Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Boost-Backs and Landings of Rockets at Vandenberg Air Force Base, 34984-34994 [2016-12818]
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Impact on Availability of Affected
Species or Stock for Taking for
Subsistence Uses
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
also requires us to determine that the
taking will not have an unmitigable
adverse effect on the availability of
marine mammal species or stocks for
subsistence use. There are no relevant
subsistence uses of marine mammals
implicated by this action. Thus, NMFS
has determined that the total taking of
affected species or stocks would not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the availability of such species or stocks
for taking for subsistence purposes.
Endangered Species Act
No marine mammal species listed
under the ESA are anticipated to occur
in the action area. Therefore, NMFS has
determined that a section 7 consultation
under the ESA is not required.
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
We prepared an Environmental
Assessment (DEA) analyzing the
potential effects to the human
environment from the issuance of an
Authorization to Point Blue for their
seabird research activities. The EA
titled, Issuance of an Incidental
Harassment Authorization to Point Blue
Conservation Science and Partners to
Take Marine Mammals by Harassment
Incidental to Seabird Research
Conducted in Central California is
posted on our Web site at
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental/research.htm. NMFS
provided relevant environmental
information to the public through the
notice of proposed Authorization (81 FR
15249, March 22, 2016) and considered
public comments received prior to
finalizing our EA and deciding whether
or not to issue a Finding of No
Significant Impact (FONSI). NMFS
concluded that issuance of an Incidental
Harassment Authorization would not
significantly affect the quality of the
human environment and prepared and
issued a FONSI in accordance with
NEPA and NOAA Administrative Order
216–6. NMFS’ EA and FONSI for this
activity are available upon request (see
ADDRESSES).
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Authorization
As a result of these determinations,
we have issued an Authorization to
Point Blue for the take of marine
mammals incidental to proposed
seabird and pinniped research activities,
provided they incorporate the
previously mentioned mitigation,
monitoring, and reporting requirements.
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Dated: May 26, 2016.
Perry Gayaldo,
Deputy Director, Office of Protected
Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2016–12816 Filed 5–31–16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XE443
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to
Specified Activities; Taking Marine
Mammals Incidental to Boost-Backs
and Landings of Rockets at
Vandenberg Air Force Base
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an incidental
harassment authorization.
AGENCY:
In accordance with the
regulations implementing the Marine
Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) as
amended, notification is hereby given
that we have issued an incidental
harassment authorization (IHA) to Space
Explorations Technology Corporation
(SpaceX), to incidentally harass, by
Level B harassment only, marine
mammals incidental to boost-backs and
landings of Falcon 9 rockets at
Vandenberg Air Force Base in
California, and at a contingency landing
location approximately 30 miles
offshore.
SUMMARY:
This Authorization is effective
from June 30, 2016, through June 29,
2017.
DATES:
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Jordan Carduner, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427–8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Availability
An electronic copy of SpaceX’s IHA
application and supporting documents,
as well as a list of the references cited
in this document, may be obtained by
visiting the Internet at
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental/. In case of problems
accessing these documents, please call
the contact listed under FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT.
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct
the Secretary of Commerce to allow,
upon request by U.S. citizens who
engage in a specified activity (other than
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commercial fishing) within a specified
area, the incidental, but not intentional,
taking of small numbers of marine
mammals, providing that certain
findings are made and the necessary
prescriptions are established.
The incidental taking of small
numbers of marine mammals may be
allowed only if NMFS (through
authority delegated by the Secretary)
finds that the total taking by the
specified activity during the specified
time period will (i) have a negligible
impact on the species or stock(s) and (ii)
not have an unmitigable adverse impact
on the availability of the species or
stock(s) for subsistence uses (where
relevant). Further, the permissible
methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring
and reporting of such taking must be set
forth.
The allowance of such incidental
taking under section 101(a)(5)(A), by
harassment, serious injury, death, or a
combination thereof, requires that
regulations be established.
Subsequently, a Letter of Authorization
may be issued pursuant to the
prescriptions established in such
regulations, providing that the level of
taking will be consistent with the
findings made for the total taking
allowable under the specific regulations.
Under section 101(a)(5)(D), NMFS may
authorize such incidental taking by
harassment only, for periods of not more
than one year, pursuant to requirements
and conditions contained within an
IHA. The establishment of these
prescriptions requires notice and
opportunity for public comment.
NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible
impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as ‘‘. . . an
impact resulting from the specified
activity that cannot be reasonably
expected to, and is not reasonably likely
to, adversely affect the species or stock
through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.’’ Except with
respect to certain activities not pertinent
here, section 3(18) of the MMPA defines
‘‘harassment’’ as: ‘‘. . . any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)
has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild by causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment].’’
Summary of Request
On July 28, 2015, we received a
request from SpaceX for authorization to
take marine mammals incidental to
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Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities,
including in-air boost-back maneuvers
and landings of the First Stage of the
Falcon 9 rocket at Vandenberg Air Force
Base (VAFB) in California, and at a
contingency landing location
approximately 50 km (31 mi) offshore of
VAFB. SpaceX submitted a revised
version of the request on November 5,
2015. This revised version of the
application was deemed adequate and
complete. Acoustic stimuli, including
sonic booms (overpressure of highenergy impulsive sound), landing noise,
and possible explosions, resulting from
boost-back maneuvers and landings of
the Falcon 9 First Stage have the
potential to result in take, in the form
of Level B harassment, of six species of
pinnipeds.
Description of the Specified Activity
A detailed description of the Falcon 9
First Stage recovery project is provided
in the Federal Register notice for the
proposed IHA (81 FR 18574; March 31,
2016). Since that time, no changes have
been made to the planned Falcon 9 First
Stage recovery activities. Therefore, a
detailed description is not provided
here. Please refer to that Federal
Register notice for the description of the
specific activity.
Comments and Responses
A notice of NMFS’s proposal to issue
an IHA to SpaceX was published in the
Federal Register on March 31, 2016 (81
FR 18574). That notice described, in
detail, SpaceX’s activity, the marine
mammal species that may be affected by
the activity, and the anticipated effects
on marine mammals. During the 30-day
public comment period, NMFS received
comments from the Marine Mammal
Commission. The Marine Mammal
Commission recommended that NMFS
issue the IHA, subject to inclusion of the
proposed mitigation, monitoring, and
reporting measures.
Description of Marine Mammals in the
Area of the Specified Activity
There are six marine mammal species
with expected occurrence in the project
area (including at VAFB, on the NCI,
and in the waters surrounding VAFB,
the NCI and the contingency landing
location) that are expected to be affected
by the specified activities. These
include the Steller sea lion (Eumetopias
jubatus), northern fur seal (Callorhinus
ursinus), northern elephant seal
(Mirounga angustirostris), Guadalupe
fur seal (Arctocephalus townsendi),
California sea lion (Zalophus
californianus), and Pacific harbor seal
(Phoca vitulina richardsi). There are an
additional 28 species of cetaceans with
expected or possible occurrence in the
project area. However, despite the fact
that the ranges of these cetacean species
overlap spatially with SpaceX’s planned
activities, we have determined that none
of the potential stressors associated with
the planned activities (including
exposure to debris strike, rocket fuel,
and visual and acoustic stimuli, as
described further in ‘‘Potential Effects of
the Specified Activity on Marine
Mammals’’) are likely to result in take
of cetaceans. As we have concluded that
the likelihood of a cetacean being taken
incidentally as a result of SpaceX’s
planned activities is so low as to be
discountable, cetaceans are not
considered further in this authorization.
Please see Table 3–1 in the IHA
application for a complete list of species
with expected or potential occurrence in
the project area.
A detailed description of the of the
species likely to be affected by the dock
construction project, including brief
introductions to the species and
relevant stocks as well as available
information regarding population trends
and threats, and information regarding
local occurrence, were provided in the
Federal Register notice for the proposed
IHA (81 FR 18574; March 31, 2016);
since that time, we are not aware of any
changes in the status of these species
and stocks; therefore, detailed
descriptions are not provided here.
Please refer to that Federal Register
notice for these descriptions. Please also
refer to NMFS’ Web site for generalized
species accounts, at:
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/species/
mammals.
Table 1 lists the marine mammal
species with expected potential for
occurrence in the vicinity of the project
during the project timeframe that are
likely to be affected by the specified
activities, and summarizes key
information regarding stock status and
abundance. Please see NMFS’ Stock
Assessment Reports (SAR), available at
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars, for more
detailed accounts of these stocks’ status
and abundance.
TABLE 1—MARINE MAMMALS EXPECTED TO BE PRESENT IN THE VICINITY OF THE PROJECT LOCATION THAT ARE LIKELY
TO BE AFFECTED BY THE SPECIFIED ACTIVITIES
Species
ESA Status/
MMPA
status;
strategic
(Y/N) 1
Stock
Stock abundance 2
Occurrence
in project
area
Order Carnivora—Superfamily Pinnipedia
Family Otariidae (eared seals and sea lions)
Steller sea lion ..................................................
California sea lion .............................................
Eastern U.S. DPS ............................................
U.S. stock .........................................................
–/D; Y
–/–; N
60,131
296,750
Rare.
Common.
–/–; N
–/–; N
–/–; N
T/D; Y
30,968
179,000
12,844
3 7,408
Common.
Common.
Common.
Rare.
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Family Phocidae (earless seals)
Harbor seal .......................................................
Northern elephant seal .....................................
Northern fur seal ...............................................
Guadalupe fur seal ...........................................
California stock .................................................
California breeding stock ..................................
California stock .................................................
n/a .....................................................................
1 ESA status: Endangered (E), Threatened (T)/MMPA status: Depleted (D). A dash (–) indicates that the species is not listed under the ESA or
designated as depleted under the MMPA. Under the MMPA, a strategic stock is one for which the level of direct human-caused mortality exceeds PBR or is determined to be declining and likely to be listed under the ESA within the foreseeable future. Any species or stock listed under
the ESA is automatically designated under the MMPA as depleted and as a strategic stock.
2 For certain stocks of pinnipeds, abundance estimates are based upon observations of animals (often pups) ashore multiplied by some correction factor derived from knowledge of the species (or similar species) life history to arrive at a best abundance estimate.
3 Abundance estimate for this stock is greater than ten years old and is therefore not considered current. We nevertheless present the most recent abundance estimate, as this represents the best available information for use in this document.
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Potential Effects of the Specified
Activity on Marine Mammals
The effects of noise from sonic booms
resulting from the Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery project have the potential to
result in behavioral harassment of
marine mammals in the vicinity of the
action area. The Federal Register notice
for the proposed IHA (81 FR 18574;
March 31, 2016) included a discussion
of the effects of anthropogenic noise on
marine mammals, therefore that
information is not repeated here; please
refer to the Federal Register notice (81
FR 18574; March 31, 2016) for that
information. No instances of hearing
threshold shifts, injury, serious injury,
or mortality are expected as a result of
the Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
activities.
Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal
Habitat
The main impact associated with the
Falcon 9 First Stage recovery project
would be temporarily elevated sound
levels and the associated direct effects
on marine mammals. We do not
anticipate that the planned activities
would result in any temporary or
permanent effects on the habitats used
by the marine mammals in the action
area, including the food sources they
use (i.e. fish and invertebrates). The
project would not result in permanent
impacts to habitats used directly by
marine mammals, such as haulout sites
and are unlikely to result in long term
or permanent avoidance of the exposure
areas or loss of habitat. The planned
activities are also not expected to result
in any reduction in foraging habitat or
adverse impacts to marine mammal
prey. This is discussed in greater detail
in the Federal Register notice for the
proposed IHA (81 FR 18574; March 31,
2016), therefore that information is not
repeated here; please refer to that
Federal Register notice for that
information.
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Mitigation Measures
In order to issue an IHA under section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA, NMFS must
set forth the permissible methods of
taking pursuant to such activity, and
other means of effecting the least
practicable impact on such species or
stock and its habitat, paying particular
attention to rookeries, mating grounds,
and areas of similar significance, and on
the availability of such species or stock
for taking for certain subsistence uses.
SpaceX’s IHA application contains
descriptions of the mitigation measures
to be implemented during the specified
activities in order to effect the least
practicable adverse impact on the
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affected marine mammal species and
stocks and their habitats. These
mitigation measures include the
following:
• Unless constrained by other factors
including human safety or national
security concerns, launches will be
scheduled to avoid, whenever possible,
boost-backs and landings during the
harbor seal pupping season of March
through June.
We have carefully evaluated SpaceX’s
planned mitigation and considered their
likely effectiveness relative to
implementation of similar mitigation
measures in previously issued
incidental take authorizations to
determine whether they are likely to
affect the least practicable impact on the
affected marine mammal species and
stocks and their habitat. Our evaluation
of potential measures included
consideration of the following factors in
relation to one another:
(1) The manner in which, and the
degree to which, the successful
implementation of the measure is
expected to minimize adverse impacts
to marine mammals;
(2) The proven or likely efficacy of the
specific measure to minimize adverse
impacts as planned; and
(3) The practicability of the measure
for applicant implementation.
Any mitigation measure(s) we
prescribe should be able to accomplish,
have a reasonable likelihood of
accomplishing (based on current
science), or contribute to the
accomplishment of one or more of the
general goals listed below:
(1) Avoidance or minimization of
injury or death of marine mammals
wherever possible (goals 2, 3, and 4 may
contribute to this goal).
(2) A reduction in the number (total
number or number at biologically
important time or location) of
individual marine mammals exposed to
stimuli expected to result in incidental
take (this goal may contribute to 1,
above, or to reducing takes by
behavioral harassment only).
(3) A reduction in the number (total
number or number at biologically
important time or location) of times any
individual marine mammal would be
exposed to stimuli expected to result in
incidental take (this goal may contribute
to 1, above, or to reducing takes by
behavioral harassment only).
(4) A reduction in the intensity of
exposure to stimuli expected to result in
incidental take (this goal may contribute
to 1, above, or to reducing the severity
of behavioral harassment only).
(5) Avoidance or minimization of
adverse effects to marine mammal
habitat, paying particular attention to
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the prey base, blockage or limitation of
passage to or from biologically
important areas, permanent destruction
of habitat, or temporary disturbance of
habitat during a biologically important
time.
