Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Arkansas; Revisions to Minor New Source Review Program, 30553-30570 [2018-13942]
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Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 126 / Friday, June 29, 2018 / Rules and Regulations
D. Federalism and Indian Tribal
Governments
A rule has implications for federalism
under Executive Order 13132,
Federalism, if it has a substantial direct
effect on the States, on the relationship
between the national government and
the States, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government. We have
analyzed this rule under that Order and
have determined that it is consistent
with the fundamental federalism
principles and preemption requirements
described in Executive Order 13132.
Also, this rule does not have tribal
implications under Executive Order
13175, Consultation and Coordination
with Indian Tribal Governments,
because it does not have a substantial
direct effect on one or more Indian
tribes, on the relationship between the
Federal Government and Indian tribes,
or on the distribution of power and
responsibilities between the Federal
Government and Indian tribes. If you
believe this rule has implications for
federalism or Indian tribes, please
contact the person listed in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section.
E. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
The Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (2 U.S.C. 1531–1538) requires
Federal agencies to assess the effects of
their discretionary regulatory actions. In
particular, the Act addresses actions
that may result in the expenditure by a
State, local, or tribal government, in the
aggregate, or by the private sector of
$100,000,000 (adjusted for inflation) or
more in any one year. Though this rule
will not result in such an expenditure,
we do discuss the effects of this rule
elsewhere in this preamble.
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F. Environment
We have analyzed this rule under
Department of Homeland Security
Directive 023–01 and Commandant
Instruction M16475.1D, which guide the
Coast Guard in complying with the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969(42 U.S.C. 4321–4370f), and have
determined that this action is one of a
category of actions that do not
individually or cumulatively have a
significant effect on the human
environment. This rule involves a safety
zone lasting approximately three hours
that will prohibit entry within 350 feet
of a break wall at Kentucky Dam Marina
in Gilbertsville, KY. It is categorically
excluded from further review under
paragraph L60(a) of Appendix A, Table
1 of DHS Instruction Manual 023–01–
001–01, Rev. 01. A Record of
Environmental Consideration
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supporting this determination is
available in the docket where indicated
under ADDRESSES.
the enforcement period for the safety
zone as well as the date and time of
enforcement.
G. Protest Activities
Dated: June 19, 2018.
M.B. Zamperini,
Captain, U.S. Coast Guard, Captain of the
Port Sector Ohio Valley.
The Coast Guard respects the First
Amendment rights of protesters.
Protesters are asked to contact the
person listed in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section to
coordinate protest activities so that your
message can be received without
jeopardizing the safety or security of
people, places or vessels.
List of Subjects in 33 CFR Part 165
Harbors, Marine safety, Navigation
(water), Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Security measures,
Waterways.
For the reasons discussed in the
preamble, the Coast Guard amends 33
CFR part 165 as follows:
PART 165—REGULATED NAVIGATION
AREAS AND LIMITED ACCESS AREAS
1. The authority citation for part 165
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 33 U.S.C. 1231; 50 U.S.C. 191;
33 CFR 1.05–1, 6.04–1, 6.04–6, and 160.5;
Department of Homeland Security Delegation
No. 0170.1.
2. Add § 165.T08–0239 to read as
follows:
■
§ 165.T08–0239 Safety Zone; Tennessee
River, Gilbertsville, KY.
(a) Location. The following area is a
safety zone: All navigable waters of the
Tennessee River at mile marker (MM) 23
within a 350-foot radius from the
fireworks launch site on the Kentucky
Dam Marina break wall in Gilbertsville,
KY.
(b) Effective date. This section is
effective from 6:50 p.m. through 10:10
p.m. on June 30, 2018.
(c) Regulations. (1) In accordance with
the general regulations in § 165.23 of
this part, entry into this zone is
prohibited unless authorized by the
Captain of the Port Sector Ohio Valley
(COTP) or a designated representative.
(2) Persons or vessels desiring to enter
into or pass through the zone must
request permission from the COTP or a
designated representative. They may be
contacted on VHF–FM Channel 16 or by
phone at 1–800–253–7465.
(3) If permission is granted, all
persons and vessels must transit at their
slowest safe speed and comply with all
lawful directions issued by the COTP or
a designated representative.
(d) Informational broadcasts. The
COTP or a designated representative
will inform the public through
Broadcast Notice to Mariners (BNMs) of
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[FR Doc. 2018–14020 Filed 6–28–18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 9110–04–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R06–OAR–2017–0435; FRL–9979–
15—Region 6]
Approval and Promulgation of
Implementation Plans; Arkansas;
Revisions to Minor New Source Review
Program
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
Pursuant to the Federal Clean
Air Act (CAA or the Act), the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)
is approving revisions to the Arkansas
State Implementation Plan (SIP) minor
New Source Review (NSR) program
submitted on July 26, 2010, and March
24, 2017, including supplemental
information provided on November 30,
2015, May 26, 2016, July 5, 2017, July
27, 2017, and March 16, 2018.
Specifically, we are proposing to
approve revisions that revise the minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis levels, as well as, additional
non-substantive revisions contained in
those submittals. This final action is
consistent with the requirements of
section 110 of the CAA.
DATES: This rule is effective on July 30,
2018.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a
docket for this action under Docket ID
No. EPA–R06–OAR–2017–0435. All
documents in the docket are listed on
the https://www.regulations.gov website.
Although listed in the index, some
information is not publicly available,
e.g., Confidential Business Information
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other
material, such as copyrighted material,
is not placed on the internet and will be
publicly available only in hard copy
form. Publicly available docket
materials are available either
electronically through https://
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the EPA Region 6, 1445 Ross Avenue,
Suite 700, Dallas, Texas 75202–2733.
SUMMARY:
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FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Ashley Mohr, 214–665–7289,
mohr.ashley@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Throughout this document ‘‘we,’’ ‘‘us,’’
and ‘‘our’’ means the EPA.
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I. Background
The background for this action is
discussed in detail in our September 18,
2017 proposal (82 FR 43506). In that
document we proposed to approve
revisions to the Arkansas SIP submitted
on July 26, 2010, and March 24, 2017,
including supplemental information
submitted on November 30, 2015, May
26, 2016, July 5, 2017, July 27, 2017,
and March 16, 2018. The revisions
addressed in our proposal included
revisions to the Arkansas minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
levels, as well as, additional revisions to
the minor NSR provisions that are
considered to be non-substantive.
We received one set of comments on
the proposal. The full text of the
comment letter received during the
public comment period, which closed
on October 18, 2017, is included in the
publicly posted docket associated with
this action at www.regulations.gov.
Below the EPA provides a summary of
the comments received and
corresponding responses.
II. Response to Comments
Comment: The commenter stated that
the revised minor NSR rule fails to
provide legally enforceable procedures
to ensure new sources that could
interfere with NAAQS attainment or
maintenance or violate the control
strategy won’t be allowed to construct.
More specifically, they stated that the
minor NSR program does not explain
how ‘‘actual emissions’’ are to be
determined for a new source with no
operational history. To the extent that
Arkansas Department of Environmental
Quality (ADEQ) determined
applicability for new sources based on
projected actual emissions, then the rule
could ultimately allow sources with
emissions greater than the permitting
thresholds to construct without a permit
and without evaluation of air quality
impacts by a new source
underestimating emission factors and/or
operating parameters and exceeding
those projected emissions after its
construction. Therefore, the commenter
stated it is unclear what size of sources
could ultimately end up exempt from
Arkansas’ minor NSR program. The
commenter claims that because of the
noted deficiencies there is a problem
with any attempt to determine whether
the revised minor NSR rule’s
applicability thresholds are set to the
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appropriate level to ensure the state
meets the applicable federal
requirements found in CAA section
110(a)(2)(C) and 40 CFR 51.160(b).
Response: This comment is not
relevant to our current rulemaking. As
shown in Section IV of the Technical
Support Document that accompanied
our proposed approval action, our
rulemaking only addresses revisions to
the permitting thresholds values
contained in Reg. 19.401. The
applicability determination for the
minor NSR program and its reliance on
‘‘actual emissions’’ was not revised by
Arkansas as part of the July 26, 2010, or
May 24, 2017 SIP revision submittals.
Therefore, the applicability
determination as originally SIPapproved October 16, 2000 (65 FR
61103) remains unchanged, is not a part
of this rulemaking, and any comment on
it is not relevant to the current
rulemaking.
While the comments regarding the
applicability determination basis are not
relevant to this rulemaking, we will
respond to the commenter’s assertion
that any attempt to determine if the
revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds meet the referenced federal
requirements is problematic. We do not
agree with this statement. As outlined in
our proposed rulemaking, we evaluated
several analyses submitted by Arkansas
in support of the revised thresholds,
including an emissions inventory
analysis, a monitoring trends analysis,
and a modeling analysis. Based on our
evaluation of those analyses along with
the SIP revisions submittals
documentation (found in the Technical
Support Document (TSD)), we find that
the proposed thresholds will meet
applicable federal requirements and not
interfere with NAAQS attainment or
maintenance or violate the control
strategy. As required by Reg. 19.401, a
source with actual emissions greater
than the applicability thresholds would
be required to obtain a permit and is
subject to enforcement action if the
source fails to do so. The emissions
from a new source to be compared with
the permitting thresholds would be
based on controlled emission factors
and projected operations (hours of
operation and/or amounts of material
processed). This approach allows
permitting applicability to be based on
emissions that are close to actual
emissions. The regulation specifically
does not allow construction and
operation of sources with actual
emissions in excess of the thresholds,
and any source that did underestimate
their emissions and exceed the
emissions thresholds would be in
violation of the regulations and beyond
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the scope of the analyses conducted to
demonstrate the regulation’s compliance
with applicable federal requirements for
minor NSR programs.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the rule exempting de minimis changes
at existing sources from permitting fails
to provide legally enforceable
procedures to ensure that modified
sources that could interfere with
NAAQS attainment or maintenance or
violate the control strategy won’t be
allowed to construct. More specifically,
they stated a physical change or change
in the method of operation at a source
with no existing permit has no existing
‘‘permitted rates’’ to compare ‘‘proposed
permitted rates’’ to, and the rule does
not explain how applicability is
determined in such cases and the rule
does not clearly say that it applies only
to sources with existing permits. In
addition, the commenter stated that Reg.
19 does not clearly require a permit
application for de minimis changes.
Therefore, they claim that de minimis
exemptions rule does not meet the
requirements of 40 CFR 51.160(a) of
providing legally enforceable
procedures.
Response: We do not agree that the
applicability of the de minimis changes
rule to existing sources with no permits
is unclear. The de minimis change
provisions are found in paragraph C of
Reg. 19.407 of Arkansas’ ‘‘Minor Source
Review’’ regulation (Reg. 19, Chapter 4).
Reg. 19.407 is titled ‘‘Permit
Amendments’’ and as stated in our
original 2000 approval of Reg. 19.407
(65 FR 26795; finalized at 65 FR 61103),
this section describes the procedures for
amending a permit. Because Reg. 19.407
describes permit amendments,
including de minimis changes, these
provisions are not applicable to a source
that does not have a permit. Existing
sources with no existing permit would
be subject to the minor NSR permitting
thresholds found in Reg. 19.401 under
the ‘‘General Applicability’’ section to
determine if the source was subject to
minor NSR permitting requirements. In
addition to the clarity provided in the
rule itself, the current ‘‘Air Application
Instructions for Registrations, Minor
Source Permits, or Title V Permits’’
made available on ADEQ’s air
permitting website also indicates that de
minimis applications are for ‘‘small
modifications to a permit.’’ (Pg. 5) 1 Page
12 of the application instructions
reiterates the applicability of the de
1 Air Application Instructions available online at:
https://www.adeq.state.ar.us/downloads/
WebDatabases/Air/PermitData/
Forms%20and%20Instructions/
Form%20and%20Instructions/Air_Permit_
Application_Forms_Instructions.pdf.
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Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 126 / Friday, June 29, 2018 / Rules and Regulations
minimis rule and states that a de
minimis application ‘‘applies to
facilities having a current air permits
[sic].’’ Much like the de minimis change
provisions in the rule, it is clear based
on ADEQ’s current air permit
application guidance that the de
minimis change rule only applies to
existing permitted facilities and not new
facilities.
The portion of the comment raised
regarding permit application
requirements for de minimis changes is
not relevant to our current rulemaking.
As shown in Section IV of the Technical
Support Document that accompanied
our proposed action, our rulemaking
only addresses revisions related to de
minimis changes that are found in Reg.
19.407(C)(2)(a) and (b). Permit
application requirements, which are
found in Reg. 19.404, are currently SIPapproved and were not revised as part
of the July 26, 2010, or May 24, 2017 SIP
revision submittals under review in this
rulemaking. Similarly, Reg. 19.407(C)(7)
was not revised in the 2010 or 2017 SIP
revision submittals. Therefore, the SIPapproved Reg. 19.404 and Reg.
19.407(C)(7) provisions as most-recently
approved on October 16, 2000 (65 FR
61103) and April 12, 2007 (72 FR
18394), respectively, remain unchanged
and are not part of this rulemaking and
any comment on those provisions is not
relevant.
Comment: The commenter claims that
Arkansas has failed to adequately justify
the basis for its revised emission
thresholds for exempting new sources
and de minimis changes from its minor
NSR program. They state that 40 CFR
51.160(e) requires states to identify the
types and sizes of sources subject to its
minor NSR program and to explain the
basis for determining which facilities
are subject to review. ADEQ’s
justification for the emission thresholds
adopted in its minor NSR program for
Reg. 19, Chapter 4, was essentially that
these tons per year thresholds were the
same thresholds identified as ‘‘de
minimis’’ under major NSR permitting
programs. However, there has been no
analysis with current modeling
techniques that the major NSR
significance levels are adequate to
ensure a modified source won’t interfere
with the attainment or maintenance of
all of the various current NAAQS,
which differ in stringency from the
NAAQS applicable at the time the PSD
significant emission rates were
developed. The commenter also stated
that the AERMOD (dispersion) modeling
results, which they believe
underestimate actual impacts, indicate
that the pollutant concentrations
resulting from the emissions exempt
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from permitting based on the revised
thresholds are significantly higher than
4% of the NAAQS, which was a
threshold for the EPA’s analyses from
1980, 1987, and 2008 for demonstrating
that the significant emission levels were
de minimis to the PSD program.
Response: We do not agree with this
comment. Although ADEQ did include
the data referenced by the commenter in
their initial 2010 SIP revision submittal,
the basis for ADEQ’s findings regarding
the appropriateness of the revised
thresholds was different and they also
provided additional analyses to
demonstrate the scope of the exempt
sources and modifications resulting
from the revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis change
levels and to demonstrate that the
revised thresholds will not interfere
with attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS. These analyses were included
in their entirety in the March 24, 2017
SIP revision submittal and included: (1)
An emissions inventory analysis that
determined the percentage of the total
statewide emissions that were to be
exempt under the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels; (2) a monitoring trends
analysis that included a review of the
current status of ambient air quality, as
well as, the impacts of the revised
thresholds on ambient concentration
monitoring trends in the state of
Arkansas; and (3) a modeling analysis
that included photochemical and
dispersion modeling analyses that
evaluated the impacts of the revised
thresholds through model predicted
results. The air quality modeling
analysis report included in Appendix D
of the March 24, 2017 SIP submittal
describes the modeling approach used
by ADEQ as part of the demonstration
showing that the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels will not adversely impact
the current NAAQS. Based on our
review of the modeling analysis, which
did use current air quality modeling
techniques, and the other analyses
completed by ADEQ, we found that the
impacts resulting from the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds and
de minimis levels would not interfere
with the state’s ability to maintain
compliance with the NAAQS.
As discussed in the Technical
Support Document accompanying our
proposed action, ADEQ conducted both
regional scale photochemical modeling
using CMAQ and local-scale dispersion
modeling using AERMOD to examine
the predicted impacts from sources or
de minimis changes that would be
exempt from minor NSR permitting
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based on the revised thresholds.2 ADEQ
employed this combined modeling
approach in an effort to look at both
regional and local scale impacts from
emissions equal to the revised
thresholds for VOC, NOX, SO2, CO,
PM10, and PM2.5. In both the regionaland local-scale modeling analyses,
ADEQ modeled hypothetical sources
with emissions equal to the minor NSR
permitting and de minimis change
thresholds and stack parameters set
equal to median values based on the
2011 National Emissions Inventory
(NEI) for Arkansas sources. As part of
photochemical modeling, the maximum
CMAQ-derived impacts on daily
maximum 8-hour ozone, 24-hour PM2.5,
annual average PM2.5, 1-hour NO2, 1hour SO2, and 24-hour PM10 were
calculated. The statewide maximum
impacts for each day resulting from the
hypothetical sources was added to the
unmodified future year concentration
for each day and grid cell. The resulting
concentrations represented the worstcase ambient concentrations including
impacts from the threshold emission
increases at any location in Arkansas.
These worst-case ambient
concentrations were then used to
calculate relative response factors
(RRFs) to estimate future design values
(FDVs) at both monitored and
unmonitored locations throughout
Arkansas.3 4 The FDVs were compared
with FDVs without the thresholds
increase impacts, as well as, the NAAQS
in an effort to determine whether
emissions increases less than the minor
NSR thresholds would cause or
2 See Pages 31–32 of the EPA’s Technical Support
Document dated August 24, 2017, which discusses
the air quality modeling analyses that were
completed by ADEQ in support of the submitted
SIP revisions. In addition to the TSD, additional
details regarding the modeling analyses are located
in the modeling report submitted as part of the
March 24, 2017 SIP revisions submittal, which
outlines modeling tools and techniques utilized by
Arkansas along with the results from the modeling
analyses. (ADEQ’s modeling report located in the
‘‘ADEQ 2010 Minor NSR Permitting Thresholds and
De Minimis Levels SIP Revision—Technical
Support Document’’ dated November 2015,)
3 A RRF is the ratio of future case modeled
concentrations to base case modeled
concentrations, which is used to quantify the
relative impacts of the emissions added to the
model. In the photochemical modeling conducted
by ADEQ, the base case modeled concentrations are
taken from the 2015 modeling without the
hypothetical sources added while the future case
modeling results are taken from the 2015 modeling
plus the 8 modeled hypothetical sources. Therefore,
the RRFs calculated in this modeling analysis
quantify the relative impacts from the additional
emissions from the hypothetical sources that would
be exempt from permitting based on the new
thresholds/de minimis levels.
4 RRFs can be used to estimate FDVs, which are
determined by applying the RRF ratios to monitored
design values from the base year taken from
ambient monitoring data.
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contribute to NAAQS violations or
potentially interfere with NAAQS
maintenance. Similar to the regionalscale photochemical modeling, the
hypothetical sources modeling in the
near-field dispersion modeling analysis
were modeled with emission rates equal
to the minor NSR permitting thresholds
and de minimis levels and stack
parameters were set equal to median
stack parameter based on the 2011 NEI
data. The maximum AERMOD-derived
impacts on daily maximum 1-hr NO2,
annual average NO2, daily maximum 1hour SO2, daily maximum 1-hour CO,
daily maximum 8-hour average CO, and
24-hour average PM10 were calculated
for each air quality control region. The
daily AERMOD-derived concentrations
were added to the CMAQ-derived
concentrations for the same location,
using the CMAQ values as
‘‘background.’’ ADEQ stated that the
values determined for the statewide
daily maximum impacts are expected to
represent the near-field concentrations
assuming worst-case impacts from
threshold emission increases at a range
of locations through Arkansas. The daily
maximum worst case AERMOD impacts
were added to the unmodified future
year concentration for each day and grid
cell. The resulting concentrations
represented the worst-case ambient
concentrations including impacts from
the threshold emission increases at any
location in Arkansas. Similar to the
CMAQ-only modeling analysis, the
worse-case modeled impacts were used
to calculate RRFs and FDVs. The
calculated FDVs were compared with
the original unmodified FDVs and the
NAAQS in order to examine the
potential impacts of the proposed minor
NSR threshold emissions on NAAQS
attainment and maintenance. The
modeling conducted by Arkansas
utilized current air quality modeling
techniques to demonstrate that the
predicted impacts resulting from
emissions at or below the revised minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels, which happen to
be equal in magnitude to the major NSR
significance levels, will not interfere
with the attainment or maintenance of
the NAAQS current in effect at the time
of the analysis—including those that
were not applicable at the time the PSD
significant emission rates were
developed.
Further, the entirety of the additional
analyses provided by ADEQ in the
March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal,
including the NAAQS non-interference
modeling demonstration, was the basis
of the EPA’s finding that the revised
thresholds were approvable. As such, a
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linkage to the PSD significant emission
rate values and/or comparison of
modeled impacts to percentage
thresholds relied upon during the EPA’s
development of the significant emission
rates in 1980, 1987, and 2008 for the
PSD program was not applicable to our
proposed approval of the revised minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis levels. Elsewhere in this final
rulemaking, we have addressed the
comments specifically made regarding
the modeling techniques used by
Arkansas and restated our finding that
those techniques were reasonable and
appropriate for the NAAQS noninterference demonstration required by
CAA section 110(l).
Comment: The commenter stated that
modified major sources exempted from
major source permitting under the PSD
program will also be exempt from minor
source permitting under Arkansas’ de
minimis changes rule and that the
revised minor NSR program will not
pick up the slack and ensure protection
of the NAAQS as was intended when
EPA promulgated the 2002 revisions to
the major source NSR rules.
Response: The commenter is incorrect
that modifications to existing PSD major
sources, which are exempt from PSD
permitting, would be exempt from
minor source permitting under the de
minimis change rule. As discussed
below, any change at an existing major
NSR source (PSD source) is prohibited
from using the de minimis change
process because the de minimis change
rule at Reg. 19.407(C) is located in
Chapter 4 of Reg. 19, which does not
apply to PSD sources or any
modifications at those sources.
The SIP-approved Arkansas NSR
program is comprised of two types of
review: ‘‘Minor Source Review’’ and
‘‘Major Source Review’’. Arkansas
operates a so-called ‘‘merged, one
permit’’ system, which is divided into
these two types of review based on
whether a source is required to obtain
a title V operating permit. As such,
‘‘Minor Source Review’’, which is
contained in Reg. 19, Chapter 4, applies
only to those sources that are not subject
to title V permitting and require only a
title I NSR authorization.5 All sources
that are subject to title V, which would
include PSD sources, are subject to
5 As stated in our original SIP approval of Chapter
4, ‘‘[a] minor source is any source which does not
meet the requirements of a major source. The Act
in section 302(j) defines the terms ‘‘major stationary
source’’ and ‘‘major emitting facility’’ as ‘‘any
stationary facility of source of air pollutants which
directly emits, or has the potential to emit, one
hundred tons per year of more of any air pollutant
(including any major emitting facility or source of
fugitive emissions of any such pollutant, as
determined by rule by the Administrator).’’
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‘‘Major Source Review’’ under Reg. 26
provisions incorporated by reference in
Reg. 19, Chapter 11. Therefore, all
permitting at PSD sources, including all
modifications, would be subject to Reg.
19, Chapter 11 ‘‘Major Source Review’’
under the Arkansas NSR permitting
program and cannot use the de minimis
change provisions, which are limited to
‘‘Minor Source Review’’ in Chapter 4.
Only those non-title V sources that are
minor under the SIP-approved
definition of minor source may qualify
for the de minimis change exemption
found in Reg. 19.407(C). As discussed in
our proposed rulemaking and the
accompanying TSD, the emissions
inventory analysis for the de minimis
changes found that the scope of changes
expected to qualify for the de minimis
change exemption is very small with
emissions associated with those
exempted changes making up a fraction
of a percent of statewide emissions. The
range of percentage of statewide
emissions for the pollutants determined
in the emissions inventory analysis for
de minimis changes was 0.0005% to
0.019%. At these levels it would require
over 50 times the NOX emissions
authorized in 2016 to approach 1% of
the statewide emissions and over 300
times the emissions for the other
pollutants.
The state did not rely solely on the
emissions inventory analysis to
demonstrate NAAQS compliance. This
emissions inventory analysis was
coupled with additional analyses
specifically looking at ambient
concentrations (monitoring trends
analysis) and potential ambient impacts
(modeling analysis) that were completed
by ADEQ as part of the 110(l)
demonstration. The results from the
modeling analysis indicate that while
the addition of the exempt emissions
did result in slight increases in the
model predicted impacts, it did not
violate the NAAQS. As such, the
modeling analysis portion of the 110(l)
demonstration shows that revised minor
NSR program will continue to ensure
NAAQS protection.
EPA’s intent at the time of
promulgation of the 2002 revisions to
the major source NSR rules is not
relevant here. What is relevant here is
the approvability of these revisions in
the context of the current regulatory
framework as promulgated. The
commenter has not cited any ambiguous
regulatory language in order to justify an
examination of EPA’s intent. In the
absence of any ambiguity in regulatory
language it is not necessary to address
EPA’s intent here as there is no dispute
regarding interpretation on the
applicable rules.
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Comment: The commenter stated that
EPA has previously required minor NSR
programs to use much smaller emission
thresholds than the major modification
significant impact levels and gave the
example of the Montana minor NSR
program includes a de minimis increase
exemption threshold of 5 TPY, which
was approved by EPA, after a 15 TPY
threshold that was initially set by
Montana was not approved by EPA into
the SIP.
