Marine Mammal Stock Assessment Reports, 29039-29052 [2017-13369]
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Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 122 / Tuesday, June 27, 2017 / Notices
collections, as required by the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995.
DATES: Written comments must be
submitted on or before August 28, 2017.
ADDRESSES: Direct all written comments
to Jennifer Jessup, Departmental
Paperwork Clearance Officer,
Department of Commerce, Room 6616,
14th and Constitution Avenue NW.,
Washington, DC 20230 (or via the
Internet at pracomments@doc.gov).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Requests for additional information or
copies of the information collection
instrument and instructions should be
directed to Megan Mackey, (907) 586–
7228.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Abstract
This request is for an extension of an
approved information collection.
The prohibited species donation
(PSD) program for salmon and halibut
has effectively reduced regulatory
discard of salmon and halibut by
allowing fish that would otherwise be
discarded to be donated to needy
individuals through tax-exempt
organizations. Vessels and processing
plants participating in the PSD program
voluntarily retain and process salmon
and halibut bycatch. An authorized, taxexempt distributor, chosen by the
National Marine Fisheries Service
(NMFS), is responsible for monitoring
retention and processing of fish donated
by vessels and processors. The
authorized distributor also coordinates
processing, storage, transportation, and
distribution of salmon and halibut. The
PSD program requires an information
collection so that NMFS can monitor the
authorized distributors’ ability to
effectively supervise program
participants and ensure that donated
fish are properly processed, stored, and
distributed.
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II. Method of Collection
Respondents submit their application
to become an authorized distributor by
email (with attachments) or U.S. mail in
the form of a letter.
III. Data
OMB Control Number: 0648–0316.
Form Number(s): None.
Type of Review: Regular submission
(extension of a current information
collection).
Affected Public: Not-for-profit
institutions.
Estimated Number of Respondents: 1.
Estimated Time per Response:
Application to be a NMFS Authorized
Distributor, 13 hours.
Estimated Total Annual Burden
Hours: 13 hours.
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Estimated Total Annual Cost to
Public: $2 in recordkeeping/reporting
costs.
IV. Request for Comments
Comments are invited on: (a) Whether
the proposed collection of information
is necessary for the proper performance
of the functions of the agency, including
whether the information shall have
practical utility; (b) the accuracy of the
agency’s estimate of the burden
(including hours and cost) of the
proposed collection of information; (c)
ways to enhance the quality, utility, and
clarity of the information to be
collected; and (d) ways to minimize the
burden of the collection of information
on respondents, including through the
use of automated collection techniques
or other forms of information
technology.
Comments submitted in response to
this notice will be summarized and/or
included in the request for OMB
approval of this information collection;
they also will become a matter of public
record.
Dated: June 21, 2017.
Sarah Brabson,
NOAA PRA Clearance Officer.
[FR Doc. 2017–13336 Filed 6–26–17; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XE783
Marine Mammal Stock Assessment
Reports
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; response to comments.
AGENCY:
As required by the Marine
Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS
has considered public comments for
revisions of the 2016 marine mammal
stock assessment reports (SARs). This
notice announces the availability of the
final 2016 SARs for the 86 stocks that
were updated.
ADDRESSES: Electronic copies of SARs
are available on the Internet as regional
compilations and individual reports at
the following address: https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/.
A list of references cited in this notice
is available at www.regulations.gov
(search for docket NOAA–NMFS–2016–
0101) or upon request.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Shannon Bettridge, Office of Protected
SUMMARY:
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Resources, 301–427–8402,
Shannon.Bettridge@noaa.gov; Marcia
Muto, 206–526–4026, Marcia.Muto@
noaa.gov, regarding Alaska regional
stock assessments; Elizabeth Josephson,
508–495–2362, Elizabeth.Josephson@
noaa.gov, regarding Atlantic, Gulf of
Mexico, and Caribbean regional stock
assessments; or Jim Carretta, 858–546–
7171, Jim.Carretta@noaa.gov, regarding
Pacific regional stock assessments.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Section 117 of the MMPA (16 U.S.C.
1361 et seq.) requires NMFS and the
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to
prepare stock assessments for each stock
of marine mammals occurring in waters
under the jurisdiction of the United
States, including the Exclusive
Economic Zone. These reports must
contain information regarding the
distribution and abundance of the stock,
population growth rates and trends,
estimates of annual human-caused
mortality and serious injury from all
sources, descriptions of the fisheries
with which the stock interacts, and the
status of the stock. Initial reports were
first completed in 1995.
The MMPA requires NMFS and FWS
to review the SARs at least annually for
strategic stocks and stocks for which
significant new information is available,
and at least once every three years for
non-strategic stocks. The term ‘‘strategic
stock’’ means a marine mammal stock:
(A) For which the level of direct humancaused mortality exceeds the potential
biological removal level; (B) which,
based on the best available scientific
information, is declining and is likely to
be listed as a threatened species under
the Endangered Species Act (ESA)
within the foreseeable future; or (C)
which is listed as a threatened species
or endangered species under the ESA.
NMFS and the FWS are required to
revise a SAR if the status of the stock
has changed or can be more accurately
determined. NMFS, in conjunction with
the Alaska, Atlantic, and Pacific
independent Scientific Review Groups
(SRGs), reviewed the status of marine
mammal stocks as required and revised
reports in the Alaska, Atlantic, and
Pacific regions to incorporate new
information.
NMFS updated SARs for 2016, and
the revised draft reports were made
available for public review and
comment for 90 days (81 FR 70097,
October 11, 2016). Subsequent to
soliciting public comment on the draft
2016 SARs, NMFS was made aware that
due to technical conversion errors, the
Atlantic SARs contained incorrect
information in some instances. NMFS
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corrected these errors and the revised
draft Atlantic 2016 SARs were made
available for public comment through
the end of original 90-day comment
period (81 FR 90782, December 15,
2016). NMFS received comments on the
draft 2016 SARs and has revised the
reports as necessary. This notice
announces the availability of the final
2016 reports for the 86 stocks that were
updated. These reports are available on
NMFS’ Web site (see ADDRESSES).
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Comments and Responses
NMFS received letters containing
comments on the draft 2016 SARs from
the Marine Mammal Commission; six
non-governmental organizations (The
Humane Society of the United States,
Center for Biological Diversity, Whale
and Dolphin Conservation, Maine
Lobstermen’s Association, the Hawaii
Longline Association, and Friends of the
Children’s Pool); and three individuals.
Responses to substantive comments are
below; comments on actions not related
to the SARs are not included below.
Comments suggesting editorial or minor
clarifying changes were incorporated in
the reports, but they are not included in
the summary of comments and
responses. In some cases, NMFS’
responses state that comments would be
considered or incorporated in future
revisions of the SARs rather than being
incorporated into the final 2016 SARs.
Comments on National Issues
Comment 1: The Humane Society of
the United States, Humane Society
Legislative Fund, the Center for
Biological Diversity, and Whale and
Dolphin Conservation (Organizations)
relayed that the SARs continue to have
missing, outdated and/or imprecise
information regarding population
abundance and trends. The comment
states that a recent review by the Marine
Mammal Commission (Commission)
found that, as of the 2013 SARs, only 56
percent of stocks nationwide had
estimates of minimum abundance; this
includes only 58 percent of stocks in the
Atlantic, 53 percent of stocks in Alaska,
and, in the Gulf of Mexico (a subset of
the Atlantic SARs) only 35 percent of
stocks had a timely and realistic
minimum estimates of abundance. The
Atlantic region also was found to have
low precision in many of the estimates
that were provided. The Commission
report identifies a number of
weaknesses in the SARs including low
precision surrounding most abundance
estimates, inappropriately pooling
estimates for stocks that are similar in
appearance but that are actually
different species or stocks (e.g., beaked
whales), survey design that is
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inappropriate for the stock’s likely
range, and missing trend data that could
result in some stocks experiencing a
significant decline without detection.
Moreover, with regard to setting a
Potential Biological Removal (PBR) level
as required by the MMPA, the
Commission analysis found that ‘‘[o]f
the 248 stocks evaluated, 134 (54
percent) had PBR estimates, 51 (21
percent) had outdated PBR estimates, 59
(24 percent) had no estimates . . .’’
These PBRs are critical for determining
how to appropriately manage
anthropogenic impacts, and a lack of a
valid PBR hampers the agency’s ability
to comply with MMPA mandates.
Recognizing that the Commission
analysis was based on SARs that were
released several years ago (2013), little
improvement in this situation is evident
in the current draft SARs. The
Organizations recommend that NMFS
recognize and fill gaps in population
abundance and trends so that the SARs
more accurately reflect the current
status of populations.
Response: We acknowledge and
appreciate this comment and are
actively working to address these gaps
to the extent that resources allow. To
this end, we are continuing to partner
with other Federal agencies to
collaborate on our common needs to
better understand the distribution,
abundance, and stock structure of
cetaceans and other protected species.
For example, since 2010, we have been
working with the Bureau of Ocean
Energy Management, the U.S. Navy, and
the FWS, to assess the abundance,
distribution, ecology, and behavior of
marine mammals, sea turtles, and
seabirds in the western North Atlantic
Ocean. One of the objectives of this joint
venture, the Atlantic Marine
Assessment Program for Protective
Species (AMAPPS), is to address data
gaps that are essential to improving
population assessments. In 2015, we
launched the joint AMAPPS II, which
will continue through 2019. Modeled
after the successes of AMAPPS, we are
planning to launch two similar joint
research programs this year for the Gulf
of Mexico (GoMMAPPS) and the Pacific
Ocean (PacMAPPS). These multi-year,
multiple agency programs will provide
data to help us meet our mandates
under the MMPA.
See our responses to comments on
Regional Reports below where we
address issues related to specific stocks.
Comment 2: The Organizations note
there are discrepancies in the choice of
recovery factors used for distinct
population segments (DPS) of
humpback whales among the various
regions. There should be more
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consistent application of recovery
factors across regions for mixed or delisted DPSs given that these newly
defined populations share many of the
same certainties and uncertainties in
data on abundance, trend and range.
The Pacific region re-assessed the
California/Oregon/Washington stock of
humpback whales, retaining the
recovery factor of 0.3 from the prior
SAR (when these humpbacks were still
ESA-listed), based on NMFS guidelines
for setting PBR elements that allow
flexibility in use of recovery factors for
listed stocks based in confidence in the
data. However, the Alaska region has
apparently not been consistent in its use
of recovery factors in the PBR formula.
Humpbacks in the Western North
Pacific retained a recovery factor of 0.1
even though some portion of the feeding
stock was de-listed. However, the
Central North Pacific stock of
humpbacks was assigned a recovery
factor of 0.3 even though the SAR for
the Central North Pacific stock
acknowledges that there is a ‘‘known
overlap in the distribution of the
Western and Central North Pacific
humpback whale stocks [and] estimates
for these feeding areas may include
whales from the Western North Pacific
stock.’’ The mixing of both ESA-listed
and unlisted stocks in the same feeding
area seems likely and in the interest of
consistency, conservation, and judicious
management of resources, the region
should keep the more conservative
recovery factor of 0.1 for both Western
North Pacific and Central North Pacific
stocks that vary in ESA listing status but
intermix with other stocks in the
Alaskan feeding grounds. The Atlantic
region has used a recovery factor of 0.5
in its PBR formula, despite data
uncertainties.
Response: As described in our
Federal Register notice requesting
comments on the Draft 2016 Marine
Mammal Stock Assessment Reports (81
FR 70097, October 11, 2016), we are
currently conducting a review of
humpback whale stock delineations
under the MMPA to determine whether
any humpback whale stocks in U.S.
waters should be realigned with the
ESA DPSs. Until we have completed our
review, we will continue to treat the
Western North Pacific, Central North
Pacific, and California/Oregon/
Washington stocks as depleted because
they partially or fully coincide with
ESA-listed DPSs. As such, we have not
changed the recovery factors for these
three stocks from the values reported in
the 2015 SARs; any changes in stock
delineation or MMPA section 117
elements (such as PBR, strategic status,
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or recovery factors) will be reflected in
future stock assessment reports, and the
Scientific Review Groups and the public
will be provided opportunity to review
and comment.
Comment 3: The Hawaii Longline
Association (HLA) asserts that the SAR
administrative process be improved; it
is confusing, inefficient, and produces
final SARs that are not based upon the
best available scientific information.
Because of the inefficient process used
to produce SARs, the draft SARs fail to
rely upon the best available data (i.e.,
the most current data that it is
practicable to use), contrary to the
MMPA. For example, the draft 2016
SAR only reports data collected through
the year 2014, even though 2015 data
are readily available; there is no credible
justification to continue the present
two-year delay in the use of
information.
Response: As noted in previous years,
the marine mammal SARs are based
upon the best available scientific
information, and NMFS strives to
update the SARs with as timely data as
possible. In order to develop annual
mortality and serious injury estimates,
we do our best to ensure all records are
accurately accounted for in that year. In
some cases, this is contingent on such
things as bycatch analysis, data entry,
and assessment of available data to
make determinations of severity of
injury, confirmation of species based on
morphological and/or molecular
samples collected, etc. Additionally, the
SARs incorporate injury determinations
that have been assessed pursuant to the
NMFS 2012 Policy and Procedure for
Distinguishing Serious from NonSerious Injury of Marine Mammals
(NMFS Policy Directive PD 02–038 and
NMFS Instruction 02–038–01), which
requires several phases of review by the
SRGs. Reporting on incomplete annual
mortality and serious injury estimates
could result in underestimating actual
levels. The MMPA requires us to report
mean annual mortality and serious
injury estimates, and we try to ensure
that we are accounting for all available
data before we summarize those data.
With respect to abundance, in some
cases we provide census rather than
abundance estimates, and the
accounting process to obtain the
minimum number alive requires two
years of sightings to get a stable count,
after which the data are analyzed and
entered into the SAR in the third year.
All animals are not seen every year;
waiting two years assures that greater
than 90 percent of the animals still alive
will be included in the count. As a
result of the review and revision
process, data used for these
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determinations typically lag two years
behind the year of the SAR.
Comment 4: The Commission
recommends that NMFS develop a
strategy and plan to collaborate with
other nations to improve and/or expand
existing surveys and assessments for
trans-boundary stocks. Priority should
be given to those stocks that are
endangered or threatened, hunted, or
known to interact significantly with
fisheries or other marine activities in
international or foreign waters. The goal
should be to manage human impacts on
trans-boundary stocks using a potential
biological removal level calculated for
the entire stock, as has been suggested
in the proposed revisions to the stock
assessment guidelines.
Response: We acknowledge the
Commission’s comment and agree that
collaboration with other countries for
assessments of trans-boundary stocks is
a worthy goal. For example, for the Gulf
of Mexico, we are investigating whether
GoMMAPPS could encompass a Gulfwide approach to include collaborative
international surveys. For the
northwestern Atlantic Ocean, we
recently convened a joint Ecosystem
Based Management Science Workshop
with the Department of Fisheries and
Oceans Canada in St. Andrews, Canada,
to discuss how to develop sustained
funding opportunities for collaborative
research projects that advance
ecosystem based management science in
our transboundary waters. Some of the
ongoing and potential collaborative
research projects discussed include
AMAPPS, aerial and ship surveys (e.g.,
gray seals, right whales), autonomous
glider surveys, and long-term passive
accoutic monitoring of whale presence.
In the North Pacific, the SPLASH
(Structure of Populations, Levels of
Abundance and Status of Humpbacks)
surveys conducted during 2004 through
2006, represent one of the largest and
most successful international
collaborative studies of any whale
population to date. SPLASH was
designed to determine the abundance,
trends, movements, and population
structure of humpback whales
throughout the North Pacific and to
examine human impacts on this
population. This study involved over 50
research groups and more than 400
researchers in 10 countries. It was
supported by a number of U.S. agencies
and organizations, the Department of
Fisheries and Oceans Canada, and the
Commission for Environmental
Cooperation with additional support
from a number of other organizations
and governments for effort in specific
regions.
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The only current international
assessment survey in the North Pacific
is the International Whaling
Commission’s (IWC) Pacific Ocean
Whales & Ecosystem Research (POWER)
cruise, which runs annually and
sequentially surveys set areas of the
North Pacific. These cruises have been
run for several years across much of the
North Pacific Ocean and in 2017–19
will be focused on the Bering Sea. The
survey always includes at least one U.S.
researcher. Reports and data are
submitted annually to the IWC
Scientific Committee. The survey
employs line-transect methods and is
designed to calculate abundance of all
large whale species. Whether the
estimates possess sufficient precision to
be used for calculating PBR is likely to
vary by species, and the huge areas
being surveyed may in some cases mean
low precision. The surveys also take
time for photo-id and biopsy sampling,
and in 2017 they will for the first time
include acoustic monitoring via
sonobuoys.
With the exception of the POWER
cruise (which is possible largely because
of funding and the provision of a vessel
by the Government of Japan, together
with support from the IWC) the
challenge of implementing the
Commission’s recommendation is the
considerable expense involved in
conducting trans-boundary surveys. The
SPLASH project on North Pacific
humpback whales was very successful
but involved funding by multiple
nations (including the U.S.). Given the
current budget environment, it is
unlikely that funding would be
available for an assessment survey of
similar international scope.
Regarding the management of human
impacts on trans-boundary stocks using
a PBR level calculated for the entire
stock, we note that we included
clarifications in the 2016 revised
Guidelines for Assessing Marine
Mammal Stocks (GAMMS). For
transboundary stocks, the best approach
is to compare the total (U.S. and nonU.S.) M/SI to the range-wide PBR
whenever possible. For non-migratory
stocks where estimates of mortality or
abundance from outside the U.S.
Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) cannot
be determined, PBR calcuations are
based on the abundance within the EEZ
and compared to mortality within the
EEZ. For cases where we are able to
estimate the entire population size, such
as the transboundary Californa coastal
stock of bottlenose dolphins, we prorate
the PBR to account for the time that
animals spend outside of U.S. waters.
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Comments on Atlantic Regional Reports
Comment 5: The Organizations point
out that the Commission’s review of
SARs found that only approximately
one third of stocks in the Gulf of Mexico
have valid information on minimum
population and/or have a current
estimate of PBR. For the Gulf of Mexico,
‘‘of the 36 stocks without a PBR in the
2013 assessments, 33 are due to
outdated survey data and 3 are due to
no data.’’ The outdated estimates for
stocks in the Gulf of Mexico are
generally not just a year or two out of
date, many have not been assessed since
the 1990s—over two decades ago. The
Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster
impacted many of these poorly assessed
stocks.
For example, the Organizations note
the lack of population data available for
the small stocks of Gulf of Mexico Bay,
Sound, and Estuary (BSE) bottlenose
dolphins—many of which were
adversely impacted by the oil spill from
the Deepwater Horizon well. As a result
of aging data and lack of survey effort,
population estimates are now only
available for 3 of the more than 30 bay,
sound and estuarine stocks whereas
there were estimates for 6 in the last
SAR. The Organizations recommend
that new population estimates be
generated.
Response: We recognize that many of
the Gulf of Mexico stocks do not have
abundance estimates. Together with our
partners at the National Center for
Coastal Ocean Science and the Texas
Marine Mammal Stranding Network, we
are currently conducting photo-ID markrecapture surveys to estimate abundance
of common bottlenose dolphins in St.
Andrew Bay, West Bay, Galveston Bay,
Sabine Lake, and Terrebonne and
Timbalier bays. We anticipate
completing additional estuarine photoID mark-recapture surveys in
collaboration with partners throughout
the Gulf as resources become available.
During 2017 and 2018, we have planned
vessel and aerial surveys under the
proposed GoMMAPPS that will provide
updated abundance estimates for
coastal, shelf and oceanic stocks.
Comment 6: The Organizations
comment that the Atlantic SARs and
their iterative edits are often difficult to
follow. In general, the SARs have
become confusing, contradictory, and
disorganized to an extent that it is often
difficult to discern critical information,
which was noted by the Atlantic SRG in
its 2016 letter to NMFS. They noted no
evidence in the current draft SARs for
this region that any significant attempt
was made to address the sub-standard
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content or readability of many of the
SARs.
Response: The language contained in
the Atlantic SARs was discussed in
depth at the 2016 Atlantic SRG meeting.
We hightlighted four Atlantic SARs
(coastal common bottlenose dolphin
SARs and the Northern North Carolina
and Southern North Carolina Estuarine
System Stock SARs) for major revision.
Given the comments and discussion at
the 2016 meeting, we decided to retract
these SARs from the 2016 cycle as it
was not possible to make major
revisions given the timeframe necessary
for publishing the draft 2016 SARs in
the Federal Register for public
comment. Thus, these four SARs were
not included in the draft 2016 SARs
published in the Federal Register for
public review. These retracted SARs
were the only Atlantic SARs that were
identified during the 2016 Atlantic SRG
discussion for major revision. For the
2017 SAR cycle, we will restructure
seven Atlantic common bottlenose
dolphin SARs, including the four
retracted SARs.
