Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing the Gray Wolf (Canis lupus, 9648-9687 [2019-04420]
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Federal Register / Vol. 84, No. 51 / Friday, March 15, 2019 / Proposed Rules
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–HQ–ES–2018–0097;
FXES11130900000C2–189–FF09E32000]
RIN 1018–BD60
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Removing the Gray Wolf
(Canis lupus) From the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service or USFWS),
have evaluated the classification status
of gray wolves (Canis lupus) currently
listed in the contiguous United States
and Mexico under the Endangered
Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act).
Based on our evaluation, we propose to
remove the gray wolf from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
We propose this action because the best
available scientific and commercial
information indicates that the currently
listed entities do not meet the
definitions of a threatened species or
endangered species under the Act due
to recovery. The effect of this
rulemaking action would be to remove
the gray wolf from the Act’s protections.
This proposed rule does not have any
effect on the separate listing of the
Mexican wolf (Canis lupus baileyi) as
endangered under the Act.
DATES: Comment submission: We will
accept comments received or
postmarked on or before May 14, 2019.
Public hearings: We must receive
requests for public hearings, in writing,
at the address shown in FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT by April 29, 2019.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments
by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. In the Search box,
enter Docket No. FWS–HQ–ES–2018–
0097, which is the docket number for
this rulemaking. Then, click on the
Search button. On the resulting page, in
the Search panel on the left side of the
screen under the Document Type
heading, click on the Proposed Rules
link to locate this document. You may
submit a comment by clicking on the
blue ‘‘Comment Now!’’ box. If your
comments will fit in the provided
comment box, please use this feature of
https://www.regulations.gov, as it is most
compatible with our comment review
procedures. If you attach your
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SUMMARY:
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comments as a separate document, our
preferred file format is Microsoft Word.
If you attach multiple comments (such
as form letters), our preferred format is
a spreadsheet in Microsoft Excel.
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail
or hand-delivery to: Public Comments
Processing, Attn: Docket No. FWS–HQ–
ES–2018–0097; U.S. Fish & Wildlife
Service Headquarters, MS: BPHC, 5275
Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041–
3803.
We request that you send comments
only by the methods described above.
We will post all comments on https://
www.regulations.gov. This generally
means that we will post any personal
information you provide us (see Public
Comments below for more information).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Don
Morgan, Chief, Branch of Delisting and
Foreign Species, Ecological Services,
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
Headquarters Office, MS: ES, 5275
Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041–
3803; telephone (703) 358–2444.
Persons who use a telecommunications
device for the deaf (TDD) may call the
Federal Relay Service at 800–877–8339.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Purpose of the Regulatory Action
Why we need to publish a rule. Under
the Act, if we determine that a species
is no longer threatened or endangered
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range, we must publish in the
Federal Register a proposed rule to
remove the species from the Lists of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants in title 50 of the Code of
Federal Regulations (50 CFR 17.11 and
17.12). We also must make a final
determination on our proposal within 1
year thereafter. Removing a species from
the List (‘‘delisting’’ it) can only be
completed by issuing a rule.
This document proposes delisting
gray wolves in the lower 48 United
States and Mexico. This proposed rule
assesses the best available information
regarding the status of and threats to the
species, and replaces our June 13, 2013,
proposed rule to delist the gray wolf in
the lower 48 United States and Mexico
(78 FR 35664). This proposed rule does
not have any effect on the separate
listing of the Mexican wolf as
endangered under the Act (80 FR 2487,
January 16, 2015).
The basis for our action. Under the
Act, we determine whether a species is
an endangered or threatened species
based on any one or more of five factors
or the cumulative effects thereof: (A)
The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
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habitat or range; (B) Overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) Disease or
predation; (D) The inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. We
have determined that the gray wolf in
the lower 48 United States and Mexico
(except the Mexican wolf subspecies) no
longer meets the definition of an
endangered or threatened species under
the Act.
Peer review. We will seek comments
from independent specialists to ensure
that our designation is based on
scientifically sound data, assumptions,
and analyses. We will invite these peer
reviewers to comment on our listing
proposal. Because we will consider all
comments and information received
during the comment period, our final
determination may differ from this
proposal.
Information Requested
Public Comments
We intend that any final action
resulting from this proposal will be
based on the best scientific and
commercial data available and will be as
accurate and as effective as possible.
Therefore, we request comments or
information from the public, concerned
Tribal and governmental agencies, the
scientific community, industry, or any
other interested parties concerning this
proposed rule. Comments should be as
specific as possible.
As this proposal replaces our June 13,
2013, proposal to delist gray wolves in
the lower 48 United States and Mexico
(78 FR 35663), we ask that any
comments previously submitted that are
relevant to the status of wolves
currently listed in the contiguous
United States and Mexico, as analyzed
in this rule, be resubmitted at this time.
Comments must be submitted during
the comment period for this proposed
rule to be considered.
Please include sufficient information
with your submission (such as scientific
journal articles or other publications) to
allow us to verify any scientific or
commercial information you include.
Please note that submissions merely
stating support for, or opposition to, the
action under consideration without
providing supporting information,
although noted, will not meet the
standard of best available scientific and
commercial data. Section 4(b)(1)(A) of
the Act directs that determinations as to
whether any species is threatened or
endangered must be made ‘‘solely on
the basis of the best scientific and
commercial data available.’’
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You may submit your comments and
materials by one of the methods listed
in ADDRESSES. We request that you send
comments only by the methods
described in ADDRESSES.
If you submit information via https://
www.regulations.gov, your entire
submission—including your personal
identifying information—will be posted
on the website. If your submission is
made via a hardcopy that includes
personal identifying information, you
may request at the top of your document
that we withhold this information from
public review. However, we cannot
guarantee that we will be able to do so.
We will post all hardcopy submissions
on https://www.regulations.gov.
Comments and materials we receive,
as well as supporting documentation we
used in preparing this proposed rule,
will be available for public inspection
on https://www.regulations.gov at Docket
No. FWS–HQ–ES–2018–0097, or by
appointment, during normal business
hours at U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
Headquarters (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Peer Review
In accordance with our joint policy on
peer review published in the Federal
Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270),
we will seek the expert opinions of at
least three appropriate and independent
specialists regarding scientific data and
interpretations contained in this
proposed rule. The purpose of peer
review is to ensure that our decisions
are based on scientifically sound data,
assumptions, and analyses. We will
invite these peer reviewers to comment
during the public comment period on
our proposed action; these comments
will be available along with other public
comments in the docket for this
proposed rule.
We will consider all comments and
information we receive during this
comment period during our preparation
of the final determination. Accordingly,
the final decision may differ from this
proposal.
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Table of Contents
Previous Federal Actions
General Background
The 1978 Reclassification
National Wolf Strategy
Approach for this Proposed Rule
The Entities Addressed in this Rule
How We Address the C. lupus Entities in
this Rule
How We Address Taxonomic Uncertainties
in this Rule
Summary of Our Approach
Species Information
Biology and Ecology
Taxonomy of Gray Wolves in North
America
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Range and Population Trends Prior to 1978
Reclassification
Historical Range of the Gray Wolf Entity
Historical Abundance of the Gray Wolf
Entity
Historical Trends in Range and Abundance
for the Gray Wolf Entity
Distribution, and Abundance of the Gray
Wolf Entity at the Time of the 1978
Reclassification
Current Distribution and Abundance of the
Gray Wolf Entity
Gray Wolf Recovery Plans and Recovery
Implementation
Recovery Criteria
Recovery Progress
Historical Context of Our Analysis
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Human-caused Mortality
Effects on Wolf Social Structure
The Role of Public Attitudes
Human-caused Mortality Summary
Habitat and Prey Availability
Great Lakes Area: Suitable Habitat
Great Lakes Area: Prey Availability
West Coast States: Suitable Habitat
West Coast States: Prey Availability
Habitat and Prey Availability Summary
Disease and Parasites
Effects of Climate Change
Cumulative Effects
Post-delisting Management
State Management
Post-delisting Management in Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan
The Minnesota Wolf Management Plan
Depredation Control in Minnesota
Post-delisting Depredation Control in
Minnesota
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in
Minnesota
The Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan
Depredation Control in Wisconsin
Post-delisting Depredation Control in
Wisconsin
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in
Wisconsin
The Michigan Wolf Management Plan
Depredation Control in Michigan
Post-delisting Depredation Control in
Michigan
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in
Michigan
Post-delisting Management in the West
Coast States
The Oregon Wolf Management Plan
The Washington Wolf Management Plan
The California Wolf Management Plan
Tribal Management and Conservation of
Wolves
Management on Federal Lands
Great Lakes Area
West Coast States
Summary of Post-delisting Management
Determination of Species Status
Summary and Conclusion of Our Analysis
Determination of Status Throughout All of
its Range
Determination of Status Throughout a
Significant Portion of its Range
Proposed Determination
Effects of This Rule
Post-delisting Monitoring
Required Determinations
Clarity of This Proposed Rule
National Environmental Policy Act
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Government-to-Government Relationship
With Tribes
Previous Federal Actions
Gray wolves were originally listed as
subspecies or as regional populations of
subspecies in the contiguous United
States and Mexico. Early listings were
under legislative predecessors of the
Act—the Endangered Species
Preservation Act of 1966 and the
Endangered Species Conservation Act of
1969. Later listings were under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973. The
Federal Register citations for all the
rulemaking actions described in the
following paragraphs are provided in
table 1, below.
In 1978, we published a rule
reclassifying the gray wolf as an
endangered population at the taxonomic
species level (C. lupus) throughout the
contiguous United States and Mexico,
except for the Minnesota gray wolf
population, which was classified as
threatened (table 1). At that time, we
considered the gray wolves in
Minnesota to be a listable entity under
the Act, and we considered gray wolves
in Mexico and the 48 contiguous United
States other than Minnesota to be
another listable entity (43 FR 9607 and
9610, respectively, March 9, 1978). The
earlier subspecies listings thus were
subsumed into the listings for the gray
wolf in Minnesota and the gray wolf in
the rest of the contiguous United States
and Mexico.
The 1978 reclassification was
undertaken to ‘‘most conveniently’’
address changes in our understanding of
gray wolf taxonomy and protect all gray
wolves in the lower 48 United States. In
addition, we sought to clarify that the
gray wolf was only listed south of the
Canadian border.
The 1978 reclassification rule
stipulated that ‘‘biological subspecies
would continue to be maintained and
dealt with as separate entities’’ (43 FR
9609), and offered ‘‘the firmest
assurance that [the Service] will
continue to recognize valid biological
subspecies for purposes of its research
and conservation programs’’ (43 FR
9610). Accordingly, we implemented
three gray wolf recovery programs in
three regions of the country—the
northern Rocky Mountains, the
southwestern United States, and the
eastern United States—to establish and
prioritize recovery criteria and actions
appropriate to the unique local
circumstances of the gray wolf (table 1).
Recovery in two of these regions
(northern Rocky Mountains and
southwestern United States) required
reintroduction of gray wolves in
experimental populations (table 1),
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while recovery in the third (eastern
United States) relied on natural
recolonization and population growth.
Between 2003 and 2015, we
published several rules revising the
1978 contiguous United States and
Mexico listings for C. lupus in an
attempt to acknowledge taxonomy,
comport with current policy and
practices, and to recognize the
biological recovery of gray wolves in the
northern Rocky Mountains (NRM) and
western Great Lakes (WGL) populations.
Previous rules were challenged and
subsequently invalidated or vacated by
various courts based, in part, on their
determinations that our distinct
population segment (DPS) designations
were legally flawed (table 1).
Of particular relevance to this
proposed rule is our 2011 final rule, in
which we recognized the expansion of
the Minnesota wolf population by
revising the entity to include all or
portions of six surrounding States,
identified the expanded population as
the western Great Lakes DPS (WGL
DPS), and revised the listings to remove
the WGL DPS from the List due to
recovery. Also in 2011, we published a
final rule that implemented Section
1713 of Public Law 112–10, reinstating
our 2009 delisting rule for the NRM DPS
and, with the exception of Wyoming,
removed gray wolves in that DPS from
the List. In 2012, we finalized a rule
removing gray wolves in Wyoming from
the List. Subsequently, in 2013, we
published a proposed rule to delist C.
lupus in the remaining listed portions of
the United States and Mexico outside of
the delisted NRM and WGL DPSs, and
keep Mexican wolf listed as an
endangered subspecies, C. l. baileyi
(table 1).
However, in 2014 the United States
District Court for the District of
Columbia vacated the final rule at 76 FR
81666 (December 28, 2011) that
removed protections of the Act from the
gray wolf in the western Great Lakes
(table 1). The court’s action was based,
in part, on its conclusion that the Act
does not allow the Service to use its
authority to identify DPSs as ‘‘species’’
to remove the protections for part of an
already listed species. The U.S. Court of
Appeals disagreed, ruling in 2017 that
the Service had the authority to
designate a DPS from a larger listed
entity and delist it in the same rule
(table 1). That court nonetheless upheld
the District Court’s vacatur, concluding
that the Service failed to reasonably
analyze or consider two significant
aspects of the rule: The impacts of
partial delisting and historical range
loss on the remainder of the listed
entity.
Our 2012 decision to delist gray
wolves in Wyoming was also vacated by
the U.S. District Court for the District of
Columbia. Because the 2013 proposal to
delist the remaining listed portions of
the gray wolf in the United States and
Mexico relied in part on two
subsequently vacated final rules, the
2011 WGL DPS rule as well as our 2012
rule delisting gray wolves in Wyoming,
in 2015 we only finalized the portion of
the rule listing the Mexican wolf as an
endangered subspecies (table 1). In
2017, the D.C. Circuit reversed the
district court’s decision and reinstated
the delisting of gray wolves in
Wyoming. Thus, wolves are currently
delisted in the entire northern Rocky
Mountains area (figure 1).
As a result of the above actions, the
C. lupus listings in 50 CFR 17.11
currently include: (1) C. lupus in
Minnesota listed as threatened, and (2)
C. lupus in all or portions of 44 U.S.
States and Mexico, listed as endangered
(figure 1). In the United States, this
includes: all of Alabama, Arkansas,
California, Colorado, Connecticut,
Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois,
Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maryland,
Maine, Michigan, Missouri, Mississippi,
North Carolina, North Dakota, Nebraska,
New Hampshire, New Jersey, Nevada,
New York, Ohio, Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South
Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee,
Texas, Virginia, Vermont, West Virginia,
and Wisconsin; and portions of Arizona,
New Mexico, Oregon, Utah, and
Washington (figure 1).
For additional information on these
Federal actions and their associated
litigation history refer to the relevant
associated rules or the Previous Federal
Actions sections of our recent gray wolf
actions (see table 1).
TABLE 1—KEY FEDERAL REGULATORY ACTIONS UNDER THE ACT AND PREDECESSOR LEGISLATION 1 PERTAINING TO GRAY
WOLF AND, WHERE APPLICABLE, OUTCOMES OF COURT CHALLENGES TO THESE ACTIONS
[E = Endangered Species, T = Threatened Species, DPS = Distinct Population Segment, NRM = Northern Rocky Mountains, WGL = Western
Great Lakes]
Entity
Year of action
Type of action
l. lycaon ...................
l. irremotus ...............
l. lycaon ...................
l. irremotus ...............
l. baileyi ....................
l. monstrabilis 2 ........
lupus in lower 48
U.S. (except Minnesota) & Mexico.
C. lupus in Minnesota ..
C. lupus ........................
1967 1 ...................................
1973 1 ...................................
1974 .....................................
1974 .....................................
1976 .....................................
1976 .....................................
1978 .....................................
List ................................................
List ................................................
List ................................................
List ................................................
List (E) ..........................................
List (E) ..........................................
Reclassify (E) ................................
32
38
39
39
41
41
43
1978 .....................................
1978 (revised 1992) ............
43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978 3 .......
n.a. ................................................
C. lupus ........................
C. lupus ........................
1980 (revised 1987) ............
1982 (revised 2017) ............
C. lupus ........................
1994 .....................................
C. lupus ........................
1994 .....................................
C. lupus ........................
1998 .....................................
Reclassify (T) ................................
Recovery Plan for Eastern Timber
Wolf (eastern gray wolf).
Recovery Plan for NRM Gray Wolf
Recovery Plan for Mexican Gray
Wolf (C. l. baileyi).
Establish experimental population
(southeastern Idaho, southern
Montana, and Wyoming).
Establish experimental population
(central Idaho & southwest
Montana).
Establish experimental population
(Arizona & New Mexico).
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C.
C.
C.
C.
C.
C.
C.
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Federal Register citation
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FR
FR
FR
FR
FR
FR
FR
4001, March 11, 1967 .......
14678, June 4, 1973 .........
1171, January 4, 1974 ......
1171, January 4, 1974 ......
17736, April 28, 1976 ........
24064, June 14, 1976 .......
9607, March 9, 1978 3 .......
n.a. ................................................
n.a. ................................................
59 FR 60266, November 22, 1994
59 FR 60252, November 22, 1994
63 FR 1752, January 12, 1998 ....
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Litigation history
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TABLE 1—KEY FEDERAL REGULATORY ACTIONS UNDER THE ACT AND PREDECESSOR LEGISLATION 1 PERTAINING TO GRAY
WOLF AND, WHERE APPLICABLE, OUTCOMES OF COURT CHALLENGES TO THESE ACTIONS—Continued
[E = Endangered Species, T = Threatened Species, DPS = Distinct Population Segment, NRM = Northern Rocky Mountains, WGL = Western
Great Lakes]
Entity
Year of action
Type of action
Federal Register citation
Litigation history
C. lupus DPSs: .............
—Eastern DPS ......
—Western DPS .....
—Southwestern
U.S. & Mexico
DPS.
2003 .....................................
68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003 ..........
Rule vacated (Defenders of Wildlife v. Norton, 354 F. Supp. 2d
1156 (D. Or. 2005); National
Wildlife Federation v. Norton,
386 F. Supp. 2d 553 (D. Vt.
2005))
C. lupus WGL DPS ......
2007 .....................................
Designate DPS & classify/reclassify as:.
—Eastern DPS (T) ................
—Western DPS (T) ...............
—Southwestern U.S. & Mexico DPS (E) Delist in unoccupied non-historical range.
Designate DPS & delist ................
72 FR 6052, February 8, 2007 .....
C. lupus NRM DPS ......
2008 .....................................
Designate DPS & delist ................
73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008
Rule vacated (Humane Society of
the United States v. Kempthorne, 579 F. Supp. 2d 7
(D.D.C. 2008))
Rule vacated and remanded
(Defenders of Wildlife v. Hall,
565 F. Supp. 2d 1160 (D. Mont.
2008))
C. lupus DPSs: .............
—WGL DPS ..........
—NRM DPS ..........
C. lupus WGL DPS ......
2008 .....................................
Reinstatement of protections—
NRM & WGL DPSs.
73 FR 75356, December 11, 2008
2009 .....................................
Designate DPS & delist ................
74 FR 15070, April 2, 2009 ..........
C. lupus NRM DPS (except Wyoming).
2009 .....................................
Designate DPS & delist (except in
Wyoming).
74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009 ..........
C. lupus WGL DPS ......
2009 .....................................
C. lupus NRM DPS ......
2010 .....................................
74 FR 47483, September 16,
2009.
75 FR 65574, October 26, 2010 ..
C. lupus NRM DPS ......
2011 .....................................
C. lupus WGL DPS ......
2011 .....................................
Reinstatement of protections—
WGL.
Reinstatement of protections—
NRM DPS.
Reissuance of 2009 NRM DPS
delisting rule (as required by
Public Law 112–10-The Department of Defense and Full-Year
Continuing Appropriations Act,
2011).
Revise 1978 listing, designate
DPS & delist.
C. lupus in Wyoming ....
2012 .....................................
Delist in Wyoming .........................
77 FR 55530, September 10,
2012.
C. lupus in lower 48
U.S. (except NRM &
WGL DPSs) and
Mexico.
C. l. baileyi ....................
C. l. baileyi ....................
2013 .....................................
Propose delist in lower 48 U.S. &
list C. l. baileyi (E); status review of wolves in Pacific Northwest.
List E .............................................
Revised 1998 C. lupus experimental population and associated it with C. l. baileyi listing.
Reinstatement of protections—
WGL DPS & Wyoming.
Reinstatement of 2012 delisting—
Wyoming.
78 FR 35664, June 13, 2013 .......
C. lupus WGL DPS and
C. lupus in Wyoming.
C. lupus in Wyoming ....
2015 .....................................
2015 .....................................
2015 .....................................
2017 .....................................
Rule vacated (Humane Society of
the United States v. Salazar,
1:09–CV–1092–PLF
(D.D.C.
2009))
Rule vacated (Defenders of Wildlife v. Salazar, 729 F. Supp. 2d
1207 (D. Mont. 2010))
76 FR 25590, May 5, 2011 ..........
76 FR 81666, December 28, 2011
Rule vacated (Humane Society of
the U.S. v. Jewell, 76 F. Supp.
3d 69, 110 (D.D.C. 2014))
Vacatur upheld on appeal
(Humane Society of the U.S. v.
Zinke, 865 F.3d 585 (D.C. Cir.
2017))
Rule vacated (Defenders of Wildlife v. Jewell, 68 F. Supp. 3d
193 (D.D.C. 2014) Vacatur reversed on appeal (Defenders of
Wildlife v. Zinke, 849 F.3d
1077 (D.C. Cir. 2017))
80 FR 2488, January 16, 2015 ....
80 FR 2512, January 16, 2015 ....
80 FR 9218, February 20, 2015 ...
82 FR 20284, May 1, 2017 ..........
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1 Action taken under the Endangered Species Preservation predecessor legislation (Endangered Species Act of 1966, Endangered Species Conservation Act of
1969).
2 Later subsumed into C. l. baileyi due to taxonomic changes.
3 In this rule we also identified critical habitat in Michigan and Minnesota and promulgated special regulations under section 4(d) of the Act for operating a wolfmanagement program in Minnesota. The special regulation was later modified (50 FR 50793, December 12, 1985).
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General Background
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The 1978 Reclassification
When the gray wolf (C. lupus) was
reclassified in March 1978 (replacing
multiple subspecies listings with two C.
lupus population listings as described
further in Previous Federal Actions), it
had been extirpated from much of its
historical range in the contiguous
United States. Although the 1978
reclassification listed two gray wolf
entities (a threatened population in
Minnesota and an endangered
population throughout the rest of the
contiguous United States and Mexico),
these listings were not predicated upon
a formal DPS analysis, because the
reclassification predated the November
1978 amendments to the Act, which
revised the definition of ‘‘species’’ to
include distinct population segments of
vertebrate fish or wildlife, and our 1996
DPS Policy.
As indicated in Previous Federal
Actions, the 1978 reclassification was
employed as an approach of
convenience to ensure the gray wolf was
protected wherever it was found (as
described in 47 FR 9607, March 9, 1978)
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in the lower 48 States and Mexico,
rather than an indication of where gray
wolves actually existed or where gray
wolf recovery would occur. Thus, the
1978 reclassification resulted in
inclusion of large areas of the
contiguous United States where gray
wolves were extirpated, as well as the
mid-Atlantic and southeastern United
States—west to central Texas and
Oklahoma—an area that is generally
accepted not to be within the historical
range of C. lupus (Young and Goldman
1944, pp. 413–416, 478; Nowak 1995, p.
395, fig. 20). While this generalized
approach to the listing appropriately
protected dispersing wolves throughout
the historical range of C. lupus in the
United States and Mexico and
facilitated recovery of the northern
Rocky Mountains and western Great
Lakes populations, it also erroneously
included areas outside the species’
historical range and was misread by
some members of the public as an
expression of a larger gray wolf recovery
effort not required by the Act and never
intended by the Service. In fact, as
discussed below (see National Wolf
Strategy), our recovery efforts have
consistently focused on reestablishing
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wolf populations in specific areas of the
country.
National Wolf Strategy
We first described our national wolf
strategy in our May 5, 2011, proposed
rule to revise the List for the gray wolf
in the eastern United States (76 FR
26086). This strategy was intended to:
(1) Lay out a cohesive and coherent
approach to addressing wolf
conservation needs, including
protection and management, in
accordance with the Act’s statutory
framework; (2) ensure that actions taken
for one wolf population do not cause
unintended consequences for other
populations; and (3) be explicit about
the role of historical range in the
conservation of extant wolf populations.
Included in this strategy is the precept
that, in order to qualify for any type of
listing or delisting action, wolf entities
must conform to the Act’s definition of
‘‘species,’’ whether as taxonomic
species or subspecies or as distinct
population segments.
Our May 5, 2011, proposed rule states
that our strategy focuses on
conservation of four extant gray wolf
entities being considered for
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classification actions: (1) The western
Great Lakes population, (2) the northern
Rocky Mountains population, (3) the
southwestern population of Mexican
wolves, and (4) gray wolves in the
Pacific Northwest. All of our actions to
date are consistent with this focus. As
stated above (see Previous Federal
Actions), we published final rules
delisting the NRM DPS (except for
Wyoming), WGL DPS, and Wyoming
portion of the NRM DPS in 2011 and
2012, and published a final rule listing
the Mexican wolf (C. l. baileyi)
separately as endangered in 2015.
However, as indicated in Previous
Federal Actions, our 2011 final rule
designating and delisting the WGL DPS
was subsequently vacated.
In addition to the rules described
above, we completed a status review for
gray wolves in the Pacific Northwest
(western Washington and western
Oregon) in 2013 (table 1). We
determined that these wolves are not
discrete, under our DPS policy, from
wolves in the NRM DPS (see 78 FR
35707–35713) and, therefore, are not a
valid listable entity under the Act.
Wolves in the Pacific Northwest are a
mix of individuals derived from wolves
in the northern Rocky Mountains and
Canada (or both) and represent the
expanding fronts of these populations
(78 FR 35707–35713, USFWS 2018, pp.
4, 14–15, 23). Since publication of our
2013 status review, wolves have also
expanded into northern California.
Wolves in northern California are not
discrete from those in the Pacific
Northwest based on documented
movement of wolves between Oregon
and California (USFWS 2018, pp. 14–
15). Therefore, wolves in western
Washington, western Oregon, and
northern California are not a valid DPS
because they are not discrete from the
NRM DPS.
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Approach for This Proposed Rule
The Entities Addressed in This Rule
In this proposed rule, we consider the
status of the gray wolf within the
geographic boundaries of the two
currently listed C. lupus entities to
determine whether these wolves should
remain on the List in their current
status, be reclassified, or be removed
from the List. These two currently listed
entities are: (1) C. lupus in Minnesota,
and (2) C. lupus in the lower 48 United
States and Mexico outside of Minnesota,
the NRM DPS (Montana, Idaho,
Wyoming, eastern third of Washington
and Oregon, and north-central Utah),
and the area covered by the
experimental population area for C. l.
baileyi (the designated area in which the
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subspecies is being re-introduced; see
63 FR 1752, January 12, 1998). These
two entities are currently listed as
threatened and endangered,
respectively.
While our past status reviews have
focused on C. lupus DPSs and
taxonomic units that align with our
national wolf strategy (see table 1), this
status review considers the current C.
lupus listed entities described above.
We do this:
(1) To address the Court of Appeals
concerns with our 2011 final rule
delisting the WGL DPS, specifically,
concern pertaining to the impacts of
partial delisting on the remainder of the
already-listed species (see Previous
Federal Actions);
(2) To avoid a rulemaking that
conflicts with multiple court opinions
regarding our prior attempts to
designate and delist wolf DPSs (see
table 1); and
(3) Because, with the exception of C.
l. baileyi, which is listed separately as
endangered wherever found (see
Previous Federal Actions), the
taxonomy of C. lupus is complex,
controversial, and unresolved (USFWS
2018, pp. 1–4; also see How We Address
Taxonomic Uncertainties in this Rule,
below).
How We Address the C. lupus Entities
in This Rule
The two currently listed gray wolf
entities are vestiges of a 40-year-old
action (the 1978 reclassification (see
Background)). Our knowledge of wolf
biology and taxonomy has vastly
changed since then. Additionally, our
previous efforts to revise the listed
entities have not withstood judicial
scrutiny (see Previous Federal Actions).
Our policies and practices pertaining to
listable entities have also changed since
the 1978 reclassification. As a result,
these entities do not conform with our
current policies and standard practice.
Specifically: (1) These two entities are
not discrete from one another under our
current policy on vertebrate distinct
population segments (DPSs) (61 FR
4722, February 7, 1996); (2) the listing
for the larger entity includes areas
known to overlap with the range of the
separately listed gray wolf subspecies C.
l. baileyi; and (3) wolves currently listed
in the western United States are not
discrete from the recovered Northern
Rocky Mountains population, which we
removed from the List in 2009 (table 1).
(1) Lack of Discreteness of the Two C.
lupus Listed Entities
Under the Act we can list a species,
subspecies, or vertebrate DPS. Neither of
the two entities currently on the List
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represents an entire species or
subspecies, thus to comply with the
statute, these listings must be DPSs. Our
1996 DPS policy specifies that a
vertebrate population must be both
discrete and significant to qualify as a
DPS (61 FR 4722–4725; February 7,
1996). To qualify as ‘‘discrete,’’ a
population must be ‘‘markedly
separated from other populations of the
same taxon as a consequence of
physical, physiological, ecological, or
behavioral factors’’ (61 FR 4725).
However, as indicated, the populations
in these two entities are no longer
discrete (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
(USFWS) 2018, pp. 22–23). Therefore,
because it is clear that neither entity
would qualify as a DPS under our 1996
DPS policy (61 FR 4725), we consider
the conservation status of the two listed
wolf entities as one combined entity in
this proposed rule. We refer to the
combined entity simply as ‘‘the gray
wolf entity’’ throughout this proposed
rule.
(2) C. l. baileyi listing
As indicated above (see Previous
Federal Actions), in 2015 we revised the
listing for gray wolf by reclassifying the
subspecies C. l. baileyi as a separately
listed entity with the status of
endangered, wherever found. Although
the rulemaking does not include
language expressly excluding C. l.
baileyi from the previously listed C.
lupus entity, we indicated in our 2015
final rule listing the subspecies that the
effect of the regulation was to revise the
List by making a separate entry for the
Mexican wolf (80 FR 2488, 2511,
January 16, 2015). Therefore, because
we already assessed the status of, and
listed, the Mexican wolf separately, we
do not consider individuals or
populations of C. l. baileyi in this
proposed rule. In geographical terms,
we do not consider wolves occurring in
Mexico and within the experimental
population area in this proposed rule.
Canis lupus baileyi is the only
subspecies known to occur in these
areas, and we have no information
suggesting that other gray wolves occur
in these areas.
(3) Lack of Discreteness of Western
Wolves Within and Outside the Gray
Wolf Entity
In the coastal States of the western
United States, wolves within the gray
wolf entity occur in an area comprising
western Oregon, western Washington,
and northern California. These wolves
are part of the expanding fronts (or
edges) of the recovered and delisted
wolf population in the NRM DPS and
wolves crossing into the United States
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from British Columbia, Canada (USFWS
2018, p. 22). While wolves in the west
coast States may not be discrete from
the NRM DPS and wolves in British
Columbia, Canada, we do not combine
wolves in the west coast States with
those in the NRM DPS and British
Columbia, Canada, for the purpose of
our analysis (as we combined the two
currently listed entities) because wolves
in the NRM DPS and British Columbia,
Canada, are not currently listed under
the Act. Therefore, we do not consider
wolves occurring in either of these
locations in this proposed rule except to
provide context, where appropriate, in
our discussions of wolves comprising
the gray wolf entity.
How We Address Taxonomic
Uncertainties in This Rule
The taxonomy and evolutionary
history of wolves in North America are
complex and controversial, particularly
with respect to the taxonomic
assignment of wolves in the
northeastern United States and portions
of the Great Lakes region (eastern
wolves) (see Taxonomy of Gray Wolves
in North America). Available
information indicates ongoing scientific
debate and a lack of resolution on the
taxonomy of eastern wolves. Some
scientists consider eastern wolves to be
a distinct species, C. lycaon; some
consider them gray wolves (C. lupus);
and some consider them the product of
hybridization between gray wolves and
coyotes (USFWS 2018, p. 1). Further,
none of these viewpoints is more widely
accepted by the scientific community.
For the purposes of this proposed
rule, we consider eastern wolves to be
members of the species C. lupus because
there is not clear support for a
recognizable and independent evolved
eastern wolf species. Therefore, in our
assessment of the status of the gray wolf
entity, we include eastern wolves and
eastern wolf range that occurs within
the geographical boundaries of the gray
wolf entity.
We note that in our 2013 proposed
rule to delist wolves in the lower 48
United States and Mexico (table 1), we
accepted the conclusions of Chambers et
al. (2012, entire) on the taxonomy of
eastern wolves and recognized eastern
wolves as the distinct species C. lycaon.
However, peer reviewers of our 2013
proposed rule indicated that Chambers
et al. was not universally accepted and
our rule did not represent the best
available science (National Center for
Ecological Analysis and Synthesis 2014,
entire). Also, new information
published on the topic since publication
of our 2013 rule indicates the taxonomy
of eastern wolves continues to be
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controversial and unresolved (USFWS
2018, pp. 1–2). Finally, the uncertainty
of the existence of a separate species is
reflected in the fact that C. lycaon is not
recognized by authoritative taxonomic
organizations such as the American
Society of Mammalogists or the
International Commission on Zoological
Nomenclature.
Scientists also disagree on the
taxonomic assignment of wolves in the
southeastern United States generally
recognized as ‘‘red wolves.’’ However,
we recognize the red wolf as the species
C. rufus, and note that it is listed as
endangered where found (32 FR 4001,
March 11, 1967). We do not consider
red wolves further in this rule, and the
red wolf listing is not affected by this
proposal.
Summary of Our Approach
In this proposed rule, we assess the
status of gray wolves occurring within
the geographic area outlined by the two
currently listed gray wolf (C. lupus)
entities combined (figure 1), but we do
not include in our assessment
individuals or populations of the
Mexican gray wolf (C. l. baileyi) (wolves
that occur in Mexico and the
nonessential experimental population
area in the southwestern United States)
as these wolves are separately listed as
an endangered subspecies (80 FR 2488,
January 16, 2015). Further, for the
purposes of this proposed rule, we
consider any eastern wolves within the
geographic boundaries of the two
currently listed gray wolf entities to be
members of the species C. lupus. As
stated previously, this proposed rule
supersedes the June 13, 2013, proposed
rule to delist C. lupus in the remaining
listed portions of the United States and
Mexico outside of the delisted NRM and
WGL (78 FR 35663).
Species Information
We provide detailed background
information on gray wolves in the
United States in a separate Gray Wolf
Biological Report (see USFWS 2018,
entire). This document can be found
along with this proposed rule at https://
regulations.gov in Docket No. FWS–
HW–ES–2018–0097 (see Supplemental
Documents). We summarize relevant
information from this report below. For
additional information, including
sources of the information presented
below, see USFWS (2018, entire) and
references therein.
Biology and Ecology
Gray wolves are the largest wild
members of the dog family and have a
broad circumpolar range. They are
highly territorial, social animals that
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live and hunt in packs. They are well
adapted to traveling fast and far in
search of food, and catching and eating
large mammals. In North America they
are primarily predators of medium to
large mammals, including deer, elk, and
other species.
Gray wolves are habitat generalists.
They can successfully occupy a wide
range of habitats and are not dependent
on wilderness for their survival. An
inadequate prey density and a high level
of human persecution appear to be the
only factors that limit habitat suitability
and gray wolf distribution. Thus,
virtually any area that has sufficient
prey and adequate protection from
persecution can be suitable habitat for
gray wolves.
Wolf populations are remarkably
resilient as long as food supply and
regulation of human-caused mortality
are adequate. In the absence of high
levels of anthropogenic influences, wolf
populations are generally believed to be
regulated by the distribution and
abundance of prey on the landscape,
though density-dependent, intrinsic
mechanisms (e.g., social strife,
territoriality, disease) may limit
populations when ungulate densities are
high. Where harvest occurs, high levels
of reproduction and immigration can
compensate for high mortality rates.
Pack social structure is very adaptable—
breeding members can be quickly
replaced from within or outside the
pack, and pups can be reared by another
pack member should their parents die.
Consequently, wolf populations can
rapidly overcome severe disruptions,
such as pervasive human-caused
mortality or disease. Wolf populations
can increase rapidly after severe
declines if the source of mortality is
reduced. Also, the species’ dispersal
capabilities allow a wolf population to
quickly expand and colonize nearby
areas, even areas separated by broad
expanses of unsuitable habitat.
Taxonomy of Gray Wolves in North
America
The taxonomy of the genus Canis in
North America has a complex and
contentious history, particularly with
respect to two generally recognized
phenotypes (morphological forms) that
occur in eastern North America: The
‘‘red wolf’’ and ‘‘eastern wolf.’’ As
indicated above (see How We Address
Taxonomic Uncertainties in this Rule),
we continue to recognize the red wolf as
the species C. rufus and do not discuss
the taxonomy of the species further in
this rule (for more information, see our
2018 Red Wolf Species Status
Assessment). We discuss the eastern
wolf further below.
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The ‘‘eastern wolf’’ has been the
source of perhaps the most significant
disagreement on North American canid
taxonomy among scientists. The
‘‘eastern wolf’’ has been variously
described as a species, a subspecies of
gray wolf, an ecotype of gray wolf, or
the product of hybridization between
gray wolves and coyotes. Hybridization
is widely recognized to have played,
and to continue to play, an important
role among ‘‘eastern wolves,’’ with
varying views on the role of
hybridization between ‘‘eastern wolves’’
and coyotes, ‘‘eastern wolves’’ and gray
wolves, and gray wolves and coyotes.
Minnesota appears to be the western
edge of a hybrid zone between western
gray wolves and eastern wolves—
wolves in western Minnesota appear to
be gray wolves both morphologically
and genetically while wolves in eastern
Minnesota and much of the Great Lakes
area appear to be ‘‘eastern wolf,’’
introgressed with western gray wolf to
varying degrees.
No controversy exists regarding the
number of wolf species in western
North America—all are widely
recognized as gray wolves (C. lupus).
However, the science pertaining to gray
wolf subspecies designations, unique
evolutionary lineages, ecotypes, and
admixture of formerly isolated
populations continues to develop and
remains unresolved. Even so, genetic
studies indicate that wolves in
Washington include individuals from
the northern Rocky Mountains,
individuals from British Columbia, and
individuals of mixed ancestry. Wolves
currently occupying Oregon and
California are derived from dispersers
from the northern Rocky Mountains.
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Range and Population Trends Prior to
1978 Reclassification
Historical Range of the Gray Wolf Entity
We view the historical range to be the
range of gray wolves within the gray
wolf entity at the time of European
settlement. We determined that this
timeframe is appropriate because it
precedes the major changes in range in
response to excessive human-caused
mortality (USFWS 2018, pp. 7–11).
At the time of the 1978
reclassification, the historical range of
the gray wolf was generally believed to
include most of North America and,
consequently, most of the gray wolf
entity. In the lower 48 United States,
they were reportedly absent from parts
of California, the arid deserts and
mountaintops of the western United
States, and parts of the eastern United
States. However, some authorities
question the species’ historical absence
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in parts of California. In addition, longheld differences of opinion exist among
scientists regarding the precise
boundary of the gray wolf’s historical
range in the eastern United States. Some
believe the range of gray wolves
extended as far south as southern
Georgia while others believe it did not
extend into the southeast at all. The
southeastern and mid-Atlantic States are
generally recognized as being within the
historical range of the red wolf, but it is
not known how much range overlap
historically occurred between these two
species. Because of the various scientific
positions on gray wolf species and
range, the historical extent of gray wolf
range for much of the gray wolf entity
in the eastern United States remains
uncertain.
Based on our review of the best
available information, we view the
historical range of the gray wolf within
the gray wolf entity to follow that
presented in Nowak (1995) and depicted
in figure 2. This includes all areas
within the gray wolf entity except
western California, a small portion of
southwestern Arizona, and the
southeastern United States (see figure 2
and USFWS 2018, pp. 7–11).
While some authorities question the
absence of gray wolves in parts of
California, limited preserved physical
evidence of wolves in California exists.
Therefore, we rely on early reports of
wolves in the State that describe the
species as occurring in the northern and
Sierra Mountain regions of California.
Further, while recognizing that the
extent of overlap of C. rufus and C.
lupus ranges is unknown, because the
southeastern United States are generally
recognized as within the range of C.
rufus, we consider it to be generally
outside the range of C. lupus. However,
we acknowledge that the historical
range of C. lupus is uncertain and the
topic of continued debate among
scientists.
Historical Abundance of the Gray Wolf
Entity
Historical abundance of gray wolves
within the gray wolf entity is largely
unknown. Based on the reports of
European settlers, gray wolves were
common in much of the West. While
historical (at the time of European
settlement) estimates are notoriously
difficult to verify, one study estimates
that hundreds of thousands of wolves
occurred in the western United States
and Mexico. In the Great Lakes area,
there were an estimated 4,000 to 8,000
in Minnesota, 3,000 to 5,000 in
Wisconsin, and fewer than 6,000 in
Michigan. No estimates are available for
historical abundance in the Northeast.
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Historical Trends in Range and
Abundance for the Gray Wolf Entity
Gray wolf range and numbers
throughout the gray wolf entity declined
significantly during the 19th and 20th
centuries as a result of killing of wolves
by humans through poisoning,
unregulated trapping and shooting, and
government-funded wolf-extermination
efforts. By the time subspecies were first
listed under the Act in 1974 (table 1),
the gray wolf had been eliminated from
most of its historical range within the
lower 48 United States, including
within most of the gray wolf entity.
Distribution, and Abundance of the
Gray Wolf Entity at the Time of the 1978
Reclassification
By the time gray wolf subspecies were
listed under the Act in 1974 (table 1),
the species occurred in only a small
fraction of its historical range. Aside
from a few scattered individuals, wolves
occurred in only two places within the
gray wolf entity (and the entire lower 48
United States). A population persisted
in northeastern Minnesota, and a small,
isolated group of about 40 wolves
occurred on Isle Royale, Michigan. The
Minnesota wolf population was the only
major U.S. population in existence
outside Alaska at this time and
numbered about 1,000 individuals.
While the Minnesota population was
small compared to historical numbers
and range within the lower 48 United
States, it had not undergone a
significant decline since about 1900. By
1978, when several gray wolf subspecies
were consolidated into a single lower 48
United States/Mexico listing and a
separate Minnesota listing under the
Act, the gray wolf population in
Minnesota had increased to an
estimated 1,235 wolves in 138 packs (in
the winter of 1978–79) and had an
estimated range of 14,038 square miles
(mi2) (36,500 square kilometers (km2))
(figure 2). Although it was suspected
that wolves inhabited Wisconsin at this
time, it was not until 1979 that wolf
presence was confirmed in the State.
Current Distribution and Abundance of
the Gray Wolf Entity
The vast majority of wolves within
the gray wolf entity now exist as a large,
stable or growing metapopulation
(partially isolated set of subpopulations)
of more than 4,400 individuals that is
broadly distributed across the northern
portions of three States in the Great
Lakes area. This metapopulation is also
connected, via documented dispersals,
to the large and expansive population of
about 12,000–14,000 wolves in eastern
Canada. As a result, gray wolves in the
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Great Lakes area do not function as an
isolated metapopulation of 4,400
individuals across three States, but
rather as part of a much larger
metapopulation that spans across three
States of the United States and two
Provinces of Canada.
In addition to the metapopulation in
the Great Lakes area, as of 2017, three
breeding pairs and four packs with no
documented reproduction occur within
the gray wolf entity in Oregon,
Washington, and California. These
wolves originated from large
populations of approximately 15,000
wolves in western Canada and about
1,700 wolves in the northern Rocky
Mountains. Effective dispersal has been
documented among California, Oregon,
and Washington as well as between
these States and other northern Rocky
Mountains States and Canada. Thus,
wolves in the Pacific coast States are an
extension of the metapopulation of
wolves in western Canada and the
northern Rocky Mountains.
Finally, a number of lone longdistance dispersing wolves have been
documented outside core populations of
the Great Lakes area and western United
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and survival of the species. They also
identify objective, measurable criteria
(recovery criteria) which, when met,
would result in a determination that the
species should be removed from the
List. Methods for monitoring recovery
progress may also be included in
recovery plans.
The Act does not describe recovery in
terms of the proportion of historical
range that must be occupied by a
species, nor does it ever allude to
restoration throughout the entire
Gray Wolf Recovery Plans and
Recovery Implementation
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to
develop and implement recovery plans
for the conservation and survival of
endangered and threatened species
unless we determine that such a plan
will not promote the conservation of the
species. Recovery plans are nonregulatory documents that identify sitespecific management actions that may
be necessary to achieve conservation
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States since the early 2000s. Confirmed
records of individual wolves have been
reported from North Dakota, South
Dakota, Utah, Colorado, Nevada,
Missouri, Indiana, Illinois, Nebraska,
and Kansas. The total number of
confirmed records in each of these
States, since the early 2000s, ranges
from one in Nevada to at least 27 in
North Dakota, with the latter also having
an additional 45 probable but unverified
reports.
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historical range as a conservation
purpose. In fact, the Act itself does not
contain the phrase ‘‘historical range.’’
Thus, the Act does not require us to
restore the gray wolf (or any other
species) to all of its historical range or
any specific percentage of currently
suitable habitat. For some species,
expansion of their distribution or
abundance may be necessary to achieve
recovery, but the amount of expansion
is driven by a species’ biological needs
affecting viability (ability to sustain
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populations in the wild over time) and
sustainability, not by an arbitrary
percent of a species’ historical range or
currently suitable habitat. Many other
species may be recovered in portions of
their historical range or currently
suitable habitat by removing or
addressing the threats to their continued
existence. And some species may be
recovered by a combination of range
expansion and threats reduction. There
is no uniform definition for recovery
and how recovery must be achieved.
As indicated in Previous Federal
Actions, following our 1978
reclassification, we drafted recovery
plans and implemented recovery
programs for gray wolves in three
regions of the contiguous United States
(table 1). Wolves in one of these
regions—C. l. baileyi, in the
southwestern United States and
Mexico—were recently listed separately
as an endangered subspecies and are not
considered in this rule (see Approach
for this Proposed Rule). Wolves in
another of these regions—the northern
Rocky Mountains—have recovered and
were delisted (table 1). We discuss
recovery of wolves in the third region—
the eastern United States—as it relates
to the status of the gray wolf entity,
below. We did not develop a recovery
plan for wolves in the U.S. west coast
States because we did not identify this
area as necessary to the recovery of the
species following our 1978
reclassification. We have not since
developed a recovery plan for these
wolves because we determined in our
2013 status review that they are
biologically part of (although outside
the legal boundary of) an already
recovered and delisted population (see
National Wolf Strategy).
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Recovery Criteria
There are many paths to accomplish
recovery of a species, and recovery may
be achieved without all recovery criteria
being fully met. We use recovery criteria
in concert with evidence that threats
have been minimized sufficiently and
populations have achieved long-term
viability to determine when a species
can be reclassified from endangered to
threatened or delisted. Recovery of a
species is a dynamic process requiring
adaptive management that may, or may
not, fully follow the guidance provided
in a recovery plan. Recovery plans,
including recovery criteria, are subject
to change based upon new information
and are revised accordingly and when
practicable. In a similar sense,
implementation of planned actions is
subject to changing information and
availability of resources. We have taken
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these considerations into account in the
following discussion.
The 1978 Recovery Plan (hereafter
Recovery Plan) and the 1992 Revised
Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber
Wolf (hereafter Revised Recovery Plan)
were developed to guide recovery of the
eastern timber wolf subspecies. Those
recovery plans contain the same two
recovery criteria, which are meant to
indicate when recovery of the eastern
timber wolf throughout its historical
range in the eastern United States has
been achieved. The first recovery
criterion states that the survival of the
wolf in Minnesota must be assured. We,
and the Eastern Timber Wolf Recovery
Team (Peterson in litt. 1997, 1998,
1999a, 1999b), have concluded that this
recovery criterion remains valid. It
addresses a need for reasonable
assurances that future State, tribal, and
Federal wolf management and
protection will maintain a viable
recovered population of wolves within
the borders of Minnesota for the
foreseeable future.
Although the recovery criteria
identified in the Recovery Plan predate
identification of the conservation
biology principles of representation
(conserving the adaptive genetic
diversity of a taxon), resiliency (ability
to withstand demographic and
environmental variation), and
redundancy (sufficient populations to
provide a margin of safety), those
principles were incorporated into the
recovery criteria. The Recovery Team
insisted that the remnant Minnesota
wolf population be maintained and
protected to achieve wolf recovery in
the eastern United States. Maintenance
of the Minnesota wolf population is
vital in terms of representation because
these wolves include both western gray
wolves and wolves that are admixtures
of western gray wolves and eastern
wolves. In other words, they contain the
genetic components of both western
gray wolves and eastern wolves. The
successful growth of the remnant
Minnesota population has maintained
and maximized the representation of
that genetic diversity among wolves in
the Great Lakes area.
Maintenance of the Minnesota wolf
population is also vital in terms of
resiliency. Although the Revised
Recovery Plan did not establish a
specific numerical criterion for the
Minnesota wolf population, it did
identify, for planning purposes only, a
population goal of 1,251–1,400 animals
for that Minnesota population (USFWS
1992, p. 28). A population of this size
not only increases the likelihood of
maintaining its genetic diversity over
the long term, but also reduces the
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adverse impacts of unpredictable
demographic and environmental events.
Furthermore, the Revised Recovery Plan
recommends a wolf population that is
spread across about 40 percent of
Minnesota (Zones 1 through 4) (USFWS
1992, p. 28), adding a geographic
component to the resiliency of the
Minnesota wolf population.
The second recovery criterion in the
Recovery Plan states that at least one
viable wolf population should be
reestablished within the historical range
of the eastern timber wolf outside of
Minnesota and Isle Royale, Michigan
(USFWS 1992, pp. 24–26). The
reestablished population enhances both
the resiliency and redundancy of the
Great Lakes metapopulation.
The Recovery Plan provides two
options for reestablishing this second
population. If it is an isolated
population, that is, located more than
100 miles (mi) (160 kilometers (km))
from the Minnesota wolf population, the
second population should consist of at
least 200 wolves for at least 5 years,
based upon late-winter population
estimates, to be considered viable. Latewinter estimates are made at a time
when most winter mortality has already
occurred and before the birth of pups,
thus, the count is made at the annual
low point of the population.
Alternatively, if the second population
is located within 100 mi (160 km) of a
self-sustaining wolf population (for
example, the Minnesota wolf
population), it should be maintained at
a minimum of 100 wolves for at least 5
years, based on late-winter population
estimates, to be considered viable. A
nearby second population would be
considered viable at a smaller size
because it would be geographically
close enough to exchange wolves with
the Minnesota population (that is, they
would function as a metapopulation),
thereby bolstering the smaller second
population both genetically and
numerically.
The original Recovery Plan did not
specify where in the eastern United
States the second population should be
reestablished. Therefore, the second
population could have been established
anywhere within the triangular
Minnesota-Maine-Florida area covered
by the Recovery Plan and the Revised
Recovery Plan, except on Isle Royale
(Michigan) or within Minnesota. The
Revised Recovery Plan identified
potential gray wolf reestablishment
areas in northern Wisconsin, the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan, the Adirondack
Forest Preserve of New York, a small
area in eastern Maine, and a larger area
of northwestern Maine and adjacent
northern New Hampshire (USFWS
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1992, pp. 56–58). Neither the 1978 nor
the 1992 recovery criteria suggest that
the establishment of gray wolves
throughout all or most of what was
thought to be its historical range in the
eastern United States, or to all of the
identified potential reestablishment
areas, is necessary to achieve recovery
under the Act.
In 1998, the Eastern Timber Wolf
Recovery Team clarified the application
of the recovery criterion for the second
population to the wolf population that
had developed in northern Wisconsin
and the adjacent Upper Peninsula of
Michigan. This second population is
less than 100 mi (160 km) from the
Minnesota wolf population. The
Recovery Team recommended that the
numerical recovery criterion for the
Wisconsin-Michigan population be
considered met when consecutive latewinter wolf surveys document that the
population equals or exceeds 100
wolves (excluding Isle Royale wolves)
for the 5 consecutive years between the
first and last surveys (Peterson in litt.
1998).
Recovery Progress
Wolves in the Great Lakes area greatly
exceed the recovery criteria (USFWS
1992, pp. 24–26) for (1) a secure wolf
population in Minnesota, and (2) a
second population outside Minnesota
and Isle Royale consisting of 100 wolves
for 5 successive years. Based on the
eight surveys conducted since 1998, the
wolf population in Minnesota has
exceeded 2,000 individuals over the
past 20 years, and populations in
Michigan and Wisconsin have exceeded
100 individuals every year since 1996
(USFWS 2018, appendix 1). Based on
the criteria set by the Eastern Wolf
Recovery Team in 1992 and reaffirmed
in 1997 and 1998 (Peterson in litt. 1997,
in litt. 1998), this region contains
sufficient wolf numbers and distribution
to ensure the long-term survival of the
gray wolf entity.
The maintenance and expansion of
the Minnesota wolf population has
allowed for the preservation of the
genetic diversity that remained in the
Great Lakes area when its wolves were
first protected in 1974. Furthermore, the
Wisconsin-Michigan wolf population far
exceeds the numerical recovery
criterion even for a completely isolated
second population. Therefore, even in
the unlikely event that this two-State
population were to become totally
isolated and wolf immigration from
Minnesota and Ontario completely
ceased, it would still remain a viable
wolf population for the foreseeable
future, as defined by the Revised
Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992, pp. 25–
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26). Finally, each of the wolf
populations in Wisconsin and Michigan
has exceeded 200 animals for about 20
years, so if either were somehow to
become isolated, they would remain
viable, and each State has committed to
manage its wolf population at or above
viable population levels. The wolf’s
numeric and distributional recovery
criteria in the Great Lakes area have
been met.
Historical Context of Our Analysis
When reviewing the current status of
a species, it is important to understand
and evaluate the effects of lost historical
range on the viability of the species in
its current range. In fact, when we
consider the status of a species in its
current range, we are considering
whether, without the species’ lost
historical range, the species is
endangered or threatened. Range
reduction may result in: Reduced
numbers of individuals and
populations; changes in available
resources (such as food) and,
consequently, range carrying capacity;
changes in demographic characteristics
(survival, reproductive rate,
metapopulation structure, etc.); and
changes in genetic diversity and gene
flow. These in turn can increase a
species’ vulnerability to a wide variety
of threats, such as habitat loss, restricted
gene flow, or having all or most of its
populations affected by a catastrophic
event such as a hurricane, fire, or
disease outbreak. In other words, past
range reduction can reduce the
redundancy, resiliency, and
representation of a species in its
remaining range, such that a species
may meet the definition of an
‘‘endangered species’’ or ‘‘threatened
species’’ under the Act. Thus, loss of
historical range is not necessarily
determinative of a species’ status, but
must be considered in the context of all
factors affecting a species. In addition to
considering the effects that loss of
historical range has had on the current
and future viability of the species, we
must also consider the causes of that
loss of historical range. If the causes of
the loss are still continuing, then that
loss is also relevant as evidence of the
effects of an ongoing threat.
As indicated above, gray wolves
historically occupied most of the range
of the gray wolf entity (see Historical
Range). The gray wolf range of the gray
wolf entity began receding after the
arrival of Europeans as a result of
deliberate killing of wolves by humans
and government funded bounty
programs aimed at eradication (USFWS
2018, pp. 7–11). Further, many
historical habitats were converted into
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agricultural land (Paquet and Carbyn
2003, p. 483), and natural food sources
such as deer and elk were reduced,
eliminated, or replaced with domestic
livestock, which can become
anthropogenic food sources for gray
wolves (Young 1944 in Fritts et al. 1997,
p. 8). The resulting reduction in range
and population were dramatic—by the
1970s gray wolves occupied only a
small fraction of their historical range
(figure 2). Although the range of the gray
wolf in the gray wolf entity has
significantly expanded since 1978, its
size and distribution remain below
historical levels. Today, gray wolves
within the gray wolf entity exist as a
metapopulation spread across northern
Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin,
and a small number of colonizing
wolves in the west coast United States
(USFWS 2018, pp. 22–23) (figure 2).
The alterations to gray wolf historical
numbers and populations within the
gray wolf entity increased the
vulnerability of the gray wolf entity to
a wide variety of threats that would not
be at issue without such massive range
reduction. Some of these threats were
identified in the 1978 reclassification
(43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978), including
reduction in available food (prey)
resources, and direct killing by humans.
In addition to these considerations, in
this proposed rule we also consider
availability of suitable habitat, disease
and parasites, and climate change. We
analyze these potential threats to the
gray wolf entity below under Summary
of Factors Affecting the Species.
While range reduction may also result
in changes in genetic diversity and gene
flow, or cause changes in population
demographics, we do not address
genetic diversity or demographics of the
gray wolf entity below because we are
not aware of any information indicating
that these are potential threats to wolves
in the gray wolf entity. Wolves in the
entity appear to be genetically and
demographically healthy. Not only do
they include wolves of differing and
mixed genetic origin, but they exist as
part of larger metapopulations—adverse
effects resulting from genetic drift,
demographic shifts, and local
environmental fluctuations can be
countered by influxes of individuals
and their genetic diversity from other
subpopulations of the metapopulation.
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for adding species to, reclassifying
species on, or removing species from the
Federal List of Endangered and
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Threatened Wildlife (List). We may
determine a species to be an endangered
species or threatened species due to one
or more of the five factors described in
section 4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The
present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; and (E)
other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. Listing
actions may be warranted based on any
of these five factors, singly or in
combination. We must consider these
same five factors in reclassifications of
species (changing the status from
threatened to endangered or vice versa),
and removing a species from the List
(delisting) because it is no longer
endangered or threatened (50 CFR
424.11(c), (d)). For species that are
already listed as endangered or
threatened, this analysis of threats is an
evaluation of threats that existed at the
time of listing, threats currently facing
the species, and the threats that are
reasonably likely to affect the species in
the foreseeable future, and the impact of
the removal or reduction of the Act’s
protections following a delisting or
downlisting (i.e., reclassification from
endangered to threatened).
For the purposes of this proposed
rule, we define the ‘‘foreseeable future’’
to be the extent to which, given the
amount and substance of available data,
we can anticipate events or effects, or
reliably extrapolate threat trends that
relate to the status of the gray wolf
entity. It took a considerable length of
time for public attitudes and regulations
to result in a social climate that
promoted and allowed for wolf recovery
within the gray wolf entity. The length
of time over which this shift occurred,
and the ensuing stability in those
attitudes, gives us confidence that this
social climate will persist. Also, the
Great Lakes States, which contain the
vast majority of wolves within the gray
wolf entity, have had a solid history of
cooperating with and assisting in wolf
recovery and have made a commitment,
through legislative actions, to continue
these activities. Washington, Oregon,
and California are also committed to
conserving wolves as demonstrated by
development of management plans and
laws and regulations that protect
wolves. We are not aware of any
information indicating that the
commitment of the Great Lakes States
and west coast States to gray wolf
conservation will change and conclude
that this commitment will continue.
