Small Business Timber Set-Aside Program, 66199-66221 [2016-22861]
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66199
Proposed Rules
Federal Register
Vol. 81, No. 187
Tuesday, September 27, 2016
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER
contains notices to the public of the proposed
issuance of rules and regulations. The
purpose of these notices is to give interested
persons an opportunity to participate in the
rule making prior to the adoption of the final
rules.
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
10 CFR Part 951
[Docket Number DOE–HQ–2014–0021]
RIN 1990–AA39
Convention on Supplementary
Compensation for Nuclear Damage
Contingent Cost Allocation
Office of General Counsel, U.S.
Department of Energy.
ACTION: Extension of public comment
period.
AGENCY:
On August 3, 2016, the
Department of Energy (DOE) issued in
the Federal Register a notice and
request for comments on a proposed
information collection developed in
connection with its proposed
rulemaking under the Energy
Independence and Security Act of 2007
(EISA). The notice stated that comments
on the proposed information collection
were to be submitted by October 3,
2016. At a public workshop held on
September 16, 2016, to discuss the
information collection proposal, and in
written comments thereafter, members
of the public requested an extension of
time within which to submit comments.
This document announces that the
period for submitting comments on the
proposed information collection is
extended to November 7, 2016.
DATES: The comment period for the
document published in the proposed
rule section on August 3, 2016 (81 FR
51140) is extended. DOE will accept
comments on the proposed information
collection received no later than
November 7, 2016.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons may
submit comments on the proposed
information collection identified by
docket number DOE–HQ–2014–0021
and/or regulatory information number
(RIN) 1990–AA39. Comments may be
submitted using any of the following
methods:
1. Federal eRulemaking Portal:
www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
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SUMMARY:
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2. Email: Section934Rulemaking@
Hq.Doe.gov.
3. Mail: Ms. Sophia Angelini, U.S.
Department of Energy, Office of General
Counsel, Mailstop GC–72, Section 934
Rulemaking, 1000 Independence
Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585.
Please submit one signed original and
three copies of all comments submitted
by mail.
Docket: For access to the docket to
read background documents or
comments received, go to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal at https://
www.regulations.gov, or the DOE Web
site specifically established for this
proceeding: https://www.energy.gov/gc/
convention-supplementarycompensation-rulemaking. To obtain a
copy of the proposed information
collection instrument and instructions,
you may go to the same Web site.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Sophia Angelini, Attorney-Adviser,
Office of General Counsel for Civilian
Nuclear Programs, GC–72, U.S.
Department of Energy, 1000
Independence Avenue SW.,
Washington, DC 20585; Telephone (202)
586–0319.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
public workshop (81 FR 51140) to
discuss the proposed information
collection. At the workshop held on
September 16, 2016, several entities
commented requesting additional time
in which to submit further comments on
issues raised at the workshop and in
comments submitted in advance of the
workshop. After the workshop, one
commenter submitted a written request
for an extension of the public comment
period, until at least November 3, 2016.
In response to public comment, DOE
has determined that the request for an
extension of time should be granted,
and the public comment period will
close on November 7, 2016.
Background
On December 17, 2014, DOE
published a notice of proposed
rulemaking (NOPR) in the Federal
Register (79 FR 75076) in which it
proposed regulations under section 934
of EISA to establish a retrospective risk
pooling program whereby, in the event
of certain nuclear incidents, nuclear
suppliers would pay for any
contribution by the United States
government to the international
supplementary fund created by the
Convention on Supplementary
Compensation for Nuclear Damage
(CSC). On August 3, 2016, DOE
published in the Federal Register a
notice and request for comments (81 FR
51193) on a proposed collection of
information that it is developing in
connection with the NOPR for
submission to the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) pursuant to the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995. The
notice stated that comments regarding
the proposed information collection
were to be submitted by October 3,
2016. Also on August 3, 2016, DOE
published in the proposed rules section
of the Federal Register a notice of a
Small Business Timber Set-Aside
Program
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Issued in Washington, DC, on September
21, 2016.
Samuel T. Walsh,
Deputy General Counsel for Energy Policy,
Office of General Counsel.
[FR Doc. 2016–23271 Filed 9–26–16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6450–01–P
SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
13 CFR Part 121
RIN 3245–AG69
U.S. Small Business
Administration.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The U.S. Small Business
Administration (SBA or Agency) seeks
comments on a proposed amendment to
its regulations governing the small
business timber set-aside program
(hereafter referred to as the ‘‘timber
program’’) so that appraisals on small
business set-aside sales be made to the
nearest small business mill. Timber sale
appraisals are performed for small
business qualifying set-aside and nonset-aside sales. When the U.S.
Department of Agriculture’s (USDA)
Forest Service (FS) offers timber for sale,
it appraises its potential market value
and sets the minimum bid that it will
accept based on that appraisal.
Currently, appraisals in small business
set-aside timber sales take into account
the haul costs to the nearest mill
regardless of that mill’s size. Since setaside timber sales require the use of
small business mills, SBA proposes that
the appraisal on set-aside timber sales
SUMMARY:
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be made to the nearest small business
mill in order to accurately reflect the
estimated cost to an eligible bidder. SBA
is also requesting comment on a
possible policy alternative that would
use a weighted approach to appraising.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before November 28, 2016.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments,
identified by RIN: 3245–AG69, by any of
the following methods:
• Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
• For mail, paper, disk, or CD/ROM
submissions: Brenda J. Fernandez,
Procurement Analyst, U.S. Small
Business Administration, Office of
Policy, Planning and Liaison, 409 Third
Street SW., 8th Floor, Washington, DC
20416.
• Hand Delivery/Courier: Brenda J.
Fernandez, Procurement Analyst, U.S.
Small Business Administration, Office
of Policy, Planning and Liaison, 409
Third Street SW., 8th Floor,
Washington, DC 20416.
SBA will post all comments on
www.regulations.gov. If you wish to
submit confidential business
information (CBI) as defined in the User
Notice at www.regulations.gov, please
submit the information to: Brenda J.
Fernandez, Procurement Analyst, U.S.
Small Business Administration, Office
of Policy, Planning and Liaison, 409
Third Street SW., 8th Floor,
Washington, DC 20416, or send an email
to brenda.fernandez@sba.gov. Highlight
the information that you consider to be
CBI and explain why you believe SBA
should hold this information as
confidential. SBA will review the
information and make the final
determination on whether it will
publish the information.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Brenda J. Fernandez, Procurement
Analyst, U.S. Small Business
Administration, Office of Policy,
Planning and Liaison, 409 Third Street
SW., 8th Floor, Washington, DC 20416;
(202) 205–7337;
brenda.fernandez@sba.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background and Rationale for
Proposed Rule
In cooperation with SBA, the FS
manages the timber program. The timber
program was designed for small
businesses whose product needs are
timber. Throughout the country, the FS
offers timber sales that are composed of
multi-products for which the purchaser
pays different rates for each product.
Multi-product sales may be composed of
sawlogs, pulp logs, biomass, or other
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products not generally processed into
sawlogs. Timber sales that have
substantial sawlog volume are targeted
for the set-aside program. Small
independent loggers, often called gypos,
are identified as small nonmanufacturers, and are eligible to
purchase the set-aside timber sale and
have to adhere to the contract rules of
where the timber can be milled. The
volume purchased by these nonmanufacturers is credited, under the setaside program, to the small business
market share.
Section 15(a) of the Small Business
Act authorizes small businesses to
receive any contract which would
‘‘assur[e] that a fair proportion of the
total purchases and contracts for
property and services for the
Government in each industry category
are placed with small-business
concerns’’ and which would ‘‘assur[e]
that a fair proportion of the total sales
of Government property be made to
small-business concerns.’’ 15 U.S.C.
644(a). Contracts for the sale of
government owned timber are,
therefore, required to be set aside for
small businesses in order to assure that
small businesses receive a fair
proportion of such sales. While the
Small Business Act does not define ‘‘fair
proportion,’’ SBA interpreted ‘‘fair
proportion’’ in adopting the market
share system used today and detailed
below. The D.C. District Court upheld
this interpretation in 1974 in Duke City
Lumber Co. v. Butz, 382 F. Supp. 362
(D.D.C., 1974), aff’d, 539 F.2d 220 (D.C.
Cir., 1976).
Congress further decreed in section 2
of the Small Business Act that the
‘‘economic well-being [and] security of
this Nation . . . cannot be realized
unless the actual and potential capacity
of small business is encouraged and
developed.’’ 15 U.S.C. 631. To that end,
Congress directed all ends of the
Government to ‘‘maintain and
strengthen the overall economy of the
Nation’’ by assuring that small
businesses receive a fair proportion of
total government contracts and total
government sales. Through sections 2
and 15 of the Small Business Act, SBA
is entrusted with keeping Federal
government agencies accountable on
their collective obligation to deliver a
fair proportion of contracts and sales to
small businesses. SBA’s regulations,
however, currently do not address how
SBA calculates ‘‘fair proportion’’ in the
context of government-owned timber
sales. SBA’s regulations also do not
address how goods-for-services
stewardship timber sales should be
treated in the context of the small
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business fair proportion or market share
calculation.
Establishing Hauling Cost Appraisals
That Are Accurate
SBA proposes to amend its
regulations to include instructions on
how hauling costs are to be estimated in
developing the appraised price for small
business set-aside sales under the
timber program. SBA’s current
regulations provide that on a set-aside
sale the small business may not resell
more than 30% of the advertised
sawtimber volume to a large business
concern in all FS regions outside of
Alaska. As such, at least 70% of the
advertised sawtimber volume must be
processed at a small mill. This provision
is known as the ‘‘30/70 rule.’’ When the
FS offers a timber program sale as a setaside, it appraises its potential market
value and sets the minimum bid that it
will accept based on that appraisal. One
factor in the appraisal is the haul cost
that the purchaser (small or large) will
have to absorb to bring the timber to a
manufacturing facility. Currently,
appraisals are made to the nearest mill
regardless of that mill’s size. Because of
the locations and sparse number of
remaining small sawmills, the current
appraisal points used for calculating
hauling costs may have prevented small
mills from bidding on set-aside sales,
since fuel and non-fuel costs for
transporting the timber from the forest
to the processing location may negate
the bidder’s profit margin of the
purchase when the 30/70 rule is also
applied.
In order to provide small businesses
an ability to meet the requirements of
the law as required under set-aside
provisions, and to encourage small
business competition, SBA is proposing
that small business set-aside timber
sales be appraised to the nearest small
business mill to accurately reflect the
haul costs to eligible bidders. As an
alternative, SBA is also requesting
comments on whether the requirement
to appraise the set-aside timber sales to
the nearest small mill should have some
reasonable distance or haul cost
limitation, such as 60 miles (from the
sale area to the nearest mill), because it
may not be economically feasible to
haul timber over large distances. In
addition, SBA is also requesting
comments on whether all 100% of the
hauling costs should be appraised to the
nearest small business mill, or, when
the nearest mill is a large business,
whether 70% of the hauling costs
should be appraised to the nearest small
mill and remaining 30% appraised to
the nearest large mill in accordance
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with the 70/30 ratio under the set-aside
rule.
The proposed regulatory amendment
would affect the FS timber program
only. As noted below, FS and the
Department of Interior’s (DOI) Bureau of
Land Management (BLM) are the
primary timber ‘‘sales agencies.’’
However, BLM’s small business setaside sales, which are limited to eight
markets in Oregon (FS Region 6), are
made in accordance with the terms of a
separate Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) between SBA
and BLM. Rather than setting forth
considerations for small business
market share computation methods,
SBA’s MOU with BLM affords SBA the
opportunity to review BLM’s annual
timber sale plans prior to publication
and to request set-aside sales under the
authority of the Small Business Act.
When BLM agrees to set-aside certain
timber sales for small businesses, BLM
consults with SBA concerning financial
and other performance qualifications to
be included in the conditions of sale.
Accordingly, the proposed amendment
to the timber program would have no
impact on BLM’s timber sale program
since BLM’s current policy is to
appraise the hauling costs on its setaside sales to the closest mill that
qualifies as a small business under
SBA’s regulations. While SBA is also
considering an amendment stewardship
contracting to include the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the small business
market share calculation, this possible
policy change would not impact BLM’s
use of stewardship sales since BLM
already credits/counts the stewardship
sawtimber volume in administering its
set-aside program.
SBA invites comments on all aspects
of this proposed rule, the timber
program, and other policy changes
currently under consideration. In
particular, SBA requests comments on
the proposed change to appraising the
haul costs to the small business setaside sales and the alternative weighted
approach to appraising the haul costs
using the 30/70 rule. SBA is also
interested in comments on whether
there should be a reasonableness test for
distance from the sale area to the nearest
qualifying small business mill and how
this test should be applied. In addition,
SBA invites comments on impacts of the
potential inclusion of the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the small business
‘‘fair proportion’’ calculation that SBA
is currently considering but not
proposing in this rule.
The federal government regularly sells
timber and non-timber products from
the federal forests managed by the
USDA’s FS, the DOI’s BLM, the DOI’s
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Fish and Wildlife Service, the U.S.
Department of Defense, the U.S.
Department of Energy, and the
Tennessee Valley Authority.
Collectively, these agencies are referred
to as the ‘‘sales agencies’’ with FS and
BLM being the primary sales agencies.
This proposed rule intends to amend
SBA’s regulations governing the timber
program. As mandated by the Small
Business Act, SBA and the sales
agencies jointly set-aside timber
program sales for exclusive bidding by
small business concerns when market
conditions demonstrate that small
businesses are not receiving their fair
share of timber volume under full-andopen competition or unrestricted sales.
When the small business share of the
timber market falls below a certain
level, a small business set-aside sale is
triggered.
In order to determine the small
business market share that triggers a setaside sale, FS calculates the current
small business market share based on
small business purchases of sawtimber
volume sold under the timber program
over a five-year period. This percentage,
based upon historical purchases of
sawtimber in the market area, sets the
framework for what constitutes small
businesses’ fair proportion of the total
sales volume. If at any time, the small
business market share falls below this
percentage, subsequent timber program
sales would be set-aside for preferential
bidding by small businesses. Set-aside
sales in the timber program will
continue until such time that the small
business market share rises above the
triggering percentage.
Currently, only the advertised
sawtimber volume sold under the
timber program is used to calculate the
small business market share, which
establishes whether or not a timber sale
should be set-aside for preferential
bidding by small business. Sawtimber
volume sold under stewardship
contracting is not presently considered
in this calculation. SBA is considering
a change to the calculation of the small
business market share using the volume
of sawtimber sold under both the timber
program and stewardship contracting.
By counting all sawtimber volume,
regardless of which way it’s sold, the
triggers for set-aside procedures under
the timber program could more
accurately reflect the small business
market for FS timber. However, SBA
recognizes that including sawtimber
volume sold through stewardship
contracting in the small business market
share calculation could, under some
circumstances, result in there not being
a set-aside sale where there otherwise
would have been a set-aside had
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stewardship sawtimber not been
included in the calculation and vice
versa. SBA requests comment on the
possible impacts to small businesses
should SBA propose to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
calculation of small business fair
proportion. The Agency further requests
comment on the need for transparency
in the timber market as well as
additional data in order to help SBA
further analyze the impacts of including
stewardship sawtimber volume in
determining the small business fair
proportion of the market used in
triggering set-aside sales under the
timber program.
It is also important to note that under
this potential policy change, although
the volume of sawtimber sold through
the timber program and stewardship
contracting would be used in the
calculation of the size of the small
business market share that triggers a setaside sale, set-aside sales would only
continue to occur under the timber
program. Since set-aside sales are not
provided for under stewardship
contracting, such a policy change would
not affect the FS’s implementation of
the stewardship process.
The following is an illustration of
how including stewardship sawtimber
may result in a more accurate depiction
of the market that small businesses are
operating in:
Example A. The target market share
for small business is 47%. A timber
program sale is conducted through fulland-open procedures. A small business
wins the award which contains 1,000
CCF (one hundred cubic feet) of
sawtimber. Since small business has
attained 80% of the sawtimber market
share (large business is allotted 20% of
the offered timber program sale volume
per FS regulations), unless that share
drops below 37% (trigger occurs when
small business market share is 10
percentage points or more below the
established baseline market share)
through subsequent timber sales, there
will be no trigger for set-aside sales and
future timber program sales will
continue under full-and-open
competition.
Example B. In the same market area,
there have also been four (4)
stewardship sawtimber sales. These are
always conducted as full-and-open
competition sales, because set-asides for
small business are not provided for in
implementing stewardship contracting
projects. These four (4) awards have all
gone to large businesses, each for 1,000
CCF. The next timber program
sawtimber sale is for another 1,000 CCF,
but because stewardship sawtimber
volume is not counted, the attained
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small business market share, from
example A, is still reflected as 80%. As
a result, the next timber program
sawtimber sale will be advertised as a
full-and-open sale. Had the previous
stewardship sawtimber volume been
counted, the attained small business
market share would have been reflected
as only 20% (1,000 out of 5,000 CCF
sold) and this next timber program
sawtimber sale would have triggered a
small business set-aside since the 20%
small business attainment is more than
10 percentage points below the
minimum established for the market
share of 47% in that market area.
Example C. Even if two (2) of the
stewardship sawtimber sales in example
B had been previously won by small
businesses the trigger for a set-aside of
the next timber program sawtimber sale
would not have occurred as small
business would have been shown to
have purchased a total market share of
60% (3,000 out of 5,000 CCF) which is
better than the minimum established
47% share for that market area.
The FS received authority to
implement pilot stewardship
contracting projects in section 347 of the
FY1999 Omnibus Appropriations Act
(Pub. L. 105–277, sec. 347). Similarly,
BLM was authorized to use stewardship
contracting in 2003 (Pub. L. 108–7, 16
U.S.C. 2104). The purpose of
stewardship contracting was to help
achieve land management goals in
National Forests and in the public lands
managed by BLM, in addition to helping
meet the needs of local and rural
communities. Initially, stewardship
contracting was scheduled to expire in
2003 and then again in 2013. The
Agricultural Act of 2014 established
stewardship contracting as a permanent
authority (Pub. L. 113–79, sec. 8205).
Stewardship contracting is a goodsfor-services arrangement that requires
timber companies who cut trees on
federal (FS and BLM) lands to perform
other service work in exchange for the
timber volume. Stewardship contracts
fall into two general categories,
Integrated Resource Timber Contract
(IRTC) formats, which were developed
for exclusive use in implementing
stewardship contracting projects when
the value of goods exceeds the value of
services and Integrated Resource Service
Contract (IRSC) formats, which were
developed for exclusive use in
implementing stewardship contracting
projects when the value of services
exceeds the value of the goods.
Developments in the Timber Industry
The entire wood products industry in
the U.S. has undergone dramatic
changes in the past three decades. The
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sale of timber from the National Forest
System (NFS) has decreased from an
annual timber volume of approximately
10 billion board feet in 1990 to
approximately 2.9 billion board feet in
2015. While the reasons for this decline
are not relevant to this proposed rule,
the significance of this decline shows
that all mills, both small and large, and
the communities that they support have
struggled to cope with the diminished
supply of timber to sustain their
operations. Coupled with other
economic factors, such as the recession
of 2008–2009 which saw a reduction in
finished product markets, particularly
the new single family home
construction market, the decline in the
timber industry has resulted in the
closure of a significant number of small
and large mills. The segment of the U.S.
timber industry that derives its timber
from the NFS does not operate in a
vacuum but in the overall market for
timber. In the United States, in the late
1990s, over 90% of the timber harvest
volume came from private lands and
only about 5% came from USFS sales.
During the recession, the drop in new
residential construction from 1.7
million units annually to 450,000 and a
decline in home remodeling as
residential mortgages tightened and
home sales dropped combined to impact
wood manufacturing. From 2005 to
2009, over 1,000 sawmills closed,
comprising nearly 19% of all domestic
mills in the forest sector. Many other
mills operated at limited capacity. All
mills, both large and small, have been
forced to adapt and retool in response
to these changes, including mills of all
sizes that do not rely on timber supplied
from NFS lands. Competition from
overseas markets for private timber also
complicates the ability for U.S. markets
to compete. Thus, the importance of
timber supply from FS lands may have
increased, however the impacts to
businesses may be attributed to a
combination of supply, demand and
global market changes. The closure of
small mills of all sizes has had and
continues to have an adverse effect on
employment and the overall economy in
rural timber communities where the
timber industry is the leading provider
of employment and income. Small mills
depend on the SBA Timber Set-Aside
Program to purchase their fair share of
timber offered for sale by the FS.
SBA conducted annual field visits in
different regions of the country and
from interviews with small businesses
in the logging, sawmill and other wood
manufacturing industries has learned
they have suffered immensely due to a
diminished supply of timber. Based on
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the data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s
County (CBP) Business Patterns Reports
available at www.census.gov/econ/cbp/,
from 1997 to 2012, the number of small
businesses (i.e., fewer than 500
employees) in the logging industry,
classified under North American
Industry Classification System (NAICS)
code 113310 (Logging), decreased 40%.
Similarly, based on the data from U.S.
Bureau’s Economic Censuses available
at www.census.gov/econ/census/, the
number of small businesses (i.e., fewer
than 500 employees) in the sawmills
industry, NAICS 321113, decreased
34% in the same period. The number of
employees of small businesses fell by
40% for the logging industry and by
39% for the sawmills industry. The
majority of remaining industries in
NAICS Subsector 321 (Wood Product
Manufacturing) also saw significant
reductions in numbers of small
businesses and workers employed by
them.
The data also confirms that the
number of large business firms (i.e.,
with more than 500 employees) and
number of people employed by them in
those industries also decreased. For
example, from 1997 to 2012, the number
of larger firms decreased 44% in the
logging industry and 42% in the
sawmills industry. The number of
employees hired by large businesses
decreased 48% and 52%, respectively.
Many other wood product
manufacturing industries also saw
similar decreases in number of firms
and employment.
While total employment fell across
both small and large firms in those
industries, the proportion of employees
that is employed by small businesses
increased from 1997 to 2012. For
example, as a percentage of total
industry’s employment, employment by
small logging firms increased from 94%
to 95%. Likewise, employment by small
sawmills increased from 67% of total
industry’s employment in 1997 to 72%
of total industry employment in 2012.
This increase in the proportion of
workers employed by small businesses
has coincided with the significant
decrease in the number of small
businesses. This indicates that, even if
they have decreased in number, small
businesses are increasingly responsible
for supporting employment in those
industries.
As demonstrated in Tables 1, 2, and
3 below, stewardship timber volume
(i.e., sawtimber plus non-saw timber)
accounted for a steadily increasing
percentage of FS’s total timber sales
from 2004 to 2013. These tables provide
data on total and stewardship timber
sales for each of the nine FS regions,
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numbered Region 1 (R–1) through
Region 10 (R–10). Region 7 was
eliminated in 1965 when the current
Region
Region
Region
Region
Region
Region
Region
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
(Northern) .................................
(Rocky Mountain) .....................
(Southwestern) .........................
(Intermountain) .........................
(Pacific Southwest) ..................
(Pacific Northwest) ...................
(Southern) ................................
Region 9 (Eastern) ..................................
Region 10 ................................................
Eastern Region was created from the
former Eastern and North Central
Regions. The nine FS regions that exist
today are as follows:
Montana, North Dakota, NW corner South Dakota, and Idaho Panhandle.
Colorado, Wyoming, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas.
Arizona and New Mexico.
Utah, Nevada, Western Wyoming, Southern Idaho, and a small portion of California.
California.
Oregon and Washington.
Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama, Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas,
Oklahoma, and Arkansas.
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, West Virginia, Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania,
New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts, Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine.
Alaska.
In Fiscal Year 2013, stewardship
timber sales accounted for 31% of all
timber volume (timber plus non-timber)
sold by the FS, up from only 5% a
decade earlier. It should be noted that
stewardship sawtimber volume is
different from the total stewardship
timber volume, and that all tables/
references are based using the timber
volume data only.
TABLE 1—TOTAL TIMBER VOLUMES SOLD BY EACH OF THE 9 FS REGIONS * (R–1 TO R–10) FY 2004–FY 2013
Year (FY)
R–1
R–2
R–3
R–4
R–5
R–6
R–8
R–9
R–10
All FS
All Sales, Sawtimber + Non-sawtimber (Volumes in Millions of Board Feet (MMbf))
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
159
243
189
135
186
216
180
149
144
115
163
132
165
198
201
199
196
159
196
210
49
72
69
57
43
21
46
54
32
129
107
49
68
69
70
41
60
46
53
71
208
386
228
272
109
236
252
212
219
229
434
392
470
489
525
498
424
464
512
527
359
414
858
501
539
476
540
556
521
475
319
364
381
352
349
319
358
379
419
393
85
54
83
29
4
6
45
37
41
13
1,883
2,105
2,511
2,101
2,026
2,011
2,100
2,056
2,137
2,162
* Region 7 (R–7) was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Data Company; November 19, 2013.
TABLE 2—STEWARDSHIP TIMBER VOLUME SOLD BY EACH OF THE 9 FS REGIONS * (R–1 TO R–10), FY 2004–FY 2013
Year (FY)
R–1
R–2
R–3
R–4
R–5
R–6
R–8
R–9
R–10
All FS
Stewardship Timber/Service Sales (Volumes in Millions of Board Feet (MMbf))
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
7
12
48
44
64
45
56
43
41
36
9
9
16
16
35
38
70
33
35
39
25
17
18
28
21
15
26
31
19
107
12
7
15
9
12
11
38
21
22
51
23
23
24
62
14
54
75
47
102
75
19
30
64
91
100
96
120
105
175
202
0
4
42
34
28
62
50
62
92
90
0
2
4
23
10
22
50
50
67
61
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
33
40
0
96
105
231
308
284
343
486
427
592
661
* Region 7 (R–7) was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Data Company; November 19, 2013.
TABLE 3—STEWARDSHIP TIMBER SALES AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL TIMBER SOLD BY REGION, FY 2004–FY 2013
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Year (FY)
R–1
R–2
R–3
R–4
R–5
R–6
R–8
R–9
R–10
All FS
% Stewardship
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
.........................
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 3—STEWARDSHIP TIMBER SALES AS A PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL TIMBER SOLD BY REGION, FY 2004–FY 2013—
Continued
Year (FY)
R–1
2012 .........................
2013 .........................
R–2
28
32
R–3
18
19
R–4
58
83
R–5
42
72
R–6
47
33
R–8
34
38
R–9
18
19
R–10
16
16
All FS
96
0
28
31
* Region 7 (R–7) was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Data Company; November 19, 2013.
According to historical sales data, the
average number of bidders is 1.02 for
stewardship timber sales and 1.97 for
timber program sales; a statistically
significant difference. This suggests that
stewardship timber contracting may
have fewer competitors. On average,
stewardship timber sales are
substantially larger than timber program
sales, especially those awarded to small
businesses. According to the analyses of
both timber program and stewardship
sales data provided by FS, as shown
below in Table 4, compared to timber
program volume, small businesses
acquired a larger percentage of
stewardship timber volume in Region 2
(100%), Region 4 (100%), Region 8
(94%), and Region 9 (87%) where
stewardship timber volumes are quite
minimal relative to total volumes sold.
However, small businesses received a
lower percentage of stewardship timber
sales in Region 1 (70%), Region 5 (49%),
and Region 6 (56%) where stewardship
timber sales are generally fairly large
relative to total sales. While small
businesses received a larger percentage
of stewardship timber volume in five
regions individually, in aggregate (i.e.
when all regions combined) the small
business share was substantially lower
at about 62% under stewardship
contracting, as compared to nearly 71%
under the timber sales program. Thus,
based on these data, SBA is concerned
that small businesses may be less
successful in getting their fair share of
government timber sales under
stewardship contracting projects than
under the timber program in certain FS
regions and markets and that this
situation may get worse over time as
more and more FS timber is sold
through stewardship contracting, as
indicated by recent trends shown above
in Table 2. Accordingly, to address this
issue, SBA is considering a policy
change to include the stewardship
timber volume in the calculation of
small business market shares. SBA seeks
comments on the potential impacts of
this change in the methodology, and
how any impacts to small businesses
may vary across regions or across
market areas within the region.
TABLE 4—TOTAL TIMBER VOLUMES SOLD UNDER TIMBER PROGRAM AND STEWARDSHIP SALES AND SHARES OF TIMBER
SOLD TO SMALL BUSINESSES BY REGION *
Total timber volume sold (1,000 CCF)
Region
Timber
Stewardship
Share of timber sold to small businesses (%)
Total timber sales
Timber
Total
Region 1 .................
Region 2 .................
Region 3 .................
Region 4 .................
Region 5 .................
Region 6 .................
Region 8 .................
Region 9 .................
All Regions .............
