Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program Year 2016, 63363-63376 [2014-25257]
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Federal Register / Vol. 79, No. 205 / Thursday, October 23, 2014 / Proposed Rules
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[FR Doc. 2014–25278 Filed 10–22–14; 8:45 am]
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DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND
HUMAN SERVICES
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services
42 CFR Part 600
[CMS–2391–PN]
RIN 0938–ZB18
Basic Health Program; Federal
Funding Methodology for Program
Year 2016
Centers for Medicare &
Medicaid Services (CMS), HHS.
ACTION: Proposed methodology.
AGENCY:
This document provides the
methodology and data sources necessary
to determine federal payment amounts
made in program year 2016 to states that
elect to establish a Basic Health Program
under the Affordable Care Act to offer
health benefits coverage to low-income
individuals otherwise eligible to
purchase coverage through Affordable
Insurance Exchanges.
DATES: To be assured consideration,
comments must be received at one of
the addresses provided below, no later
than 5 p.m. on November 24, 2014.
ADDRESSES: In commenting, refer to file
code CMS–2391–PN. Because of staff
and resource limitations, we cannot
accept comments by facsimile (FAX)
transmission.
You may submit comments in one of
four ways (please choose only one of the
ways listed):
1. Electronically. You may submit
electronic comments on this regulation
to https://www.regulations.gov. Follow
the ‘‘Submit a comment’’ instructions.
2. By regular mail. You may mail
written comments to the following
address ONLY:
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, Attention: CMS–2391–
PN, P.O. Box 8016, Baltimore, MD
21244–8016.
Please allow sufficient time for mailed
comments to be received before the
close of the comment period.
3. By express or overnight mail. You
may send written comments to the
following address ONLY:
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, Attention: CMS–2391–
PN, Mail Stop C4–26–05, 7500 Security
Boulevard, Baltimore, MD 21244–1850.
4. By hand or courier. Alternatively,
you may deliver (by hand or courier)
your written ONLY to the following
addresses:
a. For delivery in Washington, DC—
SUMMARY:
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Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, Room 445–G, Hubert
H. Humphrey Building, 200
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Boulevard, Baltimore, MD 21244–1850.
If you intend to deliver your
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telephone number (410) 786–7195 in
advance to schedule your arrival with
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and received after the comment period.
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submit comments on this document’s
paperwork requirements by following
the instructions at the end of the
‘‘Collection of Information
Requirements’’ section in this
document.
For information on viewing public
comments, see the beginning of the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Christopher Truffer, (410) 786–1264;
Stephanie Kaminsky, (410) 786–4653.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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comments received before the close of
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Table of Contents
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I. Background
II. Provisions of the Proposed Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding Methodology
and Calculation of the Federal Payment
Amount
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
C. Sources and State Data Considerations
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in
Payment Equations
E. Adjustments for American Indians and
Alaska Natives
F. State Option to Use 2015 QHP Premiums
for BHP Payments
G. State Option to Include Retrospective
State-Specific Health Risk Adjustment in
Certified Methodology
H. Example Application of the BHP
Funding Methodology
III. Collection of Information
IV. Response to Comments
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
D. Federalism
I. Background
The Patient Protection and Affordable
Care Act (Pub. L. 111–148, enacted on
March 23, 2010), together with the
Health Care and Education
Reconciliation Act of 2010 (Pub. L. 111–
152, enacted on March 30, 2010)
(collectively referred as the Affordable
Care Act) provides for the establishment
of Affordable Insurance Exchanges
(Exchanges, also called the Health
Insurance Marketplace) that provide
access to affordable health insurance
coverage offered by qualified health
plans (QHPs) for most individuals who
are not eligible for health coverage
under other federally supported health
benefits programs or through affordable
employer-sponsored insurance
coverage, and who have incomes above
100 percent but no more than 400
percent of the federal poverty line (FPL),
or whose income is below that level but
are lawfully present non-citizens
ineligible for Medicaid because of
immigration status. Individuals enrolled
through Exchanges in coverage offered
by QHPs may qualify for the federal
premium tax credit (PTC) or federallyfunded cost-sharing reductions (CSRs)
based on their household income, to
make coverage affordable.
In the states that elect to operate a
Basic Health Program (BHP), BHP will
make affordable health benefits coverage
available for individuals under age 65
with household incomes between 133
percent and 200 percent of the FPL who
are not otherwise eligible for Medicaid,
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the Children’s Health Insurance
Program (CHIP), or affordable employersponsored coverage. (For those states
that have expanded Medicaid coverage
under section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i)(VIII) of
the Act, the lower income threshold for
BHP eligibility is effectively 138 percent
due to the application of a required 5
percent income disregard in
determining the upper limits of
Medicaid income eligibility (section
1902(e)(14)(I) of the Social Security
Act).) Federal funding will be available
for BHP based on the amount of PTC
and CSRs that BHP enrollees would
have received had they been enrolled in
QHPs through Exchanges.
In the March 12, 2014 Federal
Register (79 FR 14112), we published a
final rule entitled the ‘‘Basic Health
Program: State Administration of Basic
Health Programs; Eligibility and
Enrollment in Standard Health Plans;
Essential Health Benefits in Standard
Health Plans; Performance Standards for
Basic Health Programs; Premium and
Cost Sharing for Basic Health Programs;
Federal Funding Process; Trust Fund
and Financial Integrity’’ (hereinafter
referred to as the BHP final rule)
implementing section 1331 of the
Affordable Care Act), which directs the
establishment of BHP. The BHP final
rule establishes the standards for state
and federal administration of BHP,
including provisions regarding
eligibility and enrollment, benefits, costsharing requirements and oversight
activities. While the BHP final rule
codifies the overall statutory
requirements and basic procedural
framework for the funding methodology,
it does not contain the specific
information necessary to determine
federal payments. We anticipated that
the methodology would be based on
data and assumptions that would reflect
ongoing operations and experience of
BHP programs as well as the operation
of the Exchanges. For this reason, the
BHP final rule indicated that the
development and publication of the
funding methodology, including any
data sources, would be addressed in a
separate annual BHP Payment Notice.
In the BHP final rule, we specified
that the BHP Payment Notice process
would include the annual publication of
both a proposed and final BHP Payment
Notice. The proposed BHP Payment
Notice would be published in the
Federal Register each October, and
would describe the proposed
methodology for the upcoming BHP
program year, including how the
Secretary considered the factors
specified in section 1331(d)(3) of the
Affordable Care Act, along with the
proposed data sources used to
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determine the federal BHP payment
rates. The final BHP Payment Notice
would be published in the Federal
Register in February, and would include
the final BHP funding methodology, as
well as the federal BHP payment rates
for the next BHP program year. For
example, payment rates published in
February 2015 would apply to BHP
program year 2016, beginning in January
2016. As discussed in section II.C of this
proposed methodology, state data
needed to calculate the federal BHP
payment rates for the final BHP
Payment Notice must be submitted to
CMS.
As described in the BHP final rule,
once the final methodology has been
published, we will only make
modifications to the BHP funding
methodology on a prospective basis
with limited exceptions. The BHP final
rule provided that retrospective
adjustments to the state’s BHP payment
amount may occur to the extent that the
prevailing BHP funding methodology
for a given program year permits
adjustments to a state’s federal BHP
payment amount due to insufficient
data for prospective determination of
the relevant factors specified in the
payment notice. Additional adjustments
could be made to the payment rates to
correct errors in applying the
methodology (such as mathematical
errors).
Under section 1331(d)(3)(ii) of the
Affordable Care Act, the funding
methodology and payment rates are
expressed as an amount per BHP
enrollee for each month of enrollment.
These payment rates may vary based on
categories or classes of enrollees. Actual
payment to a state would depend on the
actual enrollment in coverage through
the state BHP. A state that is approved
to implement BHP must provide data
showing quarterly enrollment in the
various federal BHP payment rate cells.
The data submission requirements
associated with this will be published
subsequent to the proposed
methodology.
In the March 12, 2014 Federal
Register (79 FR 13887), we published
the final payment methodology entitled
‘‘Basic Health Program; Federal Funding
Methodology for Program Year 2015’’
(hereinafter referred to as the 2015
payment methodology) that sets forth
the methodology that will be used to
calculate the federal BHP payments for
the 2015 program year.
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A. Overview of the Funding
Methodology and Calculation of the
Payment Amount
Section 1331(d)(3) of the Affordable
Care Act directs the Secretary to
consider several factors when
determining the federal BHP payment
amount, which, as specified in the
statute, must equal 95 percent of the
value of the PTC and CSRs that BHP
enrollees would have been provided
had they enrolled in a QHP through an
Exchange. Thus, the proposed BHP
funding methodology is designed to
calculate the PTC and CSRs as
consistently as possible and in general
alignment with the methodology used
by Exchanges to calculate the advance
payments of the PTC and CSRs, and by
the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to
calculate final PTCs. In general, we
propose to rely on values for factors in
the payment methodology specified in
statute or other regulations as available,
and we propose to develop values for
other factors not otherwise specified in
statute, or previously calculated in other
regulations, to simulate the values of the
PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would
have received if they had enrolled in
QHPs offered through an Exchange. In
accordance with section
1331(d)(3)(A)(iii) of the Affordable Care
Act, the final funding methodology
must be certified by the Chief Actuary
of CMS, in consultation with the Office
of Tax Analysis of the Department of the
Treasury, as having met the
requirements of section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii)
of the Affordable Care Act.
Section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the
Affordable Care Act specifies that the
payment determination ‘‘shall take into
account all relevant factors necessary to
determine the value of the premium tax
credits and cost-sharing reductions that
would have been provided to eligible
individuals . . . including the age and
income of the enrollee, whether the
enrollment is for self-only or family
coverage, geographic differences in
average spending for health care across
rating areas, the health status of the
enrollee for purposes of determining
risk adjustment payments and
reinsurance payments that would have
been made if the enrollee had enrolled
in a qualified health plan through an
Exchange, and whether any
reconciliation of the credit or costsharing reductions would have occurred
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if the enrollee had been so enrolled.’’
The proposed payment methodology
takes each of these factors into account.
We propose a methodology that is the
same as the 2015 payment methodology,
with updated values but no changes in
methods.
We propose that the total federal BHP
payment amount would be based on
multiple ‘‘rate cells’’ in each state. Each
‘‘rate cell’’ would represent a unique
combination of age range, geographic
area, coverage category (for example,
self-only or two-adult coverage through
BHP), household size, and income range
as a percentage of FPL. Thus, there
would be distinct rate cells for
individuals in each coverage category
within a particular age range who reside
in a specific geographic area and are in
households of the same size and income
range. We note that we would develop
BHP payment rates that would be
consistent with those states’ rules on age
rating. Thus, in the case of a state that
does not use age as a rating factor on the
Exchange, the BHP payment rates would
not vary by age.
The proposed rate for each rate cell
would be calculated in two parts. The
first part (as described in Equation (1)
below) would equal 95 percent of the
estimated PTC that would have been
paid if a BHP enrollee in that rate cell
had instead enrolled in a QHP in the
Exchange. The second part (as described
in Equation (2) below) would equal 95
percent of the estimated CSR payment
that would have been made if a BHP
enrollee in that rate cell had instead
enrolled in a QHP in the Exchange.
These 2 parts would be added together
and the total rate for that rate cell would
be equal to the sum of the PTC and CSR
rates.
We propose that Equation (1) below
would be used to calculate the
estimated PTC for individuals in each
rate cell and Equation (2) below would
be used to calculate the estimated CSR
payments for individuals in each rate
cell. By applying the equations
separately to rate cells based on age,
income and other factors, we would
effectively take those factors into
account in the calculation. In addition,
the equations would reflect the
estimated experience of individuals in
each rate cell if enrolled in coverage
through the Exchange, taking into
account additional relevant variables.
Each of the variables in the equations is
defined below, and further detail is
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provided later in this section of the
payment notice.
In addition, we describe how we
propose to calculate the adjusted
reference premium (described later in
this section of the payment notice) that
is used in Equations (1) and (2). This is
defined below in Equation (3a) and
Equation (3b).
1. Equation 1: Estimated PTC by Rate
Cell
We propose that the estimated PTC,
on a per enrollee basis, would be
calculated for each rate cell for each
state based on age range, geographic
area, coverage category, household size,
and income range. The PTC portion of
the rate would be calculated in a
manner consistent with the
methodology used to calculate the PTC
for persons enrolled in a QHP, with 3
adjustments. First, the PTC portion of
the rate for each rate cell would
represent the mean, or average, expected
PTC that all persons in the rate cell
would receive, rather than being
calculated for each individual enrollee.
Second, the reference premium used to
calculate the PTC (described in more
detail later in the section) would be
adjusted for BHP population health
status, and in the case of a state that
elects to use 2015 premiums for the
basis of the BHP federal payment, for
the projected change in the premium
from the 2015 to 2016, to which the
rates announced in the final payment
methodology would apply. These
adjustments are described in Equation
(3a) and Equation (3b) below. Third, the
PTC would be adjusted prospectively to
reflect the mean, or average, net
expected impact of income
reconciliation on the combination of all
persons enrolled in BHP; this
adjustment, as described in section
II.D.5. of this proposed methodology,
would account for the impact on the
PTC that would have occurred had such
reconciliation been performed. Finally,
the rate is multiplied by 95 percent,
consistent with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i)
of the Affordable Care Act. We note that
in the situation where the average
income contribution of an enrollee
would exceed the adjusted reference
premium, we would calculate the PTC
to be equal to 0 and would not allow the
value of the PTC to be negative.
We propose using Equation (1) to
calculate the PTC rate, consistent with
the methodology described above:
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II. Provisions of the Proposed
Methodology
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Federal Register / Vol. 79, No. 205 / Thursday, October 23, 2014 / Proposed Rules
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of
BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
Ih,i,j = Income (in dollars per month) at each
1 percentage-point increment of FPL
j = jth percentage-point increment FPL
n = Number of income increments used to
calculate the mean PTC
PTCFh,i,j = Premium Tax Credit Formula
percentage
IRF = Income reconciliation factor
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy
portion of BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
TRAF = Tobacco rating adjustment factor
FRAC = Factor removing administrative costs
AV = Actuarial value of plan (as percentage
of allowed benefits covered by the
applicable QHP without a cost-sharing
reduction subsidy)
IUFh,i = Induced utilization factor
DAVh,i = Change in actuarial value (as
percentage of allowed benefits)
3. Equation 3a and Equation 3b:
Adjusted Reference Premium Variable
(Used in Equations 1 and 2)
As part of these calculations for both
the PTC and CSR components, we
propose to calculate the value of the
adjusted reference premium as
described below. Consistent with the
approach last year, we are proposing to
allow states to choose between using the
actual 2016 QHP premiums or the 2015
QHP premiums multiplied by the
premium trend factor (as described in
section II.F). Therefore, we are
proposing how we would calculate the
adjusted reference premium under each
option.
In the case of a state that elected to
use the reference premium based on the
2016 premiums, we propose to calculate
the value of the adjusted reference
premium as specified in Equation (3a).
The adjusted reference premium would
be equal to the reference premium,
which would be based on the second
lowest cost silver plan premium in
2016, multiplied by the BHP population
health factor (described in section II.D
of this proposed methodology), which
would reflect the projected impact that
enrolling BHP-eligible individuals in
QHPs on an Exchange would have had
on the average QHP premium.
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
II.F of this proposed methodology), we
propose to calculate the value of the
adjusted reference premium as specified
in Equation (3b). The adjusted reference
premium would be equal to the
reference premium, which would be
based on the second lowest cost silver
plan premium in 2015, multiplied by
the BHP population health factor
(described in section II.D of this
proposed methodology), which would
reflect the projected impact that
enrolling BHP-eligible individuals in
QHPs on an Exchange would have had
on the average QHP premium, and by
the premium trend factor, which would
reflect the projected change in the
premium level between 2015 and 2016
(including the estimated impact of
changes resulting from the transitional
reinsurance program established in
section 1341 of the Affordable Care Act).
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2. Equation 2: Estimated CSR Payment
by Rate Cell
In the case of a state that elected to
use the reference premium based on the
2015 premiums (as described in section
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enrollee. Second, this calculation would
be based on the adjusted reference
premium, as described in section II.A.3.
of this proposed methodology. Third,
this equation uses an adjusted reference
premium that reflects premiums
charged to non-tobacco users, rather
than the actual premium that is charged
to tobacco users to calculate CSR
advance payments for tobacco users
enrolled in a QHP. Accordingly, we
propose that the equation include a
tobacco rating adjustment factor that
would account for BHP enrollees’
estimated tobacco-related health costs
that are outside the premium charged to
non-tobacco-users. Finally, the rate
would be multiplied by 95 percent, as
provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of
the Affordable Care Act.
We propose using Equation (2) to
calculate the CSR rate, consistent with
the methodology described above:
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We propose that the CSR portion of
the rate would be calculated for each
rate cell for each state based on age
range, geographic area, coverage
category, household size, and income
range defined as a percentage of FPL.
The CSR portion of the rate would be
calculated in a manner consistent with
the methodology used to calculate the
CSR advance payments for persons
enrolled in a QHP, as described in the
final rule we published in the Federal
Register on March 11, 2014 entitled
‘‘HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment
Parameters for 2015’’ final rule (79 FR
13744), with 3 principal adjustments.
