Pacific Halibut Fisheries; Pacific Halibut Catch Limits for Area 2A Fisheries in 2018, 13080-13087 [2018-06048]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 300
[Docket No. 180207136–8136–01]
RIN 0648–BH71
Pacific Halibut Fisheries; Pacific
Halibut Catch Limits for Area 2A
Fisheries in 2018
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Interim final rule.
AGENCY:
This interim final rule sets the
2018 Pacific halibut catch limit in the
International Pacific Halibut
Commission’s Regulatory Area 2A off
Washington, Oregon, and California.
The International Pacific Halibut
Commission, at its annual meeting, did
not recommend 2018 catch limits for
any of its regulatory areas, including
Area 2A. The best available scientific
information indicates the Pacific halibut
stock is declining. Without NMFS
action, a higher Area 2A catch limit
would remain in place for 2018. The
Secretary of Commerce has authority to
establish regulations that are more
restrictive than those adopted by the
International Pacific Halibut
Commission. An interim final rule is
necessary to ensure that lower 2018
halibut catch limits are in place at the
start of the tribal fishery March 24,
2018, and before incidental halibut
retention in the sablefish and salmon
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SUMMARY:
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fisheries begins on April 1, 2018. This
action is intended to enhance the
conservation of Pacific halibut.
DATES: This rule is effective from March
24, 2018, through December 31, 2018.
Comments must be received by April
25, 2018.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by NOAA–NMFS–2018–0025,
by either of the following methods:
• Federal e-Rulemaking Portal: Go to
www.regulations.gov/
#!docketDetail;D=NOAA-NMFS-20180025, click the ‘‘Comment Now!’’ icon,
complete the required fields, and enter
or attach your comments.
• Mail: Submit written comments to
Barry A. Thom, Regional Administrator,
West Coast Region, NMFS, 7600 Sand
Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115–0070.
Instructions: NMFS may not consider
comments if they are sent by any other
method, to any other address or
individual, or received after the
comment period ends. All comments
received are a part of the public record
and NMFS will post for public viewing
on www.regulations.gov without change.
All personal identifying information
(e.g., name, address, etc.), confidential
business information, or otherwise
sensitive information submitted
voluntarily by the sender is publicly
accessible. NMFS will accept
anonymous comments (enter ‘‘N/A’’ in
the required fields if you wish to remain
anonymous).
Additional information regarding this
action may be obtained by contacting
the Sustainable Fisheries Division,
NMFS West Coast Region, 7600 Sand
Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115–0070.
For information regarding all halibut
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fisheries and general regulations not
contained in this rule contact the
International Pacific Halibut
Commission, 2320 W Commodore Way,
Suite 300, Seattle, WA 98199–1287.
Electronic copies of the Environmental
Assessment (EA) prepared for this
action may be obtained by contacting
Kathryn Blair, phone: 206–526–6140,
email: kathryn.blair@noaa.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Kathryn Blair, phone: 206–526–6140,
fax: 206–526–6736, or email:
kathryn.blair@noaa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
The International Pacific Halibut
Commission (IPHC) can recommend
regulations that govern the Pacific
halibut fishery pursuant to the
Convention between the United States
of America and Canada for the
Preservation of the Halibut Fishery of
the Northern Pacific Ocean and Bering
Sea, Mar. 2, 1953, 5 U.S.T. 5, and the
Protocol Amending the Convention
Between the United States of America
and Canada for the Preservation of the
Halibut Fishery of the Northern Pacific
Ocean and Bering Sea (Convention),
Mar. 29, 1979, 32 U.S.T. 2483. The
IPHC’s regulatory areas are: Area 2A
(U.S. West Coast); Area 2B (Canada);
Area 2C (Southeast Alaska), Area 3A
(Central Gulf of Alaska), Area 3B
(Western Gulf of Alaska), and Area 4
(subdivided into 5 areas, 4A through 4E,
in the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands
of Western Alaska). These regulatory
areas are described in 50 CFR part 679,
Figure 15.
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As provided by the Northern Pacific
Halibut Act of 1982 (Halibut Act) at 16
U.S.C. 773b, the Secretary of State, with
the concurrence of the Secretary of
Commerce, may accept or reject, on
behalf of the United States, regulations
recommended by the IPHC in
accordance with the Convention
(Halibut Act, Sections 773–773k). The
Secretary of State, with the concurrence
of the Secretary of Commerce, accepted
the 2017 IPHC regulations as provided
by the Halibut Act at 16 U.S.C. 773–
773k. Pacific Halibut Fisheries; Catch
Sharing Plan, 82 FR 12730, Mar. 7,
2017.
The Halibut Act provides the
Secretary of Commerce with the
authority and general responsibility to
carry out the requirements of the
Convention and the Halibut Act. 16
U.S.C. 773(c). The Regional Fishery
Management Councils may develop, and
the Secretary of Commerce may
implement regulations governing
harvesting privileges among U.S.
fishermen in U.S. waters that are in
addition to, and not in conflict with,
approved IPHC regulations. Id.;
Convention, Article I. The Pacific
Fishery Management Council (Council)
has exercised this authority to develop
a catch sharing plan that governs the
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allocation of halibut and management of
sport fisheries on the U.S. West Coast.
The Pacific Halibut Catch Sharing Plan
for Area 2A is available on the Council
website at https://www.pcouncil.org.
Independent of the Council, the
Secretary of Commerce may implement
regulations governing harvesting
privileges among U.S. fishermen in U.S.
waters that are more restrictive than
those adopted by the IPHC under Article
I of the Convention and section 773c of
the Halibut Act. The Secretary exercised
this authority in 1990 to implement
regulations on commercial and sport
catch limits that were more restrictive
than the IPHC regulations published in
1989 because the IPHC, at its annual
meeting in 1990, did not approve new
management measures for 1990 (55 FR
11929, Mar. 30, 1990).
Specific to this interim final rule
under the Halibut Act, the Secretary is
implementing catch limits for Area 2A
that are more restrictive than approved
IPHC catch limits from 2017 that would
otherwise remain in effect. The IPHC
held its annual meeting to recommend
halibut catch limits and management
measures from January 22–26, 2018. At
the meeting, IPHC scientists presented
biological information showing that the
total biomass, and specifically the total
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exploitable biomass, of Pacific halibut is
projected to decline substantially over
the next several years. Although the
United States and Canadian
Commissioners voiced consensus that
some reduction in catch limits relative
to 2017 in all regulatory areas was
appropriate, the Commissioners could
not reach agreement on specific catch
limit recommendations for 2018.
Therefore, the IPHC did not make a
recommendation to the Secretary of
State to revise the catch limits that were
implemented in 2017. The United States
and Canadian Commissioners did
suggest specific catch limits for their
respective waters, all of which would
reduce catch limits compared with
2017.1
In this interim final rule, NMFS is
implementing an Area 2A catch limit of
1,190,000 lb (539.78 metric tons) for
2018. This catch limit 2 is derived from
the total constant exploitation yield
(TCEY), which includes commercial
discards and bycatch estimates
1 The United States and Canadian Commissioners
did agree on and formally recommend season dates,
catch sharing plans, and certain management
measures, which the United States adopted (83 FR
10390, Mar. 9, 2018).
2 The term ‘‘catch limit’’ is equivalent to the
IPHC’s term fishery constant exploitation yield
(FCEY).
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calculated by a formula developed by
the IPHC. Though NMFS independently
determined this catch limit is supported
by the best available scientific
information, the catch limit was also
suggested by the United States
Commissioners as necessary to meet the
conservation and management
objectives of the Convention and the
Halibut Act. This 2018 catch limit
represents approximately an 11 percent
reduction from the 2017 Area 2A catch
limit. NMFS is setting catch limits for
all other IPHC regulatory areas in the
United States in a separate interim final
rule. The following sections of this
preamble describe NMFS’s rationale for
the Area 2A catch limit implemented in
this interim final rule.
Summary of Biological and Economic
Impacts of Coastwide Halibut Catch
Limits
In 2017, the IPHC conducted its
annual stock assessment using a range
of updated data sources as described in
detail in the 2017 IPHC Report of
Assessment and Research Activities
(2017 RARA; available at www.iphc.int).
The IPHC used an ‘‘ensemble’’ of four
equally weighted models, comprised of
two long time-series models, and two
short time-series models that use data
series either divided by geographical
region (IPHC Regulatory Area) or
aggregated into coastwide summaries, to
evaluate the Pacific halibut stock. These
models incorporate data from the 2017
IPHC setline survey, the most recent
NMFS trawl survey, weight-at-age
estimates by region, and age distribution
information for bycatch, sport, and
sublegal discard removals. As has been
the case since 2012, the results of the
ensemble models are integrated, and
incorporate uncertainty in natural
mortality rates, environmental effects on
recruitment, and other model
parameters. The data and assessment
models used by the IPHC are also
reviewed by the IPHC’s Scientific
Review Board, a group comprised of
non-IPHC scientists who provide an
independent scientific review of the
stock assessment data and models and
provide recommendations to IPHC staff.
The Scientific Review Board did not
identify any substantive errors in the
data or methods used in the 2017 stock
assessment. NMFS has determined the
IPHC’s data and assessment models
constitute best available science on the
status of the Pacific halibut resource.
The IPHC’s data, including the setline
survey, indicates that the Pacific halibut
stock declined continuously from the
late 1990s to around 2010, as a result of
decreasing size at a given age (size-atage), as well as somewhat weaker
recruitment strengths than those
observed during the 1980s. The biomass
of spawning females is estimated to
have stabilized near 200,000,000 lb
(90,718 mt) in 2010, and since then the
stock is estimated to have increased two
million pounds, but is still at relatively
low levels.
The 2017 stock assessment projects
that the biomass of spawning females at
the beginning of 2018 is estimated to be
202,000,000 lb (91,600 mt). Data from
the 2017 stock assessment indicate that
all estimates of recruitment (year classes
or cohorts) from 2006 onwards of Pacific
halibut are estimated to be smaller than
those from 1999 through 2005. This
indicates a high probability of decline in
both the stock and future fishery yield
as recent recruitments become
increasingly important to the age range
over which much of the harvest and
spawning takes place.
IPHC scientists presented at the
interim and annual IPHC meetings, and
in the Report of the 2018 annual
meeting, biological information
analyzing the possible effects of a range
of different TCEYs and resulting catch
limits on the spawning stock biomass
and the harvestable yield over the
period from 2019 through 2021,
including the potential implications of
the three alternative catch limits NMFS
considered for this rule: Alternative 1—
maintain the catch limits the IPHC
adopted in 2017; Alternative 2—reduce
catch limits as suggested by the United
States Commissioners, but not
recommended by the IPHC; and
Alternative 3—reduce catch limits
consistent with the IPHC’s interim
management procedure (Table 1). The
IPHC’s interim management procedure
maintains the total mortality of halibut
across its range from all sources based
on a reference level of fishing intensity
so that the Spawning Potential Ratio
(SPR) is equal to 46 percent (F46%
SPR). The catch limits that correspond
to the reference fishing intensity of
F46% SPR should result in in a fish
achieving 46 percent of its spawning
potential over the course of its lifetime
relative to what it would have achieved
as part of an unfished stock. Lower SPR
values result in higher fishing intensity.
