Air Plan Approval; Phoenix, Arizona; Second 10-Year Carbon Monoxide Maintenance Plan, 63185-63190 [2015-26405]
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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 201 / Monday, October 19, 2015 / Proposed Rules
[FR Doc. 2015–26386 Filed 10–16–15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6355–01–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R09–OAR–2015–0645; FRL–9935–80–
Region 9]
Air Plan Approval; Phoenix, Arizona;
Second 10-Year Carbon Monoxide
Maintenance Plan
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
The Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA) is proposing approval of
a State Implementation Plan (SIP)
revision submitted by the State of
Arizona. On March 9, 2005, the EPA
redesignated Phoenix, Arizona from
nonattainment to attainment for the
carbon monoxide (CO) National
Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS) and approved the State’s plan
addressing the area’s maintenance of the
NAAQS for ten years. On April 2, 2013,
the State of Arizona submitted to the
EPA a second maintenance plan for the
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SUMMARY:
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Phoenix area that addressed
maintenance of the NAAQS for an
additional ten years. The EPA is also
proposing to find adequate and approve
a transportation conformity motor
vehicle emissions budgets (MVEB) for
the year 2025 and beyond.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before November 18, 2015.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R09–
OAR–2015–0645, to the Federal
eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. Follow the online
instructions for submitting comments.
Once submitted, comments cannot be
edited or withdrawn. The EPA may
publish any comment received to its
public docket. Do not submit
electronically any information you
consider to be Confidential Business
Information (CBI) or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
If you need to include CBI as part of
your comment, please visit https://
www2.epa.gov/dockets/commentingepa-dockets for instructions.
Multimedia submissions (audio, video,
etc.) must be accompanied by a written
comment. The written comment is
considered the official comment and
should include discussion of all points
you wish to make.
For additional submission methods,
the full EPA public comment policy,
and general guidance on making
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effective comments, please visit https://
www2.epa.gov/dockets/commentingepa-dockets.
John
Kelly, Planning Office (Air–2), Air
Division, Region 9, Environmental
Protection Agency, 75 Hawthorne
Street, San Francisco, California 94105,
(415) 947–4151, kelly.johnj@epa.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Definitions
For the purpose of this document, we
are giving meaning to certain words or
initials as follows:
(i) The words or initials Act or CAA
mean or refer to the Clean Air Act,
unless the context indicates otherwise.
(ii) The initials AADT mean or refer
to Annual Average Daily Traffic.
(iii) The initials ADEQ mean or refer
to Arizona Department of
Environmental Quality.
(iv) The initials ANP mean or refer to
Annual Monitoring Network Plans,
commonly known as Annual Network
Plans or ANP.
(v) The initials CO mean or refer to
carbon monoxide.
(vi) The words EPA, we, us or our
mean or refer to the United States
Environmental Protection Agency.
(vii) The initials MAG mean or refer
to the Maricopa Association of
Governments.
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Dated: October 13, 2015.
Todd A. Stevenson,
Secretary, Consumer Product Safety
Commission.
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(viii) The initials MCAQD mean or
refer to the Maricopa County Air
Quality Department.
(ix) The initials MVEB mean or refer
to Motor Vehicle Emissions Budget.
(x) The initials mtpd mean or refer to
metric tons per day.
(xi) The initials NAAQS mean or refer
to the National Ambient Air Quality
Standards.
(xii) The initials ppm mean or refer to
parts per million.
(xiii) The initials RTP mean or refer
to Regional Transportation Plan.
(xiv) The initials SIP mean or refer to
State Implementation Plan.
(xv) The initials TIP mean or refer to
Transportation Improvement Plan.
(xvi) The initials TSA mean or refer to
an air monitoring program Technical
Systems Audit.
(xvii) The words Arizona and State
mean or refer to the State of Arizona.
I. Background
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A. Phoenix (Maricopa County), Arizona
Attainment Status
Under the Clean Air Act (CAA)
Amendments of 1990, the Phoenix
metropolitan area in Maricopa County,
Arizona (hereinafter referred to as
Phoenix, the Phoenix area or the area)
was designated and classified as a
moderate CO nonattainment area. On
July 29, 1996, the EPA found that the
area had not attained the CO NAAQS by
the moderate attainment date and the
area was reclassified to serious
nonattainment by operation of law,
effective August 28, 1996. 61 FR 39343.
The primary CO NAAQS are attained
when ambient concentration design
values do not exceed either the 1-hour
35 parts per million (ppm) standard or
the 8-hour 9 ppm standard more than
once per year. 40 CFR 50.8(a). There
have been no violations in Phoenix of
the 1-hour CO standard since 1984 and
no violations of the 8-hour standard
since 1996. 2013 Maintenance Plan,
page 1–1. The EPA determined in 2003
that the area had attained the CO
NAAQS by the area’s December 31,
2000 attainment deadline. 68 FR 55008,
September 22, 2003. This determination
did not affect the designation of the area
as nonattainment or its classification as
a serious area.
On May 30, 2003, the State of Arizona
submitted a request to the EPA to
redesignate Phoenix from
nonattainment to attainment for the CO
NAAQS. Along with this request, the
State submitted a CAA section 175A(a)
maintenance plan which demonstrated
that the area would maintain the CO
NAAQS for the first 10 years following
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our approval of the redesignation
request (‘‘2003 CO Maintenance Plan’’).
We approved the State’s redesignation
request and 10-year maintenance plan
on March 9, 2005, effective April 8,
2005. 70 FR 11553. For a detailed
history of the CO planning efforts in the
area up to 2004, please see the
Technical Support Document that
accompanied the EPA’s proposal to
approve the first 10-year maintenance
plan for the area. 69 FR 60328, October
8, 2004.
B. 2013 CO Maintenance Plan
Eight years after an area is
redesignated to attainment, CAA section
175A(b) requires the State to submit a
subsequent maintenance plan to the
EPA, covering a second 10-year period.1
The second maintenance plan must
demonstrate continued compliance with
the NAAQS during this second 10-year
period. To fulfill this requirement of the
CAA, Arizona submitted the second 10year update of the Phoenix area CO
maintenance plan to the EPA on April
2, 2013. The plan was developed by the
Maricopa Association of Governments
(MAG) and is titled ‘‘MAG 2013 Carbon
Monoxide Maintenance Plan for the
Maricopa County Area’’ (hereinafter,
‘‘2013 Maintenance Plan’’). MAG is the
State’s delegated Agency with authority
to develop SIPs for Maricopa County.
With this action, we are proposing to
approve the 2013 Maintenance Plan as
a revision to the Arizona SIP.
C. Transportation Conformity
Section 176(c) of the Act defines
conformity as meeting the SIP’s purpose
of eliminating or reducing the severity
and number of violations of the NAAQS
and achieving expeditious attainment of
such standards. The Act further defines
transportation conformity to mean that
no Federal transportation activity will:
(1) Cause or contribute to any new
violation of any standard in any area; (2)
increase the frequency or severity of any
existing violation of any standard in any
area; or (3) delay timely attainment of
any standard or any required interim
emission reductions or other milestones
in any area. The Federal transportation
conformity rule, 40 CFR part 93 subpart
A, sets forth the criteria and procedures
for demonstrating and assuring
conformity of transportation plans,
programs and projects which are
developed, funded or approved by the
U.S. Department of Transportation, and
by metropolitan planning organizations
1 In this case, the initial maintenance period
extended through 2015. Thus, the second 10-year
period extends through 2025.