1,949
2,471
615
859
2,484
8,206
4,434
1,614
22,632
Small
Total
1,454
1,910
615
588
1,261
5,369
3,546
1,533
16,275
Small
304
121
62
29
230
2,067
139
59
3,011
213
120
62
29
113
1,152
131
51
1,871
Total
2,253
2,591
677
888
2,715
10,273
4,572
1,673
25,643
Stewardship
Total
Small
1,667
2,031
677
618
1,373
6,520
3,677
1,584
18,146
74.6
77.3
100.0
68.5
50.7
65.4
80.0
94.9
71.9
70.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
48.9
55.7
94.4
86.6
62.2
74.0
78.4
100.0
69.6
50.6
63.5
80.4
94.7
70.8
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of redesignation of FS regions. Region 10 was not included in FS calculations.
Source: FS calculations based on the Timber Data Company data for FY 2002–2010 for Regions 2 through 5, 8 and 9, and FY 2002–2015 for
Regions 1 and 6.
Still, SBA faces data challenges in
analyzing the impact on small
businesses from a potential policy
change to include the stewardship
sawtimber in the calculation of small
business fair proportion or market share
used to establish a set-aside sale within
the timber program. The FS conducted
an analysis with FY 2002–2010 data for
Regions 2 through 5, 8 and 9 and with
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FY 2002–2015 data for Regions 1 and 6.
To bridge these gaps in the data, SBA
evaluated the percentages of timber
program and stewardship sales awarded
to small businesses using the data from
the SBA’s Timber Sales System (TSS)
for FY 2004–2014. These results, as
shown below in Table 5, also showed
fairly similar patterns as in the FS
analysis in Table 4, with small
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businesses generally acquiring a
relatively larger percentage of
stewardship timber in most regions
where stewardship contracting is
limited and a smaller percentage in
regions where stewardship timber sales
are substantial relative to total sales,
such as Regions 1, 5 and 6.
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 5—SHARE (%) OF TOTAL TIMBER VOLUME SOLD TO SMALL BUSINESSES BY TYPE OF SALE—TIMBER PROGRAM (T)
AND STEWARDSHIP (S)—BY FS REGION, FY 2004–2014 *
Region
Year
Region 1
T
2004 .............................................
2005 .............................................
2006 .............................................
2007 .............................................
2008 .............................................
2009 .............................................
2010 .............................................
2011 .............................................
2012 .............................................
2013 .............................................
2014 .............................................
All years .......................................
S
70.2
81.9
81.3
84.9
89.3
60.4
86.6
68.8
90.8
41.2
48.5
74.9
................
100.0
89.4
94.0
85.5
64.3
38.5
50.6
15.2
34.8
100.0
55.4
Region 2
Total
T
70.2
82.2
83.5
87.8
88.0
61.0
66.9
63.7
69.8
39.4
54.1
69.9
S
57.3
73.5
82.1
75.6
100.0
100.0
100.0
96.1
93.6
88.2
44.4
83.0
................
100.0
54.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
97.7
Region 3
Total
T
57.3
75.2
79.6
77.8
100.0
100.0
100.0
97.0
94.8
89.6
53.4
85.4
S
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
90.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
99.8
................
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
96.4
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
99.9
Region
Year
Region 4
T
2004 .............................................
2005 .............................................
2006 .............................................
2007 .............................................
2008 .............................................
2009 .............................................
2010 .............................................
2011 .............................................
2012 .............................................
2013 .............................................
2014 .............................................
All years .......................................
S
66.5
94.2
77.1
74.6
76.9
79.7
100.0
100.0
96.8
95.0
100.0
82.0
................
100.0
81.5
88.9
91.3
100.0
66.7
44.3
100.0
100.0
42.4
75.5
Region 5
Total
T
66.5
94.6
78.0
76.5
79.3
85.2
79.8
68.5
98.1
98.4
65.1
79.9
S
78.3
28.6
28.1
58.8
86.6
71.4
62.8
54.4
79.2
68.5
37.6
56.3
................
17.6
57.4
45.6
95.7
74.7
56.4
87.9
40.6
55.6
86.0
57.8
Region 6
Total
T
77.7
28.0
30.8
55.8
87.4
72.1
60.5
62.6
62.7
64.1
44.6
56.6
S
71.2
54.3
57.8
62.4
63.7
75.4
64.7
66.4
64.6
65.8
70.5
65.1
................
15.2
67.7
41.3
59.5
59.5
61.2
60.3
57.6
72.8
70.1
61.6
Total
71.2
50.8
59.3
58.7
62.9
72.0
63.7
65.0
62.1
68.6
70.3
64.3
Region
Year
Region 8
T
2004 .............................................
2005 .............................................
2006 .............................................
2007 .............................................
2008 .............................................
2009 .............................................
2010 .............................................
2011 .............................................
2012 .............................................
2013 .............................................
2014 .............................................
All years .......................................
S
89.3
86.9
74.1
80.1
85.3
93.2
85.4
86.8
91.3
91.6
77.2
84.7
................
100.0
100.0
100.0
97.9
94.6
95.7
96.7
78.8
100.0
89.9
92.9
Region 9
Total
T
89.3
87.0
75.3
81.3
86.0
93.3
86.4
88.1
89.1
93.1
80.4
85.5
S
78.8
79.3
92.7
85.3
89.4
92.2
87.8
85.7
88.4
90.4
84.3
86.8
................
100.0
100.0
74.3
100.0
100.0
95.7
89.9
98.2
90.9
80.2
90.6
Region 10
Total
T
78.8
79.4
92.7
84.6
89.6
92.8
88.8
86.3
90.0
90.5
83.6
87.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
S
................
100.0
................
................
100.0
................
................
100.0
100.0
................
100.0
100.0
Total
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Sales System.
As shown below in Table 6, the data
further indicates that, during FY 2004—
2014, more than two-thirds of
businesses (68% of all businesses and
67% of small businesses) that receive
stewardship timber contracts also
acquired timber through the timber
program. Likewise, 87% of stewardship
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timber volumes sold to all firms and
83% of stewardship timber volumes
sold to small firms was acquired by
businesses that purchase timber through
both stewardship and timber program
sales (see Table 7 below). Except for
Region 4 with respect to the number of
firms and Region 3 with respect to
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timber volume (in both cases the
percentages are less than 50%), the
results are more or less similar across
regions. The majority of stewardship
timber purchasers successfully compete
in both markets.
E:\FR\FM\27SEP1.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 6—NUMBER OF FIRMS GETTING TIMBER PROGRAM (T), STEWARDSHIP (S), AND BOTH (T & S) TYPES OF TIMBER
SALES BY REGION, FY 2004–2014
Region *
T only
S only
Both (T & S)
(T&S)/total S
(%)
Total S
Number of All Firms
1 ...........................................................................................
2 ...........................................................................................
3 ...........................................................................................
4 ...........................................................................................
5 ...........................................................................................
6 ...........................................................................................
8 ...........................................................................................
9 ...........................................................................................
10 .........................................................................................
558
432
272
313
540
464
918
692
99
10
14
17
24
11
28
18
37
1
34
30
17
20
44
54
56
85
6
44
44
34
44
55
82
74
122
7
77.3
68.2
50.0
45.5
80.0
65.9
75.7
69.7
85.7
Total ..............................................................................
4,288
160
346
506
68.4
Number of Small Firms
1 ...........................................................................................
2 ...........................................................................................
3 ...........................................................................................
4 ...........................................................................................
5 ...........................................................................................
6 ...........................................................................................
8 ...........................................................................................
9 ...........................................................................................
10 .........................................................................................
546
407
268
300
516
447
861
645
97
9
14
17
21
9
26
17
34
1
28
28
16
17
38
40
49
78
6
37
42
33
38
47
66
66
112
7
75.7
66.7
48.5
44.7
80.9
60.6
74.2
69.6
85.7
Total ..............................................................................
4,087
148
300
448
67.0
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Sales System.
TABLE 7—VOLUME OF TIMBER SOLD TO FIRMS GETTING TIMBER PROGRAM (T), STEWARDSHIP (S), AND BOTH (C & S)
TYPES OF SALES BY REGION, FY 2004–2014
Both (T & S)
Region *
(1)
T only
(2)
S only
(3)
T
(4)
Total S
(6 = (3 + 5))
S
(5)
S Under both/
total S (5⁄6)
(%)
Timber Acquired by All Firms (in 1,000 CCF)
1 ...............................................................
2 ...............................................................
3 ...............................................................
4 ...............................................................
5 ...............................................................
6 ...............................................................
8 ...............................................................
9 ...............................................................
10 .............................................................
1,193
2,675
297
605
1,241
2,610
6,069
3,400
491
156
56
212
179
40
188
257
107
6
2,370
1,642
499
604
4,843
6,247
4,434
3,415
456
1,045
769
186
310
1,235
2,489
967
583
375
1,201
825
397
489
1,276
2,677
1,224
690
381
87.0
93.2
46.7
63.4
96.8
93.0
79.0
84.5
98.5
Total ..................................................
18,580
1,201
24,510
7,959
9,160
86.9
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Timber Acquired by Small Firms (in 1,000 CCF)
1 ...............................................................
2 ...............................................................
3 ...............................................................
4 ...............................................................
5 ...............................................................
6 ...............................................................
8 ...............................................................
9 ...............................................................
10 .............................................................
1,114
2,177
289
497
1,045
2,179
4,927
2,727
251
152
56
212
115
26
139
253
97
6
1,311
1,337
417
476
2,097
4,148
4,004
2,957
832
531
649
127
206
592
1,345
800
419
375
683
704
338
321
618
1,483
1,053
516
381
77.8
92.1
37.4
64.2
95.7
90.7
76.0
81.2
98.5
Total ..................................................
15,207
1,055
17,580
5,043
6,097
82.7
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Sales System.
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asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
The Timber Program
The FS sells logs in accordance with
the National Forest Management Act,
which describes the process for buying,
paying for, harvesting, and removing
wood from NFS lands. Pursuant to the
Small Business Act (15 U.S.C. 644(a)),
SBA established the timber program in
1958. At that time, the timber program
was a mechanism for the USDA to set
aside timber sales. In 1971, SBA and
USDA signed a Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) which
established the guidelines for
determining ‘‘fair proportion,’’ created a
five-year re-computation period for
determining the base average shares of
timber purchases, and established a
‘‘trigger’’ mechanism for initiating setaside timber sales. Currently, FS has 9
Regions comprised of 140 market areas,
of which 139 are active as shown in
Table 11. See https://www.fs.fed.us/. The
FS sells timber through both the timber
program and stewardship contracting.
With respect to timber program sales,
each FS market area has a distinct small
business market share. This percentage,
based upon historical sawtimber volume
acquired by small businesses, sets the
framework for what constitutes small
businesses’ fair proportion of the total
timber program sawtimber sales volume.
Whenever the small businesses market
share drops 10 percentage points or
more below the established small
business market share for a market area,
a set-aside sale is ‘‘triggered’’ and FS is
required to offer set-aside sales to
increase the small business market
share. If small businesses do not submit
bids, the set-aside sale is converted to a
full-and-open sale in which other-thansmall businesses can also compete.
Currently, FS does not consider the
sawtimber volume from IRTC and IRSC
stewardship contracting in calculating
the small business market share. The
omission of the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the calculation may affect
small business market shares in either
direction relative to the current policy.
For example, FS’ Mt. Hood market area
(located in Region 6) has an established
small business market share of 80% (as
calculated during the 2010 recomputation of small business market
shares). Because 20% of FS’ timber
program sales must be competed as full
and open in order to ensure that large
businesses also have the opportunity to
compete, 80% is the maximum
allowable small business share and
indicates a robust small business timber
purchase market. Over the period from
November 2010 through March 2015,
twenty-six (26) timber sales were offered
in the Mt. Hood market area. Of those
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26 sales, sixteen (16) were stewardship
timber contracts which included timber
volume. Twelve (12) of these were
awarded to small businesses under full
and open conditions. Ten (10) of the 26
sales were timber program sales. Eight
(8) were awarded as full-and-open sales,
and two (2) were small business setaside sales.
This data suggests that small
businesses have been successfully
obtaining timber volume in this market
area, but because stewardship
sawtimber volume is not included in
determining what the correct small
business market share calculation
should be, the small business fair
market share has dropped from 80% to
72%. This is one example of how not
counting stewardship sawtimber
volume in the calculation can influence
what the small business established fair
share should be. Based on the limited
data available, as it appears, it is also
possible that including the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the calculation of
fair proportion could have the reverse
effect in some regions, increasing the
five-year fair market share relevant to
the current policy.
Public Comments in Response to SBA’s
Advance Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking
In response to requests from timber
industry stakeholders, SBA published
an Advance Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking (ANPRM) in the Federal
Register on March 25, 2015 (80 FR
15697) inviting the public to submit
comments on or before May 26, 2015.
Specifically, the ANPRM requested
detailed comments addressing the
possible inclusion of the stewardship
contracting sawtimber volume in the
small business market share
calculations and the possible appraisal
of small business set-aside sales to the
nearest qualifying small business mill.
SBA received responses from 842
commenters. The summary of comments
is provided in the following sections.
Comments on the State of the Timber
Industry
The ANPRM presumed that the U.S.
timber industry has undergone dramatic
changes in the past decades. As stated
in the ANPRM, the supply of timber
from the FS timber program decreased
significantly over the past three decades
impacting both large and small
businesses.
Comments to the ANPRM provided
more insights into the state of the timber
industry. For example, according to
comments from a trade group
representing small timber products
companies, Timber Products
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Manufacturers Association (TPMA),
since stewardship contracting was first
piloted, small sawmills’ share of Federal
timber has declined by 71%. For
example, in 1993, 146 small sawmills
shared access to the FS timber in the
Western regions; in 2014, that number
had decreased to 43 firms. According to
comments, remaining small business
sawmills have made changes in their
processes and the way they do business
to remain competitive and stay in
business.
TPMA also commented that, as the
number of small businesses declines,
large firms are increasingly able to raise
costs through anti-competitive means.
That is, as the number of potential
buyers for timber gets smaller, dominant
firms are enabled to set the price. TPMA
pointed to a study published by the
SBA’s Office of Advocacy. Innovation &
Information Consultants, Inc., 2008,
Analyzing the Impacts of Antitrust Laws
and Enforcement on Small Business,
prepared for the U.S. Small Business
Administration, Office of Advocacy
under contract no. SBAHQ–06–M–0476,
available at www.sba.gov. The study
found evidence of harmful anticompetitive behavior in the timber
industry; however industry-wide trends
indicated macroeconomic factors were
equally important in the decline of
small businesses. Specifically, the study
indicated that a particular global forest
products company made efforts to
monopolize the red alder timber market
in the Pacific Northwest by employing
anti-competitive strategies. Still,
antitrust litigation in the Northwest did
not deter new entry into the market
during this time. Thirty-one Washington
and Oregon hardwood mills closed
between 1980 and 2001, when the large
company was suspected of anticompetitive behavior in those states.
In response to the ANPRM, otherthan-small industry participants
submitted data showing that, as the FS
reduced its timber harvest by over 90%,
the majority of sawmills in the western
United States that existed in 1971 have
now closed. According to a regional
trade association representing large
business operations, the Public Timber
Purchasers Group (PTPG), between 1990
and 2010, 207 mills closed in Oregon (a
decrease of 66%) causing a loss of
21,000 jobs. PTPG asserted that these
economic forces have caused small
sawmills to merge or be purchased. As
a result, according to PTPG, there is
only one operating small business
sawmill capable of purchasing federal
timber in some FS areas—and in some
other areas, there are no longer small
business purchasers at all. Additionally,
a union representing manufacturing
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workers observed that, in Oregon,
virtually all organized labor in the
lumber manufacturing sector is found in
mills with consolidated ownership.
Commenters also provided localized
observations and data. In Bonner
County, Idaho, according to the Bonner
County Board of Commissioners, 800
logging and sawmill jobs have been lost
and only one small sawmill remains.
According to a commenter from Coos
Bay, Oregon, one of the largest mill sites
has been converted to a casino. An
executive from a small lumber products
company in Clarkston, Washington,
spoke at a May 7, 2015 regulatory
fairness hearing in Spokane about
closing the company’s Clarkston mill in
2009 because of the recession. However,
partly because of small business setaside timber sales from the Umatilla
National Forest, the company has been
able to reopen the Clarkston mill and
support 80 jobs. It now operates two
sawmills and employs 240 workers.
Conversely, two small business
sawmills in Montana initiated layoffs of
between one-third and one-half of their
workers.
Comments on the Current Timber SetAside Program
In response to SBA’s invitation for
comments on the current Program, 221
commenters expressed general support
for the current Program. Commenters
generally asserted that small mills
depend on the Program to purchase
their fair share of timber offered for sale
by the FS. By contrast, large business
mills appear to make greater use of
private land as a reserve for harvesting
timber.
TPMA commented that in addition to
supporting small firms and their
surrounding communities, small
business set-asides do not significantly
reduce federal revenues. The group’s
comment pointed to a government
analysis showing that set-aside sales
take in only two percent less than open
sales. A study published in 2013 found
that set-asides reduce FS revenue by
5%, and the effect of reducing
competition by excluding large
businesses is partially offset by
increased small business participation.
Athey, Susan, Dominic Coey, and
Jonathan Levin. 2013. ‘‘Set-Asides and
Subsidies in Auctions.’’ American
Economic Journal: Microeconomics,
5(1): 1–27, available at www.aeaweb.org.
The commenter also posited that if
small sawmills are pushed from the
market, large firms would be able to
drive down federal revenues from
timber sales. The commenter pointed to
revenue data from the Panhandle
National Forest to assert that market
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competition from small businesses
stabilize prices for government timber
sales. TPMA asserted that because
stewardship contracting is not part of
the fair proportion calculation in the
small business set-aside Program, small
timber product manufacturing
companies have sustained a market
decline of 71% since the stewardship
contracting was launched. The small
business trade group observed that, in
2014, one-third of the timber volume
offered by FS was distributed through
stewardship contracting, including 38%
in the western United States. In some
regions, stewardship contracting
exceeds 70% of FS timber volume
transactions. According to the
commenter, failure to include the
volume of timber associated with
stewardship contracting lowers the
market share for small business setaside sales.
SBA also received comments from a
variety of local legislators who
described how the timber set-aside
program operates in their areas.
According to the comments, in Klamath
County, Oregon, the only operating
sawmill is an other-than-small business,
so instituting set-asides would impact
the county’s budget. By contrast, a
legislator from Marion County, Oregon,
commented that smaller mills that rely
on set-asides support much of the
county’s employment. Fifteen years ago,
the milling industry supported 63.5% of
the employment in the North Santiam
Canyon communities; because of the
downturn in the industry, the industry
now supports 41% of employment.
The Commissioners of Powell County,
Montana, noted that the trend toward
increasing stewardship contracts in
three national forests—BeaverheadDeerlodge, Helena and Lolo National
Forests—has reduced the potential
amount of funding to the county
because stewardship contracting does
not feature revenue sharing as timber
program sales do. From 2001 to 2013,
the percentage of stewardship
contracting on the BeaverheadDeerlodge and Lolo National Forests
accounted for over 23% of the sawlog
volume sold during that period.
A commenter from Salem, Oregon,
responded that the local community has
suffered a devastating impact because of
the reduction in revenues from timber
sales. According to the commenter,
declining timber revenues has meant
fewer jobs, less revenue for county
services, and less revenue to support
families.
Several private business commenters
remarked that failure to include the
volume of timber associated with
stewardship contracting lowers the
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market share for small business setaside sales. A lumber company in
Lyons, Oregon, that employs 430 people
commented that 38% of its federal
timber was bought on a small business
set-aside basis. The commenter
expressed concern that half of the sales
volume available to it is being
distributed through stewardship
contracting, which limits the volume
available through timber program open
and set-aside timber sales. A 93-year-old
lumber company in southwest Oregon
stated that 100% of its federal timber
under contract was purchased through
small business set-asides. The
commenters worried that, without the
small business set-aside program in
place, large businesses would starve
small businesses out of public timber.
Another small business lumber
company in north central Idaho
remarked that the small business setaside program is non-existent in Nez
Perce-Clearwater National Forest
because in excess of 80% of the forest’s
timber volume is sold through
stewardship contracts. The commenter
stated that, because the stewardship
program is not subject to set-asides, its
business could not avoid bidding
against large businesses.
From Montana, a family-owned
sawmill and forest management
company commented that 15 million
board feet of logs from the Flathead
National Forest has been made available
through stewardship contracting, rather
than through the timber sales program.
The commenter observed that this
volume would be enough to run its mill
for nearly six months.
Comments With Requests for
Government Action
A substantial number of commenters
asserted that agency action is required
to avoid irreparable harm to the
competitive timber market in the United
States, leading to the closure of many
small timber manufacturers. Many
commenters from small business mills
are the primary employers in their rural
communities, and they believe that the
lack of action will result in thousands
of jobs lost and the destruction of many
of these communities. The small
business industry group commented
specifically that failing to include
stewardship contracts in the small
business timber set-aside program has
decimated small timber manufacturers.
Several commenters also noted that
large multinational companies have
begun to aggressively pursue both
timber program full-and-open and
stewardship sales in an attempt to drive
small businesses from the playing field.
For example, a third-generation small
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business logging operation in
Washington and Oregon found that
stewardship contracting is replacing the
timber sale program. The commenter
purchases most of its federal timber
from the Mt. Hood and Gifford Pinchot
National Forests, but has seen a 90%
reduction in available timber volume
since 1990. The commenter observed
that there are very few small business
set-aside sales because of the
predominance of stewardship sales, and
speculated that large forest products
companies have worked to drive small
family-owned companies out of
business in order to consolidate the
market share.
A small business lumber company
from Deer Lodge, Montana, operating in
an area where the FS owns over 60% of
timber lands, commented that it is
dependent on the small business timber
set-aside program. The commenter
stated that it initially supported
stewardship contracting, but did not
expect that it would be a major part of
FS’s timber offerings. As the percentage
of stewardship offerings has become a
third of the overall timber program
volume, the commenter predicted that it
would only be able to continue
operations if it has an opportunity to bid
on a fair share of federal timber sales
without interference from large
businesses. The Mayor and City Council
of Deer Lodge, Montana, also support
the set-aside program, stating that the
sawmill industry made up the cultural
and economic basis for the community.
A small sawmill in Kamiah, Idaho,
commented that it had been shut down
during the 2008 recession, but started
up again with 65 employees after it was
auctioned off. The commenter
responded that it has found predatory
bidding in non-set-aside sales and, as a
result, has not been able to purchase
public logs in two years. The
commenter stated that it is surviving
only on private landowner logs, and it
believes that its sawmill will fail and 65
jobs will be lost if the set-aside program
is not amended. The Mayor of Kamiah
commented that the city has one of the
highest unemployment rates in Idaho.
The Mayor wrote that losing the local
sawmill industry would devastate the
area economically.
A substantial number of commenters
from across the western United States
commented that their communities and
families relied on the local sawmills.
One commenter from Colville,
Washington, responded that he has been
on unemployment twice in the past
three years because of timber shortages.
An individual commenter from St.
Regis, Montana, added that small
family-owned forest product companies
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need the SBA set-aside program to
ensure stable access to government
timber. Similarly, an individual from
Lyons, Oregon, commented that the setaside program supported a stable
environment for small-town families. A
commenter from Weippe, Idaho,
remarked that the sawmill that was
founded there in 1947 has relied on setaside sales to compete with large
sawmills.
A union group commented that it
opposes any government action and
believes that agencies should craft a
solution that does not
disproportionately punish organized
labor.
Several commenters pointed to
Congressional efforts to force agency
action. Congress has urged the
Administration to address this issue
through multiple bills and
correspondence. In 2014, Congress
included the following report language
in the Joint Explanatory Statement
accompanying Public Law 113–235, the
Consolidated and Further Continuing
Appropriations Act, 2015 (160 Cong.
Rec. H9768, Daily ed. Dec. 11, 2014):
The Forest Service is strongly encouraged
to expeditiously prepare and publish draft
rulemaking to establish a small business
set-aside program for timber contracts
undertaken using stewardship contracting
authority that is consistent with previous
commitments made by the Service and the
Department of Agriculture on this matter.
Similar language on the need for
either SBA or the FS to address the
issue through regulation is included in
the FY2016 appropriations bills or in
Congressional correspondence to the
agencies.
Comments on Including Stewardship
Contracting Sawtimber Volume in
Small Business Market Share
Calculations
Over 300 commenters urged SBA to
include stewardship sawtimber volume
in the small business market share
calculation, while 15 commenters
opposed it. Based on SBA’s analysis of
both the available data and comments
received in response to the ANPRM,
SBA is considering including the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
calculation of small business market
shares. SBA’s ANPRM requested
comments on how the inclusion of
stewardship sawtimber might impact
future market share calculations,
stumpage prices, land management
activities, retained receipts, and sale
values. SBA also requested comments
on whether an increase in the utilization
of stewardship contracts in a market
area might result in a lower
representation of small businesses
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successfully bidding for timber sales in
that market area and whether this
should lead to lowering the market
share for small business set-aside sales
in that market area when the FS and
SBA compute small business
participation. Commenters provided a
wide range of views on these topics.
Of the 842 commenters, 327 suggested
that stewardship sawtimber sales should
be included in the calculation of setaside trigger points. Further, 14
commenters urged SBA and FS to
include the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the upcoming (now recent)
five-year re-computation of small
business shares to ensure accurate
representation of small business
participation. TPMA, the small business
trade group, commented that increasing
use of stewardship contracting, in
particular IRTCs, creates a ‘‘loophole’’
in the small business market share
calculation. According to TPMA, as
IRTC contracting becomes more
prevalent, the calculated small business
market shares become distorted because
they are only computed based on a
handful of sales. This is because onethird of the market volume is being
transacted through stewardship
contracts and is currently excluded from
the small business market share
calculation. TPMA asserted that the
omission of stewardship contracts
understates the volume of timber being
transacted and thus results in the
inflation of the calculation of the small
business market share. TPMA pointed to
the Payette market area, where there
were only two standard timber sales
contracts. TPMA asserted that excluding
stewardship volumes from the
calculation prevents small businesses
from achieving a representative recomputation that is consistent with the
Small Business Act.
Fifteen commenters stated that
stewardship timber volume should not
be included in the calculation. The
PTPG commented that the goal of the
stewardship program is to accomplish
forest health, watershed improvement
and similar projects with the sold
timber offsetting some or all of the costs.
Because the selection of stewardship
contractors is a subjective process that
uses a ‘‘best-value’’ process, PTPG
asserted that stewardship contracting
should be excluded because recomputations of market shares for setaside sales should be based upon
objective timber sale data. Also, PTPG
commented that, if stewardship sales
were included in the set-aside timber
sale program, the number of potential
contractors would be significantly
limited for any stewardship sale
designated as a set-aside.
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Thirty-nine commenters expressed
that failure to include the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the small business
market share calculation will adversely
affect the small businesses which rely
on the federal timber supply. These
commenters suggested that the trend
towards stewardship contracting negates
the positive impacts of the small
business timber set-aside program. In
particular, a small business sawmill in
Deer Lodge, Montana, and the largest
private employer in Deer Lodge,
commented that stewardship
contracting has been increasing in use,
both in terms of number of sales and
sawlog volume. Although the business
has promoted stewardship contracting
as a positive method of resolving
resource conflicts on National Forest
Land, it supports including the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
SBA set-aside calculations.
Similarly, a trade group in Idaho
representing logging and wood hauling
contracting businesses supported
including stewardship contracting
sawtimber in the calculation of shares of
timber program sales acquired by small
businesses. The trade group observed
that, in some Idaho forests, the
stewardship timber volume has
exceeded over 80% of total timber sales
in four of the last five years.
The comments from a small business
trade group emphasized that adding the
stewardship sawtimber would add
transparency and diligence to the
recordkeeping process. These
commenters observed that, even within
the timber program, the volume in
transactions with small businesses is
inaccurate because the calculations are
based on volumes advertised and
awarded, and does not include volumes
added through contract modifications.
SBA’s ANPRM requested comments
as to how the stewardship sawtimber
volume should be accounted for in
calculating the small business market
share. Six commenters suggested that FS
simply use existing timber program sale
rules and norms to count sawtimber
volume from stewardship projects.
TPMA asserted that adding stewardship
sawtimber volumes to the calculation
would not be difficult. According to
TPMA, FS develops an appraisal for
each stewardship opportunity to decide
the value of the timber available to be
exchanged for services. These volumes
and values could be tracked and used to
adjust proportions used in the Program.
Additionally, TPMA commented that FS
provides upon the requests of the
Timber Data Company with Reports of
Timber Sales (FS 2400–17) which
contain timber volume data for all
timber sale contracts.
