Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted Percentages for the 2018-19 Crop Year and Revision of Grower Diversion Requirements for Tart Cherries, 20043-20048 [2019-09152]
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20043
Proposed Rules
Federal Register
Vol. 84, No. 89
Wednesday, May 8, 2019
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER
contains notices to the public of the proposed
issuance of rules and regulations. The
purpose of these notices is to give interested
persons an opportunity to participate in the
rule making prior to the adoption of the final
rules.
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 930
[Doc. No. AMS–SC–18–0083; SC19–930–1
PR]
Tart Cherries Grown in the States of
Michigan, et al.; Free and Restricted
Percentages for the 2018–19 Crop Year
and Revision of Grower Diversion
Requirements for Tart Cherries
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
This proposed rule would
implement a recommendation from the
Cherry Industry Administrative Board
(Board) to establish free and restricted
percentages for the 2018–19 crop year
under the Marketing Order for tart
cherries grown in the states of Michigan,
New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah,
Washington, and Wisconsin. This action
would establish the proportion of tart
cherries from the 2018–19 crop which
may be handled in commercial outlets.
This action would also revise the
regulations regarding grower diversion.
This action should stabilize marketing
conditions by adjusting supply to meet
market demand and help improve
grower returns.
DATES: Comments must be received by
June 7, 2019.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are
invited to submit written comments
concerning this proposal. Comments
must be sent to the Docket Clerk,
Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue SW, STOP 0237, Washington,
DC 20250–0237; Fax: (202) 720–8938; or
internet: https://www.regulations.gov. All
comments should reference the
document number and the date and
page number of this issue of the Federal
Register and will be made available for
public inspection in the Office of the
Docket Clerk during regular business
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SUMMARY:
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hours, or can be viewed at: https://
www.regulations.gov. All comments
submitted in response to this proposal
will be included in the record and will
be made available to the public. Please
be advised that the identity of the
individuals or entities submitting the
comments will be made public on the
internet at the address provided above.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Jennie M. Varela, Marketing Specialist,
or Christian D. Nissen, Regional
Director, Southeast Marketing Field
Office, Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program,
AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324–
3375, Fax: (863) 291–8614, or Email:
Jennie.Varela@usda.gov or
Christian.Nissen@usda.gov.
Small businesses may request
information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Richard Lower,
Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue SW, STOP 0237, Washington,
DC 20250–0237; Telephone: (202) 720–
2491, Fax: (202) 720–8938, or Email:
Richard.Lower@ams.usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This
action, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553,
proposes an amendment to regulations
issued to carry out a marketing order as
defined in 7 CFR 900.2(j). This proposed
rule is issued under Marketing
Agreement and Order No. 930, both as
amended (7 CFR part 930), regulating
the handling of tart cherries produced in
the states of Michigan, New York,
Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah,
Washington and Wisconsin. Part 930
(referred to as the ‘‘Order’’) is effective
under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7
U.S.C. 601–674), hereinafter referred to
as the ‘‘Act.’’ The Board locally
administers the Order and is comprised
of producers and handlers of tart
cherries operating within the
production area, and a public member.
The Department of Agriculture
(USDA) is issuing this proposed rule in
conformance with Executive Orders
13563 and 13175. This proposed rule
falls within a category of regulatory
action that the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) exempted from
Executive Order 12866 review.
Additionally, because this proposed
rule does not meet the definition of a
significant regulatory action, it does not
trigger the requirements contained in
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Executive Order 13771. See OMB’s
Memorandum titled ‘‘Interim Guidance
Implementing Section 2 of the Executive
Order of January 30, 2017, titled
‘Reducing Regulation and Controlling
Regulatory Costs’ ’’ (February 2, 2017).
This proposed rule has been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform. Under the Order
provisions now in effect, free and
restricted percentages may be
established for tart cherries handled
during the crop year. This proposed rule
would establish free and restricted
percentages for tart cherries for the
2018–19 crop year, beginning July 1,
2018, through June 30, 2019.
The Act provides that administrative
proceedings must be exhausted before
parties may file suit in court. Under
section 608c(15)(A) of the Act, any
handler subject to an order may file
with USDA a petition stating that the
order, any provision of the order, or any
obligation imposed in connection with
the order is not in accordance with law
and request a modification of the order
or to be exempted therefrom. A handler
is afforded the opportunity for a hearing
on the petition. After the hearing, USDA
would rule on the petition. The Act
provides that the district court of the
United States in any district in which
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his
or her principal place of business, has
jurisdiction to review USDA’s ruling on
the petition, provided an action is filed
not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
This proposed rule invites comments
on the establishment of free and
restricted percentages for the 2018–19
crop year. This proposal would
establish the proportion of tart cherries
from the 2018–19 crop which may be
handled in commercial outlets at 73
percent free and 27 percent restricted.
This action would also revise the
regulations regarding grower diversion
to codify the Board’s definition of
marketable fruit. The Secretary of
Agriculture (Secretary) has determined
that designating free and restricted
percentages of tart cherries for the 2018–
2019 crop year would effectuate the
declared policy of the Act to stabilize
marketing conditions by adjusting
supply to meet market demand and help
improve grower returns. These
recommendations were made by the
Board at meetings on September 13,
2018, and October 23, 2018.
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Section 930.51(a) provides the
Secretary authority to regulate volume
by designating free and restricted
percentages for any tart cherries
acquired by handlers in a given crop
year. Section 930.50 prescribes
procedures for computing an optimum
supply based on sales history and for
calculating these free and restricted
percentages. Free percentage volume
may be shipped to any market, while
restricted percentage volume must be
held by handlers in a primary or
secondary reserve, or be diverted or
used for exempt purposes as prescribed
in §§ 930.159 and 930.162. Exempt
purposes include, in part, the
development of new products, sales into
new markets, the development of export
markets, and charitable contributions.
Sections 930.55 through 930.57
prescribe procedures for inventory
reserve. For cherries held in reserve,
handlers would be responsible for
storage and would retain title of the tart
cherries.
Under § 930.52, only districts with an
annual average production over the
prior three years of at least six million
pounds are subject to regulation, and
any district producing a crop that is less
than 50 percent of its annual average of
the previous five years is exempt. The
regulated districts for the 2018–19 crop
year would be: District 1—Northern
Michigan; District 2—Central Michigan;
District 3—Southern Michigan; District
4—New York; District 7—Utah; District
8—Washington; and District 9—
Wisconsin. Districts 5 and 6 (Oregon
and Pennsylvania, respectively) would
not be regulated for the 2018–19 season.
Section 930.58 of the Order provides
authority for voluntary grower
diversion. When volume regulation is in
effect, growers can divert all or a portion
of their cherries which otherwise, upon
delivery to a handler, would be subject
to regulation. This section also
authorizes the Board, with the approval
of the Secretary, to establish terms and
conditions for grower diversion. Section
930.158 prescribes the rules and
regulations for grower diversion,
including a requirement that diverted
cherries be marketable.
Demand for tart cherries and tart
cherry products tends to be relatively
stable from year to year. Conversely,
annual tart cherry production can vary
greatly. In addition, tart cherries are
processed and can be stored and carried
over from crop year to crop year, further
impacting supply. As a result, supply
and demand for tart cherries are rarely
in balance.
Because demand for tart cherries is
inelastic, total sales volume is not very
responsive to changes in price.
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However, prices are very sensitive to
changes in supply. As such, an
oversupply of cherries would have a
sharp negative effect on prices, driving
down grower returns. Aware of this
economic relationship, the Board
focuses on using the volume control
provisions in the Order to balance
supply and demand to stabilize industry
returns.
Pursuant to § 930.50, the Board meets
on or about July 1 to review sales data,
inventory data, current crop forecasts,
and market conditions for the upcoming
season and, if necessary, to recommend
preliminary free and restricted
percentages if anticipated supply would
exceed demand. After harvest is
complete, but no later than September
15, the Board meets again to update its
calculations using actual production
data, consider any necessary
adjustments to the preliminary
percentages, and determine if final free
and restricted percentages should be
recommended to the Secretary.