(We further propose a separate
calculation that includes different
adjustments for American Indian/Alaska
Native BHP enrollees, as described in
section II.D.1 of this proposed
methodology.) For the first adjustment,
the CSR rate, like the PTC rate, would
represent the mean expected CSR
subsidy that would be paid on behalf of
all persons in the rate cell, rather than
being calculated for each individual
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widest variations in premiums under
HHS’s Default Age Curve: 1
• Ages 0–20.
• Ages 21–34.
• Ages 35–44.
• Ages 45–54.
• Ages 55–64.
Factor 2—Geographic area: For each
state, we propose separating enrollees
into rate cells by geographic areas
within which a single reference
premium is charged by QHPs offered
through the state’s Exchange. Multiple,
non-contiguous geographic areas would
be incorporated within a single cell, so
long as those areas share a common
reference premium.2
Factor 3—Coverage status: We
propose separating enrollees into rate
cells by coverage status, reflecting
whether an individual is enrolled in
self-only coverage or persons are
enrolled in family coverage through
BHP, as provided in section
1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care
Act. Among recipients of family
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
We propose that a state implementing
BHP provide us an estimate of the
number of BHP enrollees it projects will
enroll in the upcoming BHP program
year, by applicable rate cell, prior to the
first quarter of program operations.
Upon our approval of such estimates as
reasonable, they would be used to
calculate the prospective payment for
the first and subsequent quarters of
program operation until the state has
provided us actual enrollment data.
These data would be required to
calculate the final BHP payment
amount, and make any necessary
reconciliation adjustments to the prior
quarters’ prospective payment amounts
due to differences between projected
and actual enrollment. Subsequent,
quarterly deposits to the state’s trust
fund would be based on the most recent
actual enrollment data submitted to us.
Procedures will ensure that federal
payments to a state reflect actual BHP
enrollment during a year, within each
applicable category, and prospectively
determined federal payment rates for
each category of BHP enrollment, with
such categories defined in terms of age
range, geographic area, coverage status,
household size, and income range, as
explained above.
We propose requiring the use of
certain rate cells as part of the proposed
methodology. For each state, we
propose using rate cells that separate the
BHP population into separate cells
based on the five factors described
below.
Factor 1—Age: We propose separating
enrollees into rate cells by age, using the
following age ranges that capture the
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4. Equation 4: Determination of Total
Monthly Payment for BHP Enrollees in
Each Rate Cell
In general, the rate for each rate cell
would be multiplied by the number of
1 This curve is used to implement the Affordable
Care Act’s 3:1 limit on age-rating in states that do
not create an alternative rate structure to comply
with that limit. The curve applies to all individual
market plans, both within and outside the
Exchange. The age bands capture the principal
allowed age-based variations in premiums as
permitted by this curve. More information can be
found at https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/
Files/Downloads/market-reforms-guidance-2-252013.pdf. Both children and adults under age 21 are
charged the same premium. For adults age 21–64,
the age bands in this methodology divide the total
age-based premium variation into the three most
equally-sized ranges (defining size by the ratio
between the highest and lowest premiums within
the band) that are consistent with the age-bands
used for risk-adjustment purposes in the HHSDeveloped Risk Adjustment Model. For such age
bands, see Table 5, ‘‘Age-Sex Variables,’’ in HHSDeveloped Risk Adjustment Model Algorithm
Software, June 2, 2014, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/
Resources/Regulations-and-Guidance/Downloads/
ra-tables-03-27-2014.xlsx.
2 For example, a cell within a particular state
might refer to ‘‘County Group 1,’’ ‘‘County Group
2,’’ etc., and a table for the state would list all the
counties included in each such group. These
geographic areas are consistent with the geographic
areas established under the 2014 Market Reform
Rules. They also reflect the service area
requirements applicable to qualified health plans,
as described in 45 CFR 155.1055, except that
service areas smaller than counties are addressed as
explained below.
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BHP enrollees in that cell (that is, the
number of enrollees that meet the
criteria for each rate cell) to calculate
the total monthly BHP payment. This
calculation is shown in Equation 4
below.
coverage through BHP, separate rate
cells, as explained below, would apply
based on whether such coverage
involves two adults alone or whether it
involves children.
Factor 4—Household size: We
propose separating enrollees into rate
cells by household size that states use
to determine BHP enrollees’ income as
a percentage of the FPL under proposed
42 CFR 600.320. We are proposing to
require separate rate cells for several
specific household sizes. For each
additional member above the largest
specified size, we propose to publish
instructions for how we would develop
additional rate cells and calculate an
appropriate payment rate based on data
for the rate cell with the closest
specified household size. We propose to
publish separate rate cells for household
sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5, as unpublished
analyses of American Community
Survey data conducted by the Urban
Institute, which take into account
unaccepted offers of employersponsored insurance as well as income,
Medicaid and CHIP eligibility,
citizenship and immigration status, and
current health coverage status, find that
less than 1 percent of all BHP-eligible
persons live in households of size 5 or
greater.
Factor 5—Income: For households of
each applicable size, we propose
creating separate rate cells by income
range, as a percentage of FPL. The PTC
that a person would receive if enrolled
in a QHP varies by income, both in level
and as a ratio to the FPL, and the CSR
varies by income as a percentage of FPL.
Thus, we propose that separate rate cells
would be used to calculate federal BHP
payment rates to reflect different bands
of income measured as a percentage of
FPL. We propose using the following
income ranges, measured as a ratio to
the FPL:
• 0 to 50 percent of the FPL.
• 51 to 100 percent of the FPL.
• 101 to 138 percent of the FPL.3
3 The three lowest income ranges would be
limited to lawfully present immigrants who are
ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration
status.
E:\FR\FM\23OCP1.SGM
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EP23OC14.007
PTF = Premium trend factor
PMT = Total monthly BHP payment
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of
BHP payment rate
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy
portion of BHP payment rate
Ea,g,c,h,i = Number of BHP enrollees
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
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ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable
category of family coverage) obtained
through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
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• 139 to 150 percent of the FPL.
• 151 to 175 percent of the FPL.
• 176 to 200 percent of the FPL.
These rate cells would only be used
to calculate the federal BHP payment
amount. A state implementing BHP
would not be required to use these rate
cells or any of the factors in these rate
cells as part of the state payment to the
standard health plans participating in
BHP or to help define BHP enrollees’
covered benefits, premium costs, or outof-pocket cost-sharing levels.
We propose using averages to define
federal payment rates, both for income
ranges and age ranges, rather than
varying such rates to correspond to each
individual BHP enrollee’s age and
income level. We believe that the
proposed approach will increase the
administrative feasibility of making
federal BHP payments and reduce the
likelihood of inadvertently erroneous
payments resulting from highly complex
methodologies. We believe that this
approach should not significantly
change federal payment amounts, since
within applicable ranges, the BHPeligible population is distributed
relatively evenly.
C. Sources and State Data
Considerations
To the extent possible, we intend to
use data submitted to the federal
government by QHP issuers seeking to
offer coverage through an Exchange to
perform the calculations that determine
federal BHP payment cell rates.
States operating a State Based
Exchange in the individual market,
however, must provide certain data,
including premiums for second lowest
cost silver plans, by geographic area, in
order for CMS to calculate the federal
BHP payment rates in those states. We
propose that a State Based Exchange
interested in obtaining the applicable
federal BHP payment rates for its state
must submit such data accurately,
completely, and as specified by CMS, by
no later than October 15, 2015, in order
for CMS to calculate the applicable rates
for 2016. If additional state data (that is,
in addition to the second lowest cost
silver plan premium data) are needed to
determine the federal BHP payment
rate, such data must be submitted in a
timely manner, and in a format
specified by CMS to support the
development and timely release of
annual BHP payment notices. The
specifications for data collection to
support the development of BHP
payment rates for 2016 were published
in CMS guidance and are available at
https://www.medicaid.gov/FederalPolicy-Guidance/Federal-PolicyGuidance.html.
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If a state operating a State Based
Exchange provides the necessary data
accurately, completely, and as specified
by CMS, but after the date specified
above, we anticipate publishing federal
payment rates for such a state in a
subsequent Payment Notice. As noted in
the BHP final rule, a state may elect to
implement its BHP after a program year
has begun. In such an instance, we
propose that the state, if operating a
State Based Exchange, submit its data
no later than 30 days after the Blueprint
submission for CMS to calculate the
applicable federal payment rates. We
further propose that the BHP Blueprint
itself must be submitted for Secretarial
certification with an effective date of no
sooner than 120 days after submission
of the BHP Blueprint. In addition, the
state must ensure that its Blueprint
includes a detailed description of how
the state will coordinate with other
insurance affordability programs to
transition and transfer BHP-eligible
individuals out of their existing QHP
coverage, consistent with the
requirements set forth in 42 CFR
600.330 and 600.425. We believe that
this 120-day period is necessary to
establish the requisite administrative
structures and ensure that all statutory
and regulatory requirements are
satisfied.
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used
in Payment Equations
1. Reference Premium (RP)
To calculate the estimated PTC that
would be paid if individuals enrolled in
QHPs through the Exchange, we must
calculate a reference premium (RP)
because the PTC is based, in part, on the
premiums for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan as explained in
section II.C.4 of this proposed
methodology, regarding the Premium
Tax Credit Formula (PTCF).
Accordingly, for the purposes of
calculating the BHP payment rates, the
reference premium, in accordance with
26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(C), is defined as the
adjusted monthly premium for an
applicable second lowest cost silver
plan. The applicable second lowest cost
silver plan is defined in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(B) as the second lowest cost
silver plan of the individual market in
the rating area in which the taxpayer
resides, which is offered through the
same Exchange. We propose to use the
adjusted monthly premium for an
applicable second lowest cost silver
plan in 2016 as the reference premium
(except in the case of a state that elects
to use the 2015 premium as the basis for
the federal BHP payment, as described
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in section II.F of this proposed
methodology).
The reference premium would be the
premium applicable to non-tobacco
users. This is consistent with the
provision in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(C) that
bases the PTC on premiums that are
adjusted for age alone, without regard to
tobacco use, even for states that allow
insurers to vary premiums based on
tobacco use pursuant to 42 U.S.C.
300gg(a)(1)(A)(iv).
Consistent with the policy set forth in
26 CFR 1.36B–3(f)(6) to calculate the
PTC for those enrolled in a QHP through
an Exchange, we propose not to update
the payment methodology, and
subsequently the federal BHP payment
rates, in the event that the second
lowest cost silver plan used as the
reference premium, or the lowest cost
silver plan, changes (that is, terminates
or closes enrollment during the year).
The applicable second lowest cost
silver plan premium will be included in
the BHP payment methodology by age
range, geographic area, and self-only or
applicable category of family coverage
obtained through BHP.
American Indians and Alaska Natives
in households with incomes below 300
percent of the FPL are eligible for a full
cost sharing subsidy regardless of the
plan they select (as described in
sections 1402(d) and 2901(a) of the
Affordable Care Act). We assume that
American Indians and Alaska Natives
would be more likely to enroll in bronze
plans as a result; thus, for American
Indian/Alaska Native BHP enrollees, we
propose to use the lowest cost bronze
plan as the basis for the reference
premium for the purposes of calculating
the CSR portion of the federal BHP
payment as described further in section
II.E of this proposed methodology.
We would note that the choice of the
second lowest cost silver plan for
calculating BHP payments would rely
on several simplifying assumptions in
its selection. For the purposes of
determining the second lowest cost
silver plan for calculating PTC for a
person enrolled in a QHP through an
Exchange, the applicable plan may
differ for various reasons. For example,
a different second lowest cost silver
plan may apply to a family consisting of
two adults, their child, and their niece
than to a family with 2 adults and their
children, because 1 or more QHPs in the
family’s geographic area might not offer
family coverage that includes the niece.
We believe that it would not be possible
to replicate such variations for
calculating the BHP payment and
believe that in aggregate they would not
result in a significant difference in the
payment. Thus, we propose to use the
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second lowest cost silver plan available
to any enrollee for a given age,
geographic area, and coverage category.
This choice of reference premium
relies on 2 assumptions about
enrollment in the Exchanges. First, we
assume that all persons enrolled in BHP
would have elected to enroll in a silver
level plan if they had instead enrolled
in a QHP through the Exchanges. It is
possible that some persons would have
chosen not to enroll at all or would have
chosen to enroll in a different metallevel plan (in particular, a bronze level
plan with a premium that is less than
the PTC for which the person was
eligible). We do not believe it is
appropriate to adjust the payment for an
assumption that some BHP enrollees
would not have enrolled in QHPs for
purposes of calculating the BHP
payment rates, since Affordable Care
Act section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) requires the
calculation of such rates as ‘‘if the
enrollee had enrolled in a qualified
health plan through an Exchange.’’
Second, we assume that, among all
available silver plans, all persons
enrolled in BHP would have selected
the second-lowest cost plan. Both this
and the prior assumption allow an
administratively feasible determination
of federal payment levels. They also
have some implications for the CSR
portion of the rate. If persons were to
enroll in a bronze level plan through the
Exchange, they would not be eligible for
CSRs, unless they were an eligible
American Indian or Alaska Native; thus,
assuming that all persons enroll in a
silver level plan, rather than a plan with
a different metal level, would increase
the BHP payment. Assuming that all
persons enroll in the second lowest cost
silver plan for the purposes of
calculating the CSR portion of the rate
may result in a different level of CSR
payments than would have been paid if
the persons were enrolled in different
silver level plans on the Exchanges
(with either lower or higher premiums).
We believe it would not be reasonable
at this point to estimate how BHP
enrollees would have enrolled in
different silver level QHPs, and thus
propose to use the second lowest cost
silver plan as the basis for the reference
premium and calculating the CSR
portion of the rate. For American
Indian/Alaska Native BHP enrollees, we
propose to use the lowest cost bronze
plan as the basis for the reference
premium as described further in section
II.E. of this proposed methodology.
The applicable age bracket will be one
dimension of each rate cell. We propose
to assume a uniform distribution of ages
and estimate the average premium
amount within each rate cell. We
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believe that assuming a uniform
distribution of ages within these ranges
is a reasonable approach and would
produce a reliable determination of the
PTC and CSR components. We also
believe this approach would avoid
potential inaccuracies that could
otherwise occur in relatively small
payment cells if age distribution were
measured by the number of persons
eligible or enrolled.
We propose to use geographic areas
based on the rating areas used in the
Exchanges. We propose to define each
geographic area so that the reference
premium is the same throughout the
geographic area. When the reference
premium varies within a rating area, we
propose defining geographic areas as
aggregations of counties with the same
reference premium. Although plans are
allowed to serve geographic areas
smaller than counties after obtaining our
approval, we propose that no geographic
area, for purposes of defining BHP
payment rate cells, will be smaller than
a county. We do not believe that this
assumption will have a significant
impact on federal payment levels and it
would likely simplify both the
calculation of BHP payment rates and
the operation of BHP.
Finally, in terms of the coverage
category, we propose that federal
payment rates only recognize self-only
and two-adult coverage, with exceptions
that account for children who are
potentially eligible for BHP. First, in
states that set the upper income
threshold for children’s Medicaid and
CHIP eligibility below 200 percent of
FPL (based on modified adjusted gross
income), children in households with
incomes between that threshold and 200
percent of FPL would be potentially
eligible for BHP. Currently, the only
states in this category are Arizona,
Idaho, and North Dakota.4 Second, BHP
would include lawfully present
immigrant children with incomes at or
below 200 percent of FPL in states that
have not exercised the option under the
sections 1903(v)(4)(A)(ii) and
2107(e)(1)(E) of the Social Security Act
(the Act) to qualify all otherwise
eligible, lawfully present immigrant
children for Medicaid and CHIP. States
that fall within these exceptions would
be identified based on their Medicaid
and CHIP State Plans, and the rate cells
would include appropriate categories of
BHP family coverage for children. For
example, Idaho’s Medicaid and CHIP
eligibility is limited to families with
MAGI at or below 185 percent FPL. If
Idaho implemented BHP, Idaho children
4 CMCS. ‘‘State Medicaid and CHIP Income
Eligibility Standards Effective January 1, 2014.’’
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63369
with incomes between 185 and 200
percent could qualify. In other states,
BHP eligibility will generally be
restricted to adults, since children who
are citizens or lawfully present
immigrants and who live in households
with incomes at or below 200 percent of
FPL will qualify for Medicaid or CHIP
and thus be ineligible for BHP under
section 1331(e)(1)(C) of the Affordable
Care Act, which limits BHP to
individuals who are ineligible for
minimum essential coverage (as defined
in section 5000A(f) of the Internal
Revenue Code of 1986).
2. Population Health Factor (PHF)
We propose that the population
health factor be included in the
methodology to account for the
potential differences in the average
health status between BHP enrollees
and persons enrolled in the
marketplace. To the extent that BHP
enrollees would have been enrolled in
the marketplace in the absence of BHP
in a state, the inclusion of those BHP
enrollees in the marketplace may affect
the average health status of the overall
population and the expected QHP
premiums.
We currently do not believe that there
is evidence that the BHP population
would have better or poorer health
status than the marketplace population.
At this time, there is a lack of
experience available in the marketplace
that limits the ability to analyze the
health differences between these groups
of enrollees. In addition, differences in
population health may vary across
states. Thus, at this time, we believe that
it is not feasible to develop a
methodology to make a prospective
adjustment to the population health
factor that is reliably accurate.