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Three commenters asserted that,
depending on the market area, inclusion
of the stewardship timber volume may
increase small business participation in
both stewardship contracting and the
timber program. Five commenters felt
that increased competition from the
inclusion of stewardship sales would
increase stumpage rates. The same
number of commenters stated that
inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber
volume would reduce the number of
bidders and decrease stumpage rates.
Six commenters felt that any financial
impact on sales value is less important
than the socioeconomic benefits. These
commenters also suggested that while
timber prices may increase with the
inclusion of stewardship sawtimber
volume in the small business market
share calculation, it would have no
impact to the treasury. Conversely, four
commenters stated that inclusion of the
stewardship sawtimber volume would
reduce treasury revenue and the value
of public timber.
Seven commenters felt that the impact
on small market shares of including the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
calculation would vary by market area.
One commenter expressed that
inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber
volume would have a beneficial impact
on future market shares.
Eleven commenters suggested that if
stumpage rates were decreased,
restoration activities, retained receipts
and local employment would be
negatively impacted. A small, secondgeneration, family-owned lumber
manufacturing business in Eugene,
Oregon, supported including
stewardship sawtimber volume to
prevent circumvention of the set-aside
program.
Nineteen commenters went so far as
to state SBA and FS have a legal
obligation to include the stewardship
contracting sawtimber volume in the
small business market share calculation
to ensure small businesses purchase a
fair proportion of sawtimber volume.
Under section 15(a) of the Small
Business Act, SBA bears the
responsibility of ensuring that small
businesses receive a fair proportion of
‘‘total sales’’ of Government property.
SBA believes that sawtimber transacted
through stewardship contracting should
be properly included as an element of
‘‘total sales’’ under the Small Business
Act, because much of stewardship
contracting is done through IRTC
contracts where FS receives cash from
the transaction.
While several commenters believed
that the small business market share is
overstated, overall small business base
market share may actually be
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understated because small business’
high share of the stewardship
contracting sawtimber volume is not
included in the base market share
calculation. As noted above,
stewardship sales account for
approximately one-third of total timber
sold by the FS. In the majority of FS
regions, small businesses purchase the
majority of the stewardship contracting
timber volume. However, large
businesses capture the majority of the
stewardship contracting timber volume
in some market areas. For example,
according to comments, large businesses
captured 75% of the stewardship
volume in the St. Joe Market Area,
presenting a challenge to two small
sawmills in the area.
SBA’s is considering a potential
policy change to include stewardship
contracting sawtimber volume in the
calculation of small business market
shares. SBA’s analysis shows that
failure to include stewardship
contracting sawtimber volume may
either favorably, unfavorably, or
negligibly skew the base small business
market shares used to determine when
FS must set aside timber program sales
in some market areas. Inclusion of
stewardship contracting sawtimber
volume in the small business market
share calculation could also more
accurately capture small business
participation and ensure transparency of
the Program, another justification under
consideration.
SBA welcomes additional comments
on the possibility of including the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
calculation of base small business
market shares. Specifically, SBA
requests additional comments and data
related to the calculation methodology
and analysis set forth in this rule. SBA
requests comments as to whether those
regions or market areas where small
businesses purchase a large percentage
of sawtimber through stewardship
contracting should receive different
treatment in the computation of small
business market shares and, if so, what
that alternative treatment should be.
Likewise, SBA requests comments as to
whether those market areas where the
stewardship contracting represents a
large percentage of overall sawtimber
volume should receive different
treatment. Additionally, SBA seeks
comments as to whether the inclusion of
the stewardship sawtimber volume
should be subject to any caps or other
special considerations. SBA also seeks
comment on its authority under section
15(a) of the Small Business Act to treat
all stewardship sawtimber sales as an
element of ‘‘total sales’’ and whether
there are alternative treatments—
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including whether to consider some or
all stewardship contracts as an element
of ‘‘total purchases and contracts’’ under
section 15(a). In order to have the most
robust picture possible, SBA is further
requesting additional data regarding the
potential impact of including the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
small business market share calculation.
SBA is particularly interested in any
data suggesting potential impacts on
future market shares and stumpage
rates.
Comments on Changing Appraisal Point
in Calculating Minimum Acceptable
Bid for Set-Aside Timber Sales
SBA’s ANPRM requested comments
on several issues related to the appraisal
methodology FS uses to appraise setaside timber sales under the timber
program: How to best reflect the actual
haul costs to eligible small business
timber set-aside purchasers; whether
there should be special considerations
in those market areas that do not have
mills that would qualify as ‘‘small’’
under the SBA’s criteria; how to account
for the ‘‘30/70 rule’’ in the appraisal
process; and whether trust funds would
be impacted by changing the appraisal
point in set-aside sales.
Regarding the appropriate appraisal
point, 28 commenters stated that
appraisal of haul costs should be made
to the nearest small mill in set-aside
sales while 12 commenters expressed
that the appraisal should be made to the
nearest mill regardless of size. Those in
support of changing the appraisal point
in set-aside sales to the nearest small
mill believed that such an approach
would more accurately reflect the
realities faced by small businesses.
Several commenters observed that, for
its set-aside sales, the BLM appraises
haul costs to the nearest small business
facility capable of handling the timber
volume in BLM’s eight markets in
Oregon. A small business commenter
responded that the current process of
appraising set-aside timber sales to a
large business defeats the purpose of the
set-aside program. The small business
trade group commented that the
appraisal of a set-aside sale should
include a haul-cost adjustment to
account for the actual cost of hauling.
The same commenter pointed to the FS
Timber Sale Preparation Handbook,
Chapter 40, section 45.11 (FSH
2409.18), available to the public at
https://www.fs.fed.us/cgi-bin/Directives/
get_dirs/fsh?2409.18, which provides
that the FS chooses an appraisal point
where the manufacturing facility ‘‘is
capable of’’ processing the end product
being appraised.’’ Because of the 30/70
rule, applying the Handbook approach
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should result in the FS appraising for
haul costs to a small manufacturer,
rather than the closest large business
facility. SBA agrees that appraisal to a
small business mill more accurately
captures the cost to eligible bidders. As
such, SBA is proposing to appraise haul
costs to the nearest qualifying small mill
in set-aside sales.
Ten commenters felt that a change in
the appraisal process would require
haul cost subsidies and lead to reduced
revenue and reinvestment
opportunities. The PTPG, for example,
commented that changing the appraisal
point would cause the FS to divert
stewardship funds to subsidize long
hauls to distant mills. Some set-aside
sales could result in negative appraised
value, according to the PTPG comments.
Another commenter responded that a
change to the appraisal point would
divert federal timber away from union
workers and would reduce federal
timber receipt-sharing for rural
communities.
Four commenters stated that a change
in the appraisal point will not impact
trust fund collections, while three
commenters believed that trust fund
deposits would be reduced. The large
business trade group in particular
commented that, if the appraisals
resulted in below-cost timber sales,
rural communities would be harmed by
the reduction in federal timber
payments. The same commenter
responded that a change in the appraisal
point would cause inefficiency by
allowing distant mills to purchase setaside logs.
Thirteen commenters felt that FS and
SBA should take greater steps to enforce
the 30/70 rule in set-aside sales. Fifteen
commenters felt that appraisal should
be made to the nearest small mill only
if it is located within a reasonable
distance from the sale. These
commenters believed that FS should
suspend the set-aside or waive the 30/
70 rule if no small mills are located
within a reasonable distance of the sale.
Seven commenters expressed that the
30/70 rule should either be eliminated
altogether or waived for nonmanufacturers when no small mill is
present. Eleven commenters felt that
inclusion of the 30/70 rule in appraisal
point calculations would unnecessarily
complicate the process, increase risks,
and reduce stumpage rates and revenue.
Although commenters to the ANPRM
proposed various alternatives as to how
haul costs should be appraised in small
business set-aside sales, none of the
commenters provided any data that
would adequately support one
alternative over the other. As such, SBA
requests additional comments regarding
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66211
the other alternatives identified in
comments to the ANPRM. Specifically,
SBA requests comments as to whether
haul cost adjustments should be made
for non-manufacturers. Further, as noted
above, several commenters
recommended appraisal to the nearest
small mill only if it is a ‘‘reasonable
distance’’ from the sale. SBA requests
comments as to what constitutes a
reasonable distance. SBA also requests
examples of market areas where the
recommended reasonable distance
would make a significant difference in
the appraisal price. Understanding that
any sale price accepted by the
government must be ‘‘fair and
reasonable,’’ SBA requests comments as
to why an increased appraisal cost to
the nearest small mill would still
support such a finding.
SBA is also aware that certain market
areas do not have small mills located
within their geographic boundaries.
Accordingly, SBA requests additional
comments regarding potential
geographic exceptions for market areas
with no small mills.
Finally, with respect to appraising
haul costs with respect to the 30/70
rule, SBA requests comments as to
whether SBA should consider, when the
nearest mill is a large business,
appraising 70% of the haul costs to the
nearest small mill and 30% of the haul
costs to the nearest large mill. SBA
specifically requests comments as to
whether such an approach is or is not
favorable, given that it may accurately
reflect the true costs to haul the timber,
but may unnecessarily complicate the
process.
SBA notes that a number of
commenters interpreted SBA’s ANPRM
to propose a change of the appraisal
point in all timber program sales. This
is not SBA’s intent. As noted above,
SBA is proposing that the appraisal be
made to the nearest small mill only in
the case of set-aside sales.
Comments on Other Issues
SBA notes that a number of
commenters interpreted SBA’s ANPRM
as a proposal to subject stewardship
contracting to the procedures of the
small business timber set-aside program.
For example, a large business trade
group stated that, if stewardship sales
were included in the set-aside timber
sale program, the number of potential
contractors would be significantly
limited for any stewardship sale
designated as set-aside. The same
commenter remarked that stewardship
set-aside sales would complicate the
application of the 30/70 rule. The
commenter also noted that if a
stewardship sale is designated by the
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SBA as set-aside and there are no local
small business mills, local labor would
not be involved in the processing of
those logs. Another industry commenter
predicted that fewer acres of at-risk
forest would be restored if stewardship
contracts were subject to the set-aside
requirement, and this would be contrary
to congressional authorization of local
preference and best-value contracting. A
union commenter responded that the
inclusion of stewardship contracts in
the set-aside program would circumvent
an award to the most local and
economic mill in favor of a small
business that could potentially be
hundreds of miles away. Six
commenters felt that small businesses
already purchase a substantial share of
the federal sawtimber. Conversely, the
small business trade group stated that
stewardship sales should be set aside,
and the result would be preservation of
competition for government sales.
It is not the intent of this proposed
rule, however, to apply the set-aside
rules to stewardship contracting. The
intent of this rule is only to define,
under authority of section 15(a) of the
Small Business Act, what procedures
SBA should use to calculate the
proportion of ‘‘total sales’’ of timber
flowing to small businesses. SBA is
considering whether to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume
purchased by small businesses in the
calculation of small business base
market shares used in triggering timber
program sale set-asides, but SBA is
seeking comments and data before
moving forward with such a policy
change.
Approximately 45 commenters urged
SBA and FS to conduct a
comprehensive review of small business
timber sale set-aside program
procedures before implementing any
changes. These commenters observed
that SBA and FS rules for the set-aside
timber sale program have not been
updated to reflect the changing industry
infrastructure or federal timber supply.
Other commenters disagreed, urging
SBA to make these changes prior to the
October 1, 2015 re-computation. These
commenters also emphasized that they
have been seeking these changes for
many years and saw further reviews or
studies merely as another delaying
tactic.
An additional five commenters felt
that the re-computation period should
be shortened to ensure continued
accurate representation of market
shares. Three commenters suggested
that the structural re-computation
method should be eliminated altogether.
One commenter suggested carrying
forward market area deficits into the
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next five-year period. SBA believes
these issues are more appropriately
addressed through negotiations between
SBA and FS.
Potential Changes to the Timber
Program Currently Under
Consideration
As discussed in detail above, SBA is
considering including the volume of
sawtimber sold through stewardship
contracting in developing the 5-year recomputation of small business market
shares which are used to determine
when timber program sales must be set
aside for small businesses in the FS
regions. SBA recognizes that in some
regions, small businesses are
successfully competing for full-andopen sales under the stewardship
contracts. This possible policy would
not likely alter that fact. SBA also
recognizes that in some regions, small
business may be successfully winning
under timber program sales without setasides. Again, this policy would not be
intended to alter that fact. In some
regions, counting the stewardship
sawtimber volume may result in
triggering a set-aside opportunity that
might not otherwise occur without this
new policy in place. In others, counting
the stewardship sawtimber volume may
result in removing a set-aside
opportunity where one previously
existed. In still other regions, including
the stewardship sawtimber may have no
impact relative to the status quo.
Regardless, this policy under
consideration would establish a
transparent process across all FS
regions.
Compliance With Executive Orders
12866, 13563, 12988, 13132, the
Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C.
Ch. 35), and the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (5.U.S.C. 601–612) Executive Order
12866
The Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) has determined that this
proposed rule is a significant regulatory
action for purposes of Executive Order
12866. Accordingly, the SBA’s
Regulatory Impact Analysis can be
found below. This is not a major rule,
however, under the Congressional
Review Act, 5 U.S.C. 80, et seq.
Regulatory Impact Analysis
1. Is there a need for this regulatory
action?
The proposed rule furthers statutory
intent that small business concerns
receive a fair proportion of the total
sales of Government property. See
Section 2(a) of the Small Business Act
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Sfmt 4702
(15 U.S.C. 631(a)); Section 15(a) of the
Small Business Act (15 U.S.C. 644(a)).
Because of the locations and sparse
number of the remaining sawmills,
current appraisal points used for
assessing hauling costs may have
prevented many small sawmills from
bidding on set-aside timber sales, since
fuel costs for transporting the timber
from the forest to the processing
location may negate the profit margin of
the purchase. As such, the proposal to
appraise set-aside haul costs to the
nearest small business mill is necessary
to accurately reflect the costs to eligible
bidders.
As noted above, SBA is also
considering a potential policy change,
but not proposing in this rule, to
include the stewardship sawtimber
volume (from both the IRTC and IRSC
contracts) for the calculation of the
small business fair proportion market
share of timber program sales. To assess
the trends on timber program l and
stewardship timber sales and impacts to
small businesses from such a policy
change, SBA conducted multiple
analyses with the limited data available.
The results showed that timber program
set-aside sales have declined since
stewardship contracting began and that
each FS region has steadily increased
the availability of stewardship
contracting during the period from 2004
through 2014. In addition, in several FS
regions, especially those where timber
sold through stewardship contracting is
large relative to total timber sold, and in
aggregate (i.e., all regions combined) the
percentage of timber purchased by small
businesses is lower under the
stewardship program than under the
timber program. Thus, the failure to
include the volume of sawtimber sold
through stewardship contracting could
overstate or understate the small
business market share for set-aside sales
under the timber program. The available
data indicates that, with the omission of
the stewardship sawtimber, small
business market shares could be
understated for regions where small
mills dominate the stewardship market
and overstated for regions where large
businesses dominate that market.
Further, including the stewardship
sawtimber volume could more
accurately reflect small business
participation rates for purposes of
calculating the set-aside trigger point in
the timber program, regardless of the
direction of the impact on small
businesses. While SBA is not proposing
in this rule to include the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the small business
fair proportion or market share
calculation, the Agency is seeking
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(i.e., difference between bid price paid
and reserve/minimum bid price set by
FS) as a function of a number of
variables, including the number of
bidders, total haul miles, logging costs,
total volume harvested, time trend, and
a series of dummy variables indicating
whether the sale was a small business
set-aside sale, a salvage sale, or a
stewardship sale. These results are
provided in Table 8, below.
As can be seen from the results in
Table 8, the estimated equations
explained about 35% of total variation
in bid premiums for Regions 1, 3, and
5, followed by 16% for Region 6 and
less than 10% for remaining affected FS
regions. Thus, the results suggest that
several other relevant factors may have
been needed to explain the variation in
bid premiums.
business sales) that were appraised to a
large business mill. A regional
breakdown of these data is provided
below in Table 9, below. Based on the
data obtained from SBA’s Timber Sales
System (TSS), SBA estimated total
average receipts FS received for FY
2002–2014 for all Regions to estimate
the cost (i.e., receipt loss) to FS from the
SBA’s proposed change.
The FS conducted an econometric
study to assess the impacts of SBA’s
proposal to appraise hauling costs of all
set-aside timber sales to the nearest
small mill and potential policy change
to include the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the small business fair
proportion or market share calculation.
Specifically, FS estimated a stumpage
equation for each FS region outside of
Region 10 (Alaska) with a bid premium
public comment on impacts of this
potential policy change in the future.
2. What are the potential benefits and
costs of this regulatory action?
SBA’s proposal to appraise small
business set-aside timber sales to the
nearest small business mill would
enable small businesses to comply with
existing laws affecting set-aside timber
sales while promoting an atmosphere
more conducive for them to participate
in the overall FS timber market. Using
the appraisal data received from FS,
SBA estimated total sales to be about
2,900 for FY 2009–2014, of which 86%
were sales to small businesses. Using
the same data, excluding special salvage
timber set-aside sales, SBA identified
156 small business set-aside sales (or
5.3% of all sales and 6.2% of all small
66213
TABLE 8—STUMPAGE PRICE EQUATIONS ESTIMATED FOR REGIONS 1 TO 9 BY FOREST SERVICE DEPENDENT VARIABLE
[Bid premium, a difference in the winning stumpage price minus the reserve price ($/CCF)]
Region
1
Regions
Region
2
Region
3
Independent Variables .................................
Intercept .......................................................
Lumber Price Index ......................................
Hardwood Price Index .................................
Softwood Price Index ...................................
Number of Bidders .......................................
Total Volume Harvested (1,000 CCF) .........
Logging Costs ($/CCF) ................................
Contract Costs ($/CCF) ...............................
Distance to the Nearest Mill (miles) ............
Hauling Costs ($/CCF) .................................
Logging Index ..............................................
Sealed Bid Dummy (0, 1) ............................
Set-Aside Dummy (0, 1) ..............................
Salvage Sale Dummy (0,1) ..........................
Stewardship Dummy (0,1) ...........................
Time Trend ...................................................
R2 .................................................................
R2-Adjusted .................................................
Mean of Dependent Variable .......................
No. of Observations .....................................
No. of Observations Used ...........................
Region
4
Region
5
Region
6
Region
8
Region
9
** ¥30.67
0.06
................
................
** 9.79
** ¥0.58
* 0.06
¥0.08
** ¥0.06
................
................
** 7.52
* ¥4.77
** 6.26
* 5.44
0.46
0.17
0.16
22.62
2,117
1,731
¥78.19
................
0.09
0.24
** 18.99
** ¥5.7
** 0.21
** ¥2.18
¥0.02
................
................
* 28.44
** ¥12.29
** ¥25.66
8.96
1.73
0.09
0.08
34.92
2,627
2,273
807.06
....................
¥4.22
¥1.7
* 70.01
** ¥117.93
¥4.55
¥0.56
....................
2.89
....................
** 153.32
** ¥131.51
* 175.88
90.06
14.38
0.03
0.02
168.38
1,883
1,628
Parameter Estimates
* ¥15.41
** 0.07
................
................
** 8.54
¥0.58
................
0.19
¥0.02
................
* ¥2.38
0.84
** ¥7.88
0.75
¥1.38
¥0.31
0.38
0.37
29.85
554
544
100.19
¥0.14
................
................
6.6
¥0.65
¥0.59
0.29
0.35
................
................
29.59
¥5.87
1.77
¥2.75
¥5.32
0.04
0.01
20.16
627
480
¥0.02
0.00
................
................
** 4.66
¥0.20
0.00
0.06
0.004
................
................
¥2.58
................
0.11
* ¥3.05
¥0.01
0.37
0.34
3.70
245
210
¥28.19
0.17
................
................
** 12.97
** ¥1.59
* ¥0.16
0.02
¥0.01
................
................
¥12.43
¥12.84
7.94
¥14.97
2.011
0.06
0.03
23.55
487
364
** ¥15.74
* 0.02
................
................
** 10.67
0.15
................
................
** ¥0.04
................
................
** 5.35
¥1.04
** 6.48
* 5.75
¥0.42
0.36
0.35
16.83
973
727
Source: USDA Forest Service Econometric Study.
* Significant at the 5% level.
** Significant at the 1% level.
Note: The significance levels are based on the Heteroscedasticity consistent standard errors. The USDA/FS results didn’t include Region 10
(Alaska). Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Impact of SBA’s Proposal To Appraise
Any Small Business Set Aside Timber
Sale to the Nearest Small Business Mill
To assess the impact of changing the
appraisal point for the small business
set-aside sales to the nearest small
business mill, SBA analyzed the
appraisal data provided by FS and
timber sales data from TSS. Specifically,
SBA received eight different tables from
FS with appraisal data for Regions 1
through 9 (the data did not include
Region 10). Each table included the
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appraisal point for each sale during
fiscal years 2009–2015, by region. SBA
merged the eight tables into one, and
then cleaned and reformatted several
variables. For example, the numerical
value for distance to the nearest small
mill was cleaned by taking out the
character values (e.g. ‘‘mi.’’ = miles).
Likewise, the number and size of
bidders were separated or reformatted as
characters (type of the bidder such as
small non-manufacturer, small
manufacturer, etc.) or number of
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bidders, as appropriate. For example, if
the original variable included 1–SN and
4–SM in one cell, then one variable was
created for SN (small non-manufacturer)
and another variable for SM (small
manufacturer) and 1 was assigned to the
former and 4 to the latter. The cleaned
data were then filtered to identify all
small business set-aside sales (i.e., set
aside = Yes) that were appraised to a
large mill (i.e., appraisal point = LM
(LM = Large mill/manufacturer)),
because these are the cases that will be
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impacted by the SBA’s proposal. When
compared with the TSS data, the FS
appraisal data for fiscal year 2015 were
found to be incomplete and was not
included in the analysis.
6.2%of all small business sales. On an
annual basis, the proposed change
would benefit approximately 65–70
small businesses that participate in setaside timber sales.
As shown in Table 9 (below), the
results from the FS appraisal data
indicate that the SBA’s proposal to
appraise the small business set-aside
sales to the nearest small business mill
would impact 5.3% of all sales and
TABLE 9—COUNT OF TOTAL AND SET-ASIDE SALES AND AVERAGE NUMBER OF BIDDERS PARTICIPATING IN SET-ASIDE
SALES APPRAISED TO A LARGE MILL, FY 2009–2014
Total number of sales
FS Region *
Sales to small
businesses
All sales **
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
9
Set-asides appraised to a large mill
Share of all sales
(%)
Count of sales
Average historical
participation/number of bidders affected
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
.............................................................
159
256
42
112
195
397
858
897
129
238
42
110
146
292
772
787
12
2
0
1
32
41
41
27
7.5
0.8
0.0
0.9
16.4
10.3
4.8
3.0
4.8
0.3
0
1
10.7
18
16
17.2
Total ................................................
2,916
2,516
156
5.3
68.0
* Region 10 (Alaska) was not included in the FS appraisal data and Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
** Includes sales for which size/type of the purchaser was missing but excludes sales for which region was not specified. Salvage timber sales
were also excluded.
Source: FS appraisal data and SBA calculations.
Using the FS appraisal data, SBA was
also able to estimate distance to the
nearest small mill from the nearest large
mill for each set aside sale that was
appraised to a large mill and some key
summary statistics for the same. These
results are provided in Table 10, below.
The median distance to the nearest
small mill is about 62 miles and the
mean distance about 66 miles. This
analysis does not reflect the more
appropriate analysis of the distance
from the sale to the nearest mill and
small mill, for which data were not
readily available.
TABLE 10—SUMMARY STATISTICS OF DISTANCE BETWEEN THE NEAREST SMALL MILLS AND THE CURRENT LARGE MILL
APPRAISAL POINTS (IN MILES), FY 2009–2014
First
quartile
(25%)
Region *
1 .......................
2 .......................
Third
quartile
(75%)
Median
(50%)
37.0
132.0
42.0
132.0
65.0
132.0
3 .......................
4 .......................
5 .......................
6 .......................
8 .......................
9 .......................
Overall ..............
Mean
52.8
132.0
Standard
deviation
Minimum
29.1
0.0
Maximum
Number of
observations
22
132
108
132
12
2
6
1
0
10
5
0
6
195
163
97
70
195
1
32
41
41
27
156
(no Region 3 set-aside sales appraised to a large mill)
6.0
89.0
30.0
30.0
10.0
23.5
6.0
101.0
65.0
97.0
15.0
62.2
6.0
136.0
90.0
97.0
25.0
97.0
6.0
108.6
66.5
63.9
22.2
66.2
0.0
54.0
44.6
34.8
18.3
48.2
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
* Region 10 was not included in the FS appraisal data and Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: FS appraisal data and SBA calculations.
With respect to the impacts of the
proposed change on bid/stumpage price
and on FS receipts from timber sales, FS
econometric/stumpage equations
included two variables related to
hauling costs, namely distance to the
nearest mill (for Regions 1 through 8)
and total hauling costs ( for Region 9)
(see Table 8). While FS, based on its
conceptual analysis of relationships
among reserve price, bid price, bid
premium and hauling costs, expected
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these variables to have a negative
impact on bid premium, the results
were rather mixed. Specifically, the
estimated coefficients associated with
distance to the nearest mill were
negative for Regions 1, 4, 5, 6, and 8,
and positive for Regions 2 and 3. The
estimated coefficient for hauling costs
was also positive for Region 9. Among
the regions with a negative coefficient
for distance to the nearest mill, the
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coefficient was significant only for
Regions 5 and 6.
Amid these results, FS concluded
that, conceptually, both FS receipts and
money flowing into the trust funds from
timber receipts will decrease under the
SBA’s proposal to appraise the set-aside
timber sales to the nearest small mill,
but without information on the number
of set-aside sales that would be affected
and additional hauling costs incurred in
each affected sale, it is not possible to
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quantify the financial impacts.
However, SBA was able to fill these
gaps in the FS analysis by estimating
cost (receipts loss) to FS from the SBA’s
proposal to change the appraisal point
for set-aside sales to the nearest mill by
combining the results from the FS
appraisal data (i.e., number of set-aside
sales affected and distance from the
current appraisal point to the nearest
small business mill for those sales), FS
econometric results (i.e., the estimated
coefficients associated with distance to
the nearest mill and hauling costs), and
TSS timber sales data. This analysis is
done only for Regions 5 and 6 because
these are the only two regions where the
estimated coefficient for the distance to
the nearest mill was significant and had
the FS expected negative sign.
Accordingly, SBA estimates cost or
receipt loss to FS due to the proposed
change to use the nearest small business
mill to appraise the set aside sales as
follows:
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Receipt loss = regression coefficient for
distance to the nearest mill (Table 8) ×
median distance to the nearest small mill (in
miles) (Table 10) × number of set-asides
appraised to a large mill (Table 9) × average
volume of set-aside sale (CCF) from TSS.
The average volume of set-aside sales
was based on the FY 2009–2014 data
from TSS. Accordingly, receipt loss for
Region 6 is estimated to be about $1.07
million (¥0.057 × 65 × 41 × 6,979 =
¥1,066,439), which is about 0.9 percent
of total FS timber receipts for Region 6,
estimated at about $124 million (i.e.,
total volume times average bid price) for
FY 2009–2014. Similarly, for Region 5,
receipt loss is estimated at about $0.91
million (¥0.045 × 101 × 32 × 6,261 =
¥908,634), which is about 2.4 percent
of total FS timber receipts for Region 5,
estimated at about 38 million (i.e., total
volume times average bid price) for FY
2009–2014. These receipts losses to the
FS are benefits to small businesses in
the form of lowered hauling costs to
transport their set-aside timber
purchases to a small mill. With lower
hauling costs to small businesses, they
are likely to bid more for the set-aside
timber sales, which would offset some
of the receipts losses to the FS due to
the proposed change.
FS expressed concerns that by
limiting the receipt impact assessment
to only Regions 5 and 6, SBA’s
regulatory impact analysis of the
proposed change is incomplete. FS
argued that the two regions examined
are not representative of all regions and
the results cannot be generalized across
the country. As shown in Table 8
(above), the FS econometric results do
not support a similar analysis for all
VerDate Sep<11>2014
16:56 Sep 26, 2016
Jkt 238001
affected FS regions. For example, the
estimated coefficients for distance to the
nearest mill (Regions 2 and 3) and
hauling costs (Region 9) were positive,
although not significant. Additionally,
there were no set-aside sales in Region
3 that were appraised to a large mill.
Thus, the proposed change would have
no impact in Region 3. Using a positive
coefficient for Region 2 would yield a
counter-intuitive result of positive
receipt impact to FS from the SBA’s
proposal to appraise the hauling costs
for set-aside sales to the nearest small
mill, which would make no sense. The
same is also true for Region 9.
