Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program Year 2016, 9636-9648 [2015-03662]
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Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations
TABLE 51—ESTIMATED IMPACT OF THE CY 2015 UPDATE TO THE ASC PAYMENT SYSTEM ON AGGREGATE PAYMENTS
FOR SELECTED PROCEDURES—Continued
CPT/HCPCS code
Short descriptor
Estimated CY
2014 ASC
payments (in
millions)
Estimated CY
2015 percent
change
(1)
(2)
(3)
(4)
64635 .........................
63650 .........................
G0121 ........................
64590 .........................
15823 .........................
63685 .........................
29827 .........................
64721 .........................
29881 .........................
29824 .........................
29880 .........................
43235 .........................
62310 .........................
29823 .........................
52000 .........................
G0260 ........................
45384 .........................
67042 .........................
26055 .........................
Destroy lumb/sac facet jnt ...............................................................................................
Implant neuroelectrodes ..................................................................................................
Colon ca scrn not hi rsk ind ............................................................................................
Insrt/redo pn/gastr stimul .................................................................................................
Revision of upper eyelid ..................................................................................................
Insrt/redo spine n generator ............................................................................................
Arthroscop rotator cuff repr .............................................................................................
Carpal tunnel surgery ......................................................................................................
Knee arthroscopy/surgery ................................................................................................
Shoulder arthroscopy/surgery ..........................................................................................
Knee arthroscopy/surgery ................................................................................................
Uppr gi endoscopy diagnosis ..........................................................................................
Inject spine c/t ..................................................................................................................
Shoulder arthroscopy/surgery ..........................................................................................
Cystoscopy ......................................................................................................................
Inj for sacroiliac jt anesth .................................................................................................
Lesion remove colonoscopy ............................................................................................
Vit for macular hole .........................................................................................................
Incise finger tendon sheath .............................................................................................
Dated: February 18, 2015.
C’Reda Weeden,
Executive Secretary to the Department,
Department of Health and Human Services.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
[FR Doc. 2015–03760 Filed 2–23–15; 8:45 am]
Table of Contents
BILLING CODE 4120–01–P
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND
HUMAN SERVICES
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services
42 CFR Part 600
[CMS–2391–FN]
RIN 0938–ZB18
Basic Health Program; Federal
Funding Methodology for Program
Year 2016
Centers for Medicare &
Medicaid Services (CMS), HHS.
ACTION: Final methodology.
AGENCY:
This document provides the
methodology and data sources necessary
to determine federal payment amounts
made in program year 2016 to states that
elect to establish a Basic Health Program
under the Affordable Care Act to offer
health benefits coverage to low-income
individuals otherwise eligible to
purchase coverage through Affordable
Insurance Exchanges.
DATES: These regulations are effective
on January 1, 2016.
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SUMMARY:
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Christopher Truffer, (410) 786–1264;
Stephanie Kaminsky (410) 786–4653.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
II. Summary of Proposed Provisions and
Analysis of and Responses to Public
Comments on the Proposed Methodology
A. Background
B. Overview of the Funding Methodology
and Calculation of the Payment Amount
C. Required Rate Cells
D. Sources and State Data Considerations
E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in
Payment Equations
F. Adjustments for American Indians and
Alaska Natives
G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP
Premiums for BHP Payments
H. State Option To Include Retrospective
State-Specific Health Risk Adjustment in
Certified Methodology
III. Provisions of the Final Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding Methodology
and Calculation of the Payment Amount
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
C. Sources and State Data Considerations
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in
Payment Equations
E. Adjustments for American Indians and
Alaska Natives
F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP
Premiums for BHP Payments
G. State Option To Include Retrospective
State-Specific Health Risk Adjustment in
Certified Methodology
IV. Collection of Information Requirements
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
D. Federalism
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Acronyms
To assist the reader, the following
acronyms are used in this document.
DAV Change in Actuarial Value
APTC Advance payment of the premium
tax credit
ARP Adjusted reference premium
AV Actuarial value
BHP Basic Health Program
CCIIO CMS’ Center for Consumer
Information and Insurance Oversight
CDC Centers for Disease Control and
Prevention
CHIP Children’s Health Insurance Program
CPI–U Consumer price index for all urban
consumers
CSR Cost-sharing reduction
EHB Essential Health Benefit
FPL Federal poverty line
FRAC Factor for removing administrative
costs
IRF Income reconciliation factor
IRS Internal Revenue Service
IUF Induced utilization factor
QHP Qualified health plan
OTA Office of Tax Analysis [of the U.S.
Department of Treasury]
PHF Population health factor
PTC Premium tax credit
PTCF Premium tax credit formula
PTF Premium trend factor
RP Reference premium
SBM State Based Marketplace
TRAF Tobacco rating adjustment factor
I. Background
The Patient Protection and Affordable
Care Act (Pub. L. 111–148, enacted on
March 23, 2010), together with the
Health Care and Education
Reconciliation Act of 2010 (Pub. L. 111–
152, enacted on March 30, 2010)
(collectively referred as the Affordable
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Care Act) provides for the establishment
of Affordable Insurance Exchanges
(Exchanges, also called the Health
Insurance Marketplace) that provide
access to affordable health insurance
coverage offered by qualified health
plans (QHPs). Individuals who enroll, or
whose family member enrolls, in a QHP
cannot be eligible for health coverage
under other federally supported health
benefits programs or through affordable
employer-sponsored insurance coverage
and have incomes above 100 percent but
no more than 400 percent of the federal
poverty line (FPL), or have income
below that level but be lawfully present
non-citizens ineligible for Medicaid
because of immigration status.
Individuals enrolled through
Marketplaces in coverage offered by
QHPs may qualify for the federal
premium tax credit (PTC) or federallyfunded cost-sharing reductions (CSRs)
based on their household income, to
make coverage affordable.
In the states that elect to operate a
Basic Health Program (BHP), BHP will
make affordable health benefits coverage
available for individuals under age 65
with household incomes between 133
percent and 200 percent of the FPL who
are not otherwise eligible for Medicaid,
the Children’s Health Insurance
Program (CHIP), or affordable employersponsored coverage. (For those states
that have expanded Medicaid coverage
under section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i)(VIII) of
the Social Security Act (the Act), the
lower income threshold for BHP
eligibility is effectively 138 percent due
to the application of a required 5
percent income disregard in
determining the upper limits of
Medicaid income eligibility (section
1902(e)(14)(I) of the Act).) Federal
funding will be available for BHP based
on the amount of PTC and CSRs that
BHP enrollees would have received had
they been enrolled in QHPs through
Marketplaces.
In the March 12, 2014 Federal
Register (79 FR 14112), we published a
final rule entitled the ‘‘Basic Health
Program; State Administration of Basic
Health Programs; Eligibility and
Enrollment in Standard Health Plans;
Essential Health Benefits in Standard
Health Plans; Performance Standards for
Basic Health Programs; Premium and
Cost Sharing for Basic Health Programs;
Federal Funding Process; Trust Fund
and Financial Integrity’’ (hereinafter
referred to as the BHP final rule)
implementing section 1331 of the
Affordable Care Act), which directs the
establishment of BHP. The BHP final
rule establishes the standards for state
and federal administration of BHP,
including provisions regarding
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eligibility and enrollment, benefits, costsharing requirements and oversight
activities. While the BHP final rule
codifies the overall statutory
requirements and basic procedural
framework for the funding methodology,
it does not contain the specific
information necessary to determine
federal payments. We anticipated that
the methodology would be based on
data and assumptions that would reflect
ongoing operations and experience of
BHP programs, as well as the operation
of the Marketplaces. For this reason, the
BHP final rule indicated that the
development and publication of the
funding methodology, including any
data sources, would be addressed in a
separate annual BHP Payment Notice.
In the BHP final rule, we specified
that the BHP Payment Notice process
would include the annual publication of
both a proposed and final BHP Payment
Notice. The proposed BHP Payment
Notice would be published in the
Federal Register each October, and
would describe the proposed
methodology for the upcoming BHP
program year, including how the
Secretary considered the factors
specified in section 1331(d)(3) of the
Affordable Care Act, along with the
proposed data sources used to
determine the federal BHP payment
rates. The final BHP Payment Notice
would be published in the Federal
Register in February, and would include
the final BHP funding methodology, as
well as the federal BHP payment rates
for the next BHP program year. For
example, payment rates published in
February 2015 would apply to BHP
program year 2016, beginning in January
2016. As discussed in section III.C of
this methodology, state data needed to
calculate the federal BHP payment rates
for the final BHP Payment Notice must
be submitted to CMS.
As described in the BHP final rule,
once the final methodology has been
published, we will only make
modifications to the BHP funding
methodology on a prospective basis
with limited exceptions. The BHP final
rule provided that retrospective
adjustments to the state’s BHP payment
amount may occur to the extent that the
prevailing BHP funding methodology
for a given program year permits
adjustments to a state’s federal BHP
payment amount due to insufficient
data for prospective determination of
the relevant factors specified in the
payment notice. Additional adjustments
could be made to the payment rates to
correct errors in applying the
methodology (such as mathematical
errors).
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Under section 1331(d)(3)(ii) of the
Affordable Care Act, the funding
methodology and payment rates are
expressed as an amount per BHP
enrollee for each month of enrollment.
These payment rates may vary based on
categories or classes of enrollees. Actual
payment to a state would depend on the
actual enrollment in coverage through
the state BHP. A state that is approved
to implement BHP must provide data
showing quarterly enrollment in the
various federal BHP payment rate cells.
The data submission requirements
associated with this will be published
subsequent to the proposed
methodology.
II. Summary of Proposed Provisions
and Analysis of and Responses to
Public Comments on the Proposed
Methodology
The following sections, arranged by
subject area, include a summary of the
public comments that we received, and
our responses. For a complete and full
description of the BHP proposed
funding methodology, see the ‘‘Basic
Health Program; Federal Funding
Methodology for Program Year 2016’’
proposed methodology published in the
October 23, 2014 Federal Register (79
FR 63363).
We received a total of 3 timely
comments from individuals and groups
advocating on behalf of consumers and
health care providers. The public
comments received ranged from general
support or opposition to the proposed
methodology and BHP to specific
comments regarding the proposed
methodological factors.
A. Background
In the October 23, 2014 (79 FR 63363)
proposed methodology, we specified the
methodology of how the federal BHP
payments would be calculated. For
specific discussions, please refer to the
October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We received the following comments
on the background information included
in the proposed methodology:
Comment: Some commenters
expressed general opposition to BHP
and the payment methodology.
Response: The comments were
outside the scope of the BHP program
and payment methodology.
Final Decision: After careful
consideration of the public comments,
we are finalizing our proposed
methodology for how the federal BHP
payments will be calculated.
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B. Overview of the Funding
Methodology and Calculation of the
Payment Amount
We proposed in the overview of the
funding methodology to calculate the
PTC and CSR as consistently as possible
and in general alignment with the
methodology used by Marketplaces to
calculate the advance payments of the
PTC and CSR, and by the Internal
Revenue Service (IRS) to calculate the
final PTC. We proposed in this section
four equations that comprise the overall
BHP funding methodology. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October
23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR
63363).
We received no comments regarding
the overview of the funding
methodology and calculation of the
payment amount. We are finalizing the
BHP overview of the funding
methodology and the payment amount
for FY 2016.
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C. Required Rate Cells
In this section, we proposed that a
state implementing BHP provide us
with an estimate of the number of BHP
enrollees it will enroll in the upcoming
BHP program, by applicable rate cell, to
determine the federal BHP payment
amounts. For each state, we proposed
using rate cells that separate the BHP
population into separate cells based on
the following five factors: age;
geographic rating area; coverage status;
household size; and income. For
specific discussions, please refer to the
October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We received the following comment
on the proposed rate cells:
Comment: One commenter expressed
concern that defining geographic rating
areas as counties would not capture
potential differences in health care costs
and qualified health plan premiums in
different parts of the county, and
recommended defining the rating area
by zip code instead.
Response: We believe that this is
unlikely to have a significant impact on
the federal BHP payment. In addition,
we believe that it would make state
operation of the program substantially
more challenging.
Final Decision: After careful
consideration of the comments, we are
finalizing the criteria and definitions of
the rate cells to determine the federal
BHP payment amounts for FY 2016.
D. Sources and State Data
Considerations
We proposed in this section to use, to
the extent possible, data submitted to
the federal government by QHP issuers
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seeking to offer coverage through a
Marketplace to determine the federal
BHP payment cell rates. However, in
states operating a State Based
Marketplace (SBM), we proposed that
such states submit required data for
CMS to calculate the federal BHP
payment rates in those states. For
specific discussions, please refer to the
October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on
the ‘‘Sources and State Data
Considerations’’ section and are
finalizing the BHP methodology as
proposed.
E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used
in Payment Equations
In this section, we proposed 11
specific variables to use in the payment
equations that comprise the overall BHP
funding methodology. (10 variables are
described in section III.D of this
document, and the premium trend
factor is described in section III.F.) For
each proposed variable, we included a
discussion on the assumptions and data
sources used in developing the
variables. For specific discussions,
please refer to the October 23, 2014
proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on
the ‘‘Specific Variables Used in Payment
Equations’’ section and are finalizing
the BHP methodology as proposed.
F. Adjustments for American Indians
and Alaska Natives
We proposed to make several
adjustments for American Indians and
Alaska Natives when calculating the
CSR portion of the federal BHP payment
rate to be consistent with the
Marketplace rules. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October
23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR
63363).
We did not receive any comments on
the ‘‘Adjustments for American Indians
and Alaska Natives’’ section and are
finalizing the BHP methodology as
proposed.
G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP
Premiums for BHP Payments
In this section, we proposed to
provide states implementing BHP with
the option to use the 2015 QHP
premiums multiplied by a premium
trend factor to calculate the federal BHP
payment rates instead of using the 2016
QHP premiums. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October
23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR
63363).
We did not receive any comments on
the ‘‘State Option to Use 2015 QHP
Premiums for BHP Payments’’ section
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and are finalizing the BHP methodology
as proposed.
H. State Option To Include
Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology
In this section, we proposed to
provide states implementing BHP the
option to develop a methodology to
account for the impact that including
the BHP population in the Marketplace
would have had on QHP premiums
based on any differences in health status
between the BHP population and
persons enrolled through the
Marketplace. For specific discussions,
please refer to the October 23, 2014
proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on
the ‘‘State Option to Include
Retrospective State-specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology’’
section and are finalizing the BHP
methodology as proposed.
III. Provisions of the Final Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding
Methodology and Calculation of the
Payment Amount
Section 1331(d)(3) of the Affordable
Care Act directs the Secretary to
consider several factors when
determining the federal BHP payment
amount, which, as specified in the
statute, must equal 95 percent of the
value of the PTC and CSRs that BHP
enrollees would have been provided
had they enrolled in a QHP through a
Marketplace. Thus, the BHP funding
methodology is designed to calculate
the PTC and CSRs as consistently as
possible and in general alignment with
the methodology used by Marketplaces
to calculate the advance payments of the
PTC and CSRs, and by the IRS to
calculate final PTCs. In general, we rely
on values for factors in the payment
methodology specified in statute or
other regulations as available, and we
have developed values for other factors
not otherwise specified in statute, or
previously calculated in other
regulations, to simulate the values of the
PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would
have received if they had enrolled in
QHPs offered through a Marketplace. In
accordance with section
1331(d)(3)(A)(iii) of the Affordable Care
Act, the final funding methodology
must be certified by CMS’ Chief
Actuary, in consultation with the Office
of Tax Analysis (OTA) of the
Department of the Treasury, as having
met the requirements of section
1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care
Act.
Section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the
Affordable Care Act specifies that the
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The rate for each rate cell will be
calculated in two parts. The first part (as
described in Equation (1)) will equal 95
percent of the estimated PTC that would
have been paid if a BHP enrollee in that
rate cell had instead enrolled in a QHP
in the Marketplace. The second part (as
described in Equation (2)) will equal 95
percent of the estimated CSR payment
that would have been made if a BHP
enrollee in that rate cell had instead
enrolled in a QHP in the Marketplace.
These 2 parts will be added together and
the total rate for that rate cell will be
equal to the sum of the PTC and CSR
rates.
To calculate the total federal BHP
payment, Equation (1) will be used to
calculate the estimated PTC for
individuals in each rate cell and
Equation (2) will be used to calculate
the estimated CSR payments for
individuals in each rate cell. By
applying the equations separately to rate
cells based on age, income and other
factors, we effectively take those factors
into account in the calculation. In
addition, the equations take into
account additional relevant variables
that are needed to determine the
estimated PTC and CSR payments for
individuals in each rate cell. Each of the
variables in the equations is defined
below, and further detail is provided
later in this section of the payment
notice.
In addition, we describe how we will
calculate the adjusted reference
premium (described later in this section
of the payment methodology) that is
used in Equations (1) and (2). This is
defined in Equation (3a) and Equation
(3b).
