Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products: Energy Conservation Standards for Direct Heating Equipment and Pool Heaters, 15922-15930 [2015-06809]
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DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
10 CFR Part 430
[Docket Number EERE–2015–BT–STD–
0003]
RIN 1904–AD49
Energy Conservation Program for
Consumer Products: Energy
Conservation Standards for Direct
Heating Equipment and Pool Heaters
Office of Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy, Department of
Energy.
ACTION: Request for information (RFI).
AGENCY:
The U.S. Department of
Energy (DOE) is initiating a rulemaking
to consider amended energy
conservation standards for direct
heating equipment and pool heaters.
Once completed, this rulemaking will
fulfill DOE’s statutory obligation to
either propose amended energy
conservation standards for these
products or to determine that the
existing standards do not need to be
amended. This RFI seeks to solicit
information to help DOE determine
whether national standards more
stringent than those that are currently in
place would result in a significant
amount of additional energy savings and
whether such amended national
standards would be technologically
feasible and economically justified. In
overview, this document presents a brief
description of the analysis DOE plans to
perform for this rulemaking and
requests comment on various issues
relating to each of the analyses (e.g.,
market assessment, engineering
analysis, energy use analysis, life-cycle
cost and payback period analysis,
national impact analysis, and
manufacturer impact analysis).
Although this document contains
several specific topics on which the
Department is particularly interested in
receiving written comment, DOE
welcomes suggestions and information
from the public on any subject within
the scope of this rulemaking, including
topics not raised in this RFI.
DATES: Written comments and
information are requested on or before
April 27, 2015.
ADDRESSES: Interested parties are
encouraged to submit comments
electronically. However, interested
persons may submit comments,
identified by docket number EERE–
2015–BT–STD–0003 and/or regulatory
identification number (RIN) 1904–AD49
by any of the following methods:
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SUMMARY:
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• Federal eRulemaking Portal:
www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
• Email: DHE2015STD0003@
ee.doe.gov. Include docket number
EERE–2015–BT–STD–0003 and/or RIN
1904–AD49 in the subject line of the
message. Submit electronic comments
in WordPerfect, Microsoft Word, PDF,
or ASCII file format, and avoid the use
of special characters or any form of
encryption.
• Postal Mail: Ms. Brenda Edwards,
U.S. Department of Energy, Building
Technologies Program, Mailstop EE–2J,
1000 Independence Avenue SW.,
Washington, DC 20585–0121. If
possible, please submit all items on a
compact disc (CD), in which case it is
not necessary to include printed copies.
• Hand Delivery/Courier: Ms. Brenda
Edwards, U.S. Department of Energy,
Building Technologies Program, 6th
Floor, 950 L’Enfant Plaza SW.,
Washington, DC 20024. Telephone:
(202) 586–2945. If possible, please
submit all items on a CD, in which case
it is not necessary to include printed
copies.
For detailed instructions on
submitting comments and additional
information on the rulemaking process,
see section III of this document (Public
Participation).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Requests for additional information may
be sent to Ms. Ashley Armstrong, U.S.
Department of Energy, Office of Energy
Efficiency and Renewable Energy,
Building Technologies Program, EE–5B,
1000 Independence Avenue SW.,
Washington, DC 20585–0121.
Telephone: (202) 586–6590. Email:
direct_heating_equipment@ee.doe.gov.
Mr. Sarah Butler, U.S. Department of
Energy, Office of the General Counsel,
GC–33, 1000 Independence Avenue
SW., Washington, DC 20585–0121.
Telephone: (202) 586–1777. Email:
Sarah.Butler@hq.doe.gov.
For information on how to submit or
review public comments, contact Ms.
Brenda Edwards, U.S. Department of
Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy, Building
Technologies Program, Mailstop EE–2J,
1000 Independence Avenue SW.,
Washington, DC 20585–0121.
Telephone: (202) 586–2945. Email:
Brenda.Edwards@ee.doe.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
C. Technology Options for Consideration
D. Engineering Analysis
E. Markups Analysis
F. Energy Use Analysis
G. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period
Analysis
H. Shipment Analysis
I. National Impact Analysis
J. Manufacturer Impact Analysis
III. Public Participation
I. Introduction
Table of Contents
A. Background and Authority
Title III, Part B 1 of the Energy Policy
and Conservation Act of 1975 (‘‘EPCA’’
or ‘‘the Act’’), Public Law 94–163
(codified at 42 U.S.C. 6291–6309) sets
forth a variety of provisions designed to
improve energy efficiency and
establishes the Energy Conservation
Program for Consumer Products Other
Than Automobiles.2 This program
includes most major household
appliances (collectively referred to as
‘‘covered products’’), including the two
covered products that are the subject of
this rule: direct heating equipment
(DHE) and pool heaters. (42 U.S.C.
6292(a)(9) and (11)) Under EPCA, this
energy conservation program generally
consists of four parts: (1) Testing; (2)
labeling; (3) establishing Federal energy
conservation standards; and (4)
certification and enforcement
procedures.
EPCA prescribes specific energy
conservation standards for the pool
heaters and gas-fired direct heating
equipment. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(2), (3))
EPCA also directed DOE to conduct two
cycles of rulemakings to determine
whether to amend its standards for
direct heating equipment and pool
heaters. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(4)) The
statute further requires DOE to publish
a notice of proposed rulemaking
including new proposed standards or a
notice of determination that the
standards for a product need not be
amended no later than 6 years after
issuance of any final rule establishing or
amending standards for that product.
(42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(1)) DOE last
promulgated a final rule on April 16,
2010, amending its energy conservation
standards for direct heating equipment
and pool heaters, constituting the first of
these two required rulemakings. 75 FR
20112. The current rulemaking satisfies
the statutory requirements under EPCA
to conduct a second round of review of
the DHE and pool heater standards. (42
U.S.C. 6295(e)(4)(B)) Additionally, this
I. Introduction
A. Background and Authority
B. Rulemaking Process
II. Planned Rulemaking Analyses
A. Test Procedures
B. Market and Technology Assessment
1 For editorial reasons, upon codification in the
U.S. Code, Part B was redesignated as Part A.
2 All references to EPCA in this document refer
to the statute as amended through the American
Energy Manufacturing Technical Corrections Act
(AEMTCA), Public Law. 112–210 (Dec. 18, 2012).
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rulemaking will satisfy the requirement
for DOE to publish a notice of proposed
rulemaking containing proposed
standards or a notice of determination
that the standards for direct heating
equipment and pool heaters do not need
to be amended by April 16, 2016. (42
U.S.C. 6295(m)(1)) If DOE were to
publish a notice of proposed rulemaking
containing proposed amendments to its
standards for either direct heating
equipment or pool heaters, DOE would
be required to issue a final rule
amending the standards no later than 2
years after issuance of the notice. (42
U.S.C. 6295(m)(3)(A))
EPCA also provides criteria for
prescribing amended standards for
covered products generally, including
direct heating equipment and pool
heaters. As indicated above, any such
amended standard must be designed to
achieve the maximum improvement in
energy efficiency that is technologically
feasible and economically justified. (42
U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(A)) Additionally,
EPCA provides specific prohibitions on
prescribing such standards. DOE may
not prescribe an amended standard for
any of its covered products for which it
has not established a test procedure. (42
U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(A)) Further, DOE may
not prescribe a standard if DOE
determines by rule that such standard
would not result in ‘‘significant
conservation of energy,’’ or ‘‘is not
technologically feasible or economically
justified.’’ (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(B))
EPCA also provides that in deciding
whether a standard is economically
justified for covered products, DOE
must, after receiving comments on the
proposed standard, determine whether
the benefits of the standard exceed its
burdens by considering, to the greatest
extent practicable, the following seven
factors:
1. The economic impact of the standard on
manufacturers and consumers of the
products subject to the standard;
2. The savings in operating costs
throughout the estimated average life of the
covered products in the type (or class)
compared to any increase in the price, initial
charges, or maintenance expenses for the
covered products that are likely to result
from the imposition of the standard;
3. The total projected amount of energy (or,
as applicable, water) savings likely to result
directly from the imposition of the standard;
4. Any lessening of the utility or the
performance of the covered products likely to
result from the imposition of the standard;
5. The impact of any lessening of
competition, as determined in writing by the
Attorney General, that is likely to result from
the imposition of the standard;
6. The need for national energy and water
conservation; and
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7. Other factors the Secretary of Energy
(Secretary) considers relevant. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(I) through (VII))
In addition, EPCA, as amended,
establishes a rebuttable presumption
that any standard for covered products
is economically justified if the Secretary
finds that ‘‘the additional cost to the
consumer of purchasing a product
complying with an energy conservation
standard level will be less than three
times the value of the energy (and as
applicable, water) savings during the
first year that the consumer will receive
as a result of the standard,’’ as
calculated under the test procedure in
place for that standard. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(B)(iii))
EPCA also contains what is
commonly known as an ‘‘antibacksliding’’ provision. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(1)) This provision mandates
that the Secretary not prescribe any
amended standard that either increases
the maximum allowable energy use or
decreases the minimum required energy
efficiency of a covered product. EPCA
further provides that the Secretary may
not prescribe an amended standard if
interested persons have established by a
preponderance of the evidence that the
standard is likely to result in the
unavailability in the United States of
any product type (or class) with
performance characteristics (including
reliability), features, sizes, capacities,
and volumes that are substantially the
same as those generally available in the
United States at the time of the
Secretary’s finding. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(4)) Under 42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(1),
EPCA specifies requirements applicable
to promulgating standards for any type
or class of covered product that has two
or more subcategories. Under this
provision, DOE must specify a different
standard level than that which applies
generally to such type or class of
product that has the same function or
intended use, if DOE determines that
the products within such group: (A)
Consume a different kind of energy from
that consumed by other covered
products within such type (or class); or
(B) have a capacity or other
performance-related feature which other
products within such type (or class) do
not have and such feature justifies a
higher or lower standard’’ than applies
or will apply to the other products. (42
U.S.C. 6295(q)(1)) In determining
whether a performance-related feature
justifies such a different standard for a
group of products, DOE must consider
‘‘such factors as the utility to the
consumer of such a feature’’ and other
factors the Secretary deems appropriate.
Id. Any rule prescribing such a standard
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must include an explanation of the basis
on which DOE established such higher
or lower level. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(2))
Section 310(3) of the Energy
Independence and Security Act of 2007
(EISA 2007; Pub. L. 110–140) amended
EPCA to prospectively require that
energy conservation standards address
standby mode and off mode energy use.
Specifically, when DOE adopts new or
amended standards for a covered
product after July 1, 2010, the final rule
must, if justified by the criteria for
adoption of standards in section 325(o)
of EPCA, incorporate standby mode and
off mode energy use into a single
standard if feasible, or otherwise adopt
a separate standard for such energy use
for that product. (42 U.S.C. 6295(gg)(3))
On December 17, 2012 DOE
promulgated a final rule amending its
test procedures for vented direct heating
equipment and pool heaters to
incorporate standby and off-mode
energy consumption (see section II.A
below for further detail). 77 FR 74559.
The amendments related to standby and
off-mode energy consumption were not
required for purposes of compliance
until the compliance date of the next
standards final rule for those products.
Id. This rulemaking, if amended
standards are ultimately adopted, would
serve as the next energy conservation
standards rulemaking subsequent to
these test procedure amendments, and
therefore this rulemaking will take into
account standby and off-mode energy
consumption.
Finally, Federal energy conservation
requirements for covered products
generally supersede State laws or
regulations concerning energy
conservation testing, labeling, and
standards. (42 U.S.C. 6297(a) through
(c)) DOE can, however, grant waivers of
Federal preemption for particular State
laws or regulations, in accordance with
the procedures and other provisions of
section 327(d) of the Act. (42 U.S.C.
6297(d))
B. Rulemaking Process
In addition to the specific statutory
criteria discussed in section I.A that
DOE must follow for prescribing
amended standards for covered
products, DOE uses a specific process to
assess the appropriateness of amending
the standards that are currently in place
for a given type of product. For direct
heating equipment and pool heaters,
DOE plans to conduct in-depth
technical analyses of the costs and
benefits of the potential amended
standards to determine whether more
stringent standards are technologically
feasible and would lead to significant
energy savings, and whether such
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amended standards would be
economically justified. The analyses
would include the following: (1)
Engineering; (2) energy use; (3)
markups; (4) life-cycle cost and payback
period; and (5) national impacts. DOE
will also conduct downstream analyses
including an analysis of: (1)
Manufacturer impacts; (2) emission
impacts; (3) utility impacts; (4)
employment impacts; and (5) regulatory
impacts. DOE will also conduct several
other analyses that support those
previously listed, including the market
and technology assessment, the
screening analysis (which contributes to
the engineering analysis), and the
shipments analysis (which contributes
to the national impact analysis). As
detailed throughout this RFI, DOE is
publishing this notice as the first step in
the analytical process and is requesting
input and data from interested parties to
aid in the development of the technical
analyses.