Additionally, SBA has no data to
convert the mileage to hauling costs to
estimate the impact in Region 9.
Similarly, the relationships between bid
premiums and the mileage to the nearest
mill were not significant for Regions 1,
4 and 8, although they had expected
negative signs. The impact estimates
based on these results would not mean
much on a statistical sense. Given the
lack of alternative data to assess the FS
receipt impacts from the SBA’s proposal
for regions for which estimated
relationships between bid premium and
the distance or hauling costs and were
either not significant or had opposite
signs, SBA’s regulatory impact analysis
is limited to Regions 5 and 6 only.
While SBA agrees with FS that every
region is different, but because Regions
5 and 6 together account for nearly half
(47%) of all set-aside sales and twothirds (67%) of timber volume
appraised to a large mill in all FS
regions (excluding unaffected Region 3),
the results based on these two regions
provide fairly robust indications on the
magnitude of impacts the proposed
change might have across other regions,
as well as the overall FS market.
With respect to benefits to small
businesses from the proposed change, as
shown in Table 9 (above), based on the
historical data, about 65–70 firms (68 to
be exact) would benefit from the SBA’s
proposal to appraise all set-aside timber
sales to the nearest small mill. This
figure is likely to be higher because
some previous set-aside sales that
received no bids from small businesses
and were subsequently re-offered as full
and open sales may become
economically attractive for small
businesses to bid when they are
appraised to the nearest small mill. The
SBA’s proposal would benefit small
businesses by lowering costs in hauling
the set-aside timber purchases to the
nearest mill
SBA believes that these positive
impacts to small businesses justify some
losses to FS receipts (0.9% in Region 6
and 2.4% in Region 5) under the
PO 00000
Frm 00017
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
66215
proposed change. SBA notes that it did
not evaluate the impacts reductions in
receipts may have on the Forest
Service’s forest management and
restoration goals or on payments made
to counties for schools, roads,
community wildfire protection planning
or other purposes as authorized.
The main purpose of the SBA’s
proposal to appraise the set-aside sale to
the nearest small business mill is to
more accurately reflect the hauling cost
to eligible small business bidders. Based
on the historical data, up to 65–70 small
business bidders will benefit from this
proposed change. As discussed above,
SBA expects more small businesses to
participate in the timber set-aside
program under the proposed change as
some small firms that do not bid for setaside sales appraised to a large business
mill currently may decide to participate.
SBA believes that the number of setaside sales that receive no bid from
small businesses and become full and
open sales will decrease, thereby
increasing the number of sales to small
businesses. These all will help small
businesses keep their business
economically viable and to support or
create jobs in their communities. Small
business employees receive and spend
wages within the communities and
taxes they pay to local and state
governments. These effects, although
difficult to quantify, will further offset
the impacts of decreases in flows of
money to trust funds due to declines in
FS timber receipts.
Overall, the proposed change to
appraise the small business set-aside
timber sales to the nearest small mill is
consistent with SBA’s statutory mandate
to assist small businesses.
Impacts of A Potential Policy Change
Under Consideration To Include the
Stewardship Sawtimber Volume in the
Calculation of the Small Business ‘‘Fair
Proportion’’ To Establish Small
Business Set-Aside Sales Under the
Timber Program
A possible regulatory action to
include the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the calculation of small
business fair market share could provide
transparency to the process of
determining whether or not small
businesses are receiving the statutorily
mandated fair proportion of timber sale
contracts offered by FS. It could provide
a market share that would more
accurately reflect the small business
participation in the government owned
timber market and provide the public
with more accurate information on
functioning of the market. However, at
this time, based on the currently
available data, SBA’s analysis indicates
E:\FR\FM\27SEP1.SGM
27SEP1
66216
Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
this policy option could have disparate
impacts to small timber businesses both
within and across regions. Based on the
data and cross-tabulations provided by
the FS, stewardship sales account for
approximately one-third of total timber
sold by the FS. As shown in Table 4
(earlier), the FS analysis suggests that,
compared to timber program volumes,
small businesses acquired a larger
percentage of stewardship timber
volume in Regions 2, 4, 8 and 9, where
stewardship volumes are quite minimal
relative to total timber volumes sold.
However, small businesses received a
lower percentage of stewardship timber
sales in Regions 1, 5, and 6 where
stewardship sales are generally fairly
large relative to total sales. As discussed
above, when all regions are combined,
the small business share was
substantially lower at about 62% under
stewardship contracting, as compared to
nearly 72% under the timber program.
In addition, in considering the
possibility of including the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the calculation of
small business fair proportion used for
determining small business set-aside
sales within the timber program market,
SBA also re-computed the latest fiveyear small business market share used
to trigger a small business set aside sale
by including the stewardship sawtimber
volume. (Every five years base small
business market shares are re-computed
by including the timber sales data for
the previous five years and remain valid
until the next re-computation.) The recomputation results are shown in Table
11. As can be seen from the table, the
inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber
in calculation would result in an
increase to the recomputed small market
share in eight (12) market areas, a
decrease in eleven (14) market areas,
and no change in the remaining 113
market areas. The increase in the small
business share would range from 1% to
39% and decrease from ¥1% to ¥22%.
If the recent trend continues, it is
possible that with the inclusion of the
stewardship sawtimber volume the
future small business market shares
could be lower or higher in those or
more market areas.
Region 10 (Alaska) has an agreement
with SBA that small businesses will
have a market share of at least 50%. The
current market share was determined,
via the 5-year re-computation process in
agreement with SBA, to be 50% of the
planned sale volume for the Region.
Over the previous five-year period
100% of both timber and stewardship
sales went to small businesses in Region
10. As shown in Table 11, with the
inclusion of the stewardship timber
volume, an 80% market share would be
achievable in Region 10. The Region
would have to consult with interested
parties, provide notice, and revise the
existing agreement with SBA to allow
for inclusion of 80% of the Region’s
planned sale volume in the market (see
FSH 2409.18, 91.21.). All re-computed
shares reflect the limitations on share
movement for the five-year period,
except Regions 8 & 9 which do not have
limitations on share movement. All
shares are limited in movement to no
lower than one-half the original base
share. Eighty percent is the maximum
small business share utilized on any
market area, meaning that at least 20%
of timber sales have to go to large
businesses.
TABLE 11—FIVE-YEAR SMALL BUSINESS MARKET SHARE COMPARISONS 2010–2015, IMPACTED MARKET AREAS WITH
AND WITHOUT STEWARDSHIP TIMBER
Current five
year share
(%)
Region
Market area
1 .............................
Beaverhead-Deerlodge .........................
Bitterroot ................................................
Clearwater .............................................
Custer ....................................................
Flathead ................................................
Gallatin ..................................................
Helena ...................................................
Kootenai ................................................
Lewis and Clark ....................................
Lolo .......................................................
Nez Perce .............................................
Coeur D Alene ......................................
Kaniksu .................................................
St. Joe ...................................................
Arapaho Roosevelt ...............................
Bighorn ..................................................
Black Hills .............................................
GM UNC GUNN ....................................
Medicine Bow ........................................
Pike San Isabel .....................................
Rio Grande ............................................
Routt ......................................................
San Juan ...............................................
Shoshone* .............................................
White River ...........................................
Apache ..................................................
Carson ...................................................
Cibola ....................................................
Coconino ...............................................
Coronado ** ...........................................
Gila ........................................................
Kaibab North .........................................
Kaibab South ........................................
Lincoln ...................................................
Prescott .................................................
Santa Fe ...............................................
Sitgreaves .............................................
Tonto .....................................................
Ashley ...................................................
2 .............................
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
3 .............................
4 .............................
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49
80
74
62
60
44
56
55
56
56
40
14
13
51
80
72
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
29
80
80
80
73
80
71
55
56
80
80
80
56
80
70
80
Fmt 4702
Recomputed
share
(most recent
years)
(%)
Recomputed
share
stewardship
included
(%)
41
80
80
62
64
34
50
60
50
62
31
13
14
46
80
65
80
80
80
80
80
80
72
31
80
80
80
80
80
71
61
62
80
80
80
62
80
77
80
Sfmt 4702
41
80
67
56
63
34
50
60
50
62
30
13
12
46
80
65
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
31
80
80
80
80
80
71
61
62
80
80
80
62
80
77
80
Change in market share if stewardship included
No change
(%)
Increase
(%)
Decrease
(%)
0
0
........................
........................
........................
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥13
¥6
¥1
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥1
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
8
........................
........................
........................
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........................
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........................
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........................
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¥2
........................
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........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
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........................
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........................
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E:\FR\FM\27SEP1.SGM
27SEP1
Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
66217
TABLE 11—FIVE-YEAR SMALL BUSINESS MARKET SHARE COMPARISONS 2010–2015, IMPACTED MARKET AREAS WITH
AND WITHOUT STEWARDSHIP TIMBER—Continued
Region
Market area
5 .............................
6 .............................
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
8 .............................
VerDate Sep<11>2014
Current five
year share
(%)
Boise .....................................................
Bridger Teton ........................................
Caribou ..................................................
Dixie ......................................................
Fishlake .................................................
Manti La Sal ..........................................
Payette ..................................................
Salmon Challis ......................................
Sawtooth ...............................................
Targhee ** .............................................
Toiyabe ** ..............................................
Uinta ......................................................
Wasatch Cache .....................................
Eldorado ................................................
Inyo ** ....................................................
Klamath .................................................
Lassen ...................................................
Mendocino .............................................
Modoc ...................................................
Plumas ..................................................
Sequoia .................................................
Shasta ...................................................
Trinity ....................................................
Sierra .....................................................
Gasquet .................................................
Six Rivers Other ....................................
Stanislaus ..............................................
Tahoe ....................................................
Colville ...................................................
Deschutes .............................................
Fremont Klamath ..................................
Gifford Pinchot North ............................
Gifford Pinchot South ............................
Malheur .................................................
Mt Hood ................................................
Ochoco Prineville ..................................
Okanogan ..............................................
Puget Sound .........................................
Rogue River ..........................................
Siskiyou East ........................................
Siskiyou West .......................................
Siuslaw ..................................................
Umatilla North .......................................
Umatilla South .......................................
Umpqua North .......................................
Umpqua South ......................................
Wallowa Whitman .................................
Wenatchee ............................................
Willamette Middle ..................................
Willamette North ...................................
Willamette South ...................................
Winema .................................................
Alabama North ......................................
Alabama South .....................................
Andrew Pickens ....................................
Bienville .................................................
Chattahoochee ......................................
Croatan .................................................
Davy Crockett .......................................
Delta ......................................................
Desoto ...................................................
Enoree ...................................................
Florida Forests ......................................
Francis Marion * ....................................
George Washington ..............................
Holly Springs .........................................
Homochitto ............................................
Jefferson * .............................................
Kisatchie ................................................
Kentucky North .....................................
Kentucky South .....................................
Land Between the Lakes ......................
Long Cane ............................................
Nantahala ..............................................
Oconee ..................................................
Ouachita ................................................
16:56 Sep 26, 2016
Jkt 238001
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55
56
80
80
80
80
63
72
63
57
58
80
80
60
66
49
29
48
80
20
80
30
67
80
80
67
20
22
70
23
34
62
72
80
80
67
51
57
34
55
80
40
47
56
63
45
59
45
72
71
80
40
80
80
77
80
74
80
80
80
64
59
79
26
80
80
80
80
40
80
80
80
80
80
80
62
Fmt 4702
Recomputed
share
(most recent
years)
(%)
Recomputed
share
stewardship
included
(%)
61
62
80
80
80
80
69
79
69
57
58
80
80
54
66
39
39
38
72
18
80
30
74
80
80
60
10
20
77
33
44
60
79
80
72
69
46
51
31
49
73
50
37
62
69
40
53
55
79
78
79
31
80
80
65
80
63
80
25
80
68
57
80
39
80
80
80
61
41
80
80
80
80
80
80
47
Sfmt 4702
58
62
80
80
80
80
67
79
69
57
58
80
80
54
66
42
39
48
72
18
80
31
74
80
80
60
10
20
77
33
24
64
79
80
72
71
46
51
31
49
73
50
37
62
69
40
53
55
79
78
79
31
80
80
43
80
66
80
64
80
71
55
80
39
80
80
80
61
38
80
80
80
80
80
80
43
Change in market share if stewardship included
No change
(%)
Increase
(%)
Decrease
(%)
........................
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
........................
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
........................
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
........................
0
........................
0
........................
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
3
........................
10
........................
........................
........................
1
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
4
........................
........................
........................
2
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
3
........................
39
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥3
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥2
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥20
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥22
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥2
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥3
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥4
E:\FR\FM\27SEP1.SGM
27SEP1
66218
Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 11—FIVE-YEAR SMALL BUSINESS MARKET SHARE COMPARISONS 2010–2015, IMPACTED MARKET AREAS WITH
AND WITHOUT STEWARDSHIP TIMBER—Continued
Region
Current five
year share
(%)
Market area
9 .............................
10 ...........................
Ozark .....................................................
Pisgah ...................................................
Sam Houston ........................................
Saint Francis .........................................
Tennessee North ..................................
Tennessee South ..................................
Tombigbee ............................................
Texas East Side ....................................
Uwharrie ................................................
Alleghany ..............................................
Chequamegon .......................................
Chippewa ..............................................
Green Mountain ....................................
Hiawatha ...............................................
Huron Manistee .....................................
Mark Twain ...........................................
Monongahela ........................................
Nicolet ...................................................
Ottawa ...................................................
Shawnee ...............................................
Superior .................................................
Wayne Hoosier .....................................
White Mountain .....................................
Tongass ................................................
65
80
80
80
80
71
80
49
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
66
80
80
37
75
77
80
50
Recomputed
share
(most recent
years)
(%)
Recomputed
share
stewardship
included
(%)
69
80
80
80
80
80
80
27
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
76
80
80
80
69
80
80
50
70
80
80
80
80
80
80
47
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
80
55
80
80
80
68
80
80
80
Change in market share if stewardship included
No change
(%)
Increase
(%)
Decrease
(%)
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
........................
0
0
0
........................
0
0
........................
1
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
20
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
30
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
¥21
........................
........................
........................
¥1
........................
........................
........................
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
* Indicates market areas with no stewardship sales and ** denotes market areas with no SBA’s timber program or stewardship sales.
Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
The table doesn’t include the Chugach Market Area in Region 10 (Alaska).
The FS econometric results showed a
significant positive relationship
between stewardship sales and bid
premiums in Regions 5 and 6, a
significant negative relationship in
Region 3, and those relationships were
not significant in other regions. Based
on these results, FS argued that in
Regions 5 and 6 where bid premiums
are significantly higher for stewardship
sales than for timber program sales,
stewardship contracting will have a
positive impact on retained receipts,
land management activities and receipts
to the treasury. Similarly, in Region 3
where the results showed a significant
negative relationship between
stewardship sales and bid premiums, FS
believed that stewardship contracting
will have a negative impact on retained
receipts, land management activities
and receipts to the treasury. Since SBA
is not currently considering to subject
stewardship contracts to set-aside sales
for small business nor to reduce
stewardship contracting as a result of
any change in the small business market
share by including the stewardship
sawtimber in the calculation, SBA
expects very little or no impact on FS
receipts because of this possible change
under consideration. The current
analysis indicates including the
stewardship sawtimber volume could
either benefit small businesses by
triggering additional set-aside sales
within the timber program when the
VerDate Sep<11>2014
16:56 Sep 26, 2016
Jkt 238001
overall small business market share falls
below the certain level or could lead to
fewer small business set-aside sales than
under the current policy of calculating
fair proportion based only on the timber
program volume. Due to the lack of data,
it is difficult to estimate the number of
additional or reduced set-aside sales
that would be triggered or disappear, or
the number of small businesses that
would benefit or be harmed from this
possible policy change.
In its response to the ANPRM
questions and impacts of the SBA’s
proposed changes, FS noted that
although historical shares of timber
awarded to small businesses under the
timber sales program and total sales
including stewardship sales are similar,
this could change if stewardship sales
increase significantly as a proportion of
total timber sales. Independent of small
business impacts, the inclusion of the
stewardship sawtimber, which accounts
for one-third of the total timber sales,
could provide a more accurate
representation of what proportion of FS
timber is acquired by small businesses.
This could not only provide more
transparency of the FS timber program,
but also more accurate assessment of if
small businesses are getting a statutorily
mandated fair proportion of
Government timber sales.
PO 00000
Frm 00020
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
3. What are the alternatives to this
proposed rule?
Besides the proposal to change the
appraisal of the hauling costs on setaside timber sales, SBA is also
requesting comment on various
alternatives to this proposal, as
discussed in this proposed rule. SBA
invites comments on these alternatives
as well as suggestions for other
alternatives to this proposed change.
Regarding appraising haul costs for
set-aside sales, SBA considered
imposing haul cost adjustments for nonmanufacturers. Because both
manufacturers and non-manufacturers
must agree to manufacture at least 70%
of the sawtimber purchased through a
set-aside sale at a small mill, SBA does
not believe additional adjustments for
non-manufacturers are warranted.
SBA also considered waiving the
30/70 rule if no small mills are located
within a reasonable distance of a setaside sale. Such an alternative would
allow small businesses to participate in
the set-aside timber sales without
requiring them to look for and use small
mills. Although this approach would
not increase hauling costs (and hence
decrease receipts to the FS), since small
businesses would not have to seek out
and use small mills located further
away, it could lead to inconsistent
results. What might not be considered a
‘‘reasonable distance’’ for one sale might
be so considered for another.
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Instead of appraising 100% of the
hauling to the nearest small business
mill, SBA also considered appraising,
when the nearest mill is a large
business, 70% of the haul costs to the
nearest small mill and 30% of the haul
costs to the nearest large mill. The FS
also suggested this as an alternative to
SBA’s proposal to avoid overstating the
haul costs when the purchaser sells
30% of the sawtimber to the nearest
largest mill. This alternative may
accurately reflect the true costs to haul
the timber if every winning bidder
always sells 30% of sawtimber to the
nearest large mill and 70% to the
nearest small mill. However, SBA’s
reviews of all set-aside sales as well as
those appraised to the nearest large mill
do not support this. Majority of small
manufacturers that purchase timber
under the FS set-aside sales either use
66219
is located no more than 60 miles from
the large mill which would be used as
the appraisal point under the current
rules. Data suggests that 62 miles is the
median distance between a small mill
and the large mill NFS used to appraise
the historical set-aside sales (see Table
10, above). Historical sales data suggests
that appraising to the nearest small mill
only when that mill is located no more
than 60 miles from the current appraisal
point would affect 2.7% of set-aside
sales and benefit approximately 35
small businesses annually (see Table
12). The estimated revenue losses to
NFS will be reduced to about $0.53
million (or 0.4% of total) in Region 6
and $0.15 million (0.4% of total) in
Region 5 if the appraisal is done to the
nearest mill that is within 60 miles.
100% of the purchase themselves or sell
100% to another small mill. More
importantly, even a large proportion of
non-manufacturer purchasers (i.e.,
loggers) also sell 100% of set-aside to
the nearest mill. For example, of 156
set-aside sales that were appraised to
the nearest large mill during FY 2009–
2014, 95 were acquired by small nonmanufacturers of which 38 (or 40%)
sold 100% of timber to a small mill.
Unless the FS is certain that the
purchaser is going to sell 30% of
sawtimber to the nearest large mill and
70% to the nearest small mill, the
application of the 30/70 appraisal
alternative will always lead to
understatement of the hauling costs to
the eligible bidders. This approach will
also be complicated to implement.
SBA also considered appraising to the
nearest small mill only when that mill
TABLE 12—COUNT OF SALES AND AVERAGE NUMBER OF BIDDERS PARTICIPATING IN SET-ASIDE SALES WHERE A SMALL
MILL (SM) IS LOCATED WITHIN SIXTY MILES OF THE LARGE MILL APPRAISAL POINT (AP), FY 2009–2015
Set-asides appraised to a large mill
Total count of sales included
FS region *
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
9
Count of sales where a
SM is <60 miles from
AP
Share of total sales
(%)
Average historical participation/number of bidders affected
.......................................................
.......................................................
.......................................................
.......................................................
.......................................................
.......................................................
.......................................................
.......................................................
159
256
42
112
195
397
858
897
8
0
0
1
6
18
20
24
5.0
0.0
0.0
0.9
3.1
4.5
2.3
2.7
2.3
0
0
0.7
1.8
7.2
7.7
15.3
Total ..........................................
2,916
77
2.6
35.0
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* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions and Region 10 was not included in the FS appraisal data.
Source: FS appraisal data and SBA calculations.
SBA did not propose this approach in
the proposed regulatory text as the
required step of determining whether a
small mill is located within 60 miles of
the nearest large mill could
unnecessarily complicate the process.
This approach would impact fewer setaside sales, but it would also benefit
fewer small businesses. Overall, the
proposed change to appraise the hauling
costs for the set-aside timber sales to the
nearest small mill is consistent with
SBA’s statutory mandate to assist small
businesses.
With respect to a potential policy
amendment to include the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the small business
market share calculation, SBA
considered including stewardship
sawtimber only in those market areas
where small businesses are particularly
likely to be underrepresented if the
stewardship sawtimber volume is
excluded. Specifically, SBA is
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considering including the stewardship
sawtimber volume only in market areas
where small businesses purchase a large
percentage of stewardship timber
volume or where the stewardship timber
volume represents a high percentage of
Overall timber volume. However, the
purpose of such a possible regulatory
amendment is to more transparently and
accurately reflect small business
participation for purposes of calculating
small business market share for setaside triggers. SBA believes that it is
necessary for fairness across the country
to have a consistent policy that is not
subject to interpretation. While SBA
cannot estimate with certainty the
actual outcome of the gains and losses
among small and large businesses, it can
identify several probable impacts. The
historical data shows that the inclusion
of IRTC and IRSC stewardship
sawtimber volume could have a
substantial negative or positive impact
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Fmt 4702
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in the computation of small business
market share in many of the 139 active
market areas. SBA invites comments
and data on how such a policy change
would impact small businesses, the
stumpage prices, number of set-aside
sales, and FS receipts. SBA also
welcomes comments on any potential
impacts of reduced receipts to county
payment programs or other areas
affecting small business economic
development.
Executive Order 13563
SBA has conducted significant
outreach to the affected public for many
years. Between 1996 and 2002, SBA
visited a number of small mills
throughout the country to discuss the
impact of stewardship contracting on
the timber program and their ongoing
operations. During this time period,
SBA was also contacted by a small
business timber association regarding
the impact of stewardship contracting
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
on small mills located in Western states.
During the 2000 and 2005 recomputations, SBA and FS discussed
the impacts of the stewardship program
on small business market shares and the
possibility of including the stewardship
sawtimber volume in the five-year recomputation of the small business fair
proportion. In 2006, FS issued a
proposed policy directive to include
stewardship contracting sawtimber
volume in the calculation of small
business market shares. At the 2010 recomputation, SBA and FS again
discussed the topic of including
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
calculation. SBA continued to meet
with small mills regarding the impact of
stewardship contracting between 2005
and 2012. In 2010, SBA held a ‘‘town
hall meeting’’ with small mills to
discuss the impacts of stewardship
contracting. In 2012, small business
timber groups submitted complaints to
SBA’s Ombudsman and Office of
Advocacy regarding FS’ failure to
finalize the proposed policy directive to
include stewardship sawtimber volume
in the small business market share
calculations. In 2013, SBA began
discussions with FS regarding the
current proposed rulemaking which
resulted in the 2014 publication of the
ANPRM. SBA received 842 comments
in response to the ANPRM. During the
comment review process, SBA again
met with industry stakeholders
regarding ongoing impacts of
stewardship contracting and the current
method of appraising small business setaside sales.
Executive Order 12988
For purposes of Executive Order
12988, SBA has drafted this proposed
rule, to the extent practicable, in
accordance with the standards set forth
in sections 3(a) and 3(b)(2) of that
Executive Order, to minimize litigation,
eliminate ambiguity, and reduce
burden. This rule has no preemptive or
retroactive effect.
asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Executive Order 13132
For the purpose of Executive Order
13132, SBA has determined that this
proposed rule will not have substantial
direct effects on the States, on the
relationship between the national
government and the States, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government. Therefore, SBA
has determined that this proposed rule
has no federalism implications
warranting preparation of a federalism
assessment.
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Paperwork Reduction Act
For purposes of the Paperwork
Reduction Act, 44 U.S.C. Chapter 35,
SBA has determined that this proposed
rule would not impose new reporting
requirements. Stewardship sales will be
tracked and recorded using the same
method currently set forth in the Forest
Service Manual (FSM 2400)—
Commercial Timber Sales Manual (FSM
2430) and the Forest Service Handbook
(FSH)—Timber Sale Preparation
Handbook (FSH 2409.18). FS does not
currently make any collections related
to tracking this data and no additional
information will be collected. The
difference would be that the
stewardship sawtimber volume would
be included in the calculation. The
appraisal point calculation performed
by the FS will also be conducted using
the same methodology with the
exception of the mill location used in
set-aside sales.
Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C.
601–612
According to the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (RFA), 5 U.S.C. 601,
when an agency issues a rulemaking, it
must prepare a regulatory flexibility
analysis to address the impact of the
rule on small entities. In accordance
with this requirement, SBA has
prepared this Initial Regulatory
Flexibility Analysis addressing the
impact of this proposed rule and
alternatives, including a possible policy
change under consideration.
3. What is SBA’s description and
estimate of the number of small entities
to which the rule will apply?
SBA estimates there are
approximately 362 small business firms
that may benefit from this rule. SBA
estimates these firms will benefit to the
extent small business timber sale setaside bid prices are calculated using the
actual hauling costs the bidders will
incur. Approximately 5.3% of sales
would be impacted, benefiting 65–70
small businesses. No large business
would be impacted as they are not
eligible to participate in small business
set-aside timber sales.
4. What are the projected reporting,
recordkeeping, Paperwork Reduction
Act, and other compliance
requirements?
SBA has determined that this rule
does not impose additional reporting or
recordkeeping requirements.
Stewardship sales will be tracked and
recorded using the same method
currently set forth in the Forest Service
Manual (FSM 2400)—Commercial
Timber Sales Manual (FSM 2430) and
the Forest Service Handbook (FSH)—
Timber Sale Preparation Handbook
(FSH 2409.18). FS does not currently
make any collections related to tracking
this data and no additional information
will be collected. The appraisal point
calculation performed by the FS will be
conducted using the same methodology
with the exception of the mill location
used in set-aside sales.
2. What is the legal basis for this
proposed rule?
5. What relevant federal rules may
duplicate, overlap, or conflict with this
rule?
We are not aware of any rules that
duplicate, overlap or conflict with this
rule. The FS Timber Sale Preparation
Handbook would conflict with the
proposed rule, if adopted as proposed.
Concomitant with the SBA’s rule, the FS
would revise its directives, including
FSH 2409.18.
Section 2(a) of the Small Business Act
(15 U.S.C. 631(a)) provides that it is the
declared policy of the Congress that the
Government should aid, counsel, assist,
and protect the interests of small
business concerns in order to ensure
that a fair proportion of the total sales
of Government property be made to
such enterprises. Section 15(a) of the
Small Business Act (15 U.S.C. 644(a))
further provides that small business
concerns shall receive any contract for
the sale of Government property where
it is in the interest of ensuring that a fair
proportion of the total sales of
Government property be made to small
business concerns.
6. What significant alternatives did SBA
consider that accomplish the stated
objectives and minimize significant
economic impact on small entities?
Regarding appraising haul costs, SBA
considered imposing haul cost
adjustments for non-manufacturers.
Because both manufacturers and nonmanufacturers must agree to
manufacture at least 70% of the
sawtimber purchased through a setaside sale at a small mill, SBA does not
believe additional adjustments for nonmanufacturers are warranted. SBA also
considered waiving the 30/70 rule if no
small mills are located within a
reasonable distance of the sale. Such an
1. What is the need for and objective of
this proposed rule?
The proposal to appraise set-aside
haul costs to the nearest small mill is
necessary to accurately reflect the costs
to eligible bidders.
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asabaliauskas on DSK3SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 187 / Tuesday, September 27, 2016 / Proposed Rules
alternative would allow small
businesses to participate in set-aside
timber sales without requiring them to
look for and use small mills. Although
this approach would not increase
hauling costs (and hence not increase
the cost to the Government), since small
businesses would not have to seek out
and use small mills located further
away, it could lead to inconsistent
results. What might not be considered a
‘‘reasonable distance’’ for one sale might
be so considered for another sale.
Moreover, without specific data as to
what hauling distance leads to a sales
price that is not fair and reasonable to
the Government, this approach could be
challenged as being arbitrary.
