Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans; Pennsylvania; Attainment Plan for the Beaver, Pennsylvania Nonattainment Area for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard, 51988-52001 [2019-20848]
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Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 190 / Tuesday, October 1, 2019 / Rules and Regulations
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA; and
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
• In addition, the SIP is not approved
to apply on any Indian reservation land
or in any other area where EPA or an
Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the rule does not have
tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on tribal
governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
The Congressional Review Act, 5
U.S.C. 801 et seq., as added by the Small
Business Regulatory Enforcement
Fairness Act of 1996, generally provides
that before a rule may take effect, the
agency promulgating the rule must
submit a rule report, which includes a
copy of the rule, to each House of the
Congress and to the Comptroller General
of the United States. EPA will submit a
report containing this action and other
required information to the U.S. Senate,
the U.S. House of Representatives, and
the Comptroller General of the United
States prior to publication of the rule in
the Federal Register. A major rule
cannot take effect until 60 days after it
is published in the Federal Register.
This action is not a ‘‘major rule’’ as
defined by 5 U.S.C. 804(2).
Under section 307(b)(1) of the CAA,
petitions for judicial review of this
action must be filed in the United States
Court of Appeals for the appropriate
circuit by December 2, 2019. Filing a
petition for reconsideration by the
Administrator of this final rule does not
affect the finality of this action for the
purposes of judicial review nor does it
extend the time within which a petition
for judicial review may be filed, and
shall not postpone the effectiveness of
such rule or action. This action may not
be challenged later in proceedings to
enforce its requirements. (See section
307(b)(2).)
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Best Available
Retrofit Technology, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations,
Nitrogen oxide, Ozone, Particulate
matter, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Regional haze, Sulfur
dioxide, Visibility, Volatile organic
compounds.
Dated: September 23, 2019.
Kenley McQueen,
Regional Administrator, Region 6.
40 CFR part 52 is amended as follows:
PART 52—APPROVAL AND
PROMULGATION OF
IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
1. The authority citation for part 52
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart E—Arkansas
2. In § 52.170 paragraph (e), the third
table titled ‘‘EPA-Approved NonRegulatory Provisions and QuasiRegulatory Measures in the Arkansas
SIP’’ is amended by adding a new entry
‘‘Arkansas SIP Review for the Five-Year
Regional Haze Progress Report’’ at the
end of the table to read as follows:
■
§ 52.170
*
Identification of plan.
*
*
(e) * * *
*
*
EPA-APPROVED NON-REGULATORY PROVISIONS AND QUASI-REGULATORY MEASURES IN THE ARKANSAS SIP
Applicable
geographic or
nonattainment area
Name of SIP provision
*
*
Arkansas SIP Review for the Five-Year Regional Haze Progress Report.
ACTION:
[FR Doc. 2019–20982 Filed 9–30–19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
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[EPA–R03–OAR–2017–0681; FRL–10000–
28–Region 3]
Approval and Promulgation of Air
Quality Implementation Plans;
Pennsylvania; Attainment Plan for the
Beaver, Pennsylvania Nonattainment
Area for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide
Primary National Ambient Air Quality
Standard
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
AGENCY:
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*
Statewide ..................
State submittal/
effective date
*
*
*
June 2, 2015 ............ October 1, 2019, [Insert Federal
Register citation].
Final rule.
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is approving a state
implementation plan (SIP) revision
submitted by the Commonwealth of
Pennsylvania. The revision is an
attainment plan for the purpose of
providing for attainment of the 2010
sulfur dioxide (SO2) primary national
ambient air quality standard (NAAQS)
in the Beaver County, Pennsylvania SO2
nonattainment area (hereafter referred to
as the ‘‘Beaver Area’’ or ‘‘Area’’). The
attainment plan includes the base year
emissions inventory, an analysis of the
reasonably available control technology
(RACT) and reasonably available control
measure (RACM) requirements, a
reasonable further progress (RFP) plan,
a modeling demonstration of SO2
attainment, enforceable emission
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EPA approval date
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Explanation
*
limitations and control measures,
contingency measures for the Beaver
Area, and Pennsylvania’s new source
review (NSR) permitting program. As
part of approving the attainment plan,
EPA is approving into the Pennsylvania
SIP new SO2 emission limits and
associated compliance parameters for
the FirstEnergy Generation, LLC
(FirstEnergy) Bruce Mansfield Power
Station (Bruce Mansfield) and a consent
order with Jewel Acquisition Midland
steel plant (Jewel Facility). EPA is
approving these revisions that
demonstrate attainment of the SO2
NAAQS in the Beaver Area in
accordance with the requirements of the
Clean Air Act (CAA).
This final rule is effective on
October 31, 2019.
DATES:
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EPA has established a
docket for this action under Docket ID
Number EPA–R03–OAR–2017–0681. All
documents in the docket are listed on
the https://www.regulations.gov
website. Although listed in the index,
some information is not publicly
available, e.g., confidential business
information (CBI) or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Certain other material, such as
copyrighted material, is not placed on
the internet and will be publicly
available only in hard copy form.
Publicly available docket materials are
available through https://
www.regulations.gov, or please contact
the person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section for
additional availability information.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Megan Goold, Planning &
Implementation Branch (3AD30), Air &
Radiation Division, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Region III, 1650
Arch Street, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
19103. The telephone number is (215)
814–2027. Ms. Goold can also be
reached via electronic mail at
goold.megan@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
ADDRESSES:
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I. Background
On June 2, 2010, the EPA
Administrator signed a final rule
establishing a new SO2 primary NAAQS
as a 1-hour standard of 75 parts per
billion (ppb), based on a 3-year average
of the annual 99th percentile of daily
maximum 1-hour average
concentrations. See 75 FR 35520 (June
22, 2010), codified at 40 CFR 50.17. This
action also provided for revocation of
the existing 1971 primary annual and
24-hour standards, subject to certain
conditions.1 Following promulgation of
a new or revised NAAQS, EPA is
required by the CAA to designate areas
throughout the United States as
attaining or not attaining the NAAQS;
this designation process is described in
section 107(d)(1)–(2) of the CAA. On
August 5, 2013, EPA promulgated initial
air quality designations for 29 areas for
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS (78 FR 47191),
which became effective on October 4,
2013, based on violating air quality
monitoring data for calendar years
2009–2011, where there were sufficient
1 EPA’s June 22, 2010, final action provided for
revocation of the 1971 primary 24-hour standard of
140 ppb and the annual standard of 30 ppb because
they were determined not to add additional public
health protection given a 1-hour standard at 75 ppb.
See 75 FR 35520. However, the secondary 3-hour
SO2 standard was retained. Currently, the 24-hour
and annual standards are only revoked for certain
of those areas the EPA has already designated for
the 2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS. See 40 CFR 50.4(e).
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data to support a nonattainment
designation.2
Effective on October 4, 2013, the
Beaver Area was designated as
nonattainment for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS
for an area that encompasses the
primary SO2 emitting source Bruce
Mansfield and the nearby SO2 monitor
(Air Quality Site ID: 42–007–0005). The
final designation triggered a
requirement for Pennsylvania to submit
a SIP revision with an attainment plan
for how the Area would attain the 2010
SO2 NAAQS as expeditiously as
practicable, but no later than October 4,
2018, in accordance with CAA section
192(a).
For a number of areas, including the
Beaver Area, EPA published a document
on March 18, 2016, effective April 18,
2016, that Pennsylvania and other
pertinent states had failed to submit the
required SO2 attainment plan by this
submittal deadline. See 81 FR 14736.
This finding initiated a deadline under
CAA section 179(a) for the potential
imposition of new source review and
highway funding sanctions. However,
pursuant to Pennsylvania’s submittal of
September 29, 2017, and EPA’s
subsequent letter dated October 5, 2017
to Pennsylvania finding the submittal
complete and noting the stopping of the
sanctions clock, these sanctions under
section 179(a) will not be imposed as a
consequence of Pennsylvania’s having
missed the SIP submission deadline.
Additionally, under CAA section 110(c),
the March 18, 2016 finding triggered a
requirement that EPA promulgate a
Federal implementation plan (FIP)
within two years of the effective date of
the finding unless, by that time, the
state has made the necessary complete
submittal and EPA has approved the
submittal as meeting applicable
requirements. This FIP obligation will
not apply as a result of this action to
finalize this SIP approval.
Attainment plans for SO2 must meet
the applicable requirements of the CAA,
and specifically, CAA sections 110, 172,
191, and 192. The required components
of an attainment plan submittal are
listed in section 172(c) of Title I, part D
of the CAA, and in EPA’s implementing
regulations at 40 CFR part 51. On April
23, 2014, EPA issued guidance
(hereafter 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Guidance) recommending how state
2 EPA is continuing its designation efforts for the
2010 SO2 NAAQS. Pursuant to a court-order
entered on March 2, 2015, by the U.S. District Court
for the Northern District of California, EPA must
complete the remaining designations for the rest of
the country on a schedule that contains three
specific deadlines. Sierra Club, et al. v.
Environmental Protection Agency, 13–cv–03953–SI
(N.D. Cal. 2015).
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submissions could address the statutory
requirements for SO2 attainment plans.3
In this guidance, EPA described the
statutory requirements for an attainment
plan, which include: An accurate base
year emissions inventory, of current
emissions, for all sources of SO2 within
the nonattainment area (172(c)(3)); an
attainment demonstration that includes
a modeling analysis showing that the
enforceable emissions limitations and
other control measures taken by the
state will provide for expeditious
attainment of the NAAQS (172(c));
demonstration of RFP (172(c)(2));
implementation of RACM, including
RACT (172(c)(1)); Nonattainment NSR
requirements (172(c)(5)); and adequate
contingency measures for the affected
area (172(c)(9)).
II. Summary of SIP Revision and EPA
Analysis
In accordance with section 172(c) of
the CAA, the Pennsylvania attainment
plan for the Beaver Area includes: (1)
An emissions inventory for SO2 for the
plan’s base year (2011); and (2) an
attainment demonstration. The formal
SIP revision was submitted by
Pennsylvania on September 29, 2017.
The attainment demonstration includes
the following: Analyses that locate,
identify, and quantify sources of
emissions contributing to violations of
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS; a determination
that the control strategy for the primary
SO2 source within the nonattainment
area constitutes RACM/RACT; a
dispersion modeling analysis of an
emissions control strategy for the
primary SO2 source (Bruce Mansfield),
showing attainment of the SO2 NAAQS
by the October 4, 2018 attainment date;
requirements for RFP toward attaining
the SO2 NAAQS in the Area;
contingency measures; the assertion that
Pennsylvania’s existing SIP-approved
NSR program meets the applicable
requirements for SO2; and the request
that emission limitations and
compliance parameters for Bruce
Mansfield be incorporated into the SIP.
On October 5, 2018 (83 FR 50314), EPA
published a notice of proposed
rulemaking (NPRM) for the
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. In the
NPRM, EPA proposed approval of the
attainment plan for the Beaver Area for
the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Comments on
EPA’s proposed rulemaking were due
on or before November 5, 2018.
Other specific requirements of the
Beaver Area attainment plan and the
3 See ‘‘Guidance for 1-Hour SO Nonattainment
2
Area SIP Submissions’’ (April 23, 2014), available
at https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/201606/documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_
sip.pdf.
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rationale for EPA’s proposed action are
explained in the NPRM and will not be
restated here. This final action
incorporates the rationale provided in
the NPRM, except to the extent
necessary to reflect any changes in the
rationale in response to the public
comments. Multiple comments on the
NPRM were received from one entity.
Several of the comments had various
points and are addressed point by point
by EPA. To review the full set of
comments received, refer to the Docket
for this rulemaking, as identified above.
A summary of the comments received
and EPA’s responses are provided
below.
Comment 1. The commenter asserts
that considering FirstEnergy’s
announcement that the Bruce Mansfield
Plant will retire in 2021, the proper path
forward is for the Pennsylvania
Department of Environmental Protection
(PADEP) to incorporate that retirement
into the SIP and set emission limits for
the plant of zero.
Response 1. EPA disagrees with the
commenter that PADEP needs to revise
their SIP submission to incorporate the
retirement of Bruce Mansfield. The
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
correctly submitted a complete
attainment plan SIP on September 29,
2017, and EPA is finalizing approval of
that submittal with this action. The
Beaver Area Attainment Plan includes
modeling using the Bruce Mansfield
critical emissions values (CEVs) and
operational restrictions for other SO2
sources in the area that demonstrates
attainment of the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS.
PADEP developed comparably stringent
30-day emissions limits for Bruce
Mansfield based on the modeled CEVs.
The attainment plan meets the
requirements of CAA Section 172(c) as
submitted, and there is no need to
amend the plan to incorporate the
planned shutdown of Bruce Mansfield.
In addition to the planned shutdown
which the commenter mentioned, EPA
is aware that Units 1 and 2 of the Bruce
Mansfield Plant have been listed on
PJM’s (Pennsylvania New Jersey
Maryland Interconnection LLC)
deactivation list as of February 5, 2019
(which was after the public comment
period for this action); nevertheless,
EPA continues to assert that even
though Bruce Mansfield Units 1 and 2
are already deactivated, the SIP does not
need to be amended. The permits for
these units have not been retired, and,
thus, the units are still permitted to emit
SO2 to the allowable emission limit. The
emission limits and operational
restrictions being incorporated into the
SIP in this action are still in effect, and
still provide for attainment of the 1-hour
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SO2 NAAQS, as the attainment
modeling demonstrated.
Comment 2. The commenter claims
that EPA has failed to issue a FIP or
impose sanctions against the state for
not having a Federally enforceable SIP
that demonstrates how the Beaver Area
will reach attainment by the statutorily
required compliance deadline of
October 4, 2018. The commenter asserts
that it is unclear how the SIP can meet
this now passed compliance deadline
when the limits proposed in the
Pennsylvania submission are not
presently Federally enforceable.
Response 2. EPA disagrees with the
commenter that sanctions should have
been applied in this case because, as
discussed in the NPRM, the sanctions
clock was turned off when EPA
determined a complete SIP was
submitted as stipulated in CAA 179(a).
See also 40 CFR 52.31(d)(5), which
provides that a sanctions clock started
by a finding of failure to submit a
required SIP will be permanently
stopped upon a final finding that the
deficiency forming the basis of the
finding of failure to submit has been
corrected, and that in such a case a
letter from EPA to the State would be
how EPA issues a finding that the
deficiency has been corrected.
EPA agrees with the commenter that
the approval of this SIP did not occur
before the October 4, 2018 deadline for
NAAQS attainment. However, EPA
disagrees that the proposed emission
limits at Bruce Mansfield and
operational restrictions at the Jewel
Facility in the SIP, which have been in
effect and enforceable at the state level
since October 1, 2018, and September
21, 2017, respectively, have not brought
the SO2 concentrations in the area under
the 75-ppb standard by the applicable
deadline. Supporting evidence of timely
attainment is available from the most
recent SO2 concentrations at the
Brighton Township monitor (AQS 42–
007–0005) in the nonattainment area
being well below the 75-ppb standard.
Specifically, the 99th percentile of the
1-hour maximum SO2 concentrations at
the (previously violating) Brighton
Township monitor was 18 ppb in 2018,
and the most recent design value (3-year
average of the annual 99th percentile of
1-hour daily maximum concentrations
using 2016–2018 data) was 22 ppb.4
EPA also disagrees with the apparent
view of the commenter that because
4 The Brighton Township monitor was the highest
violating monitor in Beaver County in 2011 when
the area was designated nonattainment. The 2009–
2011 Design Value (3-year average of the annual
99th percentile of 1-hour daily maximum
concentrations) was 158 ppb, and the 2008–2010
design value was 167 ppb.
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EPA did not approve, and thereby make
Federally enforceable, the
Commonwealth’s emission limits before
the October 4, 2018 attainment
deadline, Pennsylvania’s plan itself is
somehow no longer approvable and EPA
cannot thereafter approve the emissions
limits and make them Federally
enforceable. Such a view cannot be
correct, as adopting it would preclude
EPA from ever being able to approve a
SIP that has fully adequate emissions
limits that reduce emissions
concentrations to attaining levels merely
due to EPA’s timing of action, rather
than based on the technical merits of the
SIP, and force EPA to possibly adopt in
a FIP the exact same emissions limits
but on an even more belated schedule.
Such a result is not compelled by the
CAA, and would offend the value of
cooperative federalism reflected in the
Act. In addition, EPA believes its
obligation is to evaluate the state’s plan,
and to evaluate whether the state has
established timely obligations for
pertinent sources, without regard to the
timing by which the state enforceable
obligations become Federally
enforceable.
In any case, EPA has proposed
approval, and with this action, finalizes
approval of the Beaver, PA attainment
plan, which makes Federally
enforceable the 30-day average SO2
limits at Bruce Mansfield and
operational restrictions at the Jewel
Facility. The 30-day average SO2 limits
for Bruce Mansfield were developed
using procedures recommended in
EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance and are a comparably
stringent substitute for a 1-hour limit at
the modeled CEV. The CEV for Bruce
Mansfield and the operational
restrictions for the Jewel Facility were
modeled as resulting in attainment of
the NAAQS, Bruce Mansfield is
complying with the comparably
stringent 30-day limits, Jewel is
complying with the operational
restrictions, and the limits have been
enforceable Pennsylvania since October
1, 2018 for Bruce Mansfield, and since
September 21, 2017 for the Jewel
Facility.
In regard to EPA’s failure to issue a
FIP, EPA believes that the most
expeditious way to bring this area into
attainment and maintain attainment is
to approve the submitted SIP with the
limits and restrictions adopted by the
Commonwealth, making those limits
and restrictions Federally enforceable.
Also, any FIP for this area would likely
mirror what Pennsylvania has proposed
in the SIP, so approval of the SIP is
likely just as effective and a more
efficient way to ensure that the limits
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and other elements of the SIP become
Federally enforceable. Thus, it is
reasonable to conclude that the most
expeditious approach to having a
Federally enforceable plan to bring the
area into attainment and keep it in
attainment is to approve this SIP, and
not issue a FIP.
Comment 3. The commenter asserts
that the 30-day average emission limits
in the Proposal for Bruce Mansfield are
fundamentally incapable of protecting a
1-hour standard. The commenter
provided two references to EPA
documents where EPA states that
averaging periods for emissions limits
should be consistent with the NAAQS
averaging time periods.5
Response 3. EPA disagrees with the
commenter’s statement that the
proposed 30-day limit is fundamentally
incapable of protecting the 1-hour
NAAQS. EPA believes as a general
matter that properly set, longer term
average limits are comparably effective
in providing for attainment of the 1hour SO2 standard as 1-hour limits.
EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance sets forth in detail the
reasoning supporting its view that the
distribution of emissions that can be
expected in compliance with a properly
set longer term average limit is likely to
yield comparable overall air quality
than constant hourly emissions set at a
level that provides for attainment. See
2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance,
including Appendix B. This reasoning is
also expressed in detail in the NPRM for
this action.
At the outset, EPA notes that the
specific examples of earlier EPA
statements cited by the commenter (i.e.,
those contained in Exhibits 1 and 2 to
Appendix A of the comment
submission) pre-date the release of
EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance. As such, these examples only
reflect the Agency’s development of its
policy for implementing the 2010 SO2
NAAQS as of the dates of the issuance
of the statements. At the time these
statements were issued, EPA had not yet
addressed the specific question of
whether it might be possible to devise
an emission limit with an averaging
period longer than 1-hour, with
appropriate adjustments that would
make it comparably stringent to an
emission limit shown to attain 1-hour
emission levels, that could adequately
ensure attainment of the SO2 NAAQS.
None of the pre-2014 EPA documents
cited by the commenter address this
5 EPA Region 7 Comments re: Sunflower Holcomb
Station Expansion Project 4 (August 12, 2010); EPA
Region 5 comments re: Monroe Power Plant
Construction Permit 1 (February 1, 2012).
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question; consequently, it is not
reasonable to read any of them as
rejecting that possibility.