Subsequently, DOE may conduct a
preliminary analysis for some or all
products, particularly heat pump pool
heaters since no prior rulemaking record
for these products exists. Alternatively,
DOE may elect to proceed directly to a
NOPR (or determination that standards
need not be amended) for some or all
products.
II. Planned Rulemaking Analyses
In this section, DOE summarizes the
rulemaking analyses and identifies a
number of issues on which it seeks
input and data in order to aid in the
development of the technical and
economic analyses to determine
whether amended energy conservation
standards may be warranted for direct
heating equipment and/or pool heaters.
In addition, DOE welcomes comments
on other issues relevant to the conduct
of this rulemaking that may not
specifically be identified in this RFI.
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A. Test Procedures
The test procedure for vented home
heating equipment is located at 10 CFR
430.23(o) and 10 CFR part 430, subpart
B, appendix O (Appendix O) for vented
home heating equipment (‘‘vented
heater’’). The vented heater test
procedure includes provisions for
determining energy efficiency (annual
fuel utilization efficiency (AFUE)), as
well as annual energy consumption.
DOE’s test procedure for pool heaters is
found at 10 CFR 430.23(p) and 10 CFR
part 430, subpart B, appendix P
(Appendix P). The test procedure
includes provisions for determining two
energy efficiency descriptors (i.e.,
thermal efficiency and integrated
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thermal efficiency), as well as annual
energy consumption.
EISA 2007 amended EPCA to require
DOE to amend its test procedures for all
covered products to include
measurement of standby mode and off
mode energy consumption. (42 U.S.C.
6295(gg)(2)(A)) DOE published a final
rule adopting standby mode and off
mode provisions for direct heating
equipment and pool heaters in the
Federal Register on December 17, 2012
(hereafter referred to as the December
2012 test procedure final rule). 77 FR
74559. Additionally, DOE published a
final rule regarding its DHE and pool
heater test procedures on January 6,
2015 adopting, among other things,
provisions for testing vented home
heaters that use condensing technology,
updated industry standards
incorporated by reference, and
provisions for testing electric resistance
and electric heat pump pool heaters,
and which clarified the applicability of
the test procedure to oil-fired pool
heaters (hereafter referred to as the
January 2015 test procedure final rule).
80 FR 792. DOE will use the most
current version of the test procedures as
the basis for any amended energy
conservation standards.
For DHE, the December 2012 test
procedure final rule included additional
measurements and calculations in the
test procedure to determine the annual
electrical consumption in standby and
off-mode separate from the AFUE
metric. 77 FR 74559, 74571–74572. The
standby and off-mode fossil fuel
consumption for DHE was previously
incorporated in the AFUE in the form of
the pilot light usage and off-cycle flue
and stack losses. For gas-fired pool
heaters, the December 2012 test
procedure final rule included
measurements and calculations that
incorporate electrical and fossil fuel
consumption in standby and off-mode
into an integrated thermal efficiency
metric. Id. at 74572–74573. The
provisions for testing electric resistance
and electric heat pump pool heaters
added in the January 2015 test
procedure final rule also integrate the
standby and off-mode electrical
consumption into an integrated thermal
efficiency metric. 80 FR 792, 813–815.
For both DHE and pool heaters, the
December 2012 test procedure
amendments were not required for
testing in determining compliance with
the current energy conservation
standards until the next energy
conservation standard final rule. 77 FR
74559. This rulemaking is the
subsequent standards rulemaking to the
December 2012 test procedure
amendments; therefore, DOE plans to
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consider energy conservation standards
as part of this rulemaking that
incorporate standby and off-mode
energy use as measured by the amended
test procedures.
In the case of vented home heating
equipment, while the pilot light and offcycle flue and stack losses are integrated
into the AFUE, the measurements and
calculations for standby and off-mode
electrical consumption are not. Should
DOE consider standby and off-mode
electrical consumption of vented home
heating equipment separate analyses
would be conducted in order to propose
energy conservation standards for
standby and off-mode electrical
consumption. In order to make such a
determination, DOE is seeking data,
information, and comment on the
electrical consumption of vented home
heating equipment in standby and offmode.
Issue 1: DOE seeks data, information,
and comment on the electrical
consumption of all product classes of
DHE in standby and off-mode.
In the case of pool heaters, the
amendments contained in the December
2012 test procedure final rule integrated
the standby and off-mode electrical
consumption for gas-fired pool heaters
into an integrated thermal efficiency
metric. Likewise, the January 2015 test
procedure final rule added provisions
for determining the integrated thermal
efficiency of electric resistance and
electric heat pump pool heaters. Since
the current pool heater rating metric
(thermal efficiency) and energy
conservation standards do not
incorporate standby and off-mode
energy consumption, DOE would need
to develop a method to convert from the
existing thermal efficiency ratings
(which does not include standby and off
mode energy consumption) to ratings
under the new integrated thermal
efficiency metric (which includes
standby and off mode energy
consumption). DOE plans to develop a
method of converting ratings from those
under the current metrics to those under
the new metrics that include standby
and off-mode energy consumption. To
that end, DOE is requesting information
regarding typical standby and off-mode
fossil fuel and electricity consumption
for DHE and pool heaters.
Issue 2: DOE requests data and
information regarding typical energy use
(fossil fuel and electricity) in standby
and off-modes for all pool heater types
(i.e. gas-fired, electric resistance, and
electric heat pump). DOE also requests
data and information regarding the
impacts on efficiency ratings of
including the standby mode and off
mode energy consumption in the
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integrated thermal efficiency (pool
heaters).
B. Market and Technology Assessment
The market and technology
assessment provides information about
the direct heating equipment and pool
heater industries that will be used
throughout the rulemaking process. For
example, this information will be used
to determine whether the existing
product class structure requires
modification based on the statutory
criteria for setting such classes and to
explore the potential for technological
improvements in the design of such
products. The Department uses
qualitative and quantitative information
to assess the past and present industry
structure and market characteristics.
DOE will use existing market materials
and literature from a variety of sources,
including industry publications, trade
journals, government agencies, and
trade organizations. DOE will also
consider conducting interviews with
manufacturers to assess the overall
market for both direct heating
equipment and for pool heaters.
The current product classes as
established in the Code of Federal
Regulations for direct heating
equipment are characterized by product
type (i.e., wall fan, wall gravity, floor
furnace, and room heater), and size (i.e.,
input capacity rating). As a starting
point, DOE plans to use the existing
product class structure for products
manufactured after April 16, 2013,
which divides direct heating equipment
into the equipment classes as shown in
the table in 10 CFR 430.32(i) and
summarized below in Table II.1.
TABLE II.1—PRODUCT CLASSES FOR
DIRECT HEATING EQUIPMENT
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Product type
Gas wall fan type up to 42,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall fan type over 42,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall gravity type up to 27,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall gravity type over 27,000 Btu/h up to
46,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall gravity type over 46,000 Btu/h.
Gas floor up to 37,000 Btu/h.
Gas floor over 37,000 Btu/h.
Gas room up to 20,000 Btu/h.
Gas room over 20,000 Btu/h up to 27,000
Btu/h.
Gas room over 27,000 Btu/h up to 46,000
Btu/h.
Gas room over 46,000 Btu/h.
DOE’s energy conservation standards
for pool heaters currently regulate only
one type of pool heater—gas-fired pool
heaters. In analyzing standards for
electric (including both resistance and
heat pump), DOE will consider creating
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separate product classes for pool heaters
based on fuel type, capacity, or other
performance related features that may
affect efficiency and justify the
establishment of different energy
conservation standards.
Issue 3: DOE requests feedback on the
current product classes for direct
heating equipment and seeks
information regarding other product
classes it should consider for inclusion
in its analysis.
Issue 4: DOE seeks comment on
whether product classes should be
established for pool heaters and seeks
information regarding product classes it
should consider for inclusion in its
analysis.
Issue 5: DOE seeks data, information,
and comment on electric resistance pool
heaters, specifically on their capacities
and applications. DOE also requests
data, information, and comment on
whether heat pump technology is a
viable design for those applications in
which electric resistance pool heaters
are typically found.
As discussed in section II.A, DOE
published a final rule on January 6,
2015 regarding its test procedures for
DHE and pool heaters in which it was
clarified that the test procedure applies
to oil-fired pool heaters. 80 FR 792
However, in reviewing the pool heater
market, DOE found only one model of
oil-fired pool heater available. DOE
therefore has tentatively determined
that the energy savings potential for oilfired pool heaters is de minimis, and
that accordingly energy conservation
standards need not be proposed.
Issue 6: DOE seeks comment on its
tentative conclusion that energy
conservation standards for oil-fired pool
heaters would result in de minimis
energy savings.
C. Technology Options for
Consideration
DOE uses information about existing
and past technology options and
prototype designs to help identify
technologies that manufacturers could
use to meet and/or exceed energy
conservation standards. In consultation
with interested parties, DOE intends to
develop a list of technologies to
consider in its analysis. Initially, this
list will include all those technologies
considered to be technologically feasible
and will serve to establish the maximum
technologically feasible design. For
DHE, DOE will initially consider the
specific technologies and design options
listed below, along with any other
technologies identified during the
rulemaking analysis.
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• Improved insulation 3
• Power and direct venting
• Condensing heat exchanger
technology
• Electronic ignition systems
• Improved controls 4
• Improved burners 5
• Flue or stack damper 6
• Improved heat exchanger design 7
For gas-fired pool heaters, DOE will
consider the specific technologies and
design options listed below.
• Improved insulation 3
• Improved controls 4
• Improved heat exchanger design 7
• Condensing heat exchanger
technology
• Electronic ignition systems
For electric pool heaters, if included
in the scope of this rulemaking, DOE
would initially consider the specific
technologies and design options listed
below.
• Improved insulation 3
• Improved controls 4
• Heat pump (as opposed to electric
resistance element) 8
• Increased evaporator surface area
(heat pump pool heaters)
• Increased condenser surface area (heat
pump pool heaters)
• Improved compressor efficiency (heat
pump pool heaters)
Issue 7: DOE seeks information
related to these or other efficiencyimproving technologies for DHE or pool
heaters. Specifically, DOE is interested
in comments regarding their costs,
applicability to the current market, and
how these technologies improve
efficiency of DHE and pool heaters.
D. Engineering Analysis
The engineering analysis estimates
the cost-efficiency relationship of
products at different levels of increased
energy efficiency. This relationship
serves as the basis for the cost-benefit
calculations for consumers,
manufacturers, and the nation. In
determining the cost-efficiency
relationship, DOE will estimate the
increase in manufacturer cost associated
3 This includes increasing jacket insulation,
advanced insulation types, foam insulation, and
pipe and fitting insulation. For DHE, this applies
only to floor furnaces, since heat lost through the
jacket does not enter the occupied space.
4 This includes incorporating timer controls,
modulating controls, and intelligent and wireless
controls and communication.
5 This includes incorporating variable firing-rate
burners, low-stage firing burners, and modulating
burners.
6 Thermal or electro-mechanical.
7 Including material and surface area.
8 Should electric pool heaters be considered one
product class, heat pump technology may be
considered a technology option for increasing the
efficiency of electric pool heaters.
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with increasing the efficiency of
products above the baseline up to the
maximum technologically feasible
(‘‘max-tech’’) efficiency level for each
product class. The baseline model is
used as a reference point for each
product class in the engineering
analysis and the life-cycle cost and
payback-period analyses. DOE considers
products that just meet the current
minimum energy conservation standard
as baseline products. For products that
do not have an existing minimum
energy conservation standard, DOE
considers the least efficient products on
the market as baseline equipment. DOE
will establish a baseline for each DHE
product class using the AFUE, and a
separate baseline in terms of standby
and off-mode electrical consumption
since this is not integrated in the AFUE
metric. For each gas-fired pool heater
product class, DOE would use the
thermal efficiency standards converted
to integrated thermal efficiency in order
to set a baseline. Energy conservation
standards do not currently exist for
electric resistance and electric heat
pump pool heaters, and so DOE would
select the least efficient products on the
market for baseline models using the
integrated thermal efficiency metric.
Issue 8: DOE requests comment on
approaches that it should consider
when determining a baseline for
product classes of DHE and pool
heaters, including information regarding
the merits and/or deficiencies of such
approaches.
Issue 9: DOE requests information on
max-tech efficiency levels achievable in
the current market and associated
technologies for both DHE and pool
heaters.
In order to create the cost-efficiency
relationship, DOE anticipates that it will
structure its engineering analysis using
both a reverse-engineering (or costassessment) approach and a catalog
teardown approach. A cost-assessment
approach relies on a teardown analysis
of representative units at the baseline
efficiency level and higher efficiency
levels up to the maximum
technologically feasible designs. A
teardown analysis (or physical
teardown) determines the production
cost of a product by disassembling the
product ‘‘piece-by-piece’’ and
estimating the material and labor cost of
each component. A catalog teardown
approach uses published manufacturer
catalogs and supplementary component
data to estimate the major physical
differences between a piece of
equipment that has been physically
disassembled and another similar
product. These two methods would be
used together to help DOE estimate the
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manufacturer production cost of
products at various efficiency levels.