(6) For monitoring directly related to
mitigation, an increase in the
probability of detecting marine
mammals, thus allowing for more
effective implementation of the
mitigation.
Based on our evaluation of SpaceX’s
planned measures, we have determined
that the mitigation measures provide the
means of effecting the least practicable
impact on marine mammal species or
stocks and their habitat.
Monitoring and Reporting
In order to issue an IHA for an
activity, section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA states that NMFS must set forth
‘‘requirements pertaining to the
monitoring and reporting of such
taking.’’ The MMPA implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(13)
indicate that requests for incidental take
authorizations must include the
suggested means of accomplishing the
necessary monitoring and reporting that
will result in increased knowledge of
the species and of the level of taking or
impacts on populations of marine
mammals that are expected to be
present in the action area.
Any monitoring requirement we
prescribe should accomplish one or
more of the following general goals:
1. An increase in the probability of
detecting marine mammals, both within
defined zones of effect (thus allowing
for more effective implementation of the
mitigation) and in general to generate
more data to contribute to the analyses
mentioned below;
2. An increase in our understanding
of how many marine mammals are
likely to be exposed to stimuli that we
associate with specific adverse effects,
such as behavioral harassment or
hearing threshold shifts;
3. An increase in our understanding
of how marine mammals respond to
stimuli expected to result in incidental
take and how anticipated adverse effects
on individuals may impact the
population, stock, or species
(specifically through effects on annual
rates of recruitment or survival) through
any of the following methods:
• Behavioral observations in the
presence of stimuli compared to
observations in the absence of stimuli
(need to be able to accurately predict
pertinent information, e.g., received
level, distance from source);
• Physiological measurements in the
presence of stimuli compared to
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observations in the absence of stimuli
(need to be able to accurately predict
pertinent information, e.g., received
level, distance from source); and
• Distribution and/or abundance
comparisons in times or areas with
concentrated stimuli versus times or
areas without stimuli.
4. An increased knowledge of the
affected species; or
5. An increase in our understanding
of the effectiveness of certain mitigation
and monitoring measures.
SpaceX submitted a monitoring plan
as part of their IHA application.
SpaceX’s marine mammal monitoring
plan was created with input from NMFS
and was based on similar plans that
have been successfully implemented by
other action proponents under previous
authorizations for similar projects,
specifically the USAF’s monitoring of
rocket launches from VAFB.
Monitoring protocols vary according
to modeled sonic boom intensity and
season. Sonic boom modeling will be
performed prior to all boost-back events.
PCBoom, a commercially available
modeling program, or an acceptable
substitute, will be used to model sonic
booms. Launch parameters specific to
each launch will be incorporated into
each model. These include direction
and trajectory, weight, length, engine
thrust, engine plume drag, position
versus time from initiating boost-back to
additional engine burns, among other
aspects. Various weather scenarios will
be analyzed from NOAA weather
records for the region, then run through
the model. Among other factors, these
will include the presence or absence of
the jet stream, and if present, its
direction, altitude and velocity. The
type, altitude, and density of clouds will
also be considered. From these data, the
models will predict peak amplitudes
and impact locations.
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Marine Mammal Monitoring
Marine mammal monitoring
procedures will consist of the following:
• Should sonic boom model results
indicate that a peak overpressure of 1.0
psf or greater is likely to impact VAFB,
then acoustic and biological monitoring
at VAFB will be implemented.
• If it is determined that a sonic boom
of 1.0 psf or greater is likely to impact
one of the Northern Channel Islands
between 1 March and 30 June; a sonic
boom greater than 1.5 psf between 1 July
and 30 September, and a sonic boom
greater than 2.0 psf between 1 October
and 28 February, then monitoring will
be conducted at the haulout site closest
to the predicted sonic boom impact
area.
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• Monitoring would commence at
least 72 hours prior to the boost-back
and continue until at least 48 hours after
the event.
• Monitoring data collected would
include multiple surveys each day that
record the species; number of animals;
general behavior; presence of pups; age
class; gender; and reaction to booms or
other natural or human-caused
disturbances. Environmental conditions
such as tide, wind speed, air
temperature, and swell would also be
recorded.
• If the boost-back is scheduled for
daylight; video recording of pinnipeds
would be conducted during the Falcon
9 First Stage recovery in order to collect
data on reactions to noise.
• For launches during the harbor seal
pupping season (March through June),
follow-up surveys will be conducted
within 2 weeks of the boost-back/
landing.
Acoustic Monitoring
Acoustic measurements of the sonic
boom created during boost-back at the
monitoring location will be recorded to
determine the overpressure level.
Reporting
SpaceX will submit a report within 90
days after each Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery event that includes the
following information:
• Summary of activity (including dates,
times, and specific locations of Falcon
9 First Stage recovery activities)
• Summary of monitoring measures
implemented
• Detailed monitoring results and a
comprehensive summary addressing
goals of monitoring plan, including:
Æ Number, species, and any other
relevant information regarding
marine mammals observed and
estimated exposed/taken during
activities;
Æ Description of the observed
behaviors (in both presence and
absence of activities);
Æ Environmental conditions when
observations were made; and
Æ Assessment of the implementation
and effectiveness of monitoring
measures.
In addition to the above post-activity
reports, a draft annual report will be
submitted within 90 calendar days of
the expiration of the IHA, or within 45
calendar days prior to the effective date
of a subsequent IHA (if applicable). The
annual report will summarize the
information from the post-activity
reports, including but not necessarily
limited to: (a) Numbers of pinnipeds
present on the haulouts prior to
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commencement of Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery activities; (b) numbers of
pinnipeds that may have been harassed
as noted by the number of pinnipeds
estimated to have entered the water as
a result of Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
noise; (c) for pinnipeds that entered the
water as a result of Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery noise, the length of time(s)
those pinnipeds remained off the
haulout or rookery; and (d) any
behavioral modifications by pinnipeds
that likely were the result of stimuli
associated with the planned activities.
In the unanticipated event that the
specified activity clearly causes the take
of a marine mammal in a manner not
authorized by the IHA, such as a Level
A harassment, or a take of a marine
mammal species other than those
authorized, SpaceX would immediately
cease the specified activities and
immediately report the incident to the
Chief of the Permits and Conservation
Division, Office of Protected Resources.
The report would include the following
information:
• Time, date, and location (latitude/
longitude) of the incident;
• Description of the incident;
• Status of all Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery activities in the 48 hours
preceding the incident;
• Description of all marine mammal
observations in the 48 hours preceding
the incident;
• Species identification or
description of the animal(s) involved;
• Fate of the animal(s); and
• Photographs or video footage of the
animal(s) (if equipment is available).
Activities would not resume until
NMFS is able to review the
circumstances of the prohibited take.
NMFS would work with SpaceX to
determine what is necessary to
minimize the likelihood of further
prohibited take and ensure MMPA
compliance. SpaceX would not be able
to resume their activities until notified
by NMFS via letter, email, or telephone.
In the event that SpaceX discovers an
injured or dead marine mammal, and
the lead MMO determines the cause of
the injury or death is unknown and the
death is relatively recent (i.e., in less
than a moderate state of decomposition),
SpaceX would immediately report the
incident to mail to: The Chief of the
Permits and Conservation Division,
Office of Protected Resources, NMFS,
and the NMFS West Coast Region
Stranding Coordinator.
The report would include the same
information identified in the paragraph
above. Authorized activities would be
able to continue while NMFS reviews
the circumstances of the incident.
NMFS would work with SpaceX to
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determine whether modifications in the
activities are appropriate.
In the event that SpaceX discovers an
injured or dead marine mammal, and
the lead MMO determines the injury or
death is not associated with or related
to the activities authorized in the IHA
(e.g., previously wounded animal,
carcass with moderate to advanced
decomposition, or scavenger damage),
SpaceX would report the incident to the
Chief of the Permits and Conservation
Division, Office of Protected Resources,
NMFS, and NMFS West Coast Region
Stranding Coordinator, within 24 hours
of the discovery. SpaceX would provide
photographs or video footage (if
available) or other documentation of the
stranded animal sighting to NMFS and
the Marine Mammal Stranding Network.
Estimated Take by Incidental
Harassment
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, section
3(18) of the MMPA defines
‘‘harassment’’ as: ‘‘. . . any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)
has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild by causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment].’’
All anticipated takes would be by
Level B harassment only, resulting from
noise associated with sonic booms and
involving temporary changes in
behavior. Estimates of the number of
harbor seals, California sea lions,
northern elephant seals, Steller sea
lions, northern fur seals, and Guadalupe
fur seals that may be harassed by the
planned activities is based upon the
number of potential events associated
with Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
activities (maximum six per year) and
the average number of individuals of
each species that are present in areas
that will be exposed to the activities at
levels that are expected to result in
Level B harassment.
In order to estimate the potential
incidents of take that may occur
incidental to the specified activity, we
must first estimate the extent of the
sound field that may be produced by the
activity and then incorporate
information about marine mammal
density or abundance in the project
area. We first provide information on
applicable thresholds for determining
effects to marine mammals before
describing the information used in
estimating the sound fields, the
available marine mammal density or
abundance information, and the method
of estimating potential incidences of
take. It should be noted that estimates
of Level B take described below are not
necessarily estimates of the number of
individual animals that are expected to
be taken; a smaller number of
individuals may accrue a number of
incidences of harassment per individual
than for each incidence to accrue to a
new individual, especially if those
individuals display some degree of
residency or site fidelity and the
impetus to use the site (e.g., because of
foraging opportunities) is stronger than
the deterrence presented by the
harassing activity.
Sound Thresholds
Typically NMFS relies on the acoustic
criteria shown in Table 2 to estimate the
extent of take by Level A and/or Level
B harassment that is expected as a result
of an activity. If we relied on the
acoustic criteria shown in Table 2, we
would assume harbor seals exposed to
airborne sound at levels at or above 90
dB rms re 20 mPa, and non-harbor seal
pinnipeds exposed to airborne sound at
levels at or above 100 dB rms re 20 mPa,
would experience Level B harassment.
However, in this case we have the
benefit of more than 20 years of
observational data on pinniped
responses to the stimuli associated with
the planned activities that we expect to
result in harassment (sonic booms) in
the particular geographic area of the
planned activity (VAFB and the NCI).
Therefore, we consider these data to be
the best available information in regard
to estimating take based on modeled
exposures among pinnipeds to sounds
associated with the planned activities.
These data suggest that pinniped
reactions to sonic booms are dependent
on the species, the age of the animal,
and the intensity of the sonic boom (see
Table 3).
TABLE 2—NMFS CRITERIA FOR ACOUSTIC IMPACTS TO MARINE MAMMALS
Criterion
Criterion definition
Threshold
In-Water Acoustic Thresholds
Level A .......................
PTS (injury) conservatively based on TTS ................................................................................
Level B .......................
Level B .......................
Behavioral disruption for impulsive noise ...................................................................................
Behavioral disruption for non-pulse noise ..................................................................................
190
180
160
120
dBrms for pinnipeds.
dBrms for cetaceans.
dBrms.
dBrms.
In-Air Acoustic Thresholds
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Level A .......................
Level B .......................
Level B .......................
PTS (injury) conservatively based on TTS ................................................................................
Behavioral disruption for harbor seals .......................................................................................
Behavioral disruption for non-harbor seal pinnipeds .................................................................
As described above, data from launch
monitoring by the USAF on the NCI and
at VAFB have shown that pinniped
reactions to sonic booms are correlated
to the level of the sonic boom. Low
energy sonic booms (<1.0 psf) have
resulted in little to no behavioral
responses, including head raising and
briefly alerting but returning to normal
behavior shortly after the stimulus.
More powerful sonic booms have
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flushed animals from haulouts (but not
resulted in any mortality or sustained
decreased in numbers after the
stimulus). Table 3 presents a summary
of monitoring efforts at the NCI from
1999 to 2011. These data show that
reactions to sonic booms tend to be
insignificant below 1.0 psf and that,
even above 1.0 psf, only a portion of the
animals present react to the sonic boom.
Therefore, for the purposes of estimating
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None established.
90 dBrms.
100 dBrms.
the extent of take that is likely to occur
as a result of the planned activities, we
assume that Level B harassment occurs
when a pinniped (on land) is exposed
to a sonic boom at or above 1.0 psf.
Therefore the number of expected takes
by Level B harassment is based on
estimates of the numbers of animals that
would be within the area exposed to
sonic booms at levels at or above 1.0 psf.
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34989
TABLE 3—PINNIPED REACTIONS TO SONIC BOOMS AT SAN MIGUEL ISLAND
Launch event
Sonic boom
level
(psf)
Location
Species & associated reaction
Calif. sea lion—866 alerted, 232 flushed into water; northern
elephant seal—alerted but did not flush; northern fur
seal—alerted but did not flush.
Calif. sea lion—600 alerted, 12 flushed into water; northern
elephant seal—alerted but did not flush; northern fur
seal—alerted but did not flush.
Calif. sea lion—60 flushed into water, no reaction from rest;
Northern elephant seal—no reaction.
Calif. sea lion—no reaction; northern elephant seal—no reaction; harbor seal—2 of 4 flushed into water.
Calif. sea lion—no reaction; northern fur seal—no reaction;
northern elephant seal—no reaction.
Calif. sea lion—40% alerted, several flushed to water; northern elephant seal—no reaction.
Calif. sea lion—10% alerted.
northern elephant seal—no reaction.
Calif. sea lion—no reaction.
northern elephant seal—no reaction.
harbor seal—1 of ∼25 flushed into water, no reaction from
others.
Calif. sea lion—5 of ∼225 alerted, none flushed.
Athena II (27 April 1999) .........
1.0
Adams Cove ...........................
Athena II (24 September 1999)
0.95
Point Bennett ..........................
Delta II 20 (November 2000) ..
0.4
Point Bennett ..........................
Atlas II (8 September 2001) ....
0.75
Cardwell Point .........................
Delta II (11 February 2002) .....
0.64
Point Bennett ..........................
Atlas II (2 December 2003) .....
0.88
Point Bennett ..........................
Delta II
Atlas V
Delta II
Atlas V
Atlas V
(15 July 2004) .............
(13 March 2008) .........
(5 May 2009) ..............
(14 April 2011) ............
(3 April 2014) ..............
1.34
1.24
0.76
1.01
0.74
Adams Cove ...........................
