Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the Nashville Crayfish From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife, 65098-65112 [2019-25548]
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65098
Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 228 / Tuesday, November 26, 2019 / Proposed Rules
a necessary and productive study for
June sucker recovery is exempted.
Incidental and limited direct take
resulting from research to benefit June
sucker is not prohibited.
(5) Refuges and stocking. Any take
resulting from activities undertaken for
the long-term maintenance of June
sucker at facilities outside of Utah Lake
and its tributaries or for the production
of June sucker for stocking in Utah Lake
is not prohibited.
Dated: September 24, 2019.
Margaret E. Everson,
Principal Deputy Director, Exercising the
Authority of the Director, for the U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2019–25549 Filed 11–25–19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062;
FXES11130900000–189–FF0932000]
RIN 1018–BD02
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Removal of the Nashville
Crayfish From the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
remove the Nashville crayfish
(Orconectes shoupi), a relatively large
crayfish native to the Mill Creek
watershed in Davidson and Williamson
Counties, Tennessee, from the Federal
List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife (List). This determination is
based on the best available scientific
and commercial data, which indicate
that the threats to the species have been
eliminated or reduced to the point that
the species has recovered and no longer
meets the definition of an endangered or
a threatened species under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act). We also announce the
availability of a draft post-delisting
monitoring (PDM) plan for the Nashville
crayfish. We seek information, data, and
comments from the public regarding
this proposal to remove the Nashville
crayfish from the List (i.e., ‘‘delist’’ the
species) and regarding the draft PDM
plan.
DATES: We will accept comments
received or postmarked on or before
January 27, 2020. Comments submitted
SUMMARY:
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electronically using the Federal
eRulemaking Portal (see ADDRESSES,
below) must be received by 11:59 p.m.
Eastern Time on the closing date. We
must receive requests for public
hearings, in writing, at the address
shown in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT by January 10, 2020.
ADDRESSES: Written comments: You may
submit comments on this proposed rule
by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. In the Search box,
enter FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062, which is
the docket number for this rulemaking.
Then, click on the Search button. On the
resulting page, in the Search panel on
the left side of the screen, under the
Document Type heading, click on the
Proposed Rule box to locate this
document. You may submit a comment
by clicking on ‘‘Comment Now!’’
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail
or hand-delivery to: Public Comments
Processing, Attn: FWS–R4–ES–2018–
0062; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
MS: BPHC, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls
Church, VA 22041–3803.
We request that you send comments
only by the methods described above.
We will post all comments on https://
www.regulations.gov. This generally
means that we will post any personal
information you provide us (see
Information Requested, below, for more
information).
Document availability: This proposed
rule, the draft PDM plan, and
supporting documents (including the
species status assessment (SSA) report,
references cited, and the 5-year review)
are available at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Lee
Andrews, Field Supervisor, U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service, Tennessee
Ecological Services Field Office, 446
Neal Street, Cookeville, TN 38506;
telephone 931–528–6481. Persons who
use a telecommunications device for the
deaf (TDD) may call the Federal Relay
Service at 800–877–8339.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Information Requested
We intend that any final action
resulting from this proposed rule will be
based on the best scientific and
commercial data available and be as
accurate and as effective as possible.
Therefore, we request comments and
information from other concerned
governmental agencies, Native
American tribes, the scientific
community, industry, or any other
interested party concerning this
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proposed rule. Because we will consider
all comments and information we
receive during the comment period, our
final determination may differ from this
proposal. We particularly seek
comments on:
(1) Information concerning the
biology and ecology of the Nashville
crayfish;
(2) Relevant data concerning any
threats (or lack thereof) to the Nashville
crayfish, particularly any data on the
possible effects of climate change as it
relates to habitat, and the extent of State
protection and management that would
be provided to this crayfish as a delisted
species;
(3) Current or planned activities
within the geographic range of the
Nashville crayfish that may negatively
impact or benefit the species; and
(4) The draft PDM plan and the
methods and approach detailed in it.
Please include sufficient information
(such as scientific journal articles or
other publications) to allow us to verify
any scientific or commercial
information you include. All comments
submitted electronically via https://
www.regulations.gov will be presented
on the website in their entirety as
submitted. For comments submitted via
hard copy, we will post your entire
comment—including your personal
identifying information—on https://
www.regulations.gov. You may request
at the top of your document that we
withhold personal information such as
your street address, phone number, or
email address from public review;
however, we cannot guarantee that we
will be able to do so.
Comments and materials we receive,
as well as supporting documentation we
used in preparing this proposed rule,
will be available for public inspection
on https://www.regulations.gov, or by
appointment, during normal business
hours, at the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, Tennessee Ecological Services
Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Please note that submissions merely
stating support for or opposition to the
listing action under consideration
without providing supporting
information, although noted, will not be
considered in making a determination,
as section 4(b)(1)(A) of the Act (16
U.S.C. 1531 et seq.) directs that
determinations as to whether any
species is an endangered or a threatened
species must be made ‘‘solely on the
basis of the best scientific and
commercial data available.’’
Public Hearing
Section 4(b)(5)(E) of the Act provides
for a public hearing on this proposal, if
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requested. Requests must be received
within 45 days after the date of
publication of this proposed rule in the
Federal Register (see DATES). Such
requests must be sent to the address
shown in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT. We will schedule a public
hearing on this proposal, if requested,
and announce the date, time, and place
of the hearing, as well as how to obtain
reasonable accommodations, in the
Federal Register at least 15 days before
the hearing.
Previous Federal Actions
On September 26, 1986, we published
a final rule in the Federal Register (51
FR 34410) listing the Nashville crayfish
as endangered due to siltation, stream
alterations, and water quality
deterioration resulting from urban
development pressures. On February 8,
1989, we released a recovery plan for
the Nashville crayfish (USFWS 1989,
entire). The latest 5-year review for the
species, completed in February 2017,
recommended reclassifying the
Nashville crayfish to a threatened
species due to recovery (USFWS 2017a,
entire). Based on this recommendation,
a species status assessment (SSA) was
initiated and completed. Six peer
reviewers were requested to review the
SSA and provide feedback. Reviewers
were selected based on their knowledge
of the species’ biology and habitat. Two
peer reviewers submitted feedback. One
of the commenters informed us that
Nashville crayfish have been observed
to be active on the surface diurnally
during certain times of the year and
suggested we add otters as predators to
the crayfish. Another commenter asked
about the conservation work being done
by two Tennessee agencies. This
information was incorporated into the
final SSA and this proposed rule.
Background
A thorough review of the taxonomy,
life history, ecology, and overall
viability of the Nashville crayfish is
presented in the SSA report (USFWS
2017b; available at https://www.fws.gov/
southeast/ and at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062).
The Nashville crayfish is endemic to
the Mill Creek watershed south of
Nashville in Davidson and Williamson
Counties, Tennessee. The species is
currently known to occur in Mill Creek
and its tributaries, including Collins
Creek, Owl Creek, Edmonson Branch,
Sims Branch, Sevenmile Creek,
Sorghum Branch, Whittemore Branch,
Turkey Creek, Indian Creek, Holt Creek,
four unnamed tributaries to Mill Creek,
and one unnamed tributary to Owl
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Creek (USFWS 2017b, p. 5). There has
been no change in the distribution of the
species within its historical range
(USFWS 2016, unpublished data).
Biologists conducting the pre-listing
status survey for the species surveyed
148 streams in the following central
Tennessee drainages (Korgi and O’Bara
1985, entire): Collins River, Stones
River, Caney Fork River, Cumberland
River, Red River, Mill Creek, Harpeth
River, and Elk River. Nashville crayfish
were only found in Mill Creek and its
tributaries.
Nonetheless, at the time of listing in
1986, the species was thought to have
occurred historically in several
locations outside of the Mill Creek
watershed, including Big Creek in Giles
County (Elk River drainage), the South
Harpeth River in Davidson County
(Harpeth River drainage), and Richland
Creek in Davidson County (Cumberland
River drainage) (USFWS 1987, entire).
The Service now believes that the Big
Creek and South Harpeth River records
are the result of accidental introduction
by anglers using the species as bait and
are no longer thought to be historical
locations for the crayfish (USFWS
2017b, p. 4). The Service originally
believed that the Richland Creek
occurrence had been displaced by a
more competitive crayfish species
(USFWS 2017b, p. 4). However, it was
later determined that specimens of
Nashville crayfish (Orconectes shoupi)
collected from Richland Creek were
misidentified, and the collections were
subsequently correctly identified as the
bigclaw crayfish (Orconectes placidus)
(USFWS 1989, entire). In short, we now
conclude that Mill Creek and its
tributaries constitute both the historical
and current ranges of the species.
The Nashville crayfish is a relatively
large crayfish ranging from young-ofthe-year at about 0.6 centimeters (cm)
(0.24 inches (in)) total length (TL) to
adults at about 17.8 cm (7 in) (TDNA
2009, p. 11; O’Bara et al. 1985, entire).
Other Orconectes species reported from
the Mill Creek watershed, including O.
rhoadesi and O. durelli, can easily be
distinguished from the Nashville
crayfish by gonopod (reproductive)
structure and body coloration. However,
even young-of-the-year crayfish from the
Mill Creek watershed often can be
identified as the Nashville crayfish, as
no other saddle-bearing species are
present in the system. The saddlebearing features include elongate
pincers with red tips and adjacent
narrow black banding, a usually lightcolored ‘‘saddle’’ on the carapace
extending from the posterior to the
anterior and terminating as lateral
stripes on both sides, and distinctive
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gonopods markedly different from any
of its congeners.
The Nashville crayfish has been found
in a wide range of environments,
including gravel and cobble runs, pools
with up to 10 cm (3.9 in) of settled
sediment, and in small pools with
intermittent flow (Stark 1986, 44 pp;
Miller and Hartfield 1985, entire). The
species has also been found in
impoundments that include overflow
pools and retention ponds adjacent to
Mill Creek and its tributaries (Cook and
Walton 2008, p. 121; Service 2011,
entire). It is estimated that
approximately 54 percent (104 stream
miles) of the 192 stream miles of the
Mill Creek watershed that have the
potential to support Nashville crayfish
is currently occupied by the species
(USFWS 2017b, p. 30).
Population estimates from surveys are
limited to the mainstem of Mill Creek
and Sevenmile Creek, although surveys
in other streams have detected Nashville
crayfish and indicate consistent
presence over time (USFWS 2017, pp.
29–30, 35–40). Between 1999 and 2001,
surveys conducted within the mainstem
and Sevenmile Creek led to overall
estimates of 1,854 to 3,217 individuals
and 404 to 1,425 individuals per 100
linear meters, respectively. (USFWS
2017b, p. 29). Long-term monitoring,
conducted between 2011 and 2015, has
documented a total of 1,763 crayfish per
100 linear meters at five main stem Mill
Creek sampling sites. This long-term
monitoring, conducted by the Nashville
Zoo, found Nashville crayfish to be the
predominant species, comprising more
than 90 percent of all crayfish
documented at all five sites surveyed.
According to these surveys, the
Nashville crayfish has remained stable
throughout the Mill Creek watershed.
Summary of Biological Status and
Threats
The Act directs us to determine
whether any species is an endangered or
a threatened species because of any
factors affecting its continued existence.
The SSA report documents the results of
our comprehensive biological status
review for the Nashville crayfish,
including an assessment of the potential
stressors to the species. The SSA report
does not represent a decision by the
Service on whether the species should
be listed as an endangered or a
threatened species under the Act. It
does, however, provide the scientific
basis for our regulatory decision, which
involves the further application of
standards within the Act and its
implementing regulations and policies.
The following is a summary of the key
results and conclusions from the SSA
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report; the full SSA report can be found
on the Southeast Region website at
https://www.fws.gov/southeast/ and at
https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062.
Summary of SSA Report
To assess the Nashville crayfish’s
viability, we used the three conservation
biology principles of resiliency,
representation, and redundancy (Shaffer
and Stein 2000, pp. 306–310). Briefly,
resiliency supports the ability of the
species to withstand environmental and
demographic stochasticity (for example,
wet or dry, warm or cold years);
representation supports the ability of
the species to adapt over time to longterm changes in the environment (for
example, climate changes); and
redundancy supports the ability of the
species to withstand catastrophic events
(for example, droughts, hazardous
spills). In general, the more redundant
and resilient a species is and the more
representation it has, the more likely it
is to sustain populations over time, even
under changing environmental
conditions. Using these principles, we
identified the species’ ecological
requirements for survival and
reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and
described the beneficial and risk factors
influencing the species’ viability.
The SSA process can be divided into
three sequential stages. During the first
stage, we use the conservation biology
principles of resiliency, redundancy,
and representation (together, the 3Rs) to
evaluate individual life-history needs.
The next stage involves an assessment
of the historical and current condition
of species’ demographics and habitat
characteristics, including an
explanation of how the species arrived
at its current condition. The final stage
of the SSA involves making predictions
about the species’ responses to positive
and negative environmental and
anthropogenic influences. This process
uses the best available information to
characterize viability as the ability of a
species to sustain populations in the
wild over time. We used this
information to inform our decision in
this proposed rule.
Species Needs
For the Nashville crayfish to maintain
viability, its populations or some
portion thereof must be resilient.
Stochastic factors that have the potential
to affect Nashville crayfish include
impacts to water quality, particularly
phosphorus loading, sedimentation, and
significant alterations to dissolved
oxygen.
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Silt deposition in streams contributes
to several of the impairments in the Mill
Creek watershed, and can also be a risk
factor for crayfish. Stream
channelization and silt deposition has
been reported to be directly responsible
for the permanent loss of some crayfish
populations (Reynolds et al. 2013, p.
197–218). As crayfish are primarily
active at night, the chief requirement of
all size classes is for hiding spaces
during the daytime. Where loss of
hiding spaces occurs through bank
reconstruction or siltation from natural
or human causes, the habitat’s carrying
capacity for crayfish diminishes
(Reynolds et al. 2013, p. 197–218).
Therefore, good quality habitat for
Nashville crayfish has minimal silt
deposition such that availability of vital
hiding spaces, and thus carrying
capacity, are maximized.
Dissolved oxygen (DO) levels are an
important water quality parameter for
all aquatic life, including crayfish.
Oxygen is dissolved into the water in
streams through diffusion, aeration, and
as the waste product of plants that are
photosynthesizing. The amount of DO
found in water can vary due to several
factors including water temperature,
level of pollutants and water velocity.
Extended periods of supersaturation can
occur in highly aerated waters, often
near hydropower dams and waterfalls,
or due to excessive photosynthetic
activity. Algae blooms can cause air
saturations of over 100% due to large
amounts of oxygen as a photosynthetic
byproduct. This is often coupled with
higher water temperatures, which also
affects saturation (Fondriest 2013,
entire). High levels of DO may be
stressful to crayfish because of
physiological effects, such as gas bubble
disease, or because higher oxygen levels
allow invasion of invasive crayfish
species, who better tolerate higher DO
concentrations. If DO levels are very
low, it is harder for individual crayfish
to take in oxygen, and in extreme cases
the lack of DO results in death.
Although the tolerance level of
Nashville crayfish for DO is not known,
levels below 2.0 mg/L typically result in
invertebrates abandoning the area
(Fondriest 2013, entire).