In contrast, EPA’s 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Area Guidance
specifically addressed this issue as it
pertains to requirements for SIPs for SO2
nonattainment areas under the 2010
NAAQS, especially with regard to the
use of appropriately set comparably
stringent limitations based on averaging
times as long as 30 days. EPA found that
a longer term average limit which is
comparably stringent to a short-term
average limit is likely to yield
comparable air quality; and that the net
effect of allowing emissions variability
over time but requiring a lower average
emission level is that the resulting
worst-case air quality is likely to be
comparable to the worst-case air quality
resulting from the corresponding higher
constant short-term average emission
limit. See 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Guidance.
Any accounting of whether a 30-day
average limit provides for attainment
must consider factors reducing the
likelihood of 1-hour average
concentrations that exceed the NAAQS
level as well as factors creating a risk of
additional concentrations that exceed
the NAAQS level. To facilitate this
analysis, EPA used the concept of a CEV
for the SO2-emitting facilities which are
being addressed in a nonattainment SIP.
The CEV is the continuous 1-hour
emission rate which is expected to
result in the 3-year average of annual
99th percentile daily maximum 1-hour
average concentrations being at or below
75 ppb, which in a typical year means
that fewer than four days have
maximum hourly ambient SO2
concentrations exceeding 75 ppb. See
2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance,
Appendix B.
EPA recognizes that a 30-day limit
can allow occasions in which emissions
exceed the CEV, and such occasions
yield the possibility of concentrations
exceeding the NAAQS level that would
not be expected if emissions were
always at the CEV. At the same time, the
establishment of the 30-day average
limit at a level below the CEV means
that emissions must routinely be lower
than they would be required to be with
a 1-hour emission limit set at the CEV.
On those critical modeled days in which
emissions at the CEV are expected to
result in concentrations exceeding 75
ppb, emissions set to comply with a 30day average level which is below the
CEV may well result in concentrations
below 75 ppb. Requiring emissions on
average to be below the CEV introduces
significant chances that emissions will
be below the CEV on critical days, so
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51991
that such a requirement creates
significant chances that air quality
would be better than 75 ppb on days
that, with emissions at the CEV,
concentrations would have exceeded 75
ppb.
The NPRM for this area provides an
illustrative example of the effect that
application of a limit with an averaging
time longer than 1 hour can have on air
quality. This example illustrates both (1)
the possibility of elevated emissions
(emissions above the CEV) causing
concentrations exceeding the NAAQS
level not expected with emissions at or
below the CEV and (2) the possibility
that the requirement for routinely lower
emissions would result in avoiding
concentrations exceeding 75 ppb that
would be expected with emissions at
the CEV. In this example, moving from
a 1-hour limit to a 30-day average limit
results in one day that exceeds 75 ppb
that would otherwise be below 75 ppb,
one day that is below 75 ppb that would
otherwise be above 75 ppb, and one day
that is below 75 ppb that would
otherwise be at 75 ppb. In net, the 99th
percentile of the 30-day average limit
scenario is lower than that of the 1-hour
limit scenario, with a design value of
67.5 ppb rather than 75 ppb. Stated
more generally, this example illustrates
several points: (1) The variations in
emissions that are accounted for with a
longer term average limit can yield
higher concentrations on some days and
lower concentrations on other days, as
determined by the factors influencing
dispersion on each day, (2) one must
account for both possibilities, and (3)
accounting for both effects can yield the
conclusion that a properly set longer
term average limit can provide as good
or better air quality than allowing
constant emissions at a higher level. The
commenter has not disputed this
rationale that longer term limits can
suitably provide for attainment, and
thus EPA continues to assert that
appropriately set 30-day emission limits
can be protective of the 1-hour SO2
standard.
Comment 3a. The commenter states
that the Bruce Mansfield 30-day average
emission limits are 720 times the
standard, and they would do nothing to
change Bruce Mansfield’s current
behavior. The commenter provided data
from the last four years of publicly
available emissions data for the facility
and notes that the proposed 30-day
average emission limits for Units 1 and
2 combined, and for Unit 3,
respectively, are far higher than actual
historical emissions. The commenter
also provided hourly emissions data
from Bruce Mansfield Units 1 and 2
combined from June 1, 2013 to May 30,
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2017 6 and states that during this time
period, there are 101 hours in which
emissions from Units 1 and 2 exceed the
hourly limit. The commenter further
asserts that using their 30-day average
analysis, Bruce Mansfield would have
been in ‘‘compliance’’ with the
proposed 30-day emission limits during
this time period. In the commenter’s
view, given that exceedances of the
NAAQS can occur if as few as four
hours over the course of a year are above
the 75-ppb threshold, the commenter
states that it is impossible that the
proposed 30-day limit will protect the
standard.
Response 3a. EPA disagrees with the
commenter that the 30-day average
emission limits are 720 times the
standard. The averaging period for the
emissions limit is 30 days, or 720 hours,
which is 720 times the length of the
averaging time of the standard. The 30day emission limits are not 720 times
the 1-hour CEV, and the resulting
concentrations are not 720 times the
NAAQS (75 ppb). More importantly,
this comment does not include a
rationale that a limit with this averaging
time necessarily fails to assure
attainment.
The SO2 emissions and SO2
concentrations have significantly
declined in the Beaver Area. As
described in the NPRM for this action,
two facilities within the nonattainment
area have permanently shut down—AES
Beaver, a coal fired power plant, shut
down in 2015, and Horsehead Monaca,
a zinc smelter, shut down in 2014. In
addition, the Jewel Facility, a steel mill,
has entered into a Consent Order and
Agreement (COA) with PADEP to
prohibit operation of the Meltshop (the
primary source of sulfur dioxide). The
closure of two facilities and the
operational restrictions on a third
facility have provided SO2 emission
reductions, and a significant portion of
these reductions are enforceable
pursuant to Pennsylvania’s plan. These
reduced allowable emissions, along
with the allowable emissions at Bruce
Mansfield, have been modeled in
accordance with Appendix W to 40 CFR
part 51 and the EPA’s 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Area Guidance and
demonstrate that the area will attain the
standard by its attainment date. PADEP
developed a comparably stringent 30day average emission limit for Bruce
Mansfield using the modeled emission
6 The Appendix B spreadsheet submitted with
this comment shows the data analysis for the hourly
emissions at Bruce Mansfield Units 1 and 2 was for
the time period June 1, 2013 through June 30, 2017.
However, the text of the comment states the
analysis was completed for emissions from June 1,
2013 to May 30, 2017.
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levels as a starting point and adjusted
downward, in accordance with
procedures recommended in EPA’s SO2
Nonattainment Area Guidance. In
response 3 above and in EPA’s 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Area Guidance, EPA has
explained at length its reasoning that a
comparably stringent 30-day average
limit is a suitable substitute for a 1-hour
limit at the CEV in providing for
attainment.
Furthermore, although the focus of
this rulemaking is on whether the plan
has limits that assure attainment, it is
worth noting that significant emission
reductions have also occurred and will
occur in the future at Bruce Mansfield.
Compared to emissions for 2010 to 2012
(the period of the air quality data that
resulted in this area being designated
nonattainment), when emissions from
Bruce Mansfield averaged 20,700 tons
per year, emissions for 2017 to 2018
averaged 7,000 tons per year. As stated
in the attainment plan, in order to
comply with the new limit, Bruce
Mansfield planned to make operational
and physical changes prior to October
2018 to ensure compliance with the new
limits (Appendix E–1, p. 7). Also,
although shutdowns at Bruce Mansfield
are beyond the planning horizon of the
SIP and are not part of the SIP, the
shutdown of this full facility that is
slated for 2021 provides further
confidence that the area will continue to
attain the standard.
Therefore, EPA continues to believe
that the emission limits at Bruce
Mansfield, in concert with the
shutdown of AES Beaver and Horsehead
Monaca, and operating restrictions on
the Jewel plant, provide the SO2
emission reductions required to
demonstrate attainment. EPA notes that
attainment is not solely dependent on
reducing emissions or changing the
operations at Bruce Mansfield, but on
all the SO2 emission reductions that
have occurred and were modeled in the
nonattainment area.
Furthermore, EPA disagrees with the
commenter’s premise that the existence
of hours with emissions exceeding
modeled attainment levels despite
compliance with the 30-day average
limit necessarily means that the 30-day
limit is not protective of the NAAQS.
(The commenter claims the existence of
101 hours from mid-2013 to mid-2017
when the emissions from Units 1 and 2
exceeded the ‘‘hourly limit’’ despite
being in compliance with the 30-day
limit. In fact, there is no hourly limit; as
discussed further below, the commenter
identified an equation, based on
Pennsylvania’s simulations of
attainment level emissions, for
characterizing the range of combinations
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of hourly Unit 1, Unit 2, and Unit 3
emissions that would model attainment,
and found that 101 hours had emissions
exceeding those levels.) Indeed, the
NPRM provides an extensive discussion
of EPA’s rationale for believing that a
30-day average limit, which creates risk
of occasions of emissions exceeding the
CEV but also creates a compensating
likelihood that the mandate for lower
average emissions will avert some of the
exceedances that would be allowed with
a higher 1-hour average limit, will have
the net effect of assuring attainment.
However, the commenter does not
address EPA’s full rationale for
concluding that properly set 30-day
average limits are a suitable basis for
providing for attainment of the 1-hour
SO2 standard. Instead, the commenter
merely notes that there were 101 hours
when the emissions from Unit 1 and 2
exceeded attainment levels (which is
0.36 percent of the operating hours that
the commenter examined) but fails to
address the effect of the adjusted 30-day
average limit requiring emissions to be
well below critical emission levels,
namely avoiding some exceedances that
would be expected to occur with
emissions allowed always to be at the
CEV. Consequently, the commenter does
not acknowledge or address the
occasions in which the longer term limit
provides better air quality, which is a
key element of EPA’s rationale for
concluding that the net effect of limiting
longer term average emissions to a
downward adjusted level can be
comparably effective in providing for
attainment as limiting 1-hour emissions
to the level of the CEV. Because the
pertinent question is whether
Pennsylvania’s plan provides for
attainment, EPA must address the net
effect of applying a long-term average,
not just considering those factors that
increase the likelihood of exceedances
or just considering those factors that
reduce the likelihood of exceedances.
At issue here is how often emissions
from Bruce Mansfield, upon compliance
with Pennsylvania’s 30-day average
limits, might be expected to have hourly
emission rates above the level modeled
to result in attainment. Ordinarily, a
single model run establishes upper
bound hourly emission rates at which
the area attains the standard; EPA calls
these hourly emission rates CEVs.
However, in this case, Pennsylvania
conducted numerous runs reflecting the
combined effect of emissions from the
three units (two stacks) at Bruce
Mansfield. These model runs were used
to determine the relationship between
emissions from Stacks 1 and 2 which
would result in attainment.
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Therefore, to determine the historic
frequency of excess emission events, a
more complicated analysis is warranted.
Part of such analysis should be to
establish criteria for defining excess
emission events, i.e., hours when
emissions exceed the level
demonstrated in the state’s plan to
provide for attainment. Ordinarily,
excess emission events may be defined
simply as hours when emissions exceed
the CEV. However, in this case,
Pennsylvania has defined attainment
level emissions in significant part as an
interactive function of the emissions of
both stacks at Bruce Mansfield. In
particular, using the results of 17
modeling runs reflecting a range of
combinations of emissions from Bruce
Mansfield Stack 1 and Stack 2, the
Commonwealth determined an equation
defining the range of combinations of 1hour emissions that provide for
attainment, as indicated in their
correction email dated 6/11/18 which
was included in the docket for this
action, and discussed in the NPRM. The
equation contains a critical value, which
is the equation result (applying the
equation to Stack 1 and Stack 2
emissions) that is considered to
correspond to the sets of 1-hour
emission rates that Pennsylvania
modeled as providing attainment. EPA
will call this critical value the critical
formula value (CFV), and will call the
analysis to determine how many
exceedance events over the CFV
occurred, the CFV exceedance analysis.
The commenter developed a different
CFV, based on a different equation
(again based on the modeled
combinations of Stack 1 and Stack 2
emissions) to define the combinations of
1-hour emissions from these stacks that
could be considered to yield attainment.
Finally, EPA developed a third
equation (with a third CFV), again
designed around a graph of the emission
values that modeled attainment from
Stack 1 and Stack 2.
These three equations (reflecting
different order polynomials and having
different CFVs) provide three different
expressions of the maximum
combinations of Stack 1 and Stack 2
emissions that may be considered to
yield attainment, and thus provide three
different means of assessing whether a
particular historic combination of Stack
1 and Stack 2 emissions should be
considered to be an excess emission
event. These equations are presented in
Pennsylvania’s correction email, in the
commenter’s comment letter, and in
EPA’s technical support document
(TSD) for this rulemaking, respectively.
These three approaches all yielded
similar results. Pennsylvania, examining
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data for 2012 to 2016, found that 219
hours out of 43,848 hours, or 0.50
percent of hours, exceed Pennsylvania’s
CFV. (Dividing this 219 hours over the
number of hours in which at least one
unit is operating, 43,030 hours, suggests
0.51 percent of operating hours
exceeded the CFV.) The commenter,
examining data for mid-2013 to mid2017, found that 101 hours (which, out
of 28,074 operating hours, is 0.36
percent) exceeded the CFV. EPA,
examining data for 2011 to 2017, found
that 226 hours out of 56,503 operating
hours, or 0.40 percent, constituted
excess emission events, including 221
hours that exceeded the CFV and 5
hours in which Unit 3, operating alone,
exceeded its CEV. Additional
information regarding these three
analyses are provided respectively in
the submittal, the comment letter, and
the TSD noted above.
These results should be put in the
context of whether the baseline periods
for these analyses reflected compliance
with Pennsylvania’s emission limits
and, if not, the frequency with which
the facility exceeded these limits.
Pennsylvania did not assess whether
Bruce Mansfield met its adopted limits.
The commenter did conduct this
assessment and concluded that the
facility met all three limits for all 30-day
average periods. However, EPA believes
that the commenter analyzed these data
incorrectly, using averaging procedures
different from the procedures that
Pennsylvania would use in assessing
compliance.
The COA that Pennsylvania adopted
and submitted to govern emissions from
Bruce Mansfield does not precisely
define the data handling procedures that
it would use in assessing compliance
with the pertinent limits. However,
Pennsylvania states, ‘‘The 30-operating
day rolling average SO2 emissions rate
shall be calculated using the procedures
outlined in the Mercury and Air Toxics
Standards (MATS) regulations in 40
CFR parts 60 and 63.’’ EPA interprets
this statement to mean that compliance
shall be assessed by calculating an
average of the hourly emission rates
applicable while the facility is
operating. While the SO2 limit in
MATS, which regulates mass of
emissions per unit heat input, has a
different form from Pennsylvania’s
limit, which regulates mass per hour,
EPA interprets Pennsylvania to intend
the same feature of conducting its
compliance calculations in a manner
that gives no weight to periods in which
the unit(s) is not operating. (While these
procedures may be a moot point if Bruce
Mansfield does not resume operation,
EPA’s evaluation of the approvability of
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Pennsylvania’s SIP necessitates review
of whether the applicable limits provide
for attainment should the facility
restart.)
The commenter computed 30-day
averages by computing daily average
emission rates (including only operating
hour emission rates) and then by
computing the unweighted average of
these daily average values. This
approach gives days with partial
operation the same weight as days with
24 hours of operation, and thus
overweights the hours on the partial
operation days.
EPA then conducted its own
evaluation of whether Bruce Mansfield
was complying with the limits in
Pennsylvania’s SIP during the period
being evaluated for excess emission
events. In this evaluation, EPA
examined data for 2011 to 2017.7 During
this period, EPA concluded that Bruce
Mansfield was in compliance with the
prospective limits for Stack 1 (Units 1
and 2) and for Stack 2 (Unit 3) at all
times but exceeded the formula limit for
16 out of 2116 averaging periods, or 0.76
percent. Therefore, EPA believes that
compliance with the limits in
Pennsylvania’s SIP will require Bruce
Mansfield to have a slightly smaller
fraction of hours exceeding the CFV
than occurred in the historical record.
EPA, Pennsylvania, and the commenter
nevertheless agree that the frequency
with which Bruce Mansfield could be
expected to exceed the CFV (or either of
the stack-specific CEVs) is less that 0.6
percent of operating hours.
However, EPA disagrees with the
commenter on the air quality
consequences of these occasions of
elevated emissions. EPA believes that a
full analysis of the air quality impact of
Pennsylvania’s limits must consider
these hours of elevated emissions in
conjunction with the far greater number
of hours when emissions are required to
be well below the level (on average, on
the order of 20 to 30 percent below the
level) that would model violations. For
reasons described in more detail in
EPA’s guidance and in the NPRM for
this action, EPA believes that the net
effect of these compensating factors is
that Pennsylvania’s limits provide
adequate assurance that the area will
7 Consistent with the characteristics of data
handling in MATS, EPA interprets Pennsylvania’s
limits to reflect data handling in which compliance
with these mass per hour limits is assessed by
dividing total mass by total operating time, thereby
giving hours with fractional operating time the
appropriate fractional weight. For simplicity in this
analysis, EPA gave the same weight to all hours
with any operation, averaging the hourly mass
values regardless of what portion of the hour was
operational. However, EPA expects in this case that
a more precise analysis would give similar results.
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attain the SO2 standard. EPA notes that
the data used for these analyses were
from time periods prior to the adoption
of 30-day emission limits, prior to the
requirement of 95% scrubber control
efficiency, and prior to the operational
and physical changes that were made to
meet the new lower emission limits.
Through the adoption of these new
requirements, Bruce Mansfield will
restrict the variability in emissions and
will need to comply with new emission
limits.
After reviewing Pennsylvania’s
submittal, EPA finds that the limits
established for Bruce Mansfield provide
a suitable alternative to establishing 1hour average emission limits for this
source. Consistent with EPA guidance,
EPA anticipates that, if Bruce Mansfield
resumes operation and complies with
Pennsylvania’s limits, excess emission
events will be sufficiently infrequent
that compliance with the 30-day average
limits will provide for attainment.
Comment 3b. The commenter states
that EPA suggests that because Bruce
Mansfield has exceeded the polynomialbased emission limits on an hourly basis
only ‘‘0.50%’’ of the time during 2012–
2016, that the 30-day limits are therefore
adequately protective.8 However, the
commenter asserts that EPA’s reliance
on FirstEnergy’s math is misplaced and
its reasoning is incorrect. First,
FirstEnergy and EPA improperly
compare the exceedances not to plant
operating hours, but to the number of
hours in the calendar. The commenter
states that FirstEnergy and EPA
significantly understate the significance
of those nonoperating hours because
there are thousands of hours in which
one or another boiler at Bruce Mansfield
was not operating, and nearly a
thousand hours during the examined
time period in which no boiler was
operating. The commenter asserts that
the 219 hours that FirstEnergy concedes
Bruce Mansfield exceeded the
polynomial hourly attainment level
emissions is significant, given the
commenter’s view that the NAAQS can
be violated with heightened emissions
in as few as four hours a year over three
years. Second, FirstEnergy’s analysis
only looks at times in which the
emissions from Units 1 and 2 together
exceed the polynomial function, and not
at those times when emissions from
8 The commenter misrepresented EPA’s
statement. The emission limits are expressed as 30day average limits. As such, the limits cannot be
exceeded on an hourly basis. The commenter
presumably meant to refer to the frequency with
which the facility exceeded the attainment level
hourly emission values, computed by the state’s
unadjusted polynomial-based formula, which is the
frequency that EPA described as being 0.50 percent.
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Unit 3 exceed the polynomial function.
As such, the commenter states that the
analysis only looks at a part of the
story—there are numerous hours where
emissions from Unit 3 all by itself are
enough to mean that, even with their
emission limits governed by the
polynomial function, Units 1 and 2
would need to emit negatively. As such,
the commenter asserts that FirstEnergy
and EPA are arbitrarily ignoring a
significant aspect of the problem.
Response 3b. EPA agrees with the
commenter regarding mistakes in
FirstEnergy’s math, but disagrees with
the commenter regarding its claims that
a 30-day limit cannot be protective of a
1-hour standard. EPA has addressed the
latter issue above in Response 3a.
Pennsylvania/FirstEnergy’s CFV
analysis contained two mistakes.
FirstEnergy failed to only use plant
operating hours in their CFV analysis.