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or other recipients of Federal funds
under Title 23 U.S.C. or the Federal
Transit Laws. 49 U.S.C. chapter 53.
The transportation conformity rule
applies within all nonattainment and
maintenance areas. As prescribed by the
transportation conformity rule, once an
area has an applicable SIP with MVEBs,
the expected emissions from planned
transportation activities must be
consistent with such established
budgets for that area.
With this action, the EPA proposes to
find adequate and approve a CO
transportation conformity MVEB for the
year 2025 and beyond.
II. The EPA’s Evaluation of Arizona’s
Submittal
The 2013 Maintenance Plan contains
the following major sections:
1. Introduction. This section contains
a general discussion of CO plan
approvals and the area’s redesignation
to attainment. 2013 Maintenance Plan,
Chapter 1.
2. Continued Attainment of the
Carbon Monoxide NAAQS. This section
includes some historical background, a
description of the CO monitoring
network in Phoenix, monitoring results
and the State’s demonstration that the
area has continued to attain the CO
standards, and information regarding
the State’s monitoring data quality
assurance program. 2013 Maintenance
Plan, Chapter 2.
3. Maintenance Plan. This section
includes control measures, maintenance
demonstration, monitoring network
information and verification that the
area has continued to attain the CO
standards, contingency provisions, a
transportation conformity budget and
subsequent maintenance plan revisions.
2013 Maintenance Plan, Chapter 3.
The following is the EPA’s evaluation
of the ambient air monitoring
information and maintenance plan
provided in the State’s submittal.
A. Ambient Air Quality Monitoring Data
The primary NAAQS for CO are: ‘‘(1)
9 parts per million (10 milligrams per
cubic meter) for an 8-hour average
concentration not to be exceeded more
than once per year and (2) 35 parts per
million (40 milligrams per cubic meter)
for a 1-hour average concentration not to
be exceeded more than once per year.’’
40 CFR 50.8. At the time of submittal of
the 2013 Maintenance Plan in March
2013, there had been no violations in
Phoenix of the 1-hour carbon monoxide
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standard since 1984 and no violations of
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the 8-hour standard since 1996. 2013
Maintenance Plan, page 1–1.
TABLE 1—CO DESIGN VALUES FOR PHOENIX, AZ, YEARS 2005–2014
Design values (ppm) 2
Years
1-Hour
7.0
6.5
6.0
4.5
4.8
8.9
3.9
4.5
4.2
4.9
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
................................................................................................................................................................
The EPA also examined monitoring
data for Phoenix from the entire period
covered by the first maintenance plan.
Table 1 shows the complete, quality
assured and certified ambient air
monitoring design values for CO in the
area for the years 2005 to 2014. The
monitoring data show the area has not
violated the CO standards during the
first maintenance period. The EPA notes
the trend of 8-hour CO design values
decreasing during this period, as also
described in the 2013 Maintenance Plan
for the years 2004 to 2011. 2013
Maintenance Plan, figure 2–2, page 2–8.
B. Maintenance Plan Control Measures
The State and MAG commit to
continue to implement the nine control
measures listed in the 2003
Maintenance Plan, and have
implemented a tenth control measure
that had been identified in that plan as
a contingency measure. 2013
Maintenance Plan, page 3–1. Table 2
lists these control measures. 2013
Maintenance Plan, table 3–1, page 3–2.
TABLE 2—MAINTENANCE MEASURES IN
THE 2013 MAINTENANCE PLAN
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8-Hour
1. California Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline with 3.5% Oxygen Content from November 1 through March 31
2. Off-Road Vehicle and Engine Standards
3. Phased-in Emission Test Cutpoints
4. One-Time Waiver from Vehicle Emissions Test
5. Defer Emissions Associated with Government Activities
6. Coordinate Traffic Signal Systems
7. Develop Intelligent Transportation Systems
8. Tougher Enforcement of Vehicle Registration and Emissions Test Compliance
4.6
4.6
4.1
3.0
3.3
3.2
2.9
2.5
2.7
2.8
TABLE 2—MAINTENANCE MEASURES IN Emissions of CO from the Luke AFB
THE 2013 MAINTENANCE PLAN— were derived from two documents: the
first, titled ‘‘2008 Mobile Source
Continued
9. Clean Burning Fireplace Ordinances
10. Expansion of Area A Boundaries
The tenth control measure listed in
Table 2 is described in the 2003
Maintenance Plan as a contingency
measure. 2003 Maintenance Plan,
Exhibit 2, Appendix A, Technical
Support Document, Section VII–2–2.
The State has implemented the
expansion of Area A boundaries and the
EPA approved the expansion of Area A
boundaries as a revision to the Arizona
SIP on May 22, 2013. 78 FR 30209.
C. Emissions Inventories
The 2013 Maintenance Plan provides
a comparison of actual CO emissions in
the Phoenix maintenance area in 2008
with projected emissions in 2025. 2003
Maintenance Plan, page 3–4, table 3–3.
These emissions are for an average
weekday during the winter season, the
months November to January. The 2008
emissions are taken from the latest
periodic emissions inventory for the
area, the 2008 periodic emissions
inventory, which is included in
Appendix A, Exhibit 1 of the 2013
Maintenance Plan. Emissions for the
year 2025 used growth factors for the
area derived from the 2005 special U.S.
census conducted in the area and EPA
models for estimating onroad emissions
and nonroad equipment emissions, as
well as the Emissions and Dispersion
Modeling System and the Federal
Aviation Administration Terminal Area
Forecast system database for all airports
except Luke Air Force Base (AFB).
Emissions Inventory for Luke Air Force
Base,’’ prepared by Weston Solutions,
Inc. for the Air Education and Training
Command, U.S. Air Force, Randolph
AFB, Texas, in June 2010; the second
document is titled ‘‘F–35A Training
Basing Environmental Impact
Statement, Final Volume 1,’’ prepared
by the U.S. Air Force in 2012.
Several emissions reductions are
credited in the projected emissions for
the year 2025. The first two control
measures listed in Table 2, California
Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline with 3.5
percent Oxygen Content from November
1 through March 31, and Off-Road
Vehicle and Engine Standards, are
estimated to produce reductions of CO
emissions of 128.9 mtpd and 15 mtpd,
respectively. These reductions represent
about a 19 percent reduction of
emissions by 2025. The State and MAG
commit to continued implementation of
all other control measures listed in
Table 2. However, their collective
reduction is expected to be less than one
percent of 2025 emissions, and therefore
no numeric credit was taken for those
measures in the State’s projections of
CO emissions in 2025.
Details regarding the technical inputs
and assumptions used in preparing the
emissions inventories are provided in
Chapter II of the technical support
document for the 2013 Maintenance
plan, in Appendix A, Exhibit 2. The
results of MAG’s inventory of actual
emissions in 2008 and projected
emissions in 2025 are provided in Table
3.
2 Design values were derived from the EPA Air
Trends (https://www3.epa.gov/airtrends/
values.html) Web site.
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2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
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TABLE 3—AVERAGE WEEKDAY EMISSIONS DURING THE WINTER SEASON IN THE PHOENIX CO MAINTENANCE AREA, IN
METRIC TONS PER DAY (MTPD)
CO Emissions
Source category
2008
Point .........................................................................................................................................................................
Area .........................................................................................................................................................................
Nonroad ...................................................................................................................................................................
Onroad .....................................................................................................................................................................
Total ..................................................................................................................................................................
Compared to emissions in 2008,
projected emissions in 2025 show a
downward trend. Total CO emissions
projected in the year 2025, 639.6 mtpd,
represent approximately 70 percent of
the actual emissions in the year 2008.
