Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Reclassification of the West Indian Manatee From Endangered to Threatened, 16668-16704 [2017-06657]
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Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 64 / Wednesday, April 5, 2017 / Rules and Regulations
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SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
RIN 1018–AY84
Executive Summary
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Reclassification of the
West Indian Manatee From
Endangered to Threatened
Why We Need To Publish a Rule
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
We, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), reclassify the
West Indian manatee (Trichechus
manatus) from endangered to
threatened under the authority of the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act). The endangered
designation no longer correctly reflects
the current status of the West Indian
manatee. This action is based on the
best available scientific and commercial
information, which indicates that the
West Indian manatee no longer meets
the definition of endangered under the
Act. When this rule becomes effective,
the West Indian manatee, including its
two subspecies, will remain protected as
a threatened species under the Act and
the existing critical habitat designation
in Florida will remain in effect.
DATES: This rule is effective May 5,
2017.
ADDRESSES: This final rule, as well as
comments and materials received in
response to the proposed rule, are
available on the Internet at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178. Comments
and materials we received, as well as
supporting documentation used in
preparation of this rule, are available for
public inspection at https://
www.regulations.gov and by
appointment, during normal business
hours at: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
North Florida Ecological Services
Office, or Caribbean Ecological Services
Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jay
Herrington, Field Supervisor, North
Florida Ecological Services Office, by
telephone at 904–731–3191, or by
facsimile at 904–731–3045; or at the
following address: 7915 Baymeadows
Way, Suite 200, Jacksonville, FL 32256;
˜
Edwin Muniz, Field Supervisor,
Caribbean Ecological Services Field
Office, by telephone at 787–851–7297,
or by facsimile at 787–851–7441; or at
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SUMMARY:
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• In April 2007, we completed a 5year status review, which included a
recommendation to reclassify the West
Indian manatee from endangered to
threatened.
• In December 2012, we received a
petition submitted by the Pacific Legal
Foundation, on behalf of Save Crystal
River, Inc., requesting that the West
Indian manatee and subspecies thereof
be reclassified from its current status as
endangered to threatened, based
primarily on the analysis and
recommendation contained in our April
2007 5-year review.
• On July 2, 2014, we published a 90day finding that the petition presented
substantial information indicating that
reclassifying the West Indian manatee
may be warranted (79 FR 37706). On
January 8, 2016, we published a
proposed rule to reclassify the West
Indian manatee as threatened, which
also constituted our 12-month petition
finding that the action requested is
warranted (81 FR 1000).
The Basis for Our Action
• Based on our status review, threats
analysis, and evaluation of conservation
measures, we conclude that the West
Indian manatee no longer meets the
Act’s definition of endangered and
should be reclassified to threatened, that
is, a species that is likely to become
endangered within the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range.
• Our review of the best scientific and
commercial information available
indicates that some threats to the
manatee still remain while others have
been reduced or no longer occur.
Examples of remaining threats that will
make this species likely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future
include habitat loss, degradation, and
fragmentation; watercraft collisions; loss
of winter warm-water habitat; and
poaching.
• Recovery efforts to control these
threats in range countries are under way
in many areas but have not yet begun in
others. Further implementation of
recovery actions is needed to bring the
West Indian manatee to full recovery by
reducing or removing threats to the
point where this species is no longer
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likely to become endangered in the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
Previous Federal Actions
The Florida manatee (Trichechus
manatus latirostris), a subspecies of the
West Indian manatee (Trichechus
manatus), was listed as endangered in
1967 (32 FR 4001) under the
Endangered Species Preservation Act of
1966 (Pub. L. 89–669; 80 Stat. 926).
After adoption of the Endangered
Species Conservation Act of 1969 (Pub.
L. 91–135; 83 Stat. 275), the listing was
amended in 1970 to expand the Florida
manatee listing to include the West
Indian manatee throughout its range,
including in the Caribbean Sea and
northern South America. This
amendment added the Antillean
manatee (Trichechus manatus manatus)
to the listing (35 FR 18319, December 2,
1970). Species listed under the
Endangered Species Conservation Act,
including the West Indian manatee,
were subsequently grandfathered into
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife under the Endangered Species
Act of 1973 (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.), and
the West Indian manatee remains listed
as an endangered species under the Act.
We originally issued a recovery plan for
the West Indian manatee in 1980, which
included both Florida and Antillean
manatees. We completed a recovery
plan for the Florida subspecies in 1989,
revised it in 1996, and completed
another in 2001 (USFWS 2001). In 1986,
we completed a recovery plan for the
Puerto Rico population of the Antillean
manatee (USFWS 1986).
On January 8, 2016, we published in
the Federal Register a combined 12month finding on the petition to
downlist the West Indian manatee and
a proposed rule to reclassify the West
Indian manatee as threatened (81 FR
1000). Please refer to the proposed rule
for a detailed description of prior
Federal actions concerning this species.
On January 13, 2016 (81 FR 1597), we
made a minor correction to this
proposed regulation; the date closing
the comment period was corrected to
read April 7, 2016. The Service also
contacted appropriate range countries,
Federal and State agencies, scientific
experts and organizations, tribes, and
other interested parties and invited
them to comment on the proposal.
Between January 28, 2016, and February
9, 2016, we published legal notices in
major newspapers in the West Indian
manatee range including Texas,
Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,
Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina,
Virginia, and Puerto Rico and legal
notices in 10 major newspapers in
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Florida. We also held a public hearing
on February 20, 2016, at the Buena Vista
Palace Conference Center in Orlando,
Florida.
Background
Please refer to the combined 12month finding and proposed rule to
reclassify the West Indian manatee (81
FR 1000, January 8, 2016) for more
information on the species’ distribution,
taxonomy, description, lifespan, mating,
and reproduction. We made no changes
to these sections and do not include
them in our final rule.
Taxonomy and Species Description
The West Indian manatee, Trichechus
manatus, is one of three living species
of the genus Trichechus (Rice 1998, p.
129). The West Indian manatee includes
two recognized subspecies, the
Antillean manatee, Trichechus manatus
manatus, and the Florida manatee,
Trichechus manatus latirostris (Rice
1998, p. 129). Each subspecies has
distinctive morphological features and
occurs in discrete areas with rare
overlap between ranges (Hatt 1934, p.
538; Domning and Hayek 1986, p. 136;
´
and Alvarez-Aleman et al. 2010, p. 148).
Recent genetic studies substantiate the
uniqueness of the Florida subspecies, as
its genetic characteristics have been
compared with other populations from
the Antillean subspecies found in
Puerto Rico and Belize (Hunter et al.
2010, p. 599; Hunter et al. 2012, p.
1631).
Population Size
Within the southeastern United
States, Martin et al. (2015 entire)
provide an abundance estimate for the
Florida subspecies of 6,350 manatees
(with a 95 percent CI (confidence
interval) between 5,310 and 7,390).
Outside the southeastern United States,
available non-statistical population
estimates are based on data of highly
variable quality and should be
considered only as crude
approximations (Table 1). These
estimates suggest that there may be as
many as 6,782 Antillean manatees in the
Greater Antilles, Mexico, Central
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America, and South America (Table 1).
This information reflects the broad
distribution of the species and suggests
a relatively medium to large range-wide
population estimate. A sum of all the
available estimates totals 13,142
manatees for the species throughout its
range; the sum of estimated minimum
population sizes is 8,396 manatees (See
Table 1; UNEP 2010, p. 11; Marsh et al.
´
2011, p. 385; Castelblanco-Martınez et
al. 2012, p. 132; Self-Sullivan and
Mignucci 2012, p. 40; Martin et al. 2015,
entire). Total estimates for manatees
outside the southeastern United States
and Puerto Rico alone range between
approximately 3,000 and 6,700
individuals, including adults, subadults,
and calves, of which fewer than 2,500
are estimated to be reproductively
mature animals (Self-Sullivan and
Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 40).
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al. (2012, p.
132) adapted the UNEP (2010, p. 11)
numbers and used an estimated initial
size of 6,700 individuals in their
population viability analysis (PVA)
model for the Antillean subspecies.
TABLE 1—RANGE COUNTRIES WHERE WEST INDIAN MANATEES ARE FOUND: TRENDS, NON-STATISTICAL POPULATION
ESTIMATES, MINIMUM POPULATION SIZE, AND NATIONAL LISTING STATUS
´
[Abbreviations: U—Unknown; D—Declining; S—Stable; I—Increasing (adapted from UNEP 2010, p. 11 and Castelblanco-Martınez et al. 2012, p.
132, Martin et al. 2015, p. 44, unless otherwise cited).]
Trend 1
Country
Non-statistical
population
estimate 2
Minimum
population size
National listing status 3
Greater Antilles (1,382)
1A.4 U.S. (Puerto Rico) .......................................
2. Cuba ................................................................
3. Haiti .................................................................
4. Dominican Republic ........................................
5. Jamaica ...........................................................
5 532
S
U/D
U
D
U/D
(mean)
500
100
200
50
342 ...................
Unknown ..........
8 .......................
30 .....................
<50 ...................
Endangered (PRDNER 2004).
´
´
Endangered (Alvarez-Aleman 2012).
No Information
Critically Endangered (MMARNRD 2011).
No Information.
Mexico, Central America (3,600)
6. Mexico .............................................................
7. Belize ...............................................................
8. Guatemala .......................................................
9. Honduras .........................................................
10. Costa Rica .....................................................
11. Panama .........................................................
12. Nicaragua ......................................................
U
U/D
U
S/D
D
U
D
1,500
1,000
150
100
200
150
500
1,000 ................
700 ...................
53 ± 44 .............
11 .....................
31 .....................
10 .....................
71 .....................
Endangered.
Endangered.
Critically Endangered (CONAP 2009).
No Information.
Endangered.
No Information.
No Information.
South America (1,800)
U/D
500
100 ...................
14. Venezuela ......................................................
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13. Colombia .......................................................
D
200
200 ...................
15.
16.
17.
18.
19.
D
S/D
D
D
S/D
100
100
100
100
700
100 ...................
100 ...................
100 ...................
25 .....................
155 ...................
Suriname .......................................................
French Guiana ...............................................
Guyana ..........................................................
Trinidad and Tobago .....................................
Brazil ..............................................................
´
Critically Endangered (Rodrıguez-Mahecha et
al. 2006).
Critically Endangered (Ojasti and Lacabana
2008).
No Information.
No Information.
No Information.
Endangered (MCT 2002).
Critically Endangered (Barbosa et al. 2008).
North America (6,360)
20. The Bahamas ................................................
21B.4 U.S. (Southeast) ........................................
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I
S/I
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10
6,350
Fmt 4701
Unknown ...........
5,310 ................
Sfmt 4700
No Information.
Endangered (FAC 68A–27.0031).
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TABLE 1—RANGE COUNTRIES WHERE WEST INDIAN MANATEES ARE FOUND: TRENDS, NON-STATISTICAL POPULATION
ESTIMATES, MINIMUM POPULATION SIZE, AND NATIONAL LISTING STATUS—Continued
´
[Abbreviations: U—Unknown; D—Declining; S—Stable; I—Increasing (adapted from UNEP 2010, p. 11 and Castelblanco-Martınez et al. 2012, p.
132, Martin et al. 2015, p. 44, unless otherwise cited).]
Trend 1
Country
Non-statistical
population
estimate 2
Minimum
population size
National listing status 3
Total Estimated Population
8,396–13,142
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1 Trends and estimates described in Table 1 for manatee populations outside the United States are, in large part, based on the personal opinions of local experts and are not based on quantified analyses of trends in country population counts or demographics. Such data from these
countries are limited or absent, making most of these assessments conjectural (UNEP 2010, p. xiv).
2 Except as noted.
3 Range country status definitions vary by country.
4 Note that Locations 1A and 21B refer to manatee populations in the United States (in Puerto Rico and the southeastern United States, respectively).
5 Based on adjusted aerial survey counts (Pollock et al. 2013, p. 8).
The Martin et al. (2015) study
referenced above is the first quantified
estimate of abundance for the Florida
manatee in the southeastern United
States. This estimate relied upon
innovative survey techniques and
multiple sources of information to
estimate a Florida manatee population
of 6,350 animals (Martin et al. 2015, p.
44). In Puerto Rico, the Service also
updated aerial survey methods to
account for detection probability, which
provides an improved population
estimate (Pollock et al. 2013, entire).
From 2010 to 2014, a total of six islandwide aerial surveys have been
completed with this new method
(Atkins 2010–2014). These have
resulted in the most robust counts
available for the population, with an
average direct minimum population
count of 149 individuals (standard
deviation (SD) 31). Calf numbers have
also been documented with an average
minimum direct calf count of 14 (SD 5)
or approximately 10 percent of the
direct minimum population count. A
record high of 23 calves was counted in
the December 2013 survey. The October
2010 survey count analysis resulted in
an adjusted mean estimated population
size of 532 individuals, with a 95
percent equal area confidence interval
(CI) of 342–802 manatees (Pollock et al.
2013, p. 8).
In Florida, to count numbers of
manatees, FWC conducts a series of
statewide aerial and ground surveys of
warm-water sites known to be visited by
manatees during cold-weather extremes.
These surveys are conducted from one
to three times each winter, depending
on weather conditions (FWC FWRI
Manatee aerial surveys, 2016, unpubl.
data). While the number of manatees
detected during these surveys has
increased over the years, in and of
themselves these surveys are not
considered to be reliable indicators of
population trends, given concerns about
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detection probabilities. However, it is
likely that a significant amount of the
increase does reflect an actual increase
in population size when this count is
considered in the context of other
positive demographic indicators,
including the recently updated growth
and survival rates (Runge et al. 2015, p.
19).
In February 2015, researchers counted
6,063 manatees during a statewide
survey, and researchers in February
2016 counted 6,250 manatees (FWC
FWRI Manatee aerial surveys 2016,
unpubl. data).
Population Trends
In 2008, the International Union for
the Conservation of Nature (IUCN)
identified the West Indian manatee as a
‘‘Vulnerable’’ species throughout its
range based on an estimate of less than
10,000 mature individuals (Deutsch et
al. 2008, https://www.iucnredlist.org/
details/22103/0). The population was
expected to decline at a rate of 10
percent over the course of three
generations (i.e., 60 years; 1 generation
= circa 20 years) due to habitat loss and
other anthropogenic factors (Deutsch et
al. 2008, online). However, each of the
subspecies (Antillean and Florida) by
themselves was considered to be
endangered and declining due to a
variety of threats identified in the IUCN
classification criteria (Deutsch et al.
2008, online). As we have noted above,
our estimate of the total West Indian
manatee population currently ranges
between 8,396 and 13,142 (Table 1).
To the extent that they can be
measured with the best available data,
the West Indian manatee population
trend and status vary regionally (Table
1). In the southeastern United States, the
manatee population has grown, based
on updated adult survival rate estimates
and estimated growth rates (Runge et al.
2015, p. 19). The Antillean manatee
population in Puerto Rico is believed to
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be stable since our 2007 status review
(USFWS 2007). Historical and anecdotal
accounts outside the southeastern
United States and Puerto Rico suggest
that manatees were once more common,
leading scientists to hypothesize that
significant declines have occurred
(Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 425; UNEP
2010, p. 11; Self-Sullivan and MignucciGiannoni 2012, p. 37). In areas where
populations may be declining, the
magnitude of decline is difficult to
assess, given the qualitative nature of
these accounts (see footnote Table 1). It
is not known if these observations
represent an actual decline or merely
reflect differences in expert opinion
over time.
´
In the Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
(2012, pp. 129–143) PVA model for the
metapopulation of the Antillean
manatee the authors divided the
metapopulation into six subpopulations
identified by geographic features, local
genetic structure, ranging behavior, and
habitat use (Greater Antilles, Gulf of
Mexico, Mesoamerica, Colombia,
Venezuela, Brazil; refer to Figure 1 and
´
Table 1 in Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
2012). Using an initial metapopulation
size of 6,700 Antillean manatees, with
low human pressure and a relatively
low frequency of stochastic events, their
baseline PVA model describes a
metapopulation with positive growth.
The authors explain that the model is
limited due to a lack of certainty with
regard to the estimated size of the
population; it does not take into account
trends in local populations, and it
assumes that all threats have an equal
effect on the different subpopulations.
´
As stated in Castelblanco-Martınez et
al. (2012, p. 138), ‘‘human impacts and
habitat fragmentation were the main
factors that drastically caused changes
in the simulated extinction process of
the population.’’ For example, some of
the combined human-related mortality
and habitat fragmentation model runs
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reached extinction within 100 years
(Fig. 5 and Table 7 in Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. 2012, pp. 139–140). The
four worst predictions presented a mean
time to extinction between 41.5 and 104
years, by assuming a human-related
mortality of 5 percent or higher and in
combination with values of transient
survival probabilities of between 10
percent, 30 percent, and 50 percent
(habitat fragmentation). Besides these
four worst predictions, the other
predictions’ mean time to extinction are
all above 200 years (from 208.9 to >500),
thus higher than what is considered the
foreseeable future (50 years; see
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species section) for the West Indian
manatee.
These four worst model predictions
are currently considered unlikely for the
Antillean manatee metapopulations. For
´
example, Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
(2012, p. 135) discuss their assumption
of using a 1 percent human-related
mortality for their base model by citing
available information on anthropogenic
causes of mortality for the Antillean
´
manatee (Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
2012, p. 135). These anthropogenic
causes include hunting, entanglement,
and collisions with boats, and in general
are considered relatively uncommon
according to the few reports available
considering the broad range of the
Antillean manatee metapopulation
´
(Castelblanco-Martınez et al. 2012, p.
135). Thus a 5 percent or higher humanrelated mortality in these four worst
predictions is currently considered
unlikely. They also note (Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. 2012, p. 141) that the
resulting baseline model growth rate is
reasonable because mortality is
currently considered to be low when
compared to the Florida subspecies,
which can withstand massive
mortalities associated with cold stress
and red tide episodes.
In addition, low survival probabilities
of transient manatees (habitat
fragmentation) of 50 percent or lower
are also considered unlikely since
migration rates were assumed low, and
given that manatees have a resilient
immune system and seem resistant to
diseases and traumatic injuries as
´
explained by Castelblanco-Martınez et
al. (2012, pp. 132–133). We recognize
that additional information is needed to
16671
better assess how human-related and
habitat threats affect actual and model
growth rates.
In the southeastern United States,
new population growth rates for
Florida’s Atlantic Coast, Upper St. Johns
River, Northwest, and Southwest
Regions describe growth in each region
through winter seasons 2011–2012,
2010–2011, 2009–2010, and 2008–2009,
respectively (Langtimm presentation,
2016). Regional adult survival rate
estimates (see Table 2) were also
updated through the same periods and
are higher and more precise for all
regions since the last estimates were
provided (Langtimm presentation, 2016;
Runge et al. 2015, p. 7; USFWS 2007, p.
65). The updates capture some but not
all of the recent die-off events (severe
cold events of 2009–2010 and 2010–
2011, and the 2012–present Indian River
Lagoon (IRL) die-off event). These rates
include data collected through 2014–
2015. However, rates for periods beyond
those identified in Table 2 cannot be
calculated because of an end of time
series bias inherent in the analyses.
TABLE 2—UPDATED FLORIDA MANATEE ADULT SURVIVAL RATES
[Langtimm, presentation, 2016.]
Region
Mean
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Northwest .....................................................................................................................................
Southwest ....................................................................................................................................
Atlantic Coast ...............................................................................................................................
Upper St. Johns River .................................................................................................................
A USGS-led status and threats
analysis for the Florida manatee was
updated in 2016 (Runge presentation,
2016). This effort considers the
demographic effects of the major threats
to Florida manatees and evaluates how
those demographic effects influence the
risk of extinction using the manatee
Core Biological Model. Although the
adult survival rate is less than one in all
regions, growth rates have been
demonstrably greater than one (positive
growth) over the recent past (1983–
2007) (Langtimm presentation, 2016).
The analysis forecasts the status of the
manatee population under different
threat scenarios using the Manatee Core
Biological Model. Data from the
Manatee Carcass Salvage Program (FWC
FWRI Manatee Carcass Salvage Program
2016, unpubl. data) were used to
estimate fractions of mortality due to
each of six known threats: Watercraft,
water control structures, marine debris,
cold, red tide, and others (Runge
presentation, 2016).
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The model expressed the contribution
of each threat as it affects manatee
persistence, by removing them, one at a
time, and comparing the results to the
‘‘status quo’’ scenario. The ‘‘status quo’’
represents the population status in the
continued presence of all of the threats,
including the threat of the potential loss
of warm water in the future due to
power plant closures and the loss of
springs and/or reduction in spring
flows.
Under the status quo scenario, the
statewide manatee population is
expected to increase slowly, nearly
doubling over 50 years, and then
stabilize as the population reaches
statewide carrying capacity. Under this
scenario, the model predicts that it is
unlikely (< 2.5 percent chance) that the
statewide population will fall below
4,000 total individuals over the next 100
years, assuming current threats remain
constant indefinitely (Runge et al. 2015,
p. 13).
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0.978
0.978
0.972
0.979
Standard error
.003
.004
.004
.004
Time period
1982–2009
1997–2012
1987–2010
1987–2010
Recovery
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to
develop and implement recovery plans
for the conservation and survival of
listed species, unless we find that such
a plan will not promote conservation of
the species. Although the West Indian
manatee is listed throughout its range,
Service recovery planning efforts for the
West Indian manatee focused mostly on
those portions of the species’ range
within U.S. jurisdiction. We published
an initial recovery plan for the West
Indian manatee in 1980 (USFWS 1980)
and subsequently published recovery
plans at the subspecies level for
manatees found within the United
States. At present, approved plans
include the Recovery Plan for the Puerto
Rican Population of the Antillean
Manatee (USFWS 1986); the Florida
Manatee Recovery Plan, Third Revision
(USFWS 2001); and the South Florida
Multi-Species Recovery Plan (USFWS
1999).
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Section 4(f) of the Act directs that, to
the maximum extent practicable, we
incorporate into each recovery plan: (1)
Site-specific management actions that
may be necessary to achieve the plan’s
goals for conservation and survival of
the species; (2) objective, measurable
criteria, which when met would result
in a determination, in accordance with
the provisions of section 4 of the Act,
that the species be removed from the
list; and (3) estimates of the time
required and cost to carry out the plan.
Revisions to the Lists of Endangered
and Threatened Wildlife and Plants
(List) (adding, removing, or reclassifying
a species) must reflect determinations
made in accordance with section 4(a)(1)
and 4(b). Section 4(a)(1) requires that
the Secretary determine whether a
species is threatened or endangered (or
not) because of one or more of five
threat factors. Therefore, recovery
criteria must indicate when a species is
no longer threatened or endangered
because of any of these five factors. In
other words, objective, measurable
criteria contained in recovery plans
(recovery criteria) must indicate when
an analysis of the five factors under
section 4(a)(1) would result in a
determination that a species is no longer
an endangered or threatened species.
Section 4(b) requires that the
determination made under section
4(a)(1) be based on the best available
science.
Thus, while recovery plans are
intended to provide guidance to the
Service, States, and other partners on
methods of minimizing threats to listed
species and on criteria that may be used
to determine when recovery is achieved,
they are not regulatory documents and
cannot substitute for the determinations
and promulgation of regulations
required under section 4(a)(1).
Determinations to remove from or
reclassify a species on the List made
under section 4(a)(1) must be based on
the best scientific and commercial data
available at the time of the
determination, regardless of whether
that information differs from the
recovery plan.
In the course of implementing
conservation actions for a species, new
information is often gained that requires
recovery efforts to be modified
accordingly. There are many paths to
accomplishing recovery of a species,
and recovery may be achieved without
all criteria being fully met. For example,
one or more criteria may have been
exceeded while other criteria may not
have been accomplished, yet the Service
may judge that, overall, the threats have
been minimized sufficiently, and the
species is robust enough, to reclassify
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the species from endangered to
threatened or perhaps even delist the
species. In other cases, recovery
opportunities may have been recognized
that were not known at the time the
recovery plan was finalized. These
opportunities may be used instead of
methods identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, information on the species
may be available that was not known at
the time the recovery plan was
finalized. The new information may
change the extent that criteria need to be
met for recognizing recovery of the
species. Overall, recovery of species is
a dynamic process requiring adaptive
management, planning, implementing,
and evaluating the degree of recovery of
a species that may, or may not, fully
follow the guidance provided in a
recovery plan.
The following discussion provides a
review of recovery planning and
implementation for the West Indian
manatee, as well as an analysis of the
recovery criteria and goals as they relate
to evaluating the status of the species.
Recovery Actions
Recovery and conservation actions for
the West Indian manatee are described
in the ‘‘UNEP Caribbean
Environment[al] Program’s Regional
Management Plan for the West Indian
Manatee’’ (UNEP 2010, entire) and in
national conservation plans for
countries outside the United States.
Within the United States, the Service’s
Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rico
Population of the West Indian
(Antillean) Manatee (USFWS 1986,
entire), the South Florida Multi-Species
Recovery Plan (USFWS 1999, entire),
and the Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
(USFWS 2001, entire) identify recovery
and conservation actions for the species.
Actions common to all plans include
minimizing manatee mortality and
injury, protecting manatee habitats, and
monitoring manatee populations and
habitat.
UNEP Caribbean Environment[al]
Program’s Regional Management Plan
for the West Indian Manatee, National
Conservation Plans (Outside the United
States)
The UNEP plan, published in 2010,
identifies short- and long-term
conservation and research measures that
should be implemented to conserve the
West Indian manatee. This plan also
includes an overview of West Indian
manatees within their range countries,
including descriptions of regional and
national conservation measures and
research programs that have been
implemented. Given the general lack of
information about manatees in most
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range countries, the plan recommends
that needed research and the
development of common methodologies
be prioritized in concert with
coordinated manatee and manatee
habitat protection efforts (UNEP 2010,
entire).
Within the species’ range, foundations
for coordinated conservation and
research activities are developing, and a
number of governments have designated
manatee protection areas and have
developed or are developing
conservation plans (UNEP 2010, p. xiv).
National legislation exists for manatees
in all range countries, and many
countries have ratified their
participation in international
conventions and protocols that protect
manatees and their habitat (UNEP 2010,
p. xv). At www.regulations.gov, see
Supplemental Documents 1 and 3 in
Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178.
Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Guatemala, Mexico, the United States,
Puerto Rico, and Trinidad have
developed country-specific manatee
recovery plans (UNEP 2010, p. 92).
Efforts to conserve manatees outside
the United States vary significantly from
country to country. Some countries,
including but not limited to Mexico,
Belize, Brazil, and Cuba, are engaged in
efforts to assess current status and
distribution of manatees. Many
countries, including Belize and Brazil,
provide protections for manatees and
their habitat. For example, the manatee
in Belize is listed as endangered under
Belize’s Wildlife Protection Act of 1981.
Belize protects manatees from
overexploitation, and its recovery plan
implements recovery actions similar to
those identified in the Service’s Florida
and Puerto Rico recovery plans. Efforts
to protect manatees include education
and outreach efforts, and countries are
promoting cooperation and information
exchanges through venues such as the
recent Cartagena Convention meetings
(UNEP 2014, entire). A successful
cooperative initiative identified at the
meetings includes the implementation
of manatee bycatch surveys in the
Dominican Republic, Belize, Colombia,
and Mexico (Kiszka 2014, entire). We
are encouraged by the progress that is
being made in several portions of the
Antillean manatee’s range in protecting
this mammal and the growing
enthusiasm behind implementing
recovery to better protect this important
species. In the future, we would like to
reach out and coordinate with these
countries with their efforts to further
conserve manatees.
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Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rico
Population of the West Indian
(Antillean) Manatee
We approved the Recovery Plan for
the Puerto Rico population of the West
Indian (Antillean) manatee on December
24, 1986 (USFWS 1986, entire).
Although this plan is considered out of
date (USFWS 2007, p. 26), we present
the progress we have made under the
identified tasks. The 1986 plan included
three major objectives: (1) To identify,
assess, and reduce human-related
mortalities, especially those related to
gill-net entanglement; (2) to identify and
minimize alteration, degradation, and
destruction of important manatee
habitats; and (3) to develop criteria and
biological information necessary to
determine whether and when to
reclassify from endangered to
threatened the Puerto Rico population
(USFWS 1986, p. 12). The Recovery
Plan also includes a step-down outline
that identifies two primary recovery
actions for: (1) Population management
and (2) habitat protection. Since the
release of the 1986 Recovery Plan for the
Puerto Rico population of the West
Indian (Antillean) manatee, initiated
recovery actions have provided
substantial new knowledge about the
species’ ecology and threats. Some of
these efforts apply to multiple tasks and
are helping to update conservation
information and tools that are applied
towards adaptive management and
education. Here we report on the
current status of these actions.
Recovery Task (1): Population
management. Recovery actions under
this task include: Reduce human-caused
mortality; determine manatee movement
patterns and trends in abundance and
distribution; assess contaminant
concentrations in manatees; determine
quantitative recovery criteria; and
develop manatee protection plans for
areas of specific importance.
Recovery Task (2): Habitat protection.
Recovery actions under this task
include: Radio-tag manatees to
determine habitat utilization; determine
and map distribution of seagrass beds
and sources of fresh water; and monitor
important habitat components and
ensure protection.
A carcass salvage program was first
implemented in the late 1970s and
continues today. Mignucci-Giannoni et
al. (2000, p. 189) provided an analysis
of stranding data and identified sources
of human-caused mortality. This
summarization of data points indicates
a shift in the nature of threats since the
release of the 1986 Recovery Plan,
which listed poaching, direct capture,
and entanglement as the most
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significant threats to manatees.
Watercraft collision is now considered
the greatest threat to manatees in Puerto
Rican waters (Mignucci et al. 2000, p.
189; Drew et al. 2012, p. 26). Currently,
carcass salvage efforts are led by the
Puerto Rico Department of Natural and
Environmental Resources (PRDNER)
with support from the Puerto Rico
Manatee Conservation Center (PRMCC)
(the former Caribbean Stranding
Network or CSN) and the Puerto Rico
Zoo. There has not been a record of
poaching since 1995 as a result of
increased public awareness of the
protected status of the manatee. The
successful rehabilitation and release of
the captive manatee ‘‘Moises’’ in 1994,
a manatee calf stranded after the mother
had been killed by poachers, served to
incite a change of cultural values and
increase awareness about threats to
manatees (Marsh and Lefebvre 1994, p.
157).
Documented entanglement in fishing
nets rarely occurs. However, in 2014,
three adult manatees were entangled in
large fishing nets; one of them was an
adult female that died (PRDNER 2015,
unpubl. data). Significant exposure was
given to this case through the local and
social media. Current PRDNER fishing
regulations still allow the use of beach
seine nets with certain prohibitions that
need to be carefully monitored.
Fisheries-related entanglements and
debris ingestion are rarely documented
but may occur and cause take of
manatees (take includes harassment,
hunting, capturing, killing, or
attempting to harass, hunt, capture, or
kill). In August 2014 and September
2016, an adult female was confirmed to
have both flippers severely entangled in
monofilament line. Attempts to capture
the female manatee from the shore were
unsuccessful. Agencies, community
groups, and nongovernmental
organizations in Puerto Rico
consistently educate the public about
improper waste disposal that can affect
manatees.
In 2012, the Service completed a
cooperative agreement with researchers
from North Carolina State University
(NCSU) to identify potential Manatee
Protection Areas (MPAs) and address
some of the core recommendations
made by the most recent West Indian
manatee 5-year review, such as the
establishment of MPAs (USFWS 2007,
p. 37). This collaboration led to the
identification of several potential MPAs
and serves to update the body of
knowledge pertaining to key ecological
resources used by manatees (i.e.,
seagrass, shelter, freshwater) and the
current status of threats to the Antillean
manatee (Drew et al. 2012, pp. 1, 33–
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34). MPAs serve to prevent the take of
one or more manatees (USFWS 1979).
The MPA selection criteria considered
key manatee resources (i.e., seagrass,
shelter, freshwater), manatee aerial
surveys, and areas where take can be
minimized. After expert elicitation and
a thorough literature review, available
data were spatially analyzed and
described to reflect manatee use and
habitat preference.
Federal MPAs have not been
designated in Puerto Rico, and the
PRDNER does not have a specific
manatee area regulation like the State of
Florida’s Manatee Sanctuary Act of 1978
(FMSA), which allows for management
and enforcement of boat speed
restrictions and operations in areas
where manatees are concentrated
(F.A.C. 2016). Still, the PRDNER has the
authority to establish boat speed
regulatory areas marked with buoys
wherever deemed necessary. For
example, in 2014, the USFWS, PRDNER,
and Reefscaping, Inc. finalized the
installation of 100 manatee speed
regulatory buoys throughout known
important manatee use areas, and the
PRDNER has a plan to install more
buoys. In addition, the Navigation and
Aquatic Safety Law for the
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico (Law
430) was implemented in 2000
(PRDNER 2000). This law restricts boat
speeds to 5 miles per hour within 150
feet (45 meters) from the coastline
unless otherwise posted. However, the
effectiveness of this law and State
manatee speed regulatory buoys have
not been appropriately assessed, and
enforcement is limited (see Factor D).
In Puerto Rico, island-wide manatee
aerial surveys have been conducted
since the late 1970s. These aerial
surveys provide the basis for islandwide distribution patterns and help to
determine minimum population direct
counts in some areas or throughout the
island. Not all surveys were equal in
terms of the area covered and time of
year in which they were done. These
direct counts identify a number of
animals observed at the time of the
survey and suggest that there are at least
a specified number of manatees in the
population. The Service recognizes that
these counts do not accurately represent
the total number of manatees in the
population. Weather, other
environmental factors (e.g., water
clarity), observer bias, and aerial survey
space restrictions influence count
conditions and affect detection
probability and final count, thus likely
the true number of individuals is
underestimated. Furthermore, as in the
Florida manatee aerial surveys, survey
methods preclude any analysis of
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precision and variability in the counts,
and do not allow for the estimation of
the apparent detection probability. In
spite of the high variability between and
within surveys, the data can be used to
specify a minimum population direct
count within a time period (one islandwide survey).
The most consistent surveys were
conducted between 1984 and 2002
(USFWS CESFO Manatee Aerial
Surveys 2015, unpubl. data). However,
methods used provided only a direct
count and did not allow for a more
reliable estimate of population size with
detection probabilities (Pollock et al.,
2013, p. 2). Hence, estimates of
population size are likely biased low,
and inferences from trend analyses are
unreliable. The Service again partnered
with researchers from NCSU to conduct
a review of aerial survey protocols and
implement a sampling protocol that
allows the estimation of a detection
probability (Pollock et al., 2013, pp. 2–
4). In 2010, the Service partnered with
Atkins (private consultant) to
implement the new sampling protocol
in order to provide more reliable
population estimates. As explained in
the Population Size section, a total of
six island-wide aerial surveys were
flown between 2010 and 2014 using the
new methods (Atkins 2010–2014). We
now have the most robust counts for
Puerto Rico’s Antillean manatee
population. (Please refer to the
Population Size section for additional
information.)
Recovery actions are also
implemented during technical
assistance and project reviews. Any
action or project with a Federal nexus
(e.g., Federal funds, permits, or actions)
requires a consultation with the Service
under section 7 of the Act. During the
consultation process, the Service
identifies conservation measures to
avoid and minimize possible effects of
proposed actions or projects. We review
numerous projects each year pertaining
to the manatee, such as dredging, dock
and marina construction, coastal
development, marine events (i.e., highspeed boat races), and underwater and
beach unexploded ordnance, among
others. The Service has developed
Antillean manatee conservation
measures guidelines specific to Puerto
Rico. For example, we have worked
with the U.S. Coast Guard to develop
and implement standard permit
conditions for boat races, such as
observer protocols.
South Florida Multi-Species Recovery
Plan, West Indian Manatee
The South Florida Multi-Species
Recovery Plan, West Indian Manatee
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element, was adopted on August 18,
1999, by the Service (USFWS 1999,
entire). This ecosystem-based recovery
plan is intended to recover listed
species and to restore and maintain the
biodiversity of native plants and
animals in South Florida. The plan is
not intended to replace existing
recovery plans but rather to enhance
recovery efforts (USFWS 1999, p. 3).
Inasmuch as manatees are a component
of South Florida ecosystems, this plan
included species information and
recovery tasks from the then-current
Florida manatee recovery plan, which
was the Service’s 1996 Florida Manatee
Recovery Plan (USFWS 1996, entire).
Because the 1996 Florida Manatee
Recovery Plan was revised in 2001, the
South Florida Multi-Species Recovery
Plan, West Indian Manatee element
became obsolete. However, the 2001
Florida Manatee Recovery Plan includes
tasks that address manatee conservation
throughout this subspecies’ range,
including in South Florida.
Manatee recovery activities addressed
in the south Florida region include a
Comprehensive Everglades Restoration
Plan (CERP) Task Force that addresses
CERP tasks related to manatee
conservation, an Interagency Task Force
for Water Control Structures that
minimizes manatee deaths associated
with water control structures, and
efforts to protect the manatees’ south
Florida winter habitat (FWC 2007, pp.
63, 196).
The CERP Task Force developed
guidelines for manatee protection
during CERP-related construction
activities. The guidelines address
culvert and water control structure
installation, potential thermal effects of
Aquifer Storage and Recovery wells,
potential manatee entrapment in canal
networks, and in-water construction
effects. The Task Force evaluated
proposed changes to existing canal
systems and the construction of new
structures planned for CERP
implementation and recommended
measures to minimize effects on
manatees. The measures have been
implemented and are in effect (FWC
2007, p. 196).
Water control structures are mostly
found in south Florida and are a
predominant means for controlling
flooding in the region. Water control
structures primarily include flood gates
and navigation locks that allow vessel
passage through dams and
impoundments, such as those associated
with Lake Okeechobee. Manatees travel
through these structures and are
occasionally killed in gate crushings
and impingements. Manatee protection
devices have been installed on most
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structures known to have killed
manatees, and the number of deaths has
been reduced (FWC 2007, p. 63). For the
period 1998–2008, the average annual
number of structure-related deaths was
6.5 deaths. This number was reduced to
4.2 deaths per year from 2009–2014
(FWC 2007, pp. 194–195; FWC FWRI
Manatee Carcass Salvage Database 2016,
unpubl. data).
Important warm-water wintering sites
for manatees in south Florida include
power plant discharges, springs, and
passive warm-water sites (sites
characterized by warm-water inversions
and other features). State and Federal
rules have been adopted for all power
plant discharges in south Florida that
limit public access during the winter
(FWC 2007, pp. 235–238; USFWS 2007,
pp. 71–79). Coincidentally, a majority of
the significant power plants used by
wintering manatees have been
repowered and have projected lifespans
of about 40 years (Laist et al., 2013, p.
10). The loss of a passive warm-water
site due to restoration activities, the Port
of the Islands warm-water basin, is
being addressed through the
construction of an alternate warm-water
site downstream of the original site
(Dryden 2015, pers. comm.).
Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
We published the current Florida
Manatee Recovery Plan on October 30,
2001 (USFWS 2001). This recovery plan
includes four principal objectives: (1)
Minimize causes of manatee
disturbance, harassment, injury, and
mortality; (2) determine and monitor the
status of manatee populations; (3)
protect, identify, evaluate, and monitor
manatee habitats; and (4) facilitate
manatee recovery through public
awareness and education. To help
achieve these objectives, the plan
identifies 118 recovery implementation
tasks. Important tasks include those that
address the reduction of watercraft
collisions and the loss of warm-water
habitat.
Recovery Objective 1. Minimize
causes of manatee disturbance,
harassment, injury, and mortality. Tasks
identified under this objective include:
(1) Conducting reviews of permitted
activities; (2) minimizing collisions
between manatees and watercraft; (3)
enforcing manatee protection
regulations; (4) assessing and
minimizing mortality caused by large
vessels; (5) eliminating water control
structure deaths; (6) minimizing
fisheries and marine debris
entanglements; (7) rescuing and
rehabilitating distressed manatees; and
(8) implementing strategies to minimize
manatee harassment.
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Task 1. Conduct reviews of permitted
activities. The Service conducts reviews
of coastal construction permit
applications to minimize impacts to
manatees and their habitat; reviews
high-speed marine event permit
applications to minimize the effect of
concentrated, high-speed watercraft
events on manatees; and reviews
National Pollution Elimination
Discharge Elimination System (NPDES)
permits to ensure that existing,
significant discharges do not adversely
affect manatees and ensure that no new
attractant discharges are created.
The State of Florida requires counties
to develop manatee protection plans
(MPPs). These are county-wide plans for
the development of boat facilities
(docks, piers, dry-storage areas, marinas,
and boat ramps) that specify preferred
locations for boat facility development
based on an evaluation of natural
resources, manatee protection needs,
and recreation and economic demands.
MPPs are reviewed by FWC and the
Service and, when deemed adequate,
are used to evaluate boat access projects.
When proposed projects are consistent
with MPPs, permitting agencies
authorize the construction of facilities
in waters used by manatees. Currently,
all of the original 13 counties required
to have MPPs have plans, as well as
Clay, Levy, and Flagler counties.
Charlotte County is also preparing an
MPP.
The Service developed programmatic
consultation procedures and permit
conditions for new and expanding
watercraft facilities (e.g., docks, boat
ramps, and marinas) as well as for
dredging and other in-water activities
through an effect determination key
with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
and State of Florida (the ‘‘Manatee
Key’’) (recently revised in 2013). The
Manatee Key ensures that watercraft
facility locations are consistent with
MPP boat facility siting criteria and are
built consistent with MPP construction
conditions. The Service concluded that
these procedures constitute appropriate
and responsible steps to avoid and
minimize adverse effects to the species
and contribute to recovery of the
species.
The Service has worked with the U.S.
Coast Guard and State agencies to
develop and implement standard permit
conditions for high-speed marine event
permits. These conditions require that
events take place at locations and times
when few manatees can be found at
event locations and require event
observer programs. Observer programs
place observers in locations in and
around event sites; these observers
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watch for manatees and shut events
down when manatees enter event sites.
The Florida Department of
Environmental Protection (FDEP) issues
and renews NPDES permits for power
plants, desalination plants, wastewater
treatment plants, and other dischargers
that affect manatees. The FWC, the
Service, and others review these actions.
These reviews ensure that discharges
identified as beneficial to manatees
continue to operate in a way that does
not adversely affect manatees and seek
to modify or eliminate those discharges
that adversely affect manatees. In
particular, these reviews prevent the
creation of new sources of warm water
and drinking water, known manatee
attractants.
Task 2. Minimize collisions between
manatees and watercraft. See discussion
of watercraft collisions under Factor E,
below. Ongoing efforts to minimize
collisions between manatees and
watercraft include the adoption of
manatee protection areas that require
boat operators to slow down or avoid
sensitive manatee use areas. By
requiring boats to slow down, manatees
are better able to evade oncoming boats
and boat operators are better able to see
manatees and prevent collisions.
Protected areas minimize the take of
manatees by harassment in manatee
wintering areas, resting areas, feeding
areas, travel corridors, and other
important manatee use sites. Manatee
protection areas have been adopted in
26 Florida counties by the State of
Florida, local communities, and the
Service. Manatee protection areas were
first adopted in the late 1970s, and
additional areas continue to be adopted,
as needed. For example, FWC recently
adopted new protection areas in western
Pinellas County (68C–22.016).
Task 3. Enforce manatee protection
regulations. Service and State efforts to
reduce the number of watercraft
collisions with manatees rely on
enforced, well-defined, and designated
MPAs. Integral to these efforts are an
adequate number of law enforcement
officers to patrol and enforce these
areas. Federal, State, and local law
enforcement officers enforce these
measures; Federal officers can enforce
State regulations, and State officers can
enforce Federal regulations. Officers can
only enforce areas that are properly
marked by well-maintained signs and
buoys. Maintenance of these markers
requires significant, continuing funding
to ensure the presence of enforceable
protection areas.
It is difficult to ascertain the adequacy
of enforcement efforts. Data concerning
dedicated officer hours on the water and
numbers of citations written are
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confounding. For example, many
dedicated officer hours on the water
address diverse missions, and it is not
possible to identify how many of these
hours are devoted to manatee
enforcement and how many hours are
dedicated to other missions. Boater
compliance assessments provide
another measure to assess adequacy.
Boater compliance varies by waterway,
with some waterways experiencing 85
percent compliance rates and others as
little as 14 percent (Gorzelany 2013, p.
63). Average boater compliance
throughout Florida is 54 percent
(Shapiro 2001, p. iii). An enforcement
presence generally ensures a higher
compliance rate (Gorzelany 2013, p. 34).
Task 4. Eliminate water control
structure deaths. As discussed below,
entrapment and crushing in water
control structures was first recognized
as a threat to manatees in the 1970s
(Odell and Reynolds 1979, entire), and
measures were immediately
implemented to address manatee
mortality. While initial measures were
mostly ineffective, recent advances in
protection/detection technology have
nearly eliminated this threat to Florida
manatees. In 2014, the 5-year average for
manatee deaths at structures and locks
was 4.2 manatee deaths per year as
compared to 6.5 manatee deaths per
year during the preceding 20 years
(FWC FWRI Manatee Carcass Salvage
Database, 2016, unpubl. data).
Task 5. Minimize fisheries and
marine debris entanglements. Fishing
gear, including both gear in use and
discarded gear (i.e., crab traps and
monofilament fishing line), are a
continuing problem for manatees. To
reduce this threat, a manatee rescue
program disentangles manatees,
derelict-crab-trap removal programs and
monofilament recycling programs
remove gear from the water, and
extensive education and outreach efforts
increase awareness and promote sound
gear disposal activities. See Factor E for
additional information. Because of
continued and ongoing fishing into the
foreseeable future, it is unlikely that this
threat will be eliminated.
Task 6. Rescue and rehabilitate
distressed manatees. Distressed
manatees are rescued throughout the
southeastern United States. Rescuers
include the State of Florida, other range
States, and numerous private
organizations. Each year these rescuers
assist dozens of manatees that present
with a variety of stresses. Significant
causes of distress include watercraft
collisions, fishing gear entanglements,
calf abandonment, and exposure to cold
and red tide brevetoxins. Many animals
are treated and released in the field, and
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others with significant needs are taken
to one of three critical care facilities for
medical treatment. A majority of
manatees rescued through this program
are successfully released back into the
wild (USFWS Captive Manatee
Database, 2016, unpubl. data).
Task 7. Implement strategies to
minimize manatee harassment. See
discussion of harassment under Factor
B, below. Federal and State regulations
prohibiting harm and harassment
(including provisioning) are in effect
and enforced (see Supplemental
Document 2 in Docket No. FWS–R4–
ES–2015–0178). Extensive outreach
efforts encourage proper viewing
practices and include the efforts of the
Service, tour guides, and others and
include various outreach materials. In
areas with large aggregations of
manatees, the Service and FWC have
designated manatee sanctuaries and noentry areas where waterborne activities
known to take manatees are prohibited.
When commercial manatee viewing
activities occur on National Wildlife
Refuges, businesses are required to
obtain permits that restrict their
activities to prevent harassment from
occurring.
Recovery Objective 2. Determine and
monitor the status of manatee
populations. Tasks identified under this
objective include: (1) Conducting status
reviews; (2) determining life-history
parameters, population structure,
distribution patterns, and population
trends; (3) evaluating and monitoring
causes of mortality and injury; and (4)
defining factors that affect health, wellbeing, physiology, and ecology.
Research projects that support this
objective include aerial surveys, a
carcass salvage program, a photoidentification program, telemetry
studies and others.
Recovery Objective 3. Protect,
identify, evaluate, and monitor manatee
habitats. Tasks identified under this
objective include: (1) Protecting,
identifying, evaluating, and monitoring
existing natural and industrial warmwater refuges and investigate
alternatives; (2) establishing, acquiring,
managing, and monitoring regional
protected-area networks and manatee
habitat; (3) ensuring that minimum
flows and levels are established for
surface waters to protect resources of
importance to manatees; and (4)
assessing the need to revise critical
habitat. Important habitats for the
Florida manatee include winter sources
of warm water, forage, drinking water,
travel (or migratory) corridors, and
sheltered areas for resting and calving.
The most significant of these include
winter warm-water and winter foraging
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areas. Florida manatees are at the
northern limit of the species’ range and
require stable, long-term sources of
warm water during cold weather and
adjacent forage to persist through winter
periods. Historically, manatees relied on
the warm, temperate waters of south
Florida and on natural warm-water
springs scattered throughout their range
as buffers to the lethal effects of cold
winter temperatures. Absent warm
water, prolonged exposure to cold water
temperatures results in debilitation and/
or death due to ‘‘cold stress syndrome’’
(Bossart et al., 2004, p. 435; Rommel et
al., 2002, p. 4). Several areas in this
recovery effort summary (such as in
Objective 1 above) show efforts that we
are taking to protect these sites and
continue to implement recovery for the
West Indian manatee.
Recovery Objective 4. Facilitate
manatee recovery through public
awareness and education. Tasks
include: (1) Developing, evaluating, and
updating public education and outreach
programs and materials; (2) coordinating
the development of manatee awareness
programs and materials to support
recovery; and (3) developing consistent
manatee viewing and approach
guidelines, utilizing the rescue,
rehabilitation, and release program to
educate the public.
Manatee conservation relies on
significant education and outreach
efforts. While the Service and State of
Florida engage in these efforts, many
diverse stakeholders also participate in
these activities. Counties,
municipalities, boating organizations,
manatee advocacy groups,
environmental organizations, and others
produce and distribute outreach
materials through a variety of media. An
active manatee rescue and rehabilitation
program displays manatees that are
being rehabilitated and promotes
conservation through display and
educational programs.
Significant education and outreach
efforts include Crystal River National
Wildlife Refuge’s (NWR) manatee
kiosks, located at all water access
facilities in Kings Bay, Florida, and
adjoining waters. The kiosk panels
provide the public with information
about manatees and guidance
addressing manatee viewing activities.
The kiosks are supported by Refugelinked web media that provide
additional information about manatee
harassment and user activities (Vicente
2015, pers. comm.). SeaWorld Orlando,
through its permitted display of
rehabilitating manatees, reaches out to
unprecedented numbers of visitors. The
display addresses the park’s rescue and
rehabilitation program and informs the
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public about threats to manatees and
what the public can do to reduce the
number of manatees affected by human
activities (SeaWorld Parks and
Entertainment, 2016; see: https://
seaworld.org/en/animal-info/animalinfobooks/manatee).
Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rican
Population of the West Indian
(Antillean Manatee)
The 1986 Recovery Plan does not
establish quantitative recovery criteria
to describe a sustainable population of
manatees in Puerto Rico. It does,
however, direct the Service to determine
and satisfy the recovery criteria that are
based on mortality and abundance
trends and a minimum population size
and ensure that adequate habitat
protection and anti-poaching measures
are implemented (USFWS 1986,
Executive Summary). The Recovery
Plan also specifies that delisting should
occur when the population is large
enough to maintain sufficient genetic
variation to enable it to evolve and
respond to natural changes and
stochastic or catastrophic events. As
previously explained, the Service has
made substantial progress implementing
a number of recovery actions, and some
other actions are in progress.
In the absence of historical data
(previous to the late 1970s) that
identifies a clear goal for population
size, and population parameters such as
adult survival rates, which have the
highest potential effect on growth rate
(Marsh et al. 2011, p. 255), it is not
possible to stipulate with precision the
population size and vital rates that
should characterize a recovered, selfsustaining population of manatees in
Puerto Rico. Hunter et al. (2012, p.
1631) describes low genetic diversity for
the Puerto Rico population of Antillean
manatees, and cites other authors that
suggest at least 50 genetically effective
breeders (∼500 individuals) are needed
to prevent inbreeding depression for
short-term population survival, while
other researchers suggest population
levels in the upper hundreds to
thousands in order to maintain
evolutionary potential. The average
estimate of 532 for the manatee
population in Puerto Rico, ranging from
a minimum of 342 to a maximum of 802
individuals (Pollock et al. 2013, p. 8), is
just within the numbers of a viable
population mentioned by Hunter et al.
(2012, p. 1631). The Service considers
the Puerto Rico Antillean manatee
population as stable, as it did in the
previous status assessment (USFWS
2007, p. 33). Past and current aerial
surveys also serve to demonstrate that
the island-wide size and distribution of
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the Puerto Rico manatee population
does not seem to have changed. In the
45 years that have passed since the
species was listed, it can be said that,
according to the population numbers
and maintenance of the population’s
island-wide distribution, the Puerto
Rico manatee population has shown
resilient attributes for long-term
persistence in spite of past and present
natural and anthropogenic threats.
Major tasks for recovery include
reduction of human-caused mortality,
habitat protection, identification and
control of any contaminant problems,
and research into manatee behavior and
requirements to direct future
management (USFWS 1986, Executive
Summary). The Service has already
identified important manatee habitat
and will continue to use and pursue
new strategies towards manatee habitat
protection together with the PRDNER.
