Updates to the Demographic and Spatial Allocation Models To Produce Integrated Climate and Land Use Scenarios Version 2, 25666-25667 [2016-09860]
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Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 83 / Friday, April 29, 2016 / Notices
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18:31 Apr 28, 2016
Jkt 238001
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
[EPA–ORD–2016–0196; FRL–9945–79–ORD]
Updates to the Demographic and
Spatial Allocation Models To Produce
Integrated Climate and Land Use
Scenarios Version 2
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Notice of public comment
period.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is announcing a 30-day
public comment period for the draft
document titled, ‘‘Updates to the
Demographic and Spatial Allocation
Models to Produce Integrated Climate
and Land Use Scenarios (ICLUS)
Version 2’’ (EPA/600/R–14/324). EPA is
also announcing that Versar, Inc., an
EPA contractor for external scientific
peer review, will select four
independent experts from a pool of
eight to conduct a letter peer review of
the same draft document. The document
was prepared by the National Center for
Environmental Assessment within
EPA’s Office of Research and
Development. This document describes
the development of version 2 of
Integrated Climate and Land Use
Scenarios (ICLUS), including updates to
data sets and the demographic and
spatial allocation models.
EPA intends to forward the public
comments that are submitted in
accordance with this document to the
external peer reviewers for their
consideration during the letter peer
review. When finalizing the draft
documents, EPA intends to consider any
public comments received in response
to this document. EPA is releasing this
draft document for the purposes of
public comment and peer review. This
draft document is not final as described
in EPA’s information quality guidelines
and does not represent and should not
SUMMARY:
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Fmt 4703
Sfmt 4703
be construed to represent Agency policy
or views.
The draft document is available via
the Internet on EPA’s Risk Web page
under the Recent Additions at https://
www.epa.gov/risk.
DATES: The document will be available
on April 29, 2016.
ADDRESSES: The draft report, ‘‘Updates
to the Demographic and Spatial
Allocation Models to Produce Integrated
Climate and Land Use Scenarios
(ICLUS) Version 2,’’ is available
primarily via the Internet on the
Ecological Risk Assessment Products
and Publications Web page at https://
www.epa.gov/risk/ecological-riskassessment-products-and-publications.
A limited number of paper copies are
available from the Information
Management Team, NCEA; telephone:
703–347–8561; facsimile: 703–347–
8691. If you are requesting a paper copy,
please provide your name, mailing
address, and the document title.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For
information on the public comment
period, contact the ORD Docket at the
EPA Headquarters Docket Center;
telephone: 202–566–1752; facsimile:
202–566–9744; or email: Docket_ORD@
epa.gov.
For technical information, contact
Britta Bierwagen, NCEA; telephone:
703–347–8613; facsimile: 703–347–
8694; or email: bierwagen.britta@
epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Information About the Project/
Document
The first version of the Integrated
Climate and Land Use Scenarios
(ICLUS) project modeled population,
residential development, and
impervious surface cover changes by
decade to the year 2100 consistent with
four global carbon emissions storylines
and a baseline. The current report
discusses improvements to the
underlying models of ICLUS that result
in version 2 (v2). ICLUS v2 is consistent
with updated global socioeconomic
scenarios (e.g., Shared Socioeconomic
Pathways (SSPs)) and new global
climate change model targets (e.g.,
Representative Concentration Pathways
(RCPs)). Improvements include the use
of updated population and land use/
cover data sets, integration of changing
climate variables within the migration
model, inclusion of transportation
network capacity and its increase over
time, growth in commercial and
industrial land uses, and the use of
population density-driven demands for
growth of residential housing,
commercial development, and industry.
E:\FR\FM\29APN1.SGM
29APN1
Federal Register / Vol. 81, No. 83 / Friday, April 29, 2016 / Notices
This report demonstrates the effect of
these improvements by comparing
national and regional results among the
SSP and RCP combinations used and
the two climate models selected. ICLUS
v2 shows differences in population
migration patterns by including climate
variables that change over time rather
than ones that are static. Additionally,
changing commercial and industrial
land uses can drive patterns of new
urban growth that have consequences
for many environmental endpoints.
Therefore, ICLUS v2 is better suited to
explore scenarios of climate change
impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation
options, including the use of ICLUS v2
outputs in models projecting emissions
from developed land uses and
consequences for water and air quality
endpoints, as well as human health.
Dated: April 11, 2016.
Mary A. Ross,
Deputy Director, National Center for
Environmental Assessment.
[FR Doc. 2016–09860 Filed 4–28–16; 8:45 am]
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02/01/2016
20160577
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Raymond James Financial, Inc.; Deutsche Bank AG; Raymond James Financial, Inc.