The Board uses sales history,
inventory, and production data to
determine whether there is a surplus
and, if so, how much volume should be
restricted to maintain optimum supply.
The optimum supply represents the
desirable volume of tart cherries that
should be available for sale in the
coming crop year. Optimum supply is
defined as the average free sales of the
prior three years plus desirable carryout inventory. Desirable carry-out is the
amount of fruit needed by the industry
to be carried into the succeeding crop
year to meet market demand until the
new crop is available. Desirable carryout is set by the Board after considering
market circumstances and needs.
Section 930.151(b) specifies that
desirable carry-out can range from zero
to a maximum of 100 million pounds.
In addition, USDA’s ‘‘Guidelines for
Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop
Marketing Orders’’ (https://
www.ams.usda.gov/publications/
content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetablemarketing-orders) specify that 110
percent of recent years’ sales should be
made available to primary markets each
season before recommendations for
volume regulation are approved. This
requirement is codified in § 930.50(g),
which specifies that in years when
restricted percentages are established,
the Board shall make available tonnage
equivalent to an additional 10 percent of
the average sales of the prior three years
for market expansion (market growth
factor).
After the Board determines optimum
supply, desirable carry-out, and market
growth factor, it must examine the
current year’s available volume to
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determine whether there is an
oversupply situation. Available volume
includes carry–in inventory (any
inventory available at the beginning of
the season) along with that season’s
production. If production is greater than
the optimum supply minus carry-in, the
difference is considered surplus. This
surplus tonnage is divided by the sum
of production in the regulated districts
to reach a restricted percentage. This
percentage must be held in reserve or
used for approved diversion activities,
such as exports.
The Board met on July 6, 2018, and
computed an optimum supply of 303
million pounds for the 2018–19 crop
year using the average of free sales for
the three previous seasons and desirable
carry-out. To determine the carry-out
figure, the Board discussed and
considered a range of alternatives. One
member suggested a carry-out value of
100 million pounds to maximize the
amount of fruit on the market and to
compete with imports. Another member
indicated both free and restricted
product could be used to compete with
imports and proposed a 50 million
pound carry-out. Another attendee
noted excessive carryout puts
downward pressure on prices. After the
consideration of the alternatives, the
Board determined a carry-out of 80
million pounds would supply the
industry’s needs at the beginning of the
next season.
The Board subtracted the estimated
carry-in of 125.1 million pounds from
the optimum supply to calculate the
production quantity needed from the
2018–19 crop to meet optimum supply.
This number, 177.9 million pounds, was
subtracted from the Board’s estimated
2018–19 total production (from
regulated and unregulated districts) of
344.5 million pounds to calculate a
surplus of 166.6 million pounds of tart
cherries. The Board also complied with
the market growth factor requirement by
removing 22.3 million pounds (average
sales for prior three years of 223 million
times 10 percent) from the surplus. The
adjusted surplus of 144.3 million
pounds was then divided by the
expected production in the regulated
districts (338.5 million pounds) to reach
a preliminary restricted percentage of 43
percent for the 2018–19 crop year.
The Board then discussed whether
this calculation would provide
sufficient supply to grow sales and fulfil
orders that have not yet shipped. Some
members and attendees expressed
concern that some existing inventory is
old enough that it is difficult to sell and
thus more of the current season’s fruit
should be made available. Some also
reported there may be poor fruit yield in
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Michigan, which would require more
tonnage to supply the same amount of
product. Others added the Board’s
demand calculations were not
considering growth in the juice and
dried fruit markets that are being served
by imported product. As a result, the
Board recommended an additional
economic adjustment of 48 million
pounds (18 million due to fruit quality
concerns and 30 million for expected
deliveries). With this adjustment, and
anticipated orchard diversion (25
million pounds) the Board’s preliminary
restricted percentage was 31 percent (96
million pounds divided by 313.5
million pounds).
The Board met again on September
13, 2018, to consider final volume
regulation percentages for the 2018–19
season. The final percentages are based
on the Board’s reported production
figures and the supply and demand
information available in September.
The total production for the 2018–19
season was 299.2 million pounds, 45.3
million pounds below the Board’s July
estimate. In addition, growers diverted
12.4 million pounds in the orchard,
about half of what had been anticipated.
As a result 286.8 million pounds would
be available to market, 282.3 million
pounds of which are in the restricted
districts. Using the actual production
numbers, and accounting for the
recommended desirable carry-out and
economic adjustment, as well as the
market growth factor, the restricted
percentage was recalculated.
The Board subtracted the carry-in
figure used in Julyof 125.1 million
pounds, from the optimum supply of
303 million pounds to determine 177.9
million pounds of 2018–19 production
would be necessary to reach optimum
supply. The Board subtracted the 177.9
million pounds from the actual
production of 299.2 million pounds,
resulting in a surplus of 121.3 million
pounds of tart cherries.
The Board also revisited its earlier
decision regarding an economic
adjustment. Many in attendance
expressed that the previously
20045
recommended economic adjustment
should be revisited to avoid placing
excess fruit on the market. One member
indicated the fruit quality in Michigan
was better than anticipated in July.
Other attendees indicated the
adjustment for additional sales had been
overstated. As a result, the Board
recommended lowering the economic
adjustment to 24 million pounds.
The recalculated surplus was reduced
by subtracting the revised economic
adjustment of 24 million pounds and
the market growth factor of 22.3 million
pounds, resulting in an adjusted surplus
of 75 million pounds. The Board then
divided this final surplus by the
available production of 282.3 million
pounds in the regulated districts (294.7
million pounds minus 12.4 million
pounds of in-orchard diversion) to
calculate a restricted percentage of 27
percent with a corresponding free
percentage of 73 percent for the 2018–
19 crop year, as outlined in the
following table:
Millions of
pounds
Final Calculations:
(1) Average sales of the prior three years ...................................................................................................................................
(2) Plus desirable carry-out ..........................................................................................................................................................
(3) Optimum supply calculated by the Board ...............................................................................................................................
(4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2018 .....................................................................................................................................................
(5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3 minus item 4) ....................................................................................................................
(6) Board reported production ......................................................................................................................................................
(7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5) ................................................................................................................................................
(8) Total economic adjustments ...................................................................................................................................................
(9) Market growth factor ...............................................................................................................................................................
(10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus items 8 and 9) ...................................................................................................................
(11) Supply in regulated districts ..................................................................................................................................................
(12) In-Orchard Diversion .............................................................................................................................................................
223
80
303
125.1
177.9
299.2
121.3
24
22.3
75
294.7
12.4
(13) Production minus in orchard diversion ..........................................................................................................................
282.3
Final Percentages:
Percent
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Restricted (item 10 divided by item 13 × 100) .............................................................................................................................
Free (100 minus restricted percentage) .......................................................................................................................................
The final restriction of 27 percent is
lower than the preliminary restriction
percentage of 31 percent. The largest
factor affecting this change was the final
production numbers that came in below
the Board’s July estimate. Additionally,
less fruit was diverted in orchard than
anticipated and the Board revised its
economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds. The desired carry-out remained
the same at 80 million pounds.
In discussing the calculation, several
members indicated they believed the
recommendation was too restrictive.
They supported maintaining the
economic adjustment at the original
level, which would have resulted in a
lower calculated restriction. Other
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members stated that reducing the
economic adjustment was reflective of
industry conditions and expressed
concern about putting too much fruit
into the market.
Establishing free and restricted
percentages is an attempt to bring
supply and demand into balance. If the
primary market is oversupplied with
cherries, grower prices decline
substantially. Restricted percentages
have benefited grower returns and
helped stabilize the market as compared
to those seasons prior to the
implementation of the Order. The
Board, based on its discussion of this
issue and the result of the above
calculations, believes the available
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27
73
information indicates a restricted
percentage should be established for the
2018–19 crop year to avoid
oversupplying the market with tart
cherries.
