Air Plan Approval; NC: Revision to I/M Program & Update to Charlotte Maintenance Plan for the 2008 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS, 22774-22786 [2019-10347]

Download as PDF 22774 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules with EPA’s permit application requirements for title V sources. See 40 CFR 70.5(c). Specifically, as is the case under Regulation 2.17, Section 4.2, 40 CFR 70.5(c) allows for the omission of insignificant activities from a permit application, but still requires inclusion of information related to an exemption for size or production rate, as well as information needed to determine the applicability of any applicable requirement. In addition, EPA believes the inclusion of insignificant activities in the FEDOOP permit process is SIPstrengthening, and that the exclusion of trivial activities will not impact implementation of the FEDOOP program. For these reasons, EPA is proposing to approve these changes. The August 25, 2017, submittal also includes a change at Regulation 2.17, Section 3.8 to include a 5-year term for which FEDOOPs remain in effect. This time period is a clarifying amendment to inform the public and facilities that FEDOOPs must be renewed every 5 years. This time period is consistent with the federal title V permitting program. Additionally, the addition of Section 3.8 includes a reference to Section 6.2, which describes the permit shield, meaning that as long as an administratively complete permit application has been received for issuance or renewal, then the failure to have a permit is not a violation of the rules until such a time that LMAPCD takes final action on the permit application. This shield provision is not being modified in this submittal, but the reference to it in Section 3.8 is appropriate to acknowledge what permit terms and conditions remain in effect while a permit renewal is being processed. The other changes to Regulation 2.17 are ministerial in nature. khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS III. Incorporation by Reference In this document, EPA is proposing to include in a final EPA rule regulatory text that includes incorporation by reference. In accordance with requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, EPA is proposing to incorporate by reference Jefferson County’s Regulation 1.02,— ‘‘Definitions,’’ version 14, state effective September 21, 2016, 9 which makes 9 The District approved version 13 of Regulation 1.02 on July 2, 2013, and version 14 on September 21, 2016. The State forwarded the regulations to EPA in the opposite order. Version 14 become state effective on September 21, 2016, and version 13 became state effective on February 15, 2017. Although the most recent State approval adopts version 13, EPA understands the State’s intent is to incorporate version 14 of the regulation into the SIP. For that reason, EPA is proposing to incorporate by reference Regulation 1.02 as of version 14’s state-effective date, September 21, VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 various changes to applicable definitions, and Regulation 2.17,— ‘‘Federally Enforceable District Origin Operating Permits,’’ version 4, February 15, 2017, which adds provisions describing permit application content for these types of permits. EPA has made, and will continue to make, these materials generally available through www.regulations.gov and at the EPA Region 4 office (please contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section of this preamble for more information). IV. Proposed Action EPA is proposing to approve changes to the Jefferson County portion of the Kentucky SIP that were provided to EPA through two letters dated December 21, 2016, and August 25, 2017, to change applicable definitions and provisions for the FEDOOP program. These changes are consistent with the CAA. V. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable Federal regulations. See 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, EPA’s role is to approve state choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. This action merely proposes to approve state law as meeting Federal requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those imposed by state law. For that reason, these proposed actions: • Are not significant regulatory actions subject to review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011); • Are not Executive Order 13771 (82 FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory actions because SIP approvals are exempted under Executive Order 12866; • Do not impose an information collection burden under the provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.); • Are certified as not having a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.); • Do not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4); 2016. EPA may include an explanation describing this situation in 40 CFR 52.920(c), Table 2 if the Agency finalizes the changes proposed in this action. PO 00000 Frm 00037 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 • Do not have Federalism implications as specified in Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999); • Are not economically significant regulatory actions based on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997); • Are not significant regulatory actions subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001); • Are not subject to requirements of section 12(d) of the National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent with the CAA; and • Do not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994). The SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian reservation land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian country, the rule does not have tribal implications as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000), nor will it impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal law. List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52 Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Carbon moNOXide, Incorporation by Preference, Lead, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur oxides, Volatile organic compounds. Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq. Dated: May 6, 2019. Mary S. Walker, Acting Regional Administrator, Region 4. [FR Doc. 2019–10344 Filed 5–17–19; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 6560–50–P ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY 40 CFR Part 52 [EPA–R04–OAR–2018–0598; FRL–9993–83– Region 4] Air Plan Approval; NC: Revision to I/M Program & Update to Charlotte Maintenance Plan for the 2008 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ACTION: Proposed rule. AGENCY: E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve a State Implementation Plan (SIP) revision submitted by the State of North Carolina through a letter dated July 25, 2018, through the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ), Division of Air Quality (DAQ), primarily for the purpose of revising the model year coverage for vehicles in the 22 counties subject to North Carolina’s expanded inspection and maintenance (I/M) program, which was previously approved into the SIP, in part, for use as a component of the State’s Nitrogen Oxides (NOX) Budget and Allowance Trading Program. The SIP revision also includes a demonstration that the requested revision to the vehicle model year coverage will not interfere with attainment or maintenance of any national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS) or with any other applicable requirement of the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act). In addition, North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision updates the State’s maintenance plan and the associated motor vehicle emissions budgets (MVEBs) used for transportation conformity, for the North Carolina portion of the Charlotte-Rock Hill, NCSC 2008 8-hour ozone nonattainment area (hereafter referred to as the ‘‘Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area’’) to reflect the requested change in the vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program. EPA has evaluated whether this SIP revision would interfere with the requirements of the CAA, including EPA regulations related to statewide NOX emissions budgets. EPA is proposing to determine that North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision is consistent with the applicable provisions of the CAA. DATES: Written comments must be received on or before June 19, 2019. ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R04– OAR–2018–0598 at https:// www.regulations.gov. Follow the online instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. EPA may publish any comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. EPA will generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS SUMMARY: VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/ commenting-epa-dockets. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Kelly Sheckler, Air Regulatory Management Section, Air Planning and Implementation Branch, Air and Radiation Division (formerly the Air, Pesticides and Toxics Management Division), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 4, 61 Forsyth Street SW, Atlanta, Georgia 30303–8960. The telephone number is (404) 562– 9222. Ms. Sheckler can also be reached via electronic mail at sheckler.kelly@ epa.gov. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: I. What is Being Proposed? In response to a North Carolina legislative act signed by the Governor on May 4, 2017, that changed the State’s I/ M requirements for the 22 counties subject to the State’s expanded I/M program,1 DAQ provided a SIP revision through a letter dated July 25, 2018,2 seeking to have several of these changes incorporated into the North Carolina SIP. Primarily, North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision makes substantive changes to the applicability section of North Carolina’s SIP-approved expanded I/M program found within 15A North Carolina Administrative Code (NCAC) 02D .1000 (Motor Vehicle Emission Control Standard).3 Specifically, the July 25, 2018, SIP revision modifies Section .1002 by changing, for applicability purposes, the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M program from a specific year-based timeframe for coverage (i.e., beginning 1 Under provisions of the State legislation, Session Law 2017–10, Senate Bill 131, the changes to North Carolina’s I/M requirements for the 22 counties is not effective until the later of the following dates: October 1, 2017, or the first day of a month that is 60 days after the Secretary of the DEQ certifies that EPA has approved the SIP revision. The 22 counties are: Alamance, Buncombe, Cabarrus, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin, Gaston, Guilford, Iredell, Johnston, Lee, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, New Hanover, Onslow, Randolph, Rockingham, Rowan, Union and Wake. See clarification letter dated August 31, 2018, from North Carolina in the docket for this proposed rulemaking. 2 EPA received North Carolina’s SIP submittal on July 31, 2018. 3 In the table of North Carolina regulations federally-approved into the SIP at 40 CFR 52.1770(c), 15A NCAC 02D is referred to as ‘‘Subchapter 2D Air Pollution Control Requirements.’’ PO 00000 Frm 00038 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 22775 in 1996) to a rolling 20-year timeframe for coverage.4 More precisely, the revision being proposed changes the applicability of the expanded I/M program to: (i) A vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year and older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year and has 70,000 miles or more on its odometer. Previously, the program applied to: (i) A 1996 or later model year vehicle and older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a 1996 or later model year vehicle and has 70,000 miles or more on its odometer. It is estimated that this proposed change will result in a small increase (less than one percent) in nitrogen oxides (NOX) and volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions. Additionally, the July 25, 2018, SIP revision makes formatting or other minor clarifying changes to several related SIP-approved I/M sections: .1001 (Purpose), .1003 (Definitions), and .1005 (On-Board Diagnostic Standards).5 All of these proposed changes are discussed more fully in Section III below. A majority (14) of the 22 counties impacted by this proposed rulemaking were included in an expanded I/M program which was approved into the North Carolina SIP in 2002, for the sole purpose of using NOX emissions reductions generated by this expanded program as a component of the State’s NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program. See 67 FR 66056 (October 30, 2002). The purpose of the 2002 I/M SIP revision was to allow North Carolina to gain credits from the I/M emissions reductions from the expanded list of counties as part of its NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program. See 67 FR 66056. North Carolina’s NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program was 4 By its terms, Section .1002(d) makes the 22 counties identified in North Carolina General Statute 143–215.107A subject to the I/M program’s emission control standards. These same 22 counites are the counties currently subject to North Carolina’s SIP-approved I/M program which was expanded from 9 counties to 48 counties in 2002 (and is referred to as the ‘‘expanded’’ I/M program). See 83 FR 48383 (September 25, 2018) (removing 26 of the 48 counties from North Carolina’s SIPapproved expanded I/M program and leaving the 22 counties identified in footnote 1 above as remaining). In addition, changes to Section .1002 also include language making the effective date of the change to the vehicle model year coverage correspond to the effective date set out in North Carolina Session Law 2017–10 referred to in footnote 1 above (i.e., on the first day of the month that is 60 days after EPA approves the change into the SIP). 5 Sections .1006 and .1008 were also readopted without substantive changes. However, these rules are not in North Carolina’s SIP and North Carolina is not requesting that EPA approve these rules into the SIP. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS 22776 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules submitted to EPA for approval in response to EPA’s regulation entitled ‘‘Finding of Significant Contribution and Rulemaking for Certain States in the Ozone Transport Assessment Group Region for Purposes of Reducing Regional Transport of Ozone,’’ otherwise known as the NOX SIP Call. For the reasons discussed more fully in Section III, below, EPA is proposing to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage in Section .1002 for the 22 counties subject to North Carolina’s SIP-approved expanded I/M program will not interfere with North Carolina’s obligations under the NOX SIP Call. A number of federal rules and SIP-approved state regulations promulgated and implemented subsequent to the 2002 approval of North Carolina’s NOX SIP Call submission have created significant NOX emissions reductions in North Carolina such that the small increase in NOX emissions (and the associated small decrease in emissions reductions credits generated from the counties and available for use) does not impact the ability of North Carolina to meet its NOX SIP Call Statewide NOX emissions budget. North Carolina has provided an analysis which supports this proposed finding, and which discusses some of these federal rules and SIP-approved State regulations.6 In addition, North Carolina’s SIP revision evaluates the impact that the change to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties would have on the State’s ability to attain and maintain the NAAQS. The SIP revision contains a technical demonstration with revised emissions calculations showing that the change to Section .1002 for vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program in the 22 counties will not interfere with North Carolina’s attainment or maintenance of any NAAQS or with any other applicable requirement of the CAA. Based on this demonstration, EPA is proposing to find that North Carolina’s revised emissions calculations demonstrate that the change to the expanded I/M program for the 22 counties will not interfere with State’s ability to attain or maintain any NAAQS. With regard to the related expanded I/M program provisions at Sections .1001, .1002, and .1003, EPA is proposing to find that the changes to those Sections are formatting or clarifying in nature, do not alter the 6 See Letter from Michael A. Abraczinskas, Director of the Division of Air Quality for the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality, dated July 11, 2018. This letter is part of the Docket for this action. VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 meaning of the Sections, and are thus approvable. Finally, for 7 of the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program, I/M emissions from those counties have been relied on by North Carolina for maintenance of the ozone NAAQS for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. Through the July 25, 2018, SIP revision (the subject of this proposed rulemaking), North Carolina provides a maintenance demonstration for the Area that takes into account the small increase in NOX and VOC emissions estimated to result from the proposed change to the vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program for these counties. As discussed more fully in Sections III d. and e. below, EPA is proposing to find that, after taking into account these estimated small increases in NOX and VOC emissions, North Carolina has demonstrated continued maintenance for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area, and, thus, EPA is also proposing to approve the changes to the State’s maintenance plan and the associated MVEBs for this Area. II. What is the background of North Carolina’s SIP-approved I/M program? Under sections 182(b)(4), (c) and (d) of the CAA, I/M programs are required for areas that are designated as moderate or above for nonattainment for ozone. As a result, North Carolina has previously submitted, and EPA has previously approved into the SIP (in 1995), a CAA-required I/M program for nine counties.7 See 60 FR 28720 (June 2, 1995). Subsequently, North Carolina expanded its State I/M program to cover 39 additional counties in order to use credits from I/M emissions reductions from these additional counties as a component of the State’s response to EPA’s NOX SIP Call.8 The NOX SIP Call was designed to mitigate significant transport of NOX, one of the precursors of ozone. It required 19 states (including North Carolina) and the District of Columbia to meet statewide NOX emissions budgets during the five-month period from May 1 through September 30, called the ozone season (or control period). EPA approved the expansion of North Carolina’s SIP-approved I/M in 2002. 7 The nine counties are Cabarrus, Durham, Forsyth, Gaston, Guilford, Mecklenburg, Orange, Union and Wake. See 60 FR 28720 (June 2, 1995). However, while Orange County was included in this 1995 submittal and EPA approval, it was not designated as nonattainment for either the ozone or carbon monoxide (CO) NAAQS. 8 North Carolina Session Law 1999–328, Section 3.1(d) and Section 3.8. PO 00000 Frm 00039 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 Approval of the I/M revision into the SIP and the amended rules contained therein allowed North Carolina to gain emissions reduction credits ranging from 914 tons in 2004 to 4,385 tons in 2007 and beyond for use in its NOX emissions budget. These emissions reduction credits were used by the State at the beginning of the NOX emissions budget program to allow for new growth and to help meet the overall budget cap until the affected stationary sources could install and operate controls needed to meet their emissions allowances. See 67 FR 66056. For example, while these credits were primarily used to allow for new growth during initial program implementation, a small portion of the credits (approximately 1,000 tons per ozone season) were also initially used by North Carolina to help meet the Statewide NOX emissions budget of 165,022 tons per ozone season.9 See 67 FR 66056; 67 FR 42519, 42522 (June 24, 2002). EPA approved the expanded I/M program into the SIP on October 30, 2002 (67 FR 66056), and approved North Carolina’s NOX SIP Call submittal (i.e., the North Carolina NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program) on December 27, 2002. See 67 FR 78987. Subsequently, on September 15, 2018, EPA finalized a rulemaking which approved a SIP revision removing 26 counties from North Carolina’s SIPapproved expanded I/M program.10 See 83 FR 48383. The result of EPA’s 2018 final rulemaking is that 22 counties now remain subject to North Carolina’s SIPapproved expanded I/M program. III. What is EPA’s analysis of North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision? A. Changes for Sections .1001, .1003, and .1005 As mentioned above, North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision makes formatting or other minor clarifying changes to several related SIP-approved I/M sections: .1001 (Purpose), .1003 (Definitions), and .1005 (On-Board Diagnostic Standards). Below is a summary of these changes. • .1001—Purpose: Changes are formatting in nature. Specifically, North Carolina changes ‘‘inspection/ maintenance’’ to ‘‘inspection and maintenance’’, and also changes ‘‘law’’ to ‘‘law.’’ 9 North Carolina’s Statewide NO emissions X budget is found at 40 CFR 51.121(g)(2)(ii). 10 EPA also approved changes to North Carolina’s I/M SIP on November 20, 2014. See 79 FR 69051. Those changes repealed the regulations pertaining to the tail-pipe emissions test because this test was obsolete and replaced it with the on-board diagnostics emissions test. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS • .1003—Definitions: Changes are formatting in nature. Specifically, North Carolina changes ‘‘Rules’’ to ‘‘15A NCAC 2D’’ and removes ‘‘of the Section’’ in two places. North Carolina also changes ‘‘Three’’ to ‘‘three’’. • .1005—On-Board Diagnostic Standards: Changes are formatting in nature or minor clarifications that do not alter the meaning or effect of the rule. Specifically, North Carolina changes ‘‘Rules’’ to ‘‘15A NCAC 2D’’ and removes ‘‘of the Section’’ in one place. North Carolina also clarifies paragraphs (d) and (e) of this rule without making substantive changes. In summary, North Carolina changes paragraph (d) to read ‘‘Persons performing on-board diagnostics tests shall provide the Division of Air Quality the data required by 40 CFR 51.365, Data Collection; 40 CFR 51.366, Data Analysis and Reporting; and 40 CFR 51.358 Test Equipment.’’ from ‘‘Persons performing on-board diagnostic tests shall provide the Division of Air Quality data necessary to determine the effectiveness of the on-board diagnostic testing program. The data submitted shall be what is necessary to satisfy 51.358, Test Equipment.’’ Paragraph (e) is changed from ‘‘All reference to federal regulations include subsequent amendments and editions.’’ to ‘‘Federal regulations cited in this Rule are incorporated by reference, including subsequent amendments and editions.’’ EPA is proposing to approve the aforementioned changes to Sections .1001, .1003, and .1005 because they are formatting in nature or are minor clarifications that do not change the meaning or effect of these rules. B. Impact of Section .1002 Changes on the State’s NOX SIP Call Obligations For Section .1002, North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision seeks to change the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the North Carolina I/M program requirements contained in the SIP. North Carolina estimates that this change to the vehicle model year coverage will increase NOX emissions from the 22 counties by 311 tons per ozone season (See Table 2 below). As noted previously, a subset of the 22 counties (14 counties) were included in the expanded I/M program in order to generate emissions reduction credits for NOX, a small part of which were initially used by the State to meet its Statewide NOX emissions budget. Consequently, some portion of the 311 tons/ozone season NOX emissions increase necessarily results in fewer emissions reductions credit generated and available for use by the State to meet its Statewide NOX emissions VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 budget. However, while fewer emissions reduction credits from the expanded I/ M program may be available to North Carolina as a result of the small NOX emissions increase, EPA is proposing to find that any decrease in available emissions reductions credits from the expanded I/M program will not interfere with the State’s obligation under the NOX SIP Call with regards to meeting its Statewide NOX emissions budget. As discussed more fully below, EPA believes this is because, since 2002, significant NOX emissions reductions have otherwise been achieved in North Carolina from implementation of several federal and SIP-approved regulations. For purposes of meeting its Statewide NOX emissions budget, these significant NOX emissions reductions more than offset any small decrease in available emissions reduction credits due to the change to the vehicle model year coverage. Subsequent to the NOX SIP Call and the 2002 approval of North Carolina’s NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program, a number of federal rules, as well as SIP-approved state regulations have created significant NOX emissions reductions in North Carolina (including ozone season reductions). For stationary sources, including large electricity generating units (EGUs), these federal rules include the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) in 2005 11 and its replacement in 2011, the Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR).12 In addition, federal mobile source-related measures 11 CAIR created regional cap-and-trade programs to reduce SO2 and NOX emissions in 27 eastern states, including North Carolina, that contributed to downwind nonattainment or interfered with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS or the 1997 fine particulate matter (PM2.5) NAAQS. CAIR was challenged in federal court and in 2008, the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia (D.C. Circuit) remanded CAIR to EPA without vacatur. North Carolina v. EPA, 550 F.3rd 1176, 1178 (D.C. Cir. 2008). 12 In response to the D.C. Circuit’s remand of CAIR, EPA promulgated CSAPR to replace CAIR. CSAPR requires 28 eastern states, including North Carolina, to limit their statewide emissions of SO2 and NOX in order to mitigate transported air pollution impacting other states’ ability to attain or maintain four NAAQS: The 1997 ozone NAAQS, the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS, the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS, and the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS. The CSAPR emissions limitations are defined in terms of maximum statewide ‘‘budgets’’ for emissions of annual SO2 and NOX, and/or ozone-season NOX by each covered state’s large EGUs. The CSAPR state budgets are implemented in two phases of generally increasing stringency, with Phase I budgets applying to emissions in 2015 and 2016 and the Phase 2 budgets applying to emissions in 2017 and later years. CSAPR was challenged in the D.C. Circuit, and on August 12, 2012, it was vacated and remanded to EPA. The vacatur was subsequently reversed by the United States Supreme Court on April 29, 2014. EPA v. EME Homer City Generation, L.P., 134 S.Ct. 1584 (2014). This litigation ultimately delayed implementation of CSAPR for three years. PO 00000 Frm 00040 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 22777 include: The Tier 2 vehicle and fuel standards; 13 nonroad spark ignition engines and recreational engine standards; heavy-duty gasoline and diesel highway vehicle standards; 14 and large nonroad diesel engine standards.15 These mobile source measures have resulted in, and continue to result in, large reductions in NOX emissions over time due to fleet turnover (i.e., the replacement of older vehicles that predate the standards with newer vehicles that meet the standards). In 2002, North Carolina also enacted and subsequently implemented its Clean Smokestacks Act (CSA), which created system-wide annual emissions caps on actual emissions of NOX and sulfur dioxide (SO2) from coal-fired power plants within the State, the first of which became effective in 2007. The CSA required certain coal-fired power plants in North Carolina to significantly reduce annual NOX emissions by 189,000 tons (or 77 percent) by 2009 (using a 1998 baseline year). This represented about a one-third reduction of the NOX emissions from all sources in North Carolina. See 76 FR 36468, 36470 (June 11, 2011).16 With the requirement to meet annual emissions caps and disallowing the purchase of NOX credits to meet the caps, the CSA reduced NOX emissions beyond the requirements of the NOX SIP Call even though the Act did not limit emissions only during the ozone season. EPA approved the CSA into North Carolina’s SIP on September 26, 2011 (76 FR 59250). Together, implementation of these federal rules and SIP-approved State regulations have created significant NOX emissions reductions since North Carolina’s NOX emissions budget was approved into the SIP in 2002, and for EGUs, have significantly reduced ozone season NOX emissions well below the original NOX SIP Call budget. This last point is illustrated in Table 1, which 13 The Tier 2 standards, begun in 2004, continue to significantly reduce NOX emissions and EPA expects that these standards will reduce NOX emissions from vehicles by approximately 74 percent by 2030 (or nearly 3 million tons annually by 2030). See 80 FR 44873, 44876 (July 28, 2015) (citing EPA, Regulatory Announcement, EPA 420– F–99–051 (December 1999)). 14 Also begun in 2004, implementation of this rule is expected to achieve a 95 percent reduction in NOX emissions from diesel trucks and buses by 2030. See 80 FR 44873, 44876 (July 28, 2015). 15 EPA estimated that compliance with this rule will cut NOX emissions from non-road diesel engines by up to 90 percent nationwide. See 80 FR 44873, 44876 (July 28, 2015). 16 North Carolina indicates that the utilities have reduced NOX emissions by 83 percent relative to the 1998 emissions levels. See Letter from Michael A. Abraczinskas, Director of the Division of Air Quality for the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality, dated July 11, 2018. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22778 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules compares the EGU NOX SIP Call budget to actual emissions in 2007 and 2017. Actual EGU emissions in 2007 and 2017 were 23 percent (7,274 tons) and 60 percent (18,906 tons) below the NOX SIP Call budget for EGUs, respectively. Notably, the entirety of the emissions reduction credits from the I/M program (and used by the State in its NOX emissions budget) only totaled 4,385 tons, of which approximately 1,000 tons was initially needed to meet the overall budget. khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS TABLE 1—COMPARISON OF OZONE SEASON NOX SIP CALL BUDGET TO ACTUAL EMISSIONS FOR EGUS TABLE 2—IMPACT OF INCREASES DUE CHANGES TO I/M EGU REDUCTIONS CALL I/M CREDITS NOX EMISSIONS TO PROPOSED PROGRAM ON AND NOX SIP I/M emissions increase in 2018, tons 26 Counties ................................ 22 Counties ................................ 48 County Total I/M Increase ..... EGU Reduction in 2017 (from Table 1) ................................... Net EGU Reduction in 2017 including I/M Increase ................ NOX emissions 611 311 922 18,906 17,984 Considering the above, EPA is proposing to find that North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision to change the 2017 2017 vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M NOX SIP Call Budget, Tons 17 .......................... 31,451 31,451 program contained in its SIP (which Actual Emissions, Tons .... 24,177 12,545 results in a small increase in NOX Below Budget, Tons ......... 7,274 18,906 emissions and consequentially a small Below Budget, Percent ..... 23 60 decrease in the amount of emissions reduction credits generated and available for use in the State’s NOX Table 2 compares the impact of the emissions budget) will not interfere estimated ozone season NOX emissions increases due to the proposed change to with the State’s obligations under the NOX SIP Call to meet its Statewide NOX the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties on EGU reductions and NOX emissions budget. Subsequent promulgation and implementation of a SIP Call I/M reduction credits. Using number of federal rules and SIPEPA’s Motor Vehicle Emission approved state regulations, and in Simulator (MOVES2014), DAQ particular those impacting EGUs, have estimated that changes to the vehicle created significant NOX emissions model year coverage in the 22 counties reductions in the State that are more will increase ozone season NOX than sufficient, for purposes of meeting emissions by 311 tons. As noted above, the Statewide NOX emissions budget, to in 2017, EGU emissions were 18,906 offset this small decrease in available tons (60 percent) below the NOX SIP emissions reduction credits. Call budget for EGUs. The estimated 311 C. Overall Preliminary Conclusions tons NOX increase from the proposed Regarding North Carolina’s change to the vehicle model year Noninterference Analyses coverage in the 22 counties combined with the estimated 611 tons increase in Section 110(l) of the CAA requires NOX emissions from the removal of 26 that a revision to the SIP not interfere counties from the expanded I/M with any applicable requirement concerning attainment and reasonable program (which EPA previously approved in a separate action published further progress (as defined in section on September 25, 2018) would lower the 171), or any other applicable EGU reduction by less than 5 percent to requirement of the CAA. EPA evaluates section 110(l) noninterference 17,984 tons below the NOX SIP Call demonstrations on a case-by-case basis budget for EGUs. Thus, based on this considering the circumstances of each EGU-focused analysis, DAQ concludes SIP revision. EPA interprets section that the small ozone season NOX 110(l) as applying to all NAAQS that are emissions increase associated with the in effect, including those that have been proposed change to the vehicle model year coverage in the 22 counties subject promulgated but for which EPA has not yet made designations. The degree of to North Carolina’s expanded I/M analysis focused on any NAAQS in a program has no impact on North noninterference demonstration varies Carolina’s obligations under the NOX depending on the nature of the SIP Call to meet its Statewide NOX emissions associated with the proposed emissions budget. SIP revision. For I/M SIP revisions, the most relevant pollutants to consider are 17 From EPA’s proposed approval of North ozone precursors (i.e., NOx and VOC) Carolina’s NOX SIP Call submission. See 67 FR and carbon monoxide (CO). In 42519 (June 24, 2002). VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 PO 00000 Frm 00041 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 connection with North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State submitted a non-interference demonstration which EPA analyzes below. As mentioned above, in a letter dated July 25, 2018, DAQ submitted a noninterference demonstration to support the State’s request to change the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M program to: (i) a vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year and older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year and has 70,000 miles or more on its odometer. This demonstration includes an evaluation of the impact that this change would have on North Carolina’s ability to attain or maintain any NAAQS in the State. Based on the analysis below, EPA is proposing to find that the change in vehicle model year coverage in the 22 counties subject to the North Carolina expanded I/M program meets the requirements of CAA section 110(l) and will not interfere with attainment or maintenance of any NAAQS in North Carolina.18 i. Noninterference Analysis for the Ozone NAAQS On July 18, 1997, EPA promulgated a revised 8-hour ozone standard of 0.08 parts per million (ppm). This standard was more stringent than the 1-hour ozone standard that was promulgated in 1979. On March 12, 2008, EPA revised both the primary and secondary NAAQS for ozone to a level of 0.075 ppm to provide increased protection of public health and the environment. See 73 FR 16436 (March 27, 2008). The 2008 8hour ozone NAAQS retains the same 18 EPA also notes, as a transport-related matter, that on October 26, 2016, the Agency determined through the CSAPR Update (see 81 FR 74504) that North Carolina did not contribute to nonattainment or maintenance issues in downwind states for the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS. The 2016 CSAPR Update provides technical and related analysis to assist states with meeting the good neighbor requirements of the CAA for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. Specifically, the CSAPR Update includes projection modeling to determine whether individual states contribute significantly or not to nonattainment or maintenance in other states. On December 9, 2015, North Carolina provided a SIP revision addressing ozone transport requirements for the 2008 8-hour ozone standards and made the determination that the State did not contribute to nonattainment or maintenance issues in any other state. EPA approved North Carolina’s submission on October 4, 2017, with the consideration of EPA’s modeling conducted for the CSAPR Update. See 82 FR 46134. Also, most recently, EPA conducted modeling for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. That modeling preliminarily indicates that North Carolina does not contribute to nonattainment or interfere with maintenance issues in any other state for that standard. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22779 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules general form and averaging time as the 0.08 ppm NAAQS set in 1997, but is set at a more protective level. Under EPA’s regulations at 40 CFR part 50, the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS is attained when the 3-year average of the annual fourth highest daily maximum 8-hour average ambient air quality ozone concentrations is less than or equal to 0.075 ppm. See 40 CFR 50.15. On October 26, 2015, EPA published a final rule lowering the level of the 8-hour ozone NAAQS to 0.070 ppm. See 80 FR 65292. North Carolina is currently in attainment statewide for all of the ozone NAAQS.19 Most recently, on November 6, 2017, EPA designated the entire state of North Carolina attainment/ unclassifiable for the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS. See 82 FR 54232. With regard to the I/M SIP revision, thirteen of the 22 counties where vehicle model year coverage is being revised have ozone monitors. The monitors reflect design values in part per billion (ppb) that meet or are below the 2015 8-hour ozone NAAQS of 70 ppb (see Table 3). TABLE 3—DESIGN VALUES FOR COUNTIES WITH OZONE MONITORS Counties Subject to I/M Program Requirement and Vehicle MY Coverage Change That Have Ozone Monitors Ozone Design Value, ppb (2015 8-hr ozone NAAQS is 70 ppb) 2014–2016 khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS Buncombe ................................................................................................................................................................ Durham .................................................................................................................................................................... Forsyth ..................................................................................................................................................................... Guilford .................................................................................................................................................................... Johnston .................................................................................................................................................................. Lee ........................................................................................................................................................................... Lincoln ...................................................................................................................................................................... Mecklenburg ............................................................................................................................................................ New Hanover ........................................................................................................................................................... Rockingham ............................................................................................................................................................. Rowan ...................................................................................................................................................................... Union ........................................................................................................................................................................ Wake ........................................................................................................................................................................ 63 62 68 65 65 62 67 70 60 66 65 68 65 2015–2017 62 61 67 65 63 61 67 70 58 65 64 67 66 DAQ’s noninterference analysis compared ozone season day anthropogenic NOx and VOC emissions for all sectors (point, area, nonroad, on road) for 2018 for the 22 counties subject to North Carolina’s expanded I/ M program and compared them to the emissions for all sectors because of the changing of the vehicle model year coverage. As mentioned above, the vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program is currently: (i) A 1996 or later model year vehicle and older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a 1996 or later model year vehicle and has an odometer reading of 70,000 miles or more. The proposed vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program is: (i) A vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year and older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year and has an odometer reading of 70,000 miles or more. For purposes of Tables 4 and 5, the columns titled ‘‘I/M’’, reflect the current vehicle model year coverage as defined above, and the columns titled ‘‘New I/M’’, reflect the proposed revision to the vehicle model year coverage as defined above. DAQ’s noninterference analysis utilized EPA’s MOVES2014 emission modeling system to estimate emissions for mobile sources. For 2018, the NOx emissions increase resulting from the North Carolina expanded I/M program will be 0.24 tons per day (tpd) or less in each of the 22 counties for which the vehicle model year coverage is being changed. As summarized in Tables 4 and 5, below, the MOVES model predicted emission increases for only on-road vehicles. The results for 2018 show a slight increase in anthropogenic NOx emissions for each county, as shown in Table 4, ranging from 0.02 to 0.24 tpd. The percent increase in total NOx emissions for a county ranges from 0.3 percent to 1.5 percent. The total increase in NOx emissions associated with the vehicle model year coverage change in 2018 for the 22 counties subject to this change is 2.02 tpd 20 or 0.94 percent of total man-made emissions (260.95 tpd). As noted above, DAQ’s noninterference analysis utilized EPA’s MOVES2014 emission modeling system to estimate emissions for mobile sources. The year 2018 was modeled as the future year. The compliance rate for the expanded I/M program in North Carolina was 96 percent with a 5 percent waiver rate. These mobile source emissions are used as part of the evaluation of the potential impacts to the NAAQS that might result exclusively from changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the North Carolina expanded I/M program. 