Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted Percentages for the 2018-19 Crop Year and Revision of Grower Diversion Requirements for Tart Cherries, 53003-53008 [2019-21360]
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Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 193 / Friday, October 4, 2019 / Rules and Regulations
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 930
[Doc. No. AMS–SC–18–0083; SC19–930–1
FR]
Tart Cherries Grown in the States of
Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted
Percentages for the 2018–19 Crop Year
and Revision of Grower Diversion
Requirements for Tart Cherries
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
This rule implements a
recommendation from the Cherry
Industry Administrative Board (Board)
to establish free and restricted
percentages for the 2018–19 crop year
under the Marketing Order for tart
cherries grown in the states of Michigan,
New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, and Wisconsin. This action
establishes the proportion of tart
cherries from the 2018–19 crop which
may be handled in commercial outlets.
This action also revises the regulations
regarding grower diversion. This action
should stabilize marketing conditions
by adjusting supply to meet market
demand and help improve grower
returns.
SUMMARY:
DATES:
Effective November 4, 2019.
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FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Jennie M. Varela, Marketing Specialist,
or Christian D. Nissen, Regional
Director, Southeast Marketing Field
Office, Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program,
AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324–
3375, Fax: (863) 291–8614, or Email:
Jennie.Varela@usda.gov or
Christian.Nissen@usda.gov.
Small businesses may request
information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Richard Lower,
Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue SW, STOP 0237, Washington,
DC 20250–0237; Telephone: (202) 720–
2491, Fax: (202) 720–8938, or Email:
Richard.Lower@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This final
rule, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553, amends
regulations issued to carry out a
marketing order as defined in 7 CFR
900.2(j). This final rule is issued under
Marketing Agreement and Order No.
930, both as amended (7 CFR part 930),
regulating the handling of tart cherries
produced in the states of Michigan, New
York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah,
Washington and Wisconsin. Part 930
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(referred to as the ‘‘Order’’) is effective
under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7
U.S.C. 601–674), hereinafter referred to
as the ‘‘Act.’’ The Board locally
administers the Order and is comprised
of producers and handlers of tart
cherries operating within the
production area, and a public member.
The Department of Agriculture
(USDA) is issuing this final rule in
conformance with Executive Orders
13563 and 13175. This final rule falls
within a category of regulatory action
that the Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) exempted from Executive
Order 12866 review. Additionally,
because this rule does not meet the
definition of a significant regulatory
action, it does not trigger the
requirements contained in Executive
Order 13771. See OMB’s Memorandum
titled ‘‘Interim Guidance Implementing
Section 2 of the Executive Order of
January 30, 2017, titled ‘Reducing
Regulation and Controlling Regulatory
Costs’ ’’ (February 2, 2017).
This final rule has been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform. Under the Order
provisions now in effect, free and
restricted percentages may be
established for tart cherries handled
during the crop year. This rule
establishes free and restricted
percentages for tart cherries for the
2018–19 crop year, beginning July 1,
2018, through June 30, 2019.
The Act provides that administrative
proceedings must be exhausted before
parties may file suit in court. Under
section 608c(15)(A) of the Act, any
handler subject to a marketing order
may file with USDA a petition stating
that the marketing order, any provision
of the marketing order, or any obligation
imposed in connection with the
marketing order is not in accordance
with law and request a modification of
the marketing order or to be exempted
therefrom. A handler is afforded the
opportunity for a hearing on the
petition. After the hearing, USDA would
rule on the petition. The Act provides
that the district court of the United
States in any district in which the
handler is an inhabitant, or has his or
her principal place of business, has
jurisdiction to review USDA’s ruling on
the petition, provided an action is filed
not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
This final rule establishes the
proportion of tart cherries from the
2018–19 crop which may be handled in
commercial outlets at 73 percent free
and 27 percent restricted. This action
also revises the regulations regarding
grower diversion to codify the Board’s
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53003
definition of marketable fruit. The
Secretary of Agriculture (Secretary) has
determined that designating free and
restricted percentages of tart cherries for
the 2018–2019 crop year effectuates the
declared policy of the Act to stabilize
marketing conditions by adjusting
supply to meet market demand and help
improve grower returns. These
recommendations were made by the
Board at meetings on September 13,
2018, and October 23, 2018.
Section 930.51(a) provides the
Secretary authority to regulate volume
by designating free and restricted
percentages for any tart cherries
acquired by handlers in a given crop
year. Section 930.50 prescribes
procedures for computing an optimum
supply based on sales history and for
calculating these free and restricted
percentages. Free percentage volume
may be shipped to any market, while
restricted percentage volume must be
held by handlers in a primary or
secondary reserve, or be diverted or
used for exempt purposes as prescribed
in §§ 930.159 and 930.162. Exempt
purposes include, in part, the
development of new products, sales into
new markets, the development of export
markets, and charitable contributions.
Sections 930.55 through 930.57
prescribe procedures for inventory
reserve. For cherries held in reserve,
handlers would be responsible for
storage and would retain title of the tart
cherries.
Under § 930.52, only districts with an
annual average production over the
prior three years of at least six million
pounds are subject to regulation, and
any district producing a crop that is less
than 50 percent of its annual average of
the previous five years is exempt. The
regulated districts for the 2018–19 crop
year are: District 1—Northern Michigan;
District 2—Central Michigan; District
3—Southern Michigan; District 4—New
York; District 7—Utah; District 8—
Washington; and District 9—Wisconsin.
Districts 5 and 6 (Oregon and
Pennsylvania, respectively) will not be
regulated for the 2018–19 season.
Section 930.58 provides authority for
voluntary grower diversion. When
volume regulation is in effect, growers
can divert all or a portion of their
cherries which otherwise, upon delivery
to a handler, would be subject to
regulation. This section also authorizes
the Board, with the approval of the
Secretary, to establish terms and
conditions for grower diversion. Section
930.158 prescribes the rules and
regulations for grower diversion,
including a requirement that diverted
cherries be marketable.
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Demand for tart cherries and tart
cherry products tends to be relatively
stable from year to year. Conversely,
annual tart cherry production can vary
greatly. In addition, tart cherries are
processed and can be stored and carried
over from crop year to crop year, further
impacting supply. As a result, supply
and demand for tart cherries are rarely
in balance.
Because demand for tart cherries is
inelastic, total sales volume is not very
responsive to changes in price.
However, prices are very sensitive to
changes in supply. As such, an
oversupply of cherries would have a
sharp negative effect on prices, driving
down grower returns. Aware of this
economic relationship, the Board
focuses on using the volume control
provisions in the marketing order to
balance supply and demand to stabilize
industry returns.
Pursuant to § 930.50, the Board meets
on or about July 1 to review sales data,
inventory data, current crop forecasts,
and market conditions for the upcoming
season and, if necessary, to recommend
preliminary free and restricted
percentages if anticipated supply would
exceed demand. After harvest is
complete, but no later than September
15, the Board meets again to update its
calculations using actual production
data, consider any necessary
adjustments to the preliminary
percentages, and determine if final free
and restricted percentages should be
recommended to the Secretary.
The Board uses sales history,
inventory, and production data to
determine whether there is a surplus
and, if so, how much volume should be
restricted to maintain optimum supply.
The optimum supply represents the
desirable volume of tart cherries that
should be available for sale in the
coming crop year. Optimum supply is
defined as the average free sales of the
prior three years plus desirable carryout inventory. Desirable carry-out is the
amount of fruit needed by the industry
to be carried into the succeeding crop
year to meet market demand until the
new crop is available. Desirable carryout is set by the Board after considering
market circumstances and needs.
Section 930.151(b) specifies that
desirable carry-out can range from zero
to a maximum of 100 million pounds.
In addition, USDA’s ‘‘Guidelines for
Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop
Marketing Orders’’ (https://
www.ams.usda.gov/publications/
content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetablemarketing-orders) specify that 110
percent of recent years’ sales should be
made available to primary markets each
season before recommendations for
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volume regulation are approved. This
requirement is codified in § 930.50(g),
which specifies that in years when
restricted percentages are established,
the Board shall make available tonnage
equivalent to an additional 10 percent of
the average sales of the prior three years
for market expansion (market growth
factor).
After the Board determines optimum
supply, desirable carry-out, and market
growth factor, it must examine the
current year’s available volume to
determine whether there is an
oversupply situation. Available volume
includes carry-in inventory (any
inventory available at the beginning of
the season) along with that season’s
production. If production is greater than
the optimum supply minus carry-in, the
difference is considered surplus. This
surplus tonnage is divided by the sum
of production in the regulated districts
to reach a restricted percentage. This
percentage must be held in reserve or
used for approved diversion activities,
such as exports.