Given these analytic challenges and
the limited data about Exchange
coverage and the characteristics of BHPeligible consumers that will be available
by the time we establish federal
payment rates for 2016, we believe that
the most appropriate adjustment for
2016 would be 1.00. In the 2015
payment methodology, we included an
option for states to include a
retrospective population health status
adjustment. Similarly, we propose for
the 2016 payment methodology to
provide states with the same option, as
described further in section II.G of this
proposed methodology, to include a
retrospective population health status
adjustment in the certified
methodology, which is subject to CMS
review and approval. Regardless of
whether a state elects to include a
retrospective population health status
adjustment, we anticipate that, in future
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years, when additional data become
available about Exchange coverage and
the characteristics of BHP enrollees, we
may estimate this factor differently.
While the statute requires
consideration of risk adjustment
payments and reinsurance payments
insofar as they would have affected the
PTC and CSRs that would have been
provided to BHP-eligible individuals
had they enrolled in QHPs, we are not
proposing to require that a BHP
program’s standard health plans receive
such payments. As explained in the
BHP final rule, BHP standard health
plans are not included in the risk
adjustment program operated by HHS
on behalf of states. Further, standard
health plans do not qualify for payments
from the transitional reinsurance
program established under section 1341
of the Affordable Care Act.5 To the
extent that a state operating a BHP
determines that, because of the
distinctive risk profile of BHP-eligible
consumers, BHP standard health plans
should be included in mechanisms that
share risk with other plans in the state’s
individual market, the state would need
to use other methods for achieving this
goal.
3. Income (I)
Household income is a significant
determinant of the amount of the PTC
and CSRs that are provided for persons
enrolled in a QHP through the
Exchange. Accordingly, the proposed
BHP payment methodology incorporates
income into the calculations of the
payment rates through the use of
income-based rate cells. We propose
defining income in accordance with the
definition of modified adjusted gross
income in 26 U.S.C. 36B(d)(2)(B) and
consistent with the definition in 45 CFR
155.300. Income would be measured
relative to the FPL, which is updated
periodically in the Federal Register by
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5 See 45 CFR 153.400(a)(2)(iv) (BHP standard
health plans are not required to submit reinsurance
contributions), 153.20 (definition of ‘‘Reinsuranceeligible plan’’ as not including ‘‘health insurance
coverage not required to submit reinsurance
contributions’’), 153.230(a) (reinsurance payments
under the national reinsurance parameters are
available only for ‘‘Reinsurance-eligible plans’’).
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the Secretary under the authority of 42
U.S.C. 9902(2), based on annual changes
in the consumer price index for all
urban consumers (CPI–U). In our
proposed methodology, household size
and income as a percentage of FPL
would be used as factors in developing
the rate cells. We propose using the
following income ranges measured as a
percentage of FPL: 6
• 0–50 percent.
• 51–100 percent.
• 101–138 percent.
• 139–150 percent.
• 151–175 percent.
• 176–200 percent.
We further propose to assume a
uniform income distribution for each
federal BHP payment cell. We believe
that assuming a uniform income
distribution for the income ranges
proposed would be reasonably accurate
for the purposes of calculating the PTC
and CSR components of the BHP
payment and would avoid potential
errors that could result if other sources
of data were used to estimate the
specific income distribution of persons
who are eligible for or enrolled in BHP
within rate cells that may be relatively
small. Thus, when calculating the mean,
or average, PTC for a rate cell, we
propose to calculate the value of the
PTC at each one percentage point
interval of the income range for each
federal BHP payment cell and then
calculate the average of the PTC across
all intervals. This calculation would
rely on the PTC formula described
below in section II.4 of this proposed
methodology.
As the PTC for persons enrolled in
QHPs would be calculated based on
their income during the open
enrollment period, and that income
would be measured against the FPL at
that time, we propose to adjust the FPL
by multiplying the FPL by a projected
increase in the CPI–U between the time
that the BHP payment rates are
published and the QHP open enrollment
period, if the FPL is expected to be
6 These income ranges and this analysis of
income apply to the calculation of the PTC. Many
fewer income ranges and a much simpler analysis
apply in determining the value of CSRs, as specified
below.
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updated during that time. We propose
that the projected increase in the CPI–
U would be based on the intermediate
inflation forecasts from the most recent
OASDI and Medicare Trustees Reports.7
4. Premium Tax Credit Formula (PTCF)
In Equation 1 described in section
II.A.1 of this proposed methodology, we
propose to use the formula described in
26 U.S.C. 36B(b) to calculate the
estimated PTC that would be paid on
behalf of a person enrolled in a QHP on
an Exchange as part of the BHP payment
methodology. This formula is used to
determine the contribution amount (the
amount of premium that an individual
or household theoretically would be
required to pay for coverage in a QHP
on an Exchange), which is based on (A)
the household income; (B) the
household income as a percentage of
FPL for the family size; and (C) the
schedule specified in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(A) and shown below. The
difference between the contribution
amount and the adjusted monthly
premium for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan is the estimated
amount of the PTC that would be
provided for the enrollee.
The PTC amount provided for a
person enrolled in a QHP through an
Exchange is calculated in accordance
with the methodology described in 26
U.S.C. 36B(b)(2). The amount is equal to
the lesser of the premium for the plan
in which the person or household
enrolls, or the adjusted premium for the
applicable second lowest cost silver
plan minus the contribution amount.
The applicable percentage is defined
in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and 26 CFR
1.36B–3(g) as the percentage that
applies to a taxpayer’s household
income that is within an income tier
specified in the table, increasing on a
sliding scale in a linear manner from an
initial premium percentage to a final
premium percentage specified in the
table (see Table 1):
7 See Table IV A1 from the 2013 reports in
https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-andSystems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/
ReportsTrustFunds/Downloads/TR2014.pdf.
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63371
TABLE 1—HOUSEHOLD INCOME
[Expressed as a percent of poverty line]
In the case of household income (expressed as a percent of poverty line) within the following income tier:
The initial
premium
percentage is—
(percent)
Up to 133% ......................................................................................................................................................
133% but less than 150% ...............................................................................................................................
150% but less than 200% ...............................................................................................................................
200% but less than 250% ...............................................................................................................................
250% but less than 300% ...............................................................................................................................
300% but not more than 400% .......................................................................................................................
These are the applicable percentages
for CY 2015. The applicable percentages
will be updated in future years in
accordance with 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(A)(ii).
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5. Income Reconciliation Factor (IRF)
For persons enrolled in a QHP
through an Exchange who receive an
advance payment of the premium tax
credit (APTC), there will be an annual
reconciliation following the end of the
year to compare the advance payments
to the correct amount of PTC based on
household circumstances shown on the
federal income tax return. Any
difference between the latter amounts
and the advance payments made during
the year would either be paid to the
taxpayer (if too little APTC was paid) or
charged to the taxpayer as additional tax
(if too much APTC was made, subject to
any limitations in statute or regulation),
as provided in 26 U.S.C. 36B(f).
Section 1331(e)(2) of the Affordable
Care Act specifies that an individual
enrolled in BHP may not be treated as
a qualified individual under section
1312 eligible for enrollment in a QHP
offered through an Exchange. Therefore,
BHP enrollees are not eligible to receive
APTC to assist with purchasing
coverage in the Exchange. Because they
do not receive APTC assistance, BHP
enrollees are not subject to the same
income reconciliation as Exchange
consumers. Nonetheless, there may still
be differences between a BHP enrollee’s
household income reported at the
beginning of the year and the actual
income over the year. These may
include small changes (reflecting
changes in hourly wage rates, hours
worked per week, and other fluctuations
in income during the year) and large
changes (reflecting significant changes
in employment status, hourly wage
rates, or substantial fluctuations in
income). There may also be changes in
household composition. Thus, we
believe that using unadjusted income as
reported prior to the BHP program year
may result in calculations of estimated
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PTC that are inconsistent with the
actual incomes of BHP enrollees during
the year. Even if the BHP program
adjusts household income
determinations and corresponding
claims of federal payment amounts
based on household reports during the
year or data from third-party sources,
such adjustments may not fully capture
the effects of tax reconciliation that BHP
enrollees would have experienced had
they been enrolled in a QHP through an
Exchange and received APTC
assistance.
Therefore, we propose including in
Equation 1 an income adjustment factor
that would account for the difference
between calculating estimated PTC
using: (a) Income relative to FPL as
determined at initial application and
potentially revised mid-year, under
proposed 600.320, for purposes of
determining BHP eligibility and
claiming federal BHP payments; and (b)
actual income relative to FPL received
during the plan year, as it would be
reflected on individual federal income
tax returns. This adjustment would seek
prospectively to capture the average
effect of income reconciliation
aggregated across the BHP population
had those BHP enrollees been subject to
tax reconciliation after receiving APTC
assistance for coverage provided
through QHPs. For 2016, we propose
estimating reconciliation effects based
on tax data for 2 years, reflecting income
and tax unit composition changes over
time among BHP-eligible individuals.
The Office of Tax Analysis in the U.S.
Department of Treasury (OTA)
maintains a model that combines
detailed tax and other data, including
Exchange enrollment and PTC claimed,
to project Exchange premiums,
enrollment, and tax credits. For each
enrollee, this model compares the APTC
based on household income and family
size estimated at the point of enrollment
with the PTC based on household
income and family size reported at the
end of the tax year. The former reflects
the determination using enrollee
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2.01
3.02
4.02
6.34
8.10
9.56
The final
premium
percentage is—
(percent)
2.01
4.02
6.34
8.10
9.56
9.56
information furnished by the applicant
and tax data furnished by the IRS. The
latter would reflect the PTC eligibility
based on information on the tax return,
which would have been determined if
the individual had not enrolled in BHP.
We propose that the ratio of the
reconciled PTC to the initial estimation
of PTC would be used as the income
reconciliation factor in Equation (1) for
estimating the PTC portion of the BHP
payment rate.
For 2015, OTA estimated that the
income reconciliation factor for states
that have implemented the Medicaid
eligibility expansion to cover adults up
to 133 percent of the FPL will be 94.52
percent, and for states that have not
implemented the Medicaid eligibility
expansion and do not cover adults up to
133 percent of the FPL will be 95.32
percent. In the 2015 payment
methodology, the IRF was set equal to
the average of these two factors (94.92
percent). We propose updating this
analysis and the IRF for 2016.
6. Tobacco Rating Adjustment Factor
(TRAF)
As described above, the reference
premium is estimated, for purposes of
determining both the PTC and related
federal BHP payments, based on
premiums charged for non-tobacco
users, including in states that allow
premium variations based on tobacco
use, as provided in 42 U.S.C. 300gg
(a)(1)(A)(iv). In contrast, as described in
45 CFR 156.430, the CSR advance
payments are based on the total
premium for a policy, including any
adjustment for tobacco use.
Accordingly, we propose to incorporate
a tobacco rating adjustment factor into
Equation 2 that reflects the average
percentage increase in health care costs
that results from tobacco use among the
BHP-eligible population and that would
not be reflected in the premium charged
to non-users. This factor will also take
into account the estimated proportion of
tobacco users among BHP-eligible
consumers.
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To estimate the average effect of
tobacco use on health care costs (not
reflected in the premium charged to
non-users), we propose to calculate the
ratio between premiums that silver level
QHPs charge for tobacco users to the
premiums they charge for non-tobacco
users at selected ages. To calculate
estimated proportions of tobacco users,
we propose to use data from the Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention to
estimate tobacco utilization rates by
state and relevant population
characteristic.8 For each state, we
propose to calculate the tobacco usage
rate based on the percentage of persons
by age who use cigarettes and the
percentage of persons by age that use
smokeless tobacco, and calculate the
utilization rate by adding the two rates
together. The data is available for 3 age
intervals: 18–24; 25–44; and 45–64. For
the BHP payment rate cell for persons
ages 21–34, we would calculate the
factor as (4/14 * the utilization rate of
18–24 year olds) plus (10/14 * the
utilization rate of 25–44 year olds),
which would be the weighted average of
tobacco usage for persons 21–34
assuming a uniform distribution of ages;
for all other age ranges used for the rate
cells, we would use the age range in the
CDC data in which the BHP payment
rate cell age range is contained.
We propose to provide tobacco rating
factors that may vary by age and by
geographic area within each state. To
the extent that the second lowest cost
silver plans have a different ratio of
tobacco user rates to non-tobacco user
rates in different geographic areas, the
tobacco rating adjustment factor may
differ across geographic areas within a
state. In addition, to the extent that the
second lowest cost silver plan has a
different ratio of tobacco user rates to
non-tobacco user rates by age, or that
there is a different prevalence of tobacco
use by age, the tobacco rating
adjustment factor may differ by age.
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7. Factor for Removing Administrative
Costs (FRAC)
The Factor for Removing
Administrative Costs represents the
average proportion of the total premium
that covers allowed health benefits, and
we propose including this factor in our
calculation of estimated CSRs in
Equation 2. The product of the reference
premium and the Factor for Removing
Administrative Costs would
approximate the estimated amount of
Essential Health Benefit (EHB) claims
8 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention,
Tobacco Control State Highlights 2012: https://
www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/state_data/
state_highlights/2012/index.htm.
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that would be expected to be paid by the
plan. This step is needed because the
premium also covers such costs as taxes,
fees, and QHP administrative expenses.
We are proposing to set this factor equal
to 0.80, which is the same percentage
for the factor to remove administrative
costs for calculating CSR advance
payments for established in the 2015
HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment
Parameters.
8. Actuarial Value (AV)
The actuarial value is defined as the
percentage paid by a health plan of the
total allowed costs of benefits, as
defined under 45 CFR 156.20. (For
example, if the average health care costs
for enrollees in a health insurance plan
were $1,000 and that plan has an
actuarial value of 70 percent, the plan
would be expected to pay on average
$700 ($1,000 × 0.70) for health care
costs per enrollee, on average.) By
dividing such estimated costs by the
actuarial value in the proposed
methodology, we would calculate the
estimated amount of total EHB-allowed
claims, including both the portion of
such claims paid by the plan and the
portion paid by the consumer for innetwork care. (To continue with that
same example, we would divide the
plan’s expected $700 payment of the
person’s EHB-allowed claims by the
plan’s 70 percent actuarial value to
ascertain that the total amount of EHBallowed claims, including amounts paid
by the consumer, is $1,000.)
For the purposes of calculating the
CSR rate in Equation 2, we propose to
use the standard actuarial value of the
silver level plans in the individual
market, which is equal to 70 percent.
9. Induced Utilization Factor (IUF)
The induced utilization factor is
proposed as a factor in calculating
estimated CSRs in Equation 2 to account
for the increase in health care service
utilization associated with a reduction
in the level of cost sharing a QHP
enrollee would have to pay, based on
the cost-sharing reduction subsidies
provided to enrollees.
The 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and
Payment Parameters provided induced
utilization factors for the purposes of
calculating cost-sharing reduction
advance payments for 2015. In that rule,
the induced utilization factors for silver
plan variations ranged from 1.00 to 1.12,
depending on income. Using those
utilization factors, the induced
utilization factor for all persons who
would qualify for BHP based on their
household income as a percentage of
FPL is 1.12; this would include persons
with household income between 100
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percent and 200 percent of FPL,
lawfully present non-citizens below 100
percent of FPL who are ineligible for
Medicaid because of immigration status,
and persons with household income
under 300 percent of FPL, not subject to
any cost-sharing. Thus, consistent with
last year, we propose to set the induced
utilization factor equal to 1.12 for the
BHP payment methodology.
We note that for CSRs for QHPs, there
will be a final reconciliation at the end
of the year and the actual level of
induced utilization could differ from the
factor proposed in the rule. Our
proposed methodology for BHP funding
would not include any reconciliation for
utilization and thus may understate or
overstate the impact of the effect of the
subsidies on health care utilization.
10. Change in Actuarial Value (DAV)
The increase in actuarial value would
account for the impact of the costsharing reduction subsidies on the
relative amount of EHB claims that
would be covered for or paid by eligible
persons, and we propose including it as
a factor in calculating estimated CSRs in
Equation 2.
The actuarial values of QHPs for
persons eligible for cost-sharing
reduction subsidies are defined in 45
CFR 156.420(a), and eligibility for such
subsidies is defined in 45 CFR
155.305(g)(2)(i) through (iii). For QHP
enrollees with household incomes
between 100 percent and 150 percent of
FPL, and those below 100 percent of
FPL who are ineligible for Medicaid
because of their immigration status,
CSRs increase the actuarial value of a
QHP silver plan from 70 percent to 94
percent. For QHP enrollees with
household incomes between 150
percent and 200 percent of FPL, CSRs
increase the actuarial value of a QHP
silver plan from 70 percent to 87
percent.
We propose to apply this factor by
subtracting the standard AV from the
higher AV allowed by the applicable
cost-sharing reduction. For BHP
enrollees with household incomes at or
below 150 percent of FPL, this factor
would be 0.24 (94 percent minus 70
percent); for BHP enrollees with
household incomes more than 150
percent but not more than 200 percent
of FPL, this factor would be 0.17 (87
percent minus 70 percent).
E. Adjustments for American Indians
and Alaska Natives
There are several exceptions made for
American Indians and Alaska Natives
enrolled in QHPs through an Exchange
to calculate the PTC and CSRs. Thus, we
propose adjustments to the payment
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methodology described above to be
consistent with the Exchange rules.