Consequently, the Board
recommended final percentages of 73
percent free and 27 percent restricted by
a vote of 13 in favor, 4 opposed, and 1
abstention. The Board could meet and
recommend the release of additional
volume during the crop year if
conditions so warranted. The Secretary
finds, from the recommendation and
supporting information supplied by the
Board, that designating final percentages
of 73 percent free and 27 percent
restricted would tend to effectuate the
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declared policy of the Act, and so
designates these percentages.
Additionally, the Board reviewed its
rules regarding grower diversion, as this
diversion option has become more of a
common practice over the past few
seasons. To receive grower diversion
credit, the Order requires that the fruit
left in the orchard must be marketable.
With no definition of marketable in the
Order, the Board had defined fruit as
unmarketable if insects were found in
any of the fruit sampled from the
acreage marked for diversion.
In 2016, the Board formed a
committee to investigate updating this
policy based on recent infestations of
spotted wing drosophila. The industry
was concerned growers would not
qualify for diversion if a zero-tolerance
policy remained in effect, but also
wanted to ensure orchards were
properly maintained to prevent the
spread of infestation. The Board
modified its working definition of
marketable to reflect aspects of the
tolerances in an FDA Compliance Policy
Guide (CPG Sec. 550.225 Cherries—
Brined, Fresh, Canned and Frozen—
Adulteration Involving Rot and Insect).
Specifically, the Board recommended
using a 5 percent tolerance for insects
and a 7 percent tolerance for rot when
sampling cherries for diversion. After
applying the two tolerances for insects
and rot over two harvests, the Board
found these levels were effective. The
Board discussed this issue at its
meetings on September 13, 2018, and
October 23, 2018, and unanimously
recommended incorporating this change
into the Order’s rules and regulations.
Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in
the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA) (5
U.S.C. 601–612), the Agricultural
Marketing Service (AMS) has
considered the economic impact of this
proposed rule on small entities.
Accordingly, AMS has prepared this
initial regulatory flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit
regulatory actions to the scale of
businesses subject to such actions in
order that small businesses will not be
unduly or disproportionately burdened.
Marketing orders issued pursuant to the
Act, and rules issued thereunder, are
unique in that they are brought about
through group action of essentially
small entities acting on their own
behalf.
There are approximately 600
producers of tart cherries in the
regulated area and approximately 40
handlers of tart cherries who are subject
to regulation under the Order. Small
agricultural producers are defined by
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the Small Business Administration
(SBA) as those having annual receipts of
less than $750,000, and small
agricultural service firms have been
defined as those whose annual receipts
are less than $7,500,000 (13 CFR
121.201).
According to the National
Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS)
and Board data, the average annual
grower price for tart cherries utilized for
processing during the 2017–18 season
was approximately $0.224 per pound.
With total utilization at approximately
254 million pounds for the 2017–18
season, the total 2017–18 value of the
crop utilized for processing is estimated
at $56.9 million. Dividing the crop value
by the estimated number of producers
(600) yields an estimated average receipt
per producer of $94,833. This is well
below the SBA threshold for small
producers.
A free on board (FOB) price of $0.82
per pound for frozen tart cherries was
reported by the Food Institute during
the 2017–2018 season. Based on
utilization, this price represents a good
estimate of the price for processed
cherries. Multiplying this FOB price by
total utilization of 254.1 million pounds
results in an estimated handler-level tart
cherry value of $208 million. Dividing
this figure by the number of handlers
(40) yields estimated average annual
handler receipts of $5.2 million, which
is below the SBA threshold for small
agricultural service firms. Assuming a
normal distribution, the majority of
producers and handlers of tart cherries
may be classified as small entities.
The tart cherry industry in the United
States is characterized by wide annual
fluctuations in production. According to
NASS, the pounds of tart cherry
production for the years 2012 through
2017 were 85 million, 294 million, 304
million, 253 million, 329 million, and
260 million, respectively. Because of
these fluctuations, supply and demand
for tart cherries are rarely in balance.
Demand for tart cherries is inelastic,
meaning changes in price have a
minimal effect on total sales volume.
However, prices are very sensitive to
changes in supply, and grower prices
vary widely in response to the large
swings in annual supply. Grower prices
per pound for processed utilization have
ranged from a low of $0.073 in 1987 to
a high of $0.588 per pound in 2012.
Because of this relationship between
supply and price, oversupplying the
market with tart cherries would have a
sharp negative effect on prices, driving
down grower returns. Aware of this
economic relationship, the Board
focuses on using the volume control
authority in the Order to align supply
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with demand and stabilize industry
returns. This authority allows the
industry to set free and restricted
percentages as a way to bring supply
and demand into balance. Free
percentage cherries can be marketed by
handlers to any outlet, while restricted
percentage volume must be held by
handlers in reserve, diverted, or used for
exempted purposes.
This proposal would control the
supply of tart cherries by establishing
percentages of 73 percent free and 27
percent restricted for the 2018–19 crop
year. These percentages should stabilize
marketing conditions by adjusting
supply to meet market demand and help
improve grower returns. The proposal
would regulate tart cherries handled in
Michigan, New York, Utah, Washington,
and Wisconsin. This proposal would
also revise the regulations regarding
grower diversion to codify the Board’s
definition of marketable fruit. The
authority for this proposed action is
provided in §§ 930.50, 930.51(a), 930.52,
and 930.58. The Board recommended
this action at meetings on September 13,
2018, and October 23, 2018.
This proposal would result in some
fruit being diverted from the primary
domestic markets. However, as
mentioned earlier, the USDA’s
‘‘Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders’’
(https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/
content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetablemarketing-orders) specify that 110
percent of recent years’ sales should be
made available to primary markets each
season before recommendations for
volume regulation are approved. Under
this proposal, the available quantity
would be more than 150 percent of the
average sales for the last three years.
In addition, there are secondary uses
available for restricted fruit, including
the development of new products, sales
into new markets, the development of
export markets, and being placed in
reserve. While these alternatives may
provide different levels of return than
the sales to primary markets, they play
an important role for the industry. The
areas of new products, new markets,
and the development of export markets
utilize restricted fruit to develop and
expand the markets for tart cherries. In
2017–18, these activities accounted for
over 82 million pounds in sales, 27
million of which were exports. These
numbers represent increases of 45
million pounds and 11.4 million
pounds respectively.
Placing tart cherries into reserves is
also a key part of balancing supply and
demand. Although handlers bear the
handling and storage costs for fruit in
reserve, reserves stored in large crop
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years are used to supplement supplies
in short crop years. The reserves help
the industry to mitigate the impact of
oversupply in large crop years, while
allowing the industry to supply markets
in years when production falls below
demand. Further, storage and handling
costs are more than offset by the
increase in price when moving from a
large crop to a short crop year.
The Board recommended a carry-out
of 80 million pounds and made a
demand adjustment of 24 million
pounds in order to make the regulation
less restrictive. With 125.1 million
pounds of carry-in, 4.5 million pounds
of production in the unregulated
districts, and 207.3 million pounds of
free tonnage from the regulated districts,
336.9 million pounds of fruit would be
available for the domestic market. This
is nearly 50 million pounds greater than
the tonnage made available in the
previous season. Even with the
recommended restriction, the domestic
market would have an ample supply of
tart cherries. Further, should marketing
conditions change, and market demand
exceed existing supplies, the Board
could meet and recommend the release
of an additional volume of cherries.
Consequently, it is not anticipated that
this proposal would unduly burden
growers or handlers.
While this proposal could result in
some additional costs to the industry,
these costs are outweighed by the
benefits. The purpose of setting
restricted percentages is to attempt to
bring supply and demand into balance.
If the primary market (domestic) is
oversupplied with cherries, grower
prices decline substantially. Without
volume control, the primary market
would likely be oversupplied, resulting
in lower grower prices. In addition, the
industry could start to build large
amounts of unwanted inventories,
which would also have a depressing
effect on grower returns.