They also failed to count hours as
exceeding the attainment emission level
when the emissions from Unit 3 would
have exceeded the limits on its own,
thereby understating the number of
hours in which that, if modeled as
occurring constantly for every hour of
the year, would be expected to estimate
a violation. (The commenter describes
hours with excessive emissions from
Unit 3 as hours in which ‘‘Units 1 and
2 would need to emit negatively.’’ EPA
agrees that these hours when Unit 3
emits above its own CEV need to be
counted as excess emissions hours for
purposes of this analysis, but EPA
believes that the pertinent issue is
whether the plant emitted excessively,
not whether the limits require
impossible emission levels.) EPA
addressed these mistakes in its analysis.
In order to determine exceedance events
in respect to the CFV, EPA kept all
hours where Stack 1 (unit 1 and 2) and
Stack 2 had emission values. EPA
included these occurrences in the
analysis because the formula applies
when Stack 1 and Stack 2 are in service,
and therefore, the analysis to determine
how many times the formula was
exceeded should include any hours
when emissions were coming out of
both stacks. As described above, EPA’s
CFV exceedance analysis shows that
0.4% of operating hours during 2011
through 2017 constituted an excess
emissions event.
Consequently, EPA continues to have
reasonable confidence that occasions
with emissions above the CFV will be
infrequent and limited in magnitude.
EPA’s revised CFV analysis is available
in the docket for this action and is
described in more detail in the TSD for
this action. EPA provided a full
rationale for comparably stringent
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longer term averages in Responses 3 and
3a above, concluding that the net effect
of limiting longer term average
emissions to a downward adjusted level
can be comparably effective in
providing for attainment as limiting 1hour emissions to the level of the CEV.
Comment 3c. The commenter asserts
that Pennsylvania’s contingency
measures are limited and do not support
Pennsylvania’s claims that the measures
will minimize further the chance of an
exceedance. The commenter asserts that
the contingency measures will require
Bruce Mansfield to (1) audit their
systems if the emissions become close to
the emission limits and (2) require
Bruce Mansfield to monitor their
systems to ensure the facility does not
cause a violation at the monitor. The
commenter claims that number 1 above
is what Bruce Mansfield ought to be
doing anyway to ensure that they are in
compliance with their permit limits,
and number 2 incorrectly relies on one
monitor when attainment should be
reached throughout the nonattainment
area.
Response 3c. EPA disagrees with the
commenter that the contingency
measures are too limited and do not
support Pennsylvania’s claims that the
measures will minimize further the
chance of an exceedance. The CAA
requires a Nonattainment SIP to model
attainment throughout the
nonattainment area. Section 172(c)(9) of
the CAA defines contingency measures
as such measures in a SIP that are to be
implemented in the event that an area
fails to make RFP, or fails to attain the
NAAQS by the applicable attainment
date. Contingency measures are to
become effective without further action
by the state or EPA, where the area has
failed to (1) achieve RFP or, (2) attain
the NAAQS by the statutory attainment
date for the affected area. These control
measures are to consist of other
available control measures that are not
included in the control strategy for the
attainment plan SIP for the affected
area. However, EPA has also explained
that SO2 presents special
considerations.9 First, for some of the
other criteria pollutants, the analytical
tools for quantifying the relationship
between reductions in precursor
emissions and resulting air quality
improvements remains subject to
9 See SO Guideline Document, U.S.
2
Environmental Protection Agency, Office of Air
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park, N.C. 27711, EPA–452/R–94–008, February
1994. See also EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Guidance. See General Preamble for the
Implementation of Title I of the Clean Air Act
Amendments of 1990 at 57 FR 13498 (April 16,
1992).
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significant uncertainties, in contrast
with procedures for directly-emitted
pollutants such as SO2. Second,
emission estimates and attainment
analyses for other criteria pollutants can
be strongly influenced by overly
optimistic assumptions about control
efficiency and rates of compliance for
many small sources. This is not the case
for SO2.
In contrast, the control efficiencies for
SO2 control measures are well
understood and are far less prone to
uncertainty. Because SO2 control
measures are based on what is directly
and quantifiably necessary to attain the
SO2 NAAQS, it would be unlikely for an
area to implement the necessary
emission controls yet fail to attain the
NAAQS. See 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Area Guidance, page 41. Therefore, for
SO2 programs, EPA has explained that
contingency measures can mean that the
air agency has a comprehensive program
to identify sources of violations of the
SO2 NAAQS and to undertake an
aggressive follow-up for compliance and
enforcement, including expedited
procedures for establishing enforceable
consent agreements pending the
adoption of the revised SIP. EPA
believes that this approach continues to
be valid for the implementation of
contingency measures to address the
2010 SO2 NAAQS, and consequently
concludes that Pennsylvania’s
comprehensive enforcement program, as
discussed below, satisfies the
contingency measure requirement.
This approach to contingency
measures for SO2 does not preclude an
air agency from requiring additional
measures that are enforceable and
appropriate for a particular source
category if the state determines such
supplementary measures are
appropriate. As EPA has stated in our
2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance, in order for EPA to rely on
these measures to approve the SIP, the
supplementary contingency measures
would need to be fully adopted
provisions in the SIP that become
effective where the area has failed to
meet RFP or fails to attain the standard
by the statutory attainment date. See
2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance,
page 42.
As noted in EPA’s NPRM, EPA’s 2014
SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance
describes special features of SO2
planning that influence the suitability of
alternative means of addressing the
requirement in section 172(c)(9) for
contingency measures. One effective
alternative means identified by the
Guidance is a comprehensive
enforcement program for sources
emitting SO2. Pennsylvania has a
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comprehensive enforcement program as
specified in Section 4(27) of the
Pennsylvania Air Pollution Control Act
(APCA), 35 P.S. § 4004(27). Under this
program, PADEP is authorized to take
any action it deems necessary or proper
for the effective enforcement of the Act
and the rules and regulations
promulgated under the Act. Such
actions include the issuance of orders
(for example, enforcement orders and
orders to take corrective action to
address air pollution or the danger of air
pollution from a source) and the
assessment of civil penalties. Sections
9.1 and 10.1 of the APCA, 35 P.S.
§§ 4009.1 and 4010.1, also expressly
authorize PADEP to issue orders to aid
in the enforcement of the APCA and to
assess civil penalties.
Any person in violation of the APCA,
the rules and regulations, any order of
PADEP, or a plan approval or operating
permit conditions could also be subject
to criminal fines upon conviction under
Section 9, 35 P.S. § 4009. Section 7.1 of
the APCA, 35 P.S. § 4007.1, prohibits
PADEP from issuing plan approvals and
operating permits for any applicant,
permittee, or a general partner, parent or
subsidiary corporation of the applicant
or the permittee that is placed on
PADEP’s Compliance Docket until the
violations are corrected to the
satisfaction of PADEP.
In addition to having a fully approved
enforcement program, Pennsylvania has
included contingency measures that are
triggered when a source’s emissions
reach a certain percentage of the
allowable emissions and based on any
monitor in the nonattainment area
registering a 1-hour daily maximum
concentration exceeding 75 ppb. These
measures are in line with the
supplemental contingency measure
guidance EPA mentions above and are
included in the FirstEnergy COA and
the Jewel COA and thus will be fully
approved provisions within the SIP.
In regard to the monitoring
contingency measure, the commenter
erroneously confuses the requirement
for Pennsylvania to plan for attainment
in the entire Nonattainment area with
the ability of the Commonwealth to use
monitoring data from a single location
as a trigger for a contingency measure.
Pennsylvania has demonstrated
attainment throughout the entire Beaver
Nonattainment area through their
modeling demonstration discussed
previously. Using monitoring data to
trigger supplemental contingency
measures is a defensible approach for
helping achieve attainment throughout
the area in cases where the plan has
unexpectedly not achieved attainment.
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EPA concludes that Pennsylvania’s
enforcement program by itself suffices
to satisfy the contingency measure
requirements. The magnitude of
prospective benefit from Pennsylvania’s
supplemental contingency measures is
unclear, but it is clear that these
measures can only improve and will not
worsen air quality. Therefore,
notwithstanding the commenter’s
concerns about the specificity and
triggering of the supplementary
measures identified in the Pennsylvania
SIP and the FirstEnergy and Jewel
COAs, EPA believes that Pennsylvania’s
enforcement program, which is
enhanced by the supplementary
provisions in the COAs, suffice to meet
Section 172(c)(9) requirements as
interpreted in the 1992 General
Preamble and the 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Guidance.
Comment 4. The commenter states
that the conversion factors used to
determine the comparably stringent
longer term limit for Bruce Mansfield
are arbitrary and insufficiently
protective. The commenter asserts that
the conversion factors are highly
dependent on the time period selected.
The commenter provided a table of
varying time periods, and corresponding
adjustment factors. The commenter
notes that depending on the time period
selected the adjustment factors can
range from 0.558 to 0.673.
Response 4. EPA disagrees with the
commenter’s assertion that Bruce
Mansfield’s SO2 limits are arbitrary and
insufficiently protective. As stated in
EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance, EPA expects that establishing
an appropriate longer-term average limit
will involve assessing a downward
adjustment in the level of the limit that
would provide for comparable
stringency. This assessment should
generally be conducted using data
obtained by a Continuous Emissions
Monitoring System (CEMS), in order to
have sufficient data to obtain a robust
and reliable assessment of the
anticipated relationship between longerterm average emissions and 1-hour
emission values. This is necessary to
suitably assess the warranted degree of
adjustment of the longer-term average
limit in order to provide comparable
stringency to the 1-hour emission rate
that is determined to provide for
attainment.
EPA generally expects that datasets
reflecting hourly data for at least three
to five years of stable operation (i.e.,
without changes that significantly alter
emissions variability) would be needed
to conduct a suitably reliable analysis.
PADEP’s use of 2012–2016 CEM data
represents five years of historic data of
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stable operation for the Bruce Mansfield
facility, and provides the robustness
recommended in EPA’s guidance.
In contrast, the commenter’s
adjustment factors were based on time
intervals that varied from six months to
three and a half years, which are all less
than the time interval used by
Pennsylvania. The commenter’s
adjustment factors resulting from using
shorter time periods illustrate a point
that EPA considered in formulating its
guidance, which is that using an
insufficient amount of data is prone to
yield results that vary unduly by data
period and may not be a sufficiently
robust basis for determining a reliable
adjustment factor. The variability in
adjustment factors using time intervals
from six months to three and a half
years provided by the commenter
demonstrates the insufficiency of these
shorter time periods for use in
development of such an adjustment
factor, but does not demonstrate the
insufficiency of the overall method in
EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance had it been appropriately
applied, nor does it demonstrate that
Pennsylvania’s adjustment factor is
inappropriate.
EPA’s guidance recommends
calculating adjustment factors using
statistics calculated according to the
data handling procedures by which
compliance is determined. The COA
between Pennsylvania and FirstEnergy
indicates that ‘‘the 30-operating day
rolling average SO2 emissions rate shall
be calculated using the procedures
outlined in the MATS regulations in 40
CFR parts 60 and 63.’’ Pennsylvania and
EPA calculated adjustment factors
accordingly.
Pennsylvania imposed three separate
limits, and EPA considered the
adjustment inherent in each limit. For
the limit on Unit 3 emissions,
Pennsylvania appropriately compared
the 99th percentile of 30-day averages of
Unit 3 emissions against the 99th
percentile of 1-hour values of Unit 3
emissions, computing an adjustment
factor of 0.794. The commenter does not
contest this adjustment factor. EPA
computed similar statistics for seven
years of emissions (2011 to 2017) and
computed a similar emission factor,
0.786.
For the limit on the sum of Unit 1 and
Unit 2 emissions, Pennsylvania
conducted separate calculations for Unit
1 and for Unit 2, computing adjustment
factors of 0.59 and 0.717, respectively.
The commenter objects to the use of the
Unit 2 adjustment factor for both units,
thereby disregarding the variability of
Unit 1. EPA agrees that the variability of
Unit 1 may not be disregarded, and that
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the variability of Unit 2 should not be
used as a surrogate for the variability of
both units.
However, since the limit governs the
sum of emissions from both units, the
more pertinent question is how much
variability exists in the sum of
emissions from the two units. That is,
the appropriate method for computing
an adjustment factor for this limit is to
use statistics for the sum of emissions
from the two units, comparing the 99th
percentile of the 30-day average sum of
emissions against the 99th percentile of
the 1-hour sum of emissions. As
discussed in the TSD, EPA computed an
adjustment factor in this manner using
2011 to 2017 data for these units,
computing a value of 0.72. This
indicates that proper calculation of an
adjustment factor for this limit yields a
result that is very similar to the
adjustment that Pennsylvania applied,
resulting in a limit that may be
considered comparably stringent to the
1-hour limit that Pennsylvania would
otherwise have imposed.
The third limit governs the
combination of emissions from all three
units, in particular mandating that the
value of an equation adding the sum of
30-day average emissions from Units 1
and 2 plus two terms (respectively first
order and second order) based on
emissions from Unit 3 shall not exceed
7,100.10 Consequently, the most
pertinent approach for assessing the
effect of using 30-day emission averages
in determining compliance with this
limit is to apply EPA’s recommended
procedure to statistics calculated using
the equation of Pennsylvania’s limit.
That is, EPA believes that the best
assessment of the appropriate
adjustment to the level to be mandated
with this equation is to compare the
99th percentile of the values computed
with this equation (as would be
calculated to determine compliance
with the limit) against the 99th
percentile of the 1-hour values
computed with this equation. Using
Pennsylvania’s 2012 to 2016 data, EPA
in this manner computed an adjustment
factor of 75.2 percent. Among the 14
model runs in which Unit 3 emissions
comply with the Unit 3 emissions limit,
the lowest formula result (i.e., the level
of the 1-hour formula limit that would
yield attainment in all scenarios) is
9,821. This value multiplied by 75.2
10 As noted previously, although Pennsylvania’s
limit is expressed as limiting the sum of Units 1 and
2 emissions to 7100 minus the value of the two
terms based on Unit 3 emissions, this translation of
the limit provides a more appropriate perspective
from which to examine the effect of the collective
variability of all three units on the stringency of the
collective 30-day average limit.
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percent yields a comparably stringent
30-day average-based value of 7,385.
Since Pennsylvania has imposed a more
stringent requirement for the results of
this equation (i.e., 7,100), EPA believes
that Pennsylvania’s limit is at least
comparably stringent to the 1-hourbased limit that they would otherwise
have imposed.
The commenter’s adjustment factors
are approximately 0.017 to 0.159 less
than the adjustment factor calculated by
PADEP, depending upon the time
period selected. However, EPA’s
calculations, using seven years of hourly
data from 2011 to 2017, and calculated
in accordance with the data handling
procedures that will be used in
assessing compliance, provide a more
robust and more pertinent assessment of
the degree of adjustment needed to
identify 30-day average-based limits that
may be considered comparably stringent
to the 1-hour limits that would
otherwise have been set. This analysis
resulted in an adjustment factor of 0.72
for Units 1 and 2 combined, and a
formula limit value of 7,385 rather than
the value of 7,100 that Pennsylvania
imposed. These values are closely
aligned with the adjustment factors
reflected in Pennsylvania’s limits, and
support the limits that Pennsylvania
established.
Comment 4a. The commenter notes
that the years 2012–2016 used by
PADEP in calculating the Bruce
Mansfield adjustment factor are
problematic. The commenter notes that
the facility’s dispatch has been steadily
declining, that there is a trend of
increased start ups and shut downs, and
therefore, an increase in short term
emission spikes. Specifically, the
commenter claims the use of years
2012–2014 are not likely to be
representative of future operation as in
those years, Bruce Mansfield’s operation
and emissions were more consistent.
The commenter asserts that future
operation will be even more variable
considering a 2018 fire at the scrubber
system and the need to rebuild part of
that system, noting that rebuilding will
result in changes to scrubber operation.
Response 4a. EPA disagrees with the
commenter that increased start-ups and
shutdowns will lead to an increase in
SO2 emission spikes at Bruce Mansfield
and disagrees with the commenter that
PADEP’s use of 2012–2016 emissions
data was not representative of future
operations (PADEP used 2012 through
2016 emissions, and the commenter’s
concern is with 2012–2014). EPA notes
that the commenter did not provide any
material supporting the claim that more
start-ups and shutdowns increase SO2
emissions or cause emission spikes at
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Bruce Mansfield. EPA analyzed hourly
emissions data for Bruce Mansfield’s
units from 2011 through 2017. This
analysis shows that there was an
increasing number of start-ups and
shutdowns during this time period for
Units 1, 2 and 3. However, EPA’s
analysis also shows that SO2 emissions
at these units do not spike during startup and shutdowns. In fact, the
emissions are generally lower than 100
pounds per hour (lbs/hr) during these
time periods for these units. Absent any
specific evidence from the commenter
supporting their claim that increased
start-ups and shutdowns at Bruce
Mansfield will increase SO2 emissions
spikes, EPA does not believe that the
commenter has justified its claims that
Bruce Mansfield can expect to
experience more emission spikes due to
start-ups and shutdowns or that
expected differences between operation
from 2012 to 2016 and future operation
warrants a lower adjustment factor.
In addition, EPA’s 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Guidance recommends
using emissions data that reflect the
distribution of emissions that is
expected once the attainment plan is
implemented. PADEP was correct to
assume that the Bruce Mansfield
Facility (if it resumes full operation)
would continue to operate with a
similar distribution of emissions as it
did during 2012 through 2016, since the
attainment plan was not requiring any
new control technology. SO2 emissions
from each of the three boilers were
already controlled by three individual
Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) systems.
Unit 1 and Unit 2 each vent through two
flues within a common stack. Unit 3
vents through two flues in the other
stack. Through the COA, PADEP
required Bruce Mansfield FGD units to
achieve at least a 95% removal
efficiency. The recent fire at the
scrubber system which was identified as
an issue by the commenter does not
remove the requirement to achieve at
least a 95% removal efficiency from the
FGD units, and to meet the emission
limits outlined in the COA. As such, the
control technology after the
implementation of the attainment plan
remains the same as the control
technology prior to the development of
the attainment plan, and therefore EPA
reasonably believes that emissions
variability during the historic period of
2012–2016 continues to be
representative regardless of any
rebuilding of the FGD system (if that
does need to occur as the commenter
asserts).
EPA notes that Bruce Mansfield Units
1 and 2 have been listed on the PJM
deactivation list as of February 2019.
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Therefore, EPA anticipates not that
these units will start up and shut down
more often but instead that these units
will not resume operation and will not
start up or shut down at all. However,
EPA’s task here is to assess whether
Pennsylvania’s plan provides for
attainment, including in the scenario
that these units resume operation. In
this scenario, EPA presumes that
satisfaction of emission limits will
reflect full repair of emission control
systems and the resumption of normal,
stable operations, which may resume
the trend toward more startups and
shutdowns but which can be expected
to have a distribution of upper level
emissions that is similar to the
distribution seen in 2012 to 2016. Thus,
the deactivation of these units does not
impact the approval of this attainment
plan. The emission limits for the three
units at Bruce Mansfield are still in
effect.
Comment 4b. The commenter asserts
that Pennsylvania’s use of Unit 2’s
adjustment factor (0.717) for Unit 1 was
incorrect and by using this higher
adjustment factor, the 30-day emission
limit calculated is significantly higher
than the one that would be calculated
using Unit 1’s adjustment factor. The
commenter asserts that EPA incorrectly
determined that it was appropriate to
use Unit 2’s adjustment factor for Unit
1, because Unit 2’s hourly emissions
tend to be higher more frequently than
those of Unit 1. The commenter asserts
that during the time period 2012–2016,
Unit 2’s emissions were actually lower
than Unit 1’s for nearly 5,000 hours.
Thus, the commenter claims EPA’s own
logic actually supports using the 0.59
conversion factor for Unit 1, not the
0.717 ratio.
The commenter continues that neither
EPA nor Pennsylvania provides any
evidence or enforceable mechanism to
ensure that the future operations of
Bruce Mansfield will demonstrate
variability representative of Unit 2
rather than Unit 1, and as such there is
no demonstrable mechanism to ensure
compliance with the NAAQS.