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When evaluating the available
information, with respect to foreseeable
future, we take into account reduced
confidence as we forecast further into
the future. Finally, we note that there is
a proposed revision to 50 CFR part 424
that creates a regulatory framework for
the phrase ‘‘foreseeable future.’’ This
proposal is not a departure from how we
have implemented the phrase, but rather
is meant to codify the framework we
have been implementing. Thus, while
we are not bound to the proposed
revised regulations because they are not
final, our interpretation of ‘‘foreseeable
future’’ in this rule is consistent with
them.
In considering what factors might
constitute threats, we must look beyond
the exposure of the species to a
particular factor to evaluate whether the
species may respond to the factor in a
way that causes actual impacts to the
species. If there is exposure to a factor
and the species responds negatively, the
factor may be a threat, and during the
status review, we attempt to determine
how significant a threat it is. The threat
is significant if it drives or contributes
to the risk of extinction of the species,
such that the species warrants listing as
endangered or threatened as those terms
are defined by the Act. However, the
mere identification of factors that could
affect a species negatively may not be
sufficient to compel a finding that the
species warrants listing. The
information must include evidence
sufficient to suggest that the potential
threat is likely to materialize and that it
has the capacity (i.e., it should be of
sufficient magnitude and extent) to
affect the species’ status such that it
meets the definition of an endangered
species or threatened species under the
Act.
Gray wolves that occur in the gray
wolf entity are currently listed as
endangered under the Act, except those
wolves in Minnesota, which are listed
as threatened. In this analysis we
evaluate threat factors currently facing
the gray wolf entity and those that are
reasonably likely to have a negative
effect on the viability of wolf
populations in the gray wolf entity if the
protections of the Act were not in place.
Our analysis of threat factors below does
not consider the potential for effects to
C. lupus in areas where the species has
been extirpated—rather, effects are
considered in the context of the present
population. As explained in our
significant portion of the range (SPR)
final policy (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014),
we take into account the effect lost
historical range may have on the current
and future viability of a species in the
range it currently occupies, and also
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whether the causes of that loss are
evidence of ongoing or future threats to
the species. We do this through our
analysis of factors affecting the species.
A species’ current condition reflects the
effects of historical range loss and,
because threat factors are evaluated in
the context of the species’ current
condition, historical range contraction
may affect the outcome of our analysis.
Based on our review of the best
available scientific and commercial
information, we have identified several
factors that could potentially be
significant threats to the gray wolf
entity. We summarize our analysis of
these factors, and factors identified at
the time of listing, below. We
considered and evaluated the best
available scientific and commercial data
for our analyses.
Human-Caused Mortality
Human-caused mortality was
identified as the main factor causing the
decline of gray wolves at the time of
listing (43 FR 9611, March 9, 1978), and
an active eradication program is the sole
reason that wolves were extirpated from
their historical range in the United
States (Weaver 1978, p. i). European
settlers attempted to eliminate the wolf
entirely, primarily due to the threat or
reality of attacks on livestock, and the
U.S. Congress passed a wolf bounty that
covered the Northwest Territories in
1817. Bounties on wolves subsequently
became the norm for States across the
species’ range. For example, in
Michigan, an 1838 wolf bounty became
the ninth law passed by the First
Michigan Legislature; this bounty
remained in place until 1960. A
Wisconsin bounty was instituted in
1865 and was repealed about the time
wolves were extirpated from the State in
1957. Minnesota maintained a wolf
bounty until 1965. As the first
provisional governments in the Pacific
Northwest region were formed, they too
enacted wolf bounties (Hampton 1997,
pp. 107–108).
Protection of the gray wolf under the
Act and State endangered-species
statutes prohibited the intentional
killing of wolves except under very
limited circumstances, such as in
defense of human life, for scientific or
conservation purposes, or under special
regulations intended to reduce wolf
depredations of livestock or other
domestic animals. Aside from the
reintroduction of wolves into portions
of the northern Rocky Mountains, the
regulation of human-caused wolf
mortality is the primary reason wolf
numbers have significantly increased
and their range has expanded since the
mid-to-late 1970s.
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Two Minnesota studies provide some
limited insight into the extent of
human-caused wolf mortality before and
after the species’ listing. On the basis of
bounty data from a period that predated
wolf protection under the Act by 20
years, Stenlund (1955, p. 33) found an
annual human-caused mortality rate of
41 percent. Fuller (1989, pp. 23–24)
provided 1980–86 data from a northcentral Minnesota study area and found
an annual human-caused mortality rate
of 29 percent, a figure that includes 2percent mortality from legal
depredation-control actions. Drawing
conclusions from comparisons of these
two studies, however, is difficult due to
the confounding effects of habitat
quality, exposure to humans, prey
density, differing time periods, and vast
differences in study design.
Nonetheless, these figures provide clear
support for the contention that humancaused mortality decreased significantly
once the wolf became protected under
the Act.
Humans kill wolves for a number of
reasons. In locations where people,
livestock, and wolves coexist, some
wolves are killed to resolve conflicts
with livestock and pets (Fritts et al.
2003, p. 310; Woodroffe et al. 2005, pp.
86–107, 345–347). Occasionally, wolves
are killed accidentally (e.g., wolves are
hit by vehicles, mistaken for coyotes
and shot, caught in traps set for other
animals, or subject to accidental
capture-related mortality during
conservation or research efforts) (Bangs
et al. 2005, p. 346). A few wolves have
been killed by people who stated that
they believed their physical safety was
being threatened. Many wolf killings,
however, are intentional, illegal, and
never reported to authorities.
The number of illegal killings is
difficult to estimate and impossible to
accurately determine because they
generally occur with few witnesses.
Illegal killing was estimated to make up
70 percent of the total mortality rate in
a north-central Minnesota wolf
population and 24 percent in the
northern Rocky Mountains population
(Liberg et al. 2011, pp. 3–5). Liberg et al.
(2011, pp. 3–5) suggest more than twothirds of total poaching may go
undetected, and that illegal killing may
pose a threat to wolves; however,
poaching has not prevented population
resurgence in either the Great Lakes area
or the northern Rocky Mountains, as
evidenced by population growth in
those areas.
Vehicle collisions contribute to wolf
mortality rates throughout their range in
the lower 48 United States. This type of
mortality is expected to rise with
increasing wolf populations and as
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wolves colonize areas with more human
development and a denser network of
roads and vehicle traffic; however,
mortalities due to vehicle collisions will
likely constitute a small proportion of
total mortalities.
Each of the States in the current range
of gray wolves in the contiguous United
States conduct scientific research and
monitoring of wolf populations. Even
the most intensive and disruptive of
these activities (anesthetizing for the
purpose of radio-collaring) involves a
very low rate of mortality for wolves (73
FR 10542, February 27, 2008). We
expect that capture-related mortality
during wolf monitoring, nonlethal
control, and research activities will
remain below three percent of the
wolves captured, and will have an
insignificant impact on population
dynamics.
We are unaware of any wolves that
have been removed from the wild solely
for educational purposes in recent years.
Wolves that are used for such purposes
are typically privately held captivereared offspring of wolves that were
already in captivity for other reasons.
However, States may get requests to
place wolves that would otherwise be
euthanized in captivity for research or
educational purposes. Such requests
have been and will continue to be rare,
would be closely regulated by the State
wildlife-management agencies through
the requirement for State permits for
protected species, and would not
substantially increase human-caused
wolf mortality rates.
Other sources of human-caused
mortality include intentional and legal
actions, such as lethal depredation
control and killing wolves in defense of
human life or property. Although most
wolf-human conflicts are solved using
nonlethal methods, in a few instances
lethal control is warranted to control a
wolf to protect human life and property.
The number of wolves killed for this
purpose is small. For example, from
2004 to 2014, State or Federal agents
killed 26 wolves for these purposes in
the State of Michigan (an average of
around 0.5 percent of the population
each year) (Roell et al. 2010, p. 9; Beyer
in litt. 2018). In the western States, since
the first pack was confirmed in
Washington in 2008, one wolf has been
killed by a private individual who
claimed self-defense. Although the
number of wolves killed in defense of
human life and property may be slightly
higher in areas with greater human
density and may increase after delisting
as authority for this action expands (see
Post-delisting Management), overall this
type of mortality is rare and is not
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expected to have a significant impact on
wolf populations.
Lethal control of depredating wolves
was authorized in Minnesota while
wolves have been listed (under the
authority of a regulation (50 CFR
17.40(d)) under section 4(d) of the Act),
but such control was not authorized in
Michigan or Wisconsin, except for the
several years when such control was
authorized under a permit from the
USFWS or while wolves were delisted
under previous actions. Lethal control
of depredating wolves is not authorized
in the listed portion of Oregon,
Washington, or in California. The
Minnesota wolf-depredation-control
program euthanized from 20 (in 1982) to
262 (in 2015) wolves annually, and
averaged between 2.2 to 7.6 percent of
the wolf population annually. During
the times wolves were listed and
depredation control was the primary
means of management in the State, the
Minnesota wolf population continued to
grow or remain stable while
experiencing these levels of lethal
control. During the times that lethal
control of depredating wolves was
conducted in Wisconsin and Michigan,
there was no evidence of resulting
adverse impacts to the maintenance of
a viable wolf population in those States.
In Wisconsin, a total of 256 wolves were
killed for depredation control in the
State, including 46 legally shot by
private landowners, during the 59
months that wolves were delisted in the
State. A total of 50 wolves were killed
by the Michigan Department of Natural
Resources (MI DNR) and the U.S.
Department of Agriculture, Animal and
Plant Health Inspection Service (USDA–
APHIS), Wildlife Services in response to
depredation events during that time
period. Following delisting, wolf
depredation control in Wisconsin and
Michigan would again occur, and be
carried out according to their State
management plans. We anticipate the
level of mortality due to depredation
control that would take place would be
similar to what was observed during
those times. See the Post-delisting
Management section for a more detailed
discussion of legal control of problem
wolves (primarily for depredation
control).
Regulated public harvest is another
form of human-caused mortality that
has occurred in the Great Lakes area
during periods when wolves were
delisted and will likely occur in
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan if
wolves are delisted again. Using an
adaptive-management approach that
adjusts harvest based on population
estimates and trends, the initial
objectives of States may be to lower wolf
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populations then manage for sustainable
populations, similar to how States
manage all other game species. See the
Post-delisting Management section for a
more detailed discussion of legal
harvest.
Regulation of human-caused mortality
has significantly reduced the number of
wolf mortalities caused by humans, and
although illegal and accidental killing of
wolves is likely to continue with or
without the protections of the Act, at
current levels those mortalities have had
little impact on wolf populations. Legal
human-caused mortality, primarily in
the form of lethal depredation control
and regulated harvest, will increase if
wolves are delisted, as these are the
primary human-caused mortality factors
that State agencies can manipulate to
achieve management objectives.
However, the high reproductive
potential of wolves and the innate
behavior of wolves to disperse and
locate social openings allows wolf
populations to withstand relatively high
rates of human-caused mortality.
We note that the principle of
compensatory mortality was previously
believed to occur in wolf populations.
This means that human-caused
mortality is not simply added to
‘‘natural’’ mortality, but rather replaces
a portion of it. Creel and Rotella (2010)
reexamined this concept with regard to
wolves and found that, contrary to the
previously held belief, wolf population
growth declined as human-caused
mortality increased (Creel and Rotella
2010, p. 3). Their study concludes that
wolves can be harvested within limits,
but that human-caused mortality was
strongly additive in total mortality
(Creel and Rotella 2010, p. 6).
The wolf population in the northern
Rocky Mountains States of Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming provides a good
example of the effects of increased
human-caused mortality on population
growth rates. From 1995 to 2008, wolf
populations increased an average of 23
percent annually (range: 9 percent to 50
percent; USFWS et al. 2016, table 6b),
while from 1999 to 2008, human-caused
mortality removed an average of
approximately 12 percent of the
minimum estimated population each
year (range: 7 percent to 16 percent; see
USFWS et al. 2000–2009). Between
2009 and 2015, some or all of the
northern Rocky Mountains States
(dependent upon the Federal status of
wolves) instituted fair-chase wolf
hunting seasons with the objective of
slowing or reversing population growth
while continuing to maintain wolf
populations well above federal recovery
requirements in their respective States.
During those years when legal harvest
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occurred, human-caused mortality
increased to an average of 29 percent of
the minimum estimated population
(range: 23 percent to 36 percent; see
USFWS et al. 2010, 2012–2016), while
the annual growth rate declined to an
average of approximately 1 percent
annually (range: -7 percent to 4 percent;
see USFWS et al. 2010, 2012–2016).
Where harvest occurs, the species’ high
levels of reproduction and immigration
can compensate for mortality rates of 17
percent to 48 percent (USFWS 2018, p.
6). Thus, although 2009 to 2015 is a
relatively short time period from which
to draw inferences, the population
trends observed in the Northern Rocky
Mountains suggest that the northern
Rocky Mountains wolf population may
be able to sustain an approximate 30
percent annual human-caused mortality
rate while continuing to maintain a
stable to slightly increasing population.
The States of Minnesota, Michigan,
and Wisconsin have committed to
continue to regulate human-caused
mortality so that it does not reduce the
wolf population below recovery level
and have adequate laws and regulations
to fulfill those commitments and ensure
that the wolf population in the Great
Lakes area remains above recovery
levels (See Post-delisting Management).
Washington, Oregon, and California are
also committed to conserving wolves as
demonstrated by development of
management plans and laws and
regulations that protect wolves.
Furthermore, each post-delisting
management entity (State, Tribal, and
Federal) has experienced and
professional wildlife staff to ensure
those commitments can be
accomplished.
Effects on Wolf Social Structure
Human-caused mortality of
reproductive gray wolves could
negatively affect gray wolf populations
because wolves have a complex social
system in which usually only the
dominant male and female in a pack
breed. Consequently, the death of one or
both of the breeders may negatively
affect the pack (by leading to pack
dissolution) and the population as a
whole (by slowing or reducing
population growth). However, studies
indicate these effects are contextdependent and that the availability of
replacement breeders and timing of
mortality can moderate the
consequences of breeder loss (Borg et al.
2014, entire; Brainerd et al. 2008,
entire). In populations that are at or near
carrying capacity, where breeder
replacement and subsequent
reproduction occurs relatively quickly,
population growth rate is largely
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unaffected by breeder loss (Borg et al.
2014, pp. 6–7). Large colonizing
populations (> 75 wolves) have similar
times to breeder replacement and
subsequent reproduction as populations
at or near carrying capacity, while small
recolonizing populations (≤75 wolves)
take about twice as long to replace
breeders and subsequently reproduce
(Brainerd et al. 2008, pp. 89, 93).
Therefore, the effects of breeder loss
may be greatest on small recolonizing
gray wolf populations. Studies also
indicate that mortality of breeding gray
wolves is more likely to lead to pack
dissolution and reduced reproduction
when mortality occurs during the
breeding season (Borg et al. 2014, p. 8)
and when pack sizes are small (Borg et
al. 2014, pp. 5–6; Brainerd et al. 2008,
p. 94).
Gray wolf pack social structure is very
adaptable and resilient. Breeding
members can be quickly replaced from
either within or outside the pack, and
pups can be reared by another pack
member should their parents die
(USFWS 2018, p. 6). Consequently, wolf
populations can rapidly overcome
severe disruptions, such as pervasive
human-caused mortality or disease.
Although we acknowledge that breeder
loss can and will occur in the future
regardless of Federal status, we
conclude that the effects of breeder loss
on wolf populations (or the gray wolf
entity) as a whole are likely to be
minimal as long as adequate regulatory
mechanisms are in place to ensure
sufficient population size is maintained.
The Role of Public Attitudes
In our 1978 rule reclassifying wolves,
we indicated that regulations
prohibiting the killing of wolves, even
wolves that may be attacking livestock
and pets, such as the Federal regulations
in place at that time in Minnesota, may
work against gray wolves by creating an
adverse public attitude toward the
species. We acknowledge that public
attitudes towards wolves vary with
demographics, change over time, and
can affect human behavior toward
wolves, including poaching (illegal
killing) of wolves (see the following
studies and reviews: Kellert 1985, 1990,
1999; Nelson and Franson 1988; Kellert
et al. 1996; Wilson 1999; Browne-Nun˜ez
and Taylor 2002; Williams et al. 2002;
Manfredo et al. 2003; Naughton-Treves
et al. 2003; Schanning 2009; Mertig
2004; Chavez et al. 2005; Schanning and
Vazquez 2005; Beyer et al. 2006;
Hammill 2007; Treves et al. 2009;
Wilson and Bruskotter 2009; Treves and
Martin 2011; Treves et al. 2013; Madden
and McQuinn 2014). However, the
factors that affect people’s attitudes and
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behaviors toward wolves are not well
understood (Treves and Bruskotter
2014, entire; Treves et al. 2013, p. 316
and references therein; also see Olson et
al. 2014, entire and Chapron and Treves
2016, entire). Thus, it is unclear how
delisting and the changes in wolf
management subsequent to delisting,
such as implementation of wolf
harvests, may affect attitudes, human
behavior and, ultimately, wolf mortality.
We expect that some segments of the
public will be more tolerant of wolf
management at the State level because
it may be perceived by some as more
flexible than Federal regulation,
whereas other segments may continue to
prefer Federal management due to a
perception that it is more protective.
State wildlife agencies have professional
staff dedicated to disseminating
accurate, science-based information
about wolves and wolf management
within their respective States. In
addition, several States have convened
advisory committees to engage
stakeholders in discussing and
addressing conflicts related to wolves
(for example, Washington (https://
wdfw.wa.gov/about/advisory/wag/) and
Wisconsin (https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/
WildlifeHabitat/wolf/committee.html)).
As the status and management of the
gray wolf evolves, continued
collaboration between managers and
researchers to monitor public attitudes
toward wolves and their management
will be necessary.
Human-Caused Mortality Summary
Despite human-caused mortalities of
wolves, wolf populations have
continued to increase in both numbers
and range. Wolf population growth will
likely slow as densities increase in
suitable habitat. Wolves are less likely
to persist in more unfavorable habitats
due to depredation management, illegal
killing, incidental mortality (for
example, vehicle collision), natural
mortality (disease, starvation, and
intraspecific aggression), and other
means. Once wolf populations become
established, we should expect to see
populations fluctuate around an
equilibrium resulting from fluctuations
in birth and mortality rates.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan
will utilize adaptive management to
respond to wolf population increases or
decreases to maintain populations at
sustainable levels well above
management objectives. State
management plans in these three states
that would be implemented following
delisting manage for a minimum wolf
population of 1,600 in Minnesota, 250
in Wisconsin (with a management goal
of 350), and 200 in Michigan. These
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minimum population numbers are well
above Federal recovery requirements
defined in the Eastern Timber Wolf
Recovery Plan. As wolf population
numbers are currently much higher in
each of these three States, we can expect
to see some reduction in wolf
populations in the Great Lakes areas if
they are delisted as States implement
lethal depredation control and begin to
institute wolf hunting seasons with the
objective of slowing or reversing
population growth. However, the
ultimate goal of these three States is to
maintain wolf populations well above
Federal recovery requirements in their
respective States.
The 2010 State management plan for
Oregon and the 2016 plan for California
do not include population-management
goals (Oregon Department of Fish and
Wildlife (ODFW) 2010, p. 27; California
Department of Fish and Wildlife
(CDFW) 2016a, p. 12); however, this is
likely to be addressed in the
forthcoming Oregon plan revision as the
draft plan revision currently suggests
that 300 wolves are the ‘‘minimum
population management threshold’’ for
the State (ODFW 2017, p. 17). While the
2011 Washington State management
plan does not include populationmanagement goals, it includes recovery
objectives intended to ensure the
reestablishment of a self-sustaining
population of wolves in Washington
(Wiles et al. 2011, p. 9; also see Postdelisting Management in the West). In
these States, wolf populations will
likely be managed to ensure progress
towards recovery objectives while also
minimizing livestock losses caused by
wolves.
Habitat and Prey Availability
Gray wolves are habitat generalists
(Mech and Boitani 2003, p. 163) and
once occupied or transited most of the
United States, except the southeast.
However, much of the historical range
of gray wolves (Chambers et al. 2012,
pp. 34–42) in the contiguous United
States has been modified due to human
use. While lone wolves can travel
through, or temporarily live, almost
anywhere (Jimenez et al. 2017, p. 1),
large portions of gray wolf historical
range is no longer suitable habitat to
support wolf packs (Oakleaf et al. 2006,
p. 559; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 32,
Mladenoff et al. 1995, p. 287). Much of
the area that wolves currently occupy
corresponds to what is considered
‘‘suitable’’ wolf habitat in the lower 48
States as modeled by Oakleaf et al.
(2006, entire), Carroll et al. (2006,
entire), Mladenoff (1995, entire), and
Mladenoff et al. (1999, entire). It is also
expected that wolves will continue to
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recolonize areas of the Pacific
Northwest where suitable habitat has
been identified (Maletzke et al. 2015,
entire; ODFW 2015, entire). We consider
suitable habitat as forested terrain
containing adequate wild ungulate
populations (elk, white-tailed deer, and
mule deer) to support a wolf population.
Suitable habitat has minimal roads and
human development, as human access
to areas inhabited by wolves can result
in wolf mortality.
Great Lakes Area: Suitable Habitat
Various researchers have investigated
habitat suitability for wolves in the
central and eastern portions of the
United States. Most of these efforts have
focused on using a combination of
human density, density of agricultural
lands, deer density or deer biomass, and
road density, or have used road density
alone to identify areas where wolf
populations are likely to persist or
become established (Mladenoff et al.
1995, pp. 284–285; 1997, pp. 23–27;
1998, pp. 1–8, 1999; pp. 39–43; Harrison
and Chapin 1997, p. 3; 1998, pp. 769–
770; Wydeven et al. 2001, pp. 110–113;
Erb and Benson 2004, p. 2; Potvin et al.
2005, pp. 1661–1668; Mladenoff et al.
2009, pp. 132–135).
To a large extent, road density has
been adopted as the best predictor of
habitat suitability in the Midwest due to
the connection between roads and
human-caused wolf mortality. Several
studies demonstrated that wolves
generally did not maintain breeding
packs in areas with a road density
greater than about 0.9 to 1.1 linear mi
per mi2 (0.6 to 0.7 km per km2) (Thiel
1985, pp. 404–406; Jensen et al. 1986,
pp. 364–366; Mech et al. 1988, pp. 85–
87; Fuller et al. 1992, pp. 48–51). Work
by Mladenoff and associates indicated
that colonizing wolves in Wisconsin
preferred areas where road densities
were less than 0.7 mi per mi2 (0.45 km
per km2) (Mladenoff et al. 1995, p. 289).
However, research in the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan indicates that, in
some areas with low road densities, low
deer density appears to limit wolf
occupancy (Potvin et al. 2005, pp.
1667–1668) and may prevent
recolonization of portions of the Upper
Peninsula. In Minnesota, a combination
of road density and human density is
used by Minnesota Department of
Resources (MN DNR) to model suitable
habitat. Areas with a human density up
to 20 people per mi2 (8 people per km2)
are suitable if they also have a road
density less than 0.8 mi per mi2 (0.5 km
per km2). Areas with a human density
of less than 10 people per mi2 (4 people
per km2) are suitable if they have road
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densities up to 1.1 mi per mi2 (0.7 km
per km2) (Erb and Benson 2004, table 1).
Road density is a useful parameter
because it is easily measured and
mapped, and because it correlates
directly and indirectly with various
forms of other human-caused wolf
mortality factors. A rural area with more
roads generally has a greater human
density, more vehicular traffic, greater
access by hunters and trappers, more
farms and residences, and more
domestic animals. As a result, there is
a greater likelihood that wolves in such
an area will encounter humans,
domestic animals, and various human
activities. These encounters may result
in wolves being hit by motor vehicles,
being controlled by government agents
after becoming involved in depredations
on domestic animals, being shot
intentionally by unauthorized
individuals, being trapped or shot
accidentally, or contracting diseases
from domestic dogs (Mech et al. 1988,
pp. 86–87; Mech and Goyal 1993, p.
332; Mladenoff et al. 1995, pp. 282,
291). Based on mortality data from
radio-collared Wisconsin wolves from
1979 to 1999, natural causes of death
predominate (57 percent of mortalities)
in areas with road densities below 1.35
mi per mi2 (0.84 km per km2), but
human-related factors produced 71
percent of the wolf deaths in areas with
higher road densities (Wydeven et al.
2001, pp. 112–113).
Some researchers have used a road
density of 1 mi per mi2 (0.6 km per km2)
of land area as an upper threshold for
suitable wolf habitat. However, the
common practice in more recent studies
is to use road density to predict
probabilities of persistent wolf pack
presence in an area. Areas with road
densities less than 0.7 mi per mi2 (0.45
km per km2) are estimated to have a
greater than 50 percent probability of
wolf pack colonization and persistent
presence, and areas where road density
exceeded 1 mi per mi2 (0.6 km per km2)
have less than a 10 percent probability
of occupancy (Mladenoff et al. 1995. pp.
288–289; Mladenoff and Sickley 1998,
p. 5; Mladenoff et al. 1999, pp. 40–41).
Wisconsin researchers view areas with
greater than 50 percent probability as
‘‘primary wolf habitat,’’ areas with 10 to
50 percent probability as ‘‘secondary
wolf habitat,’’ and areas with less than
10 percent probability as unsuitable
habitat (Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources (WI DNR) 1999, pp.
47–48).
The territories of packs that do occur
in areas of high road density, and hence
with low expected probabilities of
occupancy, are generally near broad
areas of more suitable habitat that are
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likely serving as a source of wolves,
thereby assisting in maintaining wolf
presence in the higher road density
areas and, therefore, less-suitable areas
(Mech 1989, pp. 387–388; Wydeven et
al. 2001, p. 112). The predictive ability
of this model was questioned (Mech
2006a, 2006b) and responded to
(Mladenoff et al. 2006), and an updated
analysis of Wisconsin pack locations
and habitat was completed (Mladenoff
et al. 2009). This model maintains that
road density is still an important
indicator of suitable wolf habitat;
however, lack of agricultural land is also
a strong predictor of habitat that wolves
occupy.
It appears that essentially all suitable
habitat in Minnesota is now occupied,
range expansion has slowed or possibly
ceased, and the wolf population within
the State has stabilized (Erb and Benson
2004, p. 7; Erb and Don Carlos 2009, pp.
57, 60). This suitable habitat closely
matches the areas designated as Wolf
Management Zones 1 through 4 in the
Revised Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992, p.
72), which are identical in area to
Minnesota Wolf Management Zone A
(MN DNR 2001, appendix III).
Recent surveys for Wisconsin wolves
and wolf packs show that wolves have
now recolonized the areas predicted by
habitat models to have low, moderate,
and high probability of occupancy
(primary and secondary wolf habitat).
The late-winter 2017–18 Wisconsin wolf
survey identified packs occurring
throughout the central Wisconsin forest
area (Wolf Management Zone 2) and
across the northern forest zone (Zone 1),
with highest pack densities in the
northwest and north-central forest (WI
DNR 2018, entire).
Michigan wolf surveys in winter
2017–18 continue to show wolf pairs or
packs (defined by Michigan DNR as two
or more wolves traveling together) in
every Upper Peninsula county
(Huntzinger et al. 2005, p. 6; MI DNR
2018, entire).
Habitat suitability studies in the
Upper Midwest indicate that the only
large areas of suitable or potentially
suitable habitat areas that are currently
unoccupied by wolves are located in the
northern Lower Peninsula of Michigan
(Mladenoff et al. 1997, p. 23; Mladenoff
et al. 1999, p. 39; Potvin 2003, pp. 44–
45; Gehring and Potter 2005, p. 1239).
One published Michigan study (Gehring
and Potter 2005, p. 1239) estimates that
these areas could host 46 to 89 wolves;
a graduate thesis estimates that 110–480
wolves could exist in the northern
Lower Peninsula (Potvin 2003, p. 39).
The northern Lower Peninsula is
separated from the Upper Peninsula by
the Straits of Mackinac, whose 4-mile
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(6.4-km) width freezes during mid- and
late-winter in some years. In recent
years there have been several
documented occurrences of wolves in
the northern Lower Peninsula, but there
has been no indication of persistence
beyond several months. Prior to those
occurrences, the last recorded wolf in
the Lower Peninsula was in 1910.
These northern Lower Peninsula
patches of potentially suitable habitat
contain a great deal of private land, are
small in comparison to the occupied
habitat on the Upper Peninsula and in
Minnesota and Wisconsin, and are
intermixed with agricultural and higherroad-density areas (Gehring and Potter
2005, p. 1240). Therefore, continuing
wolf immigration from the Upper
Peninsula may be necessary to maintain
a future northern Lower Peninsula
population. The Gehring and Potter
study (2005, p. 1239) predicted 850 mi2
(2,198 km2) of suitable habitat (areas
with greater than a 50 percent
probability of wolf occupancy) in the
northern Lower Peninsula. Potvin (2003,
p. 21), using deer density in addition to
road density, believes there are about
3,090 mi2 (8,000 km2) of suitable habitat
in the northern Lower Peninsula.
Gehring and Potter (2005, p. 1239)
exclude from their calculations those
northern Lower Peninsula low-roaddensity patches that are less than 19 mi2
(50 km2), while Potvin (2003, pp. 10–15)
does not limit habitat patch size in his
calculations. Both of these area
estimates are well below the minimum
area described in the Revised Recovery
Plan, which states that 10,000 mi2
(25,600 km2) of contiguous suitable
habitat is needed for a viable isolated
gray wolf population, and half that area
(5,000 mi2 or 12,800 km2) is needed to
maintain a viable wolf population that
is subject to wolf immigration from a
nearby population (USFWS 1992, pp.
25–26).
Based on the above-described studies
and the guidance of the 1992 Revised
Recovery Plan, the Service has
concluded that suitable habitat for
wolves in the western Great Lakes area
can be determined by considering four
factors: road density, human density,
prey base, and area. An adequate prey
base is an absolute requirement, but in
much of the western Great Lakes area
the white-tailed deer density is well
above adequate levels, causing the other
factors to become the determinants of
suitable habitat. Prey base is primarily
of concern in the Upper Peninsula
where severe winter conditions cause
deer to move away from some lakeshore
areas, making otherwise suitable areas
locally and seasonally unsuitable. Road
density and human density frequently
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are highly correlated; therefore, road
density is often used as a predictor of
habitat suitability. However, areas with
higher road density may still be suitable
if the human density is very low, so a
consideration of both factors is
sometimes useful (Erb and Benson 2004,
p. 2). Finally, although the territory of
individual wolf packs can be relatively
small, packs are not likely to establish
territories in areas of small, isolated
patches of suitable habitat.
Great Lakes Area: Prey Availability
Deer (prey) decline, due to succession
of habitat and severe winter weather,
was identified as a threat at the time of
listing. Wolf density is heavily
dependent on prey availability (for
example, expressed as ungulate
biomass, Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 170–
171), and prey availability is high in the
Great Lakes area. Conservation of
primary wolf prey in the Great Lakes
area, white-tailed deer and moose, is a
high priority for State conservation
agencies. As MN DNR points out in its
wolf-management plan (MN DNR 2001,
p. 25), it manages ungulates to ensure a
harvestable surplus for hunters,
nonconsumptive users, and to minimize
conflicts with humans. To ensure a
harvestable surplus for hunters, MN
DNR must account for all sources of
natural mortality, including loss to
wolves, and adjust hunter harvest levels
when necessary. For example, after
severe winters in the 1990’s, MN DNR
modified hunter harvest levels to allow
for the recovery of the local deer
population (MN DNR 2001, p. 25). In
addition to regulating the human
harvest of deer and moose, MN DNR
also plans to continue to monitor and
improve habitat for these species.
Land management activities carried
out by other public agencies and by
private land owners in Minnesota’s wolf
range, including timber harvest and
prescribed fire, incidentally and
significantly improves habitat for deer,
the primary prey for wolves in the State.
Approximately one-half of the
Minnesota deer harvest is in the Forest
Zone, which encompasses most of the
occupied wolf range in the State
(Cornicelli 2008, pp. 208–209). There is
no indication that harvest of deer and
moose or management of their habitat
will significantly depress abundance of
these species in Minnesota’s primary
wolf range.
In Wisconsin, the statewide post-hunt
white-tailed deer population estimate
for 2017 was approximately 1,377,100
deer (Stenglein 2017, p. 1). In the
Northern Forest Zone of the State, the
post-hunt population estimate has
ranged from approximately 250,000 deer
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to more than 400,000 deer since 2002.
The 2017 post-hunt deer population
estimate in that zone was nearly as high
as it was in 2002. Three consecutive
mild winters and limited antlerless
harvest may explain the population
growth in the northern deer herd in
2017. The Central Forest Zone post-hunt
population estimates have been largely
stable since 2009 at 60,000–80,000 deer
on average. The Central Farmland Zone
deer population has increased since
2008, and the 2017 post-hunt deer
population estimate was similar to the
estimate in 2016. For a third year in a
row, the 2017 post-hunt deer population
estimate in the Southern Farmland Zone
exceeded 250,000 deer (Stenglein 2017,
pp. 2, 7).
Because of severe winter conditions
(persistent, deep snow) in the Upper
Peninsula, deer populations can
fluctuate dramatically from year to year.
In 2016, the MI DNR finalized a new
deer-management plan to address
ecological, social, and regulatory shifts.
An objective of this plan is to manage
deer at the appropriate scale,
considering impacts of deer on the
landscape and on other species, in
addition to population size (MI DNR
2016, p. 16). Additionally, the Michigan
wolf-management plan addresses
maintaining a sustainable population of
wolf prey (MI DNR 2015, pp. 29–31).
Short of a major, and unlikely, shift in
deer-management and harvest strategies,
there will be no shortage of prey for
Wisconsin and Michigan wolves for the
foreseeable future.
West Coast States: Suitable Habitat
In Washington, wolves are expected
to persist in habitats with similar
characteristics to those identified by
Oakleaf et al. (2006) (Wiles et al. 2011,
p. 50) and as described above. Several
modeling studies have estimated
potentially suitable wolf habitat in
Washington with most predicting
suitable habitat in northeastern
Washington, the Blue Mountains, the
Cascade Mountains, and the Olympic
Peninsula. Total area estimates in these
studies range from approximately
16,900 mi2 (43,770 km2) to 41,500 mi2
(107,485 km2) (Wiles et al. 2011, pp. 51,
53; Maletzke et al. 2015). The Cascade
Mountains and Olympic Peninsula are
both located within the boundary of the
gray wolf listed entities. Current wolfpack habitat use in Washington based
on the mean home ranges of 11 packs
with known territories is approximately
359 mi2 (930 km2), ranging from an
estimated 121 mi2 (314 km2) to 1,164
mi2 (3,015 km2) (Washington
Department of Fish and Wildlife
(WDFW) et al. 2017, p. WA–6). (While
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22 packs are known to occur in
Washington, sufficient data is not
available to estimate home ranges of the
other 11.)
The Oregon Department of Fish and
Wildlife (ODFW) developed a map of
‘‘potential wolf range’’ as part of its
recent status review of wolves in Oregon
(ODFW 2015, entire). The model used
predictors of wolf habitat including
land-cover type, elk range, human
population density, road density, and
land types altered by humans; they
chose to exclude land ownership
because wolves will use forested cover
on both public and private lands
(ODFW 2015, p. 2). Approximately
41,256 mi2 (106,853 km2) were
identified as potential wolf range in
Oregon. The resulting map coincides
well with the current distribution of
wolves in Oregon. The ODFW estimates
that wolves occupy 31.6 percent of the
potential wolf range in the east
management zone (the majority of
wolves here are under State
management) and 2.7 percent of
potential wolf range in the western
management zone (all wolves here are
under Federal management) (ODFW
2015, p. 9).
Habitat models developed for the
northern Rocky Mountains (e.g., Oakleaf
et al. 2006; Larson and Ripple 2006;
Carroll et al. 2006) may have limited
applicability to California due to
differences in geography, distribution of
habitat types, distribution and
abundance of prey, potential restrictions
for movement, and human habitation
(CDFW 2016b, pp. 154, 156). Despite
these challenges, CDFW used these
models to suggest that wolves are most
likely to occupy three general areas: (1)
The Klamath Mountains and portions of
the northern California Coast Ranges; (2)
the southern Cascades, the Modoc
Plateau, and Warner Mountains; and (3)
the Sierra Nevada Mountain Range
(CDFW 2016b, p. 20). These areas were
identified as having a higher potential
for wolf occupancy based on prey
abundance, amount of public land
ownership, and forest cover, whereas
other areas were less suitable due to
human influences (CDFW 2016b, p.
156). As wolves continue to expand into
California, models may be refined to
better estimate habitat suitability and
the potential for wolf occupancy.
West Coast States: Prey Availability
The Washington Department of Fish
and Wildlife recently conducted a
Wildlife Program 2015–2017 Ungulate
Assessment to identify ungulate
populations that are below management
objectives or may be negatively affected
by predators (WDFW 2016, entire). The
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assessment covers white-tailed deer,
mule deer, black-tailed deer, Rocky
Mountain elk, Roosevelt elk, bighorn
sheep, and moose (WDFW 2016, p. 12).
Washington defines an at-risk ungulate
population as one that falls 25 percent
below its population objective for two
consecutive years and/or one in which
the harvest decreases by 25 percent
below the 10-year-average harvest rate
for two consecutive years (WDFW 2016,
p. 13). Based on available information,
the 2016 report concludes that no
ungulate populations in Washington
were considered to be at-risk (WDFW
2016, p. 13).
In Oregon, 20 percent of Roosevelt elk
populations are below management
objectives; however, the populations are
generally stable within the listed gray
wolf entity in western Oregon (ODFW
2017, p. 60). Rocky Mountain elk are
above management objectives in 63
percent of populations and are
considered to be stable or increasing
across the State (ODFW 2017, p. 60).
Mule deer and black-tailed deer
populations peaked in the mid-1900s
and have since declined, likely due to
human development, changes in land
use, predation, and disease (ODFW
2017, p. 61). White-tailed deer
populations, including Columbia whitetailed deer, are small, but are increasing
in distribution and abundance (ODFW
2017, p. 64). Deer are a secondary prey
item when elk are present; areas that
lack elk are only likely to support a low
density of wolves (ODFW 2017, p. 56).
In California, declines of historical
ungulate populations were the result of
overexploitation by humans dating back
to the 19th century (CDFW 2016b, p.
147). However, elk distribution and
abundance have increased due to
implementation of harvest regulations,
reintroduction efforts, and natural
expansion (CDFW 2016b, p. 147). Mule
deer also experienced overexploitation,
but were also more likely subject to
fluctuations in habitat suitability as a
result of logging, burning, and grazing.
Across the West, including California,
mule deer populations have been
declining since the late 1960s due to
multiple factors including loss of
habitat, drought, predation, and
competition with livestock, but, as
noted above, deer are a secondary prey
when elk are present (CDFW 2016b, p.
147).
Habitat and Prey Availability Summary
Sufficient suitable habitat exists for
the gray wolf entity to continue to
support wolves into the future. Wolf
populations should remain strong in
these areas with management activities
that focus on wolf population reduction
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as needed to maintain populations of
wild ungulates and reduce conflicts
with livestock. Traditional land-use
practices throughout the vast majority of
the species’ current range in the United
States do not appear to be affecting the
viability of wolves. We do not anticipate
overall habitat changes in wolf range for
the gray wolf entity will occur at a
magnitude that would affect wolves in
the entity rangewide because wolf
populations are broadly distributed
across the current range in the Great
Lakes area (where most wolves occur in
the entity) and are able to withstand
high levels of mortality due to their high
reproductive rate and vagility (the
ability of an organism to move about
freely and migrate) (Fuller et al. 2003, p.
163; Boitani 2003, pp. 328–330).
Further, much of the areas occupied by
the gray wolf entity occurs on public
land where wolf conservation is a
priority and conservation plans have
been adopted to ensure continued wolf
persistence (see Federal Lands
discussion under Post-delisting
Management) (73 FR 10514, p. 10538,
February 27, 2008).
An important factor in maintaining
wolf populations is the native ungulate
population. Primary wild ungulate prey
within the range of gray wolves in the
gray wolf entity include deer and elk.
Each State within wolf-occupied range
for the gray wolf entity manages its wild
ungulate populations to maintain
sustainable populations for harvest by
hunters. States employ an adaptivemanagement approach that adjusts
hunter harvest in response to changes in
big-game population numbers and
trends when necessary, and predation is
one of many factors considered when
setting seasons. We know of no future
condition that would cause a decline in
ungulate populations significant enough
to affect the status of gray wolves in the
gray wolf entity.
Disease and Parasites
Although disease and parasites were
not identified as a threat at the time of
listing, a wide range of diseases and
parasites have been reported for the gray
wolf, and several of them have had
temporary impacts during the recovery
of the species in the 48 contiguous
United States (Brand et al. 1995, p. 419;
WI DNR 1999, p. 61, Kreeger 2003, pp.
202–214). Although some diseases may
be destructive to individuals, most of
them seldom have long-term,
population-level effects (Fuller et al.
2003, pp. 176–178; Kreeger 2003, pp.
202–214). All States that presently have
wolf populations also have some sort of
disease-monitoring program that may
include direct observation of wolves to
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assess potential disease indicators or
biological sample collection with
subsequent analysis at a laboratory.
Although Washington has not submitted
biological samples for analysis, samples
have been collected and laboratory
analysis is planned for the future
(Roussin 2018, pers. comm.).
Canine parvovirus (CPV) infects
wolves, domestic dogs (Canis
familiaris), foxes (Vulpes vulpes),
coyotes, skunks (Mephitis mephitis),
and raccoons (Procyon lotor). Canine
parvovirus has been detected in nearly
every wolf population in North America
including Alaska (Bailey et al. 1995, p.
441; Brand et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger
2003, pp. 210–211; Johnson et al. 1994;
ODFW 2014, p. 7), and exposure in
wolves is thought to be almost
universal. Nearly 100 percent of the
wolves handled in Montana (Atkinson
2006), Yellowstone National Park
(Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18),
Minnesota (Mech and Goyal 1993, p.
331), and Oregon (ODFW 2017, p. 8)
had blood antibodies indicating
nonlethal exposure to CPV. Clinical
CPV is characterized by severe
hemorrhagic diarrhea and vomiting,
which leads to dehydration, electrolyte
imbalances, debility, and shock and
may eventually lead to death.
Mech et al. (2008, p. 824) concluded
that CPV reduced pup survival,
subsequent dispersal, and the overall
rate of population growth in Minnesota
(a population near carrying capacity in
suitable habitat). After the CPV became
endemic in the population (around
1979), the population developed
immunity and was able to withstand
severe effects from the disease (Mech
and Goyal 1993, pp. 331–332). These
observed effects are consistent with
results from studies in smaller, isolated
populations in Wisconsin and on Isle
Royale, Michigan (Wydeven et al. 1995,
entire; Peterson et al. 1998, entire), but
indicate that CPV also had only a
temporary effect in a larger population.
Canine distemper virus (CDV) is an
acute disease of carnivores that has been
known in Europe since the sixteenth
century and infects canids worldwide
(Kreeger 2003, p. 209). This disease
generally infects pups when they are
only a few months old, so mortality in
wild wolf populations might be difficult
to detect (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 420–
421). Mortality from CDV among wild
wolves has been documented only in
two littermate pups in Manitoba
(Carbyn 1982, pp. 111–112), in two
Alaskan yearling wolves (Peterson et al.
1984, p. 31), and in two Wisconsin
wolves (an adult in 1985 and a pup in
2002 (Thomas in litt. 2006; Wydeven
and Wiedenhoeft 2003, p. 20)). Carbyn
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(1982, pp. 113–116) concluded that CDV
was partially responsible for a 50percent decline in the wolf population
in Riding Mountain National Park
(Manitoba, Canada) in the mid-1970s.
Serological evidence indicates that
exposure to CDV is high among some
wolf populations—29 percent in
northern Wisconsin and 79 percent in
central Wisconsin from 2002 to 2003
(Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2003, pp.
23–24, table 7) and 2004 (Wydeven and
Wiedenhoeft 2004, pp. 23–24, table 7),
and similar levels in Yellowstone
National Park (Smith and Almberg 2007,
p. 18). Exposure to CDV was first
documented in Oregon in 2016 (n=3;
ODFW 2017, p. 8), but no mortalities or
clinical signs of the disease were
observed. The continued strong
recruitment in Wisconsin and elsewhere
in North American wolf populations,
however, indicates that distemper is not
likely a significant cause of mortality
(Brand et al. 1995, p. 421).
Lyme disease, caused by a spirochete
bacterium, is spread primarily by deer
ticks (Ixodes dammini). Host species
include humans, horses (Equus
caballus), dogs, white-tailed deer, mule
deer, elk, white-footed mice
(Peromyscus leucopus), eastern
chipmunks (Tamias striatus), coyotes,
and wolves. Clinical symptoms have not
been reported in wolves, but infected
dogs can experience debilitating
conditions, and abortion and fetal
mortality have been reported in infected
humans and horses. It is possible that
individual wolves may be debilitated by
Lyme disease, perhaps contributing to
their mortality; however, Lyme disease
is not believed to be a significant factor
affecting wolf populations (Kreeger
2003, p. 212).
Mange has been detected in wolves
throughout North America (Brand et al.
1995, pp. 427–428; Kreeger 2003, pp.
207–208). Mange mites (Sarcoptes
scabeii) infest the skin of the host,
causing irritation due to feeding and
burrowing activities. This causes
intense itching that results in scratching
and hair loss. Mortality may occur due
to exposure, primarily in cold weather,
emaciation, or secondary infections
(Kreeger 2003, pp. 207–208). Mange
mites are spread from an infected
individual through direct contact with
others or through the use of common
areas. In a long-term Alberta wolf study,
higher wolf densities were correlated
with increased incidence of mange, and
pup survival decreased as the incidence
of mange increased (Brand et al. 1995,
pp. 427–428). Mange has been shown to
temporarily affect wolf population
growth-rates in some areas (Kreeger
2003, p. 208), but not others (Wydeven
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et al. 2009b, pp. 96–97). In Montana and
Wyoming, proportions of packs with
mange fluctuated between 3 and 24
percent annually from 2003 to 2008
(Jimenez et al. 2010; Atkinson 2006, p.
5; Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 19). In
packs with the most severe infestations,
pup survival appeared low, and some
adults died (Jimenez et al. 2010);
however, evidence suggests infestations
do not normally become chronic
because wolves often naturally
overcome them.
Dog-biting lice (Trichodectes canis)
commonly feed on domestic dogs, but
can infest coyotes and wolves (Schwartz
et al. 1983, p. 372; Mech et al. 1985, p.
404). The lice can attain severe
infestation levels, particularly in pups.
The worst infestations can result in
severe scratching, irritated and raw skin,
substantial hair loss particularly in the
groin, and poor condition. While no
wolf mortality has been confirmed,
death from exposure and/or secondary
infection following self-inflicted trauma
caused by inflammation and itching
may be possible. Dog-biting lice were
confirmed on two wolves in Montana in
2005, on a wolf in southcentral Idaho in
early 2006 (Service et al. 2006, p. 15;
Atkinson 2006, p. 5; Jimenez et al.
2010), and in 4 percent of Minnesota
wolves in 2003 through 2005 (Paul in
litt. 2005), but their infestations were
not severe. Dog-biting lice infestations
are not expected to have a significant
impact even at a local scale.
Other diseases and parasites,
including rabies, canine heartworm,
blastomycosis, bacterial myocarditis,
granulomatous pneumonia, brucellosis,
leptospirosis, bovine tuberculosis,
hookworm, coccidiosis, and canine
hepatitis have been documented in wild
wolves, but their impacts on future wild
wolf populations are not likely to be
significant (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 419–
429; Hassett in litt. 2003; Johnson 1995,
pp. 431, 436–438; Mech and Kurtz 1999,
pp. 305–306; Thomas in litt. 1998,
Thomas in litt. 2006, WI DNR 1999, p.
61; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202–214).
Continuing wolf range expansion,
however, likely will provide new
avenues for exposure to several of these
diseases, especially canine heartworm,
raccoon rabies, and bovine tuberculosis
(Thomas in litt. 2000; Thomas in litt.
2006), further emphasizing the
importance of disease-monitoring
programs.
Effects of Climate Change
Effects of climate change were not
identified as threats at the time of
listing. While it is possible that climate
change could affect gray wolves to some
extent, such as through impacts to prey
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species (Hendricks et al. 2018,
unpaginated), we are not aware of any
information indicating that climate
change is causing negative effects to the
viability of gray wolf populations in the
gray wolf entity, or that it is likely to do
so in the future. Throughout their
circumpolar distribution, gray wolves
persist in a variety of ecosystems with
temperatures ranging from ¥70 °F to
120 °F (¥57 °C to 49 °C) (Mech and
Boitani 2003, p. xv). Gray wolves are
highly adaptable animals that inhabit a
range of ecotypes and are efficient at
exploiting food resources available to
them. Due to this plasticity, we do not
consider gray wolves to be vulnerable to
climate change. For a full discussion of
potential impacts of climate change on
wolves, see the final delisting rule for
the gray wolf in Wyoming (77 FR
55597–55598, September 10, 2012).
Cumulative Effects
When threats occur together, one may
exacerbate the effects of another,
causing effects not accounted for when
threats are analyzed individually. Many
of the threats to the gray wolf entity and
gray wolf habitat discussed above are
interrelated and could be synergistic,
and thus may cumulatively affect the
gray wolf entity beyond the extent of
each individual threat. For example, a
decline in available wild prey could
cause wolves to prey on more livestock
resulting in a potential increase in
human-caused mortality. Although the
types, magnitude, or extent of
cumulative impacts are difficult to
predict, we are not aware of any
information demonstrating that
cumulative effects are occurring at a
level sufficient to negatively affect gray
wolf populations within the gray wolf
entity. We are not aware of any
combination of factors that have not
already been, or would not be,
addressed through ongoing management
measures that are expected to continue
post-delisting and into the future, as
described above. The best scientific and
commercial data available indicate that
the vast majority of these wolves occur
as a widespread, large, and resilient
metapopulation and that threat factors
are not currently resulting, nor are they
anticipated to cumulatively result, in
reductions in gray wolf numbers or
habitat.
Post-Delisting Management
State Management
Post-Delisting Management in
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan
During the 2000 legislative session,
the Minnesota Legislature passed wolfmanagement provisions addressing wolf
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protection, taking of wolves, and
directing Minnesota Department of
Natural Resources to prepare a wolfmanagement plan. The MN DNR revised
a 1999 draft wolf-management plan to
reflect the legislative action of 2000, and
completed the Minnesota Wolf
Management Plan in early 2001 (MN
DNR 2001, entire).
The Wisconsin Natural Resources
Board approved the Wisconsin Wolf
Management Plan in October 1999. In
2004 and 2005 the Wisconsin Wolf
Science Advisory Committee and the
Wisconsin Wolf Stakeholders group
reviewed the 1999 Plan, and the Science
Advisory Committee subsequently
developed updates and recommended
modifications to the 1999 Plan. The
updates were completed and received
final Natural Resources Board approval
on November 28, 2006 (WI DNR 2006a,
entire).
In late 1997, the Michigan Wolf
Recovery and Management Plan was
completed and received the necessary
State approvals. That plan focused on
recovery of a small wolf population,
rather than long-term management of a
large wolf population and the conflicts
that result as a consequence of
successful wolf restoration. To address
changes associated with the 2007
Federal delisting of wolves in Michigan,
the MI DNR revised its original wolf
plan and created the 2008 Michigan
Wolf Management Plan. The 2008 plan
addressed the biological, social, and
regulatory situation of wolf management
in Michigan at that time. Since then, the
context of wolf management in
Michigan has continued to change, and
the MI DNR again updated its wolfmanagement plan in 2015 (MI DNR
2015, entire). The 2015 updates reflect
the biological and social issues
associated with the increased
population size and distribution of
wolves in the State, although the four
principle goals of the 2008 plan remain
the same. The complete text of the
Wisconsin, Michigan, and Minnesota
wolf-management plans can be found on
our website (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
The Minnesota Wolf Management
Plan—The Minnesota Plan is based, in
part, on the recommendations of a State
wolf-management roundtable (MN DNR
2001, appendix V) and on a State wolfmanagement law enacted in 2000 (MN
DNR 2001, appendix I). This law and
the Minnesota Game and Fish Laws
constitute the basis of the State’s
authority to manage wolves. The Plan’s
stated goal is ‘‘to ensure the long-term
survival of wolves in Minnesota while
addressing wolf—human conflicts that
inevitably result when wolves and
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people live in the same vicinity’’ (MN
DNR 2001, p. 2). It establishes a
minimum goal of 1,600 wolves in the
State. Key components of the plan are
population monitoring and
management, management of wolf
depredation of domestic animals,
management of wolf prey, enforcement
of laws regulating take of wolves, public
education, and increased staffing to
accomplish these actions. Following
Federal delisting, MN DNR’s
management of wolves would differ
from their current management while
wolves were listed as threatened under
the Act. Most of these differences deal
with two aspects of wolf management:
The control of wolves that attack or
threaten domestic animals and the
implementation of a regulated wolf
harvest season.
The Minnesota Plan divides the State
into two wolf-management zones—
Zones A and B (see map in MN DNR
2001, appendix 3). Zone A corresponds
to Federal Wolf Management Zones 1
through 4 (approximately 30,000 mi2
(77,700 km2) in northeastern Minnesota)
in the Service’s Recovery Plan for the
Eastern Timber Wolf, whereas Zone B
constitutes Zone 5 in that recovery plan
(the rest of the State (approximately
57,000 mi2 (147,600 km2) (MN DNR
2001, pp. 19–20 and appendix III;
USFWS 1992, p. 72). Within Zone A,
wolves would receive strong protection
by the State, unless they were involved
in attacks on domestic animals. The
rules governing the take of wolves to
protect domestic animals in Zone B
would be less protective of wolves than
in Zone A (see Post-delisting
Depredation Control in Minnesota
below).
The Minnesota Department of Natural
Resources plans to allow wolf numbers
and distribution to naturally expand,
with no maximum population goal, and
if any winter population estimate is
below 1,600 wolves, it would take
actions to ‘‘assure recovery’’ to 1,600
wolves (MN DNR 2001 p. 19). The MN
DNR plans to continue to monitor
wolves in Minnesota to determine
whether such intervention is necessary.
After the WGL DPS was delisted in
2011, the MN DNR increased the
frequency of population surveys from
every 5 years to annually in 2013.
Although the agency is evaluating wolfmonitoring methods and optimal
frequencies, short-term plans are to
continue annual population-size
estimates. In addition to these statewide
population surveys, MN DNR annually
reviews data on depredation-incident
frequency and locations provided by
Wildlife Services and winter tracksurvey indices (see Erb 2008) to help
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ascertain annual trends in wolf
population or range (MN DNR 2001, pp.
18–19).
Minnesota (MN DNR 2001, pp. 21–24,
27–28) plans to reduce or control illegal
mortality of wolves through education,
increased enforcement of the State’s
wolf laws and regulations, discouraging
new road access in some areas, and
maintaining a depredation-control
program that includes compensation for
livestock losses. The MN DNR plans to
use a variety of methods to encourage
and support education of the public
about the effects of wolves on livestock,
wild ungulate populations, and human
activities and the history and ecology of
wolves in the State (MN DNR 2001, pp.
29–30). These are all measures that have
been in effect for years in Minnesota,
although increased enforcement of State
laws against take of wolves would
replace enforcement of the Act’s take
prohibitions. Financial compensation
for livestock losses has increased to the
full market value of the animal,
replacing previous caps of $400 and
$750 per animal (MN DNR 2001, p. 24).
We do not expect the State’s efforts to
result in the reduction of illegal take of
wolves from existing levels, but these
measures would be crucial in ensuring
that illegal mortality does not
significantly increase after Federal
delisting.
Under Minnesota law, the illegal
killing of a wolf is a gross misdemeanor
and is punishable by a maximum fine of
$3,000 and imprisonment for up to 1
year. The restitution value of an illegally
killed wolf is $2,000 (MN DNR 2001, p.
29). The MN DNR has designated three
conservation officers who are stationed
in the State’s wolf range as the lead
officers for implementing the wolfmanagement plan (MN DNR 2001, pp.
29, 32; Stark in litt. 2018).
Depredation Control in Minnesota—
Although federally protected as a
threatened species in Minnesota, wolves
that have attacked domestic animals
have been killed by designated
government employees under the
authority of a regulation (50 CFR
17.40(d)) under section 4(d) of the Act.
However, no control of depredating
wolves was allowed in Federal Wolf
Management Zone 1, comprising about
4,500 mi2 (7,200 km2) in extreme
northeastern Minnesota (USFWS 1992,
p. 72). In Federal Wolf Management
Zones 2 through 5, employees or agents
of the Service (including USDA–
APHIS–Wildlife Services) have taken
wolves in response to depredations of
domestic animals within one-half mile
(0.8 km) of the depredation site. Youngof-the-year (young produced in one
reproductive year) captured on or before
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August 1 must be released. The
regulations that allow for this take (50
CFR 17.40(d)(2)(i)(C)) do not specify a
maximum duration for depredation
control, but Wildlife Services personnel
have followed internal guidelines under
which they trap for no more than 10–
15 days, except at sites with repeated or
chronic depredation, where they may
trap for up to 30 days (Paul 2004, pers.
comm.).
During the period 1980–2017, the
Federal Minnesota wolf-depredationcontrol program euthanized from 20 (in
1982) to 262 (in 2015) wolves annually.
The annual averages and the percentage
of the statewide wolf population for 5year periods are presented in table 2.
TABLE 2—AVERAGE ANNUAL NUMBER OF WOLVES EUTHANIZED UNDER MINNESOTA WOLF DEPREDATION CONTROL AND
THE PERCENTAGE OF THE STATEWIDE WOLF POPULATION FOR 5-YEAR PERIODS FROM 1980–2017
[Final time period represents 3, rather than 5 years) (Erb 2008; USDA–Wildlife Services 2010, p. 3; USDA–Wildlife Services 2011, p. 3; USDA–
Wildlife Services 2017, p. 3]
1980–1984
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Average annual # wolves
euthanized ....................
Average annual % of wolf
population .....................
1985–1989
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1995–1999
2000–2004
2005–2009
2010–2014
2015–2017
30
49
115
152
128
157
194
195
2.2
3.0
6.0
6.7
4.2
5.4
7.6
7.3
Since 1980, the lowest annual
percentage of Minnesota wolves killed
under this program was 1.5 percent in
1982; the highest percentage was 9.4 in
both 1997 and 2015 (Paul 2004, pp. 2–
7; Paul 2006, p. 1; USDA–Wildlife
Services 2017, p. 3). The periods during
which the depredation-control program
was taking its highest percentages of
wolves was during the 1990s and the
2010s. During the 1990s, when wolves
euthanized for depredation control
averaged around 6 percent of the wolf
population, Minnesota wolf numbers
continued to grow at an average annual
rate of nearly 4 percent (Paul 2004, pp.