Issue 10: DOE requests feedback on
the planned approach for the
engineering analysis and on the
appropriate representative capacities
and characteristics for each DHE
product class and for pool heaters of all
types.
E. Markups Analysis
To carry out the life-cycle cost (LCC)
and payback period (PBP) calculations,
DOE needs to determine the cost to the
consumer of baseline products that
satisfy the currently applicable
standards, and the cost of the more
efficient unit the customer would
purchase under potential amended
standards. This is done by applying a
markup multiplier to the manufacturer’s
selling price to estimate the consumer’s
price.
Markups depend on the distribution
channels for a product (i.e., how the
product passes from the manufacturer to
the consumer). For both direct heating
equipment and pool heaters, DOE
characterized two distribution channels
to describe how the equipment pass
from the manufacturer to consumer: (1)
replacement market, and (2) new
construction market.
In the replacement market for direct
heating equipment, most sales go
through wholesalers to mechanical
contractors, and then to consumers. In
new construction market, most sales go
through wholesaler to mechanical
contractors hired by the general
contractors. Thus, DOE defined two
distribution channels for the purposes
of estimating markups for direct heating
equipment, and the distribution channel
for replacement market is characterized
as follows:
Manufacturer → Wholesaler →
Mechanical Contractor → Consumer
In the case of new construction, DOE
plans to characterize the distribution
channel as follows:
Manufacturer → Wholesaler →
Mechanical Contractor → General
Contractor → Consumer
To determine distribution channels
for pool heaters, DOE used information
from a consultant report.9 For the
replacement market, most sales go
through wholesalers to pool service
companies. In most new construction
market, the pool builder purchases the
product from a wholesaler, and there is
no contractor involved. Thus, DOE
defined two distribution channels for
9 Hamos, R., Consultant Report—Pool Heater
Distribution Channels, 2007.
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the purposes of estimating markups for
pool heaters.
For replacement pool heaters, DOE
plans to characterize the distribution
channel as follows:
Manufacturer → Wholesaler → Service
Company → Consumer
For the new construction market, DOE
plans to characterize the distribution
channel for pool heaters as follows:
Manufacturer → Wholesaler → Pool
Builder → Consumer
Issue 11: DOE seeks input from
stakeholders on whether the
distribution channels described above
are appropriate for direct heating
equipment and pool heaters and are
sufficient to describe the distribution
markets.
Issue 12: DOE seeks input on the
percentage of products being distributed
through the different distribution
channels, and whether the share of
products through each channel varies
based on product class, capacity, or
other feature.
To develop markups for the parties
involved in the distribution of direct
heating equipment and pool heaters,
DOE would utilize several sources
including: (1) the Heating, AirConditioning & Refrigeration
Distributors International (HARDI) 2013
Profit Report 10 to develop wholesaler
markups, (2) the 2005 Air Conditioning
Contractors of America’s (ACCA)
financial analysis for the heating,
ventilation, air-conditioning, and
refrigeration (HVACR) contracting
industry 11 and U.S. Census Bureau’s
2007 Economic Census data for the
plumbing and HVAC contractors
industry 12 to develop mechanical
contractor markups, (3) RS Means
Electrical Cost Data 13 to develop pool
service company markup, and (4) U.S.
Census Bureau’s 2007 Economic Census
data for the residential building
construction industry 14 to develop
10 Heating, Air Conditioning & Refrigeration
Distributors International 2013 Profit Report,
11 Air Conditioning Contractors of America
(ACCA), Financial Analysis for the HVACR
Contracting Industry: 2005, 2005.
12 U.S. Census Bureau, Data set for Sector 23,
EC0723A1: 238220 (Plumbing, Heating and AirConditioning Contractors), Construction:
Geographic Area Series, Detailed Statistics for
Establishments, 2007.
13 RS Means Company Inc., Mechanical Cost
Data—31st Annual Edition. 2013. ed. M. Mossman.
Kingston, MA.
14 U.S. Census Bureau, Construction: Industry
Series: Preliminary Detailed Statistics for
Establishments: 2007. New Single-Family General
Contractors, New Multifamily Housing
Construction (Except Operative Builders), New
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general contractor and pool builder
markups.
In addition to the markups, DOE
would derive State and local taxes from
data provided by the Sales Tax
Clearinghouse. 15 These data represent
weighted-average taxes that include
county and city rates. DOE would derive
shipment-weighted-average tax values
for each region considered in the
analysis.
Issue 13: DOE seeks updated data, if
available, and recommendations
regarding data sources to establish the
markups for the parties involved with
the distribution of covered equipment.
F. Energy Use Analysis
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The purpose of the energy use
analysis is to assess the energy
requirements of direct heating
equipment and pool heaters described
in the engineering analysis for a
representative sample of households
that utilize the product, and to assess
the energy-savings potential of
increased product efficiencies. DOE
uses the annual energy consumption
and energy-savings potential in the LCC
and PBP analysis to establish the
operating costs savings at various
product efficiency levels. DOE will
estimate the annual energy consumption
of direct heating equipment at specified
energy efficiency levels across a range of
applications, household types, and
climate zones. The annual energy
consumption includes use of natural
gas, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and
electricity.
DOE intends to base the energy use
analysis on household characteristics
from the Energy Information
Administration’s (EIA) 2009 Residential
Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) 16
for the households in RECS that use
direct heating equipment and pool
heaters covered by this standard. In
addition, DOE may supplement the use
of RECS with less detailed but more
recent data sources, such as the
American Housing Survey.
The RECS survey data include
information on the physical
characteristics of homes, space heating
equipment used, fuels used, energy
consumption and expenditures, and
other building characteristics. RECS
data also reports energy consumption
Housing Operative Builders Resi, 2007.
15 Sales Tax Clearinghouse Inc., State Sales Tax
Rates Along with Combined Average City and
County Rates, 2010.
16 Energy Information Administration (EIA). 2009
Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS).
(Available at: https://www.eia.gov/consumption/
residential/) (Last accessed April 10, 2013).
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for pool heating in households that use
them. Based on these data, DOE will
develop a representative population of
households for each direct heating
equipment and pool heater class.
Issue 14: DOE requests comment on
the overall method to determine energy
use of direct heating equipment and
pool heaters and if other factors should
be considered in developing the energy
use or energy use methodology.
Issue 15: DOE seeks input on the
current distribution of product
efficiencies in the market for different
product types and classes.
G. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period
Analysis
The purpose of the LCC and PBP
analysis is to analyze the effects of
potential amended energy conservation
standards on consumers of direct
heating equipment and pool heaters by
determining how a potential amended
standard affects their operating
expenses (usually decreased) and their
total installed costs (usually increased).
DOE intends to analyze the potential
for variability by performing the LCC
and PBP calculations on a
representative sample of individual
households. DOE plans to utilize the
sample of households developed for the
energy use analysis and the
corresponding simulations results.
Within a given household, one or more
direct heating equipment units may
serve the building’s space heating
needs, depending on the space heating
requirements of the building. As a
result, the Department intends to
express the LCC and PBP results for
each of the individual direct heating
equipment units installed in the
building. DOE plans to model variability
in many of the inputs to the LCC and
PBP analysis using Monte Carlo
simulation and probability
distributions. As a result, the LCC and
PBP results will be displayed as
distributions of impacts compared to the
base case (without amended standards)
conditions. DOE also intends to utilize
the sample of households developed for
energy use analysis of pool heaters. DOE
plans to model variability in many of
the inputs to the pool heater LCC and
PBP analysis using Monte Carlo
simulation and probability
distributions.
Issue 16: DOE requests comment on
the overall method that it intends on
using to conduct the LCC and PBP
analysis for direct heating equipment
and pool heaters.
Inputs to the LCC and PBP analysis
are categorized as: (1) inputs for
establishing the purchase expense,
otherwise known as the total installed
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cost, and (2) inputs for calculating the
operating expense.
The primary inputs for establishing
the total installed cost are the baseline
consumer price, standard-level
consumer price increases, and
installation costs. Baseline consumer
prices and standard-level consumer
price increases will be determined by
applying markups to manufacturer
selling price estimates. The installation
cost is added to the consumer price to
arrive at a total installed cost. DOE
intends to develop installation costs
using the most recent RS Means data
available.
Issue 17: DOE seeks input on the
approach and data sources it intends to
use to develop installation costs,
specifically, its intention to use the most
recent RS Means Mechanical Cost
Data. 17
The primary inputs for calculating the
operating costs are product energy
consumption, product efficiency, energy
prices and forecasts, maintenance and
repair costs, product lifetime, and
discount rates. Both product lifetime
and discount rates are used to calculate
the present value of future operating
expenses.
The product energy consumption is
the site energy use associated with
providing space heating to the room of
a building (DHE) or water heating to a
pool or spa (pool heaters). DOE intends
to utilize the energy use calculation
methodology described in Section II.F to
establish product energy use.
DOE will identify an approach to
account for the gas, liquefied petroleum
gas (LPG) and electricity prices paid by
consumers for the purposes of
calculating operating costs, savings, net
present value, and payback period. DOE
intends to consider determining gas,
LPG, and electricity prices based on
geographically available fuel cost data
such as state level data, with
consideration for the variation in energy
costs paid by different building types.
This approach calculates energy
expenses based on actual energy prices
that customers are paying in different
geographical areas of the country. As a
potential additional source, DOE may
consider data to compare provided in
EIA’s Form 826 data 18 to calculate
commercial electricity prices, EIA’s
17 RS Means. 2014 Mechanical Cost Data.
(Available at: https://
rsmeans.reedconstructiondata.com/60023.aspx)
(Last accessed April 10, 2014).
18 Energy Information Administration (EIA),
Survey form EIA–826—Monthly Electric Utility
Sales and Revenue Report with State
Distributions—(Available at: https://www.eia.gov/
electricity/data/eia826/)
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Natural Gas Navigator 19 to calculate
commercial natural gas prices, and
EIA’s State Energy Data Systems
(SEDS) 20 to calculate liquefied
petroleum gas (LPG) prices. Future
energy prices will likely be projected
using trends from EIA’s most recently
published Annual Energy Outlook
(AEO). 21
Issue 18: DOE seeks comment and
sources on its approach for developing
gas, LPG, and electricity prices.
Maintenance costs are expenses
associated with ensuring continued
operation of the covered products over
time. DOE intends to develop
maintenance costs for its analysis using
the most recent RS Means data
available. 22 DOE plans also to consider
the cases when the equipment is
covered by service and/or maintenance
agreements.
Issue 19: DOE seeks input on the
approach and data sources it intends to
use to develop maintenance costs for
DHE and pool heaters, specifically, its
intention to use the most recent RS
Means Facilities Maintenance & Repair
Cost Data, as well as to consider the cost
of service and/or maintenance
agreements.
Repair costs are expenses associated
with repairing or replacing components
of the covered products that have failed.
DOE intends to assess whether repair
costs vary with product efficiency as
part of its analysis. Likewise, DOE
intends to assess whether maintenance
costs vary with product efficiency as
part of its analysis.
Issue 20: DOE seeks comment as to
whether repair costs vary as a function
of product efficiency for either DHE or
pool heaters. DOE also requests any data
or information on developing repair
costs for these products.
Product lifetime is the age at which a
unit of covered equipment is retired
from service. The average equipment
lifetimes for DHE and gas-fired pool
heaters are estimated by various sources
to be between 3 and 20 years based on
application and equipment type.23
19 Energy Information Administration (EIA),
Natural Gas Navigator. (Available at: https://
tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_dcu_nus_
m.htm).
20 Energy Information Administration (EIA), State
Energy Data System (SEDS). (Available at: https://
www.eia.gov/state/seds/).
21 Energy Information Administration (EIA).
Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) Full Version.
(Available at: https://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/).
22 RS Means. 2013 Facilities Maintenance &
Repair Cost Data. (Available at: https://
rsmeans.reedconstructiondata.com/60303.aspx).
23 See S. Department of Energy-Office of Codes
and Standards, Technical Support Document:
Energy Efficiency Standards for Consumer
Products: Room Air Conditioners, Water Heaters,
Direct Heating Equipment, Mobile Home Furnaces,
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Based on these data, DOE plans to
determine the average lifetimes for each
DHE and pool heater product class as
the primary inputs for developing a
Weibull probability distribution to
characterize DHE and pool heater
lifetimes.
Issue 21: DOE seeks comment on its
approach of using a Weibull probability
distribution to characterize product
lifetimes. DOE also requests DHE and
pool heater product lifetime data and
information on whether product lifetime
varies based on product characteristics,
fuel type, product application, or
efficiency level considerations.
Issue 22: DOE seeks data, information,
and comment on the product lifetimes
of electric resistance and electric heat
pump pool heaters.
The discount rate is the rate at which
future expenditures are discounted to
establish their present value. DOE
intends to derive the discount rates by
estimating the finance cost to consumers
direct heating equipment and pool
heaters. For replacement purchasers, the
estimated cost of financing of this
equipment is estimated from a portfolio
of consumer debts. For new
construction purchases, financing costs
are related to mortgage interest rates.