19 The Charlotte Area was redesignated to attainment for the 1-hour ozone standard on July 5, 1995 (60 FR 34859); redesignated to attainment for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard on December 2, 2013 (78 FR 72036); and was designated to attainment for the 2008 8-hour ozone standard on July 28, 2015 (80 FR 44873). In addition, on December 26, 2007, EPA approved the redesignation to attainment of the Raleigh-DurhamChapel Hill Area (comprised of a portion of Chatham County, and the entire counties of Durham, Franklin, Johnston, Orange, Person, and Wake) for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. See 72 FR 72948. This approval included approval of a 10year maintenance plan which demonstrated that the Area would maintain the standard through the year 2017. The Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill Area has continued to maintain the 1997 8-hour ozone standard and subsequently was designated as unclassifiable/attainment for the 2008 8-hour ozone standard on December 26, 2007 (72 FR 72948) and attainment/unclassifiable for the 2015 8-hour ozone standard on November 16, 2017 (82 FR 54232). Further, counties in the Raleigh Area and Greensboro Area were redesignated to attainment for the 1-hour ozone standard on April 18, 1994 (59 FR 18300) and on September 9, 1993 (58 FR 47391), respectively. With regard to the 1997 8-hour ozone standard, the Great Smoky National Park Area was redesignated to attainment on December 7, 2009 (74 FR 63995), and the Rocky Mount Area was redesignated to attainment on November 6, 2006 (71 FR 64891). 20 2.02 tpd multiplied by 154 days in the ozone season equals 311 tons per ozone season. VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 PO 00000 Frm 00042 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22780 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules TABLE 4—TOTAL ANTHROPOGENIC NOX EMISSIONS FOR 2018 FOR 22 COUNTIES [tpd] On-road Counties I/M New Non-road Emission increase Point New I/M I/M I/M Area New I/M Totals New I/M I/M I/M Emissions increase New I/M Percent increase Alamance .................................. Buncombe ................................. Cabarrus ................................... Cumberland ............................... Davidson ................................... Durham ..................................... Forsyth ...................................... Franklin ..................................... Gaston ....................................... Guilford ...................................... Iredell ........................................ Johnston .................................... Lee ............................................ Lincoln ....................................... Mecklenburg .............................. New Hanover ............................ Onslow ...................................... Randolph ................................... Rockingham .............................. Rowan ....................................... Union ......................................... Wake ......................................... 3.69 5.54 3.75 5.45 4.12 4.69 5.68 1.33 4.63 8.43 5.09 6.37 1.29 1.98 13.40 2.44 2.78 3.92 2.60 3.68 3.62 12.39 3.77 5.65 3.82 5.55 4.21 4.79 5.80 1.36 4.72 8.60 5.17 6.45 1.31 2.02 13.64 2.49 2.83 4.00 2.67 3.76 3.69 12.59 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.03 0.09 0.17 0.08 0.08 0.02 0.04 0.24 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.20 1.09 1.71 1.48 2.69 1.52 2.39 2.03 0.36 1.49 4.95 1.35 2.09 0.59 0.65 9.92 3.47 0.96 0.91 0.89 1.29 2.70 7.15 1.09 1.71 1.48 2.69 1.52 2.39 2.03 0.36 1.49 4.95 1.35 2.09 0.59 0.65 9.92 3.47 0.96 0.91 0.89 1.29 2.70 7.15 0.45 4.01 0.85 1.08 3.28 0.87 1.96 0.08 25.13 1.79 5.44 0.32 0.18 0.67 9.25 3.76 1.54 0.17 7.71 5.94 0.34 2.89 0.45 4.01 0.85 1.08 3.28 0.87 1.96 0.08 25.13 1.79 5.44 0.32 0.18 0.67 9.25 3.76 1.54 0.17 7.71 5.94 0.34 2.89 0.59 1.47 0.45 0.61 0.41 1.02 1.20 0.21 0.58 2.12 0.58 0.47 0.18 0.18 5.37 0.70 0.76 0.41 0.31 0.43 0.57 4.02 0.59 1.47 0.45 0.61 0.41 1.02 1.20 0.21 0.58 2.12 0.58 0.47 0.18 0.18 5.37 0.70 0.76 0.41 0.31 0.43 0.57 4.02 5.82 12.73 6.53 9.83 9.33 8.97 10.87 1.98 31.83 17.29 12.46 9.25 2.24 3.48 37.94 10.37 6.04 5.41 11.51 11.34 7.23 26.45 5.90 12.84 6.60 9.93 9.42 9.07 10.99 2.01 31.92 17.46 12.54 9.33 2.26 3.52 38.18 10.42 6.09 5.49 11.58 11.42 7.30 26.65 0.08 0.11 0.07 0.10 0.09 0.10 0.12 0.03 0.09 0.17 0.08 0.08 0.02 0.04 0.24 0.05 0.05 0.08 0.07 0.08 0.07 0.20 1.4 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.5 0.3 1.0 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 Total ................................... 106.87 108.89 2.02 51.68 51.68 77.71 77.71 22.64 22.64 258.9 260.92 2.02 0.94 TABLE 5—TOTAL ANTHROPOGENIC VOC EMISSIONS FOR 2018 FOR 22 COUNTIES [tpd] On-road Counties khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS I/M New Non-road Emission increase I/M Point New I/M I/M Area New I/M Totals New I/M I/M I/M New I/M Emissions increase Percent increase Alamance .................................. Buncombe ................................. Cabarrus ................................... Cumberland ............................... Davidson ................................... Durham ..................................... Forsyth ...................................... Franklin ..................................... Gaston ....................................... Guilford ...................................... Iredell ........................................ Johnston .................................... Lee ............................................ Lincoln ....................................... Mecklenburg .............................. New Hanover ............................ Onslow ...................................... Randolph ................................... Rockingham .............................. Rowan ....................................... Union ......................................... Wake ......................................... 2.60 3.92 2.74 3.90 3.05 3.24 4.44 1.01 3.20 6.14 3.11 3.08 0.98 1.51 9.90 2.21 2.04 2.74 1.94 2.63 2.78 9.66 2.66 4.01 2.80 3.98 3.12 3.31 4.54 1.04 3.28 6.28 3.17 3.14 1.00 1.54 10.07 2.25 2.08 2.81 1.99 2.69 2.83 9.81 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.03 0.08 0.14 0.06 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.17 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.15 1.37 2.95 1.14 1.98 0.98 2.03 2.02 0.35 1.18 4.54 1.10 1.27 0.36 0.57 10.52 2.10 1.83 0.97 0.75 1.10 2.13 7.66 1.37 2.95 1.14 1.98 0.98 2.03 2.02 0.35 1.18 4.54 1.10 1.27 0.36 0.57 10.52 2.10 1.83 0.97 0.75 1.10 2.13 7.66 1.41 1.49 0.74 2.24 1.29 0.43 4.01 0.18 1.45 7.42 1.76 1.45 1.29 1.22 1.83 1.10 0.70 1.58 2.20 5.48 1.03 1.94 1.41 1.49 0.74 2.24 1.29 0.43 4.01 0.18 1.45 7.42 1.76 1.45 1.29 1.22 1.83 1.10 0.70 1.58 2.20 5.48 1.03 1.94 4.76 8.07 4.58 6.97 5.74 6.95 9.05 2.00 5.89 15.96 5.66 5.88 1.96 2.29 22.69 6.15 4.69 7.10 4.71 3.91 6.35 22.27 4.76 8.07 4.58 6.97 5.74 6.95 9.05 2.00 5.89 15.96 5.66 5.88 1.96 2.29 22.69 6.15 4.69 7.10 4.71 3.91 6.35 22.27 10.14 16.43 9.20 15.09 11.06 12.65 19.52 3.54 11.72 34.06 11.63 11.68 4.59 5.59 44.94 11.56 9.26 12.39 9.60 13.12 12.29 41.53 10.20 16.52 9.26 15.17 11.13 12.72 19.62 3.57 11.80 34.20 11.69 11.74 4.61 5.62 45.11 11.60 9.30 12.46 9.65 13.18 12.34 41.68 0.06 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.07 0.07 0.10 0.03 0.08 0.14 0.06 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.17 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.06 0.05 0.15 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 Total ................................... 76.82 78.4 1.58 48.9 48.9 42.24 42.24 163.63 163.63 331.59 333.17 1.58 0.5 The results in Table 5 show that changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M program increases anthropogenic VOC emissions for only on-road vehicles ranging from 0.02 tpd to 0.17 tpd. The percent increase in total VOC emissions for each county ranges from 0.3 percent to 0.8 percent. The VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 total increase in VOC emissions associated with changing the vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/ M program in the year 2018 is approximately 1.6 tpd or 0.5 percent of the total man-made emissions (333 tpd).21 21 When biogenic VOC emissions from natural sources (average of 1,973 tpd during July using PO 00000 Frm 00043 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 As shown in Table 6 below, total NOX and VOC emissions would increase 2.0 EPA’s 2011 National Emissions Inventory (NEI v2)) are added to the man-made emissions (333 tpd), the actual VOC emissions increase is only 0.07 percent (1.6/2,305 tpd × 100). This is a very small change that EPA believes will not translate into measurable ground-level ozone concentrations in North Carolina. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules 22781 tpd (0.8 percent) and 1.6 tpd (0.5 percent), respectively. TABLE 6—SUMMARY OF ON-ROAD NOX AND VOC EMISSIONS INCREASES ASSOCIATED WITH CHANGING VEHICLE MY COVERAGE IN 22 COUNTIES SUBJECT TO THE I/M PROGRAM NOX emissions in 2018 VOC emissions in 2018 106.9 108.9 2.0 1.9 0.8 76.8 78.4 1.6 2.1 0.5 Total On-Road Emissions with Current I/M Program (tpd) ................................................................................. Total On-Road Emissions with Revised I/M Program (tpd) ................................................................................ Emissions Increases (tpd) ................................................................................................................................... Percent Increase: On-road only .......................................................................................................................... Percent Increase: Total anthropogenic ............................................................................................................... North Carolina’s emissions analysis, as reflected in Tables 4, 5, and 6, above, indicate that only a very small increase in NOX and VOC emissions (less than one percent overall) is associated with changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M program. Based on this, as well as the design values shown in Table 3, above, and EPA’s further analysis specific to ozone in relation to the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area as described in section d below, EPA is proposing to find that changing the vehicle model year coverage from a specific year-based date (1996) to a rolling 20-year timeframe for the 22 counties subject to the North Carolina expanded I/M program requirements would not interfere with maintenance of the ozone NAAQS in the State. khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS ii. Noninterference Analysis for the PM NAAQS Over the course of several years, EPA has reviewed and revised the PM2.5 NAAQS a number of times. On July 16, 1997, EPA established an annual PM2.5 NAAQS of 15.0 micrograms per cubic meter (mg/m3), based on a 3-year average of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations, and a 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS of 65 mg/ m3, based on a 3-year average of the 98th percentile of 24-hour concentrations. See 62 FR 36852 (July 18, 1997). On September 21, 2006, EPA retained the 1997 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS of 15.0 mg/m3 but revised the 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS to 35 mg/m3, based again on a 3-year average of the 98th percentile of 24-hour concentrations. See 71 FR 61144 (October 17, 2006). On December 14, 2012, EPA retained the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 mg/m3 but revised the annual primary PM2.5 NAAQS to 12.0 mg/m3, based again on a 3-year average of annual mean PM2.5 concentrations. See 78 FR 3086 (January 15, 2013). EPA promulgated designations for the 1997 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS on January 5, 2005 (70 FR 944), and April 14, 2005 (70 FR 19844). Of the 22 counties VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 subject to this rulemaking, Catawba, Davidson and Guilford counties were designated nonattainment for the 1997 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS. These areas have since been redesignated to attainment for the 1997 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS and continue to attain this NAAQS. See 76 FR 71452 and 76 FR 71455 (November 18, 2011). On November 13, 2009, and on January 15, 2015, EPA published notices determining that the entire state of North Carolina was unclassifiable/ attainment for the 2006 daily PM2.5 NAAQS and the 2012 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS, respectively. See 71 FR 61144 and 78 FR 3086. In North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State concluded that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with attainment or maintenance of the PM2.5 NAAQS. The pollution control systems for light-duty gasoline vehicles subject to the expanded I/M program are not designed to reduce emissions for PM2.5; therefore, changing the I/M requirements will not have any impact on ambient concentrations of PM2.5. In addition, MOVES2014 modeling results indicate that changing the vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program would not increase direct PM2.5 emissions. EPA has evaluated the State’s analysis and proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with maintenance of the PM2.5 NAAQS in the State. iii. Noninterference Analysis for the 2010 NO2 NAAQS The 2010 NO2 1-hour standard is set at 100 ppb, based on the 3-year average of the 98th percentile of the yearly distribution of 1-hour daily maximum concentrations. The annual standard of 53 ppb is based on the annual mean concentration. On February 17, 2012, EPA designated all counties in North PO 00000 Frm 00044 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 Carolina as unclassifiable/attainment for the 2010 NO2 NAAQS. See 77 FR 9532. Based on the technical analysis in North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the projected increase in total anthropogenic NOX emissions (of which NO2 is a component) associated with the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program ranges from 0.08 to 0.25 tpd in 2018. All NO2 monitors in the State are measuring below the annual NO2 standard, and all near road monitors are measuring well below the 1-hour NO2 standard. Given the current unclassifiable/attainment designation and the results of North Carolina’s emissions analysis which show a de minimis increase in NOX, EPA proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 NO2 NAAQS in the State. iv. Noninterference Analysis for the CO NAAQS EPA promulgated the CO NAAQS in 1971 and has retained the standards since its last review in 2011. The primary NAAQS for CO include: (1) An 8-hour standard of 9.0 ppm, measured using the annual second highest 8-hour concentration for two consecutive years as the design value; and (2) a 1-hour average of 35 ppm, using the second highest 1-hour average within a given year. Eighteen of the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program have never been designated nonattainment for the CO NAAQS. Durham, Forsyth, Mecklenburg and Wake counties were all previously designed nonattainment for the CO NAAQS over 20 years ago and have since been redesignated to attainment. Currently, there are two monitors in North Carolina for CO. These monitors are in Mecklenburg and Wake Counties and reflect design values well below both the 8-hour and 1-hour CO NAAQS. The monitoring data in 2017 show an 8- E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22782 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules hour design value of 1.3 ppm for the Charlotte Area and 1.2 ppm for the Raleigh-Durham Area—each less than the 9.0 ppm CO NAAQS. For the 1-hour CO NAAQS of 35 ppm, these two monitors have a 1-hour design value of 1.5 ppm for the Charlotte Area and 1.6 ppm for Raleigh-Durham Area in 2017. In North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State concluded that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with attainment or maintenance of the CO NAAQS. MOVES2014 mobile emissions modeling results show a slight increase in CO emissions for each of the 22 counties ranging from 0.21 tpd in Franklin County to 1.85 tpd in Mecklenburg County in 2018. Statewide, the current ambient air quality levels for CO are less than 20 percent of the CO NAAQS. Given how far below the monitoring results are relative to the CO standard, and North Carolina’s sustained compliance with the CO NAAQS, EPA does not believe that these slight increases would cause any area in the State to violate the CO NAAQS. For these reasons, EPA proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with maintenance of the CO NAAQS in the State. khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS v. Noninterference Analysis for the SO2 NAAQS On June 22, 2010, EPA revised the 1hour SO2 NAAQS to 75 ppb which became effective on August 23, 2010. See 75 FR 35520. On August 5, 2013, EPA initially designated nonattainment only in areas with violating 2009–2011 monitoring data. EPA did not designate any county in North Carolina for the 2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS as part of the initial designation. See 78 FR 47191. On March 2, 2015, a Consent Decree was issued by the United States District Court for the Northern District of California stipulating the time and method for designating the remaining areas in the Country.22 For North Carolina, EPA designated the entire state attainment/unclassifiable for SO2 (pursuant to a consent decree) on December 21, 2017 (effective April 9, 2018 https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/ 22 Copy of the Consent Decree—https:// www.epa.gov/so2designations/pdfs/201503Final CourtOrder.pdf. VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 FR-2018-01-09/pdf/2017-28423.pdf), except for the following townships/ counties: Beaverdam Township (Haywood County); Limestone Township (Buncombe County); and Cunningham Township (Person County). Counties listed above deployed monitors which EPA intends to designate by December 2020. Also, a portion of Brunswick County was designated unclassifiable effective in August 2016. Based on the technical analysis in North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State concluded that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with attainment or maintenance of the SO2 NAAQS. The pollution control systems for light-duty gasoline vehicles subject to the expanded I/M program are not designed to reduce emissions for SO2; therefore, changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program will not have any impact on ambient concentrations of SO2. In addition, sulfur content in fuel has been significantly decreased through EPA’s Tier 2 and Tier 3 rulemakings which tightened engine standards and required fuel formulations contain reduced levels of sulfur. See 65 FR 6698 (February 10, 2000) and 81 FR 23641 (April 22, 2016). MOVES2014 modeling results indicate that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not increase SO2 emissions. For these reasons, EPA proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 SO2 NAAQS in the State. vi. Noninterference Analysis for 2008 Lead NAAQS On November 12, 2008 (73 FR 66964), EPA promulgated a revised primary and secondary lead NAAQS of 0.15 mg/m3. Under EPA’s regulations at 40 CFR part 50, the 2008 lead NAAQS are met when the maximum arithmetic 3-month mean concentration for a 3-year period, as determined in accordance with Appendix R of 40 CFR part 50, is less than or equal to 0.15 mg/m3. See 40 CFR 50.16. On November 8, 2011, EPA designated the entire State of North Carolina as unclassifiable/attainment for that NAAQS. See 76 FR 72907. North PO 00000 Frm 00045 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 Carolina’s ambient lead levels have remained well below the standard. The pollution control systems for light-duty gasoline vehicles subject to the I/M program are not designed to reduce emissions for lead; therefore, changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program will not have any impact on ambient concentrations of lead. MOVES 2014 modeling results indicate that this change would not increase lead emissions. For these reasons, EPA proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program would not interfere with maintenance of the 2008 lead NAAQS in the State. D. Revision to the 2008 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS Maintenance Plan for the North Carolina Portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area In its July 25, 2018, SIP revision, North Carolina updated the mobile emissions for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area’s plan, including the MVEBs, to reflect the change to the vehicle model year coverage in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program. The emissions inventory updates were done using the latest planning assumptions and are detailed on pages 31–42 of the State’s submittal titled ‘‘Revised Maintenance Plan for the CharlotteGastonia-Salisbury, North Carolina 2008 8-Hour Ozone Marginal Nonattainment Area,’’ dated July 25, 2018, which is included in the docket for this proposed rulemaking. North Carolina revised the emissions forecasts and the MVEBs for 2026 to account for the small increase in NOX and VOC emissions associated with the change in vehicle model year coverage for the relevant counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program. The total sum of the man-made VOC and NOX emissions for the North Carolina portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area are shown in Tables 7 and 8. Maintenance is demonstrated when the emissions are less than the baseline year. The baseline year is 2014. As shown in Table 7, for NOX, all the years are under the baseline of 130.18 tons per summer day (tpsd), with the final year of 2026 emissions at 60.28 tpsd. Additionally, as shown in Table 8, for VOC, all years are under the baseline of 113.12 tpsd, with the final year of 2026 emissions at 95.99 tpsd. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22783 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules TABLE 7—TOTAL MAN-MADE NOX EMISSIONS FOR NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF THE CHARLOTTE MAINTENANCE AREA [tpsd] County 2014 2015 2018 2022 2026 Cabarrus .............................................................................. Gaston .................................................................................. Iredell ................................................................................... Lincoln .................................................................................. Mecklenburg ......................................................................... Rowan .................................................................................. Union .................................................................................... 11.49 27.89 6.86 4.36 56.71 11.74 11.13 10.73 27.62 6.49 4.71 52.97 11.31 10.36 6.73 12.03 5.41 6.41 39.16 8.28 6.63 5.44 6.41 4.68 4.29 33.52 7.01 5.09 4.44 7.87 4.16 2.34 31.33 6.10 4.05 Total .............................................................................. 