Planned research in the near future will
focus on manatee health assessments to
gain baseline information into potential
contaminant problems and disease.
Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
The Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
(USFWS 2001, entire) identifies criteria
for downlisting the Florida subspecies
from endangered to threatened and
criteria for removing the subspecies
from the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife. Both downlisting
and delisting criteria include Listing/
Recovery Factor criteria and
demographic criteria. Criteria can be
found in Supplemental Document 1 in
Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178.
A 2004 review of the demographic
criteria noted that these criteria are
largely redundant and that (1) no
manatee population can grow at a fixed
rate indefinitely as limiting resources
will eventually prevent the population
from continuing to grow at that rate and
the population will ultimately reach
stability; (2) the reproductive criterion is
difficult to estimate and the modeling
results are difficult to interpret; and (3)
demographic recovery criteria should be
linked to statistically rigorous field data,
as well as to the specific population
models that are intended for their
evaluation. See previous review of
demographic data in Florida Manatee
Recovery Plan Objective 3. Absent
demographic criteria for the Florida
manatee, we rely on more recent
demographic analyses and a threats
analysis of the five listing factors to
support our reclassification, instead of
the existing recovery criteria.
Downlisting Criteria Listing/Recovery
Criterion A
1. Identify minimum flow levels for
important springs used by wintering
manatees.
Minimum spring discharge rates that
consider estimated flow rates necessary
to protect water supply and support
overwintering manatees have been
identified for some springs used by
manatees. Minimum flows were
established at Blue Spring, Fanning
Spring, Manatee Spring, the Weeki
Wachee River system and Weeki
Wachee Springs, Homosassa Springs,
and Chassahowitzka Spring. Florida
water management districts have
scheduled, or are in the process of
scheduling, minimum flow
requirements for the remaining springs
(see Table 3). These regulations will
ensure that adequate flows are met to
support manatees. To date, minimum
flows have been adopted for six springs,
and efforts are under way to develop
flows for two additional springs,
including the Crystal River springs
complex. The status of efforts to
establish minimum flows for eight
remaining springs are unknown.
TABLE 3—PROJECTED TIMEFRAMES FOR ESTABLISHING SPRING MINIMUM FLOWS
[From water management districts]
Adopted/year proposed
for adoption
Spring
Notes
EAST COAST, FLORIDA
Upper St. Johns River Region:
Blue Spring (Volusia County) ...........................................................
Silver Glen Springs (Marion County) ...............................................
DeLeon Springs (Volusia County) ...................................................
Salt Springs (Marion County) ...........................................................
Silver Springs (Marion County) * ......................................................
Atlantic Region:
No springs present ...........................................................................
ADOPTED.
UNKNOWN ....................................
UNKNOWN ....................................
UNKNOWN.
UNKNOWN ....................................
To be initiated in 2017.
Initiated in 2016.
To be initiated in 2017.
N/A.
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WEST COAST, FLORIDA
Northwest Region:
Crystal River System and Kings Bay Springs (Citrus County) ........
Homosassa River Springs (Citrus County) ......................................
Weeki Wachee/Mud/Jenkins Creek Springs (Hernando County) ....
Manatee/Fanning Springs (Dixie County) ........................................
Wakulla/St. Mark’s Complex (Wakulla County) ...............................
Ichetucknee Springs Group (Columbia County) ..............................
Chassahowitzka River Springs (Citrus County) ...............................
Rainbow Spring (Marion County) * ...................................................
Southwest Region:
Warm Mineral Springs (Sarasota County) .......................................
Spring Bayou/Tarpon Springs (Pasco County) ................................
Sulphur Springs (Hillsborough County) ...........................................
2017.
ADOPTED .....................................
ADOPTED.
ADOPTED.
2021.
UNKNOWN ....................................
ADOPTED .....................................
UNKNOWN.
Revision due 2019.
Initiated in 2013.
Revision due 2019.
UNKNOWN.
UNKNOWN.
ADOPTED.
* At present, largely inaccessible to manatees.
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2. Protect a network of warm-water
refuges as manatee sanctuaries, refuges,
or safe havens.
A network of warm-water sanctuaries/
no-entry areas and refuges exists
throughout much of the Florida
manatee’s range. Along the Atlantic
Coast, all four of the primary power
plant discharges have been designated
as manatee protection areas and many
lesser warm-water sites, such as the
Coral Gables Waterway, are protected as
well. In the St. Johns River region, Blue
Springs is in public ownership, and the
spring and run are protected. The four
primary west Florida power plants are
designated as sanctuaries/no-entry
areas, and significant warm-water
springs in Citrus County are designated
as sanctuaries. Efforts are ongoing to
improve conditions and management of
southwest Florida’s Warm Mineral
Springs. See Supplemental Document 2
in Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178.
3. Identify foraging sites associated
with the network of warm-water sites
for protection (see Criteria 4 below).
4. Identify for protection a network of
migratory corridors, feeding areas, and
calving and nursing areas.
Extensive research, including aerial
surveys and field studies of tagged
manatees, has identified many of the
foraging sites associated with the
Florida manatee’s warm-water network,
as well as migratory corridors, resting
areas, and calving and nursery areas. In
many of these areas, manatee protection
area measures are in place to protect
manatees from watercraft collisions.
State and Federal laws afford some
protection against habitat loss in these
areas (see Factor D discussion below).
For example, the Clean Water Act
ensures that discharges into waterways
used by manatees are not detrimental to
grass beds and other habitat features
used by manatees.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery
Criterion B
1. Address harassment at wintering
and other sites to achieve compliance
with the Marine Mammal Protection Act
(MMPA) and the Endangered Species
Act and as a conservation benefit to the
species.
To address harassment at wintering
and other sites, the Service and State
have designated manatee sanctuaries
and no-entry areas to keep people out of
sensitive wintering sites. Federal, State,
and local law enforcement officers
enforce these restrictions and address
any violations that occur outside of the
protected areas.
Kings Bay, located in Crystal River,
Florida, is a world-renowned
destination for manatee viewing
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activities. Commercial viewing activities
began in the early 1970s, and today’s
activities generate millions of dollars in
income to the region. Harassment
associated with this activity has been
addressed through the purchase of
properties of sensitive manatee habitat,
the designation of manatee sanctuaries
and protected areas, the creation and
operation of the Crystal River NWR in
1983, extensive outreach activities, and
enforcement of regulations prohibiting
manatee harassment. The Service
adopted the Kings Bay Manatee Refuge
rule in 2012 (77 FR 15617; March 16,
2012) to expand existing sanctuary
boundaries, better address manatee
harassment occurring off refuge
property, and minimize watercraftrelated deaths in Kings Bay. The rule
identifies specific prohibitions that can
be enforced through the issuance of
citations (USFWS 2012). Crystal River
NWR recently adopted measures to help
prevent any harassment in Three Sisters
Springs and is considering further
measures as the situation requires.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery
Criterion C
At the time the recovery plan was
developed, there was no data indicating
that disease and predation was a
limiting factor, thus no reclassification
(downlisting) criteria for this threat was
deemed necessary and, consequently,
no delisting criteria were established.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery
Criterion D
Specific actions are needed to ensure
the adequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms as addressed below.
1. Establish minimum flows
consistent with Listing/Recovery
Criterion A.
See discussion under Listing/
Recovery Criterion A, above.
2. Protect important manatee habitats.
Important manatee habitats have been
identified and protected through a
variety of means. Manatee habitat is
protected through land acquisition and
various Federal and State laws.
Important acquisitions include Blue
Spring in Volusia County and the Main
Spring, Three Sisters Springs, and
Homosassa Springs in Citrus County.
Land managers for these sites manage
habitat to benefit manatees. To ensure
that these habitats and habitat in public
waterways are protected, regulatory
agencies such as the Army Corps of
Engineers, the Florida Department of
Environmental Protection (FDEP), State
water management districts, and others
review permit applications for activities
that could adversely modify or destroy
habitat and require permittees to avoid
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or minimize impacts. Discharges and
runoff that could affect habitat are
addressed through the Clean Water
Act’s NPDES permitting program,
administered by FDEP with oversight
from the Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
3. Reduce or remove unauthorized
take.
To address harassment at wintering
and other sites, the Service and State
have designated manatee sanctuaries
and no-entry areas where manatees rest
and shelter from the cold free from
human disturbance. Federal, State, and
local law enforcement officers enforce
these restrictions and address any
violations that occur outside of the
protected areas.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery
Criterion E
1. Create and enforce manatee safe
havens and/or Federal manatee refuges.
To date, the Service and State have
created more than 50 manatee
protection areas, and protection area
measures are enforced by the Service,
U.S. Coast Guard, FWC, and local law
enforcement officers. The Service’s
Office of Law Enforcement has
dedicated manatee law enforcement
officers in Florida to address manatee
enforcement issues. Service National
Wildlife Refuges have refuge law
enforcement officers who enforce on
and off refuge manatee regulations as
time and resources allow.
2. Retrofit one half of all water control
structures with devices to prevent
manatee mortality.
Water control structures are flood
gates that control water movement and
navigation locks that allow vessel
passages through dams and
impoundments, such as those associated
with Lake Okeechobee. Manatees travel
through these structures and are
occasionally killed when structures are
closed or opened. Manatee protection
devices installed on these structures
prevent manatee deaths. See discussion
in ‘‘South Florida Multi-Species
Recovery Plan, West Indian Manatee.’’
To date, all but one water control
structure has been retrofitted with
manatee protection devices. Efforts are
ongoing to complete installation at the
remaining site. This action has
significantly reduced the impacts of
control structure related manatee injury
and death; such injuries or deaths are
now relatively rare.
3. Draft guidelines to reduce or
remove threats of injury or mortality
from fishery entanglements and
entrapment in storm water pipes and
structures.
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Some measures have been developed
to reduce or remove threats of injury or
mortality from fishery entanglements,
and steps are being taken to minimize
entrapments in storm water pipes and
structures. Measures to address fishery
entanglements include monofilament
recycling programs and derelict crab
trap removals; these two programs
address primary sources of manatee
entanglement. Storm water pipes and
structures large enough for manatees to
enter are designed to include features
that prohibit manatee access. Existing
structures are re-fitted with bars or
grates to keep manatees out. In the event
of entanglements or entrapments, the
manatee rescue program intervenes.
There are very few serious injuries or
deaths each year due to these causes.
Guidelines to minimize gear-related
entanglements associated with netting
activities have been developed.
Similarly, guidance has been developed
to reduce entrapment in storm water
pipes and structures. See Factor E for
additional information.
Remaining tasks to address the
recovery of the Florida manatees
include:
• Continue to address pending
changes in the manatees’ warm-water
network (develop and implement
strategies).
• Support the adoption of minimum
flow regulations for remaining
important springs used by manatees.
• Protect and maintain important
manatee habitat.
• Continue to maintain, adopt, and
enforce manatee protection areas as
appropriate (continue to fund law
enforcement activities and manatee
protection area marker maintenance).
• Continue to address instances of
manatee harassment.
• Continue to review and address
warm- and freshwater discharges and
boat facility projects that affect
manatees.
• Maintain and install manatee
protection devices on existing and new
water-control structures.
• Continue manatee rescue and
rehabilitation efforts, including efforts
to minimize the effect of manatee
entanglements and entrapments.
• Continue to monitor manatee
population status and trends.
• Continue manatee education and
outreach efforts.
The Florida manatee population,
estimated at about 6,350 manatees, is
characterized by good adult survival
rate estimates and positive breeding
rates. The recently updated threats
analysis continues to identify losses due
to watercraft and projected losses of
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winter warm-water habitat as the
greatest threats to this subspecies
(Runge et al., 2015). The designation,
marking, and enforcement of manatee
protection areas in areas where
manatees are at risk of watercraft
collision, in addition to outreach efforts
focused on minimizing this threat,
addresses this concern. Numerous
efforts have been made and are ongoing
to protect and enhance natural warmwater sites used by wintering manatees.
Addressing the pending loss of warmwater habitat from power plant
discharges remains a priority activity
needed to achieve recovery.
Summary of Comments
In the proposed rule published on
January 8, 2016 (81 FR 1000), we
requested that all interested parties
submit written comments on the
proposal by April 8, 2015. On January
13, 2016, the date closing the comment
period was corrected to read April 7,
2016 (81 FR 1597). We also held a
public hearing on February 20, 2016, at
the Buena Vista Palace Conference
Center in Orlando, Florida. The Service
also contacted appropriate Federal and
State agencies, scientific experts and
organizations, tribes, and other
interested parties and invited them to
comment on the proposal.
In accordance with our peer review
policy published on July 1, 1994 (59 FR
34270), we solicited independent expert
opinion from 10 knowledgeable
individuals with scientific and
conservation expertise that included
familiarity with the two subspecies of
the West Indian manatee and their
habitat, biological needs, and threats.
We received responses from four of the
peer reviewers. We reviewed all
comments we received from the peer
reviewers for substantive issues and
new information regarding the status of
the West Indian manatee. None of the
peer reviewers who responded agreed
with the proposal to reclassify the
manatee as threatened (see Peer
Reviewer comment section below for
more details).
Section 4(b)(5)(A)(ii) of the Act states
that the Secretary must give actual
notice of a proposed regulation under
section 4(a) to the State agency in each
State in which the species is believed to
occur, and invite the comments of such
agency. Section 4(i) of the Act states,
‘‘the Secretary shall submit to the State
agency a written justification for his
failure to adopt regulations consistent
with the agency’s comments or
petition.’’ The Service submitted the
proposed regulation to the two State and
territorial agencies where most West
Indian manatees in the United States
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occur: Florida and Puerto Rico. We also
sent the proposed regulation to the
States in the remainder of the manatee’s
range, including Texas, Louisiana,
Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, South
Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia.
We received written comments from the
Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Commission (FWC). We did not receive
official comments from the Puerto Rico
Department of Natural and
Environmental Resources (PRDNER).
One of the peer reviewers is also a
biologist in the PRDNER Marine
Mammal Stranding Program. The other
States did not respond to our request.
The FWC agreed with our determination
as it relates to the Florida subspecies.
The PRDNER peer reviewer did not offer
support for this determination as it
relates to the Antillean subspecies and
provided comments.
We requested comments from tribes
found within the range of the Florida
manatee and received responses from
the Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of
Florida and the Seminole Tribe of
Florida. The Seminole Tribe had no
comments on the proposed rule. The
Miccosukee Tribe stated that it
disagreed with the proposed rule.
Specifically, the Miccosukee Tribe
stated that it was concerned about the
long-term survival of the species due to
its cultural significance and that threats
to the manatees’ habitat (including
warm-water habitat and loss of sea
grass) must be mitigated before the
species can be responsibly downlisted.
In an effort to encourage international
comments, we advised species experts
and governmental representatives in
other countries within the species’ range
about the Service’s status review and
requested that they send information
about Antillean manatees. The Service
made this contact through emails sent to
species experts identified in UNEP’s
Regional Management Plan for the West
Indian manatee (2010, Appendix III).
We also advised attendees at the
December 8–13, 2014 Cartagena
Convention that the Service was
evaluating the status of the West Indian
manatee and was requesting additional
information to assist in its review. In
addition, during the Seventh
International Sirenian Symposium in
December 2015, the Service announced
that the 12-month finding would be
published in January 2016. The
Symposium included a significant
number of international manatee
experts, researchers, and managers,
including those with expertise in West
Indian manatees. We received very few
responses from these sources regarding
manatees outside the United States.
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In all, we received 3,799 public
comments, including petitions signed
by 75,276 individuals. The petitions did
not include substantive comments, but
simply included statements to the effect
that those signing them did not support
the Service’s proposed reclassification
of the West Indian manatee. We
identified 59 substantive comments,
from all sources, to which we respond
below.
State, Federal, Tribal, International,
and Peer Reviewer Comments
(1) Comment: Both the FWC and
Miccosukee Tribe shared their concerns
that there is still work to be done to
ensure that the conservation gains we
have made to help make this
determination are maintained. In
particular, one important task is
restoring and protecting a sustainable
network of warm-water habitat for the
Florida subspecies.
Response: For the southeastern
United States, we identified the lack of
protection or security of warm-water
habitat as one of the two remaining
principal threats in the proposed rule
(reference 81 FR 1000 and 81 FR 1016)
for the West Indian manatee. We look
forward to the progress we can make
with our conservation partners to ensure
we preserve sustainable spring flows
and good water quality for key warmwater sites that manatees depend on in
Florida. We support restoration efforts
and planning that is under way to make
more springs accessible to manatees and
protect habitat for the long term.
(2) Comment: FWC expressed support
for the manatee protections that are
currently in place and shared that they
are important factors that have brought
us to this point. They stated that
maintaining these existing protection
measures and other key recovery actions
will be essential in sustaining manatees
and moving them closer to recovery.
Response: We agree. The Service is
working diligently with long-time
partners including the FWC, local and
city governments, and law enforcement
at many levels to continue to reduce the
few remaining threats to the Florida
subspecies such as watercraft collisions
or boat strikes. The substantial
reduction in watercraft collisions and
boat strikes will be critical to the
recovery of the manatee. When this final
rule becomes effective, all protective
measures such as manatee protection
areas, manatee sanctuaries, and no wake
and speed limit zones will remain in
place.
(3) Comment: The Marine Mammal
Commission (MMC) commented that,
because Florida and Antillean manatees
constitute genetically and
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morphologically distinct subspecies,
they merit independent consideration
for purposes of listing decisions under
the Act. They also noted that
improvement in the status of the Florida
subspecies and reduction in the threats
it faces should have no bearing on a
listing decision for the Antillean
subspecies.
Response: The 12-month finding and
proposed rule addressed the petition we
received requesting that the West Indian
manatee be reclassified from
endangered to threatened under the Act.
The petition received was for the listed
entity, which is the West Indian
manatee. As such we conducted an
assessment of the status of the species
as a whole. Therefore, our proposed rule
and the analysis of status and threats
addressed the entire listed entity. The
assessment found that the species as a
whole warrants listing as threatened.
The Service will continue to monitor
the status of the species, including the
status of both subspecies.
(4) Comment: The MMC maintained
that, in order to support the proposed
action to reclassify the species from
endangered to threatened, FWS needs to
show that the taxon’s status at the time
of the original listing was in error given
new information, that the taxon’s
abundance has increased to the point
where it no longer is in danger of
extinction, or that, even if the taxon’s
population size has not grown
appreciably, the threats to its existence
have been abated to the point where
they no longer present a risk of
extinction. The Service’s analyses need
to focus on why the status of the
species, as a whole, has improved to the
point, and/or that threats have been
reduced to the point, where it no longer
is in danger of extinction throughout all
or a significant portion of its range.
Response: The factors for listing,
delisting, or reclassifying species are
described at 50 CFR 424.11. Based on
the Service’s analysis of the best
available scientific and commercial
data, the West Indian manatee has a
relatively medium to large range-wide
population with continuing threats that
are being addressed to varying degrees.
Although the species is not presently
considered in danger of extinction
(endangered), the population size,
uncertainties and failure to address
identified threats (including poaching,
watercraft collisions, habitat loss and
fragmentation, the loss of the Florida
manatees’ warm-water habitat, and
others) make this species likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable
future (threatened), which we have
determined is 50 years (see Summary of
Factors Affecting the Species section).
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The best available scientific and
commercial data support our finding.
(5) Comment: The MMC reiterated its
earlier recommendations that FWS (1)
complete a review of the unprecedented
manatee cold stress and red tide-related
die-offs in recent years (i.e., 2009–2013),
(2) estimate past trends in the frequency
of such die-offs and project those
estimates into the future, and (3) assess
the effects of anticipated power plant
closures on the long-term viability of
Florida manatees and the likelihood that
natural warm-water refuges will be
sufficient to support existing levels of
manatees as refuges currently provided
by power plants are lost.
Response: The Service relies on the
Manatee Core Biological Model (CBM)
(Runge et al. 2015) and other sources of
information to evaluate the effect of the
2009–2013 die-off events, as well as to
estimate the effect of similar
occurrences in the future. The Service
received a CBM update on September
28, 2016, wherein the modelers asserted
that the Florida manatee population
could withstand events similar to those
of 2009–2013. The modelers planned to
further evaluate the effect of future
multiple events of varying magnitude.
During the update, the modelers
described a post- power plant discharge
future whereby Florida manatees would
persist, assuming measures were in
place to protect natural and non-human
dependent sources of winter warm
water.
Peer Reviewer Comments
(6) Comment: A peer reviewer
expressed concern about Castelblanco´
Martınez et al.’s (2012) model
assumption that the Antillean manatee
population is a metapopulation. The
peer reviewer stated that this
assumption was invalid.
Response: The metapopulation
assumption is supported by information
that suggests that, while both genetic
and geographical barriers exist within
the West Indian manatee’s range, there
is genetic admixture and long-distance
travel, even between the Florida and
´
Antillean subspecies’ range (Garcıa´
Rodrıguez et al. 1998, Vianna et al.
2006, Hunter et al. 2010, Nourisson et
al. 2011). Thus, it is logical to assume
a certain degree of interaction between
some of the six subpopulations as
´
described by Castelblanco-Martınez et
al. (2012, p. 131). The Service
recognizes that some interactions seem
unlikely, and this assumption is
captured by the model; for example,
interactions between the Greater
Antilles subpopulation (1) and the
Brazil subpopulation (6) are unlikely to
occur, in which case Castelblanco-
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´
Martınez et al. (2012) assigned the
lowest migration rate (1 percent).
´
In addition, Castelblanco-Martınez et
al. (2012, p. 132) did not assume
inbreeding depression based on the
available information on the sporadic
long-distance movements of manatees
between some subpopulations.
Furthermore, although there may be
inbreeding accumulation in some
populations, in Belize, there are no
indications of decreased fitness (Hunter
et al. 2010, p. 598); and, to our
knowledge, in the rest of the range of
the West Indian manatee, fitness is not
decreased. Thus, whether or not the
metapopulation assumption is invalid,
our final rule decision would not be
different. The metapopulation model is
only one of several parameters we
evaluated for the status review and this
listing determination.
(7) Comment: A peer reviewer pointed
out Hanski and Gilpin’s (1991)
observation that some metapopulations
characterized by historical, continuous,
spatial distribution are no longer
functioning as metapopulations because
of habitat fragmentation that causes the
limited dispersal of individuals such
that localized populations become
extinct. The peer reviewer stated that
this is what has happened to the
Antillean manatee. The peer reviewer
stated that, in the past, the manatee was
present in the Lesser Antilles (Lefebvre
et al. 2001) where it was driven to
extinction and that the manatee has not
re-established itself there because
individuals no longer disperse into this
region.
Response: The Service relied on
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al.’s (2012)
model for the metapopulation of
Antillean manatees as part of its best
available information used to assess the
status of the subspecies (see Comment
6). Although there are records that
manatees did occur in the Lesser
Antilles in historical times, manatees
are generally considered to have been
rare in that region and were potentially
wanderers that moved among the
islands of the Lesser Antilles (Lefebvre
et al. (2001, p. 460).
(8) Comment: A peer reviewer
observed that a PVA has not been
conducted for both of the subspecies, or
for the species throughout its range. A
preliminary PVA conducted for the
Antillean manatee indicated that the
population is far from stable (Arriaga et
´
al., in Gomez et al., 2012, entire.).
Response: The Service appreciates the
´
Gomez et al. (2012) reference
(unpublished report) and, after
reviewing the new information, we
maintain the model is consistent with
our analysis that there is a small chance
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that the Antillean manatee could
become extinct in the next 50 years
(foreseeable future). For example, the
´
Gomez et al. (2012, pp. 75–76) model
results show that the extinction risk in
100 years was only equal or greater than
10 percent when the manatee
population sizes were 50 individuals or
less, with a combination of some of the
highest adult mortality and habitat loss
values. We clarify that in the proposed
rule we did not describe the Antillean
manatee population as stable, but rather
as declining throughout most of its
range, based on the available
information. As human populations
within the species’ range continue to
grow (Marsh et al. 2012, p. 321) so too
will resultant increases in humanrelated threats to manatees and the West
Indian manatee population. Remaining
and increasing human-related threats
that, if not addressed, will likely lead
the species towards being endangered in
the foreseeable future include habitat
loss, degradation, and fragmentation;
watercraft collisions; poaching; and
others. We will continue to monitor the
status of human-related threats and the
Florida subspecies.
(9) Comment: A peer reviewer stated
that, based on recent studies in the
Tabasco area of Mexico and in the rivers
and lagoons of Chiapas and Campeche
in the Gulf of Mexico, manatee counts
are lower than previously thought.
Accordingly, the Mexican manatee
population could be lower than earlier
estimates that relied on expert opinion
and anecdotal information.
Response: We appreciate the
additional information. In our proposed
rule, we cited population estimates from
UNEP (2010, p. 11), CastelblancoMartinez et al. (2012, p. 132) and Martin
et al. (2015, p. 44) and estimated the
population for Mexico at 1,500 animals.
The commenter stated that the
population in Mexico was between
1,000 and 2,000 animals. This estimate
is consistent with the referenced
material and is noted in Table 1.
(10) Comment: A peer reviewer wrote
that it is unfortunate that downlisting is
being considered now for the West
Indian manatee in Puerto Rico. The peer
reviewer stated that ‘‘there are legal
reasons for doing so, but ecologically
and biogeographically, it does not make
sense. The situations for the Antillean
manatee and the Florida manatee are
almost inverses of each other. Florida is
the home base for T.m. latirostris, and
there are sufficient data for population
modeling to show that the population
has grown. Puerto Rico is certainly not
the home base for T.m. manatus, and
the expert opinions and guesstimates
from biologists in other countries
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16681
indicate that in the entire range of T.m.
manatus, there might be as many
manatees as there are in Florida. The
discussion about T.m. manatus
mortality on 81 FR 1004 seems oddly
biased, as it leaves out deliberate and
incidental take in nets, a major source
of mortality in many countries outside
of the U.S. and PR, as well as other
sources of mortality. Perhaps this is a
text organization problem, as there is
more discussion about mortality on 81
FR 1007. There is great uncertainty
about the status of T.m. manatus
throughout its range.’’
Response: The Service was petitioned
to evaluate the status of the West Indian
manatee across its entire range and not
only the Antillean subspecies or the
Puerto Rico population. We did not
intend to imply in our proposed rule
that the Puerto Rico population is the
home base for the Antillean manatee
population. The Puerto Rico population
is, however, one of the populations for
which more current and reliable
information is available and one of the
few populations within the species’
range that is thought to be at least stable
and for which threats such as poaching
no longer occur. In addition, fisheriesrelated take of manatees in Puerto Rico
is considered a minimal threat, given
there are only four documented manatee
fisheries-related deaths in 34 years
(PRDNER unpubl data). In making our
determination, the Service identified the
different threats and challenges that
affect each subspecies (Florida and
Antillean). In addition, we also
recognized that there is more
uncertainty, with the Antillean manatee
population numbers (Table 1) and
threats, than with the Florida manatee
population. Mortality is discussed in
greater detail under the Summary of
Factors Affecting the Species section of
the proposed and this final rule. We
specifically discussed mortality caused
by nets under the Fishing gear section
of Factor E.
(11) Comment: A peer reviewer stated
that the basis for the proposed rule is
the population estimate for the Florida
manatee (6,350) and for the Antillean
manatee in Puerto Rico (532). From
those numbers, without a thorough PVA
being conducted for the Antillean
manatee in Puerto Rico, a conclusion is
made that the numbers reflect a low
percentage of this animal becoming
extinct in the next 50 years. Again, the
conclusion is being driven by the status
and information of the Florida manatee.
The information included for the
Antillean manatee is only for those in
Puerto Rico and lacks information for all
other range countries. The estimate of
532 individuals for the manatee
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population in Puerto Rico is an adjusted
mean, which was recently calculated
based on 2010 data. That number has a
95 percent equal area confidence
interval (CI) of 342–802. Based on
manatee sightings and the lack of
knowledge by people living on our
coasts regarding manatee presence, it is
likely that the manatee population in
Puerto Rico is on the low range of that
CI. Having only 342 individuals, and
considering threats, habitat degradation,
illnesses, habitat displacement, and so
on, this subspecies had a high
percentage of going extinct in the next
50 years or at least ceasing to be viable.
Response: In making our
determination, we evaluated and
presented the best available information
on the status and threats of the West
Indian manatee across its entire range
and not just the Florida and Puerto Rico
populations. This information indicates
that West Indian manatees are
distributed across its entire range (see
Table 1) and several of these
populations are relatively large and
have proven they can withstand
stochastic events, such as extreme
localized cold events. Based on two
published population models
´
(Castelblanco-Martınez et al. 2012;
Runge et al. 2015) and a threats analysis,
we concluded that there is a small
chance that the West Indian manatee
(not the Puerto Rico Antillean manatee
population) could become extinct in the
next 50 years and this species would
retain its general distribution on the
landscape. As such, the West Indian
manatee (range wide) is not in danger of
extinction (endangered), but rather, the
species range-wide is likely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future (50
years) (threatened). The peer reviewer
also submitted an unpublished
population model for the Antillean
´
manatee (Arriaga et al., in Gomez et al.,
2012, entire) that is consistent with our
determination (see Comment 8). The
commenter provides no additional
information as to why the Puerto Rico
population is likely to go extinct or
cease to be viable within the next 50
years.
(12) Comment: A peer reviewer
commented that the discussion on
Puerto Rico’s habitat threat focuses on
the sea grass areas as the main manatee
habitat. Although the proposed rule
acknowledges that the data collected by
PRDNER indicate that sea grasses are
being severely impacted by
anthropogenic actions, which leads to a
decrease in sea grass density and habitat
fragmentation, the information leads to
the conclusion that sea grass is not a
limiting factor, even when it is
unknown how much sea grass is needed
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to sustain a large manatee population. In
addition, the discussion does not take
into account that the scant research
conducted until now regarding manatee
feeding habitat in Puerto Rico suggests
that the Antillean manatee might be a
more specialized sea grass grazer than
the Florida manatee (Lefebvre et al.,
2000). This characteristic might be true
for the Antillean manatee throughout its
range.
Response: The Service specified that,
although the immediacy and magnitude
of the degradation and loss of manatee
habitat varies across the species’ range,
available manatee foraging habitat does
not seem to be a limiting factor for the
West Indian manatee, including Puerto
Rico (Lefebvre et al. 2001, entire; Orth
et al. 2006, p. 994; UNEP 2010, entire;
Drew et al. 2012, p. 13). In addition, the
commenter did not provide additional
information that indicates that a
seagrass or foraging area limitation or
specialization is decreasing manatee
fitness or causing manatee mortalities in
Puerto Rico. The Service will continue
to monitor research regarding manatee
foraging behavior and potential effects
of degraded foraging habitat on the
manatee population.
(13) Comment: A peer reviewer noted
that poaching is a major threat
throughout most of the countries within
the range of the Antillean manatee. This
is a threat that could bring the species
to extinction and was actually
responsible for causing the extinction of
populations in some countries.
Poaching is a clear and present threat
for the Antillean manatee and should
not be discounted just because the
Service is confident that initiatives
being pursued will have a positive
outcome. Furthermore, while foreign
governments have instituted regulations
to address poaching, it is widely
acknowledged that some countries have
few resources to enforce regulations and
that these countries are unlikely to
minimize this threat anytime soon.
Response: The Service has not
discounted the threat of poaching and
referenced Marsh et al. (2011, p. 265) to
conclude that poaching is a major threat
to the manatee population outside of the
southeastern United States (which
includes Puerto Rico). Some
information suggests that manatees
became extinct in a few islands in the
Lesser Antilles, likely due to hunting.
However, records documenting
historical manatee presence suggest that
they were rare in the region and were
potentially wanderers that moved
among the islands of the Lesser Antilles
(Lefebvre et al., 2001, p. 460). Currently,
we believe that even though poaching
may still occur in some regions, it no
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longer occurs in a few regions, and has
been reduced in others (UNEP 2010,
entire; Marsh et al. 2011, p. 386).
However, the Service recognizes that
some of the small and declining
populations of the Antillean manatee
subspecies are most likely not able to
sustain continued illegal poaching. The
Service will continue to gather
information on the poaching threat to
West Indian manatees and will reach
out to these countries to assist them
with their efforts to address this and
other threats as resources permit.
(14) Comment: A peer reviewer said
that the proposed rule stated that the
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms is a moderate threat to the
West Indian manatee. The reviewer
further stated that, ‘‘from that analysis,
[if] we take out the considerations that
apply only to the Florida manatee,
where many measures are in place, we
could conclude this is a significant
threat. As mentioned throughout these
comments, the lack of implementation,
enforcement and oversight make many
of the conservation strategies inefficient
or fruitless. Downlisting the species may
not have an impact in the Florida
manatee, but it will in the Antillean
manatee. Ruling and conservation
measures, that are not currently strong
enough because of lack of enforcement,
will be more lenient.’’
Response: In evaluating this factor,
the Service specified that, although
numerous regulatory mechanisms are in
effect, challenges in the enforcement of
these regulatory mechanisms exist.
Based on the overall comments received
regarding this factor, regulations to
protect manatees may not be as effective
elsewhere as they are within the United
States and Puerto Rico. Thus, the
Service recognizes that the lack of or
inability to enforce regulatory
mechanisms can have negative
consequences for the West Indian
manatee. However, because the manatee
is listed in Appendix I of the
Convention on International Trade in
Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and
Flora (CITES), there are protections that
will remain in place following
downlisting under the Act. See Factor
D, Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms. An Appendix I listing
includes species threatened with
extinction whose trade is permitted only
under exceptional circumstances, which
generally precludes commercial trade.
The import of specimens (both live and
dead, as well as parts and products) of
an Appendix I species generally
requires the issuance of both an import
and export permit under CITES. Import
permits are issued only if findings are
made that the import would be for
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purposes that are not detrimental to the
survival of the species in the wild and
that the specimen was lawfully acquired
(including under foreign domestic law).
Protections under the Act will remain in
effect.
(15) Comment: One peer reviewer
stated that Deutsch et al.’s (2008)
suggestion, that numbers of Antillean
manatees were likely to decline by 10
percent over the next three generations
(∼60 years), more generally reflects
expert opinion than do the results of the
Castelblanco-Martinez et al. (2012)
analysis.
Response: The Service referenced
Deutsch et al. (2008) in the first
paragraph of the Population Trends
section of the proposed rule and this
final rule. We clarify that the expected
10 percent rate of decline was specified
for the West Indian manatee, listed by
IUCN as Vulnerable, and not the
Antillean manatee, listed by IUCN as
Endangered. In addition, no further
information was provided by the
commenter as to why Deutsch et al.
(2008) more generally reflects expert
opinion than do the results of
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al.’s (2012)
analysis. The Service recognizes that the
available information suggests the
Antillean manatee may be declining
throughout most of it range. However,
considering the best available
information on the present status of the
West Indian manatee and the factors
that may threaten it, the Service
maintains the species does not meet the
definition of an endangered species.
Please refer to the section entitled
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species.
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Public Comments
Comments on Topics That Apply to
Population Models
(16) Comment: We received several
comments on our use of the Antillean
manatee model presented in the
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al. (2012)
publication. Commenters included the
author and co-authors, who sent a letter
to clarify in part that their article
addressed a potential growing trend
only in the Antillean manatee
subspecies and not the Florida manatee
subspecies. They also stated that the
results of the model were misinterpreted
in the proposed rule and highlighted
information in their paper to support
their claims. The authors identified
model projections that would lead to the
extinction of the Antillean manatee
population under different levels of risk,
including specific increases in humanrelated mortality and/or habitat
fragmentation (Models 2, 3, 5, 6, 8 and
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9). They also mentioned that their
model did not take into account the
effects of climate change that could
definitively have an important impact
on population viability by increasing
the frequency and intensity of stochastic
events.
Response: We clarify that we used the
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al. (2012)
model only in our evaluation of the
Antillean manatee subspecies, and used
the Runge et al. (2015) model to
evaluate the Florida manatee
subspecies. We used other best available
information, in addition to the models,
in the proposed and this final rule for
the West Indian manatee. We
´
acknowledge that Castelblanco-Martınez
and co-authors presented several
scenarios for the Antillean manatee
population and note that these were
accounted for in our assessment. The
Service considered all scenarios and
models as well as known threats when
making our determination that this
species is now threatened throughout all
or a significant portion its range (rather
than endangered). Please refer to the
beginning of the Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species section, which
describes the difference between
endangered and threatened species. We
also added further discussion of the
model under the Population Trends
section.
Finally, the Service believes that the
effects of climate change were
considered in the model which used
hurricane frequency data (catastrophic
´
events) (Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
2012, p. 136). The authors explain that
the modeled ‘‘variation in the intensity
and frequency of hurricanes did not
lead to any important changes in the
population growth curves’’ for the
Antillean manatee population
´
(Castelblanco-Martınez et al. 2012, p.
138). For additional information on
potential effects due to climate change
on the West Indian manatee, please refer
to the discussion in Factor E section.
(17) Comment: The FWS proposed
rule contradicts the Castelblanco et al.
(2012) PVA conclusion that the
Antillean manatee population is
experiencing positive growth, as the
FWS cites a number of sources of expert
and local opinions to state that in most
of the countries Antillean manatee
populations are declining.
Response: In our rule, we discuss all
available information that indicates
either positive growth rates or
population declines. Both the Service
´
and Castelblanco-Martınez et al. (2012)
cite sources that state that the Antillean
manatee population appears to be
declining throughout most of its range.
We included these sources in our
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review of the species’ population
biology and also relied on models,
´
including Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
(2012), to evaluate the effect of known
threats on this population. Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. (2012) used this
information in their model runs and
discussion of various population
scenarios and concluded that the
Antillean manatee population is
experiencing positive growth, using
their model parameters, which the
Service considered in this rule. (Refer to
the Population Trends section for
greater detail on this model). For
example, it assumes that all threats have
an equal effect on the different
subpopulations. Our threats assessment
considered the best available scientific
and commercial information, including
published models, scientific papers,
reports, and other reliable information.
Please refer to Comments 8 and 11 and
the Population Trends section for
further discussion on Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. (2012).
(18) Comment: The analysis by Runge
et al. (2015) provides results that are
credible only if one makes certain
questionable assumptions (e.g., threats
will not increase, etc.). The commenter
believes that the proposed extinction
probabilities may be inappropriately
optimistic and that the model results
should be considered with caution and
recognized only as the best-case
scenario.
Response: The Manatee CBM
integrates an understanding of current
and foreseeable threats in a common
risk analysis framework. It projects a
risk of extinction under the status quo
(current scenario) and can address
questions such as, ‘‘If a threat is reduced
by 50 percent, how much would the
extinction risk be expected to decline?’’
The model provides a tool for assessing
growing and changing threats (Runge et
al., 2015, p. 2). The Service believes that
model results are a fair depiction of the
current state of knowledge that
appropriately incorporates and
articulates uncertainty. The Service
considered CBM-derived probabilities of
extinction for the Florida manatee in the
context of many additional sources of
information in its evaluation of the
status of this subspecies and the species
at large.
(19) Comment: The proposed rule and
CBM did not take into account the cold
weather, Indian River Lagoon, and red
tide die-off events that occurred
between 2010 and 2013.
Response: The proposed rule took
into account the die-off events in its
review of population trends. See
proposed rule of January 8, 2016, at 81
FR 1005. However, the CBM, which
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evaluates the effect of various threats on
the Florida manatee population, did not
evaluate these events because 2010–
2013 adult survival rate estimates
needed for the model runs were not
available when this rule was written.
Please see discussion in the proposed
rule, Population Trends.
(20) Comment: The Service relied on
Runge et al.’s (2015) CBM to evaluate
extinction probabilities. The validity of
model results depends on the
completeness and quality of data for
critical parameters, as well as up-to-date
information. The commenter stated that
he does not believe that the data used
by Runge et al. (2015) are always the
best available and is concerned that the
model did not consider sublethal
effects. In particular, the commenter
noted the CBM did not use adult
survival rate estimate data for the 2010–
2013 die-off years. Because of this, the
commenter expressed a belief that
certain projected outcomes may be
unrealistic and inappropriately
optimistic.
Response: Data used by Runge et al.
(2015) were the best, most complete
data available through December 2012.
Data used for this analysis included data
collected more recently (manatee photoidentification data used to calculate
adult survival rate estimates). However,
adult survival rates for periods beyond
this date could not be calculated
because of an end of time series bias
inherent in the analyses. The authors
described strengths and weaknesses
associated with the data; adult survival
rates used in the model runs were
current through winter 2008–2009 and
more recent rates were not available due
to inherent backlogs associated with
processing data. The CBM does include
a number of sublethal effects. For
example, sublethal effects are captured
in the mark-recapture estimates of
survival and some sublethal effects on
reproduction, such as that which occurs
during red-tide years, are also captured.
(21) Comment: CBM assumptions
about the carrying capacity of warmwater refugia should be re-assessed
using a more applied process than
expert opinion.
Response: Model assumptions
regarding the carrying-capacity of warmwater sites considered expert valuations
of numbers of manatees that could
survive variably severe winters.
Considerations included the spatial
extent of thermal refuges, the
availability of food resources in
proximity to those refuges, and the
behavior of manatees, including their
tolerance for human disturbance. The
Service believes that, absent a
quantitative valuation of warm-water
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habitat, the use of expert opinion
provides a reasonable assessment of
carrying-capacity for this review. With
this said, there is still considerable
uncertainty about warm-water capacity,
including its magnitude and the
mechanism by which it affects manatee
population dynamics. We will continue
to monitor the status of the manatee and
its habitat.
(22) Comment: One commenter
expressed the opinion that Runge et al.’s
(2015) model does not consider an
extensive seagrass die-off in Brevard
County, which is arguably the most
important habitat for manatees in the
world. The Miccosukee Tribe expressed
a similar concern about the effect of the
loss of seagrass on manatees.
Response: While Runge et al. (2015, p.
1) does not factor in this loss of seagrass
directly, it noted this occurrence and
considered it and the coincidental loss
of manatees in Brevard County. The
model forecasts the Florida manatee
population under different threat
scenarios and addresses environmental,
demographic, and catastrophic
stochasticity. In short, catastrophic
losses such as the loss of seagrass in
Brevard County are broadly considered
in model projections which suggest that
the population can withstand such
events.
Comments on Topics That Apply to
Antillean Manatees
(23) Comment: Uncertainty of
[population] estimates for the Antillean
manatee, acknowledged by the Service
to be conjectural, are highly unreliable
and do not comport with the statutory
requirement for listing decisions to be
based on the best available scientific
information. The FWS also does not
explain why it did not select a lower,
more conservative population estimate
or at least cite a range of possible
population estimates for the Antillean
manatee.
Response: The Service identified the
range of possible population sizes in the
Population Size section of the proposed
and the final rule. In this final rule, we
have also edited Table 1 to include the
minimum population estimates for the
West Indian manatee across its entire
range based on the best available
information and recognizing the
uncertainties in the data. Our estimate
of the total West Indian manatee
population currently ranges between
8,396 and 13,142 (Table 1). Population
size, while an important component
regarding a species’ status, is not the
only factor that should be assessed
when evaluating a species’ survival.
Factors such as mortality, resilience to
withstand stochastic events, genetic
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diversity throughout the range, potential
reduced fitness and extensive
distribution of populations across its
range (refer to Table 1), among others,
must also be considered. Another
approach is to utilize existing data to
conduct stochastic population modeling
and extinction risk assessment, such as
those conducted by Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. (2012) and Runge et al.
(2015). For example, for the Antillean
manatee population, the Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. (2012) model did not
show any significant response to
variations in the assumed initial
population sizes, using 1,675 as the
lowest initial population size value and
6,700 as a reasonable value for their
´
baseline model (Castelblanco-Martınez
et al. 2012, p. 137). The Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. (2012) approach
represents the best science and provides
sound estimates of the Antillean
manatee numbers.
(24) Comment: Some commenters,
including the Miccosukee Tribe said
that it is unclear why the FWS feels
justified to downlist the Antillean
manatee since the agency’s own 12month finding cites that ‘‘population
trends are declining or unknown in 84
percent of the countries where manatees
are found.’’
Response: A species can be declining
and not necessarily be endangered. In
making our determination, the Service
concluded that the West Indian manatee
is not currently endangered but is likely
to become endangered in the foreseeable
future (threatened). On the basis of our
analysis, we find that many threats
(habitat loss and fragmentation,
watercraft collisions, loss of the Florida
manatees’ winter warm water habitat,
and others) have been reduced but
continue to exist; these threats are
expected to persist and may escalate in
the future. New and ongoing
conservation efforts will be needed to
prevent the species from becoming
endangered in the foreseeable future.
Since most of the Antillean manatee
population is thought to have a
declining or unknown trend, existing or
new potential threats, if not addressed,
may lead the species towards being
endangered in the foreseeable future.
This is consistent with the Act’s
definition of a threatened species.
Please refer to the Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species, which describes
the difference between endangered and
threatened species.
(25) Comment: The FWS fails to
evaluate the status of the population in
the rest of the Caribbean (outside of
Puerto Rico) and fails to adequately
evaluate the five statutory criteria with
respect to the entire range of the species,
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as threats to these populations are
increasing and enforcement for the
Antillean manatee is lacking.
Response: The Service evaluated the
status of the West Indian manatee across
its entire range based on the best
available information. The Service
recognized that the immediacy and the
magnitude of threats vary across the
West Indian manatees’ range. The
commenter did not provide additional
information as to how the threats of the
species are increasing and enforcement
is lacking beyond that already
considered in our analysis. Please refer
to the Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species section for the analysis that
examines all five factors currently
affecting or that are likely to affect the
West Indian manatee.
(26) Comment: The FWS repeatedly
determines that individual threats or the
sum of threats under each listing factor
only pose a moderate threat to the
Antillean subspecies outside the United
States, but frequently and frankly
acknowledges that it lacks credible data
on which to base these judgments.
Response: The Service is required to
make decisions under the Act based
solely on the best scientific and
commercial information available. The
Service must examine how and to what
extent threats impact the species such
that it meets the definition of threatened
or endangered. In this case, the threats
assessment was completed for the West
Indian manatee across its range. Our
assessment included a five-factor
analysis and review of demographic
parameters. In some cases, data were
less than conclusive and we made
rational and explicit inferences based on
our best professional judgment that
reflected the extent of our uncertainty
and consequences of being incorrect.
(27) Comment: At the lower
population estimate of 700 individuals
in Belize, the 2015 mortality represents
a 5.7 percent mortality of that
population, which is already higher
than the 5 percent that population
modelling indicates to be sustainable
(Castelblanco-Martinez et al. 2012).
With the opening of another cruise ship
port in November 2016, with all its
land-based tours scheduled to be
accessed by boat through another highdensity manatee area, conservation
planning based on best available data
indicates the potential for significant
increased additional mortality (Walker
et al. 2015).
Response: The Service appreciates the
new information received from Belize,
which is addressed in this final rule.
Increases in boating traffic in high
density manatee areas may increase
watercraft-related mortality as noted in
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Florida (Laist and Shaw 2006, p. 473)
The Service recognizes that Belize
represents one of the largest Antillean
manatee populations, and we are
concerned about the increased manatee
mortality here. However, the Service
was petitioned to evaluate the status of
the West Indian manatee across its
entire range. We will continue to
evaluate how the Service can coordinate
manatee conservation occurring in
Belize and in the rest of the West Indian
manatee’s range.
(28) Comment: The proposed
downlisting is contrary to the appraisal
of Belize’s National Manatee Working
Group (NMWG), which has determined
that, although the current population is
rated as FAIR (Belize National Manatee
Recovery Plan, Ortega-Argueta, in
prep.), the current level of mortality is
unsustainable, and that the population
will crash with a continuation of this
mortality rate. The NMWG is working
with the Government of Belize to
identify and implement actions to
reduce the mortality rate. The proposed
downlisting could significantly hinder
these actions, impacting the funding
and leverage available to Forest
Department and its partners to address
threats to Belize’s manatee population
and implement direct conservation
actions, and thereby increase the risk to
Belize’s population of Antillean
manatees, and thereby the global
population.
Response: The FAIR rating of the
current Belize Antillean manatee
population is consistent with the
Service’s definition and interpretation
of a threatened species, a species that is
likely to become endangered in the
foreseeable future and is not currently
endangered, even with the documented
increasing threats. The Service would
also like to coordinate with the National
Manatee Working Group and the
Government of Belize towards
developing conservation strategies to
reduce the current mortality rate.
However, as stated in Comment 27
above, this rulemaking evaluates the
status of the West Indian manatee
throughout its entire range.
(29) Comment: The downlisting of the
West Indian manatee is based on the
successful population growth and
stability seen in Florida, but largely
ignores the remaining threats in Central
and South America, for which the
Service admits that it lacks quantitative
information.
Response: In making our
determination, the Service evaluated the
best available information for the West
Indian manatee, including population
estimates and threats across the species’
range. The Service recognizes that the
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immediacy and the magnitude of threats
vary across the West Indian manatee’s
range. The commenter did not provide
additional information on threats for the
species beyond that already considered
in our analysis. Please refer to the
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species section for the analysis that
examines all factors currently affecting
or that are likely to affect the West
Indian manatee in the future.
(30) Comment: Internationally, there
is a lack of data outlining the type and
level of threats in most range countries
of the Antillean manatee. Making
assumptions that threats have been
managed in the Antillean subspecies’
range is reckless.
Response: In our rule, we provided
several references that indicate that a
number of threats still remain
throughout the species’ range and others
are being managed. However, we
acknowledge that work still needs to be
done and that ongoing efforts to recover
the species could be improved. Please
refer to the Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species section for the
analysis that examines all factors
currently affecting or that are likely to
affect the West Indian manatee.
(31) Comment: Several commenters
believe that conservation efforts outside
the United States are failing to promote
the protection and growth of the
Antillean manatee population.
Furthermore, commenters believe that a
downlisting by the Service could have
a significant impact on the ability of
countries outside the U.S. to implement
recovery, implement protection
measures, affect funding opportunities,
and affect progress currently being made
to maintain and strengthen the West
Indian manatee population. One
commenter noted that these countries
rely on the full weight of the Act to
justify expenditures, raise funds, and
compel governments to protect and
conserve this species.
Response: The change in status under
the Act from endangered to threatened
should not have an appreciable effect on
manatee protections in foreign
countries. This rule formally recognizes
that this species is no longer presently
in danger of extinction. The manatee
would still be fully protected under the
Act. The regulatory protections
provided pursuant to section 9 and
section 7 of the Act remain in place.
Furthermore, this regulation does not
affect the protections that the West
Indian manatee is afforded under the
MMPA and CITES. We applaud foreign
governments like Belize, which has
protected the manatee for over 30 years
and is increasing conservation programs
for this animal. We encourage all efforts
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by any government agency to remove or
reduce threats to the West Indian
manatee, and the Service is amenable to
working together towards achieving
these goals (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT). The Service will
continue to monitor the status of the
species, and continue to work in
partnership with other range countries
when and where possible. Additionally,
we note that the Service’s Division of
International Conservation works with
partners worldwide to conserve fish,
wildlife, plants, and their habitats
(including the manatee and its habitat),
and maintain the integrity of ecological
processes beyond our borders, for
present and future generations.
(32) Comment: It does not appear the
Service undertook a comprehensive
review of the data nor made contact
with conservationists and governments
in all of the range Antillean manatee
states and it is not clear if the Service
conducted a literature search for nonEnglish documents and conservation
plans and reviewed such documents.
Response: In connection with the
proposed rule, in addition to contacting
appropriate Federal and State agencies,
Tribes and tribal organizations,
scientific organizations, and peer
reviewers to request comments on the
proposed rule, the Service also
contacted governments of the West
Indian manatee range countries.
Furthermore, in opening the rule to
public comment, the Service requested
that all interested parties submit factual
reports, information, and comments that
might contribute to development of a
final determination for the West Indian
manatee. Out of all the documents
received by the Service, only a handful
was in Spanish. These were evaluated at
the Caribbean Ecological Services Field
Office in Puerto Rico, where all of the
employees are bilingual (i.e. proficient
in both English and Spanish). The
Service obtained information regarding
the status of manatees in other ways.
One source of information was the
directory of people working with
manatees within the UNEP (2010,
Appendix III) document. We used the
email addresses on that list to notify
individuals about the petition and status
review of the West Indian manatee and
to request information on the status and
threats of the species. We also reached
out to attendees at the December 8–13,
2014, Cartagena Convention in which
participants were advised that the
Service was evaluating the status of the
West Indian manatee and was
requesting additional information to
assist in its review. In addition, in
December 2015, during the VII
International Sirenian Symposium, the
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Service announced that the 12-month
finding would be published in January
2016, and encouraged symposium
participants to review and send
comments accordingly. That
Symposium gathered a significant
number of manatee experts, researchers,
and managers. The Service also sent a
number of peer review requests on the
proposed rule to manatee experts within
the range of the Antillean manatee.