In addition, with respect to the 30/70
rule, instead of appraising 100% of the
hauling to the nearest small mill, SBA
also considered appraising, when the
nearest mill is a large business, 70% of
the haul costs to small mills and 30%
of the haul costs to large mills. Although
this approach may accurately reflect the
true costs to haul the timber, SBA felt
that it could unnecessarily complicate
the process.
SBA also considered appraising to the
nearest small mill only when that mill
is located no more than 60 miles from
the large mill which would be used as
the appraisal point under the current
rules. The median distance between a
small mill and the large mill FS used to
appraise historical set-aside sales is
about 62 miles (see Table 10). Historical
sales data suggests that appraising to the
nearest small mill only when that mill
is located no more than 60 miles from
the current appraisal point would affect
2.7% of set-aside sales and benefit
approximately 35 small businesses
annually (see Table 10). SBA did not
adopt this approach in the proposed
regulatory text as the required step of
determining whether a small mill is
located within 60 miles of the nearest
large mill could unnecessarily
complicate the process. This approach
would impact fewer set-aside sales, but
it would also benefit fewer small
businesses. Overall, the proposed
change tis consistent with SBA’s
statutory mandate to assist small
businesses.
As an alternative to a potential policy
change, although not included in this
proposed rule, to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the
small business market share calculation,
SBA also is also considering to include
the stewardship sawtimber volume in
that calculation only in those market
areas where small business participation
is particularly likely to be
underrepresented if stewardship
sawtimber volume is excluded.
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Specifically, SBA is considering
whether to include the stewardship
sawtimber volume only in market areas
where small businesses purchase a large
percentage of stewardship contracting
timber volume or where stewardship
contracting timber volume represents a
high percentage of overall timber
volume. However, the purpose of such
a regulatory amendment is to more
accurately reflect small business
participation rates for purposes of
calculating the set-aside trigger point.
66221
(d) In setting minimum bids for small
business timber sale set-asides, the
appraisal point to calculate the cost of
transportation and hauling shall be the
nearest small business manufacturing
facility where the raw materials may be
legally processed as determined by the
U.S. Forest Service.
Dated: September 14, 2016.
Maria Contreras-Sweet,
Administrator.
[FR Doc. 2016–22861 Filed 9–26–16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8025–01–P
List of Subjects in 13 CFR Part 121
Administrative practice and
procedure, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Small businesses.
For the reasons stated in the
preamble, SBA proposes to amend part
121 of title 13 of the Code of Federal
Regulations as follows:
PART 121—SMALL BUSINESS SIZE
REGULATIONS
1. The authority citation for part 121
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 15 U.S.C. 632, 634(b)(6), 662,
and 694a(9).
2. Amend § 121.506 by redesignating
paragraphs (a) through (e), as paragraphs
(b) through (f) respectively, adding new
paragraph (a), and adding paragraphs
(g), and (h).
The additions read as follows:
■
§ 121.506 What definitions are important
for sales or leases of Government-owned
timber?
(a) Computation of market share is
the small business market share,
expressed as a percentage for a small
business timber sale market area based
on the purchase by small business in the
timber sale program market over the
preceding 5-year period. The
computation is done every five years by
the U.S. Forest Service in collaboration
with the SBA.
*
*
*
*
*
(g) Small business market share is the
calculated share of sawtimber that small
businesses are expected to purchase
within a market area, expressed as a
whole percent.
(h) Small business timber sale market
areas are physical locations throughout
the United States including National
Forests used in the administration of the
Timber Sale Set-Aside program.
■ 3. Amend § 121.507 by adding
paragraph (d) to read as follows:
§ 121.507 What are the size standards and
other requirements for the purchase of
Government-owned timber (other than
Special Salvage Timber)?
*
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*
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*
Fmt 4702
*
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DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Federal Aviation Administration
14 CFR Part 71
[Docket No. FAA–2016–8839; Airspace
Docket No. 16–AGL–19]
Proposed Amendment of Class E
Airspace for the Following Ohio
Towns; Findlay, OH; Ashland, OH;
Celina, OH; Circleville, OH; Columbus,
OH; Defiance, OH; Hamilton, OH; Lima,
OH; and London, OH
Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA), DOT.
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking
(NPRM).
AGENCY:
This action proposes to
modify Class E airspace designated as a
surface area at Findlay Airport, Findlay,
OH; and Class E airspace extending
upward from 700 feet above the surface
at Ashland County Airport, Ashland,
OH; Lakefield Airport, Celina, OH;
Pickaway County Memorial Airport,
Circleville, OH; Ross County Airport,
Chillicothe, OH; Fairfield County
Airport, Lancaster, OH; Defiance
Memorial Airport, Defiance, OH;
Findlay Airport; Bluffton Airport,
Findlay, OH; Butler County AirportHogan Field, Hamilton, OH; Lima Allen
County Airport, Lima, OH; and Madison
County Airport, London, OH.
Decommissioning of non-directional
radio beacon (NDB), cancellation of
NDB approaches, and implementation
of area navigation (RNAV) procedures
have made this action necessary for the
safety and management of Instrument
Flight Rules (IFR) operations at these
airports. Additionally, the geographic
coordinates at Port Columbus
International Airport; Findlay Airport;
Ashland County Airport; Samaritan
Hospital Heliport, Ashland, OH;
Lakefield Airport; Ross County Airport;
Defiance Regional Medical Center
Heliport, Defiance, OH; Bluffton
Airport; Lima Allen County Airport; and
SUMMARY:
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 187 (Tuesday, September 27, 2016)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 66199-66221]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2016-22861]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SMALL BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION
13 CFR Part 121
RIN 3245-AG69
Small Business Timber Set-Aside Program
AGENCY: U.S. Small Business Administration.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA or Agency) seeks
comments on a proposed amendment to its regulations governing the small
business timber set-aside program (hereafter referred to as the
``timber program'') so that appraisals on small business set-aside
sales be made to the nearest small business mill. Timber sale
appraisals are performed for small business qualifying set-aside and
non-set-aside sales. When the U.S. Department of Agriculture's (USDA)
Forest Service (FS) offers timber for sale, it appraises its potential
market value and sets the minimum bid that it will accept based on that
appraisal. Currently, appraisals in small business set-aside timber
sales take into account the haul costs to the nearest mill regardless
of that mill's size. Since set-aside timber sales require the use of
small business mills, SBA proposes that the appraisal on set-aside
timber sales
[[Page 66200]]
be made to the nearest small business mill in order to accurately
reflect the estimated cost to an eligible bidder. SBA is also
requesting comment on a possible policy alternative that would use a
weighted approach to appraising.
DATES: Comments must be received on or before November 28, 2016.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments, identified by RIN: 3245-AG69, by
any of the following methods:
Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov.
Follow the instructions for submitting comments.
For mail, paper, disk, or CD/ROM submissions: Brenda J.
Fernandez, Procurement Analyst, U.S. Small Business Administration,
Office of Policy, Planning and Liaison, 409 Third Street SW., 8th
Floor, Washington, DC 20416.
Hand Delivery/Courier: Brenda J. Fernandez, Procurement
Analyst, U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Policy, Planning
and Liaison, 409 Third Street SW., 8th Floor, Washington, DC 20416.
SBA will post all comments on www.regulations.gov. If you wish to
submit confidential business information (CBI) as defined in the User
Notice at www.regulations.gov, please submit the information to: Brenda
J. Fernandez, Procurement Analyst, U.S. Small Business Administration,
Office of Policy, Planning and Liaison, 409 Third Street SW., 8th
Floor, Washington, DC 20416, or send an email to
brenda.fernandez@sba.gov. Highlight the information that you consider
to be CBI and explain why you believe SBA should hold this information
as confidential. SBA will review the information and make the final
determination on whether it will publish the information.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Brenda J. Fernandez, Procurement
Analyst, U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Policy, Planning
and Liaison, 409 Third Street SW., 8th Floor, Washington, DC 20416;
(202) 205-7337; brenda.fernandez@sba.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background and Rationale for Proposed Rule
In cooperation with SBA, the FS manages the timber program. The
timber program was designed for small businesses whose product needs
are timber. Throughout the country, the FS offers timber sales that are
composed of multi-products for which the purchaser pays different rates
for each product. Multi-product sales may be composed of sawlogs, pulp
logs, biomass, or other products not generally processed into sawlogs.
Timber sales that have substantial sawlog volume are targeted for the
set-aside program. Small independent loggers, often called gypos, are
identified as small non-manufacturers, and are eligible to purchase the
set-aside timber sale and have to adhere to the contract rules of where
the timber can be milled. The volume purchased by these non-
manufacturers is credited, under the set-aside program, to the small
business market share.
Section 15(a) of the Small Business Act authorizes small businesses
to receive any contract which would ``assur[e] that a fair proportion
of the total purchases and contracts for property and services for the
Government in each industry category are placed with small-business
concerns'' and which would ``assur[e] that a fair proportion of the
total sales of Government property be made to small-business
concerns.'' 15 U.S.C. 644(a). Contracts for the sale of government
owned timber are, therefore, required to be set aside for small
businesses in order to assure that small businesses receive a fair
proportion of such sales. While the Small Business Act does not define
``fair proportion,'' SBA interpreted ``fair proportion'' in adopting
the market share system used today and detailed below. The D.C.
District Court upheld this interpretation in 1974 in Duke City Lumber
Co. v. Butz, 382 F. Supp. 362 (D.D.C., 1974), aff'd, 539 F.2d 220 (D.C.
Cir., 1976).
Congress further decreed in section 2 of the Small Business Act
that the ``economic well-being [and] security of this Nation . . .
cannot be realized unless the actual and potential capacity of small
business is encouraged and developed.'' 15 U.S.C. 631. To that end,
Congress directed all ends of the Government to ``maintain and
strengthen the overall economy of the Nation'' by assuring that small
businesses receive a fair proportion of total government contracts and
total government sales. Through sections 2 and 15 of the Small Business
Act, SBA is entrusted with keeping Federal government agencies
accountable on their collective obligation to deliver a fair proportion
of contracts and sales to small businesses. SBA's regulations, however,
currently do not address how SBA calculates ``fair proportion'' in the
context of government-owned timber sales. SBA's regulations also do not
address how goods-for-services stewardship timber sales should be
treated in the context of the small business fair proportion or market
share calculation.
Establishing Hauling Cost Appraisals That Are Accurate
SBA proposes to amend its regulations to include instructions on
how hauling costs are to be estimated in developing the appraised price
for small business set-aside sales under the timber program. SBA's
current regulations provide that on a set-aside sale the small business
may not resell more than 30% of the advertised sawtimber volume to a
large business concern in all FS regions outside of Alaska. As such, at
least 70% of the advertised sawtimber volume must be processed at a
small mill. This provision is known as the ``30/70 rule.'' When the FS
offers a timber program sale as a set-aside, it appraises its potential
market value and sets the minimum bid that it will accept based on that
appraisal. One factor in the appraisal is the haul cost that the
purchaser (small or large) will have to absorb to bring the timber to a
manufacturing facility. Currently, appraisals are made to the nearest
mill regardless of that mill's size. Because of the locations and
sparse number of remaining small sawmills, the current appraisal points
used for calculating hauling costs may have prevented small mills from
bidding on set-aside sales, since fuel and non-fuel costs for
transporting the timber from the forest to the processing location may
negate the bidder's profit margin of the purchase when the 30/70 rule
is also applied.
In order to provide small businesses an ability to meet the
requirements of the law as required under set-aside provisions, and to
encourage small business competition, SBA is proposing that small
business set-aside timber sales be appraised to the nearest small
business mill to accurately reflect the haul costs to eligible bidders.
As an alternative, SBA is also requesting comments on whether the
requirement to appraise the set-aside timber sales to the nearest small
mill should have some reasonable distance or haul cost limitation, such
as 60 miles (from the sale area to the nearest mill), because it may
not be economically feasible to haul timber over large distances. In
addition, SBA is also requesting comments on whether all 100% of the
hauling costs should be appraised to the nearest small business mill,
or, when the nearest mill is a large business, whether 70% of the
hauling costs should be appraised to the nearest small mill and
remaining 30% appraised to the nearest large mill in accordance
[[Page 66201]]
with the 70/30 ratio under the set-aside rule.
The proposed regulatory amendment would affect the FS timber
program only. As noted below, FS and the Department of Interior's (DOI)
Bureau of Land Management (BLM) are the primary timber ``sales
agencies.'' However, BLM's small business set-aside sales, which are
limited to eight markets in Oregon (FS Region 6), are made in
accordance with the terms of a separate Memorandum of Understanding
(MOU) between SBA and BLM. Rather than setting forth considerations for
small business market share computation methods, SBA's MOU with BLM
affords SBA the opportunity to review BLM's annual timber sale plans
prior to publication and to request set-aside sales under the authority
of the Small Business Act. When BLM agrees to set-aside certain timber
sales for small businesses, BLM consults with SBA concerning financial
and other performance qualifications to be included in the conditions
of sale. Accordingly, the proposed amendment to the timber program
would have no impact on BLM's timber sale program since BLM's current
policy is to appraise the hauling costs on its set-aside sales to the
closest mill that qualifies as a small business under SBA's
regulations. While SBA is also considering an amendment stewardship
contracting to include the stewardship sawtimber volume in the small
business market share calculation, this possible policy change would
not impact BLM's use of stewardship sales since BLM already credits/
counts the stewardship sawtimber volume in administering its set-aside
program.
SBA invites comments on all aspects of this proposed rule, the
timber program, and other policy changes currently under consideration.
In particular, SBA requests comments on the proposed change to
appraising the haul costs to the small business set-aside sales and the
alternative weighted approach to appraising the haul costs using the
30/70 rule. SBA is also interested in comments on whether there should
be a reasonableness test for distance from the sale area to the nearest
qualifying small business mill and how this test should be applied. In
addition, SBA invites comments on impacts of the potential inclusion of
the stewardship sawtimber volume in the small business ``fair
proportion'' calculation that SBA is currently considering but not
proposing in this rule.
The federal government regularly sells timber and non-timber
products from the federal forests managed by the USDA's FS, the DOI's
BLM, the DOI's Fish and Wildlife Service, the U.S. Department of
Defense, the U.S. Department of Energy, and the Tennessee Valley
Authority. Collectively, these agencies are referred to as the ``sales
agencies'' with FS and BLM being the primary sales agencies.
This proposed rule intends to amend SBA's regulations governing the
timber program. As mandated by the Small Business Act, SBA and the
sales agencies jointly set-aside timber program sales for exclusive
bidding by small business concerns when market conditions demonstrate
that small businesses are not receiving their fair share of timber
volume under full-and-open competition or unrestricted sales. When the
small business share of the timber market falls below a certain level,
a small business set-aside sale is triggered.
In order to determine the small business market share that triggers
a set-aside sale, FS calculates the current small business market share
based on small business purchases of sawtimber volume sold under the
timber program over a five-year period. This percentage, based upon
historical purchases of sawtimber in the market area, sets the
framework for what constitutes small businesses' fair proportion of the
total sales volume. If at any time, the small business market share
falls below this percentage, subsequent timber program sales would be
set-aside for preferential bidding by small businesses. Set-aside sales
in the timber program will continue until such time that the small
business market share rises above the triggering percentage.
Currently, only the advertised sawtimber volume sold under the
timber program is used to calculate the small business market share,
which establishes whether or not a timber sale should be set-aside for
preferential bidding by small business. Sawtimber volume sold under
stewardship contracting is not presently considered in this
calculation. SBA is considering a change to the calculation of the
small business market share using the volume of sawtimber sold under
both the timber program and stewardship contracting. By counting all
sawtimber volume, regardless of which way it's sold, the triggers for
set-aside procedures under the timber program could more accurately
reflect the small business market for FS timber. However, SBA
recognizes that including sawtimber volume sold through stewardship
contracting in the small business market share calculation could, under
some circumstances, result in there not being a set-aside sale where
there otherwise would have been a set-aside had stewardship sawtimber
not been included in the calculation and vice versa. SBA requests
comment on the possible impacts to small businesses should SBA propose
to include the stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation of small
business fair proportion. The Agency further requests comment on the
need for transparency in the timber market as well as additional data
in order to help SBA further analyze the impacts of including
stewardship sawtimber volume in determining the small business fair
proportion of the market used in triggering set-aside sales under the
timber program.
It is also important to note that under this potential policy
change, although the volume of sawtimber sold through the timber
program and stewardship contracting would be used in the calculation of
the size of the small business market share that triggers a set-aside
sale, set-aside sales would only continue to occur under the timber
program. Since set-aside sales are not provided for under stewardship
contracting, such a policy change would not affect the FS's
implementation of the stewardship process.
The following is an illustration of how including stewardship
sawtimber may result in a more accurate depiction of the market that
small businesses are operating in:
Example A. The target market share for small business is 47%. A
timber program sale is conducted through full-and-open procedures. A
small business wins the award which contains 1,000 CCF (one hundred
cubic feet) of sawtimber. Since small business has attained 80% of the
sawtimber market share (large business is allotted 20% of the offered
timber program sale volume per FS regulations), unless that share drops
below 37% (trigger occurs when small business market share is 10
percentage points or more below the established baseline market share)
through subsequent timber sales, there will be no trigger for set-aside
sales and future timber program sales will continue under full-and-open
competition.
Example B. In the same market area, there have also been four (4)
stewardship sawtimber sales. These are always conducted as full-and-
open competition sales, because set-asides for small business are not
provided for in implementing stewardship contracting projects. These
four (4) awards have all gone to large businesses, each for 1,000 CCF.
The next timber program sawtimber sale is for another 1,000 CCF, but
because stewardship sawtimber volume is not counted, the attained
[[Page 66202]]
small business market share, from example A, is still reflected as 80%.
As a result, the next timber program sawtimber sale will be advertised
as a full-and-open sale. Had the previous stewardship sawtimber volume
been counted, the attained small business market share would have been
reflected as only 20% (1,000 out of 5,000 CCF sold) and this next
timber program sawtimber sale would have triggered a small business
set-aside since the 20% small business attainment is more than 10
percentage points below the minimum established for the market share of
47% in that market area.
Example C. Even if two (2) of the stewardship sawtimber sales in
example B had been previously won by small businesses the trigger for a
set-aside of the next timber program sawtimber sale would not have
occurred as small business would have been shown to have purchased a
total market share of 60% (3,000 out of 5,000 CCF) which is better than
the minimum established 47% share for that market area.
The FS received authority to implement pilot stewardship
contracting projects in section 347 of the FY1999 Omnibus
Appropriations Act (Pub. L. 105-277, sec. 347). Similarly, BLM was
authorized to use stewardship contracting in 2003 (Pub. L. 108-7, 16
U.S.C. 2104). The purpose of stewardship contracting was to help
achieve land management goals in National Forests and in the public
lands managed by BLM, in addition to helping meet the needs of local
and rural communities. Initially, stewardship contracting was scheduled
to expire in 2003 and then again in 2013. The Agricultural Act of 2014
established stewardship contracting as a permanent authority (Pub. L.
113-79, sec. 8205).
Stewardship contracting is a goods-for-services arrangement that
requires timber companies who cut trees on federal (FS and BLM) lands
to perform other service work in exchange for the timber volume.
Stewardship contracts fall into two general categories, Integrated
Resource Timber Contract (IRTC) formats, which were developed for
exclusive use in implementing stewardship contracting projects when the
value of goods exceeds the value of services and Integrated Resource
Service Contract (IRSC) formats, which were developed for exclusive use
in implementing stewardship contracting projects when the value of
services exceeds the value of the goods.
Developments in the Timber Industry
The entire wood products industry in the U.S. has undergone
dramatic changes in the past three decades. The sale of timber from the
National Forest System (NFS) has decreased from an annual timber volume
of approximately 10 billion board feet in 1990 to approximately 2.9
billion board feet in 2015. While the reasons for this decline are not
relevant to this proposed rule, the significance of this decline shows
that all mills, both small and large, and the communities that they
support have struggled to cope with the diminished supply of timber to
sustain their operations. Coupled with other economic factors, such as
the recession of 2008-2009 which saw a reduction in finished product
markets, particularly the new single family home construction market,
the decline in the timber industry has resulted in the closure of a
significant number of small and large mills. The segment of the U.S.
timber industry that derives its timber from the NFS does not operate
in a vacuum but in the overall market for timber. In the United States,
in the late 1990s, over 90% of the timber harvest volume came from
private lands and only about 5% came from USFS sales. During the
recession, the drop in new residential construction from 1.7 million
units annually to 450,000 and a decline in home remodeling as
residential mortgages tightened and home sales dropped combined to
impact wood manufacturing. From 2005 to 2009, over 1,000 sawmills
closed, comprising nearly 19% of all domestic mills in the forest
sector. Many other mills operated at limited capacity. All mills, both
large and small, have been forced to adapt and retool in response to
these changes, including mills of all sizes that do not rely on timber
supplied from NFS lands. Competition from overseas markets for private
timber also complicates the ability for U.S. markets to compete. Thus,
the importance of timber supply from FS lands may have increased,
however the impacts to businesses may be attributed to a combination of
supply, demand and global market changes. The closure of small mills of
all sizes has had and continues to have an adverse effect on employment
and the overall economy in rural timber communities where the timber
industry is the leading provider of employment and income. Small mills
depend on the SBA Timber Set-Aside Program to purchase their fair share
of timber offered for sale by the FS.
SBA conducted annual field visits in different regions of the
country and from interviews with small businesses in the logging,
sawmill and other wood manufacturing industries has learned they have
suffered immensely due to a diminished supply of timber. Based on the
data from the U.S. Census Bureau's County (CBP) Business Patterns
Reports available at www.census.gov/econ/cbp/, from 1997 to 2012, the
number of small businesses (i.e., fewer than 500 employees) in the
logging industry, classified under North American Industry
Classification System (NAICS) code 113310 (Logging), decreased 40%.
Similarly, based on the data from U.S. Bureau's Economic Censuses
available at www.census.gov/econ/census/, the number of small
businesses (i.e., fewer than 500 employees) in the sawmills industry,
NAICS 321113, decreased 34% in the same period. The number of employees
of small businesses fell by 40% for the logging industry and by 39% for
the sawmills industry. The majority of remaining industries in NAICS
Subsector 321 (Wood Product Manufacturing) also saw significant
reductions in numbers of small businesses and workers employed by them.
The data also confirms that the number of large business firms
(i.e., with more than 500 employees) and number of people employed by
them in those industries also decreased. For example, from 1997 to
2012, the number of larger firms decreased 44% in the logging industry
and 42% in the sawmills industry. The number of employees hired by
large businesses decreased 48% and 52%, respectively. Many other wood
product manufacturing industries also saw similar decreases in number
of firms and employment.
While total employment fell across both small and large firms in
those industries, the proportion of employees that is employed by small
businesses increased from 1997 to 2012. For example, as a percentage of
total industry's employment, employment by small logging firms
increased from 94% to 95%. Likewise, employment by small sawmills
increased from 67% of total industry's employment in 1997 to 72% of
total industry employment in 2012. This increase in the proportion of
workers employed by small businesses has coincided with the significant
decrease in the number of small businesses. This indicates that, even
if they have decreased in number, small businesses are increasingly
responsible for supporting employment in those industries.
As demonstrated in Tables 1, 2, and 3 below, stewardship timber
volume (i.e., sawtimber plus non-saw timber) accounted for a steadily
increasing percentage of FS's total timber sales from 2004 to 2013.
These tables provide data on total and stewardship timber sales for
each of the nine FS regions,
[[Page 66203]]
numbered Region 1 (R-1) through Region 10 (R-10). Region 7 was
eliminated in 1965 when the current Eastern Region was created from the
former Eastern and North Central Regions. The nine FS regions that
exist today are as follows:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Region 1 (Northern)............... Montana, North Dakota, NW corner
South Dakota, and Idaho Panhandle.
Region 2 (Rocky Mountain)......... Colorado, Wyoming, South Dakota,
Nebraska, and Kansas.
Region 3 (Southwestern)........... Arizona and New Mexico.
Region 4 (Intermountain).......... Utah, Nevada, Western Wyoming,
Southern Idaho, and a small portion
of California.
Region 5 (Pacific Southwest)...... California.
Region 6 (Pacific Northwest)...... Oregon and Washington.
Region 8 (Southern)............... Virginia, North Carolina, South
Carolina, Georgia, Florida,
Kentucky, Tennessee, Alabama,
Mississippi, Louisiana, Texas,
Oklahoma, and Arkansas.
Region 9 (Eastern)................ Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa,
Missouri, Illinois, Indiana,
Michigan, Ohio, West Virginia,
Maryland, Delaware, Pennsylvania,
New Jersey, New York, Rhode Island,
Connecticut, Massachusetts,
Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine.
Region 10......................... Alaska.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
In Fiscal Year 2013, stewardship timber sales accounted for 31% of
all timber volume (timber plus non-timber) sold by the FS, up from only
5% a decade earlier. It should be noted that stewardship sawtimber
volume is different from the total stewardship timber volume, and that
all tables/references are based using the timber volume data only.
Table 1--Total Timber Volumes Sold by Each of the 9 FS Regions * (R-1 to R-10) FY 2004-FY 2013
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year (FY) R-1 R-2 R-3 R-4 R-5 R-6 R-8 R-9 R-10 All FS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
All Sales, Sawtimber + Non-sawtimber (Volumes in Millions of Board Feet (MMbf))
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004...................................... 159 163 49 107 208 434 359 319 85 1,883
2005...................................... 243 132 72 49 386 392 414 364 54 2,105
2006...................................... 189 165 69 68 228 470 858 381 83 2,511
2007...................................... 135 198 57 69 272 489 501 352 29 2,101
2008...................................... 186 201 43 70 109 525 539 349 4 2,026
2009...................................... 216 199 21 41 236 498 476 319 6 2,011
2010...................................... 180 196 46 60 252 424 540 358 45 2,100
2011...................................... 149 159 54 46 212 464 556 379 37 2,056
2012...................................... 144 196 32 53 219 512 521 419 41 2,137
2013...................................... 115 210 129 71 229 527 475 393 13 2,162
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 (R-7) was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Data Company; November 19, 2013.
Table 2--Stewardship Timber Volume Sold by Each of the 9 FS Regions * (R-1 to R-10), FY 2004-FY 2013
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year (FY) R-1 R-2 R-3 R-4 R-5 R-6 R-8 R-9 R-10 All FS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Stewardship Timber/Service Sales (Volumes in Millions of Board Feet (MMbf))
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004...................................... 7 9 25 12 23 19 0 0 0 96
2005...................................... 12 9 17 7 23 30 4 2 1 105
2006...................................... 48 16 18 15 24 64 42 4 0 231
2007...................................... 44 16 28 9 62 91 34 23 1 308
2008...................................... 64 35 21 12 14 100 28 10 1 284
2009...................................... 45 38 15 11 54 96 62 22 0 343
2010...................................... 56 70 26 38 75 120 50 50 0 486
2011...................................... 43 33 31 21 47 105 62 50 33 427
2012...................................... 41 35 19 22 102 175 92 67 40 592
2013...................................... 36 39 107 51 75 202 90 61 0 661
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 (R-7) was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Data Company; November 19, 2013.
Table 3--Stewardship Timber Sales as a Percentage of Total Timber Sold by Region, FY 2004-FY 2013
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year (FY) R-1 R-2 R-3 R-4 R-5 R-6 R-8 R-9 R-10 All FS
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
% Stewardship
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004...................................... 4 5 51 12 11 4 0 0 0 5
2005...................................... 5 7 23 13 6 8 1 1 1 5
2006...................................... 25 10 26 22 11 14 5 1 0 9
2007...................................... 33 8 49 14 23 19 7 6 2 15
2008...................................... 35 17 49 17 13 19 5 3 27 14
2009...................................... 21 19 72 27 23 19 13 7 0 17
2010...................................... 31 36 56 64 30 28 9 14 0 23
2011...................................... 29 21 59 47 22 23 11 13 9 21
[[Page 66204]]
2012...................................... 28 18 58 42 47 34 18 16 96 28
2013...................................... 32 19 83 72 33 38 19 16 0 31
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 (R-7) was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Data Company; November 19, 2013.