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D. Maintenance Demonstration
The 2013 Maintenance Plan relies on
a series of technical analyses to
demonstrate maintenance of the CO
NAAQS through the year 2025. MAG
performed three different modeling
analyses to project CO emissions out to
the year 2025 and estimate their impact
on maximum ambient CO
concentration. In addition, MAG
conducted two weight-of-evidence
evaluations using actual trends in air
quality and meteorological data to
reinforce the modeling analyses. MAG
also developed a modeling protocol to
detail the technical approaches and
assumptions to be used in
demonstrating maintenance of the CO
NAAQS. 2013 Maintenance Plan,
Appendix A, Exhibit 2, Technical
Support Document.
MAG’s first modeling analysis was
based on an emissions inventory
comparison. MAG developed two sets of
CO emissions inventories: one
representing the CO modeling domain
in 2006, 2008, 2015 and 2025; another
representing the maintenance area in
2008 and 2025. The modeling domain
covers 792 square miles, including the
busiest intersections in the area and the
ambient air monitors with the highest
readings, while the maintenance area is
1,814 square miles. MAG calculated the
ratio of the total emissions expected in
2025 to the total emissions in a prior
year (2006 for the modeling domain and
2008 for the maintenance area). MAG
then multiplied these ratios by the
maximum concentration in the earlier
year to yield a predicted 2025
concentration. The maximum 8-hour CO
concentration at West Indian School
monitor in 2006 was 5.3 ppm. When
multiplied by the ratio of 2025
emissions for the maintenance area
(403.9 mtpd) divided by 2006 emissions
(803.0 mtpd) for the maintenance area,
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or 0.503, the predicted concentration in
2025 at the West Indian School
monitoring site is 2.7 ppm, well below
the 9 ppm level of the 8-hour CO
NAAQS.
MAG’s second modeling analysis
involved updating the modeling of CO
concentrations performed in the 2003
Maintenance Plan using the EPAapproved Urban Airshed Model (UAM)
and the intersection hotspot model
(CAL3QHC). In particular, MAG
updated the projections of
concentrations for the years 2006 and
2015 in the 2003 Maintenance Plan by
adjusting by the ratio of new to old
emissions inventory totals and then
scaling them for the year 2025. The
highest concentrations in 2025
predicted at the two busiest
intersections in Phoenix (at the Phoenix
Grand Avenue and West Indian School
monitors) using these models was 4.0
ppm, less than half of the level of the
8-hour standard.
MAG’s third modeling approach in
the 2013 Maintenance Plan was an
intersection hotspot analysis. The three
intersections projected to have the
highest traffic volumes and the three
intersections projected to have the worst
traffic congestion were identified using
the MAG TransCAD traffic assignment
for the year 2025. MAG used CAL3QHC
to determine the maximum 8-hour
concentration at these intersections in
2025, then added the expected
background concentration, 1.3 ppm CO.
The highest CO concentration expected
in 2025 was 1.7 ppm at two
intersections, 16th Street and
Camelback Road, and Priest Drive and
Southern Avenue. This level is also well
below the 8-hour CO NAAQS.
In addition to the above three
modeling exercises, MAG conducted
two weight-of-evidence evaluations to
support the maintenance demonstration.
In one, historical trends of 1-hour and
8-hour monitored CO concentrations
were applied to a regression analysis to
project concentrations in 2015 and
2025. The monitoring data used was
from the period 1980 to 2011. Projecting
forward the trend lines using regression
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2025
0.7
37.8
281.5
581.6
901.6
19.8
47.3
213.1
359.4
639.6
analysis for each monitoring site, the
West Phoenix site has the highest
projected 8-hour CO concentration, 2.7
ppm in 2015 and 1.6 ppm in 2025.
In a second weight-of-evidence
evaluation, MAG conducted a
meteorological analysis to assess
whether unusually favorable
meteorology played a role in continued
maintenance of the CO standard. In
particular, MAG assessed long-term
values of key meteorological parameters,
including temperature, wind speed,
wind direction, atmospheric stability
and mixing height and compared these
values to CO monitored concentration
trends during the same period. Four
meteorological analyses were
performed, comparing later
meteorological data to the data from the
1994 episode used in the evaluation,
when there was an exceedance of the 8hour CO standard, with the following
results: (1) The maximum 8-hour CO
concentrations have continued to
decline, while meteorological
conditions have not differed
significantly from the 1994 episode; (2)
8-hour CO concentrations declined
while daily variations in wind speeds,
temperatures and mixing heights have
not varied significantly over time; (3) 1hour CO concentrations have continued
to decrease over time regardless of
meteorological conditions; and (4) daily
maximum 8-hour CO concentrations
below the CO NAAQS were
predominant during the period 1997
through 2011 under the same range of
wind speeds and mixing heights.
The EPA finds that the three modeling
exercises and two weight-of-evidence
evaluations provide compelling
evidence that the Phoenix area will
continue to maintain the CO NAAQS.
E. Ambient Air Quality Monitoring
Network
The Phoenix area has maintained an
ambient air quality monitoring network
consisting of twelve State and Local Air
Monitoring Stations (SLAMS). Of these
twelve monitoring stations, 11 are
operated by the Maricopa County Air
Quality Department (MCAQD) and one
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monitor is operated by the Arizona
Department of Environmental Quality
(ADEQ). These agencies provide the
EPA with Annual Monitoring Network
Plans (commonly known as Annual
Network Plans or ANPs) for the area,
and have committed to continue to
operate an appropriate air quality
monitoring network in accordance with
appendix D of 40 CFR part 58. 2013
Maintenance Plan, page 3–17.
The EPA approved the area’s ANPs,
which describe the monitoring network
for the area and any changes anticipated
for the following year. The most recent
ANP from the MCAQD was the
‘‘MCAQD 2013 Final Air Monitoring
Network Review,’’ dated December 5,
2014. The most recent ANP from ADEQ
was the ‘‘State of Arizona Air
Monitoring Network Plan for the Year
2014,’’ dated July 1, 2014. The 2014
MCAQD ANP was approved by the EPA
on March 31, 2015. Letter from
Meredith Kurpius, Manager, Air Quality
Analysis Office, to William Wiley,
Director, MCAQD, dated March 31,
2015. The 2014 ADEQ ANP was
approved by the EPA on October 30,
2014. Letter from Meredith Kurpius,
Manager, Air Quality Analysis Office, to
Eric Massey, Director, Air Quality
Division, ADEQ, dated October 30,
2014.
The EPA performs Technical Systems
Audits (TSA) of ambient air monitoring
programs in accordance with 40 CFR
part 58, section 2.5, which requires that
the EPA conduct TSAs of primary
quality assurance organizations every
three years. The most recent TSA for the
MCAQD was conducted by the EPA on
September 25 to September 27, 2013.
The EPA’s findings from this TSA are
presented in a final report. There were
no findings that were cause for data
invalidation. Letter from Deborah
Jordan, Director, U.S. EPA Region 9 Air
Division, to Phil McNeely, Director,
Maricopa County Air Quality
Department, dated December 12, 2014,
transmitting ‘‘Technical System Audit,
Maricopa County Air Quality
Department, Ambient Air Monitoring
Program, September 25–September 27,
2013,’’ dated December 2014.
The most recent TSA for ADEQ was
conducted by the EPA on April 9 to
April 13, 2012. The EPA’s findings from
this TSA are presented in a final report.