Additional information on the status of
the halibut resource under these catch
limit alternatives is provided in the
environmental assessment (EA) and
finding of no significant impact (FONSI)
(see ADDRESSES). The table below
describes the coastwide and Area 2A
TCEYs and catch limits that would
result from the considered alternatives.
TABLE 1—COASTWIDE AND AREA 2A CATCH LIMITS UNDER ALTERNATIVES 1–3
[Weight in pounds]
Coastwide
catch limits
(lb)
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Alternative 1—2017 limits (F38%) ...............................................................................................
Alternative 2—United States Commissioner-suggested (F41%) ................................................
Alternative 3—IPHC Interim management procedure (F46%) ....................................................
The following sections of this
preamble provide a comparison of the
relative risk of a decrease in both
coastwide stock abundance and fishery
yield for a range of alternative harvest
levels for 2018 under each of these three
alternative catch limit scenarios. This
comparison assumes that other sources
of removal that are not accounted for in
the TCEY calculations are similar to
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those observed in 2017. This interim
final rule refers to halibut catch limits,
allocations, and removals in net pounds
or net metric tons. Net pounds and net
metric tons are defined as the weight of
halibut from which the gills, entrails,
head, and ice and slime have been
removed. NMFS uses this terminology
in this interim final rule to be consistent
with the IPHC, which establishes catch
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31,480,000
28,040,000
21,960,000
Area 2A
TCEY
(lb)
1,470,000
1,320,000
590,000
Area 2A
catch limit
(lb)
1,340,000
1,190,000
470,000
limits and calculates mortality in net
pounds.
This interim final rule addresses the
TCEY and overall catch limit in Area
2A, but also describes and discusses the
impacts of this decision on the halibut
resource on a coastwide basis,
consistent with the current management
and known biological distribution of the
halibut resource.
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Alternative 1—Maintain the Catch
Limits the IPHC Adopted in 2017
In 2017, the IPHC recommended
halibut catch limits to the governments
of Canada and the United States with a
coastwide TCEY of 31,400,000 lb
(14,242.80 mt). For Area 2A, this
alternative would result in a TCEY of
1,470,000 lb (666.78 mt) and a catch
limit of 1,340,000 lb (607.81 mt).
Maintaining 2017 catch limits in all
IPHC regulatory areas, including Area
2A, would have several short-term and
long-term adverse impacts on the
halibut resource.
If the 2017 catch limits were
maintained in all Areas in 2018, the
spawning stock biomass is projected to
decrease over the next three years (2019
through 2021). The IPHC analysis
projected that 2017 catch limits would
result in a greater than 99 percent
chance that the spawning stock biomass
would be lower in 2019 than in 2018,
and a 34 percent chance that it would
be more than 5 percent lower than the
current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626
mt). The analysis of maintaining 2017
catch limits also projected a 99 percent
chance that the spawning biomass
would be lower than current levels in
2021, and an 89 percent chance that it
would be more than 5 percent lower
than the current level of 202,000,000 lb
(91,626 mt) in 2021. The analysis also
predicted a 23 percent chance that the
2021 spawning stock biomass would
decline below the threshold reference
point (30 percent of the spawning stock
biomass remains) that the IPHC uses to
indicate stock conditions that would
trigger a substantial reduction in the
halibut catch limits under the interim
IPHC management procedure. Overall,
the IPHC assessment predicts a 95
percent chance of decrease for the stock
between 2019–21 under this catch limit
alternative, and a greater decline than it
would under Alternatives 2 or 3 (see
Section 4 of the EA).
The analysis of the effects of
maintaining the 2017 catch limits in all
regulatory areas in 2018 also projects a
chance of decrease in fishery yield over
the next three years. Fishery yield is the
amount of halibut available for harvest
by commercial, recreational, and
subsistence users. To maintain the 2017
F38% SPR, the coastwide TCEY would
be 40,800,000 lb (18,506.57 mt).
Maintaining the 2017 catch limits in all
regulatory areas is predicted to result in
an 80 percent chance that the fishery
yield would be lower than the
coastwide TCEY of 40,800,000 lb
(18,506.57 mt) in 2019, and a 76 percent
chance that it would be more than 10
percent lower. Under this alternative,
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the IPHC estimates at least an 81 percent
chance that the coastwide fishery yield
would be lower than the coastwide
TCEY of 40,800,000 lb (18,506 mt) in
2020 and 2021, and at least a 77 percent
chance that it would be more than 10
percent lower in 2020 and 2021. This
alternative would provide the highest
catch limits for 2018 of the three
alternative catch limit scenarios
described in this preamble, but also has
the greatest risk of future low fishery
yields. Section 4 of the EA summarizes
the biological and economic impacts of
this alternative.
Alternative 2—Reduce Catch Limits as
Suggested by the United States
Commissioners, but Not Recommended
by the IPHC
After considering the stock
assessment, commercial fishery data,
and other biological information at the
2018 IPHC annual meeting, the United
States Commissioners stated that
maintaining 2018 catch limits in Area
2A at the same level as those
implemented in 2017 would not be
consistent with the IPHC’s conservation
objectives for the halibut stock and its
management objectives for the halibut
fisheries. Specifically, the Convention
in Article III states that the Commission
may limit the quantity of the catch for
the purpose of developing the stocks of
halibut to levels which will permit the
optimum yield from that fishery, and of
maintaining the stocks at those levels.
The United States Commissioners
examined a catch limit using the survey
WPUE for Area 2A from 2016, due to
some uncertainty in the 2017 Area 2A
survey, discussed in more detail below.
Following the IPHC’s interim
management policy of an F46% SPR
level for a coastwide TCEY of
31,000,000 lb (14,061.35 mt), and
utilizing the 2016 data for Area 2A and
2017 data for the remainder of the
Regulatory Areas, the 2018 Area 2A
TCEY was calculated to be 1,060,000 lb
(480.81 mt). This value considered the
data collected in Alaska and Canada in
2017 that projects a coastwide stock
decline. NMFS understands that the
United States Commissioners used
1,060,000 lb (480.81 mt) as a baseline
for the Area 2A catch limits they
suggested, instead of the TCEY of
590,000 lb (267.62 mt) that was
presented by the IPHC under its interim
management procedure. The United
States Commissioners suggested a TCEY
of 1,320,000 lb (598.74 mt) and resulting
catch limit of 1,190,000 lb (539.75 mt),
approximately an 11 percent decrease
from 2017 catch limits. The United
States Commissioners provided
rationale that supported the catch limits
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recommended under this alternative
and implemented by this rule, including
the following:
• The IPHC survey, IPHC coastwide
stock assessment, and supporting
information from NMFS trawl and
longline surveys indicated substantial
reductions in halibut spawning stock
biomass and potential fishery yield in
2018 compared to 2017;
• The IPHC stock assessment
identified poor recruitment in the size
classes targeted by commercial,
recreational, and subsistence users for
the foreseeable future. These declining
recruitment trends are worsened with
higher harvest rates; and
• The results from the IPHC survey
are further substantiated by declining
halibut trends in Bering Sea and Gulf of
Alaska trawl surveys, and declining
trends in commercial fishery weightper-unit-effort (WPUE) in most areas,
though not in 2A. The IPHC survey
indicates a 10 percent reduction in
survey WPUE, and a 24 percent
reduction in survey numbers-per-uniteffort (NPUE) coastwide compared to
last year.
The United States Commissioners
were presented information indicating
that commercial WPUE in some
regulatory areas was higher in 2017
relative to 2016. These commercial data
have led some fishery participants to
suggest that the surveys and IPHC stock
assessment do not adequately reflect the
abundance of harvestable halibut. The
United States Commissioners were also
presented with information describing
the timing of the IPHC survey in Area
2A, which took place later than in
previous years, and data showing survey
stations with consistent historic halibut
catch had reduced landings within a
hypoxic area. These topics are further
addressed below. The United States
Commissioners noted that there is no
indication that the surveys or
assessment are inaccurate to any
significant degree and that they are the
best scientific information available for
estimating halibut abundance (see
Section 3 of the EA for additional
detail).
If the 2018 catch limits suggested by
United States Commissioners were
applied in all Areas in 2018, the
spawning stock biomass is still
projected to decrease over the next three
years (2019 through 2021). Under this
harvest alternative there is an estimated
93 percent chance that the spawning
biomass would be lower than the
current level in 2019, and a 19 percent
chance that it would be more than 5
percent lower than the current level of
202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). Under this
alternative catch limit, there is a 92
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percent chance that the spawning
biomass would be lower in 2021, and a
72 percent chance that it would be more
than 5 percent lower than the current
level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). In
2021, there is a 17 percent chance that
the spawning biomass would decline
below the threshold reference point (30
percent of the spawning stock biomass
remains) used by the IPHC to indicate
stock conditions that would trigger a
substantial reduction in the commercial
halibut fishery under the interim
management procedure.
Implementing the 2018 catch limits
suggested by United States
Commissioners is also projected to
result in decreases in fishery yield over
the next three years, but less so than
under Alternative 1. To achieve the
catch limits suggested by the United
States Commissioners at F41% SPR, the
coastwide TCEY would be 37,200,000 lb
(16,874 mt). Under this alternative, the
IPHC estimates a 73 percent chance that
the coastwide fishery yield would be
lower than a coastwide TCEY of
37,200,000 lb (16,874 mt) in 2019, and
a 63 percent chance that it would be
more than 10 percent lower. Under this
alternative, the IPHC estimates at least
a 75 percent chance that the coastwide
fishery yield would be lower than a
coastwide TCEY of 37,200,000 lb
(16,874 mt) in 2020 and 2021, and at
least a 67 percent chance that it would
be more than 10 percent lower in 2020
and 2021. Sections 3 and 4 of the EA
summarize the biological and economic
impacts of this alternative.
Overall, the catch limit suggested by
the U.S. Commissioners in Area 2A
would result in a decrease of
approximately 11 percent relative to
2017 and is consistent with the best
scientific information available on the
abundance of harvestable halibut within
this Area.
Alternative 3—Reduce Catch Limits
Consistent With the IPHC’s Interim
Management Procedure
The United States and Canadian
Commissioners also considered an
alternative catch limit that would
establish catch limits in all regulatory
areas consistent with the IPHC’s interim
management procedure, though neither
group suggested these catch limits. For
Area 2A, this would mean a TCEY of
590,000 lb (267.62 mt) and resulting
catch limit of 470,000 lb (213.19 mt).
The United States Commissioners heard
public comment that establishing catch
limits at the IPHC’s F46% SPR reference
level would impose significant
economic costs on fishery participants
in Area 2A (see Section 4.3 of the EA
for additional detail).