Response: In the case of Montana,
which was referenced by the
commenter, the state did not provide an
adequate demonstration to support the
approval of the 15 TPY exemption
threshold that was initially established
by the state into the SIP. The state later
revised the threshold to 5 TPY and
submitted this threshold for SIP
approval along with an analysis to show
that the 5 TPY exemption would not
interfere with NAAQS attainment or
maintenance or violate the control
strategy. Based on the revised submittal
and supporting information, EPA
approved the lower threshold of 5 TPY
into the Montana SIP. Our proposed
approval of the de minimis change
levels in Arkansas does not contradict
the previous Montana approval. In fact,
our proposed approval mirrors the
Montana SIP approval in that we
requested analyses from Arkansas as
part of the 110(l) demonstration for the
revised de minimis change levels and
our approval is based on those analyses
as documented in the proposed
rulemaking. Specifically, we found that
Arkansas’ documentation adequately
demonstrates that these revised
thresholds will not interfere with
NAAQS compliance. Our approval of
one de minimis exemption threshold
level in one state does not preclude the
approval of a different threshold in
another state. Each state’s universe of
minor NSR sources, meteorology, and
ambient air quality conditions are
unique and influence the types of
exemptions that would not interfere
with the minor NSR program’s ability to
meet the applicable federal
requirements.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the de minimis change rule contradicts
with how applicability is determined
under PSD permitting requirements and
thus fails to ensure projects that should
be required to obtain a PSD permit will
not be instead considered a de minimis
change under Reg. 19.407(C). They also
state that EPA must disapprove the
current submittal and require Arkansas
to revise its de minimis rule and
relevant definitions rule to clearly state
that changes that are considered major
modifications under the PSD permitting
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regulations cannot be considered as de
minimis changes. Without such
language clearly stated, the Arkansas
minor NSR program could allow sources
that would otherwise be subject to PSD
permitting to improperly avoid major
source PSD permitting requirements for
a major modification. The commenter
also states that EPA must disapprove the
version of Reg. 19.407(C) currently
approved into the SIP which EPA has
reopened with this action to the extent
the provisions could interfere with
compliance with the PSD permitting
regulations.
Response: We agree with the
commenter that changes that are
considered major modifications under
the PSD permitting regulations cannot
be considered as de minimis changes.
However, the commenter is incorrect
that the revisions to the de minimis
change provisions will interfere with
proper implementation of the PSD
permitting requirements. As previously
stated in our responses, the de minimis
change rules contained in Chapter 4 of
Reg. 19 cannot be used for any changes
at PSD sources/modifications.
Therefore, our proposed approval of
revisions to Chapter 4, including the de
minimis change rule, will not impact
PSD permitting implementation.
Changes that are considered major
would be subject to permitting under
Reg. 26 is incorporated by reference in
Chapter 11, which utilizes an actual-toprojected actual test for modifications to
existing units and an actual-to-potential
test for new units, are not exempted
from the requirements of Chapter 11 by
the provisions we are approving in this
rulemaking. As noted in Section IV of
the TSD, we are not taking action on any
portion of Chapter 11 and the
requirements of that chapter, which
mainly incorporate by reference the
requirements of the federal PSD
program at 40 CFR 52.21, remain in
effect.
Regarding the commenter’s statement
that EPA should take action to
disapprove Reg. 19.407(C) as it is
currently approved into the SIP, aside
from the revisions to 407(C)(2)(a) and
407(C)(2)(b) which are clearly annotated
in Section IV of the TSD, the other
portions of Reg. 19.407 are not being
revised by our current rulemaking.6
Therefore, the other SIP-approved
portions of Reg. 19.407 will remain
unchanged by our rulemaking. As
previously stated in our responses, any
comment on provisions that are not
being revised as part of our rulemaking
6 Reg. 407(C)(2)(a) and (b) contain the de minimis
change emissions and air quality impacts
thresholds.
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is irrelevant to this action. Further, our
current rulemaking does not reopen the
current SIP-approved and unchanged
provisions for any action, including
disapproval.
Comment: The commenter stated that
because the minor NSR revisions could
allow for increased deterioration in air
quality over PSD baseline concentration
the EPA cannot approve such a SIP
revision without a demonstration that it
will not cause or contribute to a
violation of the applicable PSD
increment. The commenter listed the
following as chances for increased
deterioration resulting from the SIP
revision: (1) The minor NSR SIP
revisions submitted by ADEQ allow for
an increase in allowable emission rates
to occur under the de minimis
provisions of Reg. 19.407(C)(7); (2) Reg.
19.417 allows sources currently holding
permits pursuant to Reg. 19 but whose
emissions are below the permitting
thresholds to submit a registration
request under Reg. 18.315, which is a
state-only rule and not part of the SIP,
and request that their permit containing
federally enforceable requirements be
terminated; and (3) to the extent ADEQ
ensures compliance with the PSD
increment as part of its minor NSR
program, the relaxation in the sizes of
sources and modifications subject to
minor NSR permitting also could allow
increased deterioration of air quality
above baseline concentration. The
commenter also stated that the modeling
analysis provided by ADEQ to support
approval of the minor NSR relaxations
included violations of the Class I and
Class II PM10 increments that were
predicted due to the increased
emissions thresholds that would exempt
from minor NSR review under the
proposed SIP revision, which indicates
that an unpermitted source pursuant to
the expanded exemptions from
Arkansas’ minor NSR could cause an
exceedance of the PM10 increment. The
commenter also stated that pursuant to
CAA section 110(l) and 40 CFR
51.166(a)(2), EPA cannot approve a SIP
submittal which admittedly allows a
violation of the PSD increments.
Response: We agree with the
commenter that the revisions to the
Arkansas minor NSR program do allow
larger increases in allowable emissions
to be authorized via the de minimis
change rule by increasing the de
minimis change thresholds. We also
agree that the revisions allow currently
permitted sources with emissions that
fall between the old minor NSR
permitting thresholds and the revised
permitting thresholds to submit a
registration under Reg. 18.315 and
request that their Reg. 19 permit be
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terminated. However, the applicable
legal test for determining approvability
of these revisions, which revise the
minor NSR program so that it becomes
less stringent, is the requirement of CAA
section 110(l), EPA cannot approve a
revision to the SIP if it interferes with
applicable requirements of the Act. The
PSD increment requirement found at 40
CFR 51.166(a)(2) is inapplicable here
because it is required to be met by a
major source/major modification
application, not a minor NSR permitting
application. The major source/major
modification application must show
that the PSD increment is not violated
and the applicant’s modeling must
include the emissions from all of the
nearby minor sources, as well as any
other nearby major sources. If the major
source/major modification modeling
shows the PSD increment will be
violated by the proposed construction/
modification, then the major source/
major modification must reduce its
requested emissions or obtain
reductions from the other sources
impacting the increment. Because the
burden of not violating the PSD
increment is placed on the source
subject to PSD, the PSD increment
requirement does not apply to a minor
NSR permitting SIP. As stated
previously in our responses to the
commenter, the PSD increment
requirements are contained in the PSD
rules under 40 CFR 51.166 and apply
only to sources subject to PSD. They do
not apply to minor sources. Therefore,
an increment analysis would only be
required to be completed as part of a
PSD permitting action (Reg. 19, Chapter
9) and would be a separate analysis than
that completed as part of the NAAQS
demonstration. Further, the air quality
modeling that was conducted by
Arkansas was conducted for NAAQS
compliance demonstration purposes as
part of the 110(l) non-interference
demonstration. (See the March 24, 2017
SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D—
Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permit Thresholds.) Because the
PSD increment analysis and NAAQS
analysis serve separate and distinct
purposes, these analyses use different
modeling approaches and often different
model inputs. Therefore, a modeling
demonstration conducted for NAAQS
compliance cannot be relied upon to
make a modeled PSD increment analysis
determination, such as if a PSD
increment violation exists. Therefore,
we do not agree with the commenter
that the NAAQS modeling indicates that
the proposed SIP revision allows a
violation of the PSD increments. We
also do not agree that the modeled PM10
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impacts exceed the referenced
increments because the state’s modeling
analysis did not include a PSD
increment analysis for comparison with
the PSD increments to determine if a
predicted exceedance occurred. In
addition, we reiterate that a PSD
increment analysis is not necessary as
part of a 110(l) analysis to support
revisions to a minor NSR permitting
program, since the federal PSD
increment analysis requirement at 40
CFR 51.166(a)(2) is not applicable to
minor NSR programs.
Comment: The commenter stated that
a comparison of emissions that could be
exempt from the relaxed minor NSR
with total statewide emissions across
the state of more than 53,000 square
miles does not give any indication of
whether the exempted emissions would
interfere with attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS or
increments. As such, the commenter
stated that the emissions comparison
analysis does not provide information
relevant to whether the relaxations to
Arkansas’ minor NSR program will
interfere with attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS or any other
CAA requirement.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that the emissions inventory
analysis for the emissions exempt from
minor NSR permitting based on the
revised permitting thresholds does not
provide information that is relevant to
the 110(l) analysis. This analysis serves
to determine the scope, or portion of
emissions that would not undergo
minor NSR permitting requirements
relative to the statewide emissions. The
approach to determine the scope is
independent of the physical size of the
state since the emissions inventory
analysis was conducted to compare
exempt emissions with the statewide
emissions inventory. As detailed in our
proposed rulemaking the scope of
emissions anticipated to be exempt from
minor NSR permitting by the revised
permitting thresholds was minimal. The
pollutant-based emissions inventory
analysis showed that the scope of
emissions exempt from permitting based
on the revised permitting thresholds
ranged from 0.006% to 0.125% of the
total statewide emissions. This analysis
clearly demonstrates that the magnitude
of emissions that would be exempt from
minor NSR permitting program makes
up an extremely small portion of the
statewide emissions. The state did not
rely solely on the emissions inventory
analysis to demonstrate NAAQS
compliance. This emissions inventory
analysis was coupled with additional
analyses specifically looking at ambient
concentrations (monitoring trends
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analysis) and potential ambient impacts
(modeling analysis) that were completed
by ADEQ as part of the 110(l)
demonstration. The modeling trends
analysis looked specifically at the
current status of ambient air quality and
the trends in ambient concentrations
since the 2008 state adoption and ongoing implementation of the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds. The
modeling analysis examined the
potential impacts of the exempt
emissions on ambient air quality via
local and regional air quality modeling.
(See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revisions
Submittal Appendix C—2010 Minor
NSR Permitting Thresholds and De
Minimis Levels SIP Technical Support
Document and Appendix D—Air
Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permitting Thresholds.
Monitoring analysis is discussed on
pages 3–17 of Appendix C. Modeling
analysis is discussed on pages 17–25 of
Appendix C and pages 1–35 of
Appendix D.) Regarding interference
with increments, we previously
responded regarding the nonapplicability of PSD increment
requirements to the 110(l) analysis
completed for this rulemaking.
Comment: The commenter stated that
ADEQ’s emissions analysis was
incomplete because it analyzed sources
with allowable emissions less than the
emission thresholds of Reg. 19.401
when the exemptions for new sources
are not based on ‘‘allowable emissions,’’
but instead are based on ‘‘actual
emissions.’’ The commenter also
claimed the analysis was incomplete
because it does not project total
emissions that might be exempt from
minor NSR in the future and instead
reflects on sources that may request
permits to be revoked because they are
no longer subject to minor NSR
permitting requirements found in Reg.
19, Chapter 4.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that the emissions inventory
analysis conducted for the permitting
thresholds exemptions was incomplete.
In their analysis, ADEQ compiled a
complete list of all currently permitted
minor NSR sources and determined
which currently permitted sources
would not be required to obtain a permit
based on the revised permitting
thresholds. It is important to note that
this analysis included the review of all
currently permitted facilities in the
minor NSR program which spanned the
entirety of the program—meaning all
active minor NSR permits that had been
issued by ADEQ. EPA originally SIPapproved the Arkansas construction
permitting requirements in October
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1976 (effective November 1976).7 This
means that ADEQ looked at all minor
NSR permits that had ever been issued
and were still active. To determine the
percentage of emissions exempt from
permitting, the permitted emission rates
were totaled for each pollutant and
compared with the total emissions from
the statewide emissions inventory. The
state’s analysis based on the permitted
allowable emissions is more
conservative than the use of actual
emissions for those permitted sources
since they represent the maximum
permit allowable emissions for the
particular source. In most cases, the
actual emissions would be less than the
allowable emissions because of actual
operations at less than maximum levels
during a given calendar year and
because of non-operational periods that
may have taken place. If the state had
further refined their analysis to
determine the historical actual
emissions emitted by the currently
permitted sources which would not be
required to be permitted under the new
thresholds and compared the total
actual emissions with the total
statewide emissions inventory, the
actual emissions would be expected to
make up an even smaller fraction of the
total statewide emissions.
As stated above, Arkansas conducted
the emissions review as a part of the
110(l) demonstration to determine the
scope of emissions that were previously
subject to minor NSR permitting that
would be exempt from permitting under
the revised thresholds. As stated above,
Arkansas reviewed their entire minor
NSR permitting universe, which
included all active permits that had
historically been issued by ADEQ, to
determine the currently permitted
emissions that would be exempt from
minor NSR permitting under the revised
permitting thresholds.8 They found that
the magnitude of currently permitted
emissions that would be exempt from
minor NSR permitting was a fraction of
a percent of the total emissions in the
statewide emissions inventory. (The
range of calculated percentages by
pollutant was 0.006% to 0.125%.) While
emissions will be exempt in the future,
the emissions inventory analysis shows
the percentage of statewide emissions
that were exempt from permitting for
7 EPA originally approved the Arkansas
requirements for permitting the construction of new
and modified sources, which were contained in the
Regulation of Plan (ROP) Section 4—Permits, on
October 5, 1976, effective November 4, 1976. (41 FR
43904) EPA later approved the recodification of the
permitting requirements for minor sources from
ROP Section 4 into Regulation 19, Chapter 4—
Minor Source Review on October 26, 2000, effective
November 15, 2000. (65 FR 61103)
8 Ibid.
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the entire minor NSR program based on
the revised permitting thresholds
indicates that the magnitude of
emissions exempt from minor NSR
permitting in the future will continue to
make up a small fraction of the total
statewide emissions. In addition, the
state’s regulations require that a source
exempt from minor NSR permitting
based on the new revised permitting
thresholds but with emissions greater
than the previous thresholds obtain a
registration in accordance with Reg.
18.315, which allows ADEQ to keep
track of the sources exempt as a result
of the new thresholds. In addition to the
emissions inventory analysis, Arkansas
provided additional analyses, both
monitoring and modeling, to further
show the limited potential impacts of
the revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds. The monitoring analysis
examined statewide ambient air quality
data since the adoption of the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds in
2008 for CO, NOX, SO2, VOC, and PM10,
including the examination of trends in
design values (DVs). Since adoption of
the revised thresholds, the DVs remain
unchanged or show downward
thresholds since the 2008 adoption of
revised thresholds.9 The modeling
analysis included regional-scale
photochemical and local-scale air
dispersion modeling to examine the
potential impacts from emissions
exempt from minor NSR permitting
based on the revised thresholds. (See
the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision
Submittal, Appendix D—Air Quality
Modeling Analysis of Minor Source
Permit Thresholds.) As expected, both
the regional and local modeling
indicated some increases in model
predicted concentration as a result of
adding the exempt emissions into the
modeled emissions inventory. However,
for all pollutants and averaging period,
the resulting ambient concentrations
were less than the corresponding
NAAQS. As stated in our proposed
rulemaking, we find that the analyses
submitted by Arkansas as part of the
110(l) demonstration show that the
revised thresholds will not interfere
9 The Springdale ozone monitor was the only
exception and showed increased DVs since 2008.
ADEQ did further evaluation of the Springdale
monitor and determined that the increase in the
monitored ozone DVs at this monitor are likely due
to the increase in mobile emissions in the
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers MSA as a result of
rapid population growth in that area (population
grew by over 65,000 people in the 2007–2014
timeframe. The monitoring trends analysis included
in the March 24, 2017 SIP submittal indicated that
the 2012–2014 DV at the Springdale monitor was
67 ppb (as compared with the 2008 and 2015 O3
NAAQS of 75 and 70 ppb, respectively).
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30559
with attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS.10
Comment: The commenter stated that
the emissions inventory analysis of the
de minimis increases allowed (based on
the 2016 de minimis approvals) is not
persuasive because, the increased de
minimis thresholds have not yet been
approved as part of the SIP, and thus it
is not reasonable to assume that all
sources that might take advantage of this
rule did take advantage of this rule in
2016. The commenter also states that
because the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
levels have not been approved as part of
the SIP, the state cannot infer anything
in the monitoring trends analysis
regarding the impacts of the revised
minor NSR rules on air pollutant
concentrations from reviewing past
monitoring data and trends since it is
likely that sources would be unwilling
to rely on the revised values prior to SIP
approval.
Response: We do agree with the
commenter’s claims that the SIP
approval status of the revised minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels impacts the
validity or persuasiveness of the data
included in the emissions inventory and
monitoring trends analyses. While the
revised de minimis change rule
provisions are not approved into the
current Arkansas SIP, they are adopted
by the state into the state regulations
and thereby state law. The CAA requires
states to adopt, after reasonable notice
and public hearings, revised regulations
for submission to EPA as SIP revisions.
(See CAA 110(a)(1)). Since adoption of
the revised permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels into their states
regulations, Arkansas has been
implementing those revised levels
through the issuance of Reg. 18
registrations and de minimis change
approvals. Lookback information
regarding the historical de minimis
change approvals was specifically cited
in the emissions inventory analysis
portion of the 110(l) demonstration. The
calendar year (CY2016) de minimis
change approvals included approval
issued based on the revised thresholds
that were adopted as state law December
2008 (effective January 2009). ADEQ has
subsequently provided more
information regarding the number of
Reg. 18 registrations (issued to those
sources exempt from minor NSR
permitting with emissions that fall
within the old and revised permitting
10 EPA’s review of the monitoring and modeling
analyses is detailed in Pages 27–33 of the Technical
Support Document that accompanied our proposed
rulemaking and if available in the docket.
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thresholds) submitted and de minimis
change approvals issued since the
adoption of the revised regulations. This
additional lookback information clearly
indicates that sources have been
utilizing the revised thresholds—75
registrations have been submitted since
the permitting thresholds were revised
and 476 de minimis change actions have
taken place since 2010.11 Because state
law requires that if a source used either
the minor NSR permitting thresholds or
de minimis changes levels to avoid
minor NSR permitting the source must
submit the required registration (in
accordance with Reg. 19.417 and Reg.
18.315) or obtain the required approval
(in accordance with Reg. 19.407(C)(6)),
a source not accounted for in the
lookback information provided by
ADEQ would have been, and still is, in
violation of state law. Furthermore,
ADEQ has indicated that since the
adoption of the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels, they are not aware of any
instance where a source has been
unwilling to utilize the revised
thresholds because of the status of the
revisions with respect to the SIP.12
Based on the historical information
provided, we find that the data included
in the emissions inventory and
monitoring trends analyses is valid and
reflects the reality and do not agree with
the commenter that nothing can be
inferred from those analyses regarding
the impacts of the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
levels. Following adoption of the
revised permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels in 2008,
Arkansas began implementing the
revised provisions (at the owner or
operator’s own risk of federal
enforcement) to exempt qualifying
sources from minor NSR permitting
requirements. The persuasiveness of
data used in the monitoring trends
analysis is not dependent on the SIP
approval status.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the de minimis exemption is based on
a comparison of allowable emissions
increases, thus it could allow larger
increases in actual emissions than the
tpy emissions thresholds in Reg.
19.407(C). Thus, the commenter states
that any analysis, including the
11 The number of Reg. 18 registrations submitted
and de minimis change actions provided via emails
received from Ms. Tricia Treece, ADEQ, on July 5,
2017.
12 Information regarding source inquiries to
utilize SIP-approved thresholds instead of revised
thresholds provided during telephone discussion
between Ms. Ashley Mohr, EPA, and Mr. Thomas
Rheaume and Ms. Tricia Treece, ADEQ, on March
16, 2018.
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emissions inventory analysis, presented
by ADEQ about the thresholds is not
sufficient to ensure that the actual
emissions increases allowed by the de
minimis exemption will not threaten
NAAQS attainment or maintenance or
otherwise interfere with the control
strategy. Similarly, the commenter also
stated that the photochemical modeling
also did not model the true increase in
emissions that could be allowed—the
actual emissions increases resulting
from a de minimis change could be
significantly higher than the de minimis
levels and the actual emissions from a
new source could exceed projected
actuals that were used as a basis to
exempt the source from permitting.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that the emissions inventory
analysis and modeling analysis
provided by ADEQ is not sufficient to
support the proposed revisions to the de
minimis change levels. Also, we do not
agree with the commenters that the
analysis provided by Arkansas did not
model the true increase in emissions
that could be allowed under Arkansas’
relaxed minor NSR program (i.e., those
emissions exempt from minor NSR
permitting requirements based on the
revised permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels) under the
revised minor NSR program. As stated
in our proposed rulemaking, the de
minimis change levels listed in Reg.
19.407(C)(2)(a) are the maximum
increases in permitted emission rates
that can be exempt from minor NSR
permitting requirements via the de
minimis change rule. As such, to
demonstrate that the proposed SIP
revision resulting in revised de minimis
change levels will not interfere with
NAAQS compliance, it is reasonable
that the 110(l) demonstration should
evaluate the projected impacts resulting
from the maximum emission increases
allowed by the revised rule (i.e., the de
minimis change levels). As documented
in the modeling report submitted as part
of the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal, Arkansas did follow this
approach in their 110(l) demonstration
and evaluated the impacts resulting
from emission rates equal to the de
minimis change levels. (See the March
24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal,
Appendix D—Air Quality Modeling
Analysis of Minor Source Permit
Thresholds.) When a source seeks
authorization for a proposed change at
a facility via the de minimis change
provision, they are requesting
authorization specifically for the
increase in the permitting emission
rates. The previously permitted
emission rates underwent a previous
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minor NSR permitting review and were
demonstrated to be in compliance with
the NAAQS. Evaluation of emissions
accounted for in the pre-de minimis
change permitted emission rates, which
were previously authorized and
evaluated for NAAQS compliance under
an existing permit, are beyond the scope
of the 110(l) analysis for the revised de
minimis change levels. Therefore, a
NAAQS demonstration associated with
the potential impacts from a de minimis
change should be based on the
magnitude of increases in the permitted
emission rates, which are being
authorized via the de minimis change
rule. With respect to the photochemical
modeling, the purpose of the modeling
analysis submitted by Arkansas was to
demonstrate that those emissions
exempt from permitting based on the
revised thresholds would not cause a
NAAQS violation.
In the case of a new source that has
actual emissions in excess of the minor
NSR permitting thresholds without an
issued permit authorizing those
emissions, the source would be in
violation of the minor NSR permitting
requirements contained in Reg. 19,
Chapter 4, and they could be subject to
an enforcement action. For example, if
a source was initially constructed as a
seasonal source with emission below
the de minimis levels, it is exempt from
permitting. However, if the source’s
actual emissions rise above those levels
without first obtaining a permit, it
would be in violation of minor NSR. It
is reasonable (for the purposes of
demonstrating compliance with 110(l))
to assume a new source would be
required to obtain a permit to authorize
the emissions and demonstrate they will
not cause or contribute to a violation of
a NAAQS if they have actual emissions
above the minor NSR permitting
thresholds. Therefore, the scenarios
involving potentially violating sources
are not a reasonable scenario to be
included in an analysis conducted to
support the minor NSR permitting
thresholds.
In the case of a de minimis change,
the emissions exempt from minor NSR
permitting by the de minimis change
rule are the increases in the permitted
emission rates. For the de minimis
revisions to be approvable the analysis
should demonstrate that the increases in
the permitted emissions will not cause
a NAAQS violation. By modeling the
minor NSR permitting thresholds and
de minimis change levels for each
pollutant, Arkansas did evaluate the
prospective impacts associated with the
emission levels that could qualify for
exemption from minor NSR permitting
requirements under the revised rule.
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Comment: The commenter stated that
the analysis of the de minimis increases
allowed (based on the 2016 de minimis
approvals) is not persuasive because
2016 only reflects one year of
implementation and this rule will be in
effect for the foreseeable future.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that the emissions inventory
analysis for the de minimis changes is
not persuasive because it is limited to
2016. CY2016 provides a portion of time
when the revised thresholds were being
relied upon by owners and operators in
Arkansas. The review of emissions
associated with de minimis changes
limited to CY2016 found that the 2016
emissions inventory analysis shows the
percentage of statewide emissions
exempt by the de minimis change levels
in the range of 0.0005 to 0.019%. While
the analysis was limited to one calendar
year, as discussed in our proposal, at
these percentage levels it would require
over 50 times the NOX emissions
authorized in 2016 to approach 1% of
the statewide emissions and over 300
times the emissions for the other
pollutants. In addition, this analysis
conservatively did not account for any
emissions decreases occurring as part of
the approved de minimis changes. In
addition, the analysis for 2016 was
conservative in that it did not account
for emissions decreases that did occur
as part of the de minimis changes. We
believe that additional analysis beyond
one calendar year is unnecessary
because the CY2016 data, that did not
account for any associated emissions
decreases, shows that exempt emissions
makes up such a small fraction (much
less than 1% for all pollutants) of the
total statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter restates
that a comparison of emissions that
could be exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the revised de
minimis change levels with total
statewide emissions does not give any
indication of whether the exempt
emissions would interfere with
attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS because of the various factors
(such as: Stack parameters, operational
stages, topography, and meteorology)
that dictate ambient impacts. Because of
the variability of these factors between
sources, the commenter stated that the
fact that two sources have similar
annual emissions is not a rational basis
to claim that they have similar ambient
impacts.