Response 4b. PADEP followed the
recommendation in EPA’s 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Guidance to use an
appropriate emissions data set when
determining the adjustment factors. The
data set used should be sufficiently
robust in terms of time covered, should
be representative of the type of control
strategy that is expected after the
attainment plan controls are in place
and should reflect the emissions
variability that might be expected at the
source once the SIP is implemented.
However, PADEP did not use the same
data handling procedures for
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development of the adjustment factor as
for the calculation of compliance with
the limit, which is recommended in
EPA’s 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Guidance. PADEP calculated unit
specific adjustment factors even though
the form of the limit was for combined
units. PADEP’s use of Unit 2’s
adjustment factor for Unit 1 did provide
for a higher 30-day average limit than
would have resulted from the use of
separate adjustment factors for the two
limits. However, if PADEP followed
EPA’s Guidance in calculating the
adjustment factor using the same data
handling proecures as the form of the
limit, they would have combined Units
1 and 2, and developed one adjustment
factor based on the sum of the two units’
emissions. EPA did this analysis and
obtained an adjustment factor of 0.72.
EPA’s analysis supports the adjustment
factor that PADEP applied. In fact,
PADEP’s approach provides for a
slightly lower adjustment factor than
would have been calculated using EPA’s
recommended approach. EPA’s analysis
is described in the TSD for this action.
EPA reviewed the hourly emissions
data from 2012 to 2016 for Units 1 and
2, and continues to assert that Unit 2’s
emissions tend to be higher more
frequently. Based on the commenter’s
explanation of the analysis they
conducted to claim that Unit 2’s
emissions were lower than Unit 1’s
emissions for nearly 5,000 hours, EPA
believes the commenter may be
comparing the hourly emission value
per hour of each specific day (i.e., Unit
1, Day 1-Hour 1 versus Unit 2, Day 1Hour 1). However, EPA does not believe
this type of comparison is relevant to
the adjustment factor analysis for a
limit. EPA believes that a larger data set
and more robust statistical analysis over
a longer period of time, such as five
years (as PADEP did), and use of data
calculated in the same manner in which
Pennsylvania will be determining
compliance, provides a better portrayal
of the influence of variability on the
stringency of each limit and thus the
degree of adjustment each limit needs to
be comparably stringent to the 1-hour
limits that Pennsylvania would
otherwise have imposed.
Providing further support for the use
of a 0.717 adjustment factor for Unit 1
and Unit 2, the adjustment factor listed
in Appendix D of EPA’s SO2
Nonattainment Guidance for Sources
with Wet Scrubbers (30-day average vs.
1-hour adjustment factor) is 0.71.
Therefore, EPA continues to believe that
the adjustment factors used for Units 1
and 2 provide for a comparably
stringent 30-day emission limit.
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Regarding the commenter’s concern
that there is no enforceable mechanism
provided to ensure that future emissions
variability of Bruce Mansfield will
reflect the emissions variability
representative of Unit 2 rather than Unit
1, EPA has provided options to states in
the 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance
to reduce the likelihood of increased
emissions varaiability in the future.
PADEP followed EPA’s Guidance of
adopting a direct work practice
requirement for control equipment
which could set a minimum level of
control efficiency. The Bruce Mansfield
plant is required to use this work
practice in order to ensure that the
NAAQS is not exceeded. To this end,
the Bruce Mansfield plant FGDs must
achieve at least a 95% design removal
efficiency on Units 1, 2, and 3 during
normal operating conditions following
the general requirements of 25 Pa. Code
Chapter 139.11 and the testing
frequency contained in the COA. This
additional work practice requirement
provides greater assurance that there
will be less variability in emissions
when complying with the 30-day limits,
as well as minimizing the likely
frequency and magnitude of elevated
emissions. In addition, as stated in the
2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance, if
the source is exceeding the expected
variability, such that the plan proves not
to provide the expected confidence that
the NAAQS is being attained, EPA will
use its available authority to pursue any
necessary correction of the plan.
Comment 5. The commenter states
that the emission limits for Bruce
Mansfield are needlessly complex and
prevent transparency in determining
compliance. The commenter asserts that
the emission limit formula only applies
when both Chimney 1 and Chimney 2
are operating, and as such it is unclear
what limits apply when one chimney is
not operating. In addition, the
commenter states that when Chimney 2
emits over 3584 lbs/hour on a 30-day
average, it is not clear what the
allowable emission limits are for
Chimney 1. The commenter states that
a Federal plan with transparent
emission limits should be adopted.
Response 5. EPA disagrees with the
commenter that the emission limits for
Bruce Mansfield are needlessly complex
and lack the transparency needed to
determine compliance. While the
formula-based emission limit requires
extra calculation to determine
compliance, and therefore is more
complex than a Unit-specific 30-day
limit, all the data needed to calculate
whether Bruce Mansfield is complying
with the limit are available from the
PADEP certified CEM data and are
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reported to EPA’s Clean Air Markets
Division. The CEM data are available at
https://ampd.epa.gov/ampd/. Anyone
may then determine Bruce Mansfield’s
compliance status simply by retrieving
those data into a spreadsheet (or other
suitable software) and applying the
formula in the Pennsylvania’s rule. As
such, the limit is sufficiently
transparent for Federal, state and public
scrutiny.
EPA disagrees that the emission limit
is not clear when one chimney is not
operating. As described in the NPRM,
Unit 1 and Unit 2 each vent through two
flues within Chimney 1, and Unit 3
vents through two flues in Chimney 2.
The 30-operating day rolling average
SO2 emissions rate for Units 1 and 2
cannot exceed the result of equation one
(EQ–1), below, with Chimney 1 and
Chimney 2 in service, calculated daily.
Pursuant to this equation, the limit for
the sum of emissions from Unit 1 and
Unit 2 is a function of the emissions
from Unit 3, with a maximum limit
(when Unit 3 has low emissions) under
7,100 lb/hr. In addition, if Unit 3 is not
operating (and therefore only Chimney
1 is operating), the 30-operating day
rolling average emissions rate cannot
exceed 7,362 lb/hr for Units 1 and 2
combined. The 30-operating day rolling
average SO2 emissions rate for Chimney
2 (Unit 3) cannot exceed 3,584 lb/hr.
EQ–1: CH1SO2 Lim = -1.38E-04 ×
CH2SO22¥0.920 × CH2SO2 + 7100
Where:
CH1SO2 Lim: Chimney 1 SO2 lb/hr 30-day
rolling average
CH1SO2 Lim ≤7,362 lb/hr
CH2SO2: Chimney 2 SO2 lb/hr 30-day rolling
average
CH2SO2 ≤3,584 lb/hr
In other words, if Chimney 1 is not in
service, the stand-alone 30-operating
day rolling average emission limit for
Chimney 2 (Unit 3) is set at 3,584 lb/hr.
If Chimney 2 is not in service, Chimney
1’s 30-operating day average emission
limit is 7,362 lb/hr. EPA continues to
assert that the 30-operating day limit
established for Bruce Mansfield is clear
and transparent and therefore a Federal
plan with a different limit is
unnecessary.
Comment 5a. The commenter asserts
that the emission inventories are
improper because the projected 2018
emissions of 32,443 tons of SO2 are
greater than the actual emissions of
26,622 tons reported for 2011, when the
Beaver County SO2 monitor had a
design value of 136 ppb. The
commenter asserts that this increase in
emissions is particularly egregious for
Bruce Mansfield with 21,196 tons of
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SO2 in 2011, and allowable 2018
emissions of 32,246 tons.
Response 5a. The commenter is
comparing allowable emissions for 2018
against actual emissions for 2011. EPA
agrees with the commenter that the
allowable annual 2018 emissions for
Bruce Mansfield (and for all sources
combined in the Beaver Area) are
greater than the base year 2011 annual
actual emissions for Bruce Mansfield
(and for all sources in the Beaver Area
combined, respectively). However, air
quality in a multi-source area like this
is not a function of total allowable
emissions, since sources with different
stack heights, different locations, and
other differences will have different
impacts per ton of emissions. For
example, the monitor is near the former
Horsehead facility and the former AES
Beaver facility, and the improvements
in air quality at the monitor have clearly
been more influenced by the shutdown
of these facilities than by the decline in
actual emissions at Bruce Mansfield. In
this area, modeling provides the best
information regarding the impact per
ton of emissions from each facility.
Pennsylvania has conducted an
appropriate modeling analysis of this
area, and EPA concurs with the state’s
finding that its limits for Bruce
Mansfield (which reduce allowable
emissions), in combination with the
other emission reductions in the area,
will assure that the area attains the
standard, notwithstanding the fact that
these limits allow more total emissions
than were actually emitted in 2011.
Comment 5b. The commenter further
claims that assuming 8,760 hours in a
year, Bruce Mansfield’s allowable
annual emissions of 32,246 tons
translates to an hourly allowable rate of
7,362 lbs/hr, an emission rate that is
higher than many of the emission rate
scenarios modeled by FirstEnergy. Also,
because these modeled scenarios model
attainment less than one microgram per
cubic meter below the NAAQS, the
annual allowable maximum SO2
emissions for Bruce Mansfield are much
greater than what the modeling
indicates are protective of the NAAQS.
Response 5b. EPA disagrees with
commenter that the allowable emissions
for Bruce Mansfield are not protective of
the NAAQS. EPA understands the
commenter’s concern as follows: Since
there are modeled scenarios where the
combined hourly emission value of
Units 1, 2 and 3, are less than 7,362 lb/
hr (which is the highest 30-day average
emission value allowed under the
emission limits) and those model runs
show SO2 concentrations very close to
the standard, then an allowable
emissions rate of 7,362 lb/hr is much
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greater than what several modeling runs
indicate is protective of the NAAQS.
The commenter incorrectly assumes
that all modeled scenarios are
permitted. However, that is not the case.
Seventeen scenarios with varying
combinations of 1-hour critical emission
values for Unit 1 and 2, and Unit 3 were
modeled and used to develop an
equation for limiting the combination of
emissions from Units 1, 2 and 3 at Bruce
Mansfield. As shown in Table 1, all 17
scenarios modeled attainment.
In addition to the limit on the
combination of the three units’
emissions, Pennsylvania also set a limit
specifically limiting the emissions from
Unit 3, that Unit 3 30-operating day
average emissions shall not exceed
3,584 lb/hr. In model runs 9 through 11,
Unit 3’s emissions correspond to an
adjusted 30-day average value that
would have been greater than 3,584 lb/
hr. Thus, these runs are disallowed
scenarios.
It is these three model runs that the
commenter refers to as those showing
SO2 concentrations very close to the
standard, and asserts that the allowable
emissions (calculated from these 1-hour
values; i.e., for model run 9 from Table
1, using the 1-hour CEVs, 2056.54 +
4743.88 = 6800.42 lb/hr combined CEV
for all units) are much less than the
allowable emissions that PADEP
calculates. Although the relevant values
are hourly emissions, adjusted to be
limited with 30-day average limits, both
the commenter and PADEP calculated
the corresponding annual emission
rates. The model run 9 values
correspond to annual emissions of
29,786 tons per year, which is much less
than PADEP’s calculated allowable
annual emissions of 32,246 tons per
year. If the emission rates in model runs
9 through 11 were allowable, they
would indicate that Pennsylvania’s
limits are not protective of the NAAQS.
However, these model runs contain
disallowed emission rates, and so these
runs are not indicative of the emission
rates necessary to attain the standard.
Therefore, EPA continues to support
Bruce Mansfield’s 30-day emission
limits as demonstrating attainment of
the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS.
TABLE 1—MODELING RESULTS AND EMISSION VALUES FOR THE BRUCE MANSFIELD FACILITY
Model run
1 ** ............................
2 ...............................
3 ...............................
1FE * .........................
4 ...............................
2FE * .........................
5 ...............................
3FE * .........................
6 ...............................
4FE * .........................
7 ...............................
5FE * .........................
8 ...............................
6FE * .........................
9 ** ............................
10 ** ..........................
11 ** ..........................
Modeled
emissions
for Units 1 + 2
(lb/hr)
Corresponding
30-day
average
emissions
for Units 1 + 2
(lb/hr) **
10,282.70
9,254.43
8,226.16
7,484.24
7,197.89
6,765.97
6,169.62
5,952.47
5,141.35
5,051.66
4,113.08
4,015.93
3,084.81
2,857.18
2,056.54
1,028.27
0.00
7,372.70
6,635.43
5,898.16
5,366.20
5,160.89
4,851.20
4,323.62
4,267.92
3,686.35
3,622.04
2,949.08
2,879.42
2,211.81
2,048.60
1,474.54
737.27
0.00
Modeled
emissions
for Unit 3
(lb/hr)
0.00
761.19
1,482.72
2,006.14
2,206.62
2,507.57
2,885.44
3,009.17
3,469.90
3,510.68
3,985.46
4,012.20
4,407.53
4,513.72
4,743.88
4,956.43
5,041.58
Corresponding
30-day
average
emissions
for Unit 3
(lb/hr) **
30-day average SO2 limit for Units
1 + 2 based on 30-day average
equivalent to modeled Unit 3
emissions
(lb/hr) ***
0.00
604.38
1,177.28
1,592.88
1,752.06
1,991.01
2,291.04
2,389.28
2,755.10
2,787.48
3,164.46
3,185.69
3,499.58
3,583.89
3,766.64
3,935.41
4,003.01
Disallowed .....................................
6493.6 ...........................................
5825.6 ...........................................
5284.4 ...........................................
5064.5 ...........................................
4721.2 ...........................................
4267.9 ...........................................
4114.1 ...........................................
3517.8 ...........................................
3463.3 ...........................................
2806.8 ...........................................
2768.7 ...........................................
2190.3 ...........................................
2030.3 ...........................................
Disallowed .....................................
Disallowed .....................................
Disallowed .....................................
Modeled
maximum
using the
1-hr CEV
from column
1 and 3
196.17563
196.18089
196.17966
196.18033
196.17977
196.14426
196.18044
196.07897
196.17912
196.11106
196.17974
196.04158
196.18032
196.10031
196.18082
196.18081
196.17832
* FirstEnergy Model run.
** Disallowed modeled scenarios. Model run 1 is disallowed because the emission limit equation only applies when both Chimneys are operating. Model runs 9–11 are prohibited as Unit 3’s 30-day average emission rate is greater than the comparably stringent 30-day emission limit of
3,584 lb/hr.
*** The limit that would result from the compliance equation (EQ–1) using the Unit 3 30-operating day average emission rate that corresponds
to the modeled 1-hour rate (from fifth column of this table).
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III. Final Action
EPA is approving Pennsylvania’s SIP
revision submittal for the Beaver Area,
as submitted by PADEP to EPA on
September 29, 2017 for the purpose of
demonstrating attainment of the 2010 1hour SO2 NAAQS. EPA has determined
that Pennsylvania’s SO2 attainment plan
for the 2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS for the
Beaver Area meets the applicable
requirements of the CAA in sections
110, 172 and 191–192, and comports
with EPA’s recommendations discussed
in the 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance. Specifically, EPA is
approving the base year emissions
inventory, a modeling demonstration of
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SO2 attainment, an analysis of RACM/
RACT, an RFP plan, and contingency
measures for the Beaver Area, and
concludes that the Pennsylvania SIP has
met requirements for NSR for the 2010
1-hour SO2 NAAQS. Additionally, EPA
is approving into the Pennsylvania SIP
specific SO2 emission limits,
compliance parameters and contingency
measures established for Bruce
Mansfield, and operational restrictions
for the Jewel Facility. Furthermore,
approval of this SIP submittal removes
EPA’s duty to promulgate and
implement a FIP under CAA section
110(c) for the Beaver Area.
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IV. Incorporation by Reference
In this document, EPA is finalizing
regulatory text that includes
incorporation by reference. In
accordance with requirements of 1 CFR
51.5, EPA is finalizing the incorporation
by reference of the unredacted portions
of the COA entered between
Pennsylvania and FirstEnergy
Generation, LLC for the Bruce Mansfield
Generating Station, and the COA
entered between Pennsylvania and
Jewel Acquisition, LLC on September
21, 2017 as described in the
amendments to 40 CFR part 52 set forth
below. This includes emission limits
and associated compliance parameters,
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record-keeping and reporting, and
contingency measures for Bruce
Mansfield; and operational restrictions
for the Jewel Facility. EPA has made,
and will continue to make, these
materials generally available through
https://www.regulations.gov/ or at the
EPA Region III Office (please contact the
person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this
preamble for more information).
Therefore, these materials have been
approved by EPA for inclusion in the
SIP, have been incorporated by
reference by EPA into that plan, are
fully Federally enforceable under
sections 110 and 113 of the CAA as of
the effective date of the final rulemaking
of EPA’s approval, and will be
incorporated by reference in the next
update to the SIP compilation.11
V. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
A. General Requirements
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
CAA and applicable Federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions,
EPA’s role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of
the CAA. Accordingly, this action
merely approves state law as meeting
Federal requirements and does not
impose additional requirements beyond
those imposed by state law. For that
reason, this action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821,
January 21, 2011);
• Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82
FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory
action because SIP approvals are
exempted under Executive Order 12866.
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
jbell on DSK3GLQ082PROD with RULES
11 62
FR 27968 (May 22, 1997).
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16:58 Sep 30, 2019
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• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have Federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA; and
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, this rule does not have
tribal implications as specified by
Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249,
November 9, 2000), because the SIP is
not approved to apply in Indian country
located in the state, and EPA notes that
it will not impose substantial direct
costs on tribal governments or preempt
tribal law.
B. Submission to Congress and the
Comptroller General
The Congressional Review Act, 5
U.S.C. 801 et seq., as added by the Small
Business Regulatory Enforcement
Fairness Act of 1996, generally provides
that before a rule may take effect, the
agency promulgating the rule must
submit a rule report, which includes a
copy of the rule, to each House of the
Congress and to the Comptroller General
of the United States. EPA will submit a
report containing this action and other
required information to the U.S. Senate,
the U.S. House of Representatives, and
the Comptroller General of the United
States prior to publication of the rule in
the Federal Register. A major rule
cannot take effect until 60 days after it
is published in the Federal Register.
This action is not a ‘‘major rule’’ as
defined by 5 U.S.C. 804(2).
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C. Petitions for Judicial Review
Under section 307(b)(1) of the CAA,
petitions for judicial review of this
action must be filed in the United States
Court of Appeals for the appropriate
circuit by December 2, 2019. Filing a
petition for reconsideration by the
Administrator of this final rule does not
affect the finality of this action for the
purposes of judicial review nor does it
extend the time within which a petition
for judicial review may be filed, and
shall not postpone the effectiveness of
such rule or action. This action to
approve the Beaver Area attainment
plan for the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS into the
Pennsylvania SIP may not be challenged
later in proceedings to enforce its
requirements. (See section 307(b)(2).)
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations,
Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: September 13, 2019.
Diana Esher,
Acting Regional Administrator, Region III.
40 CFR part 52 is amended as follows:
PART 52—APPROVAL AND
PROMULGATION OF
IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
1. The authority citation for part 52
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart NN—Pennsylvania
2. In § 52.2020:
a. The table in paragraph (d)(3) is
amended by adding an entry for ‘‘Bruce
Mansfield Generating Station and an
entry for Jewel Acquisition, LLC’’ at the
end of the table; and
■ b. The table in paragraph (e)(1) is
amended by adding an entry for
‘‘Attainment Plan for the Beaver,
Pennsylvania Nonattainment Area for
the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide Primary
National Ambient Air Quality
Standard’’ at the end of the table.
The additions read as follows:
■
■
§ 52.2020
*
Identification of plan.
*
*
(d) * * *
(3) * * *
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*
*
Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 190 / Tuesday, October 1, 2019 / Rules and Regulations
Name of source
*
Bruce Mansfield Generating Station.
Jewel Acquisition, LLC,
Midland Facility.
*
*
*
(e) * * *
*
Permit No.
County
*
FirstEnergy Redacted
Consent Order and
Agreement.
Jewel Acquisition Redacted Consent Order
and Agreement.
*
Beaver ...............
Beaver ...............
*
EPA approval date
Additional explanation/§ 52.2063 citation
*
10/1/18
*
10/1/19, [Insert Federal
Register citation].
9/21/17
10/1/19, [Insert Federal
Register citation].