(33) Comment: This decision will
negatively affect the current status of
manatee populations in the region. The
Antillean subspecies was declared
‘‘Endangered’’ due to reduction in
numbers and habitat loss along the
range. This critical status persists,
according to several researchers,
because of the paucity of effective
conservation actions throughout its
range and the current and projected
future anthropogenic threats. There is
no evidence of any improvement in the
status of these populations and in fact,
the lack of enough scientific information
is jeopardizing its conservation in many
countries. Please notice that the
vulnerability of this group was proved
already with the extirpation of the
manatee populations from the Lesser
Antilles.
Response: The Service was petitioned
to evaluate the status of the West Indian
manatee across its entire range. It, not
only the Antillean subspecies, is the
listed entity. In making our
determination, we concluded that the
West Indian manatee is not currently
endangered, but rather likely to become
an endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all of its
range. The level of protection afforded
by the Act will remain the same. See
also our response to Comment 11 for
more information.
(34) Comment: The genetic diversity
of the Antillean subspecies compels a
finding that it should not be reclassified.
Low genetic diversity indicates that the
population is vulnerable to irreversible
impacts due to environmental stochastic
events, which are going to be very
frequent in the face of climate change.
Response: The Service considered
genetics and the effects of climate
change in making our determination.
Available information specifies that the
genetic diversity of manatee populations
in Belize and Mexico is slightly higher
than in Florida and slightly lower in
Puerto Rico (Hunter et al. 2012).
Manatee populations in general, not
only the Antillean, are characterized by
low levels of genetic diversity (Hunter et
al., 2012). Furthermore, there is no
information that shows a decreased
fitness in Belize (Hunter et al., 2010, p.
598) and, to our knowledge, in the rest
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of the range of the West Indian manatee
population due to low genetic diversity.
The commenter did not provide new
information beyond what was
considered in our proposed rule.
(35) Comment: [The Antillean
manatee] is globally endangered, based
on a predicted decline of more than 20
percent over the next two generations.
Response: This statement is from the
species’ IUCN listing information
(Deutsch et al., 2008), which we
referenced in both the proposed and
final rules. The Service referenced
Deutsch et al., (2008) in the Population
Trends section of the proposed rule. The
Service evaluated the status and threats
for the West Indian manatee across its
entire range. The IUCN classifies the
West Indian manatee, the species
addressed in this rule, as Vulnerable.
Species classifications under the
Endangered Species Act and Red List
are not equivalent; data standards,
criteria used to evaluate species, and
treatment of uncertainty are not the
same, nor is the legal effect. Unlike the
Endangered Species Act, the Red List is
not a statute and is not a legally binding
or regulatory instrument. It does not
include legally binding requirements,
prohibitions, or guidance for the
protection of threatened, critically
endangered, endangered, or vulnerable
taxa (IUCN 2012). Rather, it provides
taxonomic, conservation status, and
distribution information on species. The
Red List is based on a system of
categories and criteria designed to
determine the relative risk of extinction
(https://www.iucnredlist.org/about/
introduction), classifying species in one
of nine categories, as determined via
quantitative criteria, including
population size reductions, range
reductions, small population size, and
quantitative extinction risk. Further,
based on the petition, the Service
evaluated the status and threats for the
West Indian manatee across its entire
range and not only for the Antillean
manatee. The Act requires the Service to
determine if a species is an endangered
or threatened species because of any of
the section 4(a)(1) factors (16 U.S.C.
1533(a)(1)), based on the best available
scientific and commercial data, which
may include a qualitative threats
analysis.
Comments on Topics That Apply to
Florida Manatees
(36) Comment: Many commenters,
including the Miccosukee Tribe, stated
that the Service should not reclassify
the Florida subspecies of the West
Indian manatee without a proven, viable
plan that addresses the loss of warmwater refuges at power plants.
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Response: The Service is reclassifying
the West Indian manatee, including
both subspecies, to threatened. This
does not mean that all threats have been
addressed. For more information on
efforts to address the loss of warm-water
refuges, please see Recovery Actions in
the proposed rule (https://www.fws.gov/
policy/library/2016/2015-32645.pdf).
For additional information, see Factor A
and E sections in our threats analysis.
(37) Comment: The Service did not
evaluate the Florida manatee in the
context of the recovery benchmark
criteria identified in the 2001 Florida
Manatee Recovery Plan. The Service
should not reclassify the Florida
subspecies of the West Indian manatee
without an updated recovery plan and
recovery benchmark criteria unless and
until measurable criteria are established
and satisfied based on the five listing
factors.
Response: The Service makes a
decision to reclassify (delist or
downlist) a species after review of all of
the five listing factors in section 4 of the
Act. We conducted this analysis in the
context of recovery criteria identified in
the 2001 Florida Manatee Recovery
Plan. We did not, however, evaluate the
manatee in the context of the Recovery
Plan’s population benchmark criteria for
reasons set forth in the Recovery section
of the preamble to this rule, namely that
the benchmark criteria were found to be
deficient and unusable. Note that the
Service is not required to have current
recovery plans and criteria when it
evaluates the status of a species.
Overall, recovery of species is a
dynamic process requiring adaptive
management, planning, implementing,
and evaluating the degree of recovery of
a species that may, or may not, fully
follow the guidance provided in a
recovery plan.
(38) Comment: The Service is relying
on the State of Florida’s synoptic survey
counts to support its proposal to
reclassify the West Indian manatee.
These counts are biased, use bad
counting procedures, and have very
little scientific value. The Service must
base its analysis on future threats and
the actual health of the population and
not these counts.
Response: We acknowledge that there
are methodological issues (detection
probabilities) inherent in the State’s
counts. Martin et al., (2015, p. 44), in
their estimate of abundance for the
Florida manatee, address these issues by
accounting for spatial variation in
distribution and imperfect detection.
We used the best available information
to assess the counts, other demographic
indicators, and the health of the
population and considered threats in
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our analysis. Additionally, it is possible
that the counts, when taken in the
context of other demographic indicators
(such as the estimated population
growth rates), may reflect an actual
increase in the population size (Runge
et al., 2015, p. 19).
(39) Comment: The Service has not
adequately addressed expected coal
plant closures that will leave manatees
at risk of future significant population
declines.
Response: The majority of Florida
manatees rely on natural gas fired plants
for warmth during the winter. Two coalfired plants with discharges used by
wintering manatees exist. The impact
that future regulatory actions may have
on these two sites is unknown. Should
the plants be affected, the Service will
work with the power plant industry and
regulatory agencies to alleviate any
potential adverse effects that could
occur.
(40) Comment: The proposed rule
states that all regulatory mechanisms
will remain in place and will continue
to provide legal protections to the
species throughout its range should the
manatees’ status change from
endangered to threatened. In Florida,
elected government officials have taken
steps to remove manatee protection
zones. While they have not been
successful, they will continue to try to
remove them.
Response: Our review considers the
inadequacy of all regulatory
mechanisms, including the State of
Florida’s regulatory measures. We based
our review on best available information
available to us at the time of the review.
We are aware of efforts that were
subsequently made to remove manatee
protection zones. However, these efforts
were not successful. Because watercraft
collisions are one of two of the most
significant threats to Florida manatees,
we are committed to working with State
and local officials to ensure that
effective manatee protection zones and
other regulatory mechanisms remain in
place to provide adequate protection.
The Service has an agreement with
the State of Florida under section 6 of
the Act, which provides that any State
law or regulation regarding the taking of
an endangered species or threatened
species may be more restrictive than the
exemptions or permits provided for in
this Act or in any regulation that
implements the Act but not less
restrictive than the prohibitions so
defined. We are confident that the State
of Florida, with whom we have
partnered for many years on the
conservation of this and other species,
will ensure that these regulations will
remain in place.
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(41) Comment: Even though some
habitat features important to Florida
manatees may have improved over time
(e.g., restoration of some warm-water
springs), the Service’s assumptions or
conclusions that habitat needed for
manatees is safe and assured is
unrealistic and is not based on the best
available scientific data.
Response: We indicated in our
proposed rule that efforts are being
made to enhance and conserve
important manatee habitat (including
winter warm-water habitat, foraging
areas, travel corridors, etc.) and noted
that much work still needs to be done
before the species can be removed from
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Species. Please see the Recovery
Actions section of the preamble to this
rule for more information.
(42) Comment: The Service disbanded
its Florida Manatee Recovery
Implementation Team and Warm Water
Task Force. How does the Service
intend to address continuing
conservation needs, including the need
to address the catastrophic future loss of
critical, warm-water habitat?
Response: The Service plans to revise
the Florida Manatee Recovery Plan and
will convene a recovery team to
facilitate that process. The Plan will
identify conservation needs and the
actions needed to address them. The
loss of warm-water habitat will be
addressed in the revised plan. The
Service is working with FWC, the power
industry, and others to address
conservation needs, including the future
loss of warm-water habitat.
(43) Comment: State of Florida
statutes require Water Management
Districts to set minimum flows at rates
that protect the most sensitive species.
The Districts have set flows in the past
to protect endangered manatees. If
manatees are no longer endangered,
what will happen to important manatee
springs like Three Sisters Springs where
minimum flows have not been set?
Response: When this rule becomes
effective, the West Indian manatee will
remain protected under the Act as a
threatened species. The Act’s provisions
will continue to be implemented to
remove threats to this species. For
example, the Service will continue to
work with the FWC, the Water
Management Districts, and others to
ensure that minimum flows set for
important manatee springs are adequate
to protect wintering manatees. See
Runge et al., (2015, pp. 6–7) and the
Recovery Actions section of this
document for further information.
(44) Comment: One commenter noted
that manatee enforcement in Florida is
at an ‘‘all-time low.’’ Another
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commenter observed that the number of
manatees struck by watercraft and killed
or rescued is at an ‘‘all-time high.’’
Commenters stated that the watercraft
collision threat has not been controlled.
Response: Threats, including the
threat of watercraft collisions, are being
addressed in Florida. While record
numbers of watercraft-related manatee
deaths and rescues were reported in
2016, there is nothing to suggest that
this is evidence of an increasing trend.
Key demographic indicators
characterize a growing manatee
population even in the face of
continuing mortality of this type. See
Runge et al., (2015, pp. 9–11) and
Recovery Actions for further
information.
(45) Comment: The Service signed an
agreement in 2012 with the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers that provides the
Service with the ability to allow illegal
incidental take through consultation on
the Corps permitting process. The take
of manatees cannot be authorized and is
detrimental to recovery efforts.
Response: The 2012 agreement with
the Corps does not authorize the take of
Florida manatees. The agreement
requires that the Corps include in its
permits conditions that, when followed,
ensure that manatees are not taken by
project-related construction activities.
This requirement expedites the
permitting process and provides
predictability for permit applicants.
Should the incidental take of one or
more manatees occur as a result of a
permitting action where the Service has
concurred with an effects
determination, the specific activity shall
cease until the Corps and the Service
jointly and cooperatively investigate the
circumstances and make every effort to
remedy the issue through avoidance,
minimization, and/or other
compensatory measures.
(46) Comment: If the Service is going
to address the loss of power plant warmwater discharges, it must identify a
funding source to cover the costs that
will be incurred. This has not been
done.
Response: The Service continues to
work with and reach out to its manatee
recovery partners to address the
pending loss of warm water at Florida’s
power plants. The Service recently
recommended that the Florida
Department of Environmental Protection
revise NPDES permits to include a
funding mechanism to address the
transition of manatees from power
plants to other suitable areas.
(47) Comment: Manatee harassment
by visitors to Crystal River continues to
take place. More enforcement and
criteria-based closure requirements are
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needed to protect manatees from
harassment.
Response: The Service continues to
refine measures to prevent manatee
harassment by visitors to Crystal River
and elsewhere. Criteria have been
developed for potential closures at
Three Sisters Springs. Additionally, the
Kings Bay Manatee Refuge Rule
provides for the closure of springs used
by wintering manatees, as well as the
expansion of sanctuary boundaries to
accommodate increasing numbers of
manatees. For more information, see the
Kings Bay Manatee Refuge Rule (77 FR
15617, March 16, 2012) and the Draft
Environmental Assessment, Three
Sisters Springs Unit of Crystal River
NWR (USFWS CRNWR 2015).
(48) Comment: Manatee habitat
restoration efforts are taking place in
Florida and some of these efforts are
harassing manatees and indirectly
causing harm to the environment.
Communities engaged in restoration
efforts must be required to use best
management practices and comply with
State and Federal regulations.
Response: The Service has not
identified habitat restoration efforts as a
threat to the long-term survival of the
Florida manatee. We have, however,
identified habitat loss and fragmentation
as one of the most significant threats to
manatees, and efforts to restore habitat
are an important means to address this
threat. In the United States, entities
engaged in habitat restoration efforts
must comply with all State and Federal
permitting regulations, including permit
conditions that prevent manatee
harassment and protect water quality
and the environment.
(49) Comment: Natural spring areas
essential for the manatee’s survival are
threatened by numerous factors
including diminishing spring flows,
deteriorating water quality, and
increasing human activities in and
around spring areas.
Response: We acknowledge that these
are concerns and have addressed them
in our rule. See the Recovery Actions
section of the preamble for further
information.
(50) Comment: The Service should
conduct an environmental impact study
before any decision is made.
Response: We have determined that
environmental assessments and
environmental impact statements, as
defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), need not
be prepared in connection with
regulations pursuant to section 4(a) of
the Endangered Species Act. We
published a notice outlining our reasons
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for this determination in the Federal
Register (48 FR 49244).
Comments on Topics That Apply to All
Manatees
(51) Comment: The Act provides that
a species may be determined to be
‘‘endangered’’ due to ‘‘other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.’’ In addition to loss of habitat,
disease, algal blooms, and watercraft
fatalities, the West Indian manatee is
also affected by land development
activities, including, without limitation,
the construction of artificial canal
systems, dredging and filling,
elimination of aquatic vegetation,
construction of structures that can trap
or crush manatees, and the placement of
bulkheads below the ordinary high
waterline. Moreover, fishing gear and
contaminants present ongoing, yet in
some cases, ‘‘poorly understood’’ risks
to the West Indian manatee population.
Until a plan is developed to protect the
West Indian manatee from effects of
land development and other risks to the
West Indian manatee are more fully
understood, the Atlantic Scientific
Review Group recommends maintaining
the current endangered status of the
species.
Response: Plans have been developed
and are in place to protect manatees
from these activities. The Service has
developed recovery plans for the Florida
and Puerto Rico manatee populations
and the United Nations Environment
Programme has a conservation plan for
the West Indian manatee. Both plans
address these and other threats. In the
United States, the Service evaluates
land development projects that may
impact the species under the
consultation process set forth in Section
7 of the Act. For further information on
Section 7, please refer to Recovery
Actions and Available Conservation
Measures in the preamble to this final
rule.
(52) Comment: What happens to
Potential Biological Removal (PBR) if
the manatee is downlisted? How will a
higher PBR affect your Section 7
consultation process for coastal
development?
Response: PBR, as defined under the
MMPA, means ‘‘the maximum number
of animals, not including natural
mortalities that may be removed from a
marine mammal stock while allowing
that stock to reach or maintain its
optimum sustainable population.’’ The
PBR level is the product of the
minimum population estimate of the
stock, one-half the maximum theoretical
or estimated net productivity rate of the
stock at a small population size, and a
recovery factor of between 0.1 and 1.0.
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This rule does not change how PBR is
defined under the MMPA. Nevertheless,
as a result of this rule, in PBR
calculations for both Florida and
Antillean stocks we expect to use a
recovery factor for threatened species
instead of the recovery factor for
endangered species. The Service’s use of
PBR is limited to addressing takes
associated with commercial fishing
activities. However, known mortalities
and serious injuries associated with
these activities are nominal and should
not be affected by this change. Further,
because PBR is not used to address
coastal development activities, there
will be no effect on the Service’s
consultation process for these activities.
(53) Comment: A downlisting will
lead to a reduction in the availability of
funds and will make it more difficult to
obtain funding needed to address the
loss of warm-water habitat,
enforcement, important research, and
other conservation needs. FWS
acknowledges that under the FMSA
‘‘adequate funding could be problematic
if downlisting occurs.’’ In fact, an
assumption of adequate funding
underpins all of the assumptions in the
model that relate to anthropogenic
impacts. FWS states that ‘‘as long as
funding remains available, recovery
actions would continue to be
implemented, regulations enforced, and
additional measures adopted as needs
arise.’’ Loss of funding would adversely
affect development, implementation,
and enforcement of management actions
and plans.
Response: We acknowledge that loss
of funding could be a concern; which is,
in part, why the species meets the
definition of a threatened species under
the Act.
(54) Comment: One commenter noted
that the Service has failed to propose
critical habitat concurrently with its
proposal to downlist the manatee across
its range. When the FWS makes a listing
determination (including downlisting),
the Act requires the FWS to either
designate critical habitat for the manatee
or determine that such a designation is
not prudent or determinable (16 U.S.C.
1533(a)(3)(A)(i)). Another commenter
stated that the Service should assess the
incremental economic impact of
existing and proposed designations on
critical habitat. The Miccosukee Tribe
expressed concern that manatees and
their habitat are at risk from increasing
development without protections to
critical habitat provided by the Act.
Response: Critical habitat has been
designated for the West Indian manatee
(41 FR 41914, September 24, 1976;
corrected at 42 FR 47840, September 22,
1977; codified at 50 CFR 17.95(a)). The
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Act at 16 U.S.C. 1533(a)(3)(B) provides
that the Service may, from time to time
thereafter, revise the critical habitat
designation, and that it must make
findings on a petition to revise critical
habitat submitted under the
Administrative Procedure Act. See 16
U.S.C. 1533(b)(3)(D). The Service’s
January 12, 2010 (75 FR 1574), 12month finding on a petition to revise
critical habitat for the Florida manatee
found that a revision to critical habitat
is warranted but precluded because
sufficient funds were not (and still are
not) available due to higher priority
actions such as court-ordered listingrelated actions and judicially approved
settlement agreements. Because of this,
the existing critical habitat designation
remains in effect.
(55) Comment: The Service has not
adequately addressed cumulative
impacts from continued development,
increased vessel use, and ongoing water
quality problems that threaten the
aquatic habitats on which manatees
depend for survival.
Response: Our five-factor analysis,
under Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species, above, assessed all known
threats to the West Indian manatee. In
our assessment, we reviewed several
manatee population models
´
(Castelblanco-Martınez et al., 2012;
´
Arriaga et al., in Gomez et al., 2012,
entire, Runge presentation, 2016) that
assessed the effects of threats
individually and cumulatively. Threats
can individually impact a species or its
habitat or can work in concert with one
another to cumulatively create
conditions that may impact a species or
its habitat beyond the scope of
individual threats. See Cumulative
Effect of Threats below.
(56) Comment: The Service has
violated the Act by invoking its
‘‘significant portion of range’’ policy
and relying on its range-wide threatened
determination to avoid any analysis of
whether the West Indian manatee is
endangered in any significant portion of
its range, contrary to the plain language
of Section 3(6) of the Act, 16 U.S.C.
1532(6). FWS-cited data strongly suggest
that one or more portions of the West
Indian manatees’ range merits analysis
for significance.
Response: For our analysis, we
followed the Service’s final policy on
‘‘Significant Portion of its Range’’ (SPR)
(79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014). This policy
provides our interpretation of the phrase
‘‘significant portion of the range’’ in the
Act’s definitions of ‘‘endangered
species’’ and ‘‘threatened species’’. The
policy improves the implementation of
the Act by providing a consistent and
uniform standard interpretation of the
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phrase and its role in listing (and
delisting and reclassification)
determinations. The policy provides an
interpretation and application of SPR
that reflects a permissible reading of the
law and minimizes undesirable policy
outcomes, while fulfilling the
conservation purposes of the Act. The
final policy states ‘‘that a portion of a
species’ range can be ‘‘significant’’ only
if the species is not currently
endangered or threatened throughout all
of its range’’ (emphasis added);
furthermore, if a species is listed
throughout its entire range, there can be
no separate listings for portions of the
species (the final policy defines
‘‘significant’’ such that a portion of the
range cannot be significant if the species
already warrants listing throughout all
of its range). As this policy is applied,
there will be no circumstance in which
a species is threatened throughout all of
its range and [emphasis added]
endangered throughout an SPR. Based
on our evaluation of the biology and
current and potential threats to the West
Indian manatee, we determined that the
entire listed entity meets the definition
of threatened. Accordingly, the SPR
analysis concludes that the species
should be listed as threatened and no
further analysis is warranted.
This final policy reflects the Services’
expert judgment as to the best way to
interpret and apply ‘‘significant portion
of its range’’ as that phrase appears in
the Act. Because we conclude that the
entire West Indian manatee should be
listed as threatened, we do not analyze
this species at a smaller geographic
scale.
(57) Comment: Commenters stated
that when the Service downlists the
manatee, the Act’s take prohibition no
longer applies and, accordingly, if the
Service believes that it should continue
to regulate the take of the manatee
(despite local and State regulations that
prohibit take), the Service must follow
additional procedures laid out in the
Act. The Service states in the proposed
rule to reclassify the manatee that the
take prohibition in Section 9 of the Act
will automatically apply to the manatee
when it is reclassified as threatened. But
the Act expressly limits Section 9 to
endangered species because Congress
recognized that the take prohibition
imposes stringent limits on individuals
and businesses that are only justified by
the dire situations endangered species
face. Likewise, the Service should
consider the impacts of the downlisting
on the continuing need for Manatee
Protection Areas, which prohibit certain
waterborne activities ‘‘for the purpose of
preventing the taking of manatees’’ in
coastal and inland waters in Florida.
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Because the Act’s take prohibition does
not automatically apply to threatened
species, the Service will need to
determine anew whether Manatee
Protection Areas are necessary and
advisable.
Response: Take prohibitions for
manatee do not change with this final
rule. The same prohibitions are in place
for the manatee as a threatened species
that were in place when it was an
endangered species through the Act’s
implementing regulations. Under
section 9(a)(1) of the Act, all take
prohibitions outlined in section 50 CFR
17.21 (except § 17.21(c)(5)) apply to
threatened species through the
regulations codified at 50 CFR 17.31 and
17.32. Although the Service has
discretion to issue a species-specific
4(d) rule that could remove or modify
take prohibitions from or for specific
activities, we have not chosen to do so
at this time for manatee. The Service
believes the prohibitions and exceptions
set out in 50 CFR 17.31 and 17.32 are
most appropriate to address the
particular conservation needs of the
West Indian manatee at this time.
Accordingly, protections in Florida’s
coastal and inland waters will not
change with the reclassification of
manatee to threatened status. Manatee
Protection Areas (MPAs) have played a
substantial role in manatee conservation
and will be needed into the foreseeable
future, and the designation of these
areas will not be affected by the change
in status. In addition, as mentioned in
the response to Comment 40, the MMPA
prohibits the ‘‘take’’ (i.e., to harass,
hunt, capture, kill, or attempt to harass,
hunt, capture, or kill) of marine
mammals. MPAs also play an important
role in avoiding take under the MMPA.
(58) Comment: The overall lack of any
cumulative analysis with respect to any
or all of the relevant listing factors
demonstrates that the FWS has not
articulated a rational explanation to
justify downlisting.
Response: In making our
determination and in accordance with
the definitions of an endangered vs.
threatened species, the Service
concluded that the West Indian manatee
is not currently endangered but is likely
to become endangered in the foreseeable
future. In our review of the best
available information, we did not find
significant information that would lead
us to believe that the cumulative effect
of threats on the species warrants
maintaining the West Indian manatee as
an endangered species. Rather, the
potential cumulative effects of threats
on the West Indian manatee, in part,
contribute to the species’ threatened
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status (see Cumulative Effects section
later in this rule).
Summary of Changes From the
Proposed Rule
We made the following changes from
the proposed rule:
• We updated the Population Size
and Population Trends sections to
include a ‘‘Minimum Population Size’’
column to Table 1, changed the column
heading ‘‘Population Estimate’’ to ‘‘Nonstatistical Population Estimate,’’ and
provided additional information on the
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al., (2012)
publication.
• We revised the Recovery Actions
section of the preamble to include
information from a Manatee Core
Biological Model (CBM) update and to
include updates for the timeframes for
establishing spring minimum flows.
• We expanded the introduction of
the Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species to further clarify the definitions
of endangered and threatened.
• We included new information on
threats and mortality under the
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species section.
• We reviewed and incorporated, as
appropriate, information from Coulson
´
et al. 2001; Gomez et al. 2012; Galves et
al. 2015; and a presentation on Manatee
Core Biological Model updates in this
rule. These references were contributed
by commenters and/or became available
in September 2016.
• We added a ‘‘Cumulative Effects’’
section to our Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species section.
• We clarified in this rule why the
West Indian manatee is no longer
endangered but rather meets the
definition of a threatened species.
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species
Section 4(a)(1) of the Act requires us
to determine by regulation whether
‘‘any species is an endangered species
or a threatened species because of the
following factors: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence’’ (16 U.S.C. 1533(a)(1);
hereafter, the section 4(a)(1) factors).
Section 3 of the Act defines an
‘‘endangered species’’ as ‘‘any species
which is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range’’ and a ‘‘threatened species’’ as
one ‘‘which is likely to become an
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endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range’’ (16
U.S.C. 1532(6), (20)).
The U.S. District Court for the District
of Columbia noted that Congress
included ‘‘a temporal element to the
distinction between the categories of
endangered and threatened species’’ in
re Polar Bear Endangered Species Act
Listing and § 4(d) Rule Litigation, 794 F.
Supp. 2d 65, 89 n. 27. (D.D.C. 2011).
Thus, we interpret an ‘‘endangered
species’’ to be one that is presently in
danger of extinction. A ‘‘threatened
species,’’ on the other hand, is not
presently in danger of extinction, but is
likely to become so within the
foreseeable future (i.e., at a later time).
In other words, the primary statutory
difference between a threatened and
endangered species is the timing of
when a species may be in danger of
extinction, either presently
(endangered) or within the foreseeable
future (threatened).
In making our downlisting
determination, the foreseeable future
must take into account the life history
of the species, habitat characteristics,
availability of data, particular threats
under consideration, the ability to
predict those threats, and the reliability
of forecasts of changes in the species’
status in response to the threats. See
also ‘‘The Meaning of ‘Foreseeable
Future’ in Section 3(20) of the
Endangered Species Act,’’ (DOI 2009).
Pursuant to M–37021 (DOI 2009), we
identify a foreseeable future of 50 years
for the West Indian manatee, which we
believe can be predicted with reliability.
Please see section entitled Foreseeable
Future.
Thus, we used the best available
scientific and commercial data for the
West Indian manatee, including
demographic parameters and section
4(a)(1) factors. We note that, for the
Antillean subspecies, the best available
scientific and commercial information
relies in many cases upon expert
opinion and anecdotal observations. In
responding to the petition to downlist
the West Indian manatee species and,
after considering conservation efforts by
States and foreign nations to protect the
West Indian manatee as required under
section 4(b)(1)(A), we proposed
downlisting (80 FR 1000, February 6,
2016) based on the statutory definitions
of endangered and threatened species.
To make our final listing
determinations, we reviewed all
information provided during the 90-day
public comment period and additional
scientific and commercial data that
became available since the publication
of the proposed rule. See Summary of
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Changes From Proposed Rule. However,
this additional information merely
supplemented, and did not differ
significantly from, the information
presented in the proposed rule. We
received no significant new information
that would cause us to change our
listing determination (see the Comments
and Summary of Changes from the
Proposed Rule sections above). With
this rule, we finalize our proposed
listing determination.
The following analysis examines all
factors currently affecting or that are
likely to affect the West Indian manatee
within the foreseeable future.
Factor A. The Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
At the time of listing, resource
managers were concerned about the
effect of the loss of seagrass on
manatees. Subsequently, it became
apparent that habitat loss and
fragmentation were significant concerns
outside the United States. Within the
southeastern U.S., the loss of manatee
winter habitat has become a significant
concern. Degradation and loss of
manatee habitat occurs throughout its
range (UNEP 2010, p. 12). Although the
immediacy and the magnitude of this
factor varies throughout the species’
range, available manatee foraging
habitat does not seem to be a limiting
factor in most of the range countries,
including Florida and Puerto Rico (Orth
et al. 2006, p. 994; Drew et al. 2012, p.
13; Lefebvre et al. 2001, entire; UNEP
2010, entire). Still, manatee habitat
degradation and loss remain a threat in
most countries, and ongoing efforts to
address these threats remains a recovery
priority (Castelblanco et al. 2012, p.
142).
Some countries have been able to
document manatee habitat loss effects,
while other countries do not have sitespecific information available to
quantify the severity and/or frequency
of this threat on manatees. For example,
in Mexico, loss of manatees from certain
areas has been attributed to, among
other factors, the construction of a dam
´
along a river (Colmenero-Rolon and
Hoz-Zavala 1986, in UNEP 2010, p. 59),
while significant manatee habitat
modification has affected the number of
animals along the coast of Veracruz
(Serrano et al. 2007, p. 109). Other
important manatee habitat in Belize
such as Turneffe atoll is also affected by
unsustainable fishing, mangrove
clearing, overdevelopment, and
dredging (Edwards 2014, entire).
In Honduras, manatee abundance
declined, in part, because of habitat
degradation (Cerrato 1993, in Lefebvre
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et al. 2001, p. 440), while in Costa Rica,
habitat modification activities such as
logging and agriculture have increased
sedimentation in rivers and lagoons,
making it difficult for manatees to
access suitable habitat in the Tortuguero
River system (Smethurst and
Nietschmann 1999, in Lefebvre et al.
2001, p. 442). In Panama, manatee
distribution is apparently fragmented by
discontinuous and likely depleted
habitat (Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 442).
Although threats continue, there are
recovery efforts being made to protect
the manatee against threats posed by
habitat loss or modification in many
range countries and in the areas of U.S.
jurisdiction. In Belize, three protected
areas were created specifically to protect
critical manatee habitat, and more than
43 percent of the country’s protected
areas are within the coastal zone (UNEP
2010, p. 24). Mexico has designated
significant special manatee protection
areas (UNEP 2010, p. 60), and Trinidad
protected the Nariva Swamp, the most
important manatee habitat in that
country (UNEP 2010, p. 77). Although
most countries within the species’ range
outside of the United States continue to
provide suitable manatee habitat,
habitat degradation and loss remains a
threat requiring ongoing recovery
efforts.
The Service’s 2007 5-year review
identified specific threats including loss
of seagrass due to marine construction
activities (extent unknown), propeller
scarring and anchoring (magnitude
unknown), and oil spills; loss of
freshwater due to damming and
competing uses; and increasing coastal
commercial and recreational activities
(USFWS 2007, pp. 30–31). Human
activities that result in the loss of
seagrass include dredging, fishing,
anchoring, eutrophication, siltation, and
coastal development (Duarte 2002, p.
194; Orth et al. 2006, p. 991; PRDNER
2008, entire; PRDNER 2012, entire).
Since the 2007 5-year review, habitat
effects including threats to seagrass
habitat have been quantitatively
assessed in Puerto Rico. The PRDNER
has been gathering new relevant
information documented in its two
reports entitled Evaluation of
Recreational Boating Anchor Damage
on Coral Reefs and Seagrass Beds
(PRDNER 2008, entire; PRDNER 2012,
entire). The report identified the east,
south, and west coasts of the island as
the areas with major impacts on seagrass
beds caused by vessel propellers,
indiscriminate anchorage, and poor
navigation skills. According to the
reports, the areas with major impacts of
severe magnitude were those on the
south-central coast, including high
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manatee use areas in the municipalities
of Guayama, Salinas and Guayanilla,
among others. The PRDNER (2008,
2012, p. 6) also describes that sea
grasses are being severely impacted by
both the scarring actions of motor boat
propellers and the scouring action of jet
ski traffic in shallow waters. In addition,
small to mid-size boat owners prefer to
visit near-shore areas, which have
contributed to the decrease in seagrass
density and an increment in the
fragmentation of this habitat (PRDNER
2008, 2012, p. 7).
Although anthropogenic activities
that result in the loss of seagrass such
as dredging, anchoring, effects from
coastal development, propeller scarring,
boat groundings, and inappropriate
recreational activities occur in Puerto
Rico, seagrass abundance is not
considered a limiting factor for the
current Antillean manatee population of
the Island (Drew et al. 2012, p. 13). It
would be expected that a significant
decrease of this resource could cause
stress to the manatee population.
However, no data is available to support
estimates of how much seagrass is
needed to sustain a larger manatee
population (Bonde et al. 2004, p. 258).
Based on the present availability of
seagrass habitat in Puerto Rico, the
Service believes the severity of the
threat of degraded and or decreased
seagrass habitat is low and there is no
indication that potential foraging
limitations or specialization are
decreasing manatee fitness or causing
manatee mortalities in Puerto Rico.
To offset these threats in Puerto Rico,
a wide range of conservation efforts are
ongoing (see Recovery and Recovery
Actions). These include the collective
efforts of the Service, the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers, the PRDNER, the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), the U.S. Coast
Guard, and others working to avoid,
minimize, and mitigate project impacts
on manatee habitat. The development
and implementation of no-wake areas,
marked navigation channels, boat
exclusion areas, and standardized
construction conditions for marinas and
boat ramps are a few of the efforts
making a positive impact on
maintaining and protecting important
manatee habitat (see Recovery and
Recovery Plan Implementation
sections).
Manatees require sources of fresh
water for daily drinking and do not
appear to exhibit a preference for
natural over anthropogenic freshwater
resources (Slone et al. 2006, p. 3).
Sources of freshwater are currently not
considered limiting in Puerto Rico and
include the mouths of streams and
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rivers, coastal groundwater springs, and
even industrial wastewater outflows
(e.g., wastewater treatment plants,
hydroelectric power plants). At this
time, the lack and/or degradation of
fresh water is considered a low-level
threat in Puerto Rico. There is no
indication that manatees are being
affected by a lack of freshwater sources,
even during the 2015 severe drought
and especially since it is possible for
manatees to drink from several sources.
However, the potential impact of poor
water quality on the manatee population
is unknown. The Service will continue
to assess and work with others towards
maintenance and potential
enhancement of manatee freshwater
drinking sources.
Within the southeastern United
States, the potential loss of warm water
at power plants and natural, warmwater springs used by wintering
manatees is identified as a significant
threat (USFWS 2007, entire; Laist and
Reynolds 2005 a, b, entire, and (USFWS
2001, entire). Natural springs are
threatened by potential reductions in
flow and water quality (due to
unsustainable water withdrawals
combined with severe droughts) and by
factors such as siltation, disturbance
caused by recreational activities, and
others that affect manatee access and
use of the springs (Florida Springs Task
Force 2000, p. 13). Power plants, which
provide winter refuges for a majority of
the Florida manatee population, are not
permanent reliable sources of warm
water. In the past, some industrial
sources of warm water have been
eliminated due to plant obsolescence,
environmental permitting requirements,
economic pressures, and other factors
(USFWS 2000, entire). Experience with
disruptions at some sites has shown that
some manatees can adapt to minor
changes at these sites; during temporary
power plant shutdowns, manatees have
been observed to use less preferred
nearby sites. In other cases, manatees
have died when thermal discharges
have been eliminated due to behavioral
persistence or site fidelity (USFWS
2000, entire).
The current network of power plant
sites will likely endure for another 40
years or so (Laist et al. 2013, p. 9). We
do not know for sure if the plants will
be replaced or eliminated at the end of
this time period, but the likelihood is
that the power plants will close (Laist
and Reynolds 2005b, p. 281). We also do
not know how manatees would respond
if some sites are lost, since past
modifications or changes to power plant
sites have resulted in variable responses
from manatees. If power plant outflows
are lost, manatees would rely on
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remaining springs in the upper St. Johns
River and northwest Florida regions and
on Warm Mineral Springs in southwest
Florida, passive thermal basins, and
warm ambient waters in southernmost
Florida. The loss of certain warm-water
sites potentially could cause a change in
Atlantic coast abundance and
distribution of manatees because there
are no natural springs on the Atlantic
coast north of the St. John’s River (Laist
and Reynolds 2005b, p. 287).
Florida’s springs have seen drastic
declines in flows and water quality, and
many springs have been altered
(dammed, silted in, and otherwise
obstructed) to the point that they are no
longer accessible to manatees (Florida
Springs Task Force 2001, p. 4; Laist and
Reynolds 2005b, p. 287; Taylor 2006,
pp. 5–6). Flow declines are largely
attributable to demands on aquifers
(spring recharge areas) for potable water
used for drinking, irrigation, and other
uses (Marella 2014, pp. 1–2). Declining
flows provide less usable water for
wintering manatees. Declines in water
quality (e.g., increased nitrates) can
promote the growth of undesirable alga,
such as Lyngbya sp., which can cover
and smother food plants used by
wintering manatees (Florida Springs
Task Force 2001, pp. 12, 26). Notable
springs largely inaccessible to manatees
due to damming include springs in the
Ocklawaha and Withlacoochee river
systems. Springs that have silted in
include Manatee and Fanning springs,
Warm Mineral Spring, Weeki Wachee
Spring, and others (Taylor 2006, pp. 5,
8).
In the case of Manatee, Fanning, and
Weeki Wachee springs, restoration
efforts have removed sand bars and
other obstructions, making these sites
once again accessible to manatees (The
Nature Conservancy 2015). See: https://
www.nature.org/ourinitiatives/regions/
northamerica/unitedstates/florida/
howwework/saving-manatees-throughsprings-restoration.xml. Also, Marella
(2014, p. 1) noted declining demands on
central Florida aquifers due to increased
rainfall, declining agricultural demands,
use of re-use water, and other water
conservation measures, suggesting that
spring flows used by manatees can be
maintained. Chapter 62–42, Florida
Administrative Code, requires that
minimum flow levels be set for Florida
waterbodies. Set flow levels require that
measures be taken should flows drop
below statutorily adopted levels, thus
insuring adequate flows. Minimum
flows have been set for six springs that
are important to wintering manatees.
Flow levels must be identified for the
Crystal River springs complex and other
important springs.
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In the southeastern United States, a
wide range of conservation efforts
identified in the 2007 5-year Review are
continuing (USFWS 2007, pp. 17–18;
see also Recovery and Recovery Plan
Implementation discussion above).
Service efforts in cooperation and
coordination with State and industry
partners are ongoing to minimize any
future manatee losses from industrial
site reductions or closures by seeking
short-term alternatives and long-term
sustainable options for supporting
manatees without the reliance on
industrial warm-water sources. Spring
studies and on-the-ground restorations
seek to restore flows and access to
existing natural springs. Habitat
degradation and loss from natural and
human-related causes are being
addressed through collective efforts to
improve overall water quality, minimize
construction-related impacts, and
minimize loss of seagrass due to prop
scarring. Efforts to replant areas devoid
of seagrass are showing success in
restoring lost manatee foraging habitat
(van Katwijk et al. 2016, p. 572).
Summary of Factor A: In Florida and
Puerto Rico, the manatee has not
experienced any curtailment of its
range; however, a concern continues to
be the loss of warm water habitat.
Outside of the U.S. habitat loss,
fragmentation, and degradation
continue to be a concern for manatees
as well. There have been substantial
improvements due to regulatory
mechanisms in place towards
addressing habitat threats since listing.
However, these factors still threaten the
West Indian manatee but not to the
magnitude that currently places the
species in danger of extinction,
especially given the availability of
suitable habitat throughout the species’
range. In view of increasing human
populations and associated
development within the range of the
species, it is reasonable to predict that
these threats will continue within the
foreseeable future of 50 years. Please see
section entitled Foreseeable Future. We
will continue to evaluate projects in
areas of U.S. jurisdiction (Puerto Rico
and areas of the continental United
States) to benefit habitat for the West
Indian manatee and make
recommendations to avoid and
minimize impacts to manatee habitat.
For West Indian manatees in the
continental United States, ensuring the
continued availability of warm-water
refugia sites is a critical need related to
this factor.
In the discussion above (and in
supplemental documents), we describe
progress with local, county, city, and
State partners to maintain minimum
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flows and restore habitat at sites where
we believe it will help address this
habitat need for the species. For areas
outside U.S. jurisdiction, we have
documented examples of habitat
destruction, modification, and
fragmentation that have impacted West
Indian manatees, by damming rivers
and destroying estuaries. There are also
a number of positive examples of
manatee protection areas that will
continue to provide long-term suitable
manatee habitat. The Service, led by our
International Affairs Program, will
continue to work together with other
countries towards manatee habitat
conservation.
Factor B. Overutilization for
Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Since the manatee was originally
listed, information indicates that
overutilization, particularly poaching,
occurs to a lesser extent now but
continues to affect manatees.
Throughout the range of the species,
manatees are used for a variety of
purposes. Outside the United States,
manatees have been hunted and
poached to supply meat and other
commodities. Recreationally, people
seek out opportunities to view manatees
through commercial ecotour operators
or on their own. There are numerous
scientific studies being conducted on
captive and wild manatees, including
studies of specimens salvaged from
carcasses. The public is educated about
manatees through a variety of media,
such as videos and photographs,
including rehabilitating manatees in
captivity.
Poaching is hypothesized no longer to
occur in a few regions, has been reduced
in others, and is still common in others
(UNEP 2010, entire; Marsh et al. 2011,
p. 386). A number of recent poaching
events and reports are a concern
´
(Alvarez-Aleman, et al., No Date (ND),
retrieved 2017 from: https://
sea2shore.org/focal-species/manatees/
antillean-manatee-conservation-incuba/; World Atlas, ND, Retrieved 2017
from: https://www.worldatlas.com/
articles/threatened-mammals-ofguatemala.html; Grattan 2016, retrieved
2017 from https://
latincorrespondent.com/2016/02/20endangered-manatees-slaughtered-in´
colombia/; Rodrıguez Mega 2016,
retrieved 2017 from https://
www.worldwildlife.org/magazine/
issues/summer-2016/articles/eyes-onthe-water-in-belize; Tejo and Maria
2016, retrieved 2017 from https://
dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/handle/
10161/12872). Poaching has been
responsible for past declining numbers
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throughout much of the Antillean
subspecies’ range (Thornback and
Jenkins 1982, in Lefebvre et al. 2001, p.
426) (in 17 of 20 range countries). For
example, in Guadeloupe (French
Antilles), the local manatee population
was hunted to extinction by the early
1900s (Marsh et al. 2011, p. 429). In
Honduras, manatees are still actively
poached on an opportunistic basis in La
´
Mosquita (Gonzalez-Socoloske et al.
2011, p. 129). Depending on certain
social and economic factors, current
poaching rates in northern Nicaragua
vary from year to year (Self-Sullivan and
Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 44). Other
manatee products include oil, bones,
and hide (Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 426;
Marsh et al. 2011, p. 264; Self-Sullivan
and Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, pp. 42–
45).
Because of their low reproductive
rates (Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 12),
poaching continues to pose a serious
threat to some manatee populations,
especially in those areas where few
manatees remain. As of 2009, although
manatee poaching in Colombia still
occurred in specific areas and seasons
´
(Castelblanco-Martınez 2009, p. 239); it
is less common than in the past (UNEP
2010, p. 30). Marsh (2011, p. 269) and
other more current reports (Alvarez´
Aleman, et al., No Date (ND), retrieved
2017 from: https://sea2shore.org/focalspecies/manatees/antillean-manateeconservation-in-cuba/; World Atlas, ND,
Retrieved 2017 from: https://
www.worldatlas.com/articles/
threatened-mammals-ofguatemala.html; Grattan 2016, retrieved
2017 from https://
latincorrespondent.com/2016/02/20endangered-manatees-slaughtered-in´
colombia/; Rodrıguez Mega 2016,
retrieved 2017 from: https://
www.worldwildlife.org/magazine/
issues/summer-2016/articles/eyes-onthe-water-in-belize; Tejo and Maria
2016, retrieved 2017 from https://
dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/handle/
10161/12872) identifies poaching as a
threat to manatees in Belize, Brazil,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominican
Republic, French Guiana, Guatemala,
Haiti, Honduras, Mexico, Suriname,
Trinidad and Tobago, and Venezuela.
Poaching is no longer a threat in the
mainland United States and Puerto Rico
(Marsh 2011, p. 269). Foreign
governments have instituted regulations
to address this threat (see Factor D
discussion). We continue to pursue
initiatives with other countries that
encourage a ban on poaching and
hunting of manatees.
In the southeastern United States and
other areas where people view
manatees, numerous measures are in
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place to prevent the take of manatees
due to disturbance of viewing-related
harassment. Well-enforced sanctuaries
keep people out of sensitive manatee
habitats (i.e., warm-water sites),
educated tour guides ensure that their
customers do not harass manatees, and
many educational programs prescribe
appropriate measures to take when in
the presence of manatees. For example,
in 1992, manatees stopped visiting
suitable manatee habitat (Swallow Caye,
Belize) after swim-with-the-manatee
programs were allowed without proper
control (Auil 1998, p. 12). Community
groups and a local conservation
organization helped to declare the area
a wildlife sanctuary in 2002. The area is
currently co-managed between the
Belize Forest Department and a local
conservation organization (UNEP 2010,
p. 23), and manatees have returned to
the area.
In Puerto Rico, harassment of
manatees by kayak users and swimmers
has been reported in several popular
beach and coastal recreational areas. In
addition, harassment related to
speedboat races in manatee areas has
increased. In 2014 alone, the Service
reviewed 12 permit applications for
speed boat races in Puerto Rico, several
of them in areas with high
concentrations of manatees. However, to
date there have been no reported
injuries or deaths of manatees caused by
speedboat races. Consultation with the
Service under Section 7 of the Act has
served to implement specific
conservation measures during marine
events such as boat races (see Recovery
and Recovery Implementation and
Available Conservation Measures
sections). The U.S. Coast Guard
consistently consults with the Service
on marine event applications and
readily includes manatee conservation
measures when applicable. In addition,
government agencies and local
nongovernmental organizations have
implemented education and outreach
strategies to ensure that manatee
harassment is avoided and minimized.
Education and research programs
involving manatees are designed to
ensure that manatees are neither
adversely affected nor overutilized.
Examples include outreach efforts used
to minimize manatee harassment in
Crystal River, Florida, and the Service’s
Act/MMPA marine mammal scientific
research permitting program, which
limits the potential negative effects that
research activities have on manatees.
Summary of Factor B: In summary,
overutilization (particularly poaching
and hunting) occurs to a lesser extent
than when the species was originally
listed but continues to occur with
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varying frequency from absent to
common throughout the species’ range
due to regulatory measures (see detailed
discussion in Factor D section) that have
been implemented to protect manatees.
Efforts are in place to address remaining
concerns and are proving effective in a
good portion of the West Indian
manatee’s range. The manatee’s
situation has improved since it was
originally listed; poaching is not a
current threat in the southeastern
United States (including Puerto Rico)
and has been reduced in other
countries. However, the threat of
poaching in some range countries where
poaching is poorly controlled will likely
continue within the foreseeable future
which we determined to be 50 years
(please see section entitled Foreseeable
Future).
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Factor C. Disease or Predation
At the time of listing, neither disease
nor predation were identified as
concerns for manatees. While numerous
infectious disease agents and parasites
have been reported in sirenians
(manatees and dugongs), there have
been no reports of major West Indian
manatee mortality events caused by
disease or parasites (Marsh et al. 2011,
p. 294).
However, disease-related deaths are
known to occur in West Indian
manatees. Recent cases of toxoplasmosis
are a concern in Puerto Rico (Bossart et
al. 2012, p. 139). Marsh et al. (2011, p.
294) stated that the importance of
disease as a threat to the manatee is
unknown. In spite of concerns about the
manatee’s ability to rebound from a
population crash should an epizootic
event occur, the impact of disease on
population viability remains unknown
(Sulzner et al. 2012, p. 1). Marsh et al.
2011 (p. 294) speculated that the Florida
subspecies appears to have a robust
immune system that safeguards them
from significant disease outbreaks. We
suspect this to be also true for the
Antillean subspecies because we have
no documented disease outbreaks.
Mou Sue et al. (1990) described rare
attacks by sharks on manatees in
Panama (p. 239). Reported instances of
sharks and alligators feeding on
manatees are extremely rare (Marsh et
al. 2011, p. 239).
Summary of Factor C: We do not have
information to indicate that disease and
predation is now or will be a significant
factor in the foreseeable future.
However, because of the long lifespan of
this mammal, we will continue to
monitor disease and predation of
manatees with all of our conservation
partners.
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Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms
Since the manatee was originally
listed in 1967, regulatory mechanisms
have been established throughout the
West Indian manatee’s range with
varying degrees of effectiveness. At the
time of the manatee’s original listing,
there were very few regulatory
mechanisms in place. Currently,
regulatory mechanisms include, but are
not limited to, specific laws and
regulations that prohibit specific and
general human activities that impact
manatees and their habitat, and the
establishment of long-term conservation
protection measures at key locations
throughout the manatee’s range. These
include those efforts being made by any
State or foreign nation, or any political
subdivision of a State or foreign nation,
to protect manatees. The extent and
overall effectiveness of these regulatory
mechanisms varies widely from country
to country. Enforcement and
compliance with these measures, as
well as the need for additional efforts in
some countries, continues to be a
concern and will require additional
cooperative efforts into the foreseeable
future. In the United States, Florida
county manatee protection plans (MPPs)
have improved the status of manatees.
Outside the United States, West
Indian manatees are protected in most
countries by a combination of national
and international treaties and
agreements as listed in Table 4 in UNEP
(2010, p. 14), in Lefebvre et al. (2001,
entire), and Table 4.2 in Self-Sullivan
and Mignucci-Giannoni (2012, p. 41).
See Supplemental Document 3 in
Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178.
Countries within the range of the
Antillean manatee protect the manatee
by national legislation (UNEP 2010,
Table 4). For example, in the Bahamas,
manatees are protected under the Wild
Animals Protection Act (Chapter 248, 21
of 1968 E.L.A.O. 1974), which prohibits
the taking or capture of any wild animal
(Government of the Bahamas 2004). In
2005, the Bahamian Government also
created the Marine Mammal Protection
Act (No. 12), which monitors and
regulates human interactions with
marine mammals. The Act prohibits
taking, selling, or harassing any marine
mammal (Government of the Bahamas
2006). As another example, the Manatee
Protection Ordinance (1933–1936)
provided the first protective legislation
for the species in Belize. In 1981,
manatees in Belize were included as an
endangered species in the Wildlife
Protection Act No. 4 of the Forest
Department. The Act prohibits the
killing, taking, or molesting of manatees,
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as well as possession and sale of any
part of any manatee (Auil 1998, pp. 29–
30).
The West Indian manatee is listed in
Appendix I of the Convention on
International Trade in Endangered
Species of Wild Fauna and Flora
(CITES). CITES (see www.cites.org) is an
international agreement through which
member countries work together to
protect against over-exploitation of
animal and plant species found in
international trade. Commercial trade in
wild-caught specimens of these
Appendix I species is illegal (permitted
only in exceptional licensed
circumstances). The Service reviewed
the CITES trade database for the West
Indian manatee, which currently has
information from 1977 to 2013, and
found that trade does not pose a threat
to the West Indian manatee at this time.
The manatee and its habitat are also
protected by the Cartagena Convention
Protocol Concerning Specially Protected
Areas and Wildlife for the protection
and development of the marine
environment of the Wider Caribbean
Region (SPAW Protocol). The SPAW
Protocol, approved in 1990, prohibits
the possession, taking, killing, and
commercial trade of any sirenian
species (UNEP 2010, p. 14).
Although manatees outside of the
southeastern United States are legally
protected by these and other
mechanisms, full implementation of
these international and local laws is
lacking, especially given limited
funding and understaffed law
enforcement agencies (UNEP 2010, p.
89).
Marsh et al. (2011, p. 387) indicated
that enforcement remains a critical issue
for West Indian manatees. Outside the
United States, mechanisms are needed
to allow existing West Indian manatee
protection laws to work as intended.
Despite all of the existing regulations for
manatees, illegal poaching and
destruction of habitat continue (SelfSullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni 2012,
p. 41). Enforcement of conservation
policies varies in different coastal
regions; in some regions, poaching is
common and in areas with a
government presence, enforcement
efforts are thought to be significant
(Self-Sullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni
2012, p. 45).
In the United States, in addition to
being listed under the Act, the West
Indian manatee is further considered a
depleted stock under the Marine
Mammal Protection Act (see greater
detail just below; MMPA, 16 U.S.C.