Other factors that influence the
resiliency of Nashville crayfish
populations include population size and
the presence of slab rock (TDNA 2009,
entire). Influencing those factors are
elements of Nashville crayfish ecology
(e.g., dispersal and reproductive
success) that determine whether
populations can grow to maximize
habitat occupancy, thereby increasing
resiliency of populations (USFWS
2017b, p. 22). Slab rock is defined as
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moderately to large sized rocks in the
stream channel, typically limestone,
found on top of bedrock, cobble, or
gravel. Adult Nashville crayfish occur in
various habitats in streams with slab
rocks or other debris for cover. Adults
tend to be solitary, seeking cover under
large rocks, logs, debris, or rubble; the
largest individuals generally selected
the largest cover available (USFWS
1987, entire). Cover, particularly
presence of large rocks, is also
important to Nashville crayfish (Cook
and Walton 2008, p. 121). Nashville
crayfish were found half of the time in
runs, using rocks with a surface area of
0.05 m2 (0.54 ft2) as cover, and half of
the time in pools, when cover rock area
increased to 0.10 m2 (1.1 ft2). Larger
rock areas may be needed in pools to
decrease risk of predation, whereas
smaller rock areas would provide
adequate protection in runs (Cook and
Walton 2008, p. 121). Reproductive
females are typically found under large
slab rocks. Females seek out large slab
rocks when they are carrying eggs and
young, and these secluded places are
also needed for molting. Cover rocks of
at least 0.02 m2 (2.15 ft2) may be
important habitats for females releasing
broods and for protection during
molting after releasing broods (USFWS
1987, entire). Gravel-cobble substrate
provided good cover for juveniles (Stark
1986, Miller and Hartfield 1985, entire).
Representation can be measured by
the breadth of genetic or environmental
diversity within and among
populations, and gauges the probability
that a species is capable of adapting to
environmental changes. In the absence
of species-specific genetic and
ecological diversity information, we
evaluated representation based on the
extent and variability of habitat
characteristics across the geographical
range of the species.
For the Nashville crayfish to maintain
viability, the species as a whole also
needs to exhibit some degree of
redundancy. We measured redundancy
for Nashville crayfish in terms of the
number and distribution of resilient
populations across the range of the
species. It is important to note that
Nashville crayfish has a naturally
limited range, so measures of
redundancy reflect the distribution
within a relatively small area.
Current Condition
Resiliency
The Nashville crayfish is restricted to
the Mill Creek watershed, which we
now understand to represent the
species’ historical range. For this
assessment, we measured resiliency at
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the population segment level, but also
reported resiliency in total stream miles
across the species’ range. Because
resiliency is a population-level attribute,
key to assessing it is the ability to
delineate populations. Because there is
insufficient information on dispersal
and genetics to accurately delineate
demographic populations for Nashville
crayfish, we delineated population
segments. These were delineated based
on habitat quality (i.e., presence of slab
rock and qualitative assessments of
water quality) and species occurrence
data from natural heritage data of the
Tennessee Department of Environment
and Conservation (TDEC) and opinions
of species experts. We identified 174
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stream segments based on watershed
features, stream characteristics, and
expert opinion (USFWS 2017b, p. 19).
This resulted in delineation of 10
population segments within 3
representative units: Upper Mill Creek,
Middle Mill Creek, and Lower Mill
Creek watershed catchments (Table 1;
and Figure 1).
TABLE 1—LIST OF DELINEATED POPULATION SEGMENTS OF NASHVILLE CRAYFISH
Upper Mill Creek (MCW–A)
Middle Mill Creek (MCW–B)
Upper Mill Creek Streams .................................
Upper Mill Creek and Tributaries ......................
Mainstem Mill Creek * ........................................
Middle Mill Creek Streams ...............................
Owl Creek .........................................................
Holt Creek ........................................................
Indian Creek.
Collins Creek.
Mainstem Mill Creek *.
Lower Mill Creek (MCW–C)
Lower Mill Creek Streams.
Sevenmile Creek and Tributaries.
Mainstem Mill Creek .*
Element Occurrence (EO; an area of
land or water where a species is or was
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present) data were available through
TDEC Natural Heritage Data shapefiles.
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These data represent survey detections
for Nashville crayfish conducted since
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* Mainstem Mill Creek runs through all three watershed catchments.
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1985, and each EO has an associated EO
viability score. The EO viability scores
provide a succinct assessment of the
estimated viability of the species, or an
estimation of the likelihood that, if
current conditions prevail, a species
occurrence will persist for a period of
time. The EO viability scores for
Nashville crayfish were delineated by
Service biologists following NatureServe
descriptions (Hammerson et al. 2008) as
follows:
• Excellent—species occurrence
exhibits optimal or at least
exceptionally favorable characteristics
with respect to population size and/or
quantity and quality of occupied
habitat, and if current conditions
prevail, the occurrence is very likely to
persist for the foreseeable future (i.e., at
least 20–30 years).
• Good—species occurrence exhibits
favorable characteristics with respect to
population size and/or quantity and
quality of occupied habitat, and if
current conditions prevail, the
occurrence is very likely to persist for
the foreseeable future (i.e., at least 20–
30 years).
• Fair—species occurrence
characteristics (size, condition, and
landscape context) are non-optimal such
that occurrence persistence is uncertain
under current conditions, but may
persist for the foreseeable future with
appropriate management or protection.
• Poor—If current conditions prevail,
occurrence has a high risk of extirpation
because of small population size or area
of occupancy, deteriorated habitat, poor
conditions for reproduction, or other
factors.
We looked at EO viability scores
based on the element occurrence data,
and elicited the opinions of Nashville
crayfish experts as to how we should
characterize resiliency of that
population segment. The EO viability
scores provided a succinct assessment
of the estimated viability of the species,
or an estimation of the likelihood that,
if current conditions prevail, a species
occurrence will persist for a period of
time.
The EO data, combined with other
survey efforts and expert opinion
resulted in the delineation of 174 stream
segments. These stream segments were
scaled up to the population segment
scale based on watershed features such
as physical hydrology and stream
characteristics, and species expert
opinion, resulting in identification of 10
population segments. We categorized
resiliency for each of these population
segments using stream segment viability
scores (e.g., excellent, good, fair, poor,
and uncertain) and expert opinion. We
considered stream segment viability
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scores of excellent and good as a single
category, with fair, poor, and uncertain
being the other three stream viability
scores used in the resilience
categorization. We considered
populations to be high resiliency when
more than 50 percent of its stream
segments had EO viability scores of
Excellent or Good. Populations where
greater than 50 percent of stream
segments had EO viability scores of Fair
were considered to be moderate
resiliency. We considered populations
to be low resiliency if more than 50
percent of its stream segments had Poor
EO viability scores. Finally, for
populations where over 50 percent of
stream segment viability scores were
uncertain, we used a combination of EO
viability scores (where this was
available) and expert opinion to
determine whether they were high,
moderate, or low resiliency. Within
each of the 10 population segments, we
calculated the total stream miles within
each stream segment viability category
to determine the proportion of various
viability ranks represented (USFWS
2017b, p. 21).
Of the 10 population segments,
currently six (145 stream miles; 76
percent of the total range) display high
resiliency (likely to persist for at least 20
to 30 years); two (20 stream miles; 10
percent of the total range) display
moderate resiliency (may persist for at
least 20 to 30 years); and two (26.5
stream miles; 14 percent of the total
range) display low resiliency (high risk
of extirpation in 20 to 30 years).
Representation
We lack genetic and ecological
diversity data to characterize
representation for Nashville crayfish. In
the absence of this information, we
evaluated representation based on the
extent and variability of habitat
characteristics across the species’
geographical range. For the Nashville
crayfish, we characterized
representative units by using physical
stream hydrology, and measured
representation as the number of resilient
populations within three delineated
representative units as originally
proposed in Jones (2006, p. 6)—MCW–
A or Upper, MCW–B or Middle, and
MCW–C or Lower (see discussion and
Table 1 above). The three units have
different stream and watershed
characteristics, such as stream order,
surrounding drainage landscapes,
depth, and flow, but are primarily
delineated based on amount of
development. The landscape in unit
MCW–A is primarily agricultural, unit
MCW–B encompasses the suburban
subwatersheds, and unit MCW–C is
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primarily urban (Jones 2006, p. 6). The
representative units are catchments
created by using flow direction, flow
accumulation, and a 3-meter resolution
digital elevation model (Jones 2006,
entire).
Differences in hydrology in these
three areas could result in differences in
how the species may adapt to changing
environmental conditions. Because the
mainstem population segment crosses
representative unit boundaries, we
report representation as the percentage
of stream miles categorized as low,
moderate, and high within each
representative unit:
• Upper (MCW–A): There are 61.8
total stream miles within this unit. Of
those, 49.6 miles (80 percent) are
portions of population segments
classified as high resiliency; 12.2 miles
(20 percent) are classified as low
resiliency.
• Middle (MCW–B): There are 72.6
total stream miles within this unit. Of
those, 43.6 miles (60 percent) are
portions of population segments
classified as high resiliency; 19.7 miles
(27 percent) are classified as moderate
resiliency; and 9.3 miles (13 percent) are
classified as low resiliency.
• Lower (MCW–C): There are 57.1
total stream miles within this unit. Of
those, 52.1 miles (91 percent) are
portions of population segments
classified as high resiliency; 5.0 miles (9
percent) are classified as low resiliency.
For the Nashville crayfish, our expert
noted that the sub-watersheds we used
were a good way to spatially delineate
adaptive capacity. In fact, our spatial
analysis was confirmed by a dissertation
done previously that looked at
variability within that watershed
discussed in the SSA (Jones 2006,
entire). From north to south the species
clearly showed some adaptive capacity,
as evidenced by the differences in
habitat from north to south. Because of
this we established the three
representative units (upper, middle,
lower).
To measure representation we then
looked at the number of resilient stream
segments and their resiliency score,
assuming that a high number of stream
segments in a high resiliency status
means there is sufficient representation
in that unit. If, for example, we had a
representative unit with a majority of
low resiliency stream segments we
would then be concerned the species
may lose some of its representation. As
this was not the case, we believe that
representation is not limiting the
species’ ability to maintain resilient
populations. We therefore conclude that
representation is high because the
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majority of stream miles in each
segment are highly resilient.
Redundancy
For the Nashville crayfish to maintain
viability, the species needs to exhibit
some degree of redundancy.
Redundancy describes the ability of a
species to withstand catastrophic
events. Measured by the number of
populations, their resiliency, and their
distribution (and connectivity),
redundancy gauges the probability that
the species has a margin of safety to
withstand or return from catastrophic
events (such as a rare destructive
natural event or episode involving many
populations). We report redundancy for
Nashville crayfish as the total number of
population segments and their
distribution within and among
representative units.
As discussed above, there are 10
population segments distributed across
the range of the Nashville crayfish
between the three representative units.
Six of these population segments are
highly resilient; two population
segments are moderately resilient; and
two population segments are of low
resiliency. As also discussed above,
there is adequate redundancy based on
the distribution in the three
representative units for the Nashville
crayfish to withstand catastrophic
events. The catastrophic events likely to
affect the Nashville crayfish are spills
associated with increasing human
population and urbanization (see
Summary of Threats below). However,
the likelihood of such events occurring
is not equal across the three units: They
are far more likely to occur in the lower,
highly urbanized unit MCW–C (the
farthest downstream) and much less
likely to occur in the middle (MCW–B)
and upper (MCW–A) units because
these units are less developed.
Therefore, if a spill were to occur, it is
more likely to affect only one unit and
not all three.
In any case, even in the unlikely
circumstance a catastrophic event
would impact the entire range of the
species, the Nashville crayfish has
demonstrated a high degree of resistance
to disturbance. In the Mill Creek
watershed, there have been frequent
spills/releases of raw sewage and
hazardous substances, particularly in
the lower reaches (USFWS 2018, p. 50–
51). However, despite these events, the
species has been found in large numbers
at several locations that are already
heavily developed. Although the
Metropolitan Nashville area is
experiencing significant growth, with
numerous residential, commercial,
utility, and other infrastructure
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developments occurring in the
watershed, Nashville crayfish
populations have been documented to
be stable or increasing in size.
Based on our analysis of these three
factors, the species demonstrates high
viability, indicating that it is likely to
persist in the future. Since the Nashville
crayfish was listed, individuals have
been found in large numbers at several
locations in the watershed that are
heavily developed and subjected to
consistent storm water and sediment
inputs, as well as frequent spills and
releases of raw sewage and hazardous
substances. Despite these stressors,
Nashville crayfish density has increased
in all three representative units
(McGinnity 2016, p. 3)
Summary of Threats and Conservation
Measures That Affect the Species
Section 4(a)(1) of the Act directs us to
determine whether any species is an
endangered species or a threatened
species because of any of the following
factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
In the assessment report, we reviewed
the factors (i.e., threats, stressors) that
could be affecting the Nashville crayfish
now or in the future. However, in this
proposed rule, we will focus our
discussion on those factors that could
meaningfully impact the status of the
species. The primary risk factor
affecting the status of the Nashville
crayfish is development in the Mill
Creek watershed that results in
destruction or alteration of habitat. This
was a primary factor in our decision to
list the species in 1986. Specifically,
increased development in the watershed
leads to increased impervious cover,
which in turn often leads to water
quality deterioration. This takes the
form of siltation, stream alteration, and
urban runoff (particularly of
phosphorus), resulting from
development in Nashville and
surrounding urbanized areas, all of
which have the potential to negatively
impact the Nashville crayfish.
Secondary risk factors include the
species’ limited distribution, which
makes it vulnerable to catastrophic
events, such as chemical spills or other
contamination sources. Development in
the watershed can also increase the
probably of catastrophic spills as well as
increase road density and create new
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contaminant sources. Competition with
invasive crayfish species could also be
problematic, but presently, this is not a
known threat for the species. Similarly,
climate change and its associated effects
will not have a negative impact on the
Nashville crayfish now or in the
foreseeable future.
Factor A. Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Habitat or Range
The primary threat to the continued
existence of the Nashville crayfish is
still development in the Mill Creek
watershed that results in destruction or
alteration of the aquatic habitat. The
population of Davidson County grew by
5.1 percent between 2010 and 2013.
Adjacent Williamson County grew by
8.6 percent in the same time period
(USFWS 2017a, p. 12). As Nashville and
the surrounding areas have grown,
commercial and residential
development has increased within the
Mill Creek watershed. Areas in the
upper reaches of the Mill Creek
watershed that were once rural
agricultural areas are now being
developed for residential purposes.
Development often results in removal of
riparian vegetation and canopy cover
over the stream that may result in bank
collapse. Runoff from denuded areas
can result in heavy input of sediment
into the stream, excessive in-stream
sediment deposition, and increased
water turbidity and temperatures.
Sediment has been shown to break
down and or suffocate bottom-dwelling
algae and other organisms by clogging
gills and reducing aquatic insect
diversity and abundance (Waters 1995,
p. 251). We anticipate population
growth in the Nashville metropolitan
area to continue, with associated
increases in development. Five of the
ten counties in Tennessee with the
highest projected growth rates through
2040—Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson,
Robertson, and Sumner—are in the
Nashville metropolitan area.
Approximately 69 percent of the
population growth in Tennessee from
2010 to 2040 is expected to occur in 10
counties across the state, including
Davidson and Williamson counties
(Boyd Center 2015, entire). However,
despite the increased development, the
species has been found in several
locations and in large numbers.
Highway and road construction, as
well as utility line construction and
right-of-way maintenance, within and
adjacent to streams, may also alter or
destroy habitat. Additionally, short-term
dewatering to excavate trenches for
utility lines could also result in
temporary loss of habitat. The settling
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and filling in of crevices and interstitial
spaces with sediment under slab rocks
is likely to result in increased biological
oxygen demand and longer term or
permanent loss of habitat for crayfish
(Cook and Walton 2008, p. 121). These
are all potential impacts to crayfish
habitat. We know that these actions
result in degradation of riparian areas
and stream health, but there is
uncertainty regarding how tolerant the
Nashville crayfish is to such changes.
The only area where we know the
species was negatively impacted was
near the airport where toxic releases
caused abandonment of that stream
reach. However, years later, the area was
recolonized, albeit at a lower abundance
(USFWS 2017b, p. 51).
To avoid direct adverse impacts to the
crayfish and its habitat, developers
increasingly use directional boring
under the stream as a means of
accomplishing crossings for utility and
communication lines; however, if not
done properly, boring can cause
fracturing of the stream bottom. This
can result in release of bentonite and
other slurries as well as toxic materials
from the bore hole into the stream.