Comment 7: The Organizations
comment that the Atlantic SRG was
asked to review a number of SARs that
do not appear in this edited draft of
NMFS’ SARs. For example, the Atlantic
SRG was asked to review and provide
comments on SARs for four bottlenose
dolphin stocks that do not appear
available for public review either online
in the draft SARs or as part of the
Federal Register notice. NMFS has
proposed no changes to these dolphin
SARs, nor is the public asked to
comment on them. It is not clear why
this occurred. NMFS should provide an
explanation for discrepancy in the
number of stocks reviewed and
commented on by the Atlantic SRG as
opposed to the abbreviated list of SARs
provided in the documents for public
review and comment.
Response: See response to Comment
6.
Comment 8: The Organizations note
the initial sentence under the Gulf of
Mexico BSE bottlenose dolphin report
of takes in shrimp trawls states, ‘‘During
2010–2014, there were no documented
mortalities or serious injuries of
common bottlenose dolphins from Gulf
of Mexico BSE stocks by commercial
shrimp trawls; however, observer
coverage of this fishery does not include
BSE waters.’’ It is misleading to say
‘‘there were no documented
mortalities,’’ as this implies that
mortalities that occurred would and
could have been documented by
independent fishery observers when, in
fact, there is no observer coverage to
document any mortalities. The
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Organizations recommend omitting that
sentence and simply stating something
like: ‘‘No data are available on fisheryrelated mortalities for the period 2010–
2014, as there was no observer coverage
of the fishery in BSE waters.’’
Response: To provide clarity, we have
modified the sentence to read: ‘‘During
2010–2014, there were no documented
mortalities or serious injuries of
common bottlenose dolphins from Gulf
of Mexico BSE stocks by commercial
shrimp trawls because observer
coverage of this fishery does not include
BSE waters.’’
Comment 9: The Organizations
recommend that much of the
information on the Gulf of Mexico BSE
bottlenose dolphins in the narrative
section on ‘‘Other Mortality’’ can be
reduced to a table, particularly the
listing of animals that were shot or
otherwise injured by humans (i.e.,
providing the likely stock identity, date,
location, weaponry involved). The
lengthy narrative discussion that is
provided in some, but not all, cases is
unnecessarily descriptive.
Response: We shortened or removed
the narrative descriptions for many of
the mortalities and moved the
descriptions of the at-sea observations
and research takes to a table.
Comment 10: The Organizations note
the section on Status of the Gulf of
Mexico BSE bottlenose dolphin stock
contains this sentence ‘‘The relatively
high number of bottlenose dolphin
deaths that occurred during the
mortality events since 1990 suggests
that some of these stocks may be
stressed.’’ The Organizations point out
that stressed is an ambiguous word that
may refer to any number of things and
with no information on the severity of
impact. ‘‘Stress’’ can mean physiological
stress (as in the autonomic nervous
system responses and elevated cortisol
levels that may be highly detrimental)
but could refer to a challenge to the
stock’s persistence. The Organizations
suggest that NMFS consider use of a
more appropriate descriptor for the
importance of the information on
impacts of the ‘‘high number’’ of deaths
than is conveyed by the vague word
‘‘stressed.’’
Response: We removed the subject
sentence in the final SAR.
Comment 11: The Commission points
out that in the North Atlantic right
whale SAR, the second paragraph of the
‘‘Current and Maximum Productivity
Rates’’ section states that right whale
per-capita birth rates have been highly
variable but lack a definitive trend.
While that is true, the data presented in
Figure 2 suggest that the pattern of
variability shifted around 2000.
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Between 1990 and 2000, the per
capita birth rate was substantially
higher than the long-term mean in three
(27 percent) of those years, close to the
mean in two (18 percent) of the years,
and substantially lower in six (55
percent) of the years. In contrast,
between 2001 and 2012, the rate was
substantially higher in four (33 percent)
of those years, close to the mean in 6 (50
percent) of the years, and substantially
lower in just one (17 percent) of the
years. In other words, the mean rate
increased substantially from the first to
the second period. In addition, one
study has pointed to a substantial
decline in the birth rate from 2010 on,
which coincides with an apparent
decline in the population growth rate
(Kraus et al. 2016). Those declines have
been coincident with sharp declines in
right whale numbers at several major
feeding habitats, an increase in the
occurrence in severe entanglement
injuries (Knowlton et al. 2012, Robbins
et al. 2015), and declines in animal
health-based assessments of blubber
thickness, skin lesions, and other health
assessment parameters (Rolland et al.
2016). The Commission recommends
that NMFS undertake a thorough
statistical/modeling analysis of these
data to determine whether any of these
apparent/possible trends are significant
and what effect they are having on the
recovery of the stock.
Response: The North Atlantic right
whale population is very small with few
(∼100) adult females. Per capita
reproduction is expected to be highly
variable as a result of many females
becoming synchronized in their calving
and resting periods. Estimating trends as
suggested has questionable statistical
validity because individual females’
cycles are not independent (Rosenbaum
et. al. 2002, McLaughlin et al. 1994).
NMFS will further examine the
potential to model the volatility of
observed calf production and its effects
on stock status. However, the multiple
consecutive years of fewer births than
deaths, as documented in the SAR,
suggests a declining population.
Comment 12: The Commission
recommends that NMFS, in consultation
with independent experts familiar with
assessing right whale health, re-examine
information on the deaths and injuries
of several North Atlantic right whales
(including #3705, #3360, #3946, #2160,
#1311, #3692, #2810, [#unidentified],
and #4057) to determine whether they
should be added to the list of M/SI cases
in Table 1.
Response: The NMFS Northeast
Fisheries Science Center staff reviewed
all these cases and their determinations
regarding serious injury were later
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reviewed by experienced staff at another
Fisheries Science Center, the Greater
Atlantic and Southeast Regional Offices,
and the Atlantic SRG, per NMFS Policy
and Procedure for Distinguishing
Serious from Non-Serious Injury of
Marine Mammals. NMFS staff looks for
evidence of significant health decline
post event. We do not currently have a
method to address sublethal effects or
more subtle/slow health decline. Most
of the recommended cases fall into this
category. In addition, several of the
cases mentioned simply did not have
enough information to make a
determination of human interaction (see
below).
Regarding whale #1311, this whale
was an unrecovered carcass filmed
floating off Cape Hatteras, North
Carolina, by a fisherman in August
2013. Line was caught in the baleen,
and it had rostrum and head wounds
apparently due to line wraps. Staff
reviewing the injuries were unable to
determine the extent of human
interaction from footage provided. The
event did not meet any of the four
entanglement mortality criteria as listed
in NMFS M/SI documents (Henry et al.
2016), was classified as a mortality due
to unknown cause, and was not
included in the SAR as a human-caused
mortality.
We have no data on the unidentified
whale described as being sighted in
September 2014 by an aerial survey
team in Cape Cod Bay, Massachusetts,
and none was provided upon request
from commenters. Therefore, this event
was not included in Table 1. It could be
a resight of an animal with an earlier
injury date.
Comment 13: The Maine
Lobsterman’s Association (MLA) notes
the North Atlantic right whale SAR
determines the minimum population to
be 440 whales, which is a census of
those known to be alive. Using a census
is not an adequate methodology to
assess this population given that much
of the population’s distribution is
unknown during the winter, and recent
shifts in habitat use patterns have
resulted in fewer right whales being
detected in known habitats. Right whale
patterns and behaviors will continue to
change; thus, this mark-and-recapture
approach to determine the minimum
population is not adequate. This
approach also ignores science such as
Frasier (2005), which concluded based
on genetic testing matched to known
calves that the population of right whale
males has been underestimated. The
SAR offers little to explain why patterns
of habitat use are shifting or adequately
determine the population size.
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This problem is further exacerbated
by the new methodologies used to count
serious injury and mortality: Whales
with unknown outcomes are now
counted on a pro-rated basis. Given the
critical status of the species, it is
imperative that NMFS develop a new
method of assessing the right whale
population that does not rely solely on
sightings and photo-identification of
these whales. The MLA recommends
that NMFS convene a workshop of
independent scientists to review the
best available science and potential
modelling approaches to assess this
stock. This task should not be delegated
to Science Center staff but rather should
involve scientists from a variety of
marine mammal, modelling, climate
change and other fields to objectively
recommend the best approach to
assessing North American right whales.
Response: Currently, we use an index
of abundance that is more sophisticated
than a simple census in that it pools
within-year sightings of individual right
whales and does not rely on any
particular season to represent the count
of whales (so, if a whale is not seen in
a particular season, it does not affect the
count). Further, the method includes
not just the individuals seen in the
target year, but those seen before and
after the target year, plus calves in the
target year. Because right whale resighting rates have been extremely high
for many years (greater than 85 percent),
the method is relatively robust and
produces an abundance value that is
very much like a census. However, the
recent decline in sighting rates has led
the agency to explore different
methodologies for abundance
estimation, and we may move toward a
mark-recapture statistical approach for
future abundance characterizations.
This new method will continue to rely
on photo-identification data.
Assessments based on individual
capture histories, when properly
constructed, have proven far superior
both in regard to precision of abundance
estimates and added demographic data
than any simple abundance-based
assessment procedure developed for
other wildlife. This is especially true for
marine mammals that range over vast
areas and for which estimating density
is costly. This new approach will also
allow for an estimate of entanglement
mortality and avoid issues with
undercounting, even after changes to the
serious injury categorizations. In regard
to the Frasier (2005) work, the thesis put
forward a position based on incomplete
genetic sampling of the observed adult
male population and included only a
single hypothetical breeding model.
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Further, we do not ignore the Frasier
hypothesis, but we recognize its
uncertain nature that aligns poorly with
NMFS precautionary management
strategies. Regarding explanations of
why patterns of habitat use are shifting,
this is not yet well understood, and, for
this reason, it would be premature to
include information on this factor in the
SAR (see response to Comment 14).
With regard to the suggestions for a
workshop, we are working on an
approach very much like the one
suggested by the commenter.
Discussions will likely build on the
findings from the North Atlantic right
whale panel at the Commission’s 2017
annual meeting and the outcomes from
the Atlantic Large Whale Take
Reduction Team meeting. Both meetings
were held in April 2017.
Comment 14: The MLA notes the
North Atlantic right whale SAR raises
concern about a potential decline in the
population beginning in 2012, the most
recent year of the assessment but also
notes that ‘‘productivity in North
Atlantic right whales lacks a definitive
trend.’’ The SAR dedicates the majority
of its discussion on Current Population
Trend to research from the early 1990s
through the early 2000s, documenting a
decline during that time. In discussing
the recent population growth spanning
more than 10 years (2000 through 2011),
the SAR offers only one sentence,
‘‘However, the population continued to
grow since that apparent interval of
decline [ending in 2000] until the most
recent year included in this analysis.’’
The SAR provides no discussion of
conditions during this recent 10-year
period of growth in the population and
does little to inform what may have
driven either the former decline or
recent growth.
Response: We recognize the lack of
balance given to fluctuating periodspecific growth patterns in right whale
abundance. The causes of fluctuation
are poorly understood. NMFS is
presently engaged in analysis to
examine the relative contributions of
fecundity and mortality to fluctuating
abundances; the outcome from our
analysis will be reflected in future stock
assessment reports.
Comment 15: The MLA notes that the
data on the confirmed human-caused
mortality of North Atlantic right whales
continue to be difficult to interpret. Of
the 24 interactions attributed to
entanglement from 2010–2014, only 0.4
were confirmed to be U.S. fishing gear
from a pot/trap fishery. Twenty-two of
the entanglement cases have no
definitive information on the fishery
involved or where the gear was set. Data
implicating the fishing industry at large
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sours fruitful discussion and makes it
very difficult for the individual fisheries
to find effective solutions to the
entanglement problem.
Response: Known, observed
mortalities are a (likely biased) subset of
actual mortality. The SAR attempts to
report these data with as much
information as is available. There may
be other, incidental deaths not fully
known or attributable to specific areas,
fisheries, or gear types. Forensic efforts
are made of all recovered gear to
identify specific fisheries (target species,
region, nation of origin, etc.). However,
insufficient data exist to assign specific
levels of resolution in most cases, and
we are only able to report the cause of
death as fishery-related entanglement.
The inability to distinguish whether
impacts are due to the scale of fishing
effort versus one or a few areas that have
disproportionate impact and could be
strategically targeted by management
actions presents significant management
challenges. New gear marking
requirements developed under the
Atlantic Large Whale Take Reduction
Plan are showing promise in improving
gear attribution to specific fisheries. We
welcome suggestions as to how to
reduce entanglement, improve forensic
analysis, or to better mark gear for
source identification.
Comment 16: The Organizations point
out that the chart showing North
Atlantic right whale M/SI omits any
mention of M/SI from 2015, though the
agency has already acknowledged and
accounted for a number of such
occurrences in a separate document.
Since the agency has incorporated and
‘‘coded’’ this more recent information
from 2015 in a separate reference
document, these events should be added
to the SARs, which should themselves
reflect the most recent information
available.
Response: The period covered by the
2016 SAR is 2010–2014. M/SI events
from 2015 will be included in the 2017
SAR. Limiting the reports to the 5-year
period is not only important for
consistency, but also for completeness.
M/SI cases are assembled and reviewed
by fall of the year following the event
in order to be included in the draft
SARs by the next January.
Comment 17: The Organizations
comment that the Gulf of Maine stock
humpback whale revised SAR
inappropriately uses a recovery factor of
0.5 in calculations of the PBR. The
NMFS GAMMS state: ‘‘The recovery
factor of 0.5 for threatened or depleted
stocks or stocks of unknown status was
determined based on the assumption
that the coefficient of variation of the
mortality estimate (CV) is equal to or
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less than 0.3. If the CV is greater than
0.3, the recovery factor should be
decreased to: 0.48 for CVs of 0.3 to 0.6;
0.45 for CVs of 0.6 to 0.8; and 0.40 for
CVs greater than 0.8.’’ In its section on
fishery-related mortality, the Gulf of
Maine humpback whale report
acknowledges that entanglements and
entanglement-related mortality are
likely under-reported. Citing recent
literature, just prior to the mortality
table, the SAR states in part that
‘‘[w]hile these records are not
statistically quantifiable in the same
way as observer fishery records, they
provide some indication of the
minimum frequency of entanglements.’’
There is uncertainty surrounding
estimates of anthropogenic mortality
with no CV provided, and NMFS itself
acknowledges that it is under-reported.
This raises the question of the CV
surrounding the mortality estimate.
Response: As a result of the
humpback whale ESA listing rule (81
FR 62259, September 8, 2016), the Gulf
of Maine stock of humpback whales is
no longer considered ESA listed or
depleted. Therefore, the recovery factor
changed from 0.1 (the default recovery
factor for stocks of endangered species)
to 0.5, the default value for stocks of
unknown status relative to optimum
sustainable population (OSP). As a
result, the GAMMS’ discussion of
reducing the recovery factor based on
the CV of the mortality estimate is not
relevant here; in addition to there being
no CVs associated with the abundance
or death-by-entanglement metrics
reported in the SAR, CVs are a measure
of the precision of the estimate, while
the likely undercount of humpback
whale mortalities is an issue of bias. We
are collaborating on ways to improve
estimates of entanglement mortality to
reduce the bias.
Comment 18: The Organizations note
the minimum population estimate
(Nmin) for the Gulf of Maine humpback
whale stock that was used for
calculating PBR was higher than the
actual survey estimate. The survey
estimate was said to be 335 animals
with a CV of 0.42; however, that
estimate of population was increased to
823 based on mark-recapture and an
outdated survey estimate from 2008—an
estimate that has no CV associated. The
GAMMS state clearly that ‘‘the Nmin
estimate of the stock should be
considered unknown if 8 years have
transpired since the last abundance
survey’’ and the last survey was 8 years
ago. If NMFS does not wish to default
to ‘‘unknown’’ for an abundance
estimate, then the SAR should use an
estimate derived from a recent survey,
and NMFS should devote funds to
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obtaining a more reliable estimate if it
considers the 335 to be negatively
biased. Given uncertainties in both
estimates of abundance and mortality, a
recovery factor of 0.5 appears
inappropriate for the Gulf of Maine
humpback whale stock. Clearly the
stock may not require a recovery factor
of 0.1 since it was delisted, but The
Organizations believe it warrants using
a recovery factor lower (more
conservative) than 0.5.
Response: The 2016 SAR references
the time frame 2010–2014. Hence, data
collected in 2008 are not regarded as
being out-dated and are included in the
calculation of Nmin. NMFS recognizes
that the general line transect surveys
conducted in the U.S. Atlantic
Exclusive Economic Zone have proven
problematic in informing abundance of
this stock because of poor precision. For
this reason, we avoid line-transect
estimates for the Gulf of Maine
humpback whale stock when possible.
See response to Comment 17 regarding
recovery factor.
Comment 19: The Organizations note
that if the calculations of Robbins (2011,
2012) cited in the Gulf of Maine
humpback whale SAR are reasonable,
then, as the SAR acknowledges, ‘‘the 3
percent mortality due to entanglement
that she calculates equates to a
minimum average rate of 25, which is
nearly 10 times PBR.’’ Even if NMFS
increases the PBR to 13 (as suggested in
the draft), an average of 25 mortalities
per year would be almost twice the new
PBR. They maintain that this stock was
inappropriately changed to non-strategic
given that the actual level of
anthropogenic mortality is
acknowledged in the SAR to be higher
than the incidents detailed in the SAR
tables and may be well over the PBR.
Response: See response to Comment
17. We agree that a simple count of the
known mortalities is a poor measure
and very likely a serious undercount of
entanglement mortality. We are
collaborating on ways to improve
estimates of entanglement mortality.
Comment 20: The Organizations note
that NMFS has compiled more recent
data on mortality of Gulf of Maine
humpback whales than 2014, as these
data are based on individual animals
sighted dead or entangled (rather than
having to extrapolate from observed take
rates as is done for fishery interactions
with small cetaceans). Nine additional
humpbacks in 2015 were documented
as M/SI by NMFS that are greater than
zero and should be added to the tally in
the table in this SAR.
Response: See response to Comment
16 regarding the time period of data
covered in the 2016 SAR.
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Comment 21: The Organizations
recommend that NMFS update the Gulf
of Maine humpback SAR with regard to
habitat use in the mid-Atlantic region.
While the SAR correctly notes sightings
off Delaware and Chesapeake Bays,
there is no reference to the increasing
sightings and reliable anecdotal reports
of humpback whales off Northern New
Jersey and New York.
Response: We have updated the Gulf
of Maine humpback final SAR to
include recent sightings in the New
York area.
Comment 22: Based on NMFS’ recent
global status review of humpback
whales, the MLA supports the use of the
default recovery factor used in this draft
assessment of 0.5, rather than the former
0.1, because the Gulf of Maine
humpback whale stock is no longer
considered endangered. The MLA
suggests that NMFS broaden the
assessment of humpback whales in the
draft 2016 SAR to reflect the West
Indies DPS, including population,
productivity rates, and assessing
human-caused injury and mortality.
With regard to human-caused
interactions, the MLA notes that they
have long been concerned with the
former status quo approach, which
attributed all of these interactions to the
Gulf of Maine stock simply because
these whales could not be confirmed to
another stock. The global status review
provides the best available science on
humpbacks. They assert that by using
the West Indies DPS as the assessment
unit, it will no longer be necessary to
make assumptions about which
smaller-scale feeding or breeding areas
were used by the whale when analyzing
human-caused impacts.
Response: NMFS is in the process of
reviewing stock structure for all
humpback whales in U.S. waters,
following the change in ESA listing for
the species. Until then, we are retaining
the current stock delineation.
Comment 23: The Organizations
comment that the strike-outs render key
portions of the fin whale SAR
unreadable. For example, in the section
on Annual Human Caused Mortality
and Serious Injury, there are a series of
strike-outs that are difficult to follow,
though it appears that the final tally of
mortality is an average of 3.8 (modifying
what was 3.55 with what looks like 32.8
but with the ‘‘2’’ apparently struck as
well but in the same faint color). They
suggest that NMFS simplify its editing
and provide an easily readable
document. They also note that this
mortality rate exceeds the PBR of 2.5,
and there is a coded Serious Injury for
2015 in the NMFS draft appendix
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reviewed by the Atlantic SRG. The most
up-to-date information should be used.
Response: In order to improve
readability in future draft SARs, we will
reconcile edits from multiple people
into a single color. See the response to
Comment 16 regarding the time period
of data covered in the 2016 SAR.
Comment 24: The Organizations note
that NMFS has compiled more recent
data on mortality of minke whales than
2014. These data are based on
individual animals sighted dead or
entangled. Because the mortality and
serious injury data in SARs for large
cetaceans are based solely on what
might be termed ‘‘body counts’’ (rather
than having to extrapolate to the entire
fishery from a subset of mortality
obtained from federal fisheries
observers) there is little justification for
a multi-year delay in reporting. Six
additional minke whales were
accounted as dead from fishery-related
injuries in 2015 (and one vessel-related
fatality) and should be added to the tally
in the table in this SAR in order to
provide the most up-to-date
information.
Response: See the response to
Comment 16 regarding the time period
of data covered in the 2016 SAR.
Comment 25: The Organizations
comment that the current combined
estimate of abundance of 11,865 for both
long-finned and short-finned pilot
whale species is from a 2011 aerial and
ship-board survey that only covered a
portion of the seasonal range of the
species. The SARs state that ‘‘[b]ecause
long-finned and short-finned pilot
whales are difficult to distinguish at sea,
sightings data are reported as
Globicephala sp.;’’ however, estimates
of abundance for each species were
derived from this using a model based
on ‘‘genetic analyses of biopsy samples’’
and this model is said to be ‘‘in press.’’