1361 et seq.; Previous Federal Actions
section, and Supplemental Document 2
in Docket No. FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178),
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and is also taken into consideration
when addressing actions under the
Clean Water Act and the Fish and
Wildlife Coordination Act. The MMPA
has contributed to the improvement of
the status of the manatee in part through
its general moratorium on the taking
and importation of marine mammals
and their products, with some
exemptions (e.g., Alaska Native
subsistence purposes) and exceptions to
the prohibitions (e.g., for scientific
research, enhancement of the species,
and unintentional incidental take
coincident with conducting lawful
activities).
‘‘Take’’ is defined under the MMPA as
‘‘harass, hunt, capture, or kill, or
attempt to harass, hunt, capture or kill.’’
The term ‘‘harassment’’ means ‘‘any act
of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which
has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild’’ (Level A harassment), or ‘‘has the
potential to disturb a marine mammal or
marine mammal stock in the wild by
causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering’’ (Level B
harassment).
Under the MMPA, any marine
mammal species or population stock
that is listed as an endangered or a
threatened species under the Act is
considered by definition ‘‘depleted’’ and
managed as such. Furthermore, a marine
mammal stock that is listed under the
Act is considered a ‘‘strategic stock’’ for
purposes of commercial fishery
considerations. Neither of these
categorizations change with the
reclassification of the West Indian
manatee from endangered to threatened.
Both the Florida and Puerto Rico stocks
will remain depleted and strategic
under the MMPA.
Title II of the MMPA established the
Marine Mammal Commission
(Commission), an independent agency
of the U.S. Government, to review and
make recommendations on the marine
mammal policies, programs, and actions
being carried out by Federal regulatory
agencies related to implementation of
the MMPA. The Service coordinates and
works with the Commission in order to
provide the best management practices
for marine mammals.
Within the southeastern United States
and Puerto Rico, the West Indian
manatee also receives protection by
most State and Territorial agencies, and
will continue to receive protection as a
threatened species. In Florida, the
manatee is protected by the Florida
Manatee Sanctuary Act (FMSA), which
established Florida as a sanctuary for
manatees. This designation protects
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manatees from injury, disturbance,
harassment, and harm in the waters of
Florida, and provides for the
designation and enforcement of manatee
protection zones and has helped to
improve the status of the species.
However, Florida statutes state that,
‘‘[w]hen the federal and state
governments remove the manatee from
status as an endangered or threatened
species, the annual allocation may be
reduced’’ (Florida Manatee Sanctuary
Act (FMSA) Chap. 379.2431(2)(u)(4)(c)),
suggesting that adequate funding could
be reduced after downlisting. Florida
laws also provide a regulatory basis to
protect habitat and spring flows (Florida
Water Resources Act).
In Georgia, West Indian manatees are
listed as endangered under the Georgia
Wildlife Act of 1973 (O.C.G.A. sections
22–3–130) which prohibits the capture,
killing, or selling of protected species
and protects the habitat of these species
on public lands. In 1999, the
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico approved
the Law No. 241, known as the New
Wildlife Law of Puerto Rico (Nueva Ley
de Vida Silvestre de Puerto Rico). The
purpose of this law is to protect,
conserve, and enhance both native and
migratory wildlife species, declare to be
the property of Puerto Rico all wildlife
species within its jurisdiction, and
regulate permits, hunting activities, and
exotic species, among other actions. In
2004, the PRDNER approved Regulation
6766 to regulate the management of
threatened and endangered species in
Puerto Rico (Reglamento 6766—
Reglamento para Regir el Manejo de las
Especies Vulnerables y en Peligro de
´
Extincion en el Estado Libre Asociado
de Puerto Rico). In particular, the New
Wildlife Law of Puerto Rico of 1999 and
its regulations provide for severe fines
for any activities that affect Puerto
Rico’s endangered species, including
the Antillean manatee. These laws
similarly prohibit the capture, killing,
take, or selling of protected species.
Also, the Navigation and Aquatic
Safety Law for the Commonwealth of
Puerto Rico (Law 430) was implemented
in year 2000 and allows for the
designation and enforcement of
watercraft speed zones for the
protection of wildlife and coastal
resources (PRDNER 2000). However, in
Puerto Rico and Florida, despite
protections, watercraft collisions
continue to negatively impact manatees
(see Factor E). The PRDNER has
indicated that current speed regulatory
buoys are ineffective, in part because
regulations do not identify the perimeter
or area that each buoy regulates
´
(Jimenez-Marrero 2015, pers. comm.).
Thus, emphasis has been given to public
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education and signage in coastal areas to
further reduce manatee mortality.
In addition, there are numerous other
manatee protection laws and regulations
in place in other States within the
United States. These are detailed in a
table entitled ‘‘Existing International,
Federal, and State Regulatory
Mechanisms,’’ see ‘‘Supplemental
Document 2’’ in Docket No FWS–R4–
ES–2015–0178 or https://www.fws.gov/
northflorida and https://www.fws.gov/
caribbean/es. This table shows an
extensive list of existing regulatory
mechanisms in place for the West
Indian manatee; many have been
instituted, revised, or improved to better
protect the manatee.
Based on population growth and
stability described earlier in this rule,
the above-described regulatory
mechanisms in place have contributed
towards growth in the West Indian
manatee population in the United States
and provided protection for their habitat
as needed. These existing regulatory
mechanisms will remain in effect when
the species is reclassified to threatened.
The West Indian manatee in the United
States will remain protected as a
threatened species under the Act, and as
a depleted species under the MMPA. As
long as funding remains available,
recovery actions would continue to be
implemented, regulations enforced, and
additional measures adopted as needs
arise. State and Federal agencies would
continue to coordinate on the
implementation of manatee
conservation measures.
Summary of Factor D: In summary,
regulatory mechanisms implemented
since the manatee’s listing, such as state
and foreign country protections, have
ameliorated some of the factors affecting
manatees. However, challenges in the
enforcement of regulatory mechanisms
remain and there are still outstanding
threats to the species. When this rule
becomes effective and the species is
reclassified to threatened, regulatory
mechanisms will remain in place under
the Act and will continue to provide
legal protections to the species. CITES
and MMPA protections will also remain
in place. We will continue to maintain
our relationships with local, State, and
foreign governments to encourage the
use of regulatory mechanisms to support
the recovery of manatees.
Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade
Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence
At the time of listing in 1967, one of
the primary factors that led to its
federally-protected status was watercraft
collisions with manatees. Since 1967,
several regulatory measures have been
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established to help address this concern
which are discussed in detail below. In
addition, since manatees have been
protected, studies and monitoring have
revealed that current factors that may
affect West Indian manatees include:
Human-related interactions, such as
watercraft collisions, harassment,
fishing gear entanglement, exposure to
contaminants, and naturally occurring
phenomena such as harmful algal
blooms, exposure to the cold, loss of
genetic diversity, effects of climate
change, and tropical storms and
hurricanes. In 2007, the Service
considered watercraft collisions to be
the most significant factor affecting
manatees in the United States (USFWS
2007, pp. 32–33). We provide
summaries of other natural and
manmade factors below:
Watercraft—Watercraft collisions that
kill or injure manatees are a threat in
some range countries outside the United
States. However, current information on
the effects of boat traffic on manatees
does not exist for most range countries
outside the United States. In some
countries such as Belize, watercraft
collisions are the predominant cause of
death and are increasing (Auil and
Valentine 2004, in UNEP 2010, p. 22;
Galves et al. 2015, entire). As the
number of registered boats has increased
significantly since the mid-1990s,
manatees are most vulnerable to
collisions in the waters near Belize City
(Auil 1998, in UNEP 2010, p. 22; Galves
et al. 2015, entire). Motorboats are
becoming more abundant and popular
in Guatemala, and watercraft traffic and
speed are not regulated even within
protected areas (UNEP 2010, pp. 45–46).
An aquatic transportation system with
high-powered engines has increased
boat transit in one of the most important
manatee habitat areas in Panama (UNEP
2010, p. 66). Increased boating activities
in Brazil have resulted in both lethal
collisions with manatees and disruption
of manatee behavior (Self-Sullivan and
Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 43).
Within the United States, watercraftrelated deaths have been identified as
the most significant anthropogenic
threat to manatees in both Florida and
Puerto Rico. In Puerto Rico, 34 years of
manatee mortality data from 1980 to
2014 indicate that a total of 37 manatees
have died due to watercraft (Mignucci et
al. 2000, p. 192; Mignucci-Giannoni
2006, p. 2; PRDNER 2015, unpubl. data).
This number represents approximately
15 percent of the total known mortality
cases during that time (37 out of 242) or
an average of 1.1 manatees per year.
Although 37 deaths may be considered
a low number, it can be argued that the
percentage of watercraft-related causes
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of death may be somewhat
underestimated for three reasons. First,
for the majority of the manatee mortality
cases in Puerto Rico, the cause of death
is deemed undetermined (38 percent, 92
out of 242), mostly because carcasses are
too decomposed when found and a
cause of death cannot be determined, so
it may be that many of these deaths are
also watercraft-related. Second,
watercraft-related effects that may cause
a mother and calf to separate will go
undetected, as it would be challenging
to find evidence of such an event. The
number of dependent calf deaths in
Puerto Rico for the past 34 years is 55
calves (22.6 percent, 55 out of 242) or
an average of 1.6 manatee calves per
year. The majority of the manatees
rescued for rehabilitation in Puerto Rico
are calves. Lastly, it is assumed that not
all carcasses are recovered, so there may
be additional undocumented deaths
caused by watercraft.
However, carcass salvage numbers for
Puerto Rico indicate that the number of
watercraft-related deaths is low, and the
population is believed to remain stable
(see Population Size and Population
Trends sections) in spite of these
numbers. As boat use in Puerto Rico has
increased in number and distribution
(PRDNER 2012, p. 3), and with no State
or Federal MPAs yet established, one
may expect an increase in watercraftrelated conflicts. Still, manatee carcass
totals for Puerto Rico have exceeded 10
or more only six times over 34 years and
average approximately 7 per year
(Mignucci et al. 2000, p. 192; MignucciGiannoni 2006, p. 2; PRDNER Manatee
Stranding Reports 2015, unpubl. data).
In addition, calf numbers documented
in the most recent aerial surveys
indicate the population is reproducing
well, with a record high of 23 calves
counted in December 2013 (see
Population Size section). As the species
continues to move towards recovery, the
Service will continue to address and
make improvements towards avoiding
and further reducing watercraft-related
deaths or impacts.
In Florida, a manatee carcass salvage
program, started in 1974, collected and
examined manatee carcasses to
determine cause of death. This program
identified watercraft collisions with
manatees as a primary cause of humanrelated manatee mortality. The recent
status review and threats analysis shows
that watercraft-related mortality remains
the single largest threat in Florida to the
West Indian manatee (O’Shea et al.
1985, entire; Ackerman et al. 1995,
entire; Wright et al. 1995, entire;
Deutsch et al. 2002, entire; Lightsey et
al. 2006, entire; Rommel et al. 2007,
entire, Runge et al. 2015, p. 16). Runge
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et al. (2015, p. 20) observed that
watercraft-related mortality makes the
largest contribution to the risk of
extinction; full removal of this single
threat would reduce the risk of
extinction to near negligible levels.
Mortality data from FWCs Manatee
Carcass Salvage Program and other
sources describe numbers of watercraftrelated deaths, general areas where
deaths occur, trauma, and other
parameters (O’Shea et al. 1985, entire;
Ackerman et al. 1995, entire; Wright et
al. 1995, entire; Deutsch et al. 2002,
entire; Lightsey et al. 2006, entire;
Rommel et al. 2007, entire).
Over the past 5 years, more than 80
manatees have died from watercraftrelated incidents each year. The highest
year on record was 2009, when 97
manatees were killed in collisions with
boats. The Manatee Individual Photoidentification System (1978 to present)
identifies more than 3,000 Florida
manatees by scar patterns mostly caused
by boats, and most catalogued manatees
have more than one scar pattern,
indicative of multiple boat strikes. A
cursory review of boat strike frequency
suggested that some manatees are struck
and injured by boats twice a year or
more (O’Shea et al. 2001, pp. 33–35).
Federal, State, and local speed zones
are established in 26 Florida counties.
In Brevard and Lee Counties, where
watercraft-related mortality is among
the highest reported, speed zone
regulations were substantially revised
and areas posted to improve manatee
protection in the early 2000s. Since
2004, the FWC has approved new
manatee protection rules for three
counties in Tampa Bay and reviewed
and updated speed zones in Sarasota,
Broward, Charlotte, Lee, and Duval
Counties. In October 2005, the
Hillsborough County Commission
adopted mandatory manatee protection
slow-speed zones in the Cockroach Bay
Aquatic Preserve that previously had
been voluntary. In 2012, speed zones
were established in the Intracoastal
Waterway in Flagler County. In
addition, of the 13 counties identified in
1989 as in need of State-approved
MPPs, all have approved plans. Two
additional counties, Clay and Levy,
proactively developed their own MPPs.
Implementation of these protective
measures stabilizes and may even
reduce the mortality rate from watercraft
collisions. An anticipated increase (118
percent) in the number of boats using
Florida waterways over the next 50
years will require continued efforts to
minimize watercraft collisions with
manatees.
The primary conservation action in
place to reduce the risk of manatee
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injury and death from watercraft
collisions is a limitation on watercraft
speed. The rationale is that a slower
speed allows both manatees and boaters
additional response time to avoid a
collision. Furthermore, if an impact
occurs, the degree of trauma will
generally be less if the colliding boat is
operating at slower speed (Laist and
Shaw 2006, p. 478; Calleson and
Frohlich 2007, p. 295). Despite
continued losses due to watercraft
collisions, the southeastern U.S.
manatee population is expected to
increase slowly under current
conditions (Runge et al. 2015, p. 11),
which is due in part to regulatory
measures that have been implemented
since the manatee was listed.
The Service developed programmatic
consultation procedures and permit
conditions for new and expanding
watercraft facilities (e.g., docks, boat
ramps, and marinas) as well as for
dredging and other in-water activities
through an effect determination key
with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
and State of Florida (the ‘‘Manatee
Key’’) (revised in 2013). The Manatee
Key ensures that watercraft facility
locations are consistent with MPP boat
facility siting criteria and are built
consistent with MPP construction
conditions. The Service concluded that
these procedures constitute appropriate
and responsible steps to avoid and
minimize adverse effects to the species
and contribute to recovery of the
species.
Fishing Gear—Fishing gear (nets, crab
traps, etc.) is known to entangle and
injure and kill manatees; ingestion of
fishing gear and other debris
(monofilament and associated tackle,
plastic banana bags, etc.) also kills
manatees. In countries outside the
United States, the incidental capture of
animals in fishing gear is still a threat,
and the captured manatees are
occasionally butchered and used for
food and various products. In Cuba,
researchers have recently documented a
decrease in the number of manatee
deaths within a marine protected area,
hypothesized to be due to a ban on the
use of trawl net fishing in that area (Sea
to Shore Alliance 2014, entire). One of
the principal causes of perceived
increases in manatee decline along the
northern and western coasts of the
Yucatan peninsula includes increased
use of fishing nets that entangle
manatees (Morales-Vela et al. 2003, in
UNEP 2010, p. 59; Serrano et al. 2007,
p. 111). In Honduras, the major cause of
known manatee mortality in the period
1970–2007 was due to entanglement in
´
fishnets (Gonzalez-Socoloske et al.
2011, p. 123), while Nicaragua reports
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between 41 and 49 manatees being
killed by accidental entanglements in
´
fishing nets from 1999 to 2000 (Jimenez
2002, in UNEP 2010, p. 63). Although
gillnets are illegal in Costa Rica, gillnet
entanglements still occur there.
However, they are uncommon in certain
´
protected manatee use areas (Jimenez
2005, in UNEP 2010, p. 34).
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al. (2009, in
Marsh et al. 2011, p. 278) suggest that
incidental drowning in fishing nets
causes almost half of the mortality and
wounding of manatees in the Orinoco
River in Colombia. A variety of fishing
gear was reported to cause manatee
entanglements, and at least 43 calves
were entangled in gear in northeast
Brazil between 1981 and 2002 (UNEP
2010, p. 26). On the northeast coast of
Brazil, the main cause of manatee
deaths is due to the constant presence
of gill and drag nets (Lima et al. 2011,
p. 107). However, most range countries
outside of the United States do not have
current information on the effects of
fishing gear and entanglements on
manatees.
In Puerto Rico, fisheries-related
entanglements and debris ingestion may
cause take and reduce fitness of
manatees. In July 2009, there was a
documented case of entanglement
(beach seine net) and successful release
of an adult manatee. In 2014, three adult
manatees were entangled in large
fishing nets, one of which was an adult
female that died (PRDNER 2015,
unpubl. data). A few manatees have also
been found that were severely entangled
in monofilament line. Stranding records
indicate they rarely cause manatee
deaths in Puerto Rico; a total of four in
34 years have been documented.
Fishing gear, including both gear in
use and discarded gear (i.e., crab traps
and monofilament fishing line), is a
continuing and increasing problem for
manatees in the southeastern United
States. It is unknown if the increasing
number of rescues is a reflection of
increasing awareness and reporting of
entangled manatees, increases in fishing
effort, increases in the number of
manatees, or other factors. Between
2010 and 2014, researchers attributed
18.2 percent of all rescues to
entanglement.
Rescue activities that disentangle
manatees have almost eliminated
mortalities and injuries associated with
fishing gear (USFWS Captive Manatee
Database 2015, unpubl. data) which has
likely contributed towards the
improvement of the status of the
species. Derelict crab trap removal and
monofilament recycling programs aid in
efforts to reduce the number of
entanglements by removing gear from
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the water. Extensive education and
outreach efforts increase awareness and
promote sound gear disposal activities.
As a result, deaths and serious injuries
associated with fishing gear are now
extremely rare. Runge et al. (2015, p. 16)
determined that marine debris
(including entanglements in and
ingestion of fishing gear) presented a
weak threat to the West Indian manatee
in Florida. In the future, we would like
to seek opportunities to share
information with countries like Cuba,
Belize, and Mexico and continue to
reduce entanglements from discarded or
current gear range wide.
Water Control Structure—Advances
in water control structure devices that
prevent manatees from being crushed or
impinged have been largely successful.
In Florida, most structures have been
fitted with devices. These devices
include acoustic arrays, piezoelectric
strips, grates, and bars that reverse
closing structures and/or prevent
manatees from accessing gates and
recesses. Runge et al. (2015, p. 16)
determined that water control structures
presented a weak threat to the West
Indian manatee in Florida and noted
that death or injury due to water control
structures had become a rare event
(2015, p. 19).
Contaminants—Direct and indirect
exposure to contaminants and/or
chemical pollutants in benthic habitats
is another factor that may have adverse
effects on manatees (Bonde et al. 2004,
p. 258). Contaminants are known to
have affected one manatee in Puerto
Rico (diesel spill), and residues from
sugar processing in Cuba are thought to
have killed manatees there (Caribbean
Stranding Network 1999, entire; UNEP
1995 in UNEP 2010, p. 37). Because of
this, manatees may have abandoned
Cuba’s largest bay area because of
contamination (UNEP 1995 in UNEP
2010, p. 37). In Florida, manatees
congregate at warm water outfalls in
port areas where large volumes of
petroleum products are transshipped.
The proximity of large numbers of
manatees to these areas where they and
their habitat can be exposed to
petroleum puts them at risk. The U.S.
Coast Guard and the State of Florida
practice oil spill drills in these areas
and prepare for such contingencies.
There are many activities that introduce
contaminants and pollutants into the
manatees’ environment—gold mining,
agriculture, oil and gas production, and
others. Despite the presence of
contaminants in manatee tissues, the
effect that these have on manatees is
poorly understood (Marsh et al. 2011,
pp. 302–305).
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Algal Blooms—These red tide blooms
occur when large concentrations of the
red tide organism Karenia brevis are
present along Florida’s Gulf coast. These
concentrations produce brevetoxins
which are inhaled or ingested by
manatees with lethal effect. In
southwest Florida, extensive red tide
blooms killed 276 manatees in 2013.
Runge et al. (2015, p. 20) noted that on
Florida’s Gulf coast, red tide effects are
stronger than the effect of watercraftrelated mortality due, in part, to ‘‘the
increased estimate of adult survival in
the Southwest and the anticipated
continued increase in the frequency of
severe red-tide mortality.’’ Runge et al.’s
(2015, p. 1) analysis did not address the
effect of the 2013 red tide event in its
assessment.
In 2011, algal blooms in Florida’s
Indian River Lagoon clouded the water
column and killed over 50 percent of
the seagrass beds in the region (St. Johns
River Water Management District, 2015).
The loss of seagrass beds likely caused
a dietary change that may have played
a role in the loss of more than 100
manatees in the area. While algal
blooms occur in other parts of the
species’ range, there have not been any
significant die-offs attributable to this
cause in this portion of the species’
range.
Cold Weather—The Florida manatee
subspecies is at the northern limit of the
species’ range. As a subtropical species,
manatees have little tolerance for cold
and must move to warm water during
the winter as a refuge from the cold. See
Recovery section for additional
information. During extremely cold
weather, hundreds of animals died in
2010 and 2011 due to cold stress.
Notably, animals that relied on Florida’s
natural warm-water springs fared the
best, while animals in east-central and
south Florida, where springs are absent,
fared the worst (Barlas et al. 2011, p.
31). Manatees using seagrass beds along
east-central Florida’s Atlantic coast
cannot easily access warm-water springs
of the St. Johns River during periods of
cold temperatures, and in the absence of
access to warm water associated with
power plants, these manatees are at risk.
Since these events, the number of
deaths due to cold has returned to an
average of roughly 30 per year (FWC
FWRI 2015, unpubl. data). While cold
stress remains a threat to Florida
manatees, Antillean manatees, found
outside of the southeastern United
States, do not suffer from cold stress
because they inhabit warm subtropical
waters. Progress is being made in
protecting warm-water sites; we
continue to work with our partners to
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protect these sources to minimize coldrelated manatee deaths.
Genetics—Isolated locations, small
population sizes, and low genetic
diversity increase the susceptibility of
West Indian manatee to rapid decline
and local extinction (Hunter et al. 2012,
p. 1631). Low genetic diversity has been
identified as a threat to manatee
populations in Puerto Rico and Belize
(Hunter et al. 2010, entire; Hunter et al.
2012, entire). In addition, the manatee
population in Puerto Rico is essentially
closed to immigration from outside
sources. Natural geographical features
and manatee behavior limits gene flow
from other neighboring manatee
populations (i.e., Dominican Republic),
and genetic mixing is not expected
(Hunter et al. 2012, p. 1631). Manatee
populations in other portions of the
range may also be affected by isolation,
small population size, and low genetic
diversity. Low genetic diversity in the
southeastern United States has been
identified as a potential concern (Bonde
et al. 2012, p. 15). However, there is
limited detailed genetic information to
confirm the significance of this to the
West Indian manatee as a whole.
Tropical Storms—Tropical storms and
hurricanes may also pose a threat to
manatees. Live manatee strandings and
reduced adult manatee survival rates
can be attributed, in part, to hurricanes
and storms (Langtimm and Beck 2003,
entire; Langtimm et al. 2006, entire).
Langtimm and Beck (2003) suggest that
both direct and indirect mortality (from
strandings, debris-related injuries,
animals being swept offshore, etc.) and/
or emigration associated with
hurricanes and storms may cause a
decrease in adult survival rates. This
result has been observed in Florida and
in Mexico: Hurricanes and storms are
thought to affect the presence/absence
of manatees in storm-struck areas. In
Puerto Rico, tropical storms and
hurricanes intensify heavy surf, and at
least one manatee calf death was
attributed to Hurricane Hortense in 1996
(USFWS 2007, p. 33). Other factors can
either exacerbate or ameliorate risk to
the manatee population, such as density
of manatees within the strike area, the
number of storms within a season,
protective features of the coastline such
as barrier islands, or occurrence of other
mortality factors (Langtimm et al. 2006,
p. 1026). However, there is limited
information to confirm the significance
of tropical storms on manatees.
Climate Change/Sea-level Rise—The
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC) concluded that warming
of the climate system is unequivocal
(IPCC 2014, p. 3). The more extreme
impacts from recent climate change
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include heat waves, droughts,
accelerated snow and ice melt including
permafrost warming and thawing,
floods, cyclones, wildfires, and
widespread changes in precipitation
amounts (IPCC 2014, pp. 4, 6). Due to
the projected sea level rise (SLR)
associated with climate change, coastal
systems and low-lying areas will
increasingly experience adverse impacts
such as submergence, coastal flooding,
and coastal erosion (IPCC 2014, p. 17).
In response to ongoing climate change,
many terrestrial, freshwater, and marine
species have shifted their geographic
ranges, seasonal activities, and
migration patterns (IPCC 2014, p. 4).
Although SLR is due in part to natural
variability in the climate system,
scientists attribute the majority of the
observed increase in recent decades to
human activities that contribute to
ocean thermal expansion related to
ocean warming, and melting of ice
(Marcos and Amores 2014, pp. 2504–
2505).
Trend data show increases in sea level
have been occurring throughout the
southeastern Atlantic and Gulf coasts,
and, according to Mitchum (2011, p. 9),
the overall magnitude in the region has
been slightly higher than the global
average. Measurements summarized for
stations at various locations in Florida
indicate SLR there has totaled
approximately 200 millimeters (mm)
(8 inches (in.)) over the past 100 years,
with an average of about 3.0 mm per
year (0.12 in. per year) since the early
1990s (Ruppert 2014, p. 2). The
relatively few tidal gauges in Florida,
Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, and
southern North Carolina also show
increases, the largest increases being in
South Carolina, Alabama, and parts of
Florida (NOAA Web site https://
tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/
sltrends.shtml, accessed August 28,
2015).
Continued global SLR is considered
virtually certain to occur throughout
this century and beyond (Stocker, 2013,
p. 100; Levermann et al. 2013, entire).
Depending on the methods and
assumptions used, however, the range of
possible scenarios of global average SLR
for the end of this century is relatively
large, from a low of 0.2 meters (m)
(approximately 8 in.) to a high of 2 m
(approximately 78 in., i.e., 6.6 feet (ft))
(Parris et al. 2012, pp. 2, 10–11).
Although this relatively wide range
reflects considerable uncertainty about
the exact magnitude of change, it is
notable that increases are expected in all
cases, and at rates that will exceed the
SLR observed since the 1970s (IPCC
2013, pp. 25–26). Given the large
number and variety of climate change
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and SLR models, forecasts of the rate
and extent of SLR vary significantly.
Because of the variation in projections
and uncertainties associated with
manatee response to SLR, it will be
important to continue monitoring
manatee habitat use throughout the
species’ range.
Other possible effects of climate
change include increases in the
frequency of harmful algal blooms,
increases in the frequency and intensity
of storms, losses of warm-water refugia
and possible decreases in the number of
watercraft collisions. Warmer seas may
increase the frequency, duration, and
magnitude of harmful algal blooms and
cause blooms to start earlier and last
longer. Increases in salinity could create
more favorable conditions for other
species; conversely, increases in storm
frequency and extreme rainfall could
offset the effects of salinity on algal
growth (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 3).
Climate change models predict that
the intensity of hurricanes will increase
with increasing global mean
temperature (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 4).
Langtimm et al. (2006, entire) found that
mean adult survival dropped
significantly in years after intense
hurricanes and winter storms. These
decreases were thought to be due to
tidal stranding, animals being swept out
to sea, loss of forage, or emigration of
animals out of affected areas (Langtimm
et al. 2006, p. 1026).
For manatees in the southeastern
United States, SLR could mean the loss
of most of the major industrial warmwater sites and result in changes to
natural warm-water sites. In the event of
a projected SLR of 1 to 2 meters (3.3 to
6.6 feet) in 88 years (Rahmstorf 2010
and Parris et al. 2012 in Edwards et al.
2012, p. 5), SLR will inundate these
sites and warm-water capacity could be
lost. While power plants may not be in
operation when SLR inundates their
sites, the increased intensity and
frequency of storms could interrupt
plant operations and warm-water
production. If storms result in the loss
of a power plant, manatees that winter
at that site could die in the event that
they did not move to an alternate
location (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 5).
Increased intrusion of saltwater from
SLR or storm surge coupled with
reduced spring flows could reduce or
eliminate the viability of natural springs
used by wintering manatees (Edwards et
al. 2012, p. 5).
Climate-change-induced loss of
fishing habitat and boating
infrastructure (docks, etc.), increases in
storm frequency, and pollutants and
changes in economics and human
demographics could decrease the per
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capita number of boats operating in
manatee habitat. If these changes were
to occur, decreases in the numbers of
boats operating in manatee habitat could
reduce numbers of manatee–watercraft
collisions (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 7).
Many complex factors with
potentially negative consequences are
likely to operate on the world’s marine
ecosystems as global climate change
progresses. Conversely, climate change
could potentially have a beneficial
effect, as well (see discussion above).
Therefore, there is uncertainty regarding
how climate change and its effects may
impact the manatee and its habitat in
the future (Hoegh-Guldberg and Bruno
2010 in Marsh et al. 2011, p. 313). See
Cumulative Effects below.
Summary of Factor E: At the time of
listing, manatees were believed to be
threatened by watercraft, the loss of
seagrasses, contaminants, and
harassment. Since the then, efforts to
reduce boat collisions have been
successful in some cases; however,
watercraft collisions continue to be an
ongoing concern for manatees.
Watercraft strikes or collisions, fishing
gear entanglement, entrapment or
crushing in water control structures,
contaminants; harmful algal blooms,
cold weather, loss of genetic diversity,
tropical storms, and the effects of
climate change are factors that may
continue to have an effect on West
Indian manatees for the foreseeable
future. The negative effects associated
with increasing numbers of watercraft
will require continued maintenance and
enforcement of manatee protection
areas, and the adoption of additional
protected areas both inside and outside
the United States will continue as needs
become apparent. Increasing fishing
efforts and the consequent increase of
fishing gear in water will require
continued efforts to maintain gear in a
manatee-safe fashion, additional and
continued gear clean-ups, and
maintenance of the manatee rescue
program to rescue entangled manatees.
While most water control structures in
the United States have been fitted to
prevent impingements and crushings
and have contributed to the
improvement of the status of manatees,
new structures in the United States
must be fitted to minimize impacts to
manatees. Existing and new structures
outside the United States should be
fitted, as well. For manatees in Florida,
harmful algal blooms and cold weather
will continue to affect this subspecies.
Tropical storms and hurricanes will
continue to have an effect on the West
Indian manatee in most parts of its
range. Effects of climate change and sea
level rise impacts on West Indian
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manatees and their habitat are
uncertain.
While watercraft collisions and the
pending loss of the Florida manatees’
loss of warm water habitat are being
addressed, they have not been
eliminated. There is a high level of
uncertainty regarding the overall effects
of climate change on the species and its
habitat.
Cumulative Effects—Factors can
individually impact a species and/or its
habitat and can work in concert with
one another to cumulatively create
conditions that may impact a species or
its habitat beyond the scope of
individual threats and, thereby, increase
the risk of extinction. Factors negatively
affecting manatees include habitat loss,
degradation, and fragmentation;
watercraft collisions; the loss of winter
warm-water habitat; poaching; and
others.
In our assessment, we reviewed
manatee population models
´
(Castelblanco-Martınez et al. 2012;
Runge et al., 2007; and others) that
assessed the effects of these threats both
individually and cumulatively. Runge et
al. (2007) conducted a simultaneous and
integrated analysis of the threats facing
Florida manatees and concluded that
the role of threats faced by manatees is
cumulative and increases the risk of
´
extinction. Castelblanco-Martınez et al.
(2012, p. 130) observed that ‘‘[t]he
cumulative actions of natural
catastrophes, anthropogenic
disturbances, and low recovery rates can
cause a progressive decrease in the
[Antillean manatee] population
throughout the range.’’
Runge et al. (2007) considered the
individual effect of each threat and the
cumulative effect of multiple threats in
pairs, multiples and all threats. By way
of example, the authors observed that
the addition of the watercraft threat to
a baseline scenario with no threats
raised the extinction probability and
that the addition of the watercraft threat
to a scenario that contained all of the
remaining threats raised the extinction
probability to an even greater extent
(Runge et al., 2007, p. 13). They noted
that ‘‘[a]ny single threat does not pose
a particularly large risk, but in
combination the risk is substantially
greater’’ (Runge et al., 2007, p. 13).
We did not find significant
information that would lead us to
believe that the cumulative effect of
factors acting on the species warrants
maintaining the West Indian manatee as
endangered. Rather, the potential
cumulative effects of factors (both
positive and negative) affecting the West
Indian manatee, in part, contribute to
the species’ threatened status.
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Foreseeable Future
The Act does not define the term
‘‘foreseeable future.’’ In a general sense,
the foreseeable future is the period of
time over which events can reasonably
be anticipated; in the context of the
definition of ‘‘threatened species,’’ the
Service interprets the foreseeable future
as the extent of time over which the
Secretary can reasonably rely on
predictions about the future in making
determinations about the future
conservation status of the species. It is
important to note that references to
‘‘reliable predictions’’ are not meant to
refer to reliability in a statistical sense
of confidence or significance; rather the
words ‘‘rely’’ and ’’reliable’’ are
intended to be used according to their
common, non-technical meanings in
ordinary usage. In other words, we
consider a prediction to be reliable if it
is reasonable to depend upon it in
making decisions, and if that prediction
does not extend past the support of
scientific data or reason so as to venture
into the realm of speculation.
In considering threats to the species
and whether they rise to the level such
that listing the species as a threatened
species or endangered species is
warranted, we assess factors such as the
imminence of the threat (i.e., is it
currently affecting the species or, if not,
when do we expect the effect from the
threat to commence, and whether it is
reasonable to expect the threat to
continue into the future), the scope or
extent of the threat, the severity of the
threat, and the synergistic effects of all
threats combined. If we determine that
the species is not currently in danger of
extinction, then we must determine
whether, based upon the nature of the
threats, it is reasonable to anticipate that
the species is likely to become in danger
of extinction within the foreseeable
future. As noted in the 2009 Department
of the Interior Solicitor’s opinion on
foreseeable future, ‘‘in some cases,
quantifying the foreseeable future in
terms of years may add rigor and
transparency to the Secretary’s analysis
if such information is available. Such
definitive quantification, however, is
rarely possible and not required for a
foreseeable future analysis’’ (DOI 2009;
p. 9), available at https://
solicitor.doi.gov/opinions/M-37021.pdf.
One possible way to determine
foreseeable future is as the lifespan of
the species. As explained in our
proposed rule (81 FR 1004; January 8,
2016), the lifespan of the manatee is not
known with certainty, but there is a
record of a 67-year old captive Florida
manatee and documented longevity
records of over 55 years in the wild. We
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identify in our determination that the
foreseeable future of this species is 50
years (see below), is largely consistent
with the lifespan of this species. We
have also used two published
population models (Castelblanco´
Martınez et al. 2012; Runge et al. 2015)
and a threats analysis to state there is a
small chance that the West Indian
manatee will become extinct within this
timeframe.
As suggested in the Solicitor’s
opinion, for the purposes of the present
analysis, we are relying on an
evaluation of the foreseeability of
threats and the foreseeability of the
effect of the threats on the species,
extending this time period out only so
far as we can use the data to formulate
reliable predictions about the status of
the species, and not extending so far as
to venture into the realm of speculation.
Therefore, in the case of the West Indian
manatee, we conclude that the
foreseeable future is that period of time
within which we can reliably predict
whether or not the species is likely to
become an endangered species as a
result of the effects of the threats
specified in this rule. We consider 100
years to be beyond the foreseeability of
threats to the West Indian manatee
across the 21 countries where the West
Indian manatee currently occurs (Table
1), especially given the known
uncertainties and data limitations
throughout most of the Antillean
subspecies range. We have identified a
foreseeable future of 50 years because it
is a period of time over which we are
able to reliably predict the magnitude of
threats and their effects on manatee.
This time period is consistent with
respect to our ability to make
predictions on the magnitude and the
effects of the principal factors impacting
the species as described above. The 50year period is also similar to the
timeframe used for the decline
predictions identified for this species by
the IUCN (decline at a rate of at least 10
percent over the course of three
generations or about 60 years, Deutsch
et al. 2008, online). This approach
creates a more robust analysis of the
best scientific and commercial data
available.
As explained in more detail above,
principal factors impacting the species
include: Habitat destruction and
modification, future availability of
warm-water sites for the Florida
manatee, the frequency of red tide and/
or other unusual mortality events,
watercraft strikes and injuries, and
poaching in some areas of its range. In
addition, although numerous regulatory
mechanisms to protect manatees exist,
challenges in the enforcement of these
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regulatory mechanisms have been
identified, including in areas outside
the United States. For example, full
implementation of international and
local laws is lacking, especially given
limited funding and understaffed law
enforcement agencies (UNEP 2010, p.
89). Most of the identified factors in this
rule impacting the West Indian manatee
are influenced by humans, and recovery
actions are aimed at mitigating or
reducing these human activities that are
detrimental to the species.
Within the foreseeable future of 50
years, human populations and
concomitant factors affecting the species
are expected to increase. For example,
human population growth and the
resulting pressure exerted on habitats
are expected to result in more impacts
to coastal and freshwater resources, as
land is converted to uses that will meet
the needs of the human population. In
2015, there were 634,000,000 people in
Latin America and the Caribbean (UN
2015, p. 1); in 2010, there were
18,801,310 people in Florida (Carr and
Zwick et al. 2016, p. 4). Human
populations in the Latin American and
Caribbean region are projected to grow
to 784,000,000 by 2050 (23.7 percent)
and in Florida, to 33,721,828 (68.7
percent) by 2070 (UN 2016; Carr and
Zwick et al. 2016, p. 4). Given that
human populations continue to grow
(Marsh et al. 2012, p. 321), it is expected
that human-manatee conflicts will also
increase and will result in additional
stressors to the West Indian manatee
population and greater challenges for
conservation. In Florida, human
population increases will increase water
withdrawals from Florida’s aquifers
which, in turn, will diminish the
amount of warm water available to
manatees in Florida’s springs (Edwards
2012, p. 6). This population increase
will also increase the number of
registered boats in Florida from 915,713
(Florida Department of Highway Safety
and Motor Vehicles: Florida Vessel
Owners, Statistics 2015; https://
www.hsmv.state.fl.us/dmv/
TaxCollDocs/vesselstats2015.pdf) to an
estimated 2,000,000 boats by 2060
(118.4 percent), likely increasing the
risk of vessel collisions with manatees
(FWC 2008, p. 24). Continuing and
increasing efforts will be needed to
ensure that this species does not become
endangered within the foreseeable
future.
Determination
An assessment of the need for a
species’ protection under the Act is
based on whether a species is in danger
of extinction or likely to become so
because of any of the five factors: (A)
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The present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range; (B) overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or human-made factors
affecting its continued existence. As
required by section 4(a)(1) of the Act,
we conducted a review of the status of
the West Indian manatee and assessed
the five factors to evaluate whether the
species is in danger of extinction, or
likely to become endangered in the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. We
examined the best scientific and
commercial information available
regarding the past, present, and future
threats faced by this species.
In considering what factors might
constitute current threats, we must look
beyond the mere exposure of the species
to the factor to determine whether the
exposure causes actual impacts to the
species. If there is current exposure to
a factor, but no response, or only a
positive response, that factor is not a
threat. If there is exposure and the
species responds negatively, the factor
may be a threat and we then attempt to
determine how significant the threat is.
If the threat is significant, it may drive,
or contribute to, the risk of extinction of
the species such that the species
warrants listing as an endangered
species or threatened species as those
terms are defined by the Act. This
determination does not necessarily
require empirical proof of a threat. The
combination of exposure and some
corroborating evidence of how the
species is likely impacted could suffice.
The mere identification of factors that
could impact a species negatively is not
sufficient to compel a finding that
listing is appropriate; we require
evidence that these factors are operative
threats that act on the species to the
point that the species meets the
definition of an endangered species or
threatened species under the Act.
By definition, an endangered species
is a ‘‘species which is in danger of
extinction throughout all or a significant
portion of its range’’ and a threatened
species is a ‘‘species which is likely to
become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range.’’ In the
southeastern United States, where the
largest population of manatees exists,
the manatee population has likely
grown in size, based on updated adult
survival rate estimates and estimated
growth rates (Runge et al., 2015, p. 19).
A summary of the factors affecting the
species, including successes in the
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species’ recovery, is discussed in more
detail below.
Human causes of mortality and injury
are being addressed in part throughout
the manatee’s range. Predominant
causes of mortality and injury include
poaching (factor B), entanglement in
fishing gear (factor E), and collisions
with watercraft (factor E). Poaching has
been eliminated in the southeastern
United States and in Puerto Rico (factor
B). Efforts to address poaching outside
the United States vary in effectiveness,
with some successful reductions in a
few countries (factor D). Poaching
attempts in areas where controls are not
in place are a threat to the West Indian
manatee that makes it likely to become
endangered within the foreseeable
future. Entanglement in fishing gear
continues throughout the species’ range
(factor E). In the southeastern United
States, entangled manatees are rescued
and very few deaths and serious injuries
occur. In Puerto Rico, there have been
few entanglements since 1986, when
entanglements were first reported as a
severe threat. Entanglements outside the
United States are known to occur;
however, the magnitude and severity of
this threat is unknown.
Watercraft collisions are the
predominant anthropogenic cause of
death for manatees in the United States
(factor E). The Service, other Federal
agencies, and State and Commonwealth
wildlife management agencies continue
to be engaged in significant efforts to
address and further reduce this threat.
In Florida, a network of marked,
enforced, manatee protection areas
ensure that boat operators slow down to
help avoid manatees. In Puerto Rico,
manatee protection areas have not been
designated, but a number of regulated
manatee speed buoys are in place to
better protect manatees (factors A and
D). Watercraft collisions are known to
kill manatees outside the United States;
however, available information on the
magnitude of this threat in other
countries is limited, except for in Belize
where this threat is known to be
significant and increasing.
Habitat fragmentation and loss are
thought to be the greatest threats to
manatees outside the United States
(factor A). Development activities in
coastal and riverine areas destroy
aquatic vegetation and block access to
upriver reaches and freshwater. This
can disrupt dispersal and foraging
patterns and exacerbate the effects of
poaching especially on small
populations. Within the United States,
Federal, State, and Commonwealth
agencies limit habitat losses and those
activities that block access through
regulatory processes. For example, the
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16701
State of Florida and the Service rely on
county MPPs to address impacts to
manatee habitat from installation of, for
example, a boat dock or marina. In
Florida, the other potential significant
threat facing manatees is the loss of
winter warm-water habitat and algal
blooms pose a localized threat to West
Indian manatees. Federal and State
agencies are working with the power
industry and others to ensure a future
warm-water network to sustain
manatees into the future. While many
strides have been made in this area,
work continues to be done to fully
address and reduce this threat, as
described above in our review of the
Florida manatee recovery plans. In
addition, we must continue to address
pending changes in the manatees’
warm-water network (develop and
implement strategies) and support the
adoption of minimum flow regulations
for remaining important springs used by
manatees. If warm water refuges are lost,
this threat could cause the loss or
debilitation of manatees due to cold
stress that will make the West Indian
manatee likely to become endangered in
the foreseeable future.
Available population estimates
suggest that there may be as many as
13,142 manatees throughout the species’
range (UNEP 2010, p. 11 and
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al., 2012, p.
132, Martin et al., 2015, p. 44).
Estimates from countries outside the
United States (6,250) are largely
conjectural and are based on the
opinions of local experts. Within the
United States, Martin et al., (2015, p. 44)
and Pollock et al., (2013, p. 8) describe
population estimates of 6,350 manatees
and 532 manatees in the southeastern
United States and Puerto Rico,
respectively.
Recent demographic analyses
(through 2009) suggest a stable or
increasing population of Florida
manatees (Runge et al., 2015, entire) and
demonstrate that Florida manatees are
not endangered at the present time.
´
Castelblanco-Martınez et al.’s (2012, pp.
129–143) PVA baseline model for the
Antillean manatee describes a
metapopulation with positive growth.
Runge et al., (2015, p. 13) predict that
it is unlikely (< 2.5 percent chance) that
the Florida population of manatees will
fall below 4,000 total individuals over
the next 100 years, assuming current
threats remain at their current levels
indefinitely. The ability of the West
Indian manatee to survive long-term
across its range is related to its ability
to withstand human-caused and natural
threats of varying magnitude and
duration and the efforts of stakeholders
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to adequately address manatees’
conservation needs.
There are numerous ongoing efforts to
protect, conserve, and better understand
West Indian manatees and their habitat
throughout their range, as described in
this rule. The contribution of these
recovery efforts to the current status of
the species is important. Given our
review of the best scientific and
commercial information available and
analyses of threats and demographics,
we conclude that the West Indian
manatee no longer meets the Act’s
definition of endangered. However,
there are many important actions that
must be taken to address the remaining
threats to manatees before the manatee
can be delisted. Some imminent threats
remain and will likely continue into the
foreseeable future and possibly escalate
and need to be addressed as
appropriate. Escalating threats may be
concomitant with increasing human
populations, and commensurate efforts
will be needed to keep pace with these
and any new threats that may evolve.
These remaining or new potential
threats, especially those acting upon
declining and smaller populations make
the species likely to become endangered
in the foreseeable future (50 years).
We did not find significant
information that would lead us to
believe that the cumulative effect of
factors acting on the species warrants
maintaining the West Indian manatee as
endangered. Rather, we find that the
potential cumulative effect of factors
acting on the West Indian manatee, in
part, contributes to the species’
threatened status. Overall, regulatory
mechanisms adopted since the
manatee’s listing have ameliorated some
factors affecting manatees. However, in
some instances, regulatory mechanisms
are still inadequate such that the
manatee continues to require the
protections of the Act. We find that the
West Indian manatee is no longer in
danger of extinction throughout all of its
range due to (1) significant recovery
efforts made throughout parts of its
range to address threats and (2) a better
understanding of manatee population
demographics. Examples of remaining
threats that make this species likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable
future include habitat loss, degradation,
and fragmentation and the loss of winter
warm-water habitat (factor A); poaching
(factor B); watercraft collisions and
others (factor E). Accordingly, we are
reclassifying the species as threatened
under the Act.
Significant Portion of the Range
Because we have concluded that the
West Indian manatee is a threatened
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species throughout all of its range, no
portion of its range can be ‘‘significant
for purposes of the definitions of
‘‘endangered species’’ and ‘‘threatened
species.’’ See the Service’s Significant
Portion of its Range (SPR) Policy (79 FR
37578, July 1, 2014).
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to
species listed as endangered or
threatened under the Act include
recognition, recovery actions,
requirements for Federal protection, and
prohibitions against certain practices.
Recognition through listing increases
public awareness of threats to the West
Indian manatee, and promotes
conservation actions by Federal, State,
and local governments in the United
States, foreign governments, private
organizations and groups, and
individuals. The Act provides for
possible land acquisition and
cooperation with the State, and for
recovery planning and implementation.
The protection required of Federal
agencies and the prohibitions against
taking and harm are discussed, in part,
below.
A number of manatees occur in nearshore waters off Federal conservation
lands and are consequently afforded
some protection from development and
large-scale habitat disturbance. West
Indian manatees also occur in or
offshore of a variety of State-owned
properties, and existing State and
Federal regulations provide protection
on these sites. There are also a
significant number of manatees that
occur along shores or rivers of private
lands, and through conservation
partnerships, many of these use areas
are protected through the owners’
stewardship. In many cases, these
partnerships have been developed
through conservation easements,
wetland restoration projects, and other
conservation means.
Section 7(a) of the Act, as amended,
and as implemented by regulations at 50
CFR part 402, requires Federal agencies
to evaluate their actions with respect to
the West Indian manatee within the
United States or under U.S. jurisdiction.
If a Federal action may adversely affect
the manatee or its habitat, the
responsible Federal agency must consult
with the Service to ensure that any
action authorized, funded, or carried out
by such agency is not likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of
the West Indian manatee. Federal action
agencies that may be required to consult
with us include but are not limited to
the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, the
U.S. Coast Guard, the Environmental
Protection Agency, and others, due to
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involvement in actions or projects such
as permitting boat access facilities
(marinas, boat ramps, etc.), dredge and
fill projects, high-speed marine events,
warm-water discharges, and many other
activities.
Section 8(a) of the Act authorizes the
provision of limited financial assistance
for the development and management of
programs that the Secretary of the
Interior determines to be necessary or
useful for the conservation of
endangered or threatened species in
foreign countries. Sections 8(b) and 8(c)
of the Act authorize the Secretary to
encourage conservation programs for
foreign listed species, and to provide
assistance for such programs, in the
form of personnel and the training of
personnel.
The Secretary has the discretion to
prohibit by regulation, with respect to
any threatened species, any act
prohibited under section 9(a)(1) of the
Act. Exercising this discretion, the
Service developed general prohibitions
(50 CFR 17.31) and exceptions to those
prohibitions (50 CFR 17.32) under the
Act that apply to most threatened
species. Our regulations at 50 CFR 17.31
provide that all the prohibitions for
endangered wildlife under 50 CFR
17.21, with the exception of 50 CFR
17.21(c)(5), will generally also be
applied to threatened wildlife. These
prohibitions make it illegal for any
person subject to the jurisdiction of the
United States to ‘‘take’’ (including to
harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot,
wound, kill, trap, capture, collect, or to
attempt any of these) within the United
States or upon the high seas, import or
export, deliver, receive, carry, transport,
or ship in interstate or foreign
commerce in the course of a commercial
activity, or to sell or offer for sale in
interstate or foreign commerce, any
endangered (and hence, threatened)
wildlife species. It also is illegal to
possess, sell, deliver, carry, transport, or
ship any such wildlife that has been
taken in violation of the Act. Certain
exceptions apply to agents of the
Service and State conservation agencies.
These prohibitions will continue to be
applicable to the West Indian manatee.
The general provisions for issuing a
permit for any activity otherwise
prohibited with regard to threatened
species are found at 50 CFR 17.32.
The Service may develop regulations
tailored to the particular conservation
needs of a threatened species under
Section 4(d) of the Act if there are
specific prohibitions and exceptions
that would be necessary and advisable
for the conservation of that particular
species. In such cases, some of the
prohibitions and exceptions under 50
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CFR 17.31 and 17.32 may be appropriate
for the species and incorporated into the
regulations, but they may also be more
or less restrictive than those general
provisions. The Service believes the
prohibitions and exceptions set out in
50 CFR 17.31 and 17.32 are most
appropriate to address the particular
conservation needs of the West Indian
manatee at this time.
In Florida, questions regarding
whether specific activities will
constitute a violation of section 9 of the
Act should be directed to the U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service, North Florida
Ecological Services Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section).
In Puerto Rico, questions regarding
whether specific activities will
constitute a violation of section 9 of the
Act should be directed to the Caribbean
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section).
Requests for copies of the regulations
regarding listed species and inquiries
about prohibitions and permits may be
addressed to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, Ecological Services Division,
1875 Century Boulevard, Suite 200,
Atlanta, GA 30345 (telephone 404–679–
7097, facsimile 404–679–7081).
Effects of This Rule
When it becomes effective, this final
rule revises 50 CFR 17.11(h) to
reclassify the West Indian manatee from
an endangered species to a threatened
species on the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
This rule formally recognizes that the
West Indian manatee is no longer in
danger of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
However, this reclassification does not
significantly change the protections
afforded to this species under the Act.
Anyone taking, attempting to take, or
otherwise possessing this species, or
parts thereof, in violation of section 9 of
the Act or its implementing regulations,
is subject to a penalty under section 11
of the Act. Pursuant to section 7 of the
Act, all Federal agencies must ensure
that any actions they authorize, fund, or
carry out are not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of the West Indian
manatee. In addition, although the West
Indian manatee is reclassified to
threatened when this rule becomes
effective, the West Indian manatee is
still considered depleted and strategic
under the MMPA.
Recovery actions directed at the West
Indian manatee will continue to be
implemented as outlined in the recovery
plans (USFWS 1986 and 2001, entire).
Highest priority recovery actions needed
to address remaining threats include: (1)
Reducing watercraft collisions with
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manatees; (2) protecting habitat,
including foraging and drinking water
sites and for the Florida subspecies,
warm-water sites; and (3) reducing
entanglements in fishing gear. Other
recovery initiatives also include
addressing harassment and illegal
hunting in sites where these occur.
Finalization of this rule does not
constitute an irreversible commitment
on our part. Reclassification of the West
Indian manatee from threatened status
back to endangered status could occur if
changes occur in management,
population status, or habitat, or if other
factors detrimentally affect or increase
threats to the species. Such a
reclassification would require another
rulemaking.