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If the catch limits consistent with the
IPHC’s interim harvest policy were
implemented in all regulatory areas in
2018, the spawning stock biomass is
still projected to decrease gradually over
the next three years, but less than under
Alternatives 1 and 2 (See Section 4.2 of
the EA). Under this harvest alternative,
there is an estimated 78 percent chance
that the spawning stock biomass would
be lower than the current level in 2019,
and a 5 percent chance that it would be
more than 5 percent lower than the
current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626
mt). Under this alternative catch limit,
there is a 76 percent chance that the
spawning stock biomass would be lower
than the current level in 2021, and a 46
percent chance that it would be more
than 5 percent lower than the current
level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). In
2021, there is a 10 percent chance that
the spawning biomass would decline
below the threshold reference point (30
percent of the spawning stock biomass
remains) that the IPHC uses to indicate
stock conditions that would trigger a
substantial reduction in the commercial
halibut fishery under the interim
management procedure.
Implementing 2018 catch limits
consistent with the IPHC’s interim
harvest policy in all regulatory areas is
still projected to gradually decrease
fishery yield over the next three years
(2019 through 2021), but less so than
under Alternatives 1 and 2 (see Section
4.2 of the EA). Under this alternative,
the IPHC estimates there is a 55 percent
chance that the fishery yield would be
lower than a coastwide TCEY of
31,000,000 lb (14,061 mt) under the
F46% fishing intensity recommended
by the IPHC, in 2019, and a 38 percent
chance that it would be more than 10
percent lower. Under this alternative,
there is at least a 59 percent chance that
the fishery yield would be lower than a
coastwide TCEY of 31,000,000 lb
(14,061 mt) in 2020 and 2021, and at
least a 45 percent chance that it would
be more than 10 percent lower in 2020
and 2021. Section 4 of the EA
summarizes the biological and
economic impacts of this alternative.
Rationale for Area 2A Catch Limit
After considering the best available
scientific information, the Convention,
and the status of the halibut resource,
NMFS sets an Area 2A TCEY of
1,320,000 lb (598.74 mt) and resulting
catch limit of 1,190,000 lb (539.75 mt)
through this interim final rule (Table 2).
This Area 2A catch limit is consistent
with catch limits as suggested by the
United States Commissioners but not
recommended by the IPHC.
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TABLE 2—AREA 2A TCEY AND CATCH
LIMIT FOR 2018
[lb]
Area 2A TCEY ............................
Area 2A Catch Limit ...................
1,320,000
1,190,000
As discussed above, the coastwide
stock assessment predicts a decline in
spawning stock biomass even under the
most precautionary catch limit under
Alternative 3. Recruitment has been
poor since 2006 and these cohorts are
displaying smaller size-at-age relative to
the 1970s.
In addition to concerns about the
status of the stock coastwide, the best
available scientific information,
including IPHC’s suite of models, NMFS
Alaska and West Coast trawl surveys,
commercial WPUE in most regulatory
areas, and the fishery-independent
setline survey, supports setting 2018
catch limits for Area 2A lower than the
2017 catch limits.
The IPHC’s 2017 fishery-independent
setline survey indicated a 10 percent
decrease from the 2016 survey in the
coastwide aggregate legal (over 32
inches) WPUE, while Area 2A decreased
by 22 percent from 2016 to 2017. The
2017 setline survey had the lowest Area
2A survey legal WPUE since 2011, at
19.6 pounds per skate, and has been
declining since 2015. The 2017 Area 2A
WPUE is low when compared to
historical values since 1993. Only four
years (2007–10) had a lower WPUE than
2017. Furthermore, while the coastwide
setline survey numbers-per-unit effort
(NPUE) for all-sizes decreased by 24
percent from 2016 to 2017, Area 2A
decreased 44 percent from 2016 to 2017,
the highest relative decrease of all the
IPHC areas. This information was
presented in the IPHC’s annual meeting
documents, available on their website.
NMFS has determined that the recent
declines in the Area 2A WPUE are the
best available science and support the
need for conservative catch limits for
2018 in Area 2A.
Although the setline survey data
supports coastwide and extensive Area
2A halibut declines, IPHC staff
acknowledged some concerns with the
setline survey and the uncertainty in the
magnitude of the estimated decline in
Area 2A. These sources of uncertainty
include: (1) The timing of the setline
survey in Area 2A and (2) halibut catch
in a hypoxic area that covered a large
portion of the Area 2A setline survey
stations.
From 2013 to 2016, the Area 2A
setline survey began in late May in
Washington waters and proceeded
south, ending in either Oregon (2015
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and 2016) or California waters (2013
and 2014) in the last half of July or first
half of August. In 2017, the setline
survey began in late May, but began in
California and ended in Washington.
Additionally, the 2017 survey off the
Washington coast was performed in
August through mid-September, rather
than in July through mid-August as in
2013–16. The setline survey is
performed annually, along regular
intervals at predetermined stations of
consistent size and gear. Although it is
generally best practice to conduct
surveys that contribute to a time series
of data at similar times and locations
each year, the timing for the 2017
survey does not lead NMFS to discount
the overall trend of decline. A small
decrease from 2015 to 2016 was also
recorded.
In addition to changes to the timing
of the Area 2A setline survey, there was
also a large area of low dissolved oxygen
off the coasts of Washington and Oregon
in the summer of 2017. Hypoxic events
are not uncommon off the U.S. west
coast. However, the geographic extent
and severity of the hypoxia in 2017 was
unusual. The Washington portion of the
setline survey corresponded spatially
and temporally with the region of low
dissolved oxygen. Historically, the
setline survey stations in Washington
waters have had among the highest
WPUE of the Area 2A stations. In 2016,
survey stations off the north Washington
coast totaled 33 pounds per skate, where
the same survey stations in 2017 had a
WPUE of 9.9 pounds per skate. Most
survey stations located in the hypoxic
area in 2017 had a WPUE of zero.
Any conclusions on the impact of the
hypoxic area to the setline survey are
confounded by the change in survey
timing. A change in either the timing or
the presence of hypoxia still may have
resulted in an accurate measure of the
halibut stock in Area 2A. The 2017
survey data was compared to previous
years, and there were no unexpected
values outside of the low WPUE in the
hypoxic area off the coast of
Washington. Pacific halibut are believed
to be able to swim out of hypoxic zones.
If this was the case in 2017, the survey
would have likely recorded higher
halibut WPUE at stations surrounding
the hypoxic zone. Because the data did
not show higher halibut WPUE at the
stations surrounding the hypoxic zone,
NMFS concludes that the reductions
seen in the setline survey may represent
an actual reduction of biomass.
Separate from concerns about the
2017 setline survey, industry and treaty
tribe representatives have also noted
that Area 2A commercial weight per
unit effort (WPUE) increased in recent
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years, which has led some members of
the public, and treaty tribe
representatives, to speculate that the
Area 2A stock is increasing rather than
declining. The IPHC calculations of
WPUE indicate that Area 2A tribal
commercial fishery WPUE has been
increasing since 2014. In addition, there
was a small WPUE increase of 5 percent
from 2016 to 2017 in the non-tribal
commercial fishery. Although the IPHC
uses fishery-dependent data to support
determinations about Pacific halibut
stock status, this type of data is typically
not a reliable indicator of biomass and
the IPHC takes this into account in its
interpretation of these data. There are
several examples of overfished stocks
for which WPUE remained fairly stable
even though the stock biomass had
substantially declined. While the best
available science shows increases in
WPUE since 2014 in the tribal fishery
and in 2017 for the non-tribal directed
fishery, this factor alone does not lead
NMFS to dismiss the IPHC’s conclusion
that the Area 2A population is
declining.
Some industry and treaty tribe
representatives have also expressed
their opinion that, because the Area 2A
catch limit represents less than 2
percent of the coastwide Pacific halibut
catch limit, maintaining the Area 2A
catch limit at the 2017 level will not
harm the coastwide stock. They assert
that their position is supported by an
IPHC analysis showing that additional
mortality equivalent to maintaining the
Area 2A catch limit at the 2017 level
(150,000 lb or 75 mt greater that NMFS’s
selected alternative) does not increase
the level of risk of coastwide stock
decline presented under the discussion
of alternatives in this preamble.
NMFS considered how the Pacific
halibut in Area 2A contribute and relate
to the coastwide stock, and the potential
impacts of maintaining the 2017 catch
limit in Area 2A on the health of the
resource given the evidence of stock
decline. Little is known about the exact
interplay between geographic regions
and spawning success within the Pacific
halibut population, and there may be
differences in discrete spawning
components of the population that make
choosing a more precautionary catch
limit preferable. Fisheries management
recognizes the benefits of distributing
harvest in proportion to stock size for
stocks managed at a coastwide level.
The IPHC currently uses area-specific
survey information to apportion stock
biomass, and ultimately catch limits,
across the regulatory areas. This
approach recognizes the value of
biocomplexity across the geographic
range of the halibut stock. Distributing
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13085
removals across the current stock
distribution is likely to protect against
localized depletion of the various stock
components. This is particularly
important because different stock
components may have different
recruitment success under changing
environmental conditions. This concept
of using a ‘‘portfolio effect’’ by
distributing harvest in proportion to
stock distribution is widely recognized
in fisheries management, particularly
among salmon stocks (see EA at 3.2.1).
NMFS uses this harvest distribution
approach for North Pacific stocks, such
as Pacific cod sablefish, to manage
across a broad spatial distribution. This
method has several advantages in that it
is based on a standardized annual
assessment of stock (survey), is not
reliant on commercial fishery data that
can mask changes in underlying stock
dynamics, and is a precautionary buffer
against local depletion and spatial
recruitment overfishing. The IPHC
continues to discuss and refine
apportionment methods; however, the
current method represents the best
available scientific method for
apportioning coastwide catch.
NMFS recognizes the value of
maintaining diversity across the
geographic range of Pacific halibut and
supports reducing the Area 2A catch
limit consistent with the current
understanding of coastwide stock health
to protect against potential localized
depletion. If there is a relatively distinct
spawning component of the population
in Area 2A, then the evidence of stock
decline in Area 2A supports reducing
the catch limit compared to 2017 in
order to maintain that component.
Conversely, if halibut in Area 2A
interrelate with the coastwide spawning
population, then the evidence of
coastwide declines supports reducing
the Area 2A catch limit to contribute to
the sustainability of the coastwide stock.
Regardless of the true relationship of the
Area 2A population to the coastwide
stock, maintaining the Area 2A catch
limit at 2017 level, particularly in light
of the catch limit decreases the Alaska
Region will implement for other IPHC
regulatory areas in a separate interim
final rule, would be inconsistent with
the IPHC’s current stock apportionment
approach. Overall, NMFS determined
that the projected coastwide declines in
stock biomass warrants distributing
stock removals across all regulatory
areas, including Area 2A.
NMFS reviewed the information
presented by IPHC on the coastwide and
Area 2A-specific decline of Pacific
halibut and sources of uncertainty. The
best available science supports the
conclusion that the coastwide halibut
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population and the Area 2A component
of the halibut population is declining,
and NMFS believes that it is appropriate
to reduce 2018 catch limit in Area 2A
relative to 2017. There is enough
uncertainty about the magnitude of the
expected decline and concerns with the
2017 setline survey to influence NMFS’s
decision on a final catch limit for Area
2A. Due to the timing of the survey and
hypoxic event, NMFS examined a catch
limit using the survey WPUE for Area
2A from 2016, thus removing the
uncertainty from the 2017 setline survey
from this decision. NMFS believes this
approach constitutes the best available
science. Following the IPHC’s interim
management policy of an F46% SPR
level for a coastwide TCEY of
31,000,000 lb (14,061.36 mt), the 2018
Area 2A TCEY was calculated to be
1,060,000 lb (480.81 mt). This compares
with the IPHC’s interim management
recommendation of a 590,000 lb (267.62
mt) TCEY for Area 2A based on the 2017
setline survey data.