130.18 124.19 84.69 66.44 60.28 TABLE 8—TOTAL MAN-MADE VOC EMISSIONS FOR NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF THE CHARLOTTE MAINTENANCE AREA [tpsd] County 2014 2015 2018 2022 2026 Cabarrus .............................................................................. Gaston .................................................................................. Iredell ................................................................................... Lincoln .................................................................................. Mecklenburg ......................................................................... Rowan .................................................................................. Union .................................................................................... 11.50 12.96 6.33 6.55 50.10 12.59 13.09 11.27 12.74 6.22 6.47 49.16 12.38 12.85 9.51 11.53 5.29 4.81 45.31 12.47 10.91 9.23 10.94 5.11 4.66 44.47 12.19 10.68 9.02 10.74 4.97 4.51 31.33 6.10 4.05 Total .............................................................................. 113.12 111.09 99.82 97.28 95.99 and consequently updates the MVEBs for transportation conformity. For transportation conformity purposes, the MVEBs in North Carolina are expressed in kilograms per summer day (kpsd). This is because the kpsd is used as the specific unit for all MOVES2014 model outputs. The emission values in kpsd were divided by 907.1847 to convert them to units of tpsd. Table 9 shows the highway mobile NOX and VOC summer day emissions for the counties in the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area expressed in tpsd and the corresponding kpsd values for the base year 2014 and the last year of the maintenance plan 2026. Table 10 shows the maintenance level projections and the calculation of the safety margin for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area for the 2008 8-hour ozone standard in its redesignation and maintenance SIP. EPA approved these MVEBs on July 28, 2015 (effective date August 27, 2015). See 80 FR 44873. Subsequently, North Carolina updated the emissions projections in North Carolina’s maintenance plan for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area and updated the MVEBs as well to account for the State’s request for changes to the Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) requirements for the Area. On July 28, 2015, EPA approved this revision to the maintenance plan and the MVEBs. See 80 FR 44868. North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision updates the Charlotte 2008 8-hour ozone maintenance plan to account for the change in the vehicle model year coverage for the relevant counties in the expanded I/M program, EPA is proposing to approve the updated emissions for the 2008 8-hour ozone maintenance plan for the North Carolina portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area because it demonstrates that the projected emissions inventories for 2026 (the final year of the maintenance plan), 10 years beyond the re-designation year, as well as the interim years, are all less than the base year emissions inventory. E. Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets As stated above, North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision also changed the MVEBs for the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS for the North Carolina portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area for transportation conformity purposes.23 North Carolina originally established MVEBs for the North Carolina portion of the Charlotte TABLE 9—HIGHWAY MOBILE SOURCE NOX AND VOC SUMMER DAY EMISSIONS FOR NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF 2008 8-HOUR OZONE CHARLOTTE MAINTENANCE AREA 2014 NOX 2014 VOC 2026 NOX 2026 VOC County khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS tpsd Cabarrus .......................... Gaston .............................. kgsd 6.60 8.11 5,989 7,357 23 The Federal Transportation Conformity Rule (40 CFR 93.100–129) provides the process by which the air quality impact of transportation plans, transportation improvement programs, and projects are analyzed. The agency preparing transportation plans (projections of twenty or more years), transportation improvement programs (TIP) VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 tpsd 4.15 4.61 kgsd tpsd 3,765 4,179 (projections of at least four years), or approving a transportation project must analyze the emissions expected from such a proposal in accordance with the Transportation Conformity Rule. For the purposes of transportation conformity, the MVEB is essentially a cap on the total emissions allocated to on-road vehicles. The projected regional emissions PO 00000 Frm 00046 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 kgsd 2.00 2.12 1,810 1,924 tpsd 2.19 1.86 kgsd 1,982 1,689 calculated based on a transportation plan, TIP, or project, may not exceed the MVEBs or cap contained in the appropriate SIP. Emissions in years for which no MVEBs are specifically established must be less than or equal to the MVEB established for the most recent prior year. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22784 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules TABLE 9—HIGHWAY MOBILE SOURCE NOX AND VOC SUMMER DAY EMISSIONS FOR NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF 2008 8-HOUR OZONE CHARLOTTE MAINTENANCE AREA—Continued 2014 VOC 2014 NOX 2026 NOX 2026 VOC County tpsd kgsd tpsd kgsd tpsd kgsd tpsd kgsd Iredell ............................... Lincoln .............................. Mecklenburg ..................... Rowan .............................. Union ................................ 3.36 3.00 26.99 6.42 5.67 3,045 2,723 24,488 5,825 5,146 1.95 1.91 14.40 3.76 3.54 1,768 1,737 13,060 3,408 3,210 1.00 0.83 7.17 1.73 1.62 903 757 6,501 1,571 1,466 0.88 0.86 6.98 1.53 1.68 801 779 6,334 1,389 1,520 Total .......................... 60.15 54,572 34.32 31,127 16.47 14,932 15.98 14,492 TABLE 10—MAINTENANCE DEMONSTRATION FOR NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF THE CHARLOTTE AREA NOX (tpsd) Year 2014 2015 2018 2022 2026 VOC (tpsd) ..................................................................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................................................................... ..................................................................................................................................................................................... 130.18 124.19 84.69 66.44 60.28 113.12 111.09 99.82 97.28 95.99 Difference from 2014 to 2026 (safety margin) ............................................................................................................. 69.90 17.13 North Carolina chose to apply a percentage of the safety margin to each county in the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area for the year 2026 only.24 Tables 11 through 13 provide the updated NOX and VOC MVEBs with the added safety margins in kgsd for transportation conformity purposes for 2014 and 2026. These MVEBs were developed using a five-step approach that included the percentage each county was below the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS, rapid growth in on-road vehicle emissions anticipated and potential increases in vehicle miles traveled, and vehicle mix and age distribution. In updating the MVEBs, North Carolina ensured that the sum of the safety margin applied to the MVEBs do not exceed 50 percent of the available safety margin. North Carolina has established sub-area budgets for each metropolitan planning organization within the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. TABLE 11—CABARRUS ROWAN METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION (CRMPO) MVEBS IN 2014 AND 2026 [kgsd] 2014 NOX 2014 VOC 2026 NOX 2026 VOC Base Emissions ............................................................................................... Safety margin allocated to MVEB ................................................................... 11,814 ........................ 7,173 ........................ 3,381 846 3,371 843 Conformity MVEB ..................................................................................... 11,814 7,173 4,227 4,214 TABLE 12—GASTON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN METROPOLITAN PLANNING ORGANIZATION (GCLMPO) MVEBS IN 2014 AND 2026 khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS [kgsd] 2014 NOX 2014 VOC Base Emissions ............................................................................................... Safety margin allocated to MVEB ................................................................... 10,079 ........................ 5,916 ........................ 2,681 551 2,468 510 Conformity MVEB ..................................................................................... 10,079 5,916 3,232 2,978 24 A safety margin is the difference between the attainment levels of emissions from all sources (i.e., point, area, on-road and non-road) and the projected level of emissions from all source categories. The state may choose to allocate some VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 of the safety margin to the MVEB for transportation conformity purposes, so long as the total level of emissions from all source categories remains below the attainment level of emissions. According to Section 93.118 of the transportation conformity PO 00000 Frm 00047 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 2026 NOX 2026 VOC rule, a maintenance plan must contain a MVEB for the last year of the maintenance plan (in this case 2026). North Carolina allocated a portion of the safety margin for 2026 to the MVEBs to allow for unanticipated growth in vehicle miles traveled. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22785 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules TABLE 13—CHARLOTTE REGIONAL TRANSPORTATION PLANNING ORGANIZATION (CRTPO)—ROCKY RIVER RURAL PLANNING ORGANIZATION (RRRPO) MVEBS IN 2014 AND 2026 [kgsd] 2014 NOX 2014 VOC Base Emissions ............................................................................................... Safety margin allocated to MVEB ................................................................... 32,679 ........................ 18,038 ........................ 8,870 1,596 8,655 1,557 Conformity MVEB ..................................................................................... 32,679 18,038 10,466 10,212 2D of the North Carolina SIP: Section .1001, Purpose; Section .1002, Applicability; Section .1003, Definitions; and Section .1005, OnBoard Diagnostic Standards. The changes to Sections .1001, .1003, and .1005 are formatting or clarifying in nature. The change to Section .1002 modifies the vehicle model year coverage requirements for the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program. EPA has made, and will continue to make, these materials TABLE 14—NEW SAFETY MARGIN FOR generally available through THE NORTH CAROLINA PORTION OF www.regulations.gov and/or at the EPA THE CHARLOTTE 2008 8-HOUR Region 4 office (please contact the person identified in the FOR FURTHER OZONE MAINTENANCE AREA INFORMATION CONTACT section of this [tpsd] preamble for more information). A total of 2,993 kgsd (3.30 tpsd) of the 2026 NOX safety margin is added to the MVEB for the entire Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. A total of 2,910 kgsd (3.21 tpsd) of the 2026 VOC safety margin is added to the MVEB for the entire Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. The revised available safety margin, which considers the portion of the safety margin applied to the new MVEB for each project year, is listed below in Table 14. Year khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS 2014 2015 2018 2022 2026 NOX .................. .................. .................. .................. .................. N/A ¥5.99 ¥45.49 ¥63.74 ¥66.60 VOC V. Proposed Action N/A ¥2.03 ¥13.30 ¥15.84 ¥13.92 Through this rulemaking, EPA is proposing to approve the updated subarea MVEBs for NOX and VOC for 2014 and 2026 for the North Carolina portion of Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area because EPA has determined that the Area maintains the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS with the emissions at the levels of the budgets. Once the subarea MVEBs for the North Carolina portion of Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area are approved or found adequate (whichever is completed first), they must be used for future conformity determinations. After thorough review, EPA has determined that the budgets meet the adequacy criteria, as outlined in 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4), and is proposing to approve the budgets because they are consistent with maintenance of the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS through 2026. IV. Incorporation by Reference In this document, EPA is proposing to include in a final EPA rule regulatory text that includes incorporation by reference. In accordance with the requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, EPA is proposing to incorporate by reference the following rules under Subchapter VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 For the reasons explained above in Section III of this proposed rulemaking, EPA is proposing to approve North Carolina’s July 25, 2018, SIP revision. Specifically, EPA is proposing to approve the formatting and clarifying changes to Subchapter 2D, Sections .1001, .1003 and .1005. EPA is also proposing to approve changes to Section .1002 relating to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program (Alamance, Buncombe, Cabarrus, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin, Gaston, Guilford, Iredell, Johnston, Lee, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, New Hanover, Onslow, Randolph, Rockingham, Rowan, Union and Wake). Additionally, EPA is proposing to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties in North Carolina’s expanded I/M program will not interfere with the State’s obligations under the NOX SIP Call to meet its Statewide NOX emissions budget and will not interfere with continued attainment or maintenance of any applicable NAAQS or with any other applicable requirement of the CAA, and that North Carolina has satisfied the requirements of section 110(l) of the CAA. Finally, EPA is proposing to approve the updated emissions for the 2008 8-hour ozone maintenance plan, including the PO 00000 Frm 00048 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 2026 NOX 2026 VOC updated MVEBs, for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP submittal that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable federal regulations. See 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, EPA’s role is to approve state choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this proposed action merely proposes to approve state law as meeting Federal requirements and does not propose to impose additional requirements beyond those imposed by state law. For that reason, this proposed action: • Is not a significant regulatory action subject to review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011); • Does not impose an information collection burden under the provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.); • Is certified as not having a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.); • Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4); • Does not have Federalism implications as specified in Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, October 7, 1999); • Is not an economically significant regulatory action based on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997); • Is not a significant regulatory action subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001); • Is not subject to requirements of section 12(d) of the National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent with the CAA; and E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1 22786 Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 97 / Monday, May 20, 2019 / Proposed Rules • Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994). In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian reservation land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian country, the proposed rule does not have tribal implications as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000) nor will it impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal law. List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52 Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by reference, Intergovernmental relations, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, and Volatile organic compounds. Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq. Dated: May 6, 2019. Mary S. Walker, Acting Regional Administrator, Region 4. [FR Doc. 2019–10347 Filed 5–17–19; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 6560–50–P ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY 40 CFR Part 52 [EPA–R04–OAR–2018–0838; FRL–9993–74– Region 4] Air Plan Approval; TN; Volatile Organic Compounds Definition Rule Revision for Chattanooga Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). ACTION: Proposed rule. AGENCY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to approve a revision to the Chattanooga portion of the Tennessee State Implementation Plan (SIP), provided by the Tennessee Department of Environment and Conservation on behalf of the Chattanooga-Hamilton County Air Pollution Control Bureau through a letter dated September 12, 2018. The revision makes changes to the definition of volatile organic compounds (VOC) that are consistent with changes to state and federal regulations. EPA is proposing to approve the changes because they are consistent with the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act). khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS SUMMARY: VerDate Sep<11>2014 16:03 May 17, 2019 Jkt 247001 Comments must be received on or before June 19, 2019. ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R04– OAR–2018–0838 at https:// www.regulations.gov. Follow the online instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. EPA may publish any comment received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. EPA will generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/ commenting-epa-dockets. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Evan Adams of the Air Regulatory Management Section, Air Planning and Implementation Branch, Air and Radiation Division, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 4, 61 Forsyth Street SW, Atlanta, Georgia 30303–8960. The telephone number is (404) 562– 9009. Mr. Adams can also be reached via electronic mail at adams.evan@ epa.gov. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: DATES: I. Background Tropospheric ozone, commonly known as smog, occurs when VOC and nitrogen oxides (NOX) react in the atmosphere in the presence of sunlight. Because of the harmful health effects of ozone, EPA and state governments limit the amount of VOC and NOX that can be released into the atmosphere. VOC are those compounds of carbon (excluding carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide, carbonic acid, metallic carbides or carbonates, and ammonium carbonate) that form ozone through atmospheric photochemical reactions. Compounds of carbon (or organic compounds) have different levels of reactivity; they do not react at the same speed or do not form ozone to the same extent. Section 302(s) of the CAA specifies that EPA has the authority to define the meaning of ‘‘VOC,’’ and hence what PO 00000 Frm 00049 Fmt 4702 Sfmt 4702 compounds shall be treated as VOC for regulatory purposes. It has been EPA’s policy that compounds of carbon with negligible reactivity need not be regulated to reduce ozone and should be excluded from the regulatory definition of VOC. See 42 FR 35314 (July 8, 1977), 70 FR 54046 (September 13, 2005). EPA determines whether a given carbon compound has ‘‘negligible’’ reactivity by comparing the compound’s reactivity to the reactivity of ethane. EPA lists these compounds in its regulations at 40 CFR 51.100(s) and excludes them from the definition of VOC. The chemicals on this list are often called ‘‘negligibly reactive.’’ EPA may periodically revise the list of negligibly reactive compounds to add or delete compounds. In this rulemaking, EPA is proposing action to approve Chattanooga’s SIP revision which amends the definition of ‘‘Volatile Organic Compounds’’ in the Chattanooga City Code, Part II, Chapter 4, Section 4–2, Definitions. This SIP revision amends paragraphs 1 and 2 to make the Chattanooga portion consistent with changes to Federal and other similar SIP-approved regulations.1 2 II. Analysis of State’s Submittal On September 12, 2018, Tennessee submitted a SIP revision to EPA for review and approval amending the definition of VOC found in Part II, Chapter 4, Section 4–2, of the Chattanooga Code.3 Specifically, the revision adds the following compounds to the list of negligibly reactive compounds to be consistent with additions to federal and other similar 1 EPA approved similar revisions to the Tennessee SIP on April 13, 2006, and September 26, 2018. See 71 FR 19124 and 83 FR 48547, respectively. 2 With respect to all of the compounds added to those excluded from the Chattanooga SIP’s definition of VOC, EPA has issued final rules revising the Federal definition of VOC to exclude the compounds as negligibly reactive compounds: EPA added 1,1,1,2,2,3,4,5,5,5-decafluoro-3methoxy-4-trifluoromethyl-pentane (HFE–7300) on January 18, 2007. See 72 FR 2193. EPA added propylene carbonate and dimethyl carbonate on January 21, 2009. See 74 FR 3437. EPA added trans1,3,3,3-tetrafluoropropene on June 22, 2012. See 77 FR 37610. EPA added HCF2OCF2H (also known as HFE–134), HCF2OCF2OCF2H (also known as HFE– 236cal2), HCF2OCF2CF2OCF2H (also known as HFE–338pcc13), and HCF2OCF2OCF2CF2OCF2 H (also known as H-Galden 1040X or H-Galden ZT 130 (or 150 or 180)) on February 12, 2013. See 78 FR 923. EPA added trans-1-chloro-3,3,3trifluoroprop-1-ene on August 28, 2013. See 78 FR 53029. EPA added 2,3,3,3-tetrafluoropropene on October 22, 2013. See 78 FR 62451. EPA added 2amino-2-methyl-1-propanol on March 27, 2014. See 79 FR 17037. 3 EPA notes that the Agency received the SIP revision on September 18, 2018, along with other SIP revisions from Tennessee. EPA will consider the other SIP revisions in a separate rulemaking. E:\FR\FM\20MYP1.SGM 20MYP1