There were no findings that were cause
for data invalidation. Letter from
Deborah Jordan, Director, U.S. EPA
Region 9 Air Division, to Eric Massey,
Director, ADEQ Air Division, dated
January 18, 2013, transmitting
‘‘Technical System Audit, Arizona
Department of Environmental Quality,
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Ambient Air Monitoring Program, April
9–April 13, 2012,’’ dated January 2013.
The EPA is confident that the area’s
air quality monitoring network is being
implemented in accordance with
requirements in the CAA and
implementing regulations in 40 CFR
part 58.
F. Contingency Plan
Section 175A(d) of the CAA requires
that a maintenance plan include
contingency provisions to promptly
correct any violation of the NAAQS that
occurs after redesignation of an area. A
maintenance plan’s contingency
measures are not required to be fully
adopted. However, the plan should
contain clearly identified contingency
measures to be adopted, a schedule and
procedure for adoption and
implementation, and a specific time
limit for action by the State. In addition,
specific indicators should be identified
which will be used to determine when
the contingency measures need to be
implemented. EPA memorandum,
‘‘Procedures for Processing Requests to
Redesignate Areas to Attainment,’’
September 4, 1992.
Two contingency measures that were
included in the 2003 Maintenance Plan
are included in the 2013 Maintenance
Plan: Gross Polluter Option for I/M
Program Waivers, and Increased Waiver
Repair Limit Options. These
contingency measures have already
been implemented in the area. A third
contingency measure has been added to
the 2013 Maintenance Plan:
Reinstatement of the Vehicle Emissions
Inspection and Maintenance (VEI)
Program for Motorcycles. The VEI
program for motorcycles was a control
measure in the area prior to
redesignation to attainment, but the
State subsequently exempted
motorcycles from the VEI program.
Pursuant to section CAA section
175A(d) of the CAA, the contingency
provisions of a maintenance plan must
include all the control measures that
were included in the SIP for the area
before redesignation. Therefore, the
State is required to include the VEI
program for motorcycles as a
contingency measure in the 2013 CO
Maintenance Plan. ADEQ has fulfilled
this requirement by submitting a SIP
revision committing to request
Legislative action to reinstate emissions
testing for motorcycles in the Phoenix
area should the area experience a
violation of the CO standards. See 78 FR
30209, May 22, 2013. In addition, as
noted above, the State has expanded
Area A in Maricopa County, which
extends additional controls beyond the
previous boundary for Area A,
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63189
converting this expansion from a
contingency measure in the 2003
Maintenance Plan, to a control measure
in the 2013 Maintenance Plan.
We propose to find that the
contingency plan in the 2013
Maintenance Plan is sufficient to meet
the requirements of section 175A(d) of
the CAA.
G. Transportation Conformity
Transportation conformity is required
by section 176(c) of the CAA.
Conformity to a SIP means that
transportation activities will not
produce new air quality violations,
worsen existing violations, or delay
timely attainment of the NAAQS (CAA
section 176(c)(1)(B)). The EPA’s
conformity rule at 40 CFR part 93,
subpart A requires that transportation
plans, programs and projects conform to
SIPs and establish the criteria and
procedures for determining whether or
not they conform. To effectuate its
purpose, the conformity rule generally
requires a demonstration that emissions
from the Regional Transportation Plan
(RTP) and the Transportation
Improvement Program (TIP) are
consistent with MVEBs contained in the
control strategy SIP revision or
maintenance plan (40 CFR 93.101,
93.118, and 93.124). An MVEB is
defined as the level of mobile source
emissions of a pollutant relied upon in
the attainment or maintenance
demonstration to attain or maintain
compliance with the NAAQS in the
nonattainment or maintenance area.3
The EPA’s process for determining
adequacy of a MVEB consists of three
basic steps: (1) Notifying the public of
a SIP submission; (2) providing the
public the opportunity to comment on
the MVEB during a public comment
period; and, (3) making a finding of
adequacy or inadequacy. See 40 CR
93.118(f). The 2003 Maintenance Plan
established CO MVEBs (calculated for
Friday in December) of 699.7 mtpd in
2006 and 662.9 mtpd in 2015. The EPA
found the CO MVEBs adequate for
transportation conformity purposes on
September 29, 2003, 68 FR 55950, and
approved the MVEBs on March 9, 2005,
70 FR 11553.
The 2013 Maintenance Plan
establishes a 2025 MVEB of 559.4 mtpd
for the CO maintenance area. We are not
announcing the availability of this
MVEB through the EPA’s Adequacy
Web site and providing a separate
comment period on the adequacy of the
3 Further information concerning the EPA’s
interpretations regarding MVEBs can be found in
the preamble to the EPA’s November 24, 1993,
transportation conformity rule (see 58 FR 62193–
62196).
E:\FR\FM\19OCP1.SGM
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63190
Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 201 / Monday, October 19, 2015 / Proposed Rules
MVEB. Instead, we are reviewing the
adequacy of the MVEB simultaneously
with our review of the 2013
Maintenance Plan itself. See 40 CFR
93.118(f)(2). In order to determine
whether this MVEB is adequate and
approvable, we have evaluated whether
the MVEB meets the conformity
adequacy provisions of 40 CFR
93.118(e)(4) and (5). The details of the
EPA’s evaluation of the MVEB for
compliance with the budget adequacy
criteria of 40 CFR 93.118(e) are provided
in a memo to file for this proposed
rulemaking. Memo from John J. Kelly,
Air Planning Office, EPA Region 9, to
Docket EPA–R09–OAR–2015–0645,
dated September 29, 2015. Based on this
evaluation, we propose to find the 2025
MVEB adequate and to approve it. Any
and all comments on the adequacy and
approvability of the 2025 MVEB should
be submitted during the comment
period stated in the DATES section of this
document.
If today’s proposed action is finalized,
the 2015 MVEB, which is already
approved for 2015 and later years,
would apply only up to the year 2024.
For the year 2025 and later years, the
budget will be 559.4 mtpd. See Table 4.
TABLE 4—APPROVED AND PROPOSED TRANSPORTATION CONFORMITY MOTOR VEHICLE EMISSIONS BUDGETS FOR THE
PHOENIX CO MAINTENANCE AREA, IN METRIC TONS PER DAY (MTPD)
Approved
Proposed
2006
Year
Approved
2015
2025
CO MVEB ....................................................................................................................................
asabaliauskas on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
III. Proposed Action
The EPA is proposing to approve the
2013 Maintenance Plan submitted on
April 3, 2012. This maintenance plan
meets the applicable CAA requirements
and the EPA has determined it is
sufficient to provide for maintenance of
the CO NAAQS over the course of the
second 10-year maintenance period out
to 2025.
The EPA is also proposing to find
adequate and approve the CO MVEB of
559.4 mtpd for use in the year 2025 and
later years.
IV. Statutory and Executive Orders
Review
Under the CAA, the Administrator is
required to approve a SIP submission
that complies with the provisions of the
Act and applicable federal regulations.
42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, the
EPA’s role is to approve State choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of
the CAA. Accordingly, this action
merely proposes to approve State law as
meeting federal requirements and does
not impose additional requirements
beyond those imposed by State law. For
that reason, this action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Order 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993);
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
VerDate Sep<11>2014
17:25 Oct 16, 2015
Jkt 238001
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the Clean Air Act;
and
• Does not provide the EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved
to apply on any Indian reservation land
or in any other area where the EPA or
an Indian tribe has demonstrated that a
tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the rule does not have
tribal implications and will not impose
substantial direct costs on tribal
governments or preempt tribal law as
specified by Executive Order 13175 (65
FR 67249, November 9, 2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Carbon monoxide,
Incorporation by reference,
Intergovernmental relations, Reporting
and recordkeeping requirements.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
PO 00000
Frm 00059
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
699.7
662.9
559.4
Dated: September 30, 2015.