A decline in the halibut stock is
expected under all alternatives, even
under Alternative 3 with the lowest
catch limits. The IPHC stock projections
provided risk estimates up through 2021
with a higher level of certainty, but
declines may occur over a period longer
than three years. The stock will
continue to be evaluated in annual stock
assessments, and lower catch limits may
be necessary in the coming years. Given
the potential economic impacts of a
large reduction from the 2017 TCEY of
1,470,000 lb (666.78 mt) to a TCEY for
Area 2A that corresponds to a coastwide
reference fishing intensity level of
F46%, NMFS has determined that it is
appropriate to reduce catch limits over
a period greater than one year.
Gradually reducing the level of harvest
over a number of years balances a
precautionary approach to coastwide
decline of the stock shown in the survey
with the severity of the economic
impacts from a large reduction.
Furthermore, a small reduction for 2018
provides a transition period if further
reductions are necessary in the coming
years, and allows the IPHC to reevaluate the Area 2A biomass estimate
after the 2018 survey. NMFS
understands that the IPHC intends to
follow the survey location and timing
used in surveys prior to 2017, which
may reduce the overlap of any summer
hypoxia in future years.
Comments and Responses
On January 30, 2018, NMFS
published a proposed rule for the 2018
Pacific halibut Catch Sharing Plan and
annual management measures for Area
2A off Washington, Oregon, and
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California (83 FR 4175). NMFS accepted
public comments on the Council’s
recommended modifications to the Plan
and the resulting proposed domestic
fishing regulations through March 1,
2018. When the January 2018 proposed
rule was published, NMFS anticipated
that the IPHC would determine catch
limits for Area 2A at its annual meeting;
however, the IPHC did not agree on
2018 Pacific halibut catch limits.
Although specific 2018 catch limits
were not proposed under the January
2018 proposed rule, NMFS accepted
comments regarding any potential
changes to the catch limits for 2018.
Comments relating to the 2018 catch
limits are addressed here. As stated
above, NMFS is also requesting postpromulgation comments on the 2018
catch limits set under this rule.
Comment 1: Oregon Department of
Fish and Wildlife and California
Department of Fish and Wildlife
support the United States Commissioner
suggested TCEY of 1,320,000 lb (598.74
mt) and resulting catch limit of
1,190,000 lb (539.75 mt).
Response: NMFS acknowledges the
importance of transparency and the data
and staff experience used in the IPHC
process for setting coastwide halibut
catch limits. After an independent
review of the best available science,
NMFS is setting a catch limit of
1,190,000 lb (538.75 mt), consistent
with the United States Commissioners’
suggestion. NMFS’s rationale in support
of this catch limit is included in the
preamble, and is not repeated here.
Comment 2: The Northwest Indian
Fisheries Commission supported
leaving 2017 catch limit in place for
2018, Alternative 1, which was also
supported by IPHC advisory bodies at
the annual meeting. Washington
Department of Fish and Wildlife
initially supported the United States
Commissioners’ suggestion, but later
changed its position to state that 2017
levels are appropriate. The Northwest
Indian Fisheries Commission further
commented that the IPHC 2017 setline
survey does not form a basis for a
reduction in the Area 2A quota and that
tribal and non-tribal commercial WPUE
point to an increased Area 2A
abundance.
Response: NMFS acknowledges the
concerns with the setline survey, but
disagrees that the 2017 setline survey
does not provide any basis for Area 2A
catch limit reductions. NMFS’s
consideration of the issues with the
setline survey is discussed in detail in
the preamble to this rule. Using the data
from the 2017 setline survey that took
place later than in previous years and
coincided with a hypoxic area would
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result in a 2018 catch limit of 590,000
lb (267.62 mt) for Area 2A, discussed
under Alternative 3. However, because
of the concern with the 2017 survey,
NMFS supports using the WPUE from
the 2016 setline survey that provides a
more appropriate starting point for
determining the final Area 2A catch
limit. Applying the 2016 setline survey
data to the 2017 stock assessment was
calculated to result in a 2018 TCEY of
1,060,000 pounds (480.81 mt) for Area
2A. NMFS concurs with statements by
the United States Commissioners that
adopting a TCEY for Area 2A that
corresponds to a coastwide reference
fishing intensity level of F46% without
any transition period would lead to
extensive economic harm to the tribes,
fishery participants, and coastal
communities in Area 2A. Setting the
catch limit at 1,190,000 lbs (539.75 mt)
reduces the immediate economic harm
to fishery participants, but still reduces
the catch limit to support the
sustainability of the halibut stock.
NMFS considered commercial WPUE
when making its decision, but opted for
a precautionary lower catch limit for the
health of the halibut stock until the
IPHC reports new information.
Classification
The Administrator of the NMFS West
Coast Region determined that this
interim final rule is necessary for the
conservation and management of the
Pacific halibut fishery and that it is
consistent with the Convention, the
Halibut Act, and other applicable laws.
Halibut annual management measures
are a product of an agreement between
the United States and Canada and are
published in the Federal Register to
provide notice of their effectiveness and
content. However, for 2018, because the
United States and Canada were not able
to reach agreement on all management
measures, additional halibut annual
management measures will be
promulgated by the Secretary of
Commerce pursuant to Northern Pacific
Halibut Act of 1982, 16 U.S.C. 773c(a)
and (b).
This interim final rule is consistent
with the objective of the Convention to
develop the stocks of halibut of the
Northern Pacific Ocean and Bering Sea
to levels which will permit the optimum
yield from that fishery, and to maintain
the stocks at those levels. NMFS
considered the best available science
when selecting the Area 2A catch limit
implemented in this interim final rule.
Specifically, NMFS considered the most
recent stock assessments conducted by
the IPHC, surveys, and the EA and
FONSI completed for this interim final
rule.
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This interim final rule has been
determined to be not significant for
purposes of Executive Order 12866.
There are no relevant federal rules
that may duplicate, overlap, or conflict
with this action.
Pursuant to Executive Order 13175,
the Secretary recognizes the sovereign
status and co-manager role of Indian
tribes over shared federal and tribal
fishery resources. Section 302(b)(5) of
the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery
Conservation and Management Act
establishes a seat on the Pacific Council
for a representative of an Indian tribe
with federally recognized fishing rights
from California, Oregon, Washington, or
Idaho.
The U.S. Government formally
recognizes that the 13 Washington
Tribes have treaty rights to fish for
Pacific halibut. In general terms, the
quantification of those rights is 50
percent of the harvestable surplus of
Pacific halibut available in the tribes’
usual and accustomed fishing areas
(described at 50 CFR 300.64). Each of
the treaty tribes has the discretion to
administer its fisheries and to establish
its own policies to achieve program
objectives. Accordingly, tribal
allocations and regulations have been
developed in consultation with the
affected tribe(s) and, insofar as possible,
with tribal consensus. The treaty tribes
requested consultation with NMFS on
this rule and NMFS met with
representatives from the Makah Tribe on
February 9, 2018, and the Northwest
Indian Fisheries Commission on
February 12, 2018, to discuss the rule.
Without adoption of this interim final
rule, the Pacific halibut stocks would be
harvested at a rate NMFS has
determined to be unacceptably high
based on the best available science.
Further, it is imperative to publish these
regulations prior to the opening of the
season under the 2018 IPHC annual
management measures (83 FR 10390,
Mar. 3, 2018) to avoid confusion to the
affected public regarding legal behavior
while conducting Pacific halibut
fisheries in Convention waters off the
United States. Therefore, pursuant to 5
U.S.C. 553(b)(B), there is good cause to
waive prior notice and an opportunity
for public comment on this action, as
notice and comment would be
impracticable and contrary to the public
interest. Because of the timing of the
start of the Pacific halibut fishery,
which begins on March 24, 2018, it is
impracticable to complete rulemaking
before the start of the fishery with a
public review and comment period.
However, the opportunity for public
comment on the halibut stock and catch
limits was available at the interim and
annual IPHC meetings, through the
proposed rule for changes to the Catch
Sharing Plan, and at the Council
meeting held in March 2018. This
interim final rule implements
commercial catch limit for Area 2A
consistent with the suggestions made by
United States Commissioners to the
IPHC at the annual meeting of the IPHC
that concluded on January 26, 2018.
With the fishery scheduled to open on
March 24, 2018, NMFS must ensure that
the prosecution of a fishery would not
result in substantial harm to the Pacific
halibut resource that could occur if the
additional time necessary to provide for
prior notice and comment and agency
processing delayed the effectiveness of
this action beyond March 24, 2018.
There also is good cause under 5
U.S.C. 553(d)(3) to waive the 30-day
delay in effectiveness. These
management measures must be effective
by March 24, 2018, when the Pacific
halibut fishery is scheduled to open by
regulations adopted by the IPHC. These
management measures are necessary to
prevent substantial harm to the Pacific
halibut resource. Their immediate
effectiveness avoids confusion that
could occur if these management
measures are not effective on March 24,
2018. Accordingly, it is impracticable to
delay for 30 days the effective date of
this rule. Therefore, good cause exists to
waive the 30-day delay in effectiveness
pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553(b)(3), and to
make the rule effective upon filing with
the Office of the Federal Register.
Although we are waiving prior notice
and opportunity for public comment,
we are requesting post-promulgation
comments until April 25, 2018. Please
see ADDRESSES for more information on
the ways to submit comments.
Because prior notice and opportunity
for public comment are not required for
this rule by 5 U.S.C. 553, or any other
law, the analytical requirements of the
Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. 601
et seq., are inapplicable.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 300
Administrative practice and
procedure, Antarctica, Canada, Exports,
Fish, Fisheries, Fishing, Imports,
Indians, Labeling, Marine resources,
Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Russian Federation,
Transportation, Treaties, Wildlife.
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 951 et seq., 16 U.S.C.
1801 et seq., 16 U.S.C. 5501 et seq., 16 U.S.C.
2431 et seq., 31 U.S.C. 9701 et seq.
Dated: March 21, 2018.
Samuel D. Rauch III,
Deputy Assistant Administrator for
Regulatory Programs, National Marine
Fisheries Service.
For the reasons set out in the
preamble, 50 CFR part 300 is amended
as follows:
PART 300—INTERNATIONAL
FISHERIES REGULATIONS
Subpart E—Pacific Halibut Fisheries
1. The authority citation for part 300,
subpart E, continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 773–773k.
■
2. Add § 300.69 to read as follows:
§ 300.69
2018 Catch limits for Area 2A.
This section establishes catch limits
for Area 2A, effective March 24, 2018,
through December 31, 2018.