DOE’s analysis includes measures of
LCC and PBP impacts of potential
standard levels relative to a base case,
which reflects the likely market in the
absence of amended standards. DOE
plans to develop market-share efficiency
data (i.e., the distribution of product
shipments by efficiency) for the product
classes DOE is considering, for the year
in which compliance with any amended
standards would be required.
DOE also plans to assess the
applicability of the ‘‘rebound effect’’ in
the energy consumption for DHE and for
pool heaters. A rebound effect occurs
when a product that is made more
efficient is used more intensively, so
that the expected energy savings from
the efficiency improvement may not
Kitchen Ranges and Ovens, Pool Heaters,
Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts & Television Sets, 1993.
Washington, DC Vol. 1 of 3. Report No. DOE/EE–
0009. National Renewable Energy Laboratory
(NREL). U.S. Department of Energy Commercial
Reference Building Models of the National Building
Stock. February 2011. Pg. 38. (Available at: https://
www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/46861.pdf); Empire
Comfort System, Surround Yourself With Comfort,
2006. (Available at: https://dev.obatadesign.com/
clients/Empire/faq/faq.asp); U.S. Department of
Energy: Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy,
Gas Swimming Pool Heaters, 2005; Illinois Propane
Gas Association, Swimming, 2006 (Available at:
https://www.ilpga.org/homebuilder_swimming.cfm);
Pool Quest, Heating-Frequently Asked Questions,
2005.) (Available at: https://www.poolquest.com/
heaters.aspx). The Spa Specialist Inc., Spa Buyer’s
Questions and Answers, 2006. (Available at: https://
www.spaspecialist.com/qa.html); and Hamos, R.,
Consultant Report—Pool Heaters, 2009.
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fully materialize. However, at this time,
DOE is not aware of any information
about the rebound effect for these
product types.
Issue 23: DOE requests data on
current efficiency market shares (of
shipments) by product class for DHE
and pool heaters, and also input on
similar historic data. DOE also requests
comment on market segmentation based
on capacity, application and fuel type,
as well as trends in fuel switching.
Issue 24: DOE also requests
information on expected future trends
in efficiency for DHE product classes
and for all pool heater types, including
the relative market share of condensing
versus non-condensing products in the
market in the absence of new efficiency
standards.
Issue 25: DOE seeks comments and
data on any rebound effect that may be
associated with more efficient DHE and
pool heaters.
H. Shipment Analysis
DOE uses shipment projections by
product class to calculate the national
impacts of standards on energy
consumption, net present value (NPV)
of customer benefits, and future
manufacturer cash flows.
DOE intends to develop a shipments
models for DHE and gas-fired pool
heaters based on historical shipments
data obtained during the rulemaking
process. DOE currently does not have
any historical shipments information for
electric resistance or electric heat pump
pool heaters. DOE will also examine
unit shipments and value of shipments
for direct heating equipment, and pool
heaters using publicly available data
from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Annual
Survey of Manufacturers (ASM) and
Current Industrial Reports (CIR), and the
American Society of Heating,
Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning
Engineers (ASHRAE) and AirConditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration
Institute (AHRI).
Issue 26: DOE seeks historical
shipments data for DHE and pool
heaters, particularly for electric
resistance and electric heat pump pool
heaters.
Issue 27: DOE seeks data, information,
and comment on expected future trends
for shipments of all product classes of
DHE and all types of pool heaters,
including the relative share of sales to
new construction vs. existing
households.
DOE intends to utilize the U.S.
Census Bureau data 24 to establish
24 U.S. Census Bureau. Statistical Abstract of the
United States: 2011, Table No 933—Construction
Contracts-Value of Construction and Floor Space of
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historical new construction floor space,
as well as historical stock floor space.
The Annual Energy Outlook will be
used to forecast both new construction
and stock floor space. Using these and
historical equipment saturation data
from RECS, DOE will estimate
shipments to the three market segments
identified above.
Issue 28: DOE seeks input on the
approach and data sources it intends to
use in developing the shipments model
and shipments forecasts for this
analysis, including main drivers and
trends toward consumer switching
between fuel types.
I. National Impact Analysis
The purpose of the national impact
analysis (NIA) is to estimate aggregate
impacts of potential energy conservation
standards at the national level. Impacts
that DOE reports include the national
energy savings (NES) from potential
standards and the net present value
(NPV) of the total customer benefits.
To develop the NES, DOE calculates
annual energy consumption for the base
case and the standards cases. DOE
calculates the annual energy
consumption using per-unit annual
energy use data multiplied by projected
shipments.
To develop the NPV of customer
benefits from potential energy
conservation standards, DOE calculates
annual energy expenditures and annual
product expenditures for the base case
and the standards cases. DOE calculates
annual energy expenditures from annual
energy consumption by incorporating
projected energy prices. DOE calculates
annual product expenditures by
multiplying the price per unit times the
projected shipments. The difference
each year between energy bill savings,
increased maintenance and repair costs,
and increased product expenditures is
the net savings or net costs.
A key component of DOE’s estimates
of NES and NPV are the product energy
efficiencies forecasted over time for the
base case and for each of the standards
cases. For the base case trend, DOE will
consider whether historical data show
any trend and whether any trend can be
reasonably extrapolated beyond current
efficiency levels. In particular, DOE is
interested in historical and future
shipments of products with step
changes in efficiency, such as
condensing gas-fired DHE or heat pump
pool heaters.
Issue 29: DOE requests comment and
any available data on historical, current,
Buildings by Class of Construction. (Available at:
https://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/
cats/construction_housing/construction_indices_
and_value.html)
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and future market share of equipment
with step changes in efficiency, such as
gas-fired vented home heaters that use
condensing technology and electric heat
pump pool heaters, as compared to less
efficient products, such as noncondensing gas-fired DHE and electric
resistance pool heaters, respectively, for
each product class.
For the various standards cases, to
estimate the impact that amended
energy conservation standards may have
in the year compliance becomes
required, DOE would likely use a ‘‘rollup’’ scenario. Under the ‘‘roll-up’’
scenario, DOE assumes: (1) Product
efficiencies in the base case that do not
meet the new or amended standard level
under consideration would ‘‘roll up’’ to
meet that standard level; and (2)
product shipments at efficiencies above
the standard level under consideration
would not be affected. After DOE
establishes the efficiency distribution
for the assumed compliance date of a
standard, it may consider future
projected efficiency growth using
available trend data.
As described in section II.F, DOE
intends to determine whether there is a
rebound effect associated with more
efficient DHE or pool heaters. If data
indicate that there is a rebound effect,
DOE will account for the rebound effect
in its calculation of NES.
DOE has historically presented NES
in terms of primary energy savings. On
August 18, 2011, DOE announced its
intention to use full-fuel-cycle (FFC)
measures of energy use and greenhouse
gas and other emissions in the national
impact analyses and emissions analyses
included in future energy conservation
standards rulemakings. 76 FR 51282.
While DOE stated in that notice that it
intended to use the Greenhouse Gases,
Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in
Transportation (GREET) model to
conduct the analysis, it also said it
would review alternative methods,
including the use of NEMS. After
evaluating both models and the
approaches discussed in the August 18,
2011 notice, DOE determined NEMS is
a more appropriate tool for this purpose.
77 FR 49701 (Aug. 17, 2012). Therefore,
DOE is using NEMS to conduct FFC
analyses. The method used to derive the
FFC multipliers will be described in the
TSD.
J. Manufacturer Impact Analysis
The purpose of the manufacturer
impact analysis (MIA) is to estimate the
financial impacts of potential energy
conservation standards on
manufacturers of direct heating
equipment and pool heaters, and to
evaluate the potential impact of such
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standards on direct employment and
manufacturing capacity. The MIA
includes both quantitative and
qualitative aspects. The quantitative
part of the MIA primarily relies on the
Government Regulatory Impact Model
(GRIM), an industry cash-flow model
used to estimate a range of potential
impacts on manufacturer profitability.
The qualitative part of the MIA
addresses a proposed standard’s
potential impacts on manufacturing
capacity and industry competition, as
well as factors such as product
characteristics, impacts on particular
subgroups of firms, and important
market and product trends.
As part of the MIA, DOE also analyzes
impacts of potential energy conservation
standards on small business
manufacturers of covered products. DOE
uses the Small Business
Administration’s (SBA) small business
size standards to determine whether
manufacturers qualify as small
businesses. The size standards are listed
by North American Industry
Classification System (NAICS) code and
industry description. 25 Manufacturing
of direct heating equipment and pool
heaters is classified under NAICS
333414, ‘‘Heating Equipment (except
Warm Air Furnaces) Manufacturing.’’
The SBA sets a threshold of 500
employees or fewer for an entity to be
considered as a small business in this
category. The 500-employee threshold
includes all employees in a business’s
parent company and any other
subsidiaries.
DOE has initially identified four
manufacturers of direct heating
equipment and 16 manufacturers of
pool heaters. The table below lists all
identified manufacturers. Domestic
small businesses are designated with an
asterisk.
25 Available at: https://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/
public/documents/sba_homepage/serv_sstd_
tablepdf.pdf
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Direct heating
equipment
manufacturers
• Empire Comfort
Systems*
• Louisville Tin and
Stove Co.*
• Rinnai
• Williams Furnace
Co.
Pool heater
manufacturers
• AquaCal Autopilot,
Inc.*
• AquaComfort Technologies.*
• AquaPro Systems.*
• Built Right Pool
Heaters.*
• Coates Heater
Company, Inc.*
• EcoSmart US,
LLC.*
• G&F Manufacturing.*
• Hayward Industries,
Inc.
• Hydroquip, Inc.*
• Lochinvar LLC.
• Pentair.
• Rheem.
• Thermeau Industries, Inc. (Canadian).
• Titan Systems (Canadian).
• United States
ThermoAmp, Inc.*
• Zodiac Pool Systems Inc.
* Domestic small businesses
mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Issue 30: DOE requests comment on
the completeness of the manufacturer
list presented, including names of any
additional manufacturers that may
belong on this list.
III. Public Participation
DOE will accept comments, data, and
information regarding this RFI and other
matters relevant to DOE’s consideration
of amended energy conservations
standard for DHE and pool heaters no
later than the date provided in the DATES
section at the beginning of this RFI.
Interested parties may submit comments
using any of the methods described in
the ADDRESSES section at the beginning
of this RFI. After the close of the
comment period, DOE will begin
collecting data, conducting the analyses,
and reviewing the public comments.
These actions will be taken to aid in the
development of a NOPR for energy
conservation standards for DHE and
pool heaters, should DOE decide to
amend the standards for DHE and pool
heaters.
Instructions: All submissions received
must include the agency name and
docket number and/or RIN for this
rulemaking. No telefacsimilies (faxes)
will be accepted.
Docket: The docket is available for
review at www.regulations.gov,
including Federal Register notices,
public meeting attendees’ lists and
transcripts, comments, and other
supporting documents/materials. All
VerDate Sep<11>2014
19:13 Mar 25, 2015
Jkt 235001
documents in the docket are listed in
the www.regulations.gov index.
However, not all documents listed in
the index may be publicly available,
such as information that is exempt from
public disclosure.
A link to the docket Web page can be
found at: https://www.regulations.gov/
#!docketDetail;D=EERE-2015-BT-STD0003. This Web page contains a link to
the docket for this notice on the
www.regulations.gov Web site. The
www.regulations.gov Web page contains
simple instructions on how to access all
documents, including public comments,
in the docket.
For information on how to submit a
comment, review other public
comments and the docket, or participate
in the public meeting, contact Ms.
Brenda Edwards at (202) 586–2945 or by
email: Brenda.Edwards@ee.doe.gov.
DOE considers public participation to
be a very important part of the process
for developing test procedures. DOE
actively encourages the participation
and interaction of the public during the
comment period in each stage of the
rulemaking process. Interactions with
and between members of the public
provide a balanced discussion of the
issues and assist DOE in the rulemaking
process. Anyone who wishes to be
added to the DOE mailing list to receive
future notices and information about
this rulemaking should contact Ms.
Brenda Edwards at (202) 586–2945, or
via email at Brenda.Edwards@
ee.doe.gov.
Issued in Washington, DC, on March 17,
2015.
Kathleen B. Hogan,
Deputy Assistant Secretary for Energy
Efficiency, Energy Efficiency and Renewable
Energy.
[FR Doc. 2015–06809 Filed 3–25–15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6450–01–P
NUCLEAR REGULATORY
COMMISSION
10 CFR Part 61
[NRC–2015–0003; NRC–2011–0012]
RIN–3150–AI92
Guidance for Conducting Technical
Analyses for Low-Level Radioactive
Waste Disposal
Nuclear Regulatory
Commission.
ACTION: Draft NUREG; request for
comment.