We propose the following
adjustments:
1. We propose that the adjusted
reference premium for use in the CSR
portion of the rate would use the lowest
cost bronze plan instead of the second
lowest cost silver plan, with the same
adjustment for the population health
factor (and in the case of a state that
elects to use the 2015 premiums as the
basis of the federal BHP payment, the
same adjustment for the premium trend
factor). American Indians and Alaska
Natives are eligible for CSRs with any
metal level plan, and thus we believe
that eligible persons would be more
likely to select a bronze level plan
instead of a silver level plan. (It is
important to note that this would not
change the PTC, as that is the maximum
possible PTC payment, which is always
based on the applicable second lowest
cost silver plan.)
2. We propose that the actuarial value
for use in the CSR portion of the rate
would be 0.60 instead of 0.70, which is
consistent with the actuarial value of a
bronze level plan.
3. We propose that the induced
utilization factor for use in the CSR
portion of the rate would be 1.15, which
is consistent with the 2015 HHS Notice
of Benefit and Payment Parameters
induced utilization factor for calculating
advance CSR payments for persons
enrolled in bronze level plans and
eligible for CSRs up to 100 percent of
actuarial value.
4. We propose that the change in the
actuarial value for use in the CSR
portion of the rate would be 0.40. This
reflects the increase from 60 percent
actuarial value of the bronze plan to 100
percent actuarial value, as American
Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible
to receive CSRs up to 100 percent of
actuarial value.
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F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP
Premiums for BHP Payments
In the interest of allowing states
greater certainty in the total BHP federal
payments for 2016, we propose
providing states the option to have their
final 2016 federal BHP payment rates
calculated using the projected 2016
adjusted reference premium (that is,
using 2015 premium data multiplied by
the premium trend factor defined
below), as described in Equation (3b).
For a state that would elect to use the
2015 premium as the basis for the 2016
BHP federal payment, we propose
requiring that the state inform us no
later than May 15, 2015.
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For Equation (3b), we propose to
define the premium trend factor as
follows:
Premium Trend Factor (PTF): In
Equation (3b), we propose to calculate
an adjusted reference premium (ARP)
based on the application of certain
relevant variables to the reference
premium (RP), including a premium
trend factor (PTF). In the case of a state
that would elect to use the 2015
premiums as the basis for determining
the BHP payment, it would be
appropriate to apply a factor that would
account for the change in health care
costs between the year of the premium
data and the BHP plan year. We are
proposing to define this as the premium
trend factor in the BHP payment
methodology. This factor would
approximate the change in health care
costs per enrollee, which would
include, but not be limited to, changes
in the price of health care services and
changes in the utilization of health care
services. This would provide an
estimate of the adjusted monthly
premium for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan that would be
more accurate and reflective of health
care costs in the BHP program year,
which would be the year following
issuance of the final federal payment
notice. In addition, we believe that it
would be appropriate to adjust the trend
factor for the estimated impact of
changes to the transitional reinsurance
program on the average QHP premium.
For the trend factor we propose to use
the annual growth rate in private health
insurance expenditures per enrollee
from the National Health Expenditure
projections, developed by the Office of
the Actuary in CMS (citation, https://
www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Dataand-Systems/Statistics-Trends-andReports/NationalHealthExpendData/
Downloads/Proj2012.pdf).
We propose to also include an
adjustment for changes in the
transitional reinsurance program. We
propose that this adjustment would be
developed from analysis by CMS’ Center
for Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight (CCIIO).
States may want to consider that the
increase in premiums for QHPs from
2015 to 2016 may differ from the
premium trend factor developed for the
BHP funding methodology for several
reasons. In particular, states may want
to consider that the second lowest cost
silver plan for 2015 may not be the same
as the second lowest cost silver plan in
2016. This may lead to the premium
trend factor being greater than or less
than the actual change in the premium
of the second lowest cost silver plan in
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63373
2015 compared to the premium of the
second lowest cost silver plan in 2016.
G. State Option To Include
Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology
To determine whether the potential
difference in health status between BHP
enrollees and consumers in the
Exchange would affect the PTC, CSRs,
risk adjustment and reinsurance
payments that would have otherwise
been made had BHP enrollees been
enrolled in coverage on the Exchange,
we propose to provide states
implementing the BHP the option to
propose and to implement, as part of the
certified methodology, a retrospective
adjustment to the federal BHP payments
to reflect the actual value that would be
assigned to the population health factor
(or risk adjustment) based on data
accumulated during program year 2016
for each rate cell.
We acknowledge that there is
uncertainty with respect to this factor
due to the lack of experience of QHPs
on the Exchange and other payments
related to the Exchange, which is why,
absent a state election, we propose to
use a value for the population health
factor to determine a prospective
payment rate which assumes no
difference in the health status of BHP
enrollees and QHP enrollees. There is
considerable uncertainty regarding
whether the BHP enrollees will pose a
greater risk or a lesser risk compared to
the QHP enrollees, how to best measure
such risk, and the potential effect such
risk would have had on PTC, CSRs, risk
adjustment and reinsurance payments
that would have otherwise been made
had BHP enrollees been enrolled in
coverage on the Exchange. To the
extent, however, that a state would
develop an approved protocol to collect
data and effectively measure the relative
risk and the effect on federal payments,
we propose to permit a retrospective
adjustment that would measure the
actual difference in risk between the
two populations to be incorporated into
the certified BHP payment methodology
and used to adjust payments in the
previous year.
For a state electing the option to
implement a retrospective population
health status adjustment, we propose
requiring the state to submit a proposed
protocol to CMS, which would be
subject to approval by CMS and would
be required to be certified by the Chief
Actuary of CMS, in consultation with
the Office of Tax Analysis, as part of the
BHP payment methodology. CMS
described the protocol for the
population health status adjustment in
guidance in Considerations for Health
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Risk Adjustment in the Basic Health
Program in Program Year 2015 (https://
www.medicaid.gov/Basic-HealthProgram/Downloads/Risk-Adjustmentand-BHP-White-Paper.pdf). We propose
requiring a state to submit its proposed
protocol by August 1, 2015 for CMS
approval. This submission would also
include descriptions of how the state
would collect the necessary data to
determine the adjustment, including
any contracting contingences that may
be in place with participating standard
health plan issuers. We would provide
technical assistance to states as they
develop their protocols. In order to
implement the population health status,
we propose that CMS must approve the
state’s protocol no later than December
31, 2015. Finally, we propose that the
state be required to complete the
population health status adjustment at
the end of 2016 based on the approved
protocol. After the end of the 2016
program year, and once data is made
available, we propose that CMS would
review the state’s findings, consistent
with the approved protocol, and make
any necessary adjustments to the state’s
federal BHP payment amount. If we
determine that the federal BHP
payments were less than they would
have been using the final adjustment
factor, we would apply the difference to
the state’s quarterly BHP trust fund
deposit. If we determine that the federal
BHP payments were more than they
would have been using the final
reconciled factor, we would subtract the
difference from the next quarterly BHP
payment to the state.
H. Example Application of the BHP
Funding Methodology
In the 2015 proposed payment
methodology, we included an example
of how the BHP funding methodology
would be applied (Proposed Basic
Health Program 2015 Funding
Methodology, (78 FR 77399), published
in the Federal Register on December 23,
2013). For those interested in this
example, we would refer to the 2015
proposed payment methodology and
note the following changes since that
time.
In the final BHP payment
methodology, we provided the option
for states to elect to use the 2015
premiums to calculate the BHP payment
rates instead of the 2014 premiums
multiplied by the premium trend factor.
The example in the previous proposed
payment methodology used the 2014
premiums multiplied by the premium
trend factor only.
In addition, we provided the option
for the state to develop a risk adjustment
protocol to revise the population health
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factor in the final payment
methodology. The example in the
previous proposed payment
methodology did not assume any
adjustment to the population health
factor.
Furthermore, we modified the age
ranges used to develop the rate cells
after the proposed payment
methodology was published. The age
range for persons ages 21–44 was
divided into age ranges of 21–34 and
35–44.
Lastly, as we noted in the responses
to comments in the final payment
methodology, there was an error in the
example in the previous proposed
payment methodology. The maximum
percentage of income that a household
would be required to pay for QHP
premiums for households with incomes
between 133 percent and 150 percent of
the federal poverty level (FPL) was
incorrect in the example; the correct
percentages range from 3.00 to 4.00
percent, not from 2.00 to 3.00 percent as
shown in Table 2.
III. Collection of Information
Requirements [If Applicable]
This proposed methodology is
unchanged from the 2015 final
methodology that published on March
12, 2014 (79 FR 13887). The 2016
proposed methodology would not
impose any new or revised reporting,
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure
requirements and, therefore, does not
require additional OMB review under
the authority of the Paperwork
Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501
et seq.). The methodology’s information
collection requirements and burden
estimates are approved by OMB under
control number 0938–1218 (CMS–
10510).
Consistent with the Basic Health
Program’s proposed and final rules
(78 FR 59122 and 79 FR 14112,
respectively) we continue to estimate
less than 10 annual respondents for
completing the Blueprint. Consequently,
the Blueprint is exempt from formal
OMB review and approval under 5 CFR
1320.3(c).
Finally, this action would not impose
any additional reporting, recordkeeping,
or third-party disclosure requirements
on qualified health plans or on states
operating State Based Exchanges.
IV. Response to Comments
Because of the large number of public
comments we normally receive on
Federal Register documents, we are not
able to acknowledge or respond to them
individually. We will consider all
comments we receive by the date and
time specified in the DATES section of
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this preamble, and, when we proceed
with a subsequent document, we will
respond to the comments in the
preamble to that document.
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
We have examined the impacts of this
rule as required by Executive Order
12866 on Regulatory Planning and
Review (September 30, 1993), Executive
Order 13563 on Improving Regulation
and Regulatory Review (January 18,
2011), the Regulatory Flexibility Act
(RFA) (September 19, 1980, Pub. L. 96–
354), section 1102(b) of the Act, section
202 of the Unfunded Mandates Reform
Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4, March 22,
1995) (UMRA), Executive Order 13132
on Federalism (August 4, 1999) and the
Congressional Review Act (5 U.S.C.
804(2)).
Executive Orders 12866 and 13563
direct agencies to assess all costs and
benefits of available regulatory
alternatives and, if regulation is
necessary, to select regulatory
approaches that maximize net benefits
(including potential economic,
environmental, public health and safety
effects, distributive impacts, and
equity). Section 3(f) of Executive Order
12866 defines a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ as an action that is likely to
result in a rule: (1) Having an annual
effect on the economy of $100 million
or more in any 1 year, or adversely and
materially affecting a sector of the
economy, productivity, competition,
jobs, the environment, public health or
safety, or state, local or tribal
governments or communities (also
referred to as ‘‘economically
significant’’); (2) creating a serious
inconsistency or otherwise interfering
with an action taken or planned by
another agency; (3) materially altering
the budgetary impacts of entitlement
grants, user fees, or loan programs or the
rights and obligations of recipients
thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or
policy issues arising out of legal
mandates, the President’s priorities, or
the principles set forth in the Executive
Order.
A regulatory impact analysis (RIA)
must be prepared for major rules with
economically significant effects ($100
million or more in any 1 year). As noted
in the BHP final rule, BHP provides
states the flexibility to establish an
alternative coverage program for lowincome individuals who would
otherwise be eligible to purchase
coverage through the Exchange. We are
uncertain as to whether the effects of the
final rulemaking, and subsequently, this
methodology, will be ‘‘economically
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significant’’ as measured by the $100
million threshold, and hence not a
major rule under the Congressional
Review Act. The impact may depend on
several factors, including the number of
and which particular states choose to
implement or continue BHP in 2016, the
level of QHP premiums in 2015 and
2016, the number of enrollees in BHP,
and the other coverage options for
persons who would be eligible for BHP.
In particular, while we generally expect
that many enrollees would have
otherwise been enrolled in a QHP
through the Exchange, some persons
may have been eligible for Medicaid
under a waiver or a state health
coverage program. For those who would
have enrolled in a QHP and thus would
have received PTCs or CSRs, the federal
expenditures for BHP would be
expected to be more than offset by a
reduction in federal expenditures for
PTCs and CSRs. For those who would
have been enrolled in Medicaid, there
would likely be a smaller offset in
federal expenditures (to account for the
federal share of Medicaid expenditures),
and for those who would have been
covered in non-federal programs or
would have been uninsured, there likely
would be an increase in federal
expenditures. In accordance with the
provisions of Executive Order 12866,
this methodology was reviewed by the
Office of Management and Budget.
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1. Need for the Methodology
Section 1331 of the Affordable Care
Act (codified at 42 U.S.C. 18051)
requires the Secretary to establish a
BHP, and section (d)(1) specifically
provides that if the Secretary finds that
a state ‘‘meets the requirements of the
program established under section (a)
[of section 1331 of the Affordable Care
Act], the Secretary shall transfer to the
State’’ federal BHP payments described
in section (d)(3). This proposed
methodology provides for the funding
methodology to determine the federal
BHP payment amounts required to
implement these provisions in program
year 2016.
2. Alternative Approaches
Many of the factors proposed in this
methodology are specified in statute;
therefore, we are limited in the
alternative approaches we could
consider. One area in which we had a
choice was in selecting the data sources
used to determine the factors included
in the proposed methodology. Except
for state-specific reference premiums
and enrollment data, we propose using
national rather than state-specific data.
This is due to the lack of currently
available state-specific data needed to
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develop the majority of the factors
included in the proposed methodology.
We believe the national data will
produce sufficiently accurate
determinations of payment rates. In
addition, we believe that this approach
will be less burdensome on states. To
reference premiums and enrollment
data, we propose using state-specific
data rather than national data as we
believe state-specific data will produce
more accurate determinations than
national averages.
In addition, we considered whether or
not to provide states the option to
develop a protocol for a retrospective
adjustment to the population health
factor in 2016 as we did in the 2015
payment methodology. We believe that
providing this option again in 2016 is
appropriate and likely to improve the
accuracy of the final payments.
We also considered whether or not to
require the use of 2015 or 2016 QHP
premiums to develop the 2016 federal
BHP payment rates. We believe that the
payment rates can still be developed
accurately using either the 2015 or 2016
QHP premiums and that it is
appropriate to provide the states the
option, given the interests and specific
considerations each state may have in
operating the BHP.
3. Transfers
The provisions of this methodology
are designed to determine the amount of
funds that will be transferred to states
offering coverage through a BHP rather
than to individuals eligible for premium
and cost-sharing reductions for coverage
purchased on the Exchange. We are
uncertain what the total federal BHP
payment amounts to states will be as
these amounts will vary from state to
state due to the varying nature of state
composition. For example, total federal
BHP payment amounts may be greater
in more populous states simply by
virtue of the fact that they have a larger
BHP-eligible population and total
payment amounts are based on actual
enrollment. Alternatively, total federal
BHP payment amounts may be lower in
states with a younger BHP-eligible
population as the reference premium
used to calculate the federal BHP
payment will be lower relative to older
BHP enrollees. While state composition
will cause total federal BHP payment
amounts to vary from state to state, we
believe that the proposed methodology
accounts for these variations to ensure
accurate BHP payment transfers are
made to each state.
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Section 202 of the UMRA requires
that agencies assess anticipated costs
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63375
and benefits before issuing any rule
whose mandates require spending in
any 1 year of $100 million in 1995
dollars, updated annually for inflation,
by state, local, or tribal governments, in
the aggregate, or by the private sector. In
2014, that threshold is approximately
$141 million. States have the option, but
are not required, to establish a BHP.
Further, the proposed methodology
would establish federal payment rates
without requiring states to provide the
Secretary with any data not already
required by other provisions of the
Affordable Care Act or its implementing
regulations. Thus, this proposed
payment notice does not mandate
expenditures by state governments,
local governments, or tribal
governments.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.) (RFA) requires
agencies to prepare an initial regulatory
flexibility analysis to describe the
impact of the proposed rule on small
entities, unless the head of the agency
can certify that the rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
The Act generally defines a ‘‘small
entity’’ as (1) a proprietary firm meeting
the size standards of the Small Business
Administration (SBA); (2) a not-forprofit organization that is not dominant
in its field; or (3) a small government
jurisdiction with a population of less
than 50,000. Individuals and states are
not included in the definition of a small
entity. Few of the entities that meet the
definition of a small entity as that term
is used in the RFA would be impacted
directly by this proposed methodology.
Because this proposed methodology is
focused on the proposed funding
methodology that will be used to
determine federal BHP payment rates, it
does not contain provisions that would
have a significant direct impact on
hospitals, and other health care
providers that are designated as small
entities under the RFA. We cannot
determine whether this proposed
methodology would have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small entities, and we request
public comment on this issue.
Section 1102(b) of the Act requires us
to prepare a regulatory impact analysis
if a proposed methodology may have a
significant economic impact on the
operations of a substantial number of
small rural hospitals. For purposes of
section 1102(b) of the Act, we define a
small rural hospital as a hospital that is
located outside of a metropolitan
statistical area and has fewer than 100
beds. As indicated in the preceding
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Federal Register / Vol. 79, No. 205 / Thursday, October 23, 2014 / Proposed Rules
discussion, there may be indirect
positive effects from reductions in
uncompensated care. Again, we cannot
determine whether this proposed
methodology would have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small rural hospitals, and we
request public comment on this issue.
mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
D. Federalism
Executive Order 13132 establishes
certain requirements that an agency
VerDate Sep<11>2014
16:37 Oct 22, 2014
Jkt 235001
must meet when it promulgates a
proposed rule (and subsequent final
rule) that imposes substantial direct
effects on states, preempts state law, or
otherwise has federalism implications.