The Board met on July 6, 2018, and
computed an optimum supply of 303
million pounds for the 2018–19 crop
year using the average of free sales for
the three previous seasons and desirable
carry-out. To determine the carry-out
figure, the Board discussed and
considered a range of alternatives. One
member suggested a carry-out value of
100 million pounds to maximize the
amount of fruit on the market and to
compete with imports. Another member
indicated both free and restricted
product could be used to compete with
imports and proposed a 50 million
pound carry-out. Another attendee
noted excessive carryout puts
downward pressure on prices. After the
consideration of the alternatives, the
Board determined a carry-out of 80
million pounds would supply the
industry’s needs at the beginning of the
next season.
The Board subtracted the estimated
carry-in of 125.1 million pounds from
the optimum supply to calculate the
production quantity needed from the
2018–19 crop to meet optimum supply.
This number, 177.9 million pounds, was
subtracted from the Board’s estimated
2018–19 total production (from
regulated and unregulated districts) of
344.5 million pounds to calculate a
surplus of 166.6 million pounds of tart
cherries. The Board also complied with
the market growth factor requirement by
removing 22.3 million pounds (average
sales for prior three years of 223 million
times 10 percent) from the surplus. The
adjusted surplus of 144.3 million
pounds was then divided by the
expected production in the regulated
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districts (338.5 million pounds) to reach
a preliminary restricted percentage of 43
percent for the 2018–19 crop year.
The Board then discussed whether
this calculation would provide
sufficient supply to grow sales and fulfil
orders that have not yet shipped. Some
members and attendees expressed
concern that some existing inventory is
old enough that it is difficult to sell and
thus more of the current season’s fruit
should be made available. Some also
reported there may be poor fruit yield in
Michigan, which would require more
tonnage to supply the same amount of
product. Others added the Board’s
demand calculations were not
considering growth in the juice and
dried fruit markets that are being served
by imported product. As a result, the
Board recommended an additional
economic adjustment of 48 million
pounds (18 million due to fruit quality
concerns and 30 million for expected
deliveries). With this adjustment, and
anticipated orchard diversion (25
million pounds) the Board’s preliminary
restricted percentage was 31 percent (96
million pounds divided by 313.5
million pounds).
The Board met again on September
13, 2018, to consider final volume
regulation percentages for the 2018–19
season. The final percentages are based
on the Board’s reported production
figures and the supply and demand
information available in September.
The total production for the 2018–19
season was 299.2 million pounds, 45.3
million pounds below the Board’s July
estimate. In addition, growers diverted
12.4 million pounds in the orchard,
about half of what had been anticipated.
As a result 286.8 million pounds would
be available to market, 282.3 million
pounds of which are in the restricted
districts. Using the actual production
numbers, and accounting for the
recommended desirable carry-out and
economic adjustment, as well as the
market growth factor, the restricted
percentage was recalculated.
The Board subtracted the carry-in
figure used in July of 125.1 million
pounds, from the optimum supply of
303 million pounds to determine 177.9
million pounds of 2018–19 production
would be necessary to reach optimum
supply. The Board subtracted the 177.9
million pounds from the actual
production of 299.2 million pounds,
resulting in a surplus of 121.3 million
pounds of tart cherries.
The Board also revisited its earlier
decision regarding an economic
adjustment. Many in attendance
expressed that the previously
recommended economic adjustment
should be revisited to avoid placing
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excess fruit on the market. One member
indicated the fruit quality in Michigan
was better than anticipated in July.
Other attendees indicated the
adjustment for additional sales had been
overstated. As a result, the Board
recommended lowering the economic
adjustment to 24 million pounds.
The recalculated surplus was reduced
by subtracting the revised economic
adjustment of 24 million pounds and
the market growth factor of 22.3 million
pounds, resulting in an adjusted surplus
of 75 million pounds. The Board then
divided this final surplus by the
available production of 282.3 million
pounds in the regulated districts (294.7
million pounds minus 12.4 million
pounds of in-orchard diversion) to
calculate a restricted percentage of 27
percent with a corresponding free
percentage of 73 percent for the 2018–
19 crop year, as outlined in the
following table:
Millions
of pounds
Final Calculations:
(1) Average sales of the prior three
years ..............................................
(2) Plus desirable carry-out ...............
(3) Optimum supply calculated by the
Board ..............................................
(4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2018 ..........
(5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3
minus item 4) .................................
(6) Board reported production ...........
(7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5) ......
(8) Total economic adjustments ........
(9) Market growth factor ....................
(10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus
items 8 and 9) ................................
(11) Supply in regulated districts .......
223
80
303
125.1
177.9
299.2
121.3
24
22.3
75
294.7
(12) In-Orchard Diversion ..................
12.4
(13) Production minus in orchard diversion ............................................
282.3
Final Percentages:
Percent
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Restricted (item 10 divided by item
13 × 100) ........................................
Free (100 minus restricted percentage) ................................................
27
73
The final restriction of 27 percent is
lower than the preliminary restriction
percentage of 31 percent. The largest
factor affecting this change was the final
production numbers that came in below
the Board’s July estimate. Additionally,
less fruit was diverted in orchard than
anticipated and the Board revised its
economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds. The desired carry-out remained
the same at 80 million pounds.
In discussing the calculation, several
members indicated they believed the
recommendation was too restrictive.
They supported maintaining the
economic adjustment at the original
level, which would have resulted in a
lower calculated restriction. Other
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members stated that reducing the
economic adjustment was reflective of
industry conditions and expressed
concern about putting too much fruit
into the market.
Establishing free and restricted
percentages is an attempt to bring
supply and demand into balance. If the
primary market is oversupplied with
cherries, grower prices decline
substantially. Restricted percentages
have benefited grower returns and
helped stabilize the market as compared
to those seasons prior to the
implementation of the marketing order.
The Board, based on its discussion of
this issue and the result of the above
calculations, believes the available
information indicates a restricted
percentage should be established for the
2018–19 crop year to avoid
oversupplying the market with tart
cherries.
Consequently, the Board
recommended final percentages of 73
percent free and 27 percent restricted by
a vote of 13 in favor, 4 opposed, and 1
abstention. The Board could meet and
recommend the release of additional
volume during the crop year if
conditions so warranted. The Secretary
finds, from the recommendation and
supporting information supplied by the
Board, that designating final percentages
of 73 percent free and 27 percent
restricted tends to effectuate the
declared policy of the Act, and so
designates these percentages.
Additionally, the Board reviewed its
rules regarding grower diversion, as this
diversion option has become more of a
common practice over the past few
seasons. To receive grower diversion
credit, the marketing order requires that
the fruit left in the orchard must be
marketable. With no definition of
marketable in the marketing order, the
Board had defined fruit as unmarketable
if insects were found in any of the fruit
sampled from the acreage marked for
diversion.
In 2016, the Board formed a
committee to investigate updating this
policy based on recent infestations of
Spotted Wing Drosophila. The industry
was concerned growers would not
qualify for diversion if a zero-tolerance
policy remained in effect, but also
wanted to ensure orchards were
properly maintained to prevent the
spread of infestation. The Board
modified its working definition of
marketable to reflect aspects of the
tolerances in an FDA Compliance Policy
Guide (CPG Sec. 550.225 Cherries—
Brined, Fresh, Canned and Frozen—
Adulteration Involving Rot and Insect).
Specifically, the Board recommended
using a 5 percent tolerance for insects
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and a 7 percent tolerance for rot when
sampling cherries for diversion. After
applying the two tolerances for insects
and rot over two harvests, the Board
found these levels were effective. The
Board discussed this issue at its
meetings on September 13, 2018, and
October 23, 2018, and unanimously
recommended incorporating this change
into the Order’s rules and regulations.
Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in
the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA) (5
U.S.C. 601–612), the Agricultural
Marketing Service (AMS) has
considered the economic impact of this
final rule on small entities. Accordingly,
AMS has prepared this final regulatory
flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit
regulatory actions to the scale of
businesses subject to such actions in
order that small businesses will not be
unduly or disproportionately burdened.
Marketing orders issued pursuant to the
Act, and rules issued thereunder, are
unique in that they are brought about
through group action of essentially
small entities acting on their own
behalf.