Jared Blumenfeld,
Regional Administrator, Region 9.
[FR Doc. 2015–26405 Filed 10–16–15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 622
[Docket No. 150826781–5781–01]
RIN 0648–BF33
Fisheries of the Caribbean, Gulf of
Mexico, and South Atlantic; Reef Fish
Fishery of the Gulf of Mexico; 2016
Red Snapper Commercial Quota
Retention
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Proposed rule; request for
comments.
AGENCY:
NMFS proposes to implement
management measures described in a
framework action to the Fishery
Management Plan for the Reef Fish
Resources of the Gulf of Mexico (FMP),
as prepared by the Gulf of Mexico
Fishery Management Council (Council).
If implemented, this proposed rule
would withhold 4.9 percent of the 2016
red snapper commercial quota prior to
the annual distribution of red snapper
allocation to red snapper Individual
Fishing Quota Program (IFQ)
shareholders on January 1, 2016. The
purpose of this proposed rule is to allow
the allocations being established
through Amendment 28 to the FMP
SUMMARY:
E:\FR\FM\19OCP1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 201 (Monday, October 19, 2015)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 63185-63190]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Publishing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2015-26405]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R09-OAR-2015-0645; FRL-9935-80-Region 9]
Air Plan Approval; Phoenix, Arizona; Second 10-Year Carbon
Monoxide Maintenance Plan
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is proposing
approval of a State Implementation Plan (SIP) revision submitted by the
State of Arizona. On March 9, 2005, the EPA redesignated Phoenix,
Arizona from nonattainment to attainment for the carbon monoxide (CO)
National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) and approved the State's
plan addressing the area's maintenance of the NAAQS for ten years. On
April 2, 2013, the State of Arizona submitted to the EPA a second
maintenance plan for the Phoenix area that addressed maintenance of the
NAAQS for an additional ten years. The EPA is also proposing to find
adequate and approve a transportation conformity motor vehicle
emissions budgets (MVEB) for the year 2025 and beyond.
DATES: Comments must be received on or before November 18, 2015.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R09-
OAR-2015-0645, to the Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the online instructions for submitting
comments. Once submitted, comments cannot be edited or withdrawn. The
EPA may publish any comment received to its public docket. Do not
submit electronically any information you consider to be Confidential
Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. If you need to include CBI as part of your
comment, please visit https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets for instructions. Multimedia submissions (audio, video, etc.)
must be accompanied by a written comment. The written comment is
considered the official comment and should include discussion of all
points you wish to make.
For additional submission methods, the full EPA public comment
policy, and general guidance on making effective comments, please visit
https://www2.epa.gov/dockets/commenting-epa-dockets.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: John Kelly, Planning Office (Air-2),
Air Division, Region 9, Environmental Protection Agency, 75 Hawthorne
Street, San Francisco, California 94105, (415) 947-4151,
kelly.johnj@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Definitions
For the purpose of this document, we are giving meaning to certain
words or initials as follows:
(i) The words or initials Act or CAA mean or refer to the Clean Air
Act, unless the context indicates otherwise.
(ii) The initials AADT mean or refer to Annual Average Daily
Traffic.
(iii) The initials ADEQ mean or refer to Arizona Department of
Environmental Quality.
(iv) The initials ANP mean or refer to Annual Monitoring Network
Plans, commonly known as Annual Network Plans or ANP.
(v) The initials CO mean or refer to carbon monoxide.
(vi) The words EPA, we, us or our mean or refer to the United
States Environmental Protection Agency.
(vii) The initials MAG mean or refer to the Maricopa Association of
Governments.
[[Page 63186]]
(viii) The initials MCAQD mean or refer to the Maricopa County Air
Quality Department.
(ix) The initials MVEB mean or refer to Motor Vehicle Emissions
Budget.
(x) The initials mtpd mean or refer to metric tons per day.
(xi) The initials NAAQS mean or refer to the National Ambient Air
Quality Standards.
(xii) The initials ppm mean or refer to parts per million.
(xiii) The initials RTP mean or refer to Regional Transportation
Plan.
(xiv) The initials SIP mean or refer to State Implementation Plan.
(xv) The initials TIP mean or refer to Transportation Improvement
Plan.
(xvi) The initials TSA mean or refer to an air monitoring program
Technical Systems Audit.
(xvii) The words Arizona and State mean or refer to the State of
Arizona.
I. Background
A. Phoenix (Maricopa County), Arizona Attainment Status
Under the Clean Air Act (CAA) Amendments of 1990, the Phoenix
metropolitan area in Maricopa County, Arizona (hereinafter referred to
as Phoenix, the Phoenix area or the area) was designated and classified
as a moderate CO nonattainment area. On July 29, 1996, the EPA found
that the area had not attained the CO NAAQS by the moderate attainment
date and the area was reclassified to serious nonattainment by
operation of law, effective August 28, 1996. 61 FR 39343.
The primary CO NAAQS are attained when ambient concentration design
values do not exceed either the 1-hour 35 parts per million (ppm)
standard or the 8-hour 9 ppm standard more than once per year. 40 CFR
50.8(a). There have been no violations in Phoenix of the 1-hour CO
standard since 1984 and no violations of the 8-hour standard since
1996. 2013 Maintenance Plan, page 1-1. The EPA determined in 2003 that
the area had attained the CO NAAQS by the area's December 31, 2000
attainment deadline. 68 FR 55008, September 22, 2003. This
determination did not affect the designation of the area as
nonattainment or its classification as a serious area.
On May 30, 2003, the State of Arizona submitted a request to the
EPA to redesignate Phoenix from nonattainment to attainment for the CO
NAAQS. Along with this request, the State submitted a CAA section
175A(a) maintenance plan which demonstrated that the area would
maintain the CO NAAQS for the first 10 years following our approval of
the redesignation request (``2003 CO Maintenance Plan''). We approved
the State's redesignation request and 10-year maintenance plan on March
9, 2005, effective April 8, 2005. 70 FR 11553. For a detailed history
of the CO planning efforts in the area up to 2004, please see the
Technical Support Document that accompanied the EPA's proposal to
approve the first 10-year maintenance plan for the area. 69 FR 60328,
October 8, 2004.
B. 2013 CO Maintenance Plan
Eight years after an area is redesignated to attainment, CAA
section 175A(b) requires the State to submit a subsequent maintenance
plan to the EPA, covering a second 10-year period.\1\ The second
maintenance plan must demonstrate continued compliance with the NAAQS
during this second 10-year period. To fulfill this requirement of the
CAA, Arizona submitted the second 10-year update of the Phoenix area CO
maintenance plan to the EPA on April 2, 2013. The plan was developed by
the Maricopa Association of Governments (MAG) and is titled ``MAG 2013
Carbon Monoxide Maintenance Plan for the Maricopa County Area''
(hereinafter, ``2013 Maintenance Plan''). MAG is the State's delegated
Agency with authority to develop SIPs for Maricopa County. With this
action, we are proposing to approve the 2013 Maintenance Plan as a
revision to the Arizona SIP.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ In this case, the initial maintenance period extended
through 2015. Thus, the second 10-year period extends through 2025.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
C. Transportation Conformity
Section 176(c) of the Act defines conformity as meeting the SIP's
purpose of eliminating or reducing the severity and number of
violations of the NAAQS and achieving expeditious attainment of such
standards. The Act further defines transportation conformity to mean
that no Federal transportation activity will: (1) Cause or contribute
to any new violation of any standard in any area; (2) increase the
frequency or severity of any existing violation of any standard in any
area; or (3) delay timely attainment of any standard or any required
interim emission reductions or other milestones in any area. The
Federal transportation conformity rule, 40 CFR part 93 subpart A, sets
forth the criteria and procedures for demonstrating and assuring
conformity of transportation plans, programs and projects which are
developed, funded or approved by the U.S. Department of Transportation,
and by metropolitan planning organizations or other recipients of
Federal funds under Title 23 U.S.C. or the Federal Transit Laws. 49
U.S.C. chapter 53.