According to historical sales data, the average number of bidders
is 1.02 for stewardship timber sales and 1.97 for timber program sales;
a statistically significant difference. This suggests that stewardship
timber contracting may have fewer competitors. On average, stewardship
timber sales are substantially larger than timber program sales,
especially those awarded to small businesses. According to the analyses
of both timber program and stewardship sales data provided by FS, as
shown below in Table 4, compared to timber program volume, small
businesses acquired a larger percentage of stewardship timber volume in
Region 2 (100%), Region 4 (100%), Region 8 (94%), and Region 9 (87%)
where stewardship timber volumes are quite minimal relative to total
volumes sold. However, small businesses received a lower percentage of
stewardship timber sales in Region 1 (70%), Region 5 (49%), and Region
6 (56%) where stewardship timber sales are generally fairly large
relative to total sales. While small businesses received a larger
percentage of stewardship timber volume in five regions individually,
in aggregate (i.e. when all regions combined) the small business share
was substantially lower at about 62% under stewardship contracting, as
compared to nearly 71% under the timber sales program. Thus, based on
these data, SBA is concerned that small businesses may be less
successful in getting their fair share of government timber sales under
stewardship contracting projects than under the timber program in
certain FS regions and markets and that this situation may get worse
over time as more and more FS timber is sold through stewardship
contracting, as indicated by recent trends shown above in Table 2.
Accordingly, to address this issue, SBA is considering a policy change
to include the stewardship timber volume in the calculation of small
business market shares. SBA seeks comments on the potential impacts of
this change in the methodology, and how any impacts to small businesses
may vary across regions or across market areas within the region.
Table 4--Total Timber Volumes Sold Under Timber Program and Stewardship Sales and Shares of Timber Sold to Small Businesses by Region *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total timber volume sold (1,000 CCF) Share of timber sold to small businesses
------------------------------------------------------------------ (%)
Region Timber Stewardship Total timber sales --------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Small Total Small Total Small Timber Stewardship Total
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Region 1................................. 1,949 1,454 304 213 2,253 1,667 74.6 70.0 74.0
Region 2................................. 2,471 1,910 121 120 2,591 2,031 77.3 100.0 78.4
Region 3................................. 615 615 62 62 677 677 100.0 100.0 100.0
Region 4................................. 859 588 29 29 888 618 68.5 100.0 69.6
Region 5................................. 2,484 1,261 230 113 2,715 1,373 50.7 48.9 50.6
Region 6................................. 8,206 5,369 2,067 1,152 10,273 6,520 65.4 55.7 63.5
Region 8................................. 4,434 3,546 139 131 4,572 3,677 80.0 94.4 80.4
Region 9................................. 1,614 1,533 59 51 1,673 1,584 94.9 86.6 94.7
All Regions.............................. 22,632 16,275 3,011 1,871 25,643 18,146 71.9 62.2 70.8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of redesignation of FS regions. Region 10 was not included in FS calculations.
Source: FS calculations based on the Timber Data Company data for FY 2002-2010 for Regions 2 through 5, 8 and 9, and FY 2002-2015 for Regions 1 and 6.
Still, SBA faces data challenges in analyzing the impact on small
businesses from a potential policy change to include the stewardship
sawtimber in the calculation of small business fair proportion or
market share used to establish a set-aside sale within the timber
program. The FS conducted an analysis with FY 2002-2010 data for
Regions 2 through 5, 8 and 9 and with FY 2002-2015 data for Regions 1
and 6. To bridge these gaps in the data, SBA evaluated the percentages
of timber program and stewardship sales awarded to small businesses
using the data from the SBA's Timber Sales System (TSS) for FY 2004-
2014. These results, as shown below in Table 5, also showed fairly
similar patterns as in the FS analysis in Table 4, with small
businesses generally acquiring a relatively larger percentage of
stewardship timber in most regions where stewardship contracting is
limited and a smaller percentage in regions where stewardship timber
sales are substantial relative to total sales, such as Regions 1, 5 and
6.
[[Page 66205]]
Table 5--Share (%) of Total Timber Volume Sold to Small Businesses by Type of Sale--Timber Program (T) and Stewardship (S)--by FS Region, FY 2004-2014 *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Region
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Region 1 Region 2 Region 3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
T S Total T S Total T S Total
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004................................................. 70.2 ......... 70.2 57.3 ......... 57.3 100.0 ......... 100.0
2005................................................. 81.9 100.0 82.2 73.5 100.0 75.2 100.0 100.0 100.0
2006................................................. 81.3 89.4 83.5 82.1 54.5 79.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
2007................................................. 84.9 94.0 87.8 75.6 100.0 77.8 100.0 100.0 100.0
2008................................................. 89.3 85.5 88.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
2009................................................. 60.4 64.3 61.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 90.9 100.0 96.4
2010................................................. 86.6 38.5 66.9 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
2011................................................. 68.8 50.6 63.7 96.1 100.0 97.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
2012................................................. 90.8 15.2 69.8 93.6 100.0 94.8 100.0 100.0 100.0
2013................................................. 41.2 34.8 39.4 88.2 100.0 89.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
2014................................................. 48.5 100.0 54.1 44.4 100.0 53.4 100.0 100.0 100.0
All years............................................ 74.9 55.4 69.9 83.0 97.7 85.4 99.8 100.0 99.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Region
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Region 4 Region 5 Region 6
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
T S Total T S Total T S Total
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004................................................. 66.5 ......... 66.5 78.3 ......... 77.7 71.2 ......... 71.2
2005................................................. 94.2 100.0 94.6 28.6 17.6 28.0 54.3 15.2 50.8
2006................................................. 77.1 81.5 78.0 28.1 57.4 30.8 57.8 67.7 59.3
2007................................................. 74.6 88.9 76.5 58.8 45.6 55.8 62.4 41.3 58.7
2008................................................. 76.9 91.3 79.3 86.6 95.7 87.4 63.7 59.5 62.9
2009................................................. 79.7 100.0 85.2 71.4 74.7 72.1 75.4 59.5 72.0
2010................................................. 100.0 66.7 79.8 62.8 56.4 60.5 64.7 61.2 63.7
2011................................................. 100.0 44.3 68.5 54.4 87.9 62.6 66.4 60.3 65.0
2012................................................. 96.8 100.0 98.1 79.2 40.6 62.7 64.6 57.6 62.1
2013................................................. 95.0 100.0 98.4 68.5 55.6 64.1 65.8 72.8 68.6
2014................................................. 100.0 42.4 65.1 37.6 86.0 44.6 70.5 70.1 70.3
All years............................................ 82.0 75.5 79.9 56.3 57.8 56.6 65.1 61.6 64.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Region
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year Region 8 Region 9 Region 10
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
T S Total T S Total T S Total
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2004................................................. 89.3 ......... 89.3 78.8 ......... 78.8 100.0 ......... 100.0
2005................................................. 86.9 100.0 87.0 79.3 100.0 79.4 100.0 100.0 100.0
2006................................................. 74.1 100.0 75.3 92.7 100.0 92.7 100.0 ......... 100.0
2007................................................. 80.1 100.0 81.3 85.3 74.3 84.6 100.0 ......... 100.0
2008................................................. 85.3 97.9 86.0 89.4 100.0 89.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
2009................................................. 93.2 94.6 93.3 92.2 100.0 92.8 100.0 ......... 100.0
2010................................................. 85.4 95.7 86.4 87.8 95.7 88.8 100.0 ......... 100.0
2011................................................. 86.8 96.7 88.1 85.7 89.9 86.3 100.0 100.0 100.0
2012................................................. 91.3 78.8 89.1 88.4 98.2 90.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
2013................................................. 91.6 100.0 93.1 90.4 90.9 90.5 100.0 ......... 100.0
2014................................................. 77.2 89.9 80.4 84.3 80.2 83.6 100.0 100.0 100.0
All years............................................ 84.7 92.9 85.5 86.8 90.6 87.1 100.0 100.0 100.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Sales System.
As shown below in Table 6, the data further indicates that, during
FY 2004--2014, more than two-thirds of businesses (68% of all
businesses and 67% of small businesses) that receive stewardship timber
contracts also acquired timber through the timber program. Likewise,
87% of stewardship timber volumes sold to all firms and 83% of
stewardship timber volumes sold to small firms was acquired by
businesses that purchase timber through both stewardship and timber
program sales (see Table 7 below). Except for Region 4 with respect to
the number of firms and Region 3 with respect to timber volume (in both
cases the percentages are less than 50%), the results are more or less
similar across regions. The majority of stewardship timber purchasers
successfully compete in both markets.
[[Page 66206]]
Table 6--Number of Firms Getting Timber Program (T), Stewardship (S), and Both (T & S) Types of Timber Sales by
Region, FY 2004-2014
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(T&S)/total S
Region * T only S only Both (T & S) Total S (%)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number of All Firms
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1............................... 558 10 34 44 77.3
2............................... 432 14 30 44 68.2
3............................... 272 17 17 34 50.0
4............................... 313 24 20 44 45.5
5............................... 540 11 44 55 80.0
6............................... 464 28 54 82 65.9
8............................... 918 18 56 74 75.7
9............................... 692 37 85 122 69.7
10.............................. 99 1 6 7 85.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total....................... 4,288 160 346 506 68.4
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number of Small Firms
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1............................... 546 9 28 37 75.7
2............................... 407 14 28 42 66.7
3............................... 268 17 16 33 48.5
4............................... 300 21 17 38 44.7
5............................... 516 9 38 47 80.9
6............................... 447 26 40 66 60.6
8............................... 861 17 49 66 74.2
9............................... 645 34 78 112 69.6
10.............................. 97 1 6 7 85.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total....................... 4,087 148 300 448 67.0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Sales System.
Table 7--Volume of Timber Sold to Firms Getting Timber Program (T), Stewardship (S), and Both (C & S) Types of Sales by Region, FY 2004-2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Both (T & S) S Under both/
Region * (1) T only (2) S only (3) -------------------------------- Total S (6 = total S (\5/
T (4) S (5) (3 + 5)) 6\) (%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Timber Acquired by All Firms (in 1,000 CCF)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1....................................................... 1,193 156 2,370 1,045 1,201 87.0
2....................................................... 2,675 56 1,642 769 825 93.2
3....................................................... 297 212 499 186 397 46.7
4....................................................... 605 179 604 310 489 63.4
5....................................................... 1,241 40 4,843 1,235 1,276 96.8
6....................................................... 2,610 188 6,247 2,489 2,677 93.0
8....................................................... 6,069 257 4,434 967 1,224 79.0
9....................................................... 3,400 107 3,415 583 690 84.5
10...................................................... 491 6 456 375 381 98.5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total............................................... 18,580 1,201 24,510 7,959 9,160 86.9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Timber Acquired by Small Firms (in 1,000 CCF)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1....................................................... 1,114 152 1,311 531 683 77.8
2....................................................... 2,177 56 1,337 649 704 92.1
3....................................................... 289 212 417 127 338 37.4
4....................................................... 497 115 476 206 321 64.2
5....................................................... 1,045 26 2,097 592 618 95.7
6....................................................... 2,179 139 4,148 1,345 1,483 90.7
8....................................................... 4,927 253 4,004 800 1,053 76.0
9....................................................... 2,727 97 2,957 419 516 81.2
10...................................................... 251 6 832 375 381 98.5
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total............................................... 15,207 1,055 17,580 5,043 6,097 82.7
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: Timber Sales System.
[[Page 66207]]
The Timber Program
The FS sells logs in accordance with the National Forest Management
Act, which describes the process for buying, paying for, harvesting,
and removing wood from NFS lands. Pursuant to the Small Business Act
(15 U.S.C. 644(a)), SBA established the timber program in 1958. At that
time, the timber program was a mechanism for the USDA to set aside
timber sales. In 1971, SBA and USDA signed a Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) which established the guidelines for determining
``fair proportion,'' created a five-year re-computation period for
determining the base average shares of timber purchases, and
established a ``trigger'' mechanism for initiating set-aside timber
sales. Currently, FS has 9 Regions comprised of 140 market areas, of
which 139 are active as shown in Table 11. See https://www.fs.fed.us/.
The FS sells timber through both the timber program and stewardship
contracting. With respect to timber program sales, each FS market area
has a distinct small business market share. This percentage, based upon
historical sawtimber volume acquired by small businesses, sets the
framework for what constitutes small businesses' fair proportion of the
total timber program sawtimber sales volume. Whenever the small
businesses market share drops 10 percentage points or more below the
established small business market share for a market area, a set-aside
sale is ``triggered'' and FS is required to offer set-aside sales to
increase the small business market share. If small businesses do not
submit bids, the set-aside sale is converted to a full-and-open sale in
which other-than-small businesses can also compete.
Currently, FS does not consider the sawtimber volume from IRTC and
IRSC stewardship contracting in calculating the small business market
share. The omission of the stewardship sawtimber volume in the
calculation may affect small business market shares in either direction
relative to the current policy. For example, FS' Mt. Hood market area
(located in Region 6) has an established small business market share of
80% (as calculated during the 2010 re-computation of small business
market shares). Because 20% of FS' timber program sales must be
competed as full and open in order to ensure that large businesses also
have the opportunity to compete, 80% is the maximum allowable small
business share and indicates a robust small business timber purchase
market. Over the period from November 2010 through March 2015, twenty-
six (26) timber sales were offered in the Mt. Hood market area. Of
those 26 sales, sixteen (16) were stewardship timber contracts which
included timber volume. Twelve (12) of these were awarded to small
businesses under full and open conditions. Ten (10) of the 26 sales
were timber program sales. Eight (8) were awarded as full-and-open
sales, and two (2) were small business set-aside sales.
This data suggests that small businesses have been successfully
obtaining timber volume in this market area, but because stewardship
sawtimber volume is not included in determining what the correct small
business market share calculation should be, the small business fair
market share has dropped from 80% to 72%. This is one example of how
not counting stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation can
influence what the small business established fair share should be.
Based on the limited data available, as it appears, it is also possible
that including the stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation of
fair proportion could have the reverse effect in some regions,
increasing the five-year fair market share relevant to the current
policy.
Public Comments in Response to SBA's Advance Notice of Proposed
Rulemaking
In response to requests from timber industry stakeholders, SBA
published an Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPRM) in the
Federal Register on March 25, 2015 (80 FR 15697) inviting the public to
submit comments on or before May 26, 2015. Specifically, the ANPRM
requested detailed comments addressing the possible inclusion of the
stewardship contracting sawtimber volume in the small business market
share calculations and the possible appraisal of small business set-
aside sales to the nearest qualifying small business mill. SBA received
responses from 842 commenters. The summary of comments is provided in
the following sections.
Comments on the State of the Timber Industry
The ANPRM presumed that the U.S. timber industry has undergone
dramatic changes in the past decades. As stated in the ANPRM, the
supply of timber from the FS timber program decreased significantly
over the past three decades impacting both large and small businesses.
Comments to the ANPRM provided more insights into the state of the
timber industry. For example, according to comments from a trade group
representing small timber products companies, Timber Products
Manufacturers Association (TPMA), since stewardship contracting was
first piloted, small sawmills' share of Federal timber has declined by
71%. For example, in 1993, 146 small sawmills shared access to the FS
timber in the Western regions; in 2014, that number had decreased to 43
firms. According to comments, remaining small business sawmills have
made changes in their processes and the way they do business to remain
competitive and stay in business.
TPMA also commented that, as the number of small businesses
declines, large firms are increasingly able to raise costs through
anti-competitive means. That is, as the number of potential buyers for
timber gets smaller, dominant firms are enabled to set the price. TPMA
pointed to a study published by the SBA's Office of Advocacy.
Innovation & Information Consultants, Inc., 2008, Analyzing the Impacts
of Antitrust Laws and Enforcement on Small Business, prepared for the
U.S. Small Business Administration, Office of Advocacy under contract
no. SBAHQ-06-M-0476, available at www.sba.gov. The study found evidence
of harmful anti-competitive behavior in the timber industry; however
industry-wide trends indicated macroeconomic factors were equally
important in the decline of small businesses. Specifically, the study
indicated that a particular global forest products company made efforts
to monopolize the red alder timber market in the Pacific Northwest by
employing anti-competitive strategies. Still, antitrust litigation in
the Northwest did not deter new entry into the market during this time.
Thirty-one Washington and Oregon hardwood mills closed between 1980 and
2001, when the large company was suspected of anti-competitive behavior
in those states.
In response to the ANPRM, other-than-small industry participants
submitted data showing that, as the FS reduced its timber harvest by
over 90%, the majority of sawmills in the western United States that
existed in 1971 have now closed. According to a regional trade
association representing large business operations, the Public Timber
Purchasers Group (PTPG), between 1990 and 2010, 207 mills closed in
Oregon (a decrease of 66%) causing a loss of 21,000 jobs. PTPG asserted
that these economic forces have caused small sawmills to merge or be
purchased. As a result, according to PTPG, there is only one operating
small business sawmill capable of purchasing federal timber in some FS
areas--and in some other areas, there are no longer small business
purchasers at all. Additionally, a union representing manufacturing
[[Page 66208]]
workers observed that, in Oregon, virtually all organized labor in the
lumber manufacturing sector is found in mills with consolidated
ownership.
Commenters also provided localized observations and data. In Bonner
County, Idaho, according to the Bonner County Board of Commissioners,
800 logging and sawmill jobs have been lost and only one small sawmill
remains. According to a commenter from Coos Bay, Oregon, one of the
largest mill sites has been converted to a casino. An executive from a
small lumber products company in Clarkston, Washington, spoke at a May
7, 2015 regulatory fairness hearing in Spokane about closing the
company's Clarkston mill in 2009 because of the recession. However,
partly because of small business set-aside timber sales from the
Umatilla National Forest, the company has been able to reopen the
Clarkston mill and support 80 jobs. It now operates two sawmills and
employs 240 workers. Conversely, two small business sawmills in Montana
initiated layoffs of between one-third and one-half of their workers.
Comments on the Current Timber Set-Aside Program
In response to SBA's invitation for comments on the current
Program, 221 commenters expressed general support for the current
Program. Commenters generally asserted that small mills depend on the
Program to purchase their fair share of timber offered for sale by the
FS. By contrast, large business mills appear to make greater use of
private land as a reserve for harvesting timber.
TPMA commented that in addition to supporting small firms and their
surrounding communities, small business set-asides do not significantly
reduce federal revenues. The group's comment pointed to a government
analysis showing that set-aside sales take in only two percent less
than open sales. A study published in 2013 found that set-asides reduce
FS revenue by 5%, and the effect of reducing competition by excluding
large businesses is partially offset by increased small business
participation. Athey, Susan, Dominic Coey, and Jonathan Levin. 2013.
``Set-Asides and Subsidies in Auctions.'' American Economic Journal:
Microeconomics, 5(1): 1-27, available at www.aeaweb.org. The commenter
also posited that if small sawmills are pushed from the market, large
firms would be able to drive down federal revenues from timber sales.
The commenter pointed to revenue data from the Panhandle National
Forest to assert that market competition from small businesses
stabilize prices for government timber sales. TPMA asserted that
because stewardship contracting is not part of the fair proportion
calculation in the small business set-aside Program, small timber
product manufacturing companies have sustained a market decline of 71%
since the stewardship contracting was launched. The small business
trade group observed that, in 2014, one-third of the timber volume
offered by FS was distributed through stewardship contracting,
including 38% in the western United States. In some regions,
stewardship contracting exceeds 70% of FS timber volume transactions.
According to the commenter, failure to include the volume of timber
associated with stewardship contracting lowers the market share for
small business set-aside sales.
SBA also received comments from a variety of local legislators who
described how the timber set-aside program operates in their areas.
According to the comments, in Klamath County, Oregon, the only
operating sawmill is an other-than-small business, so instituting set-
asides would impact the county's budget. By contrast, a legislator from
Marion County, Oregon, commented that smaller mills that rely on set-
asides support much of the county's employment. Fifteen years ago, the
milling industry supported 63.5% of the employment in the North Santiam
Canyon communities; because of the downturn in the industry, the
industry now supports 41% of employment.
The Commissioners of Powell County, Montana, noted that the trend
toward increasing stewardship contracts in three national forests--
Beaverhead-Deerlodge, Helena and Lolo National Forests--has reduced the
potential amount of funding to the county because stewardship
contracting does not feature revenue sharing as timber program sales
do. From 2001 to 2013, the percentage of stewardship contracting on the
Beaverhead-Deerlodge and Lolo National Forests accounted for over 23%
of the sawlog volume sold during that period.
A commenter from Salem, Oregon, responded that the local community
has suffered a devastating impact because of the reduction in revenues
from timber sales. According to the commenter, declining timber
revenues has meant fewer jobs, less revenue for county services, and
less revenue to support families.
Several private business commenters remarked that failure to
include the volume of timber associated with stewardship contracting
lowers the market share for small business set-aside sales. A lumber
company in Lyons, Oregon, that employs 430 people commented that 38% of
its federal timber was bought on a small business set-aside basis. The
commenter expressed concern that half of the sales volume available to
it is being distributed through stewardship contracting, which limits
the volume available through timber program open and set-aside timber
sales. A 93-year-old lumber company in southwest Oregon stated that
100% of its federal timber under contract was purchased through small
business set-asides. The commenters worried that, without the small
business set-aside program in place, large businesses would starve
small businesses out of public timber.
Another small business lumber company in north central Idaho
remarked that the small business set-aside program is non-existent in
Nez Perce-Clearwater National Forest because in excess of 80% of the
forest's timber volume is sold through stewardship contracts. The
commenter stated that, because the stewardship program is not subject
to set-asides, its business could not avoid bidding against large
businesses.
From Montana, a family-owned sawmill and forest management company
commented that 15 million board feet of logs from the Flathead National
Forest has been made available through stewardship contracting, rather
than through the timber sales program. The commenter observed that this
volume would be enough to run its mill for nearly six months.
Comments With Requests for Government Action
A substantial number of commenters asserted that agency action is
required to avoid irreparable harm to the competitive timber market in
the United States, leading to the closure of many small timber
manufacturers. Many commenters from small business mills are the
primary employers in their rural communities, and they believe that the
lack of action will result in thousands of jobs lost and the
destruction of many of these communities. The small business industry
group commented specifically that failing to include stewardship
contracts in the small business timber set-aside program has decimated
small timber manufacturers.
Several commenters also noted that large multinational companies
have begun to aggressively pursue both timber program full-and-open and
stewardship sales in an attempt to drive small businesses from the
playing field. For example, a third-generation small
[[Page 66209]]
business logging operation in Washington and Oregon found that
stewardship contracting is replacing the timber sale program. The
commenter purchases most of its federal timber from the Mt. Hood and
Gifford Pinchot National Forests, but has seen a 90% reduction in
available timber volume since 1990. The commenter observed that there
are very few small business set-aside sales because of the predominance
of stewardship sales, and speculated that large forest products
companies have worked to drive small family-owned companies out of
business in order to consolidate the market share.
A small business lumber company from Deer Lodge, Montana, operating
in an area where the FS owns over 60% of timber lands, commented that
it is dependent on the small business timber set-aside program. The
commenter stated that it initially supported stewardship contracting,
but did not expect that it would be a major part of FS's timber
offerings. As the percentage of stewardship offerings has become a
third of the overall timber program volume, the commenter predicted
that it would only be able to continue operations if it has an
opportunity to bid on a fair share of federal timber sales without
interference from large businesses. The Mayor and City Council of Deer
Lodge, Montana, also support the set-aside program, stating that the
sawmill industry made up the cultural and economic basis for the
community.
A small sawmill in Kamiah, Idaho, commented that it had been shut
down during the 2008 recession, but started up again with 65 employees
after it was auctioned off. The commenter responded that it has found
predatory bidding in non-set-aside sales and, as a result, has not been
able to purchase public logs in two years. The commenter stated that it
is surviving only on private landowner logs, and it believes that its
sawmill will fail and 65 jobs will be lost if the set-aside program is
not amended. The Mayor of Kamiah commented that the city has one of the
highest unemployment rates in Idaho. The Mayor wrote that losing the
local sawmill industry would devastate the area economically.
A substantial number of commenters from across the western United
States commented that their communities and families relied on the
local sawmills. One commenter from Colville, Washington, responded that
he has been on unemployment twice in the past three years because of
timber shortages. An individual commenter from St. Regis, Montana,
added that small family-owned forest product companies need the SBA
set-aside program to ensure stable access to government timber.
Similarly, an individual from Lyons, Oregon, commented that the set-
aside program supported a stable environment for small-town families. A
commenter from Weippe, Idaho, remarked that the sawmill that was
founded there in 1947 has relied on set-aside sales to compete with
large sawmills.
A union group commented that it opposes any government action and
believes that agencies should craft a solution that does not
disproportionately punish organized labor.
Several commenters pointed to Congressional efforts to force agency
action. Congress has urged the Administration to address this issue
through multiple bills and correspondence. In 2014, Congress included
the following report language in the Joint Explanatory Statement
accompanying Public Law 113-235, the Consolidated and Further
Continuing Appropriations Act, 2015 (160 Cong. Rec. H9768, Daily ed.
Dec. 11, 2014):
The Forest Service is strongly encouraged to expeditiously
prepare and publish draft rulemaking to establish a small business
set[hyphen]aside program for timber contracts undertaken using
stewardship contracting authority that is consistent with previous
commitments made by the Service and the Department of Agriculture on
this matter.
Similar language on the need for either SBA or the FS to address
the issue through regulation is included in the FY2016 appropriations
bills or in Congressional correspondence to the agencies.
Comments on Including Stewardship Contracting Sawtimber Volume in Small
Business Market Share Calculations
Over 300 commenters urged SBA to include stewardship sawtimber
volume in the small business market share calculation, while 15
commenters opposed it. Based on SBA's analysis of both the available
data and comments received in response to the ANPRM, SBA is considering
including the stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation of small
business market shares. SBA's ANPRM requested comments on how the
inclusion of stewardship sawtimber might impact future market share
calculations, stumpage prices, land management activities, retained
receipts, and sale values. SBA also requested comments on whether an
increase in the utilization of stewardship contracts in a market area
might result in a lower representation of small businesses successfully
bidding for timber sales in that market area and whether this should
lead to lowering the market share for small business set-aside sales in
that market area when the FS and SBA compute small business
participation. Commenters provided a wide range of views on these
topics.
Of the 842 commenters, 327 suggested that stewardship sawtimber
sales should be included in the calculation of set-aside trigger
points. Further, 14 commenters urged SBA and FS to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the upcoming (now recent) five-year re-
computation of small business shares to ensure accurate representation
of small business participation. TPMA, the small business trade group,
commented that increasing use of stewardship contracting, in particular
IRTCs, creates a ``loophole'' in the small business market share
calculation. According to TPMA, as IRTC contracting becomes more
prevalent, the calculated small business market shares become distorted
because they are only computed based on a handful of sales. This is
because one-third of the market volume is being transacted through
stewardship contracts and is currently excluded from the small business
market share calculation. TPMA asserted that the omission of
stewardship contracts understates the volume of timber being transacted
and thus results in the inflation of the calculation of the small
business market share. TPMA pointed to the Payette market area, where
there were only two standard timber sales contracts. TPMA asserted that
excluding stewardship volumes from the calculation prevents small
businesses from achieving a representative re-computation that is
consistent with the Small Business Act.
Fifteen commenters stated that stewardship timber volume should not
be included in the calculation. The PTPG commented that the goal of the
stewardship program is to accomplish forest health, watershed
improvement and similar projects with the sold timber offsetting some
or all of the costs. Because the selection of stewardship contractors
is a subjective process that uses a ``best-value'' process, PTPG
asserted that stewardship contracting should be excluded because re-
computations of market shares for set-aside sales should be based upon
objective timber sale data. Also, PTPG commented that, if stewardship
sales were included in the set-aside timber sale program, the number of
potential contractors would be significantly limited for any
stewardship sale designated as a set-aside.
[[Page 66210]]
Thirty-nine commenters expressed that failure to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the small business market share
calculation will adversely affect the small businesses which rely on
the federal timber supply. These commenters suggested that the trend
towards stewardship contracting negates the positive impacts of the
small business timber set-aside program. In particular, a small
business sawmill in Deer Lodge, Montana, and the largest private
employer in Deer Lodge, commented that stewardship contracting has been
increasing in use, both in terms of number of sales and sawlog volume.
Although the business has promoted stewardship contracting as a
positive method of resolving resource conflicts on National Forest
Land, it supports including the stewardship sawtimber volume in the SBA
set-aside calculations.
Similarly, a trade group in Idaho representing logging and wood
hauling contracting businesses supported including stewardship
contracting sawtimber in the calculation of shares of timber program
sales acquired by small businesses. The trade group observed that, in
some Idaho forests, the stewardship timber volume has exceeded over 80%
of total timber sales in four of the last five years.
The comments from a small business trade group emphasized that
adding the stewardship sawtimber would add transparency and diligence
to the recordkeeping process. These commenters observed that, even
within the timber program, the volume in transactions with small
businesses is inaccurate because the calculations are based on volumes
advertised and awarded, and does not include volumes added through
contract modifications.