There are approximately 600
producers of tart cherries in the
regulated area and approximately 40
handlers of tart cherries who are subject
to regulation under the Order. Small
agricultural producers are defined by
the Small Business Administration
(SBA) as those having annual receipts of
less than $750,000, and small
agricultural service firms have been
defined as those whose annual receipts
are less than $7,500,000 (13 CFR
121.201).
According to the National
Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS)
and Board data, the average annual
grower price for tart cherries utilized for
processing during the 2017–18 season
was approximately $0.224 per pound.
With total utilization at approximately
254 million pounds for the 2017–18
season, the total 2017–18 value of the
crop utilized for processing is estimated
at $56.9 million. Dividing the crop value
by the estimated number of producers
(600) yields an estimated average receipt
per producer of $94,833. This is well
below the SBA threshold for small
producers.
A free on board (FOB) price of $0.82
per pound for frozen tart cherries was
reported by the Food Institute during
the 2017–2018 season. Based on
utilization, this price represents a good
estimate of the price for processed
cherries. Multiplying this FOB price by
total utilization of 254.1 million pounds
results in an estimated handler-level tart
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cherry value of $208 million. Dividing
this figure by the number of handlers
(40) yields estimated average annual
handler receipts of $5.2 million, which
is below the SBA threshold for small
agricultural service firms. Assuming a
normal distribution, the majority of
producers and handlers of tart cherries
may be classified as small entities.
The tart cherry industry in the United
States is characterized by wide annual
fluctuations in production. According to
NASS, the pounds of tart cherry
production for the years 2012 through
2017 were 85 million, 294 million, 304
million, 253 million, 329 million, and
260 million, respectively. Because of
these fluctuations, supply and demand
for tart cherries are rarely in balance.
Demand for tart cherries is inelastic,
meaning changes in price have a
minimal effect on total sales volume.
However, prices are very sensitive to
changes in supply, and grower prices
vary widely in response to the large
swings in annual supply. Grower prices
per pound for processed utilization have
ranged from a low of $0.073 in 1987 to
a high of $0.588 per pound in 2012.
Because of this relationship between
supply and price, oversupplying the
market with tart cherries would have a
sharp negative effect on prices, driving
down grower returns. Aware of this
economic relationship, the Board
focuses on using the volume control
authority in the Order to align supply
with demand and stabilize industry
returns. This authority allows the
industry to set free and restricted
percentages as a way to bring supply
and demand into balance. Free
percentage cherries can be marketed by
handlers to any outlet, while restricted
percentage volume must be held by
handlers in reserve, diverted, or used for
exempted purposes.
This rule controls the supply of tart
cherries by establishing percentages of
73 percent free and 27 percent restricted
for the 2018–19 crop year. These
percentages should stabilize marketing
conditions by adjusting supply to meet
market demand and help improve
grower returns. This action regulates tart
cherries growing in Michigan, New
York, Utah, Washington, and
Wisconsin. This action also revises the
regulations regarding grower diversion
to codify the Board’s definition of
marketable fruit. The authority for this
action is provided in §§ 930.50,
930.51(a), 930.52, and 930.58. The
Board recommended this action at
meetings on September 13, 2018, and
October 23, 2018.
This rule will result in some fruit
being diverted from the primary
domestic markets. However, as
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mentioned earlier, the USDA’s
‘‘Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders’’
(https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/
content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetablemarketing-orders) specify that 110
percent of recent years’ sales should be
made available to primary markets each
season before recommendations for
volume regulation are approved. The
quantity that is available under this
regulation is more than 150 percent of
the average sales for the last three years.
In addition, there are secondary uses
available for restricted fruit, including
the development of new products, sales
into new markets, the development of
export markets, and being placed in
reserve. While these alternatives may
provide different levels of return than
the sales to primary markets, they play
an important role for the industry. The
areas of new products, new markets,
and the development of export markets
utilize restricted fruit to develop and
expand the markets for tart cherries. In
2017–18, these activities accounted for
over 82 million pounds in sales, 27
million of which were exports. These
numbers represent increases of 45
million pounds and 11.4 million
pounds respectively.
Placing tart cherries into reserves is
also a key part of balancing supply and
demand. Although handlers bear the
handling and storage costs for fruit in
reserve, reserves stored in large crop
years are used to supplement supplies
in short crop years. The reserves help
the industry to mitigate the impact of
oversupply in large crop years, while
allowing the industry to supply markets
in years when production falls below
demand. Further, storage and handling
costs are more than offset by the
increase in price when moving from a
large crop to a short crop year.
The Board recommended a carry-out
of 80 million pounds and made a
demand adjustment of 24 million
pounds in order to make the regulation
less restrictive. With 125.1 million
pounds of carry-in, 4.5 million pounds
of production in the unregulated
districts, and 207.3 million pounds of
free tonnage from the regulated districts,
336.9 million pounds of fruit will be
available for the domestic market. This
is nearly 50 million pounds greater than
the tonnage made available in the
previous season. Even with the
recommended restriction, the domestic
market will have an ample supply of tart
cherries. Further, should marketing
conditions change, and market demand
exceed existing supplies, the Board
could meet and recommend the release
of an additional volume of cherries.
Consequently, it is not anticipated that
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this regulation will unduly burden
growers or handlers.
While this action could result in some
additional costs to the industry, these
costs are outweighed by the benefits.
The purpose of setting restricted
percentages is to attempt to bring supply
and demand into balance. If the primary
market (domestic) is oversupplied with
cherries, grower prices decline
substantially. Without volume control,
the primary market would likely be
oversupplied, resulting in lower grower
prices. In addition, the industry could
start to build large amounts of unwanted
inventories, which would also have a
depressing effect on grower returns.
An econometric model has been
developed to assess the impact volume
control has on the price growers receive
for their product. Based on the model,
the use of volume control would have
a positive impact on grower returns for
this crop year. With volume control,
grower prices are estimated to be
approximately $0.04 per pound higher
than without restrictions. In addition,
absent volume control, the industry
could start to build large amounts of
unwanted inventories. These
inventories would have a depressing
effect on grower prices.
Retail demand is assumed to be
highly inelastic, which indicates
changes in price do not result in
significant changes in the quantity
demanded. Consumer prices largely do
not reflect fluctuations in cherry
supplies. Therefore, this action should
have little or no effect on consumer
prices and should not result in a
reduction in retail sales.
The incorporation of a tolerance for
insects and rot in diverted fruit aligns
the Order’s grower diversion rules and
regulations with current industry
practices. The tolerances should make it
possible for more growers to participate
in diversion during periods of
oversupply, while encouraging proper
pest management. Proper pest
management helps reduce costs by
decreasing incidences of infestation.
Further, the use of grower diversion
removes excess supply from the market
without incurring the costs of
harvesting, processing, and storage.
The established tolerance for insects
and rot for cherries diverted in the
orchard will provide clear guidance for
compliance with marketing order
provisions, encourage proper pest
management, and align the Order’s rules
with industry standards. Growers,
regardless of size, should benefit from
the addition of these tolerances.
The free and restricted percentages
established by this action will provide
the market with optimum supply and
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will apply uniformly to all regulated
handlers in the industry, regardless of
size. As the restriction represents a
percentage of a handler’s volume, the
costs, when applicable, are
proportionate and should not place an
extra burden on small entities as
compared to large entities.
The stabilizing effects of this action
benefit all handlers by helping them
maintain and expand markets, despite
seasonal supply fluctuations. Likewise,
price stability positively impacts all
growers and handlers by allowing them
to better anticipate the revenues their
tart cherries would generate. Growers
and handlers, regardless of size benefit
from the stabilizing effects of the
volume restriction.
The Board had extensive discussions
on carry-out inventory alternatives. The
alternatives included five motions that
failed to pass, ranging from 50 million
pounds to 100 million pounds. The
Board determined that if the carry-out
number was too large, it could have a
negative impact on grower returns.
Some attendees indicated excess carryin over the past few seasons has had a
negative effect on returns and that
growers are seeking relief. After
consideration of the alternatives, the
Board recommended a carry-out of 80
million pounds.
The Board also weighed alternatives
when discussing the economic
adjustment. At its July meeting, the
Board recommended a 48 million pound
adjustment to account for fruit quality
concerns and expected sales. One
member proposed an additional 40million-pound adjustment to counter
imports of dried and frozen cherries,
while other members favored a lower
amount.
When the final production numbers
were reviewed in September, the Board
revisited the economic adjustment.