An econometric model has been
developed to assess the impact volume
control has on the price growers receive
for their product. Based on the model,
the use of volume control would have
a positive impact on grower returns for
this crop year. With volume control,
grower prices are estimated to be
approximately $0.04 per pound higher
than without restrictions. In addition,
absent volume control, the industry
could start to build large amounts of
unwanted inventories. These
inventories would have a depressing
effect on grower prices.
Retail demand is assumed to be
highly inelastic, which indicates
changes in price do not result in
significant changes in the quantity
VerDate Sep<11>2014
16:31 May 07, 2019
Jkt 247001
demanded. Consumer prices largely do
not reflect fluctuations in cherry
supplies. Therefore, this proposal
should have little or no effect on
consumer prices and should not result
in a reduction in retail sales.
The incorporation of a tolerance for
insects and rot in diverted fruit would
align the Order’s grower diversion rules
and regulations with current industry
practices. The tolerances should make it
possible for more growers to participate
in diversion during periods of
oversupply, while encouraging proper
pest management. Proper pest
management helps reduce costs by
decreasing incidences of infestation.
Further, the use of grower diversion
removes excess supply from the market
without incurring the costs of
harvesting, processing, and storage.
The proposed tolerance for insects
and rot for cherries diverted in the
orchard would provide clear guidance
for compliance with Order provisions,
encourage proper pest management, and
align the Order’s rules with industry
standards. Growers, regardless of size,
would benefit from the addition of these
tolerances.
The free and restricted percentages
established by this proposal would
provide the market with optimum
supply and would apply uniformly to
all regulated handlers in the industry,
regardless of size. As the restriction
represents a percentage of a handler’s
volume, the costs, when applicable, are
proportionate and should not place an
extra burden on small entities as
compared to large entities.
The stabilizing effects of this proposal
would benefit all handlers by helping
them maintain and expand markets,
despite seasonal supply fluctuations.
Likewise, price stability positively
impacts all growers and handlers by
allowing them to better anticipate the
revenues their tart cherries would
generate. Growers and handlers,
regardless of size, would benefit from
the stabilizing effects of the volume
restriction.
The Board had extensive discussions
on carry-out inventory alternatives. The
alternatives included five motions that
failed to pass, ranging from 50 million
pounds to 100 million pounds. The
Board determined that if the carry-out
number was too large, it could have a
negative impact on grower returns.
Some attendees indicated excess carryin over the past few seasons has had a
negative effect on returns and that
growers are seeking relief. After
consideration of the alternatives, the
Board recommended a carry-out of 80
million pounds.
PO 00000
Frm 00005
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
20047
The Board also weighed alternatives
when discussing the economic
adjustment. At its July meeting, the
Board recommended a 48 million pound
adjustment to account for fruit quality
concerns and expected sales. One
member proposed an additional 40million-pound adjustment to counter
imports of dried and frozen cherries,
while other members favored a lower
amount.
When the final production numbers
were reviewed in September, the Board
revisited the economic adjustment.
Members indicated fruit quality was
still an issue, but yields were better than
initially anticipated. Members also
stated that with tough international
markets, the additional sales may have
been overstated. Members from the
Western states in particular were
concerned that a large shift in the
restriction percentage following harvest
would disrupt the overall market and
petitioned the Board to reconsider the
adjustment. After discussion, the Board
adopted an adjustment of 24 million
pounds determining this amount would
best meet the industry’s sales needs.
Thus, the alternatives were rejected.
Regarding grower diversion
requirements, the Board initially
proposed a broader set of requirements
including spray protocols and
destruction of diverted fruit in order to
better control infestation. The original
proposal called for annual
determination of which steps would be
required in each district. As research is
still evolving on how best to deal with
spotted wing drosophila infestations,
preferred methods of dealing with the
diverted fruit were also subject to
change. Thus, the Board voted to codify
only the tolerance for marketability.
In accordance with the Paperwork
Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.
chapter 35), the Order’s information
collection requirements have been
previously approved by OMB and
assigned OMB No. 0581–0177, Tart
Cherries Grown in the States of
Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania,
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and
Wisconsin. No changes are necessary in
those requirements as a result of this
action. Should any changes become
necessary, they would be submitted to
OMB for approval.
This proposal would not impose any
additional reporting or recordkeeping
requirements on either small or large
tart cherry handlers. As with all Federal
marketing order programs, reports and
forms are periodically reviewed to
reduce information requirements and
duplication by industry and public
sector agencies.
E:\FR\FM\08MYP1.SGM
08MYP1
20048
Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 89 / Wednesday, May 8, 2019 / Proposed Rules
AMS is committed to complying with
the E-Government Act, to promote the
use of the internet and other
information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen
access to Government information and
services, and for other purposes.
USDA has not identified any relevant
Federal rules that duplicate, overlap or
conflict with this proposed rule.
In addition, the Board’s meetings
were widely publicized throughout the
tart cherry industry, and all interested
persons were invited to attend the
meetings and participate in Board
deliberations on all issues. Like all
Board meetings, the July 6, 2018,
September 13, 2018, and October 23,
2018, meetings were public meetings,
and all entities, both large and small,
were able to express views on this issue.
Finally, interested persons are invited to
submit comments on this proposed rule,
including the regulatory and
information collection impacts of this
proposal on small businesses.
A small business guide on complying
with fruit, vegetable, and specialty crop
marketing agreements and orders may
be viewed at: https://www.ams.usda.gov/
rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses.
Any questions about the compliance
guide should be sent to Richard Lower
at the previously mentioned address in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
A 30-day comment period is provided
to allow interested persons to respond
to this proposal. All written comments
timely received will be considered
before a final determination is made on
this matter.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930
Marketing agreements, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Tart
cherries.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, 7 CFR part 930 is proposed to
be amended as follows:
PART 930—TART CHERRIES GROWN
IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW
YORK, PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON,
UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND
WISCONSIN
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR
part 930 continues to read as follows:
khammond on DSKBBV9HB2PROD with PROPOSALS
■
2. Amend § 930.158 by revising
paragraph (a) to read as follows:
§ 930.158 Grower diversion and grower
diversion certificates.
Dated: April 30, 2019.
Bruce Summers,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing
Service.
[FR Doc. 2019–09152 Filed 5–7–19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
10 CFR Parts 430 and 431
[EERE–2018–BT–TP–0020]
Energy Conservation Program: Notice
of Request for Information on the
Measurement of Average Use Cycles
or Periods of Use in DOE Test
Procedures
On March 18, 2019, the U.S.
Department of Energy (DOE) published
a request for information (RFI) on the
measurement of average cycles or
periods of use in DOE test procedures in
SUMMARY:
(a) Grower diversion certificates. The
Board may issue diversion certificates to
growers in districts subject to volume
regulation who have voluntarily elected
Jkt 247001
The percentages for tart cherries
handled by handlers during the crop
year beginning on July 1, 2018, which
shall be free and restricted, respectively,
are designated as follows: Free
percentage, 73 percent and restricted
percentage, 27 percent.
Office of Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy, Department of
Energy.
ACTION: Extension of public comment
period.
■
16:31 May 07, 2019
§ 930.256 Free and restricted percentages
for the 2018–19 crop year.
AGENCY:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674.
VerDate Sep<11>2014
to divert in the orchard all or a portion
of their tart cherry production which
otherwise, upon delivery to handlers,
would become restricted percentage
cherries. Growers may offer the
diversion certificate to handlers in lieu
of delivering cherries. Handlers may
redeem diversion certificates with the
Board through June 30 of each crop
year. After June 30 of the crop year that
crop year’s grower diversion certificates
are no longer valid. Cherries that have
reached a harvestable, marketable
condition will be eligible for diversion.
Diversion will not be granted to growers
whose fruit was destroyed before it set
and/or matured on the tree, or whose
fruit is unmarketable. If marketable fruit
were to be damaged or destroyed by acts
of nature such as storms or hail
diversion credit could be granted. To be
considered marketable for the purposes
of this section, sampled fruit may not
exceed a 5 percent tolerance for insects
or a 7 percent tolerance for rot.