AGENCY:
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory
Commission (NRC) is issuing for public
comment a draft NUREG, NUREG–2175,
SUMMARY:
PO 00000
Frm 00016
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
‘‘Guidance for Conducting Technical
Analyses for 10 CFR part 61.’’ The NRC
is proposing to amend its regulations
that govern low-level radioactive waste
(LLRW) disposal facilities to require
new and revised site-specific technical
analyses, to permit the development of
site-specific criteria for LLRW
acceptance based on the results of these
analyses, and to facilitate
implementation and better align the
requirements with current health and
safety standards. The NRC has prepared
draft guidance to address the
implementation of the proposed
regulations. This notice is announcing
the availability of the draft guidance for
public comment.
Submit comments by July 24,
2015. Comments received after this date
will be considered if it is practical to do
so, but the Commission is able to ensure
consideration only for comments
received before this date.
DATES:
You may submit comments
by any of the following methods (unless
this document describes a different
method for submitting comments on a
specific subject):
• Federal Rulemaking Web site: Go to
https://www.regulations.gov and search
for Docket ID NRC–2015–0003. The
proposed amendments to the NRC
LLRW regulations are issued in a
separate notice, under Docket ID NRC–
2011–0012. Address questions about
NRC dockets to Carol Gallagher;
telephone: 301–287–3422; email:
Carol.Gallagher@nrc.gov. For technical
questions, contact the individuals listed
in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section of this document.
• Mail comments to: Cindy Bladey,
Office of Administration, Mail Stop:
3WFN–06–A44M, U.S. Nuclear
Regulatory Commission, Washington,
DC 20555–0001.
For additional direction on obtaining
information and submitting comments,
see ‘‘Obtaining Information and
Submitting Comments’’ in the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section of
this document.
ADDRESSES:
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Priya Yadav, Office of Nuclear Material
Safety and Safeguards, telephone: 301–
415–6667, email: Priya.Yadav@nrc.gov;
or Stephen Dembek, Office of Nuclear
Material Safety and Safeguards,
telephone: 301–415–2342, email:
Stephen.Dembek@nrc.gov; U.S. Nuclear
Regulatory Commission, Washington,
DC 20555–0001.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
E:\FR\FM\26MRP1.SGM
26MRP1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 58 (Thursday, March 26, 2015)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 15922-15930]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2015-06809]
[[Page 15922]]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY
10 CFR Part 430
[Docket Number EERE-2015-BT-STD-0003]
RIN 1904-AD49
Energy Conservation Program for Consumer Products: Energy
Conservation Standards for Direct Heating Equipment and Pool Heaters
AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of
Energy.
ACTION: Request for information (RFI).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is initiating a rulemaking
to consider amended energy conservation standards for direct heating
equipment and pool heaters. Once completed, this rulemaking will
fulfill DOE's statutory obligation to either propose amended energy
conservation standards for these products or to determine that the
existing standards do not need to be amended. This RFI seeks to solicit
information to help DOE determine whether national standards more
stringent than those that are currently in place would result in a
significant amount of additional energy savings and whether such
amended national standards would be technologically feasible and
economically justified. In overview, this document presents a brief
description of the analysis DOE plans to perform for this rulemaking
and requests comment on various issues relating to each of the analyses
(e.g., market assessment, engineering analysis, energy use analysis,
life-cycle cost and payback period analysis, national impact analysis,
and manufacturer impact analysis). Although this document contains
several specific topics on which the Department is particularly
interested in receiving written comment, DOE welcomes suggestions and
information from the public on any subject within the scope of this
rulemaking, including topics not raised in this RFI.
DATES: Written comments and information are requested on or before
April 27, 2015.
ADDRESSES: Interested parties are encouraged to submit comments
electronically. However, interested persons may submit comments,
identified by docket number EERE-2015-BT-STD-0003 and/or regulatory
identification number (RIN) 1904-AD49 by any of the following methods:
Federal eRulemaking Portal: www.regulations.gov. Follow
the instructions for submitting comments.
Email: DHE2015STD0003@ee.doe.gov. Include docket number
EERE-2015-BT-STD-0003 and/or RIN 1904-AD49 in the subject line of the
message. Submit electronic comments in WordPerfect, Microsoft Word,
PDF, or ASCII file format, and avoid the use of special characters or
any form of encryption.
Postal Mail: Ms. Brenda Edwards, U.S. Department of
Energy, Building Technologies Program, Mailstop EE-2J, 1000
Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121. If possible, please
submit all items on a compact disc (CD), in which case it is not
necessary to include printed copies.
Hand Delivery/Courier: Ms. Brenda Edwards, U.S. Department
of Energy, Building Technologies Program, 6th Floor, 950 L'Enfant Plaza
SW., Washington, DC 20024. Telephone: (202) 586-2945. If possible,
please submit all items on a CD, in which case it is not necessary to
include printed copies.
For detailed instructions on submitting comments and additional
information on the rulemaking process, see section III of this document
(Public Participation).
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Requests for additional information
may be sent to Ms. Ashley Armstrong, U.S. Department of Energy, Office
of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies
Program, EE-5B, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-
0121. Telephone: (202) 586-6590. Email:
direct_heating_equipment@ee.doe.gov.
Mr. Sarah Butler, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of the General
Counsel, GC-33, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-
0121. Telephone: (202) 586-1777. Email: Sarah.Butler@hq.doe.gov.
For information on how to submit or review public comments, contact
Ms. Brenda Edwards, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy
Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies Program,
Mailstop EE-2J, 1000 Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20585-
0121. Telephone: (202) 586-2945. Email: Brenda.Edwards@ee.doe.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Introduction
A. Background and Authority
B. Rulemaking Process
II. Planned Rulemaking Analyses
A. Test Procedures
B. Market and Technology Assessment
C. Technology Options for Consideration
D. Engineering Analysis
E. Markups Analysis
F. Energy Use Analysis
G. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Analysis
H. Shipment Analysis
I. National Impact Analysis
J. Manufacturer Impact Analysis
III. Public Participation
I. Introduction
A. Background and Authority
Title III, Part B \1\ of the Energy Policy and Conservation Act of
1975 (``EPCA'' or ``the Act''), Public Law 94-163 (codified at 42
U.S.C. 6291-6309) sets forth a variety of provisions designed to
improve energy efficiency and establishes the Energy Conservation
Program for Consumer Products Other Than Automobiles.\2\ This program
includes most major household appliances (collectively referred to as
``covered products''), including the two covered products that are the
subject of this rule: direct heating equipment (DHE) and pool heaters.
(42 U.S.C. 6292(a)(9) and (11)) Under EPCA, this energy conservation
program generally consists of four parts: (1) Testing; (2) labeling;
(3) establishing Federal energy conservation standards; and (4)
certification and enforcement procedures.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ For editorial reasons, upon codification in the U.S. Code,
Part B was redesignated as Part A.
\2\ All references to EPCA in this document refer to the statute
as amended through the American Energy Manufacturing Technical
Corrections Act (AEMTCA), Public Law. 112-210 (Dec. 18, 2012).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPCA prescribes specific energy conservation standards for the pool
heaters and gas-fired direct heating equipment. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(2),
(3)) EPCA also directed DOE to conduct two cycles of rulemakings to
determine whether to amend its standards for direct heating equipment
and pool heaters. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(4)) The statute further requires
DOE to publish a notice of proposed rulemaking including new proposed
standards or a notice of determination that the standards for a product
need not be amended no later than 6 years after issuance of any final
rule establishing or amending standards for that product. (42 U.S.C.
6295(m)(1)) DOE last promulgated a final rule on April 16, 2010,
amending its energy conservation standards for direct heating equipment
and pool heaters, constituting the first of these two required
rulemakings. 75 FR 20112. The current rulemaking satisfies the
statutory requirements under EPCA to conduct a second round of review
of the DHE and pool heater standards. (42 U.S.C. 6295(e)(4)(B))
Additionally, this
[[Page 15923]]
rulemaking will satisfy the requirement for DOE to publish a notice of
proposed rulemaking containing proposed standards or a notice of
determination that the standards for direct heating equipment and pool
heaters do not need to be amended by April 16, 2016. (42 U.S.C.
6295(m)(1)) If DOE were to publish a notice of proposed rulemaking
containing proposed amendments to its standards for either direct
heating equipment or pool heaters, DOE would be required to issue a
final rule amending the standards no later than 2 years after issuance
of the notice. (42 U.S.C. 6295(m)(3)(A))
EPCA also provides criteria for prescribing amended standards for
covered products generally, including direct heating equipment and pool
heaters. As indicated above, any such amended standard must be designed
to achieve the maximum improvement in energy efficiency that is
technologically feasible and economically justified. (42 U.S.C.
6295(o)(2)(A)) Additionally, EPCA provides specific prohibitions on
prescribing such standards. DOE may not prescribe an amended standard
for any of its covered products for which it has not established a test
procedure. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(A)) Further, DOE may not prescribe a
standard if DOE determines by rule that such standard would not result
in ``significant conservation of energy,'' or ``is not technologically
feasible or economically justified.'' (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(3)(B)) EPCA
also provides that in deciding whether a standard is economically
justified for covered products, DOE must, after receiving comments on
the proposed standard, determine whether the benefits of the standard
exceed its burdens by considering, to the greatest extent practicable,
the following seven factors:
1. The economic impact of the standard on manufacturers and
consumers of the products subject to the standard;
2. The savings in operating costs throughout the estimated
average life of the covered products in the type (or class) compared
to any increase in the price, initial charges, or maintenance
expenses for the covered products that are likely to result from the
imposition of the standard;
3. The total projected amount of energy (or, as applicable,
water) savings likely to result directly from the imposition of the
standard;
4. Any lessening of the utility or the performance of the
covered products likely to result from the imposition of the
standard;
5. The impact of any lessening of competition, as determined in
writing by the Attorney General, that is likely to result from the
imposition of the standard;
6. The need for national energy and water conservation; and
7. Other factors the Secretary of Energy (Secretary) considers
relevant. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(i)(I) through (VII))
In addition, EPCA, as amended, establishes a rebuttable presumption
that any standard for covered products is economically justified if the
Secretary finds that ``the additional cost to the consumer of
purchasing a product complying with an energy conservation standard
level will be less than three times the value of the energy (and as
applicable, water) savings during the first year that the consumer will
receive as a result of the standard,'' as calculated under the test
procedure in place for that standard. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(2)(B)(iii))
EPCA also contains what is commonly known as an ``anti-
backsliding'' provision. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(1)) This provision mandates
that the Secretary not prescribe any amended standard that either
increases the maximum allowable energy use or decreases the minimum
required energy efficiency of a covered product. EPCA further provides
that the Secretary may not prescribe an amended standard if interested
persons have established by a preponderance of the evidence that the
standard is likely to result in the unavailability in the United States
of any product type (or class) with performance characteristics
(including reliability), features, sizes, capacities, and volumes that
are substantially the same as those generally available in the United
States at the time of the Secretary's finding. (42 U.S.C. 6295(o)(4))
Under 42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(1), EPCA specifies requirements applicable to
promulgating standards for any type or class of covered product that
has two or more subcategories. Under this provision, DOE must specify a
different standard level than that which applies generally to such type
or class of product that has the same function or intended use, if DOE
determines that the products within such group: (A) Consume a different
kind of energy from that consumed by other covered products within such
type (or class); or (B) have a capacity or other performance-related
feature which other products within such type (or class) do not have
and such feature justifies a higher or lower standard'' than applies or
will apply to the other products. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(1)) In determining
whether a performance-related feature justifies such a different
standard for a group of products, DOE must consider ``such factors as
the utility to the consumer of such a feature'' and other factors the
Secretary deems appropriate. Id. Any rule prescribing such a standard
must include an explanation of the basis on which DOE established such
higher or lower level. (42 U.S.C. 6295(q)(2))
Section 310(3) of the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007
(EISA 2007; Pub. L. 110-140) amended EPCA to prospectively require that
energy conservation standards address standby mode and off mode energy
use. Specifically, when DOE adopts new or amended standards for a
covered product after July 1, 2010, the final rule must, if justified
by the criteria for adoption of standards in section 325(o) of EPCA,
incorporate standby mode and off mode energy use into a single standard
if feasible, or otherwise adopt a separate standard for such energy use
for that product. (42 U.S.C. 6295(gg)(3)) On December 17, 2012 DOE
promulgated a final rule amending its test procedures for vented direct
heating equipment and pool heaters to incorporate standby and off-mode
energy consumption (see section II.A below for further detail). 77 FR
74559. The amendments related to standby and off-mode energy
consumption were not required for purposes of compliance until the
compliance date of the next standards final rule for those products.
Id. This rulemaking, if amended standards are ultimately adopted, would
serve as the next energy conservation standards rulemaking subsequent
to these test procedure amendments, and therefore this rulemaking will
take into account standby and off-mode energy consumption.
Finally, Federal energy conservation requirements for covered
products generally supersede State laws or regulations concerning
energy conservation testing, labeling, and standards. (42 U.S.C.
