Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the Delmarva Peninsula Fox Squirrel From the List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife, 70700-70717 [2015-28742]
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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 220 / Monday, November 16, 2015 / Rules and Regulations
X. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
This action establishes a tolerance
under FFDCA section 408(d) in
response to a petition submitted to the
Agency. The Office of Management and
Budget (OMB) has exempted these types
of actions from review under Executive
Order 12866, entitled ‘‘Regulatory
Planning and Review’’ (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993). Because this action
has been exempted from review under
Executive Order 12866, this action is
not subject to Executive Order 13211,
entitled ‘‘Actions Concerning
Regulations That Significantly Affect
Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use’’ (66
FR 28355, May 22, 2001) or Executive
Order 13045, entitled ‘‘Protection of
Children from Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks’’ (62 FR 19885,
April 23, 1997). This action does not
contain any information collections
subject to OMB approval under the
Paperwork Reduction Act (PRA) (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.), nor does it require
any special considerations under
Executive Order 12898, entitled
‘‘Federal Actions to Address
Environmental Justice in Minority
Populations and Low-Income
Populations’’ (59 FR 7629, February 16,
1994).
Since tolerances and exemptions that
are established on the basis of a petition
under FFDCA section 408(d), such as
the tolerance in this final rule, do not
require the issuance of a proposed rule,
the requirements of the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (RFA) (5 U.S.C. 601 et
seq.), do not apply.
This action directly regulates growers,
food processors, food handlers, and food
retailers, not States or tribes, nor does
this action alter the relationships or
distribution of power and
responsibilities established by Congress
in the preemption provisions of FFDCA
section 408(n)(4). As such, the Agency
has determined that this action will not
have a substantial direct effect on States
or tribal governments, on the
relationship between the national
government and the States or tribal
governments, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government or between
the Federal Government and Indian
tribes. Thus, the Agency has determined
that Executive Order 13132, entitled
‘‘Federalism’’ (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999) and Executive Order 13175,
entitled ‘‘Consultation and Coordination
with Indian Tribal Governments’’ (65 FR
67249, November 9, 2000) do not apply
to this action. In addition, this action
does not impose any enforceable duty or
contain any unfunded mandate as
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described under Title II of the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act (UMRA) (2 U.S.C.
1501 et seq.).
This action does not involve any
technical standards that would require
Agency consideration of voluntary
consensus standards pursuant to section
12(d) of the National Technology
Transfer and Advancement Act
(NTTAA) (15 U.S.C. 272 note).
XI. Congressional Review Act
Pursuant to the Congressional Review
Act (5 U.S.C. 801 et seq.), EPA will
submit a report containing this rule and
other required information to the U.S.
Senate, the U.S. House of
Representatives, and the Comptroller
General of the United States prior to
publication of the rule in the Federal
Register. This action is not a ‘‘major
rule’’ as defined by 5 U.S.C. 804(2).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 180
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Agricultural commodities, Pesticides
and pests, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements.
Dated: November 5, 2015.
G. Jeffrey Herndon,
Director, Registration Division, Office of
Pesticide Programs.
Therefore, 40 CFR chapter I is
amended as follows:
PART 180—[AMENDED]
1. The authority citation for part 180
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 21 U.S.C. 321(q), 346a and 371.
2. In § 180.960, add alphabetically the
polymer in the table to read as follows:
■
§ 180.960 Polymers; exemptions from the
requirement of a tolerance.
*
*
*
*
*
Polymer
CAS No.
*
*
*
Tamarind seed gum, 2hydroxypropyl ether polymer, minimum number average molecular weight (in
amu), 10,000 .....................
*
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68551–04–2
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[FR Doc. 2015–29169 Filed 11–13–15; 8:45 am]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2014–0021;
FXES11130900000; 4500030113]
RIN 1018–AY83
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Removal of the Delmarva
Peninsula Fox Squirrel From the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
The best available scientific
and commercial data indicate that the
Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrel
(Sciurus niger cinereus) has recovered.
Therefore, under the authority of the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act), we, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (Service), remove the
Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrel
(commonly called the Delmarva fox
squirrel) from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
(List). This determination is based on a
thorough review of all available
information, which indicates that the
subspecies is now sufficiently abundant
and well distributed to withstand
foreseeable threats and no longer meets
the definition of an endangered or
threatened species under the Act.
This rule removes the Delmarva fox
squirrel from the List throughout its
range, including the experimental
population designated for Assawoman
Wildlife Management Area in Delaware.
It also announces the availability of a
post-delisting monitoring plan for the
subspecies.
DATES: This rule is effective December
16, 2015.
ADDRESSES: This final rule and the postdelisting monitoring plan are available
on the Internet at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R5–ES–2014–0021. Comments
and materials received, as well as
supporting documentation used in rule
preparation, will be available for public
inspection, by appointment, during
normal business hours at: U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, Chesapeake Bay Field
Office, 177 Admiral Cochrane Drive,
Annapolis, MD 21401; and on the
Chesapeake Bay Field Office Web site
at: https://www.fws.gov/chesapeakebay/.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Field Office Supervisor, Genevieve
LaRouche, by telephone at 410–573–
4573; or Cherry Keller, Wildlife
Biologist, at 410–573–4532, or by email
SUMMARY:
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at cherry_keller@fws.gov. Written
questions or requests for additional
information may also be directed to:
Delmarva fox squirrel QUESTIONS, at
the street address listed under
ADDRESSES. Individuals who are
hearing-impaired or speech-impaired
may call the Federal Relay Service at 1–
800–877–8337 for TTY assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Previous Federal Action
On September 23, 2014, the Service
published a proposed rule (79 FR
56686) to remove the Delmarva
Peninsula fox squirrel, commonly called
and hereafter referred to as the
Delmarva fox squirrel (DFS), from the
List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife (List). In the proposed rule, we
solicited information and comments
from the public and scientific experts
for 60 days, ending November 24, 2014.
Later in this document, we discuss
comments we received. For more
information on previous Federal actions
concerning the Delmarva fox squirrel,
refer to the proposed rule available at
https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2014–0021.
Species Information
The Delmarva fox squirrel (Sciurus
niger cinereus), a subspecies of the
eastern fox squirrel (Sciurus niger)
found only on the Delmarva Peninsula,
is located between the Chesapeake Bay
and the Atlantic Ocean in portions of
Maryland, Delaware, and Virginia. The
DFS is a large, silver-gray tree squirrel
with white underparts and a wide tail.
It inhabits mature forests of mixed
hardwoods and pines within the
agricultural landscapes of the Delmarva
Peninsula and is not typically found in
suburban settings. The DFS is also
associated with forests that have a
relatively open understory (Dueser et al.
1988, entire; Dueser 2000, entire) or
where understory shrubs are clumped,
leaving other open spaces (Morris 2006,
p. 37). While these squirrels need
mature forest for both feeding and
denning, they can travel and forage in
other areas, including clearcuts, young
forests, and agricultural fields.
As a member of the Order Rodentia,
the DFS has a life history with good
potential for population increase. For
example, females breed at 1 year of age,
litter sizes range from two to four young,
some females have potential for two
litters in 1 year, and lifespans can reach
6 to 7 years in the wild. Den sites are
frequently found in tree cavities, but
leaf nests may also be used. Home
ranges of the DFS vary considerably but
are typically 12 to 16 hectares (ha) (30
to 40 acres (ac)), and individual home
ranges overlap (Flyger and Smith 1980;
entire, Paglione 1996; entire, PednaultWillett 2002, p. 109). Densities range
from 0.36 to 1.29 DFS per ha (0.15 to 0.5
DFS per ac), averaging 0.82 DFS per ha
(0.33 DFS per ac) (Paglione 1996, p. 28;
Pednault-Willett 2002, pp. 85–104).
Historically, this subspecies had a
patchy distribution throughout most of
the Delmarva Peninsula and into
southern Pennsylvania, but by the time
of its listing in 1967 (32 FR 4001; March
70701
11, 1967), remnant populations
occurred in only four Maryland counties
(Taylor 1976, entire); this range
contraction was most likely caused by
land use changes and hunting. When
the subspecies was listed, its
distribution had been reduced to only
10 percent of the Delmarva Peninsula.
After listing, the hunting season for this
subspecies was closed, and recovery
efforts focused on expanding the
squirrel’s distribution through
translocations. In addition, new
populations have been discovered since
the time of listing (particularly since
more intensive search efforts were
initiated), and there are now many more
areas of forest known to be occupied by
the DFS.
The squirrel’s current occupied range
is defined as the area within 4.8
kilometers (km) (3 miles (mi)) of
credible DFS sightings. As of the 2012
status review for the DFS, this covered
28 percent of the Delmarva Peninsula,
including 10 of the 14 peninsular
counties (8 counties in Maryland and 1
each in Delaware and Virginia) and
54,543 ha (134,778 ac) of occupied
forest (USFWS 2012, based on 2010
data). Since that time, new sightings
have continued to occur and an updated
overview of its range as of 2013 is
provided below in Table 1. An
additional population discovered in
Worcester County, Maryland, is the first
population found there that was not a
result of a translocation. Figure 1 shows
range changes between the time of the
1993 recovery plan and the present
decade.
TABLE 1—KNOWN OCCUPIED RANGE OF THE DFS, 1970 TO 2013
Year
Occupied range
∼ 1970
Number of counties in the range (without
translocations).
Number of counties in the range (with
translocations).
Total acres of occupied forest rangewide ...
Percent of historical range occupied ...........
Source ..........................................................
1990
2005
2010
3 .........................
3 .........................
6 .........................
6 .........................
7.
4 .........................
10 .......................
10 .......................
10 .......................
10.
N/A .....................
10 .......................
Taylor and Flyger
1974.
103,311 ..............
............................
USFWS 1993, recovery plan.
128,434 ..............
27 .......................
USFWS 2007, 5yr review.
134,778 ..............
28 .......................
USFWS 2012, 5yr review.
137,363.
28.
USFWS 2013
data.
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Summary of Changes From the
Proposed Rule
We have not made any substantive
changes in this final rule based on the
comments that we received during the
public comment period on the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79
FR 56686), but we have added or
corrected text to clarify the information
that was presented. This information
and other clarifications have been
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incorporated into this final rule as
discussed below in Summary of
Comments and Recommendations.
Summary of Comments and
Recommendations
In the proposed rule published on
September 23, 2014 (79 FR 56686), we
requested that all interested parties
submit written comments on the
proposal by November 24, 2014. We
also solicited peer review of the
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scientific basis for the proposal (see Peer
Review Comments, below), and
contacted appropriate Federal and State
agencies, scientific experts and
organizations, and other interested
parties and invited them to comment on
the proposal. Newspaper notices
inviting general public comment were
published in the Baltimore Sun, placed
on Service Web sites, and advertised by
other online media outlets (e.g., https://
www.wboc.com/story/26574688/
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maryland-state-officials-set-to-discussdelmarva-peninsula-fox-squirrel). We
did not receive any requests for a public
hearing.
During the public comment period for
the proposed rule, we received a total of
129 comment letters. Of these, 74
provided substantive comments that we
address below, including one letter from
the State of Maryland and comments
from two peer reviewers. Both peer
reviewers asked for additional detail on
the life history of this subspecies, which
we have provided in the supplemental
documents that can be found at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R5–ES–2014–0021. All
substantive information provided
during the review period either has been
incorporated directly into this final
determination or into the supplemental
documents, or is addressed below.
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Comments From States
(1) Comment: The State of Maryland’s
Department of Natural Resources (DNR)
was supportive of the proposed rule and
concurred with our findings. The DNR
added that it would continue to provide
protection to the DFS under the
authority of Maryland’s Nongame and
Endangered Species Conservation Act,
although likely not at the endangered
level. The DNR also stated that the postdelisting monitoring plan proposed by
the Service was adequate to document
expansion or contraction of the range of
the DFS and that the agency would
participate in the monitoring effort.
Our Response: We are in agreement
with the DNR and appreciate its
commitment to continued conservation.
Public Comments
(2) Comment: Several commenters
expressed concern that the DFS would
be hunted after delisting, and that
populations would then decline and
might require relisting.
Our Response: As explained in the
proposed rule and supplementary
documents (see Post-delisting
Monitoring Plan, appendices D through
F), after delisting, the State of Maryland
intends to keep the DFS on the State list
of endangered and threatened species as
a Species of Conservation Concern; this
status does not allow a hunting season.
This intention is reinforced by the State
of Maryland’s comment letter reiterating
that the subspecies will remain Statelisted as described above.
The State of Delaware also intends to
keep this subspecies on its State list of
endangered and threatened species, and
no hunting of the DFS will be allowed
after delisting. The State has written a
management plan for the DFS (DNREC
2014) that calls for adding two
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additional DFS populations in the State,
likely through translocations.
In the State of Virginia, all DFSs are
currently on the Chincoteague National
Wildlife Refuge, where they will not be
hunted. The State has evaluated
locations for potential translocations of
DFSs in the future, but any future
translocated populations are not
expected to be subject to hunting.
Enhancement of DFS populations in
Virginia would be primarily aimed at
restoring the native fauna of Virginia.
(3) Comment: Several commenters
stated that the occupancy of 28 percent
of the historical range was insufficient
to warrant delisting.
Our Response: The Act is legislation
intended to prevent extinction of native
species and does not describe recovery
in terms of the proportion of a historical
range that is occupied by a species. We
do take into account in our listing and
delisting determinations the effects that
loss of historical range may have on the
current and future viability of a species.
As explained in our significant portion
of the range (SPR) final policy (79 FR
37578; July 1, 2014), we have concluded
that this consideration is sufficient to
account for the effects of loss of
historical range when evaluating the
current status of a species. The purposes
of the Act, stated in section 2, are to
provide a means to conserve the
ecosystems upon which endangered
species and threatened species depend
and to provide a program for the
conservation of endangered species and
threatened species. The Act itself does
not contain the phrase ‘‘historical
range,’’ nor does it ever allude to
restoration throughout the entire
historical range as a conservation
purpose.
Some concerns about the current
range of the DFS likely stem from a
frequently quoted reason for listing,
‘‘the species was listed because it
declined to 10 percent of its historical
range’’ (USFWS 1993, p. 1). However,
the substantial population decline as
evidenced by that range decline is the
actual reason for the listing. In 1944, the
DFS was found in seven counties
(Dozier and Hall 1944), but by 1967, it
was known to occur in only four
counties; thus, the decline would have
been apparent and reasonably
concerning to many biologists at the
time of listing.
(4) Comment: Several commenters
stated that the total number of animals
in the rangewide population did not
appear to be large enough to warrant
delisting and expressed a concern that
the population would decline again
after delisting.
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Our Response: As described in the
proposed rule, the best estimate of the
rangewide number of the DFS at the
time of the 2012 status review was
22,368 (USFWS 2012, p. 20), which we
can approximate as 20,000. However,
the critical question with regard to the
listing status of the subspecies is not a
specified number of individuals; rather,
it is the level of extinction risk,
indicating whether the subspecies meets
the definition of endangered or
threatened. To address this question, we
conducted a population viability
analysis (PVA) for the DFS (Hilderbrand
et al. 2007, entire), which enabled us to
evaluate how the foreseeable threats
may affect the probability of extinction
of DFS subpopulations (USFWS 2012,
pp. 18–21, 23–44).
The Hilderbrand et al. (2007) PVA
model indicates that a population of 130
animals would have a 95 percent chance
of persisting for 100 years. This
threshold, also called a minimum viable
population (MVP), provides a useful
benchmark of extinction risk. It should
not be mistaken for a recovery goal but
is, rather, a population size with an
associated extinction risk based on the
life history of the DFS before assessing
additional threats. This PVA includes
variations in adult and juvenile
survival, the number of young produced
per year, and variability in
environmental effects.
Using this model, we estimate that the
known occupied forest within the range
of the DFS contains a total population
that is 171 times the MVP and that, even
under the worst-case scenarios for
threats, including inundation of areas
up to 0.6 meters (m) (2 feet (ft)) above
sea level due to sea level rise, we would
still have a total population that is 145
times the MVP. Further, our analysis
indicates that the rangewide population
would comprise at least 15
subpopulations broadly distributed
across the Delmarva Peninsula. After
considering the conservation
imperatives of habitat availability,
habitat connectivity, population
resiliency and redundancy, and genetic
and/or ecological representation, we
concluded that the risk of extinction is
low, even under a worst-case scenario,
and that the current population is
sufficiently abundant and well
distributed to withstand foreseeable
threats.
(5) Comment: Several commenters
stated that sea level rise was a great
concern, and that threats from climate
change and sea level rise have not been
eliminated.
Our Response: We agree that climate
change and sea level rise trends are
continuing; nonetheless, the pertinent
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question is whether these factors are
likely to threaten the DFS with
extinction or with endangerment in the
foreseeable future. We analyzed the
impact of sea level rise and associated
habitat loss on the DFS using a worstcase scenario of 0.6 m (2 ft) of
inundation within 40 years. As stated in
our response to Comment 4, we
evaluated this factor along with a
number of other factors with the
potential to affect the long-term viability
of DFS subpopulations (noting that
various conditions can occur on the
landscape and threaten some species
and not others depending on the
abundance, distribution, and life history
of the species). After considering habitat
availability and connectivity, as well as
population resiliency, redundancy, and
representation, we conclude that the
risk of extinction is low even under the
worst-case sea level rise scenario (see
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species, Factor A), given projected
population levels and distribution, and
the ability of the DFS to colonize
unoccupied habitat as described in the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79
FR 56686) and 2012 status review
(USFWS 2012).
(6) Comment: One commenter
expressed two concerns regarding DFS
movements in response to sea-level rise:
First, during sea level rise, individual
animals would not be able to move
inland because DFSs prefer moving on
the ground and would be unable to
move across habitat that became
flooded. Second, with the occurrence of
sea-level rise and the associated loss of
habitat, populations would not be able
to shift inland over time.
Our Response: DFSs have always been
abundant in southern Dorchester
County, where forests are frequently
flooded in the spring and are often
exposed to high tidal surges. Further,
DFSs have been observed moving across
marshlands to other woodlands (L.
Miranda 2010 and C. Keller pers. comm.
2009) and moving through flooded
woodlands on logs and hummocks as
well as through the trees (C. Bocetti
pers. comm. 2015). In these same areas,
marked animals have been documented
to move 4 km (2.5 mi) and return within
a season, despite intervening streams
and associated marshlands 100 m (328
ft) wide or greater (C. Bocetti pers.
comm. 2015). Typical home ranges are
about 16.2 ha (40 ac) in size and
generally include forested wetlands,
indicating that DFSs already inhabit
forests that experience periodic
flooding.
Sea level rise is likely to result in
more frequent flooding and storm and
tidal surges, with gradual deterioration
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of habitat at the shoreline edges. It is
therefore likely that individual animals
will need to shift their home range
inland and that the overall population
will shift inland as well. The ability of
DFSs to shift their home ranges in
response to habitat change has already
been demonstrated as individual
animals moved to new areas following
clearcuts in portions of their home
ranges (Paglione 1996); we note that
clearcutting is a more rapid and
dramatic habitat alteration than would
be expected from flooding or storm
surges.
In terms of available habitat for the
DFS to move into following storm
events and/or sea level rise, we
evaluated the rangewide availability and
connectivity of forest patches in the
2012 status review (USFWS 2012) by
mapping the connectivity of forest
patches relative to dispersal of DFS
subpopulations (USFWS 2012, figures 9
and 10). After quantitative analysis of
habitat that could be lost due to sea
level rise and development (USFWS
2012, table 7), we concluded that even
if all potentially affected habitat was
lost immediately, remaining DFS
populations would still be sufficiently
abundant and well distributed to
alleviate the risk of extinction.
With regard to the connectivity
needed to allow DFSs to move to more
upland habitats, we recognize that sealevel rise can widen rivers and increase
obstacles to DFS movement, especially
from west to east in southern Dorchester
County. However, even with maximum
projected inundation, DFSs could
disperse from southern Dorchester
without crossing streams. In addition,
southern Dorchester County would still
contain about 2,400 to 3,200 ha (6,000
to 8,000 ac) of suitable occupied habitat,
supporting at least six times the MVP.
Given this, we predict long-term
population viability in these areas of
Dorchester County.
(7) Comment: One commenter stated
that the DFS should not be delisted
because it has not met all of the
recovery criteria contained in the most
recent DFS recovery plan (USFWS
1993). In particular, the commenter
contended that our analysis of recovery
criterion 6 does not adequately support
our conclusion that this criterion has
been met.
Our Response: We will respond first
to the issue of whether recovery criteria
must be met in order to delist a species,
and second to the issue of whether
criterion 6 has been met.
Notwithstanding our conclusion that
the recovery criteria for the DFS, as
required under section 4(f) of the Act,
have been met, this is not the requisite
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analysis for determining the appropriate
listing status of the species. Rather,
listing determinations must be made in
accordance with sections 4(a)(1) and
4(b) of the Act. Section 4(a)(1) requires
that the Secretary determine whether a
species is endangered or threatened
because of one or more of five threat
factors, while section 4(b) requires that
the determination be made ‘‘solely on
the basis of the best scientific and
commercial data available.’’ Thus, any
determination to delist a species must
be based on the best information
available at the time of the
determination and the results of the
five-factor analysis, notwithstanding
any information in the recovery plan.
Although meeting recovery criteria is
not essential for determining a species’
listing status, our most recent status
review (USFWS 2012) led us to the
conclusion that all recovery criteria for
the DFS, including criterion 6, have
been met. Criterion 6 states that
‘‘mechanisms that ensure perpetuation
of suitable habitat at a level sufficient to
allow for desired distribution [must be]
in place and implemented within all
counties in which the species occurs.’’
Our analysis showed that there are
many State and Federal laws and land
protection programs in place that
actively protect land at the present time
and will continue to do so into the
future. A detailed table and map of the
land protected by these programs in
each county is provided for each county
in the 2012 status review (USFWS 2012,
table 5 and figure 7). These protective
mechanisms are also presented in our
analysis of Factor D (USFWS 2012, pp.
38–39), with a detailed description of
each program provided in appendix D of
the same document. These data clearly
portray the adequacy of these regulatory
mechanisms.
(8) Comment: One commenter stated
we had not adequately addressed the
future of the translocated population of
the DFS at Chincoteague National
Wildlife Refuge (NWR) due to the
projections in sea level rise.