2–7). Wolf populations in the State
fluctuated during the 2010s, when
wolves euthanized for depredation
control averaged around 7 percent of the
wolf population. While wolf
populations in the State did decline
while wolves were delisted from 2011–
2014, other management techniques in
addition to depredation control were
also implemented during that time (e.g.,
regulated harvest), and that management
was expected to reduce wolf numbers
while maintaining a minimum
population level. The level of wolf
removal for depredation control that has
occurred has not interfered with wolf
recovery in Minnesota.
Under a Minnesota statute, the
Minnesota Department of Agriculture
(MDA) compensates livestock owners
for full market value of livestock that
wolves have killed or severely injured.
An authorized investigator must
confirm that wolves were responsible
for the depredation. The Minnesota
statute also requires MDA to
periodically update its Best
Management Practices to incorporate
new practices that it finds would reduce
wolf depredation (Minnesota Statutes
2018, Section 3.737, subdivision 5).
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Post-delisting Depredation Control in
Minnesota—If wolves in Minnesota are
delisted, depredation control would be
authorized under Minnesota State law
and conducted in conformance with the
Minnesota Wolf Management Plan (MN
DNR 2001). The Minnesota Plan divides
the State into Wolf Management Zones
A and B, as discussed above. The
statewide survey conducted during the
winter of 2003–04 estimated that there
were approximately 2,570 wolves in
Zone A and 450 in Zone B (Erb in litt.
2005). As discussed in Recovery Criteria
above, the Federal planning goal is
1,251–1,400 wolves for Zones 1–4 and
there is no minimum population goal
for Zone 5 (USFWS 1992, p. 28).
In Zone A, wolf depredation control
would be limited to situations of (1)
immediate threat and (2) following
verified loss of domestic animals. In this
zone, if the DNR verifies that a wolf
destroyed any livestock, domestic
animal, or pet, and if the owner requests
wolf control be implemented, trained
and certified predator controllers may
take wolves (specific number to be
determined on a case-by-case basis)
within a 1-mile (1.6-km) radius of the
depredation site (depredation-control
area) for up to 60 days. In contrast, in
Zone B, predator controllers may take
wolves (specific number to be
determined on a case-by-case basis) for
up to 214 days after MN DNR opens a
depredation-control area, depending on
the time of year. Under State law, the
DNR may open a control area in Zone
B anytime within 5 years of a verified
depredation loss upon request of the
landowner, thereby providing more of a
preventative approach than is allowed
in Zone A, in order to head off repeat
depredation incidents (MN DNR 2001,
p. 22).
Depredation control would be
allowed throughout Zone A, which
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includes an area (Federal Wolf
Management Zone 1) where such
control has not been permitted under
the Act’s protection. Depredation by
wolves in Zone 1, however, has been
limited to 2 to 4 reported incidents per
year, mostly of wolves killing dogs. In
2009, there was one probable and one
verified depredation of a dog near Ely,
Minnesota, and in 2010 Wildlife
Services confirmed three dogs killed by
wolves in Zone 1 (USDA–Wildlife
Services 2009, p. 3; USDA–Wildlife
Services 2010, p. 3). There are few
livestock in Zone 1; therefore, the
number of verified future depredation
incidents in that Zone is expected to be
low, resulting in a correspondingly low
number of depredating wolves being
killed there after delisting.
State law and the Minnesota Plan
would also allow for private wolf
depredation control throughout the
State. Persons could shoot or destroy a
wolf that poses ‘‘an immediate threat’’
to their livestock, guard animals, or
domestic animals on lands that they
own, lease, or occupy. Immediate threat
is defined as ‘‘in the act of stalking,
attacking, or killing.’’ This does not
include trapping because traps cannot
be placed in a manner such that they
trap only wolves in the act of stalking,
attacking, or killing. Owners of domestic
pets could also kill wolves posing an
immediate threat to pets under their
supervision on lands that they do not
own or lease, although such actions are
subject to local ordinances, trespass law,
and other applicable restrictions. To
protect their domestic animals in Zone
B, individuals do not have to wait for
an immediate threat or a depredation
incident in order to take wolves. At any
time in Zone B, persons who own, lease,
or manage lands may shoot wolves on
those lands to protect livestock,
domestic animals, or pets. They may
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also employ a predator controller to trap
a wolf on their land or within 1 mile
(1.6 km) of their land (with permission
of the landowner) to protect their
livestock, domestic animals, or pets
(MN DNR 2001, pp. 23–24). The MN
DNR will investigate any private taking
of wolves in Zone A (MN DNR 2001, p.
23). The Minnesota Plan would also
allow persons to harass wolves
anywhere in the State within 500 yards
of ‘‘people, buildings, dogs, livestock, or
other domestic pets or animals.’’
Harassment may not include physical
injury to a wolf.
As discussed above, landowners or
lessees would be allowed to respond to
situations of immediate threat by
shooting wolves in the act of stalking,
attacking, or killing livestock or other
domestic animals in Zone A. We
conclude that this action is not likely to
result in the killing of many additional
wolves, as opportunities to shoot wolves
‘‘in the act’’ would likely be few and
difficult to successfully accomplish, a
conclusion shared by a highly
experienced wolf-depredation agent
(Paul in litt. 2006, p. 5). It is also
possible that illegal killing of wolves in
Minnesota will decrease, because the
expanded options for legal control of
problem wolves may lead to an increase
in public tolerance for wolves (Paul in
litt. 2006, p. 5).
State law and the Minnesota Plan
would provide broad authority to
landowners and land managers to shoot
wolves at any time to protect their
livestock, pets, or other domestic
animals on land owned, leased, or
managed by the individual in Zone B (as
described above). Such takings can
occur in the absence of wolf attacks on
the domestic animals. Thus, the
estimated 450 wolves in Zone B could
be subject to substantial reduction in
numbers. At the extreme, wolves could
be eliminated from Zone B, but this is
highly unlikely—the Minnesota Plan
states that ‘‘Although depredation
procedures will likely result in a larger
number of wolves killed, as compared to
previous ESA management, they will
not result in the elimination of wolves
from Zone B.’’ (MN DNR 2001, pp. 22–
23). While wolves were under State
management in 2007–08 and in 2011–
14, landowners in Zone B shot six and
eight wolves under this authority,
respectively. Fourteen additional
wolves were trapped and euthanized in
Zone B by State-certified predator
controllers, 1 in 2009 and 13 in 2013
(Stark in litt. 2009; Stark in litt. 2018).
The limitation of this broad take
authority to Zone B is fully consistent
with the advice in the Recovery Plan for
the Eastern Timber Wolf that wolves
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should be restored to the rest of
Minnesota but not to Zone B (Federal
Zone 5) because that area ‘‘is not
suitable for wolves’’ (USFWS 1992, p.
20). The Recovery Plan for the Eastern
Timber Wolf envisioned that the
Minnesota numerical planning goal
would be achieved solely in Zone A
(Federal Zones 1–4) (USFWS 1992, p.
28), and that has occurred. Wolves
outside of Zone A are not necessary to
the establishment and long-term
viability of a self-sustaining wolf
population in the State, and, therefore,
there is no need to establish or maintain
a wolf population in Zone B.
Accordingly, there is no need to
maintain significant protection for
wolves in Zone B in order to maintain
a Minnesota wolf population that
continues to satisfy the Federal recovery
criteria after Federal delisting.
This expansion of depredation-control
activities would not threaten the
continued survival of wolves in the
State or the long-term viability of the
wolf population in Zone A, the large
part of wolf range in Minnesota.
Significant changes in wolf depredation
control under State management will
primarily be restricted to Zone B, which
is outside of the area necessary for wolf
recovery (USFWS 1992, pp. 20, 28).
Furthermore, wolves may still persist in
Zone B despite the likely increased take
there. The Eastern Timber Wolf
Recovery Team concluded that the
changes in wolf management in the
State’s Zone A would be ‘‘minor’’ and
would not likely result in ‘‘significant
change in overall wolf numbers in Zone
A.’’ They found that, despite an
expansion of the individual
depredation-control areas and an
extension of the control period to 60
days, depredation control would remain
‘‘very localized’’ in Zone A. The
requirement that such depredationcontrol activities be conducted only in
response to verified wolf depredation in
Zone A played a key role in the team’s
evaluation (Peterson in litt. 2001). While
wolves were under State management in
2007 and 2008, the number of wolves
killed for depredation control (133
wolves in 2007 and 143 wolves in 2008)
remained consistent with those killed
under the special regulation under
section 4(d) of the Act while wolves
were federally listed (105, in 2004; 134,
in 2005; and 122, in 2006). The number
of wolves killed for depredation control
while wolves were under State
management for the second time (2011–
2014) was slightly higher (203 wolves in
2011, 262 in 2012, 114 in 2013, and 197
in 2014) than during 2007 and 2008, but
was still consistent with those killed
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under section 4(d) in the surrounding
years (192 wolves in 2010 and 213 in
2015).
Minnesota would continue to monitor
wolf populations throughout the State
and would also monitor all depredationcontrol activities in Zone A (MN DNR
2001, p. 18). These and other activities
contained in their plan would be
essential in meeting their population
goal of a minimum statewide winter
population of 1,600 wolves, well above
the planning goal of 1,251 to 1,400
wolves that the Revised Recovery Plan
identifies as sufficient to ensure the
wolf’s continued survival in Minnesota
(USFWS 1992, p. 28).
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in
Minnesota—Minnesota Department of
Natural Resources will consider wolf
population-management measures,
including public hunting and trapping
seasons and other methods, if wolves
are federally delisted. In 2011, the
Minnesota Legislature authorized the
MN DNR to implement a wolf season
following the Federal delisting and
classified wolves as small game in State
statute (Minnesota Statutes 2018
97B.645 Subd. 9). Following Federal
delisting, the 2012 Legislature
established wolf hunting and trapping
licenses, clarified the authority for the
MN DNR to implement a wolf season,
and required the start of the season to
be no later than the start of firearms deer
season each year. Three regulated
harvest seasons (in 2012, 2013, and
2014) were subsequently implemented
in the State while wolves were federally
delisted. The harvest was divided into
three segments: An early hunting season
that coincided with the firearms deer
season, a late hunting season, and a
concurrent late trapping season. In
2012, the MN DNR established a total
target harvest of 400 wolves (the close
of the harvest season is to be initiated
when that target is met) (Stark and Erb
2013, pp. 1–2). During that first
regulated season, 413 wolves were
harvested. Based on the results of the
2012 harvest season, the MN DNR
revised the target to 220 wolves for
2013; that year 238 wolves were
harvested. The 2014 target harvest was
250 wolves and 272 were harvested.
The Minnesota management plan
requires that population-management
measures be implemented in such a way
to maintain a statewide late-winter wolf
population of at least 1,600 animals
(MN DNR 2001, pp. 19–20), well above
the planning goal of 1,251 to 1,400
wolves for the State in the Revised
Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992, p. 28);
therefore, implementing such
management measures under that
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requirement would ensure the wolf’s
continued survival in Minnesota.
The Wisconsin Wolf Management
Plan—Both the Wisconsin and
Michigan Wolf Management Plans are
designed to manage and ensure the
existence of wolf populations in the
States as if they are isolated populations
and are not dependent upon
immigration of wolves from an adjacent
State or Canada, while still maintaining
connections to those other populations.
We support this approach as it provides
strong assurances that the wolf in both
States will remain a viable component
of the wolves in the Great Lakes area
and the larger gray wolf entity.
The Wisconsin Plan allows for
differing levels of protection and
management within four separate
management zones (see WI DNR 2006a,
figure 8). The Northern Forest Zone
(Zone 1) and the Central Forest Zone
(Zone 2) now contain most of the State’s
wolf population, with approximately 6
percent of the Wisconsin wolves in
Zones 3 and 4 (Wydeven and
Wiedenhoeft 2009, table 1). Zones 1 and
2 contain all the larger unfragmented
areas of suitable habitat, so we
anticipate that most of the State’s wolf
packs will continue to inhabit those
parts of Wisconsin. At the time the 1999
Wisconsin Plan was completed, it
recommended immediate
reclassification from State-endangered
to State-threatened status, because
Wisconsin’s wolf population had
already exceeded its reclassification
criterion of 80 wolves for 3 years; thus,
State reclassification occurred that same
year.
The Wisconsin Plan contains a
minimum population goal of 350 wolves
outside of Native American
reservations, and specifies that the
species should be delisted by the State
once the population reaches 250
animals outside of reservations. The
species was proposed for State delisting
in late 2003, and the State delisting
process was completed in 2004. Upon
State delisting, the species was
classified as a ‘‘protected nongame
species,’’ a designation that continues
State prohibitions on sport hunting and
trapping of the species (Wydeven and
Jurewicz 2005, p. 1; WI DNR 2006b, p.
71). The Wisconsin Plan includes
criteria for when State re-listing to
threatened (a decline to fewer than 250
wolves for 3 years) or endangered status
(a decline to fewer than 80 wolves for
1 year) should be considered. The
Wisconsin Plan will be reviewed
annually by the Wisconsin Wolf
Advisory Committee and will be
reviewed by the public every 5 years.
Recently the WI DNR began work on
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updating the State’s wolf-management
plan, which may include increasing the
State management goal (Wydeven and
Wiedenhoeft 2009, p. 3).
The Wisconsin Plan was updated
during 2004–06 to reflect current wolf
numbers, additional knowledge, and
issues that have arisen since its 1999
completion. This update is in the form
of text changes, revisions to two
appendices, and the addition of a new
appendix to the 1999 plan, rather than
a major revision to the plan. Several
components of the plan that are key to
our delisting evaluation are unchanged.
The State wolf-management goal of 350
animals and the boundaries of the four
wolf-management zones remain the
same as in the 1999 Plan. The updated
2006 Plan continues access management
on public lands and the protection of
active den sites. Protection of packrendezvous sites, however, is no longer
considered to be needed in areas where
wolves have become well established,
due to the transient nature of these sites
and the larger wolf population. The
updated Plan states that rendezvous
sites may need protection in areas
where wolf colonization is still under
way or where pup survival is extremely
poor, such as in northeastern Wisconsin
(WI DNR 2006a, p. 17). The guidelines
for the wolf depredation-control
program (see Post-delisting Depredation
Control in Wisconsin) did not undergo
significant alteration during the update
process. The only substantive change to
depredation-control practices is to
expand the area of depredation-control
trapping in Zones 1 and 2 to 1 mi (1.6
km) outward from the depredation site,
replacing the previous 0.5-mi (0.8-km)
radius trapping zone (WI DNR 2006a,
pp. 3–4).
An important component of the
Wisconsin Plan is the annual
monitoring of wolf populations by radio
collars and winter track surveys in order
to provide comparable annual data to
assess population size and growth for at
least 5 years after Federal delisting. This
monitoring would include health
monitoring of captured wolves and
necropsies of dead wolves that are
found. Wolf scat would be collected and
analyzed to monitor for canine viruses
and parasites. Health monitoring would
be part of the capture protocol for all
studies that involve the live-capture of
Wisconsin wolves (WI DNR 2006a, p.
14). The 2006 update to the Wisconsin
Wolf Management Plan did not change
the WI DNR’s commitment to annual
wolf population monitoring, and
ensures accurate and comparable data
(WI DNR 1999, pp. 19–20).
Cooperative habitat management
would be promoted with public and
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private landowners to maintain existing
road densities in Zones 1 and 2, protect
wolf dispersal corridors, and manage
forests for deer and beaver (WI DNR
1999, pp. 4, 22–23; 2006a, pp. 15–17).
Furthermore, in Zone 1, a year-round
prohibition on tree harvest within 330
feet (100 m) of den sites and seasonal
restrictions to reduce disturbance
within one-half mile (0.8 km) of dens
would be WI DNR policy on public
lands and would be encouraged on
private lands (WI DNR 1999, p. 23;
2006a, p. 17).
The 1999 Wisconsin Plan contains,
and the 2006 update retains, other
components that would provide
protection to assist in maintenance of a
viable wolf population in the State
following delisting: (1) Continue the
protection of the species as a ‘‘protected
wild animal’’ with penalties similar to
those for unlawfully killing large game
species (fines of $1,000–$2,000, loss of
hunting privileges for 3–5 years, and a
possible 6-month jail sentence), (2)
maintain closure zones where coyotes
cannot be shot during deer-hunting
season in Zone 1, (3) legally protect wolf
dens under the Wisconsin
Administrative Code, (4) require State
permits to possess a wolf or wolf-dog
hybrid, and (5) establish a restitution
value to be levied in addition to fines
and other penalties for wolves that are
illegally killed (WI DNR 1999, pp. 21,
27–28, 30–31; 2006a, pp. 3–4).
The 2006 update of the Wisconsin
Plan continues to emphasize the need
for public education efforts that focus
on living with a recovered wolf
population, ways to manage wolves and
wolf–human conflicts, and the
ecosystem role of wolves. The Plan
continues the State reimbursement for
depredation losses (including dogs and
missing calves), citizen stakeholder
involvement in the wolf-management
program, and coordination with the
Tribes in wolf management and
investigation of illegal killings (WI DNR
1999, pp. 24, 28–29; 2006a, pp. 22–23).
Depredation Control in Wisconsin—
Lethal depredation control has not been
authorized in Wisconsin (due to the
listed status of wolves there as
endangered) except for several years
when such control was authorized
under a permit from the USFWS or
while wolves were delisted under
previous actions. The rapidly expanding
Wisconsin wolf population has resulted
in an increased need for depredation
control, however. From 1979 through
1989, there were only five cases (an
average of 0.4 per year) of verified wolf
depredations in Wisconsin, but the
number of incidents has steadily
increased over the subsequent decades.
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During the 1990s there were an average
of approximately 4 incidents per year,
increasing to an average of
approximately 38 per year during the
2000s and to an average of
approximately 69 per year since 2010
(WI DNR data files and summary of wolf
survey and depredation reports).
A significant portion of depredation
incidents in Wisconsin involve attacks
on dogs. In most cases, these have been
hunting dogs that were being used for,
or being trained for, hunting bears,
bobcats, coyotes, and snowshoe hare
(Ruid et al. 2009, pp. 285–286). It is
believed that the dogs entered the
territory of a wolf pack and may have
been close to a den, rendezvous site, or
feeding location, thus triggering an
attack by wolves defending their
territory or pups. The frequency of
attacks on hunting dogs has increased as
the State’s wolf population has grown.
Of the 206 dogs killed by wolves during
the 25 years from 1986–2010, more than
80 percent occurred during the period
from 2001–10, with an average of 17
dogs killed annually during that 10-year
period (WI DNR files). Data on
depredations from 2013 to 2017 show a
continued increase in wolf attacks on
dogs, with an average of 23 dogs killed
annually (with a high of 41 dogs in
2016). While the WI DNR compensates
dog owners for mortalities and injuries
to their dogs, the DNR takes no action
against the depredating pack unless the
attack was on a dog that was leashed,
confined, or under the owner’s control
on the owner’s land. Instead, the DNR
issues press releases to warn bear
hunters and bear-dog trainers of the
areas where wolf packs have been
attacking bear dogs (WI DNR 2008, p. 5)
and provides maps and advice to
hunters on the WI DNR website (see
https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/Wildlife
Habitat/wolf/dogdeps.html). In 2010,
wolf attacks on dogs occurred 14 times
near homes, which was the highest level
seen of this type of depredation
(Wydeven et al. 2011, p. 3).
During the first periods that wolves
were federally delisted in Wisconsin
(from March 2007 through September
2008 and from April through early July
2009), 92 wolves were killed for
depredation control in the State,
including 8 legally shot by private
landowners (Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft
2008, p. 8; Wydeven et al. 2009b, p. 6;
Wydeven et al. 2010, p. 13). When
wolves were again delisted from January
2012 through December 2014,
depredation control resulted in 164
wolves being killed, including 38 legally
shot by private landowners (McFarland
and Wiedenhoeft 2013, p. 9;
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Wiedenhoeft et al, 2014, p. 10;
Wiedenhoeft et al. 2015, p. 10).
Post-delisting Depredation Control in
Wisconsin—Following Federal
delisting, wolf depredation control in
Wisconsin would be carried out
according to the 2006 Updated
Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan (WI
DNR 2006a, pp. 19–23), Guidelines for
Conducting Depredation Control on
Wolves in Wisconsin Following Federal
Delisting (WI DNR 2008), and any Tribal
wolf-management plans or guidelines
that may be developed for reservations
in occupied wolf range. The 2006
updates did not significantly change the
1999 State Plan, and the State wolf
management goal of 350 wolves outside
of Indian reservations (WI DNR 2006a,
p. 3) is unchanged. Verification of wolf
depredation incidents would continue
to be conducted by USDA–APHIS–
Wildlife Services, working under a
cooperative agreement with WI DNR, or
at the request of a Tribe, depending on
the location of the suspected
depredation incident. If determined to
be a confirmed or probable depredation
by a wolf or wolves, one or more of
several options would be implemented
to address the depredation problem.
These options include technical
assistance, loss compensation to
landowners, translocating or
euthanizing problem wolves, and
private landowner control of problem
wolves in some circumstances (WI DNR
2006a, pp. 3–4, 20–22).
Technical assistance, consisting of
advice or recommendations to prevent
or reduce further wolf conflicts, would
be provided. This may also include
providing the landowner with various
forms of noninjurious behaviormodification materials, such as flashing
lights, noise makers, temporary fencing,
and fladry (a string of flags used to
contain or exclude wild animals).
Monetary compensation is also
provided for all verified and probable
losses of domestic animals and for a
portion of documented missing calves
(WI DNR 2006a, pp. 22–23). The
compensation is made at full market
value of the animal (up to a limit of
$2,500 for dogs) and can include
veterinarian fees for the treatment of
injured animals (WI DNR 2006c 12.54).
Current Wisconsin law requires the
continuation of the compensation
payment for wolf depredation regardless
of Federal listing or delisting of the
species (WI DNR 2006c 12.50). In recent
years, annual depredation compensation
payments have ranged from $91,000
(2009) to $256,000 (2017). From 1985
through April, 2018, the WI DNR had
spent over $2,378,000 on
reimbursement for damage caused by
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wolves in the State, with 60 percent of
that total spent over the last 10 years
(since 2009) (https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/
wildlifehabitat/wolf/documents/
WolfDamagePayments.pdf).
For depredation incidents in
Wisconsin Zones 1 through 3, where all
wolf packs currently reside, wolves may
be trapped by USDA–Wildlife Services
or Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources personnel and, if feasible,
translocated and released at a point
distant from the depredation site. If
wolves are captured adjacent to an
Indian reservation or a large block of
public land, the animals may be
translocated locally to that area. Longdistance translocating of depredating
wolves has become increasingly
difficult in Wisconsin and is likely to be
used infrequently in the future as long
as the off-reservation wolf population is
above 350 animals. In most wolfdepredation cases where technical
assistance and nonlethal methods of
behavior modification are judged to be
ineffective, wolves would be shot or
trapped and euthanized by Wildlife
Services or DNR personnel. Trapping
and euthanizing would be conducted
within a 1-mi (1.6-km) radius of the
depredation in Zones 1 and 2, and
within a 5-mi (8-km) radius in Zone 3.
There is no distance limitation for
depredation-control trapping in Zone 4,
and all wolves trapped in Zone 4 would
be euthanized, rather than translocated
(WI DNR 2006a, pp. 22–23).
Full authority to conduct lethal
depredation control has not been
allowed in Wisconsin (due to the listed
status of the wolf as an endangered
species) except for short periods of time.
So we have evaluated post-delisting
lethal depredation control based upon
verified depredation incidents over the
last decade and the impacts of the
implementation of similar lethal control
of depredating wolves under 50 CFR
17.40(d) for Minnesota, § 17.40(o) for
Wisconsin and Michigan, and section
10(a)(1)(A) of the Act for Wisconsin and
Michigan. Under those authorities, WI
DNR and Wildlife Services trapped and
euthanized 17 wolves in 2003; 24 in
2004; 29 in 2005; 18 in 2006; 37 in 2007;
39 in 2008; 9 in 2009; and 16 in 2010
(WI DNR 2006a, p. 32; Wydeven et al.
2009a, pp. 6–7; Wydeven et al. 2010, p.
15; Wydeven et al. 2011, p. 3).
Although these lethal control
authorities applied to Wisconsin and
Michigan DNRs for only a portion of
2003 (April through December) and
2005 (all of January for both States;
April 1 and April 19, for Wisconsin and
Michigan respectively, through
September 13), they covered nearly all
of the verified wolf depredations during
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2003–05, and thus provide a reasonable
measure of annual lethal depredation
control. For 2003, 2004, and 2005, this
represents 5.1 percent, 6.4 percent, 7.4
percent (including the several possible
wolf-dog hybrids), respectively, of the
late-winter population of Wisconsin
wolves during the previous winter. This
level of lethal depredation control was
followed by a wolf population increase
of 11 percent from 2003 to 2004, 17
percent from 2004 to 2005, and 7
percent from 2005 to 2006 (Wydeven
and Jurewicz 2005, p. 5; Wydeven et al.
2006, p. 10). Limited lethal-control
authority was granted to WI DNR for 3.5
months in 2006 by a section 10 permit,
resulting in removal of 18 wolves (3.9
percent of the winter wolf population)
(Wydeven et al. 2007, p. 7).
Lethal depredation control was again
authorized in the State while wolves
were delisted in 2007 (9.5 months) and
2008 (9 months). During those times, 40
and 43 wolves, respectively, were killed
for depredation control (by Wildlife
Services or by legal landowner action),
representing 7 and 8 percent of the latewinter population of Wisconsin wolves
during the previous year. This level of
lethal depredation control was followed
by a wolf population increase of 0.5
percent from 2007 to 2008, and 12
percent from 2008 to 2009 (Wydeven
and Wiedenhoeft 2008, pp. 19–22;
Wydeven et al. 2009a, p. 6). Authority
for lethal control on depredating wolves
occurred for only 2 months in 2009.
During that time, eight wolves were
euthanized for depredation control by
USDA–Wildlife Services, and one wolf
was shot by a landowner; additionally,
later in 2009 after re-listing, a wolf was
captured and euthanized by USDA–
Wildlife Services for human safety
concerns (Wydeven et al. 2010, p. 15).
Thus in 2009, 10 wolves, or 2 percent
of the winter wolf population, was
removed in control activities.
In 2010, authority for lethal control of
wolves depredating livestock was not
available in Wisconsin, but 16 wolves or
2 percent of the winter population were
removed for human-safety concerns
(Wydeven et al. 2011, p. 3). The
Wisconsin wolf population in winter
2010–11 grew to 687 wolves, an
increase of 8 percent from the wolf
population in winter 2009–10 (Wydeven
et al. 2010, pp. 12–13). When wolves
were again delisted from January 2012
through December 2014, a total of 164
wolves were killed under authorized
lethal depredation control (McFarland
and Wiedenhoeft 2013, p. 9;
Wiedenhoeft et al. 2014, p. 10;
Wiedenhoeft et al. 2015, p. 10). It is
more difficult to evaluate the effects
attributed specifically to depredation
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control over that time, as the State also
implemented a regulated public harvest
those years; however, information from
previous years where depredation
control was the primary change in
management provides strong evidence
that this form and magnitude of
depredation control would not
adversely affect the viability of the
Wisconsin wolf population. The
locations of depredation incidents
provide additional evidence that lethal
control would not have an adverse
impact on the State’s wolf population.
Most livestock depredations are caused
by packs near the northern forest–farm
land interface. Few depredations occur
in core wolf range and in large blocks
of public land. Thus, lethal depredationcontrol actions would not affect most of
the Wisconsin wolf population (WI DNR
2006a, p. 30).
One substantive change to lethal
control that would result from Federal
delisting is the ability of a small number
of private landowners, whose farms
have a history of recurring wolf
depredation, to obtain limited-duration
permits from Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources to kill a limited
number of depredating wolves on land
they own or lease, based on the size of
the pack causing the local depredations
(WI DNR 2008, p. 8). Such permits
would be issued to: (1) Landowners
with verified wolf depredations on their
property within the last 2 years; (2)
landowners within 1 mile (1.6 km) of
properties with verified wolf
depredations during the calendar year;
(3) landowners with vulnerable
livestock within WI DNR-designated
proactive control areas; (4) landowners
with human safety concerns on their
property, and (5) landowners with
verified harassment of livestock on their
property (WI DNR 2008, p. 8). Limits on
the number of wolves to control would
be based on the estimated number of
wolves in the pack causing depredation
problems.
During the 19 months in 2007 and
2008 when wolves were federally
delisted, the DNR issued 67 such
permits, resulting in 2 wolves being
killed. Some landowners received
permits more than once, and permits
were issued for up to 90 days at a time
and restricted to specific calendar years.
In addition, landowners and lessees of
land statewide would be allowed
without obtaining a permit to kill a wolf
‘‘in the act of killing, wounding, or
biting a domestic animal.’’ The incident
must be reported to a conservation
warden within 24 hours, and the
landowners are required to turn any
dead wolves over to the WI DNR (WI
DNR 2006a, pp. 22–23; WI DNR 2008,
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p. 6). During that same 19-month time
period, landowners killed a total of five
wolves under that authority. One wolf
was shot in the act of attack on domestic
animals during the 2 months when
wolves were delisted in 2009; then 38
wolves were legally shot by landowners
during the 35 months wolves were
delisted from 2012–2014. The death of
these 46 additional wolves—which
accounted for less than 3 percent of the
State’s wolves in any year—did not
affect the viability of the population.
Another potential substantive change
after delisting would be proactive
trapping or ‘‘intensive control’’ of
wolves in sub-zones of the larger wolfmanagement zones (WI DNR 2006a, pp.
22–23). Triggering actions and type of
controls planned for these ‘‘proactive
control areas’’ are listed in the WI DNR
depredation-control guidelines (WI DNR
2008, pp. 7–9). Controls on these actions
would be considered on a case-by-case
basis to address specific problems, and
would be carried out only in areas that
lack suitable habitat, have extensive
agricultural lands with little forest
interspersion, in urban or suburban
settings, and only when the State wolf
population is well above the
management goal of 350 wolves outside
Indian reservations in late-winter
surveys. The use of intensive population
management in small areas would be
adapted as experience is gained with
implementing and evaluating localized
control actions (Wydeven 2006, pers.
comm.). We are confident that the
number of wolves killed by these
actions would not affect the long-term
viability of the Wisconsin wolf
population, because generally less than
15 percent of packs cause depredations
that would initiate such controls, and
‘‘proactive’’ controls would be carried
out only if the State’s late-winter wolf
population exceeds 350 animals outside
Indian reservations.
The State’s current guidelines for
conducting depredation-control actions
say that no control trapping would be
conducted on wolves that kill ‘‘dogs that
are free roaming, roaming at large,
hunting, or training on public lands,
and all other lands except land owned
or leased by the dog owner’’ (WI DNR
2008, p. 5). Controls would be applied
on wolves depredating pet dogs attacked
near homes and wolves attacking
livestock. Because of these Stateimposed limitations, we conclude that
lethal control of wolves depredating on
hunting dogs would be rare and,
therefore, would not be a significant
additional source of mortality in
Wisconsin. Lethal control of wolves that
attack captive deer is included in the WI
DNR depredation-control program,
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because farm-raised deer are considered
to be livestock under Wisconsin law (WI
DNR 2008, pp. 5–6; 2006c, 12.52).
However, Wisconsin regulations for
deer farm fencing have been
strengthened, and it is unlikely that
more than an occasional wolf would
need to be killed to end wolf
depredations inside deer farms in the
foreseeable future. Claims for wolf
depredation compensation are rejected
if the claimant is not in compliance
with regulations regarding farm-raiseddeer fencing or livestock-carcass
disposal (Wisconsin Statutes 90.20 &
90.21, WI DNR 2006c 12.54).
Data from verified wolf depredations
in recent years indicate that depredation
on livestock is likely to increase as long
as the Wisconsin wolf population
increases in numbers and range. Wolf
packs in more marginal habitat with
high acreage of pasture land are more
likely to become depredators (Treves et
al. 2004, pp. 121–122). Most large areas
of forest land and public lands are
included in Wisconsin Wolf
Management Zones 1 and 2, and they
have already been colonized by wolves.
Therefore, new areas likely to be
colonized by wolves in the future would
be in Zones 3 and 4, where they would
be exposed to much higher densities of
farms, livestock, and residences. During
2008, of farms experiencing wolf
depredation, 25 percent (8 of 32) were
in Zone 3, yet only 4 percent of the State
wolf population occurs in this zone
(Wydeven et al. 2009a, p. 23). Further
expansion of wolves into Zone 3 would
likely lead to an increase in depredation
incidents and an increase in lethal
control actions against Zone 3 wolves.
However, these Zone 3 mortalities
would have no impact on wolf
population viability in Wisconsin
because of the much larger wolf
populations in Zones 1 and 2.
We anticipate that under the
management laid out in the Wisconsin
Wolf Management Plan the wolf
population in Zones 1 and 2 would
continue to greatly exceed the recovery
goal in the Recovery Plan for the Eastern
Timber Wolf of 200 late-winter wolves
for an isolated population and 100
wolves for a subpopulation connected to
the larger Minnesota population,
regardless of the extent of wolf mortality
from all causes in Zones 3 and 4.
Ongoing annual wolf population
monitoring by WI DNR would provide
timely and accurate data to evaluate the
effects of wolf management under the
Wisconsin Plan.
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in
Wisconsin—A regulated public harvest
of wolves is acknowledged in the
Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan and
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its updates as a potential management
technique (WI DNR 1999, appendix D;
2006c, p. 23). Wisconsin Act 169 was
enacted in April 2012, following Federal
delisting of wolves earlier that year. The
law reclassified wolves in Wisconsin as
a game species and directed the WI DNR
to establish a harvest season in 2012.
The harvest season was set from October
15–February 28 with zones closing as
individual quotas are met. The WI DNR
holds the authority to determine harvest
zones and set harvest quotas.
Harvest quotas for the first season in
2012–13 were designed to begin
reducing the population toward the
established objective, and the harvest
zones were designed to focus harvest in
areas of highest human conflict with
lower harvest rates in areas of primary
wolf habitat. State-licensed hunters and
trappers were not allowed permits
within the reservation boundaries of the
Bad River, Red Cliff, Lac Courte
Oreilles, Lac Du Flambeau, Menominee,
and Stockbridge-Munsee reservations,
and separate quotas were set for these
ceded territories. The Wisconsin Natural
Resources Board established a total
quota of 201 wolves (broken into a
State-licensed quota of 116 wolves and
a tribal quota of 85 wolves). A total of
117 wolves were harvested during that
first season, all under the State licenses
(Tribes did not authorize tribal members
to harvest wolves within reservation
boundaries). In 2013–14, the total quota
was 275 wolves; a State-licensed quota
of 251, and a tribal quota of 24. That
year, 257 wolves were harvested. The
2014–15 wolf quota was reduced to 156
(a 57-percent reduction from the 2013–
14 wolf quota), and 154 wolves were
harvested that season (a 60-percent
decrease from the 2013–14 harvest.
Regardless of the methods used to
manage wolves in the State, the
Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources is committed to maintaining
a wolf population at 350 wolves outside
of Indian reservations, which translates
to a statewide population of 361 to 385
wolves in late winter. No harvest would
be allowed if the wolf population fell
below this goal (WI DNR 1999, pp. 15,
16). Also, the fact that the Wisconsin
Plan calls for State re-listing of the wolf
as a threatened species if the population
falls to fewer than 250 for 3 years
provides a strong assurance that any
public harvest is not likely to threaten
the persistence of the population (WI
DNR 1999, pp. 15–17). Based on wolf
population data, the current Wisconsin
Plan and the 2006 updates, we conclude
that any public harvest plan would
continue to maintain the State wolf
population well above the recovery goal
of 200 wolves in late winter.
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The Michigan Wolf Management
Plan—The 2015 updated Michigan Plan
describes the wolf recovery goals and
management actions needed to maintain
a viable wolf population in the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan, while
facilitating wolf-related benefits and
minimizing conflicts. The updated
Michigan Plan contains new scientific
information related to wolf
management, updated information on
the legal status of wolves, clarifications
related to management authorities and
decisionmaking, and updated strategic
goals, objectives, and management
actions informed by internal evaluation
and responses and comments received
from stakeholders. The updated plan
retains the four principal goals of the
2008 plan, which are to ‘‘(1) maintain a
viable Michigan wolf population above
a level that would warrant its
classification as threatened or
endangered (more than 200 wolves); (2)
facilitate wolf-related benefits; (3)
minimize wolf-related conflicts; and (4)
conduct science-based wolf
management with socially acceptable
methods’’ (MI DNR 2015, p. 16). The
Michigan Plan details wolf-management
actions, including public education and
outreach activities, annual wolf
population and health monitoring,
research, depredation control, ensuring
adequate legal protection for wolves,
and prey and habitat management. It
does not address the potential need for
wolf recovery or management in the
Lower Peninsula, nor wolf management
within Isle Royale National Park (where
the wolf population is fully protected by
the National Park Service).
As with the Wisconsin Plan, the
Michigan Department of Natural
Resources has chosen to manage the
State’s wolves as though they are an
isolated population that receives no
genetic or demographic benefits from
immigrating wolves, even though their
population will continue to be
connected with populations in
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Canada. The
Michigan wolf population must exceed
200 wolves in order to achieve the
Plan’s first goal of maintaining a viable
wolf population in the Upper Peninsula.
This number is consistent with the
Federal Recovery Plan for the Eastern
Timber Wolf’s definition of a viable,
isolated wolf population (USFWS 1992,
p. 25). The Michigan Plan, however,
clearly states that 200 wolves is not the
target population size, and that a larger
population may be necessary to meet
the other goals of the Plan. Therefore,
the State would maintain a wolf
population that would ‘‘provide all of
the ecological and social benefits valued
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by the public’’ while ‘‘minimizing and
resolving conflicts where they occur’’
(MI DNR 2015, p. 17). We strongly
support this approach, as it provides
assurance that a viable wolf population
would remain in the Upper Peninsula
regardless of the future fate of wolves in
Wisconsin or Ontario.
The Michigan Plan identifies wolf
population monitoring as a priority
activity, and specifically states that the
Michigan Department of Natural
Resources would monitor wolf
abundance twice a year for at least 5
years post-delisting (MI DNR 2015, p.
26). This includes monitoring to assess
wolf presence in the northern Lower
Peninsula. From 1989 through 2006, the
MI DNR attempted to count wolves
throughout the entire Upper Peninsula.
As the wolf population increased, this
method became more difficult. In the
winter of 2006–07, the MI DNR
implemented a new sampling approach
based on an analysis by Potvin et al.
(2005, p. 1668) to increase the efficiency
of the State survey. The new approach
is based on a geographically based
stratified random sample and produces
an unbiased, regional estimate of wolf
abundance. The Upper Peninsula was
stratified into three sampling areas, and
within each stratum the DNR
intensively surveys roughly 40 to 50
percent of the wolf habitat area
annually. Computer simulations have
shown that such a geographically
stratified monitoring program would
produce unbiased and precise estimates
of the total wolf population, which can
be statistically compared to estimates
derived from the previous method to
detect significant changes in the Upper
Peninsula wolf population (Beyer in litt.
2006, see attachment by Drummer;
Lederle in litt. 2006; Roell et al. 2009,
p. 3).
Another component of wolf
population monitoring is monitoring
wolf health. The MI DNR would
continue to monitor the impact of
parasites and disease on the viability of
wolf populations in the State through
necropsies of dead wolves and
analyzing biological samples from
captured live wolves. Prior to 2004, MI
DNR vaccinated all captured wolves for
canine distemper and parvovirus and
treated them for mange. These
inoculations were discontinued to
provide more natural biotic conditions
and to provide biologists with an
unbiased estimate of disease-caused
mortality rates in the population (Roell
in litt. 2005). Since diseases and
parasites are not currently a significant
threat to the Michigan wolf population,
the MI DNR is continuing the practice
of not actively managing disease. If
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monitoring indicates that diseases or
parasites may pose a threat to the wolf
population, the MI DNR would again
consider more active management
similar to that conducted prior to 2004
(MI DNR 2015, p. 35).
The Michigan Plan includes
maintaining habitat and prey necessary
to sustain a viable wolf population in
the State as a management component.
This includes maintaining prey
populations required for a viable wolf
population while providing for
sustainable human uses, maintaining
habitat linkages to allow for wolf
dispersal, and minimizing disturbance
at known, active wolf dens (MI DNR
2015, pp. 32–34).
To minimize illegal take, the
Michigan Plan calls for enacting and
enforcing regulations to ensure adequate
legal protection for wolves in the State.
Under State regulations, wolves could
be classified as a threatened,
endangered, game, or protected animal,
all of which prohibit killing (or
harming) the species except under a
permit, license, or specific conditions.
Michigan removed gray wolves from the
State’s threatened and endangered
species list in 2009 and classified the
species as a game animal in 2015. Gameanimal status allows but does not
require the establishment of a regulated
harvest season. The Michigan Plan
states that regulations would be
reviewed, modified, or enacted as
necessary to provide the wolf
population with appropriate levels of
protection with the following possible
actions: (1) Reclassify wolves as
endangered or threatened under State
regulations if population size declines
to 200 or fewer wolves; (2) review,
modify, recommend, and/or enact
regulations, as necessary, to ensure
appropriate levels of protection for the
wolf population; and (3) if necessary to
avoid a lapse in legal protection, amend
the Wildlife Conservation Order to
designate wolves as a protected animal
(MI DNR 2015, p. 28).
The Michigan Plan emphasizes the
need for public information and
education efforts that focus on living
with a recovered wolf population and
ways to manage wolves and wolf–
human interaction (both positive and
negative) (MI DNR 2015, pp. 22–25).
The Plan also recommends continuing
important research efforts, continuing
reimbursement for depredation losses,
minimizing the impacts of captive
wolves and wolf-dog hybrids on the
wild wolf population, and citizen
stakeholder involvement in the wolfmanagement program (MI DNR 2015,
pp. 27, 52–53, 55–56, 60).
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The Michigan Plan calls for
establishing a wolf-management
stakeholder group that would meet
annually to monitor the progress made
toward implementing the Plan.
Furthermore, the Plan will be reviewed
and updated at 5-year intervals to
address ‘‘ecological, social, and
regulatory’’ changes (MI DNR 2015, pp.
60–61). The plan also addresses
currently available and potential new
sources of funding to offset costs
associated with wolf management (MI
DNR 2015, pp. 61–62). The MI DNR has
long been an innovative leader in wolfrecovery efforts, exemplified by its
initiation of the nation’s first attempt to
reintroduce wild wolves to vacant
historical wolf habitat in 1974 (Weise et
al. 1975). The MI DNR’s history of
leadership in wolf recovery and its
repeated written commitments to ensure
the continued viability of a Michigan
wolf population above a level that
would trigger State or Federal listing as
threatened or endangered further
reinforces that the 2015 Michigan Wolf
Management Plan would provide
adequate regulatory mechanisms for
Michigan wolves. The DNR’s primary
goal remains to conduct management to
maintain the wolf population in
Michigan above the minimum size that
is biologically required for a viable,
isolated population and to provide for
ecological and social benefits valued by
the public while resolving conflicts
where they occur (MI DNR 2015, p. 16).
Depredation Control in Michigan—
Data from Michigan show a general
increase in confirmed events of wolf
depredations on livestock over the past
two decades, with an average of 3.4
animals killed annually from 1998
through 2002, an average of 10.6
annually in 2003–2007; an average of
38.2 annually from 2008–2012; and an
average of 19.2 annually in 2013–2017.
Over 80 percent of the depredation
events were on cattle, with the rest on
sheep, poultry, rabbits, goats, horses,
swine, and captive deer (Roell et al.
2009, pp. 9, 11; Beyer in litt. 2018).
Michigan has not experienced as high
a level of attacks on dogs by wolves as
Wisconsin, although a slight increase in
such attacks has occurred over the last
decade. Yearly losses vary, and actions
of a single pack of wolves can be an
important influence. In Michigan, there
is not a strong relationship between
wolf depredation on dogs and wolf
abundance (Roell et al. 2010, p. 7). The
number of dogs killed in the State
during the 15 years from 1996 to 2010
totaled 34; that number increased to 70
during the 7-year period from 2011
through 2017 (Beyer in litt. 2018). The
majority of the wolf-related dog deaths
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involved hounds used to hunt bears.
Similar to Wisconsin, MI DNR has
guidelines for its depredation-control
program, stating that lethal control
would not be used when wolves kill
dogs that are free roaming, hunting, or
training on public lands. Lethal control
of wolves, however, would be
considered if wolves have killed
confined pets and remain in the area
where more pets are being held (MI
DNR 2005a, p. 6). However, in 2008, the
Michigan Legislature passed a law that
would allow dog owners or their
designated agents to remove, capture,
or, if deemed necessary, use lethal
means to destroy a gray wolf that is in
the act of preying upon the owner’s dog,
which includes dogs free roaming or
hunting on public lands.
During the several years that lethal
control of depredating wolves had been
conducted in Michigan, there was no
evidence of resulting adverse impacts to
the maintenance of a viable wolf
population in the Upper Peninsula. MI
DNR and USDA–Wildlife Services
killed 50 wolves in response to
depredation events during the time
period when permits or special rules
were in effect or while wolves were not
on the Federal lists of endangered and
threatened species (Roell et al. 2010, p.
8). In 2008, Michigan passed two House
bills that would become effective after
Federal delisting. Those bills authorized
a livestock or dog owner (or a
designated agent) to ‘‘remove, capture,
or use lethal means to destroy a wolf
that is in the act of preying upon’’ the
owner’s livestock or dog. During the 2
months that wolves were federally and
State delisted in 2009, no wolves were
killed under these authorizations; 32
wolves were killed under these
authorities from 2012 through 2014
(Beyer in litt. 2018). The numbers of
wolves killed each year for depredation
control are as follows: 4 (2003), 5 (2004),
2 (2005), 7 (2006), 14 (2007), 8 (2008),
1 (during 2 months in 2009), 18 (2012),
10 (2013), and 13 (2014) (Beyer et al.
2006, p. 88; Roell in litt. 2006, p. 1;
Roell et al. 2010, p. 19; Beyer in litt.
2018). This represents 0.2 percent
(2009) to 2.7 percent (2007) of the Upper
Peninsula’s late-winter population of
wolves during the previous winter.
During the years where depredation
control took place absent a regulated
public harvest, the wolf population
increased from 2 percent (2007–2008) to
17 percent (2006–2007) despite the level
of depredation control, demonstrating
that the wolf population continues to
increase at a healthy rate (Huntzinger et
al. 2005, p. 6; MI DNR 2006, Roell et al.
2009, p. 4).
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Post-delisting Depredation Control in
Michigan—Following Federal delisting,
wolf depredation control in Michigan
would be carried out according to the
2015 Michigan Wolf Recovery and
Management Plan (MI DNR 2015) and
any Tribal wolf-management plans that
may be developed in the future for
reservations in occupied wolf range.
To provide depredation-control
guidance when lethal control is an
option, Michigan Department of Natural
Resources has developed detailed
instructions for incident investigation
and response (MI DNR 2005a).
Verification of wolf depredation
incidents will be conducted by MI DNR
or USDA–APHIS–Wildlife Services
personnel (working under a cooperative
agreement with MI DNR or at the
request of a Tribe, depending on the
location) who have been trained in
depredation investigation techniques.
The MI DNR specifies that the
verification process would use the
investigative techniques that have been
developed and successfully used in
Minnesota by Wildlife Services (MI
DNR 2005a, append. B, pp. 9–10).
Following verification, one or more of
several options would be implemented
to address the depredation problem.
Technical assistance, consisting of
advice or recommendations to reduce
wolf conflicts, would be provided.
Technical assistance may also include
providing to the landowner various
forms of noninjurious behavior
modification materials, such as flashing
lights, noise makers, temporary fencing,
and fladry.
Trapping and translocating
depredating wolves has been used in the
past, resulting in the translocation of 23
Upper Peninsula wolves during 1998–
2003 (Beyer et al. 2006, p. 88), but as
with Wisconsin, suitable relocation sites
are becoming rarer, and there is local
opposition to the release of translocated
depredators. Furthermore, none of the
past translocated depredators have
remained near their release sites,
making this a questionable method to
end the depredation behaviors of these
wolves (MI DNR 2005a, pp. 3–4).
Therefore, reducing depredation
problems by relocation is no longer
recommended as a management tool in
Michigan (MI DNR 2008, p. 57).
Lethal control of depredating wolves
is likely to be the most common future
response in situations when improved
livestock husbandry and wolf-behaviormodification techniques (for example,
flashing lights, noise-making devices)
are judged to be inadequate. As wolf
numbers continue to increase on the
Upper Peninsula, the number of verified
depredations will also increase, and will
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probably do so at a rate that exceeds the
rate of wolf population increase. This
will occur as wolves increasingly
disperse into and occupy areas of the
Upper Peninsula with more livestock
and more human residences, leading to
additional exposure to domestic
animals. In a previous application for a
lethal take permit under section
10(a)(1)(A) of the Act, MI DNR received
authority to euthanize up to 10 percent
of the late-winter wolf population
annually (MI DNR 2005b, p. 1).
However, based on 2003–05 and 2007–
09 depredation data, it is likely that
significantly less than 10 percent lethal
control would be needed over the next
several years.
The Michigan Plan provides
recommendations to guide management
of various conflicts caused by wolf
recovery, including depredation on
livestock and pets, human safety, and
public concerns regarding wolf impacts
on other wildlife. We view the Michigan
Plan’s depredation and conflict control
strategies to be conservative, in that they
commit to nonlethal depredation
management whenever possible, oppose
preventative wolf removal where
problems have not yet occurred,
encourage incentives for best
management practices that decrease
wolf–livestock conflicts without
affecting wolves, and support closely
monitored and enforced take by
landowners of wolves ‘‘in the act of
livestock depredation’’ or under limited
permits if depredation is confirmed and
nonlethal methods are determined to be
ineffective. Based on these components
of the revised Michigan Plan and the
stated goal for maintaining wolf
populations at or above recovery goals,
the Service concludes that any wolfmanagement changes implemented
following delisting would not be
implemented in a manner that results in
significant reductions in Michigan wolf
populations. The MI DNR remains
committed to ensuring a viable wolf
population above a level that would
trigger re-listing as either threatened or
endangered in the future (MI DNR 2015,
p. 8).
Similar to Wisconsin, Michigan
livestock owners are compensated when
they lose livestock as a result of a
confirmed wolf depredation. Currently
there are two complementary
compensation programs in Michigan,
one funded by the MI DNR and
implemented by Michigan Department
of Agriculture (MI DA) and another set
up through donations (from Defenders
of Wildlife and private citizens) and
administered by the International Wolf
Center (IWC), a nonprofit organization.
From the inception of the program to
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2000, MI DA has paid 90 percent of full
market value of depredated livestock at
the time of loss. The IWC account was
used to pay the remaining 10 percent
from 2000 to 2002 when MI DA began
paying 100 percent of the full market
value of depredated livestock. The IWC
account continues to be used to pay the
difference between value at time of loss
and the full fall market value for
depredated young-of-the-year livestock,
and together the two funds have
provided nearly $183,000 in livestockloss compensation through 2017 (Roell
et al. 2010, p. 15; Beyer in litt. 2018).
Neither of these programs provides
compensation for pets or for veterinary
costs to treat wolf-inflicted livestock
injuries. The MI DNR plans to continue
cooperating with MI DA and other
organizations to maintain the wolfdepredation-compensation program (MI
DNR 2008, pp. 59–60).
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in
Michigan—Although the Michigan Plan
itself does not determine whether a
public harvest would be used as a
management strategy, it does discuss
developing ‘‘socially and biologically
responsible management
recommendations regarding public
harvest of wolves’’ (MI DNR 2015, p.
56). The Michigan Plan discusses
developing recommendations regarding
public harvest for two separate
purposes: To reduce wolf-related
conflicts and for reasons other than
managing wolf-related conflicts (e.g.,
recreational and utilitarian purposes).
With regard to implementing a public
harvest for recreational or utilitarian
purposes, the Michigan Plan identifies
the need to gather and evaluate
biological and social information,
including the biological effects and the
public acceptability of a general wolf
harvest (MI DNR 2015, p. 60). A public
harvest during a regulated season
requires that wolves be classified as
game animals in Michigan (they were
classified as such in 2015). With wolves
classified as game animals, the
Michigan Natural Resource Commission
(NRC) has the exclusive authority to
enact regulations pertaining to the
methods and manner of public harvest.
Although the decisions regarding
establishment of a harvest season would
be made by the NRC, the MI DNR would
be called upon to make
recommendations regarding socially and
biologically responsible public harvest
of wolves. Michigan held a regulated
public hunting season in 2014 that took
into consideration the recommendations
of the MI DNR. Based on those
recommendations, the Michigan NRC
established quotas for that season based
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on zones in the Upper Peninsula, with
a quota of 16 wolves in the far western
part of the peninsula, 19 in 4 central
counties, and 8 in the eastern part of the
peninsula. Twenty-two wolves were
taken during that 2014 season.
Post-Delisting Management in the West
Coast States
Wolves are classified as endangered
under the Washington State Endangered
Species Act (WAC 220–610–010).
Unlawful taking (when a person hunts,
fishes, possesses, maliciously harasses
or kills endangered fish or wildlife, and
the taking has not been authorized by
rule of the commission) of endangered
fish or wildlife is prohibited in
Washington (RCW 77.15.120). Wolves in
California are similarly classified as
endangered under the California
Endangered Species Act (CESA;
California Fish and Game Commission
2014, entire). Under CESA, take
(defined as hunt, pursue, catch, capture,
kill, or attempts to hunt, pursue, catch,
capture, or kill) of listed wildlife species
is prohibited (California Fish and Game
Codes § 86 and § 2080). Wolves in
Oregon have achieved recovery
objectives and were delisted from the
State Endangered Species Act in 2015.
Wolves in Oregon remain protected by
the State Plan and its associated rules,
and Oregon’s wildlife policy. The
wildlife policy states ‘‘that wildlife shall
be managed to prevent the serious
depletion of any indigenous species’’
and includes seven coequal
management goals (ORS 496.012)
(ODFW 2017, p. 6). Although it remains
a possibility for the future, there are no
current plans to initiate a hunting
season, and regulatory mechanisms
remain in place through the State plan
and Oregon statute to ensure a
sustainable wolf population.
Oregon, Washington, and California
also have adopted wolf-management
plans intended to provide for the
conservation and reestablishment of
wolves in these States (ODFW 2010,
entire; Wiles et al. 2011, entire; CDFW
2016a, entire; 2016b, entire). These
plans include population objectives,
education and public outreach goals,
damage-management strategies, and
monitoring and research plans. Wolves
will remain on State endangered species
lists in Washington and California until
recovery objectives have been reached.
Once recovery objectives have been
achieved, the process for delisting
wolves at the State level will be
initiated. Once removed, the States have
the authority to consider using regulated
harvest to manage wolf populations. All
three State plans also recognize that
management of livestock conflicts is a
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necessary component of wolf
management (ODFW 2010, p. 40; Wiles
et al. 2011, p. 72; CDFW 2016a, p. 4).
Control options are currently limited to
preventative and nonlethal methods
within the federally listed portions of
Oregon, Washington, and California. If
Federal delisting occurs, guidelines
outlined in each State’s plan define
conditions under which depredating
wolves can be lethally removed by
agency officials (CDFW 2016b, pp. 278–
285; ODFW 2010, pp. 43–54; Wiles et al.
2011, pp. 72–94).
The Oregon Wolf Management Plan—
The Oregon Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan was developed prior
to wolves becoming established in
Oregon. The plan, first finalized in
2005, contains provisions that require it
to be updated every 5 years. The first
revision occurred in 2010, and a
subsequent revision is presently under
review. The Oregon Fish and Wildlife
Commission provided a set of guiding
principles to a newly formed Wolf
Advisory Committee, which was
directed to work on plan development.
The guiding principles included writing
a plan based on the conservation of
wolves, incorporating public concerns
and comments, not allowing
reintroduction of wolves into Oregon,
providing flexibility for management
while conserving wolves, seeking
assistance for livestock producers for
wolf depredation, and assessing of
impacts to prey populations. Key
stakeholder groups are invited to
participate in reviews of revisions to the
plan. Stakeholders include local
government, Tribes, non-governmental
organizations, State agencies and
organizations, and Federal agencies.
The Oregon plan includes two
management zones that roughly divide
the State into western and eastern
halves. This division line is further to
the west of the line that delineates the
listed and non-listed portions of Oregon.
Each zone has a separate population
objective of seven breeding pairs
(ODFW 2017, p. 16). Within each zone,
management phases (Phase I, Phase II,
and Phase III) are used to assess
population objectives, which in turn
influence conservation and management
objectives.
Phase I includes a conservation
population objective of obtaining four
breeding pairs for 3 consecutive years;
upon reaching this objective, delisting
of wolves statewide may be initiated.
The ODFW defines a breeding pair as a
pack of wolves with an adult male, an
adult female, and at least two pups
surviving to the end of December
(ODFW 2010, p. 17). This population
objective was met in 2014 in the eastern
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management zone, and wolves were
State delisted in Oregon in 2015.
Wolves in the eastern management zone
were then managed under Phase II
(ODFW 2016, p. 2). Wolves in the
western management zone have yet to
reach this conservation objective.
Despite State delisting, wolves in the
western management zone (currently in
Phase I) are still managed with a level
of protection mimicking that of Oregon
ESA protections for wolves.
Phase II management actions work
towards a management population
objective of seven breeding pairs in the
eastern management zone for 3
consecutive years. During this phase
populations are managed to prevent
declines that could result in re-listing
under the Oregon ESA. This Phase II
management population objective was
met in 2016, which resulted in the
transition of management to Phase III for
the eastern management zone (ODFW
2017, p. 2).
Phase III acts to set a balance such
that populations do not decline below
Phase II objectives, but also do not reach
unmanageable levels resulting in
conflicts with other land uses. Phase III
is a maintenance phase. While the 2010
plan does not include a minimum or
maximum population level for wolves
in Oregon, the plan leaves room for
development of population thresholds
in future planning efforts (ODFW 2010,
p. 28). Similarly, legal harvest of wolves
is not included in Phase III of the 2010
plan; however, Phase III does provide
more management flexibility in the case
of depredating wolves (ODFW 2010, p.
45). Currently, hunting of wolves is not
permitted in Oregon.
The Washington Wolf Management
Plan—The 2011 Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan for Washington was
developed in response to the State
endangered status for the species, the
expectation that the wolf population in
Washington would be increasing
through natural dispersal of wolves
from adjacent populations, and the
eventual return of wolf management to
the State after Federal delisting. The
purpose of the plan is to facilitate
reestablishment of a self-sustaining
population of gray wolves in
Washington and to encourage social
tolerance for the species by addressing
and reducing conflicts. An advisory
Wolf Working Group was appointed at
the outset to give recommendations on
the plan. In addition, the plan
underwent extensive peer and public
review prior to finalization.