The transportation conformity rule applies within all nonattainment
and maintenance areas. As prescribed by the transportation conformity
rule, once an area has an applicable SIP with MVEBs, the expected
emissions from planned transportation activities must be consistent
with such established budgets for that area.
With this action, the EPA proposes to find adequate and approve a
CO transportation conformity MVEB for the year 2025 and beyond.
II. The EPA's Evaluation of Arizona's Submittal
The 2013 Maintenance Plan contains the following major sections:
1. Introduction. This section contains a general discussion of CO
plan approvals and the area's redesignation to attainment. 2013
Maintenance Plan, Chapter 1.
2. Continued Attainment of the Carbon Monoxide NAAQS. This section
includes some historical background, a description of the CO monitoring
network in Phoenix, monitoring results and the State's demonstration
that the area has continued to attain the CO standards, and information
regarding the State's monitoring data quality assurance program. 2013
Maintenance Plan, Chapter 2.
3. Maintenance Plan. This section includes control measures,
maintenance demonstration, monitoring network information and
verification that the area has continued to attain the CO standards,
contingency provisions, a transportation conformity budget and
subsequent maintenance plan revisions. 2013 Maintenance Plan, Chapter
3.
The following is the EPA's evaluation of the ambient air monitoring
information and maintenance plan provided in the State's submittal.
A. Ambient Air Quality Monitoring Data
The primary NAAQS for CO are: ``(1) 9 parts per million (10
milligrams per cubic meter) for an 8-hour average concentration not to
be exceeded more than once per year and (2) 35 parts per million (40
milligrams per cubic meter) for a 1-hour average concentration not to
be exceeded more than once per year.'' 40 CFR 50.8. At the time of
submittal of the 2013 Maintenance Plan in March 2013, there had been no
violations in Phoenix of the 1-hour carbon monoxide
[[Page 63187]]
standard since 1984 and no violations of the 8-hour standard since
1996. 2013 Maintenance Plan, page 1-1.
Table 1--CO Design Values for Phoenix, AZ, Years 2005-2014
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Design values (ppm) \2\
------------------------------------------------------ Years
1-Hour 8-Hour
------------------------------------------------------------------------
7.0............................... 4.6 2005
6.5............................... 4.6 2006
6.0............................... 4.1 2007
4.5............................... 3.0 2008
4.8............................... 3.3 2009
8.9............................... 3.2 2010
3.9............................... 2.9 2011
4.5............................... 2.5 2012
4.2............................... 2.7 2013
4.9............................... 2.8 2014
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The EPA also examined monitoring data for Phoenix from the entire
period covered by the first maintenance plan. Table 1 shows the
complete, quality assured and certified ambient air monitoring design
values for CO in the area for the years 2005 to 2014. The monitoring
data show the area has not violated the CO standards during the first
maintenance period. The EPA notes the trend of 8-hour CO design values
decreasing during this period, as also described in the 2013
Maintenance Plan for the years 2004 to 2011. 2013 Maintenance Plan,
figure 2-2, page 2-8.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ Design values were derived from the EPA Air Trends (https://www3.epa.gov/airtrends/values.html) Web site.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
B. Maintenance Plan Control Measures
The State and MAG commit to continue to implement the nine control
measures listed in the 2003 Maintenance Plan, and have implemented a
tenth control measure that had been identified in that plan as a
contingency measure. 2013 Maintenance Plan, page 3-1. Table 2 lists
these control measures. 2013 Maintenance Plan, table 3-1, page 3-2.
Table 2--Maintenance Measures in the 2013 Maintenance Plan
------------------------------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. California Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline with 3.5% Oxygen Content
from November 1 through March 31
2. Off-Road Vehicle and Engine Standards
3. Phased-in Emission Test Cutpoints
4. One-Time Waiver from Vehicle Emissions Test
5. Defer Emissions Associated with Government Activities
6. Coordinate Traffic Signal Systems
7. Develop Intelligent Transportation Systems
8. Tougher Enforcement of Vehicle Registration and Emissions Test
Compliance
9. Clean Burning Fireplace Ordinances
10. Expansion of Area A Boundaries
------------------------------------------------------------------------
The tenth control measure listed in Table 2 is described in the
2003 Maintenance Plan as a contingency measure. 2003 Maintenance Plan,
Exhibit 2, Appendix A, Technical Support Document, Section VII-2-2. The
State has implemented the expansion of Area A boundaries and the EPA
approved the expansion of Area A boundaries as a revision to the
Arizona SIP on May 22, 2013. 78 FR 30209.
C. Emissions Inventories
The 2013 Maintenance Plan provides a comparison of actual CO
emissions in the Phoenix maintenance area in 2008 with projected
emissions in 2025. 2003 Maintenance Plan, page 3-4, table 3-3. These
emissions are for an average weekday during the winter season, the
months November to January. The 2008 emissions are taken from the
latest periodic emissions inventory for the area, the 2008 periodic
emissions inventory, which is included in Appendix A, Exhibit 1 of the
2013 Maintenance Plan. Emissions for the year 2025 used growth factors
for the area derived from the 2005 special U.S. census conducted in the
area and EPA models for estimating onroad emissions and nonroad
equipment emissions, as well as the Emissions and Dispersion Modeling
System and the Federal Aviation Administration Terminal Area Forecast
system database for all airports except Luke Air Force Base (AFB).
Emissions of CO from the Luke AFB were derived from two documents: the
first, titled ``2008 Mobile Source Emissions Inventory for Luke Air
Force Base,'' prepared by Weston Solutions, Inc. for the Air Education
and Training Command, U.S. Air Force, Randolph AFB, Texas, in June
2010; the second document is titled ``F-35A Training Basing
Environmental Impact Statement, Final Volume 1,'' prepared by the U.S.
Air Force in 2012.
Several emissions reductions are credited in the projected
emissions for the year 2025. The first two control measures listed in
Table 2, California Phase 2 Reformulated Gasoline with 3.5 percent
Oxygen Content from November 1 through March 31, and Off-Road Vehicle
and Engine Standards, are estimated to produce reductions of CO
emissions of 128.9 mtpd and 15 mtpd, respectively. These reductions
represent about a 19 percent reduction of emissions by 2025. The State
and MAG commit to continued implementation of all other control
measures listed in Table 2. However, their collective reduction is
expected to be less than one percent of 2025 emissions, and therefore
no numeric credit was taken for those measures in the State's
projections of CO emissions in 2025.
Details regarding the technical inputs and assumptions used in
preparing the emissions inventories are provided in Chapter II of the
technical support document for the 2013 Maintenance plan, in Appendix
A, Exhibit 2. The results of MAG's inventory of actual emissions in
2008 and projected emissions in 2025 are provided in Table 3.