Agencies

[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 97 (Monday, May 20, 2019)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 22774-22786]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-10347]


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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY

40 CFR Part 52

[EPA-R04-OAR-2018-0598; FRL-9993-83-Region 4]


Air Plan Approval; NC: Revision to I/M Program & Update to 
Charlotte Maintenance Plan for the 2008 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS

AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).

ACTION: Proposed rule.

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[[Page 22775]]

SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing to 
approve a State Implementation Plan (SIP) revision submitted by the 
State of North Carolina through a letter dated July 25, 2018, through 
the North Carolina Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ), Division 
of Air Quality (DAQ), primarily for the purpose of revising the model 
year coverage for vehicles in the 22 counties subject to North 
Carolina's expanded inspection and maintenance (I/M) program, which was 
previously approved into the SIP, in part, for use as a component of 
the State's Nitrogen Oxides (NOX) Budget and Allowance 
Trading Program. The SIP revision also includes a demonstration that 
the requested revision to the vehicle model year coverage will not 
interfere with attainment or maintenance of any national ambient air 
quality standard (NAAQS) or with any other applicable requirement of 
the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act). In addition, North Carolina's July 25, 
2018, SIP revision updates the State's maintenance plan and the 
associated motor vehicle emissions budgets (MVEBs) used for 
transportation conformity, for the North Carolina portion of the 
Charlotte-Rock Hill, NC-SC 2008 8-hour ozone nonattainment area 
(hereafter referred to as the ``Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance 
Area'') to reflect the requested change in the vehicle model year 
coverage for the expanded I/M program. EPA has evaluated whether this 
SIP revision would interfere with the requirements of the CAA, 
including EPA regulations related to statewide NOX emissions 
budgets. EPA is proposing to determine that North Carolina's July 25, 
2018, SIP revision is consistent with the applicable provisions of the 
CAA.

DATES: Written comments must be received on or before June 19, 2019.

ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R04-
OAR-2018-0598 at https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online 
instructions for submitting comments. Once submitted, comments cannot 
be edited or removed from Regulations.gov. EPA may publish any comment 
received to its public docket. Do not submit electronically any 
information you consider to be Confidential Business Information (CBI) 
or other information whose disclosure is restricted by statute. 
Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.) must be accompanied by a 
written comment. The written comment is considered the official comment 
and should include discussion of all points you wish to make. EPA will 
generally not consider comments or comment contents located outside of 
the primary submission (i.e., on the web, cloud, or other file sharing 
system). For additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment 
policy, information about CBI or multimedia submissions, and general 
guidance on making effective comments, please visit https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Kelly Sheckler, Air Regulatory 
Management Section, Air Planning and Implementation Branch, Air and 
Radiation Division (formerly the Air, Pesticides and Toxics Management 
Division), U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 4, 61 Forsyth 
Street SW, Atlanta, Georgia 30303-8960. The telephone number is (404) 
562-9222. Ms. Sheckler can also be reached via electronic mail at 
[email protected].

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: 

I. What is Being Proposed?

    In response to a North Carolina legislative act signed by the 
Governor on May 4, 2017, that changed the State's I/M requirements for 
the 22 counties subject to the State's expanded I/M program,\1\ DAQ 
provided a SIP revision through a letter dated July 25, 2018,\2\ 
seeking to have several of these changes incorporated into the North 
Carolina SIP. Primarily, North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision 
makes substantive changes to the applicability section of North 
Carolina's SIP-approved expanded I/M program found within 15A North 
Carolina Administrative Code (NCAC) 02D .1000 (Motor Vehicle Emission 
Control Standard).\3\ Specifically, the July 25, 2018, SIP revision 
modifies Section .1002 by changing, for applicability purposes, the 
vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded 
I/M program from a specific year-based timeframe for coverage (i.e., 
beginning in 1996) to a rolling 20-year timeframe for coverage.\4\ More 
precisely, the revision being proposed changes the applicability of the 
expanded I/M program to: (i) A vehicle with a model year within 20 
years of the current year and older than the three most recent model 
years; or (ii) a vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the 
current year and has 70,000 miles or more on its odometer. Previously, 
the program applied to: (i) A 1996 or later model year vehicle and 
older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a 1996 or later 
model year vehicle and has 70,000 miles or more on its odometer. It is 
estimated that this proposed change will result in a small increase 
(less than one percent) in nitrogen oxides (NOX) and 
volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions. Additionally, the July 25, 
2018, SIP revision makes formatting or other minor clarifying changes 
to several related SIP-approved I/M sections: .1001 (Purpose), .1003 
(Definitions), and .1005 (On-Board Diagnostic Standards).\5\ All of 
these proposed changes are discussed more fully in Section III below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ Under provisions of the State legislation, Session Law 2017-
10, Senate Bill 131, the changes to North Carolina's I/M 
requirements for the 22 counties is not effective until the later of 
the following dates: October 1, 2017, or the first day of a month 
that is 60 days after the Secretary of the DEQ certifies that EPA 
has approved the SIP revision. The 22 counties are: Alamance, 
Buncombe, Cabarrus, Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin, 
Gaston, Guilford, Iredell, Johnston, Lee, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, New 
Hanover, Onslow, Randolph, Rockingham, Rowan, Union and Wake. See 
clarification letter dated August 31, 2018, from North Carolina in 
the docket for this proposed rulemaking.
    \2\ EPA received North Carolina's SIP submittal on July 31, 
2018.
    \3\ In the table of North Carolina regulations federally-
approved into the SIP at 40 CFR 52.1770(c), 15A NCAC 02D is referred 
to as ``Subchapter 2D Air Pollution Control Requirements.''
    \4\ By its terms, Section .1002(d) makes the 22 counties 
identified in North Carolina General Statute 143-215.107A subject to 
the I/M program's emission control standards. These same 22 counites 
are the counties currently subject to North Carolina's SIP-approved 
I/M program which was expanded from 9 counties to 48 counties in 
2002 (and is referred to as the ``expanded'' I/M program). See 83 FR 
48383 (September 25, 2018) (removing 26 of the 48 counties from 
North Carolina's SIP-approved expanded I/M program and leaving the 
22 counties identified in footnote 1 above as remaining). In 
addition, changes to Section .1002 also include language making the 
effective date of the change to the vehicle model year coverage 
correspond to the effective date set out in North Carolina Session 
Law 2017-10 referred to in footnote 1 above (i.e., on the first day 
of the month that is 60 days after EPA approves the change into the 
SIP).
    \5\ Sections .1006 and .1008 were also readopted without 
substantive changes. However, these rules are not in North 
Carolina's SIP and North Carolina is not requesting that EPA approve 
these rules into the SIP.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    A majority (14) of the 22 counties impacted by this proposed 
rulemaking were included in an expanded I/M program which was approved 
into the North Carolina SIP in 2002, for the sole purpose of using 
NOX emissions reductions generated by this expanded program 
as a component of the State's NOX Budget and Allowance 
Trading Program. See 67 FR 66056 (October 30, 2002). The purpose of the 
2002 I/M SIP revision was to allow North Carolina to gain credits from 
the I/M emissions reductions from the expanded list of counties as part 
of its NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program. See 67 FR 
66056. North Carolina's NOX Budget and Allowance Trading 
Program was

[[Page 22776]]

submitted to EPA for approval in response to EPA's regulation entitled 
``Finding of Significant Contribution and Rulemaking for Certain States 
in the Ozone Transport Assessment Group Region for Purposes of Reducing 
Regional Transport of Ozone,'' otherwise known as the NOX 
SIP Call.
    For the reasons discussed more fully in Section III, below, EPA is 
proposing to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage 
in Section .1002 for the 22 counties subject to North Carolina's SIP-
approved expanded I/M program will not interfere with North Carolina's 
obligations under the NOX SIP Call. A number of federal 
rules and SIP-approved state regulations promulgated and implemented 
subsequent to the 2002 approval of North Carolina's NOX SIP 
Call submission have created significant NOX emissions 
reductions in North Carolina such that the small increase in 
NOX emissions (and the associated small decrease in 
emissions reductions credits generated from the counties and available 
for use) does not impact the ability of North Carolina to meet its 
NOX SIP Call Statewide NOX emissions budget. 
North Carolina has provided an analysis which supports this proposed 
finding, and which discusses some of these federal rules and SIP-
approved State regulations.\6\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \6\ See Letter from Michael A. Abraczinskas, Director of the 
Division of Air Quality for the North Carolina Department of 
Environmental Quality, dated July 11, 2018. This letter is part of 
the Docket for this action.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In addition, North Carolina's SIP revision evaluates the impact 
that the change to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties 
would have on the State's ability to attain and maintain the NAAQS. The 
SIP revision contains a technical demonstration with revised emissions 
calculations showing that the change to Section .1002 for vehicle model 
year coverage for the expanded I/M program in the 22 counties will not 
interfere with North Carolina's attainment or maintenance of any NAAQS 
or with any other applicable requirement of the CAA. Based on this 
demonstration, EPA is proposing to find that North Carolina's revised 
emissions calculations demonstrate that the change to the expanded I/M 
program for the 22 counties will not interfere with State's ability to 
attain or maintain any NAAQS. With regard to the related expanded I/M 
program provisions at Sections .1001, .1002, and .1003, EPA is 
proposing to find that the changes to those Sections are formatting or 
clarifying in nature, do not alter the meaning of the Sections, and are 
thus approvable.
    Finally, for 7 of the 22 counties in North Carolina's expanded I/M 
program, I/M emissions from those counties have been relied on by North 
Carolina for maintenance of the ozone NAAQS for the Charlotte 2008 
Ozone Maintenance Area. Through the July 25, 2018, SIP revision (the 
subject of this proposed rulemaking), North Carolina provides a 
maintenance demonstration for the Area that takes into account the 
small increase in NOX and VOC emissions estimated to result 
from the proposed change to the vehicle model year coverage for the 
expanded I/M program for these counties. As discussed more fully in 
Sections III d. and e. below, EPA is proposing to find that, after 
taking into account these estimated small increases in NOX 
and VOC emissions, North Carolina has demonstrated continued 
maintenance for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area, and, thus, 
EPA is also proposing to approve the changes to the State's maintenance 
plan and the associated MVEBs for this Area.

II. What is the background of North Carolina's SIP-approved I/M 
program?

    Under sections 182(b)(4), (c) and (d) of the CAA, I/M programs are 
required for areas that are designated as moderate or above for 
nonattainment for ozone. As a result, North Carolina has previously 
submitted, and EPA has previously approved into the SIP (in 1995), a 
CAA-required I/M program for nine counties.\7\ See 60 FR 28720 (June 2, 
1995). Subsequently, North Carolina expanded its State I/M program to 
cover 39 additional counties in order to use credits from I/M emissions 
reductions from these additional counties as a component of the State's 
response to EPA's NOX SIP Call.\8\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \7\ The nine counties are Cabarrus, Durham, Forsyth, Gaston, 
Guilford, Mecklenburg, Orange, Union and Wake. See 60 FR 28720 (June 
2, 1995). However, while Orange County was included in this 1995 
submittal and EPA approval, it was not designated as nonattainment 
for either the ozone or carbon monoxide (CO) NAAQS.
    \8\ North Carolina Session Law 1999-328, Section 3.1(d) and 
Section 3.8.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The NOX SIP Call was designed to mitigate significant 
transport of NOX, one of the precursors of ozone. It 
required 19 states (including North Carolina) and the District of 
Columbia to meet statewide NOX emissions budgets during the 
five-month period from May 1 through September 30, called the ozone 
season (or control period). EPA approved the expansion of North 
Carolina's SIP-approved I/M in 2002.
    Approval of the I/M revision into the SIP and the amended rules 
contained therein allowed North Carolina to gain emissions reduction 
credits ranging from 914 tons in 2004 to 4,385 tons in 2007 and beyond 
for use in its NOX emissions budget. These emissions 
reduction credits were used by the State at the beginning of the 
NOX emissions budget program to allow for new growth and to 
help meet the overall budget cap until the affected stationary sources 
could install and operate controls needed to meet their emissions 
allowances. See 67 FR 66056. For example, while these credits were 
primarily used to allow for new growth during initial program 
implementation, a small portion of the credits (approximately 1,000 
tons per ozone season) were also initially used by North Carolina to 
help meet the Statewide NOX emissions budget of 165,022 tons 
per ozone season.\9\ See 67 FR 66056; 67 FR 42519, 42522 (June 24, 
2002). EPA approved the expanded I/M program into the SIP on October 
30, 2002 (67 FR 66056), and approved North Carolina's NOX 
SIP Call submittal (i.e., the North Carolina NOX Budget and 
Allowance Trading Program) on December 27, 2002. See 67 FR 78987. 
Subsequently, on September 15, 2018, EPA finalized a rulemaking which 
approved a SIP revision removing 26 counties from North Carolina's SIP-
approved expanded I/M program.\10\ See 83 FR 48383. The result of EPA's 
2018 final rulemaking is that 22 counties now remain subject to North 
Carolina's SIP-approved expanded I/M program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \9\ North Carolina's Statewide NOX emissions budget 
is found at 40 CFR 51.121(g)(2)(ii).
    \10\ EPA also approved changes to North Carolina's I/M SIP on 
November 20, 2014. See 79 FR 69051. Those changes repealed the 
regulations pertaining to the tail-pipe emissions test because this 
test was obsolete and replaced it with the on-board diagnostics 
emissions test.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

III. What is EPA's analysis of North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP 
revision?

A. Changes for Sections .1001, .1003, and .1005

    As mentioned above, North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision 
makes formatting or other minor clarifying changes to several related 
SIP-approved I/M sections: .1001 (Purpose), .1003 (Definitions), and 
.1005 (On-Board Diagnostic Standards). Below is a summary of these 
changes.
     .1001--Purpose: Changes are formatting in nature. 
Specifically, North Carolina changes ``inspection/maintenance'' to 
``inspection and maintenance'', and also changes ``law'' to ``law.''

[[Page 22777]]

     .1003--Definitions: Changes are formatting in nature. 
Specifically, North Carolina changes ``Rules'' to ``15A NCAC 2D'' and 
removes ``of the Section'' in two places. North Carolina also changes 
``Three'' to ``three''.
     .1005--On-Board Diagnostic Standards: Changes are 
formatting in nature or minor clarifications that do not alter the 
meaning or effect of the rule. Specifically, North Carolina changes 
``Rules'' to ``15A NCAC 2D'' and removes ``of the Section'' in one 
place. North Carolina also clarifies paragraphs (d) and (e) of this 
rule without making substantive changes. In summary, North Carolina 
changes paragraph (d) to read ``Persons performing on-board diagnostics 
tests shall provide the Division of Air Quality the data required by 40 
CFR 51.365, Data Collection; 40 CFR 51.366, Data Analysis and 
Reporting; and 40 CFR 51.358 Test Equipment.'' from ``Persons 
performing on-board diagnostic tests shall provide the Division of Air 
Quality data necessary to determine the effectiveness of the on-board 
diagnostic testing program. The data submitted shall be what is 
necessary to satisfy 51.358, Test Equipment.'' Paragraph (e) is changed 
from ``All reference to federal regulations include subsequent 
amendments and editions.'' to ``Federal regulations cited in this Rule 
are incorporated by reference, including subsequent amendments and 
editions.''
    EPA is proposing to approve the aforementioned changes to Sections 
.1001, .1003, and .1005 because they are formatting in nature or are 
minor clarifications that do not change the meaning or effect of these 
rules.