The Washington Plan provides
recovery goals for downlisting and
delisting the species under Washington
State law, and identifies strategies to
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achieve recovery and manage conflicts
with livestock and ungulates. Recovery
objectives are defined as numbers of
successful breeding pairs that are
maintained on the landscape for 3
consecutive years, with a set geographic
distribution within 3 specified recovery
regions: The Eastern Washington,
Northern Cascades, and Southern
Cascades and Northwest Coast (Wiles et
al. 2011, p. 60 figure 9). A successful
breeding pair of wolves is defined in the
Washington Plan as an adult male and
an adult female with at least two pups
surviving to December 31 in a given
year (Wiles et al. 2011, p. 58). Specific
target numbers and distribution for
downlisting and delisting within the
three recovery regions identified in the
Washington Plan are as follows:
• To reclassify from State endangered
to State threatened status: 6 successful
breeding pairs present for 3 consecutive
years, with 2 successful breeding pairs
in each of the three recovery regions.
• To reclassify from State threatened
to State sensitive status: 12 successful
breeding pairs present for 3 consecutive
years, with 4 successful breeding pairs
in each of the three recovery regions.
• To delist from State sensitive status:
15 successful breeding pairs present for
3 consecutive years, with 4 successful
breeding pairs in each of the three
recovery regions and 3 successful
breeding pairs anywhere in the State.
In addition to the delisting objective
of 15 successful breeding pairs
distributed in the three geographic
regions for 3 consecutive years, an
alternative delisting objective is also
established whereby the gray wolf will
be considered for delisting when 18
successful breeding pairs are present,
with 4 successful breeding pairs in the
Eastern Washington region, 4 successful
breeding pairs in the Northern Cascades
region, 4 successful breeding pairs
distributed in the Southern Cascades
and Northwest Coast region, and 6
anywhere in the State.
After State delisting, wolves could be
reclassified as a game animal through
the Washington Fish and Wildlife
Commission’s public process. WDFW
intends to develop a new plan for
managing wolves following Federal and
State delisting. Any proposals to hunt
wolves would go through a public
process with the Fish and Wildlife
Commission (Wiles et al. 2011, pp. 70–
71).
The California Wolf Management
Plan—The 2016 Conservation Plan for
Gray Wolves in California was
developed in anticipation of the return
of wolves to California. The CDFW
worked with stakeholder groups in 2014
and 2015 during plan development.
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Stakeholders included local
government, non-governmental
organizations, State agencies and
organizations, and Federal agencies.
During the planning process, CDFW and
the stakeholders identified sideboards
and plan goals to direct development of
the State plan. These sideboards and
goals included direction to develop
alternatives for wolf management, no
reintroduction of wolves into California,
historical distribution and abundance
are not achievable, conserve biologically
sustainable populations, manage native
ungulates for wolf and human uses,
management to minimize livestock
depredations, and public outreach.
The California Plan recognizes that
wolf activity in the State will increase
with time, and that the plan needs to be
flexible to account for information that
is gained during the expansion of
wolves into the State. Similar to plans
for other States, the California Plan uses
a three-phase strategy for wolf
conservation and management.
Phase I is a conservation-based
strategy to account for the
reestablishment of wolves under both
State and Federal Endangered Species
Acts. Phase I will end when there are
four breeding pairs for 2 consecutive
years in California. The CDFW defines
a breeding pair as at least one adult
male, one adult female, and at least two
pups that survive to the end of
December (CDFW 2016a, p. 21).
California is currently in Phase I of the
plan, with the Lassen Pack as the only
breeding pair present for 2 consecutive
years.
Phase II is expected to represent a
point at which California’s wolf
population is growing more through
reproduction of resident wolves than by
dispersal of wolves from other States.
This phase will conclude when there
are eight breeding pairs for 2
consecutive years. During Phase II,
CDFW anticipates gaining additional
information and experience with wolves
in the State, which will help inform
future revisions to the State plan.
During Phase II, flexibility for managing
wolves for depredation response or
predation on wild ungulates may be
initiated.
Phase III is less specific due to the
information available to CDFW at the
time of plan development. This phase
moves toward longer term management
of wolves in California. Specific aspects
of Phase III are more likely to be
developed toward the middle of Phase
II when more information on wolf
distribution and abundance in the State
are available. Towards the end of Phase
II and the beginning of Phase III, a status
review of wolves in California may be
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initiated to determine if continued State
listing as endangered is warranted.
Currently, hunting of wolves is not
permitted in California.
Tribal Management and Conservation of
Wolves
Native American tribes and intertribal resource-management
organizations have indicated to the
Service that they will continue to
conserve wolves on most, and probably
all, Native American reservations in the
primary wolf areas of the Great Lakes
area. The wolf retains great cultural
significance and traditional value to
many Tribes and their members, and to
retain and strengthen cultural
connections, many tribes oppose
unnecessary killing of wolves on
reservations and on ceded lands, even
following any Federal delisting (Hunt in
litt. 1998; Schrage in litt. 1998a;
Schlender in litt. 1998). Some Native
Americans view wolves as competitors
for deer and moose, whereas others are
interested in harvesting wolves as
furbearers (Schrage in litt. 1998a). Many
tribes intend to sustainably manage
their natural resources, wolves among
them, to ensure that they are available
to their descendants. Traditional
natural-resource harvest practices,
however, often include only a minimum
amount of regulation by the Tribal
governments (Hunt in litt. 1998).
Although not all Tribes with wolves
that visit or reside on their reservations
have completed management plans
specific to the wolf, several Tribes have
informed us that they have no plans or
intentions to allow commercial or
recreational hunting or trapping of the
species on their lands after Federal
delisting. The Red Lake Band of
Chippewa Indians (Minnesota) and the
Little Traverse Bay Band of Odawa
Indians (Michigan) have developed wolf
monitoring and/or management plans.
The Service has also awarded a grant to
the Ho-Chunk Nation to identify wolf
habitat on reservation lands.
As a result of many past contacts
with, and previous written comments
from, the Midwestern Tribes and their
inter-tribal natural-resourcemanagement agencies—the Great Lakes
Indian Fish and Wildlife Commission
(GLIFWC), the 1854 Authority, and the
Chippewa Ottawa Treaty Authority—it
is clear that their predominant
sentiment is strong support for the
continued protection of wolves at a
level that ensures that viable wolf
populations remain on reservations and
throughout the treaty-ceded lands
surrounding the reservations. While
several Tribes stated that their members
may be interested in killing small
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numbers of wolves for spiritual or other
purposes, this would be carried out in
a manner that would not affect
reservation or ceded-territory wolf
populations.
The Red Lake Band of Chippewa
Indians (Minnesota) completed a wolfmanagement plan in 2010 (Red Lake
Band of Chippewa Indians 2010). A
primary goal of the management plan is
to maintain wolf numbers at a level that
will ensure the long-term survival of
wolves on Red Lake lands. Key
components of the plan are habitat
management, public education, and law
enforcement. To address human–wolf
interactions, the plan outlines how
wolves may be taken on Red Lake lands.
Wolves thought to be a threat to public
safety may be harassed at any time, and
if they must be killed, the incident must
be reported to tribal law enforcement.
Agricultural livestock are not common
on Red Lake lands, and wolf-related
depredation on livestock or pets is
unlikely to be a significant management
issue. If such events do occur, tribal
members may protect their livestock or
pets by lethal means, but ‘‘all reasonable
efforts should be made to deter wolves
using non-lethal means’’ (Red Lake
Band of Chippewa Indians 2010, p. 15).
Hunting or trapping of wolves on tribal
lands will be prohibited. The
Reservation currently has 7 or 8 packs
with an estimated 40–48 wolves within
its boundaries (Red Lake Band of
Chippewa Indians 2010, p. 12).
In 2009, the Little Traverse Bay Bands
of Odawa Indians (LTBB) finalized a
management plan for the 1855
Reservation and portions of the 1836
ceded territory in the northern Lower
Peninsula of Michigan (Little Traverse
Bay Bands of Odawa Indians Natural
Resource Department 2009). The plan
provides the framework for managing
wolves on the LTBB Reservation with
the goal of maintaining a viable wolf
presence on the LTBB Reservation or
within the northern Lower Peninsula
should a population become established
by (1) prescribing scientifically sound
biological strategies for wolf
management, research, and monitoring;
(2) addressing wolf-related conflicts; (3)
facilitating wolf-related benefits; and (4)
developing and implementing wolfrelated education and public
information.
The Tribal Council of the Leech Lake
Band of Minnesota Ojibwe (Council)
approved a resolution that describes the
sport and recreational harvest of wolves
as an inappropriate use of the animal.
That resolution supports limited harvest
of wolves to be used for traditional or
spiritual uses by enrolled Tribal
members if the harvest is done in a
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respectful manner and would not
negatively affect the wolf population.
Over the last several years, the Council
has been working to revise the
Reservation Conservation Code to allow
Tribal members to harvest some wolves
after Federal delisting (Googgleye, Jr. in
litt. 2004; Johnson in litt. 2011). Until
this revision occurs, it is unknown
whether harvest would be allowed and
how a harvest might be implemented.
The Tribe is currently developing a
wolf-management plan (Mortensen
2011, pers. comm.). In 2005, the Leech
Lake Reservation was home to an
estimated 75 wolves, the largest
population of wolves on a Native
American reservation in the 48
conterminous States (Mortensen 2006,
pers. comm.; White in litt. 2003).
Although no recent surveys have been
conducted, the number of wolves on the
reservation likely remains about the
same (Mortensen 2009, pers. comm.;
Johnson in litt. 2011).
The Fond du Lac Band (Minnesota)
believes that the ‘‘well-being of the wolf
is intimately connected to the wellbeing of the Chippewa People’’ (Schrage
in litt. 2003). In 1998, the Band passed
a resolution opposing Federal delisting
and any other measure that would
permit trapping, hunting, or poisoning
of the wolf (Schrage in litt. 1998b; in litt.
2003; 2009, pers. comm.). If the
prohibition of trapping, hunting, or
poisoning is rescinded, the Band’s
Resource Management Division would
coordinate with State and Federal
agencies to ensure that any wolf hunting
or trapping would be ‘‘conducted in a
biologically sustainable manner’’
(Schrage in litt. 2003).
The Red Cliff Band (Wisconsin) has
strongly opposed State and Federal
delisting of the gray wolf. Current Tribal
law protects wolves from harvest,
although harvest for ceremonial
purposes would likely be permitted
after Federal delisting (Symbal in litt.
2003).
The Menominee Indian Tribe of
Wisconsin is committed to establishing
a self-sustaining wolf population,
continuing restoration efforts, ensuring
the long-term survival of the wolf in
Menominee, placing emphasis on the
cultural significance of the wolf as a
clan member, and resolving conflicts
between wolves and humans. The Tribe
has shown a great deal of interest in
wolf recovery and protection. In 2002,
the Tribe offered their Reservation lands
as a site for translocating seven
depredating wolves that had been
trapped by WI DNR and Wildlife
Services. Tribal natural resources staff
participated in the soft release of the
wolves on the Reservation and helped
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with the subsequent radio-tracking of
the wolves. Although by early 2005 the
last of these wolves died on the
reservation, the tribal conservation
department continued to monitor
another pair that had moved onto the
Reservation, as well as other wolves
near the reservation (Wydeven in litt.
2006). When the female of that pair was
killed in 2006, Reservation biologists
and staff worked diligently to raise the
orphaned pups in captivity with the WI
DNR and the Wildlife Science Center
(Forest Lake, Minnesota) in the hope
that they could later be released to the
care of the adult male. However, the
adult male died prior to pup release,
and they were moved back to the
Wildlife Science Center (Pioneer Press
2006). The Menominee Tribe continues
to support wolf conservation and
monitoring activity in Wisconsin.
The Keweenaw Bay Indian
Community (Michigan) would continue
to list the wolf as a protected animal
under the Tribal Code following any
Federal delisting, with hunting and
trapping prohibited (Mike Donofrio
1998, pers. comm.). Furthermore, the
Keweenaw Bay Community developed a
management plan in 2013 that
‘‘provides a course of action that will
ensure the long-term survival of a selfsustaining, wild gray wolf (Canis lupus)
population in the 1842 ceded territory
in the western Upper Peninsula of
Michigan’’ (KBIC Tribal Council 2013,
p. 1). At least four other Tribes (Stockbridge Munsee Community, Lac Courte
Oreilles Band of Ojibwe, the Mille Lacs
Band of Ojibwe, and Grand Portage
Band of Lake Superior Chippewa) have
indicated plans to develop Tribal wolfmanagement plans.
Several Midwestern Tribes (for
example, the Bad River Band of Lake
Superior Chippewa Indians and the
LTBB) have expressed concern that
Federal delisting would result in
increased mortality of wolves on
reservation lands, in the areas
immediately surrounding the
reservations, and in lands ceded by
treaty to the Federal Government by the
Tribes (Kiogama and Chingwa in litt.
2000). In 2006, a cooperative effort
among tribal natural resource
departments of several tribes in
Wisconsin, WI DNR, the Service, and
USDA Wildlife Services led to a wolfmanagement agreement for lands
adjacent to several reservations in
Wisconsin. The goal is to reduce the
threats to reservation wolf packs when
they are temporarily off the reservation.
Other Tribes have expressed interest in
such an agreement. This agreement, and
additional agreements if they are
implemented, provides supplementary
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protection to certain wolf packs in the
western Great Lakes area.
The GLIFWC has stated its intent to
work closely with the States to
cooperatively manage wolves in the
ceded territories in the core areas, and
will not develop a separate wolfmanagement plan (Schlender in litt.
1998). Furthermore, the Voigt Intertribal
Task Force of GLIFWC has expressed its
support for strong protections for the
wolf, stating ‘‘[delisting] hinges on
whether wolves are sufficiently restored
and will be sufficiently protected to
ensure a healthy and abundant future
for our brother and ourselves’’
(Schlender in litt. 2004).
According to the 1854 Authority,
‘‘attitudes toward wolf management in
the 1854 Ceded Territory run the gamut
from a desire to see total protection to
unlimited harvest opportunity.’’
However, the 1854 Authority would not
‘‘implement a harvest system that would
have any long-term negative impacts to
wolf populations’’ (Edwards in litt.
2003). In comments submitted for our
2004 delisting proposal for a larger
Eastern DPS of the gray wolf, the 1854
Authority stated that the Authority is
‘‘confident that under the control of
State and tribal management, wolves
will continue to exist at a self-sustaining
level in the 1854 Ceded Territory.
Sustainable populations of wolves, their
prey and other resources within the
1854 Ceded Territory are goals to which
the 1854 Authority remains committed.
As such, we intend to work with the
State of Minnesota and other tribes to
ensure successful state and tribal
management of healthy wolf
populations in the 1854 Ceded
Territory’’ (Myers in litt. 2004).
While there are few written Tribal
protections currently in place for
wolves, the highly protective and
reverential attitudes that have been
expressed by Tribal authorities and
members have assured us that any postdelisting harvest of reservation wolves
would be very limited and would not
adversely affect the delisted wolf
populations. Furthermore, any offreservation harvest of wolves by tribal
members in the ceded territories would
be limited to a portion of the harvestable
surplus at some future time. Such a
harvestable surplus would be
determined and monitored jointly by
State and tribal biologists, and would be
conducted in coordination with the
Service and the Bureau of Indian Affairs
(BIA), as is being successfully done for
the ceded territory harvest of inland and
Great Lakes fish, deer, bear, moose, and
furbearers in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
Michigan. Therefore, we conclude that
any future Native American take of
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delisted wolves will not significantly
affect the viability of the wolf
population, either locally or across the
Great Lakes area.
The Service and the Department of
the Interior recognize the unique status
of the federally recognized tribes, their
right to self-governance, and their
inherent sovereign powers over their
members and territory. Therefore, the
Department, the Service, the BIA, and
other Federal agencies, as appropriate,
will take the needed steps to ensure that
tribal authority and sovereignty within
reservation boundaries are respected as
the States implement their wolfmanagement plans and revise those
plans in the future.
Furthermore, there may be tribal
activities or interests associated with
wolves encompassed within the tribes’
retained rights to hunt, fish, and gather
in treaty-ceded territories. The
Department is available to assist in the
exercise of any such rights. If biological
assistance is needed, the Service may
provide it via our field offices. Upon
delisting, the Service would remain
involved in the post-delisting
monitoring of the wolves in the Great
Lakes area, but all Service management
and protection authority under the Act
would end. Legal assistance would be
provided to the tribes by the Department
of the Interior, and the BIA would be
involved, when needed. We strongly
encourage the States and Tribes to work
cooperatively toward post-delisting wolf
management if wolves are delisted.
Consistent with our responsibilities to
tribes and our goal to have the most
comprehensive data available for our
post-delisting monitoring, we would
annually contact tribes and their
designated intertribal natural resource
agencies during the 5-year post-delisting
monitoring period to obtain any
information they wish to share
regarding wolf populations, the health
of those populations, or changes in their
management and protection.
Reservations that may have significant
wolf data to provide during the postdelisting period include Bois Forte, Bad
River, Fond du Lac, Grand Portage,
Keweenaw Bay Indian Community, Lac
Courte Oreilles, Lac du Flambeau, Leech
Lake, Menominee, Oneida, Red Lake,
Stockbridge-Munsee Community, and
White Earth. Throughout the 5-year
post-delisting monitoring period, the
Service would annually contact the
natural resource agencies of each of
these reservations and that of the 1854
Treaty Authority and Great Lakes Indian
Fish and Wildlife Commission.
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Management on Federal Lands
Great Lakes Area
The five national forests with resident
wolves (Superior, Chippewa,
Chequamegon-Nicolet, Hiawatha, and
Ottawa National Forests) in Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan are all
operating in conformance with
standards and guidelines in their
management plans that follow the 1992
Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber
Wolf’s recommendations for the eastern
timber wolf (USDA Forest Service (FS)
2004a, chapter 2, p. 31; USDA FS 2004b,
chapter 2, p. 28; USDA FS 2004c,
chapter 2, p. 19; USDA FS 2006a,
chapter 2, p. 17; USDA FS 2006b,
chapter 2, pp. 28–29). Delisting is not
expected to lead to an immediate
change in these standards and
guidelines; in fact, the Regional Forester
for U.S. Forest Service Region 9 expects
to maintain the classification of the wolf
as a Regional Forester Sensitive Species
for at least 5 years after Federal delisting
(Moore in litt. 2003; Eklund in litt.
2011). The Regional Forester has the
authority to recommend classification or
declassification of species as Sensitive
Species. Under these standards and
guidelines, a relatively high prey base
will be maintained, and road densities
will be limited to current levels or
decreased. For example, on the
Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest
in Wisconsin, the standards and
guidelines specifically include the
protection of den sites and key
rendezvous sites, and management of
road densities in existing and potential
wolf habitat (USDA 2004c, chap. 2, p.
19).
The trapping of depredating wolves
would likely be allowed on national
forest lands under the guidelines and
conditions specified in the respective
State wolf-management plans. However,
there are relatively few livestock raised
within the boundaries of national forests
in the upper Midwest, so wolf
depredation and lethal control of wolves
is neither likely to be a frequent
occurrence, nor constitute a significant
mortality factor, for the wolves in the
Great Lakes area. Similarly, in keeping
with the practice for other Statemanaged game species, any public
hunting or trapping season for wolves
that might be opened in the future by
the States would likely include hunting
and trapping within the national forests
(Lindquist in litt. 2005; Williamson in
litt. 2005; Piehler in litt. 2005; Evans in
litt. 2005). The continuation of current
national forest management practices
will be important in ensuring the longterm viability of wolf populations in
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
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Wolves regularly use four units of the
National Park System in the Great Lakes
area and may occasionally use three or
four other units. Although the National
Park Service (NPS) has participated in
the development of some of the State
wolf-management plans in this area,
NPS is not bound by States’ plans.
Instead, the NPS Organic Act and the
NPS Management Policy on Wildlife
generally require the agency to conserve
natural and cultural resources and the
wildlife present within the parks. NPS
management policies require that native
species be protected against harvest,
removal, destruction, harassment, or
harm through human action, although
certain parks may allow some harvest in
accordance with State management
plans. Management emphasis in
National Parks after delisting would
continue to minimize the human
impacts on wolf populations. Thus,
because of their responsibility to
preserve all native wildlife, units of the
National Park System are often the most
protective of wildlife. In the case of the
wolf, the NPS Organic Act and NPS
policies would continue to provide
protection following Federal delisting.
Management and protection of wolves
in Voyageurs National Park, along
Minnesota’s northern border is not
likely to change after delisting. The
park’s management policies require that
‘‘native animals will be protected
against harvest, removal, destruction,
harassment, or harm through human
action.’’ No population targets for
wolves will be established for the
National Park (Holbeck in litt. 2005). To
reduce human disturbance, temporary
closures around wolf denning and
rendezvous sites will be enacted
whenever they are discovered in the
park. Sport hunting is already
prohibited on park lands, regardless of
what may be allowed beyond park
boundaries (West in litt. 2004). A radiotelemetry study conducted between
1987 and 1991 of wolves living in and
adjacent to the park found that all
mortality inside the park was due to
natural causes (for example, killing by
other wolves or starvation), whereas the
majority (60–80 percent) of mortality
outside the park was human-induced
(for example, shooting and trapping)
(Gogan et al. 2004, p. 22). If there is a
need to control depredating wolves
outside the park, which seems unlikely
due to the current absence of
agricultural activities adjacent to the
park, the park would work with the
State to conduct control activities where
necessary (West in litt. 2004).
The wolf population of Isle Royale
National Park, Michigan, is small and
isolated and lacks genetic uniqueness
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(Wayne et al. 1991). For genetic reasons
and constraints on expansion due to the
island’s small size, this wolf population
does not contribute significantly
towards meeting numerical recovery
criteria; however, long-term research on
this wolf population has added a great
deal to our knowledge of the species.
The wolf population on Isle Royale has
typically varied from 18 to 27 wolves in
3 packs, but has been down to just 2
wolves (a father-daughter pair) since the
winter of 2015–2016 (Peterson et al.
2018). NPS recently announced plans to
move additional wolves to Isle Royale in
an effort to restore a viable wolf
population (83 FR 11787; March 16,
2018).
Two other units of the National Park
System, Pictured Rocks National
Lakeshore and St. Croix National Scenic
Riverway, are regularly used by wolves.
Pictured Rocks National Lakeshore is a
narrow strip of land along Michigan’s
Lake Superior shoreline. Lone wolves
periodically use, but do not appear to be
year-round residents of, the Lakeshore.
If denning occurs after delisting, the
Lakeshore would protect denning and
rendezvous sites at least as strictly as
the Michigan Plan recommends (Gustin
in litt. 2003). Harvesting wolves on the
Lakeshore may be allowed (if the
Michigan DNR allows for harvest in the
State), but trapping is not allowed. The
St. Croix National Scenic Riverway, in
Wisconsin and Minnesota, is also a
mostly linear ownership.
Approximately 54–58 wolves from 11
packs used the Riverway on the
Wisconsin side in 2010 (Wydeven in
litt. 2011). The Riverway is likely to
limit public access to denning and
rendezvous sites and to follow other
management and protective practices
outlined in the respective State wolfmanagement plans, although trapping is
not allowed on NPS lands except
possibly by Native Americans
(Maercklein in litt. 2003).
At least one pack of 4–5 wolves used
the shoreline areas of the Apostle
Islands National Lakeshore, with a
major deer yard area (a place where deer
congregate in the winter) occurring on
portions of the Park Service land. Wolf
tracks have been detected on Sand
Island, and a wolf was photographed by
a trail camera on the island in
September 2009. It is not known if
wolves periodically swim to this and
other islands, or if they only travel to
islands on ice in winter.
Wolves occurring on National
Wildlife Refuges in the Great Lakes area
would be monitored, and Refuge habitat
management would maintain the
current prey base for them for a
minimum of 5 years after delisting.
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Trapping or hunting by government
trappers for depredation control would
not be authorized on National Wildlife
Refuges. Because of the relatively small
size of these Refuges, however, most or
all wolf packs or individual wolves in
these Refuges also spend significant
amounts of time off these Refuges.
Wolves also occupy the Fort McCoy
military installation in Wisconsin.
Management and protection of wolves
on the installation would not change
significantly after Federal or State
delisting. Den and rendezvous sites
would continue to be protected, hunting
seasons for other species (coyote) would
be closed during the gun-deer season,
and current surveys would continue, if
resources are available. Fort McCoy has
no plans to allow a public harvest of
wolves on the installation (Nobles in
litt. 2004; Wydeven et al. 2005, p. 25;
2006a, p. 25).
Minnesota National Guard’s Camp
Ripley contains parts of two pack
territories, which typically include 10 to
20 wolves. Minnesota National Guard
wildlife managers try to have at least
one wolf in each pack radio-collared
and to fit an additional one or two
wolves in each pack with satellite
transmitters that record long-distance
movements. There have been no
significant conflicts with military
training or with the permit-only public
deer-hunting program at the camp, and
no new conflicts are expected following
delisting. Long-term and intensive
monitoring has detected only two wolf
mortalities within the camp
boundaries—both were of natural causes
(Dirks 2009, pers. comm.).
The protection afforded to resident
and transient wolves, their den and
rendezvous sites, and their prey by five
national forests, four National Parks,
two military facilities, and numerous
National Wildlife Refuges in Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan will further
ensure the conservation of wolves in the
three States after delisting. In addition,
wolves that disperse to other units of
the National Refuge System or the
National Park System within the Great
Lakes area will also receive the
protection afforded by these Federal
agencies.
West Coast States
The west coast States generally
contain a greater proportion of public
land than the Great Lakes area. Public
lands here include many National Parks,
National Forests, National Monuments,
and National Wildlife Refuges. These
areas are largely unavailable and/or
unsuitable for intensive development,
and contain abundant ungulate
populations. A lack of human
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occupancy and development combined
with an adequate prey base increase the
likelihood of public lands in the west
coast States to provide suitable habitat
for gray wolves.
In the listed portions of the west coast
States of California, Oregon, and
Washington, wolves are resident on
portions of the Lassen, Plumas,
Fremont-Winema, Rogue-Siskiyou,
Mount Hood, Okanogan-Wenatchee, and
Mt. Baker-Snoqualmie National Forests
(Forests). Land and Resource
Management Plans (LRMPs) for these
Forests pre-date the re-establishment of
wolf packs and, therefore, do not
contain standards and guidelines
specific to wolf management. The
LRMPs do, however, recognize that the
Forests have obligations under sections
7(a)(1) and 7(a)(2) of the Act to
proactively conserve and avoid adverse
effects to Federally listed species. If
federally delisted, the Regional
Foresters for U.S. Forest Service Regions
5 and 6 are expected to include the gray
wolf as a Regional Forester Sensitive
Species. As a Sensitive Species,
conservation objectives for the gray wolf
and its habitat will continue to be
addressed during planning and
implementation of projects.
Gray wolves disperse through but are
not currently residents of National
Parks, National Monuments, and
National Wildlife Refuges in the listed
portions of all three west coast States.
Similar to these types of lands in the
Great Lakes areas, management plans
provide for the conservation of natural
and cultural resources and wildlife. The
gray wolf and its habitat are expected to
persist on these lands should Federal
delisting occur.
Overall, public lands on the west
coast have the ability to support the
continued expansion of gray wolves as
they disperse from resident packs and
surrounding States and provinces to
establish new packs in the west coast
States. Because these areas are in public
ownership and we do not foresee
habitat-related threats, we conclude that
they will continue to provide secure,
optimal habitat for a resident wolf
population.
Summary of Post-Delisting Management
In summary, upon delisting, there
will be varying State and Tribal
classifications and protections provided
to wolves. The State wolf-management
plans currently in place for Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan will be more
than sufficient to retain viable wolf
populations in each State. Each of those
plans contains management goals that
will maintain healthy populations of
wolves in their State by establishing a
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minimum population of 1,600 in
Minnesota, 350 in Wisconsin, and 200
in Michigan. Similarly, State
management plans developed for
Washington, Oregon, and California
contain objectives to conserve and
recover gray wolves. To ensure healthy
populations are maintained, each State
will monitor population abundance and
trends, habitat and prey availability, and
impacts of disease and take actions as
needed to maintain populations. They
are also committed to continuing
necessary biological and social research
and outreach and education to maintain
healthy wolf populations. Each of the
three Great Lakes States has a longstanding history of leadership in wolf
conservation. All of the State
management plans provide a high level
of assurance of the persistence of
healthy wolf populations,
demonstrating their commitment to wolf
conservation.
Furthermore, when federally delisted,
wolves in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
Michigan will continue to receive
protection from general human
persecution by State laws and
regulations. Wolves are protected as
game species in each of those States,
which prohibits lethal take without a
permit, license, or authorization, except
under a few limited situations (as
described under the management plans
above). Each of the three States will
consider population-management
measures, including public hunting and
trapping, after Federal delisting, but
regardless of the methods used to
manage wolves, each State will
maintain minimum wolf populations to
ensure healthy wolf populations remain.
Wolves in Washington, Oregon, and
California will also be protected by State
laws and regulations when federally
delisted. Currently wolves in
Washington and California are protected
under State statutes or acts as
endangered species, as well as by their
respective State management plans.
Wolves in Oregon are State delisted but
still receive protection under its State
management plan. Each plan contains
various phases outlining objectives for
conservation and recovery. As
recolonization of the west coast States
continues, different phases of
management will be enacted. All phases
within the various State management
plans are designed to achieve and
maintain healthy wolf populations.
Finally, based on our review of the
completed Tribal management plans
and communications with Tribes and
Tribal organizations, federally delisted
wolves are very likely to be adequately
protected on Tribal lands. Furthermore,
the minimum population goals of the
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Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan
State management plans can be
achieved (based on the population and
range of off-reservation wolves) even
without Tribal protection of wolves on
reservation lands. In addition, on the
basis of information received from other
Federal land-management agencies, we
expect National Forests, units of the
National Park System, military bases,
and National Wildlife Refuges will
provide protections to wolves in the
areas they manage that will match, and
in some cases will exceed, the
protections provided by State wolfmanagement plans and State protective
regulations.
Determination of Species Status
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species may warrant
listing if it is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The Act
defines ‘‘endangered species’’ as any
species that is ‘‘in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range,’’ and ‘‘threatened species’’ as
any species that is ‘‘likely to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.’’ The
term ‘‘species’’ includes ‘‘any
subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants,
and any distinct population segment
[DPS] of any species of vertebrate fish or
wildlife which interbreeds when
mature.’’ A species is ‘‘endangered’’ if it
is in danger of extinction throughout all
or a significant portion of its range (16
U.S.C. 1532(6)), and is ‘‘threatened’’ if it
is likely to become endangered in the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range (16
U.S.C. 1532 (20)). The word ‘‘range’’
refers to the range in which the species
currently exists, and the ‘‘foreseeable
future’’ is the period of time over which
events or effects reasonably can or
should be anticipated, or trends
extrapolated.
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and its implementing regulations (50
CFR part 424) set forth the procedures
for determining whether a species meets
the definition of ‘‘endangered species’’
or ‘‘threatened species.’’ The Act
requires that we determine whether a
species meets the definition of
‘‘endangered species’’ or ‘‘threatened
species’’ because of any of the following
factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D)
The inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or
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manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
We may delist a species according to
50 CFR 424.11(d) if the best available
scientific and commercial data indicate
that the species is neither endangered
nor threatened.
Summary and Conclusion of Our
Analysis
Prior to listing in the 1970s, wolves in
the gray wolf entity had been reduced
to about 1,000 individuals and
extirpated from all of their range except
northeastern Minnesota and Isle Royale,
Michigan. The primary cause of the
decline of wolves in the gray wolf entity
was targeted elimination by humans.
However, gray wolves are highly
adaptable; their populations are
remarkably resilient as long as prey
availability, habitat, and regulation of
human-caused mortality are adequate.
Wolf populations can rapidly overcome
severe disruptions, such as pervasive
human-caused mortality or disease,
once those disruptions are removed or
reduced.
Provided the protections of the Act,
the size of the gray wolf population
increased to over four times that at the
time of the initial gray wolf listings in
the early 1970s, and more than triple
that at the time of the 1978
reclassification (a figure which does not
include the wolves currently found in
the northern Rocky Mountains, which
was part of those earlier listings,
although not now part of the current
gray wolf entity). The population’s
range has expanded outside of
northeastern Minnesota to central and
northwestern Minnesota, northern and
central Wisconsin, and the entire Upper
Peninsula of Michigan, and is in the
early stages of expanding into western
Washington, western Oregon, and
northern California from areas outside
the gray wolf entity. Wolves in the gray
wolf entity now primarily exist as a
large, stable to growing, metapopulation
of about 4,400 individuals in the Great
Lakes area and a small number of
colonizing wolves in the west coast
States that represent the expanding edge
of a large metapopulation outside the
gray wolf entity (in the northern Rocky
Mountains and western Canada).
Despite the substantial increase in gray
wolf numbers and distribution within
the gray wolf entity since 1978, the
species currently occupies only a small
portion of its historical range within the
entity. This loss of historical range has
resulted in a reduction of gray wolf
individuals, populations, and suitable
habitat (including adequate prey levels)
within the gray wolf entity compared to
historical levels.
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To sustain populations over time, a
species must have a sufficient number
and distribution of healthy populations
to withstand annual variation in its
environment (resiliency); catastrophes
(redundancy); and novel changes in its
biological and physical environment
(representation) (Shaffer and Stein 2000,
pp. 308–311). A species with sufficient
number and distribution of healthy
populations is generally better able to
adapt to future changes and to tolerate
stressors (factors that cause a negative
effect to a species or its habitat).
Metapopulations are widely recognized
as being more secure over the long-term
than are several isolated populations
that contain the same total number of
packs and individuals (Service 1994,
appendix 9). This is because adverse
effects experienced by one of its
subpopulations resulting from genetic
drift, demographic shifts, and local
environmental fluctuations can be
countered by occasional influxes of
individuals and their genetic diversity
from other subpopulations in the
metapopulation.
Changes resulting from loss of
historical range for the gray wolf entity
have increased the species’ vulnerability
within the entity to threats such as
reduced genetic diversity and restricted
gene flow (reduced representation), and
all or most of its populations being
affected by a catastrophic event
(reduced redundancy). However, the
large size of the Great Lakes
metapopulation and the high quality of
the habitat it occupies provide the gray
wolf entity resiliency in the face of
annual environmental fluctuations (for
example, prey availability, pockets of
disease outbreaks), periodic
disturbances, and anthropogenic
stressors. Further, while the
subpopulations within the
metapopulation are interconnected, they
are broadly distributed across the
northern portions of three States. This
broad distribution of subpopulations
within the Great Lakes area provides the
gray wolf entity the redundancy to
survive a catastrophic event because
such an event is unlikely to
simultaneously affect wolf
subpopulations from Minnesota to
Michigan. Lastly, the gray wolf is a
generalist species that is highly
adaptable to a variety of ecosystem
types. A mixture of western gray wolves
and eastern wolves in the Great Lakes
area, in particular, may provide
additional adaptive capacity. Thus, the
gray wolf entity is likely to contain the
representation needed to be able to
adapt to future changes in the
environment.
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The metapopulation in the Great
Lakes area contains sufficient resiliency,
redundancy, and representation to
sustain populations within the gray wolf
entity over time. Therefore, we conclude
that the relatively few wolves that occur
outside the Great Lakes area within the
gray wolf entity, including those in the
west coast States and lone dispersers in
other States, are not necessary for the
recovered status of the gray wolf entity.
However, the viability of the entity is
further increased by wolves that occur
outside the Great Lakes area. The large
and expansive population of about
12,000–14,000 wolves in eastern Canada
increases the resiliency of the gray wolf
entity through its connectivity to the
Great Lakes area metapopulation.
Additionally, a large metapopulation of
about 16,000 wolves outside the gray
wolf entity in the northern Rocky
Mountains and western Canada is
expanding into the gray wolf entity in
Oregon, Washington, and California
(figure 2). Such a large and widely
distributed metapopulation of wolves
not only contributes to the resiliency,
redundancy, and representation of gray
wolves in the lower 48 United States,
but also is likely to further increase the
viability of the gray wolf entity because
these wolves are colonizing the western
portion of the gray wolf entity. With
ongoing post-delisting management
from States, further expansion of the
metapopulation into the gray wolf entity
is likely to continue in the west coast
States, further increasing the viability of
the gray wolf entity.
Wolves in the Great Lakes area now
greatly exceed the recovery criteria for
(1) a secure wolf population in
Minnesota, and (2) a second population
outside Minnesota and Isle Royale
consisting of 100 wolves for 5
successive years. Therefore, based on
the criteria set by the Eastern Wolf
Recovery Team, the Great Lakes area
now contains sufficient wolf numbers
and distribution, threats have been
alleviated, and the States and Tribes are
committed to continued management
such that the long-term survival of the
wolf is ensured. Consequently, because
we have identified no other regions of
the gray wolf entity as necessary for
recovery of wolves in this entity, we
conclude that the Great Lakes area
contains sufficient wolf numbers and
distribution to ensure the long-term
survival of the gray wolf entity.
The recovery of the gray wolf entity
is attributable primarily to successful
interagency cooperation in the
management of human-caused
mortality. Such mortality is the most
significant issue to the long-term
conservation status of wolves in the gray
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wolf entity. Therefore, managing this
source of mortality remains the primary
challenge to maintaining a recovered
wolf population into the foreseeable
future. Legal harvest and agency control
to mitigate depredations on livestock
will be the primary human-caused
mortality factors that State agencies can
manipulate to achieve management
objectives once delisting occurs. Wolves
in the Great Lakes area are well above
Federal recovery requirements defined
in the Eastern Timber Wolf Recovery
Plan. As a result, we can expect to see
some reduction in wolf populations in
the Great Lakes areas as States begin to
institute wolf-hunting seasons with the
objective of slowing or reversing
population growth while continuing to
maintain wolf populations well above
Federal recovery requirements in their
respective States. Using an adaptivemanagement approach that adjusts
harvest based on population estimates
and trends, the initial objectives of
States may be to lower wolf populations
then manage for sustainable
populations, similar to how States
manage all other game species. For
example, in 2013–2014, during a period
when gray wolves were federally
delisted in the Great Lakes area,
Wisconsin reduced the State’s wolf
harvest quota by 43 percent in response
to a reduced (compared to the previous
year) estimated size of the wolf
population. In the west coast States,
wolf populations will likely be managed
to ensure progress towards recovery
objectives while also minimizing
livestock losses caused by wolves.
Based on our analysis, we conclude
that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
Michigan will maintain abundance and
distribution of the Great Lakes wolf
population above recovery levels for the
foreseeable future, and that the threat of
human-caused mortality has been
sufficiently reduced. All three States
have wolf-management laws, plans, and
regulations that adequately regulate
human-caused mortality. Each of the
three States has committed to manage
its wolf population at or above viable
population levels, and we do not expect
this commitment to change. Based on
our review, we conclude that regulatory
mechanisms in all three States are
adequate to facilitate the maintenance
of, and in no way threaten, the
recovered status of wolves in the gray
wolf entity if they are federally delisted.
Adequate wolf-monitoring programs, as
described in the State wolf-management
plans, are likely to identify high
mortality rates or low birth rates that
warrant corrective action by the
management agencies. Further, while
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relatively few wolves occur in the west
coast portion of the gray wolf entity at
this time, and State wolf-management
plans for Washington, Oregon, and
California do not yet include population
management goals, these plans include
recovery objectives intended to ensure
the reestablishment of self-sustaining
populations in these States.
Based on the biology of wolves and
our analysis of threats, we conclude
that, as long as wolf populations in the
Great Lakes States are maintained at or
above identified recovery levels, wolf
biology (namely the species’
reproductive capacity) and the
availability of large, secure blocks of
suitable habitat within the occupied
areas will enable the maintenance of
populations capable of withstanding all
other foreseeable threats. Although
much of the historical range of the gray
wolf entity is no longer occupied, based
on our analysis we find that the amount
and distribution of occupied wolf
habitat currently provides, and will
continue to provide, large core areas
that contain high-quality habitat of
sufficient size and with sufficient prey
to support a recovered wolf population.
Our analysis of land management shows
these areas, specifically Minnesota Wolf
Management Zone A (Federal Wolf
Management Zones 1–4), Wisconsin
Wolf Zones 1, and the Upper Peninsula
of Michigan will maintain their
suitability into the foreseeable future.
Therefore, we conclude that, despite the
loss of large areas of historical range for
the gray wolf entity, Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and the Upper Peninsula of
Michigan contain a sufficient amount of
high-quality wolf habitat to support
wolf populations into the future.
While disease and parasites can
temporarily affect population stability,
as long as populations are managed
above recovery levels, these factors are
not likely to threaten the viability of the
wolf population in the gray wolf entity
at any point in the foreseeable future.
Climate change is also likely to remain
an insignificant factor in population
dynamics into the foreseeable future,
due to the adaptability of the species.
Finally, based on our analysis, we
conclude that cumulative effects of
threats, do not now, nor are likely to in
the foreseeable future, threaten the
viability of the gray wolf entity
throughout the range of wolves in the
gray wolf entity.
Determination of Status Throughout All
of Its Range
We have carefully assessed the best
scientific and commercial information
available regarding the past, present,
and future threats to the gray wolf entity
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(the two C. lupus listed entities
combined). We evaluated the status of,
and assessed the factors likely to
negatively affect, the gray wolf entity,
including threats to the gray wolf entity
identified at the time of reclassification.
While wolves in the gray wolf entity
currently occupy only a portion of wolf
historical range, the best available
information indicates that the gray wolf
entity is recovered and is not now, nor
likely in the foreseeable future, to be
negatively affected by past, current, and
potential future threats such that the
entity is in danger of extinction.
Specifically, we have determined,
based on the best available information,
that human-caused mortality (Factor C);
habitat and prey availability (Factor A);
disease and parasites (Factor C);
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational uses (Factor B); climate
change (Factor E); or other threats,
singly or in combination, are not of
sufficient imminence, intensity, or
magnitude to indicate that wolves in the
gray wolf entity are in danger of
extinction or likely to become so within
the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range. We have also determined that
ongoing effects of recovery efforts,
which resulted in a significant
expansion of the occupied range of and
number of wolves in the gray wolf entity
over the past decades, in conjunction
with State, Tribal, and Federal agency
wolf management and regulatory
mechanisms that will be in place
following delisting across the occupied
range in the entity, will be adequate to
ensure the conservation of wolves in the
gray wolf entity. These activities will
maintain an adequate prey base,
preserve denning and rendezvous sites,
monitor disease, restrict human take,
and keep wolf populations well above
the recovery criteria established in the
Revised Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992,
pp. 25–28).
The term ‘‘foreseeable future’’
describes the extent to which we can
reasonably rely on the predictions about
the future in making determinations
about the future conservation status of
the gray wolf entity. We conclude that
it is reasonable to rely on the scientific
studies and information assessing
human-caused mortality; habitat and
prey availability; the impacts of disease
and parasites; commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational uses; gray wolf
adaptability, including with respect to
changing climate; recovery activities
and regulatory mechanisms that will be
in place following delisting; and
predictions about how these may affect
the gray wolf entity in making
determinations about the gray wolf
entity’s future status. Therefore, after
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assessing the best available information,
we have determined that the gray wolf
entity is not in danger of extinction
throughout all of its range nor is it likely
to become so in the foreseeable future.
Because we determined that the gray
wolf entity is not in danger of extinction
or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future throughout all of its range, we
will consider whether there are any
significant portions of its range that are
in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future.
Determination of Status Throughout a
Significant Portion of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing
regulations, a species warrants listing if
it is in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range (SPR). Having determined that
the gray wolf entity is not in danger of
extinction now or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range, we now consider whether it
may be in danger of extinction or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future in
an SPR. The range of a species can
theoretically be divided into portions in
an infinite number of ways, so we first
screen the potential portions of the
species’ range to determine if there are
any portions that warrant further
consideration. To do this we look for
portions of the species’ range for which
there is substantial information
indicating that: (1) The portion may be
significant, and (2) the species may be
in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future in
that portion. A portion would not
warrant further consideration if, for that
portion, either one of these initial
elements is not present. Therefore, if we
determine that either of the initial
elements is not present for a particular
portion of the species’ range, then
further analysis is not necessary and the
species does not warrant listing because
of its status in that portion of its range.
We emphasize that the presence of
both of the initial elements is not
equivalent to a determination that the
species should be listed—rather, it is a
determination that a portion warrants
further consideration. If we identify any
portions that meet both of the initial
elements, we conduct a more thorough
analysis to determine whether in fact (1)
the portion is significant and (2) the
species is in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable
future in that portion. Confirmation that
a geographic area does indeed meet one
of these standards (either the portion is
significant or the species is endangered
or threatened in that portion of its
range) does not create a presumption,
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prejudgment, or other determination as
to whether the species is endangered or
threatened in a significant portion of its
range. Rather, we must then undertake
a more detailed analysis of the other
standard to make that determination. If
the portion does indeed meet both
standards, then the species is
endangered or threatened in that
significant portion of its range and
warrants listing rangewide.
Thus, there can be two separate stages
to the process of determining whether a
species is threatened or endangered in
a significant portion of its range: The
stage of screening potential portions to
identify if any portions warrant further
consideration, and the stage of
undertaking the more-detailed analysis
of any portions that do warrant further
consideration. At either stage, it may be
more efficient for us to address the
‘‘significance’’ question first, or to
address the ‘‘status’’ question first. Our
selection of which question to address
first for a particular portion depends on
the biology of the species, its range, and
the threats it faces. Regardless of which
question we address first, if we reach a
negative answer with respect to the first
question that we address, we do not
need to evaluate the second question for
that portion of the species’ range.
We note that a court has invalidated
the USFWS and National Marine
Fisheries Service (NMFS) definition of
‘‘significant’’ in their policy interpreting
‘‘significant portion of its range,’’ and
issued a nationwide injunction
prohibiting us from applying that
definition (Desert Survivors v. Dep’t of
the Interior, No. 16–cv–01165–JCS (N.D.
Cal. Aug. 24, 2018)). Therefore, in our
analysis for the gray wolf, we apply
‘‘significant’’ in a way that is consistent
with that court’s opinion, and with
other relevant case law. As USFWS and
NMFS have not yet determined the best
way to interpret ‘‘significant’’ in light of
the decision in Desert Survivors, for the
purposes of the analysis here, in
determining whether any portions may
warrant further consideration because
they may be significant, we screen by
looking for portions of the species’ range
that could be significant under any
reasonable definition of ‘‘significant’’
that relates to the conservation of the
gray wolf entity. To do this, we look for
any portions that may be biologically
important in terms of the resiliency,
redundancy, or representation of the
species. Our use of this standard for
‘‘significant’’ is limited to this analysis,
and is not precedent for any future
determinations.
To screen for the second prong, we
consider whether there are any portions
where the gray wolf entity may be in
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danger of extinction or likely to become
so in the foreseeable future. This may
include consideration of whether the
threats are geographically concentrated
in any portion of the species’ range at
a biologically meaningful scale; if
threats are not uniform throughout its
range, this may be an indication that the
species may warrant further evaluation
to determine whether a different
classification is appropriate. However,
geographically concentrated threats do
not necessarily indicate that a species
may be in danger of extinction or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future in
that portion. Even if threats are
concentrated in a portion, other factors
could indicate that there is little chance
those threats rise to a level such that the
portion of the range may be in danger
of extinction or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future.
After reviewing the biology of the gray
wolf entity and potential threats, we
have not identified any portions of the
gray wolf entity for which both (1) gray
wolves may be in danger of extinction
or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future and (2) the portion may be
significant. While some portions may be
at increased threat from human-caused
mortality or factors related to small
numbers, we did not find that any of
these portions may be significant. We
provide examples below.
First, portions peripheral to the Great
Lakes metapopulation that may contain
lone dispersing wolves (e.g., western
Minnesota, Lower Peninsula of
Michigan, eastern South Dakota) or few
wolves (e.g., Isle Royale), may be at
greater threat from human caused
mortality or due to factors related to
small numbers of individuals. However,
these portions are not biologically
important to the gray wolf entity in
terms of resiliency, redundancy, or
representation. They are not important
to the redundancy or resiliency of the
gray wolf entity because they are not
members of established breeding packs
(lone dispersers) or are few in number
and likely to remain as such (Isle
Royale). They are also not important to
the representation of the gray wolf
entity because they lack genetic
uniqueness relative to other wolves in
the Great Lakes metapopulation—they
are part of that metapopulation and are
dispersing out from it. In addition, the
gray wolf is a highly adaptable
generalist species capable of longdistance dispersal. In other words, it
possess the genetic diversity necessary
to successfully colonize a broad range of
habitat types and feed on a variety of
prey species, and possess dispersal
capabilities that facilitate colonization
of those habitats in addition to gene
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flow among and between populations.
Therefore, we find that these portions
are not ‘‘significant’’ under any
reasonable definition of that term
because they are not biologically
important to the gray wolf entity in
terms of its resiliency, redundancy, or
representation.
Second, State wolf-management zones
in which post-delisting depredation
control would be allowed under a
broader set of circumstances than in
core population zones, such as
Minnesota Wolf Management Zone B
(Federal Wolf Management Zone 5) or
Wisconsin Wolf Management Zones 3
and 4, are not significant under any
reasonable definition of ‘‘significant.’’
While these portions would likely
experience higher levels of humancaused mortality if the gray wolf entity
were delisted, these portions are not
‘‘significant’’ under any reasonable
definition of that term. The wolves in
these zones occur on the periphery of a
large metapopulation (the Great Lakes
metapopulation), in areas of limited
habitat suitability, and do not contribute
appreciably to (and are thus not
biologically important to) the resiliency,
redundancy, or representation of the
gray wolf entity. In fact, the Recovery
Plan for the Eastern Timber Wolf
advises against restoration of wolves in
State Zone B (Federal Zone 5) because
the area is ‘‘not suitable for wolves’’.
Wolves in these higher-intensity
management zones are not important to
the resiliency of the gray wolf entity
because, even though they contain
multiple established packs in addition
to lone wolves, they comprise a small
proportion of wolves in the Great Lakes
metapopulation and, consequently, the
gray wolf entity (Zone B contains
approximately 15% of the Minnesota
wolf population; Zones 3 and 4 contain
about 6% of the Wisconsin wolf
population). If wolves are delisted, a
large metapopulation of wolves would
still occur in the Great Lakes area
outside these higher-intensity
management zones in core zones of
high-quality habitat and minimal
human-caused mortality, providing the
gray wolf entity the ability to withstand
stochastic processes. These higherintensity management zones are not
important to the redundancy of the gray
wolf entity because wolves in these
zones represent a relatively small
number and distribution of populations
or packs in the Great Lakes
metapopulation. The Great Lakes
metapopulation is large and distributed
across three states. Wolves in these
higher-intensity management zones
comprise a small proportion of wolves
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9685
in, and occur on the periphery of, this
metapopulation. If wolves are delisted,
wolves would still occur in multiple
populations distributed across tens of
thousands of square miles in Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan, providing the
gray wolf entity the ability to withstand
a catastrophic event. Thus, wolves in
these higher-intensity management
zones do not contribute meaningfully to
the ability of the Great Lakes
metapopulation, or gray wolf entity, to
withstand catastrophic events. Wolves
in these higher-intensity management
zones are not important to the
representation of the gray wolf entity
because they originate from the Great
Lakes and eastern Canada
metapopulation (they are genetically
similar to other wolves in the Great
Lakes area of the gray wolf entity) and
because gray wolves are a highly
adaptable generalist species capable of
long distance-dispersal. Therefore, we
do not find that these portions may be
significant under any reasonable
definition of ‘‘significant’’ because they
are not biologically important to the
gray wolf entity in terms of its
resiliency, redundancy, or
representation.
Third, the west coast portion of the
gray wolf entity, where wolves exist in
small numbers in California, western
Oregon, and western Washington, also
is not biologically important to the gray
wolf entity in terms of resiliency,
redundancy, or representation. This
portion is not important to the gray wolf
entity in terms of resiliency or
redundancy because wolves occur in
small numbers in this portion and
include only a few breeding pairs.
Because these wolves represent the
expanding front of a recovered and
stable source metapopulation, and are
therefore not an independent
population within the gray wolf entity,
the small number of wolves there do not
contribute meaningfully to the ability of
any population, in the NRM or Great
Lakes area, to withstand stochastic
events, nor to the entire entity’s ability
to withstand catastrophic events. This
portion is also not important in terms of
representation, because (1) gray wolves
are a highly adaptable generalist
carnivore capable of long-distance
dispersal, and (2) the gray wolves in this
area are an extension of a large
metapopulation of wolves in the
northern Rocky Mountains and western
Canada (i.e., they are not an isolated
population with unique or markedly
different genetic or phenotypic traits
that is evolving separate from other wolf
populations). Therefore, for the purpose
of assessing the status of the gray wolf
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entity under the Act, we do not find that
this portion may be significant under
any reasonable definition of
‘‘significant’’ because it is not
biologically important to the gray wolf
entity in terms of its resiliency,
redundancy, or representation.
We conclude that there are no
portions of the gray wolf entity for
which both (1) gray wolves may be in
danger of extinction or likely to become
so in the foreseeable future and (2) the
portion may be significant. As discussed
above, portions that may be in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future are not significant
under any reasonable definition of that
term. Conversely, other portions that are
or may be significant (i.e. the core areas
of the Great Lakes metapopulation) are
not in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future.
Because we did not identify any
portions of the gray wolf entity where
threats may be concentrated and where
the portion may be biologically
important in terms of the resiliency,
redundancy, or representation of the
gray wolf entity, a more thorough
analysis is not required. Therefore, we
conclude that the gray wolf entity is not
in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future
within a significant portion of its range.
Proposed Determination
After a thorough review of all
available information and an evaluation
of the five factors specified in section
4(a)(1) of the Act, as well as
consideration of the definitions of
‘‘threatened species’’ and ‘‘endangered
species’’ contained in the Act and the
reasons for delisting as specified in 50
CFR 424.11(d), we propose that
removing the two entities of gray wolf
(Canis lupus) from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
(50 CFR 17.11) is appropriate. We have
collectively evaluated the current and
potential threats to the combined gray
wolf entities, including those that result
from past loss of historical range.
Wolves have recovered in the combined
entities as a result of the reduction of
threats as described in the analysis of
threats and are neither currently in
danger of extinction, nor likely to
become so in the foreseeable future,
throughout all or a significant portion of
their range.
Although substantial contraction of
gray wolf historical range occurred
within the combined entities since
European settlement, the range of the
gray wolf has expanded significantly
since its original listing in 1978 and the
impacts of lost historical range are no
longer manifesting in a way that
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threatens the viability of the species.
The causes of the previous contraction
(for example, targeted extermination
efforts), and the effects of that
contraction (for example, reduced
numbers of individuals and
populations, and restricted gene flow),
in addition to the effects of all other
threats, have been ameliorated or
reduced such that the combined entities
no longer meet the Act’s definitions of
‘‘threatened species’’ or ‘‘endangered
species.’’ Further, we note that, while
we combined the two C. lupus listed
entities for our analysis, even if we had
analyzed them separately, neither
would meet the Act’s definitions of
‘‘threatened species’’ or ‘‘endangered
species.’’ Both of these two listed
entities are either part of the same
metapopulation or the expanding front
of the recovered NRM metapopulation.
Therefore, because the status of each of
these two listed entities is influenced by
its connectedness to the other, the status
of each would be the same as if
analyzed in combination. We also note
that the Act allows us to list species,
subspecies, or DPSs and that, because
the two listed entities are not discrete
and are therefore not DPSs, neither of
the two listed entities constitute valid
listable entities under the Act and
should, therefore, be removed from the
List.
Effects of This Rule
This proposal, if made final, would
revise 50 CFR 17.11(h) by removing the
two existing C. lupus listed entities from
the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife. This proposal, if
made final, would also remove the
special regulations under section 4(d) of
the Act for wolves in Minnesota. These
regulations currently are found at 50
CFR 17.40(d).
Critical habitat was designated for the
gray wolf in 1978 (43 FR 9607, March
9, 1978). That rule (codified at 50 CFR
17.95(a)) identifies Isle Royale National
Park, Michigan, and Minnesota Wolf
Management Zones 1, 2, and 3, as
delineated in 50 CFR 17.40(d)(1), as
critical habitat. Wolf Management Zones
1, 2, and 3 comprise approximately
25,500 km2 (9,845 mi2) in northeastern
and north-central Minnesota. This
proposal, if made final, would remove
the designation of critical habitat for
gray wolves in Minnesota and on Isle
Royale, Michigan.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act, added in
the 1988 reauthorization, requires us to
implement a system, in cooperation
with the States, to monitor for not less
than 5 years the status of all species that
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have recovered and been removed from
the Lists of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Plants (50 CFR 17.11 and
17.12). The purpose of this postdelisting monitoring (PDM) is to verify
that a species delisted due to recovery
remains secure from risk of extinction
after it no longer has the protections of
the Act. To do this, PDM generally
focuses on evaluating (1) demographic
characteristics of the species, (2) threats
to the species, and (3) implementation
of legal and/or management
commitments that have been identified
as important in reducing threats to the
species or maintaining threats at
sufficiently low levels. We are to make
prompt use of the emergency-listing
authority under section 4(b)(7) of the
Act to prevent a significant risk to the
well-being of any recovered species.
Section 4(g) of the Act explicitly
requires cooperation with the States in
development and implementation of
PDM programs, but we remain
responsible for compliance with section
4(g) and, therefore, must remain actively
engaged in all phases of PDM. We also
will seek active participation of other
State and Federal agencies or Tribal
governments that are expected to
assume management authority for the
species’ conservation, should our
proposed delisting be finalized. In some
cases, agencies have already devoted
significant resources toward wolf
monitoring efforts. For example, the
States of Washington, Oregon, and
California have wolf-management plans
that include monitoring strategies for
wolves and wolf populations. Should
such monitoring document significant
declines, the Service will investigate the
degree and importance of such declines.
We developed a PDM plan for wolves
in the Great Lakes area with the
assistance of the Eastern Wolf Recovery
Team in 2008. That document remains
applicable today as it focuses on
monitoring wolves within the borders of
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan and is available
on our website (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
The PDM program will rely on a
continuation of State monitoring
activities, similar to those that have
been conducted by Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan DNR’s in
recent years, and Tribal monitoring.
These activities will include both
population monitoring and health
monitoring of individual wolves. During
the PDM period, the Service will
conduct a review of the monitoring data
and program. We will consider various
relevant factors (including but not
limited to mortality rates, population
changes and rates of change, disease
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occurrence, range expansion or
contraction) to determine if the
population of wolves within the borders
of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and the Upper
Peninsula of Michigan warrants
expanded monitoring, additional
research, consideration for re-listing as
threatened or endangered, or emergency
listing.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan
DNRs have monitored wolves for several
decades with significant assistance from
numerous partners, including the U.S.
Forest Service, National Park Service,
USDA–APHIS–Wildlife Services, Tribal
natural resource agencies, and the
Service. To maximize comparability of
future PDM data with data obtained
before delisting, all three State DNRs
have committed to continue their
previous wolf-population-monitoring
methodology, or will make changes to
that methodology only if those changes
will not reduce the comparability of preand post-delisting data.