Given the management implications of
pilot whales being caught in elevated
numbers in both trawl and longline
gear, it is vital that there be a valid and
reliable species-specific estimate for
each/both species. Given that prior
SARs have often stated that papers are
‘‘in press’’ for several annual iterations,
the Organizations hope that this
important model is soon published.
They are concerned that the citation is
to a science center document that is not
peer-reviewed and the citation is
tentative and incomplete. The longfinned and short-finned pilot whale
SARs contain multiple editors striking
and amending in a manner that
challenges the readability of the SARs in
key sections including the reporting of
estimates of longline-related mortality.
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Response: We conducted combined
aerial and vessel surveys during
summer 2011 that included midAtlantic waters where there is expected
overlap between short-finned and longfinned pilot whales. The resulting
abundance estimate of 11,865 was
partitioned between the two species. We
combined this estimate with the results
from our summer 2011 survey of the
southern Atlantic to produce the best
species-specific abundance estimate of
21,515 for short-finned pilot whales
over their entire range within U.S.
waters. For long-finned pilot whales, the
best estimate of 5,636 includes results
from surveys conducted in all U.S.
Atlantic waters. The Science Center
document (Garrison and Rosel 2016)
providing the details of the
methodology for partitioning the species
for both abundance estimation and
bycatch estimation has gone through
Science Center review and is available
upon request. Starting with the 2017
SARs, we will reconcile edits from
multiple people into a single color to
improve readability.
Comment 26: The Organizations point
out that large numbers of harbor seals
are seen alive but with notable
entanglement injuries. This should be
discussed in the SAR. They note that
the federally funded and permitted
stranding response organizations are
required to keep records of their
responses and this source should be
queried. They were unable to find nongray (or agency) literature documenting
incidence but the International Fund for
Animal Welfare (IFAW) has
documented that between 2000–2010
‘‘412 harbor seals were reported
stranded, among them HI [human
interaction] was 8 percent (n=35).’’
Moreover, the authors noted with regard
to various seal species to which IFAW
responded: ‘‘In the instances of
fisheries-related HI, 67 percent had gear
presently on the animal at the time of
stranding. 72 percent of the
entanglements were of monofilament of
varying mesh size. 15 percent were
multifilament netting, 9 percent were
pot/trap gear, and 4 percent were
random (mooring lines, dock gear). Most
entangled animals were juveniles and
sub-adults, which might indicate that
the entanglements are lethal to animals,
preventing them from reaching adult
size.’’
Gray seals are also being entangled
and data are kept on stranding response,
including either documenting or freeing
animals entangled in fishing gear. IFAW
documented that, between 2000–2010,
‘‘305 gray seals were reported stranded,
among them 22 percent (n=68) were HI,
and 75 percent of those (n=51) were
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fisheries related.’’ Moreover, the authors
noted that, with regard to the various
seal species to which IFAW responded:
‘‘In the instances of fisheries-related HI,
67 percent had gear presently on the
animal at the time of stranding. 72
percent of the entanglements were of
monofilament of varying mesh size. 15
percent were multifilament netting, 9
percent were pot/trap gear, and 4
percent were random (mooring lines,
dock gear). Most entangled animals
were juveniles and sub-adults, which
might indicate that the entanglements
are lethal to animals, preventing them
from reaching adult size.’’ It would
seem worth adding a section to the SAR
to discuss entanglements noted in living
or dead-stranded animals.
Response: We have added the
following text to the harbor seal SAR
that was included in the gray seal SAR:
‘‘Analysis of bycatch rates from fisheries
observer program records likely
underestimates lethal (Lyle and Willcox
2008), and greatly under-represents sublethal fishery interactions.’’
Comment 27: The Organizations
comment that the gray seal SAR is
almost impossible to read in parts and/
or has text that was newly added in this
draft and then struck. For example,
Table 2 has counts through 2014 that are
continued from the prior final SAR—
though the years 2008–2014 continued
to say that the ‘‘surveys took place but
have not been counted’’ and additional
text for the years 2014–2015 was added
for Muskeget Island. However, all of
these estimates (2008–2015), even those
newly added to the draft, are in red and
were struck. It makes no sense to add a
new year of uncounted data that is then
itself struck. It would seem more
germane simply to state that data from
2008–2015 are not yet available rather
than adding new text and then striking
without a providing a rationale.
Response: The 2015 data were added
mistakenly by a new author who did not
understand that the time period covered
by the 2016 SAR was 2010–2014, and so
were removed by an editor. In the
future, we will better synthesize edits to
present in the track-change version.
Comment 28: The Organizations
comment that in the gray seal SAR, the
section on mortality in Canada for the
years 2011–2015 was struck in its
entirety (new edits and all) and moved/
replaced later in the SAR under ‘‘Other
Mortality’’ with a header reading
‘‘Canada.’’ However, the re-located
‘‘new’’ section does not provide the
updated information from the struck
section and, in some cases, the
information included is actually older.
For example, this newer section states
that human-caused mortality data in
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Canada are for 2010–2014 whereas the
earlier, struck, section had data through
2015. These 2010–2014 data account for
lower levels of mortality (136 deaths for
the period 2010–2014) than was
accounted in text in the section that was
struck for the more current years (i.e.,
353 deaths for 2011–2015). The later
data, which show a notable increase in
mortality, should be used.
Response: We will include data from
2015 in the 2017 SAR. The time period
for the 2016 SAR is 2010–2014 (See
response to Comment 16).
Comment 29: Two individual
commenters expressed concern about
the propagation of gray seals in Cape
Cod, Massachusetts. They note that the
2016 stock assessments do not highlight
increasing populations in expanded
territories and lack recent pup
production data.
Response: We appreciate the concerns
expressed and are working toward
publishing recent pup count and haul
out survey data. We will include those
count data in the 2017 SARs.
Comments on Pacific Regional Reports
Comment 30: The Commission
appreciates NMFS’ efforts to
consolidate, update, and standardize the
presentation of data and information in
its stock assessment reports. Previously,
the tables presenting data on fisheriescaused M/SI provided data for each of
the last five years of available data.
However, in the draft 2016 Pacific SARs
only summary statistics for the five
years are provided. Understanding the
impact and potential mitigation of
fisheries interactions on marine
mammal populations, as well as trends,
requires data not only on the mean
bycatch rate, but also on its year-to-year
changes (e.g., Carretta and Moore, 2014).
The Commission recommends that, at a
minimum, NMFS continue to report the
annual ‘‘Percent Observer Coverage’’
and ‘‘Observer Mortality and Serious
Injury’’ data in the ‘Human-Caused
Mortality and Serious Injury’ sections of
its stock assessment reports.
Response: We recognize the
importance of access to the annual
observed or documented M/SI data to
assess year-to-year changes; thus, we
reinstated annual-level details in the
final 2016 SARs for those fisheries and
stocks where there were takes. However,
for some species where takes in a
specific fishery have perennially been
zero, we think that a consolidated
summary that presents a range of
observer coverage for a multi-year time
period may be sufficient (see Table 5 in
Wade and Angliss 1997). We will
continue to assess the most appropriate
level of detail on observer coverage and
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M/SI to include in fishery tables in the
SARs.
Comment 31: The Commission notes
that the dynamics of some stocks
display considerable heterogeneity in
time and/or space. In those situations, a
complete review of the SAR requires
access to the data describing the
variability over time or across the
stock’s distribution. The Commission
recommends that NMFS provide data,
in tables and graphs, specific to
different years, areas, and subpopulations, as appropriate, when a
stock exhibits important variation along
those dimensions. When there is
uncertainty, NMFS should err on the
side of providing more information.
Response: We appreciate this
comment and recognize the possibility
for variability in data relative to a
marine mammal stock over time and/or
space. However, we strive to strike the
correct balance between providing
enough detail in the SARs and relying
on citations of published papers. Where
deemed necessary, we will include such
information as the Commission
recommends, but we are unable to do so
in all cases. The issue has been
discussed with the three regional SRGs
over the years, and they have generally
supported this approach and
continually ask the agency to keep the
SARs succinct.
Comment 32: The Organizations state
that Guadalupe fur seals are of
particular conservation concern because
of the high rate of stranding along the
U.S. West Coast in an ongoing unusual
mortality event that started in January
2015. From 2015–2016, over 175 have
stranded, but the number stranded may
indicate that there may be a larger
number of unseen mortalities. Because
the SARs are a reference for making
management decisions, many of which
require quantitative information, the
SARs should specify the number of
strandings or provide a clear reference
point rather than saying that stranding
rates ‘‘were 8 times the historical
average.’’ With respect to the geographic
range of the stock, there is recent
evidence of this threatened species
expanding its breeding range into U.S.
waters. The draft SAR confirms this on
the initial page with a reference to
NMFS’ unpublished data. NMFS has
publicly identified purported breeding
colonies of Guadalupe fur seals along
the U.S. West Coast, so this information
should be incorporated into the SARs.
Providing more details about the stock’s
range in the United States is especially
important at this time because the SARs
have not been updated since 2000.
Response: We have added the number
of animals that stranded during the
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unusual mortality event to the final
Guadalupe fur seal SAR. Regarding the
expansion of geographic range of the
stock, we have already included
information in the Guadalupe fur seal
SAR reporting observations of pups
born on San Miguel Island, including
both published (Melin and DeLong
1999) and unpublished information.
Comment 33: The Organizations
recommend that the Guadalupe fur seal
SAR provide additional information
about the type and likely sources of
fishing gear that entangles Guadalupe
fur seals. Additional details should be
provided on the reported mortalities
such as the mesh size, gear, and the
location of the entanglement to help
identify fisheries that may have been
involved. The vast majority of fishery
entanglements are said to be due to
unidentified gear, which might be
informed by better gear marking. The
failure to better identify gear can
hamper NMFS’ ability to address the
potential need for modification of gear
or fishing method’s to reduce
mortalities.
Response: We agree that the ability to
identify gear is crucial. However,
records of Guadalupe fur seals that are
observed entangled in fishing gear
almost always lack sufficient
information to identify the fishery origin
of the gear. When details on the gear
type are known, we provide that
information in the annual humancaused M/SI reports and the respective
SARs. We welcome suggestions as to
how to better mark gear for source
identification.
Comment 34: The Organizations note
the in the Guadalupe fur seal draft SAR,
PBR is specified but without assignment
of portion of the PBR to Mexico versus
the United States. For example the SAR
states that the ‘‘vast majority of this PBR
would apply towards incidental
mortality in Mexico as most of the
population occurs outside of U.S.
waters.’’ It is not clear how to analyze
the significance of M/SI in the United
States if the vast majority of the PBR
should apply to Mexico. For example,
the fourth page says that the U.S. fishery
M/SI for this stock (3.2 animals per
year) is less than 10 percent of the
calculated PBR and, therefore, can be
considered to be insignificant and
approaching zero mortality and serious
injury rate. But because the SARs does
not specify the portion of PBR assigned
to the United States, it is impossible to
independently verify this conclusion.
Response: We agree with the
commenter that it is difficult to assess
the significance of human-caused M/SI
in U.S. waters because a prorated PBR
is lacking. However, we are unable to
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prorate Guadalupe fur seal PBR between
Mexico and U.S. waters due to a lack of
data on: (1) The fraction of the
population that utilizes U.S. waters and
(2) the amount of time that animals are
in U.S. waters. This transboundary stock
is unique because a vast majority of the
reproductive rookeries occur in Mexico
and the stock that has undergone
significant increases in population size,
despite continued anthropogenic threats
in Mexican and U.S. waters. To address
the commenter’s concern, we have
modified the ‘‘Status of Stock’’ language
in the final SAR to read: ‘‘The total U.S.
fishery mortality and serious injury for
this stock (3.2 animals per year) is less
than 10 percent of the calculated PBR
for the entire stock, but it is not
currently possible to calculate a
prorated PBR for U.S. waters with
which to compare serious injury and
mortality from U.S. fisheries. Therefore,
it is unknown whether total U.S. fishery
mortality is insignificant and
approaching zero mortality and serious
injury rate.’’
Comment 35: The Organizations
recommend NMFS adopt a methodology
to estimate cryptic mortality for
pinnipeds similar to Caretta et al. 2016
that stated: ‘‘the mean recovery rate of
California coastal bottlenose dolphin
carcasses [is] 25 percent (95 percent CI
20 percent–33 percent) . . . [therefore]
human-related deaths and injuries
counted from beach strandings along the
outer U.S. West Coast are multiplied by
a factor of 4 to account for the nondetection of most carcasses (Carretta et
al. 2016a).’’ This methodology would
seem pertinent to apply in the
Guadalupe fur seal SAR as well.
Response: We have developed a
methodology to estimate cryptic
mortality for coastal bottlenose dolphins
and are working towards developing
such correction factors for other taxa.
The carcass recovery factor we
developed for coastal bottlenose
dolphins provides a best-case scenario
for delphinoid carcass recovery along
the U.S. west coast, and we have used
this correction factor for other dolphin
and porpoise stock assessment reports
in the Pacific region. We will continue
to work with the regional SRGs to help
address the negative biases associated
with carcass recovery for all taxa.
Comment 36: One individual points
out that the California sea lion, harbor
seal, and northern elephant seal reports
were not revised in the draft 2016 SARs
nor updated for the 2015 SARs. The
commenter asserts that California is
suffering from an inadvertent ecological
disaster of sea lion and harbor seal
overpopulation; further, the data have
shown over-population for a decade or
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more, and OSP has been exceeded in
both species at least in Southern
California.
Response: Section 117 of the MMPA
requires us to review stock assessments
at least annually when significant new
information on a given stock becomes
available or the stock is considered
‘‘strategic.’’ We must review all other
stocks at least once every three years. If
our review indicates that the status of
the stock has changed or can be more
accurately determined, we must revise
the SAR. The three pinniped stocks
noted by the commenter are not
strategic stocks, nor has an OSP
determination been made for any of
them.
Comment 37: The Organizations note
that because the short-beaked common
dolphin stock’s range extends out to 300
nautical miles off the coast,
consideration should be given to
attributing capture of this species to the
fisheries operating in high seas in the
eastern Pacific Ocean. Specifically in
2014, one short-beaked common
dolphin was injured in the Hawaii
shallow-set longline fishing east of 150
degrees W longitude—the boundary for
the Inter-American Tropical Tuna
Commission’s jurisdiction. It would
seem reasonable to attribute this injury
to the CA/OR/WA stock. Hawaii pelagic
longline effort appears to be shifting
toward the U.S. West Coast in recent
years, and it seems reasonable to
consider attributing some portion of this
and perhaps other U.S. West Coast
marine mammal stocks to this fishery.
For this reason, the Organizations
recommend that pelagic longlines be
identified as a potential interacting
fishery in the introduction of the SAR,
which currently mentions only tuna
purse seine and gillnet fisheries.
Response: We appreciate being alerted
to this oversight in the draft shortbeaked common dolphin SAR and have
added two Hawaii shallow-set longline
injury records (one in 2011, one in
2014) of short-beaked common dolphin
to the final SAR.
Comment 38: The Organizations note
that there has been no observer coverage
in the California squid purse seine
fishery since 2008, and request that
NMFS maintain in Table 1 the record of
the interaction observed in this fishery
in 2005 but omitted from the shortbeaked common dolphin draft SAR.
Without that record, Table 1 implies
that the fishery no longer interacts with
short-beaked common dolphin, which
seems unlikely.
Response: We have reinstated the
portion of the fishery table in the shortbeaked common dolphin final SAR that
includes historic purse seine takes to
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better represent fishery risks to this
stock.
Comment 39: The Organizations
suggest that the short-finned pilot whale
SAR would benefit from additional
clarity about the southern extent of the
range of the stock. This would help
guide management actions that affect
short-finned pilot whales off the U.S.
West Coast. The stock definition and
geographic range for short-finned pilot
whales was heavily edited, and, in the
process, the edits struck the prior
reference to the stock’s range being
continuous, with animals found off Baja
California. This seems relevant to
reinstate since, later in the SAR, NMFS
retained and added information about
Mexican gillnet fisheries and the lack of
bycatch data. In addition, given the
uncertainty surrounding the stock’s
range, which seems likely to extend into
Mexico, the draft SARs should note the
stranding deaths of 24 short-finned pilot
whales in 2016 in Mexico. Given the
SAR’s observation of the ‘‘virtual
disappearance of short-finned pilot
whales from California’’ following the
˜
1982–83 El Nino, improving the
information about the range, stock status
and population trends is critical for
proper and conservative management of
this stock.
Response: The draft SAR contains
language that states the range of the CA/
OR/WA short-finned pilot whale stock
extends into the eastern tropical Pacific,
which includes Mexican waters. This
represents an improvement of our
understanding of pilot whale
distribution compared with previous
iterations of the SAR: ‘‘Pilot whales in
the California Current and eastern
tropical Pacific likely represent a single
population, based on a lack of
differentiation in mtDNA (Van Cise et
al. 2016), while animals in Hawaiian
waters are characterized by unique
haplotypes that are absent from eastern
and southern Pacific samples, despite
relatively large sample sizes from
Hawaiian waters.’’ Information on the
27 pilot whales that stranded in the Gulf
of California in 2016 is not included in
the SAR because the stranding was not
linked to any anthropogenic factors; the
stranding does not significantly
contribute to knowledge of the stock’s
range, and, given that the CA/OR/WA
short-finned pilot whale stock
represents only a small portion of a
larger eastern tropical Pacific
population, the stranding is unlikely to
affect the long-term abundance of the
CA/OR/WA stock.
Comment 40: The Organizations
recommend that the section in the
Southern Resident killer whale SAR on
‘‘habitat issues’’ should discuss the
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potential risk from oil spill and/or from
commercial shipping traffic and should
also include at least a brief
acknowledgement of risk from increased
noise and vessel traffic resulting from
Naval activity in the Northwest Training
and Testing program.
Response: We have added language
addressing oil spill risks to the final
Southern Resident killer whale SAR.
Increased noise and vessel traffic
resulting from Naval activity in the
Northwest Training and Testing
program is not considered to be a
significant change in the habitat of this
stock and thus is not included in the
SAR.
Comment 41: The Organizations note
that the Southern Resident killer whale
stock is recognized to be especially
reliant on Chinook salmon (which
comprise up to 80 percent of their
summer diet) and may be adversely
affected by fishery management
decisions. Contaminant levels of
Persistent Organic Pesticides are high,
and differ between pods but may be
contributing to the precarious status of
this population. For example, DDT
levels are higher in K and L pods,
indicating that those pods spend more
time than J pod feeding on salmon from
California rivers; PBDEs are higher in J
pod, as they spend more time in Salish
Sea waters. NMFS acknowledges the
risks from these pollutants in the draft
SAR for the California stock of common
bottlenose dolphins, stating ‘‘[a]lthough
the effects of pollutants on cetaceans are
not well understood, they may affect
reproduction or make the animals more
prone to other mortality factors (Britt
and Howard 1983; O’Shea et al. 1999).’’
Response: We have added language to
the final Southern Resident killer whale
SAR detailing some of the potential risk
factors related to PCBs that are also
reflected in the recovery plan for
Southern Resident killer whales.
Comment 42: The HLA encourages
NMFS to make additional
improvements to the draft 2016 false
killer whale SAR, by eliminating the
five-year look-back period and reporting
only data generated after the False Killer
Whale Take Reduction Plan (FKWTRP)
regulations became effective. For
example, the draft 2016 SAR should
report M/SI values based on 2013, 2014,
and 2015 data, and the data prior to
2013 should no longer be used because
it is no longer part of the best available
scientific information.
Response: If there have been
significant changes in fishery operations
that are expected to affect incidental
mortality rates, such as the 2013
implementation of the FKWTRP, the
GAMMS (NMFS 2016) recommend
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using only the years since regulations
were implemented. The SAR contains
information preceeding and following
the FKWTRP, 2008–2012 and 2013–
2014 respectively, and reports M/SI for
these two time periods as well as the
most recent 5-year average. Although
the estimated M/SI of false killer whales
within the U.S. EEZ around Hawaii
during 2013 and 2014 (6.2) is below the
PBR (9.3), this estimate is within the
range of past, pre-take reduction plan
estimates, so there is not yet sufficient
information to determine whether take
rates in the fishery have decreased as a
result of the FKWTRP. Finally, fisherywide take rates in 2014 are among the
highest recorded, suggesting FKWTRP
measures may not be effective, and the
change in fishery operation may not be
significant enough to warrant
abandoning the five-year averaging
period. For these reasons, the strategic
status for this stock has been evaluated
relative to the most recent five years of
estimated mortality and serious injury.
Comment 43: The HLA asserts that
the draft 2016 false killer whale SARs
inappropriately relies on a
‘‘preliminary’’ PowerPoint presentation
to report speculative conclusions.
NMFS has adopted a policy that nonpeer-reviewed information should not
be included in the SARs. All references
to information from the 2015
PowerPoint presentation (Forney 2015)
are inappropriate and should be stricken
from the SAR.