6297(a) through (c)) DOE can, however, grant waivers of Federal
preemption for particular State laws or regulations, in accordance with
the procedures and other provisions of section 327(d) of the Act. (42
U.S.C. 6297(d))
B. Rulemaking Process
In addition to the specific statutory criteria discussed in section
I.A that DOE must follow for prescribing amended standards for covered
products, DOE uses a specific process to assess the appropriateness of
amending the standards that are currently in place for a given type of
product. For direct heating equipment and pool heaters, DOE plans to
conduct in-depth technical analyses of the costs and benefits of the
potential amended standards to determine whether more stringent
standards are technologically feasible and would lead to significant
energy savings, and whether such
[[Page 15924]]
amended standards would be economically justified. The analyses would
include the following: (1) Engineering; (2) energy use; (3) markups;
(4) life-cycle cost and payback period; and (5) national impacts. DOE
will also conduct downstream analyses including an analysis of: (1)
Manufacturer impacts; (2) emission impacts; (3) utility impacts; (4)
employment impacts; and (5) regulatory impacts. DOE will also conduct
several other analyses that support those previously listed, including
the market and technology assessment, the screening analysis (which
contributes to the engineering analysis), and the shipments analysis
(which contributes to the national impact analysis). As detailed
throughout this RFI, DOE is publishing this notice as the first step in
the analytical process and is requesting input and data from interested
parties to aid in the development of the technical analyses.
Subsequently, DOE may conduct a preliminary analysis for some or
all products, particularly heat pump pool heaters since no prior
rulemaking record for these products exists. Alternatively, DOE may
elect to proceed directly to a NOPR (or determination that standards
need not be amended) for some or all products.
II. Planned Rulemaking Analyses
In this section, DOE summarizes the rulemaking analyses and
identifies a number of issues on which it seeks input and data in order
to aid in the development of the technical and economic analyses to
determine whether amended energy conservation standards may be
warranted for direct heating equipment and/or pool heaters. In
addition, DOE welcomes comments on other issues relevant to the conduct
of this rulemaking that may not specifically be identified in this RFI.
A. Test Procedures
The test procedure for vented home heating equipment is located at
10 CFR 430.23(o) and 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix O (Appendix
O) for vented home heating equipment (``vented heater''). The vented
heater test procedure includes provisions for determining energy
efficiency (annual fuel utilization efficiency (AFUE)), as well as
annual energy consumption. DOE's test procedure for pool heaters is
found at 10 CFR 430.23(p) and 10 CFR part 430, subpart B, appendix P
(Appendix P). The test procedure includes provisions for determining
two energy efficiency descriptors (i.e., thermal efficiency and
integrated thermal efficiency), as well as annual energy consumption.
EISA 2007 amended EPCA to require DOE to amend its test procedures
for all covered products to include measurement of standby mode and off
mode energy consumption. (42 U.S.C. 6295(gg)(2)(A)) DOE published a
final rule adopting standby mode and off mode provisions for direct
heating equipment and pool heaters in the Federal Register on December
17, 2012 (hereafter referred to as the December 2012 test procedure
final rule). 77 FR 74559. Additionally, DOE published a final rule
regarding its DHE and pool heater test procedures on January 6, 2015
adopting, among other things, provisions for testing vented home
heaters that use condensing technology, updated industry standards
incorporated by reference, and provisions for testing electric
resistance and electric heat pump pool heaters, and which clarified the
applicability of the test procedure to oil-fired pool heaters
(hereafter referred to as the January 2015 test procedure final rule).
80 FR 792. DOE will use the most current version of the test procedures
as the basis for any amended energy conservation standards.
For DHE, the December 2012 test procedure final rule included
additional measurements and calculations in the test procedure to
determine the annual electrical consumption in standby and off-mode
separate from the AFUE metric. 77 FR 74559, 74571-74572. The standby
and off-mode fossil fuel consumption for DHE was previously
incorporated in the AFUE in the form of the pilot light usage and off-
cycle flue and stack losses. For gas-fired pool heaters, the December
2012 test procedure final rule included measurements and calculations
that incorporate electrical and fossil fuel consumption in standby and
off-mode into an integrated thermal efficiency metric. Id. at 74572-
74573. The provisions for testing electric resistance and electric heat
pump pool heaters added in the January 2015 test procedure final rule
also integrate the standby and off-mode electrical consumption into an
integrated thermal efficiency metric. 80 FR 792, 813-815.
For both DHE and pool heaters, the December 2012 test procedure
amendments were not required for testing in determining compliance with
the current energy conservation standards until the next energy
conservation standard final rule. 77 FR 74559. This rulemaking is the
subsequent standards rulemaking to the December 2012 test procedure
amendments; therefore, DOE plans to consider energy conservation
standards as part of this rulemaking that incorporate standby and off-
mode energy use as measured by the amended test procedures.
In the case of vented home heating equipment, while the pilot light
and off-cycle flue and stack losses are integrated into the AFUE, the
measurements and calculations for standby and off-mode electrical
consumption are not. Should DOE consider standby and off-mode
electrical consumption of vented home heating equipment separate
analyses would be conducted in order to propose energy conservation
standards for standby and off-mode electrical consumption. In order to
make such a determination, DOE is seeking data, information, and
comment on the electrical consumption of vented home heating equipment
in standby and off-mode.
Issue 1: DOE seeks data, information, and comment on the electrical
consumption of all product classes of DHE in standby and off-mode.
In the case of pool heaters, the amendments contained in the
December 2012 test procedure final rule integrated the standby and off-
mode electrical consumption for gas-fired pool heaters into an
integrated thermal efficiency metric. Likewise, the January 2015 test
procedure final rule added provisions for determining the integrated
thermal efficiency of electric resistance and electric heat pump pool
heaters. Since the current pool heater rating metric (thermal
efficiency) and energy conservation standards do not incorporate
standby and off-mode energy consumption, DOE would need to develop a
method to convert from the existing thermal efficiency ratings (which
does not include standby and off mode energy consumption) to ratings
under the new integrated thermal efficiency metric (which includes
standby and off mode energy consumption). DOE plans to develop a method
of converting ratings from those under the current metrics to those
under the new metrics that include standby and off-mode energy
consumption. To that end, DOE is requesting information regarding
typical standby and off-mode fossil fuel and electricity consumption
for DHE and pool heaters.
Issue 2: DOE requests data and information regarding typical energy
use (fossil fuel and electricity) in standby and off-modes for all pool
heater types (i.e. gas-fired, electric resistance, and electric heat
pump). DOE also requests data and information regarding the impacts on
efficiency ratings of including the standby mode and off mode energy
consumption in the
[[Page 15925]]
integrated thermal efficiency (pool heaters).
B. Market and Technology Assessment
The market and technology assessment provides information about the
direct heating equipment and pool heater industries that will be used
throughout the rulemaking process. For example, this information will
be used to determine whether the existing product class structure
requires modification based on the statutory criteria for setting such
classes and to explore the potential for technological improvements in
the design of such products. The Department uses qualitative and
quantitative information to assess the past and present industry
structure and market characteristics. DOE will use existing market
materials and literature from a variety of sources, including industry
publications, trade journals, government agencies, and trade
organizations. DOE will also consider conducting interviews with
manufacturers to assess the overall market for both direct heating
equipment and for pool heaters.
The current product classes as established in the Code of Federal
Regulations for direct heating equipment are characterized by product
type (i.e., wall fan, wall gravity, floor furnace, and room heater),
and size (i.e., input capacity rating). As a starting point, DOE plans
to use the existing product class structure for products manufactured
after April 16, 2013, which divides direct heating equipment into the
equipment classes as shown in the table in 10 CFR 430.32(i) and
summarized below in Table II.1.
Table II.1--Product Classes for Direct Heating Equipment
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Product type
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gas wall fan type up to 42,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall fan type over 42,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall gravity type up to 27,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall gravity type over 27,000 Btu/h up to 46,000 Btu/h.
Gas wall gravity type over 46,000 Btu/h.
Gas floor up to 37,000 Btu/h.
Gas floor over 37,000 Btu/h.
Gas room up to 20,000 Btu/h.
Gas room over 20,000 Btu/h up to 27,000 Btu/h.
Gas room over 27,000 Btu/h up to 46,000 Btu/h.
Gas room over 46,000 Btu/h.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
DOE's energy conservation standards for pool heaters currently
regulate only one type of pool heater--gas-fired pool heaters. In
analyzing standards for electric (including both resistance and heat
pump), DOE will consider creating separate product classes for pool
heaters based on fuel type, capacity, or other performance related
features that may affect efficiency and justify the establishment of
different energy conservation standards.
Issue 3: DOE requests feedback on the current product classes for
direct heating equipment and seeks information regarding other product
classes it should consider for inclusion in its analysis.
Issue 4: DOE seeks comment on whether product classes should be
established for pool heaters and seeks information regarding product
classes it should consider for inclusion in its analysis.
Issue 5: DOE seeks data, information, and comment on electric
resistance pool heaters, specifically on their capacities and
applications. DOE also requests data, information, and comment on
whether heat pump technology is a viable design for those applications
in which electric resistance pool heaters are typically found.
As discussed in section II.A, DOE published a final rule on January
6, 2015 regarding its test procedures for DHE and pool heaters in which
it was clarified that the test procedure applies to oil-fired pool
heaters. 80 FR 792 However, in reviewing the pool heater market, DOE
found only one model of oil-fired pool heater available. DOE therefore
has tentatively determined that the energy savings potential for oil-
fired pool heaters is de minimis, and that accordingly energy
conservation standards need not be proposed.
Issue 6: DOE seeks comment on its tentative conclusion that energy
conservation standards for oil-fired pool heaters would result in de
minimis energy savings.
C. Technology Options for Consideration
DOE uses information about existing and past technology options and
prototype designs to help identify technologies that manufacturers
could use to meet and/or exceed energy conservation standards. In
consultation with interested parties, DOE intends to develop a list of
technologies to consider in its analysis. Initially, this list will
include all those technologies considered to be technologically
feasible and will serve to establish the maximum technologically
feasible design. For DHE, DOE will initially consider the specific
technologies and design options listed below, along with any other
technologies identified during the rulemaking analysis.
Improved insulation \3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ This includes increasing jacket insulation, advanced
insulation types, foam insulation, and pipe and fitting insulation.
For DHE, this applies only to floor furnaces, since heat lost
through the jacket does not enter the occupied space.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Power and direct venting
Condensing heat exchanger technology
Electronic ignition systems
Improved controls \4\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ This includes incorporating timer controls, modulating
controls, and intelligent and wireless controls and communication.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Improved burners \5\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ This includes incorporating variable firing-rate burners,
low-stage firing burners, and modulating burners.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Flue or stack damper \6\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ Thermal or electro-mechanical.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Improved heat exchanger design \7\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ Including material and surface area.
For gas-fired pool heaters, DOE will consider the specific
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
technologies and design options listed below.
Improved insulation \3\
Improved controls \4\
Improved heat exchanger design \7\
Condensing heat exchanger technology
Electronic ignition systems
For electric pool heaters, if included in the scope of this
rulemaking, DOE would initially consider the specific technologies and
design options listed below.
Improved insulation \3\
Improved controls \4\
Heat pump (as opposed to electric resistance element) \8\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\8\ Should electric pool heaters be considered one product
class, heat pump technology may be considered a technology option
for increasing the efficiency of electric pool heaters.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Increased evaporator surface area (heat pump pool heaters)
Increased condenser surface area (heat pump pool heaters)
Improved compressor efficiency (heat pump pool heaters)
Issue 7: DOE seeks information related to these or other
efficiency-improving technologies for DHE or pool heaters.
Specifically, DOE is interested in comments regarding their costs,
applicability to the current market, and how these technologies improve
efficiency of DHE and pool heaters.
D. Engineering Analysis
The engineering analysis estimates the cost-efficiency relationship
of products at different levels of increased energy efficiency. This
relationship serves as the basis for the cost-benefit calculations for
consumers, manufacturers, and the nation. In determining the cost-
efficiency relationship, DOE will estimate the increase in manufacturer
cost associated
[[Page 15926]]
with increasing the efficiency of products above the baseline up to the
maximum technologically feasible (``max-tech'') efficiency level for
each product class. The baseline model is used as a reference point for
each product class in the engineering analysis and the life-cycle cost
and payback-period analyses. DOE considers products that just meet the
current minimum energy conservation standard as baseline products. For
products that do not have an existing minimum energy conservation
standard, DOE considers the least efficient products on the market as
baseline equipment. DOE will establish a baseline for each DHE product
class using the AFUE, and a separate baseline in terms of standby and
off-mode electrical consumption since this is not integrated in the
AFUE metric. For each gas-fired pool heater product class, DOE would
use the thermal efficiency standards converted to integrated thermal
efficiency in order to set a baseline. Energy conservation standards do
not currently exist for electric resistance and electric heat pump pool
heaters, and so DOE would select the least efficient products on the
market for baseline models using the integrated thermal efficiency
metric.