B. Impact of Section .1002 Changes on the State's NOX SIP 
Call Obligations

    For Section .1002, North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision 
seeks to change the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties 
subject to the North Carolina I/M program requirements contained in the 
SIP. North Carolina estimates that this change to the vehicle model 
year coverage will increase NOX emissions from the 22 
counties by 311 tons per ozone season (See Table 2 below). As noted 
previously, a subset of the 22 counties (14 counties) were included in 
the expanded I/M program in order to generate emissions reduction 
credits for NOX, a small part of which were initially used 
by the State to meet its Statewide NOX emissions budget. 
Consequently, some portion of the 311 tons/ozone season NOX 
emissions increase necessarily results in fewer emissions reductions 
credit generated and available for use by the State to meet its 
Statewide NOX emissions budget. However, while fewer 
emissions reduction credits from the expanded I/M program may be 
available to North Carolina as a result of the small NOX 
emissions increase, EPA is proposing to find that any decrease in 
available emissions reductions credits from the expanded I/M program 
will not interfere with the State's obligation under the NOX 
SIP Call with regards to meeting its Statewide NOX emissions 
budget. As discussed more fully below, EPA believes this is because, 
since 2002, significant NOX emissions reductions have 
otherwise been achieved in North Carolina from implementation of 
several federal and SIP-approved regulations. For purposes of meeting 
its Statewide NOX emissions budget, these significant 
NOX emissions reductions more than offset any small decrease 
in available emissions reduction credits due to the change to the 
vehicle model year coverage.
    Subsequent to the NOX SIP Call and the 2002 approval of 
North Carolina's NOX Budget and Allowance Trading Program, a 
number of federal rules, as well as SIP-approved state regulations have 
created significant NOX emissions reductions in North 
Carolina (including ozone season reductions). For stationary sources, 
including large electricity generating units (EGUs), these federal 
rules include the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) in 2005 \11\ and its 
replacement in 2011, the Cross State Air Pollution Rule (CSAPR).\12\ In 
addition, federal mobile source-related measures include: The Tier 2 
vehicle and fuel standards; \13\ nonroad spark ignition engines and 
recreational engine standards; heavy-duty gasoline and diesel highway 
vehicle standards; \14\ and large nonroad diesel engine standards.\15\ 
These mobile source measures have resulted in, and continue to result 
in, large reductions in NOX emissions over time due to fleet 
turnover (i.e., the replacement of older vehicles that predate the 
standards with newer vehicles that meet the standards).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \11\ CAIR created regional cap-and-trade programs to reduce 
SO2 and NOX emissions in 27 eastern states, 
including North Carolina, that contributed to downwind nonattainment 
or interfered with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS or the 
1997 fine particulate matter (PM2.5) NAAQS. CAIR was 
challenged in federal court and in 2008, the United States Court of 
Appeals for the District of Columbia (D.C. Circuit) remanded CAIR to 
EPA without vacatur. North Carolina v. EPA, 550 F.3rd 1176, 1178 
(D.C. Cir. 2008).
    \12\ In response to the D.C. Circuit's remand of CAIR, EPA 
promulgated CSAPR to replace CAIR. CSAPR requires 28 eastern states, 
including North Carolina, to limit their statewide emissions of 
SO2 and NOX in order to mitigate transported 
air pollution impacting other states' ability to attain or maintain 
four NAAQS: The 1997 ozone NAAQS, the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS, 
the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS, and the 2008 8-hour ozone 
NAAQS. The CSAPR emissions limitations are defined in terms of 
maximum statewide ``budgets'' for emissions of annual SO2 
and NOX, and/or ozone-season NOX by each 
covered state's large EGUs. The CSAPR state budgets are implemented 
in two phases of generally increasing stringency, with Phase I 
budgets applying to emissions in 2015 and 2016 and the Phase 2 
budgets applying to emissions in 2017 and later years. CSAPR was 
challenged in the D.C. Circuit, and on August 12, 2012, it was 
vacated and remanded to EPA. The vacatur was subsequently reversed 
by the United States Supreme Court on April 29, 2014. EPA v. EME 
Homer City Generation, L.P., 134 S.Ct. 1584 (2014). This litigation 
ultimately delayed implementation of CSAPR for three years.
    \13\ The Tier 2 standards, begun in 2004, continue to 
significantly reduce NOX emissions and EPA expects that 
these standards will reduce NOX emissions from vehicles 
by approximately 74 percent by 2030 (or nearly 3 million tons 
annually by 2030). See 80 FR 44873, 44876 (July 28, 2015) (citing 
EPA, Regulatory Announcement, EPA 420-F-99-051 (December 1999)).
    \14\ Also begun in 2004, implementation of this rule is expected 
to achieve a 95 percent reduction in NOX emissions from 
diesel trucks and buses by 2030. See 80 FR 44873, 44876 (July 28, 
2015).
    \15\ EPA estimated that compliance with this rule will cut 
NOX emissions from non-road diesel engines by up to 90 
percent nationwide. See 80 FR 44873, 44876 (July 28, 2015).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    In 2002, North Carolina also enacted and subsequently implemented 
its Clean Smokestacks Act (CSA), which created system-wide annual 
emissions caps on actual emissions of NOX and sulfur dioxide 
(SO2) from coal-fired power plants within the State, the 
first of which became effective in 2007. The CSA required certain coal-
fired power plants in North Carolina to significantly reduce annual 
NOX emissions by 189,000 tons (or 77 percent) by 2009 (using 
a 1998 baseline year). This represented about a one-third reduction of 
the NOX emissions from all sources in North Carolina. See 76 
FR 36468, 36470 (June 11, 2011).\16\ With the requirement to meet 
annual emissions caps and disallowing the purchase of NOX 
credits to meet the caps, the CSA reduced NOX emissions 
beyond the requirements of the NOX SIP Call even though the 
Act did not limit emissions only during the ozone season. EPA approved 
the CSA into North Carolina's SIP on September 26, 2011 (76 FR 59250).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \16\ North Carolina indicates that the utilities have reduced 
NOX emissions by 83 percent relative to the 1998 
emissions levels. See Letter from Michael A. Abraczinskas, Director 
of the Division of Air Quality for the North Carolina Department of 
Environmental Quality, dated July 11, 2018.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Together, implementation of these federal rules and SIP-approved 
State regulations have created significant NOX emissions 
reductions since North Carolina's NOX emissions budget was 
approved into the SIP in 2002, and for EGUs, have significantly reduced 
ozone season NOX emissions well below the original 
NOX SIP Call budget. This last point is illustrated in Table 
1, which

[[Page 22778]]

compares the EGU NOX SIP Call budget to actual emissions in 
2007 and 2017. Actual EGU emissions in 2007 and 2017 were 23 percent 
(7,274 tons) and 60 percent (18,906 tons) below the NOX SIP 
Call budget for EGUs, respectively. Notably, the entirety of the 
emissions reduction credits from the I/M program (and used by the State 
in its NOX emissions budget) only totaled 4,385 tons, of 
which approximately 1,000 tons was initially needed to meet the overall 
budget.

    Table 1--Comparison of Ozone Season NOX SIP Call Budget to Actual
                           Emissions for EGUs
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                          2017     2017
------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOX SIP Call Budget, Tons \17\........................   31,451   31,451
Actual Emissions, Tons................................   24,177   12,545
Below Budget, Tons....................................    7,274   18,906
Below Budget, Percent.................................       23       60
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Table 2 compares the impact of the estimated ozone season 
NOX emissions increases due to the proposed change to the 
vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties on EGU reductions and 
NOX SIP Call I/M reduction credits. Using EPA's Motor 
Vehicle Emission Simulator (MOVES2014), DAQ estimated that changes to 
the vehicle model year coverage in the 22 counties will increase ozone 
season NOX emissions by 311 tons. As noted above, in 2017, 
EGU emissions were 18,906 tons (60 percent) below the NOX 
SIP Call budget for EGUs. The estimated 311 tons NOX 
increase from the proposed change to the vehicle model year coverage in 
the 22 counties combined with the estimated 611 tons increase in 
NOX emissions from the removal of 26 counties from the 
expanded I/M program (which EPA previously approved in a separate 
action published on September 25, 2018) would lower the EGU reduction 
by less than 5 percent to 17,984 tons below the NOX SIP Call 
budget for EGUs. Thus, based on this EGU-focused analysis, DAQ 
concludes that the small ozone season NOX emissions increase 
associated with the proposed change to the vehicle model year coverage 
in the 22 counties subject to North Carolina's expanded I/M program has 
no impact on North Carolina's obligations under the NOX SIP 
Call to meet its Statewide NOX emissions budget.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \17\ From EPA's proposed approval of North Carolina's 
NOX SIP Call submission. See 67 FR 42519 (June 24, 2002).

Table 2--Impact of NOX Emissions Increases Due to Proposed Changes to I/
        M Program on EGU Reductions and NOX SIP Call I/M Credits
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                  NOX
            I/M emissions increase in 2018, tons               emissions
------------------------------------------------------------------------
26 Counties.................................................         611
22 Counties.................................................         311
48 County Total I/M Increase................................         922
EGU Reduction in 2017 (from Table 1)........................      18,906
Net EGU Reduction in 2017 including I/M Increase............      17,984
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Considering the above, EPA is proposing to find that North 
Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision to change the vehicle model year 
coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M program 
contained in its SIP (which results in a small increase in 
NOX emissions and consequentially a small decrease in the 
amount of emissions reduction credits generated and available for use 
in the State's NOX emissions budget) will not interfere with 
the State's obligations under the NOX SIP Call to meet its 
Statewide NOX emissions budget. Subsequent promulgation and 
implementation of a number of federal rules and SIP-approved state 
regulations, and in particular those impacting EGUs, have created 
significant NOX emissions reductions in the State that are 
more than sufficient, for purposes of meeting the Statewide 
NOX emissions budget, to offset this small decrease in 
available emissions reduction credits.

C. Overall Preliminary Conclusions Regarding North Carolina's 
Noninterference Analyses

    Section 110(l) of the CAA requires that a revision to the SIP not 
interfere with any applicable requirement concerning attainment and 
reasonable further progress (as defined in section 171), or any other 
applicable requirement of the CAA. EPA evaluates section 110(l) 
noninterference demonstrations on a case-by-case basis considering the 
circumstances of each SIP revision. EPA interprets section 110(l) as 
applying to all NAAQS that are in effect, including those that have 
been promulgated but for which EPA has not yet made designations. The 
degree of analysis focused on any NAAQS in a noninterference 
demonstration varies depending on the nature of the emissions 
associated with the proposed SIP revision. For I/M SIP revisions, the 
most relevant pollutants to consider are ozone precursors (i.e., NOx 
and VOC) and carbon monoxide (CO). In connection with North Carolina's 
July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State submitted a non-interference 
demonstration which EPA analyzes below.
    As mentioned above, in a letter dated July 25, 2018, DAQ submitted 
a noninterference demonstration to support the State's request to 
change the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties subject to 
the expanded I/M program to: (i) a vehicle with a model year within 20 
years of the current year and older than the three most recent model 
years; or (ii) a vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the 
current year and has 70,000 miles or more on its odometer. This 
demonstration includes an evaluation of the impact that this change 
would have on North Carolina's ability to attain or maintain any NAAQS 
in the State. Based on the analysis below, EPA is proposing to find 
that the change in vehicle model year coverage in the 22 counties 
subject to the North Carolina expanded I/M program meets the 
requirements of CAA section 110(l) and will not interfere with 
attainment or maintenance of any NAAQS in North Carolina.\18\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \18\ EPA also notes, as a transport-related matter, that on 
October 26, 2016, the Agency determined through the CSAPR Update 
(see 81 FR 74504) that North Carolina did not contribute to 
nonattainment or maintenance issues in downwind states for the 2008 
8-hour ozone NAAQS. The 2016 CSAPR Update provides technical and 
related analysis to assist states with meeting the good neighbor 
requirements of the CAA for the 2008 ozone NAAQS. Specifically, the 
CSAPR Update includes projection modeling to determine whether 
individual states contribute significantly or not to nonattainment 
or maintenance in other states. On December 9, 2015, North Carolina 
provided a SIP revision addressing ozone transport requirements for 
the 2008 8-hour ozone standards and made the determination that the 
State did not contribute to nonattainment or maintenance issues in 
any other state. EPA approved North Carolina's submission on October 
4, 2017, with the consideration of EPA's modeling conducted for the 
CSAPR Update. See 82 FR 46134. Also, most recently, EPA conducted 
modeling for the 2015 ozone NAAQS. That modeling preliminarily 
indicates that North Carolina does not contribute to nonattainment 
or interfere with maintenance issues in any other state for that 
standard.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

i. Noninterference Analysis for the Ozone NAAQS
    On July 18, 1997, EPA promulgated a revised 8-hour ozone standard 
of 0.08 parts per million (ppm). This standard was more stringent than 
the 1-hour ozone standard that was promulgated in 1979. On March 12, 
2008, EPA revised both the primary and secondary NAAQS for ozone to a 
level of 0.075 ppm to provide increased protection of public health and 
the environment. See 73 FR 16436 (March 27, 2008). The 2008 8-hour 
ozone NAAQS retains the same

[[Page 22779]]

general form and averaging time as the 0.08 ppm NAAQS set in 1997, but 
is set at a more protective level. Under EPA's regulations at 40 CFR 
part 50, the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS is attained when the 3-year 
average of the annual fourth highest daily maximum 8-hour average 
ambient air quality ozone concentrations is less than or equal to 0.075 
ppm. See 40 CFR 50.15. On October 26, 2015, EPA published a final rule 
lowering the level of the 8-hour ozone NAAQS to 0.070 ppm. See 80 FR 
65292.
    North Carolina is currently in attainment statewide for all of the 
ozone NAAQS.\19\ Most recently, on November 6, 2017, EPA designated the 
entire state of North Carolina attainment/unclassifiable for the 2015 
8-hour ozone NAAQS. See 82 FR 54232. With regard to the I/M SIP 
revision, thirteen of the 22 counties where vehicle model year coverage 
is being revised have ozone monitors. The monitors reflect design 
values in part per billion (ppb) that meet or are below the 2015 8-hour 
ozone NAAQS of 70 ppb (see Table 3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \19\ The Charlotte Area was redesignated to attainment for the 
1-hour ozone standard on July 5, 1995 (60 FR 34859); redesignated to 
attainment for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard on December 2, 2013 
(78 FR 72036); and was designated to attainment for the 2008 8-hour 
ozone standard on July 28, 2015 (80 FR 44873). In addition, on 
December 26, 2007, EPA approved the redesignation to attainment of 
the Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill Area (comprised of a portion of 
Chatham County, and the entire counties of Durham, Franklin, 
Johnston, Orange, Person, and Wake) for the 1997 8-hour ozone 
standard. See 72 FR 72948. This approval included approval of a 10-
year maintenance plan which demonstrated that the Area would 
maintain the standard through the year 2017. The Raleigh-Durham-
Chapel Hill Area has continued to maintain the 1997 8-hour ozone 
standard and subsequently was designated as unclassifiable/
attainment for the 2008 8-hour ozone standard on December 26, 2007 
(72 FR 72948) and attainment/unclassifiable for the 2015 8-hour 
ozone standard on November 16, 2017 (82 FR 54232). Further, counties 
in the Raleigh Area and Greensboro Area were redesignated to 
attainment for the 1-hour ozone standard on April 18, 1994 (59 FR 
18300) and on September 9, 1993 (58 FR 47391), respectively. With 
regard to the 1997 8-hour ozone standard, the Great Smoky National 
Park Area was redesignated to attainment on December 7, 2009 (74 FR 
63995), and the Rocky Mount Area was redesignated to attainment on 
November 6, 2006 (71 FR 64891).

         Table 3--Design Values for Counties with Ozone Monitors
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                           Ozone Design Value, ppb (2015
     Counties Subject to I/M Program        8-hr ozone NAAQS is 70 ppb)
   Requirement and Vehicle MY Coverage   -------------------------------
     Change That Have Ozone Monitors         2014-2016       2015-2017
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Buncombe................................              63              62
Durham..................................              62              61
Forsyth.................................              68              67
Guilford................................              65              65
Johnston................................              65              63
Lee.....................................              62              61
Lincoln.................................              67              67
Mecklenburg.............................              70              70
New Hanover.............................              60              58
Rockingham..............................              66              65
Rowan...................................              65              64
Union...................................              68              67
Wake....................................              65              66
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DAQ's noninterference analysis compared ozone season day 
anthropogenic NOx and VOC emissions for all sectors (point, area, 
nonroad, on road) for 2018 for the 22 counties subject to North 
Carolina's expanded I/M program and compared them to the emissions for 
all sectors because of the changing of the vehicle model year coverage. 
As mentioned above, the vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/
M program is currently: (i) A 1996 or later model year vehicle and 
older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a 1996 or later 
model year vehicle and has an odometer reading of 70,000 miles or more. 
The proposed vehicle model year coverage for the expanded I/M program 
is: (i) A vehicle with a model year within 20 years of the current year 
and older than the three most recent model years; or (ii) a vehicle 
with a model year within 20 years of the current year and has an 
odometer reading of 70,000 miles or more. For purposes of Tables 4 and 
5, the columns titled ``I/M'', reflect the current vehicle model year 
coverage as defined above, and the columns titled ``New I/M'', reflect 
the proposed revision to the vehicle model year coverage as defined 
above.
    DAQ's noninterference analysis utilized EPA's MOVES2014 emission 
modeling system to estimate emissions for mobile sources. For 2018, the 
NOx emissions increase resulting from the North Carolina expanded I/M 
program will be 0.24 tons per day (tpd) or less in each of the 22 
counties for which the vehicle model year coverage is being changed. As 
summarized in Tables 4 and 5, below, the MOVES model predicted emission 
increases for only on-road vehicles. The results for 2018 show a slight 
increase in anthropogenic NOx emissions for each county, as shown in 
Table 4, ranging from 0.02 to 0.24 tpd. The percent increase in total 
NOx emissions for a county ranges from 0.3 percent to 1.5 percent. The 
total increase in NOx emissions associated with the vehicle model year 
coverage change in 2018 for the 22 counties subject to this change is 
2.02 tpd \20\ or 0.94 percent of total man-made emissions (260.95 tpd).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \20\ 2.02 tpd multiplied by 154 days in the ozone season equals 
311 tons per ozone season.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As noted above, DAQ's noninterference analysis utilized EPA's 
MOVES2014 emission modeling system to estimate emissions for mobile 
sources. The year 2018 was modeled as the future year. The compliance 
rate for the expanded I/M program in North Carolina was 96 percent with 
a 5 percent waiver rate. These mobile source emissions are used as part 
of the evaluation of the potential impacts to the NAAQS that might 
result exclusively from changing the vehicle model year coverage for 
the 22 counties subject to the North Carolina expanded I/M program.