Members indicated fruit quality was
still an issue, but yields were better than
initially anticipated. Members also
stated that with tough international
markets, the additional sales may have
been overstated. Members from the
Western states in particular were
concerned that a large shift in the
restriction percentage following harvest
would disrupt the overall market and
petitioned the Board to reconsider the
adjustment. After discussion, the Board
adopted an adjustment of 24 million
pounds determining this amount would
best meet the industry’s sales needs.
Thus, the alternatives were rejected.
Regarding grower diversion
requirements, the Board initially
proposed a broader set of requirements
including spray protocols and
destruction of diverted fruit in order to
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16:14 Oct 03, 2019
Jkt 250001
better control infestation. The original
proposal called for annual
determination of which steps would be
required in each district. As research is
still evolving on how best to deal with
spotted wing drosophila infestations,
preferred methods of dealing with the
diverted fruit were also subject to
change. Thus, the Board voted to codify
only the tolerance for marketability.
In accordance with the Paperwork
Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.
Chapter 35), the Order’s information
collection requirements have been
previously approved by OMB and
assigned OMB No. 0581–0177, Tart
Cherries Grown in the States of
Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania,
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and
Wisconsin. No changes to those
requirements are necessary as a result of
this action. Should any changes become
necessary, they would be submitted to
OMB for approval.
This final rule will not impose any
additional reporting or recordkeeping
requirements on either small or large
tart cherry handlers. As with all Federal
marketing order programs, reports and
forms are periodically reviewed to
reduce information requirements and
duplication by industry and public
sector agencies. As noted in the initial
regulatory flexibility analysis, USDA
has not identified any relevant Federal
rules that duplicate, overlap or conflict
with this final rule.
AMS is committed to complying with
the E-Government Act, to promote the
use of the internet and other
information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen
access to Government information and
services, and for other purposes.
The Board’s meetings were widely
publicized throughout the tart cherry
industry, and all interested persons
were invited to attend the meetings and
participate in Board deliberations on all
issues. Like all Board meetings, the July
6, 2018, September 13, 2018, and
October 23, 2018, meetings were public
meetings, and all entities, both large and
small, were able to express views on
this issue.
A proposed rule concerning this
action was published in the Federal
Register on May 8, 2019 (84 FR 20043).
Copies of the proposed rule were sent
via email to all Board members and tart
cherry handlers. Finally, the proposed
rule was made available through the
internet by USDA and the Office of the
Federal Register. A 30-day comment
period was provided to allow interested
persons to respond to the proposal.
Two comments were received in
opposition to the proposal. Both
commenters were concerned by
PO 00000
Frm 00015
Fmt 4700
Sfmt 4700
53007
adjustments made between the Board’s
preliminary and final recommendations,
indicating the changes reduced the
amount of free volume available. The
Order requires that the Board make a
preliminary recommendation on or
around July 1 and then make a final
recommendation before September 15.
The preliminary numbers are based on
forecasts and are announced to give the
industry an initial indication of the
conditions for the upcoming season.
The preliminary percentages or the
numbers used in the calculation are not
binding.
One commenter stated changes from
the June estimates interrupt the flow of
business. However, there are often
changes between the two
recommendations, as actual production,
diversion numbers, or industry
conditions do not always align with
forecasts. When the Board meets in
September to make a final
recommendation, harvest is complete,
and the fruit has moved into processing
channels. The Board can discuss
volume regulation using actual numbers
and current information regarding
market conditions. Therefore, the final
recommendation to the Secretary is
made in September. Further, should
conditions warrant, the Order gives the
Board the authority to recommend a
release of reserves if it is determined
there is demand for additional fruit.
One commenter objected to the
reduction in the economic adjustment
from the 48 million pounds used during
the preliminary discussion in June to
the 24 million pounds included in the
final recommendation. The Board had
incorporated an adjustment of 48
million pounds in its preliminary
recommendation based in part on the
expectations of poor fruit quality and
additional sales needs. At the meeting
in September, many in attendance
expressed that the Board needed to
revisit the economic adjustment to
avoid placing excess fruit on the market.
During the discussion, one member
indicated the fruit quality in Michigan
was better than was anticipated in July.
Other attendees indicated the
adjustment for additional sales had been
overstated. As a result, the Board
recommended lowering the economic
adjustment to 24 million pounds.
The commenter expressed that the
statement regarding improved fruit
quality was erroneous and using this as
a reason to change the economic
adjustment from 48 to 24 million
pounds was improper. The commenter
noted that yields for 2018 fell below
2015 and 2016 levels as grounds to
support the claim that the original
economic adjustment should have been
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maintained. However, the final
recommendation provided by the Board
indicated yields were better than
anticipated in July, but still an issue.
The other major factor in this
adjustment was a consideration of
expected sales. As noted earlier, the
Board’s discussions indicated the
adjustment for additional sales may
have been overstated in its preliminary
calculations. Therefore, the economic
adjustment was not eliminated but
reduced to 24 million pounds. Further,
all members had an opportunity to
express their opinions. The concerns
regarding the change in the economic
adjustment raised by these commenters
were part of the Board’s discussions and
in the end the recommended adjustment
was supported by a supermajority of the
Board.
The comments also referred to old or
poor quality inventory being favored by
the regulation. With the exception of an
age limitation on inventory held in
reserve, the Order makes no distinctions
among products in inventory. There are
no regulations on the age or quality of
fruit held as free inventory, nor is there
any specific data collected regarding the
age of the product in inventory. The
comments also provide no specifics
regarding the volume or age of the
inventory they cite as problematic.
Without this information, there can be
no objective determination regarding
how the age or quality of current
inventory is impacting the market.
Both comments also mentioned
concerns with the volume of imports,
which were also part of the Board’s
preliminary and final discussions.
While the Order cannot regulate
imports, the Board has sought to use its
available tools to remain competitive. In
recent years, the Board has
recommended, and USDA implemented,
changes to the Order to allow processors
to use restricted fruit under the market
expansion provisions of the Order. This
has included allowing new market
diversion credits when supplying a
customer formerly supplied by imports.
As stated previously, these activities
accounted for 55 million pounds of
sales in 2017, up from 21.4 million
pounds in the previous season. In 2018,
the Order’s rules and regulations were
modified to expand the number of years
products are eligible for these diversion
credits from three to five years. That
change allows handlers to receive
credits for two additional years, making
it more likely handlers will invest in
these diversion activities and reestablish
domestic markets using restricted fruit.
One commenter also indicated the
regulation results in quality fruit being
destroyed. There is no requirement
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16:14 Oct 03, 2019
Jkt 250001
under the Order to destroy fruit. Those
choosing to participate in grower
diversion as a means of complying with
the regulation do leave fruit
unharvested in order to receive
diversion credits that are then sold to
processors. This is just one of many
options processors have in order comply
with the regulation. Board data indicate
only 12.5 million pounds were diverted
in the orchard, half of what had been
projected in July. This indicates more
handlers chose to meet their restricted
percentage using reserves, new product
and new market diversion, and exports.
Accordingly, based on the comments
received, no changes will be made to the
rule as proposed.
A small business guide on complying
with fruit, vegetable, and specialty crop
marketing agreements and orders may
be viewed at: https://www.ams.usda.gov/
rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses.
Any questions about the compliance
guide should be sent to Richard Lower
at the previously mentioned address in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
After consideration of all relevant
matter presented, including the
information and recommendation
submitted by the Board and other
available information, it is hereby found
that this rule, as hereinafter set forth,
will tend to effectuate the declared
policy of the Act.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930
Marketing agreements, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Tart
cherries.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, 7 CFR part 930 is amended as
follows:
PART 930—TART CHERRIES GROWN
IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW
YORK, PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON,
UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND
WISCONSIN
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR
part 930 continues to read as follows:
■
2. Amend § 930.158 by revising
paragraph (a) to read as follows:
§ 930.158 Grower diversion and grower
diversion certificates.
(a) Grower diversion certificates. The
Board may issue diversion certificates to
growers in districts subject to volume
regulation who have voluntarily elected
to divert in the orchard all or a portion
of their tart cherry production which
otherwise, upon delivery to handlers,
would become restricted percentage
cherries. Growers may offer the
diversion certificate to handlers in lieu
Frm 00016
Fmt 4700
Sfmt 4700
§ 930.256 Free and restricted percentages
for the 2018–19 crop year.
The percentages for tart cherries
handled by handlers during the crop
year beginning on July 1, 2018, which
shall be free and restricted, respectively,
are designated as follows: Free
percentage, 73 percent and restricted
percentage, 27 percent.