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of
BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
Ih,i,j = Income (in dollars per month) at each
1 percentage-point increment of FPL
j = jth percentage-point increment FPL
n = Number of income increments used to
calculate the mean PTC
PTCFh,i,j = Premium Tax Credit Formula
percentage
IRF = Income reconciliation factor
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Equation 1: Estimated PTC by Rate Cell
The estimated PTC, on a per enrollee
basis, will be calculated for each rate
Equation 2: Estimated CSR Payment by
Rate Cell
The CSR portion of the rate will be
calculated for each rate cell for each
state based on age range, geographic
area, coverage category, household size,
and income range defined as a
percentage of FPL. The CSR portion of
the rate will be calculated in a manner
consistent with the methodology used to
calculate the CSR advance payments for
persons enrolled in a QHP, as described
in the final rule we published in the
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cell for each state based on age range,
geographic area, coverage category,
household size, and income range. The
PTC portion of the rate will be
calculated in a manner consistent with
the methodology used to calculate the
PTC for persons enrolled in a QHP, with
3 adjustments. First, the PTC portion of
the rate for each rate cell will represent
the mean, or average, expected PTC that
all persons in the rate cell would
receive, rather than being calculated for
each individual enrollee. Second, the
reference premium used to calculate the
PTC (described in more detail later in
the section) will be adjusted for BHP
population health status, and in the case
of a state that elects to use 2015
premiums for the basis of the BHP
federal payment, for the projected
change in the premium from the 2015 to
2016, to which the rates announced in
the final payment methodology would
apply. These adjustments are described
in Equation (3a) and Equation (3b).
Third, the PTC will be adjusted
prospectively to reflect the mean, or
average, net expected impact of income
reconciliation on the combination of all
persons enrolled in BHP; this
adjustment, as described in section
III.D.5 of this methodology, will account
for the impact on the PTC that would
have occurred had such reconciliation
been performed. Finally, the rate is
multiplied by 95 percent, consistent
with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the
Affordable Care Act. We note that in the
situation where the average income
contribution of an enrollee would
exceed the adjusted reference premium,
we will calculate the PTC to be equal to
0 and would not allow the value of the
PTC to be negative.
Consistent with this description,
equation (1) is defined as:
Federal Register on March 11, 2014
entitled ‘‘HHS Notice of Benefit and
Payment Parameters for 2015’’ final rule
(79 FR 13744), with 3 principal
adjustments. (We will make a separate
calculation that includes different
adjustments for American Indian/Alaska
Native BHP enrollees, as described in
section III.D.1 of this methodology.) For
the first adjustment, the CSR rate, like
the PTC rate, will represent the mean
expected CSR subsidy that would be
paid on behalf of all persons in the rate
cell, rather than being calculated for
each individual enrollee. Second, this
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payment determination ‘‘shall take into
account all relevant factors necessary to
determine the value of the premium tax
credits and cost-sharing reductions that
would have been provided to eligible
individuals . . . including the age and
income of the enrollee, whether the
enrollment is for self-only or family
coverage, geographic differences in
average spending for health care across
rating areas, the health status of the
enrollee for purposes of determining
risk adjustment payments and
reinsurance payments that would have
been made if the enrollee had enrolled
in a qualified health plan through a
Marketplace, and whether any
reconciliation of the credit or costsharing reductions would have occurred
if the enrollee had been so enrolled.’’
The payment methodology takes each of
these factors into account. This
methodology is the same as the 2015
payment methodology, with updated
values but no changes in methods.
We have developed a methodology
that the total federal BHP payment
amount would be based on multiple
‘‘rate cells’’ in each state. Each ‘‘rate
cell’’ represents a unique combination
of age range, geographic area, coverage
category (for example, self-only or twoadult coverage through BHP), household
size, and income range as a percentage
of FPL. Thus, there are distinct rate cells
for individuals in each coverage
category within a particular age range
who reside in a specific geographic area
and are in households of the same size
and income range. We note that the
development of the BHP payment rates
will be consistent with each state’s rules
on age rating. Thus, in the case of a state
that does not use age as a rating factor
on the Marketplace, the BHP payment
rates would not vary by age.
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Finally, the rate will be multiplied by 95
percent, as provided in section
1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable Care
Act.
Consistent with the methodology
described above, equation (2) is defined
as:
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy
portion of BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
TRAF = Tobacco rating adjustment factor
FRAC = Factor removing administrative costs
AV = Actuarial value of plan (as percentage
of allowed benefits covered by the
applicable QHP without a cost-sharing
reduction subsidy)
IUFh,i = Induced utilization factor
DAVh,i = Change in actuarial value (as
percentage of allowed benefits)
Equation 3a and Equation 3b: Adjusted
Reference Premium Variable (Used in
Equations 1 and 2)
In the case of a state that elects to use
the reference premium based on the
2016 premiums, we will calculate the
value of the adjusted reference premium
as specified in Equation (3a). The
adjusted reference premium will be
equal to the reference premium, which
will be based on the second lowest cost
silver plan premium in 2016, multiplied
by the BHP population health factor
(described in section III.D of this
methodology), which will reflect the
projected impact that enrolling BHPeligible individuals in QHPs on a
Marketplace would have had on the
average QHP premium.
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
III.F of this methodology), we will
calculate the value of the adjusted
reference premium as specified in
Equation (3b). The adjusted reference
premium will be equal to the reference
premium, which will be based on the
second lowest cost silver plan premium
in 2015, multiplied by the BHP
population health factor (described in
section III.D of this methodology),
which will reflect the projected impact
that enrolling BHP-eligible individuals
in QHPs on a Marketplace would have
had on the average QHP premium, and
by the premium trend factor, which will
reflect the projected change in the
premium level between 2015 and 2016
(including the estimated impact of
changes resulting from the transitional
reinsurance program established in
section 1341 of the Affordable Care Act).
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
PTF = Premium trend factor
BHP enrollees in that cell (that is, the
number of enrollees that meet the
criteria for each rate cell) to calculate
the total monthly BHP payment. This
calculation is shown in Equation 4
below.
PMT = Total monthly BHP payment
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of
BHP payment rate
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy
portion of BHP payment rate
Ea,g,c,h,i = Number of BHP enrollees
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Equation 4: Determination of Total
Monthly Payment for BHP Enrollees in
Each Rate Cell
In general, the rate for each rate cell
will be multiplied by the number of
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a = Age range
g = Geographic area
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ER24FE15.001 ER24FE15.002
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In the case of a state that elects to use
the reference premium based on the
2015 premiums (as described in section
As part of these calculations for both
the PTC and CSR components, the value
of the adjusted reference premium as
described below. Consistent with the
approach last year, we will allow states
to choose between using the actual 2016
QHP premiums or the 2015 QHP
premiums multiplied by the premium
trend factor (as described in section III.F
of this methodology). Therefore, we
describe below how we would calculate
the adjusted reference premium under
each option.
ER24FE15.004
users to calculate CSR advance
payments for tobacco users enrolled in
a QHP. Accordingly, the equation
includes a tobacco rating adjustment
factor that would account for BHP
enrollees’ estimated tobacco-related
health costs that are outside the
premium charged to non-tobacco-users.
ER24FE15.003
calculation will be based on the
adjusted reference premium, as
described in section III.A.3 of this
methodology. Third, this equation uses
an adjusted reference premium that
reflects premiums charged to nontobacco users, rather than the actual
premium that is charged to tobacco
Federal Register / Vol. 80, No. 36 / Tuesday, February 24, 2015 / Rules and Regulations
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
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We will require that a state
implementing BHP provide us an
estimate of the number of BHP enrollees
it projects will enroll in the upcoming
BHP program year, by applicable rate
cell, prior to the first quarter of program
operations. Upon our approval of such
estimates as reasonable, they will be
used to calculate the prospective
payment for the first and subsequent
quarters of program operation until the
state has provided us actual enrollment
data. These data will be required to
calculate the final BHP payment
amount, and make any necessary
reconciliation adjustments to the prior
quarters’ prospective payment amounts
due to differences between projected
and actual enrollment. In subsequent
quarters, quarterly deposits to the state’s
trust fund will be based on the most
recent actual enrollment data submitted
to us. Procedures will ensure that
federal payments to a state reflect actual
BHP enrollment during a year, within
each applicable category, and
prospectively determined federal
payment rates for each category of BHP
enrollment, with such categories
defined in terms of age range,
geographic area, coverage status,
household size, and income range, as
explained above.
We will require the use of certain rate
cells as part of the methodology. For
each state, we will use rate cells that
separate the BHP population into
separate cells based on the five factors
described below.
Factor 1—Age: We will separate
enrollees into rate cells by age, using the
following age ranges that capture the
widest variations in premiums under
HHS’s Default Age Curve: 1
1 This curve is used to implement the Affordable
Care Act’s 3:1 limit on age-rating in states that do
not create an alternative rate structure to comply
with that limit. The curve applies to all individual
market plans, both within and outside the
Exchange. The age bands capture the principal
allowed age-based variations in premiums as
permitted by this curve. More information can be
found at https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/
Files/Downloads/market-reforms-guidance-2-252013.pdf. Both children and adults under age 21 are
charged the same premium. For adults age 21–64,
the age bands in this methodology divide the total
age-based premium variation into the three most
equally-sized ranges (defining size by the ratio
between the highest and lowest premiums within
the band) that are consistent with the age-bands
used for risk-adjustment purposes in the HHSDeveloped Risk Adjustment Model. For such age
bands, see Table 5, ‘‘Age-Sex Variables,’’ in HHSDeveloped Risk Adjustment Model Algorithm
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• Ages 0–20.
• Ages 21–34.
• Ages 35–44.
• Ages 45–54.
• Ages 55–64.
Factor 2—Geographic area: For each
state, we will separate enrollees into
rate cells by geographic areas within
which a single reference premium is
charged by QHPs offered through the
state’s Marketplace. Multiple, noncontiguous geographic areas will be
incorporated within a single cell, so
long as those areas share a common
reference premium.2
Factor 3—Coverage status: We will
separate enrollees into rate cells by
coverage status, reflecting whether an
individual is enrolled in self-only
coverage or persons are enrolled in
family coverage through BHP, as
provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of
the Affordable Care Act. Among
recipients of family coverage through
BHP, separate rate cells, as explained
below, will apply based on whether
such coverage involves two adults alone
or whether it involves children.
Factor 4—Household size: We will
separate enrollees into rate cells by
household size that states use to
determine BHP enrollees’ income as a
percentage of the FPL under 42 CFR
600.320. We will require separate rate
cells for several specific household
sizes. For each additional member above
the largest specified size, we will
publish instructions for how we will
develop additional rate cells and
calculate an appropriate payment rate
based on data for the rate cell with the
closest specified household size. We
will publish separate rate cells for
household sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, as
unpublished analyses of American
Community Survey data conducted by
the Urban Institute, which take into
account unaccepted offers of employersponsored insurance, as well as income,
Medicaid and CHIP eligibility,
citizenship and immigration status, and
current health coverage status, find that
less than 1 percent of all BHP-eligible
persons live in households of size 5 or
greater.
Factor 5—Income: For households of
each applicable size, we will create
Software, June 2, 2014, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/
Resources/Regulations-and-Guidance/Downloads/
ra-tables-03-27-2014.xlsx.
2 For example, a cell within a particular state
might refer to ‘‘County Group 1,’’ ‘‘County Group
2,’’ etc., and a table for the state would list all the
counties included in each such group. These
geographic areas are consistent with the geographic
areas established under the 2014 Market Reform
Rules. They also reflect the service area
requirements applicable to qualified health plans,
as described in 45 CFR 155.1055, except that
service areas smaller than counties are addressed as
explained below.
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9641
separate rate cells by income range, as
a percentage of FPL. The PTC that a
person would receive if enrolled in a
QHP varies by income, both in level and
as a ratio to the FPL, and the CSR varies
by income as a percentage of FPL. Thus,
separate rate cells will be used to
calculate federal BHP payment rates to
reflect different bands of income
measured as a percentage of FPL. We
will use the following income ranges,
measured as a ratio to the FPL:
• 0 to 50 percent of the FPL.
• 51 to 100 percent of the FPL.
• 101 to 138 percent of the FPL.3
• 139 to 150 percent of the FPL.
• 151 to 175 percent of the FPL.
• 176 to 200 percent of the FPL.
These rate cells will only be used to
calculate the federal BHP payment
amount. A state implementing BHP will
not be required to use these rate cells or
any of the factors in these rate cells as
part of the state payment to the standard
health plans participating in BHP or to
help define BHP enrollees’ covered
benefits, premium costs, or out-ofpocket cost-sharing levels.
We will use averages to define federal
payment rates, both for income ranges
and age ranges, rather than varying such
rates to correspond to each individual
BHP enrollee’s age and income level.
We believe that this approach will
increase the administrative feasibility of
making federal BHP payments and
reduce the likelihood of inadvertently
erroneous payments resulting from
highly complex methodologies. We
believe that this approach will not
significantly change federal payment
amounts, since within applicable
ranges; the BHP-eligible population is
distributed relatively evenly.
C. Sources and State Data
Considerations
To the extent possible, we will use
data submitted to the federal
government by QHP issuers seeking to
offer coverage through a Marketplace to
perform the calculations that determine
federal BHP payment cell rates.
States operating a State Based
Marketplace in the individual market,
however, must provide certain data,
including premiums for second lowest
cost silver plans, by geographic area, in
order for CMS to calculate the federal
BHP payment rates in those states. We
will require that a state operating a State
Based Marketplace and interested in
obtaining the applicable federal BHP
payment rates for its state must submit
3 The three lowest income ranges would be
limited to lawfully present immigrants who are
ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration
status.
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such data accurately, completely, and as
specified by CMS, by no later than
October 15, 2015, for CMS to calculate
the applicable rates for 2016. If
additional state data (that is, in addition
to the second lowest cost silver plan
premium data) are needed to determine
the federal BHP payment rate, such data
must be submitted in a timely manner,
and in a format specified by CMS to
support the development and timely
release of annual BHP payment notices.
The specifications for data collection to
support the development of BHP
payment rates for 2016 were published
in CMS guidance and are available at
https://www.medicaid.gov/FederalPolicy-Guidance/Federal-PolicyGuidance.html.
If a state operating a SBM provides
the necessary data accurately,
completely, and as specified by CMS,
but after the date specified above, we
anticipate publishing federal payment
rates for such a state in a subsequent
Payment Notice. As noted in the BHP
final rule, a state may elect to
implement its BHP after a program year
has begun. In such an instance, we
require that the state, if operating a
SBM, submit its data no later than 30
days after the Blueprint submission for
CMS to calculate the applicable federal
payment rates. We further require that
the BHP Blueprint itself must be
submitted for Secretarial certification
with an effective date of no sooner than
120 days after submission of the BHP
Blueprint. In addition, the state must
ensure that its Blueprint includes a
detailed description of how the state
will coordinate with other insurance
affordability programs to transition and
transfer BHP-eligible individuals out of
their existing QHP coverage, consistent
with the requirements set forth in 42
CFR 600.330 and 600.425. We believe
that this 120-day period is necessary to
establish the requisite administrative
structures and ensure that all statutory
and regulatory requirements are
satisfied.
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D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used
in Payment Equations
1. Reference Premium (RP)
To calculate the estimated PTC that
would be paid if individuals enrolled in
QHPs through the Marketplace, we must
calculate a reference premium (RP)
because the PTC is based, in part, on the
premiums for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan as explained in
section III.C.4 of this methodology,
regarding the Premium Tax Credit
Formula (PTCF). Accordingly, for the
purposes of calculating the BHP
payment rates, the reference premium,
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in accordance with 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(C), is defined as the adjusted
monthly premium for an applicable
second lowest cost silver plan. The
applicable second lowest cost silver
plan is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(B)
as the second lowest cost silver plan of
the individual market in the rating area
in which the taxpayer resides, which is
offered through the same Marketplace.
We will use the adjusted monthly
premium for an applicable second
lowest cost silver plan in 2016 as the
reference premium (except in the case of
a state that elects to use the 2015
premium as the basis for the federal
BHP payment, as described in section
III.F of this methodology).
The reference premium will be the
premium applicable to non-tobacco
users. This is consistent with the
provision in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(C) that
bases the PTC on premiums that are
adjusted for age alone, without regard to
tobacco use, even for states that allow
insurers to vary premiums based on
tobacco use pursuant to 42 U.S.C.
300gg(a)(1)(A)(iv).
Consistent with the policy set forth in
26 CFR 1.36B–3(f)(6) to calculate the
PTC for those enrolled in a QHP through
a Marketplace, we will not update the
payment methodology, and
subsequently the federal BHP payment
rates, in the event that the second
lowest cost silver plan used as the
reference premium, or the lowest cost
silver plan, changes (that is, terminates
or closes enrollment during the year).
The applicable second lowest cost
silver plan premium will be included in
the BHP payment methodology by age
range, geographic area, and self-only or
applicable category of family coverage
obtained through BHP.
American Indians and Alaska Natives
in households with incomes below 300
percent of the FPL are eligible for a full
cost sharing subsidy regardless of the
plan they select (as described in
sections 1402(d) and 2901(a) of the
Affordable Care Act). We assume that
American Indians and Alaska Natives
would be more likely to enroll in bronze
plans as a result; thus, for American
Indian/Alaska Native BHP enrollees, we
will use the lowest cost bronze plan as
the basis for the reference premium for
the purposes of calculating the CSR
portion (but not the PTC portion) of the
federal BHP payment as described
further in section III.E of this
methodology.