Dewatering of short or long reaches of
the stream channel downstream from
the fracture may also occur. Dewatering
can be permanent if the fracture causes
the entire surface flow to go
underground. Materials released into
the stream from bore holes range from
inert slurries to potentially toxic
chemicals and lubricants; however,
inert slurry, if released in large amounts,
could result in mortality to crayfish and
other benthic fauna by smothering
adults and juveniles. In 2000, during
installation of fiber optic cables in the
Mill Creek drainage, several incidents of
fracturing occurred resulting in the
release of large amounts of bentonite
slurry into the streams. In 2013, a
Piedmont Natural Gas Pipeline boring
under Sevenmile Creek impacted its
tributary, releasing a bentonite slurry
that resulted in mortality of six
individual crayfish. Due to these
incidents, areas where known bedrock
fracturing potential exists are now being
trenched (surface cut) for projects
involving utility line crossings
(USFWSb 2017, p. 52).
Another potential threat to the
species’ continued existence is the
improper use or overuse of lawn
pesticides and fertilizers. Intentional or
inadvertent application of chemicals to
the stream or runoff from yards after
application has resulted in significant
mortality of aquatic organisms,
including Nashville crayfish. We have
received periodic reports of mortality of
stream fauna that likely resulted from
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input of pesticides into streams in the
Mill Creek watershed. This threat is
likely to increase in the future as
residential development increases
(USFWS 2017b, p. 50).
Additionally, there have been
consistent stormwater and sediment
inputs to the Mill Creek watershed, as
well as frequent spills/releases of raw
sewage and hazardous substances, yet
the Nashville crayfish persists in high
numbers. The species exhibits a high
degree of resistance to disturbance,
indicating that the species has a low
susceptibility to threats and high degree
of stability (USFWS 2017a, p. 16).
As of 2014, numerous stream
segments in Mill Creek and its
tributaries were listed as impaired on
the State of Tennessee’s 303(d) list
(TDEC 2018, entire). Impairment of
stream reaches in the drainage is the
result of low dissolved oxygen, siltation,
removal of riparian vegetation, nutrient
enrichment and high bacteria levels
from stormwater discharges, sewage
collection system failures, land
development, and unrestricted cattle
access (TDEC 2018, entire).
Our analysis of threats and risk
factors, as well as the past, current, and
future influences on what the Nashville
crayfish needs for long term viability
revealed that the most risk to future
viability of the species is posed by water
quality issues: The risk of a catastrophic
spill and impairment of water quality
associated with increasing human
populations and urbanization. However,
the species has been found in large
numbers at several locations that are
already heavily developed, and the
species has been found in several
additional tributaries to Mill Creek since
its original listing under the ESA
(USFWSb 2017, p. 73). Although the
Metropolitan Nashville area is
experiencing significant growth, with
numerous residential, commercial,
utility, and other infrastructure
developments occurring in the
watershed, Nashville crayfish
populations have been documented to
be stable or increasing in size (USFWS
2017b, entire). Additionally, there have
been consistent stormwater and
sediment inputs to the Mill Creek
watershed, as well as frequent spills/
releases of raw sewage and hazardous
substances, yet the Nashville crayfish
persists in high numbers. The species
exhibits a high degree of resistance to
disturbance, indicating the species has a
low susceptibility to threats and a high
degree of stability.
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Factor B. Overutilization for
Commercial, Sporting, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
We have received reports over the
past five years (2010–2015) that fish and
aquatic invertebrates, including
Nashville crayfish, are being harvested
from Mill Creek for food (USFWS 2016,
entire). Although we do not know the
full impact of harvesting on the species
at this time, populations are stable or
improving across the range, indicating
any harvesting that is occurring is not
affecting population resiliency.
Factor C. Disease or Predation
This factor was determined to not
apply to the Nashville crayfish at the
time of its 1986 listing. Currently,
porcelain disease (Thelohania
contejeani), known from crustaceans in
Australia, may pose a threat if infected
crustaceans are accidently introduced
into the Mill Creek watershed from the
pet trade (see Factor E discussion,
below). There is anecdotal evidence that
porcelain disease was observed in
Cambarus sphenoides on the
Cumberland Plateau. The Cumberland
Plateau is the southern part of the
Appalachian Plateau in the Appalachian
Mountains of the United States. It
includes much of eastern Kentucky,
Tennessee, and portions of Alabama and
Georgia.
Although our earlier determination
that a population of Nashville crayfish
was displaced by another crayfish
species turned out to be incorrect (see
Background, above), competition or
predation by released nonnative
crayfish also could potentially pose a
threat to the species in the future
(Bizwell and Mattingly 2010, p. 359).
Urbanization may result in increased
numbers of scavengers, such as
raccoons, that might prey on aquatic
organisms. However, we currently have
no information to indicate that disease
or predation are threats to this crayfish.
Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms
In our discussions under Factors A, B,
C, and E, we evaluate the significance of
threats as mitigated by any conservation
efforts and existing regulatory
mechanisms. Where threats exist, we
analyze the extent to which
conservation measures and existing
regulatory mechanisms address the
specific threats to the species.
Regulatory mechanisms, if they exist,
may reduce or eliminate the impacts
from one or more identified threats. The
following provides an overview of the
existing regulatory protections that
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protect the Nashville crayfish ecosystem
and the Nashville crayfish.
Tennessee Wildlife Resources Agency
has regulations in place to address the
collection of baitfish, including
amphibians and crayfish, which
specifically prohibit the taking of and
possession of crayfish from Mill Creek
and its tributaries in Davidson and
Williamson Counties (TWRA 1994, rule
1660–1–26–.04). The Tennessee Fish
and Wildlife Commission also issued a
proclamation (TFWC 2014, p. 13–15)
which states that the collection of
crayfish from Mill Creek in Davidson
and Williamson Counties is specifically
prohibited. It is also prohibited to
possess or use crayfish for bait in Mill
Creek, which is key to preventing
accidental introductions of nonnative
species.
Currently there are no State laws that
provide specific protection for the
species’ habitat. However, the CWA and
the Tennessee Water Quality Control
Act of 1977 provide water quality
protections for streams in the State.
Agencies implementing these laws
routinely issue notices of violation
(NOVs) when actions are reported that
have adverse impacts on waters in the
State. NOVs are typically issued after
the fact—i.e., after destruction or
alteration of the species and habitat has
occurred. Agencies are not staffed to
oversee, supervise, or inspect all of the
actions for which permits have been
issued. Also, penalties levied on
violators by the State are likely not
severe enough to deter future violations.
Even if more drastic enforcement action
is taken by Federal agencies, the time
between the violation and conclusion of
the law enforcement action is likely
long enough to suppress the deterrent
effect of the penalty.
TDEC and Metropolitan Nashville
Water Services (MNWS) routinely issue
CWA NOVs for incidents in the Mill
Creek watershed. Service Law
Enforcement personnel have assisted
the State in numerous investigations. As
an example, in 2011, a contractor
constructing a replacement sewage
forcemain bypassed a section of an
existing sewage forcemain by pumping
past the section of forcemain to be
replaced. The pump failed, releasing a
significant amount of sewage into Mill
Creek. Crayfish mortality was observed;
however, the Service did not pursue an
enforcement action under the Act
because this was an accidental release.
The Service will continue to provide
technical assistance to the state agency
to address future incidents within the
Mill Creek watershed. Mill Creek is
currently listed as an impaired stream
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with the U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
Although numerous NOVs have been
issued in the Mill Creek watershed since
2009, State and Federal water quality
laws have not prevented pollution from
development activities or from
municipal and industrial sources.
Portions of Mill Creek and some of its
tributaries are currently listed on
TDEC’s impaired stream list (TDEC
2018, in draft). State and Federal
agencies have identified impairments to
address which include low dissolved
oxygen, siltation, other anthropogenic
habitat alterations, Escherichia coli (E.
coli), total phosphorus, nitrate-nitrite,
and propylene glycol.
The CWA makes it unlawful to
discharge any pollutant from a point
source into navigable waters, unless a
permit is obtained. Section 404 of the
CWA establishes a program to regulate
the discharge of dredged or fill material
in waters of the United States, including
wetlands. The basic purpose of the
program is that no discharge of dredged
or fill material may be permitted if: (1)
A practicable alternative exists that is
less damaging to the aquatic
environment or (2) the nation’s waters
would be significantly degraded. An
individual permit is required for
potentially significant impacts.
Individual permits are reviewed by the
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, which
evaluates applications under a public
interest review, as well as the
environmental criteria set forth in the
CWA Section 404(b)(1) Guidelines,
regulations promulgated by EPA. For
the Nashville crayfish, the Corps
permits would still be applicable and
have relevant conditions. Furthermore,
through our authorities under the Fish
and Wildlife Coordination Act, the
Service will provide technical
assistance to the Corps during the
permit review process. The state would
also require Aquatic Resource Alteration
Permits with conditions as well.
TDEC and the Service conducted a
natural resource damage assessment
(NRDA) and developed specific
recommendations for stormwater
treatment, monitoring, and compliance
to the Metropolitan Nashville Airport
Authority (MNAA). The purpose of the
NRDA program is to restore natural
resources injured as a result of oil spills
or hazardous substance releases into the
environment. The NRDA process
evaluates and restores wildlife, habitats,
and human resources impacted by oil
spills, hazardous waste sites, and vessel
groundings. Damage assessments
provide the basis for determining the
extent of restoration needed to address
the public’s natural resource losses.
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Should a future oil spill or hazardous
substance release adversely affect the
Nashville crayfish, the State, acting as a
natural resource trustee, would assess
injury and determine appropriate
restoration. Once the damages are
assessed, the NRDA Restoration
Program negotiates legal settlements or
takes other legal actions against the
responsible parties for the spill or
release. Funds from these settlements
are then used to restore the injured
resources at no expense to the taxpayer.
Settlements often include the recovery
of the costs incurred in assessing the
damages. These funds may also be used
to fund damage assessments in future
incidents. Civil penalties were also
assessed by TDEC (USFWS 2017b, p.
51). In cooperation with the Service and
our partners, MNAA made substantial
improvements to the stormwater
collection and treatment system at the
airport. The Service also provided
specific recommendations to TDEC in
the revision of MNAA’s national
pollutant discharge elimination system
permit.
Summary of Factor D
Factor E. Other Natural or Man-Made
Factors Affecting the Species’ Continued
Existence
In this section, we will discuss other
natural and man-made threats affecting
the species including limited geographic
range, vehicle accident spills,
introduction of invasive crayfish and
climate change.
The Nashville crayfish’s limited
geographic range and apparent small
population size leave the species
vulnerable to localized extinctions from
accidental toxic chemical spills or other
stochastic disturbances. Species that are
restricted in range and population size
are more likely to suffer loss of genetic
diversity due to genetic drift, potentially
increasing their susceptibility to
inbreeding depression and decreasing
their ability to adapt to environmental
changes (Allendorf and Luikart 2007, p.
642). However, the Nashville crayfish
has always occupied a small range. The
crayfish is endemic to one watershed
and still occupies the watershed. Highly
resilient populations are more than
likely to survive stochastic events and
there are several highly resilient
populations spread across the range.
Potential sources of such spills
include accidents involving vehicles
transporting chemicals over road
crossings of streams and accidental or
intentional release into streams of
chemicals used in industrial,
agricultural, or residential applications.
Dead crayfish, including Nashville
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crayfish, have been collected
downstream from construction sites and
sewage releases on numerous occasions.
For instance, in 2010 and 2011,
discharges of propylene glycol de-icing
fluids from the runways and tarmac at
the Metropolitan Nashville International
Airport adversely affected Sims Branch.
Response agencies located affected
Nashville crayfish. An attempt to
translocate these individuals to the
Cumberland River Aquatic Center
failed, as the specimens died during
transport.
With regard to the effects of invasive
species on Nashville crayfish, most
crayfish experts believe the introduction
of invasive crayfish species is not
occurring at a rate that could negatively
impact native species, especially species
with small distributions. In east
Tennessee, there have been several
introductions; the most serious is the
Kentucky River crayfish (O. juvenilis),
which has replaced the surgeon crayfish
(O. forceps) in most of the Holston River
system above Cherokee Reservoir.
Although these water bodies are not
within the Mill Creek system, it is
conceivable that one of these extremely
aggressive species could be introduced
into that system and, once established,
there is no known method to remove
them. A simple aquarium release of a
single ovigerous (egg bearing) female or
other live specimens would be
detrimental to the Nashville crayfish.
However, we have no information
suggesting the invasive crayfish are
utilized in the local pet trade or as bait
for fishing in the Mill Creek watershed.
Our analyses under the Act include
consideration of ongoing and projected
changes in climate. A recent
compilation of climate change and its
effects is available from reports of the
IPCC (IPCC 2014, entire).
The IPCC concluded that evidence of
warming of the climate system is
unequivocal (IPCC 2014, pp. 2, 40).
Numerous long-term climate changes
have been observed including changes
in arctic temperatures and ice,
widespread changes in precipitation
amounts, ocean salinity, and aspects of
extreme weather including heavy
precipitation and heat waves (IPCC
2014, pp. 40–44). Since 1970, the
average annual temperature across the
Southeast has increased by about 0.8
degrees Celsius (°C) with the greatest
increases occurring during winter
months. The geographic extent of areas
in the Southeast region affected by
moderate to severe spring and summer
drought has increased over the past
three decades by 12 and 14 percent,
respectively (Karl et al. 2009, p. 111).
These trends are expected to increase.
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Rates of warming are predicted to more
than double in comparison to what the
Southeast has experienced since 1975,
with the greatest increases projected for
summer months. Depending on the
emissions scenario used for modeling
change, average temperatures are
expected to increase by 2.5 °C (lower
emissions scenario, or IPCC SRES B1) to
5 °C (higher emissions scenario, or A2)
by the 2080s (Karl et al. 2009, p. 111).
While there is considerable variability
in rainfall predictions throughout the
region, increases in evaporation of
moisture from soils and loss of water by
plants in response to warmer
temperatures are expected to contribute
to increased frequency, intensity, and
duration of drought events (Karl et al.
2009, p. 112).
There is also a growing concern that
climate change may lead to increased
frequency of severe storms and droughts
(McLaughlin et al. 2002, p. 6074;
Golladay et al. 2004, p. 504; Cook et al.
2004, p. 1015). Specific effects of
climate change to crayfish habitat could
include changes in stream temperature
regimes; the timing and levels of
precipitation, causing more frequent
and severe floods and droughts; and
alien species introductions. The
following systematic changes are
expected to be realized to varying
degrees in the southeastern United
States (NCILT 2012, p. 27; IPCC 2013, p.
7):
• More frequent drought;
• More extreme heat (resulting in
increases in air and water temperatures);
• Flooding;
• More intense storms (e.g., frequency
of major hurricanes increases).
Despite the recognition of potential
climate effects on ecosystem processes,
there is uncertainty about what the
exact climate future for the southeastern
United States will be and how the
ecosystems and species in this region
will respond. Effects from climate
change may also result from synergistic
effects. That is, factors associated with
a changing climate may act as risk
multipliers by increasing the risk and
severity of more imminent threats. As a
result, impacts from rapid urbanization
in the region might be exacerbated
under long-term climate change.
However, our approach to assessing the
future condition of the species (see
Future Conditions, below) is focused on
a 20- to 25-year projection timeframe,
because beyond this time, much
uncertainty remains in both the degree
of climate change and the species’
response to changes in precipitation and
temperature. We currently do not have
information on the effect of future
drought on specific stream segments the
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species occupies within the watershed.
We also do not know the species
temperature tolerance in response to
long-term temperature increases within
those streams. While the Nashville
crayfish has multiple populations,
future impacts due to the effects of
climate change may reduce the
resiliency of the species although the
long-term effects remain unknown.