*
*
Sulfur dioxide emission limits and related parameters in unredacted portions of the Consent
Order and Agreement dated 9/21/17.
Operational restrictions and related parameters in
unredacted portions of the Consent Order and
Agreement.
(1) * * *
State
submittal
date
Name of non-regulatory SIP revision
Applicable geographic area
*
*
Attainment Plan for the Beaver, Pennsylvania Nonattainment Area for the 2010
Sulfur Dioxide Primary National Ambient
Air Quality Standard.
*
*
Industry Borough, Shippingport Borough,
Midland Borough, Brighton Township,
Potter Township and Vanport Township.
*
*
*
*
*
3. Section 52.2033 is amended by
adding paragraph (d) to read as follows:
■
§ 52.2033
Control strategy: Sulfur oxides.
*
*
*
*
*
(d) EPA approves the attainment
demonstration State Implementation
Plan for the Beaver, PA Nonattainment
Area submitted by the Pennsylvania
Department of Environmental Protection
on September 29, 2017.
[FR Doc. 2019–20848 Filed 9–30–19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R05–OAR–2019–0216; FRL–10000–
38-Region 5]
Air Plan Approval; Ohio; Second
Maintenance Plan for 1997 Ozone
NAAQS; Dayton-Springfield
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
jbell on DSK3GLQ082PROD with RULES
State
effective
date
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is approving, under the
Clean Air Act (CAA), Ohio’s plan for
maintaining the 1997 ozone National
Ambient Air Quality Standard (NAAQS
or standard) through 2028 in the
Dayton-Springfield area. The DaytonSpringfield area consists of Clark,
Greene, Miami and Montgomery
Counties. The Ohio Environmental
Protection Agency submitted this state
implementation plan (SIP) revision to
EPA on April 12, 2019.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
16:58 Sep 30, 2019
52001
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*
9/29/17
EPA approval date
*
*
10/1/19, [Insert Federal Register citation]
This final rule is effective
October 31, 2019.
ADDRESSES: EPA has established a
docket for this action under Docket ID
No. EPA–R05–OAR–2019–0216. All
documents in the docket are listed in
the https://www.regulations.gov website.
Although listed in the index, some
information is not publicly available,
e.g., Confidential Business Information
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other
material, such as copyrighted material,
is not placed on the internet and will be
publicly available only in hard copy
form. Publicly available docket
materials are available either through
https://www.regulations.gov, or please
contact the person identified in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section
for additional availability information.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Kathleen D’Agostino, Environmental
Scientist, Attainment Planning and
Maintenance Section, Air Programs
Branch (AR–18J), Environmental
Protection Agency, Region 5, 77 West
Jackson Boulevard, Chicago, Illinois
60604, (312) 886–1767,
dagostino.kathleen@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document whenever
‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’ or ‘‘our’’ is used, we mean
EPA.
DATES:
I. What is being addressed in this
document?
This rule approves Ohio’s April 23,
2019 submission of a plan to provide for
maintenance of the 1997 ozone standard
in the Dayton-Springfield area through
2028. The Dayton-Springfield area was
designated as nonattainment for the
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Fmt 4700
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Additional
explanation
52.2033(d)
1997 ozone NAAQS on April 15, 2004
(69 FR 23857) and subsequently
redesignated to attainment on August
13, 2007 (72 FR 45169). As a
prerequisite to redesignation, Ohio
developed a maintenance plan for the
Dayton-Springfield area as required by
CAA section 175A. The maintenance
plan demonstrated that the area would
continue to maintain the 1997 ozone
standard through 2018 (more than 10
years after redesignation) and contained
contingency provisions to assure that
violations of the standard would be
promptly corrected.
Under CAA section 175A(b), states
must submit a revision to the first
maintenance plan eight years after
redesignation to provide for
maintenance of the NAAQS for ten
additional years following the end of the
first 10-year period. On April 12, 2019,
Ohio submitted a second maintenance
plan for the Dayton-Springfield area
demonstrating continued maintenance
of the 1997 ozone NAAQS through
2028, i.e., through the end of the full 20year maintenance period.
On July 9, 2019 (84 FR 32678), EPA
proposed to approve Ohio’s April 12,
2019 submittal. The specific details of
Ohio’s second 1997 ozone NAAQS
maintenance plan for the DaytonSpringfield area and the rationale for
EPA’s approval are discussed in the
notice of proposed rulemaking and will
not be restated here.
II. What comments did we receive on
the proposed rule?
EPA provided a 30-day review and
comment period for the July 9, 2019,
proposed rule. The comment period
E:\FR\FM\01OCR1.SGM
01OCR1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 190 (Tuesday, October 1, 2019)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 51988-52001]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-20848]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R03-OAR-2017-0681; FRL-10000-28-Region 3]
Approval and Promulgation of Air Quality Implementation Plans;
Pennsylvania; Attainment Plan for the Beaver, Pennsylvania
Nonattainment Area for the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide Primary National Ambient
Air Quality Standard
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is approving a state
implementation plan (SIP) revision submitted by the Commonwealth of
Pennsylvania. The revision is an attainment plan for the purpose of
providing for attainment of the 2010 sulfur dioxide (SO2)
primary national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS) in the Beaver
County, Pennsylvania SO2 nonattainment area (hereafter
referred to as the ``Beaver Area'' or ``Area''). The attainment plan
includes the base year emissions inventory, an analysis of the
reasonably available control technology (RACT) and reasonably available
control measure (RACM) requirements, a reasonable further progress
(RFP) plan, a modeling demonstration of SO2 attainment,
enforceable emission limitations and control measures, contingency
measures for the Beaver Area, and Pennsylvania's new source review
(NSR) permitting program. As part of approving the attainment plan, EPA
is approving into the Pennsylvania SIP new SO2 emission
limits and associated compliance parameters for the FirstEnergy
Generation, LLC (FirstEnergy) Bruce Mansfield Power Station (Bruce
Mansfield) and a consent order with Jewel Acquisition Midland steel
plant (Jewel Facility). EPA is approving these revisions that
demonstrate attainment of the SO2 NAAQS in the Beaver Area
in accordance with the requirements of the Clean Air Act (CAA).
DATES: This final rule is effective on October 31, 2019.
[[Page 51989]]
ADDRESSES: EPA has established a docket for this action under Docket ID
Number EPA-R03-OAR-2017-0681. All documents in the docket are listed on
the https://www.regulations.gov website. Although listed in the index,
some information is not publicly available, e.g., confidential business
information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted
by statute. Certain other material, such as copyrighted material, is
not placed on the internet and will be publicly available only in hard
copy form. Publicly available docket materials are available through
https://www.regulations.gov, or please contact the person identified in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section for additional availability
information.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Megan Goold, Planning & Implementation
Branch (3AD30), Air & Radiation Division, U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency, Region III, 1650 Arch Street, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 19103.
The telephone number is (215) 814-2027. Ms. Goold can also be reached
via electronic mail at [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
On June 2, 2010, the EPA Administrator signed a final rule
establishing a new SO2 primary NAAQS as a 1-hour standard of
75 parts per billion (ppb), based on a 3-year average of the annual
99th percentile of daily maximum 1-hour average concentrations. See 75
FR 35520 (June 22, 2010), codified at 40 CFR 50.17. This action also
provided for revocation of the existing 1971 primary annual and 24-hour
standards, subject to certain conditions.\1\ Following promulgation of
a new or revised NAAQS, EPA is required by the CAA to designate areas
throughout the United States as attaining or not attaining the NAAQS;
this designation process is described in section 107(d)(1)-(2) of the
CAA. On August 5, 2013, EPA promulgated initial air quality
designations for 29 areas for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS (78 FR
47191), which became effective on October 4, 2013, based on violating
air quality monitoring data for calendar years 2009-2011, where there
were sufficient data to support a nonattainment designation.\2\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ EPA's June 22, 2010, final action provided for revocation of
the 1971 primary 24-hour standard of 140 ppb and the annual standard
of 30 ppb because they were determined not to add additional public
health protection given a 1-hour standard at 75 ppb. See 75 FR
35520. However, the secondary 3-hour SO2 standard was
retained. Currently, the 24-hour and annual standards are only
revoked for certain of those areas the EPA has already designated
for the 2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS. See 40 CFR 50.4(e).
\2\ EPA is continuing its designation efforts for the 2010
SO2 NAAQS. Pursuant to a court-order entered on March 2,
2015, by the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of
California, EPA must complete the remaining designations for the
rest of the country on a schedule that contains three specific
deadlines. Sierra Club, et al. v. Environmental Protection Agency,
13-cv-03953-SI (N.D. Cal. 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Effective on October 4, 2013, the Beaver Area was designated as
nonattainment for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS for an area that
encompasses the primary SO2 emitting source Bruce Mansfield
and the nearby SO2 monitor (Air Quality Site ID: 42-007-
0005). The final designation triggered a requirement for Pennsylvania
to submit a SIP revision with an attainment plan for how the Area would
attain the 2010 SO2 NAAQS as expeditiously as practicable,
but no later than October 4, 2018, in accordance with CAA section
192(a).
For a number of areas, including the Beaver Area, EPA published a
document on March 18, 2016, effective April 18, 2016, that Pennsylvania
and other pertinent states had failed to submit the required
SO2 attainment plan by this submittal deadline. See 81 FR
14736. This finding initiated a deadline under CAA section 179(a) for
the potential imposition of new source review and highway funding
sanctions. However, pursuant to Pennsylvania's submittal of September
29, 2017, and EPA's subsequent letter dated October 5, 2017 to
Pennsylvania finding the submittal complete and noting the stopping of
the sanctions clock, these sanctions under section 179(a) will not be
imposed as a consequence of Pennsylvania's having missed the SIP
submission deadline. Additionally, under CAA section 110(c), the March
18, 2016 finding triggered a requirement that EPA promulgate a Federal
implementation plan (FIP) within two years of the effective date of the
finding unless, by that time, the state has made the necessary complete
submittal and EPA has approved the submittal as meeting applicable
requirements. This FIP obligation will not apply as a result of this
action to finalize this SIP approval.
Attainment plans for SO2 must meet the applicable
requirements of the CAA, and specifically, CAA sections 110, 172, 191,
and 192. The required components of an attainment plan submittal are
listed in section 172(c) of Title I, part D of the CAA, and in EPA's
implementing regulations at 40 CFR part 51. On April 23, 2014, EPA
issued guidance (hereafter 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance)
recommending how state submissions could address the statutory
requirements for SO2 attainment plans.\3\ In this guidance,
EPA described the statutory requirements for an attainment plan, which
include: An accurate base year emissions inventory, of current
emissions, for all sources of SO2 within the nonattainment
area (172(c)(3)); an attainment demonstration that includes a modeling
analysis showing that the enforceable emissions limitations and other
control measures taken by the state will provide for expeditious
attainment of the NAAQS (172(c)); demonstration of RFP (172(c)(2));
implementation of RACM, including RACT (172(c)(1)); Nonattainment NSR
requirements (172(c)(5)); and adequate contingency measures for the
affected area (172(c)(9)).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ See ``Guidance for 1-Hour SO2 Nonattainment Area
SIP Submissions'' (April 23, 2014), available at https://www.epa.gov/sites/production/files/2016-06/documents/20140423guidance_nonattainment_sip.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
II. Summary of SIP Revision and EPA Analysis
In accordance with section 172(c) of the CAA, the Pennsylvania
attainment plan for the Beaver Area includes: (1) An emissions
inventory for SO2 for the plan's base year (2011); and (2)
an attainment demonstration. The formal SIP revision was submitted by
Pennsylvania on September 29, 2017. The attainment demonstration
includes the following: Analyses that locate, identify, and quantify
sources of emissions contributing to violations of the 2010
SO2 NAAQS; a determination that the control strategy for the
primary SO2 source within the nonattainment area constitutes
RACM/RACT; a dispersion modeling analysis of an emissions control
strategy for the primary SO2 source (Bruce Mansfield),
showing attainment of the SO2 NAAQS by the October 4, 2018
attainment date; requirements for RFP toward attaining the
SO2 NAAQS in the Area; contingency measures; the assertion
that Pennsylvania's existing SIP-approved NSR program meets the
applicable requirements for SO2; and the request that
emission limitations and compliance parameters for Bruce Mansfield be
incorporated into the SIP. On October 5, 2018 (83 FR 50314), EPA
published a notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM) for the Commonwealth
of Pennsylvania. In the NPRM, EPA proposed approval of the attainment
plan for the Beaver Area for the 2010 SO2 NAAQS. Comments on
EPA's proposed rulemaking were due on or before November 5, 2018.
Other specific requirements of the Beaver Area attainment plan and
the
[[Page 51990]]
rationale for EPA's proposed action are explained in the NPRM and will
not be restated here. This final action incorporates the rationale
provided in the NPRM, except to the extent necessary to reflect any
changes in the rationale in response to the public comments. Multiple
comments on the NPRM were received from one entity. Several of the
comments had various points and are addressed point by point by EPA. To
review the full set of comments received, refer to the Docket for this
rulemaking, as identified above. A summary of the comments received and
EPA's responses are provided below.
Comment 1. The commenter asserts that considering FirstEnergy's
announcement that the Bruce Mansfield Plant will retire in 2021, the
proper path forward is for the Pennsylvania Department of Environmental
Protection (PADEP) to incorporate that retirement into the SIP and set
emission limits for the plant of zero.
Response 1. EPA disagrees with the commenter that PADEP needs to
revise their SIP submission to incorporate the retirement of Bruce
Mansfield. The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania correctly submitted a
complete attainment plan SIP on September 29, 2017, and EPA is
finalizing approval of that submittal with this action. The Beaver Area
Attainment Plan includes modeling using the Bruce Mansfield critical
emissions values (CEVs) and operational restrictions for other
SO2 sources in the area that demonstrates attainment of the
1-hour SO2 NAAQS. PADEP developed comparably stringent 30-
day emissions limits for Bruce Mansfield based on the modeled CEVs. The
attainment plan meets the requirements of CAA Section 172(c) as
submitted, and there is no need to amend the plan to incorporate the
planned shutdown of Bruce Mansfield. In addition to the planned
shutdown which the commenter mentioned, EPA is aware that Units 1 and 2
of the Bruce Mansfield Plant have been listed on PJM's (Pennsylvania
New Jersey Maryland Interconnection LLC) deactivation list as of
February 5, 2019 (which was after the public comment period for this
action); nevertheless, EPA continues to assert that even though Bruce
Mansfield Units 1 and 2 are already deactivated, the SIP does not need
to be amended. The permits for these units have not been retired, and,
thus, the units are still permitted to emit SO2 to the
allowable emission limit. The emission limits and operational
restrictions being incorporated into the SIP in this action are still
in effect, and still provide for attainment of the 1-hour
SO2 NAAQS, as the attainment modeling demonstrated.
Comment 2. The commenter claims that EPA has failed to issue a FIP
or impose sanctions against the state for not having a Federally
enforceable SIP that demonstrates how the Beaver Area will reach
attainment by the statutorily required compliance deadline of October
4, 2018. The commenter asserts that it is unclear how the SIP can meet
this now passed compliance deadline when the limits proposed in the
Pennsylvania submission are not presently Federally enforceable.
Response 2. EPA disagrees with the commenter that sanctions should
have been applied in this case because, as discussed in the NPRM, the
sanctions clock was turned off when EPA determined a complete SIP was
submitted as stipulated in CAA 179(a). See also 40 CFR 52.31(d)(5),
which provides that a sanctions clock started by a finding of failure
to submit a required SIP will be permanently stopped upon a final
finding that the deficiency forming the basis of the finding of failure
to submit has been corrected, and that in such a case a letter from EPA
to the State would be how EPA issues a finding that the deficiency has
been corrected.
EPA agrees with the commenter that the approval of this SIP did not
occur before the October 4, 2018 deadline for NAAQS attainment.
However, EPA disagrees that the proposed emission limits at Bruce
Mansfield and operational restrictions at the Jewel Facility in the
SIP, which have been in effect and enforceable at the state level since
October 1, 2018, and September 21, 2017, respectively, have not brought
the SO2 concentrations in the area under the 75-ppb standard
by the applicable deadline. Supporting evidence of timely attainment is
available from the most recent SO2 concentrations at the
Brighton Township monitor (AQS 42-007-0005) in the nonattainment area
being well below the 75-ppb standard. Specifically, the 99th percentile
of the 1-hour maximum SO2 concentrations at the (previously
violating) Brighton Township monitor was 18 ppb in 2018, and the most
recent design value (3-year average of the annual 99th percentile of 1-
hour daily maximum concentrations using 2016-2018 data) was 22 ppb.\4\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ The Brighton Township monitor was the highest violating
monitor in Beaver County in 2011 when the area was designated
nonattainment. The 2009-2011 Design Value (3-year average of the
annual 99th percentile of 1-hour daily maximum concentrations) was
158 ppb, and the 2008-2010 design value was 167 ppb.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA also disagrees with the apparent view of the commenter that
because EPA did not approve, and thereby make Federally enforceable,
the Commonwealth's emission limits before the October 4, 2018
attainment deadline, Pennsylvania's plan itself is somehow no longer
approvable and EPA cannot thereafter approve the emissions limits and
make them Federally enforceable. Such a view cannot be correct, as
adopting it would preclude EPA from ever being able to approve a SIP
that has fully adequate emissions limits that reduce emissions
concentrations to attaining levels merely due to EPA's timing of
action, rather than based on the technical merits of the SIP, and force
EPA to possibly adopt in a FIP the exact same emissions limits but on
an even more belated schedule. Such a result is not compelled by the
CAA, and would offend the value of cooperative federalism reflected in
the Act. In addition, EPA believes its obligation is to evaluate the
state's plan, and to evaluate whether the state has established timely
obligations for pertinent sources, without regard to the timing by
which the state enforceable obligations become Federally enforceable.
In any case, EPA has proposed approval, and with this action,
finalizes approval of the Beaver, PA attainment plan, which makes
Federally enforceable the 30-day average SO2 limits at Bruce
Mansfield and operational restrictions at the Jewel Facility. The 30-
day average SO2 limits for Bruce Mansfield were developed
using procedures recommended in EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Area Guidance and are a comparably stringent substitute for a 1-hour
limit at the modeled CEV. The CEV for Bruce Mansfield and the
operational restrictions for the Jewel Facility were modeled as
resulting in attainment of the NAAQS, Bruce Mansfield is complying with
the comparably stringent 30-day limits, Jewel is complying with the
operational restrictions, and the limits have been enforceable
Pennsylvania since October 1, 2018 for Bruce Mansfield, and since
September 21, 2017 for the Jewel Facility.
In regard to EPA's failure to issue a FIP, EPA believes that the
most expeditious way to bring this area into attainment and maintain
attainment is to approve the submitted SIP with the limits and
restrictions adopted by the Commonwealth, making those limits and
restrictions Federally enforceable. Also, any FIP for this area would
likely mirror what Pennsylvania has proposed in the SIP, so approval of
the SIP is likely just as effective and a more efficient way to ensure
that the limits
[[Page 51991]]
and other elements of the SIP become Federally enforceable. Thus, it is
reasonable to conclude that the most expeditious approach to having a
Federally enforceable plan to bring the area into attainment and keep
it in attainment is to approve this SIP, and not issue a FIP.
Comment 3. The commenter asserts that the 30-day average emission
limits in the Proposal for Bruce Mansfield are fundamentally incapable
of protecting a 1-hour standard. The commenter provided two references
to EPA documents where EPA states that averaging periods for emissions
limits should be consistent with the NAAQS averaging time periods.\5\
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\5\ EPA Region 7 Comments re: Sunflower Holcomb Station
Expansion Project 4 (August 12, 2010); EPA Region 5 comments re:
Monroe Power Plant Construction Permit 1 (February 1, 2012).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Response 3. EPA disagrees with the commenter's statement that the
proposed 30-day limit is fundamentally incapable of protecting the 1-
hour NAAQS. EPA believes as a general matter that properly set, longer
term average limits are comparably effective in providing for
attainment of the 1-hour SO2 standard as 1-hour limits.
EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance sets forth in
detail the reasoning supporting its view that the distribution of
emissions that can be expected in compliance with a properly set longer
term average limit is likely to yield comparable overall air quality
than constant hourly emissions set at a level that provides for
attainment. See 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance, including
Appendix B. This reasoning is also expressed in detail in the NPRM for
this action.