Issue 8: DOE requests comment on approaches that it should consider
when determining a baseline for product classes of DHE and pool
heaters, including information regarding the merits and/or deficiencies
of such approaches.
Issue 9: DOE requests information on max-tech efficiency levels
achievable in the current market and associated technologies for both
DHE and pool heaters.
In order to create the cost-efficiency relationship, DOE
anticipates that it will structure its engineering analysis using both
a reverse-engineering (or cost-assessment) approach and a catalog
teardown approach. A cost-assessment approach relies on a teardown
analysis of representative units at the baseline efficiency level and
higher efficiency levels up to the maximum technologically feasible
designs. A teardown analysis (or physical teardown) determines the
production cost of a product by disassembling the product ``piece-by-
piece'' and estimating the material and labor cost of each component. A
catalog teardown approach uses published manufacturer catalogs and
supplementary component data to estimate the major physical differences
between a piece of equipment that has been physically disassembled and
another similar product. These two methods would be used together to
help DOE estimate the manufacturer production cost of products at
various efficiency levels.
Issue 10: DOE requests feedback on the planned approach for the
engineering analysis and on the appropriate representative capacities
and characteristics for each DHE product class and for pool heaters of
all types.
E. Markups Analysis
To carry out the life-cycle cost (LCC) and payback period (PBP)
calculations, DOE needs to determine the cost to the consumer of
baseline products that satisfy the currently applicable standards, and
the cost of the more efficient unit the customer would purchase under
potential amended standards. This is done by applying a markup
multiplier to the manufacturer's selling price to estimate the
consumer's price.
Markups depend on the distribution channels for a product (i.e.,
how the product passes from the manufacturer to the consumer). For both
direct heating equipment and pool heaters, DOE characterized two
distribution channels to describe how the equipment pass from the
manufacturer to consumer: (1) replacement market, and (2) new
construction market.
In the replacement market for direct heating equipment, most sales
go through wholesalers to mechanical contractors, and then to
consumers. In new construction market, most sales go through wholesaler
to mechanical contractors hired by the general contractors. Thus, DOE
defined two distribution channels for the purposes of estimating
markups for direct heating equipment, and the distribution channel for
replacement market is characterized as follows:
Manufacturer [rarr] Wholesaler [rarr] Mechanical Contractor [rarr]
Consumer
In the case of new construction, DOE plans to characterize the
distribution channel as follows:
Manufacturer [rarr] Wholesaler [rarr] Mechanical Contractor [rarr]
General Contractor [rarr] Consumer
To determine distribution channels for pool heaters, DOE used
information from a consultant report.\9\ For the replacement market,
most sales go through wholesalers to pool service companies. In most
new construction market, the pool builder purchases the product from a
wholesaler, and there is no contractor involved. Thus, DOE defined two
distribution channels for the purposes of estimating markups for pool
heaters.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\9\ Hamos, R., Consultant Report--Pool Heater Distribution
Channels, 2007.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
For replacement pool heaters, DOE plans to characterize the
distribution channel as follows:
Manufacturer [rarr] Wholesaler [rarr] Service Company [rarr] Consumer
For the new construction market, DOE plans to characterize the
distribution channel for pool heaters as follows:
Manufacturer [rarr] Wholesaler [rarr] Pool Builder [rarr] Consumer
Issue 11: DOE seeks input from stakeholders on whether the
distribution channels described above are appropriate for direct
heating equipment and pool heaters and are sufficient to describe the
distribution markets.
Issue 12: DOE seeks input on the percentage of products being
distributed through the different distribution channels, and whether
the share of products through each channel varies based on product
class, capacity, or other feature.
To develop markups for the parties involved in the distribution of
direct heating equipment and pool heaters, DOE would utilize several
sources including: (1) the Heating, Air-Conditioning & Refrigeration
Distributors International (HARDI) 2013 Profit Report \10\ to develop
wholesaler markups, (2) the 2005 Air Conditioning Contractors of
America's (ACCA) financial analysis for the heating, ventilation, air-
conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) contracting industry \11\ and
U.S. Census Bureau's 2007 Economic Census data for the plumbing and
HVAC contractors industry \12\ to develop mechanical contractor
markups, (3) RS Means Electrical Cost Data \13\ to develop pool service
company markup, and (4) U.S. Census Bureau's 2007 Economic Census data
for the residential building construction industry \14\ to develop
[[Page 15927]]
general contractor and pool builder markups.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\10\ Heating, Air Conditioning & Refrigeration Distributors
International 2013 Profit Report, <https://www.hardinet.org/Profit-Report>
\11\ Air Conditioning Contractors of America (ACCA), Financial
Analysis for the HVACR Contracting Industry: 2005, 2005. <https://www.acca.org/store/product.php?pid=142>
\12\ U.S. Census Bureau, Data set for Sector 23, EC0723A1:
238220 (Plumbing, Heating and Air-Conditioning Contractors),
Construction: Geographic Area Series, Detailed Statistics for
Establishments, 2007. <https://www.census.gov/econ/>
\13\ RS Means Company Inc., Mechanical Cost Data--31st Annual
Edition. 2013. ed. M. Mossman. Kingston, MA.
\14\ U.S. Census Bureau, Construction: Industry Series:
Preliminary Detailed Statistics for Establishments: 2007. New
Single-Family General Contractors, New Multifamily Housing
Construction (Except Operative Builders), New Housing Operative
Builders Resi, 2007. <https://www.census.gov/econ/>
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to the markups, DOE would derive State and local taxes
from data provided by the Sales Tax Clearinghouse. \15\ These data
represent weighted-average taxes that include county and city rates.
DOE would derive shipment-weighted-average tax values for each region
considered in the analysis.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\15\ Sales Tax Clearinghouse Inc., State Sales Tax Rates Along
with Combined Average City and County Rates, 2010. <https://thestc.com/STrates.stm>
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Issue 13: DOE seeks updated data, if available, and recommendations
regarding data sources to establish the markups for the parties
involved with the distribution of covered equipment.
F. Energy Use Analysis
The purpose of the energy use analysis is to assess the energy
requirements of direct heating equipment and pool heaters described in
the engineering analysis for a representative sample of households that
utilize the product, and to assess the energy-savings potential of
increased product efficiencies. DOE uses the annual energy consumption
and energy-savings potential in the LCC and PBP analysis to establish
the operating costs savings at various product efficiency levels. DOE
will estimate the annual energy consumption of direct heating equipment
at specified energy efficiency levels across a range of applications,
household types, and climate zones. The annual energy consumption
includes use of natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), and
electricity.
DOE intends to base the energy use analysis on household
characteristics from the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) 2009
Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS) \16\ for the households in
RECS that use direct heating equipment and pool heaters covered by this
standard. In addition, DOE may supplement the use of RECS with less
detailed but more recent data sources, such as the American Housing
Survey.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\16\ Energy Information Administration (EIA). 2009 Residential
Energy Consumption Survey (RECS). (Available at: https://www.eia.gov/consumption/residential/) (Last accessed April 10, 2013).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RECS survey data include information on the physical
characteristics of homes, space heating equipment used, fuels used,
energy consumption and expenditures, and other building
characteristics. RECS data also reports energy consumption for pool
heating in households that use them. Based on these data, DOE will
develop a representative population of households for each direct
heating equipment and pool heater class.
Issue 14: DOE requests comment on the overall method to determine
energy use of direct heating equipment and pool heaters and if other
factors should be considered in developing the energy use or energy use
methodology.
Issue 15: DOE seeks input on the current distribution of product
efficiencies in the market for different product types and classes.
G. Life-Cycle Cost and Payback Period Analysis
The purpose of the LCC and PBP analysis is to analyze the effects
of potential amended energy conservation standards on consumers of
direct heating equipment and pool heaters by determining how a
potential amended standard affects their operating expenses (usually
decreased) and their total installed costs (usually increased).
DOE intends to analyze the potential for variability by performing
the LCC and PBP calculations on a representative sample of individual
households. DOE plans to utilize the sample of households developed for
the energy use analysis and the corresponding simulations results.
Within a given household, one or more direct heating equipment units
may serve the building's space heating needs, depending on the space
heating requirements of the building. As a result, the Department
intends to express the LCC and PBP results for each of the individual
direct heating equipment units installed in the building. DOE plans to
model variability in many of the inputs to the LCC and PBP analysis
using Monte Carlo simulation and probability distributions. As a
result, the LCC and PBP results will be displayed as distributions of
impacts compared to the base case (without amended standards)
conditions. DOE also intends to utilize the sample of households
developed for energy use analysis of pool heaters. DOE plans to model
variability in many of the inputs to the pool heater LCC and PBP
analysis using Monte Carlo simulation and probability distributions.
Issue 16: DOE requests comment on the overall method that it
intends on using to conduct the LCC and PBP analysis for direct heating
equipment and pool heaters.
Inputs to the LCC and PBP analysis are categorized as: (1) inputs
for establishing the purchase expense, otherwise known as the total
installed cost, and (2) inputs for calculating the operating expense.
The primary inputs for establishing the total installed cost are
the baseline consumer price, standard-level consumer price increases,
and installation costs. Baseline consumer prices and standard-level
consumer price increases will be determined by applying markups to
manufacturer selling price estimates. The installation cost is added to
the consumer price to arrive at a total installed cost. DOE intends to
develop installation costs using the most recent RS Means data
available.
Issue 17: DOE seeks input on the approach and data sources it
intends to use to develop installation costs, specifically, its
intention to use the most recent RS Means Mechanical Cost Data. \17\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\17\ RS Means. 2014 Mechanical Cost Data. (Available at: https://rsmeans.reedconstructiondata.com/60023.aspx) (Last accessed April
10, 2014).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The primary inputs for calculating the operating costs are product
energy consumption, product efficiency, energy prices and forecasts,
maintenance and repair costs, product lifetime, and discount rates.
Both product lifetime and discount rates are used to calculate the
present value of future operating expenses.
The product energy consumption is the site energy use associated
with providing space heating to the room of a building (DHE) or water
heating to a pool or spa (pool heaters). DOE intends to utilize the
energy use calculation methodology described in Section II.F to
establish product energy use.
DOE will identify an approach to account for the gas, liquefied
petroleum gas (LPG) and electricity prices paid by consumers for the
purposes of calculating operating costs, savings, net present value,
and payback period. DOE intends to consider determining gas, LPG, and
electricity prices based on geographically available fuel cost data
such as state level data, with consideration for the variation in
energy costs paid by different building types. This approach calculates
energy expenses based on actual energy prices that customers are paying
in different geographical areas of the country. As a potential
additional source, DOE may consider data to compare provided in EIA's
Form 826 data \18\ to calculate commercial electricity prices, EIA's
[[Page 15928]]
Natural Gas Navigator \19\ to calculate commercial natural gas prices,
and EIA's State Energy Data Systems (SEDS) \20\ to calculate liquefied
petroleum gas (LPG) prices. Future energy prices will likely be
projected using trends from EIA's most recently published Annual Energy
Outlook (AEO). \21\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\18\ Energy Information Administration (EIA), Survey form EIA-
826--Monthly Electric Utility Sales and Revenue Report with State
Distributions--(Available at: https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia826/)
\19\ Energy Information Administration (EIA), Natural Gas
Navigator. (Available at: https://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/ng/ng_pri_sum_dcu_nus_m.htm).
\20\ Energy Information Administration (EIA), State Energy Data
System (SEDS). (Available at: https://www.eia.gov/state/seds/).
\21\ Energy Information Administration (EIA). Annual Energy
Outlook (AEO) Full Version. (Available at: https://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Issue 18: DOE seeks comment and sources on its approach for
developing gas, LPG, and electricity prices.
Maintenance costs are expenses associated with ensuring continued
operation of the covered products over time. DOE intends to develop
maintenance costs for its analysis using the most recent RS Means data
available. \22\ DOE plans also to consider the cases when the equipment
is covered by service and/or maintenance agreements.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\22\ RS Means. 2013 Facilities Maintenance & Repair Cost Data.
(Available at: https://rsmeans.reedconstructiondata.com/60303.aspx).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Issue 19: DOE seeks input on the approach and data sources it
intends to use to develop maintenance costs for DHE and pool heaters,
specifically, its intention to use the most recent RS Means Facilities
Maintenance & Repair Cost Data, as well as to consider the cost of
service and/or maintenance agreements.
Repair costs are expenses associated with repairing or replacing
components of the covered products that have failed. DOE intends to
assess whether repair costs vary with product efficiency as part of its
analysis. Likewise, DOE intends to assess whether maintenance costs
vary with product efficiency as part of its analysis.
Issue 20: DOE seeks comment as to whether repair costs vary as a
function of product efficiency for either DHE or pool heaters. DOE also
requests any data or information on developing repair costs for these
products.