The applicable age bracket will be one
dimension of each rate cell. We will
assume a uniform distribution of ages
and estimate the average premium
amount within each rate cell. We
believe that assuming a uniform
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distribution of ages within these ranges
is a reasonable approach and would
produce a reliable determination of the
PTC and CSR components. We also
believe this approach would avoid
potential inaccuracies that could
otherwise occur in relatively small
payment cells if age distribution were
measured by the number of persons
eligible or enrolled.
We will use geographic areas based on
the rating areas used in the
Marketplaces. We will define each
geographic area so that the reference
premium is the same throughout the
geographic area. When the reference
premium varies within a rating area, we
will define geographic areas as
aggregations of counties with the same
reference premium. Although plans are
allowed to serve geographic areas
smaller than counties after obtaining our
approval, no geographic area, for
purposes of defining BHP payment rate
cells, will be smaller than a county. We
do not believe that this assumption will
have a significant impact on federal
payment levels and it would likely
simplify both the calculation of BHP
payment rates and the operation of BHP.
Finally, in terms of the coverage
category, federal payment rates will
only recognize self-only and two-adult
coverage, with exceptions that account
for children who are potentially eligible
for BHP. First, in states that set the
upper income threshold for children’s
Medicaid and CHIP eligibility below
200 percent of FPL (based on modified
adjusted gross income), children in
households with incomes between that
threshold and 200 percent of FPL would
be potentially eligible for BHP.
Currently, the only states in this
category are Arizona, Idaho, and North
Dakota.4 Second, BHP would include
lawfully present immigrant children
with incomes at or below 200 percent of
FPL in states that have not exercised the
option under the sections
1903(v)(4)(A)(ii) and 2107(e)(1)(E) of the
Act to qualify all otherwise eligible,
lawfully present immigrant children for
Medicaid and CHIP. States that fall
within these exceptions would be
identified based on their Medicaid and
CHIP State Plans, and the rate cells
would include appropriate categories of
BHP family coverage for children. In
other states, BHP eligibility will
generally be restricted to adults, since
children who are citizens or lawfully
present immigrants and who live in
households with incomes at or below
200 percent of FPL will qualify for
Medicaid or CHIP and thus be ineligible
4 CMCS. ‘‘State Medicaid and CHIP Income
Eligibility Standards Effective January 1, 2014.’’
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for BHP under section 1331(e)(1)(C) of
the Affordable Care Act, which limits
BHP to individuals who are ineligible
for minimum essential coverage (as
defined in section 5000A(f) of the
Internal Revenue Code of 1986).
2. Population Health Factor (PHF)
We include the population health
factor in the methodology to account for
the potential differences in the average
health status between BHP enrollees
and persons enrolled in the
Marketplace. To the extent that BHP
enrollees would have been enrolled in
the Marketplace in the absence of BHP
in a state, the inclusion of those BHP
enrollees in the Marketplace may affect
the average health status of the overall
population and the expected QHP
premiums.
We currently do not believe that there
is evidence that the BHP population
would have better or poorer health
status than the Marketplace population.
At this time, there is a lack of
experience available in the Marketplace
that limits the ability to analyze the
health differences between these groups
of enrollees. In addition, differences in
population health may vary across
states. Thus, at this time, we believe that
it is not feasible to develop a
methodology to make a prospective
adjustment to the population health
factor that is reliably accurate.
Given these analytic challenges and
the limited data about Marketplace
coverage and the characteristics of BHPeligible consumers that will be available
by the time we establish federal
payment rates for 2016, we believe that
the most appropriate adjustment for
2016 would be 1.00.
In the 2015 payment methodology, we
included an option for states to include
a retrospective population health status
adjustment. Similarly, we will provide
the states with the same option for the
2016 payment methodology, as
described further in section III.G of this
methodology, to include a retrospective
population health status adjustment in
the certified methodology, which is
subject to CMS review and approval.
While the statute requires
consideration of risk adjustment
payments and reinsurance payments
insofar as they would have affected the
PTC and CSRs that would have been
provided to BHP-eligible individuals
had they enrolled in QHPs, we will not
require that a BHP program’s standard
health plans receive such payments. As
explained in the BHP final rule, BHP
standard health plans are not included
in the risk adjustment program operated
by HHS on behalf of states. Further,
standard health plans do not qualify for
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payments from the transitional
reinsurance program established under
section 1341 of the Affordable Care
Act.5 To the extent that a state operating
a BHP determines that, because of the
distinctive risk profile of BHP-eligible
consumers, BHP standard health plans
should be included in mechanisms that
share risk with other plans in the state’s
individual market, the state would need
to use other methods for achieving this
goal.
3. Income (I)
Household income is a significant
determinant of the amount of the PTC
and CSRs that are provided for persons
enrolled in a QHP through the
Marketplace. Accordingly, the BHP
payment methodology incorporates
income into the calculations of the
payment rates through the use of
income-based rate cells. We define
income in accordance with the
definition of modified adjusted gross
income in 26 U.S.C. 36B(d)(2)(B) and
consistent with the definition in 45 CFR
155.300. Income would be measured
relative to the FPL, which is updated
periodically in the Federal Register by
the Secretary under the authority of 42
U.S.C. 9902(2), based on annual changes
in the consumer price index for all
urban consumers (CPI–U). In this
methodology, household size and
income as a percentage of FPL would be
used as factors in developing the rate
cells. We will use the following income
ranges measured as a percentage of
FPL: 6
• 0–50 percent.
• 51–100 percent.
• 101–138 percent.
• 139–150 percent.
• 151–175 percent.
• 176–200 percent.
We will assume a uniform income
distribution for each federal BHP
payment cell. We believe that assuming
a uniform income distribution for the
income ranges would be reasonably
accurate for the purposes of calculating
the PTC and CSR components of the
BHP payment and would avoid
potential errors that could result if other
sources of data were used to estimate
the specific income distribution of
5 See 45 CFR 153.400(a)(2)(iv) (BHP standard
health plans are not required to submit reinsurance
contributions), 153.20 (definition of ‘‘Reinsuranceeligible plan’’ as not including ‘‘health insurance
coverage not required to submit reinsurance
contributions’’), § 153.230(a) (reinsurance payments
under the national reinsurance parameters are
available only for ‘‘Reinsurance-eligible plans’’).
6 These income ranges and this analysis of
income apply to the calculation of the PTC. Many
fewer income ranges and a much simpler analysis
apply in determining the value of CSRs, as specified
below.
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9643
persons who are eligible for or enrolled
in BHP within rate cells that may be
relatively small. Thus, when calculating
the mean, or average, PTC for a rate cell,
we will calculate the value of the PTC
at each one percentage point interval of
the income range for each federal BHP
payment cell and then calculate the
average of the PTC across all intervals.
This calculation will rely on the PTC
formula described below in section III.4
of this methodology.
As the PTC for persons enrolled in
QHPs will be calculated based on their
income during the open enrollment
period, and that income will be
measured against the FPL at that time,
we will adjust the FPL by multiplying
the FPL by a projected increase in the
CPI–U between the time that the BHP
payment rates are published and the
QHP open enrollment period, if the FPL
is expected to be updated during that
time. The projected increase in the CPI–
U would be based on the intermediate
inflation forecasts from the most recent
OASDI and Medicare Trustees Reports.7
4. Premium Tax Credit Formula (PTCF)
The PTC amount for a person enrolled
in a QHP through a Marketplace is
calculated in accordance with the
methodology described in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(2). The amount is equal to the
lesser of the premium for the plan in
which the person or household enrolls
(the enrollment premiums) or adjusted
premium for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan minus the
contribution amount.
In Equation 1 described in section
III.A.1 of this methodology, we will use
the formula described in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b) to calculate the contribution
amount, which is needed to estimate the
PTC for a person enrolled in a QHP on
a Marketplace. This formula determines
the contribution amount as a percentage
of household income. The percentage is
based on the FPL for the household
income and family size, and is shown in
the schedule specified in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(A) and shown below. The
difference between the contribution
amount and the adjusted monthly
premium for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan is the estimated
amount of the PTC that would be
provided for the enrollee (assuming that
this amount is less than the enrollment
premiums).
The applicable percentage is defined
in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and 26 CFR
1.36B–3(g) as the percentage that
7 See Table IV A1 from the 2014 reports in
https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-andSystems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/
ReportsTrustFunds/Downloads/TR2014.pdf.
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applies to a taxpayer’s household
income that is within an income tier
specified in the table, increasing on a
sliding scale in a linear manner from an
initial premium percentage to a final
premium percentage specified in the
table (see Table 1):
TABLE 1—HOUSEHOLD INCOME
[Expressed as a percent of poverty line]
In the case of household income (expressed as a percent of poverty line) within the following income
tier:
The initial
premium
percentage is—
Up to 133% ..................................................................................................................................................
133% but less than 150% ...........................................................................................................................
150% but less than 200% ...........................................................................................................................
200% but less than 250% ...........................................................................................................................
250% but less than 300% ...........................................................................................................................
300% but not more than 400% ...................................................................................................................
These are the applicable percentages
for CY 2015. The applicable percentages
will be updated in future years in
accordance with 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(A)(ii).
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5. Income Reconciliation Factor (IRF)
For persons enrolled in a QHP
through a Marketplace who receive an
advance payment of the premium tax
credit (APTC), there will be an annual
reconciliation following the end of the
year to compare the advance payments
to the correct amount of PTC based on
household circumstances shown on the
federal income tax return. Any
difference between the latter amounts
and the advance payments made during
the year would either be paid to the
taxpayer (if too little APTC was paid) or
charged to the taxpayer as additional tax
(if too much APTC was made, subject to
any limitations in statute or regulation),
as provided in 26 U.S.C. 36B(f).
Section 1331(e)(2) of the Affordable
Care Act specifies that an individual
eligible for BHP may not be treated as
a qualified individual under section
1312 eligible for enrollment in a QHP
offered through a Marketplace. We are
defining ‘‘eligible’’ to mean anyone for
whom the state agency or the Exchange
assesses or determines, based on the
single streamlined application or
renewal form, as eligible for enrollment
in the BHP. Because enrollment in a
QHP is a requirement for PTC for the
enrolled individual’s coverage,
individuals determined or assessed as
eligible for a BHP are not eligible to
receive APTC assistance for coverage in
the Marketplace. Because they do not
receive APTC assistance, BHP enrollees,
on whom the 2016 payment
methodology is based, are not subject to
the same income reconciliation as
Marketplace consumers. Nonetheless,
there may still be differences between a
BHP enrollee’s household income
reported at the beginning of the year and
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the actual income over the year. These
may include small changes (reflecting
changes in hourly wage rates, hours
worked per week, and other fluctuations
in income during the year) and large
changes (reflecting significant changes
in employment status, hourly wage
rates, or substantial fluctuations in
income). There may also be changes in
household composition. Thus, we
believe that using unadjusted income as
reported prior to the BHP program year
may result in calculations of estimated
PTC that are inconsistent with the
actual incomes of BHP enrollees during
the year. Even if the BHP program
adjusts household income
determinations and corresponding
claims of federal payment amounts
based on household reports during the
year or data from third-party sources,
such adjustments may not fully capture
the effects of tax reconciliation that BHP
enrollees would have experienced had
they been enrolled in a QHP through a
Marketplace and received APTC
assistance.
Therefore, we are including in
Equation 1 an income adjustment factor
that would account for the difference
between calculating estimated PTC
using: (a) Income relative to FPL as
determined at initial application and
potentially revised mid-year, under
600.320, for purposes of determining
BHP eligibility and claiming federal
BHP payments; and (b) actual income
relative to FPL received during the plan
year, as it would be reflected on
individual federal income tax returns.
This adjustment will prospectively
estimate the average effect of income
reconciliation aggregated across the BHP
population had those BHP enrollees
been subject to tax reconciliation after
receiving APTC assistance for coverage
provided through QHPs. For 2016, we
will estimate reconciliation effects
based on tax data for 2 years, reflecting
income and tax unit composition
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2.01
3.02
4.02
6.34
8.10
9.56
The final premium
percentage is—
2.01
4.02
6.34
8.10
9.56
9.56
changes over time among BHP-eligible
individuals.
The OTA maintains a model that
combines detailed tax and other data,
including Marketplace enrollment and
PTC claimed, to project Marketplace
premiums, enrollment, and tax credits.
For each enrollee, this model compares
the APTC based on household income
and family size estimated at the point of
enrollment with the PTC based on
household income and family size
reported at the end of the tax year. The
former reflects the determination using
enrollee information furnished by the
applicant and tax data furnished by the
IRS. The latter would reflect the PTC
eligibility based on information on the
tax return, which would have been
determined if the individual had not
enrolled in BHP. The ratio of the
reconciled PTC to the initial estimation
of PTC will be used as the income
reconciliation factor in Equation (1) for
estimating the PTC portion of the BHP
payment rate.
For 2016, OTA has estimated that the
income reconciliation factor for states
that have implemented the Medicaid
eligibility expansion to cover adults up
to 133 percent of the FPL will be 100.25
percent, and for states that have not
implemented the Medicaid eligibility
expansion and do not cover adults up to
133 percent of the FPL will be 100.24
percent. For 2015, we used the average
of the factors for the two groups of
states. For 2016, the values of the factors
for the two groups of states are within
0.01 percentage point of each other.
Because the values are within 0.01
percentage point, we will use the greater
of two factors (100.25 percent) rather
than the average.
6. Tobacco Rating Adjustment Factor
(TRAF)
As previously described, the reference
premium is estimated, for purposes of
determining both the PTC and related
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federal BHP payments, based on
premiums charged for non-tobacco
users, including in states that allow
premium variations based on tobacco
use, as provided in 42 U.S.C. 300gg
(a)(1)(A)(iv). In contrast, as described in
45 CFR 156.430, the CSR advance
payments are based on the total
premium for a policy, including any
adjustment for tobacco use.
Accordingly, we will incorporate a
tobacco rating adjustment factor into
Equation 2 that reflects the average
percentage increase in health care costs
that results from tobacco use among the
BHP-eligible population and that would
not be reflected in the premium charged
to non-users. This factor will also take
into account the estimated proportion of
tobacco users among BHP-eligible
consumers.
To estimate the average effect of
tobacco use on health care costs (not
reflected in the premium charged to
non-users), we will calculate the ratio
between premiums that silver level
QHPs charge for tobacco users to the
premiums they charge for non-tobacco
users at selected ages. To calculate
estimated proportions of tobacco users,
we will use data from the Centers for
Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to
estimate tobacco utilization rates by
state and relevant population
characteristic.8 For each state, we will
calculate the tobacco usage rate based
on the percentage of persons by age who
use cigarettes and the percentage of
persons by age that use smokeless
tobacco, and calculate the utilization
rate by adding the two rates together.
The data is available for 3 age intervals:
18–24; 25–44; and 45–64. For the BHP
payment rate cell for persons ages 21–
34, we will calculate the factor as (4/14
* the utilization rate of 18–24 year olds)
plus (10/14 * the utilization rate of 25–
44 year olds), which would be the
weighted average of tobacco usage for
persons 21–34 assuming a uniform
distribution of ages; for all other age
ranges used for the rate cells, we will
use the age range in the CDC data in
which the BHP payment rate cell age
range is contained.
We will provide tobacco rating factors
that may vary by age and by geographic
area within each state. To the extent that
the second lowest cost silver plans have
a different ratio of tobacco user rates to
non-tobacco user rates in different
geographic areas, the tobacco rating
adjustment factor may differ across
geographic areas within a state. In
8 Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention,
Tobacco Control State Highlights 2012: https://
www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/state_data/
state_highlights/2012/index.htm.
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addition, to the extent that the second
lowest cost silver plan has a different
ratio of tobacco user rates to nontobacco user rates by age, or that there
is a different prevalence of tobacco use
by age, the tobacco rating adjustment
factor may differ by age.
7. Factor for Removing Administrative
Costs (FRAC)
The Factor for Removing
Administrative Costs represents the
average proportion of the total premium
that covers allowed health benefits, and
we include this factor in our calculation
of estimated CSRs in Equation 2. The
product of the reference premium and
the Factor for Removing Administrative
Costs would approximate the estimated
amount of Essential Health Benefit
(EHB) claims that would be expected to
be paid by the plan. This step is needed
because the premium also covers such
costs as taxes, fees, and QHP
administrative expenses. We are setting
this factor equal to 0.80, which is the
same percentage for the factor to remove
administrative costs for calculating CSR
advance payments for established in the
2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and
Payment Parameters.