[[Page 22780]]



                                                               Table 4--Total Anthropogenic NOX Emissions for 2018 for 22 Counties
                                                                                              [tpd]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               On-road                    Non-road                Point                 Area                            Totals
                                                  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     Counties                                             Emission                                                                                          Emissions   Percent
                                                      I/M        New      increase     I/M      New I/M      I/M      New I/M      I/M      New I/M      I/M      New I/M    increase   increase
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alamance.........................................       3.69       3.77       0.08       1.09       1.09       0.45       0.45       0.59       0.59       5.82       5.90       0.08        1.4
Buncombe.........................................       5.54       5.65       0.11       1.71       1.71       4.01       4.01       1.47       1.47      12.73      12.84       0.11        0.9
Cabarrus.........................................       3.75       3.82       0.07       1.48       1.48       0.85       0.85       0.45       0.45       6.53       6.60       0.07        1.1
Cumberland.......................................       5.45       5.55       0.10       2.69       2.69       1.08       1.08       0.61       0.61       9.83       9.93       0.10        1.0
Davidson.........................................       4.12       4.21       0.09       1.52       1.52       3.28       3.28       0.41       0.41       9.33       9.42       0.09        1.0
Durham...........................................       4.69       4.79       0.10       2.39       2.39       0.87       0.87       1.02       1.02       8.97       9.07       0.10        1.1
Forsyth..........................................       5.68       5.80       0.12       2.03       2.03       1.96       1.96       1.20       1.20      10.87      10.99       0.12        1.1
Franklin.........................................       1.33       1.36       0.03       0.36       0.36       0.08       0.08       0.21       0.21       1.98       2.01       0.03        1.5
Gaston...........................................       4.63       4.72       0.09       1.49       1.49      25.13      25.13       0.58       0.58      31.83      31.92       0.09        0.3
Guilford.........................................       8.43       8.60       0.17       4.95       4.95       1.79       1.79       2.12       2.12      17.29      17.46       0.17        1.0
Iredell..........................................       5.09       5.17       0.08       1.35       1.35       5.44       5.44       0.58       0.58      12.46      12.54       0.08        0.6
Johnston.........................................       6.37       6.45       0.08       2.09       2.09       0.32       0.32       0.47       0.47       9.25       9.33       0.08        0.9
Lee..............................................       1.29       1.31       0.02       0.59       0.59       0.18       0.18       0.18       0.18       2.24       2.26       0.02        0.9
Lincoln..........................................       1.98       2.02       0.04       0.65       0.65       0.67       0.67       0.18       0.18       3.48       3.52       0.04        1.1
Mecklenburg......................................      13.40      13.64       0.24       9.92       9.92       9.25       9.25       5.37       5.37      37.94      38.18       0.24        0.6
New Hanover......................................       2.44       2.49       0.05       3.47       3.47       3.76       3.76       0.70       0.70      10.37      10.42       0.05        0.8
Onslow...........................................       2.78       2.83       0.05       0.96       0.96       1.54       1.54       0.76       0.76       6.04       6.09       0.05        0.8
Randolph.........................................       3.92       4.00       0.08       0.91       0.91       0.17       0.17       0.41       0.41       5.41       5.49       0.08        1.5
Rockingham.......................................       2.60       2.67       0.07       0.89       0.89       7.71       7.71       0.31       0.31      11.51      11.58       0.07        0.6
Rowan............................................       3.68       3.76       0.08       1.29       1.29       5.94       5.94       0.43       0.43      11.34      11.42       0.08        0.7
Union............................................       3.62       3.69       0.07       2.70       2.70       0.34       0.34       0.57       0.57       7.23       7.30       0.07        1.0
Wake.............................................      12.39      12.59       0.20       7.15       7.15       2.89       2.89       4.02       4.02      26.45      26.65       0.20        0.8
                                                  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total........................................     106.87     108.89       2.02      51.68      51.68      77.71      77.71      22.64      22.64      258.9     260.92       2.02       0.94
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                                                               Table 5--Total Anthropogenic VOC Emissions for 2018 for 22 Counties
                                                                                              [tpd]
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                               On-road                    Non-road                Point                 Area                            Totals
                                                  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     Counties                                             Emission                                                                                          Emissions   Percent
                                                      I/M        New      increase     I/M      New I/M      I/M      New I/M      I/M      New I/M      I/M      New I/M    increase   increase
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alamance.........................................       2.60       2.66       0.06       1.37       1.37       1.41       1.41       4.76       4.76      10.14      10.20       0.06        0.6
Buncombe.........................................       3.92       4.01       0.09       2.95       2.95       1.49       1.49       8.07       8.07      16.43      16.52       0.09        0.5
Cabarrus.........................................       2.74       2.80       0.06       1.14       1.14       0.74       0.74       4.58       4.58       9.20       9.26       0.06        0.7
Cumberland.......................................       3.90       3.98       0.08       1.98       1.98       2.24       2.24       6.97       6.97      15.09      15.17       0.08        0.5
Davidson.........................................       3.05       3.12       0.07       0.98       0.98       1.29       1.29       5.74       5.74      11.06      11.13       0.07        0.6
Durham...........................................       3.24       3.31       0.07       2.03       2.03       0.43       0.43       6.95       6.95      12.65      12.72       0.07        0.6
Forsyth..........................................       4.44       4.54       0.10       2.02       2.02       4.01       4.01       9.05       9.05      19.52      19.62       0.10        0.5
Franklin.........................................       1.01       1.04       0.03       0.35       0.35       0.18       0.18       2.00       2.00       3.54       3.57       0.03        0.8
Gaston...........................................       3.20       3.28       0.08       1.18       1.18       1.45       1.45       5.89       5.89      11.72      11.80       0.08        0.7
Guilford.........................................       6.14       6.28       0.14       4.54       4.54       7.42       7.42      15.96      15.96      34.06      34.20       0.14        0.4
Iredell..........................................       3.11       3.17       0.06       1.10       1.10       1.76       1.76       5.66       5.66      11.63      11.69       0.06        0.5
Johnston.........................................       3.08       3.14       0.06       1.27       1.27       1.45       1.45       5.88       5.88      11.68      11.74       0.06        0.5
Lee..............................................       0.98       1.00       0.02       0.36       0.36       1.29       1.29       1.96       1.96       4.59       4.61       0.02        0.4
Lincoln..........................................       1.51       1.54       0.03       0.57       0.57       1.22       1.22       2.29       2.29       5.59       5.62       0.03        0.5
Mecklenburg......................................       9.90      10.07       0.17      10.52      10.52       1.83       1.83      22.69      22.69      44.94      45.11       0.17        0.4
New Hanover......................................       2.21       2.25       0.04       2.10       2.10       1.10       1.10       6.15       6.15      11.56      11.60       0.04        0.3
Onslow...........................................       2.04       2.08       0.04       1.83       1.83       0.70       0.70       4.69       4.69       9.26       9.30       0.04        0.4
Randolph.........................................       2.74       2.81       0.07       0.97       0.97       1.58       1.58       7.10       7.10      12.39      12.46       0.07        0.6
Rockingham.......................................       1.94       1.99       0.05       0.75       0.75       2.20       2.20       4.71       4.71       9.60       9.65       0.05        0.5
Rowan............................................       2.63       2.69       0.06       1.10       1.10       5.48       5.48       3.91       3.91      13.12      13.18       0.06        0.5
Union............................................       2.78       2.83       0.05       2.13       2.13       1.03       1.03       6.35       6.35      12.29      12.34       0.05        0.4
Wake.............................................       9.66       9.81       0.15       7.66       7.66       1.94       1.94      22.27      22.27      41.53      41.68       0.15        0.4
                                                  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total........................................      76.82       78.4       1.58       48.9       48.9      42.24      42.24     163.63     163.63     331.59     333.17       1.58        0.5
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The results in Table 5 show that changing the vehicle model year 
coverage for the 22 counties subject to the expanded I/M program 
increases anthropogenic VOC emissions for only on-road vehicles ranging 
from 0.02 tpd to 0.17 tpd. The percent increase in total VOC emissions 
for each county ranges from 0.3 percent to 0.8 percent. The total 
increase in VOC emissions associated with changing the vehicle model 
year coverage for the expanded I/M program in the year 2018 is 
approximately 1.6 tpd or 0.5 percent of the total man-made emissions 
(333 tpd).\21\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \21\ When biogenic VOC emissions from natural sources (average 
of 1,973 tpd during July using EPA's 2011 National Emissions 
Inventory (NEI v2)) are added to the man-made emissions (333 tpd), 
the actual VOC emissions increase is only 0.07 percent (1.6/2,305 
tpd x 100). This is a very small change that EPA believes will not 
translate into measurable ground-level ozone concentrations in North 
Carolina.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    As shown in Table 6 below, total NOX and VOC emissions 
would increase 2.0

[[Page 22781]]

tpd (0.8 percent) and 1.6 tpd (0.5 percent), respectively.

 Table 6--Summary of On-Road NOX and VOC Emissions Increases Associated With Changing Vehicle MY Coverage in 22
                                       Counties Subject to the I/M Program
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                                 NOX emissions
                                                                                    in 2018       VOC emissions
                                                                                                     in 2018
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total On-Road Emissions with Current I/M Program (tpd)........................            106.9             76.8
Total On-Road Emissions with Revised I/M Program (tpd)........................            108.9             78.4
Emissions Increases (tpd).....................................................              2.0              1.6
Percent Increase: On-road only................................................              1.9              2.1
Percent Increase: Total anthropogenic.........................................              0.8              0.5
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    North Carolina's emissions analysis, as reflected in Tables 4, 5, 
and 6, above, indicate that only a very small increase in 
NOX and VOC emissions (less than one percent overall) is 
associated with changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 
counties subject to the expanded I/M program. Based on this, as well as 
the design values shown in Table 3, above, and EPA's further analysis 
specific to ozone in relation to the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance 
Area as described in section d below, EPA is proposing to find that 
changing the vehicle model year coverage from a specific year-based 
date (1996) to a rolling 20-year timeframe for the 22 counties subject 
to the North Carolina expanded I/M program requirements would not 
interfere with maintenance of the ozone NAAQS in the State.
ii. Noninterference Analysis for the PM NAAQS
    Over the course of several years, EPA has reviewed and revised the 
PM2.5 NAAQS a number of times. On July 16, 1997, EPA 
established an annual PM2.5 NAAQS of 15.0 micrograms per 
cubic meter ([mu]g/m\3\), based on a 3-year average of annual mean 
PM2.5 concentrations, and a 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS 
of 65 [mu]g/m\3\, based on a 3-year average of the 98th percentile of 
24-hour concentrations. See 62 FR 36852 (July 18, 1997). On September 
21, 2006, EPA retained the 1997 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS of 15.0 
[mu]g/m\3\ but revised the 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS to 35 [mu]g/
m\3\, based again on a 3-year average of the 98th percentile of 24-hour 
concentrations. See 71 FR 61144 (October 17, 2006). On December 14, 
2012, EPA retained the 2006 24-hour PM2.5 NAAQS of 35 [mu]g/
m\3\ but revised the annual primary PM2.5 NAAQS to 12.0 
[mu]g/m\3\, based again on a 3-year average of annual mean 
PM2.5 concentrations. See 78 FR 3086 (January 15, 2013).
    EPA promulgated designations for the 1997 Annual PM2.5 
NAAQS on January 5, 2005 (70 FR 944), and April 14, 2005 (70 FR 19844). 
Of the 22 counties subject to this rulemaking, Catawba, Davidson and 
Guilford counties were designated nonattainment for the 1997 Annual 
PM2.5 NAAQS. These areas have since been redesignated to 
attainment for the 1997 Annual PM2.5 NAAQS and continue to 
attain this NAAQS. See 76 FR 71452 and 76 FR 71455 (November 18, 2011). 
On November 13, 2009, and on January 15, 2015, EPA published notices 
determining that the entire state of North Carolina was unclassifiable/
attainment for the 2006 daily PM2.5 NAAQS and the 2012 
Annual PM2.5 NAAQS, respectively. See 71 FR 61144 and 78 FR 
3086.
    In North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State 
concluded that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 
22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/M program would not 
interfere with attainment or maintenance of the PM2.5 NAAQS. 
The pollution control systems for light-duty gasoline vehicles subject 
to the expanded I/M program are not designed to reduce emissions for 
PM2.5; therefore, changing the I/M requirements will not 
have any impact on ambient concentrations of PM2.5. In 
addition, MOVES2014 modeling results indicate that changing the vehicle 
model year coverage for the expanded I/M program would not increase 
direct PM2.5 emissions. EPA has evaluated the State's 
analysis and proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model 
year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/M 
program would not interfere with maintenance of the PM2.5 
NAAQS in the State.
iii. Noninterference Analysis for the 2010 NO2 NAAQS
    The 2010 NO2 1-hour standard is set at 100 ppb, based on 
the 3-year average of the 98th percentile of the yearly distribution of 
1-hour daily maximum concentrations. The annual standard of 53 ppb is 
based on the annual mean concentration. On February 17, 2012, EPA 
designated all counties in North Carolina as unclassifiable/attainment 
for the 2010 NO2 NAAQS. See 77 FR 9532.
    Based on the technical analysis in North Carolina's July 25, 2018, 
SIP revision, the projected increase in total anthropogenic 
NOX emissions (of which NO2 is a component) 
associated with the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 
22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/M program ranges from 0.08 
to 0.25 tpd in 2018. All NO2 monitors in the State are 
measuring below the annual NO2 standard, and all near road 
monitors are measuring well below the 1-hour NO2 standard. 
Given the current unclassifiable/attainment designation and the results 
of North Carolina's emissions analysis which show a de minimis increase 
in NOX, EPA proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle 
model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/
M program would not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
NO2 NAAQS in the State.
iv. Noninterference Analysis for the CO NAAQS
    EPA promulgated the CO NAAQS in 1971 and has retained the standards 
since its last review in 2011. The primary NAAQS for CO include: (1) An 
8-hour standard of 9.0 ppm, measured using the annual second highest 8-
hour concentration for two consecutive years as the design value; and 
(2) a 1-hour average of 35 ppm, using the second highest 1-hour average 
within a given year. Eighteen of the 22 counties in North Carolina's 
expanded I/M program have never been designated nonattainment for the 
CO NAAQS. Durham, Forsyth, Mecklenburg and Wake counties were all 
previously designed nonattainment for the CO NAAQS over 20 years ago 
and have since been redesignated to attainment. Currently, there are 
two monitors in North Carolina for CO. These monitors are in 
Mecklenburg and Wake Counties and reflect design values well below both 
the 8-hour and 1-hour CO NAAQS. The monitoring data in 2017 show an 8-

[[Page 22782]]

hour design value of 1.3 ppm for the Charlotte Area and 1.2 ppm for the 
Raleigh-Durham Area--each less than the 9.0 ppm CO NAAQS. For the 1-
hour CO NAAQS of 35 ppm, these two monitors have a 1-hour design value 
of 1.5 ppm for the Charlotte Area and 1.6 ppm for Raleigh-Durham Area 
in 2017.
    In North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision, the State 
concluded that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 
22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/M program would not 
interfere with attainment or maintenance of the CO NAAQS. MOVES2014 
mobile emissions modeling results show a slight increase in CO 
emissions for each of the 22 counties ranging from 0.21 tpd in Franklin 
County to 1.85 tpd in Mecklenburg County in 2018. Statewide, the 
current ambient air quality levels for CO are less than 20 percent of 
the CO NAAQS. Given how far below the monitoring results are relative 
to the CO standard, and North Carolina's sustained compliance with the 
CO NAAQS, EPA does not believe that these slight increases would cause 
any area in the State to violate the CO NAAQS. For these reasons, EPA 
proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage 
for the 22 counties in North Carolina's expanded I/M program would not 
interfere with maintenance of the CO NAAQS in the State.
v. Noninterference Analysis for the SO2 NAAQS
    On June 22, 2010, EPA revised the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS to 75 
ppb which became effective on August 23, 2010. See 75 FR 35520. On 
August 5, 2013, EPA initially designated nonattainment only in areas 
with violating 2009-2011 monitoring data. EPA did not designate any 
county in North Carolina for the 2010 1-hour SO2 NAAQS as 
part of the initial designation. See 78 FR 47191. On March 2, 2015, a 
Consent Decree was issued by the United States District Court for the 
Northern District of California stipulating the time and method for 
designating the remaining areas in the Country.\22\ For North Carolina, 
EPA designated the entire state attainment/unclassifiable for 
SO2 (pursuant to a consent decree) on December 21, 2017 
(effective April 9, 2018 https://www.gpo.gov/fdsys/pkg/FR-2018-01-09/pdf/2017-28423.pdf), except for the following townships/counties: 
Beaverdam Township (Haywood County); Limestone Township (Buncombe 
County); and Cunningham Township (Person County). Counties listed above 
deployed monitors which EPA intends to designate by December 2020. 
Also, a portion of Brunswick County was designated unclassifiable 
effective in August 2016.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \22\ Copy of the Consent Decree--https://www.epa.gov/so2designations/pdfs/201503FinalCourtOrder.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Based on the technical analysis in North Carolina's July 25, 2018, 
SIP revision, the State concluded that the changes to the vehicle model 
year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/M 
program would not interfere with attainment or maintenance of the 
SO2 NAAQS. The pollution control systems for light-duty 
gasoline vehicles subject to the expanded I/M program are not designed 
to reduce emissions for SO2; therefore, changing the vehicle 
model year coverage for the 22 counties in North Carolina's expanded I/
M program will not have any impact on ambient concentrations of 
SO2. In addition, sulfur content in fuel has been 
significantly decreased through EPA's Tier 2 and Tier 3 rulemakings 
which tightened engine standards and required fuel formulations contain 
reduced levels of sulfur. See 65 FR 6698 (February 10, 2000) and 81 FR 
23641 (April 22, 2016). MOVES2014 modeling results indicate that the 
changes to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North 
Carolina's expanded I/M program would not increase SO2 
emissions. For these reasons, EPA proposes to find that the changes to 
the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina's 
expanded I/M program would not interfere with maintenance of the 2010 
SO2 NAAQS in the State.
vi. Noninterference Analysis for 2008 Lead NAAQS
    On November 12, 2008 (73 FR 66964), EPA promulgated a revised 
primary and secondary lead NAAQS of 0.15 [micro]g/m\3\. Under EPA's 
regulations at 40 CFR part 50, the 2008 lead NAAQS are met when the 
maximum arithmetic 3-month mean concentration for a 3-year period, as 
determined in accordance with Appendix R of 40 CFR part 50, is less 
than or equal to 0.15 [micro]g/m\3\. See 40 CFR 50.16. On November 8, 
2011, EPA designated the entire State of North Carolina as 
unclassifiable/attainment for that NAAQS. See 76 FR 72907. North 
Carolina's ambient lead levels have remained well below the standard. 
The pollution control systems for light-duty gasoline vehicles subject 
to the I/M program are not designed to reduce emissions for lead; 
therefore, changing the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties 
in North Carolina's expanded I/M program will not have any impact on 
ambient concentrations of lead. MOVES 2014 modeling results indicate 
that this change would not increase lead emissions. For these reasons, 
EPA proposes to find that the changes to the vehicle model year 
coverage for the 22 counites in North Carolina's expanded I/M program 
would not interfere with maintenance of the 2008 lead NAAQS in the 
State.