Dated: September 26, 2019.
Bruce Summers,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing
Service.
[FR Doc. 2019–21360 Filed 10–3–19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Federal Aviation Administration
14 CFR Part 39
[Docket No. FAA–2019–0389; Product
Identifier 2018–SW–035–AD; Amendment
39–19748; AD 2019–19–12]
RIN 2120–AA64
Airworthiness Directives; Sikorsky
Aircraft Corporation Helicopters
Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA), DOT.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674.
■
PO 00000
of delivering cherries. Handlers may
redeem diversion certificates with the
Board through June 30 of each crop
year. After June 30 of the crop year that
crop year’s grower diversion certificates
are no longer valid. Cherries that have
reached a harvestable, marketable
condition will be eligible for diversion.
Diversion will not be granted to growers
whose fruit was destroyed before it set
and/or matured on the tree, or whose
fruit is unmarketable. If marketable fruit
were to be damaged or destroyed by acts
of nature such as storms or hail
diversion credit could be granted. To be
considered marketable for the purposes
of this section, sampled fruit may not
exceed a 5 percent tolerance for insects
or a 7 percent tolerance for rot.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 3. Revise § 930.256 to read as follows:
The FAA is superseding
Airworthiness Directive (AD) 2018–10–
07 for Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation
(Sikorsky) Model S–76C helicopters. AD
2018–10–07 required inspecting the
engine collective position transducer
(CPT). This new AD retains the
requirements of AD 2018–10–07 and
expands the applicability. This AD is
prompted by the determination that an
additional part-numbered engine CPT is
affected by the same unsafe condition.
SUMMARY:
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 193 (Friday, October 4, 2019)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 53003-53008]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-21360]
[[Page 53003]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 930
[Doc. No. AMS-SC-18-0083; SC19-930-1 FR]
Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and
Restricted Percentages for the 2018-19 Crop Year and Revision of Grower
Diversion Requirements for Tart Cherries
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This rule implements a recommendation from the Cherry Industry
Administrative Board (Board) to establish free and restricted
percentages for the 2018-19 crop year under the Marketing Order for
tart cherries grown in the states of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania,
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. This action establishes the
proportion of tart cherries from the 2018-19 crop which may be handled
in commercial outlets. This action also revises the regulations
regarding grower diversion. This action should stabilize marketing
conditions by adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve
grower returns.
DATES: Effective November 4, 2019.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jennie M. Varela, Marketing
Specialist, or Christian D. Nissen, Regional Director, Southeast
Marketing Field Office, Marketing Order and Agreement Division,
Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324-3375, Fax:
(863) 291-8614, or Email: [email protected] or
[email protected].
Small businesses may request information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Richard Lower, Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue
SW, STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; Telephone: (202) 720-2491,
Fax: (202) 720-8938, or Email: [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This final rule, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553,
amends regulations issued to carry out a marketing order as defined in
7 CFR 900.2(j). This final rule is issued under Marketing Agreement and
Order No. 930, both as amended (7 CFR part 930), regulating the
handling of tart cherries produced in the states of Michigan, New York,
Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington and Wisconsin. Part 930
(referred to as the ``Order'') is effective under the Agricultural
Marketing Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674),
hereinafter referred to as the ``Act.'' The Board locally administers
the Order and is comprised of producers and handlers of tart cherries
operating within the production area, and a public member.
The Department of Agriculture (USDA) is issuing this final rule in
conformance with Executive Orders 13563 and 13175. This final rule
falls within a category of regulatory action that the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) exempted from Executive Order 12866 review.
Additionally, because this rule does not meet the definition of a
significant regulatory action, it does not trigger the requirements
contained in Executive Order 13771. See OMB's Memorandum titled
``Interim Guidance Implementing Section 2 of the Executive Order of
January 30, 2017, titled `Reducing Regulation and Controlling
Regulatory Costs'[thinsp]'' (February 2, 2017).
This final rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988,
Civil Justice Reform. Under the Order provisions now in effect, free
and restricted percentages may be established for tart cherries handled
during the crop year. This rule establishes free and restricted
percentages for tart cherries for the 2018-19 crop year, beginning July
1, 2018, through June 30, 2019.
The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the
Act, any handler subject to a marketing order may file with USDA a
petition stating that the marketing order, any provision of the
marketing order, or any obligation imposed in connection with the
marketing order is not in accordance with law and request a
modification of the marketing order or to be exempted therefrom. A
handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the petition.
After the hearing, USDA would rule on the petition. The Act provides
that the district court of the United States in any district in which
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or her principal place of
business, has jurisdiction to review USDA's ruling on the petition,
provided an action is filed not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
This final rule establishes the proportion of tart cherries from
the 2018-19 crop which may be handled in commercial outlets at 73
percent free and 27 percent restricted. This action also revises the
regulations regarding grower diversion to codify the Board's definition
of marketable fruit. The Secretary of Agriculture (Secretary) has
determined that designating free and restricted percentages of tart
cherries for the 2018-2019 crop year effectuates the declared policy of
the Act to stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply to meet
market demand and help improve grower returns. These recommendations
were made by the Board at meetings on September 13, 2018, and October
23, 2018.
Section 930.51(a) provides the Secretary authority to regulate
volume by designating free and restricted percentages for any tart
cherries acquired by handlers in a given crop year. Section 930.50
prescribes procedures for computing an optimum supply based on sales
history and for calculating these free and restricted percentages. Free
percentage volume may be shipped to any market, while restricted
percentage volume must be held by handlers in a primary or secondary
reserve, or be diverted or used for exempt purposes as prescribed in
Sec. Sec. 930.159 and 930.162. Exempt purposes include, in part, the
development of new products, sales into new markets, the development of
export markets, and charitable contributions. Sections 930.55 through
930.57 prescribe procedures for inventory reserve. For cherries held in
reserve, handlers would be responsible for storage and would retain
title of the tart cherries.
Under Sec. 930.52, only districts with an annual average
production over the prior three years of at least six million pounds
are subject to regulation, and any district producing a crop that is
less than 50 percent of its annual average of the previous five years
is exempt. The regulated districts for the 2018-19 crop year are:
District 1--Northern Michigan; District 2--Central Michigan; District
3--Southern Michigan; District 4--New York; District 7--Utah; District
8--Washington; and District 9--Wisconsin. Districts 5 and 6 (Oregon and
Pennsylvania, respectively) will not be regulated for the 2018-19
season.
Section 930.58 provides authority for voluntary grower diversion.
When volume regulation is in effect, growers can divert all or a
portion of their cherries which otherwise, upon delivery to a handler,
would be subject to regulation. This section also authorizes the Board,
with the approval of the Secretary, to establish terms and conditions
for grower diversion. Section 930.158 prescribes the rules and
regulations for grower diversion, including a requirement that diverted
cherries be marketable.
[[Page 53004]]
Demand for tart cherries and tart cherry products tends to be
relatively stable from year to year. Conversely, annual tart cherry
production can vary greatly. In addition, tart cherries are processed
and can be stored and carried over from crop year to crop year, further
impacting supply. As a result, supply and demand for tart cherries are
rarely in balance.
Because demand for tart cherries is inelastic, total sales volume
is not very responsive to changes in price. However, prices are very
sensitive to changes in supply. As such, an oversupply of cherries
would have a sharp negative effect on prices, driving down grower
returns. Aware of this economic relationship, the Board focuses on
using the volume control provisions in the marketing order to balance
supply and demand to stabilize industry returns.
Pursuant to Sec. 930.50, the Board meets on or about July 1 to
review sales data, inventory data, current crop forecasts, and market
conditions for the upcoming season and, if necessary, to recommend
preliminary free and restricted percentages if anticipated supply would
exceed demand. After harvest is complete, but no later than September
15, the Board meets again to update its calculations using actual
production data, consider any necessary adjustments to the preliminary
percentages, and determine if final free and restricted percentages
should be recommended to the Secretary.
The Board uses sales history, inventory, and production data to
determine whether there is a surplus and, if so, how much volume should
be restricted to maintain optimum supply. The optimum supply represents
the desirable volume of tart cherries that should be available for sale
in the coming crop year. Optimum supply is defined as the average free
sales of the prior three years plus desirable carry-out inventory.
Desirable carry-out is the amount of fruit needed by the industry to be
carried into the succeeding crop year to meet market demand until the
new crop is available. Desirable carry-out is set by the Board after
considering market circumstances and needs. Section 930.151(b)
specifies that desirable carry-out can range from zero to a maximum of
100 million pounds.