8. Actuarial Value (AV)
The actuarial value is defined as the
percentage paid by a health plan of the
total allowed costs of benefits, as
defined under 45 CFR 156.20. (For
example, if the average health care costs
for enrollees in a health insurance plan
were $1,000 and that plan has an
actuarial value of 70 percent, the plan
would be expected to pay on average
$700 ($1,000 × 0.70) for health care
costs per enrollee, on average.) By
dividing such estimated costs by the
actuarial value in the methodology, we
will calculate the estimated amount of
total EHB-allowed claims, including
both the portion of such claims paid by
the plan and the portion paid by the
consumer for in-network care. (To
continue with that same example, we
would divide the plan’s expected $700
payment of the person’s EHB-allowed
claims by the plan’s 70 percent actuarial
value to ascertain that the total amount
of EHB-allowed claims, including
amounts paid by the consumer, is
$1,000.)
For the purposes of calculating the
CSR rate in Equation 2, we will use the
standard actuarial value of the silver
level plans in the individual market,
which is equal to 70 percent.
9. Induced Utilization Factor (IUF)
The induced utilization factor will be
used as a factor in calculating estimated
CSRs in Equation 2 to account for the
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9645
increase in health care service
utilization associated with a reduction
in the level of cost sharing a QHP
enrollee would have to pay, based on
the cost-sharing reduction subsidies
provided to enrollees.
The 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and
Payment Parameters provided induced
utilization factors for the purposes of
calculating cost-sharing reduction
advance payments for 2015. In that rule,
the induced utilization factors for silver
plan variations ranged from 1.00 to 1.12,
depending on income. Using those
utilization factors, the induced
utilization factor for all persons who
would qualify for BHP based on their
household income as a percentage of
FPL is 1.12; this would include persons
with household income between 100
percent and 200 percent of FPL,
lawfully present non-citizens below 100
percent of FPL who are ineligible for
Medicaid because of immigration status,
and persons with household income
under 300 percent of FPL, not subject to
any cost-sharing. Thus, consistent with
last year, we will set the induced
utilization factor equal to 1.12 for the
BHP payment methodology.
10. Change in Actuarial Value (DAV)
The increase in actuarial value would
account for the impact of the costsharing reduction subsidies on the
relative amount of EHB claims that
would be covered for or paid by eligible
persons, and we include it as a factor in
calculating estimated CSRs in
Equation 2.
The actuarial values of QHPs for
persons eligible for cost-sharing
reduction subsidies are defined in 45
CFR 156.420(a), and eligibility for such
subsidies is defined in 45 CFR
155.305(g)(2)(i) through (iii). For QHP
enrollees with household incomes
between 100 percent and 150 percent of
FPL, and those below 100 percent of
FPL who are ineligible for Medicaid
because of their immigration status,
CSRs increase the actuarial value of a
QHP silver plan from 70 percent to 94
percent. For QHP enrollees with
household incomes between 150
percent and 200 percent of FPL, CSRs
increase the actuarial value of a QHP
silver plan from 70 percent to 87
percent.
We will apply this factor by
subtracting the standard AV from the
higher AV allowed by the applicable
cost-sharing reduction. For BHP
enrollees with household incomes at or
below 150 percent of FPL, this factor
will be 0.24 (94 percent minus 70
percent); for BHP enrollees with
household incomes more than 150
percent but not more than 200 percent
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Natives are eligible to receive CSRs up
to 100 percent of actuarial value.
E. Adjustments for American Indians
and Alaska Natives
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of FPL, this factor will be 0.17 (87
percent minus 70 percent).
F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP
Premiums for BHP Payments
There are several exceptions made for
American Indians and Alaska Natives
enrolled in QHPs through a Marketplace
to calculate the PTC and CSRs. Thus, we
will make adjustments to the payment
methodology described above to be
consistent with the Marketplace rules.
We will make the following
adjustments:
1. The adjusted reference premium for
use in the CSR portion of the rate will
be the lowest cost bronze plan instead
of the second lowest cost silver plan,
with the same adjustment for the
population health factor (and in the case
of a state that elects to use the 2015
premiums as the basis of the federal
BHP payment, the same adjustment for
the premium trend factor). American
Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible
for CSRs with any metal level plan, and
thus we believe that eligible persons
would be more likely to select a bronze
level plan instead of a silver level plan.
(It is important to note that the
assumption that American Indians and
Alaska Natives would enroll in a bronze
plan would not necessarily change the
PTC, as the PTC amount calculated as
part of the BHP payment methodology
is the maximum possible PTC payment,
which is always based on the applicable
second lowest cost silver plan. In
actuality, the PTC payment that would
be made in for an individual enrolled in
a QHP cannot exceed the total premium.
It is possible that some bronze plan
premiums would be less than the
maximum PTC payment, but we have
not made any adjustment in the
methodology for this. We believe that
this assumption would have a negligible
impact on the BHP payment.)
2. The actuarial value for use in the
CSR portion of the rate will be 0.60
instead of 0.70, which is consistent with
the actuarial value of a bronze level
plan.
3. The induced utilization factor for
use in the CSR portion of the rate will
be 1.15, which is consistent with the
2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and
Payment Parameters induced utilization
factor for calculating advance CSR
payments for persons enrolled in bronze
level plans and eligible for CSRs up to
100 percent of actuarial value.
4. The change in the actuarial value
for use in the CSR portion of the rate
will be 0.40. This reflects the increase
from 60 percent actuarial value of the
bronze plan to 100 percent actuarial
value, as American Indians and Alaska
In the interest of allowing states
greater certainty in the total BHP federal
payments for 2016, we will provide
states the option to have their final 2016
federal BHP payment rates calculated
using the projected 2016 adjusted
reference premium (that is, using 2015
premium data multiplied by the
premium trend factor defined below), as
described in Equation (3b).
For a state that elects to use the 2015
premium as the basis for the 2016 BHP
federal payment, the state must inform
CMS no later than May 15, 2015.
For Equation (3b), we define the
premium trend factor as follows:
Premium Trend Factor (PTF): In
Equation (3b), we calculate an adjusted
reference premium (ARP) based on the
application of certain relevant variables
to the RP, including a PTF. In the case
of a state that would elect to use the
2015 premiums as the basis for
determining the BHP payment, it would
be appropriate to apply a factor that
would account for the change in health
care costs between the year of the
premium data and the BHP plan year.
We define this as the premium trend
factor in the BHP payment
methodology. This factor will
approximate the change in health care
costs per enrollee, which would
include, but not be limited to, changes
in the price of health care services and
changes in the utilization of health care
services. This provides an estimate of
the adjusted monthly premium for the
applicable second lowest cost silver
plan that would be more accurate and
reflective of health care costs in the BHP
program year, which will be the year
following issuance of the final federal
payment notice. In addition, we believe
that it would be appropriate to adjust
the trend factor for the estimated impact
of changes to the transitional
reinsurance program on the average
QHP premium.
We will use the annual growth rate in
private health insurance expenditures
per enrollee from the National Health
Expenditure projections, developed by
CMS’ Office of the Actuary (https://
www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Dataand-Systems/Statistics-Trends-andReports/NationalHealthExpendData/
NationalHealthAccountsProjected.html,
Table 17—Health Insurance Enrollment
and Enrollment Growth Rates). For
2016, the projected increase in private
health insurance premiums per enrollee
is 3.9 percent.
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The adjustment for changes in the
transitional reinsurance program is
developed from analysis by CMS’ Center
for Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight (CCIIO). In
unpublished analysis, CCIIO estimated
that the transitional reinsurance
program would reduce QHP premiums
in 2015 on average by 7.9 percent and
in 2016 by 4.4 percent, as the amount
of funding in the reinsurance program
decreases. Based on these analyses, we
estimate that the changes in the
transitional reinsurance program would
lead to an increase of 3.8 percent in
average QHP premiums between 2015
and 2016: (1¥0.044)/(1¥0.079)¥1 =
3.8 percent.
Combining these two factors together,
we calculate that the premium trend
factor for 2016 would be 7.8 percent (1
+ 0.039) × (1 + 0.038)¥1 = 7.8 percent.
States may want to consider that the
increase in premiums for QHPs from
2015 to 2016 may differ from the
premium trend factor developed for the
BHP funding methodology for several
reasons. In particular, states may want
to consider that the second lowest cost
silver plan for 2015 may not be the same
as the second lowest cost silver plan in
2016. This may lead to the premium
trend factor being greater than or less
than the actual change in the premium
of the second lowest cost silver plan in
2015 compared to the premium of the
second lowest cost silver plan in 2016.
G. State Option To Include
Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology
To determine whether the potential
difference in health status between BHP
enrollees and consumers in the
Marketplace would affect the PTC,
CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance
payments that would have otherwise
been made had BHP enrollees been
enrolled in coverage on the
Marketplace, we will provide states
implementing the BHP the option to
propose and to implement, as part of the
certified methodology, a retrospective
adjustment to the federal BHP payments
to reflect the actual value that would be
assigned to the population health factor
(or risk adjustment) based on data
accumulated during program year 2016
for each rate cell.
We acknowledge that there is
uncertainty with respect to this factor
due to the lack of experience of QHPs
on the Marketplace and other payments
related to the Marketplace, which is
why, absent a state election, we will use
a value for the population health factor
to determine a prospective payment rate
which assumes no difference in the
health status of BHP enrollees and QHP
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enrollees. There is considerable
uncertainty regarding whether the BHP
enrollees will pose a greater risk or a
lesser risk compared to the QHP
enrollees, how to best measure such
risk, and the potential effect such risk
would have had on PTC, CSRs, risk
adjustment and reinsurance payments
that would have otherwise been made
had BHP enrollees been enrolled in
coverage on the Marketplace. To the
extent, however, that a state would
develop an approved protocol to collect
data and effectively measure the relative
risk and the effect on federal payments,
we will permit a retrospective
adjustment that would measure the
actual difference in risk between the
two populations to be incorporated into
the certified BHP payment methodology
and used to adjust payments in the
previous year.
For a state electing the option to
implement a retrospective population
health status adjustment, we require
that the state submit a proposed
protocol to CMS, which will be subject
to approval by CMS and would be
required to be certified by CMS’ Chief
Actuary, in consultation with the OTA,
as part of the BHP payment
methodology. We described the protocol
for the population health status
adjustment in guidance in
Considerations for Health Risk
Adjustment in the Basic Health Program
in Program Year 2015 (https://
www.medicaid.gov/Basic-HealthProgram/Downloads/Risk-Adjustmentand-BHP-White-Paper.pdf). We require
a state to submit its proposed protocol
by August 1, 2015 for CMS approval.
This submission must include
descriptions of how the state would
collect the necessary data to determine
the adjustment, including any
contracting contingences that may be in
place with participating standard health
plan issuers. We will provide technical
assistance to states as they develop their
protocols. In order to implement the
population health status, we must
approve the state’s protocol no later
than December 31, 2015. Finally, the
state will be required to complete the
population health status adjustment at
the end of 2016 based on the approved
protocol. After the end of the 2016
program year, and once data is made
available, we will review the state’s
findings, consistent with the approved
protocol, and make any necessary
adjustments to the state’s federal BHP
payment amount. If we determine that
the federal BHP payments were less
than they would have been using the
final adjustment factor, we would apply
the difference to the state’s quarterly
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BHP trust fund deposit. If we determine
that the federal BHP payments were
more than they would have been using
the final reconciled factor, we would
subtract the difference from the next
quarterly BHP payment to the state.
IV. Collection of Information
Requirements
The 2016 funding methodology is
unchanged from the 2015 final
methodology that published on March
12, 2014 (79 FR 13887). The 2016
methodology does not impose any new
or revised reporting, recordkeeping, or
third-party disclosure requirements, and
therefore, does not require additional
OMB review under the authority of the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). The methodology’s
information collection requirements and
burden estimates are approved by OMB
under control number 0938–1218
(CMS–10510).
Consistent with the Basic Health
Program’s proposed and final rules
(September 25, 2013 at 78 FR 59122 and
March 12, 2014 at 79 FR 14112,
respectively) we continue to estimate
less than 10 annual respondents for
completing the Blueprint. Consequently,
the Blueprint is exempt from formal
OMB review and approval under 5 CFR
1320.3(c).
Finally, this action does not impose
any additional reporting, recordkeeping,
or third-party disclosure requirements
on qualified health plans or on states
operating State Based Marketplaces.
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
We have examined the impacts of this
rule as required by Executive Order
12866 on Regulatory Planning and
Review (September 30, 1993), Executive
Order 13563 on Improving Regulation
and Regulatory Review (January 18,
2011), the Regulatory Flexibility Act
(RFA) (September 19, 1980, Pub. L. 96–
354), section 1102(b) of the Act, section
202 of the Unfunded Mandates Reform
Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4, March 22,
1995) (UMRA), Executive Order 13132
on Federalism (August 4, 1999) and the
Congressional Review Act (5 U.S.C.
804(2)).
Executive Orders 12866 and 13563
direct agencies to assess all costs and
benefits of available regulatory
alternatives and, if regulation is
necessary, to select regulatory
approaches that maximize net benefits
(including potential economic,
environmental, public health and safety
effects, distributive impacts, and
equity). Section 3(f) of Executive Order
12866 defines a ‘‘significant regulatory
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action’’ as an action that is likely to
result in a rule: (1) Having an annual
effect on the economy of $100 million
or more in any 1 year, or adversely and
materially affecting a sector of the
economy, productivity, competition,
jobs, the environment, public health or
safety, or state, local or tribal
governments or communities (also
referred to as ‘‘economically
significant’’); (2) creating a serious
inconsistency or otherwise interfering
with an action taken or planned by
another agency; (3) materially altering
the budgetary impacts of entitlement
grants, user fees, or loan programs or the
rights and obligations of recipients
thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or
policy issues arising out of legal
mandates, the President’s priorities, or
the principles set forth in the Executive
Order.
A regulatory impact analysis (RIA)
must be prepared for major rules with
economically significant effects ($100
million or more in any 1 year). As noted
in the BHP final rule, BHP provides
states the flexibility to establish an
alternative coverage program for lowincome individuals who would
otherwise be eligible to purchase
coverage through the Marketplace. We
are uncertain as to whether the effects
of the final rulemaking, and
subsequently, this methodology, will be
‘‘economically significant’’ as measured
by the $100 million threshold, and
hence not a major rule under the
Congressional Review Act. The impact
may depend on several factors,
including the number of and which
particular states choose to implement or
continue BHP in 2016, the level of QHP
premiums in 2015 and 2016, the
number of enrollees in BHP, and the
other coverage options for persons who
would be eligible for BHP. In particular,
while we generally expect that many
enrollees would have otherwise been
enrolled in a QHP through the
Marketplace, some persons may have
been eligible for Medicaid under a
waiver or a state health coverage
program. For those who would have
enrolled in a QHP and thus would have
received PTCs or CSRs, the federal
expenditures for BHP would be
expected to be more than offset by a
reduction in federal expenditures for
PTCs and CSRs. For those who would
have been enrolled in Medicaid, there
would likely be a smaller offset in
federal expenditures (to account for the
federal share of Medicaid expenditures),
and for those who would have been
covered in non-federal programs or
would have been uninsured, there likely
would be an increase in federal
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expenditures. In accordance with the
provisions of Executive Order 12866,
this methodology was reviewed by the
Office of Management and Budget.
1. Need for the Methodology
Section 1331 of the Affordable Care
Act (codified at 42 U.S.C. 18051)
requires the Secretary to establish a
BHP, and section (d)(1) specifically
provides that if the Secretary finds that
a state ‘‘meets the requirements of the
program established under section (a)
[of section 1331 of the Affordable Care
Act], the Secretary shall transfer to the
State’’ federal BHP payments described
in section (d)(3). This methodology
provides for the funding methodology to
determine the federal BHP payment
amounts required to implement these
provisions in program year 2016.
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2. Alternative Approaches
Many of the factors in this
methodology are specified in statute;
therefore, we are limited in the
alternative approaches we could
consider. One area in which we had a
choice was in selecting the data sources
used to determine the factors included
in the methodology. Except for statespecific reference premiums and
enrollment data, we are using national
rather than state-specific data. This is
due to the lack of currently available
state-specific data needed to develop the
majority of the factors included in the
methodology. We believe the national
data will produce sufficiently accurate
determinations of payment rates. In
addition, we believe that this approach
will be less burdensome on states. To
reference premiums and enrollment
data, we are using state-specific data
rather than national data as we believe
state-specific data will produce more
accurate determinations than national
averages.
In addition, we considered whether or
not to provide states the option to
develop a protocol for a retrospective
adjustment to the population health
factor in 2016 as we did in the 2015
payment methodology. We believe that
providing this option again in 2016 is
appropriate and likely to improve the
accuracy of the final payments.
We also considered whether or not to
require the use of 2015 or 2016 QHP
premiums to develop the 2016 federal
BHP payment rates. We believe that the
payment rates can still be developed
accurately using either the 2015 or 2016
QHP premiums and that it is
appropriate to provide the states the
option, given the interests and specific
considerations each state may have in
operating the BHP.
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3. Transfers
The provisions of this methodology
are designed to determine the amount of
funds that will be transferred to states
offering coverage through a BHP rather
than to individuals eligible for premium
and cost-sharing reductions for coverage
purchased on the Marketplace. We are
uncertain what the total federal BHP
payment amounts to states will be as
these amounts will vary from state to
state due to the varying nature of state
composition. For example, total federal
BHP payment amounts may be greater
in more populous states simply by
virtue of the fact that they have a larger
BHP-eligible population and total
payment amounts are based on actual
enrollment. Alternatively, total federal
BHP payment amounts may be lower in
states with a younger BHP-eligible
population as the reference premium
used to calculate the federal BHP
payment will be lower relative to older
BHP enrollees. While state composition
will cause total federal BHP payment
amounts to vary from state to state, we
believe that the methodology accounts
for these variations to ensure accurate
BHP payment transfers are made to each
state.