In addition to monitoring wolf
population numbers and trends, the
PDM program will evaluate postdelisting threats, in particular humancaused mortality, disease, and
implementation of legal and
management commitments. If at any
time during the monitoring period we
detect a substantial downward change
in the populations or an increase in
threats to the degree that population
viability may be threatened, we will
work with the States and Tribes to
evaluate and change (intensify, extend,
and/or otherwise improve) the
monitoring methods, if appropriate,
and/or consider re-listing the gray wolf,
if warranted.
This PDM monitoring program will
extend for 5 years beyond the effective
delisting date of the two currently listed
gray wolf entities. At the end of the 5year period, we will conduct another
review and post the results on our
website. In addition to the above
considerations, the review will
determine whether the PDM program
should be terminated or extended.
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Required Determinations
Clarity of This Proposed Rule
We are required by Executive Orders
12866 and 12988 and by the
Presidential Memorandum of June 1,
1998, to write all rules in plain
language. This means that each rule we
publish must:
(a) Be logically organized;
(b) Use the active voice to address
readers directly;
(c) Use clear language rather than
jargon;
(d) Be divided into short sections and
sentences; and
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(e) Use lists and tables wherever
possible.
If you feel that we have not met these
requirements, send us comments by one
of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To
better help us revise the rule, your
comments should be as specific as
possible. For example, you should tell
us the numbers of the sections or
paragraphs that are unclearly written,
which sections or sentences are too
long, the sections where you feel lists or
tables would be useful, etc.
Tribal management of wolves within the
Lower 48 United States outside of the
NRM DPS where wolves are already
under State and Tribal management. We
will fully consider all of the comments
on the proposed rule that are submitted
by Tribes and Tribal members during
the public comment period and will
attempt to address those concerns, new
data, and new information where
appropriate.
National Environmental Policy Act
We determined that we do not need
to prepare an environmental assessment
or an environmental impact statement,
as defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), in
connection with regulations adopted
pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act. We
published a notice outlining our reasons
for this determination in the Federal
Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
49244).
A complete list of all references cited
in this proposed rule is available at
https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS–HQ–ES–2018–0097 or
upon request from the USFWS
Headquarters Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994,
Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments (59 FR 22951), E.O. 13175,
and the Department of the Interior’s
manual at 512 DM 2, we readily
acknowledge our responsibility to
communicate meaningfully with
recognized Federal Tribes on a
government-to-government basis. In
accordance with Secretarial Order 3206
of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal
Rights, Federal-Tribal Trust
Responsibilities, and the Endangered
Species Act), we readily acknowledge
our responsibilities to work directly
with Tribes in developing programs for
healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that
Tribal lands are not subject to the same
controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and
to make information available to Tribes.
We have coordinated the proposed rule
with the affected Tribes and,
furthermore, throughout several years of
development of earlier related rules and
this proposed rule, we have endeavored
to consult with Native American Tribes
and Native American organizations in
order to both (1) provide them with a
complete understanding of the proposed
changes, and (2) to understand their
concerns with those changes. If
requested, we will conduct additional
consultations with Native American
Tribes and multi-tribal organizations
subsequent to any final rule in order to
facilitate the transition to State and
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References Cited
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed
rule are staff members of the USFWS.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we hereby propose to
amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter
I, title 50 of the Code of Federal
Regulations, as set forth below:
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; 4201–4245; unless otherwise noted.
§ 17.11
[Amended]
2. Amend § 17.11(h) by removing both
entries for ‘‘Wolf, gray (Canis lupus)’’
under MAMMALS in the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
■
§ 17.40
[Amended]
3. Amend § 17.40 by removing and
reserving paragraph (d).
■
§ 17.95
[Amended]
4. Amend § 17.95(a) by removing the
critical habitat entry for ‘‘Gray Wolf
(Canis lupus).’’
■
Dated: March 6, 2019.
Margaret E. Everson
Principal Deputy Director, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service Exercising the Authority of
the Director for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service.
[FR Doc. 2019–04420 Filed 3–14–19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 84, Number 51 (Friday, March 15, 2019)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 9648-9687]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2019-04420]
[[Page 9647]]
Vol. 84
Friday,
No. 51
March 15, 2019
Part III
Department of the Interior
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Fish and Wildlife Service
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50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing the Gray Wolf
(Canis lupus) From the List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife;
Proposed Rules
Federal Register / Vol. 84 , No. 51 / Friday, March 15, 2019 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 9648]]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-HQ-ES-2018-0097; FXES11130900000C2-189-FF09E32000]
RIN 1018-BD60
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removing the Gray
Wolf (Canis lupus) From the List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
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SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service or USFWS),
have evaluated the classification status of gray wolves (Canis lupus)
currently listed in the contiguous United States and Mexico under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act). Based on our
evaluation, we propose to remove the gray wolf from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife. We propose this action because the
best available scientific and commercial information indicates that the
currently listed entities do not meet the definitions of a threatened
species or endangered species under the Act due to recovery. The effect
of this rulemaking action would be to remove the gray wolf from the
Act's protections. This proposed rule does not have any effect on the
separate listing of the Mexican wolf (Canis lupus baileyi) as
endangered under the Act.
DATES: Comment submission: We will accept comments received or
postmarked on or before May 14, 2019.
Public hearings: We must receive requests for public hearings, in
writing, at the address shown in FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT by
April 29, 2019.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments by one of the following methods:
(1) Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. In the Search box, enter Docket No. FWS-HQ-ES-
2018-0097, which is the docket number for this rulemaking. Then, click
on the Search button. On the resulting page, in the Search panel on the
left side of the screen under the Document Type heading, click on the
Proposed Rules link to locate this document. You may submit a comment
by clicking on the blue ``Comment Now!'' box. If your comments will fit
in the provided comment box, please use this feature of https://www.regulations.gov, as it is most compatible with our comment review
procedures. If you attach your comments as a separate document, our
preferred file format is Microsoft Word. If you attach multiple
comments (such as form letters), our preferred format is a spreadsheet
in Microsoft Excel.
(2) By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail or hand-delivery to: Public
Comments Processing, Attn: Docket No. FWS-HQ-ES-2018-0097; U.S. Fish &
Wildlife Service Headquarters, MS: BPHC, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls
Church, VA 22041-3803.
We request that you send comments only by the methods described
above. We will post all comments on https://www.regulations.gov. This
generally means that we will post any personal information you provide
us (see Public Comments below for more information).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Don Morgan, Chief, Branch of Delisting
and Foreign Species, Ecological Services, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, Headquarters Office, MS: ES, 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church,
VA 22041-3803; telephone (703) 358-2444. Persons who use a
telecommunications device for the deaf (TDD) may call the Federal Relay
Service at 800-877-8339.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Purpose of the Regulatory Action
Why we need to publish a rule. Under the Act, if we determine that
a species is no longer threatened or endangered throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, we must publish in the Federal
Register a proposed rule to remove the species from the Lists of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants in title 50 of the Code
of Federal Regulations (50 CFR 17.11 and 17.12). We also must make a
final determination on our proposal within 1 year thereafter. Removing
a species from the List (``delisting'' it) can only be completed by
issuing a rule.
This document proposes delisting gray wolves in the lower 48 United
States and Mexico. This proposed rule assesses the best available
information regarding the status of and threats to the species, and
replaces our June 13, 2013, proposed rule to delist the gray wolf in
the lower 48 United States and Mexico (78 FR 35664). This proposed rule
does not have any effect on the separate listing of the Mexican wolf as
endangered under the Act (80 FR 2487, January 16, 2015).
The basis for our action. Under the Act, we determine whether a
species is an endangered or threatened species based on any one or more
of five factors or the cumulative effects thereof: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or
range; (B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D) The inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. We have determined that the gray
wolf in the lower 48 United States and Mexico (except the Mexican wolf
subspecies) no longer meets the definition of an endangered or
threatened species under the Act.
Peer review. We will seek comments from independent specialists to
ensure that our designation is based on scientifically sound data,
assumptions, and analyses. We will invite these peer reviewers to
comment on our listing proposal. Because we will consider all comments
and information received during the comment period, our final
determination may differ from this proposal.
Information Requested
Public Comments
We intend that any final action resulting from this proposal will
be based on the best scientific and commercial data available and will
be as accurate and as effective as possible. Therefore, we request
comments or information from the public, concerned Tribal and
governmental agencies, the scientific community, industry, or any other
interested parties concerning this proposed rule. Comments should be as
specific as possible.
As this proposal replaces our June 13, 2013, proposal to delist
gray wolves in the lower 48 United States and Mexico (78 FR 35663), we
ask that any comments previously submitted that are relevant to the
status of wolves currently listed in the contiguous United States and
Mexico, as analyzed in this rule, be resubmitted at this time. Comments
must be submitted during the comment period for this proposed rule to
be considered.
Please include sufficient information with your submission (such as
scientific journal articles or other publications) to allow us to
verify any scientific or commercial information you include.
Please note that submissions merely stating support for, or
opposition to, the action under consideration without providing
supporting information, although noted, will not meet the standard of
best available scientific and commercial data. Section 4(b)(1)(A) of
the Act directs that determinations as to whether any species is
threatened or endangered must be made ``solely on the basis of the best
scientific and commercial data available.''
[[Page 9649]]
You may submit your comments and materials by one of the methods
listed in ADDRESSES. We request that you send comments only by the
methods described in ADDRESSES.
If you submit information via https://www.regulations.gov, your
entire submission--including your personal identifying information--
will be posted on the website. If your submission is made via a
hardcopy that includes personal identifying information, you may
request at the top of your document that we withhold this information
from public review. However, we cannot guarantee that we will be able
to do so. We will post all hardcopy submissions on https://www.regulations.gov.
Comments and materials we receive, as well as supporting
documentation we used in preparing this proposed rule, will be
available for public inspection on https://www.regulations.gov at Docket
No. FWS-HQ-ES-2018-0097, or by appointment, during normal business
hours at U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Headquarters (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
Peer Review
In accordance with our joint policy on peer review published in the
Federal Register on July 1, 1994 (59 FR 34270), we will seek the expert
opinions of at least three appropriate and independent specialists
regarding scientific data and interpretations contained in this
proposed rule. The purpose of peer review is to ensure that our
decisions are based on scientifically sound data, assumptions, and
analyses. We will invite these peer reviewers to comment during the
public comment period on our proposed action; these comments will be
available along with other public comments in the docket for this
proposed rule.
We will consider all comments and information we receive during
this comment period during our preparation of the final determination.
Accordingly, the final decision may differ from this proposal.
Table of Contents
Previous Federal Actions
General Background
The 1978 Reclassification
National Wolf Strategy
Approach for this Proposed Rule
The Entities Addressed in this Rule
How We Address the C. lupus Entities in this Rule
How We Address Taxonomic Uncertainties in this Rule
Summary of Our Approach
Species Information
Biology and Ecology
Taxonomy of Gray Wolves in North America
Range and Population Trends Prior to 1978 Reclassification
Historical Range of the Gray Wolf Entity
Historical Abundance of the Gray Wolf Entity
Historical Trends in Range and Abundance for the Gray Wolf
Entity
Distribution, and Abundance of the Gray Wolf Entity at the Time
of the 1978 Reclassification
Current Distribution and Abundance of the Gray Wolf Entity
Gray Wolf Recovery Plans and Recovery Implementation
Recovery Criteria
Recovery Progress
Historical Context of Our Analysis
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Human-caused Mortality
Effects on Wolf Social Structure
The Role of Public Attitudes
Human-caused Mortality Summary
Habitat and Prey Availability
Great Lakes Area: Suitable Habitat
Great Lakes Area: Prey Availability
West Coast States: Suitable Habitat
West Coast States: Prey Availability
Habitat and Prey Availability Summary
Disease and Parasites
Effects of Climate Change
Cumulative Effects
Post-delisting Management
State Management
Post-delisting Management in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan
The Minnesota Wolf Management Plan
Depredation Control in Minnesota
Post-delisting Depredation Control in Minnesota
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in Minnesota
The Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan
Depredation Control in Wisconsin
Post-delisting Depredation Control in Wisconsin
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in Wisconsin
The Michigan Wolf Management Plan
Depredation Control in Michigan
Post-delisting Depredation Control in Michigan
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in Michigan
Post-delisting Management in the West Coast States
The Oregon Wolf Management Plan
The Washington Wolf Management Plan
The California Wolf Management Plan
Tribal Management and Conservation of Wolves
Management on Federal Lands
Great Lakes Area
West Coast States
Summary of Post-delisting Management
Determination of Species Status
Summary and Conclusion of Our Analysis
Determination of Status Throughout All of its Range
Determination of Status Throughout a Significant Portion of its
Range
Proposed Determination
Effects of This Rule
Post-delisting Monitoring
Required Determinations
Clarity of This Proposed Rule
National Environmental Policy Act
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
Previous Federal Actions
Gray wolves were originally listed as subspecies or as regional
populations of subspecies in the contiguous United States and Mexico.
Early listings were under legislative predecessors of the Act--the
Endangered Species Preservation Act of 1966 and the Endangered Species
Conservation Act of 1969. Later listings were under the Endangered
Species Act of 1973. The Federal Register citations for all the
rulemaking actions described in the following paragraphs are provided
in table 1, below.
In 1978, we published a rule reclassifying the gray wolf as an
endangered population at the taxonomic species level (C. lupus)
throughout the contiguous United States and Mexico, except for the
Minnesota gray wolf population, which was classified as threatened
(table 1). At that time, we considered the gray wolves in Minnesota to
be a listable entity under the Act, and we considered gray wolves in
Mexico and the 48 contiguous United States other than Minnesota to be
another listable entity (43 FR 9607 and 9610, respectively, March 9,
1978). The earlier subspecies listings thus were subsumed into the
listings for the gray wolf in Minnesota and the gray wolf in the rest
of the contiguous United States and Mexico.
The 1978 reclassification was undertaken to ``most conveniently''
address changes in our understanding of gray wolf taxonomy and protect
all gray wolves in the lower 48 United States. In addition, we sought
to clarify that the gray wolf was only listed south of the Canadian
border.
The 1978 reclassification rule stipulated that ``biological
subspecies would continue to be maintained and dealt with as separate
entities'' (43 FR 9609), and offered ``the firmest assurance that [the
Service] will continue to recognize valid biological subspecies for
purposes of its research and conservation programs'' (43 FR 9610).
Accordingly, we implemented three gray wolf recovery programs in three
regions of the country--the northern Rocky Mountains, the southwestern
United States, and the eastern United States--to establish and
prioritize recovery criteria and actions appropriate to the unique
local circumstances of the gray wolf (table 1). Recovery in two of
these regions (northern Rocky Mountains and southwestern United States)
required reintroduction of gray wolves in experimental populations
(table 1),
[[Page 9650]]
while recovery in the third (eastern United States) relied on natural
recolonization and population growth.
Between 2003 and 2015, we published several rules revising the 1978
contiguous United States and Mexico listings for C. lupus in an attempt
to acknowledge taxonomy, comport with current policy and practices, and
to recognize the biological recovery of gray wolves in the northern
Rocky Mountains (NRM) and western Great Lakes (WGL) populations.
Previous rules were challenged and subsequently invalidated or vacated
by various courts based, in part, on their determinations that our
distinct population segment (DPS) designations were legally flawed
(table 1).
Of particular relevance to this proposed rule is our 2011 final
rule, in which we recognized the expansion of the Minnesota wolf
population by revising the entity to include all or portions of six
surrounding States, identified the expanded population as the western
Great Lakes DPS (WGL DPS), and revised the listings to remove the WGL
DPS from the List due to recovery. Also in 2011, we published a final
rule that implemented Section 1713 of Public Law 112-10, reinstating
our 2009 delisting rule for the NRM DPS and, with the exception of
Wyoming, removed gray wolves in that DPS from the List. In 2012, we
finalized a rule removing gray wolves in Wyoming from the List.
Subsequently, in 2013, we published a proposed rule to delist C. lupus
in the remaining listed portions of the United States and Mexico
outside of the delisted NRM and WGL DPSs, and keep Mexican wolf listed
as an endangered subspecies, C. l. baileyi (table 1).
However, in 2014 the United States District Court for the District
of Columbia vacated the final rule at 76 FR 81666 (December 28, 2011)
that removed protections of the Act from the gray wolf in the western
Great Lakes (table 1). The court's action was based, in part, on its
conclusion that the Act does not allow the Service to use its authority
to identify DPSs as ``species'' to remove the protections for part of
an already listed species. The U.S. Court of Appeals disagreed, ruling
in 2017 that the Service had the authority to designate a DPS from a
larger listed entity and delist it in the same rule (table 1). That
court nonetheless upheld the District Court's vacatur, concluding that
the Service failed to reasonably analyze or consider two significant
aspects of the rule: The impacts of partial delisting and historical
range loss on the remainder of the listed entity.
Our 2012 decision to delist gray wolves in Wyoming was also vacated
by the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia. Because the
2013 proposal to delist the remaining listed portions of the gray wolf
in the United States and Mexico relied in part on two subsequently
vacated final rules, the 2011 WGL DPS rule as well as our 2012 rule
delisting gray wolves in Wyoming, in 2015 we only finalized the portion
of the rule listing the Mexican wolf as an endangered subspecies (table
1). In 2017, the D.C. Circuit reversed the district court's decision
and reinstated the delisting of gray wolves in Wyoming. Thus, wolves
are currently delisted in the entire northern Rocky Mountains area
(figure 1).
As a result of the above actions, the C. lupus listings in 50 CFR
17.11 currently include: (1) C. lupus in Minnesota listed as
threatened, and (2) C. lupus in all or portions of 44 U.S. States and
Mexico, listed as endangered (figure 1). In the United States, this
includes: all of Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut,
Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky,
Louisiana, Massachusetts, Maryland, Maine, Michigan, Missouri,
Mississippi, North Carolina, North Dakota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New
Jersey, Nevada, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island,
South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, Vermont, West
Virginia, and Wisconsin; and portions of Arizona, New Mexico, Oregon,
Utah, and Washington (figure 1).
For additional information on these Federal actions and their
associated litigation history refer to the relevant associated rules or
the Previous Federal Actions sections of our recent gray wolf actions
(see table 1).
Table 1--Key Federal Regulatory Actions Under the Act and Predecessor Legislation 1 Pertaining to Gray Wolf and,
Where Applicable, Outcomes of Court Challenges to These Actions
[E = Endangered Species, T = Threatened Species, DPS = Distinct Population Segment, NRM = Northern Rocky
Mountains, WGL = Western Great Lakes]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Federal
Entity Year of action Type of action Register Litigation
citation history
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. l. lycaon................. 1967 \1\...................... List........... 32 FR 4001, ...............
March 11, 1967.
C. l. irremotus.............. 1973 \1\...................... List........... 38 FR 14678, ...............
June 4, 1973.
C. l. lycaon................. 1974.......................... List........... 39 FR 1171, ...............
January 4,
1974.
C. l. irremotus.............. 1974.......................... List........... 39 FR 1171, ...............
January 4,
1974.
C. l. baileyi................ 1976.......................... List (E)....... 41 FR 17736, ...............
April 28, 1976.
C. l. monstrabilis \2\....... 1976.......................... List (E)....... 41 FR 24064, ...............
June 14, 1976.
C. lupus in lower 48 U.S. 1978.......................... Reclassify (E). 43 FR 9607, ...............
(except Minnesota) & Mexico. March 9, 1978
\3\.
C. lupus in Minnesota........ 1978.......................... Reclassify (T). 43 FR 9607, ...............
March 9, 1978
\3\.
C. lupus..................... 1978 (revised 1992)........... Recovery Plan n.a............ ...............
for Eastern
Timber Wolf
(eastern gray
wolf).
C. lupus..................... 1980 (revised 1987)........... Recovery Plan n.a............ ...............
for NRM Gray
Wolf.
C. lupus..................... 1982 (revised 2017)........... Recovery Plan n.a............ ...............
for Mexican
Gray Wolf (C.
l. baileyi).
C. lupus..................... 1994.......................... Establish 59 FR 60266, ...............
experimental November 22,
population 1994.
(southeastern
Idaho,
southern
Montana, and
Wyoming).
C. lupus..................... 1994.......................... Establish 59 FR 60252, ...............
experimental November 22,
population 1994.
(central Idaho
& southwest
Montana).
C. lupus..................... 1998.......................... Establish 63 FR 1752, ...............
experimental January 12,
population 1998.
(Arizona & New
Mexico).
[[Page 9651]]
C. lupus DPSs:............... 2003.......................... Designate DPS & 68 FR 15804, Rule vacated
--Eastern DPS................ classify/ April 1, 2003. (Defenders of
--Western DPS................ reclassify as:. Wildlife v.
--Southwestern U.S. & Mexico --Eastern DPS Norton, 354 F.
DPS. (T). Supp. 2d 1156
--Western DPS (D. Or. 2005);
(T). National
--Southwestern Wildlife
U.S. & Mexico Federation v.
DPS (E) Delist Norton, 386 F.
in unoccupied Supp. 2d 553
non-historical (D. Vt. 2005))
range.
C. lupus WGL DPS............. 2007.......................... Designate DPS & 72 FR 6052, Rule vacated
delist. February 8, (Humane
2007. Society of the
United States
v. Kempthorne,
579 F. Supp.
2d 7 (D.D.C.
2008))
C. lupus NRM DPS............. 2008.......................... Designate DPS & 73 FR 10514, Rule vacated
delist. February 27, and remanded
2008. (Defenders of
Wildlife v.
Hall, 565 F.
Supp. 2d 1160
(D. Mont.
2008))
C. lupus DPSs:............... 2008.......................... Reinstatement 73 FR 75356, ...............
--WGL DPS.................... of December 11,
--NRM DPS.................... protections--N 2008.
RM & WGL DPSs.
C. lupus WGL DPS............. 2009.......................... Designate DPS & 74 FR 15070, Rule vacated
delist. April 2, 2009. (Humane
Society of the
United States
v. Salazar,
1:09-CV-1092-P
LF (D.D.C.
2009))
C. lupus NRM DPS (except 2009.......................... Designate DPS & 74 FR 15123, Rule vacated
Wyoming). delist (except April 2, 2009. (Defenders of
in Wyoming). Wildlife v.
Salazar, 729
F. Supp. 2d
1207 (D. Mont.
2010))
C. lupus WGL DPS............. 2009.......................... Reinstatement 74 FR 47483, ...............
of September 16,
protections--W 2009.
GL.
C. lupus NRM DPS............. 2010.......................... Reinstatement 75 FR 65574, ...............
of October 26,
protections--N 2010.
RM DPS.
C. lupus NRM DPS............. 2011.......................... Reissuance of 76 FR 25590, ...............
2009 NRM DPS May 5, 2011.
delisting rule
(as required
by Public Law
112-10-The
Department of
Defense and
Full-Year
Continuing
Appropriations
Act, 2011).
C. lupus WGL DPS............. 2011.......................... Revise 1978 76 FR 81666, Rule vacated
listing, December 28, (Humane
designate DPS 2011. Society of the
& delist. U.S. v.
Jewell, 76 F.
Supp. 3d 69,
110 (D.D.C.
2014)) Vacatur
upheld on
appeal (Humane
Society of the
U.S. v. Zinke,
865 F.3d 585
(D.C. Cir.
2017))
C. lupus in Wyoming.......... 2012.......................... Delist in 77 FR 55530, Rule vacated
Wyoming. September 10, (Defenders of
2012. Wildlife v.
Jewell, 68 F.
Supp. 3d 193
(D.D.C. 2014)
Vacatur
reversed on
appeal
(Defenders of
Wildlife v.
Zinke, 849
F.3d 1077
(D.C. Cir.
2017))
C. lupus in lower 48 U.S. 2013.......................... Propose delist 78 FR 35664, ...............
(except NRM & WGL DPSs) and in lower 48 June 13, 2013.
Mexico. U.S. & list C.
l. baileyi
(E); status
review of
wolves in
Pacific
Northwest.
C. l. baileyi................ 2015.......................... List E......... 80 FR 2488, ...............
January 16,
2015.
C. l. baileyi................ 2015.......................... Revised 1998 C. 80 FR 2512, ...............
lupus January 16,
experimental 2015.
population and
associated it
with C. l.
baileyi
listing.
C. lupus WGL DPS and C. lupus 2015.......................... Reinstatement 80 FR 9218, ...............
in Wyoming. of February 20,
protections--W 2015.
GL DPS &
Wyoming.
C. lupus in Wyoming.......... 2017.......................... Reinstatement 82 FR 20284, ...............
of 2012 May 1, 2017.
delisting--Wyo
ming.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Action taken under the Endangered Species Preservation predecessor legislation (Endangered Species Act of
1966, Endangered Species Conservation Act of 1969).
\2\ Later subsumed into C. l. baileyi due to taxonomic changes.
\3\ In this rule we also identified critical habitat in Michigan and Minnesota and promulgated special
regulations under section 4(d) of the Act for operating a wolf- management program in Minnesota. The special
regulation was later modified (50 FR 50793, December 12, 1985).
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P
[[Page 9652]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP15MR19.005
BILLING CODE 4333-15-C
General Background
The 1978 Reclassification
When the gray wolf (C. lupus) was reclassified in March 1978
(replacing multiple subspecies listings with two C. lupus population
listings as described further in Previous Federal Actions), it had been
extirpated from much of its historical range in the contiguous United
States. Although the 1978 reclassification listed two gray wolf
entities (a threatened population in Minnesota and an endangered
population throughout the rest of the contiguous United States and
Mexico), these listings were not predicated upon a formal DPS analysis,
because the reclassification predated the November 1978 amendments to
the Act, which revised the definition of ``species'' to include
distinct population segments of vertebrate fish or wildlife, and our
1996 DPS Policy.
As indicated in Previous Federal Actions, the 1978 reclassification
was employed as an approach of convenience to ensure the gray wolf was
protected wherever it was found (as described in 47 FR 9607, March 9,
1978) in the lower 48 States and Mexico, rather than an indication of
where gray wolves actually existed or where gray wolf recovery would
occur. Thus, the 1978 reclassification resulted in inclusion of large
areas of the contiguous United States where gray wolves were
extirpated, as well as the mid-Atlantic and southeastern United
States--west to central Texas and Oklahoma--an area that is generally
accepted not to be within the historical range of C. lupus (Young and
Goldman 1944, pp. 413-416, 478; Nowak 1995, p. 395, fig. 20). While
this generalized approach to the listing appropriately protected
dispersing wolves throughout the historical range of C. lupus in the
United States and Mexico and facilitated recovery of the northern Rocky
Mountains and western Great Lakes populations, it also erroneously
included areas outside the species' historical range and was misread by
some members of the public as an expression of a larger gray wolf
recovery effort not required by the Act and never intended by the
Service. In fact, as discussed below (see National Wolf Strategy), our
recovery efforts have consistently focused on reestablishing wolf
populations in specific areas of the country.
National Wolf Strategy
We first described our national wolf strategy in our May 5, 2011,
proposed rule to revise the List for the gray wolf in the eastern
United States (76 FR 26086). This strategy was intended to: (1) Lay out
a cohesive and coherent approach to addressing wolf conservation needs,
including protection and management, in accordance with the Act's
statutory framework; (2) ensure that actions taken for one wolf
population do not cause unintended consequences for other populations;
and (3) be explicit about the role of historical range in the
conservation of extant wolf populations. Included in this strategy is
the precept that, in order to qualify for any type of listing or
delisting action, wolf entities must conform to the Act's definition of
``species,'' whether as taxonomic species or subspecies or as distinct
population segments.
Our May 5, 2011, proposed rule states that our strategy focuses on
conservation of four extant gray wolf entities being considered for
[[Page 9653]]
classification actions: (1) The western Great Lakes population, (2) the
northern Rocky Mountains population, (3) the southwestern population of
Mexican wolves, and (4) gray wolves in the Pacific Northwest. All of
our actions to date are consistent with this focus. As stated above
(see Previous Federal Actions), we published final rules delisting the
NRM DPS (except for Wyoming), WGL DPS, and Wyoming portion of the NRM
DPS in 2011 and 2012, and published a final rule listing the Mexican
wolf (C. l. baileyi) separately as endangered in 2015. However, as
indicated in Previous Federal Actions, our 2011 final rule designating
and delisting the WGL DPS was subsequently vacated.
In addition to the rules described above, we completed a status
review for gray wolves in the Pacific Northwest (western Washington and
western Oregon) in 2013 (table 1). We determined that these wolves are
not discrete, under our DPS policy, from wolves in the NRM DPS (see 78
FR 35707-35713) and, therefore, are not a valid listable entity under
the Act. Wolves in the Pacific Northwest are a mix of individuals
derived from wolves in the northern Rocky Mountains and Canada (or
both) and represent the expanding fronts of these populations (78 FR
35707-35713, USFWS 2018, pp. 4, 14-15, 23). Since publication of our
2013 status review, wolves have also expanded into northern California.
Wolves in northern California are not discrete from those in the
Pacific Northwest based on documented movement of wolves between Oregon
and California (USFWS 2018, pp. 14-15). Therefore, wolves in western
Washington, western Oregon, and northern California are not a valid DPS
because they are not discrete from the NRM DPS.
Approach for This Proposed Rule
The Entities Addressed in This Rule
In this proposed rule, we consider the status of the gray wolf
within the geographic boundaries of the two currently listed C. lupus
entities to determine whether these wolves should remain on the List in
their current status, be reclassified, or be removed from the List.
These two currently listed entities are: (1) C. lupus in Minnesota, and
(2) C. lupus in the lower 48 United States and Mexico outside of
Minnesota, the NRM DPS (Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, eastern third of
Washington and Oregon, and north-central Utah), and the area covered by
the experimental population area for C. l. baileyi (the designated area
in which the subspecies is being re-introduced; see 63 FR 1752, January
12, 1998). These two entities are currently listed as threatened and
endangered, respectively.
While our past status reviews have focused on C. lupus DPSs and
taxonomic units that align with our national wolf strategy (see table
1), this status review considers the current C. lupus listed entities
described above. We do this:
(1) To address the Court of Appeals concerns with our 2011 final
rule delisting the WGL DPS, specifically, concern pertaining to the
impacts of partial delisting on the remainder of the already-listed
species (see Previous Federal Actions);
(2) To avoid a rulemaking that conflicts with multiple court
opinions regarding our prior attempts to designate and delist wolf DPSs
(see table 1); and
(3) Because, with the exception of C. l. baileyi, which is listed
separately as endangered wherever found (see Previous Federal Actions),
the taxonomy of C. lupus is complex, controversial, and unresolved
(USFWS 2018, pp. 1-4; also see How We Address Taxonomic Uncertainties
in this Rule, below).
How We Address the C. lupus Entities in This Rule
The two currently listed gray wolf entities are vestiges of a 40-
year-old action (the 1978 reclassification (see Background)). Our
knowledge of wolf biology and taxonomy has vastly changed since then.
Additionally, our previous efforts to revise the listed entities have
not withstood judicial scrutiny (see Previous Federal Actions). Our
policies and practices pertaining to listable entities have also
changed since the 1978 reclassification. As a result, these entities do
not conform with our current policies and standard practice.
Specifically: (1) These two entities are not discrete from one another
under our current policy on vertebrate distinct population segments
(DPSs) (61 FR 4722, February 7, 1996); (2) the listing for the larger
entity includes areas known to overlap with the range of the separately
listed gray wolf subspecies C. l. baileyi; and (3) wolves currently
listed in the western United States are not discrete from the recovered
Northern Rocky Mountains population, which we removed from the List in
2009 (table 1).
(1) Lack of Discreteness of the Two C. lupus Listed Entities
Under the Act we can list a species, subspecies, or vertebrate DPS.
Neither of the two entities currently on the List represents an entire
species or subspecies, thus to comply with the statute, these listings
must be DPSs. Our 1996 DPS policy specifies that a vertebrate
population must be both discrete and significant to qualify as a DPS
(61 FR 4722-4725; February 7, 1996). To qualify as ``discrete,'' a
population must be ``markedly separated from other populations of the
same taxon as a consequence of physical, physiological, ecological, or
behavioral factors'' (61 FR 4725). However, as indicated, the
populations in these two entities are no longer discrete (U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (USFWS) 2018, pp. 22-23). Therefore, because it is
clear that neither entity would qualify as a DPS under our 1996 DPS
policy (61 FR 4725), we consider the conservation status of the two
listed wolf entities as one combined entity in this proposed rule. We
refer to the combined entity simply as ``the gray wolf entity''
throughout this proposed rule.
(2) C. l. baileyi listing
As indicated above (see Previous Federal Actions), in 2015 we
revised the listing for gray wolf by reclassifying the subspecies C. l.
baileyi as a separately listed entity with the status of endangered,
wherever found. Although the rulemaking does not include language
expressly excluding C. l. baileyi from the previously listed C. lupus
entity, we indicated in our 2015 final rule listing the subspecies that
the effect of the regulation was to revise the List by making a
separate entry for the Mexican wolf (80 FR 2488, 2511, January 16,
2015). Therefore, because we already assessed the status of, and
listed, the Mexican wolf separately, we do not consider individuals or
populations of C. l. baileyi in this proposed rule. In geographical
terms, we do not consider wolves occurring in Mexico and within the
experimental population area in this proposed rule. Canis lupus baileyi
is the only subspecies known to occur in these areas, and we have no
information suggesting that other gray wolves occur in these areas.
(3) Lack of Discreteness of Western Wolves Within and Outside the Gray
Wolf Entity
In the coastal States of the western United States, wolves within
the gray wolf entity occur in an area comprising western Oregon,
western Washington, and northern California. These wolves are part of
the expanding fronts (or edges) of the recovered and delisted wolf
population in the NRM DPS and wolves crossing into the United States
[[Page 9654]]
from British Columbia, Canada (USFWS 2018, p. 22). While wolves in the
west coast States may not be discrete from the NRM DPS and wolves in
British Columbia, Canada, we do not combine wolves in the west coast
States with those in the NRM DPS and British Columbia, Canada, for the
purpose of our analysis (as we combined the two currently listed
entities) because wolves in the NRM DPS and British Columbia, Canada,
are not currently listed under the Act. Therefore, we do not consider
wolves occurring in either of these locations in this proposed rule
except to provide context, where appropriate, in our discussions of
wolves comprising the gray wolf entity.
How We Address Taxonomic Uncertainties in This Rule
The taxonomy and evolutionary history of wolves in North America
are complex and controversial, particularly with respect to the
taxonomic assignment of wolves in the northeastern United States and
portions of the Great Lakes region (eastern wolves) (see Taxonomy of
Gray Wolves in North America). Available information indicates ongoing
scientific debate and a lack of resolution on the taxonomy of eastern
wolves. Some scientists consider eastern wolves to be a distinct
species, C. lycaon; some consider them gray wolves (C. lupus); and some
consider them the product of hybridization between gray wolves and
coyotes (USFWS 2018, p. 1). Further, none of these viewpoints is more
widely accepted by the scientific community.
For the purposes of this proposed rule, we consider eastern wolves
to be members of the species C. lupus because there is not clear
support for a recognizable and independent evolved eastern wolf
species. Therefore, in our assessment of the status of the gray wolf
entity, we include eastern wolves and eastern wolf range that occurs
within the geographical boundaries of the gray wolf entity.
We note that in our 2013 proposed rule to delist wolves in the
lower 48 United States and Mexico (table 1), we accepted the
conclusions of Chambers et al. (2012, entire) on the taxonomy of
eastern wolves and recognized eastern wolves as the distinct species C.
lycaon. However, peer reviewers of our 2013 proposed rule indicated
that Chambers et al. was not universally accepted and our rule did not
represent the best available science (National Center for Ecological
Analysis and Synthesis 2014, entire). Also, new information published
on the topic since publication of our 2013 rule indicates the taxonomy
of eastern wolves continues to be controversial and unresolved (USFWS
2018, pp. 1-2). Finally, the uncertainty of the existence of a separate
species is reflected in the fact that C. lycaon is not recognized by
authoritative taxonomic organizations such as the American Society of
Mammalogists or the International Commission on Zoological
Nomenclature.
Scientists also disagree on the taxonomic assignment of wolves in
the southeastern United States generally recognized as ``red wolves.''
However, we recognize the red wolf as the species C. rufus, and note
that it is listed as endangered where found (32 FR 4001, March 11,
1967). We do not consider red wolves further in this rule, and the red
wolf listing is not affected by this proposal.
Summary of Our Approach
In this proposed rule, we assess the status of gray wolves
occurring within the geographic area outlined by the two currently
listed gray wolf (C. lupus) entities combined (figure 1), but we do not
include in our assessment individuals or populations of the Mexican
gray wolf (C. l. baileyi) (wolves that occur in Mexico and the
nonessential experimental population area in the southwestern United
States) as these wolves are separately listed as an endangered
subspecies (80 FR 2488, January 16, 2015). Further, for the purposes of
this proposed rule, we consider any eastern wolves within the
geographic boundaries of the two currently listed gray wolf entities to
be members of the species C. lupus. As stated previously, this proposed
rule supersedes the June 13, 2013, proposed rule to delist C. lupus in
the remaining listed portions of the United States and Mexico outside
of the delisted NRM and WGL (78 FR 35663).
Species Information
We provide detailed background information on gray wolves in the
United States in a separate Gray Wolf Biological Report (see USFWS
2018, entire). This document can be found along with this proposed rule
at https://regulations.gov in Docket No. FWS-HW-ES-2018-0097 (see
Supplemental Documents). We summarize relevant information from this
report below. For additional information, including sources of the
information presented below, see USFWS (2018, entire) and references
therein.
Biology and Ecology
Gray wolves are the largest wild members of the dog family and have
a broad circumpolar range. They are highly territorial, social animals
that live and hunt in packs. They are well adapted to traveling fast
and far in search of food, and catching and eating large mammals. In
North America they are primarily predators of medium to large mammals,
including deer, elk, and other species.
Gray wolves are habitat generalists. They can successfully occupy a
wide range of habitats and are not dependent on wilderness for their
survival. An inadequate prey density and a high level of human
persecution appear to be the only factors that limit habitat
suitability and gray wolf distribution. Thus, virtually any area that
has sufficient prey and adequate protection from persecution can be
suitable habitat for gray wolves.
Wolf populations are remarkably resilient as long as food supply
and regulation of human-caused mortality are adequate. In the absence
of high levels of anthropogenic influences, wolf populations are
generally believed to be regulated by the distribution and abundance of
prey on the landscape, though density-dependent, intrinsic mechanisms
(e.g., social strife, territoriality, disease) may limit populations
when ungulate densities are high. Where harvest occurs, high levels of
reproduction and immigration can compensate for high mortality rates.
Pack social structure is very adaptable--breeding members can be
quickly replaced from within or outside the pack, and pups can be
reared by another pack member should their parents die. Consequently,
wolf populations can rapidly overcome severe disruptions, such as
pervasive human-caused mortality or disease. Wolf populations can
increase rapidly after severe declines if the source of mortality is
reduced. Also, the species' dispersal capabilities allow a wolf
population to quickly expand and colonize nearby areas, even areas
separated by broad expanses of unsuitable habitat.
Taxonomy of Gray Wolves in North America
The taxonomy of the genus Canis in North America has a complex and
contentious history, particularly with respect to two generally
recognized phenotypes (morphological forms) that occur in eastern North
America: The ``red wolf'' and ``eastern wolf.'' As indicated above (see
How We Address Taxonomic Uncertainties in this Rule), we continue to
recognize the red wolf as the species C. rufus and do not discuss the
taxonomy of the species further in this rule (for more information, see
our 2018 Red Wolf Species Status Assessment). We discuss the eastern
wolf further below.
[[Page 9655]]
The ``eastern wolf'' has been the source of perhaps the most
significant disagreement on North American canid taxonomy among
scientists. The ``eastern wolf'' has been variously described as a
species, a subspecies of gray wolf, an ecotype of gray wolf, or the
product of hybridization between gray wolves and coyotes. Hybridization
is widely recognized to have played, and to continue to play, an
important role among ``eastern wolves,'' with varying views on the role
of hybridization between ``eastern wolves'' and coyotes, ``eastern
wolves'' and gray wolves, and gray wolves and coyotes. Minnesota
appears to be the western edge of a hybrid zone between western gray
wolves and eastern wolves--wolves in western Minnesota appear to be
gray wolves both morphologically and genetically while wolves in
eastern Minnesota and much of the Great Lakes area appear to be
``eastern wolf,'' introgressed with western gray wolf to varying
degrees.
No controversy exists regarding the number of wolf species in
western North America--all are widely recognized as gray wolves (C.
lupus). However, the science pertaining to gray wolf subspecies
designations, unique evolutionary lineages, ecotypes, and admixture of
formerly isolated populations continues to develop and remains
unresolved. Even so, genetic studies indicate that wolves in Washington
include individuals from the northern Rocky Mountains, individuals from
British Columbia, and individuals of mixed ancestry. Wolves currently
occupying Oregon and California are derived from dispersers from the
northern Rocky Mountains.
Range and Population Trends Prior to 1978 Reclassification
Historical Range of the Gray Wolf Entity
We view the historical range to be the range of gray wolves within
the gray wolf entity at the time of European settlement. We determined
that this timeframe is appropriate because it precedes the major
changes in range in response to excessive human-caused mortality (USFWS
2018, pp. 7-11).
At the time of the 1978 reclassification, the historical range of
the gray wolf was generally believed to include most of North America
and, consequently, most of the gray wolf entity. In the lower 48 United
States, they were reportedly absent from parts of California, the arid
deserts and mountaintops of the western United States, and parts of the
eastern United States. However, some authorities question the species'
historical absence in parts of California. In addition, long-held
differences of opinion exist among scientists regarding the precise
boundary of the gray wolf's historical range in the eastern United
States. Some believe the range of gray wolves extended as far south as
southern Georgia while others believe it did not extend into the
southeast at all. The southeastern and mid-Atlantic States are
generally recognized as being within the historical range of the red
wolf, but it is not known how much range overlap historically occurred
between these two species. Because of the various scientific positions
on gray wolf species and range, the historical extent of gray wolf
range for much of the gray wolf entity in the eastern United States
remains uncertain.
Based on our review of the best available information, we view the
historical range of the gray wolf within the gray wolf entity to follow
that presented in Nowak (1995) and depicted in figure 2. This includes
all areas within the gray wolf entity except western California, a
small portion of southwestern Arizona, and the southeastern United
States (see figure 2 and USFWS 2018, pp. 7-11).
While some authorities question the absence of gray wolves in parts
of California, limited preserved physical evidence of wolves in
California exists. Therefore, we rely on early reports of wolves in the
State that describe the species as occurring in the northern and Sierra
Mountain regions of California. Further, while recognizing that the
extent of overlap of C. rufus and C. lupus ranges is unknown, because
the southeastern United States are generally recognized as within the
range of C. rufus, we consider it to be generally outside the range of
C. lupus. However, we acknowledge that the historical range of C. lupus
is uncertain and the topic of continued debate among scientists.
Historical Abundance of the Gray Wolf Entity
Historical abundance of gray wolves within the gray wolf entity is
largely unknown. Based on the reports of European settlers, gray wolves
were common in much of the West. While historical (at the time of
European settlement) estimates are notoriously difficult to verify, one
study estimates that hundreds of thousands of wolves occurred in the
western United States and Mexico. In the Great Lakes area, there were
an estimated 4,000 to 8,000 in Minnesota, 3,000 to 5,000 in Wisconsin,
and fewer than 6,000 in Michigan. No estimates are available for
historical abundance in the Northeast.
Historical Trends in Range and Abundance for the Gray Wolf Entity
Gray wolf range and numbers throughout the gray wolf entity
declined significantly during the 19th and 20th centuries as a result
of killing of wolves by humans through poisoning, unregulated trapping
and shooting, and government-funded wolf-extermination efforts. By the
time subspecies were first listed under the Act in 1974 (table 1), the
gray wolf had been eliminated from most of its historical range within
the lower 48 United States, including within most of the gray wolf
entity.
Distribution, and Abundance of the Gray Wolf Entity at the Time of the
1978 Reclassification
By the time gray wolf subspecies were listed under the Act in 1974
(table 1), the species occurred in only a small fraction of its
historical range. Aside from a few scattered individuals, wolves
occurred in only two places within the gray wolf entity (and the entire
lower 48 United States). A population persisted in northeastern
Minnesota, and a small, isolated group of about 40 wolves occurred on
Isle Royale, Michigan. The Minnesota wolf population was the only major
U.S. population in existence outside Alaska at this time and numbered
about 1,000 individuals. While the Minnesota population was small
compared to historical numbers and range within the lower 48 United
States, it had not undergone a significant decline since about 1900. By
1978, when several gray wolf subspecies were consolidated into a single
lower 48 United States/Mexico listing and a separate Minnesota listing
under the Act, the gray wolf population in Minnesota had increased to
an estimated 1,235 wolves in 138 packs (in the winter of 1978-79) and
had an estimated range of 14,038 square miles (mi\2\) (36,500 square
kilometers (km\2\)) (figure 2). Although it was suspected that wolves
inhabited Wisconsin at this time, it was not until 1979 that wolf
presence was confirmed in the State.
Current Distribution and Abundance of the Gray Wolf Entity
The vast majority of wolves within the gray wolf entity now exist
as a large, stable or growing metapopulation (partially isolated set of
subpopulations) of more than 4,400 individuals that is broadly
distributed across the northern portions of three States in the Great
Lakes area. This metapopulation is also connected, via documented
dispersals, to the large and expansive population of about 12,000-
14,000 wolves in eastern Canada. As a result, gray wolves in the
[[Page 9656]]
Great Lakes area do not function as an isolated metapopulation of 4,400
individuals across three States, but rather as part of a much larger
metapopulation that spans across three States of the United States and
two Provinces of Canada.
In addition to the metapopulation in the Great Lakes area, as of
2017, three breeding pairs and four packs with no documented
reproduction occur within the gray wolf entity in Oregon, Washington,
and California. These wolves originated from large populations of
approximately 15,000 wolves in western Canada and about 1,700 wolves in
the northern Rocky Mountains. Effective dispersal has been documented
among California, Oregon, and Washington as well as between these
States and other northern Rocky Mountains States and Canada. Thus,
wolves in the Pacific coast States are an extension of the
metapopulation of wolves in western Canada and the northern Rocky
Mountains.
Finally, a number of lone long-distance dispersing wolves have been
documented outside core populations of the Great Lakes area and western
United States since the early 2000s. Confirmed records of individual
wolves have been reported from North Dakota, South Dakota, Utah,
Colorado, Nevada, Missouri, Indiana, Illinois, Nebraska, and Kansas.
The total number of confirmed records in each of these States, since
the early 2000s, ranges from one in Nevada to at least 27 in North
Dakota, with the latter also having an additional 45 probable but
unverified reports.
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Gray Wolf Recovery Plans and Recovery Implementation
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
recovery plans for the conservation and survival of endangered and
threatened species unless we determine that such a plan will not
promote the conservation of the species. Recovery plans are non-
regulatory documents that identify site-specific management actions
that may be necessary to achieve conservation and survival of the
species. They also identify objective, measurable criteria (recovery
criteria) which, when met, would result in a determination that the
species should be removed from the List. Methods for monitoring
recovery progress may also be included in recovery plans.
The Act does not describe recovery in terms of the proportion of
historical range that must be occupied by a species, nor does it ever
allude to restoration throughout the entire historical range as a
conservation purpose. In fact, the Act itself does not contain the
phrase ``historical range.'' Thus, the Act does not require us to
restore the gray wolf (or any other species) to all of its historical
range or any specific percentage of currently suitable habitat. For
some species, expansion of their distribution or abundance may be
necessary to achieve recovery, but the amount of expansion is driven by
a species' biological needs affecting viability (ability to sustain
[[Page 9657]]
populations in the wild over time) and sustainability, not by an
arbitrary percent of a species' historical range or currently suitable
habitat. Many other species may be recovered in portions of their
historical range or currently suitable habitat by removing or
addressing the threats to their continued existence. And some species
may be recovered by a combination of range expansion and threats
reduction. There is no uniform definition for recovery and how recovery
must be achieved.
As indicated in Previous Federal Actions, following our 1978
reclassification, we drafted recovery plans and implemented recovery
programs for gray wolves in three regions of the contiguous United
States (table 1). Wolves in one of these regions--C. l. baileyi, in the
southwestern United States and Mexico--were recently listed separately
as an endangered subspecies and are not considered in this rule (see
Approach for this Proposed Rule). Wolves in another of these regions--
the northern Rocky Mountains--have recovered and were delisted (table
1). We discuss recovery of wolves in the third region--the eastern
United States--as it relates to the status of the gray wolf entity,
below. We did not develop a recovery plan for wolves in the U.S. west
coast States because we did not identify this area as necessary to the
recovery of the species following our 1978 reclassification. We have
not since developed a recovery plan for these wolves because we
determined in our 2013 status review that they are biologically part of
(although outside the legal boundary of) an already recovered and
delisted population (see National Wolf Strategy).
Recovery Criteria
There are many paths to accomplish recovery of a species, and
recovery may be achieved without all recovery criteria being fully met.
We use recovery criteria in concert with evidence that threats have
been minimized sufficiently and populations have achieved long-term
viability to determine when a species can be reclassified from
endangered to threatened or delisted. Recovery of a species is a
dynamic process requiring adaptive management that may, or may not,
fully follow the guidance provided in a recovery plan. Recovery plans,
including recovery criteria, are subject to change based upon new
information and are revised accordingly and when practicable. In a
similar sense, implementation of planned actions is subject to changing
information and availability of resources. We have taken these
considerations into account in the following discussion.
The 1978 Recovery Plan (hereafter Recovery Plan) and the 1992
Revised Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber Wolf (hereafter Revised
Recovery Plan) were developed to guide recovery of the eastern timber
wolf subspecies. Those recovery plans contain the same two recovery
criteria, which are meant to indicate when recovery of the eastern
timber wolf throughout its historical range in the eastern United
States has been achieved. The first recovery criterion states that the
survival of the wolf in Minnesota must be assured. We, and the Eastern
Timber Wolf Recovery Team (Peterson in litt. 1997, 1998, 1999a, 1999b),
have concluded that this recovery criterion remains valid. It addresses
a need for reasonable assurances that future State, tribal, and Federal
wolf management and protection will maintain a viable recovered
population of wolves within the borders of Minnesota for the
foreseeable future.
Although the recovery criteria identified in the Recovery Plan
predate identification of the conservation biology principles of
representation (conserving the adaptive genetic diversity of a taxon),
resiliency (ability to withstand demographic and environmental
variation), and redundancy (sufficient populations to provide a margin
of safety), those principles were incorporated into the recovery
criteria. The Recovery Team insisted that the remnant Minnesota wolf
population be maintained and protected to achieve wolf recovery in the
eastern United States. Maintenance of the Minnesota wolf population is
vital in terms of representation because these wolves include both
western gray wolves and wolves that are admixtures of western gray
wolves and eastern wolves. In other words, they contain the genetic
components of both western gray wolves and eastern wolves. The
successful growth of the remnant Minnesota population has maintained
and maximized the representation of that genetic diversity among wolves
in the Great Lakes area.
Maintenance of the Minnesota wolf population is also vital in terms
of resiliency. Although the Revised Recovery Plan did not establish a
specific numerical criterion for the Minnesota wolf population, it did
identify, for planning purposes only, a population goal of 1,251-1,400
animals for that Minnesota population (USFWS 1992, p. 28). A population
of this size not only increases the likelihood of maintaining its
genetic diversity over the long term, but also reduces the adverse
impacts of unpredictable demographic and environmental events.
Furthermore, the Revised Recovery Plan recommends a wolf population
that is spread across about 40 percent of Minnesota (Zones 1 through 4)
(USFWS 1992, p. 28), adding a geographic component to the resiliency of
the Minnesota wolf population.
The second recovery criterion in the Recovery Plan states that at
least one viable wolf population should be reestablished within the
historical range of the eastern timber wolf outside of Minnesota and
Isle Royale, Michigan (USFWS 1992, pp. 24-26). The reestablished
population enhances both the resiliency and redundancy of the Great
Lakes metapopulation.
The Recovery Plan provides two options for reestablishing this
second population. If it is an isolated population, that is, located
more than 100 miles (mi) (160 kilometers (km)) from the Minnesota wolf
population, the second population should consist of at least 200 wolves
for at least 5 years, based upon late-winter population estimates, to
be considered viable. Late-winter estimates are made at a time when
most winter mortality has already occurred and before the birth of
pups, thus, the count is made at the annual low point of the
population. Alternatively, if the second population is located within
100 mi (160 km) of a self-sustaining wolf population (for example, the
Minnesota wolf population), it should be maintained at a minimum of 100
wolves for at least 5 years, based on late-winter population estimates,
to be considered viable. A nearby second population would be considered
viable at a smaller size because it would be geographically close
enough to exchange wolves with the Minnesota population (that is, they
would function as a metapopulation), thereby bolstering the smaller
second population both genetically and numerically.
The original Recovery Plan did not specify where in the eastern
United States the second population should be reestablished. Therefore,
the second population could have been established anywhere within the
triangular Minnesota-Maine-Florida area covered by the Recovery Plan
and the Revised Recovery Plan, except on Isle Royale (Michigan) or
within Minnesota. The Revised Recovery Plan identified potential gray
wolf reestablishment areas in northern Wisconsin, the Upper Peninsula
of Michigan, the Adirondack Forest Preserve of New York, a small area
in eastern Maine, and a larger area of northwestern Maine and adjacent
northern New Hampshire (USFWS
[[Page 9658]]
1992, pp. 56-58). Neither the 1978 nor the 1992 recovery criteria
suggest that the establishment of gray wolves throughout all or most of
what was thought to be its historical range in the eastern United
States, or to all of the identified potential reestablishment areas, is
necessary to achieve recovery under the Act.
In 1998, the Eastern Timber Wolf Recovery Team clarified the
application of the recovery criterion for the second population to the
wolf population that had developed in northern Wisconsin and the
adjacent Upper Peninsula of Michigan. This second population is less
than 100 mi (160 km) from the Minnesota wolf population. The Recovery
Team recommended that the numerical recovery criterion for the
Wisconsin-Michigan population be considered met when consecutive late-
winter wolf surveys document that the population equals or exceeds 100
wolves (excluding Isle Royale wolves) for the 5 consecutive years
between the first and last surveys (Peterson in litt. 1998).
Recovery Progress
Wolves in the Great Lakes area greatly exceed the recovery criteria
(USFWS 1992, pp. 24-26) for (1) a secure wolf population in Minnesota,
and (2) a second population outside Minnesota and Isle Royale
consisting of 100 wolves for 5 successive years. Based on the eight
surveys conducted since 1998, the wolf population in Minnesota has
exceeded 2,000 individuals over the past 20 years, and populations in
Michigan and Wisconsin have exceeded 100 individuals every year since
1996 (USFWS 2018, appendix 1). Based on the criteria set by the Eastern
Wolf Recovery Team in 1992 and reaffirmed in 1997 and 1998 (Peterson in
litt. 1997, in litt. 1998), this region contains sufficient wolf
numbers and distribution to ensure the long-term survival of the gray
wolf entity.
The maintenance and expansion of the Minnesota wolf population has
allowed for the preservation of the genetic diversity that remained in
the Great Lakes area when its wolves were first protected in 1974.
Furthermore, the Wisconsin-Michigan wolf population far exceeds the
numerical recovery criterion even for a completely isolated second
population. Therefore, even in the unlikely event that this two-State
population were to become totally isolated and wolf immigration from
Minnesota and Ontario completely ceased, it would still remain a viable
wolf population for the foreseeable future, as defined by the Revised
Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992, pp. 25-26). Finally, each of the wolf
populations in Wisconsin and Michigan has exceeded 200 animals for
about 20 years, so if either were somehow to become isolated, they
would remain viable, and each State has committed to manage its wolf
population at or above viable population levels. The wolf's numeric and
distributional recovery criteria in the Great Lakes area have been met.
Historical Context of Our Analysis
When reviewing the current status of a species, it is important to
understand and evaluate the effects of lost historical range on the
viability of the species in its current range. In fact, when we
consider the status of a species in its current range, we are
considering whether, without the species' lost historical range, the
species is endangered or threatened. Range reduction may result in:
Reduced numbers of individuals and populations; changes in available
resources (such as food) and, consequently, range carrying capacity;
changes in demographic characteristics (survival, reproductive rate,
metapopulation structure, etc.); and changes in genetic diversity and
gene flow. These in turn can increase a species' vulnerability to a
wide variety of threats, such as habitat loss, restricted gene flow, or
having all or most of its populations affected by a catastrophic event
such as a hurricane, fire, or disease outbreak. In other words, past
range reduction can reduce the redundancy, resiliency, and
representation of a species in its remaining range, such that a species
may meet the definition of an ``endangered species'' or ``threatened
species'' under the Act. Thus, loss of historical range is not
necessarily determinative of a species' status, but must be considered
in the context of all factors affecting a species. In addition to
considering the effects that loss of historical range has had on the
current and future viability of the species, we must also consider the
causes of that loss of historical range. If the causes of the loss are
still continuing, then that loss is also relevant as evidence of the
effects of an ongoing threat.
As indicated above, gray wolves historically occupied most of the
range of the gray wolf entity (see Historical Range). The gray wolf
range of the gray wolf entity began receding after the arrival of
Europeans as a result of deliberate killing of wolves by humans and
government funded bounty programs aimed at eradication (USFWS 2018, pp.
7-11). Further, many historical habitats were converted into
agricultural land (Paquet and Carbyn 2003, p. 483), and natural food
sources such as deer and elk were reduced, eliminated, or replaced with
domestic livestock, which can become anthropogenic food sources for
gray wolves (Young 1944 in Fritts et al. 1997, p. 8). The resulting
reduction in range and population were dramatic--by the 1970s gray
wolves occupied only a small fraction of their historical range (figure
2). Although the range of the gray wolf in the gray wolf entity has
significantly expanded since 1978, its size and distribution remain
below historical levels. Today, gray wolves within the gray wolf entity
exist as a metapopulation spread across northern Minnesota, Michigan,
and Wisconsin, and a small number of colonizing wolves in the west
coast United States (USFWS 2018, pp. 22-23) (figure 2).
The alterations to gray wolf historical numbers and populations
within the gray wolf entity increased the vulnerability of the gray
wolf entity to a wide variety of threats that would not be at issue
without such massive range reduction. Some of these threats were
identified in the 1978 reclassification (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978),
including reduction in available food (prey) resources, and direct
killing by humans. In addition to these considerations, in this
proposed rule we also consider availability of suitable habitat,
disease and parasites, and climate change. We analyze these potential
threats to the gray wolf entity below under Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species.
While range reduction may also result in changes in genetic
diversity and gene flow, or cause changes in population demographics,
we do not address genetic diversity or demographics of the gray wolf
entity below because we are not aware of any information indicating
that these are potential threats to wolves in the gray wolf entity.