Response: We do agree with the
commenter that a variety of factors may
dictate ambient impacts, and that
reliance on the state’s emissions
inventory analysis does not demonstrate
non-interference with the NAAQS.
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Instead, the emissions inventory
analysis serves to determine the scope,
or portion, of emissions that would not
undergo minor NSR permitting based on
the revised thresholds. However, the
state did not only rely upon the
emissions inventory analysis to
demonstrate NAAQS compliance. The
state addressed ambient concentrations
and potential ambient impacts by
looking specifically at the current status
of ambient air quality, the historical
ambient air quality trends since
adoption in 2008 and the on-going
implementation of the revised de
minimis levels, and the potential
impacts of the exempt emissions on
ambient air quality via local dispersion
(AERMOD) and regional photochemical
(CMAQ) air quality modeling. As
previously discussed in our responses,
the monitoring analysis shows that
since the adoption and implementation
of the revised permitting thresholds and
de minimis change levels the overall
trends in DVs are either unchanged or
decreasing. Meanwhile, the local and
regional modeling analyses show that
model predicted concentrations
resulting from the addition of the
emissions exempt from permitting
remain less than the NAAQS. (See the
March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal,
Appendix D—Air Quality Modeling
Analysis of Minor Source Permit
Thresholds.) While the emissions
inventory analysis served to determine
the scope, or portion of emissions that
would not undergo minor NSR
permitting requirements based on the
revised de minimis change levels
relative to the statewide emissions, the
monitoring and modeling analyses
completed as part of the 110(l) analysis
accounted for the various factors cited
by the commenter in evaluating the
impacts of the revised de minimis
levels. Specifically, the results from the
air quality modeling analyses were
impacted by the following factors,
which are included as air quality model
inputs: Emissions, stack parameters,
topography and meteorology.
Comment: The commenter stated that
there are numerous other factors that
came into play during the same
timeframe that could cause pollutant
concentrations to decrease in the
timeframe right after the December 2008
adoption of the minor NSR rule
relaxations, including: The Great
Recession began in 2007 and continued
through 2009; natural gas prices
dropped significantly and renewable
sources of power generation became
more competitive, reducing demand for
coal-fired power plants which was
replaced by gas turbines and
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renewables; various vehicle emission
and liquid fuel standards came into
effect; and less fuel efficient vehicles
were replaced with more fuel efficient
vehicles. The commenter stated that
these factors make it very difficult for
ADEQ to infer anything regarding the
relaxations to its minor NSR program
through the review of how air
monitoring design values have changed
over time.
Response: We agree that the
monitoring data reflects not only the
impacts of the revised thresholds and de
minimis levels, but other factors such as
those cited by the commenter as well.
However, the monitoring analysis does
show that since Arkansas’ adoption in
2008 and ongoing implementation of the
revised values, the monitored ambient
concentration data shows no NAAQS
issues along with overall decreasing
trends in DVs for some pollutants
indicative of improved air quality since
2008. The monitoring analysis
submitted by Arkansas spanned eight
years of ambient data (2007–2014,
which includes and extends beyond the
time period referenced as ‘‘the Great
Recession’’ by the commenter). The
8-year period covered in the ambient
monitoring study is a reasonable and
representative period of time to examine
the impacts of the revised thresholds
while also accounting for the variability
in the other factors that may contribute
to ambient concentrations. Further, we
would like to point out that a NAAQS
demonstration, including
demonstrations of non-interference with
attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS under section 110(l), should
reflect ambient air quality as a whole,
which would take into account the
impacts on ambient concentrations
resulting from the revised minor NSR
regulations, as well as, the other factors
mentioned by the commenter. As shown
in the referenced monitoring analysis,
the resulting ambient concentrations
including the impacts from the minor
NSR program revisions do not indicate
NAAQS compliance issues. As stated in
our proposal, the monitoring trends
analysis is one part of the demonstration
provided by Arkansas that supports the
finding that the revised permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels will
not adversely impact NAAQS
attainment or maintenance. In addition
to the monitoring analysis, the modeling
analysis is an important element of the
NAAQS compliance demonstration and
as discussed in our proposed
rulemaking and previous responses, the
modeling results indicate that the
addition of the emissions exempt from
minor NSR permitting requirements will
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not interfere with NAAQS compliance.
(See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision
Submittal, Appendix D—Air Quality
Modeling Analysis of Minor Source
Permit Thresholds.)
Comment: The commenter stated that
because the state does not have a
monitoring network that covers all
pollutants and all areas of the state
where industrial sources are
constructing and operating, a review of
the monitoring data from Arkansas
monitors provides an incomplete
picture of the NAAQS attainment status
around the state.
Response: We do not agree that
Arkansas’ submittal provided an
incomplete picture of NAAQS
attainment around the state. The
ambient monitoring analysis was one
part of the demonstration provided by
the state to meet the 110(l) requirement.
The monitoring trends analysis
discussion included in Appendix C of
the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal includes a figure showing the
Arkansas Ambient Air Monitoring
Network. This network includes
ambient monitoring for the NAAQS 13 at
monitoring sites located throughout the
state in accordance with federal
requirements.14 The State of Arkansas’
ambient air monitoring network is
reviewed each year to ensure the air
quality surveillance system continues to
meet applicable requirements. The most
recent review of the ambient air
monitoring network for Arkansas, the
2017 Annual Monitoring Network Plan,
was reviewed and approved by EPA on
October 3, 2017, as meeting the
requirements of 40 CFR and its
appendices. The analysis of the
available monitoring data does provide
valuable information about the current
ambient air quality in the state, and the
historical trends analysis of the data
shows that since the adoption in 2008
and the ongoing implementation of the
revised exemption thresholds, ambient
air quality has not been adversely
impacted. In fact, as discussed in our
proposed rulemaking, for several
pollutants the ambient air quality has
shown continued improvements since
the state adoption and implementation
of the revised thresholds. This
information was supplemented by the
additional analyses conducted by
13 EPA has set National Ambient Air Quality
Standards for six principal pollutants, called
criteria pollutants: Carbon Monoxide (CO), Lead
(Pb), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), Ozone (O3),
Particulate Matter (PM), and Sulfur Dioxide (SO2),
as indicated in 40 CFR part 50 and appendices.
14 See 40 CFR part 58 and its appendices for
federal requirements related to measuring ambient
air quality and for reporting ambient air quality data
and related information.
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Arkansas, one of which specifically
addresses the comment regarding the
completeness of the picture of
attainment status around the state. As
discussed in our proposed rulemaking,
Arkansas completed a modeling
analysis to determine the potential
impacts from sources exempt from
permitting based on the revised minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels, which included
statewide modeling. (See the March 24,
2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix
D—Air Quality Modeling Analysis of
Minor Source Permit Thresholds.)
Arkansas conducted photochemical
modeling to support the revised
thresholds based on a previous
statewide modeling effort conducted for
the 2008 base year and the 2008/2015
future year scenarios. For the minor
NSR thresholds analysis, the future year
(2015) emissions inventory was
modified to include eight hypothetical
point sources that were distributed
throughout the state’s Air Quality
Control Regions. The emission rates for
each of the hypothetical sources were
set equal to the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
levels. The statewide maximum impacts
for each day resulting from the
hypothetical sources was added to the
unmodified future year concentration
for each day and grid cell. The resulting
concentrations represented the
maximum ambient concentrations
including impacts from the threshold
emission increases at any location
located throughout Arkansas. While the
results from the photochemical
modeling showed that while the
addition of the hypothetical source
emissions may increase the predicted
concentrations within most grid cells,
the calculated FDVs were still less than
each of the NAAQS at each monitoring
site. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP
Revision Submittal, Appendix D—Air
Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permit Thresholds.)
Comment: The commenter stated that
it is not appropriate to rely on a
modeling assessment intended to
estimate future pollutant concentrations
out to 2015 to assess whether Arkansas’
relaxed minor NSR program will
interfere with attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS. The
commenter based their statement on the
possibility that some of the rules that
were relied on for the 2015 emission
inventories could go away, the
possibility of an economic boom in the
state, the possibility of growth in a
certain type of industry, or a
combination of these events, which in
turn could result in the approval of this
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SIP relaxation interfering with
attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS in the future despite the CMAQ
(photochemical) modeling predictions
for 2015.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that the use of the future
year (FY) modeling for 2015 is not
appropriate.15 Arkansas submitted
several analyses as part of the 110(l)
demonstration, with the modeling
assessment being one part of the
demonstration submitted to support the
proposed revisions to the Arkansas SIP.
As such, our determination regarding
the approvability of the SIP revisions
relied on the combined demonstration
and not just one element. Regarding the
use of the future year modeling,
Arkansas used this modeling in
combination with the baseline modeling
to determine RRFs both with and
without the hypothetical exempt
sources to calculate FDVs) 16 17 18 These
FDVs were used to compare and
contrast those DVs and determine the
potential impacts of the exempt sources.
This approach allowed for a quantitative
comparison to determine what potential
impacts would be expected from the
15 Arkansas’s initial statewide criteria pollutant
modeling was conducted prior to 2015 using base
case years of 2005 and 2008 and a future year of
2015. The final modeling report detailing this initial
modeling entitled ‘‘Criteria Pollutant Modeling
Analysis for Arkansas’’ dated July 28, 2014 was
included in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal. Arkansas relied upon the 2015 modeling
scenario from this statewide modeling as the
baseline scenario in the minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis change levels modeling.
They modified the 2015 emissions inventory to
include the hypothetical source to represent the
addition of emissions from a newly exempt
emissions source based on the revised thresholds in
order to examine the potential impacts and
sensitivity of model predicted ambient
concentrations to the exempt emissions.
16 A RRF is the ratio of future case modeled
concentrations to base case modeled
concentrations, which is used to quantify the
relative impacts of the emissions added to the
model. In the photochemical modeling conducted
by ADEQ, the base case modeled concentrations are
taken from the 2015 modeling without the
hypothetical sources added while the future case
modeling results are taken from the 2015 modeling
plus the 8 modeled hypothetical sources. Therefore,
the RRFs calculated in this modeling analysis
quantify the relative impacts from the additional
emissions from the hypothetical sources that would
be exempt from permitting based on the new
thresholds/de minimis levels.
17 RRFs can be used to estimate FDVs, which are
determined by applying the RRF ratios to monitored
design values from the base year taken from
ambient monitoring data.
18 Arkansas applied the RRFs derived from the
2015 baseline and 2015 baseline with hypothetical
sources modeling analyses to calculated FDVs at all
ambient monitoring locations for each pollutant.
The difference between these FDVs represents the
impacts from the hypothetical source emissions on
ambient air quality. Appendix D of the March 24,
2017 SIP revision submittal contains the details of
this analysis including the calculated RRFs and
FDVs.
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additional emissions associated with
sources and/or de minimis changes that
would be exempt from minor NSR
permitting requirements based on the
revised thresholds. The quantitative
comparison provided information
regarding relative difference in impacts
both with and without the newly
exempt emissions compared with the
NAAQS. When conducting future year
modeling, informed assumptions must
be made and some of these assumptions
may differ from the actual real world
conditions present when the future year
becomes the present.19 However, it is
important to note that the future year
modeling approach was conducted in
order to quantify the relative change in
ambient concentrations resulting from
the added potential impacts from the
newly exempt sources using RRFs.
Specifically, this analysis results in the
calculation of FDVs both with and
without the hypothetical source
emissions and the difference between
the FDVs represents the modeled
predicted impacts from those emissions
on ambient concentrations. The results
of this quantitative comparison of
ambient impacts with and without the
newly exempt sources are not expected
to deviate significantly, even with actual
real world conditions potentially being
different than the assumed modeled
conditions, since the analysis focused
on the relative impacts of the addition
of the hypothetical source emissions.
We believe that the future year
modeling approach used by Arkansas
that focused on the quantitative
difference in the relative ambient
impacts with and without the
hypothetical sources is reasonable and
informative for a 110(l) demonstration
in that it specifically evaluated the
impacts from newly exempt emissions
based on revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels. The
concerns raised by the commenter
regarding the state’s ability to predict
the exact conditions of a future year do
not change our determination that this
approach is reasonable. In fact, the
inclusion of informed assumptions in a
future year modeling analysis is not
19 The methodology used by Arkansas to develop
the modeled future year 2015 emissions inventory
is detailed in Section 3.6 of the ‘‘Criteria Pollutant
Modeling Analysis for Arkansas’’ report provided in
Appendix D of the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal. The 2015 emissions inventory was
assumed equal to the 2014 emissions inventory
with no further adjustments that were prepared
based on as part of the EPA’s 2005-based platform,
which included future year cases developed from
it, that was used in the Final Transport Rule
modeling (available at ftp://ftp.epa.gov/
EmisInventory/2005v4_2/). Arkansas did adjust the
emissions inventory to include a new facility (AEP
Service Corporations’ John W. Turk, Jr. facility
located in southwestern Arkansas.
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only reasonable, but also necessary,
since neither we nor Arkansas can know
with any certainty what emissions and/
or sources may change in the future.
The inclusion of informed assumptions
in the modeling analysis provides a
reasonable estimate of future levels,
given the inability to foresee the future.
If ADEQ modified or removed any SIPapproved regulations (as relied upon to
make these assumptions) and relax the
SIP and render them substantially
inadequate to attain or maintain the
relevant NAAQ’s standard, EPA has the
authority to publish a SIP call Federal
Register notice requiring the state to
adopt and submit a 110(l) justification
for the relaxation. Regarding the
commenter’s concern with potential
boom in industrial growth, those
sources seeking a construction permit,
such as a PSD permit, would have to
demonstrate NAAQS compliance as part
of their permit application modeling. As
such, we find that the state’s analysis
based on future year photochemical
modeling, along with the additional
modeling, monitoring, and emissions
inventory analyses, demonstrate that the
revised thresholds are not expected to
adversely impact the state’s ability to
attain and maintain the NAAQS.
Comment: The commenter stated that
photochemical modeling submitted by
Arkansas in support of the SIP revisions
does not give a rational picture of the
effect the SIP relaxations could have on
air quality in Arkansas. The commenter
stated that first, there could clearly be
more than 8 sources, which was the
number of sources included in the
photochemical modeling, exempt from
permitting under the revised minor NSR
rules. The commenter also stated that
the photochemical modeling did not
model the worst case conditions such as
terrain, stack height, stack temperature
and velocity.
Response: While we agree with the
commenters that the potential number
of exemptions resulting from the revised
rule may not be limited to 8 sources, we
do not agree with their assessment that
the modeling analysis was limited to the
impacts from only those 8 sources.
Arkansas submitted statewide modeling
that accounted for cumulative impacts
from the 8 hypothetical sources along
with the emissions contained in the
statewide emissions inventory. (See the
March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal,
Appendix D—Air Quality Modeling
Analysis of Minor Source Permit
Thresholds.) The 8 modeled sources
were distributed throughout the state’s
Air Quality Control Regions. The
modeling results showed the impacts of
the addition of these eight hypothetical
sources to the predicted ambient
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concentrations. In addition, the
modeling extrapolated for the maximum
modeled impacts from the hypothetical
sources applied at each modeled grid
cell throughout the state. In addition to
examining the modeled impacts from
these 8 hypothetical sources in their
chosen locations in the Air Quality
Control Regions, the modeling analysis
conducted by Arkansas also looked at
the impacts of sources with emissions
equal to the revised thresholds
throughout the state. This analysis was
accomplished by determining the
statewide maximum modeled impacts
in the photochemical modeling for each
day resulting from the hypothetical
sources and adding those impacts to the
unmodified future year concentration
for each day and grid cell. This
approach allowed the examination of
the maximum predicted hypothetical
source impacts combined at different
geographic/topographic locations along
with looking at those impacts combined
with a variety of cumulative source
inventory impacts throughout the state.
It is impossible for the state to project
each source that may be exempt under
the revised rule and unreasonable to
expect the inclusion of every potentially
exempt source within an air quality
modeling analysis. We determined that
the approach used by Arkansas to
include a number of hypothetical
sources throughout the state and to
examine the combined impacts of these
sources with background emissions
sources at each modeled grid cell in
Arkansas provides information and a
rational picture regarding the potential
impacts of newly exempt emissions
throughout the state. By modeling these
8 hypothetical sources with emission
rates equal to the revised thresholds, the
state’s approach provided for the
examination of the actual model
predicted impacts at locations within
each Air Quality Control Region from
the maximum level of emissions that
could be exempt from permitting for a
source based on the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels. As a second step, the
approach to apply the daily maximum
modeled impacts from the hypothetical
sources to each grid cell for each day in
the modeled period provided for the
examination of the impacts of the
exempt emissions at each grid cell
throughout the state. In the case of the
minor NSR program revisions proposed
by Arkansas, the state developed a
110(l) demonstration comprised of air
quality modeling, as well as an
emissions inventory analysis and a
monitoring trends analysis. As stated in
our proposed rulemaking, we found in
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combination that the modeling analysis
along with the other analyses submitted
by the state demonstrated that the
proposed revisions would not interfere
with NAAQS attainment or
maintenance. Based on our review, we
find the analysis conducted and the
methods used to be appropriate and
sufficient to support the proposed SIP
revisions, especially for exemptions
from minor NSR permitting
requirements that are expected to make
up fractional percentages (<1% for all
pollutants) of the total emissions in the
statewide emissions inventory—as
documented in the state supplied
emissions inventory analysis.
Regarding the commenter’s statement
regarding the modeling of worst-case
conditions, we do not agree with the
commenter. The modeling of the worst
case conditions such as terrain, stack
height, stack temperature and velocity is
inappropriate for assessing whether the
relaxed applicability to Arkansas’ minor
NSR rule would violate the NAAQs. The
hypothetical sources included in the
110(l) demonstration modeling were
meant to represent the exempt
emissions that could occur from a
variety of sources and were being
modeled to examine the potential
impacts from exempt emissions as part
of the demonstration of non-interference
with attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS under CAA section 110(l).
Arkansas determined representative
values to be used as model inputs for
the hypothetical sources by reviewing
real world stack parameters available
through their emissions inventory data.
Based on their review, the state chose
the average stack conditions from the
emissions inventory data as the
representative inputs for the modeled
hypothetical sources. As stated in the
modeling report included in the March
24, 2017 SIP revision submittal and in
our proposed rulemaking, the state
modeled the hypothetical sources with
the maximum emissions exempt by the
rule (i.e., emissions equal to the
thresholds values), even though not all
exempt sources would have those
emissions levels.
The use of the worst case conditions
(as referenced by the commenter) is
typically applied in modeling for an
existing source or a proposed source of
known type/size and location as part of
a case-by-case NSR modeling analysis,
such as a modeling analysis completed
as part of a PSD permit action. In the
case of the modeling analysis conducted
by Arkansas to support the proposed
SIP revisions, the state was examining
the potential impacts of emissions
exempt from minor NSR permitting by
adding hypothetical exempt sources to
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represent those added emissions in the
modeled emissions inventory. The
modeling conducted by Arkansas as part
of the 110(l) demonstration modeling
serves a different purpose, and therefore
is inherently different than PSD permit
modeling. PSD permit modeling is
conducted as part of the source analysis
PSD requirement (40 CFR 51.21(k)) to
examine the impacts from the
construction or major modification of a
specific, known PSD source where
model inputs are based on the actual
design and operational parameters of
the emission points located at the
source. That said, we do not agree that
the modeling analysis conducted by
Arkansas did not take terrain into
account. As discussed previously in this
response, at least one of the modeled
hypothetical sources was located in
each of the AQCRs. This allowed the
examination of model predicted impacts
across the different geographic and
topographic areas in the state, including
those areas in NW Arkansas with more
elevated/complex terrain (1 source
located in AQCR 17 and 2 sources
located in AQCR 21), which are
expected to have higher impacts. As
discussed in our evaluation of the
photochemical modeling conducted by
Arkansas, the model predicted impacts
from the hypothetical sources did not
indicate any model predicted violations
of the NAAQS for any pollutant or
averaging period. The photochemical
modeling approach was one element of
the 110(l) demonstration provided by
the state to support the proposed SIP
revisions. The approaches used by
Arkansas in their modeling
demonstration to determine the
potential impacts from the newly
exempt emissions were reasonable and
appropriate for 110(l) analysis being
conducted to demonstrate noninterference, especially considering the
small amounts of emissions expected to
be exempt from minor NSR permitting
based on the revised rule relative to the
current statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the photochemical modeling gave no
justification for where it located the
sources within the state and it is not
clear if the sources were located in areas
where the source’s plume could cause
high concentrations due to nearby
elevated terrain or in areas where there
are other significant sources of air
pollutants to determine the cumulative
impacts.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that no justification was
provided for the location of the
hypothetical sources within the
photochemical modeling. Arkansas did
state that they placed at least one source
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in each of their Air Quality Control
Regions. They also stated that the
sources were typically located in or near
more urban areas of the state. A figure
was included in the modeling report
showing the location of the modeled
sources relative to the populated areas
in the state, which are also more likely
to have larger ‘‘background’’ emissions
within the modeled emissions
inventory. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP
Revision Submittal, Appendix C—2010
Minor NSR Permitting Thresholds and
De Minimis Levels SIP Technical
Support Document, Figure 19.) The
chosen locations allowed for the
examination of impacts throughout the
various regions of the state, focused on
the more populated areas. As stated in
our previous response, two of the
modeled hypothetical sources were
included in the areas in NW Arkansas
with more elevated/complex terrain (1
source located in AQCR 17 and 2
sources located in AQCR 21).
Additionally, the modeling approach
used by the state in their 110(l)
demonstration included a separate
analysis to specifically examine the
model predicted concentrations at each
grid cell throughput the state when the
maximum modeled impacts from the
hypothetical sources were applied. This
approach allowed the examination of
the maximum hypothetical source
impacts combined at different
geographic locations along with looking
at those impacts combined with a
variety of cumulative source inventory
impacts throughout the state.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the photochemical modeling did not
attempt to take into account the
cumulative impacts of exempt sources
or modifications, and it did not include
the possibility of multiple exempt
sources locating nearby each other, nor
did the modeling attempt to model more
than one exemption at a single or
multiple sources over time.
Response: As discussed previously in
our responses, we do not agree that
cumulative impacts analysis was not
conducted as part of the state’s
modeling analysis. The photochemical
modeling analysis combined the
impacts from the hypothetical sources
with the impacts of background
emissions inventory sources via
emissions inventory model inputs.20
Further, this cumulative impacts
analysis was conducted in such a way
20 As discussed in Arkansas’s ‘‘2010 Minor NSR
Permitting Thresholds and De Minimis Levels SIP
Technical Support Document’’ (Appendix C to
March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal), the CMAQ
photochemical modeling requires as input, hourly,
gridded pollutant emissions from both
anthropogenic and biogenic sources.
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as to examine the maximum modeled
impacts from the hypothetical sources
with the impacts from the background
emissions inventory sources at each grid
cell in the state. Regarding the
cumulative impacts from multiple
exempt sources potentially located
nearby each other, the modeling report
included in the March 24, 2017 SIP
revision submittal stated that ‘‘since the
modeled impacts occur within or nearby
the source location, cumulative effects
from multiple sources in multiple grid
cells are expected to be small.’’ Based
on the 110(l) demonstration provided by
Arkansas, which included modeling
that looked at cumulative impacts from
hypothetical exempt sources and the
background emissions sources
inventory, we do not find the revised
thresholds to adversely impact the
NAAQS.
Comment: The commenter stated that
there is no indication that the modeling
took into account variability of emission
rates over time to account for the very
likely possibility that an exempt source
could emit at higher rates over shorter
periods of time rather than emitting at
a consistent level.
Response: It is unreasonable to expect
the type of modeling conducted by
Arkansas to examine the potential
impacts of a small subset of minor
sources that make up much less than
1% of the total emissions in the
statewide emissions inventory (less than
or equal to 0.125% of the statewide
emissions for minor NSR permitting
thresholds; less than or equal to 0.019%
of the statewide emissions for de
minimis change levels) to include
variable emissions modeling. The
evaluation of impacts from variable
emission rates is typically associated
with modeling an existing source or a
proposed source of known type/size and
operation as part of a case-by-case NSR
modeling analysis (such as the modeling
conducted for PSD permitting). As
stated in our previous responses, the
modeling analysis conducted by
Arkansas as part of the SIP revision
submittal was completed as part of a
110(l) demonstration for the purposes of
determining the potential impacts of the
revised missions exempt from minor
NSR permitting by adding hypothetical
exempt sources to represent those added
emissions in the modeled emissions
inventory. Modeling conducted as part
of the 110(l) demonstration is conducted
to determine whether a SIP revision will
interfere with attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS, any
required milestone, or any other
requirement of the Act. Because the
modeled sources were hypothetical in
nature, source-specific information
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including emission rates and their
potential variability, cannot be
available, nor does it need to be. As
stated in the modeling report included
in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal and in our proposed
rulemaking, in the modeling analysis
the hypothetical source emission rates
were set equal to the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels to examine the potential
impacts resulting from the newly
exempt emissions. (See the March 24,
2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix
D—Air Quality Modeling Analysis of
Minor Source Permit Thresholds.) The
approaches used by Arkansas in their
modeling demonstration to determine
the potential impacts from the newly
exempt emissions were reasonable and
appropriate for the type of analysis
being conducted, especially considering
the relatively small amount of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the revised rule
compared to statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that
because presumably the same emission
rates, stack parameters, and sources
locations were modeled with AERMOD
(dispersion model) as were modeled in
the CMAQ photochemical modeling.