Cardwell Point .........................
West of Judith Rock ...............
Cuyler Harbor .........................
Cardwell Point .........................
Atlas V (12 December 2014) ..
1.16
Point Bennett ..........................
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The data recorded by USAF at VAFB
and the NCI over the past 20 years has
also shown that pinniped reactions to
sonic booms vary between species. As
described above, little or no reaction has
been observed in harbor seals, California
sea lions, northern fur seals and
northern elephant seals when
overpressures were below 1.0 psf (data
on responses among Steller sea lions
and Guadalupe fur seals is not
available). At the NCI sea lions have
reacted more strongly to sonic booms
than most other species. Harbor seals
also appear to be more sensitive to sonic
booms than most other pinnipeds, often
resulting in startling and fleeing into the
water. Northern fur seals generally show
little or no reaction, and northern
elephant seals generally exhibit no
reaction at all, except perhaps a headsup response or some stirring, especially
if sea lions in the same area mingled
with the elephant seals react strongly to
the boom. No data is available on Steller
sea lion or Guadalupe fur seal responses
to sonic booms.
Exposure Area
As described above, SpaceX
performed acoustic modeling to
estimate overpressure levels that would
be created during the return flight of the
Falcon 9 First Stage (Wyle, Inc. 2015).
The predicted acoustic footprint of the
sonic boom was computed using the
computer program PCBoom (Plotkin and
Grandi 2002; Page et al. 2010). Modeling
was performed for a landing at VAFB
and separately for a contingency barge
landing (see Figures 2–1, 2–2, 2–3 and
2–4 in the IHA application).
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The model results predicted that
sonic overpressures would reach up to
2.0 pounds psf in the immediate area
around SLC–4W (see Figures 2–1 and 2–
2 in the IHA application) and an
overpressure between 1.0 and 2.0 psf
would impact the coastline of VAFB
from approximately 8 km north of SLC–
4W to approximately 18 km southeast of
SLC–4W (see Figures 2–1 and 2–2 in the
IHA application). A substantially larger
area, including the mainland, the Pacific
Ocean, and the NCI would experience
an overpressure between 0.1 and 1.0 psf
(see Figure 2–1 in the IHA application).
In addition, San Miguel Island and
Santa Rosa Island may experience an
overpressure up to 3.1 psf and the west
end of Santa Cruz Island may
experience an overpressure up to 1.0 psf
(see Figures 2–1 and 2–3 in the IHA
application). During a contingency barge
landing event, an overpressure of up to
2.0 psf would impact the Pacific Ocean
at the contingency landing location
approximately 50 km offshore of VAFB.
San Miguel Island and Santa Rosa
Island would experience a sonic boom
between 0.1 and 0.2 psf, while sonic
boom overpressures on the mainland
would be between 0.2 and 0.4 psf.
SpaceX assumes that actual sonic
booms that occur during the planned
activities will vary slightly from the
modeled sonic booms; therefore, when
estimating take based on areas
anticipated to be impacted by sonic
booms at or above 1.0 psf, haulouts
within approximately 8.0 km (5 miles)
of modeled contour lines for sonic
booms at or above 1.0 psf were included
to be conservative. Therefore, in
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estimating take for a VAFB landing,
haulouts were included from the areas
of Point Arguello and Point Conception,
all of San Miguel Island, the
northwestern half of Santa Rosa Island,
and northwestern quarter of Santa Cruz
Island (see Figure 2–2 and 2–3 in the
IHA application). For a contingency
landing event, sonic booms are far
enough offshore so that only haulouts
along the northwestern edge of San
Miguel Island may be exposed to a 1.0
psf or greater sonic boom (see Figure 2–
4 in the IHA application). As modeling
indicates that substantially more
haulouts would be impacted by a sonic
boom at or above 1.0 psf in the event of
a landing at VAFB versus a landing at
the contingency landing location,
estimated takes are substantially higher
in the event of a VAFB landing versus
a barge landing.
Description of Take Calculation
The take calculations presented here
rely on the best data currently available
for marine mammal populations in the
project location. Data collected from
marine mammal surveys represent the
best available information on the
occurrence of the six pinniped species
in the project area. The quality of
information available on pinniped
abundance in the project area is varies
depending on species; some species,
such as California sea lions, are
surveyed regularly at VAFB and the
NCI, while for others, such as northern
fur seals, survey data is largely lacking.
See Table 4 for total estimated incidents
of take. Take estimates were based on
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‘‘worst case scenario’’ assumptions, as
follows:
• All six Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
actions are assumed to result in
landings at VAFB, with no landings
occurring at the contingency barge
landing location. This is a conservative
assumption as sonic boom modeling
indicates landings at VAFB are expected
to result in a greater number of
exposures to sound resulting in Level B
harassment than would be expected for
landings at the contingency landing
location offshore. Some landings may
ultimately occur at the contingency
landing location; however, the number
of landings at each location is not
known in advance.
• All pinnipeds estimated to be in
areas ensonified by sonic booms at or
above 1.0 psf are assumed to be hauled
out at the time the sonic boom occurs.
This assumption is conservative as some
animals may in fact be in the water with
heads submerged when a sonic boom
occurs and would therefore not be
exposed to the sonic boom at a level that
would result in Level B harassment.
• Actual sonic booms that occur
during the planned activities are
assumed to vary slightly from the
modeled sonic booms; therefore, when
estimating take based on areas expected
to be impacted by sonic booms at or
above 1.0 psf, an additional buffer of 8.0
km (5 miles) was added to modeled
sonic boom contour lines. Thus
haulouts that are within approximately
8.0 km (5 miles) of modeled sonic
booms at 1.0 psf and above were
included in the take estimate. This is a
conservative assumption as it expands
the area of ensonification that would be
expected to result in Level B
harassment.
California sea lion—California sea
lions are common offshore of VAFB and
haul out on rocks and beaches along the
coastline of VAFB, though pupping
rarely occurs on the VAFB coastline.
They haulout in large numbers on the
NCI and rookeries exist on San Miguel
and Santa Cruz islands. Based on
modeling of sonic booms from Falcon 9
First Stage recovery activities, Level B
harassment of California sea lions is
expected to occur both at VAFB and at
the NCI. Estimated take of California sea
lions at VAFB was calculated using the
largest count totals from monthly
surveys of VAFB haulout sites from
2013–2015. These data were compared
to the modeled sonic boom profiles.
Counts from haulouts that were within
the area expected to be ensonified by a
sonic boom above 1.0 psf, plus the
buffer of 8km as described above, were
included in take estimates; those
haulouts outside the area expected to be
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ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0
psf, plus the buffer of 8 km, were not
included in the take estimate. The
estimated number of California sea lion
takes on the NCI and at Point
Conception was derived from aerial
survey data collected from 2002 to 2012
by the NOAA Southwest Fishery
Science Center (SWFSC). The estimates
are based on the largest number of
individuals observed in the count
blocks that fall within the area expected
to be ensonified by a sonic boom above
1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km, based on
sonic boom modeling. Estimates of
Level B harassment for California sea
lions are shown in Table 4.
Harbor Seal—Pacific harbor seals are
the most common marine mammal
inhabiting VAFB, congregating on
several rocky haul-out sites along the
VAFB coastline. They also haul out,
breed, and pup in isolated beaches and
coves throughout the coasts of the NCI.
Based on modeling of sonic booms from
Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities,
Level B harassment of harbor seals is
expected to occur both at VAFB and at
the NCI. Estimated take of harbor seals
at VAFB was calculated using the
largest count totals from monthly
surveys of VAFB haulout sites from
2013–2015. These data were compared
to the modeled sonic boom profiles.
Counts from haulouts that were within
the area expected to be ensonified by a
sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius
of 8 km were included in take estimates;
those haulouts outside the area expected
to be ensonified by a sonic boom above
1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km were not
included in the take estimate. The
estimated number of harbor seal takes
on the NCI and at Point Conception was
derived from aerial survey data
collected from 2002 to 2012 by the
NOAA SWFSC. The estimates are based
on the largest number of individuals
observed in the count blocks that fall
within the area expected to be
ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0
psf plus a radius of 8 km, based on sonic
boom modeling.
It should be noted that total take
estimates shown in Table 4 represent
incidents of exposure to sound resulting
in Level B harassment from the planned
activities, and not estimates of the
number of individual harbor seals
exposed. As described above, harbor
seals display a high degree of site
fidelity to their preferred haulout sites,
and are non-migratory, rarely traveling
more than 50 km from their haulout
sites. Thus, while the estimated
abundance of the California stock of
Pacific harbor seals is 30,968 (Carretta et
al. 2015), a substantially smaller
number of individual harbor seals is
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
expected to occur within the project
area. The number of harbor seals
expected to be taken by Level B
harassment, per Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery action, is 2,157 (Table 4). We
expect that, because of harbor seals’ site
fidelity to haulout locations at VAFB
and the NCI, and because of their
limited ranges, the same individuals are
likely to be taken repeatedly over the
course of the planned activities (six
Falcon 9 First Stage recovery actions).
Estimates of Level B harassment for
harbor seals are shown in Table 4.
Steller Sea Lion—Steller sea lions
occur in small numbers at VAFB
(maximum 16 individuals observed at
any time) and on San Miguel Island
(maximum 4 individuals recorded at
any time). They have not been observed
on the Channel Islands other than San
Miguel Island and they not currently
have rookeries on the NCI or at VAFB.
Estimated take of Steller sea lions at
VAFB was calculated using the largest
count totals from monthly surveys of
VAFB from 2013–2015. These data were
compared to the modeled sonic boom
profiles. Counts from haulouts that were
within the area expected to be
ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0
psf plus a radius of 8 km were included
in take estimates; those haulouts outside
the area expected to be ensonified by a
sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius
of 8 km were not included in the take
estimate. Estimates of Level B
harassment for Steller sea lions are
shown in Table 4.
Northern elephant seal—Northern
elephant seals haul out sporadically on
rocks and beaches along the coastline of
VAFB and at Point Conception, but they
do not currently breed or pup at VAFB
or at Point Conception. Northern
elephant seals have rookeries on San
Miguel Island and Santa Rosa Island.
They are rarely seen on Santa Cruz
Island and Anacapa Island. Based on
modeling of sonic booms from Falcon 9
First Stage recovery activities, Level B
harassment of northern elephant seals is
expected to occur both at VAFB and at
the NCI.
Estimated take of northern elephant
seals at VAFB was calculated using the
largest count totals from monthly
surveys of VAFB haulout sites from
2013–2015. These data were compared
to the modeled sonic boom profiles.
Counts from haulouts that were within
the area expected to be ensonified by a
sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius
of 8 km were included in take estimates;
those haulouts outside the area expected
to be ensonified by a sonic boom above
1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km were not
included in the take estimate. The
estimated number of northern elephant
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seal takes on the NCI and at Point
Conception was derived from aerial
survey data collected from 2002 to 2012
by the NOAA SWFSC. The estimates are
based on the largest number of
individuals observed in the count
blocks that fall within the area expected
to be ensonified by a sonic boom above
1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km, based on
sonic boom modeling.
As described above, monitoring data
has shown that reactions to sonic booms
among pinnipeds vary between species,
with northern elephant seals
consistently showing little or no
reaction (Table 3). USAF launch
monitoring data shows that northern
elephant seals have never been observed
responding to sonic booms. No elephant
seal has been observed flushing to the
water in response to a sonic boom.
Because of the data showing that
elephant seals consistently show little to
no reaction to the sonic booms, we
conservatively estimate that 10 percent
of northern elephant seal exposures to
sonic booms at or above 1.0 psf will
result in Level B harassment. Estimates
of Level B harassment for northern
elephant seals are shown in Table 4.
Note that the take estimate for northern
elephant seals shown in Table 4 has
been revised from the take estimate in
the proposed IHA.
Northern fur seal—Northern fur seals
have rookeries on San Miguel Island,
the only island in the NCI on which
they have been observed. No haulout or
rookery sites exist for northern fur seals
at VAFB or on the mainland coast, thus
take from sonic booms is only expected
on San Miguel Island and not on the
mainland. Comprehensive count data
for northern fur seals on San Miguel
Island are not available. Estimated take
of northern fur seals was derived from
northern fur seals pup and bull census
data (Testa 2013), and personal
communications with subject matter
experts based at the NMFS National
Marine Mammal Laboratory. Northern
fur seal abundance on San Miguel
Island varies substantially depending on
the season, with a maximum of 6,000–
8,000 seals hauled out on the western
end of the island and at Castle Rock (∼1
km northwest of San Miguel Island)
during peak pupping season in July; the
number of seals on San Miguel Island
then decreases steadily from August
until November, when very few seals
are present. The number of seals on the
island does not begin to increase again
until the following June (pers. comm., T.
Orr, NMFS NMML, to J. Carduner,
NMFS, 2/27/16). As the dates of Falcon
9 First Stage recovery activities are not
known, the activities could occur when
the maximum number or the minimum
number of fur seals is present,
depending on season. We therefore
estimated an average of 5,000 northern
fur seals would be present in the area
affected by sonic booms above 1.0 psf.
As described above, monitoring data
has shown that reactions to sonic booms
among pinnipeds vary between species,
with northern fur seals consistently
showing little or no reaction (Table 3).
As described above, launch monitoring
data shows that northern fur seals
sometimes alert to sonic booms but have
never been observed flushing to the
water in response to sonic booms.
Because of the data showing that fur
seals consistently show little to no
reaction to sonic booms, we
conservatively estimate that 10 percent
of northern fur seal exposures to sonic
booms at or above 1.0 psf will result in
Level B harassment. Estimates of Level
B harassment for northern fur seals are
shown in Table 4.
Guadalupe fur seal—There are
estimated to be approximately 20–25
individual Guadalupe fur seals that
have fidelity to San Miguel Island. The
highest number of individuals observed
at any one time on San Miguel Island is
thirteen. No haul-out or rookery sites
exist for Guadalupe fur seals on the
mainland coast, including VAFB.