Wolves in the entity appear to be genetically and demographically
healthy. Not only do they include wolves of differing and mixed genetic
origin, but they exist as part of larger metapopulations--adverse
effects resulting from genetic drift, demographic shifts, and local
environmental fluctuations can be countered by influxes of individuals
and their genetic diversity from other subpopulations of the
metapopulation.
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for adding
species to, reclassifying species on, or removing species from the
Federal List of Endangered and
[[Page 9659]]
Threatened Wildlife (List). We may determine a species to be an
endangered species or threatened species due to one or more of the five
factors described in section 4(a)(1) of the Act: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or
range; (B) overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; and (E) other natural or manmade
factors affecting its continued existence. Listing actions may be
warranted based on any of these five factors, singly or in combination.
We must consider these same five factors in reclassifications of
species (changing the status from threatened to endangered or vice
versa), and removing a species from the List (delisting) because it is
no longer endangered or threatened (50 CFR 424.11(c), (d)). For species
that are already listed as endangered or threatened, this analysis of
threats is an evaluation of threats that existed at the time of
listing, threats currently facing the species, and the threats that are
reasonably likely to affect the species in the foreseeable future, and
the impact of the removal or reduction of the Act's protections
following a delisting or downlisting (i.e., reclassification from
endangered to threatened).
For the purposes of this proposed rule, we define the ``foreseeable
future'' to be the extent to which, given the amount and substance of
available data, we can anticipate events or effects, or reliably
extrapolate threat trends that relate to the status of the gray wolf
entity. It took a considerable length of time for public attitudes and
regulations to result in a social climate that promoted and allowed for
wolf recovery within the gray wolf entity. The length of time over
which this shift occurred, and the ensuing stability in those
attitudes, gives us confidence that this social climate will persist.
Also, the Great Lakes States, which contain the vast majority of wolves
within the gray wolf entity, have had a solid history of cooperating
with and assisting in wolf recovery and have made a commitment, through
legislative actions, to continue these activities. Washington, Oregon,
and California are also committed to conserving wolves as demonstrated
by development of management plans and laws and regulations that
protect wolves. We are not aware of any information indicating that the
commitment of the Great Lakes States and west coast States to gray wolf
conservation will change and conclude that this commitment will
continue. When evaluating the available information, with respect to
foreseeable future, we take into account reduced confidence as we
forecast further into the future. Finally, we note that there is a
proposed revision to 50 CFR part 424 that creates a regulatory
framework for the phrase ``foreseeable future.'' This proposal is not a
departure from how we have implemented the phrase, but rather is meant
to codify the framework we have been implementing. Thus, while we are
not bound to the proposed revised regulations because they are not
final, our interpretation of ``foreseeable future'' in this rule is
consistent with them.
In considering what factors might constitute threats, we must look
beyond the exposure of the species to a particular factor to evaluate
whether the species may respond to the factor in a way that causes
actual impacts to the species. If there is exposure to a factor and the
species responds negatively, the factor may be a threat, and during the
status review, we attempt to determine how significant a threat it is.
The threat is significant if it drives or contributes to the risk of
extinction of the species, such that the species warrants listing as
endangered or threatened as those terms are defined by the Act.
However, the mere identification of factors that could affect a species
negatively may not be sufficient to compel a finding that the species
warrants listing. The information must include evidence sufficient to
suggest that the potential threat is likely to materialize and that it
has the capacity (i.e., it should be of sufficient magnitude and
extent) to affect the species' status such that it meets the definition
of an endangered species or threatened species under the Act.
Gray wolves that occur in the gray wolf entity are currently listed
as endangered under the Act, except those wolves in Minnesota, which
are listed as threatened. In this analysis we evaluate threat factors
currently facing the gray wolf entity and those that are reasonably
likely to have a negative effect on the viability of wolf populations
in the gray wolf entity if the protections of the Act were not in
place. Our analysis of threat factors below does not consider the
potential for effects to C. lupus in areas where the species has been
extirpated--rather, effects are considered in the context of the
present population. As explained in our significant portion of the
range (SPR) final policy (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014), we take into
account the effect lost historical range may have on the current and
future viability of a species in the range it currently occupies, and
also whether the causes of that loss are evidence of ongoing or future
threats to the species. We do this through our analysis of factors
affecting the species. A species' current condition reflects the
effects of historical range loss and, because threat factors are
evaluated in the context of the species' current condition, historical
range contraction may affect the outcome of our analysis.
Based on our review of the best available scientific and commercial
information, we have identified several factors that could potentially
be significant threats to the gray wolf entity. We summarize our
analysis of these factors, and factors identified at the time of
listing, below. We considered and evaluated the best available
scientific and commercial data for our analyses.
Human-Caused Mortality
Human-caused mortality was identified as the main factor causing
the decline of gray wolves at the time of listing (43 FR 9611, March 9,
1978), and an active eradication program is the sole reason that wolves
were extirpated from their historical range in the United States
(Weaver 1978, p. i). European settlers attempted to eliminate the wolf
entirely, primarily due to the threat or reality of attacks on
livestock, and the U.S. Congress passed a wolf bounty that covered the
Northwest Territories in 1817. Bounties on wolves subsequently became
the norm for States across the species' range. For example, in
Michigan, an 1838 wolf bounty became the ninth law passed by the First
Michigan Legislature; this bounty remained in place until 1960. A
Wisconsin bounty was instituted in 1865 and was repealed about the time
wolves were extirpated from the State in 1957. Minnesota maintained a
wolf bounty until 1965. As the first provisional governments in the
Pacific Northwest region were formed, they too enacted wolf bounties
(Hampton 1997, pp. 107-108).
Protection of the gray wolf under the Act and State endangered-
species statutes prohibited the intentional killing of wolves except
under very limited circumstances, such as in defense of human life, for
scientific or conservation purposes, or under special regulations
intended to reduce wolf depredations of livestock or other domestic
animals. Aside from the reintroduction of wolves into portions of the
northern Rocky Mountains, the regulation of human-caused wolf mortality
is the primary reason wolf numbers have significantly increased and
their range has expanded since the mid-to-late 1970s.
[[Page 9660]]
Two Minnesota studies provide some limited insight into the extent
of human-caused wolf mortality before and after the species' listing.
On the basis of bounty data from a period that predated wolf protection
under the Act by 20 years, Stenlund (1955, p. 33) found an annual
human-caused mortality rate of 41 percent. Fuller (1989, pp. 23-24)
provided 1980-86 data from a north-central Minnesota study area and
found an annual human-caused mortality rate of 29 percent, a figure
that includes 2-percent mortality from legal depredation-control
actions. Drawing conclusions from comparisons of these two studies,
however, is difficult due to the confounding effects of habitat
quality, exposure to humans, prey density, differing time periods, and
vast differences in study design. Nonetheless, these figures provide
clear support for the contention that human-caused mortality decreased
significantly once the wolf became protected under the Act.
Humans kill wolves for a number of reasons. In locations where
people, livestock, and wolves coexist, some wolves are killed to
resolve conflicts with livestock and pets (Fritts et al. 2003, p. 310;
Woodroffe et al. 2005, pp. 86-107, 345-347). Occasionally, wolves are
killed accidentally (e.g., wolves are hit by vehicles, mistaken for
coyotes and shot, caught in traps set for other animals, or subject to
accidental capture-related mortality during conservation or research
efforts) (Bangs et al. 2005, p. 346). A few wolves have been killed by
people who stated that they believed their physical safety was being
threatened. Many wolf killings, however, are intentional, illegal, and
never reported to authorities.
The number of illegal killings is difficult to estimate and
impossible to accurately determine because they generally occur with
few witnesses. Illegal killing was estimated to make up 70 percent of
the total mortality rate in a north-central Minnesota wolf population
and 24 percent in the northern Rocky Mountains population (Liberg et
al. 2011, pp. 3-5). Liberg et al. (2011, pp. 3-5) suggest more than
two-thirds of total poaching may go undetected, and that illegal
killing may pose a threat to wolves; however, poaching has not
prevented population resurgence in either the Great Lakes area or the
northern Rocky Mountains, as evidenced by population growth in those
areas.
Vehicle collisions contribute to wolf mortality rates throughout
their range in the lower 48 United States. This type of mortality is
expected to rise with increasing wolf populations and as wolves
colonize areas with more human development and a denser network of
roads and vehicle traffic; however, mortalities due to vehicle
collisions will likely constitute a small proportion of total
mortalities.
Each of the States in the current range of gray wolves in the
contiguous United States conduct scientific research and monitoring of
wolf populations. Even the most intensive and disruptive of these
activities (anesthetizing for the purpose of radio-collaring) involves
a very low rate of mortality for wolves (73 FR 10542, February 27,
2008). We expect that capture-related mortality during wolf monitoring,
nonlethal control, and research activities will remain below three
percent of the wolves captured, and will have an insignificant impact
on population dynamics.
We are unaware of any wolves that have been removed from the wild
solely for educational purposes in recent years. Wolves that are used
for such purposes are typically privately held captive-reared offspring
of wolves that were already in captivity for other reasons. However,
States may get requests to place wolves that would otherwise be
euthanized in captivity for research or educational purposes. Such
requests have been and will continue to be rare, would be closely
regulated by the State wildlife-management agencies through the
requirement for State permits for protected species, and would not
substantially increase human-caused wolf mortality rates.
Other sources of human-caused mortality include intentional and
legal actions, such as lethal depredation control and killing wolves in
defense of human life or property. Although most wolf-human conflicts
are solved using nonlethal methods, in a few instances lethal control
is warranted to control a wolf to protect human life and property. The
number of wolves killed for this purpose is small. For example, from
2004 to 2014, State or Federal agents killed 26 wolves for these
purposes in the State of Michigan (an average of around 0.5 percent of
the population each year) (Roell et al. 2010, p. 9; Beyer in litt.
2018). In the western States, since the first pack was confirmed in
Washington in 2008, one wolf has been killed by a private individual
who claimed self-defense. Although the number of wolves killed in
defense of human life and property may be slightly higher in areas with
greater human density and may increase after delisting as authority for
this action expands (see Post-delisting Management), overall this type
of mortality is rare and is not expected to have a significant impact
on wolf populations.
Lethal control of depredating wolves was authorized in Minnesota
while wolves have been listed (under the authority of a regulation (50
CFR 17.40(d)) under section 4(d) of the Act), but such control was not
authorized in Michigan or Wisconsin, except for the several years when
such control was authorized under a permit from the USFWS or while
wolves were delisted under previous actions. Lethal control of
depredating wolves is not authorized in the listed portion of Oregon,
Washington, or in California. The Minnesota wolf-depredation-control
program euthanized from 20 (in 1982) to 262 (in 2015) wolves annually,
and averaged between 2.2 to 7.6 percent of the wolf population
annually. During the times wolves were listed and depredation control
was the primary means of management in the State, the Minnesota wolf
population continued to grow or remain stable while experiencing these
levels of lethal control. During the times that lethal control of
depredating wolves was conducted in Wisconsin and Michigan, there was
no evidence of resulting adverse impacts to the maintenance of a viable
wolf population in those States. In Wisconsin, a total of 256 wolves
were killed for depredation control in the State, including 46 legally
shot by private landowners, during the 59 months that wolves were
delisted in the State. A total of 50 wolves were killed by the Michigan
Department of Natural Resources (MI DNR) and the U.S. Department of
Agriculture, Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service (USDA-APHIS),
Wildlife Services in response to depredation events during that time
period. Following delisting, wolf depredation control in Wisconsin and
Michigan would again occur, and be carried out according to their State
management plans. We anticipate the level of mortality due to
depredation control that would take place would be similar to what was
observed during those times. See the Post-delisting Management section
for a more detailed discussion of legal control of problem wolves
(primarily for depredation control).
Regulated public harvest is another form of human-caused mortality
that has occurred in the Great Lakes area during periods when wolves
were delisted and will likely occur in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
Michigan if wolves are delisted again. Using an adaptive-management
approach that adjusts harvest based on population estimates and trends,
the initial objectives of States may be to lower wolf
[[Page 9661]]
populations then manage for sustainable populations, similar to how
States manage all other game species. See the Post-delisting Management
section for a more detailed discussion of legal harvest.
Regulation of human-caused mortality has significantly reduced the
number of wolf mortalities caused by humans, and although illegal and
accidental killing of wolves is likely to continue with or without the
protections of the Act, at current levels those mortalities have had
little impact on wolf populations. Legal human-caused mortality,
primarily in the form of lethal depredation control and regulated
harvest, will increase if wolves are delisted, as these are the primary
human-caused mortality factors that State agencies can manipulate to
achieve management objectives. However, the high reproductive potential
of wolves and the innate behavior of wolves to disperse and locate
social openings allows wolf populations to withstand relatively high
rates of human-caused mortality.
We note that the principle of compensatory mortality was previously
believed to occur in wolf populations. This means that human-caused
mortality is not simply added to ``natural'' mortality, but rather
replaces a portion of it. Creel and Rotella (2010) reexamined this
concept with regard to wolves and found that, contrary to the
previously held belief, wolf population growth declined as human-caused
mortality increased (Creel and Rotella 2010, p. 3). Their study
concludes that wolves can be harvested within limits, but that human-
caused mortality was strongly additive in total mortality (Creel and
Rotella 2010, p. 6).
The wolf population in the northern Rocky Mountains States of
Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming provides a good example of the effects of
increased human-caused mortality on population growth rates. From 1995
to 2008, wolf populations increased an average of 23 percent annually
(range: 9 percent to 50 percent; USFWS et al. 2016, table 6b), while
from 1999 to 2008, human-caused mortality removed an average of
approximately 12 percent of the minimum estimated population each year
(range: 7 percent to 16 percent; see USFWS et al. 2000-2009). Between
2009 and 2015, some or all of the northern Rocky Mountains States
(dependent upon the Federal status of wolves) instituted fair-chase
wolf hunting seasons with the objective of slowing or reversing
population growth while continuing to maintain wolf populations well
above federal recovery requirements in their respective States. During
those years when legal harvest occurred, human-caused mortality
increased to an average of 29 percent of the minimum estimated
population (range: 23 percent to 36 percent; see USFWS et al. 2010,
2012-2016), while the annual growth rate declined to an average of
approximately 1 percent annually (range: -7 percent to 4 percent; see
USFWS et al. 2010, 2012-2016). Where harvest occurs, the species' high
levels of reproduction and immigration can compensate for mortality
rates of 17 percent to 48 percent (USFWS 2018, p. 6). Thus, although
2009 to 2015 is a relatively short time period from which to draw
inferences, the population trends observed in the Northern Rocky
Mountains suggest that the northern Rocky Mountains wolf population may
be able to sustain an approximate 30 percent annual human-caused
mortality rate while continuing to maintain a stable to slightly
increasing population.
The States of Minnesota, Michigan, and Wisconsin have committed to
continue to regulate human-caused mortality so that it does not reduce
the wolf population below recovery level and have adequate laws and
regulations to fulfill those commitments and ensure that the wolf
population in the Great Lakes area remains above recovery levels (See
Post-delisting Management). Washington, Oregon, and California are also
committed to conserving wolves as demonstrated by development of
management plans and laws and regulations that protect wolves.
Furthermore, each post-delisting management entity (State, Tribal, and
Federal) has experienced and professional wildlife staff to ensure
those commitments can be accomplished.
Effects on Wolf Social Structure
Human-caused mortality of reproductive gray wolves could negatively
affect gray wolf populations because wolves have a complex social
system in which usually only the dominant male and female in a pack
breed. Consequently, the death of one or both of the breeders may
negatively affect the pack (by leading to pack dissolution) and the
population as a whole (by slowing or reducing population growth).
However, studies indicate these effects are context-dependent and that
the availability of replacement breeders and timing of mortality can
moderate the consequences of breeder loss (Borg et al. 2014, entire;
Brainerd et al. 2008, entire). In populations that are at or near
carrying capacity, where breeder replacement and subsequent
reproduction occurs relatively quickly, population growth rate is
largely unaffected by breeder loss (Borg et al. 2014, pp. 6-7). Large
colonizing populations (> 75 wolves) have similar times to breeder
replacement and subsequent reproduction as populations at or near
carrying capacity, while small recolonizing populations (<=75 wolves)
take about twice as long to replace breeders and subsequently reproduce
(Brainerd et al. 2008, pp. 89, 93). Therefore, the effects of breeder
loss may be greatest on small recolonizing gray wolf populations.
Studies also indicate that mortality of breeding gray wolves is more
likely to lead to pack dissolution and reduced reproduction when
mortality occurs during the breeding season (Borg et al. 2014, p. 8)
and when pack sizes are small (Borg et al. 2014, pp. 5-6; Brainerd et
al. 2008, p. 94).
Gray wolf pack social structure is very adaptable and resilient.
Breeding members can be quickly replaced from either within or outside
the pack, and pups can be reared by another pack member should their
parents die (USFWS 2018, p. 6). Consequently, wolf populations can
rapidly overcome severe disruptions, such as pervasive human-caused
mortality or disease. Although we acknowledge that breeder loss can and
will occur in the future regardless of Federal status, we conclude that
the effects of breeder loss on wolf populations (or the gray wolf
entity) as a whole are likely to be minimal as long as adequate
regulatory mechanisms are in place to ensure sufficient population size
is maintained.
The Role of Public Attitudes
In our 1978 rule reclassifying wolves, we indicated that
regulations prohibiting the killing of wolves, even wolves that may be
attacking livestock and pets, such as the Federal regulations in place
at that time in Minnesota, may work against gray wolves by creating an
adverse public attitude toward the species. We acknowledge that public
attitudes towards wolves vary with demographics, change over time, and
can affect human behavior toward wolves, including poaching (illegal
killing) of wolves (see the following studies and reviews: Kellert
1985, 1990, 1999; Nelson and Franson 1988; Kellert et al. 1996; Wilson
1999; Browne-Nu[ntilde]ez and Taylor 2002; Williams et al. 2002;
Manfredo et al. 2003; Naughton-Treves et al. 2003; Schanning 2009;
Mertig 2004; Chavez et al. 2005; Schanning and Vazquez 2005; Beyer et
al. 2006; Hammill 2007; Treves et al. 2009; Wilson and Bruskotter 2009;
Treves and Martin 2011; Treves et al. 2013; Madden and McQuinn 2014).
However, the factors that affect people's attitudes and
[[Page 9662]]
behaviors toward wolves are not well understood (Treves and Bruskotter
2014, entire; Treves et al. 2013, p. 316 and references therein; also
see Olson et al. 2014, entire and Chapron and Treves 2016, entire).
Thus, it is unclear how delisting and the changes in wolf management
subsequent to delisting, such as implementation of wolf harvests, may
affect attitudes, human behavior and, ultimately, wolf mortality.
We expect that some segments of the public will be more tolerant of
wolf management at the State level because it may be perceived by some
as more flexible than Federal regulation, whereas other segments may
continue to prefer Federal management due to a perception that it is
more protective. State wildlife agencies have professional staff
dedicated to disseminating accurate, science-based information about
wolves and wolf management within their respective States. In addition,
several States have convened advisory committees to engage stakeholders
in discussing and addressing conflicts related to wolves (for example,
Washington (https://wdfw.wa.gov/about/advisory/wag/) and Wisconsin
(https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/WildlifeHabitat/wolf/committee.html)). As the
status and management of the gray wolf evolves, continued collaboration
between managers and researchers to monitor public attitudes toward
wolves and their management will be necessary.
Human-Caused Mortality Summary
Despite human-caused mortalities of wolves, wolf populations have
continued to increase in both numbers and range. Wolf population growth
will likely slow as densities increase in suitable habitat. Wolves are
less likely to persist in more unfavorable habitats due to depredation
management, illegal killing, incidental mortality (for example, vehicle
collision), natural mortality (disease, starvation, and intraspecific
aggression), and other means. Once wolf populations become established,
we should expect to see populations fluctuate around an equilibrium
resulting from fluctuations in birth and mortality rates.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan will utilize adaptive management
to respond to wolf population increases or decreases to maintain
populations at sustainable levels well above management objectives.
State management plans in these three states that would be implemented
following delisting manage for a minimum wolf population of 1,600 in
Minnesota, 250 in Wisconsin (with a management goal of 350), and 200 in
Michigan. These minimum population numbers are well above Federal
recovery requirements defined in the Eastern Timber Wolf Recovery Plan.
As wolf population numbers are currently much higher in each of these
three States, we can expect to see some reduction in wolf populations
in the Great Lakes areas if they are delisted as States implement
lethal depredation control and begin to institute wolf hunting seasons
with the objective of slowing or reversing population growth. However,
the ultimate goal of these three States is to maintain wolf populations
well above Federal recovery requirements in their respective States.
The 2010 State management plan for Oregon and the 2016 plan for
California do not include population-management goals (Oregon
Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) 2010, p. 27; California
Department of Fish and Wildlife (CDFW) 2016a, p. 12); however, this is
likely to be addressed in the forthcoming Oregon plan revision as the
draft plan revision currently suggests that 300 wolves are the
``minimum population management threshold'' for the State (ODFW 2017,
p. 17). While the 2011 Washington State management plan does not
include population-management goals, it includes recovery objectives
intended to ensure the reestablishment of a self-sustaining population
of wolves in Washington (Wiles et al. 2011, p. 9; also see Post-
delisting Management in the West). In these States, wolf populations
will likely be managed to ensure progress towards recovery objectives
while also minimizing livestock losses caused by wolves.
Habitat and Prey Availability
Gray wolves are habitat generalists (Mech and Boitani 2003, p. 163)
and once occupied or transited most of the United States, except the
southeast. However, much of the historical range of gray wolves
(Chambers et al. 2012, pp. 34-42) in the contiguous United States has
been modified due to human use. While lone wolves can travel through,
or temporarily live, almost anywhere (Jimenez et al. 2017, p. 1), large
portions of gray wolf historical range is no longer suitable habitat to
support wolf packs (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559; Carroll et al. 2006,
p. 32, Mladenoff et al. 1995, p. 287). Much of the area that wolves
currently occupy corresponds to what is considered ``suitable'' wolf
habitat in the lower 48 States as modeled by Oakleaf et al. (2006,
entire), Carroll et al. (2006, entire), Mladenoff (1995, entire), and
Mladenoff et al. (1999, entire). It is also expected that wolves will
continue to recolonize areas of the Pacific Northwest where suitable
habitat has been identified (Maletzke et al. 2015, entire; ODFW 2015,
entire). We consider suitable habitat as forested terrain containing
adequate wild ungulate populations (elk, white-tailed deer, and mule
deer) to support a wolf population. Suitable habitat has minimal roads
and human development, as human access to areas inhabited by wolves can
result in wolf mortality.
Great Lakes Area: Suitable Habitat
Various researchers have investigated habitat suitability for
wolves in the central and eastern portions of the United States. Most
of these efforts have focused on using a combination of human density,
density of agricultural lands, deer density or deer biomass, and road
density, or have used road density alone to identify areas where wolf
populations are likely to persist or become established (Mladenoff et
al. 1995, pp. 284-285; 1997, pp. 23-27; 1998, pp. 1-8, 1999; pp. 39-43;
Harrison and Chapin 1997, p. 3; 1998, pp. 769-770; Wydeven et al. 2001,
pp. 110-113; Erb and Benson 2004, p. 2; Potvin et al. 2005, pp. 1661-
1668; Mladenoff et al. 2009, pp. 132-135).
To a large extent, road density has been adopted as the best
predictor of habitat suitability in the Midwest due to the connection
between roads and human-caused wolf mortality. Several studies
demonstrated that wolves generally did not maintain breeding packs in
areas with a road density greater than about 0.9 to 1.1 linear mi per
mi\2\ (0.6 to 0.7 km per km\2\) (Thiel 1985, pp. 404-406; Jensen et al.
1986, pp. 364-366; Mech et al. 1988, pp. 85-87; Fuller et al. 1992, pp.
48-51). Work by Mladenoff and associates indicated that colonizing
wolves in Wisconsin preferred areas where road densities were less than
0.7 mi per mi\2\ (0.45 km per km\2\) (Mladenoff et al. 1995, p. 289).
However, research in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan indicates that, in
some areas with low road densities, low deer density appears to limit
wolf occupancy (Potvin et al. 2005, pp. 1667-1668) and may prevent
recolonization of portions of the Upper Peninsula. In Minnesota, a
combination of road density and human density is used by Minnesota
Department of Resources (MN DNR) to model suitable habitat. Areas with
a human density up to 20 people per mi\2\ (8 people per km\2\) are
suitable if they also have a road density less than 0.8 mi per mi\2\
(0.5 km per km\2\). Areas with a human density of less than 10 people
per mi\2\ (4 people per km\2\) are suitable if they have road
[[Page 9663]]
densities up to 1.1 mi per mi\2\ (0.7 km per km\2\) (Erb and Benson
2004, table 1).
Road density is a useful parameter because it is easily measured
and mapped, and because it correlates directly and indirectly with
various forms of other human-caused wolf mortality factors. A rural
area with more roads generally has a greater human density, more
vehicular traffic, greater access by hunters and trappers, more farms
and residences, and more domestic animals. As a result, there is a
greater likelihood that wolves in such an area will encounter humans,
domestic animals, and various human activities. These encounters may
result in wolves being hit by motor vehicles, being controlled by
government agents after becoming involved in depredations on domestic
animals, being shot intentionally by unauthorized individuals, being
trapped or shot accidentally, or contracting diseases from domestic
dogs (Mech et al. 1988, pp. 86-87; Mech and Goyal 1993, p. 332;
Mladenoff et al. 1995, pp. 282, 291). Based on mortality data from
radio-collared Wisconsin wolves from 1979 to 1999, natural causes of
death predominate (57 percent of mortalities) in areas with road
densities below 1.35 mi per mi\2\ (0.84 km per km\2\), but human-
related factors produced 71 percent of the wolf deaths in areas with
higher road densities (Wydeven et al. 2001, pp. 112-113).
Some researchers have used a road density of 1 mi per mi\2\ (0.6 km
per km\2\) of land area as an upper threshold for suitable wolf
habitat. However, the common practice in more recent studies is to use
road density to predict probabilities of persistent wolf pack presence
in an area. Areas with road densities less than 0.7 mi per mi\2\ (0.45
km per km\2\) are estimated to have a greater than 50 percent
probability of wolf pack colonization and persistent presence, and
areas where road density exceeded 1 mi per mi\2\ (0.6 km per km\2\)
have less than a 10 percent probability of occupancy (Mladenoff et al.
1995. pp. 288-289; Mladenoff and Sickley 1998, p. 5; Mladenoff et al.
1999, pp. 40-41). Wisconsin researchers view areas with greater than 50
percent probability as ``primary wolf habitat,'' areas with 10 to 50
percent probability as ``secondary wolf habitat,'' and areas with less
than 10 percent probability as unsuitable habitat (Wisconsin Department
of Natural Resources (WI DNR) 1999, pp. 47-48).
The territories of packs that do occur in areas of high road
density, and hence with low expected probabilities of occupancy, are
generally near broad areas of more suitable habitat that are likely
serving as a source of wolves, thereby assisting in maintaining wolf
presence in the higher road density areas and, therefore, less-suitable
areas (Mech 1989, pp. 387-388; Wydeven et al. 2001, p. 112). The
predictive ability of this model was questioned (Mech 2006a, 2006b) and
responded to (Mladenoff et al. 2006), and an updated analysis of
Wisconsin pack locations and habitat was completed (Mladenoff et al.
2009). This model maintains that road density is still an important
indicator of suitable wolf habitat; however, lack of agricultural land
is also a strong predictor of habitat that wolves occupy.
It appears that essentially all suitable habitat in Minnesota is
now occupied, range expansion has slowed or possibly ceased, and the
wolf population within the State has stabilized (Erb and Benson 2004,
p. 7; Erb and Don Carlos 2009, pp. 57, 60). This suitable habitat
closely matches the areas designated as Wolf Management Zones 1 through
4 in the Revised Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992, p. 72), which are identical
in area to Minnesota Wolf Management Zone A (MN DNR 2001, appendix
III).
Recent surveys for Wisconsin wolves and wolf packs show that wolves
have now recolonized the areas predicted by habitat models to have low,
moderate, and high probability of occupancy (primary and secondary wolf
habitat). The late-winter 2017-18 Wisconsin wolf survey identified
packs occurring throughout the central Wisconsin forest area (Wolf
Management Zone 2) and across the northern forest zone (Zone 1), with
highest pack densities in the northwest and north-central forest (WI
DNR 2018, entire).
Michigan wolf surveys in winter 2017-18 continue to show wolf pairs
or packs (defined by Michigan DNR as two or more wolves traveling
together) in every Upper Peninsula county (Huntzinger et al. 2005, p.
6; MI DNR 2018, entire).
Habitat suitability studies in the Upper Midwest indicate that the
only large areas of suitable or potentially suitable habitat areas that
are currently unoccupied by wolves are located in the northern Lower
Peninsula of Michigan (Mladenoff et al. 1997, p. 23; Mladenoff et al.
1999, p. 39; Potvin 2003, pp. 44-45; Gehring and Potter 2005, p. 1239).
One published Michigan study (Gehring and Potter 2005, p. 1239)
estimates that these areas could host 46 to 89 wolves; a graduate
thesis estimates that 110-480 wolves could exist in the northern Lower
Peninsula (Potvin 2003, p. 39). The northern Lower Peninsula is
separated from the Upper Peninsula by the Straits of Mackinac, whose 4-
mile (6.4-km) width freezes during mid- and late-winter in some years.
In recent years there have been several documented occurrences of
wolves in the northern Lower Peninsula, but there has been no
indication of persistence beyond several months. Prior to those
occurrences, the last recorded wolf in the Lower Peninsula was in 1910.
These northern Lower Peninsula patches of potentially suitable
habitat contain a great deal of private land, are small in comparison
to the occupied habitat on the Upper Peninsula and in Minnesota and
Wisconsin, and are intermixed with agricultural and higher-road-density
areas (Gehring and Potter 2005, p. 1240). Therefore, continuing wolf
immigration from the Upper Peninsula may be necessary to maintain a
future northern Lower Peninsula population. The Gehring and Potter
study (2005, p. 1239) predicted 850 mi\2\ (2,198 km\2\) of suitable
habitat (areas with greater than a 50 percent probability of wolf
occupancy) in the northern Lower Peninsula. Potvin (2003, p. 21), using
deer density in addition to road density, believes there are about
3,090 mi\2\ (8,000 km\2\) of suitable habitat in the northern Lower
Peninsula. Gehring and Potter (2005, p. 1239) exclude from their
calculations those northern Lower Peninsula low-road-density patches
that are less than 19 mi\2\ (50 km\2\), while Potvin (2003, pp. 10-15)
does not limit habitat patch size in his calculations. Both of these
area estimates are well below the minimum area described in the Revised
Recovery Plan, which states that 10,000 mi\2\ (25,600 km\2\) of
contiguous suitable habitat is needed for a viable isolated gray wolf
population, and half that area (5,000 mi\2\ or 12,800 km\2\) is needed
to maintain a viable wolf population that is subject to wolf
immigration from a nearby population (USFWS 1992, pp. 25-26).
Based on the above-described studies and the guidance of the 1992
Revised Recovery Plan, the Service has concluded that suitable habitat
for wolves in the western Great Lakes area can be determined by
considering four factors: road density, human density, prey base, and
area. An adequate prey base is an absolute requirement, but in much of
the western Great Lakes area the white-tailed deer density is well
above adequate levels, causing the other factors to become the
determinants of suitable habitat. Prey base is primarily of concern in
the Upper Peninsula where severe winter conditions cause deer to move
away from some lakeshore areas, making otherwise suitable areas locally
and seasonally unsuitable. Road density and human density frequently
[[Page 9664]]
are highly correlated; therefore, road density is often used as a
predictor of habitat suitability. However, areas with higher road
density may still be suitable if the human density is very low, so a
consideration of both factors is sometimes useful (Erb and Benson 2004,
p. 2). Finally, although the territory of individual wolf packs can be
relatively small, packs are not likely to establish territories in
areas of small, isolated patches of suitable habitat.
Great Lakes Area: Prey Availability
Deer (prey) decline, due to succession of habitat and severe winter
weather, was identified as a threat at the time of listing. Wolf
density is heavily dependent on prey availability (for example,
expressed as ungulate biomass, Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 170-171), and
prey availability is high in the Great Lakes area. Conservation of
primary wolf prey in the Great Lakes area, white-tailed deer and moose,
is a high priority for State conservation agencies. As MN DNR points
out in its wolf-management plan (MN DNR 2001, p. 25), it manages
ungulates to ensure a harvestable surplus for hunters, nonconsumptive
users, and to minimize conflicts with humans. To ensure a harvestable
surplus for hunters, MN DNR must account for all sources of natural
mortality, including loss to wolves, and adjust hunter harvest levels
when necessary. For example, after severe winters in the 1990's, MN DNR
modified hunter harvest levels to allow for the recovery of the local
deer population (MN DNR 2001, p. 25). In addition to regulating the
human harvest of deer and moose, MN DNR also plans to continue to
monitor and improve habitat for these species.
Land management activities carried out by other public agencies and
by private land owners in Minnesota's wolf range, including timber
harvest and prescribed fire, incidentally and significantly improves
habitat for deer, the primary prey for wolves in the State.
Approximately one-half of the Minnesota deer harvest is in the Forest
Zone, which encompasses most of the occupied wolf range in the State
(Cornicelli 2008, pp. 208-209). There is no indication that harvest of
deer and moose or management of their habitat will significantly
depress abundance of these species in Minnesota's primary wolf range.
In Wisconsin, the statewide post-hunt white-tailed deer population
estimate for 2017 was approximately 1,377,100 deer (Stenglein 2017, p.
1). In the Northern Forest Zone of the State, the post-hunt population
estimate has ranged from approximately 250,000 deer to more than
400,000 deer since 2002. The 2017 post-hunt deer population estimate in
that zone was nearly as high as it was in 2002. Three consecutive mild
winters and limited antlerless harvest may explain the population
growth in the northern deer herd in 2017. The Central Forest Zone post-
hunt population estimates have been largely stable since 2009 at
60,000-80,000 deer on average. The Central Farmland Zone deer
population has increased since 2008, and the 2017 post-hunt deer
population estimate was similar to the estimate in 2016. For a third
year in a row, the 2017 post-hunt deer population estimate in the
Southern Farmland Zone exceeded 250,000 deer (Stenglein 2017, pp. 2,
7).
Because of severe winter conditions (persistent, deep snow) in the
Upper Peninsula, deer populations can fluctuate dramatically from year
to year. In 2016, the MI DNR finalized a new deer-management plan to
address ecological, social, and regulatory shifts. An objective of this
plan is to manage deer at the appropriate scale, considering impacts of
deer on the landscape and on other species, in addition to population
size (MI DNR 2016, p. 16). Additionally, the Michigan wolf-management
plan addresses maintaining a sustainable population of wolf prey (MI
DNR 2015, pp. 29-31). Short of a major, and unlikely, shift in deer-
management and harvest strategies, there will be no shortage of prey
for Wisconsin and Michigan wolves for the foreseeable future.
West Coast States: Suitable Habitat
In Washington, wolves are expected to persist in habitats with
similar characteristics to those identified by Oakleaf et al. (2006)
(Wiles et al. 2011, p. 50) and as described above. Several modeling
studies have estimated potentially suitable wolf habitat in Washington
with most predicting suitable habitat in northeastern Washington, the
Blue Mountains, the Cascade Mountains, and the Olympic Peninsula. Total
area estimates in these studies range from approximately 16,900 mi\2\
(43,770 km\2\) to 41,500 mi\2\ (107,485 km\2\) (Wiles et al. 2011, pp.
51, 53; Maletzke et al. 2015). The Cascade Mountains and Olympic
Peninsula are both located within the boundary of the gray wolf listed
entities. Current wolf-pack habitat use in Washington based on the mean
home ranges of 11 packs with known territories is approximately 359
mi\2\ (930 km\2\), ranging from an estimated 121 mi\2\ (314 km\2\) to
1,164 mi\2\ (3,015 km\2\) (Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife
(WDFW) et al. 2017, p. WA-6). (While 22 packs are known to occur in
Washington, sufficient data is not available to estimate home ranges of
the other 11.)
The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) developed a map
of ``potential wolf range'' as part of its recent status review of
wolves in Oregon (ODFW 2015, entire). The model used predictors of wolf
habitat including land-cover type, elk range, human population density,
road density, and land types altered by humans; they chose to exclude
land ownership because wolves will use forested cover on both public
and private lands (ODFW 2015, p. 2). Approximately 41,256 mi\2\
(106,853 km\2\) were identified as potential wolf range in Oregon. The
resulting map coincides well with the current distribution of wolves in
Oregon. The ODFW estimates that wolves occupy 31.6 percent of the
potential wolf range in the east management zone (the majority of
wolves here are under State management) and 2.7 percent of potential
wolf range in the western management zone (all wolves here are under
Federal management) (ODFW 2015, p. 9).
Habitat models developed for the northern Rocky Mountains (e.g.,
Oakleaf et al. 2006; Larson and Ripple 2006; Carroll et al. 2006) may
have limited applicability to California due to differences in
geography, distribution of habitat types, distribution and abundance of
prey, potential restrictions for movement, and human habitation (CDFW
2016b, pp. 154, 156). Despite these challenges, CDFW used these models
to suggest that wolves are most likely to occupy three general areas:
(1) The Klamath Mountains and portions of the northern California Coast
Ranges; (2) the southern Cascades, the Modoc Plateau, and Warner
Mountains; and (3) the Sierra Nevada Mountain Range (CDFW 2016b, p.
20). These areas were identified as having a higher potential for wolf
occupancy based on prey abundance, amount of public land ownership, and
forest cover, whereas other areas were less suitable due to human
influences (CDFW 2016b, p. 156). As wolves continue to expand into
California, models may be refined to better estimate habitat
suitability and the potential for wolf occupancy.
West Coast States: Prey Availability
The Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife recently conducted a
Wildlife Program 2015-2017 Ungulate Assessment to identify ungulate
populations that are below management objectives or may be negatively
affected by predators (WDFW 2016, entire). The
[[Page 9665]]
assessment covers white-tailed deer, mule deer, black-tailed deer,
Rocky Mountain elk, Roosevelt elk, bighorn sheep, and moose (WDFW 2016,
p. 12). Washington defines an at-risk ungulate population as one that
falls 25 percent below its population objective for two consecutive
years and/or one in which the harvest decreases by 25 percent below the
10-year-average harvest rate for two consecutive years (WDFW 2016, p.
13). Based on available information, the 2016 report concludes that no
ungulate populations in Washington were considered to be at-risk (WDFW
2016, p. 13).
In Oregon, 20 percent of Roosevelt elk populations are below
management objectives; however, the populations are generally stable
within the listed gray wolf entity in western Oregon (ODFW 2017, p.
60). Rocky Mountain elk are above management objectives in 63 percent
of populations and are considered to be stable or increasing across the
State (ODFW 2017, p. 60). Mule deer and black-tailed deer populations
peaked in the mid-1900s and have since declined, likely due to human
development, changes in land use, predation, and disease (ODFW 2017, p.
61). White-tailed deer populations, including Columbia white-tailed
deer, are small, but are increasing in distribution and abundance (ODFW
2017, p. 64). Deer are a secondary prey item when elk are present;
areas that lack elk are only likely to support a low density of wolves
(ODFW 2017, p. 56).
In California, declines of historical ungulate populations were the
result of overexploitation by humans dating back to the 19th century
(CDFW 2016b, p. 147). However, elk distribution and abundance have
increased due to implementation of harvest regulations, reintroduction
efforts, and natural expansion (CDFW 2016b, p. 147). Mule deer also
experienced overexploitation, but were also more likely subject to
fluctuations in habitat suitability as a result of logging, burning,
and grazing. Across the West, including California, mule deer
populations have been declining since the late 1960s due to multiple
factors including loss of habitat, drought, predation, and competition
with livestock, but, as noted above, deer are a secondary prey when elk
are present (CDFW 2016b, p. 147).
Habitat and Prey Availability Summary
Sufficient suitable habitat exists for the gray wolf entity to
continue to support wolves into the future. Wolf populations should
remain strong in these areas with management activities that focus on
wolf population reduction as needed to maintain populations of wild
ungulates and reduce conflicts with livestock. Traditional land-use
practices throughout the vast majority of the species' current range in
the United States do not appear to be affecting the viability of
wolves. We do not anticipate overall habitat changes in wolf range for
the gray wolf entity will occur at a magnitude that would affect wolves
in the entity rangewide because wolf populations are broadly
distributed across the current range in the Great Lakes area (where
most wolves occur in the entity) and are able to withstand high levels
of mortality due to their high reproductive rate and vagility (the
ability of an organism to move about freely and migrate) (Fuller et al.
2003, p. 163; Boitani 2003, pp. 328-330). Further, much of the areas
occupied by the gray wolf entity occurs on public land where wolf
conservation is a priority and conservation plans have been adopted to
ensure continued wolf persistence (see Federal Lands discussion under
Post-delisting Management) (73 FR 10514, p. 10538, February 27, 2008).
An important factor in maintaining wolf populations is the native
ungulate population. Primary wild ungulate prey within the range of
gray wolves in the gray wolf entity include deer and elk. Each State
within wolf-occupied range for the gray wolf entity manages its wild
ungulate populations to maintain sustainable populations for harvest by
hunters. States employ an adaptive-management approach that adjusts
hunter harvest in response to changes in big-game population numbers
and trends when necessary, and predation is one of many factors
considered when setting seasons. We know of no future condition that
would cause a decline in ungulate populations significant enough to
affect the status of gray wolves in the gray wolf entity.
Disease and Parasites
Although disease and parasites were not identified as a threat at
the time of listing, a wide range of diseases and parasites have been
reported for the gray wolf, and several of them have had temporary
impacts during the recovery of the species in the 48 contiguous United
States (Brand et al. 1995, p. 419; WI DNR 1999, p. 61, Kreeger 2003,
pp. 202-214). Although some diseases may be destructive to individuals,
most of them seldom have long-term, population-level effects (Fuller et
al. 2003, pp. 176-178; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202-214). All States that
presently have wolf populations also have some sort of disease-
monitoring program that may include direct observation of wolves to
assess potential disease indicators or biological sample collection
with subsequent analysis at a laboratory. Although Washington has not
submitted biological samples for analysis, samples have been collected
and laboratory analysis is planned for the future (Roussin 2018, pers.
comm.).
Canine parvovirus (CPV) infects wolves, domestic dogs (Canis
familiaris), foxes (Vulpes vulpes), coyotes, skunks (Mephitis
mephitis), and raccoons (Procyon lotor). Canine parvovirus has been
detected in nearly every wolf population in North America including
Alaska (Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441; Brand et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger
2003, pp. 210-211; Johnson et al. 1994; ODFW 2014, p. 7), and exposure
in wolves is thought to be almost universal. Nearly 100 percent of the
wolves handled in Montana (Atkinson 2006), Yellowstone National Park
(Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18), Minnesota (Mech and Goyal 1993, p.
331), and Oregon (ODFW 2017, p. 8) had blood antibodies indicating
nonlethal exposure to CPV. Clinical CPV is characterized by severe
hemorrhagic diarrhea and vomiting, which leads to dehydration,
electrolyte imbalances, debility, and shock and may eventually lead to
death.
Mech et al. (2008, p. 824) concluded that CPV reduced pup survival,
subsequent dispersal, and the overall rate of population growth in
Minnesota (a population near carrying capacity in suitable habitat).
After the CPV became endemic in the population (around 1979), the
population developed immunity and was able to withstand severe effects
from the disease (Mech and Goyal 1993, pp. 331-332). These observed
effects are consistent with results from studies in smaller, isolated
populations in Wisconsin and on Isle Royale, Michigan (Wydeven et al.
1995, entire; Peterson et al. 1998, entire), but indicate that CPV also
had only a temporary effect in a larger population.
Canine distemper virus (CDV) is an acute disease of carnivores that
has been known in Europe since the sixteenth century and infects canids
worldwide (Kreeger 2003, p. 209). This disease generally infects pups
when they are only a few months old, so mortality in wild wolf
populations might be difficult to detect (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 420-
421). Mortality from CDV among wild wolves has been documented only in
two littermate pups in Manitoba (Carbyn 1982, pp. 111-112), in two
Alaskan yearling wolves (Peterson et al. 1984, p. 31), and in two
Wisconsin wolves (an adult in 1985 and a pup in 2002 (Thomas in litt.
2006; Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2003, p. 20)). Carbyn
[[Page 9666]]
(1982, pp. 113-116) concluded that CDV was partially responsible for a
50-percent decline in the wolf population in Riding Mountain National
Park (Manitoba, Canada) in the mid-1970s. Serological evidence
indicates that exposure to CDV is high among some wolf populations--29
percent in northern Wisconsin and 79 percent in central Wisconsin from
2002 to 2003 (Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2003, pp. 23-24, table 7) and
2004 (Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2004, pp. 23-24, table 7), and similar
levels in Yellowstone National Park (Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18).
Exposure to CDV was first documented in Oregon in 2016 (n=3; ODFW 2017,
p. 8), but no mortalities or clinical signs of the disease were
observed. The continued strong recruitment in Wisconsin and elsewhere
in North American wolf populations, however, indicates that distemper
is not likely a significant cause of mortality (Brand et al. 1995, p.
421).
Lyme disease, caused by a spirochete bacterium, is spread primarily
by deer ticks (Ixodes dammini). Host species include humans, horses
(Equus caballus), dogs, white-tailed deer, mule deer, elk, white-footed
mice (Peromyscus leucopus), eastern chipmunks (Tamias striatus),
coyotes, and wolves. Clinical symptoms have not been reported in
wolves, but infected dogs can experience debilitating conditions, and
abortion and fetal mortality have been reported in infected humans and
horses. It is possible that individual wolves may be debilitated by
Lyme disease, perhaps contributing to their mortality; however, Lyme
disease is not believed to be a significant factor affecting wolf
populations (Kreeger 2003, p. 212).
Mange has been detected in wolves throughout North America (Brand
et al. 1995, pp. 427-428; Kreeger 2003, pp. 207-208). Mange mites
(Sarcoptes scabeii) infest the skin of the host, causing irritation due
to feeding and burrowing activities. This causes intense itching that
results in scratching and hair loss. Mortality may occur due to
exposure, primarily in cold weather, emaciation, or secondary
infections (Kreeger 2003, pp. 207-208). Mange mites are spread from an
infected individual through direct contact with others or through the
use of common areas. In a long-term Alberta wolf study, higher wolf
densities were correlated with increased incidence of mange, and pup
survival decreased as the incidence of mange increased (Brand et al.
1995, pp. 427-428). Mange has been shown to temporarily affect wolf
population growth-rates in some areas (Kreeger 2003, p. 208), but not
others (Wydeven et al. 2009b, pp. 96-97). In Montana and Wyoming,
proportions of packs with mange fluctuated between 3 and 24 percent
annually from 2003 to 2008 (Jimenez et al. 2010; Atkinson 2006, p. 5;
Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 19). In packs with the most severe
infestations, pup survival appeared low, and some adults died (Jimenez
et al. 2010); however, evidence suggests infestations do not normally
become chronic because wolves often naturally overcome them.
Dog-biting lice (Trichodectes canis) commonly feed on domestic
dogs, but can infest coyotes and wolves (Schwartz et al. 1983, p. 372;
Mech et al. 1985, p. 404). The lice can attain severe infestation
levels, particularly in pups. The worst infestations can result in
severe scratching, irritated and raw skin, substantial hair loss
particularly in the groin, and poor condition. While no wolf mortality
has been confirmed, death from exposure and/or secondary infection
following self-inflicted trauma caused by inflammation and itching may
be possible. Dog-biting lice were confirmed on two wolves in Montana in
2005, on a wolf in southcentral Idaho in early 2006 (Service et al.
2006, p. 15; Atkinson 2006, p. 5; Jimenez et al. 2010), and in 4
percent of Minnesota wolves in 2003 through 2005 (Paul in litt. 2005),
but their infestations were not severe. Dog-biting lice infestations
are not expected to have a significant impact even at a local scale.
Other diseases and parasites, including rabies, canine heartworm,
blastomycosis, bacterial myocarditis, granulomatous pneumonia,
brucellosis, leptospirosis, bovine tuberculosis, hookworm, coccidiosis,
and canine hepatitis have been documented in wild wolves, but their
impacts on future wild wolf populations are not likely to be
significant (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 419-429; Hassett in litt. 2003;
Johnson 1995, pp. 431, 436-438; Mech and Kurtz 1999, pp. 305-306;
Thomas in litt. 1998, Thomas in litt. 2006, WI DNR 1999, p. 61; Kreeger
2003, pp. 202-214). Continuing wolf range expansion, however, likely
will provide new avenues for exposure to several of these diseases,
especially canine heartworm, raccoon rabies, and bovine tuberculosis
(Thomas in litt. 2000; Thomas in litt. 2006), further emphasizing the
importance of disease-monitoring programs.
Effects of Climate Change
Effects of climate change were not identified as threats at the
time of listing. While it is possible that climate change could affect
gray wolves to some extent, such as through impacts to prey species
(Hendricks et al. 2018, unpaginated), we are not aware of any
information indicating that climate change is causing negative effects
to the viability of gray wolf populations in the gray wolf entity, or
that it is likely to do so in the future. Throughout their circumpolar
distribution, gray wolves persist in a variety of ecosystems with
temperatures ranging from -70 [deg]F to 120 [deg]F (-57 [deg]C to 49
[deg]C) (Mech and Boitani 2003, p. xv). Gray wolves are highly
adaptable animals that inhabit a range of ecotypes and are efficient at
exploiting food resources available to them. Due to this plasticity, we
do not consider gray wolves to be vulnerable to climate change. For a
full discussion of potential impacts of climate change on wolves, see
the final delisting rule for the gray wolf in Wyoming (77 FR 55597-
55598, September 10, 2012).
Cumulative Effects
When threats occur together, one may exacerbate the effects of
another, causing effects not accounted for when threats are analyzed
individually. Many of the threats to the gray wolf entity and gray wolf
habitat discussed above are interrelated and could be synergistic, and
thus may cumulatively affect the gray wolf entity beyond the extent of
each individual threat. For example, a decline in available wild prey
could cause wolves to prey on more livestock resulting in a potential
increase in human-caused mortality. Although the types, magnitude, or
extent of cumulative impacts are difficult to predict, we are not aware
of any information demonstrating that cumulative effects are occurring
at a level sufficient to negatively affect gray wolf populations within
the gray wolf entity. We are not aware of any combination of factors
that have not already been, or would not be, addressed through ongoing
management measures that are expected to continue post-delisting and
into the future, as described above. The best scientific and commercial
data available indicate that the vast majority of these wolves occur as
a widespread, large, and resilient metapopulation and that threat
factors are not currently resulting, nor are they anticipated to
cumulatively result, in reductions in gray wolf numbers or habitat.
Post-Delisting Management
State Management
Post-Delisting Management in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan
During the 2000 legislative session, the Minnesota Legislature
passed wolf-management provisions addressing wolf
[[Page 9667]]
protection, taking of wolves, and directing Minnesota Department of
Natural Resources to prepare a wolf-management plan. The MN DNR revised
a 1999 draft wolf-management plan to reflect the legislative action of
2000, and completed the Minnesota Wolf Management Plan in early 2001
(MN DNR 2001, entire).
The Wisconsin Natural Resources Board approved the Wisconsin Wolf
Management Plan in October 1999. In 2004 and 2005 the Wisconsin Wolf
Science Advisory Committee and the Wisconsin Wolf Stakeholders group
reviewed the 1999 Plan, and the Science Advisory Committee subsequently
developed updates and recommended modifications to the 1999 Plan. The
updates were completed and received final Natural Resources Board
approval on November 28, 2006 (WI DNR 2006a, entire).
In late 1997, the Michigan Wolf Recovery and Management Plan was
completed and received the necessary State approvals. That plan focused
on recovery of a small wolf population, rather than long-term
management of a large wolf population and the conflicts that result as
a consequence of successful wolf restoration. To address changes
associated with the 2007 Federal delisting of wolves in Michigan, the
MI DNR revised its original wolf plan and created the 2008 Michigan
Wolf Management Plan. The 2008 plan addressed the biological, social,
and regulatory situation of wolf management in Michigan at that time.
Since then, the context of wolf management in Michigan has continued to
change, and the MI DNR again updated its wolf-management plan in 2015
(MI DNR 2015, entire). The 2015 updates reflect the biological and
social issues associated with the increased population size and
distribution of wolves in the State, although the four principle goals
of the 2008 plan remain the same. The complete text of the Wisconsin,
Michigan, and Minnesota wolf-management plans can be found on our
website (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
The Minnesota Wolf Management Plan--The Minnesota Plan is based, in
part, on the recommendations of a State wolf-management roundtable (MN
DNR 2001, appendix V) and on a State wolf-management law enacted in
2000 (MN DNR 2001, appendix I). This law and the Minnesota Game and
Fish Laws constitute the basis of the State's authority to manage
wolves. The Plan's stated goal is ``to ensure the long-term survival of
wolves in Minnesota while addressing wolf--human conflicts that
inevitably result when wolves and people live in the same vicinity''
(MN DNR 2001, p. 2). It establishes a minimum goal of 1,600 wolves in
the State. Key components of the plan are population monitoring and
management, management of wolf depredation of domestic animals,
management of wolf prey, enforcement of laws regulating take of wolves,
public education, and increased staffing to accomplish these actions.
Following Federal delisting, MN DNR's management of wolves would differ
from their current management while wolves were listed as threatened
under the Act. Most of these differences deal with two aspects of wolf
management: The control of wolves that attack or threaten domestic
animals and the implementation of a regulated wolf harvest season.
The Minnesota Plan divides the State into two wolf-management
zones--Zones A and B (see map in MN DNR 2001, appendix 3). Zone A
corresponds to Federal Wolf Management Zones 1 through 4 (approximately
30,000 mi\2\ (77,700 km\2\) in northeastern Minnesota) in the Service's
Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber Wolf, whereas Zone B constitutes
Zone 5 in that recovery plan (the rest of the State (approximately
57,000 mi\2\ (147,600 km\2\) (MN DNR 2001, pp. 19-20 and appendix III;
USFWS 1992, p. 72). Within Zone A, wolves would receive strong
protection by the State, unless they were involved in attacks on
domestic animals. The rules governing the take of wolves to protect
domestic animals in Zone B would be less protective of wolves than in
Zone A (see Post-delisting Depredation Control in Minnesota below).
The Minnesota Department of Natural Resources plans to allow wolf
numbers and distribution to naturally expand, with no maximum
population goal, and if any winter population estimate is below 1,600
wolves, it would take actions to ``assure recovery'' to 1,600 wolves
(MN DNR 2001 p. 19). The MN DNR plans to continue to monitor wolves in
Minnesota to determine whether such intervention is necessary. After
the WGL DPS was delisted in 2011, the MN DNR increased the frequency of
population surveys from every 5 years to annually in 2013. Although the
agency is evaluating wolf-monitoring methods and optimal frequencies,
short-term plans are to continue annual population-size estimates. In
addition to these statewide population surveys, MN DNR annually reviews
data on depredation-incident frequency and locations provided by
Wildlife Services and winter track-survey indices (see Erb 2008) to
help ascertain annual trends in wolf population or range (MN DNR 2001,
pp. 18-19).
Minnesota (MN DNR 2001, pp. 21-24, 27-28) plans to reduce or
control illegal mortality of wolves through education, increased
enforcement of the State's wolf laws and regulations, discouraging new
road access in some areas, and maintaining a depredation-control
program that includes compensation for livestock losses. The MN DNR
plans to use a variety of methods to encourage and support education of
the public about the effects of wolves on livestock, wild ungulate
populations, and human activities and the history and ecology of wolves
in the State (MN DNR 2001, pp. 29-30). These are all measures that have
been in effect for years in Minnesota, although increased enforcement
of State laws against take of wolves would replace enforcement of the
Act's take prohibitions. Financial compensation for livestock losses
has increased to the full market value of the animal, replacing
previous caps of $400 and $750 per animal (MN DNR 2001, p. 24). We do
not expect the State's efforts to result in the reduction of illegal
take of wolves from existing levels, but these measures would be
crucial in ensuring that illegal mortality does not significantly
increase after Federal delisting.
Under Minnesota law, the illegal killing of a wolf is a gross
misdemeanor and is punishable by a maximum fine of $3,000 and
imprisonment for up to 1 year. The restitution value of an illegally
killed wolf is $2,000 (MN DNR 2001, p. 29). The MN DNR has designated
three conservation officers who are stationed in the State's wolf range
as the lead officers for implementing the wolf-management plan (MN DNR
2001, pp. 29, 32; Stark in litt. 2018).
Depredation Control in Minnesota--Although federally protected as a
threatened species in Minnesota, wolves that have attacked domestic
animals have been killed by designated government employees under the
authority of a regulation (50 CFR 17.40(d)) under section 4(d) of the
Act. However, no control of depredating wolves was allowed in Federal
Wolf Management Zone 1, comprising about 4,500 mi\2\ (7,200 km\2\) in
extreme northeastern Minnesota (USFWS 1992, p. 72). In Federal Wolf
Management Zones 2 through 5, employees or agents of the Service
(including USDA-APHIS-Wildlife Services) have taken wolves in response
to depredations of domestic animals within one-half mile (0.8 km) of
the depredation site. Young-of-the-year (young produced in one
reproductive year) captured on or before
[[Page 9668]]
August 1 must be released. The regulations that allow for this take (50
CFR 17.40(d)(2)(i)(C)) do not specify a maximum duration for
depredation control, but Wildlife Services personnel have followed
internal guidelines under which they trap for no more than 10-15 days,
except at sites with repeated or chronic depredation, where they may
trap for up to 30 days (Paul 2004, pers. comm.).
During the period 1980-2017, the Federal Minnesota wolf-
depredation-control program euthanized from 20 (in 1982) to 262 (in
2015) wolves annually. The annual averages and the percentage of the
statewide wolf population for 5-year periods are presented in table 2.
Table 2--Average Annual Number of Wolves Euthanized Under Minnesota Wolf Depredation Control and the Percentage of the Statewide Wolf Population for 5-
Year Periods From 1980-2017
[Final time period represents 3, rather than 5 years) (Erb 2008; USDA-Wildlife Services 2010, p. 3; USDA-Wildlife Services 2011, p. 3; USDA-Wildlife
Services 2017, p. 3]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1980-1984 1985-1989 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 2010-2014 2015-2017
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average annual # wolves euthanized.............. 30 49 115 152 128 157 194 195
Average annual % of wolf population............. 2.2 3.0 6.0 6.7 4.2 5.4 7.6 7.3
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Since 1980, the lowest annual percentage of Minnesota wolves killed
under this program was 1.5 percent in 1982; the highest percentage was
9.4 in both 1997 and 2015 (Paul 2004, pp. 2-7; Paul 2006, p. 1; USDA-
Wildlife Services 2017, p. 3). The periods during which the
depredation-control program was taking its highest percentages of
wolves was during the 1990s and the 2010s. During the 1990s, when
wolves euthanized for depredation control averaged around 6 percent of
the wolf population, Minnesota wolf numbers continued to grow at an
average annual rate of nearly 4 percent (Paul 2004, pp. 2-7). Wolf
populations in the State fluctuated during the 2010s, when wolves
euthanized for depredation control averaged around 7 percent of the
wolf population. While wolf populations in the State did decline while
wolves were delisted from 2011-2014, other management techniques in
addition to depredation control were also implemented during that time
(e.g., regulated harvest), and that management was expected to reduce
wolf numbers while maintaining a minimum population level. The level of
wolf removal for depredation control that has occurred has not
interfered with wolf recovery in Minnesota.