Our Response: We agree with the
commenter that this coastal population
of the DFS, inhabiting Assateague
Island, a barrier island, is vulnerable to
reduced habitat and isolation from sea
level rise, and we discussed this
situation in the September 23, 2014,
proposed rule (79 FR 56686). We also
discuss it below, under Factor A: Loss
of forest habitat from sea level rise,
where we note that although the island’s
beaches, marshes, and shorelines are
vulnerable to sea level rise, most of the
forest habitat occupied by the DFS is
above the 0.6 m (2 ft) inundation worstcase scenario. Even so, Refuge managers
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are aware of the risks of sea level rise
and are actively exploring management
responses to this factor. As stated in the
proposed rule: ‘‘Sea level rise is
expected to cause severe losses to beach
and tidal flat habitat but currently
upland habitat would only be reduced
by 4 to 8 percent (National Wildlife
Federation 2008, p. 69).
[Chincoteague’s] Comprehensive
Conservation Plan [CCP] commits to
continued forest management to
maintain suitable habitat for Delmarva
fox squirrels and continued monitoring
of Delmarva fox squirrel populations.’’
The draft CCP is available at: https://
www.fws.gov/nwrs/
threecolumn.aspx?id=2147550165.
We consider it highly likely that a
DFS population will persist on
Chincoteague NWR for the foreseeable
future, although there may be a shift in
the habitats that are occupied.
Nonetheless, even if the Chincoteague
population were to be lost, this would
not cause a rangewide risk of extinction
(USFWS 2012, table 7).
(9) Comment: One commenter stated,
‘‘In its 2007 and 2012 status reviews, the
Service concluded that these recovery
criteria were not based on the best
available science and did not represent
the most up-to-date information on the
biology of the DFS. And the Service also
concluded in these status reviews that
the recovery criteria did not specifically
address all of the five threat-based
listing factors.’’
Our Response: The commenter may
be referring to sections 2.2.2.1 and
2.2.2.2 of the referenced status reviews
(USFWS 2007, p. 3; USFWS 2012, p. 5):
‘‘2.2.2.1 Do the recovery criteria
reflect the best available and most upto-date information on the biology of the
species and its habitat? No. More recent
information on the squirrel’s
distribution, subpopulation delineation,
and population persistence is not
reflected in the 1993 recovery criteria.
Nonetheless, these criteria continue to
act as generally appropriate measures of
recovery.
2.2.2.2 Are all of the relevant listing
factors addressed in the recovery
criteria? No. None of the recovery
criteria specifically addresses any of the
five listing factors, although habitatrelated threats are alluded to. The
criteria evaluate the biological status of
the species.’’
These statements are intended to
convey that although new information
had become available since 1993, the
recovery criteria were still considered
adequate for assessing DFS recovery
progress. With regard to criteria
addressing the five listing factors, the
lack of specific threats-based criteria is
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typical of recovery plans at that time
and does not preclude a separate fivefactor analysis (see Comment 7, above).
Significantly, since the two status
reviews analyze both the recovery
criteria and the five listing factors, each
review constitutes a complete
assessment of the status of the species
(USFWS 2007; USFWS 2012). Overall,
the two status reviews and the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79
FR 56686) are based on the best
available information on the biology of
the DFS and the threats to its long-term
viability.
(10) Comment: One commenter noted
that the population data in the 2012
status review were the same as those in
the 2007 review and suggested that this
showed there was no increase in the
population or range between those two
time periods. The commenter further
suggested that there was a decrease in
DFS-occupied forest between 2007 and
2012. The commenter stated that despite
the information for the two status
reviews being essentially the same,
different conclusions were reached.
Our Response: It is not clear how the
commenter’s interpretation of the data
in the two reviews was made. Both the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79
FR 56686 Table 1) and the 2012 status
review (Chart 2) clearly show an
increase in the area of occupied forest
from 51,975 ha (128,434 ac) in 2005, to
54,543 ha (134,778 ac) by 2010; a map
illustrating the changes in the range
between the two reviews is also
provided (USFWS 2012, figure 3). Since
2010, we have continued to document
new areas of occupied forest and
provide an updated number of 55,589
ha (137,363 ac) as of 2013 (79 FR 56686,
September 23, 2014, Table 1).
The rangewide population estimates
in the 2007 and 2012 reviews differ only
slightly (19,265 versus 22,368 animals,
respectively), but as described in the
2012 review, the two estimates were
based on different survey methods.
Light detection and ranging (LiDAR)
data, which allow us to distinguish
between mature forests and other
forested areas, were not available for the
2007 status review. We were able to use
a more refined and conservative
approach in the 2012 review and
estimated the rangewide population
using only occupied mature forest. Both
estimates are intended to provide a
general measure of the rangewide
population size (USFWS 2007, p. 8;
USFWS 2012 p. 20).
It should also be noted that in the
2007 review, we concluded that DFS
recovery was imminent. We indicated
that a final listing recommendation was
pending while we obtained and
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analyzed LiDAR data, and that, if new
information continued to support our
finding that DFS habitat availability and
connectivity were likely to persist over
the foreseeable future, we would
recommend initiation of delisting when
the LiDAR analysis was completed
(USFWS 2007, p. 27).
(11) Comment: One commenter was
concerned because 9 of 22
subpopulations (40 percent) appear to
be vulnerable to extirpation.
Our Response: This concern does not
take into account the relative size of
these subpopulations. As described in
the 2012 status review (USFWS 2012, p.
42, figure 5 and table 7), there is a
higher vulnerability to extirpation for 9
smaller subpopulations, but the vast
majority (95 percent) of DFSs occurs in
11 large, secure subpopulations. This
provides a solid indication of continued
persistence and growth of the rangewide
population. Most of the smaller
populations originated as translocations,
which have become well established
and have contributed to the expanded
distribution of the subspecies. Further,
as shown by the 2007 population
viability analysis (Hilderbrand et. al
2007), if one or more small populations
blink out, the rangewide population is
still not vulnerable to extinction; even
accounting for all projected losses from
sea level rise and development, the
rangewide population will still be 145
times the MVP, indicating long-term
viability.
Peer Review Comments
In accordance with our peer review
policy published on July 1, 1994 (59 FR
34270), we solicited expert opinion
from five independent scientists with
expertise that included familiarity with
the DFS and its habitat, biological
needs, and threats. We received
responses from two of the peer
reviewers.
We reviewed comments received from
the peer reviewers for substantive issues
and new information regarding the
status of the DFS. The peer reviewers
generally concurred with our methods
and conclusions and considered the
scientific information to be correct and
the analyses to be sound. However, both
reviewers identified parts of the
document that could be strengthened.
Peer reviewer comments are addressed
below and incorporated as appropriate
into the final rule or supplemental
documents, available at https://
www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS–R5–ES–2014–0021.
(12) Peer Review Comment: Both
reviewers asked for more detail to be
provided on life history of the
subspecies.
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Our Response: We have added more
life-history information in a
supplemental document for the final
rule, particularly life history related to
reproduction, litter size, and survival.
The supplemental document is available
at https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2014–0021.
(13) Peer Review Comment: One
reviewer asked for clarification on the
length of time that agreements
preventing development on private
lands would continue.
Our Response: The private lands we
consider protected from development
have easements that extend in
perpetuity, and this has been added to
the text of this rule.
(14) Peer Review Comment: Both
reviewers thought that the rate of future
development might be underestimated
and suggested possibly using zoning or
projected road development as
additional sources of information.
Our Response: We consider the
analysis of future development
conducted by the Maryland Department
of Planning to be the best available
source of information on development
trends insofar as this office has both the
responsibility for tracking such
information and the requisite expertise
to make trend projections. The
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79
FR 56686) and 2012 status review
(USFWS 2012) used data from
Maryland’s 2008 planning report
(Maryland Department of Planning
2008a), as this was the most current
information at the time; the same trends
and areas of expected development are
also mapped in a more recent planning
document (Maryland Department of
Planning 2011a). The data continue to
show that the eastern shore of Maryland
is far more rural, with less development
and more protected lands, than
elsewhere in Maryland. Thus, the most
recent information continues to support
the past and future trends used in our
previous analysis.
Consideration of zoning was not
included in our analysis specifically
because zoning restrictions can be
changed, making projections based on
this source of information less certain.
Further, we took a cautious approach in
considering future development by
projecting complete loss of any DFSoccupied habitat within a ‘‘Smart
Growth’’ area that was not otherwise
protected. (‘‘Smart Growth’’ is a theory
of land development that concentrates
new development and redevelopment in
areas that have existing or planned
infrastructure to avoid sprawl.)
Currently, DFSs inhabit blocks of forest
within the Smart Growth areas of both
Cambridge and Easton in Maryland.
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Although limited monitoring shows that
DFSs have been persisting in these
woodlands over many years and may be
able to continue doing so in the future,
our analysis assumes loss based on lack
of ensured habitat protection.
(15) Peer Review Comment: One peer
review comment referred to the
possibility of residential development
causing problems because of the
presence of free-ranging dogs that may
pursue the DFS.
Our Response: We agree that this can
be a problem in some situations, and
although all counties within the current
range of the DFS have regulations that
require dogs to be on a leash, at heel, or
directly beside the owner, enforcing
these regulations can be difficult.
Further, as noted in the status review
(USFWS 2012, p. 27), the presence of
dogs may be one reason DFSs do not
inhabit residential developments.
Despite these concerns, we do not
consider free-roaming dogs to be a threat
that would result in population-level
effects, either individually or in
combination with other possible risks,
to this subspecies, as effects are highly
localized and regulations do exist to
enable management of this issue.
(16) Peer Review Comment: Both peer
reviewers raised a concern regarding the
commitment to monitoring of the DFS
after delisting and questioned whether
there would be long-term funds, time,
and available personnel to carry out the
monitoring work described in the postdelisting monitoring plan.
Our Response: We agree that
sustaining monitoring efforts can be
challenging and subject to competing
priorities. Nonetheless, we have
designed the post-delisting monitoring
strategy to fit into current work plans
and are seeking additional ways in
which this effort can be incorporated
into other monitoring work conducted
by the States. For example, the hunt
clubs leasing the Maryland State
Chesapeake Forest lands are now asked
to report sightings or camera shots
which have already provided DFS
records, and we are working with the
States on other opportunities to invite
hunters to report DFS sightings. We also
anticipate that DFS-occupied sites
managed by conservation groups will be
monitored as part of their management
efforts; sightings of DFSs are often
reported by those who live or work on
these properties. Overall, recording
these sightings will enhance our ability
to conduct widespread monitoring of
the DFS.
Recovery
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to
develop and implement recovery plans
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for the conservation and survival of
endangered and threatened species
unless we determine that such a plan
will not promote the conservation of the
species. Recovery plans are not
regulatory documents and are instead
intended to establish goals for long-term
conservation of a listed species; define
criteria that are designed to indicate
when the threats facing a species have
been removed or reduced to such an
extent that the species may no longer
need the protections of the Act; and
provide guidance to our Federal, State,
and other governmental and
nongovernmental partners on methods
to minimize threats to listed species.
There are many paths to accomplishing
recovery of a species, and recovery may
be achieved without all criteria being
fully met. For example, one or more
criteria may have been exceeded while
other criteria may not have been
accomplished, yet the Service may
judge that, overall, the threats have been
minimized sufficiently, and that the
species is robust enough to reclassify or
delist the species. In other cases,
recovery opportunities may have been
recognized that were not known at the
time the recovery plan was finalized.
These opportunities may be used
instead of methods identified in the
recovery plan.
Likewise, information on the species
that was not known at the time of the
recovery plan may become available.
The new information may change the
extent that criteria need to be met for
recognizing recovery of the species.
Recovery of species is a dynamic
process requiring adaptive management
that may, or may not, fully follow the
guidance provided in a recovery plan.
Despite the guidance provided by
recovery plans, determinations to
remove species from the List must be
made in accordance with sections
4(a)(1) and 4(b) of the Act. Section
4(a)(1) requires that the Secretary
determine if a species is endangered or
threatened because of one or more of
five threat factors. Section 4(b) of the
Act requires that the determination be
made ‘‘solely on the basis of the best
scientific and commercial data
available.’’
Although recovery criteria, as
mentioned above, help guide recovery
efforts and should always be consulted
when considering a change in the status
of a listed species, the ultimate
determination of whether to reclassify
or delist a species must be made in
accordance with statutory standards,
and recovery criteria can neither
substitute for nor pre-empt section
4(a)(1) requirements. Ultimately, a
decision to remove a species from the
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List is made when the best available
data show that the species is no longer
an endangered species or a threatened
species, regardless of how closely this
information conforms to the information
and criteria in the recovery plan.
The most recent DFS recovery plan
was approved by the Service on June 8,
1993 (USFWS 1993, entire), and
updated on October 31, 2003 (USFWS
2003, entire). The plan states that ‘‘the
long-range objective of the DFS recovery
program is to restore this endangered
species to a secure status within its
former range.’’ The plan provides three
criteria for reclassifying the DFS from
endangered to threatened status. It then
provides four additional criteria to be
considered in conjunction with the first
three for delisting the DFS.
Recovery Criteria
A discussion of the extent to which
each recovery criterion has been met is
provided in the proposed rule (79 FR
56686; September 23, 2014). This
discussion is summarized below.
Criterion 1: Ecological requirements
and distribution within the remaining
natural range are understood
sufficiently to permit effective
management. A considerable body of
new information has been amassed
regarding the DFS’ distribution and
ecological requirements, and we thus
conclude that this recovery criterion has
been met. The six key contributions to
our understanding of the DFS are
summarized below.
(1) DFS range and distribution: The
geographic information system (GIS)
maintained for the DFS documents a
significant increase in the area occupied
70707
by the DFS since the 1993 recovery plan
was issued (see Figure 1, above).
Records of DFS sightings by
knowledgeable observers and, in
particular, the use of trap and camera
surveys have greatly improved our
ability to determine which forest tracts
are occupied by the DFS and monitor
continued presence.
(2) Population persistence:
Persistence of DFS populations over the
recovery period has been evaluated
through comparison of occupancy over
time, including a survey conducted in
1971 and repeated in 2001, and a
second analysis comparing occupancy
from 1990 through 2010 (Table 2). These
studies are summarized in the proposed
rule (79 FR 56686; September 23, 2014)
and status review (USFWS 2012, pp.
15–17).
TABLE 2—DFS OCCUPANCY OF 275 FORESTED TRACTS (41,733 ha or 103,125 ac) IN MARYLAND, 1990 COMPARED TO
2010
Number of forest
tracts
Area of forest
Persistence .............................................................
Extirpations .............................................................
Uncertain .................................................................
Discoveries or colonizations ...................................
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Occupancy change from 1990 to 2010
38,130 ha (94,221 ac) ............................................
499 ha (1,233 ac) ...................................................
3,104 ha (7,671 ac) ................................................
13,042 ha (32,227 ac) ............................................
As indicated in Table 2, DFSs
continued to persist in the vast majority
of woodlots where they were known to
occur in 1990, and their presence was
newly documented in an additional
13,042 ha (32,227 ac) in all three States
through 2010 (USFWS 2012, p. 8).
Although some of these discoveries are
likely to be occurrences that were
previously present but undetected,
anecdotal information indicates that
several new localities represent true
range expansion (see, for example,
USFWS 2012, figure 4). Using the 2010
figures for occupied forest in all three
States, as well as maps of mature forest
and density estimates of the DFS
available from various studies, we
estimate that the total population of the
DFS is now about 20,000 animals across
an expanded range (USFWS 2012, p.
21).
(3) Population viability: A DFS
population viability analysis (PVA)
developed by Hilderbrand et al. (2007,
entire) modeled the extinction
probabilities of different-sized
populations and determined that a
population with 65 females, or 130
animals total, had a 95 percent chance
of persisting for 100 years. This value,
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also called a minimum viable
population (MVP), was used to gauge
extinction risk by projecting how many
populations of this size are likely to
remain present in a given portion of the
current DFS range (USFWS 2012, pp.
18–20; also see Public Comments,
above).
The PVA also estimated that 75
percent of a given DFS population
would have the ability to disperse to
areas within 4 km (2.5 mi) (Hilderbrand
et al. 2007, p. 73), and thus animals in
forested tracts within this distance
would be likely to interbreed; these
interbreeding groups are defined as
subpopulations. The analysis indicated
that approximately 85 percent of DFSs
are found in four large, narrowly
separated subpopulations that could
expand to become even more connected.
Each of these subpopulations contains
populations estimated to be several
times the MVP minimum and have a
high likelihood of population
persistence. Overall, the rangewide
population, estimated at between 17,000
and 20,000 animals, contains more than
100 times the MVP.
(4) Effects of timber harvest: Two
major studies of the effects of timber
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181
7
87
250
Percent of the
original 41,733 ha
(103,125 ac) in
each occupancy
status
91
1
8
..............................
harvest on the DFS (Paglione 1996,
entire; Bocetti and Pattee 2003, entire)
suggest that the subspecies is fairly
tolerant of timber harvest, although
specific impacts depend on the size,
location, and landscape context of the
harvest. Small clearcuts within a
surrounding forest showed relatively
little impact on the DFS, with
individual squirrels shifting their home
ranges into adjacent habitat, whereas
harvest of more isolated forest
peninsulas forced DFSs to move greater
distances (Paglione 1996). Findings
from the long-term Bocetti and Pattee
(2003) study lead to the general
conclusion that the DFS can tolerate
timber harvests and can continue to
occupy forested mosaics of mature and
regenerating stands. In addition, both
studies suggest that the DFS has high
site fidelity and tends to shift home
ranges rather than abandon a site in
response to disturbance.
(5) Habitat availability: An analysis of
LiDAR data provided by the State of
Maryland enabled an inventory of
mature forest suitable for the DFS
throughout most of the squirrel’s range
(USFWS 2012, Appendix E). As of 2004,
LiDAR mapping had identified 175,656
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ha (434,056 ac) of mature forest in the
eight Maryland counties occupied by
DFSs (55 percent of all forest was
considered mature), with 17 percent
currently occupied and thus over 80
percent of mature forest available for
expansion (USFWS 2012, table 4).
Although the amount and location of
mature forest will change over time with
timber harvest and forest growth, these
data provide good baseline information
about the availability and distribution of
suitable habitat. Mature forest is often
found in riparian zones (USFWS 2012,
figure 8) that can provide connected
habitat for DFS dispersal and
colonization of new areas. LiDAR
mapping also showed large tracts of
mature forest distributed in upland
areas throughout the Maryland portion
of the subspecies’ range. Given that
most DFS populations occur in
Maryland and, further, that unoccupied
but suitable habitat is found both along
the coast and inland elsewhere on the
Delmarva Peninsula, we can infer from
this habitat inventory that there is
ample unoccupied mature forest to
enable further expansion of the DFS’
rangewide population.
(6) Habitat connectivity: Lookingbill
et al. (2010, entire) conducted a GIS
analysis of the connectivity between
400-ha (175-ac) forest patches on the
Delmarva Peninsula (although the DFS
is not a forest interior obligate and does
not require forest blocks this large).
Study results show high connectivity of
forest blocks in the southern Maryland
portion of the squirrel’s range,
indicating few obstacles to DFS
dispersal throughout this area. Two
major forest corridors were identified
for DFS dispersal out of Dorchester
County, Maryland, one of which is
already occupied by the DFS (a third
dispersal corridor not identified by the
model is also DFS-occupied).
Observations of DFS movement through
a wide range of habitats, in conjunction
with the results of this connectivity
model and the map of LiDAR-defined
mature forests, indicate that there is
sufficient habitat availability and
connectivity for further DFS range
expansion.
Criterion 2: Benchmark populations
are shown to be stable or expanding
based on at least 5 years of data.
Criterion 2 was intended to measure
overall DFS population trends using
monitoring data from seven benchmark
populations. Although a slightly
different set of eight benchmark sites
was ultimately monitored, analysis of
the resulting data (Dueser 1999, entire)
showed that the benchmark sites were
stable over a 5- to 7-year period, and
benchmark monitoring was concluded.
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We also have collected data to better
understand rangewide population
trends. The distribution data that
document an expanded range and
population persistence within that range
as described under criterion 1, above,
are much better indicators of DFS
recovery. Although DFS populations in
isolated areas (such as on small islands)
are vulnerable to extirpation, all
available population data for the DFS
indicate that the range has expanded
and populations are persisting within
the range, and that this recovery
criterion has been met.
Criterion 3: Ten translocated colonies
are successfully established throughout
the historical range. This criterion
requires that at least 10 new DFS
colonies must show evidence of
presence for at least 5 to 8 years after
release, demonstrating the ability of the
DFS to colonize new sites, whether
naturally or through management.
Post-release trapping results (Therres
and Willey 2002, entire), along with
more recent trapping and camera
surveys, indicate continued presence of
11 of 16 translocated colonies (69
percent) for more than 20 years (USFWS
2012, table 1, p. 83). Further, in several
of these areas, DFSs have dispersed well
beyond the initial release site.
This success rate is higher than is
typically found for similar translocation
efforts for other endangered species (see
Fischer and Lindenmayer 2000, p. 5),
although the success rate is generally
higher for mammals and wild source
populations (Wolf et al. 1996, p. 1146).
Further, despite some initial concerns
about the genetic diversity of the
translocated populations, subsequent
analysis indicated that their genetic
diversity was comparable to that of their
source populations (Lance et al. 2003,
entire). These data indicate that this
criterion has been met.
Criterion 4: Five additional (post1990) colonies are established outside of
the remaining natural range. Criterion 4
requires discovery or establishment of
colonies outside the range known at the
time of the 1993 recovery plan, thus
addressing the threat of range
contraction and providing for additional
population redundancy as one
component of long-term species
viability.
By 2007, eight new populations had
been identified that did not result from
translocations (USFWS 2007, figure 2),
expanding the range toward the east.
Notably, a colony discovered in Sussex
County, Delaware, represents the first
population found in that State since the
time of listing that was not a result of
a translocation. Since 2007, additional
occupied forest has been discovered
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between some of these new populations,
thus improving their long-term
likelihood of survival (USFWS 2012,
figure 3). We therefore conclude that
this recovery criterion has been met.
Criterion 5: Periodic monitoring
shows that translocated populations
have persisted over the recovery period.
Criterion 5 requires the continued
presence of at least 80 percent of
translocated populations, with at least
75 percent of these populations shown
to be stable or improving. All
successfully established translocated
populations have persisted over the full
period of recovery and have either
become more abundant on their release
sites or have expanded or shifted into
new areas, as shown by trapping efforts
(Therres and Willey 2002, entire), and,
more recently, both trapping and/or
camera surveys (USFWS 2012, table 1).
Overall, the continued presence and
growth of DFS populations at
translocation sites show that this
recovery criterion has been met.