Conservation Measures That Affect the
Species
The Mill Creek Watershed
Association (MCWA) was formed in
2009. The MCWA was strengthened in
2013 by the Cumberland River Compact
with the support of the Tennessee
Department of Agriculture Division of
Forestry. The goal of the MCWA is to
provide education and support for
improving and protecting the Mill Creek
Watershed. It endeavors to clean the
water in Mill Creek, eliminate water
pollution in local neighborhoods, and
make the water safe for wildlife and
human use. Focal activities for the
MCWA include adopt a stream, riparian
buffers, pollution prevention, rain
gardens and barrels, and protecting the
Nashville crayfish.
The Cumberland River Compact
sponsors meetings every other month to
bring all interested stakeholders
together to reach a realistic approach to
ensure a brighter future for the Mill
Creek Watershed. These meetings
provide stakeholders an opportunity to
learn and provide perspective on
current conditions, recommendations
for improvements, and plan activities to
address the current concerns and needs
in the watershed. Current participants
include Cumberland River Compact,
Tennessee Department of Agriculture,
Tennessee Division of Forestry, Metro
Water Services, Nashville Zoo at
Grassmere, Tennessee Department of
Environment and Conservation,
Tennessee Scenic Rivers Association,
Tennessee Wildlife Resources Agency,
the Corps, and the Service (USFWS
2017b, p. 57).
The Tennessee Stream Mitigation
Program (TSMP) was established under
the Tennessee Wildlife Resources
Foundation in 2002, as a statewide inlieu fee wetlands mitigation program.
The TSMP provides mitigation for
improving instream and riparian
habitat, and overall water quality. It
funds projects on significantly degraded
streams to arrest bank erosion, improve
water quality, and restore aquatic and
riparian habitat. The TSMP has
implemented 28 projects, restoring over
45 miles of degraded stream and over
800 acres of riparian habitat. One of
these projects was initiated in the Mill
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Creek Watershed in 2009. The project
encompassed 2,385 feet of Mill Creek
near Nolensville in Williamson County,
in the Upper Mill Creek segment
(MCW–A). The existing channel was
highly degraded due to channelization,
vegetation removal, and infrastructure
including roadway fills, and had been
listed on the 303(d) list due to impacts
from unrestricted livestock access. The
primary goals of the project were to
restore riparian buffer function by the
excluding of livestock from the channel
and riparian corridor which would
reduce non-point source pollutants
(such as sedimentation and nutrients).
This work resulted in improved water
quality, channel stability, aquatic
habitat, and elimination of accelerated
bank erosion problems; reestablishment
of instream habitat by restoring bed
form diversity in the form of riffles and
pools; and enhancement of the riparian
zone by planting native plants. The
restored riparian buffer resulted in
decreased stream temperatures, which
improved water quality for the crayfish.
The floodplain basins helped improve
water quality, decrease peak flows, and
provide valuable flood plain habitat
(USFWS 2017b, p. 58). All of the goals
of this project were met, which has
improved the habitat for the Nashville
crayfish, thereby increasing the
resiliency of the species.
The Nashville Zoo at Grassmere has
been heavily involved in Nashville
crayfish recovery efforts. In March 2017,
the zoo, in collaboration with the
Cumberland River Compact, Tennessee
Wildlife Resource Agency, and KCI
Technologies Inc., removed two dams
on Cathy Jo Branch in the Lower Mill
Creek segment (USFWS 2017b, p. 58).
The dams, which were located on zoo
property, created a barrier to crayfish,
small fish, and other small aquatic life,
preventing the migration of aquatic
species upstream and reducing the
biodiversity of the aquatic systems. Dam
removal generally allows for the
migration of aquatic species that were
previously blocked by dams within a
watershed, including the Nashville
crayfish, and improves aquatic
biodiversity. These dam removals
opened up 3 miles of habitat and
restored the stream as a free-flowing
system. Nashville crayfish now have
access to 10 miles of creek and
improved habitat and this reach is now
occupied by a highly resilient
population of Nashville crayfish.
The Nashville Zoo has also
implemented a stormwater management
project that benefits the Nashville
crayfish and other aquatic organisms.
The Nashville Zoo had a stormwater
detention pond on the edge of its
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property that captured runoff from a
large office park next door to the zoo,
but several times a year, excess water
was discharged from the pond’s outlet
pipe, where it carried sediment and
other pollutants into Cathy Jo Branch.
Runoff from the office park also
damaged the perimeter fence and
carried trash and debris into the pond.
The project retrofitted the detention
pond to modify the two inlet structures
and expand the water holding capacity.
In addition, the brushy area below the
outfall pipe was transformed into an
infiltration zone to slow, spread, and
soak in the excess water discharges after
rain events. This project has directly
improved water quality in known
occupied Nashville crayfish habitat.
Future Conditions
In the SSA, our analysis of threats and
risk factors, as well as the past, current,
and future influences on what the
Nashville crayfish needs for long-term
viability, revealed that there are two
factors that pose the largest risk to
future viability of the species: The risk
of a catastrophic spill and impairment
of water quality (USFWS 2017b, p. 59).
Both factors are primarily related to
habitat changes. We did not assess
overutilization for scientific and
commercial purposes, disease, or
competition with invasive crayfish
because these risks do not appear to be
occurring at levels that affect Nashville
crayfish populations. Accordingly, the
risk of a catastrophic spill and
impairment of water quality, as well as
management efforts (aside from those
associated with the 2010 biological
opinion with the Corps), were carried
forward in our assessment of future
conditions of Nashville crayfish
populations.
We assessed viability under three
scenarios—status quo, worst case, and
conservation—projected over 20 to 25
years. We chose this timeframe as the
‘‘foreseeable future’’ for two reasons.
First, the main threats influencing
viability for the Nashville crayfish (the
risk of a catastrophic spill and
impairment of water quality) are all
measurable within this timeframe. Also,
the E.O. scores that underlie the
resilience of the population segments
were determined based on a 20–30 year
future time horizon. Qualitative
assessments of urban development for
each population segment are based on
the Slope, Land-use, Exclusion, Urban,
Transportation and Hillshade (SLEUTH)
model predictions (USFWS 2017b, p.
59). The next metric, element
occurrence (E.O.), data were available
through TDEC Natural Heritage Data
shapefiles. These data represent survey
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detections for Nashville crayfish
conducted since 1985, and each E.O.
has an associated E.O. viability score.
The E.O. scores provide a succinct
assessment of the estimated viability or
likelihood of persistence of the species;
as such, the scores underlie the
resilience of the population segments.
These scores were determined based on
a 20- to 30-year future time horizon
based on Nature Serve criteria. Because
occurrence ranks are used to represent
the relative overall ‘‘quality’’ of an
occurrence as it currently exists, they
are based solely on criteria that reflect
the present status of that occurrence
(Hammerson et al. 2008, entire).
Therefore, based on the species’ lifespan
and the uncertainty in the models, a 20to 25-year time frame for ‘‘foreseeable
future’’ is appropriate for determining
whether threatened status is appropriate
for this species.
The three scenarios are intended to
capture the range of changes, likely to
be observed in the Mill Creek
watershed, to which the Nashville
crayfish will be exposed. These
scenarios considered the three elements
described above: Water quality,
catastrophic spill risk, and conservation
effort. While we considered these
scenarios to be plausible, we
acknowledge that each scenario has a
different probability of materializing at
different times. To account for this
difference in probability, a range of
probabilities was used to describe the
likelihood each scenario will occur. We
assumed rates of increase in human
population and, therefore, increase in
impervious cover, to be similar across
all three scenarios. The differences in
the likelihood of the three scenarios
represented our best assessment of: (1)
The degree to which projected increases
in human population and impervious
cover will manifest in water quality
degradation and increased spill risk; (2)
how the Nashville crayfish will actually
respond to these changes based on past
observations; and (3) how likely
conservation measures will be
implemented within population
segments in the Mill Creek watershed.
For more information about how the
scenarios were developed, please see
the SSA (USFWS 2017b, pp. 60–61).
Under the status quo scenario in the
SSA, we analyzed the factors that
influence populations of Nashville
crayfish (e.g., human population
growth, urban development, impervious
cover, and catastrophic spills) would
continue at current rates. Human
population increases at currently
predicted rates would lead to
substantial increases in urban
development and impervious cover in a
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few high-intensity areas throughout the
watershed (e.g., MCW–B) (USFWS
2017b, p. 61). In this scenario, the risk
of a contaminant spill increased in and
around the high urban growth areas of
development and resulted in some
decreases in water quality. Impairment
of stream reaches in the drainage was
the result of low dissolved oxygen,
siltation, removal of riparian vegetation,
nutrient enrichment and high bacteria
levels from stormwater discharges,
sewage collection system failures, land
development and unrestricted cattle
access (TDEC 2014, entire). However,
the species is currently thriving in very
poor quality streams in downtown
Nashville, it has shown since its listing
that it is more resilient to the threat of
development than previously thought
and we would expect it to respond in
the same manner to future development
stressors. Therefore, under the status
quo scenario, the Nashville crayfish’s
viability would remain high. There
would be a small loss in population
resiliency (Owl Creek drops from
moderate to low; Upper Mill Creek
System drops from high to moderate),
but with no loss in redundancy.
Representation would be impacted, in
that the two populations predicted to
lose resiliency were both in the same
representative unit, but all
representative units were predicted to
retain the same number of populations.
Under the worst case scenario, the
factors that influence populations of
Nashville crayfish would continue at
increased rates compared to the status
quo scenario. Human population would
increase at currently predicted rates,
which would lead to substantial
increases in urban development and
impervious cover in the same highintensity areas throughout the
watershed as the status quo scenario.
However, in this scenario, effects
associated with increasing human
populations and impervious cover
(water quality degradation and
catastrophic spill risk) would be much
greater in magnitude compared to the
status quo scenario. The risk of a
contaminant spill increased
significantly in the urban and suburban
high-growth areas and resulted in
substantial decreases in water quality in
several population segments (e.g.,
MCW–C).
We included this scenario because
there is uncertainty as to the magnitude
of effects on water quality, spill risk
associated with a growing human
population, and subsequent increases in
impervious cover, as well as uncertainty
concerning how fast the development
will take place. However, even with this
higher risk, our modeling predicted that
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there would only be a moderate loss in
Nashville crayfish population resiliency
(Mainstem, Sevenmile, Collins Creek,
and Upper Mill Creek System drop from
high to moderate; Owl Creek drops from
moderate to low; possible extirpation of
Sims Branch in the Lower Mill Creek
Streams population segment), with no
loss in redundancy. Also, all
representative units were predicted to
retain the same number of populations,
although many at a lower resilience
level. Therefore, under the worst case
scenario, the Nashville crayfish’s
viability would sustain moderate losses
in population resiliency (Mainstem,
Sevenmile, Collins Creek, and Upper
Mill Creek System drop from high to
moderate; Owl Creek drops from
moderate to low; possible extirpation of
Sims Branch in the Lower Mill Creek
Streams population segment), with no
loss in redundancy. All representative
units are predicted to retain the same
number of populations, although many
at a lower resilience level.
Under the conservation scenario, the
factors that influence populations of
Nashville crayfish would continue at
current rates, but targeted conservation,
such as the TSMP (see Conservation
Measures that Affect the Species,
above), would ameliorate some of the
associated impacts of water quality
degradation. Human population
increases would continue at currently
predicted rates, leading to increases in
urban development and impervious
cover in a few high-intensity areas
throughout the watershed. In this
scenario, the risk of a contaminant spill
would increase in and around some of
the urban growth areas, and increases in
population and impervious cover would
result in some decreases in water
quality. However, this scenario assumes
some targeted conservation actions
would be implemented, including
riparian protection and restoration;
therefore, water quality degradation in
some streams would be reduced
(USFWS 2017b, p. 61–62). Because of
the implementation of these
conservation measures, our modeling
predicted that there would be no losses
in resiliency, redundancy, or
representation for the Nashville
crayfish. The Lower Mill Creek streams
were predicted to increase their
resiliency due to targeted conservation
implemented by the City of Nashville,
and minimization of spills by the nearby
Nashville International airport. Upper
Mill Creek Streams were predicted to
increase their resiliency due, in part, to
targeted conservation implemented by
the TSMP. Therefore, under the
conservation scenario, the Nashville
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crayfish’s viability sustains no losses in
resiliency, redundancy, or
representation. In fact, the Lower Mill
Creek Streams are predicted to increase
their resiliency due to targeted
conservation implemented by the City
of Nashville, and minimization of spills
by the nearby Nashville International
airport. Upper Mill Creek Streams are
predicted to increase their resiliency
due, in part, to targeted conservation
implemented by the Tennessee Stream
Mitigation Program.
Recovery and Recovery Plan
Implementation
The Nashville Crayfish Recovery Plan
was issued by the Service on August 12,
1987, and revised on February 8, 1989.
The recovery plan did not contain
delisting criteria, as it was thought
unlikely that the species would be
sufficiently protected from all threats
associated with the rapid development
occurring in the Nashville area such that
it could be delisted. Furthermore, no
quantitative recovery level was defined
due to the lack of data on historical
population levels, population trends,
and apparent historical population size.
However, the recovery plan provided
the following criteria that were to be
met before reclassification to a
threatened species could be considered
(USFWS 1989, p. 4):
• Criterion 1. Through protection of
the existing Mill Creek basin population
and by reintroduction of the species into
some as yet unknown historic habitat or
by discovery of an additional distinct
population, there must exist two distinct
viable populations. This criterion has
been partially met due to
implementation of monitoring of water
quality and, where needed, initiation of
enforcement actions by State and local
agencies to ensure the protection of the
existing Mill Creek Basin population.
However, we believe this criterion is not
appropriate given the best available
information concerning the historical
range of the species. At the time of
listing, the species was thought to exist
in multiple locations outside the Mill
Creek drainage, but subsequently those
determinations were found to be in error
(see Background, above). Current
information indicates that the species is
endemic to the Mill Creek drainage.
Thus, we have determined that it is no
longer appropriate to introduce or
recover the species in locations outside
of the Mill Creek drainage. Within the
Mill Creek watershed, the species is
present throughout the drainage;
therefore, if some portion of the range
was impacted by a catastrophic event,
the impacted area could be repopulated.
Therefore, we also have determined that
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the intent of this criterion—to provide
an additional refuge—is not necessary.
• Criterion 2. A newly discovered or
reintroduced population must (a) have
been established or be self-sustaining for
a minimum of 10 years without
augmentation from an outside source,
(b) represent a significant component of
the crayfish fauna throughout most of
that creek, and (c) be stable or
increasing in numbers. For the same
reason as for Criterion 1, this criterion
has not been met and is likely
unachievable. No new populations of
the species have been reintroduced. A
population of the species has not been
discovered outside of the Mill Creek
drainage (USFWS 2017b, p. 14). As
described above, we have determined
that the establishment of a second
population outside of the Mill Creek
drainage is not appropriate. The
Nashville crayfish has faced stressors
from degraded water quality and
potential catastrophic spills associated
with increasing human populations and
urbanization. However, the species has
been found in large numbers at several
locations that are already heavily
developed. The Nashville crayfish
population is stable or increasing
throughout its range despite significant
human population growth, consistent
storm water drainage, and frequent
spills. Furthermore, our analysis of
possible future scenarios demonstrated
that, even under a worst-case scenario,
the species will remain viable in the
Mill Creek watershed within the
foreseeable future.
• Criterion 3. The species and its
habitat in the Mill Creek system and one
other system are protected from humanrelated and natural threats that would
be likely to cause the species’ extinction
in the foreseeable future. This criterion
has been partially met. Service
biologists have worked with other
agencies, groups, and individuals to
protect the species and its habitat from
human-related threats within the Mill
Creek watershed. During project reviews
for routine Corps’ section 404 permits
and TDEC aquatic resource alteration
permits, recommended measures to
protect the species are included as
permit conditions. These permits will
remain applicable upon the delisting of
the species. Furthermore, we have
authority under the FWCA to provide
technical assistance to the Corps during
permit reviews. We also routinely
interact with Metro Water Services on
stormwater best management practices
and compliance activities for project
developments in the watershed. This,
too, will continue upon delisting.