(a) This section establishes catch
limits for Area 2A as follows:
Pounds
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Area 2A TCEY .........................................................................................................................................................
Area 2A Catch Limit ................................................................................................................................................
Tribal commercial ....................................................................................................................................................
Incidental commercial during sablefish fishery ........................................................................................................
Non-tribal directed commercial ................................................................................................................................
Incidental commercial catch during salmon troll fishery .........................................................................................
(b) [Reserved]
[FR Doc. 2018–06048 Filed 3–23–18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
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1,320,000
1,190,000
389,500
50,000
201,845
35,620
Metric tons
598.74
538.78
176.67
22.68
91.56
16.16
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 83, Number 58 (Monday, March 26, 2018)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 13080-13087]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2018-06048]
[[Page 13079]]
Vol. 83
Monday,
No. 58
March 26, 2018
Part III
Department of Commerce
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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50 CFR Part 300
Pacific Halibut Fisheries; Pacific Halibut Catch Limits for Area 2A
Fisheries in 2018; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 83, No. 58 / Monday, March 26, 2018 / Rules
and Regulations
[[Page 13080]]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
50 CFR Part 300
[Docket No. 180207136-8136-01]
RIN 0648-BH71
Pacific Halibut Fisheries; Pacific Halibut Catch Limits for Area
2A Fisheries in 2018
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Interim final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This interim final rule sets the 2018 Pacific halibut catch
limit in the International Pacific Halibut Commission's Regulatory Area
2A off Washington, Oregon, and California. The International Pacific
Halibut Commission, at its annual meeting, did not recommend 2018 catch
limits for any of its regulatory areas, including Area 2A. The best
available scientific information indicates the Pacific halibut stock is
declining. Without NMFS action, a higher Area 2A catch limit would
remain in place for 2018. The Secretary of Commerce has authority to
establish regulations that are more restrictive than those adopted by
the International Pacific Halibut Commission. An interim final rule is
necessary to ensure that lower 2018 halibut catch limits are in place
at the start of the tribal fishery March 24, 2018, and before
incidental halibut retention in the sablefish and salmon fisheries
begins on April 1, 2018. This action is intended to enhance the
conservation of Pacific halibut.
DATES: This rule is effective from March 24, 2018, through December 31,
2018. Comments must be received by April 25, 2018.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by NOAA-NMFS-2018-0025, by
either of the following methods:
Federal e-Rulemaking Portal: Go to www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;D=NOAA-NMFS-2018-0025, click the ``Comment Now!'' icon,
complete the required fields, and enter or attach your comments.
Mail: Submit written comments to Barry A. Thom, Regional
Administrator, West Coast Region, NMFS, 7600 Sand Point Way NE,
Seattle, WA 98115-0070.
Instructions: NMFS may not consider comments if they are sent by
any other method, to any other address or individual, or received after
the comment period ends. All comments received are a part of the public
record and NMFS will post for public viewing on www.regulations.gov
without change. All personal identifying information (e.g., name,
address, etc.), confidential business information, or otherwise
sensitive information submitted voluntarily by the sender is publicly
accessible. NMFS will accept anonymous comments (enter ``N/A'' in the
required fields if you wish to remain anonymous).
Additional information regarding this action may be obtained by
contacting the Sustainable Fisheries Division, NMFS West Coast Region,
7600 Sand Point Way NE, Seattle, WA 98115-0070. For information
regarding all halibut fisheries and general regulations not contained
in this rule contact the International Pacific Halibut Commission, 2320
W Commodore Way, Suite 300, Seattle, WA 98199-1287. Electronic copies
of the Environmental Assessment (EA) prepared for this action may be
obtained by contacting Kathryn Blair, phone: 206-526-6140, email:
[email protected].
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Kathryn Blair, phone: 206-526-6140,
fax: 206-526-6736, or email: [email protected].
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
The International Pacific Halibut Commission (IPHC) can recommend
regulations that govern the Pacific halibut fishery pursuant to the
Convention between the United States of America and Canada for the
Preservation of the Halibut Fishery of the Northern Pacific Ocean and
Bering Sea, Mar. 2, 1953, 5 U.S.T. 5, and the Protocol Amending the
Convention Between the United States of America and Canada for the
Preservation of the Halibut Fishery of the Northern Pacific Ocean and
Bering Sea (Convention), Mar. 29, 1979, 32 U.S.T. 2483. The IPHC's
regulatory areas are: Area 2A (U.S. West Coast); Area 2B (Canada); Area
2C (Southeast Alaska), Area 3A (Central Gulf of Alaska), Area 3B
(Western Gulf of Alaska), and Area 4 (subdivided into 5 areas, 4A
through 4E, in the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands of Western Alaska).
These regulatory areas are described in 50 CFR part 679, Figure 15.
[[Page 13081]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR26MR18.002
As provided by the Northern Pacific Halibut Act of 1982 (Halibut
Act) at 16 U.S.C. 773b, the Secretary of State, with the concurrence of
the Secretary of Commerce, may accept or reject, on behalf of the
United States, regulations recommended by the IPHC in accordance with
the Convention (Halibut Act, Sections 773-773k). The Secretary of
State, with the concurrence of the Secretary of Commerce, accepted the
2017 IPHC regulations as provided by the Halibut Act at 16 U.S.C. 773-
773k. Pacific Halibut Fisheries; Catch Sharing Plan, 82 FR 12730, Mar.
7, 2017.
The Halibut Act provides the Secretary of Commerce with the
authority and general responsibility to carry out the requirements of
the Convention and the Halibut Act. 16 U.S.C. 773(c). The Regional
Fishery Management Councils may develop, and the Secretary of Commerce
may implement regulations governing harvesting privileges among U.S.
fishermen in U.S. waters that are in addition to, and not in conflict
with, approved IPHC regulations. Id.; Convention, Article I. The
Pacific Fishery Management Council (Council) has exercised this
authority to develop a catch sharing plan that governs the allocation
of halibut and management of sport fisheries on the U.S. West Coast.
The Pacific Halibut Catch Sharing Plan for Area 2A is available on the
Council website at https://www.pcouncil.org.
Independent of the Council, the Secretary of Commerce may implement
regulations governing harvesting privileges among U.S. fishermen in
U.S. waters that are more restrictive than those adopted by the IPHC
under Article I of the Convention and section 773c of the Halibut Act.
The Secretary exercised this authority in 1990 to implement regulations
on commercial and sport catch limits that were more restrictive than
the IPHC regulations published in 1989 because the IPHC, at its annual
meeting in 1990, did not approve new management measures for 1990 (55
FR 11929, Mar. 30, 1990).
Specific to this interim final rule under the Halibut Act, the
Secretary is implementing catch limits for Area 2A that are more
restrictive than approved IPHC catch limits from 2017 that would
otherwise remain in effect. The IPHC held its annual meeting to
recommend halibut catch limits and management measures from January 22-
26, 2018. At the meeting, IPHC scientists presented biological
information showing that the total biomass, and specifically the total
exploitable biomass, of Pacific halibut is projected to decline
substantially over the next several years. Although the United States
and Canadian Commissioners voiced consensus that some reduction in
catch limits relative to 2017 in all regulatory areas was appropriate,
the Commissioners could not reach agreement on specific catch limit
recommendations for 2018. Therefore, the IPHC did not make a
recommendation to the Secretary of State to revise the catch limits
that were implemented in 2017. The United States and Canadian
Commissioners did suggest specific catch limits for their respective
waters, all of which would reduce catch limits compared with 2017.\1\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ The United States and Canadian Commissioners did agree on
and formally recommend season dates, catch sharing plans, and
certain management measures, which the United States adopted (83 FR
10390, Mar. 9, 2018).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In this interim final rule, NMFS is implementing an Area 2A catch
limit of 1,190,000 lb (539.78 metric tons) for 2018. This catch limit
\2\ is derived from the total constant exploitation yield (TCEY), which
includes commercial discards and bycatch estimates
[[Page 13082]]
calculated by a formula developed by the IPHC. Though NMFS
independently determined this catch limit is supported by the best
available scientific information, the catch limit was also suggested by
the United States Commissioners as necessary to meet the conservation
and management objectives of the Convention and the Halibut Act. This
2018 catch limit represents approximately an 11 percent reduction from
the 2017 Area 2A catch limit. NMFS is setting catch limits for all
other IPHC regulatory areas in the United States in a separate interim
final rule. The following sections of this preamble describe NMFS's
rationale for the Area 2A catch limit implemented in this interim final
rule.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ The term ``catch limit'' is equivalent to the IPHC's term
fishery constant exploitation yield (FCEY).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary of Biological and Economic Impacts of Coastwide Halibut Catch
Limits
In 2017, the IPHC conducted its annual stock assessment using a
range of updated data sources as described in detail in the 2017 IPHC
Report of Assessment and Research Activities (2017 RARA; available at
www.iphc.int). The IPHC used an ``ensemble'' of four equally weighted
models, comprised of two long time-series models, and two short time-
series models that use data series either divided by geographical
region (IPHC Regulatory Area) or aggregated into coastwide summaries,
to evaluate the Pacific halibut stock. These models incorporate data
from the 2017 IPHC setline survey, the most recent NMFS trawl survey,
weight-at-age estimates by region, and age distribution information for
bycatch, sport, and sublegal discard removals. As has been the case
since 2012, the results of the ensemble models are integrated, and
incorporate uncertainty in natural mortality rates, environmental
effects on recruitment, and other model parameters. The data and
assessment models used by the IPHC are also reviewed by the IPHC's
Scientific Review Board, a group comprised of non-IPHC scientists who
provide an independent scientific review of the stock assessment data
and models and provide recommendations to IPHC staff. The Scientific
Review Board did not identify any substantive errors in the data or
methods used in the 2017 stock assessment. NMFS has determined the
IPHC's data and assessment models constitute best available science on
the status of the Pacific halibut resource.
The IPHC's data, including the setline survey, indicates that the
Pacific halibut stock declined continuously from the late 1990s to
around 2010, as a result of decreasing size at a given age (size-at-
age), as well as somewhat weaker recruitment strengths than those
observed during the 1980s. The biomass of spawning females is estimated
to have stabilized near 200,000,000 lb (90,718 mt) in 2010, and since
then the stock is estimated to have increased two million pounds, but
is still at relatively low levels.
The 2017 stock assessment projects that the biomass of spawning
females at the beginning of 2018 is estimated to be 202,000,000 lb
(91,600 mt). Data from the 2017 stock assessment indicate that all
estimates of recruitment (year classes or cohorts) from 2006 onwards of
Pacific halibut are estimated to be smaller than those from 1999
through 2005. This indicates a high probability of decline in both the
stock and future fishery yield as recent recruitments become
increasingly important to the age range over which much of the harvest
and spawning takes place.