Criterion 6: Mechanisms that ensure
perpetuation of suitable habitat at a
level sufficient to allow for desired
distribution are in place and
implemented within all counties in
which the species occurs. Several wellestablished programs protect DFS
habitat from development in perpetuity
(Rural Legacy, Maryland Environmental
Trust, Maryland Agricultural Programs,
etc.). These programs, along with State
and Federal ownership, protect an
estimated 15,994 ha (39,524 ac; 29
percent) of DFS-occupied forest
throughout the subspecies’ current
range (USFWS 2012, table 3). In
addition, several State laws and
regulatory programs will continue to
protect forest habitat (USFWS 2012,
appendix D). In Delaware and Virginia,
the DFS occurs primarily on Federal
and State land; the sole Virginia
population was established on
Chincoteague NWR and is completely
protected from residential development
or commercial timber harvest. Overall,
we conclude that this recovery criterion
has been met.
Criterion 7: Mechanisms are in place
and implemented to ensure protection
of new populations, to allow for
expansion, and to provide interpopulation corridors to permit gene flow
among populations. As discussed under
recovery criterion 1, LiDAR data
indicate that mature forest blocks
connected by riparian corridors are
scattered throughout the Delmarva
Peninsula. Further, Lookingbill et al.
(2010, entire) indicate that these
connected blocks constitute a good
network of forest to allow for dispersing
DFSs. Given ample opportunities for
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dispersal, and the fact that many of
these corridors are protected by State
regulatory mechanisms (as discussed
under The Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms, below), we
conclude this recovery criterion has
been met.
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with RULES
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species
Overview
Section 4 of the Act and its
implementing regulations (50 CFR part
424) set forth the procedures for listing
species, reclassifying species, or
removing species from listed status.
‘‘Species’’ is defined in section 3 of the
Act as any species or subspecies of fish
or wildlife or plants, and any distinct
vertebrate population segment of fish or
wildlife that interbreeds when mature
(16 U.S.C. 1532(16)). A species may be
determined to be an endangered or
threatened species based on one or more
factors described in section 4(a)(1) of the
Act: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence.
We must consider these same factors
in delisting a species, and we must
show that the best available scientific
and commercial data indicate that the
species is neither endangered nor
threatened because: (1) It is extinct; (2)
it has recovered and is no longer
endangered or threatened (as is the case
with the DFS); and/or (3) the original
scientific data used at the time of listing
classification were in error (50 CFR
424.11(d)). Determining whether a
species is recovered requires evaluation
of both the threats currently facing the
species and the threats that are
reasonably likely to affect the species in
the foreseeable future following
delisting and removal or reduction of
the Act’s protections.
A species is endangered for purposes
of the Act if it is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range (SPR) and is threatened if it is
likely to become endangered within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. The
word ‘‘range’’ in these definitions refers
to the range in which the species
currently exists. Although the term
‘‘foreseeable future’’ is left undefined,
for the purposes of this rule, we regard
foreseeable future as the extent to
which, given available data, we can
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reasonably anticipate events or effects,
or extrapolate threat trends, such that
reliable predictions can be made
concerning the future status of the DFS.
In conducting this analysis, our general
approach was to review past threat
trends and the DFS’ response, followed
by a prediction of future trends. With
some exceptions, we used a time frame
of approximately 40 years for both past
and future trend analyses; this time
period also allowed use of available data
to make more reliable projections
despite the inherent uncertainties
attached to predicting the future.
In the following five-factor analysis,
we evaluate the status of the DFS
throughout its entire range. We then
address the question of whether the DFS
is endangered or threatened in any
significant portion of its range. Note that
information discussed in detail in the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79
FR 56686) and/or the 2012 status review
(USFWS 2012, pp. 26–44) is
summarized for each factor below.
Factor A. The Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
Here we considered habitat changes
caused by residential development, sea
level rise, and commercial timber
harvest, as well as the habitat-related
effects on DFS population and
rangewide viability, with the exception
of development or timber harvest effects
on the population on Chincoteague
NWR, as it is completely protected from
these activities; we did, however,
address the impact of sea level rise on
this population.
Habitat Loss Due to Development
The Delmarva Peninsula is basically a
rural landscape, but the human
population has increased since the DFS
was listed, as shown by Maryland
Department of Planning data discussed
in the September 23, 2014, proposed
rule (79 FR 56686) (see Maryland
Department of Planning 2008a, 2008b,
and 2011b). Despite the past—and
continuing—growth, the majority of the
Delmarva Peninsula’s land base remains
rural, with approximately 47 percent
agricultural land, 36 percent forest, 9
percent wetlands, and only 7 percent
developed land (USFWS 2012, table 2).
Further, since listing, a variety of
State laws and programs have been put
in place to counteract the rate of
development across the State (USFWS
2012, appendix D), including the
Maryland Forest Conservation Act and
Maryland Critical Area Law. In
addition, the Maryland Environmental
Trust, Maryland Agricultural Land
Protection Fund, and Maryland Rural
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70709
Legacy Program used easements to
permanently protect about 3,642 ha per
year (9,000 ac per year) of private lands
between 2000 and 2008, enhancing
protection of DFS habitat (USFWS 2012,
chart 4).
Overall, approximately 30 percent of
DFS-occupied forest lands, widely
distributed across the subspecies’ range,
is protected from development (USFWS
2012, table 5). Additional acres of
protected forest outside the current
range of the DFS provide areas for
further expansion (USFWS 2012, figure
7). Overall, the 15,995 ha (39,524 ac) of
occupied forest protected from
development could support a DFS
population 45 times the MVP (based on
Hilderbrand et al. 2007, entire).
However, because 70 percent of DFSoccupied forest occurs on private land
that remains legally unprotected from
development, future losses from
development are likely.
We assessed the potential threat of
DFS habitat loss stemming from future
development by overlaying the acres of
existing occupied forest with areas
projected to be lost to development,
including: (1) Smart Growth areas
(excluding the acres that are protected
by easement), (2) areas where
development projects are already
planned, and (3) areas that are projected
to be lost by 2030 if Smart Growth
policies are not implemented (USFWS
2012, figure 11). Overall, 3 percent
(2,283 ha or 5,643 ac) of the forest area
currently occupied by the DFS is
anticipated to be lost to development by
2030. This relatively low rate of
projected loss can be attributed to the
likelihood that most future development
on the Delmarva Peninsula will occur
outside the current range of the DFS.
Future development within the current
range is expected to primarily affect two
small, isolated DFS subpopulations
where extirpation is already probable.
Together these subpopulations
constitute less than 0.5 percent of the
total viable population; thus, their loss
would have a negligible effect on the
rangewide extinction risk for the DFS.
Although information on development
projections past 2030 is not available at
this time, we consider it likely that
development on the Delmarva Peninsula
will continue to be concentrated near
large towns outside the range of the
DFS, with some scattered development
within the subspecies’ range.
Conversely, we also anticipate
continued expansion of DFS
populations, including expansion onto
Chesapeake Forest lands (which are
now owned and managed by the State
of Maryland), noting that some
occupancy on these lands has already
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occurred. The anticipated discovery of
additional occupied forest areas may
further offset projected loss of occupied
forest due to development, resulting in
little change to the overall area of the
distribution. Discovery of additional
occupied forest has occurred at the rate
of 763 ha per year (1,887 ac per year)
over the past 10 years. Even if we
discover new occupied forest at half that
rate, the anticipated net loss of occupied
habitat from development would be
offset by known occupied habitat in 6
years. With the continued protection of
forest lands provided by State laws and
programs, we do not expect habitat loss
from development to substantially
elevate the risk of the DFS’ extinction.
Loss of Forest Habitat From Sea Level
Rise
The Delmarva Peninsula is a lowlying landform, and sea level rise in the
Chesapeake Bay can flood and kill
shoreline forests that provide habitat for
the DFS. However, the DFS does not
occur exclusively in coastal habitats,
which moderates its vulnerability to this
threat, and GIS analysis indicates that
over 80 percent of the current range
would remain even after a projected
inundation of coastal areas by 0.61 m (2
ft); see the discussion below.
Regarding sea level rise in the past,
the forces of land subsidence and sea
level rise have resulted in a long history
of island loss and formation in the
Chesapeake Bay. In the last century,
these forces combined to produce a
relative sea level rise in the Chesapeake
Bay region of approximately 0.3 m (1 ft)
per 100 years (National Wildlife
Federation 2008, p. 2).
Loss of some forest areas in southern
Dorchester County, Maryland, is already
apparent at the lowest elevations where
trees have been killed by saltwater
intrusion from recent hurricanes.
Although we cannot precisely estimate
how much occupied habitat has been
lost in the past 40 years, LiDAR analysis
of forest height and canopy cover has
identified at least 68 ha (170 ac) at the
edge of coastal marshes that are now
standing dead trees.
Hurricanes contribute to forest loss as
sea levels rise, with saltwater moving
farther into forested areas during
associated storm surges. However,
hurricanes and intense storms have
always been part of the weather in this
region, and there is no evidence that
they pose a problem per se for the DFS.
For instance, in October 2012, cameras
placed in woods to monitor DFSs near
the Atlantic coast recorded DFSs onsite
after superstorm Sandy passed through,
indicating survival through the storm.
Although direct loss of trees used by the
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DFS may have occurred in the past, the
major effect of hurricanes has been the
additional push of saltwater into more
upland areas, killing coastal forest trees.
In terms of future effects of sea level
rise and climate change, sea level rise in
the Chesapeake Bay is certain to
continue, and the rate of change is likely
to be even higher than in the past
(National Wildlife Federation 2008, pp.
16–17; Sallenger et al. 2012, entire;
Boesch et al. 2013, entire). To determine
the extent of DFS-occupied forest that
may be lost through the combined
effects of sea level rise and subsidence
(i.e., relative sea level rise), we used a
0.61-m (2-ft) inundation scenario. A rise
in sea level of this magnitude is
predicted to occur by about 2050 under
a worst-case scenario (Boesch et al.
2013, p. 15).
Our GIS analysis, in which we
overlaid this inundation scenario with
DFS-occupied forest, indicated that the
most severe effects of sea level rise on
the DFS by 2050 will be seen in the
southwestern portion of Dorchester
County, Maryland (USFWS 2012, figure
12). Here, 9,332 ha (23,060 ac) of
currently occupied forest would either
be lost or remain only on isolated
islands (USFWS 2012, figure 12). In
addition, 4,409 ha (10,897 ac) of habitat
along the remaining southern edge of
the county would eventually
deteriorate, causing DFSs to move
inland. The ability of DFSs to move into
connected habitat likely reduces the
effects on this subspecies due to forest
losses at the coastal marsh fringe; we
nonetheless recognize this as habitat
loss. Other projected forest losses
include scattered patches throughout
the range, including some losses in the
range of the Chincoteague population
(USFWS 2012, figure 12).
Even if the predicted habitat losses
from sea level rise in southwestern
Dorchester County were to occur
immediately, the area’s remaining
23,632 ha (58,398 ac) of occupied
habitat would continue to support a
highly abundant DFS population with a
negligible risk of extinction. Moreover,
the habitat in the northeastern portion
of this area is connected to existing
occupied forest farther inland (USFWS
2012, figure 9) into which DFSs could
move. In particular, a large tract of
State-owned forest that will soon
become sufficiently mature to allow for
DFS expansion connects the Dorchester
DFS subpopulation to forest tracts in
Caroline and Sussex Counties (USFWS
2012, figure 10). Although sea level rise
may cause streams and rivers to widen
and pose more of a barrier in the future,
forested corridors will still be available
to provide DFSs with access to habitat
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in the inland portions of Dorchester
County.
Given our current understanding of
DFS habitat use, dispersal, and
population dynamics, the expected DFS
response to deterioration of coastal
woodlands from sea level rise is the
gradual movement of some DFSs to
more inland areas. The DFS is known to
travel across areas of marsh and can
move at least 40 to 50 m (131 to 164 ft)
between forested islands and may also
move across frozen marsh in the winter.
We acknowledge that despite the
squirrel’s ability to move, isolation and
loss of some individuals is likely to
occur. Nonetheless, we conclude that
habitat loss due to sea level rise will not
be a limiting factor to the future
viability of this subspecies.
The 0.61-m (2-ft) inundation scenario
does not play out the same in parts of
the range outside southwestern
Dorchester County. In the series of small
peninsulas in northwestern Dorchester
County called the ‘‘neck region,’’ this
scenario results in shrinkage of available
habitat but does not create islands, and
leaves habitat for the DFS to move into
(USFWS 2012, figure 12). This is also
the case in other portions of the
squirrel’s range near the Chesapeake
Bay and the Atlantic Coast. Some
additional small areas of occupied
habitat may be lost, but the gradual loss
can be accommodated by shifts in DFS
home ranges to adjacent but currently
unoccupied habitat.
The most coastal population of the
DFS is a translocated population
introduced in 1968 to Chincoteague
NWR, a barrier island in Virginia that
could be severely affected by sea level
rise (National Wildlife Federation 2008,
p. 69). The refuge’s draft Comprehensive
Conservation Plan (available at https://
www.fws.gov/nwrs/
threecolumn.aspx?id=2147550165)
addresses this issue, and the refuge may
consider future land acquisitions on the
Delmarva Peninsula mainland.
Chincoteague NWR will continue to
manage for the DFS into the future
whether or not the subspecies remains
listed. In addition, translocations of
DFSs to areas outside refuge boundaries
at some point in the future are possible.
It is not clear how climate change
effects may alter the nature of the forests
of the Delmarva Peninsula. However, as
the DFS occurs in pine, hardwood, and
mixed hardwood forests, with a
preference for mixed forests with
diverse tree species, any effects on the
species composition of these forests are
unlikely to become a significant threat
for the squirrel.
Overall, DFS distribution has
increased in the past 40 years even with
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some sea level rise occurring. In the
next 40 years under a worst-case
scenario, we predict some deterioration
of forests in certain areas along the
Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Coast
(USFWS 2012, figure 12), but we also
anticipate population expansion and
shifts in DFS home ranges into suitable
but currently unoccupied habitat
available in the interior of the Delmarva
Peninsula. Although some concern has
been expressed about the likelihood of
such expansion (e.g., by the Center for
Biological Diversity 2013), the analysis
of habitat suitability, connectivity, and
the range expansion documented in the
last 15 years provides a rational basis for
this expectation. Thus, available data
indicate that loss of habitat due to
climate change and sea level rise does
not pose an extinction risk to the DFS.
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with RULES
Combined Effects of Development and
Sea Level Rise
Having determined that neither
development nor sea level alone
threatens the DFS with rangewide
extinction, we conducted a spatial
analysis to examine how these most
pervasive stressors might interact
(USFWS 2012, figure 5 and table 7).
As of 2010, 54,429 ha (134,496 ac) of
habitat supported 22 DFS
subpopulations, (USFWS 2012, table 7),
and 95 percent of the occupied forest
contains the 11 largest subpopulations,
which are highly likely to remain
demographically viable. Even with
projected losses from both development
and sea level rise, and not accounting
for potential discovery of additional
occupied habitat, over 95 percent of the
DFS-occupied forest would continue to
support these most viable
subpopulations. Thus, the combined
effects of these threats do not pose an
extinction risk to the DFS.
Loss of Mature Forest From Timber
Harvest
Unlike development and sea level
rise, timber harvest does not result in
permanent loss of habitat. Further, as
noted under Recovery Criteria, above,
DFSs are resilient to timber harvests
when there is adjacent habitat into
which they can move. Thus, the major
habitat concerns related to timber
harvests are (1) the prevalence of shortrotation timber harvests, where trees are
harvested before they mature enough to
become DFS habitat; and (2) harvest
rates that exceed growth rates and result
in a continual decline of mature forest.
Short-rotation pine forestry involves
harvesting stands at approximately 25
years of age for pulp and other fiber
products, precluding their suitability as
DFS habitat. In the past, two large
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corporations managed for short-rotation
pine on the Delmarva Peninsula;
however, these industries have
effectively left the Peninsula. In 1999,
the State of Maryland acquired 23,471
ha (58,000 ac) of these lands,
collectively administered as the
Chesapeake Forest Lands and
comprising scattered parcels throughout
the southern four Maryland counties
(USFWS 2012, figure 13). Another 4,202
ha (10,384 ac) of forest land previously
owned and managed for short-rotation
pine are now owned by the State of
Delaware. All these lands will now be
protected from development and
managed for sustainable sawtimber
harvest and wildlife habitat objectives.
Moreover, DFS management has been
integrated into the Sustainable Forest
Management Plan for Chesapeake Forest
Lands prepared by Maryland’s
Department of Natural Resources
(Maryland DNR 2013, pp. 92–96), which
identifies a total of 17,618 ha (43,535 ac)
as DFS Core Areas and DFS Future Core
Areas. Overall, these land acquisitions
represent a future of protected forest
areas managed for sawtimber where the
DFS can survive and grow in numbers,
substantially removing the threat posed
by short-rotation pine management on
the lower Delmarva Peninsula.
Harvest rate estimates for both the
2007 and 2012 status review (USFWS
2007, pp. 17–20; USFWS 2012, table 6)
indicated that harvests in more recent
years have been substantially less than
in previous years (generally prior to
2005) (USFWS 2012, table 6). For
instance, in the four southern Maryland
counties, the average annual harvest
dropped from approximately 1,050 ha
(2,594 ac) prior to 2005, to
approximately 303 ha (749 ac) since
then. The average size of harvested
stands in these counties has also
decreased, from an average of 22 ha (54
ac) to an average of 15 ha (36 ac). This
is also the case in Delaware; in Sussex
County, the annual harvest rate in the
last 4 years was half of what was
generally harvested between 1998 and
2005, with the same holding true for the
size of individual harvest areas.
Among other reasons for these
reductions, economic pressures have
resulted in the closure of several
sawmills on the Delmarva Peninsula.
The market for timber has declined
dramatically, with low prices acting as
a disincentive to harvesting. As
discussed below, reduced harvest levels
are likely to continue in the future.
Although it is very difficult to predict
future market forces, trends in
fragmentation and parcelization in the
Chesapeake Bay region (Sprague et al.
2006, pp. 22–24) suggest that future
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70711
timber harvests might remain smaller in
size and occur less frequently.
Parcelization is the subdivision of large
blocks of land into multiple ownerships,
with a consequent tendency to shift
from forest management to management
for aesthetics and wildlife values. In
Maryland, 45 percent of woodland
owners own less than 20 ha (50 ac) of
woods (U.S. Department of Agriculture,
2012). Given general sizes of timber
harvests, these woodlands may be too
small for future harvests and are more
likely to be managed for aesthetics and
wildlife.
This ownership pattern also reflects
the gentrification of the eastern shore of
Maryland, with landowners becoming
less likely to be farmers or foresters and
more likely to be commuters or retirees
who do not use their properties for
income. This trend is expected to
continue into the future (see https://
www.mdp.state.md.us/msdc/S3_
Projection.shtml), with a concomitant
reduction in total acres harvested.
Overall, the forest land transfers in
Maryland and Delaware, in conjunction
with available data on harvest rates
across the range of the squirrel, suggest
that timber harvest does not pose an
extinction risk for the DFS.
Factor A Summary
The current range of the DFS spans
coastal and interior areas of the
Delmarva Peninsula where DFSs inhabit
diverse wetland and upland forest
types, suggesting that DFS populations
will continue to remain resilient to a
variety of habitat-related effects.
Further, the distribution of these
habitats provides for redundancy of
populations, which reduces the risk of
catastrophic loss. We recognize that
habitat losses may occur in some areas,
primarily from residential development
and sea level rise, but we expect the
DFS population to remain at or above
recovered levels, and, moreover, we do
not expect such habitat losses to prevent
overall expansion of the range in the
future.
Factor B. Overutilization for
Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Overhunting has been posited as a
factor in the original decline of this
subspecies. Squirrel hunting was
common in the early and middle
decades of the 20th century, and
hunting of the DFS in small, isolated
woodlots or narrow riparian corridors
could have resulted in local
extirpations. Taylor (1976, p. 51) noted
that the DFS remained present on large
agricultural estates where hunting was
not allowed, suggesting that these areas
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may have provided a network of refugia
for the DFS.
By 1972, hunting of DFS was banned
through state regulations. Removal of
hunting pressure may have been one
factor in the renewed population growth
and expansion of the squirrel’s range to
its current extent. Coincidentally,
squirrel hunting has declined in
popularity in recent decades;
nationwide, squirrel hunting declined
by about 40 percent between 1991 and
2001, and by an additional 20%
between 2001 and 2011 (DOI 1991 p. 70;
DOI 2001, p. 57; DOI 2011, p. 60).
Recent records of squirrel hunters
specifically are not available for
Maryland but the number of small game
hunters in Maryland (pursuing
squirrels, rabbits and/or quail) declined
from 64,000 to 35,000 between 1991 and
2011 (DOI 1991, p. 113; DOI 2011, p.
102). Hunting gray squirrels will
continue to some extent, and though
some hunters may mistake DFS for gray
squirrels, this is likely a rare situation
that has not prevented the DFS from
expanding over the last 40 years.
Regarding hunting in the future,
discussions with our State partners
indicate that DFS management after
delisting would be conducted very
cautiously and that a hunting season
would not be initiated in the immediate
future. We recognize that a restricted
hunt could be conducted at sites where
DFSs are abundant without causing a
population decline, and that State
management agencies have the
capability to implement careful hunting
restrictions and population
management; the reopening of the black
bear (Ursus americanus) hunt in
Maryland is a good example of a
carefully and successfully managed
hunt (Maryland Department of Natural
Resources 2012, entire).
We nonetheless foresee only limited
individual interest in reinitiating a DFS
hunt, coupled with strong public
attitudes against hunting DFSs and,
more generally, recreational hunting
(Duda and Jones 2008, p. 183). Given
public sentiment, the declining interest
in squirrel hunting, and the restrictions
that we expect would be imposed on a
renewed hunting program, hunting is
highly unlikely to pose an extinction
risk to the DFS in the foreseeable future.
there is no documentation of these
diseases in the DFS, and there is no
evidence or suspicion of disease-related
declines in any local population
(USFWS 2012, pp. 37–38).
Although the advent of white-nose
syndrome affecting bats (Blehert et al.
2009, entire) and chytrid fungus
affecting amphibians (Daszak et al.
1999, entire) demonstrates the
uncertainty surrounding novel disease
events, the life-history traits of the DFS
tend to make them less susceptible to
these types of epizootics. Delmarva fox
squirrels do not congregate in large
numbers where disease can easily
spread through a population. Further,
the DFS is patchily distributed across its
range, which makes it more difficult for
disease to spread across populations,
and DFSs are not migratory and do not
inhabit the types of environment (as
with aquatic species) where pathogens
can readily disperse.