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Section 202 of the UMRA requires
that agencies assess anticipated costs
and benefits before issuing any rule
whose mandates require spending in
any 1 year of $100 million in 1995
dollars, updated annually for inflation,
by state, local, or tribal governments, in
the aggregate, or by the private sector. In
2014, that threshold is approximately
$141 million. States have the option, but
are not required, to establish a BHP.
Further, the methodology would
establish federal payment rates without
requiring states to provide the Secretary
with any data not already required by
other provisions of the Affordable Care
Act or its implementing regulations.
Thus, this payment methodology does
not mandate expenditures by state
governments, local governments, or
tribal governments.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.) (RFA) requires
agencies to prepare an initial regulatory
flexibility analysis to describe the
impact of the proposed rule on small
entities, unless the head of the agency
can certify that the rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
The Act generally defines a ‘‘small
entity’’ as (1) a proprietary firm meeting
the size standards of the Small Business
PO 00000
Frm 00058
Fmt 4700
Sfmt 9990
Administration (SBA); (2) a not-forprofit organization that is not dominant
in its field; or (3) a small government
jurisdiction with a population of less
than 50,000. Individuals and states are
not included in the definition of a small
entity. Few of the entities that meet the
definition of a small entity as that term
is used in the RFA would be impacted
directly by this methodology.
Because this methodology is focused
on the funding methodology that will be
used to determine federal BHP payment
rates, it does not contain provisions that
would have a significant direct impact
on hospitals, and other health care
providers that are designated as small
entities under the RFA. We cannot
determine whether this methodology
would have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities.
Section 1102(b) of the Act requires us
to prepare a regulatory impact analysis
if a may have a significant economic
impact on the operations of a substantial
number of small rural hospitals. For
purposes of section 1102(b) of the Act,
we define a small rural hospital as a
hospital that is located outside of a
metropolitan statistical area and has
fewer than 100 beds. As indicated in the
preceding discussion, there may be
indirect positive effects from reductions
in uncompensated care. Again, we
cannot determine whether this
methodology would have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small rural hospitals, and we
request public comment on this issue.
D. Federalism
Executive Order 13132 establishes
certain requirements that an agency
must meet when it promulgates a
proposed rule (and subsequent final
rule) that imposes substantial direct
effects on states, preempts state law, or
otherwise has federalism implications.
The BHP is entirely optional for states,
and if implemented in a state, provides
access to a pool of funding that would
not otherwise be available to the state.
Dated: February 4, 2015.
Marilyn Tavenner,
Administrator, Centers for Medicare &
Medicaid Services.
Dated: February 13, 2015.
Sylvia M. Burwell,
Secretary, Department of Health and Human
Services.
[FR Doc. 2015–03662 Filed 2–19–15; 11:15 am]
BILLING CODE 4120–01–P
E:\FR\FM\24FER1.SGM
24FER1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 80, Number 36 (Tuesday, February 24, 2015)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 9636-9648]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2015-03662]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
42 CFR Part 600
[CMS-2391-FN]
RIN 0938-ZB18
Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program
Year 2016
AGENCY: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), HHS.
ACTION: Final methodology.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This document provides the methodology and data sources
necessary to determine federal payment amounts made in program year
2016 to states that elect to establish a Basic Health Program under the
Affordable Care Act to offer health benefits coverage to low-income
individuals otherwise eligible to purchase coverage through Affordable
Insurance Exchanges.
DATES: These regulations are effective on January 1, 2016.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Christopher Truffer, (410) 786-1264;
Stephanie Kaminsky (410) 786-4653.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
I. Background
II. Summary of Proposed Provisions and Analysis of and Responses to
Public Comments on the Proposed Methodology
A. Background
B. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the
Payment Amount
C. Required Rate Cells
D. Sources and State Data Considerations
E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
F. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
H. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health
Risk Adjustment in Certified Methodology
III. Provisions of the Final Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the
Payment Amount
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
C. Sources and State Data Considerations
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
E. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
G. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health
Risk Adjustment in Certified Methodology
IV. Collection of Information Requirements
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
D. Federalism
Acronyms
To assist the reader, the following acronyms are used in this
document.
[Delta]AV Change in Actuarial Value
APTC Advance payment of the premium tax credit
ARP Adjusted reference premium
AV Actuarial value
BHP Basic Health Program
CCIIO CMS' Center for Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight
CDC Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
CHIP Children's Health Insurance Program
CPI-U Consumer price index for all urban consumers
CSR Cost-sharing reduction
EHB Essential Health Benefit
FPL Federal poverty line
FRAC Factor for removing administrative costs
IRF Income reconciliation factor
IRS Internal Revenue Service
IUF Induced utilization factor
QHP Qualified health plan
OTA Office of Tax Analysis [of the U.S. Department of Treasury]
PHF Population health factor
PTC Premium tax credit
PTCF Premium tax credit formula
PTF Premium trend factor
RP Reference premium
SBM State Based Marketplace
TRAF Tobacco rating adjustment factor
I. Background
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (Pub. L. 111-148,
enacted on March 23, 2010), together with the Health Care and Education
Reconciliation Act of 2010 (Pub. L. 111-152, enacted on March 30, 2010)
(collectively referred as the Affordable
[[Page 9637]]
Care Act) provides for the establishment of Affordable Insurance
Exchanges (Exchanges, also called the Health Insurance Marketplace)
that provide access to affordable health insurance coverage offered by
qualified health plans (QHPs). Individuals who enroll, or whose family
member enrolls, in a QHP cannot be eligible for health coverage under
other federally supported health benefits programs or through
affordable employer-sponsored insurance coverage and have incomes above
100 percent but no more than 400 percent of the federal poverty line
(FPL), or have income below that level but be lawfully present non-
citizens ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration status.
Individuals enrolled through Marketplaces in coverage offered by QHPs
may qualify for the federal premium tax credit (PTC) or federally-
funded cost-sharing reductions (CSRs) based on their household income,
to make coverage affordable.
In the states that elect to operate a Basic Health Program (BHP),
BHP will make affordable health benefits coverage available for
individuals under age 65 with household incomes between 133 percent and
200 percent of the FPL who are not otherwise eligible for Medicaid, the
Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP), or affordable employer-
sponsored coverage. (For those states that have expanded Medicaid
coverage under section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i)(VIII) of the Social Security
Act (the Act), the lower income threshold for BHP eligibility is
effectively 138 percent due to the application of a required 5 percent
income disregard in determining the upper limits of Medicaid income
eligibility (section 1902(e)(14)(I) of the Act).) Federal funding will
be available for BHP based on the amount of PTC and CSRs that BHP
enrollees would have received had they been enrolled in QHPs through
Marketplaces.
In the March 12, 2014 Federal Register (79 FR 14112), we published
a final rule entitled the ``Basic Health Program; State Administration
of Basic Health Programs; Eligibility and Enrollment in Standard Health
Plans; Essential Health Benefits in Standard Health Plans; Performance
Standards for Basic Health Programs; Premium and Cost Sharing for Basic
Health Programs; Federal Funding Process; Trust Fund and Financial
Integrity'' (hereinafter referred to as the BHP final rule)
implementing section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act), which directs
the establishment of BHP. The BHP final rule establishes the standards
for state and federal administration of BHP, including provisions
regarding eligibility and enrollment, benefits, cost-sharing
requirements and oversight activities. While the BHP final rule
codifies the overall statutory requirements and basic procedural
framework for the funding methodology, it does not contain the specific
information necessary to determine federal payments. We anticipated
that the methodology would be based on data and assumptions that would
reflect ongoing operations and experience of BHP programs, as well as
the operation of the Marketplaces. For this reason, the BHP final rule
indicated that the development and publication of the funding
methodology, including any data sources, would be addressed in a
separate annual BHP Payment Notice.
In the BHP final rule, we specified that the BHP Payment Notice
process would include the annual publication of both a proposed and
final BHP Payment Notice. The proposed BHP Payment Notice would be
published in the Federal Register each October, and would describe the
proposed methodology for the upcoming BHP program year, including how
the Secretary considered the factors specified in section 1331(d)(3) of
the Affordable Care Act, along with the proposed data sources used to
determine the federal BHP payment rates. The final BHP Payment Notice
would be published in the Federal Register in February, and would
include the final BHP funding methodology, as well as the federal BHP
payment rates for the next BHP program year. For example, payment rates
published in February 2015 would apply to BHP program year 2016,
beginning in January 2016. As discussed in section III.C of this
methodology, state data needed to calculate the federal BHP payment
rates for the final BHP Payment Notice must be submitted to CMS.
As described in the BHP final rule, once the final methodology has
been published, we will only make modifications to the BHP funding
methodology on a prospective basis with limited exceptions. The BHP
final rule provided that retrospective adjustments to the state's BHP
payment amount may occur to the extent that the prevailing BHP funding
methodology for a given program year permits adjustments to a state's
federal BHP payment amount due to insufficient data for prospective
determination of the relevant factors specified in the payment notice.
Additional adjustments could be made to the payment rates to correct
errors in applying the methodology (such as mathematical errors).
Under section 1331(d)(3)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act, the
funding methodology and payment rates are expressed as an amount per
BHP enrollee for each month of enrollment. These payment rates may vary
based on categories or classes of enrollees. Actual payment to a state
would depend on the actual enrollment in coverage through the state
BHP. A state that is approved to implement BHP must provide data
showing quarterly enrollment in the various federal BHP payment rate
cells. The data submission requirements associated with this will be
published subsequent to the proposed methodology.
II. Summary of Proposed Provisions and Analysis of and Responses to
Public Comments on the Proposed Methodology
The following sections, arranged by subject area, include a summary
of the public comments that we received, and our responses. For a
complete and full description of the BHP proposed funding methodology,
see the ``Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program
Year 2016'' proposed methodology published in the October 23, 2014
Federal Register (79 FR 63363).
We received a total of 3 timely comments from individuals and
groups advocating on behalf of consumers and health care providers. The
public comments received ranged from general support or opposition to
the proposed methodology and BHP to specific comments regarding the
proposed methodological factors.
A. Background
In the October 23, 2014 (79 FR 63363) proposed methodology, we
specified the methodology of how the federal BHP payments would be
calculated. For specific discussions, please refer to the October 23,
2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
We received the following comments on the background information
included in the proposed methodology:
Comment: Some commenters expressed general opposition to BHP and
the payment methodology.
Response: The comments were outside the scope of the BHP program
and payment methodology.
Final Decision: After careful consideration of the public comments,
we are finalizing our proposed methodology for how the federal BHP
payments will be calculated.
[[Page 9638]]
B. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the Payment
Amount
We proposed in the overview of the funding methodology to calculate
the PTC and CSR as consistently as possible and in general alignment
with the methodology used by Marketplaces to calculate the advance
payments of the PTC and CSR, and by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS)
to calculate the final PTC. We proposed in this section four equations
that comprise the overall BHP funding methodology. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We received no comments regarding the overview of the funding
methodology and calculation of the payment amount. We are finalizing
the BHP overview of the funding methodology and the payment amount for
FY 2016.
C. Required Rate Cells
In this section, we proposed that a state implementing BHP provide
us with an estimate of the number of BHP enrollees it will enroll in
the upcoming BHP program, by applicable rate cell, to determine the
federal BHP payment amounts. For each state, we proposed using rate
cells that separate the BHP population into separate cells based on the
following five factors: age; geographic rating area; coverage status;
household size; and income. For specific discussions, please refer to
the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
We received the following comment on the proposed rate cells:
Comment: One commenter expressed concern that defining geographic
rating areas as counties would not capture potential differences in
health care costs and qualified health plan premiums in different parts
of the county, and recommended defining the rating area by zip code
instead.
Response: We believe that this is unlikely to have a significant
impact on the federal BHP payment. In addition, we believe that it
would make state operation of the program substantially more
challenging.
Final Decision: After careful consideration of the comments, we are
finalizing the criteria and definitions of the rate cells to determine
the federal BHP payment amounts for FY 2016.
D. Sources and State Data Considerations
We proposed in this section to use, to the extent possible, data
submitted to the federal government by QHP issuers seeking to offer
coverage through a Marketplace to determine the federal BHP payment
cell rates. However, in states operating a State Based Marketplace
(SBM), we proposed that such states submit required data for CMS to
calculate the federal BHP payment rates in those states. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on the ``Sources and State Data
Considerations'' section and are finalizing the BHP methodology as
proposed.
E. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
In this section, we proposed 11 specific variables to use in the
payment equations that comprise the overall BHP funding methodology.
(10 variables are described in section III.D of this document, and the
premium trend factor is described in section III.F.) For each proposed
variable, we included a discussion on the assumptions and data sources
used in developing the variables. For specific discussions, please
refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on the ``Specific Variables Used in
Payment Equations'' section and are finalizing the BHP methodology as
proposed.
F. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
We proposed to make several adjustments for American Indians and
Alaska Natives when calculating the CSR portion of the federal BHP
payment rate to be consistent with the Marketplace rules. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on the ``Adjustments for American
Indians and Alaska Natives'' section and are finalizing the BHP
methodology as proposed.
G. State Option to Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
In this section, we proposed to provide states implementing BHP
with the option to use the 2015 QHP premiums multiplied by a premium
trend factor to calculate the federal BHP payment rates instead of
using the 2016 QHP premiums. For specific discussions, please refer to
the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology (79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on the ``State Option to Use 2015
QHP Premiums for BHP Payments'' section and are finalizing the BHP
methodology as proposed.
H. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology
In this section, we proposed to provide states implementing BHP the
option to develop a methodology to account for the impact that
including the BHP population in the Marketplace would have had on QHP
premiums based on any differences in health status between the BHP
population and persons enrolled through the Marketplace. For specific
discussions, please refer to the October 23, 2014 proposed methodology
(79 FR 63363).
We did not receive any comments on the ``State Option to Include
Retrospective State-specific Health Risk Adjustment in Certified
Methodology'' section and are finalizing the BHP methodology as
proposed.
III. Provisions of the Final Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the Payment
Amount
Section 1331(d)(3) of the Affordable Care Act directs the Secretary
to consider several factors when determining the federal BHP payment
amount, which, as specified in the statute, must equal 95 percent of
the value of the PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would have been
provided had they enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace. Thus, the
BHP funding methodology is designed to calculate the PTC and CSRs as
consistently as possible and in general alignment with the methodology
used by Marketplaces to calculate the advance payments of the PTC and
CSRs, and by the IRS to calculate final PTCs. In general, we rely on
values for factors in the payment methodology specified in statute or
other regulations as available, and we have developed values for other
factors not otherwise specified in statute, or previously calculated in
other regulations, to simulate the values of the PTC and CSRs that BHP
enrollees would have received if they had enrolled in QHPs offered
through a Marketplace. In accordance with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(iii) of
the Affordable Care Act, the final funding methodology must be
certified by CMS' Chief Actuary, in consultation with the Office of Tax
Analysis (OTA) of the Department of the Treasury, as having met the
requirements of section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act.
Section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act specifies that
the
[[Page 9639]]
payment determination ``shall take into account all relevant factors
necessary to determine the value of the premium tax credits and cost-
sharing reductions that would have been provided to eligible
individuals . . . including the age and income of the enrollee, whether
the enrollment is for self-only or family coverage, geographic
differences in average spending for health care across rating areas,
the health status of the enrollee for purposes of determining risk
adjustment payments and reinsurance payments that would have been made
if the enrollee had enrolled in a qualified health plan through a
Marketplace, and whether any reconciliation of the credit or cost-
sharing reductions would have occurred if the enrollee had been so
enrolled.'' The payment methodology takes each of these factors into
account. This methodology is the same as the 2015 payment methodology,
with updated values but no changes in methods.
We have developed a methodology that the total federal BHP payment
amount would be based on multiple ``rate cells'' in each state. Each
``rate cell'' represents a unique combination of age range, geographic
area, coverage category (for example, self-only or two-adult coverage
through BHP), household size, and income range as a percentage of FPL.
Thus, there are distinct rate cells for individuals in each coverage
category within a particular age range who reside in a specific
geographic area and are in households of the same size and income
range. We note that the development of the BHP payment rates will be
consistent with each state's rules on age rating. Thus, in the case of
a state that does not use age as a rating factor on the Marketplace,
the BHP payment rates would not vary by age.
The rate for each rate cell will be calculated in two parts. The
first part (as described in Equation (1)) will equal 95 percent of the
estimated PTC that would have been paid if a BHP enrollee in that rate
cell had instead enrolled in a QHP in the Marketplace. The second part
(as described in Equation (2)) will equal 95 percent of the estimated
CSR payment that would have been made if a BHP enrollee in that rate
cell had instead enrolled in a QHP in the Marketplace. These 2 parts
will be added together and the total rate for that rate cell will be
equal to the sum of the PTC and CSR rates.