Therefore, they stated that all of the
prior comments raised with the CMAQ
(photochemical) modeling also apply to
the AERMOD (dispersion) modeling
results. The commenter also stated that
there is no indication that the air
dispersion modeling accounted for
impacts from startup, shutdown and
malfunction emissions.
Response: The comments raised on
the CMAQ photochemical modeling
were addressed above. Those responses
would also apply to the AERMOD
dispersion modeling, with some slight
clarifications due to the inherent
differences between photochemical and
dispersion modeling analyses. We
provide the following clarification
related to the comments raised on
cumulative impacts analyses since the
CMAQ photochemical modeling and
AERMOD dispersion modeling have
different approaches to account for
cumulative impacts because the models
differ on how off-site background
sources emissions inventories are
represented and how impacts are
determined. As discussed in the
modeling report included in the March
24, 2017 SIP revisions submittal, the
CMAQ photochemical modeled
concentrations/impacts from the
background emissions inventory sources
were included as background values in
the AERMOD dispersion modeling and
added to the AERMOD dispersion
modeled concentrations from the
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hypothetical sources to determine
cumulative impacts from the exempt
emissions and the off-site emissions.
(See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision
Submittal, Appendix D—Air Quality
Modeling Analysis of Minor Source
Permit Thresholds.) Although these
approaches differ because of the nature
of the modeling system used, both the
CMAQ photochemical and AERMOD
dispersion modeling analyses include
the cumulative impacts of the
hypothetical sources plus the
background emissions inventory
sources.
Regarding the modeling of impacts
from startup, shutdown and
malfunction emissions, the evaluation
of impacts from routine and/or
predictable startup and shutdown
emissions would be associated with
modeling an existing source or a
proposed source of known type/size and
operation as part of a case-by-case NSR
modeling analysis, such as PSD permit
modeling.21 The routine and predictable
startups and shutdowns are permitted
emissions which are accounted for in
the emissions inventory. As stated in
our previous responses, the hypothetical
sources included in the 110(l)
demonstration modeling were meant to
represent the exempt emissions that
could occur from a variety of sources
and were being modeled to examine the
potential impacts from exempt
emissions. Because the modeled sources
were hypothetical in nature,
information regarding source inputs
including a small subset of their
emissions such as source-specific
startup, shutdown and malfunction
emissions, was not available, nor should
it be. Further, the emissions expected to
be exempt from minor NSR permitting
based on the revised permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels made
up much less than 1% of the total
statewide emissions (less than or equal
to 0.125% of the statewide emissions for
minor NSR permitting thresholds; less
than or equal to 0.019% of the statewide
emissions for de minimis change levels)
meaning that the startup, shutdown and
malfunctions being a small subset of
total emissions would make up an even
smaller fraction of the statewide
emissions. The commenter’s expectation
for this type of analysis is unreasonable
on the basis that these emissions make
up such a small fraction of the statewide
emissions (that is, a small subset of the
total exempt emissions that are
21 Any emissions resulting from unplanned
startup or shutdown activities or from
malfunctions, and therefore not accounted for in the
NSR permit authorization, would be considered
violations of the SIP unless these emissions limits
are reflected in a NSR SIP or a SIP rule.
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anticipated to make up much less than
1% of the statewide emissions). As
stated in the modeling report included
in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal and in our proposed
rulemaking, the hypothetical source
emission rates were set equal to the
revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis change
levels to examine the potential impacts
resulting from the newly exempt
emissions. The approaches used by
Arkansas in their modeling
demonstration to determine the
potential impacts from the newly
exempt emissions were reasonable and
appropriate for the type of analysis
being conducted, especially considering
the relatively small amount of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the revised rule
compared to statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the dispersion modeling did not include
the modeling of line sources and that
fugitive PM10 emissions often cause
increment and NAAQS violations.
Therefore, the commenter claims that
the AERMOD (dispersion) modeling
does not reflect reasonable worst case
impacts that could occur due to the
sources and de minimis changes exempt
from minor NSR based on the SIP
revisions.
Response: As discussed in our
previous responses, the worst case
impacts conditions (or potential worst
case source type in the case of this
comment) referenced by the commenter
are typically associated with case-bycase NSR modeling of an existing source
or a proposed source with known stack/
emission characteristics (such as,
modeling associated with a PSD permit
action). This would also be the case for
the modeling of line sources mentioned
by the commenter. The 110(l)
demonstration modeling conducted by
Arkansas in support of the SIP revisions
has a different purpose and associated
requirements than case-by-case NSR
modeling. As discussed in our earlier
response to the comment raised
regarding worst case stack parameters,
Arkansas relied on real world stack
parameters available in their emissions
inventory data to determine
representative stack parameters to
represent emissions newly exempt from
minor NSR permitting via the inclusion
of hypothetical sources in their
modeling analyses. Specifically, they
reviewed the stack parameters and
determined the average stack parameters
included as hypothetical point sources
with emissions set equal to the minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels. Because the
modeled sources were hypothetical in
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nature, source-specific information
including whether or not any portion of
the emissions were fugitive in nature
(such as road emissions) versus stack
emissions, cannot be available, nor does
it need to be. Modeling of hypothetical
sources with emissions rates set equal to
the revised minor NSR permitting and
de minimis change thresholds ensures
that the analysis accounts for the
maximum amount of emissions that
would be exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the revisions. The
approaches used by Arkansas in their
modeling demonstration and their
reliance on representative stack
parameters to determine the potential
impacts from the newly exempt
emissions were reasonable and
appropriate for the type of analysis
being conducted, especially considering
the relatively small fraction of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the revised rule
compared with statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the revised Arkansas NSR program
conflicts with the requirements of
section 110(2)(C). More specifically, the
commenter stated that the de minimis
change exemptions will exempt most if
not all modifications at existing major
stationary sources from minor NSR
permitting. They indicate that this is in
direct contrast with the intention for the
new source review program required by
CAA section 110(a)(2)(C) and 40 CFR
51.160 to be a backstop on threats to
attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS posed by new source growth
that is not planned for in existing SIP
rules.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that the de minimis
exemptions will exempt most if not all
modifications at existing major
stationary sources from minor NSR
permitting. As previously stated in our
responses, the SIP-approved Arkansas
NSR program is comprised of two types
of review: ‘‘Minor Source Review’’ and
‘‘Major Source Review’’. Arkansas
operates a so-called ‘‘merged, one
permit’’ system, which is divided into
these two types of review based on
whether a source is required to obtain
a title V operating permit. As such,
‘‘Minor Source Review’’, which is
contained in Reg. 19, Chapter 4, applies
only to those sources that are not subject
to title V permitting and require only a
title I minor NSR authorization.22 Any
22 As stated in our original SIP approval of
Chapter 4, ‘‘[a] minor source is any source which
does not meet the requirements of a major source.
The Act in section 302(j) defines the terms ‘‘major
stationary source’’ and ‘‘major emitting facility’’ as
‘‘any stationary facility of source of air pollutants
which directly emits, or has the potential to emit,
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source that would be a major source for
purposes of PSD review would also be
a major source subject to title V
permitting. Compare 40 CFR 52.21(b)(1)
(establishing major source thresholds of
100 and 250 tons per year) with Reg. 26,
Chapter 2 (defining major sources to
include, inter alia, any source with the
potential to emit 100 tons per year).
Therefore, any source subject to title V,
which would include any new PSD
major source and/or any modification to
an existing PSD major source, cannot
utilize the de minimis change
exemption found at Reg. 19.407(C).
Instead, all modifications at title V
sources that are not be subject to Reg.
19, Chapter 9 would instead be subject
to the ‘‘Major Source Review’’
requirements found in Reg. 26 and
incorporated by reference in Reg. 19,
Chapter 11 and cannot use the de
minimis change provisions, which are
limited to ‘‘Minor Source Review’’ in
Chapter 4 of Reg. 19. The revisions
addressed in our proposed rulemaking
are limited to ‘‘Minor Source Review’’
under Chapter 4 of Reg. 19 and do not
impact ‘‘Major Source Review’’ in
Chapter 11, which has already been
approved into the SIP as part of
Arkansas’ minor NSR program, most
recent approval on March 4, 2015 (See
80 FR 11573), and which contains the
permitting requirement provisions
applicable to the modifications not
subject to Reg. 19, Chapter 9 at all title
V sources, including all of the sources
referenced by the commenter.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the NSR program required by CAA
section 110(a)(2)(C) and 40 CFR 51.160
is intended to be a backstop on threats
to attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS posed by new sources growth
that is not planned for in existing SIP
rules. Because of the commenter’s
assessment that NSR program is an
important part of the SIP, they stated
that EPA cannot approve exemptions
from a minor NSR program unless it is
shown that the exemptions are truly de
minimis to the purposes of the program.
Response: We agree that the NSR
program is an important part of the SIP
but this does not mean that under the
CAA and the minor NSR SIP rules, EPA
cannot approve exemptions from a
minor NSR program. Consequently,
what is relevant is whether or not the
revisions to the Arkansas minor NSR
program are approvable under the plain
reading of the applicable statute and
rules. There is no regulatory or statutory
one hundred tons per year of more of any air
pollutant (including any major emitting facility or
source of fugitive emissions of any such pollutant,
as determined by rule by the Administrator).’’ ’’
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prohibition that prohibits the types and/
or sizes of sources that could be exempt
from the minor NSR program. In fact,
the minor NSR SIP rules at 40 CFR
51.160(e) only require that the minor
NSR program include procedures that
‘‘identify types and sizes of facilities,
buildings, structures, or installations
which will be subject to review under
this section. [and] The plan must
discuss the basis for determining which
facilities will be subject to review.’’
These rules furthermore require that the
plan must ensure that the issuance of
minor NSR permits not result in a
violation of the control strategy or
interfere with the attainment or
maintenance of a national standard. The
CAA at section 110((a)(2)((C) requires
regulation of the modification or
construction of any stationary source
within the area as necessary (emphasis
added) to assure that the standards are
achieved. As such, the CAA at section
110((a)(2)(C) and the minor NSR SIP
rules found at 40 CFR 51.160–165, as
well as case law,23 allow exemptions
from a minor NSR permitting program.
In cases such as this, where the minor
NSR SIP is being revised, the state must
also demonstrate that the revisions meet
the requirements of CAA section 110(l).
Similar to the provisions of the Act and
rules discussed above, section 110(l)
requires that EPA cannot approve
revisions to the Arkansas minor NSR
SIP unless EPA finds that the changes
would not interfere with any applicable
requirement concerning attainment and
reasonable further progress, as well as
any other applicable statutory
requirement. The clear reading of the
Act and the EPA rules are that EPA can
approve exemptions to the Arkansas
minor NSR SIP program as long as it
finds these exemptions will not interfere
with attainment or maintenance of a
NAAQS or other control strategy.
Consistent with what is allowed,
Arkansas has identified revised
permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels to serve as the exemption
thresholds for their minor NSR
permitting program. To support the
revised exemption thresholds, Arkansas
provided analyses to define the scope of
the exemptions and to demonstrate that
these revised thresholds will not
adversely impact NAAQS maintenance
or attainment. The analyses, which were
submitted as part of the March 24, 2017
SIP revision submittal, included: (1) An
emissions inventory analysis that
23 Alabama Power Company, et al., Petitioners,*
v. Douglas M. Costle, As Administrator,
Environmental Protection Agency, et al.,
Respondents,* Sierra Club, et al., Intervenors.*, 636
F.2d 323 (D.C. Cir. 1980).
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determined the percentage of the
statewide total emissions inventory that
would be newly exempt by the revised
thresholds; (2) a monitoring analysis
that included a review of the current
status of ambient air quality in the state
along with a review of the trends in
monitoring data since the state adopted
and implemented the revised
thresholds; and (3) a modeling analysis
that examined the impacts of the
exempt emissions on ambient
concentrations. The analyses provided
by Arkansas in the SIP revision
submittals show that the minor NSR
permitting exemptions resulting from
the revised rule were limited in scope
and comprised much less than 1% of
the total emissions in the statewide
emissions inventory and that the
impacts from the newly exempt
emissions would not adversely impact
NAAQS maintenance or attainment, as
part of their 110(l) demonstration. The
EPA’s review of these analyses and our
finding that the proposed SIP revisions
were approvable were detailed in the
proposed rulemaking and the Technical
Support Document accompanying the
rulemaking.
Comment: The commenter stated that
the results from the state’s AERMOD
(dispersion) modeling show that the
exemptions are not ‘‘de minimis.’’ The
commenter also states that the EPA
must not approve the revised program
because it will interfere with the
requirements that SIPs include
programs to ensure that new and
modified sources not be allowed to
construct or modify if they would
interfere with attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS.
Response: Our proposed rulemaking
specifically addressed the scope of the
exemptions resulting from the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds and
de minimis levels. As discussed in our
proposal, Arkansas provided an analysis
to quantify the amount of emissions that
would be expected to be exempt from
minor NSR permitting requirements
relative to total emissions from the
statewide emissions inventories. For all
pollutants, the exempt emissions for
both the permitting thresholds and de
minimis levels made up a fraction of 1%
of the statewide emissions. Therefore,
we find that the scope of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR
permitting as a result of the revised
minor NSR program thresholds and de
minimis change levels is extremely
limited. Regarding the commenter’s
claim that the revised program will
interfere with NAAQS attainment or
maintenance, the 110(l) demonstration
submitted by Arkansas in support of the
proposed revisions to the SIP
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specifically addressed the anticipated
impacts on the NAAQS through both a
review of the current status of ambient
air quality in Arkansas and an
evaluation the impacts of the revised
thresholds on ambient air quality via air
monitoring and air modeling data. As
discussed in our proposed rulemaking,
based on the ambient monitoring trend
analysis, the implementation of the
revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels
following state adoption of the revisions
in 2008 and ongoing implementation
have not negatively impacted ambient
air quality or interfered with the
attainment of the NAAQS. In fact, for
several pollutants the ambient air
quality has shown continued
improvements via decreases in
monitored DVs during this period; and
currently Arkansas does not have any
areas classified as nonattainment for any
NAAQS. Our proposal also summarized
the air quality modeling results that
Arkansas submitted as part of the SIP
revisions. The modeling analysis
included an evaluation of both
statewide regional-scale
(photochemical) and local-scale
impacts. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP
Revision Submittal, Appendix D—Air
Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permit Thresholds.) The
photochemical modeling was designed
to specifically examine ozone and PM2.5,
the model also simulates NO2, SO2, and
PM10 so the results for those pollutants
were also examined. The maximum
photochemical modeling derived
impacts including the hypothetical
source emissions on daily maximum 8hr ozone, 24-hr PM2.5, and annual
average PM2.5 for any location in
Arkansas was calculated. The maximum
impacts including hypothetical source
emissions on daily maximum 1-hr NO2
and SO2 and 24-hr average PM10 was
also calculated. These maximum
impacts were added to the baseline
modeled predicted concentrations for
each day and grid cell for the future year
simulation. The resultant model
predicted concentrations represented
the future year concentrations assuming
the worst-case impacts from the
threshold emission increases at any
location within the modeling grid.
These model results were used in
conjunction with the baseline modeling
results to calculate the RRFs necessary
to estimate FDVs. The FDVs were used
to examine whether emission increases
less than or equal to the revised
thresholds will cause or contribute to a
NAAQS violation or interfere with
NAAQS maintenance. To further
examine the potential near-field impacts
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from new or existing sources with
emission increases less than or equal to
the revised permitting and de minimis
change thresholds, a dispersion
modeling analysis was conducted. The
dispersion model was applied for the
same hypothetical sources used in the
photochemical modeling with emissions
set to the revised thresholds. The
dispersion model was applied for one
year for NOX, SO2, CO, and PM10. For
each source location, daily
concentrations (for the receptor with the
maximum annual average value) taken
from the dispersion modeling were
added to the photochemical model
-derived concentrations for that same
location. In this manner, the
photochemical modeling values were
used as ‘‘background’’. The statewide
daily maximum impact (maximum over
all locations/AQCRs) obtained were
expected to represent the near-field
future-year concentrations assuming
worst-case impacts from threshold
emission increases at a range of
locations throughout the state. Similar
to the photochemical modeling, these
maximum impacts were added to the
baseline modeled predicted
concentrations for each day and grid
cell for the future year simulation. The
resultant model predicted
concentrations represented the future
year concentrations assuming the worstcase impacts from the threshold
emission increases at any location
within the modeling grid. The resultant
concentrations were used in
conjunction with the baseline modeling
results to calculate the RRFs necessary
to estimate FDVs. Once again, the FDVs
were used to examine if the emissions
under the revised threshold values
would cause/contribute to a NAAQS
violation and/or interfere with NAAQS
attainment. Both the photochemical and
dispersion modeling results did show
that the addition of exempt emissions
via modeled hypothetical sources may
result in some increases in ambient
concentrations. However, as discussed
in the TSD accompanying our proposed
rulemaking, the FDVs calculated as part
of the regional-scale modeling analysis
that were based on the maximum
modeled impacts from the hypothetical
source were less than the NAAQS for
each pollutant and averaging period.24
Similarly, the results from the near-field
dispersion modeling also showed the
modeled impacts from the hypothetical
sources combined with background
24 For more detailed discussion regarding the
regional-scale photochemical modeling results see
Pages 29–31 of EPA’s Technical Support Document
dated August 24, 2017, available in the electronic
docket for this rulemaking.
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concentrations were all less than their
corresponding NAAQS.25 Based on our
evaluation of these analyses conducted
by ADEQ to support the revised minor
NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis levels, we find that the
increased levels will not interfere with
attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS.
Comment: The commenter stated that
EPA does not cite to the specific rule
that states that ‘‘de minimis changes are
still required to meet minor NSR
requirements contained in Reg. 19,
Chapter 4 including a demonstration
that the proposed modification will not
interfere with the NAAQS on a case-bycase basis’’ and that the EPA’s claim
that this requirement remains is without
merit. The commenter stated that EPA
may be assuming that Reg. 19.402
applies since a permit revision is
implied by Reg. 19.407(C)(6), it is not
clear that this requirement applies to
what appears to be an administrative
amendment to a source’s permit if it
makes a de minimis change. The
commenter also states that ADEQ made
it clear that it does not plan to require
or base any decision for de minimis
changes on air quality modeling, and
without conducting modeling, they will
not be able to ensure that the proposed
modification will not interfere with
attainment or maintenance of a NAAQS
on a case-by-case basis. So, the
commenter stated that it is unlikely that
ADEQ considered Reg. 19.402 as
applying to de minimis permit changes.
Response: We do not agree that our
proposed rulemaking did not include a
citation to the specific rule related to a
case-by-case demonstration of noninterference with the NAAQS that is
applicable to de minimis changes. We
also do not agree that our statement that
de minimis changes must still meet
minor NSR requirements is without
merit. Our position that de minimis
changes must include a demonstration
that the proposed modification will not
interfere with the NAAQS on a case-bycase basis is based on the applicability
of Reg. 19.405(A)(1) to these changes.
Further, the provisions in the de
minimis change rule indicate that de
minimis changes include an application
submittal/review process at Reg.
19.407(C)(5) at it references applications
for de minimis changes. In addition to
25 For more detailed discussion regarding the
near-field dispersion modeling results see Pages 31–
32 of the EPA’s Technical Support Document dated
August 24, 2017, including Table V.5 which
contains the maximum and average AERMOD
concentrations both with and without the CMAQderived background concentrations that were
determined in ADEQ’s nearfield hypothetical
source analysis.
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the rule language, the current ‘‘Air
Application Instructions for
Registrations, Minor Source Permits, or
Title V Permits’’ made available on
ADEQ’s air permitting website indicate
that the forms are to be used for de
minimis changes.26 As such, we do not
agree with the commenter that EPA
assuming the de minimis changes
include an application process without
a basis. Further we do not agree with the
commenter, that our proposed
rulemaking did not clearly state the
specific rule regarding the referenced
technical review requirement to
demonstrate NAAQS compliance for a
de minimis change. In our proposed
rulemaking, we specifically stated that
the requirement found at Reg.
19.405(A)(1) requires ADEQ must
ensure as part of their technical review
of de minimis change applications that
the source will be modified to operate
without interfering with NAAQS
attainment or maintenance.27 The de
minimis change rule found at Reg.
19.407(C)(2) of the current Arkansas SIP
exempts qualified proposed changes at
an existing source from minor NSR
permitting requirements, including
public notice. The exemption only
exempts the de minimis change from
minor NSR permitting requirements and
not all applicable minor NSR
requirements. Therefore, the exemption
does not exempt the change from the
technical review requirements found at
Reg. 19.405(A). Reg. 19.405(A) applies
to the review of applications submitted
under Chapter 4 of Reg. 19, where the
de minimis change rule is located, and
requires that on an application-byapplication basis ADEQ must ensure as
part of their technical review that the
source will be modified to operate
without interfering with NAAQS
attainment or maintenance. Our
approval of the de minimis change level
revisions does not revise or in any way
change the applicability of the SIPapproved technical review requirements
found in Reg. 19.405(A), or any other
applicable minor NSR requirements, to
de minimis changes. It is important to
note that the Reg. 19.405(A) technical
review requirements do not specify that
modeling be completed to demonstrate
that the source will be constructed/
modified without interfering with
attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS. The EPA minor NSR SIP rules
found in 40 CFR 51.160–165 do not
26 Air Application Instructions available online
at: https://www.adeq.state.ar.us/downloads/
WebDatabases/Air/PermitData/
Forms%20and%20Instructions/
Form%20and%20Instructions/Air_Permit_
Application_Forms_Instructions.pdf.
27 See 82 FR 43508.
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require modeling either. We do not
agree with the commenter that without
conducting modeling, ADEQ cannot
ensure that a de minimis change will
not interfere with attainment or
maintenance of a NAAQS on a case-bycase basis. Case-by-case modeling, such
as air dispersion modeling, is one of the
methods that is commonly used to meet
NAAQS requirements, but it is not the
only method. Depending on the source
and the proposed de minimis change, as
part of their technical review ADEQ
could alternatively utilize past modeling
analyses, such as the statewide
modeling that was included as part of
the 110(l) demonstration in the March
24, 2017 SIP revision submittal, or
existing ambient monitoring data or
emissions inventory data relevant to the
proposed change to make a
determination regarding NAAQS
compliance. In addition, the SIPapproved provision found at Reg.
19.407(C)(1)(b) specifies that ‘‘a
proposed change to a facility will be
considered De Minimis if: . . . the
change will result in a trivial
environmental impact.’’ Our rulemaking
does not revise or in any way change
this provision.
Comment: The commenter stated that
EPA has not evaluated whether the SIP
revision satisfies CAA section 193. They
state that because the revisions allow
ADEQ to relax emission limits via de
minimis changes and for previously
permitting sources to terminate the
existing permit and replace with a
registration, EPA’s review should
include an evaluation pursuant to CAA
section 193 of whether these relaxations
would allow for the relaxation of any
control requirements in effect before
November 15, 1990, in any
nonattainment area, in which case
equivalent or greater emissions
reductions.
Response: We do not agree with the
commenter that this rulemaking is
subject to CAA section 193. Section 193
applies to nonattainment areas only and
provides that ‘‘[n]o control requirement
in effect, or required to be adopted by
an order, settlement agreement, or plan
in effect before the date of the
enactment of the Clean Air Act
Amendments of 1990 in area for any air
pollutant may be modified after such
enactment in any manner unless the
modifications insures equivalent or
greater emission reductions of such air
pollutant.’’ The proposed rule does not
change control requirements in
nonattainment areas, of which Arkansas
currently has none. Therefore, EPA did
not address section 193 in the proposed
approval action, since it does not apply.
In the future, should an area become
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designated as nonattainment, Arkansas
when developing the required
nonattainment NSR permitting program
would have to ensure that this program
applied the Act’s thresholds, which
might require Arkansas to revise its
minor NSR SIP program.
III. Final Action
In this action, EPA is approving
revisions to the minor NSR permitting
program as submitted as revisions to the
Arkansas SIP on July 26, 2010, and
March 24, 2017, including supplemental
information submitted on November 30,
2015, May 26, 2016, July 5, 2017, July
27, 2017, and March 16, 2018. Our
approval includes the following
revisions to the Arkansas SIP:
• Revisions to Reg. 19.401 (submitted
07/26/2010 and 03/24/2017);
• Revisions to Reg. 19.407(C)(2)(a)
and (b) (submitted 07/26/2010 and
03/24/2017); and
• Revisions to Reg. 19.417(A) and (B)
(submitted 07/26/2010).
As previously stated in our proposed
rulemaking, this final action does not
remove or modify the existing federal
and state requirements that each NSR
permit action issued by ADEQ include
an analysis completed by the
Department and their determination that
the proposed construction or
modification authorized by the permit
action will not interfere with attainment
or maintenance of a national ambient air
quality standard.
IV. Incorporation by Reference
In this rule, the EPA is finalizing
regulatory text that includes
incorporation by reference. In
accordance with requirements of 1 CFR
51.5, the EPA is finalizing the
incorporation by reference of the
revisions to the Arkansas regulations as
described in the Final Action section
above. The EPA has made, and will
continue to make, these materials
generally available through
www.regulations.gov and at the EPA
Region 6 Office (please contact Ashley
Mohr for more information). Therefore,
these materials have been approved by
EPA for inclusion in the SIP, have been
incorporated by reference by EPA into
that plan, are fully federally enforceable
under sections 110 and 113 of the CAA
as of the effective date of the final
rulemaking of EPA’s approval, and will
be incorporated by reference in the next
update to the SIP compilation.
V. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
Under the Clean Air Act, the
Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the
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30569
provisions of the Act and applicable
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k);
40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in reviewing SIP
submissions, the EPA’s role is to
approve state choices, provided that
they meet the criteria of the Clean Air
Act. Accordingly, this action merely
approves state law as meeting Federal
requirements and does not impose
additional requirements beyond those
imposed by state law. For that reason,
this action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Orders 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821,
January 21, 2011);
• Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82
FR 9339, February 2, 2017) regulatory
action because SIP approvals are
exempted under Executive Order 12866;
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, described in
the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of
1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have Federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the CAA; and
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved to
apply on any Indian reservation land or
in any other area where EPA or an
Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the rule does not have
tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on tribal
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Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 126 / Friday, June 29, 2018 / Rules and Regulations
governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
The Congressional Review Act, 5
U.S.C. 801 et seq., as added by the Small
Business Regulatory Enforcement
Fairness Act of 1996, generally provides
that before a rule may take effect, the
agency promulgating the rule must
submit a rule report, which includes a
copy of the rule, to each House of the
Congress and to the Comptroller General
of the United States. EPA will submit a
report containing this action and other
required information to the U.S. Senate,
the U.S. House of Representatives, and
the Comptroller General of the United
States prior to publication of the rule in
the Federal Register. A major rule
cannot take effect until 60 days after it
is published in the Federal Register.
This action is not a ‘‘major rule’’ as
defined by 5 U.S.C. 804(2).
Under section 307(b)(1) of the Clean
Air Act, petitions for judicial review of
this action must be filed in the United
States Court of Appeals for the
appropriate circuit by August 28, 2018.
Filing a petition for reconsideration by
the Administrator of this final rule does
not affect the finality of this action for
the purposes of judicial review nor does
it extend the time within which a
petition for judicial review may be filed,
and shall not postpone the effectiveness
of such rule or action. This action may
not be challenged later in proceedings to
enforce its requirements. (See section
307(b)(2).)
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Lead, Nitrogen dioxide,
Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting
and recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur
oxides, Volatile organic compounds.
Dated: June 20, 2018.
Anne Idsal,
Regional Administrator, Region 6.
PART 52—APPROVAL AND
PROMULGATION OF
IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
1. The authority citation for part 52
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart E—Arkansas
2. In § 52.170(c), the table titled ‘‘EPAApproved Regulations in the Arkansas
SIP’’ is amended by:
■ a. Revising entries for Reg. 19.401 and
Reg. 19.407; and
■ b. Adding an entry for Reg. 19.417
immediately following the entry for Reg.
19.413.
The amendments read as follows:
■
§ 52.170
*
40 CFR part 52 is amended as follows:
Identification of plan.
*
*
(c) * * *
*
*
EPA-APPROVED REGULATIONS IN THE ARKANSAS SIP
State citation
Title/subject
State
submittal/
effective
date
EPA approval date
Explanation
Regulation No. 19: Regulations of the Arkansas Plan of Implementation for Air Pollution Control
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
Chapter 4: Minor Source Review
Reg. 19.401 ....
General Applicability ....
03/24/17
6/29/2018, [Insert Federal Register
citation].
Includes supplemental information provided on
11/30/2015, 05/26/2016, 07/05/2017, and
03/16/2018.
*
Reg. 19.407 ....
*
Permit Amendments ....
*
03/24/17
*
*
6/29/2018, [Insert Federal Register
citation].
*
*
Includes supplemental information provided on
11/30/2015, 05/26/2016, 07/05/2017, 07/27/
2017, and 03/16/2018.
*
Reg. 19.417 ....
*
Registration .................
*
07/26/10
*
*
6/29/2018, [Insert Federal Register
citation].
*
*
Includes supplemental information provided on
11/30/2015, 05/26/2016, 07/05/2017, and
03/16/2018.
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
[FR Doc. 2018–13942 Filed 6–28–18; 8:45 am]
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*
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 126 (Friday, June 29, 2018)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 30553-30570]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2018-13942]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R06-OAR-2017-0435; FRL-9979-15--Region 6]
Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; Arkansas;
Revisions to Minor New Source Review Program
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Pursuant to the Federal Clean Air Act (CAA or the Act), the
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is approving revisions to the
Arkansas State Implementation Plan (SIP) minor New Source Review (NSR)
program submitted on July 26, 2010, and March 24, 2017, including
supplemental information provided on November 30, 2015, May 26, 2016,
July 5, 2017, July 27, 2017, and March 16, 2018. Specifically, we are
proposing to approve revisions that revise the minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels, as well as, additional non-
substantive revisions contained in those submittals. This final action
is consistent with the requirements of section 110 of the CAA.
DATES: This rule is effective on July 30, 2018.
ADDRESSES: The EPA has established a docket for this action under
Docket ID No. EPA-R06-OAR-2017-0435. All documents in the docket are
listed on the https://www.regulations.gov website. Although listed in
the index, some information is not publicly available, e.g.,
Confidential Business Information or other information whose disclosure
is restricted by statute. Certain other material, such as copyrighted
material, is not placed on the internet and will be publicly available
only in hard copy form. Publicly available docket materials are
available either electronically through https://www.regulations.gov or
in hard copy at the EPA Region 6, 1445 Ross Avenue, Suite 700, Dallas,
Texas 75202-2733.
[[Page 30554]]
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Ashley Mohr, 214-665-7289,
[email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Throughout this document ``we,'' ``us,'' and
``our'' means the EPA.
I. Background
The background for this action is discussed in detail in our
September 18, 2017 proposal (82 FR 43506). In that document we proposed
to approve revisions to the Arkansas SIP submitted on July 26, 2010,
and March 24, 2017, including supplemental information submitted on
November 30, 2015, May 26, 2016, July 5, 2017, July 27, 2017, and March
16, 2018. The revisions addressed in our proposal included revisions to
the Arkansas minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis levels, as
well as, additional revisions to the minor NSR provisions that are
considered to be non-substantive.
We received one set of comments on the proposal. The full text of
the comment letter received during the public comment period, which
closed on October 18, 2017, is included in the publicly posted docket
associated with this action at www.regulations.gov. Below the EPA
provides a summary of the comments received and corresponding
responses.
II. Response to Comments
Comment: The commenter stated that the revised minor NSR rule fails
to provide legally enforceable procedures to ensure new sources that
could interfere with NAAQS attainment or maintenance or violate the
control strategy won't be allowed to construct. More specifically, they
stated that the minor NSR program does not explain how ``actual
emissions'' are to be determined for a new source with no operational
history. To the extent that Arkansas Department of Environmental
Quality (ADEQ) determined applicability for new sources based on
projected actual emissions, then the rule could ultimately allow
sources with emissions greater than the permitting thresholds to
construct without a permit and without evaluation of air quality
impacts by a new source underestimating emission factors and/or
operating parameters and exceeding those projected emissions after its
construction. Therefore, the commenter stated it is unclear what size
of sources could ultimately end up exempt from Arkansas' minor NSR
program. The commenter claims that because of the noted deficiencies
there is a problem with any attempt to determine whether the revised
minor NSR rule's applicability thresholds are set to the appropriate
level to ensure the state meets the applicable federal requirements
found in CAA section 110(a)(2)(C) and 40 CFR 51.160(b).
Response: This comment is not relevant to our current rulemaking.
As shown in Section IV of the Technical Support Document that
accompanied our proposed approval action, our rulemaking only addresses
revisions to the permitting thresholds values contained in Reg. 19.401.
The applicability determination for the minor NSR program and its
reliance on ``actual emissions'' was not revised by Arkansas as part of
the July 26, 2010, or May 24, 2017 SIP revision submittals. Therefore,
the applicability determination as originally SIP-approved October 16,
2000 (65 FR 61103) remains unchanged, is not a part of this rulemaking,
and any comment on it is not relevant to the current rulemaking.
While the comments regarding the applicability determination basis
are not relevant to this rulemaking, we will respond to the commenter's
assertion that any attempt to determine if the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds meet the referenced federal requirements is
problematic. We do not agree with this statement. As outlined in our
proposed rulemaking, we evaluated several analyses submitted by
Arkansas in support of the revised thresholds, including an emissions
inventory analysis, a monitoring trends analysis, and a modeling
analysis. Based on our evaluation of those analyses along with the SIP
revisions submittals documentation (found in the Technical Support
Document (TSD)), we find that the proposed thresholds will meet
applicable federal requirements and not interfere with NAAQS attainment
or maintenance or violate the control strategy. As required by Reg.
19.401, a source with actual emissions greater than the applicability
thresholds would be required to obtain a permit and is subject to
enforcement action if the source fails to do so. The emissions from a
new source to be compared with the permitting thresholds would be based
on controlled emission factors and projected operations (hours of
operation and/or amounts of material processed). This approach allows
permitting applicability to be based on emissions that are close to
actual emissions. The regulation specifically does not allow
construction and operation of sources with actual emissions in excess
of the thresholds, and any source that did underestimate their
emissions and exceed the emissions thresholds would be in violation of
the regulations and beyond the scope of the analyses conducted to
demonstrate the regulation's compliance with applicable federal
requirements for minor NSR programs.
Comment: The commenter stated that the rule exempting de minimis
changes at existing sources from permitting fails to provide legally
enforceable procedures to ensure that modified sources that could
interfere with NAAQS attainment or maintenance or violate the control
strategy won't be allowed to construct. More specifically, they stated
a physical change or change in the method of operation at a source with
no existing permit has no existing ``permitted rates'' to compare
``proposed permitted rates'' to, and the rule does not explain how
applicability is determined in such cases and the rule does not clearly
say that it applies only to sources with existing permits. In addition,
the commenter stated that Reg. 19 does not clearly require a permit
application for de minimis changes. Therefore, they claim that de
minimis exemptions rule does not meet the requirements of 40 CFR
51.160(a) of providing legally enforceable procedures.
Response: We do not agree that the applicability of the de minimis
changes rule to existing sources with no permits is unclear. The de
minimis change provisions are found in paragraph C of Reg. 19.407 of
Arkansas' ``Minor Source Review'' regulation (Reg. 19, Chapter 4). Reg.
19.407 is titled ``Permit Amendments'' and as stated in our original
2000 approval of Reg. 19.407 (65 FR 26795; finalized at 65 FR 61103),
this section describes the procedures for amending a permit. Because
Reg. 19.407 describes permit amendments, including de minimis changes,
these provisions are not applicable to a source that does not have a
permit. Existing sources with no existing permit would be subject to
the minor NSR permitting thresholds found in Reg. 19.401 under the
``General Applicability'' section to determine if the source was
subject to minor NSR permitting requirements. In addition to the
clarity provided in the rule itself, the current ``Air Application
Instructions for Registrations, Minor Source Permits, or Title V
Permits'' made available on ADEQ's air permitting website also
indicates that de minimis applications are for ``small modifications to
a permit.'' (Pg. 5) \1\ Page 12 of the application instructions
reiterates the applicability of the de
[[Page 30555]]
minimis rule and states that a de minimis application ``applies to
facilities having a current air permits [sic].'' Much like the de
minimis change provisions in the rule, it is clear based on ADEQ's
current air permit application guidance that the de minimis change rule
only applies to existing permitted facilities and not new facilities.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Air Application Instructions available online at: https://www.adeq.state.ar.us/downloads/WebDatabases/Air/PermitData/Forms%20and%20Instructions/Form%20and%20Instructions/Air_Permit_Application_Forms_Instructions.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The portion of the comment raised regarding permit application
requirements for de minimis changes is not relevant to our current
rulemaking. As shown in Section IV of the Technical Support Document
that accompanied our proposed action, our rulemaking only addresses
revisions related to de minimis changes that are found in Reg.
19.407(C)(2)(a) and (b). Permit application requirements, which are
found in Reg. 19.404, are currently SIP-approved and were not revised
as part of the July 26, 2010, or May 24, 2017 SIP revision submittals
under review in this rulemaking. Similarly, Reg. 19.407(C)(7) was not
revised in the 2010 or 2017 SIP revision submittals. Therefore, the
SIP-approved Reg. 19.404 and Reg. 19.407(C)(7) provisions as most-
recently approved on October 16, 2000 (65 FR 61103) and April 12, 2007
(72 FR 18394), respectively, remain unchanged and are not part of this
rulemaking and any comment on those provisions is not relevant.
Comment: The commenter claims that Arkansas has failed to
adequately justify the basis for its revised emission thresholds for
exempting new sources and de minimis changes from its minor NSR
program. They state that 40 CFR 51.160(e) requires states to identify
the types and sizes of sources subject to its minor NSR program and to
explain the basis for determining which facilities are subject to
review. ADEQ's justification for the emission thresholds adopted in its
minor NSR program for Reg. 19, Chapter 4, was essentially that these
tons per year thresholds were the same thresholds identified as ``de
minimis'' under major NSR permitting programs. However, there has been
no analysis with current modeling techniques that the major NSR
significance levels are adequate to ensure a modified source won't
interfere with the attainment or maintenance of all of the various
current NAAQS, which differ in stringency from the NAAQS applicable at
the time the PSD significant emission rates were developed. The
commenter also stated that the AERMOD (dispersion) modeling results,
which they believe underestimate actual impacts, indicate that the
pollutant concentrations resulting from the emissions exempt from
permitting based on the revised thresholds are significantly higher
than 4% of the NAAQS, which was a threshold for the EPA's analyses from
1980, 1987, and 2008 for demonstrating that the significant emission
levels were de minimis to the PSD program.
Response: We do not agree with this comment. Although ADEQ did
include the data referenced by the commenter in their initial 2010 SIP
revision submittal, the basis for ADEQ's findings regarding the
appropriateness of the revised thresholds was different and they also
provided additional analyses to demonstrate the scope of the exempt
sources and modifications resulting from the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels and to demonstrate
that the revised thresholds will not interfere with attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS. These analyses were included in their
entirety in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal and included: (1)
An emissions inventory analysis that determined the percentage of the
total statewide emissions that were to be exempt under the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels; (2) a
monitoring trends analysis that included a review of the current status
of ambient air quality, as well as, the impacts of the revised
thresholds on ambient concentration monitoring trends in the state of
Arkansas; and (3) a modeling analysis that included photochemical and
dispersion modeling analyses that evaluated the impacts of the revised
thresholds through model predicted results. The air quality modeling
analysis report included in Appendix D of the March 24, 2017 SIP
submittal describes the modeling approach used by ADEQ as part of the
demonstration showing that the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds
and de minimis change levels will not adversely impact the current
NAAQS. Based on our review of the modeling analysis, which did use
current air quality modeling techniques, and the other analyses
completed by ADEQ, we found that the impacts resulting from the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis levels would not
interfere with the state's ability to maintain compliance with the
NAAQS.
As discussed in the Technical Support Document accompanying our
proposed action, ADEQ conducted both regional scale photochemical
modeling using CMAQ and local-scale dispersion modeling using AERMOD to
examine the predicted impacts from sources or de minimis changes that
would be exempt from minor NSR permitting based on the revised
thresholds.\2\ ADEQ employed this combined modeling approach in an
effort to look at both regional and local scale impacts from emissions
equal to the revised thresholds for VOC, NOX,
SO2, CO, PM10, and PM2.5. In both the
regional- and local-scale modeling analyses, ADEQ modeled hypothetical
sources with emissions equal to the minor NSR permitting and de minimis
change thresholds and stack parameters set equal to median values based
on the 2011 National Emissions Inventory (NEI) for Arkansas sources. As
part of photochemical modeling, the maximum CMAQ-derived impacts on
daily maximum 8-hour ozone, 24-hour PM2.5, annual average
PM2.5, 1-hour NO2, 1-hour SO2, and 24-
hour PM10 were calculated. The statewide maximum impacts for
each day resulting from the hypothetical sources was added to the
unmodified future year concentration for each day and grid cell. The
resulting concentrations represented the worst-case ambient
concentrations including impacts from the threshold emission increases
at any location in Arkansas. These worst-case ambient concentrations
were then used to calculate relative response factors (RRFs) to
estimate future design values (FDVs) at both monitored and unmonitored
locations throughout Arkansas.\3\ \4\ The FDVs were compared with FDVs
without the thresholds increase impacts, as well as, the NAAQS in an
effort to determine whether emissions increases less than the minor NSR
thresholds would cause or
[[Page 30556]]
contribute to NAAQS violations or potentially interfere with NAAQS
maintenance. Similar to the regional-scale photochemical modeling, the
hypothetical sources modeling in the near-field dispersion modeling
analysis were modeled with emission rates equal to the minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis levels and stack parameters were
set equal to median stack parameter based on the 2011 NEI data. The
maximum AERMOD-derived impacts on daily maximum 1-hr NO2,
annual average NO2, daily maximum 1-hour SO2,
daily maximum 1-hour CO, daily maximum 8-hour average CO, and 24-hour
average PM10 were calculated for each air quality control
region. The daily AERMOD-derived concentrations were added to the CMAQ-
derived concentrations for the same location, using the CMAQ values as
``background.'' ADEQ stated that the values determined for the
statewide daily maximum impacts are expected to represent the near-
field concentrations assuming worst-case impacts from threshold
emission increases at a range of locations through Arkansas. The daily
maximum worst case AERMOD impacts were added to the unmodified future
year concentration for each day and grid cell. The resulting
concentrations represented the worst-case ambient concentrations
including impacts from the threshold emission increases at any location
in Arkansas. Similar to the CMAQ-only modeling analysis, the worse-case
modeled impacts were used to calculate RRFs and FDVs. The calculated
FDVs were compared with the original unmodified FDVs and the NAAQS in
order to examine the potential impacts of the proposed minor NSR
threshold emissions on NAAQS attainment and maintenance. The modeling
conducted by Arkansas utilized current air quality modeling techniques
to demonstrate that the predicted impacts resulting from emissions at
or below the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels, which happen to be equal in magnitude to the major NSR
significance levels, will not interfere with the attainment or
maintenance of the NAAQS current in effect at the time of the
analysis--including those that were not applicable at the time the PSD
significant emission rates were developed.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ See Pages 31-32 of the EPA's Technical Support Document
dated August 24, 2017, which discusses the air quality modeling
analyses that were completed by ADEQ in support of the submitted SIP
revisions. In addition to the TSD, additional details regarding the
modeling analyses are located in the modeling report submitted as
part of the March 24, 2017 SIP revisions submittal, which outlines
modeling tools and techniques utilized by Arkansas along with the
results from the modeling analyses. (ADEQ's modeling report located
in the ``ADEQ 2010 Minor NSR Permitting Thresholds and De Minimis
Levels SIP Revision--Technical Support Document'' dated November
2015,)
\3\ A RRF is the ratio of future case modeled concentrations to
base case modeled concentrations, which is used to quantify the
relative impacts of the emissions added to the model. In the
photochemical modeling conducted by ADEQ, the base case modeled
concentrations are taken from the 2015 modeling without the
hypothetical sources added while the future case modeling results
are taken from the 2015 modeling plus the 8 modeled hypothetical
sources. Therefore, the RRFs calculated in this modeling analysis
quantify the relative impacts from the additional emissions from the
hypothetical sources that would be exempt from permitting based on
the new thresholds/de minimis levels.
\4\ RRFs can be used to estimate FDVs, which are determined by
applying the RRF ratios to monitored design values from the base
year taken from ambient monitoring data.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Further, the entirety of the additional analyses provided by ADEQ
in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal, including the NAAQS non-
interference modeling demonstration, was the basis of the EPA's finding
that the revised thresholds were approvable. As such, a linkage to the
PSD significant emission rate values and/or comparison of modeled
impacts to percentage thresholds relied upon during the EPA's
development of the significant emission rates in 1980, 1987, and 2008
for the PSD program was not applicable to our proposed approval of the
revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis levels.
Elsewhere in this final rulemaking, we have addressed the comments
specifically made regarding the modeling techniques used by Arkansas
and restated our finding that those techniques were reasonable and
appropriate for the NAAQS non-interference demonstration required by
CAA section 110(l).
Comment: The commenter stated that modified major sources exempted
from major source permitting under the PSD program will also be exempt
from minor source permitting under Arkansas' de minimis changes rule
and that the revised minor NSR program will not pick up the slack and
ensure protection of the NAAQS as was intended when EPA promulgated the
2002 revisions to the major source NSR rules.
Response: The commenter is incorrect that modifications to existing
PSD major sources, which are exempt from PSD permitting, would be
exempt from minor source permitting under the de minimis change rule.
As discussed below, any change at an existing major NSR source (PSD
source) is prohibited from using the de minimis change process because
the de minimis change rule at Reg. 19.407(C) is located in Chapter 4 of
Reg. 19, which does not apply to PSD sources or any modifications at
those sources.
The SIP-approved Arkansas NSR program is comprised of two types of
review: ``Minor Source Review'' and ``Major Source Review''. Arkansas
operates a so-called ``merged, one permit'' system, which is divided
into these two types of review based on whether a source is required to
obtain a title V operating permit. As such, ``Minor Source Review'',
which is contained in Reg. 19, Chapter 4, applies only to those sources
that are not subject to title V permitting and require only a title I
NSR authorization.\5\ All sources that are subject to title V, which
would include PSD sources, are subject to ``Major Source Review'' under
Reg. 26 provisions incorporated by reference in Reg. 19, Chapter 11.
Therefore, all permitting at PSD sources, including all modifications,
would be subject to Reg. 19, Chapter 11 ``Major Source Review'' under
the Arkansas NSR permitting program and cannot use the de minimis
change provisions, which are limited to ``Minor Source Review'' in
Chapter 4. Only those non-title V sources that are minor under the SIP-
approved definition of minor source may qualify for the de minimis
change exemption found in Reg. 19.407(C). As discussed in our proposed
rulemaking and the accompanying TSD, the emissions inventory analysis
for the de minimis changes found that the scope of changes expected to
qualify for the de minimis change exemption is very small with
emissions associated with those exempted changes making up a fraction
of a percent of statewide emissions. The range of percentage of
statewide emissions for the pollutants determined in the emissions
inventory analysis for de minimis changes was 0.0005% to 0.019%. At
these levels it would require over 50 times the NOX
emissions authorized in 2016 to approach 1% of the statewide emissions
and over 300 times the emissions for the other pollutants.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ As stated in our original SIP approval of Chapter 4, ``[a]
minor source is any source which does not meet the requirements of a
major source. The Act in section 302(j) defines the terms ``major
stationary source'' and ``major emitting facility'' as ``any
stationary facility of source of air pollutants which directly
emits, or has the potential to emit, one hundred tons per year of
more of any air pollutant (including any major emitting facility or
source of fugitive emissions of any such pollutant, as determined by
rule by the Administrator).''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The state did not rely solely on the emissions inventory analysis
to demonstrate NAAQS compliance. This emissions inventory analysis was
coupled with additional analyses specifically looking at ambient
concentrations (monitoring trends analysis) and potential ambient
impacts (modeling analysis) that were completed by ADEQ as part of the
110(l) demonstration. The results from the modeling analysis indicate
that while the addition of the exempt emissions did result in slight
increases in the model predicted impacts, it did not violate the NAAQS.
As such, the modeling analysis portion of the 110(l) demonstration
shows that revised minor NSR program will continue to ensure NAAQS
protection.
EPA's intent at the time of promulgation of the 2002 revisions to
the major source NSR rules is not relevant here. What is relevant here
is the approvability of these revisions in the context of the current
regulatory framework as promulgated. The commenter has not cited any
ambiguous regulatory language in order to justify an examination of
EPA's intent. In the absence of any ambiguity in regulatory language it
is not necessary to address EPA's intent here as there is no dispute
regarding interpretation on the applicable rules.
[[Page 30557]]
Comment: The commenter stated that EPA has previously required
minor NSR programs to use much smaller emission thresholds than the
major modification significant impact levels and gave the example of
the Montana minor NSR program includes a de minimis increase exemption
threshold of 5 TPY, which was approved by EPA, after a 15 TPY threshold
that was initially set by Montana was not approved by EPA into the SIP.
Response: In the case of Montana, which was referenced by the
commenter, the state did not provide an adequate demonstration to
support the approval of the 15 TPY exemption threshold that was
initially established by the state into the SIP. The state later
revised the threshold to 5 TPY and submitted this threshold for SIP
approval along with an analysis to show that the 5 TPY exemption would
not interfere with NAAQS attainment or maintenance or violate the
control strategy. Based on the revised submittal and supporting
information, EPA approved the lower threshold of 5 TPY into the Montana
SIP. Our proposed approval of the de minimis change levels in Arkansas
does not contradict the previous Montana approval. In fact, our
proposed approval mirrors the Montana SIP approval in that we requested
analyses from Arkansas as part of the 110(l) demonstration for the
revised de minimis change levels and our approval is based on those
analyses as documented in the proposed rulemaking. Specifically, we
found that Arkansas' documentation adequately demonstrates that these
revised thresholds will not interfere with NAAQS compliance. Our
approval of one de minimis exemption threshold level in one state does
not preclude the approval of a different threshold in another state.
Each state's universe of minor NSR sources, meteorology, and ambient
air quality conditions are unique and influence the types of exemptions
that would not interfere with the minor NSR program's ability to meet
the applicable federal requirements.