*
*
*
*
*
■ 3. Revise § 930.256 and its heading
title to read as follows:
PO 00000
Frm 00006
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
the Federal Register. This document
announces an extension of the public
comment period for submitting
comments on the RFI. The comment
period is extended to May 31, 2019.
DATES: The comment period for the RFI
published on March 18, 2019 (84 FR
9721) is extended. DOE will accept
comments, data, and information
regarding this RFI received no later than
May 31, 2019.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are
encouraged to submit comments using
the Federal eRulemaking Portal at
https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
Alternatively, interested persons may
submit comments, identified by docket
number EERE–2018–BT–TP–0020, by
any of the following methods:
1. Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
2. Email: To
UseCycleRFI2018TP0020@ee.doe.gov.
Include docket number EERE–2018–BT–
TP–0020 in the subject line of the
message.
3. Postal Mail: Appliance and
Equipment Standards Program, U.S.
Department of Energy, Building
Technologies Office, Mailstop EE–5B,
1000 Independence Avenue SW,
Washington, DC 20585–0121.
Telephone: (202) 287–1445. If possible,
please submit all items on a compact
disc (CD), in which case it is not
necessary to include printed copies.
4. Hand Delivery/Courier: Appliance
and Equipment Standards Program, U.S.
Department of Energy, Building
Technologies Office, 950 L’Enfant Plaza
SW, Suite 600, Washington, DC 20024.
Telephone: (202) 287–1445. If possible,
please submit all items on a CD, in
which case it is not necessary to include
printed copies.
No telefacsimilies (faxes) will be
accepted.
Docket: The docket for this activity,
which includes Federal Register
notices, comments, and other
supporting documents/materials, is
available for review at https://
www.regulations.gov. All documents in
the docket are listed in the https://
www.regulations.gov index. However,
some documents listed in the index,
such as those containing information
that is exempt from public disclosure,
may not be publicly available.
The docket web page can be found at
https://www.regulations.gov/
docket?D=EERE-2018-BT-TP-0020. The
docket web page will contain simple
instructions on how to access all
documents, including public comments.
E:\FR\FM\08MYP1.SGM
08MYP1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 89 (Wednesday, May 8, 2019)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 20043-20048]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-09152]
========================================================================
Proposed Rules
Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains notices to the public of
the proposed issuance of rules and regulations. The purpose of these
notices is to give interested persons an opportunity to participate in
the rule making prior to the adoption of the final rules.
========================================================================
Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 89 / Wednesday, May 8, 2019 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 20043]]
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 930
[Doc. No. AMS-SC-18-0083; SC19-930-1 PR]
Tart Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, et al.; Free and
Restricted Percentages for the 2018-19 Crop Year and Revision of Grower
Diversion Requirements for Tart Cherries
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This proposed rule would implement a recommendation from the
Cherry Industry Administrative Board (Board) to establish free and
restricted percentages for the 2018-19 crop year under the Marketing
Order for tart cherries grown in the states of Michigan, New York,
Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. This action
would establish the proportion of tart cherries from the 2018-19 crop
which may be handled in commercial outlets. This action would also
revise the regulations regarding grower diversion. This action should
stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply to meet market
demand and help improve grower returns.
DATES: Comments must be received by June 7, 2019.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are invited to submit written comments
concerning this proposal. Comments must be sent to the Docket Clerk,
Marketing Order and Agreement Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS,
USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue SW, STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-
0237; Fax: (202) 720-8938; or internet: https://www.regulations.gov. All
comments should reference the document number and the date and page
number of this issue of the Federal Register and will be made available
for public inspection in the Office of the Docket Clerk during regular
business hours, or can be viewed at: https://www.regulations.gov. All
comments submitted in response to this proposal will be included in the
record and will be made available to the public. Please be advised that
the identity of the individuals or entities submitting the comments
will be made public on the internet at the address provided above.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jennie M. Varela, Marketing
Specialist, or Christian D. Nissen, Regional Director, Southeast
Marketing Field Office, Marketing Order and Agreement Division,
Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA; Telephone: (863) 324-3375, Fax:
(863) 291-8614, or Email: [email protected] or
[email protected].
Small businesses may request information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Richard Lower, Marketing Order and Agreement
Division, Specialty Crops Program, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue
SW, STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; Telephone: (202) 720-2491,
Fax: (202) 720-8938, or Email: [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This action, pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553,
proposes an amendment to regulations issued to carry out a marketing
order as defined in 7 CFR 900.2(j). This proposed rule is issued under
Marketing Agreement and Order No. 930, both as amended (7 CFR part
930), regulating the handling of tart cherries produced in the states
of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania, Oregon, Utah, Washington and
Wisconsin. Part 930 (referred to as the ``Order'') is effective under
the Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C.
601-674), hereinafter referred to as the ``Act.'' The Board locally
administers the Order and is comprised of producers and handlers of
tart cherries operating within the production area, and a public
member.
The Department of Agriculture (USDA) is issuing this proposed rule
in conformance with Executive Orders 13563 and 13175. This proposed
rule falls within a category of regulatory action that the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) exempted from Executive Order 12866 review.
Additionally, because this proposed rule does not meet the definition
of a significant regulatory action, it does not trigger the
requirements contained in Executive Order 13771. See OMB's Memorandum
titled ``Interim Guidance Implementing Section 2 of the Executive Order
of January 30, 2017, titled `Reducing Regulation and Controlling
Regulatory Costs'[thinsp]'' (February 2, 2017).
This proposed rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988,
Civil Justice Reform. Under the Order provisions now in effect, free
and restricted percentages may be established for tart cherries handled
during the crop year. This proposed rule would establish free and
restricted percentages for tart cherries for the 2018-19 crop year,
beginning July 1, 2018, through June 30, 2019.
The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the
Act, any handler subject to an order may file with USDA a petition
stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any obligation
imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance with law and
request a modification of the order or to be exempted therefrom. A
handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the petition.
After the hearing, USDA would rule on the petition. The Act provides
that the district court of the United States in any district in which
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his or her principal place of
business, has jurisdiction to review USDA's ruling on the petition,
provided an action is filed not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
This proposed rule invites comments on the establishment of free
and restricted percentages for the 2018-19 crop year. This proposal
would establish the proportion of tart cherries from the 2018-19 crop
which may be handled in commercial outlets at 73 percent free and 27
percent restricted. This action would also revise the regulations
regarding grower diversion to codify the Board's definition of
marketable fruit. The Secretary of Agriculture (Secretary) has
determined that designating free and restricted percentages of tart
cherries for the 2018-2019 crop year would effectuate the declared
policy of the Act to stabilize marketing conditions by adjusting supply
to meet market demand and help improve grower returns. These
recommendations were made by the Board at meetings on September 13,
2018, and October 23, 2018.
[[Page 20044]]
Section 930.51(a) provides the Secretary authority to regulate
volume by designating free and restricted percentages for any tart
cherries acquired by handlers in a given crop year. Section 930.50
prescribes procedures for computing an optimum supply based on sales
history and for calculating these free and restricted percentages. Free
percentage volume may be shipped to any market, while restricted
percentage volume must be held by handlers in a primary or secondary
reserve, or be diverted or used for exempt purposes as prescribed in
Sec. Sec. 930.159 and 930.162. Exempt purposes include, in part, the
development of new products, sales into new markets, the development of
export markets, and charitable contributions. Sections 930.55 through
930.57 prescribe procedures for inventory reserve. For cherries held in
reserve, handlers would be responsible for storage and would retain
title of the tart cherries.
Under Sec. 930.52, only districts with an annual average
production over the prior three years of at least six million pounds
are subject to regulation, and any district producing a crop that is
less than 50 percent of its annual average of the previous five years
is exempt. The regulated districts for the 2018-19 crop year would be:
District 1--Northern Michigan; District 2--Central Michigan; District
3--Southern Michigan; District 4--New York; District 7--Utah; District
8--Washington; and District 9--Wisconsin. Districts 5 and 6 (Oregon and
Pennsylvania, respectively) would not be regulated for the 2018-19
season.