In addition, USDA's ``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' (https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders)
specify that 110 percent of recent years' sales should be made
available to primary markets each season before recommendations for
volume regulation are approved. This requirement is codified in Sec.
930.50(g), which specifies that in years when restricted percentages
are established, the Board shall make available tonnage equivalent to
an additional 10 percent of the average sales of the prior three years
for market expansion (market growth factor).
After the Board determines optimum supply, desirable carry-out, and
market growth factor, it must examine the current year's available
volume to determine whether there is an oversupply situation. Available
volume includes carry-in inventory (any inventory available at the
beginning of the season) along with that season's production. If
production is greater than the optimum supply minus carry-in, the
difference is considered surplus. This surplus tonnage is divided by
the sum of production in the regulated districts to reach a restricted
percentage. This percentage must be held in reserve or used for
approved diversion activities, such as exports.
The Board met on July 6, 2018, and computed an optimum supply of
303 million pounds for the 2018-19 crop year using the average of free
sales for the three previous seasons and desirable carry-out. To
determine the carry-out figure, the Board discussed and considered a
range of alternatives. One member suggested a carry-out value of 100
million pounds to maximize the amount of fruit on the market and to
compete with imports. Another member indicated both free and restricted
product could be used to compete with imports and proposed a 50 million
pound carry-out. Another attendee noted excessive carryout puts
downward pressure on prices. After the consideration of the
alternatives, the Board determined a carry-out of 80 million pounds
would supply the industry's needs at the beginning of the next season.
The Board subtracted the estimated carry-in of 125.1 million pounds
from the optimum supply to calculate the production quantity needed
from the 2018-19 crop to meet optimum supply. This number, 177.9
million pounds, was subtracted from the Board's estimated 2018-19 total
production (from regulated and unregulated districts) of 344.5 million
pounds to calculate a surplus of 166.6 million pounds of tart cherries.
The Board also complied with the market growth factor requirement by
removing 22.3 million pounds (average sales for prior three years of
223 million times 10 percent) from the surplus. The adjusted surplus of
144.3 million pounds was then divided by the expected production in the
regulated districts (338.5 million pounds) to reach a preliminary
restricted percentage of 43 percent for the 2018-19 crop year.
The Board then discussed whether this calculation would provide
sufficient supply to grow sales and fulfil orders that have not yet
shipped. Some members and attendees expressed concern that some
existing inventory is old enough that it is difficult to sell and thus
more of the current season's fruit should be made available. Some also
reported there may be poor fruit yield in Michigan, which would require
more tonnage to supply the same amount of product. Others added the
Board's demand calculations were not considering growth in the juice
and dried fruit markets that are being served by imported product. As a
result, the Board recommended an additional economic adjustment of 48
million pounds (18 million due to fruit quality concerns and 30 million
for expected deliveries). With this adjustment, and anticipated orchard
diversion (25 million pounds) the Board's preliminary restricted
percentage was 31 percent (96 million pounds divided by 313.5 million
pounds).
The Board met again on September 13, 2018, to consider final volume
regulation percentages for the 2018-19 season. The final percentages
are based on the Board's reported production figures and the supply and
demand information available in September.
The total production for the 2018-19 season was 299.2 million
pounds, 45.3 million pounds below the Board's July estimate. In
addition, growers diverted 12.4 million pounds in the orchard, about
half of what had been anticipated. As a result 286.8 million pounds
would be available to market, 282.3 million pounds of which are in the
restricted districts. Using the actual production numbers, and
accounting for the recommended desirable carry-out and economic
adjustment, as well as the market growth factor, the restricted
percentage was recalculated.
The Board subtracted the carry-in figure used in July of 125.1
million pounds, from the optimum supply of 303 million pounds to
determine 177.9 million pounds of 2018-19 production would be necessary
to reach optimum supply. The Board subtracted the 177.9 million pounds
from the actual production of 299.2 million pounds, resulting in a
surplus of 121.3 million pounds of tart cherries.
The Board also revisited its earlier decision regarding an economic
adjustment. Many in attendance expressed that the previously
recommended economic adjustment should be revisited to avoid placing
[[Page 53005]]
excess fruit on the market. One member indicated the fruit quality in
Michigan was better than anticipated in July. Other attendees indicated
the adjustment for additional sales had been overstated. As a result,
the Board recommended lowering the economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds.
The recalculated surplus was reduced by subtracting the revised
economic adjustment of 24 million pounds and the market growth factor
of 22.3 million pounds, resulting in an adjusted surplus of 75 million
pounds. The Board then divided this final surplus by the available
production of 282.3 million pounds in the regulated districts (294.7
million pounds minus 12.4 million pounds of in-orchard diversion) to
calculate a restricted percentage of 27 percent with a corresponding
free percentage of 73 percent for the 2018-19 crop year, as outlined in
the following table:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Millions
of pounds
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Calculations:
(1) Average sales of the prior three years................ 223
(2) Plus desirable carry-out.............................. 80
(3) Optimum supply calculated by the Board................ 303
(4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2018........................... 125.1
(5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3 minus item 4)......... 177.9
(6) Board reported production............................. 299.2
(7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5)......................... 121.3
(8) Total economic adjustments............................ 24
(9) Market growth factor.................................. 22.3
(10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus items 8 and 9)........ 75
(11) Supply in regulated districts........................ 294.7
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(12) In-Orchard Diversion................................. 12.4
-----------
(13) Production minus in orchard diversion................ 282.3
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Percentages: Percent
-----------
Restricted (item 10 divided by item 13 x 100)............. 27
Free (100 minus restricted percentage).................... 73
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The final restriction of 27 percent is lower than the preliminary
restriction percentage of 31 percent. The largest factor affecting this
change was the final production numbers that came in below the Board's
July estimate. Additionally, less fruit was diverted in orchard than
anticipated and the Board revised its economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds. The desired carry-out remained the same at 80 million pounds.
In discussing the calculation, several members indicated they
believed the recommendation was too restrictive. They supported
maintaining the economic adjustment at the original level, which would
have resulted in a lower calculated restriction. Other members stated
that reducing the economic adjustment was reflective of industry
conditions and expressed concern about putting too much fruit into the
market.
Establishing free and restricted percentages is an attempt to bring
supply and demand into balance. If the primary market is oversupplied
with cherries, grower prices decline substantially. Restricted
percentages have benefited grower returns and helped stabilize the
market as compared to those seasons prior to the implementation of the
marketing order. The Board, based on its discussion of this issue and
the result of the above calculations, believes the available
information indicates a restricted percentage should be established for
the 2018-19 crop year to avoid oversupplying the market with tart
cherries.
Consequently, the Board recommended final percentages of 73 percent
free and 27 percent restricted by a vote of 13 in favor, 4 opposed, and
1 abstention. The Board could meet and recommend the release of
additional volume during the crop year if conditions so warranted. The
Secretary finds, from the recommendation and supporting information
supplied by the Board, that designating final percentages of 73 percent
free and 27 percent restricted tends to effectuate the declared policy
of the Act, and so designates these percentages.
Additionally, the Board reviewed its rules regarding grower
diversion, as this diversion option has become more of a common
practice over the past few seasons. To receive grower diversion credit,
the marketing order requires that the fruit left in the orchard must be
marketable. With no definition of marketable in the marketing order,
the Board had defined fruit as unmarketable if insects were found in
any of the fruit sampled from the acreage marked for diversion.
In 2016, the Board formed a committee to investigate updating this
policy based on recent infestations of Spotted Wing Drosophila. The
industry was concerned growers would not qualify for diversion if a
zero-tolerance policy remained in effect, but also wanted to ensure
orchards were properly maintained to prevent the spread of infestation.
The Board modified its working definition of marketable to reflect
aspects of the tolerances in an FDA Compliance Policy Guide (CPG Sec.
550.225 Cherries--Brined, Fresh, Canned and Frozen--Adulteration
Involving Rot and Insect). Specifically, the Board recommended using a
5 percent tolerance for insects and a 7 percent tolerance for rot when
sampling cherries for diversion. After applying the two tolerances for
insects and rot over two harvests, the Board found these levels were
effective. The Board discussed this issue at its meetings on September
13, 2018, and October 23, 2018, and unanimously recommended
incorporating this change into the Order's rules and regulations.