Product lifetime is the age at which a unit of covered equipment is
retired from service. The average equipment lifetimes for DHE and gas-
fired pool heaters are estimated by various sources to be between 3 and
20 years based on application and equipment type.\23\ Based on these
data, DOE plans to determine the average lifetimes for each DHE and
pool heater product class as the primary inputs for developing a
Weibull probability distribution to characterize DHE and pool heater
lifetimes.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\23\ See S. Department of Energy-Office of Codes and Standards,
Technical Support Document: Energy Efficiency Standards for Consumer
Products: Room Air Conditioners, Water Heaters, Direct Heating
Equipment, Mobile Home Furnaces, Kitchen Ranges and Ovens, Pool
Heaters, Fluorescent Lamp Ballasts & Television Sets, 1993.
Washington, DC Vol. 1 of 3. Report No. DOE/EE-0009. National
Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). U.S. Department of Energy
Commercial Reference Building Models of the National Building Stock.
February 2011. Pg. 38. (Available at: https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy11osti/46861.pdf); Empire Comfort System, Surround Yourself With
Comfort, 2006. (Available at: https://dev.obatadesign.com/clients/Empire/faq/faq.asp); U.S. Department of Energy: Energy Efficiency
and Renewable Energy, Gas Swimming Pool Heaters, 2005; Illinois
Propane Gas Association, Swimming, 2006 (Available at: https://
www.ilpga.org/homebuilder_swimming.cfm); Pool Quest, Heating-
Frequently Asked Questions, 2005.) (Available at: https://www.poolquest.com/heaters.aspx). The Spa Specialist Inc., Spa
Buyer's Questions and Answers, 2006. (Available at: https://www.spaspecialist.com/qa.html); and Hamos, R., Consultant Report--
Pool Heaters, 2009.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Issue 21: DOE seeks comment on its approach of using a Weibull
probability distribution to characterize product lifetimes. DOE also
requests DHE and pool heater product lifetime data and information on
whether product lifetime varies based on product characteristics, fuel
type, product application, or efficiency level considerations.
Issue 22: DOE seeks data, information, and comment on the product
lifetimes of electric resistance and electric heat pump pool heaters.
The discount rate is the rate at which future expenditures are
discounted to establish their present value. DOE intends to derive the
discount rates by estimating the finance cost to consumers direct
heating equipment and pool heaters. For replacement purchasers, the
estimated cost of financing of this equipment is estimated from a
portfolio of consumer debts. For new construction purchases, financing
costs are related to mortgage interest rates.
DOE's analysis includes measures of LCC and PBP impacts of
potential standard levels relative to a base case, which reflects the
likely market in the absence of amended standards. DOE plans to develop
market-share efficiency data (i.e., the distribution of product
shipments by efficiency) for the product classes DOE is considering,
for the year in which compliance with any amended standards would be
required.
DOE also plans to assess the applicability of the ``rebound
effect'' in the energy consumption for DHE and for pool heaters. A
rebound effect occurs when a product that is made more efficient is
used more intensively, so that the expected energy savings from the
efficiency improvement may not fully materialize. However, at this
time, DOE is not aware of any information about the rebound effect for
these product types.
Issue 23: DOE requests data on current efficiency market shares (of
shipments) by product class for DHE and pool heaters, and also input on
similar historic data. DOE also requests comment on market segmentation
based on capacity, application and fuel type, as well as trends in fuel
switching.
Issue 24: DOE also requests information on expected future trends
in efficiency for DHE product classes and for all pool heater types,
including the relative market share of condensing versus non-condensing
products in the market in the absence of new efficiency standards.
Issue 25: DOE seeks comments and data on any rebound effect that
may be associated with more efficient DHE and pool heaters.
H. Shipment Analysis
DOE uses shipment projections by product class to calculate the
national impacts of standards on energy consumption, net present value
(NPV) of customer benefits, and future manufacturer cash flows.
DOE intends to develop a shipments models for DHE and gas-fired
pool heaters based on historical shipments data obtained during the
rulemaking process. DOE currently does not have any historical
shipments information for electric resistance or electric heat pump
pool heaters. DOE will also examine unit shipments and value of
shipments for direct heating equipment, and pool heaters using publicly
available data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Annual Survey of
Manufacturers (ASM) and Current Industrial Reports (CIR), and the
American Society of Heating, Refrigerating, and Air-Conditioning
Engineers (ASHRAE) and Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration
Institute (AHRI).
Issue 26: DOE seeks historical shipments data for DHE and pool
heaters, particularly for electric resistance and electric heat pump
pool heaters.
Issue 27: DOE seeks data, information, and comment on expected
future trends for shipments of all product classes of DHE and all types
of pool heaters, including the relative share of sales to new
construction vs. existing households.
DOE intends to utilize the U.S. Census Bureau data \24\ to
establish
[[Page 15929]]
historical new construction floor space, as well as historical stock
floor space. The Annual Energy Outlook will be used to forecast both
new construction and stock floor space. Using these and historical
equipment saturation data from RECS, DOE will estimate shipments to the
three market segments identified above.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\24\ U.S. Census Bureau. Statistical Abstract of the United
States: 2011, Table No 933--Construction Contracts-Value of
Construction and Floor Space of Buildings by Class of Construction.
(Available at: https://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2011/cats/construction_housing/construction_indices_and_value.html)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Issue 28: DOE seeks input on the approach and data sources it
intends to use in developing the shipments model and shipments
forecasts for this analysis, including main drivers and trends toward
consumer switching between fuel types.
I. National Impact Analysis
The purpose of the national impact analysis (NIA) is to estimate
aggregate impacts of potential energy conservation standards at the
national level. Impacts that DOE reports include the national energy
savings (NES) from potential standards and the net present value (NPV)
of the total customer benefits.
To develop the NES, DOE calculates annual energy consumption for
the base case and the standards cases. DOE calculates the annual energy
consumption using per-unit annual energy use data multiplied by
projected shipments.
To develop the NPV of customer benefits from potential energy
conservation standards, DOE calculates annual energy expenditures and
annual product expenditures for the base case and the standards cases.
DOE calculates annual energy expenditures from annual energy
consumption by incorporating projected energy prices. DOE calculates
annual product expenditures by multiplying the price per unit times the
projected shipments. The difference each year between energy bill
savings, increased maintenance and repair costs, and increased product
expenditures is the net savings or net costs.
A key component of DOE's estimates of NES and NPV are the product
energy efficiencies forecasted over time for the base case and for each
of the standards cases. For the base case trend, DOE will consider
whether historical data show any trend and whether any trend can be
reasonably extrapolated beyond current efficiency levels. In
particular, DOE is interested in historical and future shipments of
products with step changes in efficiency, such as condensing gas-fired
DHE or heat pump pool heaters.
Issue 29: DOE requests comment and any available data on
historical, current, and future market share of equipment with step
changes in efficiency, such as gas-fired vented home heaters that use
condensing technology and electric heat pump pool heaters, as compared
to less efficient products, such as non-condensing gas-fired DHE and
electric resistance pool heaters, respectively, for each product class.
For the various standards cases, to estimate the impact that
amended energy conservation standards may have in the year compliance
becomes required, DOE would likely use a ``roll-up'' scenario. Under
the ``roll-up'' scenario, DOE assumes: (1) Product efficiencies in the
base case that do not meet the new or amended standard level under
consideration would ``roll up'' to meet that standard level; and (2)
product shipments at efficiencies above the standard level under
consideration would not be affected. After DOE establishes the
efficiency distribution for the assumed compliance date of a standard,
it may consider future projected efficiency growth using available
trend data.
As described in section II.F, DOE intends to determine whether
there is a rebound effect associated with more efficient DHE or pool
heaters. If data indicate that there is a rebound effect, DOE will
account for the rebound effect in its calculation of NES.
DOE has historically presented NES in terms of primary energy
savings. On August 18, 2011, DOE announced its intention to use full-
fuel-cycle (FFC) measures of energy use and greenhouse gas and other
emissions in the national impact analyses and emissions analyses
included in future energy conservation standards rulemakings. 76 FR
51282. While DOE stated in that notice that it intended to use the
Greenhouse Gases, Regulated Emissions, and Energy Use in Transportation
(GREET) model to conduct the analysis, it also said it would review
alternative methods, including the use of NEMS. After evaluating both
models and the approaches discussed in the August 18, 2011 notice, DOE
determined NEMS is a more appropriate tool for this purpose. 77 FR
49701 (Aug. 17, 2012). Therefore, DOE is using NEMS to conduct FFC
analyses. The method used to derive the FFC multipliers will be
described in the TSD.
J. Manufacturer Impact Analysis
The purpose of the manufacturer impact analysis (MIA) is to
estimate the financial impacts of potential energy conservation
standards on manufacturers of direct heating equipment and pool
heaters, and to evaluate the potential impact of such standards on
direct employment and manufacturing capacity. The MIA includes both
quantitative and qualitative aspects. The quantitative part of the MIA
primarily relies on the Government Regulatory Impact Model (GRIM), an
industry cash-flow model used to estimate a range of potential impacts
on manufacturer profitability. The qualitative part of the MIA
addresses a proposed standard's potential impacts on manufacturing
capacity and industry competition, as well as factors such as product
characteristics, impacts on particular subgroups of firms, and
important market and product trends.
As part of the MIA, DOE also analyzes impacts of potential energy
conservation standards on small business manufacturers of covered
products. DOE uses the Small Business Administration's (SBA) small
business size standards to determine whether manufacturers qualify as
small businesses. The size standards are listed by North American
Industry Classification System (NAICS) code and industry description.
\25\ Manufacturing of direct heating equipment and pool heaters is
classified under NAICS 333414, ``Heating Equipment (except Warm Air
Furnaces) Manufacturing.'' The SBA sets a threshold of 500 employees or
fewer for an entity to be considered as a small business in this
category. The 500-employee threshold includes all employees in a
business's parent company and any other subsidiaries.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\25\ Available at: https://www.sba.gov/idc/groups/public/documents/sba_homepage/serv_sstd_tablepdf.pdf
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
DOE has initially identified four manufacturers of direct heating
equipment and 16 manufacturers of pool heaters. The table below lists
all identified manufacturers. Domestic small businesses are designated
with an asterisk.
[[Page 15930]]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Direct heating equipment manufacturers Pool heater manufacturers
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Empire Comfort Systems* AquaCal Autopilot,
Louisville Tin and Stove Co.* Inc.*
Rinnai AquaComfort
Williams Furnace Co. Technologies.*
AquaPro Systems.*
Built Right Pool
Heaters.*
Coates Heater
Company, Inc.*
EcoSmart US, LLC.*
G&F Manufacturing.*
Hayward Industries,
Inc.
Hydroquip, Inc.*
Lochinvar LLC.
Pentair.
Rheem.
Thermeau
Industries, Inc.
(Canadian).
Titan Systems
(Canadian).
United States
ThermoAmp, Inc.*
Zodiac Pool Systems
Inc.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Domestic small businesses
Issue 30: DOE requests comment on the completeness of the
manufacturer list presented, including names of any additional
manufacturers that may belong on this list.
III. Public Participation
DOE will accept comments, data, and information regarding this RFI
and other matters relevant to DOE's consideration of amended energy
conservations standard for DHE and pool heaters no later than the date
provided in the DATES section at the beginning of this RFI. Interested
parties may submit comments using any of the methods described in the
ADDRESSES section at the beginning of this RFI. After the close of the
comment period, DOE will begin collecting data, conducting the
analyses, and reviewing the public comments. These actions will be
taken to aid in the development of a NOPR for energy conservation
standards for DHE and pool heaters, should DOE decide to amend the
standards for DHE and pool heaters.
Instructions: All submissions received must include the agency name
and docket number and/or RIN for this rulemaking. No telefacsimilies
(faxes) will be accepted.
Docket: The docket is available for review at www.regulations.gov,
including Federal Register notices, public meeting attendees' lists and
transcripts, comments, and other supporting documents/materials. All
documents in the docket are listed in the www.regulations.gov index.
However, not all documents listed in the index may be publicly
available, such as information that is exempt from public disclosure.
A link to the docket Web page can be found at: https://www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;D=EERE-2015-BT-STD-0003. This Web
page contains a link to the docket for this notice on the
www.regulations.gov Web site. The www.regulations.gov Web page contains
simple instructions on how to access all documents, including public
comments, in the docket.
For information on how to submit a comment, review other public
comments and the docket, or participate in the public meeting, contact
Ms. Brenda Edwards at (202) 586-2945 or by email:
Brenda.Edwards@ee.doe.gov.
DOE considers public participation to be a very important part of
the process for developing test procedures. DOE actively encourages the
participation and interaction of the public during the comment period
in each stage of the rulemaking process. Interactions with and between
members of the public provide a balanced discussion of the issues and
assist DOE in the rulemaking process. Anyone who wishes to be added to
the DOE mailing list to receive future notices and information about
this rulemaking should contact Ms. Brenda Edwards at (202) 586-2945, or
via email at Brenda.Edwards@ee.doe.gov.
Issued in Washington, DC, on March 17, 2015.
Kathleen B. Hogan,
Deputy Assistant Secretary for Energy Efficiency, Energy Efficiency and
Renewable Energy.
[FR Doc. 2015-06809 Filed 3-25-15; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6450-01-P