Finally, the Service is also actively
involved with nongovernmental
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organizations to address potential
habitat loss for the species. (USFWS
2017a, p. 16).
In summary, we consider the recovery
plan to be outdated. We now know the
species is endemic only to the Mill
Creek watershed; therefore, establishing
a population outside of the Mill Creek
watershed is not appropriate, and we
will not find additional populations
outside of the watershed. The SSA
highlights that Nashville crayfish
exhibits a high degree of resistance to
disturbance, indicating the species has a
low susceptibility to threats and a high
degree of stability. In fact, the Nashville
crayfish is widely distributed, stable
and increasing throughout most of its
range. The species is also more resilient
to poor water quality conditions that we
understood at the time the recovery plan
was developed.
Determination
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species meets
the definition of ‘‘endangered species’’
or ‘‘threatened species.’’ The Act defines
an ‘‘endangered species’’ as a species
that is ‘‘in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range,’’ and a ‘‘threatened species’’ as
a species that is ‘‘likely to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.’’ We may
determine that a species is an
endangered or threatened species due to
one or more of the five factors described
in section 4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The
present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
We must consider these same five
factors in reclassifying or delisting a
species. In other words, for species that
are already listed as endangered or
threatened, the analysis for a delisting
due to recovery must include an
evaluation of the threats that existed at
the time of listing, the threats currently
facing the species, and the threats that
are reasonably likely to affect the
species in the foreseeable future
following the delisting or downlisting
and the removal of the Act’s protections.
Status Throughout All of Its Range
After evaluating threats to the species
and assessing the cumulative effect of
the threats under the section 4(a)(1)
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65109
factors, we find that the Nashville
crayfish is not in danger of extinction
throughout all of its range. As discussed
above, the Service has applied these
listing factors to the Nashville crayfish.
The Service finds that the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat (Factor A),
which was the basis for listing the
species when it was thought to have
been extirpated from three of the four
watersheds in which it historically
occurred, is no longer a threat to the
continued existence of the Nashville
crayfish, and we do not expect it to be
a threat in the future. The Nashville
crayfish has faced and will face stressors
from degraded water quality and
potential catastrophic spills associated
with increasing human populations and
urbanization. However, the species has
been found in large numbers at several
locations that are already heavily
developed. The Nashville crayfish
population is stable or increasing
throughout its range despite significant
human population growth, consistent
storm water drainage and frequent
spills. Targeted conservation has
ameliorated many threats associated
with reductions in water quality, and
under a best-case scenario will continue
to do so, but even without these efforts,
all population segments are predicted to
at least persist within the foreseeable
future.
Overutilization for commercial,
sporting, scientific, or educational
purposes is considered to be a potential
threat to the Nashville crayfish (Factor
B). Over the period from 2010 to 2015
we received reports that fish and aquatic
invertebrates, including the Nashville
crayfish, have been harvested from Mill
Creek for food. We currently do not
know the extent to which this is
occurring; however, we conclude that
harvesting presently is not a threat to
the species because the species
possesses multiple resilient populations
across its range.
Disease and predation (Factor C) were
not considered to be threats to the
Nashville crayfish at the time of listing.
We have no new information indicating
that disease or predation has become a
significant threat to the species.
The Nashville crayfish and its habitat
have been and will continue to be
protected under the CWA, Tennessee
Water Quality Control Act, and the
Tennessee Nongame and Endangered or
Threatened Wildlife Species
Conservation Act. These existing
regulatory mechanisms (Factor D) are
adequate to protect the Nashville
crayfish now and in the future based on
the crayfish populations continuing to
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be stable throughout the Mill Creek
watershed.
The Nashville crayfish has
demonstrated the ability to adapt to
changing environmental conditions over
time (resiliency) from both
anthropogenic and natural disturbances.
Since the species was listed as an
endangered species in 1986, it has
demonstrated a high degree of viability
even in stream segments that are
impaired. Based on the biology of the
species and the documented responses
to the development in the Nashville
metropolitan area since listing, we
expect the species to respond the same
way in the foreseeable future. In
addition, although there is no genetic
information available for the Nashville
crayfish, there are no indications of a
decreased fitness or that a lack of
representation is adversely affecting
species mortality or limiting its ability
to adapt. Although the Nashville
crayfish is an endemic species, residing
only in the Mill Creek watershed, no
immediate risk of extirpation has been
identified. The fact that the species is
found throughout Mill Creek watershed
and persists even in stream segments of
poor water quality indicates a large,
well-represented population with
demonstrated resiliency to threats.
Because the Nashville crayfish is
considered self-sustaining, contains a
relatively large number of individuals,
and has demonstrated high resilience
and viability, we expect this population
to persist into the future. The species is
considered abundant within its habitat,
which consists of adequate area and
quality to maintain survival and
reproduction in spite of disturbances. It
appears to have highly resilient
population attributes (e.g., ability to use
storm water detention ponds). Nashville
crayfish are represented across the
entire watershed, and no extirpations
have been recorded anywhere in the
species’ historical range; therefore, we
conclude it has high redundancy across
the historical and current range.
Even with continued risks from
degraded water quality and catastrophic
spills (Factor E), the best scientific and
commercial information indicates that
this species is viable and will remain
viable in the foreseeable future.
Therefore, this species is no longer in
danger of extinction, nor is it likely to
become in danger of extinction in the
foreseeable future. Based on the analysis
above and after considering the best
available scientific and commercial
information, we conclude that the
Nashville crayfish does not currently
meet the Act’s definition of either an
endangered or a threatened species
throughout its range.
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Status Throughout a Significant Portion
of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species may warrant
listing if it is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range (SPR). Where the
best available information allows the
Services to determine a status for the
species rangewide, that determination
should be given conclusive weight
because a rangewide determination of
status more accurately reflects the
species’ degree of imperilment and
better promotes the purposes of the Act.
Under this reading, we should first
consider whether the species warrants
listing ‘‘throughout all’’ of its range and
proceed to conduct a ‘‘significant
portion of its range’’ analysis if, and
only if, a species does not qualify for
listing as either an endangered or a
threatened species according to the
‘‘throughout all’’ language.
Having determined that the Nashville
crayfish is not in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future throughout all of its range, we
now consider whether it may be in
danger of extinction or likely to become
so in the foreseeable future in an SPR.
The range of a species can theoretically
be divided into portions in an infinite
number of ways, so we first screen the
potential portions of the species’ range
to determine if there are any portions
that warrant further consideration. To
do the ‘‘screening’’ analysis, we ask
whether there are portions of the
species’ range for which there is
substantial information indicating that:
(1) The portion may be significant; and,
(2) the species may be, in that portion,
either in danger of extinction or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future.
For a particular portion, if we cannot
answer both questions in the
affirmative, then that portion does not
warrant further consideration and the
species does not warrant listing because
of its status in that portion of its range.
We emphasize that answering these
questions in the affirmative is not a
determination that the species is in
danger of extinction or likely to become
so in the foreseeable future throughout
a significant portion of its range—rather,
it is a step in determining whether a
more detailed analysis of the issue is
required.
If we answer these questions in the
affirmative, we then conduct a more
thorough analysis to determine whether
the portion does indeed meet both of the
SPR prongs: (1) The portion is
significant and (2) the species is, in that
portion, either in danger of extinction or
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likely to become so in the foreseeable
future. Confirmation that a portion does
indeed meet one of these prongs does
not create a presumption, prejudgment,
or other determination as to whether the
species is an endangered species or
threatened species. Rather, we must
then undertake a more detailed analysis
of the other prong to make that
determination. Only if the portion does
indeed meet both SPR prongs would the
species warrant listing because of its
status in a significant portion of its
range.
At both stages in this process—the
stage of screening potential portions to
identify any portions that warrant
further consideration and the stage of
undertaking the more detailed analysis
of any portions that do warrant further
consideration—it might be more
efficient for us to address the
‘‘significance’’ question or the ‘‘status’’
question first. Our selection of which
question to address first for a particular
portion depends on the biology of the
species, its range, and the threats it
faces. Regardless of which question we
address first, if we reach a negative
answer with respect to the first question
that we address, we do not need to
evaluate the second question for that
portion of the species’ range.
For Nashville crayfish we chose to
evaluate the status question (i.e.,
identifying portions where the Nashville
crayfish may be in danger of extinction
or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future) first. To conduct this screening,
we considered whether the threats are
geographically concentrated in any
portion of the species’ range at a
biologically meaningful scale. We
examined the following threats: Human
population growth, urban development,
impervious cover, and catastrophic
spills including cumulative effects. We
found no concentration of threats in any
portion of the Nashville crayfish range
at a biologically meaningful scale.
If both (1) a species is not in danger
of extinction or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range and (2) the threats to the
species are essentially uniform
throughout its range, then the species
could not be in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future in any biologically meaningful
portion of its range. For the Nashville
crayfish, we found both: The species is
not in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range, and there is
no geographical concentration of threats
so the threats to the species are
essentially uniform throughout its
range. Therefore, no portions warrant
further consideration through a more
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detailed analysis, and the species is not
in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future in
any significant portion of its range. Our
approach to analyzing SPR in this
determination is consistent with the
court’s holding in Desert Survivors v.
Department of the Interior, No. 16–cv–
01165–JCS, 2018 WL 4053447 (N.D. Cal.
Aug. 24, 2018).
Determination of Status
Our review of the best available
scientific and commercial information
indicates that the Nashville crayfish is
not in danger of extinction nor likely to
become endangered within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
Therefore, we find that the Nashville
crayfish does not meet the Act’s
definition of an endangered species or
of a threatened species, and we propose
to remove the Nashville crayfish from
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife.
Effects of This Proposed Rule
This proposal, if made final, would
revise 50 CFR 17.11(h) to remove the
Nashville crayfish from the Federal List
of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
The prohibitions and conservation
measures provided by the Act,
particularly through sections 7 and 9,
would no longer apply to this species.
Federal agencies would no longer be
required to consult with the Service
under section 7 of the Act in the event
that activities they authorize, fund, or
carry out may affect Nashville crayfish.
There is no critical habitat designated
for this species.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us
to monitor for not less than 5 years the
status of all species that are delisted due
to recovery. Post-delisting monitoring
(PDM) refers to activities undertaken to
verify that a species delisted due to
recovery remains secure from the risk of
extinction after the protections of the
Act no longer apply. The primary goal
of PDM is to monitor the species to
ensure that its status does not
deteriorate, and if a decline is detected,
to take measures to halt the decline so
that proposing it as an endangered or a
threatened species is not again needed.
If at any time during the monitoring
period, data indicate that protective
status under the Act should be
reinstated, we can initiate listing
procedures, including, if appropriate,
emergency listing. At the conclusion of
the monitoring period, we will review
all available information to determine if
relisting, the continuation of
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monitoring, or the termination of
monitoring is appropriate.
Section 4(g) of the Act explicitly
requires that we cooperate with the
States in development and
implementation of PDM programs.
However, we remain ultimately
responsible for compliance with section
4(g) of the Act and, therefore, must
remain actively engaged in all phases of
PDM. We also seek active participation
of other entities that are expected to
assume responsibilities for the species’
conservation after delisting.
Concurrent with this proposed
delisting rule, we announce the draft
plan’s availability for public review at
https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062.
Copies can also be obtained from the
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
Tennessee Ecological Services Field
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT). We seek information, data,
and comments from the public
regarding this proposed delisting of the
Nashville crayfish and the PDM plan.
We are also seeking peer review of the
draft PDM plan concurrently with this
comment period. We anticipate
finalizing the PDM plan, considering all
public and peer review comments, prior
to making a final determination on the
proposed delisting rule.
Required Determinations
Clarity of the Proposed Rule
We are required by Executive Orders
12866 and 12988 and by the
Presidential Memorandum of June 1,
1998, to write all rules in plain
language. This means that each rule we
publish must:
(a) Be logically organized;
(b) Use the active voice to address
readers directly;
(c) Use clear language rather than
jargon;
(d) Be divided into short sections and
sentences; and
(e) Use lists and tables wherever
possible.
If you feel that we have not met these
requirements, send us comments by one
of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To
better help us revise the rule, your
comments should be as specific as
possible. For example, you should tell
us the numbers of the sections or
paragraphs that are unclearly written,
which sections or sentences are too
long, the sections where you feel lists or
tables would be useful, etc.
National Environmental Policy Act
We have determined that we do not
need to prepare an environmental
assessment or environmental impact
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statement, as defined in the National
Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C.
4321 et seq.), in connection with
regulations adopted pursuant to section
4(a) of the Endangered Species Act. We
published a notice outlining our reasons
for this determination in the Federal
Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
49244).
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994,
‘‘Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments’’ (59 FR 22951), Executive
Order 13175, and the Department of the
Interior’s manual at 512 DM 2, we
readily acknowledge our responsibility
to communicate meaningfully with
recognized Federal Tribes on a
government-to-government basis. In
accordance with Secretarial Order 3206
of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal
Rights, Federal-Tribal Trust
Responsibilities, and the Endangered
Species Act), we readily acknowledge
our responsibilities to work directly
with tribes in developing programs for
healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that
tribal lands are not subject to the same
controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and
to make information available to tribes.
There are no tribal interests associated
with this proposed rule.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited is
available on the internet at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R4–ES–2018–0062 and upon
request from the Field Supervisor,
Tennessee Ecological Services Field
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT, above).
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed
rule are staff members of the Service’s
Southeastern Region Recovery Team
and the Tennessee Ecological Services
Field Office.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we propose to amend
part 17, subchapter B of chapter I, title
50 of the Code of Federal Regulations,
as set forth below:
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PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; and 4201–4245, unless otherwise
noted.
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§ 17.11
[Amended]
2. Amend § 17.11(h) by removing the
entry for ‘‘Crayfish, Nashville’’ under
CRUSTACEANS from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
■
Dated: September 24, 2019.
Margret E. Everson
Principal Deputy Director, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, Exercising the Authority of
the Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2019–25548 Filed 11–25–19; 8:45 am]
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 228 (Tuesday, November 26, 2019)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 65098-65112]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-25548]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2018-0062; FXES11130900000-189-FF0932000]
RIN 1018-BD02
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the
Nashville Crayfish From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), propose to
remove the Nashville crayfish (Orconectes shoupi), a relatively large
crayfish native to the Mill Creek watershed in Davidson and Williamson
Counties, Tennessee, from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife (List). This determination is based on the best available
scientific and commercial data, which indicate that the threats to the
species have been eliminated or reduced to the point that the species
has recovered and no longer meets the definition of an endangered or a
threatened species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended
(Act). We also announce the availability of a draft post-delisting
monitoring (PDM) plan for the Nashville crayfish. We seek information,
data, and comments from the public regarding this proposal to remove
the Nashville crayfish from the List (i.e., ``delist'' the species) and
regarding the draft PDM plan.
DATES: We will accept comments received or postmarked on or before
January 27, 2020. Comments submitted electronically using the Federal
eRulemaking Portal (see ADDRESSES, below) must be received by 11:59
p.m. Eastern Time on the closing date. We must receive requests for
public hearings, in writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT by January 10, 2020.
ADDRESSES: Written comments: You may submit comments on this proposed
rule by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter FWS-R4-ES-2018-0062,
which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then, click on the
Search button. On the resulting page, in the Search panel on the left
side of the screen, under the Document Type heading, click on the
Proposed Rule box to locate this document. You may submit a comment by
clicking on ``Comment Now!''
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail or hand-delivery to: Public
Comments Processing, Attn: FWS-R4-ES-2018-0062; U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, MS: BPHC, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
We request that you send comments only by the methods described
above. We will post all comments on https://www.regulations.gov. This
generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
us (see Information Requested, below, for more information).