Final Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (RFA) (5 U.S.C. 601-612), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS)
has considered the economic impact of this final rule on small
entities. Accordingly, AMS has prepared this final regulatory
flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of
businesses subject to such actions in order that small businesses will
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued
pursuant to the Act, and rules issued thereunder, are unique in that
they are brought about through group action of essentially small
entities acting on their own behalf.
There are approximately 600 producers of tart cherries in the
regulated area and approximately 40 handlers of tart cherries who are
subject to regulation under the Order. Small agricultural producers are
defined by the Small Business Administration (SBA) as those having
annual receipts of less than $750,000, and small agricultural service
firms have been defined as those whose annual receipts are less than
$7,500,000 (13 CFR 121.201).
According to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS)
and Board data, the average annual grower price for tart cherries
utilized for processing during the 2017-18 season was approximately
$0.224 per pound. With total utilization at approximately 254 million
pounds for the 2017-18 season, the total 2017-18 value of the crop
utilized for processing is estimated at $56.9 million. Dividing the
crop value by the estimated number of producers (600) yields an
estimated average receipt per producer of $94,833. This is well below
the SBA threshold for small producers.
A free on board (FOB) price of $0.82 per pound for frozen tart
cherries was reported by the Food Institute during the 2017-2018
season. Based on utilization, this price represents a good estimate of
the price for processed cherries. Multiplying this FOB price by total
utilization of 254.1 million pounds results in an estimated handler-
level tart
[[Page 53006]]
cherry value of $208 million. Dividing this figure by the number of
handlers (40) yields estimated average annual handler receipts of $5.2
million, which is below the SBA threshold for small agricultural
service firms. Assuming a normal distribution, the majority of
producers and handlers of tart cherries may be classified as small
entities.
The tart cherry industry in the United States is characterized by
wide annual fluctuations in production. According to NASS, the pounds
of tart cherry production for the years 2012 through 2017 were 85
million, 294 million, 304 million, 253 million, 329 million, and 260
million, respectively. Because of these fluctuations, supply and demand
for tart cherries are rarely in balance.
Demand for tart cherries is inelastic, meaning changes in price
have a minimal effect on total sales volume. However, prices are very
sensitive to changes in supply, and grower prices vary widely in
response to the large swings in annual supply. Grower prices per pound
for processed utilization have ranged from a low of $0.073 in 1987 to a
high of $0.588 per pound in 2012.
Because of this relationship between supply and price,
oversupplying the market with tart cherries would have a sharp negative
effect on prices, driving down grower returns. Aware of this economic
relationship, the Board focuses on using the volume control authority
in the Order to align supply with demand and stabilize industry
returns. This authority allows the industry to set free and restricted
percentages as a way to bring supply and demand into balance. Free
percentage cherries can be marketed by handlers to any outlet, while
restricted percentage volume must be held by handlers in reserve,
diverted, or used for exempted purposes.
This rule controls the supply of tart cherries by establishing
percentages of 73 percent free and 27 percent restricted for the 2018-
19 crop year. These percentages should stabilize marketing conditions
by adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve grower
returns. This action regulates tart cherries growing in Michigan, New
York, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. This action also revises the
regulations regarding grower diversion to codify the Board's definition
of marketable fruit. The authority for this action is provided in
Sec. Sec. 930.50, 930.51(a), 930.52, and 930.58. The Board recommended
this action at meetings on September 13, 2018, and October 23, 2018.
This rule will result in some fruit being diverted from the primary
domestic markets. However, as mentioned earlier, the USDA's
``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop Marketing
Orders'' (https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders) specify that 110 percent of recent
years' sales should be made available to primary markets each season
before recommendations for volume regulation are approved. The quantity
that is available under this regulation is more than 150 percent of the
average sales for the last three years.
In addition, there are secondary uses available for restricted
fruit, including the development of new products, sales into new
markets, the development of export markets, and being placed in
reserve. While these alternatives may provide different levels of
return than the sales to primary markets, they play an important role
for the industry. The areas of new products, new markets, and the
development of export markets utilize restricted fruit to develop and
expand the markets for tart cherries. In 2017-18, these activities
accounted for over 82 million pounds in sales, 27 million of which were
exports. These numbers represent increases of 45 million pounds and
11.4 million pounds respectively.
Placing tart cherries into reserves is also a key part of balancing
supply and demand. Although handlers bear the handling and storage
costs for fruit in reserve, reserves stored in large crop years are
used to supplement supplies in short crop years. The reserves help the
industry to mitigate the impact of oversupply in large crop years,
while allowing the industry to supply markets in years when production
falls below demand. Further, storage and handling costs are more than
offset by the increase in price when moving from a large crop to a
short crop year.
The Board recommended a carry-out of 80 million pounds and made a
demand adjustment of 24 million pounds in order to make the regulation
less restrictive. With 125.1 million pounds of carry-in, 4.5 million
pounds of production in the unregulated districts, and 207.3 million
pounds of free tonnage from the regulated districts, 336.9 million
pounds of fruit will be available for the domestic market. This is
nearly 50 million pounds greater than the tonnage made available in the
previous season. Even with the recommended restriction, the domestic
market will have an ample supply of tart cherries. Further, should
marketing conditions change, and market demand exceed existing
supplies, the Board could meet and recommend the release of an
additional volume of cherries. Consequently, it is not anticipated that
this regulation will unduly burden growers or handlers.
While this action could result in some additional costs to the
industry, these costs are outweighed by the benefits. The purpose of
setting restricted percentages is to attempt to bring supply and demand
into balance. If the primary market (domestic) is oversupplied with
cherries, grower prices decline substantially. Without volume control,
the primary market would likely be oversupplied, resulting in lower
grower prices. In addition, the industry could start to build large
amounts of unwanted inventories, which would also have a depressing
effect on grower returns.
An econometric model has been developed to assess the impact volume
control has on the price growers receive for their product. Based on
the model, the use of volume control would have a positive impact on
grower returns for this crop year. With volume control, grower prices
are estimated to be approximately $0.04 per pound higher than without
restrictions. In addition, absent volume control, the industry could
start to build large amounts of unwanted inventories. These inventories
would have a depressing effect on grower prices.
Retail demand is assumed to be highly inelastic, which indicates
changes in price do not result in significant changes in the quantity
demanded. Consumer prices largely do not reflect fluctuations in cherry
supplies. Therefore, this action should have little or no effect on
consumer prices and should not result in a reduction in retail sales.
The incorporation of a tolerance for insects and rot in diverted
fruit aligns the Order's grower diversion rules and regulations with
current industry practices. The tolerances should make it possible for
more growers to participate in diversion during periods of oversupply,
while encouraging proper pest management. Proper pest management helps
reduce costs by decreasing incidences of infestation. Further, the use
of grower diversion removes excess supply from the market without
incurring the costs of harvesting, processing, and storage.
The established tolerance for insects and rot for cherries diverted
in the orchard will provide clear guidance for compliance with
marketing order provisions, encourage proper pest management, and align
the Order's rules with industry standards. Growers, regardless of size,
should benefit from the addition of these tolerances.
The free and restricted percentages established by this action will
provide the market with optimum supply and
[[Page 53007]]
will apply uniformly to all regulated handlers in the industry,
regardless of size. As the restriction represents a percentage of a
handler's volume, the costs, when applicable, are proportionate and
should not place an extra burden on small entities as compared to large
entities.
The stabilizing effects of this action benefit all handlers by
helping them maintain and expand markets, despite seasonal supply
fluctuations. Likewise, price stability positively impacts all growers
and handlers by allowing them to better anticipate the revenues their
tart cherries would generate. Growers and handlers, regardless of size
benefit from the stabilizing effects of the volume restriction.
The Board had extensive discussions on carry-out inventory
alternatives. The alternatives included five motions that failed to
pass, ranging from 50 million pounds to 100 million pounds. The Board
determined that if the carry-out number was too large, it could have a
negative impact on grower returns. Some attendees indicated excess
carry-in over the past few seasons has had a negative effect on returns
and that growers are seeking relief. After consideration of the
alternatives, the Board recommended a carry-out of 80 million pounds.
The Board also weighed alternatives when discussing the economic
adjustment. At its July meeting, the Board recommended a 48 million
pound adjustment to account for fruit quality concerns and expected
sales. One member proposed an additional 40-million-pound adjustment to
counter imports of dried and frozen cherries, while other members
favored a lower amount.