Comprehensive survey data on
Guadalupe fur seals in the NCI is not
readily available. Though we are aware
of no data on Guadalupe fur seal
responses to sonic booms, because of
the data showing that northern fur seals
consistently show little to no reaction to
sonic booms, we conservatively estimate
that 10 percent of Guadalupe fur seal
exposures to sonic booms at or above
1.0 psf will result in Level B
harassment. The estimated number of
takes of Guadalupe fur seals was based
the maximum number of Guadalupe fur
seals observed at any one time on San
Miguel Island (pers. comm., J. LaBonte,
ManTech, to J. Carduner, NMFS, Feb 29,
2016). Estimates of Level B harassment
for Guadalupe fur seals are shown in
Table 4. Note that the take estimate for
Guadalupe fur seals shown in Table 4
has been revised from the take estimate
in the proposed IHA.
As described above, the take estimates
shown in Table 4 are considered
reasonable estimates of the number of
marine mammal exposures to sound
resulting in Level B harassment that are
likely to occur over the course of the
project, and not necessarily the number
of individual animals exposed.
TABLE 4—NUMBER OF INCIDENTAL TAKES OF MARINE MAMMALS, AND PERCENTAGE OF STOCK ABUNDANCE, AS A RESULT
OF THE PLANNED ACTIVITIES
Estimated takes
per Falcon 9
First Stage
recovery action
Species
Geographic location
Harbor Seal ...............................................
VAFB a ......................................................
Pt. Conception b ........................................
San Miguel Island b ..................................
Santa Rosa Island b ..................................
Santa Cruz Island b ..................................
VAFB a ......................................................
Pt. Conception ..........................................
San Miguel Island c ...................................
Santa Rosa Island c.
Santa Cruz Island c.
VAFB a ......................................................
Pt. Conception d ........................................
San Miguel Island c ...................................
Santa Rosa Island c.
Santa Cruz Island c.
VAFB a ......................................................
Pt. Conception ..........................................
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California Sea Lion ...................................
Northern Elephant Seal ............................
Steller Sea Lion ........................................
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Total estimated
takes over the
duration of the
IHA ∧
Percentage of
stock abundance
estimated taken
366
488
752
412
139
416
n/a
9,000
12,942
*7
56,496
19
19
1
150
1,020
0.5
16
n/a
120
0.2
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TABLE 4—NUMBER OF INCIDENTAL TAKES OF MARINE MAMMALS, AND PERCENTAGE OF STOCK ABUNDANCE, AS A RESULT
OF THE PLANNED ACTIVITIES—Continued
Species
Estimated takes
per Falcon 9
First Stage
recovery action
Geographic location
Northern Fur Seal .....................................
Guadalupe Fur Seal .................................
San Miguel Island .....................................
Santa Rosa Island ....................................
Santa Cruz Island .....................................
VAFB ........................................................
Pt. Conception ..........................................
San Miguel Island c ...................................
Santa Rosa Island ....................................
Santa Cruz Island .....................................
VAFB ........................................................
Pt. Conception ..........................................
San Miguel Island e ..................................
Santa Rosa Island ....................................
Santa Cruz Island .....................................
Total estimated
takes over the
duration of the
IHA ∧
4
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
500
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
1
n/a
n/a
Percentage of
stock abundance
estimated taken
3,000
23
6
0.1
a VAFB
monthly marine mammal survey data 2013–2015 (ManTech SRS Technologies, Inc. 2014, 2015 and VAFB, unpubl. data).
Fisheries aerial survey data June 2002 and May 2004 (M. Lowry, NOAA Fisheries, unpubl. data).
2013; USAF 2013; pers. comm., T. Orr, NMFS NMML, to J. Carduner, NMFS, Feb 27, 2016.
d NOAA Fisheries aerial survey data February 2010 (M. Lowry, NOAA Fisheries, unpubl. data).
e DeLong and Melin 2000; J. Harris, NOAA Fisheries, pers. comm.
∧ Based on six Falcon 9 First Stage recovery actions, with SLC–4W landings, per year.
* For harbor seals, estimated percentage of stock abundance taken is based on estimated number of individuals taken versus estimated total
exposures.
b NOAA
c Testa
sradovich on DSK3TPTVN1PROD with NOTICES
Analyses and Determinations
Negligible Impact Analysis
NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible
impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as ‘‘. . . an
impact resulting from the specified
activity that cannot be reasonably
expected to, and is not reasonably likely
to, adversely affect the species or stock
through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.’’ A negligible
impact finding is based on the lack of
likely adverse effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival (i.e., populationlevel effects). An estimate of the number
of Level B harassment takes alone is not
enough information on which to base an
impact determination. In addition to
considering estimates of the number of
marine mammals that might be ‘‘taken’’
through behavioral harassment, we
consider other factors, such as the likely
nature of any responses (e.g., intensity,
duration), the context of any responses
(e.g., critical reproductive time or
location, migration), as well as the
number and nature of estimated Level A
harassment takes, the number of
estimated mortalities, and effects on
habitat.
To avoid repetition, the discussion of
our analyses applies to all the species
listed in Table 4, given that the
anticipated effects of this activity on
these different marine mammal stocks
are expected to be similar. There is no
information about the nature or severity
of the impacts, or the size, status, or
structure of any of these species or
stocks that would lead to a different
analysis for this activity.
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Activities associated with the Falcon
9 First Stage recovery project, as
outlined previously, have the potential
to disturb or displace marine mammals.
Specifically, the specified activities may
result in take, in the form of Level B
harassment (behavioral disturbance)
only, from in-air sounds generated from
sonic booms. Potential takes could
occur if marine mammals are hauled out
in areas where a sonic boom above 1.0
psf occurs, which is considered likely
given the modeled acoustic footprint of
the planned activities and the
occurrence of pinnipeds in the project
area. Effects on individuals that are
taken by Level B harassment, on the
basis of reports in the literature as well
as monitoring from similar activities
that have received incidental take
authorizations from NMFS, will likely
be limited to reactions such as alerting
to the noise, with some animals possibly
moving toward or entering the water,
depending on the species and the psf
associated with the sonic boom.
Repeated exposures of individuals to
levels of sound that may cause Level B
harassment are unlikely to result in
hearing impairment or to significantly
disrupt foraging behavior. In addition, it
is expected that exposures of
individuals to levels of sound that may
cause Level B harassment will be very
brief (a few seconds) and very
infrequent (six total over the course of
the Authorization). Thus, even repeated
Level B harassment of some small
subset of the overall stock is unlikely to
result in any significant realized
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decrease in fitness to those individuals,
and thus would not result in any
adverse impact to the stock as a whole.
Level B harassment will be reduced to
the level of least practicable impact
through use of mitigation measures
described above.
If a marine mammal responds to a
stimulus by changing its behavior (e.g.,
through relatively minor changes in
locomotion direction/speed), the
response may or may not constitute
taking at the individual level, and is
unlikely to affect the stock or the
species as a whole. However, if a sound
source displaces marine mammals from
an important feeding or breeding area
for a prolonged period, impacts on
animals or on the stock or species could
potentially be significant (e.g., Lusseau
and Bejder, 2007; Weilgart, 2007).
Flushing of pinnipeds into the water has
the potential to result in mother-pup
separation, or could result in stampede,
either of which could potentially result
in serious injury or mortality and
thereby could potentially impact the
stock or species. However, based the
best available information, which in this
case is over 20 years of monitoring data
from the project location as described
below, no serious injury or mortality of
marine mammals is anticipated as a
result of the planned activities.
Even in the instances of pinnipeds
being behaviorally disturbed by sonic
booms from rocket launches at VAFB,
no evidence has been presented of
abnormal behavior, injuries or
mortalities, or pup abandonment as a
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 105 / Wednesday, June 1, 2016 / Notices
result of sonic booms (SAIC 2013).
These findings came as a result of more
than two decades of surveys at VAFB
and the NCI (MMCG and SAIC, 2012).
Post-launch monitoring generally
reveals a return to normal patterns
within minutes up to an hour or two of
each launch, regardless of species. For
instance, eight space vehicle launches
occurred from north VAFB, near the
Spur Road and Purisima Point haul-out
sites, during the period 7 February 2009
through 6 February 2014. Of these eight
Delta II and Taurus launches, three
occurred during the harbor seal pupping
season. The continued use of the Spur
Road and Purisima Point haulout sites
indicates that it is unlikely that these
rocket launches (and associated sonic
booms) resulted in long-term
disturbances of pinnipeds using the
haulout sites. Moreover, adverse
cumulative impacts from launches were
not observed at this site. San Miguel
Island represents the most important
pinniped rookery in the lower 48 states,
and as such extensive research has been
conducted there for decades. From this
research, as well as stock assessment
reports, it is clear that VAFB operations
(including associated sonic booms) have
not had any significant impacts on San
Miguel Island rookeries and haulouts
(SAIC 2012). Based on this extensive
record, we believe the likelihood of
serious injury or mortality of any marine
mammal as a result of the planned
activities is so low as to be discountable.
Thus we do not anticipate Level A
harassment will occur as a result of the
planned activities and we do not
authorize take in the form of Level A
harassment.
The activities analyzed here are
substantially similar to other activities
that have received MMPA incidental
take authorizations previously,
including Letters of Authorization for
USAF launches of space launch vehicles
at VAFB, which have occurred for over
20 years with no reported injuries or
mortalities to marine mammals, and no
known long-term adverse consequences
to marine mammals from behavioral
harassment. As described above, several
cetacean species occur within the
project area, however no cetaceans are
expected to be affected by the planned
activities.
In summary, this negligible impact
analysis is founded on the following
factors:
1. The possibility of injury, serious
injury, or mortality may reasonably be
considered discountable;
2. The anticipated incidences of Level
B harassment consist of, at worst,
temporary modifications in behavior
(i.e., short distance movements and
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21:59 May 31, 2016
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34993
occasional flushing into the water with
return to haulouts within at most two
days), which are not expected to
adversely affect the fitness of any
individuals;
3. The considerable evidence, based
on over 20 years of monitoring data,
suggesting no long-term changes in the
use by pinnipeds of rookeries and
haulouts in the project area as a result
of sonic booms; and
4. The presumed efficacy of planned
mitigation measures in reducing the
effects of the specified activity to the
level of least practicable impact.
In combination, we believe that these
factors, as well as the available body of
evidence from other similar activities,
demonstrate that the potential effects of
the specified activity will be short-term
on individual animals. Though the
project area does represent an important
pupping area for several species that
may be taken, the specified activity is
not expected to impact rates of
recruitment or survival and will
therefore not result in population-level
impacts. Based on the analysis
contained herein of the likely effects of
the specified activity on marine
mammals and their habitat, and taking
into consideration the implementation
of the monitoring and mitigation
measures, we find that the total marine
mammal take from SpaceX’s Falcon 9
First Stage recovery activities will have
a negligible impact on the affected
marine mammal species or stocks.
seals is 30,968 (Carretta et al. 2015), a
substantially smaller number of
individual harbor seals is expected to
occur within the project area. We expect
that, because of harbor seals’ site fidelity
to locations at VAFB and the NCI, and
because of their limited ranges, the same
individuals are likely to be taken
repeatedly over the course of the
planned activities (maximum of six
Falcon 9 First Stage recovery actions).
Therefore the number of exposures to
Level B harassment over the course of
the authorization (the total number of
takes shown in Table 4) is expected to
accrue to a much smaller number of
individuals. The maximum number of
harbor seals expected to be taken by
Level B harassment, per Falcon 9 First
Stage recovery action, is 2,157. As we
believe the same individuals are likely
to be taken repeatedly over the course
of the planned activities, we use the
estimate of 2,157 individual animals
taken per Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
activity for the purposes of estimating
the percentage of the stock abundance
likely to be taken.
Based on the analysis contained
herein of the likely effects of the
specified activity on marine mammals
and their habitat, and taking into
consideration the implementation of the
mitigation and monitoring measures, we
find that small numbers of marine
mammals will be taken relative to the
populations of the affected species or
stocks.
Small Numbers Analysis
The numbers of authorized takes
would be considered small relative to
the relevant stocks or populations (23
percent for northern fur seals; 19
percent for California sea lions; 7
percent for Pacific harbor seals; less
than 1 percent each for northern
elephant seals, Guadalupe fur seals and
Steller sea lions). But, it is important to
note that the number of expected takes
does not necessarily represent of the
number of individual animals expected
to be taken. Our small numbers analysis
accounts for this fact. Multiple
exposures to Level B harassment can
accrue to the same individuals over the
course of an activity that occurs
multiple times in the same area (such as
SpaceX’s planned activity). This is
especially likely in the case of species
that have limited ranges and that have
site fidelity to a location within the
project area, as is the case with Pacific
harbor seals.
As described above, harbor seals are
non-migratory, rarely traveling more
than 50 km from their haul-out sites.
Thus, while the estimated abundance of
the California stock of Pacific harbor
Impact on Availability of Affected
Species for Taking for Subsistence Uses
Potential impacts resulting from the
planned activities will be limited to
individuals of marine mammal species
located in areas that have no subsistence
requirements. Therefore, no impacts on
the availability of marine mammal
species or stocks for subsistence use are
expected.
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
In compliance with the National
Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42
U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), as implemented by
the regulations published by the
Council on Environmental Quality (40
CFR parts 1500–1508), the USAF
prepared an Environmental Assessment
(EA) to consider the direct, indirect and
cumulative effects to the human
environment resulting from the Falcon 9
First Stage recovery project. NMFS
made the USAF’s EA available to the
public for review and comment,
concurrently with the publication of the
proposed IHA, on the NMFS Web site
(at www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental/), in relation to its suitability
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 105 / Wednesday, June 1, 2016 / Notices
for adoption by NMFS in order to assess
the impacts to the human environment
of issuance of an IHA to SpaceX. Also
in compliance with NEPA and the CEQ
regulations, as well as NOAA
Administrative Order 216–6, NMFS has
reviewed the USAF’s EA, determined it
to be sufficient, and adopted that EA
and signed a Finding of No Significant
Impact (FONSI) on May 6, 2016.
Endangered Species Act (ESA)
There is one marine mammal species
(Guadalupe fur seal) listed under the
ESA with confirmed occurrence in the
area expected to be impacted by the
planned activities. The NMFS West
Coast Region Protected Resources
Division has determined that the NMFS
Permits and Conservation Division’s
authorization of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 First
Stage recovery activities are not likely to
adversely affect the Guadalupe fur seal.
Therefore, formal ESA section 7
consultation on this authorization is not
required.