Globetrotter Co-Investment A LP; WS Holdings, Inc. c/o The Carlyle Group; Globetrotter Co-Investment A LP.
Engineered Floors, LLC; James R. Jolly; Engineered Floors, LLC.
Glenview Institutional Partners, L.P.; Tenet Healthcare Coporation; Glenview Institutional Partners, L.P.
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Michael S. Dell; Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.; Michael S. Dell.
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Mr. Wang Jianlin; Legend Pictures, LLC; Mr. Wang Jianlin.
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02/02/2016
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Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc.; National Rural Utilities Cooperative Finance Corporation; Atlantic Tele-Network, Inc.
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 81, Number 83 (Friday, April 29, 2016)]
[Notices]
[Pages 25666-25667]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2016-09860]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
[EPA-ORD-2016-0196; FRL-9945-79-ORD]
Updates to the Demographic and Spatial Allocation Models To
Produce Integrated Climate and Land Use Scenarios Version 2
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Notice of public comment period.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is announcing a 30-
day public comment period for the draft document titled, ``Updates to
the Demographic and Spatial Allocation Models to Produce Integrated
Climate and Land Use Scenarios (ICLUS) Version 2'' (EPA/600/R-14/324).
EPA is also announcing that Versar, Inc., an EPA contractor for
external scientific peer review, will select four independent experts
from a pool of eight to conduct a letter peer review of the same draft
document. The document was prepared by the National Center for
Environmental Assessment within EPA's Office of Research and
Development. This document describes the development of version 2 of
Integrated Climate and Land Use Scenarios (ICLUS), including updates to
data sets and the demographic and spatial allocation models.
EPA intends to forward the public comments that are submitted in
accordance with this document to the external peer reviewers for their
consideration during the letter peer review. When finalizing the draft
documents, EPA intends to consider any public comments received in
response to this document. EPA is releasing this draft document for the
purposes of public comment and peer review. This draft document is not
final as described in EPA's information quality guidelines and does not
represent and should not be construed to represent Agency policy or
views.
The draft document is available via the Internet on EPA's Risk Web
page under the Recent Additions at https://www.epa.gov/risk.
DATES: The document will be available on April 29, 2016.
ADDRESSES: The draft report, ``Updates to the Demographic and Spatial
Allocation Models to Produce Integrated Climate and Land Use Scenarios
(ICLUS) Version 2,'' is available primarily via the Internet on the
Ecological Risk Assessment Products and Publications Web page at https://www.epa.gov/risk/ecological-risk-assessment-products-and-publications.
A limited number of paper copies are available from the Information
Management Team, NCEA; telephone: 703-347-8561; facsimile: 703-347-
8691. If you are requesting a paper copy, please provide your name,
mailing address, and the document title.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For information on the public comment
period, contact the ORD Docket at the EPA Headquarters Docket Center;
telephone: 202-566-1752; facsimile: 202-566-9744; or email:
Docket_ORD@epa.gov.
For technical information, contact Britta Bierwagen, NCEA;
telephone: 703-347-8613; facsimile: 703-347-8694; or email:
bierwagen.britta@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Information About the Project/Document
The first version of the Integrated Climate and Land Use Scenarios
(ICLUS) project modeled population, residential development, and
impervious surface cover changes by decade to the year 2100 consistent
with four global carbon emissions storylines and a baseline. The
current report discusses improvements to the underlying models of ICLUS
that result in version 2 (v2). ICLUS v2 is consistent with updated
global socioeconomic scenarios (e.g., Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
(SSPs)) and new global climate change model targets (e.g.,
Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs)). Improvements include the
use of updated population and land use/cover data sets, integration of
changing climate variables within the migration model, inclusion of
transportation network capacity and its increase over time, growth in
commercial and industrial land uses, and the use of population density-
driven demands for growth of residential housing, commercial
development, and industry.
[[Page 25667]]
This report demonstrates the effect of these improvements by comparing
national and regional results among the SSP and RCP combinations used
and the two climate models selected. ICLUS v2 shows differences in
population migration patterns by including climate variables that
change over time rather than ones that are static. Additionally,
changing commercial and industrial land uses can drive patterns of new
urban growth that have consequences for many environmental endpoints.
Therefore, ICLUS v2 is better suited to explore scenarios of climate
change impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation options, including the
use of ICLUS v2 outputs in models projecting emissions from developed
land uses and consequences for water and air quality endpoints, as well
as human health.
Dated: April 11, 2016.
Mary A. Ross,
Deputy Director, National Center for Environmental Assessment.
[FR Doc. 2016-09860 Filed 4-28-16; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560-50-P