Overall, there currently is no evidence
of disease-related declines or any
indication that DFSs are particularly
susceptible to disease outbreaks, and we
conclude that disease is neither a
current nor a future extinction risk for
this subspecies.
Factor C. Disease or Predation
Each of these types of threat is
summarized below.
Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms
Several laws established in Maryland
over the past 40 years provide
substantial protections for DFS habitat
(USFWS 2012, appendix D). The
Maryland Critical Areas Act of 1984
designates all areas within 304.8 m
(1,000 ft) of high tide as Critical Areas
Disease
Reports of disease in the DFS are
uncommon. Although other subspecies
of eastern fox squirrels are known to
carry diseases such as mange and rabies,
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Predation
Predators of the DFS include the red
fox (Vulpes vulpes), gray fox (Urocyon
cinereoargenteus), red-tailed hawk
(Buteo jamaicensis), bald eagle
(Haliaeetus leucocephalus), and
possibly domestic pets and feral
animals.
Changes in numbers of certain
predators may cause some fluctuations
in DFS numbers at a site (for instance,
a DFS population may decline when red
fox numbers increase), but these types
of events are sporadic and localized.
Conversely, although bald eagle
numbers have dramatically increased in
the Chesapeake Bay region over the past
40 years and eagles have been known to
take DFSs, they still prey primarily on
fish. And while feral dogs and cats may
occasionally take DFSs, such predation
is not a rangewide threat. The DFS
population has increased over the last
40 years despite ongoing predation, and
we conclude that predation at these
levels is not a current or future
extinction risk for this subspecies.
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and, as amended, prohibits
development and forest clearing within
60.96 m (200 ft) of streams and the
Chesapeake Bay. These areas serve as
both breeding habitat and dispersal
corridors for DFSs. The Maryland Forest
Conservation Act of 1991 requires that
when a forested area is cleared and
converted to other land uses, other
forest areas must be protected in
perpetuity or, alternatively, replanted to
offset these losses. Additionally, the
State-implemented portions of the Clean
Water Act (33 U.S.C. 1251 et seq.)
provide rangewide protection to the
many forested wetlands where DFSs
occur.
Several State programs in Maryland,
including its Agricultural Land
Protection Fund, Environmental Trust,
and Rural Legacy Program, encourage
voluntary conservation easements that
protect lands from development.
Collectively, these programs now
protect 79,066 ha (195,377 ac) of private
lands within the DFS’ range. Similar
programs in Delaware protect an
additional 12,677 ha (31,327 ac) in
Sussex County (USFWS 2012, table 3).
Although in Delaware and Virginia
the DFS occurs primarily on Federal
and State lands, regulatory protections
affecting private lands allow for
continued DFS range expansion. For
example, Delaware’s Agricultural Land
Protection Program and Forest Legacy
Program now protect more than 12,677
ha (31,327 ac) in Sussex County, much
of which is or could be occupied by the
DFS. The Virginia DFS population is
completely protected on Chincoteague
NWR. If needed, State-owned lands or
private lands, or both, protected by land
trusts would provide suitable habitat for
future translocations.
Overall, many State laws and
programs that protect the DFS and its
habitat have been enacted or
strengthened in the last 40 years, and it
is likely that this State protection will
continue. Currently, these regulatory
mechanisms, together with other factors
that address population and habitat
trends, have substantially reduced
threats to the DFS. We thus conclude
that existing regulatory mechanisms are
adequate in terms of reducing extinction
risks for the DFS.
Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade
Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence
The level of risk posed by each of the
following factors is assessed below.
Forest Pest Infestations
Forest pest infestations can affect
forest health and its ability to provide
suitable habitat for the DFS. Gypsy moth
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(Lymantria dispar) outbreaks can
decimate mature forest stands, although
the affected stands will eventually
regenerate. Monitoring outbreaks and
spraying for gypsy moth control appear
to have reduced this threat within the
current range of the DFS, as infestations
in the last several years have
diminished in acreage (Maryland
Department of Agriculture Forest Health
Highlights 2007, 2008, 2009; entire).
Southern pine bark beetle
(Dendroctonus frontalis) infestations
can also decimate mature forest stands
within the range of the DFS. Although
beetle outbreaks necessitated salvage
cuts for a total of 809 ha (2,000 ac)
scattered across the southern counties in
Maryland in the early 1990s, monitoring
and control efforts appear to have
reduced this threat as well.
Overall, an analysis of forest pests in
the Chesapeake Bay watershed found
that most areas on the Eastern Shore
where DFSs occur have a relatively low
likelihood of insect infestations, with
3.8 to 10 percent of this area considered
to be at risk (Sprague et al. 2006, p. 87).
Although emergence of new forest pests
is to be expected, Maryland’s Forest
Health Monitoring Program conducts
surveys to map and report forest pest
problems (Maryland Department of
Agriculture, Forest Pest Management,
2012, entire). Forest pest outbreaks are
likely to recur and may increase if the
climate warms as projected; however,
this threat appears to be localized and
sporadic and, with existing programs to
monitor and treat forest pest outbreaks,
we conclude that this is not an
extinction risk factor for the DFS.
Vehicle Strikes
Vehicle strikes are a relatively
common source of DFS mortality.
Similarly to other species, the
probability of DFSs being hit by vehicles
is dependent on the DFS’ density and
proximity of roads to habitat. Vehicle
strikes of DFSs tend to be reported more
frequently in areas where DFSs are
abundant, even if traffic levels are
relatively low (e.g., Dorchester County).
The conscientious reporting and
collecting of DFSs killed on roads at the
Blackwater and Chincoteague NWRs,
where the DFS is very abundant, likely
results in a more complete count of
vehicle strikes than elsewhere. Vehicle
strikes occur regularly at both refuges,
yet DFSs remain abundant in both
places and have expanded their
occupancy at Chincoteague NWR.
Overall, most DFS populations across
the subspecies’ range continue to
remain stable or are increasing in
numbers despite these localized events,
and we conclude that vehicle strikes
alone are not a pervasive threat or
extinction factor for this subspecies.
Overall Summary of Factors A
Through E
A summary of the five-factor analysis
discussed above is provided in Table 3.
Based on our analysis, we conclude that
no single factor or combination of
factors poses a risk of extinction to the
DFS now or in the foreseeable future.
TABLE 3—SUMMARY OF FIVE-FACTOR ANALYSIS UNDER THE ACT FOR DFS
Past trends
Foreseeable trends
Habitat loss from development.
In the past 40 years, development increased
from 3 to 8 percent of the land area in the
Maryland range of the DFS; development also
increased in Sussex County, Delaware. Some
habitat has been lost, but most development
occurs near existing towns where DFSs are
not as prevalent, and development often occurs on agricultural rather than forest land.
Habitat loss from sea
level rise.
In the past, loss of occupied habitat due to inundation and saltwater intrusion has occurred in
southern Dorchester County, although the
acreage is not known. Sea level rise has occurred in the past at the rate of 3.5 millimeters
(mm) per year (about 1 ft per 100 years).
Habitat loss from timber
harvest.
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with RULES
Factor
Sawtimber harvest has occurred throughout the
Delmarva Peninsula. Past harvest rates appear
to have been sustainable, as DFSs have remained present across the range.
Development is projected to increase to 14 percent of the land area in the Maryland and
Delaware portions of DFS’ range. Although
most development will occur near urban areas
where DFSs do not occur, 3 to 4 percent of
total DFS occupied habitat is expected to be
affected. While these losses may cause some
small subpopulations to disappear, most occupied habitat will remain available. Despite the
projected development, DFS distribution is expected to continue to expand.
Under an extreme scenario of 0.61-m (2-ft) inundation in 40 years, considerable acreage will
be lost or isolated in southwestern Dorchester
County. However, even if this loss were to
occur immediately, the Dorchester County subpopulation would remain over 70 times larger
than the MVP. It would thus continue to be the
largest subpopulation, and given a 40-year
time frame for reaching this level of inundation,
is very likely to remain viable over the long
term.
Recent declines in timber harvests, along with
mill closings, may reduce the harvest rate for
some time. Increasing parcelization of land will
further reduce opportunities for large-scale timber production. Gentrification of the Eastern
Shore is shifting public values for forest management from timber production to management for aesthetics and wildlife. Thus, future
timber harvest rates are not expected to exceed past harvest rates.
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Does factor
pose an
extinction
risk?
No.
No.
No.
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TABLE 3—SUMMARY OF FIVE-FACTOR ANALYSIS UNDER THE ACT FOR DFS—Continued
Past trends
Foreseeable trends
Habitat loss from shortrotation pine management.
In the past, short-rotation pine harvests occurred
on approximately 68,000 ac of the forest lands
in the Maryland and Delaware portions of the
DFS’ range. These acres were typically harvested before they were mature enough to become DFS habitat.
Overutilization .................
Hunting seasons have been closed since 1972 ...
Disease or predation ......
Disease and predation have not been significant
threats for this subspecies in the past 40 years.
Inadequacy of regulatory
mechanisms.
Several new Maryland laws have appeared in the
last 40 years to help conserve forest areas that
support the DFS. DFS occurrences in Delaware and Virginia are almost exclusively on
protected lands.
Other natural or manmade factors.
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with RULES
Factor
Forest pests and vehicle strikes have occurred in
the past 40 years to some extent but have not
limited the expansion of the DFS’ distribution.
Since 1999, these lands have been acquired by
the States of Maryland and Delaware and are
now managed for sawtimber, which will provide
suitable DFS habitat. Thus, 58,000 ac of land
in Maryland and 10,000 ac in Delaware are
protected from development and managed for
sawtimber, enabling future use by the DFS that
was previously precluded.
Hunting seasons are likely to remain closed into
the foreseeable future. If opened, DFS hunts
would be limited and carefully managed. Interest in squirrel hunting has declined significantly, and public attitudes toward hunting
have changed to primarily support hunting of
those species viewed as needing population
management, such as deer.
These threats are not expected to increase, and
the expanding distribution of the DFS lessens
the potential impacts that disease and predation could have on this subspecies.
In the next 40 years, forest conservation measures are expected to continue, and the programs that have begun in Maryland are expected to continue or increase as they have in
the past. Easement programs that protect private lands from development have begun in
Delaware and Virginia and are expected to increase in the future as well.
Forest pests and vehicle strikes are likely to continue to some extent, but neither factor has limited growth of the subpopulations in the past,
nor are they expected to do so in the future.
As DFS populations increase in density, vehicle strikes could increase, as the probability of
a strike is primarily a function of animal abundance.
Determination
We have carefully assessed the best
scientific and commercial information
available regarding past, present, and
future threats to the long-term viability
of the DFS. The current range of the DFS
spans the northern and southern
portions of the Delmarva Peninsula,
comprising all three States, and extends
from coastal areas to the interior of the
Delmarva Peninsula. The DFS inhabits a
variety of forest types, from hardwooddominated to pine-dominated forests
and from wetland to upland forests,
indicating an underlying genetic
variability or behavioral plasticity that
should enhance the subspecies’ ability
to adapt to changing environmental
conditions. Its relatively wide
distribution also provides redundancy
of occupied forest across the landscape,
which further reduces extinction risk,
and its continued occupancy of
woodlots over the past 20 to 30 years
and the success of translocation efforts
indicate considerable resilience to
stochastic events. We thus expect the
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rangewide population of the DFS not
only to remain at recovery levels but to
grow and continue to occupy the full
complement of landscapes and forest
types on the Delmarva Peninsula.
The Act defines ‘‘endangered species’’
as any species that is ‘‘in danger of
extinction throughout all or a significant
portion of its range,’’ and ‘‘threatened
species’’ as any species that is ‘‘likely to
become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range.’’ The
term ‘‘species’’ includes ‘‘any
subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants,
and any distinct population segment
[DPS] of any species of vertebrate fish or
wildlife which interbreeds when
mature.’’ As a subspecies, the DFS has
both met the recovery criteria we
consider for delisting, and the analysis
of existing and potential risks shows
that the range and distribution of the
subspecies is sufficient to withstand all
foreseeable threats to its long-term
viability. Thus, after assessing the best
available information, we have
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Does factor
pose an
extinction
risk?
No.
No.
No.
No.
No.
determined that the DFS is no longer in
danger of extinction throughout all of its
range, nor is it likely to become
threatened with endangerment in the
foreseeable future.
Significant Portion of the Range
Analysis
Overview
Having determined the status of the
DFS throughout all of its range, we next
examine whether the subspecies is in
danger of extinction in a significant
portion of its range. Under the Act and
our implementing regulations, a species
may warrant listing if it is in danger of
extinction or likely to become so
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range, as stated above. We published
a final policy interpreting the phrase
‘‘significant portion of its range’’ (79 FR
37578; July 1, 2014). This policy states
that: (1) If a species is found to be
endangered or threatened throughout a
significant portion of its range, the
entire species is listed as an endangered
species or a threatened species,
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respectively, and the Act’s protections
apply to all individuals of the species
wherever found; (2) a portion of the
range of a species is ‘‘significant’’ if the
species is not currently endangered or
threatened throughout all of its range,
but the portion’s contribution to the
viability of the species is so important
that, without the members in that
portion, the species would be in danger
of extinction or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future throughout all of
its range; (3) the range of a species is
considered to be the general
geographical area within which that
species can be found at the time we
make any particular status
determination; and (4) if a vertebrate
species is endangered or threatened
throughout an SPR, and if it can also be
shown the population in that significant
portion is a valid DPS, we will list the
DPS rather than the entire taxonomic
species or subspecies.
The SPR policy is applied to all status
determinations, including analyses for
the purposes of making listing,
delisting, and reclassification
determinations. The procedure for
analyzing whether any portion is an
SPR is similar, regardless of the type of
status determination we are making.
The first step in our analysis of the
status of a species is to determine its
status throughout all of its range. If we
determine that the species is in danger
of extinction, or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future, throughout all of
its range, we list the species as an
endangered (or threatened) species and
no SPR analysis will be required. If the
species is neither in danger of
extinction, nor likely to become so,
throughout all of its range, we
determine whether the species is in
danger of extinction or likely to become
so throughout a significant portion of its
range. If it is, we list the species as an
endangered species or a threatened
species, respectively; if it is not, we
conclude that listing of the species is
not warranted.
When we conduct an SPR analysis,
we first identify any portions of the
species’ range that warrant further
consideration. The range of a species
can theoretically be divided into
portions in an infinite number of ways.
However, there is no purpose to
analyzing portions of the range that are
not reasonably likely to be both
significant and endangered or
threatened. To identify only those
portions that warrant further
consideration, we determine whether
there is substantial information
indicating that (1) the portions may be
significant and (2) the species may be in
danger of extinction in those portions or
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likely to become so within the
foreseeable future. We emphasize that
answering these questions in the
affirmative is not a determination that
the species is endangered or threatened
throughout a significant portion of its
range—rather, it is a step in determining
whether a more detailed analysis of the
issue is required. In practice, a key part
of this analysis is whether the threats
are geographically concentrated in some
way. If the threats to the species are
affecting it uniformly throughout its
range, no portion is likely to warrant
further consideration. Moreover, if any
concentration of threats apply only to
portions of the range that clearly do not
meet the biologically based definition of
‘‘significant’’ (i.e., the loss of that
portion clearly would not be expected to
increase the vulnerability to extinction
of the entire species), those portions
will not warrant further consideration.
If we identify any portions that may
be both (1) significant and (2)
endangered or threatened, we engage in
a more detailed analysis to determine
whether these standards are indeed met.
The identification of an SPR does not
create a presumption, prejudgment, or
other determination as to whether the
species in that identified SPR is
endangered or threatened. We must go
through a separate analysis to determine
whether the species is endangered or
threatened in the SPR. To determine
whether a species is endangered or
threatened throughout an SPR, we will
use the same standards and
methodology that we use to determine
if a species is endangered or threatened
throughout its range.
Depending on the biology of the
species, its range, and the threats it
faces, it may be more efficient to address
the ‘‘significant’’ question first, or the
status question first. Thus, if we
determine that a portion of the range is
not ‘‘significant,’’ we do not need to
determine whether the species is
endangered or threatened there.
Conversely, if we determine that the
species is not endangered or threatened
in a portion of its range, we do not need
to determine if that portion is
‘‘significant.’’
SPR Analysis for DFS
Having determined that the DFS does
not meet the definition of endangered or
threatened throughout its range, we
considered whether there are any
significant portions of its range in which
it is in danger of extinction or likely to
become so. The full discussion
regarding this analysis, summarized
here, is provided in the September 23,
2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686).
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70715
Applying the process described
above, we evaluated the range of the
DFS to determine if any area could be
considered a significant portion of its
range. Based on examination of the
relevant information on the biology and
life history of the DFS, we determined
that there are no separate areas of the
range that are significantly different
from others or that are likely to be of
greater biological or conservation
importance than any other areas. We
next examined whether any threats are
geographically concentrated in some
way that would indicate the subspecies
could be in danger of extinction, or
likely to become so, in that area.
Through our review of threats to the
subspecies, we identified some areas
where DFSs are likely to be extirpated,
including areas in Queen Anne’s
County, Maryland, where DFS
distribution is scattered and relatively
isolated by roads and water, and where
future development is anticipated. We
thus considered whether this area in the
northern portion of the range may
warrant further consideration as a
significant portion of its range.
The forest area currently occupied by
DFSs that is projected to be lost to
development by 2030 would affect two
small populations in Queen Anne’s
County that together constitute less than
0.5 percent of the rangewide population;
however, five large DFS subpopulations
are expected to remain viable across the
northern portion of the current range.
Additionally, Queen Anne’s County’s
landscape does not represent a unique
habitat type or ecological setting for the
subspecies. Thus, the areas expected to
be lost due to development would not
appreciably reduce the long-term
viability of the subpopulation in the
northern portion of the range, much less
imperil the DFS in the remainder of its
range. Therefore, we have determined
that this portion of the DFS’ range does
not meet the definition of SPR under the
2014 policy.
We also anticipate loss of DFSoccupied forests from sea level rise in
Dorchester County, Maryland, on the
southwestern periphery of the habitat
supporting the largest subpopulation of
DFS. However, these losses do not
threaten either the subpopulation or the
subspecies with a risk of extinction, as
there is ample unoccupied and
sufficiently connected habitat for
displaced squirrels to colonize; this is
bolstered by their ability to readily
colonize new areas evidenced by
successful expansion of DFS
translocations. In addition, we
anticipate the continued presence of
mixed pine/hardwood forests adjacent
to marsh and open water in Dorchester
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County and do not anticipate losses of
any unique habitats. Therefore, losses
due to sea level rise in this portion of
the range would not appreciably reduce
the long-term viability of the
subpopulation, much less cause the
subspecies in the remainder of its range
to be in danger of extinction or likely to
become so. We thus conclude the
portion of the range that is expected to
be lost from sea level rise does not meet
the policy’s definition of an SPR.
These are the only two portions of the
range that we identified as meriting
analysis as to their significance and
level of endangerment in conformance
with the 2014 SPR policy. Finding that
the potential losses in small areas of
Queen Anne’s County would not cause
cascading vulnerability and do not
constitute unique areas that are not
represented elsewhere in the
subspecies’ range, and finding that loss
of areas in Dorchester County to sea
level rise would not diminish the
continued viability of the Dorchester
subpopulation or cause the remainder of
the subspecies to be in danger of
extinction or likely to become so, we do
not consider this subspecies to be
endangered or threatened in any
significant portion of its range. Further,
having not found the basis for an SPR
determination on grounds of either
significance or threat, we also find that
a DPS analysis is not warranted.
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with RULES
Summary
The subspecies’ current and projected
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation should enable it to
remain at recovered population levels
throughout all of its range, and even
expand its range, over the foreseeable
future. Having assessed the best
scientific and commercial data available
and determined that the DFS is no
longer endangered or threatened
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range and is not it likely to become
so in the foreseeable future, we are
removing this subspecies from the List
under the Act.
Future Conservation Measures
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us,
in cooperation with the States, to
implement a monitoring program for not
less than 5 years for all species that have
been recovered and delisted. The
purpose of post-delisting monitoring
(PDM) is to verify that a species remains
secure from risk of extinction after the
protections of the Act are removed by
developing a program that detects the
failure of any delisted species to sustain
itself. If, at any time during the
monitoring period, data indicate that
protective status under the Act should
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be reinstated, we can initiate listing
procedures, including, if appropriate,
emergency listing under section 4(b)(7)
of the Act.
This rule announces availability of
the final PDM plan for the DFS. Public
and peer review comments on the draft
PDM plan have been addressed in the
body of the plan and are summarized in
the plan’s appendix. The plan can be
accessed at: https://www.regulations.gov
under Docket No. FWS–R5–ES–2014–
0021. It is also posted on the Service’s
national Web site (https://
endangered.fws.gov) and the
Chesapeake Bay Field Office’s Web site
(https://www.fws.gov/chesapeakebay). A
summary of the PDM plan is provided
below.
Post-Delisting Monitoring Plan Overview
The PDM plan for the DFS builds
upon and continues the research
conducted while the DFS was listed. In
general, the plan directs the Service and
State natural resource agencies to (1)
continue to map all DFS sightings and
occupied forest to delineate the
distribution and range, and (2) assess
the occupancy of DFS in a sample of
forest tracts to estimate the relative
persistence of DFS populations versus
extirpations across the range.
The PDM plan identifies measurable
management thresholds and responses
for detecting and reacting to significant
changes in the DFS’s protected habitat,
distribution, and ability to remain at
recovered population levels. If declines
are detected equaling or exceeding these
thresholds, the Service, along with other
post-delisting monitoring participants,
will investigate causes, including
consideration of habitat changes,
stochastic events, or any other
significant evidence. Results will be
used to determine if the DFS warrants
expanded monitoring, additional
research, additional habitat protection,
or resumption of Federal protection
under the Act.
Effects of This Rule
This final rule revises 50 CFR 17.11(h)
to remove the Delmarva Peninsula fox
squirrel from the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife (List). It also
revises 50 CFR 17.11(h) and 50 CFR
17.84(a) to remove the listing and
regulations, respectively, for the
nonessential experimental population of
Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrels at
Assawoman Wildlife Management Area
in Sussex County, Delaware. The
prohibitions and conservation measures
provided by the Act, particularly
through sections 7 and 9, no longer
apply to this subspecies. Federal
agencies are no longer required to
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consult with the Service under section
7 of the Act in the event that activities
they authorize, fund, or carry out may
affect the DFS. The take exceptions
identified in 50 CFR 17.84(a)(2) for the
experimental population of the DFS are
also removed. There is no critical
habitat designated for the DFS.