Comment: The commenter stated that the de minimis change rule
contradicts with how applicability is determined under PSD permitting
requirements and thus fails to ensure projects that should be required
to obtain a PSD permit will not be instead considered a de minimis
change under Reg. 19.407(C). They also state that EPA must disapprove
the current submittal and require Arkansas to revise its de minimis
rule and relevant definitions rule to clearly state that changes that
are considered major modifications under the PSD permitting regulations
cannot be considered as de minimis changes. Without such language
clearly stated, the Arkansas minor NSR program could allow sources that
would otherwise be subject to PSD permitting to improperly avoid major
source PSD permitting requirements for a major modification. The
commenter also states that EPA must disapprove the version of Reg.
19.407(C) currently approved into the SIP which EPA has reopened with
this action to the extent the provisions could interfere with
compliance with the PSD permitting regulations.
Response: We agree with the commenter that changes that are
considered major modifications under the PSD permitting regulations
cannot be considered as de minimis changes. However, the commenter is
incorrect that the revisions to the de minimis change provisions will
interfere with proper implementation of the PSD permitting
requirements. As previously stated in our responses, the de minimis
change rules contained in Chapter 4 of Reg. 19 cannot be used for any
changes at PSD sources/modifications. Therefore, our proposed approval
of revisions to Chapter 4, including the de minimis change rule, will
not impact PSD permitting implementation. Changes that are considered
major would be subject to permitting under Reg. 26 is incorporated by
reference in Chapter 11, which utilizes an actual-to-projected actual
test for modifications to existing units and an actual-to-potential
test for new units, are not exempted from the requirements of Chapter
11 by the provisions we are approving in this rulemaking. As noted in
Section IV of the TSD, we are not taking action on any portion of
Chapter 11 and the requirements of that chapter, which mainly
incorporate by reference the requirements of the federal PSD program at
40 CFR 52.21, remain in effect.
Regarding the commenter's statement that EPA should take action to
disapprove Reg. 19.407(C) as it is currently approved into the SIP,
aside from the revisions to 407(C)(2)(a) and 407(C)(2)(b) which are
clearly annotated in Section IV of the TSD, the other portions of Reg.
19.407 are not being revised by our current rulemaking.\6\ Therefore,
the other SIP-approved portions of Reg. 19.407 will remain unchanged by
our rulemaking. As previously stated in our responses, any comment on
provisions that are not being revised as part of our rulemaking is
irrelevant to this action. Further, our current rulemaking does not
reopen the current SIP-approved and unchanged provisions for any
action, including disapproval.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ Reg. 407(C)(2)(a) and (b) contain the de minimis change
emissions and air quality impacts thresholds.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that because the minor NSR revisions
could allow for increased deterioration in air quality over PSD
baseline concentration the EPA cannot approve such a SIP revision
without a demonstration that it will not cause or contribute to a
violation of the applicable PSD increment. The commenter listed the
following as chances for increased deterioration resulting from the SIP
revision: (1) The minor NSR SIP revisions submitted by ADEQ allow for
an increase in allowable emission rates to occur under the de minimis
provisions of Reg. 19.407(C)(7); (2) Reg. 19.417 allows sources
currently holding permits pursuant to Reg. 19 but whose emissions are
below the permitting thresholds to submit a registration request under
Reg. 18.315, which is a state-only rule and not part of the SIP, and
request that their permit containing federally enforceable requirements
be terminated; and (3) to the extent ADEQ ensures compliance with the
PSD increment as part of its minor NSR program, the relaxation in the
sizes of sources and modifications subject to minor NSR permitting also
could allow increased deterioration of air quality above baseline
concentration. The commenter also stated that the modeling analysis
provided by ADEQ to support approval of the minor NSR relaxations
included violations of the Class I and Class II PM10
increments that were predicted due to the increased emissions
thresholds that would exempt from minor NSR review under the proposed
SIP revision, which indicates that an unpermitted source pursuant to
the expanded exemptions from Arkansas' minor NSR could cause an
exceedance of the PM10 increment. The commenter also stated
that pursuant to CAA section 110(l) and 40 CFR 51.166(a)(2), EPA cannot
approve a SIP submittal which admittedly allows a violation of the PSD
increments.
Response: We agree with the commenter that the revisions to the
Arkansas minor NSR program do allow larger increases in allowable
emissions to be authorized via the de minimis change rule by increasing
the de minimis change thresholds. We also agree that the revisions
allow currently permitted sources with emissions that fall between the
old minor NSR permitting thresholds and the revised permitting
thresholds to submit a registration under Reg. 18.315 and request that
their Reg. 19 permit be
[[Page 30558]]
terminated. However, the applicable legal test for determining
approvability of these revisions, which revise the minor NSR program so
that it becomes less stringent, is the requirement of CAA section
110(l), EPA cannot approve a revision to the SIP if it interferes with
applicable requirements of the Act. The PSD increment requirement found
at 40 CFR 51.166(a)(2) is inapplicable here because it is required to
be met by a major source/major modification application, not a minor
NSR permitting application. The major source/major modification
application must show that the PSD increment is not violated and the
applicant's modeling must include the emissions from all of the nearby
minor sources, as well as any other nearby major sources. If the major
source/major modification modeling shows the PSD increment will be
violated by the proposed construction/modification, then the major
source/major modification must reduce its requested emissions or obtain
reductions from the other sources impacting the increment. Because the
burden of not violating the PSD increment is placed on the source
subject to PSD, the PSD increment requirement does not apply to a minor
NSR permitting SIP. As stated previously in our responses to the
commenter, the PSD increment requirements are contained in the PSD
rules under 40 CFR 51.166 and apply only to sources subject to PSD.
They do not apply to minor sources. Therefore, an increment analysis
would only be required to be completed as part of a PSD permitting
action (Reg. 19, Chapter 9) and would be a separate analysis than that
completed as part of the NAAQS demonstration. Further, the air quality
modeling that was conducted by Arkansas was conducted for NAAQS
compliance demonstration purposes as part of the 110(l) non-
interference demonstration. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision
Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor Source
Permit Thresholds.) Because the PSD increment analysis and NAAQS
analysis serve separate and distinct purposes, these analyses use
different modeling approaches and often different model inputs.
Therefore, a modeling demonstration conducted for NAAQS compliance
cannot be relied upon to make a modeled PSD increment analysis
determination, such as if a PSD increment violation exists. Therefore,
we do not agree with the commenter that the NAAQS modeling indicates
that the proposed SIP revision allows a violation of the PSD
increments. We also do not agree that the modeled PM10
impacts exceed the referenced increments because the state's modeling
analysis did not include a PSD increment analysis for comparison with
the PSD increments to determine if a predicted exceedance occurred. In
addition, we reiterate that a PSD increment analysis is not necessary
as part of a 110(l) analysis to support revisions to a minor NSR
permitting program, since the federal PSD increment analysis
requirement at 40 CFR 51.166(a)(2) is not applicable to minor NSR
programs.
Comment: The commenter stated that a comparison of emissions that
could be exempt from the relaxed minor NSR with total statewide
emissions across the state of more than 53,000 square miles does not
give any indication of whether the exempted emissions would interfere
with attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS or increments. As such, the
commenter stated that the emissions comparison analysis does not
provide information relevant to whether the relaxations to Arkansas'
minor NSR program will interfere with attainment or maintenance of the
NAAQS or any other CAA requirement.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that the emissions
inventory analysis for the emissions exempt from minor NSR permitting
based on the revised permitting thresholds does not provide information
that is relevant to the 110(l) analysis. This analysis serves to
determine the scope, or portion of emissions that would not undergo
minor NSR permitting requirements relative to the statewide emissions.
The approach to determine the scope is independent of the physical size
of the state since the emissions inventory analysis was conducted to
compare exempt emissions with the statewide emissions inventory. As
detailed in our proposed rulemaking the scope of emissions anticipated
to be exempt from minor NSR permitting by the revised permitting
thresholds was minimal. The pollutant-based emissions inventory
analysis showed that the scope of emissions exempt from permitting
based on the revised permitting thresholds ranged from 0.006% to 0.125%
of the total statewide emissions. This analysis clearly demonstrates
that the magnitude of emissions that would be exempt from minor NSR
permitting program makes up an extremely small portion of the statewide
emissions. The state did not rely solely on the emissions inventory
analysis to demonstrate NAAQS compliance. This emissions inventory
analysis was coupled with additional analyses specifically looking at
ambient concentrations (monitoring trends analysis) and potential
ambient impacts (modeling analysis) that were completed by ADEQ as part
of the 110(l) demonstration. The modeling trends analysis looked
specifically at the current status of ambient air quality and the
trends in ambient concentrations since the 2008 state adoption and on-
going implementation of the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds.
The modeling analysis examined the potential impacts of the exempt
emissions on ambient air quality via local and regional air quality
modeling. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revisions Submittal Appendix C--
2010 Minor NSR Permitting Thresholds and De Minimis Levels SIP
Technical Support Document and Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling
Analysis of Minor Source Permitting Thresholds. Monitoring analysis is
discussed on pages 3-17 of Appendix C. Modeling analysis is discussed
on pages 17-25 of Appendix C and pages 1-35 of Appendix D.) Regarding
interference with increments, we previously responded regarding the
non-applicability of PSD increment requirements to the 110(l) analysis
completed for this rulemaking.
Comment: The commenter stated that ADEQ's emissions analysis was
incomplete because it analyzed sources with allowable emissions less
than the emission thresholds of Reg. 19.401 when the exemptions for new
sources are not based on ``allowable emissions,'' but instead are based
on ``actual emissions.'' The commenter also claimed the analysis was
incomplete because it does not project total emissions that might be
exempt from minor NSR in the future and instead reflects on sources
that may request permits to be revoked because they are no longer
subject to minor NSR permitting requirements found in Reg. 19, Chapter
4.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that the emissions
inventory analysis conducted for the permitting thresholds exemptions
was incomplete. In their analysis, ADEQ compiled a complete list of all
currently permitted minor NSR sources and determined which currently
permitted sources would not be required to obtain a permit based on the
revised permitting thresholds. It is important to note that this
analysis included the review of all currently permitted facilities in
the minor NSR program which spanned the entirety of the program--
meaning all active minor NSR permits that had been issued by ADEQ. EPA
originally SIP-approved the Arkansas construction permitting
requirements in October
[[Page 30559]]
1976 (effective November 1976).\7\ This means that ADEQ looked at all
minor NSR permits that had ever been issued and were still active. To
determine the percentage of emissions exempt from permitting, the
permitted emission rates were totaled for each pollutant and compared
with the total emissions from the statewide emissions inventory. The
state's analysis based on the permitted allowable emissions is more
conservative than the use of actual emissions for those permitted
sources since they represent the maximum permit allowable emissions for
the particular source. In most cases, the actual emissions would be
less than the allowable emissions because of actual operations at less
than maximum levels during a given calendar year and because of non-
operational periods that may have taken place. If the state had further
refined their analysis to determine the historical actual emissions
emitted by the currently permitted sources which would not be required
to be permitted under the new thresholds and compared the total actual
emissions with the total statewide emissions inventory, the actual
emissions would be expected to make up an even smaller fraction of the
total statewide emissions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ EPA originally approved the Arkansas requirements for
permitting the construction of new and modified sources, which were
contained in the Regulation of Plan (ROP) Section 4--Permits, on
October 5, 1976, effective November 4, 1976. (41 FR 43904) EPA later
approved the recodification of the permitting requirements for minor
sources from ROP Section 4 into Regulation 19, Chapter 4--Minor
Source Review on October 26, 2000, effective November 15, 2000. (65
FR 61103)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As stated above, Arkansas conducted the emissions review as a part
of the 110(l) demonstration to determine the scope of emissions that
were previously subject to minor NSR permitting that would be exempt
from permitting under the revised thresholds. As stated above, Arkansas
reviewed their entire minor NSR permitting universe, which included all
active permits that had historically been issued by ADEQ, to determine
the currently permitted emissions that would be exempt from minor NSR
permitting under the revised permitting thresholds.\8\ They found that
the magnitude of currently permitted emissions that would be exempt
from minor NSR permitting was a fraction of a percent of the total
emissions in the statewide emissions inventory. (The range of
calculated percentages by pollutant was 0.006% to 0.125%.) While
emissions will be exempt in the future, the emissions inventory
analysis shows the percentage of statewide emissions that were exempt
from permitting for the entire minor NSR program based on the revised
permitting thresholds indicates that the magnitude of emissions exempt
from minor NSR permitting in the future will continue to make up a
small fraction of the total statewide emissions. In addition, the
state's regulations require that a source exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the new revised permitting thresholds but with
emissions greater than the previous thresholds obtain a registration in
accordance with Reg. 18.315, which allows ADEQ to keep track of the
sources exempt as a result of the new thresholds. In addition to the
emissions inventory analysis, Arkansas provided additional analyses,
both monitoring and modeling, to further show the limited potential
impacts of the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds. The monitoring
analysis examined statewide ambient air quality data since the adoption
of the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds in 2008 for CO,
NOX, SO2, VOC, and PM10, including the
examination of trends in design values (DVs). Since adoption of the
revised thresholds, the DVs remain unchanged or show downward
thresholds since the 2008 adoption of revised thresholds.\9\ The
modeling analysis included regional-scale photochemical and local-scale
air dispersion modeling to examine the potential impacts from emissions
exempt from minor NSR permitting based on the revised thresholds. (See
the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality
Modeling Analysis of Minor Source Permit Thresholds.) As expected, both
the regional and local modeling indicated some increases in model
predicted concentration as a result of adding the exempt emissions into
the modeled emissions inventory. However, for all pollutants and
averaging period, the resulting ambient concentrations were less than
the corresponding NAAQS. As stated in our proposed rulemaking, we find
that the analyses submitted by Arkansas as part of the 110(l)
demonstration show that the revised thresholds will not interfere with
attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS.\10\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\8\ Ibid.
\9\ The Springdale ozone monitor was the only exception and
showed increased DVs since 2008. ADEQ did further evaluation of the
Springdale monitor and determined that the increase in the monitored
ozone DVs at this monitor are likely due to the increase in mobile
emissions in the Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers MSA as a result of
rapid population growth in that area (population grew by over 65,000
people in the 2007-2014 timeframe. The monitoring trends analysis
included in the March 24, 2017 SIP submittal indicated that the
2012-2014 DV at the Springdale monitor was 67 ppb (as compared with
the 2008 and 2015 O3 NAAQS of 75 and 70 ppb,
respectively).
\10\ EPA's review of the monitoring and modeling analyses is
detailed in Pages 27-33 of the Technical Support Document that
accompanied our proposed rulemaking and if available in the docket.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that the emissions inventory analysis
of the de minimis increases allowed (based on the 2016 de minimis
approvals) is not persuasive because, the increased de minimis
thresholds have not yet been approved as part of the SIP, and thus it
is not reasonable to assume that all sources that might take advantage
of this rule did take advantage of this rule in 2016. The commenter
also states that because the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds
and de minimis levels have not been approved as part of the SIP, the
state cannot infer anything in the monitoring trends analysis regarding
the impacts of the revised minor NSR rules on air pollutant
concentrations from reviewing past monitoring data and trends since it
is likely that sources would be unwilling to rely on the revised values
prior to SIP approval.
Response: We do agree with the commenter's claims that the SIP
approval status of the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels impacts the validity or persuasiveness of the
data included in the emissions inventory and monitoring trends
analyses. While the revised de minimis change rule provisions are not
approved into the current Arkansas SIP, they are adopted by the state
into the state regulations and thereby state law. The CAA requires
states to adopt, after reasonable notice and public hearings, revised
regulations for submission to EPA as SIP revisions. (See CAA
110(a)(1)). Since adoption of the revised permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels into their states regulations, Arkansas has been
implementing those revised levels through the issuance of Reg. 18
registrations and de minimis change approvals. Lookback information
regarding the historical de minimis change approvals was specifically
cited in the emissions inventory analysis portion of the 110(l)
demonstration. The calendar year (CY2016) de minimis change approvals
included approval issued based on the revised thresholds that were
adopted as state law December 2008 (effective January 2009). ADEQ has
subsequently provided more information regarding the number of Reg. 18
registrations (issued to those sources exempt from minor NSR permitting
with emissions that fall within the old and revised permitting
[[Page 30560]]
thresholds) submitted and de minimis change approvals issued since the
adoption of the revised regulations. This additional lookback
information clearly indicates that sources have been utilizing the
revised thresholds--75 registrations have been submitted since the
permitting thresholds were revised and 476 de minimis change actions
have taken place since 2010.\11\ Because state law requires that if a
source used either the minor NSR permitting thresholds or de minimis
changes levels to avoid minor NSR permitting the source must submit the
required registration (in accordance with Reg. 19.417 and Reg. 18.315)
or obtain the required approval (in accordance with Reg. 19.407(C)(6)),
a source not accounted for in the lookback information provided by ADEQ
would have been, and still is, in violation of state law. Furthermore,
ADEQ has indicated that since the adoption of the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels, they are not aware
of any instance where a source has been unwilling to utilize the
revised thresholds because of the status of the revisions with respect
to the SIP.\12\ Based on the historical information provided, we find
that the data included in the emissions inventory and monitoring trends
analyses is valid and reflects the reality and do not agree with the
commenter that nothing can be inferred from those analyses regarding
the impacts of the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis levels. Following adoption of the revised permitting thresholds
and de minimis change levels in 2008, Arkansas began implementing the
revised provisions (at the owner or operator's own risk of federal
enforcement) to exempt qualifying sources from minor NSR permitting
requirements. The persuasiveness of data used in the monitoring trends
analysis is not dependent on the SIP approval status.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\11\ The number of Reg. 18 registrations submitted and de
minimis change actions provided via emails received from Ms. Tricia
Treece, ADEQ, on July 5, 2017.
\12\ Information regarding source inquiries to utilize SIP-
approved thresholds instead of revised thresholds provided during
telephone discussion between Ms. Ashley Mohr, EPA, and Mr. Thomas
Rheaume and Ms. Tricia Treece, ADEQ, on March 16, 2018.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that the de minimis exemption is
based on a comparison of allowable emissions increases, thus it could
allow larger increases in actual emissions than the tpy emissions
thresholds in Reg. 19.407(C). Thus, the commenter states that any
analysis, including the emissions inventory analysis, presented by ADEQ
about the thresholds is not sufficient to ensure that the actual
emissions increases allowed by the de minimis exemption will not
threaten NAAQS attainment or maintenance or otherwise interfere with
the control strategy. Similarly, the commenter also stated that the
photochemical modeling also did not model the true increase in
emissions that could be allowed--the actual emissions increases
resulting from a de minimis change could be significantly higher than
the de minimis levels and the actual emissions from a new source could
exceed projected actuals that were used as a basis to exempt the source
from permitting.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that the emissions
inventory analysis and modeling analysis provided by ADEQ is not
sufficient to support the proposed revisions to the de minimis change
levels. Also, we do not agree with the commenters that the analysis
provided by Arkansas did not model the true increase in emissions that
could be allowed under Arkansas' relaxed minor NSR program (i.e., those
emissions exempt from minor NSR permitting requirements based on the
revised permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels) under the
revised minor NSR program. As stated in our proposed rulemaking, the de
minimis change levels listed in Reg. 19.407(C)(2)(a) are the maximum
increases in permitted emission rates that can be exempt from minor NSR
permitting requirements via the de minimis change rule. As such, to
demonstrate that the proposed SIP revision resulting in revised de
minimis change levels will not interfere with NAAQS compliance, it is
reasonable that the 110(l) demonstration should evaluate the projected
impacts resulting from the maximum emission increases allowed by the
revised rule (i.e., the de minimis change levels). As documented in the
modeling report submitted as part of the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal, Arkansas did follow this approach in their 110(l)
demonstration and evaluated the impacts resulting from emission rates
equal to the de minimis change levels. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP
Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permit Thresholds.) When a source seeks authorization for a
proposed change at a facility via the de minimis change provision, they
are requesting authorization specifically for the increase in the
permitting emission rates. The previously permitted emission rates
underwent a previous minor NSR permitting review and were demonstrated
to be in compliance with the NAAQS. Evaluation of emissions accounted
for in the pre-de minimis change permitted emission rates, which were
previously authorized and evaluated for NAAQS compliance under an
existing permit, are beyond the scope of the 110(l) analysis for the
revised de minimis change levels. Therefore, a NAAQS demonstration
associated with the potential impacts from a de minimis change should
be based on the magnitude of increases in the permitted emission rates,
which are being authorized via the de minimis change rule. With respect
to the photochemical modeling, the purpose of the modeling analysis
submitted by Arkansas was to demonstrate that those emissions exempt
from permitting based on the revised thresholds would not cause a NAAQS
violation.
In the case of a new source that has actual emissions in excess of
the minor NSR permitting thresholds without an issued permit
authorizing those emissions, the source would be in violation of the
minor NSR permitting requirements contained in Reg. 19, Chapter 4, and
they could be subject to an enforcement action. For example, if a
source was initially constructed as a seasonal source with emission
below the de minimis levels, it is exempt from permitting. However, if
the source's actual emissions rise above those levels without first
obtaining a permit, it would be in violation of minor NSR. It is
reasonable (for the purposes of demonstrating compliance with 110(l))
to assume a new source would be required to obtain a permit to
authorize the emissions and demonstrate they will not cause or
contribute to a violation of a NAAQS if they have actual emissions
above the minor NSR permitting thresholds. Therefore, the scenarios
involving potentially violating sources are not a reasonable scenario
to be included in an analysis conducted to support the minor NSR
permitting thresholds.
In the case of a de minimis change, the emissions exempt from minor
NSR permitting by the de minimis change rule are the increases in the
permitted emission rates. For the de minimis revisions to be approvable
the analysis should demonstrate that the increases in the permitted
emissions will not cause a NAAQS violation. By modeling the minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels for each pollutant,
Arkansas did evaluate the prospective impacts associated with the
emission levels that could qualify for exemption from minor NSR
permitting requirements under the revised rule.
[[Page 30561]]
Comment: The commenter stated that the analysis of the de minimis
increases allowed (based on the 2016 de minimis approvals) is not
persuasive because 2016 only reflects one year of implementation and
this rule will be in effect for the foreseeable future.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that the emissions
inventory analysis for the de minimis changes is not persuasive because
it is limited to 2016. CY2016 provides a portion of time when the
revised thresholds were being relied upon by owners and operators in
Arkansas. The review of emissions associated with de minimis changes
limited to CY2016 found that the 2016 emissions inventory analysis
shows the percentage of statewide emissions exempt by the de minimis
change levels in the range of 0.0005 to 0.019%. While the analysis was
limited to one calendar year, as discussed in our proposal, at these
percentage levels it would require over 50 times the NOX
emissions authorized in 2016 to approach 1% of the statewide emissions
and over 300 times the emissions for the other pollutants. In addition,
this analysis conservatively did not account for any emissions
decreases occurring as part of the approved de minimis changes. In
addition, the analysis for 2016 was conservative in that it did not
account for emissions decreases that did occur as part of the de
minimis changes. We believe that additional analysis beyond one
calendar year is unnecessary because the CY2016 data, that did not
account for any associated emissions decreases, shows that exempt
emissions makes up such a small fraction (much less than 1% for all
pollutants) of the total statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter restates that a comparison of emissions that
could be exempt from minor NSR permitting based on the revised de
minimis change levels with total statewide emissions does not give any
indication of whether the exempt emissions would interfere with
attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS because of the various factors
(such as: Stack parameters, operational stages, topography, and
meteorology) that dictate ambient impacts. Because of the variability
of these factors between sources, the commenter stated that the fact
that two sources have similar annual emissions is not a rational basis
to claim that they have similar ambient impacts.
Response: We do agree with the commenter that a variety of factors
may dictate ambient impacts, and that reliance on the state's emissions
inventory analysis does not demonstrate non-interference with the
NAAQS. Instead, the emissions inventory analysis serves to determine
the scope, or portion, of emissions that would not undergo minor NSR
permitting based on the revised thresholds. However, the state did not
only rely upon the emissions inventory analysis to demonstrate NAAQS
compliance. The state addressed ambient concentrations and potential
ambient impacts by looking specifically at the current status of
ambient air quality, the historical ambient air quality trends since
adoption in 2008 and the on-going implementation of the revised de
minimis levels, and the potential impacts of the exempt emissions on
ambient air quality via local dispersion (AERMOD) and regional
photochemical (CMAQ) air quality modeling. As previously discussed in
our responses, the monitoring analysis shows that since the adoption
and implementation of the revised permitting thresholds and de minimis
change levels the overall trends in DVs are either unchanged or
decreasing. Meanwhile, the local and regional modeling analyses show
that model predicted concentrations resulting from the addition of the
emissions exempt from permitting remain less than the NAAQS. (See the
March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling
Analysis of Minor Source Permit Thresholds.) While the emissions
inventory analysis served to determine the scope, or portion of
emissions that would not undergo minor NSR permitting requirements
based on the revised de minimis change levels relative to the statewide
emissions, the monitoring and modeling analyses completed as part of
the 110(l) analysis accounted for the various factors cited by the
commenter in evaluating the impacts of the revised de minimis levels.
Specifically, the results from the air quality modeling analyses were
impacted by the following factors, which are included as air quality
model inputs: Emissions, stack parameters, topography and meteorology.
Comment: The commenter stated that there are numerous other factors
that came into play during the same timeframe that could cause
pollutant concentrations to decrease in the timeframe right after the
December 2008 adoption of the minor NSR rule relaxations, including:
The Great Recession began in 2007 and continued through 2009; natural
gas prices dropped significantly and renewable sources of power
generation became more competitive, reducing demand for coal-fired
power plants which was replaced by gas turbines and renewables; various
vehicle emission and liquid fuel standards came into effect; and less
fuel efficient vehicles were replaced with more fuel efficient
vehicles. The commenter stated that these factors make it very
difficult for ADEQ to infer anything regarding the relaxations to its
minor NSR program through the review of how air monitoring design
values have changed over time.