[[Page 63188]]
Table 3--Average Weekday Emissions during the Winter Season in the
Phoenix CO Maintenance Area, in metric tons per day (mtpd)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
CO Emissions
Source category -------------------------------
2008 2025
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Point................................... 0.7 19.8
Area.................................... 37.8 47.3
Nonroad................................. 281.5 213.1
Onroad.................................. 581.6 359.4
Total............................... 901.6 639.6
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Compared to emissions in 2008, projected emissions in 2025 show a
downward trend. Total CO emissions projected in the year 2025, 639.6
mtpd, represent approximately 70 percent of the actual emissions in the
year 2008.
D. Maintenance Demonstration
The 2013 Maintenance Plan relies on a series of technical analyses
to demonstrate maintenance of the CO NAAQS through the year 2025. MAG
performed three different modeling analyses to project CO emissions out
to the year 2025 and estimate their impact on maximum ambient CO
concentration. In addition, MAG conducted two weight-of-evidence
evaluations using actual trends in air quality and meteorological data
to reinforce the modeling analyses. MAG also developed a modeling
protocol to detail the technical approaches and assumptions to be used
in demonstrating maintenance of the CO NAAQS. 2013 Maintenance Plan,
Appendix A, Exhibit 2, Technical Support Document.
MAG's first modeling analysis was based on an emissions inventory
comparison. MAG developed two sets of CO emissions inventories: one
representing the CO modeling domain in 2006, 2008, 2015 and 2025;
another representing the maintenance area in 2008 and 2025. The
modeling domain covers 792 square miles, including the busiest
intersections in the area and the ambient air monitors with the highest
readings, while the maintenance area is 1,814 square miles. MAG
calculated the ratio of the total emissions expected in 2025 to the
total emissions in a prior year (2006 for the modeling domain and 2008
for the maintenance area). MAG then multiplied these ratios by the
maximum concentration in the earlier year to yield a predicted 2025
concentration. The maximum 8-hour CO concentration at West Indian
School monitor in 2006 was 5.3 ppm. When multiplied by the ratio of
2025 emissions for the maintenance area (403.9 mtpd) divided by 2006
emissions (803.0 mtpd) for the maintenance area, or 0.503, the
predicted concentration in 2025 at the West Indian School monitoring
site is 2.7 ppm, well below the 9 ppm level of the 8-hour CO NAAQS.
MAG's second modeling analysis involved updating the modeling of CO
concentrations performed in the 2003 Maintenance Plan using the EPA-
approved Urban Airshed Model (UAM) and the intersection hotspot model
(CAL3QHC). In particular, MAG updated the projections of concentrations
for the years 2006 and 2015 in the 2003 Maintenance Plan by adjusting
by the ratio of new to old emissions inventory totals and then scaling
them for the year 2025. The highest concentrations in 2025 predicted at
the two busiest intersections in Phoenix (at the Phoenix Grand Avenue
and West Indian School monitors) using these models was 4.0 ppm, less
than half of the level of the 8-hour standard.
MAG's third modeling approach in the 2013 Maintenance Plan was an
intersection hotspot analysis. The three intersections projected to
have the highest traffic volumes and the three intersections projected
to have the worst traffic congestion were identified using the MAG
TransCAD traffic assignment for the year 2025. MAG used CAL3QHC to
determine the maximum 8-hour concentration at these intersections in
2025, then added the expected background concentration, 1.3 ppm CO. The
highest CO concentration expected in 2025 was 1.7 ppm at two
intersections, 16th Street and Camelback Road, and Priest Drive and
Southern Avenue. This level is also well below the 8-hour CO NAAQS.
In addition to the above three modeling exercises, MAG conducted
two weight-of-evidence evaluations to support the maintenance
demonstration. In one, historical trends of 1-hour and 8-hour monitored
CO concentrations were applied to a regression analysis to project
concentrations in 2015 and 2025. The monitoring data used was from the
period 1980 to 2011. Projecting forward the trend lines using
regression analysis for each monitoring site, the West Phoenix site has
the highest projected 8-hour CO concentration, 2.7 ppm in 2015 and 1.6
ppm in 2025.
In a second weight-of-evidence evaluation, MAG conducted a
meteorological analysis to assess whether unusually favorable
meteorology played a role in continued maintenance of the CO standard.
In particular, MAG assessed long-term values of key meteorological
parameters, including temperature, wind speed, wind direction,
atmospheric stability and mixing height and compared these values to CO
monitored concentration trends during the same period. Four
meteorological analyses were performed, comparing later meteorological
data to the data from the 1994 episode used in the evaluation, when
there was an exceedance of the 8-hour CO standard, with the following
results: (1) The maximum 8-hour CO concentrations have continued to
decline, while meteorological conditions have not differed
significantly from the 1994 episode; (2) 8-hour CO concentrations
declined while daily variations in wind speeds, temperatures and mixing
heights have not varied significantly over time; (3) 1-hour CO
concentrations have continued to decrease over time regardless of
meteorological conditions; and (4) daily maximum 8-hour CO
concentrations below the CO NAAQS were predominant during the period
1997 through 2011 under the same range of wind speeds and mixing
heights.
The EPA finds that the three modeling exercises and two weight-of-
evidence evaluations provide compelling evidence that the Phoenix area
will continue to maintain the CO NAAQS.
E. Ambient Air Quality Monitoring Network
The Phoenix area has maintained an ambient air quality monitoring
network consisting of twelve State and Local Air Monitoring Stations
(SLAMS). Of these twelve monitoring stations, 11 are operated by the
Maricopa County Air Quality Department (MCAQD) and one
[[Page 63189]]
monitor is operated by the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality
(ADEQ). These agencies provide the EPA with Annual Monitoring Network
Plans (commonly known as Annual Network Plans or ANPs) for the area,
and have committed to continue to operate an appropriate air quality
monitoring network in accordance with appendix D of 40 CFR part 58.
2013 Maintenance Plan, page 3-17.
The EPA approved the area's ANPs, which describe the monitoring
network for the area and any changes anticipated for the following
year. The most recent ANP from the MCAQD was the ``MCAQD 2013 Final Air
Monitoring Network Review,'' dated December 5, 2014. The most recent
ANP from ADEQ was the ``State of Arizona Air Monitoring Network Plan
for the Year 2014,'' dated July 1, 2014. The 2014 MCAQD ANP was
approved by the EPA on March 31, 2015. Letter from Meredith Kurpius,
Manager, Air Quality Analysis Office, to William Wiley, Director,
MCAQD, dated March 31, 2015. The 2014 ADEQ ANP was approved by the EPA
on October 30, 2014. Letter from Meredith Kurpius, Manager, Air Quality
Analysis Office, to Eric Massey, Director, Air Quality Division, ADEQ,
dated October 30, 2014.
The EPA performs Technical Systems Audits (TSA) of ambient air
monitoring programs in accordance with 40 CFR part 58, section 2.5,
which requires that the EPA conduct TSAs of primary quality assurance
organizations every three years. The most recent TSA for the MCAQD was
conducted by the EPA on September 25 to September 27, 2013. The EPA's
findings from this TSA are presented in a final report. There were no
findings that were cause for data invalidation. Letter from Deborah
Jordan, Director, U.S. EPA Region 9 Air Division, to Phil McNeely,
Director, Maricopa County Air Quality Department, dated December 12,
2014, transmitting ``Technical System Audit, Maricopa County Air
Quality Department, Ambient Air Monitoring Program, September 25-
September 27, 2013,'' dated December 2014.