To calculate the total federal BHP payment, Equation (1) will be
used to calculate the estimated PTC for individuals in each rate cell
and Equation (2) will be used to calculate the estimated CSR payments
for individuals in each rate cell. By applying the equations separately
to rate cells based on age, income and other factors, we effectively
take those factors into account in the calculation. In addition, the
equations take into account additional relevant variables that are
needed to determine the estimated PTC and CSR payments for individuals
in each rate cell. Each of the variables in the equations is defined
below, and further detail is provided later in this section of the
payment notice.
In addition, we describe how we will calculate the adjusted
reference premium (described later in this section of the payment
methodology) that is used in Equations (1) and (2). This is defined in
Equation (3a) and Equation (3b).
Equation 1: Estimated PTC by Rate Cell
The estimated PTC, on a per enrollee basis, will be calculated for
each rate cell for each state based on age range, geographic area,
coverage category, household size, and income range. The PTC portion of
the rate will be calculated in a manner consistent with the methodology
used to calculate the PTC for persons enrolled in a QHP, with 3
adjustments. First, the PTC portion of the rate for each rate cell will
represent the mean, or average, expected PTC that all persons in the
rate cell would receive, rather than being calculated for each
individual enrollee. Second, the reference premium used to calculate
the PTC (described in more detail later in the section) will be
adjusted for BHP population health status, and in the case of a state
that elects to use 2015 premiums for the basis of the BHP federal
payment, for the projected change in the premium from the 2015 to 2016,
to which the rates announced in the final payment methodology would
apply. These adjustments are described in Equation (3a) and Equation
(3b). Third, the PTC will be adjusted prospectively to reflect the
mean, or average, net expected impact of income reconciliation on the
combination of all persons enrolled in BHP; this adjustment, as
described in section III.D.5 of this methodology, will account for the
impact on the PTC that would have occurred had such reconciliation been
performed. Finally, the rate is multiplied by 95 percent, consistent
with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable Care Act. We note that
in the situation where the average income contribution of an enrollee
would exceed the adjusted reference premium, we will calculate the PTC
to be equal to 0 and would not allow the value of the PTC to be
negative.
Consistent with this description, equation (1) is defined as:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.000
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
Ih,i,j = Income (in dollars per month) at each 1 percentage-point
increment of FPL
j = jth percentage-point increment FPL
n = Number of income increments used to calculate the mean PTC
PTCFh,i,j = Premium Tax Credit Formula percentage
IRF = Income reconciliation factor
Equation 2: Estimated CSR Payment by Rate Cell
The CSR portion of the rate will be calculated for each rate cell
for each state based on age range, geographic area, coverage category,
household size, and income range defined as a percentage of FPL. The
CSR portion of the rate will be calculated in a manner consistent with
the methodology used to calculate the CSR advance payments for persons
enrolled in a QHP, as described in the final rule we published in the
Federal Register on March 11, 2014 entitled ``HHS Notice of Benefit and
Payment Parameters for 2015'' final rule (79 FR 13744), with 3
principal adjustments. (We will make a separate calculation that
includes different adjustments for American Indian/Alaska Native BHP
enrollees, as described in section III.D.1 of this methodology.) For
the first adjustment, the CSR rate, like the PTC rate, will represent
the mean expected CSR subsidy that would be paid on behalf of all
persons in the rate cell, rather than being calculated for each
individual enrollee. Second, this
[[Page 9640]]
calculation will be based on the adjusted reference premium, as
described in section III.A.3 of this methodology. Third, this equation
uses an adjusted reference premium that reflects premiums charged to
non-tobacco users, rather than the actual premium that is charged to
tobacco users to calculate CSR advance payments for tobacco users
enrolled in a QHP. Accordingly, the equation includes a tobacco rating
adjustment factor that would account for BHP enrollees' estimated
tobacco-related health costs that are outside the premium charged to
non-tobacco-users. Finally, the rate will be multiplied by 95 percent,
as provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable Care Act.
Consistent with the methodology described above, equation (2) is
defined as:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.001
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy portion of BHP payment
rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
TRAF = Tobacco rating adjustment factor
FRAC = Factor removing administrative costs
AV = Actuarial value of plan (as percentage of allowed benefits
covered by the applicable QHP without a cost-sharing reduction
subsidy)
IUFh,i = Induced utilization factor
[Delta]AVh,i = Change in actuarial value (as percentage of allowed
benefits)
Equation 3a and Equation 3b: Adjusted Reference Premium Variable (Used
in Equations 1 and 2)
As part of these calculations for both the PTC and CSR components,
the value of the adjusted reference premium as described below.
Consistent with the approach last year, we will allow states to choose
between using the actual 2016 QHP premiums or the 2015 QHP premiums
multiplied by the premium trend factor (as described in section III.F
of this methodology). Therefore, we describe below how we would
calculate the adjusted reference premium under each option.
In the case of a state that elects to use the reference premium
based on the 2016 premiums, we will calculate the value of the adjusted
reference premium as specified in Equation (3a). The adjusted reference
premium will be equal to the reference premium, which will be based on
the second lowest cost silver plan premium in 2016, multiplied by the
BHP population health factor (described in section III.D of this
methodology), which will reflect the projected impact that enrolling
BHP-eligible individuals in QHPs on a Marketplace would have had on the
average QHP premium.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.002
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
In the case of a state that elects to use the reference premium
based on the 2015 premiums (as described in section III.F of this
methodology), we will calculate the value of the adjusted reference
premium as specified in Equation (3b). The adjusted reference premium
will be equal to the reference premium, which will be based on the
second lowest cost silver plan premium in 2015, multiplied by the BHP
population health factor (described in section III.D of this
methodology), which will reflect the projected impact that enrolling
BHP-eligible individuals in QHPs on a Marketplace would have had on the
average QHP premium, and by the premium trend factor, which will
reflect the projected change in the premium level between 2015 and 2016
(including the estimated impact of changes resulting from the
transitional reinsurance program established in section 1341 of the
Affordable Care Act).
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.003
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
PTF = Premium trend factor
Equation 4: Determination of Total Monthly Payment for BHP Enrollees in
Each Rate Cell
In general, the rate for each rate cell will be multiplied by the
number of BHP enrollees in that cell (that is, the number of enrollees
that meet the criteria for each rate cell) to calculate the total
monthly BHP payment. This calculation is shown in Equation 4 below.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR24FE15.004
PMT = Total monthly BHP payment
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of BHP payment rate
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy portion of BHP payment
rate
Ea,g,c,h,i = Number of BHP enrollees
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
[[Page 9641]]
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
We will require that a state implementing BHP provide us an
estimate of the number of BHP enrollees it projects will enroll in the
upcoming BHP program year, by applicable rate cell, prior to the first
quarter of program operations. Upon our approval of such estimates as
reasonable, they will be used to calculate the prospective payment for
the first and subsequent quarters of program operation until the state
has provided us actual enrollment data. These data will be required to
calculate the final BHP payment amount, and make any necessary
reconciliation adjustments to the prior quarters' prospective payment
amounts due to differences between projected and actual enrollment. In
subsequent quarters, quarterly deposits to the state's trust fund will
be based on the most recent actual enrollment data submitted to us.
Procedures will ensure that federal payments to a state reflect actual
BHP enrollment during a year, within each applicable category, and
prospectively determined federal payment rates for each category of BHP
enrollment, with such categories defined in terms of age range,
geographic area, coverage status, household size, and income range, as
explained above.
We will require the use of certain rate cells as part of the
methodology. For each state, we will use rate cells that separate the
BHP population into separate cells based on the five factors described
below.
Factor 1--Age: We will separate enrollees into rate cells by age,
using the following age ranges that capture the widest variations in
premiums under HHS's Default Age Curve: \1\
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\1\ This curve is used to implement the Affordable Care Act's
3:1 limit on age-rating in states that do not create an alternative
rate structure to comply with that limit. The curve applies to all
individual market plans, both within and outside the Exchange. The
age bands capture the principal allowed age-based variations in
premiums as permitted by this curve. More information can be found
at https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Files/Downloads/market-reforms-guidance-2-25-2013.pdf. Both children and adults under age
21 are charged the same premium. For adults age 21-64, the age bands
in this methodology divide the total age-based premium variation
into the three most equally-sized ranges (defining size by the ratio
between the highest and lowest premiums within the band) that are
consistent with the age-bands used for risk-adjustment purposes in
the HHS-Developed Risk Adjustment Model. For such age bands, see
Table 5, ``Age-Sex Variables,'' in HHS-Developed Risk Adjustment
Model Algorithm Software, June 2, 2014, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Regulations-and-Guidance/Downloads/ra-tables-03-27-2014.xlsx.
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Ages 0-20.
Ages 21-34.
Ages 35-44.
Ages 45-54.
Ages 55-64.
Factor 2--Geographic area: For each state, we will separate
enrollees into rate cells by geographic areas within which a single
reference premium is charged by QHPs offered through the state's
Marketplace. Multiple, non-contiguous geographic areas will be
incorporated within a single cell, so long as those areas share a
common reference premium.\2\
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\2\ For example, a cell within a particular state might refer to
``County Group 1,'' ``County Group 2,'' etc., and a table for the
state would list all the counties included in each such group. These
geographic areas are consistent with the geographic areas
established under the 2014 Market Reform Rules. They also reflect
the service area requirements applicable to qualified health plans,
as described in 45 CFR 155.1055, except that service areas smaller
than counties are addressed as explained below.
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Factor 3--Coverage status: We will separate enrollees into rate
cells by coverage status, reflecting whether an individual is enrolled
in self-only coverage or persons are enrolled in family coverage
through BHP, as provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable
Care Act. Among recipients of family coverage through BHP, separate
rate cells, as explained below, will apply based on whether such
coverage involves two adults alone or whether it involves children.
Factor 4--Household size: We will separate enrollees into rate
cells by household size that states use to determine BHP enrollees'
income as a percentage of the FPL under 42 CFR 600.320. We will require
separate rate cells for several specific household sizes. For each
additional member above the largest specified size, we will publish
instructions for how we will develop additional rate cells and
calculate an appropriate payment rate based on data for the rate cell
with the closest specified household size. We will publish separate
rate cells for household sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, as unpublished
analyses of American Community Survey data conducted by the Urban
Institute, which take into account unaccepted offers of employer-
sponsored insurance, as well as income, Medicaid and CHIP eligibility,
citizenship and immigration status, and current health coverage status,
find that less than 1 percent of all BHP-eligible persons live in
households of size 5 or greater.
Factor 5--Income: For households of each applicable size, we will
create separate rate cells by income range, as a percentage of FPL. The
PTC that a person would receive if enrolled in a QHP varies by income,
both in level and as a ratio to the FPL, and the CSR varies by income
as a percentage of FPL. Thus, separate rate cells will be used to
calculate federal BHP payment rates to reflect different bands of
income measured as a percentage of FPL. We will use the following
income ranges, measured as a ratio to the FPL:
0 to 50 percent of the FPL.
51 to 100 percent of the FPL.
101 to 138 percent of the FPL.\3\
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\3\ The three lowest income ranges would be limited to lawfully
present immigrants who are ineligible for Medicaid because of
immigration status.
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139 to 150 percent of the FPL.
151 to 175 percent of the FPL.
176 to 200 percent of the FPL.
These rate cells will only be used to calculate the federal BHP
payment amount. A state implementing BHP will not be required to use
these rate cells or any of the factors in these rate cells as part of
the state payment to the standard health plans participating in BHP or
to help define BHP enrollees' covered benefits, premium costs, or out-
of-pocket cost-sharing levels.
We will use averages to define federal payment rates, both for
income ranges and age ranges, rather than varying such rates to
correspond to each individual BHP enrollee's age and income level. We
believe that this approach will increase the administrative feasibility
of making federal BHP payments and reduce the likelihood of
inadvertently erroneous payments resulting from highly complex
methodologies. We believe that this approach will not significantly
change federal payment amounts, since within applicable ranges; the
BHP-eligible population is distributed relatively evenly.
C. Sources and State Data Considerations
To the extent possible, we will use data submitted to the federal
government by QHP issuers seeking to offer coverage through a
Marketplace to perform the calculations that determine federal BHP
payment cell rates.
States operating a State Based Marketplace in the individual
market, however, must provide certain data, including premiums for
second lowest cost silver plans, by geographic area, in order for CMS
to calculate the federal BHP payment rates in those states. We will
require that a state operating a State Based Marketplace and interested
in obtaining the applicable federal BHP payment rates for its state
must submit
[[Page 9642]]
such data accurately, completely, and as specified by CMS, by no later
than October 15, 2015, for CMS to calculate the applicable rates for
2016. If additional state data (that is, in addition to the second
lowest cost silver plan premium data) are needed to determine the
federal BHP payment rate, such data must be submitted in a timely
manner, and in a format specified by CMS to support the development and
timely release of annual BHP payment notices. The specifications for
data collection to support the development of BHP payment rates for
2016 were published in CMS guidance and are available at https://www.medicaid.gov/Federal-Policy-Guidance/Federal-Policy-Guidance.html.
If a state operating a SBM provides the necessary data accurately,
completely, and as specified by CMS, but after the date specified
above, we anticipate publishing federal payment rates for such a state
in a subsequent Payment Notice. As noted in the BHP final rule, a state
may elect to implement its BHP after a program year has begun. In such
an instance, we require that the state, if operating a SBM, submit its
data no later than 30 days after the Blueprint submission for CMS to
calculate the applicable federal payment rates. We further require that
the BHP Blueprint itself must be submitted for Secretarial
certification with an effective date of no sooner than 120 days after
submission of the BHP Blueprint. In addition, the state must ensure
that its Blueprint includes a detailed description of how the state
will coordinate with other insurance affordability programs to
transition and transfer BHP-eligible individuals out of their existing
QHP coverage, consistent with the requirements set forth in 42 CFR
600.330 and 600.425. We believe that this 120-day period is necessary
to establish the requisite administrative structures and ensure that
all statutory and regulatory requirements are satisfied.
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
1. Reference Premium (RP)
To calculate the estimated PTC that would be paid if individuals
enrolled in QHPs through the Marketplace, we must calculate a reference
premium (RP) because the PTC is based, in part, on the premiums for the
applicable second lowest cost silver plan as explained in section
III.C.4 of this methodology, regarding the Premium Tax Credit Formula
(PTCF). Accordingly, for the purposes of calculating the BHP payment
rates, the reference premium, in accordance with 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(C), is defined as the adjusted monthly premium for an
applicable second lowest cost silver plan. The applicable second lowest
cost silver plan is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(B) as the second
lowest cost silver plan of the individual market in the rating area in
which the taxpayer resides, which is offered through the same
Marketplace. We will use the adjusted monthly premium for an applicable
second lowest cost silver plan in 2016 as the reference premium (except
in the case of a state that elects to use the 2015 premium as the basis
for the federal BHP payment, as described in section III.F of this
methodology).
The reference premium will be the premium applicable to non-tobacco
users. This is consistent with the provision in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(C)
that bases the PTC on premiums that are adjusted for age alone, without
regard to tobacco use, even for states that allow insurers to vary
premiums based on tobacco use pursuant to 42 U.S.C. 300gg(a)(1)(A)(iv).
Consistent with the policy set forth in 26 CFR 1.36B-3(f)(6) to
calculate the PTC for those enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace, we
will not update the payment methodology, and subsequently the federal
BHP payment rates, in the event that the second lowest cost silver plan
used as the reference premium, or the lowest cost silver plan, changes
(that is, terminates or closes enrollment during the year).
The applicable second lowest cost silver plan premium will be
included in the BHP payment methodology by age range, geographic area,
and self-only or applicable category of family coverage obtained
through BHP.
American Indians and Alaska Natives in households with incomes
below 300 percent of the FPL are eligible for a full cost sharing
subsidy regardless of the plan they select (as described in sections
1402(d) and 2901(a) of the Affordable Care Act). We assume that
American Indians and Alaska Natives would be more likely to enroll in
bronze plans as a result; thus, for American Indian/Alaska Native BHP
enrollees, we will use the lowest cost bronze plan as the basis for the
reference premium for the purposes of calculating the CSR portion (but
not the PTC portion) of the federal BHP payment as described further in
section III.E of this methodology.
The applicable age bracket will be one dimension of each rate cell.
We will assume a uniform distribution of ages and estimate the average
premium amount within each rate cell. We believe that assuming a
uniform distribution of ages within these ranges is a reasonable
approach and would produce a reliable determination of the PTC and CSR
components. We also believe this approach would avoid potential
inaccuracies that could otherwise occur in relatively small payment
cells if age distribution were measured by the number of persons
eligible or enrolled.
We will use geographic areas based on the rating areas used in the
Marketplaces. We will define each geographic area so that the reference
premium is the same throughout the geographic area. When the reference
premium varies within a rating area, we will define geographic areas as
aggregations of counties with the same reference premium. Although
plans are allowed to serve geographic areas smaller than counties after
obtaining our approval, no geographic area, for purposes of defining
BHP payment rate cells, will be smaller than a county. We do not
believe that this assumption will have a significant impact on federal
payment levels and it would likely simplify both the calculation of BHP
payment rates and the operation of BHP.
