Updated Collision Risk Model Priors for Estimating Eagle Fatalities at Wind Energy Facilities, 56365-56366 [2018-24718]
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Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 219 / Tuesday, November 13, 2018 / Notices
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Jkt 247001
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56365
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[FR Doc. 2018–24837 Filed 11–8–18; 4:15 pm]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
[FWS–HQ–MB–2017–0092; 91200–
FF09M20300–189–FXMB123109EAGLE]
Updated Collision Risk Model Priors
for Estimating Eagle Fatalities at Wind
Energy Facilities
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Reopening of the comment
period.
AGENCY:
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service (Service) uses a collision risk
model (CRM) to predict the number of
golden and bald eagles that may be
killed at new wind facilities. The model
incorporates existing information on
eagle exposure and collision probability
in the form of prior distributions
(priors). The Service has updated the
priors for both species of eagle and, on
June 21 of this year, announced the
availability of a report of the analysis
conducted to generate the new priors
(83 FR 28858). The notice solicited
public comments on how the Service
should use the new bald eagle priors.
Today’s notice reopens the comment
period for 30 days, and provides
additional information requested by
commenters.
DATES: To ensure consideration of
written comments, they must be
submitted on or before December 13,
2018.
ADDRESSES: You may submit written
comments by one of the following
methods:
Electronically: Go to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. Search for FWS–
HQ–MB–2017–0092, which is the
docket number for this notice, and
follow the directions for submitting
comments.
By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail or
hand-delivery to Public Comments
Processing, Attn: FWS–HQ–MB–2017–
0092; Division of Policy, Performance,
and Management Programs; U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service; MS: BPHC; 5275
Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041–
3803.
We will post all comments on https://
www.regulations.gov. This generally
SUMMARY:
E:\FR\FM\13NON1.SGM
13NON1
56366
Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 219 / Tuesday, November 13, 2018 / Notices
means that we will post any personal
information you provide us (see Request
for Information below for more
information).
We request that you send comments
by only one of the methods described
above. We will post all information
received on https://www.regulations.gov.
This generally means that we will post
any personal information you provide
us (see the Public Availability of
Comments section below for more
information).
Ken
Richkus, at 703–358–1780 (telephone),
or ken_richkus@fws.gov (email).
Individuals who are hearing impaired or
speech impaired may call the Federal
Relay Service at 800–877–8337 for TTY
assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
amozie on DSK3GDR082PROD with NOTICES1
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Background
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
(Service) uses a collision risk model
(CRM) to predict the number of golden
and bald eagles that may be killed at
new wind facilities (USFWS 2013; New
et al. 2015). The CRM incorporates
existing knowledge of eagle use around
a proposed wind facility (exposure) and
the probability of an eagle colliding
with an operating turbine (collision
probability).
The CRM is constructed using a
Bayesian framework, and as such
incorporates existing information on
eagle exposure and collision probability
in the form of prior distributions
(priors). The priors are formally
combined with site-specific data on
exposure and the amount of hazardous
area and operational time for a site to
estimate the expected number of annual
eagle collision fatalities.
The Service recently updated the
priors for both species of eagle using all
available data that meet specific criteria,
substantially more data than were
available when the original priors were
established. We released a report of the
analysis undertaken to generate the
updated priors and announced the
availability of the report in a June 21,
2018, Federal Register notice published
on (83 FR 28858). In that notice we
asked for public input on options for
how we should apply the new bald
eagle priors. Several of the comments
we received during the initial comment
period requested that the Service
provide the values for the shape and
rate parameters of the gamma and beta
distributions described in the referenced
report. In response to these comments,
we have posted an updated version of
the report that provides those parameter
values on the Service’s website at:
VerDate Sep<11>2014
17:34 Nov 09, 2018
Jkt 247001
https://www.fws.gov/birds/
management/managedspecies/
eaglemanagement.php. You can also
find the report on the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. Search for FWS–
HQ–MB–2017–0092.