Required Determinations
National Environmental Policy Act
We have determined that
environmental assessments and
environmental impact statements, as
defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), need not
be prepared in connection with
regulations pursuant to section 4(a) of
the Act. We published a notice outlining
our reasons for this determination in the
Federal Register on October 25, 1983
(48 FR 49244).
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994,
‘‘Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments’’ (59 FR 22951), Executive
Order 13175, and the Department of the
Interior’s manual at 512 DM 2, we
readily acknowledge our tribal trust
responsibilities. We have determined
that there are no tribal lands affected by
this rule.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited
in this final rule is available at https://
www.regulations.gov, or upon request
from the Chesapeake Bay Field Office
(see ADDRESSES).
Authors
The primary authors of this final rule
are staff members of the Chesapeake Bay
Field Office (see ADDRESSES).
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation.
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we amend part 17,
subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of the
Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth
below:
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 1531–
1544; 4201–4245, unless otherwise noted.
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§ 17.11—[Amended]
2. Amend § 17.11(h) by removing both
entries for ‘‘Squirrel, Delmarva
Peninsula fox’’ under MAMMALS from
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife.
■
vessels participating in the BSAI trawl
limited access fishery in the BSAI.
Effective 1200 hrs, Alaska local
time (A.l.t.), November 11, 2015,
through 2400 hrs, A.l.t., December 31,
2015.
DATES:
§ 17.84—[Amended]
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
3. Amend § 17.84 by removing and
reserving paragraph (a).
Steve Whitney, 907–586–7228.
■
[FR Doc. 2015–28742 Filed 11–13–15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333–15–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 679
[Docket No. 141021887–5172–02]
RIN 0648–XE312
Fisheries of the Exclusive Economic
Zone Off Alaska; Yellowfin Sole for
Vessels Participating in the BSAI Trawl
Limited Access Fishery in the Bering
Sea and Aleutian Islands Management
Area
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Temporary rule; closure.
AGENCY:
NMFS is prohibiting directed
fishing for yellowfin sole in the Bering
Sea and Aleutian Islands management
area (BSAI) for vessels participating in
the BSAI trawl limited access fishery.
This action is necessary to prevent
exceeding the 2015 allocation of
yellowfin sole total allowable catch for
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SUMMARY:
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NMFS
manages the groundfish fishery in the
BSAI according to the Fishery
Management Plan for Groundfish of the
Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands
Management Area (FMP) prepared by
the North Pacific Fishery Management
Council under authority of the
Magnuson-Stevens Fishery
Conservation and Management Act.
Regulations governing fishing by U.S.
vessels in accordance with the FMP
appear at subpart H of 50 CFR part 600
and 50 CFR part 679.
The 2015 allocation of yellowfin sole
total allowable catch for vessels
participating in the BSAI trawl limited
access fishery in the BSAI is 16,165
metric tons (mt) as established by the
final 2015 and 2016 harvest
specifications for groundfish in the
BSAI (80 FR 11919, March 5, 2015). In
accordance with § 679.20(d)(1)(i), the
Administrator, Alaska Region, NMFS
(Regional Administrator), has
determined that the 2015 allocation of
yellowfin sole total allowable catch for
vessels participating in the BSAI trawl
limited access fishery in the BSAI will
soon be reached. Therefore, the Regional
Administrator is establishing a directed
fishing allowance of 16,065 mt, and is
setting aside the remaining 100 mt as
incidental catch. In accordance with
§ 679.20(d)(1)(iii), the Regional
Administrator finds that this directed
fishing allowance has been reached.
Consequently, NMFS is prohibiting
directed fishing for yellowfin sole for
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Dated: October 23, 2015.
James W. Kurth,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service.
PO 00000
Frm 00049
Fmt 4700
Sfmt 9990
70717
vessels participating in the BSAI trawl
limited access fishery in the BSAI.
After the effective date of this closure
the maximum retainable amounts at
§ 679.20(e) and (f) apply at any time
during a trip.
Classification
This action responds to the best
available information recently obtained
from the fishery. The Assistant
Administrator for Fisheries, NOAA
(AA), finds good cause to waive the
requirement to provide prior notice and
opportunity for public comment
pursuant to the authority set forth at 5
U.S.C. 553(b)(B) as such requirement is
impracticable and contrary to the public
interest. This requirement is
impracticable and contrary to the public
interest as it would prevent NMFS from
responding to the most recent fisheries
data in a timely fashion and would
delay the closure of directed fishing for
yellowfin sole by vessels fishing in the
BSAI trawl limited access fishery in the
BSAI. NMFS was unable to publish a
notice providing time for public
comment because the most recent,
relevant data only became available as
of November 9, 2015.
The AA also finds good cause to
waive the 30-day delay in the effective
date of this action under 5 U.S.C.
553(d)(3). This finding is based upon
the reasons provided above for waiver of
prior notice and opportunity for public
comment.
This action is required by § 679.20
and is exempt from review under
Executive Order 12866.
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1801 et seq.
Dated: November 9, 2015.
Emily H. Menashes,
Acting Director, Office of Sustainable
Fisheries, National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2015–29168 Filed 11–10–15; 4:15 pm]
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E:\FR\FM\16NOR1.SGM
16NOR1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 220 (Monday, November 16, 2015)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 70700-70717]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2015-28742]
=======================================================================
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021; FXES11130900000; 4500030113]
RIN 1018-AY83
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the
Delmarva Peninsula Fox Squirrel From the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The best available scientific and commercial data indicate
that the Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrel (Sciurus niger cinereus) has
recovered. Therefore, under the authority of the Endangered Species Act
of 1973, as amended (Act), we, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
(Service), remove the Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrel (commonly called
the Delmarva fox squirrel) from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife (List). This determination is based on a thorough
review of all available information, which indicates that the
subspecies is now sufficiently abundant and well distributed to
withstand foreseeable threats and no longer meets the definition of an
endangered or threatened species under the Act.
This rule removes the Delmarva fox squirrel from the List
throughout its range, including the experimental population designated
for Assawoman Wildlife Management Area in Delaware. It also announces
the availability of a post-delisting monitoring plan for the
subspecies.
DATES: This rule is effective December 16, 2015.
ADDRESSES: This final rule and the post-delisting monitoring plan are
available on the Internet at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket
No. FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021. Comments and materials received, as well as
supporting documentation used in rule preparation, will be available
for public inspection, by appointment, during normal business hours at:
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Chesapeake Bay Field Office, 177
Admiral Cochrane Drive, Annapolis, MD 21401; and on the Chesapeake Bay
Field Office Web site at: https://www.fws.gov/chesapeakebay/.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Field Office Supervisor, Genevieve
LaRouche, by telephone at 410-573-4573; or Cherry Keller, Wildlife
Biologist, at 410-573-4532, or by email
[[Page 70701]]
at cherry_keller@fws.gov. Written questions or requests for additional
information may also be directed to: Delmarva fox squirrel QUESTIONS,
at the street address listed under ADDRESSES. Individuals who are
hearing-impaired or speech-impaired may call the Federal Relay Service
at 1-800-877-8337 for TTY assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Previous Federal Action
On September 23, 2014, the Service published a proposed rule (79 FR
56686) to remove the Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrel, commonly called
and hereafter referred to as the Delmarva fox squirrel (DFS), from the
List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife (List). In the proposed
rule, we solicited information and comments from the public and
scientific experts for 60 days, ending November 24, 2014. Later in this
document, we discuss comments we received. For more information on
previous Federal actions concerning the Delmarva fox squirrel, refer to
the proposed rule available at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket
No. FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021.
Species Information
The Delmarva fox squirrel (Sciurus niger cinereus), a subspecies of
the eastern fox squirrel (Sciurus niger) found only on the Delmarva
Peninsula, is located between the Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Ocean
in portions of Maryland, Delaware, and Virginia. The DFS is a large,
silver-gray tree squirrel with white underparts and a wide tail. It
inhabits mature forests of mixed hardwoods and pines within the
agricultural landscapes of the Delmarva Peninsula and is not typically
found in suburban settings. The DFS is also associated with forests
that have a relatively open understory (Dueser et al. 1988, entire;
Dueser 2000, entire) or where understory shrubs are clumped, leaving
other open spaces (Morris 2006, p. 37). While these squirrels need
mature forest for both feeding and denning, they can travel and forage
in other areas, including clearcuts, young forests, and agricultural
fields.
As a member of the Order Rodentia, the DFS has a life history with
good potential for population increase. For example, females breed at 1
year of age, litter sizes range from two to four young, some females
have potential for two litters in 1 year, and lifespans can reach 6 to
7 years in the wild. Den sites are frequently found in tree cavities,
but leaf nests may also be used. Home ranges of the DFS vary
considerably but are typically 12 to 16 hectares (ha) (30 to 40 acres
(ac)), and individual home ranges overlap (Flyger and Smith 1980;
entire, Paglione 1996; entire, Pednault-Willett 2002, p. 109).
Densities range from 0.36 to 1.29 DFS per ha (0.15 to 0.5 DFS per ac),
averaging 0.82 DFS per ha (0.33 DFS per ac) (Paglione 1996, p. 28;
Pednault-Willett 2002, pp. 85-104).
Historically, this subspecies had a patchy distribution throughout
most of the Delmarva Peninsula and into southern Pennsylvania, but by
the time of its listing in 1967 (32 FR 4001; March 11, 1967), remnant
populations occurred in only four Maryland counties (Taylor 1976,
entire); this range contraction was most likely caused by land use
changes and hunting. When the subspecies was listed, its distribution
had been reduced to only 10 percent of the Delmarva Peninsula. After
listing, the hunting season for this subspecies was closed, and
recovery efforts focused on expanding the squirrel's distribution
through translocations. In addition, new populations have been
discovered since the time of listing (particularly since more intensive
search efforts were initiated), and there are now many more areas of
forest known to be occupied by the DFS.
The squirrel's current occupied range is defined as the area within
4.8 kilometers (km) (3 miles (mi)) of credible DFS sightings. As of the
2012 status review for the DFS, this covered 28 percent of the Delmarva
Peninsula, including 10 of the 14 peninsular counties (8 counties in
Maryland and 1 each in Delaware and Virginia) and 54,543 ha (134,778
ac) of occupied forest (USFWS 2012, based on 2010 data). Since that
time, new sightings have continued to occur and an updated overview of
its range as of 2013 is provided below in Table 1. An additional
population discovered in Worcester County, Maryland, is the first
population found there that was not a result of a translocation. Figure
1 shows range changes between the time of the 1993 recovery plan and
the present decade.
Table 1--Known Occupied Range of the DFS, 1970 to 2013
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year
Occupied range -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
~ 1970 1990 2005 2010 2013
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Number of counties in the 3...................... 3...................... 6..................... 6..................... 7.
range (without
translocations).
Number of counties in the 4...................... 10..................... 10.................... 10.................... 10.
range (with translocations).
Total acres of occupied forest N/A.................... 103,311................ 128,434............... 134,778............... 137,363.
rangewide.
Percent of historical range 10..................... ....................... 27.................... 28.................... 28.
occupied.
Source........................ Taylor and Flyger 1974. USFWS 1993, recovery USFWS 2007, 5-yr USFWS 2012, 5-yr USFWS 2013 data.
plan. review. review.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Summary of Changes From the Proposed Rule
We have not made any substantive changes in this final rule based
on the comments that we received during the public comment period on
the September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686), but we have added
or corrected text to clarify the information that was presented. This
information and other clarifications have been incorporated into this
final rule as discussed below in Summary of Comments and
Recommendations.
Summary of Comments and Recommendations
In the proposed rule published on September 23, 2014 (79 FR 56686),
we requested that all interested parties submit written comments on the
proposal by November 24, 2014. We also solicited peer review of the
scientific basis for the proposal (see Peer Review Comments, below),
and contacted appropriate Federal and State agencies, scientific
experts and organizations, and other interested parties and invited
them to comment on the proposal. Newspaper notices inviting general
public comment were published in the Baltimore Sun, placed on Service
Web sites, and advertised by other online media outlets (e.g., https://
www.wboc.com/story/26574688/
[[Page 70703]]
maryland-state-officials-set-to-discuss-delmarva-peninsula-fox-
squirrel). We did not receive any requests for a public hearing.
During the public comment period for the proposed rule, we received
a total of 129 comment letters. Of these, 74 provided substantive
comments that we address below, including one letter from the State of
Maryland and comments from two peer reviewers. Both peer reviewers
asked for additional detail on the life history of this subspecies,
which we have provided in the supplemental documents that can be found
at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021. All
substantive information provided during the review period either has
been incorporated directly into this final determination or into the
supplemental documents, or is addressed below.
Comments From States
(1) Comment: The State of Maryland's Department of Natural
Resources (DNR) was supportive of the proposed rule and concurred with
our findings. The DNR added that it would continue to provide
protection to the DFS under the authority of Maryland's Nongame and
Endangered Species Conservation Act, although likely not at the
endangered level. The DNR also stated that the post-delisting
monitoring plan proposed by the Service was adequate to document
expansion or contraction of the range of the DFS and that the agency
would participate in the monitoring effort.
Our Response: We are in agreement with the DNR and appreciate its
commitment to continued conservation.
Public Comments
(2) Comment: Several commenters expressed concern that the DFS
would be hunted after delisting, and that populations would then
decline and might require relisting.
Our Response: As explained in the proposed rule and supplementary
documents (see Post-delisting Monitoring Plan, appendices D through F),
after delisting, the State of Maryland intends to keep the DFS on the
State list of endangered and threatened species as a Species of
Conservation Concern; this status does not allow a hunting season. This
intention is reinforced by the State of Maryland's comment letter
reiterating that the subspecies will remain State-listed as described
above.
The State of Delaware also intends to keep this subspecies on its
State list of endangered and threatened species, and no hunting of the
DFS will be allowed after delisting. The State has written a management
plan for the DFS (DNREC 2014) that calls for adding two additional DFS
populations in the State, likely through translocations.
In the State of Virginia, all DFSs are currently on the
Chincoteague National Wildlife Refuge, where they will not be hunted.
The State has evaluated locations for potential translocations of DFSs
in the future, but any future translocated populations are not expected
to be subject to hunting. Enhancement of DFS populations in Virginia
would be primarily aimed at restoring the native fauna of Virginia.
(3) Comment: Several commenters stated that the occupancy of 28
percent of the historical range was insufficient to warrant delisting.
Our Response: The Act is legislation intended to prevent extinction
of native species and does not describe recovery in terms of the
proportion of a historical range that is occupied by a species. We do
take into account in our listing and delisting determinations the
effects that loss of historical range may have on the current and
future viability of a species. As explained in our significant portion
of the range (SPR) final policy (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014), we have
concluded that this consideration is sufficient to account for the
effects of loss of historical range when evaluating the current status
of a species. The purposes of the Act, stated in section 2, are to
provide a means to conserve the ecosystems upon which endangered
species and threatened species depend and to provide a program for the
conservation of endangered species and threatened species. The Act
itself does not contain the phrase ``historical range,'' nor does it
ever allude to restoration throughout the entire historical range as a
conservation purpose.
Some concerns about the current range of the DFS likely stem from a
frequently quoted reason for listing, ``the species was listed because
it declined to 10 percent of its historical range'' (USFWS 1993, p. 1).
However, the substantial population decline as evidenced by that range
decline is the actual reason for the listing. In 1944, the DFS was
found in seven counties (Dozier and Hall 1944), but by 1967, it was
known to occur in only four counties; thus, the decline would have been
apparent and reasonably concerning to many biologists at the time of
listing.
(4) Comment: Several commenters stated that the total number of
animals in the rangewide population did not appear to be large enough
to warrant delisting and expressed a concern that the population would
decline again after delisting.
Our Response: As described in the proposed rule, the best estimate
of the rangewide number of the DFS at the time of the 2012 status
review was 22,368 (USFWS 2012, p. 20), which we can approximate as
20,000. However, the critical question with regard to the listing
status of the subspecies is not a specified number of individuals;
rather, it is the level of extinction risk, indicating whether the
subspecies meets the definition of endangered or threatened. To address
this question, we conducted a population viability analysis (PVA) for
the DFS (Hilderbrand et al. 2007, entire), which enabled us to evaluate
how the foreseeable threats may affect the probability of extinction of
DFS subpopulations (USFWS 2012, pp. 18-21, 23-44).
The Hilderbrand et al. (2007) PVA model indicates that a population
of 130 animals would have a 95 percent chance of persisting for 100
years. This threshold, also called a minimum viable population (MVP),
provides a useful benchmark of extinction risk. It should not be
mistaken for a recovery goal but is, rather, a population size with an
associated extinction risk based on the life history of the DFS before
assessing additional threats. This PVA includes variations in adult and
juvenile survival, the number of young produced per year, and
variability in environmental effects.
Using this model, we estimate that the known occupied forest within
the range of the DFS contains a total population that is 171 times the
MVP and that, even under the worst-case scenarios for threats,
including inundation of areas up to 0.6 meters (m) (2 feet (ft)) above
sea level due to sea level rise, we would still have a total population
that is 145 times the MVP. Further, our analysis indicates that the
rangewide population would comprise at least 15 subpopulations broadly
distributed across the Delmarva Peninsula. After considering the
conservation imperatives of habitat availability, habitat connectivity,
population resiliency and redundancy, and genetic and/or ecological
representation, we concluded that the risk of extinction is low, even
under a worst-case scenario, and that the current population is
sufficiently abundant and well distributed to withstand foreseeable
threats.
(5) Comment: Several commenters stated that sea level rise was a
great concern, and that threats from climate change and sea level rise
have not been eliminated.
Our Response: We agree that climate change and sea level rise
trends are continuing; nonetheless, the pertinent
[[Page 70704]]
question is whether these factors are likely to threaten the DFS with
extinction or with endangerment in the foreseeable future. We analyzed
the impact of sea level rise and associated habitat loss on the DFS
using a worst-case scenario of 0.6 m (2 ft) of inundation within 40
years. As stated in our response to Comment 4, we evaluated this factor
along with a number of other factors with the potential to affect the
long-term viability of DFS subpopulations (noting that various
conditions can occur on the landscape and threaten some species and not
others depending on the abundance, distribution, and life history of
the species). After considering habitat availability and connectivity,
as well as population resiliency, redundancy, and representation, we
conclude that the risk of extinction is low even under the worst-case
sea level rise scenario (see Summary of Factors Affecting the Species,
Factor A), given projected population levels and distribution, and the
ability of the DFS to colonize unoccupied habitat as described in the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686) and 2012 status review
(USFWS 2012).
(6) Comment: One commenter expressed two concerns regarding DFS
movements in response to sea-level rise: First, during sea level rise,
individual animals would not be able to move inland because DFSs prefer
moving on the ground and would be unable to move across habitat that
became flooded. Second, with the occurrence of sea-level rise and the
associated loss of habitat, populations would not be able to shift
inland over time.
Our Response: DFSs have always been abundant in southern Dorchester
County, where forests are frequently flooded in the spring and are
often exposed to high tidal surges. Further, DFSs have been observed
moving across marshlands to other woodlands (L. Miranda 2010 and C.
Keller pers. comm. 2009) and moving through flooded woodlands on logs
and hummocks as well as through the trees (C. Bocetti pers. comm.
2015). In these same areas, marked animals have been documented to move
4 km (2.5 mi) and return within a season, despite intervening streams
and associated marshlands 100 m (328 ft) wide or greater (C. Bocetti
pers. comm. 2015). Typical home ranges are about 16.2 ha (40 ac) in
size and generally include forested wetlands, indicating that DFSs
already inhabit forests that experience periodic flooding.
Sea level rise is likely to result in more frequent flooding and
storm and tidal surges, with gradual deterioration of habitat at the
shoreline edges. It is therefore likely that individual animals will
need to shift their home range inland and that the overall population
will shift inland as well. The ability of DFSs to shift their home
ranges in response to habitat change has already been demonstrated as
individual animals moved to new areas following clearcuts in portions
of their home ranges (Paglione 1996); we note that clearcutting is a
more rapid and dramatic habitat alteration than would be expected from
flooding or storm surges.
In terms of available habitat for the DFS to move into following
storm events and/or sea level rise, we evaluated the rangewide
availability and connectivity of forest patches in the 2012 status
review (USFWS 2012) by mapping the connectivity of forest patches
relative to dispersal of DFS subpopulations (USFWS 2012, figures 9 and
10). After quantitative analysis of habitat that could be lost due to
sea level rise and development (USFWS 2012, table 7), we concluded that
even if all potentially affected habitat was lost immediately,
remaining DFS populations would still be sufficiently abundant and well
distributed to alleviate the risk of extinction.
With regard to the connectivity needed to allow DFSs to move to
more upland habitats, we recognize that sea-level rise can widen rivers
and increase obstacles to DFS movement, especially from west to east in
southern Dorchester County. However, even with maximum projected
inundation, DFSs could disperse from southern Dorchester without
crossing streams. In addition, southern Dorchester County would still
contain about 2,400 to 3,200 ha (6,000 to 8,000 ac) of suitable
occupied habitat, supporting at least six times the MVP. Given this, we
predict long-term population viability in these areas of Dorchester
County.
(7) Comment: One commenter stated that the DFS should not be
delisted because it has not met all of the recovery criteria contained
in the most recent DFS recovery plan (USFWS 1993). In particular, the
commenter contended that our analysis of recovery criterion 6 does not
adequately support our conclusion that this criterion has been met.
Our Response: We will respond first to the issue of whether
recovery criteria must be met in order to delist a species, and second
to the issue of whether criterion 6 has been met.
Notwithstanding our conclusion that the recovery criteria for the
DFS, as required under section 4(f) of the Act, have been met, this is
not the requisite analysis for determining the appropriate listing
status of the species. Rather, listing determinations must be made in
accordance with sections 4(a)(1) and 4(b) of the Act. Section 4(a)(1)
requires that the Secretary determine whether a species is endangered
or threatened because of one or more of five threat factors, while
section 4(b) requires that the determination be made ``solely on the
basis of the best scientific and commercial data available.'' Thus, any
determination to delist a species must be based on the best information
available at the time of the determination and the results of the five-
factor analysis, notwithstanding any information in the recovery plan.
Although meeting recovery criteria is not essential for determining
a species' listing status, our most recent status review (USFWS 2012)
led us to the conclusion that all recovery criteria for the DFS,
including criterion 6, have been met. Criterion 6 states that
``mechanisms that ensure perpetuation of suitable habitat at a level
sufficient to allow for desired distribution [must be] in place and
implemented within all counties in which the species occurs.'' Our
analysis showed that there are many State and Federal laws and land
protection programs in place that actively protect land at the present
time and will continue to do so into the future. A detailed table and
map of the land protected by these programs in each county is provided
for each county in the 2012 status review (USFWS 2012, table 5 and
figure 7). These protective mechanisms are also presented in our
analysis of Factor D (USFWS 2012, pp. 38-39), with a detailed
description of each program provided in appendix D of the same
document. These data clearly portray the adequacy of these regulatory
mechanisms.