Response: The presentation provided
to the False Killer Whale Take
Reduction Team is the most current
assessment of the effectiveness of the
FKWTRP. However, we acknowledge
that it has not undergone formal peerreview, and as such, references to the
presentation will be removed from the
SAR. Even so, we believe it is still
appropriate to pool five years to data to
determine the stock’s status, as
described in the Status of Stock section
of the Hawaii pelagic stock’s report.
Comment 44: The HLA notes that for
a decade, NMFS has reported a M/SI
rate for the deep-set fishery that exceeds
PBR for the Hawaii pelagic false killer
whale stock (‘‘pelagic stock’’). However,
the best available information suggests
that the number of false killer whales in
the Hawaii EEZ has not declined during
the same time that the supposedly
unsustainable M/SI rate was occurring.
The HLA disagrees with the M/SI levels
reported in the draft SAR and with
NMFS’ conclusion that the vast majority
of all fishery interactions with the
pelagic stock cause injuries that ‘‘will
likely result in mortality.’’ If that were
the case, then after a decade or more of
allegedly unsustainable levels of take,
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there would be some evidence of a
declining pelagic stock abundance. No
such evidence exists. The HLA
recommends that the draft SAR
expressly recognize this discrepancy,
and NMFS should revisit the manner in
which it determines M/SI for false killer
whale interactions.
Response: This comment has been
addressed previously (see 78 FR 19446,
April 1, 2013, comments 45 and 51; 79
FR 49053, August 18, 2014, comment
26; 80 FR 50599, August 20, 2015,
comment 34; and 81 FR June 14, 2016,
comment 44). The comment contends
that the stock abundance has not
declined in over a decade and attributes
this persistence of false killer whales
despite high levels of fishery mortality
to NMFS’ improper assessment of the
severity of injuries resulting from
fisheries interactions, improper
assessment of population abundance
and trend, or both. Assessment of injury
severity under NMFS’ 2012 serious
injury policy has been discussed in
numerous previous comment responses
and is based on the best available
science on whether a cetacean is likely
to survive a particular type of injury.
Further study of false killer whales
would certainly better inform the
assigned outcomes; but, until better data
become available, the standard
established in the NMFS 2012 policy on
distinguishing serious from non-serious
injuries will stand.
Further, assessments of pelagic false
killer whale population trend are
inappropriate for several reasons: (1)
The entire stock range is unknown, but
certainly extends beyond the Hawaii
EEZ, such that the available abundance
estimates do not reflect true population
size; (2) there have been only 2 surveys
of the entire Hawaii EEZ, an insufficient
number to appropriately assess trend;
and (3) the available survey data were
collected with different protocols for
assessing false killer whale group size,
a factor that will significantly impact
the resulting abundance estimates. A
robust assessment of population trend
will require additional data and
inclusion of environmental variables
that influence false killer whale
distribution and the proportion of the
population represented within the
survey area during each survey period.
Comment 45: The HLA incorporates
by reference its more specific comments
on the draft 2014 SAR related to the
2010 Hawaiian Islands Cetacean
Ecosystem and Assessment Survey
(HICEAS) and the assumptions made by
NMFS based upon the data from that
survey. In addition, it emphasizes its
repeated requests that NMFS publicly
disclose information regarding the
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acoustic data acquired in the 2010
HICEAS survey. Substantial acoustic
data was acquired during that survey,
but NMFS still has not provided any
meaningful analysis of that data or, for
example, any basic indication of how
many false killer whale vocalizations
have been identified in the acoustic
data. The acoustic data from the 2010
HICEAS survey contains information
directly relevant to false killer whale
abundance, and it must be analyzed by
NMFS and reported in the false killer
whale SAR, which must be based on the
best available scientific information.
Response: This comment has been
addressed previously (see 80 FR 50599,
August 20, 2015, comment 35; and 81
FR June 14, 2016, comment 45).
Analysis of the acoustic data is a labor
intensive and time-consuming process,
particularly as automated methods for
detection, classification, and
localization are still improving. There
were many changes in array hardware
during the survey, further complicating
streamlined analyses of these data.
Portions of the data have been analyzed
to verify species identification, assess
sub-group spatial arrangements, or other
factors. A full-scale analysis of this
dataset for abundance is therefore not
appropriate at this time. However,
NMFS may consider analyzing the 2010
acoustic dataset in full or part following
the planned 2017 HICEAS survey, when
the most recent automated detection
and classification approaches may be
available.
Comment 46: The HLA notes that the
draft SAR assigns a recovery factor of
0.5 to the pelagic stock of false killer
whales, which is the value typically
assigned to depleted or threatened
stocks, or stocks of unknown status,
with a mortality estimate CV of 0.3 or
less. However, the pelagic stock is not
depleted or threatened, nor is its status
unknown. Since NMFS began
estimating Hawaii false killer whale
abundance in 2000, as more data have
been obtained, more whales have been
observed, and the population estimates
have increased from 121 in 2000 (a
recognized underestimate for all false
killer whales in the EEZ) to 268 in 2005,
484 in 2007, 1,503 in 2013, and 1,540
at present. Similarly, the incidence of
fishery interactions with the pelagic
stock has not decreased, nor has the rate
of false killer whale depredation of
fishing lines decreased (if anything, it
has increased). All of the available data
contradict any hypothesis that false
killer whales in the Hawaii EEZ are
decreasing. The HLA recommends that
this status be accurately reflected with
a recovery factor that is greater than 0.5
(i.e., closer to 1.0 than to 0.5).
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Response: This comment has been
addressed previously (see 80 FR 50599,
August 20, 2015, comment 36; and 81
FR June 14, 2016, comment 46).
Reanalysis of existing datsets to derive
more precise estimates does not
constitute an increase in population
size. The commenter is incorrect in
suggesting that the historical sequence
of available abundance estimates are
due to natural population increases,
when they are in fact due to
improvements in abundance estimation
methods for this species, some of which
have resulted from reanalysis of the
same data. There are only two EEZ-wide
estimates of abundance (484 from a
2002 survey and 1,540 from a 2010
survey). These estimates may not be
directly compared due to changes in
group size enumeration methods
between those surveys. For this reason
the current status of pelagic false killer
whales is unknown. This population
may be reduced given fishing pressures
within and outside of the EEZ over
several decades. The status of Hawaii
pelagic false killer whales is considered
unknown because there are no trend
data available to evaluate whether the
population is increasing, stable, or
declining. The recovery factor for
Hawaii pelagic false killer whales will
remain 0.5, as indicated, for a stock with
a CV for the M/SI rate estimate that is
less than or equal to 0.30.
Comment 47: The HLA notes that, as
with past draft SARs, the draft 2016
SAR attributes M/SI by the Hawaiibased deep-set longline fishery to the
Main Hawaiian Island (MHI) insular
false killer whale stock (‘‘insular
stock’’). For at least the following two
reasons, these attributions are
inappropriate and contrary to the best
available scientific information. First,
there has never been a confirmed
interaction between the deep-set fishery
and an animal from the insular stock.
Although there is anecdotal evidence of
insular stock interactions with
nearshore shortline fisheries and other
small-scale fishing operations, none of
these are documented or reliably
reported, and none implicate the
Hawaii-based longline fisheries, which
have been excluded from nearshore
fishing grounds for many years.
Second, as NMFS recognized in the
draft 2015 SAR, the range for the insular
stock is, appropriately, much smaller
than was previously assumed by NMFS.
When this new range is taken into
account, along with the FKWTRP-based
year-round closure of the area to the
north of the MHI, there is only a very
small area in which longline fishing
may overlap with the assumed range of
the insular stock. No false killer whale
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interaction by the deep-set fishery has
ever occurred in this area. It is therefore
incorrect, and contrary to the best
available information, to state that the
deep-set fishery, as currently regulated,
is ‘‘interacting with’’ the insular stock.
If NMFS persists with its contention
that the deep-set fishery ‘‘interacts
with’’ the insular stock, then NMFS
should, at a minimum, state in the SAR
that there are no confirmed deep-set
fishery interactions with the insular
stock and that no deep-set fishery
interactions with the insular stock have
occurred in the very limited area where
longline effort might overlap with the
assumed range for the insular stock.
Response: As noted in previous years
(see 80 FR 50599, August 20, 2015,
comment 37; and 81 FR June 14, 2016,
comment 48), the commenter is correct
that using the new MHI insular false
killer whale stock range and the
longline exclusion area required under
the FKWTRP (in effect since 2013),
there is little overlap between the MHI
insular stock and the longline fishery.
However, the commenter is mistaken
that any take by the deep-set fishery is
attributed to the MHI insular stock. The
table for the Hawaii longline fisheries
indicates 0.0 M/SI attributed to the MHI
insular stock for 2013 and 2014. This
0.0 attribution is because the overlap
area is very small and because fishing
effort in that region was also small. It is
rare that the stock-identity of a hooked
or entangled whale can be determined,
and as such NMFS follows the GAMMS
and apportions those false killer whale
takes of unknown stock to all stocks
within the fishing area. NMFS has
carried out this apportionment based on
the distribution of fishing effort in areas
of overlap between stocks and the
fishery.
Comment 48: The HLA states that
NMFS’ assumption that the insular
stock has declined is speculative.
Response: This comment has been
addressed previously (see 80 FR 50599,
August 20, 2015, comment 39 and 81 FR
June 14, 2016, comment 49). NMFS
makes no assumption that MHI insular
stock abundance has declined in recent
years. The minimum estimate reflects
the number of individuals enumerated
during the stated period and may reflect
not only changes in actual population
abundance, but also changes in
encounter rates due to survey location
or animal distribution.
Comments on Alaska Regional Reports
Comment 49: Over the past several
years, the Commission has repeatedly
recommended that NMFS improve its
monitoring and reporting of Alaskan
subsistence hunting and harvest
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working in collaboration with comanagement partners. The Commission
recognizes and appreciates the related
updates made by NMFS to the SARs and
encourages NMFS to continue to
provide updated information wherever
it becomes available, even if it pertains
only to a limited number of villages or
subset of years. Although NMFS has
stated its desire to establish a
comprehensive, statewide subsistence
hunting/harvest monitoring program, it
has yet to achieve that goal. The
Commission acknowledges the efforts of
NMFS’ Alaska Fisheries Science Center
and Alaska Regional Office to develop a
list of research/monitoring priorities,
solicit additional resources, and
coordinate their efforts toward
establishing the hunting/harvest
monitoring program. Information on
subsistence hunting and harvest is
becoming increasingly important in the
light of the pace of change in the Arctic.
Therefore, the Commission recommends
that NMFS continue to pursue the
funding necessary for comprehensive
surveys of Alaska native subsistence use
and harvest of marine mammals. The
Commission remains open to providing
what support it can to NMFS’ survey
efforts and to helping address the lack
of funding for such a program.
Response: We acknowledge that we
have limited monitoring and reporting
of subsistence harvests. We will
continue to provide the best available
information about subsistence harvests
in the SARs and will pursue
opportunities to conduct comprehensive
surveys of subsistence hunting as
resources allow. We greatly appreciate
the Commission’s support and look
forward to discussing ways forward to
help facilitate NMFS’ efforts.
Comment 50: In the spring of 2012
and 2013, U.S. and Russian researchers
conducted aerial abundance and
distribution surveys for ice seals over
the entire Bering Sea and Sea of
Okhotsk. The Commission was
encouraged to see preliminary analyses
of a subset of these surveys included in
the 2015 SARs. Nonetheless, the lack of
the complete analysis of these surveys
and revisions of the abundance
estimates for bearded and ringed seals
in this year’s draft SARs is
disappointing. The Commission
recommends that NMFS make it a
priority to complete these analyses and
ensure that revised abundance estimates
for bearded, ringed, and ribbon seals,
based on all available data, are included
in the draft 2017 SARs.
Response: We are continuing to
analyze data from the 2012–2013 aerial
surveys of ice seals in the Bering Sea
and Sea of Okhotsk; as soon as the data
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analysis is complete and a citable
publication is available, we will revise
the applicable abundance estimates in
the SARs. We will include an updated
abundance estimate for spotted seals in
the U.S. sector of the Bering Sea (from
a preliminary analysis of the 2012–2013
survey data) in the draft 2017 spotted
seal SAR (the only ice seal SAR to be
revised in the 2017 SAR cycle).
Comment 51: The Commission notes
that the draft 2016 SAR for the
Southeast Alaska stock of harbor
porpoise includes new abundance
estimates for two sub-regions based on
stratified, line-transect surveys
conducted from 2010 to 2012. The linetransect abundance estimates were
computed with the assumption that g(0),
the probability of detection on the
trackline, was 1.0, although this is
almost certainly not true. As reported in
the SAR, estimates of g(0) from other
harbor porpoise populations vary from
0.5–0.8. Thus, the true abundance of the
population is likely to be 20–50 percent
greater than the estimates reported in
the SAR. Nonetheless, the estimates
provide a frame of reference for
comparisons to harbor porpoise bycatch
in the portion of the Southeast Alaska
salmon drift gillnet fishery that was
monitored in 2012–2013, for which the
mean annual M/SI was at least double
the corresponding PBR level. Further,
the total M/SI, which was assumed to be
a minimum as only a portion of all
M/SI are typically observed, was nearly
four times greater than PBR. Although a
comprehensive trend analysis was not
possible, the SAR reports that: ‘‘ . . . an
analysis of the line-transect vessel
survey data collected throughout the
inland waters of Southeast Alaska
between 1991 and 2010 suggested high
probabilities of a population decline
ranging from 2 to 4 percent per year for
the whole study area . . . [but] when
data from 2011 and 2012 were added to
this analysis, the population decline
was no longer significant.’’ Given this
uncertainty and the apparent high levels
of M/SI relative to PBR, the Commission
recommends that NMFS conduct the
necessary analyses to determine an
appropriate g(0) to be used in the
analysis of line-transect data for this
stock, and revise the abundance
estimates and PBR calculations
accordingly for the draft 2017 SARs. If
the reanalysis finds that M/SI still
exceeds PBR, then the Commission
recommends that NMFS consider
forming a take reduction team to
address mitigation of bycatch of this
stock in the Alaska salmon drift gillnet
and related fisheries.
Response: We recognize the
importance of determining a value for
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g(0) for harbor porpoise, and on a recent
survey in Southeast Alaska we collected
some preliminary data in a g(0)
experiment. Although the sample size
was small, ongoing analysis of these
data will allow us to provide a
preliminary value for g(0) for this
species in the region. Use of existing
values for g(0) is probably inappropriate
given potential differences in
populations, species, or study areas.
Comment 52: The Commission
recommends that NMFS give the
determination of harbor porpoise stock
structure throughout the region a high
priority, particularly for this stock given
the potentially high level of fisheries
interactions.
Response: We agree with the
Commission that improving our
understanding of harbor porpoise stock
structure is a high priority. We collected
data for genetics studies of harbor
porpoise in the inland waters of
Southeast Alaska during two vessel
cruises in July and September 2016. One
of the primary research priorities of
these cruises was to collect
environmental DNA (eDNA) from the
fluke prints of harbor porpoise to inform
evaluation of stock structure. We are
currently analyzing the eDNA collected
from the southern (Wrangell/Sumner
Strait area) and northern (Glacier Bay/
Icy Strait area) regions of the inland
waters of Southeast Alaska.
During the cruises, we also obtained
photographs of harbor porpoise and
collected acoustic samples from Dall’s
porpoise (to compare to our existing
harbor porpoise acoustic samples) for a
project to determine if Dall’s porpoise
and harbor porpoise can be
differentiated acoustically. We
anticipate that the results of these
analyses will help inform whether
separation of Southeast Alaska harbor
porpoise into two or more stocks is
appropriate.
Comment 53: The Organizations
request that NMFS update Appendix 6,
‘‘Observer coverage in Alaska
commercial fisheries,’’ for each of the
Alaska Region SARs. The current
Appendix 6 shows observer coverage
only for the years 1990–2009, which
therefore omits observer coverage
information for 4 out of the 5 most
recent years included in the SARs. This
is problematic especially because NMFS
acknowledges that there is inadequate
monitoring of Alaska commercial
fisheries. Reporting current levels of
observer coverage is imperative to
understanding and improving
monitoring and the interaction levels
derived therefrom.
Response: We have updated
Appendix 6 in the final 2016 Alaska
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29051
SARs to include the coverage for 1990
through 2014; the 2017 Alaska SARs
will include coverage for 1990 through
2015.
Comment 54: The Organizations
comment that the limited amount of
observer coverage in state-managed
fisheries in Alaska creates uncertainty
about the extent of M/SI, and this is a
particular problem for humpback
whales entangled in the Southeast
Alaska salmon drift gillnets. Table 1 in
the SAR for Central North Pacific
humpback whales lists the fishery as
‘‘SE Alaska salmon drift gillnet
(Districts 6, 7, 8)’’—but this pertains to
only a limited number of districts,
leaving M/SI in the rest of the districts
both unobserved and unestimated.
NMFS acknowledges in the SAR for this
stock that ‘‘[s]ince these three districts
represent only a portion of the overall
fishing effort in this fishery, we expect
this to be a minimum estimate of
mortality for the fishery.’’ The
Organizations recommend that NMFS
expand observer coverage, since the
fishery is likely to interact with
humpbacks in other portions of the
range.
Because of distribution of effort, it
may not be possible to extrapolate the
observed takes from these districts
across the fishery in its entire range in
southeast Alaska; however, it is clear
that total M/SI is likely to be far higher
than the limited data presented. The
SAR lists mortality as 11 humpbacks.
However, a draft report by the same
author (Manly) extrapolated from this
and estimated the number of mortalities
for all of Southeast Alaska to be 68.
Given the inadequate monitoring of the
fisheries, NMFS must explain why
observed M/SI were not extrapolated to
the fishery in Southeast Alaska as was
done by Manly in his draft and as would
be consistent with fisheries listed in the
annual List of Fisheries.
Response: We acknowledge the need
for monitoring state-managed fisheries
for marine mammal interactions.
Unfortunately, we had to discontinue
operating the Alaska Marine Mammal
Observer Program for state-managed
fisheries due to a lack of resources. We
continue to seek opportunities to
improve our understanding of the
interactions between state-managed
fisheries and marine mammals.
The extrapolation of humpback whale
M/SI from 11 in the observed districts
of the Southeast Alaska salmon drift
gillnet fishery to 68 for all of Southeast
Alaska was contained in a draft report
but not carried over into the final report.
During our review of the report, and
consideration of what information to
include in the SARs, we decided that
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extrapolating from the three observed
districts of the fishery to the unobserved
districts of the Southeast Alaska salmon
drift gillnet fishery was unreliable given
the variability in fishing effort and
humpback whale distribution. Instead,
the one observed interaction was the
basis for estimating that 11 M/SI
occurred in the observed districts; and,
since the observed districts represent
only a portion of the overall fishing
effort in this fishery, we expect this to
be a minimum estimate of the total level
of humpback whale M/SI in salmon
gillnet fisheries in Southeast Alaska.
This is consistent with how we handled
the M/SI of harbor porpoise, which was
extrapolated within the three districts
but not beyond the three observed
districts to the rest of the Southeast
Alaska salmon drift gillnet fishery.
Comment 55: The Organizations note
that NMFS states in the draft North
Pacific sperm whale SARs that PBR is
unknown for this stock (and the entire
species is listed as a single endangered
species under the ESA) but also
concludes in the status of the stock
section for this stock that total estimated
annual level of human-caused M/SI (2.2
whales) ‘‘seems minimal.’’ Given the
uncertainty surrounding the degree of
depletion and recovery of the North
Pacific sperm whale population, the
SARs should be precautionary in the
analysis of impacts of M/SI resulting
from commercial fishing. The practical
impact of the SARs continuing to find
PBR ‘‘unknown’’ for this stock is that
the North Pacific stock of sperm whales
assessed in the Alaska SARs may be
receiving less protection than other U.S.
stocks of sperm whales. This appears to
be the only U.S. stock of sperm whale
for which the fisheries interacting with
it are not listed as Category I or II;
NMFS does not require MMPA section
101(a)(5)(E) authorization for fisheries
interacting with the North Pacific Stock
because, in this case, its PBR is said to
be unknown.
Response: As there are no available
abundance estimates for the number of
sperm whales in Alaska waters, Nmin is
not available for this stock and
therefore, the PBR is unknown.
Assessing sperm whale populations
presents considerable challenges,
including the range and offshore
distribution of the species, uncertainties
regarding stock boundaries, the
segregation by sex and maturational
class that characterizes sperm whale
distribution, and behavioral factors (e.g.,
long dive times) that make surveys
difficult. Nonetheless, we plan to
convene a working group to discuss the
practicality of estimating sperm whale
abundance and other issues surrounding
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assessment of this species. We have
revised the text in the final 2016 sperm
whale SAR to clarify that the estimate
of annual fisheries-caused mortality and
serious injury is a minimum estimate.
We will also omit the characterization
that an M/SI rate of 2.2 whales ‘‘seems
minimal.’’ Even in the absence of a PBR,
we continue to assess fishery
interactions with sperm whales in
Alaska, including efforts by the fishing
industry to reduce interactions (e.g., the
recent change to allow pot gear in the
sablefish fishery to reduce depredation
by sperm whales). Although we cannot
conduct a quantitative tier analysis for
stocks without PBRs, we can evaluate
whether to classify fisheries by analogy
to other similar fisheries based on
various factors (50 CFR 229.2).