Authorization
NMFS has issued an IHA to SpaceX
for the potential harassment of small
numbers of six marine mammal species
incidental to the Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery project in California and in the
Pacific Ocean offshore California,
provided the previously mentioned
mitigation.
Dated: May 25, 2016.
Perry Gayaldo,
Deputy Director, Office of Protected
Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2016–12818 Filed 5–31–16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XE503
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to
Specified Activities; Seabird
Monitoring and Research in Glacier
Bay National Park, Alaska, 2016
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an incidental
harassment authorization.
sradovich on DSK3TPTVN1PROD with NOTICES
AGENCY:
In accordance with the
Marine Mammal Protection Act
(MMPA) regulations, we, the National
Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS),
hereby give notification that NMFS has
issued an Incidental Harassment
Authorization (IHA) to Glacier Bay
SUMMARY:
VerDate Sep<11>2014
21:59 May 31, 2016
Jkt 238001
National Park (Glacier Bay NP), to take
marine mammals, by Level B
harassment, incidental to conducting
seabird monitoring and research
activities in Alaska, May through
September, 2016.
DATES: Effective May 16, 2016 through
September 30, 2016.
ADDRESSES: The public may obtain an
electronic copy of Glacier Bay NP’s
application, supporting documentation,
the authorization, and a list of the
references cited in this document by
visiting: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/
permits/incidental.htm#applications. In
the case of problems accessing these
documents, please call the contact listed
here (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Robert Pauline, NMFS, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS (301) 427–
8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the Marine
Mammal Protection Act of 1972, as
amended (MMPA; 16 U.S.C. 1361 et
seq.) directs the Secretary of Commerce
to allow, upon request, the incidental,
but not intentional, taking of small
numbers of marine mammals of a
species or population stock, by U.S.
citizens who engage in a specified
activity (other than commercial fishing)
within a specified geographical region
if, after NMFS provides a notice of a
proposed authorization to the public for
review and comment: (1) NMFS makes
certain findings; and (2) the taking is
limited to harassment.
An Authorization shall be granted for
the incidental taking of small numbers
of marine mammals if NMFS finds that
the taking will have a negligible impact
on the species or stock(s), and will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the availability of the species or stock(s)
for subsistence uses (where relevant).
The Authorization must also set forth
the permissible methods of taking; other
means of effecting the least practicable
adverse impact on the species or stock
and its habitat; and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring
and reporting of such taking. NMFS has
defined ‘‘negligible impact’’ in 50 CFR
216.103 as ‘‘an impact resulting from
the specified activity that cannot be
reasonably expected to, and is not
reasonably likely to, adversely affect the
species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.’’
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ‘‘harassment’’ as: Any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild by causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment].
Summary of Request
On January 12, 2016, NMFS received
an application from Glacier Bay NP
requesting that we issue an
Authorization for the take of marine
mammals, incidental to conducting
monitoring and research studies on
glaucus-winged gulls (Larus
glaucescens) within Glacier Bay
National Park and Preserve in Alaska.
NMFS determined the application
complete and adequate on February 25,
2016.
NMFS previously issued two
Authorizations to Glacier Bay NP for the
same activities in 2014 and 2015 (79 FR
56065, September 18, 2014 and 80 FR
28229, May 18, 2015).
Glacier Bay NP proposes to conduct
ground-based and vessel-based surveys
to collect data on the number and
distribution of nesting gulls within five
study sites in Glacier Bay, AK. Glacier
Bay NP proposes to complete up to five
visits per study site, from May through
September, 2016.
The activities are within the vicinity
of pinniped haulout sites and the
following aspects of the proposed
activities are likely to result in the take
of marine mammals: Noise generated by
motorboat approaches and departures;
noise generated by researchers while
conducting ground surveys; and human
presence during the monitoring and
research activities. NMFS anticipates
that take by Level B harassment only, of
individuals of harbor seals (Phoca
vitulina) would result from the specified
activity. Although Steller sea lions
(Eumetopias jubatus) may be present in
the action area, Glacier Bay NP has
proposed to avoid any site used by
Steller sea lions, therefore, take is not
requested for this species.
Description of the Specified Activity
Overview
Glacier Bay NP proposes to identify
the onset of gull nesting; conduct midseason surveys of adult gulls, and locate
and document gull nest sites within the
following study areas: Boulder, Lone,
and Flapjack Islands, and Geikie Rock.
Each of these study sites contains harbor
seal haulout sites and Glacier Bay NP
E:\FR\FM\01JNN1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 105 (Wednesday, June 1, 2016)]
[Notices]
[Pages 34984-34994]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2016-12818]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
RIN 0648-XE443
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities;
Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Boost-Backs and Landings of Rockets
at Vandenberg Air Force Base
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an incidental harassment authorization.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: In accordance with the regulations implementing the Marine
Mammal Protection Act (MMPA) as amended, notification is hereby given
that we have issued an incidental harassment authorization (IHA) to
Space Explorations Technology Corporation (SpaceX), to incidentally
harass, by Level B harassment only, marine mammals incidental to boost-
backs and landings of Falcon 9 rockets at Vandenberg Air Force Base in
California, and at a contingency landing location approximately 30
miles offshore.
DATES: This Authorization is effective from June 30, 2016, through June
29, 2017.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jordan Carduner, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427-8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Availability
An electronic copy of SpaceX's IHA application and supporting
documents, as well as a list of the references cited in this document,
may be obtained by visiting the Internet at www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental/. In case of problems accessing these documents,
please call the contact listed under FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT.
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.)
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request by U.S.
citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than commercial
fishing) within a specified area, the incidental, but not intentional,
taking of small numbers of marine mammals, providing that certain
findings are made and the necessary prescriptions are established.
The incidental taking of small numbers of marine mammals may be
allowed only if NMFS (through authority delegated by the Secretary)
finds that the total taking by the specified activity during the
specified time period will (i) have a negligible impact on the species
or stock(s) and (ii) not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for subsistence uses (where
relevant). Further, the permissible methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting of such taking
must be set forth.
The allowance of such incidental taking under section 101(a)(5)(A),
by harassment, serious injury, death, or a combination thereof,
requires that regulations be established. Subsequently, a Letter of
Authorization may be issued pursuant to the prescriptions established
in such regulations, providing that the level of taking will be
consistent with the findings made for the total taking allowable under
the specific regulations. Under section 101(a)(5)(D), NMFS may
authorize such incidental taking by harassment only, for periods of not
more than one year, pursuant to requirements and conditions contained
within an IHA. The establishment of these prescriptions requires notice
and opportunity for public comment.
NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103 as ``. . .
an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot be
reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.'' Except with respect to certain activities
not pertinent here, section 3(18) of the MMPA defines ``harassment''
as: ``. . . any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i) has the
potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild
[Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by causing disruption of
behavioral patterns, including, but not limited to, migration,
breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment].''
Summary of Request
On July 28, 2015, we received a request from SpaceX for
authorization to take marine mammals incidental to
[[Page 34985]]
Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities, including in-air boost-back
maneuvers and landings of the First Stage of the Falcon 9 rocket at
Vandenberg Air Force Base (VAFB) in California, and at a contingency
landing location approximately 50 km (31 mi) offshore of VAFB. SpaceX
submitted a revised version of the request on November 5, 2015. This
revised version of the application was deemed adequate and complete.
Acoustic stimuli, including sonic booms (overpressure of high-energy
impulsive sound), landing noise, and possible explosions, resulting
from boost-back maneuvers and landings of the Falcon 9 First Stage have
the potential to result in take, in the form of Level B harassment, of
six species of pinnipeds.
Description of the Specified Activity
A detailed description of the Falcon 9 First Stage recovery project
is provided in the Federal Register notice for the proposed IHA (81 FR
18574; March 31, 2016). Since that time, no changes have been made to
the planned Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities. Therefore, a
detailed description is not provided here. Please refer to that Federal
Register notice for the description of the specific activity.
Comments and Responses
A notice of NMFS's proposal to issue an IHA to SpaceX was published
in the Federal Register on March 31, 2016 (81 FR 18574). That notice
described, in detail, SpaceX's activity, the marine mammal species that
may be affected by the activity, and the anticipated effects on marine
mammals. During the 30-day public comment period, NMFS received
comments from the Marine Mammal Commission. The Marine Mammal
Commission recommended that NMFS issue the IHA, subject to inclusion of
the proposed mitigation, monitoring, and reporting measures.
Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of the Specified Activity
There are six marine mammal species with expected occurrence in the
project area (including at VAFB, on the NCI, and in the waters
surrounding VAFB, the NCI and the contingency landing location) that
are expected to be affected by the specified activities. These include
the Steller sea lion (Eumetopias jubatus), northern fur seal
(Callorhinus ursinus), northern elephant seal (Mirounga
angustirostris), Guadalupe fur seal (Arctocephalus townsendi),
California sea lion (Zalophus californianus), and Pacific harbor seal
(Phoca vitulina richardsi). There are an additional 28 species of
cetaceans with expected or possible occurrence in the project area.
However, despite the fact that the ranges of these cetacean species
overlap spatially with SpaceX's planned activities, we have determined
that none of the potential stressors associated with the planned
activities (including exposure to debris strike, rocket fuel, and
visual and acoustic stimuli, as described further in ``Potential
Effects of the Specified Activity on Marine Mammals'') are likely to
result in take of cetaceans. As we have concluded that the likelihood
of a cetacean being taken incidentally as a result of SpaceX's planned
activities is so low as to be discountable, cetaceans are not
considered further in this authorization. Please see Table 3-1 in the
IHA application for a complete list of species with expected or
potential occurrence in the project area.
A detailed description of the of the species likely to be affected
by the dock construction project, including brief introductions to the
species and relevant stocks as well as available information regarding
population trends and threats, and information regarding local
occurrence, were provided in the Federal Register notice for the
proposed IHA (81 FR 18574; March 31, 2016); since that time, we are not
aware of any changes in the status of these species and stocks;
therefore, detailed descriptions are not provided here. Please refer to
that Federal Register notice for these descriptions. Please also refer
to NMFS' Web site for generalized species accounts, at:
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/species/mammals.
Table 1 lists the marine mammal species with expected potential for
occurrence in the vicinity of the project during the project timeframe
that are likely to be affected by the specified activities, and
summarizes key information regarding stock status and abundance. Please
see NMFS' Stock Assessment Reports (SAR), available at
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/sars, for more detailed accounts of these stocks'
status and abundance.
Table 1--Marine Mammals Expected To Be Present in the Vicinity of the Project Location That Are Likely To Be
Affected by the Specified Activities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ESA Status/ MMPA
Species Stock status; strategic Stock Occurrence in project
(Y/N) \1\ abundance \2\ area
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Order Carnivora--Superfamily Pinnipedia
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Family Otariidae (eared seals and sea lions)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Steller sea lion................ Eastern U.S. DPS... -/D; Y 60,131 Rare.
California sea lion............. U.S. stock......... -/-; N 296,750 Common.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Family Phocidae (earless seals)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Harbor seal..................... California stock... -/-; N 30,968 Common.
Northern elephant seal.......... California breeding -/-; N 179,000 Common.
stock.
Northern fur seal............... California stock... -/-; N 12,844 Common.
Guadalupe fur seal.............. n/a................ T/D; Y \3\ 7,408 Rare.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ ESA status: Endangered (E), Threatened (T)/MMPA status: Depleted (D). A dash (-) indicates that the species
is not listed under the ESA or designated as depleted under the MMPA. Under the MMPA, a strategic stock is one
for which the level of direct human-caused mortality exceeds PBR or is determined to be declining and likely
to be listed under the ESA within the foreseeable future. Any species or stock listed under the ESA is
automatically designated under the MMPA as depleted and as a strategic stock.
\2\ For certain stocks of pinnipeds, abundance estimates are based upon observations of animals (often pups)
ashore multiplied by some correction factor derived from knowledge of the species (or similar species) life
history to arrive at a best abundance estimate.
\3\ Abundance estimate for this stock is greater than ten years old and is therefore not considered current. We
nevertheless present the most recent abundance estimate, as this represents the best available information for
use in this document.
[[Page 34986]]
Potential Effects of the Specified Activity on Marine Mammals
The effects of noise from sonic booms resulting from the Falcon 9
First Stage recovery project have the potential to result in behavioral
harassment of marine mammals in the vicinity of the action area. The
Federal Register notice for the proposed IHA (81 FR 18574; March 31,
2016) included a discussion of the effects of anthropogenic noise on
marine mammals, therefore that information is not repeated here; please
refer to the Federal Register notice (81 FR 18574; March 31, 2016) for
that information. No instances of hearing threshold shifts, injury,
serious injury, or mortality are expected as a result of the Falcon 9
First Stage recovery activities.
Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal Habitat
The main impact associated with the Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
project would be temporarily elevated sound levels and the associated
direct effects on marine mammals. We do not anticipate that the planned
activities would result in any temporary or permanent effects on the
habitats used by the marine mammals in the action area, including the
food sources they use (i.e. fish and invertebrates). The project would
not result in permanent impacts to habitats used directly by marine
mammals, such as haulout sites and are unlikely to result in long term
or permanent avoidance of the exposure areas or loss of habitat. The
planned activities are also not expected to result in any reduction in
foraging habitat or adverse impacts to marine mammal prey. This is
discussed in greater detail in the Federal Register notice for the
proposed IHA (81 FR 18574; March 31, 2016), therefore that information
is not repeated here; please refer to that Federal Register notice for
that information.
Mitigation Measures
In order to issue an IHA under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA,
NMFS must set forth the permissible methods of taking pursuant to such
activity, and other means of effecting the least practicable impact on
such species or stock and its habitat, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of similar significance, and on
the availability of such species or stock for taking for certain
subsistence uses.
SpaceX's IHA application contains descriptions of the mitigation
measures to be implemented during the specified activities in order to
effect the least practicable adverse impact on the affected marine
mammal species and stocks and their habitats. These mitigation measures
include the following:
Unless constrained by other factors including human safety
or national security concerns, launches will be scheduled to avoid,
whenever possible, boost-backs and landings during the harbor seal
pupping season of March through June.