Section 930.58 of the Order provides authority for voluntary grower
diversion. When volume regulation is in effect, growers can divert all
or a portion of their cherries which otherwise, upon delivery to a
handler, would be subject to regulation. This section also authorizes
the Board, with the approval of the Secretary, to establish terms and
conditions for grower diversion. Section 930.158 prescribes the rules
and regulations for grower diversion, including a requirement that
diverted cherries be marketable.
Demand for tart cherries and tart cherry products tends to be
relatively stable from year to year. Conversely, annual tart cherry
production can vary greatly. In addition, tart cherries are processed
and can be stored and carried over from crop year to crop year, further
impacting supply. As a result, supply and demand for tart cherries are
rarely in balance.
Because demand for tart cherries is inelastic, total sales volume
is not very responsive to changes in price. However, prices are very
sensitive to changes in supply. As such, an oversupply of cherries
would have a sharp negative effect on prices, driving down grower
returns. Aware of this economic relationship, the Board focuses on
using the volume control provisions in the Order to balance supply and
demand to stabilize industry returns.
Pursuant to Sec. 930.50, the Board meets on or about July 1 to
review sales data, inventory data, current crop forecasts, and market
conditions for the upcoming season and, if necessary, to recommend
preliminary free and restricted percentages if anticipated supply would
exceed demand. After harvest is complete, but no later than September
15, the Board meets again to update its calculations using actual
production data, consider any necessary adjustments to the preliminary
percentages, and determine if final free and restricted percentages
should be recommended to the Secretary.
The Board uses sales history, inventory, and production data to
determine whether there is a surplus and, if so, how much volume should
be restricted to maintain optimum supply. The optimum supply represents
the desirable volume of tart cherries that should be available for sale
in the coming crop year. Optimum supply is defined as the average free
sales of the prior three years plus desirable carry-out inventory.
Desirable carry-out is the amount of fruit needed by the industry to be
carried into the succeeding crop year to meet market demand until the
new crop is available. Desirable carry-out is set by the Board after
considering market circumstances and needs. Section 930.151(b)
specifies that desirable carry-out can range from zero to a maximum of
100 million pounds.
In addition, USDA's ``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' (https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders)
specify that 110 percent of recent years' sales should be made
available to primary markets each season before recommendations for
volume regulation are approved. This requirement is codified in Sec.
930.50(g), which specifies that in years when restricted percentages
are established, the Board shall make available tonnage equivalent to
an additional 10 percent of the average sales of the prior three years
for market expansion (market growth factor).
After the Board determines optimum supply, desirable carry-out, and
market growth factor, it must examine the current year's available
volume to determine whether there is an oversupply situation. Available
volume includes carry-in inventory (any inventory available at the
beginning of the season) along with that season's production. If
production is greater than the optimum supply minus carry-in, the
difference is considered surplus. This surplus tonnage is divided by
the sum of production in the regulated districts to reach a restricted
percentage. This percentage must be held in reserve or used for
approved diversion activities, such as exports.
The Board met on July 6, 2018, and computed an optimum supply of
303 million pounds for the 2018-19 crop year using the average of free
sales for the three previous seasons and desirable carry-out. To
determine the carry-out figure, the Board discussed and considered a
range of alternatives. One member suggested a carry-out value of 100
million pounds to maximize the amount of fruit on the market and to
compete with imports. Another member indicated both free and restricted
product could be used to compete with imports and proposed a 50 million
pound carry-out. Another attendee noted excessive carryout puts
downward pressure on prices. After the consideration of the
alternatives, the Board determined a carry-out of 80 million pounds
would supply the industry's needs at the beginning of the next season.
The Board subtracted the estimated carry-in of 125.1 million pounds
from the optimum supply to calculate the production quantity needed
from the 2018-19 crop to meet optimum supply. This number, 177.9
million pounds, was subtracted from the Board's estimated 2018-19 total
production (from regulated and unregulated districts) of 344.5 million
pounds to calculate a surplus of 166.6 million pounds of tart cherries.
The Board also complied with the market growth factor requirement by
removing 22.3 million pounds (average sales for prior three years of
223 million times 10 percent) from the surplus. The adjusted surplus of
144.3 million pounds was then divided by the expected production in the
regulated districts (338.5 million pounds) to reach a preliminary
restricted percentage of 43 percent for the 2018-19 crop year.
The Board then discussed whether this calculation would provide
sufficient supply to grow sales and fulfil orders that have not yet
shipped. Some members and attendees expressed concern that some
existing inventory is old enough that it is difficult to sell and thus
more of the current season's fruit should be made available. Some also
reported there may be poor fruit yield in
[[Page 20045]]
Michigan, which would require more tonnage to supply the same amount of
product. Others added the Board's demand calculations were not
considering growth in the juice and dried fruit markets that are being
served by imported product. As a result, the Board recommended an
additional economic adjustment of 48 million pounds (18 million due to
fruit quality concerns and 30 million for expected deliveries). With
this adjustment, and anticipated orchard diversion (25 million pounds)
the Board's preliminary restricted percentage was 31 percent (96
million pounds divided by 313.5 million pounds).
The Board met again on September 13, 2018, to consider final volume
regulation percentages for the 2018-19 season. The final percentages
are based on the Board's reported production figures and the supply and
demand information available in September.
The total production for the 2018-19 season was 299.2 million
pounds, 45.3 million pounds below the Board's July estimate. In
addition, growers diverted 12.4 million pounds in the orchard, about
half of what had been anticipated. As a result 286.8 million pounds
would be available to market, 282.3 million pounds of which are in the
restricted districts. Using the actual production numbers, and
accounting for the recommended desirable carry-out and economic
adjustment, as well as the market growth factor, the restricted
percentage was recalculated.
The Board subtracted the carry-in figure used in Julyof 125.1
million pounds, from the optimum supply of 303 million pounds to
determine 177.9 million pounds of 2018-19 production would be necessary
to reach optimum supply. The Board subtracted the 177.9 million pounds
from the actual production of 299.2 million pounds, resulting in a
surplus of 121.3 million pounds of tart cherries.
The Board also revisited its earlier decision regarding an economic
adjustment. Many in attendance expressed that the previously
recommended economic adjustment should be revisited to avoid placing
excess fruit on the market. One member indicated the fruit quality in
Michigan was better than anticipated in July. Other attendees indicated
the adjustment for additional sales had been overstated. As a result,
the Board recommended lowering the economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds.
The recalculated surplus was reduced by subtracting the revised
economic adjustment of 24 million pounds and the market growth factor
of 22.3 million pounds, resulting in an adjusted surplus of 75 million
pounds. The Board then divided this final surplus by the available
production of 282.3 million pounds in the regulated districts (294.7
million pounds minus 12.4 million pounds of in-orchard diversion) to
calculate a restricted percentage of 27 percent with a corresponding
free percentage of 73 percent for the 2018-19 crop year, as outlined in
the following table:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Millions of
pounds
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Final Calculations:
(1) Average sales of the prior three years.......... 223
(2) Plus desirable carry-out........................ 80
(3) Optimum supply calculated by the Board.......... 303
(4) Carry-in as of July 1, 2018..................... 125.1
(5) Adjusted optimum supply (item 3 minus item 4)... 177.9
(6) Board reported production....................... 299.2
(7) Surplus (item 6 minus item 5)................... 121.3
(8) Total economic adjustments...................... 24
(9) Market growth factor............................ 22.3
(10) Adjusted Surplus (item 7 minus items 8 and 9).. 75
(11) Supply in regulated districts.................. 294.7
(12) In-Orchard Diversion........................... 12.4
---------------
(13) Production minus in orchard diversion...... 282.3
---------------
Final Percentages: Percent
---------------
Restricted (item 10 divided by item 13 x 100)....... 27
Free (100 minus restricted percentage).............. 73
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The final restriction of 27 percent is lower than the preliminary
restriction percentage of 31 percent. The largest factor affecting this
change was the final production numbers that came in below the Board's
July estimate. Additionally, less fruit was diverted in orchard than
anticipated and the Board revised its economic adjustment to 24 million
pounds. The desired carry-out remained the same at 80 million pounds.