IPHC scientists presented at the interim and annual IPHC meetings,
and in the Report of the 2018 annual meeting, biological information
analyzing the possible effects of a range of different TCEYs and
resulting catch limits on the spawning stock biomass and the
harvestable yield over the period from 2019 through 2021, including the
potential implications of the three alternative catch limits NMFS
considered for this rule: Alternative 1--maintain the catch limits the
IPHC adopted in 2017; Alternative 2--reduce catch limits as suggested
by the United States Commissioners, but not recommended by the IPHC;
and Alternative 3--reduce catch limits consistent with the IPHC's
interim management procedure (Table 1). The IPHC's interim management
procedure maintains the total mortality of halibut across its range
from all sources based on a reference level of fishing intensity so
that the Spawning Potential Ratio (SPR) is equal to 46 percent (F46%
SPR). The catch limits that correspond to the reference fishing
intensity of F46% SPR should result in in a fish achieving 46 percent
of its spawning potential over the course of its lifetime relative to
what it would have achieved as part of an unfished stock. Lower SPR
values result in higher fishing intensity. Additional information on
the status of the halibut resource under these catch limit alternatives
is provided in the environmental assessment (EA) and finding of no
significant impact (FONSI) (see ADDRESSES). The table below describes
the coastwide and Area 2A TCEYs and catch limits that would result from
the considered alternatives.
Table 1--Coastwide and Area 2A Catch Limits Under Alternatives 1-3
[Weight in pounds]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coastwide
catch limits Area 2A TCEY Area 2A catch
(lb) (lb) limit (lb)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Alternative 1--2017 limits (F38%)............................... 31,480,000 1,470,000 1,340,000
Alternative 2--United States Commissioner-suggested (F41%)...... 28,040,000 1,320,000 1,190,000
Alternative 3--IPHC Interim management procedure (F46%)......... 21,960,000 590,000 470,000
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following sections of this preamble provide a comparison of the
relative risk of a decrease in both coastwide stock abundance and
fishery yield for a range of alternative harvest levels for 2018 under
each of these three alternative catch limit scenarios. This comparison
assumes that other sources of removal that are not accounted for in the
TCEY calculations are similar to those observed in 2017. This interim
final rule refers to halibut catch limits, allocations, and removals in
net pounds or net metric tons. Net pounds and net metric tons are
defined as the weight of halibut from which the gills, entrails, head,
and ice and slime have been removed. NMFS uses this terminology in this
interim final rule to be consistent with the IPHC, which establishes
catch limits and calculates mortality in net pounds.
This interim final rule addresses the TCEY and overall catch limit
in Area 2A, but also describes and discusses the impacts of this
decision on the halibut resource on a coastwide basis, consistent with
the current management and known biological distribution of the halibut
resource.
[[Page 13083]]
Alternative 1--Maintain the Catch Limits the IPHC Adopted in 2017
In 2017, the IPHC recommended halibut catch limits to the
governments of Canada and the United States with a coastwide TCEY of
31,400,000 lb (14,242.80 mt). For Area 2A, this alternative would
result in a TCEY of 1,470,000 lb (666.78 mt) and a catch limit of
1,340,000 lb (607.81 mt). Maintaining 2017 catch limits in all IPHC
regulatory areas, including Area 2A, would have several short-term and
long-term adverse impacts on the halibut resource.
If the 2017 catch limits were maintained in all Areas in 2018, the
spawning stock biomass is projected to decrease over the next three
years (2019 through 2021). The IPHC analysis projected that 2017 catch
limits would result in a greater than 99 percent chance that the
spawning stock biomass would be lower in 2019 than in 2018, and a 34
percent chance that it would be more than 5 percent lower than the
current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). The analysis of
maintaining 2017 catch limits also projected a 99 percent chance that
the spawning biomass would be lower than current levels in 2021, and an
89 percent chance that it would be more than 5 percent lower than the
current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt) in 2021. The analysis also
predicted a 23 percent chance that the 2021 spawning stock biomass
would decline below the threshold reference point (30 percent of the
spawning stock biomass remains) that the IPHC uses to indicate stock
conditions that would trigger a substantial reduction in the halibut
catch limits under the interim IPHC management procedure. Overall, the
IPHC assessment predicts a 95 percent chance of decrease for the stock
between 2019-21 under this catch limit alternative, and a greater
decline than it would under Alternatives 2 or 3 (see Section 4 of the
EA).
The analysis of the effects of maintaining the 2017 catch limits in
all regulatory areas in 2018 also projects a chance of decrease in
fishery yield over the next three years. Fishery yield is the amount of
halibut available for harvest by commercial, recreational, and
subsistence users. To maintain the 2017 F38% SPR, the coastwide TCEY
would be 40,800,000 lb (18,506.57 mt). Maintaining the 2017 catch
limits in all regulatory areas is predicted to result in an 80 percent
chance that the fishery yield would be lower than the coastwide TCEY of
40,800,000 lb (18,506.57 mt) in 2019, and a 76 percent chance that it
would be more than 10 percent lower. Under this alternative, the IPHC
estimates at least an 81 percent chance that the coastwide fishery
yield would be lower than the coastwide TCEY of 40,800,000 lb (18,506
mt) in 2020 and 2021, and at least a 77 percent chance that it would be
more than 10 percent lower in 2020 and 2021. This alternative would
provide the highest catch limits for 2018 of the three alternative
catch limit scenarios described in this preamble, but also has the
greatest risk of future low fishery yields. Section 4 of the EA
summarizes the biological and economic impacts of this alternative.
Alternative 2--Reduce Catch Limits as Suggested by the United States
Commissioners, but Not Recommended by the IPHC
After considering the stock assessment, commercial fishery data,
and other biological information at the 2018 IPHC annual meeting, the
United States Commissioners stated that maintaining 2018 catch limits
in Area 2A at the same level as those implemented in 2017 would not be
consistent with the IPHC's conservation objectives for the halibut
stock and its management objectives for the halibut fisheries.
Specifically, the Convention in Article III states that the Commission
may limit the quantity of the catch for the purpose of developing the
stocks of halibut to levels which will permit the optimum yield from
that fishery, and of maintaining the stocks at those levels.
The United States Commissioners examined a catch limit using the
survey WPUE for Area 2A from 2016, due to some uncertainty in the 2017
Area 2A survey, discussed in more detail below. Following the IPHC's
interim management policy of an F46% SPR level for a coastwide TCEY of
31,000,000 lb (14,061.35 mt), and utilizing the 2016 data for Area 2A
and 2017 data for the remainder of the Regulatory Areas, the 2018 Area
2A TCEY was calculated to be 1,060,000 lb (480.81 mt). This value
considered the data collected in Alaska and Canada in 2017 that
projects a coastwide stock decline. NMFS understands that the United
States Commissioners used 1,060,000 lb (480.81 mt) as a baseline for
the Area 2A catch limits they suggested, instead of the TCEY of 590,000
lb (267.62 mt) that was presented by the IPHC under its interim
management procedure. The United States Commissioners suggested a TCEY
of 1,320,000 lb (598.74 mt) and resulting catch limit of 1,190,000 lb
(539.75 mt), approximately an 11 percent decrease from 2017 catch
limits. The United States Commissioners provided rationale that
supported the catch limits recommended under this alternative and
implemented by this rule, including the following:
The IPHC survey, IPHC coastwide stock assessment, and
supporting information from NMFS trawl and longline surveys indicated
substantial reductions in halibut spawning stock biomass and potential
fishery yield in 2018 compared to 2017;
The IPHC stock assessment identified poor recruitment in
the size classes targeted by commercial, recreational, and subsistence
users for the foreseeable future. These declining recruitment trends
are worsened with higher harvest rates; and
The results from the IPHC survey are further substantiated
by declining halibut trends in Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska trawl
surveys, and declining trends in commercial fishery weight-per-unit-
effort (WPUE) in most areas, though not in 2A. The IPHC survey
indicates a 10 percent reduction in survey WPUE, and a 24 percent
reduction in survey numbers-per-unit-effort (NPUE) coastwide compared
to last year.
The United States Commissioners were presented information
indicating that commercial WPUE in some regulatory areas was higher in
2017 relative to 2016. These commercial data have led some fishery
participants to suggest that the surveys and IPHC stock assessment do
not adequately reflect the abundance of harvestable halibut. The United
States Commissioners were also presented with information describing
the timing of the IPHC survey in Area 2A, which took place later than
in previous years, and data showing survey stations with consistent
historic halibut catch had reduced landings within a hypoxic area.
These topics are further addressed below. The United States
Commissioners noted that there is no indication that the surveys or
assessment are inaccurate to any significant degree and that they are
the best scientific information available for estimating halibut
abundance (see Section 3 of the EA for additional detail).
If the 2018 catch limits suggested by United States Commissioners
were applied in all Areas in 2018, the spawning stock biomass is still
projected to decrease over the next three years (2019 through 2021).
Under this harvest alternative there is an estimated 93 percent chance
that the spawning biomass would be lower than the current level in
2019, and a 19 percent chance that it would be more than 5 percent
lower than the current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). Under this
alternative catch limit, there is a 92
[[Page 13084]]
percent chance that the spawning biomass would be lower in 2021, and a
72 percent chance that it would be more than 5 percent lower than the
current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). In 2021, there is a 17
percent chance that the spawning biomass would decline below the
threshold reference point (30 percent of the spawning stock biomass
remains) used by the IPHC to indicate stock conditions that would
trigger a substantial reduction in the commercial halibut fishery under
the interim management procedure.
Implementing the 2018 catch limits suggested by United States
Commissioners is also projected to result in decreases in fishery yield
over the next three years, but less so than under Alternative 1. To
achieve the catch limits suggested by the United States Commissioners
at F41% SPR, the coastwide TCEY would be 37,200,000 lb (16,874 mt).
Under this alternative, the IPHC estimates a 73 percent chance that the
coastwide fishery yield would be lower than a coastwide TCEY of
37,200,000 lb (16,874 mt) in 2019, and a 63 percent chance that it
would be more than 10 percent lower. Under this alternative, the IPHC
estimates at least a 75 percent chance that the coastwide fishery yield
would be lower than a coastwide TCEY of 37,200,000 lb (16,874 mt) in
2020 and 2021, and at least a 67 percent chance that it would be more
than 10 percent lower in 2020 and 2021. Sections 3 and 4 of the EA
summarize the biological and economic impacts of this alternative.
Overall, the catch limit suggested by the U.S. Commissioners in
Area 2A would result in a decrease of approximately 11 percent relative
to 2017 and is consistent with the best scientific information
available on the abundance of harvestable halibut within this Area.
Alternative 3--Reduce Catch Limits Consistent With the IPHC's Interim
Management Procedure
The United States and Canadian Commissioners also considered an
alternative catch limit that would establish catch limits in all
regulatory areas consistent with the IPHC's interim management
procedure, though neither group suggested these catch limits. For Area
2A, this would mean a TCEY of 590,000 lb (267.62 mt) and resulting
catch limit of 470,000 lb (213.19 mt). The United States Commissioners
heard public comment that establishing catch limits at the IPHC's F46%
SPR reference level would impose significant economic costs on fishery
participants in Area 2A (see Section 4.3 of the EA for additional
detail).