Because the bald eagle collision prior
is based on data from only 14 sites that
do not span the range of bald eagle
density conditions that exist across the
country, the prior may not be as
representative as it would be if data
from a wider range of location had been
available. Given this uncertainty, the
Service is considering three alternatives
for how to incorporate species-specific
priors for bald eagles into the CRM and
fatality modeling process:
(1) Use the updated species-specific
priors, and use the 80th quantile of the
CRM fatality estimates as the initial
permitted take number for permits, as is
the current practice.
(2) Use the updated species-specific
priors, but because the status of bald
eagles is secure, adopt a risk-tolerant
policy for bald eagles and select a more
liberal quantile on the CRM fatality
distribution as the initial permitted take
number for this species.
(3) Given the limitations in data
available to inform the bald eagle priors,
initiate an expert elicitation process to
further refine the bald eagle priors.
Under any of these scenarios, the
Service would use data submitted under
permits to make updates to the priors in
the future.
Alternative 1 would mean that for a
similar level of eagle use observed at a
project site, the Service would use
higher fatality estimates for bald eagles
than for golden eagles. Alternative 2
would be a decision by the Service to
be more ‘risk-tolerant’ for bald eagles.
This would mean that initial fatality
predictions would be lower, however it
would also likely mean that more
permits would have to be amended to
increase the permitted take over time
(i.e., the Service would be
underestimating take more often).
Alternative 3 would be a decision by the
Service that more information is needed
to understand the potential variability of
exposure and collision probability for
bald eagles. Such a process could result
in either higher or lower (or more
variable) priors. We are soliciting input
from the public on these three
alternatives. We are not seeking input
on the CRM itself, which has been peerreviewed and been the subject of
multiple rounds of public comment in
the past.
PO 00000
Frm 00093
Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
Public Availability of Comments
Written comments we receive become
part of the public record associated with
this action. Before including your
address, phone number, email address,
or other personal identifying
information in your comment, you
should be aware that the entire
comment—including your personal
identifying information—may be made
publicly available at any time. While
you can ask us in your comment to
withhold your personal identifying
information from public review, we
cannot guarantee that we will be able to
do so. All submissions from
organizations or businesses, and from
individuals identifying themselves as
representatives or officials of
organizations or businesses, will be
made available for public disclosure in
their entirety.
Dated: October 29, 2018.
Andrea Travnicek,
Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Water
and Science, Exercising the authority of the
Assistant Secretary for Fish and Wildlife and
Parks.
[FR Doc. 2018–24718 Filed 11–9–18; 8:45 am]
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Fish and Wildlife Service
[FWS–R4–ES–2018–N107;
FXES11140400000–189–FF04E00000]
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Applications
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ACTION: Notice of receipt of permit
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[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 219 (Tuesday, November 13, 2018)]
[Notices]
[Pages 56365-56366]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2018-24718]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
[FWS-HQ-MB-2017-0092; 91200-FF09M20300-189-FXMB123109EAGLE]
Updated Collision Risk Model Priors for Estimating Eagle
Fatalities at Wind Energy Facilities
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Reopening of the comment period.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) uses a collision
risk model (CRM) to predict the number of golden and bald eagles that
may be killed at new wind facilities. The model incorporates existing
information on eagle exposure and collision probability in the form of
prior distributions (priors). The Service has updated the priors for
both species of eagle and, on June 21 of this year, announced the
availability of a report of the analysis conducted to generate the new
priors (83 FR 28858). The notice solicited public comments on how the
Service should use the new bald eagle priors. Today's notice reopens
the comment period for 30 days, and provides additional information
requested by commenters.
DATES: To ensure consideration of written comments, they must be
submitted on or before December 13, 2018.
ADDRESSES: You may submit written comments by one of the following
methods:
Electronically: Go to the Federal e-Rulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. Search for FWS-HQ-MB-2017-0092, which is the
docket number for this notice, and follow the directions for submitting
comments.
By hard copy: Submit by U.S. mail or hand-delivery to Public
Comments Processing, Attn: FWS-HQ-MB-2017-0092; Division of Policy,
Performance, and Management Programs; U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service;
MS: BPHC; 5275 Leesburg Pike, Falls Church, VA 22041-3803.
We will post all comments on https://www.regulations.gov. This
generally
[[Page 56366]]
means that we will post any personal information you provide us (see
Request for Information below for more information).