We have carefully evaluated SpaceX's planned mitigation and
considered their likely effectiveness relative to implementation of
similar mitigation measures in previously issued incidental take
authorizations to determine whether they are likely to affect the least
practicable impact on the affected marine mammal species and stocks and
their habitat. Our evaluation of potential measures included
consideration of the following factors in relation to one another:
(1) The manner in which, and the degree to which, the successful
implementation of the measure is expected to minimize adverse impacts
to marine mammals;
(2) The proven or likely efficacy of the specific measure to
minimize adverse impacts as planned; and
(3) The practicability of the measure for applicant implementation.
Any mitigation measure(s) we prescribe should be able to
accomplish, have a reasonable likelihood of accomplishing (based on
current science), or contribute to the accomplishment of one or more of
the general goals listed below:
(1) Avoidance or minimization of injury or death of marine mammals
wherever possible (goals 2, 3, and 4 may contribute to this goal).
(2) A reduction in the number (total number or number at
biologically important time or location) of individual marine mammals
exposed to stimuli expected to result in incidental take (this goal may
contribute to 1, above, or to reducing takes by behavioral harassment
only).
(3) A reduction in the number (total number or number at
biologically important time or location) of times any individual marine
mammal would be exposed to stimuli expected to result in incidental
take (this goal may contribute to 1, above, or to reducing takes by
behavioral harassment only).
(4) A reduction in the intensity of exposure to stimuli expected to
result in incidental take (this goal may contribute to 1, above, or to
reducing the severity of behavioral harassment only).
(5) Avoidance or minimization of adverse effects to marine mammal
habitat, paying particular attention to the prey base, blockage or
limitation of passage to or from biologically important areas,
permanent destruction of habitat, or temporary disturbance of habitat
during a biologically important time.
(6) For monitoring directly related to mitigation, an increase in
the probability of detecting marine mammals, thus allowing for more
effective implementation of the mitigation.
Based on our evaluation of SpaceX's planned measures, we have
determined that the mitigation measures provide the means of effecting
the least practicable impact on marine mammal species or stocks and
their habitat.
Monitoring and Reporting
In order to issue an IHA for an activity, section 101(a)(5)(D) of
the MMPA states that NMFS must set forth ``requirements pertaining to
the monitoring and reporting of such taking.'' The MMPA implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(13) indicate that requests for
incidental take authorizations must include the suggested means of
accomplishing the necessary monitoring and reporting that will result
in increased knowledge of the species and of the level of taking or
impacts on populations of marine mammals that are expected to be
present in the action area.
Any monitoring requirement we prescribe should accomplish one or
more of the following general goals:
1. An increase in the probability of detecting marine mammals, both
within defined zones of effect (thus allowing for more effective
implementation of the mitigation) and in general to generate more data
to contribute to the analyses mentioned below;
2. An increase in our understanding of how many marine mammals are
likely to be exposed to stimuli that we associate with specific adverse
effects, such as behavioral harassment or hearing threshold shifts;
3. An increase in our understanding of how marine mammals respond
to stimuli expected to result in incidental take and how anticipated
adverse effects on individuals may impact the population, stock, or
species (specifically through effects on annual rates of recruitment or
survival) through any of the following methods:
Behavioral observations in the presence of stimuli
compared to observations in the absence of stimuli (need to be able to
accurately predict pertinent information, e.g., received level,
distance from source);
Physiological measurements in the presence of stimuli
compared to
[[Page 34987]]
observations in the absence of stimuli (need to be able to accurately
predict pertinent information, e.g., received level, distance from
source); and
Distribution and/or abundance comparisons in times or
areas with concentrated stimuli versus times or areas without stimuli.
4. An increased knowledge of the affected species; or
5. An increase in our understanding of the effectiveness of certain
mitigation and monitoring measures.
SpaceX submitted a monitoring plan as part of their IHA
application. SpaceX's marine mammal monitoring plan was created with
input from NMFS and was based on similar plans that have been
successfully implemented by other action proponents under previous
authorizations for similar projects, specifically the USAF's monitoring
of rocket launches from VAFB.
Monitoring protocols vary according to modeled sonic boom intensity
and season. Sonic boom modeling will be performed prior to all boost-
back events. PCBoom, a commercially available modeling program, or an
acceptable substitute, will be used to model sonic booms. Launch
parameters specific to each launch will be incorporated into each
model. These include direction and trajectory, weight, length, engine
thrust, engine plume drag, position versus time from initiating boost-
back to additional engine burns, among other aspects. Various weather
scenarios will be analyzed from NOAA weather records for the region,
then run through the model. Among other factors, these will include the
presence or absence of the jet stream, and if present, its direction,
altitude and velocity. The type, altitude, and density of clouds will
also be considered. From these data, the models will predict peak
amplitudes and impact locations.
Marine Mammal Monitoring
Marine mammal monitoring procedures will consist of the following:
Should sonic boom model results indicate that a peak
overpressure of 1.0 psf or greater is likely to impact VAFB, then
acoustic and biological monitoring at VAFB will be implemented.
If it is determined that a sonic boom of 1.0 psf or
greater is likely to impact one of the Northern Channel Islands between
1 March and 30 June; a sonic boom greater than 1.5 psf between 1 July
and 30 September, and a sonic boom greater than 2.0 psf between 1
October and 28 February, then monitoring will be conducted at the
haulout site closest to the predicted sonic boom impact area.
Monitoring would commence at least 72 hours prior to the
boost-back and continue until at least 48 hours after the event.
Monitoring data collected would include multiple surveys
each day that record the species; number of animals; general behavior;
presence of pups; age class; gender; and reaction to booms or other
natural or human-caused disturbances. Environmental conditions such as
tide, wind speed, air temperature, and swell would also be recorded.
If the boost-back is scheduled for daylight; video
recording of pinnipeds would be conducted during the Falcon 9 First
Stage recovery in order to collect data on reactions to noise.
For launches during the harbor seal pupping season (March
through June), follow-up surveys will be conducted within 2 weeks of
the boost-back/landing.
Acoustic Monitoring
Acoustic measurements of the sonic boom created during boost-back
at the monitoring location will be recorded to determine the
overpressure level.
Reporting
SpaceX will submit a report within 90 days after each Falcon 9
First Stage recovery event that includes the following information:
Summary of activity (including dates, times, and specific
locations of Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities)
Summary of monitoring measures implemented
Detailed monitoring results and a comprehensive summary
addressing goals of monitoring plan, including:
[cir] Number, species, and any other relevant information regarding
marine mammals observed and estimated exposed/taken during activities;
[cir] Description of the observed behaviors (in both presence and
absence of activities);
[cir] Environmental conditions when observations were made; and
[cir] Assessment of the implementation and effectiveness of
monitoring measures.
In addition to the above post-activity reports, a draft annual
report will be submitted within 90 calendar days of the expiration of
the IHA, or within 45 calendar days prior to the effective date of a
subsequent IHA (if applicable). The annual report will summarize the
information from the post-activity reports, including but not
necessarily limited to: (a) Numbers of pinnipeds present on the
haulouts prior to commencement of Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
activities; (b) numbers of pinnipeds that may have been harassed as
noted by the number of pinnipeds estimated to have entered the water as
a result of Falcon 9 First Stage recovery noise; (c) for pinnipeds that
entered the water as a result of Falcon 9 First Stage recovery noise,
the length of time(s) those pinnipeds remained off the haulout or
rookery; and (d) any behavioral modifications by pinnipeds that likely
were the result of stimuli associated with the planned activities.
In the unanticipated event that the specified activity clearly
causes the take of a marine mammal in a manner not authorized by the
IHA, such as a Level A harassment, or a take of a marine mammal species
other than those authorized, SpaceX would immediately cease the
specified activities and immediately report the incident to the Chief
of the Permits and Conservation Division, Office of Protected
Resources. The report would include the following information:
Time, date, and location (latitude/longitude) of the
incident;
Description of the incident;
Status of all Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities in
the 48 hours preceding the incident;
Description of all marine mammal observations in the 48
hours preceding the incident;
Species identification or description of the animal(s)
involved;
Fate of the animal(s); and
Photographs or video footage of the animal(s) (if
equipment is available).
Activities would not resume until NMFS is able to review the
circumstances of the prohibited take. NMFS would work with SpaceX to
determine what is necessary to minimize the likelihood of further
prohibited take and ensure MMPA compliance. SpaceX would not be able to
resume their activities until notified by NMFS via letter, email, or
telephone.
In the event that SpaceX discovers an injured or dead marine
mammal, and the lead MMO determines the cause of the injury or death is
unknown and the death is relatively recent (i.e., in less than a
moderate state of decomposition), SpaceX would immediately report the
incident to mail to: The Chief of the Permits and Conservation
Division, Office of Protected Resources, NMFS, and the NMFS West Coast
Region Stranding Coordinator.
The report would include the same information identified in the
paragraph above. Authorized activities would be able to continue while
NMFS reviews the circumstances of the incident. NMFS would work with
SpaceX to
[[Page 34988]]
determine whether modifications in the activities are appropriate.
In the event that SpaceX discovers an injured or dead marine
mammal, and the lead MMO determines the injury or death is not
associated with or related to the activities authorized in the IHA
(e.g., previously wounded animal, carcass with moderate to advanced
decomposition, or scavenger damage), SpaceX would report the incident
to the Chief of the Permits and Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS, and NMFS West Coast Region Stranding
Coordinator, within 24 hours of the discovery. SpaceX would provide
photographs or video footage (if available) or other documentation of
the stranded animal sighting to NMFS and the Marine Mammal Stranding
Network.
Estimated Take by Incidental Harassment
Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent here,
section 3(18) of the MMPA defines ``harassment'' as: ``. . . any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i) has the potential to injure a
marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild [Level A harassment];
or (ii) has the potential to disturb a marine mammal or marine mammal
stock in the wild by causing disruption of behavioral patterns,
including, but not limited to, migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B harassment].''
All anticipated takes would be by Level B harassment only,
resulting from noise associated with sonic booms and involving
temporary changes in behavior. Estimates of the number of harbor seals,
California sea lions, northern elephant seals, Steller sea lions,
northern fur seals, and Guadalupe fur seals that may be harassed by the
planned activities is based upon the number of potential events
associated with Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities (maximum six
per year) and the average number of individuals of each species that
are present in areas that will be exposed to the activities at levels
that are expected to result in Level B harassment.
In order to estimate the potential incidents of take that may occur
incidental to the specified activity, we must first estimate the extent
of the sound field that may be produced by the activity and then
incorporate information about marine mammal density or abundance in the
project area. We first provide information on applicable thresholds for
determining effects to marine mammals before describing the information
used in estimating the sound fields, the available marine mammal
density or abundance information, and the method of estimating
potential incidences of take. It should be noted that estimates of
Level B take described below are not necessarily estimates of the
number of individual animals that are expected to be taken; a smaller
number of individuals may accrue a number of incidences of harassment
per individual than for each incidence to accrue to a new individual,
especially if those individuals display some degree of residency or
site fidelity and the impetus to use the site (e.g., because of
foraging opportunities) is stronger than the deterrence presented by
the harassing activity.
Sound Thresholds
Typically NMFS relies on the acoustic criteria shown in Table 2 to
estimate the extent of take by Level A and/or Level B harassment that
is expected as a result of an activity. If we relied on the acoustic
criteria shown in Table 2, we would assume harbor seals exposed to
airborne sound at levels at or above 90 dB rms re 20 [micro]Pa, and
non-harbor seal pinnipeds exposed to airborne sound at levels at or
above 100 dB rms re 20 [micro]Pa, would experience Level B harassment.
However, in this case we have the benefit of more than 20 years of
observational data on pinniped responses to the stimuli associated with
the planned activities that we expect to result in harassment (sonic
booms) in the particular geographic area of the planned activity (VAFB
and the NCI). Therefore, we consider these data to be the best
available information in regard to estimating take based on modeled
exposures among pinnipeds to sounds associated with the planned
activities. These data suggest that pinniped reactions to sonic booms
are dependent on the species, the age of the animal, and the intensity
of the sonic boom (see Table 3).
Table 2--NMFS Criteria for Acoustic Impacts to Marine Mammals
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Criterion Criterion definition Threshold
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In-Water Acoustic Thresholds
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Level A.............................. PTS (injury) conservatively 190 dBrms for pinnipeds.
based on TTS.
180 dBrms for cetaceans.
Level B.............................. Behavioral disruption for 160 dBrms.
impulsive noise.
Level B.............................. Behavioral disruption for non- 120 dBrms.
pulse noise.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In-Air Acoustic Thresholds
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Level A.............................. PTS (injury) conservatively None established.
based on TTS.
Level B.............................. Behavioral disruption for 90 dBrms.
harbor seals.
Level B.............................. Behavioral disruption for non- 100 dBrms.
harbor seal pinnipeds.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As described above, data from launch monitoring by the USAF on the
NCI and at VAFB have shown that pinniped reactions to sonic booms are
correlated to the level of the sonic boom. Low energy sonic booms (<1.0
psf) have resulted in little to no behavioral responses, including head
raising and briefly alerting but returning to normal behavior shortly
after the stimulus. More powerful sonic booms have flushed animals from
haulouts (but not resulted in any mortality or sustained decreased in
numbers after the stimulus). Table 3 presents a summary of monitoring
efforts at the NCI from 1999 to 2011. These data show that reactions to
sonic booms tend to be insignificant below 1.0 psf and that, even above
1.0 psf, only a portion of the animals present react to the sonic boom.
Therefore, for the purposes of estimating the extent of take that is
likely to occur as a result of the planned activities, we assume that
Level B harassment occurs when a pinniped (on land) is exposed to a
sonic boom at or above 1.0 psf. Therefore the number of expected takes
by Level B harassment is based on estimates of the numbers of animals
that would be within the area exposed to sonic booms at levels at or
above 1.0 psf.
[[Page 34989]]
Table 3--Pinniped Reactions to Sonic Booms at San Miguel Island
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sonic boom
Launch event level (psf) Location Species & associated reaction
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Athena II (27 April 1999)............. 1.0 Adams Cove............... Calif. sea lion--866 alerted,
232 flushed into water;
northern elephant seal--
alerted but did not flush;
northern fur seal--alerted
but did not flush.
Athena II (24 September 1999)......... 0.95 Point Bennett............ Calif. sea lion--600 alerted,
12 flushed into water;
northern elephant seal--
alerted but did not flush;
northern fur seal--alerted
but did not flush.