Finally, in terms of the coverage category, federal payment rates
will only recognize self-only and two-adult coverage, with exceptions
that account for children who are potentially eligible for BHP. First,
in states that set the upper income threshold for children's Medicaid
and CHIP eligibility below 200 percent of FPL (based on modified
adjusted gross income), children in households with incomes between
that threshold and 200 percent of FPL would be potentially eligible for
BHP. Currently, the only states in this category are Arizona, Idaho,
and North Dakota.\4\ Second, BHP would include lawfully present
immigrant children with incomes at or below 200 percent of FPL in
states that have not exercised the option under the sections
1903(v)(4)(A)(ii) and 2107(e)(1)(E) of the Act to qualify all otherwise
eligible, lawfully present immigrant children for Medicaid and CHIP.
States that fall within these exceptions would be identified based on
their Medicaid and CHIP State Plans, and the rate cells would include
appropriate categories of BHP family coverage for children. In other
states, BHP eligibility will generally be restricted to adults, since
children who are citizens or lawfully present immigrants and who live
in households with incomes at or below 200 percent of FPL will qualify
for Medicaid or CHIP and thus be ineligible
[[Page 9643]]
for BHP under section 1331(e)(1)(C) of the Affordable Care Act, which
limits BHP to individuals who are ineligible for minimum essential
coverage (as defined in section 5000A(f) of the Internal Revenue Code
of 1986).
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\4\ CMCS. ``State Medicaid and CHIP Income Eligibility Standards
Effective January 1, 2014.''
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2. Population Health Factor (PHF)
We include the population health factor in the methodology to
account for the potential differences in the average health status
between BHP enrollees and persons enrolled in the Marketplace. To the
extent that BHP enrollees would have been enrolled in the Marketplace
in the absence of BHP in a state, the inclusion of those BHP enrollees
in the Marketplace may affect the average health status of the overall
population and the expected QHP premiums.
We currently do not believe that there is evidence that the BHP
population would have better or poorer health status than the
Marketplace population. At this time, there is a lack of experience
available in the Marketplace that limits the ability to analyze the
health differences between these groups of enrollees. In addition,
differences in population health may vary across states. Thus, at this
time, we believe that it is not feasible to develop a methodology to
make a prospective adjustment to the population health factor that is
reliably accurate.
Given these analytic challenges and the limited data about
Marketplace coverage and the characteristics of BHP-eligible consumers
that will be available by the time we establish federal payment rates
for 2016, we believe that the most appropriate adjustment for 2016
would be 1.00.
In the 2015 payment methodology, we included an option for states
to include a retrospective population health status adjustment.
Similarly, we will provide the states with the same option for the 2016
payment methodology, as described further in section III.G of this
methodology, to include a retrospective population health status
adjustment in the certified methodology, which is subject to CMS review
and approval.
While the statute requires consideration of risk adjustment
payments and reinsurance payments insofar as they would have affected
the PTC and CSRs that would have been provided to BHP-eligible
individuals had they enrolled in QHPs, we will not require that a BHP
program's standard health plans receive such payments. As explained in
the BHP final rule, BHP standard health plans are not included in the
risk adjustment program operated by HHS on behalf of states. Further,
standard health plans do not qualify for payments from the transitional
reinsurance program established under section 1341 of the Affordable
Care Act.\5\ To the extent that a state operating a BHP determines
that, because of the distinctive risk profile of BHP-eligible
consumers, BHP standard health plans should be included in mechanisms
that share risk with other plans in the state's individual market, the
state would need to use other methods for achieving this goal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ See 45 CFR 153.400(a)(2)(iv) (BHP standard health plans are
not required to submit reinsurance contributions), 153.20
(definition of ``Reinsurance-eligible plan'' as not including
``health insurance coverage not required to submit reinsurance
contributions''), Sec. 153.230(a) (reinsurance payments under the
national reinsurance parameters are available only for
``Reinsurance-eligible plans'').
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3. Income (I)
Household income is a significant determinant of the amount of the
PTC and CSRs that are provided for persons enrolled in a QHP through
the Marketplace. Accordingly, the BHP payment methodology incorporates
income into the calculations of the payment rates through the use of
income-based rate cells. We define income in accordance with the
definition of modified adjusted gross income in 26 U.S.C. 36B(d)(2)(B)
and consistent with the definition in 45 CFR 155.300. Income would be
measured relative to the FPL, which is updated periodically in the
Federal Register by the Secretary under the authority of 42 U.S.C.
9902(2), based on annual changes in the consumer price index for all
urban consumers (CPI-U). In this methodology, household size and income
as a percentage of FPL would be used as factors in developing the rate
cells. We will use the following income ranges measured as a percentage
of FPL: \6\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ These income ranges and this analysis of income apply to the
calculation of the PTC. Many fewer income ranges and a much simpler
analysis apply in determining the value of CSRs, as specified below.
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0-50 percent.
51-100 percent.
101-138 percent.
139-150 percent.
151-175 percent.
176-200 percent.
We will assume a uniform income distribution for each federal BHP
payment cell. We believe that assuming a uniform income distribution
for the income ranges would be reasonably accurate for the purposes of
calculating the PTC and CSR components of the BHP payment and would
avoid potential errors that could result if other sources of data were
used to estimate the specific income distribution of persons who are
eligible for or enrolled in BHP within rate cells that may be
relatively small. Thus, when calculating the mean, or average, PTC for
a rate cell, we will calculate the value of the PTC at each one
percentage point interval of the income range for each federal BHP
payment cell and then calculate the average of the PTC across all
intervals. This calculation will rely on the PTC formula described
below in section III.4 of this methodology.
As the PTC for persons enrolled in QHPs will be calculated based on
their income during the open enrollment period, and that income will be
measured against the FPL at that time, we will adjust the FPL by
multiplying the FPL by a projected increase in the CPI-U between the
time that the BHP payment rates are published and the QHP open
enrollment period, if the FPL is expected to be updated during that
time. The projected increase in the CPI-U would be based on the
intermediate inflation forecasts from the most recent OASDI and
Medicare Trustees Reports.\7\
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\7\ See Table IV A1 from the 2014 reports in https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/ReportsTrustFunds/Downloads/TR2014.pdf.
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4. Premium Tax Credit Formula (PTCF)
The PTC amount for a person enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace
is calculated in accordance with the methodology described in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(2). The amount is equal to the lesser of the premium for the
plan in which the person or household enrolls (the enrollment premiums)
or adjusted premium for the applicable second lowest cost silver plan
minus the contribution amount.
In Equation 1 described in section III.A.1 of this methodology, we
will use the formula described in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b) to calculate the
contribution amount, which is needed to estimate the PTC for a person
enrolled in a QHP on a Marketplace. This formula determines the
contribution amount as a percentage of household income. The percentage
is based on the FPL for the household income and family size, and is
shown in the schedule specified in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and shown
below. The difference between the contribution amount and the adjusted
monthly premium for the applicable second lowest cost silver plan is
the estimated amount of the PTC that would be provided for the enrollee
(assuming that this amount is less than the enrollment premiums).
The applicable percentage is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and
26 CFR 1.36B-3(g) as the percentage that
[[Page 9644]]
applies to a taxpayer's household income that is within an income tier
specified in the table, increasing on a sliding scale in a linear
manner from an initial premium percentage to a final premium percentage
specified in the table (see Table 1):
Table 1--Household Income
[Expressed as a percent of poverty line]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the case of household income
(expressed as a percent of poverty The initial The final premium
line) within the following income premium percentage is--
tier: percentage is--
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Up to 133%........................ 2.01 2.01
133% but less than 150%........... 3.02 4.02
150% but less than 200%........... 4.02 6.34
200% but less than 250%........... 6.34 8.10
250% but less than 300%........... 8.10 9.56
300% but not more than 400%....... 9.56 9.56
------------------------------------------------------------------------
These are the applicable percentages for CY 2015. The applicable
percentages will be updated in future years in accordance with 26
U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A)(ii).
5. Income Reconciliation Factor (IRF)
For persons enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace who receive an
advance payment of the premium tax credit (APTC), there will be an
annual reconciliation following the end of the year to compare the
advance payments to the correct amount of PTC based on household
circumstances shown on the federal income tax return. Any difference
between the latter amounts and the advance payments made during the
year would either be paid to the taxpayer (if too little APTC was paid)
or charged to the taxpayer as additional tax (if too much APTC was
made, subject to any limitations in statute or regulation), as provided
in 26 U.S.C. 36B(f).
Section 1331(e)(2) of the Affordable Care Act specifies that an
individual eligible for BHP may not be treated as a qualified
individual under section 1312 eligible for enrollment in a QHP offered
through a Marketplace. We are defining ``eligible'' to mean anyone for
whom the state agency or the Exchange assesses or determines, based on
the single streamlined application or renewal form, as eligible for
enrollment in the BHP. Because enrollment in a QHP is a requirement for
PTC for the enrolled individual's coverage, individuals determined or
assessed as eligible for a BHP are not eligible to receive APTC
assistance for coverage in the Marketplace. Because they do not receive
APTC assistance, BHP enrollees, on whom the 2016 payment methodology is
based, are not subject to the same income reconciliation as Marketplace
consumers. Nonetheless, there may still be differences between a BHP
enrollee's household income reported at the beginning of the year and
the actual income over the year. These may include small changes
(reflecting changes in hourly wage rates, hours worked per week, and
other fluctuations in income during the year) and large changes
(reflecting significant changes in employment status, hourly wage
rates, or substantial fluctuations in income). There may also be
changes in household composition. Thus, we believe that using
unadjusted income as reported prior to the BHP program year may result
in calculations of estimated PTC that are inconsistent with the actual
incomes of BHP enrollees during the year. Even if the BHP program
adjusts household income determinations and corresponding claims of
federal payment amounts based on household reports during the year or
data from third-party sources, such adjustments may not fully capture
the effects of tax reconciliation that BHP enrollees would have
experienced had they been enrolled in a QHP through a Marketplace and
received APTC assistance.
Therefore, we are including in Equation 1 an income adjustment
factor that would account for the difference between calculating
estimated PTC using: (a) Income relative to FPL as determined at
initial application and potentially revised mid-year, under 600.320,
for purposes of determining BHP eligibility and claiming federal BHP
payments; and (b) actual income relative to FPL received during the
plan year, as it would be reflected on individual federal income tax
returns. This adjustment will prospectively estimate the average effect
of income reconciliation aggregated across the BHP population had those
BHP enrollees been subject to tax reconciliation after receiving APTC
assistance for coverage provided through QHPs. For 2016, we will
estimate reconciliation effects based on tax data for 2 years,
reflecting income and tax unit composition changes over time among BHP-
eligible individuals.
The OTA maintains a model that combines detailed tax and other
data, including Marketplace enrollment and PTC claimed, to project
Marketplace premiums, enrollment, and tax credits. For each enrollee,
this model compares the APTC based on household income and family size
estimated at the point of enrollment with the PTC based on household
income and family size reported at the end of the tax year. The former
reflects the determination using enrollee information furnished by the
applicant and tax data furnished by the IRS. The latter would reflect
the PTC eligibility based on information on the tax return, which would
have been determined if the individual had not enrolled in BHP. The
ratio of the reconciled PTC to the initial estimation of PTC will be
used as the income reconciliation factor in Equation (1) for estimating
the PTC portion of the BHP payment rate.
For 2016, OTA has estimated that the income reconciliation factor
for states that have implemented the Medicaid eligibility expansion to
cover adults up to 133 percent of the FPL will be 100.25 percent, and
for states that have not implemented the Medicaid eligibility expansion
and do not cover adults up to 133 percent of the FPL will be 100.24
percent. For 2015, we used the average of the factors for the two
groups of states. For 2016, the values of the factors for the two
groups of states are within 0.01 percentage point of each other.
Because the values are within 0.01 percentage point, we will use the
greater of two factors (100.25 percent) rather than the average.
6. Tobacco Rating Adjustment Factor (TRAF)
As previously described, the reference premium is estimated, for
purposes of determining both the PTC and related
[[Page 9645]]
federal BHP payments, based on premiums charged for non-tobacco users,
including in states that allow premium variations based on tobacco use,
as provided in 42 U.S.C. 300gg (a)(1)(A)(iv). In contrast, as described
in 45 CFR 156.430, the CSR advance payments are based on the total
premium for a policy, including any adjustment for tobacco use.
Accordingly, we will incorporate a tobacco rating adjustment factor
into Equation 2 that reflects the average percentage increase in health
care costs that results from tobacco use among the BHP-eligible
population and that would not be reflected in the premium charged to
non-users. This factor will also take into account the estimated
proportion of tobacco users among BHP-eligible consumers.
To estimate the average effect of tobacco use on health care costs
(not reflected in the premium charged to non-users), we will calculate
the ratio between premiums that silver level QHPs charge for tobacco
users to the premiums they charge for non-tobacco users at selected
ages. To calculate estimated proportions of tobacco users, we will use
data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) to
estimate tobacco utilization rates by state and relevant population
characteristic.\8\ For each state, we will calculate the tobacco usage
rate based on the percentage of persons by age who use cigarettes and
the percentage of persons by age that use smokeless tobacco, and
calculate the utilization rate by adding the two rates together. The
data is available for 3 age intervals: 18-24; 25-44; and 45-64. For the
BHP payment rate cell for persons ages 21-34, we will calculate the
factor as (4/14 * the utilization rate of 18-24 year olds) plus (10/14
* the utilization rate of 25-44 year olds), which would be the weighted
average of tobacco usage for persons 21-34 assuming a uniform
distribution of ages; for all other age ranges used for the rate cells,
we will use the age range in the CDC data in which the BHP payment rate
cell age range is contained.
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\8\ Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tobacco Control
State Highlights 2012: https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/state_data/state_highlights/2012/index.htm.
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We will provide tobacco rating factors that may vary by age and by
geographic area within each state. To the extent that the second lowest
cost silver plans have a different ratio of tobacco user rates to non-
tobacco user rates in different geographic areas, the tobacco rating
adjustment factor may differ across geographic areas within a state. In
addition, to the extent that the second lowest cost silver plan has a
different ratio of tobacco user rates to non-tobacco user rates by age,
or that there is a different prevalence of tobacco use by age, the
tobacco rating adjustment factor may differ by age.
7. Factor for Removing Administrative Costs (FRAC)
The Factor for Removing Administrative Costs represents the average
proportion of the total premium that covers allowed health benefits,
and we include this factor in our calculation of estimated CSRs in
Equation 2. The product of the reference premium and the Factor for
Removing Administrative Costs would approximate the estimated amount of
Essential Health Benefit (EHB) claims that would be expected to be paid
by the plan. This step is needed because the premium also covers such
costs as taxes, fees, and QHP administrative expenses. We are setting
this factor equal to 0.80, which is the same percentage for the factor
to remove administrative costs for calculating CSR advance payments for
established in the 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters.
8. Actuarial Value (AV)
The actuarial value is defined as the percentage paid by a health
plan of the total allowed costs of benefits, as defined under 45 CFR
156.20. (For example, if the average health care costs for enrollees in
a health insurance plan were $1,000 and that plan has an actuarial
value of 70 percent, the plan would be expected to pay on average $700
($1,000 x 0.70) for health care costs per enrollee, on average.) By
dividing such estimated costs by the actuarial value in the
methodology, we will calculate the estimated amount of total EHB-
allowed claims, including both the portion of such claims paid by the
plan and the portion paid by the consumer for in-network care. (To
continue with that same example, we would divide the plan's expected
$700 payment of the person's EHB-allowed claims by the plan's 70
percent actuarial value to ascertain that the total amount of EHB-
allowed claims, including amounts paid by the consumer, is $1,000.)
For the purposes of calculating the CSR rate in Equation 2, we will
use the standard actuarial value of the silver level plans in the
individual market, which is equal to 70 percent.
9. Induced Utilization Factor (IUF)
The induced utilization factor will be used as a factor in
calculating estimated CSRs in Equation 2 to account for the increase in
health care service utilization associated with a reduction in the
level of cost sharing a QHP enrollee would have to pay, based on the
cost-sharing reduction subsidies provided to enrollees.
The 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters provided
induced utilization factors for the purposes of calculating cost-
sharing reduction advance payments for 2015. In that rule, the induced
utilization factors for silver plan variations ranged from 1.00 to
1.12, depending on income. Using those utilization factors, the induced
utilization factor for all persons who would qualify for BHP based on
their household income as a percentage of FPL is 1.12; this would
include persons with household income between 100 percent and 200
percent of FPL, lawfully present non-citizens below 100 percent of FPL
who are ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration status, and
persons with household income under 300 percent of FPL, not subject to
any cost-sharing. Thus, consistent with last year, we will set the
induced utilization factor equal to 1.12 for the BHP payment
methodology.
10. Change in Actuarial Value ([Delta]AV)
The increase in actuarial value would account for the impact of the
cost-sharing reduction subsidies on the relative amount of EHB claims
that would be covered for or paid by eligible persons, and we include
it as a factor in calculating estimated CSRs in Equation 2.