Response: We agree that the monitoring data reflects not only the
impacts of the revised thresholds and de minimis levels, but other
factors such as those cited by the commenter as well. However, the
monitoring analysis does show that since Arkansas' adoption in 2008 and
ongoing implementation of the revised values, the monitored ambient
concentration data shows no NAAQS issues along with overall decreasing
trends in DVs for some pollutants indicative of improved air quality
since 2008. The monitoring analysis submitted by Arkansas spanned eight
years of ambient data (2007-2014, which includes and extends beyond the
time period referenced as ``the Great Recession'' by the commenter).
The 8-year period covered in the ambient monitoring study is a
reasonable and representative period of time to examine the impacts of
the revised thresholds while also accounting for the variability in the
other factors that may contribute to ambient concentrations. Further,
we would like to point out that a NAAQS demonstration, including
demonstrations of non-interference with attainment or maintenance of
the NAAQS under section 110(l), should reflect ambient air quality as a
whole, which would take into account the impacts on ambient
concentrations resulting from the revised minor NSR regulations, as
well as, the other factors mentioned by the commenter. As shown in the
referenced monitoring analysis, the resulting ambient concentrations
including the impacts from the minor NSR program revisions do not
indicate NAAQS compliance issues. As stated in our proposal, the
monitoring trends analysis is one part of the demonstration provided by
Arkansas that supports the finding that the revised permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels will not adversely impact NAAQS
attainment or maintenance. In addition to the monitoring analysis, the
modeling analysis is an important element of the NAAQS compliance
demonstration and as discussed in our proposed rulemaking and previous
responses, the modeling results indicate that the addition of the
emissions exempt from minor NSR permitting requirements will
[[Page 30562]]
not interfere with NAAQS compliance. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP
Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permit Thresholds.)
Comment: The commenter stated that because the state does not have
a monitoring network that covers all pollutants and all areas of the
state where industrial sources are constructing and operating, a review
of the monitoring data from Arkansas monitors provides an incomplete
picture of the NAAQS attainment status around the state.
Response: We do not agree that Arkansas' submittal provided an
incomplete picture of NAAQS attainment around the state. The ambient
monitoring analysis was one part of the demonstration provided by the
state to meet the 110(l) requirement. The monitoring trends analysis
discussion included in Appendix C of the March 24, 2017 SIP revision
submittal includes a figure showing the Arkansas Ambient Air Monitoring
Network. This network includes ambient monitoring for the NAAQS \13\ at
monitoring sites located throughout the state in accordance with
federal requirements.\14\ The State of Arkansas' ambient air monitoring
network is reviewed each year to ensure the air quality surveillance
system continues to meet applicable requirements. The most recent
review of the ambient air monitoring network for Arkansas, the 2017
Annual Monitoring Network Plan, was reviewed and approved by EPA on
October 3, 2017, as meeting the requirements of 40 CFR and its
appendices. The analysis of the available monitoring data does provide
valuable information about the current ambient air quality in the
state, and the historical trends analysis of the data shows that since
the adoption in 2008 and the ongoing implementation of the revised
exemption thresholds, ambient air quality has not been adversely
impacted. In fact, as discussed in our proposed rulemaking, for several
pollutants the ambient air quality has shown continued improvements
since the state adoption and implementation of the revised thresholds.
This information was supplemented by the additional analyses conducted
by Arkansas, one of which specifically addresses the comment regarding
the completeness of the picture of attainment status around the state.
As discussed in our proposed rulemaking, Arkansas completed a modeling
analysis to determine the potential impacts from sources exempt from
permitting based on the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de
minimis change levels, which included statewide modeling. (See the
March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling
Analysis of Minor Source Permit Thresholds.) Arkansas conducted
photochemical modeling to support the revised thresholds based on a
previous statewide modeling effort conducted for the 2008 base year and
the 2008/2015 future year scenarios. For the minor NSR thresholds
analysis, the future year (2015) emissions inventory was modified to
include eight hypothetical point sources that were distributed
throughout the state's Air Quality Control Regions. The emission rates
for each of the hypothetical sources were set equal to the revised
minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis levels. The statewide
maximum impacts for each day resulting from the hypothetical sources
was added to the unmodified future year concentration for each day and
grid cell. The resulting concentrations represented the maximum ambient
concentrations including impacts from the threshold emission increases
at any location located throughout Arkansas. While the results from the
photochemical modeling showed that while the addition of the
hypothetical source emissions may increase the predicted concentrations
within most grid cells, the calculated FDVs were still less than each
of the NAAQS at each monitoring site. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP
Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor
Source Permit Thresholds.)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\13\ EPA has set National Ambient Air Quality Standards for six
principal pollutants, called criteria pollutants: Carbon Monoxide
(CO), Lead (Pb), Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2), Ozone
(O3), Particulate Matter (PM), and Sulfur Dioxide
(SO2), as indicated in 40 CFR part 50 and appendices.
\14\ See 40 CFR part 58 and its appendices for federal
requirements related to measuring ambient air quality and for
reporting ambient air quality data and related information.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that it is not appropriate to rely on
a modeling assessment intended to estimate future pollutant
concentrations out to 2015 to assess whether Arkansas' relaxed minor
NSR program will interfere with attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS.
The commenter based their statement on the possibility that some of the
rules that were relied on for the 2015 emission inventories could go
away, the possibility of an economic boom in the state, the possibility
of growth in a certain type of industry, or a combination of these
events, which in turn could result in the approval of this SIP
relaxation interfering with attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS in
the future despite the CMAQ (photochemical) modeling predictions for
2015.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that the use of the
future year (FY) modeling for 2015 is not appropriate.\15\ Arkansas
submitted several analyses as part of the 110(l) demonstration, with
the modeling assessment being one part of the demonstration submitted
to support the proposed revisions to the Arkansas SIP. As such, our
determination regarding the approvability of the SIP revisions relied
on the combined demonstration and not just one element. Regarding the
use of the future year modeling, Arkansas used this modeling in
combination with the baseline modeling to determine RRFs both with and
without the hypothetical exempt sources to calculate FDVs) \16\ \17\
\18\ These FDVs were used to compare and contrast those DVs and
determine the potential impacts of the exempt sources. This approach
allowed for a quantitative comparison to determine what potential
impacts would be expected from the
[[Page 30563]]
additional emissions associated with sources and/or de minimis changes
that would be exempt from minor NSR permitting requirements based on
the revised thresholds. The quantitative comparison provided
information regarding relative difference in impacts both with and
without the newly exempt emissions compared with the NAAQS. When
conducting future year modeling, informed assumptions must be made and
some of these assumptions may differ from the actual real world
conditions present when the future year becomes the present.\19\
However, it is important to note that the future year modeling approach
was conducted in order to quantify the relative change in ambient
concentrations resulting from the added potential impacts from the
newly exempt sources using RRFs. Specifically, this analysis results in
the calculation of FDVs both with and without the hypothetical source
emissions and the difference between the FDVs represents the modeled
predicted impacts from those emissions on ambient concentrations. The
results of this quantitative comparison of ambient impacts with and
without the newly exempt sources are not expected to deviate
significantly, even with actual real world conditions potentially being
different than the assumed modeled conditions, since the analysis
focused on the relative impacts of the addition of the hypothetical
source emissions. We believe that the future year modeling approach
used by Arkansas that focused on the quantitative difference in the
relative ambient impacts with and without the hypothetical sources is
reasonable and informative for a 110(l) demonstration in that it
specifically evaluated the impacts from newly exempt emissions based on
revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis levels. The
concerns raised by the commenter regarding the state's ability to
predict the exact conditions of a future year do not change our
determination that this approach is reasonable. In fact, the inclusion
of informed assumptions in a future year modeling analysis is not only
reasonable, but also necessary, since neither we nor Arkansas can know
with any certainty what emissions and/or sources may change in the
future. The inclusion of informed assumptions in the modeling analysis
provides a reasonable estimate of future levels, given the inability to
foresee the future. If ADEQ modified or removed any SIP-approved
regulations (as relied upon to make these assumptions) and relax the
SIP and render them substantially inadequate to attain or maintain the
relevant NAAQ's standard, EPA has the authority to publish a SIP call
Federal Register notice requiring the state to adopt and submit a
110(l) justification for the relaxation. Regarding the commenter's
concern with potential boom in industrial growth, those sources seeking
a construction permit, such as a PSD permit, would have to demonstrate
NAAQS compliance as part of their permit application modeling. As such,
we find that the state's analysis based on future year photochemical
modeling, along with the additional modeling, monitoring, and emissions
inventory analyses, demonstrate that the revised thresholds are not
expected to adversely impact the state's ability to attain and maintain
the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\15\ Arkansas's initial statewide criteria pollutant modeling
was conducted prior to 2015 using base case years of 2005 and 2008
and a future year of 2015. The final modeling report detailing this
initial modeling entitled ``Criteria Pollutant Modeling Analysis for
Arkansas'' dated July 28, 2014 was included in the March 24, 2017
SIP revision submittal. Arkansas relied upon the 2015 modeling
scenario from this statewide modeling as the baseline scenario in
the minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels
modeling. They modified the 2015 emissions inventory to include the
hypothetical source to represent the addition of emissions from a
newly exempt emissions source based on the revised thresholds in
order to examine the potential impacts and sensitivity of model
predicted ambient concentrations to the exempt emissions.
\16\ A RRF is the ratio of future case modeled concentrations to
base case modeled concentrations, which is used to quantify the
relative impacts of the emissions added to the model. In the
photochemical modeling conducted by ADEQ, the base case modeled
concentrations are taken from the 2015 modeling without the
hypothetical sources added while the future case modeling results
are taken from the 2015 modeling plus the 8 modeled hypothetical
sources. Therefore, the RRFs calculated in this modeling analysis
quantify the relative impacts from the additional emissions from the
hypothetical sources that would be exempt from permitting based on
the new thresholds/de minimis levels.
\17\ RRFs can be used to estimate FDVs, which are determined by
applying the RRF ratios to monitored design values from the base
year taken from ambient monitoring data.
\18\ Arkansas applied the RRFs derived from the 2015 baseline
and 2015 baseline with hypothetical sources modeling analyses to
calculated FDVs at all ambient monitoring locations for each
pollutant. The difference between these FDVs represents the impacts
from the hypothetical source emissions on ambient air quality.
Appendix D of the March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal contains the
details of this analysis including the calculated RRFs and FDVs.
\19\ The methodology used by Arkansas to develop the modeled
future year 2015 emissions inventory is detailed in Section 3.6 of
the ``Criteria Pollutant Modeling Analysis for Arkansas'' report
provided in Appendix D of the March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal.
The 2015 emissions inventory was assumed equal to the 2014 emissions
inventory with no further adjustments that were prepared based on as
part of the EPA's 2005-based platform, which included future year
cases developed from it, that was used in the Final Transport Rule
modeling (available at ftp://ftp.epa.gov/EmisInventory/2005v4_2/).
Arkansas did adjust the emissions inventory to include a new
facility (AEP Service Corporations' John W. Turk, Jr. facility
located in southwestern Arkansas.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that photochemical modeling submitted
by Arkansas in support of the SIP revisions does not give a rational
picture of the effect the SIP relaxations could have on air quality in
Arkansas. The commenter stated that first, there could clearly be more
than 8 sources, which was the number of sources included in the
photochemical modeling, exempt from permitting under the revised minor
NSR rules. The commenter also stated that the photochemical modeling
did not model the worst case conditions such as terrain, stack height,
stack temperature and velocity.
Response: While we agree with the commenters that the potential
number of exemptions resulting from the revised rule may not be limited
to 8 sources, we do not agree with their assessment that the modeling
analysis was limited to the impacts from only those 8 sources. Arkansas
submitted statewide modeling that accounted for cumulative impacts from
the 8 hypothetical sources along with the emissions contained in the
statewide emissions inventory. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision
Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor Source
Permit Thresholds.) The 8 modeled sources were distributed throughout
the state's Air Quality Control Regions. The modeling results showed
the impacts of the addition of these eight hypothetical sources to the
predicted ambient concentrations. In addition, the modeling
extrapolated for the maximum modeled impacts from the hypothetical
sources applied at each modeled grid cell throughout the state. In
addition to examining the modeled impacts from these 8 hypothetical
sources in their chosen locations in the Air Quality Control Regions,
the modeling analysis conducted by Arkansas also looked at the impacts
of sources with emissions equal to the revised thresholds throughout
the state. This analysis was accomplished by determining the statewide
maximum modeled impacts in the photochemical modeling for each day
resulting from the hypothetical sources and adding those impacts to the
unmodified future year concentration for each day and grid cell. This
approach allowed the examination of the maximum predicted hypothetical
source impacts combined at different geographic/topographic locations
along with looking at those impacts combined with a variety of
cumulative source inventory impacts throughout the state. It is
impossible for the state to project each source that may be exempt
under the revised rule and unreasonable to expect the inclusion of
every potentially exempt source within an air quality modeling
analysis. We determined that the approach used by Arkansas to include a
number of hypothetical sources throughout the state and to examine the
combined impacts of these sources with background emissions sources at
each modeled grid cell in Arkansas provides information and a rational
picture regarding the potential impacts of newly exempt emissions
throughout the state. By modeling these 8 hypothetical sources with
emission rates equal to the revised thresholds, the state's approach
provided for the examination of the actual model predicted impacts at
locations within each Air Quality Control Region from the maximum level
of emissions that could be exempt from permitting for a source based on
the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis change
levels. As a second step, the approach to apply the daily maximum
modeled impacts from the hypothetical sources to each grid cell for
each day in the modeled period provided for the examination of the
impacts of the exempt emissions at each grid cell throughout the state.
In the case of the minor NSR program revisions proposed by Arkansas,
the state developed a 110(l) demonstration comprised of air quality
modeling, as well as an emissions inventory analysis and a monitoring
trends analysis. As stated in our proposed rulemaking, we found in
[[Page 30564]]
combination that the modeling analysis along with the other analyses
submitted by the state demonstrated that the proposed revisions would
not interfere with NAAQS attainment or maintenance. Based on our
review, we find the analysis conducted and the methods used to be
appropriate and sufficient to support the proposed SIP revisions,
especially for exemptions from minor NSR permitting requirements that
are expected to make up fractional percentages (<1% for all pollutants)
of the total emissions in the statewide emissions inventory--as
documented in the state supplied emissions inventory analysis.
Regarding the commenter's statement regarding the modeling of
worst-case conditions, we do not agree with the commenter. The modeling
of the worst case conditions such as terrain, stack height, stack
temperature and velocity is inappropriate for assessing whether the
relaxed applicability to Arkansas' minor NSR rule would violate the
NAAQs. The hypothetical sources included in the 110(l) demonstration
modeling were meant to represent the exempt emissions that could occur
from a variety of sources and were being modeled to examine the
potential impacts from exempt emissions as part of the demonstration of
non-interference with attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS under CAA
section 110(l). Arkansas determined representative values to be used as
model inputs for the hypothetical sources by reviewing real world stack
parameters available through their emissions inventory data. Based on
their review, the state chose the average stack conditions from the
emissions inventory data as the representative inputs for the modeled
hypothetical sources. As stated in the modeling report included in the
March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal and in our proposed rulemaking,
the state modeled the hypothetical sources with the maximum emissions
exempt by the rule (i.e., emissions equal to the thresholds values),
even though not all exempt sources would have those emissions levels.
The use of the worst case conditions (as referenced by the
commenter) is typically applied in modeling for an existing source or a
proposed source of known type/size and location as part of a case-by-
case NSR modeling analysis, such as a modeling analysis completed as
part of a PSD permit action. In the case of the modeling analysis
conducted by Arkansas to support the proposed SIP revisions, the state
was examining the potential impacts of emissions exempt from minor NSR
permitting by adding hypothetical exempt sources to represent those
added emissions in the modeled emissions inventory. The modeling
conducted by Arkansas as part of the 110(l) demonstration modeling
serves a different purpose, and therefore is inherently different than
PSD permit modeling. PSD permit modeling is conducted as part of the
source analysis PSD requirement (40 CFR 51.21(k)) to examine the
impacts from the construction or major modification of a specific,
known PSD source where model inputs are based on the actual design and
operational parameters of the emission points located at the source.
That said, we do not agree that the modeling analysis conducted by
Arkansas did not take terrain into account. As discussed previously in
this response, at least one of the modeled hypothetical sources was
located in each of the AQCRs. This allowed the examination of model
predicted impacts across the different geographic and topographic areas
in the state, including those areas in NW Arkansas with more elevated/
complex terrain (1 source located in AQCR 17 and 2 sources located in
AQCR 21), which are expected to have higher impacts. As discussed in
our evaluation of the photochemical modeling conducted by Arkansas, the
model predicted impacts from the hypothetical sources did not indicate
any model predicted violations of the NAAQS for any pollutant or
averaging period. The photochemical modeling approach was one element
of the 110(l) demonstration provided by the state to support the
proposed SIP revisions. The approaches used by Arkansas in their
modeling demonstration to determine the potential impacts from the
newly exempt emissions were reasonable and appropriate for 110(l)
analysis being conducted to demonstrate non-interference, especially
considering the small amounts of emissions expected to be exempt from
minor NSR permitting based on the revised rule relative to the current
statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that the photochemical modeling gave
no justification for where it located the sources within the state and
it is not clear if the sources were located in areas where the source's
plume could cause high concentrations due to nearby elevated terrain or
in areas where there are other significant sources of air pollutants to
determine the cumulative impacts.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that no justification
was provided for the location of the hypothetical sources within the
photochemical modeling. Arkansas did state that they placed at least
one source in each of their Air Quality Control Regions. They also
stated that the sources were typically located in or near more urban
areas of the state. A figure was included in the modeling report
showing the location of the modeled sources relative to the populated
areas in the state, which are also more likely to have larger
``background'' emissions within the modeled emissions inventory. (See
the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix C--2010 Minor NSR
Permitting Thresholds and De Minimis Levels SIP Technical Support
Document, Figure 19.) The chosen locations allowed for the examination
of impacts throughout the various regions of the state, focused on the
more populated areas. As stated in our previous response, two of the
modeled hypothetical sources were included in the areas in NW Arkansas
with more elevated/complex terrain (1 source located in AQCR 17 and 2
sources located in AQCR 21). Additionally, the modeling approach used
by the state in their 110(l) demonstration included a separate analysis
to specifically examine the model predicted concentrations at each grid
cell throughput the state when the maximum modeled impacts from the
hypothetical sources were applied. This approach allowed the
examination of the maximum hypothetical source impacts combined at
different geographic locations along with looking at those impacts
combined with a variety of cumulative source inventory impacts
throughout the state.
Comment: The commenter stated that the photochemical modeling did
not attempt to take into account the cumulative impacts of exempt
sources or modifications, and it did not include the possibility of
multiple exempt sources locating nearby each other, nor did the
modeling attempt to model more than one exemption at a single or
multiple sources over time.
Response: As discussed previously in our responses, we do not agree
that cumulative impacts analysis was not conducted as part of the
state's modeling analysis. The photochemical modeling analysis combined
the impacts from the hypothetical sources with the impacts of
background emissions inventory sources via emissions inventory model
inputs.\20\ Further, this cumulative impacts analysis was conducted in
such a way
[[Page 30565]]
as to examine the maximum modeled impacts from the hypothetical sources
with the impacts from the background emissions inventory sources at
each grid cell in the state. Regarding the cumulative impacts from
multiple exempt sources potentially located nearby each other, the
modeling report included in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal
stated that ``since the modeled impacts occur within or nearby the
source location, cumulative effects from multiple sources in multiple
grid cells are expected to be small.'' Based on the 110(l)
demonstration provided by Arkansas, which included modeling that looked
at cumulative impacts from hypothetical exempt sources and the
background emissions sources inventory, we do not find the revised
thresholds to adversely impact the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\20\ As discussed in Arkansas's ``2010 Minor NSR Permitting
Thresholds and De Minimis Levels SIP Technical Support Document''
(Appendix C to March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal), the CMAQ
photochemical modeling requires as input, hourly, gridded pollutant
emissions from both anthropogenic and biogenic sources.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that there is no indication that the
modeling took into account variability of emission rates over time to
account for the very likely possibility that an exempt source could
emit at higher rates over shorter periods of time rather than emitting
at a consistent level.
Response: It is unreasonable to expect the type of modeling
conducted by Arkansas to examine the potential impacts of a small
subset of minor sources that make up much less than 1% of the total
emissions in the statewide emissions inventory (less than or equal to
0.125% of the statewide emissions for minor NSR permitting thresholds;
less than or equal to 0.019% of the statewide emissions for de minimis
change levels) to include variable emissions modeling. The evaluation
of impacts from variable emission rates is typically associated with
modeling an existing source or a proposed source of known type/size and
operation as part of a case-by-case NSR modeling analysis (such as the
modeling conducted for PSD permitting). As stated in our previous
responses, the modeling analysis conducted by Arkansas as part of the
SIP revision submittal was completed as part of a 110(l) demonstration
for the purposes of determining the potential impacts of the revised
missions exempt from minor NSR permitting by adding hypothetical exempt
sources to represent those added emissions in the modeled emissions
inventory. Modeling conducted as part of the 110(l) demonstration is
conducted to determine whether a SIP revision will interfere with
attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS, any required milestone, or any
other requirement of the Act. Because the modeled sources were
hypothetical in nature, source-specific information including emission
rates and their potential variability, cannot be available, nor does it
need to be. As stated in the modeling report included in the March 24,
2017 SIP revision submittal and in our proposed rulemaking, in the
modeling analysis the hypothetical source emission rates were set equal
to the revised minor NSR permitting thresholds and de minimis change
levels to examine the potential impacts resulting from the newly exempt
emissions. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D--
Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor Source Permit Thresholds.) The
approaches used by Arkansas in their modeling demonstration to
determine the potential impacts from the newly exempt emissions were
reasonable and appropriate for the type of analysis being conducted,
especially considering the relatively small amount of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR permitting based on the revised
rule compared to statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that because presumably the same
emission rates, stack parameters, and sources locations were modeled
with AERMOD (dispersion model) as were modeled in the CMAQ
photochemical modeling. Therefore, they stated that all of the prior
comments raised with the CMAQ (photochemical) modeling also apply to
the AERMOD (dispersion) modeling results. The commenter also stated
that there is no indication that the air dispersion modeling accounted
for impacts from startup, shutdown and malfunction emissions.
Response: The comments raised on the CMAQ photochemical modeling
were addressed above. Those responses would also apply to the AERMOD
dispersion modeling, with some slight clarifications due to the
inherent differences between photochemical and dispersion modeling
analyses. We provide the following clarification related to the
comments raised on cumulative impacts analyses since the CMAQ
photochemical modeling and AERMOD dispersion modeling have different
approaches to account for cumulative impacts because the models differ
on how off-site background sources emissions inventories are
represented and how impacts are determined. As discussed in the
modeling report included in the March 24, 2017 SIP revisions submittal,
the CMAQ photochemical modeled concentrations/impacts from the
background emissions inventory sources were included as background
values in the AERMOD dispersion modeling and added to the AERMOD
dispersion modeled concentrations from the hypothetical sources to
determine cumulative impacts from the exempt emissions and the off-site
emissions. (See the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D--
Air Quality Modeling Analysis of Minor Source Permit Thresholds.)
Although these approaches differ because of the nature of the modeling
system used, both the CMAQ photochemical and AERMOD dispersion modeling
analyses include the cumulative impacts of the hypothetical sources
plus the background emissions inventory sources.
Regarding the modeling of impacts from startup, shutdown and
malfunction emissions, the evaluation of impacts from routine and/or
predictable startup and shutdown emissions would be associated with
modeling an existing source or a proposed source of known type/size and
operation as part of a case-by-case NSR modeling analysis, such as PSD
permit modeling.\21\ The routine and predictable startups and shutdowns
are permitted emissions which are accounted for in the emissions
inventory. As stated in our previous responses, the hypothetical
sources included in the 110(l) demonstration modeling were meant to
represent the exempt emissions that could occur from a variety of
sources and were being modeled to examine the potential impacts from
exempt emissions. Because the modeled sources were hypothetical in
nature, information regarding source inputs including a small subset of
their emissions such as source-specific startup, shutdown and
malfunction emissions, was not available, nor should it be. Further,
the emissions expected to be exempt from minor NSR permitting based on
the revised permitting thresholds and de minimis levels made up much
less than 1% of the total statewide emissions (less than or equal to
0.125% of the statewide emissions for minor NSR permitting thresholds;
less than or equal to 0.019% of the statewide emissions for de minimis
change levels) meaning that the startup, shutdown and malfunctions
being a small subset of total emissions would make up an even smaller
fraction of the statewide emissions. The commenter's expectation for
this type of analysis is unreasonable on the basis that these emissions
make up such a small fraction of the statewide emissions (that is, a
small subset of the total exempt emissions that are
[[Page 30566]]
anticipated to make up much less than 1% of the statewide emissions).