Delta II 20 (November 2000)........... 0.4 Point Bennett............ Calif. sea lion--60 flushed
into water, no reaction from
rest; Northern elephant
seal--no reaction.
Atlas II (8 September 2001)........... 0.75 Cardwell Point........... Calif. sea lion--no reaction;
northern elephant seal--no
reaction; harbor seal--2 of
4 flushed into water.
Delta II (11 February 2002)........... 0.64 Point Bennett............ Calif. sea lion--no reaction;
northern fur seal--no
reaction; northern elephant
seal--no reaction.
Atlas II (2 December 2003)............ 0.88 Point Bennett............ Calif. sea lion--40% alerted,
several flushed to water;
northern elephant seal--no
reaction.
Delta II (15 July 2004)............... 1.34 Adams Cove............... Calif. sea lion--10% alerted.
Atlas V (13 March 2008)............... 1.24 Cardwell Point........... northern elephant seal--no
reaction.
Delta II (5 May 2009)................. 0.76 West of Judith Rock...... Calif. sea lion--no reaction.
Atlas V (14 April 2011)............... 1.01 Cuyler Harbor............ northern elephant seal--no
reaction.
Atlas V (3 April 2014)................ 0.74 Cardwell Point........... harbor seal--1 of ~25 flushed
into water, no reaction from
others.
Atlas V (12 December 2014)............ 1.16 Point Bennett............ Calif. sea lion--5 of ~225
alerted, none flushed.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The data recorded by USAF at VAFB and the NCI over the past 20
years has also shown that pinniped reactions to sonic booms vary
between species. As described above, little or no reaction has been
observed in harbor seals, California sea lions, northern fur seals and
northern elephant seals when overpressures were below 1.0 psf (data on
responses among Steller sea lions and Guadalupe fur seals is not
available). At the NCI sea lions have reacted more strongly to sonic
booms than most other species. Harbor seals also appear to be more
sensitive to sonic booms than most other pinnipeds, often resulting in
startling and fleeing into the water. Northern fur seals generally show
little or no reaction, and northern elephant seals generally exhibit no
reaction at all, except perhaps a heads-up response or some stirring,
especially if sea lions in the same area mingled with the elephant
seals react strongly to the boom. No data is available on Steller sea
lion or Guadalupe fur seal responses to sonic booms.
Exposure Area
As described above, SpaceX performed acoustic modeling to estimate
overpressure levels that would be created during the return flight of
the Falcon 9 First Stage (Wyle, Inc. 2015). The predicted acoustic
footprint of the sonic boom was computed using the computer program
PCBoom (Plotkin and Grandi 2002; Page et al. 2010). Modeling was
performed for a landing at VAFB and separately for a contingency barge
landing (see Figures 2-1, 2-2, 2-3 and 2-4 in the IHA application).
The model results predicted that sonic overpressures would reach up
to 2.0 pounds psf in the immediate area around SLC-4W (see Figures 2-1
and 2-2 in the IHA application) and an overpressure between 1.0 and 2.0
psf would impact the coastline of VAFB from approximately 8 km north of
SLC-4W to approximately 18 km southeast of SLC-4W (see Figures 2-1 and
2-2 in the IHA application). A substantially larger area, including the
mainland, the Pacific Ocean, and the NCI would experience an
overpressure between 0.1 and 1.0 psf (see Figure 2-1 in the IHA
application). In addition, San Miguel Island and Santa Rosa Island may
experience an overpressure up to 3.1 psf and the west end of Santa Cruz
Island may experience an overpressure up to 1.0 psf (see Figures 2-1
and 2-3 in the IHA application). During a contingency barge landing
event, an overpressure of up to 2.0 psf would impact the Pacific Ocean
at the contingency landing location approximately 50 km offshore of
VAFB. San Miguel Island and Santa Rosa Island would experience a sonic
boom between 0.1 and 0.2 psf, while sonic boom overpressures on the
mainland would be between 0.2 and 0.4 psf.
SpaceX assumes that actual sonic booms that occur during the
planned activities will vary slightly from the modeled sonic booms;
therefore, when estimating take based on areas anticipated to be
impacted by sonic booms at or above 1.0 psf, haulouts within
approximately 8.0 km (5 miles) of modeled contour lines for sonic booms
at or above 1.0 psf were included to be conservative. Therefore, in
estimating take for a VAFB landing, haulouts were included from the
areas of Point Arguello and Point Conception, all of San Miguel Island,
the northwestern half of Santa Rosa Island, and northwestern quarter of
Santa Cruz Island (see Figure 2-2 and 2-3 in the IHA application). For
a contingency landing event, sonic booms are far enough offshore so
that only haulouts along the northwestern edge of San Miguel Island may
be exposed to a 1.0 psf or greater sonic boom (see Figure 2-4 in the
IHA application). As modeling indicates that substantially more
haulouts would be impacted by a sonic boom at or above 1.0 psf in the
event of a landing at VAFB versus a landing at the contingency landing
location, estimated takes are substantially higher in the event of a
VAFB landing versus a barge landing.
Description of Take Calculation
The take calculations presented here rely on the best data
currently available for marine mammal populations in the project
location. Data collected from marine mammal surveys represent the best
available information on the occurrence of the six pinniped species in
the project area. The quality of information available on pinniped
abundance in the project area is varies depending on species; some
species, such as California sea lions, are surveyed regularly at VAFB
and the NCI, while for others, such as northern fur seals, survey data
is largely lacking. See Table 4 for total estimated incidents of take.
Take estimates were based on
[[Page 34990]]
``worst case scenario'' assumptions, as follows:
All six Falcon 9 First Stage recovery actions are assumed
to result in landings at VAFB, with no landings occurring at the
contingency barge landing location. This is a conservative assumption
as sonic boom modeling indicates landings at VAFB are expected to
result in a greater number of exposures to sound resulting in Level B
harassment than would be expected for landings at the contingency
landing location offshore. Some landings may ultimately occur at the
contingency landing location; however, the number of landings at each
location is not known in advance.
All pinnipeds estimated to be in areas ensonified by sonic
booms at or above 1.0 psf are assumed to be hauled out at the time the
sonic boom occurs. This assumption is conservative as some animals may
in fact be in the water with heads submerged when a sonic boom occurs
and would therefore not be exposed to the sonic boom at a level that
would result in Level B harassment.
Actual sonic booms that occur during the planned
activities are assumed to vary slightly from the modeled sonic booms;
therefore, when estimating take based on areas expected to be impacted
by sonic booms at or above 1.0 psf, an additional buffer of 8.0 km (5
miles) was added to modeled sonic boom contour lines. Thus haulouts
that are within approximately 8.0 km (5 miles) of modeled sonic booms
at 1.0 psf and above were included in the take estimate. This is a
conservative assumption as it expands the area of ensonification that
would be expected to result in Level B harassment.
California sea lion--California sea lions are common offshore of
VAFB and haul out on rocks and beaches along the coastline of VAFB,
though pupping rarely occurs on the VAFB coastline. They haulout in
large numbers on the NCI and rookeries exist on San Miguel and Santa
Cruz islands. Based on modeling of sonic booms from Falcon 9 First
Stage recovery activities, Level B harassment of California sea lions
is expected to occur both at VAFB and at the NCI. Estimated take of
California sea lions at VAFB was calculated using the largest count
totals from monthly surveys of VAFB haulout sites from 2013-2015. These
data were compared to the modeled sonic boom profiles. Counts from
haulouts that were within the area expected to be ensonified by a sonic
boom above 1.0 psf, plus the buffer of 8km as described above, were
included in take estimates; those haulouts outside the area expected to
be ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0 psf, plus the buffer of 8 km,
were not included in the take estimate. The estimated number of
California sea lion takes on the NCI and at Point Conception was
derived from aerial survey data collected from 2002 to 2012 by the NOAA
Southwest Fishery Science Center (SWFSC). The estimates are based on
the largest number of individuals observed in the count blocks that
fall within the area expected to be ensonified by a sonic boom above
1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km, based on sonic boom modeling. Estimates
of Level B harassment for California sea lions are shown in Table 4.
Harbor Seal--Pacific harbor seals are the most common marine mammal
inhabiting VAFB, congregating on several rocky haul-out sites along the
VAFB coastline. They also haul out, breed, and pup in isolated beaches
and coves throughout the coasts of the NCI. Based on modeling of sonic
booms from Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities, Level B harassment
of harbor seals is expected to occur both at VAFB and at the NCI.
Estimated take of harbor seals at VAFB was calculated using the largest
count totals from monthly surveys of VAFB haulout sites from 2013-2015.
These data were compared to the modeled sonic boom profiles. Counts
from haulouts that were within the area expected to be ensonified by a
sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km were included in take
estimates; those haulouts outside the area expected to be ensonified by
a sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km were not included in
the take estimate. The estimated number of harbor seal takes on the NCI
and at Point Conception was derived from aerial survey data collected
from 2002 to 2012 by the NOAA SWFSC. The estimates are based on the
largest number of individuals observed in the count blocks that fall
within the area expected to be ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0 psf
plus a radius of 8 km, based on sonic boom modeling.
It should be noted that total take estimates shown in Table 4
represent incidents of exposure to sound resulting in Level B
harassment from the planned activities, and not estimates of the number
of individual harbor seals exposed. As described above, harbor seals
display a high degree of site fidelity to their preferred haulout
sites, and are non-migratory, rarely traveling more than 50 km from
their haulout sites. Thus, while the estimated abundance of the
California stock of Pacific harbor seals is 30,968 (Carretta et al.
2015), a substantially smaller number of individual harbor seals is
expected to occur within the project area. The number of harbor seals
expected to be taken by Level B harassment, per Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery action, is 2,157 (Table 4). We expect that, because of harbor
seals' site fidelity to haulout locations at VAFB and the NCI, and
because of their limited ranges, the same individuals are likely to be
taken repeatedly over the course of the planned activities (six Falcon
9 First Stage recovery actions). Estimates of Level B harassment for
harbor seals are shown in Table 4.
Steller Sea Lion--Steller sea lions occur in small numbers at VAFB
(maximum 16 individuals observed at any time) and on San Miguel Island
(maximum 4 individuals recorded at any time). They have not been
observed on the Channel Islands other than San Miguel Island and they
not currently have rookeries on the NCI or at VAFB. Estimated take of
Steller sea lions at VAFB was calculated using the largest count totals
from monthly surveys of VAFB from 2013-2015. These data were compared
to the modeled sonic boom profiles. Counts from haulouts that were
within the area expected to be ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0 psf
plus a radius of 8 km were included in take estimates; those haulouts
outside the area expected to be ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0
psf plus a radius of 8 km were not included in the take estimate.
Estimates of Level B harassment for Steller sea lions are shown in
Table 4.
Northern elephant seal--Northern elephant seals haul out
sporadically on rocks and beaches along the coastline of VAFB and at
Point Conception, but they do not currently breed or pup at VAFB or at
Point Conception. Northern elephant seals have rookeries on San Miguel
Island and Santa Rosa Island. They are rarely seen on Santa Cruz Island
and Anacapa Island. Based on modeling of sonic booms from Falcon 9
First Stage recovery activities, Level B harassment of northern
elephant seals is expected to occur both at VAFB and at the NCI.
Estimated take of northern elephant seals at VAFB was calculated
using the largest count totals from monthly surveys of VAFB haulout
sites from 2013-2015. These data were compared to the modeled sonic
boom profiles. Counts from haulouts that were within the area expected
to be ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km
were included in take estimates; those haulouts outside the area
expected to be ensonified by a sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius
of 8 km were not included in the take estimate. The estimated number of
northern elephant
[[Page 34991]]
seal takes on the NCI and at Point Conception was derived from aerial
survey data collected from 2002 to 2012 by the NOAA SWFSC. The
estimates are based on the largest number of individuals observed in
the count blocks that fall within the area expected to be ensonified by
a sonic boom above 1.0 psf plus a radius of 8 km, based on sonic boom
modeling.
As described above, monitoring data has shown that reactions to
sonic booms among pinnipeds vary between species, with northern
elephant seals consistently showing little or no reaction (Table 3).
USAF launch monitoring data shows that northern elephant seals have
never been observed responding to sonic booms. No elephant seal has
been observed flushing to the water in response to a sonic boom.
Because of the data showing that elephant seals consistently show
little to no reaction to the sonic booms, we conservatively estimate
that 10 percent of northern elephant seal exposures to sonic booms at
or above 1.0 psf will result in Level B harassment. Estimates of Level
B harassment for northern elephant seals are shown in Table 4. Note
that the take estimate for northern elephant seals shown in Table 4 has
been revised from the take estimate in the proposed IHA.
Northern fur seal--Northern fur seals have rookeries on San Miguel
Island, the only island in the NCI on which they have been observed. No
haulout or rookery sites exist for northern fur seals at VAFB or on the
mainland coast, thus take from sonic booms is only expected on San
Miguel Island and not on the mainland. Comprehensive count data for
northern fur seals on San Miguel Island are not available. Estimated
take of northern fur seals was derived from northern fur seals pup and
bull census data (Testa 2013), and personal communications with subject
matter experts based at the NMFS National Marine Mammal Laboratory.
Northern fur seal abundance on San Miguel Island varies substantially
depending on the season, with a maximum of 6,000-8,000 seals hauled out
on the western end of the island and at Castle Rock (~1 km northwest of
San Miguel Island) during peak pupping season in July; the number of
seals on San Miguel Island then decreases steadily from August until
November, when very few seals are present. The number of seals on the
island does not begin to increase again until the following June (pers.
comm., T. Orr, NMFS NMML, to J. Carduner, NMFS, 2/27/16). As the dates
of Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities are not known, the
activities could occur when the maximum number or the minimum number of
fur seals is present, depending on season. We therefore estimated an
average of 5,000 northern fur seals would be present in the area
affected by sonic booms above 1.0 psf.
As described above, monitoring data has shown that reactions to
sonic booms among pinnipeds vary between species, with northern fur
seals consistently showing little or no reaction (Table 3). As
described above, launch monitoring data shows that northern fur seals
sometimes alert to sonic booms but have never been observed flushing to
the water in response to sonic booms. Because of the data showing that
fur seals consistently show little to no reaction to sonic booms, we
conservatively estimate that 10 percent of northern fur seal exposures
to sonic booms at or above 1.0 psf will result in Level B harassment.