The actuarial values of QHPs for persons eligible for cost-sharing
reduction subsidies are defined in 45 CFR 156.420(a), and eligibility
for such subsidies is defined in 45 CFR 155.305(g)(2)(i) through (iii).
For QHP enrollees with household incomes between 100 percent and 150
percent of FPL, and those below 100 percent of FPL who are ineligible
for Medicaid because of their immigration status, CSRs increase the
actuarial value of a QHP silver plan from 70 percent to 94 percent. For
QHP enrollees with household incomes between 150 percent and 200
percent of FPL, CSRs increase the actuarial value of a QHP silver plan
from 70 percent to 87 percent.
We will apply this factor by subtracting the standard AV from the
higher AV allowed by the applicable cost-sharing reduction. For BHP
enrollees with household incomes at or below 150 percent of FPL, this
factor will be 0.24 (94 percent minus 70 percent); for BHP enrollees
with household incomes more than 150 percent but not more than 200
percent
[[Page 9646]]
of FPL, this factor will be 0.17 (87 percent minus 70 percent).
E. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
There are several exceptions made for American Indians and Alaska
Natives enrolled in QHPs through a Marketplace to calculate the PTC and
CSRs. Thus, we will make adjustments to the payment methodology
described above to be consistent with the Marketplace rules.
We will make the following adjustments:
1. The adjusted reference premium for use in the CSR portion of the
rate will be the lowest cost bronze plan instead of the second lowest
cost silver plan, with the same adjustment for the population health
factor (and in the case of a state that elects to use the 2015 premiums
as the basis of the federal BHP payment, the same adjustment for the
premium trend factor). American Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible
for CSRs with any metal level plan, and thus we believe that eligible
persons would be more likely to select a bronze level plan instead of a
silver level plan. (It is important to note that the assumption that
American Indians and Alaska Natives would enroll in a bronze plan would
not necessarily change the PTC, as the PTC amount calculated as part of
the BHP payment methodology is the maximum possible PTC payment, which
is always based on the applicable second lowest cost silver plan. In
actuality, the PTC payment that would be made in for an individual
enrolled in a QHP cannot exceed the total premium. It is possible that
some bronze plan premiums would be less than the maximum PTC payment,
but we have not made any adjustment in the methodology for this. We
believe that this assumption would have a negligible impact on the BHP
payment.)
2. The actuarial value for use in the CSR portion of the rate will
be 0.60 instead of 0.70, which is consistent with the actuarial value
of a bronze level plan.
3. The induced utilization factor for use in the CSR portion of the
rate will be 1.15, which is consistent with the 2015 HHS Notice of
Benefit and Payment Parameters induced utilization factor for
calculating advance CSR payments for persons enrolled in bronze level
plans and eligible for CSRs up to 100 percent of actuarial value.
4. The change in the actuarial value for use in the CSR portion of
the rate will be 0.40. This reflects the increase from 60 percent
actuarial value of the bronze plan to 100 percent actuarial value, as
American Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible to receive CSRs up to
100 percent of actuarial value.
F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
In the interest of allowing states greater certainty in the total
BHP federal payments for 2016, we will provide states the option to
have their final 2016 federal BHP payment rates calculated using the
projected 2016 adjusted reference premium (that is, using 2015 premium
data multiplied by the premium trend factor defined below), as
described in Equation (3b).
For a state that elects to use the 2015 premium as the basis for
the 2016 BHP federal payment, the state must inform CMS no later than
May 15, 2015.
For Equation (3b), we define the premium trend factor as follows:
Premium Trend Factor (PTF): In Equation (3b), we calculate an
adjusted reference premium (ARP) based on the application of certain
relevant variables to the RP, including a PTF. In the case of a state
that would elect to use the 2015 premiums as the basis for determining
the BHP payment, it would be appropriate to apply a factor that would
account for the change in health care costs between the year of the
premium data and the BHP plan year. We define this as the premium trend
factor in the BHP payment methodology. This factor will approximate the
change in health care costs per enrollee, which would include, but not
be limited to, changes in the price of health care services and changes
in the utilization of health care services. This provides an estimate
of the adjusted monthly premium for the applicable second lowest cost
silver plan that would be more accurate and reflective of health care
costs in the BHP program year, which will be the year following
issuance of the final federal payment notice. In addition, we believe
that it would be appropriate to adjust the trend factor for the
estimated impact of changes to the transitional reinsurance program on
the average QHP premium.
We will use the annual growth rate in private health insurance
expenditures per enrollee from the National Health Expenditure
projections, developed by CMS' Office of the Actuary (https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/NationalHealthAccountsProjected.html,
Table 17--Health Insurance Enrollment and Enrollment Growth Rates). For
2016, the projected increase in private health insurance premiums per
enrollee is 3.9 percent.
The adjustment for changes in the transitional reinsurance program
is developed from analysis by CMS' Center for Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight (CCIIO). In unpublished analysis, CCIIO estimated
that the transitional reinsurance program would reduce QHP premiums in
2015 on average by 7.9 percent and in 2016 by 4.4 percent, as the
amount of funding in the reinsurance program decreases. Based on these
analyses, we estimate that the changes in the transitional reinsurance
program would lead to an increase of 3.8 percent in average QHP
premiums between 2015 and 2016: (1-0.044)/(1-0.079)-1 = 3.8 percent.
Combining these two factors together, we calculate that the premium
trend factor for 2016 would be 7.8 percent (1 + 0.039) x (1 + 0.038)-1
= 7.8 percent.
States may want to consider that the increase in premiums for QHPs
from 2015 to 2016 may differ from the premium trend factor developed
for the BHP funding methodology for several reasons. In particular,
states may want to consider that the second lowest cost silver plan for
2015 may not be the same as the second lowest cost silver plan in 2016.
This may lead to the premium trend factor being greater than or less
than the actual change in the premium of the second lowest cost silver
plan in 2015 compared to the premium of the second lowest cost silver
plan in 2016.
G. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology
To determine whether the potential difference in health status
between BHP enrollees and consumers in the Marketplace would affect the
PTC, CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance payments that would have
otherwise been made had BHP enrollees been enrolled in coverage on the
Marketplace, we will provide states implementing the BHP the option to
propose and to implement, as part of the certified methodology, a
retrospective adjustment to the federal BHP payments to reflect the
actual value that would be assigned to the population health factor (or
risk adjustment) based on data accumulated during program year 2016 for
each rate cell.
We acknowledge that there is uncertainty with respect to this
factor due to the lack of experience of QHPs on the Marketplace and
other payments related to the Marketplace, which is why, absent a state
election, we will use a value for the population health factor to
determine a prospective payment rate which assumes no difference in the
health status of BHP enrollees and QHP
[[Page 9647]]
enrollees. There is considerable uncertainty regarding whether the BHP
enrollees will pose a greater risk or a lesser risk compared to the QHP
enrollees, how to best measure such risk, and the potential effect such
risk would have had on PTC, CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance
payments that would have otherwise been made had BHP enrollees been
enrolled in coverage on the Marketplace. To the extent, however, that a
state would develop an approved protocol to collect data and
effectively measure the relative risk and the effect on federal
payments, we will permit a retrospective adjustment that would measure
the actual difference in risk between the two populations to be
incorporated into the certified BHP payment methodology and used to
adjust payments in the previous year.
For a state electing the option to implement a retrospective
population health status adjustment, we require that the state submit a
proposed protocol to CMS, which will be subject to approval by CMS and
would be required to be certified by CMS' Chief Actuary, in
consultation with the OTA, as part of the BHP payment methodology. We
described the protocol for the population health status adjustment in
guidance in Considerations for Health Risk Adjustment in the Basic
Health Program in Program Year 2015 (https://www.medicaid.gov/Basic-Health-Program/Downloads/Risk-Adjustment-and-BHP-White-Paper.pdf). We
require a state to submit its proposed protocol by August 1, 2015 for
CMS approval. This submission must include descriptions of how the
state would collect the necessary data to determine the adjustment,
including any contracting contingences that may be in place with
participating standard health plan issuers. We will provide technical
assistance to states as they develop their protocols. In order to
implement the population health status, we must approve the state's
protocol no later than December 31, 2015. Finally, the state will be
required to complete the population health status adjustment at the end
of 2016 based on the approved protocol. After the end of the 2016
program year, and once data is made available, we will review the
state's findings, consistent with the approved protocol, and make any
necessary adjustments to the state's federal BHP payment amount. If we
determine that the federal BHP payments were less than they would have
been using the final adjustment factor, we would apply the difference
to the state's quarterly BHP trust fund deposit. If we determine that
the federal BHP payments were more than they would have been using the
final reconciled factor, we would subtract the difference from the next
quarterly BHP payment to the state.
IV. Collection of Information Requirements
The 2016 funding methodology is unchanged from the 2015 final
methodology that published on March 12, 2014 (79 FR 13887). The 2016
methodology does not impose any new or revised reporting,
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure requirements, and therefore,
does not require additional OMB review under the authority of the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). The
methodology's information collection requirements and burden estimates
are approved by OMB under control number 0938-1218 (CMS-10510).
Consistent with the Basic Health Program's proposed and final rules
(September 25, 2013 at 78 FR 59122 and March 12, 2014 at 79 FR 14112,
respectively) we continue to estimate less than 10 annual respondents
for completing the Blueprint. Consequently, the Blueprint is exempt
from formal OMB review and approval under 5 CFR 1320.3(c).
Finally, this action does not impose any additional reporting,
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure requirements on qualified
health plans or on states operating State Based Marketplaces.
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
We have examined the impacts of this rule as required by Executive
Order 12866 on Regulatory Planning and Review (September 30, 1993),
Executive Order 13563 on Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review
(January 18, 2011), the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA) (September 19,
1980, Pub. L. 96-354), section 1102(b) of the Act, section 202 of the
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4, March 22, 1995)
(UMRA), Executive Order 13132 on Federalism (August 4, 1999) and the
Congressional Review Act (5 U.S.C. 804(2)).
Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 direct agencies to assess all
costs and benefits of available regulatory alternatives and, if
regulation is necessary, to select regulatory approaches that maximize
net benefits (including potential economic, environmental, public
health and safety effects, distributive impacts, and equity). Section
3(f) of Executive Order 12866 defines a ``significant regulatory
action'' as an action that is likely to result in a rule: (1) Having an
annual effect on the economy of $100 million or more in any 1 year, or
adversely and materially affecting a sector of the economy,
productivity, competition, jobs, the environment, public health or
safety, or state, local or tribal governments or communities (also
referred to as ``economically significant''); (2) creating a serious
inconsistency or otherwise interfering with an action taken or planned
by another agency; (3) materially altering the budgetary impacts of
entitlement grants, user fees, or loan programs or the rights and
obligations of recipients thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or policy
issues arising out of legal mandates, the President's priorities, or
the principles set forth in the Executive Order.
A regulatory impact analysis (RIA) must be prepared for major rules
with economically significant effects ($100 million or more in any 1
year). As noted in the BHP final rule, BHP provides states the
flexibility to establish an alternative coverage program for low-income
individuals who would otherwise be eligible to purchase coverage
through the Marketplace. We are uncertain as to whether the effects of
the final rulemaking, and subsequently, this methodology, will be
``economically significant'' as measured by the $100 million threshold,
and hence not a major rule under the Congressional Review Act. The
impact may depend on several factors, including the number of and which
particular states choose to implement or continue BHP in 2016, the
level of QHP premiums in 2015 and 2016, the number of enrollees in BHP,
and the other coverage options for persons who would be eligible for
BHP. In particular, while we generally expect that many enrollees would
have otherwise been enrolled in a QHP through the Marketplace, some
persons may have been eligible for Medicaid under a waiver or a state
health coverage program. For those who would have enrolled in a QHP and
thus would have received PTCs or CSRs, the federal expenditures for BHP
would be expected to be more than offset by a reduction in federal
expenditures for PTCs and CSRs. For those who would have been enrolled
in Medicaid, there would likely be a smaller offset in federal
expenditures (to account for the federal share of Medicaid
expenditures), and for those who would have been covered in non-federal
programs or would have been uninsured, there likely would be an
increase in federal
[[Page 9648]]
expenditures. In accordance with the provisions of Executive Order
12866, this methodology was reviewed by the Office of Management and
Budget.
1. Need for the Methodology
Section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act (codified at 42 U.S.C.
18051) requires the Secretary to establish a BHP, and section (d)(1)
specifically provides that if the Secretary finds that a state ``meets
the requirements of the program established under section (a) [of
section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act], the Secretary shall transfer
to the State'' federal BHP payments described in section (d)(3). This
methodology provides for the funding methodology to determine the
federal BHP payment amounts required to implement these provisions in
program year 2016.
2. Alternative Approaches
Many of the factors in this methodology are specified in statute;
therefore, we are limited in the alternative approaches we could
consider. One area in which we had a choice was in selecting the data
sources used to determine the factors included in the methodology.
Except for state-specific reference premiums and enrollment data, we
are using national rather than state-specific data. This is due to the
lack of currently available state-specific data needed to develop the
majority of the factors included in the methodology. We believe the
national data will produce sufficiently accurate determinations of
payment rates. In addition, we believe that this approach will be less
burdensome on states. To reference premiums and enrollment data, we are
using state-specific data rather than national data as we believe
state-specific data will produce more accurate determinations than
national averages.
In addition, we considered whether or not to provide states the
option to develop a protocol for a retrospective adjustment to the
population health factor in 2016 as we did in the 2015 payment
methodology. We believe that providing this option again in 2016 is
appropriate and likely to improve the accuracy of the final payments.
We also considered whether or not to require the use of 2015 or
2016 QHP premiums to develop the 2016 federal BHP payment rates. We
believe that the payment rates can still be developed accurately using
either the 2015 or 2016 QHP premiums and that it is appropriate to
provide the states the option, given the interests and specific
considerations each state may have in operating the BHP.
3. Transfers
The provisions of this methodology are designed to determine the
amount of funds that will be transferred to states offering coverage
through a BHP rather than to individuals eligible for premium and cost-
sharing reductions for coverage purchased on the Marketplace. We are
uncertain what the total federal BHP payment amounts to states will be
as these amounts will vary from state to state due to the varying
nature of state composition. For example, total federal BHP payment
amounts may be greater in more populous states simply by virtue of the
fact that they have a larger BHP-eligible population and total payment
amounts are based on actual enrollment. Alternatively, total federal
BHP payment amounts may be lower in states with a younger BHP-eligible
population as the reference premium used to calculate the federal BHP
payment will be lower relative to older BHP enrollees. While state
composition will cause total federal BHP payment amounts to vary from
state to state, we believe that the methodology accounts for these
variations to ensure accurate BHP payment transfers are made to each
state.
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Section 202 of the UMRA requires that agencies assess anticipated
costs and benefits before issuing any rule whose mandates require
spending in any 1 year of $100 million in 1995 dollars, updated
annually for inflation, by state, local, or tribal governments, in the
aggregate, or by the private sector. In 2014, that threshold is
approximately $141 million. States have the option, but are not
required, to establish a BHP. Further, the methodology would establish
federal payment rates without requiring states to provide the Secretary
with any data not already required by other provisions of the
Affordable Care Act or its implementing regulations. Thus, this payment
methodology does not mandate expenditures by state governments, local
governments, or tribal governments.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.) (RFA)
requires agencies to prepare an initial regulatory flexibility analysis
to describe the impact of the proposed rule on small entities, unless
the head of the agency can certify that the rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities.
The Act generally defines a ``small entity'' as (1) a proprietary firm
meeting the size standards of the Small Business Administration (SBA);
(2) a not-for-profit organization that is not dominant in its field; or
(3) a small government jurisdiction with a population of less than
50,000. Individuals and states are not included in the definition of a
small entity. Few of the entities that meet the definition of a small
entity as that term is used in the RFA would be impacted directly by
this methodology.
Because this methodology is focused on the funding methodology that
will be used to determine federal BHP payment rates, it does not
contain provisions that would have a significant direct impact on
hospitals, and other health care providers that are designated as small
entities under the RFA. We cannot determine whether this methodology
would have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of
small entities.
Section 1102(b) of the Act requires us to prepare a regulatory
impact analysis if a may have a significant economic impact on the
operations of a substantial number of small rural hospitals. For
purposes of section 1102(b) of the Act, we define a small rural
hospital as a hospital that is located outside of a metropolitan
statistical area and has fewer than 100 beds. As indicated in the
preceding discussion, there may be indirect positive effects from
reductions in uncompensated care. Again, we cannot determine whether
this methodology would have a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small rural hospitals, and we request public
comment on this issue.
D. Federalism
Executive Order 13132 establishes certain requirements that an
agency must meet when it promulgates a proposed rule (and subsequent
final rule) that imposes substantial direct effects on states, preempts
state law, or otherwise has federalism implications. The BHP is
entirely optional for states, and if implemented in a state, provides
access to a pool of funding that would not otherwise be available to
the state.
Dated: February 4, 2015.
Marilyn Tavenner,
Administrator, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.
Dated: February 13, 2015.
Sylvia M. Burwell,
Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services.
[FR Doc. 2015-03662 Filed 2-19-15; 11:15 am]
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