When the final production numbers were reviewed in September, the
Board revisited the economic adjustment. Members indicated fruit
quality was still an issue, but yields were better than initially
anticipated. Members also stated that with tough international markets,
the additional sales may have been overstated. Members from the Western
states in particular were concerned that a large shift in the
restriction percentage following harvest would disrupt the overall
market and petitioned the Board to reconsider the adjustment. After
discussion, the Board adopted an adjustment of 24 million pounds
determining this amount would best meet the industry's sales needs.
Thus, the alternatives were rejected.
Regarding grower diversion requirements, the Board initially
proposed a broader set of requirements including spray protocols and
destruction of diverted fruit in order to better control infestation.
The original proposal called for annual determination of which steps
would be required in each district. As research is still evolving on
how best to deal with spotted wing drosophila infestations, preferred
methods of dealing with the diverted fruit were also subject to change.
Thus, the Board voted to codify only the tolerance for marketability.
In accordance with the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.
Chapter 35), the Order's information collection requirements have been
previously approved by OMB and assigned OMB No. 0581-0177, Tart
Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania,
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. No changes to those
requirements are necessary as a result of this action. Should any
changes become necessary, they would be submitted to OMB for approval.
This final rule will not impose any additional reporting or
recordkeeping requirements on either small or large tart cherry
handlers. As with all Federal marketing order programs, reports and
forms are periodically reviewed to reduce information requirements and
duplication by industry and public sector agencies. As noted in the
initial regulatory flexibility analysis, USDA has not identified any
relevant Federal rules that duplicate, overlap or conflict with this
final rule.
AMS is committed to complying with the E-Government Act, to promote
the use of the internet and other information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen access to Government information
and services, and for other purposes.
The Board's meetings were widely publicized throughout the tart
cherry industry, and all interested persons were invited to attend the
meetings and participate in Board deliberations on all issues. Like all
Board meetings, the July 6, 2018, September 13, 2018, and October 23,
2018, meetings were public meetings, and all entities, both large and
small, were able to express views on this issue.
A proposed rule concerning this action was published in the Federal
Register on May 8, 2019 (84 FR 20043). Copies of the proposed rule were
sent via email to all Board members and tart cherry handlers. Finally,
the proposed rule was made available through the internet by USDA and
the Office of the Federal Register. A 30-day comment period was
provided to allow interested persons to respond to the proposal.
Two comments were received in opposition to the proposal. Both
commenters were concerned by adjustments made between the Board's
preliminary and final recommendations, indicating the changes reduced
the amount of free volume available. The Order requires that the Board
make a preliminary recommendation on or around July 1 and then make a
final recommendation before September 15. The preliminary numbers are
based on forecasts and are announced to give the industry an initial
indication of the conditions for the upcoming season. The preliminary
percentages or the numbers used in the calculation are not binding.
One commenter stated changes from the June estimates interrupt the
flow of business. However, there are often changes between the two
recommendations, as actual production, diversion numbers, or industry
conditions do not always align with forecasts. When the Board meets in
September to make a final recommendation, harvest is complete, and the
fruit has moved into processing channels. The Board can discuss volume
regulation using actual numbers and current information regarding
market conditions. Therefore, the final recommendation to the Secretary
is made in September. Further, should conditions warrant, the Order
gives the Board the authority to recommend a release of reserves if it
is determined there is demand for additional fruit.
One commenter objected to the reduction in the economic adjustment
from the 48 million pounds used during the preliminary discussion in
June to the 24 million pounds included in the final recommendation. The
Board had incorporated an adjustment of 48 million pounds in its
preliminary recommendation based in part on the expectations of poor
fruit quality and additional sales needs. At the meeting in September,
many in attendance expressed that the Board needed to revisit the
economic adjustment to avoid placing excess fruit on the market. During
the discussion, one member indicated the fruit quality in Michigan was
better than was anticipated in July. Other attendees indicated the
adjustment for additional sales had been overstated. As a result, the
Board recommended lowering the economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds.
The commenter expressed that the statement regarding improved fruit
quality was erroneous and using this as a reason to change the economic
adjustment from 48 to 24 million pounds was improper. The commenter
noted that yields for 2018 fell below 2015 and 2016 levels as grounds
to support the claim that the original economic adjustment should have
been
[[Page 53008]]
maintained. However, the final recommendation provided by the Board
indicated yields were better than anticipated in July, but still an
issue. The other major factor in this adjustment was a consideration of
expected sales. As noted earlier, the Board's discussions indicated the
adjustment for additional sales may have been overstated in its
preliminary calculations. Therefore, the economic adjustment was not
eliminated but reduced to 24 million pounds. Further, all members had
an opportunity to express their opinions. The concerns regarding the
change in the economic adjustment raised by these commenters were part
of the Board's discussions and in the end the recommended adjustment
was supported by a supermajority of the Board.
The comments also referred to old or poor quality inventory being
favored by the regulation. With the exception of an age limitation on
inventory held in reserve, the Order makes no distinctions among
products in inventory. There are no regulations on the age or quality
of fruit held as free inventory, nor is there any specific data
collected regarding the age of the product in inventory. The comments
also provide no specifics regarding the volume or age of the inventory
they cite as problematic. Without this information, there can be no
objective determination regarding how the age or quality of current
inventory is impacting the market.
Both comments also mentioned concerns with the volume of imports,
which were also part of the Board's preliminary and final discussions.
While the Order cannot regulate imports, the Board has sought to use
its available tools to remain competitive. In recent years, the Board
has recommended, and USDA implemented, changes to the Order to allow
processors to use restricted fruit under the market expansion
provisions of the Order. This has included allowing new market
diversion credits when supplying a customer formerly supplied by
imports. As stated previously, these activities accounted for 55
million pounds of sales in 2017, up from 21.4 million pounds in the
previous season. In 2018, the Order's rules and regulations were
modified to expand the number of years products are eligible for these
diversion credits from three to five years. That change allows handlers
to receive credits for two additional years, making it more likely
handlers will invest in these diversion activities and reestablish
domestic markets using restricted fruit.
One commenter also indicated the regulation results in quality
fruit being destroyed. There is no requirement under the Order to
destroy fruit. Those choosing to participate in grower diversion as a
means of complying with the regulation do leave fruit unharvested in
order to receive diversion credits that are then sold to processors.
This is just one of many options processors have in order comply with
the regulation. Board data indicate only 12.5 million pounds were
diverted in the orchard, half of what had been projected in July. This
indicates more handlers chose to meet their restricted percentage using
reserves, new product and new market diversion, and exports.
Accordingly, based on the comments received, no changes will be
made to the rule as proposed.
A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses. Any questions
about the compliance guide should be sent to Richard Lower at the
previously mentioned address in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
After consideration of all relevant matter presented, including the
information and recommendation submitted by the Board and other
available information, it is hereby found that this rule, as
hereinafter set forth, will tend to effectuate the declared policy of
the Act.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930
Marketing agreements, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements,
Tart cherries.
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR part 930 is
amended as follows:
PART 930--TART CHERRIES GROWN IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW YORK,
PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON, UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND WISCONSIN
0
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part 930 continues to read as
follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.
0
2. Amend Sec. 930.158 by revising paragraph (a) to read as follows:
Sec. 930.158 Grower diversion and grower diversion certificates.
(a) Grower diversion certificates. The Board may issue diversion
certificates to growers in districts subject to volume regulation who
have voluntarily elected to divert in the orchard all or a portion of
their tart cherry production which otherwise, upon delivery to
handlers, would become restricted percentage cherries. Growers may
offer the diversion certificate to handlers in lieu of delivering
cherries. Handlers may redeem diversion certificates with the Board
through June 30 of each crop year. After June 30 of the crop year that
crop year's grower diversion certificates are no longer valid. Cherries
that have reached a harvestable, marketable condition will be eligible
for diversion. Diversion will not be granted to growers whose fruit was
destroyed before it set and/or matured on the tree, or whose fruit is
unmarketable. If marketable fruit were to be damaged or destroyed by
acts of nature such as storms or hail diversion credit could be
granted. To be considered marketable for the purposes of this section,
sampled fruit may not exceed a 5 percent tolerance for insects or a 7
percent tolerance for rot.
* * * * *
0
3. Revise Sec. 930.256 to read as follows:
Sec. 930.256 Free and restricted percentages for the 2018-19 crop
year.
The percentages for tart cherries handled by handlers during the
crop year beginning on July 1, 2018, which shall be free and
restricted, respectively, are designated as follows: Free percentage,
73 percent and restricted percentage, 27 percent.
Dated: September 26, 2019.
Bruce Summers,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing Service.
[FR Doc. 2019-21360 Filed 10-3-19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410-02-P