We request that you send comments by only one of the methods
described above. We will post all information received on https://www.regulations.gov. This generally means that we will post any
personal information you provide us (see the Public Availability of
Comments section below for more information).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ken Richkus, at 703-358-1780
(telephone), or [email protected] (email). Individuals who are
hearing impaired or speech impaired may call the Federal Relay Service
at 800-877-8337 for TTY assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service) uses a collision risk
model (CRM) to predict the number of golden and bald eagles that may be
killed at new wind facilities (USFWS 2013; New et al. 2015). The CRM
incorporates existing knowledge of eagle use around a proposed wind
facility (exposure) and the probability of an eagle colliding with an
operating turbine (collision probability).
The CRM is constructed using a Bayesian framework, and as such
incorporates existing information on eagle exposure and collision
probability in the form of prior distributions (priors). The priors are
formally combined with site-specific data on exposure and the amount of
hazardous area and operational time for a site to estimate the expected
number of annual eagle collision fatalities.
The Service recently updated the priors for both species of eagle
using all available data that meet specific criteria, substantially
more data than were available when the original priors were
established. We released a report of the analysis undertaken to
generate the updated priors and announced the availability of the
report in a June 21, 2018, Federal Register notice published on (83 FR
28858). In that notice we asked for public input on options for how we
should apply the new bald eagle priors. Several of the comments we
received during the initial comment period requested that the Service
provide the values for the shape and rate parameters of the gamma and
beta distributions described in the referenced report. In response to
these comments, we have posted an updated version of the report that
provides those parameter values on the Service's website at: https://www.fws.gov/birds/management/managedspecies/eaglemanagement.php. You
can also find the report on the Federal e-Rulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. Search for FWS-HQ-MB-2017-0092.
Because the bald eagle collision prior is based on data from only
14 sites that do not span the range of bald eagle density conditions
that exist across the country, the prior may not be as representative
as it would be if data from a wider range of location had been
available. Given this uncertainty, the Service is considering three
alternatives for how to incorporate species-specific priors for bald
eagles into the CRM and fatality modeling process:
(1) Use the updated species-specific priors, and use the 80th
quantile of the CRM fatality estimates as the initial permitted take
number for permits, as is the current practice.
(2) Use the updated species-specific priors, but because the status
of bald eagles is secure, adopt a risk-tolerant policy for bald eagles
and select a more liberal quantile on the CRM fatality distribution as
the initial permitted take number for this species.
(3) Given the limitations in data available to inform the bald
eagle priors, initiate an expert elicitation process to further refine
the bald eagle priors.
Under any of these scenarios, the Service would use data submitted
under permits to make updates to the priors in the future.
Alternative 1 would mean that for a similar level of eagle use
observed at a project site, the Service would use higher fatality
estimates for bald eagles than for golden eagles. Alternative 2 would
be a decision by the Service to be more `risk-tolerant' for bald
eagles. This would mean that initial fatality predictions would be
lower, however it would also likely mean that more permits would have
to be amended to increase the permitted take over time (i.e., the
Service would be underestimating take more often). Alternative 3 would
be a decision by the Service that more information is needed to
understand the potential variability of exposure and collision
probability for bald eagles. Such a process could result in either
higher or lower (or more variable) priors. We are soliciting input from
the public on these three alternatives. We are not seeking input on the
CRM itself, which has been peer-reviewed and been the subject of
multiple rounds of public comment in the past.
Public Availability of Comments
Written comments we receive become part of the public record
associated with this action. Before including your address, phone
number, email address, or other personal identifying information in
your comment, you should be aware that the entire comment--including
your personal identifying information--may be made publicly available
at any time. While you can ask us in your comment to withhold your
personal identifying information from public review, we cannot
guarantee that we will be able to do so. All submissions from
organizations or businesses, and from individuals identifying
themselves as representatives or officials of organizations or
businesses, will be made available for public disclosure in their
entirety.
Dated: October 29, 2018.
Andrea Travnicek,
Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary, Water and Science, Exercising the
authority of the Assistant Secretary for Fish and Wildlife and Parks.
[FR Doc. 2018-24718 Filed 11-9-18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-55-P