D. Revision to the 2008 8-Hour Ozone NAAQS Maintenance Plan for the 
North Carolina Portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area

    In its July 25, 2018, SIP revision, North Carolina updated the 
mobile emissions for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area's plan, 
including the MVEBs, to reflect the change to the vehicle model year 
coverage in North Carolina's expanded I/M program. The emissions 
inventory updates were done using the latest planning assumptions and 
are detailed on pages 31-42 of the State's submittal titled ``Revised 
Maintenance Plan for the Charlotte-Gastonia-Salisbury, North Carolina 
2008 8-Hour Ozone Marginal Nonattainment Area,'' dated July 25, 2018, 
which is included in the docket for this proposed rulemaking.
    North Carolina revised the emissions forecasts and the MVEBs for 
2026 to account for the small increase in NOX and VOC 
emissions associated with the change in vehicle model year coverage for 
the relevant counties in North Carolina's expanded I/M program. The 
total sum of the man-made VOC and NOX emissions for the 
North Carolina portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area are 
shown in Tables 7 and 8. Maintenance is demonstrated when the emissions 
are less than the baseline year. The baseline year is 2014. As shown in 
Table 7, for NOX, all the years are under the baseline of 
130.18 tons per summer day (tpsd), with the final year of 2026 
emissions at 60.28 tpsd. Additionally, as shown in Table 8, for VOC, 
all years are under the baseline of 113.12 tpsd, with the final year of 
2026 emissions at 95.99 tpsd.

[[Page 22783]]



       Table 7--Total Man-Made NOX Emissions for North Carolina Portion of the Charlotte Maintenance Area
                                                     [tpsd]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             County                    2014            2015            2018            2022            2026
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cabarrus........................           11.49           10.73            6.73            5.44            4.44
Gaston..........................           27.89           27.62           12.03            6.41            7.87
Iredell.........................            6.86            6.49            5.41            4.68            4.16
Lincoln.........................            4.36            4.71            6.41            4.29            2.34
Mecklenburg.....................           56.71           52.97           39.16           33.52           31.33
Rowan...........................           11.74           11.31            8.28            7.01            6.10
Union...........................           11.13           10.36            6.63            5.09            4.05
                                 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................          130.18          124.19           84.69           66.44           60.28
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


       Table 8--Total Man-Made VOC Emissions for North Carolina Portion of the Charlotte Maintenance Area
                                                     [tpsd]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             County                    2014            2015            2018            2022            2026
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cabarrus........................           11.50           11.27            9.51            9.23            9.02
Gaston..........................           12.96           12.74           11.53           10.94           10.74
Iredell.........................            6.33            6.22            5.29            5.11            4.97
Lincoln.........................            6.55            6.47            4.81            4.66            4.51
Mecklenburg.....................           50.10           49.16           45.31           44.47           31.33
Rowan...........................           12.59           12.38           12.47           12.19            6.10
Union...........................           13.09           12.85           10.91           10.68            4.05
                                 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................          113.12          111.09           99.82           97.28           95.99
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    EPA is proposing to approve the updated emissions for the 2008 8-
hour ozone maintenance plan for the North Carolina portion of the 
Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area because it demonstrates that the 
projected emissions inventories for 2026 (the final year of the 
maintenance plan), 10 years beyond the re-designation year, as well as 
the interim years, are all less than the base year emissions inventory.

E. Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets

    As stated above, North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP revision also 
changed the MVEBs for the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS for the North 
Carolina portion of the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area for 
transportation conformity purposes.\23\ North Carolina originally 
established MVEBs for the North Carolina portion of the Charlotte 2008 
Ozone Maintenance Area for the 2008 8-hour ozone standard in its 
redesignation and maintenance SIP. EPA approved these MVEBs on July 28, 
2015 (effective date August 27, 2015). See 80 FR 44873. Subsequently, 
North Carolina updated the emissions projections in North Carolina's 
maintenance plan for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area and 
updated the MVEBs as well to account for the State's request for 
changes to the Reid Vapor Pressure (RVP) requirements for the Area. On 
July 28, 2015, EPA approved this revision to the maintenance plan and 
the MVEBs. See 80 FR 44868. North Carolina's July 25, 2018, SIP 
revision updates the Charlotte 2008 8-hour ozone maintenance plan to 
account for the change in the vehicle model year coverage for the 
relevant counties in the expanded I/M program, and consequently updates 
the MVEBs for transportation conformity.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \23\ The Federal Transportation Conformity Rule (40 CFR 93.100-
129) provides the process by which the air quality impact of 
transportation plans, transportation improvement programs, and 
projects are analyzed. The agency preparing transportation plans 
(projections of twenty or more years), transportation improvement 
programs (TIP) (projections of at least four years), or approving a 
transportation project must analyze the emissions expected from such 
a proposal in accordance with the Transportation Conformity Rule. 
For the purposes of transportation conformity, the MVEB is 
essentially a cap on the total emissions allocated to on-road 
vehicles. The projected regional emissions calculated based on a 
transportation plan, TIP, or project, may not exceed the MVEBs or 
cap contained in the appropriate SIP. Emissions in years for which 
no MVEBs are specifically established must be less than or equal to 
the MVEB established for the most recent prior year.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For transportation conformity purposes, the MVEBs in North Carolina 
are expressed in kilograms per summer day (kpsd). This is because the 
kpsd is used as the specific unit for all MOVES2014 model outputs. The 
emission values in kpsd were divided by 907.1847 to convert them to 
units of tpsd. Table 9 shows the highway mobile NOX and VOC 
summer day emissions for the counties in the Charlotte 2008 Ozone 
Maintenance Area expressed in tpsd and the corresponding kpsd values 
for the base year 2014 and the last year of the maintenance plan 2026. 
Table 10 shows the maintenance level projections and the calculation of 
the safety margin for the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area.

       Table 9--Highway Mobile Source NOX and VOC Summer Day Emissions for North Carolina Portion of 2008 8-Hour Ozone Charlotte Maintenance Area
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                          2014 NOX                  2014 VOC                  2026 NOX                  2026 VOC
                     County                      -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                      tpsd         kgsd         tpsd         kgsd         tpsd         kgsd         tpsd         kgsd
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cabarrus........................................         6.60        5,989         4.15        3,765         2.00        1,810         2.19        1,982
Gaston..........................................         8.11        7,357         4.61        4,179         2.12        1,924         1.86        1,689

[[Page 22784]]

 
Iredell.........................................         3.36        3,045         1.95        1,768         1.00          903         0.88          801
Lincoln.........................................         3.00        2,723         1.91        1,737         0.83          757         0.86          779
Mecklenburg.....................................        26.99       24,488        14.40       13,060         7.17        6,501         6.98        6,334
Rowan...........................................         6.42        5,825         3.76        3,408         1.73        1,571         1.53        1,389
Union...........................................         5.67        5,146         3.54        3,210         1.62        1,466         1.68        1,520
                                                 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Total.......................................        60.15       54,572        34.32       31,127        16.47       14,932        15.98       14,492
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


  Table 10--Maintenance Demonstration for North Carolina Portion of the
                             Charlotte Area
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                  NOX (tpsd)
                      Year                                    VOC (tpsd)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2014............................................      130.18      113.12
2015............................................      124.19      111.09
2018............................................       84.69       99.82
2022............................................       66.44       97.28
2026............................................       60.28       95.99
                                                 -----------------------
    Difference from 2014 to 2026 (safety margin)       69.90       17.13
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    North Carolina chose to apply a percentage of the safety margin to 
each county in the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area for the year 
2026 only.\24\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \24\ A safety margin is the difference between the attainment 
levels of emissions from all sources (i.e., point, area, on-road and 
non-road) and the projected level of emissions from all source 
categories. The state may choose to allocate some of the safety 
margin to the MVEB for transportation conformity purposes, so long 
as the total level of emissions from all source categories remains 
below the attainment level of emissions. According to Section 93.118 
of the transportation conformity rule, a maintenance plan must 
contain a MVEB for the last year of the maintenance plan (in this 
case 2026). North Carolina allocated a portion of the safety margin 
for 2026 to the MVEBs to allow for unanticipated growth in vehicle 
miles traveled.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Tables 11 through 13 provide the updated NOX and VOC 
MVEBs with the added safety margins in kgsd for transportation 
conformity purposes for 2014 and 2026. These MVEBs were developed using 
a five-step approach that included the percentage each county was below 
the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS, rapid growth in on-road vehicle emissions 
anticipated and potential increases in vehicle miles traveled, and 
vehicle mix and age distribution. In updating the MVEBs, North Carolina 
ensured that the sum of the safety margin applied to the MVEBs do not 
exceed 50 percent of the available safety margin. North Carolina has 
established sub-area budgets for each metropolitan planning 
organization within the Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area.

           Table 11--Cabarrus Rowan Metropolitan Planning Organization (CRMPO) MVEBs in 2014 and 2026
                                                     [kgsd]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     2014 NOX        2014 VOC        2026 NOX        2026 VOC
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Base Emissions..................................          11,814           7,173           3,381           3,371
Safety margin allocated to MVEB.................  ..............  ..............             846             843
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Conformity MVEB.............................          11,814           7,173           4,227           4,214
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


      Table 12--Gaston-Cleveland-Lincoln Metropolitan Planning Organization (GCLMPO) MVEBs in 2014 and 2026
                                                     [kgsd]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     2014 NOX        2014 VOC        2026 NOX        2026 VOC
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Base Emissions..................................          10,079           5,916           2,681           2,468
Safety margin allocated to MVEB.................  ..............  ..............             551             510
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Conformity MVEB.............................          10,079           5,916           3,232           2,978
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


[[Page 22785]]


      Table 13--Charlotte Regional Transportation Planning Organization (CRTPO)--Rocky River Rural Planning
                                   Organization (RRRPO) MVEBs in 2014 and 2026
                                                     [kgsd]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                     2014 NOX        2014 VOC        2026 NOX        2026 VOC
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Base Emissions..................................          32,679          18,038           8,870           8,655
Safety margin allocated to MVEB.................  ..............  ..............           1,596           1,557
                                                 ---------------------------------------------------------------
    Conformity MVEB.............................          32,679          18,038          10,466          10,212
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    A total of 2,993 kgsd (3.30 tpsd) of the 2026 NOX safety margin is 
added to the MVEB for the entire Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. 
A total of 2,910 kgsd (3.21 tpsd) of the 2026 VOC safety margin is 
added to the MVEB for the entire Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area. 
The revised available safety margin, which considers the portion of the 
safety margin applied to the new MVEB for each project year, is listed 
below in Table 14.

    Table 14--New Safety Margin for the North Carolina Portion of the
              Charlotte 2008 8-Hour Ozone Maintenance Area
                                 [tpsd]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
                     Year                           NOX          VOC
------------------------------------------------------------------------
2014..........................................          N/A          N/A
2015..........................................        -5.99        -2.03
2018..........................................       -45.49       -13.30
2022..........................................       -63.74       -15.84
2026..........................................       -66.60       -13.92
------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Through this rulemaking, EPA is proposing to approve the updated 
sub-area MVEBs for NOX and VOC for 2014 and 2026 for the 
North Carolina portion of Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area because 
EPA has determined that the Area maintains the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS 
with the emissions at the levels of the budgets. Once the subarea MVEBs 
for the North Carolina portion of Charlotte 2008 Ozone Maintenance Area 
are approved or found adequate (whichever is completed first), they 
must be used for future conformity determinations. After thorough 
review, EPA has determined that the budgets meet the adequacy criteria, 
as outlined in 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4), and is proposing to approve the 
budgets because they are consistent with maintenance of the 2008 8-hour 
ozone NAAQS through 2026.

IV. Incorporation by Reference

    In this document, EPA is proposing to include in a final EPA rule 
regulatory text that includes incorporation by reference. In accordance 
with the requirements of 1 CFR 51.5, EPA is proposing to incorporate by 
reference the following rules under Subchapter 2D of the North Carolina 
SIP: Section .1001, Purpose; Section .1002, Applicability; Section 
.1003, Definitions; and Section .1005, On-Board Diagnostic Standards. 
The changes to Sections .1001, .1003, and .1005 are formatting or 
clarifying in nature. The change to Section .1002 modifies the vehicle 
model year coverage requirements for the 22 counties in North 
Carolina's expanded I/M program. EPA has made, and will continue to 
make, these materials generally available through www.regulations.gov 
and/or at the EPA Region 4 office (please contact the person identified 
in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section of this preamble for 
more information).

V. Proposed Action

    For the reasons explained above in Section III of this proposed 
rulemaking, EPA is proposing to approve North Carolina's July 25, 2018, 
SIP revision. Specifically, EPA is proposing to approve the formatting 
and clarifying changes to Subchapter 2D, Sections .1001, .1003 and 
.1005. EPA is also proposing to approve changes to Section .1002 
relating to the vehicle model year coverage for the 22 counties in 
North Carolina's expanded I/M program (Alamance, Buncombe, Cabarrus, 
Cumberland, Davidson, Durham, Forsyth, Franklin, Gaston, Guilford, 
Iredell, Johnston, Lee, Lincoln, Mecklenburg, New Hanover, Onslow, 
Randolph, Rockingham, Rowan, Union and Wake). Additionally, EPA is 
proposing to find that the changes to the vehicle model year coverage 
for the 22 counties in North Carolina's expanded I/M program will not 
interfere with the State's obligations under the NOX SIP Call to meet 
its Statewide NOX emissions budget and will not interfere with 
continued attainment or maintenance of any applicable NAAQS or with any 
other applicable requirement of the CAA, and that North Carolina has 
satisfied the requirements of section 110(l) of the CAA. Finally, EPA 
is proposing to approve the updated emissions for the 2008 8-hour ozone 
maintenance plan, including the updated MVEBs, for the Charlotte 2008 
Ozone Maintenance Area.

VI. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews

    Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP 
submittal that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable 
federal regulations. See 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in 
reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state choices, 
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this 
proposed action merely proposes to approve state law as meeting Federal 
requirements and does not propose to impose additional requirements 
beyond those imposed by state law. For that reason, this proposed 
action:
     Is not a significant regulatory action subject to review 
by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders 12866 (58 
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21, 2011);
     Does not impose an information collection burden under the 
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
     Is certified as not having a significant economic impact 
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory 
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
     Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or 
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded 
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
     Does not have Federalism implications as specified in 
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, October 7, 1999);
     Is not an economically significant regulatory action based 
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR 
19885, April 23, 1997);
     Is not a significant regulatory action subject to 
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
     Is not subject to requirements of section 12(d) of the 
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent 
with the CAA; and

[[Page 22786]]

     Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to 
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental 
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under 
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
    In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian 
reservation land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has 
demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian 
country, the proposed rule does not have tribal implications as 
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000) nor 
will it impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or 
preempt tribal law.

List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52

    Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by 
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, 
Particulate matter, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, and 
Volatile organic compounds.

    Authority:  42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.

    Dated: May 6, 2019.
Mary S. Walker,
Acting Regional Administrator, Region 4.
[FR Doc. 2019-10347 Filed 5-17-19; 8:45 am]
 BILLING CODE 6560-50-P


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