In discussing the calculation, several members indicated they
believed the recommendation was too restrictive. They supported
maintaining the economic adjustment at the original level, which would
have resulted in a lower calculated restriction. Other members stated
that reducing the economic adjustment was reflective of industry
conditions and expressed concern about putting too much fruit into the
market.
Establishing free and restricted percentages is an attempt to bring
supply and demand into balance. If the primary market is oversupplied
with cherries, grower prices decline substantially. Restricted
percentages have benefited grower returns and helped stabilize the
market as compared to those seasons prior to the implementation of the
Order. The Board, based on its discussion of this issue and the result
of the above calculations, believes the available information indicates
a restricted percentage should be established for the 2018-19 crop year
to avoid oversupplying the market with tart cherries.
Consequently, the Board recommended final percentages of 73 percent
free and 27 percent restricted by a vote of 13 in favor, 4 opposed, and
1 abstention. The Board could meet and recommend the release of
additional volume during the crop year if conditions so warranted. The
Secretary finds, from the recommendation and supporting information
supplied by the Board, that designating final percentages of 73 percent
free and 27 percent restricted would tend to effectuate the
[[Page 20046]]
declared policy of the Act, and so designates these percentages.
Additionally, the Board reviewed its rules regarding grower
diversion, as this diversion option has become more of a common
practice over the past few seasons. To receive grower diversion credit,
the Order requires that the fruit left in the orchard must be
marketable. With no definition of marketable in the Order, the Board
had defined fruit as unmarketable if insects were found in any of the
fruit sampled from the acreage marked for diversion.
In 2016, the Board formed a committee to investigate updating this
policy based on recent infestations of spotted wing drosophila. The
industry was concerned growers would not qualify for diversion if a
zero-tolerance policy remained in effect, but also wanted to ensure
orchards were properly maintained to prevent the spread of infestation.
The Board modified its working definition of marketable to reflect
aspects of the tolerances in an FDA Compliance Policy Guide (CPG Sec.
550.225 Cherries--Brined, Fresh, Canned and Frozen--Adulteration
Involving Rot and Insect). Specifically, the Board recommended using a
5 percent tolerance for insects and a 7 percent tolerance for rot when
sampling cherries for diversion. After applying the two tolerances for
insects and rot over two harvests, the Board found these levels were
effective. The Board discussed this issue at its meetings on September
13, 2018, and October 23, 2018, and unanimously recommended
incorporating this change into the Order's rules and regulations.
Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (RFA) (5 U.S.C. 601-612), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS)
has considered the economic impact of this proposed rule on small
entities. Accordingly, AMS has prepared this initial regulatory
flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of
businesses subject to such actions in order that small businesses will
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued
pursuant to the Act, and rules issued thereunder, are unique in that
they are brought about through group action of essentially small
entities acting on their own behalf.
There are approximately 600 producers of tart cherries in the
regulated area and approximately 40 handlers of tart cherries who are
subject to regulation under the Order. Small agricultural producers are
defined by the Small Business Administration (SBA) as those having
annual receipts of less than $750,000, and small agricultural service
firms have been defined as those whose annual receipts are less than
$7,500,000 (13 CFR 121.201).
According to the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS)
and Board data, the average annual grower price for tart cherries
utilized for processing during the 2017-18 season was approximately
$0.224 per pound. With total utilization at approximately 254 million
pounds for the 2017-18 season, the total 2017-18 value of the crop
utilized for processing is estimated at $56.9 million. Dividing the
crop value by the estimated number of producers (600) yields an
estimated average receipt per producer of $94,833. This is well below
the SBA threshold for small producers.
A free on board (FOB) price of $0.82 per pound for frozen tart
cherries was reported by the Food Institute during the 2017-2018
season. Based on utilization, this price represents a good estimate of
the price for processed cherries. Multiplying this FOB price by total
utilization of 254.1 million pounds results in an estimated handler-
level tart cherry value of $208 million. Dividing this figure by the
number of handlers (40) yields estimated average annual handler
receipts of $5.2 million, which is below the SBA threshold for small
agricultural service firms. Assuming a normal distribution, the
majority of producers and handlers of tart cherries may be classified
as small entities.
The tart cherry industry in the United States is characterized by
wide annual fluctuations in production. According to NASS, the pounds
of tart cherry production for the years 2012 through 2017 were 85
million, 294 million, 304 million, 253 million, 329 million, and 260
million, respectively. Because of these fluctuations, supply and demand
for tart cherries are rarely in balance.
Demand for tart cherries is inelastic, meaning changes in price
have a minimal effect on total sales volume. However, prices are very
sensitive to changes in supply, and grower prices vary widely in
response to the large swings in annual supply. Grower prices per pound
for processed utilization have ranged from a low of $0.073 in 1987 to a
high of $0.588 per pound in 2012.
Because of this relationship between supply and price,
oversupplying the market with tart cherries would have a sharp negative
effect on prices, driving down grower returns. Aware of this economic
relationship, the Board focuses on using the volume control authority
in the Order to align supply with demand and stabilize industry
returns. This authority allows the industry to set free and restricted
percentages as a way to bring supply and demand into balance. Free
percentage cherries can be marketed by handlers to any outlet, while
restricted percentage volume must be held by handlers in reserve,
diverted, or used for exempted purposes.
This proposal would control the supply of tart cherries by
establishing percentages of 73 percent free and 27 percent restricted
for the 2018-19 crop year. These percentages should stabilize marketing
conditions by adjusting supply to meet market demand and help improve
grower returns. The proposal would regulate tart cherries handled in
Michigan, New York, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. This proposal
would also revise the regulations regarding grower diversion to codify
the Board's definition of marketable fruit. The authority for this
proposed action is provided in Sec. Sec. 930.50, 930.51(a), 930.52,
and 930.58. The Board recommended this action at meetings on September
13, 2018, and October 23, 2018.
This proposal would result in some fruit being diverted from the
primary domestic markets. However, as mentioned earlier, the USDA's
``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and Specialty Crop Marketing
Orders'' (https://www.ams.usda.gov/publications/content/1982-guidelines-fruit-vegetable-marketing-orders) specify that 110 percent of recent
years' sales should be made available to primary markets each season
before recommendations for volume regulation are approved. Under this
proposal, the available quantity would be more than 150 percent of the
average sales for the last three years.
In addition, there are secondary uses available for restricted
fruit, including the development of new products, sales into new
markets, the development of export markets, and being placed in
reserve. While these alternatives may provide different levels of
return than the sales to primary markets, they play an important role
for the industry. The areas of new products, new markets, and the
development of export markets utilize restricted fruit to develop and
expand the markets for tart cherries. In 2017-18, these activities
accounted for over 82 million pounds in sales, 27 million of which were
exports. These numbers represent increases of 45 million pounds and
11.4 million pounds respectively.
Placing tart cherries into reserves is also a key part of balancing
supply and demand. Although handlers bear the handling and storage
costs for fruit in reserve, reserves stored in large crop
[[Page 20047]]
years are used to supplement supplies in short crop years. The reserves
help the industry to mitigate the impact of oversupply in large crop
years, while allowing the industry to supply markets in years when
production falls below demand. Further, storage and handling costs are
more than offset by the increase in price when moving from a large crop
to a short crop year.