If the catch limits consistent with the IPHC's interim harvest
policy were implemented in all regulatory areas in 2018, the spawning
stock biomass is still projected to decrease gradually over the next
three years, but less than under Alternatives 1 and 2 (See Section 4.2
of the EA). Under this harvest alternative, there is an estimated 78
percent chance that the spawning stock biomass would be lower than the
current level in 2019, and a 5 percent chance that it would be more
than 5 percent lower than the current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626
mt). Under this alternative catch limit, there is a 76 percent chance
that the spawning stock biomass would be lower than the current level
in 2021, and a 46 percent chance that it would be more than 5 percent
lower than the current level of 202,000,000 lb (91,626 mt). In 2021,
there is a 10 percent chance that the spawning biomass would decline
below the threshold reference point (30 percent of the spawning stock
biomass remains) that the IPHC uses to indicate stock conditions that
would trigger a substantial reduction in the commercial halibut fishery
under the interim management procedure.
Implementing 2018 catch limits consistent with the IPHC's interim
harvest policy in all regulatory areas is still projected to gradually
decrease fishery yield over the next three years (2019 through 2021),
but less so than under Alternatives 1 and 2 (see Section 4.2 of the
EA). Under this alternative, the IPHC estimates there is a 55 percent
chance that the fishery yield would be lower than a coastwide TCEY of
31,000,000 lb (14,061 mt) under the F46% fishing intensity recommended
by the IPHC, in 2019, and a 38 percent chance that it would be more
than 10 percent lower. Under this alternative, there is at least a 59
percent chance that the fishery yield would be lower than a coastwide
TCEY of 31,000,000 lb (14,061 mt) in 2020 and 2021, and at least a 45
percent chance that it would be more than 10 percent lower in 2020 and
2021. Section 4 of the EA summarizes the biological and economic
impacts of this alternative.
Rationale for Area 2A Catch Limit
After considering the best available scientific information, the
Convention, and the status of the halibut resource, NMFS sets an Area
2A TCEY of 1,320,000 lb (598.74 mt) and resulting catch limit of
1,190,000 lb (539.75 mt) through this interim final rule (Table 2).
This Area 2A catch limit is consistent with catch limits as suggested
by the United States Commissioners but not recommended by the IPHC.
Table 2--Area 2A TCEY and Catch Limit for 2018
[lb]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Area 2A TCEY................................................ 1,320,000
Area 2A Catch Limit......................................... 1,190,000
------------------------------------------------------------------------
As discussed above, the coastwide stock assessment predicts a
decline in spawning stock biomass even under the most precautionary
catch limit under Alternative 3. Recruitment has been poor since 2006
and these cohorts are displaying smaller size-at-age relative to the
1970s.
In addition to concerns about the status of the stock coastwide,
the best available scientific information, including IPHC's suite of
models, NMFS Alaska and West Coast trawl surveys, commercial WPUE in
most regulatory areas, and the fishery-independent setline survey,
supports setting 2018 catch limits for Area 2A lower than the 2017
catch limits.
The IPHC's 2017 fishery-independent setline survey indicated a 10
percent decrease from the 2016 survey in the coastwide aggregate legal
(over 32 inches) WPUE, while Area 2A decreased by 22 percent from 2016
to 2017. The 2017 setline survey had the lowest Area 2A survey legal
WPUE since 2011, at 19.6 pounds per skate, and has been declining since
2015. The 2017 Area 2A WPUE is low when compared to historical values
since 1993. Only four years (2007-10) had a lower WPUE than 2017.
Furthermore, while the coastwide setline survey numbers-per-unit effort
(NPUE) for all-sizes decreased by 24 percent from 2016 to 2017, Area 2A
decreased 44 percent from 2016 to 2017, the highest relative decrease
of all the IPHC areas. This information was presented in the IPHC's
annual meeting documents, available on their website. NMFS has
determined that the recent declines in the Area 2A WPUE are the best
available science and support the need for conservative catch limits
for 2018 in Area 2A.
Although the setline survey data supports coastwide and extensive
Area 2A halibut declines, IPHC staff acknowledged some concerns with
the setline survey and the uncertainty in the magnitude of the
estimated decline in Area 2A. These sources of uncertainty include: (1)
The timing of the setline survey in Area 2A and (2) halibut catch in a
hypoxic area that covered a large portion of the Area 2A setline survey
stations.
From 2013 to 2016, the Area 2A setline survey began in late May in
Washington waters and proceeded south, ending in either Oregon (2015
[[Page 13085]]
and 2016) or California waters (2013 and 2014) in the last half of July
or first half of August. In 2017, the setline survey began in late May,
but began in California and ended in Washington. Additionally, the 2017
survey off the Washington coast was performed in August through mid-
September, rather than in July through mid-August as in 2013-16. The
setline survey is performed annually, along regular intervals at
predetermined stations of consistent size and gear. Although it is
generally best practice to conduct surveys that contribute to a time
series of data at similar times and locations each year, the timing for
the 2017 survey does not lead NMFS to discount the overall trend of
decline. A small decrease from 2015 to 2016 was also recorded.
In addition to changes to the timing of the Area 2A setline survey,
there was also a large area of low dissolved oxygen off the coasts of
Washington and Oregon in the summer of 2017. Hypoxic events are not
uncommon off the U.S. west coast. However, the geographic extent and
severity of the hypoxia in 2017 was unusual. The Washington portion of
the setline survey corresponded spatially and temporally with the
region of low dissolved oxygen. Historically, the setline survey
stations in Washington waters have had among the highest WPUE of the
Area 2A stations. In 2016, survey stations off the north Washington
coast totaled 33 pounds per skate, where the same survey stations in
2017 had a WPUE of 9.9 pounds per skate. Most survey stations located
in the hypoxic area in 2017 had a WPUE of zero.
Any conclusions on the impact of the hypoxic area to the setline
survey are confounded by the change in survey timing. A change in
either the timing or the presence of hypoxia still may have resulted in
an accurate measure of the halibut stock in Area 2A. The 2017 survey
data was compared to previous years, and there were no unexpected
values outside of the low WPUE in the hypoxic area off the coast of
Washington. Pacific halibut are believed to be able to swim out of
hypoxic zones. If this was the case in 2017, the survey would have
likely recorded higher halibut WPUE at stations surrounding the hypoxic
zone. Because the data did not show higher halibut WPUE at the stations
surrounding the hypoxic zone, NMFS concludes that the reductions seen
in the setline survey may represent an actual reduction of biomass.
Separate from concerns about the 2017 setline survey, industry and
treaty tribe representatives have also noted that Area 2A commercial
weight per unit effort (WPUE) increased in recent years, which has led
some members of the public, and treaty tribe representatives, to
speculate that the Area 2A stock is increasing rather than declining.
The IPHC calculations of WPUE indicate that Area 2A tribal commercial
fishery WPUE has been increasing since 2014. In addition, there was a
small WPUE increase of 5 percent from 2016 to 2017 in the non-tribal
commercial fishery. Although the IPHC uses fishery-dependent data to
support determinations about Pacific halibut stock status, this type of
data is typically not a reliable indicator of biomass and the IPHC
takes this into account in its interpretation of these data. There are
several examples of overfished stocks for which WPUE remained fairly
stable even though the stock biomass had substantially declined. While
the best available science shows increases in WPUE since 2014 in the
tribal fishery and in 2017 for the non-tribal directed fishery, this
factor alone does not lead NMFS to dismiss the IPHC's conclusion that
the Area 2A population is declining.
Some industry and treaty tribe representatives have also expressed
their opinion that, because the Area 2A catch limit represents less
than 2 percent of the coastwide Pacific halibut catch limit,
maintaining the Area 2A catch limit at the 2017 level will not harm the
coastwide stock. They assert that their position is supported by an
IPHC analysis showing that additional mortality equivalent to
maintaining the Area 2A catch limit at the 2017 level (150,000 lb or 75
mt greater that NMFS's selected alternative) does not increase the
level of risk of coastwide stock decline presented under the discussion
of alternatives in this preamble.
NMFS considered how the Pacific halibut in Area 2A contribute and
relate to the coastwide stock, and the potential impacts of maintaining
the 2017 catch limit in Area 2A on the health of the resource given the
evidence of stock decline. Little is known about the exact interplay
between geographic regions and spawning success within the Pacific
halibut population, and there may be differences in discrete spawning
components of the population that make choosing a more precautionary
catch limit preferable. Fisheries management recognizes the benefits of
distributing harvest in proportion to stock size for stocks managed at
a coastwide level. The IPHC currently uses area-specific survey
information to apportion stock biomass, and ultimately catch limits,
across the regulatory areas. This approach recognizes the value of
biocomplexity across the geographic range of the halibut stock.
Distributing removals across the current stock distribution is likely
to protect against localized depletion of the various stock components.
This is particularly important because different stock components may
have different recruitment success under changing environmental
conditions. This concept of using a ``portfolio effect'' by
distributing harvest in proportion to stock distribution is widely
recognized in fisheries management, particularly among salmon stocks
(see EA at 3.2.1). NMFS uses this harvest distribution approach for
North Pacific stocks, such as Pacific cod sablefish, to manage across a
broad spatial distribution. This method has several advantages in that
it is based on a standardized annual assessment of stock (survey), is
not reliant on commercial fishery data that can mask changes in
underlying stock dynamics, and is a precautionary buffer against local
depletion and spatial recruitment overfishing. The IPHC continues to
discuss and refine apportionment methods; however, the current method
represents the best available scientific method for apportioning
coastwide catch.
NMFS recognizes the value of maintaining diversity across the
geographic range of Pacific halibut and supports reducing the Area 2A
catch limit consistent with the current understanding of coastwide
stock health to protect against potential localized depletion. If there
is a relatively distinct spawning component of the population in Area
2A, then the evidence of stock decline in Area 2A supports reducing the
catch limit compared to 2017 in order to maintain that component.
Conversely, if halibut in Area 2A interrelate with the coastwide
spawning population, then the evidence of coastwide declines supports
reducing the Area 2A catch limit to contribute to the sustainability of
the coastwide stock. Regardless of the true relationship of the Area 2A
population to the coastwide stock, maintaining the Area 2A catch limit
at 2017 level, particularly in light of the catch limit decreases the
Alaska Region will implement for other IPHC regulatory areas in a
separate interim final rule, would be inconsistent with the IPHC's
current stock apportionment approach. Overall, NMFS determined that the
projected coastwide declines in stock biomass warrants distributing
stock removals across all regulatory areas, including Area 2A.
NMFS reviewed the information presented by IPHC on the coastwide
and Area 2A-specific decline of Pacific halibut and sources of
uncertainty. The best available science supports the conclusion that
the coastwide halibut
[[Page 13086]]
population and the Area 2A component of the halibut population is
declining, and NMFS believes that it is appropriate to reduce 2018
catch limit in Area 2A relative to 2017. There is enough uncertainty
about the magnitude of the expected decline and concerns with the 2017
setline survey to influence NMFS's decision on a final catch limit for
Area 2A. Due to the timing of the survey and hypoxic event, NMFS
examined a catch limit using the survey WPUE for Area 2A from 2016,
thus removing the uncertainty from the 2017 setline survey from this
decision. NMFS believes this approach constitutes the best available
science. Following the IPHC's interim management policy of an F46% SPR
level for a coastwide TCEY of 31,000,000 lb (14,061.36 mt), the 2018
Area 2A TCEY was calculated to be 1,060,000 lb (480.81 mt). This
compares with the IPHC's interim management recommendation of a 590,000
lb (267.62 mt) TCEY for Area 2A based on the 2017 setline survey data.