Under section 4(d) of the Act, the
Service has discretion to issue
regulations that we find necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of threatened species. The
Act and its implementing regulations set
forth a series of general prohibitions and
exceptions that apply to threatened
wildlife. The prohibitions of section
9(a)(1) of the Act, as applied to
threatened wildlife and codified at 50
CFR 17.31 make it illegal for any person
subject to the jurisdiction of the United
States to take (which includes harass,
harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill,
trap, capture, or collect; or to attempt
any of these) threatened wildlife within
the United States or on the high seas. In
addition, it is unlawful to import;
export; deliver, receive, carry, transport,
or ship in interstate or foreign
commerce in the course of commercial
activity; or sell or offer for sale in
interstate or foreign commerce any
listed species. It is also illegal to
possess, sell, deliver, carry, transport, or
ship any such wildlife that has been
taken illegally. Certain exceptions apply
to employees of the Service, the
National Marine Fisheries Service, other
Federal land management agencies, and
State conservation agencies.
We may issue permits to carry out
otherwise prohibited activities
involving threatened wildlife under
certain circumstances. Regulations
governing permits are codified at 50
CFR 17.32. With regard to threatened
wildlife, a permit may be issued for the
following purposes: for scientific
purposes, to enhance the propagation or
survival of the species, and for
incidental take in connection with
otherwise lawful activities. There are
also certain statutory exemptions from
the prohibitions, which are found in
sections 9 and 10 of the Act. Whenever
a species is listed as threatened, the Act
allows promulgation of special rules
under section 4(d) that modify the
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16703
standard protections for threatened
species found under section 9 of the Act
and Service regulations at 50 CFR 17.31
(for wildlife) and 17.71 (for plants),
when it is deemed necessary and
advisable to provide for the
conservation of the species. No
additional regulations are being
implemented, or anticipated to be
implemented, for the West Indian
manatee because there is currently no
conservation need to do so for this
species. If there is a conservation need
for a 4(d) rule at some point in the
future for the West Indian Manatee,
such a rulemaking would require a
companion special rule under the
MMPA.
Required Determinations
National Environmental Policy Act (42
U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
We have determined that
environmental assessments and
environmental impact statements, as
defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969 need not be prepared in
connection with regulations pursuant to
section 4(a) of the Endangered Species
Act. We published a notice outlining
our reasons for this determination in the
Federal Register on October 25, 1983
(48 FR 49244).
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994,
‘‘Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments’’ (59 FR 22951), Executive
Order 13175, Secretarial Order 3206, the
Department of the Interior’s manual at
512 DM 2, and the Native American
Policy of the Service, January 20, 2016,
we readily acknowledge our
responsibility to communicate
meaningfully with recognized Federal
Tribes on a government-to-government
basis. We contacted tribes in the
southeastern United States within the
range of the West Indian manatee and
requested their comments on our
proposed rule. The Seminole Tribe of
Florida and Miccosukee Tribe of Indians
of Florida responded to our request (see
Summary of Comments).
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited
in this final rule is available at https://
www.regulations.gov at Docket No.
FWS–R4–ES–2015–0178 or upon
request from the North Florida
Ecological Services Field Office or
Caribbean Ecological Services Field
E:\FR\FM\05APR2.SGM
05APR2
16704
Federal Register / Vol. 82, No. 64 / Wednesday, April 5, 2017 / Rules and Regulations
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this final rule
are staff members of the North Florida
Ecological Services Field Office and the
Caribbean Ecological Services Field
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT).
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; and 4201–4245, unless otherwise
noted.
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation.
Regulation Promulgation
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Reporting and
Common name
For the reasons stated in the
preamble, we amend part 17, subchapter
B of chapter I, title 50 of the Code of
Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
2. Amend § 17.11(h) by revising the
entry for ‘‘Manatee, West Indian’’ under
‘‘MAMMALS’’ in the List of Endangered
and Threatened Wildlife to read as
follows:
■
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
§ 17.11 Endangered and threatened
wildlife.
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
*
■
Scientific name
*
*
(h) * * *
Where listed
T
*
Listing citations and
applicable rules
Status
*
*
Wherever found .....................
*
Mammals
*
*
*
Manatee, West Indian ............. Trichechus manatus ..............
*
*
*
*
*
Dated: March 16, 2017.
James W. Kurth,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service.
*
[FR Doc. 2017–06657 Filed 4–4–17; 8:45 am]
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*
32 FR 4001, 3/11/1967;
35 FR 8491, 6/2/1970;
82 FR [Insert Federal Register page where the document begins], 4/5/2017;
50 CFR 17.108(a);
50 CFR 17.95(a).CH
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 82, Number 64 (Wednesday, April 5, 2017)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 16668-16704]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2017-06657]
[[Page 16667]]
Vol. 82
Wednesday,
No. 64
April 5, 2017
Part II
Department of the Interior
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Reclassification of the
West Indian Manatee From Endangered to Threatened; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 82 , No. 64 / Wednesday, April 5, 2017 /
Rules and Regulations
[[Page 16668]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178; FXES11130900000-178-FF09E42000]
RIN 1018-AY84
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Reclassification
of the West Indian Manatee From Endangered to Threatened
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), reclassify
the West Indian manatee (Trichechus manatus) from endangered to
threatened under the authority of the Endangered Species Act of 1973,
as amended (Act). The endangered designation no longer correctly
reflects the current status of the West Indian manatee. This action is
based on the best available scientific and commercial information,
which indicates that the West Indian manatee no longer meets the
definition of endangered under the Act. When this rule becomes
effective, the West Indian manatee, including its two subspecies, will
remain protected as a threatened species under the Act and the existing
critical habitat designation in Florida will remain in effect.
DATES: This rule is effective May 5, 2017.
ADDRESSES: This final rule, as well as comments and materials received
in response to the proposed rule, are available on the Internet at
https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178. Comments
and materials we received, as well as supporting documentation used in
preparation of this rule, are available for public inspection at https://www.regulations.gov and by appointment, during normal business hours
at: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, North Florida Ecological Services
Office, or Caribbean Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jay Herrington, Field Supervisor,
North Florida Ecological Services Office, by telephone at 904-731-3191,
or by facsimile at 904-731-3045; or at the following address: 7915
Baymeadows Way, Suite 200, Jacksonville, FL 32256; Edwin Mu[ntilde]iz,
Field Supervisor, Caribbean Ecological Services Field Office, by
telephone at 787-851-7297, or by facsimile at 787-851-7441; or at the
following address: Road 301, Km. 5.1, P.O. Box 491, Boquer[oacute]n, PR
00622. If you use a telecommunications device for the deaf (TDD),
please call the Federal Relay Service (FRS) at 800-877-8339, 24 hours a
day, 7 days a week.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Executive Summary
Why We Need To Publish a Rule
In April 2007, we completed a 5-year status review, which
included a recommendation to reclassify the West Indian manatee from
endangered to threatened.
In December 2012, we received a petition submitted by the
Pacific Legal Foundation, on behalf of Save Crystal River, Inc.,
requesting that the West Indian manatee and subspecies thereof be
reclassified from its current status as endangered to threatened, based
primarily on the analysis and recommendation contained in our April
2007 5-year review.
On July 2, 2014, we published a 90-day finding that the
petition presented substantial information indicating that
reclassifying the West Indian manatee may be warranted (79 FR 37706).
On January 8, 2016, we published a proposed rule to reclassify the West
Indian manatee as threatened, which also constituted our 12-month
petition finding that the action requested is warranted (81 FR 1000).
The Basis for Our Action
Based on our status review, threats analysis, and
evaluation of conservation measures, we conclude that the West Indian
manatee no longer meets the Act's definition of endangered and should
be reclassified to threatened, that is, a species that is likely to
become endangered within the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
Our review of the best scientific and commercial
information available indicates that some threats to the manatee still
remain while others have been reduced or no longer occur. Examples of
remaining threats that will make this species likely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future include habitat loss, degradation,
and fragmentation; watercraft collisions; loss of winter warm-water
habitat; and poaching.
Recovery efforts to control these threats in range
countries are under way in many areas but have not yet begun in others.
Further implementation of recovery actions is needed to bring the West
Indian manatee to full recovery by reducing or removing threats to the
point where this species is no longer likely to become endangered in
the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range.
Previous Federal Actions
The Florida manatee (Trichechus manatus latirostris), a subspecies
of the West Indian manatee (Trichechus manatus), was listed as
endangered in 1967 (32 FR 4001) under the Endangered Species
Preservation Act of 1966 (Pub. L. 89-669; 80 Stat. 926). After adoption
of the Endangered Species Conservation Act of 1969 (Pub. L. 91-135; 83
Stat. 275), the listing was amended in 1970 to expand the Florida
manatee listing to include the West Indian manatee throughout its
range, including in the Caribbean Sea and northern South America. This
amendment added the Antillean manatee (Trichechus manatus manatus) to
the listing (35 FR 18319, December 2, 1970). Species listed under the
Endangered Species Conservation Act, including the West Indian manatee,
were subsequently grandfathered into the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife under the Endangered Species Act of 1973 (16 U.S.C.
1531 et seq.), and the West Indian manatee remains listed as an
endangered species under the Act. We originally issued a recovery plan
for the West Indian manatee in 1980, which included both Florida and
Antillean manatees. We completed a recovery plan for the Florida
subspecies in 1989, revised it in 1996, and completed another in 2001
(USFWS 2001). In 1986, we completed a recovery plan for the Puerto Rico
population of the Antillean manatee (USFWS 1986).
On January 8, 2016, we published in the Federal Register a combined
12-month finding on the petition to downlist the West Indian manatee
and a proposed rule to reclassify the West Indian manatee as threatened
(81 FR 1000). Please refer to the proposed rule for a detailed
description of prior Federal actions concerning this species. On
January 13, 2016 (81 FR 1597), we made a minor correction to this
proposed regulation; the date closing the comment period was corrected
to read April 7, 2016. The Service also contacted appropriate range
countries, Federal and State agencies, scientific experts and
organizations, tribes, and other interested parties and invited them to
comment on the proposal. Between January 28, 2016, and February 9,
2016, we published legal notices in major newspapers in the West Indian
manatee range including Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,
Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, Virginia, and Puerto Rico and
legal notices in 10 major newspapers in
[[Page 16669]]
Florida. We also held a public hearing on February 20, 2016, at the
Buena Vista Palace Conference Center in Orlando, Florida.
Background
Please refer to the combined 12-month finding and proposed rule to
reclassify the West Indian manatee (81 FR 1000, January 8, 2016) for
more information on the species' distribution, taxonomy, description,
lifespan, mating, and reproduction. We made no changes to these
sections and do not include them in our final rule.
Taxonomy and Species Description
The West Indian manatee, Trichechus manatus, is one of three living
species of the genus Trichechus (Rice 1998, p. 129). The West Indian
manatee includes two recognized subspecies, the Antillean manatee,
Trichechus manatus manatus, and the Florida manatee, Trichechus manatus
latirostris (Rice 1998, p. 129). Each subspecies has distinctive
morphological features and occurs in discrete areas with rare overlap
between ranges (Hatt 1934, p. 538; Domning and Hayek 1986, p. 136; and
Alvarez-Alem[aacute]n et al. 2010, p. 148). Recent genetic studies
substantiate the uniqueness of the Florida subspecies, as its genetic
characteristics have been compared with other populations from the
Antillean subspecies found in Puerto Rico and Belize (Hunter et al.
2010, p. 599; Hunter et al. 2012, p. 1631).
Population Size
Within the southeastern United States, Martin et al. (2015 entire)
provide an abundance estimate for the Florida subspecies of 6,350
manatees (with a 95 percent CI (confidence interval) between 5,310 and
7,390). Outside the southeastern United States, available non-
statistical population estimates are based on data of highly variable
quality and should be considered only as crude approximations (Table
1). These estimates suggest that there may be as many as 6,782
Antillean manatees in the Greater Antilles, Mexico, Central America,
and South America (Table 1). This information reflects the broad
distribution of the species and suggests a relatively medium to large
range-wide population estimate. A sum of all the available estimates
totals 13,142 manatees for the species throughout its range; the sum of
estimated minimum population sizes is 8,396 manatees (See Table 1; UNEP
2010, p. 11; Marsh et al. 2011, p. 385; Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et
al. 2012, p. 132; Self-Sullivan and Mignucci 2012, p. 40; Martin et al.
2015, entire). Total estimates for manatees outside the southeastern
United States and Puerto Rico alone range between approximately 3,000
and 6,700 individuals, including adults, subadults, and calves, of
which fewer than 2,500 are estimated to be reproductively mature
animals (Self-Sullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 40).
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012, p. 132) adapted the UNEP
(2010, p. 11) numbers and used an estimated initial size of 6,700
individuals in their population viability analysis (PVA) model for the
Antillean subspecies.
Table 1--Range Countries Where West Indian Manatees Are Found: Trends, Non-Statistical Population Estimates,
Minimum Population Size, and National Listing Status
[Abbreviations: U--Unknown; D--Declining; S--Stable; I--Increasing (adapted from UNEP 2010, p. 11 and
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012, p. 132, Martin et al. 2015, p. 44, unless otherwise cited).]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Non-
statistical National listing
Country Trend \1\ population Minimum population size status \3\
estimate \2\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Greater Antilles (1,382)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1A.\4\ U.S. (Puerto Rico)........ S \5\ 532 (mean) 342...................... Endangered (PRDNER
2004).
2. Cuba.......................... U/D 500 Unknown.................. Endangered
([Aacute]lvarez-
Alem[aacute]n
2012).
3. Haiti......................... U 100 8........................ No Information
4. Dominican Republic............ D 200 30....................... Critically
Endangered
(MMARNRD 2011).
5. Jamaica....................... U/D 50 <50...................... No Information.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mexico, Central America (3,600)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
6. Mexico........................ U 1,500 1,000.................... Endangered.
7. Belize........................ U/D 1,000 700...................... Endangered.
8. Guatemala..................... U 150 53 Critically
44. Endangered (CONAP
2009).
9. Honduras...................... S/D 100 11....................... No Information.
10. Costa Rica................... D 200 31....................... Endangered.
11. Panama....................... U 150 10....................... No Information.
12. Nicaragua.................... D 500 71....................... No Information.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
South America (1,800)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
13. Colombia..................... U/D 500 100...................... Critically
Endangered
(Rodr[iacute]guez-
Mahecha et al.
2006).
14. Venezuela.................... D 200 200...................... Critically
Endangered (Ojasti
and Lacabana
2008).
15. Suriname..................... D 100 100...................... No Information.
16. French Guiana................ S/D 100 100...................... No Information.
17. Guyana....................... D 100 100...................... No Information.
18. Trinidad and Tobago.......... D 100 25....................... Endangered (MCT
2002).
19. Brazil....................... S/D 700 155...................... Critically
Endangered
(Barbosa et al.
2008).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
North America (6,360)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20. The Bahamas.................. I 10 Unknown.................. No Information.
21B.\4\ U.S. (Southeast)......... S/I 6,350 5,310.................... Endangered (FAC 68A-
27.0031).
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 16670]]
Total Estimated Populatio8,396-13,142
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Trends and estimates described in Table 1 for manatee populations outside the United States are, in large
part, based on the personal opinions of local experts and are not based on quantified analyses of trends in
country population counts or demographics. Such data from these countries are limited or absent, making most
of these assessments conjectural (UNEP 2010, p. xiv).
\2\ Except as noted.
\3\ Range country status definitions vary by country.
\4\ Note that Locations 1A and 21B refer to manatee populations in the United States (in Puerto Rico and the
southeastern United States, respectively).
\5\ Based on adjusted aerial survey counts (Pollock et al. 2013, p. 8).
The Martin et al. (2015) study referenced above is the first
quantified estimate of abundance for the Florida manatee in the
southeastern United States. This estimate relied upon innovative survey
techniques and multiple sources of information to estimate a Florida
manatee population of 6,350 animals (Martin et al. 2015, p. 44). In
Puerto Rico, the Service also updated aerial survey methods to account
for detection probability, which provides an improved population
estimate (Pollock et al. 2013, entire). From 2010 to 2014, a total of
six island-wide aerial surveys have been completed with this new method
(Atkins 2010-2014). These have resulted in the most robust counts
available for the population, with an average direct minimum population
count of 149 individuals (standard deviation (SD) 31). Calf numbers
have also been documented with an average minimum direct calf count of
14 (SD 5) or approximately 10 percent of the direct minimum population
count. A record high of 23 calves was counted in the December 2013
survey. The October 2010 survey count analysis resulted in an adjusted
mean estimated population size of 532 individuals, with a 95 percent
equal area confidence interval (CI) of 342-802 manatees (Pollock et al.
2013, p. 8).
In Florida, to count numbers of manatees, FWC conducts a series of
statewide aerial and ground surveys of warm-water sites known to be
visited by manatees during cold-weather extremes. These surveys are
conducted from one to three times each winter, depending on weather
conditions (FWC FWRI Manatee aerial surveys, 2016, unpubl. data). While
the number of manatees detected during these surveys has increased over
the years, in and of themselves these surveys are not considered to be
reliable indicators of population trends, given concerns about
detection probabilities. However, it is likely that a significant
amount of the increase does reflect an actual increase in population
size when this count is considered in the context of other positive
demographic indicators, including the recently updated growth and
survival rates (Runge et al. 2015, p. 19).
In February 2015, researchers counted 6,063 manatees during a
statewide survey, and researchers in February 2016 counted 6,250
manatees (FWC FWRI Manatee aerial surveys 2016, unpubl. data).
Population Trends
In 2008, the International Union for the Conservation of Nature
(IUCN) identified the West Indian manatee as a ``Vulnerable'' species
throughout its range based on an estimate of less than 10,000 mature
individuals (Deutsch et al. 2008, https://www.iucnredlist.org/details/22103/0). The population was expected to decline at a rate of 10
percent over the course of three generations (i.e., 60 years; 1
generation = circa 20 years) due to habitat loss and other
anthropogenic factors (Deutsch et al. 2008, online). However, each of
the subspecies (Antillean and Florida) by themselves was considered to
be endangered and declining due to a variety of threats identified in
the IUCN classification criteria (Deutsch et al. 2008, online). As we
have noted above, our estimate of the total West Indian manatee
population currently ranges between 8,396 and 13,142 (Table 1).
To the extent that they can be measured with the best available
data, the West Indian manatee population trend and status vary
regionally (Table 1). In the southeastern United States, the manatee
population has grown, based on updated adult survival rate estimates
and estimated growth rates (Runge et al. 2015, p. 19). The Antillean
manatee population in Puerto Rico is believed to be stable since our
2007 status review (USFWS 2007). Historical and anecdotal accounts
outside the southeastern United States and Puerto Rico suggest that
manatees were once more common, leading scientists to hypothesize that
significant declines have occurred (Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 425; UNEP
2010, p. 11; Self-Sullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 37). In areas
where populations may be declining, the magnitude of decline is
difficult to assess, given the qualitative nature of these accounts
(see footnote Table 1). It is not known if these observations represent
an actual decline or merely reflect differences in expert opinion over
time.
In the Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012, pp. 129-143) PVA
model for the metapopulation of the Antillean manatee the authors
divided the metapopulation into six subpopulations identified by
geographic features, local genetic structure, ranging behavior, and
habitat use (Greater Antilles, Gulf of Mexico, Mesoamerica, Colombia,
Venezuela, Brazil; refer to Figure 1 and Table 1 in Castelblanco-
Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012). Using an initial metapopulation size of
6,700 Antillean manatees, with low human pressure and a relatively low
frequency of stochastic events, their baseline PVA model describes a
metapopulation with positive growth. The authors explain that the model
is limited due to a lack of certainty with regard to the estimated size
of the population; it does not take into account trends in local
populations, and it assumes that all threats have an equal effect on
the different subpopulations.
As stated in Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012, p. 138),
``human impacts and habitat fragmentation were the main factors that
drastically caused changes in the simulated extinction process of the
population.'' For example, some of the combined human-related mortality
and habitat fragmentation model runs
[[Page 16671]]
reached extinction within 100 years (Fig. 5 and Table 7 in
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012, pp. 139-140). The four worst
predictions presented a mean time to extinction between 41.5 and 104
years, by assuming a human-related mortality of 5 percent or higher and
in combination with values of transient survival probabilities of
between 10 percent, 30 percent, and 50 percent (habitat fragmentation).
Besides these four worst predictions, the other predictions' mean time
to extinction are all above 200 years (from 208.9 to >500), thus higher
than what is considered the foreseeable future (50 years; see Summary
of Factors Affecting the Species section) for the West Indian manatee.
These four worst model predictions are currently considered
unlikely for the Antillean manatee metapopulations. For example,
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012, p. 135) discuss their
assumption of using a 1 percent human-related mortality for their base
model by citing available information on anthropogenic causes of
mortality for the Antillean manatee (Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et
al. 2012, p. 135). These anthropogenic causes include hunting,
entanglement, and collisions with boats, and in general are considered
relatively uncommon according to the few reports available considering
the broad range of the Antillean manatee metapopulation (Castelblanco-
Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012, p. 135). Thus a 5 percent or higher human-
related mortality in these four worst predictions is currently
considered unlikely. They also note (Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et
al. 2012, p. 141) that the resulting baseline model growth rate is
reasonable because mortality is currently considered to be low when
compared to the Florida subspecies, which can withstand massive
mortalities associated with cold stress and red tide episodes.
In addition, low survival probabilities of transient manatees
(habitat fragmentation) of 50 percent or lower are also considered
unlikely since migration rates were assumed low, and given that
manatees have a resilient immune system and seem resistant to diseases
and traumatic injuries as explained by Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et
al. (2012, pp. 132-133). We recognize that additional information is
needed to better assess how human-related and habitat threats affect
actual and model growth rates.
In the southeastern United States, new population growth rates for
Florida's Atlantic Coast, Upper St. Johns River, Northwest, and
Southwest Regions describe growth in each region through winter seasons
2011-2012, 2010-2011, 2009-2010, and 2008-2009, respectively (Langtimm
presentation, 2016). Regional adult survival rate estimates (see Table
2) were also updated through the same periods and are higher and more
precise for all regions since the last estimates were provided
(Langtimm presentation, 2016; Runge et al. 2015, p. 7; USFWS 2007, p.
65). The updates capture some but not all of the recent die-off events
(severe cold events of 2009-2010 and 2010-2011, and the 2012-present
Indian River Lagoon (IRL) die-off event). These rates include data
collected through 2014-2015. However, rates for periods beyond those
identified in Table 2 cannot be calculated because of an end of time
series bias inherent in the analyses.
Table 2--Updated Florida Manatee Adult Survival Rates
[Langtimm, presentation, 2016.]
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Region Mean Standard error Time period
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Northwest....................................................... 0.978 .003 1982-2009
Southwest....................................................... 0.978 .004 1997-2012
Atlantic Coast.................................................. 0.972 .004 1987-2010
Upper St. Johns River........................................... 0.979 .004 1987-2010
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A USGS-led status and threats analysis for the Florida manatee was
updated in 2016 (Runge presentation, 2016). This effort considers the
demographic effects of the major threats to Florida manatees and
evaluates how those demographic effects influence the risk of
extinction using the manatee Core Biological Model. Although the adult
survival rate is less than one in all regions, growth rates have been
demonstrably greater than one (positive growth) over the recent past
(1983-2007) (Langtimm presentation, 2016).
The analysis forecasts the status of the manatee population under
different threat scenarios using the Manatee Core Biological Model.
Data from the Manatee Carcass Salvage Program (FWC FWRI Manatee Carcass
Salvage Program 2016, unpubl. data) were used to estimate fractions of
mortality due to each of six known threats: Watercraft, water control
structures, marine debris, cold, red tide, and others (Runge
presentation, 2016).
The model expressed the contribution of each threat as it affects
manatee persistence, by removing them, one at a time, and comparing the
results to the ``status quo'' scenario. The ``status quo'' represents
the population status in the continued presence of all of the threats,
including the threat of the potential loss of warm water in the future
due to power plant closures and the loss of springs and/or reduction in
spring flows.
Under the status quo scenario, the statewide manatee population is
expected to increase slowly, nearly doubling over 50 years, and then
stabilize as the population reaches statewide carrying capacity. Under
this scenario, the model predicts that it is unlikely (< 2.5 percent
chance) that the statewide population will fall below 4,000 total
individuals over the next 100 years, assuming current threats remain
constant indefinitely (Runge et al. 2015, p. 13).
Recovery
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
recovery plans for the conservation and survival of listed species,
unless we find that such a plan will not promote conservation of the
species. Although the West Indian manatee is listed throughout its
range, Service recovery planning efforts for the West Indian manatee
focused mostly on those portions of the species' range within U.S.
jurisdiction. We published an initial recovery plan for the West Indian
manatee in 1980 (USFWS 1980) and subsequently published recovery plans
at the subspecies level for manatees found within the United States. At
present, approved plans include the Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rican
Population of the Antillean Manatee (USFWS 1986); the Florida Manatee
Recovery Plan, Third Revision (USFWS 2001); and the South Florida
Multi-Species Recovery Plan (USFWS 1999).
[[Page 16672]]
Section 4(f) of the Act directs that, to the maximum extent
practicable, we incorporate into each recovery plan: (1) Site-specific
management actions that may be necessary to achieve the plan's goals
for conservation and survival of the species; (2) objective, measurable
criteria, which when met would result in a determination, in accordance
with the provisions of section 4 of the Act, that the species be
removed from the list; and (3) estimates of the time required and cost
to carry out the plan.
Revisions to the Lists of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and
Plants (List) (adding, removing, or reclassifying a species) must
reflect determinations made in accordance with section 4(a)(1) and
4(b). Section 4(a)(1) requires that the Secretary determine whether a
species is threatened or endangered (or not) because of one or more of
five threat factors. Therefore, recovery criteria must indicate when a
species is no longer threatened or endangered because of any of these
five factors. In other words, objective, measurable criteria contained
in recovery plans (recovery criteria) must indicate when an analysis of
the five factors under section 4(a)(1) would result in a determination
that a species is no longer an endangered or threatened species.
Section 4(b) requires that the determination made under section 4(a)(1)
be based on the best available science.
Thus, while recovery plans are intended to provide guidance to the
Service, States, and other partners on methods of minimizing threats to
listed species and on criteria that may be used to determine when
recovery is achieved, they are not regulatory documents and cannot
substitute for the determinations and promulgation of regulations
required under section 4(a)(1). Determinations to remove from or
reclassify a species on the List made under section 4(a)(1) must be
based on the best scientific and commercial data available at the time
of the determination, regardless of whether that information differs
from the recovery plan.
In the course of implementing conservation actions for a species,
new information is often gained that requires recovery efforts to be
modified accordingly. There are many paths to accomplishing recovery of
a species, and recovery may be achieved without all criteria being
fully met. For example, one or more criteria may have been exceeded
while other criteria may not have been accomplished, yet the Service
may judge that, overall, the threats have been minimized sufficiently,
and the species is robust enough, to reclassify the species from
endangered to threatened or perhaps even delist the species. In other
cases, recovery opportunities may have been recognized that were not
known at the time the recovery plan was finalized. These opportunities
may be used instead of methods identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, information on the species may be available that was not
known at the time the recovery plan was finalized. The new information
may change the extent that criteria need to be met for recognizing
recovery of the species. Overall, recovery of species is a dynamic
process requiring adaptive management, planning, implementing, and
evaluating the degree of recovery of a species that may, or may not,
fully follow the guidance provided in a recovery plan.
The following discussion provides a review of recovery planning and
implementation for the West Indian manatee, as well as an analysis of
the recovery criteria and goals as they relate to evaluating the status
of the species.
Recovery Actions
Recovery and conservation actions for the West Indian manatee are
described in the ``UNEP Caribbean Environment[al] Program's Regional
Management Plan for the West Indian Manatee'' (UNEP 2010, entire) and
in national conservation plans for countries outside the United States.
Within the United States, the Service's Recovery Plan for the Puerto
Rico Population of the West Indian (Antillean) Manatee (USFWS 1986,
entire), the South Florida Multi-Species Recovery Plan (USFWS 1999,
entire), and the Florida Manatee Recovery Plan (USFWS 2001, entire)
identify recovery and conservation actions for the species. Actions
common to all plans include minimizing manatee mortality and injury,
protecting manatee habitats, and monitoring manatee populations and
habitat.
UNEP Caribbean Environment[al] Program's Regional Management Plan for
the West Indian Manatee, National Conservation Plans (Outside the
United States)
The UNEP plan, published in 2010, identifies short- and long-term
conservation and research measures that should be implemented to
conserve the West Indian manatee. This plan also includes an overview
of West Indian manatees within their range countries, including
descriptions of regional and national conservation measures and
research programs that have been implemented. Given the general lack of
information about manatees in most range countries, the plan recommends
that needed research and the development of common methodologies be
prioritized in concert with coordinated manatee and manatee habitat
protection efforts (UNEP 2010, entire).
Within the species' range, foundations for coordinated conservation
and research activities are developing, and a number of governments
have designated manatee protection areas and have developed or are
developing conservation plans (UNEP 2010, p. xiv). National legislation
exists for manatees in all range countries, and many countries have
ratified their participation in international conventions and protocols
that protect manatees and their habitat (UNEP 2010, p. xv). At
www.regulations.gov, see Supplemental Documents 1 and 3 in Docket No.
FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178. Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Guatemala, Mexico,
the United States, Puerto Rico, and Trinidad have developed country-
specific manatee recovery plans (UNEP 2010, p. 92).
Efforts to conserve manatees outside the United States vary
significantly from country to country. Some countries, including but
not limited to Mexico, Belize, Brazil, and Cuba, are engaged in efforts
to assess current status and distribution of manatees. Many countries,
including Belize and Brazil, provide protections for manatees and their
habitat. For example, the manatee in Belize is listed as endangered
under Belize's Wildlife Protection Act of 1981. Belize protects
manatees from overexploitation, and its recovery plan implements
recovery actions similar to those identified in the Service's Florida
and Puerto Rico recovery plans. Efforts to protect manatees include
education and outreach efforts, and countries are promoting cooperation
and information exchanges through venues such as the recent Cartagena
Convention meetings (UNEP 2014, entire). A successful cooperative
initiative identified at the meetings includes the implementation of
manatee bycatch surveys in the Dominican Republic, Belize, Colombia,
and Mexico (Kiszka 2014, entire). We are encouraged by the progress
that is being made in several portions of the Antillean manatee's range
in protecting this mammal and the growing enthusiasm behind
implementing recovery to better protect this important species. In the
future, we would like to reach out and coordinate with these countries
with their efforts to further conserve manatees.
[[Page 16673]]
Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rico Population of the West Indian
(Antillean) Manatee
We approved the Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rico population of the
West Indian (Antillean) manatee on December 24, 1986 (USFWS 1986,
entire). Although this plan is considered out of date (USFWS 2007, p.
26), we present the progress we have made under the identified tasks.
The 1986 plan included three major objectives: (1) To identify, assess,
and reduce human-related mortalities, especially those related to gill-
net entanglement; (2) to identify and minimize alteration, degradation,
and destruction of important manatee habitats; and (3) to develop
criteria and biological information necessary to determine whether and
when to reclassify from endangered to threatened the Puerto Rico
population (USFWS 1986, p. 12). The Recovery Plan also includes a step-
down outline that identifies two primary recovery actions for: (1)
Population management and (2) habitat protection. Since the release of
the 1986 Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rico population of the West
Indian (Antillean) manatee, initiated recovery actions have provided
substantial new knowledge about the species' ecology and threats. Some
of these efforts apply to multiple tasks and are helping to update
conservation information and tools that are applied towards adaptive
management and education. Here we report on the current status of these
actions.
Recovery Task (1): Population management. Recovery actions under
this task include: Reduce human-caused mortality; determine manatee
movement patterns and trends in abundance and distribution; assess
contaminant concentrations in manatees; determine quantitative recovery
criteria; and develop manatee protection plans for areas of specific
importance.
Recovery Task (2): Habitat protection. Recovery actions under this
task include: Radio-tag manatees to determine habitat utilization;
determine and map distribution of seagrass beds and sources of fresh
water; and monitor important habitat components and ensure protection.
A carcass salvage program was first implemented in the late 1970s
and continues today. Mignucci-Giannoni et al. (2000, p. 189) provided
an analysis of stranding data and identified sources of human-caused
mortality. This summarization of data points indicates a shift in the
nature of threats since the release of the 1986 Recovery Plan, which
listed poaching, direct capture, and entanglement as the most
significant threats to manatees. Watercraft collision is now considered
the greatest threat to manatees in Puerto Rican waters (Mignucci et al.
2000, p. 189; Drew et al. 2012, p. 26). Currently, carcass salvage
efforts are led by the Puerto Rico Department of Natural and
Environmental Resources (PRDNER) with support from the Puerto Rico
Manatee Conservation Center (PRMCC) (the former Caribbean Stranding
Network or CSN) and the Puerto Rico Zoo. There has not been a record of
poaching since 1995 as a result of increased public awareness of the
protected status of the manatee. The successful rehabilitation and
release of the captive manatee ``Moises'' in 1994, a manatee calf
stranded after the mother had been killed by poachers, served to incite
a change of cultural values and increase awareness about threats to
manatees (Marsh and Lefebvre 1994, p. 157).
Documented entanglement in fishing nets rarely occurs. However, in
2014, three adult manatees were entangled in large fishing nets; one of
them was an adult female that died (PRDNER 2015, unpubl. data).
Significant exposure was given to this case through the local and
social media. Current PRDNER fishing regulations still allow the use of
beach seine nets with certain prohibitions that need to be carefully
monitored. Fisheries-related entanglements and debris ingestion are
rarely documented but may occur and cause take of manatees (take
includes harassment, hunting, capturing, killing, or attempting to
harass, hunt, capture, or kill). In August 2014 and September 2016, an
adult female was confirmed to have both flippers severely entangled in
monofilament line. Attempts to capture the female manatee from the
shore were unsuccessful. Agencies, community groups, and
nongovernmental organizations in Puerto Rico consistently educate the
public about improper waste disposal that can affect manatees.
In 2012, the Service completed a cooperative agreement with
researchers from North Carolina State University (NCSU) to identify
potential Manatee Protection Areas (MPAs) and address some of the core
recommendations made by the most recent West Indian manatee 5-year
review, such as the establishment of MPAs (USFWS 2007, p. 37). This
collaboration led to the identification of several potential MPAs and
serves to update the body of knowledge pertaining to key ecological
resources used by manatees (i.e., seagrass, shelter, freshwater) and
the current status of threats to the Antillean manatee (Drew et al.
2012, pp. 1, 33-34). MPAs serve to prevent the take of one or more
manatees (USFWS 1979). The MPA selection criteria considered key
manatee resources (i.e., seagrass, shelter, freshwater), manatee aerial
surveys, and areas where take can be minimized. After expert
elicitation and a thorough literature review, available data were
spatially analyzed and described to reflect manatee use and habitat
preference.
Federal MPAs have not been designated in Puerto Rico, and the
PRDNER does not have a specific manatee area regulation like the State
of Florida's Manatee Sanctuary Act of 1978 (FMSA), which allows for
management and enforcement of boat speed restrictions and operations in
areas where manatees are concentrated (F.A.C. 2016). Still, the PRDNER
has the authority to establish boat speed regulatory areas marked with
buoys wherever deemed necessary. For example, in 2014, the USFWS,
PRDNER, and Reefscaping, Inc. finalized the installation of 100 manatee
speed regulatory buoys throughout known important manatee use areas,
and the PRDNER has a plan to install more buoys. In addition, the
Navigation and Aquatic Safety Law for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico
(Law 430) was implemented in 2000 (PRDNER 2000). This law restricts
boat speeds to 5 miles per hour within 150 feet (45 meters) from the
coastline unless otherwise posted. However, the effectiveness of this
law and State manatee speed regulatory buoys have not been
appropriately assessed, and enforcement is limited (see Factor D).
In Puerto Rico, island-wide manatee aerial surveys have been
conducted since the late 1970s. These aerial surveys provide the basis
for island-wide distribution patterns and help to determine minimum
population direct counts in some areas or throughout the island. Not
all surveys were equal in terms of the area covered and time of year in
which they were done. These direct counts identify a number of animals
observed at the time of the survey and suggest that there are at least
a specified number of manatees in the population. The Service
recognizes that these counts do not accurately represent the total
number of manatees in the population. Weather, other environmental
factors (e.g., water clarity), observer bias, and aerial survey space
restrictions influence count conditions and affect detection
probability and final count, thus likely the true number of individuals
is underestimated. Furthermore, as in the Florida manatee aerial
surveys, survey methods preclude any analysis of
[[Page 16674]]
precision and variability in the counts, and do not allow for the
estimation of the apparent detection probability. In spite of the high
variability between and within surveys, the data can be used to specify
a minimum population direct count within a time period (one island-wide
survey).
The most consistent surveys were conducted between 1984 and 2002
(USFWS CESFO Manatee Aerial Surveys 2015, unpubl. data). However,
methods used provided only a direct count and did not allow for a more
reliable estimate of population size with detection probabilities
(Pollock et al., 2013, p. 2). Hence, estimates of population size are
likely biased low, and inferences from trend analyses are unreliable.
The Service again partnered with researchers from NCSU to conduct a
review of aerial survey protocols and implement a sampling protocol
that allows the estimation of a detection probability (Pollock et al.,
2013, pp. 2-4). In 2010, the Service partnered with Atkins (private
consultant) to implement the new sampling protocol in order to provide
more reliable population estimates. As explained in the Population Size
section, a total of six island-wide aerial surveys were flown between
2010 and 2014 using the new methods (Atkins 2010-2014). We now have the
most robust counts for Puerto Rico's Antillean manatee population.
(Please refer to the Population Size section for additional
information.)
Recovery actions are also implemented during technical assistance
and project reviews. Any action or project with a Federal nexus (e.g.,
Federal funds, permits, or actions) requires a consultation with the
Service under section 7 of the Act. During the consultation process,
the Service identifies conservation measures to avoid and minimize
possible effects of proposed actions or projects. We review numerous
projects each year pertaining to the manatee, such as dredging, dock
and marina construction, coastal development, marine events (i.e.,
high-speed boat races), and underwater and beach unexploded ordnance,
among others. The Service has developed Antillean manatee conservation
measures guidelines specific to Puerto Rico. For example, we have
worked with the U.S. Coast Guard to develop and implement standard
permit conditions for boat races, such as observer protocols.
South Florida Multi-Species Recovery Plan, West Indian Manatee
The South Florida Multi-Species Recovery Plan, West Indian Manatee
element, was adopted on August 18, 1999, by the Service (USFWS 1999,
entire). This ecosystem-based recovery plan is intended to recover
listed species and to restore and maintain the biodiversity of native
plants and animals in South Florida. The plan is not intended to
replace existing recovery plans but rather to enhance recovery efforts
(USFWS 1999, p. 3). Inasmuch as manatees are a component of South
Florida ecosystems, this plan included species information and recovery
tasks from the then-current Florida manatee recovery plan, which was
the Service's 1996 Florida Manatee Recovery Plan (USFWS 1996, entire).
Because the 1996 Florida Manatee Recovery Plan was revised in 2001, the
South Florida Multi-Species Recovery Plan, West Indian Manatee element
became obsolete. However, the 2001 Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
includes tasks that address manatee conservation throughout this
subspecies' range, including in South Florida.
Manatee recovery activities addressed in the south Florida region
include a Comprehensive Everglades Restoration Plan (CERP) Task Force
that addresses CERP tasks related to manatee conservation, an
Interagency Task Force for Water Control Structures that minimizes
manatee deaths associated with water control structures, and efforts to
protect the manatees' south Florida winter habitat (FWC 2007, pp. 63,
196).
The CERP Task Force developed guidelines for manatee protection
during CERP-related construction activities. The guidelines address
culvert and water control structure installation, potential thermal
effects of Aquifer Storage and Recovery wells, potential manatee
entrapment in canal networks, and in-water construction effects. The
Task Force evaluated proposed changes to existing canal systems and the
construction of new structures planned for CERP implementation and
recommended measures to minimize effects on manatees. The measures have
been implemented and are in effect (FWC 2007, p. 196).
Water control structures are mostly found in south Florida and are
a predominant means for controlling flooding in the region. Water
control structures primarily include flood gates and navigation locks
that allow vessel passage through dams and impoundments, such as those
associated with Lake Okeechobee. Manatees travel through these
structures and are occasionally killed in gate crushings and
impingements. Manatee protection devices have been installed on most
structures known to have killed manatees, and the number of deaths has
been reduced (FWC 2007, p. 63). For the period 1998-2008, the average
annual number of structure-related deaths was 6.5 deaths. This number
was reduced to 4.2 deaths per year from 2009-2014 (FWC 2007, pp. 194-
195; FWC FWRI Manatee Carcass Salvage Database 2016, unpubl. data).
Important warm-water wintering sites for manatees in south Florida
include power plant discharges, springs, and passive warm-water sites
(sites characterized by warm-water inversions and other features).
State and Federal rules have been adopted for all power plant
discharges in south Florida that limit public access during the winter
(FWC 2007, pp. 235-238; USFWS 2007, pp. 71-79). Coincidentally, a
majority of the significant power plants used by wintering manatees
have been repowered and have projected lifespans of about 40 years
(Laist et al., 2013, p. 10). The loss of a passive warm-water site due
to restoration activities, the Port of the Islands warm-water basin, is
being addressed through the construction of an alternate warm-water
site downstream of the original site (Dryden 2015, pers. comm.).
Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
We published the current Florida Manatee Recovery Plan on October
30, 2001 (USFWS 2001). This recovery plan includes four principal
objectives: (1) Minimize causes of manatee disturbance, harassment,
injury, and mortality; (2) determine and monitor the status of manatee
populations; (3) protect, identify, evaluate, and monitor manatee
habitats; and (4) facilitate manatee recovery through public awareness
and education. To help achieve these objectives, the plan identifies
118 recovery implementation tasks. Important tasks include those that
address the reduction of watercraft collisions and the loss of warm-
water habitat.
Recovery Objective 1. Minimize causes of manatee disturbance,
harassment, injury, and mortality. Tasks identified under this
objective include: (1) Conducting reviews of permitted activities; (2)
minimizing collisions between manatees and watercraft; (3) enforcing
manatee protection regulations; (4) assessing and minimizing mortality
caused by large vessels; (5) eliminating water control structure
deaths; (6) minimizing fisheries and marine debris entanglements; (7)
rescuing and rehabilitating distressed manatees; and (8) implementing
strategies to minimize manatee harassment.
[[Page 16675]]
Task 1. Conduct reviews of permitted activities. The Service
conducts reviews of coastal construction permit applications to
minimize impacts to manatees and their habitat; reviews high-speed
marine event permit applications to minimize the effect of
concentrated, high-speed watercraft events on manatees; and reviews
National Pollution Elimination Discharge Elimination System (NPDES)
permits to ensure that existing, significant discharges do not
adversely affect manatees and ensure that no new attractant discharges
are created.
The State of Florida requires counties to develop manatee
protection plans (MPPs). These are county-wide plans for the
development of boat facilities (docks, piers, dry-storage areas,
marinas, and boat ramps) that specify preferred locations for boat
facility development based on an evaluation of natural resources,
manatee protection needs, and recreation and economic demands. MPPs are
reviewed by FWC and the Service and, when deemed adequate, are used to
evaluate boat access projects. When proposed projects are consistent
with MPPs, permitting agencies authorize the construction of facilities
in waters used by manatees. Currently, all of the original 13 counties
required to have MPPs have plans, as well as Clay, Levy, and Flagler
counties. Charlotte County is also preparing an MPP.
The Service developed programmatic consultation procedures and
permit conditions for new and expanding watercraft facilities (e.g.,
docks, boat ramps, and marinas) as well as for dredging and other in-
water activities through an effect determination key with the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers and State of Florida (the ``Manatee Key'') (recently
revised in 2013). The Manatee Key ensures that watercraft facility
locations are consistent with MPP boat facility siting criteria and are
built consistent with MPP construction conditions. The Service
concluded that these procedures constitute appropriate and responsible
steps to avoid and minimize adverse effects to the species and
contribute to recovery of the species.
The Service has worked with the U.S. Coast Guard and State agencies
to develop and implement standard permit conditions for high-speed
marine event permits. These conditions require that events take place
at locations and times when few manatees can be found at event
locations and require event observer programs. Observer programs place
observers in locations in and around event sites; these observers watch
for manatees and shut events down when manatees enter event sites.
The Florida Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP) issues
and renews NPDES permits for power plants, desalination plants,
wastewater treatment plants, and other dischargers that affect
manatees. The FWC, the Service, and others review these actions. These
reviews ensure that discharges identified as beneficial to manatees
continue to operate in a way that does not adversely affect manatees
and seek to modify or eliminate those discharges that adversely affect
manatees. In particular, these reviews prevent the creation of new
sources of warm water and drinking water, known manatee attractants.
Task 2. Minimize collisions between manatees and watercraft. See
discussion of watercraft collisions under Factor E, below. Ongoing
efforts to minimize collisions between manatees and watercraft include
the adoption of manatee protection areas that require boat operators to
slow down or avoid sensitive manatee use areas. By requiring boats to
slow down, manatees are better able to evade oncoming boats and boat
operators are better able to see manatees and prevent collisions.
Protected areas minimize the take of manatees by harassment in manatee
wintering areas, resting areas, feeding areas, travel corridors, and
other important manatee use sites. Manatee protection areas have been
adopted in 26 Florida counties by the State of Florida, local
communities, and the Service. Manatee protection areas were first
adopted in the late 1970s, and additional areas continue to be adopted,
as needed. For example, FWC recently adopted new protection areas in
western Pinellas County (68C-22.016).
Task 3. Enforce manatee protection regulations. Service and State
efforts to reduce the number of watercraft collisions with manatees
rely on enforced, well-defined, and designated MPAs. Integral to these
efforts are an adequate number of law enforcement officers to patrol
and enforce these areas. Federal, State, and local law enforcement
officers enforce these measures; Federal officers can enforce State
regulations, and State officers can enforce Federal regulations.
Officers can only enforce areas that are properly marked by well-
maintained signs and buoys. Maintenance of these markers requires
significant, continuing funding to ensure the presence of enforceable
protection areas.
It is difficult to ascertain the adequacy of enforcement efforts.
Data concerning dedicated officer hours on the water and numbers of
citations written are confounding. For example, many dedicated officer
hours on the water address diverse missions, and it is not possible to
identify how many of these hours are devoted to manatee enforcement and
how many hours are dedicated to other missions. Boater compliance
assessments provide another measure to assess adequacy. Boater
compliance varies by waterway, with some waterways experiencing 85
percent compliance rates and others as little as 14 percent (Gorzelany
2013, p. 63). Average boater compliance throughout Florida is 54
percent (Shapiro 2001, p. iii). An enforcement presence generally
ensures a higher compliance rate (Gorzelany 2013, p. 34).
Task 4. Eliminate water control structure deaths. As discussed
below, entrapment and crushing in water control structures was first
recognized as a threat to manatees in the 1970s (Odell and Reynolds
1979, entire), and measures were immediately implemented to address
manatee mortality. While initial measures were mostly ineffective,
recent advances in protection/detection technology have nearly
eliminated this threat to Florida manatees. In 2014, the 5-year average
for manatee deaths at structures and locks was 4.2 manatee deaths per
year as compared to 6.5 manatee deaths per year during the preceding 20
years (FWC FWRI Manatee Carcass Salvage Database, 2016, unpubl. data).
Task 5. Minimize fisheries and marine debris entanglements. Fishing
gear, including both gear in use and discarded gear (i.e., crab traps
and monofilament fishing line), are a continuing problem for manatees.
To reduce this threat, a manatee rescue program disentangles manatees,
derelict-crab-trap removal programs and monofilament recycling programs
remove gear from the water, and extensive education and outreach
efforts increase awareness and promote sound gear disposal activities.
See Factor E for additional information. Because of continued and
ongoing fishing into the foreseeable future, it is unlikely that this
threat will be eliminated.
Task 6. Rescue and rehabilitate distressed manatees. Distressed
manatees are rescued throughout the southeastern United States.
Rescuers include the State of Florida, other range States, and numerous
private organizations. Each year these rescuers assist dozens of
manatees that present with a variety of stresses. Significant causes of
distress include watercraft collisions, fishing gear entanglements,
calf abandonment, and exposure to cold and red tide brevetoxins. Many
animals are treated and released in the field, and
[[Page 16676]]
others with significant needs are taken to one of three critical care
facilities for medical treatment. A majority of manatees rescued
through this program are successfully released back into the wild
(USFWS Captive Manatee Database, 2016, unpubl. data).
Task 7. Implement strategies to minimize manatee harassment. See
discussion of harassment under Factor B, below. Federal and State
regulations prohibiting harm and harassment (including provisioning)
are in effect and enforced (see Supplemental Document 2 in Docket No.
FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178). Extensive outreach efforts encourage proper
viewing practices and include the efforts of the Service, tour guides,
and others and include various outreach materials. In areas with large
aggregations of manatees, the Service and FWC have designated manatee
sanctuaries and no-entry areas where waterborne activities known to
take manatees are prohibited. When commercial manatee viewing
activities occur on National Wildlife Refuges, businesses are required
to obtain permits that restrict their activities to prevent harassment
from occurring.
Recovery Objective 2. Determine and monitor the status of manatee
populations. Tasks identified under this objective include: (1)
Conducting status reviews; (2) determining life-history parameters,
population structure, distribution patterns, and population trends; (3)
evaluating and monitoring causes of mortality and injury; and (4)
defining factors that affect health, well-being, physiology, and
ecology. Research projects that support this objective include aerial
surveys, a carcass salvage program, a photo-identification program,
telemetry studies and others.
Recovery Objective 3. Protect, identify, evaluate, and monitor
manatee habitats. Tasks identified under this objective include: (1)
Protecting, identifying, evaluating, and monitoring existing natural
and industrial warm-water refuges and investigate alternatives; (2)
establishing, acquiring, managing, and monitoring regional protected-
area networks and manatee habitat; (3) ensuring that minimum flows and
levels are established for surface waters to protect resources of
importance to manatees; and (4) assessing the need to revise critical
habitat. Important habitats for the Florida manatee include winter
sources of warm water, forage, drinking water, travel (or migratory)
corridors, and sheltered areas for resting and calving. The most
significant of these include winter warm-water and winter foraging
areas. Florida manatees are at the northern limit of the species' range
and require stable, long-term sources of warm water during cold weather
and adjacent forage to persist through winter periods. Historically,
manatees relied on the warm, temperate waters of south Florida and on
natural warm-water springs scattered throughout their range as buffers
to the lethal effects of cold winter temperatures. Absent warm water,
prolonged exposure to cold water temperatures results in debilitation
and/or death due to ``cold stress syndrome'' (Bossart et al., 2004, p.
435; Rommel et al., 2002, p. 4). Several areas in this recovery effort
summary (such as in Objective 1 above) show efforts that we are taking
to protect these sites and continue to implement recovery for the West
Indian manatee.
Recovery Objective 4. Facilitate manatee recovery through public
awareness and education. Tasks include: (1) Developing, evaluating, and
updating public education and outreach programs and materials; (2)
coordinating the development of manatee awareness programs and
materials to support recovery; and (3) developing consistent manatee
viewing and approach guidelines, utilizing the rescue, rehabilitation,
and release program to educate the public.
Manatee conservation relies on significant education and outreach
efforts. While the Service and State of Florida engage in these
efforts, many diverse stakeholders also participate in these
activities. Counties, municipalities, boating organizations, manatee
advocacy groups, environmental organizations, and others produce and
distribute outreach materials through a variety of media. An active
manatee rescue and rehabilitation program displays manatees that are
being rehabilitated and promotes conservation through display and
educational programs.
Significant education and outreach efforts include Crystal River
National Wildlife Refuge's (NWR) manatee kiosks, located at all water
access facilities in Kings Bay, Florida, and adjoining waters. The
kiosk panels provide the public with information about manatees and
guidance addressing manatee viewing activities. The kiosks are
supported by Refuge-linked web media that provide additional
information about manatee harassment and user activities (Vicente 2015,
pers. comm.). SeaWorld Orlando, through its permitted display of
rehabilitating manatees, reaches out to unprecedented numbers of
visitors. The display addresses the park's rescue and rehabilitation
program and informs the public about threats to manatees and what the
public can do to reduce the number of manatees affected by human
activities (SeaWorld Parks and Entertainment, 2016; see: https://seaworld.org/en/animal-info/animal-infobooks/manatee).
Recovery Plan for the Puerto Rican Population of the West Indian
(Antillean Manatee)
The 1986 Recovery Plan does not establish quantitative recovery
criteria to describe a sustainable population of manatees in Puerto
Rico. It does, however, direct the Service to determine and satisfy the
recovery criteria that are based on mortality and abundance trends and
a minimum population size and ensure that adequate habitat protection
and anti-poaching measures are implemented (USFWS 1986, Executive
Summary). The Recovery Plan also specifies that delisting should occur
when the population is large enough to maintain sufficient genetic
variation to enable it to evolve and respond to natural changes and
stochastic or catastrophic events. As previously explained, the Service
has made substantial progress implementing a number of recovery
actions, and some other actions are in progress.