The BHP is entirely optional for states,
and if implemented in a state, provides
access to a pool of funding that would
not otherwise be available to the state.
Dated: September 19, 2014.
Marilyn Tavenner,
Administrator, Centers for Medicare &
Medicaid Services.
Approved: October 19, 2014.
Sylvia Burwell,
Secretary, Department of Health and Human
Services.
[FR Doc. 2014–25257 Filed 10–21–14; 4:15 pm]
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 79, Number 205 (Thursday, October 23, 2014)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 63363-63376]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2014-25257]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services
42 CFR Part 600
[CMS-2391-PN]
RIN 0938-ZB18
Basic Health Program; Federal Funding Methodology for Program
Year 2016
AGENCY: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS), HHS.
ACTION: Proposed methodology.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This document provides the methodology and data sources
necessary to determine federal payment amounts made in program year
2016 to states that elect to establish a Basic Health Program under the
Affordable Care Act to offer health benefits coverage to low-income
individuals otherwise eligible to purchase coverage through Affordable
Insurance Exchanges.
DATES: To be assured consideration, comments must be received at one of
the addresses provided below, no later than 5 p.m. on November 24,
2014.
ADDRESSES: In commenting, refer to file code CMS-2391-PN. Because of
staff and resource limitations, we cannot accept comments by facsimile
(FAX) transmission.
You may submit comments in one of four ways (please choose only one
of the ways listed):
1. Electronically. You may submit electronic comments on this
regulation to https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the ``Submit a
comment'' instructions.
2. By regular mail. You may mail written comments to the following
address ONLY:
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, Attention: CMS-2391-PN, P.O. Box 8016, Baltimore, MD
21244-8016.
Please allow sufficient time for mailed comments to be received
before the close of the comment period.
3. By express or overnight mail. You may send written comments to
the following address ONLY:
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, Attention: CMS-2391-PN, Mail Stop C4-26-05, 7500
Security Boulevard, Baltimore, MD 21244-1850.
4. By hand or courier. Alternatively, you may deliver (by hand or
courier) your written ONLY to the following addresses:
a. For delivery in Washington, DC--
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, Room 445-G, Hubert H. Humphrey Building, 200
Independence Avenue SW., Washington, DC 20201.
(Because access to the interior of the Hubert H. Humphrey Building
is not readily available to persons without Federal government
identification, commenters are encouraged to leave their comments in
the CMS drop slots located in the main lobby of the building. A stamp-
in clock is available for persons wishing to retain a proof of filing
by stamping in and retaining an extra copy of the comments being
filed.)
b. For delivery in Baltimore, MD--
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, Department of Health and
Human Services, 7500 Security Boulevard, Baltimore, MD 21244-1850.
If you intend to deliver your comments to the Baltimore address,
call telephone number (410) 786-7195 in advance to schedule your
arrival with one of our staff members.
Comments erroneously mailed to the addresses indicated as
appropriate for hand or courier delivery may be delayed and received
after the comment period.
Submission of comments on paperwork requirements. You may submit
comments on this document's paperwork requirements by following the
instructions at the end of the ``Collection of Information
Requirements'' section in this document.
For information on viewing public comments, see the beginning of
the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Christopher Truffer, (410) 786-1264;
Stephanie Kaminsky, (410) 786-4653.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Inspection of Public Comments: All comments received before the
close of the comment period are available for viewing by the public,
including any personally identifiable or confidential business
information that is included in a comment. We post all comments
received before the close of the comment period on the following Web
site as soon as possible after they have been received: https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the search instructions on that Web site to
view public comments.
Comments received timely will also be available for public
inspection as they are received, generally beginning approximately 3
weeks after publication of a document, at the headquarters of the
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 7500 Security Boulevard,
Baltimore, Maryland 21244, Monday
[[Page 63364]]
through Friday of each week from 8:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. To schedule an
appointment to view public comments, phone 1-800-743-3951.
Table of Contents
I. Background
II. Provisions of the Proposed Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the
Federal Payment Amount
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
C. Sources and State Data Considerations
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
E. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
F. State Option to Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
G. State Option to Include Retrospective State-Specific Health
Risk Adjustment in Certified Methodology
H. Example Application of the BHP Funding Methodology
III. Collection of Information
IV. Response to Comments
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
D. Federalism
I. Background
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (Pub. L. 111-148,
enacted on March 23, 2010), together with the Health Care and Education
Reconciliation Act of 2010 (Pub. L. 111-152, enacted on March 30, 2010)
(collectively referred as the Affordable Care Act) provides for the
establishment of Affordable Insurance Exchanges (Exchanges, also called
the Health Insurance Marketplace) that provide access to affordable
health insurance coverage offered by qualified health plans (QHPs) for
most individuals who are not eligible for health coverage under other
federally supported health benefits programs or through affordable
employer-sponsored insurance coverage, and who have incomes above 100
percent but no more than 400 percent of the federal poverty line (FPL),
or whose income is below that level but are lawfully present non-
citizens ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration status.
Individuals enrolled through Exchanges in coverage offered by QHPs may
qualify for the federal premium tax credit (PTC) or federally-funded
cost-sharing reductions (CSRs) based on their household income, to make
coverage affordable.
In the states that elect to operate a Basic Health Program (BHP),
BHP will make affordable health benefits coverage available for
individuals under age 65 with household incomes between 133 percent and
200 percent of the FPL who are not otherwise eligible for Medicaid, the
Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP), or affordable employer-
sponsored coverage. (For those states that have expanded Medicaid
coverage under section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i)(VIII) of the Act, the lower
income threshold for BHP eligibility is effectively 138 percent due to
the application of a required 5 percent income disregard in determining
the upper limits of Medicaid income eligibility (section 1902(e)(14)(I)
of the Social Security Act).) Federal funding will be available for BHP
based on the amount of PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would have
received had they been enrolled in QHPs through Exchanges.
In the March 12, 2014 Federal Register (79 FR 14112), we published
a final rule entitled the ``Basic Health Program: State Administration
of Basic Health Programs; Eligibility and Enrollment in Standard Health
Plans; Essential Health Benefits in Standard Health Plans; Performance
Standards for Basic Health Programs; Premium and Cost Sharing for Basic
Health Programs; Federal Funding Process; Trust Fund and Financial
Integrity'' (hereinafter referred to as the BHP final rule)
implementing section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act), which directs
the establishment of BHP. The BHP final rule establishes the standards
for state and federal administration of BHP, including provisions
regarding eligibility and enrollment, benefits, cost-sharing
requirements and oversight activities. While the BHP final rule
codifies the overall statutory requirements and basic procedural
framework for the funding methodology, it does not contain the specific
information necessary to determine federal payments. We anticipated
that the methodology would be based on data and assumptions that would
reflect ongoing operations and experience of BHP programs as well as
the operation of the Exchanges. For this reason, the BHP final rule
indicated that the development and publication of the funding
methodology, including any data sources, would be addressed in a
separate annual BHP Payment Notice.
In the BHP final rule, we specified that the BHP Payment Notice
process would include the annual publication of both a proposed and
final BHP Payment Notice. The proposed BHP Payment Notice would be
published in the Federal Register each October, and would describe the
proposed methodology for the upcoming BHP program year, including how
the Secretary considered the factors specified in section 1331(d)(3) of
the Affordable Care Act, along with the proposed data sources used to
determine the federal BHP payment rates. The final BHP Payment Notice
would be published in the Federal Register in February, and would
include the final BHP funding methodology, as well as the federal BHP
payment rates for the next BHP program year. For example, payment rates
published in February 2015 would apply to BHP program year 2016,
beginning in January 2016. As discussed in section II.C of this
proposed methodology, state data needed to calculate the federal BHP
payment rates for the final BHP Payment Notice must be submitted to
CMS.
As described in the BHP final rule, once the final methodology has
been published, we will only make modifications to the BHP funding
methodology on a prospective basis with limited exceptions. The BHP
final rule provided that retrospective adjustments to the state's BHP
payment amount may occur to the extent that the prevailing BHP funding
methodology for a given program year permits adjustments to a state's
federal BHP payment amount due to insufficient data for prospective
determination of the relevant factors specified in the payment notice.
Additional adjustments could be made to the payment rates to correct
errors in applying the methodology (such as mathematical errors).
Under section 1331(d)(3)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act, the
funding methodology and payment rates are expressed as an amount per
BHP enrollee for each month of enrollment. These payment rates may vary
based on categories or classes of enrollees. Actual payment to a state
would depend on the actual enrollment in coverage through the state
BHP. A state that is approved to implement BHP must provide data
showing quarterly enrollment in the various federal BHP payment rate
cells. The data submission requirements associated with this will be
published subsequent to the proposed methodology.
In the March 12, 2014 Federal Register (79 FR 13887), we published
the final payment methodology entitled ``Basic Health Program; Federal
Funding Methodology for Program Year 2015'' (hereinafter referred to as
the 2015 payment methodology) that sets forth the methodology that will
be used to calculate the federal BHP payments for the 2015 program
year.
[[Page 63365]]
II. Provisions of the Proposed Methodology
A. Overview of the Funding Methodology and Calculation of the Payment
Amount
Section 1331(d)(3) of the Affordable Care Act directs the Secretary
to consider several factors when determining the federal BHP payment
amount, which, as specified in the statute, must equal 95 percent of
the value of the PTC and CSRs that BHP enrollees would have been
provided had they enrolled in a QHP through an Exchange. Thus, the
proposed BHP funding methodology is designed to calculate the PTC and
CSRs as consistently as possible and in general alignment with the
methodology used by Exchanges to calculate the advance payments of the
PTC and CSRs, and by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS) to calculate
final PTCs. In general, we propose to rely on values for factors in the
payment methodology specified in statute or other regulations as
available, and we propose to develop values for other factors not
otherwise specified in statute, or previously calculated in other
regulations, to simulate the values of the PTC and CSRs that BHP
enrollees would have received if they had enrolled in QHPs offered
through an Exchange. In accordance with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(iii) of
the Affordable Care Act, the final funding methodology must be
certified by the Chief Actuary of CMS, in consultation with the Office
of Tax Analysis of the Department of the Treasury, as having met the
requirements of section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act.
Section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the Affordable Care Act specifies that
the payment determination ``shall take into account all relevant
factors necessary to determine the value of the premium tax credits and
cost-sharing reductions that would have been provided to eligible
individuals . . . including the age and income of the enrollee, whether
the enrollment is for self-only or family coverage, geographic
differences in average spending for health care across rating areas,
the health status of the enrollee for purposes of determining risk
adjustment payments and reinsurance payments that would have been made
if the enrollee had enrolled in a qualified health plan through an
Exchange, and whether any reconciliation of the credit or cost-sharing
reductions would have occurred if the enrollee had been so enrolled.''
The proposed payment methodology takes each of these factors into
account. We propose a methodology that is the same as the 2015 payment
methodology, with updated values but no changes in methods.
We propose that the total federal BHP payment amount would be based
on multiple ``rate cells'' in each state. Each ``rate cell'' would
represent a unique combination of age range, geographic area, coverage
category (for example, self-only or two-adult coverage through BHP),
household size, and income range as a percentage of FPL. Thus, there
would be distinct rate cells for individuals in each coverage category
within a particular age range who reside in a specific geographic area
and are in households of the same size and income range. We note that
we would develop BHP payment rates that would be consistent with those
states' rules on age rating. Thus, in the case of a state that does not
use age as a rating factor on the Exchange, the BHP payment rates would
not vary by age.
The proposed rate for each rate cell would be calculated in two
parts. The first part (as described in Equation (1) below) would equal
95 percent of the estimated PTC that would have been paid if a BHP
enrollee in that rate cell had instead enrolled in a QHP in the
Exchange. The second part (as described in Equation (2) below) would
equal 95 percent of the estimated CSR payment that would have been made
if a BHP enrollee in that rate cell had instead enrolled in a QHP in
the Exchange. These 2 parts would be added together and the total rate
for that rate cell would be equal to the sum of the PTC and CSR rates.
We propose that Equation (1) below would be used to calculate the
estimated PTC for individuals in each rate cell and Equation (2) below
would be used to calculate the estimated CSR payments for individuals
in each rate cell. By applying the equations separately to rate cells
based on age, income and other factors, we would effectively take those
factors into account in the calculation. In addition, the equations
would reflect the estimated experience of individuals in each rate cell
if enrolled in coverage through the Exchange, taking into account
additional relevant variables. Each of the variables in the equations
is defined below, and further detail is provided later in this section
of the payment notice.
In addition, we describe how we propose to calculate the adjusted
reference premium (described later in this section of the payment
notice) that is used in Equations (1) and (2). This is defined below in
Equation (3a) and Equation (3b).
1. Equation 1: Estimated PTC by Rate Cell
We propose that the estimated PTC, on a per enrollee basis, would
be calculated for each rate cell for each state based on age range,
geographic area, coverage category, household size, and income range.
The PTC portion of the rate would be calculated in a manner consistent
with the methodology used to calculate the PTC for persons enrolled in
a QHP, with 3 adjustments. First, the PTC portion of the rate for each
rate cell would represent the mean, or average, expected PTC that all
persons in the rate cell would receive, rather than being calculated
for each individual enrollee. Second, the reference premium used to
calculate the PTC (described in more detail later in the section) would
be adjusted for BHP population health status, and in the case of a
state that elects to use 2015 premiums for the basis of the BHP federal
payment, for the projected change in the premium from the 2015 to 2016,
to which the rates announced in the final payment methodology would
apply. These adjustments are described in Equation (3a) and Equation
(3b) below. Third, the PTC would be adjusted prospectively to reflect
the mean, or average, net expected impact of income reconciliation on
the combination of all persons enrolled in BHP; this adjustment, as
described in section II.D.5. of this proposed methodology, would
account for the impact on the PTC that would have occurred had such
reconciliation been performed. Finally, the rate is multiplied by 95
percent, consistent with section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of the Affordable
Care Act. We note that in the situation where the average income
contribution of an enrollee would exceed the adjusted reference
premium, we would calculate the PTC to be equal to 0 and would not
allow the value of the PTC to be negative.
We propose using Equation (1) to calculate the PTC rate, consistent
with the methodology described above:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP23OC14.003
[[Page 63366]]
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of BHP payment rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
Ih,i,j = Income (in dollars per month) at each 1 percentage-point
increment of FPL
j = jth percentage-point increment FPL
n = Number of income increments used to calculate the mean PTC
PTCFh,i,j = Premium Tax Credit Formula percentage
IRF = Income reconciliation factor
2. Equation 2: Estimated CSR Payment by Rate Cell
We propose that the CSR portion of the rate would be calculated for
each rate cell for each state based on age range, geographic area,
coverage category, household size, and income range defined as a
percentage of FPL. The CSR portion of the rate would be calculated in a
manner consistent with the methodology used to calculate the CSR
advance payments for persons enrolled in a QHP, as described in the
final rule we published in the Federal Register on March 11, 2014
entitled ``HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters for 2015''
final rule (79 FR 13744), with 3 principal adjustments. (We further
propose a separate calculation that includes different adjustments for
American Indian/Alaska Native BHP enrollees, as described in section
II.D.1 of this proposed methodology.) For the first adjustment, the CSR
rate, like the PTC rate, would represent the mean expected CSR subsidy
that would be paid on behalf of all persons in the rate cell, rather
than being calculated for each individual enrollee. Second, this
calculation would be based on the adjusted reference premium, as
described in section II.A.3. of this proposed methodology. Third, this
equation uses an adjusted reference premium that reflects premiums
charged to non-tobacco users, rather than the actual premium that is
charged to tobacco users to calculate CSR advance payments for tobacco
users enrolled in a QHP. Accordingly, we propose that the equation
include a tobacco rating adjustment factor that would account for BHP
enrollees' estimated tobacco-related health costs that are outside the
premium charged to non-tobacco-users. Finally, the rate would be
multiplied by 95 percent, as provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(i) of
the Affordable Care Act.
We propose using Equation (2) to calculate the CSR rate, consistent
with the methodology described above:
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP23OC14.004
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy portion of BHP payment
rate
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
TRAF = Tobacco rating adjustment factor
FRAC = Factor removing administrative costs
AV = Actuarial value of plan (as percentage of allowed benefits
covered by the applicable QHP without a cost-sharing reduction
subsidy)
IUFh,i = Induced utilization factor
[Delta]AVh,i = Change in actuarial value (as percentage of allowed
benefits)
3. Equation 3a and Equation 3b: Adjusted Reference Premium Variable
(Used in Equations 1 and 2)
As part of these calculations for both the PTC and CSR components,
we propose to calculate the value of the adjusted reference premium as
described below. Consistent with the approach last year, we are
proposing to allow states to choose between using the actual 2016 QHP
premiums or the 2015 QHP premiums multiplied by the premium trend
factor (as described in section II.F). Therefore, we are proposing how
we would calculate the adjusted reference premium under each option.