The most recent TSA for ADEQ was conducted by the EPA on April 9 to
April 13, 2012. The EPA's findings from this TSA are presented in a
final report. There were no findings that were cause for data
invalidation. Letter from Deborah Jordan, Director, U.S. EPA Region 9
Air Division, to Eric Massey, Director, ADEQ Air Division, dated
January 18, 2013, transmitting ``Technical System Audit, Arizona
Department of Environmental Quality, Ambient Air Monitoring Program,
April 9-April 13, 2012,'' dated January 2013.
The EPA is confident that the area's air quality monitoring network
is being implemented in accordance with requirements in the CAA and
implementing regulations in 40 CFR part 58.
F. Contingency Plan
Section 175A(d) of the CAA requires that a maintenance plan include
contingency provisions to promptly correct any violation of the NAAQS
that occurs after redesignation of an area. A maintenance plan's
contingency measures are not required to be fully adopted. However, the
plan should contain clearly identified contingency measures to be
adopted, a schedule and procedure for adoption and implementation, and
a specific time limit for action by the State. In addition, specific
indicators should be identified which will be used to determine when
the contingency measures need to be implemented. EPA memorandum,
``Procedures for Processing Requests to Redesignate Areas to
Attainment,'' September 4, 1992.
Two contingency measures that were included in the 2003 Maintenance
Plan are included in the 2013 Maintenance Plan: Gross Polluter Option
for I/M Program Waivers, and Increased Waiver Repair Limit Options.
These contingency measures have already been implemented in the area. A
third contingency measure has been added to the 2013 Maintenance Plan:
Reinstatement of the Vehicle Emissions Inspection and Maintenance (VEI)
Program for Motorcycles. The VEI program for motorcycles was a control
measure in the area prior to redesignation to attainment, but the State
subsequently exempted motorcycles from the VEI program. Pursuant to
section CAA section 175A(d) of the CAA, the contingency provisions of a
maintenance plan must include all the control measures that were
included in the SIP for the area before redesignation. Therefore, the
State is required to include the VEI program for motorcycles as a
contingency measure in the 2013 CO Maintenance Plan. ADEQ has fulfilled
this requirement by submitting a SIP revision committing to request
Legislative action to reinstate emissions testing for motorcycles in
the Phoenix area should the area experience a violation of the CO
standards. See 78 FR 30209, May 22, 2013. In addition, as noted above,
the State has expanded Area A in Maricopa County, which extends
additional controls beyond the previous boundary for Area A, converting
this expansion from a contingency measure in the 2003 Maintenance Plan,
to a control measure in the 2013 Maintenance Plan.
We propose to find that the contingency plan in the 2013
Maintenance Plan is sufficient to meet the requirements of section
175A(d) of the CAA.
G. Transportation Conformity
Transportation conformity is required by section 176(c) of the CAA.
Conformity to a SIP means that transportation activities will not
produce new air quality violations, worsen existing violations, or
delay timely attainment of the NAAQS (CAA section 176(c)(1)(B)). The
EPA's conformity rule at 40 CFR part 93, subpart A requires that
transportation plans, programs and projects conform to SIPs and
establish the criteria and procedures for determining whether or not
they conform. To effectuate its purpose, the conformity rule generally
requires a demonstration that emissions from the Regional
Transportation Plan (RTP) and the Transportation Improvement Program
(TIP) are consistent with MVEBs contained in the control strategy SIP
revision or maintenance plan (40 CFR 93.101, 93.118, and 93.124). An
MVEB is defined as the level of mobile source emissions of a pollutant
relied upon in the attainment or maintenance demonstration to attain or
maintain compliance with the NAAQS in the nonattainment or maintenance
area.\3\ The EPA's process for determining adequacy of a MVEB consists
of three basic steps: (1) Notifying the public of a SIP submission; (2)
providing the public the opportunity to comment on the MVEB during a
public comment period; and, (3) making a finding of adequacy or
inadequacy. See 40 CR 93.118(f). The 2003 Maintenance Plan established
CO MVEBs (calculated for Friday in December) of 699.7 mtpd in 2006 and
662.9 mtpd in 2015. The EPA found the CO MVEBs adequate for
transportation conformity purposes on September 29, 2003, 68 FR 55950,
and approved the MVEBs on March 9, 2005, 70 FR 11553.
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\3\ Further information concerning the EPA's interpretations
regarding MVEBs can be found in the preamble to the EPA's November
24, 1993, transportation conformity rule (see 58 FR 62193-62196).
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The 2013 Maintenance Plan establishes a 2025 MVEB of 559.4 mtpd for
the CO maintenance area. We are not announcing the availability of this
MVEB through the EPA's Adequacy Web site and providing a separate
comment period on the adequacy of the
[[Page 63190]]
MVEB. Instead, we are reviewing the adequacy of the MVEB simultaneously
with our review of the 2013 Maintenance Plan itself. See 40 CFR
93.118(f)(2). In order to determine whether this MVEB is adequate and
approvable, we have evaluated whether the MVEB meets the conformity
adequacy provisions of 40 CFR 93.118(e)(4) and (5). The details of the
EPA's evaluation of the MVEB for compliance with the budget adequacy
criteria of 40 CFR 93.118(e) are provided in a memo to file for this
proposed rulemaking. Memo from John J. Kelly, Air Planning Office, EPA
Region 9, to Docket EPA-R09-OAR-2015-0645, dated September 29, 2015.
Based on this evaluation, we propose to find the 2025 MVEB adequate and
to approve it. Any and all comments on the adequacy and approvability
of the 2025 MVEB should be submitted during the comment period stated
in the DATES section of this document.
If today's proposed action is finalized, the 2015 MVEB, which is
already approved for 2015 and later years, would apply only up to the
year 2024. For the year 2025 and later years, the budget will be 559.4
mtpd. See Table 4.
Table 4--Approved and Proposed Transportation Conformity Motor Vehicle Emissions Budgets for the Phoenix CO
Maintenance Area, in metric tons per day (mtpd)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Approved Approved Proposed
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Year 2006 2015 2025
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CO MVEB......................................................... 699.7 662.9 559.4
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
III. Proposed Action
The EPA is proposing to approve the 2013 Maintenance Plan submitted
on April 3, 2012. This maintenance plan meets the applicable CAA
requirements and the EPA has determined it is sufficient to provide for
maintenance of the CO NAAQS over the course of the second 10-year
maintenance period out to 2025.
The EPA is also proposing to find adequate and approve the CO MVEB
of 559.4 mtpd for use in the year 2025 and later years.
IV. Statutory and Executive Orders Review
Under the CAA, the Administrator is required to approve a SIP
submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and applicable
federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in
reviewing SIP submissions, the EPA's role is to approve State choices,
provided that they meet the criteria of the CAA. Accordingly, this
action merely proposes to approve State law as meeting federal
requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those
imposed by State law. For that reason, this action:
Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Order
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993);
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the Clean Air Act; and
Does not provide the EPA with the discretionary authority
to address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or
environmental effects, using practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, the SIP is not approved to apply on any Indian
reservation land or in any other area where the EPA or an Indian tribe
has demonstrated that a tribe has jurisdiction. In those areas of
Indian country, the rule does not have tribal implications and will not
impose substantial direct costs on tribal governments or preempt tribal
law as specified by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9,
2000).
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Carbon monoxide,
Incorporation by reference, Intergovernmental relations, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 30, 2015.
Jared Blumenfeld,
Regional Administrator, Region 9.
[FR Doc. 2015-26405 Filed 10-16-15; 8:45 am]
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