In the absence of historical data (previous to the late 1970s) that
identifies a clear goal for population size, and population parameters
such as adult survival rates, which have the highest potential effect
on growth rate (Marsh et al. 2011, p. 255), it is not possible to
stipulate with precision the population size and vital rates that
should characterize a recovered, self-sustaining population of manatees
in Puerto Rico. Hunter et al. (2012, p. 1631) describes low genetic
diversity for the Puerto Rico population of Antillean manatees, and
cites other authors that suggest at least 50 genetically effective
breeders (~500 individuals) are needed to prevent inbreeding depression
for short-term population survival, while other researchers suggest
population levels in the upper hundreds to thousands in order to
maintain evolutionary potential. The average estimate of 532 for the
manatee population in Puerto Rico, ranging from a minimum of 342 to a
maximum of 802 individuals (Pollock et al. 2013, p. 8), is just within
the numbers of a viable population mentioned by Hunter et al. (2012, p.
1631). The Service considers the Puerto Rico Antillean manatee
population as stable, as it did in the previous status assessment
(USFWS 2007, p. 33). Past and current aerial surveys also serve to
demonstrate that the island-wide size and distribution of
[[Page 16677]]
the Puerto Rico manatee population does not seem to have changed. In
the 45 years that have passed since the species was listed, it can be
said that, according to the population numbers and maintenance of the
population's island-wide distribution, the Puerto Rico manatee
population has shown resilient attributes for long-term persistence in
spite of past and present natural and anthropogenic threats.
Major tasks for recovery include reduction of human-caused
mortality, habitat protection, identification and control of any
contaminant problems, and research into manatee behavior and
requirements to direct future management (USFWS 1986, Executive
Summary). The Service has already identified important manatee habitat
and will continue to use and pursue new strategies towards manatee
habitat protection together with the PRDNER. Planned research in the
near future will focus on manatee health assessments to gain baseline
information into potential contaminant problems and disease.
Florida Manatee Recovery Plan
The Florida Manatee Recovery Plan (USFWS 2001, entire) identifies
criteria for downlisting the Florida subspecies from endangered to
threatened and criteria for removing the subspecies from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife. Both downlisting and delisting
criteria include Listing/Recovery Factor criteria and demographic
criteria. Criteria can be found in Supplemental Document 1 in Docket
No. FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178.
A 2004 review of the demographic criteria noted that these criteria
are largely redundant and that (1) no manatee population can grow at a
fixed rate indefinitely as limiting resources will eventually prevent
the population from continuing to grow at that rate and the population
will ultimately reach stability; (2) the reproductive criterion is
difficult to estimate and the modeling results are difficult to
interpret; and (3) demographic recovery criteria should be linked to
statistically rigorous field data, as well as to the specific
population models that are intended for their evaluation. See previous
review of demographic data in Florida Manatee Recovery Plan Objective
3. Absent demographic criteria for the Florida manatee, we rely on more
recent demographic analyses and a threats analysis of the five listing
factors to support our reclassification, instead of the existing
recovery criteria.
Downlisting Criteria Listing/Recovery Criterion A
1. Identify minimum flow levels for important springs used by
wintering manatees.
Minimum spring discharge rates that consider estimated flow rates
necessary to protect water supply and support overwintering manatees
have been identified for some springs used by manatees. Minimum flows
were established at Blue Spring, Fanning Spring, Manatee Spring, the
Weeki Wachee River system and Weeki Wachee Springs, Homosassa Springs,
and Chassahowitzka Spring. Florida water management districts have
scheduled, or are in the process of scheduling, minimum flow
requirements for the remaining springs (see Table 3). These regulations
will ensure that adequate flows are met to support manatees. To date,
minimum flows have been adopted for six springs, and efforts are under
way to develop flows for two additional springs, including the Crystal
River springs complex. The status of efforts to establish minimum flows
for eight remaining springs are unknown.
Table 3--Projected Timeframes for Establishing Spring Minimum Flows
[From water management districts]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adopted/year
Spring proposed for Notes
adoption
------------------------------------------------------------------------
EAST COAST, FLORIDA
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Upper St. Johns River Region:
Blue Spring (Volusia County) ADOPTED...........
Silver Glen Springs (Marion UNKNOWN........... To be initiated in
County). 2017.
DeLeon Springs (Volusia UNKNOWN........... Initiated in 2016.
County).
Salt Springs (Marion County) UNKNOWN...........
Silver Springs (Marion UNKNOWN........... To be initiated in
County) *. 2017.
Atlantic Region:
No springs present.......... N/A...............
------------------------------------------------------------------------
WEST COAST, FLORIDA
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Northwest Region:
Crystal River System and 2017..............
Kings Bay Springs (Citrus
County).
Homosassa River Springs ADOPTED........... Revision due 2019.
(Citrus County).
Weeki Wachee/Mud/Jenkins ADOPTED...........
Creek Springs (Hernando
County).
Manatee/Fanning Springs ADOPTED...........
(Dixie County).
Wakulla/St. Mark's Complex 2021..............
(Wakulla County).
Ichetucknee Springs Group UNKNOWN........... Initiated in 2013.
(Columbia County).
Chassahowitzka River Springs ADOPTED........... Revision due 2019.
(Citrus County).
Rainbow Spring (Marion UNKNOWN...........
County) *.
Southwest Region:
Warm Mineral Springs UNKNOWN...........
(Sarasota County).
Spring Bayou/Tarpon Springs UNKNOWN...........
(Pasco County).
Sulphur Springs ADOPTED...........
(Hillsborough County).
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* At present, largely inaccessible to manatees.
[[Page 16678]]
2. Protect a network of warm-water refuges as manatee sanctuaries,
refuges, or safe havens.
A network of warm-water sanctuaries/no-entry areas and refuges
exists throughout much of the Florida manatee's range. Along the
Atlantic Coast, all four of the primary power plant discharges have
been designated as manatee protection areas and many lesser warm-water
sites, such as the Coral Gables Waterway, are protected as well. In the
St. Johns River region, Blue Springs is in public ownership, and the
spring and run are protected. The four primary west Florida power
plants are designated as sanctuaries/no-entry areas, and significant
warm-water springs in Citrus County are designated as sanctuaries.
Efforts are ongoing to improve conditions and management of southwest
Florida's Warm Mineral Springs. See Supplemental Document 2 in Docket
No. FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178.
3. Identify foraging sites associated with the network of warm-
water sites for protection (see Criteria 4 below).
4. Identify for protection a network of migratory corridors,
feeding areas, and calving and nursing areas.
Extensive research, including aerial surveys and field studies of
tagged manatees, has identified many of the foraging sites associated
with the Florida manatee's warm-water network, as well as migratory
corridors, resting areas, and calving and nursery areas. In many of
these areas, manatee protection area measures are in place to protect
manatees from watercraft collisions. State and Federal laws afford some
protection against habitat loss in these areas (see Factor D discussion
below). For example, the Clean Water Act ensures that discharges into
waterways used by manatees are not detrimental to grass beds and other
habitat features used by manatees.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery Criterion B
1. Address harassment at wintering and other sites to achieve
compliance with the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) and the
Endangered Species Act and as a conservation benefit to the species.
To address harassment at wintering and other sites, the Service and
State have designated manatee sanctuaries and no-entry areas to keep
people out of sensitive wintering sites. Federal, State, and local law
enforcement officers enforce these restrictions and address any
violations that occur outside of the protected areas.
Kings Bay, located in Crystal River, Florida, is a world-renowned
destination for manatee viewing activities. Commercial viewing
activities began in the early 1970s, and today's activities generate
millions of dollars in income to the region. Harassment associated with
this activity has been addressed through the purchase of properties of
sensitive manatee habitat, the designation of manatee sanctuaries and
protected areas, the creation and operation of the Crystal River NWR in
1983, extensive outreach activities, and enforcement of regulations
prohibiting manatee harassment. The Service adopted the Kings Bay
Manatee Refuge rule in 2012 (77 FR 15617; March 16, 2012) to expand
existing sanctuary boundaries, better address manatee harassment
occurring off refuge property, and minimize watercraft-related deaths
in Kings Bay. The rule identifies specific prohibitions that can be
enforced through the issuance of citations (USFWS 2012). Crystal River
NWR recently adopted measures to help prevent any harassment in Three
Sisters Springs and is considering further measures as the situation
requires.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery Criterion C
At the time the recovery plan was developed, there was no data
indicating that disease and predation was a limiting factor, thus no
reclassification (downlisting) criteria for this threat was deemed
necessary and, consequently, no delisting criteria were established.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery Criterion D
Specific actions are needed to ensure the adequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms as addressed below.
1. Establish minimum flows consistent with Listing/Recovery
Criterion A.
See discussion under Listing/Recovery Criterion A, above.
2. Protect important manatee habitats.
Important manatee habitats have been identified and protected
through a variety of means. Manatee habitat is protected through land
acquisition and various Federal and State laws. Important acquisitions
include Blue Spring in Volusia County and the Main Spring, Three
Sisters Springs, and Homosassa Springs in Citrus County. Land managers
for these sites manage habitat to benefit manatees. To ensure that
these habitats and habitat in public waterways are protected,
regulatory agencies such as the Army Corps of Engineers, the Florida
Department of Environmental Protection (FDEP), State water management
districts, and others review permit applications for activities that
could adversely modify or destroy habitat and require permittees to
avoid or minimize impacts. Discharges and runoff that could affect
habitat are addressed through the Clean Water Act's NPDES permitting
program, administered by FDEP with oversight from the Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA).
3. Reduce or remove unauthorized take.
To address harassment at wintering and other sites, the Service and
State have designated manatee sanctuaries and no-entry areas where
manatees rest and shelter from the cold free from human disturbance.
Federal, State, and local law enforcement officers enforce these
restrictions and address any violations that occur outside of the
protected areas.
Downlisting Criteria, Listing/Recovery Criterion E
1. Create and enforce manatee safe havens and/or Federal manatee
refuges.
To date, the Service and State have created more than 50 manatee
protection areas, and protection area measures are enforced by the
Service, U.S. Coast Guard, FWC, and local law enforcement officers. The
Service's Office of Law Enforcement has dedicated manatee law
enforcement officers in Florida to address manatee enforcement issues.
Service National Wildlife Refuges have refuge law enforcement officers
who enforce on and off refuge manatee regulations as time and resources
allow.
2. Retrofit one half of all water control structures with devices
to prevent manatee mortality.
Water control structures are flood gates that control water
movement and navigation locks that allow vessel passages through dams
and impoundments, such as those associated with Lake Okeechobee.
Manatees travel through these structures and are occasionally killed
when structures are closed or opened. Manatee protection devices
installed on these structures prevent manatee deaths. See discussion in
``South Florida Multi-Species Recovery Plan, West Indian Manatee.''
To date, all but one water control structure has been retrofitted
with manatee protection devices. Efforts are ongoing to complete
installation at the remaining site. This action has significantly
reduced the impacts of control structure related manatee injury and
death; such injuries or deaths are now relatively rare.
3. Draft guidelines to reduce or remove threats of injury or
mortality from fishery entanglements and entrapment in storm water
pipes and structures.
[[Page 16679]]
Some measures have been developed to reduce or remove threats of
injury or mortality from fishery entanglements, and steps are being
taken to minimize entrapments in storm water pipes and structures.
Measures to address fishery entanglements include monofilament
recycling programs and derelict crab trap removals; these two programs
address primary sources of manatee entanglement. Storm water pipes and
structures large enough for manatees to enter are designed to include
features that prohibit manatee access. Existing structures are re-
fitted with bars or grates to keep manatees out. In the event of
entanglements or entrapments, the manatee rescue program intervenes.
There are very few serious injuries or deaths each year due to these
causes. Guidelines to minimize gear-related entanglements associated
with netting activities have been developed. Similarly, guidance has
been developed to reduce entrapment in storm water pipes and
structures. See Factor E for additional information.
Remaining tasks to address the recovery of the Florida manatees
include:
Continue to address pending changes in the manatees' warm-
water network (develop and implement strategies).
Support the adoption of minimum flow regulations for
remaining important springs used by manatees.
Protect and maintain important manatee habitat.
Continue to maintain, adopt, and enforce manatee
protection areas as appropriate (continue to fund law enforcement
activities and manatee protection area marker maintenance).
Continue to address instances of manatee harassment.
Continue to review and address warm- and freshwater
discharges and boat facility projects that affect manatees.
Maintain and install manatee protection devices on
existing and new water-control structures.
Continue manatee rescue and rehabilitation efforts,
including efforts to minimize the effect of manatee entanglements and
entrapments.
Continue to monitor manatee population status and trends.
Continue manatee education and outreach efforts.
The Florida manatee population, estimated at about 6,350 manatees,
is characterized by good adult survival rate estimates and positive
breeding rates. The recently updated threats analysis continues to
identify losses due to watercraft and projected losses of winter warm-
water habitat as the greatest threats to this subspecies (Runge et al.,
2015). The designation, marking, and enforcement of manatee protection
areas in areas where manatees are at risk of watercraft collision, in
addition to outreach efforts focused on minimizing this threat,
addresses this concern. Numerous efforts have been made and are ongoing
to protect and enhance natural warm-water sites used by wintering
manatees. Addressing the pending loss of warm-water habitat from power
plant discharges remains a priority activity needed to achieve
recovery.
Summary of Comments
In the proposed rule published on January 8, 2016 (81 FR 1000), we
requested that all interested parties submit written comments on the
proposal by April 8, 2015. On January 13, 2016, the date closing the
comment period was corrected to read April 7, 2016 (81 FR 1597). We
also held a public hearing on February 20, 2016, at the Buena Vista
Palace Conference Center in Orlando, Florida. The Service also
contacted appropriate Federal and State agencies, scientific experts
and organizations, tribes, and other interested parties and invited
them to comment on the proposal.
In accordance with our peer review policy published on July 1, 1994
(59 FR 34270), we solicited independent expert opinion from 10
knowledgeable individuals with scientific and conservation expertise
that included familiarity with the two subspecies of the West Indian
manatee and their habitat, biological needs, and threats. We received
responses from four of the peer reviewers. We reviewed all comments we
received from the peer reviewers for substantive issues and new
information regarding the status of the West Indian manatee. None of
the peer reviewers who responded agreed with the proposal to reclassify
the manatee as threatened (see Peer Reviewer comment section below for
more details).
Section 4(b)(5)(A)(ii) of the Act states that the Secretary must
give actual notice of a proposed regulation under section 4(a) to the
State agency in each State in which the species is believed to occur,
and invite the comments of such agency. Section 4(i) of the Act states,
``the Secretary shall submit to the State agency a written
justification for his failure to adopt regulations consistent with the
agency's comments or petition.'' The Service submitted the proposed
regulation to the two State and territorial agencies where most West
Indian manatees in the United States occur: Florida and Puerto Rico. We
also sent the proposed regulation to the States in the remainder of the
manatee's range, including Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama,
Georgia, South Carolina, North Carolina, and Virginia. We received
written comments from the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Commission (FWC). We did not receive official comments from the Puerto
Rico Department of Natural and Environmental Resources (PRDNER). One of
the peer reviewers is also a biologist in the PRDNER Marine Mammal
Stranding Program. The other States did not respond to our request. The
FWC agreed with our determination as it relates to the Florida
subspecies. The PRDNER peer reviewer did not offer support for this
determination as it relates to the Antillean subspecies and provided
comments.
We requested comments from tribes found within the range of the
Florida manatee and received responses from the Miccosukee Tribe of
Indians of Florida and the Seminole Tribe of Florida. The Seminole
Tribe had no comments on the proposed rule. The Miccosukee Tribe stated
that it disagreed with the proposed rule. Specifically, the Miccosukee
Tribe stated that it was concerned about the long-term survival of the
species due to its cultural significance and that threats to the
manatees' habitat (including warm-water habitat and loss of sea grass)
must be mitigated before the species can be responsibly downlisted.
In an effort to encourage international comments, we advised
species experts and governmental representatives in other countries
within the species' range about the Service's status review and
requested that they send information about Antillean manatees. The
Service made this contact through emails sent to species experts
identified in UNEP's Regional Management Plan for the West Indian
manatee (2010, Appendix III). We also advised attendees at the December
8-13, 2014 Cartagena Convention that the Service was evaluating the
status of the West Indian manatee and was requesting additional
information to assist in its review. In addition, during the Seventh
International Sirenian Symposium in December 2015, the Service
announced that the 12-month finding would be published in January 2016.
The Symposium included a significant number of international manatee
experts, researchers, and managers, including those with expertise in
West Indian manatees. We received very few responses from these sources
regarding manatees outside the United States.
[[Page 16680]]
In all, we received 3,799 public comments, including petitions
signed by 75,276 individuals. The petitions did not include substantive
comments, but simply included statements to the effect that those
signing them did not support the Service's proposed reclassification of
the West Indian manatee. We identified 59 substantive comments, from
all sources, to which we respond below.
State, Federal, Tribal, International, and Peer Reviewer Comments
(1) Comment: Both the FWC and Miccosukee Tribe shared their
concerns that there is still work to be done to ensure that the
conservation gains we have made to help make this determination are
maintained. In particular, one important task is restoring and
protecting a sustainable network of warm-water habitat for the Florida
subspecies.
Response: For the southeastern United States, we identified the
lack of protection or security of warm-water habitat as one of the two
remaining principal threats in the proposed rule (reference 81 FR 1000
and 81 FR 1016) for the West Indian manatee. We look forward to the
progress we can make with our conservation partners to ensure we
preserve sustainable spring flows and good water quality for key warm-
water sites that manatees depend on in Florida. We support restoration
efforts and planning that is under way to make more springs accessible
to manatees and protect habitat for the long term.
(2) Comment: FWC expressed support for the manatee protections that
are currently in place and shared that they are important factors that
have brought us to this point. They stated that maintaining these
existing protection measures and other key recovery actions will be
essential in sustaining manatees and moving them closer to recovery.
Response: We agree. The Service is working diligently with long-
time partners including the FWC, local and city governments, and law
enforcement at many levels to continue to reduce the few remaining
threats to the Florida subspecies such as watercraft collisions or boat
strikes. The substantial reduction in watercraft collisions and boat
strikes will be critical to the recovery of the manatee. When this
final rule becomes effective, all protective measures such as manatee
protection areas, manatee sanctuaries, and no wake and speed limit
zones will remain in place.
(3) Comment: The Marine Mammal Commission (MMC) commented that,
because Florida and Antillean manatees constitute genetically and
morphologically distinct subspecies, they merit independent
consideration for purposes of listing decisions under the Act. They
also noted that improvement in the status of the Florida subspecies and
reduction in the threats it faces should have no bearing on a listing
decision for the Antillean subspecies.
Response: The 12-month finding and proposed rule addressed the
petition we received requesting that the West Indian manatee be
reclassified from endangered to threatened under the Act. The petition
received was for the listed entity, which is the West Indian manatee.
As such we conducted an assessment of the status of the species as a
whole. Therefore, our proposed rule and the analysis of status and
threats addressed the entire listed entity. The assessment found that
the species as a whole warrants listing as threatened. The Service will
continue to monitor the status of the species, including the status of
both subspecies.
(4) Comment: The MMC maintained that, in order to support the
proposed action to reclassify the species from endangered to
threatened, FWS needs to show that the taxon's status at the time of
the original listing was in error given new information, that the
taxon's abundance has increased to the point where it no longer is in
danger of extinction, or that, even if the taxon's population size has
not grown appreciably, the threats to its existence have been abated to
the point where they no longer present a risk of extinction. The
Service's analyses need to focus on why the status of the species, as a
whole, has improved to the point, and/or that threats have been reduced
to the point, where it no longer is in danger of extinction throughout
all or a significant portion of its range.
Response: The factors for listing, delisting, or reclassifying
species are described at 50 CFR 424.11. Based on the Service's analysis
of the best available scientific and commercial data, the West Indian
manatee has a relatively medium to large range-wide population with
continuing threats that are being addressed to varying degrees.
Although the species is not presently considered in danger of
extinction (endangered), the population size, uncertainties and failure
to address identified threats (including poaching, watercraft
collisions, habitat loss and fragmentation, the loss of the Florida
manatees' warm-water habitat, and others) make this species likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable future (threatened), which we have
determined is 50 years (see Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
section). The best available scientific and commercial data support our
finding.
(5) Comment: The MMC reiterated its earlier recommendations that
FWS (1) complete a review of the unprecedented manatee cold stress and
red tide-related die-offs in recent years (i.e., 2009-2013), (2)
estimate past trends in the frequency of such die-offs and project
those estimates into the future, and (3) assess the effects of
anticipated power plant closures on the long-term viability of Florida
manatees and the likelihood that natural warm-water refuges will be
sufficient to support existing levels of manatees as refuges currently
provided by power plants are lost.
Response: The Service relies on the Manatee Core Biological Model
(CBM) (Runge et al. 2015) and other sources of information to evaluate
the effect of the 2009-2013 die-off events, as well as to estimate the
effect of similar occurrences in the future. The Service received a CBM
update on September 28, 2016, wherein the modelers asserted that the
Florida manatee population could withstand events similar to those of
2009-2013. The modelers planned to further evaluate the effect of
future multiple events of varying magnitude. During the update, the
modelers described a post- power plant discharge future whereby Florida
manatees would persist, assuming measures were in place to protect
natural and non-human dependent sources of winter warm water.
Peer Reviewer Comments
(6) Comment: A peer reviewer expressed concern about Castelblanco-
Mart[iacute]nez et al.'s (2012) model assumption that the Antillean
manatee population is a metapopulation. The peer reviewer stated that
this assumption was invalid.
Response: The metapopulation assumption is supported by information
that suggests that, while both genetic and geographical barriers exist
within the West Indian manatee's range, there is genetic admixture and
long-distance travel, even between the Florida and Antillean
subspecies' range (Garc[iacute]a-Rodr[iacute]guez et al. 1998, Vianna
et al. 2006, Hunter et al. 2010, Nourisson et al. 2011). Thus, it is
logical to assume a certain degree of interaction between some of the
six subpopulations as described by Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al.
(2012, p. 131). The Service recognizes that some interactions seem
unlikely, and this assumption is captured by the model; for example,
interactions between the Greater Antilles subpopulation (1) and the
Brazil subpopulation (6) are unlikely to occur, in which case
Castelblanco-
[[Page 16681]]
Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012) assigned the lowest migration rate (1
percent).
In addition, Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012, p. 132) did
not assume inbreeding depression based on the available information on
the sporadic long-distance movements of manatees between some
subpopulations. Furthermore, although there may be inbreeding
accumulation in some populations, in Belize, there are no indications
of decreased fitness (Hunter et al. 2010, p. 598); and, to our
knowledge, in the rest of the range of the West Indian manatee, fitness
is not decreased. Thus, whether or not the metapopulation assumption is
invalid, our final rule decision would not be different. The
metapopulation model is only one of several parameters we evaluated for
the status review and this listing determination.
(7) Comment: A peer reviewer pointed out Hanski and Gilpin's (1991)
observation that some metapopulations characterized by historical,
continuous, spatial distribution are no longer functioning as
metapopulations because of habitat fragmentation that causes the
limited dispersal of individuals such that localized populations become
extinct. The peer reviewer stated that this is what has happened to the
Antillean manatee. The peer reviewer stated that, in the past, the
manatee was present in the Lesser Antilles (Lefebvre et al. 2001) where
it was driven to extinction and that the manatee has not re-established
itself there because individuals no longer disperse into this region.
Response: The Service relied on Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et
al.'s (2012) model for the metapopulation of Antillean manatees as part
of its best available information used to assess the status of the
subspecies (see Comment 6). Although there are records that manatees
did occur in the Lesser Antilles in historical times, manatees are
generally considered to have been rare in that region and were
potentially wanderers that moved among the islands of the Lesser
Antilles (Lefebvre et al. (2001, p. 460).
(8) Comment: A peer reviewer observed that a PVA has not been
conducted for both of the subspecies, or for the species throughout its
range. A preliminary PVA conducted for the Antillean manatee indicated
that the population is far from stable (Arriaga et al., in G[oacute]mez
et al., 2012, entire.).
Response: The Service appreciates the G[oacute]mez et al. (2012)
reference (unpublished report) and, after reviewing the new
information, we maintain the model is consistent with our analysis that
there is a small chance that the Antillean manatee could become extinct
in the next 50 years (foreseeable future). For example, the
G[oacute]mez et al. (2012, pp. 75-76) model results show that the
extinction risk in 100 years was only equal or greater than 10 percent
when the manatee population sizes were 50 individuals or less, with a
combination of some of the highest adult mortality and habitat loss
values. We clarify that in the proposed rule we did not describe the
Antillean manatee population as stable, but rather as declining
throughout most of its range, based on the available information. As
human populations within the species' range continue to grow (Marsh et
al. 2012, p. 321) so too will resultant increases in human-related
threats to manatees and the West Indian manatee population. Remaining
and increasing human-related threats that, if not addressed, will
likely lead the species towards being endangered in the foreseeable
future include habitat loss, degradation, and fragmentation; watercraft
collisions; poaching; and others. We will continue to monitor the
status of human-related threats and the Florida subspecies.
(9) Comment: A peer reviewer stated that, based on recent studies
in the Tabasco area of Mexico and in the rivers and lagoons of Chiapas
and Campeche in the Gulf of Mexico, manatee counts are lower than
previously thought. Accordingly, the Mexican manatee population could
be lower than earlier estimates that relied on expert opinion and
anecdotal information.
Response: We appreciate the additional information. In our proposed
rule, we cited population estimates from UNEP (2010, p. 11),
Castelblanco-Martinez et al. (2012, p. 132) and Martin et al. (2015, p.
44) and estimated the population for Mexico at 1,500 animals. The
commenter stated that the population in Mexico was between 1,000 and
2,000 animals. This estimate is consistent with the referenced material
and is noted in Table 1.
(10) Comment: A peer reviewer wrote that it is unfortunate that
downlisting is being considered now for the West Indian manatee in
Puerto Rico. The peer reviewer stated that ``there are legal reasons
for doing so, but ecologically and biogeographically, it does not make
sense. The situations for the Antillean manatee and the Florida manatee
are almost inverses of each other. Florida is the home base for T.m.
latirostris, and there are sufficient data for population modeling to
show that the population has grown. Puerto Rico is certainly not the
home base for T.m. manatus, and the expert opinions and guesstimates
from biologists in other countries indicate that in the entire range of
T.m. manatus, there might be as many manatees as there are in Florida.
The discussion about T.m. manatus mortality on 81 FR 1004 seems oddly
biased, as it leaves out deliberate and incidental take in nets, a
major source of mortality in many countries outside of the U.S. and PR,
as well as other sources of mortality. Perhaps this is a text
organization problem, as there is more discussion about mortality on 81
FR 1007. There is great uncertainty about the status of T.m. manatus
throughout its range.''
Response: The Service was petitioned to evaluate the status of the
West Indian manatee across its entire range and not only the Antillean
subspecies or the Puerto Rico population. We did not intend to imply in
our proposed rule that the Puerto Rico population is the home base for
the Antillean manatee population. The Puerto Rico population is,
however, one of the populations for which more current and reliable
information is available and one of the few populations within the
species' range that is thought to be at least stable and for which
threats such as poaching no longer occur. In addition, fisheries-
related take of manatees in Puerto Rico is considered a minimal threat,
given there are only four documented manatee fisheries-related deaths
in 34 years (PRDNER unpubl data). In making our determination, the
Service identified the different threats and challenges that affect
each subspecies (Florida and Antillean). In addition, we also
recognized that there is more uncertainty, with the Antillean manatee
population numbers (Table 1) and threats, than with the Florida manatee
population. Mortality is discussed in greater detail under the Summary
of Factors Affecting the Species section of the proposed and this final
rule. We specifically discussed mortality caused by nets under the
Fishing gear section of Factor E.
(11) Comment: A peer reviewer stated that the basis for the
proposed rule is the population estimate for the Florida manatee
(6,350) and for the Antillean manatee in Puerto Rico (532). From those
numbers, without a thorough PVA being conducted for the Antillean
manatee in Puerto Rico, a conclusion is made that the numbers reflect a
low percentage of this animal becoming extinct in the next 50 years.
Again, the conclusion is being driven by the status and information of
the Florida manatee. The information included for the Antillean manatee
is only for those in Puerto Rico and lacks information for all other
range countries. The estimate of 532 individuals for the manatee
[[Page 16682]]
population in Puerto Rico is an adjusted mean, which was recently
calculated based on 2010 data. That number has a 95 percent equal area
confidence interval (CI) of 342-802. Based on manatee sightings and the
lack of knowledge by people living on our coasts regarding manatee
presence, it is likely that the manatee population in Puerto Rico is on
the low range of that CI. Having only 342 individuals, and considering
threats, habitat degradation, illnesses, habitat displacement, and so
on, this subspecies had a high percentage of going extinct in the next
50 years or at least ceasing to be viable.
Response: In making our determination, we evaluated and presented
the best available information on the status and threats of the West
Indian manatee across its entire range and not just the Florida and
Puerto Rico populations. This information indicates that West Indian
manatees are distributed across its entire range (see Table 1) and
several of these populations are relatively large and have proven they
can withstand stochastic events, such as extreme localized cold events.
Based on two published population models (Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez
et al. 2012; Runge et al. 2015) and a threats analysis, we concluded
that there is a small chance that the West Indian manatee (not the
Puerto Rico Antillean manatee population) could become extinct in the
next 50 years and this species would retain its general distribution on
the landscape. As such, the West Indian manatee (range wide) is not in
danger of extinction (endangered), but rather, the species range-wide
is likely to become endangered in the foreseeable future (50 years)
(threatened). The peer reviewer also submitted an unpublished
population model for the Antillean manatee (Arriaga et al., in
G[oacute]mez et al., 2012, entire) that is consistent with our
determination (see Comment 8). The commenter provides no additional
information as to why the Puerto Rico population is likely to go
extinct or cease to be viable within the next 50 years.
(12) Comment: A peer reviewer commented that the discussion on
Puerto Rico's habitat threat focuses on the sea grass areas as the main
manatee habitat. Although the proposed rule acknowledges that the data
collected by PRDNER indicate that sea grasses are being severely
impacted by anthropogenic actions, which leads to a decrease in sea
grass density and habitat fragmentation, the information leads to the
conclusion that sea grass is not a limiting factor, even when it is
unknown how much sea grass is needed to sustain a large manatee
population. In addition, the discussion does not take into account that
the scant research conducted until now regarding manatee feeding
habitat in Puerto Rico suggests that the Antillean manatee might be a
more specialized sea grass grazer than the Florida manatee (Lefebvre et
al., 2000). This characteristic might be true for the Antillean manatee
throughout its range.
Response: The Service specified that, although the immediacy and
magnitude of the degradation and loss of manatee habitat varies across
the species' range, available manatee foraging habitat does not seem to
be a limiting factor for the West Indian manatee, including Puerto Rico
(Lefebvre et al. 2001, entire; Orth et al. 2006, p. 994; UNEP 2010,
entire; Drew et al. 2012, p. 13). In addition, the commenter did not
provide additional information that indicates that a seagrass or
foraging area limitation or specialization is decreasing manatee
fitness or causing manatee mortalities in Puerto Rico. The Service will
continue to monitor research regarding manatee foraging behavior and
potential effects of degraded foraging habitat on the manatee
population.
(13) Comment: A peer reviewer noted that poaching is a major threat
throughout most of the countries within the range of the Antillean
manatee. This is a threat that could bring the species to extinction
and was actually responsible for causing the extinction of populations
in some countries. Poaching is a clear and present threat for the
Antillean manatee and should not be discounted just because the Service
is confident that initiatives being pursued will have a positive
outcome. Furthermore, while foreign governments have instituted
regulations to address poaching, it is widely acknowledged that some
countries have few resources to enforce regulations and that these
countries are unlikely to minimize this threat anytime soon.
Response: The Service has not discounted the threat of poaching and
referenced Marsh et al. (2011, p. 265) to conclude that poaching is a
major threat to the manatee population outside of the southeastern
United States (which includes Puerto Rico). Some information suggests
that manatees became extinct in a few islands in the Lesser Antilles,
likely due to hunting. However, records documenting historical manatee
presence suggest that they were rare in the region and were potentially
wanderers that moved among the islands of the Lesser Antilles (Lefebvre
et al., 2001, p. 460). Currently, we believe that even though poaching
may still occur in some regions, it no longer occurs in a few regions,
and has been reduced in others (UNEP 2010, entire; Marsh et al. 2011,
p. 386). However, the Service recognizes that some of the small and
declining populations of the Antillean manatee subspecies are most
likely not able to sustain continued illegal poaching. The Service will
continue to gather information on the poaching threat to West Indian
manatees and will reach out to these countries to assist them with
their efforts to address this and other threats as resources permit.
(14) Comment: A peer reviewer said that the proposed rule stated
that the inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms is a moderate
threat to the West Indian manatee. The reviewer further stated that,
``from that analysis, [if] we take out the considerations that apply
only to the Florida manatee, where many measures are in place, we could
conclude this is a significant threat. As mentioned throughout these
comments, the lack of implementation, enforcement and oversight make
many of the conservation strategies inefficient or fruitless.
Downlisting the species may not have an impact in the Florida manatee,
but it will in the Antillean manatee. Ruling and conservation measures,
that are not currently strong enough because of lack of enforcement,
will be more lenient.''
Response: In evaluating this factor, the Service specified that,
although numerous regulatory mechanisms are in effect, challenges in
the enforcement of these regulatory mechanisms exist. Based on the
overall comments received regarding this factor, regulations to protect
manatees may not be as effective elsewhere as they are within the
United States and Puerto Rico. Thus, the Service recognizes that the
lack of or inability to enforce regulatory mechanisms can have negative
consequences for the West Indian manatee. However, because the manatee
is listed in Appendix I of the Convention on International Trade in
Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES), there are
protections that will remain in place following downlisting under the
Act. See Factor D, Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms. An
Appendix I listing includes species threatened with extinction whose
trade is permitted only under exceptional circumstances, which
generally precludes commercial trade. The import of specimens (both
live and dead, as well as parts and products) of an Appendix I species
generally requires the issuance of both an import and export permit
under CITES. Import permits are issued only if findings are made that
the import would be for
[[Page 16683]]
purposes that are not detrimental to the survival of the species in the
wild and that the specimen was lawfully acquired (including under
foreign domestic law). Protections under the Act will remain in effect.
(15) Comment: One peer reviewer stated that Deutsch et al.'s (2008)
suggestion, that numbers of Antillean manatees were likely to decline
by 10 percent over the next three generations (~60 years), more
generally reflects expert opinion than do the results of the
Castelblanco-Martinez et al. (2012) analysis.
Response: The Service referenced Deutsch et al. (2008) in the first
paragraph of the Population Trends section of the proposed rule and
this final rule. We clarify that the expected 10 percent rate of
decline was specified for the West Indian manatee, listed by IUCN as
Vulnerable, and not the Antillean manatee, listed by IUCN as
Endangered. In addition, no further information was provided by the
commenter as to why Deutsch et al. (2008) more generally reflects
expert opinion than do the results of Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et
al.'s (2012) analysis. The Service recognizes that the available
information suggests the Antillean manatee may be declining throughout
most of it range. However, considering the best available information
on the present status of the West Indian manatee and the factors that
may threaten it, the Service maintains the species does not meet the
definition of an endangered species. Please refer to the section
entitled Summary of Factors Affecting the Species.
Public Comments
Comments on Topics That Apply to Population Models
(16) Comment: We received several comments on our use of the
Antillean manatee model presented in the Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez
et al. (2012) publication. Commenters included the author and co-
authors, who sent a letter to clarify in part that their article
addressed a potential growing trend only in the Antillean manatee
subspecies and not the Florida manatee subspecies. They also stated
that the results of the model were misinterpreted in the proposed rule
and highlighted information in their paper to support their claims. The
authors identified model projections that would lead to the extinction
of the Antillean manatee population under different levels of risk,
including specific increases in human-related mortality and/or habitat
fragmentation (Models 2, 3, 5, 6, 8 and 9). They also mentioned that
their model did not take into account the effects of climate change
that could definitively have an important impact on population
viability by increasing the frequency and intensity of stochastic
events.
Response: We clarify that we used the Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez
et al. (2012) model only in our evaluation of the Antillean manatee
subspecies, and used the Runge et al. (2015) model to evaluate the
Florida manatee subspecies. We used other best available information,
in addition to the models, in the proposed and this final rule for the
West Indian manatee. We acknowledge that Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez
and co-authors presented several scenarios for the Antillean manatee
population and note that these were accounted for in our assessment.
The Service considered all scenarios and models as well as known
threats when making our determination that this species is now
threatened throughout all or a significant portion its range (rather
than endangered). Please refer to the beginning of the Summary of
Factors Affecting the Species section, which describes the difference
between endangered and threatened species. We also added further
discussion of the model under the Population Trends section.
Finally, the Service believes that the effects of climate change
were considered in the model which used hurricane frequency data
(catastrophic events) (Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012, p.
136). The authors explain that the modeled ``variation in the intensity
and frequency of hurricanes did not lead to any important changes in
the population growth curves'' for the Antillean manatee population
(Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012, p. 138). For additional
information on potential effects due to climate change on the West
Indian manatee, please refer to the discussion in Factor E section.
(17) Comment: The FWS proposed rule contradicts the Castelblanco et
al. (2012) PVA conclusion that the Antillean manatee population is
experiencing positive growth, as the FWS cites a number of sources of
expert and local opinions to state that in most of the countries
Antillean manatee populations are declining.
Response: In our rule, we discuss all available information that
indicates either positive growth rates or population declines. Both the
Service and Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012) cite sources
that state that the Antillean manatee population appears to be
declining throughout most of its range. We included these sources in
our review of the species' population biology and also relied on
models, including Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012), to
evaluate the effect of known threats on this population. Castelblanco-
Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012) used this information in their model runs
and discussion of various population scenarios and concluded that the
Antillean manatee population is experiencing positive growth, using
their model parameters, which the Service considered in this rule.
(Refer to the Population Trends section for greater detail on this
model). For example, it assumes that all threats have an equal effect
on the different subpopulations. Our threats assessment considered the
best available scientific and commercial information, including
published models, scientific papers, reports, and other reliable
information. Please refer to Comments 8 and 11 and the Population
Trends section for further discussion on Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez
et al. (2012).
(18) Comment: The analysis by Runge et al. (2015) provides results
that are credible only if one makes certain questionable assumptions
(e.g., threats will not increase, etc.). The commenter believes that
the proposed extinction probabilities may be inappropriately optimistic
and that the model results should be considered with caution and
recognized only as the best-case scenario.
Response: The Manatee CBM integrates an understanding of current
and foreseeable threats in a common risk analysis framework. It
projects a risk of extinction under the status quo (current scenario)
and can address questions such as, ``If a threat is reduced by 50
percent, how much would the extinction risk be expected to decline?''
The model provides a tool for assessing growing and changing threats
(Runge et al., 2015, p. 2). The Service believes that model results are
a fair depiction of the current state of knowledge that appropriately
incorporates and articulates uncertainty. The Service considered CBM-
derived probabilities of extinction for the Florida manatee in the
context of many additional sources of information in its evaluation of
the status of this subspecies and the species at large.
(19) Comment: The proposed rule and CBM did not take into account
the cold weather, Indian River Lagoon, and red tide die-off events that
occurred between 2010 and 2013.
Response: The proposed rule took into account the die-off events in
its review of population trends. See proposed rule of January 8, 2016,
at 81 FR 1005. However, the CBM, which
[[Page 16684]]
evaluates the effect of various threats on the Florida manatee
population, did not evaluate these events because 2010-2013 adult
survival rate estimates needed for the model runs were not available
when this rule was written. Please see discussion in the proposed rule,
Population Trends.
(20) Comment: The Service relied on Runge et al.'s (2015) CBM to
evaluate extinction probabilities. The validity of model results
depends on the completeness and quality of data for critical
parameters, as well as up-to-date information. The commenter stated
that he does not believe that the data used by Runge et al. (2015) are
always the best available and is concerned that the model did not
consider sublethal effects. In particular, the commenter noted the CBM
did not use adult survival rate estimate data for the 2010-2013 die-off
years. Because of this, the commenter expressed a belief that certain
projected outcomes may be unrealistic and inappropriately optimistic.
Response: Data used by Runge et al. (2015) were the best, most
complete data available through December 2012. Data used for this
analysis included data collected more recently (manatee photo-
identification data used to calculate adult survival rate estimates).
However, adult survival rates for periods beyond this date could not be
calculated because of an end of time series bias inherent in the
analyses. The authors described strengths and weaknesses associated
with the data; adult survival rates used in the model runs were current
through winter 2008-2009 and more recent rates were not available due
to inherent backlogs associated with processing data. The CBM does
include a number of sublethal effects. For example, sublethal effects
are captured in the mark-recapture estimates of survival and some
sublethal effects on reproduction, such as that which occurs during
red-tide years, are also captured.
(21) Comment: CBM assumptions about the carrying capacity of warm-
water refugia should be re-assessed using a more applied process than
expert opinion.
Response: Model assumptions regarding the carrying-capacity of
warm-water sites considered expert valuations of numbers of manatees
that could survive variably severe winters. Considerations included the
spatial extent of thermal refuges, the availability of food resources
in proximity to those refuges, and the behavior of manatees, including
their tolerance for human disturbance. The Service believes that,
absent a quantitative valuation of warm-water habitat, the use of
expert opinion provides a reasonable assessment of carrying-capacity
for this review. With this said, there is still considerable
uncertainty about warm-water capacity, including its magnitude and the
mechanism by which it affects manatee population dynamics. We will
continue to monitor the status of the manatee and its habitat.
(22) Comment: One commenter expressed the opinion that Runge et
al.'s (2015) model does not consider an extensive seagrass die-off in
Brevard County, which is arguably the most important habitat for
manatees in the world. The Miccosukee Tribe expressed a similar concern
about the effect of the loss of seagrass on manatees.
Response: While Runge et al. (2015, p. 1) does not factor in this
loss of seagrass directly, it noted this occurrence and considered it
and the coincidental loss of manatees in Brevard County. The model
forecasts the Florida manatee population under different threat
scenarios and addresses environmental, demographic, and catastrophic
stochasticity. In short, catastrophic losses such as the loss of
seagrass in Brevard County are broadly considered in model projections
which suggest that the population can withstand such events.
Comments on Topics That Apply to Antillean Manatees
(23) Comment: Uncertainty of [population] estimates for the
Antillean manatee, acknowledged by the Service to be conjectural, are
highly unreliable and do not comport with the statutory requirement for
listing decisions to be based on the best available scientific
information. The FWS also does not explain why it did not select a
lower, more conservative population estimate or at least cite a range
of possible population estimates for the Antillean manatee.
Response: The Service identified the range of possible population
sizes in the Population Size section of the proposed and the final
rule. In this final rule, we have also edited Table 1 to include the
minimum population estimates for the West Indian manatee across its
entire range based on the best available information and recognizing
the uncertainties in the data. Our estimate of the total West Indian
manatee population currently ranges between 8,396 and 13,142 (Table 1).
Population size, while an important component regarding a species'
status, is not the only factor that should be assessed when evaluating
a species' survival. Factors such as mortality, resilience to withstand
stochastic events, genetic diversity throughout the range, potential
reduced fitness and extensive distribution of populations across its
range (refer to Table 1), among others, must also be considered.
Another approach is to utilize existing data to conduct stochastic
population modeling and extinction risk assessment, such as those
conducted by Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012) and Runge et
al. (2015). For example, for the Antillean manatee population, the
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2012) model did not show any
significant response to variations in the assumed initial population
sizes, using 1,675 as the lowest initial population size value and
6,700 as a reasonable value for their baseline model (Castelblanco-
Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012, p. 137). The Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez
et al. (2012) approach represents the best science and provides sound
estimates of the Antillean manatee numbers.
(24) Comment: Some commenters, including the Miccosukee Tribe said
that it is unclear why the FWS feels justified to downlist the
Antillean manatee since the agency's own 12-month finding cites that
``population trends are declining or unknown in 84 percent of the
countries where manatees are found.''
Response: A species can be declining and not necessarily be
endangered. In making our determination, the Service concluded that the
West Indian manatee is not currently endangered but is likely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future (threatened). On the basis of our
analysis, we find that many threats (habitat loss and fragmentation,
watercraft collisions, loss of the Florida manatees' winter warm water
habitat, and others) have been reduced but continue to exist; these
threats are expected to persist and may escalate in the future. New and
ongoing conservation efforts will be needed to prevent the species from
becoming endangered in the foreseeable future. Since most of the
Antillean manatee population is thought to have a declining or unknown
trend, existing or new potential threats, if not addressed, may lead
the species towards being endangered in the foreseeable future. This is
consistent with the Act's definition of a threatened species. Please
refer to the Summary of Factors Affecting the Species, which describes
the difference between endangered and threatened species.
(25) Comment: The FWS fails to evaluate the status of the
population in the rest of the Caribbean (outside of Puerto Rico) and
fails to adequately evaluate the five statutory criteria with respect
to the entire range of the species,
[[Page 16685]]
as threats to these populations are increasing and enforcement for the
Antillean manatee is lacking.
Response: The Service evaluated the status of the West Indian
manatee across its entire range based on the best available
information. The Service recognized that the immediacy and the
magnitude of threats vary across the West Indian manatees' range. The
commenter did not provide additional information as to how the threats
of the species are increasing and enforcement is lacking beyond that
already considered in our analysis. Please refer to the Summary of
Factors Affecting the Species section for the analysis that examines
all five factors currently affecting or that are likely to affect the
West Indian manatee.
(26) Comment: The FWS repeatedly determines that individual threats
or the sum of threats under each listing factor only pose a moderate
threat to the Antillean subspecies outside the United States, but
frequently and frankly acknowledges that it lacks credible data on
which to base these judgments.
Response: The Service is required to make decisions under the Act
based solely on the best scientific and commercial information
available. The Service must examine how and to what extent threats
impact the species such that it meets the definition of threatened or
endangered. In this case, the threats assessment was completed for the
West Indian manatee across its range. Our assessment included a five-
factor analysis and review of demographic parameters. In some cases,
data were less than conclusive and we made rational and explicit
inferences based on our best professional judgment that reflected the
extent of our uncertainty and consequences of being incorrect.
(27) Comment: At the lower population estimate of 700 individuals
in Belize, the 2015 mortality represents a 5.7 percent mortality of
that population, which is already higher than the 5 percent that
population modelling indicates to be sustainable (Castelblanco-Martinez
et al. 2012). With the opening of another cruise ship port in November
2016, with all its land-based tours scheduled to be accessed by boat
through another high-density manatee area, conservation planning based
on best available data indicates the potential for significant
increased additional mortality (Walker et al. 2015).
Response: The Service appreciates the new information received from
Belize, which is addressed in this final rule. Increases in boating
traffic in high density manatee areas may increase watercraft-related
mortality as noted in Florida (Laist and Shaw 2006, p. 473) The Service
recognizes that Belize represents one of the largest Antillean manatee
populations, and we are concerned about the increased manatee mortality
here. However, the Service was petitioned to evaluate the status of the
West Indian manatee across its entire range. We will continue to
evaluate how the Service can coordinate manatee conservation occurring
in Belize and in the rest of the West Indian manatee's range.
(28) Comment: The proposed downlisting is contrary to the appraisal
of Belize's National Manatee Working Group (NMWG), which has determined
that, although the current population is rated as FAIR (Belize National
Manatee Recovery Plan, Ortega-Argueta, in prep.), the current level of
mortality is unsustainable, and that the population will crash with a
continuation of this mortality rate. The NMWG is working with the
Government of Belize to identify and implement actions to reduce the
mortality rate. The proposed downlisting could significantly hinder
these actions, impacting the funding and leverage available to Forest
Department and its partners to address threats to Belize's manatee
population and implement direct conservation actions, and thereby
increase the risk to Belize's population of Antillean manatees, and
thereby the global population.
Response: The FAIR rating of the current Belize Antillean manatee
population is consistent with the Service's definition and
interpretation of a threatened species, a species that is likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable future and is not currently
endangered, even with the documented increasing threats. The Service
would also like to coordinate with the National Manatee Working Group
and the Government of Belize towards developing conservation strategies
to reduce the current mortality rate. However, as stated in Comment 27
above, this rulemaking evaluates the status of the West Indian manatee
throughout its entire range.
(29) Comment: The downlisting of the West Indian manatee is based
on the successful population growth and stability seen in Florida, but
largely ignores the remaining threats in Central and South America, for
which the Service admits that it lacks quantitative information.
Response: In making our determination, the Service evaluated the
best available information for the West Indian manatee, including
population estimates and threats across the species' range. The Service
recognizes that the immediacy and the magnitude of threats vary across
the West Indian manatee's range. The commenter did not provide
additional information on threats for the species beyond that already
considered in our analysis. Please refer to the Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species section for the analysis that examines all
factors currently affecting or that are likely to affect the West
Indian manatee in the future.
(30) Comment: Internationally, there is a lack of data outlining
the type and level of threats in most range countries of the Antillean
manatee. Making assumptions that threats have been managed in the
Antillean subspecies' range is reckless.
Response: In our rule, we provided several references that indicate
that a number of threats still remain throughout the species' range and
others are being managed. However, we acknowledge that work still needs
to be done and that ongoing efforts to recover the species could be
improved. Please refer to the Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
section for the analysis that examines all factors currently affecting
or that are likely to affect the West Indian manatee.
(31) Comment: Several commenters believe that conservation efforts
outside the United States are failing to promote the protection and
growth of the Antillean manatee population. Furthermore, commenters
believe that a downlisting by the Service could have a significant
impact on the ability of countries outside the U.S. to implement
recovery, implement protection measures, affect funding opportunities,
and affect progress currently being made to maintain and strengthen the
West Indian manatee population. One commenter noted that these
countries rely on the full weight of the Act to justify expenditures,
raise funds, and compel governments to protect and conserve this
species.
Response: The change in status under the Act from endangered to
threatened should not have an appreciable effect on manatee protections
in foreign countries. This rule formally recognizes that this species
is no longer presently in danger of extinction. The manatee would still
be fully protected under the Act. The regulatory protections provided
pursuant to section 9 and section 7 of the Act remain in place.
Furthermore, this regulation does not affect the protections that the
West Indian manatee is afforded under the MMPA and CITES. We applaud
foreign governments like Belize, which has protected the manatee for
over 30 years and is increasing conservation programs for this animal.
We encourage all efforts
[[Page 16686]]
by any government agency to remove or reduce threats to the West Indian
manatee, and the Service is amenable to working together towards
achieving these goals (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT). The
Service will continue to monitor the status of the species, and
continue to work in partnership with other range countries when and
where possible. Additionally, we note that the Service's Division of
International Conservation works with partners worldwide to conserve
fish, wildlife, plants, and their habitats (including the manatee and
its habitat), and maintain the integrity of ecological processes beyond
our borders, for present and future generations.
(32) Comment: It does not appear the Service undertook a
comprehensive review of the data nor made contact with conservationists
and governments in all of the range Antillean manatee states and it is
not clear if the Service conducted a literature search for non-English
documents and conservation plans and reviewed such documents.
Response: In connection with the proposed rule, in addition to
contacting appropriate Federal and State agencies, Tribes and tribal
organizations, scientific organizations, and peer reviewers to request
comments on the proposed rule, the Service also contacted governments
of the West Indian manatee range countries. Furthermore, in opening the
rule to public comment, the Service requested that all interested
parties submit factual reports, information, and comments that might
contribute to development of a final determination for the West Indian
manatee. Out of all the documents received by the Service, only a
handful was in Spanish. These were evaluated at the Caribbean
Ecological Services Field Office in Puerto Rico, where all of the
employees are bilingual (i.e. proficient in both English and Spanish).
The Service obtained information regarding the status of manatees in
other ways. One source of information was the directory of people
working with manatees within the UNEP (2010, Appendix III) document. We
used the email addresses on that list to notify individuals about the
petition and status review of the West Indian manatee and to request
information on the status and threats of the species. We also reached
out to attendees at the December 8-13, 2014, Cartagena Convention in
which participants were advised that the Service was evaluating the
status of the West Indian manatee and was requesting additional
information to assist in its review. In addition, in December 2015,
during the VII International Sirenian Symposium, the Service announced
that the 12-month finding would be published in January 2016, and
encouraged symposium participants to review and send comments
accordingly. That Symposium gathered a significant number of manatee
experts, researchers, and managers. The Service also sent a number of
peer review requests on the proposed rule to manatee experts within the
range of the Antillean manatee.