(8) Comment: One commenter stated we had not adequately addressed
the future of the translocated population of the DFS at Chincoteague
National Wildlife Refuge (NWR) due to the projections in sea level
rise.
Our Response: We agree with the commenter that this coastal
population of the DFS, inhabiting Assateague Island, a barrier island,
is vulnerable to reduced habitat and isolation from sea level rise, and
we discussed this situation in the September 23, 2014, proposed rule
(79 FR 56686). We also discuss it below, under Factor A: Loss of forest
habitat from sea level rise, where we note that although the island's
beaches, marshes, and shorelines are vulnerable to sea level rise, most
of the forest habitat occupied by the DFS is above the 0.6 m (2 ft)
inundation worst-case scenario. Even so, Refuge managers
[[Page 70705]]
are aware of the risks of sea level rise and are actively exploring
management responses to this factor. As stated in the proposed rule:
``Sea level rise is expected to cause severe losses to beach and tidal
flat habitat but currently upland habitat would only be reduced by 4 to
8 percent (National Wildlife Federation 2008, p. 69). [Chincoteague's]
Comprehensive Conservation Plan [CCP] commits to continued forest
management to maintain suitable habitat for Delmarva fox squirrels and
continued monitoring of Delmarva fox squirrel populations.'' The draft
CCP is available at: https://www.fws.gov/nwrs/threecolumn.aspx?id=2147550165.
We consider it highly likely that a DFS population will persist on
Chincoteague NWR for the foreseeable future, although there may be a
shift in the habitats that are occupied. Nonetheless, even if the
Chincoteague population were to be lost, this would not cause a
rangewide risk of extinction (USFWS 2012, table 7).
(9) Comment: One commenter stated, ``In its 2007 and 2012 status
reviews, the Service concluded that these recovery criteria were not
based on the best available science and did not represent the most up-
to-date information on the biology of the DFS. And the Service also
concluded in these status reviews that the recovery criteria did not
specifically address all of the five threat-based listing factors.''
Our Response: The commenter may be referring to sections 2.2.2.1
and 2.2.2.2 of the referenced status reviews (USFWS 2007, p. 3; USFWS
2012, p. 5):
``2.2.2.1 Do the recovery criteria reflect the best available and
most up-to-date information on the biology of the species and its
habitat? No. More recent information on the squirrel's distribution,
subpopulation delineation, and population persistence is not reflected
in the 1993 recovery criteria. Nonetheless, these criteria continue to
act as generally appropriate measures of recovery.
2.2.2.2 Are all of the relevant listing factors addressed in the
recovery criteria? No. None of the recovery criteria specifically
addresses any of the five listing factors, although habitat-related
threats are alluded to. The criteria evaluate the biological status of
the species.''
These statements are intended to convey that although new
information had become available since 1993, the recovery criteria were
still considered adequate for assessing DFS recovery progress. With
regard to criteria addressing the five listing factors, the lack of
specific threats-based criteria is typical of recovery plans at that
time and does not preclude a separate five-factor analysis (see Comment
7, above). Significantly, since the two status reviews analyze both the
recovery criteria and the five listing factors, each review constitutes
a complete assessment of the status of the species (USFWS 2007; USFWS
2012). Overall, the two status reviews and the September 23, 2014,
proposed rule (79 FR 56686) are based on the best available information
on the biology of the DFS and the threats to its long-term viability.
(10) Comment: One commenter noted that the population data in the
2012 status review were the same as those in the 2007 review and
suggested that this showed there was no increase in the population or
range between those two time periods. The commenter further suggested
that there was a decrease in DFS-occupied forest between 2007 and 2012.
The commenter stated that despite the information for the two status
reviews being essentially the same, different conclusions were reached.
Our Response: It is not clear how the commenter's interpretation of
the data in the two reviews was made. Both the September 23, 2014,
proposed rule (79 FR 56686 Table 1) and the 2012 status review (Chart
2) clearly show an increase in the area of occupied forest from 51,975
ha (128,434 ac) in 2005, to 54,543 ha (134,778 ac) by 2010; a map
illustrating the changes in the range between the two reviews is also
provided (USFWS 2012, figure 3). Since 2010, we have continued to
document new areas of occupied forest and provide an updated number of
55,589 ha (137,363 ac) as of 2013 (79 FR 56686, September 23, 2014,
Table 1).
The rangewide population estimates in the 2007 and 2012 reviews
differ only slightly (19,265 versus 22,368 animals, respectively), but
as described in the 2012 review, the two estimates were based on
different survey methods. Light detection and ranging (LiDAR) data,
which allow us to distinguish between mature forests and other forested
areas, were not available for the 2007 status review. We were able to
use a more refined and conservative approach in the 2012 review and
estimated the rangewide population using only occupied mature forest.
Both estimates are intended to provide a general measure of the
rangewide population size (USFWS 2007, p. 8; USFWS 2012 p. 20).
It should also be noted that in the 2007 review, we concluded that
DFS recovery was imminent. We indicated that a final listing
recommendation was pending while we obtained and analyzed LiDAR data,
and that, if new information continued to support our finding that DFS
habitat availability and connectivity were likely to persist over the
foreseeable future, we would recommend initiation of delisting when the
LiDAR analysis was completed (USFWS 2007, p. 27).
(11) Comment: One commenter was concerned because 9 of 22
subpopulations (40 percent) appear to be vulnerable to extirpation.
Our Response: This concern does not take into account the relative
size of these subpopulations. As described in the 2012 status review
(USFWS 2012, p. 42, figure 5 and table 7), there is a higher
vulnerability to extirpation for 9 smaller subpopulations, but the vast
majority (95 percent) of DFSs occurs in 11 large, secure
subpopulations. This provides a solid indication of continued
persistence and growth of the rangewide population. Most of the smaller
populations originated as translocations, which have become well
established and have contributed to the expanded distribution of the
subspecies. Further, as shown by the 2007 population viability analysis
(Hilderbrand et. al 2007), if one or more small populations blink out,
the rangewide population is still not vulnerable to extinction; even
accounting for all projected losses from sea level rise and
development, the rangewide population will still be 145 times the MVP,
indicating long-term viability.
Peer Review Comments
In accordance with our peer review policy published on July 1, 1994
(59 FR 34270), we solicited expert opinion from five independent
scientists with expertise that included familiarity with the DFS and
its habitat, biological needs, and threats. We received responses from
two of the peer reviewers.
We reviewed comments received from the peer reviewers for
substantive issues and new information regarding the status of the DFS.
The peer reviewers generally concurred with our methods and conclusions
and considered the scientific information to be correct and the
analyses to be sound. However, both reviewers identified parts of the
document that could be strengthened. Peer reviewer comments are
addressed below and incorporated as appropriate into the final rule or
supplemental documents, available at https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021.
(12) Peer Review Comment: Both reviewers asked for more detail to
be provided on life history of the subspecies.
[[Page 70706]]
Our Response: We have added more life-history information in a
supplemental document for the final rule, particularly life history
related to reproduction, litter size, and survival. The supplemental
document is available at https://www.regulations.gov under Docket No.
FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021.
(13) Peer Review Comment: One reviewer asked for clarification on
the length of time that agreements preventing development on private
lands would continue.
Our Response: The private lands we consider protected from
development have easements that extend in perpetuity, and this has been
added to the text of this rule.
(14) Peer Review Comment: Both reviewers thought that the rate of
future development might be underestimated and suggested possibly using
zoning or projected road development as additional sources of
information.
Our Response: We consider the analysis of future development
conducted by the Maryland Department of Planning to be the best
available source of information on development trends insofar as this
office has both the responsibility for tracking such information and
the requisite expertise to make trend projections. The September 23,
2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686) and 2012 status review (USFWS 2012)
used data from Maryland's 2008 planning report (Maryland Department of
Planning 2008a), as this was the most current information at the time;
the same trends and areas of expected development are also mapped in a
more recent planning document (Maryland Department of Planning 2011a).
The data continue to show that the eastern shore of Maryland is far
more rural, with less development and more protected lands, than
elsewhere in Maryland. Thus, the most recent information continues to
support the past and future trends used in our previous analysis.
Consideration of zoning was not included in our analysis
specifically because zoning restrictions can be changed, making
projections based on this source of information less certain. Further,
we took a cautious approach in considering future development by
projecting complete loss of any DFS-occupied habitat within a ``Smart
Growth'' area that was not otherwise protected. (``Smart Growth'' is a
theory of land development that concentrates new development and
redevelopment in areas that have existing or planned infrastructure to
avoid sprawl.) Currently, DFSs inhabit blocks of forest within the
Smart Growth areas of both Cambridge and Easton in Maryland. Although
limited monitoring shows that DFSs have been persisting in these
woodlands over many years and may be able to continue doing so in the
future, our analysis assumes loss based on lack of ensured habitat
protection.
(15) Peer Review Comment: One peer review comment referred to the
possibility of residential development causing problems because of the
presence of free-ranging dogs that may pursue the DFS.
Our Response: We agree that this can be a problem in some
situations, and although all counties within the current range of the
DFS have regulations that require dogs to be on a leash, at heel, or
directly beside the owner, enforcing these regulations can be
difficult. Further, as noted in the status review (USFWS 2012, p. 27),
the presence of dogs may be one reason DFSs do not inhabit residential
developments. Despite these concerns, we do not consider free-roaming
dogs to be a threat that would result in population-level effects,
either individually or in combination with other possible risks, to
this subspecies, as effects are highly localized and regulations do
exist to enable management of this issue.
(16) Peer Review Comment: Both peer reviewers raised a concern
regarding the commitment to monitoring of the DFS after delisting and
questioned whether there would be long-term funds, time, and available
personnel to carry out the monitoring work described in the post-
delisting monitoring plan.
Our Response: We agree that sustaining monitoring efforts can be
challenging and subject to competing priorities. Nonetheless, we have
designed the post-delisting monitoring strategy to fit into current
work plans and are seeking additional ways in which this effort can be
incorporated into other monitoring work conducted by the States. For
example, the hunt clubs leasing the Maryland State Chesapeake Forest
lands are now asked to report sightings or camera shots which have
already provided DFS records, and we are working with the States on
other opportunities to invite hunters to report DFS sightings. We also
anticipate that DFS-occupied sites managed by conservation groups will
be monitored as part of their management efforts; sightings of DFSs are
often reported by those who live or work on these properties. Overall,
recording these sightings will enhance our ability to conduct
widespread monitoring of the DFS.
Recovery
Section 4(f) of the Act directs us to develop and implement
recovery plans for the conservation and survival of endangered and
threatened species unless we determine that such a plan will not
promote the conservation of the species. Recovery plans are not
regulatory documents and are instead intended to establish goals for
long-term conservation of a listed species; define criteria that are
designed to indicate when the threats facing a species have been
removed or reduced to such an extent that the species may no longer
need the protections of the Act; and provide guidance to our Federal,
State, and other governmental and nongovernmental partners on methods
to minimize threats to listed species. There are many paths to
accomplishing recovery of a species, and recovery may be achieved
without all criteria being fully met. For example, one or more criteria
may have been exceeded while other criteria may not have been
accomplished, yet the Service may judge that, overall, the threats have
been minimized sufficiently, and that the species is robust enough to
reclassify or delist the species. In other cases, recovery
opportunities may have been recognized that were not known at the time
the recovery plan was finalized. These opportunities may be used
instead of methods identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, information on the species that was not known at the time
of the recovery plan may become available. The new information may
change the extent that criteria need to be met for recognizing recovery
of the species. Recovery of species is a dynamic process requiring
adaptive management that may, or may not, fully follow the guidance
provided in a recovery plan.
Despite the guidance provided by recovery plans, determinations to
remove species from the List must be made in accordance with sections
4(a)(1) and 4(b) of the Act. Section 4(a)(1) requires that the
Secretary determine if a species is endangered or threatened because of
one or more of five threat factors. Section 4(b) of the Act requires
that the determination be made ``solely on the basis of the best
scientific and commercial data available.''
Although recovery criteria, as mentioned above, help guide recovery
efforts and should always be consulted when considering a change in the
status of a listed species, the ultimate determination of whether to
reclassify or delist a species must be made in accordance with
statutory standards, and recovery criteria can neither substitute for
nor pre-empt section 4(a)(1) requirements. Ultimately, a decision to
remove a species from the
[[Page 70707]]
List is made when the best available data show that the species is no
longer an endangered species or a threatened species, regardless of how
closely this information conforms to the information and criteria in
the recovery plan.
The most recent DFS recovery plan was approved by the Service on
June 8, 1993 (USFWS 1993, entire), and updated on October 31, 2003
(USFWS 2003, entire). The plan states that ``the long-range objective
of the DFS recovery program is to restore this endangered species to a
secure status within its former range.'' The plan provides three
criteria for reclassifying the DFS from endangered to threatened
status. It then provides four additional criteria to be considered in
conjunction with the first three for delisting the DFS.
Recovery Criteria
A discussion of the extent to which each recovery criterion has
been met is provided in the proposed rule (79 FR 56686; September 23,
2014). This discussion is summarized below.
Criterion 1: Ecological requirements and distribution within the
remaining natural range are understood sufficiently to permit effective
management. A considerable body of new information has been amassed
regarding the DFS' distribution and ecological requirements, and we
thus conclude that this recovery criterion has been met. The six key
contributions to our understanding of the DFS are summarized below.
(1) DFS range and distribution: The geographic information system
(GIS) maintained for the DFS documents a significant increase in the
area occupied by the DFS since the 1993 recovery plan was issued (see
Figure 1, above). Records of DFS sightings by knowledgeable observers
and, in particular, the use of trap and camera surveys have greatly
improved our ability to determine which forest tracts are occupied by
the DFS and monitor continued presence.
(2) Population persistence: Persistence of DFS populations over the
recovery period has been evaluated through comparison of occupancy over
time, including a survey conducted in 1971 and repeated in 2001, and a
second analysis comparing occupancy from 1990 through 2010 (Table 2).
These studies are summarized in the proposed rule (79 FR 56686;
September 23, 2014) and status review (USFWS 2012, pp. 15-17).
Table 2--DFS Occupancy of 275 Forested Tracts (41,733 ha or 103,125 ac) in Maryland, 1990 Compared to 2010
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Percent of the
original 41,733
Occupancy change from 1990 to 2010 Area of forest Number of forest ha (103,125 ac)
tracts in each occupancy
status
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Persistence................................ 38,130 ha (94,221 ac)........ 181 91
Extirpations............................... 499 ha (1,233 ac)............ 7 1
Uncertain.................................. 3,104 ha (7,671 ac).......... 87 8
Discoveries or colonizations............... 13,042 ha (32,227 ac)........ 250 .................
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As indicated in Table 2, DFSs continued to persist in the vast
majority of woodlots where they were known to occur in 1990, and their
presence was newly documented in an additional 13,042 ha (32,227 ac) in
all three States through 2010 (USFWS 2012, p. 8). Although some of
these discoveries are likely to be occurrences that were previously
present but undetected, anecdotal information indicates that several
new localities represent true range expansion (see, for example, USFWS
2012, figure 4). Using the 2010 figures for occupied forest in all
three States, as well as maps of mature forest and density estimates of
the DFS available from various studies, we estimate that the total
population of the DFS is now about 20,000 animals across an expanded
range (USFWS 2012, p. 21).
(3) Population viability: A DFS population viability analysis (PVA)
developed by Hilderbrand et al. (2007, entire) modeled the extinction
probabilities of different-sized populations and determined that a
population with 65 females, or 130 animals total, had a 95 percent
chance of persisting for 100 years. This value, also called a minimum
viable population (MVP), was used to gauge extinction risk by
projecting how many populations of this size are likely to remain
present in a given portion of the current DFS range (USFWS 2012, pp.
18-20; also see Public Comments, above).
The PVA also estimated that 75 percent of a given DFS population
would have the ability to disperse to areas within 4 km (2.5 mi)
(Hilderbrand et al. 2007, p. 73), and thus animals in forested tracts
within this distance would be likely to interbreed; these interbreeding
groups are defined as subpopulations. The analysis indicated that
approximately 85 percent of DFSs are found in four large, narrowly
separated subpopulations that could expand to become even more
connected. Each of these subpopulations contains populations estimated
to be several times the MVP minimum and have a high likelihood of
population persistence. Overall, the rangewide population, estimated at
between 17,000 and 20,000 animals, contains more than 100 times the
MVP.
(4) Effects of timber harvest: Two major studies of the effects of
timber harvest on the DFS (Paglione 1996, entire; Bocetti and Pattee
2003, entire) suggest that the subspecies is fairly tolerant of timber
harvest, although specific impacts depend on the size, location, and
landscape context of the harvest. Small clearcuts within a surrounding
forest showed relatively little impact on the DFS, with individual
squirrels shifting their home ranges into adjacent habitat, whereas
harvest of more isolated forest peninsulas forced DFSs to move greater
distances (Paglione 1996). Findings from the long-term Bocetti and
Pattee (2003) study lead to the general conclusion that the DFS can
tolerate timber harvests and can continue to occupy forested mosaics of
mature and regenerating stands. In addition, both studies suggest that
the DFS has high site fidelity and tends to shift home ranges rather
than abandon a site in response to disturbance.
(5) Habitat availability: An analysis of LiDAR data provided by the
State of Maryland enabled an inventory of mature forest suitable for
the DFS throughout most of the squirrel's range (USFWS 2012, Appendix
E). As of 2004, LiDAR mapping had identified 175,656
[[Page 70708]]
ha (434,056 ac) of mature forest in the eight Maryland counties
occupied by DFSs (55 percent of all forest was considered mature), with
17 percent currently occupied and thus over 80 percent of mature forest
available for expansion (USFWS 2012, table 4).
Although the amount and location of mature forest will change over
time with timber harvest and forest growth, these data provide good
baseline information about the availability and distribution of
suitable habitat. Mature forest is often found in riparian zones (USFWS
2012, figure 8) that can provide connected habitat for DFS dispersal
and colonization of new areas. LiDAR mapping also showed large tracts
of mature forest distributed in upland areas throughout the Maryland
portion of the subspecies' range. Given that most DFS populations occur
in Maryland and, further, that unoccupied but suitable habitat is found
both along the coast and inland elsewhere on the Delmarva Peninsula, we
can infer from this habitat inventory that there is ample unoccupied
mature forest to enable further expansion of the DFS' rangewide
population.
(6) Habitat connectivity: Lookingbill et al. (2010, entire)
conducted a GIS analysis of the connectivity between 400-ha (175-ac)
forest patches on the Delmarva Peninsula (although the DFS is not a
forest interior obligate and does not require forest blocks this
large). Study results show high connectivity of forest blocks in the
southern Maryland portion of the squirrel's range, indicating few
obstacles to DFS dispersal throughout this area. Two major forest
corridors were identified for DFS dispersal out of Dorchester County,
Maryland, one of which is already occupied by the DFS (a third
dispersal corridor not identified by the model is also DFS-occupied).
Observations of DFS movement through a wide range of habitats, in
conjunction with the results of this connectivity model and the map of
LiDAR-defined mature forests, indicate that there is sufficient habitat
availability and connectivity for further DFS range expansion.
Criterion 2: Benchmark populations are shown to be stable or
expanding based on at least 5 years of data. Criterion 2 was intended
to measure overall DFS population trends using monitoring data from
seven benchmark populations. Although a slightly different set of eight
benchmark sites was ultimately monitored, analysis of the resulting
data (Dueser 1999, entire) showed that the benchmark sites were stable
over a 5- to 7-year period, and benchmark monitoring was concluded.
We also have collected data to better understand rangewide
population trends. The distribution data that document an expanded
range and population persistence within that range as described under
criterion 1, above, are much better indicators of DFS recovery.
Although DFS populations in isolated areas (such as on small islands)
are vulnerable to extirpation, all available population data for the
DFS indicate that the range has expanded and populations are persisting
within the range, and that this recovery criterion has been met.
Criterion 3: Ten translocated colonies are successfully established
throughout the historical range. This criterion requires that at least
10 new DFS colonies must show evidence of presence for at least 5 to 8
years after release, demonstrating the ability of the DFS to colonize
new sites, whether naturally or through management.
Post-release trapping results (Therres and Willey 2002, entire),
along with more recent trapping and camera surveys, indicate continued
presence of 11 of 16 translocated colonies (69 percent) for more than
20 years (USFWS 2012, table 1, p. 83). Further, in several of these
areas, DFSs have dispersed well beyond the initial release site.
This success rate is higher than is typically found for similar
translocation efforts for other endangered species (see Fischer and
Lindenmayer 2000, p. 5), although the success rate is generally higher
for mammals and wild source populations (Wolf et al. 1996, p. 1146).
Further, despite some initial concerns about the genetic diversity of
the translocated populations, subsequent analysis indicated that their
genetic diversity was comparable to that of their source populations
(Lance et al. 2003, entire). These data indicate that this criterion
has been met.
Criterion 4: Five additional (post-1990) colonies are established
outside of the remaining natural range. Criterion 4 requires discovery
or establishment of colonies outside the range known at the time of the
1993 recovery plan, thus addressing the threat of range contraction and
providing for additional population redundancy as one component of
long-term species viability.
By 2007, eight new populations had been identified that did not
result from translocations (USFWS 2007, figure 2), expanding the range
toward the east. Notably, a colony discovered in Sussex County,
Delaware, represents the first population found in that State since the
time of listing that was not a result of a translocation. Since 2007,
additional occupied forest has been discovered between some of these
new populations, thus improving their long-term likelihood of survival
(USFWS 2012, figure 3). We therefore conclude that this recovery
criterion has been met.
Criterion 5: Periodic monitoring shows that translocated
populations have persisted over the recovery period. Criterion 5
requires the continued presence of at least 80 percent of translocated
populations, with at least 75 percent of these populations shown to be
stable or improving. All successfully established translocated
populations have persisted over the full period of recovery and have
either become more abundant on their release sites or have expanded or
shifted into new areas, as shown by trapping efforts (Therres and
Willey 2002, entire), and, more recently, both trapping and/or camera
surveys (USFWS 2012, table 1). Overall, the continued presence and
growth of DFS populations at translocation sites show that this
recovery criterion has been met.
Criterion 6: Mechanisms that ensure perpetuation of suitable
habitat at a level sufficient to allow for desired distribution are in
place and implemented within all counties in which the species occurs.