SBA's ANPRM requested comments as to how the stewardship sawtimber
volume should be accounted for in calculating the small business market
share. Six commenters suggested that FS simply use existing timber
program sale rules and norms to count sawtimber volume from stewardship
projects. TPMA asserted that adding stewardship sawtimber volumes to
the calculation would not be difficult. According to TPMA, FS develops
an appraisal for each stewardship opportunity to decide the value of
the timber available to be exchanged for services. These volumes and
values could be tracked and used to adjust proportions used in the
Program. Additionally, TPMA commented that FS provides upon the
requests of the Timber Data Company with Reports of Timber Sales (FS
2400-17) which contain timber volume data for all timber sale
contracts.
Three commenters asserted that, depending on the market area,
inclusion of the stewardship timber volume may increase small business
participation in both stewardship contracting and the timber program.
Five commenters felt that increased competition from the inclusion of
stewardship sales would increase stumpage rates. The same number of
commenters stated that inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber volume
would reduce the number of bidders and decrease stumpage rates.
Six commenters felt that any financial impact on sales value is
less important than the socioeconomic benefits. These commenters also
suggested that while timber prices may increase with the inclusion of
stewardship sawtimber volume in the small business market share
calculation, it would have no impact to the treasury. Conversely, four
commenters stated that inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber volume
would reduce treasury revenue and the value of public timber.
Seven commenters felt that the impact on small market shares of
including the stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation would
vary by market area. One commenter expressed that inclusion of the
stewardship sawtimber volume would have a beneficial impact on future
market shares.
Eleven commenters suggested that if stumpage rates were decreased,
restoration activities, retained receipts and local employment would be
negatively impacted. A small, second-generation, family-owned lumber
manufacturing business in Eugene, Oregon, supported including
stewardship sawtimber volume to prevent circumvention of the set-aside
program.
Nineteen commenters went so far as to state SBA and FS have a legal
obligation to include the stewardship contracting sawtimber volume in
the small business market share calculation to ensure small businesses
purchase a fair proportion of sawtimber volume. Under section 15(a) of
the Small Business Act, SBA bears the responsibility of ensuring that
small businesses receive a fair proportion of ``total sales'' of
Government property. SBA believes that sawtimber transacted through
stewardship contracting should be properly included as an element of
``total sales'' under the Small Business Act, because much of
stewardship contracting is done through IRTC contracts where FS
receives cash from the transaction.
While several commenters believed that the small business market
share is overstated, overall small business base market share may
actually be understated because small business' high share of the
stewardship contracting sawtimber volume is not included in the base
market share calculation. As noted above, stewardship sales account for
approximately one-third of total timber sold by the FS. In the majority
of FS regions, small businesses purchase the majority of the
stewardship contracting timber volume. However, large businesses
capture the majority of the stewardship contracting timber volume in
some market areas. For example, according to comments, large businesses
captured 75% of the stewardship volume in the St. Joe Market Area,
presenting a challenge to two small sawmills in the area.
SBA's is considering a potential policy change to include
stewardship contracting sawtimber volume in the calculation of small
business market shares. SBA's analysis shows that failure to include
stewardship contracting sawtimber volume may either favorably,
unfavorably, or negligibly skew the base small business market shares
used to determine when FS must set aside timber program sales in some
market areas. Inclusion of stewardship contracting sawtimber volume in
the small business market share calculation could also more accurately
capture small business participation and ensure transparency of the
Program, another justification under consideration.
SBA welcomes additional comments on the possibility of including
the stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation of base small
business market shares. Specifically, SBA requests additional comments
and data related to the calculation methodology and analysis set forth
in this rule. SBA requests comments as to whether those regions or
market areas where small businesses purchase a large percentage of
sawtimber through stewardship contracting should receive different
treatment in the computation of small business market shares and, if
so, what that alternative treatment should be. Likewise, SBA requests
comments as to whether those market areas where the stewardship
contracting represents a large percentage of overall sawtimber volume
should receive different treatment. Additionally, SBA seeks comments as
to whether the inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber volume should be
subject to any caps or other special considerations. SBA also seeks
comment on its authority under section 15(a) of the Small Business Act
to treat all stewardship sawtimber sales as an element of ``total
sales'' and whether there are alternative treatments--
[[Page 66211]]
including whether to consider some or all stewardship contracts as an
element of ``total purchases and contracts'' under section 15(a). In
order to have the most robust picture possible, SBA is further
requesting additional data regarding the potential impact of including
the stewardship sawtimber volume in the small business market share
calculation. SBA is particularly interested in any data suggesting
potential impacts on future market shares and stumpage rates.
Comments on Changing Appraisal Point in Calculating Minimum Acceptable
Bid for Set-Aside Timber Sales
SBA's ANPRM requested comments on several issues related to the
appraisal methodology FS uses to appraise set-aside timber sales under
the timber program: How to best reflect the actual haul costs to
eligible small business timber set-aside purchasers; whether there
should be special considerations in those market areas that do not have
mills that would qualify as ``small'' under the SBA's criteria; how to
account for the ``30/70 rule'' in the appraisal process; and whether
trust funds would be impacted by changing the appraisal point in set-
aside sales.
Regarding the appropriate appraisal point, 28 commenters stated
that appraisal of haul costs should be made to the nearest small mill
in set-aside sales while 12 commenters expressed that the appraisal
should be made to the nearest mill regardless of size. Those in support
of changing the appraisal point in set-aside sales to the nearest small
mill believed that such an approach would more accurately reflect the
realities faced by small businesses. Several commenters observed that,
for its set-aside sales, the BLM appraises haul costs to the nearest
small business facility capable of handling the timber volume in BLM's
eight markets in Oregon. A small business commenter responded that the
current process of appraising set-aside timber sales to a large
business defeats the purpose of the set-aside program. The small
business trade group commented that the appraisal of a set-aside sale
should include a haul-cost adjustment to account for the actual cost of
hauling. The same commenter pointed to the FS Timber Sale Preparation
Handbook, Chapter 40, section 45.11 (FSH 2409.18), available to the
public at https://www.fs.fed.us/cgi-bin/Directives/get_dirs/fsh?2409.18,
which provides that the FS chooses an appraisal point where the
manufacturing facility ``is capable of'' processing the end product
being appraised.'' Because of the 30/70 rule, applying the Handbook
approach should result in the FS appraising for haul costs to a small
manufacturer, rather than the closest large business facility. SBA
agrees that appraisal to a small business mill more accurately captures
the cost to eligible bidders. As such, SBA is proposing to appraise
haul costs to the nearest qualifying small mill in set-aside sales.
Ten commenters felt that a change in the appraisal process would
require haul cost subsidies and lead to reduced revenue and
reinvestment opportunities. The PTPG, for example, commented that
changing the appraisal point would cause the FS to divert stewardship
funds to subsidize long hauls to distant mills. Some set-aside sales
could result in negative appraised value, according to the PTPG
comments. Another commenter responded that a change to the appraisal
point would divert federal timber away from union workers and would
reduce federal timber receipt-sharing for rural communities.
Four commenters stated that a change in the appraisal point will
not impact trust fund collections, while three commenters believed that
trust fund deposits would be reduced. The large business trade group in
particular commented that, if the appraisals resulted in below-cost
timber sales, rural communities would be harmed by the reduction in
federal timber payments. The same commenter responded that a change in
the appraisal point would cause inefficiency by allowing distant mills
to purchase set-aside logs.
Thirteen commenters felt that FS and SBA should take greater steps
to enforce the 30/70 rule in set-aside sales. Fifteen commenters felt
that appraisal should be made to the nearest small mill only if it is
located within a reasonable distance from the sale. These commenters
believed that FS should suspend the set-aside or waive the 30/70 rule
if no small mills are located within a reasonable distance of the sale.
Seven commenters expressed that the 30/70 rule should either be
eliminated altogether or waived for non-manufacturers when no small
mill is present. Eleven commenters felt that inclusion of the 30/70
rule in appraisal point calculations would unnecessarily complicate the
process, increase risks, and reduce stumpage rates and revenue.
Although commenters to the ANPRM proposed various alternatives as
to how haul costs should be appraised in small business set-aside
sales, none of the commenters provided any data that would adequately
support one alternative over the other. As such, SBA requests
additional comments regarding the other alternatives identified in
comments to the ANPRM. Specifically, SBA requests comments as to
whether haul cost adjustments should be made for non-manufacturers.
Further, as noted above, several commenters recommended appraisal to
the nearest small mill only if it is a ``reasonable distance'' from the
sale. SBA requests comments as to what constitutes a reasonable
distance. SBA also requests examples of market areas where the
recommended reasonable distance would make a significant difference in
the appraisal price. Understanding that any sale price accepted by the
government must be ``fair and reasonable,'' SBA requests comments as to
why an increased appraisal cost to the nearest small mill would still
support such a finding.
SBA is also aware that certain market areas do not have small mills
located within their geographic boundaries. Accordingly, SBA requests
additional comments regarding potential geographic exceptions for
market areas with no small mills.
Finally, with respect to appraising haul costs with respect to the
30/70 rule, SBA requests comments as to whether SBA should consider,
when the nearest mill is a large business, appraising 70% of the haul
costs to the nearest small mill and 30% of the haul costs to the
nearest large mill. SBA specifically requests comments as to whether
such an approach is or is not favorable, given that it may accurately
reflect the true costs to haul the timber, but may unnecessarily
complicate the process.
SBA notes that a number of commenters interpreted SBA's ANPRM to
propose a change of the appraisal point in all timber program sales.
This is not SBA's intent. As noted above, SBA is proposing that the
appraisal be made to the nearest small mill only in the case of set-
aside sales.
Comments on Other Issues
SBA notes that a number of commenters interpreted SBA's ANPRM as a
proposal to subject stewardship contracting to the procedures of the
small business timber set-aside program. For example, a large business
trade group stated that, if stewardship sales were included in the set-
aside timber sale program, the number of potential contractors would be
significantly limited for any stewardship sale designated as set-aside.
The same commenter remarked that stewardship set-aside sales would
complicate the application of the 30/70 rule. The commenter also noted
that if a stewardship sale is designated by the
[[Page 66212]]
SBA as set-aside and there are no local small business mills, local
labor would not be involved in the processing of those logs. Another
industry commenter predicted that fewer acres of at-risk forest would
be restored if stewardship contracts were subject to the set-aside
requirement, and this would be contrary to congressional authorization
of local preference and best-value contracting. A union commenter
responded that the inclusion of stewardship contracts in the set-aside
program would circumvent an award to the most local and economic mill
in favor of a small business that could potentially be hundreds of
miles away. Six commenters felt that small businesses already purchase
a substantial share of the federal sawtimber. Conversely, the small
business trade group stated that stewardship sales should be set aside,
and the result would be preservation of competition for government
sales.
It is not the intent of this proposed rule, however, to apply the
set-aside rules to stewardship contracting. The intent of this rule is
only to define, under authority of section 15(a) of the Small Business
Act, what procedures SBA should use to calculate the proportion of
``total sales'' of timber flowing to small businesses. SBA is
considering whether to include the stewardship sawtimber volume
purchased by small businesses in the calculation of small business base
market shares used in triggering timber program sale set-asides, but
SBA is seeking comments and data before moving forward with such a
policy change.
Approximately 45 commenters urged SBA and FS to conduct a
comprehensive review of small business timber sale set-aside program
procedures before implementing any changes. These commenters observed
that SBA and FS rules for the set-aside timber sale program have not
been updated to reflect the changing industry infrastructure or federal
timber supply. Other commenters disagreed, urging SBA to make these
changes prior to the October 1, 2015 re-computation. These commenters
also emphasized that they have been seeking these changes for many
years and saw further reviews or studies merely as another delaying
tactic.
An additional five commenters felt that the re-computation period
should be shortened to ensure continued accurate representation of
market shares. Three commenters suggested that the structural re-
computation method should be eliminated altogether. One commenter
suggested carrying forward market area deficits into the next five-year
period. SBA believes these issues are more appropriately addressed
through negotiations between SBA and FS.
Potential Changes to the Timber Program Currently Under Consideration
As discussed in detail above, SBA is considering including the
volume of sawtimber sold through stewardship contracting in developing
the 5-year re-computation of small business market shares which are
used to determine when timber program sales must be set aside for small
businesses in the FS regions. SBA recognizes that in some regions,
small businesses are successfully competing for full-and-open sales
under the stewardship contracts. This possible policy would not likely
alter that fact. SBA also recognizes that in some regions, small
business may be successfully winning under timber program sales without
set-asides. Again, this policy would not be intended to alter that
fact. In some regions, counting the stewardship sawtimber volume may
result in triggering a set-aside opportunity that might not otherwise
occur without this new policy in place. In others, counting the
stewardship sawtimber volume may result in removing a set-aside
opportunity where one previously existed. In still other regions,
including the stewardship sawtimber may have no impact relative to the
status quo. Regardless, this policy under consideration would establish
a transparent process across all FS regions.
Compliance With Executive Orders 12866, 13563, 12988, 13132, the
Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. Ch. 35), and the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5.U.S.C. 601-612) Executive Order 12866
The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) has determined that this
proposed rule is a significant regulatory action for purposes of
Executive Order 12866. Accordingly, the SBA's Regulatory Impact
Analysis can be found below. This is not a major rule, however, under
the Congressional Review Act, 5 U.S.C. 80, et seq.
Regulatory Impact Analysis
1. Is there a need for this regulatory action?
The proposed rule furthers statutory intent that small business
concerns receive a fair proportion of the total sales of Government
property. See Section 2(a) of the Small Business Act (15 U.S.C.
631(a)); Section 15(a) of the Small Business Act (15 U.S.C. 644(a)).
Because of the locations and sparse number of the remaining
sawmills, current appraisal points used for assessing hauling costs may
have prevented many small sawmills from bidding on set-aside timber
sales, since fuel costs for transporting the timber from the forest to
the processing location may negate the profit margin of the purchase.
As such, the proposal to appraise set-aside haul costs to the nearest
small business mill is necessary to accurately reflect the costs to
eligible bidders.
As noted above, SBA is also considering a potential policy change,
but not proposing in this rule, to include the stewardship sawtimber
volume (from both the IRTC and IRSC contracts) for the calculation of
the small business fair proportion market share of timber program
sales. To assess the trends on timber program l and stewardship timber
sales and impacts to small businesses from such a policy change, SBA
conducted multiple analyses with the limited data available. The
results showed that timber program set-aside sales have declined since
stewardship contracting began and that each FS region has steadily
increased the availability of stewardship contracting during the period
from 2004 through 2014. In addition, in several FS regions, especially
those where timber sold through stewardship contracting is large
relative to total timber sold, and in aggregate (i.e., all regions
combined) the percentage of timber purchased by small businesses is
lower under the stewardship program than under the timber program.
Thus, the failure to include the volume of sawtimber sold through
stewardship contracting could overstate or understate the small
business market share for set-aside sales under the timber program. The
available data indicates that, with the omission of the stewardship
sawtimber, small business market shares could be understated for
regions where small mills dominate the stewardship market and
overstated for regions where large businesses dominate that market.
Further, including the stewardship sawtimber volume could more
accurately reflect small business participation rates for purposes of
calculating the set-aside trigger point in the timber program,
regardless of the direction of the impact on small businesses. While
SBA is not proposing in this rule to include the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the small business fair proportion or market share
calculation, the Agency is seeking
[[Page 66213]]
public comment on impacts of this potential policy change in the
future.
2. What are the potential benefits and costs of this regulatory action?
SBA's proposal to appraise small business set-aside timber sales to
the nearest small business mill would enable small businesses to comply
with existing laws affecting set-aside timber sales while promoting an
atmosphere more conducive for them to participate in the overall FS
timber market. Using the appraisal data received from FS, SBA estimated
total sales to be about 2,900 for FY 2009-2014, of which 86% were sales
to small businesses. Using the same data, excluding special salvage
timber set-aside sales, SBA identified 156 small business set-aside
sales (or 5.3% of all sales and 6.2% of all small business sales) that
were appraised to a large business mill. A regional breakdown of these
data is provided below in Table 9, below. Based on the data obtained
from SBA's Timber Sales System (TSS), SBA estimated total average
receipts FS received for FY 2002-2014 for all Regions to estimate the
cost (i.e., receipt loss) to FS from the SBA's proposed change.
The FS conducted an econometric study to assess the impacts of
SBA's proposal to appraise hauling costs of all set-aside timber sales
to the nearest small mill and potential policy change to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the small business fair proportion or
market share calculation. Specifically, FS estimated a stumpage
equation for each FS region outside of Region 10 (Alaska) with a bid
premium (i.e., difference between bid price paid and reserve/minimum
bid price set by FS) as a function of a number of variables, including
the number of bidders, total haul miles, logging costs, total volume
harvested, time trend, and a series of dummy variables indicating
whether the sale was a small business set-aside sale, a salvage sale,
or a stewardship sale. These results are provided in Table 8, below.
As can be seen from the results in Table 8, the estimated equations
explained about 35% of total variation in bid premiums for Regions 1,
3, and 5, followed by 16% for Region 6 and less than 10% for remaining
affected FS regions. Thus, the results suggest that several other
relevant factors may have been needed to explain the variation in bid
premiums.
Table 8--Stumpage Price Equations Estimated for Regions 1 to 9 by Forest Service Dependent Variable
[Bid premium, a difference in the winning stumpage price minus the reserve price ($/CCF)]
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Regions Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Region 8 Region 9
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Independent Variables......................................... Parameter Estimates
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Intercept..................................................... * -15.41 100.19 -0.02 -28.19 ** -15.74 ** -30.67 -78.19 807.06
Lumber Price Index............................................ ** 0.07 -0.14 0.00 0.17 * 0.02 0.06 ......... ...........
Hardwood Price Index.......................................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 0.09 -4.22
Softwood Price Index.......................................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 0.24 -1.7
Number of Bidders............................................. ** 8.54 6.6 ** 4.66 ** 12.97 ** 10.67 ** 9.79 ** 18.99 * 70.01
Total Volume Harvested (1,000 CCF)............................ -0.58 -0.65 -0.20 ** -1.59 0.15 ** -0.58 ** -5.7 ** -117.93
Logging Costs ($/CCF)......................................... ......... -0.59 0.00 * -0.16 ......... * 0.06 ** 0.21 -4.55
Contract Costs ($/CCF)........................................ 0.19 0.29 0.06 0.02 ......... -0.08 ** -2.18 -0.56
Distance to the Nearest Mill (miles).......................... -0.02 0.35 0.004 -0.01 ** -0.04 ** -0.06 -0.02 ...........
Hauling Costs ($/CCF)......................................... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... 2.89
Logging Index................................................. * -2.38 ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ......... ...........
Sealed Bid Dummy (0, 1)....................................... 0.84 29.59 -2.58 -12.43 ** 5.35 ** 7.52 * 28.44 ** 153.32
Set-Aside Dummy (0, 1)........................................ ** -7.88 -5.87 ......... -12.84 -1.04 * -4.77 ** -12.29 ** -131.51
Salvage Sale Dummy (0,1)...................................... 0.75 1.77 0.11 7.94 ** 6.48 ** 6.26 ** -25.66 * 175.88
Stewardship Dummy (0,1)....................................... -1.38 -2.75 * -3.05 -14.97 * 5.75 * 5.44 8.96 90.06
Time Trend.................................................... -0.31 -5.32 -0.01 2.011 -0.42 0.46 1.73 14.38
R2............................................................ 0.38 0.04 0.37 0.06 0.36 0.17 0.09 0.03
R2-Adjusted................................................... 0.37 0.01 0.34 0.03 0.35 0.16 0.08 0.02
Mean of Dependent Variable.................................... 29.85 20.16 3.70 23.55 16.83 22.62 34.92 168.38
No. of Observations........................................... 554 627 245 487 973 2,117 2,627 1,883
No. of Observations Used...................................... 544 480 210 364 727 1,731 2,273 1,628
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Source: USDA Forest Service Econometric Study.
* Significant at the 5% level.
** Significant at the 1% level.
Note: The significance levels are based on the Heteroscedasticity consistent standard errors. The USDA/FS results didn't include Region 10 (Alaska).
Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Impact of SBA's Proposal To Appraise Any Small Business Set Aside
Timber Sale to the Nearest Small Business Mill
To assess the impact of changing the appraisal point for the small
business set-aside sales to the nearest small business mill, SBA
analyzed the appraisal data provided by FS and timber sales data from
TSS. Specifically, SBA received eight different tables from FS with
appraisal data for Regions 1 through 9 (the data did not include Region
10). Each table included the appraisal point for each sale during
fiscal years 2009-2015, by region. SBA merged the eight tables into
one, and then cleaned and reformatted several variables. For example,
the numerical value for distance to the nearest small mill was cleaned
by taking out the character values (e.g. ``mi.'' = miles). Likewise,
the number and size of bidders were separated or reformatted as
characters (type of the bidder such as small non-manufacturer, small
manufacturer, etc.) or number of bidders, as appropriate. For example,
if the original variable included 1-SN and 4-SM in one cell, then one
variable was created for SN (small non-manufacturer) and another
variable for SM (small manufacturer) and 1 was assigned to the former
and 4 to the latter. The cleaned data were then filtered to identify
all small business set-aside sales (i.e., set aside = Yes) that were
appraised to a large mill (i.e., appraisal point = LM (LM = Large mill/
manufacturer)), because these are the cases that will be
[[Page 66214]]
impacted by the SBA's proposal. When compared with the TSS data, the FS
appraisal data for fiscal year 2015 were found to be incomplete and was
not included in the analysis.
As shown in Table 9 (below), the results from the FS appraisal data
indicate that the SBA's proposal to appraise the small business set-
aside sales to the nearest small business mill would impact 5.3% of all
sales and 6.2%of all small business sales. On an annual basis, the
proposed change would benefit approximately 65-70 small businesses that
participate in set-aside timber sales.
Table 9--Count of Total and Set-Aside Sales and Average Number of Bidders Participating in Set-Aside Sales Appraised to a Large Mill, FY 2009-2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total number of sales Set-asides appraised to a large mill
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average
FS Region * historical
All sales ** Sales to small Count of sales Share of all participation/
businesses sales (%) number of bidders
affected
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1........................................................ 159 129 12 7.5 4.8
2........................................................ 256 238 2 0.8 0.3
3........................................................ 42 42 0 0.0 0
4........................................................ 112 110 1 0.9 1
5........................................................ 195 146 32 16.4 10.7
6........................................................ 397 292 41 10.3 18
8........................................................ 858 772 41 4.8 16
9........................................................ 897 787 27 3.0 17.2
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total................................................ 2,916 2,516 156 5.3 68.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 10 (Alaska) was not included in the FS appraisal data and Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
** Includes sales for which size/type of the purchaser was missing but excludes sales for which region was not specified. Salvage timber sales were also
excluded.
Source: FS appraisal data and SBA calculations.
Using the FS appraisal data, SBA was also able to estimate distance
to the nearest small mill from the nearest large mill for each set
aside sale that was appraised to a large mill and some key summary
statistics for the same. These results are provided in Table 10, below.
The median distance to the nearest small mill is about 62 miles and the
mean distance about 66 miles. This analysis does not reflect the more
appropriate analysis of the distance from the sale to the nearest mill
and small mill, for which data were not readily available.
Table 10--Summary Statistics of Distance Between the Nearest Small Mills and the Current Large Mill Appraisal Points (in miles), FY 2009-2014
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
First Third
Region * quartile Median quartile Mean Standard Minimum Maximum Number of
(25%) (50%) (75%) deviation observations
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1....................................... 37.0 42.0 65.0 52.8 29.1 22 108 12
2....................................... 132.0 132.0 132.0 132.0 0.0 132 132 2
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3....................................... (no Region 3 set-aside sales appraised to a large mill)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
4....................................... 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 0.0 6 6 1
5....................................... 89.0 101.0 136.0 108.6 54.0 1 195 32
6....................................... 30.0 65.0 90.0 66.5 44.6 0 163 41
8....................................... 30.0 97.0 97.0 63.9 34.8 10 97 41
9....................................... 10.0 15.0 25.0 22.2 18.3 5 70 27
Overall................................. 23.5 62.2 97.0 66.2 48.2 0 195 156
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 10 was not included in the FS appraisal data and Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
Source: FS appraisal data and SBA calculations.
With respect to the impacts of the proposed change on bid/stumpage
price and on FS receipts from timber sales, FS econometric/stumpage
equations included two variables related to hauling costs, namely
distance to the nearest mill (for Regions 1 through 8) and total
hauling costs ( for Region 9) (see Table 8). While FS, based on its
conceptual analysis of relationships among reserve price, bid price,
bid premium and hauling costs, expected these variables to have a
negative impact on bid premium, the results were rather mixed.
Specifically, the estimated coefficients associated with distance to
the nearest mill were negative for Regions 1, 4, 5, 6, and 8, and
positive for Regions 2 and 3. The estimated coefficient for hauling
costs was also positive for Region 9. Among the regions with a negative
coefficient for distance to the nearest mill, the coefficient was
significant only for Regions 5 and 6.
Amid these results, FS concluded that, conceptually, both FS
receipts and money flowing into the trust funds from timber receipts
will decrease under the SBA's proposal to appraise the set-aside timber
sales to the nearest small mill, but without information on the number
of set-aside sales that would be affected and additional hauling costs
incurred in each affected sale, it is not possible to
[[Page 66215]]
quantify the financial impacts. However, SBA was able to fill these
gaps in the FS analysis by estimating cost (receipts loss) to FS from
the SBA's proposal to change the appraisal point for set-aside sales to
the nearest mill by combining the results from the FS appraisal data
(i.e., number of set-aside sales affected and distance from the current
appraisal point to the nearest small business mill for those sales), FS
econometric results (i.e., the estimated coefficients associated with
distance to the nearest mill and hauling costs), and TSS timber sales
data. This analysis is done only for Regions 5 and 6 because these are
the only two regions where the estimated coefficient for the distance
to the nearest mill was significant and had the FS expected negative
sign.
Accordingly, SBA estimates cost or receipt loss to FS due to the
proposed change to use the nearest small business mill to appraise the
set aside sales as follows:
Receipt loss = regression coefficient for distance to the
nearest mill (Table 8) x median distance to the nearest small mill
(in miles) (Table 10) x number of set-asides appraised to a large
mill (Table 9) x average volume of set-aside sale (CCF) from TSS.
The average volume of set-aside sales was based on the FY 2009-2014
data from TSS. Accordingly, receipt loss for Region 6 is estimated to
be about $1.07 million (-0.057 x 65 x 41 x 6,979 = -1,066,439), which
is about 0.9 percent of total FS timber receipts for Region 6,
estimated at about $124 million (i.e., total volume times average bid
price) for FY 2009-2014. Similarly, for Region 5, receipt loss is
estimated at about $0.91 million (-0.045 x 101 x 32 x 6,261 = -
908,634), which is about 2.4 percent of total FS timber receipts for
Region 5, estimated at about 38 million (i.e., total volume times
average bid price) for FY 2009-2014. These receipts losses to the FS
are benefits to small businesses in the form of lowered hauling costs
to transport their set-aside timber purchases to a small mill. With
lower hauling costs to small businesses, they are likely to bid more
for the set-aside timber sales, which would offset some of the receipts
losses to the FS due to the proposed change.
FS expressed concerns that by limiting the receipt impact
assessment to only Regions 5 and 6, SBA's regulatory impact analysis of
the proposed change is incomplete. FS argued that the two regions
examined are not representative of all regions and the results cannot
be generalized across the country. As shown in Table 8 (above), the FS
econometric results do not support a similar analysis for all affected
FS regions. For example, the estimated coefficients for distance to the
nearest mill (Regions 2 and 3) and hauling costs (Region 9) were
positive, although not significant. Additionally, there were no set-
aside sales in Region 3 that were appraised to a large mill. Thus, the
proposed change would have no impact in Region 3. Using a positive
coefficient for Region 2 would yield a counter-intuitive result of
positive receipt impact to FS from the SBA's proposal to appraise the
hauling costs for set-aside sales to the nearest small mill, which
would make no sense. The same is also true for Region 9. Additionally,
SBA has no data to convert the mileage to hauling costs to estimate the
impact in Region 9. Similarly, the relationships between bid premiums
and the mileage to the nearest mill were not significant for Regions 1,
4 and 8, although they had expected negative signs. The impact
estimates based on these results would not mean much on a statistical
sense. Given the lack of alternative data to assess the FS receipt
impacts from the SBA's proposal for regions for which estimated
relationships between bid premium and the distance or hauling costs and
were either not significant or had opposite signs, SBA's regulatory
impact analysis is limited to Regions 5 and 6 only.
While SBA agrees with FS that every region is different, but
because Regions 5 and 6 together account for nearly half (47%) of all
set-aside sales and two-thirds (67%) of timber volume appraised to a
large mill in all FS regions (excluding unaffected Region 3), the
results based on these two regions provide fairly robust indications on
the magnitude of impacts the proposed change might have across other
regions, as well as the overall FS market.