(33) Comment: This decision will negatively affect the current
status of manatee populations in the region. The Antillean subspecies
was declared ``Endangered'' due to reduction in numbers and habitat
loss along the range. This critical status persists, according to
several researchers, because of the paucity of effective conservation
actions throughout its range and the current and projected future
anthropogenic threats. There is no evidence of any improvement in the
status of these populations and in fact, the lack of enough scientific
information is jeopardizing its conservation in many countries. Please
notice that the vulnerability of this group was proved already with the
extirpation of the manatee populations from the Lesser Antilles.
Response: The Service was petitioned to evaluate the status of the
West Indian manatee across its entire range. It, not only the Antillean
subspecies, is the listed entity. In making our determination, we
concluded that the West Indian manatee is not currently endangered, but
rather likely to become an endangered species within the foreseeable
future throughout all of its range. The level of protection afforded by
the Act will remain the same. See also our response to Comment 11 for
more information.
(34) Comment: The genetic diversity of the Antillean subspecies
compels a finding that it should not be reclassified. Low genetic
diversity indicates that the population is vulnerable to irreversible
impacts due to environmental stochastic events, which are going to be
very frequent in the face of climate change.
Response: The Service considered genetics and the effects of
climate change in making our determination. Available information
specifies that the genetic diversity of manatee populations in Belize
and Mexico is slightly higher than in Florida and slightly lower in
Puerto Rico (Hunter et al. 2012). Manatee populations in general, not
only the Antillean, are characterized by low levels of genetic
diversity (Hunter et al., 2012). Furthermore, there is no information
that shows a decreased fitness in Belize (Hunter et al., 2010, p. 598)
and, to our knowledge, in the rest of the range of the West Indian
manatee population due to low genetic diversity. The commenter did not
provide new information beyond what was considered in our proposed
rule.
(35) Comment: [The Antillean manatee] is globally endangered, based
on a predicted decline of more than 20 percent over the next two
generations.
Response: This statement is from the species' IUCN listing
information (Deutsch et al., 2008), which we referenced in both the
proposed and final rules. The Service referenced Deutsch et al., (2008)
in the Population Trends section of the proposed rule. The Service
evaluated the status and threats for the West Indian manatee across its
entire range. The IUCN classifies the West Indian manatee, the species
addressed in this rule, as Vulnerable. Species classifications under
the Endangered Species Act and Red List are not equivalent; data
standards, criteria used to evaluate species, and treatment of
uncertainty are not the same, nor is the legal effect. Unlike the
Endangered Species Act, the Red List is not a statute and is not a
legally binding or regulatory instrument. It does not include legally
binding requirements, prohibitions, or guidance for the protection of
threatened, critically endangered, endangered, or vulnerable taxa (IUCN
2012). Rather, it provides taxonomic, conservation status, and
distribution information on species. The Red List is based on a system
of categories and criteria designed to determine the relative risk of
extinction (https://www.iucnredlist.org/about/introduction), classifying
species in one of nine categories, as determined via quantitative
criteria, including population size reductions, range reductions, small
population size, and quantitative extinction risk. Further, based on
the petition, the Service evaluated the status and threats for the West
Indian manatee across its entire range and not only for the Antillean
manatee. The Act requires the Service to determine if a species is an
endangered or threatened species because of any of the section 4(a)(1)
factors (16 U.S.C. 1533(a)(1)), based on the best available scientific
and commercial data, which may include a qualitative threats analysis.
Comments on Topics That Apply to Florida Manatees
(36) Comment: Many commenters, including the Miccosukee Tribe,
stated that the Service should not reclassify the Florida subspecies of
the West Indian manatee without a proven, viable plan that addresses
the loss of warm-water refuges at power plants.
[[Page 16687]]
Response: The Service is reclassifying the West Indian manatee,
including both subspecies, to threatened. This does not mean that all
threats have been addressed. For more information on efforts to address
the loss of warm-water refuges, please see Recovery Actions in the
proposed rule (https://www.fws.gov/policy/library/2016/2015-32645.pdf).
For additional information, see Factor A and E sections in our threats
analysis.
(37) Comment: The Service did not evaluate the Florida manatee in
the context of the recovery benchmark criteria identified in the 2001
Florida Manatee Recovery Plan. The Service should not reclassify the
Florida subspecies of the West Indian manatee without an updated
recovery plan and recovery benchmark criteria unless and until
measurable criteria are established and satisfied based on the five
listing factors.
Response: The Service makes a decision to reclassify (delist or
downlist) a species after review of all of the five listing factors in
section 4 of the Act. We conducted this analysis in the context of
recovery criteria identified in the 2001 Florida Manatee Recovery Plan.
We did not, however, evaluate the manatee in the context of the
Recovery Plan's population benchmark criteria for reasons set forth in
the Recovery section of the preamble to this rule, namely that the
benchmark criteria were found to be deficient and unusable. Note that
the Service is not required to have current recovery plans and criteria
when it evaluates the status of a species. Overall, recovery of species
is a dynamic process requiring adaptive management, planning,
implementing, and evaluating the degree of recovery of a species that
may, or may not, fully follow the guidance provided in a recovery plan.
(38) Comment: The Service is relying on the State of Florida's
synoptic survey counts to support its proposal to reclassify the West
Indian manatee. These counts are biased, use bad counting procedures,
and have very little scientific value. The Service must base its
analysis on future threats and the actual health of the population and
not these counts.
Response: We acknowledge that there are methodological issues
(detection probabilities) inherent in the State's counts. Martin et
al., (2015, p. 44), in their estimate of abundance for the Florida
manatee, address these issues by accounting for spatial variation in
distribution and imperfect detection. We used the best available
information to assess the counts, other demographic indicators, and the
health of the population and considered threats in our analysis.
Additionally, it is possible that the counts, when taken in the context
of other demographic indicators (such as the estimated population
growth rates), may reflect an actual increase in the population size
(Runge et al., 2015, p. 19).
(39) Comment: The Service has not adequately addressed expected
coal plant closures that will leave manatees at risk of future
significant population declines.
Response: The majority of Florida manatees rely on natural gas
fired plants for warmth during the winter. Two coal-fired plants with
discharges used by wintering manatees exist. The impact that future
regulatory actions may have on these two sites is unknown. Should the
plants be affected, the Service will work with the power plant industry
and regulatory agencies to alleviate any potential adverse effects that
could occur.
(40) Comment: The proposed rule states that all regulatory
mechanisms will remain in place and will continue to provide legal
protections to the species throughout its range should the manatees'
status change from endangered to threatened. In Florida, elected
government officials have taken steps to remove manatee protection
zones. While they have not been successful, they will continue to try
to remove them.
Response: Our review considers the inadequacy of all regulatory
mechanisms, including the State of Florida's regulatory measures. We
based our review on best available information available to us at the
time of the review. We are aware of efforts that were subsequently made
to remove manatee protection zones. However, these efforts were not
successful. Because watercraft collisions are one of two of the most
significant threats to Florida manatees, we are committed to working
with State and local officials to ensure that effective manatee
protection zones and other regulatory mechanisms remain in place to
provide adequate protection.
The Service has an agreement with the State of Florida under
section 6 of the Act, which provides that any State law or regulation
regarding the taking of an endangered species or threatened species may
be more restrictive than the exemptions or permits provided for in this
Act or in any regulation that implements the Act but not less
restrictive than the prohibitions so defined. We are confident that the
State of Florida, with whom we have partnered for many years on the
conservation of this and other species, will ensure that these
regulations will remain in place.
(41) Comment: Even though some habitat features important to
Florida manatees may have improved over time (e.g., restoration of some
warm-water springs), the Service's assumptions or conclusions that
habitat needed for manatees is safe and assured is unrealistic and is
not based on the best available scientific data.
Response: We indicated in our proposed rule that efforts are being
made to enhance and conserve important manatee habitat (including
winter warm-water habitat, foraging areas, travel corridors, etc.) and
noted that much work still needs to be done before the species can be
removed from the List of Endangered and Threatened Species. Please see
the Recovery Actions section of the preamble to this rule for more
information.
(42) Comment: The Service disbanded its Florida Manatee Recovery
Implementation Team and Warm Water Task Force. How does the Service
intend to address continuing conservation needs, including the need to
address the catastrophic future loss of critical, warm-water habitat?
Response: The Service plans to revise the Florida Manatee Recovery
Plan and will convene a recovery team to facilitate that process. The
Plan will identify conservation needs and the actions needed to address
them. The loss of warm-water habitat will be addressed in the revised
plan. The Service is working with FWC, the power industry, and others
to address conservation needs, including the future loss of warm-water
habitat.
(43) Comment: State of Florida statutes require Water Management
Districts to set minimum flows at rates that protect the most sensitive
species. The Districts have set flows in the past to protect endangered
manatees. If manatees are no longer endangered, what will happen to
important manatee springs like Three Sisters Springs where minimum
flows have not been set?
Response: When this rule becomes effective, the West Indian manatee
will remain protected under the Act as a threatened species. The Act's
provisions will continue to be implemented to remove threats to this
species. For example, the Service will continue to work with the FWC,
the Water Management Districts, and others to ensure that minimum flows
set for important manatee springs are adequate to protect wintering
manatees. See Runge et al., (2015, pp. 6-7) and the Recovery Actions
section of this document for further information.
(44) Comment: One commenter noted that manatee enforcement in
Florida is at an ``all-time low.'' Another
[[Page 16688]]
commenter observed that the number of manatees struck by watercraft and
killed or rescued is at an ``all-time high.'' Commenters stated that
the watercraft collision threat has not been controlled.
Response: Threats, including the threat of watercraft collisions,
are being addressed in Florida. While record numbers of watercraft-
related manatee deaths and rescues were reported in 2016, there is
nothing to suggest that this is evidence of an increasing trend. Key
demographic indicators characterize a growing manatee population even
in the face of continuing mortality of this type. See Runge et al.,
(2015, pp. 9-11) and Recovery Actions for further information.
(45) Comment: The Service signed an agreement in 2012 with the U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers that provides the Service with the ability to
allow illegal incidental take through consultation on the Corps
permitting process. The take of manatees cannot be authorized and is
detrimental to recovery efforts.
Response: The 2012 agreement with the Corps does not authorize the
take of Florida manatees. The agreement requires that the Corps include
in its permits conditions that, when followed, ensure that manatees are
not taken by project-related construction activities. This requirement
expedites the permitting process and provides predictability for permit
applicants. Should the incidental take of one or more manatees occur as
a result of a permitting action where the Service has concurred with an
effects determination, the specific activity shall cease until the
Corps and the Service jointly and cooperatively investigate the
circumstances and make every effort to remedy the issue through
avoidance, minimization, and/or other compensatory measures.
(46) Comment: If the Service is going to address the loss of power
plant warm-water discharges, it must identify a funding source to cover
the costs that will be incurred. This has not been done.
Response: The Service continues to work with and reach out to its
manatee recovery partners to address the pending loss of warm water at
Florida's power plants. The Service recently recommended that the
Florida Department of Environmental Protection revise NPDES permits to
include a funding mechanism to address the transition of manatees from
power plants to other suitable areas.
(47) Comment: Manatee harassment by visitors to Crystal River
continues to take place. More enforcement and criteria-based closure
requirements are needed to protect manatees from harassment.
Response: The Service continues to refine measures to prevent
manatee harassment by visitors to Crystal River and elsewhere. Criteria
have been developed for potential closures at Three Sisters Springs.
Additionally, the Kings Bay Manatee Refuge Rule provides for the
closure of springs used by wintering manatees, as well as the expansion
of sanctuary boundaries to accommodate increasing numbers of manatees.
For more information, see the Kings Bay Manatee Refuge Rule (77 FR
15617, March 16, 2012) and the Draft Environmental Assessment, Three
Sisters Springs Unit of Crystal River NWR (USFWS CRNWR 2015).
(48) Comment: Manatee habitat restoration efforts are taking place
in Florida and some of these efforts are harassing manatees and
indirectly causing harm to the environment. Communities engaged in
restoration efforts must be required to use best management practices
and comply with State and Federal regulations.
Response: The Service has not identified habitat restoration
efforts as a threat to the long-term survival of the Florida manatee.
We have, however, identified habitat loss and fragmentation as one of
the most significant threats to manatees, and efforts to restore
habitat are an important means to address this threat. In the United
States, entities engaged in habitat restoration efforts must comply
with all State and Federal permitting regulations, including permit
conditions that prevent manatee harassment and protect water quality
and the environment.
(49) Comment: Natural spring areas essential for the manatee's
survival are threatened by numerous factors including diminishing
spring flows, deteriorating water quality, and increasing human
activities in and around spring areas.
Response: We acknowledge that these are concerns and have addressed
them in our rule. See the Recovery Actions section of the preamble for
further information.
(50) Comment: The Service should conduct an environmental impact
study before any decision is made.
Response: We have determined that environmental assessments and
environmental impact statements, as defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.),
need not be prepared in connection with regulations pursuant to section
4(a) of the Endangered Species Act. We published a notice outlining our
reasons for this determination in the Federal Register (48 FR 49244).
Comments on Topics That Apply to All Manatees
(51) Comment: The Act provides that a species may be determined to
be ``endangered'' due to ``other natural or manmade factors affecting
its continued existence.'' In addition to loss of habitat, disease,
algal blooms, and watercraft fatalities, the West Indian manatee is
also affected by land development activities, including, without
limitation, the construction of artificial canal systems, dredging and
filling, elimination of aquatic vegetation, construction of structures
that can trap or crush manatees, and the placement of bulkheads below
the ordinary high waterline. Moreover, fishing gear and contaminants
present ongoing, yet in some cases, ``poorly understood'' risks to the
West Indian manatee population. Until a plan is developed to protect
the West Indian manatee from effects of land development and other
risks to the West Indian manatee are more fully understood, the
Atlantic Scientific Review Group recommends maintaining the current
endangered status of the species.
Response: Plans have been developed and are in place to protect
manatees from these activities. The Service has developed recovery
plans for the Florida and Puerto Rico manatee populations and the
United Nations Environment Programme has a conservation plan for the
West Indian manatee. Both plans address these and other threats. In the
United States, the Service evaluates land development projects that may
impact the species under the consultation process set forth in Section
7 of the Act. For further information on Section 7, please refer to
Recovery Actions and Available Conservation Measures in the preamble to
this final rule.
(52) Comment: What happens to Potential Biological Removal (PBR) if
the manatee is downlisted? How will a higher PBR affect your Section 7
consultation process for coastal development?
Response: PBR, as defined under the MMPA, means ``the maximum
number of animals, not including natural mortalities that may be
removed from a marine mammal stock while allowing that stock to reach
or maintain its optimum sustainable population.'' The PBR level is the
product of the minimum population estimate of the stock, one-half the
maximum theoretical or estimated net productivity rate of the stock at
a small population size, and a recovery factor of between 0.1 and 1.0.
[[Page 16689]]
This rule does not change how PBR is defined under the MMPA.
Nevertheless, as a result of this rule, in PBR calculations for both
Florida and Antillean stocks we expect to use a recovery factor for
threatened species instead of the recovery factor for endangered
species. The Service's use of PBR is limited to addressing takes
associated with commercial fishing activities. However, known
mortalities and serious injuries associated with these activities are
nominal and should not be affected by this change. Further, because PBR
is not used to address coastal development activities, there will be no
effect on the Service's consultation process for these activities.
(53) Comment: A downlisting will lead to a reduction in the
availability of funds and will make it more difficult to obtain funding
needed to address the loss of warm-water habitat, enforcement,
important research, and other conservation needs. FWS acknowledges that
under the FMSA ``adequate funding could be problematic if downlisting
occurs.'' In fact, an assumption of adequate funding underpins all of
the assumptions in the model that relate to anthropogenic impacts. FWS
states that ``as long as funding remains available, recovery actions
would continue to be implemented, regulations enforced, and additional
measures adopted as needs arise.'' Loss of funding would adversely
affect development, implementation, and enforcement of management
actions and plans.
Response: We acknowledge that loss of funding could be a concern;
which is, in part, why the species meets the definition of a threatened
species under the Act.
(54) Comment: One commenter noted that the Service has failed to
propose critical habitat concurrently with its proposal to downlist the
manatee across its range. When the FWS makes a listing determination
(including downlisting), the Act requires the FWS to either designate
critical habitat for the manatee or determine that such a designation
is not prudent or determinable (16 U.S.C. 1533(a)(3)(A)(i)). Another
commenter stated that the Service should assess the incremental
economic impact of existing and proposed designations on critical
habitat. The Miccosukee Tribe expressed concern that manatees and their
habitat are at risk from increasing development without protections to
critical habitat provided by the Act.
Response: Critical habitat has been designated for the West Indian
manatee (41 FR 41914, September 24, 1976; corrected at 42 FR 47840,
September 22, 1977; codified at 50 CFR 17.95(a)). The Act at 16 U.S.C.
1533(a)(3)(B) provides that the Service may, from time to time
thereafter, revise the critical habitat designation, and that it must
make findings on a petition to revise critical habitat submitted under
the Administrative Procedure Act. See 16 U.S.C. 1533(b)(3)(D). The
Service's January 12, 2010 (75 FR 1574), 12-month finding on a petition
to revise critical habitat for the Florida manatee found that a
revision to critical habitat is warranted but precluded because
sufficient funds were not (and still are not) available due to higher
priority actions such as court-ordered listing-related actions and
judicially approved settlement agreements. Because of this, the
existing critical habitat designation remains in effect.
(55) Comment: The Service has not adequately addressed cumulative
impacts from continued development, increased vessel use, and ongoing
water quality problems that threaten the aquatic habitats on which
manatees depend for survival.
Response: Our five-factor analysis, under Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species, above, assessed all known threats to the West
Indian manatee. In our assessment, we reviewed several manatee
population models (Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al., 2012; Arriaga
et al., in G[oacute]mez et al., 2012, entire, Runge presentation, 2016)
that assessed the effects of threats individually and cumulatively.
Threats can individually impact a species or its habitat or can work in
concert with one another to cumulatively create conditions that may
impact a species or its habitat beyond the scope of individual threats.
See Cumulative Effect of Threats below.
(56) Comment: The Service has violated the Act by invoking its
``significant portion of range'' policy and relying on its range-wide
threatened determination to avoid any analysis of whether the West
Indian manatee is endangered in any significant portion of its range,
contrary to the plain language of Section 3(6) of the Act, 16 U.S.C.
1532(6). FWS-cited data strongly suggest that one or more portions of
the West Indian manatees' range merits analysis for significance.
Response: For our analysis, we followed the Service's final policy
on ``Significant Portion of its Range'' (SPR) (79 FR 37578; July 1,
2014). This policy provides our interpretation of the phrase
``significant portion of the range'' in the Act's definitions of
``endangered species'' and ``threatened species''. The policy improves
the implementation of the Act by providing a consistent and uniform
standard interpretation of the phrase and its role in listing (and
delisting and reclassification) determinations. The policy provides an
interpretation and application of SPR that reflects a permissible
reading of the law and minimizes undesirable policy outcomes, while
fulfilling the conservation purposes of the Act. The final policy
states ``that a portion of a species' range can be ``significant'' only
if the species is not currently endangered or threatened throughout all
of its range'' (emphasis added); furthermore, if a species is listed
throughout its entire range, there can be no separate listings for
portions of the species (the final policy defines ``significant'' such
that a portion of the range cannot be significant if the species
already warrants listing throughout all of its range). As this policy
is applied, there will be no circumstance in which a species is
threatened throughout all of its range and [emphasis added] endangered
throughout an SPR. Based on our evaluation of the biology and current
and potential threats to the West Indian manatee, we determined that
the entire listed entity meets the definition of threatened.
Accordingly, the SPR analysis concludes that the species should be
listed as threatened and no further analysis is warranted.
This final policy reflects the Services' expert judgment as to the
best way to interpret and apply ``significant portion of its range'' as
that phrase appears in the Act. Because we conclude that the entire
West Indian manatee should be listed as threatened, we do not analyze
this species at a smaller geographic scale.
(57) Comment: Commenters stated that when the Service downlists the
manatee, the Act's take prohibition no longer applies and, accordingly,
if the Service believes that it should continue to regulate the take of
the manatee (despite local and State regulations that prohibit take),
the Service must follow additional procedures laid out in the Act. The
Service states in the proposed rule to reclassify the manatee that the
take prohibition in Section 9 of the Act will automatically apply to
the manatee when it is reclassified as threatened. But the Act
expressly limits Section 9 to endangered species because Congress
recognized that the take prohibition imposes stringent limits on
individuals and businesses that are only justified by the dire
situations endangered species face. Likewise, the Service should
consider the impacts of the downlisting on the continuing need for
Manatee Protection Areas, which prohibit certain waterborne activities
``for the purpose of preventing the taking of manatees'' in coastal and
inland waters in Florida.
[[Page 16690]]
Because the Act's take prohibition does not automatically apply to
threatened species, the Service will need to determine anew whether
Manatee Protection Areas are necessary and advisable.
Response: Take prohibitions for manatee do not change with this
final rule. The same prohibitions are in place for the manatee as a
threatened species that were in place when it was an endangered species
through the Act's implementing regulations. Under section 9(a)(1) of
the Act, all take prohibitions outlined in section 50 CFR 17.21 (except
Sec. 17.21(c)(5)) apply to threatened species through the regulations
codified at 50 CFR 17.31 and 17.32. Although the Service has discretion
to issue a species-specific 4(d) rule that could remove or modify take
prohibitions from or for specific activities, we have not chosen to do
so at this time for manatee. The Service believes the prohibitions and
exceptions set out in 50 CFR 17.31 and 17.32 are most appropriate to
address the particular conservation needs of the West Indian manatee at
this time. Accordingly, protections in Florida's coastal and inland
waters will not change with the reclassification of manatee to
threatened status. Manatee Protection Areas (MPAs) have played a
substantial role in manatee conservation and will be needed into the
foreseeable future, and the designation of these areas will not be
affected by the change in status. In addition, as mentioned in the
response to Comment 40, the MMPA prohibits the ``take'' (i.e., to
harass, hunt, capture, kill, or attempt to harass, hunt, capture, or
kill) of marine mammals. MPAs also play an important role in avoiding
take under the MMPA.
(58) Comment: The overall lack of any cumulative analysis with
respect to any or all of the relevant listing factors demonstrates that
the FWS has not articulated a rational explanation to justify
downlisting.
Response: In making our determination and in accordance with the
definitions of an endangered vs. threatened species, the Service
concluded that the West Indian manatee is not currently endangered but
is likely to become endangered in the foreseeable future. In our review
of the best available information, we did not find significant
information that would lead us to believe that the cumulative effect of
threats on the species warrants maintaining the West Indian manatee as
an endangered species. Rather, the potential cumulative effects of
threats on the West Indian manatee, in part, contribute to the species'
threatened status (see Cumulative Effects section later in this rule).
Summary of Changes From the Proposed Rule
We made the following changes from the proposed rule:
We updated the Population Size and Population Trends
sections to include a ``Minimum Population Size'' column to Table 1,
changed the column heading ``Population Estimate'' to ``Non-statistical
Population Estimate,'' and provided additional information on the
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al., (2012) publication.
We revised the Recovery Actions section of the preamble to
include information from a Manatee Core Biological Model (CBM) update
and to include updates for the timeframes for establishing spring
minimum flows.
We expanded the introduction of the Summary of Factors
Affecting the Species to further clarify the definitions of endangered
and threatened.
We included new information on threats and mortality under
the Summary of Factors Affecting the Species section.
We reviewed and incorporated, as appropriate, information
from Coulson et al. 2001; G[oacute]mez et al. 2012; Galves et al. 2015;
and a presentation on Manatee Core Biological Model updates in this
rule. These references were contributed by commenters and/or became
available in September 2016.
We added a ``Cumulative Effects'' section to our Summary
of Factors Affecting the Species section.
We clarified in this rule why the West Indian manatee is
no longer endangered but rather meets the definition of a threatened
species.
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Section 4(a)(1) of the Act requires us to determine by regulation
whether ``any species is an endangered species or a threatened species
because of the following factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence'' (16 U.S.C. 1533(a)(1); hereafter,
the section 4(a)(1) factors). Section 3 of the Act defines an
``endangered species'' as ``any species which is in danger of
extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its range'' and a
``threatened species'' as one ``which is likely to become an endangered
species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range'' (16 U.S.C. 1532(6), (20)).
The U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia noted that
Congress included ``a temporal element to the distinction between the
categories of endangered and threatened species'' in re Polar Bear
Endangered Species Act Listing and Sec. 4(d) Rule Litigation, 794 F.
Supp. 2d 65, 89 n. 27. (D.D.C. 2011). Thus, we interpret an
``endangered species'' to be one that is presently in danger of
extinction. A ``threatened species,'' on the other hand, is not
presently in danger of extinction, but is likely to become so within
the foreseeable future (i.e., at a later time). In other words, the
primary statutory difference between a threatened and endangered
species is the timing of when a species may be in danger of extinction,
either presently (endangered) or within the foreseeable future
(threatened).
In making our downlisting determination, the foreseeable future
must take into account the life history of the species, habitat
characteristics, availability of data, particular threats under
consideration, the ability to predict those threats, and the
reliability of forecasts of changes in the species' status in response
to the threats. See also ``The Meaning of `Foreseeable Future' in
Section 3(20) of the Endangered Species Act,'' (DOI 2009). Pursuant to
M-37021 (DOI 2009), we identify a foreseeable future of 50 years for
the West Indian manatee, which we believe can be predicted with
reliability. Please see section entitled Foreseeable Future.
Thus, we used the best available scientific and commercial data for
the West Indian manatee, including demographic parameters and section
4(a)(1) factors. We note that, for the Antillean subspecies, the best
available scientific and commercial information relies in many cases
upon expert opinion and anecdotal observations. In responding to the
petition to downlist the West Indian manatee species and, after
considering conservation efforts by States and foreign nations to
protect the West Indian manatee as required under section 4(b)(1)(A),
we proposed downlisting (80 FR 1000, February 6, 2016) based on the
statutory definitions of endangered and threatened species. To make our
final listing determinations, we reviewed all information provided
during the 90-day public comment period and additional scientific and
commercial data that became available since the publication of the
proposed rule. See Summary of
[[Page 16691]]
Changes From Proposed Rule. However, this additional information merely
supplemented, and did not differ significantly from, the information
presented in the proposed rule. We received no significant new
information that would cause us to change our listing determination
(see the Comments and Summary of Changes from the Proposed Rule
sections above). With this rule, we finalize our proposed listing
determination.
The following analysis examines all factors currently affecting or
that are likely to affect the West Indian manatee within the
foreseeable future.
Factor A. The Present or Threatened Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
At the time of listing, resource managers were concerned about the
effect of the loss of seagrass on manatees. Subsequently, it became
apparent that habitat loss and fragmentation were significant concerns
outside the United States. Within the southeastern U.S., the loss of
manatee winter habitat has become a significant concern. Degradation
and loss of manatee habitat occurs throughout its range (UNEP 2010, p.
12). Although the immediacy and the magnitude of this factor varies
throughout the species' range, available manatee foraging habitat does
not seem to be a limiting factor in most of the range countries,
including Florida and Puerto Rico (Orth et al. 2006, p. 994; Drew et
al. 2012, p. 13; Lefebvre et al. 2001, entire; UNEP 2010, entire).
Still, manatee habitat degradation and loss remain a threat in most
countries, and ongoing efforts to address these threats remains a
recovery priority (Castelblanco et al. 2012, p. 142).
Some countries have been able to document manatee habitat loss
effects, while other countries do not have site-specific information
available to quantify the severity and/or frequency of this threat on
manatees. For example, in Mexico, loss of manatees from certain areas
has been attributed to, among other factors, the construction of a dam
along a river (Colmenero-Rol[oacute]n and Hoz-Zavala 1986, in UNEP
2010, p. 59), while significant manatee habitat modification has
affected the number of animals along the coast of Veracruz (Serrano et
al. 2007, p. 109). Other important manatee habitat in Belize such as
Turneffe atoll is also affected by unsustainable fishing, mangrove
clearing, overdevelopment, and dredging (Edwards 2014, entire).
In Honduras, manatee abundance declined, in part, because of
habitat degradation (Cerrato 1993, in Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 440),
while in Costa Rica, habitat modification activities such as logging
and agriculture have increased sedimentation in rivers and lagoons,
making it difficult for manatees to access suitable habitat in the
Tortuguero River system (Smethurst and Nietschmann 1999, in Lefebvre et
al. 2001, p. 442). In Panama, manatee distribution is apparently
fragmented by discontinuous and likely depleted habitat (Lefebvre et
al. 2001, p. 442).
Although threats continue, there are recovery efforts being made to
protect the manatee against threats posed by habitat loss or
modification in many range countries and in the areas of U.S.
jurisdiction. In Belize, three protected areas were created
specifically to protect critical manatee habitat, and more than 43
percent of the country's protected areas are within the coastal zone
(UNEP 2010, p. 24). Mexico has designated significant special manatee
protection areas (UNEP 2010, p. 60), and Trinidad protected the Nariva
Swamp, the most important manatee habitat in that country (UNEP 2010,
p. 77). Although most countries within the species' range outside of
the United States continue to provide suitable manatee habitat, habitat
degradation and loss remains a threat requiring ongoing recovery
efforts.
The Service's 2007 5-year review identified specific threats
including loss of seagrass due to marine construction activities
(extent unknown), propeller scarring and anchoring (magnitude unknown),
and oil spills; loss of freshwater due to damming and competing uses;
and increasing coastal commercial and recreational activities (USFWS
2007, pp. 30-31). Human activities that result in the loss of seagrass
include dredging, fishing, anchoring, eutrophication, siltation, and
coastal development (Duarte 2002, p. 194; Orth et al. 2006, p. 991;
PRDNER 2008, entire; PRDNER 2012, entire).
Since the 2007 5-year review, habitat effects including threats to
seagrass habitat have been quantitatively assessed in Puerto Rico. The
PRDNER has been gathering new relevant information documented in its
two reports entitled Evaluation of Recreational Boating Anchor Damage
on Coral Reefs and Seagrass Beds (PRDNER 2008, entire; PRDNER 2012,
entire). The report identified the east, south, and west coasts of the
island as the areas with major impacts on seagrass beds caused by
vessel propellers, indiscriminate anchorage, and poor navigation
skills. According to the reports, the areas with major impacts of
severe magnitude were those on the south-central coast, including high
manatee use areas in the municipalities of Guayama, Salinas and
Guayanilla, among others. The PRDNER (2008, 2012, p. 6) also describes
that sea grasses are being severely impacted by both the scarring
actions of motor boat propellers and the scouring action of jet ski
traffic in shallow waters. In addition, small to mid-size boat owners
prefer to visit near-shore areas, which have contributed to the
decrease in seagrass density and an increment in the fragmentation of
this habitat (PRDNER 2008, 2012, p. 7).
Although anthropogenic activities that result in the loss of
seagrass such as dredging, anchoring, effects from coastal development,
propeller scarring, boat groundings, and inappropriate recreational
activities occur in Puerto Rico, seagrass abundance is not considered a
limiting factor for the current Antillean manatee population of the
Island (Drew et al. 2012, p. 13). It would be expected that a
significant decrease of this resource could cause stress to the manatee
population. However, no data is available to support estimates of how
much seagrass is needed to sustain a larger manatee population (Bonde
et al. 2004, p. 258). Based on the present availability of seagrass
habitat in Puerto Rico, the Service believes the severity of the threat
of degraded and or decreased seagrass habitat is low and there is no
indication that potential foraging limitations or specialization are
decreasing manatee fitness or causing manatee mortalities in Puerto
Rico.
To offset these threats in Puerto Rico, a wide range of
conservation efforts are ongoing (see Recovery and Recovery Actions).
These include the collective efforts of the Service, the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers, the PRDNER, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), the U.S. Coast Guard, and others working to
avoid, minimize, and mitigate project impacts on manatee habitat. The
development and implementation of no-wake areas, marked navigation
channels, boat exclusion areas, and standardized construction
conditions for marinas and boat ramps are a few of the efforts making a
positive impact on maintaining and protecting important manatee habitat
(see Recovery and Recovery Plan Implementation sections).
Manatees require sources of fresh water for daily drinking and do
not appear to exhibit a preference for natural over anthropogenic
freshwater resources (Slone et al. 2006, p. 3). Sources of freshwater
are currently not considered limiting in Puerto Rico and include the
mouths of streams and
[[Page 16692]]
rivers, coastal groundwater springs, and even industrial wastewater
outflows (e.g., wastewater treatment plants, hydroelectric power
plants). At this time, the lack and/or degradation of fresh water is
considered a low-level threat in Puerto Rico. There is no indication
that manatees are being affected by a lack of freshwater sources, even
during the 2015 severe drought and especially since it is possible for
manatees to drink from several sources. However, the potential impact
of poor water quality on the manatee population is unknown. The Service
will continue to assess and work with others towards maintenance and
potential enhancement of manatee freshwater drinking sources.
Within the southeastern United States, the potential loss of warm
water at power plants and natural, warm-water springs used by wintering
manatees is identified as a significant threat (USFWS 2007, entire;
Laist and Reynolds 2005 a, b, entire, and (USFWS 2001, entire). Natural
springs are threatened by potential reductions in flow and water
quality (due to unsustainable water withdrawals combined with severe
droughts) and by factors such as siltation, disturbance caused by
recreational activities, and others that affect manatee access and use
of the springs (Florida Springs Task Force 2000, p. 13). Power plants,
which provide winter refuges for a majority of the Florida manatee
population, are not permanent reliable sources of warm water. In the
past, some industrial sources of warm water have been eliminated due to
plant obsolescence, environmental permitting requirements, economic
pressures, and other factors (USFWS 2000, entire). Experience with
disruptions at some sites has shown that some manatees can adapt to
minor changes at these sites; during temporary power plant shutdowns,
manatees have been observed to use less preferred nearby sites. In
other cases, manatees have died when thermal discharges have been
eliminated due to behavioral persistence or site fidelity (USFWS 2000,
entire).
The current network of power plant sites will likely endure for
another 40 years or so (Laist et al. 2013, p. 9). We do not know for
sure if the plants will be replaced or eliminated at the end of this
time period, but the likelihood is that the power plants will close
(Laist and Reynolds 2005b, p. 281). We also do not know how manatees
would respond if some sites are lost, since past modifications or
changes to power plant sites have resulted in variable responses from
manatees. If power plant outflows are lost, manatees would rely on
remaining springs in the upper St. Johns River and northwest Florida
regions and on Warm Mineral Springs in southwest Florida, passive
thermal basins, and warm ambient waters in southernmost Florida. The
loss of certain warm-water sites potentially could cause a change in
Atlantic coast abundance and distribution of manatees because there are
no natural springs on the Atlantic coast north of the St. John's River
(Laist and Reynolds 2005b, p. 287).
Florida's springs have seen drastic declines in flows and water
quality, and many springs have been altered (dammed, silted in, and
otherwise obstructed) to the point that they are no longer accessible
to manatees (Florida Springs Task Force 2001, p. 4; Laist and Reynolds
2005b, p. 287; Taylor 2006, pp. 5-6). Flow declines are largely
attributable to demands on aquifers (spring recharge areas) for potable
water used for drinking, irrigation, and other uses (Marella 2014, pp.
1-2). Declining flows provide less usable water for wintering manatees.
Declines in water quality (e.g., increased nitrates) can promote the
growth of undesirable alga, such as Lyngbya sp., which can cover and
smother food plants used by wintering manatees (Florida Springs Task
Force 2001, pp. 12, 26). Notable springs largely inaccessible to
manatees due to damming include springs in the Ocklawaha and
Withlacoochee river systems. Springs that have silted in include
Manatee and Fanning springs, Warm Mineral Spring, Weeki Wachee Spring,
and others (Taylor 2006, pp. 5, 8).
In the case of Manatee, Fanning, and Weeki Wachee springs,
restoration efforts have removed sand bars and other obstructions,
making these sites once again accessible to manatees (The Nature
Conservancy 2015). See: https://www.nature.org/ourinitiatives/regions/northamerica/unitedstates/florida/howwework/saving-manatees-through-springs-restoration.xml. Also, Marella (2014, p. 1) noted declining
demands on central Florida aquifers due to increased rainfall,
declining agricultural demands, use of re-use water, and other water
conservation measures, suggesting that spring flows used by manatees
can be maintained. Chapter 62-42, Florida Administrative Code, requires
that minimum flow levels be set for Florida waterbodies. Set flow
levels require that measures be taken should flows drop below
statutorily adopted levels, thus insuring adequate flows. Minimum flows
have been set for six springs that are important to wintering manatees.
Flow levels must be identified for the Crystal River springs complex
and other important springs.
In the southeastern United States, a wide range of conservation
efforts identified in the 2007 5-year Review are continuing (USFWS
2007, pp. 17-18; see also Recovery and Recovery Plan Implementation
discussion above). Service efforts in cooperation and coordination with
State and industry partners are ongoing to minimize any future manatee
losses from industrial site reductions or closures by seeking short-
term alternatives and long-term sustainable options for supporting
manatees without the reliance on industrial warm-water sources. Spring
studies and on-the-ground restorations seek to restore flows and access
to existing natural springs. Habitat degradation and loss from natural
and human-related causes are being addressed through collective efforts
to improve overall water quality, minimize construction-related
impacts, and minimize loss of seagrass due to prop scarring. Efforts to
replant areas devoid of seagrass are showing success in restoring lost
manatee foraging habitat (van Katwijk et al. 2016, p. 572).
Summary of Factor A: In Florida and Puerto Rico, the manatee has
not experienced any curtailment of its range; however, a concern
continues to be the loss of warm water habitat. Outside of the U.S.
habitat loss, fragmentation, and degradation continue to be a concern
for manatees as well. There have been substantial improvements due to
regulatory mechanisms in place towards addressing habitat threats since
listing. However, these factors still threaten the West Indian manatee
but not to the magnitude that currently places the species in danger of
extinction, especially given the availability of suitable habitat
throughout the species' range. In view of increasing human populations
and associated development within the range of the species, it is
reasonable to predict that these threats will continue within the
foreseeable future of 50 years. Please see section entitled Foreseeable
Future. We will continue to evaluate projects in areas of U.S.
jurisdiction (Puerto Rico and areas of the continental United States)
to benefit habitat for the West Indian manatee and make recommendations
to avoid and minimize impacts to manatee habitat. For West Indian
manatees in the continental United States, ensuring the continued
availability of warm-water refugia sites is a critical need related to
this factor.
In the discussion above (and in supplemental documents), we
describe progress with local, county, city, and State partners to
maintain minimum
[[Page 16693]]
flows and restore habitat at sites where we believe it will help
address this habitat need for the species. For areas outside U.S.
jurisdiction, we have documented examples of habitat destruction,
modification, and fragmentation that have impacted West Indian
manatees, by damming rivers and destroying estuaries. There are also a
number of positive examples of manatee protection areas that will
continue to provide long-term suitable manatee habitat. The Service,
led by our International Affairs Program, will continue to work
together with other countries towards manatee habitat conservation.
Factor B. Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Since the manatee was originally listed, information indicates that
overutilization, particularly poaching, occurs to a lesser extent now
but continues to affect manatees. Throughout the range of the species,
manatees are used for a variety of purposes. Outside the United States,
manatees have been hunted and poached to supply meat and other
commodities. Recreationally, people seek out opportunities to view
manatees through commercial ecotour operators or on their own. There
are numerous scientific studies being conducted on captive and wild
manatees, including studies of specimens salvaged from carcasses. The
public is educated about manatees through a variety of media, such as
videos and photographs, including rehabilitating manatees in captivity.
Poaching is hypothesized no longer to occur in a few regions, has
been reduced in others, and is still common in others (UNEP 2010,
entire; Marsh et al. 2011, p. 386). A number of recent poaching events
and reports are a concern (Alvarez-Alem[aacute]n, et al., No Date (ND),
retrieved 2017 from: https://sea2shore.org/focal-species/manatees/antillean-manatee-conservation-in-cuba/; World Atlas, ND, Retrieved
2017 from: https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/threatened-mammals-of-guatemala.html; Grattan 2016, retrieved 2017 from https://latincorrespondent.com/2016/02/20-endangered-manatees-slaughtered-in-colombia/; Rodr[iacute]guez Mega 2016, retrieved 2017 from https://www.worldwildlife.org/magazine/issues/summer-2016/articles/eyes-on-the-water-in-belize; Tejo and Maria 2016, retrieved 2017 from https://dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/handle/10161/12872). Poaching has been
responsible for past declining numbers throughout much of the Antillean
subspecies' range (Thornback and Jenkins 1982, in Lefebvre et al. 2001,
p. 426) (in 17 of 20 range countries). For example, in Guadeloupe
(French Antilles), the local manatee population was hunted to
extinction by the early 1900s (Marsh et al. 2011, p. 429). In Honduras,
manatees are still actively poached on an opportunistic basis in La
Mosquita (Gonz[aacute]lez-Socoloske et al. 2011, p. 129). Depending on
certain social and economic factors, current poaching rates in northern
Nicaragua vary from year to year (Self-Sullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni
2012, p. 44). Other manatee products include oil, bones, and hide
(Lefebvre et al. 2001, p. 426; Marsh et al. 2011, p. 264; Self-Sullivan
and Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, pp. 42-45).
Because of their low reproductive rates (Lefebvre et al. 2001, p.
12), poaching continues to pose a serious threat to some manatee
populations, especially in those areas where few manatees remain. As of
2009, although manatee poaching in Colombia still occurred in specific
areas and seasons (Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez 2009, p. 239); it is
less common than in the past (UNEP 2010, p. 30). Marsh (2011, p. 269)
and other more current reports (Alvarez-Alem[aacute]n, et al., No Date
(ND), retrieved 2017 from: https://sea2shore.org/focal-species/manatees/antillean-manatee-conservation-in-cuba/; World Atlas, ND, Retrieved
2017 from: https://www.worldatlas.com/articles/threatened-mammals-of-guatemala.html; Grattan 2016, retrieved 2017 from https://latincorrespondent.com/2016/02/20-endangered-manatees-slaughtered-in-colombia/; Rodr[iacute]guez Mega 2016, retrieved 2017 from: https://www.worldwildlife.org/magazine/issues/summer-2016/articles/eyes-on-the-water-in-belize; Tejo and Maria 2016, retrieved 2017 from https://dukespace.lib.duke.edu/dspace/handle/10161/12872) identifies poaching
as a threat to manatees in Belize, Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba,
Dominican Republic, French Guiana, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Mexico,
Suriname, Trinidad and Tobago, and Venezuela. Poaching is no longer a
threat in the mainland United States and Puerto Rico (Marsh 2011, p.
269). Foreign governments have instituted regulations to address this
threat (see Factor D discussion). We continue to pursue initiatives
with other countries that encourage a ban on poaching and hunting of
manatees.
In the southeastern United States and other areas where people view
manatees, numerous measures are in place to prevent the take of
manatees due to disturbance of viewing-related harassment. Well-
enforced sanctuaries keep people out of sensitive manatee habitats
(i.e., warm-water sites), educated tour guides ensure that their
customers do not harass manatees, and many educational programs
prescribe appropriate measures to take when in the presence of
manatees. For example, in 1992, manatees stopped visiting suitable
manatee habitat (Swallow Caye, Belize) after swim-with-the-manatee
programs were allowed without proper control (Auil 1998, p. 12).
Community groups and a local conservation organization helped to
declare the area a wildlife sanctuary in 2002. The area is currently
co-managed between the Belize Forest Department and a local
conservation organization (UNEP 2010, p. 23), and manatees have
returned to the area.
In Puerto Rico, harassment of manatees by kayak users and swimmers
has been reported in several popular beach and coastal recreational
areas. In addition, harassment related to speedboat races in manatee
areas has increased. In 2014 alone, the Service reviewed 12 permit
applications for speed boat races in Puerto Rico, several of them in
areas with high concentrations of manatees. However, to date there have
been no reported injuries or deaths of manatees caused by speedboat
races. Consultation with the Service under Section 7 of the Act has
served to implement specific conservation measures during marine events
such as boat races (see Recovery and Recovery Implementation and
Available Conservation Measures sections). The U.S. Coast Guard
consistently consults with the Service on marine event applications and
readily includes manatee conservation measures when applicable. In
addition, government agencies and local nongovernmental organizations
have implemented education and outreach strategies to ensure that
manatee harassment is avoided and minimized.
Education and research programs involving manatees are designed to
ensure that manatees are neither adversely affected nor overutilized.
Examples include outreach efforts used to minimize manatee harassment
in Crystal River, Florida, and the Service's Act/MMPA marine mammal
scientific research permitting program, which limits the potential
negative effects that research activities have on manatees.
Summary of Factor B: In summary, overutilization (particularly
poaching and hunting) occurs to a lesser extent than when the species
was originally listed but continues to occur with
[[Page 16694]]
varying frequency from absent to common throughout the species' range
due to regulatory measures (see detailed discussion in Factor D
section) that have been implemented to protect manatees. Efforts are in
place to address remaining concerns and are proving effective in a good
portion of the West Indian manatee's range. The manatee's situation has
improved since it was originally listed; poaching is not a current
threat in the southeastern United States (including Puerto Rico) and
has been reduced in other countries. However, the threat of poaching in
some range countries where poaching is poorly controlled will likely
continue within the foreseeable future which we determined to be 50
years (please see section entitled Foreseeable Future).
Factor C. Disease or Predation
At the time of listing, neither disease nor predation were
identified as concerns for manatees. While numerous infectious disease
agents and parasites have been reported in sirenians (manatees and
dugongs), there have been no reports of major West Indian manatee
mortality events caused by disease or parasites (Marsh et al. 2011, p.
294).
However, disease-related deaths are known to occur in West Indian
manatees. Recent cases of toxoplasmosis are a concern in Puerto Rico
(Bossart et al. 2012, p. 139). Marsh et al. (2011, p. 294) stated that
the importance of disease as a threat to the manatee is unknown. In
spite of concerns about the manatee's ability to rebound from a
population crash should an epizootic event occur, the impact of disease
on population viability remains unknown (Sulzner et al. 2012, p. 1).
Marsh et al. 2011 (p. 294) speculated that the Florida subspecies
appears to have a robust immune system that safeguards them from
significant disease outbreaks. We suspect this to be also true for the
Antillean subspecies because we have no documented disease outbreaks.
Mou Sue et al. (1990) described rare attacks by sharks on manatees
in Panama (p. 239). Reported instances of sharks and alligators feeding
on manatees are extremely rare (Marsh et al. 2011, p. 239).
Summary of Factor C: We do not have information to indicate that
disease and predation is now or will be a significant factor in the
foreseeable future. However, because of the long lifespan of this
mammal, we will continue to monitor disease and predation of manatees
with all of our conservation partners.
Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
Since the manatee was originally listed in 1967, regulatory
mechanisms have been established throughout the West Indian manatee's
range with varying degrees of effectiveness. At the time of the
manatee's original listing, there were very few regulatory mechanisms
in place. Currently, regulatory mechanisms include, but are not limited
to, specific laws and regulations that prohibit specific and general
human activities that impact manatees and their habitat, and the
establishment of long-term conservation protection measures at key
locations throughout the manatee's range. These include those efforts
being made by any State or foreign nation, or any political subdivision
of a State or foreign nation, to protect manatees. The extent and
overall effectiveness of these regulatory mechanisms varies widely from
country to country. Enforcement and compliance with these measures, as
well as the need for additional efforts in some countries, continues to
be a concern and will require additional cooperative efforts into the
foreseeable future. In the United States, Florida county manatee
protection plans (MPPs) have improved the status of manatees.
Outside the United States, West Indian manatees are protected in
most countries by a combination of national and international treaties
and agreements as listed in Table 4 in UNEP (2010, p. 14), in Lefebvre
et al. (2001, entire), and Table 4.2 in Self-Sullivan and Mignucci-
Giannoni (2012, p. 41). See Supplemental Document 3 in Docket No. FWS-
R4-ES-2015-0178. Countries within the range of the Antillean manatee
protect the manatee by national legislation (UNEP 2010, Table 4). For
example, in the Bahamas, manatees are protected under the Wild Animals
Protection Act (Chapter 248, 21 of 1968 E.L.A.O. 1974), which prohibits
the taking or capture of any wild animal (Government of the Bahamas
2004). In 2005, the Bahamian Government also created the Marine Mammal
Protection Act (No. 12), which monitors and regulates human
interactions with marine mammals. The Act prohibits taking, selling, or
harassing any marine mammal (Government of the Bahamas 2006). As
another example, the Manatee Protection Ordinance (1933-1936) provided
the first protective legislation for the species in Belize. In 1981,
manatees in Belize were included as an endangered species in the
Wildlife Protection Act No. 4 of the Forest Department. The Act
prohibits the killing, taking, or molesting of manatees, as well as
possession and sale of any part of any manatee (Auil 1998, pp. 29-30).
The West Indian manatee is listed in Appendix I of the Convention
on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora
(CITES). CITES (see www.cites.org) is an international agreement
through which member countries work together to protect against over-
exploitation of animal and plant species found in international trade.
Commercial trade in wild-caught specimens of these Appendix I species
is illegal (permitted only in exceptional licensed circumstances). The
Service reviewed the CITES trade database for the West Indian manatee,
which currently has information from 1977 to 2013, and found that trade
does not pose a threat to the West Indian manatee at this time. The
manatee and its habitat are also protected by the Cartagena Convention
Protocol Concerning Specially Protected Areas and Wildlife for the
protection and development of the marine environment of the Wider
Caribbean Region (SPAW Protocol). The SPAW Protocol, approved in 1990,
prohibits the possession, taking, killing, and commercial trade of any
sirenian species (UNEP 2010, p. 14).
Although manatees outside of the southeastern United States are
legally protected by these and other mechanisms, full implementation of
these international and local laws is lacking, especially given limited
funding and understaffed law enforcement agencies (UNEP 2010, p. 89).
Marsh et al. (2011, p. 387) indicated that enforcement remains a
critical issue for West Indian manatees. Outside the United States,
mechanisms are needed to allow existing West Indian manatee protection
laws to work as intended. Despite all of the existing regulations for
manatees, illegal poaching and destruction of habitat continue (Self-
Sullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 41). Enforcement of
conservation policies varies in different coastal regions; in some
regions, poaching is common and in areas with a government presence,
enforcement efforts are thought to be significant (Self-Sullivan and
Mignucci-Giannoni 2012, p. 45).
In the United States, in addition to being listed under the Act,
the West Indian manatee is further considered a depleted stock under
the Marine Mammal Protection Act (see greater detail just below; MMPA,
16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.; Previous Federal Actions section, and
Supplemental Document 2 in Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178),
[[Page 16695]]
and is also taken into consideration when addressing actions under the
Clean Water Act and the Fish and Wildlife Coordination Act. The MMPA
has contributed to the improvement of the status of the manatee in part
through its general moratorium on the taking and importation of marine
mammals and their products, with some exemptions (e.g., Alaska Native
subsistence purposes) and exceptions to the prohibitions (e.g., for
scientific research, enhancement of the species, and unintentional
incidental take coincident with conducting lawful activities).
``Take'' is defined under the MMPA as ``harass, hunt, capture, or
kill, or attempt to harass, hunt, capture or kill.'' The term
``harassment'' means ``any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which
has the potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in
the wild'' (Level A harassment), or ``has the potential to disturb a
marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by causing disruption
of behavioral patterns, including but not limited to, migration,
breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering'' (Level B
harassment).
Under the MMPA, any marine mammal species or population stock that
is listed as an endangered or a threatened species under the Act is
considered by definition ``depleted'' and managed as such. Furthermore,
a marine mammal stock that is listed under the Act is considered a
``strategic stock'' for purposes of commercial fishery considerations.
Neither of these categorizations change with the reclassification of
the West Indian manatee from endangered to threatened. Both the Florida
and Puerto Rico stocks will remain depleted and strategic under the
MMPA.
Title II of the MMPA established the Marine Mammal Commission
(Commission), an independent agency of the U.S. Government, to review
and make recommendations on the marine mammal policies, programs, and
actions being carried out by Federal regulatory agencies related to
implementation of the MMPA. The Service coordinates and works with the
Commission in order to provide the best management practices for marine
mammals.
Within the southeastern United States and Puerto Rico, the West
Indian manatee also receives protection by most State and Territorial
agencies, and will continue to receive protection as a threatened
species. In Florida, the manatee is protected by the Florida Manatee
Sanctuary Act (FMSA), which established Florida as a sanctuary for
manatees. This designation protects manatees from injury, disturbance,
harassment, and harm in the waters of Florida, and provides for the
designation and enforcement of manatee protection zones and has helped
to improve the status of the species. However, Florida statutes state
that, ``[w]hen the federal and state governments remove the manatee
from status as an endangered or threatened species, the annual
allocation may be reduced'' (Florida Manatee Sanctuary Act (FMSA) Chap.