Estimates of Level B harassment for northern fur seals are shown in
Table 4.
Guadalupe fur seal--There are estimated to be approximately 20-25
individual Guadalupe fur seals that have fidelity to San Miguel Island.
The highest number of individuals observed at any one time on San
Miguel Island is thirteen. No haul-out or rookery sites exist for
Guadalupe fur seals on the mainland coast, including VAFB.
Comprehensive survey data on Guadalupe fur seals in the NCI is not
readily available. Though we are aware of no data on Guadalupe fur seal
responses to sonic booms, because of the data showing that northern fur
seals consistently show little to no reaction to sonic booms, we
conservatively estimate that 10 percent of Guadalupe fur seal exposures
to sonic booms at or above 1.0 psf will result in Level B harassment.
The estimated number of takes of Guadalupe fur seals was based the
maximum number of Guadalupe fur seals observed at any one time on San
Miguel Island (pers. comm., J. LaBonte, ManTech, to J. Carduner, NMFS,
Feb 29, 2016). Estimates of Level B harassment for Guadalupe fur seals
are shown in Table 4. Note that the take estimate for Guadalupe fur
seals shown in Table 4 has been revised from the take estimate in the
proposed IHA.
As described above, the take estimates shown in Table 4 are
considered reasonable estimates of the number of marine mammal
exposures to sound resulting in Level B harassment that are likely to
occur over the course of the project, and not necessarily the number of
individual animals exposed.
Table 4--Number of Incidental Takes of Marine Mammals, and Percentage of Stock Abundance, as a Result of the
Planned Activities
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Estimated takes Total estimated
per Falcon 9 takes over the Percentage of
Species Geographic location First Stage duration of the stock abundance
recovery action IHA [supcaret] estimated taken
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Harbor Seal........................ VAFB \a\............. 366 12,942 * 7
Pt. Conception \b\... 488
San Miguel Island \b\ 752
Santa Rosa Island \b\ 412
Santa Cruz Island \b\ 139
California Sea Lion................ VAFB \a\............. 416 56,496 19
Pt. Conception....... n/a
San Miguel Island \c\ 9,000
Santa Rosa Island \c\
Santa Cruz Island \c\
Northern Elephant Seal............. VAFB \a\............. 19 1,020 0.5
Pt. Conception \d\... 1
San Miguel Island \c\ 150
Santa Rosa Island \c\
Santa Cruz Island \c\
Steller Sea Lion................... VAFB \a\............. 16 120 0.2
Pt. Conception....... n/a
[[Page 34992]]
San Miguel Island.... 4
Santa Rosa Island.... n/a
Santa Cruz Island.... n/a
Northern Fur Seal.................. VAFB................. n/a 3,000 23
Pt. Conception....... n/a
San Miguel Island \c\ 500
Santa Rosa Island.... n/a
Santa Cruz Island.... n/a
Guadalupe Fur Seal................. VAFB................. n/a 6 0.1
Pt. Conception....... n/a
San Miguel Island \e\ 1
Santa Rosa Island.... n/a
Santa Cruz Island.... n/a
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\a\ VAFB monthly marine mammal survey data 2013-2015 (ManTech SRS Technologies, Inc. 2014, 2015 and VAFB,
unpubl. data).
\b\ NOAA Fisheries aerial survey data June 2002 and May 2004 (M. Lowry, NOAA Fisheries, unpubl. data).
\c\ Testa 2013; USAF 2013; pers. comm., T. Orr, NMFS NMML, to J. Carduner, NMFS, Feb 27, 2016.
\d\ NOAA Fisheries aerial survey data February 2010 (M. Lowry, NOAA Fisheries, unpubl. data).
\e\ DeLong and Melin 2000; J. Harris, NOAA Fisheries, pers. comm.
[supcaret] Based on six Falcon 9 First Stage recovery actions, with SLC-4W landings, per year.
* For harbor seals, estimated percentage of stock abundance taken is based on estimated number of individuals
taken versus estimated total exposures.
Analyses and Determinations
Negligible Impact Analysis
NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103 as ``. . .
an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot be
reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.'' A negligible impact finding is based on the
lack of likely adverse effects on annual rates of recruitment or
survival (i.e., population-level effects). An estimate of the number of
Level B harassment takes alone is not enough information on which to
base an impact determination. In addition to considering estimates of
the number of marine mammals that might be ``taken'' through behavioral
harassment, we consider other factors, such as the likely nature of any
responses (e.g., intensity, duration), the context of any responses
(e.g., critical reproductive time or location, migration), as well as
the number and nature of estimated Level A harassment takes, the number
of estimated mortalities, and effects on habitat.
To avoid repetition, the discussion of our analyses applies to all
the species listed in Table 4, given that the anticipated effects of
this activity on these different marine mammal stocks are expected to
be similar. There is no information about the nature or severity of the
impacts, or the size, status, or structure of any of these species or
stocks that would lead to a different analysis for this activity.
Activities associated with the Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
project, as outlined previously, have the potential to disturb or
displace marine mammals. Specifically, the specified activities may
result in take, in the form of Level B harassment (behavioral
disturbance) only, from in-air sounds generated from sonic booms.
Potential takes could occur if marine mammals are hauled out in areas
where a sonic boom above 1.0 psf occurs, which is considered likely
given the modeled acoustic footprint of the planned activities and the
occurrence of pinnipeds in the project area. Effects on individuals
that are taken by Level B harassment, on the basis of reports in the
literature as well as monitoring from similar activities that have
received incidental take authorizations from NMFS, will likely be
limited to reactions such as alerting to the noise, with some animals
possibly moving toward or entering the water, depending on the species
and the psf associated with the sonic boom. Repeated exposures of
individuals to levels of sound that may cause Level B harassment are
unlikely to result in hearing impairment or to significantly disrupt
foraging behavior. In addition, it is expected that exposures of
individuals to levels of sound that may cause Level B harassment will
be very brief (a few seconds) and very infrequent (six total over the
course of the Authorization). Thus, even repeated Level B harassment of
some small subset of the overall stock is unlikely to result in any
significant realized decrease in fitness to those individuals, and thus
would not result in any adverse impact to the stock as a whole. Level B
harassment will be reduced to the level of least practicable impact
through use of mitigation measures described above.
If a marine mammal responds to a stimulus by changing its behavior
(e.g., through relatively minor changes in locomotion direction/speed),
the response may or may not constitute taking at the individual level,
and is unlikely to affect the stock or the species as a whole. However,
if a sound source displaces marine mammals from an important feeding or
breeding area for a prolonged period, impacts on animals or on the
stock or species could potentially be significant (e.g., Lusseau and
Bejder, 2007; Weilgart, 2007). Flushing of pinnipeds into the water has
the potential to result in mother-pup separation, or could result in
stampede, either of which could potentially result in serious injury or
mortality and thereby could potentially impact the stock or species.
However, based the best available information, which in this case is
over 20 years of monitoring data from the project location as described
below, no serious injury or mortality of marine mammals is anticipated
as a result of the planned activities.
Even in the instances of pinnipeds being behaviorally disturbed by
sonic booms from rocket launches at VAFB, no evidence has been
presented of abnormal behavior, injuries or mortalities, or pup
abandonment as a
[[Page 34993]]
result of sonic booms (SAIC 2013). These findings came as a result of
more than two decades of surveys at VAFB and the NCI (MMCG and SAIC,
2012). Post-launch monitoring generally reveals a return to normal
patterns within minutes up to an hour or two of each launch, regardless
of species. For instance, eight space vehicle launches occurred from
north VAFB, near the Spur Road and Purisima Point haul-out sites,
during the period 7 February 2009 through 6 February 2014. Of these
eight Delta II and Taurus launches, three occurred during the harbor
seal pupping season. The continued use of the Spur Road and Purisima
Point haulout sites indicates that it is unlikely that these rocket
launches (and associated sonic booms) resulted in long-term
disturbances of pinnipeds using the haulout sites. Moreover, adverse
cumulative impacts from launches were not observed at this site. San
Miguel Island represents the most important pinniped rookery in the
lower 48 states, and as such extensive research has been conducted
there for decades. From this research, as well as stock assessment
reports, it is clear that VAFB operations (including associated sonic
booms) have not had any significant impacts on San Miguel Island
rookeries and haulouts (SAIC 2012). Based on this extensive record, we
believe the likelihood of serious injury or mortality of any marine
mammal as a result of the planned activities is so low as to be
discountable. Thus we do not anticipate Level A harassment will occur
as a result of the planned activities and we do not authorize take in
the form of Level A harassment.
The activities analyzed here are substantially similar to other
activities that have received MMPA incidental take authorizations
previously, including Letters of Authorization for USAF launches of
space launch vehicles at VAFB, which have occurred for over 20 years
with no reported injuries or mortalities to marine mammals, and no
known long-term adverse consequences to marine mammals from behavioral
harassment. As described above, several cetacean species occur within
the project area, however no cetaceans are expected to be affected by
the planned activities.
In summary, this negligible impact analysis is founded on the
following factors:
1. The possibility of injury, serious injury, or mortality may
reasonably be considered discountable;
2. The anticipated incidences of Level B harassment consist of, at
worst, temporary modifications in behavior (i.e., short distance
movements and occasional flushing into the water with return to
haulouts within at most two days), which are not expected to adversely
affect the fitness of any individuals;
3. The considerable evidence, based on over 20 years of monitoring
data, suggesting no long-term changes in the use by pinnipeds of
rookeries and haulouts in the project area as a result of sonic booms;
and
4. The presumed efficacy of planned mitigation measures in reducing
the effects of the specified activity to the level of least practicable
impact.
In combination, we believe that these factors, as well as the
available body of evidence from other similar activities, demonstrate
that the potential effects of the specified activity will be short-term
on individual animals. Though the project area does represent an
important pupping area for several species that may be taken, the
specified activity is not expected to impact rates of recruitment or
survival and will therefore not result in population-level impacts.
Based on the analysis contained herein of the likely effects of the
specified activity on marine mammals and their habitat, and taking into
consideration the implementation of the monitoring and mitigation
measures, we find that the total marine mammal take from SpaceX's
Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activities will have a negligible impact
on the affected marine mammal species or stocks.
Small Numbers Analysis
The numbers of authorized takes would be considered small relative
to the relevant stocks or populations (23 percent for northern fur
seals; 19 percent for California sea lions; 7 percent for Pacific
harbor seals; less than 1 percent each for northern elephant seals,
Guadalupe fur seals and Steller sea lions). But, it is important to
note that the number of expected takes does not necessarily represent
of the number of individual animals expected to be taken. Our small
numbers analysis accounts for this fact. Multiple exposures to Level B
harassment can accrue to the same individuals over the course of an
activity that occurs multiple times in the same area (such as SpaceX's
planned activity). This is especially likely in the case of species
that have limited ranges and that have site fidelity to a location
within the project area, as is the case with Pacific harbor seals.
As described above, harbor seals are non-migratory, rarely
traveling more than 50 km from their haul-out sites. Thus, while the
estimated abundance of the California stock of Pacific harbor seals is
30,968 (Carretta et al. 2015), a substantially smaller number of
individual harbor seals is expected to occur within the project area.
We expect that, because of harbor seals' site fidelity to locations at
VAFB and the NCI, and because of their limited ranges, the same
individuals are likely to be taken repeatedly over the course of the
planned activities (maximum of six Falcon 9 First Stage recovery
actions). Therefore the number of exposures to Level B harassment over
the course of the authorization (the total number of takes shown in
Table 4) is expected to accrue to a much smaller number of individuals.
The maximum number of harbor seals expected to be taken by Level B
harassment, per Falcon 9 First Stage recovery action, is 2,157. As we
believe the same individuals are likely to be taken repeatedly over the
course of the planned activities, we use the estimate of 2,157
individual animals taken per Falcon 9 First Stage recovery activity for
the purposes of estimating the percentage of the stock abundance likely
to be taken.
Based on the analysis contained herein of the likely effects of the
specified activity on marine mammals and their habitat, and taking into
consideration the implementation of the mitigation and monitoring
measures, we find that small numbers of marine mammals will be taken
relative to the populations of the affected species or stocks.
Impact on Availability of Affected Species for Taking for Subsistence
Uses
Potential impacts resulting from the planned activities will be
limited to individuals of marine mammal species located in areas that
have no subsistence requirements. Therefore, no impacts on the
availability of marine mammal species or stocks for subsistence use are
expected.
National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)
In compliance with the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969
(42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), as implemented by the regulations published
by the Council on Environmental Quality (40 CFR parts 1500-1508), the
USAF prepared an Environmental Assessment (EA) to consider the direct,
indirect and cumulative effects to the human environment resulting from
the Falcon 9 First Stage recovery project. NMFS made the USAF's EA
available to the public for review and comment, concurrently with the
publication of the proposed IHA, on the NMFS Web site (at
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental/), in relation to its
suitability
[[Page 34994]]
for adoption by NMFS in order to assess the impacts to the human
environment of issuance of an IHA to SpaceX. Also in compliance with
NEPA and the CEQ regulations, as well as NOAA Administrative Order 216-
6, NMFS has reviewed the USAF's EA, determined it to be sufficient, and
adopted that EA and signed a Finding of No Significant Impact (FONSI)
on May 6, 2016.
Endangered Species Act (ESA)
There is one marine mammal species (Guadalupe fur seal) listed
under the ESA with confirmed occurrence in the area expected to be
impacted by the planned activities. The NMFS West Coast Region
Protected Resources Division has determined that the NMFS Permits and
Conservation Division's authorization of SpaceX's Falcon 9 First Stage
recovery activities are not likely to adversely affect the Guadalupe
fur seal. Therefore, formal ESA section 7 consultation on this
authorization is not required.
Authorization
NMFS has issued an IHA to SpaceX for the potential harassment of
small numbers of six marine mammal species incidental to the Falcon 9
First Stage recovery project in California and in the Pacific Ocean
offshore California, provided the previously mentioned mitigation.
Dated: May 25, 2016.
Perry Gayaldo,
Deputy Director, Office of Protected Resources, National Marine
Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2016-12818 Filed 5-31-16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510-22-P