With respect to benefits to small businesses from the proposed
change, as shown in Table 9 (above), based on the historical data,
about 65-70 firms (68 to be exact) would benefit from the SBA's
proposal to appraise all set-aside timber sales to the nearest small
mill. This figure is likely to be higher because some previous set-
aside sales that received no bids from small businesses and were
subsequently re-offered as full and open sales may become economically
attractive for small businesses to bid when they are appraised to the
nearest small mill. The SBA's proposal would benefit small businesses
by lowering costs in hauling the set-aside timber purchases to the
nearest mill
SBA believes that these positive impacts to small businesses
justify some losses to FS receipts (0.9% in Region 6 and 2.4% in Region
5) under the proposed change. SBA notes that it did not evaluate the
impacts reductions in receipts may have on the Forest Service's forest
management and restoration goals or on payments made to counties for
schools, roads, community wildfire protection planning or other
purposes as authorized.
The main purpose of the SBA's proposal to appraise the set-aside
sale to the nearest small business mill is to more accurately reflect
the hauling cost to eligible small business bidders. Based on the
historical data, up to 65-70 small business bidders will benefit from
this proposed change. As discussed above, SBA expects more small
businesses to participate in the timber set-aside program under the
proposed change as some small firms that do not bid for set-aside sales
appraised to a large business mill currently may decide to participate.
SBA believes that the number of set-aside sales that receive no bid
from small businesses and become full and open sales will decrease,
thereby increasing the number of sales to small businesses. These all
will help small businesses keep their business economically viable and
to support or create jobs in their communities. Small business
employees receive and spend wages within the communities and taxes they
pay to local and state governments. These effects, although difficult
to quantify, will further offset the impacts of decreases in flows of
money to trust funds due to declines in FS timber receipts.
Overall, the proposed change to appraise the small business set-
aside timber sales to the nearest small mill is consistent with SBA's
statutory mandate to assist small businesses.
Impacts of A Potential Policy Change Under Consideration To Include the
Stewardship Sawtimber Volume in the Calculation of the Small Business
``Fair Proportion'' To Establish Small Business Set-Aside Sales Under
the Timber Program
A possible regulatory action to include the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the calculation of small business fair market share could
provide transparency to the process of determining whether or not small
businesses are receiving the statutorily mandated fair proportion of
timber sale contracts offered by FS. It could provide a market share
that would more accurately reflect the small business participation in
the government owned timber market and provide the public with more
accurate information on functioning of the market. However, at this
time, based on the currently available data, SBA's analysis indicates
[[Page 66216]]
this policy option could have disparate impacts to small timber
businesses both within and across regions. Based on the data and cross-
tabulations provided by the FS, stewardship sales account for
approximately one-third of total timber sold by the FS. As shown in
Table 4 (earlier), the FS analysis suggests that, compared to timber
program volumes, small businesses acquired a larger percentage of
stewardship timber volume in Regions 2, 4, 8 and 9, where stewardship
volumes are quite minimal relative to total timber volumes sold.
However, small businesses received a lower percentage of stewardship
timber sales in Regions 1, 5, and 6 where stewardship sales are
generally fairly large relative to total sales. As discussed above,
when all regions are combined, the small business share was
substantially lower at about 62% under stewardship contracting, as
compared to nearly 72% under the timber program.
In addition, in considering the possibility of including the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation of small business fair
proportion used for determining small business set-aside sales within
the timber program market, SBA also re-computed the latest five-year
small business market share used to trigger a small business set aside
sale by including the stewardship sawtimber volume. (Every five years
base small business market shares are re-computed by including the
timber sales data for the previous five years and remain valid until
the next re-computation.) The re-computation results are shown in Table
11. As can be seen from the table, the inclusion of the stewardship
sawtimber in calculation would result in an increase to the recomputed
small market share in eight (12) market areas, a decrease in eleven
(14) market areas, and no change in the remaining 113 market areas. The
increase in the small business share would range from 1% to 39% and
decrease from -1% to -22%. If the recent trend continues, it is
possible that with the inclusion of the stewardship sawtimber volume
the future small business market shares could be lower or higher in
those or more market areas.
Region 10 (Alaska) has an agreement with SBA that small businesses
will have a market share of at least 50%. The current market share was
determined, via the 5-year re-computation process in agreement with
SBA, to be 50% of the planned sale volume for the Region. Over the
previous five-year period 100% of both timber and stewardship sales
went to small businesses in Region 10. As shown in Table 11, with the
inclusion of the stewardship timber volume, an 80% market share would
be achievable in Region 10. The Region would have to consult with
interested parties, provide notice, and revise the existing agreement
with SBA to allow for inclusion of 80% of the Region's planned sale
volume in the market (see FSH 2409.18, 91.21.). All re-computed shares
reflect the limitations on share movement for the five-year period,
except Regions 8 & 9 which do not have limitations on share movement.
All shares are limited in movement to no lower than one-half the
original base share. Eighty percent is the maximum small business share
utilized on any market area, meaning that at least 20% of timber sales
have to go to large businesses.
Table 11--Five-Year Small Business Market Share Comparisons 2010-2015, Impacted Market Areas With and Without Stewardship Timber
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Recomputed Recomputed Change in market share if stewardship included
Current five share (most share -----------------------------------------------
Region Market area year share (%) recent years) stewardship
(%) included (%) No change (%) Increase (%) Decrease (%)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1................................. Beaverhead-Deerlodge 49 41 41 0 .............. ..............
Bitterroot.......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Clearwater.......... 74 80 67 .............. .............. -13
Custer.............. 62 62 56 .............. .............. -6
Flathead............ 60 64 63 .............. .............. -1
Gallatin............ 44 34 34 0 .............. ..............
Helena.............. 56 50 50 0 .............. ..............
Kootenai............ 55 60 60 0 .............. ..............
Lewis and Clark..... 56 50 50 0 .............. ..............
Lolo................ 56 62 62 0 .............. ..............
Nez Perce........... 40 31 30 .............. .............. -1
Coeur D Alene....... 14 13 13 0
Kaniksu............. 13 14 12 .............. .............. -2
St. Joe............. 51 46 46 0 .............. ..............
2................................. Arapaho Roosevelt... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Bighorn............. 72 65 65 0 .............. ..............
Black Hills......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
GM UNC GUNN......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Medicine Bow........ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Pike San Isabel..... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Rio Grande.......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Routt............... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
San Juan............ 80 72 80 .............. 8 ..............
Shoshone*........... 29 31 31 0 .............. ..............
White River......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
3................................. Apache.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Carson.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Cibola.............. 73 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Coconino............ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Coronado **......... 71 71 71 0 .............. ..............
Gila................ 55 61 61 0 .............. ..............
Kaibab North........ 56 62 62 0 .............. ..............
Kaibab South........ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Lincoln............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Prescott............ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Santa Fe............ 56 62 62 0 .............. ..............
Sitgreaves.......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Tonto............... 70 77 77 0 .............. ..............
4................................. Ashley.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
[[Page 66217]]
Boise............... 55 61 58 .............. .............. -3
Bridger Teton....... 56 62 62 0 .............. ..............
Caribou............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Dixie............... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Fishlake............ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Manti La Sal........ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Payette............. 63 69 67 .............. .............. -2
Salmon Challis...... 72 79 79 0 .............. ..............
Sawtooth............ 63 69 69 0 .............. ..............
Targhee **.......... 57 57 57 0 .............. ..............
Toiyabe **.......... 58 58 58 0 .............. ..............
Uinta............... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Wasatch Cache....... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
5................................. Eldorado............ 60 54 54 0 .............. ..............
Inyo **............. 66 66 66 0 .............. ..............
Klamath............. 49 39 42 .............. 3 ..............
Lassen.............. 29 39 39 0 .............. ..............
Mendocino........... 48 38 48 .............. 10 ..............
Modoc............... 80 72 72 0 .............. ..............
Plumas.............. 20 18 18 0 .............. ..............
Sequoia............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Shasta.............. 30 30 31 .............. 1 ..............
Trinity............. 67 74 74 0 .............. ..............
Sierra.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Gasquet............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Six Rivers Other.... 67 60 60 0 .............. ..............
Stanislaus.......... 20 10 10 0 .............. ..............
Tahoe............... 22 20 20 0 .............. ..............
6................................. Colville............ 70 77 77 0 .............. ..............
Deschutes........... 23 33 33 0 .............. ..............
Fremont Klamath..... 34 44 24 .............. .............. -20
Gifford Pinchot 62 60 64 .............. 4 ..............
North.
Gifford Pinchot 72 79 79 0 .............. ..............
South.
Malheur............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Mt Hood............. 80 72 72 0 .............. ..............
Ochoco Prineville... 67 69 71 .............. 2 ..............
Okanogan............ 51 46 46 0 .............. ..............
Puget Sound......... 57 51 51 0 .............. ..............
Rogue River......... 34 31 31 0 .............. ..............
Siskiyou East....... 55 49 49 0 .............. ..............
Siskiyou West....... 80 73 73 0 .............. ..............
Siuslaw............. 40 50 50 0 .............. ..............
Umatilla North...... 47 37 37 0 .............. ..............
Umatilla South...... 56 62 62 0 .............. ..............
Umpqua North........ 63 69 69 0 .............. ..............
Umpqua South........ 45 40 40 0 .............. ..............
Wallowa Whitman..... 59 53 53 0 .............. ..............
Wenatchee........... 45 55 55 0 .............. ..............
Willamette Middle... 72 79 79 0 .............. ..............
Willamette North.... 71 78 78 0 .............. ..............
Willamette South.... 80 79 79 0 .............. ..............
Winema.............. 40 31 31 0 .............. ..............
8................................. Alabama North....... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Alabama South....... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Andrew Pickens...... 77 65 43 .............. .............. -22
Bienville........... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Chattahoochee....... 74 63 66 .............. 3 ..............
Croatan............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Davy Crockett....... 80 25 64 .............. 39 ..............
Delta............... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Desoto.............. 64 68 71 .............. .............. ..............
Enoree.............. 59 57 55 .............. .............. -2
Florida Forests..... 79 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Francis Marion *.... 26 39 39 0 .............. ..............
George Washington... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Holly Springs....... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Homochitto.......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Jefferson *......... 80 61 61 0 .............. ..............
Kisatchie........... 40 41 38 .............. .............. -3
Kentucky North...... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Kentucky South...... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Land Between the 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Lakes.
Long Cane........... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Nantahala........... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Oconee.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Ouachita............ 62 47 43 .............. .............. -4
[[Page 66218]]
Ozark............... 65 69 70 .............. 1 ..............
Pisgah.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Sam Houston......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Saint Francis....... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Tennessee North..... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Tennessee South..... 71 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Tombigbee........... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Texas East Side..... 49 27 47 .............. 20 ..............
Uwharrie............ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
9................................. Alleghany........... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Chequamegon......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Chippewa............ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Green Mountain...... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Hiawatha............ 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Huron Manistee...... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Mark Twain.......... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Monongahela......... 66 76 55 .............. .............. -21
Nicolet............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Ottawa.............. 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Shawnee............. 37 80 80 0 .............. ..............
Superior............ 75 69 68 .............. .............. -1
Wayne Hoosier....... 77 80 80 0 .............. ..............
White Mountain...... 80 80 80 0 .............. ..............
10................................ Tongass............. 50 50 80 .............. 30 ..............
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Indicates market areas with no stewardship sales and ** denotes market areas with no SBA's timber program or stewardship sales.
Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions.
The table doesn't include the Chugach Market Area in Region 10 (Alaska).
The FS econometric results showed a significant positive
relationship between stewardship sales and bid premiums in Regions 5
and 6, a significant negative relationship in Region 3, and those
relationships were not significant in other regions. Based on these
results, FS argued that in Regions 5 and 6 where bid premiums are
significantly higher for stewardship sales than for timber program
sales, stewardship contracting will have a positive impact on retained
receipts, land management activities and receipts to the treasury.
Similarly, in Region 3 where the results showed a significant negative
relationship between stewardship sales and bid premiums, FS believed
that stewardship contracting will have a negative impact on retained
receipts, land management activities and receipts to the treasury.
Since SBA is not currently considering to subject stewardship contracts
to set-aside sales for small business nor to reduce stewardship
contracting as a result of any change in the small business market
share by including the stewardship sawtimber in the calculation, SBA
expects very little or no impact on FS receipts because of this
possible change under consideration. The current analysis indicates
including the stewardship sawtimber volume could either benefit small
businesses by triggering additional set-aside sales within the timber
program when the overall small business market share falls below the
certain level or could lead to fewer small business set-aside sales
than under the current policy of calculating fair proportion based only
on the timber program volume. Due to the lack of data, it is difficult
to estimate the number of additional or reduced set-aside sales that
would be triggered or disappear, or the number of small businesses that
would benefit or be harmed from this possible policy change.
In its response to the ANPRM questions and impacts of the SBA's
proposed changes, FS noted that although historical shares of timber
awarded to small businesses under the timber sales program and total
sales including stewardship sales are similar, this could change if
stewardship sales increase significantly as a proportion of total
timber sales. Independent of small business impacts, the inclusion of
the stewardship sawtimber, which accounts for one-third of the total
timber sales, could provide a more accurate representation of what
proportion of FS timber is acquired by small businesses. This could not
only provide more transparency of the FS timber program, but also more
accurate assessment of if small businesses are getting a statutorily
mandated fair proportion of Government timber sales.
3. What are the alternatives to this proposed rule?
Besides the proposal to change the appraisal of the hauling costs
on set-aside timber sales, SBA is also requesting comment on various
alternatives to this proposal, as discussed in this proposed rule. SBA
invites comments on these alternatives as well as suggestions for other
alternatives to this proposed change.
Regarding appraising haul costs for set-aside sales, SBA considered
imposing haul cost adjustments for non-manufacturers. Because both
manufacturers and non-manufacturers must agree to manufacture at least
70% of the sawtimber purchased through a set-aside sale at a small
mill, SBA does not believe additional adjustments for non-manufacturers
are warranted.
SBA also considered waiving the 30/70 rule if no small mills are
located within a reasonable distance of a set-aside sale. Such an
alternative would allow small businesses to participate in the set-
aside timber sales without requiring them to look for and use small
mills. Although this approach would not increase hauling costs (and
hence decrease receipts to the FS), since small businesses would not
have to seek out and use small mills located further away, it could
lead to inconsistent results. What might not be considered a
``reasonable distance'' for one sale might be so considered for
another.
[[Page 66219]]
Instead of appraising 100% of the hauling to the nearest small
business mill, SBA also considered appraising, when the nearest mill is
a large business, 70% of the haul costs to the nearest small mill and
30% of the haul costs to the nearest large mill. The FS also suggested
this as an alternative to SBA's proposal to avoid overstating the haul
costs when the purchaser sells 30% of the sawtimber to the nearest
largest mill. This alternative may accurately reflect the true costs to
haul the timber if every winning bidder always sells 30% of sawtimber
to the nearest large mill and 70% to the nearest small mill. However,
SBA's reviews of all set-aside sales as well as those appraised to the
nearest large mill do not support this. Majority of small manufacturers
that purchase timber under the FS set-aside sales either use 100% of
the purchase themselves or sell 100% to another small mill. More
importantly, even a large proportion of non-manufacturer purchasers
(i.e., loggers) also sell 100% of set-aside to the nearest mill. For
example, of 156 set-aside sales that were appraised to the nearest
large mill during FY 2009-2014, 95 were acquired by small non-
manufacturers of which 38 (or 40%) sold 100% of timber to a small mill.
Unless the FS is certain that the purchaser is going to sell 30% of
sawtimber to the nearest large mill and 70% to the nearest small mill,
the application of the 30/70 appraisal alternative will always lead to
understatement of the hauling costs to the eligible bidders. This
approach will also be complicated to implement.
SBA also considered appraising to the nearest small mill only when
that mill is located no more than 60 miles from the large mill which
would be used as the appraisal point under the current rules. Data
suggests that 62 miles is the median distance between a small mill and
the large mill NFS used to appraise the historical set-aside sales (see
Table 10, above). Historical sales data suggests that appraising to the
nearest small mill only when that mill is located no more than 60 miles
from the current appraisal point would affect 2.7% of set-aside sales
and benefit approximately 35 small businesses annually (see Table 12).
The estimated revenue losses to NFS will be reduced to about $0.53
million (or 0.4% of total) in Region 6 and $0.15 million (0.4% of
total) in Region 5 if the appraisal is done to the nearest mill that is
within 60 miles.
Table 12--Count of Sales and Average Number of Bidders Participating in Set-Aside Sales Where a Small Mill (SM) Is Located Within Sixty Miles of the
Large Mill Appraisal Point (AP), FY 2009-2015
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Set-asides appraised to a large mill
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
FS region * Total count of sales Average historical
included Count of sales where a Share of total sales participation/number of
SM is <60 miles from AP (%) bidders affected
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1............................ 159 8 5.0 2.3
2............................ 256 0 0.0 0
3............................ 42 0 0.0 0
4............................ 112 1 0.9 0.7
5............................ 195 6 3.1 1.8
6............................ 397 18 4.5 7.2
8............................ 858 20 2.3 7.7
9............................ 897 24 2.7 15.3
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total.................... 2,916 77 2.6 35.0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Region 7 was eliminated in 1965 as part of re-designation of FS regions and Region 10 was not included in the FS appraisal data.
Source: FS appraisal data and SBA calculations.
SBA did not propose this approach in the proposed regulatory text
as the required step of determining whether a small mill is located
within 60 miles of the nearest large mill could unnecessarily
complicate the process. This approach would impact fewer set-aside
sales, but it would also benefit fewer small businesses. Overall, the
proposed change to appraise the hauling costs for the set-aside timber
sales to the nearest small mill is consistent with SBA's statutory
mandate to assist small businesses.
With respect to a potential policy amendment to include the
stewardship sawtimber volume in the small business market share
calculation, SBA considered including stewardship sawtimber only in
those market areas where small businesses are particularly likely to be
underrepresented if the stewardship sawtimber volume is excluded.
Specifically, SBA is considering including the stewardship sawtimber
volume only in market areas where small businesses purchase a large
percentage of stewardship timber volume or where the stewardship timber
volume represents a high percentage of Overall timber volume. However,
the purpose of such a possible regulatory amendment is to more
transparently and accurately reflect small business participation for
purposes of calculating small business market share for set-aside
triggers. SBA believes that it is necessary for fairness across the
country to have a consistent policy that is not subject to
interpretation. While SBA cannot estimate with certainty the actual
outcome of the gains and losses among small and large businesses, it
can identify several probable impacts. The historical data shows that
the inclusion of IRTC and IRSC stewardship sawtimber volume could have
a substantial negative or positive impact in the computation of small
business market share in many of the 139 active market areas. SBA
invites comments and data on how such a policy change would impact
small businesses, the stumpage prices, number of set-aside sales, and
FS receipts. SBA also welcomes comments on any potential impacts of
reduced receipts to county payment programs or other areas affecting
small business economic development.
Executive Order 13563
SBA has conducted significant outreach to the affected public for
many years. Between 1996 and 2002, SBA visited a number of small mills
throughout the country to discuss the impact of stewardship contracting
on the timber program and their ongoing operations. During this time
period, SBA was also contacted by a small business timber association
regarding the impact of stewardship contracting
[[Page 66220]]
on small mills located in Western states. During the 2000 and 2005 re-
computations, SBA and FS discussed the impacts of the stewardship
program on small business market shares and the possibility of
including the stewardship sawtimber volume in the five-year re-
computation of the small business fair proportion. In 2006, FS issued a
proposed policy directive to include stewardship contracting sawtimber
volume in the calculation of small business market shares. At the 2010
re-computation, SBA and FS again discussed the topic of including
stewardship sawtimber volume in the calculation. SBA continued to meet
with small mills regarding the impact of stewardship contracting
between 2005 and 2012. In 2010, SBA held a ``town hall meeting'' with
small mills to discuss the impacts of stewardship contracting. In 2012,
small business timber groups submitted complaints to SBA's Ombudsman
and Office of Advocacy regarding FS' failure to finalize the proposed
policy directive to include stewardship sawtimber volume in the small
business market share calculations. In 2013, SBA began discussions with
FS regarding the current proposed rulemaking which resulted in the 2014
publication of the ANPRM. SBA received 842 comments in response to the
ANPRM. During the comment review process, SBA again met with industry
stakeholders regarding ongoing impacts of stewardship contracting and
the current method of appraising small business set-aside sales.
Executive Order 12988
For purposes of Executive Order 12988, SBA has drafted this
proposed rule, to the extent practicable, in accordance with the
standards set forth in sections 3(a) and 3(b)(2) of that Executive
Order, to minimize litigation, eliminate ambiguity, and reduce burden.
This rule has no preemptive or retroactive effect.
Executive Order 13132
For the purpose of Executive Order 13132, SBA has determined that
this proposed rule will not have substantial direct effects on the
States, on the relationship between the national government and the
States, or on the distribution of power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government. Therefore, SBA has determined that this
proposed rule has no federalism implications warranting preparation of
a federalism assessment.
Paperwork Reduction Act
For purposes of the Paperwork Reduction Act, 44 U.S.C. Chapter 35,
SBA has determined that this proposed rule would not impose new
reporting requirements. Stewardship sales will be tracked and recorded
using the same method currently set forth in the Forest Service Manual
(FSM 2400)--Commercial Timber Sales Manual (FSM 2430) and the Forest
Service Handbook (FSH)--Timber Sale Preparation Handbook (FSH 2409.18).
FS does not currently make any collections related to tracking this
data and no additional information will be collected. The difference
would be that the stewardship sawtimber volume would be included in the
calculation. The appraisal point calculation performed by the FS will
also be conducted using the same methodology with the exception of the
mill location used in set-aside sales.
Regulatory Flexibility Act, 5 U.S.C. 601-612
According to the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), 5 U.S.C. 601,
when an agency issues a rulemaking, it must prepare a regulatory
flexibility analysis to address the impact of the rule on small
entities. In accordance with this requirement, SBA has prepared this
Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis addressing the impact of this
proposed rule and alternatives, including a possible policy change
under consideration.
1. What is the need for and objective of this proposed rule?
The proposal to appraise set-aside haul costs to the nearest small
mill is necessary to accurately reflect the costs to eligible bidders.
2. What is the legal basis for this proposed rule?
Section 2(a) of the Small Business Act (15 U.S.C. 631(a)) provides
that it is the declared policy of the Congress that the Government
should aid, counsel, assist, and protect the interests of small
business concerns in order to ensure that a fair proportion of the
total sales of Government property be made to such enterprises. Section
15(a) of the Small Business Act (15 U.S.C. 644(a)) further provides
that small business concerns shall receive any contract for the sale of
Government property where it is in the interest of ensuring that a fair
proportion of the total sales of Government property be made to small
business concerns.
3. What is SBA's description and estimate of the number of small
entities to which the rule will apply?
SBA estimates there are approximately 362 small business firms that
may benefit from this rule. SBA estimates these firms will benefit to
the extent small business timber sale set-aside bid prices are
calculated using the actual hauling costs the bidders will incur.
Approximately 5.3% of sales would be impacted, benefiting 65-70 small
businesses. No large business would be impacted as they are not
eligible to participate in small business set-aside timber sales.
4. What are the projected reporting, recordkeeping, Paperwork Reduction
Act, and other compliance requirements?
SBA has determined that this rule does not impose additional
reporting or recordkeeping requirements. Stewardship sales will be
tracked and recorded using the same method currently set forth in the
Forest Service Manual (FSM 2400)--Commercial Timber Sales Manual (FSM
2430) and the Forest Service Handbook (FSH)--Timber Sale Preparation
Handbook (FSH 2409.18). FS does not currently make any collections
related to tracking this data and no additional information will be
collected. The appraisal point calculation performed by the FS will be
conducted using the same methodology with the exception of the mill
location used in set-aside sales.
5. What relevant federal rules may duplicate, overlap, or conflict with
this rule?
We are not aware of any rules that duplicate, overlap or conflict
with this rule. The FS Timber Sale Preparation Handbook would conflict
with the proposed rule, if adopted as proposed. Concomitant with the
SBA's rule, the FS would revise its directives, including FSH 2409.18.
6. What significant alternatives did SBA consider that accomplish the
stated objectives and minimize significant economic impact on small
entities?
Regarding appraising haul costs, SBA considered imposing haul cost
adjustments for non-manufacturers. Because both manufacturers and non-
manufacturers must agree to manufacture at least 70% of the sawtimber
purchased through a set-aside sale at a small mill, SBA does not
believe additional adjustments for non-manufacturers are warranted. SBA
also considered waiving the 30/70 rule if no small mills are located
within a reasonable distance of the sale. Such an
[[Page 66221]]
alternative would allow small businesses to participate in set-aside
timber sales without requiring them to look for and use small mills.
Although this approach would not increase hauling costs (and hence not
increase the cost to the Government), since small businesses would not
have to seek out and use small mills located further away, it could
lead to inconsistent results. What might not be considered a
``reasonable distance'' for one sale might be so considered for another
sale. Moreover, without specific data as to what hauling distance leads
to a sales price that is not fair and reasonable to the Government,
this approach could be challenged as being arbitrary.
In addition, with respect to the 30/70 rule, instead of appraising
100% of the hauling to the nearest small mill, SBA also considered
appraising, when the nearest mill is a large business, 70% of the haul
costs to small mills and 30% of the haul costs to large mills. Although
this approach may accurately reflect the true costs to haul the timber,
SBA felt that it could unnecessarily complicate the process.
SBA also considered appraising to the nearest small mill only when
that mill is located no more than 60 miles from the large mill which
would be used as the appraisal point under the current rules. The
median distance between a small mill and the large mill FS used to
appraise historical set-aside sales is about 62 miles (see Table 10).
Historical sales data suggests that appraising to the nearest small
mill only when that mill is located no more than 60 miles from the
current appraisal point would affect 2.7% of set-aside sales and
benefit approximately 35 small businesses annually (see Table 10). SBA
did not adopt this approach in the proposed regulatory text as the
required step of determining whether a small mill is located within 60
miles of the nearest large mill could unnecessarily complicate the
process. This approach would impact fewer set-aside sales, but it would
also benefit fewer small businesses. Overall, the proposed change tis
consistent with SBA's statutory mandate to assist small businesses.
As an alternative to a potential policy change, although not
included in this proposed rule, to include the stewardship sawtimber
volume in the small business market share calculation, SBA also is also
considering to include the stewardship sawtimber volume in that
calculation only in those market areas where small business
participation is particularly likely to be underrepresented if
stewardship sawtimber volume is excluded. Specifically, SBA is
considering whether to include the stewardship sawtimber volume only in
market areas where small businesses purchase a large percentage of
stewardship contracting timber volume or where stewardship contracting
timber volume represents a high percentage of overall timber volume.
However, the purpose of such a regulatory amendment is to more
accurately reflect small business participation rates for purposes of
calculating the set-aside trigger point.
List of Subjects in 13 CFR Part 121
Administrative practice and procedure, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Small businesses.
For the reasons stated in the preamble, SBA proposes to amend part
121 of title 13 of the Code of Federal Regulations as follows:
PART 121--SMALL BUSINESS SIZE REGULATIONS
0
1. The authority citation for part 121 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 15 U.S.C. 632, 634(b)(6), 662, and 694a(9).
0
2. Amend Sec. 121.506 by redesignating paragraphs (a) through (e), as
paragraphs (b) through (f) respectively, adding new paragraph (a), and
adding paragraphs (g), and (h).
The additions read as follows:
Sec. 121.506 What definitions are important for sales or leases of
Government-owned timber?
(a) Computation of market share is the small business market share,
expressed as a percentage for a small business timber sale market area
based on the purchase by small business in the timber sale program
market over the preceding 5-year period. The computation is done every
five years by the U.S. Forest Service in collaboration with the SBA.
* * * * *
(g) Small business market share is the calculated share of
sawtimber that small businesses are expected to purchase within a
market area, expressed as a whole percent.
(h) Small business timber sale market areas are physical locations
throughout the United States including National Forests used in the
administration of the Timber Sale Set-Aside program.
0
3. Amend Sec. 121.507 by adding paragraph (d) to read as follows:
Sec. 121.507 What are the size standards and other requirements for
the purchase of Government-owned timber (other than Special Salvage
Timber)?
* * * * *
(d) In setting minimum bids for small business timber sale set-
asides, the appraisal point to calculate the cost of transportation and
hauling shall be the nearest small business manufacturing facility
where the raw materials may be legally processed as determined by the
U.S. Forest Service.
Dated: September 14, 2016.
Maria Contreras-Sweet,
Administrator.
[FR Doc. 2016-22861 Filed 9-26-16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 8025-01-P