379.2431(2)(u)(4)(c)), suggesting that adequate funding could be
reduced after downlisting. Florida laws also provide a regulatory basis
to protect habitat and spring flows (Florida Water Resources Act).
In Georgia, West Indian manatees are listed as endangered under the
Georgia Wildlife Act of 1973 (O.C.G.A. sections 22-3-130) which
prohibits the capture, killing, or selling of protected species and
protects the habitat of these species on public lands. In 1999, the
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico approved the Law No. 241, known as the New
Wildlife Law of Puerto Rico (Nueva Ley de Vida Silvestre de Puerto
Rico). The purpose of this law is to protect, conserve, and enhance
both native and migratory wildlife species, declare to be the property
of Puerto Rico all wildlife species within its jurisdiction, and
regulate permits, hunting activities, and exotic species, among other
actions. In 2004, the PRDNER approved Regulation 6766 to regulate the
management of threatened and endangered species in Puerto Rico
(Reglamento 6766--Reglamento para Regir el Manejo de las Especies
Vulnerables y en Peligro de Extinci[oacute]n en el Estado Libre
Asociado de Puerto Rico). In particular, the New Wildlife Law of Puerto
Rico of 1999 and its regulations provide for severe fines for any
activities that affect Puerto Rico's endangered species, including the
Antillean manatee. These laws similarly prohibit the capture, killing,
take, or selling of protected species.
Also, the Navigation and Aquatic Safety Law for the Commonwealth of
Puerto Rico (Law 430) was implemented in year 2000 and allows for the
designation and enforcement of watercraft speed zones for the
protection of wildlife and coastal resources (PRDNER 2000). However, in
Puerto Rico and Florida, despite protections, watercraft collisions
continue to negatively impact manatees (see Factor E). The PRDNER has
indicated that current speed regulatory buoys are ineffective, in part
because regulations do not identify the perimeter or area that each
buoy regulates (Jim[eacute]nez-Marrero 2015, pers. comm.). Thus,
emphasis has been given to public education and signage in coastal
areas to further reduce manatee mortality.
In addition, there are numerous other manatee protection laws and
regulations in place in other States within the United States. These
are detailed in a table entitled ``Existing International, Federal, and
State Regulatory Mechanisms,'' see ``Supplemental Document 2'' in
Docket No FWS-R4-ES-2015-0178 or https://www.fws.gov/northflorida and
https://www.fws.gov/caribbean/es. This table shows an extensive list of
existing regulatory mechanisms in place for the West Indian manatee;
many have been instituted, revised, or improved to better protect the
manatee.
Based on population growth and stability described earlier in this
rule, the above-described regulatory mechanisms in place have
contributed towards growth in the West Indian manatee population in the
United States and provided protection for their habitat as needed.
These existing regulatory mechanisms will remain in effect when the
species is reclassified to threatened. The West Indian manatee in the
United States will remain protected as a threatened species under the
Act, and as a depleted species under the MMPA. As long as funding
remains available, recovery actions would continue to be implemented,
regulations enforced, and additional measures adopted as needs arise.
State and Federal agencies would continue to coordinate on the
implementation of manatee conservation measures.
Summary of Factor D: In summary, regulatory mechanisms implemented
since the manatee's listing, such as state and foreign country
protections, have ameliorated some of the factors affecting manatees.
However, challenges in the enforcement of regulatory mechanisms remain
and there are still outstanding threats to the species. When this rule
becomes effective and the species is reclassified to threatened,
regulatory mechanisms will remain in place under the Act and will
continue to provide legal protections to the species. CITES and MMPA
protections will also remain in place. We will continue to maintain our
relationships with local, State, and foreign governments to encourage
the use of regulatory mechanisms to support the recovery of manatees.
Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence
At the time of listing in 1967, one of the primary factors that led
to its federally-protected status was watercraft collisions with
manatees. Since 1967, several regulatory measures have been
[[Page 16696]]
established to help address this concern which are discussed in detail
below. In addition, since manatees have been protected, studies and
monitoring have revealed that current factors that may affect West
Indian manatees include: Human-related interactions, such as watercraft
collisions, harassment, fishing gear entanglement, exposure to
contaminants, and naturally occurring phenomena such as harmful algal
blooms, exposure to the cold, loss of genetic diversity, effects of
climate change, and tropical storms and hurricanes. In 2007, the
Service considered watercraft collisions to be the most significant
factor affecting manatees in the United States (USFWS 2007, pp. 32-33).
We provide summaries of other natural and manmade factors below:
Watercraft--Watercraft collisions that kill or injure manatees are
a threat in some range countries outside the United States. However,
current information on the effects of boat traffic on manatees does not
exist for most range countries outside the United States. In some
countries such as Belize, watercraft collisions are the predominant
cause of death and are increasing (Auil and Valentine 2004, in UNEP
2010, p. 22; Galves et al. 2015, entire). As the number of registered
boats has increased significantly since the mid-1990s, manatees are
most vulnerable to collisions in the waters near Belize City (Auil
1998, in UNEP 2010, p. 22; Galves et al. 2015, entire). Motorboats are
becoming more abundant and popular in Guatemala, and watercraft traffic
and speed are not regulated even within protected areas (UNEP 2010, pp.
45-46). An aquatic transportation system with high-powered engines has
increased boat transit in one of the most important manatee habitat
areas in Panama (UNEP 2010, p. 66). Increased boating activities in
Brazil have resulted in both lethal collisions with manatees and
disruption of manatee behavior (Self-Sullivan and Mignucci-Giannoni
2012, p. 43).
Within the United States, watercraft-related deaths have been
identified as the most significant anthropogenic threat to manatees in
both Florida and Puerto Rico. In Puerto Rico, 34 years of manatee
mortality data from 1980 to 2014 indicate that a total of 37 manatees
have died due to watercraft (Mignucci et al. 2000, p. 192; Mignucci-
Giannoni 2006, p. 2; PRDNER 2015, unpubl. data). This number represents
approximately 15 percent of the total known mortality cases during that
time (37 out of 242) or an average of 1.1 manatees per year. Although
37 deaths may be considered a low number, it can be argued that the
percentage of watercraft-related causes of death may be somewhat
underestimated for three reasons. First, for the majority of the
manatee mortality cases in Puerto Rico, the cause of death is deemed
undetermined (38 percent, 92 out of 242), mostly because carcasses are
too decomposed when found and a cause of death cannot be determined, so
it may be that many of these deaths are also watercraft-related.
Second, watercraft-related effects that may cause a mother and calf to
separate will go undetected, as it would be challenging to find
evidence of such an event. The number of dependent calf deaths in
Puerto Rico for the past 34 years is 55 calves (22.6 percent, 55 out of
242) or an average of 1.6 manatee calves per year. The majority of the
manatees rescued for rehabilitation in Puerto Rico are calves. Lastly,
it is assumed that not all carcasses are recovered, so there may be
additional undocumented deaths caused by watercraft.
However, carcass salvage numbers for Puerto Rico indicate that the
number of watercraft-related deaths is low, and the population is
believed to remain stable (see Population Size and Population Trends
sections) in spite of these numbers. As boat use in Puerto Rico has
increased in number and distribution (PRDNER 2012, p. 3), and with no
State or Federal MPAs yet established, one may expect an increase in
watercraft-related conflicts. Still, manatee carcass totals for Puerto
Rico have exceeded 10 or more only six times over 34 years and average
approximately 7 per year (Mignucci et al. 2000, p. 192; Mignucci-
Giannoni 2006, p. 2; PRDNER Manatee Stranding Reports 2015, unpubl.
data). In addition, calf numbers documented in the most recent aerial
surveys indicate the population is reproducing well, with a record high
of 23 calves counted in December 2013 (see Population Size section). As
the species continues to move towards recovery, the Service will
continue to address and make improvements towards avoiding and further
reducing watercraft-related deaths or impacts.
In Florida, a manatee carcass salvage program, started in 1974,
collected and examined manatee carcasses to determine cause of death.
This program identified watercraft collisions with manatees as a
primary cause of human-related manatee mortality. The recent status
review and threats analysis shows that watercraft-related mortality
remains the single largest threat in Florida to the West Indian manatee
(O'Shea et al. 1985, entire; Ackerman et al. 1995, entire; Wright et
al. 1995, entire; Deutsch et al. 2002, entire; Lightsey et al. 2006,
entire; Rommel et al. 2007, entire, Runge et al. 2015, p. 16). Runge et
al. (2015, p. 20) observed that watercraft-related mortality makes the
largest contribution to the risk of extinction; full removal of this
single threat would reduce the risk of extinction to near negligible
levels. Mortality data from FWCs Manatee Carcass Salvage Program and
other sources describe numbers of watercraft-related deaths, general
areas where deaths occur, trauma, and other parameters (O'Shea et al.
1985, entire; Ackerman et al. 1995, entire; Wright et al. 1995, entire;
Deutsch et al. 2002, entire; Lightsey et al. 2006, entire; Rommel et
al. 2007, entire).
Over the past 5 years, more than 80 manatees have died from
watercraft-related incidents each year. The highest year on record was
2009, when 97 manatees were killed in collisions with boats. The
Manatee Individual Photo-identification System (1978 to present)
identifies more than 3,000 Florida manatees by scar patterns mostly
caused by boats, and most catalogued manatees have more than one scar
pattern, indicative of multiple boat strikes. A cursory review of boat
strike frequency suggested that some manatees are struck and injured by
boats twice a year or more (O'Shea et al. 2001, pp. 33-35).
Federal, State, and local speed zones are established in 26 Florida
counties. In Brevard and Lee Counties, where watercraft-related
mortality is among the highest reported, speed zone regulations were
substantially revised and areas posted to improve manatee protection in
the early 2000s. Since 2004, the FWC has approved new manatee
protection rules for three counties in Tampa Bay and reviewed and
updated speed zones in Sarasota, Broward, Charlotte, Lee, and Duval
Counties. In October 2005, the Hillsborough County Commission adopted
mandatory manatee protection slow-speed zones in the Cockroach Bay
Aquatic Preserve that previously had been voluntary. In 2012, speed
zones were established in the Intracoastal Waterway in Flagler County.
In addition, of the 13 counties identified in 1989 as in need of State-
approved MPPs, all have approved plans. Two additional counties, Clay
and Levy, proactively developed their own MPPs. Implementation of these
protective measures stabilizes and may even reduce the mortality rate
from watercraft collisions. An anticipated increase (118 percent) in
the number of boats using Florida waterways over the next 50 years will
require continued efforts to minimize watercraft collisions with
manatees.
The primary conservation action in place to reduce the risk of
manatee
[[Page 16697]]
injury and death from watercraft collisions is a limitation on
watercraft speed. The rationale is that a slower speed allows both
manatees and boaters additional response time to avoid a collision.
Furthermore, if an impact occurs, the degree of trauma will generally
be less if the colliding boat is operating at slower speed (Laist and
Shaw 2006, p. 478; Calleson and Frohlich 2007, p. 295). Despite
continued losses due to watercraft collisions, the southeastern U.S.
manatee population is expected to increase slowly under current
conditions (Runge et al. 2015, p. 11), which is due in part to
regulatory measures that have been implemented since the manatee was
listed.
The Service developed programmatic consultation procedures and
permit conditions for new and expanding watercraft facilities (e.g.,
docks, boat ramps, and marinas) as well as for dredging and other in-
water activities through an effect determination key with the U.S. Army
Corps of Engineers and State of Florida (the ``Manatee Key'') (revised
in 2013). The Manatee Key ensures that watercraft facility locations
are consistent with MPP boat facility siting criteria and are built
consistent with MPP construction conditions. The Service concluded that
these procedures constitute appropriate and responsible steps to avoid
and minimize adverse effects to the species and contribute to recovery
of the species.
Fishing Gear--Fishing gear (nets, crab traps, etc.) is known to
entangle and injure and kill manatees; ingestion of fishing gear and
other debris (monofilament and associated tackle, plastic banana bags,
etc.) also kills manatees. In countries outside the United States, the
incidental capture of animals in fishing gear is still a threat, and
the captured manatees are occasionally butchered and used for food and
various products. In Cuba, researchers have recently documented a
decrease in the number of manatee deaths within a marine protected
area, hypothesized to be due to a ban on the use of trawl net fishing
in that area (Sea to Shore Alliance 2014, entire). One of the principal
causes of perceived increases in manatee decline along the northern and
western coasts of the Yucatan peninsula includes increased use of
fishing nets that entangle manatees (Morales-Vela et al. 2003, in UNEP
2010, p. 59; Serrano et al. 2007, p. 111). In Honduras, the major cause
of known manatee mortality in the period 1970-2007 was due to
entanglement in fishnets (Gonz[aacute]lez-Socoloske et al. 2011, p.
123), while Nicaragua reports between 41 and 49 manatees being killed
by accidental entanglements in fishing nets from 1999 to 2000
(Jim[eacute]nez 2002, in UNEP 2010, p. 63). Although gillnets are
illegal in Costa Rica, gillnet entanglements still occur there.
However, they are uncommon in certain protected manatee use areas
(Jim[eacute]nez 2005, in UNEP 2010, p. 34). Castelblanco-
Mart[iacute]nez et al. (2009, in Marsh et al. 2011, p. 278) suggest
that incidental drowning in fishing nets causes almost half of the
mortality and wounding of manatees in the Orinoco River in Colombia. A
variety of fishing gear was reported to cause manatee entanglements,
and at least 43 calves were entangled in gear in northeast Brazil
between 1981 and 2002 (UNEP 2010, p. 26). On the northeast coast of
Brazil, the main cause of manatee deaths is due to the constant
presence of gill and drag nets (Lima et al. 2011, p. 107). However,
most range countries outside of the United States do not have current
information on the effects of fishing gear and entanglements on
manatees.
In Puerto Rico, fisheries-related entanglements and debris
ingestion may cause take and reduce fitness of manatees. In July 2009,
there was a documented case of entanglement (beach seine net) and
successful release of an adult manatee. In 2014, three adult manatees
were entangled in large fishing nets, one of which was an adult female
that died (PRDNER 2015, unpubl. data). A few manatees have also been
found that were severely entangled in monofilament line. Stranding
records indicate they rarely cause manatee deaths in Puerto Rico; a
total of four in 34 years have been documented.
Fishing gear, including both gear in use and discarded gear (i.e.,
crab traps and monofilament fishing line), is a continuing and
increasing problem for manatees in the southeastern United States. It
is unknown if the increasing number of rescues is a reflection of
increasing awareness and reporting of entangled manatees, increases in
fishing effort, increases in the number of manatees, or other factors.
Between 2010 and 2014, researchers attributed 18.2 percent of all
rescues to entanglement.
Rescue activities that disentangle manatees have almost eliminated
mortalities and injuries associated with fishing gear (USFWS Captive
Manatee Database 2015, unpubl. data) which has likely contributed
towards the improvement of the status of the species. Derelict crab
trap removal and monofilament recycling programs aid in efforts to
reduce the number of entanglements by removing gear from the water.
Extensive education and outreach efforts increase awareness and promote
sound gear disposal activities. As a result, deaths and serious
injuries associated with fishing gear are now extremely rare. Runge et
al. (2015, p. 16) determined that marine debris (including
entanglements in and ingestion of fishing gear) presented a weak threat
to the West Indian manatee in Florida. In the future, we would like to
seek opportunities to share information with countries like Cuba,
Belize, and Mexico and continue to reduce entanglements from discarded
or current gear range wide.
Water Control Structure--Advances in water control structure
devices that prevent manatees from being crushed or impinged have been
largely successful. In Florida, most structures have been fitted with
devices. These devices include acoustic arrays, piezoelectric strips,
grates, and bars that reverse closing structures and/or prevent
manatees from accessing gates and recesses. Runge et al. (2015, p. 16)
determined that water control structures presented a weak threat to the
West Indian manatee in Florida and noted that death or injury due to
water control structures had become a rare event (2015, p. 19).
Contaminants--Direct and indirect exposure to contaminants and/or
chemical pollutants in benthic habitats is another factor that may have
adverse effects on manatees (Bonde et al. 2004, p. 258). Contaminants
are known to have affected one manatee in Puerto Rico (diesel spill),
and residues from sugar processing in Cuba are thought to have killed
manatees there (Caribbean Stranding Network 1999, entire; UNEP 1995 in
UNEP 2010, p. 37). Because of this, manatees may have abandoned Cuba's
largest bay area because of contamination (UNEP 1995 in UNEP 2010, p.
37). In Florida, manatees congregate at warm water outfalls in port
areas where large volumes of petroleum products are transshipped. The
proximity of large numbers of manatees to these areas where they and
their habitat can be exposed to petroleum puts them at risk. The U.S.
Coast Guard and the State of Florida practice oil spill drills in these
areas and prepare for such contingencies. There are many activities
that introduce contaminants and pollutants into the manatees'
environment--gold mining, agriculture, oil and gas production, and
others. Despite the presence of contaminants in manatee tissues, the
effect that these have on manatees is poorly understood (Marsh et al.
2011, pp. 302-305).
[[Page 16698]]
Algal Blooms--These red tide blooms occur when large concentrations
of the red tide organism Karenia brevis are present along Florida's
Gulf coast. These concentrations produce brevetoxins which are inhaled
or ingested by manatees with lethal effect. In southwest Florida,
extensive red tide blooms killed 276 manatees in 2013. Runge et al.
(2015, p. 20) noted that on Florida's Gulf coast, red tide effects are
stronger than the effect of watercraft-related mortality due, in part,
to ``the increased estimate of adult survival in the Southwest and the
anticipated continued increase in the frequency of severe red-tide
mortality.'' Runge et al.'s (2015, p. 1) analysis did not address the
effect of the 2013 red tide event in its assessment.
In 2011, algal blooms in Florida's Indian River Lagoon clouded the
water column and killed over 50 percent of the seagrass beds in the
region (St. Johns River Water Management District, 2015). The loss of
seagrass beds likely caused a dietary change that may have played a
role in the loss of more than 100 manatees in the area. While algal
blooms occur in other parts of the species' range, there have not been
any significant die-offs attributable to this cause in this portion of
the species' range.
Cold Weather--The Florida manatee subspecies is at the northern
limit of the species' range. As a subtropical species, manatees have
little tolerance for cold and must move to warm water during the winter
as a refuge from the cold. See Recovery section for additional
information. During extremely cold weather, hundreds of animals died in
2010 and 2011 due to cold stress. Notably, animals that relied on
Florida's natural warm-water springs fared the best, while animals in
east-central and south Florida, where springs are absent, fared the
worst (Barlas et al. 2011, p. 31). Manatees using seagrass beds along
east-central Florida's Atlantic coast cannot easily access warm-water
springs of the St. Johns River during periods of cold temperatures, and
in the absence of access to warm water associated with power plants,
these manatees are at risk. Since these events, the number of deaths
due to cold has returned to an average of roughly 30 per year (FWC FWRI
2015, unpubl. data). While cold stress remains a threat to Florida
manatees, Antillean manatees, found outside of the southeastern United
States, do not suffer from cold stress because they inhabit warm
subtropical waters. Progress is being made in protecting warm-water
sites; we continue to work with our partners to protect these sources
to minimize cold-related manatee deaths.
Genetics--Isolated locations, small population sizes, and low
genetic diversity increase the susceptibility of West Indian manatee to
rapid decline and local extinction (Hunter et al. 2012, p. 1631). Low
genetic diversity has been identified as a threat to manatee
populations in Puerto Rico and Belize (Hunter et al. 2010, entire;
Hunter et al. 2012, entire). In addition, the manatee population in
Puerto Rico is essentially closed to immigration from outside sources.
Natural geographical features and manatee behavior limits gene flow
from other neighboring manatee populations (i.e., Dominican Republic),
and genetic mixing is not expected (Hunter et al. 2012, p. 1631).
Manatee populations in other portions of the range may also be affected
by isolation, small population size, and low genetic diversity. Low
genetic diversity in the southeastern United States has been identified
as a potential concern (Bonde et al. 2012, p. 15). However, there is
limited detailed genetic information to confirm the significance of
this to the West Indian manatee as a whole.
Tropical Storms--Tropical storms and hurricanes may also pose a
threat to manatees. Live manatee strandings and reduced adult manatee
survival rates can be attributed, in part, to hurricanes and storms
(Langtimm and Beck 2003, entire; Langtimm et al. 2006, entire).
Langtimm and Beck (2003) suggest that both direct and indirect
mortality (from strandings, debris-related injuries, animals being
swept offshore, etc.) and/or emigration associated with hurricanes and
storms may cause a decrease in adult survival rates. This result has
been observed in Florida and in Mexico: Hurricanes and storms are
thought to affect the presence/absence of manatees in storm-struck
areas. In Puerto Rico, tropical storms and hurricanes intensify heavy
surf, and at least one manatee calf death was attributed to Hurricane
Hortense in 1996 (USFWS 2007, p. 33). Other factors can either
exacerbate or ameliorate risk to the manatee population, such as
density of manatees within the strike area, the number of storms within
a season, protective features of the coastline such as barrier islands,
or occurrence of other mortality factors (Langtimm et al. 2006, p.
1026). However, there is limited information to confirm the
significance of tropical storms on manatees.
Climate Change/Sea-level Rise--The Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) concluded that warming of the climate system is
unequivocal (IPCC 2014, p. 3). The more extreme impacts from recent
climate change include heat waves, droughts, accelerated snow and ice
melt including permafrost warming and thawing, floods, cyclones,
wildfires, and widespread changes in precipitation amounts (IPCC 2014,
pp. 4, 6). Due to the projected sea level rise (SLR) associated with
climate change, coastal systems and low-lying areas will increasingly
experience adverse impacts such as submergence, coastal flooding, and
coastal erosion (IPCC 2014, p. 17). In response to ongoing climate
change, many terrestrial, freshwater, and marine species have shifted
their geographic ranges, seasonal activities, and migration patterns
(IPCC 2014, p. 4).
Although SLR is due in part to natural variability in the climate
system, scientists attribute the majority of the observed increase in
recent decades to human activities that contribute to ocean thermal
expansion related to ocean warming, and melting of ice (Marcos and
Amores 2014, pp. 2504-2505).
Trend data show increases in sea level have been occurring
throughout the southeastern Atlantic and Gulf coasts, and, according to
Mitchum (2011, p. 9), the overall magnitude in the region has been
slightly higher than the global average. Measurements summarized for
stations at various locations in Florida indicate SLR there has totaled
approximately 200 millimeters (mm) (8 inches (in.)) over the past 100
years, with an average of about 3.0 mm per year (0.12 in. per year)
since the early 1990s (Ruppert 2014, p. 2). The relatively few tidal
gauges in Florida, Alabama, Georgia, South Carolina, and southern North
Carolina also show increases, the largest increases being in South
Carolina, Alabama, and parts of Florida (NOAA Web site https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/sltrends/sltrends.shtml, accessed August 28,
2015).
Continued global SLR is considered virtually certain to occur
throughout this century and beyond (Stocker, 2013, p. 100; Levermann et
al. 2013, entire). Depending on the methods and assumptions used,
however, the range of possible scenarios of global average SLR for the
end of this century is relatively large, from a low of 0.2 meters (m)
(approximately 8 in.) to a high of 2 m (approximately 78 in., i.e., 6.6
feet (ft)) (Parris et al. 2012, pp. 2, 10-11). Although this relatively
wide range reflects considerable uncertainty about the exact magnitude
of change, it is notable that increases are expected in all cases, and
at rates that will exceed the SLR observed since the 1970s (IPCC 2013,
pp. 25-26). Given the large number and variety of climate change
[[Page 16699]]
and SLR models, forecasts of the rate and extent of SLR vary
significantly. Because of the variation in projections and
uncertainties associated with manatee response to SLR, it will be
important to continue monitoring manatee habitat use throughout the
species' range.
Other possible effects of climate change include increases in the
frequency of harmful algal blooms, increases in the frequency and
intensity of storms, losses of warm-water refugia and possible
decreases in the number of watercraft collisions. Warmer seas may
increase the frequency, duration, and magnitude of harmful algal blooms
and cause blooms to start earlier and last longer. Increases in
salinity could create more favorable conditions for other species;
conversely, increases in storm frequency and extreme rainfall could
offset the effects of salinity on algal growth (Edwards et al. 2012, p.
3).
Climate change models predict that the intensity of hurricanes will
increase with increasing global mean temperature (Edwards et al. 2012,
p. 4). Langtimm et al. (2006, entire) found that mean adult survival
dropped significantly in years after intense hurricanes and winter
storms. These decreases were thought to be due to tidal stranding,
animals being swept out to sea, loss of forage, or emigration of
animals out of affected areas (Langtimm et al. 2006, p. 1026).
For manatees in the southeastern United States, SLR could mean the
loss of most of the major industrial warm-water sites and result in
changes to natural warm-water sites. In the event of a projected SLR of
1 to 2 meters (3.3 to 6.6 feet) in 88 years (Rahmstorf 2010 and Parris
et al. 2012 in Edwards et al. 2012, p. 5), SLR will inundate these
sites and warm-water capacity could be lost. While power plants may not
be in operation when SLR inundates their sites, the increased intensity
and frequency of storms could interrupt plant operations and warm-water
production. If storms result in the loss of a power plant, manatees
that winter at that site could die in the event that they did not move
to an alternate location (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 5). Increased
intrusion of saltwater from SLR or storm surge coupled with reduced
spring flows could reduce or eliminate the viability of natural springs
used by wintering manatees (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 5).
Climate-change-induced loss of fishing habitat and boating
infrastructure (docks, etc.), increases in storm frequency, and
pollutants and changes in economics and human demographics could
decrease the per capita number of boats operating in manatee habitat.
If these changes were to occur, decreases in the numbers of boats
operating in manatee habitat could reduce numbers of manatee-watercraft
collisions (Edwards et al. 2012, p. 7).
Many complex factors with potentially negative consequences are
likely to operate on the world's marine ecosystems as global climate
change progresses. Conversely, climate change could potentially have a
beneficial effect, as well (see discussion above). Therefore, there is
uncertainty regarding how climate change and its effects may impact the
manatee and its habitat in the future (Hoegh-Guldberg and Bruno 2010 in
Marsh et al. 2011, p. 313). See Cumulative Effects below.
Summary of Factor E: At the time of listing, manatees were believed
to be threatened by watercraft, the loss of seagrasses, contaminants,
and harassment. Since the then, efforts to reduce boat collisions have
been successful in some cases; however, watercraft collisions continue
to be an ongoing concern for manatees. Watercraft strikes or
collisions, fishing gear entanglement, entrapment or crushing in water
control structures, contaminants; harmful algal blooms, cold weather,
loss of genetic diversity, tropical storms, and the effects of climate
change are factors that may continue to have an effect on West Indian
manatees for the foreseeable future. The negative effects associated
with increasing numbers of watercraft will require continued
maintenance and enforcement of manatee protection areas, and the
adoption of additional protected areas both inside and outside the
United States will continue as needs become apparent. Increasing
fishing efforts and the consequent increase of fishing gear in water
will require continued efforts to maintain gear in a manatee-safe
fashion, additional and continued gear clean-ups, and maintenance of
the manatee rescue program to rescue entangled manatees. While most
water control structures in the United States have been fitted to
prevent impingements and crushings and have contributed to the
improvement of the status of manatees, new structures in the United
States must be fitted to minimize impacts to manatees. Existing and new
structures outside the United States should be fitted, as well. For
manatees in Florida, harmful algal blooms and cold weather will
continue to affect this subspecies. Tropical storms and hurricanes will
continue to have an effect on the West Indian manatee in most parts of
its range. Effects of climate change and sea level rise impacts on West
Indian manatees and their habitat are uncertain.
While watercraft collisions and the pending loss of the Florida
manatees' loss of warm water habitat are being addressed, they have not
been eliminated. There is a high level of uncertainty regarding the
overall effects of climate change on the species and its habitat.
Cumulative Effects--Factors can individually impact a species and/
or its habitat and can work in concert with one another to cumulatively
create conditions that may impact a species or its habitat beyond the
scope of individual threats and, thereby, increase the risk of
extinction. Factors negatively affecting manatees include habitat loss,
degradation, and fragmentation; watercraft collisions; the loss of
winter warm-water habitat; poaching; and others.
In our assessment, we reviewed manatee population models
(Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012; Runge et al., 2007; and
others) that assessed the effects of these threats both individually
and cumulatively. Runge et al. (2007) conducted a simultaneous and
integrated analysis of the threats facing Florida manatees and
concluded that the role of threats faced by manatees is cumulative and
increases the risk of extinction. Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al.
(2012, p. 130) observed that ``[t]he cumulative actions of natural
catastrophes, anthropogenic disturbances, and low recovery rates can
cause a progressive decrease in the [Antillean manatee] population
throughout the range.''
Runge et al. (2007) considered the individual effect of each threat
and the cumulative effect of multiple threats in pairs, multiples and
all threats. By way of example, the authors observed that the addition
of the watercraft threat to a baseline scenario with no threats raised
the extinction probability and that the addition of the watercraft
threat to a scenario that contained all of the remaining threats raised
the extinction probability to an even greater extent (Runge et al.,
2007, p. 13). They noted that ``[a]ny single threat does not pose a
particularly large risk, but in combination the risk is substantially
greater'' (Runge et al., 2007, p. 13).
We did not find significant information that would lead us to
believe that the cumulative effect of factors acting on the species
warrants maintaining the West Indian manatee as endangered. Rather, the
potential cumulative effects of factors (both positive and negative)
affecting the West Indian manatee, in part, contribute to the species'
threatened status.
[[Page 16700]]
Foreseeable Future
The Act does not define the term ``foreseeable future.'' In a
general sense, the foreseeable future is the period of time over which
events can reasonably be anticipated; in the context of the definition
of ``threatened species,'' the Service interprets the foreseeable
future as the extent of time over which the Secretary can reasonably
rely on predictions about the future in making determinations about the
future conservation status of the species. It is important to note that
references to ``reliable predictions'' are not meant to refer to
reliability in a statistical sense of confidence or significance;
rather the words ``rely'' and ''reliable'' are intended to be used
according to their common, non-technical meanings in ordinary usage. In
other words, we consider a prediction to be reliable if it is
reasonable to depend upon it in making decisions, and if that
prediction does not extend past the support of scientific data or
reason so as to venture into the realm of speculation.
In considering threats to the species and whether they rise to the
level such that listing the species as a threatened species or
endangered species is warranted, we assess factors such as the
imminence of the threat (i.e., is it currently affecting the species
or, if not, when do we expect the effect from the threat to commence,
and whether it is reasonable to expect the threat to continue into the
future), the scope or extent of the threat, the severity of the threat,
and the synergistic effects of all threats combined. If we determine
that the species is not currently in danger of extinction, then we must
determine whether, based upon the nature of the threats, it is
reasonable to anticipate that the species is likely to become in danger
of extinction within the foreseeable future. As noted in the 2009
Department of the Interior Solicitor's opinion on foreseeable future,
``in some cases, quantifying the foreseeable future in terms of years
may add rigor and transparency to the Secretary's analysis if such
information is available. Such definitive quantification, however, is
rarely possible and not required for a foreseeable future analysis''
(DOI 2009; p. 9), available at https://solicitor.doi.gov/opinions/M-37021.pdf.
One possible way to determine foreseeable future is as the lifespan
of the species. As explained in our proposed rule (81 FR 1004; January
8, 2016), the lifespan of the manatee is not known with certainty, but
there is a record of a 67-year old captive Florida manatee and
documented longevity records of over 55 years in the wild. We identify
in our determination that the foreseeable future of this species is 50
years (see below), is largely consistent with the lifespan of this
species. We have also used two published population models
(Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al. 2012; Runge et al. 2015) and a
threats analysis to state there is a small chance that the West Indian
manatee will become extinct within this timeframe.
As suggested in the Solicitor's opinion, for the purposes of the
present analysis, we are relying on an evaluation of the foreseeability
of threats and the foreseeability of the effect of the threats on the
species, extending this time period out only so far as we can use the
data to formulate reliable predictions about the status of the species,
and not extending so far as to venture into the realm of speculation.
Therefore, in the case of the West Indian manatee, we conclude that the
foreseeable future is that period of time within which we can reliably
predict whether or not the species is likely to become an endangered
species as a result of the effects of the threats specified in this
rule. We consider 100 years to be beyond the foreseeability of threats
to the West Indian manatee across the 21 countries where the West
Indian manatee currently occurs (Table 1), especially given the known
uncertainties and data limitations throughout most of the Antillean
subspecies range. We have identified a foreseeable future of 50 years
because it is a period of time over which we are able to reliably
predict the magnitude of threats and their effects on manatee. This
time period is consistent with respect to our ability to make
predictions on the magnitude and the effects of the principal factors
impacting the species as described above. The 50-year period is also
similar to the timeframe used for the decline predictions identified
for this species by the IUCN (decline at a rate of at least 10 percent
over the course of three generations or about 60 years, Deutsch et al.
2008, online). This approach creates a more robust analysis of the best
scientific and commercial data available.
As explained in more detail above, principal factors impacting the
species include: Habitat destruction and modification, future
availability of warm-water sites for the Florida manatee, the frequency
of red tide and/or other unusual mortality events, watercraft strikes
and injuries, and poaching in some areas of its range. In addition,
although numerous regulatory mechanisms to protect manatees exist,
challenges in the enforcement of these regulatory mechanisms have been
identified, including in areas outside the United States. For example,
full implementation of international and local laws is lacking,
especially given limited funding and understaffed law enforcement
agencies (UNEP 2010, p. 89). Most of the identified factors in this
rule impacting the West Indian manatee are influenced by humans, and
recovery actions are aimed at mitigating or reducing these human
activities that are detrimental to the species.
Within the foreseeable future of 50 years, human populations and
concomitant factors affecting the species are expected to increase. For
example, human population growth and the resulting pressure exerted on
habitats are expected to result in more impacts to coastal and
freshwater resources, as land is converted to uses that will meet the
needs of the human population. In 2015, there were 634,000,000 people
in Latin America and the Caribbean (UN 2015, p. 1); in 2010, there were
18,801,310 people in Florida (Carr and Zwick et al. 2016, p. 4). Human
populations in the Latin American and Caribbean region are projected to
grow to 784,000,000 by 2050 (23.7 percent) and in Florida, to
33,721,828 (68.7 percent) by 2070 (UN 2016; Carr and Zwick et al. 2016,
p. 4). Given that human populations continue to grow (Marsh et al.
2012, p. 321), it is expected that human-manatee conflicts will also
increase and will result in additional stressors to the West Indian
manatee population and greater challenges for conservation. In Florida,
human population increases will increase water withdrawals from
Florida's aquifers which, in turn, will diminish the amount of warm
water available to manatees in Florida's springs (Edwards 2012, p. 6).
This population increase will also increase the number of registered
boats in Florida from 915,713 (Florida Department of Highway Safety and
Motor Vehicles: Florida Vessel Owners, Statistics 2015; https://www.hsmv.state.fl.us/dmv/TaxCollDocs/vesselstats2015.pdf) to an
estimated 2,000,000 boats by 2060 (118.4 percent), likely increasing
the risk of vessel collisions with manatees (FWC 2008, p. 24).
Continuing and increasing efforts will be needed to ensure that this
species does not become endangered within the foreseeable future.
Determination
An assessment of the need for a species' protection under the Act
is based on whether a species is in danger of extinction or likely to
become so because of any of the five factors: (A)
[[Page 16701]]
The present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of
its habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
human-made factors affecting its continued existence. As required by
section 4(a)(1) of the Act, we conducted a review of the status of the
West Indian manatee and assessed the five factors to evaluate whether
the species is in danger of extinction, or likely to become endangered
in the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. We examined the best scientific and commercial information
available regarding the past, present, and future threats faced by this
species.
In considering what factors might constitute current threats, we
must look beyond the mere exposure of the species to the factor to
determine whether the exposure causes actual impacts to the species. If
there is current exposure to a factor, but no response, or only a
positive response, that factor is not a threat. If there is exposure
and the species responds negatively, the factor may be a threat and we
then attempt to determine how significant the threat is. If the threat
is significant, it may drive, or contribute to, the risk of extinction
of the species such that the species warrants listing as an endangered
species or threatened species as those terms are defined by the Act.
This determination does not necessarily require empirical proof of a
threat. The combination of exposure and some corroborating evidence of
how the species is likely impacted could suffice. The mere
identification of factors that could impact a species negatively is not
sufficient to compel a finding that listing is appropriate; we require
evidence that these factors are operative threats that act on the
species to the point that the species meets the definition of an
endangered species or threatened species under the Act.
By definition, an endangered species is a ``species which is in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range'' and a threatened species is a ``species which is likely to
become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range.'' In the southeastern United
States, where the largest population of manatees exists, the manatee
population has likely grown in size, based on updated adult survival
rate estimates and estimated growth rates (Runge et al., 2015, p. 19).
A summary of the factors affecting the species, including successes in
the species' recovery, is discussed in more detail below.
Human causes of mortality and injury are being addressed in part
throughout the manatee's range. Predominant causes of mortality and
injury include poaching (factor B), entanglement in fishing gear
(factor E), and collisions with watercraft (factor E). Poaching has
been eliminated in the southeastern United States and in Puerto Rico
(factor B). Efforts to address poaching outside the United States vary
in effectiveness, with some successful reductions in a few countries
(factor D). Poaching attempts in areas where controls are not in place
are a threat to the West Indian manatee that makes it likely to become
endangered within the foreseeable future. Entanglement in fishing gear
continues throughout the species' range (factor E). In the southeastern
United States, entangled manatees are rescued and very few deaths and
serious injuries occur. In Puerto Rico, there have been few
entanglements since 1986, when entanglements were first reported as a
severe threat. Entanglements outside the United States are known to
occur; however, the magnitude and severity of this threat is unknown.
Watercraft collisions are the predominant anthropogenic cause of
death for manatees in the United States (factor E). The Service, other
Federal agencies, and State and Commonwealth wildlife management
agencies continue to be engaged in significant efforts to address and
further reduce this threat. In Florida, a network of marked, enforced,
manatee protection areas ensure that boat operators slow down to help
avoid manatees. In Puerto Rico, manatee protection areas have not been
designated, but a number of regulated manatee speed buoys are in place
to better protect manatees (factors A and D). Watercraft collisions are
known to kill manatees outside the United States; however, available
information on the magnitude of this threat in other countries is
limited, except for in Belize where this threat is known to be
significant and increasing.
Habitat fragmentation and loss are thought to be the greatest
threats to manatees outside the United States (factor A). Development
activities in coastal and riverine areas destroy aquatic vegetation and
block access to upriver reaches and freshwater. This can disrupt
dispersal and foraging patterns and exacerbate the effects of poaching
especially on small populations. Within the United States, Federal,
State, and Commonwealth agencies limit habitat losses and those
activities that block access through regulatory processes. For example,
the State of Florida and the Service rely on county MPPs to address
impacts to manatee habitat from installation of, for example, a boat
dock or marina. In Florida, the other potential significant threat
facing manatees is the loss of winter warm-water habitat and algal
blooms pose a localized threat to West Indian manatees. Federal and
State agencies are working with the power industry and others to ensure
a future warm-water network to sustain manatees into the future. While
many strides have been made in this area, work continues to be done to
fully address and reduce this threat, as described above in our review
of the Florida manatee recovery plans. In addition, we must continue to
address pending changes in the manatees' warm-water network (develop
and implement strategies) and support the adoption of minimum flow
regulations for remaining important springs used by manatees. If warm
water refuges are lost, this threat could cause the loss or
debilitation of manatees due to cold stress that will make the West
Indian manatee likely to become endangered in the foreseeable future.
Available population estimates suggest that there may be as many as
13,142 manatees throughout the species' range (UNEP 2010, p. 11 and
Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al., 2012, p. 132, Martin et al., 2015,
p. 44). Estimates from countries outside the United States (6,250) are
largely conjectural and are based on the opinions of local experts.
Within the United States, Martin et al., (2015, p. 44) and Pollock et
al., (2013, p. 8) describe population estimates of 6,350 manatees and
532 manatees in the southeastern United States and Puerto Rico,
respectively.
Recent demographic analyses (through 2009) suggest a stable or
increasing population of Florida manatees (Runge et al., 2015, entire)
and demonstrate that Florida manatees are not endangered at the present
time. Castelblanco-Mart[iacute]nez et al.'s (2012, pp. 129-143) PVA
baseline model for the Antillean manatee describes a metapopulation
with positive growth. Runge et al., (2015, p. 13) predict that it is
unlikely (< 2.5 percent chance) that the Florida population of manatees
will fall below 4,000 total individuals over the next 100 years,
assuming current threats remain at their current levels indefinitely.
The ability of the West Indian manatee to survive long-term across its
range is related to its ability to withstand human-caused and natural
threats of varying magnitude and duration and the efforts of
stakeholders
[[Page 16702]]
to adequately address manatees' conservation needs.
There are numerous ongoing efforts to protect, conserve, and better
understand West Indian manatees and their habitat throughout their
range, as described in this rule. The contribution of these recovery
efforts to the current status of the species is important. Given our
review of the best scientific and commercial information available and
analyses of threats and demographics, we conclude that the West Indian
manatee no longer meets the Act's definition of endangered. However,
there are many important actions that must be taken to address the
remaining threats to manatees before the manatee can be delisted. Some
imminent threats remain and will likely continue into the foreseeable
future and possibly escalate and need to be addressed as appropriate.
Escalating threats may be concomitant with increasing human
populations, and commensurate efforts will be needed to keep pace with
these and any new threats that may evolve. These remaining or new
potential threats, especially those acting upon declining and smaller
populations make the species likely to become endangered in the
foreseeable future (50 years).
We did not find significant information that would lead us to
believe that the cumulative effect of factors acting on the species
warrants maintaining the West Indian manatee as endangered. Rather, we
find that the potential cumulative effect of factors acting on the West
Indian manatee, in part, contributes to the species' threatened status.
Overall, regulatory mechanisms adopted since the manatee's listing have
ameliorated some factors affecting manatees. However, in some
instances, regulatory mechanisms are still inadequate such that the
manatee continues to require the protections of the Act. We find that
the West Indian manatee is no longer in danger of extinction throughout
all of its range due to (1) significant recovery efforts made
throughout parts of its range to address threats and (2) a better
understanding of manatee population demographics. Examples of remaining
threats that make this species likely to become endangered in the
foreseeable future include habitat loss, degradation, and fragmentation
and the loss of winter warm-water habitat (factor A); poaching (factor
B); watercraft collisions and others (factor E). Accordingly, we are
reclassifying the species as threatened under the Act.
Significant Portion of the Range
Because we have concluded that the West Indian manatee is a
threatened species throughout all of its range, no portion of its range
can be ``significant for purposes of the definitions of ``endangered
species'' and ``threatened species.'' See the Service's Significant
Portion of its Range (SPR) Policy (79 FR 37578, July 1, 2014).
Available Conservation Measures
Conservation measures provided to species listed as endangered or
threatened under the Act include recognition, recovery actions,
requirements for Federal protection, and prohibitions against certain
practices. Recognition through listing increases public awareness of
threats to the West Indian manatee, and promotes conservation actions
by Federal, State, and local governments in the United States, foreign
governments, private organizations and groups, and individuals. The Act
provides for possible land acquisition and cooperation with the State,
and for recovery planning and implementation. The protection required
of Federal agencies and the prohibitions against taking and harm are
discussed, in part, below.
A number of manatees occur in near-shore waters off Federal
conservation lands and are consequently afforded some protection from
development and large-scale habitat disturbance. West Indian manatees
also occur in or offshore of a variety of State-owned properties, and
existing State and Federal regulations provide protection on these
sites. There are also a significant number of manatees that occur along
shores or rivers of private lands, and through conservation
partnerships, many of these use areas are protected through the owners'
stewardship. In many cases, these partnerships have been developed
through conservation easements, wetland restoration projects, and other
conservation means.
Section 7(a) of the Act, as amended, and as implemented by
regulations at 50 CFR part 402, requires Federal agencies to evaluate
their actions with respect to the West Indian manatee within the United
States or under U.S. jurisdiction. If a Federal action may adversely
affect the manatee or its habitat, the responsible Federal agency must
consult with the Service to ensure that any action authorized, funded,
or carried out by such agency is not likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of the West Indian manatee. Federal action agencies that may
be required to consult with us include but are not limited to the U.S.
Army Corps of Engineers, the U.S. Coast Guard, the Environmental
Protection Agency, and others, due to involvement in actions or
projects such as permitting boat access facilities (marinas, boat
ramps, etc.), dredge and fill projects, high-speed marine events, warm-
water discharges, and many other activities.
Section 8(a) of the Act authorizes the provision of limited
financial assistance for the development and management of programs
that the Secretary of the Interior determines to be necessary or useful
for the conservation of endangered or threatened species in foreign
countries. Sections 8(b) and 8(c) of the Act authorize the Secretary to
encourage conservation programs for foreign listed species, and to
provide assistance for such programs, in the form of personnel and the
training of personnel.
The Secretary has the discretion to prohibit by regulation, with
respect to any threatened species, any act prohibited under section
9(a)(1) of the Act. Exercising this discretion, the Service developed
general prohibitions (50 CFR 17.31) and exceptions to those
prohibitions (50 CFR 17.32) under the Act that apply to most threatened
species. Our regulations at 50 CFR 17.31 provide that all the
prohibitions for endangered wildlife under 50 CFR 17.21, with the
exception of 50 CFR 17.21(c)(5), will generally also be applied to
threatened wildlife. These prohibitions make it illegal for any person
subject to the jurisdiction of the United States to ``take'' (including
to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture,
collect, or to attempt any of these) within the United States or upon
the high seas, import or export, deliver, receive, carry, transport, or
ship in interstate or foreign commerce in the course of a commercial
activity, or to sell or offer for sale in interstate or foreign
commerce, any endangered (and hence, threatened) wildlife species. It
also is illegal to possess, sell, deliver, carry, transport, or ship
any such wildlife that has been taken in violation of the Act. Certain
exceptions apply to agents of the Service and State conservation
agencies. These prohibitions will continue to be applicable to the West
Indian manatee. The general provisions for issuing a permit for any
activity otherwise prohibited with regard to threatened species are
found at 50 CFR 17.32.
The Service may develop regulations tailored to the particular
conservation needs of a threatened species under Section 4(d) of the
Act if there are specific prohibitions and exceptions that would be
necessary and advisable for the conservation of that particular
species. In such cases, some of the prohibitions and exceptions under
50
[[Page 16703]]
CFR 17.31 and 17.32 may be appropriate for the species and incorporated
into the regulations, but they may also be more or less restrictive
than those general provisions. The Service believes the prohibitions
and exceptions set out in 50 CFR 17.31 and 17.32 are most appropriate
to address the particular conservation needs of the West Indian manatee
at this time.
In Florida, questions regarding whether specific activities will
constitute a violation of section 9 of the Act should be directed to
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, North Florida Ecological Services
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section). In Puerto Rico,
questions regarding whether specific activities will constitute a
violation of section 9 of the Act should be directed to the Caribbean
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section). Requests for copies of the regulations regarding listed
species and inquiries about prohibitions and permits may be addressed
to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Ecological Services Division,
1875 Century Boulevard, Suite 200, Atlanta, GA 30345 (telephone 404-
679-7097, facsimile 404-679-7081).
Effects of This Rule
When it becomes effective, this final rule revises 50 CFR 17.11(h)
to reclassify the West Indian manatee from an endangered species to a
threatened species on the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. This rule formally recognizes that the West Indian manatee is
no longer in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant
portion of its range. However, this reclassification does not
significantly change the protections afforded to this species under the
Act. Anyone taking, attempting to take, or otherwise possessing this
species, or parts thereof, in violation of section 9 of the Act or its
implementing regulations, is subject to a penalty under section 11 of
the Act. Pursuant to section 7 of the Act, all Federal agencies must
ensure that any actions they authorize, fund, or carry out are not
likely to jeopardize the continued existence of the West Indian
manatee. In addition, although the West Indian manatee is reclassified
to threatened when this rule becomes effective, the West Indian manatee
is still considered depleted and strategic under the MMPA.
Recovery actions directed at the West Indian manatee will continue
to be implemented as outlined in the recovery plans (USFWS 1986 and
2001, entire). Highest priority recovery actions needed to address
remaining threats include: (1) Reducing watercraft collisions with
manatees; (2) protecting habitat, including foraging and drinking water
sites and for the Florida subspecies, warm-water sites; and (3)
reducing entanglements in fishing gear. Other recovery initiatives also
include addressing harassment and illegal hunting in sites where these
occur.
Finalization of this rule does not constitute an irreversible
commitment on our part. Reclassification of the West Indian manatee
from threatened status back to endangered status could occur if changes
occur in management, population status, or habitat, or if other factors
detrimentally affect or increase threats to the species. Such a
reclassification would require another rulemaking.
Under section 4(d) of the Act, the Service has discretion to issue
regulations that we find necessary and advisable to provide for the
conservation of threatened species. The Act and its implementing
regulations set forth a series of general prohibitions and exceptions
that apply to threatened wildlife. The prohibitions of section 9(a)(1)
of the Act, as applied to threatened wildlife and codified at 50 CFR
17.31 make it illegal for any person subject to the jurisdiction of the
United States to take (which includes harass, harm, pursue, hunt,
shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect; or to attempt any of
these) threatened wildlife within the United States or on the high
seas. In addition, it is unlawful to import; export; deliver, receive,
carry, transport, or ship in interstate or foreign commerce in the
course of commercial activity; or sell or offer for sale in interstate
or foreign commerce any listed species. It is also illegal to possess,
sell, deliver, carry, transport, or ship any such wildlife that has
been taken illegally. Certain exceptions apply to employees of the
Service, the National Marine Fisheries Service, other Federal land
management agencies, and State conservation agencies.
We may issue permits to carry out otherwise prohibited activities
involving threatened wildlife under certain circumstances. Regulations
governing permits are codified at 50 CFR 17.32. With regard to
threatened wildlife, a permit may be issued for the following purposes:
for scientific purposes, to enhance the propagation or survival of the
species, and for incidental take in connection with otherwise lawful
activities. There are also certain statutory exemptions from the
prohibitions, which are found in sections 9 and 10 of the Act. Whenever
a species is listed as threatened, the Act allows promulgation of
special rules under section 4(d) that modify the standard protections
for threatened species found under section 9 of the Act and Service
regulations at 50 CFR 17.31 (for wildlife) and 17.71 (for plants), when
it is deemed necessary and advisable to provide for the conservation of
the species. No additional regulations are being implemented, or
anticipated to be implemented, for the West Indian manatee because
there is currently no conservation need to do so for this species. If
there is a conservation need for a 4(d) rule at some point in the
future for the West Indian Manatee, such a rulemaking would require a
companion special rule under the MMPA.
Required Determinations
National Environmental Policy Act (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.)
We have determined that environmental assessments and environmental
impact statements, as defined under the authority of the National
Environmental Policy Act of 1969 need not be prepared in connection
with regulations pursuant to section 4(a) of the Endangered Species
Act. We published a notice outlining our reasons for this determination
in the Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244).
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994,
``Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
Governments'' (59 FR 22951), Executive Order 13175, Secretarial Order
3206, the Department of the Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, and the
Native American Policy of the Service, January 20, 2016, we readily
acknowledge our responsibility to communicate meaningfully with
recognized Federal Tribes on a government-to-government basis. We
contacted tribes in the southeastern United States within the range of
the West Indian manatee and requested their comments on our proposed
rule. The Seminole Tribe of Florida and Miccosukee Tribe of Indians of
Florida responded to our request (see Summary of Comments).
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited in this final rule is
available at https://www.regulations.gov at Docket No. FWS-R4-ES-2015-
0178 or upon request from the North Florida Ecological Services Field
Office or Caribbean Ecological Services Field
[[Page 16704]]
Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
Authors
The primary authors of this final rule are staff members of the
North Florida Ecological Services Field Office and the Caribbean
Ecological Services Field Office (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT).
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Transportation.
Regulation Promulgation
For the reasons stated in the preamble, we amend part 17,
subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations,
as set forth below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; and 4201-4245, unless
otherwise noted.
0
2. Amend Sec. 17.11(h) by revising the entry for ``Manatee, West
Indian'' under ``MAMMALS'' in the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife to read as follows:
Sec. 17.11 Endangered and threatened wildlife.
* * * * *
(h) * * *
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Listing citations
Common name Scientific name Where listed Status and applicable
rules
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Mammals
* * * * * * *
Manatee, West Indian............ Trichechus manatus. Wherever found..... T 32 FR 4001, 3/11/
1967;
35 FR 8491, 6/2/
1970;
82 FR [Insert
Federal Register
page where the
document begins],
4/5/2017;
50 CFR 17.108(a);
50 CFR
17.95(a).\CH\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
Dated: March 16, 2017.
James W. Kurth,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2017-06657 Filed 4-4-17; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P