A decline in the halibut stock is expected under all alternatives,
even under Alternative 3 with the lowest catch limits. The IPHC stock
projections provided risk estimates up through 2021 with a higher level
of certainty, but declines may occur over a period longer than three
years. The stock will continue to be evaluated in annual stock
assessments, and lower catch limits may be necessary in the coming
years. Given the potential economic impacts of a large reduction from
the 2017 TCEY of 1,470,000 lb (666.78 mt) to a TCEY for Area 2A that
corresponds to a coastwide reference fishing intensity level of F46%,
NMFS has determined that it is appropriate to reduce catch limits over
a period greater than one year. Gradually reducing the level of harvest
over a number of years balances a precautionary approach to coastwide
decline of the stock shown in the survey with the severity of the
economic impacts from a large reduction. Furthermore, a small reduction
for 2018 provides a transition period if further reductions are
necessary in the coming years, and allows the IPHC to re-evaluate the
Area 2A biomass estimate after the 2018 survey. NMFS understands that
the IPHC intends to follow the survey location and timing used in
surveys prior to 2017, which may reduce the overlap of any summer
hypoxia in future years.
Comments and Responses
On January 30, 2018, NMFS published a proposed rule for the 2018
Pacific halibut Catch Sharing Plan and annual management measures for
Area 2A off Washington, Oregon, and California (83 FR 4175). NMFS
accepted public comments on the Council's recommended modifications to
the Plan and the resulting proposed domestic fishing regulations
through March 1, 2018. When the January 2018 proposed rule was
published, NMFS anticipated that the IPHC would determine catch limits
for Area 2A at its annual meeting; however, the IPHC did not agree on
2018 Pacific halibut catch limits. Although specific 2018 catch limits
were not proposed under the January 2018 proposed rule, NMFS accepted
comments regarding any potential changes to the catch limits for 2018.
Comments relating to the 2018 catch limits are addressed here. As
stated above, NMFS is also requesting post-promulgation comments on the
2018 catch limits set under this rule.
Comment 1: Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife and California
Department of Fish and Wildlife support the United States Commissioner
suggested TCEY of 1,320,000 lb (598.74 mt) and resulting catch limit of
1,190,000 lb (539.75 mt).
Response: NMFS acknowledges the importance of transparency and the
data and staff experience used in the IPHC process for setting
coastwide halibut catch limits. After an independent review of the best
available science, NMFS is setting a catch limit of 1,190,000 lb
(538.75 mt), consistent with the United States Commissioners'
suggestion. NMFS's rationale in support of this catch limit is included
in the preamble, and is not repeated here.
Comment 2: The Northwest Indian Fisheries Commission supported
leaving 2017 catch limit in place for 2018, Alternative 1, which was
also supported by IPHC advisory bodies at the annual meeting.
Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife initially supported the
United States Commissioners' suggestion, but later changed its position
to state that 2017 levels are appropriate. The Northwest Indian
Fisheries Commission further commented that the IPHC 2017 setline
survey does not form a basis for a reduction in the Area 2A quota and
that tribal and non-tribal commercial WPUE point to an increased Area
2A abundance.
Response: NMFS acknowledges the concerns with the setline survey,
but disagrees that the 2017 setline survey does not provide any basis
for Area 2A catch limit reductions. NMFS's consideration of the issues
with the setline survey is discussed in detail in the preamble to this
rule. Using the data from the 2017 setline survey that took place later
than in previous years and coincided with a hypoxic area would result
in a 2018 catch limit of 590,000 lb (267.62 mt) for Area 2A, discussed
under Alternative 3. However, because of the concern with the 2017
survey, NMFS supports using the WPUE from the 2016 setline survey that
provides a more appropriate starting point for determining the final
Area 2A catch limit. Applying the 2016 setline survey data to the 2017
stock assessment was calculated to result in a 2018 TCEY of 1,060,000
pounds (480.81 mt) for Area 2A. NMFS concurs with statements by the
United States Commissioners that adopting a TCEY for Area 2A that
corresponds to a coastwide reference fishing intensity level of F46%
without any transition period would lead to extensive economic harm to
the tribes, fishery participants, and coastal communities in Area 2A.
Setting the catch limit at 1,190,000 lbs (539.75 mt) reduces the
immediate economic harm to fishery participants, but still reduces the
catch limit to support the sustainability of the halibut stock. NMFS
considered commercial WPUE when making its decision, but opted for a
precautionary lower catch limit for the health of the halibut stock
until the IPHC reports new information.
Classification
The Administrator of the NMFS West Coast Region determined that
this interim final rule is necessary for the conservation and
management of the Pacific halibut fishery and that it is consistent
with the Convention, the Halibut Act, and other applicable laws.
Halibut annual management measures are a product of an agreement
between the United States and Canada and are published in the Federal
Register to provide notice of their effectiveness and content. However,
for 2018, because the United States and Canada were not able to reach
agreement on all management measures, additional halibut annual
management measures will be promulgated by the Secretary of Commerce
pursuant to Northern Pacific Halibut Act of 1982, 16 U.S.C. 773c(a) and
(b).
This interim final rule is consistent with the objective of the
Convention to develop the stocks of halibut of the Northern Pacific
Ocean and Bering Sea to levels which will permit the optimum yield from
that fishery, and to maintain the stocks at those levels. NMFS
considered the best available science when selecting the Area 2A catch
limit implemented in this interim final rule. Specifically, NMFS
considered the most recent stock assessments conducted by the IPHC,
surveys, and the EA and FONSI completed for this interim final rule.
[[Page 13087]]
This interim final rule has been determined to be not significant
for purposes of Executive Order 12866.
There are no relevant federal rules that may duplicate, overlap, or
conflict with this action.
Pursuant to Executive Order 13175, the Secretary recognizes the
sovereign status and co-manager role of Indian tribes over shared
federal and tribal fishery resources. Section 302(b)(5) of the
Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act establishes a
seat on the Pacific Council for a representative of an Indian tribe
with federally recognized fishing rights from California, Oregon,
Washington, or Idaho.
The U.S. Government formally recognizes that the 13 Washington
Tribes have treaty rights to fish for Pacific halibut. In general
terms, the quantification of those rights is 50 percent of the
harvestable surplus of Pacific halibut available in the tribes' usual
and accustomed fishing areas (described at 50 CFR 300.64). Each of the
treaty tribes has the discretion to administer its fisheries and to
establish its own policies to achieve program objectives. Accordingly,
tribal allocations and regulations have been developed in consultation
with the affected tribe(s) and, insofar as possible, with tribal
consensus. The treaty tribes requested consultation with NMFS on this
rule and NMFS met with representatives from the Makah Tribe on February
9, 2018, and the Northwest Indian Fisheries Commission on February 12,
2018, to discuss the rule.
Without adoption of this interim final rule, the Pacific halibut
stocks would be harvested at a rate NMFS has determined to be
unacceptably high based on the best available science. Further, it is
imperative to publish these regulations prior to the opening of the
season under the 2018 IPHC annual management measures (83 FR 10390,
Mar. 3, 2018) to avoid confusion to the affected public regarding legal
behavior while conducting Pacific halibut fisheries in Convention
waters off the United States. Therefore, pursuant to 5 U.S.C.
553(b)(B), there is good cause to waive prior notice and an opportunity
for public comment on this action, as notice and comment would be
impracticable and contrary to the public interest. Because of the
timing of the start of the Pacific halibut fishery, which begins on
March 24, 2018, it is impracticable to complete rulemaking before the
start of the fishery with a public review and comment period. However,
the opportunity for public comment on the halibut stock and catch
limits was available at the interim and annual IPHC meetings, through
the proposed rule for changes to the Catch Sharing Plan, and at the
Council meeting held in March 2018. This interim final rule implements
commercial catch limit for Area 2A consistent with the suggestions made
by United States Commissioners to the IPHC at the annual meeting of the
IPHC that concluded on January 26, 2018. With the fishery scheduled to
open on March 24, 2018, NMFS must ensure that the prosecution of a
fishery would not result in substantial harm to the Pacific halibut
resource that could occur if the additional time necessary to provide
for prior notice and comment and agency processing delayed the
effectiveness of this action beyond March 24, 2018.
There also is good cause under 5 U.S.C. 553(d)(3) to waive the 30-
day delay in effectiveness. These management measures must be effective
by March 24, 2018, when the Pacific halibut fishery is scheduled to
open by regulations adopted by the IPHC. These management measures are
necessary to prevent substantial harm to the Pacific halibut resource.
Their immediate effectiveness avoids confusion that could occur if
these management measures are not effective on March 24, 2018.
Accordingly, it is impracticable to delay for 30 days the effective
date of this rule. Therefore, good cause exists to waive the 30-day
delay in effectiveness pursuant to 5 U.S.C. 553(b)(3), and to make the
rule effective upon filing with the Office of the Federal Register.
Although we are waiving prior notice and opportunity for public
comment, we are requesting post-promulgation comments until April 25,
2018. Please see ADDRESSES for more information on the ways to submit
comments.
Because prior notice and opportunity for public comment are not
required for this rule by 5 U.S.C. 553, or any other law, the
analytical requirements of the Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. 601
et seq., are inapplicable.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 300
Administrative practice and procedure, Antarctica, Canada, Exports,
Fish, Fisheries, Fishing, Imports, Indians, Labeling, Marine resources,
Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Russian Federation,
Transportation, Treaties, Wildlife.
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 951 et seq., 16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq., 16
U.S.C. 5501 et seq., 16 U.S.C. 2431 et seq., 31 U.S.C. 9701 et seq.
Dated: March 21, 2018.
Samuel D. Rauch III,
Deputy Assistant Administrator for Regulatory Programs, National Marine
Fisheries Service.
For the reasons set out in the preamble, 50 CFR part 300 is amended
as follows:
PART 300--INTERNATIONAL FISHERIES REGULATIONS
Subpart E--Pacific Halibut Fisheries
0
1. The authority citation for part 300, subpart E, continues to read as
follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 773-773k.
0
2. Add Sec. 300.69 to read as follows:
Sec. 300.69 2018 Catch limits for Area 2A.
This section establishes catch limits for Area 2A, effective March
24, 2018, through December 31, 2018.
(a) This section establishes catch limits for Area 2A as follows:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pounds Metric tons
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Area 2A TCEY............................ 1,320,000 598.74
Area 2A Catch Limit..................... 1,190,000 538.78
Tribal commercial....................... 389,500 176.67
Incidental commercial during sablefish 50,000 22.68
fishery................................
Non-tribal directed commercial.......... 201,845 91.56
Incidental commercial catch during 35,620 16.16
salmon troll fishery...................
------------------------------------------------------------------------
(b) [Reserved]
[FR Doc. 2018-06048 Filed 3-23-18; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-P