Document availability: This proposed rule, the draft PDM plan, and
supporting documents (including the species status assessment (SSA)
report, references cited, and the 5-year review) are available at
https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2018-0062.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Lee Andrews, Field Supervisor, U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service, Tennessee Ecological Services Field Office,
446 Neal Street, Cookeville, TN 38506; telephone 931-528-6481. Persons
who use a telecommunications device for the deaf (TDD) may call the
Federal Relay Service at 800-877-8339.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Information Requested
We intend that any final action resulting from this proposed rule
will be based on the best scientific and commercial data available and
be as accurate and as effective as possible. Therefore, we request
comments and information from other concerned governmental agencies,
Native American tribes, the scientific community, industry, or any
other interested party concerning this proposed rule. Because we will
consider all comments and information we receive during the comment
period, our final determination may differ from this proposal. We
particularly seek comments on:
(1) Information concerning the biology and ecology of the Nashville
crayfish;
(2) Relevant data concerning any threats (or lack thereof) to the
Nashville crayfish, particularly any data on the possible effects of
climate change as it relates to habitat, and the extent of State
protection and management that would be provided to this crayfish as a
delisted species;
(3) Current or planned activities within the geographic range of
the Nashville crayfish that may negatively impact or benefit the
species; and
(4) The draft PDM plan and the methods and approach detailed in it.
Please include sufficient information (such as scientific journal
articles or other publications) to allow us to verify any scientific or
commercial information you include. All comments submitted
electronically via https://www.regulations.gov will be presented on the
website in their entirety as submitted. For comments submitted via hard
copy, we will post your entire comment--including your personal
identifying information--on https://www.regulations.gov. You may request
at the top of your document that we withhold personal information such
as your street address, phone number, or email address from public
review; however, we cannot guarantee that we will be able to do so.
Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
documentation we used in preparing this proposed rule, will be
available for public inspection on https://www.regulations.gov, or by
appointment, during normal business hours, at the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, Tennessee Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Please note that submissions merely stating support for or
opposition to the listing action under consideration without providing
supporting information, although noted, will not be considered in
making a determination, as section 4(b)(1)(A) of the Act (16 U.S.C.
1531 et seq.) directs that determinations as to whether any species is
an endangered or a threatened species must be made ``solely on the
basis of the best scientific and commercial data available.''
Public Hearing
Section 4(b)(5)(E) of the Act provides for a public hearing on this
proposal, if
[[Page 65099]]
requested. Requests must be received within 45 days after the date of
publication of this proposed rule in the Federal Register (see DATES).
Such requests must be sent to the address shown in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT. We will schedule a public hearing on this
proposal, if requested, and announce the date, time, and place of the
hearing, as well as how to obtain reasonable accommodations, in the
Federal Register at least 15 days before the hearing.
Previous Federal Actions
On September 26, 1986, we published a final rule in the Federal
Register (51 FR 34410) listing the Nashville crayfish as endangered due
to siltation, stream alterations, and water quality deterioration
resulting from urban development pressures. On February 8, 1989, we
released a recovery plan for the Nashville crayfish (USFWS 1989,
entire). The latest 5-year review for the species, completed in
February 2017, recommended reclassifying the Nashville crayfish to a
threatened species due to recovery (USFWS 2017a, entire). Based on this
recommendation, a species status assessment (SSA) was initiated and
completed. Six peer reviewers were requested to review the SSA and
provide feedback. Reviewers were selected based on their knowledge of
the species' biology and habitat. Two peer reviewers submitted
feedback. One of the commenters informed us that Nashville crayfish
have been observed to be active on the surface diurnally during certain
times of the year and suggested we add otters as predators to the
crayfish. Another commenter asked about the conservation work being
done by two Tennessee agencies. This information was incorporated into
the final SSA and this proposed rule.
Background
A thorough review of the taxonomy, life history, ecology, and
overall viability of the Nashville crayfish is presented in the SSA
report (USFWS 2017b; available at https://www.fws.gov/southeast/ and at
https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2018-0062).
The Nashville crayfish is endemic to the Mill Creek watershed south
of Nashville in Davidson and Williamson Counties, Tennessee. The
species is currently known to occur in Mill Creek and its tributaries,
including Collins Creek, Owl Creek, Edmonson Branch, Sims Branch,
Sevenmile Creek, Sorghum Branch, Whittemore Branch, Turkey Creek,
Indian Creek, Holt Creek, four unnamed tributaries to Mill Creek, and
one unnamed tributary to Owl Creek (USFWS 2017b, p. 5). There has been
no change in the distribution of the species within its historical
range (USFWS 2016, unpublished data).
Biologists conducting the pre-listing status survey for the species
surveyed 148 streams in the following central Tennessee drainages
(Korgi and O'Bara 1985, entire): Collins River, Stones River, Caney
Fork River, Cumberland River, Red River, Mill Creek, Harpeth River, and
Elk River. Nashville crayfish were only found in Mill Creek and its
tributaries.
Nonetheless, at the time of listing in 1986, the species was
thought to have occurred historically in several locations outside of
the Mill Creek watershed, including Big Creek in Giles County (Elk
River drainage), the South Harpeth River in Davidson County (Harpeth
River drainage), and Richland Creek in Davidson County (Cumberland
River drainage) (USFWS 1987, entire). The Service now believes that the
Big Creek and South Harpeth River records are the result of accidental
introduction by anglers using the species as bait and are no longer
thought to be historical locations for the crayfish (USFWS 2017b, p.
4). The Service originally believed that the Richland Creek occurrence
had been displaced by a more competitive crayfish species (USFWS 2017b,
p. 4). However, it was later determined that specimens of Nashville
crayfish (Orconectes shoupi) collected from Richland Creek were
misidentified, and the collections were subsequently correctly
identified as the bigclaw crayfish (Orconectes placidus) (USFWS 1989,
entire). In short, we now conclude that Mill Creek and its tributaries
constitute both the historical and current ranges of the species.
The Nashville crayfish is a relatively large crayfish ranging from
young-of-the-year at about 0.6 centimeters (cm) (0.24 inches (in))
total length (TL) to adults at about 17.8 cm (7 in) (TDNA 2009, p. 11;
O'Bara et al. 1985, entire). Other Orconectes species reported from the
Mill Creek watershed, including O. rhoadesi and O. durelli, can easily
be distinguished from the Nashville crayfish by gonopod (reproductive)
structure and body coloration. However, even young-of-the-year crayfish
from the Mill Creek watershed often can be identified as the Nashville
crayfish, as no other saddle-bearing species are present in the system.
The saddle-bearing features include elongate pincers with red tips and
adjacent narrow black banding, a usually light-colored ``saddle'' on
the carapace extending from the posterior to the anterior and
terminating as lateral stripes on both sides, and distinctive gonopods
markedly different from any of its congeners.
The Nashville crayfish has been found in a wide range of
environments, including gravel and cobble runs, pools with up to 10 cm
(3.9 in) of settled sediment, and in small pools with intermittent flow
(Stark 1986, 44 pp; Miller and Hartfield 1985, entire). The species has
also been found in impoundments that include overflow pools and
retention ponds adjacent to Mill Creek and its tributaries (Cook and
Walton 2008, p. 121; Service 2011, entire). It is estimated that
approximately 54 percent (104 stream miles) of the 192 stream miles of
the Mill Creek watershed that have the potential to support Nashville
crayfish is currently occupied by the species (USFWS 2017b, p. 30).
Population estimates from surveys are limited to the mainstem of
Mill Creek and Sevenmile Creek, although surveys in other streams have
detected Nashville crayfish and indicate consistent presence over time
(USFWS 2017, pp. 29-30, 35-40). Between 1999 and 2001, surveys
conducted within the mainstem and Sevenmile Creek led to overall
estimates of 1,854 to 3,217 individuals and 404 to 1,425 individuals
per 100 linear meters, respectively. (USFWS 2017b, p. 29). Long-term
monitoring, conducted between 2011 and 2015, has documented a total of
1,763 crayfish per 100 linear meters at five main stem Mill Creek
sampling sites. This long-term monitoring, conducted by the Nashville
Zoo, found Nashville crayfish to be the predominant species, comprising
more than 90 percent of all crayfish documented at all five sites
surveyed. According to these surveys, the Nashville crayfish has
remained stable throughout the Mill Creek watershed.
Summary of Biological Status and Threats
The Act directs us to determine whether any species is an
endangered or a threatened species because of any factors affecting its
continued existence. The SSA report documents the results of our
comprehensive biological status review for the Nashville crayfish,
including an assessment of the potential stressors to the species. The
SSA report does not represent a decision by the Service on whether the
species should be listed as an endangered or a threatened species under
the Act. It does, however, provide the scientific basis for our
regulatory decision, which involves the further application of
standards within the Act and its implementing regulations and policies.
The following is a summary of the key results and conclusions from the
SSA
[[Page 65100]]
report; the full SSA report can be found on the Southeast Region
website at https://www.fws.gov/southeast/ and at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2018-0062.
Summary of SSA Report
To assess the Nashville crayfish's viability, we used the three
conservation biology principles of resiliency, representation, and
redundancy (Shaffer and Stein 2000, pp. 306-310). Briefly, resiliency
supports the ability of the species to withstand environmental and
demographic stochasticity (for example, wet or dry, warm or cold
years); representation supports the ability of the species to adapt
over time to long-term changes in the environment (for example, climate
changes); and redundancy supports the ability of the species to
withstand catastrophic events (for example, droughts, hazardous
spills). In general, the more redundant and resilient a species is and
the more representation it has, the more likely it is to sustain
populations over time, even under changing environmental conditions.
Using these principles, we identified the species' ecological
requirements for survival and reproduction at the individual,
population, and species levels, and described the beneficial and risk
factors influencing the species' viability.
The SSA process can be divided into three sequential stages. During
the first stage, we use the conservation biology principles of
resiliency, redundancy, and representation (together, the 3Rs) to
evaluate individual life-history needs. The next stage involves an
assessment of the historical and current condition of species'
demographics and habitat characteristics, including an explanation of
how the species arrived at its current condition. The final stage of
the SSA involves making predictions about the species' responses to
positive and negative environmental and anthropogenic influences. This
process uses the best available information to characterize viability
as the ability of a species to sustain populations in the wild over
time. We used this information to inform our decision in this proposed
rule.
Species Needs
For the Nashville crayfish to maintain viability, its populations
or some portion thereof must be resilient. Stochastic factors that have
the potential to affect Nashville crayfish include impacts to water
quality, particularly phosphorus loading, sedimentation, and
significant alterations to dissolved oxygen.
Silt deposition in streams contributes to several of the
impairments in the Mill Creek watershed, and can also be a risk factor
for crayfish. Stream channelization and silt deposition has been
reported to be directly responsible for the permanent loss of some
crayfish populations (Reynolds et al. 2013, p. 197-218). As crayfish
are primarily active at night, the chief requirement of all size
classes is for hiding spaces during the daytime. Where loss of hiding
spaces occurs through bank reconstruction or siltation from natural or
human causes, the habitat's carrying capacity for crayfish diminishes
(Reynolds et al. 2013, p. 197-218). Therefore, good quality habitat for
Nashville crayfish has minimal silt deposition such that availability
of vital hiding spaces, and thus carrying capacity, are maximized.
Dissolved oxygen (DO) levels are an important water quality
parameter for all aquatic life, including crayfish. Oxygen is dissolved
into the water in streams through diffusion, aeration, and as the waste
product of plants that are photosynthesizing. The amount of DO found in
water can vary due to several factors including water temperature,
level of pollutants and water velocity. Extended periods of
supersaturation can occur in highly aerated waters, often near
hydropower dams and waterfalls, or due to excessive photosynthetic
activity. Algae blooms can cause air saturations of over 100% due to
large amounts of oxygen as a photosynthetic byproduct. This is often
coupled with higher water temperatures, which also affects saturation
(Fondriest 2013, entire). High levels of DO may be stressful to
crayfish because of physiological effects, such as gas bubble disease,
or because higher oxygen levels allow invasion of invasive crayfish
species, who better tolerate higher DO concentrations. If DO levels are
very low, it is harder for individual crayfish to take in oxygen, and
in extreme cases the lack of DO results in death. Although the
tolerance level of Nashville crayfish for DO is not known, levels below
2.0 mg/L typically result in invertebrates abandoning the area
(Fondriest 2013, entire).
Other factors that influence the resiliency of Nashville crayfish
populations include population size and the presence of slab rock (TDNA
2009, entire). Influencing those factors are elements of Nashville
crayfish ecology (e.g., dispersal and reproductive success) that
determine whether populations can grow to maximize habitat occupancy,
thereby increasing resiliency of populations (USFWS 2017b, p. 22). Slab
rock is defined as moderately to large sized rocks in the stream
channel, typically limestone, found on top of bedrock, cobble, or
gravel. Adult Nashville crayfish occur in various habitats in streams
with slab rocks or other debris for cover. Adults tend to be solitary,
seeking cover under large rocks, logs, debris, or rubble; the largest
individuals generally selected the largest cover available (USFWS 1987,
entire). Cover, particularly presence of large rocks, is also important
to Nashville crayfish (Cook and Walton 2008, p. 121). Nashville
crayfish were found half of the time in runs, using rocks with a
surface area of 0.05 m\2\ (0.54 ft\2\) as cover, and half of the time
in pools, when cover rock area increased to 0.10 m\2\ (1.1 ft\2\).
Larger rock areas may be needed in pools to decrease risk of predation,
whereas smaller rock areas would provide adequate protection in runs
(Cook and Walton 2008, p. 121). Reproductive females are typically
found under large slab rocks. Females seek out large slab rocks when
they are carrying eggs and young, and these secluded places are also
needed for molting. Cover rocks of at least 0.02 m\2\ (2.15 ft\2\) may
be important habitats for females releasing broods and for protection
during molting after releasing broods (USFWS 1987, entire). Gravel-
cobble substrate provided good cover for juveniles (Stark 1986, Miller
and Hartfield 1985, entire).
Representation can be measured by the breadth of genetic or
environmental diversity within and among populations, and gauges the
probability that a species is capable of adapting to environmental
changes. In the absence of species-specific genetic and ecological
diversity information, we evaluated representation based on the extent
and variability of habitat characteristics across the geographical
range of the species.
For the Nashville crayfish to maintain viability, the species as a
whole also needs to exhibit some degree of redundancy. We measured
redundancy for Nashville crayfish in terms of the number and
distribution of resilient populations across the range of the species.
It is important to note that Nashville crayfish has a naturally limited
range, so measures of redundancy reflect the distribution within a
relatively small area.
Current Condition
Resiliency
The Nashville crayfish is restricted to the Mill Creek watershed,
which we now understand to represent the species' historical range. For
this assessment, we measured resiliency at
[[Page 65101]]
the population segment level, but also reported resiliency in total
stream miles across the species' range. Because resiliency is a
population-level attribute, key to assessing it is the ability to
delineate populations. Because there is insufficient information on
dispersal and genetics to accurately delineate demographic populations
for Nashville crayfish, we delineated population segments. These were
delineated based on habitat quality (i.e., presence of slab rock and
qualitative assessments of water quality) and species occurrence data
from natural heritage data of the Tennessee Department of Environment
and Conservation (TDEC) and opinions of species experts. We identified
174 stream segments based on watershed features, stream
characteristics, and expert opinion (USFWS 2017b, p. 19). This resulted
in delineation of 10 population segments within 3 representative units:
Upper Mill Creek, Middle Mill Creek, and Lower Mill Creek watershed
catchments (Table 1; and Figure 1).
Table 1--List of Delineated Population Segments of Nashville Crayfish
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Middle Mill Creek Lower Mill Creek
Upper Mill Creek (MCW-A) (MCW-B) (MCW-C)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Upper Mill Creek Streams........ Middle Mill Creek Lower Mill Creek
Streams. Streams.
Upper Mill Creek and Tributaries Owl Creek......... Sevenmile Creek
and Tributaries.
Mainstem Mill Creek *........... Holt Creek........ Mainstem Mill
Creek .*
Indian Creek......
Collins Creek.....