At the outset, EPA notes that the specific examples of earlier EPA
statements cited by the commenter (i.e., those contained in Exhibits 1
and 2 to Appendix A of the comment submission) pre-date the release of
EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance. As such, these
examples only reflect the Agency's development of its policy for
implementing the 2010 SO2 NAAQS as of the dates of the
issuance of the statements. At the time these statements were issued,
EPA had not yet addressed the specific question of whether it might be
possible to devise an emission limit with an averaging period longer
than 1-hour, with appropriate adjustments that would make it comparably
stringent to an emission limit shown to attain 1-hour emission levels,
that could adequately ensure attainment of the SO2 NAAQS.
None of the pre-2014 EPA documents cited by the commenter address this
question; consequently, it is not reasonable to read any of them as
rejecting that possibility.
In contrast, EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance
specifically addressed this issue as it pertains to requirements for
SIPs for SO2 nonattainment areas under the 2010 NAAQS,
especially with regard to the use of appropriately set comparably
stringent limitations based on averaging times as long as 30 days. EPA
found that a longer term average limit which is comparably stringent to
a short-term average limit is likely to yield comparable air quality;
and that the net effect of allowing emissions variability over time but
requiring a lower average emission level is that the resulting worst-
case air quality is likely to be comparable to the worst-case air
quality resulting from the corresponding higher constant short-term
average emission limit. See 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance.
Any accounting of whether a 30-day average limit provides for
attainment must consider factors reducing the likelihood of 1-hour
average concentrations that exceed the NAAQS level as well as factors
creating a risk of additional concentrations that exceed the NAAQS
level. To facilitate this analysis, EPA used the concept of a CEV for
the SO2-emitting facilities which are being addressed in a
nonattainment SIP. The CEV is the continuous 1-hour emission rate which
is expected to result in the 3-year average of annual 99th percentile
daily maximum 1-hour average concentrations being at or below 75 ppb,
which in a typical year means that fewer than four days have maximum
hourly ambient SO2 concentrations exceeding 75 ppb. See 2014
SO2 Nonattainment Guidance, Appendix B.
EPA recognizes that a 30-day limit can allow occasions in which
emissions exceed the CEV, and such occasions yield the possibility of
concentrations exceeding the NAAQS level that would not be expected if
emissions were always at the CEV. At the same time, the establishment
of the 30-day average limit at a level below the CEV means that
emissions must routinely be lower than they would be required to be
with a 1-hour emission limit set at the CEV. On those critical modeled
days in which emissions at the CEV are expected to result in
concentrations exceeding 75 ppb, emissions set to comply with a 30-day
average level which is below the CEV may well result in concentrations
below 75 ppb. Requiring emissions on average to be below the CEV
introduces significant chances that emissions will be below the CEV on
critical days, so that such a requirement creates significant chances
that air quality would be better than 75 ppb on days that, with
emissions at the CEV, concentrations would have exceeded 75 ppb.
The NPRM for this area provides an illustrative example of the
effect that application of a limit with an averaging time longer than 1
hour can have on air quality. This example illustrates both (1) the
possibility of elevated emissions (emissions above the CEV) causing
concentrations exceeding the NAAQS level not expected with emissions at
or below the CEV and (2) the possibility that the requirement for
routinely lower emissions would result in avoiding concentrations
exceeding 75 ppb that would be expected with emissions at the CEV. In
this example, moving from a 1-hour limit to a 30-day average limit
results in one day that exceeds 75 ppb that would otherwise be below 75
ppb, one day that is below 75 ppb that would otherwise be above 75 ppb,
and one day that is below 75 ppb that would otherwise be at 75 ppb. In
net, the 99th percentile of the 30-day average limit scenario is lower
than that of the 1-hour limit scenario, with a design value of 67.5 ppb
rather than 75 ppb. Stated more generally, this example illustrates
several points: (1) The variations in emissions that are accounted for
with a longer term average limit can yield higher concentrations on
some days and lower concentrations on other days, as determined by the
factors influencing dispersion on each day, (2) one must account for
both possibilities, and (3) accounting for both effects can yield the
conclusion that a properly set longer term average limit can provide as
good or better air quality than allowing constant emissions at a higher
level. The commenter has not disputed this rationale that longer term
limits can suitably provide for attainment, and thus EPA continues to
assert that appropriately set 30-day emission limits can be protective
of the 1-hour SO2 standard.
Comment 3a. The commenter states that the Bruce Mansfield 30-day
average emission limits are 720 times the standard, and they would do
nothing to change Bruce Mansfield's current behavior. The commenter
provided data from the last four years of publicly available emissions
data for the facility and notes that the proposed 30-day average
emission limits for Units 1 and 2 combined, and for Unit 3,
respectively, are far higher than actual historical emissions. The
commenter also provided hourly emissions data from Bruce Mansfield
Units 1 and 2 combined from June 1, 2013 to May 30,
[[Page 51992]]
2017 \6\ and states that during this time period, there are 101 hours
in which emissions from Units 1 and 2 exceed the hourly limit. The
commenter further asserts that using their 30-day average analysis,
Bruce Mansfield would have been in ``compliance'' with the proposed 30-
day emission limits during this time period. In the commenter's view,
given that exceedances of the NAAQS can occur if as few as four hours
over the course of a year are above the 75-ppb threshold, the commenter
states that it is impossible that the proposed 30-day limit will
protect the standard.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ The Appendix B spreadsheet submitted with this comment shows
the data analysis for the hourly emissions at Bruce Mansfield Units
1 and 2 was for the time period June 1, 2013 through June 30, 2017.
However, the text of the comment states the analysis was completed
for emissions from June 1, 2013 to May 30, 2017.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Response 3a. EPA disagrees with the commenter that the 30-day
average emission limits are 720 times the standard. The averaging
period for the emissions limit is 30 days, or 720 hours, which is 720
times the length of the averaging time of the standard. The 30-day
emission limits are not 720 times the 1-hour CEV, and the resulting
concentrations are not 720 times the NAAQS (75 ppb). More importantly,
this comment does not include a rationale that a limit with this
averaging time necessarily fails to assure attainment.
The SO2 emissions and SO2 concentrations have
significantly declined in the Beaver Area. As described in the NPRM for
this action, two facilities within the nonattainment area have
permanently shut down--AES Beaver, a coal fired power plant, shut down
in 2015, and Horsehead Monaca, a zinc smelter, shut down in 2014. In
addition, the Jewel Facility, a steel mill, has entered into a Consent
Order and Agreement (COA) with PADEP to prohibit operation of the
Meltshop (the primary source of sulfur dioxide). The closure of two
facilities and the operational restrictions on a third facility have
provided SO2 emission reductions, and a significant portion
of these reductions are enforceable pursuant to Pennsylvania's plan.
These reduced allowable emissions, along with the allowable emissions
at Bruce Mansfield, have been modeled in accordance with Appendix W to
40 CFR part 51 and the EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance and demonstrate that the area will attain the standard by its
attainment date. PADEP developed a comparably stringent 30-day average
emission limit for Bruce Mansfield using the modeled emission levels as
a starting point and adjusted downward, in accordance with procedures
recommended in EPA's SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance. In
response 3 above and in EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance, EPA has explained at length its reasoning that a comparably
stringent 30-day average limit is a suitable substitute for a 1-hour
limit at the CEV in providing for attainment.
Furthermore, although the focus of this rulemaking is on whether
the plan has limits that assure attainment, it is worth noting that
significant emission reductions have also occurred and will occur in
the future at Bruce Mansfield. Compared to emissions for 2010 to 2012
(the period of the air quality data that resulted in this area being
designated nonattainment), when emissions from Bruce Mansfield averaged
20,700 tons per year, emissions for 2017 to 2018 averaged 7,000 tons
per year. As stated in the attainment plan, in order to comply with the
new limit, Bruce Mansfield planned to make operational and physical
changes prior to October 2018 to ensure compliance with the new limits
(Appendix E-1, p. 7). Also, although shutdowns at Bruce Mansfield are
beyond the planning horizon of the SIP and are not part of the SIP, the
shutdown of this full facility that is slated for 2021 provides further
confidence that the area will continue to attain the standard.
Therefore, EPA continues to believe that the emission limits at
Bruce Mansfield, in concert with the shutdown of AES Beaver and
Horsehead Monaca, and operating restrictions on the Jewel plant,
provide the SO2 emission reductions required to demonstrate
attainment. EPA notes that attainment is not solely dependent on
reducing emissions or changing the operations at Bruce Mansfield, but
on all the SO2 emission reductions that have occurred and
were modeled in the nonattainment area.
Furthermore, EPA disagrees with the commenter's premise that the
existence of hours with emissions exceeding modeled attainment levels
despite compliance with the 30-day average limit necessarily means that
the 30-day limit is not protective of the NAAQS. (The commenter claims
the existence of 101 hours from mid-2013 to mid-2017 when the emissions
from Units 1 and 2 exceeded the ``hourly limit'' despite being in
compliance with the 30-day limit. In fact, there is no hourly limit; as
discussed further below, the commenter identified an equation, based on
Pennsylvania's simulations of attainment level emissions, for
characterizing the range of combinations of hourly Unit 1, Unit 2, and
Unit 3 emissions that would model attainment, and found that 101 hours
had emissions exceeding those levels.) Indeed, the NPRM provides an
extensive discussion of EPA's rationale for believing that a 30-day
average limit, which creates risk of occasions of emissions exceeding
the CEV but also creates a compensating likelihood that the mandate for
lower average emissions will avert some of the exceedances that would
be allowed with a higher 1-hour average limit, will have the net effect
of assuring attainment.
However, the commenter does not address EPA's full rationale for
concluding that properly set 30-day average limits are a suitable basis
for providing for attainment of the 1-hour SO2 standard.
Instead, the commenter merely notes that there were 101 hours when the
emissions from Unit 1 and 2 exceeded attainment levels (which is 0.36
percent of the operating hours that the commenter examined) but fails
to address the effect of the adjusted 30-day average limit requiring
emissions to be well below critical emission levels, namely avoiding
some exceedances that would be expected to occur with emissions allowed
always to be at the CEV. Consequently, the commenter does not
acknowledge or address the occasions in which the longer term limit
provides better air quality, which is a key element of EPA's rationale
for concluding that the net effect of limiting longer term average
emissions to a downward adjusted level can be comparably effective in
providing for attainment as limiting 1-hour emissions to the level of
the CEV. Because the pertinent question is whether Pennsylvania's plan
provides for attainment, EPA must address the net effect of applying a
long-term average, not just considering those factors that increase the
likelihood of exceedances or just considering those factors that reduce
the likelihood of exceedances.
At issue here is how often emissions from Bruce Mansfield, upon
compliance with Pennsylvania's 30-day average limits, might be expected
to have hourly emission rates above the level modeled to result in
attainment. Ordinarily, a single model run establishes upper bound
hourly emission rates at which the area attains the standard; EPA calls
these hourly emission rates CEVs. However, in this case, Pennsylvania
conducted numerous runs reflecting the combined effect of emissions
from the three units (two stacks) at Bruce Mansfield. These model runs
were used to determine the relationship between emissions from Stacks 1
and 2 which would result in attainment.
[[Page 51993]]
Therefore, to determine the historic frequency of excess emission
events, a more complicated analysis is warranted. Part of such analysis
should be to establish criteria for defining excess emission events,
i.e., hours when emissions exceed the level demonstrated in the state's
plan to provide for attainment. Ordinarily, excess emission events may
be defined simply as hours when emissions exceed the CEV. However, in
this case, Pennsylvania has defined attainment level emissions in
significant part as an interactive function of the emissions of both
stacks at Bruce Mansfield. In particular, using the results of 17
modeling runs reflecting a range of combinations of emissions from
Bruce Mansfield Stack 1 and Stack 2, the Commonwealth determined an
equation defining the range of combinations of 1-hour emissions that
provide for attainment, as indicated in their correction email dated 6/
11/18 which was included in the docket for this action, and discussed
in the NPRM. The equation contains a critical value, which is the
equation result (applying the equation to Stack 1 and Stack 2
emissions) that is considered to correspond to the sets of 1-hour
emission rates that Pennsylvania modeled as providing attainment. EPA
will call this critical value the critical formula value (CFV), and
will call the analysis to determine how many exceedance events over the
CFV occurred, the CFV exceedance analysis.
The commenter developed a different CFV, based on a different
equation (again based on the modeled combinations of Stack 1 and Stack
2 emissions) to define the combinations of 1-hour emissions from these
stacks that could be considered to yield attainment.
Finally, EPA developed a third equation (with a third CFV), again
designed around a graph of the emission values that modeled attainment
from Stack 1 and Stack 2.
These three equations (reflecting different order polynomials and
having different CFVs) provide three different expressions of the
maximum combinations of Stack 1 and Stack 2 emissions that may be
considered to yield attainment, and thus provide three different means
of assessing whether a particular historic combination of Stack 1 and
Stack 2 emissions should be considered to be an excess emission event.
These equations are presented in Pennsylvania's correction email, in
the commenter's comment letter, and in EPA's technical support document
(TSD) for this rulemaking, respectively.
These three approaches all yielded similar results. Pennsylvania,
examining data for 2012 to 2016, found that 219 hours out of 43,848
hours, or 0.50 percent of hours, exceed Pennsylvania's CFV. (Dividing
this 219 hours over the number of hours in which at least one unit is
operating, 43,030 hours, suggests 0.51 percent of operating hours
exceeded the CFV.) The commenter, examining data for mid-2013 to mid-
2017, found that 101 hours (which, out of 28,074 operating hours, is
0.36 percent) exceeded the CFV. EPA, examining data for 2011 to 2017,
found that 226 hours out of 56,503 operating hours, or 0.40 percent,
constituted excess emission events, including 221 hours that exceeded
the CFV and 5 hours in which Unit 3, operating alone, exceeded its CEV.
Additional information regarding these three analyses are provided
respectively in the submittal, the comment letter, and the TSD noted
above.
These results should be put in the context of whether the baseline
periods for these analyses reflected compliance with Pennsylvania's
emission limits and, if not, the frequency with which the facility
exceeded these limits. Pennsylvania did not assess whether Bruce
Mansfield met its adopted limits. The commenter did conduct this
assessment and concluded that the facility met all three limits for all
30-day average periods. However, EPA believes that the commenter
analyzed these data incorrectly, using averaging procedures different
from the procedures that Pennsylvania would use in assessing
compliance.
The COA that Pennsylvania adopted and submitted to govern emissions
from Bruce Mansfield does not precisely define the data handling
procedures that it would use in assessing compliance with the pertinent
limits. However, Pennsylvania states, ``The 30-operating day rolling
average SO2 emissions rate shall be calculated using the
procedures outlined in the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS)
regulations in 40 CFR parts 60 and 63.'' EPA interprets this statement
to mean that compliance shall be assessed by calculating an average of
the hourly emission rates applicable while the facility is operating.
While the SO2 limit in MATS, which regulates mass of
emissions per unit heat input, has a different form from Pennsylvania's
limit, which regulates mass per hour, EPA interprets Pennsylvania to
intend the same feature of conducting its compliance calculations in a
manner that gives no weight to periods in which the unit(s) is not
operating. (While these procedures may be a moot point if Bruce
Mansfield does not resume operation, EPA's evaluation of the
approvability of Pennsylvania's SIP necessitates review of whether the
applicable limits provide for attainment should the facility restart.)
The commenter computed 30-day averages by computing daily average
emission rates (including only operating hour emission rates) and then
by computing the unweighted average of these daily average values. This
approach gives days with partial operation the same weight as days with
24 hours of operation, and thus overweights the hours on the partial
operation days.
EPA then conducted its own evaluation of whether Bruce Mansfield
was complying with the limits in Pennsylvania's SIP during the period
being evaluated for excess emission events. In this evaluation, EPA
examined data for 2011 to 2017.\7\ During this period, EPA concluded
that Bruce Mansfield was in compliance with the prospective limits for
Stack 1 (Units 1 and 2) and for Stack 2 (Unit 3) at all times but
exceeded the formula limit for 16 out of 2116 averaging periods, or
0.76 percent. Therefore, EPA believes that compliance with the limits
in Pennsylvania's SIP will require Bruce Mansfield to have a slightly
smaller fraction of hours exceeding the CFV than occurred in the
historical record. EPA, Pennsylvania, and the commenter nevertheless
agree that the frequency with which Bruce Mansfield could be expected
to exceed the CFV (or either of the stack-specific CEVs) is less that
0.6 percent of operating hours.
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\7\ Consistent with the characteristics of data handling in
MATS, EPA interprets Pennsylvania's limits to reflect data handling
in which compliance with these mass per hour limits is assessed by
dividing total mass by total operating time, thereby giving hours
with fractional operating time the appropriate fractional weight.
For simplicity in this analysis, EPA gave the same weight to all
hours with any operation, averaging the hourly mass values
regardless of what portion of the hour was operational. However, EPA
expects in this case that a more precise analysis would give similar
results.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
However, EPA disagrees with the commenter on the air quality
consequences of these occasions of elevated emissions. EPA believes
that a full analysis of the air quality impact of Pennsylvania's limits
must consider these hours of elevated emissions in conjunction with the
far greater number of hours when emissions are required to be well
below the level (on average, on the order of 20 to 30 percent below the
level) that would model violations. For reasons described in more
detail in EPA's guidance and in the NPRM for this action, EPA believes
that the net effect of these compensating factors is that
Pennsylvania's limits provide adequate assurance that the area will
[[Page 51994]]
attain the SO2 standard. EPA notes that the data used for
these analyses were from time periods prior to the adoption of 30-day
emission limits, prior to the requirement of 95% scrubber control
efficiency, and prior to the operational and physical changes that were
made to meet the new lower emission limits. Through the adoption of
these new requirements, Bruce Mansfield will restrict the variability
in emissions and will need to comply with new emission limits.
After reviewing Pennsylvania's submittal, EPA finds that the limits
established for Bruce Mansfield provide a suitable alternative to
establishing 1-hour average emission limits for this source. Consistent
with EPA guidance, EPA anticipates that, if Bruce Mansfield resumes
operation and complies with Pennsylvania's limits, excess emission
events will be sufficiently infrequent that compliance with the 30-day
average limits will provide for attainment.
Comment 3b. The commenter states that EPA suggests that because
Bruce Mansfield has exceeded the polynomial-based emission limits on an
hourly basis only ``0.50%'' of the time during 2012-2016, that the 30-
day limits are therefore adequately protective.\8\ However, the
commenter asserts that EPA's reliance on FirstEnergy's math is
misplaced and its reasoning is incorrect. First, FirstEnergy and EPA
improperly compare the exceedances not to plant operating hours, but to
the number of hours in the calendar. The commenter states that
FirstEnergy and EPA significantly understate the significance of those
nonoperating hours because there are thousands of hours in which one or
another boiler at Bruce Mansfield was not operating, and nearly a
thousand hours during the examined time period in which no boiler was
operating. The commenter asserts that the 219 hours that FirstEnergy
concedes Bruce Mansfield exceeded the polynomial hourly attainment
level emissions is significant, given the commenter's view that the
NAAQS can be violated with heightened emissions in as few as four hours
a year over three years. Second, FirstEnergy's analysis only looks at
times in which the emissions from Units 1 and 2 together exceed the
polynomial function, and not at those times when emissions from Unit 3
exceed the polynomial function. As such, the commenter states that the
analysis only looks at a part of the story--there are numerous hours
where emissions from Unit 3 all by itself are enough to mean that, even
with their emission limits governed by the polynomial function, Units 1
and 2 would need to emit negatively. As such, the commenter asserts
that FirstEnergy and EPA are arbitrarily ignoring a significant aspect
of the problem.
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\8\ The commenter misrepresented EPA's statement. The emission
limits are expressed as 30-day average limits. As such, the limits
cannot be exceeded on an hourly basis. The commenter presumably
meant to refer to the frequency with which the facility exceeded the
attainment level hourly emission values, computed by the state's
unadjusted polynomial-based formula, which is the frequency that EPA
described as being 0.50 percent.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Response 3b. EPA agrees with the commenter regarding mistakes in
FirstEnergy's math, but disagrees with the commenter regarding its
claims that a 30-day limit cannot be protective of a 1-hour standard.