Under a Minnesota statute, the Minnesota Department of Agriculture
(MDA) compensates livestock owners for full market value of livestock
that wolves have killed or severely injured. An authorized investigator
must confirm that wolves were responsible for the depredation. The
Minnesota statute also requires MDA to periodically update its Best
Management Practices to incorporate new practices that it finds would
reduce wolf depredation (Minnesota Statutes 2018, Section 3.737,
subdivision 5).
Post-delisting Depredation Control in Minnesota--If wolves in
Minnesota are delisted, depredation control would be authorized under
Minnesota State law and conducted in conformance with the Minnesota
Wolf Management Plan (MN DNR 2001). The Minnesota Plan divides the
State into Wolf Management Zones A and B, as discussed above. The
statewide survey conducted during the winter of 2003-04 estimated that
there were approximately 2,570 wolves in Zone A and 450 in Zone B (Erb
in litt. 2005). As discussed in Recovery Criteria above, the Federal
planning goal is 1,251-1,400 wolves for Zones 1-4 and there is no
minimum population goal for Zone 5 (USFWS 1992, p. 28).
In Zone A, wolf depredation control would be limited to situations
of (1) immediate threat and (2) following verified loss of domestic
animals. In this zone, if the DNR verifies that a wolf destroyed any
livestock, domestic animal, or pet, and if the owner requests wolf
control be implemented, trained and certified predator controllers may
take wolves (specific number to be determined on a case-by-case basis)
within a 1-mile (1.6-km) radius of the depredation site (depredation-
control area) for up to 60 days. In contrast, in Zone B, predator
controllers may take wolves (specific number to be determined on a
case-by-case basis) for up to 214 days after MN DNR opens a
depredation-control area, depending on the time of year. Under State
law, the DNR may open a control area in Zone B anytime within 5 years
of a verified depredation loss upon request of the landowner, thereby
providing more of a preventative approach than is allowed in Zone A, in
order to head off repeat depredation incidents (MN DNR 2001, p. 22).
Depredation control would be allowed throughout Zone A, which
includes an area (Federal Wolf Management Zone 1) where such control
has not been permitted under the Act's protection. Depredation by
wolves in Zone 1, however, has been limited to 2 to 4 reported
incidents per year, mostly of wolves killing dogs. In 2009, there was
one probable and one verified depredation of a dog near Ely, Minnesota,
and in 2010 Wildlife Services confirmed three dogs killed by wolves in
Zone 1 (USDA-Wildlife Services 2009, p. 3; USDA-Wildlife Services 2010,
p. 3). There are few livestock in Zone 1; therefore, the number of
verified future depredation incidents in that Zone is expected to be
low, resulting in a correspondingly low number of depredating wolves
being killed there after delisting.
State law and the Minnesota Plan would also allow for private wolf
depredation control throughout the State. Persons could shoot or
destroy a wolf that poses ``an immediate threat'' to their livestock,
guard animals, or domestic animals on lands that they own, lease, or
occupy. Immediate threat is defined as ``in the act of stalking,
attacking, or killing.'' This does not include trapping because traps
cannot be placed in a manner such that they trap only wolves in the act
of stalking, attacking, or killing. Owners of domestic pets could also
kill wolves posing an immediate threat to pets under their supervision
on lands that they do not own or lease, although such actions are
subject to local ordinances, trespass law, and other applicable
restrictions. To protect their domestic animals in Zone B, individuals
do not have to wait for an immediate threat or a depredation incident
in order to take wolves. At any time in Zone B, persons who own, lease,
or manage lands may shoot wolves on those lands to protect livestock,
domestic animals, or pets. They may
[[Page 9669]]
also employ a predator controller to trap a wolf on their land or
within 1 mile (1.6 km) of their land (with permission of the landowner)
to protect their livestock, domestic animals, or pets (MN DNR 2001, pp.
23-24). The MN DNR will investigate any private taking of wolves in
Zone A (MN DNR 2001, p. 23). The Minnesota Plan would also allow
persons to harass wolves anywhere in the State within 500 yards of
``people, buildings, dogs, livestock, or other domestic pets or
animals.'' Harassment may not include physical injury to a wolf.
As discussed above, landowners or lessees would be allowed to
respond to situations of immediate threat by shooting wolves in the act
of stalking, attacking, or killing livestock or other domestic animals
in Zone A. We conclude that this action is not likely to result in the
killing of many additional wolves, as opportunities to shoot wolves
``in the act'' would likely be few and difficult to successfully
accomplish, a conclusion shared by a highly experienced wolf-
depredation agent (Paul in litt. 2006, p. 5). It is also possible that
illegal killing of wolves in Minnesota will decrease, because the
expanded options for legal control of problem wolves may lead to an
increase in public tolerance for wolves (Paul in litt. 2006, p. 5).
State law and the Minnesota Plan would provide broad authority to
landowners and land managers to shoot wolves at any time to protect
their livestock, pets, or other domestic animals on land owned, leased,
or managed by the individual in Zone B (as described above). Such
takings can occur in the absence of wolf attacks on the domestic
animals. Thus, the estimated 450 wolves in Zone B could be subject to
substantial reduction in numbers. At the extreme, wolves could be
eliminated from Zone B, but this is highly unlikely--the Minnesota Plan
states that ``Although depredation procedures will likely result in a
larger number of wolves killed, as compared to previous ESA management,
they will not result in the elimination of wolves from Zone B.'' (MN
DNR 2001, pp. 22-23). While wolves were under State management in 2007-
08 and in 2011-14, landowners in Zone B shot six and eight wolves under
this authority, respectively. Fourteen additional wolves were trapped
and euthanized in Zone B by State-certified predator controllers, 1 in
2009 and 13 in 2013 (Stark in litt. 2009; Stark in litt. 2018).
The limitation of this broad take authority to Zone B is fully
consistent with the advice in the Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber
Wolf that wolves should be restored to the rest of Minnesota but not to
Zone B (Federal Zone 5) because that area ``is not suitable for
wolves'' (USFWS 1992, p. 20). The Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber
Wolf envisioned that the Minnesota numerical planning goal would be
achieved solely in Zone A (Federal Zones 1-4) (USFWS 1992, p. 28), and
that has occurred. Wolves outside of Zone A are not necessary to the
establishment and long-term viability of a self-sustaining wolf
population in the State, and, therefore, there is no need to establish
or maintain a wolf population in Zone B. Accordingly, there is no need
to maintain significant protection for wolves in Zone B in order to
maintain a Minnesota wolf population that continues to satisfy the
Federal recovery criteria after Federal delisting.
This expansion of depredation-control activities would not threaten
the continued survival of wolves in the State or the long-term
viability of the wolf population in Zone A, the large part of wolf
range in Minnesota. Significant changes in wolf depredation control
under State management will primarily be restricted to Zone B, which is
outside of the area necessary for wolf recovery (USFWS 1992, pp. 20,
28). Furthermore, wolves may still persist in Zone B despite the likely
increased take there. The Eastern Timber Wolf Recovery Team concluded
that the changes in wolf management in the State's Zone A would be
``minor'' and would not likely result in ``significant change in
overall wolf numbers in Zone A.'' They found that, despite an expansion
of the individual depredation-control areas and an extension of the
control period to 60 days, depredation control would remain ``very
localized'' in Zone A. The requirement that such depredation-control
activities be conducted only in response to verified wolf depredation
in Zone A played a key role in the team's evaluation (Peterson in litt.
2001). While wolves were under State management in 2007 and 2008, the
number of wolves killed for depredation control (133 wolves in 2007 and
143 wolves in 2008) remained consistent with those killed under the
special regulation under section 4(d) of the Act while wolves were
federally listed (105, in 2004; 134, in 2005; and 122, in 2006). The
number of wolves killed for depredation control while wolves were under
State management for the second time (2011-2014) was slightly higher
(203 wolves in 2011, 262 in 2012, 114 in 2013, and 197 in 2014) than
during 2007 and 2008, but was still consistent with those killed under
section 4(d) in the surrounding years (192 wolves in 2010 and 213 in
2015).
Minnesota would continue to monitor wolf populations throughout the
State and would also monitor all depredation-control activities in Zone
A (MN DNR 2001, p. 18). These and other activities contained in their
plan would be essential in meeting their population goal of a minimum
statewide winter population of 1,600 wolves, well above the planning
goal of 1,251 to 1,400 wolves that the Revised Recovery Plan identifies
as sufficient to ensure the wolf's continued survival in Minnesota
(USFWS 1992, p. 28).
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in Minnesota--Minnesota Department
of Natural Resources will consider wolf population-management measures,
including public hunting and trapping seasons and other methods, if
wolves are federally delisted. In 2011, the Minnesota Legislature
authorized the MN DNR to implement a wolf season following the Federal
delisting and classified wolves as small game in State statute
(Minnesota Statutes 2018 97B.645 Subd. 9). Following Federal delisting,
the 2012 Legislature established wolf hunting and trapping licenses,
clarified the authority for the MN DNR to implement a wolf season, and
required the start of the season to be no later than the start of
firearms deer season each year. Three regulated harvest seasons (in
2012, 2013, and 2014) were subsequently implemented in the State while
wolves were federally delisted. The harvest was divided into three
segments: An early hunting season that coincided with the firearms deer
season, a late hunting season, and a concurrent late trapping season.
In 2012, the MN DNR established a total target harvest of 400 wolves
(the close of the harvest season is to be initiated when that target is
met) (Stark and Erb 2013, pp. 1-2). During that first regulated season,
413 wolves were harvested. Based on the results of the 2012 harvest
season, the MN DNR revised the target to 220 wolves for 2013; that year
238 wolves were harvested. The 2014 target harvest was 250 wolves and
272 were harvested.
The Minnesota management plan requires that population-management
measures be implemented in such a way to maintain a statewide late-
winter wolf population of at least 1,600 animals (MN DNR 2001, pp. 19-
20), well above the planning goal of 1,251 to 1,400 wolves for the
State in the Revised Recovery Plan (USFWS 1992, p. 28); therefore,
implementing such management measures under that
[[Page 9670]]
requirement would ensure the wolf's continued survival in Minnesota.
The Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan--Both the Wisconsin and Michigan
Wolf Management Plans are designed to manage and ensure the existence
of wolf populations in the States as if they are isolated populations
and are not dependent upon immigration of wolves from an adjacent State
or Canada, while still maintaining connections to those other
populations. We support this approach as it provides strong assurances
that the wolf in both States will remain a viable component of the
wolves in the Great Lakes area and the larger gray wolf entity.
The Wisconsin Plan allows for differing levels of protection and
management within four separate management zones (see WI DNR 2006a,
figure 8). The Northern Forest Zone (Zone 1) and the Central Forest
Zone (Zone 2) now contain most of the State's wolf population, with
approximately 6 percent of the Wisconsin wolves in Zones 3 and 4
(Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2009, table 1). Zones 1 and 2 contain all the
larger unfragmented areas of suitable habitat, so we anticipate that
most of the State's wolf packs will continue to inhabit those parts of
Wisconsin. At the time the 1999 Wisconsin Plan was completed, it
recommended immediate reclassification from State-endangered to State-
threatened status, because Wisconsin's wolf population had already
exceeded its reclassification criterion of 80 wolves for 3 years; thus,
State reclassification occurred that same year.
The Wisconsin Plan contains a minimum population goal of 350 wolves
outside of Native American reservations, and specifies that the species
should be delisted by the State once the population reaches 250 animals
outside of reservations. The species was proposed for State delisting
in late 2003, and the State delisting process was completed in 2004.
Upon State delisting, the species was classified as a ``protected
nongame species,'' a designation that continues State prohibitions on
sport hunting and trapping of the species (Wydeven and Jurewicz 2005,
p. 1; WI DNR 2006b, p. 71). The Wisconsin Plan includes criteria for
when State re-listing to threatened (a decline to fewer than 250 wolves
for 3 years) or endangered status (a decline to fewer than 80 wolves
for 1 year) should be considered. The Wisconsin Plan will be reviewed
annually by the Wisconsin Wolf Advisory Committee and will be reviewed
by the public every 5 years. Recently the WI DNR began work on updating
the State's wolf-management plan, which may include increasing the
State management goal (Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2009, p. 3).
The Wisconsin Plan was updated during 2004-06 to reflect current
wolf numbers, additional knowledge, and issues that have arisen since
its 1999 completion. This update is in the form of text changes,
revisions to two appendices, and the addition of a new appendix to the
1999 plan, rather than a major revision to the plan. Several components
of the plan that are key to our delisting evaluation are unchanged. The
State wolf-management goal of 350 animals and the boundaries of the
four wolf-management zones remain the same as in the 1999 Plan. The
updated 2006 Plan continues access management on public lands and the
protection of active den sites. Protection of pack-rendezvous sites,
however, is no longer considered to be needed in areas where wolves
have become well established, due to the transient nature of these
sites and the larger wolf population. The updated Plan states that
rendezvous sites may need protection in areas where wolf colonization
is still under way or where pup survival is extremely poor, such as in
northeastern Wisconsin (WI DNR 2006a, p. 17). The guidelines for the
wolf depredation-control program (see Post-delisting Depredation
Control in Wisconsin) did not undergo significant alteration during the
update process. The only substantive change to depredation-control
practices is to expand the area of depredation-control trapping in
Zones 1 and 2 to 1 mi (1.6 km) outward from the depredation site,
replacing the previous 0.5-mi (0.8-km) radius trapping zone (WI DNR
2006a, pp. 3-4).
An important component of the Wisconsin Plan is the annual
monitoring of wolf populations by radio collars and winter track
surveys in order to provide comparable annual data to assess population
size and growth for at least 5 years after Federal delisting. This
monitoring would include health monitoring of captured wolves and
necropsies of dead wolves that are found. Wolf scat would be collected
and analyzed to monitor for canine viruses and parasites. Health
monitoring would be part of the capture protocol for all studies that
involve the live-capture of Wisconsin wolves (WI DNR 2006a, p. 14). The
2006 update to the Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan did not change the WI
DNR's commitment to annual wolf population monitoring, and ensures
accurate and comparable data (WI DNR 1999, pp. 19-20).
Cooperative habitat management would be promoted with public and
private landowners to maintain existing road densities in Zones 1 and
2, protect wolf dispersal corridors, and manage forests for deer and
beaver (WI DNR 1999, pp. 4, 22-23; 2006a, pp. 15-17). Furthermore, in
Zone 1, a year-round prohibition on tree harvest within 330 feet (100
m) of den sites and seasonal restrictions to reduce disturbance within
one-half mile (0.8 km) of dens would be WI DNR policy on public lands
and would be encouraged on private lands (WI DNR 1999, p. 23; 2006a, p.
17).
The 1999 Wisconsin Plan contains, and the 2006 update retains,
other components that would provide protection to assist in maintenance
of a viable wolf population in the State following delisting: (1)
Continue the protection of the species as a ``protected wild animal''
with penalties similar to those for unlawfully killing large game
species (fines of $1,000-$2,000, loss of hunting privileges for 3-5
years, and a possible 6-month jail sentence), (2) maintain closure
zones where coyotes cannot be shot during deer-hunting season in Zone
1, (3) legally protect wolf dens under the Wisconsin Administrative
Code, (4) require State permits to possess a wolf or wolf-dog hybrid,
and (5) establish a restitution value to be levied in addition to fines
and other penalties for wolves that are illegally killed (WI DNR 1999,
pp. 21, 27-28, 30-31; 2006a, pp. 3-4).
The 2006 update of the Wisconsin Plan continues to emphasize the
need for public education efforts that focus on living with a recovered
wolf population, ways to manage wolves and wolf-human conflicts, and
the ecosystem role of wolves. The Plan continues the State
reimbursement for depredation losses (including dogs and missing
calves), citizen stakeholder involvement in the wolf-management
program, and coordination with the Tribes in wolf management and
investigation of illegal killings (WI DNR 1999, pp. 24, 28-29; 2006a,
pp. 22-23).
Depredation Control in Wisconsin--Lethal depredation control has
not been authorized in Wisconsin (due to the listed status of wolves
there as endangered) except for several years when such control was
authorized under a permit from the USFWS or while wolves were delisted
under previous actions. The rapidly expanding Wisconsin wolf population
has resulted in an increased need for depredation control, however.
From 1979 through 1989, there were only five cases (an average of 0.4
per year) of verified wolf depredations in Wisconsin, but the number of
incidents has steadily increased over the subsequent decades.
[[Page 9671]]
During the 1990s there were an average of approximately 4 incidents per
year, increasing to an average of approximately 38 per year during the
2000s and to an average of approximately 69 per year since 2010 (WI DNR
data files and summary of wolf survey and depredation reports).
A significant portion of depredation incidents in Wisconsin involve
attacks on dogs. In most cases, these have been hunting dogs that were
being used for, or being trained for, hunting bears, bobcats, coyotes,
and snowshoe hare (Ruid et al. 2009, pp. 285-286). It is believed that
the dogs entered the territory of a wolf pack and may have been close
to a den, rendezvous site, or feeding location, thus triggering an
attack by wolves defending their territory or pups. The frequency of
attacks on hunting dogs has increased as the State's wolf population
has grown. Of the 206 dogs killed by wolves during the 25 years from
1986-2010, more than 80 percent occurred during the period from 2001-
10, with an average of 17 dogs killed annually during that 10-year
period (WI DNR files). Data on depredations from 2013 to 2017 show a
continued increase in wolf attacks on dogs, with an average of 23 dogs
killed annually (with a high of 41 dogs in 2016). While the WI DNR
compensates dog owners for mortalities and injuries to their dogs, the
DNR takes no action against the depredating pack unless the attack was
on a dog that was leashed, confined, or under the owner's control on
the owner's land. Instead, the DNR issues press releases to warn bear
hunters and bear-dog trainers of the areas where wolf packs have been
attacking bear dogs (WI DNR 2008, p. 5) and provides maps and advice to
hunters on the WI DNR website (see https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/WildlifeHabitat/wolf/dogdeps.html). In 2010, wolf attacks on dogs
occurred 14 times near homes, which was the highest level seen of this
type of depredation (Wydeven et al. 2011, p. 3).
During the first periods that wolves were federally delisted in
Wisconsin (from March 2007 through September 2008 and from April
through early July 2009), 92 wolves were killed for depredation control
in the State, including 8 legally shot by private landowners (Wydeven
and Wiedenhoeft 2008, p. 8; Wydeven et al. 2009b, p. 6; Wydeven et al.
2010, p. 13). When wolves were again delisted from January 2012 through
December 2014, depredation control resulted in 164 wolves being killed,
including 38 legally shot by private landowners (McFarland and
Wiedenhoeft 2013, p. 9; Wiedenhoeft et al, 2014, p. 10; Wiedenhoeft et
al. 2015, p. 10).
Post-delisting Depredation Control in Wisconsin--Following Federal
delisting, wolf depredation control in Wisconsin would be carried out
according to the 2006 Updated Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan (WI DNR
2006a, pp. 19-23), Guidelines for Conducting Depredation Control on
Wolves in Wisconsin Following Federal Delisting (WI DNR 2008), and any
Tribal wolf-management plans or guidelines that may be developed for
reservations in occupied wolf range. The 2006 updates did not
significantly change the 1999 State Plan, and the State wolf management
goal of 350 wolves outside of Indian reservations (WI DNR 2006a, p. 3)
is unchanged. Verification of wolf depredation incidents would continue
to be conducted by USDA-APHIS-Wildlife Services, working under a
cooperative agreement with WI DNR, or at the request of a Tribe,
depending on the location of the suspected depredation incident. If
determined to be a confirmed or probable depredation by a wolf or
wolves, one or more of several options would be implemented to address
the depredation problem. These options include technical assistance,
loss compensation to landowners, translocating or euthanizing problem
wolves, and private landowner control of problem wolves in some
circumstances (WI DNR 2006a, pp. 3-4, 20-22).
Technical assistance, consisting of advice or recommendations to
prevent or reduce further wolf conflicts, would be provided. This may
also include providing the landowner with various forms of noninjurious
behavior-modification materials, such as flashing lights, noise makers,
temporary fencing, and fladry (a string of flags used to contain or
exclude wild animals). Monetary compensation is also provided for all
verified and probable losses of domestic animals and for a portion of
documented missing calves (WI DNR 2006a, pp. 22-23). The compensation
is made at full market value of the animal (up to a limit of $2,500 for
dogs) and can include veterinarian fees for the treatment of injured
animals (WI DNR 2006c 12.54). Current Wisconsin law requires the
continuation of the compensation payment for wolf depredation
regardless of Federal listing or delisting of the species (WI DNR 2006c
12.50). In recent years, annual depredation compensation payments have
ranged from $91,000 (2009) to $256,000 (2017). From 1985 through April,
2018, the WI DNR had spent over $2,378,000 on reimbursement for damage
caused by wolves in the State, with 60 percent of that total spent over
the last 10 years (since 2009) (https://dnr.wi.gov/topic/wildlifehabitat/wolf/documents/WolfDamagePayments.pdf).
For depredation incidents in Wisconsin Zones 1 through 3, where all
wolf packs currently reside, wolves may be trapped by USDA-Wildlife
Services or Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources personnel and, if
feasible, translocated and released at a point distant from the
depredation site. If wolves are captured adjacent to an Indian
reservation or a large block of public land, the animals may be
translocated locally to that area. Long-distance translocating of
depredating wolves has become increasingly difficult in Wisconsin and
is likely to be used infrequently in the future as long as the off-
reservation wolf population is above 350 animals. In most wolf-
depredation cases where technical assistance and nonlethal methods of
behavior modification are judged to be ineffective, wolves would be
shot or trapped and euthanized by Wildlife Services or DNR personnel.
Trapping and euthanizing would be conducted within a 1-mi (1.6-km)
radius of the depredation in Zones 1 and 2, and within a 5-mi (8-km)
radius in Zone 3. There is no distance limitation for depredation-
control trapping in Zone 4, and all wolves trapped in Zone 4 would be
euthanized, rather than translocated (WI DNR 2006a, pp. 22-23).
Full authority to conduct lethal depredation control has not been
allowed in Wisconsin (due to the listed status of the wolf as an
endangered species) except for short periods of time. So we have
evaluated post-delisting lethal depredation control based upon verified
depredation incidents over the last decade and the impacts of the
implementation of similar lethal control of depredating wolves under 50
CFR 17.40(d) for Minnesota, Sec. 17.40(o) for Wisconsin and Michigan,
and section 10(a)(1)(A) of the Act for Wisconsin and Michigan. Under
those authorities, WI DNR and Wildlife Services trapped and euthanized
17 wolves in 2003; 24 in 2004; 29 in 2005; 18 in 2006; 37 in 2007; 39
in 2008; 9 in 2009; and 16 in 2010 (WI DNR 2006a, p. 32; Wydeven et al.
2009a, pp. 6-7; Wydeven et al. 2010, p. 15; Wydeven et al. 2011, p. 3).
Although these lethal control authorities applied to Wisconsin and
Michigan DNRs for only a portion of 2003 (April through December) and
2005 (all of January for both States; April 1 and April 19, for
Wisconsin and Michigan respectively, through September 13), they
covered nearly all of the verified wolf depredations during
[[Page 9672]]
2003-05, and thus provide a reasonable measure of annual lethal
depredation control. For 2003, 2004, and 2005, this represents 5.1
percent, 6.4 percent, 7.4 percent (including the several possible wolf-
dog hybrids), respectively, of the late-winter population of Wisconsin
wolves during the previous winter. This level of lethal depredation
control was followed by a wolf population increase of 11 percent from
2003 to 2004, 17 percent from 2004 to 2005, and 7 percent from 2005 to
2006 (Wydeven and Jurewicz 2005, p. 5; Wydeven et al. 2006, p. 10).
Limited lethal-control authority was granted to WI DNR for 3.5 months
in 2006 by a section 10 permit, resulting in removal of 18 wolves (3.9
percent of the winter wolf population) (Wydeven et al. 2007, p. 7).
Lethal depredation control was again authorized in the State while
wolves were delisted in 2007 (9.5 months) and 2008 (9 months). During
those times, 40 and 43 wolves, respectively, were killed for
depredation control (by Wildlife Services or by legal landowner
action), representing 7 and 8 percent of the late-winter population of
Wisconsin wolves during the previous year. This level of lethal
depredation control was followed by a wolf population increase of 0.5
percent from 2007 to 2008, and 12 percent from 2008 to 2009 (Wydeven
and Wiedenhoeft 2008, pp. 19-22; Wydeven et al. 2009a, p. 6). Authority
for lethal control on depredating wolves occurred for only 2 months in
2009. During that time, eight wolves were euthanized for depredation
control by USDA-Wildlife Services, and one wolf was shot by a
landowner; additionally, later in 2009 after re-listing, a wolf was
captured and euthanized by USDA-Wildlife Services for human safety
concerns (Wydeven et al. 2010, p. 15). Thus in 2009, 10 wolves, or 2
percent of the winter wolf population, was removed in control
activities.
In 2010, authority for lethal control of wolves depredating
livestock was not available in Wisconsin, but 16 wolves or 2 percent of
the winter population were removed for human-safety concerns (Wydeven
et al. 2011, p. 3). The Wisconsin wolf population in winter 2010-11
grew to 687 wolves, an increase of 8 percent from the wolf population
in winter 2009-10 (Wydeven et al. 2010, pp. 12-13). When wolves were
again delisted from January 2012 through December 2014, a total of 164
wolves were killed under authorized lethal depredation control
(McFarland and Wiedenhoeft 2013, p. 9; Wiedenhoeft et al. 2014, p. 10;
Wiedenhoeft et al. 2015, p. 10). It is more difficult to evaluate the
effects attributed specifically to depredation control over that time,
as the State also implemented a regulated public harvest those years;
however, information from previous years where depredation control was
the primary change in management provides strong evidence that this
form and magnitude of depredation control would not adversely affect
the viability of the Wisconsin wolf population. The locations of
depredation incidents provide additional evidence that lethal control
would not have an adverse impact on the State's wolf population. Most
livestock depredations are caused by packs near the northern forest-
farm land interface. Few depredations occur in core wolf range and in
large blocks of public land. Thus, lethal depredation-control actions
would not affect most of the Wisconsin wolf population (WI DNR 2006a,
p. 30).
One substantive change to lethal control that would result from
Federal delisting is the ability of a small number of private
landowners, whose farms have a history of recurring wolf depredation,
to obtain limited-duration permits from Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources to kill a limited number of depredating wolves on land they
own or lease, based on the size of the pack causing the local
depredations (WI DNR 2008, p. 8). Such permits would be issued to: (1)
Landowners with verified wolf depredations on their property within the
last 2 years; (2) landowners within 1 mile (1.6 km) of properties with
verified wolf depredations during the calendar year; (3) landowners
with vulnerable livestock within WI DNR-designated proactive control
areas; (4) landowners with human safety concerns on their property, and
(5) landowners with verified harassment of livestock on their property
(WI DNR 2008, p. 8). Limits on the number of wolves to control would be
based on the estimated number of wolves in the pack causing depredation
problems.
During the 19 months in 2007 and 2008 when wolves were federally
delisted, the DNR issued 67 such permits, resulting in 2 wolves being
killed. Some landowners received permits more than once, and permits
were issued for up to 90 days at a time and restricted to specific
calendar years. In addition, landowners and lessees of land statewide
would be allowed without obtaining a permit to kill a wolf ``in the act
of killing, wounding, or biting a domestic animal.'' The incident must
be reported to a conservation warden within 24 hours, and the
landowners are required to turn any dead wolves over to the WI DNR (WI
DNR 2006a, pp. 22-23; WI DNR 2008, p. 6). During that same 19-month
time period, landowners killed a total of five wolves under that
authority. One wolf was shot in the act of attack on domestic animals
during the 2 months when wolves were delisted in 2009; then 38 wolves
were legally shot by landowners during the 35 months wolves were
delisted from 2012-2014. The death of these 46 additional wolves--which
accounted for less than 3 percent of the State's wolves in any year--
did not affect the viability of the population.
Another potential substantive change after delisting would be
proactive trapping or ``intensive control'' of wolves in sub-zones of
the larger wolf-management zones (WI DNR 2006a, pp. 22-23). Triggering
actions and type of controls planned for these ``proactive control
areas'' are listed in the WI DNR depredation-control guidelines (WI DNR
2008, pp. 7-9). Controls on these actions would be considered on a
case-by-case basis to address specific problems, and would be carried
out only in areas that lack suitable habitat, have extensive
agricultural lands with little forest interspersion, in urban or
suburban settings, and only when the State wolf population is well
above the management goal of 350 wolves outside Indian reservations in
late-winter surveys. The use of intensive population management in
small areas would be adapted as experience is gained with implementing
and evaluating localized control actions (Wydeven 2006, pers. comm.).
We are confident that the number of wolves killed by these actions
would not affect the long-term viability of the Wisconsin wolf
population, because generally less than 15 percent of packs cause
depredations that would initiate such controls, and ``proactive''
controls would be carried out only if the State's late-winter wolf
population exceeds 350 animals outside Indian reservations.
The State's current guidelines for conducting depredation-control
actions say that no control trapping would be conducted on wolves that
kill ``dogs that are free roaming, roaming at large, hunting, or
training on public lands, and all other lands except land owned or
leased by the dog owner'' (WI DNR 2008, p. 5). Controls would be
applied on wolves depredating pet dogs attacked near homes and wolves
attacking livestock. Because of these State-imposed limitations, we
conclude that lethal control of wolves depredating on hunting dogs
would be rare and, therefore, would not be a significant additional
source of mortality in Wisconsin. Lethal control of wolves that attack
captive deer is included in the WI DNR depredation-control program,
[[Page 9673]]
because farm-raised deer are considered to be livestock under Wisconsin
law (WI DNR 2008, pp. 5-6; 2006c, 12.52). However, Wisconsin
regulations for deer farm fencing have been strengthened, and it is
unlikely that more than an occasional wolf would need to be killed to
end wolf depredations inside deer farms in the foreseeable future.
Claims for wolf depredation compensation are rejected if the claimant
is not in compliance with regulations regarding farm-raised-deer
fencing or livestock-carcass disposal (Wisconsin Statutes 90.20 &
90.21, WI DNR 2006c 12.54).
Data from verified wolf depredations in recent years indicate that
depredation on livestock is likely to increase as long as the Wisconsin
wolf population increases in numbers and range. Wolf packs in more
marginal habitat with high acreage of pasture land are more likely to
become depredators (Treves et al. 2004, pp. 121-122). Most large areas
of forest land and public lands are included in Wisconsin Wolf
Management Zones 1 and 2, and they have already been colonized by
wolves. Therefore, new areas likely to be colonized by wolves in the
future would be in Zones 3 and 4, where they would be exposed to much
higher densities of farms, livestock, and residences. During 2008, of
farms experiencing wolf depredation, 25 percent (8 of 32) were in Zone
3, yet only 4 percent of the State wolf population occurs in this zone
(Wydeven et al. 2009a, p. 23). Further expansion of wolves into Zone 3
would likely lead to an increase in depredation incidents and an
increase in lethal control actions against Zone 3 wolves. However,
these Zone 3 mortalities would have no impact on wolf population
viability in Wisconsin because of the much larger wolf populations in
Zones 1 and 2.
We anticipate that under the management laid out in the Wisconsin
Wolf Management Plan the wolf population in Zones 1 and 2 would
continue to greatly exceed the recovery goal in the Recovery Plan for
the Eastern Timber Wolf of 200 late-winter wolves for an isolated
population and 100 wolves for a subpopulation connected to the larger
Minnesota population, regardless of the extent of wolf mortality from
all causes in Zones 3 and 4. Ongoing annual wolf population monitoring
by WI DNR would provide timely and accurate data to evaluate the
effects of wolf management under the Wisconsin Plan.
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in Wisconsin--A regulated public
harvest of wolves is acknowledged in the Wisconsin Wolf Management Plan
and its updates as a potential management technique (WI DNR 1999,
appendix D; 2006c, p. 23). Wisconsin Act 169 was enacted in April 2012,
following Federal delisting of wolves earlier that year. The law
reclassified wolves in Wisconsin as a game species and directed the WI
DNR to establish a harvest season in 2012. The harvest season was set
from October 15-February 28 with zones closing as individual quotas are
met. The WI DNR holds the authority to determine harvest zones and set
harvest quotas.
Harvest quotas for the first season in 2012-13 were designed to
begin reducing the population toward the established objective, and the
harvest zones were designed to focus harvest in areas of highest human
conflict with lower harvest rates in areas of primary wolf habitat.
State-licensed hunters and trappers were not allowed permits within the
reservation boundaries of the Bad River, Red Cliff, Lac Courte
Oreilles, Lac Du Flambeau, Menominee, and Stockbridge-Munsee
reservations, and separate quotas were set for these ceded territories.
The Wisconsin Natural Resources Board established a total quota of 201
wolves (broken into a State-licensed quota of 116 wolves and a tribal
quota of 85 wolves). A total of 117 wolves were harvested during that
first season, all under the State licenses (Tribes did not authorize
tribal members to harvest wolves within reservation boundaries). In
2013-14, the total quota was 275 wolves; a State-licensed quota of 251,
and a tribal quota of 24. That year, 257 wolves were harvested. The
2014-15 wolf quota was reduced to 156 (a 57-percent reduction from the
2013-14 wolf quota), and 154 wolves were harvested that season (a 60-
percent decrease from the 2013-14 harvest.
Regardless of the methods used to manage wolves in the State, the
Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources is committed to maintaining a
wolf population at 350 wolves outside of Indian reservations, which
translates to a statewide population of 361 to 385 wolves in late
winter. No harvest would be allowed if the wolf population fell below
this goal (WI DNR 1999, pp. 15, 16). Also, the fact that the Wisconsin
Plan calls for State re-listing of the wolf as a threatened species if
the population falls to fewer than 250 for 3 years provides a strong
assurance that any public harvest is not likely to threaten the
persistence of the population (WI DNR 1999, pp. 15-17). Based on wolf
population data, the current Wisconsin Plan and the 2006 updates, we
conclude that any public harvest plan would continue to maintain the
State wolf population well above the recovery goal of 200 wolves in
late winter.
The Michigan Wolf Management Plan--The 2015 updated Michigan Plan
describes the wolf recovery goals and management actions needed to
maintain a viable wolf population in the Upper Peninsula of Michigan,
while facilitating wolf-related benefits and minimizing conflicts. The
updated Michigan Plan contains new scientific information related to
wolf management, updated information on the legal status of wolves,
clarifications related to management authorities and decisionmaking,
and updated strategic goals, objectives, and management actions
informed by internal evaluation and responses and comments received
from stakeholders. The updated plan retains the four principal goals of
the 2008 plan, which are to ``(1) maintain a viable Michigan wolf
population above a level that would warrant its classification as
threatened or endangered (more than 200 wolves); (2) facilitate wolf-
related benefits; (3) minimize wolf-related conflicts; and (4) conduct
science-based wolf management with socially acceptable methods'' (MI
DNR 2015, p. 16). The Michigan Plan details wolf-management actions,
including public education and outreach activities, annual wolf
population and health monitoring, research, depredation control,
ensuring adequate legal protection for wolves, and prey and habitat
management. It does not address the potential need for wolf recovery or
management in the Lower Peninsula, nor wolf management within Isle
Royale National Park (where the wolf population is fully protected by
the National Park Service).
As with the Wisconsin Plan, the Michigan Department of Natural
Resources has chosen to manage the State's wolves as though they are an
isolated population that receives no genetic or demographic benefits
from immigrating wolves, even though their population will continue to
be connected with populations in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Canada. The
Michigan wolf population must exceed 200 wolves in order to achieve the
Plan's first goal of maintaining a viable wolf population in the Upper
Peninsula. This number is consistent with the Federal Recovery Plan for
the Eastern Timber Wolf's definition of a viable, isolated wolf
population (USFWS 1992, p. 25). The Michigan Plan, however, clearly
states that 200 wolves is not the target population size, and that a
larger population may be necessary to meet the other goals of the Plan.
Therefore, the State would maintain a wolf population that would
``provide all of the ecological and social benefits valued
[[Page 9674]]
by the public'' while ``minimizing and resolving conflicts where they
occur'' (MI DNR 2015, p. 17). We strongly support this approach, as it
provides assurance that a viable wolf population would remain in the
Upper Peninsula regardless of the future fate of wolves in Wisconsin or
Ontario.
The Michigan Plan identifies wolf population monitoring as a
priority activity, and specifically states that the Michigan Department
of Natural Resources would monitor wolf abundance twice a year for at
least 5 years post-delisting (MI DNR 2015, p. 26). This includes
monitoring to assess wolf presence in the northern Lower Peninsula.
From 1989 through 2006, the MI DNR attempted to count wolves throughout
the entire Upper Peninsula. As the wolf population increased, this
method became more difficult. In the winter of 2006-07, the MI DNR
implemented a new sampling approach based on an analysis by Potvin et
al. (2005, p. 1668) to increase the efficiency of the State survey. The
new approach is based on a geographically based stratified random
sample and produces an unbiased, regional estimate of wolf abundance.
The Upper Peninsula was stratified into three sampling areas, and
within each stratum the DNR intensively surveys roughly 40 to 50
percent of the wolf habitat area annually. Computer simulations have
shown that such a geographically stratified monitoring program would
produce unbiased and precise estimates of the total wolf population,
which can be statistically compared to estimates derived from the
previous method to detect significant changes in the Upper Peninsula
wolf population (Beyer in litt. 2006, see attachment by Drummer;
Lederle in litt. 2006; Roell et al. 2009, p. 3).
Another component of wolf population monitoring is monitoring wolf
health. The MI DNR would continue to monitor the impact of parasites
and disease on the viability of wolf populations in the State through
necropsies of dead wolves and analyzing biological samples from
captured live wolves. Prior to 2004, MI DNR vaccinated all captured
wolves for canine distemper and parvovirus and treated them for mange.
These inoculations were discontinued to provide more natural biotic
conditions and to provide biologists with an unbiased estimate of
disease-caused mortality rates in the population (Roell in litt. 2005).
Since diseases and parasites are not currently a significant threat to
the Michigan wolf population, the MI DNR is continuing the practice of
not actively managing disease. If monitoring indicates that diseases or
parasites may pose a threat to the wolf population, the MI DNR would
again consider more active management similar to that conducted prior
to 2004 (MI DNR 2015, p. 35).
The Michigan Plan includes maintaining habitat and prey necessary
to sustain a viable wolf population in the State as a management
component. This includes maintaining prey populations required for a
viable wolf population while providing for sustainable human uses,
maintaining habitat linkages to allow for wolf dispersal, and
minimizing disturbance at known, active wolf dens (MI DNR 2015, pp. 32-
34).
To minimize illegal take, the Michigan Plan calls for enacting and
enforcing regulations to ensure adequate legal protection for wolves in
the State. Under State regulations, wolves could be classified as a
threatened, endangered, game, or protected animal, all of which
prohibit killing (or harming) the species except under a permit,
license, or specific conditions. Michigan removed gray wolves from the
State's threatened and endangered species list in 2009 and classified
the species as a game animal in 2015. Game-animal status allows but
does not require the establishment of a regulated harvest season. The
Michigan Plan states that regulations would be reviewed, modified, or
enacted as necessary to provide the wolf population with appropriate
levels of protection with the following possible actions: (1)
Reclassify wolves as endangered or threatened under State regulations
if population size declines to 200 or fewer wolves; (2) review, modify,
recommend, and/or enact regulations, as necessary, to ensure
appropriate levels of protection for the wolf population; and (3) if
necessary to avoid a lapse in legal protection, amend the Wildlife
Conservation Order to designate wolves as a protected animal (MI DNR
2015, p. 28).
The Michigan Plan emphasizes the need for public information and
education efforts that focus on living with a recovered wolf population
and ways to manage wolves and wolf-human interaction (both positive and
negative) (MI DNR 2015, pp. 22-25). The Plan also recommends continuing
important research efforts, continuing reimbursement for depredation
losses, minimizing the impacts of captive wolves and wolf-dog hybrids
on the wild wolf population, and citizen stakeholder involvement in the
wolf-management program (MI DNR 2015, pp. 27, 52-53, 55-56, 60).
The Michigan Plan calls for establishing a wolf-management
stakeholder group that would meet annually to monitor the progress made
toward implementing the Plan. Furthermore, the Plan will be reviewed
and updated at 5-year intervals to address ``ecological, social, and
regulatory'' changes (MI DNR 2015, pp. 60-61). The plan also addresses
currently available and potential new sources of funding to offset
costs associated with wolf management (MI DNR 2015, pp. 61-62). The MI
DNR has long been an innovative leader in wolf-recovery efforts,
exemplified by its initiation of the nation's first attempt to
reintroduce wild wolves to vacant historical wolf habitat in 1974
(Weise et al. 1975). The MI DNR's history of leadership in wolf
recovery and its repeated written commitments to ensure the continued
viability of a Michigan wolf population above a level that would
trigger State or Federal listing as threatened or endangered further
reinforces that the 2015 Michigan Wolf Management Plan would provide
adequate regulatory mechanisms for Michigan wolves. The DNR's primary
goal remains to conduct management to maintain the wolf population in
Michigan above the minimum size that is biologically required for a
viable, isolated population and to provide for ecological and social
benefits valued by the public while resolving conflicts where they
occur (MI DNR 2015, p. 16).
Depredation Control in Michigan--Data from Michigan show a general
increase in confirmed events of wolf depredations on livestock over the
past two decades, with an average of 3.4 animals killed annually from
1998 through 2002, an average of 10.6 annually in 2003-2007; an average
of 38.2 annually from 2008-2012; and an average of 19.2 annually in
2013-2017. Over 80 percent of the depredation events were on cattle,
with the rest on sheep, poultry, rabbits, goats, horses, swine, and
captive deer (Roell et al. 2009, pp. 9, 11; Beyer in litt. 2018).
Michigan has not experienced as high a level of attacks on dogs by
wolves as Wisconsin, although a slight increase in such attacks has
occurred over the last decade. Yearly losses vary, and actions of a
single pack of wolves can be an important influence. In Michigan, there
is not a strong relationship between wolf depredation on dogs and wolf
abundance (Roell et al. 2010, p. 7). The number of dogs killed in the
State during the 15 years from 1996 to 2010 totaled 34; that number
increased to 70 during the 7-year period from 2011 through 2017 (Beyer
in litt. 2018). The majority of the wolf-related dog deaths
[[Page 9675]]
involved hounds used to hunt bears. Similar to Wisconsin, MI DNR has
guidelines for its depredation-control program, stating that lethal
control would not be used when wolves kill dogs that are free roaming,
hunting, or training on public lands. Lethal control of wolves,
however, would be considered if wolves have killed confined pets and
remain in the area where more pets are being held (MI DNR 2005a, p. 6).
However, in 2008, the Michigan Legislature passed a law that would
allow dog owners or their designated agents to remove, capture, or, if
deemed necessary, use lethal means to destroy a gray wolf that is in
the act of preying upon the owner's dog, which includes dogs free
roaming or hunting on public lands.
During the several years that lethal control of depredating wolves
had been conducted in Michigan, there was no evidence of resulting
adverse impacts to the maintenance of a viable wolf population in the
Upper Peninsula. MI DNR and USDA-Wildlife Services killed 50 wolves in
response to depredation events during the time period when permits or
special rules were in effect or while wolves were not on the Federal
lists of endangered and threatened species (Roell et al. 2010, p. 8).
In 2008, Michigan passed two House bills that would become effective
after Federal delisting. Those bills authorized a livestock or dog
owner (or a designated agent) to ``remove, capture, or use lethal means
to destroy a wolf that is in the act of preying upon'' the owner's
livestock or dog. During the 2 months that wolves were federally and
State delisted in 2009, no wolves were killed under these
authorizations; 32 wolves were killed under these authorities from 2012
through 2014 (Beyer in litt. 2018). The numbers of wolves killed each
year for depredation control are as follows: 4 (2003), 5 (2004), 2
(2005), 7 (2006), 14 (2007), 8 (2008), 1 (during 2 months in 2009), 18
(2012), 10 (2013), and 13 (2014) (Beyer et al. 2006, p. 88; Roell in
litt. 2006, p. 1; Roell et al. 2010, p. 19; Beyer in litt. 2018). This
represents 0.2 percent (2009) to 2.7 percent (2007) of the Upper
Peninsula's late-winter population of wolves during the previous
winter. During the years where depredation control took place absent a
regulated public harvest, the wolf population increased from 2 percent
(2007-2008) to 17 percent (2006-2007) despite the level of depredation
control, demonstrating that the wolf population continues to increase
at a healthy rate (Huntzinger et al. 2005, p. 6; MI DNR 2006, Roell et
al. 2009, p. 4).
Post-delisting Depredation Control in Michigan--Following Federal
delisting, wolf depredation control in Michigan would be carried out
according to the 2015 Michigan Wolf Recovery and Management Plan (MI
DNR 2015) and any Tribal wolf-management plans that may be developed in
the future for reservations in occupied wolf range.
To provide depredation-control guidance when lethal control is an
option, Michigan Department of Natural Resources has developed detailed
instructions for incident investigation and response (MI DNR 2005a).
Verification of wolf depredation incidents will be conducted by MI DNR
or USDA-APHIS-Wildlife Services personnel (working under a cooperative
agreement with MI DNR or at the request of a Tribe, depending on the
location) who have been trained in depredation investigation
techniques. The MI DNR specifies that the verification process would
use the investigative techniques that have been developed and
successfully used in Minnesota by Wildlife Services (MI DNR 2005a,
append. B, pp. 9-10). Following verification, one or more of several
options would be implemented to address the depredation problem.
Technical assistance, consisting of advice or recommendations to reduce
wolf conflicts, would be provided. Technical assistance may also
include providing to the landowner various forms of noninjurious
behavior modification materials, such as flashing lights, noise makers,
temporary fencing, and fladry.
Trapping and translocating depredating wolves has been used in the
past, resulting in the translocation of 23 Upper Peninsula wolves
during 1998-2003 (Beyer et al. 2006, p. 88), but as with Wisconsin,
suitable relocation sites are becoming rarer, and there is local
opposition to the release of translocated depredators. Furthermore,
none of the past translocated depredators have remained near their
release sites, making this a questionable method to end the depredation
behaviors of these wolves (MI DNR 2005a, pp. 3-4). Therefore, reducing
depredation problems by relocation is no longer recommended as a
management tool in Michigan (MI DNR 2008, p. 57).
Lethal control of depredating wolves is likely to be the most
common future response in situations when improved livestock husbandry
and wolf-behavior-modification techniques (for example, flashing
lights, noise-making devices) are judged to be inadequate. As wolf
numbers continue to increase on the Upper Peninsula, the number of
verified depredations will also increase, and will probably do so at a
rate that exceeds the rate of wolf population increase. This will occur
as wolves increasingly disperse into and occupy areas of the Upper
Peninsula with more livestock and more human residences, leading to
additional exposure to domestic animals. In a previous application for
a lethal take permit under section 10(a)(1)(A) of the Act, MI DNR
received authority to euthanize up to 10 percent of the late-winter
wolf population annually (MI DNR 2005b, p. 1). However, based on 2003-
05 and 2007-09 depredation data, it is likely that significantly less
than 10 percent lethal control would be needed over the next several
years.
The Michigan Plan provides recommendations to guide management of
various conflicts caused by wolf recovery, including depredation on
livestock and pets, human safety, and public concerns regarding wolf
impacts on other wildlife. We view the Michigan Plan's depredation and
conflict control strategies to be conservative, in that they commit to
nonlethal depredation management whenever possible, oppose preventative
wolf removal where problems have not yet occurred, encourage incentives
for best management practices that decrease wolf-livestock conflicts
without affecting wolves, and support closely monitored and enforced
take by landowners of wolves ``in the act of livestock depredation'' or
under limited permits if depredation is confirmed and nonlethal methods
are determined to be ineffective. Based on these components of the
revised Michigan Plan and the stated goal for maintaining wolf
populations at or above recovery goals, the Service concludes that any
wolf-management changes implemented following delisting would not be
implemented in a manner that results in significant reductions in
Michigan wolf populations. The MI DNR remains committed to ensuring a
viable wolf population above a level that would trigger re-listing as
either threatened or endangered in the future (MI DNR 2015, p. 8).
Similar to Wisconsin, Michigan livestock owners are compensated
when they lose livestock as a result of a confirmed wolf depredation.
Currently there are two complementary compensation programs in
Michigan, one funded by the MI DNR and implemented by Michigan
Department of Agriculture (MI DA) and another set up through donations
(from Defenders of Wildlife and private citizens) and administered by
the International Wolf Center (IWC), a nonprofit organization. From the
inception of the program to
[[Page 9676]]
2000, MI DA has paid 90 percent of full market value of depredated
livestock at the time of loss. The IWC account was used to pay the
remaining 10 percent from 2000 to 2002 when MI DA began paying 100
percent of the full market value of depredated livestock. The IWC
account continues to be used to pay the difference between value at
time of loss and the full fall market value for depredated young-of-
the-year livestock, and together the two funds have provided nearly
$183,000 in livestock-loss compensation through 2017 (Roell et al.
2010, p. 15; Beyer in litt. 2018). Neither of these programs provides
compensation for pets or for veterinary costs to treat wolf-inflicted
livestock injuries. The MI DNR plans to continue cooperating with MI DA
and other organizations to maintain the wolf-depredation-compensation
program (MI DNR 2008, pp. 59-60).
Post-delisting Regulated Harvest in Michigan--Although the Michigan
Plan itself does not determine whether a public harvest would be used
as a management strategy, it does discuss developing ``socially and
biologically responsible management recommendations regarding public
harvest of wolves'' (MI DNR 2015, p. 56). The Michigan Plan discusses
developing recommendations regarding public harvest for two separate
purposes: To reduce wolf-related conflicts and for reasons other than
managing wolf-related conflicts (e.g., recreational and utilitarian
purposes). With regard to implementing a public harvest for
recreational or utilitarian purposes, the Michigan Plan identifies the
need to gather and evaluate biological and social information,
including the biological effects and the public acceptability of a
general wolf harvest (MI DNR 2015, p. 60). A public harvest during a
regulated season requires that wolves be classified as game animals in
Michigan (they were classified as such in 2015). With wolves classified
as game animals, the Michigan Natural Resource Commission (NRC) has the
exclusive authority to enact regulations pertaining to the methods and
manner of public harvest. Although the decisions regarding
establishment of a harvest season would be made by the NRC, the MI DNR
would be called upon to make recommendations regarding socially and
biologically responsible public harvest of wolves. Michigan held a
regulated public hunting season in 2014 that took into consideration
the recommendations of the MI DNR. Based on those recommendations, the
Michigan NRC established quotas for that season based on zones in the
Upper Peninsula, with a quota of 16 wolves in the far western part of
the peninsula, 19 in 4 central counties, and 8 in the eastern part of
the peninsula. Twenty-two wolves were taken during that 2014 season.
Post-Delisting Management in the West Coast States
Wolves are classified as endangered under the Washington State
Endangered Species Act (WAC 220-610-010). Unlawful taking (when a
person hunts, fishes, possesses, maliciously harasses or kills
endangered fish or wildlife, and the taking has not been authorized by
rule of the commission) of endangered fish or wildlife is prohibited in
Washington (RCW 77.15.120). Wolves in California are similarly
classified as endangered under the California Endangered Species Act
(CESA; California Fish and Game Commission 2014, entire). Under CESA,
take (defined as hunt, pursue, catch, capture, kill, or attempts to
hunt, pursue, catch, capture, or kill) of listed wildlife species is
prohibited (California Fish and Game Codes Sec. 86 and Sec. 2080).
Wolves in Oregon have achieved recovery objectives and were delisted
from the State Endangered Species Act in 2015. Wolves in Oregon remain
protected by the State Plan and its associated rules, and Oregon's
wildlife policy. The wildlife policy states ``that wildlife shall be
managed to prevent the serious depletion of any indigenous species''
and includes seven coequal management goals (ORS 496.012) (ODFW 2017,
p. 6). Although it remains a possibility for the future, there are no
current plans to initiate a hunting season, and regulatory mechanisms
remain in place through the State plan and Oregon statute to ensure a
sustainable wolf population.
Oregon, Washington, and California also have adopted wolf-
management plans intended to provide for the conservation and
reestablishment of wolves in these States (ODFW 2010, entire; Wiles et
al. 2011, entire; CDFW 2016a, entire; 2016b, entire). These plans
include population objectives, education and public outreach goals,
damage-management strategies, and monitoring and research plans. Wolves
will remain on State endangered species lists in Washington and
California until recovery objectives have been reached. Once recovery
objectives have been achieved, the process for delisting wolves at the
State level will be initiated. Once removed, the States have the
authority to consider using regulated harvest to manage wolf
populations. All three State plans also recognize that management of
livestock conflicts is a necessary component of wolf management (ODFW
2010, p. 40; Wiles et al. 2011, p. 72; CDFW 2016a, p. 4). Control
options are currently limited to preventative and nonlethal methods
within the federally listed portions of Oregon, Washington, and
California. If Federal delisting occurs, guidelines outlined in each
State's plan define conditions under which depredating wolves can be
lethally removed by agency officials (CDFW 2016b, pp. 278-285; ODFW
2010, pp. 43-54; Wiles et al. 2011, pp. 72-94).
The Oregon Wolf Management Plan--The Oregon Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan was developed prior to wolves becoming established in
Oregon. The plan, first finalized in 2005, contains provisions that
require it to be updated every 5 years. The first revision occurred in
2010, and a subsequent revision is presently under review. The Oregon
Fish and Wildlife Commission provided a set of guiding principles to a
newly formed Wolf Advisory Committee, which was directed to work on
plan development. The guiding principles included writing a plan based
on the conservation of wolves, incorporating public concerns and
comments, not allowing reintroduction of wolves into Oregon, providing
flexibility for management while conserving wolves, seeking assistance
for livestock producers for wolf depredation, and assessing of impacts
to prey populations. Key stakeholder groups are invited to participate
in reviews of revisions to the plan. Stakeholders include local
government, Tribes, non-governmental organizations, State agencies and
organizations, and Federal agencies.
The Oregon plan includes two management zones that roughly divide
the State into western and eastern halves. This division line is
further to the west of the line that delineates the listed and non-
listed portions of Oregon. Each zone has a separate population
objective of seven breeding pairs (ODFW 2017, p. 16). Within each zone,
management phases (Phase I, Phase II, and Phase III) are used to assess
population objectives, which in turn influence conservation and
management objectives.
Phase I includes a conservation population objective of obtaining
four breeding pairs for 3 consecutive years; upon reaching this
objective, delisting of wolves statewide may be initiated. The ODFW
defines a breeding pair as a pack of wolves with an adult male, an
adult female, and at least two pups surviving to the end of December
(ODFW 2010, p. 17). This population objective was met in 2014 in the
eastern
[[Page 9677]]
management zone, and wolves were State delisted in Oregon in 2015.
Wolves in the eastern management zone were then managed under Phase II
(ODFW 2016, p. 2). Wolves in the western management zone have yet to
reach this conservation objective. Despite State delisting, wolves in
the western management zone (currently in Phase I) are still managed
with a level of protection mimicking that of Oregon ESA protections for
wolves.
Phase II management actions work towards a management population
objective of seven breeding pairs in the eastern management zone for 3
consecutive years. During this phase populations are managed to prevent
declines that could result in re-listing under the Oregon ESA. This
Phase II management population objective was met in 2016, which
resulted in the transition of management to Phase III for the eastern
management zone (ODFW 2017, p. 2).
Phase III acts to set a balance such that populations do not
decline below Phase II objectives, but also do not reach unmanageable
levels resulting in conflicts with other land uses. Phase III is a
maintenance phase. While the 2010 plan does not include a minimum or
maximum population level for wolves in Oregon, the plan leaves room for
development of population thresholds in future planning efforts (ODFW
2010, p. 28). Similarly, legal harvest of wolves is not included in
Phase III of the 2010 plan; however, Phase III does provide more
management flexibility in the case of depredating wolves (ODFW 2010, p.
45). Currently, hunting of wolves is not permitted in Oregon.
The Washington Wolf Management Plan--The 2011 Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan for Washington was developed in response to the State
endangered status for the species, the expectation that the wolf
population in Washington would be increasing through natural dispersal
of wolves from adjacent populations, and the eventual return of wolf
management to the State after Federal delisting. The purpose of the
plan is to facilitate reestablishment of a self-sustaining population
of gray wolves in Washington and to encourage social tolerance for the
species by addressing and reducing conflicts. An advisory Wolf Working
Group was appointed at the outset to give recommendations on the plan.
In addition, the plan underwent extensive peer and public review prior
to finalization.
The Washington Plan provides recovery goals for downlisting and
delisting the species under Washington State law, and identifies
strategies to achieve recovery and manage conflicts with livestock and
ungulates. Recovery objectives are defined as numbers of successful
breeding pairs that are maintained on the landscape for 3 consecutive
years, with a set geographic distribution within 3 specified recovery
regions: The Eastern Washington, Northern Cascades, and Southern
Cascades and Northwest Coast (Wiles et al. 2011, p. 60 figure 9). A
successful breeding pair of wolves is defined in the Washington Plan as
an adult male and an adult female with at least two pups surviving to
December 31 in a given year (Wiles et al. 2011, p. 58). Specific target
numbers and distribution for downlisting and delisting within the three
recovery regions identified in the Washington Plan are as follows:
To reclassify from State endangered to State threatened
status: 6 successful breeding pairs present for 3 consecutive years,
with 2 successful breeding pairs in each of the three recovery regions.
To reclassify from State threatened to State sensitive
status: 12 successful breeding pairs present for 3 consecutive years,
with 4 successful breeding pairs in each of the three recovery regions.
To delist from State sensitive status: 15 successful
breeding pairs present for 3 consecutive years, with 4 successful
breeding pairs in each of the three recovery regions and 3 successful
breeding pairs anywhere in the State.
In addition to the delisting objective of 15 successful breeding
pairs distributed in the three geographic regions for 3 consecutive
years, an alternative delisting objective is also established whereby
the gray wolf will be considered for delisting when 18 successful
breeding pairs are present, with 4 successful breeding pairs in the
Eastern Washington region, 4 successful breeding pairs in the Northern
Cascades region, 4 successful breeding pairs distributed in the
Southern Cascades and Northwest Coast region, and 6 anywhere in the
State.
After State delisting, wolves could be reclassified as a game
animal through the Washington Fish and Wildlife Commission's public
process. WDFW intends to develop a new plan for managing wolves
following Federal and State delisting. Any proposals to hunt wolves
would go through a public process with the Fish and Wildlife Commission
(Wiles et al. 2011, pp. 70-71).