Comment 56: The Organizations
suggest adding information to the Cook
Inlet beluga whale SAR from a new
study of spatial and temporal patterns in
the calling behavior of beluga whales in
Cook Inlet.
Response: We will review this
information and consider including it in
a future Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR.
Comment 57: The Organizations point
out that the last sentence on draft page
62 of the Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR
should more correctly read: ‘‘The next
abundance estimate survey was
conducted in June 2016 and is currently
undergoing analyses.’’ On this same
page, using the formula provided for
calculating minimum abundance, it
appears that the minimum population
estimate in the stock should be 287 not
280.
Response: We have incorporated these
corrections into the final 2016 Cook
Inlet beluga whale SAR.
Comment 58: The Organizations
suggest that the Status of the Stock
section of the Cook Inlet beluga whale
SAR be updated to reflect that the
recovery plan for the Cook Inlet beluga
whales was finalized and published on
January 4, 2017. Additionally, the
Organizations suggest that the Habitat
Concerns section be updated to reflect
information that was in the draft and
final recovery plan for this stock. These
include a number of references.
Response: We will add a statement
about the final Recovery Plan to the
Status of Stock section of the final 2016
Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR, and we
will update the information on the
Recovery Plan in the Habitat Concerns
section of the draft 2017 Cook Inlet
beluga whale SAR.
Comment 59: The HLA notes that the
draft 2016 SAR for the Central North
Pacific humpback whale stock (‘‘CNP
Stock’’) states that ‘‘until such time as
the MMPA stock delineations are
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
reviewed in light of the DPS
designations, NMFS considers this stock
endangered and depleted for MMPA
management purposes (e.g., selection of
a recovery factor, stock status).’’
Although the HLA appreciates that the
MMPA humpback stock delineations do
not align with the new humpback DPS
designations, it is nevertheless
inaccurate for the SAR to suggest that
the entire CNP Stock is ‘‘endangered’’
and ‘‘depleted.’’ In fact, many whales
within the CNP Stock’s presently
delineated range likely come from DPSs
that are not ‘‘endangered’’ or
‘‘threatened.’’ At a minimum, they
request that the SAR for the CNP Stock
include a statement that the two
observed CNP Stock interactions with
the Hawaii-based longline fisheries
occurred with animals from the Hawaii
DPS, which is not listed as ‘‘threatened’’
or ‘‘endangered.’’
Response: We have added the
following statement to the end of the
‘‘Status of Stock’’ section in the final
2016 Central North Pacific humpback
whale SAR: ‘‘Humpback whale
mortality and serious injury in Hawaiibased fisheries involves whales from the
Hawaii DPS; this DPS is not listed as
threatened or endangered under the
ESA.’’
Dated: June 21, 2017.
Donna S. Wieting,
Director, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2017–13369 Filed 6–26–17; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XF487
Caribbean Fishery Management
Council; Public Meeting
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice of a public meeting.
AGENCY:
The Caribbean Fishery
Management Council’s Scientific and
Statistical Committee (SSC) will hold a
5-day meeting to discuss the items
contained in the agenda under
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION.
DATES: The meetings will be held on
July 10–14, 2017.
ADDRESSES: The meeting will be held at
˜
the Council Office, 270 Munoz Rivera
Avenue, Suite 401, San Juan, Puerto
Rico.
SUMMARY:
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 82, Number 122 (Tuesday, June 27, 2017)]
[Notices]
[Pages 29039-29052]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2017-13369]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
RIN 0648-XE783
Marine Mammal Stock Assessment Reports
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; response to comments.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: As required by the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS
has considered public comments for revisions of the 2016 marine mammal
stock assessment reports (SARs). This notice announces the availability
of the final 2016 SARs for the 86 stocks that were updated.
ADDRESSES: Electronic copies of SARs are available on the Internet as
regional compilations and individual reports at the following address:
https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars/.
A list of references cited in this notice is available at
www.regulations.gov (search for docket NOAA-NMFS-2016-0101) or upon
request.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Shannon Bettridge, Office of Protected
Resources, 301-427-8402, Shannon.Bettridge@noaa.gov; Marcia Muto, 206-
526-4026, Marcia.Muto@noaa.gov, regarding Alaska regional stock
assessments; Elizabeth Josephson, 508-495-2362,
Elizabeth.Josephson@noaa.gov, regarding Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico, and
Caribbean regional stock assessments; or Jim Carretta, 858-546-7171,
Jim.Carretta@noaa.gov, regarding Pacific regional stock assessments.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Section 117 of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) requires NMFS and
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (FWS) to prepare stock assessments
for each stock of marine mammals occurring in waters under the
jurisdiction of the United States, including the Exclusive Economic
Zone. These reports must contain information regarding the distribution
and abundance of the stock, population growth rates and trends,
estimates of annual human-caused mortality and serious injury from all
sources, descriptions of the fisheries with which the stock interacts,
and the status of the stock. Initial reports were first completed in
1995.
The MMPA requires NMFS and FWS to review the SARs at least annually
for strategic stocks and stocks for which significant new information
is available, and at least once every three years for non-strategic
stocks. The term ``strategic stock'' means a marine mammal stock: (A)
For which the level of direct human-caused mortality exceeds the
potential biological removal level; (B) which, based on the best
available scientific information, is declining and is likely to be
listed as a threatened species under the Endangered Species Act (ESA)
within the foreseeable future; or (C) which is listed as a threatened
species or endangered species under the ESA. NMFS and the FWS are
required to revise a SAR if the status of the stock has changed or can
be more accurately determined. NMFS, in conjunction with the Alaska,
Atlantic, and Pacific independent Scientific Review Groups (SRGs),
reviewed the status of marine mammal stocks as required and revised
reports in the Alaska, Atlantic, and Pacific regions to incorporate new
information.
NMFS updated SARs for 2016, and the revised draft reports were made
available for public review and comment for 90 days (81 FR 70097,
October 11, 2016). Subsequent to soliciting public comment on the draft
2016 SARs, NMFS was made aware that due to technical conversion errors,
the Atlantic SARs contained incorrect information in some instances.
NMFS
[[Page 29040]]
corrected these errors and the revised draft Atlantic 2016 SARs were
made available for public comment through the end of original 90-day
comment period (81 FR 90782, December 15, 2016). NMFS received comments
on the draft 2016 SARs and has revised the reports as necessary. This
notice announces the availability of the final 2016 reports for the 86
stocks that were updated. These reports are available on NMFS' Web site
(see ADDRESSES).
Comments and Responses
NMFS received letters containing comments on the draft 2016 SARs
from the Marine Mammal Commission; six non-governmental organizations
(The Humane Society of the United States, Center for Biological
Diversity, Whale and Dolphin Conservation, Maine Lobstermen's
Association, the Hawaii Longline Association, and Friends of the
Children's Pool); and three individuals. Responses to substantive
comments are below; comments on actions not related to the SARs are not
included below. Comments suggesting editorial or minor clarifying
changes were incorporated in the reports, but they are not included in
the summary of comments and responses. In some cases, NMFS' responses
state that comments would be considered or incorporated in future
revisions of the SARs rather than being incorporated into the final
2016 SARs.
Comments on National Issues
Comment 1: The Humane Society of the United States, Humane Society
Legislative Fund, the Center for Biological Diversity, and Whale and
Dolphin Conservation (Organizations) relayed that the SARs continue to
have missing, outdated and/or imprecise information regarding
population abundance and trends. The comment states that a recent
review by the Marine Mammal Commission (Commission) found that, as of
the 2013 SARs, only 56 percent of stocks nationwide had estimates of
minimum abundance; this includes only 58 percent of stocks in the
Atlantic, 53 percent of stocks in Alaska, and, in the Gulf of Mexico (a
subset of the Atlantic SARs) only 35 percent of stocks had a timely and
realistic minimum estimates of abundance. The Atlantic region also was
found to have low precision in many of the estimates that were
provided. The Commission report identifies a number of weaknesses in
the SARs including low precision surrounding most abundance estimates,
inappropriately pooling estimates for stocks that are similar in
appearance but that are actually different species or stocks (e.g.,
beaked whales), survey design that is inappropriate for the stock's
likely range, and missing trend data that could result in some stocks
experiencing a significant decline without detection. Moreover, with
regard to setting a Potential Biological Removal (PBR) level as
required by the MMPA, the Commission analysis found that ``[o]f the 248
stocks evaluated, 134 (54 percent) had PBR estimates, 51 (21 percent)
had outdated PBR estimates, 59 (24 percent) had no estimates . . .''
These PBRs are critical for determining how to appropriately manage
anthropogenic impacts, and a lack of a valid PBR hampers the agency's
ability to comply with MMPA mandates. Recognizing that the Commission
analysis was based on SARs that were released several years ago (2013),
little improvement in this situation is evident in the current draft
SARs. The Organizations recommend that NMFS recognize and fill gaps in
population abundance and trends so that the SARs more accurately
reflect the current status of populations.
Response: We acknowledge and appreciate this comment and are
actively working to address these gaps to the extent that resources
allow. To this end, we are continuing to partner with other Federal
agencies to collaborate on our common needs to better understand the
distribution, abundance, and stock structure of cetaceans and other
protected species. For example, since 2010, we have been working with
the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management, the U.S. Navy, and the FWS, to
assess the abundance, distribution, ecology, and behavior of marine
mammals, sea turtles, and seabirds in the western North Atlantic Ocean.
One of the objectives of this joint venture, the Atlantic Marine
Assessment Program for Protective Species (AMAPPS), is to address data
gaps that are essential to improving population assessments. In 2015,
we launched the joint AMAPPS II, which will continue through 2019.
Modeled after the successes of AMAPPS, we are planning to launch two
similar joint research programs this year for the Gulf of Mexico
(GoMMAPPS) and the Pacific Ocean (PacMAPPS). These multi-year, multiple
agency programs will provide data to help us meet our mandates under
the MMPA.
See our responses to comments on Regional Reports below where we
address issues related to specific stocks.
Comment 2: The Organizations note there are discrepancies in the
choice of recovery factors used for distinct population segments (DPS)
of humpback whales among the various regions. There should be more
consistent application of recovery factors across regions for mixed or
de-listed DPSs given that these newly defined populations share many of
the same certainties and uncertainties in data on abundance, trend and
range. The Pacific region re-assessed the California/Oregon/Washington
stock of humpback whales, retaining the recovery factor of 0.3 from the
prior SAR (when these humpbacks were still ESA-listed), based on NMFS
guidelines for setting PBR elements that allow flexibility in use of
recovery factors for listed stocks based in confidence in the data.
However, the Alaska region has apparently not been consistent in its
use of recovery factors in the PBR formula. Humpbacks in the Western
North Pacific retained a recovery factor of 0.1 even though some
portion of the feeding stock was de-listed. However, the Central North
Pacific stock of humpbacks was assigned a recovery factor of 0.3 even
though the SAR for the Central North Pacific stock acknowledges that
there is a ``known overlap in the distribution of the Western and
Central North Pacific humpback whale stocks [and] estimates for these
feeding areas may include whales from the Western North Pacific
stock.'' The mixing of both ESA-listed and unlisted stocks in the same
feeding area seems likely and in the interest of consistency,
conservation, and judicious management of resources, the region should
keep the more conservative recovery factor of 0.1 for both Western
North Pacific and Central North Pacific stocks that vary in ESA listing
status but intermix with other stocks in the Alaskan feeding grounds.
The Atlantic region has used a recovery factor of 0.5 in its PBR
formula, despite data uncertainties.
Response: As described in our Federal Register notice requesting
comments on the Draft 2016 Marine Mammal Stock Assessment Reports (81
FR 70097, October 11, 2016), we are currently conducting a review of
humpback whale stock delineations under the MMPA to determine whether
any humpback whale stocks in U.S. waters should be realigned with the
ESA DPSs. Until we have completed our review, we will continue to treat
the Western North Pacific, Central North Pacific, and California/
Oregon/Washington stocks as depleted because they partially or fully
coincide with ESA-listed DPSs. As such, we have not changed the
recovery factors for these three stocks from the values reported in the
2015 SARs; any changes in stock delineation or MMPA section 117
elements (such as PBR, strategic status,
[[Page 29041]]
or recovery factors) will be reflected in future stock assessment
reports, and the Scientific Review Groups and the public will be
provided opportunity to review and comment.
Comment 3: The Hawaii Longline Association (HLA) asserts that the
SAR administrative process be improved; it is confusing, inefficient,
and produces final SARs that are not based upon the best available
scientific information. Because of the inefficient process used to
produce SARs, the draft SARs fail to rely upon the best available data
(i.e., the most current data that it is practicable to use), contrary
to the MMPA. For example, the draft 2016 SAR only reports data
collected through the year 2014, even though 2015 data are readily
available; there is no credible justification to continue the present
two-year delay in the use of information.
Response: As noted in previous years, the marine mammal SARs are
based upon the best available scientific information, and NMFS strives
to update the SARs with as timely data as possible. In order to develop
annual mortality and serious injury estimates, we do our best to ensure
all records are accurately accounted for in that year. In some cases,
this is contingent on such things as bycatch analysis, data entry, and
assessment of available data to make determinations of severity of
injury, confirmation of species based on morphological and/or molecular
samples collected, etc. Additionally, the SARs incorporate injury
determinations that have been assessed pursuant to the NMFS 2012 Policy
and Procedure for Distinguishing Serious from Non-Serious Injury of
Marine Mammals (NMFS Policy Directive PD 02-038 and NMFS Instruction
02-038-01), which requires several phases of review by the SRGs.
Reporting on incomplete annual mortality and serious injury estimates
could result in underestimating actual levels. The MMPA requires us to
report mean annual mortality and serious injury estimates, and we try
to ensure that we are accounting for all available data before we
summarize those data. With respect to abundance, in some cases we
provide census rather than abundance estimates, and the accounting
process to obtain the minimum number alive requires two years of
sightings to get a stable count, after which the data are analyzed and
entered into the SAR in the third year. All animals are not seen every
year; waiting two years assures that greater than 90 percent of the
animals still alive will be included in the count. As a result of the
review and revision process, data used for these determinations
typically lag two years behind the year of the SAR.
Comment 4: The Commission recommends that NMFS develop a strategy
and plan to collaborate with other nations to improve and/or expand
existing surveys and assessments for trans-boundary stocks. Priority
should be given to those stocks that are endangered or threatened,
hunted, or known to interact significantly with fisheries or other
marine activities in international or foreign waters. The goal should
be to manage human impacts on trans-boundary stocks using a potential
biological removal level calculated for the entire stock, as has been
suggested in the proposed revisions to the stock assessment guidelines.
Response: We acknowledge the Commission's comment and agree that
collaboration with other countries for assessments of trans-boundary
stocks is a worthy goal. For example, for the Gulf of Mexico, we are
investigating whether GoMMAPPS could encompass a Gulf-wide approach to
include collaborative international surveys. For the northwestern
Atlantic Ocean, we recently convened a joint Ecosystem Based Management
Science Workshop with the Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada in
St. Andrews, Canada, to discuss how to develop sustained funding
opportunities for collaborative research projects that advance
ecosystem based management science in our transboundary waters. Some of
the ongoing and potential collaborative research projects discussed
include AMAPPS, aerial and ship surveys (e.g., gray seals, right
whales), autonomous glider surveys, and long-term passive accoutic
monitoring of whale presence.
In the North Pacific, the SPLASH (Structure of Populations, Levels
of Abundance and Status of Humpbacks) surveys conducted during 2004
through 2006, represent one of the largest and most successful
international collaborative studies of any whale population to date.
SPLASH was designed to determine the abundance, trends, movements, and
population structure of humpback whales throughout the North Pacific
and to examine human impacts on this population. This study involved
over 50 research groups and more than 400 researchers in 10 countries.
It was supported by a number of U.S. agencies and organizations, the
Department of Fisheries and Oceans Canada, and the Commission for
Environmental Cooperation with additional support from a number of
other organizations and governments for effort in specific regions.
The only current international assessment survey in the North
Pacific is the International Whaling Commission's (IWC) Pacific Ocean
Whales & Ecosystem Research (POWER) cruise, which runs annually and
sequentially surveys set areas of the North Pacific. These cruises have
been run for several years across much of the North Pacific Ocean and
in 2017-19 will be focused on the Bering Sea. The survey always
includes at least one U.S. researcher. Reports and data are submitted
annually to the IWC Scientific Committee. The survey employs line-
transect methods and is designed to calculate abundance of all large
whale species. Whether the estimates possess sufficient precision to be
used for calculating PBR is likely to vary by species, and the huge
areas being surveyed may in some cases mean low precision. The surveys
also take time for photo-id and biopsy sampling, and in 2017 they will
for the first time include acoustic monitoring via sonobuoys.
With the exception of the POWER cruise (which is possible largely
because of funding and the provision of a vessel by the Government of
Japan, together with support from the IWC) the challenge of
implementing the Commission's recommendation is the considerable
expense involved in conducting trans-boundary surveys. The SPLASH
project on North Pacific humpback whales was very successful but
involved funding by multiple nations (including the U.S.). Given the
current budget environment, it is unlikely that funding would be
available for an assessment survey of similar international scope.
Regarding the management of human impacts on trans-boundary stocks
using a PBR level calculated for the entire stock, we note that we
included clarifications in the 2016 revised Guidelines for Assessing
Marine Mammal Stocks (GAMMS). For transboundary stocks, the best
approach is to compare the total (U.S. and non-U.S.) M/SI to the range-
wide PBR whenever possible. For non-migratory stocks where estimates of
mortality or abundance from outside the U.S. Exclusive Economic Zone
(EEZ) cannot be determined, PBR calcuations are based on the abundance
within the EEZ and compared to mortality within the EEZ. For cases
where we are able to estimate the entire population size, such as the
transboundary Californa coastal stock of bottlenose dolphins, we
prorate the PBR to account for the time that animals spend outside of
U.S. waters.
[[Page 29042]]
Comments on Atlantic Regional Reports
Comment 5: The Organizations point out that the Commission's review
of SARs found that only approximately one third of stocks in the Gulf
of Mexico have valid information on minimum population and/or have a
current estimate of PBR. For the Gulf of Mexico, ``of the 36 stocks
without a PBR in the 2013 assessments, 33 are due to outdated survey
data and 3 are due to no data.'' The outdated estimates for stocks in
the Gulf of Mexico are generally not just a year or two out of date,
many have not been assessed since the 1990s--over two decades ago. The
Deepwater Horizon oil spill disaster impacted many of these poorly
assessed stocks.
For example, the Organizations note the lack of population data
available for the small stocks of Gulf of Mexico Bay, Sound, and
Estuary (BSE) bottlenose dolphins--many of which were adversely
impacted by the oil spill from the Deepwater Horizon well. As a result
of aging data and lack of survey effort, population estimates are now
only available for 3 of the more than 30 bay, sound and estuarine
stocks whereas there were estimates for 6 in the last SAR. The
Organizations recommend that new population estimates be generated.
Response: We recognize that many of the Gulf of Mexico stocks do
not have abundance estimates. Together with our partners at the
National Center for Coastal Ocean Science and the Texas Marine Mammal
Stranding Network, we are currently conducting photo-ID mark-recapture
surveys to estimate abundance of common bottlenose dolphins in St.
Andrew Bay, West Bay, Galveston Bay, Sabine Lake, and Terrebonne and
Timbalier bays. We anticipate completing additional estuarine photo-ID
mark-recapture surveys in collaboration with partners throughout the
Gulf as resources become available. During 2017 and 2018, we have
planned vessel and aerial surveys under the proposed GoMMAPPS that will
provide updated abundance estimates for coastal, shelf and oceanic
stocks.
Comment 6: The Organizations comment that the Atlantic SARs and
their iterative edits are often difficult to follow. In general, the
SARs have become confusing, contradictory, and disorganized to an
extent that it is often difficult to discern critical information,
which was noted by the Atlantic SRG in its 2016 letter to NMFS. They
noted no evidence in the current draft SARs for this region that any
significant attempt was made to address the sub-standard content or
readability of many of the SARs.
Response: The language contained in the Atlantic SARs was discussed
in depth at the 2016 Atlantic SRG meeting. We hightlighted four
Atlantic SARs (coastal common bottlenose dolphin SARs and the Northern
North Carolina and Southern North Carolina Estuarine System Stock SARs)
for major revision. Given the comments and discussion at the 2016
meeting, we decided to retract these SARs from the 2016 cycle as it was
not possible to make major revisions given the timeframe necessary for
publishing the draft 2016 SARs in the Federal Register for public
comment. Thus, these four SARs were not included in the draft 2016 SARs
published in the Federal Register for public review. These retracted
SARs were the only Atlantic SARs that were identified during the 2016
Atlantic SRG discussion for major revision. For the 2017 SAR cycle, we
will restructure seven Atlantic common bottlenose dolphin SARs,
including the four retracted SARs.
Comment 7: The Organizations comment that the Atlantic SRG was
asked to review a number of SARs that do not appear in this edited
draft of NMFS' SARs. For example, the Atlantic SRG was asked to review
and provide comments on SARs for four bottlenose dolphin stocks that do
not appear available for public review either online in the draft SARs
or as part of the Federal Register notice. NMFS has proposed no changes
to these dolphin SARs, nor is the public asked to comment on them. It
is not clear why this occurred. NMFS should provide an explanation for
discrepancy in the number of stocks reviewed and commented on by the
Atlantic SRG as opposed to the abbreviated list of SARs provided in the
documents for public review and comment.