Mainstem Mill
Creek *.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Mainstem Mill Creek runs through all three watershed catchments.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP26NO19.000
Element Occurrence (EO; an area of land or water where a species is
or was present) data were available through TDEC Natural Heritage Data
shapefiles. These data represent survey detections for Nashville
crayfish conducted since
[[Page 65102]]
1985, and each EO has an associated EO viability score. The EO
viability scores provide a succinct assessment of the estimated
viability of the species, or an estimation of the likelihood that, if
current conditions prevail, a species occurrence will persist for a
period of time. The EO viability scores for Nashville crayfish were
delineated by Service biologists following NatureServe descriptions
(Hammerson et al. 2008) as follows:
Excellent--species occurrence exhibits optimal or at least
exceptionally favorable characteristics with respect to population size
and/or quantity and quality of occupied habitat, and if current
conditions prevail, the occurrence is very likely to persist for the
foreseeable future (i.e., at least 20-30 years).
Good--species occurrence exhibits favorable
characteristics with respect to population size and/or quantity and
quality of occupied habitat, and if current conditions prevail, the
occurrence is very likely to persist for the foreseeable future (i.e.,
at least 20-30 years).
Fair--species occurrence characteristics (size, condition,
and landscape context) are non-optimal such that occurrence persistence
is uncertain under current conditions, but may persist for the
foreseeable future with appropriate management or protection.
Poor--If current conditions prevail, occurrence has a high
risk of extirpation because of small population size or area of
occupancy, deteriorated habitat, poor conditions for reproduction, or
other factors.
We looked at EO viability scores based on the element occurrence
data, and elicited the opinions of Nashville crayfish experts as to how
we should characterize resiliency of that population segment. The EO
viability scores provided a succinct assessment of the estimated
viability of the species, or an estimation of the likelihood that, if
current conditions prevail, a species occurrence will persist for a
period of time.
The EO data, combined with other survey efforts and expert opinion
resulted in the delineation of 174 stream segments. These stream
segments were scaled up to the population segment scale based on
watershed features such as physical hydrology and stream
characteristics, and species expert opinion, resulting in
identification of 10 population segments. We categorized resiliency for
each of these population segments using stream segment viability scores
(e.g., excellent, good, fair, poor, and uncertain) and expert opinion.
We considered stream segment viability scores of excellent and good as
a single category, with fair, poor, and uncertain being the other three
stream viability scores used in the resilience categorization. We
considered populations to be high resiliency when more than 50 percent
of its stream segments had EO viability scores of Excellent or Good.
Populations where greater than 50 percent of stream segments had EO
viability scores of Fair were considered to be moderate resiliency. We
considered populations to be low resiliency if more than 50 percent of
its stream segments had Poor EO viability scores. Finally, for
populations where over 50 percent of stream segment viability scores
were uncertain, we used a combination of EO viability scores (where
this was available) and expert opinion to determine whether they were
high, moderate, or low resiliency. Within each of the 10 population
segments, we calculated the total stream miles within each stream
segment viability category to determine the proportion of various
viability ranks represented (USFWS 2017b, p. 21).
Of the 10 population segments, currently six (145 stream miles; 76
percent of the total range) display high resiliency (likely to persist
for at least 20 to 30 years); two (20 stream miles; 10 percent of the
total range) display moderate resiliency (may persist for at least 20
to 30 years); and two (26.5 stream miles; 14 percent of the total
range) display low resiliency (high risk of extirpation in 20 to 30
years).
Representation
We lack genetic and ecological diversity data to characterize
representation for Nashville crayfish. In the absence of this
information, we evaluated representation based on the extent and
variability of habitat characteristics across the species' geographical
range. For the Nashville crayfish, we characterized representative
units by using physical stream hydrology, and measured representation
as the number of resilient populations within three delineated
representative units as originally proposed in Jones (2006, p. 6)--MCW-
A or Upper, MCW-B or Middle, and MCW-C or Lower (see discussion and
Table 1 above). The three units have different stream and watershed
characteristics, such as stream order, surrounding drainage landscapes,
depth, and flow, but are primarily delineated based on amount of
development. The landscape in unit MCW-A is primarily agricultural,
unit MCW-B encompasses the suburban subwatersheds, and unit MCW-C is
primarily urban (Jones 2006, p. 6). The representative units are
catchments created by using flow direction, flow accumulation, and a 3-
meter resolution digital elevation model (Jones 2006, entire).
Differences in hydrology in these three areas could result in
differences in how the species may adapt to changing environmental
conditions. Because the mainstem population segment crosses
representative unit boundaries, we report representation as the
percentage of stream miles categorized as low, moderate, and high
within each representative unit:
Upper (MCW-A): There are 61.8 total stream miles within
this unit. Of those, 49.6 miles (80 percent) are portions of population
segments classified as high resiliency; 12.2 miles (20 percent) are
classified as low resiliency.
Middle (MCW-B): There are 72.6 total stream miles within
this unit. Of those, 43.6 miles (60 percent) are portions of population
segments classified as high resiliency; 19.7 miles (27 percent) are
classified as moderate resiliency; and 9.3 miles (13 percent) are
classified as low resiliency.
Lower (MCW-C): There are 57.1 total stream miles within
this unit. Of those, 52.1 miles (91 percent) are portions of population
segments classified as high resiliency; 5.0 miles (9 percent) are
classified as low resiliency.
For the Nashville crayfish, our expert noted that the sub-
watersheds we used were a good way to spatially delineate adaptive
capacity. In fact, our spatial analysis was confirmed by a dissertation
done previously that looked at variability within that watershed
discussed in the SSA (Jones 2006, entire). From north to south the
species clearly showed some adaptive capacity, as evidenced by the
differences in habitat from north to south. Because of this we
established the three representative units (upper, middle, lower).
To measure representation we then looked at the number of resilient
stream segments and their resiliency score, assuming that a high number
of stream segments in a high resiliency status means there is
sufficient representation in that unit. If, for example, we had a
representative unit with a majority of low resiliency stream segments
we would then be concerned the species may lose some of its
representation. As this was not the case, we believe that
representation is not limiting the species' ability to maintain
resilient populations. We therefore conclude that representation is
high because the
[[Page 65103]]
majority of stream miles in each segment are highly resilient.
Redundancy
For the Nashville crayfish to maintain viability, the species needs
to exhibit some degree of redundancy. Redundancy describes the ability
of a species to withstand catastrophic events. Measured by the number
of populations, their resiliency, and their distribution (and
connectivity), redundancy gauges the probability that the species has a
margin of safety to withstand or return from catastrophic events (such
as a rare destructive natural event or episode involving many
populations). We report redundancy for Nashville crayfish as the total
number of population segments and their distribution within and among
representative units.
As discussed above, there are 10 population segments distributed
across the range of the Nashville crayfish between the three
representative units. Six of these population segments are highly
resilient; two population segments are moderately resilient; and two
population segments are of low resiliency. As also discussed above,
there is adequate redundancy based on the distribution in the three
representative units for the Nashville crayfish to withstand
catastrophic events. The catastrophic events likely to affect the
Nashville crayfish are spills associated with increasing human
population and urbanization (see Summary of Threats below). However,
the likelihood of such events occurring is not equal across the three
units: They are far more likely to occur in the lower, highly urbanized
unit MCW-C (the farthest downstream) and much less likely to occur in
the middle (MCW-B) and upper (MCW-A) units because these units are less
developed. Therefore, if a spill were to occur, it is more likely to
affect only one unit and not all three.
In any case, even in the unlikely circumstance a catastrophic event
would impact the entire range of the species, the Nashville crayfish
has demonstrated a high degree of resistance to disturbance. In the
Mill Creek watershed, there have been frequent spills/releases of raw
sewage and hazardous substances, particularly in the lower reaches
(USFWS 2018, p. 50-51). However, despite these events, the species has
been found in large numbers at several locations that are already
heavily developed. Although the Metropolitan Nashville area is
experiencing significant growth, with numerous residential, commercial,
utility, and other infrastructure developments occurring in the
watershed, Nashville crayfish populations have been documented to be
stable or increasing in size.
Based on our analysis of these three factors, the species
demonstrates high viability, indicating that it is likely to persist in
the future. Since the Nashville crayfish was listed, individuals have
been found in large numbers at several locations in the watershed that
are heavily developed and subjected to consistent storm water and
sediment inputs, as well as frequent spills and releases of raw sewage
and hazardous substances. Despite these stressors, Nashville crayfish
density has increased in all three representative units (McGinnity
2016, p. 3)
Summary of Threats and Conservation Measures That Affect the Species
Section 4(a)(1) of the Act directs us to determine whether any
species is an endangered species or a threatened species because of any
of the following factors: (A) The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
In the assessment report, we reviewed the factors (i.e., threats,
stressors) that could be affecting the Nashville crayfish now or in the
future. However, in this proposed rule, we will focus our discussion on
those factors that could meaningfully impact the status of the species.
The primary risk factor affecting the status of the Nashville crayfish
is development in the Mill Creek watershed that results in destruction
or alteration of habitat. This was a primary factor in our decision to
list the species in 1986. Specifically, increased development in the
watershed leads to increased impervious cover, which in turn often
leads to water quality deterioration. This takes the form of siltation,
stream alteration, and urban runoff (particularly of phosphorus),
resulting from development in Nashville and surrounding urbanized
areas, all of which have the potential to negatively impact the
Nashville crayfish. Secondary risk factors include the species' limited
distribution, which makes it vulnerable to catastrophic events, such as
chemical spills or other contamination sources. Development in the
watershed can also increase the probably of catastrophic spills as well
as increase road density and create new contaminant sources.
Competition with invasive crayfish species could also be problematic,
but presently, this is not a known threat for the species. Similarly,
climate change and its associated effects will not have a negative
impact on the Nashville crayfish now or in the foreseeable future.
Factor A. Present or Threatened Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Habitat or Range
The primary threat to the continued existence of the Nashville
crayfish is still development in the Mill Creek watershed that results
in destruction or alteration of the aquatic habitat. The population of
Davidson County grew by 5.1 percent between 2010 and 2013. Adjacent
Williamson County grew by 8.6 percent in the same time period (USFWS
2017a, p. 12). As Nashville and the surrounding areas have grown,
commercial and residential development has increased within the Mill
Creek watershed. Areas in the upper reaches of the Mill Creek watershed
that were once rural agricultural areas are now being developed for
residential purposes. Development often results in removal of riparian
vegetation and canopy cover over the stream that may result in bank
collapse. Runoff from denuded areas can result in heavy input of
sediment into the stream, excessive in-stream sediment deposition, and
increased water turbidity and temperatures. Sediment has been shown to
break down and or suffocate bottom-dwelling algae and other organisms
by clogging gills and reducing aquatic insect diversity and abundance
(Waters 1995, p. 251). We anticipate population growth in the Nashville
metropolitan area to continue, with associated increases in
development. Five of the ten counties in Tennessee with the highest
projected growth rates through 2040--Williamson, Rutherford, Wilson,
Robertson, and Sumner--are in the Nashville metropolitan area.
Approximately 69 percent of the population growth in Tennessee from
2010 to 2040 is expected to occur in 10 counties across the state,
including Davidson and Williamson counties (Boyd Center 2015, entire).
However, despite the increased development, the species has been found
in several locations and in large numbers.
Highway and road construction, as well as utility line construction
and right-of-way maintenance, within and adjacent to streams, may also
alter or destroy habitat. Additionally, short-term dewatering to
excavate trenches for utility lines could also result in temporary loss
of habitat. The settling
[[Page 65104]]
and filling in of crevices and interstitial spaces with sediment under
slab rocks is likely to result in increased biological oxygen demand
and longer term or permanent loss of habitat for crayfish (Cook and
Walton 2008, p. 121). These are all potential impacts to crayfish
habitat. We know that these actions result in degradation of riparian
areas and stream health, but there is uncertainty regarding how
tolerant the Nashville crayfish is to such changes. The only area where
we know the species was negatively impacted was near the airport where
toxic releases caused abandonment of that stream reach. However, years
later, the area was recolonized, albeit at a lower abundance (USFWS
2017b, p. 51).
To avoid direct adverse impacts to the crayfish and its habitat,
developers increasingly use directional boring under the stream as a
means of accomplishing crossings for utility and communication lines;
however, if not done properly, boring can cause fracturing of the
stream bottom. This can result in release of bentonite and other
slurries as well as toxic materials from the bore hole into the stream.
Dewatering of short or long reaches of the stream channel downstream
from the fracture may also occur. Dewatering can be permanent if the
fracture causes the entire surface flow to go underground. Materials
released into the stream from bore holes range from inert slurries to
potentially toxic chemicals and lubricants; however, inert slurry, if
released in large amounts, could result in mortality to crayfish and
other benthic fauna by smothering adults and juveniles. In 2000, during
installation of fiber optic cables in the Mill Creek drainage, several
incidents of fracturing occurred resulting in the release of large
amounts of bentonite slurry into the streams. In 2013, a Piedmont
Natural Gas Pipeline boring under Sevenmile Creek impacted its
tributary, releasing a bentonite slurry that resulted in mortality of
six individual crayfish. Due to these incidents, areas where known
bedrock fracturing potential exists are now being trenched (surface
cut) for projects involving utility line crossings (USFWSb 2017, p.
52).
Another potential threat to the species' continued existence is the
improper use or overuse of lawn pesticides and fertilizers. Intentional
or inadvertent application of chemicals to the stream or runoff from
yards after application has resulted in significant mortality of
aquatic organisms, including Nashville crayfish. We have received
periodic reports of mortality of stream fauna that likely resulted from
input of pesticides into streams in the Mill Creek watershed. This
threat is likely to increase in the future as residential development
increases (USFWS 2017b, p. 50).
Additionally, there have been consistent stormwater and sediment
inputs to the Mill Creek watershed, as well as frequent spills/releases
of raw sewage and hazardous substances, yet the Nashville crayfish
persists in high numbers. The species exhibits a high degree of
resistance to disturbance, indicating that the species has a low
susceptibility to threats and high degree of stability (USFWS 2017a, p.
16).
As of 2014, numerous stream segments in Mill Creek and its
tributaries were listed as impaired on the State of Tennessee's 303(d)
list (TDEC 2018, entire). Impairment of stream reaches in the drainage
is the result of low dissolved oxygen, siltation, removal of riparian
vegetation, nutrient enrichment and high bacteria levels from
stormwater discharges, sewage collection system failures, land
development, and unrestricted cattle access (TDEC 2018, entire).
Our analysis of threats and risk factors, as well as the past,
current, and future influences on what the Nashville crayfish needs for
long term viability revealed that the most risk to future viability of
the species is posed by water quality issues: The risk of a
catastrophic spill and impairment of water quality associated with
increasing human populations and urbanization. However, the species has
been found in large numbers at several locations that are already
heavily developed, and the species has been found in several additional
tributaries to Mill Creek since its original listing under the ESA
(USFWSb 2017, p. 73). Although the Metropolitan Nashville area is
experiencing significant growth, with numerous residential, commercial,
utility, and other infrastructure developments occurring in the
watershed, Nashville crayfish populations have been documented to be
stable or increasing in size (USFWS 2017b, entire). Additionally, there
have been consistent stormwater and sediment inputs to the Mill Creek
watershed, as well as frequent spills/releases of raw sewage and
hazardous substances, yet the Nashville crayfish persists in high
numbers. The species exhibits a high degree of resistance to
disturbance, indicating the species has a low susceptibility to threats
and a high degree of stability.
Factor B. Overutilization for Commercial, Sporting, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
We have received reports over the past five years (2010-2015) that
fish and aquatic invertebrates, including Nashville crayfish, are being
harvested from Mill Creek for food (USFWS 2016, entire). Although we do
not know the full impact of harvesting on the species at this time,
populations are stable or improving across the range, indicating any
harvesting that is occurring is not affecting population resiliency.