EPA has addressed the latter issue above in Response 3a.
Pennsylvania/FirstEnergy's CFV analysis contained two mistakes.
FirstEnergy failed to only use plant operating hours in their CFV
analysis. They also failed to count hours as exceeding the attainment
emission level when the emissions from Unit 3 would have exceeded the
limits on its own, thereby understating the number of hours in which
that, if modeled as occurring constantly for every hour of the year,
would be expected to estimate a violation. (The commenter describes
hours with excessive emissions from Unit 3 as hours in which ``Units 1
and 2 would need to emit negatively.'' EPA agrees that these hours when
Unit 3 emits above its own CEV need to be counted as excess emissions
hours for purposes of this analysis, but EPA believes that the
pertinent issue is whether the plant emitted excessively, not whether
the limits require impossible emission levels.) EPA addressed these
mistakes in its analysis. In order to determine exceedance events in
respect to the CFV, EPA kept all hours where Stack 1 (unit 1 and 2) and
Stack 2 had emission values. EPA included these occurrences in the
analysis because the formula applies when Stack 1 and Stack 2 are in
service, and therefore, the analysis to determine how many times the
formula was exceeded should include any hours when emissions were
coming out of both stacks. As described above, EPA's CFV exceedance
analysis shows that 0.4% of operating hours during 2011 through 2017
constituted an excess emissions event.
Consequently, EPA continues to have reasonable confidence that
occasions with emissions above the CFV will be infrequent and limited
in magnitude. EPA's revised CFV analysis is available in the docket for
this action and is described in more detail in the TSD for this action.
EPA provided a full rationale for comparably stringent longer term
averages in Responses 3 and 3a above, concluding that the net effect of
limiting longer term average emissions to a downward adjusted level can
be comparably effective in providing for attainment as limiting 1-hour
emissions to the level of the CEV.
Comment 3c. The commenter asserts that Pennsylvania's contingency
measures are limited and do not support Pennsylvania's claims that the
measures will minimize further the chance of an exceedance. The
commenter asserts that the contingency measures will require Bruce
Mansfield to (1) audit their systems if the emissions become close to
the emission limits and (2) require Bruce Mansfield to monitor their
systems to ensure the facility does not cause a violation at the
monitor. The commenter claims that number 1 above is what Bruce
Mansfield ought to be doing anyway to ensure that they are in
compliance with their permit limits, and number 2 incorrectly relies on
one monitor when attainment should be reached throughout the
nonattainment area.
Response 3c. EPA disagrees with the commenter that the contingency
measures are too limited and do not support Pennsylvania's claims that
the measures will minimize further the chance of an exceedance. The CAA
requires a Nonattainment SIP to model attainment throughout the
nonattainment area. Section 172(c)(9) of the CAA defines contingency
measures as such measures in a SIP that are to be implemented in the
event that an area fails to make RFP, or fails to attain the NAAQS by
the applicable attainment date. Contingency measures are to become
effective without further action by the state or EPA, where the area
has failed to (1) achieve RFP or, (2) attain the NAAQS by the statutory
attainment date for the affected area. These control measures are to
consist of other available control measures that are not included in
the control strategy for the attainment plan SIP for the affected area.
However, EPA has also explained that SO2 presents special
considerations.\9\ First, for some of the other criteria pollutants,
the analytical tools for quantifying the relationship between
reductions in precursor emissions and resulting air quality
improvements remains subject to
[[Page 51995]]
significant uncertainties, in contrast with procedures for directly-
emitted pollutants such as SO2. Second, emission estimates
and attainment analyses for other criteria pollutants can be strongly
influenced by overly optimistic assumptions about control efficiency
and rates of compliance for many small sources. This is not the case
for SO2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\9\ See SO2 Guideline Document, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Research Triangle Park, N.C. 27711, EPA-452/R-94-008, February 1994.
See also EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance. See
General Preamble for the Implementation of Title I of the Clean Air
Act Amendments of 1990 at 57 FR 13498 (April 16, 1992).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In contrast, the control efficiencies for SO2 control
measures are well understood and are far less prone to uncertainty.
Because SO2 control measures are based on what is directly
and quantifiably necessary to attain the SO2 NAAQS, it would
be unlikely for an area to implement the necessary emission controls
yet fail to attain the NAAQS. See 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Area Guidance, page 41. Therefore, for SO2 programs, EPA has
explained that contingency measures can mean that the air agency has a
comprehensive program to identify sources of violations of the
SO2 NAAQS and to undertake an aggressive follow-up for
compliance and enforcement, including expedited procedures for
establishing enforceable consent agreements pending the adoption of the
revised SIP. EPA believes that this approach continues to be valid for
the implementation of contingency measures to address the 2010
SO2 NAAQS, and consequently concludes that Pennsylvania's
comprehensive enforcement program, as discussed below, satisfies the
contingency measure requirement.
This approach to contingency measures for SO2 does not
preclude an air agency from requiring additional measures that are
enforceable and appropriate for a particular source category if the
state determines such supplementary measures are appropriate. As EPA
has stated in our 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance, in
order for EPA to rely on these measures to approve the SIP, the
supplementary contingency measures would need to be fully adopted
provisions in the SIP that become effective where the area has failed
to meet RFP or fails to attain the standard by the statutory attainment
date. See 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance, page 42.
As noted in EPA's NPRM, EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Area Guidance describes special features of SO2 planning
that influence the suitability of alternative means of addressing the
requirement in section 172(c)(9) for contingency measures. One
effective alternative means identified by the Guidance is a
comprehensive enforcement program for sources emitting SO2.
Pennsylvania has a comprehensive enforcement program as specified in
Section 4(27) of the Pennsylvania Air Pollution Control Act (APCA), 35
P.S. Sec. 4004(27). Under this program, PADEP is authorized to take
any action it deems necessary or proper for the effective enforcement
of the Act and the rules and regulations promulgated under the Act.
Such actions include the issuance of orders (for example, enforcement
orders and orders to take corrective action to address air pollution or
the danger of air pollution from a source) and the assessment of civil
penalties. Sections 9.1 and 10.1 of the APCA, 35 P.S. Sec. Sec. 4009.1
and 4010.1, also expressly authorize PADEP to issue orders to aid in
the enforcement of the APCA and to assess civil penalties.
Any person in violation of the APCA, the rules and regulations, any
order of PADEP, or a plan approval or operating permit conditions could
also be subject to criminal fines upon conviction under Section 9, 35
P.S. Sec. 4009. Section 7.1 of the APCA, 35 P.S. Sec. 4007.1,
prohibits PADEP from issuing plan approvals and operating permits for
any applicant, permittee, or a general partner, parent or subsidiary
corporation of the applicant or the permittee that is placed on PADEP's
Compliance Docket until the violations are corrected to the
satisfaction of PADEP.
In addition to having a fully approved enforcement program,
Pennsylvania has included contingency measures that are triggered when
a source's emissions reach a certain percentage of the allowable
emissions and based on any monitor in the nonattainment area
registering a 1-hour daily maximum concentration exceeding 75 ppb.
These measures are in line with the supplemental contingency measure
guidance EPA mentions above and are included in the FirstEnergy COA and
the Jewel COA and thus will be fully approved provisions within the
SIP.
In regard to the monitoring contingency measure, the commenter
erroneously confuses the requirement for Pennsylvania to plan for
attainment in the entire Nonattainment area with the ability of the
Commonwealth to use monitoring data from a single location as a trigger
for a contingency measure. Pennsylvania has demonstrated attainment
throughout the entire Beaver Nonattainment area through their modeling
demonstration discussed previously. Using monitoring data to trigger
supplemental contingency measures is a defensible approach for helping
achieve attainment throughout the area in cases where the plan has
unexpectedly not achieved attainment.
EPA concludes that Pennsylvania's enforcement program by itself
suffices to satisfy the contingency measure requirements. The magnitude
of prospective benefit from Pennsylvania's supplemental contingency
measures is unclear, but it is clear that these measures can only
improve and will not worsen air quality. Therefore, notwithstanding the
commenter's concerns about the specificity and triggering of the
supplementary measures identified in the Pennsylvania SIP and the
FirstEnergy and Jewel COAs, EPA believes that Pennsylvania's
enforcement program, which is enhanced by the supplementary provisions
in the COAs, suffice to meet Section 172(c)(9) requirements as
interpreted in the 1992 General Preamble and the 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Guidance.
Comment 4. The commenter states that the conversion factors used to
determine the comparably stringent longer term limit for Bruce
Mansfield are arbitrary and insufficiently protective. The commenter
asserts that the conversion factors are highly dependent on the time
period selected. The commenter provided a table of varying time
periods, and corresponding adjustment factors. The commenter notes that
depending on the time period selected the adjustment factors can range
from 0.558 to 0.673.
Response 4. EPA disagrees with the commenter's assertion that Bruce
Mansfield's SO2 limits are arbitrary and insufficiently
protective. As stated in EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Area
Guidance, EPA expects that establishing an appropriate longer-term
average limit will involve assessing a downward adjustment in the level
of the limit that would provide for comparable stringency. This
assessment should generally be conducted using data obtained by a
Continuous Emissions Monitoring System (CEMS), in order to have
sufficient data to obtain a robust and reliable assessment of the
anticipated relationship between longer-term average emissions and 1-
hour emission values. This is necessary to suitably assess the
warranted degree of adjustment of the longer-term average limit in
order to provide comparable stringency to the 1-hour emission rate that
is determined to provide for attainment.
EPA generally expects that datasets reflecting hourly data for at
least three to five years of stable operation (i.e., without changes
that significantly alter emissions variability) would be needed to
conduct a suitably reliable analysis. PADEP's use of 2012-2016 CEM data
represents five years of historic data of
[[Page 51996]]
stable operation for the Bruce Mansfield facility, and provides the
robustness recommended in EPA's guidance.
In contrast, the commenter's adjustment factors were based on time
intervals that varied from six months to three and a half years, which
are all less than the time interval used by Pennsylvania. The
commenter's adjustment factors resulting from using shorter time
periods illustrate a point that EPA considered in formulating its
guidance, which is that using an insufficient amount of data is prone
to yield results that vary unduly by data period and may not be a
sufficiently robust basis for determining a reliable adjustment factor.
The variability in adjustment factors using time intervals from six
months to three and a half years provided by the commenter demonstrates
the insufficiency of these shorter time periods for use in development
of such an adjustment factor, but does not demonstrate the
insufficiency of the overall method in EPA's 2014 SO2
Nonattainment Area Guidance had it been appropriately applied, nor does
it demonstrate that Pennsylvania's adjustment factor is inappropriate.
EPA's guidance recommends calculating adjustment factors using
statistics calculated according to the data handling procedures by
which compliance is determined. The COA between Pennsylvania and
FirstEnergy indicates that ``the 30-operating day rolling average
SO2 emissions rate shall be calculated using the procedures
outlined in the MATS regulations in 40 CFR parts 60 and 63.''
Pennsylvania and EPA calculated adjustment factors accordingly.
Pennsylvania imposed three separate limits, and EPA considered the
adjustment inherent in each limit. For the limit on Unit 3 emissions,
Pennsylvania appropriately compared the 99th percentile of 30-day
averages of Unit 3 emissions against the 99th percentile of 1-hour
values of Unit 3 emissions, computing an adjustment factor of 0.794.
The commenter does not contest this adjustment factor. EPA computed
similar statistics for seven years of emissions (2011 to 2017) and
computed a similar emission factor, 0.786.
For the limit on the sum of Unit 1 and Unit 2 emissions,
Pennsylvania conducted separate calculations for Unit 1 and for Unit 2,
computing adjustment factors of 0.59 and 0.717, respectively. The
commenter objects to the use of the Unit 2 adjustment factor for both
units, thereby disregarding the variability of Unit 1. EPA agrees that
the variability of Unit 1 may not be disregarded, and that the
variability of Unit 2 should not be used as a surrogate for the
variability of both units.
However, since the limit governs the sum of emissions from both
units, the more pertinent question is how much variability exists in
the sum of emissions from the two units. That is, the appropriate
method for computing an adjustment factor for this limit is to use
statistics for the sum of emissions from the two units, comparing the
99th percentile of the 30-day average sum of emissions against the 99th
percentile of the 1-hour sum of emissions. As discussed in the TSD, EPA
computed an adjustment factor in this manner using 2011 to 2017 data
for these units, computing a value of 0.72. This indicates that proper
calculation of an adjustment factor for this limit yields a result that
is very similar to the adjustment that Pennsylvania applied, resulting
in a limit that may be considered comparably stringent to the 1-hour
limit that Pennsylvania would otherwise have imposed.
The third limit governs the combination of emissions from all three
units, in particular mandating that the value of an equation adding the
sum of 30-day average emissions from Units 1 and 2 plus two terms
(respectively first order and second order) based on emissions from
Unit 3 shall not exceed 7,100.\10\ Consequently, the most pertinent
approach for assessing the effect of using 30-day emission averages in
determining compliance with this limit is to apply EPA's recommended
procedure to statistics calculated using the equation of Pennsylvania's
limit. That is, EPA believes that the best assessment of the
appropriate adjustment to the level to be mandated with this equation
is to compare the 99th percentile of the values computed with this
equation (as would be calculated to determine compliance with the
limit) against the 99th percentile of the 1-hour values computed with
this equation. Using Pennsylvania's 2012 to 2016 data, EPA in this
manner computed an adjustment factor of 75.2 percent. Among the 14
model runs in which Unit 3 emissions comply with the Unit 3 emissions
limit, the lowest formula result (i.e., the level of the 1-hour formula
limit that would yield attainment in all scenarios) is 9,821. This
value multiplied by 75.2 percent yields a comparably stringent 30-day
average-based value of 7,385. Since Pennsylvania has imposed a more
stringent requirement for the results of this equation (i.e., 7,100),
EPA believes that Pennsylvania's limit is at least comparably stringent
to the 1-hour-based limit that they would otherwise have imposed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\10\ As noted previously, although Pennsylvania's limit is
expressed as limiting the sum of Units 1 and 2 emissions to 7100
minus the value of the two terms based on Unit 3 emissions, this
translation of the limit provides a more appropriate perspective
from which to examine the effect of the collective variability of
all three units on the stringency of the collective 30-day average
limit.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The commenter's adjustment factors are approximately 0.017 to 0.159
less than the adjustment factor calculated by PADEP, depending upon the
time period selected. However, EPA's calculations, using seven years of
hourly data from 2011 to 2017, and calculated in accordance with the
data handling procedures that will be used in assessing compliance,
provide a more robust and more pertinent assessment of the degree of
adjustment needed to identify 30-day average-based limits that may be
considered comparably stringent to the 1-hour limits that would
otherwise have been set. This analysis resulted in an adjustment factor
of 0.72 for Units 1 and 2 combined, and a formula limit value of 7,385
rather than the value of 7,100 that Pennsylvania imposed. These values
are closely aligned with the adjustment factors reflected in
Pennsylvania's limits, and support the limits that Pennsylvania
established.
Comment 4a. The commenter notes that the years 2012-2016 used by
PADEP in calculating the Bruce Mansfield adjustment factor are
problematic. The commenter notes that the facility's dispatch has been
steadily declining, that there is a trend of increased start ups and
shut downs, and therefore, an increase in short term emission spikes.
Specifically, the commenter claims the use of years 2012-2014 are not
likely to be representative of future operation as in those years,
Bruce Mansfield's operation and emissions were more consistent. The
commenter asserts that future operation will be even more variable
considering a 2018 fire at the scrubber system and the need to rebuild
part of that system, noting that rebuilding will result in changes to
scrubber operation.
Response 4a. EPA disagrees with the commenter that increased start-
ups and shutdowns will lead to an increase in SO2 emission
spikes at Bruce Mansfield and disagrees with the commenter that PADEP's
use of 2012-2016 emissions data was not representative of future
operations (PADEP used 2012 through 2016 emissions, and the commenter's
concern is with 2012-2014). EPA notes that the commenter did not
provide any material supporting the claim that more start-ups and
shutdowns increase SO2 emissions or cause emission spikes at
[[Page 51997]]
Bruce Mansfield. EPA analyzed hourly emissions data for Bruce
Mansfield's units from 2011 through 2017. This analysis shows that
there was an increasing number of start-ups and shutdowns during this
time period for Units 1, 2 and 3. However, EPA's analysis also shows
that SO2 emissions at these units do not spike during start-
up and shutdowns. In fact, the emissions are generally lower than 100
pounds per hour (lbs/hr) during these time periods for these units.
Absent any specific evidence from the commenter supporting their claim
that increased start-ups and shutdowns at Bruce Mansfield will increase
SO2 emissions spikes, EPA does not believe that the
commenter has justified its claims that Bruce Mansfield can expect to
experience more emission spikes due to start-ups and shutdowns or that
expected differences between operation from 2012 to 2016 and future
operation warrants a lower adjustment factor.
In addition, EPA's 2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance
recommends using emissions data that reflect the distribution of
emissions that is expected once the attainment plan is implemented.
PADEP was correct to assume that the Bruce Mansfield Facility (if it
resumes full operation) would continue to operate with a similar
distribution of emissions as it did during 2012 through 2016, since the
attainment plan was not requiring any new control technology.
SO2 emissions from each of the three boilers were already
controlled by three individual Flue Gas Desulfurization (FGD) systems.
Unit 1 and Unit 2 each vent through two flues within a common stack.
Unit 3 vents through two flues in the other stack. Through the COA,
PADEP required Bruce Mansfield FGD units to achieve at least a 95%
removal efficiency. The recent fire at the scrubber system which was
identified as an issue by the commenter does not remove the requirement
to achieve at least a 95% removal efficiency from the FGD units, and to
meet the emission limits outlined in the COA. As such, the control
technology after the implementation of the attainment plan remains the
same as the control technology prior to the development of the
attainment plan, and therefore EPA reasonably believes that emissions
variability during the historic period of 2012-2016 continues to be
representative regardless of any rebuilding of the FGD system (if that
does need to occur as the commenter asserts).
EPA notes that Bruce Mansfield Units 1 and 2 have been listed on
the PJM deactivation list as of February 2019. Therefore, EPA
anticipates not that these units will start up and shut down more often
but instead that these units will not resume operation and will not
start up or shut down at all. However, EPA's task here is to assess
whether Pennsylvania's plan provides for attainment, including in the
scenario that these units resume operation. In this scenario, EPA
presumes that satisfaction of emission limits will reflect full repair
of emission control systems and the resumption of normal, stable
operations, which may resume the trend toward more startups and
shutdowns but which can be expected to have a distribution of upper
level emissions that is similar to the distribution seen in 2012 to
2016. Thus, the deactivation of these units does not impact the
approval of this attainment plan. The emission limits for the three
units at Bruce Mansfield are still in effect.
Comment 4b. The commenter asserts that Pennsylvania's use of Unit
2's adjustment factor (0.717) for Unit 1 was incorrect and by using
this higher adjustment factor, the 30-day emission limit calculated is
significantly higher than the one that would be calculated using Unit
1's adjustment factor. The commenter asserts that EPA incorrectly
determined that it was appropriate to use Unit 2's adjustment factor
for Unit 1, because Unit 2's hourly emissions tend to be higher more
frequently than those of Unit 1. The commenter asserts that during the
time period 2012-2016, Unit 2's emissions were actually lower than Unit
1's for nearly 5,000 hours. Thus, the commenter claims EPA's own logic
actually supports using the 0.59 conversion factor for Unit 1, not the
0.717 ratio.
The commenter continues that neither EPA nor Pennsylvania provides
any evidence or enforceable mechanism to ensure that the future
operations of Bruce Mansfield will demonstrate variability
representative of Unit 2 rather than Unit 1, and as such there is no
demonstrable mechanism to ensure compliance with the NAAQS.