Response: See response to Comment 6.
Comment 8: The Organizations note the initial sentence under the
Gulf of Mexico BSE bottlenose dolphin report of takes in shrimp trawls
states, ``During 2010-2014, there were no documented mortalities or
serious injuries of common bottlenose dolphins from Gulf of Mexico BSE
stocks by commercial shrimp trawls; however, observer coverage of this
fishery does not include BSE waters.'' It is misleading to say ``there
were no documented mortalities,'' as this implies that mortalities that
occurred would and could have been documented by independent fishery
observers when, in fact, there is no observer coverage to document any
mortalities. The Organizations recommend omitting that sentence and
simply stating something like: ``No data are available on fishery-
related mortalities for the period 2010-2014, as there was no observer
coverage of the fishery in BSE waters.''
Response: To provide clarity, we have modified the sentence to
read: ``During 2010-2014, there were no documented mortalities or
serious injuries of common bottlenose dolphins from Gulf of Mexico BSE
stocks by commercial shrimp trawls because observer coverage of this
fishery does not include BSE waters.''
Comment 9: The Organizations recommend that much of the information
on the Gulf of Mexico BSE bottlenose dolphins in the narrative section
on ``Other Mortality'' can be reduced to a table, particularly the
listing of animals that were shot or otherwise injured by humans (i.e.,
providing the likely stock identity, date, location, weaponry
involved). The lengthy narrative discussion that is provided in some,
but not all, cases is unnecessarily descriptive.
Response: We shortened or removed the narrative descriptions for
many of the mortalities and moved the descriptions of the at-sea
observations and research takes to a table.
Comment 10: The Organizations note the section on Status of the
Gulf of Mexico BSE bottlenose dolphin stock contains this sentence
``The relatively high number of bottlenose dolphin deaths that occurred
during the mortality events since 1990 suggests that some of these
stocks may be stressed.'' The Organizations point out that stressed is
an ambiguous word that may refer to any number of things and with no
information on the severity of impact. ``Stress'' can mean
physiological stress (as in the autonomic nervous system responses and
elevated cortisol levels that may be highly detrimental) but could
refer to a challenge to the stock's persistence. The Organizations
suggest that NMFS consider use of a more appropriate descriptor for the
importance of the information on impacts of the ``high number'' of
deaths than is conveyed by the vague word ``stressed.''
Response: We removed the subject sentence in the final SAR.
Comment 11: The Commission points out that in the North Atlantic
right whale SAR, the second paragraph of the ``Current and Maximum
Productivity Rates'' section states that right whale per-capita birth
rates have been highly variable but lack a definitive trend. While that
is true, the data presented in Figure 2 suggest that the pattern of
variability shifted around 2000.
[[Page 29043]]
Between 1990 and 2000, the per capita birth rate was substantially
higher than the long-term mean in three (27 percent) of those years,
close to the mean in two (18 percent) of the years, and substantially
lower in six (55 percent) of the years. In contrast, between 2001 and
2012, the rate was substantially higher in four (33 percent) of those
years, close to the mean in 6 (50 percent) of the years, and
substantially lower in just one (17 percent) of the years. In other
words, the mean rate increased substantially from the first to the
second period. In addition, one study has pointed to a substantial
decline in the birth rate from 2010 on, which coincides with an
apparent decline in the population growth rate (Kraus et al. 2016).
Those declines have been coincident with sharp declines in right whale
numbers at several major feeding habitats, an increase in the
occurrence in severe entanglement injuries (Knowlton et al. 2012,
Robbins et al. 2015), and declines in animal health-based assessments
of blubber thickness, skin lesions, and other health assessment
parameters (Rolland et al. 2016). The Commission recommends that NMFS
undertake a thorough statistical/modeling analysis of these data to
determine whether any of these apparent/possible trends are significant
and what effect they are having on the recovery of the stock.
Response: The North Atlantic right whale population is very small
with few (~100) adult females. Per capita reproduction is expected to
be highly variable as a result of many females becoming synchronized in
their calving and resting periods. Estimating trends as suggested has
questionable statistical validity because individual females' cycles
are not independent (Rosenbaum et. al. 2002, McLaughlin et al. 1994).
NMFS will further examine the potential to model the volatility of
observed calf production and its effects on stock status. However, the
multiple consecutive years of fewer births than deaths, as documented
in the SAR, suggests a declining population.
Comment 12: The Commission recommends that NMFS, in consultation
with independent experts familiar with assessing right whale health,
re-examine information on the deaths and injuries of several North
Atlantic right whales (including #3705, #3360, #3946, #2160, #1311,
#3692, #2810, [#unidentified], and #4057) to determine whether they
should be added to the list of M/SI cases in Table 1.
Response: The NMFS Northeast Fisheries Science Center staff
reviewed all these cases and their determinations regarding serious
injury were later reviewed by experienced staff at another Fisheries
Science Center, the Greater Atlantic and Southeast Regional Offices,
and the Atlantic SRG, per NMFS Policy and Procedure for Distinguishing
Serious from Non-Serious Injury of Marine Mammals. NMFS staff looks for
evidence of significant health decline post event. We do not currently
have a method to address sublethal effects or more subtle/slow health
decline. Most of the recommended cases fall into this category. In
addition, several of the cases mentioned simply did not have enough
information to make a determination of human interaction (see below).
Regarding whale #1311, this whale was an unrecovered carcass filmed
floating off Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, by a fisherman in August
2013. Line was caught in the baleen, and it had rostrum and head wounds
apparently due to line wraps. Staff reviewing the injuries were unable
to determine the extent of human interaction from footage provided. The
event did not meet any of the four entanglement mortality criteria as
listed in NMFS M/SI documents (Henry et al. 2016), was classified as a
mortality due to unknown cause, and was not included in the SAR as a
human-caused mortality.
We have no data on the unidentified whale described as being
sighted in September 2014 by an aerial survey team in Cape Cod Bay,
Massachusetts, and none was provided upon request from commenters.
Therefore, this event was not included in Table 1. It could be a
resight of an animal with an earlier injury date.
Comment 13: The Maine Lobsterman's Association (MLA) notes the
North Atlantic right whale SAR determines the minimum population to be
440 whales, which is a census of those known to be alive. Using a
census is not an adequate methodology to assess this population given
that much of the population's distribution is unknown during the
winter, and recent shifts in habitat use patterns have resulted in
fewer right whales being detected in known habitats. Right whale
patterns and behaviors will continue to change; thus, this mark-and-
recapture approach to determine the minimum population is not adequate.
This approach also ignores science such as Frasier (2005), which
concluded based on genetic testing matched to known calves that the
population of right whale males has been underestimated. The SAR offers
little to explain why patterns of habitat use are shifting or
adequately determine the population size.
This problem is further exacerbated by the new methodologies used
to count serious injury and mortality: Whales with unknown outcomes are
now counted on a pro[hyphen]rated basis. Given the critical status of
the species, it is imperative that NMFS develop a new method of
assessing the right whale population that does not rely solely on
sightings and photo[hyphen]identification of these whales. The MLA
recommends that NMFS convene a workshop of independent scientists to
review the best available science and potential modelling approaches to
assess this stock. This task should not be delegated to Science Center
staff but rather should involve scientists from a variety of marine
mammal, modelling, climate change and other fields to objectively
recommend the best approach to assessing North American right whales.
Response: Currently, we use an index of abundance that is more
sophisticated than a simple census in that it pools within-year
sightings of individual right whales and does not rely on any
particular season to represent the count of whales (so, if a whale is
not seen in a particular season, it does not affect the count).
Further, the method includes not just the individuals seen in the
target year, but those seen before and after the target year, plus
calves in the target year. Because right whale re-sighting rates have
been extremely high for many years (greater than 85 percent), the
method is relatively robust and produces an abundance value that is
very much like a census. However, the recent decline in sighting rates
has led the agency to explore different methodologies for abundance
estimation, and we may move toward a mark-recapture statistical
approach for future abundance characterizations. This new method will
continue to rely on photo-identification data. Assessments based on
individual capture histories, when properly constructed, have proven
far superior both in regard to precision of abundance estimates and
added demographic data than any simple abundance-based assessment
procedure developed for other wildlife. This is especially true for
marine mammals that range over vast areas and for which estimating
density is costly. This new approach will also allow for an estimate of
entanglement mortality and avoid issues with undercounting, even after
changes to the serious injury categorizations. In regard to the Frasier
(2005) work, the thesis put forward a position based on incomplete
genetic sampling of the observed adult male population and included
only a single hypothetical breeding model.
[[Page 29044]]
Further, we do not ignore the Frasier hypothesis, but we recognize its
uncertain nature that aligns poorly with NMFS precautionary management
strategies. Regarding explanations of why patterns of habitat use are
shifting, this is not yet well understood, and, for this reason, it
would be premature to include information on this factor in the SAR
(see response to Comment 14).
With regard to the suggestions for a workshop, we are working on an
approach very much like the one suggested by the commenter. Discussions
will likely build on the findings from the North Atlantic right whale
panel at the Commission's 2017 annual meeting and the outcomes from the
Atlantic Large Whale Take Reduction Team meeting. Both meetings were
held in April 2017.
Comment 14: The MLA notes the North Atlantic right whale SAR raises
concern about a potential decline in the population beginning in 2012,
the most recent year of the assessment but also notes that
``productivity in North Atlantic right whales lacks a definitive
trend.'' The SAR dedicates the majority of its discussion on Current
Population Trend to research from the early 1990s through the early
2000s, documenting a decline during that time. In discussing the recent
population growth spanning more than 10 years (2000 through 2011), the
SAR offers only one sentence, ``However, the population continued to
grow since that apparent interval of decline [ending in 2000] until the
most recent year included in this analysis.'' The SAR provides no
discussion of conditions during this recent 10[hyphen]year period of
growth in the population and does little to inform what may have driven
either the former decline or recent growth.
Response: We recognize the lack of balance given to fluctuating
period-specific growth patterns in right whale abundance. The causes of
fluctuation are poorly understood. NMFS is presently engaged in
analysis to examine the relative contributions of fecundity and
mortality to fluctuating abundances; the outcome from our analysis will
be reflected in future stock assessment reports.
Comment 15: The MLA notes that the data on the confirmed
human[hyphen]caused mortality of North Atlantic right whales continue
to be difficult to interpret. Of the 24 interactions attributed to
entanglement from 2010-2014, only 0.4 were confirmed to be U.S. fishing
gear from a pot/trap fishery. Twenty[hyphen]two of the entanglement
cases have no definitive information on the fishery involved or where
the gear was set. Data implicating the fishing industry at large sours
fruitful discussion and makes it very difficult for the individual
fisheries to find effective solutions to the entanglement problem.
Response: Known, observed mortalities are a (likely biased) subset
of actual mortality. The SAR attempts to report these data with as much
information as is available. There may be other, incidental deaths not
fully known or attributable to specific areas, fisheries, or gear
types. Forensic efforts are made of all recovered gear to identify
specific fisheries (target species, region, nation of origin, etc.).
However, insufficient data exist to assign specific levels of
resolution in most cases, and we are only able to report the cause of
death as fishery-related entanglement. The inability to distinguish
whether impacts are due to the scale of fishing effort versus one or a
few areas that have disproportionate impact and could be strategically
targeted by management actions presents significant management
challenges. New gear marking requirements developed under the Atlantic
Large Whale Take Reduction Plan are showing promise in improving gear
attribution to specific fisheries. We welcome suggestions as to how to
reduce entanglement, improve forensic analysis, or to better mark gear
for source identification.
Comment 16: The Organizations point out that the chart showing
North Atlantic right whale M/SI omits any mention of M/SI from 2015,
though the agency has already acknowledged and accounted for a number
of such occurrences in a separate document. Since the agency has
incorporated and ``coded'' this more recent information from 2015 in a
separate reference document, these events should be added to the SARs,
which should themselves reflect the most recent information available.
Response: The period covered by the 2016 SAR is 2010-2014. M/SI
events from 2015 will be included in the 2017 SAR. Limiting the reports
to the 5-year period is not only important for consistency, but also
for completeness. M/SI cases are assembled and reviewed by fall of the
year following the event in order to be included in the draft SARs by
the next January.
Comment 17: The Organizations comment that the Gulf of Maine stock
humpback whale revised SAR inappropriately uses a recovery factor of
0.5 in calculations of the PBR. The NMFS GAMMS state: ``The recovery
factor of 0.5 for threatened or depleted stocks or stocks of unknown
status was determined based on the assumption that the coefficient of
variation of the mortality estimate (CV) is equal to or less than 0.3.
If the CV is greater than 0.3, the recovery factor should be decreased
to: 0.48 for CVs of 0.3 to 0.6; 0.45 for CVs of 0.6 to 0.8; and 0.40
for CVs greater than 0.8.'' In its section on fishery-related
mortality, the Gulf of Maine humpback whale report acknowledges that
entanglements and entanglement-related mortality are likely under-
reported. Citing recent literature, just prior to the mortality table,
the SAR states in part that ``[w]hile these records are not
statistically quantifiable in the same way as observer fishery records,
they provide some indication of the minimum frequency of
entanglements.'' There is uncertainty surrounding estimates of
anthropogenic mortality with no CV provided, and NMFS itself
acknowledges that it is under-reported. This raises the question of the
CV surrounding the mortality estimate.
Response: As a result of the humpback whale ESA listing rule (81 FR
62259, September 8, 2016), the Gulf of Maine stock of humpback whales
is no longer considered ESA listed or depleted. Therefore, the recovery
factor changed from 0.1 (the default recovery factor for stocks of
endangered species) to 0.5, the default value for stocks of unknown
status relative to optimum sustainable population (OSP). As a result,
the GAMMS' discussion of reducing the recovery factor based on the CV
of the mortality estimate is not relevant here; in addition to there
being no CVs associated with the abundance or death-by-entanglement
metrics reported in the SAR, CVs are a measure of the precision of the
estimate, while the likely undercount of humpback whale mortalities is
an issue of bias. We are collaborating on ways to improve estimates of
entanglement mortality to reduce the bias.
Comment 18: The Organizations note the minimum population estimate
(Nmin) for the Gulf of Maine humpback whale stock that was used for
calculating PBR was higher than the actual survey estimate. The survey
estimate was said to be 335 animals with a CV of 0.42; however, that
estimate of population was increased to 823 based on mark-recapture and
an outdated survey estimate from 2008--an estimate that has no CV
associated. The GAMMS state clearly that ``the Nmin estimate of the
stock should be considered unknown if 8 years have transpired since the
last abundance survey'' and the last survey was 8 years ago. If NMFS
does not wish to default to ``unknown'' for an abundance estimate, then
the SAR should use an estimate derived from a recent survey, and NMFS
should devote funds to
[[Page 29045]]
obtaining a more reliable estimate if it considers the 335 to be
negatively biased. Given uncertainties in both estimates of abundance
and mortality, a recovery factor of 0.5 appears inappropriate for the
Gulf of Maine humpback whale stock. Clearly the stock may not require a
recovery factor of 0.1 since it was delisted, but The Organizations
believe it warrants using a recovery factor lower (more conservative)
than 0.5.
Response: The 2016 SAR references the time frame 2010-2014. Hence,
data collected in 2008 are not regarded as being out-dated and are
included in the calculation of Nmin. NMFS recognizes that the general
line transect surveys conducted in the U.S. Atlantic Exclusive Economic
Zone have proven problematic in informing abundance of this stock
because of poor precision. For this reason, we avoid line-transect
estimates for the Gulf of Maine humpback whale stock when possible. See
response to Comment 17 regarding recovery factor.
Comment 19: The Organizations note that if the calculations of
Robbins (2011, 2012) cited in the Gulf of Maine humpback whale SAR are
reasonable, then, as the SAR acknowledges, ``the 3 percent mortality
due to entanglement that she calculates equates to a minimum average
rate of 25, which is nearly 10 times PBR.'' Even if NMFS increases the
PBR to 13 (as suggested in the draft), an average of 25 mortalities per
year would be almost twice the new PBR. They maintain that this stock
was inappropriately changed to non-strategic given that the actual
level of anthropogenic mortality is acknowledged in the SAR to be
higher than the incidents detailed in the SAR tables and may be well
over the PBR.
Response: See response to Comment 17. We agree that a simple count
of the known mortalities is a poor measure and very likely a serious
undercount of entanglement mortality. We are collaborating on ways to
improve estimates of entanglement mortality.
Comment 20: The Organizations note that NMFS has compiled more
recent data on mortality of Gulf of Maine humpback whales than 2014, as
these data are based on individual animals sighted dead or entangled
(rather than having to extrapolate from observed take rates as is done
for fishery interactions with small cetaceans). Nine additional
humpbacks in 2015 were documented as M/SI by NMFS that are greater than
zero and should be added to the tally in the table in this SAR.
Response: See response to Comment 16 regarding the time period of
data covered in the 2016 SAR.
Comment 21: The Organizations recommend that NMFS update the Gulf
of Maine humpback SAR with regard to habitat use in the mid-Atlantic
region. While the SAR correctly notes sightings off Delaware and
Chesapeake Bays, there is no reference to the increasing sightings and
reliable anecdotal reports of humpback whales off Northern New Jersey
and New York.
Response: We have updated the Gulf of Maine humpback final SAR to
include recent sightings in the New York area.
Comment 22: Based on NMFS' recent global status review of humpback
whales, the MLA supports the use of the default recovery factor used in
this draft assessment of 0.5, rather than the former 0.1, because the
Gulf of Maine humpback whale stock is no longer considered endangered.
The MLA suggests that NMFS broaden the assessment of humpback whales in
the draft 2016 SAR to reflect the West Indies DPS, including
population, productivity rates, and assessing human[hyphen]caused
injury and mortality. With regard to human[hyphen]caused interactions,
the MLA notes that they have long been concerned with the former status
quo approach, which attributed all of these interactions to the Gulf of
Maine stock simply because these whales could not be confirmed to
another stock. The global status review provides the best available
science on humpbacks. They assert that by using the West Indies DPS as
the assessment unit, it will no longer be necessary to make assumptions
about which smaller[hyphen]scale feeding or breeding areas were used by
the whale when analyzing human[hyphen]caused impacts.
Response: NMFS is in the process of reviewing stock structure for
all humpback whales in U.S. waters, following the change in ESA listing
for the species. Until then, we are retaining the current stock
delineation.
Comment 23: The Organizations comment that the strike-outs render
key portions of the fin whale SAR unreadable. For example, in the
section on Annual Human Caused Mortality and Serious Injury, there are
a series of strike-outs that are difficult to follow, though it appears
that the final tally of mortality is an average of 3.8 (modifying what
was 3.55 with what looks like 32.8 but with the ``2'' apparently struck
as well but in the same faint color). They suggest that NMFS simplify
its editing and provide an easily readable document. They also note
that this mortality rate exceeds the PBR of 2.5, and there is a coded
Serious Injury for 2015 in the NMFS draft appendix reviewed by the
Atlantic SRG. The most up-to-date information should be used.
Response: In order to improve readability in future draft SARs, we
will reconcile edits from multiple people into a single color. See the
response to Comment 16 regarding the time period of data covered in the
2016 SAR.
Comment 24: The Organizations note that NMFS has compiled more
recent data on mortality of minke whales than 2014. These data are
based on individual animals sighted dead or entangled. Because the
mortality and serious injury data in SARs for large cetaceans are based
solely on what might be termed ``body counts'' (rather than having to
extrapolate to the entire fishery from a subset of mortality obtained
from federal fisheries observers) there is little justification for a
multi-year delay in reporting. Six additional minke whales were
accounted as dead from fishery-related injuries in 2015 (and one
vessel-related fatality) and should be added to the tally in the table
in this SAR in order to provide the most up-to-date information.
Response: See the response to Comment 16 regarding the time period
of data covered in the 2016 SAR.
Comment 25: The Organizations comment that the current combined
estimate of abundance of 11,865 for both long-finned and short-finned
pilot whale species is from a 2011 aerial and ship-board survey that
only covered a portion of the seasonal range of the species. The SARs
state that ``[b]ecause long-finned and short-finned pilot whales are
difficult to distinguish at sea, sightings data are reported as
Globicephala sp.;'' however, estimates of abundance for each species
were derived from this using a model based on ``genetic analyses of
biopsy samples'' and this model is said to be ``in press.'' Given the
management implications of pilot whales being caught in elevated
numbers in both trawl and longline gear, it is vital that there be a
valid and reliable species-specific estimate for each/both species.
Given that prior SARs have often stated that papers are ``in press''
for several annual iterations, the Organizations hope that this
important model is soon published. They are concerned that the citation
is to a science center document that is not peer-reviewed and the
citation is tentative and incomplete. The long-finned and short-finned
pilot whale SARs contain multiple editors striking and amending in a
manner that challenges the readability of the SARs in key sections
including the reporting of estimates of longline-related mortality.