Several well-established programs protect DFS habitat from development
in perpetuity (Rural Legacy, Maryland Environmental Trust, Maryland
Agricultural Programs, etc.). These programs, along with State and
Federal ownership, protect an estimated 15,994 ha (39,524 ac; 29
percent) of DFS-occupied forest throughout the subspecies' current
range (USFWS 2012, table 3). In addition, several State laws and
regulatory programs will continue to protect forest habitat (USFWS
2012, appendix D). In Delaware and Virginia, the DFS occurs primarily
on Federal and State land; the sole Virginia population was established
on Chincoteague NWR and is completely protected from residential
development or commercial timber harvest. Overall, we conclude that
this recovery criterion has been met.
Criterion 7: Mechanisms are in place and implemented to ensure
protection of new populations, to allow for expansion, and to provide
inter-population corridors to permit gene flow among populations. As
discussed under recovery criterion 1, LiDAR data indicate that mature
forest blocks connected by riparian corridors are scattered throughout
the Delmarva Peninsula. Further, Lookingbill et al. (2010, entire)
indicate that these connected blocks constitute a good network of
forest to allow for dispersing DFSs. Given ample opportunities for
[[Page 70709]]
dispersal, and the fact that many of these corridors are protected by
State regulatory mechanisms (as discussed under The Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms, below), we conclude this recovery
criterion has been met.
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Overview
Section 4 of the Act and its implementing regulations (50 CFR part
424) set forth the procedures for listing species, reclassifying
species, or removing species from listed status. ``Species'' is defined
in section 3 of the Act as any species or subspecies of fish or
wildlife or plants, and any distinct vertebrate population segment of
fish or wildlife that interbreeds when mature (16 U.S.C. 1532(16)). A
species may be determined to be an endangered or threatened species
based on one or more factors described in section 4(a)(1) of the Act:
(A) The present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment
of its habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) the inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued existence.
We must consider these same factors in delisting a species, and we
must show that the best available scientific and commercial data
indicate that the species is neither endangered nor threatened because:
(1) It is extinct; (2) it has recovered and is no longer endangered or
threatened (as is the case with the DFS); and/or (3) the original
scientific data used at the time of listing classification were in
error (50 CFR 424.11(d)). Determining whether a species is recovered
requires evaluation of both the threats currently facing the species
and the threats that are reasonably likely to affect the species in the
foreseeable future following delisting and removal or reduction of the
Act's protections.
A species is endangered for purposes of the Act if it is in danger
of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its range
(SPR) and is threatened if it is likely to become endangered within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range. The word ``range'' in these definitions refers to the range in
which the species currently exists. Although the term ``foreseeable
future'' is left undefined, for the purposes of this rule, we regard
foreseeable future as the extent to which, given available data, we can
reasonably anticipate events or effects, or extrapolate threat trends,
such that reliable predictions can be made concerning the future status
of the DFS. In conducting this analysis, our general approach was to
review past threat trends and the DFS' response, followed by a
prediction of future trends. With some exceptions, we used a time frame
of approximately 40 years for both past and future trend analyses; this
time period also allowed use of available data to make more reliable
projections despite the inherent uncertainties attached to predicting
the future.
In the following five-factor analysis, we evaluate the status of
the DFS throughout its entire range. We then address the question of
whether the DFS is endangered or threatened in any significant portion
of its range. Note that information discussed in detail in the
September 23, 2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686) and/or the 2012 status
review (USFWS 2012, pp. 26-44) is summarized for each factor below.
Factor A. The Present or Threatened Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
Here we considered habitat changes caused by residential
development, sea level rise, and commercial timber harvest, as well as
the habitat-related effects on DFS population and rangewide viability,
with the exception of development or timber harvest effects on the
population on Chincoteague NWR, as it is completely protected from
these activities; we did, however, address the impact of sea level rise
on this population.
Habitat Loss Due to Development
The Delmarva Peninsula is basically a rural landscape, but the
human population has increased since the DFS was listed, as shown by
Maryland Department of Planning data discussed in the September 23,
2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686) (see Maryland Department of Planning
2008a, 2008b, and 2011b). Despite the past--and continuing--growth, the
majority of the Delmarva Peninsula's land base remains rural, with
approximately 47 percent agricultural land, 36 percent forest, 9
percent wetlands, and only 7 percent developed land (USFWS 2012, table
2).
Further, since listing, a variety of State laws and programs have
been put in place to counteract the rate of development across the
State (USFWS 2012, appendix D), including the Maryland Forest
Conservation Act and Maryland Critical Area Law. In addition, the
Maryland Environmental Trust, Maryland Agricultural Land Protection
Fund, and Maryland Rural Legacy Program used easements to permanently
protect about 3,642 ha per year (9,000 ac per year) of private lands
between 2000 and 2008, enhancing protection of DFS habitat (USFWS 2012,
chart 4).
Overall, approximately 30 percent of DFS-occupied forest lands,
widely distributed across the subspecies' range, is protected from
development (USFWS 2012, table 5). Additional acres of protected forest
outside the current range of the DFS provide areas for further
expansion (USFWS 2012, figure 7). Overall, the 15,995 ha (39,524 ac) of
occupied forest protected from development could support a DFS
population 45 times the MVP (based on Hilderbrand et al. 2007, entire).
However, because 70 percent of DFS-occupied forest occurs on private
land that remains legally unprotected from development, future losses
from development are likely.
We assessed the potential threat of DFS habitat loss stemming from
future development by overlaying the acres of existing occupied forest
with areas projected to be lost to development, including: (1) Smart
Growth areas (excluding the acres that are protected by easement), (2)
areas where development projects are already planned, and (3) areas
that are projected to be lost by 2030 if Smart Growth policies are not
implemented (USFWS 2012, figure 11). Overall, 3 percent (2,283 ha or
5,643 ac) of the forest area currently occupied by the DFS is
anticipated to be lost to development by 2030. This relatively low rate
of projected loss can be attributed to the likelihood that most future
development on the Delmarva Peninsula will occur outside the current
range of the DFS. Future development within the current range is
expected to primarily affect two small, isolated DFS subpopulations
where extirpation is already probable. Together these subpopulations
constitute less than 0.5 percent of the total viable population; thus,
their loss would have a negligible effect on the rangewide extinction
risk for the DFS. Although information on development projections past
2030 is not available at this time, we consider it likely that
development on the Delmarva Peninsula will continue to be concentrated
near large towns outside the range of the DFS, with some scattered
development within the subspecies' range.
Conversely, we also anticipate continued expansion of DFS
populations, including expansion onto Chesapeake Forest lands (which
are now owned and managed by the State of Maryland), noting that some
occupancy on these lands has already
[[Page 70710]]
occurred. The anticipated discovery of additional occupied forest areas
may further offset projected loss of occupied forest due to
development, resulting in little change to the overall area of the
distribution. Discovery of additional occupied forest has occurred at
the rate of 763 ha per year (1,887 ac per year) over the past 10 years.
Even if we discover new occupied forest at half that rate, the
anticipated net loss of occupied habitat from development would be
offset by known occupied habitat in 6 years. With the continued
protection of forest lands provided by State laws and programs, we do
not expect habitat loss from development to substantially elevate the
risk of the DFS' extinction.
Loss of Forest Habitat From Sea Level Rise
The Delmarva Peninsula is a low-lying landform, and sea level rise
in the Chesapeake Bay can flood and kill shoreline forests that provide
habitat for the DFS. However, the DFS does not occur exclusively in
coastal habitats, which moderates its vulnerability to this threat, and
GIS analysis indicates that over 80 percent of the current range would
remain even after a projected inundation of coastal areas by 0.61 m (2
ft); see the discussion below.
Regarding sea level rise in the past, the forces of land subsidence
and sea level rise have resulted in a long history of island loss and
formation in the Chesapeake Bay. In the last century, these forces
combined to produce a relative sea level rise in the Chesapeake Bay
region of approximately 0.3 m (1 ft) per 100 years (National Wildlife
Federation 2008, p. 2).
Loss of some forest areas in southern Dorchester County, Maryland,
is already apparent at the lowest elevations where trees have been
killed by saltwater intrusion from recent hurricanes. Although we
cannot precisely estimate how much occupied habitat has been lost in
the past 40 years, LiDAR analysis of forest height and canopy cover has
identified at least 68 ha (170 ac) at the edge of coastal marshes that
are now standing dead trees.
Hurricanes contribute to forest loss as sea levels rise, with
saltwater moving farther into forested areas during associated storm
surges. However, hurricanes and intense storms have always been part of
the weather in this region, and there is no evidence that they pose a
problem per se for the DFS. For instance, in October 2012, cameras
placed in woods to monitor DFSs near the Atlantic coast recorded DFSs
onsite after superstorm Sandy passed through, indicating survival
through the storm. Although direct loss of trees used by the DFS may
have occurred in the past, the major effect of hurricanes has been the
additional push of saltwater into more upland areas, killing coastal
forest trees.
In terms of future effects of sea level rise and climate change,
sea level rise in the Chesapeake Bay is certain to continue, and the
rate of change is likely to be even higher than in the past (National
Wildlife Federation 2008, pp. 16-17; Sallenger et al. 2012, entire;
Boesch et al. 2013, entire). To determine the extent of DFS-occupied
forest that may be lost through the combined effects of sea level rise
and subsidence (i.e., relative sea level rise), we used a 0.61-m (2-ft)
inundation scenario. A rise in sea level of this magnitude is predicted
to occur by about 2050 under a worst-case scenario (Boesch et al. 2013,
p. 15).
Our GIS analysis, in which we overlaid this inundation scenario
with DFS-occupied forest, indicated that the most severe effects of sea
level rise on the DFS by 2050 will be seen in the southwestern portion
of Dorchester County, Maryland (USFWS 2012, figure 12). Here, 9,332 ha
(23,060 ac) of currently occupied forest would either be lost or remain
only on isolated islands (USFWS 2012, figure 12). In addition, 4,409 ha
(10,897 ac) of habitat along the remaining southern edge of the county
would eventually deteriorate, causing DFSs to move inland. The ability
of DFSs to move into connected habitat likely reduces the effects on
this subspecies due to forest losses at the coastal marsh fringe; we
nonetheless recognize this as habitat loss. Other projected forest
losses include scattered patches throughout the range, including some
losses in the range of the Chincoteague population (USFWS 2012, figure
12).
Even if the predicted habitat losses from sea level rise in
southwestern Dorchester County were to occur immediately, the area's
remaining 23,632 ha (58,398 ac) of occupied habitat would continue to
support a highly abundant DFS population with a negligible risk of
extinction. Moreover, the habitat in the northeastern portion of this
area is connected to existing occupied forest farther inland (USFWS
2012, figure 9) into which DFSs could move. In particular, a large
tract of State-owned forest that will soon become sufficiently mature
to allow for DFS expansion connects the Dorchester DFS subpopulation to
forest tracts in Caroline and Sussex Counties (USFWS 2012, figure 10).
Although sea level rise may cause streams and rivers to widen and pose
more of a barrier in the future, forested corridors will still be
available to provide DFSs with access to habitat in the inland portions
of Dorchester County.
Given our current understanding of DFS habitat use, dispersal, and
population dynamics, the expected DFS response to deterioration of
coastal woodlands from sea level rise is the gradual movement of some
DFSs to more inland areas. The DFS is known to travel across areas of
marsh and can move at least 40 to 50 m (131 to 164 ft) between forested
islands and may also move across frozen marsh in the winter. We
acknowledge that despite the squirrel's ability to move, isolation and
loss of some individuals is likely to occur. Nonetheless, we conclude
that habitat loss due to sea level rise will not be a limiting factor
to the future viability of this subspecies.
The 0.61-m (2-ft) inundation scenario does not play out the same in
parts of the range outside southwestern Dorchester County. In the
series of small peninsulas in northwestern Dorchester County called the
``neck region,'' this scenario results in shrinkage of available
habitat but does not create islands, and leaves habitat for the DFS to
move into (USFWS 2012, figure 12). This is also the case in other
portions of the squirrel's range near the Chesapeake Bay and the
Atlantic Coast. Some additional small areas of occupied habitat may be
lost, but the gradual loss can be accommodated by shifts in DFS home
ranges to adjacent but currently unoccupied habitat.
The most coastal population of the DFS is a translocated population
introduced in 1968 to Chincoteague NWR, a barrier island in Virginia
that could be severely affected by sea level rise (National Wildlife
Federation 2008, p. 69). The refuge's draft Comprehensive Conservation
Plan (available at https://www.fws.gov/nwrs/threecolumn.aspx?id=2147550165) addresses this issue, and the refuge
may consider future land acquisitions on the Delmarva Peninsula
mainland. Chincoteague NWR will continue to manage for the DFS into the
future whether or not the subspecies remains listed. In addition,
translocations of DFSs to areas outside refuge boundaries at some point
in the future are possible.
It is not clear how climate change effects may alter the nature of
the forests of the Delmarva Peninsula. However, as the DFS occurs in
pine, hardwood, and mixed hardwood forests, with a preference for mixed
forests with diverse tree species, any effects on the species
composition of these forests are unlikely to become a significant
threat for the squirrel.
Overall, DFS distribution has increased in the past 40 years even
with
[[Page 70711]]
some sea level rise occurring. In the next 40 years under a worst-case
scenario, we predict some deterioration of forests in certain areas
along the Chesapeake Bay and the Atlantic Coast (USFWS 2012, figure
12), but we also anticipate population expansion and shifts in DFS home
ranges into suitable but currently unoccupied habitat available in the
interior of the Delmarva Peninsula. Although some concern has been
expressed about the likelihood of such expansion (e.g., by the Center
for Biological Diversity 2013), the analysis of habitat suitability,
connectivity, and the range expansion documented in the last 15 years
provides a rational basis for this expectation. Thus, available data
indicate that loss of habitat due to climate change and sea level rise
does not pose an extinction risk to the DFS.
Combined Effects of Development and Sea Level Rise
Having determined that neither development nor sea level alone
threatens the DFS with rangewide extinction, we conducted a spatial
analysis to examine how these most pervasive stressors might interact
(USFWS 2012, figure 5 and table 7).
As of 2010, 54,429 ha (134,496 ac) of habitat supported 22 DFS
subpopulations, (USFWS 2012, table 7), and 95 percent of the occupied
forest contains the 11 largest subpopulations, which are highly likely
to remain demographically viable. Even with projected losses from both
development and sea level rise, and not accounting for potential
discovery of additional occupied habitat, over 95 percent of the DFS-
occupied forest would continue to support these most viable
subpopulations. Thus, the combined effects of these threats do not pose
an extinction risk to the DFS.
Loss of Mature Forest From Timber Harvest
Unlike development and sea level rise, timber harvest does not
result in permanent loss of habitat. Further, as noted under Recovery
Criteria, above, DFSs are resilient to timber harvests when there is
adjacent habitat into which they can move. Thus, the major habitat
concerns related to timber harvests are (1) the prevalence of short-
rotation timber harvests, where trees are harvested before they mature
enough to become DFS habitat; and (2) harvest rates that exceed growth
rates and result in a continual decline of mature forest.
Short-rotation pine forestry involves harvesting stands at
approximately 25 years of age for pulp and other fiber products,
precluding their suitability as DFS habitat. In the past, two large
corporations managed for short-rotation pine on the Delmarva Peninsula;
however, these industries have effectively left the Peninsula. In 1999,
the State of Maryland acquired 23,471 ha (58,000 ac) of these lands,
collectively administered as the Chesapeake Forest Lands and comprising
scattered parcels throughout the southern four Maryland counties (USFWS
2012, figure 13). Another 4,202 ha (10,384 ac) of forest land
previously owned and managed for short-rotation pine are now owned by
the State of Delaware. All these lands will now be protected from
development and managed for sustainable sawtimber harvest and wildlife
habitat objectives. Moreover, DFS management has been integrated into
the Sustainable Forest Management Plan for Chesapeake Forest Lands
prepared by Maryland's Department of Natural Resources (Maryland DNR
2013, pp. 92-96), which identifies a total of 17,618 ha (43,535 ac) as
DFS Core Areas and DFS Future Core Areas. Overall, these land
acquisitions represent a future of protected forest areas managed for
sawtimber where the DFS can survive and grow in numbers, substantially
removing the threat posed by short-rotation pine management on the
lower Delmarva Peninsula.
Harvest rate estimates for both the 2007 and 2012 status review
(USFWS 2007, pp. 17-20; USFWS 2012, table 6) indicated that harvests in
more recent years have been substantially less than in previous years
(generally prior to 2005) (USFWS 2012, table 6). For instance, in the
four southern Maryland counties, the average annual harvest dropped
from approximately 1,050 ha (2,594 ac) prior to 2005, to approximately
303 ha (749 ac) since then. The average size of harvested stands in
these counties has also decreased, from an average of 22 ha (54 ac) to
an average of 15 ha (36 ac). This is also the case in Delaware; in
Sussex County, the annual harvest rate in the last 4 years was half of
what was generally harvested between 1998 and 2005, with the same
holding true for the size of individual harvest areas.
Among other reasons for these reductions, economic pressures have
resulted in the closure of several sawmills on the Delmarva Peninsula.
The market for timber has declined dramatically, with low prices acting
as a disincentive to harvesting. As discussed below, reduced harvest
levels are likely to continue in the future.
Although it is very difficult to predict future market forces,
trends in fragmentation and parcelization in the Chesapeake Bay region
(Sprague et al. 2006, pp. 22-24) suggest that future timber harvests
might remain smaller in size and occur less frequently. Parcelization
is the subdivision of large blocks of land into multiple ownerships,
with a consequent tendency to shift from forest management to
management for aesthetics and wildlife values. In Maryland, 45 percent
of woodland owners own less than 20 ha (50 ac) of woods (U.S.
Department of Agriculture, 2012). Given general sizes of timber
harvests, these woodlands may be too small for future harvests and are
more likely to be managed for aesthetics and wildlife.
This ownership pattern also reflects the gentrification of the
eastern shore of Maryland, with landowners becoming less likely to be
farmers or foresters and more likely to be commuters or retirees who do
not use their properties for income. This trend is expected to continue
into the future (see https://www.mdp.state.md.us/msdc/S3_Projection.shtml), with a concomitant reduction in total acres
harvested.
Overall, the forest land transfers in Maryland and Delaware, in
conjunction with available data on harvest rates across the range of
the squirrel, suggest that timber harvest does not pose an extinction
risk for the DFS.
Factor A Summary
The current range of the DFS spans coastal and interior areas of
the Delmarva Peninsula where DFSs inhabit diverse wetland and upland
forest types, suggesting that DFS populations will continue to remain
resilient to a variety of habitat-related effects. Further, the
distribution of these habitats provides for redundancy of populations,
which reduces the risk of catastrophic loss. We recognize that habitat
losses may occur in some areas, primarily from residential development
and sea level rise, but we expect the DFS population to remain at or
above recovered levels, and, moreover, we do not expect such habitat
losses to prevent overall expansion of the range in the future.
Factor B. Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Overhunting has been posited as a factor in the original decline of
this subspecies. Squirrel hunting was common in the early and middle
decades of the 20th century, and hunting of the DFS in small, isolated
woodlots or narrow riparian corridors could have resulted in local
extirpations. Taylor (1976, p. 51) noted that the DFS remained present
on large agricultural estates where hunting was not allowed, suggesting
that these areas
[[Page 70712]]
may have provided a network of refugia for the DFS.
By 1972, hunting of DFS was banned through state regulations.
Removal of hunting pressure may have been one factor in the renewed
population growth and expansion of the squirrel's range to its current
extent. Coincidentally, squirrel hunting has declined in popularity in
recent decades; nationwide, squirrel hunting declined by about 40
percent between 1991 and 2001, and by an additional 20% between 2001
and 2011 (DOI 1991 p. 70; DOI 2001, p. 57; DOI 2011, p. 60). Recent
records of squirrel hunters specifically are not available for Maryland
but the number of small game hunters in Maryland (pursuing squirrels,
rabbits and/or quail) declined from 64,000 to 35,000 between 1991 and
2011 (DOI 1991, p. 113; DOI 2011, p. 102). Hunting gray squirrels will
continue to some extent, and though some hunters may mistake DFS for
gray squirrels, this is likely a rare situation that has not prevented
the DFS from expanding over the last 40 years.
Regarding hunting in the future, discussions with our State
partners indicate that DFS management after delisting would be
conducted very cautiously and that a hunting season would not be
initiated in the immediate future. We recognize that a restricted hunt
could be conducted at sites where DFSs are abundant without causing a
population decline, and that State management agencies have the
capability to implement careful hunting restrictions and population
management; the reopening of the black bear (Ursus americanus) hunt in
Maryland is a good example of a carefully and successfully managed hunt
(Maryland Department of Natural Resources 2012, entire).
We nonetheless foresee only limited individual interest in
reinitiating a DFS hunt, coupled with strong public attitudes against
hunting DFSs and, more generally, recreational hunting (Duda and Jones
2008, p. 183). Given public sentiment, the declining interest in
squirrel hunting, and the restrictions that we expect would be imposed
on a renewed hunting program, hunting is highly unlikely to pose an
extinction risk to the DFS in the foreseeable future.
Factor C. Disease or Predation
Each of these types of threat is summarized below.
Disease
Reports of disease in the DFS are uncommon. Although other
subspecies of eastern fox squirrels are known to carry diseases such as
mange and rabies, there is no documentation of these diseases in the
DFS, and there is no evidence or suspicion of disease-related declines
in any local population (USFWS 2012, pp. 37-38).
Although the advent of white-nose syndrome affecting bats (Blehert
et al. 2009, entire) and chytrid fungus affecting amphibians (Daszak et
al. 1999, entire) demonstrates the uncertainty surrounding novel
disease events, the life-history traits of the DFS tend to make them
less susceptible to these types of epizootics. Delmarva fox squirrels
do not congregate in large numbers where disease can easily spread
through a population. Further, the DFS is patchily distributed across
its range, which makes it more difficult for disease to spread across
populations, and DFSs are not migratory and do not inhabit the types of
environment (as with aquatic species) where pathogens can readily
disperse.
Overall, there currently is no evidence of disease-related declines
or any indication that DFSs are particularly susceptible to disease
outbreaks, and we conclude that disease is neither a current nor a
future extinction risk for this subspecies.
Predation
Predators of the DFS include the red fox (Vulpes vulpes), gray fox
(Urocyon cinereoargenteus), red-tailed hawk (Buteo jamaicensis), bald
eagle (Haliaeetus leucocephalus), and possibly domestic pets and feral
animals.