The California Wolf Management Plan--The 2016 Conservation Plan for
Gray Wolves in California was developed in anticipation of the return
of wolves to California. The CDFW worked with stakeholder groups in
2014 and 2015 during plan development. Stakeholders included local
government, non-governmental organizations, State agencies and
organizations, and Federal agencies. During the planning process, CDFW
and the stakeholders identified sideboards and plan goals to direct
development of the State plan. These sideboards and goals included
direction to develop alternatives for wolf management, no
reintroduction of wolves into California, historical distribution and
abundance are not achievable, conserve biologically sustainable
populations, manage native ungulates for wolf and human uses,
management to minimize livestock depredations, and public outreach.
The California Plan recognizes that wolf activity in the State will
increase with time, and that the plan needs to be flexible to account
for information that is gained during the expansion of wolves into the
State. Similar to plans for other States, the California Plan uses a
three-phase strategy for wolf conservation and management.
Phase I is a conservation-based strategy to account for the
reestablishment of wolves under both State and Federal Endangered
Species Acts. Phase I will end when there are four breeding pairs for 2
consecutive years in California. The CDFW defines a breeding pair as at
least one adult male, one adult female, and at least two pups that
survive to the end of December (CDFW 2016a, p. 21). California is
currently in Phase I of the plan, with the Lassen Pack as the only
breeding pair present for 2 consecutive years.
Phase II is expected to represent a point at which California's
wolf population is growing more through reproduction of resident wolves
than by dispersal of wolves from other States. This phase will conclude
when there are eight breeding pairs for 2 consecutive years. During
Phase II, CDFW anticipates gaining additional information and
experience with wolves in the State, which will help inform future
revisions to the State plan. During Phase II, flexibility for managing
wolves for depredation response or predation on wild ungulates may be
initiated.
Phase III is less specific due to the information available to CDFW
at the time of plan development. This phase moves toward longer term
management of wolves in California. Specific aspects of Phase III are
more likely to be developed toward the middle of Phase II when more
information on wolf distribution and abundance in the State are
available. Towards the end of Phase II and the beginning of Phase III,
a status review of wolves in California may be
[[Page 9678]]
initiated to determine if continued State listing as endangered is
warranted. Currently, hunting of wolves is not permitted in California.
Tribal Management and Conservation of Wolves
Native American tribes and inter-tribal resource-management
organizations have indicated to the Service that they will continue to
conserve wolves on most, and probably all, Native American reservations
in the primary wolf areas of the Great Lakes area. The wolf retains
great cultural significance and traditional value to many Tribes and
their members, and to retain and strengthen cultural connections, many
tribes oppose unnecessary killing of wolves on reservations and on
ceded lands, even following any Federal delisting (Hunt in litt. 1998;
Schrage in litt. 1998a; Schlender in litt. 1998). Some Native Americans
view wolves as competitors for deer and moose, whereas others are
interested in harvesting wolves as furbearers (Schrage in litt. 1998a).
Many tribes intend to sustainably manage their natural resources,
wolves among them, to ensure that they are available to their
descendants. Traditional natural-resource harvest practices, however,
often include only a minimum amount of regulation by the Tribal
governments (Hunt in litt. 1998).
Although not all Tribes with wolves that visit or reside on their
reservations have completed management plans specific to the wolf,
several Tribes have informed us that they have no plans or intentions
to allow commercial or recreational hunting or trapping of the species
on their lands after Federal delisting. The Red Lake Band of Chippewa
Indians (Minnesota) and the Little Traverse Bay Band of Odawa Indians
(Michigan) have developed wolf monitoring and/or management plans. The
Service has also awarded a grant to the Ho-Chunk Nation to identify
wolf habitat on reservation lands.
As a result of many past contacts with, and previous written
comments from, the Midwestern Tribes and their inter-tribal natural-
resource-management agencies--the Great Lakes Indian Fish and Wildlife
Commission (GLIFWC), the 1854 Authority, and the Chippewa Ottawa Treaty
Authority--it is clear that their predominant sentiment is strong
support for the continued protection of wolves at a level that ensures
that viable wolf populations remain on reservations and throughout the
treaty-ceded lands surrounding the reservations. While several Tribes
stated that their members may be interested in killing small numbers of
wolves for spiritual or other purposes, this would be carried out in a
manner that would not affect reservation or ceded-territory wolf
populations.
The Red Lake Band of Chippewa Indians (Minnesota) completed a wolf-
management plan in 2010 (Red Lake Band of Chippewa Indians 2010). A
primary goal of the management plan is to maintain wolf numbers at a
level that will ensure the long-term survival of wolves on Red Lake
lands. Key components of the plan are habitat management, public
education, and law enforcement. To address human-wolf interactions, the
plan outlines how wolves may be taken on Red Lake lands. Wolves thought
to be a threat to public safety may be harassed at any time, and if
they must be killed, the incident must be reported to tribal law
enforcement. Agricultural livestock are not common on Red Lake lands,
and wolf-related depredation on livestock or pets is unlikely to be a
significant management issue. If such events do occur, tribal members
may protect their livestock or pets by lethal means, but ``all
reasonable efforts should be made to deter wolves using non-lethal
means'' (Red Lake Band of Chippewa Indians 2010, p. 15). Hunting or
trapping of wolves on tribal lands will be prohibited. The Reservation
currently has 7 or 8 packs with an estimated 40-48 wolves within its
boundaries (Red Lake Band of Chippewa Indians 2010, p. 12).
In 2009, the Little Traverse Bay Bands of Odawa Indians (LTBB)
finalized a management plan for the 1855 Reservation and portions of
the 1836 ceded territory in the northern Lower Peninsula of Michigan
(Little Traverse Bay Bands of Odawa Indians Natural Resource Department
2009). The plan provides the framework for managing wolves on the LTBB
Reservation with the goal of maintaining a viable wolf presence on the
LTBB Reservation or within the northern Lower Peninsula should a
population become established by (1) prescribing scientifically sound
biological strategies for wolf management, research, and monitoring;
(2) addressing wolf-related conflicts; (3) facilitating wolf-related
benefits; and (4) developing and implementing wolf-related education
and public information.
The Tribal Council of the Leech Lake Band of Minnesota Ojibwe
(Council) approved a resolution that describes the sport and
recreational harvest of wolves as an inappropriate use of the animal.
That resolution supports limited harvest of wolves to be used for
traditional or spiritual uses by enrolled Tribal members if the harvest
is done in a respectful manner and would not negatively affect the wolf
population. Over the last several years, the Council has been working
to revise the Reservation Conservation Code to allow Tribal members to
harvest some wolves after Federal delisting (Googgleye, Jr. in litt.
2004; Johnson in litt. 2011). Until this revision occurs, it is unknown
whether harvest would be allowed and how a harvest might be
implemented. The Tribe is currently developing a wolf-management plan
(Mortensen 2011, pers. comm.). In 2005, the Leech Lake Reservation was
home to an estimated 75 wolves, the largest population of wolves on a
Native American reservation in the 48 conterminous States (Mortensen
2006, pers. comm.; White in litt. 2003). Although no recent surveys
have been conducted, the number of wolves on the reservation likely
remains about the same (Mortensen 2009, pers. comm.; Johnson in litt.
2011).
The Fond du Lac Band (Minnesota) believes that the ``well-being of
the wolf is intimately connected to the well-being of the Chippewa
People'' (Schrage in litt. 2003). In 1998, the Band passed a resolution
opposing Federal delisting and any other measure that would permit
trapping, hunting, or poisoning of the wolf (Schrage in litt. 1998b; in
litt. 2003; 2009, pers. comm.). If the prohibition of trapping,
hunting, or poisoning is rescinded, the Band's Resource Management
Division would coordinate with State and Federal agencies to ensure
that any wolf hunting or trapping would be ``conducted in a
biologically sustainable manner'' (Schrage in litt. 2003).
The Red Cliff Band (Wisconsin) has strongly opposed State and
Federal delisting of the gray wolf. Current Tribal law protects wolves
from harvest, although harvest for ceremonial purposes would likely be
permitted after Federal delisting (Symbal in litt. 2003).
The Menominee Indian Tribe of Wisconsin is committed to
establishing a self-sustaining wolf population, continuing restoration
efforts, ensuring the long-term survival of the wolf in Menominee,
placing emphasis on the cultural significance of the wolf as a clan
member, and resolving conflicts between wolves and humans. The Tribe
has shown a great deal of interest in wolf recovery and protection. In
2002, the Tribe offered their Reservation lands as a site for
translocating seven depredating wolves that had been trapped by WI DNR
and Wildlife Services. Tribal natural resources staff participated in
the soft release of the wolves on the Reservation and helped
[[Page 9679]]
with the subsequent radio-tracking of the wolves. Although by early
2005 the last of these wolves died on the reservation, the tribal
conservation department continued to monitor another pair that had
moved onto the Reservation, as well as other wolves near the
reservation (Wydeven in litt. 2006). When the female of that pair was
killed in 2006, Reservation biologists and staff worked diligently to
raise the orphaned pups in captivity with the WI DNR and the Wildlife
Science Center (Forest Lake, Minnesota) in the hope that they could
later be released to the care of the adult male. However, the adult
male died prior to pup release, and they were moved back to the
Wildlife Science Center (Pioneer Press 2006). The Menominee Tribe
continues to support wolf conservation and monitoring activity in
Wisconsin.
The Keweenaw Bay Indian Community (Michigan) would continue to list
the wolf as a protected animal under the Tribal Code following any
Federal delisting, with hunting and trapping prohibited (Mike Donofrio
1998, pers. comm.). Furthermore, the Keweenaw Bay Community developed a
management plan in 2013 that ``provides a course of action that will
ensure the long-term survival of a self-sustaining, wild gray wolf
(Canis lupus) population in the 1842 ceded territory in the western
Upper Peninsula of Michigan'' (KBIC Tribal Council 2013, p. 1). At
least four other Tribes (Stock-bridge Munsee Community, Lac Courte
Oreilles Band of Ojibwe, the Mille Lacs Band of Ojibwe, and Grand
Portage Band of Lake Superior Chippewa) have indicated plans to develop
Tribal wolf-management plans.
Several Midwestern Tribes (for example, the Bad River Band of Lake
Superior Chippewa Indians and the LTBB) have expressed concern that
Federal delisting would result in increased mortality of wolves on
reservation lands, in the areas immediately surrounding the
reservations, and in lands ceded by treaty to the Federal Government by
the Tribes (Kiogama and Chingwa in litt. 2000). In 2006, a cooperative
effort among tribal natural resource departments of several tribes in
Wisconsin, WI DNR, the Service, and USDA Wildlife Services led to a
wolf-management agreement for lands adjacent to several reservations in
Wisconsin. The goal is to reduce the threats to reservation wolf packs
when they are temporarily off the reservation. Other Tribes have
expressed interest in such an agreement. This agreement, and additional
agreements if they are implemented, provides supplementary protection
to certain wolf packs in the western Great Lakes area.
The GLIFWC has stated its intent to work closely with the States to
cooperatively manage wolves in the ceded territories in the core areas,
and will not develop a separate wolf-management plan (Schlender in
litt. 1998). Furthermore, the Voigt Intertribal Task Force of GLIFWC
has expressed its support for strong protections for the wolf, stating
``[delisting] hinges on whether wolves are sufficiently restored and
will be sufficiently protected to ensure a healthy and abundant future
for our brother and ourselves'' (Schlender in litt. 2004).
According to the 1854 Authority, ``attitudes toward wolf management
in the 1854 Ceded Territory run the gamut from a desire to see total
protection to unlimited harvest opportunity.'' However, the 1854
Authority would not ``implement a harvest system that would have any
long-term negative impacts to wolf populations'' (Edwards in litt.
2003). In comments submitted for our 2004 delisting proposal for a
larger Eastern DPS of the gray wolf, the 1854 Authority stated that the
Authority is ``confident that under the control of State and tribal
management, wolves will continue to exist at a self-sustaining level in
the 1854 Ceded Territory. Sustainable populations of wolves, their prey
and other resources within the 1854 Ceded Territory are goals to which
the 1854 Authority remains committed. As such, we intend to work with
the State of Minnesota and other tribes to ensure successful state and
tribal management of healthy wolf populations in the 1854 Ceded
Territory'' (Myers in litt. 2004).
While there are few written Tribal protections currently in place
for wolves, the highly protective and reverential attitudes that have
been expressed by Tribal authorities and members have assured us that
any post-delisting harvest of reservation wolves would be very limited
and would not adversely affect the delisted wolf populations.
Furthermore, any off-reservation harvest of wolves by tribal members in
the ceded territories would be limited to a portion of the harvestable
surplus at some future time. Such a harvestable surplus would be
determined and monitored jointly by State and tribal biologists, and
would be conducted in coordination with the Service and the Bureau of
Indian Affairs (BIA), as is being successfully done for the ceded
territory harvest of inland and Great Lakes fish, deer, bear, moose,
and furbearers in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Therefore, we
conclude that any future Native American take of delisted wolves will
not significantly affect the viability of the wolf population, either
locally or across the Great Lakes area.
The Service and the Department of the Interior recognize the unique
status of the federally recognized tribes, their right to self-
governance, and their inherent sovereign powers over their members and
territory. Therefore, the Department, the Service, the BIA, and other
Federal agencies, as appropriate, will take the needed steps to ensure
that tribal authority and sovereignty within reservation boundaries are
respected as the States implement their wolf-management plans and
revise those plans in the future.
Furthermore, there may be tribal activities or interests associated
with wolves encompassed within the tribes' retained rights to hunt,
fish, and gather in treaty-ceded territories. The Department is
available to assist in the exercise of any such rights. If biological
assistance is needed, the Service may provide it via our field offices.
Upon delisting, the Service would remain involved in the post-delisting
monitoring of the wolves in the Great Lakes area, but all Service
management and protection authority under the Act would end. Legal
assistance would be provided to the tribes by the Department of the
Interior, and the BIA would be involved, when needed. We strongly
encourage the States and Tribes to work cooperatively toward post-
delisting wolf management if wolves are delisted.
Consistent with our responsibilities to tribes and our goal to have
the most comprehensive data available for our post-delisting
monitoring, we would annually contact tribes and their designated
intertribal natural resource agencies during the 5-year post-delisting
monitoring period to obtain any information they wish to share
regarding wolf populations, the health of those populations, or changes
in their management and protection. Reservations that may have
significant wolf data to provide during the post-delisting period
include Bois Forte, Bad River, Fond du Lac, Grand Portage, Keweenaw Bay
Indian Community, Lac Courte Oreilles, Lac du Flambeau, Leech Lake,
Menominee, Oneida, Red Lake, Stockbridge-Munsee Community, and White
Earth. Throughout the 5-year post-delisting monitoring period, the
Service would annually contact the natural resource agencies of each of
these reservations and that of the 1854 Treaty Authority and Great
Lakes Indian Fish and Wildlife Commission.
[[Page 9680]]
Management on Federal Lands
Great Lakes Area
The five national forests with resident wolves (Superior, Chippewa,
Chequamegon-Nicolet, Hiawatha, and Ottawa National Forests) in
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan are all operating in conformance
with standards and guidelines in their management plans that follow the
1992 Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber Wolf's recommendations for
the eastern timber wolf (USDA Forest Service (FS) 2004a, chapter 2, p.
31; USDA FS 2004b, chapter 2, p. 28; USDA FS 2004c, chapter 2, p. 19;
USDA FS 2006a, chapter 2, p. 17; USDA FS 2006b, chapter 2, pp. 28-29).
Delisting is not expected to lead to an immediate change in these
standards and guidelines; in fact, the Regional Forester for U.S.
Forest Service Region 9 expects to maintain the classification of the
wolf as a Regional Forester Sensitive Species for at least 5 years
after Federal delisting (Moore in litt. 2003; Eklund in litt. 2011).
The Regional Forester has the authority to recommend classification or
declassification of species as Sensitive Species. Under these standards
and guidelines, a relatively high prey base will be maintained, and
road densities will be limited to current levels or decreased. For
example, on the Chequamegon-Nicolet National Forest in Wisconsin, the
standards and guidelines specifically include the protection of den
sites and key rendezvous sites, and management of road densities in
existing and potential wolf habitat (USDA 2004c, chap. 2, p. 19).
The trapping of depredating wolves would likely be allowed on
national forest lands under the guidelines and conditions specified in
the respective State wolf-management plans. However, there are
relatively few livestock raised within the boundaries of national
forests in the upper Midwest, so wolf depredation and lethal control of
wolves is neither likely to be a frequent occurrence, nor constitute a
significant mortality factor, for the wolves in the Great Lakes area.
Similarly, in keeping with the practice for other State-managed game
species, any public hunting or trapping season for wolves that might be
opened in the future by the States would likely include hunting and
trapping within the national forests (Lindquist in litt. 2005;
Williamson in litt. 2005; Piehler in litt. 2005; Evans in litt. 2005).
The continuation of current national forest management practices will
be important in ensuring the long-term viability of wolf populations in
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan.
Wolves regularly use four units of the National Park System in the
Great Lakes area and may occasionally use three or four other units.
Although the National Park Service (NPS) has participated in the
development of some of the State wolf-management plans in this area,
NPS is not bound by States' plans. Instead, the NPS Organic Act and the
NPS Management Policy on Wildlife generally require the agency to
conserve natural and cultural resources and the wildlife present within
the parks. NPS management policies require that native species be
protected against harvest, removal, destruction, harassment, or harm
through human action, although certain parks may allow some harvest in
accordance with State management plans. Management emphasis in National
Parks after delisting would continue to minimize the human impacts on
wolf populations. Thus, because of their responsibility to preserve all
native wildlife, units of the National Park System are often the most
protective of wildlife. In the case of the wolf, the NPS Organic Act
and NPS policies would continue to provide protection following Federal
delisting.
Management and protection of wolves in Voyageurs National Park,
along Minnesota's northern border is not likely to change after
delisting. The park's management policies require that ``native animals
will be protected against harvest, removal, destruction, harassment, or
harm through human action.'' No population targets for wolves will be
established for the National Park (Holbeck in litt. 2005). To reduce
human disturbance, temporary closures around wolf denning and
rendezvous sites will be enacted whenever they are discovered in the
park. Sport hunting is already prohibited on park lands, regardless of
what may be allowed beyond park boundaries (West in litt. 2004). A
radio-telemetry study conducted between 1987 and 1991 of wolves living
in and adjacent to the park found that all mortality inside the park
was due to natural causes (for example, killing by other wolves or
starvation), whereas the majority (60-80 percent) of mortality outside
the park was human-induced (for example, shooting and trapping) (Gogan
et al. 2004, p. 22). If there is a need to control depredating wolves
outside the park, which seems unlikely due to the current absence of
agricultural activities adjacent to the park, the park would work with
the State to conduct control activities where necessary (West in litt.
2004).
The wolf population of Isle Royale National Park, Michigan, is
small and isolated and lacks genetic uniqueness (Wayne et al. 1991).
For genetic reasons and constraints on expansion due to the island's
small size, this wolf population does not contribute significantly
towards meeting numerical recovery criteria; however, long-term
research on this wolf population has added a great deal to our
knowledge of the species. The wolf population on Isle Royale has
typically varied from 18 to 27 wolves in 3 packs, but has been down to
just 2 wolves (a father-daughter pair) since the winter of 2015-2016
(Peterson et al. 2018). NPS recently announced plans to move additional
wolves to Isle Royale in an effort to restore a viable wolf population
(83 FR 11787; March 16, 2018).
Two other units of the National Park System, Pictured Rocks
National Lakeshore and St. Croix National Scenic Riverway, are
regularly used by wolves. Pictured Rocks National Lakeshore is a narrow
strip of land along Michigan's Lake Superior shoreline. Lone wolves
periodically use, but do not appear to be year-round residents of, the
Lakeshore. If denning occurs after delisting, the Lakeshore would
protect denning and rendezvous sites at least as strictly as the
Michigan Plan recommends (Gustin in litt. 2003). Harvesting wolves on
the Lakeshore may be allowed (if the Michigan DNR allows for harvest in
the State), but trapping is not allowed. The St. Croix National Scenic
Riverway, in Wisconsin and Minnesota, is also a mostly linear
ownership. Approximately 54-58 wolves from 11 packs used the Riverway
on the Wisconsin side in 2010 (Wydeven in litt. 2011). The Riverway is
likely to limit public access to denning and rendezvous sites and to
follow other management and protective practices outlined in the
respective State wolf-management plans, although trapping is not
allowed on NPS lands except possibly by Native Americans (Maercklein in
litt. 2003).
At least one pack of 4-5 wolves used the shoreline areas of the
Apostle Islands National Lakeshore, with a major deer yard area (a
place where deer congregate in the winter) occurring on portions of the
Park Service land. Wolf tracks have been detected on Sand Island, and a
wolf was photographed by a trail camera on the island in September
2009. It is not known if wolves periodically swim to this and other
islands, or if they only travel to islands on ice in winter.
Wolves occurring on National Wildlife Refuges in the Great Lakes
area would be monitored, and Refuge habitat management would maintain
the current prey base for them for a minimum of 5 years after
delisting.
[[Page 9681]]
Trapping or hunting by government trappers for depredation control
would not be authorized on National Wildlife Refuges. Because of the
relatively small size of these Refuges, however, most or all wolf packs
or individual wolves in these Refuges also spend significant amounts of
time off these Refuges.
Wolves also occupy the Fort McCoy military installation in
Wisconsin. Management and protection of wolves on the installation
would not change significantly after Federal or State delisting. Den
and rendezvous sites would continue to be protected, hunting seasons
for other species (coyote) would be closed during the gun-deer season,
and current surveys would continue, if resources are available. Fort
McCoy has no plans to allow a public harvest of wolves on the
installation (Nobles in litt. 2004; Wydeven et al. 2005, p. 25; 2006a,
p. 25).
Minnesota National Guard's Camp Ripley contains parts of two pack
territories, which typically include 10 to 20 wolves. Minnesota
National Guard wildlife managers try to have at least one wolf in each
pack radio-collared and to fit an additional one or two wolves in each
pack with satellite transmitters that record long-distance movements.
There have been no significant conflicts with military training or with
the permit-only public deer-hunting program at the camp, and no new
conflicts are expected following delisting. Long-term and intensive
monitoring has detected only two wolf mortalities within the camp
boundaries--both were of natural causes (Dirks 2009, pers. comm.).
The protection afforded to resident and transient wolves, their den
and rendezvous sites, and their prey by five national forests, four
National Parks, two military facilities, and numerous National Wildlife
Refuges in Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan will further ensure the
conservation of wolves in the three States after delisting. In
addition, wolves that disperse to other units of the National Refuge
System or the National Park System within the Great Lakes area will
also receive the protection afforded by these Federal agencies.
West Coast States
The west coast States generally contain a greater proportion of
public land than the Great Lakes area. Public lands here include many
National Parks, National Forests, National Monuments, and National
Wildlife Refuges. These areas are largely unavailable and/or unsuitable
for intensive development, and contain abundant ungulate populations. A
lack of human occupancy and development combined with an adequate prey
base increase the likelihood of public lands in the west coast States
to provide suitable habitat for gray wolves.
In the listed portions of the west coast States of California,
Oregon, and Washington, wolves are resident on portions of the Lassen,
Plumas, Fremont-Winema, Rogue-Siskiyou, Mount Hood, Okanogan-Wenatchee,
and Mt. Baker-Snoqualmie National Forests (Forests). Land and Resource
Management Plans (LRMPs) for these Forests pre-date the re-
establishment of wolf packs and, therefore, do not contain standards
and guidelines specific to wolf management. The LRMPs do, however,
recognize that the Forests have obligations under sections 7(a)(1) and
7(a)(2) of the Act to proactively conserve and avoid adverse effects to
Federally listed species. If federally delisted, the Regional Foresters
for U.S. Forest Service Regions 5 and 6 are expected to include the
gray wolf as a Regional Forester Sensitive Species. As a Sensitive
Species, conservation objectives for the gray wolf and its habitat will
continue to be addressed during planning and implementation of
projects.
Gray wolves disperse through but are not currently residents of
National Parks, National Monuments, and National Wildlife Refuges in
the listed portions of all three west coast States. Similar to these
types of lands in the Great Lakes areas, management plans provide for
the conservation of natural and cultural resources and wildlife. The
gray wolf and its habitat are expected to persist on these lands should
Federal delisting occur.
Overall, public lands on the west coast have the ability to support
the continued expansion of gray wolves as they disperse from resident
packs and surrounding States and provinces to establish new packs in
the west coast States. Because these areas are in public ownership and
we do not foresee habitat-related threats, we conclude that they will
continue to provide secure, optimal habitat for a resident wolf
population.
Summary of Post-Delisting Management
In summary, upon delisting, there will be varying State and Tribal
classifications and protections provided to wolves. The State wolf-
management plans currently in place for Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
Michigan will be more than sufficient to retain viable wolf populations
in each State. Each of those plans contains management goals that will
maintain healthy populations of wolves in their State by establishing a
minimum population of 1,600 in Minnesota, 350 in Wisconsin, and 200 in
Michigan. Similarly, State management plans developed for Washington,
Oregon, and California contain objectives to conserve and recover gray
wolves. To ensure healthy populations are maintained, each State will
monitor population abundance and trends, habitat and prey availability,
and impacts of disease and take actions as needed to maintain
populations. They are also committed to continuing necessary biological
and social research and outreach and education to maintain healthy wolf
populations. Each of the three Great Lakes States has a long-standing
history of leadership in wolf conservation. All of the State management
plans provide a high level of assurance of the persistence of healthy
wolf populations, demonstrating their commitment to wolf conservation.
Furthermore, when federally delisted, wolves in Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan will continue to receive protection from
general human persecution by State laws and regulations. Wolves are
protected as game species in each of those States, which prohibits
lethal take without a permit, license, or authorization, except under a
few limited situations (as described under the management plans above).
Each of the three States will consider population-management measures,
including public hunting and trapping, after Federal delisting, but
regardless of the methods used to manage wolves, each State will
maintain minimum wolf populations to ensure healthy wolf populations
remain.
Wolves in Washington, Oregon, and California will also be protected
by State laws and regulations when federally delisted. Currently wolves
in Washington and California are protected under State statutes or acts
as endangered species, as well as by their respective State management
plans. Wolves in Oregon are State delisted but still receive protection
under its State management plan. Each plan contains various phases
outlining objectives for conservation and recovery. As recolonization
of the west coast States continues, different phases of management will
be enacted. All phases within the various State management plans are
designed to achieve and maintain healthy wolf populations.
Finally, based on our review of the completed Tribal management
plans and communications with Tribes and Tribal organizations,
federally delisted wolves are very likely to be adequately protected on
Tribal lands. Furthermore, the minimum population goals of the
[[Page 9682]]
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan State management plans can be
achieved (based on the population and range of off-reservation wolves)
even without Tribal protection of wolves on reservation lands. In
addition, on the basis of information received from other Federal land-
management agencies, we expect National Forests, units of the National
Park System, military bases, and National Wildlife Refuges will provide
protections to wolves in the areas they manage that will match, and in
some cases will exceed, the protections provided by State wolf-
management plans and State protective regulations.
Determination of Species Status
Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species may
warrant listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so
throughout all or a significant portion of its range. The Act defines
``endangered species'' as any species that is ``in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of its range,'' and
``threatened species'' as any species that is ``likely to become an
endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.'' The term ``species'' includes ``any
subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants, and any distinct population
segment [DPS] of any species of vertebrate fish or wildlife which
interbreeds when mature.'' A species is ``endangered'' if it is in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range (16 U.S.C. 1532(6)), and is ``threatened'' if it is likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range (16 U.S.C. 1532 (20)). The word
``range'' refers to the range in which the species currently exists,
and the ``foreseeable future'' is the period of time over which events
or effects reasonably can or should be anticipated, or trends
extrapolated.
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and its implementing
regulations (50 CFR part 424) set forth the procedures for determining
whether a species meets the definition of ``endangered species'' or
``threatened species.'' The Act requires that we determine whether a
species meets the definition of ``endangered species'' or ``threatened
species'' because of any of the following factors: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or
range; (B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D) The inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence.
We may delist a species according to 50 CFR 424.11(d) if the best
available scientific and commercial data indicate that the species is
neither endangered nor threatened.
Summary and Conclusion of Our Analysis
Prior to listing in the 1970s, wolves in the gray wolf entity had
been reduced to about 1,000 individuals and extirpated from all of
their range except northeastern Minnesota and Isle Royale, Michigan.
The primary cause of the decline of wolves in the gray wolf entity was
targeted elimination by humans. However, gray wolves are highly
adaptable; their populations are remarkably resilient as long as prey
availability, habitat, and regulation of human-caused mortality are
adequate. Wolf populations can rapidly overcome severe disruptions,
such as pervasive human-caused mortality or disease, once those
disruptions are removed or reduced.
Provided the protections of the Act, the size of the gray wolf
population increased to over four times that at the time of the initial
gray wolf listings in the early 1970s, and more than triple that at the
time of the 1978 reclassification (a figure which does not include the
wolves currently found in the northern Rocky Mountains, which was part
of those earlier listings, although not now part of the current gray
wolf entity). The population's range has expanded outside of
northeastern Minnesota to central and northwestern Minnesota, northern
and central Wisconsin, and the entire Upper Peninsula of Michigan, and
is in the early stages of expanding into western Washington, western
Oregon, and northern California from areas outside the gray wolf
entity. Wolves in the gray wolf entity now primarily exist as a large,
stable to growing, metapopulation of about 4,400 individuals in the
Great Lakes area and a small number of colonizing wolves in the west
coast States that represent the expanding edge of a large
metapopulation outside the gray wolf entity (in the northern Rocky
Mountains and western Canada). Despite the substantial increase in gray
wolf numbers and distribution within the gray wolf entity since 1978,
the species currently occupies only a small portion of its historical
range within the entity. This loss of historical range has resulted in
a reduction of gray wolf individuals, populations, and suitable habitat
(including adequate prey levels) within the gray wolf entity compared
to historical levels.
To sustain populations over time, a species must have a sufficient
number and distribution of healthy populations to withstand annual
variation in its environment (resiliency); catastrophes (redundancy);
and novel changes in its biological and physical environment
(representation) (Shaffer and Stein 2000, pp. 308-311). A species with
sufficient number and distribution of healthy populations is generally
better able to adapt to future changes and to tolerate stressors
(factors that cause a negative effect to a species or its habitat).
Metapopulations are widely recognized as being more secure over the
long-term than are several isolated populations that contain the same
total number of packs and individuals (Service 1994, appendix 9). This
is because adverse effects experienced by one of its subpopulations
resulting from genetic drift, demographic shifts, and local
environmental fluctuations can be countered by occasional influxes of
individuals and their genetic diversity from other subpopulations in
the metapopulation.
Changes resulting from loss of historical range for the gray wolf
entity have increased the species' vulnerability within the entity to
threats such as reduced genetic diversity and restricted gene flow
(reduced representation), and all or most of its populations being
affected by a catastrophic event (reduced redundancy). However, the
large size of the Great Lakes metapopulation and the high quality of
the habitat it occupies provide the gray wolf entity resiliency in the
face of annual environmental fluctuations (for example, prey
availability, pockets of disease outbreaks), periodic disturbances, and
anthropogenic stressors. Further, while the subpopulations within the
metapopulation are interconnected, they are broadly distributed across
the northern portions of three States. This broad distribution of
subpopulations within the Great Lakes area provides the gray wolf
entity the redundancy to survive a catastrophic event because such an
event is unlikely to simultaneously affect wolf subpopulations from
Minnesota to Michigan. Lastly, the gray wolf is a generalist species
that is highly adaptable to a variety of ecosystem types. A mixture of
western gray wolves and eastern wolves in the Great Lakes area, in
particular, may provide additional adaptive capacity. Thus, the gray
wolf entity is likely to contain the representation needed to be able
to adapt to future changes in the environment.
[[Page 9683]]
The metapopulation in the Great Lakes area contains sufficient
resiliency, redundancy, and representation to sustain populations
within the gray wolf entity over time. Therefore, we conclude that the
relatively few wolves that occur outside the Great Lakes area within
the gray wolf entity, including those in the west coast States and lone
dispersers in other States, are not necessary for the recovered status
of the gray wolf entity. However, the viability of the entity is
further increased by wolves that occur outside the Great Lakes area.
The large and expansive population of about 12,000-14,000 wolves in
eastern Canada increases the resiliency of the gray wolf entity through
its connectivity to the Great Lakes area metapopulation. Additionally,
a large metapopulation of about 16,000 wolves outside the gray wolf
entity in the northern Rocky Mountains and western Canada is expanding
into the gray wolf entity in Oregon, Washington, and California (figure
2). Such a large and widely distributed metapopulation of wolves not
only contributes to the resiliency, redundancy, and representation of
gray wolves in the lower 48 United States, but also is likely to
further increase the viability of the gray wolf entity because these
wolves are colonizing the western portion of the gray wolf entity. With
ongoing post-delisting management from States, further expansion of the
metapopulation into the gray wolf entity is likely to continue in the
west coast States, further increasing the viability of the gray wolf
entity.
Wolves in the Great Lakes area now greatly exceed the recovery
criteria for (1) a secure wolf population in Minnesota, and (2) a
second population outside Minnesota and Isle Royale consisting of 100
wolves for 5 successive years. Therefore, based on the criteria set by
the Eastern Wolf Recovery Team, the Great Lakes area now contains
sufficient wolf numbers and distribution, threats have been alleviated,
and the States and Tribes are committed to continued management such
that the long-term survival of the wolf is ensured. Consequently,
because we have identified no other regions of the gray wolf entity as
necessary for recovery of wolves in this entity, we conclude that the
Great Lakes area contains sufficient wolf numbers and distribution to
ensure the long-term survival of the gray wolf entity.
The recovery of the gray wolf entity is attributable primarily to
successful interagency cooperation in the management of human-caused
mortality. Such mortality is the most significant issue to the long-
term conservation status of wolves in the gray wolf entity. Therefore,
managing this source of mortality remains the primary challenge to
maintaining a recovered wolf population into the foreseeable future.
Legal harvest and agency control to mitigate depredations on livestock
will be the primary human-caused mortality factors that State agencies
can manipulate to achieve management objectives once delisting occurs.
Wolves in the Great Lakes area are well above Federal recovery
requirements defined in the Eastern Timber Wolf Recovery Plan. As a
result, we can expect to see some reduction in wolf populations in the
Great Lakes areas as States begin to institute wolf-hunting seasons
with the objective of slowing or reversing population growth while
continuing to maintain wolf populations well above Federal recovery
requirements in their respective States. Using an adaptive-management
approach that adjusts harvest based on population estimates and trends,
the initial objectives of States may be to lower wolf populations then
manage for sustainable populations, similar to how States manage all
other game species. For example, in 2013-2014, during a period when
gray wolves were federally delisted in the Great Lakes area, Wisconsin
reduced the State's wolf harvest quota by 43 percent in response to a
reduced (compared to the previous year) estimated size of the wolf
population. In the west coast States, wolf populations will likely be
managed to ensure progress towards recovery objectives while also
minimizing livestock losses caused by wolves.
Based on our analysis, we conclude that Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
Michigan will maintain abundance and distribution of the Great Lakes
wolf population above recovery levels for the foreseeable future, and
that the threat of human-caused mortality has been sufficiently
reduced. All three States have wolf-management laws, plans, and
regulations that adequately regulate human-caused mortality. Each of
the three States has committed to manage its wolf population at or
above viable population levels, and we do not expect this commitment to
change. Based on our review, we conclude that regulatory mechanisms in
all three States are adequate to facilitate the maintenance of, and in
no way threaten, the recovered status of wolves in the gray wolf entity
if they are federally delisted. Adequate wolf-monitoring programs, as
described in the State wolf-management plans, are likely to identify
high mortality rates or low birth rates that warrant corrective action
by the management agencies. Further, while relatively few wolves occur
in the west coast portion of the gray wolf entity at this time, and
State wolf-management plans for Washington, Oregon, and California do
not yet include population management goals, these plans include
recovery objectives intended to ensure the reestablishment of self-
sustaining populations in these States.
Based on the biology of wolves and our analysis of threats, we
conclude that, as long as wolf populations in the Great Lakes States
are maintained at or above identified recovery levels, wolf biology
(namely the species' reproductive capacity) and the availability of
large, secure blocks of suitable habitat within the occupied areas will
enable the maintenance of populations capable of withstanding all other
foreseeable threats. Although much of the historical range of the gray
wolf entity is no longer occupied, based on our analysis we find that
the amount and distribution of occupied wolf habitat currently
provides, and will continue to provide, large core areas that contain
high-quality habitat of sufficient size and with sufficient prey to
support a recovered wolf population. Our analysis of land management
shows these areas, specifically Minnesota Wolf Management Zone A
(Federal Wolf Management Zones 1-4), Wisconsin Wolf Zones 1, and the
Upper Peninsula of Michigan will maintain their suitability into the
foreseeable future. Therefore, we conclude that, despite the loss of
large areas of historical range for the gray wolf entity, Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan contain a sufficient
amount of high-quality wolf habitat to support wolf populations into
the future.
While disease and parasites can temporarily affect population
stability, as long as populations are managed above recovery levels,
these factors are not likely to threaten the viability of the wolf
population in the gray wolf entity at any point in the foreseeable
future. Climate change is also likely to remain an insignificant factor
in population dynamics into the foreseeable future, due to the
adaptability of the species. Finally, based on our analysis, we
conclude that cumulative effects of threats, do not now, nor are likely
to in the foreseeable future, threaten the viability of the gray wolf
entity throughout the range of wolves in the gray wolf entity.
Determination of Status Throughout All of Its Range
We have carefully assessed the best scientific and commercial
information available regarding the past, present, and future threats
to the gray wolf entity
[[Page 9684]]
(the two C. lupus listed entities combined). We evaluated the status
of, and assessed the factors likely to negatively affect, the gray wolf
entity, including threats to the gray wolf entity identified at the
time of reclassification. While wolves in the gray wolf entity
currently occupy only a portion of wolf historical range, the best
available information indicates that the gray wolf entity is recovered
and is not now, nor likely in the foreseeable future, to be negatively
affected by past, current, and potential future threats such that the
entity is in danger of extinction.
Specifically, we have determined, based on the best available
information, that human-caused mortality (Factor C); habitat and prey
availability (Factor A); disease and parasites (Factor C); commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational uses (Factor B); climate
change (Factor E); or other threats, singly or in combination, are not
of sufficient imminence, intensity, or magnitude to indicate that
wolves in the gray wolf entity are in danger of extinction or likely to
become so within the foreseeable future throughout all of its range. We
have also determined that ongoing effects of recovery efforts, which
resulted in a significant expansion of the occupied range of and number
of wolves in the gray wolf entity over the past decades, in conjunction
with State, Tribal, and Federal agency wolf management and regulatory
mechanisms that will be in place following delisting across the
occupied range in the entity, will be adequate to ensure the
conservation of wolves in the gray wolf entity. These activities will
maintain an adequate prey base, preserve denning and rendezvous sites,
monitor disease, restrict human take, and keep wolf populations well
above the recovery criteria established in the Revised Recovery Plan
(USFWS 1992, pp. 25-28).
The term ``foreseeable future'' describes the extent to which we
can reasonably rely on the predictions about the future in making
determinations about the future conservation status of the gray wolf
entity. We conclude that it is reasonable to rely on the scientific
studies and information assessing human-caused mortality; habitat and
prey availability; the impacts of disease and parasites; commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational uses; gray wolf adaptability,
including with respect to changing climate; recovery activities and
regulatory mechanisms that will be in place following delisting; and
predictions about how these may affect the gray wolf entity in making
determinations about the gray wolf entity's future status. Therefore,
after assessing the best available information, we have determined that
the gray wolf entity is not in danger of extinction throughout all of
its range nor is it likely to become so in the foreseeable future.
Because we determined that the gray wolf entity is not in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future throughout
all of its range, we will consider whether there are any significant
portions of its range that are in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future.
Determination of Status Throughout a Significant Portion of Its Range
Under the Act and our implementing regulations, a species warrants
listing if it is in danger of extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its range
(SPR). Having determined that the gray wolf entity is not in danger of
extinction now or likely to become so in the foreseeable future
throughout all of its range, we now consider whether it may be in
danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future
in an SPR. The range of a species can theoretically be divided into
portions in an infinite number of ways, so we first screen the
potential portions of the species' range to determine if there are any
portions that warrant further consideration. To do this we look for
portions of the species' range for which there is substantial
information indicating that: (1) The portion may be significant, and
(2) the species may be in danger of extinction or likely to become so
in the foreseeable future in that portion. A portion would not warrant
further consideration if, for that portion, either one of these initial
elements is not present. Therefore, if we determine that either of the
initial elements is not present for a particular portion of the
species' range, then further analysis is not necessary and the species
does not warrant listing because of its status in that portion of its
range.
We emphasize that the presence of both of the initial elements is
not equivalent to a determination that the species should be listed--
rather, it is a determination that a portion warrants further
consideration. If we identify any portions that meet both of the
initial elements, we conduct a more thorough analysis to determine
whether in fact (1) the portion is significant and (2) the species is
in danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable
future in that portion. Confirmation that a geographic area does indeed
meet one of these standards (either the portion is significant or the
species is endangered or threatened in that portion of its range) does
not create a presumption, prejudgment, or other determination as to
whether the species is endangered or threatened in a significant
portion of its range. Rather, we must then undertake a more detailed
analysis of the other standard to make that determination. If the
portion does indeed meet both standards, then the species is endangered
or threatened in that significant portion of its range and warrants
listing rangewide.
Thus, there can be two separate stages to the process of
determining whether a species is threatened or endangered in a
significant portion of its range: The stage of screening potential
portions to identify if any portions warrant further consideration, and
the stage of undertaking the more-detailed analysis of any portions
that do warrant further consideration. At either stage, it may be more
efficient for us to address the ``significance'' question first, or to
address the ``status'' question first. Our selection of which question
to address first for a particular portion depends on the biology of the
species, its range, and the threats it faces. Regardless of which
question we address first, if we reach a negative answer with respect
to the first question that we address, we do not need to evaluate the
second question for that portion of the species' range.
We note that a court has invalidated the USFWS and National Marine
Fisheries Service (NMFS) definition of ``significant'' in their policy
interpreting ``significant portion of its range,'' and issued a
nationwide injunction prohibiting us from applying that definition
(Desert Survivors v. Dep't of the Interior, No. 16-cv-01165-JCS (N.D.
Cal. Aug. 24, 2018)). Therefore, in our analysis for the gray wolf, we
apply ``significant'' in a way that is consistent with that court's
opinion, and with other relevant case law. As USFWS and NMFS have not
yet determined the best way to interpret ``significant'' in light of
the decision in Desert Survivors, for the purposes of the analysis
here, in determining whether any portions may warrant further
consideration because they may be significant, we screen by looking for
portions of the species' range that could be significant under any
reasonable definition of ``significant'' that relates to the
conservation of the gray wolf entity. To do this, we look for any
portions that may be biologically important in terms of the resiliency,
redundancy, or representation of the species. Our use of this standard
for ``significant'' is limited to this analysis, and is not precedent
for any future determinations.
To screen for the second prong, we consider whether there are any
portions where the gray wolf entity may be in
[[Page 9685]]
danger of extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future.
This may include consideration of whether the threats are
geographically concentrated in any portion of the species' range at a
biologically meaningful scale; if threats are not uniform throughout
its range, this may be an indication that the species may warrant
further evaluation to determine whether a different classification is
appropriate. However, geographically concentrated threats do not
necessarily indicate that a species may be in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable future in that portion. Even if
threats are concentrated in a portion, other factors could indicate
that there is little chance those threats rise to a level such that the
portion of the range may be in danger of extinction or likely to become
so in the foreseeable future.
After reviewing the biology of the gray wolf entity and potential
threats, we have not identified any portions of the gray wolf entity
for which both (1) gray wolves may be in danger of extinction or likely
to become so in the foreseeable future and (2) the portion may be
significant. While some portions may be at increased threat from human-
caused mortality or factors related to small numbers, we did not find
that any of these portions may be significant. We provide examples
below.
First, portions peripheral to the Great Lakes metapopulation that
may contain lone dispersing wolves (e.g., western Minnesota, Lower
Peninsula of Michigan, eastern South Dakota) or few wolves (e.g., Isle
Royale), may be at greater threat from human caused mortality or due to
factors related to small numbers of individuals. However, these
portions are not biologically important to the gray wolf entity in
terms of resiliency, redundancy, or representation. They are not
important to the redundancy or resiliency of the gray wolf entity
because they are not members of established breeding packs (lone
dispersers) or are few in number and likely to remain as such (Isle
Royale). They are also not important to the representation of the gray
wolf entity because they lack genetic uniqueness relative to other
wolves in the Great Lakes metapopulation--they are part of that
metapopulation and are dispersing out from it. In addition, the gray
wolf is a highly adaptable generalist species capable of long-distance
dispersal. In other words, it possess the genetic diversity necessary
to successfully colonize a broad range of habitat types and feed on a
variety of prey species, and possess dispersal capabilities that
facilitate colonization of those habitats in addition to gene flow
among and between populations. Therefore, we find that these portions
are not ``significant'' under any reasonable definition of that term
because they are not biologically important to the gray wolf entity in
terms of its resiliency, redundancy, or representation.
Second, State wolf-management zones in which post-delisting
depredation control would be allowed under a broader set of
circumstances than in core population zones, such as Minnesota Wolf
Management Zone B (Federal Wolf Management Zone 5) or Wisconsin Wolf
Management Zones 3 and 4, are not significant under any reasonable
definition of ``significant.'' While these portions would likely
experience higher levels of human-caused mortality if the gray wolf
entity were delisted, these portions are not ``significant'' under any
reasonable definition of that term. The wolves in these zones occur on
the periphery of a large metapopulation (the Great Lakes
metapopulation), in areas of limited habitat suitability, and do not
contribute appreciably to (and are thus not biologically important to)
the resiliency, redundancy, or representation of the gray wolf entity.
In fact, the Recovery Plan for the Eastern Timber Wolf advises against
restoration of wolves in State Zone B (Federal Zone 5) because the area
is ``not suitable for wolves''. Wolves in these higher-intensity
management zones are not important to the resiliency of the gray wolf
entity because, even though they contain multiple established packs in
addition to lone wolves, they comprise a small proportion of wolves in
the Great Lakes metapopulation and, consequently, the gray wolf entity
(Zone B contains approximately 15% of the Minnesota wolf population;
Zones 3 and 4 contain about 6% of the Wisconsin wolf population). If
wolves are delisted, a large metapopulation of wolves would still occur
in the Great Lakes area outside these higher-intensity management zones
in core zones of high-quality habitat and minimal human-caused
mortality, providing the gray wolf entity the ability to withstand
stochastic processes. These higher-intensity management zones are not
important to the redundancy of the gray wolf entity because wolves in
these zones represent a relatively small number and distribution of
populations or packs in the Great Lakes metapopulation. The Great Lakes
metapopulation is large and distributed across three states. Wolves in
these higher-intensity management zones comprise a small proportion of
wolves in, and occur on the periphery of, this metapopulation. If
wolves are delisted, wolves would still occur in multiple populations
distributed across tens of thousands of square miles in Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan, providing the gray wolf entity the ability to
withstand a catastrophic event. Thus, wolves in these higher-intensity
management zones do not contribute meaningfully to the ability of the
Great Lakes metapopulation, or gray wolf entity, to withstand
catastrophic events. Wolves in these higher-intensity management zones
are not important to the representation of the gray wolf entity because
they originate from the Great Lakes and eastern Canada metapopulation
(they are genetically similar to other wolves in the Great Lakes area
of the gray wolf entity) and because gray wolves are a highly adaptable
generalist species capable of long distance-dispersal. Therefore, we do
not find that these portions may be significant under any reasonable
definition of ``significant'' because they are not biologically
important to the gray wolf entity in terms of its resiliency,
redundancy, or representation.
Third, the west coast portion of the gray wolf entity, where wolves
exist in small numbers in California, western Oregon, and western
Washington, also is not biologically important to the gray wolf entity
in terms of resiliency, redundancy, or representation. This portion is
not important to the gray wolf entity in terms of resiliency or
redundancy because wolves occur in small numbers in this portion and
include only a few breeding pairs. Because these wolves represent the
expanding front of a recovered and stable source metapopulation, and
are therefore not an independent population within the gray wolf
entity, the small number of wolves there do not contribute meaningfully
to the ability of any population, in the NRM or Great Lakes area, to
withstand stochastic events, nor to the entire entity's ability to
withstand catastrophic events. This portion is also not important in
terms of representation, because (1) gray wolves are a highly adaptable
generalist carnivore capable of long-distance dispersal, and (2) the
gray wolves in this area are an extension of a large metapopulation of
wolves in the northern Rocky Mountains and western Canada (i.e., they
are not an isolated population with unique or markedly different
genetic or phenotypic traits that is evolving separate from other wolf
populations). Therefore, for the purpose of assessing the status of the
gray wolf
[[Page 9686]]
entity under the Act, we do not find that this portion may be
significant under any reasonable definition of ``significant'' because
it is not biologically important to the gray wolf entity in terms of
its resiliency, redundancy, or representation.
We conclude that there are no portions of the gray wolf entity for
which both (1) gray wolves may be in danger of extinction or likely to
become so in the foreseeable future and (2) the portion may be
significant. As discussed above, portions that may be in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the foreseeable future are not
significant under any reasonable definition of that term. Conversely,
other portions that are or may be significant (i.e. the core areas of
the Great Lakes metapopulation) are not in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable future. Because we did not
identify any portions of the gray wolf entity where threats may be
concentrated and where the portion may be biologically important in
terms of the resiliency, redundancy, or representation of the gray wolf
entity, a more thorough analysis is not required. Therefore, we
conclude that the gray wolf entity is not in danger of extinction or
likely to become so in the foreseeable future within a significant
portion of its range.
Proposed Determination
After a thorough review of all available information and an
evaluation of the five factors specified in section 4(a)(1) of the Act,
as well as consideration of the definitions of ``threatened species''
and ``endangered species'' contained in the Act and the reasons for
delisting as specified in 50 CFR 424.11(d), we propose that removing
the two entities of gray wolf (Canis lupus) from the List of Endangered
and Threatened Wildlife (50 CFR 17.11) is appropriate. We have
collectively evaluated the current and potential threats to the
combined gray wolf entities, including those that result from past loss
of historical range. Wolves have recovered in the combined entities as
a result of the reduction of threats as described in the analysis of
threats and are neither currently in danger of extinction, nor likely
to become so in the foreseeable future, throughout all or a significant
portion of their range.
Although substantial contraction of gray wolf historical range
occurred within the combined entities since European settlement, the
range of the gray wolf has expanded significantly since its original
listing in 1978 and the impacts of lost historical range are no longer
manifesting in a way that threatens the viability of the species. The
causes of the previous contraction (for example, targeted extermination
efforts), and the effects of that contraction (for example, reduced
numbers of individuals and populations, and restricted gene flow), in
addition to the effects of all other threats, have been ameliorated or
reduced such that the combined entities no longer meet the Act's
definitions of ``threatened species'' or ``endangered species.''
Further, we note that, while we combined the two C. lupus listed
entities for our analysis, even if we had analyzed them separately,
neither would meet the Act's definitions of ``threatened species'' or
``endangered species.'' Both of these two listed entities are either
part of the same metapopulation or the expanding front of the recovered
NRM metapopulation. Therefore, because the status of each of these two
listed entities is influenced by its connectedness to the other, the
status of each would be the same as if analyzed in combination. We also
note that the Act allows us to list species, subspecies, or DPSs and
that, because the two listed entities are not discrete and are
therefore not DPSs, neither of the two listed entities constitute valid
listable entities under the Act and should, therefore, be removed from
the List.
Effects of This Rule
This proposal, if made final, would revise 50 CFR 17.11(h) by
removing the two existing C. lupus listed entities from the Federal
List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife. This proposal, if made
final, would also remove the special regulations under section 4(d) of
the Act for wolves in Minnesota. These regulations currently are found
at 50 CFR 17.40(d).
Critical habitat was designated for the gray wolf in 1978 (43 FR
9607, March 9, 1978). That rule (codified at 50 CFR 17.95(a))
identifies Isle Royale National Park, Michigan, and Minnesota Wolf
Management Zones 1, 2, and 3, as delineated in 50 CFR 17.40(d)(1), as
critical habitat. Wolf Management Zones 1, 2, and 3 comprise
approximately 25,500 km\2\ (9,845 mi\2\) in northeastern and north-
central Minnesota. This proposal, if made final, would remove the
designation of critical habitat for gray wolves in Minnesota and on
Isle Royale, Michigan.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act, added in the 1988 reauthorization,
requires us to implement a system, in cooperation with the States, to
monitor for not less than 5 years the status of all species that have
recovered and been removed from the Lists of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Plants (50 CFR 17.11 and 17.12). The purpose of this post-
delisting monitoring (PDM) is to verify that a species delisted due to
recovery remains secure from risk of extinction after it no longer has
the protections of the Act. To do this, PDM generally focuses on
evaluating (1) demographic characteristics of the species, (2) threats
to the species, and (3) implementation of legal and/or management
commitments that have been identified as important in reducing threats
to the species or maintaining threats at sufficiently low levels. We
are to make prompt use of the emergency-listing authority under section
4(b)(7) of the Act to prevent a significant risk to the well-being of
any recovered species. Section 4(g) of the Act explicitly requires
cooperation with the States in development and implementation of PDM
programs, but we remain responsible for compliance with section 4(g)
and, therefore, must remain actively engaged in all phases of PDM. We
also will seek active participation of other State and Federal agencies
or Tribal governments that are expected to assume management authority
for the species' conservation, should our proposed delisting be
finalized. In some cases, agencies have already devoted significant
resources toward wolf monitoring efforts. For example, the States of
Washington, Oregon, and California have wolf-management plans that
include monitoring strategies for wolves and wolf populations. Should
such monitoring document significant declines, the Service will
investigate the degree and importance of such declines.
We developed a PDM plan for wolves in the Great Lakes area with the
assistance of the Eastern Wolf Recovery Team in 2008. That document
remains applicable today as it focuses on monitoring wolves within the
borders of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan
and is available on our website (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
The PDM program will rely on a continuation of State monitoring
activities, similar to those that have been conducted by Minnesota,
Wisconsin, and Michigan DNR's in recent years, and Tribal monitoring.
These activities will include both population monitoring and health
monitoring of individual wolves. During the PDM period, the Service
will conduct a review of the monitoring data and program. We will
consider various relevant factors (including but not limited to
mortality rates, population changes and rates of change, disease
[[Page 9687]]
occurrence, range expansion or contraction) to determine if the
population of wolves within the borders of Minnesota, Wisconsin, and
the Upper Peninsula of Michigan warrants expanded monitoring,
additional research, consideration for re-listing as threatened or
endangered, or emergency listing.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan DNRs have monitored wolves for
several decades with significant assistance from numerous partners,
including the U.S. Forest Service, National Park Service, USDA-APHIS-
Wildlife Services, Tribal natural resource agencies, and the Service.
To maximize comparability of future PDM data with data obtained before
delisting, all three State DNRs have committed to continue their
previous wolf-population-monitoring methodology, or will make changes
to that methodology only if those changes will not reduce the
comparability of pre- and post-delisting data.
In addition to monitoring wolf population numbers and trends, the
PDM program will evaluate post-delisting threats, in particular human-
caused mortality, disease, and implementation of legal and management
commitments. If at any time during the monitoring period we detect a
substantial downward change in the populations or an increase in
threats to the degree that population viability may be threatened, we
will work with the States and Tribes to evaluate and change (intensify,
extend, and/or otherwise improve) the monitoring methods, if
appropriate, and/or consider re-listing the gray wolf, if warranted.
This PDM monitoring program will extend for 5 years beyond the
effective delisting date of the two currently listed gray wolf
entities. At the end of the 5-year period, we will conduct another
review and post the results on our website. In addition to the above
considerations, the review will determine whether the PDM program
should be terminated or extended.
Required Determinations
Clarity of This Proposed Rule
We are required by Executive Orders 12866 and 12988 and by the
Presidential Memorandum of June 1, 1998, to write all rules in plain
language. This means that each rule we publish must:
(a) Be logically organized;
(b) Use the active voice to address readers directly;
(c) Use clear language rather than jargon;
(d) Be divided into short sections and sentences; and
(e) Use lists and tables wherever possible.
If you feel that we have not met these requirements, send us
comments by one of the methods listed in ADDRESSES. To better help us
revise the rule, your comments should be as specific as possible. For
example, you should tell us the numbers of the sections or paragraphs
that are unclearly written, which sections or sentences are too long,
the sections where you feel lists or tables would be useful, etc.
National Environmental Policy Act
We determined that we do not need to prepare an environmental
assessment or an environmental impact statement, as defined under the
authority of the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C.
4321 et seq.), in connection with regulations adopted pursuant to
section 4(a) of the Act. We published a notice outlining our reasons
for this determination in the Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48
FR 49244).
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994,
Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
Governments (59 FR 22951), E.O. 13175, and the Department of the
Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our
responsibility to communicate meaningfully with recognized Federal
Tribes on a government-to-government basis. In accordance with
Secretarial Order 3206 of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal Rights,
Federal-Tribal Trust Responsibilities, and the Endangered Species Act),
we readily acknowledge our responsibilities to work directly with
Tribes in developing programs for healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge
that Tribal lands are not subject to the same controls as Federal
public lands, to remain sensitive to Indian culture, and to make
information available to Tribes. We have coordinated the proposed rule
with the affected Tribes and, furthermore, throughout several years of
development of earlier related rules and this proposed rule, we have
endeavored to consult with Native American Tribes and Native American
organizations in order to both (1) provide them with a complete
understanding of the proposed changes, and (2) to understand their
concerns with those changes. If requested, we will conduct additional
consultations with Native American Tribes and multi-tribal
organizations subsequent to any final rule in order to facilitate the
transition to State and Tribal management of wolves within the Lower 48
United States outside of the NRM DPS where wolves are already under
State and Tribal management. We will fully consider all of the comments
on the proposed rule that are submitted by Tribes and Tribal members
during the public comment period and will attempt to address those
concerns, new data, and new information where appropriate.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited in this proposed rule is
available at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-HQ-ES-
2018-0097 or upon request from the USFWS Headquarters Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this proposed rule are staff members of the
USFWS.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Transportation.
Proposed Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we hereby propose to amend part 17, subchapter B of
chapter I, title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth
below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; 4201-4245; unless
otherwise noted.
Sec. 17.11 [Amended]
0
2. Amend Sec. 17.11(h) by removing both entries for ``Wolf, gray
(Canis lupus)'' under MAMMALS in the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife.
Sec. 17.40 [Amended]
0
3. Amend Sec. 17.40 by removing and reserving paragraph (d).
Sec. 17.95 [Amended]
0
4. Amend Sec. 17.95(a) by removing the critical habitat entry for
``Gray Wolf (Canis lupus).''
Dated: March 6, 2019.
Margaret E. Everson
Principal Deputy Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Exercising
the Authority of the Director for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2019-04420 Filed 3-14-19; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P