[[Page 29046]]
Response: We conducted combined aerial and vessel surveys during
summer 2011 that included mid-Atlantic waters where there is expected
overlap between short-finned and long-finned pilot whales. The
resulting abundance estimate of 11,865 was partitioned between the two
species. We combined this estimate with the results from our summer
2011 survey of the southern Atlantic to produce the best species-
specific abundance estimate of 21,515 for short-finned pilot whales
over their entire range within U.S. waters. For long-finned pilot
whales, the best estimate of 5,636 includes results from surveys
conducted in all U.S. Atlantic waters. The Science Center document
(Garrison and Rosel 2016) providing the details of the methodology for
partitioning the species for both abundance estimation and bycatch
estimation has gone through Science Center review and is available upon
request. Starting with the 2017 SARs, we will reconcile edits from
multiple people into a single color to improve readability.
Comment 26: The Organizations point out that large numbers of
harbor seals are seen alive but with notable entanglement injuries.
This should be discussed in the SAR. They note that the federally
funded and permitted stranding response organizations are required to
keep records of their responses and this source should be queried. They
were unable to find non-gray (or agency) literature documenting
incidence but the International Fund for Animal Welfare (IFAW) has
documented that between 2000-2010 ``412 harbor seals were reported
stranded, among them HI [human interaction] was 8 percent (n=35).''
Moreover, the authors noted with regard to various seal species to
which IFAW responded: ``In the instances of fisheries-related HI, 67
percent had gear presently on the animal at the time of stranding. 72
percent of the entanglements were of monofilament of varying mesh size.
15 percent were multifilament netting, 9 percent were pot/trap gear,
and 4 percent were random (mooring lines, dock gear). Most entangled
animals were juveniles and sub-adults, which might indicate that the
entanglements are lethal to animals, preventing them from reaching
adult size.''
Gray seals are also being entangled and data are kept on stranding
response, including either documenting or freeing animals entangled in
fishing gear. IFAW documented that, between 2000-2010, ``305 gray seals
were reported stranded, among them 22 percent (n=68) were HI, and 75
percent of those (n=51) were fisheries related.'' Moreover, the authors
noted that, with regard to the various seal species to which IFAW
responded: ``In the instances of fisheries-related HI, 67 percent had
gear presently on the animal at the time of stranding. 72 percent of
the entanglements were of monofilament of varying mesh size. 15 percent
were multifilament netting, 9 percent were pot/trap gear, and 4 percent
were random (mooring lines, dock gear). Most entangled animals were
juveniles and sub-adults, which might indicate that the entanglements
are lethal to animals, preventing them from reaching adult size.'' It
would seem worth adding a section to the SAR to discuss entanglements
noted in living or dead-stranded animals.
Response: We have added the following text to the harbor seal SAR
that was included in the gray seal SAR: ``Analysis of bycatch rates
from fisheries observer program records likely underestimates lethal
(Lyle and Willcox 2008), and greatly under-represents sub-lethal
fishery interactions.''
Comment 27: The Organizations comment that the gray seal SAR is
almost impossible to read in parts and/or has text that was newly added
in this draft and then struck. For example, Table 2 has counts through
2014 that are continued from the prior final SAR--though the years
2008-2014 continued to say that the ``surveys took place but have not
been counted'' and additional text for the years 2014-2015 was added
for Muskeget Island. However, all of these estimates (2008-2015), even
those newly added to the draft, are in red and were struck. It makes no
sense to add a new year of uncounted data that is then itself struck.
It would seem more germane simply to state that data from 2008-2015 are
not yet available rather than adding new text and then striking without
a providing a rationale.
Response: The 2015 data were added mistakenly by a new author who
did not understand that the time period covered by the 2016 SAR was
2010-2014, and so were removed by an editor. In the future, we will
better synthesize edits to present in the track-change version.
Comment 28: The Organizations comment that in the gray seal SAR,
the section on mortality in Canada for the years 2011-2015 was struck
in its entirety (new edits and all) and moved/replaced later in the SAR
under ``Other Mortality'' with a header reading ``Canada.'' However,
the re-located ``new'' section does not provide the updated information
from the struck section and, in some cases, the information included is
actually older. For example, this newer section states that human-
caused mortality data in Canada are for 2010-2014 whereas the earlier,
struck, section had data through 2015. These 2010-2014 data account for
lower levels of mortality (136 deaths for the period 2010-2014) than
was accounted in text in the section that was struck for the more
current years (i.e., 353 deaths for 2011-2015). The later data, which
show a notable increase in mortality, should be used.
Response: We will include data from 2015 in the 2017 SAR. The time
period for the 2016 SAR is 2010-2014 (See response to Comment 16).
Comment 29: Two individual commenters expressed concern about the
propagation of gray seals in Cape Cod, Massachusetts. They note that
the 2016 stock assessments do not highlight increasing populations in
expanded territories and lack recent pup production data.
Response: We appreciate the concerns expressed and are working
toward publishing recent pup count and haul out survey data. We will
include those count data in the 2017 SARs.
Comments on Pacific Regional Reports
Comment 30: The Commission appreciates NMFS' efforts to
consolidate, update, and standardize the presentation of data and
information in its stock assessment reports. Previously, the tables
presenting data on fisheries-caused M/SI provided data for each of the
last five years of available data. However, in the draft 2016 Pacific
SARs only summary statistics for the five years are provided.
Understanding the impact and potential mitigation of fisheries
interactions on marine mammal populations, as well as trends, requires
data not only on the mean bycatch rate, but also on its year-to-year
changes (e.g., Carretta and Moore, 2014). The Commission recommends
that, at a minimum, NMFS continue to report the annual ``Percent
Observer Coverage'' and ``Observer Mortality and Serious Injury'' data
in the `Human-Caused Mortality and Serious Injury' sections of its
stock assessment reports.
Response: We recognize the importance of access to the annual
observed or documented M/SI data to assess year-to-year changes; thus,
we reinstated annual-level details in the final 2016 SARs for those
fisheries and stocks where there were takes. However, for some species
where takes in a specific fishery have perennially been zero, we think
that a consolidated summary that presents a range of observer coverage
for a multi-year time period may be sufficient (see Table 5 in Wade and
Angliss 1997). We will continue to assess the most appropriate level of
detail on observer coverage and
[[Page 29047]]
M/SI to include in fishery tables in the SARs.
Comment 31: The Commission notes that the dynamics of some stocks
display considerable heterogeneity in time and/or space. In those
situations, a complete review of the SAR requires access to the data
describing the variability over time or across the stock's
distribution. The Commission recommends that NMFS provide data, in
tables and graphs, specific to different years, areas, and sub-
populations, as appropriate, when a stock exhibits important variation
along those dimensions. When there is uncertainty, NMFS should err on
the side of providing more information.
Response: We appreciate this comment and recognize the possibility
for variability in data relative to a marine mammal stock over time
and/or space. However, we strive to strike the correct balance between
providing enough detail in the SARs and relying on citations of
published papers. Where deemed necessary, we will include such
information as the Commission recommends, but we are unable to do so in
all cases. The issue has been discussed with the three regional SRGs
over the years, and they have generally supported this approach and
continually ask the agency to keep the SARs succinct.
Comment 32: The Organizations state that Guadalupe fur seals are of
particular conservation concern because of the high rate of stranding
along the U.S. West Coast in an ongoing unusual mortality event that
started in January 2015. From 2015-2016, over 175 have stranded, but
the number stranded may indicate that there may be a larger number of
unseen mortalities. Because the SARs are a reference for making
management decisions, many of which require quantitative information,
the SARs should specify the number of strandings or provide a clear
reference point rather than saying that stranding rates ``were 8 times
the historical average.'' With respect to the geographic range of the
stock, there is recent evidence of this threatened species expanding
its breeding range into U.S. waters. The draft SAR confirms this on the
initial page with a reference to NMFS' unpublished data. NMFS has
publicly identified purported breeding colonies of Guadalupe fur seals
along the U.S. West Coast, so this information should be incorporated
into the SARs. Providing more details about the stock's range in the
United States is especially important at this time because the SARs
have not been updated since 2000.
Response: We have added the number of animals that stranded during
the unusual mortality event to the final Guadalupe fur seal SAR.
Regarding the expansion of geographic range of the stock, we have
already included information in the Guadalupe fur seal SAR reporting
observations of pups born on San Miguel Island, including both
published (Melin and DeLong 1999) and unpublished information.
Comment 33: The Organizations recommend that the Guadalupe fur seal
SAR provide additional information about the type and likely sources of
fishing gear that entangles Guadalupe fur seals. Additional details
should be provided on the reported mortalities such as the mesh size,
gear, and the location of the entanglement to help identify fisheries
that may have been involved. The vast majority of fishery entanglements
are said to be due to unidentified gear, which might be informed by
better gear marking. The failure to better identify gear can hamper
NMFS' ability to address the potential need for modification of gear or
fishing method's to reduce mortalities.
Response: We agree that the ability to identify gear is crucial.
However, records of Guadalupe fur seals that are observed entangled in
fishing gear almost always lack sufficient information to identify the
fishery origin of the gear. When details on the gear type are known, we
provide that information in the annual human-caused M/SI reports and
the respective SARs. We welcome suggestions as to how to better mark
gear for source identification.
Comment 34: The Organizations note the in the Guadalupe fur seal
draft SAR, PBR is specified but without assignment of portion of the
PBR to Mexico versus the United States. For example the SAR states that
the ``vast majority of this PBR would apply towards incidental
mortality in Mexico as most of the population occurs outside of U.S.
waters.'' It is not clear how to analyze the significance of M/SI in
the United States if the vast majority of the PBR should apply to
Mexico. For example, the fourth page says that the U.S. fishery M/SI
for this stock (3.2 animals per year) is less than 10 percent of the
calculated PBR and, therefore, can be considered to be insignificant
and approaching zero mortality and serious injury rate. But because the
SARs does not specify the portion of PBR assigned to the United States,
it is impossible to independently verify this conclusion.
Response: We agree with the commenter that it is difficult to
assess the significance of human-caused M/SI in U.S. waters because a
prorated PBR is lacking. However, we are unable to prorate Guadalupe
fur seal PBR between Mexico and U.S. waters due to a lack of data on:
(1) The fraction of the population that utilizes U.S. waters and (2)
the amount of time that animals are in U.S. waters. This transboundary
stock is unique because a vast majority of the reproductive rookeries
occur in Mexico and the stock that has undergone significant increases
in population size, despite continued anthropogenic threats in Mexican
and U.S. waters. To address the commenter's concern, we have modified
the ``Status of Stock'' language in the final SAR to read: ``The total
U.S. fishery mortality and serious injury for this stock (3.2 animals
per year) is less than 10 percent of the calculated PBR for the entire
stock, but it is not currently possible to calculate a prorated PBR for
U.S. waters with which to compare serious injury and mortality from
U.S. fisheries. Therefore, it is unknown whether total U.S. fishery
mortality is insignificant and approaching zero mortality and serious
injury rate.''
Comment 35: The Organizations recommend NMFS adopt a methodology to
estimate cryptic mortality for pinnipeds similar to Caretta et al. 2016
that stated: ``the mean recovery rate of California coastal bottlenose
dolphin carcasses [is] 25 percent (95 percent CI 20 percent-33 percent)
. . . [therefore] human-related deaths and injuries counted from beach
strandings along the outer U.S. West Coast are multiplied by a factor
of 4 to account for the non-detection of most carcasses (Carretta et
al. 2016a).'' This methodology would seem pertinent to apply in the
Guadalupe fur seal SAR as well.
Response: We have developed a methodology to estimate cryptic
mortality for coastal bottlenose dolphins and are working towards
developing such correction factors for other taxa. The carcass recovery
factor we developed for coastal bottlenose dolphins provides a best-
case scenario for delphinoid carcass recovery along the U.S. west
coast, and we have used this correction factor for other dolphin and
porpoise stock assessment reports in the Pacific region. We will
continue to work with the regional SRGs to help address the negative
biases associated with carcass recovery for all taxa.
Comment 36: One individual points out that the California sea lion,
harbor seal, and northern elephant seal reports were not revised in the
draft 2016 SARs nor updated for the 2015 SARs. The commenter asserts
that California is suffering from an inadvertent ecological disaster of
sea lion and harbor seal overpopulation; further, the data have shown
over-population for a decade or
[[Page 29048]]
more, and OSP has been exceeded in both species at least in Southern
California.
Response: Section 117 of the MMPA requires us to review stock
assessments at least annually when significant new information on a
given stock becomes available or the stock is considered ``strategic.''
We must review all other stocks at least once every three years. If our
review indicates that the status of the stock has changed or can be
more accurately determined, we must revise the SAR. The three pinniped
stocks noted by the commenter are not strategic stocks, nor has an OSP
determination been made for any of them.
Comment 37: The Organizations note that because the short-beaked
common dolphin stock's range extends out to 300 nautical miles off the
coast, consideration should be given to attributing capture of this
species to the fisheries operating in high seas in the eastern Pacific
Ocean. Specifically in 2014, one short-beaked common dolphin was
injured in the Hawaii shallow-set longline fishing east of 150 degrees
W longitude--the boundary for the Inter-American Tropical Tuna
Commission's jurisdiction. It would seem reasonable to attribute this
injury to the CA/OR/WA stock. Hawaii pelagic longline effort appears to
be shifting toward the U.S. West Coast in recent years, and it seems
reasonable to consider attributing some portion of this and perhaps
other U.S. West Coast marine mammal stocks to this fishery. For this
reason, the Organizations recommend that pelagic longlines be
identified as a potential interacting fishery in the introduction of
the SAR, which currently mentions only tuna purse seine and gillnet
fisheries.
Response: We appreciate being alerted to this oversight in the
draft short-beaked common dolphin SAR and have added two Hawaii
shallow-set longline injury records (one in 2011, one in 2014) of
short-beaked common dolphin to the final SAR.
Comment 38: The Organizations note that there has been no observer
coverage in the California squid purse seine fishery since 2008, and
request that NMFS maintain in Table 1 the record of the interaction
observed in this fishery in 2005 but omitted from the short-beaked
common dolphin draft SAR. Without that record, Table 1 implies that the
fishery no longer interacts with short-beaked common dolphin, which
seems unlikely.
Response: We have reinstated the portion of the fishery table in
the short-beaked common dolphin final SAR that includes historic purse
seine takes to better represent fishery risks to this stock.
Comment 39: The Organizations suggest that the short-finned pilot
whale SAR would benefit from additional clarity about the southern
extent of the range of the stock. This would help guide management
actions that affect short-finned pilot whales off the U.S. West Coast.
The stock definition and geographic range for short-finned pilot whales
was heavily edited, and, in the process, the edits struck the prior
reference to the stock's range being continuous, with animals found off
Baja California. This seems relevant to reinstate since, later in the
SAR, NMFS retained and added information about Mexican gillnet
fisheries and the lack of bycatch data. In addition, given the
uncertainty surrounding the stock's range, which seems likely to extend
into Mexico, the draft SARs should note the stranding deaths of 24
short-finned pilot whales in 2016 in Mexico. Given the SAR's
observation of the ``virtual disappearance of short-finned pilot whales
from California'' following the 1982-83 El Ni[ntilde]o, improving the
information about the range, stock status and population trends is
critical for proper and conservative management of this stock.
Response: The draft SAR contains language that states the range of
the CA/OR/WA short-finned pilot whale stock extends into the eastern
tropical Pacific, which includes Mexican waters. This represents an
improvement of our understanding of pilot whale distribution compared
with previous iterations of the SAR: ``Pilot whales in the California
Current and eastern tropical Pacific likely represent a single
population, based on a lack of differentiation in mtDNA (Van Cise et
al. 2016), while animals in Hawaiian waters are characterized by unique
haplotypes that are absent from eastern and southern Pacific samples,
despite relatively large sample sizes from Hawaiian waters.''
Information on the 27 pilot whales that stranded in the Gulf of
California in 2016 is not included in the SAR because the stranding was
not linked to any anthropogenic factors; the stranding does not
significantly contribute to knowledge of the stock's range, and, given
that the CA/OR/WA short-finned pilot whale stock represents only a
small portion of a larger eastern tropical Pacific population, the
stranding is unlikely to affect the long-term abundance of the CA/OR/WA
stock.
Comment 40: The Organizations recommend that the section in the
Southern Resident killer whale SAR on ``habitat issues'' should discuss
the potential risk from oil spill and/or from commercial shipping
traffic and should also include at least a brief acknowledgement of
risk from increased noise and vessel traffic resulting from Naval
activity in the Northwest Training and Testing program.
Response: We have added language addressing oil spill risks to the
final Southern Resident killer whale SAR. Increased noise and vessel
traffic resulting from Naval activity in the Northwest Training and
Testing program is not considered to be a significant change in the
habitat of this stock and thus is not included in the SAR.
Comment 41: The Organizations note that the Southern Resident
killer whale stock is recognized to be especially reliant on Chinook
salmon (which comprise up to 80 percent of their summer diet) and may
be adversely affected by fishery management decisions. Contaminant
levels of Persistent Organic Pesticides are high, and differ between
pods but may be contributing to the precarious status of this
population. For example, DDT levels are higher in K and L pods,
indicating that those pods spend more time than J pod feeding on salmon
from California rivers; PBDEs are higher in J pod, as they spend more
time in Salish Sea waters. NMFS acknowledges the risks from these
pollutants in the draft SAR for the California stock of common
bottlenose dolphins, stating ``[a]lthough the effects of pollutants on
cetaceans are not well understood, they may affect reproduction or make
the animals more prone to other mortality factors (Britt and Howard
1983; O'Shea et al. 1999).''
Response: We have added language to the final Southern Resident
killer whale SAR detailing some of the potential risk factors related
to PCBs that are also reflected in the recovery plan for Southern
Resident killer whales.
Comment 42: The HLA encourages NMFS to make additional improvements
to the draft 2016 false killer whale SAR, by eliminating the five-year
look-back period and reporting only data generated after the False
Killer Whale Take Reduction Plan (FKWTRP) regulations became effective.
For example, the draft 2016 SAR should report M/SI values based on
2013, 2014, and 2015 data, and the data prior to 2013 should no longer
be used because it is no longer part of the best available scientific
information.
Response: If there have been significant changes in fishery
operations that are expected to affect incidental mortality rates, such
as the 2013 implementation of the FKWTRP, the GAMMS (NMFS 2016)
recommend
[[Page 29049]]
using only the years since regulations were implemented. The SAR
contains information preceeding and following the FKWTRP, 2008-2012 and
2013-2014 respectively, and reports M/SI for these two time periods as
well as the most recent 5-year average. Although the estimated M/SI of
false killer whales within the U.S. EEZ around Hawaii during 2013 and
2014 (6.2) is below the PBR (9.3), this estimate is within the range of
past, pre-take reduction plan estimates, so there is not yet sufficient
information to determine whether take rates in the fishery have
decreased as a result of the FKWTRP. Finally, fishery-wide take rates
in 2014 are among the highest recorded, suggesting FKWTRP measures may
not be effective, and the change in fishery operation may not be
significant enough to warrant abandoning the five-year averaging
period. For these reasons, the strategic status for this stock has been
evaluated relative to the most recent five years of estimated mortality
and serious injury.
Comment 43: The HLA asserts that the draft 2016 false killer whale
SARs inappropriately relies on a ``preliminary'' PowerPoint
presentation to report speculative conclusions. NMFS has adopted a
policy that non-peer-reviewed information should not be included in the
SARs. All references to information from the 2015 PowerPoint
presentation (Forney 2015) are inappropriate and should be stricken
from the SAR.
Response: The presentation provided to the False Killer Whale Take
Reduction Team is the most current assessment of the effectiveness of
the FKWTRP. However, we acknowledge that it has not undergone formal
peer-review, and as such, references to the presentation will be
removed from the SAR. Even so, we believe it is still appropriate to
pool five years to data to determine the stock's status, as described
in the Status of Stock section of the Hawaii pelagic stock's report.
Comment 44: The HLA notes that for a decade, NMFS has reported a M/
SI rate for the deep-set fishery that exceeds PBR for the Hawaii
pelagic false killer whale stock (``pelagic stock''). However, the best
available information suggests that the number of false killer whales
in the Hawaii EEZ has not declined during the same time that the
supposedly unsustainable M/SI rate was occurring. The HLA disagrees
with the M/SI levels reported in the draft SAR and with NMFS'
conclusion that the vast majority of all fishery interactions with the
pelagic stock cause injuries that ``will likely result in mortality.''
If that were the case, then after a decade or more of allegedly
unsustainable levels of take, there would be some evidence of a
declining pelagic stock abundance. No such evidence exists. The HLA
recommends that the draft SAR expressly recognize this discrepancy, and
NMFS should revisit the manner in which it determines M/SI for false
killer whale interactions.
Response: This comment has been addressed previously (see 78 FR
19446, April 1, 2013, comments 45 and 51; 79 FR 49053, August 18, 2014,
comment 26; 80 FR 50599, August 20, 2015, comment 34; and 81 FR June
14, 2016, comment 44). The comment contends that the stock abundance
has not declined in over a decade and attributes this persistence of
false killer whales despite high levels of fishery mortality to NMFS'
improper assessment of the severity of injuries resulting from
fisheries interactions, improper assessment of population abundance and
trend, or both. Assessment of injury severity under NMFS' 2012 serious
injury policy has been discussed in numerous previous comment responses
and is based on the best available science on whether a cetacean is
likely to survive a particular type of injury. Further study of false
killer whales would certainly better inform the assigned outcomes; but,
until better data become available, the standard established in the
NMFS 2012 policy on distinguishing serious from non-serious injuries
will stand.