In the case of a state that elected to use the reference premium
based on the 2016 premiums, we propose to calculate the value of the
adjusted reference premium as specified in Equation (3a). The adjusted
reference premium would be equal to the reference premium, which would
be based on the second lowest cost silver plan premium in 2016,
multiplied by the BHP population health factor (described in section
II.D of this proposed methodology), which would reflect the projected
impact that enrolling BHP-eligible individuals in QHPs on an Exchange
would have had on the average QHP premium.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP23OC14.005
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
In the case of a state that elected to use the reference premium
based on the 2015 premiums (as described in section II.F of this
proposed methodology), we propose to calculate the value of the
adjusted reference premium as specified in Equation (3b). The adjusted
reference premium would be equal to the reference premium, which would
be based on the second lowest cost silver plan premium in 2015,
multiplied by the BHP population health factor (described in section
II.D of this proposed methodology), which would reflect the projected
impact that enrolling BHP-eligible individuals in QHPs on an Exchange
would have had on the average QHP premium, and by the premium trend
factor, which would reflect the projected change in the premium level
between 2015 and 2016 (including the estimated impact of changes
resulting from the transitional reinsurance program established in
section 1341 of the Affordable Care Act).
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP23OC14.006
[[Page 63367]]
ARPa,g,c = Adjusted reference premium
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
RPa,g,c = Reference premium
PHF = Population health factor
PTF = Premium trend factor
4. Equation 4: Determination of Total Monthly Payment for BHP Enrollees
in Each Rate Cell
In general, the rate for each rate cell would be multiplied by the
number of BHP enrollees in that cell (that is, the number of enrollees
that meet the criteria for each rate cell) to calculate the total
monthly BHP payment. This calculation is shown in Equation 4 below.
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TP23OC14.007
PMT = Total monthly BHP payment
PTCa,g,c,h,i = Premium tax credit portion of BHP payment rate
CSRa,g,c,h,i = Cost-sharing reduction subsidy portion of BHP payment
rate
Ea,g,c,h,i = Number of BHP enrollees
a = Age range
g = Geographic area
c = Coverage status (self-only or applicable category of family
coverage) obtained through BHP
h = Household size
i = Income range (as percentage of FPL)
B. Federal BHP Payment Rate Cells
We propose that a state implementing BHP provide us an estimate of
the number of BHP enrollees it projects will enroll in the upcoming BHP
program year, by applicable rate cell, prior to the first quarter of
program operations. Upon our approval of such estimates as reasonable,
they would be used to calculate the prospective payment for the first
and subsequent quarters of program operation until the state has
provided us actual enrollment data. These data would be required to
calculate the final BHP payment amount, and make any necessary
reconciliation adjustments to the prior quarters' prospective payment
amounts due to differences between projected and actual enrollment.
Subsequent, quarterly deposits to the state's trust fund would be based
on the most recent actual enrollment data submitted to us. Procedures
will ensure that federal payments to a state reflect actual BHP
enrollment during a year, within each applicable category, and
prospectively determined federal payment rates for each category of BHP
enrollment, with such categories defined in terms of age range,
geographic area, coverage status, household size, and income range, as
explained above.
We propose requiring the use of certain rate cells as part of the
proposed methodology. For each state, we propose using rate cells that
separate the BHP population into separate cells based on the five
factors described below.
Factor 1--Age: We propose separating enrollees into rate cells by
age, using the following age ranges that capture the widest variations
in premiums under HHS's Default Age Curve: \1\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ This curve is used to implement the Affordable Care Act's
3:1 limit on age-rating in states that do not create an alternative
rate structure to comply with that limit. The curve applies to all
individual market plans, both within and outside the Exchange. The
age bands capture the principal allowed age-based variations in
premiums as permitted by this curve. More information can be found
at https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Files/Downloads/market-reforms-guidance-2-25-2013.pdf. Both children and adults under age
21 are charged the same premium. For adults age 21-64, the age bands
in this methodology divide the total age-based premium variation
into the three most equally-sized ranges (defining size by the ratio
between the highest and lowest premiums within the band) that are
consistent with the age-bands used for risk-adjustment purposes in
the HHS-Developed Risk Adjustment Model. For such age bands, see
Table 5, ``Age-Sex Variables,'' in HHS-Developed Risk Adjustment
Model Algorithm Software, June 2, 2014, https://www.cms.gov/CCIIO/Resources/Regulations-and-Guidance/Downloads/ra-tables-03-27-2014.xlsx.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ages 0-20.
Ages 21-34.
Ages 35-44.
Ages 45-54.
Ages 55-64.
Factor 2--Geographic area: For each state, we propose separating
enrollees into rate cells by geographic areas within which a single
reference premium is charged by QHPs offered through the state's
Exchange. Multiple, non-contiguous geographic areas would be
incorporated within a single cell, so long as those areas share a
common reference premium.\2\
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\2\ For example, a cell within a particular state might refer to
``County Group 1,'' ``County Group 2,'' etc., and a table for the
state would list all the counties included in each such group. These
geographic areas are consistent with the geographic areas
established under the 2014 Market Reform Rules. They also reflect
the service area requirements applicable to qualified health plans,
as described in 45 CFR 155.1055, except that service areas smaller
than counties are addressed as explained below.
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Factor 3--Coverage status: We propose separating enrollees into
rate cells by coverage status, reflecting whether an individual is
enrolled in self-only coverage or persons are enrolled in family
coverage through BHP, as provided in section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) of the
Affordable Care Act. Among recipients of family coverage through BHP,
separate rate cells, as explained below, would apply based on whether
such coverage involves two adults alone or whether it involves
children.
Factor 4--Household size: We propose separating enrollees into rate
cells by household size that states use to determine BHP enrollees'
income as a percentage of the FPL under proposed 42 CFR 600.320. We are
proposing to require separate rate cells for several specific household
sizes. For each additional member above the largest specified size, we
propose to publish instructions for how we would develop additional
rate cells and calculate an appropriate payment rate based on data for
the rate cell with the closest specified household size. We propose to
publish separate rate cells for household sizes of 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5,
as unpublished analyses of American Community Survey data conducted by
the Urban Institute, which take into account unaccepted offers of
employer-sponsored insurance as well as income, Medicaid and CHIP
eligibility, citizenship and immigration status, and current health
coverage status, find that less than 1 percent of all BHP-eligible
persons live in households of size 5 or greater.
Factor 5--Income: For households of each applicable size, we
propose creating separate rate cells by income range, as a percentage
of FPL. The PTC that a person would receive if enrolled in a QHP varies
by income, both in level and as a ratio to the FPL, and the CSR varies
by income as a percentage of FPL. Thus, we propose that separate rate
cells would be used to calculate federal BHP payment rates to reflect
different bands of income measured as a percentage of FPL. We propose
using the following income ranges, measured as a ratio to the FPL:
0 to 50 percent of the FPL.
51 to 100 percent of the FPL.
101 to 138 percent of the FPL.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ The three lowest income ranges would be limited to lawfully
present immigrants who are ineligible for Medicaid because of
immigration status.
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[[Page 63368]]
139 to 150 percent of the FPL.
151 to 175 percent of the FPL.
176 to 200 percent of the FPL.
These rate cells would only be used to calculate the federal BHP
payment amount. A state implementing BHP would not be required to use
these rate cells or any of the factors in these rate cells as part of
the state payment to the standard health plans participating in BHP or
to help define BHP enrollees' covered benefits, premium costs, or out-
of-pocket cost-sharing levels.
We propose using averages to define federal payment rates, both for
income ranges and age ranges, rather than varying such rates to
correspond to each individual BHP enrollee's age and income level. We
believe that the proposed approach will increase the administrative
feasibility of making federal BHP payments and reduce the likelihood of
inadvertently erroneous payments resulting from highly complex
methodologies. We believe that this approach should not significantly
change federal payment amounts, since within applicable ranges, the
BHP-eligible population is distributed relatively evenly.
C. Sources and State Data Considerations
To the extent possible, we intend to use data submitted to the
federal government by QHP issuers seeking to offer coverage through an
Exchange to perform the calculations that determine federal BHP payment
cell rates.
States operating a State Based Exchange in the individual market,
however, must provide certain data, including premiums for second
lowest cost silver plans, by geographic area, in order for CMS to
calculate the federal BHP payment rates in those states. We propose
that a State Based Exchange interested in obtaining the applicable
federal BHP payment rates for its state must submit such data
accurately, completely, and as specified by CMS, by no later than
October 15, 2015, in order for CMS to calculate the applicable rates
for 2016. If additional state data (that is, in addition to the second
lowest cost silver plan premium data) are needed to determine the
federal BHP payment rate, such data must be submitted in a timely
manner, and in a format specified by CMS to support the development and
timely release of annual BHP payment notices. The specifications for
data collection to support the development of BHP payment rates for
2016 were published in CMS guidance and are available at https://www.medicaid.gov/Federal-Policy-Guidance/Federal-Policy-Guidance.html.
If a state operating a State Based Exchange provides the necessary
data accurately, completely, and as specified by CMS, but after the
date specified above, we anticipate publishing federal payment rates
for such a state in a subsequent Payment Notice. As noted in the BHP
final rule, a state may elect to implement its BHP after a program year
has begun. In such an instance, we propose that the state, if operating
a State Based Exchange, submit its data no later than 30 days after the
Blueprint submission for CMS to calculate the applicable federal
payment rates. We further propose that the BHP Blueprint itself must be
submitted for Secretarial certification with an effective date of no
sooner than 120 days after submission of the BHP Blueprint. In
addition, the state must ensure that its Blueprint includes a detailed
description of how the state will coordinate with other insurance
affordability programs to transition and transfer BHP-eligible
individuals out of their existing QHP coverage, consistent with the
requirements set forth in 42 CFR 600.330 and 600.425. We believe that
this 120-day period is necessary to establish the requisite
administrative structures and ensure that all statutory and regulatory
requirements are satisfied.
D. Discussion of Specific Variables Used in Payment Equations
1. Reference Premium (RP)
To calculate the estimated PTC that would be paid if individuals
enrolled in QHPs through the Exchange, we must calculate a reference
premium (RP) because the PTC is based, in part, on the premiums for the
applicable second lowest cost silver plan as explained in section
II.C.4 of this proposed methodology, regarding the Premium Tax Credit
Formula (PTCF). Accordingly, for the purposes of calculating the BHP
payment rates, the reference premium, in accordance with 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(C), is defined as the adjusted monthly premium for an
applicable second lowest cost silver plan. The applicable second lowest
cost silver plan is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(B) as the second
lowest cost silver plan of the individual market in the rating area in
which the taxpayer resides, which is offered through the same Exchange.
We propose to use the adjusted monthly premium for an applicable second
lowest cost silver plan in 2016 as the reference premium (except in the
case of a state that elects to use the 2015 premium as the basis for
the federal BHP payment, as described in section II.F of this proposed
methodology).
The reference premium would be the premium applicable to non-
tobacco users. This is consistent with the provision in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b)(3)(C) that bases the PTC on premiums that are adjusted for age
alone, without regard to tobacco use, even for states that allow
insurers to vary premiums based on tobacco use pursuant to 42 U.S.C.
300gg(a)(1)(A)(iv).
Consistent with the policy set forth in 26 CFR 1.36B-3(f)(6) to
calculate the PTC for those enrolled in a QHP through an Exchange, we
propose not to update the payment methodology, and subsequently the
federal BHP payment rates, in the event that the second lowest cost
silver plan used as the reference premium, or the lowest cost silver
plan, changes (that is, terminates or closes enrollment during the
year).
The applicable second lowest cost silver plan premium will be
included in the BHP payment methodology by age range, geographic area,
and self-only or applicable category of family coverage obtained
through BHP.
American Indians and Alaska Natives in households with incomes
below 300 percent of the FPL are eligible for a full cost sharing
subsidy regardless of the plan they select (as described in sections
1402(d) and 2901(a) of the Affordable Care Act). We assume that
American Indians and Alaska Natives would be more likely to enroll in
bronze plans as a result; thus, for American Indian/Alaska Native BHP
enrollees, we propose to use the lowest cost bronze plan as the basis
for the reference premium for the purposes of calculating the CSR
portion of the federal BHP payment as described further in section II.E
of this proposed methodology.
We would note that the choice of the second lowest cost silver plan
for calculating BHP payments would rely on several simplifying
assumptions in its selection. For the purposes of determining the
second lowest cost silver plan for calculating PTC for a person
enrolled in a QHP through an Exchange, the applicable plan may differ
for various reasons. For example, a different second lowest cost silver
plan may apply to a family consisting of two adults, their child, and
their niece than to a family with 2 adults and their children, because
1 or more QHPs in the family's geographic area might not offer family
coverage that includes the niece. We believe that it would not be
possible to replicate such variations for calculating the BHP payment
and believe that in aggregate they would not result in a significant
difference in the payment. Thus, we propose to use the
[[Page 63369]]
second lowest cost silver plan available to any enrollee for a given
age, geographic area, and coverage category.
This choice of reference premium relies on 2 assumptions about
enrollment in the Exchanges. First, we assume that all persons enrolled
in BHP would have elected to enroll in a silver level plan if they had
instead enrolled in a QHP through the Exchanges. It is possible that
some persons would have chosen not to enroll at all or would have
chosen to enroll in a different metal-level plan (in particular, a
bronze level plan with a premium that is less than the PTC for which
the person was eligible). We do not believe it is appropriate to adjust
the payment for an assumption that some BHP enrollees would not have
enrolled in QHPs for purposes of calculating the BHP payment rates,
since Affordable Care Act section 1331(d)(3)(A)(ii) requires the
calculation of such rates as ``if the enrollee had enrolled in a
qualified health plan through an Exchange.''
Second, we assume that, among all available silver plans, all
persons enrolled in BHP would have selected the second-lowest cost
plan. Both this and the prior assumption allow an administratively
feasible determination of federal payment levels. They also have some
implications for the CSR portion of the rate. If persons were to enroll
in a bronze level plan through the Exchange, they would not be eligible
for CSRs, unless they were an eligible American Indian or Alaska
Native; thus, assuming that all persons enroll in a silver level plan,
rather than a plan with a different metal level, would increase the BHP
payment. Assuming that all persons enroll in the second lowest cost
silver plan for the purposes of calculating the CSR portion of the rate
may result in a different level of CSR payments than would have been
paid if the persons were enrolled in different silver level plans on
the Exchanges (with either lower or higher premiums). We believe it
would not be reasonable at this point to estimate how BHP enrollees
would have enrolled in different silver level QHPs, and thus propose to
use the second lowest cost silver plan as the basis for the reference
premium and calculating the CSR portion of the rate. For American
Indian/Alaska Native BHP enrollees, we propose to use the lowest cost
bronze plan as the basis for the reference premium as described further
in section II.E. of this proposed methodology.
The applicable age bracket will be one dimension of each rate cell.
We propose to assume a uniform distribution of ages and estimate the
average premium amount within each rate cell. We believe that assuming
a uniform distribution of ages within these ranges is a reasonable
approach and would produce a reliable determination of the PTC and CSR
components. We also believe this approach would avoid potential
inaccuracies that could otherwise occur in relatively small payment
cells if age distribution were measured by the number of persons
eligible or enrolled.
We propose to use geographic areas based on the rating areas used
in the Exchanges. We propose to define each geographic area so that the
reference premium is the same throughout the geographic area. When the
reference premium varies within a rating area, we propose defining
geographic areas as aggregations of counties with the same reference
premium. Although plans are allowed to serve geographic areas smaller
than counties after obtaining our approval, we propose that no
geographic area, for purposes of defining BHP payment rate cells, will
be smaller than a county. We do not believe that this assumption will
have a significant impact on federal payment levels and it would likely
simplify both the calculation of BHP payment rates and the operation of
BHP.
Finally, in terms of the coverage category, we propose that federal
payment rates only recognize self-only and two-adult coverage, with
exceptions that account for children who are potentially eligible for
BHP. First, in states that set the upper income threshold for
children's Medicaid and CHIP eligibility below 200 percent of FPL
(based on modified adjusted gross income), children in households with
incomes between that threshold and 200 percent of FPL would be
potentially eligible for BHP. Currently, the only states in this
category are Arizona, Idaho, and North Dakota.\4\ Second, BHP would
include lawfully present immigrant children with incomes at or below
200 percent of FPL in states that have not exercised the option under
the sections 1903(v)(4)(A)(ii) and 2107(e)(1)(E) of the Social Security
Act (the Act) to qualify all otherwise eligible, lawfully present
immigrant children for Medicaid and CHIP. States that fall within these
exceptions would be identified based on their Medicaid and CHIP State
Plans, and the rate cells would include appropriate categories of BHP
family coverage for children. For example, Idaho's Medicaid and CHIP
eligibility is limited to families with MAGI at or below 185 percent
FPL. If Idaho implemented BHP, Idaho children with incomes between 185
and 200 percent could qualify. In other states, BHP eligibility will
generally be restricted to adults, since children who are citizens or
lawfully present immigrants and who live in households with incomes at
or below 200 percent of FPL will qualify for Medicaid or CHIP and thus
be ineligible for BHP under section 1331(e)(1)(C) of the Affordable
Care Act, which limits BHP to individuals who are ineligible for
minimum essential coverage (as defined in section 5000A(f) of the
Internal Revenue Code of 1986).