Changes in numbers of certain predators may cause some fluctuations
in DFS numbers at a site (for instance, a DFS population may decline
when red fox numbers increase), but these types of events are sporadic
and localized. Conversely, although bald eagle numbers have
dramatically increased in the Chesapeake Bay region over the past 40
years and eagles have been known to take DFSs, they still prey
primarily on fish. And while feral dogs and cats may occasionally take
DFSs, such predation is not a rangewide threat. The DFS population has
increased over the last 40 years despite ongoing predation, and we
conclude that predation at these levels is not a current or future
extinction risk for this subspecies.
Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
Several laws established in Maryland over the past 40 years provide
substantial protections for DFS habitat (USFWS 2012, appendix D). The
Maryland Critical Areas Act of 1984 designates all areas within 304.8 m
(1,000 ft) of high tide as Critical Areas and, as amended, prohibits
development and forest clearing within 60.96 m (200 ft) of streams and
the Chesapeake Bay. These areas serve as both breeding habitat and
dispersal corridors for DFSs. The Maryland Forest Conservation Act of
1991 requires that when a forested area is cleared and converted to
other land uses, other forest areas must be protected in perpetuity or,
alternatively, replanted to offset these losses. Additionally, the
State-implemented portions of the Clean Water Act (33 U.S.C. 1251 et
seq.) provide rangewide protection to the many forested wetlands where
DFSs occur.
Several State programs in Maryland, including its Agricultural Land
Protection Fund, Environmental Trust, and Rural Legacy Program,
encourage voluntary conservation easements that protect lands from
development. Collectively, these programs now protect 79,066 ha
(195,377 ac) of private lands within the DFS' range. Similar programs
in Delaware protect an additional 12,677 ha (31,327 ac) in Sussex
County (USFWS 2012, table 3).
Although in Delaware and Virginia the DFS occurs primarily on
Federal and State lands, regulatory protections affecting private lands
allow for continued DFS range expansion. For example, Delaware's
Agricultural Land Protection Program and Forest Legacy Program now
protect more than 12,677 ha (31,327 ac) in Sussex County, much of which
is or could be occupied by the DFS. The Virginia DFS population is
completely protected on Chincoteague NWR. If needed, State-owned lands
or private lands, or both, protected by land trusts would provide
suitable habitat for future translocations.
Overall, many State laws and programs that protect the DFS and its
habitat have been enacted or strengthened in the last 40 years, and it
is likely that this State protection will continue. Currently, these
regulatory mechanisms, together with other factors that address
population and habitat trends, have substantially reduced threats to
the DFS. We thus conclude that existing regulatory mechanisms are
adequate in terms of reducing extinction risks for the DFS.
Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence
The level of risk posed by each of the following factors is
assessed below.
Forest Pest Infestations
Forest pest infestations can affect forest health and its ability
to provide suitable habitat for the DFS. Gypsy moth
[[Page 70713]]
(Lymantria dispar) outbreaks can decimate mature forest stands,
although the affected stands will eventually regenerate. Monitoring
outbreaks and spraying for gypsy moth control appear to have reduced
this threat within the current range of the DFS, as infestations in the
last several years have diminished in acreage (Maryland Department of
Agriculture Forest Health Highlights 2007, 2008, 2009; entire).
Southern pine bark beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis) infestations can
also decimate mature forest stands within the range of the DFS.
Although beetle outbreaks necessitated salvage cuts for a total of 809
ha (2,000 ac) scattered across the southern counties in Maryland in the
early 1990s, monitoring and control efforts appear to have reduced this
threat as well.
Overall, an analysis of forest pests in the Chesapeake Bay
watershed found that most areas on the Eastern Shore where DFSs occur
have a relatively low likelihood of insect infestations, with 3.8 to 10
percent of this area considered to be at risk (Sprague et al. 2006, p.
87). Although emergence of new forest pests is to be expected,
Maryland's Forest Health Monitoring Program conducts surveys to map and
report forest pest problems (Maryland Department of Agriculture, Forest
Pest Management, 2012, entire). Forest pest outbreaks are likely to
recur and may increase if the climate warms as projected; however, this
threat appears to be localized and sporadic and, with existing programs
to monitor and treat forest pest outbreaks, we conclude that this is
not an extinction risk factor for the DFS.
Vehicle Strikes
Vehicle strikes are a relatively common source of DFS mortality.
Similarly to other species, the probability of DFSs being hit by
vehicles is dependent on the DFS' density and proximity of roads to
habitat. Vehicle strikes of DFSs tend to be reported more frequently in
areas where DFSs are abundant, even if traffic levels are relatively
low (e.g., Dorchester County). The conscientious reporting and
collecting of DFSs killed on roads at the Blackwater and Chincoteague
NWRs, where the DFS is very abundant, likely results in a more complete
count of vehicle strikes than elsewhere. Vehicle strikes occur
regularly at both refuges, yet DFSs remain abundant in both places and
have expanded their occupancy at Chincoteague NWR.
Overall, most DFS populations across the subspecies' range continue
to remain stable or are increasing in numbers despite these localized
events, and we conclude that vehicle strikes alone are not a pervasive
threat or extinction factor for this subspecies.
Overall Summary of Factors A Through E
A summary of the five-factor analysis discussed above is provided
in Table 3. Based on our analysis, we conclude that no single factor or
combination of factors poses a risk of extinction to the DFS now or in
the foreseeable future.
Table 3--Summary of Five-Factor Analysis Under the Act for DFS
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Does factor pose an
Factor Past trends Foreseeable trends extinction risk?
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Habitat loss from development..... In the past 40 years, Development is projected No.
development increased to increase to 14
from 3 to 8 percent of percent of the land area
the land area in the in the Maryland and
Maryland range of the Delaware portions of
DFS; development also DFS' range. Although
increased in Sussex most development will
County, Delaware. Some occur near urban areas
habitat has been lost, where DFSs do not occur,
but most development 3 to 4 percent of total
occurs near existing DFS occupied habitat is
towns where DFSs are not expected to be affected.
as prevalent, and While these losses may
development often occurs cause some small
on agricultural rather subpopulations to
than forest land. disappear, most occupied
habitat will remain
available. Despite the
projected development,
DFS distribution is
expected to continue to
expand.
Habitat loss from sea level rise.. In the past, loss of Under an extreme scenario No.
occupied habitat due to of 0.61-m (2-ft)
inundation and saltwater inundation in 40 years,
intrusion has occurred in considerable acreage
southern Dorchester will be lost or isolated
County, although the in southwestern
acreage is not known. Sea Dorchester County.
level rise has occurred However, even if this
in the past at the rate loss were to occur
of 3.5 millimeters (mm) immediately, the
per year (about 1 ft per Dorchester County
100 years). subpopulation would
remain over 70 times
larger than the MVP. It
would thus continue to
be the largest
subpopulation, and given
a 40-year time frame for
reaching this level of
inundation, is very
likely to remain viable
over the long term.
Habitat loss from timber harvest.. Sawtimber harvest has Recent declines in timber No.
occurred throughout the harvests, along with
Delmarva Peninsula. Past mill closings, may
harvest rates appear to reduce the harvest rate
have been sustainable, as for some time.
DFSs have remained Increasing parcelization
present across the range. of land will further
reduce opportunities for
large-scale timber
production.
Gentrification of the
Eastern Shore is
shifting public values
for forest management
from timber production
to management for
aesthetics and wildlife.
Thus, future timber
harvest rates are not
expected to exceed past
harvest rates.
[[Page 70714]]
Habitat loss from short-rotation In the past, short- Since 1999, these lands No.
pine management. rotation pine harvests have been acquired by
occurred on approximately the States of Maryland
68,000 ac of the forest and Delaware and are now
lands in the Maryland and managed for sawtimber,
Delaware portions of the which will provide
DFS' range. These acres suitable DFS habitat.
were typically harvested Thus, 58,000 ac of land
before they were mature in Maryland and 10,000
enough to become DFS ac in Delaware are
habitat. protected from
development and managed
for sawtimber, enabling
future use by the DFS
that was previously
precluded.
Overutilization................... Hunting seasons have been Hunting seasons are No.
closed since 1972. likely to remain closed
into the foreseeable
future. If opened, DFS
hunts would be limited
and carefully managed.
Interest in squirrel
hunting has declined
significantly, and
public attitudes toward
hunting have changed to
primarily support
hunting of those species
viewed as needing
population management,
such as deer.
Disease or predation.............. Disease and predation have These threats are not No.
not been significant expected to increase,
threats for this and the expanding
subspecies in the past 40 distribution of the DFS
years. lessens the potential
impacts that disease and
predation could have on
this subspecies.
Inadequacy of regulatory Several new Maryland laws In the next 40 years, No.
mechanisms. have appeared in the last forest conservation
40 years to help conserve measures are expected to
forest areas that support continue, and the
the DFS. DFS occurrences programs that have begun
in Delaware and Virginia in Maryland are expected
are almost exclusively on to continue or increase
protected lands. as they have in the
past. Easement programs
that protect private
lands from development
have begun in Delaware
and Virginia and are
expected to increase in
the future as well.
Other natural or manmade factors.. Forest pests and vehicle Forest pests and vehicle No.
strikes have occurred in strikes are likely to
the past 40 years to some continue to some extent,
extent but have not but neither factor has
limited the expansion of limited growth of the
the DFS' distribution. subpopulations in the
past, nor are they
expected to do so in the
future. As DFS
populations increase in
density, vehicle strikes
could increase, as the
probability of a strike
is primarily a function
of animal abundance.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Determination
We have carefully assessed the best scientific and commercial
information available regarding past, present, and future threats to
the long-term viability of the DFS. The current range of the DFS spans
the northern and southern portions of the Delmarva Peninsula,
comprising all three States, and extends from coastal areas to the
interior of the Delmarva Peninsula. The DFS inhabits a variety of
forest types, from hardwood-dominated to pine-dominated forests and
from wetland to upland forests, indicating an underlying genetic
variability or behavioral plasticity that should enhance the
subspecies' ability to adapt to changing environmental conditions. Its
relatively wide distribution also provides redundancy of occupied
forest across the landscape, which further reduces extinction risk, and
its continued occupancy of woodlots over the past 20 to 30 years and
the success of translocation efforts indicate considerable resilience
to stochastic events. We thus expect the rangewide population of the
DFS not only to remain at recovery levels but to grow and continue to
occupy the full complement of landscapes and forest types on the
Delmarva Peninsula.
The Act defines ``endangered species'' as any species that is ``in
danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range,'' and ``threatened species'' as any species that is ``likely to
become an endangered species within the foreseeable future throughout
all or a significant portion of its range.'' The term ``species''
includes ``any subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants, and any
distinct population segment [DPS] of any species of vertebrate fish or
wildlife which interbreeds when mature.'' As a subspecies, the DFS has
both met the recovery criteria we consider for delisting, and the
analysis of existing and potential risks shows that the range and
distribution of the subspecies is sufficient to withstand all
foreseeable threats to its long-term viability. Thus, after assessing
the best available information, we have determined that the DFS is no
longer in danger of extinction throughout all of its range, nor is it
likely to become threatened with endangerment in the foreseeable
future.
Significant Portion of the Range Analysis
Overview
Having determined the status of the DFS throughout all of its
range, we next examine whether the subspecies is in danger of
extinction in a significant portion of its range. Under the Act and our
implementing regulations, a species may warrant listing if it is in
danger of extinction or likely to become so throughout all or a
significant portion of its range, as stated above. We published a final
policy interpreting the phrase ``significant portion of its range'' (79
FR 37578; July 1, 2014). This policy states that: (1) If a species is
found to be endangered or threatened throughout a significant portion
of its range, the entire species is listed as an endangered species or
a threatened species,
[[Page 70715]]
respectively, and the Act's protections apply to all individuals of the
species wherever found; (2) a portion of the range of a species is
``significant'' if the species is not currently endangered or
threatened throughout all of its range, but the portion's contribution
to the viability of the species is so important that, without the
members in that portion, the species would be in danger of extinction
or likely to become so in the foreseeable future throughout all of its
range; (3) the range of a species is considered to be the general
geographical area within which that species can be found at the time we
make any particular status determination; and (4) if a vertebrate
species is endangered or threatened throughout an SPR, and if it can
also be shown the population in that significant portion is a valid
DPS, we will list the DPS rather than the entire taxonomic species or
subspecies.
The SPR policy is applied to all status determinations, including
analyses for the purposes of making listing, delisting, and
reclassification determinations. The procedure for analyzing whether
any portion is an SPR is similar, regardless of the type of status
determination we are making. The first step in our analysis of the
status of a species is to determine its status throughout all of its
range. If we determine that the species is in danger of extinction, or
likely to become so in the foreseeable future, throughout all of its
range, we list the species as an endangered (or threatened) species and
no SPR analysis will be required. If the species is neither in danger
of extinction, nor likely to become so, throughout all of its range, we
determine whether the species is in danger of extinction or likely to
become so throughout a significant portion of its range. If it is, we
list the species as an endangered species or a threatened species,
respectively; if it is not, we conclude that listing of the species is
not warranted.
When we conduct an SPR analysis, we first identify any portions of
the species' range that warrant further consideration. The range of a
species can theoretically be divided into portions in an infinite
number of ways. However, there is no purpose to analyzing portions of
the range that are not reasonably likely to be both significant and
endangered or threatened. To identify only those portions that warrant
further consideration, we determine whether there is substantial
information indicating that (1) the portions may be significant and (2)
the species may be in danger of extinction in those portions or likely
to become so within the foreseeable future. We emphasize that answering
these questions in the affirmative is not a determination that the
species is endangered or threatened throughout a significant portion of
its range--rather, it is a step in determining whether a more detailed
analysis of the issue is required. In practice, a key part of this
analysis is whether the threats are geographically concentrated in some
way. If the threats to the species are affecting it uniformly
throughout its range, no portion is likely to warrant further
consideration. Moreover, if any concentration of threats apply only to
portions of the range that clearly do not meet the biologically based
definition of ``significant'' (i.e., the loss of that portion clearly
would not be expected to increase the vulnerability to extinction of
the entire species), those portions will not warrant further
consideration.
If we identify any portions that may be both (1) significant and
(2) endangered or threatened, we engage in a more detailed analysis to
determine whether these standards are indeed met. The identification of
an SPR does not create a presumption, prejudgment, or other
determination as to whether the species in that identified SPR is
endangered or threatened. We must go through a separate analysis to
determine whether the species is endangered or threatened in the SPR.
To determine whether a species is endangered or threatened throughout
an SPR, we will use the same standards and methodology that we use to
determine if a species is endangered or threatened throughout its
range.
Depending on the biology of the species, its range, and the threats
it faces, it may be more efficient to address the ``significant''
question first, or the status question first. Thus, if we determine
that a portion of the range is not ``significant,'' we do not need to
determine whether the species is endangered or threatened there.
Conversely, if we determine that the species is not endangered or
threatened in a portion of its range, we do not need to determine if
that portion is ``significant.''
SPR Analysis for DFS
Having determined that the DFS does not meet the definition of
endangered or threatened throughout its range, we considered whether
there are any significant portions of its range in which it is in
danger of extinction or likely to become so. The full discussion
regarding this analysis, summarized here, is provided in the September
23, 2014, proposed rule (79 FR 56686).
Applying the process described above, we evaluated the range of the
DFS to determine if any area could be considered a significant portion
of its range. Based on examination of the relevant information on the
biology and life history of the DFS, we determined that there are no
separate areas of the range that are significantly different from
others or that are likely to be of greater biological or conservation
importance than any other areas. We next examined whether any threats
are geographically concentrated in some way that would indicate the
subspecies could be in danger of extinction, or likely to become so, in
that area. Through our review of threats to the subspecies, we
identified some areas where DFSs are likely to be extirpated, including
areas in Queen Anne's County, Maryland, where DFS distribution is
scattered and relatively isolated by roads and water, and where future
development is anticipated. We thus considered whether this area in the
northern portion of the range may warrant further consideration as a
significant portion of its range.
The forest area currently occupied by DFSs that is projected to be
lost to development by 2030 would affect two small populations in Queen
Anne's County that together constitute less than 0.5 percent of the
rangewide population; however, five large DFS subpopulations are
expected to remain viable across the northern portion of the current
range. Additionally, Queen Anne's County's landscape does not represent
a unique habitat type or ecological setting for the subspecies. Thus,
the areas expected to be lost due to development would not appreciably
reduce the long-term viability of the subpopulation in the northern
portion of the range, much less imperil the DFS in the remainder of its
range. Therefore, we have determined that this portion of the DFS'
range does not meet the definition of SPR under the 2014 policy.
We also anticipate loss of DFS-occupied forests from sea level rise
in Dorchester County, Maryland, on the southwestern periphery of the
habitat supporting the largest subpopulation of DFS. However, these
losses do not threaten either the subpopulation or the subspecies with
a risk of extinction, as there is ample unoccupied and sufficiently
connected habitat for displaced squirrels to colonize; this is
bolstered by their ability to readily colonize new areas evidenced by
successful expansion of DFS translocations. In addition, we anticipate
the continued presence of mixed pine/hardwood forests adjacent to marsh
and open water in Dorchester
[[Page 70716]]
County and do not anticipate losses of any unique habitats. Therefore,
losses due to sea level rise in this portion of the range would not
appreciably reduce the long-term viability of the subpopulation, much
less cause the subspecies in the remainder of its range to be in danger
of extinction or likely to become so. We thus conclude the portion of
the range that is expected to be lost from sea level rise does not meet
the policy's definition of an SPR.
These are the only two portions of the range that we identified as
meriting analysis as to their significance and level of endangerment in
conformance with the 2014 SPR policy. Finding that the potential losses
in small areas of Queen Anne's County would not cause cascading
vulnerability and do not constitute unique areas that are not
represented elsewhere in the subspecies' range, and finding that loss
of areas in Dorchester County to sea level rise would not diminish the
continued viability of the Dorchester subpopulation or cause the
remainder of the subspecies to be in danger of extinction or likely to
become so, we do not consider this subspecies to be endangered or
threatened in any significant portion of its range. Further, having not
found the basis for an SPR determination on grounds of either
significance or threat, we also find that a DPS analysis is not
warranted.
Summary
The subspecies' current and projected resiliency, redundancy, and
representation should enable it to remain at recovered population
levels throughout all of its range, and even expand its range, over the
foreseeable future. Having assessed the best scientific and commercial
data available and determined that the DFS is no longer endangered or
threatened throughout all or a significant portion of its range and is
not it likely to become so in the foreseeable future, we are removing
this subspecies from the List under the Act.
Future Conservation Measures
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us, in cooperation with the
States, to implement a monitoring program for not less than 5 years for
all species that have been recovered and delisted. The purpose of post-
delisting monitoring (PDM) is to verify that a species remains secure
from risk of extinction after the protections of the Act are removed by
developing a program that detects the failure of any delisted species
to sustain itself. If, at any time during the monitoring period, data
indicate that protective status under the Act should be reinstated, we
can initiate listing procedures, including, if appropriate, emergency
listing under section 4(b)(7) of the Act.
This rule announces availability of the final PDM plan for the DFS.
Public and peer review comments on the draft PDM plan have been
addressed in the body of the plan and are summarized in the plan's
appendix. The plan can be accessed at: https://www.regulations.gov under
Docket No. FWS-R5-ES-2014-0021. It is also posted on the Service's
national Web site (https://endangered.fws.gov) and the Chesapeake Bay
Field Office's Web site (https://www.fws.gov/chesapeakebay). A summary
of the PDM plan is provided below.
Post-Delisting Monitoring Plan Overview
The PDM plan for the DFS builds upon and continues the research
conducted while the DFS was listed. In general, the plan directs the
Service and State natural resource agencies to (1) continue to map all
DFS sightings and occupied forest to delineate the distribution and
range, and (2) assess the occupancy of DFS in a sample of forest tracts
to estimate the relative persistence of DFS populations versus
extirpations across the range.
The PDM plan identifies measurable management thresholds and
responses for detecting and reacting to significant changes in the
DFS's protected habitat, distribution, and ability to remain at
recovered population levels. If declines are detected equaling or
exceeding these thresholds, the Service, along with other post-
delisting monitoring participants, will investigate causes, including
consideration of habitat changes, stochastic events, or any other
significant evidence. Results will be used to determine if the DFS
warrants expanded monitoring, additional research, additional habitat
protection, or resumption of Federal protection under the Act.
Effects of This Rule
This final rule revises 50 CFR 17.11(h) to remove the Delmarva
Peninsula fox squirrel from the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife (List). It also revises 50 CFR 17.11(h) and 50 CFR 17.84(a) to
remove the listing and regulations, respectively, for the nonessential
experimental population of Delmarva Peninsula fox squirrels at
Assawoman Wildlife Management Area in Sussex County, Delaware. The
prohibitions and conservation measures provided by the Act,
particularly through sections 7 and 9, no longer apply to this
subspecies. Federal agencies are no longer required to consult with the
Service under section 7 of the Act in the event that activities they
authorize, fund, or carry out may affect the DFS. The take exceptions
identified in 50 CFR 17.84(a)(2) for the experimental population of the
DFS are also removed. There is no critical habitat designated for the
DFS.
Required Determinations
National Environmental Policy Act
We have determined that environmental assessments and environmental
impact statements, as defined under the authority of the National
Environmental Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321 et seq.), need not be
prepared in connection with regulations pursuant to section 4(a) of the
Act. We published a notice outlining our reasons for this determination
in the Federal Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244).
Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President's memorandum of April 29, 1994,
``Government-to-Government Relations with Native American Tribal
Governments'' (59 FR 22951), Executive Order 13175, and the Department
of the Interior's manual at 512 DM 2, we readily acknowledge our tribal
trust responsibilities. We have determined that there are no tribal
lands affected by this rule.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited in this final rule is
available at https://www.regulations.gov, or upon request from the
Chesapeake Bay Field Office (see ADDRESSES).
Authors
The primary authors of this final rule are staff members of the
Chesapeake Bay Field Office (see ADDRESSES).
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species, Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements, Transportation.
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we amend part 17, subchapter B of chapter I, title 50
of the Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth below:
PART 17--ENDANGERED AND THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
0
1. The authority citation for part 17 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361-1407; 1531-1544; 4201-4245, unless
otherwise noted.
[[Page 70717]]
Sec. 17.11--[Amended]
0
2. Amend Sec. 17.11(h) by removing both entries for ``Squirrel,
Delmarva Peninsula fox'' under MAMMALS from the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife.
Sec. 17.84--[Amended]
0
3. Amend Sec. 17.84 by removing and reserving paragraph (a).
Dated: October 23, 2015.
James W. Kurth,
Acting Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2015-28742 Filed 11-13-15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4333-15-P