Factor C. Disease or Predation
This factor was determined to not apply to the Nashville crayfish
at the time of its 1986 listing. Currently, porcelain disease
(Thelohania contejeani), known from crustaceans in Australia, may pose
a threat if infected crustaceans are accidently introduced into the
Mill Creek watershed from the pet trade (see Factor E discussion,
below). There is anecdotal evidence that porcelain disease was observed
in Cambarus sphenoides on the Cumberland Plateau. The Cumberland
Plateau is the southern part of the Appalachian Plateau in the
Appalachian Mountains of the United States. It includes much of eastern
Kentucky, Tennessee, and portions of Alabama and Georgia.
Although our earlier determination that a population of Nashville
crayfish was displaced by another crayfish species turned out to be
incorrect (see Background, above), competition or predation by released
nonnative crayfish also could potentially pose a threat to the species
in the future (Bizwell and Mattingly 2010, p. 359). Urbanization may
result in increased numbers of scavengers, such as raccoons, that might
prey on aquatic organisms. However, we currently have no information to
indicate that disease or predation are threats to this crayfish.
Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
In our discussions under Factors A, B, C, and E, we evaluate the
significance of threats as mitigated by any conservation efforts and
existing regulatory mechanisms. Where threats exist, we analyze the
extent to which conservation measures and existing regulatory
mechanisms address the specific threats to the species. Regulatory
mechanisms, if they exist, may reduce or eliminate the impacts from one
or more identified threats. The following provides an overview of the
existing regulatory protections that
[[Page 65105]]
protect the Nashville crayfish ecosystem and the Nashville crayfish.
Tennessee Wildlife Resources Agency has regulations in place to
address the collection of baitfish, including amphibians and crayfish,
which specifically prohibit the taking of and possession of crayfish
from Mill Creek and its tributaries in Davidson and Williamson Counties
(TWRA 1994, rule 1660-1-26-.04). The Tennessee Fish and Wildlife
Commission also issued a proclamation (TFWC 2014, p. 13-15) which
states that the collection of crayfish from Mill Creek in Davidson and
Williamson Counties is specifically prohibited. It is also prohibited
to possess or use crayfish for bait in Mill Creek, which is key to
preventing accidental introductions of nonnative species.
Currently there are no State laws that provide specific protection
for the species' habitat. However, the CWA and the Tennessee Water
Quality Control Act of 1977 provide water quality protections for
streams in the State. Agencies implementing these laws routinely issue
notices of violation (NOVs) when actions are reported that have adverse
impacts on waters in the State. NOVs are typically issued after the
fact--i.e., after destruction or alteration of the species and habitat
has occurred. Agencies are not staffed to oversee, supervise, or
inspect all of the actions for which permits have been issued. Also,
penalties levied on violators by the State are likely not severe enough
to deter future violations. Even if more drastic enforcement action is
taken by Federal agencies, the time between the violation and
conclusion of the law enforcement action is likely long enough to
suppress the deterrent effect of the penalty.
TDEC and Metropolitan Nashville Water Services (MNWS) routinely
issue CWA NOVs for incidents in the Mill Creek watershed. Service Law
Enforcement personnel have assisted the State in numerous
investigations. As an example, in 2011, a contractor constructing a
replacement sewage forcemain bypassed a section of an existing sewage
forcemain by pumping past the section of forcemain to be replaced. The
pump failed, releasing a significant amount of sewage into Mill Creek.
Crayfish mortality was observed; however, the Service did not pursue an
enforcement action under the Act because this was an accidental
release. The Service will continue to provide technical assistance to
the state agency to address future incidents within the Mill Creek
watershed. Mill Creek is currently listed as an impaired stream with
the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
Although numerous NOVs have been issued in the Mill Creek watershed
since 2009, State and Federal water quality laws have not prevented
pollution from development activities or from municipal and industrial
sources. Portions of Mill Creek and some of its tributaries are
currently listed on TDEC's impaired stream list (TDEC 2018, in draft).
State and Federal agencies have identified impairments to address which
include low dissolved oxygen, siltation, other anthropogenic habitat
alterations, Escherichia coli (E. coli), total phosphorus, nitrate-
nitrite, and propylene glycol.
The CWA makes it unlawful to discharge any pollutant from a point
source into navigable waters, unless a permit is obtained. Section 404
of the CWA establishes a program to regulate the discharge of dredged
or fill material in waters of the United States, including wetlands.
The basic purpose of the program is that no discharge of dredged or
fill material may be permitted if: (1) A practicable alternative exists
that is less damaging to the aquatic environment or (2) the nation's
waters would be significantly degraded. An individual permit is
required for potentially significant impacts. Individual permits are
reviewed by the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, which evaluates
applications under a public interest review, as well as the
environmental criteria set forth in the CWA Section 404(b)(1)
Guidelines, regulations promulgated by EPA. For the Nashville crayfish,
the Corps permits would still be applicable and have relevant
conditions. Furthermore, through our authorities under the Fish and
Wildlife Coordination Act, the Service will provide technical
assistance to the Corps during the permit review process. The state
would also require Aquatic Resource Alteration Permits with conditions
as well.
TDEC and the Service conducted a natural resource damage assessment
(NRDA) and developed specific recommendations for stormwater treatment,
monitoring, and compliance to the Metropolitan Nashville Airport
Authority (MNAA). The purpose of the NRDA program is to restore natural
resources injured as a result of oil spills or hazardous substance
releases into the environment. The NRDA process evaluates and restores
wildlife, habitats, and human resources impacted by oil spills,
hazardous waste sites, and vessel groundings. Damage assessments
provide the basis for determining the extent of restoration needed to
address the public's natural resource losses. Should a future oil spill
or hazardous substance release adversely affect the Nashville crayfish,
the State, acting as a natural resource trustee, would assess injury
and determine appropriate restoration. Once the damages are assessed,
the NRDA Restoration Program negotiates legal settlements or takes
other legal actions against the responsible parties for the spill or
release. Funds from these settlements are then used to restore the
injured resources at no expense to the taxpayer. Settlements often
include the recovery of the costs incurred in assessing the damages.
These funds may also be used to fund damage assessments in future
incidents. Civil penalties were also assessed by TDEC (USFWS 2017b, p.
51). In cooperation with the Service and our partners, MNAA made
substantial improvements to the stormwater collection and treatment
system at the airport. The Service also provided specific
recommendations to TDEC in the revision of MNAA's national pollutant
discharge elimination system permit.
Summary of Factor D
Factor E. Other Natural or Man-Made Factors Affecting the Species'
Continued Existence
In this section, we will discuss other natural and man-made threats
affecting the species including limited geographic range, vehicle
accident spills, introduction of invasive crayfish and climate change.
The Nashville crayfish's limited geographic range and apparent
small population size leave the species vulnerable to localized
extinctions from accidental toxic chemical spills or other stochastic
disturbances. Species that are restricted in range and population size
are more likely to suffer loss of genetic diversity due to genetic
drift, potentially increasing their susceptibility to inbreeding
depression and decreasing their ability to adapt to environmental
changes (Allendorf and Luikart 2007, p. 642). However, the Nashville
crayfish has always occupied a small range. The crayfish is endemic to
one watershed and still occupies the watershed. Highly resilient
populations are more than likely to survive stochastic events and there
are several highly resilient populations spread across the range.
Potential sources of such spills include accidents involving
vehicles transporting chemicals over road crossings of streams and
accidental or intentional release into streams of chemicals used in
industrial, agricultural, or residential applications. Dead crayfish,
including Nashville
[[Page 65106]]
crayfish, have been collected downstream from construction sites and
sewage releases on numerous occasions. For instance, in 2010 and 2011,
discharges of propylene glycol de-icing fluids from the runways and
tarmac at the Metropolitan Nashville International Airport adversely
affected Sims Branch. Response agencies located affected Nashville
crayfish. An attempt to translocate these individuals to the Cumberland
River Aquatic Center failed, as the specimens died during transport.
With regard to the effects of invasive species on Nashville
crayfish, most crayfish experts believe the introduction of invasive
crayfish species is not occurring at a rate that could negatively
impact native species, especially species with small distributions. In
east Tennessee, there have been several introductions; the most serious
is the Kentucky River crayfish (O. juvenilis), which has replaced the
surgeon crayfish (O. forceps) in most of the Holston River system above
Cherokee Reservoir. Although these water bodies are not within the Mill
Creek system, it is conceivable that one of these extremely aggressive
species could be introduced into that system and, once established,
there is no known method to remove them. A simple aquarium release of a
single ovigerous (egg bearing) female or other live specimens would be
detrimental to the Nashville crayfish. However, we have no information
suggesting the invasive crayfish are utilized in the local pet trade or
as bait for fishing in the Mill Creek watershed.
Our analyses under the Act include consideration of ongoing and
projected changes in climate. A recent compilation of climate change
and its effects is available from reports of the IPCC (IPCC 2014,
entire).
The IPCC concluded that evidence of warming of the climate system
is unequivocal (IPCC 2014, pp. 2, 40). Numerous long-term climate
changes have been observed including changes in arctic temperatures and
ice, widespread changes in precipitation amounts, ocean salinity, and
aspects of extreme weather including heavy precipitation and heat waves
(IPCC 2014, pp. 40-44). Since 1970, the average annual temperature
across the Southeast has increased by about 0.8 degrees Celsius
([deg]C) with the greatest increases occurring during winter months.
The geographic extent of areas in the Southeast region affected by
moderate to severe spring and summer drought has increased over the
past three decades by 12 and 14 percent, respectively (Karl et al.
2009, p. 111). These trends are expected to increase. Rates of warming
are predicted to more than double in comparison to what the Southeast
has experienced since 1975, with the greatest increases projected for
summer months. Depending on the emissions scenario used for modeling
change, average temperatures are expected to increase by 2.5 [deg]C
(lower emissions scenario, or IPCC SRES B1) to 5 [deg]C (higher
emissions scenario, or A2) by the 2080s (Karl et al. 2009, p. 111).
While there is considerable variability in rainfall predictions
throughout the region, increases in evaporation of moisture from soils
and loss of water by plants in response to warmer temperatures are
expected to contribute to increased frequency, intensity, and duration
of drought events (Karl et al. 2009, p. 112).
There is also a growing concern that climate change may lead to
increased frequency of severe storms and droughts (McLaughlin et al.
2002, p. 6074; Golladay et al. 2004, p. 504; Cook et al. 2004, p.
1015). Specific effects of climate change to crayfish habitat could
include changes in stream temperature regimes; the timing and levels of
precipitation, causing more frequent and severe floods and droughts;
and alien species introductions. The following systematic changes are
expected to be realized to varying degrees in the southeastern United
States (NCILT 2012, p. 27; IPCC 2013, p. 7):
More frequent drought;
More extreme heat (resulting in increases in air and water
temperatures);
Flooding;
More intense storms (e.g., frequency of major hurricanes
increases).
Despite the recognition of potential climate effects on ecosystem
processes, there is uncertainty about what the exact climate future for
the southeastern United States will be and how the ecosystems and
species in this region will respond. Effects from climate change may
also result from synergistic effects. That is, factors associated with
a changing climate may act as risk multipliers by increasing the risk
and severity of more imminent threats. As a result, impacts from rapid
urbanization in the region might be exacerbated under long-term climate
change. However, our approach to assessing the future condition of the
species (see Future Conditions, below) is focused on a 20- to 25-year
projection timeframe, because beyond this time, much uncertainty
remains in both the degree of climate change and the species' response
to changes in precipitation and temperature. We currently do not have
information on the effect of future drought on specific stream segments
the species occupies within the watershed. We also do not know the
species temperature tolerance in response to long-term temperature
increases within those streams. While the Nashville crayfish has
multiple populations, future impacts due to the effects of climate
change may reduce the resiliency of the species although the long-term
effects remain unknown.
Conservation Measures That Affect the Species
The Mill Creek Watershed Association (MCWA) was formed in 2009. The
MCWA was strengthened in 2013 by the Cumberland River Compact with the
support of the Tennessee Department of Agriculture Division of
Forestry. The goal of the MCWA is to provide education and support for
improving and protecting the Mill Creek Watershed. It endeavors to
clean the water in Mill Creek, eliminate water pollution in local
neighborhoods, and make the water safe for wildlife and human use.
Focal activities for the MCWA include adopt a stream, riparian buffers,
pollution prevention, rain gardens and barrels, and protecting the
Nashville crayfish.
The Cumberland River Compact sponsors meetings every other month to
bring all interested stakeholders together to reach a realistic
approach to ensure a brighter future for the Mill Creek Watershed.
These meetings provide stakeholders an opportunity to learn and provide
perspective on current conditions, recommendations for improvements,
and plan activities to address the current concerns and needs in the
watershed. Current participants include Cumberland River Compact,
Tennessee Department of Agriculture, Tennessee Division of Forestry,
Metro Water Services, Nashville Zoo at Grassmere, Tennessee Department
of Environment and Conservation, Tennessee Scenic Rivers Association,
Tennessee Wildlife Resources Agency, the Corps, and the Service (USFWS
2017b, p. 57).
The Tennessee Stream Mitigation Program (TSMP) was established
under the Tennessee Wildlife Resources Foundation in 2002, as a
statewide in-lieu fee wetlands mitigation program. The TSMP provides
mitigation for improving instream and riparian habitat, and overall
water quality. It funds projects on significantly degraded streams to
arrest bank erosion, improve water quality, and restore aquatic and
riparian habitat. The TSMP has implemented 28 projects, restoring over
45 miles of degraded stream and over 800 acres of riparian habitat. One
of these projects was initiated in the Mill
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Creek Watershed in 2009. The project encompassed 2,385 feet of Mill
Creek near Nolensville in Williamson County, in the Upper Mill Creek
segment (MCW-A). The existing channel was highly degraded due to
channelization, vegetation removal, and infrastructure including
roadway fills, and had been listed on the 303(d) list due to impacts
from unrestricted livestock access. The primary goals of the project
were to restore riparian buffer function by the excluding of livestock
from the channel and riparian corridor which would reduce non-point
source pollutants (such as sedimentation and nutrients). This work
resulted in improved water quality, channel stability, aquatic habitat,
and elimination of accelerated bank erosion problems; reestablishment
of instream habitat by restoring bed form diversity in the form of
riffles and pools; and enhancement of the riparian zone by planting
native plants. The restored riparian buffer resulted in decreased
stream temperatures, which improved water quality for the crayfish. The
floodplain basins helped improve water quality, decrease peak flows,
and provide valuable flood plain habitat (USFWS 2017b, p. 58). All of
the goals of this project were met, which has improved the habitat for
the Nashville crayfish, thereby increasing the resiliency of the
species.
The Nashville Zoo at Grassmere has been heavily involved in
Nashville crayfish recovery efforts. In March 2017, the zoo, in
collaboration with the Cumberland River Compact, Tennessee Wildlife
Resource Agency, and KCI Technologies Inc., removed two dams on Cathy
Jo Branch in the Lower Mill Creek segment (USFWS 2017b, p. 58). The
dams, which were located on zoo property, created a barrier to
crayfish, small fish, and other small aquatic life, preventing the
migration of aquatic species upstream and reducing the biodiversity of
the aquatic systems. Dam removal generally allows for the migration of
aquatic species that were previously blocked by dams within a
watershed, including the Nashville crayfish, and improves aquatic
biodiversity. These dam removals opened up 3 miles of habitat and
restored the stream as a free-flowing system. Nashville crayfish now
have access to 10 miles of creek and improved habitat and this reach is
now occupied by a highly resilient population of Nashville crayfish.
The Nashville Zoo has also implemented a stormwater management
project that benefits the Nashville crayfish and other aquatic
organisms. The Nashville Zoo had a stormwater detention pond on the
edge of its property that captured runoff from a large office park next
door to the zoo, but several times a year, excess water was discharged
from the pond's outlet pipe, where it carried sediment and other
pollutants into Cathy Jo Branch. Runoff from the office park also
damaged the perimeter fence and carried trash and debris into the pond.
The project retrofitted the detention pond to modify the two inlet
structures and expand the water holding capacity. In addition, the
brushy area below the outfall pipe was transformed into an infiltration
zone to slow, spread, and soak in the excess water discharges after
rain events. This project has directly imp