The primary focus of the Working Group's
discussions have been on resource measures, leaving discussion of
thresholds for future months.
The Working Group is considering both extended income-based and
consumption-based resource measures, as well as identifying other areas
worthy of future research by the Federal Statistical System. For an
extended income resource measure, the Working Group is considering
expanding beyond pre-tax cash income to include some in-kind transfers
and account for taxes and tax credits, much like the SPM resource
measure. In addition, the Working Group is considering whether and how
to incorporate the value of health insurance benefits and implicit
flows from non-financial assets (e.g., vehicles, owner occupied
housing, other properties). An extended income resource measure may
also integrate administrative data with household survey income
information, taking advantage of recent research on the use and the
increased availability of potentially more accurate administrative
data. The Working Group is considering other approaches for adjusting
survey data for misreporting as well.
A consumption-based resource measure may more directly capture the
resources available to a family if they record the consumption that was
actually achieved. These measures begin by summing most categories of
expenditures on goods and services. Certain categories of expenditures
are often thought of as enhancing future consumption and are typically
excluded, such as pension contributions and education expenses. Health
expenditures are less uniformly excluded, since they have both
substantial investment and immediate consumption features. A flow of
consumption resources is also typically attributed to some owned
durable goods, in particular vehicles and owner-occupied homes.
Any final recommendation ultimately made by the Working Group would
also consider implementation issues with, as well as other advantages
and limitations of, proposed measures. The Working Group has discussed
many implementation issues to date, including the choice of survey data
(for example, choosing between the Current Population Survey Annual
Social and Economic Supplement or the American Community Survey) most
appropriate for use in developing the measure, which would have an
effect on the ability to produce estimates at different geographic
levels, for example. In addition, the Working Group has identified some
advantages and limitations of extended income- and consumption-based
resource measures. For example, for an income-based resource measure,
annual income will not capture the standard of living of individuals
who draw upon savings or borrow to fund their consumption. However, an
income-based resource measure captures a household's command over
resources, and household income data are available in
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more datasets than a household's expenditures.
While the Working Group has not discussed thresholds in depth, the
Working Group acknowledges that poverty thresholds are a key component
of a poverty measure. Individuals with resources that fall below the
poverty threshold are counted as poor, and individuals with resources
at or above the poverty threshold are not counted as poor. The Working
Group has identified several key considerations for setting poverty
thresholds, and plans to discuss each of those considerations in the
coming months, as well as other concepts related to thresholds.
Finally, while the Working Group is focused on the extended income-
based and consumption-based measures, the Working Group has also
identified other topics worthy of further research by the Federal
Statistical System. These topics include multi-dimensional poverty
measurement and individual indicators of well-being, and populations
such as those experiencing homelessness that are not included in the
surveys on which the Working Group has focused.
Desired Focus of Comments
OMB is particularly interested in receiving comments on the
questions posed by the Working Group. To be most useful to the Working
Group in their ongoing deliberations and ultimately to OMB in reviewing
the Working Group's final recommendations, responders should read the
Working Group's interim report before addressing the posed questions.
Responses should be concise, include citations if summarizing or
depending on published work, and any links to related research. In
addition, responses should clearly identify which question is being
addressed.
Questions posed below are those the Working Group deemed most
significant and relevant to the Working Group's remaining discussions.
The questions have been sorted into broad categories for ease of
review. In addition, a pointer to related discussion within the interim
report follows each question. The Working Group's interim report titled
``Interim Report of the Interagency Technical Working Group on
Alternative Poverty Measures'' is available as a supplemental document
on www.regulations.gov in docket number ``OMB-2019-0007''.
Definitions
1. How should a sharing unit be defined? A sharing unit is meant to
reflect the set of people sharing resources in a household. (See
Adjusting for different sharing unit sizes.)
Resource Measures
2. What standards should the group use to determine which resource
measures should be preferred? Specifically, to what extent should the
group consider the following standards: (i) Association with other
measures of material hardship, (ii) conceptual advantages, (iii)
simplicity, (iv) feasibility (including data availability), (v)
reproducibility? (See Advantages/Disadvantages of Income and
Consumption Resource Measures. See also Multi-Dimensional Poverty
Measurement and Individual Indicators of Well-Being.)
3. Should the value of health insurance be incorporated? And if so,
how? (See Alternative versions of income measures with different values
of health insurance.)
4. Should the value of education be incorporated? And if so, how?
(See Treatment of Education.)
For a Potential Income Resource Measure
5. What income sources should be included (aside from health
insurance, which is addressed by question 3)? If so, how? (See Income
Measures Using the CPS ASEC and American Community Survey.)
6. What expenses, if any, should be subtracted from income? For
example, how should medical out of pocket (MOOP) expenditures be
treated in a new measure? Should other expenses such as childcare and
commuting costs be subtracted? (See Income should be defined more
broadly than pre-tax cash income currently used for the OPM.)
7. How should the Working Group address the problem of survey
misreporting of income in household surveys? (See Correcting Survey
Data for Misreporting and Improving Tax Estimates.)
For a Potential Consumption Resource Measure
8. What types of spending should be included as consumption (aside
from spending on health care or insurance, which is addressed by
question 3)? If so, how? (See Consumption Measures Using the Consumer
Expenditure Interview Survey.)
9. How should vehicles and housing be included? (See Consumption
Measures Using the Consumer Expenditure Interview Survey.)
10. How should the Working Group address the problem of survey
misreporting of consumption in household surveys? Should the group
consider using only those types of consumption that are reported with
greater accuracy, while excluding less accurately measured types of
consumption? What are the tradeoffs in using only well-measured
consumption versus full consumption? (See Accounting for Expenditure
Misreporting.)
Thresholds
11. How should the thresholds be set initially? (See Setting
poverty thresholds in a baseline year.)
12. How should they be updated over time? (See Adjusting poverty
thresholds over time.)
13. Should thresholds be adjusted for geographic areas? If so, how?
(See Adjusting poverty thresholds across geographic areas.)
14. How should a sharing unit's size and composition be accounted
for? (See Adjusting for different sharing unit sizes.)
Thank you for your thoughts on these and other important questions
associated with the Working Group's discussion of Alternative Measures
of Poverty. OMB and the Working Group look forward to your insights and
feedback.
Paul J. Ray,
Administrator, Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs.
[FR Doc. 2020-02858 Filed 2-13-20; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3110-01-P