The Board recommended a carry-out of 80 million pounds and made a
demand adjustment of 24 million pounds in order to make the regulation
less restrictive. With 125.1 million pounds of carry-in, 4.5 million
pounds of production in the unregulated districts, and 207.3 million
pounds of free tonnage from the regulated districts, 336.9 million
pounds of fruit would be available for the domestic market. This is
nearly 50 million pounds greater than the tonnage made available in the
previous season. Even with the recommended restriction, the domestic
market would have an ample supply of tart cherries. Further, should
marketing conditions change, and market demand exceed existing
supplies, the Board could meet and recommend the release of an
additional volume of cherries. Consequently, it is not anticipated that
this proposal would unduly burden growers or handlers.
While this proposal could result in some additional costs to the
industry, these costs are outweighed by the benefits. The purpose of
setting restricted percentages is to attempt to bring supply and demand
into balance. If the primary market (domestic) is oversupplied with
cherries, grower prices decline substantially. Without volume control,
the primary market would likely be oversupplied, resulting in lower
grower prices. In addition, the industry could start to build large
amounts of unwanted inventories, which would also have a depressing
effect on grower returns.
An econometric model has been developed to assess the impact volume
control has on the price growers receive for their product. Based on
the model, the use of volume control would have a positive impact on
grower returns for this crop year. With volume control, grower prices
are estimated to be approximately $0.04 per pound higher than without
restrictions. In addition, absent volume control, the industry could
start to build large amounts of unwanted inventories. These inventories
would have a depressing effect on grower prices.
Retail demand is assumed to be highly inelastic, which indicates
changes in price do not result in significant changes in the quantity
demanded. Consumer prices largely do not reflect fluctuations in cherry
supplies. Therefore, this proposal should have little or no effect on
consumer prices and should not result in a reduction in retail sales.
The incorporation of a tolerance for insects and rot in diverted
fruit would align the Order's grower diversion rules and regulations
with current industry practices. The tolerances should make it possible
for more growers to participate in diversion during periods of
oversupply, while encouraging proper pest management. Proper pest
management helps reduce costs by decreasing incidences of infestation.
Further, the use of grower diversion removes excess supply from the
market without incurring the costs of harvesting, processing, and
storage.
The proposed tolerance for insects and rot for cherries diverted in
the orchard would provide clear guidance for compliance with Order
provisions, encourage proper pest management, and align the Order's
rules with industry standards. Growers, regardless of size, would
benefit from the addition of these tolerances.
The free and restricted percentages established by this proposal
would provide the market with optimum supply and would apply uniformly
to all regulated handlers in the industry, regardless of size. As the
restriction represents a percentage of a handler's volume, the costs,
when applicable, are proportionate and should not place an extra burden
on small entities as compared to large entities.
The stabilizing effects of this proposal would benefit all handlers
by helping them maintain and expand markets, despite seasonal supply
fluctuations. Likewise, price stability positively impacts all growers
and handlers by allowing them to better anticipate the revenues their
tart cherries would generate. Growers and handlers, regardless of size,
would benefit from the stabilizing effects of the volume restriction.
The Board had extensive discussions on carry-out inventory
alternatives. The alternatives included five motions that failed to
pass, ranging from 50 million pounds to 100 million pounds. The Board
determined that if the carry-out number was too large, it could have a
negative impact on grower returns. Some attendees indicated excess
carry-in over the past few seasons has had a negative effect on returns
and that growers are seeking relief. After consideration of the
alternatives, the Board recommended a carry-out of 80 million pounds.
The Board also weighed alternatives when discussing the economic
adjustment. At its July meeting, the Board recommended a 48 million
pound adjustment to account for fruit quality concerns and expected
sales. One member proposed an additional 40-million-pound adjustment to
counter imports of dried and frozen cherries, while other members
favored a lower amount.
When the final production numbers were reviewed in September, the
Board revisited the economic adjustment. Members indicated fruit
quality was still an issue, but yields were better than initially
anticipated. Members also stated that with tough international markets,
the additional sales may have been overstated. Members from the Western
states in particular were concerned that a large shift in the
restriction percentage following harvest would disrupt the overall
market and petitioned the Board to reconsider the adjustment. After
discussion, the Board adopted an adjustment of 24 million pounds
determining this amount would best meet the industry's sales needs.
Thus, the alternatives were rejected.
Regarding grower diversion requirements, the Board initially
proposed a broader set of requirements including spray protocols and
destruction of diverted fruit in order to better control infestation.
The original proposal called for annual determination of which steps
would be required in each district. As research is still evolving on
how best to deal with spotted wing drosophila infestations, preferred
methods of dealing with the diverted fruit were also subject to change.
Thus, the Board voted to codify only the tolerance for marketability.
In accordance with the Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.
chapter 35), the Order's information collection requirements have been
previously approved by OMB and assigned OMB No. 0581-0177, Tart
Cherries Grown in the States of Michigan, New York, Pennsylvania,
Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Wisconsin. No changes are necessary in
those requirements as a result of this action. Should any changes
become necessary, they would be submitted to OMB for approval.
This proposal would not impose any additional reporting or
recordkeeping requirements on either small or large tart cherry
handlers. As with all Federal marketing order programs, reports and
forms are periodically reviewed to reduce information requirements and
duplication by industry and public sector agencies.
[[Page 20048]]
AMS is committed to complying with the E-Government Act, to promote
the use of the internet and other information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen access to Government information
and services, and for other purposes.
USDA has not identified any relevant Federal rules that duplicate,
overlap or conflict with this proposed rule.
In addition, the Board's meetings were widely publicized throughout
the tart cherry industry, and all interested persons were invited to
attend the meetings and participate in Board deliberations on all
issues. Like all Board meetings, the July 6, 2018, September 13, 2018,
and October 23, 2018, meetings were public meetings, and all entities,
both large and small, were able to express views on this issue.
Finally, interested persons are invited to submit comments on this
proposed rule, including the regulatory and information collection
impacts of this proposal on small businesses.
A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: https://www.ams.usda.gov/rules-regulations/moa/small-businesses. Any questions
about the compliance guide should be sent to Richard Lower at the
previously mentioned address in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
A 30-day comment period is provided to allow interested persons to
respond to this proposal. All written comments timely received will be
considered before a final determination is made on this matter.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 930
Marketing agreements, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements,
Tart cherries.
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR part 930 is
proposed to be amended as follows:
PART 930--TART CHERRIES GROWN IN THE STATES OF MICHIGAN, NEW YORK,
PENNSYLVANIA, OREGON, UTAH, WASHINGTON, AND WISCONSIN
0
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR part 930 continues to read as
follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.
0
2. Amend Sec. 930.158 by revising paragraph (a) to read as follows:
Sec. 930.158 Grower diversion and grower diversion certificates.
(a) Grower diversion certificates. The Board may issue diversion
certificates to growers in districts subject to volume regulation who
have voluntarily elected to divert in the orchard all or a portion of
their tart cherry production which otherwise, upon delivery to
handlers, would become restricted percentage cherries. Growers may
offer the diversion certificate to handlers in lieu of delivering
cherries. Handlers may redeem diversion certificates with the Board
through June 30 of each crop year. After June 30 of the crop year that
crop year's grower diversion certificates are no longer valid. Cherries
that have reached a harvestable, marketable condition will be eligible
for diversion. Diversion will not be granted to growers whose fruit was
destroyed before it set and/or matured on the tree, or whose fruit is
unmarketable. If marketable fruit were to be damaged or destroyed by
acts of nature such as storms or hail diversion credit could be
granted. To be considered marketable for the purposes of this section,
sampled fruit may not exceed a 5 percent tolerance for insects or a 7
percent tolerance for rot.
* * * * *
0
3. Revise Sec. 930.256 and its heading title to read as follows:
Sec. 930.256 Free and restricted percentages for the 2018-19 crop
year.
The percentages for tart cherries handled by handlers during the
crop year beginning on July 1, 2018, which shall be free and
restricted, respectively, are designated as follows: Free percentage,
73 percent and restricted percentage, 27 percent.
Dated: April 30, 2019.
Bruce Summers,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing Service.
[FR Doc. 2019-09152 Filed 5-7-19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410-02-P