Response 4b. PADEP followed the recommendation in EPA's 2014
SO2 Nonattainment Guidance to use an appropriate emissions
data set when determining the adjustment factors. The data set used
should be sufficiently robust in terms of time covered, should be
representative of the type of control strategy that is expected after
the attainment plan controls are in place and should reflect the
emissions variability that might be expected at the source once the SIP
is implemented. However, PADEP did not use the same data handling
procedures for development of the adjustment factor as for the
calculation of compliance with the limit, which is recommended in EPA's
2014 SO2 Nonattainment Guidance. PADEP calculated unit
specific adjustment factors even though the form of the limit was for
combined units. PADEP's use of Unit 2's adjustment factor for Unit 1
did provide for a higher 30-day average limit than would have resulted
from the use of separate adjustment factors for the two limits.
However, if PADEP followed EPA's Guidance in calculating the adjustment
factor using the same data handling proecures as the form of the limit,
they would have combined Units 1 and 2, and developed one adjustment
factor based on the sum of the two units' emissions. EPA did this
analysis and obtained an adjustment factor of 0.72. EPA's analysis
supports the adjustment factor that PADEP applied. In fact, PADEP's
approach provides for a slightly lower adjustment factor than would
have been calculated using EPA's recommended approach. EPA's analysis
is described in the TSD for this action.
EPA reviewed the hourly emissions data from 2012 to 2016 for Units
1 and 2, and continues to assert that Unit 2's emissions tend to be
higher more frequently. Based on the commenter's explanation of the
analysis they conducted to claim that Unit 2's emissions were lower
than Unit 1's emissions for nearly 5,000 hours, EPA believes the
commenter may be comparing the hourly emission value per hour of each
specific day (i.e., Unit 1, Day 1-Hour 1 versus Unit 2, Day 1-Hour 1).
However, EPA does not believe this type of comparison is relevant to
the adjustment factor analysis for a limit. EPA believes that a larger
data set and more robust statistical analysis over a longer period of
time, such as five years (as PADEP did), and use of data calculated in
the same manner in which Pennsylvania will be determining compliance,
provides a better portrayal of the influence of variability on the
stringency of each limit and thus the degree of adjustment each limit
needs to be comparably stringent to the 1-hour limits that Pennsylvania
would otherwise have imposed.
Providing further support for the use of a 0.717 adjustment factor
for Unit 1 and Unit 2, the adjustment factor listed in Appendix D of
EPA's SO2 Nonattainment Guidance for Sources with Wet
Scrubbers (30-day average vs. 1-hour adjustment factor) is 0.71.
Therefore, EPA continues to believe that the adjustment factors used
for Units 1 and 2 provide for a comparably stringent 30-day emission
limit.
[[Page 51998]]
Regarding the commenter's concern that there is no enforceable
mechanism provided to ensure that future emissions variability of Bruce
Mansfield will reflect the emissions variability representative of Unit
2 rather than Unit 1, EPA has provided options to states in the 2014
SO2 Nonattainment Guidance to reduce the likelihood of
increased emissions varaiability in the future. PADEP followed EPA's
Guidance of adopting a direct work practice requirement for control
equipment which could set a minimum level of control efficiency. The
Bruce Mansfield plant is required to use this work practice in order to
ensure that the NAAQS is not exceeded. To this end, the Bruce Mansfield
plant FGDs must achieve at least a 95% design removal efficiency on
Units 1, 2, and 3 during normal operating conditions following the
general requirements of 25 Pa. Code Chapter 139.11 and the testing
frequency contained in the COA. This additional work practice
requirement provides greater assurance that there will be less
variability in emissions when complying with the 30-day limits, as well
as minimizing the likely frequency and magnitude of elevated emissions.
In addition, as stated in the 2014 SO2 Nonattainment
Guidance, if the source is exceeding the expected variability, such
that the plan proves not to provide the expected confidence that the
NAAQS is being attained, EPA will use its available authority to pursue
any necessary correction of the plan.
Comment 5. The commenter states that the emission limits for Bruce
Mansfield are needlessly complex and prevent transparency in
determining compliance. The commenter asserts that the emission limit
formula only applies when both Chimney 1 and Chimney 2 are operating,
and as such it is unclear what limits apply when one chimney is not
operating. In addition, the commenter states that when Chimney 2 emits
over 3584 lbs/hour on a 30-day average, it is not clear what the
allowable emission limits are for Chimney 1. The commenter states that
a Federal plan with transparent emission limits should be adopted.
Response 5. EPA disagrees with the commenter that the emission
limits for Bruce Mansfield are needlessly complex and lack the
transparency needed to determine compliance. While the formula-based
emission limit requires extra calculation to determine compliance, and
therefore is more complex than a Unit-specific 30-day limit, all the
data needed to calculate whether Bruce Mansfield is complying with the
limit are available from the PADEP certified CEM data and are reported
to EPA's Clean Air Markets Division. The CEM data are available at
https://ampd.epa.gov/ampd/. Anyone may then determine Bruce Mansfield's
compliance status simply by retrieving those data into a spreadsheet
(or other suitable software) and applying the formula in the
Pennsylvania's rule. As such, the limit is sufficiently transparent for
Federal, state and public scrutiny.
EPA disagrees that the emission limit is not clear when one chimney
is not operating. As described in the NPRM, Unit 1 and Unit 2 each vent
through two flues within Chimney 1, and Unit 3 vents through two flues
in Chimney 2. The 30-operating day rolling average SO2
emissions rate for Units 1 and 2 cannot exceed the result of equation
one (EQ-1), below, with Chimney 1 and Chimney 2 in service, calculated
daily. Pursuant to this equation, the limit for the sum of emissions
from Unit 1 and Unit 2 is a function of the emissions from Unit 3, with
a maximum limit (when Unit 3 has low emissions) under 7,100 lb/hr. In
addition, if Unit 3 is not operating (and therefore only Chimney 1 is
operating), the 30-operating day rolling average emissions rate cannot
exceed 7,362 lb/hr for Units 1 and 2 combined. The 30-operating day
rolling average SO2 emissions rate for Chimney 2 (Unit 3)
cannot exceed 3,584 lb/hr.
EQ-1: CH1SO2 Lim = -1.38E-04 x CH2SO2\2\-0.920 x
CH2SO2 + 7100
Where:
CH1SO2 Lim: Chimney 1 SO2 lb/hr 30-day rolling
average
CH1SO2 Lim <=7,362 lb/hr
CH2SO2: Chimney 2 SO2 lb/hr 30-day rolling
average
CH2SO2 <=3,584 lb/hr
In other words, if Chimney 1 is not in service, the stand-alone 30-
operating day rolling average emission limit for Chimney 2 (Unit 3) is
set at 3,584 lb/hr. If Chimney 2 is not in service, Chimney 1's 30-
operating day average emission limit is 7,362 lb/hr. EPA continues to
assert that the 30-operating day limit established for Bruce Mansfield
is clear and transparent and therefore a Federal plan with a different
limit is unnecessary.
Comment 5a. The commenter asserts that the emission inventories are
improper because the projected 2018 emissions of 32,443 tons of
SO2 are greater than the actual emissions of 26,622 tons
reported for 2011, when the Beaver County SO2 monitor had a
design value of 136 ppb. The commenter asserts that this increase in
emissions is particularly egregious for Bruce Mansfield with 21,196
tons of SO2 in 2011, and allowable 2018 emissions of 32,246
tons.
Response 5a. The commenter is comparing allowable emissions for
2018 against actual emissions for 2011. EPA agrees with the commenter
that the allowable annual 2018 emissions for Bruce Mansfield (and for
all sources combined in the Beaver Area) are greater than the base year
2011 annual actual emissions for Bruce Mansfield (and for all sources
in the Beaver Area combined, respectively). However, air quality in a
multi-source area like this is not a function of total allowable
emissions, since sources with different stack heights, different
locations, and other differences will have different impacts per ton of
emissions. For example, the monitor is near the former Horsehead
facility and the former AES Beaver facility, and the improvements in
air quality at the monitor have clearly been more influenced by the
shutdown of these facilities than by the decline in actual emissions at
Bruce Mansfield. In this area, modeling provides the best information
regarding the impact per ton of emissions from each facility.
Pennsylvania has conducted an appropriate modeling analysis of this
area, and EPA concurs with the state's finding that its limits for
Bruce Mansfield (which reduce allowable emissions), in combination with
the other emission reductions in the area, will assure that the area
attains the standard, notwithstanding the fact that these limits allow
more total emissions than were actually emitted in 2011.
Comment 5b. The commenter further claims that assuming 8,760 hours
in a year, Bruce Mansfield's allowable annual emissions of 32,246 tons
translates to an hourly allowable rate of 7,362 lbs/hr, an emission
rate that is higher than many of the emission rate scenarios modeled by
FirstEnergy. Also, because these modeled scenarios model attainment
less than one microgram per cubic meter below the NAAQS, the annual
allowable maximum SO2 emissions for Bruce Mansfield are much
greater than what the modeling indicates are protective of the NAAQS.
Response 5b. EPA disagrees with commenter that the allowable
emissions for Bruce Mansfield are not protective of the NAAQS. EPA
understands the commenter's concern as follows: Since there are modeled
scenarios where the combined hourly emission value of Units 1, 2 and 3,
are less than 7,362 lb/hr (which is the highest 30-day average emission
value allowed under the emission limits) and those model runs show
SO2 concentrations very close to the standard, then an
allowable emissions rate of 7,362 lb/hr is much
[[Page 51999]]
greater than what several modeling runs indicate is protective of the
NAAQS.
The commenter incorrectly assumes that all modeled scenarios are
permitted. However, that is not the case. Seventeen scenarios with
varying combinations of 1-hour critical emission values for Unit 1 and
2, and Unit 3 were modeled and used to develop an equation for limiting
the combination of emissions from Units 1, 2 and 3 at Bruce Mansfield.
As shown in Table 1, all 17 scenarios modeled attainment.
In addition to the limit on the combination of the three units'
emissions, Pennsylvania also set a limit specifically limiting the
emissions from Unit 3, that Unit 3 30-operating day average emissions
shall not exceed 3,584 lb/hr. In model runs 9 through 11, Unit 3's
emissions correspond to an adjusted 30-day average value that would
have been greater than 3,584 lb/hr. Thus, these runs are disallowed
scenarios.
It is these three model runs that the commenter refers to as those
showing SO2 concentrations very close to the standard, and
asserts that the allowable emissions (calculated from these 1-hour
values; i.e., for model run 9 from Table 1, using the 1-hour CEVs,
2056.54 + 4743.88 = 6800.42 lb/hr combined CEV for all units) are much
less than the allowable emissions that PADEP calculates. Although the
relevant values are hourly emissions, adjusted to be limited with 30-
day average limits, both the commenter and PADEP calculated the
corresponding annual emission rates. The model run 9 values correspond
to annual emissions of 29,786 tons per year, which is much less than
PADEP's calculated allowable annual emissions of 32,246 tons per year.
If the emission rates in model runs 9 through 11 were allowable, they
would indicate that Pennsylvania's limits are not protective of the
NAAQS. However, these model runs contain disallowed emission rates, and
so these runs are not indicative of the emission rates necessary to
attain the standard. Therefore, EPA continues to support Bruce
Mansfield's 30-day emission limits as demonstrating attainment of the
1-hour SO2 NAAQS.
Table 1--Modeling Results and Emission Values for the Bruce Mansfield Facility
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corresponding Corresponding 30-day average SO2 limit for Modeled
Modeled 30-day average Modeled 30-day average Units 1 + 2 based on 30-day maximum using
Model run emissions for emissions for emissions for emissions for average equivalent to the 1-hr CEV
Units 1 + 2 Units 1 + 2 Unit 3 (lb/hr) Unit 3 (lb/hr) modeled Unit 3 emissions (lb/ from column 1
(lb/hr) (lb/hr) ** ** hr) *** and 3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1 **...................................... 10,282.70 7,372.70 0.00 0.00 Disallowed.................. 196.17563
2......................................... 9,254.43 6,635.43 761.19 604.38 6493.6...................... 196.18089
3......................................... 8,226.16 5,898.16 1,482.72 1,177.28 5825.6...................... 196.17966
1FE *..................................... 7,484.24 5,366.20 2,006.14 1,592.88 5284.4...................... 196.18033
4......................................... 7,197.89 5,160.89 2,206.62 1,752.06 5064.5...................... 196.17977
2FE *..................................... 6,765.97 4,851.20 2,507.57 1,991.01 4721.2...................... 196.14426
5......................................... 6,169.62 4,323.62 2,885.44 2,291.04 4267.9...................... 196.18044
3FE *..................................... 5,952.47 4,267.92 3,009.17 2,389.28 4114.1...................... 196.07897
6......................................... 5,141.35 3,686.35 3,469.90 2,755.10 3517.8...................... 196.17912
4FE *..................................... 5,051.66 3,622.04 3,510.68 2,787.48 3463.3...................... 196.11106
7......................................... 4,113.08 2,949.08 3,985.46 3,164.46 2806.8...................... 196.17974
5FE *..................................... 4,015.93 2,879.42 4,012.20 3,185.69 2768.7...................... 196.04158
8......................................... 3,084.81 2,211.81 4,407.53 3,499.58 2190.3...................... 196.18032
6FE *..................................... 2,857.18 2,048.60 4,513.72 3,583.89 2030.3...................... 196.10031
9 **...................................... 2,056.54 1,474.54 4,743.88 3,766.64 Disallowed.................. 196.18082
10 **..................................... 1,028.27 737.27 4,956.43 3,935.41 Disallowed.................. 196.18081
11 **..................................... 0.00 0.00 5,041.58 4,003.01 Disallowed.................. 196.17832
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* FirstEnergy Model run.
** Disallowed modeled scenarios. Model run 1 is disallowed because the emission limit equation only applies when both Chimneys are operating. Model runs
9-11 are prohibited as Unit 3's 30-day average emission rate is greater than the comparably stringent 30-day emission limit of 3,584 lb/hr.
*** The limit that would result from the compliance equation (EQ-1) using the Unit 3 30-operating day average emission rate that corresponds to the
modeled 1-hour rate (from fifth column of this table).
III. Final Action
EPA is approving Pennsylvania's SIP revision submittal for the
Beaver Area, as submitted by PADEP to EPA on September 29, 2017 for the
purpose of demonstrating attainment of the 2010 1-hour SO2
NAAQS. EPA has determined that Pennsylvania's SO2 attainment
plan for the 2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS for the Beaver Area meets
the applicable requirements of the CAA in sections 110, 172 and 191-
192, and comports with EPA's recommendations discussed in the 2014
SO2 Nonattainment Area Guidance. Specifically, EPA is
approving the base year emissions inventory, a modeling demonstration
of SO2 attainment, an analysis of RACM/RACT, an RFP plan,
and contingency measures for the Beaver Area, and concludes that the
Pennsylvania SIP has met requirements for NSR for the 2010 1-hour
SO2 NAAQS. Additionally, EPA is approving into the
Pennsylvania SIP specific SO2 emission limits, compliance
parameters and contingency measures established for Bruce Mansfield,
and operational restrictions for the Jewel Facility. Furthermore,
approval of this SIP submittal removes EPA's duty to promulgate and
implement a FIP under CAA section 110(c) for the Beaver Area.
IV. Incorporation by Reference
In this document, EPA is finalizing regulatory text that includes
incorporation by reference. In accordance with requirements of 1 CFR
51.5, EPA is finalizing the incorporation by reference of the
unredacted portions of the COA entered between Pennsylvania and
FirstEnergy Generation, LLC for the Bruce Mansfield Generating Station,
and the COA entered between Pennsylvania and Jewel Acquisition, LLC on
September 21, 2017 as described in the amendments to 40 CFR part 52 set
forth below. This includes emission limits and associated compliance
parameters,
[[Page 52000]]
record-keeping and reporting, and contingency measures for Bruce
Mansfield; and operational restrictions for the Jewel Facility. EPA has
made, and will continue to make, these materials generally available
through https://www.regulations.gov/ or at the EPA Region III Office
(please contact the person identified in the For Further Information
Contact section of this preamble for more information). Therefore,
these materials have been approved by EPA for inclusion in the SIP,
have been incorporated by reference by EPA into that plan, are fully
Federally enforceable under sections 110 and 113 of the CAA as of the
effective date of the final rulemaking of EPA's approval, and will be
incorporated by reference in the next update to the SIP
compilation.\11\
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\11\ 62 FR 27968 (May 22, 1997).
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V. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
A. General Requirements
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the CAA and applicable
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this
action merely approves state law as meeting Federal requirements and
does not impose additional requirements beyond those imposed by state
law. For that reason, this action:
Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21,
2011);
Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82 FR 9339, February 2,
2017) regulatory action because SIP approvals are exempted under
Executive Order 12866.
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have Federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the CAA; and
Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, this rule does not have tribal implications as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000),
because the SIP is not approved to apply in Indian country located in
the state, and EPA notes that it will not impose substantial direct
costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal law.
B. Submission to Congress and the Comptroller General
The Congressional Review Act, 5 U.S.C. 801 et seq., as added by the
Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of 1996, generally
provides that before a rule may take effect, the agency promulgating
the rule must submit a rule report, which includes a copy of the rule,
to each House of the Congress and to the Comptroller General of the
United States. EPA will submit a report containing this action and
other required information to the U.S. Senate, the U.S. House of
Representatives, and the Comptroller General of the United States prior
to publication of the rule in the Federal Register. A major rule cannot
take effect until 60 days after it is published in the Federal
Register. This action is not a ``major rule'' as defined by 5 U.S.C.
804(2).
C. Petitions for Judicial Review
Under section 307(b)(1) of the CAA, petitions for judicial review
of this action must be filed in the United States Court of Appeals for
the appropriate circuit by December 2, 2019. Filing a petition for
reconsideration by the Administrator of this final rule does not affect
the finality of this action for the purposes of judicial review nor
does it extend the time within which a petition for judicial review may
be filed, and shall not postpone the effectiveness of such rule or
action. This action to approve the Beaver Area attainment plan for the
1-hour SO2 NAAQS into the Pennsylvania SIP may not be
challenged later in proceedings to enforce its requirements. (See
section 307(b)(2).)
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Sulfur oxides.
Dated: September 13, 2019.
Diana Esher,
Acting Regional Administrator, Region III.
40 CFR part 52 is amended as follows:
PART 52--APPROVAL AND PROMULGATION OF IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
0
1. The authority citation for part 52 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart NN--Pennsylvania
0
2. In Sec. 52.2020:
0
a. The table in paragraph (d)(3) is amended by adding an entry for
``Bruce Mansfield Generating Station and an entry for Jewel
Acquisition, LLC'' at the end of the table; and
0
b. The table in paragraph (e)(1) is amended by adding an entry for
``Attainment Plan for the Beaver, Pennsylvania Nonattainment Area for
the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard''
at the end of the table.
The additions read as follows:
Sec. 52.2020 Identification of plan.
* * * * *
(d) * * *
(3) * * *
[[Page 52001]]
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State
Name of source Permit No. County effective EPA approval date Additional explanation/Sec.
date 52.2063 citation
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
Bruce Mansfield Generating Station. FirstEnergy Redacted Beaver................... 10/1/18 10/1/19, [Insert Sulfur dioxide emission
Consent Order and Federal Register limits and related
Agreement. citation]. parameters in unredacted
portions of the Consent
Order and Agreement dated
9/21/17.
Jewel Acquisition, LLC, Midland Jewel Acquisition Beaver................... 9/21/17 10/1/19, [Insert Operational restrictions
Facility. Redacted Consent Federal Register and related parameters in
Order and Agreement. citation]. unredacted portions of the
Consent Order and
Agreement.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
(e) * * *
(1) * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State
Name of non-regulatory SIP revision Applicable geographic submittal EPA approval date Additional
area date explanation
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
Attainment Plan for the Beaver, Industry Borough, 9/29/17 10/1/19, [Insert 52.2033(d)
Pennsylvania Nonattainment Area for Shippingport Borough, Federal Register
the 2010 Sulfur Dioxide Primary Midland Borough, citation].
National Ambient Air Quality Brighton Township,
Standard. Potter Township and
Vanport Township.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
0
3. Section 52.2033 is amended by adding paragraph (d) to read as
follows:
Sec. 52.2033 Control strategy: Sulfur oxides.
* * * * *
(d) EPA approves the attainment demonstration State Implementation
Plan for the Beaver, PA Nonattainment Area submitted by the
Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection on September 29,
2017.
[FR Doc. 2019-20848 Filed 9-30-19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P