As stated in the modeling report included in the March 24, 2017 SIP
revision submittal and in our proposed rulemaking, the hypothetical
source emission rates were set equal to the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels to examine the
potential impacts resulting from the newly exempt emissions. The
approaches used by Arkansas in their modeling demonstration to
determine the potential impacts from the newly exempt emissions were
reasonable and appropriate for the type of analysis being conducted,
especially considering the relatively small amount of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR permitting based on the revised
rule compared to statewide emissions.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\21\ Any emissions resulting from unplanned startup or shutdown
activities or from malfunctions, and therefore not accounted for in
the NSR permit authorization, would be considered violations of the
SIP unless these emissions limits are reflected in a NSR SIP or a
SIP rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that the dispersion modeling did not
include the modeling of line sources and that fugitive PM10
emissions often cause increment and NAAQS violations. Therefore, the
commenter claims that the AERMOD (dispersion) modeling does not reflect
reasonable worst case impacts that could occur due to the sources and
de minimis changes exempt from minor NSR based on the SIP revisions.
Response: As discussed in our previous responses, the worst case
impacts conditions (or potential worst case source type in the case of
this comment) referenced by the commenter are typically associated with
case-by-case NSR modeling of an existing source or a proposed source
with known stack/emission characteristics (such as, modeling associated
with a PSD permit action). This would also be the case for the modeling
of line sources mentioned by the commenter. The 110(l) demonstration
modeling conducted by Arkansas in support of the SIP revisions has a
different purpose and associated requirements than case-by-case NSR
modeling. As discussed in our earlier response to the comment raised
regarding worst case stack parameters, Arkansas relied on real world
stack parameters available in their emissions inventory data to
determine representative stack parameters to represent emissions newly
exempt from minor NSR permitting via the inclusion of hypothetical
sources in their modeling analyses. Specifically, they reviewed the
stack parameters and determined the average stack parameters included
as hypothetical point sources with emissions set equal to the minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels. Because the modeled
sources were hypothetical in nature, source-specific information
including whether or not any portion of the emissions were fugitive in
nature (such as road emissions) versus stack emissions, cannot be
available, nor does it need to be. Modeling of hypothetical sources
with emissions rates set equal to the revised minor NSR permitting and
de minimis change thresholds ensures that the analysis accounts for the
maximum amount of emissions that would be exempt from minor NSR
permitting based on the revisions. The approaches used by Arkansas in
their modeling demonstration and their reliance on representative stack
parameters to determine the potential impacts from the newly exempt
emissions were reasonable and appropriate for the type of analysis
being conducted, especially considering the relatively small fraction
of emissions expected to be exempt from minor NSR permitting based on
the revised rule compared with statewide emissions.
Comment: The commenter stated that the revised Arkansas NSR program
conflicts with the requirements of section 110(2)(C). More
specifically, the commenter stated that the de minimis change
exemptions will exempt most if not all modifications at existing major
stationary sources from minor NSR permitting. They indicate that this
is in direct contrast with the intention for the new source review
program required by CAA section 110(a)(2)(C) and 40 CFR 51.160 to be a
backstop on threats to attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS posed by
new source growth that is not planned for in existing SIP rules.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that the de minimis
exemptions will exempt most if not all modifications at existing major
stationary sources from minor NSR permitting. As previously stated in
our responses, the SIP-approved Arkansas NSR program is comprised of
two types of review: ``Minor Source Review'' and ``Major Source
Review''. Arkansas operates a so-called ``merged, one permit'' system,
which is divided into these two types of review based on whether a
source is required to obtain a title V operating permit. As such,
``Minor Source Review'', which is contained in Reg. 19, Chapter 4,
applies only to those sources that are not subject to title V
permitting and require only a title I minor NSR authorization.\22\ Any
source that would be a major source for purposes of PSD review would
also be a major source subject to title V permitting. Compare 40 CFR
52.21(b)(1) (establishing major source thresholds of 100 and 250 tons
per year) with Reg. 26, Chapter 2 (defining major sources to include,
inter alia, any source with the potential to emit 100 tons per year).
Therefore, any source subject to title V, which would include any new
PSD major source and/or any modification to an existing PSD major
source, cannot utilize the de minimis change exemption found at Reg.
19.407(C). Instead, all modifications at title V sources that are not
be subject to Reg. 19, Chapter 9 would instead be subject to the
``Major Source Review'' requirements found in Reg. 26 and incorporated
by reference in Reg. 19, Chapter 11 and cannot use the de minimis
change provisions, which are limited to ``Minor Source Review'' in
Chapter 4 of Reg. 19. The revisions addressed in our proposed
rulemaking are limited to ``Minor Source Review'' under Chapter 4 of
Reg. 19 and do not impact ``Major Source Review'' in Chapter 11, which
has already been approved into the SIP as part of Arkansas' minor NSR
program, most recent approval on March 4, 2015 (See 80 FR 11573), and
which contains the permitting requirement provisions applicable to the
modifications not subject to Reg. 19, Chapter 9 at all title V sources,
including all of the sources referenced by the commenter.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\22\ As stated in our original SIP approval of Chapter 4, ``[a]
minor source is any source which does not meet the requirements of a
major source. The Act in section 302(j) defines the terms ``major
stationary source'' and ``major emitting facility'' as ``any
stationary facility of source of air pollutants which directly
emits, or has the potential to emit, one hundred tons per year of
more of any air pollutant (including any major emitting facility or
source of fugitive emissions of any such pollutant, as determined by
rule by the Administrator).'' ''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that the NSR program required by CAA
section 110(a)(2)(C) and 40 CFR 51.160 is intended to be a backstop on
threats to attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS posed by new sources
growth that is not planned for in existing SIP rules. Because of the
commenter's assessment that NSR program is an important part of the
SIP, they stated that EPA cannot approve exemptions from a minor NSR
program unless it is shown that the exemptions are truly de minimis to
the purposes of the program.
Response: We agree that the NSR program is an important part of the
SIP but this does not mean that under the CAA and the minor NSR SIP
rules, EPA cannot approve exemptions from a minor NSR program.
Consequently, what is relevant is whether or not the revisions to the
Arkansas minor NSR program are approvable under the plain reading of
the applicable statute and rules. There is no regulatory or statutory
[[Page 30567]]
prohibition that prohibits the types and/or sizes of sources that could
be exempt from the minor NSR program. In fact, the minor NSR SIP rules
at 40 CFR 51.160(e) only require that the minor NSR program include
procedures that ``identify types and sizes of facilities, buildings,
structures, or installations which will be subject to review under this
section. [and] The plan must discuss the basis for determining which
facilities will be subject to review.'' These rules furthermore require
that the plan must ensure that the issuance of minor NSR permits not
result in a violation of the control strategy or interfere with the
attainment or maintenance of a national standard. The CAA at section
110((a)(2)((C) requires regulation of the modification or construction
of any stationary source within the area as necessary (emphasis added)
to assure that the standards are achieved. As such, the CAA at section
110((a)(2)(C) and the minor NSR SIP rules found at 40 CFR 51.160-165,
as well as case law,\23\ allow exemptions from a minor NSR permitting
program. In cases such as this, where the minor NSR SIP is being
revised, the state must also demonstrate that the revisions meet the
requirements of CAA section 110(l). Similar to the provisions of the
Act and rules discussed above, section 110(l) requires that EPA cannot
approve revisions to the Arkansas minor NSR SIP unless EPA finds that
the changes would not interfere with any applicable requirement
concerning attainment and reasonable further progress, as well as any
other applicable statutory requirement. The clear reading of the Act
and the EPA rules are that EPA can approve exemptions to the Arkansas
minor NSR SIP program as long as it finds these exemptions will not
interfere with attainment or maintenance of a NAAQS or other control
strategy. Consistent with what is allowed, Arkansas has identified
revised permitting thresholds and de minimis change levels to serve as
the exemption thresholds for their minor NSR permitting program. To
support the revised exemption thresholds, Arkansas provided analyses to
define the scope of the exemptions and to demonstrate that these
revised thresholds will not adversely impact NAAQS maintenance or
attainment. The analyses, which were submitted as part of the March 24,
2017 SIP revision submittal, included: (1) An emissions inventory
analysis that determined the percentage of the statewide total
emissions inventory that would be newly exempt by the revised
thresholds; (2) a monitoring analysis that included a review of the
current status of ambient air quality in the state along with a review
of the trends in monitoring data since the state adopted and
implemented the revised thresholds; and (3) a modeling analysis that
examined the impacts of the exempt emissions on ambient concentrations.
The analyses provided by Arkansas in the SIP revision submittals show
that the minor NSR permitting exemptions resulting from the revised
rule were limited in scope and comprised much less than 1% of the total
emissions in the statewide emissions inventory and that the impacts
from the newly exempt emissions would not adversely impact NAAQS
maintenance or attainment, as part of their 110(l) demonstration. The
EPA's review of these analyses and our finding that the proposed SIP
revisions were approvable were detailed in the proposed rulemaking and
the Technical Support Document accompanying the rulemaking.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\23\ Alabama Power Company, et al., Petitioners,* v. Douglas M.
Costle, As Administrator, Environmental Protection Agency, et al.,
Respondents,* Sierra Club, et al., Intervenors.*, 636 F.2d 323 (D.C.
Cir. 1980).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that the results from the state's
AERMOD (dispersion) modeling show that the exemptions are not ``de
minimis.'' The commenter also states that the EPA must not approve the
revised program because it will interfere with the requirements that
SIPs include programs to ensure that new and modified sources not be
allowed to construct or modify if they would interfere with attainment
or maintenance of the NAAQS.
Response: Our proposed rulemaking specifically addressed the scope
of the exemptions resulting from the revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels. As discussed in our proposal,
Arkansas provided an analysis to quantify the amount of emissions that
would be expected to be exempt from minor NSR permitting requirements
relative to total emissions from the statewide emissions inventories.
For all pollutants, the exempt emissions for both the permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels made up a fraction of 1% of the
statewide emissions. Therefore, we find that the scope of emissions
expected to be exempt from minor NSR permitting as a result of the
revised minor NSR program thresholds and de minimis change levels is
extremely limited. Regarding the commenter's claim that the revised
program will interfere with NAAQS attainment or maintenance, the 110(l)
demonstration submitted by Arkansas in support of the proposed
revisions to the SIP specifically addressed the anticipated impacts on
the NAAQS through both a review of the current status of ambient air
quality in Arkansas and an evaluation the impacts of the revised
thresholds on ambient air quality via air monitoring and air modeling
data. As discussed in our proposed rulemaking, based on the ambient
monitoring trend analysis, the implementation of the revised minor NSR
permitting thresholds and de minimis levels following state adoption of
the revisions in 2008 and ongoing implementation have not negatively
impacted ambient air quality or interfered with the attainment of the
NAAQS. In fact, for several pollutants the ambient air quality has
shown continued improvements via decreases in monitored DVs during this
period; and currently Arkansas does not have any areas classified as
nonattainment for any NAAQS. Our proposal also summarized the air
quality modeling results that Arkansas submitted as part of the SIP
revisions. The modeling analysis included an evaluation of both
statewide regional-scale (photochemical) and local-scale impacts. (See
the March 24, 2017 SIP Revision Submittal, Appendix D--Air Quality
Modeling Analysis of Minor Source Permit Thresholds.) The photochemical
modeling was designed to specifically examine ozone and
PM2.5, the model also simulates NO2,
SO2, and PM10 so the results for those pollutants
were also examined. The maximum photochemical modeling derived impacts
including the hypothetical source emissions on daily maximum 8-hr
ozone, 24-hr PM2.5, and annual average PM2.5 for
any location in Arkansas was calculated. The maximum impacts including
hypothetical source emissions on daily maximum 1-hr NO2 and
SO2 and 24-hr average PM10 was also calculated.
These maximum impacts were added to the baseline modeled predicted
concentrations for each day and grid cell for the future year
simulation. The resultant model predicted concentrations represented
the future year concentrations assuming the worst-case impacts from the
threshold emission increases at any location within the modeling grid.
These model results were used in conjunction with the baseline modeling
results to calculate the RRFs necessary to estimate FDVs. The FDVs were
used to examine whether emission increases less than or equal to the
revised thresholds will cause or contribute to a NAAQS violation or
interfere with NAAQS maintenance. To further examine the potential
near-field impacts
[[Page 30568]]
from new or existing sources with emission increases less than or equal
to the revised permitting and de minimis change thresholds, a
dispersion modeling analysis was conducted. The dispersion model was
applied for the same hypothetical sources used in the photochemical
modeling with emissions set to the revised thresholds. The dispersion
model was applied for one year for NOX, SO2, CO,
and PM10. For each source location, daily concentrations
(for the receptor with the maximum annual average value) taken from the
dispersion modeling were added to the photochemical model -derived
concentrations for that same location. In this manner, the
photochemical modeling values were used as ``background''. The
statewide daily maximum impact (maximum over all locations/AQCRs)
obtained were expected to represent the near-field future-year
concentrations assuming worst-case impacts from threshold emission
increases at a range of locations throughout the state. Similar to the
photochemical modeling, these maximum impacts were added to the
baseline modeled predicted concentrations for each day and grid cell
for the future year simulation. The resultant model predicted
concentrations represented the future year concentrations assuming the
worst-case impacts from the threshold emission increases at any
location within the modeling grid. The resultant concentrations were
used in conjunction with the baseline modeling results to calculate the
RRFs necessary to estimate FDVs. Once again, the FDVs were used to
examine if the emissions under the revised threshold values would
cause/contribute to a NAAQS violation and/or interfere with NAAQS
attainment. Both the photochemical and dispersion modeling results did
show that the addition of exempt emissions via modeled hypothetical
sources may result in some increases in ambient concentrations.
However, as discussed in the TSD accompanying our proposed rulemaking,
the FDVs calculated as part of the regional-scale modeling analysis
that were based on the maximum modeled impacts from the hypothetical
source were less than the NAAQS for each pollutant and averaging
period.\24\ Similarly, the results from the near-field dispersion
modeling also showed the modeled impacts from the hypothetical sources
combined with background concentrations were all less than their
corresponding NAAQS.\25\ Based on our evaluation of these analyses
conducted by ADEQ to support the revised minor NSR permitting
thresholds and de minimis levels, we find that the increased levels
will not interfere with attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\24\ For more detailed discussion regarding the regional-scale
photochemical modeling results see Pages 29-31 of EPA's Technical
Support Document dated August 24, 2017, available in the electronic
docket for this rulemaking.
\25\ For more detailed discussion regarding the near-field
dispersion modeling results see Pages 31-32 of the EPA's Technical
Support Document dated August 24, 2017, including Table V.5 which
contains the maximum and average AERMOD concentrations both with and
without the CMAQ-derived background concentrations that were
determined in ADEQ's nearfield hypothetical source analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comment: The commenter stated that EPA does not cite to the
specific rule that states that ``de minimis changes are still required
to meet minor NSR requirements contained in Reg. 19, Chapter 4
including a demonstration that the proposed modification will not
interfere with the NAAQS on a case-by-case basis'' and that the EPA's
claim that this requirement remains is without merit. The commenter
stated that EPA may be assuming that Reg. 19.402 applies since a permit
revision is implied by Reg. 19.407(C)(6), it is not clear that this
requirement applies to what appears to be an administrative amendment
to a source's permit if it makes a de minimis change. The commenter
also states that ADEQ made it clear that it does not plan to require or
base any decision for de minimis changes on air quality modeling, and
without conducting modeling, they will not be able to ensure that the
proposed modification will not interfere with attainment or maintenance
of a NAAQS on a case-by-case basis. So, the commenter stated that it is
unlikely that ADEQ considered Reg. 19.402 as applying to de minimis
permit changes.
Response: We do not agree that our proposed rulemaking did not
include a citation to the specific rule related to a case-by-case
demonstration of non-interference with the NAAQS that is applicable to
de minimis changes. We also do not agree that our statement that de
minimis changes must still meet minor NSR requirements is without
merit. Our position that de minimis changes must include a
demonstration that the proposed modification will not interfere with
the NAAQS on a case-by-case basis is based on the applicability of Reg.
19.405(A)(1) to these changes. Further, the provisions in the de
minimis change rule indicate that de minimis changes include an
application submittal/review process at Reg. 19.407(C)(5) at it
references applications for de minimis changes. In addition to the rule
language, the current ``Air Application Instructions for Registrations,
Minor Source Permits, or Title V Permits'' made available on ADEQ's air
permitting website indicate that the forms are to be used for de
minimis changes.\26\ As such, we do not agree with the commenter that
EPA assuming the de minimis changes include an application process
without a basis. Further we do not agree with the commenter, that our
proposed rulemaking did not clearly state the specific rule regarding
the referenced technical review requirement to demonstrate NAAQS
compliance for a de minimis change. In our proposed rulemaking, we
specifically stated that the requirement found at Reg. 19.405(A)(1)
requires ADEQ must ensure as part of their technical review of de
minimis change applications that the source will be modified to operate
without interfering with NAAQS attainment or maintenance.\27\ The de
minimis change rule found at Reg. 19.407(C)(2) of the current Arkansas
SIP exempts qualified proposed changes at an existing source from minor
NSR permitting requirements, including public notice. The exemption
only exempts the de minimis change from minor NSR permitting
requirements and not all applicable minor NSR requirements. Therefore,
the exemption does not exempt the change from the technical review
requirements found at Reg. 19.405(A). Reg. 19.405(A) applies to the
review of applications submitted under Chapter 4 of Reg. 19, where the
de minimis change rule is located, and requires that on an application-
by-application basis ADEQ must ensure as part of their technical review
that the source will be modified to operate without interfering with
NAAQS attainment or maintenance. Our approval of the de minimis change
level revisions does not revise or in any way change the applicability
of the SIP-approved technical review requirements found in Reg.
19.405(A), or any other applicable minor NSR requirements, to de
minimis changes. It is important to note that the Reg. 19.405(A)
technical review requirements do not specify that modeling be completed
to demonstrate that the source will be constructed/modified without
interfering with attainment or maintenance of the NAAQS. The EPA minor
NSR SIP rules found in 40 CFR 51.160-165 do not
[[Page 30569]]
require modeling either. We do not agree with the commenter that
without conducting modeling, ADEQ cannot ensure that a de minimis
change will not interfere with attainment or maintenance of a NAAQS on
a case-by-case basis. Case-by-case modeling, such as air dispersion
modeling, is one of the methods that is commonly used to meet NAAQS
requirements, but it is not the only method. Depending on the source
and the proposed de minimis change, as part of their technical review
ADEQ could alternatively utilize past modeling analyses, such as the
statewide modeling that was included as part of the 110(l)
demonstration in the March 24, 2017 SIP revision submittal, or existing
ambient monitoring data or emissions inventory data relevant to the
proposed change to make a determination regarding NAAQS compliance. In
addition, the SIP-approved provision found at Reg. 19.407(C)(1)(b)
specifies that ``a proposed change to a facility will be considered De
Minimis if: . . . the change will result in a trivial environmental
impact.'' Our rulemaking does not revise or in any way change this
provision.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\26\ Air Application Instructions available online at: https://www.adeq.state.ar.us/downloads/WebDatabases/Air/PermitData/Forms%20and%20Instructions/Form%20and%20Instructions/Air_Permit_Application_Forms_Instructions.pdf.
\27\ See 82 FR 43508.
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Comment: The commenter stated that EPA has not evaluated whether
the SIP revision satisfies CAA section 193. They state that because the
revisions allow ADEQ to relax emission limits via de minimis changes
and for previously permitting sources to terminate the existing permit
and replace with a registration, EPA's review should include an
evaluation pursuant to CAA section 193 of whether these relaxations
would allow for the relaxation of any control requirements in effect
before November 15, 1990, in any nonattainment area, in which case
equivalent or greater emissions reductions.
Response: We do not agree with the commenter that this rulemaking
is subject to CAA section 193. Section 193 applies to nonattainment
areas only and provides that ``[n]o control requirement in effect, or
required to be adopted by an order, settlement agreement, or plan in
effect before the date of the enactment of the Clean Air Act Amendments
of 1990 in area for any air pollutant may be modified after such
enactment in any manner unless the modifications insures equivalent or
greater emission reductions of such air pollutant.'' The proposed rule
does not change control requirements in nonattainment areas, of which
Arkansas currently has none. Therefore, EPA did not address section 193
in the proposed approval action, since it does not apply. In the
future, should an area become designated as nonattainment, Arkansas
when developing the required nonattainment NSR permitting program would
have to ensure that this program applied the Act's thresholds, which
might require Arkansas to revise its minor NSR SIP program.
III. Final Action
In this action, EPA is approving revisions to the minor NSR
permitting program as submitted as revisions to the Arkansas SIP on
July 26, 2010, and March 24, 2017, including supplemental information
submitted on November 30, 2015, May 26, 2016, July 5, 2017, July 27,
2017, and March 16, 2018. Our approval includes the following revisions
to the Arkansas SIP:
Revisions to Reg. 19.401 (submitted 07/26/2010 and 03/24/
2017);
Revisions to Reg. 19.407(C)(2)(a) and (b) (submitted 07/
26/2010 and 03/24/2017); and
Revisions to Reg. 19.417(A) and (B) (submitted 07/26/
2010).
As previously stated in our proposed rulemaking, this final action
does not remove or modify the existing federal and state requirements
that each NSR permit action issued by ADEQ include an analysis
completed by the Department and their determination that the proposed
construction or modification authorized by the permit action will not
interfere with attainment or maintenance of a national ambient air
quality standard.
IV. Incorporation by Reference
In this rule, the EPA is finalizing regulatory text that includes
incorporation by reference. In accordance with requirements of 1 CFR
51.5, the EPA is finalizing the incorporation by reference of the
revisions to the Arkansas regulations as described in the Final Action
section above. The EPA has made, and will continue to make, these
materials generally available through www.regulations.gov and at the
EPA Region 6 Office (please contact Ashley Mohr for more information).
Therefore, these materials have been approved by EPA for inclusion in
the SIP, have been incorporated by reference by EPA into that plan, are
fully federally enforceable under sections 110 and 113 of the CAA as of
the effective date of the final rulemaking of EPA's approval, and will
be incorporated by reference in the next update to the SIP compilation.
V. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
Under the Clean Air Act, the Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and
applicable Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the EPA's role is to approve state
choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the Clean Air Act.
Accordingly, this action merely approves state law as meeting Federal
requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those
imposed by state law. For that reason, this action:
Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Orders
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and 13563 (76 FR 3821, January 21,
2011);
Is not an Executive Order 13771 (82 FR 9339, February 2,
2017) regulatory action because SIP approvals are exempted under
Executive Order 12866;
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, described in the Unfunded Mandates
Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have Federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
Is not subject to requirements of section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the CAA; and
Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian reservation
land or in any other area where EPA or an Indian tribe has demonstrated
that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of Indian country, the
rule does not have tribal implications and will not impose substantial
direct costs on tribal
[[Page 30570]]
governments or preempt tribal law as specified by Executive Order 13175
(65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
The Congressional Review Act, 5 U.S.C. 801 et seq., as added by the
Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act of 1996, generally
provides that before a rule may take effect, the agency promulgating
the rule must submit a rule report, which includes a copy of the rule,
to each House of the Congress and to the Comptroller General of the
United States. EPA will submit a report containing this action and
other required information to the U.S. Senate, the U.S. House of
Representatives, and the Comptroller General of the United States prior
to publication of the rule in the Federal Register. A major rule cannot
take effect until 60 days after it is published in the Federal
Register. This action is not a ``major rule'' as defined by 5 U.S.C.
804(2).
Under section 307(b)(1) of the Clean Air Act, petitions for
judicial review of this action must be filed in the United States Court
of Appeals for the appropriate circuit by August 28, 2018. Filing a
petition for reconsideration by the Administrator of this final rule
does not affect the finality of this action for the purposes of
judicial review nor does it extend the time within which a petition for
judicial review may be filed, and shall not postpone the effectiveness
of such rule or action. This action may not be challenged later in
proceedings to enforce its requirements. (See section 307(b)(2).)
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Lead, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate matter, Reporting
and recordkeeping requirements, Sulfur oxides, Volatile organic
compounds.
Dated: June 20, 2018.
Anne Idsal,
Regional Administrator, Region 6.
40 CFR part 52 is amended as follows:
PART 52--APPROVAL AND PROMULGATION OF IMPLEMENTATION PLANS
0
1. The authority citation for part 52 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart E--Arkansas
0
2. In Sec. 52.170(c), the table titled ``EPA-Approved Regulations in
the Arkansas SIP'' is amended by:
0
a. Revising entries for Reg. 19.401 and Reg. 19.407; and
0
b. Adding an entry for Reg. 19.417 immediately following the entry for
Reg. 19.413.
The amendments read as follows:
Sec. 52.170 Identification of plan.
* * * * *
(c) * * *
EPA-Approved Regulations in the Arkansas SIP
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
State
submittal/
State citation Title/subject effective EPA approval date Explanation
date
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regulation No. 19: Regulations of the Arkansas Plan of Implementation for Air Pollution Control
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Chapter 4: Minor Source Review
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reg. 19.401........... General Applicability........... 03/24/17 6/29/2018, [Insert Includes
Federal Register supplemental
citation]. information
provided on 11/30/
2015, 05/26/2016,
07/05/2017, and
03/16/2018.
* * * * * * *
Reg. 19.407........... Permit Amendments............... 03/24/17 6/29/2018, [Insert Includes
Federal Register supplemental
citation]. information
provided on 11/30/
2015, 05/26/2016,
07/05/2017, 07/27/
2017, and 03/16/
2018.
* * * * * * *
Reg. 19.417........... Registration.................... 07/26/10 6/29/2018, [Insert Includes
Federal Register supplemental
citation]. information
provided on 11/30/
2015, 05/26/2016,
07/05/2017, and
03/16/2018.
* * * * * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
[FR Doc. 2018-13942 Filed 6-28-18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P