Further, assessments of pelagic false killer whale population trend
are inappropriate for several reasons: (1) The entire stock range is
unknown, but certainly extends beyond the Hawaii EEZ, such that the
available abundance estimates do not reflect true population size; (2)
there have been only 2 surveys of the entire Hawaii EEZ, an
insufficient number to appropriately assess trend; and (3) the
available survey data were collected with different protocols for
assessing false killer whale group size, a factor that will
significantly impact the resulting abundance estimates. A robust
assessment of population trend will require additional data and
inclusion of environmental variables that influence false killer whale
distribution and the proportion of the population represented within
the survey area during each survey period.
Comment 45: The HLA incorporates by reference its more specific
comments on the draft 2014 SAR related to the 2010 Hawaiian Islands
Cetacean Ecosystem and Assessment Survey (HICEAS) and the assumptions
made by NMFS based upon the data from that survey. In addition, it
emphasizes its repeated requests that NMFS publicly disclose
information regarding the acoustic data acquired in the 2010 HICEAS
survey. Substantial acoustic data was acquired during that survey, but
NMFS still has not provided any meaningful analysis of that data or,
for example, any basic indication of how many false killer whale
vocalizations have been identified in the acoustic data. The acoustic
data from the 2010 HICEAS survey contains information directly relevant
to false killer whale abundance, and it must be analyzed by NMFS and
reported in the false killer whale SAR, which must be based on the best
available scientific information.
Response: This comment has been addressed previously (see 80 FR
50599, August 20, 2015, comment 35; and 81 FR June 14, 2016, comment
45). Analysis of the acoustic data is a labor intensive and time-
consuming process, particularly as automated methods for detection,
classification, and localization are still improving. There were many
changes in array hardware during the survey, further complicating
streamlined analyses of these data. Portions of the data have been
analyzed to verify species identification, assess sub-group spatial
arrangements, or other factors. A full-scale analysis of this dataset
for abundance is therefore not appropriate at this time. However, NMFS
may consider analyzing the 2010 acoustic dataset in full or part
following the planned 2017 HICEAS survey, when the most recent
automated detection and classification approaches may be available.
Comment 46: The HLA notes that the draft SAR assigns a recovery
factor of 0.5 to the pelagic stock of false killer whales, which is the
value typically assigned to depleted or threatened stocks, or stocks of
unknown status, with a mortality estimate CV of 0.3 or less. However,
the pelagic stock is not depleted or threatened, nor is its status
unknown. Since NMFS began estimating Hawaii false killer whale
abundance in 2000, as more data have been obtained, more whales have
been observed, and the population estimates have increased from 121 in
2000 (a recognized underestimate for all false killer whales in the
EEZ) to 268 in 2005, 484 in 2007, 1,503 in 2013, and 1,540 at present.
Similarly, the incidence of fishery interactions with the pelagic stock
has not decreased, nor has the rate of false killer whale depredation
of fishing lines decreased (if anything, it has increased). All of the
available data contradict any hypothesis that false killer whales in
the Hawaii EEZ are decreasing. The HLA recommends that this status be
accurately reflected with a recovery factor that is greater than 0.5
(i.e., closer to 1.0 than to 0.5).
[[Page 29050]]
Response: This comment has been addressed previously (see 80 FR
50599, August 20, 2015, comment 36; and 81 FR June 14, 2016, comment
46). Reanalysis of existing datsets to derive more precise estimates
does not constitute an increase in population size. The commenter is
incorrect in suggesting that the historical sequence of available
abundance estimates are due to natural population increases, when they
are in fact due to improvements in abundance estimation methods for
this species, some of which have resulted from reanalysis of the same
data. There are only two EEZ-wide estimates of abundance (484 from a
2002 survey and 1,540 from a 2010 survey). These estimates may not be
directly compared due to changes in group size enumeration methods
between those surveys. For this reason the current status of pelagic
false killer whales is unknown. This population may be reduced given
fishing pressures within and outside of the EEZ over several decades.
The status of Hawaii pelagic false killer whales is considered unknown
because there are no trend data available to evaluate whether the
population is increasing, stable, or declining. The recovery factor for
Hawaii pelagic false killer whales will remain 0.5, as indicated, for a
stock with a CV for the M/SI rate estimate that is less than or equal
to 0.30.
Comment 47: The HLA notes that, as with past draft SARs, the draft
2016 SAR attributes M/SI by the Hawaii-based deep-set longline fishery
to the Main Hawaiian Island (MHI) insular false killer whale stock
(``insular stock''). For at least the following two reasons, these
attributions are inappropriate and contrary to the best available
scientific information. First, there has never been a confirmed
interaction between the deep-set fishery and an animal from the insular
stock. Although there is anecdotal evidence of insular stock
interactions with nearshore shortline fisheries and other small-scale
fishing operations, none of these are documented or reliably reported,
and none implicate the Hawaii-based longline fisheries, which have been
excluded from nearshore fishing grounds for many years.
Second, as NMFS recognized in the draft 2015 SAR, the range for the
insular stock is, appropriately, much smaller than was previously
assumed by NMFS. When this new range is taken into account, along with
the FKWTRP-based year-round closure of the area to the north of the
MHI, there is only a very small area in which longline fishing may
overlap with the assumed range of the insular stock. No false killer
whale interaction by the deep-set fishery has ever occurred in this
area. It is therefore incorrect, and contrary to the best available
information, to state that the deep-set fishery, as currently
regulated, is ``interacting with'' the insular stock. If NMFS persists
with its contention that the deep-set fishery ``interacts with'' the
insular stock, then NMFS should, at a minimum, state in the SAR that
there are no confirmed deep-set fishery interactions with the insular
stock and that no deep-set fishery interactions with the insular stock
have occurred in the very limited area where longline effort might
overlap with the assumed range for the insular stock.
Response: As noted in previous years (see 80 FR 50599, August 20,
2015, comment 37; and 81 FR June 14, 2016, comment 48), the commenter
is correct that using the new MHI insular false killer whale stock
range and the longline exclusion area required under the FKWTRP (in
effect since 2013), there is little overlap between the MHI insular
stock and the longline fishery. However, the commenter is mistaken that
any take by the deep-set fishery is attributed to the MHI insular
stock. The table for the Hawaii longline fisheries indicates 0.0 M/SI
attributed to the MHI insular stock for 2013 and 2014. This 0.0
attribution is because the overlap area is very small and because
fishing effort in that region was also small. It is rare that the
stock-identity of a hooked or entangled whale can be determined, and as
such NMFS follows the GAMMS and apportions those false killer whale
takes of unknown stock to all stocks within the fishing area. NMFS has
carried out this apportionment based on the distribution of fishing
effort in areas of overlap between stocks and the fishery.
Comment 48: The HLA states that NMFS' assumption that the insular
stock has declined is speculative.
Response: This comment has been addressed previously (see 80 FR
50599, August 20, 2015, comment 39 and 81 FR June 14, 2016, comment
49). NMFS makes no assumption that MHI insular stock abundance has
declined in recent years. The minimum estimate reflects the number of
individuals enumerated during the stated period and may reflect not
only changes in actual population abundance, but also changes in
encounter rates due to survey location or animal distribution.
Comments on Alaska Regional Reports
Comment 49: Over the past several years, the Commission has
repeatedly recommended that NMFS improve its monitoring and reporting
of Alaskan subsistence hunting and harvest working in collaboration
with co-management partners. The Commission recognizes and appreciates
the related updates made by NMFS to the SARs and encourages NMFS to
continue to provide updated information wherever it becomes available,
even if it pertains only to a limited number of villages or subset of
years. Although NMFS has stated its desire to establish a
comprehensive, statewide subsistence hunting/harvest monitoring
program, it has yet to achieve that goal. The Commission acknowledges
the efforts of NMFS' Alaska Fisheries Science Center and Alaska
Regional Office to develop a list of research/monitoring priorities,
solicit additional resources, and coordinate their efforts toward
establishing the hunting/harvest monitoring program. Information on
subsistence hunting and harvest is becoming increasingly important in
the light of the pace of change in the Arctic. Therefore, the
Commission recommends that NMFS continue to pursue the funding
necessary for comprehensive surveys of Alaska native subsistence use
and harvest of marine mammals. The Commission remains open to providing
what support it can to NMFS' survey efforts and to helping address the
lack of funding for such a program.
Response: We acknowledge that we have limited monitoring and
reporting of subsistence harvests. We will continue to provide the best
available information about subsistence harvests in the SARs and will
pursue opportunities to conduct comprehensive surveys of subsistence
hunting as resources allow. We greatly appreciate the Commission's
support and look forward to discussing ways forward to help facilitate
NMFS' efforts.
Comment 50: In the spring of 2012 and 2013, U.S. and Russian
researchers conducted aerial abundance and distribution surveys for ice
seals over the entire Bering Sea and Sea of Okhotsk. The Commission was
encouraged to see preliminary analyses of a subset of these surveys
included in the 2015 SARs. Nonetheless, the lack of the complete
analysis of these surveys and revisions of the abundance estimates for
bearded and ringed seals in this year's draft SARs is disappointing.
The Commission recommends that NMFS make it a priority to complete
these analyses and ensure that revised abundance estimates for bearded,
ringed, and ribbon seals, based on all available data, are included in
the draft 2017 SARs.
Response: We are continuing to analyze data from the 2012-2013
aerial surveys of ice seals in the Bering Sea and Sea of Okhotsk; as
soon as the data
[[Page 29051]]
analysis is complete and a citable publication is available, we will
revise the applicable abundance estimates in the SARs. We will include
an updated abundance estimate for spotted seals in the U.S. sector of
the Bering Sea (from a preliminary analysis of the 2012-2013 survey
data) in the draft 2017 spotted seal SAR (the only ice seal SAR to be
revised in the 2017 SAR cycle).
Comment 51: The Commission notes that the draft 2016 SAR for the
Southeast Alaska stock of harbor porpoise includes new abundance
estimates for two sub-regions based on stratified, line-transect
surveys conducted from 2010 to 2012. The line-transect abundance
estimates were computed with the assumption that g(0), the probability
of detection on the trackline, was 1.0, although this is almost
certainly not true. As reported in the SAR, estimates of g(0) from
other harbor porpoise populations vary from 0.5-0.8. Thus, the true
abundance of the population is likely to be 20-50 percent greater than
the estimates reported in the SAR. Nonetheless, the estimates provide a
frame of reference for comparisons to harbor porpoise bycatch in the
portion of the Southeast Alaska salmon drift gillnet fishery that was
monitored in 2012-2013, for which the mean annual M/SI was at least
double the corresponding PBR level. Further, the total M/SI, which was
assumed to be a minimum as only a portion of all M/SI are typically
observed, was nearly four times greater than PBR. Although a
comprehensive trend analysis was not possible, the SAR reports that: ``
. . . an analysis of the line-transect vessel survey data collected
throughout the inland waters of Southeast Alaska between 1991 and 2010
suggested high probabilities of a population decline ranging from 2 to
4 percent per year for the whole study area . . . [but] when data from
2011 and 2012 were added to this analysis, the population decline was
no longer significant.'' Given this uncertainty and the apparent high
levels of M/SI relative to PBR, the Commission recommends that NMFS
conduct the necessary analyses to determine an appropriate g(0) to be
used in the analysis of line-transect data for this stock, and revise
the abundance estimates and PBR calculations accordingly for the draft
2017 SARs. If the reanalysis finds that M/SI still exceeds PBR, then
the Commission recommends that NMFS consider forming a take reduction
team to address mitigation of bycatch of this stock in the Alaska
salmon drift gillnet and related fisheries.
Response: We recognize the importance of determining a value for
g(0) for harbor porpoise, and on a recent survey in Southeast Alaska we
collected some preliminary data in a g(0) experiment. Although the
sample size was small, ongoing analysis of these data will allow us to
provide a preliminary value for g(0) for this species in the region.
Use of existing values for g(0) is probably inappropriate given
potential differences in populations, species, or study areas.
Comment 52: The Commission recommends that NMFS give the
determination of harbor porpoise stock structure throughout the region
a high priority, particularly for this stock given the potentially high
level of fisheries interactions.
Response: We agree with the Commission that improving our
understanding of harbor porpoise stock structure is a high priority. We
collected data for genetics studies of harbor porpoise in the inland
waters of Southeast Alaska during two vessel cruises in July and
September 2016. One of the primary research priorities of these cruises
was to collect environmental DNA (eDNA) from the fluke prints of harbor
porpoise to inform evaluation of stock structure. We are currently
analyzing the eDNA collected from the southern (Wrangell/Sumner Strait
area) and northern (Glacier Bay/Icy Strait area) regions of the inland
waters of Southeast Alaska.
During the cruises, we also obtained photographs of harbor porpoise
and collected acoustic samples from Dall's porpoise (to compare to our
existing harbor porpoise acoustic samples) for a project to determine
if Dall's porpoise and harbor porpoise can be differentiated
acoustically. We anticipate that the results of these analyses will
help inform whether separation of Southeast Alaska harbor porpoise into
two or more stocks is appropriate.
Comment 53: The Organizations request that NMFS update Appendix 6,
``Observer coverage in Alaska commercial fisheries,'' for each of the
Alaska Region SARs. The current Appendix 6 shows observer coverage only
for the years 1990-2009, which therefore omits observer coverage
information for 4 out of the 5 most recent years included in the SARs.
This is problematic especially because NMFS acknowledges that there is
inadequate monitoring of Alaska commercial fisheries. Reporting current
levels of observer coverage is imperative to understanding and
improving monitoring and the interaction levels derived therefrom.
Response: We have updated Appendix 6 in the final 2016 Alaska SARs
to include the coverage for 1990 through 2014; the 2017 Alaska SARs
will include coverage for 1990 through 2015.
Comment 54: The Organizations comment that the limited amount of
observer coverage in state-managed fisheries in Alaska creates
uncertainty about the extent of M/SI, and this is a particular problem
for humpback whales entangled in the Southeast Alaska salmon drift
gillnets. Table 1 in the SAR for Central North Pacific humpback whales
lists the fishery as ``SE Alaska salmon drift gillnet (Districts 6, 7,
8)''--but this pertains to only a limited number of districts, leaving
M/SI in the rest of the districts both unobserved and unestimated. NMFS
acknowledges in the SAR for this stock that ``[s]ince these three
districts represent only a portion of the overall fishing effort in
this fishery, we expect this to be a minimum estimate of mortality for
the fishery.'' The Organizations recommend that NMFS expand observer
coverage, since the fishery is likely to interact with humpbacks in
other portions of the range.
Because of distribution of effort, it may not be possible to
extrapolate the observed takes from these districts across the fishery
in its entire range in southeast Alaska; however, it is clear that
total M/SI is likely to be far higher than the limited data presented.
The SAR lists mortality as 11 humpbacks. However, a draft report by the
same author (Manly) extrapolated from this and estimated the number of
mortalities for all of Southeast Alaska to be 68. Given the inadequate
monitoring of the fisheries, NMFS must explain why observed M/SI were
not extrapolated to the fishery in Southeast Alaska as was done by
Manly in his draft and as would be consistent with fisheries listed in
the annual List of Fisheries.
Response: We acknowledge the need for monitoring state-managed
fisheries for marine mammal interactions. Unfortunately, we had to
discontinue operating the Alaska Marine Mammal Observer Program for
state-managed fisheries due to a lack of resources. We continue to seek
opportunities to improve our understanding of the interactions between
state-managed fisheries and marine mammals.
The extrapolation of humpback whale M/SI from 11 in the observed
districts of the Southeast Alaska salmon drift gillnet fishery to 68
for all of Southeast Alaska was contained in a draft report but not
carried over into the final report. During our review of the report,
and consideration of what information to include in the SARs, we
decided that
[[Page 29052]]
extrapolating from the three observed districts of the fishery to the
unobserved districts of the Southeast Alaska salmon drift gillnet
fishery was unreliable given the variability in fishing effort and
humpback whale distribution. Instead, the one observed interaction was
the basis for estimating that 11 M/SI occurred in the observed
districts; and, since the observed districts represent only a portion
of the overall fishing effort in this fishery, we expect this to be a
minimum estimate of the total level of humpback whale M/SI in salmon
gillnet fisheries in Southeast Alaska. This is consistent with how we
handled the M/SI of harbor porpoise, which was extrapolated within the
three districts but not beyond the three observed districts to the rest
of the Southeast Alaska salmon drift gillnet fishery.
Comment 55: The Organizations note that NMFS states in the draft
North Pacific sperm whale SARs that PBR is unknown for this stock (and
the entire species is listed as a single endangered species under the
ESA) but also concludes in the status of the stock section for this
stock that total estimated annual level of human-caused M/SI (2.2
whales) ``seems minimal.'' Given the uncertainty surrounding the degree
of depletion and recovery of the North Pacific sperm whale population,
the SARs should be precautionary in the analysis of impacts of M/SI
resulting from commercial fishing. The practical impact of the SARs
continuing to find PBR ``unknown'' for this stock is that the North
Pacific stock of sperm whales assessed in the Alaska SARs may be
receiving less protection than other U.S. stocks of sperm whales. This
appears to be the only U.S. stock of sperm whale for which the
fisheries interacting with it are not listed as Category I or II; NMFS
does not require MMPA section 101(a)(5)(E) authorization for fisheries
interacting with the North Pacific Stock because, in this case, its PBR
is said to be unknown.
Response: As there are no available abundance estimates for the
number of sperm whales in Alaska waters, Nmin is not available for this
stock and therefore, the PBR is unknown. Assessing sperm whale
populations presents considerable challenges, including the range and
offshore distribution of the species, uncertainties regarding stock
boundaries, the segregation by sex and maturational class that
characterizes sperm whale distribution, and behavioral factors (e.g.,
long dive times) that make surveys difficult. Nonetheless, we plan to
convene a working group to discuss the practicality of estimating sperm
whale abundance and other issues surrounding assessment of this
species. We have revised the text in the final 2016 sperm whale SAR to
clarify that the estimate of annual fisheries-caused mortality and
serious injury is a minimum estimate. We will also omit the
characterization that an M/SI rate of 2.2 whales ``seems minimal.''
Even in the absence of a PBR, we continue to assess fishery
interactions with sperm whales in Alaska, including efforts by the
fishing industry to reduce interactions (e.g., the recent change to
allow pot gear in the sablefish fishery to reduce depredation by sperm
whales). Although we cannot conduct a quantitative tier analysis for
stocks without PBRs, we can evaluate whether to classify fisheries by
analogy to other similar fisheries based on various factors (50 CFR
229.2).
Comment 56: The Organizations suggest adding information to the
Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR from a new study of spatial and temporal
patterns in the calling behavior of beluga whales in Cook Inlet.
Response: We will review this information and consider including it
in a future Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR.
Comment 57: The Organizations point out that the last sentence on
draft page 62 of the Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR should more correctly
read: ``The next abundance estimate survey was conducted in June 2016
and is currently undergoing analyses.'' On this same page, using the
formula provided for calculating minimum abundance, it appears that the
minimum population estimate in the stock should be 287 not 280.
Response: We have incorporated these corrections into the final
2016 Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR.
Comment 58: The Organizations suggest that the Status of the Stock
section of the Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR be updated to reflect that
the recovery plan for the Cook Inlet beluga whales was finalized and
published on January 4, 2017. Additionally, the Organizations suggest
that the Habitat Concerns section be updated to reflect information
that was in the draft and final recovery plan for this stock. These
include a number of references.
Response: We will add a statement about the final Recovery Plan to
the Status of Stock section of the final 2016 Cook Inlet beluga whale
SAR, and we will update the information on the Recovery Plan in the
Habitat Concerns section of the draft 2017 Cook Inlet beluga whale SAR.
Comment 59: The HLA notes that the draft 2016 SAR for the Central
North Pacific humpback whale stock (``CNP Stock'') states that ``until
such time as the MMPA stock delineations are reviewed in light of the
DPS designations, NMFS considers this stock endangered and depleted for
MMPA management purposes (e.g., selection of a recovery factor, stock
status).'' Although the HLA appreciates that the MMPA humpback stock
delineations do not align with the new humpback DPS designations, it is
nevertheless inaccurate for the SAR to suggest that the entire CNP
Stock is ``endangered'' and ``depleted.'' In fact, many whales within
the CNP Stock's presently delineated range likely come from DPSs that
are not ``endangered'' or ``threatened.'' At a minimum, they request
that the SAR for the CNP Stock include a statement that the two
observed CNP Stock interactions with the Hawaii-based longline
fisheries occurred with animals from the Hawaii DPS, which is not
listed as ``threatened'' or ``endangered.''
Response: We have added the following statement to the end of the
``Status of Stock'' section in the final 2016 Central North Pacific
humpback whale SAR: ``Humpback whale mortality and serious injury in
Hawaii-based fisheries involves whales from the Hawaii DPS; this DPS is
not listed as threatened or endangered under the ESA.''
Dated: June 21, 2017.
Donna S. Wieting,
Director, Office of Protected Resources, National Marine Fisheries
Service.
[FR Doc. 2017-13369 Filed 6-26-17; 8:45 am]
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