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\4\ CMCS. ``State Medicaid and CHIP Income Eligibility Standards
Effective January 1, 2014.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Population Health Factor (PHF)
We propose that the population health factor be included in the
methodology to account for the potential differences in the average
health status between BHP enrollees and persons enrolled in the
marketplace. To the extent that BHP enrollees would have been enrolled
in the marketplace in the absence of BHP in a state, the inclusion of
those BHP enrollees in the marketplace may affect the average health
status of the overall population and the expected QHP premiums.
We currently do not believe that there is evidence that the BHP
population would have better or poorer health status than the
marketplace population. At this time, there is a lack of experience
available in the marketplace that limits the ability to analyze the
health differences between these groups of enrollees. In addition,
differences in population health may vary across states. Thus, at this
time, we believe that it is not feasible to develop a methodology to
make a prospective adjustment to the population health factor that is
reliably accurate.
Given these analytic challenges and the limited data about Exchange
coverage and the characteristics of BHP-eligible consumers that will be
available by the time we establish federal payment rates for 2016, we
believe that the most appropriate adjustment for 2016 would be 1.00. In
the 2015 payment methodology, we included an option for states to
include a retrospective population health status adjustment. Similarly,
we propose for the 2016 payment methodology to provide states with the
same option, as described further in section II.G of this proposed
methodology, to include a retrospective population health status
adjustment in the certified methodology, which is subject to CMS review
and approval. Regardless of whether a state elects to include a
retrospective population health status adjustment, we anticipate that,
in future
[[Page 63370]]
years, when additional data become available about Exchange coverage
and the characteristics of BHP enrollees, we may estimate this factor
differently.
While the statute requires consideration of risk adjustment
payments and reinsurance payments insofar as they would have affected
the PTC and CSRs that would have been provided to BHP-eligible
individuals had they enrolled in QHPs, we are not proposing to require
that a BHP program's standard health plans receive such payments. As
explained in the BHP final rule, BHP standard health plans are not
included in the risk adjustment program operated by HHS on behalf of
states. Further, standard health plans do not qualify for payments from
the transitional reinsurance program established under section 1341 of
the Affordable Care Act.\5\ To the extent that a state operating a BHP
determines that, because of the distinctive risk profile of BHP-
eligible consumers, BHP standard health plans should be included in
mechanisms that share risk with other plans in the state's individual
market, the state would need to use other methods for achieving this
goal.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ See 45 CFR 153.400(a)(2)(iv) (BHP standard health plans are
not required to submit reinsurance contributions), 153.20
(definition of ``Reinsurance-eligible plan'' as not including
``health insurance coverage not required to submit reinsurance
contributions''), 153.230(a) (reinsurance payments under the
national reinsurance parameters are available only for
``Reinsurance-eligible plans'').
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3. Income (I)
Household income is a significant determinant of the amount of the
PTC and CSRs that are provided for persons enrolled in a QHP through
the Exchange. Accordingly, the proposed BHP payment methodology
incorporates income into the calculations of the payment rates through
the use of income-based rate cells. We propose defining income in
accordance with the definition of modified adjusted gross income in 26
U.S.C. 36B(d)(2)(B) and consistent with the definition in 45 CFR
155.300. Income would be measured relative to the FPL, which is updated
periodically in the Federal Register by the Secretary under the
authority of 42 U.S.C. 9902(2), based on annual changes in the consumer
price index for all urban consumers (CPI-U). In our proposed
methodology, household size and income as a percentage of FPL would be
used as factors in developing the rate cells. We propose using the
following income ranges measured as a percentage of FPL: \6\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ These income ranges and this analysis of income apply to the
calculation of the PTC. Many fewer income ranges and a much simpler
analysis apply in determining the value of CSRs, as specified below.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
0-50 percent.
51-100 percent.
101-138 percent.
139-150 percent.
151-175 percent.
176-200 percent.
We further propose to assume a uniform income distribution for each
federal BHP payment cell. We believe that assuming a uniform income
distribution for the income ranges proposed would be reasonably
accurate for the purposes of calculating the PTC and CSR components of
the BHP payment and would avoid potential errors that could result if
other sources of data were used to estimate the specific income
distribution of persons who are eligible for or enrolled in BHP within
rate cells that may be relatively small. Thus, when calculating the
mean, or average, PTC for a rate cell, we propose to calculate the
value of the PTC at each one percentage point interval of the income
range for each federal BHP payment cell and then calculate the average
of the PTC across all intervals. This calculation would rely on the PTC
formula described below in section II.4 of this proposed methodology.
As the PTC for persons enrolled in QHPs would be calculated based
on their income during the open enrollment period, and that income
would be measured against the FPL at that time, we propose to adjust
the FPL by multiplying the FPL by a projected increase in the CPI-U
between the time that the BHP payment rates are published and the QHP
open enrollment period, if the FPL is expected to be updated during
that time. We propose that the projected increase in the CPI-U would be
based on the intermediate inflation forecasts from the most recent
OASDI and Medicare Trustees Reports.\7\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ See Table IV A1 from the 2013 reports in https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/ReportsTrustFunds/Downloads/TR2014.pdf.
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4. Premium Tax Credit Formula (PTCF)
In Equation 1 described in section II.A.1 of this proposed
methodology, we propose to use the formula described in 26 U.S.C.
36B(b) to calculate the estimated PTC that would be paid on behalf of a
person enrolled in a QHP on an Exchange as part of the BHP payment
methodology. This formula is used to determine the contribution amount
(the amount of premium that an individual or household theoretically
would be required to pay for coverage in a QHP on an Exchange), which
is based on (A) the household income; (B) the household income as a
percentage of FPL for the family size; and (C) the schedule specified
in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and shown below. The difference between the
contribution amount and the adjusted monthly premium for the applicable
second lowest cost silver plan is the estimated amount of the PTC that
would be provided for the enrollee.
The PTC amount provided for a person enrolled in a QHP through an
Exchange is calculated in accordance with the methodology described in
26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(2). The amount is equal to the lesser of the premium
for the plan in which the person or household enrolls, or the adjusted
premium for the applicable second lowest cost silver plan minus the
contribution amount.
The applicable percentage is defined in 26 U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A) and
26 CFR 1.36B-3(g) as the percentage that applies to a taxpayer's
household income that is within an income tier specified in the table,
increasing on a sliding scale in a linear manner from an initial
premium percentage to a final premium percentage specified in the table
(see Table 1):
[[Page 63371]]
Table 1--Household Income
[Expressed as a percent of poverty line]
------------------------------------------------------------------------
In the case of household income The initial The final
(expressed as a percent of poverty premium premium
line) within the following income percentage is-- percentage is--
tier: (percent) (percent)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Up to 133%.......................... 2.01 2.01
133% but less than 150%............. 3.02 4.02
150% but less than 200%............. 4.02 6.34
200% but less than 250%............. 6.34 8.10
250% but less than 300%............. 8.10 9.56
300% but not more than 400%......... 9.56 9.56
------------------------------------------------------------------------
These are the applicable percentages for CY 2015. The applicable
percentages will be updated in future years in accordance with 26
U.S.C. 36B(b)(3)(A)(ii).
5. Income Reconciliation Factor (IRF)
For persons enrolled in a QHP through an Exchange who receive an
advance payment of the premium tax credit (APTC), there will be an
annual reconciliation following the end of the year to compare the
advance payments to the correct amount of PTC based on household
circumstances shown on the federal income tax return. Any difference
between the latter amounts and the advance payments made during the
year would either be paid to the taxpayer (if too little APTC was paid)
or charged to the taxpayer as additional tax (if too much APTC was
made, subject to any limitations in statute or regulation), as provided
in 26 U.S.C. 36B(f).
Section 1331(e)(2) of the Affordable Care Act specifies that an
individual enrolled in BHP may not be treated as a qualified individual
under section 1312 eligible for enrollment in a QHP offered through an
Exchange. Therefore, BHP enrollees are not eligible to receive APTC to
assist with purchasing coverage in the Exchange. Because they do not
receive APTC assistance, BHP enrollees are not subject to the same
income reconciliation as Exchange consumers. Nonetheless, there may
still be differences between a BHP enrollee's household income reported
at the beginning of the year and the actual income over the year. These
may include small changes (reflecting changes in hourly wage rates,
hours worked per week, and other fluctuations in income during the
year) and large changes (reflecting significant changes in employment
status, hourly wage rates, or substantial fluctuations in income).
There may also be changes in household composition. Thus, we believe
that using unadjusted income as reported prior to the BHP program year
may result in calculations of estimated PTC that are inconsistent with
the actual incomes of BHP enrollees during the year. Even if the BHP
program adjusts household income determinations and corresponding
claims of federal payment amounts based on household reports during the
year or data from third-party sources, such adjustments may not fully
capture the effects of tax reconciliation that BHP enrollees would have
experienced had they been enrolled in a QHP through an Exchange and
received APTC assistance.
Therefore, we propose including in Equation 1 an income adjustment
factor that would account for the difference between calculating
estimated PTC using: (a) Income relative to FPL as determined at
initial application and potentially revised mid-year, under proposed
600.320, for purposes of determining BHP eligibility and claiming
federal BHP payments; and (b) actual income relative to FPL received
during the plan year, as it would be reflected on individual federal
income tax returns. This adjustment would seek prospectively to capture
the average effect of income reconciliation aggregated across the BHP
population had those BHP enrollees been subject to tax reconciliation
after receiving APTC assistance for coverage provided through QHPs. For
2016, we propose estimating reconciliation effects based on tax data
for 2 years, reflecting income and tax unit composition changes over
time among BHP-eligible individuals.
The Office of Tax Analysis in the U.S. Department of Treasury (OTA)
maintains a model that combines detailed tax and other data, including
Exchange enrollment and PTC claimed, to project Exchange premiums,
enrollment, and tax credits. For each enrollee, this model compares the
APTC based on household income and family size estimated at the point
of enrollment with the PTC based on household income and family size
reported at the end of the tax year. The former reflects the
determination using enrollee information furnished by the applicant and
tax data furnished by the IRS. The latter would reflect the PTC
eligibility based on information on the tax return, which would have
been determined if the individual had not enrolled in BHP. We propose
that the ratio of the reconciled PTC to the initial estimation of PTC
would be used as the income reconciliation factor in Equation (1) for
estimating the PTC portion of the BHP payment rate.
For 2015, OTA estimated that the income reconciliation factor for
states that have implemented the Medicaid eligibility expansion to
cover adults up to 133 percent of the FPL will be 94.52 percent, and
for states that have not implemented the Medicaid eligibility expansion
and do not cover adults up to 133 percent of the FPL will be 95.32
percent. In the 2015 payment methodology, the IRF was set equal to the
average of these two factors (94.92 percent). We propose updating this
analysis and the IRF for 2016.
6. Tobacco Rating Adjustment Factor (TRAF)
As described above, the reference premium is estimated, for
purposes of determining both the PTC and related federal BHP payments,
based on premiums charged for non-tobacco users, including in states
that allow premium variations based on tobacco use, as provided in 42
U.S.C. 300gg (a)(1)(A)(iv). In contrast, as described in 45 CFR
156.430, the CSR advance payments are based on the total premium for a
policy, including any adjustment for tobacco use. Accordingly, we
propose to incorporate a tobacco rating adjustment factor into Equation
2 that reflects the average percentage increase in health care costs
that results from tobacco use among the BHP-eligible population and
that would not be reflected in the premium charged to non-users. This
factor will also take into account the estimated proportion of tobacco
users among BHP-eligible consumers.
[[Page 63372]]
To estimate the average effect of tobacco use on health care costs
(not reflected in the premium charged to non-users), we propose to
calculate the ratio between premiums that silver level QHPs charge for
tobacco users to the premiums they charge for non-tobacco users at
selected ages. To calculate estimated proportions of tobacco users, we
propose to use data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
to estimate tobacco utilization rates by state and relevant population
characteristic.\8\ For each state, we propose to calculate the tobacco
usage rate based on the percentage of persons by age who use cigarettes
and the percentage of persons by age that use smokeless tobacco, and
calculate the utilization rate by adding the two rates together. The
data is available for 3 age intervals: 18-24; 25-44; and 45-64. For the
BHP payment rate cell for persons ages 21-34, we would calculate the
factor as (4/14 * the utilization rate of 18-24 year olds) plus (10/14
* the utilization rate of 25-44 year olds), which would be the weighted
average of tobacco usage for persons 21-34 assuming a uniform
distribution of ages; for all other age ranges used for the rate cells,
we would use the age range in the CDC data in which the BHP payment
rate cell age range is contained.
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\8\ Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tobacco Control
State Highlights 2012: https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/state_data/state_highlights/2012/index.htm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
We propose to provide tobacco rating factors that may vary by age
and by geographic area within each state. To the extent that the second
lowest cost silver plans have a different ratio of tobacco user rates
to non-tobacco user rates in different geographic areas, the tobacco
rating adjustment factor may differ across geographic areas within a
state. In addition, to the extent that the second lowest cost silver
plan has a different ratio of tobacco user rates to non-tobacco user
rates by age, or that there is a different prevalence of tobacco use by
age, the tobacco rating adjustment factor may differ by age.
7. Factor for Removing Administrative Costs (FRAC)
The Factor for Removing Administrative Costs represents the average
proportion of the total premium that covers allowed health benefits,
and we propose including this factor in our calculation of estimated
CSRs in Equation 2. The product of the reference premium and the Factor
for Removing Administrative Costs would approximate the estimated
amount of Essential Health Benefit (EHB) claims that would be expected
to be paid by the plan. This step is needed because the premium also
covers such costs as taxes, fees, and QHP administrative expenses. We
are proposing to set this factor equal to 0.80, which is the same
percentage for the factor to remove administrative costs for
calculating CSR advance payments for established in the 2015 HHS Notice
of Benefit and Payment Parameters.
8. Actuarial Value (AV)
The actuarial value is defined as the percentage paid by a health
plan of the total allowed costs of benefits, as defined under 45 CFR
156.20. (For example, if the average health care costs for enrollees in
a health insurance plan were $1,000 and that plan has an actuarial
value of 70 percent, the plan would be expected to pay on average $700
($1,000 x 0.70) for health care costs per enrollee, on average.) By
dividing such estimated costs by the actuarial value in the proposed
methodology, we would calculate the estimated amount of total EHB-
allowed claims, including both the portion of such claims paid by the
plan and the portion paid by the consumer for in-network care. (To
continue with that same example, we would divide the plan's expected
$700 payment of the person's EHB-allowed claims by the plan's 70
percent actuarial value to ascertain that the total amount of EHB-
allowed claims, including amounts paid by the consumer, is $1,000.)
For the purposes of calculating the CSR rate in Equation 2, we
propose to use the standard actuarial value of the silver level plans
in the individual market, which is equal to 70 percent.
9. Induced Utilization Factor (IUF)
The induced utilization factor is proposed as a factor in
calculating estimated CSRs in Equation 2 to account for the increase in
health care service utilization associated with a reduction in the
level of cost sharing a QHP enrollee would have to pay, based on the
cost-sharing reduction subsidies provided to enrollees.
The 2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters provided
induced utilization factors for the purposes of calculating cost-
sharing reduction advance payments for 2015. In that rule, the induced
utilization factors for silver plan variations ranged from 1.00 to
1.12, depending on income. Using those utilization factors, the induced
utilization factor for all persons who would qualify for BHP based on
their household income as a percentage of FPL is 1.12; this would
include persons with household income between 100 percent and 200
percent of FPL, lawfully present non-citizens below 100 percent of FPL
who are ineligible for Medicaid because of immigration status, and
persons with household income under 300 percent of FPL, not subject to
any cost-sharing. Thus, consistent with last year, we propose to set
the induced utilization factor equal to 1.12 for the BHP payment
methodology.
We note that for CSRs for QHPs, there will be a final
reconciliation at the end of the year and the actual level of induced
utilization could differ from the factor proposed in the rule. Our
proposed methodology for BHP funding would not include any
reconciliation for utilization and thus may understate or overstate the
impact of the effect of the subsidies on health care utilization.
10. Change in Actuarial Value ([Delta]AV)
The increase in actuarial value would account for the impact of the
cost-sharing reduction subsidies on the relative amount of EHB claims
that would be covered for or paid by eligible persons, and we propose
including it as a factor in calculating estimated CSRs in Equation 2.
The actuarial values of QHPs for persons eligible for cost-sharing
reduction subsidies are defined in 45 CFR 156.420(a), and eligibility
for such subsidies is defined in 45 CFR 155.305(g)(2)(i) through (iii).
For QHP enrollees with household incomes between 100 percent and 150
percent of FPL, and those below 100 percent of FPL who are ineligible
for Medicaid because of their immigration status, CSRs increase the
actuarial value of a QHP silver plan from 70 percent to 94 percent. For
QHP enrollees with household incomes between 150 percent and 200
percent of FPL, CSRs increase the actuarial value of a QHP silver plan
from 70 percent to 87 percent.
We propose to apply this factor by subtracting the standard AV from
the higher AV allowed by the applicable cost-sharing reduction. For BHP
enrollees with household incomes at or below 150 percent of FPL, this
factor would be 0.24 (94 percent minus 70 percent); for BHP enrollees
with household incomes more than 150 percent but not more than 200
percent of FPL, this factor would be 0.17 (87 percent minus 70
percent).
E. Adjustments for American Indians and Alaska Natives
There are several exceptions made for American Indians and Alaska
Natives enrolled in QHPs through an Exchange to calculate the PTC and
CSRs. Thus, we propose adjustments to the payment
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methodology described above to be consistent with the Exchange rules.
We propose the following adjustments:
1. We propose that the adjusted reference premium for use in the
CSR portion of the rate would use the lowest cost bronze plan instead
of the second lowest cost silver plan, with the same adjustment for the
population health factor (and in the case of a state that elects to use
the 2015 premiums as the basis of the federal BHP payment, the same
adjustment for the premium trend factor). American Indians and Alaska
Natives are eligible for CSRs with any metal level plan, and thus we
believe that eligible persons would be more likely to select a bronze
level plan instead of a silver level plan. (It is important to note
that this would not change the PTC, as that is the maximum possible PTC
payment, which is always based on the applicable second lowest cost
silver plan.)
2. We propose that the actuarial value for use in the CSR portion
of the rate would be 0.60 instead of 0.70, which is consistent with the
actuarial value of a bronze level plan.
3. We propose that the induced utilization factor for use in the
CSR portion of the rate would be 1.15, which is consistent with the
2015 HHS Notice of Benefit and Payment Parameters induced utilization
factor for calculating advance CSR payments for persons enrolled in
bronze level plans and eligible for CSRs up to 100 percent of actuarial
value.
4. We propose that the change in the actuarial value for use in the
CSR portion of the rate would be 0.40. This reflects the increase from
60 percent actuarial value of the bronze plan to 100 percent actuarial
value, as American Indians and Alaska Natives are eligible to receive
CSRs up to 100 percent of actuarial value.
F. State Option To Use 2015 QHP Premiums for BHP Payments
In the interest of allowing states greater certainty in the total
BHP federal payments for 2016, we propose providing states the option
to have their final 2016 federal BHP payment rates calculated using the
projected 2016 adjusted reference premium (that is, using 2015 premium
data multiplied by the premium trend factor defined below), as
described in Equation (3b).
For a state that would elect to use the 2015 premium as the basis
for the 2016 BHP federal payment, we propose requiring that the state
inform us no later than May 15, 2015.
For Equation (3b), we propose to define the premium trend factor as
follows:
Premium Trend Factor (PTF): In Equation (3b), we propose to
calculate an adjusted reference premium (ARP) based on the application
of certain relevant variables to the reference premium (RP), including
a premium trend factor (PTF). In the case of a state that would elect
to use the 2015 premiums as the basis for determining the BHP payment,
it would be appropriate to apply a factor that would account for the
change in health care costs between the year of the premium data and
the BHP plan year. We are proposing to define this as the premium trend
factor in the BHP payment methodology. This factor would approximate
the change in health care costs per enrollee, which would include, but
not be limited to, changes in the price of health care services and
changes in the utilization of health care services. This would provide
an estimate of the adjusted monthly premium for the applicable second
lowest cost silver plan that would be more accurate and reflective of
health care costs in the BHP program year, which would be the year
following issuance of the final federal payment notice. In addition, we
believe that it would be appropriate to adjust the trend factor for the
estimated impact of changes to the transitional reinsurance program on
the average QHP premium.
For the trend factor we propose to use the annual growth rate in
private health insurance expenditures per enrollee from the National
Health Expenditure projections, developed by the Office of the Actuary
in CMS (citation, https://www.cms.gov/Research-Statistics-Data-and-Systems/Statistics-Trends-and-Reports/NationalHealthExpendData/Downloads/Proj2012.pdf).
We propose to also include an adjustment for changes in the
transitional reinsurance program. We propose that this adjustment would
be developed from analysis by CMS' Center for Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight (CCIIO).
States may want to consider that the increase in premiums for QHPs
from 2015 to 2016 may differ from the premium trend factor developed
for the BHP funding methodology for several reasons. In particular,
states may want to consider that the second lowest cost silver plan for
2015 may not be the same as the second lowest cost silver plan in 2016.
This may lead to the premium trend factor being greater than or less
than the actual change in the premium of the second lowest cost silver
plan in 2015 compared to the premium of the second lowest cost silver
plan in 2016.
G. State Option To Include Retrospective State-Specific Health Risk
Adjustment in Certified Methodology
To determine whether the potential difference in health status
between BHP enrollees and consumers in the Exchange would affect the
PTC, CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance payments that would have
otherwise been made had BHP enrollees been enrolled in coverage on the
Exchange, we propose to provide states implementing the BHP the option
to propose and to implement, as part of the certified methodology, a
retrospective adjustment to the federal BHP payments to reflect the
actual value that would be assigned to the population health factor (or
risk adjustment) based on data accumulated during program year 2016 for
each rate cell.
We acknowledge that there is uncertainty with respect to this
factor due to the lack of experience of QHPs on the Exchange and other
payments related to the Exchange, which is why, absent a state
election, we propose to use a value for the population health factor to
determine a prospective payment rate which assumes no difference in the
health status of BHP enrollees and QHP enrollees. There is considerable
uncertainty regarding whether the BHP enrollees will pose a greater
risk or a lesser risk compared to the QHP enrollees, how to best
measure such risk, and the potential effect such risk would have had on
PTC, CSRs, risk adjustment and reinsurance payments that would have
otherwise been made had BHP enrollees been enrolled in coverage on the
Exchange. To the extent, however, that a state would develop an
approved protocol to collect data and effectively measure the relative
risk and the effect on federal payments, we propose to permit a
retrospective adjustment that would measure the actual difference in
risk between the two populations to be incorporated into the certified
BHP payment methodology and used to adjust payments in the previous
year.
For a state electing the option to implement a retrospective
population health status adjustment, we propose requiring the state to
submit a proposed protocol to CMS, which would be subject to approval
by CMS and would be required to be certified by the Chief Actuary of
CMS, in consultation with the Office of Tax Analysis, as part of the
BHP payment methodology. CMS described the protocol for the population
health status adjustment in guidance in Considerations for Health
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Risk Adjustment in the Basic Health Program in Program Year 2015
(https://www.medicaid.gov/Basic-Health-Program/Downloads/Risk-Adjustment-and-BHP-White-Paper.pdf). We propose requiring a state to
submit its proposed protocol by August 1, 2015 for CMS approval. This
submission would also include descriptions of how the state would
collect the necessary data to determine the adjustment, including any
contracting contingences that may be in place with participating
standard health plan issuers. We would provide technical assistance to
states as they develop their protocols. In order to implement the
population health status, we propose that CMS must approve the state's
protocol no later than December 31, 2015. Finally, we propose that the
state be required to complete the population health status adjustment
at the end of 2016 based on the approved protocol. After the end of the
2016 program year, and once data is made available, we propose that CMS
would review the state's findings, consistent with the approved
protocol, and make any necessary adjustments to the state's federal BHP
payment amount. If we determine that the federal BHP payments were less
than they would have been using the final adjustment factor, we would
apply the difference to the state's quarterly BHP trust fund deposit.
If we determine that the federal BHP payments were more than they would
have been using the final reconciled factor, we would subtract the
difference from the next quarterly BHP payment to the state.
H. Example Application of the BHP Funding Methodology
In the 2015 proposed payment methodology, we included an example of
how the BHP funding methodology would be applied (Proposed Basic Health
Program 2015 Funding Methodology, (78 FR 77399), published in the
Federal Register on December 23, 2013). For those interested in this
example, we would refer to the 2015 proposed payment methodology and
note the following changes since that time.
In the final BHP payment methodology, we provided the option for
states to elect to use the 2015 premiums to calculate the BHP payment
rates instead of the 2014 premiums multiplied by the premium trend
factor. The example in the previous proposed payment methodology used
the 2014 premiums multiplied by the premium trend factor only.
In addition, we provided the option for the state to develop a risk
adjustment protocol to revise the population health factor in the final
payment methodology. The example in the previous proposed payment
methodology did not assume any adjustment to the population health
factor.
Furthermore, we modified the age ranges used to develop the rate
cells after the proposed payment methodology was published. The age
range for persons ages 21-44 was divided into age ranges of 21-34 and
35-44.
Lastly, as we noted in the responses to comments in the final
payment methodology, there was an error in the example in the previous
proposed payment methodology. The maximum percentage of income that a
household would be required to pay for QHP premiums for households with
incomes between 133 percent and 150 percent of the federal poverty
level (FPL) was incorrect in the example; the correct percentages range
from 3.00 to 4.00 percent, not from 2.00 to 3.00 percent as shown in
Table 2.
III. Collection of Information Requirements [If Applicable]
This proposed methodology is unchanged from the 2015 final
methodology that published on March 12, 2014 (79 FR 13887). The 2016
proposed methodology would not impose any new or revised reporting,
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure requirements and, therefore,
does not require additional OMB review under the authority of the
Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.). The
methodology's information collection requirements and burden estimates
are approved by OMB under control number 0938-1218 (CMS-10510).
Consistent with the Basic Health Program's proposed and final rules
(78 FR 59122 and 79 FR 14112, respectively) we continue to estimate
less than 10 annual respondents for completing the Blueprint.
Consequently, the Blueprint is exempt from formal OMB review and
approval under 5 CFR 1320.3(c).
Finally, this action would not impose any additional reporting,
recordkeeping, or third-party disclosure requirements on qualified
health plans or on states operating State Based Exchanges.
IV. Response to Comments
Because of the large number of public comments we normally receive
on Federal Register documents, we are not able to acknowledge or
respond to them individually. We will consider all comments we receive
by the date and time specified in the DATES section of this preamble,
and, when we proceed with a subsequent document, we will respond to the
comments in the preamble to that document.
V. Regulatory Impact Statement
A. Overall Impact
We have examined the impacts of this rule as required by Executive
Order 12866 on Regulatory Planning and Review (September 30, 1993),
Executive Order 13563 on Improving Regulation and Regulatory Review
(January 18, 2011), the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA) (September 19,
1980, Pub. L. 96-354), section 1102(b) of the Act, section 202 of the
Unfunded Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4, March 22, 1995)
(UMRA), Executive Order 13132 on Federalism (August 4, 1999) and the
Congressional Review Act (5 U.S.C. 804(2)).
Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 direct agencies to assess all
costs and benefits of available regulatory alternatives and, if
regulation is necessary, to select regulatory approaches that maximize
net benefits (including potential economic, environmental, public
health and safety effects, distributive impacts, and equity). Section
3(f) of Executive Order 12866 defines a ``significant regulatory
action'' as an action that is likely to result in a rule: (1) Having an
annual effect on the economy of $100 million or more in any 1 year, or
adversely and materially affecting a sector of the economy,
productivity, competition, jobs, the environment, public health or
safety, or state, local or tribal governments or communities (also
referred to as ``economically significant''); (2) creating a serious
inconsistency or otherwise interfering with an action taken or planned
by another agency; (3) materially altering the budgetary impacts of
entitlement grants, user fees, or loan programs or the rights and
obligations of recipients thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or policy
issues arising out of legal mandates, the President's priorities, or
the principles set forth in the Executive Order.
A regulatory impact analysis (RIA) must be prepared for major rules
with economically significant effects ($100 million or more in any 1
year). As noted in the BHP final rule, BHP provides states the
flexibility to establish an alternative coverage program for low-income
individuals who would otherwise be eligible to purchase coverage
through the Exchange. We are uncertain as to whether the effects of the
final rulemaking, and subsequently, this methodology, will be
``economically
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significant'' as measured by the $100 million threshold, and hence not
a major rule under the Congressional Review Act. The impact may depend
on several factors, including the number of and which particular states
choose to implement or continue BHP in 2016, the level of QHP premiums
in 2015 and 2016, the number of enrollees in BHP, and the other
coverage options for persons who would be eligible for BHP. In
particular, while we generally expect that many enrollees would have
otherwise been enrolled in a QHP through the Exchange, some persons may
have been eligible for Medicaid under a waiver or a state health
coverage program. For those who would have enrolled in a QHP and thus
would have received PTCs or CSRs, the federal expenditures for BHP
would be expected to be more than offset by a reduction in federal
expenditures for PTCs and CSRs. For those who would have been enrolled
in Medicaid, there would likely be a smaller offset in federal
expenditures (to account for the federal share of Medicaid
expenditures), and for those who would have been covered in non-federal
programs or would have been uninsured, there likely would be an
increase in federal expenditures. In accordance with the provisions of
Executive Order 12866, this methodology was reviewed by the Office of
Management and Budget.
1. Need for the Methodology
Section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act (codified at 42 U.S.C.
18051) requires the Secretary to establish a BHP, and section (d)(1)
specifically provides that if the Secretary finds that a state ``meets
the requirements of the program established under section (a) [of
section 1331 of the Affordable Care Act], the Secretary shall transfer
to the State'' federal BHP payments described in section (d)(3). This
proposed methodology provides for the funding methodology to determine
the federal BHP payment amounts required to implement these provisions
in program year 2016.
2. Alternative Approaches
Many of the factors proposed in this methodology are specified in
statute; therefore, we are limited in the alternative approaches we
could consider. One area in which we had a choice was in selecting the
data sources used to determine the factors included in the proposed
methodology. Except for state-specific reference premiums and
enrollment data, we propose using national rather than state-specific
data. This is due to the lack of currently available state-specific
data needed to develop the majority of the factors included in the
proposed methodology. We believe the national data will produce
sufficiently accurate determinations of payment rates. In addition, we
believe that this approach will be less burdensome on states. To
reference premiums and enrollment data, we propose using state-specific
data rather than national data as we believe state-specific data will
produce more accurate determinations than national averages.
In addition, we considered whether or not to provide states the
option to develop a protocol for a retrospective adjustment to the
population health factor in 2016 as we did in the 2015 payment
methodology. We believe that providing this option again in 2016 is
appropriate and likely to improve the accuracy of the final payments.
We also considered whether or not to require the use of 2015 or
2016 QHP premiums to develop the 2016 federal BHP payment rates. We
believe that the payment rates can still be developed accurately using
either the 2015 or 2016 QHP premiums and that it is appropriate to
provide the states the option, given the interests and specific
considerations each state may have in operating the BHP.
3. Transfers
The provisions of this methodology are designed to determine the
amount of funds that will be transferred to states offering coverage
through a BHP rather than to individuals eligible for premium and cost-
sharing reductions for coverage purchased on the Exchange. We are
uncertain what the total federal BHP payment amounts to states will be
as these amounts will vary from state to state due to the varying
nature of state composition. For example, total federal BHP payment
amounts may be greater in more populous states simply by virtue of the
fact that they have a larger BHP-eligible population and total payment
amounts are based on actual enrollment. Alternatively, total federal
BHP payment amounts may be lower in states with a younger BHP-eligible
population as the reference premium used to calculate the federal BHP
payment will be lower relative to older BHP enrollees. While state
composition will cause total federal BHP payment amounts to vary from
state to state, we believe that the proposed methodology accounts for
these variations to ensure accurate BHP payment transfers are made to
each state.
B. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Section 202 of the UMRA requires that agencies assess anticipated
costs and benefits before issuing any rule whose mandates require
spending in any 1 year of $100 million in 1995 dollars, updated
annually for inflation, by state, local, or tribal governments, in the
aggregate, or by the private sector. In 2014, that threshold is
approximately $141 million. States have the option, but are not
required, to establish a BHP. Further, the proposed methodology would
establish federal payment rates without requiring states to provide the
Secretary with any data not already required by other provisions of the
Affordable Care Act or its implementing regulations. Thus, this
proposed payment notice does not mandate expenditures by state
governments, local governments, or tribal governments.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.) (RFA)
requires agencies to prepare an initial regulatory flexibility analysis
to describe the impact of the proposed rule on small entities, unless
the head of the agency can certify that the rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a substantial number of small entities.
The Act generally defines a ``small entity'' as (1) a proprietary firm
meeting the size standards of the Small Business Administration (SBA);
(2) a not-for-profit organization that is not dominant in its field; or
(3) a small government jurisdiction with a population of less than
50,000. Individuals and states are not included in the definition of a
small entity. Few of the entities that meet the definition of a small
entity as that term is used in the RFA would be impacted directly by
this proposed methodology.
Because this proposed methodology is focused on the proposed
funding methodology that will be used to determine federal BHP payment
rates, it does not contain provisions that would have a significant
direct impact on hospitals, and other health care providers that are
designated as small entities under the RFA. We cannot determine whether
this proposed methodology would have a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities, and we request public comment on
this issue.
Section 1102(b) of the Act requires us to prepare a regulatory
impact analysis if a proposed methodology may have a significant
economic impact on the operations of a substantial number of small
rural hospitals. For purposes of section 1102(b) of the Act, we define
a small rural hospital as a hospital that is located outside of a
metropolitan statistical area and has fewer than 100 beds. As indicated
in the preceding
[[Page 63376]]
discussion, there may be indirect positive effects from reductions in
uncompensated care. Again, we cannot determine whether this proposed
methodology would have a significant economic impact on a substantial
number of small rural hospitals, and we request public comment on this
issue.
D. Federalism
Executive Order 13132 establishes certain requirements that an
agency must meet when it promulgates a proposed rule (and subsequent
final rule) that imposes substantial direct effects on states, preempts
state law, or otherwise has federalism implications. The BHP is
entirely optional for states, and if implemented in a state, provides
access to a pool of funding that would not otherwise be available to
the state.
Dated: September 19, 2014.
Marilyn Tavenner,
Administrator, Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services.
Approved: October 19, 2014.
Sylvia Burwell,
Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services.
[FR Doc. 2014-25257 Filed 10-21-14; 4:15 pm]
BILLING CODE 4120-01-P